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Welcome back everyone. 
Today on the Joseph Carlson 

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Show, Google's making everyone 
nervous. 

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We're seeing this over and over 
again. 

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We first saw it with NVIDIA. 
NVIDIA released this blog post 

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saying, hey, Google's making 
great Tpus. 

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Congrats on the success, but 
we're still the best. 

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Remember us NVIDIA? 
Don't choose Google's Tpus, 

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Meta. 
Choose us, NVIDIA. 

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That was a very defensive move. 
And then we also have Jensen 

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going around on, on different 
interviews, answering the 

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question over and over again 
about whether or not he's 

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concerned about Google. 
And of course he's saying, I'm 

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not concerned at all, even 
though they're doing a great 

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job. 
I'm not worried at all. 

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But then we have Open AI. 
Google was supposed to be the 

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company disrupted by Open AI, 
but it seems like the tables 

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have turned now. 
Googles apparently making Open 

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AI and Sam Altman send out a 
memo saying that there is a code

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red. 
The Wall Street Journal has 

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written about this memo, 
revealing a lot of the details 

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of what Sam Altman said in it, 
what he's revealed and the 

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direction that Sam Altman's now 
taking open. 

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AI, which is a big change. 
We're going to be looking 

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through this and seeing how 
investors can identify these 

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type of companies, the Googles, 
where people are very nervous 

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about them, and then it turns 
out, OK ahead of time. 

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Now, of course, we have a lot of
other news to get to. 

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We have a opinion piece in the 
New York Times from a surgeon 

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that says that Waymo is so 
incredibly safe that people 

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don't really understand the 
medical and the human life 

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consequences of a Waymo 
robotaxi. 

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We also have news that one of my
largest positions, which is 

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Netflix, is down over 5% today 
on the news that they're bidding

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on Warner Brothers Discovery. 
Very seriously. 

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Apparently this isn't just a 
fake bid. 

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Netflix wants to own Warner 
Brothers Discovery. 

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We'll be discussing from a 
shareholder perspective here. 

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And we have the fail of the 
week, which in this case, 

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unfortunately, I have to 
highlight Waymo. 

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So we're going to be talking 
about Waymo a couple times here.

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In this case, a Waymo drives by 
an intense high stakes scene of 

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a standoff between someone lying
on the ground and a bunch of 

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officers pointing their gun at 
them. 

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So we'll be going over the fail 
of the week as well. 

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So we have a ton of things to 
get to. 

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This is a very full episode. 
And just a quick mention, if you

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We've had thousands of new 

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people join just over the past 
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Most of them love it. 
And if you try it out, I think 

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The reason why is because it's 

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platform to analyze stocks. 
You have stock insights that 

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shows you all these charts and 
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It gives you 30 plus years of 
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It gives you a briefing of 
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on a stock. 
It has discounted casual 

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calculators, earnings calendars,
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on and on. 
There's so many features, I 

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can't even list them all off. 
One of the things we just 

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recently implemented last week 
is called Qualtrm Brief, which 

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is a summary of key recent 
events. 

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For example, if you went to 
NVIDIA, you would see a list of 

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the most recent things to happen
with this company so you can get

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briefed on it. 
You can get caught up to date. 

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So if you want to keep up to 
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this is a very easy way to do 
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That's one of the many features 
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Try it out now at qualtrim.com. 
Now, we kick things off today 

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with the news that Google's 
making everybody nervous, and 

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this is the Cinderella story. 
It's the swing and sentiment 

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that we've seen happen over the 
past seven months. 

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And this comes back to one major
point of investing. 

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The biggest thing that investors
struggle with, to have superior 

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returns. 
It's one of the biggest things 

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that Warren Buffett and many 
other great investors talk 

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about. 
Buffett has routinely stated 

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that he believes the most 
important thing in investing is 

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your temperament, your 
discipline. 

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He said that he does not believe
the person with a 160 IQ is a 

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better investor than the person 
with a 130. 

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Out of those two people, 
whatever 1 is more emotionally 

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disciplined, more stable, more 
level headed, whatever one can 

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control their temperament better
will be the better investor. 

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In fact, he even says that 
knowing advanced math doesn't 

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make you a better investor. 
Having complex spreadsheets 

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doesn't make you a better 
investor. 

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In fact, Charlie Munger was 
asked if he's ever seen Warren 

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Buffett use a spreadsheet and he
said never, not once. 

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Buffett makes judgments based 
off very simple calculations. 

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But more importantly, Buffett 
has an extremely stable 

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temperament. 
He's an extremely disciplined 

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investor. 
He doesn't follow the prevailing

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sentiment of whatever the 
market's thinking, and that's 

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where he's gained most of his 
alpha. 

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You also look at the investors 
like Peter Lynch, one of the 

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greatest of our times. 
He's over doubled the market 

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average for 11 years straight. 
He had an incredible performance

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at Magellan, and he's one of the
ones that said that it's not the

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brain that makes money, it's the
stomach. 

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Being able to control your 
stomach, being able to just go 

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through the volatility and 
control those swings is where 

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the money's made. 
He made very simple judgments. 

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Good companies will do well over
time. 

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Companies that grow their 
earnings will be worth more over

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time. 
And don't worry about the 

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volatility and the swings. 
But again, this is much easier 

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said than done. 
Even though we have all these 

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great investors, Warren Buffett,
Peter Lynch, Dev Kantasaria, all

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emphasizing all the time that 
emotional discipline and 

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temperament are the most 
important ingredients in 

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investing, investors still get 
it wrong all the time. 

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The market is made-up of humans.
Humans are emotional. 

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Humans follow the pack. 
It's a safety protocol. 

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We feel safety in numbers. 
So when other people are doing 

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something, we don't feel safe if
we're not doing the same thing. 

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In fact, we feel like an 
outcast, an outsider for not 

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following with the crowd. 
That feels wrong inherently. 

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It's in our biology. 
The investors that are the best 

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in the world are the ones that 
can control their temperament. 

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They feel comfortable either 
way. 

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They can be with the crowd, or 
they can be entirely alone and 

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feel equally comfortable. 
They don't have to fit in and 

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they're not swayed by the 
popular sentiment. 

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And the sentiment can be very 
persuasive when we look at what 

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goes on with different stocks. 
You'll notice the trend in 

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investing. 
Anytime a stock soars to all 

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time highs, people are very 
bullish on it. 

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Almost every time you look at a 
company like Duolingo as a 

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recent example, when it was at 
it's all time highs, people are 

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extremely bullish on it, 
extrapolating huge amounts of 

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growth. 
They're saying that it's going 

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to go on forever and then when 
the stock price went down, 

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people are saying it's a bad 
company, it's a bad bet. 

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It's being disrupted by AI. 
Who would ever want to own that 

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thing? 
They looked at Netflix as a 

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premium company, one of the best
in the world. 

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When they lost subscribers for 
1/4, sentiment entirely changed.

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The stock price went down 70%. 
Nobody wanted to own it. 

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They said it was being 
disrupted. 

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Now that it's back up to all 
time highs, it's viewed as one 

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of the best companies in the 
world. 

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People want to own it. 
You can see the same thing with 

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so many stocks going back just 
over the past five years. 

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Sentiment usually follows price 
and people usually follow the 

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common prevailing sentiment. 
Being able to be detached from 

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that is incredibly important and
that's exactly what we see with 

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Google. 
Google is the one having the all

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hands on deck meeting. 
They had a problem and it was 

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Open AIA company that came out 
with this new way to consume 

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data that Google felt very 
threatened by. 

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So Sundar Pichai had meetings 
with their top executives. 

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They came up with a game plan to
address the situation. 

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Sentiment at the time was 
incredibly low on Google. 

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The stock price was less than 
half of what it is today. 

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Now we Fast forward just seven 
months and the roles have 

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entirely reversed. 
We have an article here from the

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Wall Street Journal titled Open 
AI Declares Code Red as Google 

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Threatens the AI Lead. 
This is the polar opposite of 

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what we just saw not even a year
ago. 

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When we read into this report, 
it goes over what Sam Altman's 

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doing. 
Sam Altman told employees Monday

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that the company was declaring a
Code Red, an effort to improve 

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the quality of ChatGPT and 
delaying other products as a 

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result, according to an internal
memo reviewed by the Wall Street

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Journal. 
So the Wall Street Journal has 

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they they got a copy of this 
memo and they're revealing some 

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of the details. 
They mentioned that this company

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wide memo is the most decisive 
indication yet that opening eyes

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feeling the pressure they're 
feeling it from other 

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competitors, but especially 
Google. 

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We saw some data showing that 
Gemini three had a big spike in 

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download. 
It had a huge surge of 

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popularity. 
It had overwhelmingly positive 

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reception on X and social media.
And we've seen it right there in

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the App Store. 
You know, there's usually 

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ChatGPT, some random app, and 
then Gemini. 

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So Gemini is now right in the 
top five right there with open 

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AI, with Chachi BT. 
So this comes right after the 

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recent success of Gemini 3 and 
says a particular concern to 

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Altman is Google. 
So this isn't something where 

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they're just concerned about all
general AI companies. 

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They're concerned about Google. 
They released their new version 

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of its Gemini AI model last 
month that surpassed open eyes 

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model in industry benchmark 
tests and sent the search giant 

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stocks soaring. 
So that's part of the reason 

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Google stock is up so much. 
Gemini's user base has been 

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climbing since the August 
release of an image generator, 

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Nano Banana. 
And Google said monthly active 

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users grew from 450 million in 
July to 650 million in October. 

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So they gained an incremental 
200 million active users in a 

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few months, growing very 
quickly. 

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One of the biggest things to 
contrast here is how these two 

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companies may seem like they're 
very similar because you have 

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Chachi, BT and Gemini, very 
similar applications, but 

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they're in very different 
situations. 

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Google does not need to make 
Gemini profitable. 

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They don't need to do it anytime
soon. 

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In fact, they could have it run 
at a loss for five years. 

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Google is one of the highest net
income companies in the world 

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right now. 
It's the highest, over $100 

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billion in net income. 
So Google has all the money in 

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the world. 
They can run Gemini, just 

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focused on user experience 
without profitability for as 

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long as they really want. 
Now Chachi PT on the other hand,

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and Open AI are not profitable. 
They have enormous obligations. 

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They've had investors invest 
enormous amounts of money and 

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they need to pay back on that 
money. 

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At some point, they need to 
generate some profit. 

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But if Open AI pushes in the 
profitability mode and it 

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degrades the user experience, 
putting on ads and monetization 

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efforts, it may make it so that 
more people divert from Chachi 

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BT to Gemini. 
So Open AI stuck between a rock 

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00:10:02,320 --> 00:10:04,560
and a hard place. 
They need the user experience to

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be superb, better than Google's,
and they need to monetize at 

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some point in time. 
And that's the challenge that 

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Altman's facing here. 
Sam Altman said the Open AI 

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would be pushing back work on 
other initiatives such as 

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advertising AI agents for health
and shopping and personal 

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assistance called Pulse. 
He encouraged temporary team 

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00:10:23,400 --> 00:10:25,960
transfers and said the company 
would have a daily call for 

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00:10:25,960 --> 00:10:28,520
those responsible for improving 
Chachi BT. 

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00:10:28,920 --> 00:10:32,840
On Monday evening, Opening Eyes 
head of Chachi BT, Nick Turley 

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00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:36,440
said on exit the company was now
focused on growing its chatbot 

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while also making it feel even 
more intuitive and personal. 

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He was going to turn the wheels 
of monetization. 

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00:10:42,560 --> 00:10:45,800
Then Google released Gemini 3 
and he thought, wow, that's 

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really good. 
We can't do the monetization 

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thing just yet. 
We have to make ours even 

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00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:52,800
better. 
So he's delaying monetization as

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a direct response because of 
Gemini. 

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00:10:55,000 --> 00:10:58,200
They say that Altman has managed
to dispel concerns about Open 

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00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:01,800
AI's financials, largely due to 
Chat GPT's massive growing user 

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00:11:01,800 --> 00:11:04,640
base of more than 800 million 
weekly users. 

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00:11:04,720 --> 00:11:07,880
In an internal memo, he said 
that a new reasoning model that 

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00:11:07,880 --> 00:11:10,960
Open AI is planning to release 
next week is ahead of Google's 

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00:11:10,960 --> 00:11:13,440
latest Gemini model, and that 
the company's still performing 

239
00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:16,120
well in various other fronts. 
Don't you remember the last time

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00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:18,440
that Sam Altman was asked 
directly about the financial 

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00:11:18,440 --> 00:11:21,520
state of Open AI? 
He acted super defensively. 

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00:11:21,840 --> 00:11:24,880
Brad Gerstner basically asked 
him about this same question and

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00:11:24,880 --> 00:11:27,280
he said if you want to sell your
stock, Brad, then you can sell 

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00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:29,240
your stock. 
I don't think that really 

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00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:32,520
dispels concerns when you act 
that way when you're asked a 

246
00:11:32,520 --> 00:11:34,240
very fair, straightforward 
question. 

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00:11:34,280 --> 00:11:37,440
But regardless, Chachibti is 
going to release some model next

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00:11:37,440 --> 00:11:40,800
week that should beat out 
Geminis, and that's how Open Eye

249
00:11:40,800 --> 00:11:43,360
plans to keep the lead. 
But as of right now, it seems 

250
00:11:43,360 --> 00:11:47,000
like Google has this way of 
really turning the tables, going

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00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:50,920
from a company that had a code 
red themselves just this year to

252
00:11:50,920 --> 00:11:53,280
now making other competitors 
have code Reds. 

253
00:11:53,360 --> 00:11:56,680
You have open AI, the disruptor,
now being potentially disrupted 

254
00:11:56,680 --> 00:11:59,400
by Gemini. 
Google somehow was able to do 

255
00:11:59,400 --> 00:12:01,000
this. 
And if you looked at the 

256
00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:04,280
financials and the fundamentals 
this entire year, if you looked 

257
00:12:04,280 --> 00:12:07,600
at every single quarterly 
report, Google looked good the 

258
00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:09,920
entire time the whole way 
through. 

259
00:12:10,320 --> 00:12:13,520
There was no point of weakness 
throughout this entire year with

260
00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:16,800
Google stock, yet the sentiment 
would have told you otherwise 

261
00:12:17,120 --> 00:12:20,440
during April, During May, Google
looked like it was in serious 

262
00:12:20,440 --> 00:12:22,160
trouble. 
But investors that stayed the 

263
00:12:22,160 --> 00:12:24,400
course and listened to Buffett's
advice of having good 

264
00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:27,360
temperament, being slow and 
methodical with your decisions. 

265
00:12:27,680 --> 00:12:30,040
Investors that listened to Peter
Lynch that said that money's 

266
00:12:30,040 --> 00:12:31,880
made with the stomach, not the 
brain. 

267
00:12:31,880 --> 00:12:34,360
Investors that listen to Dev 
Kantasaria that doesn't ever 

268
00:12:34,360 --> 00:12:37,040
trade his holdings. 
He just holds on to them quarter

269
00:12:37,040 --> 00:12:39,200
after quarter. 
Regardless of the prevailing 

270
00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:41,320
sentiment, those are the 
investors that made the most 

271
00:12:41,320 --> 00:12:43,960
money in this case. 
Now let's go to move on to some 

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00:12:43,960 --> 00:12:45,760
news. 
Now, one piece of news, and I 

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00:12:45,760 --> 00:12:48,560
forgot to even mention this in 
the outline of the episode, but 

274
00:12:48,560 --> 00:12:51,760
we get to this Fox News 
interview and we have Sundar 

275
00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:53,800
Pichai here. 
And I just thought I'd I'd 

276
00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,240
mention this because it's 
actually crazy that the state 

277
00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:58,920
that we're in right now, Sundar 
Pichai is talking about having 

278
00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:03,360
data centres in space. 
And that's not that's not 

279
00:13:03,360 --> 00:13:06,520
something made-up. 
This isn't an AI video, this is 

280
00:13:06,520 --> 00:13:10,280
just Google's real plan. 
I mean, over time at Google, 

281
00:13:10,280 --> 00:13:12,080
we're always proud of taking 
moon shots. 

282
00:13:12,080 --> 00:13:14,320
You mentioned way more earlier. 
You know, that's been over a 

283
00:13:14,320 --> 00:13:16,720
decade in the making. 
We're working on quantum 

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00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:19,240
computing. 
In that spirit, one of our moon 

285
00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:22,680
shots is to how do we one day 
have data centers in space so 

286
00:13:22,680 --> 00:13:25,720
that we can better harness the 
energy from the sun. 

287
00:13:25,800 --> 00:13:29,880
You know, that is 100 trillion 
times more energy than what we 

288
00:13:29,880 --> 00:13:33,560
produce in all of Earth today. 
So we want to put these data 

289
00:13:33,560 --> 00:13:36,200
centers in space closer to the 
sun. 

290
00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:39,720
And, and I think we are taking 
our first step in 27. 

291
00:13:40,040 --> 00:13:45,280
We'll send tiny, tiny racks of 
machines and, and have them in 

292
00:13:45,280 --> 00:13:48,520
satellites, test them out and 
then start scaling from there. 

293
00:13:48,520 --> 00:13:52,000
But there's no doubt to me that 
a decade or so away, we'll 

294
00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:55,920
we'll, we'll be viewing it as a 
more normal way to build data 

295
00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,080
centers. 
All right, So we're at the point

296
00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:01,040
now just to clarify, we're at 
the point now where Sundar is 

297
00:14:01,040 --> 00:14:03,200
talking about data centers in 
space. 

298
00:14:03,880 --> 00:14:08,320
And this isn't some like, you 
know, far out there, Joe Rogan 

299
00:14:08,320 --> 00:14:11,360
kind of the thought process that
may or may not happen. 

300
00:14:11,440 --> 00:14:13,800
They're literally planning on it
like this is one of their moon 

301
00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:16,240
shot bets, similar that they've 
done with Waymo, which is a 

302
00:14:16,240 --> 00:14:18,880
reality similar that they do 
with a lot of things. 

303
00:14:19,320 --> 00:14:21,440
Google's planning on doing this,
making it so you can actually 

304
00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:24,400
have a data center in space. 
It's super cool stuff. 

305
00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:26,680
And it shows that this company 
still continues to make these 

306
00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:29,320
long shot investments. 
It's very cool to see that they 

307
00:14:29,320 --> 00:14:32,040
use the money they make, all the
profits they make from other 

308
00:14:32,040 --> 00:14:35,600
businesses like advertising. 
They pull them together and then

309
00:14:35,600 --> 00:14:37,960
not only do they give some of it
back to the shareholders, which 

310
00:14:37,960 --> 00:14:40,520
I think is appropriate, but they
also have a decent amount that 

311
00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:42,680
they make for these type of long
shot beds. 

312
00:14:42,680 --> 00:14:45,720
And if Google wasn't so 
profitable on the other sides of

313
00:14:45,720 --> 00:14:47,840
their business, they'd never 
have the money to be able to do 

314
00:14:47,840 --> 00:14:50,360
this stuff. 
Waymo wouldn't have existed 

315
00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:52,800
without Google's advertising 
business to fund it. 

316
00:14:53,160 --> 00:14:56,040
So it's very cool to see how 
this company can make one 

317
00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:58,320
section profitable, fund these 
type of things. 

318
00:14:58,320 --> 00:15:01,160
And then in the future, they can
be big businesses like we think 

319
00:15:01,160 --> 00:15:03,960
Waymo will be today. 
Now, on the subject of Waymo, we

320
00:15:03,960 --> 00:15:07,000
also have this essay here. 
This is an opinion piece from a 

321
00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:08,800
guest writing on The New York 
Times. 

322
00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:12,440
In this write up, he's trying to
give people more of a look of 

323
00:15:12,440 --> 00:15:15,760
the reality of how incredible 
what Waymo's done, what they've 

324
00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:18,320
already accomplished. 
And before we jump into this, I 

325
00:15:18,320 --> 00:15:20,760
just want to I want to I just 
want to compare and contrast 

326
00:15:20,800 --> 00:15:24,280
this with the popular sentiment 
on X about Waymo. 

327
00:15:24,720 --> 00:15:27,840
This is 1 new post just a a day 
ago on on Waymo. 

328
00:15:28,160 --> 00:15:30,120
This is from an account named 
Laci Presley. 

329
00:15:30,600 --> 00:15:34,440
She says Waymo, the Waymo 
problem complexity collapsing on

330
00:15:34,440 --> 00:15:37,400
complexity. 
Waymo's approach layers, lidar, 

331
00:15:37,560 --> 00:15:41,440
radar, HD maps, and a massive 
sensor array all stitched 

332
00:15:41,440 --> 00:15:43,680
together through heavy decision 
making logic. 

333
00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:48,080
On paper it sounds robust. 
In practice, it means more 

334
00:15:48,080 --> 00:15:51,200
points of failure, more 
disagreement between inputs, 

335
00:15:51,400 --> 00:15:53,800
more brittle behavior and 
unusual scenarios. 

336
00:15:53,880 --> 00:15:56,880
She goes on to say why Tesla's 
approach dominates the future. 

337
00:15:57,240 --> 00:16:00,040
Tesla's full self driving 
philosophy is brutally simple 

338
00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:03,080
and brutally scalable. 
End to end neural networks 

339
00:16:03,080 --> 00:16:05,600
trained in the real world, not 
idealized. 

340
00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:09,880
Maps, vision only mirroring and 
human driving stack millions of 

341
00:16:09,880 --> 00:16:12,800
edge cases clipped, absorbed 
directly into training data. 

342
00:16:13,200 --> 00:16:16,520
A unified model not competing 
with sensors or silos. 

343
00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,440
A global fleet generating 
continuous feedback. 

344
00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:22,640
These are one of the many posts 
that gets a lot of attention. 

345
00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:24,200
You have an interview there with
Elon Musk. 

346
00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,480
It's been seen 250,000 times. 
If you were just to read that, 

347
00:16:27,480 --> 00:16:30,520
you'd get the impression that 
Waymo's system's not really 

348
00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:32,840
working. 
The Tesla has a better system. 

349
00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:34,400
That Waymo really hasn't figured
it out. 

350
00:16:35,160 --> 00:16:38,120
And then we see write ups like 
this which show the entire 

351
00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:40,840
opposite thing, the total 
opposite thing of what's being 

352
00:16:40,840 --> 00:16:43,800
shared around online Now Doctor 
Slotkin, who has a neurosurgery 

353
00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,240
writing this, he says, I 
recently got called to see a 

354
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:48,800
teenager ejected in a rollover 
car crash. 

355
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,440
It's just awful. 
The things these these doctors 

356
00:16:51,440 --> 00:16:55,440
have to see is just awful. 
Says that the trauma team rushed

357
00:16:55,440 --> 00:16:58,560
him, rushed him to surgery to 
stop major abdominal bleeding. 

358
00:16:58,800 --> 00:17:02,640
But we all knew when that much 
energy enters a skull, no 

359
00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:05,079
operation can turn it back. 
He was declared brain dead. 

360
00:17:05,079 --> 00:17:08,760
His death was a reminder of the 
staggering amount of suffering 

361
00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:12,480
and loss of human life we accept
from car accidents every single 

362
00:17:12,480 --> 00:17:14,200
day. 
It's become commonplace. 

363
00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:16,960
Now we just think of car 
accidents as an everyday thing. 

364
00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,440
If a plane crashes, we hear 
about it anywhere in the world. 

365
00:17:20,640 --> 00:17:23,000
Anytime a plane ever crashes, 
everybody hears about it 

366
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,960
instantly, but every single day 
there's car crashes killing 

367
00:17:25,960 --> 00:17:27,920
people. 
It's just a a matter of reality,

368
00:17:27,920 --> 00:17:30,160
a very, a very sad one that 
we've all accepted. 

369
00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:33,160
The self driving car company 
Waymo recently released data 

370
00:17:33,160 --> 00:17:36,240
covering nearly 100 million 
driverless miles in four 

371
00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:39,840
American cities through June of 
2025, the biggest trove of 

372
00:17:39,840 --> 00:17:42,440
information released so far 
about safety. 

373
00:17:42,840 --> 00:17:44,760
I spent weeks analyzing the 
data. 

374
00:17:45,080 --> 00:17:48,840
The results were impressive when
compared to human drivers on the

375
00:17:48,840 --> 00:17:51,720
same Rd. 
Waymo's self driving cars were 

376
00:17:51,720 --> 00:17:56,680
involved in 91% fewer serious 
injuries or worse crashes and 

377
00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:59,840
80% fewer crashes causing any 
injury. 

378
00:18:00,720 --> 00:18:07,600
Now a 91% reduction in serious 
injury crashes is insane. 

379
00:18:08,040 --> 00:18:12,400
You're reducing serious injuries
by 91%, it showed. 

380
00:18:12,400 --> 00:18:14,640
And, and this, these statistics 
get even crazier. 

381
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:19,360
It showed a 96% lower rate of 
injury causing crashes at 

382
00:18:19,400 --> 00:18:23,400
intersections, which are some of
the deadliest I encounter in the

383
00:18:23,400 --> 00:18:26,600
trauma Bay so far. 
Other Thomas vehicle companies 

384
00:18:26,600 --> 00:18:29,040
don't report or they report 
incomplete data. 

385
00:18:29,360 --> 00:18:31,480
Waymo, by contrast, publish 
everything. 

386
00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:34,000
And then it even goes into some 
of the bigger criticisms of 

387
00:18:34,000 --> 00:18:37,200
Waymo's or perceived criticisms 
that aren't even real. 

388
00:18:37,480 --> 00:18:40,200
For example, one of the 
criticisms of autonomous 

389
00:18:40,200 --> 00:18:42,560
vehicles is that they may break 
erratically. 

390
00:18:42,720 --> 00:18:45,080
So if you're falling behind one,
you got to be careful because it

391
00:18:45,080 --> 00:18:47,440
might break and then you smash 
into the back of it and 

392
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:50,040
technically that's your fault, 
when really it was the Waymo 

393
00:18:50,040 --> 00:18:52,760
causing the accident. 
But that's not true at all. 

394
00:18:53,040 --> 00:18:55,120
That's not even close to true. 
In fact, again, it's the exact 

395
00:18:55,120 --> 00:18:57,480
opposite. 
This last instance may give some

396
00:18:57,480 --> 00:19:00,240
skeptical readers pause. 
There's a common misconception 

397
00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:03,080
that these cars brake 
erratically and they can get 

398
00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:05,560
rear-ended. 
But they are involved in far 

399
00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:08,800
fewer rear end injury crashes 
than human drivers are. 

400
00:19:09,120 --> 00:19:12,280
And Waymo has never rear-ended 
another vehicle at an injury 

401
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:18,160
level. 100 million miles driven.
And a Waymo has never rear-ended

402
00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:20,400
another vehicle at an injury 
level. 

403
00:19:21,040 --> 00:19:25,200
Just astonishing statistics. 
They also drive so predictably 

404
00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:28,800
they brake so evenly that they 
themselves get rear-ended. 

405
00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:31,280
Far fewer than human driver 
vehicles. 

406
00:19:31,880 --> 00:19:34,680
Autonomous vehicle companies 
have reported every contact 

407
00:19:34,680 --> 00:19:38,720
resulting in injury or property 
damage over $1000, while studies

408
00:19:38,720 --> 00:19:42,160
show that humans don't report 
the majority of accidents, even 

409
00:19:42,160 --> 00:19:44,680
with injuries. 
So these statistics showing how 

410
00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:47,600
safe Waymo's are actually 
understate how safe they 

411
00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:49,760
actually are. 
Because many of the accidents by

412
00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:53,040
human drivers aren't being 
reported, Waymo is legally 

413
00:19:53,040 --> 00:19:54,840
required to report every single 
one. 

414
00:19:55,000 --> 00:19:58,200
Even with every single accident 
reported, they still have fewer 

415
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:00,920
accidents in humans. 
And he emphasizes the medical 

416
00:20:00,920 --> 00:20:03,320
standpoint of this. 
So the statistics are 

417
00:20:03,320 --> 00:20:04,960
impressive. 
But now he starts to put it in 

418
00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:08,960
terms of like doctor talk of how
medically significant this is. 

419
00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:12,360
More than 39,000 Americans died 
in motor vehicle crashes last 

420
00:20:12,360 --> 00:20:15,160
year, more than homicide. 
Aside plane crashes and natural 

421
00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:18,840
disasters, combined crashes are 
the number 2 cause of death for 

422
00:20:18,840 --> 00:20:21,800
children and young adults. 
But death is only part of the 

423
00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:23,680
story. 
These crashes are also the 

424
00:20:23,680 --> 00:20:25,440
leading cause of spinal cord 
injury. 

425
00:20:25,760 --> 00:20:29,400
We surge and see the aftermath 
of 10,000 crash victims that 

426
00:20:29,400 --> 00:20:34,040
come to the emergency rooms 
every day. 10,000 a day. 

427
00:20:34,400 --> 00:20:37,160
The combined economic and 
quality of life tool exceeds 1 

428
00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:41,120
trillion annually, more than the
entire U.S. military or medical 

429
00:20:41,120 --> 00:20:43,720
budget. 
Cars hurt a lot of people. 

430
00:20:44,000 --> 00:20:46,160
They're necessary. 
The trade off is far worth it, 

431
00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:48,280
but they do hurt a lot of 
people. 

432
00:20:48,280 --> 00:20:50,480
It's interesting that we have 
companies that are going for 

433
00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:52,680
healthcare, right? 
We have Apple that always tries 

434
00:20:52,680 --> 00:20:55,440
their healthcare initiatives, 
the Apple Watch and maintaining 

435
00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,600
healthy habits. 
We have Amazon that's going into

436
00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:01,120
pharmacy. 
But I've never really looked at 

437
00:21:01,120 --> 00:21:05,080
Waymo as a healthcare company 
because it's not, it's not doing

438
00:21:05,080 --> 00:21:06,360
real healthcare. 
It's not like you go to the 

439
00:21:06,360 --> 00:21:09,360
doctor and then you're you're 
seen by Waymo, but it is 

440
00:21:09,360 --> 00:21:12,080
preventative. 
The more the society shifts 

441
00:21:12,080 --> 00:21:16,160
towards Waymo, the the follow on
effects, the knock on effects of

442
00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:19,920
that are dramatically less 
healthcare expense, dramatically

443
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,360
less injured people, 
dramatically less spinal 

444
00:21:22,360 --> 00:21:24,120
injuries and dramatically less 
deaths. 

445
00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:28,280
Waymo can be considered one of 
the biggest changes in our 

446
00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:31,960
healthcare system, in our safety
and prevention of injury, of 

447
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,080
anything that's happened over 
the past 50 years. 

448
00:21:34,080 --> 00:21:36,800
The data that Waymo's putting 
out is extremely compelling. 

449
00:21:37,120 --> 00:21:40,120
In medical terms, this can save 
10s of thousands of injuries per

450
00:21:40,120 --> 00:21:42,440
year and 10s of thousands of 
deaths per year with widespread 

451
00:21:42,440 --> 00:21:44,400
adoption. 
Yet there's still some states 

452
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,240
that are arguing they're still 
pushing back on Waymo adoption, 

453
00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:49,600
like they don't want this 
technology because maybe it will

454
00:21:49,640 --> 00:21:53,040
affect Uber drivers, maybe a few
people will lose some jobs or 

455
00:21:53,040 --> 00:21:54,920
have to switch what they're 
doing for a career. 

456
00:21:55,360 --> 00:21:59,560
But are we going to sacrifice a 
far safer way for people to get 

457
00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:03,280
around because we might, because
we want to have protectionism 

458
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:06,280
policies for specific jobs? 
I don't think that's a trade off

459
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:08,400
worth making. 
And to the people that still 

460
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:12,880
deny Waymo and say that it's 
complex and it's not working, at

461
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:15,000
this point it's like you're 
living on a different planet. 

462
00:22:15,280 --> 00:22:17,840
Have you looked at any of the 
actual data? 

463
00:22:18,200 --> 00:22:22,000
Waymo is working. 
It's working incredibly well. 

464
00:22:22,160 --> 00:22:24,400
The numbers are indisputably 
good. 

465
00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,320
Saying that it's complexity 
collapsing on complexity. 

466
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:31,520
Saying that it's more points of 
failure is akin to saying that a

467
00:22:31,520 --> 00:22:35,200
commercial airliner with two jet
engines, each of which are 

468
00:22:35,200 --> 00:22:38,000
powerful enough to propel the 
jet, has now two points of 

469
00:22:38,000 --> 00:22:40,800
failure and not just one. 
Well, it's good to have two 

470
00:22:40,800 --> 00:22:43,560
points of failure. 
Having more points of failure 

471
00:22:43,560 --> 00:22:47,000
before the thing ultimately 
fails is a good thing In this 

472
00:22:47,000 --> 00:22:49,240
case. 
The multi model way that Waymos 

473
00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:53,120
operate with a LIDAR, sensors 
and camera have been proven to 

474
00:22:53,120 --> 00:22:56,040
have incredibly good effects. 
Waymo continues to expand 

475
00:22:56,040 --> 00:22:58,080
throughout the world. 
Investors need to get on board 

476
00:22:58,080 --> 00:23:00,680
with this reality. 
So far, no one else has matched 

477
00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:02,360
their technology in the United 
States. 

478
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:04,040
No one else has gotten the 
approvals. 

479
00:23:04,240 --> 00:23:06,520
No one else has proven this. 
So while there's still some 

480
00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:10,280
people in denial of what Waymo's
accomplishing today, the data 

481
00:23:10,280 --> 00:23:11,600
that they're revealing proves 
it. 

482
00:23:11,920 --> 00:23:14,440
This is one of the most 
revolutionary technological 

483
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,720
advancements of our time. 
It has the potential to 

484
00:23:17,720 --> 00:23:21,440
transform our healthcare system 
to prevent 10s of thousands of 

485
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:24,920
deaths and injuries every single
year and injuries every single 

486
00:23:24,920 --> 00:23:26,920
day. 
This could be considered one of 

487
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,360
the greatest successes that 
we've had in American history. 

488
00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:31,720
Yet there's still many investors
that don't get it and that's why

489
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:34,240
we look at the data. 
Now moving on, we get to news 

490
00:23:34,240 --> 00:23:36,800
that one of my top positions, 
the top five position, which is 

491
00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:42,160
Netflix, is down over 5% today. 
So it's down $5.61, down close 

492
00:23:42,160 --> 00:23:45,920
to $100 per share off of the 
news that Netflix is apparently 

493
00:23:46,440 --> 00:23:50,680
bidding a mostly cash offer for 
Warner for Warner Brothers 

494
00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:52,760
Discovery. 
Netflix wants to own it. 

495
00:23:53,120 --> 00:23:56,000
Now, when I first saw this news,
I have to admit I thought that 

496
00:23:56,000 --> 00:23:58,440
Netflix may be doing the 
strategy of just trying to up 

497
00:23:58,440 --> 00:24:02,120
the bids for everyone else. 
So someone else owns Warner 

498
00:24:02,120 --> 00:24:03,960
Brothers Discovery. 
They paid a lot of money for it.

499
00:24:04,280 --> 00:24:07,000
That's what I thought that they 
may be doing, but I think I was 

500
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:08,640
wrong. 
I think Netflix really just 

501
00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:10,560
wants to own Warner Brothers 
Discovery. 

502
00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:12,800
They've decided that having the 
sass, that would be 

503
00:24:12,800 --> 00:24:15,960
advantageous, and that's unique 
because Netflix is not an 

504
00:24:15,960 --> 00:24:18,520
acquisitive company. 
Warner Brothers Discovery filled

505
00:24:18,520 --> 00:24:21,200
a second round of bids, 
including a mostly cash offer 

506
00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:24,680
from Netflix in an auction that 
could wrap up in the coming days

507
00:24:24,680 --> 00:24:26,400
or weeks. 
According to people familiar, 

508
00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:30,360
bankers for Paramount, Skydance 
Corp, Comcast Corp and Netflix 

509
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,960
worked over a long weekend 
improving their offers for all 

510
00:24:33,960 --> 00:24:35,720
parts of the Warner Brothers 
deal. 

511
00:24:35,720 --> 00:24:38,000
So there you have it. 
They all want Warner Brothers 

512
00:24:38,000 --> 00:24:40,880
Discovery, including Netflix, 
which again, Netflix doesn't 

513
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:43,040
typically do this. 
Right now, Wall Street is 

514
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,080
considering this a risky 
endeavour. 

515
00:24:45,400 --> 00:24:46,920
That's where I see the stock 
today. 

516
00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:48,880
If I had to guess why it's down 
5%. 

517
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:52,280
I think investors are just a 
little uneasy about Netflix 

518
00:24:52,280 --> 00:24:55,440
buying such a huge asset. 
It's just never happened before 

519
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:58,840
and it would be a little weird. 
Wouldn't it be just a little bit

520
00:24:58,840 --> 00:25:01,800
odd to have Netflix own Warner 
Brothers Discovery? 

521
00:25:02,160 --> 00:25:04,440
They'd have all the seasons of 
Friends all the time. 

522
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:08,480
They'd have like the Harry 
Potter's, they'd have movies 

523
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,360
like a Dune, you know, and then 
another thing that they said, 

524
00:25:11,360 --> 00:25:14,480
they, they said that they'd even
have Warner Brothers movies have

525
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,520
full theatrical release. 
So they're also meeting in the 

526
00:25:17,520 --> 00:25:18,840
middle. 
They're saying that they'd still

527
00:25:18,840 --> 00:25:21,160
keep the box office if they 
bought this asset. 

528
00:25:21,640 --> 00:25:24,520
So I think investors are looking
at this thinking that that might

529
00:25:24,520 --> 00:25:26,960
be a little odd. 
So investors are a bit nervous 

530
00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:29,240
right now. 
I don't think investors have any

531
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:32,440
reason to be nervous. 
If Netflix buys Warner Brothers 

532
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:34,800
Discovery, it'll be a creative 
to the company. 

533
00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:37,600
They'll make money at almost any
price they pay. 

534
00:25:38,080 --> 00:25:40,160
Netflix has so much in way of 
cash flow. 

535
00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,040
They are a cash printing 
machine. 

536
00:25:42,040 --> 00:25:45,080
They're going to be making over 
$9 billion in free cash flow 

537
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,480
here soon. 
They can pay down any amounts of

538
00:25:47,480 --> 00:25:48,880
debt. 
They can get the balance sheet 

539
00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:52,240
in shipshape anytime they want. 
So this is a company that's not 

540
00:25:52,240 --> 00:25:53,960
taking on additional risk by 
doing this. 

541
00:25:54,240 --> 00:25:56,280
It would grow the subscriber 
base immensely. 

542
00:25:56,600 --> 00:25:59,160
It'd make them even more 
profitable on a per subscriber 

543
00:25:59,160 --> 00:26:02,240
basis, and it would make it so 
that Netflix addresses one of 

544
00:26:02,240 --> 00:26:04,520
the main concerns about the 
company, which is the quality of

545
00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:06,200
the content. 
Netflix has always been 

546
00:26:06,200 --> 00:26:08,960
criticized for having lower 
quality content, their original 

547
00:26:08,960 --> 00:26:11,680
struggle, but if they own one of
the best studios in the world, 

548
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:13,720
nobody could accurately say that
anymore. 

549
00:26:13,720 --> 00:26:16,080
They'd have a lot of the best 
content in the world in their 

550
00:26:16,080 --> 00:26:18,760
library. 
So personally, I feel like this 

551
00:26:18,760 --> 00:26:21,120
is a buying opportunity for the 
Netflix investor. 

552
00:26:21,160 --> 00:26:23,880
If they do end up buying Warner 
Brothers Discovery, I think 

553
00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:25,560
they'll become more profitable 
as a result. 

554
00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,000
If not, it's back to business as
usual. 

555
00:26:28,080 --> 00:26:31,120
Now moving on, we get to the 
fail of the week, which this 

556
00:26:31,120 --> 00:26:34,120
time is, it's unfortunately 
Waymo because I was just talking

557
00:26:34,120 --> 00:26:36,000
it up. 
I was talking up Waymo a lot, 

558
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,320
saying how good it is. 
And now here I am highlighting 

559
00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,560
Waymo as the fail of the week. 
And we have a situation here. 

560
00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:43,880
As you can see right in the 
background there, there's a lot 

561
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:45,880
of police lights. 
We have something going on in 

562
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,000
the intersection. 
It looks blurry. 

563
00:26:48,400 --> 00:26:50,880
Then you have a Waymo right 
there at the beginning of the 

564
00:26:50,880 --> 00:26:52,680
intersection and just take a 
look at what happens. 

565
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:53,760
Let's go ahead and play this 
video. 

566
00:26:53,840 --> 00:26:54,960
We'll take a look at what 
happens. 

567
00:26:56,040 --> 00:27:03,000
Waymo. 
Oh my, Oh my, what the? 

568
00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:26,360
Waymo doing. 
There's a dude laying face down 

569
00:27:26,360 --> 00:27:30,440
on the ground and then in the 
background there's like 5 or 6 

570
00:27:30,440 --> 00:27:34,400
police officers guns drawn. 
So this is a high stake, 

571
00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:38,160
potentially shootout position. 
This guy's trying to just live, 

572
00:27:38,360 --> 00:27:39,360
right? 
He doesn't want to move 

573
00:27:39,360 --> 00:27:40,800
anything. 
He doesn't want to, you know, he

574
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,280
doesn't want to reach for 
anything because he has cops 

575
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:47,320
with guns drawn on him. 
And the Waymo just slowly, it 

576
00:27:47,320 --> 00:27:50,080
just slowly drives by during all
of this without a care in the 

577
00:27:50,080 --> 00:27:51,720
world. 
The Waymo's going all right, 

578
00:27:51,720 --> 00:27:53,960
I'll take a left here, avoid all
those police cars. 

579
00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:56,400
I'll drive by that guy that 
happens to be laying on the 

580
00:27:56,400 --> 00:27:57,520
ground. 
I'll just slow down a little 

581
00:27:57,520 --> 00:28:00,880
bit, make sure I don't run over 
him and off to our destination 

582
00:28:01,080 --> 00:28:02,560
like there's not a care in the 
world. 

583
00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:06,960
Obviously, this is an extreme 
edge case. 

584
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:12,160
It's very difficult to train for
having five cop cars with guns 

585
00:28:12,160 --> 00:28:13,880
drawn and a random guy laying on
the ground. 

586
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:17,200
So I don't think that this was 
part of the training process. 

587
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:19,480
You know, it's not part of their
their system that they're 

588
00:28:19,480 --> 00:28:22,320
feeding this data into. 
Now, again, you can criticize 

589
00:28:22,320 --> 00:28:24,760
this and it is funny to look at 
what happened. 

590
00:28:25,360 --> 00:28:27,760
Tesla investors are saying, look
at what Waymo's doing, driving 

591
00:28:27,760 --> 00:28:30,560
by this huge scene, right? 
It's not just stopping, waiting.

592
00:28:31,560 --> 00:28:34,280
But in Waymo's defense, I will 
defend a little bit here. 

593
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:37,680
It did drive slowly around the 
guy, made sure it wasn't going 

594
00:28:37,680 --> 00:28:43,520
to hit him, didn't cause any 
damage directly, but it probably

595
00:28:43,520 --> 00:28:45,960
should have waited. 
The Waymo probably shouldn't 

596
00:28:45,960 --> 00:28:47,520
have driven into the 
intersection. 

597
00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,480
It probably should have realized
something's going on when 

598
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:53,920
there's that many police lights.
So even though I think Waymo 

599
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:57,200
overall is doing a great job, 
this definitely warrants a fail 

600
00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:58,840
of the week. 
That's going to be it for this 

601
00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:00,640
time. 
Hope you enjoyed, see you in the

602
00:29:00,640 --> 00:29:01,080
next one.
