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Welcome back everyone. 
This is Part 2 of the Super 

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Investor portfolio update. 
If you've missed it, I would 

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recommend going back one day on 
this channel and looking at part

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one of the Super investors 
portfolio update. 

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It's where we look at a lot of 
great investors, ones that have 

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beat the market for a long 
period of time, investors that 

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manage hundreds if not billions 
of dollars in assets under 

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management and we get to see an 
inside look of what their 

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portfolios look like. 
And I think this is one of the 

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best ways to learn about 
investing because when you study

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anything, whether it's sports or
any type of event, you want to 

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learn from the best. 
And in most cases, these type of

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people are the best of what they
do, especially the ones that 

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have beaten the market for a 
long period of time. 

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So in this video we have Part 2,
a brand new slate of super 

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investors to go through and this
is a very strong slate. 

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We have Warren Buffett, the big 
man himself. 

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We're going to be seeing what 
he's been doing with his 

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portfolio. 
But then we also have a lot of 

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other great investors. 
One of them is named Dev 

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Cantasaria from Valley Forge 
Capital. 

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And Dev has quickly become one 
of, if not my favorite investor 

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to follow right now. 
I think he's phenomenally 

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intelligent. 
I think that his decisions are 

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so well grounded in reality. 
His results have been market 

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beating for a long period of 
time. 

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And so I am very excited to see 
his update on what he's doing 

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with his very concentrated 
portfolio. 

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Then we also have Bill Ackman. 
I really like looking at what 

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Bill Ackman's doing. 
He's always making some big 

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significant bets all the time. 
So we're going to be checking 

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out his portfolio. 
We have Carl Icahn. 

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This is someone that has come 
under a lot of scrutiny, a lot 

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of criticism and the Hindenburg 
report has done a lot of damage 

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to his company. 
So we'll be looking at that as 

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well. 
We have Chase Coleman. 

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Chase Coleman in my mind is very
similar to Kathy Wood, someone 

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that invests in a lot of hyper 
growth companies, ones that 

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aren't really profitable right 
now, but they might be someday. 

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His portfolio has a tremendous 
amount of volatility, but we'll 

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be looking at the positioning 
that he's doing right now. 

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Then we have Nelson Peltz, who's
an activist investor that bought

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a large stake in Disney. 
He's the one that was highly 

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critical of the Disney 
leadership. 

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He wrote a letter to them 
outlining all of this stuff 

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they're doing wrong. 
He told them to reinstate the 

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dividend to get cash flow back 
and all of this great stuff for 

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Disney. 
Well, we get to see what he's 

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been doing with his portfolio 
and his Disney position. 

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Then we have David Einhorn of 
Green Light Capital. 

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He's one that's a lot more 
cynical, a lot more 

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conservative. 
He's sometimes even bearish on 

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the market, so be looking at his
positioning. 

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We have Bill and Melinda Gates 
Foundation Trust. 

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This is a massive portfolio, $42
billion and they do not joke 

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around with this money. 
Bill Gates has a very well 

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constructed portfolio. 
So I'm excited to look at an 

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update on that. 
We have Daniel Loeb of Third 

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Point. 
He's a really smart investor, an

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actives investor that has a lot 
of different companies. 

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He's usually trading around a 
lot and he manages around $6 

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billion. 
And then finally we have 

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Christopher Bloomstrand, who I 
think has a comprehensive 

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understanding of Berkshire 
Hathaway. 

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He has a very good understanding
of insurance companies and I 

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think overall he's a great 
analysts when it comes to 

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indepth company analysis. 
So we'll be looking at what 

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Christopher Bloomstrand is doing
as well. 

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So we have a very strong slate 
of investors to look at. 

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Obviously a lot to dive into in 
this episode. 

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So grab yourself a drink, get 
settled. 

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Let's go ahead and get started 
now. 

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We'll kick things off by 
starting with Warren Buffett, 

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the big man himself, who I 
consider to be the king of 

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investing the best investor to 
ever live by a pretty 

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significant margin. 
Now, a lot of people focus on 

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investors that have compounded 
for a shorter duration of time, 

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but at a higher speed than 
Warren Buffett. 

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And although that's very 
impressive, I think the real 

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skill set of Warren Buffett 
that's highly underrated is not 

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only his incredible gains over a
long period of time, but the 

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fact that he did so 
meticulously, without taking any

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type of significant risk that 
could ever destroy his fund, his

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company, and hurt his 
shareholders in the long term. 

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He never overextended his bets. 
He never went too far with risk,

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and that's so underrated. 
It's so difficult for investors 

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to do that. 
The history of investors that 

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once had good returns but then 
they overextended risk. 

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That's a long list. 
We have Tiger Global going down 

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70% in one year, destroying 
enormous amounts of value, 10 

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years plus of value destroyed in
a single year. 

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We have the same thing with 
Kathy Wood and Ark Innovation 

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dropping 75% / a two year 
period. 

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That is value destruction that 
Warren Buffett never had to go 

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through. 
So not only does he have good 

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returns, but he had good returns
sustainably without taking 

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enormous amounts of risk for 40 
plus years. 

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And that record is it's 
unbeaten, it's the best record 

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in the market today. 
So Warren Buffett I believe sits

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there with the throne. 
I think he's the best value 

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investor and overall just the 
best investor to ever live. 

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And I think it's going to be 
very difficult for someone to 

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beat that record. 
Now let's go ahead and take a 

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look at his portfolio today. 
One thing about Buffett is 

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although he doesn't overextend 
risk, he's also not afraid of 

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concentration. 
And he said repeatedly that if 

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you know what you're doing, then
concentration is not a risky 

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endeavor. 
Concentration is really only 

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risky if you're not sure of what
you're doing. 

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The risk comes in with 
ignorance. 

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So Buffett has an astounding 51%
of his public portfolio in 

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Apple. 
Now, I do have to give a little 

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bit of a context here. 
This is Buffett's public 

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portfolio, the tradable 
portfolio on the market. 

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Berkshire owns an enormous 
amount, like 90 plus businesses 

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that they wholly own, meaning 
they're not publicly traded. 

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That's not part of this 51%. 
So if you put Apple in context 

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of the entire Berkshire 
conglomerate, the entire empire 

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that he started, it's a smaller 
portion. 

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It make up much less than 50%. 
Then if you put it with the cash

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balance, it's even smaller. 
So I would not go to the extent 

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of believing that Buffett would 
put 51% of his total assets into

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Apple. 
That's not what he's done right 

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now, but this is still a very 
significant bet in one company. 

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Now let's go ahead and take a 
look at the activity and see 

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what he's been up to in the past
quarter. 

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We can filter by the percent 
changes here and we can see that

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not that much change. 
If you added up these total 

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percentages of what they 
actually traded in the quarter, 

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what is this like 2%, maybe 
upwards of 2 1/2%, not a lot of 

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trading for a three month 
period. 

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And one of the trades was them 
basically taking the gains from 

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a merger arbitrage play. 
Microsoft was buying Activision 

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Blizzard. 
Buffett has a long history of 

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doing arbitrage and what he did 
was buy a bit of Activision 

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because he thought the deal 
would go through. 

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It looks like the deal went 
through, Activision stock is 

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going up and he sold at what I 
assumed to be a decent profit. 

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So that was a good trade by 
Buffett. 

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Then we have Chevron Corp, He 
sold a little bit of that .42% 

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of the portfolio. 
Mckenzen Corp, they sold 100% of

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that, That's .25% of the 
portfolio. 

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Then they bought a little bit of
Dr. Horton and Occidental 

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Petroleum added to the energy 
companies Buffett loves having 

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his big energy empire. 
Buffett notably did not sell a 

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single share of Apple, even 
after the rising price of Apple.

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Apple's up something like 45% 
year to date, and he didn't take

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any gains in the company. 
A lot of people believe that 

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Apple right now is overvalued 
because it's not growing. 

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Apple's a slow growing company. 
Last quarter it didn't really 

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grow its earnings per share all 
that much and it didn't grow 

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revenue all that much. 
So a lot of people are saying 

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it's foolish to own Apple. 
It trades at a high P/E and it's

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super slow growing. 
I want to address this claim of 

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the slow growing Apple. 
So let's go ahead and take a 

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look at Apple. 
Here using Qual Trim insights is

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the page that we're going to be 
looking at, which is a stock 

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analysis tool that I developed. 
It's part of the Patreon 

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membership. 
Let's bring up Apple here and 

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we'll look at how slow growing 
Apple is. 

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We can look at it annually and 
look at a bigger timeline. 

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Here's the slow growing Apple. 
The revenue for Apple has grown 

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at 19% over the past two years, 
and over the past five years the

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revenue has grown at a compound 
annual growth rate of 11.46%. 

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That's much faster than the S&P 
500 as a whole. 

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So the revenue is not growing 
slowly. 

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Another thing that I'd mention 
is that this is entirely organic

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growth, meaning the Apple didn't
do any big acquisitions that 

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added on revenue. 
This growth is just from selling

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more products, increasing prices
and having more services. 

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Completely organic, almost 12% 
growth over the past five years.

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Let's go ahead and take a look 
at the not growing apple when it

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comes to earnings per share. 
The earnings per share over the 

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past five years have grown at 
21.58% on a compound annual 

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growth rate. 
Look at the substantial leap in 

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the earnings per share. 
Even last year when it slowed 

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down after the massive year from
2020 to 2021, they still manage 

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growth of almost 9%. 
We can look at the not growing 

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apples free cash flow. 
The free cash flow grew at 17% 

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over the past five years. 
That's a pretty substantial free

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cash flow growth for a company 
that's supposed to not be 

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growing. 
And keep in mind the average 

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growth rate of the S&P 500 with 
free cash flow per share is 

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around 8% per year. 
That's what the average of the 

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S&P 500 is. 
Over the past five years, Apple 

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grew their free cash flow per 
share at 23 percent, 23% versus 

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the S&P 5 hundreds, 8%. 
This is the not growing Apple. 

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The reason that people have said
that it's not growing is because

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of the slowdown in the previous 
quarter. 

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But when you zoom out just ever 
so slightly past one year, you 

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see the longer term trends of 
Apple and the company has had a 

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very strong growth history. 
My assumption is that Apple will

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continue to outperform the 
majority of other companies in 

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the market and I believe it will
continue to outperform the 

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market at large. 
That's part of the reason that I

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remain invested in the company 
and I believe that that 

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Berkshire is going to do really 
well with this being a key 

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holding. 
So I think it makes sense for 

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Buffett to continue holding this
company when it has such a 

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substantial mode, a grasp on so 
many consumers and it has over 2

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billion installed devices as of 
last quarter. 

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The amount of pricing power that
Apple has, the levers they can 

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pull are virtually endless at 
this point. 

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So trading at what it does right
now, A25, 4PE, I do not believe 

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it's too expensive for this 
company and I was not surprised 

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at all to see Buffett hold on to
this one. 

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And as we go through the 
portfolio, it looks mostly the 

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same. 
And this is typically what good 

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investors do. 
They buy good enough companies 

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that they don't have urgency to 
sell them quarter by quarter. 

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So in most cases when we're 
looking at big portfolios of 

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good investors, a lot of them 
like to hold on to their key 

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holdings for a multiyear basis. 
Now Next up we have an investor 

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that's a little bit lesser 
known, but my goal is to make 

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him more known because I think 
that he needs to be known. 

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His name is Dev Cantasaria of 
Valley Forge Capital Management.

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Now if I had a tear ranking, in 
fact I plan on doing a tear 

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ranking list of super investors 
in the future. 

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But spoiler alert, Dev is going 
to be at the very top of that 

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list He is asked here. 
He's right there with the top 

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elite investors and I believe 
that he deserves to be there. 

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His investing acumen I think is 
incredible. 

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I think that he does deeper 
dives on companies and 

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understands them as fundamentals
and the future growth of the 

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company far more extensively 
than most investors. 

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One of the most impressive 
pieces of research was the 

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00:11:52,190 --> 00:11:54,430
business breakdown he did on 
FICO. 

228
00:11:54,590 --> 00:11:57,310
I've never seen a business 
breakdown like that before. 

229
00:11:57,620 --> 00:11:59,900
His understanding and 
comprehensive knowledge of 

230
00:11:59,900 --> 00:12:03,260
companies and doing analysis on 
them I think is second to none. 

231
00:12:03,340 --> 00:12:06,020
His portfolio is highly 
concentrated in the companies 

232
00:12:06,020 --> 00:12:07,860
that I think are the top of the 
list. 

233
00:12:07,860 --> 00:12:10,700
I think these companies are the 
best of the best and I like 

234
00:12:10,700 --> 00:12:13,220
seeing his trades because we 
share a lot of the same 

235
00:12:13,220 --> 00:12:14,940
holdings. 
So let's go ahead and take a 

236
00:12:14,940 --> 00:12:17,260
look at what Dev has been up to 
recently. 

237
00:12:17,380 --> 00:12:19,700
Now consider this. 
The number of stocks that Dev 

238
00:12:19,700 --> 00:12:24,740
holds is 8-8 different positions
for a portfolio that's nearly $3

239
00:12:24,820 --> 00:12:28,130
billion. 
I hear investors saying they 

240
00:12:28,130 --> 00:12:31,610
feel a little uneasy with their 
$50,000 that they have invested,

241
00:12:31,810 --> 00:12:35,570
only investing in 15 companies. 
Deb here has eight different 

242
00:12:35,570 --> 00:12:38,290
positions, and he's managing $3 
billion. 

243
00:12:38,530 --> 00:12:40,850
That is an immense amount of 
concentration. 

244
00:12:41,370 --> 00:12:44,570
But again, he agrees heavily 
with Warren Buffett. 

245
00:12:44,970 --> 00:12:47,450
Deb's favorite investor is 
Warren Buffett. 

246
00:12:47,690 --> 00:12:51,050
And Buffett says that 
concentration is not risky if 

247
00:12:51,050 --> 00:12:53,050
you know what you're doing. 
It is risky. 

248
00:12:53,050 --> 00:12:57,070
To the investor that is buying 
things based off of unknowns and

249
00:12:57,070 --> 00:12:58,310
things that they haven't 
studied. 

250
00:12:58,710 --> 00:13:02,870
So Dev has a very good knowledge
of every position that he holds 

251
00:13:03,270 --> 00:13:05,630
and he concentrates in the 
companies that have a reduced 

252
00:13:05,630 --> 00:13:08,230
amount of operational risk. 
If we look at his holdings 

253
00:13:08,230 --> 00:13:13,990
today, the top one right now is 
FICO and this company, it has 

254
00:13:13,990 --> 00:13:16,350
something special. 
I've been following this company

255
00:13:16,350 --> 00:13:19,430
for over a year now and every 
time I look at investing in 

256
00:13:19,430 --> 00:13:22,600
FICO, I think I'm going to wait 
around for a dip in this 

257
00:13:22,600 --> 00:13:24,200
company. 
I'm going to wait around for it 

258
00:13:24,200 --> 00:13:27,480
to to just trade down a little 
bit and this is what the price 

259
00:13:27,480 --> 00:13:30,400
chart looks like. 
Can you spot the dip on this 

260
00:13:30,400 --> 00:13:34,240
company? 
It's up 47% year to date, then 

261
00:13:34,240 --> 00:13:36,840
we go past one year and it's up 
73%. 

262
00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:39,800
We go past five years and it's 
up 303%. 

263
00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:43,400
There's not many time periods 
where it seems like it's okay to

264
00:13:43,400 --> 00:13:46,640
buy this company because the 
valuation always trades a little

265
00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:49,600
bit lofty. 
But FICO has everything that Dev

266
00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:52,880
looks for in a company. 
Strong organic revenue growth, 

267
00:13:52,880 --> 00:13:56,840
strong organic free cash flow 
growth, strong organic earnings 

268
00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:59,760
per share growth. 
And they do this while having a 

269
00:13:59,800 --> 00:14:04,000
very desirable monopolistic 
position in the credit rating of

270
00:14:04,000 --> 00:14:07,280
individuals. 
FICO in many ways is the S&P 

271
00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:10,600
Global and the Moody's of the 
individual. 

272
00:14:10,720 --> 00:14:13,320
Dev loves these rating 
businesses where you rate the 

273
00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:15,960
creditworthiness of a business 
or an individual. 

274
00:14:16,440 --> 00:14:20,200
So he has a huge investment in 
the S&P Global, a huge 

275
00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:23,560
investment in the Moody's, and a
huge investment in the FICO. 

276
00:14:23,880 --> 00:14:26,640
Each one of these are 
creditworthiness rating 

277
00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:29,120
businesses. 
FICO does it for individuals 

278
00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:32,080
with your FICO score. 
Anytime you get a mortgage loan 

279
00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:35,520
or you get a auto loan, they're 
going to run your FICO score. 

280
00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:39,760
FICO makes 95% profits when they
run that score. 

281
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:43,720
So even though it's like $0.80 
or a dollar, almost all of that 

282
00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:47,800
is pure profit for FICO. 
SP Global makes money anytime 

283
00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:50,680
they do ratings for major 
business, any of the debt they 

284
00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:54,880
issue and Moody's does the same.
So he has really concentrated 

285
00:14:54,880 --> 00:14:58,560
his portfolio into all these 
different rating companies and 

286
00:14:58,560 --> 00:15:01,280
the ones that are growing in 
volume and pricing power. 

287
00:15:01,520 --> 00:15:03,800
We look at the next group of 
companies that he's concentrated

288
00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:06,120
in, which is the duopoly of 
MasterCard and Visa. 

289
00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,640
Now MasterCard and Visa are not 
a duopoly on all payments. 

290
00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:11,240
There's lots of different forms 
of payments. 

291
00:15:11,240 --> 00:15:15,760
You can do a Ch transfers, you 
can do Venmo and PayPal, and 

292
00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:17,720
there's lots of ways to move 
money around. 

293
00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:21,360
But MasterCard and Visa have a 
very favorable desirable spot 

294
00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:25,160
and what most people have regard
for as the safest payment form, 

295
00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:29,640
which is swiping a credit card, 
having that payment insured and 

296
00:15:29,640 --> 00:15:32,400
ran by MasterCard or Visa 
through their strong network 

297
00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:35,880
with all of their protections. 
You know that your payment can 

298
00:15:35,880 --> 00:15:37,800
be disputed if there's anything 
wrong. 

299
00:15:38,120 --> 00:15:40,880
And that security makes it so 
that they have a very strong 

300
00:15:40,880 --> 00:15:44,860
Moat in their business. 
So MasterCard and Visa combined 

301
00:15:45,180 --> 00:15:48,020
make up around 29% of the 
portfolio. 

302
00:15:48,460 --> 00:15:53,060
Moody's, S&P Global and FICO 
combined make up 60% of the 

303
00:15:53,060 --> 00:15:55,140
portfolio. 
So between those two groups of 

304
00:15:55,140 --> 00:15:57,740
companies, you have the huge 
majority of his portfolio. 

305
00:15:57,980 --> 00:16:01,060
It's comprised by the credit 
rating businesses and the 

306
00:16:01,060 --> 00:16:03,740
payment processors. 
Every one of these companies has

307
00:16:03,740 --> 00:16:07,460
desirable operating trades. 
They have low amounts of CapEx, 

308
00:16:07,460 --> 00:16:09,780
low amounts of research and 
development, low amounts of 

309
00:16:09,780 --> 00:16:11,460
stock based compensation 
expense. 

310
00:16:11,930 --> 00:16:14,370
They are tollbooth companies. 
They have incredibly good 

311
00:16:14,370 --> 00:16:16,450
network effects. 
They're incredibly difficult to 

312
00:16:16,450 --> 00:16:20,010
compete with and they sit on 
these busy roads running this 

313
00:16:20,010 --> 00:16:23,810
tollbooth between all the credit
markets and between all the 

314
00:16:23,810 --> 00:16:27,570
payment processing market. 
So these companies have very 

315
00:16:27,570 --> 00:16:31,730
desirable positions and great 
economics wide motes and they 

316
00:16:31,730 --> 00:16:35,250
attract investors that seek 
quality investments which is 

317
00:16:35,250 --> 00:16:38,210
what DEV does. 
Now another company that I own 

318
00:16:38,250 --> 00:16:44,300
that DEV has as well is into it.
He has this as a 7% position and

319
00:16:44,300 --> 00:16:47,580
I believe that Intuit is highly 
underrated from retail 

320
00:16:47,580 --> 00:16:50,020
investors. 
Most retail investors I think 

321
00:16:50,020 --> 00:16:53,460
don't like Intuit because of 
negative association into it's 

322
00:16:53,460 --> 00:16:56,140
the TurboTax company and I hate 
taxes. 

323
00:16:56,140 --> 00:16:58,860
I don't like TurboTax, I don't 
like dealing with it because of 

324
00:16:58,860 --> 00:17:01,220
that negative association. 
I don't like into it. 

325
00:17:01,260 --> 00:17:03,660
Into it is QuickBooks the 
accounting software. 

326
00:17:04,180 --> 00:17:07,500
Nobody really loves accounting. 
Accounting software is not 

327
00:17:07,500 --> 00:17:10,480
exciting, and the only people 
that really have much to say 

328
00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:13,520
about quick books are the people
complaining about the different 

329
00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:16,720
problems they have with it. 
So the problem with Intuit, I 

330
00:17:16,720 --> 00:17:19,760
believe, is many investors look 
at this and they look at the 

331
00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:21,880
products. 
They're not exciting, they're 

332
00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:24,680
not sexy. 
They turn investors off from the

333
00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:28,160
company when really what you 
have is a dominant company in 

334
00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:31,160
the market with the franchise of
products that have incredibly 

335
00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:34,700
long runways of growth and into 
its free cash flow per share 

336
00:17:34,700 --> 00:17:37,980
growth has been astounding. 
So I think that into it is 

337
00:17:37,980 --> 00:17:39,820
underrated. 
I don't think it will ever be a 

338
00:17:39,820 --> 00:17:43,140
very popular stock online, but 
it's one that I feel very 

339
00:17:43,140 --> 00:17:45,620
comfortable holding right now. 
Now I can filter by the biggest 

340
00:17:45,620 --> 00:17:49,460
changes to his portfolio in Q2. 
The first one here is he sold 

341
00:17:49,460 --> 00:17:53,140
entirely out of Adobe. 
This was a 3.6% position. 

342
00:17:53,460 --> 00:17:57,460
So it was a meaningful position 
as portfolio and Adobe does fit 

343
00:17:57,460 --> 00:18:00,840
a lot of the characteristics 
that Dev looks at, organic 

344
00:18:00,840 --> 00:18:04,280
growth, pricing power, very 
efficiently made products. 

345
00:18:04,640 --> 00:18:08,040
But I believe there is one thing
Adobe did to probably make him 

346
00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:11,640
sell out of it and I believe 
that was the Figma acquisition. 

347
00:18:12,000 --> 00:18:15,160
Adobe paid a lot to buy a 
company called Figma. 

348
00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:18,400
It's around four years worth of 
free cash flows to pay for it. 

349
00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:23,080
And I know that investors like 
Dev do not like these type of 

350
00:18:23,080 --> 00:18:25,720
defensive acquisitions. 
If they're going to buy a 

351
00:18:25,720 --> 00:18:28,840
company and they're going to do 
an acquisition, they want it to 

352
00:18:28,840 --> 00:18:31,240
be an offensive acquisition, 
something that they're doing 

353
00:18:31,240 --> 00:18:33,240
because they want to grow the 
company, but they don't 

354
00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:37,360
necessarily have to be doing. 
Adobe felt pressured into buying

355
00:18:37,360 --> 00:18:41,360
Figma as defense to protect 
their Moat from a potential 

356
00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:43,680
invader. 
That is a very defensive 

357
00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:45,840
acquisition. 
And I think that Dev looked at 

358
00:18:45,840 --> 00:18:49,960
that very negatively. 
The next big change that Dev did

359
00:18:50,320 --> 00:18:55,380
was he really bumped up his S&P 
Global Stake, adding another 18%

360
00:18:55,380 --> 00:18:59,100
to it, which is 3.57% of his 
total portfolio. 

361
00:18:59,380 --> 00:19:02,100
So S&P Global is already a 
second largest holding. 

362
00:19:02,460 --> 00:19:05,820
He's up on this company hundreds
and hundreds of percentages, but

363
00:19:05,820 --> 00:19:09,220
he added another 18%. 
And I think this is a great 

364
00:19:09,220 --> 00:19:11,460
lesson and avoiding anchoring 
bias. 

365
00:19:11,860 --> 00:19:15,140
Even though Deb is up 
substantially in S&P Global and 

366
00:19:15,140 --> 00:19:18,180
he's owned the company for 
around 10 years, he's still 

367
00:19:18,180 --> 00:19:19,830
buying more. 
He doesn't care. 

368
00:19:19,830 --> 00:19:22,190
He still thinks it's a good 
value, so he doesn't have the 

369
00:19:22,190 --> 00:19:24,470
price anchored to his previous 
buy in price. 

370
00:19:24,750 --> 00:19:27,830
Now another company that he sold
completely out of is Autodesk. 

371
00:19:28,150 --> 00:19:29,910
I'm not as familiar on this 
company. 

372
00:19:29,910 --> 00:19:33,190
I know that it's basically 
ubiquitous with many careers 

373
00:19:33,510 --> 00:19:36,030
unavoidable. 
In my opinion, it feels a little

374
00:19:36,030 --> 00:19:38,950
bit familiar. 
Or similar to Adobe. 

375
00:19:39,350 --> 00:19:42,390
They both are required for 
certain types of careers, but it

376
00:19:42,390 --> 00:19:45,350
looks like he dumped that one as
well, sold his entire position. 

377
00:19:45,630 --> 00:19:48,310
Now the next one is a new entry 
to his portfolio. 

378
00:19:48,390 --> 00:19:51,430
He bought a new position which I
know this one is going to make 

379
00:19:51,430 --> 00:19:54,270
many retail investors happy 
because a lot of people are 

380
00:19:54,270 --> 00:19:58,350
already in this company, which 
is a SML, the semiconductor 

381
00:19:58,350 --> 00:20:00,470
company. 
Now I've heard about this one 

382
00:20:00,470 --> 00:20:03,430
for a long period of time, 
people have told me, Joseph, you

383
00:20:03,430 --> 00:20:05,310
need to add a SML to your 
portfolio. 

384
00:20:05,310 --> 00:20:08,030
It's the perfect fit, it's 
monopolistic, it has pricing 

385
00:20:08,030 --> 00:20:10,830
power, it sits at the very top 
of the food chain. 

386
00:20:11,030 --> 00:20:14,390
It has all the structural power 
and position in the market. 

387
00:20:14,960 --> 00:20:18,440
And so far I haven't, I haven't 
been close enough to buying this

388
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:21,600
company, but the fact that Dev 
can't Assaria added this one to 

389
00:20:21,600 --> 00:20:24,960
the portfolio, I think is a big 
validating factor that this one 

390
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:27,920
must have passed all of his 
screeners, all of his research 

391
00:20:27,960 --> 00:20:30,480
to be added even as a small 
position. 

392
00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,200
So right now this one is a very 
small position compared to his 

393
00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:37,240
other ones, but I think it's 
very positive and meaningful 

394
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:39,120
that this one was added to the 
portfolio. 

395
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:42,320
Another one that he added to was
a ZPN. 

396
00:20:42,640 --> 00:20:45,970
This was an existing holding, 
but he added slightly to it, 

397
00:20:45,970 --> 00:20:49,890
just .68% of the portfolio. 
So it's still a very small 

398
00:20:49,890 --> 00:20:52,890
position. 
I think overall this portfolio 

399
00:20:52,930 --> 00:20:55,490
is strong. 
I think it's 10 out of 10 now. 

400
00:20:55,490 --> 00:20:58,210
Next up we have Bill Ackman. 
He's another super investor that

401
00:20:58,210 --> 00:21:01,450
runs a very concentrated 
portfolio, only holding 8 

402
00:21:01,450 --> 00:21:05,930
positions and he has a $10 
billion assets under management.

403
00:21:06,330 --> 00:21:09,130
So this is a lot of money into a
small amount of positions. 

404
00:21:09,470 --> 00:21:12,510
Now, one thing I'll mention is 
that this shows his US holdings 

405
00:21:12,710 --> 00:21:15,110
and he does have some 
international holdings as well, 

406
00:21:15,350 --> 00:21:18,150
like a Universal Music Group. 
So this doesn't represent his 

407
00:21:18,150 --> 00:21:21,070
entire portfolio, but this is 
the majority of it. 

408
00:21:21,510 --> 00:21:23,670
Now when you look at what Bill 
Ackman has been doing over the 

409
00:21:23,670 --> 00:21:25,990
past quarter, we can see the 
changes right here. 

410
00:21:26,310 --> 00:21:29,470
The biggest one is a reduction 
in Lowe's. 

411
00:21:29,550 --> 00:21:32,950
Now Lowe's has been a holding 
that he's held for over 10 years

412
00:21:32,950 --> 00:21:34,470
now. 
It's a company that he's been 

413
00:21:34,470 --> 00:21:37,470
very bullish on for a long 
period of time and his thesis 

414
00:21:37,470 --> 00:21:40,480
has played out. 
Lowe's has beat Home Depot over 

415
00:21:40,480 --> 00:21:42,640
the past decade in total 
returns. 

416
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:44,760
So he's done really well on this
company. 

417
00:21:44,760 --> 00:21:46,560
It's been an outperformer of the
market. 

418
00:21:47,000 --> 00:21:51,040
But what we're seeing now is a 
lot of weakness in new home 

419
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:53,320
projects. 
Home Depot just reported their 

420
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:57,160
earnings report and Lowe's and 
they both say that people are 

421
00:21:57,160 --> 00:22:00,680
starting to cut back a little 
bit on home renovations and 

422
00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:02,640
backyard projects and different 
things like that. 

423
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:05,160
A lot of them say that it's 
higher interest rates impacting 

424
00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:06,990
that. 
So these companies have been 

425
00:22:06,990 --> 00:22:09,390
going through a little bit 
tougher of a time this year. 

426
00:22:09,790 --> 00:22:13,070
So it doesn't surprise me to see
him pull back on Lowe's a bit. 

427
00:22:13,390 --> 00:22:18,670
This was a 25% reduction, which 
is 5.36% of the portfolio. 

428
00:22:18,990 --> 00:22:22,190
He also reduced Chipotle ever so
slightly. 

429
00:22:22,630 --> 00:22:25,750
Now, I don't know exactly when 
he sold this position, when it 

430
00:22:25,750 --> 00:22:29,750
was above $2000 per share or 
around $1900 per share. 

431
00:22:30,070 --> 00:22:35,230
He reduced it ever so slightly, 
7%, which is 1.49% of the 

432
00:22:35,230 --> 00:22:39,310
portfolio. 
After that, he has Alphabet as a

433
00:22:39,310 --> 00:22:41,910
major holding. 
He increased the position size 

434
00:22:41,910 --> 00:22:44,990
by 1.46. 
Now after that, the trades are 

435
00:22:44,990 --> 00:22:47,070
so small that I don't think 
they're meaningful. 

436
00:22:47,350 --> 00:22:50,310
Now we look overall at his US 
portfolio, we have as his 

437
00:22:50,310 --> 00:22:53,790
largest position Chipotle. 
And this is a company that I've 

438
00:22:53,790 --> 00:22:57,070
recently been buying in a small 
stake in because I believe 

439
00:22:57,070 --> 00:22:58,910
Chipotle is a really great 
company. 

440
00:22:58,910 --> 00:23:02,150
Looking at the fundamentals, the
unit economics, the growth plans

441
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:06,320
and overall how much cash flow 
this company generates quarter 

442
00:23:06,320 --> 00:23:08,800
after quarter. 
I think it's a highly scalable 

443
00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:10,880
company, has great operating 
leverage. 

444
00:23:11,120 --> 00:23:14,360
It has a very long runway of 
growth and I think the story is 

445
00:23:14,360 --> 00:23:17,640
still on for Chipotle. 
I assume a lot of future growth 

446
00:23:17,640 --> 00:23:19,640
in the company over a long 
period of time. 

447
00:23:20,120 --> 00:23:22,900
I think there could be some 
weakness in the upcoming 

448
00:23:22,900 --> 00:23:26,900
quarters going into 2024 with 
the slowdown of the economy. 

449
00:23:26,980 --> 00:23:29,100
But if you're looking at a 
longer timetable, that's usually

450
00:23:29,100 --> 00:23:31,460
not a huge concern. 
And then his second largest 

451
00:23:31,460 --> 00:23:34,060
holding is Restaurant Brands 
International, which is the 

452
00:23:34,060 --> 00:23:36,900
parent company of Burger King 
and Tim horton's and a number of

453
00:23:36,900 --> 00:23:39,860
other brands. 
So he really has a concentration

454
00:23:40,140 --> 00:23:42,460
into the quick service 
restaurant category. 

455
00:23:42,900 --> 00:23:45,660
And he previously made a lot of 
money in Starbucks. 

456
00:23:45,660 --> 00:23:48,780
So that was another restaurant 
company that he did really well 

457
00:23:48,780 --> 00:23:51,300
in. 
Bill Ackman is really good with 

458
00:23:51,300 --> 00:23:53,660
restaurants. 
He has a very high success rate 

459
00:23:53,660 --> 00:23:55,780
with them. 
Almost every restaurant that he 

460
00:23:55,780 --> 00:23:59,020
invests in is not only a money 
maker, but it's one where he 

461
00:23:59,020 --> 00:24:00,980
typically beats the S&P 500 
with. 

462
00:24:01,500 --> 00:24:02,780
So these companies have been 
great. 

463
00:24:02,780 --> 00:24:05,900
Overall, in my opinion, I think 
that Chipotle is a much better 

464
00:24:05,900 --> 00:24:09,340
brand quality than Burger King. 
I like the positioning a lot 

465
00:24:09,340 --> 00:24:12,670
more, but regardless, he has a 
high concentration into these 

466
00:24:12,670 --> 00:24:14,150
quick service restaurant 
companies. 

467
00:24:14,190 --> 00:24:17,910
Then in 3rd place, we have 
Lowe's, The reduction of 25% 

468
00:24:18,110 --> 00:24:21,030
takes the position of the 
portfolio down to 15%. 

469
00:24:21,470 --> 00:24:23,870
After that, we have Hilton 
Worldwide, which I think is 

470
00:24:23,870 --> 00:24:28,310
another great company, very good
economics, very good brand value

471
00:24:28,310 --> 00:24:30,230
and it's kind of a licensing 
company. 

472
00:24:30,470 --> 00:24:32,190
So that one seems like a really 
strong one. 

473
00:24:32,190 --> 00:24:35,230
In his portfolio, we have the 
Howard Hughes holding. 

474
00:24:35,780 --> 00:24:38,940
This is 1 where he has a lot of 
special deals and things that he

475
00:24:38,940 --> 00:24:42,300
can do by the size of his fund 
that retail investors can't 

476
00:24:42,300 --> 00:24:44,620
mimic. 
But Howard Hughes Corporation is

477
00:24:44,620 --> 00:24:47,260
always a significant position in
his portfolio. 

478
00:24:47,740 --> 00:24:51,020
Then we get to Canadian Pacific.
He's owned this one previously 

479
00:24:51,220 --> 00:24:54,260
and he bought it again. 
It's now an 11% position. 

480
00:24:54,620 --> 00:24:57,260
He's very bullish on the 
acquisition they did, the big 

481
00:24:57,260 --> 00:24:59,540
merger and the leadership of the
company. 

482
00:24:59,780 --> 00:25:02,340
He believes it will generate 
growing free cash flows and I 

483
00:25:02,340 --> 00:25:03,900
agree with him on that 
assessment. 

484
00:25:04,400 --> 00:25:07,240
And then after that, we have the
combined Google and Google, the 

485
00:25:07,240 --> 00:25:10,120
different types of shares. 
That's a combined 12%. 

486
00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:14,960
So Google Now is actually around
his fourth largest US position, 

487
00:25:15,280 --> 00:25:18,360
very meaningful position. 
And of course, I think Google's 

488
00:25:18,360 --> 00:25:20,360
a great buy right here. 
So I think that Bill Ackman is 

489
00:25:20,360 --> 00:25:24,120
taking a very conservative but 
good bet with Google right now. 

490
00:25:24,280 --> 00:25:26,720
Overall, I really like Bill 
Ackman's portfolio. 

491
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:29,920
It's concentrated into a group 
of great companies that I think 

492
00:25:29,960 --> 00:25:33,080
overall have low downside risk. 
They generate growing free cash 

493
00:25:33,080 --> 00:25:34,790
flows. 
They have very strong business 

494
00:25:34,790 --> 00:25:37,110
models. 
So I can see why he would want 

495
00:25:37,110 --> 00:25:39,550
to own each of these companies 
and many of them. 

496
00:25:39,550 --> 00:25:43,230
He's had stellar returns in 
which Chipotle, for example, 

497
00:25:43,230 --> 00:25:45,350
he's up over 5X on this 
position. 

498
00:25:45,750 --> 00:25:47,470
So I think that he's doing a 
great job. 

499
00:25:47,630 --> 00:25:50,150
I think that he's likely going 
to have market beating returns. 

500
00:25:50,230 --> 00:25:52,670
Now Next up, we have some 
controversy with an investor 

501
00:25:52,670 --> 00:25:55,590
that I both love and hate called
Carl Icahn. 

502
00:25:56,110 --> 00:25:59,430
Now Carl Icahn and Bill Ackman, 
who he just went over. 

503
00:25:59,870 --> 00:26:02,710
They're not buddies, they're not
friends, and they've had some 

504
00:26:03,140 --> 00:26:06,660
incredibly explosive drama on 
CNBC in the past. 

505
00:26:06,660 --> 00:26:08,860
If you haven't seen that, you'll
just have to look up the old 

506
00:26:08,860 --> 00:26:10,820
clips. 
But they've had calls and 

507
00:26:10,820 --> 00:26:12,860
different things where they bet 
against each other. 

508
00:26:13,180 --> 00:26:16,780
Carl Icahn short squeezed Bill 
Ackman's investment into 

509
00:26:16,780 --> 00:26:19,220
Herbalife, and it's a whole long
story. 

510
00:26:19,220 --> 00:26:24,060
But recently, after all of that 
drama of Carl Icahn sticking it 

511
00:26:24,060 --> 00:26:28,420
to Bill Ackman, Bill Ackman is 
having the last laugh because a 

512
00:26:28,420 --> 00:26:31,220
research company called 
Hindenburg Research, which is a 

513
00:26:31,220 --> 00:26:36,000
short seller, did this extensive
research on Icon Enterprises, 

514
00:26:36,360 --> 00:26:39,440
the corporate Raider throwing 
stones from his own glass house.

515
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:43,520
The claims that he makes in this
research analysis are extremely 

516
00:26:43,520 --> 00:26:46,200
damning. 
Icon Enterprises is an $18 

517
00:26:46,200 --> 00:26:49,280
billion market cap holding 
company run by a corporate 

518
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,760
Raider and an activist investor,
Carl Icahn, who along with his 

519
00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:56,000
son Brett on approximately 85% 
of the company. 

520
00:26:56,400 --> 00:26:59,920
Our research has found that I 
EP, which is a ticker symbol of 

521
00:26:59,920 --> 00:27:05,630
IT units, are inflated by 75% 
plus due to three key reasons. 

522
00:27:05,910 --> 00:27:11,070
I EP trades at a 218% premium to
its last reported net asset 

523
00:27:11,070 --> 00:27:14,150
value, vastly higher than all 
comparables. 

524
00:27:14,350 --> 00:27:17,390
We've undercovered clear 
evidence of inflated valuation 

525
00:27:17,390 --> 00:27:20,710
marks for I EP's less liquid and
private assets. 

526
00:27:21,110 --> 00:27:24,070
And then three, the company has 
suffered additional performance 

527
00:27:24,070 --> 00:27:27,150
losses this year to date 
following its last disclosure. 

528
00:27:27,790 --> 00:27:31,370
That's just the premise of it. 
This research by Hindenburg is 

529
00:27:31,370 --> 00:27:33,450
so extensive. 
Just look at the bullet points. 

530
00:27:33,650 --> 00:27:37,090
This is the summary of the 
research and it goes on for 

531
00:27:37,090 --> 00:27:41,250
dozens of dozens of pages of 
damning evidence about what 

532
00:27:41,250 --> 00:27:43,410
they've been doing, the way that
they've been conducting their 

533
00:27:43,410 --> 00:27:46,570
business, the valuation of it, 
and so on and so forth. 

534
00:27:46,770 --> 00:27:50,250
If we look up IEP and the stock 
price performance, we can see 

535
00:27:50,250 --> 00:27:52,890
that they've ran into some 
trouble after this report. 

536
00:27:53,130 --> 00:27:57,850
It went from $50 per share down 
to $30 per share, then from $30 

537
00:27:57,850 --> 00:28:01,350
per share all the way down to 
$23 per share. 

538
00:28:01,390 --> 00:28:05,630
So year to date, his company has
lost 54% of its value. 

539
00:28:05,950 --> 00:28:09,750
That is damaging, damaging when 
you make a lot of money by 

540
00:28:09,750 --> 00:28:12,190
diluting shareholders and 
selling off those shares. 

541
00:28:12,190 --> 00:28:15,550
At Inflated Values, we can see 
the massive amount of shares 

542
00:28:15,550 --> 00:28:18,830
outstanding increase, the 
massive amount of dilution the 

543
00:28:18,830 --> 00:28:21,790
IEP was doing. 
So the fact that the share price

544
00:28:21,790 --> 00:28:25,050
is down 50% means that when they
sell these shares, they're 

545
00:28:25,050 --> 00:28:27,730
getting half as much money. 
Now this has obviously been a 

546
00:28:27,730 --> 00:28:30,890
tough year for Carl Icahn, but 
Bill Ackman, on the other hand, 

547
00:28:30,890 --> 00:28:34,090
I believe is thoroughly enjoying
himself watching the destruction

548
00:28:34,090 --> 00:28:36,770
of IEP. 
He tweeted out right as this was

549
00:28:36,770 --> 00:28:40,250
happening, a quote from Wall 
Street, which says quote on Wall

550
00:28:40,250 --> 00:28:42,490
Street, if you want a friend, 
buy a doc. 

551
00:28:42,570 --> 00:28:44,810
So Bill Ackman is getting the 
last laugh here. 

552
00:28:45,330 --> 00:28:48,410
Now, even though I disagree 
fully with a lot of the ways 

553
00:28:48,410 --> 00:28:51,580
that Carl Icahn conducts 
himself, and I agree that in 

554
00:28:51,580 --> 00:28:55,260
many cases he is a corporate 
Raider, he comes in and he just 

555
00:28:55,260 --> 00:28:58,100
destroys companies to extract 
value out of them. 

556
00:28:58,220 --> 00:29:01,660
So in some cases, he has a very 
adverse effect on the long term 

557
00:29:01,660 --> 00:29:04,140
of a company, and I think that 
that's dangerous. 

558
00:29:04,500 --> 00:29:07,860
But in other cases, I do like 
activist investors that will go 

559
00:29:07,860 --> 00:29:11,500
in and they will get executives 
that are lazy and not doing 

560
00:29:11,500 --> 00:29:13,700
their job to actually start 
doing their job. 

561
00:29:14,100 --> 00:29:16,220
And I've seen some examples 
where I think that he's had a 

562
00:29:16,220 --> 00:29:18,220
net positive effect on 
companies. 

563
00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:20,960
So it's neither all good nor all
bad. 

564
00:29:20,960 --> 00:29:23,960
I think some of the stuff Carl 
Icahn does is positive, but I 

565
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:25,880
think some of what he does is 
largely negative. 

566
00:29:26,240 --> 00:29:29,200
And I think that the valuation 
of his company dropping by half 

567
00:29:29,480 --> 00:29:31,400
is more than warranted. 
When I looked at the 

568
00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:34,600
fundamentals of this company, I 
agreed with Hindenburg Research.

569
00:29:34,800 --> 00:29:37,960
Overall, I like some of the 
drama that comes from Icahn and 

570
00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:40,200
some of the things that he says.
I like some of the stories he 

571
00:29:40,200 --> 00:29:43,580
tells, but I would never 
recommend investing in his fund 

572
00:29:43,780 --> 00:29:45,820
or IEP. 
I look at the company's 

573
00:29:45,820 --> 00:29:48,020
fundamentals and I think it has 
a substantial amount of 

574
00:29:48,020 --> 00:29:50,260
problems. 
So this is one that I would stay

575
00:29:50,260 --> 00:29:52,820
far away from now. 
Next up we have Chase Coleman of

576
00:29:52,820 --> 00:29:55,180
Tiger Global. 
Chase Coleman has been known to 

577
00:29:55,180 --> 00:29:57,580
be one of the most aggressive 
tech investors. 

578
00:29:57,860 --> 00:30:01,500
Entire Global has had phenomenal
performance since the inception 

579
00:30:01,500 --> 00:30:06,420
of its fund all the way up to 
2021 and we know what happened 

580
00:30:06,420 --> 00:30:09,860
at 2021. 
Interest rates going up rapidly 

581
00:30:09,860 --> 00:30:13,020
more than we've seen in the past
decade, caused a cascading 

582
00:30:13,020 --> 00:30:16,140
effect of massive devaluation 
and multiple contraction. 

583
00:30:16,380 --> 00:30:19,980
For lots of tech companies, 
Chase Coleman like Ark Invest 

584
00:30:19,980 --> 00:30:22,700
was one of the funds that had 
utter devastation caused to 

585
00:30:22,700 --> 00:30:24,980
their fund During this time 
period, it dropped 

586
00:30:25,060 --> 00:30:27,940
substantially, 70% in a matter 
of months. 

587
00:30:28,260 --> 00:30:31,900
So 10 years of Alpha were wiped 
out in a matter of months. 

588
00:30:32,020 --> 00:30:34,340
And This is why I say there's a 
lot of fund managers that are 

589
00:30:34,340 --> 00:30:37,900
good for a short amount of time,
five years or 10 years, but the 

590
00:30:37,900 --> 00:30:40,820
real test is going past entire 
economic cycles. 

591
00:30:40,900 --> 00:30:43,740
All different environments, 
being able to weather, all 

592
00:30:43,740 --> 00:30:46,260
different interest rate 
environments and recessions and 

593
00:30:46,540 --> 00:30:49,660
different factors in the market 
really proves how good an 

594
00:30:49,660 --> 00:30:52,260
investing strategy is. 
Now when we look at his trades 

595
00:30:52,260 --> 00:30:56,060
overall, this is one of the 
firms that trades a lot based 

596
00:30:56,060 --> 00:31:00,020
off of technicals and valuation 
and momentum and lots of 

597
00:31:00,020 --> 00:31:02,500
different factors. 
So when I look at this, I don't 

598
00:31:02,500 --> 00:31:05,260
take any of these buys and sells
ersonally. 

599
00:31:05,300 --> 00:31:07,940
I don't look at them as 
assessing the intrinsic value of

600
00:31:07,940 --> 00:31:10,020
the company over the next 5 to 
10 years. 

601
00:31:10,380 --> 00:31:14,300
I look at this as largely 
algorithmic or momentumbased 

602
00:31:14,300 --> 00:31:17,260
trading. 
For example, he sold a lot of 

603
00:31:17,260 --> 00:31:20,700
Amazon, a lot of Google. 
He sold a lot of MasterCard, the

604
00:31:20,700 --> 00:31:22,780
entire position. 
But then he also bought more 

605
00:31:22,780 --> 00:31:25,300
NVIDIA. 
He's buying NVIDIA at today's 

606
00:31:25,300 --> 00:31:27,180
price. 
So you could try to dissect 

607
00:31:27,180 --> 00:31:29,700
everyone of these trades, but I 
think a lot of them are based 

608
00:31:29,700 --> 00:31:31,500
off of momentum of these 
companies. 

609
00:31:31,580 --> 00:31:34,340
When I look at Chase Coleman's 
portfolio, I think that it's a 

610
00:31:34,340 --> 00:31:37,580
little too unpredictable and I 
would never want to invest in a 

611
00:31:37,580 --> 00:31:41,260
method that has 70% drawdowns 
when the rest of the market goes

612
00:31:41,260 --> 00:31:43,900
down 16%. 
I think largely that's 

613
00:31:44,020 --> 00:31:47,380
indicative that what you're 
doing is too risk prone and you 

614
00:31:47,380 --> 00:31:50,260
should rethink your strategy. 
Now Next up we have Nelson Pelts

615
00:31:50,260 --> 00:31:53,980
who is another investor that 
runs a large fund, $3.8 billion 

616
00:31:53,980 --> 00:31:57,180
in assets under management and 
he also has a concentrated 

617
00:31:57,180 --> 00:31:59,980
portfolio until only eight 
positions. 

618
00:32:00,260 --> 00:32:03,740
You'll notice that many of these
investors that do ample research

619
00:32:03,740 --> 00:32:06,580
and understand the risks 
associated with their companies,

620
00:32:06,860 --> 00:32:09,300
they're willing to concentrate 
into a small amount of holdings.

621
00:32:09,780 --> 00:32:14,680
That level of confidence comes 
from studying the history and 

622
00:32:14,680 --> 00:32:16,160
the risk factors of the 
business. 

623
00:32:16,760 --> 00:32:20,040
So when I look at Nelson Peltz, 
I really appreciate a few things

624
00:32:20,040 --> 00:32:22,160
that he does. 
One of the things that he did 

625
00:32:22,160 --> 00:32:25,600
that I really enjoyed was his 
involvement in Disney. 

626
00:32:25,920 --> 00:32:29,080
If you recall Disney going 
through their terrible string of

627
00:32:29,080 --> 00:32:33,360
decisions by hiring Bob Chapeck 
and then firing him and then 

628
00:32:33,360 --> 00:32:36,960
blaming him after they picked 
him to be the CEO bringing back 

629
00:32:36,960 --> 00:32:40,760
Bob Iger and the company just 
seemed to lose its way over the 

630
00:32:40,760 --> 00:32:44,360
past couple of years. 
Nelson Peltz came in and he was 

631
00:32:44,360 --> 00:32:47,520
a voice for the shareholder to 
tell the board that they're 

632
00:32:47,520 --> 00:32:49,360
screwing up. 
They don't have things figured 

633
00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:51,000
out. 
They need to reduce their pay 

634
00:32:51,000 --> 00:32:53,200
until they get this company back
on track. 

635
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:55,320
They need to start paying a 
dividend again. 

636
00:32:55,600 --> 00:32:59,290
They need to really get Disney 
back into profit mode and to 

637
00:32:59,290 --> 00:33:03,090
have a vocal activist, someone 
that comes in and can speak on 

638
00:33:03,090 --> 00:33:06,050
behalf of the shareholder, I 
think was very necessary. 

639
00:33:06,250 --> 00:33:09,530
Now if we look at his portfolio,
we can see the changes he's made

640
00:33:10,090 --> 00:33:13,690
and there's not many 2 to 3% 
turnover for the quarter. 

641
00:33:13,770 --> 00:33:15,970
He reduced his Ferguson position
by 6%. 

642
00:33:16,290 --> 00:33:20,370
He added to Disney a 9% addition
to Disney and then he sold a 

643
00:33:20,370 --> 00:33:23,950
tiny amount of Wendy's. 
So there's the trades. 

644
00:33:24,030 --> 00:33:27,070
Mostly what he did was reduced 
Ferguson and bought a bit more 

645
00:33:27,070 --> 00:33:28,790
Disney. 
If we look at his portfolio 

646
00:33:28,790 --> 00:33:32,030
construction, it's concentrated 
into four different companies. 

647
00:33:32,230 --> 00:33:34,510
The first one is Janice 
Henderson Group, which is a 

648
00:33:34,710 --> 00:33:37,510
asset management company. 
Then we have Ferguson, which 

649
00:33:37,510 --> 00:33:39,510
we've seen before in a couple 
other super investors 

650
00:33:39,510 --> 00:33:42,390
portfolios. 
They are a plumbing and heating 

651
00:33:42,390 --> 00:33:45,590
supply company and from what 
I've seen, they're described to 

652
00:33:45,590 --> 00:33:49,230
be the monopoly of that company.
They control the distribution. 

653
00:33:49,350 --> 00:33:53,350
They have the most products. 
They really have a good superior

654
00:33:53,350 --> 00:33:56,710
position in that market. 
So it's interesting that he has 

655
00:33:56,710 --> 00:33:59,910
such a huge concentration in 
that company, but it shows that 

656
00:33:59,910 --> 00:34:02,730
he sees something special there.
The next company is Disney. 

657
00:34:02,970 --> 00:34:05,570
We know his thesis on that 
because he outlined it in his 

658
00:34:05,570 --> 00:34:09,170
activist investor letter. 
Then we have Invesco, which is 

659
00:34:09,170 --> 00:34:10,810
another asset management 
company. 

660
00:34:10,850 --> 00:34:13,610
So not much change for a highly 
concentrated portfolio. 

661
00:34:13,730 --> 00:34:16,370
As far as Nelson Peltz is 
concerned, he likes the stuff 

662
00:34:16,370 --> 00:34:17,929
that he owns and he continues to
own it. 

663
00:34:17,969 --> 00:34:20,810
Now Next up we have David 
Einhorn, who is an interesting 

664
00:34:20,810 --> 00:34:23,050
investor. 
He recently came out with an 

665
00:34:23,050 --> 00:34:26,050
interview that made a lot of 
headlines because he basically 

666
00:34:26,050 --> 00:34:29,889
said that things are so bad that
value investors or investors in 

667
00:34:29,889 --> 00:34:32,570
general may never recover from 
what's coming. 

668
00:34:32,889 --> 00:34:35,090
So he's predicting a lot of doom
and gloom. 

669
00:34:35,489 --> 00:34:39,610
Now, of course, that impacts 
your psychology and the way that

670
00:34:39,610 --> 00:34:42,050
you invest. 
If you have a very bearish view 

671
00:34:42,050 --> 00:34:45,370
on the economy or the overall 
trajectory of the world, then 

672
00:34:45,370 --> 00:34:47,170
that does factor into your 
investments. 

673
00:34:47,170 --> 00:34:48,889
And you can see that with his 
portfolio. 

674
00:34:49,050 --> 00:34:51,610
Now looking at his overall 
portfolio, he holds a lot of 

675
00:34:51,610 --> 00:34:53,170
companies that I'm not familiar 
with. 

676
00:34:53,570 --> 00:34:56,650
This is a long list of smaller 
companies, but they have a 

677
00:34:56,650 --> 00:34:59,530
common theme. 
Many of them are in energy and 

678
00:34:59,530 --> 00:35:01,890
they're in home building or 
related categories. 

679
00:35:02,250 --> 00:35:05,330
And if I had to guess what he's 
trying to do here, I think it 

680
00:35:05,330 --> 00:35:09,610
would be very defensively 
related to low valuations and a 

681
00:35:09,610 --> 00:35:12,450
shield from inflation. 
He's trying to protect his 

682
00:35:12,450 --> 00:35:15,490
investors from inflation that 
he's probably predicting. 

683
00:35:15,930 --> 00:35:18,330
So that would be my assumption 
with the portfolio. 

684
00:35:18,570 --> 00:35:20,850
But granted, I don't know his 
overall strategy. 

685
00:35:20,970 --> 00:35:24,130
So this is just my guess. 
Now Next up, we have Bill Gates.

686
00:35:24,210 --> 00:35:27,170
Now Bill Gates, I believe, is an
underrated investor. 

687
00:35:27,600 --> 00:35:30,320
A lot of people consider him 
brilliant for starting Microsoft

688
00:35:30,320 --> 00:35:33,600
and how difficult that business 
was to start and run and grow to

689
00:35:33,600 --> 00:35:36,640
the behemoth that is today. 
But you have to give him credit 

690
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:40,240
for his investing acumen. 
Bill Gates is just smart all 

691
00:35:40,240 --> 00:35:43,640
around and he's very smart with 
protecting his assets that he's 

692
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:46,160
worked really hard to acquire. 
When we look at the holdings 

693
00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:50,650
here, he has 31% in Microsoft. 
Now you might say there's a 

694
00:35:50,650 --> 00:35:53,490
little bit of bias there, but I 
think that that makes sense. 

695
00:35:53,530 --> 00:35:57,370
Bill knows Microsoft more than 
probably anyone, so he knows the

696
00:35:57,370 --> 00:36:00,530
quality of this company. 
And plus, even from an unbiased 

697
00:36:00,530 --> 00:36:03,170
third party perspective, 
Microsoft is one of the most 

698
00:36:03,170 --> 00:36:06,130
stable cash producing companies 
in the world with a credit 

699
00:36:06,130 --> 00:36:07,650
rating better than the US 
government. 

700
00:36:08,050 --> 00:36:11,250
So when I look at Microsoft, it 
makes sense that 31% of the 

701
00:36:11,530 --> 00:36:14,290
value of this portfolio is in 
that company. 

702
00:36:14,890 --> 00:36:18,820
The next one we have is 
Berkshire. 20% right there. 

703
00:36:18,820 --> 00:36:21,700
We have over 50% of the 
portfolio concentrated into 

704
00:36:21,700 --> 00:36:24,340
these two companies. 
And then he added to this 

705
00:36:24,340 --> 00:36:27,180
position last quarter. 
So the top two companies are 

706
00:36:27,180 --> 00:36:28,860
what I consider to be 
bulletproof. 

707
00:36:29,180 --> 00:36:32,460
And then Company #3, I also 
consider to be bulletproof. 

708
00:36:32,780 --> 00:36:36,340
Canadian National Railway, I 
believe any Class 1 railroad 

709
00:36:36,340 --> 00:36:40,300
within the US and Canada is an 
incredibly resilient business. 

710
00:36:40,300 --> 00:36:42,300
It's going to have a very 
difficult time losing 

711
00:36:42,300 --> 00:36:45,460
substantial amounts of money. 
The risk return on these are 

712
00:36:45,460 --> 00:36:48,090
very high. 
And then after that you have 

713
00:36:48,090 --> 00:36:51,090
another company that's 
considered largely to be another

714
00:36:51,090 --> 00:36:53,490
bulletproof company, Waste 
Management. 

715
00:36:53,890 --> 00:36:57,490
This is a basically necessary 
utility company that people 

716
00:36:57,490 --> 00:37:00,690
cannot survive without. 
His portfolio, by and large are 

717
00:37:00,690 --> 00:37:05,370
these four companies, and Bill 
Gates once again does the same 

718
00:37:05,370 --> 00:37:08,330
common theme. 
He shows that the huge majority 

719
00:37:08,410 --> 00:37:12,290
of his invested capital, all of 
this money which he's carefully 

720
00:37:12,290 --> 00:37:15,570
accumulated over decades of 
time, and that he considers to 

721
00:37:15,570 --> 00:37:18,320
be incredibly important, that he
wants to protect. 

722
00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:21,800
He feels good about putting it 
into four different positions, a

723
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:23,560
huge level of concentration. 
Now. 

724
00:37:23,680 --> 00:37:27,240
Next up we have Daniel Loeb of 
Third Point, another activist 

725
00:37:27,240 --> 00:37:29,480
investor. 
Now, they started off with a 

726
00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:32,400
very strong start, beating the 
market for a long period of 

727
00:37:32,400 --> 00:37:35,540
time. 
But then after around 2010, 

728
00:37:35,540 --> 00:37:39,380
2011, the returns have mostly 
been around the S&P 500. 

729
00:37:39,380 --> 00:37:42,980
So we're looking to see a 
recovery and outperformance from

730
00:37:42,980 --> 00:37:44,940
Daniel Loeb. 
Now if we look at his trades of 

731
00:37:44,940 --> 00:37:47,340
the most recent quarter, I can 
see a lot of cells here. 

732
00:37:47,340 --> 00:37:50,780
Right off the bat. 
He sold his largest holding, the

733
00:37:50,780 --> 00:37:53,380
whole thing, Colgate, the 
toothpaste company. 

734
00:37:53,700 --> 00:37:57,740
This is a very defensive company
that he bought into with 14% of 

735
00:37:57,740 --> 00:38:00,960
the funds assets and that one's 
gone now. 

736
00:38:00,960 --> 00:38:04,800
This was a company that's gone 
nowhere since he bought it. 

737
00:38:05,040 --> 00:38:08,360
The stock price is essentially 
flat, so no gains being made 

738
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:10,120
there. 
I think it was a bit of a waste 

739
00:38:10,120 --> 00:38:13,160
of a position. 
Now he also reduced Google, so 

740
00:38:13,160 --> 00:38:16,600
we reduced that one by 70%, 
which I think is interesting and

741
00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:18,600
confusing. 
I think that Google still 

742
00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:22,280
maintains a decent valuation, so
obviously he had better things 

743
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:25,520
to do with that cash he sold 
entirely out of Salesforce. 

744
00:38:25,840 --> 00:38:28,520
That one doesn't surprise me 
because Salesforce has raced up 

745
00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:32,230
60% year to date. 
And then he also sold United 

746
00:38:32,230 --> 00:38:34,630
Healthcare Group. 
That's another one that he 

747
00:38:34,630 --> 00:38:38,110
completely exited the position. 
Now what did he buy? 

748
00:38:38,510 --> 00:38:42,030
He bought a lot of Amazon, 
increase that one by 8%. 

749
00:38:42,150 --> 00:38:44,310
Then we have TSM. 
He bought into that. 

750
00:38:44,550 --> 00:38:47,590
He bought more NVIDIA. 
When I see people buying NVIDIA 

751
00:38:47,590 --> 00:38:50,230
at these prices, I have to 
believe that they're part 

752
00:38:50,230 --> 00:38:53,030
momentum trader. 
This follows the theme of Daniel

753
00:38:53,030 --> 00:38:54,550
Loeb. 
He's another one where I 

754
00:38:54,550 --> 00:38:57,270
wouldn't take it too personally 
if he buys a company that you 

755
00:38:57,270 --> 00:39:00,570
own or he sells a company that 
you own because he trades in and

756
00:39:00,570 --> 00:39:03,690
out of position so quickly. 
I don't think that he's looking 

757
00:39:03,690 --> 00:39:07,090
at the longterm intrinsic value 
of every company as much as 

758
00:39:07,090 --> 00:39:10,770
doing a lot of value trades, 
quick run ups and companies and 

759
00:39:10,770 --> 00:39:13,450
some momentum trading. 
His portfolio is more 

760
00:39:13,450 --> 00:39:15,410
diversified than most super 
investors. 

761
00:39:15,650 --> 00:39:18,570
He holds a lot of these smaller 
watcher positions and he has a 

762
00:39:18,570 --> 00:39:21,650
lot of two and 3% position. 
So he's on the other side of 

763
00:39:21,650 --> 00:39:23,010
things. 
He does like the level of 

764
00:39:23,010 --> 00:39:25,170
diversification. 
Now finally, we have Christopher

765
00:39:25,170 --> 00:39:27,210
Bloomstrand with Semper 
Augustus. 

766
00:39:27,670 --> 00:39:30,350
Now Christopher Bloomstrand I 
think is a great follow on 

767
00:39:30,350 --> 00:39:31,950
Twitter. 
You should find his account and 

768
00:39:31,950 --> 00:39:34,990
follow him because he does these
tweet storms where he breaks 

769
00:39:34,990 --> 00:39:37,550
down the financials and 
different aspects of a company 

770
00:39:37,830 --> 00:39:39,390
and he has a great way of 
looking at them. 

771
00:39:39,390 --> 00:39:41,630
He has a lot of insights on 
different businesses. 

772
00:39:42,150 --> 00:39:45,190
Now when we look at his 
portfolio, you'll notice that he

773
00:39:45,190 --> 00:39:48,990
holds Berkshire as around 30% of
his total portfolio. 

774
00:39:49,510 --> 00:39:51,750
A lot of people are critical 
because they say why don't you 

775
00:39:51,750 --> 00:39:53,510
just invest in Berkshire 
directly. 

776
00:39:53,990 --> 00:39:57,100
I think that's a valid 
criticism, but what Christopher 

777
00:39:57,100 --> 00:39:59,420
does is he knows Berkshire so 
well. 

778
00:39:59,500 --> 00:40:02,620
He's able to read the report 
really indepth and understand 

779
00:40:02,620 --> 00:40:05,220
the valuation of it. 
And he's always trying to add to

780
00:40:05,220 --> 00:40:08,500
this position at a 20% or 
greater discount. 

781
00:40:08,740 --> 00:40:11,500
That's when he likes to get new 
investors funds into Berkshire, 

782
00:40:11,780 --> 00:40:14,940
so he'll hold cash or he'll 
invest in different companies. 

783
00:40:15,220 --> 00:40:18,860
Once Berkshire goes 20% under 
intrinsic value, then he adds to

784
00:40:18,860 --> 00:40:20,820
that position. 
Now if we look at the amount of 

785
00:40:20,820 --> 00:40:23,780
activity over the past quarter, 
there's a lot of small trade, 

786
00:40:23,780 --> 00:40:25,420
some rebalancing in the 
portfolio. 

787
00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:28,600
If we look at the biggest ones 
here, he added to Dollar 

788
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:31,640
General, that one is in a 
decline right now, so he's 

789
00:40:31,640 --> 00:40:34,360
adding to that one. 
Then he also added to Mercury 

790
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,800
General Group 4.31%. 
Now looking overall at the 

791
00:40:37,800 --> 00:40:40,320
portfolio, I would say that 
there's a lot of high quality 

792
00:40:40,320 --> 00:40:42,520
companies. 
They trade at usually low 

793
00:40:42,520 --> 00:40:44,680
valuations. 
He likes to buy companies that 

794
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:47,000
are cheap. 
They have good cash flows and 

795
00:40:47,000 --> 00:40:49,880
high free cash flow yields. 
So you'll notice that throughout

796
00:40:50,000 --> 00:40:53,640
the portfolio, but I'd also say 
that it's very conservative. 

797
00:40:54,190 --> 00:40:56,470
And I think that if you're 
investing in a portfolio like 

798
00:40:56,470 --> 00:40:59,670
this, you're likely not going to
have dramatic outperformance of 

799
00:40:59,670 --> 00:41:02,910
the S&P 500. 
It'll more be in line with the 

800
00:41:02,910 --> 00:41:06,630
S&P 500, maybe marginal 
outperformance, but relatively 

801
00:41:06,630 --> 00:41:08,310
low downside. 
So I believe overall the 

802
00:41:08,310 --> 00:41:10,830
portfolio construction is very 
conservative. 

803
00:41:10,870 --> 00:41:13,510
But I really do like looking at 
Christopher's letters, his write

804
00:41:13,510 --> 00:41:16,430
ups, his tweets, because I think
he has a ton of knowledge to 

805
00:41:16,430 --> 00:41:19,870
share with others. 
Now that wraps up Part 2 of the 

806
00:41:19,870 --> 00:41:22,710
Super Investor update. 
I'm going to be doing an update 

807
00:41:22,790 --> 00:41:25,710
on My Portfolio in similar 
fashion to these super 

808
00:41:25,710 --> 00:41:27,510
investors. 
So if you want to see that, make

809
00:41:27,510 --> 00:41:30,350
sure you subscribe to this 
channel and the other channel, 

810
00:41:30,510 --> 00:41:33,190
my main channel under my name. 
If you haven't subscribed to 

811
00:41:33,190 --> 00:41:35,470
that one, make sure you are 
because I believe that's where 

812
00:41:35,470 --> 00:41:37,470
I'll be doing the update on My 
Portfolio. 

813
00:41:37,870 --> 00:41:39,750
That's all for now. 
I hope you enjoyed and I'll see 

814
00:41:39,750 --> 00:41:40,430
you in the next one.
