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Welcome back everyone. 
Today on the Joseph Carlson 

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Show. 
We're getting close to the end 

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of 2025. 
We're getting through it. 

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And as investors, I believe it's
time that we should take a step 

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back and look at what's 
happened. 

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We can look at our portfolios, 
we can assess the gains and 

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losses, the winners, the losers 
are different strategies and 

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compare and contrast them. 
I have two portfolios. 

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One of them is a little over 
900,001 of them is a bit over 

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00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,880
400,000. 
It's $1.3 million invested in 

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the stock market, give or take. 
Now, over the past six years, 

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I've made around $550,000 of 
gains purely from stocks and 

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I've been able. 
To talk to. 10s of thousands of 

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investors. 
Here are lots of strategies, 

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lots of thoughts and opinions. 
And seeing all of that and 

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considering where we are today 
has made me convinced right now 

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is the best day to be an 
investor. 

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There are specific reasons that 
right now is better for 

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investors than it's ever been 
before, and I want to go over 

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00:00:53,080 --> 00:00:54,720
them. 
So in this episode, we'll be 

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taking a step back, looking at 
our investing strategies and 

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looking what I believe is the 
most profitable path going 

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forward from the end of 2025. 
Now, of course, we have a lot of

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other news to get to. 
For example, we have a news 

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article from the Wall Street 
Journal that Visa MasterCard 

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reaches settlement with 
merchants to lower fees. 

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This is news that as investors, 
you may read and think is 

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bearish on Visa MasterCard. 
After all, how could lowering 

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fees be good for those 
companies? 

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To the contrary, this news is 
actually good for Visa 

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MasterCard. 
We'll be going over why it's a 

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benefit to them. 
We have the news that Trump is 

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once again considering the 2000 
dollar tariff stimulus. 

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We'll be going over why a $2000 
stimulus would directly benefit 

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shareholders and investors more 
than anyone else. 

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Gene Munster recently made a 
call that Apple is going to be 

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the best performing stock over 
the next six months. 

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We'll go over why he's so 
bullish on Apple and why I 

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believe he's wrong. 
Wedbush's Dan Ives calls Meta a 

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table pounder. 
We'll be looking at his thesis 

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for Meta today after its recent 
sell off. 

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And one of my favorite analysts,
Mark Mahaney, gives commentary 

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on all of these stocks that are 
selling off, the Doordashes, 

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Duolingos, Pinterests, the 
stocks that investors seem to 

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not want to deal with anymore. 
He has some thoughts on that and

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gives investors A broader 
context of what's going on. 

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And then finally, we're starting
off early on the week. 

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We have the fail of the week, 
which in this case is a bunch of

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employees from a union that are 
upset about layoffs barraging 

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the HR director filming him and 
trying to harass him into giving

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them answers. 
We'll be looking at all the 

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footage at the end of this 
episode. 

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So we have a ton to get to in 
this episode, a lot to go over. 

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And before we jump in, as 
always, I just have to mention a

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quick shout out to Qualtrim Com 
Qualtrim is the best stock 

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analysis platform. 
I know that because I've built 

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00:02:32,120 --> 00:02:33,400
it. 
Try it out. 

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00:02:33,400 --> 00:02:35,440
It will turn you into a super 
investor. 

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00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:38,640
Although the price is remaining 
the same at dirt cheap, 10 bucks

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00:02:38,640 --> 00:02:40,480
a month, you can try it out with
a free trial. 

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The suite of tools underneath 
that is growing and growing. 

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00:02:44,200 --> 00:02:47,040
Of course, you have the insights
page with KPIs and revenue by 

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segment. 
You also have discounted cash 

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00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:51,360
flow calculators that's super 
easy to use. 

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00:02:51,640 --> 00:02:54,440
You have an earnings call 
transcript summary where you can

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see the bullet points of what 
happened. 

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You have the earnings calendar 
for the week that's updated 

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every single week. 
You have so many tools under one

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00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:02,880
single umbrella. 
Try it out. 

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00:03:02,880 --> 00:03:05,520
I think you'll love it. 
Join the over 11,000 investors 

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using it today. 
You can join at qualtrim.com. 

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00:03:08,560 --> 00:03:10,880
Now we start off today by going 
over a subject that I've wanted 

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to talk about for some time and 
that is that I believe that 

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you're basically being lied to. 
Now, you probably know this 

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because a lot of what you see 
online, you know it's not 

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reality, but I believe the 
extent of which we're all being 

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deceived is pretty extreme. 
And that's due to a lot of 

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factors between social media and
the news. 

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Social media companies are based
off of algorithms and feeds. 

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They almost never just give you 
the the feed in a linear format 

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by date time posted. 
All of it's driven by what the 

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social media company believes 
will be the most engaging, which

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will keep you around the longest
on their platform. 

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We know this. 
We know these companies are 

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engagement driven. 
Part of getting engagement means

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that you keep people's 
attention. 

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You first get their attention 
and then you keep it. 

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And as humans, we're naturally 
more inclined to listen to 

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things and to be alerted to 
things that we consider 

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threatening. 
Things that are shocking, things

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that are that seem like they 
could be devastating, or even 

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things that seem very negative 
things that we should be 

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concerned about. 
Those drive engagement to more 

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than positive things. 
So social media companies 

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naturally tilt towards 
displaying more shocking, 

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controversial, argumentative 
negative things online. 

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And again, I assume most people 
understand this. 

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But while we're pointing the 
finger, we also can't just blame

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social media companies. 
After all, it's all driven by 

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humans as well. 
For example, if I was to 

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hypothetically create two 
different video titles and test 

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them AB, one of them says things
are really bad and one of them 

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says things are really good. 
The one that says things are 

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really bad will get more clicks.
It'll get more watch time. 

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More people go out of their way 
to look at that video than the 

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one that says things are really 
good. 

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Now both of them will get 
clicks, both of them will get 

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engagement. 
But if one of them gets 30% more

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clicks than the other, if it 
just has a marginal more 

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interest in engagement than the 
other, that tells me as a 

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content creator make more of 
that, make less of this. 

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And that's in A1 video AB test. 
Now imagine a platform where 

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that's the same type of test 
that you can do across the 

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entire platform, across millions
and millions of content creators

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of all different categories in 
politics and finance and news. 

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If all of it. 
Gets a bit more engagement when 

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it's tilted negative instead of 
neutral or positive. 

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You can see the ongoing impacts 
of it. 

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This leads to a vicious cycle 
where the news gets more and 

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more negative, where it becomes 
more engagement hungry. 

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The algorithms feed this 
negativity. 

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It rewards content creators by 
posting negative things over 

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positive things. 
And it does this to a huge 

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extent when it's compounded over
years and years. 

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And I've seen that happen for 
some time period. 

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Right now, I believe that young 
people, in particular, people my

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age and younger, are seeing more
negative news than they've ever 

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seen or humanity's ever seen at 
scale than any other, any other 

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demographic, any other 
generation. 

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We are seeing an enormous amount
of negativity in the world. 

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We're seeing bitter arguments 
and feuds, and everything that 

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can be negative is being 
inundated in people's feeds. 

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If you're not careful, if you're
not extremely selective and 

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filtering, if you're not on top 
of this stuff yourself, you'll 

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notice it in your feeds as well.
There's always something wrong. 

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There's always something big and
disastrous happening. 

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There's always some problem to 
complain about. 

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You can see it just in the way 
that people look at finance. 

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There are some real concerns 
that I'm sympathetic about. 

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For example, people being priced
out of homes. 

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That's a real problem. 
People losing jobs, unemployment

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sticking up, that's a real 
problem as well. 

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I am sympathetic about people 
that are impacted by this. 

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Those are real issues, but 
there's also a lot of good, a 

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lot of good that I don't believe
is accurately highlighted and I 

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don't believe. 
It's just being optimistic. 

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I believe that this good is 
rational, it's real. 

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And I want to highlight some of 
the things that I believe put us

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in a better situation today that
you as an investor, even if 

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you're just starting out, even 
if you don't have really any 

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assets that you as an investor 
today have it better. 

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You have bigger opportunities, 
you have more opportunity to 

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create wealth today. 
Than anybody else throughout any

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time throughout human history. 
In fact, today is the best time 

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in existence to be an investor. 
And there's a number of reasons 

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why. 
One of them is that the the way 

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that we used to create wealth. 
Think about it, 50 years ago, 

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just the boomer generation, the 
way that you are limited in 

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creating wealth was primarily 
through buying real estate. 

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In most cases it was buying a 
home, you could get a mortgage 

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and homes were affordable. 
So that was one thing that they 

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had that we don't have now. 
Homes are unaffordable. 50 years

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ago, homes were affordable. 
That's a big win because land 

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and homes are very valuable over
time, especially if you're in a 

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high population area that has a 
growing population and low 

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crime. 
You'll have land go up like 

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crazy when you have that 
circumstance. 

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But while that was a benefit, 
there is many negatives and 

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drawbacks that they had to deal 
with during those time periods. 

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For one, owning the land is 
difficult to do. 

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It's not global. 
People from different countries,

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people from different states 
can't always buy land in the 

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best places. 
It's very geographically 

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limited. 
Unless you happen to live in 

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those specific places where 
buying land was a great deal, 

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you were just left out of it. 
There wasn't that much of an 

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opportunity. 
The other option was to invest 

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in stocks. 
Now, thinking about it now, 

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investing in stocks is very 
easy. 

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But 50 years ago, investing in 
stocks was an entirely different

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ball game. 
Free trades were not a thing. 

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Trades were expensive. 
Going back far enough, it cost 

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up to $150.00 to execute a 
trade, and that was $150.00 back

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then, which would be even more 
expensive because of inflation. 

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So buying individual stocks had 
a high barrier to entry. 

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Every single trade had fees 
associated with it. 

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Every single one. 
On top of that, there wasn't 

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really ETFs. 
Those didn't exist. 

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00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:02,520
They weren't popularized at that
point. 

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00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,880
The thing that people invested 
in were mutual funds, Mutual 

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00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:07,760
funds that had high expense 
ratios. 

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In most cases, the mutual funds 
had 2% fees associated with 

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00:09:11,200 --> 00:09:13,600
them. 
So your only investment at the 

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00:09:13,600 --> 00:09:17,000
time was either to buy 
individual stocks with $150.00 

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00:09:17,000 --> 00:09:21,000
trades or mutual funds with 2% 
fees or even mutual funds that 

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00:09:21,000 --> 00:09:24,840
had those fees plus the trading 
fees, overall making it very 

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00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:27,640
difficult. 
And on top of that, there was 

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00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:31,720
also a lack of education. 
People did not know enough about

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00:09:31,720 --> 00:09:33,800
the stock market 30 to 50 years 
ago. 

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00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:35,840
And I know this because my dad 
talks about it. 

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00:09:35,880 --> 00:09:37,520
My dad is 40 years older than 
me. 

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00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:40,720
During his career, he talks 
about how when he grew up, there

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00:09:40,720 --> 00:09:44,680
was no YouTube, there was no 
online education freely 

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00:09:44,680 --> 00:09:46,560
available about learning about 
stocks. 

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00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:49,160
He had no concept of what stocks
were. 

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00:09:49,440 --> 00:09:52,800
In his mind, they were just 
highly risky ticker symbols that

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00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:55,040
nobody could figure out, that 
you really didn't know what was 

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00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:57,960
going on. 
They're basically just akin to 

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00:09:57,960 --> 00:09:59,560
gambling. 
That's all it was. 

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00:09:59,560 --> 00:10:01,480
You're gambling if you're 
putting your money in the stock 

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00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:03,440
market. 
And there wasn't a lot of 

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00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:07,680
education material, content, 
videos, podcast to be able to 

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00:10:07,680 --> 00:10:10,120
explain how stocks work or what 
they did. 

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00:10:10,640 --> 00:10:13,120
There also wasn't that many 
freely available or cheap 

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00:10:13,120 --> 00:10:16,600
websites like qualtrim.com that 
could make it so you could learn

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00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,160
about a company after a couple 
minutes, that you could look 

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00:10:19,160 --> 00:10:21,640
closely at the financials, that 
you could see the company's 

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00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:24,880
history visually illustrated. 
The lack of education made it 

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00:10:24,880 --> 00:10:27,360
incredibly difficult for 
investors to actually understand

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00:10:27,360 --> 00:10:30,240
the stock market. 
Only very few of them did at the

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00:10:30,240 --> 00:10:32,440
time. 
Now we live in a time that's 

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00:10:32,440 --> 00:10:35,280
much better. 
First of all, we no longer have 

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00:10:35,280 --> 00:10:39,120
to deal with mutual funds. 
Now we have ETFs with 0 fees, 

224
00:10:39,560 --> 00:10:43,200
they're essentially 0. 
Some of them have .08% but it's 

225
00:10:43,200 --> 00:10:45,960
de minimis, it's non impactful 
to your future. 

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00:10:46,200 --> 00:10:49,960
So you can go ahead and buy any 
ETF at any point and when you 

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00:10:49,960 --> 00:10:52,040
buy it you also have no trading 
fees. 

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00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:55,760
Most standard brokerages now, in
fact globally, the majority of 

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00:10:55,760 --> 00:10:58,040
them do not charge fees for 
trades. 

230
00:10:58,480 --> 00:11:01,480
You can go in and buy these 
companies at any point with 0 

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00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:03,760
trading fees. 
They found out different ways to

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00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:06,000
monetize, but it does not cost 
you money. 

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And that is why today, I believe
we are at the best point 

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00:11:09,200 --> 00:11:12,320
throughout human history to be 
an investor and we have the most

235
00:11:12,320 --> 00:11:15,920
opportunities to generate wealth
on an ongoing basis with the 

236
00:11:15,920 --> 00:11:18,960
least amount of work required 
than we've ever had before. 

237
00:11:19,400 --> 00:11:21,520
And I believe there's a lot of 
things that play into this. 

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First of all, the stock market 
or the public equity market is 

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00:11:25,560 --> 00:11:28,320
by far the best wealth 
generation machine ever created 

240
00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:30,080
by human history. 
It just is. 

241
00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:33,520
We have the tool, the vehicle to
generate wealth that's better 

242
00:11:33,520 --> 00:11:35,720
than anything else. 
It's better than real estate. 

243
00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:37,680
It's better than buying land. 
It's better than all these 

244
00:11:37,680 --> 00:11:40,680
different various investments, 
buying fine painting or signs, 

245
00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:45,160
whatever that may be, having a 
public equity market where you 

246
00:11:45,160 --> 00:11:48,840
can buy compounding machines, 
the best companies in the world 

247
00:11:48,840 --> 00:11:52,000
that generate cash on an ongoing
basis on a predictable and 

248
00:11:52,000 --> 00:11:54,480
growing manner. 
These are world class companies 

249
00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:57,480
that have public oversight. 
They have audits on a quarterly 

250
00:11:57,480 --> 00:11:59,400
basis. 
They are regulated. 

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00:11:59,760 --> 00:12:03,360
This is the best opportunity 
that we have and it's very good.

252
00:12:03,360 --> 00:12:06,480
We also live in a time period 
where we have multiple massive 

253
00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:08,920
points of innovation. 
We've already gone through the 

254
00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:10,800
Internet boom, but that's still 
playing out. 

255
00:12:10,800 --> 00:12:13,280
The Internet is still a massive 
opportunity to generate wealth, 

256
00:12:13,640 --> 00:12:16,840
but then you layer upon that 
Internet, now we have artificial

257
00:12:16,840 --> 00:12:19,960
intelligence, LLMS, we have 
tools creating massive amounts 

258
00:12:19,960 --> 00:12:22,360
of efficiencies. 
Then on top of that, you're 

259
00:12:22,360 --> 00:12:24,400
going to have robotics as the 
next wave. 

260
00:12:24,440 --> 00:12:27,760
We have a compounding effect of 
long term catalyst driving this 

261
00:12:27,760 --> 00:12:31,000
market higher, making it so that
the publicly traded companies, 

262
00:12:31,000 --> 00:12:34,080
the vehicles in which we can 
invest can generate higher 

263
00:12:34,080 --> 00:12:36,800
margins, better earnings and 
faster revenue growth. 

264
00:12:37,400 --> 00:12:39,960
And on top of that they also 
grow with inflation. 

265
00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:43,080
So we have the best investment 
vehicles in the world that 

266
00:12:43,080 --> 00:12:46,560
should continue to grow for the 
next 5 to 10 years at a massive 

267
00:12:46,560 --> 00:12:48,080
rate. 
We even have another point that 

268
00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:49,800
you could add in, which is 
taxes. 

269
00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:52,720
Right now, the economy is geared
towards growth. 

270
00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:56,120
It's geared towards business 
friendly regulations and taxes 

271
00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:59,160
that will spur earnings growth, 
will spur revenue growth over 

272
00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:00,800
time. 
It'll make it so companies can 

273
00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:03,960
do more share buybacks, they can
invest more, they can build out 

274
00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:07,080
more infrastructure like a lot 
of them are doing and grow their

275
00:13:07,080 --> 00:13:09,600
earnings, returning it back to 
the shareholder. 

276
00:13:10,120 --> 00:13:13,600
Every single thing that we look 
at is extremely advantageous for

277
00:13:13,600 --> 00:13:17,520
the time period that we live in.
We have an opportunity here to 

278
00:13:17,520 --> 00:13:20,600
either complain about things and
again, many of those complaints 

279
00:13:20,600 --> 00:13:24,440
are valid home prices. 
You know, the job market goes 

280
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:26,680
through periods where it's 
really good and really stronger,

281
00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:28,960
a little bit weaker, it's a bit 
weaker today. 

282
00:13:29,800 --> 00:13:32,200
We could complain about those, 
which again, those are valid 

283
00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:34,920
complaints, or we could look at 
the opportunity today. 

284
00:13:35,440 --> 00:13:38,440
If you're able to hold down a 
job, which I hope you are at 

285
00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:41,600
some point, if you're able to 
hold down a job, you should look

286
00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:45,200
at today as the best opportunity
in your lifetime to invest. 

287
00:13:45,680 --> 00:13:49,640
You should be looking for every 
opportunity to save some cash 

288
00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:52,760
and put it in the stock market. 
Invest in the best companies in 

289
00:13:52,760 --> 00:13:56,440
the world, build half your 
portfolios and ETF, build it in 

290
00:13:56,440 --> 00:14:00,040
the S&P 500 or whatever cheap 
fund that you want, and then the

291
00:14:00,040 --> 00:14:03,800
other half, pick a portfolio of 
concentrated positions and high 

292
00:14:03,800 --> 00:14:07,280
quality compounding machines, 
asset light businesses with 

293
00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:10,680
incredibly predictable earnings 
with secular growth trends. 

294
00:14:11,080 --> 00:14:12,800
Buy a portfolio of these 
companies. 

295
00:14:13,080 --> 00:14:15,080
In most cases, you're going to 
make a lot of money. 

296
00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:17,400
We can see this across my 
portfolios. 

297
00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:20,000
You can look at My Portfolio, 
and one of them here is the 

298
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:24,600
passive income portfolio. 
It's now a $914,000 portfolio, 

299
00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:29,040
351,000 of that being gains. 
What I've done with My Portfolio

300
00:14:29,040 --> 00:14:31,360
is I've simply invested in 
companies that I believe have 

301
00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:33,080
characteristics that are very 
strong. 

302
00:14:33,400 --> 00:14:35,400
They're companies that have 
really good economics. 

303
00:14:35,400 --> 00:14:39,000
They're super profitable. 
They're very also steady and 

304
00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:40,960
predictable. 
And they're companies that I 

305
00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:43,480
believe have very wide moats. 
They're difficult to compete 

306
00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:45,560
with. 
And in Qualtrim, I can easily 

307
00:14:45,560 --> 00:14:48,440
identify these companies. 
So I build concentrated 

308
00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,720
positions in them and then I 
just wait. 

309
00:14:51,320 --> 00:14:53,840
Patience and time is a big part 
of investing in the stock 

310
00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:56,320
market. 
But you'd also have patience if 

311
00:14:56,320 --> 00:14:59,400
you invested in real estate. 
You wouldn't expect to have a 

312
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,280
significant return in real 
estate after only three months 

313
00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:04,440
of owning it or six months of 
owning it. 

314
00:15:04,680 --> 00:15:07,560
You would buy a piece of real 
estate or rental property to 

315
00:15:07,560 --> 00:15:09,120
make money for the next 10 
years. 

316
00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:11,280
And that's the way that I look 
at my positions. 

317
00:15:11,520 --> 00:15:15,320
When I look across My Portfolio,
the majority of companies and 

318
00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:16,960
investments have done incredibly
well. 

319
00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:20,080
Most of them have made 
significant gains because again,

320
00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:23,240
I've kept to a very simple 
philosophy, investing in 

321
00:15:23,240 --> 00:15:24,880
incredibly high quality 
companies. 

322
00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:27,360
Some of them, however, still 
don't work out. 

323
00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:31,480
Out of the 15 or so companies 
that I own today, around two to 

324
00:15:31,480 --> 00:15:34,520
three of them have been subpar. 
And that's normal. 

325
00:15:34,680 --> 00:15:37,280
That's how investing works. 
Even if you were to invest in 

326
00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:40,640
the S&P 500 index, not every 
company does well. 

327
00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:44,080
Most of them do OK. 
A a lot of them make gains, but 

328
00:15:44,080 --> 00:15:47,040
your gains are primarily driven 
by a smaller number of companies

329
00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:49,560
within your portfolio. 
I've been fortunate with a lot 

330
00:15:49,560 --> 00:15:51,400
of big winners in this 
portfolio. 

331
00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:54,320
You don't have to reinvent the 
wheel or invest in something 

332
00:15:54,360 --> 00:15:56,920
super unique. 
I've invested in many of what I 

333
00:15:56,920 --> 00:15:59,960
consider to be the best 
companies in the world, Amazon, 

334
00:15:59,960 --> 00:16:03,720
Netflix, Google, Microsoft, and 
S&P Global. 

335
00:16:04,160 --> 00:16:06,560
The one company today that's 
struggling is Duolingo. 

336
00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:09,240
We don't know how this is going 
to turn out, so the story is a 

337
00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:11,880
little bit untold, but the 
fundamentals still remain very 

338
00:16:11,880 --> 00:16:13,440
strong. 
Even with Duolingo. 

339
00:16:13,440 --> 00:16:16,800
This portfolio is up $65,000 
year to date. 

340
00:16:16,840 --> 00:16:19,720
Those gains and that money will 
continue to compound even more. 

341
00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:23,720
My goal is to virtually double 
the value of these portfolios 

342
00:16:23,760 --> 00:16:26,280
every five years. 
So in another five years I'd 

343
00:16:26,280 --> 00:16:28,440
like this one to be roughly 
$900,000. 

344
00:16:28,440 --> 00:16:31,720
By the end of five years I'd 
like this one to be almost 

345
00:16:31,720 --> 00:16:33,880
$2,000,000. 
And to accomplish that, my goal 

346
00:16:33,880 --> 00:16:38,280
is to at an intrinsic return of 
15% per year, a 15% return per 

347
00:16:38,280 --> 00:16:40,440
year gives you about a double 
every five years. 

348
00:16:40,440 --> 00:16:42,720
So while we look at our 
portfolios, whatever stage of 

349
00:16:42,720 --> 00:16:45,120
growth you're in, however long 
you've been investing, even if 

350
00:16:45,120 --> 00:16:49,720
your portfolio's $5000 or 
$10,000 or $10 million, the 

351
00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:52,800
message should be the same as 
you're scrolling through your 

352
00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:55,920
feeds, as you're going through 
the Instagram Reels or the 

353
00:16:55,920 --> 00:16:59,600
TikTok or the Twitter, whatever 
it may be, you should look at 

354
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:02,400
the news and understand that 
it's going to always be tilted 

355
00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:04,119
to the negative. 
There's always gonna be 

356
00:17:04,119 --> 00:17:06,280
something to complain about. 
There's always something around 

357
00:17:06,280 --> 00:17:07,760
the corner that looks really 
bad. 

358
00:17:08,079 --> 00:17:10,319
And that's the nature of humans.
It's just a game that we're 

359
00:17:10,319 --> 00:17:12,599
never gonna fix. 
It's, it's the way everything's 

360
00:17:12,599 --> 00:17:14,800
going to be. 
But don't be fooled by it. 

361
00:17:15,359 --> 00:17:20,040
Today is the best day to invest.
Wealth creation is incredibly 

362
00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:23,880
possible and probable if you 
take the steps to do it, if you 

363
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:26,079
take responsibility to do it 
yourself. 

364
00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:28,960
Don't wait for anybody else. 
Don't wait for permission from 

365
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:30,800
someone else to do it. 
Just start. 

366
00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,600
Start today. 
Put money in your portfolios, 

367
00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:37,800
invest in quality companies at 
reasonable valuations, invest in

368
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:40,840
ETFs, invest in high quality 
companies, whatever it may be, 

369
00:17:41,040 --> 00:17:43,400
But get things going. 
And if you already have it 

370
00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:46,520
going, put on the gas. 
Every single day we have the 

371
00:17:46,520 --> 00:17:50,680
opportunity to log into our 
brokerage and to buy shares of 

372
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:54,400
the best companies in the world,
ran by the best founders in the 

373
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,160
world. 
People like Mark Zuckerberg with

374
00:17:57,160 --> 00:18:02,240
Meta stock selling off today, we
have Uber with Dara leading this

375
00:18:02,240 --> 00:18:05,200
massive network. 
We have Sundar Pichai with 

376
00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:07,120
Google, which is still at a a 
good deal. 

377
00:18:07,360 --> 00:18:09,840
We have so many great 
opportunities every single day 

378
00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:12,240
to create wealth and get further
ahead in life. 

379
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:15,200
So it's time to get invested, 
align yourself with these great 

380
00:18:15,200 --> 00:18:17,600
founders, with these great 
executives that are growing 

381
00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:20,960
wealth for their shareholders. 
Get invested, stay invested. 

382
00:18:21,200 --> 00:18:24,080
Don't listen to the naysayers. 
If the stock market drops, it's 

383
00:18:24,080 --> 00:18:26,520
a buying opportunity, not a time
to panic. 

384
00:18:26,520 --> 00:18:28,200
Now let's go to move on to some 
news. 

385
00:18:28,360 --> 00:18:30,560
We have here the first news of 
the day, which is a story from 

386
00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:32,920
the Wall Street Journal that 
says Visa and MasterCard reached

387
00:18:32,920 --> 00:18:35,240
settlement with merchants to 
lower fees. 

388
00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:37,840
Now, if we look at how Visa and 
MasterCard are reacting, we can 

389
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:39,040
just take a look at the stock 
here. 

390
00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:41,280
We'll bring it up here on 
Qualtrim. 

391
00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:45,040
We have Visa right here. 
Visa's in the red, while the 

392
00:18:45,040 --> 00:18:46,400
rest of the market's in the 
green. 

393
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,200
Visa's in the red. 
We have MasterCard here. 

394
00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:52,360
We'll take a look at that. 
Mastercard's also in the red. 

395
00:18:52,880 --> 00:18:56,080
And then we have AXP, which is 
American Express. 

396
00:18:56,480 --> 00:18:58,240
American Express is also in the 
red. 

397
00:18:58,760 --> 00:19:01,720
So with the rest of the market 
going up, with people getting 

398
00:19:01,720 --> 00:19:04,800
excited about the government 
shutdown potentially stopping, 

399
00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:07,400
we have the market going up. 
But all of these companies are 

400
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:10,200
in the red. 
This is because when you first 

401
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:13,480
look at this news story, it's 
difficult to interpret it other 

402
00:19:13,480 --> 00:19:16,520
than negative news. 
But this is positive news. 

403
00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:18,720
First of all, the Wall Street 
Journal says that under the 

404
00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,840
agreement, the payment companies
will lower credit card 

405
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:26,000
interchange fees or fees that 
stores paid to swipe cards by an

406
00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:29,760
average of .1%. 
So right there we have the first

407
00:19:30,120 --> 00:19:32,520
actual point of data from this 
change. 

408
00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,000
They settled with the merchants 
to lower fees. 

409
00:19:35,160 --> 00:19:37,520
How could that be good for Visa 
and MasterCard? 

410
00:19:37,680 --> 00:19:41,200
These interchange fees do not go
back to Visa and MasterCard. 

411
00:19:41,320 --> 00:19:44,320
They go directly to the banks, 
so the banks are actually the 

412
00:19:44,320 --> 00:19:47,440
loser in this situation. 
The merchants are the winner and

413
00:19:47,440 --> 00:19:50,200
Visa MasterCard dodge a bullet. 
They don't really get hit by 

414
00:19:50,200 --> 00:19:52,120
this at all. 
They weren't making this money 

415
00:19:52,120 --> 00:19:53,840
that was mostly directed towards
the bank. 

416
00:19:53,840 --> 00:19:55,960
So they're not really losing out
on any money here. 

417
00:19:56,520 --> 00:19:57,960
Then we look at the next part of
the story. 

418
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:01,320
Merchants will also have more 
surcharge options as well as be 

419
00:20:01,320 --> 00:20:04,280
able to decide which categories 
of US credit cards they will 

420
00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:06,240
accept. 
Now this seems a little dicey. 

421
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:09,240
They basically agreed to say, 
hey merchants, you now have more

422
00:20:09,240 --> 00:20:11,600
control over which type of cards
you can accept. 

423
00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:14,440
For example, you could accept 
only debit cards because they 

424
00:20:14,440 --> 00:20:16,240
have a lower fee. 
And you can say I'm not going to

425
00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,360
accept this type of Visa card or
I'm going to accept a Visa and 

426
00:20:19,360 --> 00:20:22,400
MasterCard, but I'm not going to
accept American Express or any 

427
00:20:22,400 --> 00:20:24,960
of the the cards that have the 
really high fees associated with

428
00:20:24,960 --> 00:20:26,440
them. 
Now merchants have total. 

429
00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,680
Flexibility and control. 
And while it may feel good that 

430
00:20:29,680 --> 00:20:33,440
they have control, they really 
don't have much control here and

431
00:20:33,440 --> 00:20:34,960
they really don't have a lot of 
options. 

432
00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:39,520
Almost every single merchant 
invariably will accept the 

433
00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:41,840
higher end cars even if they 
have higher fees. 

434
00:20:42,120 --> 00:20:44,520
And the reason why is it makes 
business sense. 

435
00:20:44,840 --> 00:20:47,200
It makes business sense to such 
an extent that it's not even a 

436
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,960
really debatable subject. 
For example, if you were to 

437
00:20:49,960 --> 00:20:53,600
break down which type of 
customer pays with debit and 

438
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:57,080
which type of customer pays with
credit, you can almost put them 

439
00:20:57,080 --> 00:20:59,160
in two different buckets. 
And the people that pay with 

440
00:20:59,160 --> 00:21:01,560
credit make more money. 
They are a higher income 

441
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:04,200
consumer. 
They have higher salary jobs, 

442
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:06,720
they have more stability in 
their work and they're higher 

443
00:21:06,720 --> 00:21:09,560
spenders. 
So if you were to say I want to 

444
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:12,400
save on processing fees and I 
only want to accept the debit 

445
00:21:12,400 --> 00:21:15,120
cards or these lower fee cards 
and I don't want to accept 

446
00:21:15,120 --> 00:21:19,120
credit cards as a business, you 
would be saying all the wealthy 

447
00:21:19,120 --> 00:21:23,000
people, all the people that have
stability jobs, high salaries 

448
00:21:23,080 --> 00:21:25,760
and consume a lot. 
I don't want your business. 

449
00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:29,120
I just want the lower end 
consumer, the consumer that has 

450
00:21:29,120 --> 00:21:31,040
less stability and less spending
power. 

451
00:21:31,360 --> 00:21:33,360
That would be the decision the 
business is making. 

452
00:21:33,360 --> 00:21:35,920
Also, this type of thing where 
you only accept a certain 

453
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:39,120
segment of cards is also going 
to frustrate your shoppers. 

454
00:21:39,480 --> 00:21:42,080
Imagine a different scenario 
where shopper comes into a 

455
00:21:42,080 --> 00:21:45,240
grocery store or retail 
location, they fill their entire

456
00:21:45,240 --> 00:21:47,920
cart with merchandise they go to
check out. 

457
00:21:48,240 --> 00:21:51,480
But then you say that you don't 
accept credit cards and they and

458
00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,960
they look at their cart just 
full of $100 worth of stuff and 

459
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:57,240
they go, OK, I guess I'm just 
going to have to put this stuff 

460
00:21:57,240 --> 00:21:59,640
back on the shelf. 
What do you think that business 

461
00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,040
owner would immediately do after
seeing a customer put all that 

462
00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:06,400
merchandise back on the shelf 
because you're not accepting a 

463
00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:09,240
payment method that is widely 
available elsewhere? 

464
00:22:09,280 --> 00:22:11,920
These type of changes cause 
enormous frustration to the 

465
00:22:11,920 --> 00:22:14,360
consumer. 
It adds friction on the point of

466
00:22:14,360 --> 00:22:17,000
sale, which is the last place 
that you want to add friction. 

467
00:22:17,000 --> 00:22:20,600
No retailers going to tell their
best shoppers to take a hike. 

468
00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:23,680
The high spend consumers, the 
ones with the most money that 

469
00:22:23,680 --> 00:22:26,320
they don't want their business. 
And if they do, that's going to 

470
00:22:26,320 --> 00:22:29,120
be at their own detriment. 
The third reason why American 

471
00:22:29,120 --> 00:22:31,800
Express, MasterCard and Visa 
should actually be in the green 

472
00:22:31,800 --> 00:22:35,840
after this news, not in the red,
is because not only did they not

473
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,880
lose in this case, they're not 
going to be hurt by it, but it's

474
00:22:38,880 --> 00:22:41,200
also uncertainty that's now 
taken off the table. 

475
00:22:41,440 --> 00:22:43,800
They finally settled an 
agreement and that agreement 

476
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:45,640
could have gone much worse than 
this. 

477
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:47,760
There could have been outcomes 
that actually damage these 

478
00:22:47,760 --> 00:22:51,480
companies, but the implemented 
solution here, the remedy really

479
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:54,040
won't affect these companies. 
So I believe American Express, 

480
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:57,000
Visa, MasterCard should be in 
the green after this news, not 

481
00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:58,600
in the red. 
Now moving on, we also get to 

482
00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:01,920
news that Trump is once again 
floating around an idea of 

483
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:07,000
giving $2000 to most Americans a
dividend of at least $2000 a 

484
00:23:07,000 --> 00:23:09,680
person, not including high 
income people. 

485
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,040
Out of the group that will 
benefit the most from a $2000 

486
00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:16,600
per person stimulus, the group 
that's not given the stimulus 

487
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:18,440
will be the one that benefits 
the most. 

488
00:23:18,760 --> 00:23:20,800
They'll be the biggest gainers 
from the stimulus. 

489
00:23:21,080 --> 00:23:23,560
So even though it specifically 
says not including high income 

490
00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,760
people, those are the people 
that own assets and own stocks. 

491
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:29,680
They're going to be the ones 
that make the most money from a 

492
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:32,120
$2000 stimulus. 
And the reasons behind this is 

493
00:23:32,120 --> 00:23:34,760
rather simple. 
When people are given without 

494
00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:38,520
any work or any effort, a $2000 
deposit into their checking 

495
00:23:38,520 --> 00:23:40,600
account, it doesn't stay there 
for long. 

496
00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:44,200
It will inevitably get spent on 
either goods or services. 

497
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,960
People eat at restaurants, 
people go on vacation, people 

498
00:23:47,960 --> 00:23:49,440
buy products. 
They'll sign up for Netflix 

499
00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:52,400
subscriptions or YouTube TV. 
They'll maybe buy YouTube 

500
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,080
Premium. 
There's all different things 

501
00:23:54,080 --> 00:23:55,480
that people do when they're 
given money. 

502
00:23:55,800 --> 00:23:58,640
A lot of it is just spending it 
at different stores, retail 

503
00:23:58,640 --> 00:24:02,920
locations, goods and services 
that work its way back into the 

504
00:24:02,920 --> 00:24:07,040
stock market almost immediately.
A huge portion of this money, 

505
00:24:07,120 --> 00:24:10,400
potentially 10s if not hundreds 
of billions of dollars, would be

506
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:13,800
given to people and then within 
months work its way into the 

507
00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:17,760
earnings results of companies. 
The net income, all that money 

508
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,880
would be absorbed and soaked 
back into the economy, back into

509
00:24:20,880 --> 00:24:23,920
companies, and then back into 
shareholders pockets within an 

510
00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,520
order of months. 
And that's the same type of 

511
00:24:25,520 --> 00:24:28,680
dynamic we saw with the COVID 
stimulus checks. 

512
00:24:29,280 --> 00:24:31,640
At first it seemed like they're 
just given as necessity. 

513
00:24:31,920 --> 00:24:35,200
But of course, when any broad 
range stimulus is given, many 

514
00:24:35,200 --> 00:24:37,480
people use it to spend on goods 
and services they wouldn't 

515
00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,320
otherwise buy, boosting 
companies earnings to record 

516
00:24:40,320 --> 00:24:42,240
highs. 
So this is another thing that I 

517
00:24:42,240 --> 00:24:43,680
believe will benefit the stock 
market. 

518
00:24:43,880 --> 00:24:46,480
Another way this will benefit 
the stock market is even if 

519
00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:49,800
these people take the $2000 and 
choose to invest, they'll buy 

520
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,240
many of the stocks that 
shareholders already own, 

521
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,560
further bumping up the price. 
We saw the same thing again 

522
00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:57,080
during COVID. 
Many people look at their 

523
00:24:57,080 --> 00:25:00,240
stimulus check as an opportunity
to buy more stocks to bump up 

524
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:04,040
their portfolio, which always 
works in the favor of existing 

525
00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,920
investors, ones that already 
have their stakes where these 

526
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:08,920
new buyers are buying at higher 
prices. 

527
00:25:09,080 --> 00:25:12,520
If this does happen, the people 
that already own stocks, the 

528
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:15,640
people that already have 
portfolios will be the biggest 

529
00:25:15,640 --> 00:25:18,480
beneficiaries of it by far. 
Now moving on, we get to some 

530
00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:22,240
news that Gene Munster went on 
the CNBC and he has a a rare 

531
00:25:22,240 --> 00:25:24,680
call here, or at least one that 
I don't see a lot of people 

532
00:25:24,680 --> 00:25:26,800
making. 
There's not that many people in 

533
00:25:26,800 --> 00:25:30,240
my feeds or around my circle of,
of the people that I communicate

534
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:33,160
with that are going out on a 
limb and saying that Apple's the

535
00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:35,760
Best Buy now. 
That was something that I was 

536
00:25:35,760 --> 00:25:38,120
doing a couple years ago, a few 
years ago. 

537
00:25:38,120 --> 00:25:39,840
Apple is at a much lower 
valuation. 

538
00:25:40,640 --> 00:25:43,640
They're growing a lot faster. 
I thought Apple is a fantastic 

539
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,680
company and it was previously 
one of the biggest positions in 

540
00:25:46,680 --> 00:25:49,600
My Portfolio. 
But now I've largely trimmed out

541
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,560
of my Apple position. 
I don't hold much of it anymore 

542
00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:55,240
because it trades at a high 
valuation and the growth has 

543
00:25:55,240 --> 00:25:58,080
been a little bit subpar. 
But here we have Gene Munster as

544
00:25:58,080 --> 00:26:01,680
someone that continues to pound 
the table for Apple. 

545
00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,560
He's so bullish on this company.
Let's go ahead and hear him out 

546
00:26:04,560 --> 00:26:07,640
of why he thinks this is the 
Best Buy over the next six 

547
00:26:07,640 --> 00:26:10,000
months. 
This I think is going to be the 

548
00:26:10,120 --> 00:26:13,160
the top performing Mag 7 for the
next three months. 

549
00:26:13,160 --> 00:26:17,400
It's it's a total sleeper here, 
but effectively the bar is low 

550
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:19,400
for AI. 
There's no question about that. 

551
00:26:19,640 --> 00:26:23,240
If you look at the cadence of 
what's going on with the iPhone,

552
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:26,120
the numbers still need to come 
up for fiscal 26. 

553
00:26:26,360 --> 00:26:29,640
And most importantly is what's 
going to happen probably in 

554
00:26:29,640 --> 00:26:31,960
March, April time frame with 
this new Siri. 

555
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:36,040
If Apple makes good and they 
have a history of making good on

556
00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:39,480
high quality products, if they 
make good on what they have very

557
00:26:39,480 --> 00:26:41,960
clearly described about their 
vision of the next series, 

558
00:26:41,960 --> 00:26:45,680
something that is AI powered and
personal and contextual. 

559
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,520
If they deliver that, I think 
that that's going to expand the 

560
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:50,320
multiple. 
And so I'm in the camp. 

561
00:26:50,320 --> 00:26:53,920
There's a solid 20% upside to 
Apple shares over the next three

562
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:56,240
to six months. 
So there's his case for Apple, 

563
00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:59,080
if they truly make good on their
promises and they deliver an AI 

564
00:26:59,080 --> 00:27:02,280
phone and AI products, they're 
going to expand the multiple. 

565
00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:05,440
Now, when I look at Apple today,
this is a company that I love. 

566
00:27:05,480 --> 00:27:08,240
Again, I've I've had this one as
a huge holding in My Portfolio. 

567
00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:09,520
I've made a lot of gains with 
Apple. 

568
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:13,000
It's one that I don't really 
hold right now because there's a

569
00:27:13,000 --> 00:27:14,640
couple things that I think Gene 
is leaving out. 

570
00:27:14,960 --> 00:27:16,680
First of all, expanding the 
multiple. 

571
00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:19,560
Right now it has a 33 forward 
multiple. 

572
00:27:20,120 --> 00:27:25,040
So having the thesis be reliant 
on multiple expansion, it means 

573
00:27:25,040 --> 00:27:28,680
that you believe it's going to 
go to a 35A36 multiple. 

574
00:27:28,920 --> 00:27:31,480
You're hoping that it's going to
go to the mid to high 30s Ford 

575
00:27:31,480 --> 00:27:34,120
PE ratio. 
That's quite the multiple 

576
00:27:34,120 --> 00:27:35,840
expansion. 
When we look at Apple, we also 

577
00:27:35,840 --> 00:27:38,280
have a company where the revenue
has stayed mostly flat for the 

578
00:27:38,280 --> 00:27:41,600
past couple of years. 
It's grown 4 or 5% / a 

579
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:44,720
three-year period. 
I believe out of the Max 7, the 

580
00:27:44,720 --> 00:27:47,760
two stocks that will do the best
over the next three months is 

581
00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:50,640
going to be Google and Amazon. 
Those companies I think are 

582
00:27:50,640 --> 00:27:52,680
better positioned. 
They have better multiples to 

583
00:27:52,680 --> 00:27:56,280
grow into and they have far 
better revenue growth and 

584
00:27:56,280 --> 00:27:57,880
earnings per share growth 
potential. 

585
00:27:58,040 --> 00:27:59,920
Now, another stock we could look
at is Meta. 

586
00:27:59,920 --> 00:28:03,240
This is one that Dan Ives has 
frequently talked about here. 

587
00:28:03,240 --> 00:28:06,480
He's on CNBC saying that this is
a table pounder. 

588
00:28:06,480 --> 00:28:08,760
Let's go ahead and listen to Dan
Ives thoughts on meta. 

589
00:28:09,120 --> 00:28:12,200
I think Meta is a bit of an 
outlier just because, you know, 

590
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:14,960
obviously how dramatically more 
they're going to spend on CapEx 

591
00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:16,960
and what happened to numbers 
going to next year. 

592
00:28:17,240 --> 00:28:21,480
But in my opinion, Meta is a 
table pounder here and I think 

593
00:28:21,480 --> 00:28:26,760
below 600 because it's my view 
they're transforming this 

594
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:30,200
business over the coming years. 
Zuckerberg right now, wartime 

595
00:28:30,200 --> 00:28:33,760
Ceoi get, you know, fretting 
about everything that's 

596
00:28:33,760 --> 00:28:36,400
happening here, but this is an 
AI arms race. 

597
00:28:36,640 --> 00:28:40,600
But I continue to view it as you
want to see them spend because 

598
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:43,160
you're talking about the the 
earnings growth over the coming 

599
00:28:43,160 --> 00:28:45,320
years is going to be massive. 
That's why they're spent. 

600
00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,800
The markets not pricing in 
massive EPS growth for Meta over

601
00:28:48,800 --> 00:28:52,200
the next couple of years. 
In fact, next year 2026 Wall 

602
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:54,120
Street estimates are that Meta 
is going to grow earnings 

603
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:57,880
between 12 to 14%, which would 
be a huge deceleration. 

604
00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:00,080
So that's part of the reason the
stock is going down as they're 

605
00:29:00,080 --> 00:29:04,080
pricing in less growth, more 
expenses, more amortizing, all 

606
00:29:04,080 --> 00:29:07,600
this CapEx spend and a CapEx 
spend that's less predictable 

607
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:11,000
than Google Cloud, Azure or AWS 
because Meta is a bit more of a 

608
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:12,080
long shot. 
I agree. 

609
00:29:12,080 --> 00:29:15,080
Right now Meta is at a buy. 
I think the company is at an 

610
00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:16,920
attractive price. 
I think Meta is going to have 

611
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,760
some issues and short term 
losses with their CapEx spend, 

612
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:21,960
but that demand is going to be 
filled over time. 

613
00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:23,800
Now moving on, we get to another
interview. 

614
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:26,760
This time it's from Mark 
Mahaney, where he's asked about 

615
00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,320
Uber, he's asked about Duolingo,
he's asked about these companies

616
00:29:30,320 --> 00:29:32,680
where the stock price is 
dropping like a rock. 

617
00:29:32,680 --> 00:29:35,480
It's going down because 
investors aren't happy about the

618
00:29:35,480 --> 00:29:38,680
investments that they're making.
For example, DoorDash just 

619
00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:40,680
dropped because they announced 
they're making significant 

620
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:43,040
investments in a VS. 
They're trying to build out more

621
00:29:43,040 --> 00:29:46,400
autonomous driving delivery. 
They're trying to invest in that

622
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,760
part of the company because 
DoorDash believes that's where 

623
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:50,840
things are headed and they want 
to be in front of it. 

624
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,080
Duolingo investors had very 
similar concerns. 

625
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:55,680
The stock has sold down ever 
since their earnings after the 

626
00:29:55,680 --> 00:29:58,120
company basically said that 
they're focusing less on 

627
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:01,240
immediate profits and revenue 
growth than they are the global 

628
00:30:01,240 --> 00:30:03,880
opportunity of a education 
platform. 

629
00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:07,240
They're focusing on teaching 
quality, the content quality, as

630
00:30:07,240 --> 00:30:10,520
well as keeping people engaged 
and growing the users over short

631
00:30:10,520 --> 00:30:12,960
term conversions. 
From the free tear to the paid 

632
00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:15,920
tear, both of these have caused 
these stocks to go down, and 

633
00:30:15,920 --> 00:30:17,160
here's Mark Mahaney's take on 
it. 

634
00:30:17,240 --> 00:30:19,560
You know, I, I, I'd spend it 
another way or similar to what 

635
00:30:19,560 --> 00:30:23,280
you just did, John. 
Investors don't like investment 

636
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:26,160
cycles. 
So I think that's the case with 

637
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:30,680
Meta, Dash, Duolingo, Uber. 
I think there's a few other 

638
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:33,120
names in there too, maybe 
Pinterest, you know, all those 

639
00:30:33,120 --> 00:30:35,960
companies that went into it out 
of this earnings cycle and sort 

640
00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:40,120
of negatively surprised the 
market by saying we really want 

641
00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:43,920
to lean into investments first. 
And I think DoorDash is, you 

642
00:30:43,920 --> 00:30:46,200
know, to me, it's kind of like 
you just can't be that 

643
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:48,080
surprised. 
They just closed the deal with 

644
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:50,320
Deliveroo. 
They bought the asset to invest 

645
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:53,720
in, to regrow it, and yet the 
market didn't like it and sold 

646
00:30:53,720 --> 00:30:56,160
off the stock aggressively. 
The good news though, on. 

647
00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:59,080
So that's that to me is kind of 
the common theme here. 

648
00:30:59,200 --> 00:31:02,320
The good news is investors, 
yeah, you don't want to buy a 

649
00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:04,800
stock before they announce the 
investment cycle. 

650
00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:07,440
But if you believe that it's a 
good investment cycle, this is 

651
00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:09,520
your clearing event. 
This is your chance to get in on

652
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:11,080
a stock. 
The DoorDash hasn't been one of 

653
00:31:11,080 --> 00:31:13,640
my top long since it's been a 
long for us, hasn't been a top 

654
00:31:13,640 --> 00:31:14,760
long. 
But you know, it's something I 

655
00:31:14,760 --> 00:31:17,120
got to seriously consider. 
Now you've got the bad news out 

656
00:31:17,120 --> 00:31:19,480
of the way and what's happened, 
You know, there's been some 

657
00:31:19,880 --> 00:31:22,000
reports about the consumer 
flagging. 

658
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:23,600
You're not seeing it from 
DoorDash. 

659
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:26,120
You're not seeing and by the 
way, in the travel names either 

660
00:31:26,120 --> 00:31:29,040
Airbnb, I mean the demand was 
better than expected and 

661
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,840
intrinsically strong across all 
the travel names that I look at 

662
00:31:32,040 --> 00:31:34,280
and for DoorDash too. 
So I like DoorDash here. 

663
00:31:34,280 --> 00:31:36,760
I understand the investment 
cycle risk, but guess what? 

664
00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:39,400
That's behind us now. 
So he feels that there's a 

665
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:41,920
reason all these companies are 
going down, whether it's Meta, 

666
00:31:41,920 --> 00:31:45,840
Duolingo, DoorDash or Uber, all 
of them announced increase 

667
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:48,160
investments into the future 
growth of their business. 

668
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:50,720
Those investments, of course, 
slow down near term 

669
00:31:50,720 --> 00:31:54,000
profitability growth. 
When investors hear that, they 

670
00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:56,280
run for the exits. 
They don't want companies that 

671
00:31:56,280 --> 00:31:58,560
are pouring money into 
investments that may or may work

672
00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:00,840
out in the future. 
They want companies leaning into

673
00:32:00,840 --> 00:32:03,280
profits today. 
So investors are leaving these 

674
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,000
companies. 
They're going into different 

675
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,080
holdings. 
But he says that this is a 

676
00:32:07,080 --> 00:32:09,440
clearing event. 
It's a way for you to get into 

677
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:11,760
these stocks or if you're 
already in them, to increase 

678
00:32:11,760 --> 00:32:15,240
your positions at better prices.
That is because there's one big 

679
00:32:15,240 --> 00:32:18,080
concern already being priced 
into the companies today. 

680
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:19,760
They already know about the 
investments. 

681
00:32:19,760 --> 00:32:21,120
They already know about this 
cycle. 

682
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:24,160
Now is the time to buy. 
In the past, when this has 

683
00:32:24,160 --> 00:32:26,240
happened, when companies have 
said that they're going to 

684
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:29,400
invest a lot, that's like what 
happened to Amazon in 2022. 

685
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:34,360
All throughout 2022 and 2023 and
2024, Amazon stock price just 

686
00:32:34,360 --> 00:32:37,560
went up over and over again 
because the investment cycle 

687
00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:40,480
worked its way through. 
If you don't buy in during the 

688
00:32:40,480 --> 00:32:42,960
investment cycle, during these 
opportunities that the market 

689
00:32:42,960 --> 00:32:44,720
hands you, you may miss out on 
it. 

690
00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:46,520
Now moving on, we get to our 
fail of the week. 

691
00:32:46,520 --> 00:32:49,520
We start things off with a fail 
of the week early on a Monday 

692
00:32:49,920 --> 00:32:53,000
and we have here a group of 
people, they're gathered around 

693
00:32:53,000 --> 00:32:56,640
here, an HR executive, so that's
the the head of HR of the 

694
00:32:56,640 --> 00:32:58,120
company. 
Then you have all these 

695
00:32:58,120 --> 00:33:01,360
employees gathered around. 
One of them is filming them 

696
00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:03,440
while a couple others are 
berating them. 

697
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:04,800
Let's go ahead and just take a 
look here. 

698
00:33:05,640 --> 00:33:08,120
Congregate. 
Look how Skygate I'm. 

699
00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:10,680
Sorry, what's your definition of
congregate? 

700
00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:14,240
So everyone you know, we'd 
appreciate if you would, you 

701
00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:16,000
would go back to the workplace 
where. 

702
00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:18,320
You're Is there a place that you
would be able to speak to us? 

703
00:33:18,520 --> 00:33:20,440
Not today. 
We have other things going on. 

704
00:33:20,560 --> 00:33:22,120
Do you think we're not worth 
speaking to Sam? 

705
00:33:22,400 --> 00:33:25,000
Does your words not mine but. 
They might be your beliefs. 

706
00:33:25,320 --> 00:33:27,520
They're not my beliefs. 
OK, so you do think we're worth 

707
00:33:27,520 --> 00:33:28,840
speaking, Sam? 
Everyone should. 

708
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:32,760
OK, so right off the bat, we 
already have a lot of hostility 

709
00:33:32,760 --> 00:33:34,760
in this video, if you didn't 
catch that. 

710
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,520
This employee that's talking to 
the HR person says something at 

711
00:33:38,520 --> 00:33:40,080
the very beginning, which is 
totally reasonable. 

712
00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,080
He says he wants them to go back
to their workplace. 

713
00:33:43,480 --> 00:33:46,520
And this employee here asks, 
well, do you have time to talk 

714
00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:48,960
with us? 
Totally reasonable that that's 

715
00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,160
the right there. 
That was something completely 

716
00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:54,040
fine appropriate to say, but 
then it's what immediately 

717
00:33:54,040 --> 00:33:56,720
followed after that where it 
went into hostility. 

718
00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:58,560
We. 
Go back to the workplace where 

719
00:33:58,600 --> 00:34:00,000
you're. 
Is there a place that you would 

720
00:34:00,040 --> 00:34:01,760
be able to speak to us? 
Not today. 

721
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:03,920
We have other things going on. 
Do you think we're not worth 

722
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:06,800
speaking to Sam? 
Do you think we're not worth 

723
00:34:06,800 --> 00:34:10,719
speaking to Sam? 
These are the loaded questions. 

724
00:34:10,960 --> 00:34:14,239
Right after that first sentence,
which was reasonable, he gave an

725
00:34:14,239 --> 00:34:16,800
answer saying not today. 
Instead of following up and 

726
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:20,000
saying can we schedule a time, a
time set in stone where you can 

727
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:22,560
speak to us? 
Instead of saying that this 

728
00:34:22,560 --> 00:34:26,480
employee says, are we not worth 
speaking to Sam? 

729
00:34:27,120 --> 00:34:30,239
Just a loaded hostile question 
right at the beginning. 

730
00:34:30,800 --> 00:34:33,679
Says your words, not mine, but. 
But this answer is great. 

731
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:37,320
Those are your words, not mine. 
Just throwing it right back to 

732
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:39,639
the employee saying, look, I'm 
not buying into your loaded 

733
00:34:39,639 --> 00:34:41,600
question. 
You're saying that that doesn't 

734
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:44,000
reflect how I feel. 
And then this employee pushes 

735
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:45,760
back even harder, becoming more 
hostile. 

736
00:34:45,760 --> 00:34:47,120
They. 
Might be your beliefs. 

737
00:34:47,520 --> 00:34:50,639
They're not my beliefs. 
Those might be your beliefs, 

738
00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:52,639
saying it might be your beliefs 
now. 

739
00:34:52,639 --> 00:34:55,080
Now the employee's reading the 
mind of the HR person. 

740
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:58,160
Oh, even though you say that 
those are my words, not yours, 

741
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:00,240
I'm going to just say that those
are your beliefs. 

742
00:35:00,240 --> 00:35:02,560
I know what you believe. 
Can you imagine if the HR person

743
00:35:02,560 --> 00:35:05,040
did that? 
Started asking loaded questions 

744
00:35:05,040 --> 00:35:08,320
and inferring people's beliefs. 
OK, So you do think we're we're 

745
00:35:08,320 --> 00:35:10,400
sticking this out? 
Everyone should go back to your 

746
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:11,640
workplace. 
I work. 

747
00:35:11,640 --> 00:35:13,760
I work here. 
You dismissed us and said talk 

748
00:35:13,760 --> 00:35:15,480
to us. 
You told us that we had to come 

749
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:17,320
work in person here four days a 
week. 

750
00:35:17,320 --> 00:35:19,280
This is our work here. 
Like our hot microdeo, which is 

751
00:35:19,680 --> 00:35:20,880
my father. 
Yeah. 

752
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:22,560
Are you running away from us? 
No, I'm doing. 

753
00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:26,720
So then the employees are told, 
can you, can you please go back 

754
00:35:26,720 --> 00:35:29,840
to your work areas? 
And then they say, I work here, 

755
00:35:30,400 --> 00:35:31,760
I work here. 
Well, you don't work in the 

756
00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:33,400
hallway. 
That's not what they, that's not

757
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:35,040
what he means. 
You're not working in that 

758
00:35:35,040 --> 00:35:37,200
hallway surrounding someone's 
desk. 

759
00:35:37,480 --> 00:35:39,880
Obviously he means to get back 
to your desks and do what you're

760
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:43,040
getting paid to do voluntarily. 
You're showing up to work to get

761
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:45,320
paid to do something, go to your
desks and work. 

762
00:35:46,200 --> 00:35:48,640
And then instead of doing that, 
well, some of them do, granted, 

763
00:35:48,640 --> 00:35:51,080
a number of them do, they're 
like, OK, this is over, I'm 

764
00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:53,160
going to go back. 
But then a handful of them 

765
00:35:53,160 --> 00:35:55,920
choose to get out the cameras. 
You have multiple cameras there.

766
00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:57,360
There's another one here on 
screen. 

767
00:35:57,720 --> 00:36:00,920
They get out the cameras and 
follow the guy down the hallway,

768
00:36:00,920 --> 00:36:04,920
filming him in a private 
workplace, which if you're ever 

769
00:36:04,920 --> 00:36:08,000
following someone around filming
them, that right there is just 

770
00:36:08,000 --> 00:36:10,600
one of the most obnoxious things
you could ever do to a person. 

771
00:36:10,600 --> 00:36:13,120
Following around and filming 
someone that doesn't want to be 

772
00:36:13,120 --> 00:36:17,200
filmed is not only just wrong, 
but it's incredibly obnoxious. 

773
00:36:17,680 --> 00:36:20,320
You're almost always the bad guy
if you do that. 

774
00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:30,440
If. 
You could just go this way, you 

775
00:36:30,440 --> 00:36:32,600
guys, will you come this way 
with us? 

776
00:36:33,240 --> 00:36:34,480
No, no. 
I'm in a meeting. 

777
00:36:34,600 --> 00:36:35,080
I'm. 
Working. 

778
00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:36,400
OK. 
Well, we have some quick 

779
00:36:36,400 --> 00:36:37,480
questions. 
You answer them. 

780
00:36:37,480 --> 00:36:38,680
I'd be happy to go back to our 
desks. 

781
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:40,480
All right. 
We thank you. 

782
00:36:41,240 --> 00:36:42,680
Thank you. 
You don't want to answer any 

783
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:45,080
questions. 
I've directed you back to your. 

784
00:36:45,080 --> 00:36:49,040
Workplace. 
Is that is that a good answer, 

785
00:36:49,080 --> 00:36:50,440
guys? 
Absolutely not. 

786
00:36:50,440 --> 00:36:51,880
Come on, Stan. 
Really good answer, Stan. 

787
00:36:53,200 --> 00:36:55,760
Stan, these are here. 
Our colleagues, we're concerned 

788
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:59,120
about our company. 
You're disengaging with the 

789
00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:01,600
employees who work here. 
Did you like the OFD and vote 

790
00:37:01,600 --> 00:37:05,280
these political agents? 
What are you going to do to? 

791
00:37:06,880 --> 00:37:08,680
Stand up. 
Now these employees are upset 

792
00:37:08,680 --> 00:37:11,560
because there's layoffs at the 
company and that is unfortunate.

793
00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:13,880
I sympathize with that. 
I want everybody to be working 

794
00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:17,080
and making a lot of money, but 
this is not the way to respond 

795
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:19,960
to layoffs and it's not a way to
get ahead in life and get higher

796
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:21,760
pay and better jobs and better 
treatment. 

797
00:37:22,240 --> 00:37:24,640
The way to do that, If you 
really want to twist the wrists 

798
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:28,000
of your manager, if you really 
want to hold them to task, just 

799
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:30,240
interview for different 
positions at different 

800
00:37:30,240 --> 00:37:33,040
companies. 
Get offer letters that are more 

801
00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:34,200
than what you're currently 
making. 

802
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:38,000
Send those offer letters to your
boss and say that you would like

803
00:37:38,000 --> 00:37:40,240
them to reconsider their salary 
here because you have 

804
00:37:40,240 --> 00:37:42,040
opportunities where you're going
to be making more money. 

805
00:37:42,240 --> 00:37:44,400
In almost every case, they'll 
want to keep the employee the 

806
00:37:44,480 --> 00:37:47,640
other companies value more. 
If those other companies that 

807
00:37:47,640 --> 00:37:50,200
are competitors are saying 
they'll pay this much, this 

808
00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:53,320
company will bump up their pay. 
I've done it many times with my 

809
00:37:53,320 --> 00:37:55,280
own job. 
You interview for other 

810
00:37:55,280 --> 00:37:58,240
positions, you get job offers, 
and you leverage them for higher

811
00:37:58,240 --> 00:38:00,040
pay. 
The company's not willing to pay

812
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:01,840
you more. 
You simply bounce. 

813
00:38:02,240 --> 00:38:03,840
You need to have no loyalty to 
companies. 

814
00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:05,400
You don't need to like them. 
You don't need to care about 

815
00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,440
them. 
You can bounce, but in the 

816
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:11,160
process, you should always, 
always end on a good note. 

817
00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:13,520
Never burn bridges in the 
workplace. 

818
00:38:13,680 --> 00:38:16,560
Jobs aren't unlimited, and most 
people, when they're hiring 

819
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:18,200
employees, have very long 
memories. 

820
00:38:18,440 --> 00:38:20,920
They'll remember working with 
you, they'll remember if you 

821
00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:24,280
burned a bridge, and you may run
into them in the future because 

822
00:38:24,280 --> 00:38:26,640
you're all working in the same 
industry, typically in the same 

823
00:38:26,640 --> 00:38:28,360
location. 
Out of all the people that just 

824
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:31,240
actually harmed, it harmed these
four employees the most. 

825
00:38:31,520 --> 00:38:34,520
For that reason, it is the fail 
of the week that's going to be 

826
00:38:34,520 --> 00:38:36,720
for this episode. 
Hope you enjoyed seeing the next

827
00:38:36,720 --> 00:38:36,880
one.
