1
00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:04,040
So I'm, I'm just very curious to
see AI mean like this is, it's 

2
00:00:04,040 --> 00:00:06,560
just a leak at this stage. 
There's no binding deal on the 

3
00:00:06,560 --> 00:00:08,840
table, although the rumour is DD
is underway. 

4
00:00:09,200 --> 00:00:12,400
But if, if it actually 
translates to an agreed deal, 

5
00:00:13,120 --> 00:00:16,160
super interested to see if 
there's, you know, more of this 

6
00:00:16,160 --> 00:00:19,640
and like, is this a way that I 
can recycle some, some capital 

7
00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:23,560
and and endure? 
Righto buddy miners, we're 

8
00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:25,760
giving bloody. 
We'll give gold a rest today. 

9
00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:29,160
We'll get it's bit of lithium. 
The Indians want in on lithium. 

10
00:00:29,160 --> 00:00:34,040
We've got bloody, we've got 
Lavato the OHH, the small cap 

11
00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:38,600
that's now in the All Ords and 
we've also got a bit of 

12
00:00:38,600 --> 00:00:40,840
Adriatic. 
A corporate update and you want 

13
00:00:40,840 --> 00:00:43,720
a corporate update at 
underground operators next week 

14
00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:47,360
from the Samvic team, their 
bloody tent and hopefully Derek 

15
00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:50,280
Herb will be there talking 
everything Samvic ground sport. 

16
00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:51,760
Tell me about the. 
Ground sport. 

17
00:00:51,800 --> 00:00:55,760
I cannot wait to just stand in 
front of that booth whether they

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00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:58,040
want me there or not. 
I can't wait. 

19
00:00:59,120 --> 00:01:02,520
I can't wait for that. 
I can't wait to to just hear 

20
00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:03,920
about the innovation that 
they've got underway. 

21
00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:06,160
There's gotta be selfies coming 
everywhere mate. 

22
00:01:06,160 --> 00:01:09,000
I wanna, I wanna see their new 
dynamic Bolt. 

23
00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:11,920
I'm sure that's gonna be 
showcased at the conference. 

24
00:01:11,920 --> 00:01:14,800
Bloody just an old school split 
set I can walk around with 

25
00:01:15,000 --> 00:01:18,560
fending off fans with don't. 
Forget the chemical innovation, 

26
00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:20,680
Oh mate, there's a whole bunch 
of different products coming out

27
00:01:20,680 --> 00:01:22,720
that aren't even bolts. 
Well, you won't even. 

28
00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:24,840
They've probably got resin 
there, but you won't even know 

29
00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:26,200
'cause you can't. 
Smell it? 

30
00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:29,360
Amazing, but. 
I'm jealous you get to see the 

31
00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:33,160
€1 billion man mate, enjoy it. 
And the free set and the free 

32
00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:35,960
ground support division that 
come with him, right? 

33
00:01:35,960 --> 00:01:38,440
Let's take it away. 
The Indian groups that won in on

34
00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:41,240
lithium and notably Australian 
lithium. 

35
00:01:41,320 --> 00:01:44,800
This is yeah, this is the story 
broken in Reuters a few days 

36
00:01:44,800 --> 00:01:47,320
ago. 
And, and their Intel or insight 

37
00:01:47,320 --> 00:01:50,240
was that a consortium of four 
Indian state firms they're 

38
00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:56,000
looking to collectively acquire 
20% stake in SQM Australia's 

39
00:01:56,200 --> 00:02:01,720
lithium assets being a 30% stake
in Andover and a 50% stake in in

40
00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:04,080
Mount Holland. 
The, the article kind of goes on

41
00:02:04,080 --> 00:02:06,240
to say that, you know, due 
diligence is on and the 

42
00:02:06,240 --> 00:02:09,720
companies have expressed their 
interest with an initial offer. 

43
00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:13,600
And the, and the number that's 
quoted here is 600 million U.S. 

44
00:02:13,600 --> 00:02:15,760
dollars, right? 
This is interesting for a bunch 

45
00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:20,200
of reasons, but the the thing I 
wanted to focus on to for our 

46
00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,600
discussion today is actually 
just valuation. 

47
00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,880
Because if there's a decent see 
through, you know, value on the 

48
00:02:25,880 --> 00:02:28,800
table here, that has some some 
pretty big flow on effects for, 

49
00:02:28,800 --> 00:02:32,320
for not just, you know, SQM, but
other other WA lithium Hard Rock

50
00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:34,240
players at the moment too. 
Yeah. 

51
00:02:34,240 --> 00:02:36,880
And considering what was paid 
for Andover, what the bid was 

52
00:02:36,880 --> 00:02:40,520
for Kathleen Valley back in the 
day and 600 million to wrap up 

53
00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:43,640
all those stakes, I'd like to 
see what you come up with here. 

54
00:02:43,760 --> 00:02:46,560
Yeah. 
So, so this is, it's, it's look 

55
00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:51,200
US 600 million is, is roughly 
950 million Australian dollars. 

56
00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,680
So that would, that would imply 
evaluation if you, if you 

57
00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:57,280
multiply that by 5, because if 
they only want a 20% stakes, 

58
00:02:57,280 --> 00:03:01,840
that would imply a, a valuation 
of 4.75 billion Australian 

59
00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:05,600
dollars for SQMS kind of you 
know, entire lithium Australia 

60
00:03:05,600 --> 00:03:07,600
business of those those two 
assets. 

61
00:03:08,000 --> 00:03:11,200
So I am keen to kind of 
contextualise this here because 

62
00:03:11,960 --> 00:03:16,080
just think about 18 months ago 
Azua was gobbled up by Gina and 

63
00:03:16,080 --> 00:03:19,120
SQM together for, for what was 
you know, a fully diluted equity

64
00:03:19,120 --> 00:03:22,680
value of of 1.62 billion 
Australian dollars. 

65
00:03:22,680 --> 00:03:26,600
That that implied that SQ Ms. 
share of of Andover would be 

66
00:03:26,600 --> 00:03:31,640
worth 810 million / 2 right. 
And 20% of SQM share, which is 

67
00:03:31,640 --> 00:03:34,320
what the Indians would would 
effectively be be be buying as 

68
00:03:34,320 --> 00:03:38,080
part of it would be worth 1/5 of
that or 162 million Australian 

69
00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:41,320
dollars. 
And that that's for 60% of the 

70
00:03:41,320 --> 00:03:44,080
project because crazy's got 
still got the 40. 

71
00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:46,200
Correct. 
So that's, that's effective. 

72
00:03:46,400 --> 00:03:50,040
That's that, that number that 
I've deduced there is SQM, but 

73
00:03:50,040 --> 00:03:53,280
they're going to have 30%. 
But but you know, 1/5 of that is

74
00:03:53,280 --> 00:03:55,120
what the the Indians effectively
be buying. 

75
00:03:56,400 --> 00:03:59,160
So I'm trying to, I'm trying to 
contextualise that 162 and then 

76
00:03:59,400 --> 00:04:02,240
trying to figure out, OK, so 
what's, what's the, what's the 

77
00:04:02,240 --> 00:04:05,360
Mount Holland value here? 
And really frustratingly 

78
00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:08,480
analysts that cover SQM, they 
don't value it's mining assets 

79
00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:10,880
on a sum of the parts basis. 
They don't do DCFS on it. 

80
00:04:11,400 --> 00:04:13,480
They group the lithium segment 
and they apply this like 

81
00:04:13,480 --> 00:04:17,200
chemicals multiple on, on 
EBITDA, which is really 

82
00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:19,120
frustrating. 
So you know, I just wanted to 

83
00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:21,519
see what the Street was valuing 
Mount Holland at. 

84
00:04:21,519 --> 00:04:24,800
And of course you just get 
clueless when you're looking at 

85
00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:27,760
the analyst coverage. 
So I went to Wesfarmers and same

86
00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:30,480
thing. 
Good luck finding a single NAV 

87
00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:32,920
estimate of of Mount Holland by 
reading Wesley's analyst 

88
00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:34,040
coverage. 
It's a big conglomerate. 

89
00:04:34,720 --> 00:04:37,400
It's doesn't doesn't quite cut 
the mustard with Bunnings, does 

90
00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:41,200
it? 
No, the closest you'll find like

91
00:04:41,200 --> 00:04:44,480
you can, you can see JP Morgan 
estimating ramp up of Mount 

92
00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:47,600
Holland to take 12 months longer
than the the planned 18 month 

93
00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:49,840
management target on and on 
their numbers. 

94
00:04:49,840 --> 00:04:52,640
Mount Holland isn't even 
positive until FY20 7. 

95
00:04:53,240 --> 00:04:56,160
Flash up a chart here. 
So I'll look through Wesley's 

96
00:04:56,160 --> 00:04:58,720
annual reports. 
And I was just trying to see how

97
00:04:58,720 --> 00:05:02,440
much money like they and, and 
SQM have have sunk into, into, 

98
00:05:02,480 --> 00:05:04,640
you know, building, building the
mine. 

99
00:05:05,400 --> 00:05:08,960
And by reading a bunch of the 
statements and, and everything 

100
00:05:08,960 --> 00:05:11,760
like in the last few statements 
specifically, they've, they've 

101
00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:15,240
constantly brought up a 
potential impairment on Mount 

102
00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:17,520
Holland. 
If, if their assumptions on the,

103
00:05:17,680 --> 00:05:19,680
on the lithium market aren't 
accurate, but they, they get to 

104
00:05:19,680 --> 00:05:22,560
actually impair it. 
But yeah, I kept kind of 

105
00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:25,080
trolling through and, and trying
to pick up a bit of a, a 

106
00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:29,440
ballpark number of what at least
the carrying value of, of, of 

107
00:05:29,440 --> 00:05:33,160
Mount Holland is. 
And so Wesley, they paid 760 

108
00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:38,800
776,000,000 for their 50% of 
that project when they acquired 

109
00:05:38,800 --> 00:05:41,800
Kidman in 2019. 
And since then they've sunk 

110
00:05:41,800 --> 00:05:47,080
ballpark 1.5 billion Australian 
into into building their share 

111
00:05:47,080 --> 00:05:52,000
of the mine and the refinery. 
So Shum shum SQ Ms. 50% has kind

112
00:05:52,000 --> 00:05:55,840
of a you know, the same, the 
same carrying value that'll be 

113
00:05:56,120 --> 00:05:59,880
yeah, two 2.3 billion all up in 
Australian dollars. 

114
00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:04,040
Hence if you want to get 20% of 
that, which is which is the 

115
00:06:04,040 --> 00:06:07,040
reason what the Indians would be
acquiring here, 20% of 2.3 

116
00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:09,200
million is 450 million 
Australian dollars. 

117
00:06:09,720 --> 00:06:14,280
So All in all, 450 million for 
for you know, for the for the 

118
00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:18,320
Mount Mount Holland minority 
interest and plus 160 million 

119
00:06:18,360 --> 00:06:21,920
for the for the Andover minority
interest equals 610 million 

120
00:06:21,920 --> 00:06:25,000
Australian dollars. 
That's that's kind of rough math

121
00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,840
kind of carrying value of those 
two assets as as I interpret it.

122
00:06:28,840 --> 00:06:31,760
And remember the, the Reuters 
rumour said 600 million US or 

123
00:06:31,760 --> 00:06:35,680
950 million Australians. 
So on my, on my in a very rough 

124
00:06:35,680 --> 00:06:39,960
Bush math, this Indian offer, if
the number's right, would be a 

125
00:06:39,960 --> 00:06:42,480
pretty, a pretty attractive 
premium to the sunk capital or 

126
00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:44,520
the carrying value of these 
assets. 

127
00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:47,440
And, and remember, like the end 
over deal was done during 

128
00:06:47,440 --> 00:06:49,960
Lithuania. 
Like no way would that same deal

129
00:06:49,960 --> 00:06:52,480
get, get, you know, go through 
for the same price that it, that

130
00:06:52,480 --> 00:06:54,440
it did, you know, 18 months ago 
like it did. 

131
00:06:55,240 --> 00:06:58,040
And Kathleen Valley, like, 
sorry, not Kathleen Valley, 

132
00:06:58,400 --> 00:07:01,320
Mount Holland, Yeah, I mean, 
it's not profitable at the 

133
00:07:01,320 --> 00:07:04,040
moment. 
So you kind of this, this, this 

134
00:07:04,480 --> 00:07:07,600
offer from the Indians, if the 
value is right, yada, yada, then

135
00:07:07,800 --> 00:07:10,120
it's a pretty, it's a pretty 
healthy kind of, it's a pretty 

136
00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:12,920
healthy deal on the table. 
You know, of course the, the, 

137
00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:15,640
the the Indian consortium, 
they're going to want the 

138
00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:17,800
product and marketing rights 
that comes with their respective

139
00:07:17,960 --> 00:07:20,440
ownership percentage. 
But yeah. 

140
00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:23,520
And the other thing about the 
Reuters, the Reuters article, it

141
00:07:23,520 --> 00:07:28,720
makes no, no mention of Kwinana.
And so I don't know if the the 

142
00:07:28,720 --> 00:07:32,160
interest kind of covers that any
respective share of you know, 

143
00:07:32,160 --> 00:07:35,440
Covalence hydroxide facility 
which is, which is being built 

144
00:07:35,440 --> 00:07:38,280
in Commission there. 
But if, if the value is true, 

145
00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:42,120
like it's just a, it's a massive
kind of vote of confidence in 

146
00:07:42,120 --> 00:07:45,520
the value of FWA Hard Rock 
assets, which are are really in 

147
00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:49,160
the doldrum right now. 
Yeah, absolutely. 

148
00:07:49,160 --> 00:07:52,480
It's it's huge. 
I mean, just to go on from what 

149
00:07:52,480 --> 00:07:55,360
you said there, I, I would 
assume given the way the article

150
00:07:55,360 --> 00:07:57,720
was written and stuff, and it's 
pretty, it's pretty early days 

151
00:07:57,720 --> 00:07:59,600
and everything. 
But the way it's kind of sounds 

152
00:07:59,600 --> 00:08:02,480
is that they're after that stake
in Covalent, which is the same 

153
00:08:02,480 --> 00:08:06,680
entity that owns the Mount 
Holland stake and the refinery 

154
00:08:06,680 --> 00:08:08,560
as well. 
And given everything that's 

155
00:08:08,560 --> 00:08:10,800
happened since those 
transactions and you know, the, 

156
00:08:10,920 --> 00:08:14,000
the way you're talking about it 
being a carrying value, you 

157
00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:16,000
know, you're not really taking 
into account that everyone else 

158
00:08:16,000 --> 00:08:19,720
that has tried to go downstream 
hasn't had too much success in 

159
00:08:19,720 --> 00:08:22,600
WA. 
So those numbers and like you 

160
00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:26,480
said, super early days are a lot
higher than I would have 

161
00:08:26,480 --> 00:08:29,520
suspected. 
Totally think about, think 

162
00:08:29,520 --> 00:08:33,720
about, think about min res right
now, like if they could, if they

163
00:08:33,720 --> 00:08:36,880
could sell down a 20% stake of 
their, if their, you know, W 

164
00:08:36,880 --> 00:08:40,640
Australian lithium Hard Rock 
business to, to an Indian group 

165
00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:43,760
for, you know, when, when these 
are the kind of numbers on the 

166
00:08:43,760 --> 00:08:47,960
table, That's that that'd, 
that'd be a huge, a huge win for

167
00:08:47,960 --> 00:08:49,160
them. 
If if the equivalent kind of 

168
00:08:49,160 --> 00:08:50,240
deal's on the table. 
It doesn't. 

169
00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:52,080
The Reuters league doesn't say 
it's on the table. 

170
00:08:52,080 --> 00:08:54,440
But heck, if I was at Monrez, 
I'd be doing everything I could 

171
00:08:54,440 --> 00:08:57,800
to try and to try. 
Fine, yeah, to try and try and 

172
00:08:57,800 --> 00:09:00,040
get an equivalent deal on the 
table for for me. 

173
00:09:00,800 --> 00:09:04,120
Even even a 50% premium on all 
their minority interests 

174
00:09:04,320 --> 00:09:06,280
collectively, I'd reckon they'd 
take that. 

175
00:09:06,840 --> 00:09:10,560
Yeah, totally. 
It's, it's, it's a yeah. 

176
00:09:10,600 --> 00:09:14,200
And we, we, we kind of saw, see 
similar stuff whenever there's 

177
00:09:14,200 --> 00:09:16,680
these minority sell downs of 
the, of the, the big kind of 

178
00:09:16,680 --> 00:09:19,000
copper assets. 
There's, there's an entity, 

179
00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:21,200
strategic entities who have a 
strategic interest and they've 

180
00:09:21,200 --> 00:09:22,920
got a much different kind of 
cost of capital. 

181
00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:27,160
And, and are willing to have to,
to, to buy a, a minority 

182
00:09:27,160 --> 00:09:31,360
interest for a much higher 
implied valuation than the 

183
00:09:31,360 --> 00:09:34,120
market is giving that company 
kind of credit for at that point

184
00:09:34,120 --> 00:09:38,400
in time, which, yeah, can really
assist any, any cash flow 

185
00:09:38,400 --> 00:09:41,000
dynamics that the companies 
might be, might be having. 

186
00:09:41,000 --> 00:09:44,720
So I'm, I'm just very curious to
say I, I mean, like this is, 

187
00:09:44,840 --> 00:09:47,520
it's just a leak at this stage. 
There's no binding deal on the 

188
00:09:47,520 --> 00:09:50,840
table, although the rumour is 
DDS underway, But if, if it 

189
00:09:50,960 --> 00:09:53,400
actually translates to an agreed
deal. 

190
00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,120
Super interested to see if 
there's, you know, more of this 

191
00:09:57,120 --> 00:10:02,160
And, and also if, if, yeah, if, 
if, if any of the, the lithium 

192
00:10:02,160 --> 00:10:05,920
producers out there who are 
either having kind of cash flow 

193
00:10:05,920 --> 00:10:09,280
challenges or a forecast to have
cash flow challenges like is 

194
00:10:09,280 --> 00:10:12,640
this a way that they can recycle
some, some capital and, and 

195
00:10:12,640 --> 00:10:16,160
endure, endure the storm? 
I think, and if you go back to 

196
00:10:16,160 --> 00:10:20,760
that and I've saw a lot the 
so-called lithomania, it was 

197
00:10:21,000 --> 00:10:24,680
majority of that was driven by, 
you know, M and a hype 

198
00:10:25,080 --> 00:10:28,200
speculation, yeah, not 
speculation, but like M and a 

199
00:10:28,240 --> 00:10:32,240
activity like the underlying 
lithium process dropped a shit 

200
00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:34,360
load from the highs. 
But it was all just everyone 

201
00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:39,960
trying to the the rush to get 
ground something like this, 

202
00:10:39,960 --> 00:10:42,720
which could you know, 
potentially create a bit of 

203
00:10:43,040 --> 00:10:45,640
momentum in that is like you're 
just saying what happened in 

204
00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:50,800
lithium previously purely 
dictated by M&A, not the actual 

205
00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:53,280
price. 
So whether this might get the 

206
00:10:53,280 --> 00:10:55,880
ball rolling again for that 
price, irrelevant. 

207
00:10:55,880 --> 00:10:59,600
We're about to find out. 
But they might be all licking 

208
00:10:59,600 --> 00:11:01,520
their lips a bit. 
The old lift pools. 

209
00:11:02,240 --> 00:11:04,920
What are they called the the? 
Bag lift bag holders, you'd say?

210
00:11:06,880 --> 00:11:10,760
Just to add to the the broader 
point, I think action we've seen

211
00:11:10,760 --> 00:11:13,520
from Indian groups around the 
world is really interesting and 

212
00:11:13,520 --> 00:11:15,560
that's a trend that I think 
continues. 

213
00:11:15,560 --> 00:11:17,080
Australia's not the first spot 
they've looked. 

214
00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:21,120
They've tried to tie up deals in
Argentina, in Chile as well. 

215
00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:24,520
Even in Africa, in the DRC in 
particular, they're trying to do

216
00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:27,880
more deals. 
India is a like a huge component

217
00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:32,880
of a lot of analysts growth, you
know, global GDP growth and 

218
00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:35,200
these sorts of things over the 
longer term. 

219
00:11:35,200 --> 00:11:39,400
So to see them start to kind of 
mimic what what China did 20 

220
00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:43,560
plus years ago is an interesting
kind of different take on on 

221
00:11:43,560 --> 00:11:46,320
what they're doing here. 
What do you? 

222
00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:49,400
What is, what's your prediction 
do you think? 

223
00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,640
I just watched it, reckon it's 
going to come through or what is

224
00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:55,280
it going to be a get the ball? 
Is it going to start a bit of 

225
00:11:55,280 --> 00:12:00,200
momentum or it's it's probably 
the first thing of recent times 

226
00:12:00,200 --> 00:12:03,920
that we've seen anything related
to strategic investment in 

227
00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:07,560
Australian lithium of light? 
Yeah, it would be, I think. 

228
00:12:07,600 --> 00:12:12,120
I think it's just wait and see 
because you can't, you can't get

229
00:12:12,120 --> 00:12:14,160
the vote of confidence until 
this is a binding deal on the 

230
00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:16,280
table. 
And then all of a sudden maybe 

231
00:12:16,280 --> 00:12:18,760
you can extrapolate to the to 
the other producers and, and 

232
00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:21,920
back out a see through value, 
which is, which is on their, you

233
00:12:21,920 --> 00:12:25,000
know, lithium portfolios, which 
is, you know, either either more

234
00:12:25,000 --> 00:12:27,400
attractive than the market is, 
is appreciating or in or in 

235
00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:29,400
line. 
And and if, if they just have a 

236
00:12:29,400 --> 00:12:32,440
pathway to actually unlock some 
of that capital and avoid kind 

237
00:12:32,440 --> 00:12:35,880
of short term funding squeeze 
because of, of, of market 

238
00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:40,480
conditions, that'd be awesome. 
But we've got no indication 

239
00:12:40,480 --> 00:12:44,080
whether there's this deal is, is
going to be binding or if it's 

240
00:12:44,080 --> 00:12:45,560
going to lead to future deals as
well. 

241
00:12:45,760 --> 00:12:47,360
Yeah. 
What do you reckon is going to 

242
00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,440
you guys, Jadie? 
Just to your point on strategic 

243
00:12:50,440 --> 00:12:52,600
investment, the only other like 
party that would have been keen 

244
00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,160
lately is the Chinese and 
there's just no way that that 

245
00:12:55,160 --> 00:12:56,920
was going to happen in 
Australia. 

246
00:12:57,600 --> 00:13:00,320
So yeah. 
Are we interested to see what 

247
00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:04,680
happens with Christie's 40% 
stake in Andover at whatever 

248
00:13:04,680 --> 00:13:06,320
point if things do start heating
up? 

249
00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:11,040
Because that's a yeah unless he 
just keeps it forever, but he'd 

250
00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:16,560
think some that'd be a bit of a 
hot Ave. that people would mobs 

251
00:13:16,560 --> 00:13:19,400
like this would be going after. 
Yeah, especially when it comes 

252
00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:23,240
to CapEx time, that's when 
that's when we might see 

253
00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:24,440
something come up front. 
He's like I. 

254
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:26,320
Don't want to, Yeah, I don't 
want to pay all that. 

255
00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:27,760
Yeah, well, he doesn't have to 
pay. 

256
00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:31,120
Remember, his stake, there's no,
he doesn't have to pay it all 

257
00:13:31,120 --> 00:13:34,160
for any of the the, the drill 
out of the resource, all of the 

258
00:13:34,160 --> 00:13:37,440
work until that decision to mine
is, is made. 

259
00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:39,680
So he's kind of value is getting
added to that project in the 

260
00:13:39,680 --> 00:13:41,960
interim and and he gets to 
benefit that without selling his

261
00:13:41,960 --> 00:13:43,040
steak. 
Yeah, yeah. 

262
00:13:43,840 --> 00:13:45,520
Frozen. 
Oh well, that's it. 

263
00:13:45,640 --> 00:13:49,720
Good old NSW. 
God, it's funny how this is 

264
00:13:50,400 --> 00:13:52,920
this. 
This probably could come in as 

265
00:13:52,920 --> 00:13:58,160
one of your best value deals 
going around JD 'cause once I 

266
00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,880
put those numbers out, you'll 
bloody fall off your chair. 

267
00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:03,920
So as you said, love auto. 
You look at the price here, 

268
00:14:03,920 --> 00:14:08,600
they're nearly I think they're 
$400 million market cap now and 

269
00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,640
you're I still remember, I mean 
it was in Lithomania. 

270
00:14:11,640 --> 00:14:15,560
They would love auto were 
drilling for bugger all down in 

271
00:14:15,560 --> 00:14:18,800
the Dundas region. 
I think down in the South of WA 

272
00:14:18,800 --> 00:14:23,080
they'll just a lithium 
exploration company and they did

273
00:14:23,080 --> 00:14:25,560
it, They've done a deal and I'll
go through the numbers. 

274
00:14:25,560 --> 00:14:28,880
They pretty much paid 8,000,000 
bucks for this Hill Grove 

275
00:14:29,080 --> 00:14:33,720
Antimony gold mine in NSW and 
now the companies worth 400 mil.

276
00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:37,160
But we'll go go through the 
things like Antimony it it was 

277
00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:41,440
the no, it wasn't it touted as 
the best performing commodity 

278
00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:44,360
last year. 
It it it had an absolute ripping

279
00:14:44,640 --> 00:14:47,480
year last year, correct. 
Yeah, previously, you know, a, 

280
00:14:47,480 --> 00:14:50,040
a, a drag for people that have 
been attracted to it. 

281
00:14:50,120 --> 00:14:53,120
It's even had the nickname Anti 
Money before, but you, yeah, 

282
00:14:53,120 --> 00:14:56,240
Lovato's turned that around. 
Yeah, yeah, well, I think it's, 

283
00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:59,720
oh God, I think when they bought
it, it was well, sub of 10,000 

284
00:14:59,720 --> 00:15:03,320
USA tonne for antimony and now 
it's $40,000 US tonne. 

285
00:15:03,320 --> 00:15:07,000
It's not the easiest commodity 
to find a price chart for, I 

286
00:15:07,000 --> 00:15:09,600
won't lie, but it's gone up a 
bloody shit load. 

287
00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:15,080
And I guess it was on the back 
of early December last year is 

288
00:15:15,080 --> 00:15:19,880
was when China banned the export
of antimony to the US, which is 

289
00:15:19,880 --> 00:15:23,480
what really gave it the bloody 
momentum to where it is now. 

290
00:15:23,840 --> 00:15:25,640
Now everyone's drilling for 
antimony. 

291
00:15:25,880 --> 00:15:29,080
So this was so this was actually
the first well did VAC work 

292
00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:33,880
there in 2009 at uni when 
Straits Resources held it and 

293
00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:39,200
Straits had just put it 
effectively it was it wasn't 

294
00:15:39,200 --> 00:15:42,240
full care and maintenance, but 
it went from when I got there, 

295
00:15:42,240 --> 00:15:46,720
there was just a skeleton crew 
on doing still pushing a decline

296
00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:49,240
wasn't any production. 
They just really trenched deeper

297
00:15:49,240 --> 00:15:51,640
people like. 
Did they call it a gold mine 

298
00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:54,080
back then? 
No, it was, it was always known 

299
00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:57,280
as one of the IT was a gold 
antimony mine. 

300
00:15:57,480 --> 00:16:01,920
Yeah, and it was, it was always 
one of the only ones in 

301
00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:05,600
Australia. 
The other ones, Kosterfield, 

302
00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:11,280
which is Mandalay Resources down
in Victoria, so they've one of 

303
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:14,240
their reserves, they've got 
about 1010 1/2 thousand tons of 

304
00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:16,760
antimony. 
You see the reserves of Hill 

305
00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:19,640
Graves that they've got at the 
moment, they've got about 39,000

306
00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:23,880
tonne, 1000 tonne of antimony 
with a bit pretty similar 

307
00:16:24,640 --> 00:16:28,120
grades, a bit lower, but it's I 
think Foster Field produces 

308
00:16:28,160 --> 00:16:30,960
antimony as a byproduct. 
You've got the other ones that 

309
00:16:31,600 --> 00:16:36,560
Southern Cross Gold that's been 
the the balter that's they, they

310
00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:38,000
haven't got a reserve out or 
anything. 

311
00:16:38,000 --> 00:16:39,600
That's going to be an 
interesting one to wrap a 

312
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:42,160
reserve around with all the 
bloody veins going everywhere. 

313
00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:47,760
That's a bit that's .9% antimony
on their exploration target. 

314
00:16:47,760 --> 00:16:51,960
So, but I think this like, you 
know, hill Groves set to in 

315
00:16:51,960 --> 00:16:56,040
their study, if it if they hit 
the numbers to that's going to 

316
00:16:56,040 --> 00:16:58,280
supply 9% of the world's 
antimony. 

317
00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:03,000
So it shows it's not a, not a 
big bloody, it's a market that's

318
00:17:03,840 --> 00:17:07,119
controlled by, you guessed at 
China, 80% of the world's 

319
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:12,040
antimony comes out of China. 
So, so they, they acquired this 

320
00:17:13,200 --> 00:17:16,240
project and it was sort of 
before antimony. 

321
00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:21,760
The, the price hadn't moved yet 
as much as it did now. 

322
00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:24,079
And they acquired it for 
8,000,000 bucks. 

323
00:17:24,079 --> 00:17:28,640
So $3,000,000 purchase price 
plus $5,000,000 for replacement 

324
00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:30,920
of government bonds. 
And it come out of Red River. 

325
00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:36,040
So Red River went into 
administration based due to 

326
00:17:36,040 --> 00:17:39,400
their Thalanga copper projects 
up in Queensland. 

327
00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:42,200
Yeah. 
And you say that there was a 

328
00:17:42,400 --> 00:17:46,200
shares issued to in the 
investment in the transaction. 

329
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:49,320
Shares were issued to traffic 
euro two and a half million 

330
00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:53,080
dollars at .07 cents in Lavato 
which is now a dollar. 

331
00:17:53,080 --> 00:17:58,120
So they were, they were one of 
the creditors for Red River and 

332
00:17:58,120 --> 00:18:01,280
then they agreed to convert some
of the debt into shares in 

333
00:18:01,280 --> 00:18:02,640
Lovato. 
Hope they still got them. 

334
00:18:03,080 --> 00:18:06,520
Which I, I, I, I'm pretty sure 
they do. 

335
00:18:06,680 --> 00:18:10,600
I'm pretty sure they do. 
I couldn't say it's all do they 

336
00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:14,480
try is I'll see there's like one
of the substantials holders like

337
00:18:14,480 --> 00:18:17,880
Bank of Nova Scotia. 
Would traffic Europe be under 

338
00:18:17,880 --> 00:18:18,560
that? 
I couldn't. 

339
00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,640
It was the first time I looked 
at it today, so bear with me. 

340
00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:24,600
Yeah. 
And like another there was the 

341
00:18:24,600 --> 00:18:26,720
one of the, I guess the 
cornerstone investor that come 

342
00:18:26,720 --> 00:18:33,120
in for 20% of Lavodo was Gauge 
Capital Management of Beijing. 

343
00:18:33,120 --> 00:18:35,600
So it's like a sort of a Chinese
major holder. 

344
00:18:35,600 --> 00:18:38,320
I think they're back at about 15
and a bit percent now holder of 

345
00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:42,360
Lavodo. 
So yeah, and it was and you look

346
00:18:42,360 --> 00:18:45,440
at what like straights 
resources. 

347
00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:48,880
So straights actually become 
effectively became heiress. 

348
00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:53,920
So they actually sold it to 
Bracken in 2013 for 27 and a 

349
00:18:53,920 --> 00:18:56,920
half million. 
So these guys have picked it up 

350
00:18:57,320 --> 00:19:00,760
for effectively 8 million plus 
the traffic year shares they 

351
00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:04,400
issued. 
And it's just talk about perfect

352
00:19:04,400 --> 00:19:09,880
timing for as I said, the 
antimony process is effectively 

353
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:14,280
5X and yeah, that's how they've 
bloody ended up with it. 

354
00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:18,680
So it's and you, you look at the
commodity when they did the 

355
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:24,560
actual project study the the OR 
reserve and the pay FS, it was 

356
00:19:24,560 --> 00:19:30,440
based on spot price of 2350. 
This was spot at the time US 

357
00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:36,200
2350 for gold and $23,000 a 
tonne for antimony. 

358
00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:42,640
So Fast forward to today, gold 
is what nearly 3100 US as of the

359
00:19:42,640 --> 00:19:46,840
other night and Antimony's 4040 
thousand US. 

360
00:19:46,840 --> 00:19:50,720
So it's just yeah, phenomenal 
bloody rise. 

361
00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:54,160
So you can see you can sort of 
yeah see why it's getting this 

362
00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,440
getting this attraction. 
So and look they're touting 

363
00:19:57,440 --> 00:20:00,800
about 88 million pre production 
CapEx. 

364
00:20:01,680 --> 00:20:06,000
They've they ended up rising $30
million the end of last year. 

365
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:07,880
So the joys of the big market 
cap. 

366
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,240
So they've got about 28 left in 
the bank. 

367
00:20:10,240 --> 00:20:14,200
So I guess thinking. 
Yeah. 

368
00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:17,120
So because there's existing, 
there's existing operation 

369
00:20:17,120 --> 00:20:19,320
there. 
It's funny, you like when you go

370
00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:21,760
from Kent, you go through this, 
go down this road, through this 

371
00:20:21,760 --> 00:20:25,080
gorge and then back up over to 
the mines on the other side of 

372
00:20:25,080 --> 00:20:29,360
this gorge to where all the 
processing and offices are. 

373
00:20:29,360 --> 00:20:31,160
Because it's like, it was like a
little pilot plan. 

374
00:20:31,160 --> 00:20:34,800
It's only like a 250,000 tonne 
mill that was there. 

375
00:20:34,800 --> 00:20:38,400
It wasn't, wasn't a huge one. 
And then so they're looking to 

376
00:20:38,920 --> 00:20:42,640
expand, expand it to 500,000 
tonne per annum. 

377
00:20:43,440 --> 00:20:47,200
But obviously we're in, we're in
NSW here, we're in farmland. 

378
00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,680
We've just seen not putting a 
bloody knocker on it. 

379
00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,920
But you we've seen I guess what 
happened with the whole 

380
00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:56,080
Mcphillamy's side of things. 
We're in a much different. 

381
00:20:56,080 --> 00:20:57,760
It's, it's not a mining town at 
all. 

382
00:20:57,920 --> 00:21:00,600
Armadale. 
It's about 100 odd guys from the

383
00:21:00,600 --> 00:21:03,600
Bloody Sapphire City in Burrell,
my hometown. 

384
00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:07,640
It's a beautiful part of. 
It but it's not a like you don't

385
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:11,640
you don't go around and see West
track buildings and stuff 

386
00:21:11,640 --> 00:21:14,400
everywhere and like it's, it's 
just not a mining error. 

387
00:21:14,400 --> 00:21:17,600
I remember when I was there they
because they got a heap of, you 

388
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,280
know, old school follows in from
North Queensland to come and 

389
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,960
start the mine as the 
superintendents and that and 

390
00:21:22,960 --> 00:21:26,440
they said they like to employ a 
local workforce there because 

391
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:28,920
they employed them as owner 
operator like that to teach 

392
00:21:28,920 --> 00:21:31,960
everyone, all these people out 
of mine, like teaching me how to

393
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:35,240
put Polly together like because 
no one had ever never seen it 

394
00:21:35,240 --> 00:21:37,280
before. 
There was obviously people that 

395
00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,320
had mine before that they 
recruited. 

396
00:21:39,320 --> 00:21:42,880
But it's yeah, it's totally, 
totally different landscape to 

397
00:21:43,360 --> 00:21:45,840
to over here. 
I didn't, I didn't even know it 

398
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:48,560
existed till I went to uni and 
it was only bloody an hour and a

399
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:53,000
half or what. 
So because if you look at the, 

400
00:21:53,440 --> 00:21:57,600
well, the, I think this was in, 
this was in their DFS or 

401
00:21:57,600 --> 00:22:00,080
something like talking about 
the, the development 

402
00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,080
application, because there was 
the development application that

403
00:22:03,080 --> 00:22:05,680
was I guess that you'd say the 
development permit that was in 

404
00:22:05,680 --> 00:22:11,040
place before was for a 250,000 
tonne of ore per annum 

405
00:22:11,120 --> 00:22:14,680
operation. 
And that was like effectively 

406
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:17,840
expiring in December 2023. 
So they're talking about 

407
00:22:18,560 --> 00:22:22,280
increasing it to 500 and 550. 
They're talking about the 

408
00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:29,200
increasing the tilings capacity.
So that is all part of a new 

409
00:22:29,200 --> 00:22:33,960
sort of development development 
application They did just they 

410
00:22:33,960 --> 00:22:37,880
did just release in February 
this year that they've converted

411
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:42,640
it from like a wet tilings 
storage to a dry tiling storage 

412
00:22:43,360 --> 00:22:47,920
option. 
So that's the pretty sure it 

413
00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:51,360
costs more like what I've been 
told about dry, dry stack 

414
00:22:51,360 --> 00:22:55,040
tailings is you only do it if 
you have to because it's a lot 

415
00:22:55,040 --> 00:22:57,720
more like machinery involved to 
stack the tailings. 

416
00:22:57,720 --> 00:23:01,600
You're not just bloody pissing, 
pissing it through bloody pipes 

417
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:04,680
out into a dam. 
So you could say that's probably

418
00:23:04,680 --> 00:23:10,120
a measure taken to get the NSW 
permitting a bit bit on side. 

419
00:23:10,120 --> 00:23:13,400
So it looks like they still have
to only they will have to get 

420
00:23:13,600 --> 00:23:17,360
approval to increase it to 
500,000 tonne per annum like 

421
00:23:17,360 --> 00:23:19,760
that's all been submitted to the
regulators. 

422
00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:22,240
But it's just that that's 
probably the the key risk that 

423
00:23:22,240 --> 00:23:27,320
you associate with this is 
permitting in New South Wales. 

424
00:23:28,120 --> 00:23:29,920
Beautiful country. 
It's fucking cold there. 

425
00:23:30,040 --> 00:23:42,560
Oh, cold is a mother in 
This is. 

426
00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,400
If you want to work there. 
If you want to work there and 

427
00:23:46,160 --> 00:23:51,120
there is a quite appropriate 
company I'll attach this one to.

428
00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:55,160
If you don't wanna get a 
grounded camp, this is what you 

429
00:23:55,160 --> 00:23:58,040
have to do. 
This is the only thing that is 

430
00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:00,480
probably equivalent to a 
grounded camp. 

431
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:05,280
They've purchased the Echidna 
Gully, which looks like some, 

432
00:24:06,240 --> 00:24:08,120
oh, looks like somewhere where 
that host weddings. 

433
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:09,680
It is. 
It's an event space for hire. 

434
00:24:09,680 --> 00:24:12,360
Yeah, yeah. 
So they've purchased it for 

435
00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:18,320
$3,000,000, so $3,000,000 cash, 
an issue of 770,000 shares. 

436
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:21,240
So they're pretty much they've 
nearly paid the same for this 

437
00:24:21,760 --> 00:24:24,160
block of land and accommodation 
village as they did for the 

438
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:27,480
asset when they first bought it 
excluding the bonds. 

439
00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:33,080
So this this is the the best non
grounded camp I've ever seen in 

440
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:34,440
my life. 
So. 

441
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:35,800
That's up there with a grounded 
camp. 

442
00:24:35,960 --> 00:24:41,280
It's almost as good. 
I cannot confirm that maybe 

443
00:24:41,280 --> 00:24:45,480
grounded had a may have built 
this, I don't know like because 

444
00:24:45,480 --> 00:24:50,160
it like it just looks like a 
grounded camp in country NSW. 

445
00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:51,200
Stunning. 
It's beautiful. 

446
00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,560
I think grounded are probably 
going to have to add a bit of 

447
00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:57,200
their capability here because 
when I read it the, the the 

448
00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,720
sleeping quarters, it's like 8 
people in a room kind of thing 

449
00:24:59,720 --> 00:25:01,800
now that that won't fly on a 
FIFO camp. 

450
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:03,680
So you've got still going to 
need grounded to get there and 

451
00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:05,480
build some some sleeping. 
Quarters be bad. 

452
00:25:06,920 --> 00:25:10,960
Wouldn't be bad. 
Oh, yeah. 

453
00:25:10,960 --> 00:25:13,000
You know, it's like a bloody 
school camp, isn't it? 

454
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:19,960
Shut up, Matt. 
So, yeah, that was so the 

455
00:25:19,960 --> 00:25:23,120
transformational accommodation 
acquisition you'd say. 

456
00:25:23,120 --> 00:25:26,320
So that's so there's if you want
to go work there, that's what 

457
00:25:26,320 --> 00:25:28,400
you got to look forward to. 
You might end up getting married

458
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:31,200
on your days off looking at that
joint you've got too. 

459
00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:33,400
Many price falls off a Cliff. 
Maybe they can become an events 

460
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:34,760
company. 
Yeah, yeah. 

461
00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:39,680
So I think this probably, as I 
said, based on the other well, 

462
00:25:39,720 --> 00:25:43,240
that's selling Southern Cross or
what is it SX1 now. 

463
00:25:43,440 --> 00:25:45,960
Now they're dual listed like 
that still that hasn't even got 

464
00:25:45,960 --> 00:25:48,760
a reserve or anything. 
That's that's still a long way 

465
00:25:48,760 --> 00:25:50,520
away. 
This is an existing operation 

466
00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,520
needs a needs a bit done to the 
mill and they're they're doing a

467
00:25:53,520 --> 00:25:56,800
lot of you know, there's a lot 
more talk about exploration now.

468
00:25:56,840 --> 00:25:58,800
So you might as well get the 
bloody story going. 

469
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:02,120
But this would yeah, you got 
cost to field as well. 

470
00:26:02,120 --> 00:26:07,400
But in terms of near term 
antimony, near term antimony 

471
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:09,320
production in Australia, this is
probably it. 

472
00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:12,840
This was always known as the 
what the antimony model I'd say 

473
00:26:12,840 --> 00:26:14,920
because that's been in, well, 
when was I there? 

474
00:26:14,920 --> 00:26:18,880
2009, it sort of had AI think it
had a bit of a restart then it 

475
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,840
dropped off. 
But it's just never had a 

476
00:26:22,600 --> 00:26:25,280
seamless operation. 
So, yeah, it's one of them ones 

477
00:26:25,280 --> 00:26:27,920
that all all looks good on 
paper. 

478
00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:32,080
But I, I look at it with the 
obviously just the NSW non 

479
00:26:32,080 --> 00:26:33,880
mining area site. 
It's one of those ones where 

480
00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:36,720
you'd be like, right, get a 
contractor there, like get a NSW

481
00:26:36,720 --> 00:26:40,120
contractor, come mobilize the 
workforce, bring the bloody as 

482
00:26:40,120 --> 00:26:42,920
many people with you as you can.
Because it's not a FIFO site. 

483
00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:44,840
So you got to sort of bank on 
you. 

484
00:26:45,000 --> 00:26:48,520
You could make it FIFO, which is
increased the cost, but you want

485
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,440
to bank on trying to make it 
residential to save money. 

486
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:56,160
But you've got obviously find 
the people that have the have 

487
00:26:56,160 --> 00:26:58,400
the mining experience. 
So there you go. 

488
00:26:58,480 --> 00:27:01,440
Here's the bloody history of 
sort of. 

489
00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:04,440
You can pay for the play rugby 
league for the Armadale Rams if 

490
00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:06,680
you want. 
That's super interesting. 

491
00:27:06,680 --> 00:27:12,120
Maybe the the, the one area 
which is like a a whole can of 

492
00:27:12,120 --> 00:27:15,160
worms, but I'd be very curious. 
Obviously, you highlighted the 

493
00:27:15,520 --> 00:27:17,320
China impact on the market 
there. 

494
00:27:18,680 --> 00:27:21,640
These guys have a deal with with
Wogan Resources kind of 

495
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,760
specialty metals traders 
British. 

496
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:26,440
I'd love to know. 
Traders, aren't they? 

497
00:27:27,000 --> 00:27:29,160
Yeah, yeah, exactly. 
They, they do like mineral sands

498
00:27:29,160 --> 00:27:30,680
and all these kind of niche 
products and stuff. 

499
00:27:30,680 --> 00:27:34,120
But I'd love to know what the 
what the payabilities, what 

500
00:27:34,120 --> 00:27:37,760
these kind of terms are, given 
that China is the one ultimately

501
00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:39,520
buying the vast majority of the 
stuff. 

502
00:27:39,760 --> 00:27:41,680
Yeah, what you're actually 
getting paid for once you get it

503
00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:43,880
up, but. 
And that's a life of mine off 

504
00:27:43,880 --> 00:27:47,960
take binding off take agreement 
too for all golden and too many 

505
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:51,000
concentrate. 
So market marketing, marketing 

506
00:27:51,000 --> 00:27:52,480
rights for it. 
Yeah. 

507
00:27:52,480 --> 00:27:55,040
The other thing I'd be curious 
about too is like we all know 

508
00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:57,760
high prices secure high prices. 
Like how reasonable is the 

509
00:27:58,880 --> 00:28:03,000
current spot price of antimedia 
persist and and yeah, what what,

510
00:28:03,000 --> 00:28:05,080
what new supply could be coming 
online around the globe? 

511
00:28:05,440 --> 00:28:07,320
Yeah, yeah. 
And but it looks like you look 

512
00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,400
at this study, it's, it's 
probably one of those ones that 

513
00:28:10,400 --> 00:28:16,120
reminds me of sort of Pilgrim 
Minerals in a way that the, it 

514
00:28:16,120 --> 00:28:20,120
could operate at half the price,
spot price today. 

515
00:28:20,120 --> 00:28:21,760
It appears like if it was 
20,000. 

516
00:28:21,760 --> 00:28:25,760
So it's going to be a rush to 
get that to be a first mover and

517
00:28:26,240 --> 00:28:30,440
take advantage while it is high.
Because if this mine can produce

518
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,360
9% of global antimony, you don't
need much more to come on to 

519
00:28:33,800 --> 00:28:37,400
really start taking market 
market share from you. 

520
00:28:37,520 --> 00:28:39,720
Yeah. 
So I think they'll be trying to 

521
00:28:39,720 --> 00:28:43,640
get stuff out as bloody quick as
they can, at the mercy of the 

522
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:45,000
government. 
Yeah. 

523
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:47,040
I mean, and on the on the 
processing point, right, if 

524
00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:51,160
China's not exporting finished 
product, how keen are they going

525
00:28:51,160 --> 00:28:55,760
to be to buy Antimony right from
the training gift? 

526
00:28:55,760 --> 00:28:59,000
That's all right. 
They'll do what they can. 

527
00:28:59,240 --> 00:29:02,520
But you know, if if that's where
all the downstream is to process

528
00:29:02,520 --> 00:29:04,720
the stuff, but they're not 
allowed by their government to 

529
00:29:04,720 --> 00:29:05,960
export it, then what do you kind
of do? 

530
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:08,840
Yeah, yeah. 
And I and I, we're talking about

531
00:29:08,840 --> 00:29:11,320
the the permitting and stuff 
like that. 

532
00:29:11,320 --> 00:29:14,880
Like if you compare, I know I 
mentioned Mcfillimy's before, 

533
00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:18,600
but Mcfillimy's purely grown 
field site that was all around 

534
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,040
tailings dams. 
And I know it was native title, 

535
00:29:21,040 --> 00:29:24,440
but which was coincidentally 
where the tailings dam was 

536
00:29:24,440 --> 00:29:27,480
supposed to go. 
This one is if they go on dry 

537
00:29:27,480 --> 00:29:30,560
stack, they've got an existing 
mine, existing infrastructure 

538
00:29:30,560 --> 00:29:33,160
that just needs to be expanded 
in size. 

539
00:29:33,160 --> 00:29:36,120
They've got, they've got a lot 
more in their favour than Regis 

540
00:29:36,120 --> 00:29:39,520
had with Mcphillimy. 
So not a really like for like 

541
00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:44,040
comparison, but still needs a 
ticket for approval. 

542
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:46,680
So yeah. 
All righty. 

543
00:29:46,680 --> 00:29:50,480
Let's let's talk about Bosnia. 
Adriatic, I reckon guys haven't 

544
00:29:50,640 --> 00:29:51,680
talked. 
About it for a while, eh? 

545
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,160
Yeah, it's been, it's been a 
good six weeks, I reckon. 

546
00:29:55,640 --> 00:30:01,000
They, I, I think we had a, so 
we, we had a brief chat about 

547
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:04,880
them sort of off the top of my 
head 6-7 weeks ago when they did

548
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:07,320
that capital raise. 
For. 

549
00:30:07,440 --> 00:30:12,000
Expansion in in quotation marks 
so they've they've come out now 

550
00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:16,520
with and operations update as 
well as their annual report and,

551
00:30:16,520 --> 00:30:21,800
and updated reserve, reserve and
resource statement and the the 

552
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:23,800
stock's down 8%. 
So you can kind of tell that the

553
00:30:23,800 --> 00:30:27,280
market doesn't love it and what 
the, what the problems really 

554
00:30:27,280 --> 00:30:29,800
are here, that they're an 
evolution of what we spoke about

555
00:30:30,160 --> 00:30:33,880
last time. 
As we spoke, you know, starting 

556
00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,520
a year and a half ago about the,
the mining challenges to start 

557
00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:39,720
Maddie, the, the softer ground 
and anticipated all these sorts 

558
00:30:39,720 --> 00:30:41,840
of things. 
And then as you, you work your 

559
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:45,240
way through it, you work your 
way deeper into, into the 

560
00:30:45,240 --> 00:30:48,080
processing plant and you test 
the next bit of kit. 

561
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:50,160
Every time you go through, 
you're finding out what's 

562
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:53,640
working, what's not all a part 
of the, the kind of ramp up 

563
00:30:53,640 --> 00:30:57,080
story. 
So I'll start with mining 

564
00:30:57,080 --> 00:30:59,480
because they kind of broke the 
announcement out into mining 

565
00:30:59,680 --> 00:31:01,240
processing. 
And then we can quickly chat 

566
00:31:01,240 --> 00:31:05,320
about the, the changes they made
to the, the resource statement. 

567
00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:10,680
But they mined 67,000 tons, 
which is down a few percent on 

568
00:31:10,680 --> 00:31:13,480
last quarter. 
It's it's not a great number to 

569
00:31:13,480 --> 00:31:15,800
to be honest. 
Remember the plant is for 

570
00:31:15,800 --> 00:31:20,680
800,000 tons per annum. 
So looking at the stockpiles as 

571
00:31:20,680 --> 00:31:25,120
well, you can see the stockpiles
declined by 15% over over the 

572
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:29,760
quarter working in their favor. 
They've got much higher silver 

573
00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:34,520
grades going through the plant 
then they've got in the reserve 

574
00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:38,040
grade. 
So comparing numbers about 316g 

575
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:41,480
per ton is what they've got 
stockpiled at the moment versus 

576
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:45,240
like a bit under 200 grams per 
ton in in the reserve. 

577
00:31:45,240 --> 00:31:48,280
So that will be something that 
they have to face up to down the

578
00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:49,560
track. 
But that's kind of where they're

579
00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:51,520
at at the moment. 
And I think they're actually a 

580
00:31:51,520 --> 00:31:54,480
bit constrained with the ROM pad
at the moment. 

581
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,240
So they've got a bit over 50,000
tons there. 

582
00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:00,360
Then they've got a bit of waste 
and you know, a few other bits 

583
00:32:00,360 --> 00:32:02,040
and pieces. 
But if you guys can can 

584
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:04,120
visualize and remember what 
Votesh kind of looks like, it's 

585
00:32:04,120 --> 00:32:06,680
in the mountains, it's a foresty
kind of area. 

586
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:10,320
You're a bit space constrained. 
You've got construction roads 

587
00:32:10,320 --> 00:32:13,920
needing to be built to the the 
tailings facility, which they've

588
00:32:13,920 --> 00:32:17,320
only just got the permits and 
the agreements in place to do. 

589
00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:20,440
So I think they might be a bit 
constrained on that front, 

590
00:32:20,440 --> 00:32:22,600
although we've only got like a 
one page announcement today. 

591
00:32:22,920 --> 00:32:26,240
So it's a bit hard to actually 
work out what's slowing them 

592
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:29,600
down there. 
But we're two years into mining 

593
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:34,280
here pretty much now and we're 
talking about 67,000 tons per 

594
00:32:34,280 --> 00:32:36,920
annum. 
Obviously there was previous 

595
00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:40,120
guidance numbers that came out 
beginning of last year and you 

596
00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:43,760
know again revised beginning of 
this year, they were revised 

597
00:32:43,760 --> 00:32:45,640
down pretty heavily because they
weren't meeting the targets 

598
00:32:45,640 --> 00:32:48,080
there. 
So the numbers they've got to 

599
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:54,360
meet for this half year is 250 
to 275,000 tons to be milled as 

600
00:32:54,520 --> 00:32:56,520
if you're just kind of assuming 
that you you keep those 

601
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:58,520
stockpiles constant for this 
half year. 

602
00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:02,160
You need a pretty enormous 
effort, you know, 2 1/2 times 

603
00:33:02,280 --> 00:33:06,080
the best half you've had to try 
and meet those numbers for this 

604
00:33:06,080 --> 00:33:07,720
half year. 
So I think they've got their 

605
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:10,440
work cut out for them. 
But on a positive side on the 

606
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:13,520
mining front, they did get the 
the development meters up 

607
00:33:13,520 --> 00:33:16,880
slightly on on the last quarter.
It's, it's the development 

608
00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:20,440
meters that have been a bit of a
bit of a drag because even even 

609
00:33:20,440 --> 00:33:22,520
that. 
The capital development made 

610
00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:26,240
exactly, exactly. 
Yeah, like that, that half half 

611
00:33:26,240 --> 00:33:29,800
year 25275 to be milled, you 
know in an 800,000 tonne per 

612
00:33:29,800 --> 00:33:32,840
annum plant that's still not 
full utilization, which sort of 

613
00:33:32,840 --> 00:33:36,240
signals signals a mining 
constraint, not a not a not a 

614
00:33:36,240 --> 00:33:39,760
milling constraint, right. 
I, I, I think it's, it's both 

615
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:43,360
it's mining and and mill that 
the mill hasn't been tested yet.

616
00:33:43,360 --> 00:33:47,440
So they what they sort of 
striving for, which you can see 

617
00:33:47,440 --> 00:33:49,960
in the numbers up there is that 
they want to be running at 

618
00:33:49,960 --> 00:33:53,080
nameplate capacity next half 
year. 

619
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:55,800
Again, it's it's very kind of 
ambiguous in the statement we've

620
00:33:55,800 --> 00:33:59,280
got here, but I think they're 
not quite kicking it out the 

621
00:33:59,280 --> 00:34:01,320
park on both fronts. 
So I'll talk to the processing 

622
00:34:01,320 --> 00:34:04,400
now. 
They got it to 5 million oz, the

623
00:34:04,400 --> 00:34:07,240
midpoint for silver equivalent 
for this half year. 

624
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,360
They've done halfway through 
that 1.3 million oz. 

625
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:12,880
So again, a big stretch to kind 
of get there. 

626
00:34:13,560 --> 00:34:17,280
The amount of tons that they 
milled matched this quarter what

627
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:21,080
they mined, which on the mill is
up 40%. 

628
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:24,280
So it's a a big record on the 
milling front, but that's 

629
00:34:24,280 --> 00:34:28,760
running at 30% of nameplate 
capacity right now. 

630
00:34:28,760 --> 00:34:33,480
So backing out there, the grades
and, and recoveries, you can 

631
00:34:33,760 --> 00:34:35,960
they, they didn't provide the 
specifics here, but you can kind

632
00:34:35,960 --> 00:34:38,920
of work out there in line with 
expectations with, you know, 

633
00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,600
expectations not being all that 
kind of high. 

634
00:34:42,520 --> 00:34:45,080
They do give a couple specifics 
on what is causing the problems 

635
00:34:45,080 --> 00:34:46,120
though. 
They've got the tailings 

636
00:34:46,239 --> 00:34:49,400
filtration cycle times, which 
are just not up to scratch at 

637
00:34:49,400 --> 00:34:51,159
the moment, which essentially 
means they just can't get the 

638
00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:54,800
water out of the tailings quick 
enough, which becomes the 

639
00:34:54,800 --> 00:34:56,800
bottleneck for the for the whole
plant. 

640
00:34:57,520 --> 00:35:01,240
Then you've also got the road 
that they need to build to the 

641
00:35:01,240 --> 00:35:03,360
new tailing storage facility, 
which they only just got the 

642
00:35:03,360 --> 00:35:06,760
agreements in place for. 
So that again took longer than 

643
00:35:06,760 --> 00:35:09,680
it was meant to take and it's 
holding them up in moving stuff 

644
00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:12,160
out. 
So commercial production was 

645
00:35:12,160 --> 00:35:15,480
meant to be hit this quarter. 
I think in reality they got they

646
00:35:15,480 --> 00:35:17,600
got nowhere near kind of 
actually achieving that. 

647
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:21,320
So they're aiming to hit that in
the quarter that we're about to 

648
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:22,600
approach. 
So. 

649
00:35:23,280 --> 00:35:27,080
Interesting that they they also 
released the updated reserve 

650
00:35:27,080 --> 00:35:29,880
statement concurrent with this 
announcement with it. 

651
00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:33,920
Were there any any any any devil
in the detail with the reserves?

652
00:35:34,800 --> 00:35:38,160
Yeah, I think, I think there's 
some fairly consequential read 

653
00:35:38,160 --> 00:35:41,240
through some, some were guided 
to already. 

654
00:35:41,240 --> 00:35:43,320
But the first thing you notice 
you open on the first page, you 

655
00:35:43,320 --> 00:35:46,520
can see the tons have dropped by
a way bigger number than what 

656
00:35:46,640 --> 00:35:51,000
the mining depletion was. 
So we're talking over 10% less 

657
00:35:51,000 --> 00:35:52,600
tons. 
And then you can quickly see 

658
00:35:52,600 --> 00:35:56,800
just to the right of that the 
grades jumped up on almost all 

659
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,240
the medals they've got. 
So you start thinking about what

660
00:35:59,240 --> 00:36:01,120
have they done with the the cut 
off kind of mark. 

661
00:36:01,520 --> 00:36:06,520
And you can see the NSR cut off 
has nearly doubled from $68 a 

662
00:36:06,520 --> 00:36:11,400
tonne to $130.00 a tonne. 
So the NSR cut off being 

663
00:36:11,400 --> 00:36:14,080
essentially the minimum value of
a block that they're going to 

664
00:36:14,080 --> 00:36:19,680
mine or would mine if it, if it 
makes a sort of value that 

665
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,200
essentially just reflects higher
cost assumptions. 

666
00:36:22,320 --> 00:36:24,920
And I think it's a, it's a 
pretty clear acknowledgement, 

667
00:36:24,920 --> 00:36:28,520
like they spoke about last 
quarter that operating costs are

668
00:36:28,800 --> 00:36:31,760
much higher than they'd 
previously anticipated. 

669
00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:35,560
You know, it's, it's, it's not 
a, a massive surprise given the 

670
00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:37,960
two years of kind of struggle 
we've seen. 

671
00:36:37,960 --> 00:36:40,200
But if you look at the mine 
life, it just pulls it in a 

672
00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:42,760
couple years. 
So 15 years of mine life still 

673
00:36:42,760 --> 00:36:44,240
they're they're not troubled on 
that front. 

674
00:36:44,240 --> 00:36:48,040
But you know, I think this might
be a middle, a bit of a middle 

675
00:36:48,040 --> 00:36:49,400
ground. 
And it'd be interesting to see 

676
00:36:49,400 --> 00:36:52,800
what happens on that front and 
what happens when analysts start

677
00:36:52,800 --> 00:36:54,320
to flush through those high 
costs. 

678
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:56,960
That's fascinating, Double 
basically doubling the cut off 

679
00:36:56,960 --> 00:37:00,680
grade, but it's only only 
results in an 11% reduction in 

680
00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:03,920
tons after depletion, which, 
yeah, I suppose thanks to the 

681
00:37:03,960 --> 00:37:07,200
pretty, pretty high grade nature
of this whole body too. 

682
00:37:07,520 --> 00:37:10,160
Yeah. 
It's a solid, solid ore body. 

683
00:37:10,360 --> 00:37:12,320
Just, you know, the, the, the 
potential is there. 

684
00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:15,560
And that's been the, the one 
thing that the people that are 

685
00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:16,920
along the stock always fall back
on. 

686
00:37:16,920 --> 00:37:19,520
Like just just look at the cash 
flow potential. 

687
00:37:19,520 --> 00:37:22,240
You know, you might say, hey, 
it's a bit expensive given how 

688
00:37:22,240 --> 00:37:26,200
the, the track record of 
performance has been and the 

689
00:37:26,200 --> 00:37:28,640
fact that the royalties might be
jacked up because they're super 

690
00:37:28,640 --> 00:37:29,920
low and all these sorts of 
things. 

691
00:37:29,920 --> 00:37:33,760
But if things kind of go to 
plan, it's meant to print, you 

692
00:37:33,760 --> 00:37:37,840
know, 200 million plus per annum
in cash for a number of years. 

693
00:37:37,840 --> 00:37:40,680
So that's that's been the fall 
back and hopefully they can kind

694
00:37:40,680 --> 00:37:44,800
of maintain that, right. 
That's the the agile thing of 

695
00:37:45,760 --> 00:37:49,640
looking great on paper, but just
going to a pretty fresh 

696
00:37:49,640 --> 00:37:54,240
jurisdiction for mining, getting
the people there to do it, throw

697
00:37:54,240 --> 00:37:57,600
in poor ground conditions for 
the capital. 

698
00:37:57,600 --> 00:38:01,440
Like it's just been a, you can 
tell how those things just start

699
00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:05,880
compounding together. 
And you know, we've been talking

700
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:09,040
about this since the show 
started this project. 

701
00:38:09,120 --> 00:38:10,400
Yeah, the stock's near all time 
highs. 

702
00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:14,240
Yeah, even despite all of the 
the the challenges they faced. 

703
00:38:14,240 --> 00:38:17,800
Great is king. 
It's it's pretty wild, right? 

704
00:38:17,800 --> 00:38:19,920
Like, yeah, yeah, what you guys 
said is exactly right. 

705
00:38:19,920 --> 00:38:22,440
I mean, there's a lot of 
unanswered questions after this 

706
00:38:22,960 --> 00:38:25,120
announcement. 
You know, they gave a bit more 

707
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,400
on the processing 
underperformance side of things 

708
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:30,360
than the other. 
But I think if anyone had any 

709
00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:34,040
doubt about what that placement 
was for two months ago, I think 

710
00:38:34,040 --> 00:38:36,480
it's pretty clear now. 
And I keep thinking back to 

711
00:38:36,880 --> 00:38:40,640
McNulty curves and what that 
kind of what you can kind of 

712
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:44,240
infer from them in the context 
of this project. 

713
00:38:44,240 --> 00:38:47,160
So I'll flash one up now and 
kind of talk to it so people 

714
00:38:47,160 --> 00:38:50,600
know what we're speaking about. 
But essentially you've got, 

715
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:55,600
you've got four types and type 1
is if the project with the the 

716
00:38:55,600 --> 00:38:58,160
processing side of it 
specifically gets off the ground

717
00:38:58,680 --> 00:39:03,080
very quickly and really hits 
nameplate in a pretty swift 

718
00:39:03,080 --> 00:39:05,880
amount of time, say say about a 
year, That's that's a cracking 

719
00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:09,280
ramp up. 
And yeah, I mean, these guys are

720
00:39:09,280 --> 00:39:12,000
are pretty short of that at the 
moment. 

721
00:39:12,800 --> 00:39:15,960
These curves assume sufficient 
ore feed to the plant, right. 

722
00:39:15,960 --> 00:39:18,680
So there are shortfalls in using
this as the kind of be all end 

723
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:22,920
all analysis, but there have 
definitely been problems at the 

724
00:39:22,920 --> 00:39:27,240
processing plant side of things.
And I mean, my next point's a 

725
00:39:27,240 --> 00:39:29,280
bit open-ended. 
I'm came to hear what you guys 

726
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:30,640
think. 
But I read through it and 

727
00:39:30,640 --> 00:39:34,400
there's the customary two or 
three paragraphs from the CEO 

728
00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:37,400
and there's no real 
acknowledgement of all, of all 

729
00:39:37,400 --> 00:39:39,600
the problems. 
Like I know they're faced up to 

730
00:39:40,120 --> 00:39:42,960
analysts on a couple of the 
calls and they've answered all 

731
00:39:42,960 --> 00:39:44,320
the questions that have been had
of them. 

732
00:39:44,320 --> 00:39:46,920
But I do find it kind of 
interesting and perhaps it's 

733
00:39:46,920 --> 00:39:50,120
just a strategy, a strategy 
they're taking to to highlight 

734
00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:54,640
the positives and, and just 
emphasize that there's this 

735
00:39:56,080 --> 00:39:58,360
things they need to do better 
and, and they're going to get 

736
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:00,400
there. 
But they, they really talked 

737
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:03,400
around a lot of the challenges 
without addressing them face up.

738
00:40:03,400 --> 00:40:06,360
And yeah, I mean, I'm, I'm 
curious if you guys have any 

739
00:40:06,360 --> 00:40:09,160
other thoughts on that. 
Maybe the marketing strategy is 

740
00:40:09,160 --> 00:40:13,280
well, since it's I assume the 
share price all time high as a 

741
00:40:13,280 --> 00:40:17,520
function of zinc and silver 
prices being very high. 

742
00:40:17,520 --> 00:40:20,600
So it's like we've just we 
haven't hit ramp up, but that 

743
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:23,760
means we've just left it in the 
ground and mined at higher 

744
00:40:23,760 --> 00:40:27,080
prices, which they are now. 
So it might actually work out 

745
00:40:27,080 --> 00:40:29,960
better for it because if they 
hit it, that was less material, 

746
00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:31,960
more material sold at lower 
prices. 

747
00:40:31,960 --> 00:40:36,080
So it's still in the ground. 
Mate, if the if the share price 

748
00:40:36,080 --> 00:40:38,560
is any guide to go by the the 
strategy they're doing is 

749
00:40:38,560 --> 00:40:41,520
working to tease so so I can't 
fault them. 

750
00:40:41,680 --> 00:40:44,880
Yeah, Yeah, we've our like our 
question marks have always just 

751
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:48,040
been on what the, the interim 
funding pathway looks like. 

752
00:40:48,040 --> 00:40:50,320
You know, we, we sort of, I 
think collectively think at some

753
00:40:50,320 --> 00:40:53,560
point they'll get to a, a period
where they'll be printing great,

754
00:40:53,640 --> 00:40:56,520
great money, but it's, what's 
the interim pathway look like to

755
00:40:56,520 --> 00:40:57,960
getting there? 
And when your, your share price 

756
00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:02,240
is very high, then your cost of 
capital is it, it's not that 

757
00:41:02,240 --> 00:41:03,280
bad. 
It's not like the market's 

758
00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:05,960
punishing you if you, if you 
need to bridge it with, with 

759
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:07,240
more equity or anything like 
that. 

760
00:41:07,240 --> 00:41:09,800
But they also when you, when 
there might be question marks 

761
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:13,040
over the interim funding 
situation, but the ore body will

762
00:41:13,040 --> 00:41:15,680
kind of get there. 
Then you're also attractive for 

763
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:19,400
a, for a, for a takeover to, to 
various parties who have, you 

764
00:41:19,400 --> 00:41:21,400
know, better belt, better 
balance sheets and all that sort

765
00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:22,440
of stuff. 
In the same way we talk about 

766
00:41:22,520 --> 00:41:24,200
kind of Bellevue, you know, 
those sorts of things. 

767
00:41:24,200 --> 00:41:26,560
So want to watch out for on all 
fronts. 

768
00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:29,440
Yeah. 
Surprised no one had to dig at 

769
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:31,800
them a bit lower. 
It's hard. 

770
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,360
To. 
Know buying a company out in 

771
00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:37,560
ramp up is not the most common 
thing you see. 

772
00:41:37,880 --> 00:41:39,880
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

773
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:42,320
I mean like like there's a, 
there's a couple more kind of 

774
00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:43,720
points to it. 
Firstly, they've started 

775
00:41:43,720 --> 00:41:46,160
repaying debt now. 
So they paid 20 million bucks 

776
00:41:46,480 --> 00:41:48,760
USA couple days ago. 
That'd be a quarterly ongoing 

777
00:41:48,760 --> 00:41:51,960
thing. 
And to the take out point, it's 

778
00:41:51,960 --> 00:41:56,160
a tightly held stock, like five 
groups of individuals hold 50% 

779
00:41:56,160 --> 00:41:58,720
of the company. 
So you need to Queens. 

780
00:41:58,720 --> 00:42:03,400
Roads one of them, isn't it? 
The so Helicon is 21 odd 

781
00:42:03,400 --> 00:42:09,120
percent, L1 is over 15%. 
Then you've got Paul Cronin, the

782
00:42:09,120 --> 00:42:13,840
former boss and and yeah, I 
think T Rowe Price and and 

783
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,520
another individual up there. 
They make up the 50%. 

784
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:18,680
Yeah, so Queens roads not in it 
anymore. 

785
00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:23,480
Other they converted their 
convertible early and I think 

786
00:42:24,080 --> 00:42:25,880
the read through was why. 
Why'd you do that? 

787
00:42:25,880 --> 00:42:26,960
Well, they probably sold their 
shares. 

788
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:28,200
Yeah, yeah. 
Yeah. 

789
00:42:28,320 --> 00:42:32,000
Yeah, Yeah. 
So I mean, it's a, it's a super 

790
00:42:32,000 --> 00:42:33,160
interesting one to follow, 
right. 

791
00:42:33,160 --> 00:42:36,880
Like, wait, Trav, you mentioned 
the the capital raising the, the

792
00:42:36,880 --> 00:42:39,800
sort of lower cost of capital 
that you can get away within 

793
00:42:39,800 --> 00:42:41,320
share prices higher. 
But they've done quite a few 

794
00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:44,600
raises now. 
So curious to see how, how the 

795
00:42:44,600 --> 00:42:47,480
support remains and how they 
kind of delivered into it over 

796
00:42:47,480 --> 00:42:49,120
the next few quarters. 
Yep. 

797
00:42:50,640 --> 00:42:51,400
Yeah. 
Oh, there you go. 

798
00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:54,560
That's bloody. 
We've mixed it up. 

799
00:42:55,160 --> 00:42:57,800
We've mixed it up because. 
She's antimony, she's going to 

800
00:42:57,800 --> 00:42:59,880
face medals. 
She's going to fire up at the 

801
00:42:59,880 --> 00:43:02,880
end of the week I reckon. 
We might have to record a Friday

802
00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:04,880
episode. 
Dog spectacular. 

803
00:43:05,200 --> 00:43:09,640
Could be, could be. 
Yes, indeed. 

804
00:43:09,840 --> 00:43:12,480
And the smaller end of town. 
Yeah. 

805
00:43:12,560 --> 00:43:15,880
Oh no, no, I was thinking. 
There's a we're thinking about 

806
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:17,480
different things. 
Certain stock coming out of 

807
00:43:17,480 --> 00:43:20,000
suspension on Friday. 
We might have to do a live cross

808
00:43:20,080 --> 00:43:22,720
there. 
Yes, yes, yes. 

809
00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:24,400
No need to reveal what that one 
is. 

810
00:43:26,080 --> 00:43:28,200
So rolling out. 
All right, good stuff lads. 

811
00:43:29,760 --> 00:43:31,480
What have we got coming out? 
We might have. 

812
00:43:31,720 --> 00:43:33,560
AI was IMN mate, that's what 
we've got coming. 

813
00:43:33,600 --> 00:43:38,520
Oh yeah, we do bloody hell and 
Jake Jane oh cannot bloody wait 

814
00:43:39,120 --> 00:43:43,520
and continue on the Bender arm 
for the gathering and conference

815
00:43:43,520 --> 00:43:45,240
as well. 
I'm going to come back a ruined 

816
00:43:45,240 --> 00:43:52,680
man cannot bloody wait and JRX 
as well Bruce don't forget that 

817
00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:54,520
one. 
Once you've once you've had fun 

818
00:43:54,520 --> 00:43:57,320
at all hug OPS go to the JRX one
in Brisbane. 

819
00:43:57,320 --> 00:44:01,120
Dicks discounts bloody flying 
out the door in the show notes 

820
00:44:01,120 --> 00:44:03,560
click the links. 
Our great partners as well. 

821
00:44:03,560 --> 00:44:06,840
Can't think of enough mineral 
mining services grounded See if 

822
00:44:06,840 --> 00:44:10,240
the ground supports AR 
insurance, K drill war WA water 

823
00:44:10,240 --> 00:44:13,000
balls swing quattro and 
crossboundary Energy. 

824
00:44:14,680 --> 00:44:17,320
Information contained in this 
episode of Money of Mine is of 

825
00:44:17,320 --> 00:44:18,880
general nature only and does not
take. 

826
00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:21,280
Into account the. 
Objectives, financial situation 

827
00:44:21,360 --> 00:44:23,360
or needs of any particular 
person. 

828
00:44:23,640 --> 00:44:26,680
Before making any investment 
decision, you should consult 

829
00:44:26,720 --> 00:44:29,760
with your financial advisor and 
consider how appropriate the 

830
00:44:29,760 --> 00:44:33,440
advice is to your objectives, 
financial situation and needs.

