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Righto Buddy Waters. 
It's Lithium Day. 

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We've got bloody men's Lyontown 
Pilbara, Bloody and Maker. 

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Maker aren't mine and lithium. 
Good on you. 

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That's why the share price is 
going up. 

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Good stuff, Maker. 
I think this is the last day 

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live besides tomorrow's episode 
that we get to mention MMS at 

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the start of the show because 
pretty much they've done a lot 

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of work, but because of me, 
their business has got to a 

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point of getting contracts and 
it's just flying. 

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So I don't want to take all the 
credit but. 

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Keeps flying OK. 
Well done MMS they're just 

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they've taken off and thank them
for the support lot. 

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Hey JC, money of mine, if you 
want to want me to turn you into

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an MMS, what a bloody you can. 
What a bloody offer to the 

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punters out there, right? 
Let's start Mineral Resources, 

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the most talked about company on
this show this week. 

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And if it keeps on giving, hey. 
And in the bloody newspaper, 

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quarterly's out bringing in some
dosh for some gas, right? 

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Let me guess, Trevor, you'll be 
talking about this today. 

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No, Yeah, yeah. 
Take it away, sunshine. 

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What's going on? 
Yeah, mate, there's so much news

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out today. 
Unfortunately, we can only like 

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talk about, you know, that like 
4 stories or whatever, but if 

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you want to make sure you're 
getting all of the stories, make

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sure you sign up to the director
special. 

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Just go to moneymind.com, sign 
up and you won't miss any of 

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them because you know, we've got
limited talking capability so 

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it. 
Can't be a more simpler web 

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address. 
It's. 

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Pretty easy, leave your email. 
Pick that every time. 

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Get it? 
First thing in the morning. 

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Moneymind.com. 
But Minres Maddie, there's, 

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there's a lot of talking points 
today. 

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It's, you know, the, the, the, 
the first one obviously is the 

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fact that the share price is up 
like 14%, which is amazing. 

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But why is it up? 
Well, it's, I think it's got a 

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lot the fact that there was a, 
a, a gas sale for with, you 

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know, mini raisers, like most of
the energy business, this sale 

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like is I think being the 
driving force behind that, that 

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share price hike. 
But mini raisers effectively 

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sold. 
It's like entire interest in, in

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the, the, the gas, in the gas 
assets that had sort of 

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substance to Gina Rinehart's 
Hancock Prospecting and it's, 

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and it's retained a 50% interest
in the less kind of meaningful 

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Birth Basin and Kanabin Basin 
exploration assets. 

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For simplicity, just assume 
Minres has divested its gas 

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assets to, to, to GNA. 
In exchange, Minres is getting 

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paid $804 million in cash 
upfront and depending on how 

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some drilling results go with 
some of the the assets it's it's

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divesting, there's no additional
300 million that min res can can

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get paid from from Hancock. 
And if you just look at that 

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waterfall chart, some of that 
cash is like ring fenced for 

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drilling in the expiration JV 
that you know min retain with 

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Hancock in a 5050 ratio. 
So the number that really 

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matters in that waterfall chart 
is the $780 million upfront. 

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The CFO on the call guided to a 
17% tax on that. 

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So in reality, there's like $650
million after tax cash coming in

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the door shortly, which 
certainly helps the the fears in

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the market around the balance 
sheet. 

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God. 
That'd be bloody pry, and Gina 

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finds something on those 
expiration assets since they're 

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very carried for their 50% 
interest. 

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Yeah, yeah. 
So yeah, go Gina. 

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Yeah. 
What? 

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What do you reckon of the deal, 
mate? 

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We, we spoke about it God, a 
couple months ago when it was 

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sort of doing the rounds when 
the, the balance sheet troubles 

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first started to, to hit home 
and we sort of quoted a few 

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energy analysts the numbers 
they'd kind of tossed up. 

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What, what did you could have 
come to? 

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And you're you're digging on the
price tag. 

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I think it's like relatively 
healthy. 

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Probably, Yeah, probably, 
probably probably kind of par 

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like the numbers it was sort of 
thrown around like six weeks 

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ago. 
Soul Cabin excited 500 to 900 

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million and Adam Martin cited 
500 million to equity research 

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analysts out there. 
What's changed in the interim, 

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though, is the WAS domestic gas 
policy emerged, which gave some 

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certainty of some exports from 
development, which I guess like 

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bolsters the the economics of 
these undeveloped assets here. 

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Because you've, you've got some,
you know, I think, I think you 

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just, you changed your risk 
you're risking on, on these 

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undeveloped projects. 
It's like less risky now and 

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you've got more, more visibility
on what the policy regime is 

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going to be that can help you 
get a higher, higher price for a

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proportion of that gas for a 
period of time. 

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That point there on the on the 
gas policy was actually 

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explicitly called out in 
Hancock's own press release. 

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So actually just I think there's
a few things in Hancock's own 

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press release that were worth 
pointing out. 

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I'll, you know, flash it up here
on the screen. 

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But but the first one that like 
just stands out straight away is

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this quote from Gina, which says
I welcome the opportunity to 

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work alongside my friend Chris 
Allison and his Munra's team. 

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I think that's a telling 
sentence in itself, right? 

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I think just a. 
Couple of powers, how good? 

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Well, yeah, it's I'll let you 
suck I. 

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Think she She chooses her words 
pretty carefully, You know, in 

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media releases that that to me, 
suggests two things. 

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One, Gina believes Allison is 
hanging around to steam in Rez 

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into the future. 
And two, she's willing to lend 

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her own credibility by calling 
him her friend at a time when 

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his character is massively under
the microscope. 

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Yeah, yeah, a lot that the only 
way you could you could other 

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interpret it as saying that 
working slot long my friend 

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Chris and his Minrez team which 
he created saying that they were

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separate. 
But I don't I don't think that 

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is the case because that as as 
you said, if it comes out a week

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later, that's not the case. 
It'll yeah, it'll yeah, choose 

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it. 
You've got to choose it 

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carefully. 
When you're that bloody rich and

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powerful. 
I don't have to choose me words 

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carefully. 
The the same rhetoric is is even

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sort of parroted by Hancock CEO 
further down in the release. 

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If you care to get to read the 
rest, you'll you'll also see 

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like some lobbying effort for 
enhanced export capability has 

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already begun because you know 
that that bolster the economics 

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of the development of these 
assets even even further. 

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One last thing on the gas 
though, I think you can you can 

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sort of see in this map here 
Gina's you know she's 

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consolidated some acreage near 
her existing interest in West 

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Erigala and Erigala deeps there 
those those that's where she's 

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got the JV with Strike Energy 
after the acquisition of 

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Warigal. 
Strike Energy an intraday winner

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here on the On the News. 
Their their share price is up, 

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up 9%. 
Yeah, right. 

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So OK. 
The that's the that's the sale. 

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What about the the quarterly, 
which is lithium and iron ore? 

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Exactly. 
Yeah, mostly Mining services is 

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the the big driver of that too. 
And that's what the quarters 

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will be now, just lithium and 
iron ore because the gases. 

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Yeah, yeah, they'll they'll 
still separate the. 

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And mining service. 
Yeah, CSI, Yeah, Firstly, 

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there's like nothing on on 
Allison on the core or you know,

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the core leak sort of has a has 
a snippet, but everything's just

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deferring kind of any 
conversation around that or 

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questions around that or answers
around that until Monday, which 

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was already flagged earlier in 
the week. 

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So like the call wasn't very 
juicy from like a drama 

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perspective, unfortunately. 
But to to I do think there's a 

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bunch of talking points here, 
Onslow in particular. 

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So now we're getting some ramp 
up data come through as at 

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October in res sites doing 10.6 
million tonnes per annum 

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annualised, They say 35,000,000 
tonnes per annum nameplate by 

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June is still expected. 
And the last stretch of the 

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whole Rd was just completed. 
So they're now using of all the 

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150 kilometres of that whole Rd.
So the whole the whole the whole

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Rd is completed effective. 
It's, it's completed from like a

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practical perspective. 
There's still some, a bunch of 

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underpasses and things like that
that are required for, for I 

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think, you know, drainage and 
stuff like that, which, you 

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know, with cyclone season 
approaching, like, you know, 

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it's kind of important to, to 
get that stuff sorted out too. 

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Yeah, there's a, you know, on on
Onslow min Res. 

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They do claim that Onslow's now 
operating cash flow positive in 

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the month of October, if you 
include the mining services 

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business as well, operating 
being the, the keyword there as 

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well. 
And I'm, I'm curious what's 

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being capitalised, but there's 
still a bit of work to do like 

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on the underpasses. 
So there's still still a bit of 

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capital spend. 
Like I mentioned, there's a few 

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caveats to make here before kind
of jumping for joy that that 

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that's all cash flow positive 
because you know, operating cash

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flow excludes investing cash 
flow and you know, financing 

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cash flow and it's the interest 
repayments that we're, you know,

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we're all that stuff matters, 
right? 

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So, yeah. 
And then the other point to keep

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in mind is I kind of picked up 
in the call that the mining 

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services contract is sort of is 
structured to I think charge 

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higher rates during ramp up to 
kind of account for yeah, for 

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that. 
So physicals. 

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So you can't just if the mining 
services business is is an 

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outsized contributor during ramp
up, you know, you expect that to

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taper off as you as your volumes
increase. 

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So, yeah, but on the plus side, 
like Onslow ramps the volumes 

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efficiency should lower unit 
cost too. 

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00:09:02,920 --> 00:09:05,400
Another point is just on the 
realisations that they're 

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00:09:05,400 --> 00:09:07,840
selling the the INR for out of 
out of Onslow. 

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00:09:07,840 --> 00:09:09,480
This this surprise to the 
upside. 

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00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,600
I was worried on this front, but
they got 88% realisation of the,

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00:09:13,680 --> 00:09:17,480
the plat's 62% index at Onslow. 
And that's, you know, a fair bit

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00:09:17,480 --> 00:09:20,360
higher than the 81% realisation 
that they're getting from the 

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00:09:20,440 --> 00:09:24,680
Yogan and Pilgrim hub as well. 
So it's positive front on the 

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00:09:24,680 --> 00:09:28,680
product quality so far, albeit 
not much, not much volume has 

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00:09:28,680 --> 00:09:30,880
gone there, but it's still still
a plus. 

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00:09:31,400 --> 00:09:35,000
And the Third Point I wanted to 
talk about there, it's actually 

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some, you know, clues on maybe 
like a reject in long term costs

188
00:09:38,640 --> 00:09:40,720
as well. 
There was some verbiage in the 

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in the cold that like the, you 
know, $45 per tonne FoB at 

190
00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:48,480
nameplate might have some, you 
know, escalation pressure 

191
00:09:48,480 --> 00:09:50,440
applied to it, which was alluded
to by the CFI. 

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00:09:50,440 --> 00:09:54,520
So yeah, some some positive 
stuff there, but I think there's

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enough there for the bears to to
grab hold of too. 

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00:09:57,560 --> 00:09:59,400
And what? 
So what about CSI? 

195
00:10:00,320 --> 00:10:02,160
The mining services business, 
this is pretty interesting. 

196
00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:05,640
Right on the call was also the, 
you know, the the head of the 

197
00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:08,120
mining services business. 
And as usual, there was a a 

198
00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:10,880
question from Ben Lyons, a 
Jardin, which is worth playing. 

199
00:10:10,880 --> 00:10:13,240
Oh. 
Yes, it's greatly appreciated. 

200
00:10:14,640 --> 00:10:17,280
Just in the comments, in the 
context of your comments about 

201
00:10:17,280 --> 00:10:21,160
the strong level of external 
customer inquiry, I also note 

202
00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:25,120
some other recent high profile 
wins by others, for example the 

203
00:10:25,120 --> 00:10:27,800
Rio Godadry contract which was 
won by DES Tech. 

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00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:30,560
So it appears that the 
competitive environment may have

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00:10:30,560 --> 00:10:33,600
increased. 
And I'm also concerned about how

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00:10:33,600 --> 00:10:36,680
some of those high quality 
counterparties like Rio and BHP,

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00:10:36,680 --> 00:10:40,360
for example, might respond to 
the recent press disclosure and 

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00:10:40,360 --> 00:10:43,440
those blink the internal and 
external investigations which 

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00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:46,440
are currently under. 
So I'm not expecting you to 

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00:10:46,440 --> 00:10:48,400
comment upon those 
investigations, but I'm more 

211
00:10:48,400 --> 00:10:52,760
concerned about what Minrez is 
doing to shore up CSI protective

212
00:10:52,760 --> 00:10:57,200
mode and approved vendor status,
the clients such as as Rio. 

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00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:00,120
And secondly, if you can 
possibly confirm whether there's

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00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:02,640
any major CSI contract renewals 
coming up? 

215
00:11:05,080 --> 00:11:07,320
Yeah, I mean, I can talk to 
that, Ben, it's Mike. 

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00:11:08,720 --> 00:11:10,880
Great question and it's an 
interesting environment, but 

217
00:11:11,280 --> 00:11:16,240
essentially I'll I'll just 
answer you the Cadogy question 

218
00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:18,720
that's two 2 1/2 years old that 
news. 

219
00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:22,920
And as you'd expect in the 
market when you got a 

220
00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:28,120
significant footprint like we do
across multiple commodities, we 

221
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:32,600
get tested and you know the 
environment creates competition 

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00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:34,920
and that will that will always 
occur and that's actually quite 

223
00:11:34,920 --> 00:11:38,120
healthy for it to occur. 
So we live with that every day. 

224
00:11:38,120 --> 00:11:41,720
And there's, there's jobs that 
we win and there will be jobs 

225
00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:45,240
that we lose. 
But on, on the main, we, we, we 

226
00:11:45,240 --> 00:11:46,840
don't lose too many at all. 
And. 

227
00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:51,120
That was a kind of interesting 
question, right? 

228
00:11:51,120 --> 00:11:55,360
And the Des Tech contract point.
Yeah, it's a, it's AI think it's

229
00:11:55,360 --> 00:11:58,840
a, you know, kind of an 
interesting, it's an interesting

230
00:11:58,840 --> 00:12:00,600
point. 
Even though it is 2 1/2 years 

231
00:12:00,600 --> 00:12:03,640
old, it's, it's topical at the 
moment, partially because of all

232
00:12:03,640 --> 00:12:04,840
the other headlines that are 
going on. 

233
00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:09,960
But in in February 2022 Des Tech
won a crushing contract with Rio

234
00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:15,080
Tinto for for their $4.6 billion
Good Audrey iron ore expansion 

235
00:12:15,080 --> 00:12:18,440
project. 
Then things appear to get a bit 

236
00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:21,540
spicy because Test Tech is led 
by Chris Allison's old Co 

237
00:12:21,540 --> 00:12:24,920
founder Steve Wyatt. 
They Co founded CSI together all

238
00:12:24,920 --> 00:12:28,880
the way back in 1996. 
Minarez started suing Steve 

239
00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:32,280
Wyatt for alleged intellectual 
property misappropriate 

240
00:12:32,800 --> 00:12:36,440
misappropriation that was used 
to win that contract with Rio 

241
00:12:36,440 --> 00:12:38,320
Tinto. 
It all got a bit messy with the 

242
00:12:38,320 --> 00:12:41,600
Supreme Court giving the go 
ahead for Minres to rifle 

243
00:12:41,600 --> 00:12:44,400
through the files of Des Tech 
and even Rio got caught in the 

244
00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,840
crossfire getting subpoenaed for
documents too. 

245
00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:50,920
And by the way, if you even if 
you go all the way back to like 

246
00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:54,640
Min Res's prospectus back when 
they listed in 2006, you'll see 

247
00:12:54,640 --> 00:12:57,680
Steve Wyatt in their name with 
Chris Ellison and, and Peter 

248
00:12:57,680 --> 00:12:59,320
Wade and some of the related 
party transactions. 

249
00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:03,000
So, you know, like you can make 
your own hypothesis about some 

250
00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:05,480
intertwinement that, you know, 
could, could be with the Far 

251
00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:07,840
East tax stuff too. 
But all of that's kind of 

252
00:13:07,840 --> 00:13:10,800
uncertain still at this stage. 
But you know, I'm kind of 

253
00:13:10,800 --> 00:13:12,920
digressing here because the, 
the, the mining services 

254
00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:14,720
business, I think is the 
backbone of Min Res. 

255
00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:17,080
And the broader point is 
interesting one is it, is it 

256
00:13:17,080 --> 00:13:21,000
getting more competitive like 
what's the what's the the 

257
00:13:21,160 --> 00:13:24,880
outlook look like for, you know,
min rails to continue to to grow

258
00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:28,320
that business, especially in the
face of kind of the decline of 

259
00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:31,200
its more marginal operations in 
the lithium and ion all parts of

260
00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,840
their business. 
Can they continue to, you know, 

261
00:13:33,880 --> 00:13:35,400
win and grow that mining 
services business? 

262
00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:37,280
Is the competition getting for 
you? 

263
00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:40,000
So do they still have the 
ability to to Jack up rights? 

264
00:13:40,520 --> 00:13:44,200
You know, what like how how does
react into and BHP and the likes

265
00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:47,000
Think about, think about that. 
That's a that's an interesting 

266
00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:50,880
question, I think. 
They didn't answer the ones 

267
00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:53,120
coming up for renewal, That's 
unknown, no. 

268
00:13:53,560 --> 00:13:55,920
Yeah. 
I think there's always ones that

269
00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:59,120
kind of come up to renewal over 
time, although I don't have a 

270
00:13:59,440 --> 00:14:03,360
particular amount of, you know, 
colour on that There's but yeah.

271
00:14:03,520 --> 00:14:07,680
It was a big talking point in 
the in the last quarterly, just 

272
00:14:07,680 --> 00:14:12,400
the the margins and I guess how 
how superior they are and the 

273
00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,080
fact that they continued to 
grow. 

274
00:14:15,160 --> 00:14:17,480
It's been a big part of the, the
men's narrative. 

275
00:14:17,480 --> 00:14:19,760
So thank you. 
You're asking the right question

276
00:14:19,760 --> 00:14:21,040
there. 
It's a tough one to answer 

277
00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:23,840
though. 
The the the last kind of, well 

278
00:14:24,000 --> 00:14:27,920
two last big talking points in 
the in the news today 1 is just 

279
00:14:27,920 --> 00:14:31,280
the severe kind of lithium 
business rationalisation. 

280
00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:35,480
I won't go into it in too much, 
but there's like it appears the,

281
00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:37,760
the lithium business has been 
under a tremendous amount of 

282
00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,160
pressure. 
There's again, no detail on what

283
00:14:40,160 --> 00:14:43,400
the unit costs are and they're 
reporting across their their 

284
00:14:43,400 --> 00:14:47,040
operations, but they said 570 
employees have been, you know, 

285
00:14:47,040 --> 00:14:50,320
already laid off, which reflects
the mostly the lithium business 

286
00:14:50,320 --> 00:14:52,680
and and some of the onslake 
construction sort of winding 

287
00:14:52,680 --> 00:14:54,720
down. 
It doesn't include the the yield

288
00:14:54,720 --> 00:15:00,800
gun impact yet on Wodgina. 
That's yeah, had a had a hard 

289
00:15:00,800 --> 00:15:03,600
time with transitional oil. 
Transitional oil, Matt, Marion 

290
00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:06,400
Capital spends tapered massively
like you know, even the 

291
00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:09,920
expiration decline client work 
on that sort of ending by the 

292
00:15:09,920 --> 00:15:12,040
end of the year. 
They're exercising like a no 

293
00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:14,840
fault early termination with 
develop on that one at. 

294
00:15:14,880 --> 00:15:17,800
The end of the year old heel, 
like the rhetoric there has not 

295
00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:20,040
changed in the in the 12 months 
they've had the project. 

296
00:15:20,040 --> 00:15:22,560
They keep saying the line, you 
know, we're still figuring out 

297
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:26,040
what we've got and geologies, 
they're still getting their 

298
00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:27,920
heads around it, apparently 
spent 12 months now. 

299
00:15:28,080 --> 00:15:31,880
Well, yeah, laying off 570 
people and putting all the 

300
00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,240
lithium business on two and one 
as well. 

301
00:15:34,240 --> 00:15:35,400
So that's all good. 
Yeah. 

302
00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:37,360
There's a lot of cost out 
initiatives going on. 

303
00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:39,880
There's a bunch of fleet that's 
been sort of freed up, which 

304
00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:43,720
this they said that was going to
sell like 7060 to 70% of that 

305
00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:46,400
sort of fleet that's been freed 
up as well. 

306
00:15:47,960 --> 00:15:50,040
And which of course brings us to
the last talking point which is 

307
00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:53,280
the balance sheet. 
I think like a notable omission 

308
00:15:53,280 --> 00:15:56,040
from the quarterly any colour on
on leverage as at 30th of 

309
00:15:56,040 --> 00:16:00,080
September, even when when I 
asked on this point to see if I 

310
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:02,400
mark said you know no comment 
where it is right now. 

311
00:16:03,840 --> 00:16:06,560
It was the first time I heard 
Minres speak to the PET 

312
00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:11,960
potential to refinance its first
bonds, which they can do around 

313
00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:15,720
April next year marks it at par.
And I think those first bonds 

314
00:16:15,720 --> 00:16:20,000
are the $700 million bonds which
are due to be repaid in May 

315
00:16:20,000 --> 00:16:22,680
2027. 
It's I think it's worth pointing

316
00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:26,680
out that the credit rating 
agency, Fitch, they downgraded 

317
00:16:26,680 --> 00:16:30,240
Min Reza's credit rating last 
month from from double B to 

318
00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:33,680
double B negative, the minus 
there being the, the outlook. 

319
00:16:33,680 --> 00:16:37,240
So, you know, any refi is likely
going to be a much more punitive

320
00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:40,280
interest rate than you know, we 
see in Min's bonds to to date. 

321
00:16:41,360 --> 00:16:45,160
And but likely a much lighter 
maturity day. 

322
00:16:45,320 --> 00:16:47,600
Yeah, that's the. 
You can roll it, but yeah, you 

323
00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:49,720
pay higher interest right there.
Yeah. 

324
00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:53,800
I mean, so, yeah, pay more in 
interest, roll it, refi it. 

325
00:16:53,800 --> 00:16:56,280
Yeah, that's, that'll be the the
play. 

326
00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:00,600
And then when when kind of 
asked, the CFO rattled off the 

327
00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:04,440
remaining leavers if things get 
more skinny on the cash front, 

328
00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:06,359
which I I thought was worth 
playing as well. 

329
00:17:06,960 --> 00:17:12,319
It's something we're looking at 
in terms of other levers. 

330
00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:15,960
We've said for quite a while 
that we've had levers in the 

331
00:17:15,960 --> 00:17:21,319
business that we could pull in 
terms of, yeah. 

332
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:25,640
And we've got, I don't know what
the number is, maybe 10-12 

333
00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:27,560
different things on our list of 
things we can do. 

334
00:17:28,160 --> 00:17:30,520
I mean, if I needed to, I could 
sell the other half of the whole

335
00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:33,360
Rd as an example. 
Not that I want to do that. 

336
00:17:33,360 --> 00:17:36,720
I'll need to do that. 
We've got other opportunities in

337
00:17:36,720 --> 00:17:39,960
terms of releasing capital from 
surplus fleet. 

338
00:17:41,480 --> 00:17:44,560
We've got some lithium 
investments that are listed. 

339
00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:49,480
We could sell if we absolutely 
had to, still got the Onslow JV 

340
00:17:49,560 --> 00:17:55,280
carry loan receivable, which is 
got real value and we've had 

341
00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:58,360
interest from third parties in 
relation to that. 

342
00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:01,200
We've got other divisions we 
could make. 

343
00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:03,520
So there's a range of choices. 
That we have. 

344
00:18:04,560 --> 00:18:06,600
What do you guys make of of that
list? 

345
00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:08,640
He rattled off. 
At least he's got, they've got 

346
00:18:08,640 --> 00:18:12,560
gold exposure with delta lithium
now, so at least they're in 

347
00:18:12,560 --> 00:18:15,960
that. 
I mean, I think the the overall 

348
00:18:15,960 --> 00:18:22,000
market reaction today is a sign 
of slightly less concern about 

349
00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:25,040
the balance sheet. 
I think that's the the main 

350
00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:27,680
driver in, in the tick up that 
we're seeing obviously on the 

351
00:18:27,680 --> 00:18:32,160
back of the the transaction as 
to the other ones, you know, you

352
00:18:33,160 --> 00:18:36,800
yeah, yeah, you might be saving 
yourself for foregoing earnings 

353
00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:39,360
in the long term, but that's, 
that's the situation they kind 

354
00:18:39,360 --> 00:18:42,520
of find themselves. 
And just just to comment quickly

355
00:18:42,520 --> 00:18:45,160
on the on the bonds as well, 
they might catch a bit of luck 

356
00:18:45,160 --> 00:18:50,360
as well as rates decline, US 
rates decline that is that might

357
00:18:50,360 --> 00:18:53,760
offset the potentially more 
expensive rates that they have 

358
00:18:53,760 --> 00:18:55,560
to pay. 
So I'm sure that's another thing

359
00:18:55,560 --> 00:18:56,600
that we're hoping for. 
I. 

360
00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:00,320
Yeah, I know that rates are 
declining, but like you look at 

361
00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:04,040
that what Fitch did on the on, 
they said that pre they'd 

362
00:19:04,040 --> 00:19:09,880
previously forecasted net, net 
leverage to be at 2.2 times and 

363
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:12,280
it was 4.9 times. 
So you can see the ratings 

364
00:19:12,280 --> 00:19:16,520
agencies have had a pretty big 
kind of pivot in, in, you know, 

365
00:19:16,520 --> 00:19:19,880
leverage expectations. 
I don't think that that will be 

366
00:19:19,880 --> 00:19:22,240
paying. 
I didn't say I was going to I. 

367
00:19:22,760 --> 00:19:24,000
Didn't say I was going to save 
them. 

368
00:19:24,000 --> 00:19:25,440
I said it's just, you know, 
there's one. 

369
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:26,240
Thing going in. 
There. 

370
00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:28,560
Yeah, yeah. 
Yeah, I think, I think it'll be 

371
00:19:28,560 --> 00:19:30,160
a higher interest rate if they 
can refire. 

372
00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:35,640
But on the look at the. 
Lithium, the lithium stuff is 

373
00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:40,160
like, you know, we'd talk about 
kind of cyclical investment, 

374
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,520
which is what would buying 
lithium be right now? 

375
00:19:44,480 --> 00:19:49,480
Is it the same if you hold it? 
Keeping it versus disposing of 

376
00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:51,600
it? 
Probably just more a safe facing

377
00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:53,200
thing, a face saving thing in 
some way. 

378
00:19:53,240 --> 00:19:56,080
So yeah. 
So it's like, would you get rid 

379
00:19:56,080 --> 00:19:58,720
of them at the lower prices or 
would you like? 

380
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:01,440
Well, that's we're we're in. 
I think. 

381
00:20:02,040 --> 00:20:05,120
Yeah, I think it makes her in a 
super interesting chat and maybe

382
00:20:05,120 --> 00:20:07,800
worth bringing up again after 
you speak about Lion Town and we

383
00:20:07,800 --> 00:20:10,960
we mentioned Pilbara as well, 
because you know that each of 

384
00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:15,640
those companies have made 
decisions as well that, you 

385
00:20:15,640 --> 00:20:19,720
know, market condition dependent
makes it very, very interesting 

386
00:20:19,720 --> 00:20:20,440
time. 
Yeah. 

387
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:22,840
And that's the. 
Like I think that's the like I 

388
00:20:22,840 --> 00:20:25,880
don't think that their equity 
positions in the like lithium 

389
00:20:25,880 --> 00:20:29,200
companies are really moved the 
dollar too much if you if you 

390
00:20:29,200 --> 00:20:31,240
sold them, but the one of a 
billion maybe. 

391
00:20:31,440 --> 00:20:33,200
Yeah, and the one. 
The one interesting one there is

392
00:20:33,200 --> 00:20:36,800
like the opportunity maybe for, 
for Pilbury to actually like, 

393
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:39,640
you know, be kind of cyclical 
and buy the, the Wildcat stake, 

394
00:20:39,640 --> 00:20:42,920
for example, you know, where 
they can probably choose some 

395
00:20:42,920 --> 00:20:46,320
synergies in some respect. 
So that, that that's the one 

396
00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:48,840
that sort of stands out to me is
kind of interesting if, if 

397
00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:50,280
people were being a bit 
opportunistic. 

398
00:20:50,280 --> 00:20:55,040
But yeah, the, the, it was the 
first time I heard Mark talk 

399
00:20:55,040 --> 00:20:59,600
about the carry loan receivable.
So there's just like the way the

400
00:21:00,360 --> 00:21:02,560
carry loan is structured with 
the JV partners at Onslow, 

401
00:21:03,120 --> 00:21:06,840
there's the ability to actually 
have a third party acquire that 

402
00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:09,080
receivable. 
So min res gets money in the 

403
00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:12,640
door, but then the, the the 
early cash flows out of Horsley 

404
00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:14,040
actually got to that third party
instead. 

405
00:21:14,040 --> 00:21:16,520
So that's another interesting 1.
I don't think it's going to be 

406
00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:19,600
cheap if they did that though. 
But boys are what what he means 

407
00:21:19,600 --> 00:21:23,160
when he talks about levers, they
it's, you know, he didn't 

408
00:21:23,160 --> 00:21:28,240
actually mention selling any of 
the, the lithium assets. 

409
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:30,960
So that was that was kind of 
interesting in terms of like the

410
00:21:30,960 --> 00:21:32,720
actual processing facilities or 
anything like that. 

411
00:21:32,720 --> 00:21:39,240
But yeah, regardless, like there
are levers, I think there's also

412
00:21:39,240 --> 00:21:43,640
enough sort of, you know, doubt 
on the on the ability to kind of

413
00:21:45,120 --> 00:21:48,160
really move the dial too much 
on, on, on, on the things that 

414
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:51,440
he mentioned there as well. 
If if iron oil price came under 

415
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:54,120
a fair bit more pressure too. 
It didn't. 

416
00:21:54,120 --> 00:21:55,520
It didn't. 
Mention an equity raise, yeah. 

417
00:21:57,400 --> 00:21:59,000
Yeah, yeah. 
Yeah, I mean it it. 

418
00:21:59,000 --> 00:22:01,920
Is a genuine lever. 
As much as they don't want to do

419
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:05,400
it, you know it is something 
that would hold them out of a 

420
00:22:05,400 --> 00:22:07,840
bit of trouble. 
So yeah, we'll sort of see, but 

421
00:22:07,840 --> 00:22:11,080
obviously they're not going to 
be flatten the intentions to do 

422
00:22:11,080 --> 00:22:13,600
that the last. 
Thing I, I wanted to sort of ask

423
00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:17,560
you guys is any, any predictions
for what comes out on Monday as 

424
00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,320
a result of the, you know, the 
clues that we've, we've, we've 

425
00:22:20,320 --> 00:22:23,080
had so far? 
Oh the other the other one, 

426
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:26,120
which before you say that was 
just looking at the map. 

427
00:22:27,680 --> 00:22:32,280
Imagine if Jana bought Wodgina 
their. 

428
00:22:32,280 --> 00:22:34,880
Share of it to send. 
Andover down there. 

429
00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:39,560
Maybe. 
Maybe it's just South. 

430
00:22:39,560 --> 00:22:42,160
Of South of Headland. 
I don't know how far it is, it's

431
00:22:42,160 --> 00:22:45,680
a bit, but wonder if that's 
another lever. 

432
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,320
Maybe because that'll be. 
That's a processing. 

433
00:22:49,360 --> 00:22:51,560
I would say that is a processing
solution. 

434
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:54,800
Well, just keep that, it's 
recorded. 

435
00:22:56,480 --> 00:22:57,760
Yeah, and she'll be running the 
numbers. 

436
00:22:57,760 --> 00:22:58,600
For sure. 
And that's like a. 

437
00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:00,640
Talking point too, right? 
It's like, you know, Gina's sort

438
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:05,320
of signalling that, yeah, she's 
pretty supportive of of Allison 

439
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:08,600
and and they could do deals. 
Together in some ways. 

440
00:23:08,600 --> 00:23:11,400
There's a, you know, like maybe,
maybe min shareholders feel a 

441
00:23:11,400 --> 00:23:13,600
bit protected from the balance 
sheet front knowing that, you 

442
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:17,680
know, Gina might save the day in
some respects too if things got 

443
00:23:17,680 --> 00:23:19,920
too dire. 
But yeah, can't count on it. 

444
00:23:20,120 --> 00:23:23,760
So yeah, all right, predictions 
for Monday, What are you, what 

445
00:23:24,840 --> 00:23:30,520
are you putting more weight on 
him retaining the MD position or

446
00:23:32,120 --> 00:23:35,080
being removed from the MD 
position but still being in the 

447
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:38,520
company of some capacity? 
Either one. 

448
00:23:39,280 --> 00:23:43,640
I think he's probably the the 
same thing, which is Chris is 

449
00:23:43,640 --> 00:23:46,920
still steering the business. 
I think everything is we've seen

450
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,880
today and you know is setting 
up, it looks like to be setting 

451
00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:53,760
up a strategy that is going to 
be a Monday announcement that 

452
00:23:53,760 --> 00:23:57,240
he's either directly or 
indirectly still steering this 

453
00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,600
business. 
I don't think you'll be I think 

454
00:23:59,600 --> 00:24:01,760
you'll be fired. 
Like that's the reader I get in 

455
00:24:01,760 --> 00:24:05,040
genius comments. 
I wish they had this on being 

456
00:24:05,080 --> 00:24:10,000
removed from the board. 
I I that's like, I think that's 

457
00:24:10,160 --> 00:24:12,360
maybe possible. 
Like I don't yeah, I don't know.

458
00:24:12,360 --> 00:24:19,440
I think the in the in terms of 
like does anything really change

459
00:24:20,040 --> 00:24:22,560
from the way that business is 
right run whether he's on the 

460
00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:24,440
board or not? 
Probably not, but Hammer. 

461
00:24:24,520 --> 00:24:28,640
Like do you think that it 
appease the media? 

462
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:32,840
Like not appease, but in terms 
of removing as much of A 

463
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:38,040
spotlight. 
I suspect it might light a fire 

464
00:24:38,040 --> 00:24:40,800
up the media. 
Like the big unknown is like, 

465
00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:42,480
what's the media still sitting 
on? 

466
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:44,680
Like what's the, what's left to 
come out? 

467
00:24:44,720 --> 00:24:50,160
You know, because that that 
that's, yeah, it's, it's 

468
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:52,680
appeared like there's been a 
strategy to strategically 

469
00:24:52,680 --> 00:24:55,920
release information, wait for 
the board to respond to that 

470
00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,640
information, and then discredit 
the board by revealing more 

471
00:24:59,640 --> 00:25:02,280
evidence he was sitting on. 
That basically shows that the, 

472
00:25:02,360 --> 00:25:04,240
you know, the board's initial 
comments are maybe not 

473
00:25:04,320 --> 00:25:06,000
particularly truthful in all 
respects. 

474
00:25:06,000 --> 00:25:07,720
It's not like. 
Every article's just been 

475
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,120
researched after the last one 
was released. 

476
00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:13,080
Yeah, it looks like it's all 
been strategically drip fed as 

477
00:25:13,120 --> 00:25:15,800
you said and I think. 
There's still plenty of risk 

478
00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:20,080
that the, you know, what what 
might be yet to come out is is 

479
00:25:20,960 --> 00:25:22,640
is worse than what's been out so
far. 

480
00:25:22,640 --> 00:25:25,520
And that could put, that could 
put, you know, renewed pressure 

481
00:25:25,680 --> 00:25:30,400
on his spot contrary to, to, to,
you know, the strategy that 

482
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:32,360
appears to be for him to, to 
hang around. 

483
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,840
But, you know, you can't comment
on the likelihood of that until 

484
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:39,120
it comes to the market or, or to
the media. 

485
00:25:39,120 --> 00:25:41,760
Yeah. 
Oh God won't be able to sleep 

486
00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:42,560
this weekend. 
It would. 

487
00:25:43,720 --> 00:25:45,800
Be a big deal. 
I think you guys have nailed it.

488
00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:48,040
I'd love if they had it on like 
Polly Market or something. 

489
00:25:48,040 --> 00:25:51,080
You could see the odds of him 
sort of staying in the business 

490
00:25:51,480 --> 00:25:53,200
or even the business on sports. 
Pet. 

491
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,040
Oh, it should be. 
It should be like if the. 

492
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:58,640
Election. 
This is pretty much the federal 

493
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,000
election in the mining industry,
right? 

494
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:06,600
This is huge, you know. 
It's this huge Maddie Lion town 

495
00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:10,000
that was a very, very highly 
anticipated quarterly. 

496
00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:13,240
What did you sort of get at in 
your in your findings and how's 

497
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:17,960
it sort of looking well? 
First quarter of production 

498
00:26:18,040 --> 00:26:23,400
results, as I said, they did, 
you know, it was like started I 

499
00:26:23,440 --> 00:26:28,240
think July 31st was like the 
sort of the start of what they'd

500
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,760
say production. 
So this was, this was going to 

501
00:26:30,760 --> 00:26:33,960
be the telling quarter. 
But remember ramping up a whole 

502
00:26:33,960 --> 00:26:37,640
of all flotation circuit is 
pretty much like telling me to 

503
00:26:37,640 --> 00:26:39,520
learn Mandarin in a couple of 
months. 

504
00:26:39,600 --> 00:26:43,480
Like it's frigging, it's like, I
don't know, maybe I could do it.

505
00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:45,480
You know what I'm like when I 
put my mind to something. 

506
00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,640
So they threw in. 
It's just one of them things, 

507
00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,000
not no matter how much bloody 
planning goes into it now. 

508
00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:54,760
Good, they reckon they've built 
the bloody thing. 

509
00:26:54,760 --> 00:26:56,400
It's always gonna be very hard 
work. 

510
00:26:56,400 --> 00:27:00,120
But it appears there it's going 
in the right direction 'cause I 

511
00:27:00,120 --> 00:27:04,920
threw in 282,000 tonne of dirt 
in two months, produced 28,000 

512
00:27:04,920 --> 00:27:10,240
tonne of dry metric spot con. 
So recoveries of average have an

513
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:15,280
average of 51% in September. 
So last couple of weeks of 

514
00:27:15,280 --> 00:27:18,600
September they were hitting sort
of the 55 to 56% mark. 

515
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,360
They said in the call there's 
been some days where they're in 

516
00:27:21,360 --> 00:27:24,040
the 60s. 
They didn't, they didn't 

517
00:27:24,040 --> 00:27:27,840
disclose what the actual feed 
grade of the dirt is. 

518
00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:31,680
I don't think couldn't find it. 
So we're unsure what if they're 

519
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:36,200
putting through 1% lift or one 
percent, 1.2% or whatever. 

520
00:27:36,200 --> 00:27:39,920
We just know the the grade of 
the con that has been coming 

521
00:27:39,920 --> 00:27:41,960
out. 
So remember they aren't stopping

522
00:27:41,960 --> 00:27:45,200
yet. 
So they it it's just open pit or

523
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:48,680
a little bit of underground 
development or I'd say it was 

524
00:27:48,680 --> 00:27:52,600
only 19,000 tonne of development
or for the quarter, June quarter

525
00:27:52,600 --> 00:27:55,480
did say first development or was
going to be hit in August. 

526
00:27:55,760 --> 00:27:59,360
So and it also said in the June 
quarter that first stopping was 

527
00:27:59,360 --> 00:28:02,720
to commence at the end of this 
year calendar year. 

528
00:28:02,880 --> 00:28:06,760
But no comment in this quarterly
about when stopping will 

529
00:28:06,760 --> 00:28:08,720
commence. 
They didn't reaffirm that or 

530
00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:15,160
anything. 
So if you're look at even 

531
00:28:15,160 --> 00:28:17,760
though, look at the waterfall 
chart, even though the title 

532
00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:21,720
reads cash increase by 140 
million, that's as a function of

533
00:28:21,720 --> 00:28:25,000
the convertible note issue. 
But expenditure for the quarter 

534
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:30,360
was 231 million. 
So closing cash 263,000,000 that

535
00:28:30,360 --> 00:28:34,520
come in a bit under some of the 
analyst models that they had of 

536
00:28:34,520 --> 00:28:38,920
what they're closing cash would 
be deposition 662,000,000. 

537
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:42,800
So it appears all the 
construction costs of the 

538
00:28:42,800 --> 00:28:46,240
project will be completed by the
end of the December quarter. 

539
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:51,080
So another about this own about 
another 65,000,000 outflows for 

540
00:28:51,080 --> 00:28:54,480
that December quarter that 
includes like 13 to 15,000,000 

541
00:28:54,480 --> 00:28:57,440
for the PACE plant. 
That sounds like that's about 

542
00:28:57,440 --> 00:29:00,320
91. 
I've been over 91% complete not 

543
00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:03,520
required for first production, 
but only for when you start 

544
00:29:03,520 --> 00:29:06,520
filling the bloody Stopes. 
Still got to get the re tick and

545
00:29:06,520 --> 00:29:08,840
the ball holes and all that in 
place, but you can start ripping

546
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,600
the arse out of the Stopes. 
Well, well ahead of that going 

547
00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:14,960
in. 
So it it appears the that 

548
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:19,320
updated mine plan has been 
delayed I think just in terms. 

549
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:21,120
Of the cost guidance, everything
like that, everything. 

550
00:29:21,120 --> 00:29:23,720
Like what? 
What what they're going to do 

551
00:29:23,720 --> 00:29:27,120
Like the what the cons going to 
be like everything because I 

552
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:30,680
because I remember hearing all I
thought I was told it was sort 

553
00:29:30,680 --> 00:29:33,600
of going to be potentially close
to when this quarterly come out.

554
00:29:33,920 --> 00:29:38,920
But they've said in the 
announcement though it'll be an 

555
00:29:38,920 --> 00:29:41,240
update by the end of this 
calendar year. 

556
00:29:41,240 --> 00:29:44,200
So that might have been though 
we are getting close. 

557
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:47,000
So it might be another fucking 
month and a half away. 

558
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:48,840
By the sounds, the trend has 
been they've. 

559
00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:50,160
Just kept pushing this back 
though. 

560
00:29:50,160 --> 00:29:53,600
Remember it was going to be 
before the and that got pushed 

561
00:29:53,600 --> 00:29:56,480
back and it was going to be, you
know, around the con and then 

562
00:29:56,680 --> 00:29:58,400
con note and then it just kept 
getting pushed. 

563
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:02,000
I think you what I mean, like, 
obviously the actuals are pretty

564
00:30:02,000 --> 00:30:03,880
variable and improving. 
You're trying to figure out 

565
00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:05,640
where where steady state's going
to be there. 

566
00:30:05,640 --> 00:30:08,120
But you're also like, you don't 
really want to put out numbers 

567
00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:09,960
to the market to show you're 
losing a fair bit of money on 

568
00:30:09,960 --> 00:30:12,560
every time, like while the 
market's still kind of busted up

569
00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:14,360
from a realised prosper. 
Yeah, and. 

570
00:30:14,720 --> 00:30:16,840
I think there's there's a lot to
come out of that and there's 

571
00:30:16,840 --> 00:30:20,120
obviously a lot of iterate 
iterating to do to figure out 

572
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,680
the balance that of what it is 
at the moment, which they 

573
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:25,520
probably never thought they'd 
have to fucking do. 

574
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:28,040
Because I thought probably just 
kind of we're going to make so 

575
00:30:28,040 --> 00:30:31,080
much money out of this joint 
when the prices were high. 

576
00:30:32,280 --> 00:30:35,480
Things like are they going to 
hone in on because it's 

577
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:40,520
underground, so much more 
flexibility to go down down here

578
00:30:40,520 --> 00:30:43,280
instead of going over there. 
If that's high grade like you 

579
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,080
got, they got a lot more 
flexibility so that that's the 

580
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:49,280
advantage of the underground, 
whereas a pit you got to it's 

581
00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:52,440
all in the sequence effectively.
So are they going to hone in on 

582
00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:56,680
high grade areas and high grade 
it to reduce the, you know, 

583
00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:58,960
reduce the all in sustaining 
cost effectively? 

584
00:30:59,320 --> 00:31:02,040
Are they going to other one is 
around the con? 

585
00:31:02,320 --> 00:31:08,600
Because if they produce a lower 
grade con, so low fives or could

586
00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:12,560
even go lower if they want, you 
can, you can throw more tonnes 

587
00:31:12,560 --> 00:31:15,800
through and get a better 
recovery for a lower grade con 

588
00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,280
at the expense of the 
concentrate sale price. 

589
00:31:18,760 --> 00:31:23,040
But Tony, I did mention on the 
call that it's whatever method 

590
00:31:23,440 --> 00:31:26,280
yields the highest amount of 
lithium units. 

591
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:30,040
He said if it doesn't produce 
more lithium units, it doesn't 

592
00:31:30,040 --> 00:31:32,520
make sense. 
So you could, you could produce 

593
00:31:32,520 --> 00:31:35,600
a low grade con and smash the 
tonnes through as quick as you 

594
00:31:35,600 --> 00:31:40,080
can and create more lithium at 
a, at a low sale price per con 

595
00:31:40,080 --> 00:31:41,640
tonne. 
So it'd be interesting to see 

596
00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:44,000
where they strike that balance 
of what that products going to 

597
00:31:44,000 --> 00:31:47,480
be. 
Yeah, $2 billion company at 

598
00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:48,920
these prices. 
Still. 

599
00:31:49,400 --> 00:31:52,400
I, I just, and we've mentioned 
it before, I just don't think 

600
00:31:52,400 --> 00:31:57,720
the market would sneeze if they 
raise 300 bucks plus right now 

601
00:31:57,720 --> 00:32:02,280
to de stress the balance sheet. 
Because having $662,000,000 in 

602
00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:06,600
debt for a single asset producer
in a depressed pricing 

603
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:10,080
environment that in a way is 
living on a bit of hope at the 

604
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:11,560
moment. 
The prices are going to turn 

605
00:32:11,560 --> 00:32:15,000
around sooner rather than later.
It just doesn't sound right. 

606
00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:17,880
It's not sustainable, those 
numbers not sustainable. 

607
00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:21,000
What sort of discount? 
Do you reckon they'd have to do?

608
00:32:21,000 --> 00:32:22,760
I mean, it's a bit of a sign 
that. 

609
00:32:23,640 --> 00:32:25,640
You know. 
You're not quite getting there. 

610
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:28,800
And to incentivize investors to 
come on board, you're obviously 

611
00:32:28,800 --> 00:32:32,280
you're going to have to do. 
I think it'd be a healthy 

612
00:32:32,280 --> 00:32:33,440
discount. 
What do you reckon? 

613
00:32:33,600 --> 00:32:39,160
Don't I? 
20% 15 or maybe 1520 Nah that 

614
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:40,680
that's. 
Your stock standard, I reckon 

615
00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:44,320
it'd be I reckon it'd be 
heavier, but it but it's. 

616
00:32:44,320 --> 00:32:48,160
Try like, yeah, it's trading at 
the price at the moment. 

617
00:32:48,240 --> 00:32:49,800
It's based on what they're 
doing. 

618
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:52,720
Like that's the market's valuing
at $0.80 right now. 

619
00:32:53,840 --> 00:32:54,320
I. 
Hear. 

620
00:32:54,320 --> 00:32:56,760
Yeah, yeah, I mean, it kind of, 
it kind of puzzles me that it 

621
00:32:57,160 --> 00:32:58,640
still trades where it kind of 
does. 

622
00:32:58,640 --> 00:33:03,280
But I think there's a bit of a, 
you know, unquantifiable backer,

623
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,520
you know, you got Gina there and
other sort of forces and just to

624
00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:08,160
sort of belief that it kind of 
gets through. 

625
00:33:08,320 --> 00:33:10,600
Yeah, and. 
Like because as I said, like the

626
00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:14,480
Platts and Fast Market spot 
prices have haven't moved still 

627
00:33:14,480 --> 00:33:21,000
at 7:50 to 750 bucks a tonne. 
So maybe on the back of Pilbara 

628
00:33:21,000 --> 00:33:25,000
taking out effectively 150,000 
tonne out of the market with the

629
00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:28,840
pay 8:50 to pay 1000, maybe 
another operation going on care 

630
00:33:28,840 --> 00:33:31,680
and maintenance could be a 
catalyst for a bit of a spot 

631
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,640
price lift. 
But at the moment it's all just 

632
00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:39,320
a bit of a waiting game and a 
gamble for things to turn around

633
00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:40,800
the. 
Zimbabwean. 

634
00:33:40,800 --> 00:33:43,160
Asset came offline as well. 
Yeah, the. 

635
00:33:43,560 --> 00:33:48,000
The, the, I don't think they're 
limited to doing a cap raise to 

636
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:52,040
relieve kind of, you know, 
pressure, but they, they, they 

637
00:33:52,040 --> 00:33:54,320
can sell Baldania. 
They can also sell like a colour

638
00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:57,080
30% interest in Kathleen Valley 
if they wanted to and end up 

639
00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:00,480
with the JV and both would bring
in some some, you know, short 

640
00:34:00,480 --> 00:34:03,280
dated cash that that might be 
handy for a period of time. 

641
00:34:03,280 --> 00:34:05,240
But you brought a point. 
It's like, you know the IT 

642
00:34:05,640 --> 00:34:07,160
wouldn't just. 
Perceived that bad? 

643
00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:08,600
The status quo is not 
sustainable. 

644
00:34:08,639 --> 00:34:13,960
Yeah, it's like you, you kind of
yeah, yeah, yeah, you're playing

645
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:18,639
the way the game is. 
Yeah, it's like a it's a tough 

646
00:34:18,639 --> 00:34:22,000
strategy when there's a bunch of
other, you know, things in the 

647
00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,080
market. 
The point to depress prices for 

648
00:34:24,080 --> 00:34:25,000
longer. 
Like what? 

649
00:34:25,000 --> 00:34:27,400
Bloody Pilbury just did as well 
themselves. 

650
00:34:27,400 --> 00:34:28,560
So yeah, do you think? 
Do you? 

651
00:34:28,560 --> 00:34:32,000
Think the we're talking 
different commodities here, but 

652
00:34:32,000 --> 00:34:35,040
we're saying sort of the equity 
interesting gold at the moment. 

653
00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:37,040
There's a lot, there's a lot of 
rises going on. 

654
00:34:37,639 --> 00:34:40,719
Do you think that is commodity 
agnostic? 

655
00:34:40,840 --> 00:34:42,639
No. 
No, I don't think so. 

656
00:34:42,719 --> 00:34:44,880
Do you think it's a broader? 
Market thing that it might be a 

657
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:48,440
good time that equity will 
you'll be able to fill books 

658
00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:50,760
pretty easily across the market.
I think Pilbara could. 

659
00:34:51,239 --> 00:34:52,880
Sorry, I think Line Time could 
fill their book. 

660
00:34:52,880 --> 00:34:56,400
I mean, their short interest is 
like sort of just sub 10% I 

661
00:34:56,400 --> 00:34:58,240
think. 
I mean, it's a bit over, a bit 

662
00:34:58,240 --> 00:34:59,680
over. 
So I mean like 10.9 or 

663
00:34:59,720 --> 00:35:01,760
something. 
Like, yeah, you're gonna fill a 

664
00:35:01,760 --> 00:35:04,320
book just with a good chunk of 
the shorts closing out, you 

665
00:35:04,320 --> 00:35:07,120
know, in a placement. 
So yeah, no stress on the 

666
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:10,640
discount. 
On Bodania, you mentioned there 

667
00:35:10,640 --> 00:35:13,400
Trev, do you, do you think 
they'd get more than a few bucks

668
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:15,600
for that is? 
IT 15,000,000. 

669
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:19,040
Tonnes at 1%, but no. 
No, no idea to be honest. 

670
00:35:19,040 --> 00:35:21,400
Surely there's some? 
Frigging gold rights down there 

671
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:24,720
or something. 
Or maybe something next to the 

672
00:35:24,720 --> 00:35:28,400
tenement that's got gold 
potential they could get some 

673
00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:32,200
cash of cash out of. 
Ask Shannon McMahon, I reckon. 

674
00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:37,920
Or or Shannon McMahon's kids I 
know and also know tenements 

675
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:40,760
anything. 
The word with McMahon in it 

676
00:35:41,080 --> 00:35:44,880
means historical tenement 
expertise so hence the name Mine

677
00:35:44,880 --> 00:35:49,160
McMahon mining title services. 
So mate, bloody not. 

678
00:35:49,240 --> 00:35:51,360
Not just Shannon. 
Mate doesn't doesn't stop there.

679
00:35:51,480 --> 00:35:54,400
No bloody. 
Look, Eva, Helen, Shannon, if 

680
00:35:54,400 --> 00:35:58,280
you're bloody listening, fire up
that friggin Generation 7 AI 

681
00:35:58,280 --> 00:36:01,360
driven quantum computer and go 
just check Baldania. 

682
00:36:01,360 --> 00:36:04,400
Check around Baldania, give 
Lontown a call. 

683
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:07,000
Just see if there's any ways 
they can get a bit of cash in 

684
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:08,720
the door. 
Lontown, get your hand on that 

685
00:36:08,720 --> 00:36:13,040
landline right now because MMTS 
are probably going to give you a

686
00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:17,480
buzz very shortly with something
that'll blow your mind. 

687
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:20,400
Even gold rights near Kathleen 
Valley. 

688
00:36:21,520 --> 00:36:22,920
Yeah. 
Yeah, there'll be. 

689
00:36:22,920 --> 00:36:24,880
Something there, there's 
something somewhere, probably, 

690
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:28,640
probably actually would be Eva. 
Call me first. 

691
00:36:31,440 --> 00:36:34,960
Spin it out. 
Oh, right. 

692
00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:37,080
Pilbara. 
JDPLS. 

693
00:36:37,080 --> 00:36:40,640
Yeah. 
The lithium trend continues, but

694
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,120
a slightly different sort of 
tone here. 

695
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:46,120
So they came out with the Cordly
and they a quick update on the 

696
00:36:46,120 --> 00:36:49,800
the midstream venture that 
they'd signed a year and a bit 

697
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:51,960
ago now. 
So quite a bit going on. 

698
00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:55,520
But in short operations were 
pretty solid, but there was some

699
00:36:55,520 --> 00:37:01,200
big sort of calls that they made
that outweighed the operational 

700
00:37:01,200 --> 00:37:03,440
performance that they had this 
quarter. 

701
00:37:03,440 --> 00:37:07,560
So starting on operations and 
then I'll go through some of the

702
00:37:07,560 --> 00:37:11,440
the bigger talking points. 
Volumes were kind of down just a

703
00:37:11,440 --> 00:37:13,640
little bit. 
Mining rates ahead of their 

704
00:37:13,640 --> 00:37:16,040
internal plans. 
So looking good on that front. 

705
00:37:16,480 --> 00:37:19,880
Significantly more waste has 
moved this quarter and that'll 

706
00:37:19,960 --> 00:37:23,280
sort of help them unlock new ore
bodies all kind of as planned. 

707
00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:28,480
Recovery's ticked up a bit. 
So 75% up, 3% pretty decent and 

708
00:37:28,760 --> 00:37:31,040
partially that's thanks to all 
sorting. 

709
00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:35,840
So the P680 commissioning is all
done, then our rampant that up 

710
00:37:36,440 --> 00:37:41,560
and P-1000 is 80% complete. 
And the, the messaging here is 

711
00:37:41,560 --> 00:37:43,640
that they're, they're in way too
deep. 

712
00:37:43,640 --> 00:37:46,280
There's no turning back. 
They've got to spend the rest of

713
00:37:46,280 --> 00:37:50,160
the CapEx, get that finished and
sort of get it online. 

714
00:37:50,920 --> 00:37:53,120
There was another line that sort
of stood out to me. 

715
00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:56,240
Maddie, you'll love this one. 
Water exploration and production

716
00:37:56,240 --> 00:37:59,640
board drilling needs to be done 
to meet future expansion. 

717
00:37:59,840 --> 00:38:02,640
Water requirements will 
continue. 

718
00:38:02,680 --> 00:38:05,000
Oh, hi is. 
That Greenland's on the phone, 

719
00:38:06,120 --> 00:38:08,520
Bloodies that that'd be. 
That's how that conversation 

720
00:38:08,520 --> 00:38:10,320
went. 
JD No. 

721
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:14,160
Doubt about it we know there are
good, good operators up in that 

722
00:38:14,160 --> 00:38:17,960
area and it's it's sort of no 
hard in the fact that you need 

723
00:38:17,960 --> 00:38:20,520
water to run these mines, don't 
you Maddie right you need. 

724
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,080
Water to run mines. 
Sometimes you need to get rid of

725
00:38:23,080 --> 00:38:26,600
water to run mines, if that is 
also. 

726
00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:28,360
Something that Greenlands do, if
the word. 

727
00:38:28,360 --> 00:38:33,400
Water is in your problem. 
Greenlands are the solution. 

728
00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:36,280
Turn key solution Turn key 
Martin. 

729
00:38:36,400 --> 00:38:38,880
The bloody. 
Oh, what a service to the 

730
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:40,520
industry. 
Thank you, Carla. 

731
00:38:40,760 --> 00:38:42,360
Get up. 
Get up to bloody. 

732
00:38:42,360 --> 00:38:46,240
He loves the Pilbara, loves 
flies, loves heat, loves 

733
00:38:46,240 --> 00:38:49,760
cyclones, loves dust. 
He is your man. 

734
00:38:49,920 --> 00:38:51,320
Green lands are the men and 
women. 

735
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:53,440
They sort it all the works. 
Beautiful. 

736
00:38:53,440 --> 00:38:54,840
Yeah. 
Anyway, we digress. 

737
00:38:55,720 --> 00:38:58,480
We digress. 
So getting into the cash and 

738
00:38:58,480 --> 00:39:01,400
kind of I think it's interesting
to to bear in mind the other 

739
00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:03,840
operations we're kind of talking
about even though they're a bit 

740
00:39:03,840 --> 00:39:07,880
short on on details, but the 
unit operating costs for Pilbara

741
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:12,200
were US 480 bucks a tonne. 
That's your price including the 

742
00:39:12,240 --> 00:39:14,360
CIF I'm quoting there. 
So including your freight and 

743
00:39:14,360 --> 00:39:17,480
your royalties, that's 
relatively steady quarter on 

744
00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:19,160
quarter. 
So pretty solid. 

745
00:39:19,680 --> 00:39:24,240
It's even less than the revised 
guidance that they've given, 

746
00:39:24,240 --> 00:39:28,600
which I'll get into. 
So I mean they they did sort of 

747
00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:32,440
preface that with these aren't 
indicative of what the rest of 

748
00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:36,440
FY25 costs will be like. 
Unfortunately on your sales 

749
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:42,320
side, revenue was down over 30%.
So the sales volume were down 

750
00:39:42,320 --> 00:39:49,760
marginally and your price was US
$682 for their 5.3% product. 

751
00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:53,840
So all up that leaves you a 
margin of about $50 million. 

752
00:39:54,480 --> 00:39:57,640
But if you're talking about your
cash margin minus you capitalise

753
00:39:57,640 --> 00:40:00,320
development costs and you're 
sustaining CapEx, which kind of 

754
00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:04,040
has to be done, you're losing 
money or you're sort of 

755
00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:08,560
marginally break even. 
So that is the problem that they

756
00:40:08,560 --> 00:40:11,280
had to address essentially and 
that's why they've made the 

757
00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:14,240
decisions that they've made. 
That culminates in the first 

758
00:40:14,240 --> 00:40:16,680
sort of three big talking points
I've got with putting the 

759
00:40:16,680 --> 00:40:20,040
smaller plant they've got on 
care and maintenance. 

760
00:40:20,040 --> 00:40:22,600
So the Pilgrim plant is going to
be prioritised. 

761
00:40:22,920 --> 00:40:25,800
That's the lower cost, better 
plant that they've got. 

762
00:40:25,880 --> 00:40:28,760
Unfortunately, this means 50 
jobs will go. 

763
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:33,200
It also means 100,000 less 
tonnes of spod will go out 

764
00:40:33,200 --> 00:40:35,760
versus their previous FY25 
guidance. 

765
00:40:36,200 --> 00:40:39,480
And if you're looking at over a 
full financial year, say FY20 6,

766
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:46,560
it becomes P850AS opposed to 
P-1000, but you've got your cash

767
00:40:46,560 --> 00:40:48,040
flow benefits. 
So the company's talking about 

768
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:51,040
$200 million in cash flow 
improvements. 

769
00:40:51,040 --> 00:40:55,440
If you're taking into account 
AUS $700.00 spod price and this 

770
00:40:55,440 --> 00:40:58,840
is a factor of the mining fleet 
gone from 7 fleets down to four.

771
00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:03,320
That'll save you 45 bucks a 
tonne and reduce CapEx. 

772
00:41:03,480 --> 00:41:07,440
Another $63 million saved there 
and then a couple, you know, 

773
00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:10,800
bucks saved in reduced corporate
costs as well. 

774
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:12,600
Interesting. 
They said it'd take four months 

775
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,240
if they want to reverse that 
decision. 

776
00:41:15,240 --> 00:41:18,080
But ultimately, like you were 
saying with Lion Town, Maddie, 

777
00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:21,680
this is tonnes coming out of the
market and it's something some 

778
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:24,720
of the other operators out there
are going to be pretty, pretty 

779
00:41:24,720 --> 00:41:26,840
happy about I reckon. 
Good to, good to. 

780
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:31,600
Say even with 1.4 billion in the
bank, they're being prudent on 

781
00:41:31,720 --> 00:41:34,000
the millions? 
Well, yeah. 

782
00:41:34,000 --> 00:41:35,400
Absolutely. 
I want, I want to talk about 

783
00:41:35,400 --> 00:41:38,120
that more in, in a moment. 
So the other, the other big 

784
00:41:38,120 --> 00:41:39,920
talking point is price 
realisations. 

785
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:43,040
And I've, I've got a neat chart 
here that Citi put out. 

786
00:41:43,960 --> 00:41:46,880
It's no sort of secret, but 
Pillbro gets, you know, 

787
00:41:46,880 --> 00:41:49,000
relatively bad price 
realisations. 

788
00:41:49,000 --> 00:41:50,760
You can see they're sort of 
bottom of the pack there. 

789
00:41:50,760 --> 00:41:56,720
So US 682 bucks that, you know, 
you compare that with what RGO 

790
00:41:56,720 --> 00:42:00,800
put at US 872. 
That's on an FoB basis. 

791
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:03,200
It's not sort of perfectly 
comparable, but it's a pretty 

792
00:42:03,680 --> 00:42:06,960
big difference by what that's 
partially a factor of them 

793
00:42:07,200 --> 00:42:09,720
having their shipments waited to
the September month. 

794
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:12,880
So the last of the three in a 
sort of downward trending market

795
00:42:12,880 --> 00:42:15,360
that doesn't do them any kind of
favours. 

796
00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:17,960
And then on the balance sheet, 
like you said, Maddie, so about 

797
00:42:17,960 --> 00:42:23,240
1.35 billion Aussie in cash, 370
million is what they last 

798
00:42:23,240 --> 00:42:25,800
reported in debt. 
So it leaves your net cash of 1 

799
00:42:25,800 --> 00:42:30,440
billion. 
This came off 270 odd $1,000,000

800
00:42:30,760 --> 00:42:33,400
over the quarter and mainly due 
to CapEx. 

801
00:42:33,600 --> 00:42:36,480
So that again just tells you 
that they're about kind of break

802
00:42:36,480 --> 00:42:41,840
even at these prices roughly. 
And of course, they did sort of 

803
00:42:42,240 --> 00:42:47,440
sign up the $1 billion in debt, 
but it sort of leads into the 

804
00:42:47,680 --> 00:42:50,920
the, the decision making which 
the company's kind of gone 

805
00:42:50,920 --> 00:42:53,760
through and the decision to shut
down the plant and what. 

806
00:42:53,760 --> 00:42:56,320
About So what about the the the 
down string? 

807
00:42:56,760 --> 00:42:58,800
Our goods down string? 
Oh. 

808
00:42:59,360 --> 00:43:01,120
It's not as flash, although it 
could be worse. 

809
00:43:01,120 --> 00:43:04,360
So of course they've got the, 
the POSCO downstream, Train 1 

810
00:43:04,440 --> 00:43:07,320
coming online did 50% of 
nameplate in August. 

811
00:43:07,480 --> 00:43:09,560
Train 2 is completed, that's in 
commissioning. 

812
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:13,160
They've got a bit of debt. 
Remember they sort of own 18% of

813
00:43:13,160 --> 00:43:16,120
that JV with the option to go a 
bit higher. 

814
00:43:16,320 --> 00:43:19,520
And then on the midstream with 
Calyx, that's essentially just 

815
00:43:19,520 --> 00:43:22,640
been been paused. 
So they're in a very 

816
00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:26,480
conservative kind of mode now. 
There we go. 

817
00:43:26,920 --> 00:43:28,520
It's it's. 
Super interesting though, right?

818
00:43:28,520 --> 00:43:33,440
Like the the, the rhetoric up 
until I felt like this quarterly

819
00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:36,200
was from from people who was 
yeah like continue the kind of 

820
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:39,720
CapEx lower, lower unit costs 
and survive the cycle that way. 

821
00:43:39,720 --> 00:43:42,120
And this is, and now you're 
seeing, yeah, like 

822
00:43:42,200 --> 00:43:45,280
rationalisation on quantity, 
which is a bit of a bit of a 

823
00:43:45,280 --> 00:43:49,240
detour from from, from prior. 
But you know, if you if you just

824
00:43:49,240 --> 00:43:53,440
look at all of the the produce 
appears of there's still the 

825
00:43:53,960 --> 00:43:56,600
kind of maybe best equipped from
a balance sheet perspective to 

826
00:43:56,600 --> 00:43:57,760
ride out a storm. 
Like, yeah. 

827
00:43:58,880 --> 00:44:02,800
I think, I think start of next 
year is going to be D day for 

828
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:05,760
lithium or it's going to be 
action packed I reckon because 

829
00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:10,320
all these other producers can't,
you can't survive like this. 

830
00:44:10,800 --> 00:44:12,400
They won't. 
They won't be able to do this 

831
00:44:12,760 --> 00:44:19,040
forever at these prices, which 
will either mean or the lithium 

832
00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:24,200
global bloody demand increases. 
Something's going to happen 

833
00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:26,960
which will be a catalyst for 
something like because if they 

834
00:44:26,960 --> 00:44:29,680
can't survive, tonnes are going 
to come out of the market, which

835
00:44:29,720 --> 00:44:33,880
will be that's what's going to 
bring in the prices or exactly 

836
00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:36,440
as you said, the it's the. 
Distress, it's the distressed 

837
00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:39,720
care maintenances that are the 
kind of required to sort of, you

838
00:44:39,720 --> 00:44:41,920
know, take enough tonnes out of 
the market to you know, low 

839
00:44:42,240 --> 00:44:43,800
prices. 
The cure flow prices because it 

840
00:44:43,800 --> 00:44:46,120
can take curtail supply. 
You need more of that supply 

841
00:44:46,120 --> 00:44:49,480
curtailment, absent demand, 
just, you know, go on, go on, 

842
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:51,000
bonkers again. 
It's like, who's going? 

843
00:44:51,000 --> 00:44:56,200
To blink first, Yeah, I think. 
I like I, yeah, agree with what 

844
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:58,760
you guys are saying. 
I had to kind of go back to 

845
00:44:58,760 --> 00:45:02,680
basics in in thinking about what
what all this kind of means and 

846
00:45:02,720 --> 00:45:03,880
you know, is it good? 
Is it bad? 

847
00:45:04,480 --> 00:45:07,960
And just just going back to the 
the cost curve again, that's 

848
00:45:07,960 --> 00:45:10,160
what that's what really matters.
And that's sort of implicitly 

849
00:45:10,440 --> 00:45:13,880
what you guys are talking about.
Like you say, Maddie Pilgrim 

850
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:17,480
have a strong balance sheet 
relative to all the other 

851
00:45:17,480 --> 00:45:21,000
players in the in the market and
they've got, you know, decent 

852
00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:22,440
enough assets. 
If you sort of think about 

853
00:45:22,440 --> 00:45:26,400
Pillgang and the and the smaller
plant for a moment separately, 

854
00:45:26,400 --> 00:45:28,720
because it's kind of how Pilbara
thought about it here. 

855
00:45:29,720 --> 00:45:34,880
It is kind of puzzling. 
Or maybe maybe conservative is 

856
00:45:34,880 --> 00:45:37,760
just the right word or maybe 
discipline's the right word that

857
00:45:37,960 --> 00:45:40,760
these are the guys that are 
curtailing production. 

858
00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:43,600
I had sort of similar thoughts 
when when it happened with Green

859
00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:47,800
Bush's half a year or so ago. 
I find it super interesting that

860
00:45:47,800 --> 00:45:50,360
these are the, the, the players 
that are doing it before the 

861
00:45:50,360 --> 00:45:54,240
higher cost peers. 
And essentially the, the 

862
00:45:54,240 --> 00:45:56,960
decision they've made today is 
to save money in the short term 

863
00:45:57,280 --> 00:45:59,400
and forego earnings in the long 
term. 

864
00:45:59,720 --> 00:46:02,720
Pretty much every broker has 
come out and marked down the, 

865
00:46:03,000 --> 00:46:06,200
the price target and the, the 
NAV for this company for the 

866
00:46:06,200 --> 00:46:07,720
decision. 
The share price rallied though, 

867
00:46:07,760 --> 00:46:12,960
but it yeah, it, it did and it 
sort of divided analysts out 

868
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:16,200
there because a lot of them, to 
your point, Trev, we're happy to

869
00:46:16,200 --> 00:46:19,640
see that they're responsive to 
market conditions and pulling 

870
00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:23,760
supply out and not just going 
for that volume decision volume 

871
00:46:23,760 --> 00:46:26,920
over cost. 
Whereas others, you know, not 

872
00:46:26,920 --> 00:46:30,800
too many, but there were a 
couple analysts sort of who were

873
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:32,960
not quite as positive about this
decision because they think the 

874
00:46:32,960 --> 00:46:36,240
company's just being overly 
conservative because they are 

875
00:46:36,240 --> 00:46:39,040
the pre eminent player in the 
market. 

876
00:46:39,040 --> 00:46:42,440
So I mean, maybe given 
everything Pilbara's been 

877
00:46:42,440 --> 00:46:46,680
through, it's a pretty hard one 
lesson to be conservative and 

878
00:46:46,680 --> 00:46:49,880
see yourself through no matter 
what, even if that means you get

879
00:46:49,880 --> 00:46:51,800
a bit less of the cream at the 
other end. 

880
00:46:52,280 --> 00:46:55,000
And you know, who could kind of 
blame them given how how close 

881
00:46:55,000 --> 00:46:57,320
things got a few years back for 
them making that decision, but 

882
00:46:57,480 --> 00:46:59,200
they. 
They could turn this back on 

883
00:46:59,200 --> 00:47:04,160
pretty quickly, yeah. 4:00-ish 
months is the the kind of 

884
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:08,920
guiding that they've given, but 
you'd only do that after an 

885
00:47:08,920 --> 00:47:11,640
indicator that the market's 
improved prices have picked up. 

886
00:47:11,640 --> 00:47:15,240
So you you're sort of implicitly
there missing out on on some 

887
00:47:15,240 --> 00:47:18,840
earnings I think taking. 
Taking 150,000 tonnes out 

888
00:47:18,840 --> 00:47:20,840
yourself, they're thinking would
they? 

889
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:22,920
Would they? 
I don't think we might get paid 

890
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:24,560
more for the other 850. 
I don't. 

891
00:47:25,000 --> 00:47:27,840
I don't think that it's a big 
enough impact back in the day 

892
00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:30,320
that's well with your market 
like, you know, I think what 

893
00:47:30,320 --> 00:47:33,720
I've heard is that was the way 
album model used to think about 

894
00:47:33,720 --> 00:47:36,600
the market was that could sort 
of you know, their their own 

895
00:47:36,600 --> 00:47:39,120
curtailments here or there 
influenced the market a hell of 

896
00:47:39,120 --> 00:47:41,000
a lot and they thought they 
could still do that. 

897
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:42,840
That was the green Bush's 
decision. 

898
00:47:42,840 --> 00:47:45,280
You saw earlier in the year was 
sort of album miles aren't 

899
00:47:45,280 --> 00:47:47,680
thinking on a niche, you know 
chemicals business, but it's 

900
00:47:48,080 --> 00:47:52,000
it's much more fragmented kind 
of market these days and and I 

901
00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:54,680
don't think you can move it too 
much with 150,000 times. 

902
00:47:54,720 --> 00:47:57,400
Yeah, I think the. 
The the last sort of thought 

903
00:47:57,400 --> 00:48:00,960
that comes off the back of 
talking about Pilgrid there is 

904
00:48:00,960 --> 00:48:03,680
just relating it in the context 
of other commodities and other 

905
00:48:03,680 --> 00:48:06,920
companies out there and, and 
gold is the one that comes to 

906
00:48:06,920 --> 00:48:09,720
mind. 
Can't help but think now is the 

907
00:48:09,720 --> 00:48:11,680
time to secure your balance 
sheet. 

908
00:48:11,920 --> 00:48:13,880
You know, you've seen some of 
the, the smarter companies out 

909
00:48:13,880 --> 00:48:15,880
there, some of the better 
operators grab at the 

910
00:48:15,880 --> 00:48:18,880
opportunity and just raise the 
capital while you can. 

911
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:22,120
It's it's not applicable to 
everyone, but it's something I'm

912
00:48:22,120 --> 00:48:25,080
sure all of the companies are 
seriously considering. 

913
00:48:25,400 --> 00:48:27,080
You know, you've got to kind of 
take the cash. 

914
00:48:27,640 --> 00:48:29,880
All these 13 players wish they 
would have done more of it back 

915
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:32,560
in the day. 
And yeah, I think it's just a a 

916
00:48:32,560 --> 00:48:36,160
lesson as an investor as well to
sort of carry in and think about

917
00:48:36,160 --> 00:48:38,200
how how commodities sort of 
cycle. 

918
00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:44,600
Right, Good work, JD. 
Next stop, Maker, the bloody 

919
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:49,120
prospective gold developer. 
First thing I saw here. 

920
00:48:49,120 --> 00:48:51,360
I'm like fuck they're raising 
money again. 

921
00:48:52,760 --> 00:48:56,120
Like because they just raised 35
bucks at $0.05 on the 3rd of 

922
00:48:56,120 --> 00:48:57,240
September. 
I mean that. 

923
00:48:57,480 --> 00:49:00,720
Exactly my thought. 
And they put the. 26 mil gold 

924
00:49:00,720 --> 00:49:03,920
loan and 12 mil gold stream in 
place, but as you can see on the

925
00:49:03,920 --> 00:49:07,720
Spark chart, since that raise, 
maker's been on a bit of a run 

926
00:49:07,720 --> 00:49:10,800
along with the other gold. 
He's actually hit 9.2 cents 

927
00:49:11,200 --> 00:49:14,520
after raising at 5:00. 
But today they're raising 35 

928
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:18,480
bucks, a minimum 35 bucks. 
Yeah, at 7 cents. 

929
00:49:18,480 --> 00:49:21,200
And they'll accept overs and 
also possibly put in a share 

930
00:49:21,200 --> 00:49:25,000
purchase plan, so might end up 
raising a bit more. 9 1/2% 

931
00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:27,000
discount to the last close 
price. 

932
00:49:27,240 --> 00:49:30,160
Why you're about to ask Travis 
Ricciardo, I can guess. 

933
00:49:30,160 --> 00:49:33,840
I'll tell you. 
Well, in a move positive moves 

934
00:49:33,840 --> 00:49:36,320
similar to what we talked about 
with Black Cat on Tuesday, 

935
00:49:36,320 --> 00:49:40,160
they're effectively removing the
Oremic Gold line and gold 

936
00:49:40,160 --> 00:49:43,200
stream, which they put in place 
early September to fund the 

937
00:49:43,200 --> 00:49:47,800
Merchants and Gold project. 
Now, why would they do that? 

938
00:49:48,560 --> 00:49:52,120
What is it worth? 
Why don't we go for a trip back 

939
00:49:52,120 --> 00:49:54,560
in time? 
Because if I talk about it, it 

940
00:49:54,560 --> 00:49:57,560
doesn't do it justice. 
When we've got the merchants and

941
00:49:57,560 --> 00:50:03,000
gold expert Ally JC in our 
building everyday, why don't we 

942
00:50:03,000 --> 00:50:06,760
listen to the wise words of her?
Essentially, regardless of the 

943
00:50:06,760 --> 00:50:11,480
gold price, Auromet give Maker 
26,000,000 bucks to get $35 

944
00:50:11,480 --> 00:50:15,600
million roughly worth of gold 
over a 12 month period. 

945
00:50:16,040 --> 00:50:19,880
So that's a 35% return in a 
year? 

946
00:50:21,120 --> 00:50:22,760
For auromet. 
For Auromet. 

947
00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:24,120
Yeah. 
And. 

948
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:29,680
That's not including, but 
they've sold them some gold call

949
00:50:29,680 --> 00:50:34,640
options as well, and they're 
also getting 25,000,000 warrants

950
00:50:34,920 --> 00:50:38,800
from Maker, so that would sort 
of juice up their return even 

951
00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:42,440
more as well. 
That's a good deal, yes. 

952
00:50:43,800 --> 00:50:46,160
So then moving on to the gold 
stream, which we sort of touched

953
00:50:46,160 --> 00:50:49,240
on before, Maddie's Maker get 
$12 million from Oromet. 

954
00:50:49,600 --> 00:50:54,280
In exchange, they have to 
deliver 4.25% of the total gold 

955
00:50:54,280 --> 00:51:00,400
that they produce to Armet until
5000 ounces in total is 

956
00:51:00,400 --> 00:51:06,920
delivered to Armet and Armet by 
those oz at 20% of whatever the 

957
00:51:06,920 --> 00:51:09,680
prevailing spot price is at that
point in time. 

958
00:51:10,560 --> 00:51:14,800
Then they've actually got sort 
of an additional stream on top 

959
00:51:14,800 --> 00:51:18,040
of that. 
Once the 5000 oz from the main 

960
00:51:18,040 --> 00:51:22,000
gold stream is delivered then 
there is a what's called a tail 

961
00:51:22,000 --> 00:51:25,640
stream. 
So 1 1/2 percent of gold 

962
00:51:25,640 --> 00:51:29,040
produced for whatever the 
remaining life of mine 

963
00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:33,920
production profile is, they can 
purchase at the same price of 

964
00:51:33,920 --> 00:51:37,400
20% of the spot price. 
Make actually have the option to

965
00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:42,440
buy back 80% of the tail stream.
So that 1 1/2 percent component 

966
00:51:42,440 --> 00:51:47,480
I spoke about for $5,000,000 to 
reduce it to .3% of gold 

967
00:51:47,480 --> 00:51:49,280
production rather than 1 1/2 as 
well. 

968
00:51:50,320 --> 00:51:55,520
So if you assume the same Ford 
gold price we spoke about for 

969
00:51:55,520 --> 00:52:00,200
just shive 3900 Aussie. 
Armet. 

970
00:52:00,200 --> 00:52:04,240
Basically giving make it 12 
million to get back 15 and a 

971
00:52:04,240 --> 00:52:07,600
half million, you know, sort of 
worth of gold that that that's 

972
00:52:07,600 --> 00:52:14,040
the first 5000 oz. 
My very rough excel calcs on the

973
00:52:14,040 --> 00:52:18,480
gold loan and the gold stream 
inclusive of the tail stream 

974
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:23,040
based on the DFS production 
profile and that gold forward 

975
00:52:23,040 --> 00:52:28,360
price we discussed earlier. 
Just show 3900 and oz have aura 

976
00:52:28,360 --> 00:52:32,720
met generating at least a 30% 
IRR over the life of mine. 

977
00:52:32,720 --> 00:52:36,480
And that does not include, you 
know, the the call option and 

978
00:52:36,480 --> 00:52:39,560
doesn't include the warrants 
'cause that was too hard for me 

979
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:43,360
to figure out so. 
Good work, Ali. 

980
00:52:43,360 --> 00:52:45,560
GC plagiarism at its best, 
Matthew. 

981
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:51,160
So that's effectively, as we 
established Oramet do these 

982
00:52:51,160 --> 00:52:53,320
things, People like Oramet do 
these things because they make 

983
00:52:53,320 --> 00:52:56,200
money out of it. 
So raising the dosh now has 

984
00:52:56,200 --> 00:53:00,680
removed like all that extra 
margin that we're going to have 

985
00:53:00,680 --> 00:53:04,960
to pay Oramet for that funky, 
funky debt, you'd say. 

986
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:08,200
Obviously don't have to issue 
the 25,000,000 warrants now 

987
00:53:08,200 --> 00:53:11,560
either. 
And Ormed also had first ranking

988
00:53:11,560 --> 00:53:15,320
security over the maker assets 
as part of that gold line and 

989
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:17,560
gold stream. 
So no one has security over it 

990
00:53:17,560 --> 00:53:18,920
now. 
So yeah, I don't. 

991
00:53:18,920 --> 00:53:20,760
I don't mind. 
That to be honest, like, yeah, 

992
00:53:21,400 --> 00:53:26,120
we've seen so many times and 
like yeah, WA Gold history where

993
00:53:26,680 --> 00:53:30,440
there's just troubled 
negotiating with whoever's got 

994
00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:33,000
the senior secured. 
Like alone it's just they've got

995
00:53:33,000 --> 00:53:35,160
all these covenants and I'm not 
saying this won't have that, but

996
00:53:35,360 --> 00:53:37,040
yeah, it's just it's just better
and easier and you have more 

997
00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:39,960
flexibility to ride whatever 
comes at you without that in the

998
00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:41,640
cap structure. 
Yeah, so. 

999
00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:44,440
Like pending though, you assume 
they're going to fill the book 

1000
00:53:44,640 --> 00:53:47,840
and which you could, you know, 
bet me bottom dollar on that 

1001
00:53:48,560 --> 00:53:50,880
they're obviously saving a good 
chunk of future cash that would 

1002
00:53:50,880 --> 00:53:54,520
have otherwise went to Oremet, 
removed any risk association, 

1003
00:53:54,800 --> 00:53:59,160
risk associated with delivering 
the gold and security over the 

1004
00:53:59,160 --> 00:54:02,480
assets, fully equity funded, 
completely unhedged. 

1005
00:54:02,480 --> 00:54:05,800
And they've done this rise at a 
40% higher price than the 

1006
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:09,600
previous capital rise. 
So that because that 27 1/2 

1007
00:54:09,600 --> 00:54:14,480
bucks worth of cash 29th October
add another minimum 35 bucks to 

1008
00:54:14,480 --> 00:54:18,160
come in the door here. 
So 62 1/2 pro forma. 

1009
00:54:18,320 --> 00:54:22,640
So 22 mil of that is for working
capital buffer contingency, 

1010
00:54:22,640 --> 00:54:24,240
other working cap and corporate 
costs. 

1011
00:54:24,240 --> 00:54:28,560
Those big chunks still allocated
for that set up 5,000,000 bucks 

1012
00:54:28,560 --> 00:54:31,040
for an accelerated underground 
mining strategy. 

1013
00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:34,280
So it looks like they'll be re 
establishing and rehabbing and 

1014
00:54:34,280 --> 00:54:36,960
getting back into Andy well 
early next year. 

1015
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:40,280
That's obviously where the, you 
know, your high grade dirt is, 

1016
00:54:40,480 --> 00:54:44,040
higher grade dirt is. 
So if they can raise even more 

1017
00:54:44,040 --> 00:54:46,600
than 35, they're going to be in 
a pretty bloody good spot. 

1018
00:54:46,600 --> 00:54:51,880
So first goal will be due start 
of bang on the scheduled FY20 6 

1019
00:54:52,360 --> 00:54:54,520
Yeah, but you to be anticipating
they'll be pushing like 

1020
00:54:54,520 --> 00:54:56,520
motherfuckers to get poor and 
before then. 

1021
00:54:56,840 --> 00:55:00,840
So, yeah, I think, I think good 
equity support that we're saying

1022
00:55:00,960 --> 00:55:04,520
in the gold junior miners at the
moment. 

1023
00:55:05,160 --> 00:55:06,800
Great. 
All right, great for the 

1024
00:55:06,800 --> 00:55:09,960
industry in terms of because the
equity funding removes so much 

1025
00:55:09,960 --> 00:55:12,600
risk for the developers 
themselves, more tents for them 

1026
00:55:12,600 --> 00:55:15,960
succeeding, a lot less risk for 
the mining services companies 

1027
00:55:16,240 --> 00:55:18,680
that are supporting those 
developers and working for them.

1028
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:21,200
Because how many situations have
you seen recently where a 

1029
00:55:21,200 --> 00:55:24,480
developer is debt funded, the 
lender calls on the debt, the 

1030
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:27,160
mining services companies are at
the bottom of the barrel trying 

1031
00:55:27,160 --> 00:55:30,840
to get paid. 
This is what we call a true win 

1032
00:55:30,840 --> 00:55:33,640
win. 
Yeah, and Caledis is like the 

1033
00:55:33,640 --> 00:55:35,480
distressed example that comes to
mind, right. 

1034
00:55:35,560 --> 00:55:38,760
In that case they they put so 
much debt in there. 

1035
00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:40,520
I think it was maybe an 
intentional strategy, but they 

1036
00:55:40,560 --> 00:55:44,640
also like getting the equity was
hard Yaka for them it was like 

1037
00:55:44,640 --> 00:55:48,120
they could their market cap was 
so kind of de minimis relative 

1038
00:55:48,120 --> 00:55:52,160
to you know it was it was always
a bit on demanding that the way 

1039
00:55:52,160 --> 00:55:54,680
that could actually get that 
bill was with a maximum debt 

1040
00:55:54,680 --> 00:55:58,400
funding kind of structure. 
So I don't like things are 

1041
00:55:58,400 --> 00:56:00,920
different now because gold price
is humming to the extent where 

1042
00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:04,480
you don't you can just fully 
equity fund the the restart and 

1043
00:56:04,560 --> 00:56:07,320
and development here, which is 
yeah, I just don't you're not 

1044
00:56:07,320 --> 00:56:09,400
going to get situations like 
calories, right because it's 

1045
00:56:09,680 --> 00:56:11,760
equity. 
It's just worst case scenario 

1046
00:56:11,760 --> 00:56:13,280
you raise more money. 
Good on them. 

1047
00:56:13,480 --> 00:56:15,960
Good work. 
Oh, go under the fucking 

1048
00:56:15,960 --> 00:56:18,400
underground. 
Love it, love it. 

1049
00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:20,440
Love mineral mining services, 
buddy. 

1050
00:56:20,440 --> 00:56:24,360
Tell you what maker you want. 
Another mention, highly 

1051
00:56:24,360 --> 00:56:26,160
recommend giving MMS to the 
contract. 

1052
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:27,840
Means a screenshot. 
Fuck. 

1053
00:56:27,840 --> 00:56:30,480
Can't make it any simpler boys. 
Who else? 

1054
00:56:30,760 --> 00:56:31,960
Who else should they get on 
board mate? 

1055
00:56:32,680 --> 00:56:36,640
Well, they should grounded for a
bit of a refurb of the camp or 

1056
00:56:36,640 --> 00:56:39,120
an expansion. 
If they find more gold cross 

1057
00:56:39,120 --> 00:56:42,240
boundary energy for the hybrid 
power station up there, that'd 

1058
00:56:42,240 --> 00:56:44,680
be a wise move. 
Obviously Sambic Ground supports

1059
00:56:44,680 --> 00:56:49,320
what's going to be going into 
Andy Well mate, Steve Tarr will 

1060
00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:52,520
broker probably the best 
insurance policy with absolutely

1061
00:56:52,520 --> 00:56:56,920
no holes in it for the merchants
and gold project Greenlands. 

1062
00:56:57,640 --> 00:57:01,320
I have feeling they've been used
already up at Maker so well done

1063
00:57:01,320 --> 00:57:04,720
Maker Kay Drill. 
Hey, you can't find it. 

1064
00:57:04,920 --> 00:57:09,200
You can't find too much gold, 
can you go find a bit more buddy

1065
00:57:09,200 --> 00:57:11,320
MMTS. 
They probably got the tenements 

1066
00:57:11,680 --> 00:57:14,880
for him when they chucked it in 
the back door to into the shell.

1067
00:57:14,880 --> 00:57:17,560
Anyway, that's a given buddy 
race will get up there. 

1068
00:57:17,560 --> 00:57:21,080
He'll he'll start clearing for 
whatever they need just to get 

1069
00:57:21,080 --> 00:57:24,000
this humming. 
So first goal before FY20 6 

1070
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,440
easily, if Australian earthworks
and all that you're helping you 

1071
00:57:26,800 --> 00:57:29,240
And as we said, we've just 
watched the maker share price go

1072
00:57:29,320 --> 00:57:31,440
up on the spark chart. 
Who drew? 

1073
00:57:31,720 --> 00:57:35,440
Who drew money minus and in this
episode of Money of Mine is of 

1074
00:57:35,440 --> 00:57:37,480
general nature only and does not
take into account the 

1075
00:57:37,480 --> 00:57:41,080
objectives, financial situation 
or needs of any particular 

1076
00:57:41,080 --> 00:57:43,120
person. 
Before making any investment 

1077
00:57:43,120 --> 00:57:46,200
decision, you should consult 
with your financial advisor and 

1078
00:57:46,200 --> 00:57:49,320
consider how appropriate the 
advice is to your objectives, 

1079
00:57:49,560 --> 00:57:51,520
financial situation and needs.
