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What is the last mind sale that 
you've seen being bought by an 

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00:00:04,520 --> 00:00:07,560
individual? 
On this scale, I can't think of 

3
00:00:07,560 --> 00:00:09,040
1. 
On this scale, yeah. 

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Right on buddy morning as I've 
ever observed this public 

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holiday spectacular. 
Another one tomorrow. 

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Go it, buddy. 
Go the Anzacs. 

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It just keeps on giving. 
Isn't it just a a great week 

8
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when it when it starts on a 
Tuesday and it ends on a 

9
00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,400
Thursday? 
Yeah, kinda does each week for 

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me. 
Just a casual edit off. 

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Right, right. 
What do we got? 

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00:00:29,920 --> 00:00:31,400
We've got a bit of quarters on 
what? 

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Longtown Paladin, Yesti, I think
it was Jada. 

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You got a big gold mine sale for
the majors. 

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A barrack sale to a couple of 
interesting characters that I'm 

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00:00:40,600 --> 00:00:42,960
going to talk about. 
Massive mate from the Big Short 

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you've watched. 
About to say you never think 

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00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:47,440
this relates to the Big Short. 
It does, but it sort of does. 

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Big gold ball from the Big Short
buying a big gold mine. 

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And Trav, you're putting your 
your beak into a bit of 

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government policy. 
Indeed, indeed. 

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00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:57,880
Yeah, mate. 
Hence the shirt. 

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Strategic stockpiles, Yeah, 
you're gonna have a gonna give 

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that a whale for the few people 
out there that care about 

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policy. 
A week away. 

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Travel went and had some 
cornflakes with the outlier this

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morning for breaking yes. 
It did. 

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A week to our election. 
So pretty topical, that one. 

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Oh, is that it? 
Oh, I better go get me bloody 

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Democratic sausage sizzle in a 
week's time. 

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00:01:17,960 --> 00:01:21,240
All right, take us away, mate. 
Lontown Quarterly coming out 

32
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today. 
So as we've seen they've been 

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on, they've been on the lithium 
journey, but they're still 

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bloody fighting and I reckon I 
could sense it. 

35
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Tony, the Tony O from he was 
he's back. 

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I could sense in the call there 
was the OG Tony OS voice 

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enthusiasm so. 
Energy. 

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Yeah. 
And look, we'll go through the 

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quarterly. 
I think it's there's a lot of 

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promising things in the 
quarterly for how they're 

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performing in a depressed 
lithium market, but we'll get 

42
00:01:50,720 --> 00:01:52,360
into it. 
So as you can see here that 

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00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:57,160
they're still hovering around 
that 5060 cent mark. 

44
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So they're they're not there. 
So they actually declared 

45
00:02:00,920 --> 00:02:05,600
commercial production as of 1st 
of January for the processing. 

46
00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:09,600
So revenue was up 104 bucks in 
the door. 

47
00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:13,400
So that they said positive cash 
flow generation from operating 

48
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activities of 14,000,000, but 
I'll we'll get into that it's. 

49
00:02:18,640 --> 00:02:20,800
Always positive operating cash 
flows, Yeah, yeah. 

50
00:02:20,920 --> 00:02:22,480
Yeah. 
Well, yeah, yeah. 

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Don't say many that aren't so 94
bit over 95,000 of spot con 

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produced so and 64% average 
Lithia recovery which is up. 

53
00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:39,440
And remember this is primarily 
from open pit dirt at the 

54
00:02:39,440 --> 00:02:43,640
moment. 
So yeah, they've cash is sort 

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of, I'll get into the waterfall 
chart. 

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Cash went backwards about 20 
mil. 

57
00:02:48,520 --> 00:02:53,080
So first stop was blasted at the
start of April. 

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So that's a good achievement for
the for the underground. 

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So you can see the they shipped 
grade 5.2% for the spod console.

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That's I think we said earlier 
that's sort of what they're 

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going to be. 
That's sort of the new norm that

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5.25 point three, I think it 
said they produced 5.1 for the 

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quarter, but they've shipped 5.2
average realised price US 815. 

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And so the open pit, so if you 
look at the grades, the grades 

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is sort of where it you know 
where it looks promising with 

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the underground coming on soon. 
So the all grade delivered to 

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the rum this quarter for the 
open pit was 1% lithium. 

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They've said for the under. 
And you look at the underground 

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development for the quarter that
was mined at 1.5. 

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So the and you look the you see 
photos up in the presentations. 

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I'm not sure if this is 
everywhere, but I'm assuming it 

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is because it is such a big ore 
body. 

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00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,680
Your development ore grade will 
probably be not too much 

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00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:57,560
different to your stoke grade 
because it's just a big fucking 

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00:03:57,560 --> 00:04:00,240
pigment type. 
So it's like they're mining a 

76
00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:01,600
big type. 
Yeah. 

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00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:04,320
So you're not going to have like
an Aravan goldmine. 

78
00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:06,920
Yeah, pretty much that 
development grade will be close 

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00:04:06,920 --> 00:04:08,880
to what the the stopping grade 
is. 

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So the fact and they've talked 
about they did some periods in 

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the processing plan of putting 
the underground all through the 

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00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:19,079
1 1/2%. 
That's when they said they were 

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00:04:19,079 --> 00:04:23,840
achieving over 70% Lithia 
recovery in the plant so. 

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00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:26,680
Excuse my ignorance, I haven't. 
I'm not across the detail like 

85
00:04:26,680 --> 00:04:28,480
you, but is there anything to do
with all sorting? 

86
00:04:28,520 --> 00:04:30,480
That's part of that too. 
And that, yeah. 

87
00:04:30,600 --> 00:04:34,240
Yeah, yeah, they've so when it 
says, it says open pit mining 

88
00:04:34,240 --> 00:04:37,720
continued, they moved two and a 
half million ton. 

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00:04:37,720 --> 00:04:42,160
Some of that was clean or just 
obviously pure or some of it was

90
00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:44,800
they call it OSP the OR sorting 
products. 

91
00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:48,480
So that's gotcha where the I 
think they say the Gabro, it 

92
00:04:48,480 --> 00:04:50,560
gets mixed in. 
So Gabro is the sort of the host

93
00:04:50,560 --> 00:04:53,880
waste rock which contains the 
iron, which is what they need to

94
00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:57,400
sort out. 
So they've doing all sorting and

95
00:04:57,400 --> 00:05:01,400
that that was waste as well. 
So and it said they added the 

96
00:05:01,400 --> 00:05:05,040
OSP material in with the clean 
or as well to the processing 

97
00:05:05,040 --> 00:05:09,200
plan and they were able to still
get the recoveries with the low 

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00:05:09,200 --> 00:05:11,680
iron content. 
So they're pretty bullish about 

99
00:05:11,680 --> 00:05:16,280
the plant performance dealing 
with the sorted or as well so 

100
00:05:16,280 --> 00:05:19,120
that the open pit it says it 
remains on track for completion 

101
00:05:19,120 --> 00:05:24,760
Q3 FY20 6. 
So essentially this time next 

102
00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:29,800
year on the calendar year basis.
And that will see, and they've 

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00:05:29,800 --> 00:05:34,600
talked about they're targeting 
that 70% recovery by essentially

104
00:05:34,600 --> 00:05:37,760
the same period, which means 
that's when they'll be 

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00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,320
transitioning to full 
underground or so it's going to 

106
00:05:40,320 --> 00:05:45,920
be the fact that like looking at
as a look, very simply cash in, 

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00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:50,760
cash out, they've gone back 20 
million, but they're progressing

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towards the point where the 
underground oil will become the 

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00:05:55,320 --> 00:05:58,360
primary also. 
So if they're, you know, I 

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00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:00,520
assume they're targeting the 
high grade first as you would in

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00:06:00,520 --> 00:06:04,240
this pricing environment. 
And so when that sort of 1 1/2% 

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00:06:04,600 --> 00:06:09,000
oil starts coming in and it's 
said to have shown better 

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00:06:09,000 --> 00:06:12,840
recovery as well, like I think 
that'll all sort of work in 

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their favour. 
As I said, they're just basing 

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00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:18,680
everything on the lithium pros 
staying the same at the moment. 

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They're not anticipate. 
They're not hoping for the I'm 

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00:06:22,600 --> 00:06:25,240
sure they're hoping for a turn 
around, but they've looks like 

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00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:29,080
they've batten down the hatches 
of the business to bloody 

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00:06:29,200 --> 00:06:31,280
anticipate that this process 
stays the same. 

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00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:35,160
So which is probably, probably 
what everyone wanted to say 

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00:06:35,160 --> 00:06:39,440
because they've come from a 
very, you couldn't have a more 

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00:06:39,440 --> 00:06:42,640
bullish environment for where 
they built this project and it 

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00:06:42,640 --> 00:06:45,360
wouldn't have got built unless 
the environment was so bullish. 

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00:06:45,640 --> 00:06:47,880
So. 
But this is where they are now. 

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00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:51,920
So digging into the question, 
Maddie, that everyone wants to, 

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00:06:51,920 --> 00:06:55,000
to sort of hear answered, are we
any closer to finding out what 

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00:06:55,000 --> 00:06:59,560
costs might be once they go to 
the toward being a full 

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00:06:59,560 --> 00:07:01,320
underground miner because 
they're starting to make that 

129
00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:03,320
transition now. 
Yeah, yeah. 

130
00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:08,720
And this is where the I guess 
the 5B gets a bit, yeah, a bit 

131
00:07:08,960 --> 00:07:14,120
confusing because at the moment 
you look at they've got for cash

132
00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:17,640
flow from operating activities, 
they've got zero and it's just 

133
00:07:17,640 --> 00:07:21,520
production costs for what is 
being produced in the open pit 

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00:07:21,920 --> 00:07:24,480
because they're still they're 
still capitalizing all their 

135
00:07:24,960 --> 00:07:27,760
underground development even 
though So you look at other non 

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00:07:27,760 --> 00:07:31,360
current assets 27,000,000 for 
the quarter as part of investing

137
00:07:31,360 --> 00:07:34,040
cash flows. 
But like they're the all drives 

138
00:07:34,040 --> 00:07:39,840
they're putting in will be once 
that underground is properly 

139
00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,520
producing which is just 
commenced, those all drives are 

140
00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:45,200
operating development. 
So they're they're being 

141
00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:49,880
capitalized at the moment, which
is not the case. 

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00:07:49,880 --> 00:07:53,400
It's obviously the way you can 
account for it at the moment, 

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00:07:53,800 --> 00:07:57,840
but it is literally the, they 
will be literally flipped to the

144
00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:00,920
top part of that cash flow 
statement once once they start 

145
00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:03,600
producing. 
But remember the production 

146
00:08:03,600 --> 00:08:06,120
costs, once the open pit 
finishes, those production costs

147
00:08:06,120 --> 00:08:09,280
will translate from open pit 
equipment to underground 

148
00:08:09,280 --> 00:08:15,720
equipment. 
And yeah, so they'll benefit 

149
00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:19,040
from higher grade, higher 
recoveries, but feel it on the 

150
00:08:19,040 --> 00:08:22,120
unit costs obviously. 
A tonne are are are vastly 

151
00:08:22,120 --> 00:08:22,800
different. 
Yeah. 

152
00:08:22,800 --> 00:08:26,880
And what look of oh God, you can
read in the bloody try and back 

153
00:08:26,880 --> 00:08:28,200
calculate numbers and 
everything. 

154
00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:30,800
I'll just, I'll just try to look
at it very simply in terms of at

155
00:08:30,800 --> 00:08:35,480
the moment they're not really, 
they haven't really hit the 2.8 

156
00:08:35,480 --> 00:08:37,000
million ton that they're going 
to be at. 

157
00:08:37,000 --> 00:08:38,880
So when they do get to that, 
there's obviously a common 

158
00:08:38,880 --> 00:08:42,120
enemies of scale for the 
increased tonnage. 

159
00:08:42,679 --> 00:08:44,039
It's going to be all 
underground. 

160
00:08:44,039 --> 00:08:45,680
So there's going to be a great 
uplift. 

161
00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:49,680
It might offset that you got to 
offset that a bit with higher 

162
00:08:49,680 --> 00:08:52,520
cost to mine underground 
compared to the open pit. 

163
00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:55,440
So you you sort of piece that 
all together and you're 

164
00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:58,800
thinking, well, the fact that 
they went backwards 20 mil the 

165
00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:03,640
they don't the the five year 
point started in 1st of January 

166
00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:06,520
for when that Ford facility will
have to be repaid. 

167
00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:09,120
So that's like 20-30. 
So they've still got, you know, 

168
00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:12,560
700 million of debt. 
They got a bit of a lot of it's 

169
00:09:12,560 --> 00:09:14,640
getting capitalized on the 
interest at the moment. 

170
00:09:14,640 --> 00:09:18,120
So it's like, yeah, like you 
like they could probably make 

171
00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:23,040
this work at these prices. 
Just it just feels when they go 

172
00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:26,600
fully underground, so it's not 
like they're gone hemorrhaging 

173
00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:28,480
money and going backwards 
because they're like, you know, 

174
00:09:28,480 --> 00:09:30,680
they've developed the 
underground with two jumbos. 

175
00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:34,760
They haven't lot different to 
Bellevue, which have gone like 6

176
00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:35,800
jumbos. 
They're lot right. 

177
00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:38,960
We have to like we've got to get
all this developed. 

178
00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:41,960
A lot more rabbit warranty, a 
lot more costs, a lot more 

179
00:09:41,960 --> 00:09:44,080
pressure. 
Whereas this has just ticked 

180
00:09:44,080 --> 00:09:45,960
along. 
They're hitting over 300 meters 

181
00:09:45,960 --> 00:09:47,560
a month. 
They've got the first start, a 

182
00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:50,520
lot of the ore development, like
much bigger. 

183
00:09:50,520 --> 00:09:54,880
They talked about the first 
start being I think it was all 

184
00:09:54,880 --> 00:09:57,840
shouted in the calling. 
It was like 12,000 tonne or 

185
00:09:57,840 --> 00:10:00,760
something or maybe less. 
And they're talking about the 

186
00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:02,880
future. 
So it's going to be 80,000 ton, 

187
00:10:03,280 --> 00:10:05,600
which a lot. 
So it's like for that order of 

188
00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:07,720
development, you're getting a 
big fight, you're getting good 

189
00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,320
bang for buck for when you get 
there because it's a bulk mining

190
00:10:10,680 --> 00:10:13,360
scenario. 
So yeah, I don't know if I've 

191
00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:18,200
just unanswered the question of 
giving myself, but it just like 

192
00:10:18,520 --> 00:10:22,040
it just feels like they're, 
they're in a position to, you 

193
00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,160
know, survive this depressed 
period. 

194
00:10:24,920 --> 00:10:29,080
What Joe Joe say, even Big Joe 
Larry said 2025, even he doesn't

195
00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:32,520
think there's might be a spike. 
They're predicting a spike at 

196
00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:34,720
some point. 
But looking at this quarterly, I

197
00:10:34,720 --> 00:10:37,680
feel like they've got everything
in place to get through this 

198
00:10:37,680 --> 00:10:40,960
period. 
And if lithium price does go up,

199
00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:44,760
they're the first beneficiaries 
for it, just like PLS, because 

200
00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:46,600
they're producing and growing 
bushes. 

201
00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:49,040
Very interesting. 
How how about if we look at the 

202
00:10:49,120 --> 00:10:53,160
the plant now because they are 
so announced commercial 

203
00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:56,520
production for the processing 
plant, Yeah and I think from 

204
00:10:56,520 --> 00:11:00,400
quickly skimming it, they did a 
bit under 600,000 tons through 

205
00:11:00,400 --> 00:11:01,720
the plant this quarter. 
Yep. 

206
00:11:02,000 --> 00:11:05,160
And given the the raging, they 
were now targeted. 

207
00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:06,520
I think they were going for, 
weren't they? 

208
00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:07,960
Yeah. 
So they're they're under 

209
00:11:07,960 --> 00:11:10,600
nameplate on that front. 
Was there any sort of stand outs

210
00:11:10,600 --> 00:11:13,480
from the the call that spoke to 
that or production in general? 

211
00:11:13,560 --> 00:11:17,240
No, look they've, they've said 
they've got 91% plant 

212
00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:19,760
availability. 
Like they've still got, well 

213
00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:26,280
they got half a well, 1.3 
million tonne of clean ore and 

214
00:11:26,480 --> 00:11:30,080
OSP stockpile. 
So it looks like, and it looks 

215
00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:33,760
like between the underground ore
trial, then adding the OSP 

216
00:11:33,760 --> 00:11:36,840
material in, like looks like 
there was a bit of trialing 

217
00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:40,200
going on to see what they can 
get away with in the future. 

218
00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:44,960
So yeah. 
And the, yeah, I don't, I can't.

219
00:11:45,960 --> 00:11:47,920
I reckon if you Add all those 
together, that will probably 

220
00:11:47,920 --> 00:11:50,680
contribute to, anyway you'd 
probably want to build a bit of 

221
00:11:50,680 --> 00:11:55,160
a stockpile as well. 
So yeah, I think and recovery is

222
00:11:55,160 --> 00:11:56,920
always the was the biggest 
thing. 

223
00:11:56,920 --> 00:12:01,600
So the fact that they're nearly 
approaching that 70%, which is, 

224
00:12:01,600 --> 00:12:06,720
you know, 70% in a flotation 
plan is what you'd take any day 

225
00:12:06,720 --> 00:12:10,000
of the week. 
So yeah, I think it's all 

226
00:12:10,480 --> 00:12:12,240
probably looking pretty 
positive. 

227
00:12:12,240 --> 00:12:15,240
There's a bit of money that's 
going in to make it that good as

228
00:12:15,680 --> 00:12:19,160
they're they didn't really spare
any sense on building this 

229
00:12:19,160 --> 00:12:20,880
project. 
So I think everything's pretty 

230
00:12:20,880 --> 00:12:23,120
rigid itch. 
So all heading in the right 

231
00:12:23,120 --> 00:12:29,520
direction. 
I'll play a comment, which this 

232
00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:33,680
was a narrative going around 
that I'll just play and then 

233
00:12:33,680 --> 00:12:34,440
I'll get in. 
There. 

234
00:12:34,680 --> 00:12:37,840
Morning, Tony and team. 
Just firstly, could you make any

235
00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:41,560
comments around how the blast 
went in your first stoke? 

236
00:12:41,560 --> 00:12:44,040
I mean, there's obviously been 
lots of concerns around how it 

237
00:12:44,040 --> 00:12:47,880
may go, whether it'll fracture. 
You obviously talked to us about

238
00:12:47,880 --> 00:12:50,600
having the the thin. 
Layer around the outside which 

239
00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:52,960
will give you some benefits. 
So just how does that actually 

240
00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:56,440
physically gone? 
That's a very good question. 

241
00:12:56,440 --> 00:13:02,680
Glenn and both Adam and myself 
spent the weekend, last weekend 

242
00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:06,600
on site so that we could go and 
have a look at the first stop 

243
00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:09,760
and the blast. 
And we were very, very happy 

244
00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:12,920
with clean breaks, exactly how 
we predicted it. 

245
00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:19,000
The team's got some more fine 
tuning and optimization, but the

246
00:13:19,000 --> 00:13:23,560
fragmentation, I'll let Adam 
speak out, but it was, it was 

247
00:13:23,560 --> 00:13:25,920
almost like. 
I think we're calling it sugar. 

248
00:13:25,960 --> 00:13:29,640
Sugar, yeah, look really, 
really, really good 

249
00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:32,920
fragmentation, very clean 
breaks. 

250
00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:36,800
They're they're looking at 
revising some of the way they 

251
00:13:37,360 --> 00:13:40,240
they drill underground in terms 
of the overdrill, they're 

252
00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,720
looking at how they how much of 
A skin they leave. 

253
00:13:44,840 --> 00:13:48,880
But certainly recovery from the 
stoke was excellent and there's 

254
00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:50,080
a lot of learnings from that 
stoke. 

255
00:13:50,080 --> 00:13:54,080
So that's initial stoke was 
about 12,000 tonnes to put it in

256
00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:56,240
perspective, was fairly small 
one from what what we're going 

257
00:13:56,240 --> 00:13:59,240
to see going forwards. 
But yeah, very, very 

258
00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:01,320
encouraging. 
And the other point that we 

259
00:14:01,320 --> 00:14:05,320
would make is again, this is the
differentiation between narrow 

260
00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:07,960
vein mining of gold to versus 
what we're doing. 

261
00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:13,200
That one stoke, that 12,000 
tonnes, that's two days of 

262
00:14:13,200 --> 00:14:17,000
production just from one stoke 
and that's as baby stoke. 

263
00:14:17,400 --> 00:14:20,920
We've got Stokes coming up in 
the next financial year where 

264
00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:27,720
they're close to 80,000 tonnes. 
So it this is, you know, an 

265
00:14:27,720 --> 00:14:31,120
opportunity for this mine to 
really get economies of scale. 

266
00:14:31,960 --> 00:14:36,240
Yeah, so that I remember that 
going around before, like when 

267
00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:38,760
they're leading up, everyone's 
like, oh, lithium's never been 

268
00:14:38,760 --> 00:14:42,680
mined underground before, is it?
Got a blast out. 

269
00:14:43,320 --> 00:14:48,320
I was just, I don't know. 
I was I'm like fuck, am I 

270
00:14:48,320 --> 00:14:50,800
missing something here? 
Like it is AI think it's 

271
00:14:50,800 --> 00:14:52,520
different. 
It's because it looks like a 

272
00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:53,560
quartz. 
From what I hear. 

273
00:14:53,560 --> 00:14:56,680
It does take a bit to blast out 
the development, but if you can 

274
00:14:56,680 --> 00:14:59,400
get the development heading to 
fire out, which is the hardest 

275
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:03,120
thing to fire because it's very 
confined and you got bugger all 

276
00:15:03,120 --> 00:15:06,560
void to start with, like the 
bloody Stokes are they're just 

277
00:15:06,560 --> 00:15:09,240
big friggin. 
Once you get the slot open, She 

278
00:15:09,240 --> 00:15:13,360
just so I talked about it went 
up to sight and she was like 

279
00:15:13,360 --> 00:15:16,960
sugar. 
It's looking, but I, I just 

280
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:20,200
sensed a bit of a bit of 
bullishness in their voice 

281
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:21,440
about. 
I reckon they're pretty happy 

282
00:15:21,440 --> 00:15:24,120
with how it's gone operationally
considering. 

283
00:15:24,240 --> 00:15:27,680
Second quarter on the trot, last
one was, you know, a bit more 

284
00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:29,120
positive people feeling quite 
good. 

285
00:15:29,120 --> 00:15:31,040
There was a, it was a good tick 
up on the last quarterly. 

286
00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:33,720
So we're one step closer to 
finding out what the what the 

287
00:15:33,720 --> 00:15:36,680
final piece looks like. 
And I reckon they're probably 

288
00:15:36,680 --> 00:15:40,920
like shit with we're still alive
in this, we've ramp, we're 

289
00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:44,280
ramping up a project in a 
frigging an environment where 

290
00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:46,840
lithium mines are going, 
potentially shutting down. 

291
00:15:47,280 --> 00:15:51,880
So if they can survive this and 
get themselves in a position or 

292
00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,800
I can, obviously I'm feeling 
pretty bullish for the 

293
00:15:54,800 --> 00:16:00,800
performance of everyone as well.
So paste plant is getting 

294
00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:03,160
commissioned in May. 
So that's going to be the 

295
00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:06,560
integral part of that 
underground 'cause it is a a 

296
00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:09,440
bulk thing. 
So I 'cause look, after 

297
00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:13,800
personally witnessing A paced 
line being blocked on the first 

298
00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:19,160
pour like that, Degruso just 
didn't come out and we spent two

299
00:16:19,160 --> 00:16:21,640
weeks, didn't come out with my 
hands because I think I was 

300
00:16:21,640 --> 00:16:24,280
doing my underground time. 
Then I was doing shift boss and 

301
00:16:24,280 --> 00:16:26,960
time or something with a 
sledgehammer like hitting the 

302
00:16:26,960 --> 00:16:29,880
fucking thing trying to loosen 
up all the paste and having to 

303
00:16:29,880 --> 00:16:31,920
flush it out to unblock this 
line. 

304
00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:33,680
Was it the system at fault or 
was it the? 

305
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:37,720
Just the initial pace that was 
just went down was wasn't 

306
00:16:37,720 --> 00:16:40,760
supposed to obviously wasn't the
right thing, but it could have 

307
00:16:40,760 --> 00:16:44,480
been avoided with a Quattro QD 2
valve because with the 

308
00:16:44,480 --> 00:16:47,040
automation up to the pace, ice 
planet would have detected the 

309
00:16:47,040 --> 00:16:51,200
pressure spark and before it got
to the point of like, holy shit,

310
00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:53,320
what's happened? 
It would have automatically 

311
00:16:53,320 --> 00:16:56,880
dumped it into a sump and I 
wouldn't have had to have used 

312
00:16:56,880 --> 00:17:01,960
my bare hands to unblock this 
pipe for two weeks, 2 weeks, 2 

313
00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:04,440
weeks, 2 weeks. 
It took to bloody unblock the 

314
00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:07,000
pipe because you had to. 
You had to do it in like 20 

315
00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,920
meter sections that friggin that
drills with these metal things 

316
00:17:10,920 --> 00:17:15,280
on it to rattle it to and then 
you had to send a flush down to 

317
00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:17,240
flush it. 
Then you had to hook another 

318
00:17:17,240 --> 00:17:19,079
chunk back up. 
Then you had to. 

319
00:17:19,240 --> 00:17:22,200
It was a freaking. 
So the cost of not using Quattro

320
00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:23,599
is 2 weeks down. 
Well, I don't think, I don't 

321
00:17:23,599 --> 00:17:26,040
know. 
If the QD twos were as big of a 

322
00:17:26,040 --> 00:17:31,800
thing then they weren't rated to
the 1500 that they're rated to 

323
00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:33,760
now. 
I can tell you that cause any 

324
00:17:33,760 --> 00:17:38,120
minds today though? 
Oh mate, you you may as well 

325
00:17:38,120 --> 00:17:42,360
hand if you want to run your 
pace line without a QD twos in 

326
00:17:42,360 --> 00:17:45,720
all the critical points. 
Hand in your resignation and 

327
00:17:45,720 --> 00:17:47,520
'cause you're just not worth 
being on site. 

328
00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:50,520
You need quattro QD twos to 
protect your retake or. 

329
00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:52,800
Keep you up at night. 
Oh, mate, go work. 

330
00:17:52,840 --> 00:17:55,080
Yeah, yeah. 
You won't be working in the 

331
00:17:55,080 --> 00:17:56,680
mining industry if you don't put
them in. 

332
00:17:56,680 --> 00:17:58,760
Some bits of infrastructure you 
take for granted, but mate, 

333
00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:00,760
Quattro's got you covered 
because this is their specialty.

334
00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:02,600
Mandatory. 
Yep, mandatory. 

335
00:18:02,600 --> 00:18:05,000
It's just like blonde zeros in 
the morning. 

336
00:18:05,120 --> 00:18:08,840
It's a mandatory requirement, 
just like having QD twos in your

337
00:18:08,840 --> 00:18:09,880
system. 
So. 

338
00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:12,000
Thank you, Quattro. 
Oh, there we go. 

339
00:18:13,240 --> 00:18:17,040
So yeah, good on on. 
As I said, it's been heavily 

340
00:18:17,040 --> 00:18:20,920
covered line down, but back in 
any ramp up if they're hitting 

341
00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,960
targets and something that's as 
complex as that pat on the back,

342
00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:27,160
good stuff. 
Helps when they said fucking two

343
00:18:27,160 --> 00:18:30,680
jumbos instead of 6. 
It all helps. 

344
00:18:31,480 --> 00:18:35,000
Right now JD Barracks sale of 
the Donlin. 

345
00:18:35,240 --> 00:18:38,560
Donlin Stake, we're going to 
North America, lads. 

346
00:18:38,720 --> 00:18:40,760
We're going to Alaska 
specifically. 

347
00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,640
So I'm not sure if you guys have
heard of Donlin before. 

348
00:18:43,640 --> 00:18:45,200
But I've never heard of this 
project. 

349
00:18:45,280 --> 00:18:49,920
Massive, massive, massive 
undeveloped gold project in in 

350
00:18:49,920 --> 00:18:52,280
Alaska. 
Like I said, been around for a 

351
00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:56,280
long time. 
Probable reserves of 33 million 

352
00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,920
oz. 
Wow at over 2G a ton. 

353
00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:01,480
So how has? 
It not been built. 33 million oz

354
00:19:01,480 --> 00:19:05,560
at over 2G, Yeah. 
Is it a big price tag to turn 

355
00:19:05,560 --> 00:19:09,080
that into an actual mine? 
So the the plan that they came 

356
00:19:09,080 --> 00:19:13,680
out with in the latest numbers 
in a 2021 study was for 1.1 

357
00:19:13,680 --> 00:19:16,680
million oz per annum for 27 
years. 

358
00:19:16,680 --> 00:19:20,880
So big scale production. 
Granted, those numbers have 

359
00:19:20,880 --> 00:19:23,920
obviously not been refreshed for
a few years now. 

360
00:19:23,920 --> 00:19:27,360
My God. 
And it got close in the the bull

361
00:19:27,360 --> 00:19:31,400
run leading into 2012. 
The the numbers came out as sort

362
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:35,800
of technical report 22,009 and 
then 11:00 and then 12 again. 

363
00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,040
But like we've spoken about in 
the past, the market got away 

364
00:19:39,040 --> 00:19:41,320
from them. 
The the gold price just crashed 

365
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:43,320
and here we are still 
undeveloped. 

366
00:19:43,480 --> 00:19:46,640
At face value, doesn't seem like
the sort of like just off that 

367
00:19:46,640 --> 00:19:48,440
doesn't seem like the sort of 
asset that Barrick would want to

368
00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:50,360
part ways with if it's got 
enormous production. 

369
00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:52,720
Your scale. 
What's the catch? 

370
00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,560
It's, it is an interesting one. 
I was, I was sort of trying to 

371
00:19:55,560 --> 00:20:01,600
answer the same question because
you know what, what makes a tier

372
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:04,320
one these sorts of assets that 
companies like, like Barrick, 

373
00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:06,680
one of the biggest gold 
producers on the planet want to 

374
00:20:06,680 --> 00:20:08,240
produce? 
And it tends to be, you know, 

375
00:20:08,840 --> 00:20:11,800
costs in the lower half, 
preferably lower quartile 

376
00:20:12,120 --> 00:20:15,400
500,000 oz plus Tier 1 
jurisdiction. 

377
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:19,880
So it meets a lot of those those
criteria points, but it's the. 

378
00:20:19,920 --> 00:20:21,800
Cost. 
It's the, I think it's the 

379
00:20:21,800 --> 00:20:25,080
massive CapEx and the fact that 
barracks seem to be pretty 

380
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:29,160
content with Rico Dick going 
down that road and they've sort 

381
00:20:29,160 --> 00:20:32,200
of got their eyes on being a 
copper producer as well. 

382
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:36,080
I think for sort of confluence 
of those factors, they have 

383
00:20:36,280 --> 00:20:37,840
elected to sort of part ways 
with this one. 

384
00:20:37,840 --> 00:20:41,440
And I take it they're pretty com
comfortable given this bull 

385
00:20:41,440 --> 00:20:44,880
market we're in gold now just to
take their chips off the table 

386
00:20:44,880 --> 00:20:48,520
like they they sort of inherited
the the asset as I kind of 

387
00:20:48,520 --> 00:20:51,200
understand it, they're through 
acquisitions and those sorts of 

388
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:53,680
things. 
So that's how we find ourselves 

389
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:56,000
here. 
Maybe Alaska, maybe they're like

390
00:20:56,440 --> 00:21:00,120
look at how long on a much 
smaller scale Northern Star with

391
00:21:00,120 --> 00:21:01,560
Pogo. 
No, there's plenty of other 

392
00:21:01,560 --> 00:21:03,360
assets. 
They might be like, oh Jesus, 

393
00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:08,320
could take a bit after the CapEx
socially to get this up to this 

394
00:21:08,360 --> 00:21:10,640
level we want to get it to. 
That's a that's a really good 

395
00:21:10,640 --> 00:21:11,920
point, Maddie. 
I'll, I'll put a pin in that for

396
00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,560
now and I'll talk about that 
later and beautiful and try and 

397
00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:18,600
understand what, what the buyers
of the asset think about the 

398
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:20,640
jurisdiction. 
So I'll run through the deal to 

399
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:23,040
start with. 
Donlin was formerly held 50% by 

400
00:21:23,040 --> 00:21:27,480
Barrick, 50% by Nova Gold, so a 
much smaller North American 

401
00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,120
Goldie with this being their 
their flagship asset. 

402
00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:35,000
Now Barrick have agreed to sell 
their 50% and the buyers of that

403
00:21:35,120 --> 00:21:39,520
is mostly John Paulson, famously
the manager of Paulson and Co 

404
00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:43,800
who made a couple of dollars in 
the financial crisis and Nova 

405
00:21:43,800 --> 00:21:48,960
Gold taking up another portion. 
So the outcome is that Paulson, 

406
00:21:48,960 --> 00:21:51,800
on his or through his family 
office, will own 40% of the 

407
00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,480
asset, and Nova Gold will own 
60%. 

408
00:21:56,400 --> 00:22:00,160
What is the last mine sale that 
you've seen being bought by an 

409
00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:03,160
individual? 
On this scale, I can't think of 

410
00:22:03,160 --> 00:22:04,560
1. 
On this scale, yeah. 

411
00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:08,320
Yeah, I like the the deal itself
just reminded me of that, that 

412
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:12,080
that hedge fund guy who owns 
that or N group, the gold mine 

413
00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:15,760
in in Mount Ida here in WA 
that's kind of like mysterious 

414
00:22:15,760 --> 00:22:16,960
one. 
But this is like completely 

415
00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:19,080
different. 
This is this is it's a hedge 

416
00:22:19,080 --> 00:22:22,400
fund guy like big gold ball just
getting Max leverage, Max 

417
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:24,960
exposure to gold. 
Yeah. 

418
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:28,440
And to talk to the scale, while 
we say we haven't seen one this 

419
00:22:28,440 --> 00:22:33,360
big is because this 50% has sold
for US $1 billion and there's a 

420
00:22:33,360 --> 00:22:36,120
potential another 100 million 
that Nova Gold can can Chuck in 

421
00:22:36,120 --> 00:22:39,280
relating to debt that Barrick 
chucked into the subsidiary that

422
00:22:39,280 --> 00:22:43,280
held the asset. 
But the reaction to Nova God's 

423
00:22:43,280 --> 00:22:46,040
share price has been phenomenal.
So they have surged, they've 

424
00:22:46,200 --> 00:22:47,960
doubled in the last couple 
weeks. 

425
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,680
I mean, they'd come off into 
that sort of tariff lip that we 

426
00:22:50,680 --> 00:22:55,160
kind of saw, but they're now 
kept at US 1.6 billion with a 

427
00:22:55,160 --> 00:22:57,640
couple shares that they're 
raising to fund their $200 

428
00:22:57,640 --> 00:23:00,440
million portion not having 
settled just yet. 

429
00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:02,960
They're a really interesting 
company in and of themselves. 

430
00:23:02,960 --> 00:23:07,760
So they've got this chairperson 
in Thomas Kaplan, who is 

431
00:23:07,760 --> 00:23:09,520
reported to be a billionaire in 
his own right. 

432
00:23:09,520 --> 00:23:12,720
He owns 25% of the company. 
People might have heard of 

433
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:16,920
Electrum, That's the investment 
unit that he invests through. 

434
00:23:17,440 --> 00:23:20,040
He's been in the natural 
resources space for quite some 

435
00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,960
time, made money, like I told 
you lads earlier in in silver 

436
00:23:22,960 --> 00:23:26,800
through the the 90s and 2000s. 
You've also got Copernic Global 

437
00:23:27,080 --> 00:23:28,520
now. 
I spoke about these guys a 

438
00:23:28,520 --> 00:23:30,520
couple weeks ago. 
They were topping up their 

439
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:34,240
stakes in some of the uranium 
miners, specifically Paladin. 

440
00:23:35,040 --> 00:23:38,800
They were early to the the 
uranium trade that sort of sold 

441
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:39,720
out. 
Now they've bought back in. 

442
00:23:39,720 --> 00:23:42,080
Given everything we've seen, 
they've been sort of getting 

443
00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:46,800
more and more bullish gold. 
Their value guys, they look at 

444
00:23:47,320 --> 00:23:50,400
PGM, I mean the whole Subania 
and other sorts of companies 

445
00:23:50,400 --> 00:23:52,080
like that. 
They manage a fair bit of money.

446
00:23:52,080 --> 00:23:55,560
You know, we're talking 5:00-ish
from what I could kind of gather

447
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:58,800
billion U.S. dollars under 
management and they're deep 

448
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:00,480
value investors. 
We've actually included a couple

449
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:03,360
of their really interesting 
white papers on why they're like

450
00:24:03,360 --> 00:24:06,840
mining and how they invest in 
mining in our in our newsletter.

451
00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:12,040
So the capital raising that Nova
Gold did to fund their portion 

452
00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:15,600
of the acquisition was for US 
$170 million. 

453
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,440
Now three parties took this up, 
the three I've just mentioned 

454
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:20,960
Paulson. 
So he's investing into Nova Gold

455
00:24:21,400 --> 00:24:26,000
as well as buying the asset 
Thomas Kaplan and his unit. 

456
00:24:26,000 --> 00:24:29,200
So the chair of the company as 
well as Kapernick. 

457
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:31,400
Now that was a a tight, tight 
capital raise. 

458
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:34,720
Just those 3 getting it. 
The stock has surged 60% since 

459
00:24:34,720 --> 00:24:37,400
they tipped in. 
They all got themselves some 

460
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:39,840
some five year long dated 
warrants as well for their 

461
00:24:39,840 --> 00:24:41,120
trouble. 
So are. 

462
00:24:41,120 --> 00:24:44,800
They in the money already. 
Very hard to find info on on 

463
00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,080
what those warrants were I mean.
There's a good chance they will 

464
00:24:47,080 --> 00:24:49,480
be if they're going up 60%, 
yeah. 

465
00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:52,600
Is there So would question 
without notice based on what 

466
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:56,320
Paulson put in a Nova, is that 
giving him more than half of 

467
00:24:56,440 --> 00:24:58,760
beneficial ownership of the 
asset? 

468
00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:02,440
I I don't think so. 
So he was an 8% shareholder in 

469
00:25:02,440 --> 00:25:07,560
Nova Gold for this capital raise
and whilst they said those 3 

470
00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:11,400
tipped in for the 170 million, 
they didn't say who who got 

471
00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,880
what. 
Proportionately, I I wouldn't 

472
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,400
think so. 
Right. 

473
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:20,520
So as we've alluded to an 
individual or a family office 

474
00:25:21,080 --> 00:25:25,480
buying a stake in a gold mine 
would have been like bloody 

475
00:25:25,840 --> 00:25:29,880
Willie Packer taken Jabaluka 
like. 

476
00:25:29,880 --> 00:25:31,560
He's got LP's I guess, but I 
don't know if. 

477
00:25:32,000 --> 00:25:33,200
I don't know if John. 
Wilson has LP. 

478
00:25:33,480 --> 00:25:37,240
'S family, I suppose family 
offices very tight knit unit 

479
00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:38,960
isn't? 
It it's his money, Yeah. 

480
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:42,480
So he's shut down, so Paulson 
and Co and essentially booted 

481
00:25:42,480 --> 00:25:45,360
out general investors in in the 
funds. 

482
00:25:45,360 --> 00:25:48,000
So it's just his money now, 
which is fascinating. 

483
00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:49,280
So over. 
You one day, JD. 

484
00:25:50,440 --> 00:25:52,880
Might be all of us. 
Let's see fingers crossed on 

485
00:25:52,880 --> 00:25:55,360
that front, Maddie, but I I 
think it's fascinating. 

486
00:25:55,360 --> 00:25:57,640
So like you guys said, people 
might know him. 

487
00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:00,400
He he made money through the 
financial crisis. 

488
00:26:00,400 --> 00:26:03,080
It you know, it's very 
interesting how he how he 

489
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:04,480
structured his bets and 
everything. 

490
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:07,360
If you are kind of wondering 
about that, he's not too heavily

491
00:26:07,360 --> 00:26:10,040
featured in the movie The Big 
Short, but there's a book called

492
00:26:10,040 --> 00:26:11,720
The Greatest Trade Ever, I 
think. 

493
00:26:11,760 --> 00:26:13,560
And that's specifically about 
his angle. 

494
00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:16,680
So it's a, it's another 
perspective on the financial 

495
00:26:16,680 --> 00:26:19,920
crisis to Michael Lewis's 
retelling of it. 

496
00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:25,000
And he subsequently became very 
bullish gold and he's been 

497
00:26:25,000 --> 00:26:26,560
bullish sort of gold for a 
while. 

498
00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:28,600
You might have also seen his 
name in the media because he was

499
00:26:28,600 --> 00:26:32,320
rumoured to be in the running 
for Treasury Secretary, which 

500
00:26:32,760 --> 00:26:36,200
Scott Besson is of course, now. 
But he's been a yeah, he's been 

501
00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:37,680
a backer of Trump for some time 
as well. 

502
00:26:37,680 --> 00:26:39,160
But anyway. 
He's not related to Hank 

503
00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:40,360
Paulson. 
Not related. 

504
00:26:40,360 --> 00:26:42,480
A lot of people asked that 
question back in 2005. 

505
00:26:42,480 --> 00:26:44,320
Six. 
No, can confirm he's not. 

506
00:26:44,960 --> 00:26:48,160
So the gold trade from his 
perspective is really 

507
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:50,360
interesting. 
He set up a gold fund back in 

508
00:26:50,360 --> 00:26:55,160
2010 after the financial crisis 
and started buying massive 

509
00:26:55,160 --> 00:26:58,080
stakes because obviously he did 
very well out of the financial 

510
00:26:58,080 --> 00:27:01,840
crisis and his funds just grew 
enormously, like over 30 billion

511
00:27:01,920 --> 00:27:04,520
U.S. dollars. 
He was managing closer to 40 and

512
00:27:04,520 --> 00:27:08,040
he bought stakes in like Anglo 
Gold Ashanti, over 10% stakes 

513
00:27:08,560 --> 00:27:11,680
for over a billion dollars US 
like closer to 2 billion 

514
00:27:11,680 --> 00:27:13,600
Aussies. 
So he just went in really, 

515
00:27:13,600 --> 00:27:15,360
really hard. 
And it's, it's interesting to 

516
00:27:15,360 --> 00:27:18,320
reflect on those times and read 
some of the comments from some 

517
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,120
of the people involved. 
So I plucked out one from Mark 

518
00:27:21,120 --> 00:27:24,120
Crudafani of all people who was 
running Anglo Gold at the time. 

519
00:27:24,640 --> 00:27:27,560
And he said hard currency is 
coming to the fore as evidenced 

520
00:27:27,560 --> 00:27:29,880
by the investment choices of 
some of the world's most 

521
00:27:29,880 --> 00:27:32,920
seasoned investors. 
Now you might have heard that 

522
00:27:33,320 --> 00:27:37,520
today or yesterday, but that was
said, you know, over over 15 

523
00:27:37,520 --> 00:27:40,080
years ago. 
I just had a flashback. 

524
00:27:40,320 --> 00:27:42,120
Yeah, from underground 
operators. 

525
00:27:42,120 --> 00:27:44,880
Sorry to interrupt. 
No, please, but Mark Cordefani 

526
00:27:44,880 --> 00:27:46,800
was floating around. 
Hey. 

527
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:48,880
Did you have a chat? 
I might have had a skin full at 

528
00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:54,320
the casino and he was like, God,
I'm like, hey Mark, I'm like 

529
00:27:54,320 --> 00:27:57,480
make sure next time you come on 
money of mine, I'm there. 

530
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:00,880
Sorry, I was a bit under the 
weather that day. 

531
00:28:02,360 --> 00:28:03,880
He's like, who the Hell's this 
bloke? 

532
00:28:03,920 --> 00:28:05,720
I. 
Remember that podcast? 

533
00:28:08,160 --> 00:28:10,400
Oh, anyway. 
We digress. 

534
00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:16,160
So, yeah, the, the gold trade 
moved very much in his favour in

535
00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:20,120
2010, 11-12. 
And then it started peeling back

536
00:28:20,120 --> 00:28:22,000
and, you know, people were sort 
of bullish gold for all the same

537
00:28:22,000 --> 00:28:24,600
reasons, but the the timing 
wasn't quite right. 

538
00:28:24,600 --> 00:28:28,800
And then, you know, we came into
an era of massively, you know, 

539
00:28:28,800 --> 00:28:32,960
massive fiscal easing across the
planet and here we are. 

540
00:28:32,960 --> 00:28:35,560
But despite this, he's sort of 
been bullish throughout. 

541
00:28:35,560 --> 00:28:39,320
And you know, you can go back to
2018 did a massive investment in

542
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:43,240
Detour Gold over $500 million. 
And this is when his funds got a

543
00:28:43,240 --> 00:28:46,000
lot, lot smaller. 
So that's a, a massive check to 

544
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:47,640
write. 
I mean, he owns stakes in a 

545
00:28:47,640 --> 00:28:49,120
couple other companies. 
I'm not sure if you guys have 

546
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:54,880
heard of the Petura Resources. 
They are kept at about 1.3 

547
00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:57,320
billion. 
He earns 35% of that one. 

548
00:28:57,320 --> 00:29:01,720
He's, he's got quite a bit of 
cash in Agnico as well, of 

549
00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:04,920
course, Nova Gold. 
So yeah, I just, I just find 

550
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:07,360
this fascinating. 
He was on Bloomberg just last 

551
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:11,240
week talking about gold, the 
narrative that central banks 

552
00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:12,920
would just keep on buying and 
buying gold. 

553
00:29:12,920 --> 00:29:17,840
So I think he's deservedly 
called a gold bull or a gold bug

554
00:29:18,000 --> 00:29:20,840
on Wall Street. 
Yeah, and this is the best 

555
00:29:20,840 --> 00:29:24,080
leverage you can get to gold is 
owning a Gold Bond. 

556
00:29:25,000 --> 00:29:26,440
Absolutely. 
It's it's talk about. 

557
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:29,840
Leverage like the the scale of 
potential production here and if

558
00:29:29,840 --> 00:29:33,560
it was high cost and as prices 
rise, that's a tremendous 

559
00:29:33,560 --> 00:29:35,000
difference to the valuation of 
this asset. 

560
00:29:35,000 --> 00:29:37,120
Yeah. 
And it's also an asset that had 

561
00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:40,600
a handbrake on it because Eric 
weren't doing much with it, like

562
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:42,080
they were going through the 
motions. 

563
00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:46,000
So consolidating the asset, 
you've seen it in the reaction 

564
00:29:46,000 --> 00:29:49,120
of Nova Gold's share price. 
It's just put a lighter on them.

565
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:52,360
They've gone sort of flying so. 
And it's not it's not like a 

566
00:29:52,360 --> 00:29:58,480
huge number really. 
Like for high 30 million oz 2G 

567
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:02,400
at for what, a 2 billion US 
project valuation? 

568
00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:06,440
Like it's not huge dollars no 
considering Spartan went for 2 

569
00:30:06,440 --> 00:30:07,840
1/2 Aussie. 
Yeah. 

570
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,920
So the I mean the the key 
distinction there is that the 

571
00:30:10,920 --> 00:30:16,720
CapEx, right, which is 7 1/2 
billion US 2021, so bit of 

572
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:21,040
inflation on on that one. 
But yeah, the, the, the high 

573
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:24,160
tide of gold prices is really 
changing the economics. 

574
00:30:24,160 --> 00:30:26,600
So they're going to refresh the 
feasibility study of this one 

575
00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:28,720
over the next two years. 
And then they're talking about a

576
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:32,080
four or five year engineering 
and construction time frame, so 

577
00:30:33,040 --> 00:30:37,240
early 30s talking about 
production, which is, yeah, of 

578
00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:38,880
course it's going to be around 
sooner than we think. 

579
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:40,960
And like I said, the numbers 
have been run through this 

580
00:30:40,960 --> 00:30:43,000
already. 
The reserves are virtually the 

581
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:47,280
same as what they were in 2009. 
They've got stacks of data like 

582
00:30:47,280 --> 00:30:50,920
350 odd 1000 meters have been 
drilled in this thing. 

583
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:55,440
They, they know a lot about it. 
But the 2021 numbers, like I 

584
00:30:55,440 --> 00:31:02,280
said, big CapEx, MPV at 5% was 
US $3 billion, which left it 

585
00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:06,400
with an IRR of just over 9%. 
So that's enough to put most 

586
00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:12,040
people off even BHB, you know, 
so that was using AUS $1500 gold

587
00:31:12,040 --> 00:31:15,840
price, which is not the world 
we're living in today. 

588
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:20,200
And the oil and sustaining cost 
was a touch under US $700.00. 

589
00:31:20,640 --> 00:31:23,840
Although again, inflation and 
just all these things, but 20 

590
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:28,480
million tonne per annum plant 
pretty much big, big, big scale 

591
00:31:28,480 --> 00:31:32,520
leverage to the gold price. 
And you can start to run 

592
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:34,040
different numbers in different 
scenarios. 

593
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:37,000
We'll flash out what different 
gold prices would do to those 

594
00:31:37,000 --> 00:31:39,280
numbers at the time. 
And you can see the economics 

595
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:43,200
change quite substantially. 
And in any case, these guys are 

596
00:31:43,200 --> 00:31:44,880
gold bulls. 
So that's not the thing they're 

597
00:31:44,880 --> 00:31:46,280
worried about. 
They're just thinking about the 

598
00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:48,720
best way to play it. 
They want leverage to that gold 

599
00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:50,800
price. 
So they're fixated on 

600
00:31:50,880 --> 00:31:52,560
eliminating the risk here, 
right. 

601
00:31:52,920 --> 00:31:56,560
And to your point, before Maddie
on jurisdiction, you want to 

602
00:31:57,120 --> 00:31:58,920
pick the bet and make sure 
you're going to get paid for it,

603
00:31:58,920 --> 00:32:01,640
just like Paulson was thinking 
back in the day how he 

604
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:06,840
structured his, his housing bet.
You don't want to do it in let's

605
00:32:06,840 --> 00:32:09,200
say Mali or news year, you know 
where you're worried about 

606
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:10,880
getting paid. 
You want to eliminate the risks.

607
00:32:10,880 --> 00:32:14,280
And to that point, Alaska is an 
interesting choice because it 

608
00:32:14,280 --> 00:32:19,080
wouldn't be the, the first point
on everyone's list, but maybe 

609
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:23,640
they've got a way of navigating 
the, the, the social parts of 

610
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:26,680
this, the the permitting parts, 
because that is undoubtedly a 

611
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:29,840
huge part of unlocking the value
here and bringing those people 

612
00:32:29,840 --> 00:32:32,600
in the local communities along 
the journey with you, I mean. 

613
00:32:33,160 --> 00:32:36,920
Especially for a big pit like 
surface disturbance. 

614
00:32:37,600 --> 00:32:39,360
Exactly the hardest thing to 
permit. 

615
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:41,760
So you, you want to bring the 
people along with you, you want 

616
00:32:41,760 --> 00:32:44,240
them to be involved, you want 
jobs for the for the local 

617
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:47,880
communities, you want them to be
compensated and see some of the 

618
00:32:47,880 --> 00:32:49,840
upside as well. 
And if you think it's going to 

619
00:32:49,840 --> 00:32:53,480
be a big payout like I suspect 
they do, then might just have to

620
00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:56,200
break a bit off and share it 
around. 

621
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:58,520
But I'm sure that's all the 
stuff at the forefront of their 

622
00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:00,680
mind that they're actually 
thinking about refreshing the 

623
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:03,000
numbers. 
So for all those kind of 

624
00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:05,120
reasons, I just think this is a 
like a fascinating deal. 

625
00:33:05,520 --> 00:33:06,880
Yeah, really fascinating. 
Is it? 

626
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:11,120
It'd be about is it 1,000,000 / 
1,000,000 oz. 

627
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:14,560
About a million oz a year. 1.1 
Yeah yeah 20. 

628
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:16,520
Million tonne of 2G, that's 
yeah. 

629
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:19,400
Yeah, and they're gonna, they're
gonna front weight that as you'd

630
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:22,760
suspect. 
So the first 10 years were about

631
00:33:22,760 --> 00:33:24,240
1.4 million oz. 
Wow. 

632
00:33:24,760 --> 00:33:25,480
So. 
So what? 

633
00:33:25,480 --> 00:33:28,280
Bigger than Paul Grub. 
Enormous. 

634
00:33:28,280 --> 00:33:30,640
It's phenomenal, up there with 
the biggest in the planet. 

635
00:33:30,640 --> 00:33:34,120
I know it's a 20 million tonne 
like plant, but that CapEx is 

636
00:33:34,120 --> 00:33:37,200
enormous heaps that must be 
pretty strip right like. 

637
00:33:37,960 --> 00:33:41,640
I mean, this is in a very remote
part of the world. 

638
00:33:42,120 --> 00:33:45,360
I think you need to develop a 
bit better access than what 

639
00:33:45,360 --> 00:33:49,960
they've got at the moment. 
Strip as well as tailings and 

640
00:33:50,040 --> 00:33:53,440
all, and all those sorts of 
things are pretty, pretty 

641
00:33:53,440 --> 00:33:55,680
substantial. 
Talking another schematic in 

642
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:58,240
there so you can get a feel for 
what the operation might look 

643
00:33:58,240 --> 00:33:59,800
like. 
It'd be interesting to say about

644
00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:04,120
what the type, because I know 
I'm pretty sure Pogo they all 

645
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:08,760
all their tilings have to go 
back underground like there's no

646
00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:11,600
surface. 
So these guys positing of 

647
00:34:11,600 --> 00:34:14,000
tilings. 
These guys do have surface from 

648
00:34:14,000 --> 00:34:16,480
what I could see at the time. 
I don't know if that was a hold 

649
00:34:16,480 --> 00:34:18,600
up on, on permitting and that's 
something they're gonna try and 

650
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:20,360
address. 
But there was also backfield 

651
00:34:20,360 --> 00:34:24,199
taking place in certain parts as
well through the through the 

652
00:34:24,199 --> 00:34:26,000
cycle. 
So yeah, yeah, remains to be. 

653
00:34:26,000 --> 00:34:30,320
Seen like more just alerting 
they are strict the permitting 

654
00:34:30,520 --> 00:34:34,000
for just like you just can't 
just Chuck a tailings damn in 

655
00:34:34,440 --> 00:34:36,480
that easily. 
Like you can't track it easily 

656
00:34:36,480 --> 00:34:39,120
in Australia, let alone Alaska. 
Yeah, and think of. 

657
00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:41,840
Serbia, apparently. 
Yeah, Serbia. 

658
00:34:41,840 --> 00:34:43,520
The rise of Serbia. 
So Bosnia. 

659
00:34:43,600 --> 00:34:46,159
Bosnia. 
Yeah, I've got it wrong now. 

660
00:34:46,159 --> 00:34:48,199
neighboring. 
Someone's going to kill me in 

661
00:34:48,199 --> 00:34:51,239
Serbia though. 
Maybe in Bosnia too. 

662
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:54,480
Especially with your links to 
yeah. 

663
00:34:56,120 --> 00:35:00,280
I think the other the other 
point would be like Pebble Creek

664
00:35:00,520 --> 00:35:02,400
is not far that's been in in 
permitting. 

665
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:05,200
Hold up for Yeah, God, how many,
many decades now? 

666
00:35:05,200 --> 00:35:09,240
So water bodies, rivers, these 
sorts of things need to be very 

667
00:35:09,240 --> 00:35:12,400
carefully studied. 
And I'd imagine they've done a 

668
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,840
lot of the work since this thing
was discovered over 20 years ago

669
00:35:15,160 --> 00:35:17,600
on those aspects as well. 
But I'll just leave it with a, 

670
00:35:17,680 --> 00:35:20,640
with a chart that they chucked 
in first time I've seen this 

671
00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,440
that I can remember at least. 
And they're, they're flexing the

672
00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:28,560
numbers with a discount rate of 
0% just to just to show you the,

673
00:35:28,720 --> 00:35:31,960
the cash flow that this thing 
could potentially generate. 

674
00:35:31,960 --> 00:35:34,040
But maybe that's a a gold bug 
mindset. 

675
00:35:34,040 --> 00:35:35,440
You asked me if I remember this 
project. 

676
00:35:35,440 --> 00:35:37,360
I didn't, but I do remember that
slide. 

677
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,240
I've definitely seen that slide 
posted on Twitter. 

678
00:35:39,240 --> 00:35:40,280
Yeah. 
That's hilarious. 

679
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:41,040
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

680
00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:41,920
Good one. 
Yeah. 

681
00:35:42,240 --> 00:35:44,600
It's you. 
You think from a Barrick 

682
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:48,080
perspective when you put the 
permitting and the the time 

683
00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:50,240
frame of it, you're like fuck, 
we could probably deploy our 

684
00:35:50,240 --> 00:35:54,160
capital a lot better to get a 
sooner return because this could

685
00:35:54,160 --> 00:35:57,280
go for a very long time to get 
this developed. 

686
00:35:57,360 --> 00:36:00,120
It's got to take him in probably
an equal long time for the the 

687
00:36:00,120 --> 00:36:02,360
fruits of Rico Dick, but that 
that's the horse that they're 

688
00:36:02,400 --> 00:36:04,840
they're betting on instead. 
Yeah, and you can't you've only 

689
00:36:04,840 --> 00:36:07,280
got so much free cash flow to 
actually reinvest. 

690
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:08,480
So. 
Yeah, yeah. 

691
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:11,480
No snow at Pakistan. 
That's the benefits of Rico 

692
00:36:11,520 --> 00:36:13,640
Dick, I don't think. 
I think. 

693
00:36:14,720 --> 00:36:15,640
It's a bit colder than you 
think. 

694
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:17,360
It's up in the mountains there. 
Oh yeah, Maybe, maybe. 

695
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:18,800
Maybe. 
No. 

696
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:19,960
Snow. 
They got me face there. 

697
00:36:19,960 --> 00:36:22,040
Does it snow in Pakistan? 
Let me know. 

698
00:36:23,000 --> 00:36:24,360
Right. 
Let's go out Paladin. 

699
00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:27,320
I think it was out yesterday. 
They've had a bit of a run. 

700
00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,000
So all EU stocks are having a 
bit of a run. 

701
00:36:30,000 --> 00:36:34,320
It's whether the people are 
thinking, oh, is the $65 spot 

702
00:36:34,320 --> 00:36:38,120
price the bottom out who knows, 
but there are there's a bit of a

703
00:36:38,120 --> 00:36:40,440
bit of volatility on EU stocks 
at the moment. 

704
00:36:40,720 --> 00:36:44,840
So all and they pelled and went 
up yesterday on the back of 

705
00:36:44,840 --> 00:36:47,200
this. 
So there looks like their 

706
00:36:47,200 --> 00:36:50,080
production wise their quarter 
improved a lot. 

707
00:36:50,080 --> 00:36:54,240
They did have the what was it 
the too much rain event. 

708
00:36:54,320 --> 00:36:56,480
They had not enough water 
previous quarter. 

709
00:36:56,480 --> 00:37:00,920
Now they've had bloody too much.
There was a one in 50 year rain 

710
00:37:00,920 --> 00:37:06,200
event, but even with that they 
still they processed 900,000 

711
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:13,200
tonne feed grade improved 419 
PPM up from four O 4 recovery's 

712
00:37:13,200 --> 00:37:16,400
going good. 
So they produced 3/4 of 

713
00:37:16,400 --> 00:37:20,480
1,000,000 lbs of uranium realise
price 6990. 

714
00:37:20,480 --> 00:37:24,240
So I think they'll because they 
got a lot more contracting in 

715
00:37:24,240 --> 00:37:26,480
place. 
They're not chucking it in the 

716
00:37:26,480 --> 00:37:31,000
spot as much in the spot. 
So cost of production went down.

717
00:37:31,240 --> 00:37:32,560
So you look at the waterfall 
chart. 

718
00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:36,760
I'm just trying to again my 
bloody me dumb thinking. 

719
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:41,160
They're they're processing 
stockpiles only They've just 

720
00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:45,640
fired the first part of and open
pit, not the original open pit 

721
00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:47,920
they were planning to go into 
because that one got flooded. 

722
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:53,600
So they're into another one now.
But they've if you take if you 

723
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:57,440
take away that money from the 
Fission acquisition, the 81 US 

724
00:37:57,440 --> 00:38:02,240
that came in from that deal, it 
sort of means on a six month 

725
00:38:02,240 --> 00:38:07,680
basis they still would have gone
backwards about what's that 8 

726
00:38:07,680 --> 00:38:11,200
million that right, Yeah, about 
8 million US going backwards. 

727
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:15,040
And it's and it's like, OK, what
does this mean for one Paladin 

728
00:38:15,040 --> 00:38:17,640
and the rest of the Namibian 
hopefuls? 

729
00:38:17,640 --> 00:38:21,080
Because they've just been 
processing stockpiles. 

730
00:38:21,080 --> 00:38:24,760
Yes, it's in ramp up. 
It is a, you know, a brownfields

731
00:38:24,760 --> 00:38:30,440
project that's being restarted. 
They're processing 400 odd PPM 

732
00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:33,320
from existing stockpiles. 
So there's no mining costs. 

733
00:38:33,320 --> 00:38:35,400
They're just just re handle and 
throw it in. 

734
00:38:35,760 --> 00:38:38,600
And they've sort of gone 
backwards at these at these 

735
00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:42,280
prices. 
And I'm just thinking overall, 

736
00:38:42,280 --> 00:38:44,560
I'll skip to the end. 
I'm like, OK, well, if Deep 

737
00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:51,200
Yellow are proposing 340 PPM 
mining and Bannerman are 

738
00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:57,120
proposing 240 PPM out of their 
open pits in Namibia again, 

739
00:38:57,120 --> 00:39:00,680
while we're at these prices, and
it's been reaffirmed by Deep 

740
00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:05,480
Yellow postponing their FID, 
Like these projects are just not

741
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:09,560
even going to be considered to 
be developed if Paladin aren't 

742
00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:12,720
making money reprocessing 
stockpiles at 400 PPM. 

743
00:39:13,240 --> 00:39:16,400
So that that's essentially my 
overall conclusion. 

744
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:19,840
So like there's not when we're 
talking about what is the 

745
00:39:19,840 --> 00:39:22,440
incentive pricing for those 
projects. 

746
00:39:22,440 --> 00:39:27,040
Like it'd have to be pretty 
close to 100 I would imagine to 

747
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:30,800
consider deploying a shit load 
of capital to build these 

748
00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:34,640
projects and process low grade 
open pits. 

749
00:39:34,640 --> 00:39:36,960
So that was that was sort of 
where I got to. 

750
00:39:37,000 --> 00:39:41,200
Yeah, just to say what was said,
Maddie, what was the grade of 

751
00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:43,000
the reserves that they're going 
to mine? 

752
00:39:43,280 --> 00:39:46,080
For Paladin, yeah, about 505 
hundred. 

753
00:39:46,080 --> 00:39:50,680
So they've talked about there's 
like 800 pockets that they can 

754
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,160
go to to start with. 
But I think they they said in 

755
00:39:53,160 --> 00:39:58,040
the call that they're targeting 
to try and maintain that 500. 

756
00:39:58,560 --> 00:40:01,800
Yeah, you go to those high 
pockets and you go lower later 

757
00:40:01,800 --> 00:40:04,200
down the track, right? 
Yeah, Rob and Peter to pay Paul 

758
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:07,360
later on. 
So they're so I think once and 

759
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:11,280
once the tonnage sort of 
increases and they're in 

760
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,640
production, it'd be interesting 
to see how this goes. 

761
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:16,560
But it's not like, yeah, it's, 
it's another one of those 

762
00:40:16,560 --> 00:40:18,600
situations. 
It's like the purpose of mining 

763
00:40:18,600 --> 00:40:23,840
these stockpiles was to generate
cash flow to help set themselves

764
00:40:23,840 --> 00:40:28,360
up that they've ended up losing 
money by doing it, but they've 

765
00:40:28,360 --> 00:40:30,080
lost money. 
But they've, it's a, it's a 

766
00:40:30,080 --> 00:40:33,280
commissioning process as well. 
So it has to be done at some 

767
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:34,960
point. 
So you may as well, you may as 

768
00:40:34,960 --> 00:40:37,560
well lose money while you're 
processing lower grade and make 

769
00:40:37,560 --> 00:40:39,480
more money when you're 
processing the higher grade. 

770
00:40:40,600 --> 00:40:43,040
Nevertheless, the stock jumped 
18%, yes. 

771
00:40:43,040 --> 00:40:44,640
Yeah, yeah. 
So it. 

772
00:40:45,360 --> 00:40:47,960
Was even higher, I think it. 
Might have been that soon, yeah.

773
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:51,240
25 But it was funny, you go on 
on a one month time frame, it 

774
00:40:51,240 --> 00:40:54,440
was still down like 21%. 
But yeah, the daily, the daily 

775
00:40:54,440 --> 00:40:57,640
volatility is, yeah, I guess it 
goes to show how a volatile 

776
00:40:57,640 --> 00:41:00,200
things can be when you've got 
the the high short interest and 

777
00:41:00,240 --> 00:41:02,120
a bit of short covering, you can
squeeze a bit. 

778
00:41:02,280 --> 00:41:05,440
Yeah, well, and yeah, I think 
the short, the short, and while 

779
00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:08,840
these stocks have been down at 
these levels like well the 

780
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:12,520
Aussie based ones anyway, boss, 
Paladin, DPL, I think the bloody

781
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:14,440
short interest has kept on 
climbing. 

782
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:19,720
So they're continuing to pile 
into it, whatever the mechanism 

783
00:41:19,720 --> 00:41:22,520
or trading mechanics behind that
is. 

784
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:27,040
But we'll, it can, I think, as 
you said before, it goes both 

785
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:28,360
ways. 
When the price is going down, 

786
00:41:28,360 --> 00:41:32,560
there's more bloody, more shorts
piling in and then prices going 

787
00:41:32,560 --> 00:41:34,640
up. 
She's just, it's one of those, 

788
00:41:35,280 --> 00:41:38,840
it's just such a concentrated 
set of companies you can do it 

789
00:41:38,840 --> 00:41:41,720
to. 
Hence why all the the narrative 

790
00:41:41,720 --> 00:41:44,480
goes into a small amount of 
stocks because there's not many 

791
00:41:44,480 --> 00:41:47,880
bloody mobs that are producing 
or that have a big enough market

792
00:41:47,880 --> 00:41:52,240
cap that are indexed to do it. 
So looking at this bloody water,

793
00:41:52,280 --> 00:41:55,200
you can see how that, so that 
appeared to be I think the 

794
00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:59,360
bottom left photo or I reckon 
that might be the pit that 

795
00:41:59,360 --> 00:42:02,360
they're going to mine. 
So you can see how much freaking

796
00:42:02,520 --> 00:42:05,640
rain they had. 
So they've got to pump that out.

797
00:42:05,640 --> 00:42:08,240
There's this is probably the one
place on earth that doesn't need

798
00:42:08,240 --> 00:42:11,080
Gerald James at the moment to 
find water because they've got a

799
00:42:11,080 --> 00:42:15,160
shit load to deal with it. 
Like there's no shortage of 

800
00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:19,720
water this quarter. 
That's why they once it dries 

801
00:42:19,720 --> 00:42:21,960
out and they start relying on 
near water again. 

802
00:42:21,960 --> 00:42:26,400
Maybe Jarrow James and the WA 
water boards if people don't 

803
00:42:26,400 --> 00:42:31,160
know the best mud Rotary 
drillers in the world maybe 

804
00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:32,920
might be a bit useful over 
there. 

805
00:42:32,920 --> 00:42:34,680
Take the reliance off near 
water. 

806
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:38,320
That will The best thing the 
Aussie mining companies could do

807
00:42:38,320 --> 00:42:43,400
right now is get Gerald James 
working for them so he's not 

808
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:46,120
forced to go to Namibia because 
once he's over there it's a big 

809
00:42:46,120 --> 00:42:48,280
flight back to. 
Get the beer back big flight 

810
00:42:48,280 --> 00:42:51,520
back and in the they need buddy 
did desal plant there mate James

811
00:42:51,520 --> 00:42:54,120
James helps you avoid the need 
for desalinated water because he

812
00:42:54,440 --> 00:42:55,480
he. 
Finds you fresh water. 

813
00:42:55,480 --> 00:42:57,280
He finds the fresh stuff. 
Yeah, it didn't. 

814
00:42:57,280 --> 00:42:58,360
You didn't even know it was 
there. 

815
00:42:58,440 --> 00:43:00,960
He found it. 
He's got revolutionary 

816
00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:03,920
proprietary salt detection 
technology on his mud Rotary 

817
00:43:03,920 --> 00:43:06,200
equipment. 
So you just not drill another 

818
00:43:06,200 --> 00:43:09,040
one to sailon so. 
You don't want the water? 

819
00:43:09,040 --> 00:43:11,960
He'll get rid of it as well. 
Yeah, I once asked him for the 

820
00:43:11,960 --> 00:43:15,840
tricks of the trade and he said,
can't tell you, but you, you 

821
00:43:15,840 --> 00:43:16,880
learned it growing up in 
Geraldton. 

822
00:43:16,880 --> 00:43:19,440
That's what they teach you in 
Geraldton. 

823
00:43:19,480 --> 00:43:23,440
It is how to find water. 
All about water considered WA 

824
00:43:23,520 --> 00:43:28,120
water boars, water hedging. 
Like yeah, just thanks Jared 

825
00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:29,440
James. 
It's good to have him. 

826
00:43:29,600 --> 00:43:31,560
Been great to have him back for 
a couple of months. 

827
00:43:31,560 --> 00:43:33,640
The bloody legend called. 
WA water boars. 

828
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:35,040
Right. 
What do we got? 

829
00:43:35,680 --> 00:43:40,640
So Trav, you're this is a bit of
a bipartisan. 

830
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:43,960
Segment is it? 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

831
00:43:44,640 --> 00:43:50,120
How was breakfast? 
I, I yeah, I'll get to that. 

832
00:43:51,960 --> 00:43:56,720
I noticed that you tried to 
force this on to JD and when 

833
00:43:56,720 --> 00:44:00,960
you're out of the room he like 
respective respectfully declined

834
00:44:00,960 --> 00:44:02,760
it to Ali. 
Yeah, like, yeah, he. 

835
00:44:03,240 --> 00:44:06,640
Didn't do it in front of you. 
Yeah, yeah, I. 

836
00:44:07,120 --> 00:44:08,440
Don't think I went out of my way
to. 

837
00:44:10,480 --> 00:44:13,160
It was it was cool, it was cool,
it was cool to go that that's 

838
00:44:13,160 --> 00:44:15,120
for sure. 
So, you know, I'm appreciative 

839
00:44:15,120 --> 00:44:16,480
of that. 
But the the yeah, not sure if 

840
00:44:16,920 --> 00:44:20,000
you guys call this policy news 
surfaced last night. 

841
00:44:20,000 --> 00:44:22,560
Grab some headlines again this 
morning moved a few stocks in 

842
00:44:22,560 --> 00:44:25,360
its process. 
But the the Australian election 

843
00:44:25,360 --> 00:44:29,200
literally just a week away. 
And so the you know, the policy 

844
00:44:29,200 --> 00:44:34,640
announcements from the Albanese 
and Dutton kind of yeah, and 

845
00:44:35,120 --> 00:44:36,880
keep rolling in. 
And last I checked, the 

846
00:44:37,240 --> 00:44:40,360
incumbent Prime Minister Anthony
Albanese is the heavy favorite. 

847
00:44:40,360 --> 00:44:45,560
Polymarket odds are 83% for a 
return of a Labour government 

848
00:44:45,560 --> 00:44:48,320
that has implications on on our 
industry that we care about and 

849
00:44:48,320 --> 00:44:49,520
the miners that operate within 
it. 

850
00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:53,280
And it and to this policy 
announcement matters because it 

851
00:44:53,280 --> 00:44:56,000
came from the Labour government,
which means it's likely to 

852
00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:58,360
become an actual policy based on
the current betting odds. 

853
00:44:58,800 --> 00:45:02,340
The the announcement I'm 
referring to is that under a re 

854
00:45:02,340 --> 00:45:05,800
elected government, Australia 
will create a critical minerals 

855
00:45:05,800 --> 00:45:08,360
strategic reserve. 
What does that mean? 

856
00:45:09,080 --> 00:45:11,280
It means they're going to 
increase the existing critical 

857
00:45:11,280 --> 00:45:13,680
minerals facility by another $1 
billion. 

858
00:45:14,000 --> 00:45:17,680
They're going to spend initially
$250 million literally building 

859
00:45:17,680 --> 00:45:20,680
a stockpile of of critical 
minerals, not sure which ones. 

860
00:45:21,440 --> 00:45:24,360
Here's here's where things get 
even more spicy. 

861
00:45:24,760 --> 00:45:27,480
Through national off take 
agreements, the government will 

862
00:45:27,480 --> 00:45:30,560
acquire agreed volumes of the 
minerals from commercial 

863
00:45:30,560 --> 00:45:34,040
projects and there's also going 
to be selective stockpiling 

864
00:45:34,280 --> 00:45:37,000
process involving specific 
critical minerals deemed 

865
00:45:37,000 --> 00:45:39,960
necessary for national security.
As you might imagine, I have 

866
00:45:40,320 --> 00:45:42,960
other few thoughts about all of 
this and big thank you to the 

867
00:45:43,080 --> 00:45:46,320
the AMEC team who who invited me
to sit on their table at a 

868
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:49,520
breakfast this morning, which 
was put on big song and dance 

869
00:45:49,520 --> 00:45:52,120
put on by the West Australian 
under this thing called 

870
00:45:52,120 --> 00:45:54,960
leadership matters things. 
And anyways. 

871
00:45:54,960 --> 00:45:56,760
It's a bit of a right newspaper,
isn't it? 

872
00:45:56,760 --> 00:46:00,600
Which is. 
They are a newspaper, yeah. 

873
00:46:00,680 --> 00:46:02,920
But they're a right winged 1. 
The West. 

874
00:46:02,920 --> 00:46:04,760
They're a bit, they're a bit 
centre right, aren't they? 

875
00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:06,200
They're not. 
Or are they more left? 

876
00:46:06,200 --> 00:46:08,480
This, this isn't supposed to be 
like a partisan event. 

877
00:46:08,480 --> 00:46:11,120
It's just the fact that it's 
like, you know, they they did 

878
00:46:11,400 --> 00:46:14,000
one a month ago and they, they 
somehow got Twiggy to speak at 

879
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:15,320
it. 
And, and you would have noticed 

880
00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:18,160
because Twiggy spoke at it. 
The West kind of toned back the 

881
00:46:18,160 --> 00:46:21,840
anti Twiggy hydrogen stuff that 
sorry rocked up. 

882
00:46:21,840 --> 00:46:24,560
Yeah, so there's you know, 
that's just the the way that the

883
00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:27,680
media works here with Carrie 
Stokes, his influence in it all.

884
00:46:27,800 --> 00:46:32,760
And anyway, so so there's this 
big event put on it's breakfast.

885
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:37,120
Thanks to yeah, like the, you 
know, Warren Neil Ryan at AMEC 

886
00:46:37,120 --> 00:46:40,440
who let me sit on the table at 
the brekkie elbow goes up and he

887
00:46:40,560 --> 00:46:43,760
he talks about his black policy 
settings to this, you know, room

888
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:47,600
full of of people at the Crown 
Ballroom all having breakfast. 

889
00:46:47,600 --> 00:46:50,280
And and yeah, you made it 
because I'm a dance, especially 

890
00:46:50,280 --> 00:46:52,120
about this policy. 
But before I share my thoughts 

891
00:46:52,120 --> 00:46:55,120
about it, I thought I'd get your
your initial views. 

892
00:46:55,200 --> 00:46:57,440
Well, yeah, I'd love to. 
You're obviously way more in the

893
00:46:57,440 --> 00:47:01,600
weeds than me on this. 
I'm just thinking, OK, what 

894
00:47:02,800 --> 00:47:05,720
don't you usually have a 
critical minerals reserve for if

895
00:47:05,720 --> 00:47:09,080
you've got a big downstream 
component in the country to feed

896
00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:12,240
it into, which we don't. 
What the fuck's it for? 

897
00:47:13,920 --> 00:47:17,640
Yeah, but got similar kind of 
concerns, like it makes sense if

898
00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:20,880
it's oil that you need for your 
country so you shelter yourself 

899
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:24,960
from from shocks. 
But initial concerns are just 

900
00:47:25,240 --> 00:47:27,960
fear that government starts 
picking winners. 

901
00:47:27,960 --> 00:47:30,120
But you know, I think we've also
got to understand that the the 

902
00:47:30,120 --> 00:47:33,480
world is moving to a more 
geopolitically fragile sort of 

903
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:37,960
space and it makes sense to sort
of protect, protect ourselves 

904
00:47:37,960 --> 00:47:42,120
and look out for our interests 
and partners that align with us.

905
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:46,600
But I I tend to be filled with 
concern about the the decisions 

906
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:48,560
that made on how we actually get
there. 

907
00:47:49,480 --> 00:47:51,960
Big time. 
If you have a quick, quick scan 

908
00:47:51,960 --> 00:47:54,560
of the the share price movements
of the local rare earth stocks 

909
00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:58,400
that I look is up 5% today line 
is up 1% are fewer surprisingly 

910
00:47:58,400 --> 00:48:02,280
flat Northern Minerals up 13%. 
But it gives you a rough idea of

911
00:48:02,400 --> 00:48:05,720
of you know what the market 
thinks today will be the big 

912
00:48:05,720 --> 00:48:07,200
beneficiaries of this policy, 
right? 

913
00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:10,520
I look to me is the elephant in 
the room because remember there 

914
00:48:10,560 --> 00:48:15,120
any Abbott refinery is by miles 
the dominant use of any funds 

915
00:48:15,120 --> 00:48:17,040
from Australias critical 
minerals facility. 

916
00:48:17,040 --> 00:48:20,480
Already that critical minerals 
facility was created recently 

917
00:48:20,480 --> 00:48:25,120
only in 2021 and it was created 
with with with $2 billion to to 

918
00:48:25,120 --> 00:48:29,000
to allocate any other got 
announced and that that alone 

919
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:31,640
accounted for 1.25 billion of 
the two of the 2 billion 

920
00:48:31,640 --> 00:48:34,680
committed just for Iluka. 
Never fear though, the Albanese 

921
00:48:34,680 --> 00:48:39,400
government doubled its size to 4
billion in 2023 and now it's set

922
00:48:39,400 --> 00:48:41,400
to reach 5 billion after the 
election. 

923
00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:44,640
Clearly all all the while Iluka 
has been very transparent about 

924
00:48:44,640 --> 00:48:46,960
the fact they need even more 
money from the government to 

925
00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:49,440
push ahead with any other. 
What was initially supposed to 

926
00:48:49,440 --> 00:48:53,000
cost 1.2 billion has already 
risen to 1.8 billion by Iluka's 

927
00:48:53,000 --> 00:48:56,880
latest admission, and the 
government increased their non 

928
00:48:56,880 --> 00:49:00,320
recourse loan to 1.7 billion. 
So we're, you know, we're, we're

929
00:49:00,320 --> 00:49:00,960
good for it. 
Don't worry. 

930
00:49:01,640 --> 00:49:04,920
Just just for a moment, though, 
let's disregard the you know, 

931
00:49:05,160 --> 00:49:07,400
I've talked about my concerns on
the very optimistic ramp up 

932
00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:10,120
assumptions underpinning a 
phenomenally complex operation 

933
00:49:10,120 --> 00:49:12,080
there, but we'll put that to the
side for a moment. 

934
00:49:12,400 --> 00:49:16,200
There's there's a commercial 
flaw in in this entire refinery 

935
00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:18,960
proposition, right? 
Who is going to buy the product?

936
00:49:19,600 --> 00:49:21,400
Who's going to buy the product? 
You're producing something, 

937
00:49:21,680 --> 00:49:25,160
who's going to buy it? 
And Japan doesn't need any more 

938
00:49:25,160 --> 00:49:26,800
like they, they, they get their 
feel. 

939
00:49:26,880 --> 00:49:31,280
China is the only buyer. 
Any, any ABBA needs Chinese 

940
00:49:31,280 --> 00:49:33,320
buyers of their product because 
they're the only buyer. 

941
00:49:34,280 --> 00:49:38,080
No, no buyer exists, right? 
So, so if you're building this 

942
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:40,160
for your supply chain 
independence, yada, yada, yada. 

943
00:49:41,040 --> 00:49:43,160
One of the conditions of the 
Australian government money is 

944
00:49:43,160 --> 00:49:46,120
that it's, it's got to be to, 
you know, he's like, you know, 

945
00:49:47,160 --> 00:49:49,360
certified buyers or friendly 
buyers, especially he's not, not

946
00:49:49,360 --> 00:49:51,960
Chinese buyers, right? 
But they're the only buyer. 

947
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:54,040
And so if you've got this big 
commercial roadblock, if you're 

948
00:49:54,040 --> 00:49:55,480
going to build a thing to 
produce something that there is 

949
00:49:55,480 --> 00:49:59,680
no buyer for in your version of 
the world, well, guess, guess 

950
00:49:59,680 --> 00:50:01,000
what? 
That's where the government 

951
00:50:01,000 --> 00:50:03,480
comes in, because they're going 
to solve the problem by buying 

952
00:50:03,480 --> 00:50:05,720
the product themselves. 
That's what the offtake is, the 

953
00:50:05,720 --> 00:50:08,960
government commitment to buy the
product out of all the volume at

954
00:50:08,960 --> 00:50:12,200
a specific price. 
What do you say? 

955
00:50:12,200 --> 00:50:16,360
You mentioned the other day that
what America won't even be able 

956
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:20,320
to buy all of mountain passes. 
What they they can do more 

957
00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:23,080
mountain even mountain pass has 
got leftover rare earths. 

958
00:50:23,400 --> 00:50:25,000
That's not like it's going to go
over there. 

959
00:50:25,040 --> 00:50:26,160
Well, that's what they're 
banking on. 

960
00:50:26,160 --> 00:50:29,520
They're banking on this being 
the bargaining chip as Trump 

961
00:50:29,560 --> 00:50:32,600
induces downstream demand in 
America. 

962
00:50:33,280 --> 00:50:35,400
But doesn't green light minds 
that we're going to be the ones 

963
00:50:35,400 --> 00:50:39,200
that can facilitate and send our
product there so that they can 

964
00:50:39,200 --> 00:50:44,120
build their magnets. 
But it's not, you're not setting

965
00:50:44,120 --> 00:50:47,800
up the incentives in the most 
straightforward way. 

966
00:50:47,800 --> 00:50:51,200
You're you're trying to get to 
the outcome kind of first, you 

967
00:50:51,200 --> 00:50:53,480
know, and encourage these guys 
to build. 

968
00:50:54,280 --> 00:50:56,200
You're hoping that they do the 
same over that end. 

969
00:50:56,200 --> 00:50:59,400
But there's a lot of pieces that
need to fall into place for this

970
00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:03,880
to work successfully. 
But this is part of the tariff 

971
00:51:03,880 --> 00:51:06,000
war. 
If if you yeah. 

972
00:51:06,000 --> 00:51:10,840
And like, sure, if you have if 
all of a sudden you have your 

973
00:51:10,840 --> 00:51:14,840
own, your own supply, you don't 
need China for XYZ, then that 

974
00:51:14,840 --> 00:51:17,080
gives you more leverage in 
negotiating the bigger picture 

975
00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:20,160
trade stuff. 
But in terms of like the actual 

976
00:51:20,160 --> 00:51:22,880
allocation of funds here, like 
you need me, like you need me 

977
00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:25,360
spell, spell it out. 
The government is funding the 

978
00:51:25,360 --> 00:51:27,040
development of this. 
So it's the government's money 

979
00:51:27,040 --> 00:51:28,800
that's going to build this 
refinery, right. 

980
00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:32,120
And as the cost keep blowing 
out, we now have precedent that 

981
00:51:32,120 --> 00:51:35,120
the government will keep writing
the check for the cost blowouts 

982
00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:38,120
as they have happened so far and
in my opinion will continue to 

983
00:51:38,120 --> 00:51:41,240
happen. 
And when they produce something 

984
00:51:41,280 --> 00:51:46,080
that there is no buyer for, 
which will happen, the 

985
00:51:46,080 --> 00:51:47,680
government will be the one to 
buy it. 

986
00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:50,600
They're going to buy the mixed 
rare earth oxides that come out 

987
00:51:50,600 --> 00:51:53,320
of any other. 
If they come out of any other, 

988
00:51:53,320 --> 00:51:56,320
there is no productive use of 
any of that money. 

989
00:51:56,320 --> 00:51:58,920
There is no product that 
consumers or industry are buying

990
00:51:58,920 --> 00:52:02,800
to manufacture something. 
That is the government's lending

991
00:52:02,800 --> 00:52:04,520
them, like providing the money 
to build the thing, to produce 

992
00:52:04,520 --> 00:52:06,200
the thing, and they're going to 
buy the product for that. 

993
00:52:06,200 --> 00:52:07,720
It's not going to get used for 
anything. 

994
00:52:07,720 --> 00:52:10,120
It may be 10 years time they'll 
sell it to America. 

995
00:52:11,360 --> 00:52:13,920
Who knows, Like I, I can't be 
cynical. 

996
00:52:14,720 --> 00:52:18,120
Yeah, it's, it's a, it's a 
public sector circular reference

997
00:52:18,120 --> 00:52:19,840
dressed up as kind of 
probusiness policy. 

998
00:52:19,840 --> 00:52:23,240
And it, it, I find it, yeah, 
incredibly disappointing that 

999
00:52:23,320 --> 00:52:28,000
this is the, the level of, of, 
of policy kind of ingenuity that

1000
00:52:28,000 --> 00:52:29,480
we've got in our, in our 
country. 

1001
00:52:30,520 --> 00:52:33,120
It's a headline grabber, right? 
That's that's all it's designed 

1002
00:52:33,120 --> 00:52:35,320
for. 
As you know, I think you 

1003
00:52:35,320 --> 00:52:38,720
mentioned before JD Lot, why 
aren't they leading into our 

1004
00:52:38,720 --> 00:52:44,520
strengths of mining dirt and 
shipping it? 

1005
00:52:45,440 --> 00:52:48,440
That is what we do best in 
Australia. 

1006
00:52:48,440 --> 00:52:50,520
Perhaps This is why we don't 
like talking about politics so 

1007
00:52:50,520 --> 00:52:52,920
much. 
It's, it can be, it can be a bit

1008
00:52:52,920 --> 00:52:55,040
frustrating, right? 
Especially the week before an 

1009
00:52:55,040 --> 00:52:58,560
election when you're trying to, 
when you're trying to take the 

1010
00:52:59,240 --> 00:53:01,440
take the initiative and grab the
headlines for your party. 

1011
00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:05,680
Ends up, you know, kind of being
being a bit frustrating to talk 

1012
00:53:05,680 --> 00:53:06,800
about. 
Because I think some of the 

1013
00:53:06,800 --> 00:53:09,520
policies are short sided. 
Some of them are sort of baked 

1014
00:53:09,520 --> 00:53:14,120
up with not a whole lot of 
thought out structure on what 

1015
00:53:14,120 --> 00:53:15,880
this actually means and what 
this is going to mean for the 

1016
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:17,880
for the companies and and the 
market and the country. 

1017
00:53:18,320 --> 00:53:20,120
That's cool. 
Oh, very well timed this 

1018
00:53:20,120 --> 00:53:24,200
announcement, the WA launch. 
Yeah, it's all a big lobby for 

1019
00:53:24,200 --> 00:53:27,320
the WA vote. 
Yeah, it's just a typical 

1020
00:53:27,320 --> 00:53:29,880
election trail kind of thing. 
And I think there's like there's

1021
00:53:29,880 --> 00:53:32,400
legitimate, there's a lot of low
hanging fruit policy stuff that 

1022
00:53:32,400 --> 00:53:35,360
could be had that benefit, you 
know, the the industry in a very

1023
00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:37,440
meaningful way. 
Things, things like permitting 

1024
00:53:37,440 --> 00:53:41,120
timelines, things like yeah, 
like like removing a bunch of 

1025
00:53:41,120 --> 00:53:43,280
the the red tape involved in 
yeah. 

1026
00:53:43,480 --> 00:53:45,280
The common building 
infrastructure. 

1027
00:53:45,440 --> 00:53:48,040
Things to encourage investment 
that actually, you know, 

1028
00:53:48,720 --> 00:53:52,240
provide, you know, provide ways 
for protected, you know, 

1029
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,840
external capital to, to build 
and invest and all that sort of 

1030
00:53:54,840 --> 00:53:56,160
stuff. 
There's real low hanging fruit 

1031
00:53:56,160 --> 00:54:00,000
that makes a world of difference
to to, you know, the equations 

1032
00:54:00,000 --> 00:54:02,400
for a lot of mining companies 
and investors out there. 

1033
00:54:02,400 --> 00:54:06,800
But this, this is just a a, 
yeah, an eye roller in my 

1034
00:54:06,800 --> 00:54:08,360
opinion. 
Was there anything in the 

1035
00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:13,400
breakfast about streamline 
permitting and project 

1036
00:54:13,400 --> 00:54:15,640
development in Australia? 
No, that and that's the like, 

1037
00:54:15,640 --> 00:54:18,960
yeah, if if the money miners are
are interested in knowing more 

1038
00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:23,800
about that, then let us know 
because yeah, there's there's, 

1039
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:26,640
there's a bit to be said about 
all of all of the the dismal 

1040
00:54:26,640 --> 00:54:29,800
state of of of over regulation 
of our industry. 

1041
00:54:30,480 --> 00:54:35,800
There's, there's a like if, if 
permitting or or native title or

1042
00:54:35,840 --> 00:54:38,440
or heritage or whatever, all of 
these things all combined, if 

1043
00:54:38,440 --> 00:54:42,160
they all of a sudden increase 
your timelines by by three years

1044
00:54:42,160 --> 00:54:45,960
to four years, what does that do
to the IRR of any project? 

1045
00:54:46,280 --> 00:54:50,600
Nothing is financeable, right? 
Like it, it, it squashes capital

1046
00:54:50,600 --> 00:54:54,320
investment and the ability like 
you don't get capital, then you 

1047
00:54:54,320 --> 00:54:56,280
don't have an industry. 
Like if new capital's not 

1048
00:54:56,280 --> 00:54:59,280
willing to write a check because
the timelines are not sufficient

1049
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:01,800
to get a reasonable return on 
the risk, the risk you're 

1050
00:55:01,800 --> 00:55:05,040
taking, like it just kills, 
kills investment or capital. 

1051
00:55:05,040 --> 00:55:07,480
The industry suffers massively. 
I think there's a big issue 

1052
00:55:07,480 --> 00:55:09,600
there and a lot of deregulation 
that could be had. 

1053
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:12,880
But but the big trend on both 
sides of of government is to to 

1054
00:55:12,880 --> 00:55:14,800
add more regulation to our 
industry, not less. 

1055
00:55:16,440 --> 00:55:20,040
Yeah, I, I don't think any of us
will will stop being on the side

1056
00:55:20,040 --> 00:55:23,560
of this debate that we are that 
we're on and, and thinking and 

1057
00:55:23,560 --> 00:55:25,080
and doing what we think is kind 
of right. 

1058
00:55:25,080 --> 00:55:27,800
But I, I often think back to 
sort of comments I heard from 

1059
00:55:28,120 --> 00:55:32,760
from the late Ken Talbot and he 
sort of left Australia for an 

1060
00:55:32,760 --> 00:55:35,680
investment perspective 20 years 
ago because it's just getting 

1061
00:55:35,680 --> 00:55:38,840
too hard. 
And that is the way that Western

1062
00:55:38,840 --> 00:55:41,760
country is moving. 
And I think there was a bit of a

1063
00:55:41,760 --> 00:55:45,280
bit of realism in his decision 
making there that's worth kind 

1064
00:55:45,280 --> 00:55:47,960
of pondering on. 
Not that that should stop us 

1065
00:55:47,960 --> 00:55:50,760
from sort of sticking up in what
we think is right and that sort 

1066
00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:55,880
of responsible mine development.
The the one of the electoral 

1067
00:55:56,120 --> 00:55:58,560
announcement, the election 
announcements that I did here 

1068
00:55:58,560 --> 00:56:01,800
last night, that was whoever the
Prime Minister is going to be 

1069
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:06,240
will be attending the JRX 
conference that was announced 

1070
00:56:06,240 --> 00:56:07,440
last night. 
There you go mate. 

1071
00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:09,640
Twenty 22nd of May, the election
will be done. 

1072
00:56:09,640 --> 00:56:12,680
Whoever gets elected will be at 
JRX in Brisbane. 

1073
00:56:12,680 --> 00:56:15,240
So I come go say good day to the
Prime Minister with me. 

1074
00:56:15,560 --> 00:56:18,560
If meeting you wasn't incentive 
enough, then that surely tips 

1075
00:56:18,560 --> 00:56:21,080
him over the line. 
Jeez, but that could be another 

1076
00:56:21,080 --> 00:56:24,160
signed T-shirt. 
Me and the Prime Minister. 

1077
00:56:24,160 --> 00:56:28,080
We've already got me and Gov. 
So get your ticket, choose the 

1078
00:56:28,080 --> 00:56:31,080
discount code in the show notes.
JRX, the centre of tech and 

1079
00:56:31,520 --> 00:56:33,640
innovation and the prime 
minister's going to be there. 

1080
00:56:34,280 --> 00:56:37,240
We've also got our partners 
Mineral Mining Services, great 

1081
00:56:37,240 --> 00:56:40,440
partners by the way, Grounded 
CNB Ground Sports, CRE 

1082
00:56:40,440 --> 00:56:44,840
Insurance, K Drill, WA Water 
Boards, Quattro, Quattro sorry 

1083
00:56:45,320 --> 00:56:49,040
KCI, Black Diamond Drilling 
Services and Cross Boundary 

1084
00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:53,240
Energy. 
Information contained in this 

1085
00:56:53,240 --> 00:56:56,000
episode of Money of Mine is of 
general nature only and does not

1086
00:56:56,000 --> 00:56:58,640
take into account the 
objectives, financial situation 

1087
00:56:58,680 --> 00:57:00,680
or needs of any particular 
person. 

1088
00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:04,040
Before making any investment 
decision, you should consult 

1089
00:57:04,040 --> 00:57:07,080
with your financial advisor and 
consider how appropriate the 

1090
00:57:07,080 --> 00:57:10,800
advice is to your objectives, 
financial situation and needs.

