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Welcome back, everyone today on 
the Joseph Carlson Show. 

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If for some reason you were 
offline or away from the news 

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over the past 12 hours, then you
missed perhaps one of the 

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biggest beefs of all time. 
This is the beef of the most 

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powerful man in the world and 
the richest man in the world. 

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We've seen inklings of this 
relationship deteriorating over 

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the past 24 hours. 
The first signs were Elon Musk 

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criticizing President Trump's 
key legislation, the big 

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beautiful bill, calling it a 
bloated pig. 

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And from there, things derailed.
Yesterday was the day that Trump

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and Musk torched their 
partnership. 

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The relationship has completely 
imploded. 

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Insults, intense insults, were 
hurled left and right from one 

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to the other across the web for 
the world to see. 

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And today we're looking at it 
from aftermath, like a like a 

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big accident happened, like a 
plane crash or a train wreck. 

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And we're just looking at what 
happened. 

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Now we're going to be going 
through the details, the 

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timeline of events, how we got 
to this point, what it means for

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both President Trump and what it
means for Elon Musk. 

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We're also going to be going 
over many of the responses to 

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this event, people like Dan 
Ives, Gene Munster, these are 

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Tesla investors, Tesla 
enthusiasts going on the TV 

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quickly to play damage control. 
Now, we also have some good 

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news. 
On the day we had the jobs 

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report come in. 
This was hinted at by the ADP 

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report that looked really 
gloomy. 

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The jobs report came in a little
bit higher than analysts 

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expected. 
We'll be looking at the numbers 

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and what this means for the 
market. 

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We also have news that Lululemon
reported their earnings are down

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20%. 
We're going to see what's going 

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on with this company, why the 
stock is cratering. 

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And we have a report from the 
information that Amazon is 

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reportedly training humanoid 
robots to deliver packages. 

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We'll be looking at this as 
well. 

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Now, we have a lot to cover in 
this episode, and we'll start 

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things off with the main story, 
the implosion of this 

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relationship. 
It seemed like just yesterday 

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that Elon Musk and Trump were 
together in the Oval Office, 

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talking about how good the 
relationship was, how 

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appreciative Donald Trump was of
Elon Musk's efforts, Musk there 

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in his doge hat, his doge father
T-shirt, standing alongside the 

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president. 
Now, this was a kind of odd, 

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sometimes awkward relationship 
from the beginning. 

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Having the richest person in the
world, a business leader, 

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intermingling with the 
president. 

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It's just a bit different than 
what you normally see. 

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But we saw this go on for months
where Elon Musk was basically 

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one-on-one with Trump all the 
time. 

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And from what we heard, even 
though they may not agree on 

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everything, they're besties, 
they're friends, they're very 

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close with each other. 
Some people even called them 

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family. 
In fact, there were family and 

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extended family photos of them 
taken at Mar a Lago, like they 

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had adopted Elon Musk into the 
family. 

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Now, Fast forward just a few 
moments, and the front page of 

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the Wall Street Journal is 
literally filled with articles 

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about the implosion of this very
relationship. 

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So how did we get here? 
The first thing that I think is 

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important to note is that there 
has been frustrations building 

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up with Elon Musk and the White 
House administration, which is 

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President Donald Trump's team. 
Those two groups, Elon Musk and 

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presidents team, have grown a 
little bit frustrated with each 

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other for some time. 
In fact, just six days ago, 

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senior Trump aides swallowed 
their irritation with Elon Musk 

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and planned a chummy Oval Office
send off for him. 

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They briefed the president on 
the allegations of Musks drug 

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use so Trump would be ready to 
defend the billionaire when 

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reporters raised the issue at 
his goodbye event as late as 

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Wednesday evening, Trump played 
down any conflicts with Musk in 

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meetings with Republican 
senators, even though the 

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billionaire had spent the past 
few days disparaging the 

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president's legislative agenda. 
That's the big thing that's 

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caused this. 
If you've been on X or Twitter 

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or whatever you want to call it,
Elon Musk has been non-stop 

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bashing the Republican 
legislative agenda, The big 

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beautiful bill. 
Now you can have whatever 

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thoughts you want on the big 
beautiful bill. 

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You can believe it's a bad bill 
or a good one, or you can 

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believe that in politics you 
don't get everything you want. 

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You're not going to get all the 
tax cuts or the incentives or 

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the credits or everything that 
you want in a single bill. 

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After all, you have a lot of 
representatives, a lot of 

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limitations, a lot of 
constituents representing 

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different cohorts of the 
population. 

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Now, Elon Musk knows that 
President Trump can't just 

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demand everything he wants in a 
single bill. 

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He has to make these 
compromises. 

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Republicans have a slim majority
in the House of Representatives,

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but Elon Musk was highly 
critical of the bill anyways. 

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It seems like Elon Musk wasn't 
just critical of the bill, but 

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the bill was representative of 
his frustrations of other things

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going on in the White House, 
other things happening 

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personally between his 
relationship with the 

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administration. 
And there are some things that 

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Elon Musk was likely frustrated 
about over the weekend. 

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After Trump dumped Musk's ally 
as the head of NASA, the 

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president made it clear to 
associates that he wasn't 

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planning a high profile 
confrontation with his former 

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adviser, according to a person 
who talked with the president. 

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Now, this doesn't seem like that
big of a deal, but this is 

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actually a big deal. 
Elon Musk had a strong 

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suggestion of the head of NASA 
and the Trump administration did

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not listen to Elon Musk's 
suggestion. 

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That seemed a bit underhanded to
Elon Musk because after all, 

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he's the one flying rockets to 
space, he's the one with SpaceX.

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He has likely more experience 
than most people on Earth with 

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dealing with these type of 
technologies. 

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So he felt like he had big 
weight in the decision of the 

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head of NASA. 
And Trump didn't ultimately go 

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with Elon Musk's suggestion. 
So you see how that could be 

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frustrating for Elon Musk. 
After this event of him not 

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choosing the head of NASA that 
Elon Musk wanted, all goodwill 

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disappeared on Thursday. 
Elon Musk's critiques and 

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criticisms for the big beautiful
bill got more and more intense. 

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Calling it a bloated pig, 
calling it all these names. 

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And Trump had heard enough. 13 
minutes into an Oval Office 

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meeting with the German 
Chancellor, Trump laid out his 

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frustrations with Musk. 
Listen to what Trump says here 

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and keep in mind he has the 
German Chancellor in the White 

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House in the room with them. 
Look, Elon and I had a great 

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relationship. 
I don't know if it went well 

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anymore. 
I was surprised because you were

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here. 
Everybody in this room 

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practically was here as we had a
wonderful send off. 

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He said wonderful things about 
me. 

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You couldn't have nicer said the
best thing. 

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He's worn that hat. 
Trump was right about 

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everything, and I am right about
the great, big, beautiful bill. 

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President Trump initially 
addressing this issue seemed to 

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be somewhat moderate. 
He actually showed a little bit 

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of restraint here. 
He didn't hit back on Elon Musk 

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or do anything too personal. 
He just said that he disagrees 

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with them. 
But after enough time, this got 

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to a boiling point. 
President Trump had heard 

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enough. 
By Thursday night, Trump had 

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publicly toyed with cutting off 
government contracts to Musk's 

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companies. 
He said that he went crazy and 

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suggested that he is suffering 
from Trump Derangement Syndrome.

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Now, I don't mind so much the 
Trump Derangement Syndrome 

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insult there or even saying that
he went crazy. 

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Obviously these are big insults.
But what's really uncalled for 

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from the president is to toy 
with cutting off government 

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contracts from a private company
because of a personal feud. 

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The president should not be 
doing that. 

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It is indefensible for President
Trump to use his position to try

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to determine the outcome of 
companies because of personal 

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feuds. 
So in that case, he was 

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completely wrong. 
Now this gets so bad from here. 

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It gets so much worse than you 
would anticipate. 

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Musk floated. 
He started floating the idea of 

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a new political party, 
suggesting that Trump should be 

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impeached. 
Argued that Trump's tariffs 

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would trigger a recession and 
pledge to decommission a 

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valuable piece of space 
equipment. 

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So once President Trump targeted
Elon Musk's businesses, he gets 

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real personal. 
The message is again posted the 

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entire world. 
None of this is done behind 

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closed doors. 
This is all just the hundreds of

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millions of people Elon Musk 
says I'm sorry but I can't stand

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anymore. 
This massive outrageous pork 

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filled congressional spending 
bill is a disgusting 

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abomination. 
Shame on those who voted for it.

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You know you did wrong. 
You know it. 

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Elon Musk says whatever, keep 
the EV solar incentive cuts in 

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the bill even though no oil and 
gas subsidies are touched. 

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Very unfair. 
But ditch the mountain of 

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disgusting pork in the bill. 
In the entire history of 

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civilization, there's never been
legislation that both is big and

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beautiful. 
Everyone knows this. 

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Either you get a big and ugly 
bill or a slim and beautiful 

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bill. 
Slim and beautiful is the way. 

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So Elon Musk is taking a bit of 
Trump strategy of branding. 

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Trump loves giving these 
monikers and names to things big

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and beautiful. 
And in this case, he's using 

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that tactic against them, saying
it's slim and beautiful or big 

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and ugly. 
Now, you have to know Elon Musk 

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and Trump when you're renaming 
bills and going after things, 

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his key piece of legislation, 
which Trump is trying to 

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advertise as this great bill for
America. 

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This is personal. 
This isn't friendly banter 

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between two friends. 
Now, when Elon Musk gets in 

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these cycles of accusations, 
we've seen him do this before. 

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He did the same thing with Sam 
Altman. 

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He gets in a cycle like he gets 
out of control or he loses his 

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nerve and he posts and posts and
posts on X, with the posts 

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getting more severe, more 
personal. 

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Anything that he can scrap 
together as a gotcha insult he 

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tries to put in this flurry of 
posts. 

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The next one from Elon Musk is 
without me, Trump would have 

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lost the election, Dems would 
control the House and the 

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Republicans would be 51 to 49 in
the Senate. 

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Such ingratitude. 
Now again, this doesn't seem too

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bad, but realize that this is a 
very personal message. 

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Trump and Elon Musk are both 
very prideful people, very proud

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of what they accomplish. 
When we look at Trump, he won 

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that election and Elon Musk is 
trying to take the Thunder away 

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from him, saying it wasn't 
because of you. 

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I did that. 
I'm the one that won you the 

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election. 
He is directly trying to steal 

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the limelight, the Thunder, the 
credit for winning the election 

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from Trump. 
That's about as personal as it 

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can get. 
Do you think Trump likes hearing

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that someone else is taking 
credit for his victory? 

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No chance. 
No chance that he enjoys hearing

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that from Elon Musk. 
This is about as personal as it 

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can get. 
Elon Musk is trying to get under

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Trump's skin any way possible. 
But he doesn't end here. 

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The flurry of posts continue. 
In the mix of this, President 

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Trump starts to respond on his 
own version of Twitter, which is

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Truth Social. 
He says Elon was, quote, wearing

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thin. 
I have asked him to leave. 

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I took away his EV mandate that 
forced everyone to buy electric 

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cars and nobody else wanted 
that. 

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He knew for months I was going 
to do and he just went crazy. 

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Now this is kind of like a tit 
for tat. 

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President Trump is saying, hey, 
you're taking credit for me 

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winning the election. 
I'm going to go ahead and say 

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that nobody wants to buy your 
vehicles unless they have an EV 

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credit. 
So they're they're both kind of 

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striking at each other's egos, 
taking away credit. 

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You're you're successful, your 
company's successful because of 

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government EV credits. 
And Muscar is saying you're 

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successful because I got you 
into the White House. 

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Trump also continues to post 
saying the easiest way to save 

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money in our budget, billions 
and billions of dollars, is to 

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terminate Elon's government 
subsidies and contracts. 

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I was always surprised that 
Biden didn't do it. 

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There he is again striking 
directly at Elon Musk's 

231
00:11:24,320 --> 00:11:26,720
businesses. 
There we have them trading these

232
00:11:26,720 --> 00:11:29,440
individual insults, striking at 
each other's pride. 

233
00:11:29,520 --> 00:11:34,080
Then we move on and get to the 
big bomb, as Elon Musk calls it.

234
00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:37,160
This is kind of like his drop 
the Mic moment in this 

235
00:11:37,160 --> 00:11:39,320
ridiculous feud between these 
two people. 

236
00:11:40,000 --> 00:11:42,520
Elon Musk says time to drop the 
really big bomb. 

237
00:11:43,040 --> 00:11:45,800
Real Donald Trump is in the 
Epstein files. 

238
00:11:46,000 --> 00:11:48,760
That is the real reason that 
they have not been made public. 

239
00:11:49,080 --> 00:11:53,560
Have a nice day DJT. 
He has a nice little sign off 

240
00:11:53,560 --> 00:11:56,160
there to try to really let it 
sink in. 

241
00:11:56,200 --> 00:11:58,120
Try to make that one really 
hurt. 

242
00:11:58,760 --> 00:12:00,520
And that's the big bomb. 
This is the one that's going to 

243
00:12:00,520 --> 00:12:03,640
get hundreds of thousands, 
millions of likes, tons of 

244
00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:06,800
retweets suggesting that 
President Trump doesn't want to 

245
00:12:06,800 --> 00:12:10,080
release the Epstein files 
because he has incriminating 

246
00:12:10,080 --> 00:12:12,520
evidence within it. 
Elon Musk a few minutes after 

247
00:12:12,520 --> 00:12:15,200
posting that, doubled down and 
said, mark this post for the 

248
00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:17,120
future. 
The truth will come out. 

249
00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,320
And this is the last big bomb 
dropped in this entire dispute. 

250
00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:23,600
Now looking at this timeline of 
events, this entire dispute, I 

251
00:12:23,600 --> 00:12:26,360
want to Fact Check a couple 
things and give some important 

252
00:12:26,360 --> 00:12:28,400
context here. 
The first one is the EV and 

253
00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:31,800
solar incentive dispute. 
Elon Musk says that he doesn't 

254
00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:34,920
care if you remove the EV solar 
incentives, but you're not 

255
00:12:34,920 --> 00:12:37,280
removing any subsidies for oil 
and gas. 

256
00:12:37,280 --> 00:12:39,840
And that's unfair. 
And there's also been many 

257
00:12:39,840 --> 00:12:43,560
people that have told me that 
Elon Musk has been very outward 

258
00:12:43,800 --> 00:12:47,000
and very affirmative in saying 
that he doesn't mind if the EV 

259
00:12:47,040 --> 00:12:49,960
and solar incentives are cut. 
He doesn't care about them at 

260
00:12:49,960 --> 00:12:51,720
all. 
That's what he publicly says. 

261
00:12:52,080 --> 00:12:55,280
Those don't matter now to a 
Tesla investor, these EV solar 

262
00:12:55,280 --> 00:12:57,360
credits actually add up to a lot
of money. 

263
00:12:57,560 --> 00:13:02,640
In 2023, for example, Tesla made
$1.79 billion in sales from 

264
00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:04,880
carpet credits. 
Those are regulatory credits. 

265
00:13:05,080 --> 00:13:07,560
These are the EV credits that 
we're talking about here. 

266
00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:13,560
If they're removed, this 1.79 
billion vanishes. $1.79 billion 

267
00:13:13,560 --> 00:13:16,960
is a lot of money to a company 
that's only generating less than

268
00:13:16,960 --> 00:13:20,080
$7 billion in free cash flow. 
This makes up a good chunk of 

269
00:13:20,080 --> 00:13:23,040
the profitability of Tesla. 
These EV credits have been 

270
00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:25,400
beneficial in getting people 
into EVs. 

271
00:13:25,560 --> 00:13:28,040
So Musk is saying publicly, and 
he said before that he doesn't 

272
00:13:28,040 --> 00:13:30,520
care about the EV credits, go 
ahead and remove them. 

273
00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:33,280
But obviously they do mean a lot
to Tesla. 

274
00:13:33,280 --> 00:13:37,080
They help out Tesla's business. 
Now on the note that it's unfair

275
00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:39,000
because there's oil and gas 
subsidies. 

276
00:13:39,040 --> 00:13:42,040
There are no tax credits for 
buying a gas vehicle. 

277
00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:45,360
You go and buy a gas vehicle, 
you are paying full price for 

278
00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:48,000
that vehicle. 
So the oil and gas subsidies 

279
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:51,200
they're talking about are for 
the businesses themselves, for 

280
00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:54,800
the CapEx investments. 
There are huge oil subsidies and

281
00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:58,640
gas subsidies for the businesses
themselves, but there's also 

282
00:13:58,640 --> 00:14:01,640
huge incentives for every big 
business, including Tesla. 

283
00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:05,680
The Nevada Gigafactory received 
a $1.3 billion tax incentive 

284
00:14:05,680 --> 00:14:08,800
package from Nevada. 
The Vermont factory received a 

285
00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:12,280
$465,000,000 loan from the US 
Department of Energy. 

286
00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,880
Even outside of the US, Tesla 
receives government subsidies. 

287
00:14:16,120 --> 00:14:18,480
This happens with virtually 
every big business. 

288
00:14:18,560 --> 00:14:20,840
All these businesses are 
subsidized by the government, 

289
00:14:20,840 --> 00:14:24,440
but EVs are uniquely subsidized 
in the direct purchase of a 

290
00:14:24,440 --> 00:14:27,760
vehicle, and gas vehicles do not
receive that credit. 

291
00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:30,920
On the note that Elon Musk 
doesn't care about the removal 

292
00:14:30,920 --> 00:14:34,080
of EVs because he said so 
publicly, there is conflicting 

293
00:14:34,080 --> 00:14:36,280
reports on this. 
Bloomberg reported that Elon 

294
00:14:36,280 --> 00:14:38,880
Musk is on a mission to block 
President Donald Trump's tax 

295
00:14:38,880 --> 00:14:43,000
bill after he tried and failed 
to convince Republican lawmakers

296
00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:46,440
to preserve valuable tax credits
for electric vehicles in the 

297
00:14:46,440 --> 00:14:48,600
legislation. 
The Tesla chief executive 

298
00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:52,720
officer personally appealed Mike
Johnson to save the tax credit, 

299
00:14:53,000 --> 00:14:56,480
the person said, requesting 
anonymity to discuss a private 

300
00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:58,800
conversation. 
Again, this this could possibly 

301
00:14:58,800 --> 00:15:00,680
be wrong. 
Maybe the informant in this case

302
00:15:00,680 --> 00:15:03,120
doesn't really know or it's just
made-up. 

303
00:15:03,360 --> 00:15:05,600
But either way, there are 
reports that he was trying to 

304
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:07,720
keep these in. 
The other big thing that I think

305
00:15:07,720 --> 00:15:11,720
needs to be addressed is this 
claim by Elon Musk that there's 

306
00:15:11,720 --> 00:15:15,280
this huge incriminating evidence
of President Donald Trump on the

307
00:15:15,280 --> 00:15:19,600
Epstein files and that Elon Musk
is Privy to this and he has this

308
00:15:19,600 --> 00:15:22,000
big smoking gun. 
He knows this information. 

309
00:15:22,680 --> 00:15:24,440
There's a couple of reasons 
where I don't consider this 

310
00:15:24,440 --> 00:15:27,400
threat serious at all. 
Frankly, I don't think Elon Musk

311
00:15:27,400 --> 00:15:30,360
has anything here. 
One of the reasons why is 

312
00:15:30,360 --> 00:15:34,560
because these files have existed
for years under Democratic 

313
00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:36,920
control. 
And there's a lot of things that

314
00:15:36,920 --> 00:15:39,840
I'm willing to believe. 
But one of them that I'm not 

315
00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:44,080
willing to believe is that the 
Democrats knew about and had 

316
00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:47,840
access to highly incriminating 
evidence of President Donald 

317
00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:49,960
Trump, and they never released 
it. 

318
00:15:50,560 --> 00:15:52,600
I cannot come around to that 
conclusion. 

319
00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:55,520
There's some people saying or 
suggesting that the reason that 

320
00:15:55,520 --> 00:15:58,840
the Democrats would not release 
incriminating evidence on Donald

321
00:15:58,840 --> 00:16:02,040
Trump is because there's also 
incriminating evidence on the 

322
00:16:02,040 --> 00:16:03,880
Democrats. 
But I don't believe that would 

323
00:16:03,880 --> 00:16:06,480
be the case. 
I think even if there was 

324
00:16:06,480 --> 00:16:09,920
incriminating evidence on some 
Democrats, they would have still

325
00:16:09,920 --> 00:16:12,840
released it to sink Trump. 
They couldn't withhold 

326
00:16:12,840 --> 00:16:15,000
themselves. 
They couldn't help themselves. 

327
00:16:15,480 --> 00:16:18,920
If they really had access to 
information that would sink 

328
00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:22,440
Trump, that would make it so he 
couldn't become president, they 

329
00:16:22,440 --> 00:16:26,120
would have released it and taken
down anyone of themselves along 

330
00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:27,960
the way. 
The other reason why I don't 

331
00:16:27,960 --> 00:16:30,920
believe that there's anything 
actually here is because Elon 

332
00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:34,320
Musk is not exactly new to 
launching baseless or 

333
00:16:34,320 --> 00:16:37,960
evidenceless accusations. 
He's done this thing a time or 

334
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:39,720
two. 
In fact, he's done something 

335
00:16:39,720 --> 00:16:42,600
almost entirely similar to this 
exact post. 

336
00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,680
Six years ago, Elon Musk called 
the British diver in the Thai 

337
00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:49,600
cave rescue mission a pedo and a
baseless and evidenceless 

338
00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:51,600
attack. 
Now, why did this happen? 

339
00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:55,280
Because at the time, Tesla tried
to develop these quick little 

340
00:16:55,280 --> 00:16:57,800
mini submarines to go through 
and save the kids. 

341
00:16:57,880 --> 00:17:00,800
This was Tesla's effort to try 
to help out, and it was pretty 

342
00:17:00,800 --> 00:17:02,960
cool at the time. 
They were trying to help, but 

343
00:17:02,960 --> 00:17:05,599
this cave diver promptly said 
that these were basically a 

344
00:17:05,599 --> 00:17:07,000
waste of time. 
They wouldn't help. 

345
00:17:07,240 --> 00:17:09,160
They're too big, they're not 
going to fit through all the 

346
00:17:09,160 --> 00:17:12,079
jagged edges that you have to go
through in these caves. 

347
00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:16,280
And Elon Musk took that as an 
insult, saying that his time and

348
00:17:16,280 --> 00:17:19,160
effort was wasted here, that 
these things are basically not 

349
00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,200
useful. 
Elon Musk didn't like hearing 

350
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:23,119
that, and he attacked The Cave 
diver. 

351
00:17:23,280 --> 00:17:26,599
He launched these accusations, 
calling this guy the same thing 

352
00:17:26,599 --> 00:17:29,240
over and over again. 
And the guy eventually sued him 

353
00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:31,560
for defamation. 
And during the trial process, 

354
00:17:31,560 --> 00:17:34,880
Elon Musk actually looked at the
diver's background, tried to do 

355
00:17:34,880 --> 00:17:38,320
retroactive research to see if 
there is anything to justify the

356
00:17:38,320 --> 00:17:42,280
claims he had already made, and 
he found nothing, absolutely 

357
00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:44,320
nothing. 
This was a totally baseless, 

358
00:17:44,360 --> 00:17:46,440
warrantless, evidenceless 
attack. 

359
00:17:46,480 --> 00:17:49,520
Elon Musk has a history of 
saying things he probably 

360
00:17:49,520 --> 00:17:52,960
shouldn't say that aren't 
exactly true during times of 

361
00:17:52,960 --> 00:17:55,680
great frustration. 
And just like in The Cave divers

362
00:17:55,680 --> 00:17:58,400
situation where he actually 
apologized for saying those 

363
00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:01,720
things, saying he was frustrated
at the time, I see a very 

364
00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,920
similar pattern in this case. 
This tweet is the response of 

365
00:18:04,920 --> 00:18:07,760
Elon Musk trying to get under 
Donald Trump's skin, saying 

366
00:18:07,760 --> 00:18:09,640
whatever he can out of 
frustration. 

367
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:12,240
So for a few reasons, I don't 
believe if there's any big 

368
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:15,880
incriminating evidence that Elon
Musk knows alone, maybe I'll be 

369
00:18:15,880 --> 00:18:19,680
proven wrong, but I just don't 
believe Democrats would sit on 

370
00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:21,480
that evidence and not release 
it. 

371
00:18:21,760 --> 00:18:24,240
Even if it took down some of 
their own members, they would 

372
00:18:24,240 --> 00:18:27,320
want to release it. 
Elon Musk has a pattern of doing

373
00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,960
this type of thing. 
And then finally, it also would 

374
00:18:29,960 --> 00:18:33,880
speak volumes about Elon Musk's 
character if he truly knew about

375
00:18:33,880 --> 00:18:37,840
some big incriminating thing 
that the president did, but he's

376
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:42,080
refusing to release any details 
or he just waited until now 

377
00:18:42,080 --> 00:18:45,400
during a fight to release it. 
That's not exactly a great look 

378
00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,680
from Elon Musk either. 
To me, this strikes me as 

379
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:49,840
someone out of frustration, 
going through a feud very 

380
00:18:49,840 --> 00:18:53,280
publicly, someone targeting his 
company, his accomplishments and

381
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:56,720
his pride, and is responding 
with a lot of frustration like 

382
00:18:56,720 --> 00:18:59,960
he's done in previous times. 
Now, after all of this happened 

383
00:18:59,960 --> 00:19:03,440
after Elon Musk dropped this 
bomb, Trump was reportedly taken

384
00:19:03,440 --> 00:19:06,920
aback by Musk's escalation. 
Trump told advisers he didn't 

385
00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:10,080
believe he was harsh about Musk 
in the Oval Office and was 

386
00:19:10,080 --> 00:19:12,400
surprised at how aggressive Musk
became. 

387
00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,560
Trump's aides spent some time 
Thursday trying to figure out 

388
00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:18,680
what Musk's goal was. 
The president told advisers that

389
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:22,360
Musk was just being a child. 
Now, understandably, a lot of 

390
00:19:22,360 --> 00:19:24,280
people are confused by the 
situation. 

391
00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:27,240
Some people that love both Elon 
Musk and Trump don't really have

392
00:19:27,240 --> 00:19:30,160
a home or an identity right now.
They're being forced to pick 

393
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,360
sides in sometimes awkward 
cases. 

394
00:19:32,480 --> 00:19:36,400
Tesla stock is up 6% on the day,
but that's after dropping over 

395
00:19:36,400 --> 00:19:39,640
15% yesterday. 
Now, Elon Musk is in the process

396
00:19:39,640 --> 00:19:42,720
of trying to walk back a lot of 
the damage done, making a bit 

397
00:19:42,720 --> 00:19:45,320
more of a joke out of it. 
And there's also a report that 

398
00:19:45,320 --> 00:19:48,520
Musk was going to talk to the 
administration this morning, 

399
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:50,920
that he had a call scheduled 
with the White House. 

400
00:19:50,920 --> 00:19:53,600
That report is not true. 
Trump says he's not interested 

401
00:19:53,600 --> 00:19:56,040
in a call with Musk. 
Now, while this is all going on,

402
00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:59,000
we also have the Tesla thought 
leaders, the investors in it, 

403
00:19:59,480 --> 00:20:02,440
the ones that are trying to play
damage control in the situation 

404
00:20:02,440 --> 00:20:05,720
as fast as possible. 
We had Dan Ives go on the TV and

405
00:20:05,720 --> 00:20:07,640
explain how he thinks this is 
working out. 

406
00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:11,440
I I mean, there's a view that 
the battle here going on between

407
00:20:11,440 --> 00:20:14,880
Musk and Trump that this is 
going to continue to sort of, 

408
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:18,000
you know, increase. 
And what that ultimately does is

409
00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:21,040
that autonomous in the 
regulatory vision. 

410
00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:25,240
Does Trump now now not start to 
play nice in the sandbox with 

411
00:20:25,240 --> 00:20:28,360
Musk? 
Now, on this point, Dan Ives is 

412
00:20:28,360 --> 00:20:30,880
exactly correct. 
Part of the reason that Tesla's 

413
00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:35,360
stock rocketed up 30% after 
Trump's victory is the thought 

414
00:20:35,360 --> 00:20:38,360
process that Elon Musk had 
closely aligned himself as an 

415
00:20:38,360 --> 00:20:42,760
ally to the president, a key 
holder to regulatory approval. 

416
00:20:43,040 --> 00:20:46,280
Many of Musk's businesses, 
including Tesla, operate in 

417
00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:50,520
highly regulated industries, 
robotaxi being one of the most 

418
00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,400
highly regulated in existence. 
In many cases. 

419
00:20:53,400 --> 00:20:56,520
When I bring up Google and I 
look at what Waymo's doing, a 

420
00:20:56,520 --> 00:21:00,000
lot of people are suggesting 
that the big limiting factor to 

421
00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:04,080
Waymo's growth is manufacturing 
capacity, that they can only 

422
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,800
grow as fast as they can 
manufacture or outfit cars with 

423
00:21:07,800 --> 00:21:11,600
their sensors. 
That cost, that capital is the 

424
00:21:11,600 --> 00:21:14,400
big limiting factor here. 
And I think those people are 

425
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:16,320
wrong. 
I don't think that Google's 

426
00:21:16,320 --> 00:21:20,960
Waymo is limited by CapEx, 
manufacturing or any type of 

427
00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:23,720
capital restraint. 
I believe the biggest bottleneck

428
00:21:23,720 --> 00:21:28,160
for Waymo by far is regulatory 
approval, proving that they have

429
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:30,920
a safe product that they can 
scale to different cities, 

430
00:21:31,120 --> 00:21:35,080
different capacities, different 
types of roads and airports and 

431
00:21:35,080 --> 00:21:38,960
do so safely over time and get 
all the green tape to do so in 

432
00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:42,800
different localities. 
That is a massive undertaking. 

433
00:21:43,360 --> 00:21:47,520
Waymo has the backing of Google.
Google, if you don't know, has 

434
00:21:47,520 --> 00:21:51,000
virtually unlimited cash flows. 
They generate in a single 

435
00:21:51,000 --> 00:21:54,960
quarter, $20 billion. 
Google could buy unlimited 

436
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,200
amount of vehicles. 
They could buy hundreds of 

437
00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:00,360
thousands, millions of vehicles 
in a single quarter if they 

438
00:22:00,360 --> 00:22:03,600
wanted, and they wouldn't even 
have to go to the bank to do so.

439
00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,440
CapEx is not a restraint for 
Waymo. 

440
00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:09,160
They could invest unlimited 
amounts of CapEx. 

441
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:11,240
They could scale up as fast as 
they want. 

442
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:15,040
The big limiting factor here is 
regulatory approval. 

443
00:22:15,160 --> 00:22:18,600
Regulatory approval is done 
through the government and part 

444
00:22:18,600 --> 00:22:21,000
of what Elon Musk had working to
his benefit. 

445
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:24,960
It seemed like a genius 4D chess
move was to become so close with

446
00:22:24,960 --> 00:22:27,760
the biggest person, the person 
that has the most control over 

447
00:22:27,760 --> 00:22:30,480
regulation, which is President 
Donald Trump. 

448
00:22:30,920 --> 00:22:34,360
So by having that close 
relationship, Elon Musk had both

449
00:22:34,360 --> 00:22:37,160
things at his side. 
He had regulatory approval or at

450
00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,080
least an easier path to get 
regulatory approval. 

451
00:22:40,360 --> 00:22:43,280
And of course, Tesla has the 
manufacturing know how. 

452
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:47,840
But in this case, Dan Ives is 
correctly illustrating that out 

453
00:22:47,840 --> 00:22:51,280
of the things that Elon Musk 
did, what he did yesterday is 

454
00:22:51,280 --> 00:22:54,160
sever ties. 
And not only severed ties, but 

455
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,600
he burnt bridges. 
He exploded the bridge with a 

456
00:22:56,600 --> 00:22:58,920
nuclear bomb with President 
Trump. 

457
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:01,880
They're not friends anymore. 
And President Trump is likely 

458
00:23:01,880 --> 00:23:05,280
not going to do anything 
specific to help out Elon Musk's

459
00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:08,280
business. 
Tesla is now left to its own 

460
00:23:08,280 --> 00:23:11,880
devices with regulation. 
Elon Musk made sure of that 

461
00:23:11,880 --> 00:23:15,520
yesterday and that is not good 
for the Tesla investor. 

462
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:19,680
Yeah, I mean, the timing is is 
obviously very head scratching 

463
00:23:19,680 --> 00:23:22,880
in terms of must just going 
aggressively right in terms of 

464
00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:26,000
the shot across the bow. 
And I was next next week you 

465
00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:29,920
have the launch of Cyber Cab 
robotaxis in Austin, so a 

466
00:23:29,920 --> 00:23:33,120
friends fight. 
So again, I think this is not 

467
00:23:33,120 --> 00:23:35,200
one that you could basically say
this is going to continue to get

468
00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,600
worse and worse. 
But clearly there's a line in 

469
00:23:37,600 --> 00:23:40,040
the sand here. 
Musk has taken a stands. 

470
00:23:40,320 --> 00:23:43,680
But I think the broader view, 
the reason Tesla stocks off the 

471
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:47,240
way it is and I think overdone 
is because the view that this 

472
00:23:47,240 --> 00:23:50,760
means that Trump is not going to
play nice when it comes to 

473
00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:54,480
regulatory autonomous. 
And a big part of the view, the 

474
00:23:54,480 --> 00:23:56,480
Dow is going to be a huge 
positive, and I still believe it

475
00:23:56,480 --> 00:24:00,080
is for Musk and Tesla. 
This is possibly one of the most

476
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:03,120
ridiculous takes that I hear. 
And this isn't just an Ives. 

477
00:24:03,120 --> 00:24:05,560
There's a lot of people that are
going along with this take 

478
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:10,240
trying to downplay the the feud 
here, saying friends fight, 

479
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,600
friends fight. 
Who amongst us hasn't fought 

480
00:24:13,600 --> 00:24:15,320
like this? 
Haven't you? 

481
00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,280
Haven't you fought like this 
with one of your friends? 

482
00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:23,000
I mean, really, who hasn't gone 
on to X with hundreds of 

483
00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:26,480
millions of followers and said 
that your best friend was on the

484
00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:28,960
Epstein list? 
If I had a nickel for every time

485
00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:32,800
I've done that with my best 
friend, Come on, Dan, friends 

486
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:36,240
don't fight like this. 
This is not something we can 

487
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:40,080
just chalk up to a friendly 
banter, to a little mishap, to a

488
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:42,560
tiff. 
Of course friends fight. 

489
00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,480
That's a truism. 
Every friend really does fight 

490
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:48,760
at one point or another, but 
typically that's over a small 

491
00:24:48,760 --> 00:24:51,640
disagreement, something that's 
handled through text or in 

492
00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:56,040
person, not blown out to the 
entire world on X. 

493
00:24:56,520 --> 00:24:59,880
Not insinuating that your friend
is on the Epstein list. 

494
00:24:59,960 --> 00:25:02,760
Friends do not attack each other
in front of the world with the 

495
00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:06,280
most salacious and insidious 
accusations possible. 

496
00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:08,800
This is not just some friend 
fight. 

497
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:12,680
And the people that are trying 
to downplay this like oh this is

498
00:25:12,680 --> 00:25:15,560
something everybody does. 
It's just ridiculous. 

499
00:25:15,760 --> 00:25:19,160
I don't know about the rest of 
you, but if I had a friend that 

500
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:23,200
did this, that went online and 
attacked me in similar fashion, 

501
00:25:23,640 --> 00:25:25,920
that would not be my friend 
anymore. 

502
00:25:26,440 --> 00:25:29,480
We would no longer be friends. 
That's not a typical fight. 

503
00:25:29,480 --> 00:25:33,000
That's not something you just 
shrug off and easily move past. 

504
00:25:33,640 --> 00:25:35,720
It's it's a bit different of a 
level. 

505
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:38,160
Now. 
I understand the attempt for 

506
00:25:38,160 --> 00:25:41,120
people that are fans of Elon or 
Trump to downplay this. 

507
00:25:41,120 --> 00:25:43,400
I really do. 
You want to try to downplay it. 

508
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:46,440
And even Elon Musk, I think is 
walking back some of this after 

509
00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:49,560
some of his frustration and and 
heated feelings have cooled down

510
00:25:49,560 --> 00:25:51,920
a little bit. 
But the words here that were 

511
00:25:51,920 --> 00:25:54,440
shared were not of a normal 
friend fight, and we shouldn't 

512
00:25:54,440 --> 00:25:57,040
try to pretend that they were. 
This was an embarrassment. 

513
00:25:57,320 --> 00:25:59,920
An embarrassment for the 
country, an embarrassment for 

514
00:25:59,920 --> 00:26:02,280
Elon Musk, and an embarrassment 
for Trump. 

515
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:04,960
It was embarrassing all around. 
It should have been handled in 

516
00:26:04,960 --> 00:26:08,200
closed doors or over a phone 
call, not blasted out to the 

517
00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,280
entire world. 
Now Dan goes on to give his 

518
00:26:10,280 --> 00:26:13,000
continued optimistic view about 
the future of Tesla. 

519
00:26:13,520 --> 00:26:16,240
And this is stock that I mean, I
could argue it could be down a 

520
00:26:16,240 --> 00:26:18,320
little. 
And it's my view that like if 

521
00:26:18,320 --> 00:26:21,600
you're a believer in autonomous 
like we are in robotics, this is

522
00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:23,920
a $2 trillion mark cap in terms 
of Tesla. 

523
00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:27,680
But the view that you went from 
basically first, buddy, in terms

524
00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:31,440
of Musk with Trump in the White 
House, Mar a Lago, and now 

525
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:33,840
they're doing this fight over 
social media. 

526
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,560
It's not what you want to see as
a Tesla shareholder. 

527
00:26:36,840 --> 00:26:39,800
And, and you saw with Trump, I 
think Trump's obviously a little

528
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:42,560
taken aback that Musk has taken 
this much of A stance. 

529
00:26:43,120 --> 00:26:46,960
But again, this is 1 where there
can be a lot more chapters to 

530
00:26:46,960 --> 00:26:48,560
this story. 
I don't think it's done right 

531
00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:50,920
here. 
Now, Dan says that he could see 

532
00:26:50,920 --> 00:26:53,960
the stock being down a little 
based on this news. 

533
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:58,280
But when the stock went up 30% 
after President Trump was 

534
00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,720
elected, based on Elon Musk's 
close relationship with him, Dan

535
00:27:01,720 --> 00:27:04,840
said that was justified. 
So it was justified. 

536
00:27:04,840 --> 00:27:08,000
The stock went up 30% 
specifically because of this 

537
00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:10,240
close relationship. 
But as that very same 

538
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:13,880
relationship implodes, it's not 
justified that the stock go down

539
00:27:13,880 --> 00:27:15,720
as much. 
Now, next, we get the instant 

540
00:27:15,720 --> 00:27:18,200
reaction from Gene Munster on 
the same incident. 

541
00:27:18,360 --> 00:27:20,400
Gene Monster, if you've 
forgotten, is the person where 

542
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:23,400
everything is bad for Google, 
everything is good for Tesla. 

543
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:27,640
So this might be a true test. 
Is this in fact, finally, 

544
00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,640
something that's not good for 
Tesla, something that is good 

545
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,160
for Google? 
Well, we'll see. 

546
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:36,120
I think it was an overreaction. 
And ultimately Andrew really hit

547
00:27:36,120 --> 00:27:38,640
the pressure point on the head. 
And I just want to zero in on 

548
00:27:38,640 --> 00:27:41,680
that. 
And when you think about AI and 

549
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:45,360
this arms race, I mean, 
undoubtedly this the new 

550
00:27:45,360 --> 00:27:50,160
frontier in terms of global 
power and the physical AI piece 

551
00:27:50,160 --> 00:27:54,360
is 1 manifestation of that. 
And the most obvious example 

552
00:27:54,360 --> 00:27:56,240
that is going to be with 
autonomy. 

553
00:27:56,240 --> 00:27:59,240
So just to kind of play this 
forward, let's take the position

554
00:27:59,240 --> 00:28:02,440
that Trump is more punitive to 
Elon. 

555
00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:06,520
It makes it more difficult for 
autonomous and then we look 

556
00:28:06,520 --> 00:28:09,800
around and we see autonomous 
vehicles in China everywhere. 

557
00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:12,920
I'm fast forwarding one to five 
years from now and in Europe and

558
00:28:12,920 --> 00:28:15,600
the rest of the world. 
It would be a little bit odd, I 

559
00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:22,240
think for this personality blow 
up to really slow down that pace

560
00:28:22,240 --> 00:28:24,880
of innovation. 
And so ultimately, I think that 

561
00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,440
what is best for the country is 
for autonomy to move forward. 

562
00:28:27,440 --> 00:28:30,080
And I think that that means that
this is going to continue to 

563
00:28:30,080 --> 00:28:33,320
move forward obviously comes in 
a big time with Tesla next week 

564
00:28:33,320 --> 00:28:35,000
and and what we're going to hear
from Austin. 

565
00:28:35,120 --> 00:28:39,320
Now keep in mind, Elon Musk just
severed his ties with the 

566
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:41,840
president, blew up this 
relationship. 

567
00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:46,280
The month that Tesla supposed to
launch robo taxi vehicles, the 

568
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:48,800
very month of it. 
And both Dan Ives and Gene 

569
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:51,200
Munster saying that this is no 
big deal, the stock doesn't 

570
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:52,440
really deserve to be down at 
all. 

571
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,600
They're kind of shrugging this 
off like it's really not a big 

572
00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:59,560
event and Tesla and robotaxi 
will move on with or without 

573
00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:02,240
Trump's approval. 
In terms of what Gene Munster 

574
00:29:02,240 --> 00:29:06,240
says specifically here, that 
robotaxi is happening in China, 

575
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:07,720
it's going to happen in the 
United States. 

576
00:29:07,960 --> 00:29:10,560
That is true. 
There are companies doing it in 

577
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,520
the United States right now. 
Tesla's not the only company 

578
00:29:13,520 --> 00:29:16,560
that's in the robotaxi industry.
I understand the effort that 

579
00:29:16,560 --> 00:29:20,080
these Tesla investors want to do
to downplay the events, but what

580
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:24,080
was the purpose of this? 
What does Elon Musk and Tesla 

581
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:27,160
gain from blowing up this 
relationship? 

582
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:30,200
Where's the upside? 
Where's the tactic behind it? 

583
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:32,920
He severed a relationship with 
the most powerful man on earth 

584
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,760
that holds regulatory approval 
the month before launching A 

585
00:29:35,760 --> 00:29:39,120
robotaxi network. 
What is the purpose of doing so?

586
00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:41,040
How is that good for Tesla 
stock? 

587
00:29:41,560 --> 00:29:44,440
And in the process, another 
thing that I'll mention is this 

588
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:47,440
isn't just between a 
relationship of Elon Musk and 

589
00:29:47,440 --> 00:29:48,960
Trump. 
This is also blowing up a 

590
00:29:48,960 --> 00:29:52,280
relationship between Elon Musk 
and Trump fans. 

591
00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:55,440
Millions of people that really 
like Trump that will side with 

592
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:57,920
Trump over Elon. 
Now they're not going to be 

593
00:29:57,920 --> 00:30:00,480
looking at Tesla as keenly as 
they were before. 

594
00:30:00,840 --> 00:30:03,680
Elon Musk has already damaged 
the relationship between the 

595
00:30:03,680 --> 00:30:07,240
Tesla brand and Europe. 
Many European countries, many 

596
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,520
citizens there refused to buy 
Teslas, which were selling well 

597
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:13,680
specifically because of Elon 
Musk's behaviour and rhetoric. 

598
00:30:14,080 --> 00:30:17,240
And now after blowing up a lot 
of relationships with the more 

599
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:20,480
liberal side, left-leaning 
people, especially in Europe and

600
00:30:20,480 --> 00:30:23,840
some in the US, he seems intent 
on doing that with people on the

601
00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:27,400
right in the United States, 
severing his relationship with a

602
00:30:27,400 --> 00:30:30,760
key figure, someone that has a 
lot of power and influence, and 

603
00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:33,280
with many of his millions of 
fans in the process. 

604
00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:35,800
So I asked the Tesla investor 
again, what is the purpose of 

605
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:38,400
this? 
Elon Musk seems intent to 

606
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:41,680
destroy relationships across the
world with many people. 

607
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:44,320
If that's not the intention, 
that's at least the outcome. 

608
00:30:44,640 --> 00:30:47,760
And I don't see how this is good
for either regulatory approval 

609
00:30:47,760 --> 00:30:51,560
needs, key relationships, or the
brand of Tesla. 

610
00:30:52,000 --> 00:30:55,320
Overall, I see this is a massive
diminishing of the brand of 

611
00:30:55,320 --> 00:30:57,520
Tesla. 
Another event that will take 

612
00:30:57,520 --> 00:31:00,520
time to figure out, time to 
heal. 

613
00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:03,800
The same thing that investors in
Tesla have been waiting for for 

614
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:05,960
years. 
They've been waiting and waiting

615
00:31:05,960 --> 00:31:08,280
for things to get better and 
approved for this company. 

616
00:31:08,480 --> 00:31:11,640
And Elon Musk, because of a 
petty disagreement, is in the 

617
00:31:11,640 --> 00:31:14,000
process of pushing that in the 
wrong direction. 

618
00:31:14,040 --> 00:31:16,960
Some people suggest that my 
commentary is negative on Elon 

619
00:31:16,960 --> 00:31:19,680
Musk because I just have some 
big bias against them, or that I

620
00:31:19,680 --> 00:31:22,240
hate Tesla and that's not the 
case at all. 

621
00:31:22,480 --> 00:31:26,400
I don't hate Elon Musk or Tesla.
I'm commentating on events. 

622
00:31:26,760 --> 00:31:31,440
I didn't force Elon Musk to wake
up yesterday and cause a feud 

623
00:31:31,440 --> 00:31:34,240
and implode a relationship with 
the most powerful man on Earth. 

624
00:31:34,640 --> 00:31:37,320
That wasn't my doing. 
He chose to do that himself. 

625
00:31:37,640 --> 00:31:41,080
I'm looking at the evidence and 
observing what's going on when I

626
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:44,080
look at what Elon Musk is doing 
specifically with Tesla. 

627
00:31:44,440 --> 00:31:47,680
I would be very upset if I was a
Tesla shareholder. 

628
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:51,720
He's putting his own personal 
endeavors in feuds above the 

629
00:31:51,720 --> 00:31:55,360
company, above the company and 
its millions of shareholders. 

630
00:31:55,480 --> 00:31:58,280
And the same could be said for 
any stock that I own. 

631
00:31:58,520 --> 00:32:01,920
If I looked at any company that 
I owned, any single one of them,

632
00:32:02,240 --> 00:32:05,640
and the CEO's decided to get in 
a personal spat with the 

633
00:32:05,640 --> 00:32:08,760
president, insulting them and 
burning bridges. 

634
00:32:08,960 --> 00:32:12,120
Especially if those CEO's worked
in industries that rely on 

635
00:32:12,120 --> 00:32:14,360
regulation, that would be 
upsetting. 

636
00:32:14,360 --> 00:32:17,400
I'd be highly critical of them. 
People would say, Joseph, you're

637
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,920
not saying complimentary things 
about that CEO. 

638
00:32:20,160 --> 00:32:22,560
And of course, I wouldn't 
because that's not what a CEO 

639
00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:26,120
should be doing. 
I like my CEOs getting along 

640
00:32:26,120 --> 00:32:28,520
with regulators. 
For example, we have a new 

641
00:32:28,520 --> 00:32:32,400
holding of mine, Equifax, which 
the CEO recently had a meeting 

642
00:32:32,400 --> 00:32:35,440
with a key regulator, Bill 
Polte, This new figure that's 

643
00:32:35,440 --> 00:32:38,240
over housing and especially 
focused on closing costs. 

644
00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:41,080
He met with the CEO of Equifax. 
He says. 

645
00:32:41,360 --> 00:32:43,600
I had a good meeting with the 
CEO of the credit Bureau 

646
00:32:43,840 --> 00:32:46,200
Equifax. 
It was super constructive. 

647
00:32:46,240 --> 00:32:49,320
I appreciate his approach. 
We want to be invisible to 

648
00:32:49,320 --> 00:32:52,560
companies as long as we enforce 
our statutory and legal 

649
00:32:52,560 --> 00:32:55,480
obligations. 
Some companies and their CE OS 

650
00:32:55,640 --> 00:32:59,120
make it easier than others. 
This is what I like seeing. 

651
00:32:59,360 --> 00:33:03,240
I like seeing my CEO do the 
right thing for the shareholder.

652
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:05,640
They're trying to make business 
run smoothly. 

653
00:33:05,880 --> 00:33:08,600
They're trying to get the 
regulators on their side. 

654
00:33:08,880 --> 00:33:11,880
That's what me, the shareholder,
is investing in the company for.

655
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:13,880
That's what we're paying the CEO
for. 

656
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:17,520
Now, if the CEO of Equifax was 
insulting Bill Poltay through 

657
00:33:17,520 --> 00:33:21,200
posts online and trying to 
destroy this relationship of 

658
00:33:21,200 --> 00:33:24,280
someone that directly regulates 
the company, that would be 

659
00:33:24,280 --> 00:33:26,760
upsetting. 
I'd be very critical of the CEO.

660
00:33:26,880 --> 00:33:29,440
But that's not what most CE OS 
do. 

661
00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,440
So to be clear, the Tesla 
investors that say that I'm 

662
00:33:32,440 --> 00:33:35,840
biased against Elon Musk, the 
reason that I'm uniquely 

663
00:33:35,840 --> 00:33:39,480
critical against many of the 
things that Elon Musk does is 

664
00:33:39,480 --> 00:33:42,640
because Elon Musk does a lot of 
things to be uniquely critical 

665
00:33:42,640 --> 00:33:45,000
about. 
If that wasn't the case, I would

666
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:48,240
not be focused on him at all. 
But blowing up the relationship 

667
00:33:48,240 --> 00:33:52,200
with the president on the onset 
of the robotaxi release is 

668
00:33:52,200 --> 00:33:55,240
something worthy of criticism. 
Now moving on, we get to this 

669
00:33:55,240 --> 00:33:58,640
news of EU payroll. 
It finally came in. 

670
00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:00,920
This was something that we 
looked at the news from ADP. 

671
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,880
They give us some insight, some 
bit of data, but it actually 

672
00:34:04,880 --> 00:34:08,440
came in better than expected. 
US payrolls gained 139,000 in 

673
00:34:08,440 --> 00:34:11,280
May, which points to gradual 
moderation. 

674
00:34:11,320 --> 00:34:13,679
Now, again, these aren't 
spectacular numbers, but they're

675
00:34:13,679 --> 00:34:16,400
better than expected. 
The figures may help temper 

676
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,280
concerns that companies are 
quickly ratcheting back 

677
00:34:19,280 --> 00:34:22,400
employment as they contend with 
higher costs related to tariffs 

678
00:34:22,639 --> 00:34:24,760
and prospects of slower economic
growth. 

679
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:27,120
President Donald Trump's 
decision to pause some of the 

680
00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,639
more punitive import duties, 
including those on China, has 

681
00:34:30,639 --> 00:34:33,920
helped lift sentiment among the 
businesses as well as consumers.

682
00:34:34,360 --> 00:34:36,560
So this is what I was talking 
about in the most recent 

683
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:40,560
episode, that this is all 
lagging data and lagging 

684
00:34:40,560 --> 00:34:43,400
sentiment. 
Things were really gloomy in the

685
00:34:43,400 --> 00:34:46,520
month of April for businesses. 
They didn't want to hire anyone.

686
00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:48,440
They felt like it was time to 
turtle in. 

687
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,320
But a lot of that sentiment has 
changed from from being very 

688
00:34:52,320 --> 00:34:54,480
gloomy to now being far more 
optimistic. 

689
00:34:54,760 --> 00:34:58,120
If you ask those very same 
business leaders, they feel a 

690
00:34:58,120 --> 00:35:01,680
lot better because a lot of the 
the rates, a lot of the tariff 

691
00:35:01,680 --> 00:35:03,720
rates have been lowered 
substantially. 

692
00:35:03,720 --> 00:35:06,000
This is welcome news that makes 
it less likely we'll see a 

693
00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,240
recession this year. 
Now, we also had the earnings 

694
00:35:08,240 --> 00:35:10,720
report of Lululemon yesterday 
after market close. 

695
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:15,720
The stock is down 20%, down $65.
Let's go ahead and take a look 

696
00:35:15,720 --> 00:35:18,080
at the reasons why directly from
the management. 

697
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:19,680
We can bring this up on 
Qualtrim. 

698
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:21,840
We have here a transcript 
summary. 

699
00:35:21,840 --> 00:35:25,960
We have the company now growing 
revenue by 7 percent, 8% on a 

700
00:35:25,960 --> 00:35:30,000
constant currency that fills a 
little slow 7% growth. 

701
00:35:30,000 --> 00:35:33,440
That's because it is Lululemon 
was growing really fast and now 

702
00:35:33,440 --> 00:35:35,240
the growth is decelerating 
rapidly. 

703
00:35:35,320 --> 00:35:39,360
Their guidance is now for five 
to seven and seven to 8% growth 

704
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:41,960
in the 53rd week. 
They're basically saying that 

705
00:35:41,960 --> 00:35:46,280
they're now growing in this mid 
single digit rate, very slow 

706
00:35:46,280 --> 00:35:48,120
growth for a company like 
Lululemon. 

707
00:35:48,120 --> 00:35:51,440
Now I've looked at Lululemon 
stock for a long period of time.

708
00:35:51,440 --> 00:35:54,560
It's one that's shown up a lot 
because over time it's actually 

709
00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:57,160
grown at a fast rate. 
They save a lot of money because

710
00:35:57,160 --> 00:35:58,520
they don't do a lot of 
marketing. 

711
00:35:58,520 --> 00:36:00,160
You're not going to see 
advertisements for it. 

712
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:03,080
It's all through word of mouth. 
It seems like it's an incredibly

713
00:36:03,080 --> 00:36:07,440
strong brand, very high end. 
But I've seen some significant 

714
00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:11,400
problems with companies like 
Lululemon and any brand focused 

715
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:13,400
company. 
It's virtually the same reason 

716
00:36:13,520 --> 00:36:16,360
that I I don't buy Nike stock. 
If we look at Nike stock, this 

717
00:36:16,360 --> 00:36:18,560
is a Bill Ackman investment. 
It's one that's gone through a 

718
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:21,640
big sell off. 
Nike's down 35% over the past 

719
00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:23,560
year. 
It's attracted a lot of value 

720
00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,440
investors, a lot of compound 
quality investors. 

721
00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:30,240
But I don't like investing in 
companies where the Moat of the 

722
00:36:30,240 --> 00:36:33,040
company is primarily through its
brand value. 

723
00:36:33,040 --> 00:36:36,960
Brand value is a Moat and it can
be powerful at times, but I 

724
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:40,080
think it needs to be combined 
with many other types of moats 

725
00:36:40,440 --> 00:36:43,480
like network effects, like how 
embedded the product is, like 

726
00:36:43,480 --> 00:36:45,880
switching costs, all that type 
of stuff. 

727
00:36:45,920 --> 00:36:48,480
Even though Lululemon makes 
these high end yoga pants and 

728
00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:51,320
all the stuff that people like, 
there's now many competitors to 

729
00:36:51,320 --> 00:36:54,920
Lululemon, many other companies 
making also high end clothing, 

730
00:36:55,240 --> 00:36:56,840
and they're undercutting their 
pricing. 

731
00:36:56,880 --> 00:37:01,200
You have companies like Aloe 
Yoga, Viori, Athletica, all 

732
00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:04,200
these new brands popping up, 
gaining market share. 

733
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:06,680
For that reason, I continue to 
avoid these type of companies. 

734
00:37:06,800 --> 00:37:09,360
Now we finally get to the news 
story that Amazon is in the 

735
00:37:09,360 --> 00:37:11,560
robotics game. 
In this case, they're in the 

736
00:37:11,800 --> 00:37:15,240
humanoid robotics game. 
Amazon is reportedly training 

737
00:37:15,240 --> 00:37:17,440
human robots to deliver 
packages. 

738
00:37:17,560 --> 00:37:20,480
The Information reports that 
Amazon is developing an AI 

739
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:23,720
software that will enable robots
to operate as package delivery 

740
00:37:23,720 --> 00:37:27,720
workers that are ferried around 
in Rivian electric vans and will

741
00:37:27,720 --> 00:37:31,080
soon be ready to start real 
world testing at a new facility.

742
00:37:31,240 --> 00:37:33,680
Citing an anonymous source 
involved in the effort, The 

743
00:37:33,680 --> 00:37:37,560
Information says that Amazon has
almost finished construction of 

744
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:41,720
an indoor humanoid park at one 
of their retail giant San 

745
00:37:41,720 --> 00:37:44,880
Francisco offices that roughly 
it's roughly the size of a 

746
00:37:44,880 --> 00:37:47,720
coffee shop. 
The obstacle course reportedly 

747
00:37:47,720 --> 00:37:51,640
contains 1 Rivian van for 
training purposes, with Amazon 

748
00:37:51,640 --> 00:37:54,960
aiming to have the humanoid 
robot quote hitch or ride in the

749
00:37:54,960 --> 00:37:59,440
back of Amazon's electric Rivian
vans and spring out to deliver 

750
00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:02,680
the packages. 
The report coincides with Amazon

751
00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:06,280
launching a new agentic AI team 
that's helping develop 

752
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:09,640
technologies that willpower 
robots, quote, operating in 

753
00:38:09,640 --> 00:38:12,200
Amazon distributions and 
logistic hubs. 

754
00:38:12,680 --> 00:38:15,360
In a statement to Silicon 
Valley, Amazon says that quote, 

755
00:38:15,640 --> 00:38:19,280
instead of rigid specialized 
robots, we're creating systems 

756
00:38:19,280 --> 00:38:23,200
that can hear, understand and 
act on natural language and 

757
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:26,760
commands, turning warehouse 
robots into flexible, multi 

758
00:38:26,760 --> 00:38:30,000
talented assistance. 
Now this is something that is 

759
00:38:30,000 --> 00:38:32,880
not only not surprising, but 
something that I have been 

760
00:38:32,880 --> 00:38:37,040
saying for years with Amazon. 
Amazon is the preeminent, 

761
00:38:37,120 --> 00:38:41,800
leading, biggest robotics 
company in the world by far, and

762
00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:45,840
there's not a close 2nd place. 
A lot of people talk about Tesla

763
00:38:45,840 --> 00:38:48,000
being the leading robotics 
company. 

764
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:51,000
A lot of people say that's the 
robotics, AI robot play. 

765
00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:54,480
I think it's Amazon, and I've 
held this position for a while. 

766
00:38:54,840 --> 00:38:57,520
Amazon has ample experience 
creating robots. 

767
00:38:57,720 --> 00:39:02,680
They literally have 750,000 
robots working in their 

768
00:39:02,680 --> 00:39:04,960
warehouses. 
We've seen footage of these very

769
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:09,000
specific robots, these little 
mini Waymo machines that glide 

770
00:39:09,000 --> 00:39:11,600
around the warehouse floors. 
They pick up different, 

771
00:39:12,120 --> 00:39:14,280
different shelves of products 
and they bring them to the 

772
00:39:14,280 --> 00:39:17,400
picking station. 
Now that robot was very specific

773
00:39:17,440 --> 00:39:20,560
and Amazon is broadening the 
capabilities of robots. 

774
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:24,520
Now there's ones that resemble a
bit more of a human and they say

775
00:39:24,520 --> 00:39:26,880
that they can actually feel what
they're grabbing. 

776
00:39:27,000 --> 00:39:29,720
That's how they describe it. 
They get actually sensor 

777
00:39:29,720 --> 00:39:31,360
feedback from what they're 
grabbing. 

778
00:39:31,360 --> 00:39:33,680
They can see how it feels and 
determine how much pressure 

779
00:39:33,680 --> 00:39:36,320
apply if the product slipping 
and so on. 

780
00:39:36,960 --> 00:39:39,000
To me, this looks a bit more 
humanoid. 

781
00:39:39,080 --> 00:39:41,720
And here we have news that 
Amazon is now actively trying to

782
00:39:41,720 --> 00:39:45,440
create robots specifically for 
delivering packages from Rivian 

783
00:39:45,440 --> 00:39:48,440
vans to the house. 
Now, this is an interesting 

784
00:39:48,440 --> 00:39:51,720
application of Amazon because 
right now we look at the retail 

785
00:39:51,720 --> 00:39:53,680
business as being very low 
margin. 

786
00:39:53,720 --> 00:39:55,440
That's the word repeated from 
retail. 

787
00:39:55,680 --> 00:39:58,760
Part of the reason why is it's 
expensive to deliver all those 

788
00:39:58,760 --> 00:40:02,720
items every single day, multiple
times a day to the same house. 

789
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:07,360
To hire hundreds of thousands, 
in fact around 400,000 delivery 

790
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:11,560
people to deliver those items 
from the vans to people's homes.

791
00:40:11,680 --> 00:40:15,960
If Amazon was to theoretically 
replace these workers with 

792
00:40:15,960 --> 00:40:19,240
robots that jumped out of a van 
and did the delivery themselves,

793
00:40:19,360 --> 00:40:22,960
they would no longer have to pay
around 400,000 people. 

794
00:40:23,560 --> 00:40:27,160
They could save on lunch breaks,
they could save on insurance, 

795
00:40:27,200 --> 00:40:30,960
people getting hurt, taking time
off staffing, training, 

796
00:40:31,240 --> 00:40:33,960
everything associated with 
hiring a human. 

797
00:40:34,320 --> 00:40:37,720
Humans are far more expensive 
than maintaining robots. 

798
00:40:37,960 --> 00:40:39,720
We know that through ample 
evidence. 

799
00:40:39,720 --> 00:40:43,200
Over time, this is an 
opportunity for Amazon to have 

800
00:40:43,360 --> 00:40:47,640
enormous margin expansion in 
their primary business, of which

801
00:40:47,640 --> 00:40:51,240
they are by far the largest. 
So just this little news piece, 

802
00:40:51,600 --> 00:40:54,560
the Amazon is actually testing 
this, looking at humanoid robots

803
00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:58,200
to do delivery is substantial. 
And when we're looking at this, 

804
00:40:58,200 --> 00:41:01,840
again, part of the limiting 
factor of these type of robots 

805
00:41:01,840 --> 00:41:04,520
has not been the physical 
technology. 

806
00:41:04,920 --> 00:41:07,960
The physical technology has been
very strong, very good for a 

807
00:41:07,960 --> 00:41:10,280
long time period. 
We can make the hydraulics and 

808
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:11,920
we can make the machines work 
well. 

809
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:16,240
The difficult part is the 
software, but AI is helping to 

810
00:41:16,240 --> 00:41:20,320
solve the software equation. 
Amazon can infuse the physical 

811
00:41:20,320 --> 00:41:24,200
hardware with their AI models, 
train it on how to do these 

812
00:41:24,200 --> 00:41:27,320
deliveries, how to make it from 
the van and walk up to the 

813
00:41:27,320 --> 00:41:31,160
porch, not run into anything, 
not bump into anything, have 

814
00:41:31,160 --> 00:41:34,560
lots of safety protocols in the 
process, and in doing so, raise 

815
00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:37,240
the margins of the company. 
So I think this is actually 

816
00:41:37,240 --> 00:41:39,360
potentially huge news for 
Amazon. 

817
00:41:39,640 --> 00:41:42,480
I'll be following the story. 
It's not the only reason to get 

818
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:44,400
bullish on Amazon, but I think 
it's one more. 

819
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:45,800
That's going to be it for this 
episode. 

820
00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:46,480
See you in the next.
