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Welcome back, everyone. 
Today on the Jezel Carlson Show.

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As all of us are looking for 
very high quality companies that

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are going through a dip, maybe 
the market is getting them 

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wrong, maybe there's a bad 
narrative surrounding them. 

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And in this case, I've 
identified 8 companies, 8 of 

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them for our consideration, and 
we'll be going through each one.

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Some of these are buyback 
machines. 

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Some of these are incredibly 
powerful earnings growers, and 

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some of them are frankly being 
ignored. 

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But we're going to be going 
through each one of them. 

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We'll also be looking at a 
portfolio update. 

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We know that every month I have 
a document where I go through 

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and I log the growth of the 
portfolio, the current 

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allocation we go to, the 
performance against the various 

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benchmarks and my thoughts on 
the market and and different 

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sentiments for holdings. 
We'll be taking a look at this 

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and giving you some insight into
how I'm managing my investments.

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Now finally, we do have some 
news. 

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Today. 
The Wall Street Journal has 

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reported that Paramount and 
Skydance are looking to buy out 

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Warner Bros Discovery to make a 
massive behemoth of a streaming 

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service, one that's so big, that
has such a huge catalog, that 

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has so much money that it will 
compete with Netflix. 

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And this media conglomerate 
looking to happen very soon is 

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owned by Larry Ellison's son, 
Larry Ellison, who has $400 

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billion. 
So this is a real competitive 

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threat to Netflix. 
We'll be looking at what this 

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means for Netflix going forward,
the probability of this buyout 

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happening and how it changes the
dynamics with one of my largest 

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positions. 
And then, of course, it's the 

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weekend, which we look to 
financial TikTok to get some 

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advice, some insight that only 
we can get from the likes of 

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TikTok. 
In this case, it's a person, an 

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individual here showing us the 
best way to get a job in 

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customer service. 
He has some unique methods of 

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doing that. 
We'll look at it at the end of 

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this episode. 
We have a lot to get to now. 

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I'll start things off with a 
quick look at My Portfolio 

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overall, the strategy, and that 
leads into the companies that 

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I'm looking at buying. 
When we look at My Portfolio 

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every month, I update this 
document here it says August, 

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but I'm going to be updating it 
for September. 

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I've already updated the 
composition and performances. 

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So this is just from a few days 
ago. 

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This is what the portfolio looks
like. 

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This is the actual waiting when 
all of the holdings are 

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combined. 
Now I have a more detailed 

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breakdown of this on Qualtrim. 
We'll be looking at some of the 

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gains and losses of these 
individual positions. 

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So we have the allocation and we
can also look at the performance

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of the portfolios against the 
benchmarks. 

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We have the passive income 
portfolio, the story fund 

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against the S&P 500 and QQQ, the
passive income portfolio. 

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Overall, the compounded annual 
growth rate has been around 

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11.7%. 
Now this does change all the 

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time, every day it's changing 
because the portfolio goes up 

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and down. 
So this this will be different 

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next week, but this is a running
total around 1111 1/2%. 

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Now if we look at the Story 
Fund, that's actually where most

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of the outperformances happen 
between my 2 portfolios. 

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The Story Fund is now becoming a
very large portfolio. 

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It's grown at around 21% per 
year and it's done so because 

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it's highly concentrated, 5 to 6
holdings, and a lot of money is 

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put into highly high conviction 
bets. 

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A lot of money was put into 
Netflix at the Lowe's. 

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A lot of money was put into 
Amazon at the Lowe's, Google at 

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the Lowe's, Microsoft at the 
Lowe's. 

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When I saw these big companies 
that were extremely robust, 

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resilient companies sell off in 
2022, I put a lot of money in 

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them and concentrated my 
capital, especially in Netflix. 

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Netflix is around 6X since the 
bottom, which has made it a a 

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huge winner. 
So a lot of that performance is 

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driven from those buys. 
But even year to date this year,

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it's up 22%. 
The 20% tears just from a couple

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days ago up 22% and that's 
including Duolingo. 

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So Duolingo going down that 
portfolio is still up 22%. 

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Now overall again 21% about 
double S the performance of both

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relative benchmarks. 
That's where I'm getting a lot 

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of my out performance and I 
think it's going to continue on 

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because the companies in this 
portfolio are fantastic. 

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Now when we look at the combined
portfolio, we have that here in 

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Qualtrim combined value of one 
point $3,433,000 in gains. 

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Now these gains that you're 
seeing here do not include sold 

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holdings. 
So any that I've sold and I no 

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longer hold, they're not 
included here. 

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Even if I've realized some gains
in my current holdings, they're 

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they're not included here as 
well as dividends aren't 

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included here. 
If you include all of my 

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previously sold positions, 
that's about another $100,000. 

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So my total gain throughout the 
lifetime of the portfolio is 

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around $530,000, give or take. 
When we look at the individual 

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positions, you can see S&P 
Global right at the top, but 

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Google's catching it. 
I think Google very likely will 

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become the top position of My 
Portfolio soon. 

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That's because I keep buying it 
and the stock keeps going up, a 

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dangerous combination. 
When you keep making a a 

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company, you keep buying it, the
stock goes up, it becomes a huge

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holding. 
So we're seeing that with 

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Google, and I'll highlight more 
of that one to come. 

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We also have Amazon. 
This one could also become the 

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very biggest position of My 
Portfolio. 

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And when you look at the gains 
of these two companies, it's 

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actually strikingly similar, 
46800 in gains in Google, 46400 

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with Amazon. 
Now Google pays some dividends 

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that aren't included here, so 
it's a little bit higher, but 

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that's so close. 
These two companies, like I 

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said, I just don't know which 
one to buy. 

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I'm always wanting to buy both 
of them. 

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I think they're both fantastic. 
Then we have Netflix under that 

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$80,000 in gains in this one. 
Then we have MasterCard, we have

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Microsoft. 
We have Costco, huge winner in 

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the portfolio, booking holdings 
into it ASML. 

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Then we have Salesforce, one of 
the losers in the portfolio 

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right now, $7000 in the red. 
We have Moody's, big winner in 

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the portfolio, Equifax. 
This one's a little early, but 

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it's in the green. 
Texas Roadhouse is understated 

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here. 
I sold $30,000 of the position. 

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I really made around $45,000 of 
gains in this one. 

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And then Duolingo currently as a
loser, down $2000. 

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We have Apple as a big winner. 
Now, the reason I share this is 

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because portfolio allocation is 
important. 

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You should be thoughtful in the 
way that you're constructing 

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your portfolio. 
For example, this all may look 

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like a a lot of random tech 
companies. 

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That's not really the case. 
S&P Global is an indicee 

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company. 
It's a data company. 

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It's a market company. 
The risks that S&P Global has 

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compared to Google are very 
different. 

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The risks that Google have 
compared to Amazon are very 

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different. 
The risks that Amazon have 

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compared to Netflix are very 
different. 

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Again, Microsoft MasterCard very
different. 

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The amount of overlapping risks 
with these companies are very 

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few. 
I don't have a bunch of banks, 

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Oregon, a bunch of credit card 
companies, or just a bunch of 

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SAS software companies. 
These are all operating in 

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completely different industries,
different markets, different 

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customers, and you go down the 
list. 

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And that's the case throughout 
my entire portfolio. 

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There's very little overlapping 
risk, and that makes it so that 

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when one thing happens to one 
company, it doesn't typically 

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affect another company. 
The only thing that affects all 

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these companies are macro risks,
which you can't diversify away 

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from. 
But you can also invest in 

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companies that have incredible 
balance sheets and they can be 

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resilient through macro risks. 
So these companies are highly 

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defensive against macro risk and
they're also highly diversified 

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against specific risk. 
That is an intentional 

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construction. 
On top of that, these companies 

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possess I think some of the 
widest moats in the market. 

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Like the portfolio analysis 
suggests here, many of these 

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companies operate under models 
anchored by highly reoccurring 

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revenue. 
They have subscription based 

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income. 
Now I have a huge preference for

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companies that have that type of
income, where you have the 

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guaranteed monthly revenue, you 
have high operating leverage. 

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I think those make for 
incredible investments. 

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It only makes sense to do it in 
a company where subscription 

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revenue actually makes sense, 
where they can continually 

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improve for the customer. 
So these companies also have a 

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huge preference for that. 
S&P Global has a massive 

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subscription business. 
Google has hundreds of millions 

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of people on their 
subscriptions. 

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Amazon has Amazon Prime with 300
million subscribers. 

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Netflix has 300 + 1,000,000 
subscribers on its service. 

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MasterCard isn't quite but it's 
highly reoccurring revenue. 

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Microsoft is overall a 
subscription company, the 

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majority of the revenue 
subscription. 

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Costco is a subscription 
company. 

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They have a membership and then 
Booking Holdings is building out

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a subscription into it says 
subscription and so on. 

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And this strategy is working. 
The passive income portfolio is 

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at an all time gain of $358,000.
That's including dividends. 

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So that's the total gain of that
portfolio. 

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We can look at the story fund 
and likewise this one has made 

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incredible gains. 
It's at now $169,000. 

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It's a combined gain of 
$528,000. 

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So over half $1,000,000. 
The goal is to double these 

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portfolios over the next five 
years to turn this from 

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$1,000,000 to 2 million, from 
2:00 to 4:00 and so on. 

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So there's a lot more 
compounding ahead now when we're

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looking at companies that I, I 
personally think are in a dip, 

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they're they're on a, a deal 
right now. 

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I'm going to go through the list
here. 

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We have a SMLASML is a company 
that has a dual pronged mode. 

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First of all, the technology 
they create is very difficult to

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replicate. 
But then they also have massive 

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distribution. 
They have partnerships, long 

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term partnerships with their 
customers. 

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That's also another thing that's
going to be very difficult to 

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disrupt. 
So I look at this as a highly 

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resilient, predictable line of 
revenue and you can see the 

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revenue growing over time. 
This does overtime transfer in 

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the cash flow and earnings. 
Now the cash flow is a little 

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bit lumpy, which I don't prefer.
I rather have more linear growth

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in cash flow. 
But in this case, it all comes 

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down to when they build their 
customers, that's it. 

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They simply invoice customers 
all at the same time, they pay 

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all at the same time. 
That way you have the lumpy cash

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flow. 
So it's not actually the 

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fundamentals of their business 
that are lumpy. 

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It's basically just accounting 
overall, the free cash flow on a

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per share basis is growing. 
They're doing buybacks, they're 

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growing earnings per share. 
I think it's going to grow a lot

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over the next couple of years, 
and this one's a bit more 

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insulated from the cyclicality 
than most other companies in 

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this industry. 
So this is one that I continue 

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to believe is undervalued. 
It's not at an extreme low, but 

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I believe the ASML could trade 
up to $1000. 

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I think that's relatively fair. 
The next one that we're looking 

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at is Salesforce. 
While the stock price has gone 

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down, the cash flow has gone up.
I like looking at this on a 

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00:10:05,680 --> 00:10:07,960
trailing basis. 
I think it illustrates it best, 

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but this is what the free cash 
flow looks like on a trailing 

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basis. 
This doesn't strike me as a 

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00:10:12,480 --> 00:10:15,360
company having too much trouble.
At least it's not showing up in 

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the numbers. 
But then if we look at the free 

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cash flow per share, it's 
growing even faster because 

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while they're growing their cash
flows, they're doing share 

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buybacks. 
Many people be quick to point 

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out the enormous amount of stock
based comp that this company 

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does, but that's a bit of an old
take. 

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I used to have that take as 
well. 

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When we were right here in 2023,
over half of the free cash flow 

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was diluted away by stock based 
comp. 

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That's not the case anymore. 
Look at what's happened. 

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The stock based comp has been 
completely flat for the past 

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00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:49,520
three years. 
The free cash flow has doubled 

229
00:10:49,880 --> 00:10:53,320
and then it's gone up tripled. 
So the free cash flow has gone 

230
00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:55,440
up substantially. 
The stock based comp has stayed 

231
00:10:55,640 --> 00:10:58,400
remarkably the same, making it 
so that the stock based comp 

232
00:10:58,400 --> 00:11:01,960
impact is only 25%. 
That's less than a meta. 

233
00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:05,200
So Salesforce is actually 
becoming a leaner, more capital 

234
00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:07,640
efficient company, even in the 
way that they pay their 

235
00:11:07,640 --> 00:11:09,800
employees. 
They're also growing agent 

236
00:11:09,800 --> 00:11:11,400
Force. 
You can see the total customer 

237
00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:14,280
growth every single quarter. 
Again, this is on a quarterly 

238
00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:16,880
basis, not annual. 
We look at the paid customers 

239
00:11:16,880 --> 00:11:18,560
and this is growing. 
There we go. 

240
00:11:18,560 --> 00:11:20,760
This is growing as well every 
single quarter. 

241
00:11:21,080 --> 00:11:22,440
And they have a nice funnel 
there. 

242
00:11:22,440 --> 00:11:24,720
It's kind of like Spotify where 
you have free members and then 

243
00:11:24,720 --> 00:11:26,800
you have the paid. 
A lot of these customers are 

244
00:11:26,800 --> 00:11:29,440
going to be funneling down to 
the paid membership over time. 

245
00:11:30,000 --> 00:11:32,640
So when we look at this, I like 
the fundamentals of the company.

246
00:11:32,640 --> 00:11:35,440
I like the earnings growth. 
I like the balance sheet, I like

247
00:11:35,440 --> 00:11:38,480
the valuation. 
Salesforce is again near an all 

248
00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:42,800
time low valuation, even going 
back five years. the PE ratio is

249
00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:45,720
down to its all time low. 
The free cash flow yields at an 

250
00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:48,480
all time high, making this 
company the cheapest it's ever 

251
00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:50,360
been. 
Now I got a plug in Duolingo. 

252
00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,160
This is the most volatile stock 
I own, meaning that the stock 

253
00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:54,680
price trades around all the 
time. 

254
00:11:55,080 --> 00:11:58,120
It went down to $270 recently, 
and then it bounced right back 

255
00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:00,880
up to 310. 
While there's literally no news 

256
00:12:00,880 --> 00:12:03,280
going on. 
The only notable news about a 

257
00:12:03,280 --> 00:12:06,840
couple days ago is that a lot of
these companies like Apple, 

258
00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:10,200
Meta, you name it, they're 
trying to make live language 

259
00:12:10,200 --> 00:12:13,040
translation tools. 
Whether it's in your glasses or 

260
00:12:13,040 --> 00:12:16,440
your Air Pods, they're trying to
make these augmented language 

261
00:12:16,440 --> 00:12:18,480
translation tools. 
Now, a lot of people argue 

262
00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:20,480
that's a Big Bear case for 
Duolingo. 

263
00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:23,520
I don't believe it is. 
I think that the reason people 

264
00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,240
are learning languages is not 
because of a lack of language 

265
00:12:26,240 --> 00:12:28,440
translation tools. 
I think there's a lot of other 

266
00:12:28,440 --> 00:12:30,240
motivating factors to learning a
language. 

267
00:12:30,560 --> 00:12:34,320
So personally, I don't buy into 
that bare thesis and I believe 

268
00:12:34,320 --> 00:12:36,600
that Duolingo is a very good 
company. 

269
00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,320
You can look at these charts. 
I I mean, just look at them. 

270
00:12:39,760 --> 00:12:41,320
This doesn't take rocket 
science. 

271
00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,600
Every single chart is going up. 
That's what's happening with the

272
00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:46,720
company right now. 
So I'm going to take a look at 

273
00:12:46,720 --> 00:12:48,640
the fundamentals. 
That's what I'm going to follow 

274
00:12:48,640 --> 00:12:51,840
overtime. 
If I'm wrong on Duolingo, that's

275
00:12:51,840 --> 00:12:53,600
fine. 
I'm OK being wrong. 

276
00:12:53,880 --> 00:12:55,960
Every investor is wrong on a 
couple holdings. 

277
00:12:56,160 --> 00:12:58,880
It happens to everyone. 
Literally name your favorite 

278
00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:01,680
best investor in the world. 
They've had their share of 

279
00:13:01,680 --> 00:13:04,320
losses on different holdings. 
That's part of the game. 

280
00:13:04,560 --> 00:13:07,160
So if I'm wrong on Duolingo, 
that's fine, but I just want to 

281
00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:10,000
give it a year or so. 
Right now, I believe the 

282
00:13:10,000 --> 00:13:14,560
company's both undervalued based
on its free cash yield of 2.2% 

283
00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:17,800
and it's incredibly fast growth.
Next up, we have Equifax. 

284
00:13:17,800 --> 00:13:20,960
This is another company, I would
say this one is a bit more 

285
00:13:20,960 --> 00:13:23,000
conservative. 
If you're looking for a steady 

286
00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:26,520
compound over time that has far 
less volatility but has a reason

287
00:13:26,520 --> 00:13:29,840
for upside, Equifax I think is 1
worth studying now. 

288
00:13:29,840 --> 00:13:31,760
I've looked into this company 
extensively. 

289
00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:36,760
Equifax is incredibly wide mode.
They have products that are 

290
00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:41,360
deeply entrenched in the systems
and processes of all different 

291
00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:45,000
customer bases from the 
government, from real estate, 

292
00:13:46,040 --> 00:13:49,560
real estate owners, landlords, 
businesses that hire people. 

293
00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:51,560
They have, I mean, they're 
everywhere. 

294
00:13:51,560 --> 00:13:54,640
They're the credit rating agency
that has your credit report. 

295
00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:57,120
They have the work number, 
workforce verification 

296
00:13:57,120 --> 00:13:58,840
solutions. 
These products are actually 

297
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:01,040
growing rapidly. 
Despite interest rates being 

298
00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:04,000
high and mortgages being 
unaffordable, they're still 

299
00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:05,560
growing their revenue Ave. 
steadily. 

300
00:14:05,960 --> 00:14:08,760
If anything improves in these 
categories. 

301
00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:12,240
If interest rates go down, if 
homes become more affordable, 

302
00:14:12,680 --> 00:14:14,720
you better believe one of the 
companies that will benefit the 

303
00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:18,120
most is Equifax. 
If we have the same mortgage 

304
00:14:18,120 --> 00:14:22,240
volume that we did just a few 
years ago, Equifax would make a 

305
00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:25,160
fortune. 
Most of that excess credit pulls

306
00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:28,200
would drop to the bottom line. 
But even if that doesn't happen,

307
00:14:28,280 --> 00:14:30,720
even if we don't have that 
additional upside, this still 

308
00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:33,480
should be a decent company that 
compounds at an attractive rate.

309
00:14:33,600 --> 00:14:35,520
Now next we move out of My 
Portfolio. 

310
00:14:35,520 --> 00:14:38,720
We have a company that's caught 
my attention here, Adobe. 

311
00:14:38,840 --> 00:14:40,400
Now Qualtrm has a new feature 
here. 

312
00:14:40,400 --> 00:14:43,680
We've always had new snippets, 
but now we have much more in 

313
00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:46,160
depth, real time news on every 
company. 

314
00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:49,760
And we have of Adobe reporting 
their fiscal Q3 results that 

315
00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:53,520
beat estimates and raise their 
financial year 2025 revenue and 

316
00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:56,240
earnings per share outlook, 
citing strong demand and 

317
00:14:56,240 --> 00:14:59,720
accelerating monetization of AI 
features cross Creative Cloud 

318
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:02,880
and Acrobat. 
So even the Creative Cloud is 

319
00:15:02,880 --> 00:15:05,080
doing well. 
That's what I thought was under 

320
00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:08,040
threat by Canva and a lot of 
other companies. 

321
00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:10,800
Doesn't seem like it is. 
They mentioned that the new AI 

322
00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:13,160
features are monetizing well, 
They're accelerating 

323
00:15:13,160 --> 00:15:15,320
monetization. 
Management also noted that 

324
00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:18,560
artificial intelligence infused 
annual reoccurring revenue has 

325
00:15:18,560 --> 00:15:20,920
surpassed 5 billion. 
The guidance Lyft helped the 

326
00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:23,640
stock trade higher after hours. 
This may ease some of the 

327
00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:26,760
concerns about the pace of AI 
monetization versus rising 

328
00:15:26,760 --> 00:15:29,640
competition. 
Adobe's facing new competitive 

329
00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:31,760
threats. 
You have challenges to the Moat 

330
00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:34,200
of the company. 
Primarily you have smaller 

331
00:15:34,200 --> 00:15:36,360
players like Canva. 
You have companies that have 

332
00:15:36,360 --> 00:15:39,520
kind of circumvented them in 
design, like Figma, which they 

333
00:15:39,520 --> 00:15:41,520
weren't able to buy. 
And you also have Gemini, 

334
00:15:41,520 --> 00:15:44,720
Google's AI image editing 
feature, doing a lot of the same

335
00:15:44,720 --> 00:15:47,000
things that Photoshop used to be
able to do. 

336
00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:50,720
So now we have a situation where
Adobe seems like it's just 

337
00:15:50,720 --> 00:15:53,400
surrounded by new technologies, 
new competitive threats. 

338
00:15:53,800 --> 00:15:56,400
Investors are very concerned 
about this long term, and I am 

339
00:15:56,400 --> 00:15:59,480
as well. 
It's caused me to to look away 

340
00:15:59,480 --> 00:16:03,080
from the stock for a bit. 
But the numbers don't lie. 

341
00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:06,480
They don't lie historically. 
They don't paint a perfect 

342
00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:08,600
picture of the future, but they 
don't lie. 

343
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,240
When we look at the numbers 
here, the digital media is 

344
00:16:12,240 --> 00:16:16,440
growing 11.6%. 
This includes Creative Cloud. 

345
00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:20,200
So Creative Cloud is growing, 
not shrinking. 

346
00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,680
This is a very similar feeling 
to what we just had with Google 

347
00:16:24,000 --> 00:16:28,400
where Chachi BT this new dynamic
crazy competitive threat was 

348
00:16:28,400 --> 00:16:31,320
going to kill Google, but Google
just kept growing and the 

349
00:16:31,320 --> 00:16:35,240
numbers quarter after quarter 
finally beat down investors bear

350
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:36,960
thesis. 
And I believe we could see a 

351
00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:41,040
similar situation where quarter 
after quarter Adobe just 

352
00:16:41,040 --> 00:16:44,560
continues to grow despite 
whatever bad narrative you throw

353
00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:45,920
at it. 
The next thing that we can look 

354
00:16:45,920 --> 00:16:48,360
at here is the total performance
obligations. 

355
00:16:48,360 --> 00:16:51,200
Adobe has grown its performance 
obligations, which are contracts

356
00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:55,520
over time by 13%. 
So again, this is growth right 

357
00:16:55,520 --> 00:16:58,360
on pace. 
As usual, nothing concerning. 

358
00:16:58,360 --> 00:17:01,280
In this report we look at 
Adobe's PE ratio. 

359
00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:04,200
We'll zoom into it here. the PE 
ratio is 15. 

360
00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:07,240
Then we have the free cash flow 
yield, 6.3%. 

361
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:10,720
Now a 6.3% free cash flow yield.
You factor in stock based comp. 

362
00:17:10,720 --> 00:17:13,760
Even if you factor that in, it's
around a 20% hit, which means 

363
00:17:13,800 --> 00:17:16,960
after stock based comp, it's a 
5% yield. 

364
00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:19,839
Now we can see what that yield 
looks like historically over 

365
00:17:19,839 --> 00:17:21,880
time. 
We'll zoom out to the past five 

366
00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:23,160
years. 
We'll look at the free cash flow

367
00:17:23,160 --> 00:17:25,200
yield. 
It's the highest yield the 

368
00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:28,359
company has been at over the 
past half a decade. 

369
00:17:28,400 --> 00:17:31,520
If we look at it on APE ratio. 
So no longer cash flows, but 

370
00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:34,520
we're looking at it on earnings.
Remember, the lower this goes, 

371
00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:37,480
the cheaper it is. 
In this case, it's again the 

372
00:17:37,480 --> 00:17:40,120
cheapest the company has ever 
been throughout it's history. 

373
00:17:40,560 --> 00:17:42,880
This is the maximum bearishness 
investors have been. 

374
00:17:43,160 --> 00:17:46,280
Every single metric you can look
at from Adobe is super cheap. 

375
00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:50,040
And at some point, at some 
point, it's going to price in 

376
00:17:50,040 --> 00:17:52,520
the fears around it. 
At some point, investors are 

377
00:17:52,520 --> 00:17:55,520
going to say this is enough. 
This company's already priced in

378
00:17:55,520 --> 00:17:58,240
the potential of disruption. 
In fact, they priced it in too 

379
00:17:58,240 --> 00:18:00,440
much. 
And if that disruption doesn't 

380
00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:04,480
come, if it never happens, 
imagine if this company gets 

381
00:18:04,480 --> 00:18:08,000
rerated back to a 20 multiple or
a 25. 

382
00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:11,120
This stock price could quite 
literally double from here from 

383
00:18:11,120 --> 00:18:14,200
3:50 to 700. 
This is another very interesting

384
00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:17,400
case of the valuation of another
high quality company that's gone

385
00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:19,320
down because of a very bad 
narrative. 

386
00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:21,760
And what is management doing 
during this time period? 

387
00:18:22,360 --> 00:18:24,920
Well, what they're doing is 
they're deploying their capital 

388
00:18:24,920 --> 00:18:27,600
and doing what every investor 
says management should do. 

389
00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:29,760
They're buying back shares 
aggressively. 

390
00:18:30,080 --> 00:18:33,600
They've effectively reduced the 
share count by 4% year over year

391
00:18:33,600 --> 00:18:36,480
from the last quarter. 
So this speeds up their earnings

392
00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,440
per share growth. 
It speeds up their free cash 

393
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:41,440
flow per share growth. 
This is exactly what investors 

394
00:18:41,440 --> 00:18:43,560
want management to do. 
Now finally, we get to United 

395
00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:45,000
Health Group. 
This is another one that I 

396
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:48,760
believe was formerly considered 
a very high quality company, but

397
00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:50,080
then it went through a rough 
patch. 

398
00:18:50,080 --> 00:18:52,840
Narrative went down, and part of
the problem here was a 

399
00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:54,840
deliberate decision from United 
Health Group. 

400
00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:57,640
They frankly just wrote bad 
policies on their behalf. 

401
00:18:57,640 --> 00:18:59,800
They over insured people. 
They didn't realize how much 

402
00:18:59,800 --> 00:19:01,360
people would actually use health
insurance. 

403
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:04,760
Everybody used it like crazy. 
It cost United Health Group A 

404
00:19:04,760 --> 00:19:07,920
lot of money and that takes time
to work its way through. 

405
00:19:07,920 --> 00:19:10,840
So you're going to have a couple
years of the financials looking 

406
00:19:10,840 --> 00:19:13,520
bad, but they'll eventually roll
over. 

407
00:19:14,160 --> 00:19:16,840
It's just something that's going
to have to work its way through 

408
00:19:16,840 --> 00:19:19,280
the United Health Group 
financial system, but they'll 

409
00:19:19,280 --> 00:19:21,880
eventually get the the policies 
back on track to where they 

410
00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:23,800
should be. 
It's going to take a hit for the

411
00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:27,320
company, but it should recover. 
At the same time, this company 

412
00:19:27,320 --> 00:19:32,960
trades at cheap valuations, 22 
PE ratio, a 7.8 free cash flow 

413
00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:35,440
yield, so super low free cash 
flow yield. 

414
00:19:35,760 --> 00:19:40,240
The stock price is down 28% even
after a recovery of being up in 

415
00:19:40,240 --> 00:19:43,400
the past month, 32%. 
Now, like any company, it's 

416
00:19:43,400 --> 00:19:46,040
nearly impossible possible to 
buy the entire bottom. 

417
00:19:46,320 --> 00:19:48,000
Even Buffett's team didn't do 
it. 

418
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:49,960
So you can't time the bottom 
perfectly. 

419
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:52,920
But I think looking forward over
the next couple of years that 

420
00:19:52,960 --> 00:19:54,840
buying now is likely still a 
good time to buy. 

421
00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:58,200
I think this company is too big 
to fail, too big to go away. 

422
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,920
It'll be around forever and it's
one to still consider if you're 

423
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:02,960
looking for a group of 
undervalued, high quality 

424
00:20:02,960 --> 00:20:04,960
companies. 
Now, the next two to round out 

425
00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:08,280
the list are two companies that 
I'm not going to go into in any 

426
00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:10,040
level of depth. 
I'm just going to mention them. 

427
00:20:10,160 --> 00:20:12,560
Google's one of them. 
I think it's going to go to $300

428
00:20:12,560 --> 00:20:15,560
per share in this case. 
Again, I think that Google has 

429
00:20:15,560 --> 00:20:18,480
been proving people wrong for a 
long period of time, and it's 

430
00:20:18,480 --> 00:20:20,360
easy to want to take off the gas
pedal. 

431
00:20:20,800 --> 00:20:24,080
I don't think investors should. 
I think looking back five years,

432
00:20:24,080 --> 00:20:27,200
investors will wish they bought 
Google for $240 per share. 

433
00:20:27,600 --> 00:20:30,080
Another one that I think 
investors will regret not taking

434
00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,680
advantage of over the next five 
years is Amazon. 

435
00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,680
Just in the past day, Morgan 
Stanley reiterated Amazon as a 

436
00:20:35,680 --> 00:20:39,480
top pick at $300 price, 
including the company's same day

437
00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:41,800
fresh grocery delivery to 1000 
new cities. 

438
00:20:41,920 --> 00:20:44,960
Amazon was facing one basic 
competitive threat, which was 

439
00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,560
Walmart's grocery delivery. 
And now they're addressing that 

440
00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:48,640
problem. 
They're creating their own 

441
00:20:48,640 --> 00:20:52,000
delivery network for groceries 
that is growing rapidly. 

442
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:55,040
So I see that as another risk 
being reduced for Amazon. 

443
00:20:55,120 --> 00:20:58,120
They're building massive 
clusters for GPU processing with

444
00:20:58,200 --> 00:21:01,000
AWS to increase their 
fulfillment capacity. 

445
00:21:01,120 --> 00:21:03,680
We had that semi analysis report
saying that they're going to 

446
00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:07,480
have an uptick in growth in AWS,
far surpassing what investors 

447
00:21:07,480 --> 00:21:09,320
expect. 
So I think there's a lot of 

448
00:21:09,320 --> 00:21:11,680
bullish catalysts over this one 
over the next five years. 

449
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:14,800
Right now is a time to consider 
for Amazon, and that rounds out 

450
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:15,760
the companies that I'm looking 
at. 

451
00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:16,720
Now. 
Let's go ahead and get to some 

452
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:18,280
news. 
Now moving on, we get to the new

453
00:21:18,280 --> 00:21:20,720
competitor for Netflix. 
This is news that's happening in

454
00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:24,360
the media world and it comes 
down to Larry Ellison, that guy 

455
00:21:24,360 --> 00:21:28,760
that's worth over $400 billion. 
He's one of, if not the richest 

456
00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:30,680
person in the world. 
He's right there next to Elon 

457
00:21:30,680 --> 00:21:32,280
Musk. 
So it's a bit debatable. 

458
00:21:32,280 --> 00:21:34,960
It might change day-to-day, but 
he's about the richest person in

459
00:21:34,960 --> 00:21:37,280
the world. 
And Larry has a son. 

460
00:21:37,880 --> 00:21:41,120
The son is named David Ellison. 
He's around 41 years old, I 

461
00:21:41,120 --> 00:21:44,560
believe. 
And David has a interest. 

462
00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:48,400
His interest is buying media 
companies, changing the media 

463
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:50,640
landscape. 
He's very interested in this 

464
00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:52,280
category and he's moving 
rapidly. 

465
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:56,400
He's already bought Paramount. 
He did it with his company 

466
00:21:56,400 --> 00:21:59,320
called Skydance. 
So Skydance came in, they took 

467
00:21:59,320 --> 00:22:01,240
over Paramount. 
Then on Paramount, they 

468
00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:04,080
immediately made changes. 
They got South Park on it and 

469
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,720
they made a deal with the UFC in
like a week. 

470
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,560
They were doing these type of 
multibillion dollar deals. 

471
00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:12,080
David's moving fast. 
He has a lot of money to work 

472
00:22:12,080 --> 00:22:16,240
with and he has ambitious plans.
And now reportedly the next 

473
00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:19,720
ambition he has is for Skydance 
and Paramount, these two 

474
00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:23,200
companies that he just recently 
combined together to take over 

475
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:25,960
Warner Brothers Discovery. 
Remember that Warner Brothers 

476
00:22:25,960 --> 00:22:29,520
and Discovery merge together, 
now Skydance and Paramount merge

477
00:22:29,520 --> 00:22:32,200
together and now they want to 
merge these previously 4 

478
00:22:32,200 --> 00:22:36,120
companies combined into a 
massive media empire, one of 

479
00:22:36,120 --> 00:22:39,680
which that would match the likes
of Netflix or the likes of 

480
00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:41,520
Disney. 
The bid will be for the entire 

481
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:44,720
company, including its cable 
network movie studios, the 

482
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,840
people said. 
Warner said late last year that 

483
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:50,640
it planned to restructure into 
two operating divisions, 1 

484
00:22:50,640 --> 00:22:53,280
focused on the legacy cable 
television business and the 

485
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:56,280
other on streaming in studios. 
By preparing a play for the 

486
00:22:56,280 --> 00:22:59,600
company before Warner's plan 
split, Paramount, Skydance is 

487
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:02,480
attempting to pre empt a 
potential bidding war for the 

488
00:23:02,480 --> 00:23:05,840
studio and streaming unit and 
could include that could include

489
00:23:05,840 --> 00:23:08,320
deep pocketed technology 
companies such as Amazon and 

490
00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:10,120
Apple. 
If successful, such a deal would

491
00:23:10,120 --> 00:23:13,360
bring together 2 of Hollywood's 
most storied studios and the 

492
00:23:13,360 --> 00:23:16,320
parent companies of streaming 
services HBO Max and Paramount 

493
00:23:16,320 --> 00:23:19,160
Plus. 
Warner is the home to Barbie, BC

494
00:23:19,160 --> 00:23:22,640
comics, Harry Potter and TV 
shows such as The White Lotus, 

495
00:23:23,000 --> 00:23:26,120
as well as cable news network 
CNN, TBS and TNT. 

496
00:23:26,600 --> 00:23:28,880
The scale of the potential 
combination could bring 

497
00:23:28,960 --> 00:23:31,400
antitrust and regulatory 
scrutiny. 

498
00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:34,200
Now Netflix investors are 
looking at this like I am. 

499
00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:36,000
This is one of my largest 
positions. 

500
00:23:36,000 --> 00:23:39,000
So I look at any competitive 
dynamic change and this is a 

501
00:23:39,000 --> 00:23:42,040
negative for Netflix. 
It would not be good for Netflix

502
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:45,040
if these two companies combined.
First of all, Netflix makes 

503
00:23:45,040 --> 00:23:47,280
money by licensing both of their
content. 

504
00:23:47,480 --> 00:23:49,920
So they license content from 
Paramount, they license it from 

505
00:23:49,920 --> 00:23:52,240
Warner Brothers Discovery. 
That's why you get movies like 

506
00:23:52,240 --> 00:23:55,240
Dune on Netflix. 
Those aren't Netflix's property,

507
00:23:55,240 --> 00:23:57,760
they're just licensing them. 
When the companies combine 

508
00:23:57,760 --> 00:24:01,080
together, it makes it much more 
difficult to license and barter 

509
00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:02,960
with them. 
They basically have more chips 

510
00:24:02,960 --> 00:24:04,480
on the table. 
They can barter better. 

511
00:24:04,800 --> 00:24:07,680
So Netflix will be closed off 
from a lot of content that they 

512
00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:12,320
probably have access to today. 
Now, Netflix is really well 

513
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:14,480
prepared for this. 
They can produce their own 

514
00:24:14,480 --> 00:24:16,400
content. 
They have enormous budgets. 

515
00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,960
In fact, even after combining 
both Warner Brothers Discovery 

516
00:24:20,240 --> 00:24:23,600
and Paramount, Netflix still has
around double the money to 

517
00:24:23,600 --> 00:24:26,920
invest in content. 
So they have an enormous cash 

518
00:24:26,920 --> 00:24:30,080
flow pile every year to invest. 
So this does change the 

519
00:24:30,080 --> 00:24:34,080
landscape slightly for Netflix, 
but no matter how much you slice

520
00:24:34,080 --> 00:24:37,320
and dice or combine companies 
together, it really hasn't 

521
00:24:37,320 --> 00:24:39,080
affected Netflix in the long 
run. 

522
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:42,360
So far, this company has 
withstood all of these type of 

523
00:24:42,360 --> 00:24:44,080
changes that these other 
companies make. 

524
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,200
Now finally, we take a look at 
financial TikTok, where we get 

525
00:24:47,200 --> 00:24:50,680
advice and insight that you just
can't find anywhere else. 

526
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:53,760
TikTok is the home of, of 
course, the best financial 

527
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:55,920
advice. 
Today we're looking at someone 

528
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,160
that's interviewing for a 
customer service job and he 

529
00:24:59,160 --> 00:25:01,240
shows how it's done. 
He's recording his interview for

530
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:03,960
this customer service job. 
Tell me a little bit about 

531
00:25:03,960 --> 00:25:07,480
yourself and why you're the 
right person for this role. 

532
00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:12,040
Yeah, absolutely. 
I really think I'm going to be 

533
00:25:12,040 --> 00:25:14,920
the perfect candidate for this. 
I have eight years experience in

534
00:25:14,920 --> 00:25:16,720
marketing. 
I've grown businesses by 

535
00:25:16,760 --> 00:25:19,360
millions of dollars. 
I have a full year's experience 

536
00:25:19,360 --> 00:25:22,600
in customer support where I 
handle thousands of tickets each

537
00:25:22,680 --> 00:25:24,920
month. 
And on top of that, I like you 

538
00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:27,680
said, I do come highly 
recommended because I know how 

539
00:25:27,680 --> 00:25:33,520
to get results. 
OK, I couldn't even hear what 

540
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:36,960
you were saying. 
You need to turn off the TV or 

541
00:25:36,960 --> 00:25:41,040
whatever you're. 
Doing how is she not smiling? 

542
00:25:41,360 --> 00:25:45,840
Come on, people like this. 
I know it's an interview. 

543
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:47,880
She's probably, you know, she 
feels like she has to take it 

544
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,400
seriously. 
If someone I've interviewed a 

545
00:25:50,400 --> 00:25:53,360
lot of people in the jobs that I
had prior to YouTube and even in

546
00:25:53,400 --> 00:25:57,800
with YouTube, but the interviews
I've had, if someone did this, I

547
00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:02,160
could not I, I, I would die 
laughing if someone called in 

548
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:05,840
and had music playing in the 
background while they gave a 

549
00:26:05,840 --> 00:26:08,280
speech. 
How can you be that serious? 

550
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:10,280
Relax a little bit. 
It's OK. 

551
00:26:10,800 --> 00:26:12,680
The the kids obviously having 
fun. 

552
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:17,240
And that was actually a very 
articulate, well timed little 

553
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:18,560
monologue. 
He did that. 

554
00:26:18,560 --> 00:26:20,280
That was actually impressive. 
That's harder. 

555
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:23,720
You try doing a monologue for 45
seconds or whatever it was, you 

556
00:26:23,720 --> 00:26:27,000
know, 35 seconds and timing it 
perfectly with music, it's 

557
00:26:27,000 --> 00:26:29,520
easier said than done. 
So that's actually a little bit 

558
00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:32,760
impressive. 
You know, if I, if I saw someone

559
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:34,480
doing this again, I, I would 
just laugh. 

560
00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:36,920
This is this is hilarious. 
It continues on. 

561
00:26:38,120 --> 00:26:42,400
I really need this. 
Please, I'm very desperate. 

562
00:26:42,400 --> 00:26:46,400
I am begging you. 
I do have some disabilities and 

563
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:50,840
with that comes some tools that 
I like to use to make my life a 

564
00:26:50,840 --> 00:26:56,560
little easier, OK? 
The problem is this is a client 

565
00:26:56,560 --> 00:27:00,320
facing role. 
OK, so she's taking it super 

566
00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:01,800
serious. 
She's doing her job. 

567
00:27:01,960 --> 00:27:04,000
I, I don't blame her. 
No problem with this lady. 

568
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:07,200
But she's she's doing her job, 
taking it serious, explaining 

569
00:27:07,200 --> 00:27:09,680
that this doesn't work and it it
just goes on here. 

570
00:27:09,840 --> 00:27:11,560
There you go. 
You have the best of TikTok 

571
00:27:11,560 --> 00:27:13,480
there. 
That is how you do an interview.

572
00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:16,680
Just time it to some theme 
music, put some heroic music as 

573
00:27:16,680 --> 00:27:17,920
you're talking about your 
strengths. 

574
00:27:18,040 --> 00:27:20,920
And then if they decline to give
you the job, just play some sad 

575
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,000
music in the background. 
That'll be it for this episode. 

576
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:23,760
See you next time.
