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Welcome to Keith Knight, Don't 
tread on anyone in the 

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Libertarian Institute. 
Today I will be talking with 

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Doctor Brian Kaplan, economist 
at George Mason University to 

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discuss his book Self Help is 
Like a Vaccine. 

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Dr. Kaplan, where is the best 
place for people to purchase 

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this book? 
Actually it's an Amazon 

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exclusive, so the best and only 
place is Amazon. 

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Terrific, I highly recommend the
book. 

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I have a number of things I'd 
like to go over. 

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Can you please explain the 
concept of There is no such 

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thing as a free lunch to me? 
Like I'm 10 years old and I've 

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never heard of it before. 
All right, there's no such thing

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as a free lunch. 
It's a slogan which is not 

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literally true. 
But anyway, the idea of is it if

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it is in the real world, 
normally in order to go and get 

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any additional thing that you 
want, you've got to give up 

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something else, right? 
It's probably made made famous 

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by Milton Friedman, although I 
think it actually came from 

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Einlein's Moon is a Harsh 
Mistress, if I remember the 

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history correctly, and it's just
saying that it seems too good to

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be true. 
It probably is. 

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If you want to change your life,
it's not going to be just 

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getting more of everything you 
want, it's going to be having to

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make at least some sacrifice. 
If you're playing your cards 

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right, of course the sacrifice 
is less valuable than what 

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you're getting. 
The reason that I think this is 

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so important is maybe in the 
last week or so I have heard 

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both Democrats and Republicans 
say healthcare we that should be

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free, childcare should be free, 
education should be free, 

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college should be free, housing 
as well as food stamps should be

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free. 
So when it comes to the concept 

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of opportunity. 
Food should be free. 

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I guess foods be odd if food 
stamps weren't free. 

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It's like here's some help now 
pay me for it. 

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So if you could just walk the 
average voter through what they 

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are actually saying, assuming, 
well, government can just print 

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the money, as the modern 
monetary theorists like to 

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remind us. 
Is this an actual like loop in 

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the matrix that we found this 
traveling opportunity to Narnia 

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where we could make it free? 
You print the money, you 

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increase the money supply. 
What is the opportunity cost of 

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all these free things? 
Yeah, I think probably the best 

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way of thinking about it is to, 
you know, agree and amplify, 

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say, all right, yeah, you're 
right. 

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Your health care should be free.
Education should be free, food 

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should be free. 
Everything should be free. 

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Everybody should get everything 
they want for no money. 

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And at this point, I think you'd
have to be pretty deluded not to

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say, well, there could be some 
problems with that. 

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Oh, like, what? 
Like if everybody gets 

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everything they want for free, 
then why work? 

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And if people don't work then 
what's going to actually be 

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available for purchase? 
It really does get to the point 

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where if everything is free, 
then you shouldn't expect the 

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total amount of stuff available 
to be more than a rounding 

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error. 
That's is a nice way of thinking

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about it. 
Also like the reason why people 

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work is generally to get stuff. 
That's also the way that stuff 

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comes to exist. 
If you make everything free, 

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then you are basically just 
going in that opposite direction

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to the maximum degree. 
And then the question is, yeah, 

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but why couldn't this one thing 
be free? 

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It's like, well, why should we 
make this the exception? 

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Why does that make sense? 
Now in terms of deeper 

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economics, the key point is that
when something is free, then 

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people will consume things that 
they do not appreciate very 

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much, right? 
I always like to give the 

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example of some elderly relative
who gives you like a a Ming vase

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for Christmas. 
You're not allowed to resell it.

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It's worth like $1,000,000, but 
you're five years old. 

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So it is wasteful to go and give
someone something really 

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expensive that they do not 
appreciate. 

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And that is what we standardly 
see when there are government 

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giveaways. 
This is most obvious for 

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healthcare. 
A lot of that stuff is crazy 

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expensive and if it really is 
free then people will go and use

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treatments they do not value all
that much and would be willing 

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to go without without actually 
feeling all that bad about it. 

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Is it fair to summarize social 
desirability bias as when the 

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truth sounds bad, people lie? 
Yeah, totally. 

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It's a good one. 
Sentence summary. 

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So I want to give you a genuine 
statement that I, in the last 

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week or so since I've been 
reading the book, have really 

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wanted to say to people, but 
it's not professional. 

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I want to see if you could help 
me find a way to say this 

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without lying. 
I'm going to New York and a 

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relative said, oh, I'd love for 
you to come and visit me. 

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This guy's been disrespecting me
for 10 years. 

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And I said I don't want, I don't
want to see you when I'm in 

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town. 
Is there a way I could say that 

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when without sounding terrible? 
I'd probably go with, oh, we'll 

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see. 
Literally true. 

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Yeah. 
By the way, when you asked the 

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first question about the free 
lunch, I thought you were going 

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to go in a totally different 
direction. 

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I thought it was going to be. 
We all know there's no such 

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thing as a free lunch. 
So how can all of these self 

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help ideas be actually work? 
What am I giving up? 

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And my answer was going to be, 
you know, normally there's not 

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such a thing as a free lunch, 
but actually there's a bunch of 

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free lunches. 
There's just a lot of things 

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that people are doing where they
are wasting resources. 

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And if they would just change 
the way that they're doing, they

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could actually have a better 
life without have without giving

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anything else up. 
I mean like the simplest example

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from the first day of econ is if
you're sitting in a bad movie, 

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just get up and walk out. 
That's a free lunch. 

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You get your time back and you 
avoid watching a movie you don't

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even like. 
So there are in fact free 

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lunches in the world while 
economist main job is telling 

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people that they don't exist. 
That's an overstatement. 

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It's poetic license. 
The real truth is usually people

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are not correct to think that 
are round. 

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But on the other hand, if you 
keep your eyes open, you will 

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find all kinds of opportunities 
to get a better life without 

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having to give up anything other
than you. 

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You might say, other than the 
pride of admitting that up till 

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that point you've been making a 
mistake. 

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That is a big one though. 
Isn't that a big opportunity 

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cost and risk to your ego and 
reputation that you have to 

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bear? 
So it's. 

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Still not the way that I put it 
is. 

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Look, do you, don't you want to 
be the kind of person that 

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starts being right when you 
learn something? 

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And so I consider it very pro 
ego to to be the kind of person 

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who says I'm figured out another
way to make things better. 

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I'm just so good at this. 
Wow, I found another 

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improvement, another free lunch.
Man, I'm great at finding these 

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free lunches. 
And what a fool I would be not 

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to take advantage of everything 
I'm figuring out because it's 

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just so awesome. 
So yes, a lot of people are held

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back by their foolish pride. 
This is actually the real 

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meaning of Emerson's quote. 
A foolish consistency is the 

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hobgoblin of little minds. 
He didn't say consistency, he 

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said a foolish consistency. 
And by that he meant continuing 

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to do things the way you did 
them in the past, even though 

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you have discovered that you've 
been making a mistake. 

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Very nice. 
OK, I got a few more social 

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desirability ones for you. 
Co worker asks you out to dinner

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and you just want to say no I 
don't want to meet you for 

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dinner. 
Not because I'm busy, I don't 

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enjoy your company. 
What's a nice way to say that? 

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Let's see. 
I mean, you're depending upon 

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you. 
So of course a lot of times it's

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vague and then you can just go, 
but you know, the timing is 

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vague and then you say, oh, 
we'll see. 

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So there's that one there. 
There's a oh, not tonight, 

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right? 
Which is totally true, yes. 

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I'm not doing it tonight. 
And then actually one of the 

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better parts of lightness norms 
is after you get a couple, not 

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tonight. 
It is considered rude to keep 

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asking. 
So I think I would go with that.

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Not tonight. 
Finally, if someone says I did 

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not like that book you wrote or 
recommended to me, what is a 

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polite way to say it without 
lying? 

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This is in reference to I'm 
sorry I didn't say. 

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There is a chapter where you 
talk about the importance of 

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using the word can't with care. 
Don't say, oh, I can't make it. 

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You don't have access to a car, 
your legs are broken, you can't 

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travel means you have different 
priorities and that's fine. 

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But there is it. 
It is a little annoying when 

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people say I cannot do something
when they do similar things. 

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So that's why we come up with 
this. 

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What do you say when you don't 
like the book that someone wrote

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or recommended to you? 
Yeah, I mean, the easiest thing 

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is of course not to say anything
at all. 

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Silence is not a lie. 
If the person does keep pushing,

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then I would probably just say 
switch from words to noises. 

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The reason that I didn't once 
have a colleague who just kept 

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hassling me. 
And finally, I did say like, in 

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particular just to at least try 
it. 

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And and I just say, yeah, it's 
not my cup of tea. 

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Like, like you still got quite, 
quite angry. 

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I mean, my honest reaction was 
your book is an insult to me 

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after talking to you about how 
wrong what you're saying is. 

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For 10 years you showed no sign 
that you would ever listen to a 

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word I had said. 
It wasn't even like you had some

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reply to my criticism. 
You just acted like I hadn't 

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even spoken to you. 
That is a terrible affront to my

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personage. 
That's kind of what I was 

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feeling, but I just went with 
not my cup of tea. 

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Well, the the reason I ask is 
there is a great Thomas old 

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quote of if you want to help 
people, tell them the truth, If 

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you want to make yourself feel 
good, tell them what they want 

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to hear. 
And sometimes I feel like, you 

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know, I really wish someone 
would have told me the truth a 

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lot earlier in life. 
We're going to get into my 

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specific example, but don't you 
ever feel like, gosh, I could 

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really help this person, but in 
your case, you had helped him 

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for 10 years. 
Sometimes I feel like it's 

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better to be the voice of reason
to bring a horse to water, so to

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speak. 
Yeah, you totally. 

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So like as a parent, you are 
very mindful of I don't want to 

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crush this child, I don't want 
to hurt them so much. 

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And then it's a question of how 
can I be honest without doing 

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grave psychological harm to the 
child? 

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I think it's almost all in tone.
It's almost all in tone. 

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It's all in tone. 
Good lesson. 

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Almost all you know, there's, 
there's more to it than that. 

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You know, like another thing is 
positive framing of saying let's

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focus on what you are good at. 
Since you're not going to be a 

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mass, you're not going to be a 
mass * all right. 

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So like let's, you know, these 
are the things that you are 

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really good at. 
That's another good approach. 

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But a lot of it is just not 
saying like you suck at math, 

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but rather this isn't your 
strength. 

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This isn't your strength. 
That's a good one. 

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Division of Labor. 
What did Robin Hanson teach you 

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about the medical field? 
One of your citations is an 

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article from him Cut Medicine in
Half, not asking you to remember

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the specifics. 
What is the general lesson you 

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learned from Robin Hanson about 
the medical? 

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Field Before I met Robin, I just
took for granted the 

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conventional view that a large 
majority of the rise in life 

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expectancy and human health over
the last century is due to 

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better medical care. 
What Robin did is showed me that

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almost no one who has looked at 
the data seriously will agree 

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with that. 
There's basically debate between

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people saying it's a modest 
effect and people saying it's 

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hard even to find a modest 
effect. 

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It is puzzling as to what's 
going on. 

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Like, how could that really be? 
But just to give you a feel for 

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what kind of evidence that there
is, early on people noticed, you

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know, like that richer people 
live longer. 

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All right. 
And once modern medicine started

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to be available, the they very 
quickly said, OK, the reason has

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00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:47,280
got to be that richer people 
have better access to modern 

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00:12:47,280 --> 00:12:49,760
medicine. 
But then there were some early 

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00:12:50,040 --> 00:12:52,920
natural experiments, like for 
example, I think early on in the

230
00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:55,800
British hill service, the high 
ranks got medical care provided 

231
00:12:55,800 --> 00:12:57,120
as part of their compensation 
package. 

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00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,600
The low ranks didn't. 
And then they say, OK, while 

233
00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:01,120
they're living longer, we know 
why. 

234
00:13:01,440 --> 00:13:03,920
Then they extended this free 
medical care to everyone in the 

235
00:13:03,920 --> 00:13:07,120
British civil service and the 
gap in life expectancy, if I 

236
00:13:07,120 --> 00:13:12,520
recall, did not shrink at all. 
And they're like, that's 

237
00:13:12,520 --> 00:13:15,200
strange. 
How could it not shrink at all? 

238
00:13:15,800 --> 00:13:19,240
Then we have seen very similar 
things where with the extension 

239
00:13:19,240 --> 00:13:22,760
of socialized medicine, 
universal healthcare in general,

240
00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:26,280
we have not seen much of A 
shrinkage, if any shrinkage in 

241
00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:28,800
the life expectancy gap between 
rich and poor. 

242
00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:32,680
So, you know, it says, well, 
then what else could it be? 

243
00:13:33,840 --> 00:13:37,520
And then you start actually 
really thinking, right, And 

244
00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:40,320
there's things like, well, 
there's, you know, better access

245
00:13:40,320 --> 00:13:43,160
to food and sanitation. 
And then it's like, huh. 

246
00:13:43,160 --> 00:13:46,640
Yeah. 
But when did when did access to 

247
00:13:46,640 --> 00:13:49,880
food become the, like, cease to 
become an important difference 

248
00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:52,320
in rich and poor? 
And then when you start pushing 

249
00:13:52,320 --> 00:13:55,200
further, it's like, well, let's 
go into the real socially 

250
00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:58,640
undesirable stories, like more 
responsible behavior. 

251
00:13:59,640 --> 00:14:05,680
Oh, yeah, that's a big one. 
So just taking care of yourself.

252
00:14:05,680 --> 00:14:10,400
So diet and exercise just 
avoiding violence for males 

253
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,400
turns out to be a notable 
factor. 

254
00:14:12,680 --> 00:14:14,560
You know, drug and alcohol 
consumption. 

255
00:14:15,120 --> 00:14:19,960
If I remember correctly, the the
gap in life expectancy between 

256
00:14:19,960 --> 00:14:23,280
rich and poor and the US has 
actually risen a lot in recent 

257
00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:27,360
years, probably driven by 
opioids and other deaths to 

258
00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:29,440
despair. 
Kind of stuff that you'll get 

259
00:14:29,440 --> 00:14:35,840
from Case and Deaton. 
On page 19, you discuss your 

260
00:14:35,840 --> 00:14:40,040
experiences with doctors. 
I'm curious, when we're trying 

261
00:14:40,040 --> 00:14:46,400
to really develop a hypothesis 
or a valid intellectual position

262
00:14:46,640 --> 00:14:52,000
on a person or field group of 
people, how can we differentiate

263
00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:55,000
between anecdotal evidence and 
solid theories? 

264
00:14:56,360 --> 00:15:00,000
Yeah, that's a good question. 
And what I would say is 

265
00:15:00,080 --> 00:15:02,520
literally, it's pretty easy. 
It's like anecdotes are like 

266
00:15:02,640 --> 00:15:05,280
different stories than things 
that you've seen with your own 

267
00:15:05,280 --> 00:15:07,400
eyes. 
And then we, you know, 

268
00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:11,040
systematic evidence is where 
we've got nationally 

269
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:14,360
representative statistics. 
But a lot of the thing that I've

270
00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:19,240
been telling people is that in 
many ways, first hand experience

271
00:15:19,240 --> 00:15:22,720
is a more reliable guide to how 
the real world works than the 

272
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:27,680
media 'cause the media is really
taking the most exaggerated, 

273
00:15:27,680 --> 00:15:30,920
unrepresentative, but dramatic 
incidents and then trying to 

274
00:15:30,920 --> 00:15:32,960
make everyone think and talk 
about them all the time. 

275
00:15:33,360 --> 00:15:36,280
So while yes, it is good to 
check your first hand experience

276
00:15:36,280 --> 00:15:38,680
against nationally 
representative statistics, and 

277
00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:42,840
yet first hand experience is 
overall quite reliable, 

278
00:15:43,480 --> 00:15:47,880
especially compared to the news 
Things like, so you're worried 

279
00:15:47,880 --> 00:15:51,240
about terrorism, right? 
How many cases of terrorism is 

280
00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:52,160
you? 
Have you ever witnessed with 

281
00:15:52,160 --> 00:15:56,880
your own eyes? 
0 Right now, if you go to the 

282
00:15:56,880 --> 00:16:00,080
data, you'll find that your 
experience is actually quite 

283
00:16:00,120 --> 00:16:03,000
normal because hardly anyone's 
experienced any of this stuff. 

284
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,840
And the reason why the media is 
talking about it is not because 

285
00:16:05,840 --> 00:16:07,760
it is something that a 
reasonable person would ever 

286
00:16:07,760 --> 00:16:11,840
worry about, but rather because 
they are terrifying people in 

287
00:16:11,840 --> 00:16:19,680
order to get clicks. 
When it comes to doctors, you 

288
00:16:19,680 --> 00:16:24,560
had said that doctors specialize
in finding a name for the thing 

289
00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:26,680
you have and costing tons of 
money. 

290
00:16:27,600 --> 00:16:29,720
This was very shocking to me as 
well. 

291
00:16:30,280 --> 00:16:33,280
I thought, well, doctors, this 
is a scientific it's not like, 

292
00:16:33,280 --> 00:16:35,440
you know, politics where there's
opinions. 

293
00:16:35,680 --> 00:16:39,360
This is an objective field. 
Why is it that doctors have 

294
00:16:39,360 --> 00:16:44,080
completely succumbed to, I mean,
maybe the same exact thing that 

295
00:16:44,360 --> 00:16:46,360
everyone else does? 
What was it about the medical 

296
00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:48,000
field that made you start 
questioning it? 

297
00:16:50,800 --> 00:16:54,360
So like, Robin was the one that 
got me really thinking about it 

298
00:16:54,360 --> 00:16:58,240
seriously because he was able to
point me to actual research on 

299
00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:01,840
what in fact is the share of the
rise in human health is 

300
00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,400
attributable medicine. 
And at minimum it's grossly 

301
00:17:04,400 --> 00:17:07,079
overstated. 
It's nowhere close to 100%. 

302
00:17:08,079 --> 00:17:10,880
But then once he had me 
thinking, I did start paying 

303
00:17:10,880 --> 00:17:13,800
more attention, just realizing a
lot of what doctors were saying 

304
00:17:14,119 --> 00:17:18,240
was either stuff that was just 
obvious, like, you should lose 

305
00:17:18,240 --> 00:17:20,480
weight. 
It's like, did you need to go to

306
00:17:20,480 --> 00:17:23,079
medical school to know something
like that? 

307
00:17:23,599 --> 00:17:28,319
Or just repeating popular 
nostrums, like you should be 

308
00:17:28,319 --> 00:17:31,200
eating more vegetables. 
Like, well, so do you read 

309
00:17:31,200 --> 00:17:34,120
research on the effect of diet 
on human health? 

310
00:17:34,120 --> 00:17:38,000
And do you actually know how 
hard it would be to even know 

311
00:17:38,000 --> 00:17:42,680
that thing, since we can't do 
experiments on human beings for 

312
00:17:42,680 --> 00:17:45,880
both practical and legal 
reasons, You can't go and 

313
00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:49,200
actually make one person have a 
diet for 30 years and have 

314
00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,480
another one do a different diet 
and then compare the two. 

315
00:17:53,240 --> 00:17:56,480
So there's a lot of that. 
Let's see, I'll be in the. 

316
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,760
And also, I did have a few 
unpleasant problems, usually 

317
00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:02,360
involving pain. 
And I noticed that doctors just 

318
00:18:02,360 --> 00:18:05,200
didn't really have much of 
anything for me other than a 

319
00:18:05,200 --> 00:18:06,600
name. 
So my feet hurt. 

320
00:18:06,600 --> 00:18:09,200
Wow, that's plantar fasciitis. 
All right, great. 

321
00:18:09,200 --> 00:18:12,160
Now what can we do about it? 
I did have one Doctor Who went 

322
00:18:12,160 --> 00:18:14,960
and gave me a prescription 
strength painkiller and when I 

323
00:18:14,960 --> 00:18:18,320
read the actual chemical formula
I realized it was equivalent to 

324
00:18:18,320 --> 00:18:25,160
two non prescription pills. 
So like, yeah, that was quite 

325
00:18:25,160 --> 00:18:27,880
sleazy on your part. 
Now, to be clear, I mean, the 

326
00:18:27,880 --> 00:18:31,520
thing about doctors is that the 
range of what they do is 

327
00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:35,040
shocking. 
So doctors do everything from 

328
00:18:35,040 --> 00:18:39,080
the magic of cutting open a 
woman with twins that are not in

329
00:18:39,080 --> 00:18:43,080
the correct position, opening 
her up, getting the babies out, 

330
00:18:43,280 --> 00:18:45,160
stitching her up, and she's 
fine. 

331
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:47,440
So I saw that with my own eyes, 
too. 

332
00:18:47,440 --> 00:18:51,320
It's like, all right, there's 
some doctors who can do amazing 

333
00:18:51,320 --> 00:18:56,320
things where it's like, I just 
don't think that things would 

334
00:18:56,320 --> 00:18:58,840
have worked out otherwise. 
At least it's like really high 

335
00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:00,600
risk. 
But on the other hand, there are

336
00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:04,480
doctors who basically just go 
and tell you to eat vegetables 

337
00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:07,000
and don't be fat, and that's 
what you're paying for. 

338
00:19:07,400 --> 00:19:09,680
And then there's the ones that 
just give you names for your 

339
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:13,720
problems without having any 
actual practical remedy for your

340
00:19:13,720 --> 00:19:16,280
problems. 
Although I think the main point 

341
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:19,480
of that chapter in particular 
was, well, I found doctors to be

342
00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:22,840
useless for pain. 
I found paying very careful 

343
00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:26,480
attention to my behavior and 
what I'm doing to aggravate the 

344
00:19:26,600 --> 00:19:31,160
pain to be highly helpful. 
So, and I have had some crazy, 

345
00:19:31,160 --> 00:19:35,080
horrible amounts of pain without
any obvious cause. 

346
00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:38,520
But I have found that just 
paying very close attention to 

347
00:19:38,520 --> 00:19:41,000
exactly what I'm doing, what 
makes the pain go up and down, 

348
00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:44,920
and then avoiding doing those 
things to be really helpful. 

349
00:19:44,920 --> 00:19:47,880
And you know, I'll say like I've
cured 99% of my problems and you

350
00:19:47,880 --> 00:19:51,080
knock on wood. 
Yes, very nice. 

351
00:19:51,320 --> 00:19:55,800
The reason that I have become a 
little obsessed with this is 

352
00:19:55,800 --> 00:20:00,880
this is the first time that you 
and I ever had a conversation. 

353
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:05,880
Now you will see this is Doctor 
Kaplan and I discussing open 

354
00:20:05,880 --> 00:20:08,520
borders, the science and ethics 
of immigration. 

355
00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:13,560
I weighed this much. 
At one point I was 290 lbs and I

356
00:20:13,560 --> 00:20:17,600
was listening to doctors very 
closely, obeying what is 

357
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:20,640
referred to as the USDA food 
pyramid. 

358
00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:26,440
That is what got me to that 
level, listening to doctors. 

359
00:20:26,680 --> 00:20:29,840
I also listened to a Doctor Who 
was kind enough to give me an 

360
00:20:29,840 --> 00:20:33,640
Adderall prescription, which of 
course turned me into a drug 

361
00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:35,720
addict for four years. 
Again, my fault. 

362
00:20:35,720 --> 00:20:38,800
However, they're the ones with 
the fancy degrees you'd think 

363
00:20:38,880 --> 00:20:40,880
might be a little more 
productive. 

364
00:20:41,080 --> 00:20:45,720
So two of the worst things that 
I've ever had were the result of

365
00:20:45,720 --> 00:20:49,320
listening to people who I'm told
I should blindly obey. 

366
00:20:49,520 --> 00:20:52,320
That's why I appreciated that 
section so much. 

367
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:53,880
Didn't. 
Those food pyramid doctors tell 

368
00:20:53,880 --> 00:20:55,400
you to reduce your calories at 
least. 

369
00:20:56,440 --> 00:21:01,480
They said you could eat, you 
should eat less and exercise. 

370
00:21:01,720 --> 00:21:06,200
The problem with this is it is 
the equivalent of telling drug 

371
00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:09,640
addicts and Alcoholics the 
solution is to stop using drugs,

372
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:13,080
stop using alcohol, you're a 
gambler, stop gambling. 

373
00:21:13,400 --> 00:21:15,920
Yes, technically it's a a 
solution. 

374
00:21:16,200 --> 00:21:20,400
However, it's not within a 
foreseeable reach of a person 

375
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,960
who's so deep into something 
that's really difficult to get 

376
00:21:23,960 --> 00:21:25,600
out of. 
It's the. 

377
00:21:26,320 --> 00:21:31,160
I would start with all right, 
cut back your calories 5%. 5% 

378
00:21:31,200 --> 00:21:34,800
you know I even I was eating so 
much bread and pasta not knowing

379
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:36,320
that bread and pasta made me 
fat. 

380
00:21:36,320 --> 00:21:38,560
I thought it was only soda and 
sweets or something. 

381
00:21:40,360 --> 00:21:44,200
I was working a job at Walmart 
where I was walking 8 hours a 

382
00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:47,080
day so I was getting plenty of 
exercise. 

383
00:21:47,360 --> 00:21:49,720
I'd never really cut back on the
food, but when you're always 

384
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:51,120
hungry you don't know what to 
do. 

385
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,600
And then I found the carnivore 
diet just on YouTube. 

386
00:21:54,960 --> 00:22:01,480
YouTube gave me more of a more 
of a health education then all 

387
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:03,160
the doctors I spoke with and I 
went. 

388
00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:04,560
Hey, you did your own research, 
Keith. 

389
00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:10,640
Literally it was just watching a
ton of YouTube videos, taking 

390
00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:13,520
notes and saying what are the 
correlations between all these 

391
00:22:13,520 --> 00:22:16,480
video recommendations. 
Once I heard something about 10 

392
00:22:16,480 --> 00:22:21,080
times, then I put a check next 
to it and that's what what what 

393
00:22:21,080 --> 00:22:23,240
I came across. 
Yeah, the research word that I 

394
00:22:23,240 --> 00:22:24,760
think you're looking for is 
satiation. 

395
00:22:26,040 --> 00:22:29,600
Satiation. 
So basically there are diets 

396
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:31,760
with the same number of calories
and yet some of them will just 

397
00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:33,280
make you feel a lot more full 
than the others. 

398
00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:37,720
So yeah, my friend Jim 
Schneider, who is a voracious 

399
00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:41,000
reader and has a whole book on 
health economics called The 

400
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:43,760
Seven Deadly Sins. 
Anyway, one of the main things 

401
00:22:43,760 --> 00:22:48,160
that you that is useful to learn
about diet is calories are the 

402
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:50,880
crucial direct variable. 
But in terms of getting your 

403
00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,280
calories under control, it is 
very helpful to go and find out 

404
00:22:53,280 --> 00:22:55,680
what calories fill you up and 
which calories don't, because it

405
00:22:55,680 --> 00:22:58,440
is not the case that 1000 
calories of every kind fill you 

406
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:02,000
up equally. 
And I think that's what's going 

407
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,240
on is that meat is actually very
satiating. 

408
00:23:04,800 --> 00:23:07,920
There's a bunch of other things 
though also, like a regular 

409
00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,920
potato with no salt or butter is
very satiating for calorie. 

410
00:23:12,560 --> 00:23:16,600
It's carbs, but partly it's just
so bland that you eat it and 

411
00:23:16,600 --> 00:23:19,240
you're like, OK, I'm just don't 
feel like eating anymore if this

412
00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:24,200
is all I've got. 
Yes, I totally agree. 

413
00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:28,240
Satiation, See, it's something I
understood just with pattern 

414
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:30,120
recognition. 
I didn't really understand it 

415
00:23:30,120 --> 00:23:32,360
intellectually, but that's my 
thing. 

416
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:36,800
OK, You talk about individual 
solutions versus social 

417
00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:39,840
revolutions. 
In other words, when people look

418
00:23:39,840 --> 00:23:43,920
at a problem, poverty exists. 
Why is it that people are so 

419
00:23:43,920 --> 00:23:46,920
addicted to focusing on social 
changes they could only 

420
00:23:46,920 --> 00:23:50,520
microscopically have a 
differential effect on, and they

421
00:23:50,520 --> 00:23:53,720
seem almost allergic to 
solutions which are actually 

422
00:23:53,720 --> 00:23:56,760
under their control? 
For example, whenever I hear 

423
00:23:57,320 --> 00:24:00,560
society is racist and sexist and
the poor just get poorer. 

424
00:24:00,720 --> 00:24:04,040
So until we completely overthrow
the system, there's nothing we 

425
00:24:04,040 --> 00:24:07,160
can do in the interim. 
Right. 

426
00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:09,200
I mean, fortunately I will say 
most people are not into 

427
00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,880
revolution. 
That's a good news because 

428
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:15,360
revolutions almost always end in
a horrifying bloodbath and 

429
00:24:15,360 --> 00:24:19,440
things are get much worse still.
What the inner psychology is, 

430
00:24:20,160 --> 00:24:23,360
you know, a lot of it is the 
same impulse that you have with 

431
00:24:23,360 --> 00:24:26,880
religion where you want to get 
some big world view and feel 

432
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:31,160
like that makes you important, 
feel like you got answers to the

433
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:34,440
big questions. 
And so anytime someone has a 

434
00:24:34,440 --> 00:24:40,480
solution of that kind, it does 
satisfy this desire to be at one

435
00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:44,400
with the universe in, in some 
sense, like I'm part of a great 

436
00:24:44,400 --> 00:24:47,440
cause. 
Whereas when you talk about 

437
00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:50,400
individual solutions, then that 
is engaging a very different 

438
00:24:50,400 --> 00:24:53,800
mindset. 
It's one where it is demanding 

439
00:24:53,800 --> 00:24:55,840
in a sense a lot more of you 
'cause it's saying, look, 

440
00:24:56,240 --> 00:24:59,560
repent, repent, you know, change
what you're doing, right? 

441
00:24:59,560 --> 00:25:03,760
Don't just go and say we need to
have society change, which is 

442
00:25:03,840 --> 00:25:06,240
pretty much equivalent to 
nothing's going to happen on 

443
00:25:06,240 --> 00:25:08,640
your end. 
Rather, it puts the ball back in

444
00:25:08,640 --> 00:25:15,440
your court as to why there are 
so few people that are just 

445
00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:17,760
focused primarily on individual 
solutions. 

446
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:20,840
Yeah, yeah. 
I think about the concluding 

447
00:25:20,840 --> 00:25:23,760
speech of the movie Scent of a 
Woman, where Al Pacino just 

448
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:26,040
says, you know, like, like I 
always knew the right way, but 

449
00:25:26,040 --> 00:25:30,680
it was too damn hard. 
It like it is hard in many ways 

450
00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:36,000
to go and improve your behavior.
And especially a lot of what has

451
00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:39,080
to happen with self help is you 
have to temporarily make your 

452
00:25:39,080 --> 00:25:41,600
problem even worse or make your 
suffering even worse in order 

453
00:25:41,600 --> 00:25:44,120
for it to get to get better. 
Think about someone who just has

454
00:25:44,120 --> 00:25:45,520
no friends and they're 
miserable. 

455
00:25:46,040 --> 00:25:47,960
All right. 
And what is the advice? 

456
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:52,200
Like, you've got to go and risk 
rejection by trying to meet more

457
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:54,000
people. 
It's like, I'm already really 

458
00:25:54,000 --> 00:25:55,600
sad. 
I don't want to be really sad 

459
00:25:55,600 --> 00:25:57,920
plus get rejected. 
So yeah, I'm sorry. 

460
00:25:57,920 --> 00:26:00,520
There's no other path to 
something better. 

461
00:26:01,000 --> 00:26:03,720
So there is that. 
Is that like a lot of times when

462
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:05,920
someone has a big problem, 
things have to get worse before 

463
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:11,640
they get better? 
So when it comes to what can 

464
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:16,720
individuals do to increase their
income, we can say, well, the 

465
00:26:16,720 --> 00:26:19,240
state should be doing AB and C, 
OK. 

466
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:22,000
I'm sure they're going to get on
top of it immediately. 

467
00:26:22,200 --> 00:26:25,800
What is it that listeners can do
today if they want to have an 

468
00:26:25,800 --> 00:26:27,760
increased income? 
Right. 

469
00:26:28,440 --> 00:26:29,840
All right. 
So I think in the book I've got 

470
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:32,600
a chapter on what's called the 
First Law of Wing Walking. 

471
00:26:33,160 --> 00:26:36,680
This comes from the early days 
of aeronautics when acrobats 

472
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:40,120
would get on flying planes and 
do acrobats do acrobatics. 

473
00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:44,000
The first law of wing walking is
don't let go of what you're 

474
00:26:44,000 --> 00:26:46,760
holding on to until you're 
holding on to something else 

475
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:50,240
first, right? 
This is a very important piece 

476
00:26:50,240 --> 00:26:52,200
of advice for career 
advancement. 

477
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:55,600
Do not quit your job and try to 
find a better job. 

478
00:26:55,600 --> 00:26:58,720
That is a bad idea. 
Instead, hold on to whatever 

479
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:02,400
your current job is, almost no 
matter how unsatisfactory it is,

480
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:05,240
and then start looking around 
for something better. 

481
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:07,520
Often you can use the 
connections that you have on 

482
00:27:07,520 --> 00:27:09,800
your job to find something 
better, but also just keep your 

483
00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,520
eyes peeled. 
This isn't just something where 

484
00:27:12,520 --> 00:27:16,920
you've got a safety net. 
It is also true and confirmed in

485
00:27:16,920 --> 00:27:20,400
a number of bodies of evidence, 
that employers prefer to hire 

486
00:27:20,400 --> 00:27:24,800
the currently employed because 
they are nervous about possible 

487
00:27:24,800 --> 00:27:28,160
problems with the unemployed. 
It's what economists call 

488
00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:30,400
adverse selection. 
So yeah, so quitting your job 

489
00:27:30,400 --> 00:27:32,320
and then trying to find 
something from scratch is just a

490
00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:34,840
bad idea. 
But also, you know, feeling 

491
00:27:34,840 --> 00:27:36,360
sorry for yourself is a bad 
idea. 

492
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,520
Instead, be looking around now 
important to understand by the 

493
00:27:39,520 --> 00:27:42,200
way, that there's a lot of ways 
to improve your job that don't 

494
00:27:42,200 --> 00:27:44,160
mean your income goes up. 
You're just looking around for 

495
00:27:44,160 --> 00:27:45,560
something that is a better match
for you. 

496
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:51,080
One of my very favorite books 
for self help is called Why Men 

497
00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:53,480
Earn More. 
It's a self help book for women 

498
00:27:53,480 --> 00:27:55,640
about how to go and get a better
job. 

499
00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,400
What the book has is 25 
different sacrifices that men 

500
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:01,760
make to get more money. 
Things like work the night 

501
00:28:01,760 --> 00:28:05,320
shift, go and do a more 
dangerous job, work alone. 

502
00:28:05,840 --> 00:28:07,920
All right. 
Now when I was reading it, 

503
00:28:07,920 --> 00:28:10,560
though, I was realizing, sure, 
these are these are all good 

504
00:28:10,560 --> 00:28:13,400
piece of advice for women about 
how to make more money, But it's

505
00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:16,680
also just as good advice for men
to realize, hey, do you really 

506
00:28:16,680 --> 00:28:20,040
want to go and have these jobs 
that you don't like in order 

507
00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:22,600
just to get a bit more money? 
Maybe you should go and be more 

508
00:28:22,600 --> 00:28:26,480
like women and choose jobs based
upon satisfaction or personal 

509
00:28:26,480 --> 00:28:28,440
satisfaction rather than income 
alone. 

510
00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:32,800
So that is a standard thing for 
men to do is to heavily 

511
00:28:32,800 --> 00:28:36,160
prioritize income. 
And I'd say that, at least for a

512
00:28:36,160 --> 00:28:42,240
lot of guys, that's a mistake. 
So more dangerous jobs being 

513
00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:47,760
open to more opportunities in 
dangerous fields that explains 

514
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:51,840
the male female wage gap these. 
Explains a lot of it. 

515
00:28:51,840 --> 00:28:55,640
These are 25 things that are 
characteristics of jobs that men

516
00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:59,320
do relative to women, and all of
them do predict higher income 

517
00:28:59,320 --> 00:29:03,760
for pretty obvious reasons. 
And what explains the Asian 

518
00:29:03,760 --> 00:29:08,440
white income gap where Asians 
are at the top of the incomes? 

519
00:29:08,440 --> 00:29:12,440
I think since 1969 Japanese 
Americans surpassed white 

520
00:29:12,440 --> 00:29:14,200
Americans. 
Right. 

521
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:17,920
So in the data, we'll definitely
see that just higher Asian 

522
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:22,360
education explains a lot of it. 
I, I'm not sure if it's actually

523
00:29:22,360 --> 00:29:25,880
been done, but it is that's 
related. 

524
00:29:25,880 --> 00:29:28,440
Research has been done anyway, 
so a lot of it is also probably 

525
00:29:28,440 --> 00:29:31,200
the Asians are more likely to do
high earning majors like STEM. 

526
00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,040
As to what else is going on, or 
alternately you could say yes, 

527
00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:38,280
but what explains why they're 
getting more education or why 

528
00:29:38,280 --> 00:29:41,720
they're focusing on STEM? 
Then I'd say there's two things.

529
00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:46,480
So one is there is good, though 
not bulletproof evidence that E 

530
00:29:46,480 --> 00:29:49,080
Asians have moderately higher 
Iqs than whites. 

531
00:29:49,520 --> 00:29:56,240
So that'll give them some boost.
And then secondly, there is very

532
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:59,640
hard to deny observational 
evidence, although I don't know 

533
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:03,040
of any good data that confirms 
that, just that Asians have 

534
00:30:03,520 --> 00:30:05,200
markedly higher 
conscientiousness. 

535
00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:08,000
They just have better worth that
work ethics more focused. 

536
00:30:08,720 --> 00:30:10,680
They're just willing to put up 
with more boredom. 

537
00:30:10,680 --> 00:30:14,320
So I mean, I get like, I guess I
would say that, you know, the 

538
00:30:14,320 --> 00:30:17,240
kind of evidence that I would 
focus on just to show that 

539
00:30:17,480 --> 00:30:21,640
Asians do do in fact have higher
conscientiousness would just be 

540
00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:24,640
behavioral saying things like 
Asians are a lot less likely to 

541
00:30:24,640 --> 00:30:27,080
have non marital births. 
Asians are a lot less likely 

542
00:30:27,080 --> 00:30:29,560
lesion males are a lot less 
likely to be out of the labor 

543
00:30:29,560 --> 00:30:33,400
force. 
Asians are less likely to go and

544
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,560
have serious substance abuse 
problems. 

545
00:30:36,920 --> 00:30:39,600
So I mean, those are all in a 
sense, you could say, well, 

546
00:30:39,600 --> 00:30:42,360
that's kind of circular. 
Like I don't think it's that 

547
00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:44,440
circular. 
It's just saying that these are 

548
00:30:44,440 --> 00:30:49,640
things where it's very easy to 
do it or not do it based upon 

549
00:30:49,640 --> 00:30:51,520
just what your internal 
preferences are. 

550
00:30:51,920 --> 00:30:55,200
So I mean, I say it's no more 
circular than saying that if you

551
00:30:55,200 --> 00:30:58,360
want to see whether it will like
what people's preferences and 

552
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:00,640
food are, look at what they eat 
at a buffet, right? 

553
00:31:02,400 --> 00:31:06,240
Because that's where all options
are equal of the same price. 

554
00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,920
And then say, what did you put 
on your plate and how high did 

555
00:31:08,920 --> 00:31:10,240
you stack the food on that 
plate? 

556
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:15,640
Yeah, I went to three colleges 
in Arizona and Arizona. 

557
00:31:15,640 --> 00:31:19,040
Maybe in the at the college 
level there's a little more, 

558
00:31:19,200 --> 00:31:25,680
maybe 15% of the students are 
Asian, but 95% of the library 

559
00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:29,560
was Asian. 
So it's definitely behavioral. 

560
00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:33,560
OK, two more things. 
What I've noticed, but I have 

561
00:31:33,560 --> 00:31:36,640
very limited knowledge in this 
area, is the two things that 

562
00:31:36,640 --> 00:31:39,560
I've seen people do to increase 
their income without having to 

563
00:31:39,560 --> 00:31:42,080
get a new job is show up on 
time. 

564
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:46,720
Because people not showing up 
was the biggest issue in my last

565
00:31:46,720 --> 00:31:51,840
two jobs #1 cause of getting 
fired and requesting training. 

566
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:56,040
There are people who don't know 
that if you request training, 

567
00:31:56,200 --> 00:31:59,840
there are opportunities for you 
to get more income at your 

568
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:05,720
current job. 
Is that just racist patriarchy 

569
00:32:05,720 --> 00:32:08,760
of me to think that those two 
possibilities are within our 

570
00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:10,840
reach? 
Or is that really something we 

571
00:32:10,840 --> 00:32:14,000
can do? 
Seems extremely sensible and I 

572
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:16,200
would add make friends with the 
boss. 

573
00:32:16,640 --> 00:32:19,960
Make friends with the boss. 
Which you might say, so it's 

574
00:32:19,960 --> 00:32:22,840
just trying to appeal. 
Nepotism was like, no, because 

575
00:32:23,560 --> 00:32:26,400
the a crucial part of making 
friends with the boss is to be a

576
00:32:26,400 --> 00:32:30,400
good employee, to try to help 
them do their job. 

577
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:33,120
Because the life of a boss is 
actually not easy. 

578
00:32:33,560 --> 00:32:38,440
They are balancing a lot of 
complaints and back talk and 

579
00:32:38,440 --> 00:32:41,000
just difficulty with figuring 
out where to place people. 

580
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:44,240
And if you have a can do 
attitude and clearly indicate 

581
00:32:44,240 --> 00:32:46,880
you were there to help, that 
almost instantly makes you their

582
00:32:46,880 --> 00:32:51,040
friend. 
Yeah, I remember my first job 

583
00:32:51,040 --> 00:32:54,440
when I was 14. 
I was a landscaper, and my 

584
00:32:54,440 --> 00:32:56,080
friend and I started our own 
business. 

585
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,160
And I said, finally, we're our 
own boss. 

586
00:32:58,160 --> 00:33:01,080
We just call the shots. 
All the power is ours. 

587
00:33:01,480 --> 00:33:04,960
Well, every customer had 
competing interests, and the 

588
00:33:04,960 --> 00:33:07,560
customers were the bosses. 
It was even worse. 

589
00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:12,880
I do not envy my boss at all. 
You say that kids are a 

590
00:33:12,880 --> 00:33:13,920
consumer. 
Good. 

591
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:19,480
What does that mean? 
Means is that the key reason 

592
00:33:19,480 --> 00:33:23,040
that people do have kids and 
that it makes sense to and then 

593
00:33:23,040 --> 00:33:25,920
why you would want to have kids 
is that they're fun, they're 

594
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:29,120
companions, you do stuff with 
them right There is this long 

595
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:32,680
standing idea that maybe that's 
true now, but for most of human 

596
00:33:32,680 --> 00:33:35,600
history people had kids to get 
help on their farms. 

597
00:33:36,800 --> 00:33:38,760
This argument really makes very 
little sense. 

598
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:42,760
Just imagine being a farmer in 
the year 1000 AD and it's like 

599
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:44,560
Gee, I really want to get some 
help on my farm. 

600
00:33:44,960 --> 00:33:49,040
Plan A is to take some money and
hire a competent adult to assist

601
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:52,440
me. 
Plan B is to have a baby with my

602
00:33:52,440 --> 00:33:56,200
wife, which incapacitates her 
for a couple of years, and then 

603
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:59,960
go and feed and care for this 
baby for a bunch of more years 

604
00:33:59,960 --> 00:34:02,080
when he is totally incapable of 
working. 

605
00:34:02,280 --> 00:34:05,240
Then put all the effort into 
training the kid and then hope 

606
00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:08,120
that when he gets old enough to 
actually do a good job, he 

607
00:34:08,120 --> 00:34:12,199
doesn't just go off on his own. 
Obviously the first strategy is 

608
00:34:12,199 --> 00:34:13,679
a way better way to get a 
worker. 

609
00:34:13,960 --> 00:34:16,280
And it's like, so then why were 
people having kids? 

610
00:34:16,560 --> 00:34:19,480
It's like the same reason why 
lions have kids, right? 

611
00:34:19,800 --> 00:34:22,960
Evolution, evolution. 
They have kids because of 

612
00:34:22,960 --> 00:34:26,120
evolution. 
Animals that just say of what 

613
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:31,560
use is this pauper to me? 
They don't have kids and then 

614
00:34:31,560 --> 00:34:35,440
their genes die out. 
So human beings are evolved to, 

615
00:34:35,440 --> 00:34:39,320
of course, want sex, but also in
addition to want kids. 

616
00:34:40,040 --> 00:34:42,960
Some people don't like kids very
much, but a lot of other people 

617
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:45,600
do get great meaning and joy 
from their children. 

618
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:49,000
And my advice to people is if 
you're thinking about having 

619
00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:52,679
kids, well, actually how it 
tried babysitting a kid and meet

620
00:34:52,679 --> 00:34:55,320
some kids. 
I mean, I don't mean I am amazed

621
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:56,760
by people say, Oh, I want to 
have six kids. 

622
00:34:56,760 --> 00:35:00,080
Like, do you know any kids? 
And like, no, well, I think you 

623
00:35:00,080 --> 00:35:02,240
should meet some kids first. 
That would actually be a good 

624
00:35:02,240 --> 00:35:04,320
idea. 
Now there is the old saying, 

625
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,120
which is completely true. 
It's different and better when 

626
00:35:07,120 --> 00:35:11,760
they're your kids, but still I 
would say that first see how 

627
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:13,920
much you like taking care of 
somebody else's kids and then 

628
00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,080
think, OK, my kids, I will enjoy
them. 

629
00:35:16,960 --> 00:35:20,240
Three out of throw on a scale of
one to 10, like 3 better. 

630
00:35:21,640 --> 00:35:24,320
So it's not like if you don't 
like other people's kids, you 

631
00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:25,920
love your own. 
It's more like if you like other

632
00:35:25,920 --> 00:35:27,520
people's kids, you'll really 
like yours. 

633
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:34,320
There is an author, David 
Benatar, who says in a book 

634
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:38,000
better never to have been 
sentient beings are harmed when 

635
00:35:38,000 --> 00:35:42,000
they are brought into existence 
and it is therefore wrong to 

636
00:35:42,240 --> 00:35:44,840
procreate. 
This is his anti natalism 

637
00:35:45,040 --> 00:35:47,520
philosophy. 
What do you have to say to this 

638
00:35:47,520 --> 00:35:50,680
worldview? 
That people should not reproduce

639
00:35:50,840 --> 00:35:54,760
because human beings, while 
being terrible parasites to the 

640
00:35:54,760 --> 00:35:58,800
environment, also experience 
pain and it's not worth bringing

641
00:35:58,800 --> 00:36:02,560
people into existence. 
Yeah, Benatar is an extremely 

642
00:36:02,560 --> 00:36:06,080
smart, yet crazy and dogmatic 
philosopher, right? 

643
00:36:06,240 --> 00:36:08,760
Just to understand where he's 
coming from, he actually does 

644
00:36:08,760 --> 00:36:12,040
have the position that you 
should not consider net 

645
00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:15,400
happiness. 
You should not go and say, I had

646
00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:16,920
some pain, but I also had some 
good stuff. 

647
00:36:16,920 --> 00:36:19,360
The good stuff exceeded the bad 
stuff, therefore it's good to be

648
00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:21,760
alive. 
Instead, he wants to only look 

649
00:36:21,760 --> 00:36:24,640
at gross suffering and say, if 
gross suffering is greater than 

650
00:36:24,640 --> 00:36:27,000
0, then you're better off never 
existing. 

651
00:36:27,000 --> 00:36:30,480
All right, there's a bit more to
it than that, but that is a fund

652
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:33,560
his fundamental premise. 
And I'll just say like, that is 

653
00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:38,800
absolute madness to say, like, 
well, I stubbed my toe today, 

654
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:40,760
therefore it would have been 
better if the day hadn't 

655
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:44,160
happened. 
What the is wrong with you? 

656
00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:47,960
Like, a lot of great stuff 
happened and the package is not 

657
00:36:47,960 --> 00:36:49,440
good enough for you. 
Oh, no, you shouldn't judge the 

658
00:36:49,440 --> 00:36:50,840
package. 
You should just judge the 

659
00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:55,280
negative part of the package. 
It was like, yeah, that's 

660
00:36:55,320 --> 00:37:01,160
absurd, Absolutely ridiculous. 
There's also an argument that 

661
00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:05,000
Benatar has that. 
Well, look, you when you create 

662
00:37:05,000 --> 00:37:08,720
a life, you are causing them to 
have some suffering and you 

663
00:37:08,720 --> 00:37:11,160
never got their consent. 
All right. 

664
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:13,840
And again, this is part of the 
story about why you shouldn't do

665
00:37:13,840 --> 00:37:16,040
the net. 
It's like, look, I can't go up 

666
00:37:16,040 --> 00:37:19,240
to you and then step on your 
foot and then give you $1000 and

667
00:37:19,240 --> 00:37:22,520
then and then walk away and say 
I'm I've done the right thing, 

668
00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:24,920
right? 
So, and even though you value 

669
00:37:24,920 --> 00:37:28,960
$1000 more, the story goes like 
I needed your consent to go and 

670
00:37:28,960 --> 00:37:30,440
step in your foot. 
It's not enough to give you a 

671
00:37:30,440 --> 00:37:33,560
package that is good. 
I also have to say, Keith, may I

672
00:37:33,560 --> 00:37:35,560
step on your foot in exchange 
for $1000? 

673
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:38,880
Obviously with a baby you can't 
get that consent. 

674
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:42,920
And therefore, again, the story 
is you are doing something that 

675
00:37:42,920 --> 00:37:47,040
is morally wrong to hear. 
I am very happy to invoke the 

676
00:37:47,040 --> 00:37:49,600
concept of hypothetical consent,
Right? 

677
00:37:49,600 --> 00:37:51,560
And it's like, well, but would 
you have consented? 

678
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:54,400
Now, there are important limits 
on hypothetical consent. 

679
00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:58,800
Namely, if you can easily get 
real explicit consent, then get 

680
00:37:58,800 --> 00:38:03,280
it. 
However, if for some reason it 

681
00:38:03,280 --> 00:38:07,040
is just not doable, or the cost 
is enormous, then hypothetical 

682
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:10,680
consent makes a lot of sense. 
For example, if you see someone 

683
00:38:10,680 --> 00:38:14,040
is passed out from a heart 
attack, you can't get their 

684
00:38:14,040 --> 00:38:17,560
consent explicitly. 
And this is where it is totally 

685
00:38:17,560 --> 00:38:21,240
reasonable to say it is super 
likely they would consent to 

686
00:38:21,240 --> 00:38:23,880
being revived. 
Now if the person had a giant 

687
00:38:23,880 --> 00:38:27,120
shirt on or you know, his shirt 
on with giant letter saying if I

688
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:30,920
get a heart attack, absolutely 
do not revive me, then I would 

689
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:32,920
say all right, maybe there's an 
issue here. 

690
00:38:32,920 --> 00:38:37,080
But otherwise, or if they had 
actually told you, if I ever get

691
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:40,680
a heart attack I don't want to 
be revived, I refuse consent to 

692
00:38:40,680 --> 00:38:43,080
revival, then there's a moral 
issue. 

693
00:38:43,080 --> 00:38:47,080
But otherwise, no. 
And the same obviously goes for 

694
00:38:47,080 --> 00:38:49,840
having babies. 
We can't get their consent 

695
00:38:49,840 --> 00:38:53,960
before it happens, but we do 
know that almost everyone would 

696
00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:55,720
get would give consent if they 
could. 

697
00:38:55,720 --> 00:39:00,160
And that's plenty of moral 
justification for creating a 

698
00:39:00,160 --> 00:39:03,680
life. 
I love the chapter that people 

699
00:39:03,680 --> 00:39:06,560
should check out. 
Doctor Kaplan says, all right, 

700
00:39:06,560 --> 00:39:09,840
giving someone $100 Beth seen as
a nice thing to do. 

701
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:13,040
Giving someone life, is that a 
nice thing? 

702
00:39:13,240 --> 00:39:15,760
Well, that's actually really 
complex. 

703
00:39:16,600 --> 00:39:21,920
I just love this book so much. 
You discuss merit good, such as 

704
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:25,240
the opera or education. 
What is a merit good? 

705
00:39:26,160 --> 00:39:28,960
All right, this is a concept 
that economists came up with 

706
00:39:29,000 --> 00:39:32,440
really kind of reinventing the 
wheel of what ideas that are 

707
00:39:32,440 --> 00:39:34,920
already in velocity. 
But anyway, it's basically it's 

708
00:39:34,920 --> 00:39:38,600
a good where even if the person 
receiving it doesn't appreciate 

709
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:41,280
it, it still is wonderful that 
it exists. 

710
00:39:41,880 --> 00:39:44,760
All right, so philosophers might
talk about intrinsic value or 

711
00:39:44,760 --> 00:39:47,720
something like that. 
Economists had to multiply 

712
00:39:47,720 --> 00:39:49,160
vocabulary, so we call it a 
merit. 

713
00:39:49,160 --> 00:39:51,720
Good. 
This is an explanation that 

714
00:39:51,720 --> 00:39:54,880
economists will give like, well,
so we subsidized opera. 

715
00:39:54,960 --> 00:39:57,880
Sure, people could pay for it if
they wanted it, but opera is 

716
00:39:57,880 --> 00:40:02,120
just so freakishly awesome, even
if people don't appreciate it, 

717
00:40:02,120 --> 00:40:05,080
that we should do it and hope 
that maybe it's free. 

718
00:40:05,080 --> 00:40:07,640
People will come to their senses
and realize how great it is. 

719
00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:15,840
You recommend frugal living as 
opposed to financial assistance 

720
00:40:15,840 --> 00:40:18,680
when it comes to monetary 
well-being? 

721
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:22,720
This is in opposition to quite a
bit of what I hear. 

722
00:40:22,880 --> 00:40:25,200
It's that, well, people need 
more money. 

723
00:40:25,200 --> 00:40:27,120
People need more financial 
assistance. 

724
00:40:27,360 --> 00:40:30,320
The vice president came out and 
said, I'm going to start funding

725
00:40:30,320 --> 00:40:33,080
more small businesses. 
I'm going to start giving people

726
00:40:33,080 --> 00:40:35,680
a $25,000 tax credit on buying a
house. 

727
00:40:35,920 --> 00:40:39,800
Why is it people should focus 
more on frugal living as opposed

728
00:40:39,800 --> 00:40:43,320
to financial assistance? 
Well, from a self help point of 

729
00:40:43,320 --> 00:40:47,280
view, the main point obviously 
is you can't change the amount 

730
00:40:47,280 --> 00:40:48,480
of money the government hands 
out. 

731
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:51,360
I guess you'd go and apply for 
more programs, but basically 

732
00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:54,360
that's set by somebody else. 
So then the question is, what 

733
00:40:54,360 --> 00:40:57,280
should you be doing in order to 
go and help yourself? 

734
00:40:58,040 --> 00:41:03,040
What I say is that if in 
particular you, you have a 

735
00:41:03,040 --> 00:41:07,160
philosophy saying that material 
goods aren't that important and 

736
00:41:07,160 --> 00:41:09,840
quality of life is what counts. 
I said, look, you don't have to 

737
00:41:09,840 --> 00:41:12,200
wait for government. 
You don't have to wait for a 

738
00:41:12,200 --> 00:41:14,640
revolution. 
Just start doing it right now. 

739
00:41:14,960 --> 00:41:20,040
You can indeed go and just 
consume less and then use the 

740
00:41:20,040 --> 00:41:24,880
savings to either allow you to 
get a easier job or a job that's

741
00:41:24,880 --> 00:41:27,640
more pleasant, right? 
Or you can even just go and 

742
00:41:27,640 --> 00:41:29,440
start saving. 
So eventually you don't need to 

743
00:41:29,440 --> 00:41:32,400
work. 
Really the point of that piece 

744
00:41:32,400 --> 00:41:37,720
was to say anyone who sort of 
glorifies the simple life, it's 

745
00:41:38,040 --> 00:41:40,280
like you, this is something you 
don't have to wait for. 

746
00:41:41,320 --> 00:41:44,400
Now, I would also add, I think 
they know there are a lot of 

747
00:41:44,400 --> 00:41:47,400
people who work really hard and 
they spend a lot of money on 

748
00:41:47,400 --> 00:41:48,880
stuff that they don't enjoy very
much. 

749
00:41:49,320 --> 00:41:54,400
And I would tell them just as a 
friend, like, I think you should

750
00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:57,920
really think more about what 
you're spending money on. 

751
00:41:57,920 --> 00:42:01,240
And if you don't actually get 
joy out of it, then stop doing 

752
00:42:01,240 --> 00:42:02,920
it. 
You can then take that money and

753
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:05,600
save it. 
You can use that either in the 

754
00:42:05,600 --> 00:42:09,360
short run or maybe over the 
longer run to actually have a 

755
00:42:09,400 --> 00:42:12,040
better life in terms of what 
kind of work you do. 

756
00:42:13,360 --> 00:42:17,080
I think that is so true. 
I have gotten more joy out of 

757
00:42:17,120 --> 00:42:22,680
low cost spending money on 
travel and just I've stopped 

758
00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:25,240
going out to dinner just because
it's just not worth it. 

759
00:42:25,240 --> 00:42:28,080
I just invite people over to my 
place. 

760
00:42:28,320 --> 00:42:31,720
I mean the bills that you rack 
up between drinks and all the 

761
00:42:31,720 --> 00:42:35,880
food, I think going out to eat 
is just a huge 1 for me. 

762
00:42:37,000 --> 00:42:39,480
Yeah, yeah, sort of. 
My rule is I only go to 

763
00:42:39,480 --> 00:42:43,160
restaurants that cook food that 
I am not good at making myself. 

764
00:42:43,640 --> 00:42:46,160
Yeah. 
And of course it also has to be 

765
00:42:46,160 --> 00:42:48,440
good, right? 
So, but like, but just to go and

766
00:42:48,440 --> 00:42:50,600
spend money for an average 
mediocre restaurant? 

767
00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:52,160
No way. 
Like it's got to be great. 

768
00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:56,720
Oh, and and especially drinks 
'cause they're almost pouring 

769
00:42:56,720 --> 00:43:01,120
the same bottle that I could get
at Winco or Total Wine. 

770
00:43:02,760 --> 00:43:08,560
What is rent seeking? 
And seeking is a name that 

771
00:43:08,720 --> 00:43:12,320
economists have given to 
something that almost everybody 

772
00:43:12,320 --> 00:43:15,760
knew about before. 
It's basically spending 

773
00:43:15,760 --> 00:43:20,720
resources in order to get RE, in
order to get a a larger share of

774
00:43:20,720 --> 00:43:23,960
a fixed pie of resources, right?
So the classic example is 

775
00:43:23,960 --> 00:43:25,840
lobbying the government. 
You aren't going and creating 

776
00:43:25,840 --> 00:43:27,360
value. 
Instead, you go and lobby the 

777
00:43:27,360 --> 00:43:30,480
government and you try to get a 
bigger piece of the government's

778
00:43:30,480 --> 00:43:34,960
giveaways for yourself. 
The key inside of the idea is, 

779
00:43:35,240 --> 00:43:38,160
selfishly speaking, rent seeking
often really pays off. 

780
00:43:38,680 --> 00:43:42,120
You say, hey, why don't I go and
just try to go and grab a bigger

781
00:43:42,120 --> 00:43:46,360
share of that fixed pie. 
But from a social point of view,

782
00:43:46,560 --> 00:43:50,160
rent seeking is a bad thing 
because if all resources were 

783
00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:52,880
going into trying to get a 
larger share of a fixed pie, 

784
00:43:53,200 --> 00:43:57,080
then the amount of pie available
would be quite small. 

785
00:43:57,080 --> 00:43:59,920
Or really, principal could just 
go down to 0. 

786
00:44:00,520 --> 00:44:04,800
This is kind of what the worst 
civil wars look like is you have

787
00:44:04,800 --> 00:44:07,360
people murdering each other over
a can of corn. 

788
00:44:10,640 --> 00:44:14,120
On page 39 you discuss 
preferences versus meta 

789
00:44:14,120 --> 00:44:16,520
preferences. 
What is the difference between 

790
00:44:16,520 --> 00:44:18,960
these two? 
All right, so this is a concept 

791
00:44:18,960 --> 00:44:21,880
that philosophers invented and 
economists went and borrowed 

792
00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:24,680
very eagerly. 
The idea is like, you could have

793
00:44:24,680 --> 00:44:28,640
a preference for eating a big 
plate of pasta, but you could 

794
00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:32,240
also have a higher level 
preference to not do that, 

795
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:34,840
right? 
There's the internal struggle. 

796
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:37,560
Like on the one hand, I really 
want to drink, On the other 

797
00:44:37,560 --> 00:44:39,320
hand, I don't want to be an 
alcoholic. 

798
00:44:39,320 --> 00:44:44,080
Their intention, all right? 
Now, this has been a big part, 

799
00:44:44,080 --> 00:44:47,760
especially of behavioral 
economics saying that, look, a 

800
00:44:47,760 --> 00:44:50,480
lot of government regulation, 
especially paternalistic 

801
00:44:50,480 --> 00:44:54,000
regulation, it actually is 
really very sensible because 

802
00:44:54,240 --> 00:44:57,120
it's just government helping 
people to realize their true 

803
00:44:57,120 --> 00:44:59,120
preferences, their meta 
preferences. 

804
00:44:59,920 --> 00:45:01,840
I have a lot of things to say 
about this. 

805
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:05,200
I don't have a fundamental 
logical objection to it. 

806
00:45:05,560 --> 00:45:09,400
I'll just say that I think the 
concept is grossly over applied 

807
00:45:09,840 --> 00:45:13,440
in many ways. 
Most obviously, look, if you 

808
00:45:13,440 --> 00:45:16,520
really have this conflicting 
preference and meta preference, 

809
00:45:16,520 --> 00:45:19,720
and if the meta preference is 
really stronger, there is a nice

810
00:45:19,720 --> 00:45:22,840
website calledstick.com that 
will allow you to solve your own

811
00:45:22,840 --> 00:45:24,480
problem without any government 
at all. 

812
00:45:24,920 --> 00:45:27,720
This is a website where you make
a contract with someone else 

813
00:45:27,920 --> 00:45:31,560
where you have to pay money if 
you don't follow through on your

814
00:45:31,560 --> 00:45:34,360
own plan. 
A classic example. 

815
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:36,320
I think the founders of the 
website, they were both 

816
00:45:36,320 --> 00:45:40,120
overweight and they both did a a
deal with each other where they 

817
00:45:40,120 --> 00:45:42,960
said we will go and both be 
losing weight. 

818
00:45:43,200 --> 00:45:49,160
And whoever loses more weight 
will receive $1.00 or $10 per 

819
00:45:49,160 --> 00:45:52,440
pound of extra weight loss 
compared to the other. 

820
00:45:52,760 --> 00:45:55,720
And so it's like a bet, like I'm
betting I can lose more weight 

821
00:45:55,720 --> 00:46:00,160
than you and I my winnings will 
be $10 times the the difference 

822
00:46:00,160 --> 00:46:02,640
between the amount of weight 
that the two of us have lost. 

823
00:46:03,800 --> 00:46:06,440
What's striking is let's see. 
Have you heard of stick.com, 

824
00:46:06,480 --> 00:46:09,480
Keith? 
You said STICK. 

825
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,520
There's an extra K, so it's 
stick with an extra K at the 

826
00:46:12,520 --> 00:46:14,880
end. 
That's why it says something 

827
00:46:15,160 --> 00:46:16,400
totally. 
Different. 

828
00:46:16,400 --> 00:46:17,800
You never heard of it, right? 
No, no. 

829
00:46:18,320 --> 00:46:20,480
So, you know, like it's a 
reasonably successful minor 

830
00:46:20,480 --> 00:46:25,600
website, but what's notable is 
that it is not Google, it's not 

831
00:46:25,600 --> 00:46:28,960
Facebook, it's not a big 
website, nor are there any other

832
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:35,000
websites that are similar that 
are super successful, which I 

833
00:46:35,000 --> 00:46:39,880
say shows that in fact, most of 
what are supposed to be meta 

834
00:46:39,880 --> 00:46:42,680
preferences that people are just
struggling to realize. 

835
00:46:42,680 --> 00:46:44,680
But somehow freedom doesn't let 
them. 

836
00:46:45,160 --> 00:46:47,440
Freedom does let you go and 
realize your matter preferences.

837
00:46:47,440 --> 00:46:50,720
The real story is that most 
people do not want to change. 

838
00:46:52,080 --> 00:46:54,800
They what it what they call 
their meta preferences are 

839
00:46:54,800 --> 00:47:00,720
rather primarily a smokescreen 
or defense mechanism where you 

840
00:47:00,720 --> 00:47:03,760
go and say, look, I mean, I, I 
really love my family so much. 

841
00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:06,280
I just feel terrible about how 
my drinking is affecting you, 

842
00:47:06,280 --> 00:47:08,880
but I just can't stop. 
Oh, poor me. 

843
00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:14,000
It's like, or you value your 
drinking more than you value the

844
00:47:14,000 --> 00:47:17,520
welfare of your family. 
Actions speak louder than words 

845
00:47:18,040 --> 00:47:21,440
and that is my main take. 
So if you really did have a meta

846
00:47:21,440 --> 00:47:24,280
preference, you could solve the 
problem without without any help

847
00:47:24,280 --> 00:47:26,520
from government. 
The fact that hardly anybody 

848
00:47:26,520 --> 00:47:30,280
does, I say, shows that mostly 
this concept does not apply in 

849
00:47:30,280 --> 00:47:35,560
the real world. 
There is a great contradiction 

850
00:47:35,600 --> 00:47:38,720
between most of what we hear 
with both Democrats and 

851
00:47:38,720 --> 00:47:42,200
Republicans. 
They say if there is something 

852
00:47:42,200 --> 00:47:45,200
you disagree with about the 
federal government, you think 

853
00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:48,000
they're violating your freedoms,
you talk it over, you engage in 

854
00:47:48,000 --> 00:47:50,280
deliberative democracy, you 
vote. 

855
00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:55,000
And this is how you really sort 
of reorganize things. 

856
00:47:56,000 --> 00:48:00,240
But if there is a potential 
foreign threat from China or 

857
00:48:00,240 --> 00:48:04,120
Russia or Iraq or Yemen or 
Afghanistan, we need to declare 

858
00:48:04,120 --> 00:48:08,080
war and justify mass violence, 
especially against civilians. 

859
00:48:08,320 --> 00:48:10,920
It's totally fine if Kaiser 
Wilhelm ends up living in the 

860
00:48:10,920 --> 00:48:13,680
Netherlands for the rest of his 
life, so long as we get those 

861
00:48:13,680 --> 00:48:16,880
Germans you have. 
This is the blatant appeasement 

862
00:48:16,880 --> 00:48:19,320
contradiction. 
When our domestic government 

863
00:48:19,320 --> 00:48:21,840
violates our freedoms, you got 
to talk it over. 

864
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:25,280
Don't get aroused when it comes 
to foreign governments. 

865
00:48:25,320 --> 00:48:28,800
If there's even a potential we 
might have to nuke Beijing if 

866
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:32,840
they go into Taiwan. 
You discussed this in the Weekly

867
00:48:32,840 --> 00:48:36,480
Dominant Strategy section along 
with the benefits of 

868
00:48:36,560 --> 00:48:39,640
appeasement. 
What is your thesis on the 

869
00:48:39,640 --> 00:48:42,360
Weekly Dominant strategy and 
benefits of appeasement? 

870
00:48:43,520 --> 00:48:46,520
I mean just to back up. 
So I think you are exaggerating 

871
00:48:46,520 --> 00:48:49,480
how opposed to appeasement most 
governments are. 

872
00:48:49,800 --> 00:48:52,220
They usually just use a 
different word which is de 

873
00:48:52,220 --> 00:48:55,080
escalation. 
So appeasement is terrible, but 

874
00:48:55,080 --> 00:48:57,800
de escalation that's good. 
It's like it's just different 

875
00:48:57,800 --> 00:49:01,680
words for the same thing. 
But anyway, I do have this essay

876
00:49:01,680 --> 00:49:05,120
called My Life of Appeasement, 
where start off with this idea 

877
00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:08,000
that appeasement never works. 
Appeasement never works. 

878
00:49:08,000 --> 00:49:10,600
As soon as you appease, they 
just ratchet up their demands 

879
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:11,880
and it just gets worse and 
worse. 

880
00:49:11,880 --> 00:49:13,840
And you never should have given 
them to the 1st place. 

881
00:49:14,320 --> 00:49:17,720
And I say like, yeah, open your 
eyes. 

882
00:49:17,960 --> 00:49:21,880
Think about what you did today. 
Were you ever treated unfairly 

883
00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:23,440
by any human being? 
Today? 

884
00:49:23,880 --> 00:49:27,400
Most people say, yeah, OK, yeah.
Or what did you do about it? 

885
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:29,640
Yeah, like, nothing. 
All right. 

886
00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:32,360
Why not? 
And is it just because you were 

887
00:49:32,360 --> 00:49:35,840
an idiot, or is it because if 
you had escalated until you got 

888
00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:38,480
what you wanted, you didn't 
think it would actually work 

889
00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:41,800
out, right? 
And that's the truth is that 

890
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:45,440
escalation is playing with fire.
And usually when there's a 

891
00:49:45,440 --> 00:49:48,960
conflict, it is better just to 
go and humor people and give in.

892
00:49:49,280 --> 00:49:52,160
I'm not saying never go and 
assert yourself, but I'm saying 

893
00:49:52,160 --> 00:49:56,040
that appeasement is really 
underrated and often contrary to

894
00:49:56,040 --> 00:49:58,160
the story that as soon as you 
appease, once people ratchet up 

895
00:49:58,160 --> 00:50:01,920
their demands, like in the real 
world, what you usually see is 

896
00:50:02,080 --> 00:50:05,600
someone makes some demand, which
seems unreasonable to you, you 

897
00:50:05,600 --> 00:50:07,400
give it to them and that settles
the issue. 

898
00:50:08,120 --> 00:50:10,320
If someone bumps into you and 
they seem annoyed and you say 

899
00:50:10,320 --> 00:50:12,960
you're sorry and they'll say, 
oh, OK, no problem. 

900
00:50:13,240 --> 00:50:14,960
That's the that's what usually 
what happens. 

901
00:50:15,160 --> 00:50:17,600
It's very rare that they then 
pull their grocery cart back and

902
00:50:17,600 --> 00:50:20,720
shove it back into you again and
say apologize again, sucker. 

903
00:50:21,240 --> 00:50:24,400
That's not the way that things 
actually often work. 

904
00:50:25,280 --> 00:50:27,680
And in particular, the more you 
think about it, the more you 

905
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:31,120
realize, look, is it possible 
that what I'm thinking of as 

906
00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:33,880
unfair didn't seem unfair to 
that other person? 

907
00:50:33,880 --> 00:50:35,400
What would a neutral observer 
think? 

908
00:50:35,640 --> 00:50:38,440
Maybe I'm the one that's being 
hypersensitive rather than them 

909
00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:41,880
being insensitive. 
These are all good questions to 

910
00:50:41,880 --> 00:50:44,600
ask. 
And I say that in real life, in 

911
00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:46,880
general, most people would be 
better off with more 

912
00:50:46,880 --> 00:50:49,600
appeasement. 
You just think about people that

913
00:50:50,080 --> 00:50:52,440
do not practice appeasements. 
Where are they? 

914
00:50:52,560 --> 00:50:55,200
Heavily overrepresented? 
And I'll say, yeah, jail, 

915
00:50:56,320 --> 00:50:59,040
they're not Easers are heavily 
represented. 

916
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:01,600
These are people who went 
pushed, pushed back. 

917
00:51:02,240 --> 00:51:03,920
Sometimes it gets them what they
want. 

918
00:51:03,920 --> 00:51:07,800
But in the long run, they're 
doing 10 years in prison, right?

919
00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:11,080
They would have been way better 
off if they had been a lot less 

920
00:51:11,080 --> 00:51:15,680
macho and it just went and said,
oh, sorry, my mistake. 

921
00:51:16,040 --> 00:51:19,520
Even if it were you, even if you
might really think, well, it's 

922
00:51:19,520 --> 00:51:23,000
not really my mistake, but yes. 
And then yes, the same thing of 

923
00:51:23,000 --> 00:51:25,720
course holds true for countries 
and in actual international 

924
00:51:25,720 --> 00:51:28,120
relations, of course, countries 
again, appease each other all 

925
00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:30,600
the time. 
Appeasement is basically the 

926
00:51:30,600 --> 00:51:34,120
word that you throw out when you
are determined not to appease 

927
00:51:34,360 --> 00:51:36,960
and you want to pretend like 
it's always a good idea, rather 

928
00:51:36,960 --> 00:51:39,800
than something where you've got 
to go and think hard about the 

929
00:51:39,800 --> 00:51:45,600
facts. 
On page 62, you say money has 

930
00:51:45,600 --> 00:51:50,760
little effect on happiness, 
mentioning that you could have a

931
00:51:50,760 --> 00:51:54,880
great thing happen to you yet. 
Before long, however, hedonic 

932
00:51:54,880 --> 00:51:58,120
adaptation kicks in. 
All right, so money has little 

933
00:51:58,120 --> 00:52:02,080
effect on happiness. 
What does have a big effect on 

934
00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:04,640
happiness? 
What can I do to increase the 

935
00:52:04,640 --> 00:52:07,240
likelihood that I will 
experience happiness in my life?

936
00:52:07,720 --> 00:52:11,600
Yeah, the number one by far is 
spending more time with people 

937
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:16,320
whose company you enjoy, right? 
So that means getting a romantic

938
00:52:16,320 --> 00:52:18,840
partner that works for you, 
getting friends that work for 

939
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:21,120
you, getting a job that works 
for you. 

940
00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:24,320
Most people like their jobs, but
the main thing they like about 

941
00:52:24,320 --> 00:52:26,280
it is getting to work with the 
other people. 

942
00:52:26,640 --> 00:52:30,240
There's some great stuff on what
a what a big ticket lottery 

943
00:52:30,240 --> 00:52:32,560
winners do. 
Most of them go back to their 

944
00:52:32,560 --> 00:52:35,200
jobs after they go and have a 
spending spree. 

945
00:52:35,200 --> 00:52:37,860
And the main reason that they 
don't is just that their Co 

946
00:52:37,860 --> 00:52:39,560
workers don't treat them the 
same anymore. 

947
00:52:40,160 --> 00:52:42,640
Yes. 
So overwhelming importance is 

948
00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:47,560
good human relations. 
That is the very top score. 

949
00:52:47,560 --> 00:52:51,240
Something that it requires work 
but it's totally doable. 

950
00:52:51,720 --> 00:52:54,920
Also I would start there again 
since I am an economist and I do

951
00:52:54,920 --> 00:52:56,640
think a lot about material 
wealth. 

952
00:52:57,800 --> 00:53:01,640
A lot of the reason why money 
doesn't actually in the data 

953
00:53:01,640 --> 00:53:03,760
have have very much effect on 
happiness that people are not 

954
00:53:03,760 --> 00:53:07,560
spending it in very good ways. 
There's a lot of people who go 

955
00:53:07,560 --> 00:53:10,960
and put money down on things 
like a new car or granite 

956
00:53:10,960 --> 00:53:14,320
countertop where we've got very 
good evidence that people very 

957
00:53:14,320 --> 00:53:16,880
quickly get used to these things
and stop enjoying them. 

958
00:53:17,320 --> 00:53:20,720
On the other hand, they spend, 
they are a lot more a lot more a

959
00:53:20,960 --> 00:53:23,160
lot more reluctant to go and 
spend on things where they 

960
00:53:23,160 --> 00:53:26,600
clearly do make people happier. 
Things like paying for tolls to 

961
00:53:26,600 --> 00:53:31,560
get out of congestion, paying 
ASL cleaning lady to go and do 

962
00:53:31,560 --> 00:53:34,800
and clean your house so you 
don't have to, you know, so, you

963
00:53:34,800 --> 00:53:37,320
know, get avoiding drudgery, 
right? 

964
00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:41,600
But also going back to human 
beings going and spending money 

965
00:53:41,600 --> 00:53:44,440
doing things that you enjoy with
the people's company you enjoy. 

966
00:53:44,440 --> 00:53:48,080
So, I mean, I do know a few 
people actually like traveling 

967
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:51,680
alone, but that is unusual. 
Most of the joy travel is you 

968
00:53:51,680 --> 00:53:53,960
get to do it with a person whose
company you enjoy. 

969
00:53:55,720 --> 00:54:00,240
On page 66, you talk about the 
importance not of betting, but 

970
00:54:00,240 --> 00:54:04,760
especially a person's betting 
record being an indication of 

971
00:54:04,760 --> 00:54:12,080
their reputation when it comes 
to market actors and consumer 

972
00:54:12,080 --> 00:54:13,880
well-being and employee 
well-being. 

973
00:54:14,120 --> 00:54:16,800
What do you think is in the 
driver's seat for consumer 

974
00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:18,360
well-being and employee 
well-being? 

975
00:54:18,640 --> 00:54:21,600
Market reputation or state 
regulators? 

976
00:54:23,040 --> 00:54:24,520
Sorry, I'm not sure I understand
the question, Keith. 

977
00:54:26,600 --> 00:54:30,240
So there's basically 2 theories 
that I have seen. 

978
00:54:30,360 --> 00:54:34,800
The free market advocates say 
the reason that we have good 

979
00:54:34,800 --> 00:54:37,800
products and services, the 
reason we don't see 100% of 

980
00:54:38,000 --> 00:54:41,360
people earning minimum wage is 
competition, reputation. 

981
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:45,680
Other people say it's OSHA and 
it's the New Deal policies. 

982
00:54:45,800 --> 00:54:49,120
What is in the driver's seat 
when it comes to the wealth and 

983
00:54:49,120 --> 00:54:51,920
great things we see today? 
Is it reputation? 

984
00:54:51,920 --> 00:54:53,280
Something else? 
I get it. 

985
00:54:53,320 --> 00:54:54,040
All right. 
Yeah. 

986
00:54:54,040 --> 00:54:57,040
So business reputation is 
overwhelmingly more important 

987
00:54:57,040 --> 00:54:59,560
than anything that government 
does, obviously. 

988
00:54:59,920 --> 00:55:02,480
And you don't have to be an 
ideologue, you don't have to 

989
00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:04,480
have any philosophy. 
You don't have to go and study 

990
00:55:04,480 --> 00:55:07,480
economics. 
Just look at your own first hand

991
00:55:07,480 --> 00:55:11,800
experience. 
How often in your entire life 

992
00:55:12,040 --> 00:55:14,360
have you ever had a bad 
experience with a business and 

993
00:55:14,360 --> 00:55:16,520
contacted a regular regulator 
about it? 

994
00:55:17,640 --> 00:55:20,320
I don't care how progressive you
are, the answer is probably 0. 

995
00:55:20,600 --> 00:55:24,280
How often have you ever filed a 
lawsuit again? 

996
00:55:24,280 --> 00:55:26,720
Zero. 
How often have you, on the other

997
00:55:26,720 --> 00:55:29,120
hand, just gone and returned a 
product you didn't like? 

998
00:55:29,880 --> 00:55:33,720
Yeah, everybody does that. 
How often have you gone and just

999
00:55:33,720 --> 00:55:36,000
complained to the business and 
said that it wasn't 

1000
00:55:36,000 --> 00:55:38,120
satisfactory? 
Yeah, everybody does that. 

1001
00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:40,160
And why does everybody do these 
things? 

1002
00:55:40,240 --> 00:55:42,680
Because they totally 
demonstrably work. 

1003
00:55:43,040 --> 00:55:46,520
And on the other hand, why not 
contact regulators and file 

1004
00:55:46,520 --> 00:55:49,400
lawsuits? 
Because that is a total Hail 

1005
00:55:49,400 --> 00:55:52,720
Mary pass. 
It would be amazing if that got 

1006
00:55:52,720 --> 00:55:56,560
you anywhere, right? 
The truth is that businesses are

1007
00:55:57,040 --> 00:56:00,920
hyper concerned about what their
customers think and feel. 

1008
00:56:01,200 --> 00:56:03,960
And really all you need to do 
most of the time in order to get

1009
00:56:03,960 --> 00:56:06,720
better treatment is to speak up.
Does not mean that it is always 

1010
00:56:06,720 --> 00:56:10,080
great. 
The we all like we've all been 

1011
00:56:10,080 --> 00:56:13,760
on the consumer service, our 
customer support line for 

1012
00:56:13,760 --> 00:56:16,280
Verizon or something like that, 
like oh this is terrible. 

1013
00:56:16,680 --> 00:56:20,320
The reason why it registers as 
terrible is that the system 

1014
00:56:20,320 --> 00:56:22,480
almost always works. 
And then every now and then 

1015
00:56:22,480 --> 00:56:25,280
there's some screwed up part 
where you are totally 

1016
00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:28,080
frustrated, right. 
So, but on the other hand, 

1017
00:56:28,080 --> 00:56:30,720
imagine if every time something 
went wrong, you called up the 

1018
00:56:30,720 --> 00:56:33,040
regulator. 
Then it wouldn't just be that 

1019
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:35,400
you'd be frustrated two or three
times a year, Then you'd be 

1020
00:56:35,400 --> 00:56:37,920
frustrated every time you had a 
problem because calling up 

1021
00:56:37,920 --> 00:56:41,920
regulators or filing lawsuits is
just a terrible approach. 

1022
00:56:42,560 --> 00:56:46,920
Normally I would say that in 
markets, if there is one part of

1023
00:56:46,920 --> 00:56:49,760
the free market that isn't 
actually giving you good 

1024
00:56:50,000 --> 00:56:53,800
service, the solution is just to
find a different pressure point 

1025
00:56:53,800 --> 00:56:57,600
and push there, right? 
So this summer I had a horrible 

1026
00:56:57,600 --> 00:57:00,920
hacking experience on Expedia. 
Expedia wasn't helpful. 

1027
00:57:00,920 --> 00:57:02,640
The airlines involved weren't 
helpful. 

1028
00:57:02,960 --> 00:57:07,720
But guess who was helpful? 
Can you guess, Keith? 

1029
00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:11,960
Yeah, gosh, I can't remember the
name. 

1030
00:57:11,960 --> 00:57:15,040
I worked with these people. 
Would it have been Webroot? 

1031
00:57:15,560 --> 00:57:18,160
No, no, no, no, no. 
So something much simpler. 

1032
00:57:18,160 --> 00:57:21,440
It was my credit card company. 
Oh, credit card company solved 

1033
00:57:21,440 --> 00:57:25,000
the problem for me. 
So Expedia wouldn't wouldn't go 

1034
00:57:25,000 --> 00:57:27,080
and refund my money. 
They wouldn't go and fix the 

1035
00:57:27,080 --> 00:57:30,360
horrible problem. 
The but I just we just went to, 

1036
00:57:30,360 --> 00:57:32,760
we didn't even have to call the 
credit card company actually 

1037
00:57:32,760 --> 00:57:36,280
just go to the website. 
We go and dispute the dispute, 

1038
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:41,160
the relevant charges and we and 
the problem was just solved 

1039
00:57:41,160 --> 00:57:42,400
itself. 
That was it. 

1040
00:57:43,880 --> 00:57:46,720
Very good. 
Thinking, and by the way, this 

1041
00:57:46,720 --> 00:57:48,720
is actually another way the 
reputation works. 

1042
00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:53,600
You probably know, but maybe you
don't actually. 

1043
00:57:54,240 --> 00:57:57,880
So going and disputing a charge 
on your credit card is highly 

1044
00:57:57,880 --> 00:57:59,600
effective. 
Credit card companies almost 

1045
00:57:59,600 --> 00:58:02,400
always take your side even 
against a very large business. 

1046
00:58:02,880 --> 00:58:07,560
So like, that is your last line 
of defense, and it totally 

1047
00:58:07,560 --> 00:58:09,840
works. 
Anytime you're worried, maybe 

1048
00:58:09,840 --> 00:58:12,960
you'll be taken advantage of. 
So for example, I remember like 

1049
00:58:12,960 --> 00:58:17,280
27 years ago when I was moving 
down to Virginia, I was kind of 

1050
00:58:17,280 --> 00:58:19,840
concerned because I'd heard some
horror stories about movers 

1051
00:58:20,080 --> 00:58:22,160
going and giving you a low 
price. 

1052
00:58:22,400 --> 00:58:27,160
And then once all the stuff is 
in the truck, they go and say, 

1053
00:58:27,160 --> 00:58:29,120
yeah, well, before we can 
actually bring it to your house,

1054
00:58:29,120 --> 00:58:31,640
you're going to have to pay us 
another $700.00 or something 

1055
00:58:32,080 --> 00:58:33,720
anyway, but pay with credit 
card. 

1056
00:58:33,920 --> 00:58:37,120
And then if that happens, what 
you should do is say, fine, I'll

1057
00:58:37,120 --> 00:58:38,560
pay it. 
And then as soon as you got 

1058
00:58:38,560 --> 00:58:40,760
yourself back, then you 
instantly call the credit or 

1059
00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:43,240
contact the credit card company,
go to the website and dispute 

1060
00:58:43,240 --> 00:58:46,160
the charge and say what they did
and you almost certainly get 

1061
00:58:46,160 --> 00:58:49,760
your money back. 
Free market regulation. 

1062
00:58:49,800 --> 00:58:53,360
I love it. 
On page 99 you say you love 

1063
00:58:53,360 --> 00:58:56,480
education, yet you are very 
critical of the schooling 

1064
00:58:56,480 --> 00:58:57,800
system. 
Why is that? 

1065
00:59:00,160 --> 00:59:03,200
Let me just back up. 
So I'm the kind of person who 

1066
00:59:03,480 --> 00:59:07,200
has just loved reading and ideas
from the earliest age. 

1067
00:59:07,200 --> 00:59:09,880
I am a professor. 
The stuff gives great meaning to

1068
00:59:09,880 --> 00:59:14,520
my life. 
And yet when school say that's 

1069
00:59:14,520 --> 00:59:16,440
what we do, that's why we're so 
great. 

1070
00:59:16,440 --> 00:59:19,800
That's why we deserve all kinds 
of support from government and 

1071
00:59:19,800 --> 00:59:22,120
philanthropists. 
This is where I really do have 

1072
00:59:22,120 --> 00:59:27,160
to roll my eyes, because like, 
what you are giving is just a 

1073
00:59:27,160 --> 00:59:32,360
hollow shell of actual 
curiosity, of actual love of 

1074
00:59:32,360 --> 00:59:35,000
learning. 
What really goes on in almost 

1075
00:59:35,000 --> 00:59:39,160
all education is you've got a 
bunch of conscripts, the 

1076
00:59:39,160 --> 00:59:42,120
students who don't want to be 
there, who find it boring, 

1077
00:59:42,400 --> 00:59:48,240
listening to a teacher that is 
not actually exciting or 

1078
00:59:48,240 --> 00:59:50,760
motivating. 
And then often the material 

1079
00:59:50,760 --> 00:59:52,560
itself, it's like, all right, 
we're going to learn all the 

1080
00:59:52,560 --> 00:59:55,920
state capitals or whatever. 
It's like that's not something 

1081
00:59:55,920 --> 00:59:57,320
that's really important to 
learn. 

1082
00:59:57,320 --> 00:59:59,680
It's not something that would 
enrich my understanding of the 

1083
00:59:59,680 --> 01:00:02,840
human experience. 
So what I say is education is 

1084
01:00:02,840 --> 01:00:05,840
great if it has all the right 
ingredients, if you got students

1085
01:00:05,840 --> 01:00:10,080
that want to be there, 
professors who are masters of 

1086
01:00:10,080 --> 01:00:13,960
and passionate about their 
subject, and if the subject is 

1087
01:00:13,960 --> 01:00:15,840
actually something that really 
matters. 

1088
01:00:17,760 --> 01:00:20,240
I do add, of course, that there 
can be something that's very 

1089
01:00:20,240 --> 01:00:22,800
boring and the students are 
bored and the press are not 

1090
01:00:22,800 --> 01:00:26,880
exciting and it's worth teaching
it because it's a saves lives or

1091
01:00:26,880 --> 01:00:29,040
it gets buildings built. 
There's a lot of stuff that's 

1092
01:00:29,040 --> 01:00:31,000
just practical and it's not very
fun. 

1093
01:00:31,320 --> 01:00:33,160
Like, you know, like if I met 
someone who just said like, I'm 

1094
01:00:33,160 --> 01:00:36,720
just fascinated by plastics, 
like really all right. 

1095
01:00:36,960 --> 01:00:39,080
But like most people work in 
those industries or not, it's 

1096
01:00:39,320 --> 01:00:43,080
they provide a useful service 
and then the education is self 

1097
01:00:43,080 --> 01:00:47,280
justifying because it teaches 
people how to do a useful thing.

1098
01:00:47,280 --> 01:00:50,920
But if you're doing it for its 
own sake, that's where I'd say 

1099
01:00:50,920 --> 01:00:54,480
we need to have high quality. 
And regular school just has rock

1100
01:00:54,480 --> 01:00:58,320
bottom quality. 
Even very top schools usually 

1101
01:00:58,600 --> 01:01:03,040
just suck. 
The only clear exception I know 

1102
01:01:03,040 --> 01:01:06,080
is the University of Chicago, 
where the students there I have 

1103
01:01:06,080 --> 01:01:10,200
seen with my own eyes. 
They are just crazy motivated 

1104
01:01:10,200 --> 01:01:14,000
and the faculty not perfect, but
still unusually good. 

1105
01:01:14,280 --> 01:01:17,920
And yeah, they do focus on 
bigger questions, but other than

1106
01:01:17,920 --> 01:01:20,920
University of Chicago, I don't 
know of any real institution 

1107
01:01:20,920 --> 01:01:24,800
where they just have this great 
love of learning and curiosity. 

1108
01:01:26,920 --> 01:01:33,200
On page 68, you discuss the 
concept that there are widely 

1109
01:01:33,200 --> 01:01:37,640
accepted views today which were 
seen as insane a short time ago,

1110
01:01:37,920 --> 01:01:41,760
and this could give us some 
optimism with regard to terrible

1111
01:01:41,760 --> 01:01:45,080
things that are happening today.
If we'd like to radically change

1112
01:01:45,080 --> 01:01:48,240
public opinion, what are some of
the best examples you could 

1113
01:01:48,240 --> 01:01:51,800
think of of views that are 
widely accepted today, which in 

1114
01:01:51,800 --> 01:01:54,800
previous generations would have 
seen absolutely insane? 

1115
01:01:55,840 --> 01:01:58,360
Start with religious toleration.
You can't have two religions in 

1116
01:01:58,360 --> 01:02:00,800
one country. 
They'll all kill each other, all

1117
01:02:00,800 --> 01:02:01,960
right? 
And you got that one. 

1118
01:02:01,960 --> 01:02:05,120
You got general free speech. 
You can't just let people say 

1119
01:02:05,120 --> 01:02:08,400
what they want to say. 
It'll destroy society, right? 

1120
01:02:08,400 --> 01:02:11,760
And then you obviously slavery, 
like, you can't just let them be

1121
01:02:11,760 --> 01:02:13,480
free. 
Like, think about what will 

1122
01:02:13,480 --> 01:02:16,800
happen. 
So yeah, those are obvious ones.

1123
01:02:19,600 --> 01:02:24,440
Could you imagine being in 
America in 1860 or something 

1124
01:02:24,440 --> 01:02:27,480
like and it's like 3.9 million 
people. 

1125
01:02:27,680 --> 01:02:30,680
Yeah, definitely freedom's 
better than slavery. 

1126
01:02:31,040 --> 01:02:33,400
Well, none of them have an 
education. 

1127
01:02:33,400 --> 01:02:37,160
What's going to happen? 
We have this wolf by the ears, 

1128
01:02:37,160 --> 01:02:40,920
so to speak. 
It would be a little scary. 

1129
01:02:40,920 --> 01:02:44,240
I'm not justifying slavery or 
Jim Crow or anything that 

1130
01:02:44,240 --> 01:02:48,320
violates a non aggression 
principle, but you can see that 

1131
01:02:48,320 --> 01:02:51,720
there really are costs as well 
as benefits to these things. 

1132
01:02:51,960 --> 01:02:54,240
Yeah, I mean, someone who was 
really confident, workout great.

1133
01:02:54,240 --> 01:02:57,400
I would say. 
It's like, why are you so 

1134
01:02:57,400 --> 01:03:00,480
confident? 
And someone who knew history 

1135
01:03:00,480 --> 01:03:03,880
would even say, yeah, you know 
what happened when the when when

1136
01:03:03,880 --> 01:03:07,160
slavery was ended in Haiti, 
Genocide of the white 

1137
01:03:07,160 --> 01:03:09,600
population, right. 
With the exception of like a few

1138
01:03:09,600 --> 01:03:12,320
Poles, there were some Polish 
soldiers who fought with the 

1139
01:03:12,320 --> 01:03:14,160
Haitian revolutionary, so they 
got spared. 

1140
01:03:14,520 --> 01:03:16,880
But it really was a giant 
genocide. 

1141
01:03:17,400 --> 01:03:20,960
So like, doesn't it like not 
always does it work out, but 

1142
01:03:20,960 --> 01:03:24,560
still like it worked out way 
better than definitely. 

1143
01:03:25,640 --> 01:03:29,000
And for for the Haitian 
population, it didn't exactly 

1144
01:03:29,000 --> 01:03:31,480
turn into Singapore for the 
people. 

1145
01:03:31,480 --> 01:03:32,760
Who got their freedom? 
As well. 

1146
01:03:33,200 --> 01:03:36,160
Yes. 
On page 72 you talk about 

1147
01:03:36,200 --> 01:03:41,160
examples of the masses today 
being verifiably wrong even 

1148
01:03:41,160 --> 01:03:43,040
though they have access to the 
Internet. 

1149
01:03:43,320 --> 01:03:47,120
You use an example with a 
gentleman who had a bet with his

1150
01:03:47,760 --> 01:03:52,240
friend on the Wall Street 
Journal supporting open borders.

1151
01:03:52,240 --> 01:03:56,160
Yes, thank you. 
What are some examples today of 

1152
01:03:56,200 --> 01:03:59,800
the masses are verifiably wrong 
about something? 

1153
01:04:00,680 --> 01:04:02,160
Wow. 
I mean, where do you even start?

1154
01:04:02,160 --> 01:04:04,200
I mean, you could just do like, 
you know, crime rates. 

1155
01:04:04,200 --> 01:04:05,560
What's happening with crime 
rates? 

1156
01:04:05,880 --> 01:04:08,560
Or you could do racial 
differences in crime rates. 

1157
01:04:08,560 --> 01:04:12,240
That's one where I think people 
would realize the direction, but

1158
01:04:12,240 --> 01:04:15,680
just not the magnitude. 
So you'll have something like 

1159
01:04:16,040 --> 01:04:18,640
murder rates for blacks would be
7 or 8 times the white 

1160
01:04:18,640 --> 01:04:21,120
population. 
So that's just, you know, one 

1161
01:04:21,120 --> 01:04:24,840
random thing, you know, like, so
you know, bigger issues like how

1162
01:04:24,840 --> 01:04:27,080
much have living standards risen
over the last century? 

1163
01:04:28,200 --> 01:04:31,600
How much richer have poor 
countries gotten in the last 30 

1164
01:04:31,600 --> 01:04:36,120
years? 
So these are really obvious 

1165
01:04:36,120 --> 01:04:40,160
things that's and yet people are
quite shocked by. 

1166
01:04:40,440 --> 01:04:44,080
Here's another one inspired by 
Alex Epstein's fossil Fossil 

1167
01:04:44,080 --> 01:04:47,760
future. 
Total number of deaths from 

1168
01:04:47,760 --> 01:04:50,240
adverse climate events over the 
last century. 

1169
01:04:52,240 --> 01:04:55,960
It's gone from being really high
to basically 0 fact. 

1170
01:04:57,400 --> 01:05:00,880
On page one O 5 you discuss make
work bias. 

1171
01:05:00,880 --> 01:05:05,120
What is that? 
Make work bias is evaluating the

1172
01:05:05,480 --> 01:05:07,840
performance of an economy based 
upon employment rather than 

1173
01:05:07,840 --> 01:05:10,920
production. 
Very understandable during a 

1174
01:05:10,920 --> 01:05:13,160
period of high employment. 
And yet if you step back, it's 

1175
01:05:13,160 --> 01:05:16,120
like, well, we could just create
a bunch of jobs by having people

1176
01:05:16,120 --> 01:05:17,440
dig ditches and fill them up 
again. 

1177
01:05:17,440 --> 01:05:21,560
That won't make us rich. 
And yes, make work bias is a 

1178
01:05:21,560 --> 01:05:26,560
standard argument for locking 
obsolete technologies and 

1179
01:05:26,560 --> 01:05:30,480
business models into place. 
You can see it definitely with 

1180
01:05:30,480 --> 01:05:32,960
protectionism where there's 
another country that just gotten

1181
01:05:32,960 --> 01:05:34,880
better at doing something than 
your country. 

1182
01:05:35,200 --> 01:05:37,640
Well, let's go and save those 
jobs anyway. 

1183
01:05:37,640 --> 01:05:40,360
Bunch of people who are 
producing little value. 

1184
01:05:40,640 --> 01:05:43,520
Let's just protect their jobs 
and make the rest of society go 

1185
01:05:43,520 --> 01:05:45,840
and pay so that they don't need 
to go and find something else to

1186
01:05:45,840 --> 01:05:49,760
do. 
It's it is a very tempting idea 

1187
01:05:49,760 --> 01:05:52,640
and yet, when you think about 
it, a terrible one. 

1188
01:05:54,680 --> 01:05:58,400
What is the iron law of? 
I've only read this word, I've 

1189
01:05:58,400 --> 01:06:01,120
never said it out loud. 
What is the iron law of 

1190
01:06:01,240 --> 01:06:03,800
pedagogy? 
Yeah, Good. 

1191
01:06:03,800 --> 01:06:05,360
Yeah. 
So pedagogy or pedagogy? 

1192
01:06:05,360 --> 01:06:07,280
I think. 
I think I've heard it both ways,

1193
01:06:07,320 --> 01:06:08,520
as they say. 
OK, Yeah. 

1194
01:06:08,720 --> 01:06:10,880
So the iron law is a pedagogy, 
right? 

1195
01:06:10,880 --> 01:06:13,080
So iron law is a pedagogy. 
All right, first of all, 

1196
01:06:13,280 --> 01:06:16,200
students learn only a small 
fraction of what you teach. 

1197
01:06:17,920 --> 01:06:20,760
Anyone who's ever taught 
students knows this to be true. 

1198
01:06:20,760 --> 01:06:23,840
Like I've said this 10 times. 
How come you still don't know 

1199
01:06:23,840 --> 01:06:26,920
it? 
A lot of students don't know it.

1200
01:06:27,160 --> 01:06:30,960
You know, next iron law of 
pedagogy, Students retain only a

1201
01:06:30,960 --> 01:06:34,120
small fraction what they learn. 
You go and look at what the 

1202
01:06:34,120 --> 01:06:36,720
students knew on the day of the 
exam and it's like, all right, I

1203
01:06:36,720 --> 01:06:39,400
guess it's something. 
Come and ask them the same 

1204
01:06:39,400 --> 01:06:41,960
questions again in a few months,
like they've forgotten it all. 

1205
01:06:41,960 --> 01:06:45,080
What the hell, right? 
And then the Third Point, 

1206
01:06:45,280 --> 01:06:48,960
students apply only a very small
fraction of what they remember. 

1207
01:06:49,520 --> 01:06:53,000
Even if a student learns it, 
even if they remember it when 

1208
01:06:53,000 --> 01:06:55,320
the rubber meets the road and 
they have an opportunity to 

1209
01:06:55,320 --> 01:06:57,800
apply it in the real world, they
usually don't. 

1210
01:06:58,240 --> 01:07:01,960
You could use the Pythagorean 
theorem when you are figuring 

1211
01:07:01,960 --> 01:07:05,320
out measurements for your house,
but most people will just go and

1212
01:07:05,320 --> 01:07:07,680
do the measurements and will not
use the Pythagorean theorem. 

1213
01:07:07,880 --> 01:07:09,680
And you say, wait, what's that 
Pythagorean theorem again? 

1214
01:07:09,680 --> 01:07:13,040
Oh, yeah, it's the C is equal to
sqrt a ^2 + b ^2. 

1215
01:07:14,160 --> 01:07:16,880
Well, you realize you were just 
doing a diagonal of a right 

1216
01:07:16,880 --> 01:07:18,280
angle, so you could have done 
that. 

1217
01:07:18,280 --> 01:07:22,080
And yeah, most people don't. 
And then I think you can add a 

1218
01:07:22,160 --> 01:07:26,320
fourth iron law to pedagogy, 
which is that most people are 

1219
01:07:26,320 --> 01:07:32,760
very, most people are very bad 
at applying, transferring the 

1220
01:07:32,760 --> 01:07:35,520
way, whatever knowledge that 
they can apply in a narrow case 

1221
01:07:35,520 --> 01:07:37,720
to any broader case. 
Right. 

1222
01:07:37,720 --> 01:07:40,760
And this is all just the way the
world works. 

1223
01:07:41,040 --> 01:07:45,200
If you teach students in MIT 
then you might not have to 

1224
01:07:45,200 --> 01:07:48,320
experience the bitterness of 
this so often, but if you just 

1225
01:07:48,320 --> 01:07:52,440
get down one step from the very 
best students in the world, then

1226
01:07:52,440 --> 01:07:57,040
you will see it is really hard 
to teach anybody anything of any

1227
01:07:57,040 --> 01:08:01,080
value. 
So if I just want to be the 

1228
01:08:01,080 --> 01:08:07,240
greatest economist of all time 
and I want to learn and then 

1229
01:08:07,240 --> 01:08:11,640
maybe teach myself, how would I 
go about learning such a thing? 

1230
01:08:11,640 --> 01:08:14,920
And what advice would you want 
to give my teacher to make sure 

1231
01:08:14,920 --> 01:08:17,920
that I become the greatest 
economist of all time? 

1232
01:08:18,960 --> 01:08:20,920
Yeah, I mean, depending on where
you are, but honestly, I always 

1233
01:08:20,920 --> 01:08:23,200
tell people start with textbooks
they've got. 

1234
01:08:23,200 --> 01:08:25,399
There's a lot of screwed up 
stuff in textbooks, but still, 

1235
01:08:25,399 --> 01:08:29,279
it gives you a quick overview of
the field and will get you 

1236
01:08:29,279 --> 01:08:32,840
thinking, if you have a critical
mind at all, about what parts of

1237
01:08:32,840 --> 01:08:37,600
the textbook are more and less 
compelling in terms of how the 

1238
01:08:37,600 --> 01:08:40,000
teacher can go and help you. 
I mean, most of it is 

1239
01:08:40,000 --> 01:08:42,160
motivational. 
We're all to say, look, you've 

1240
01:08:42,160 --> 01:08:44,240
got to make it fun. 
Make it funny. 

1241
01:08:44,520 --> 01:08:46,520
Don't take yourself so 
seriously. 

1242
01:08:47,080 --> 01:08:48,920
Sell your field. 
Sell your field. 

1243
01:08:48,920 --> 01:08:51,840
Be like always be telling your 
students this is what economics 

1244
01:08:51,840 --> 01:08:54,000
illuminates in the real world. 
This is something from real 

1245
01:08:54,000 --> 01:08:56,600
life, something from your own 
experience that you will 

1246
01:08:56,600 --> 01:08:59,200
understand better as a result. 
Of course, most students, 

1247
01:08:59,200 --> 01:09:00,920
there's just no way of reaching 
them at all. 

1248
01:09:00,920 --> 01:09:04,800
So hard truth. 
But this is how you do the best 

1249
01:09:04,800 --> 01:09:09,720
that you can. 
On page 111 I'm keeping an eye 

1250
01:09:09,720 --> 01:09:11,279
on the time. 
I know you got to go in 5 

1251
01:09:11,279 --> 01:09:15,279
minutes. 
Page 111 you have an objection 

1252
01:09:15,279 --> 01:09:20,680
to egalitarianism focusing on 
grade merit verse income merit. 

1253
01:09:20,920 --> 01:09:24,080
Can you walk us through what 
egalitarianism is? 

1254
01:09:25,120 --> 01:09:28,479
Because I think it is straw 
manned a lot and what your 

1255
01:09:28,479 --> 01:09:32,040
objection is to egalitarianism? 
Yeah, well, simple version of 

1256
01:09:32,040 --> 01:09:35,040
egalitarianism is if you're 
going to eat that candy, you 

1257
01:09:35,040 --> 01:09:36,359
have to share it equally with 
everyone. 

1258
01:09:37,240 --> 01:09:40,600
You bring it up for everyone. 
Everyone can get 130th of your 

1259
01:09:40,600 --> 01:09:42,359
chocolate bar or something like 
that. 

1260
01:09:43,080 --> 01:09:45,240
All right, so that's the 
simplest version. 

1261
01:09:46,120 --> 01:09:48,040
I would say. 
It's not a straw man to say that

1262
01:09:48,040 --> 01:09:51,760
a lot of people just think that 
the more equal things are, the 

1263
01:09:51,760 --> 01:09:56,560
better, no matter what. 
Right now, if you are something 

1264
01:09:56,560 --> 01:09:59,680
that is handing out grades and 
the question is, so should I 

1265
01:09:59,680 --> 01:10:01,640
just give the average grade to 
every student regardless of 

1266
01:10:01,640 --> 01:10:04,560
their work? 
You might say, well, this will 

1267
01:10:04,560 --> 01:10:07,160
give bad incentives or whatever.
All right, so I suppose there 

1268
01:10:07,160 --> 01:10:09,840
are new incentives and just a 
matter of I could either give BS

1269
01:10:09,840 --> 01:10:11,920
to everyone or I could give ACE 
to the students that know the 

1270
01:10:11,920 --> 01:10:15,160
material and CS to the ones that
don't really know the material. 

1271
01:10:15,720 --> 01:10:16,960
All right, what should I do 
then? 

1272
01:10:17,320 --> 01:10:21,120
And I say, look, I would just 
think it's wrong to go and give 

1273
01:10:21,120 --> 01:10:25,080
the same grades to people who 
know different amounts of stuff.

1274
01:10:25,080 --> 01:10:28,080
I'd say the people that have 
learned the material have done 

1275
01:10:28,080 --> 01:10:30,880
well and they just, they have 
earned their As and they're 

1276
01:10:30,880 --> 01:10:33,400
entitled to them and it doesn't 
really matter what the 

1277
01:10:33,400 --> 01:10:36,200
consequences are. 
And on the other hand, the 

1278
01:10:36,200 --> 01:10:38,600
people that don't know the 
material, like they deserve 

1279
01:10:38,600 --> 01:10:42,480
those low grades, like they 
didn't learn it and so they do 

1280
01:10:42,480 --> 01:10:45,680
not merit those higher grades. 
I'd say a lot of people are 

1281
01:10:45,680 --> 01:10:48,280
comfortable with this, but then 
it like even very left wing 

1282
01:10:48,280 --> 01:10:50,960
professors are not comfortable 
giving A's to students that 

1283
01:10:50,960 --> 01:10:53,600
never showed up. 
And then it's like, well, why 

1284
01:10:53,600 --> 01:10:55,880
don't we think about the economy
in the same way? 

1285
01:10:56,280 --> 01:10:59,720
Like, it's just not right that 
someone that really produced a 

1286
01:10:59,720 --> 01:11:03,280
lot of value got would get paid 
the same amount of someone that 

1287
01:11:03,280 --> 01:11:06,120
didn't. 
And never mind the incentive 

1288
01:11:06,120 --> 01:11:08,840
effect, which is also important,
but even without the incentive 

1289
01:11:08,840 --> 01:11:12,000
effect, shouldn't someone that 
did better actually get the 

1290
01:11:12,000 --> 01:11:14,640
rewards? 
You can also think about this as

1291
01:11:14,640 --> 01:11:18,640
like at the Olympics, should 
everybody get a medal, right? 

1292
01:11:18,760 --> 01:11:20,880
And you know, and furthermore, 
to say, well, you don't really 

1293
01:11:20,880 --> 01:11:22,800
deserve your gold medal cause 
your parents really helped you. 

1294
01:11:22,800 --> 01:11:25,520
It's like, you know, it's true. 
My parents helped me and I 

1295
01:11:25,520 --> 01:11:27,120
couldn't have gotten here 
without my parents, but I'm 

1296
01:11:27,120 --> 01:11:29,080
still the fastest runner on 
earth. 

1297
01:11:29,080 --> 01:11:31,120
Give me my gold medal. 
I deserve it. 

1298
01:11:32,080 --> 01:11:35,440
Oh please don't give the world 
gold medal inflation. 

1299
01:11:37,120 --> 01:11:40,920
How can I differentiate between 
a good economist and a bad 

1300
01:11:40,920 --> 01:11:44,960
economist? 
Well, there is the classic line 

1301
01:11:44,960 --> 01:11:48,800
from Henry Hazlett saying that a
bad economist only thinks about 

1302
01:11:49,000 --> 01:11:51,520
the effects in the short run and
only the immediate facts, 

1303
01:11:51,520 --> 01:11:54,320
whereas a good of an economist 
thinks about the more distant 

1304
01:11:54,320 --> 01:11:55,960
effects and the effects in the 
long run. 

1305
01:11:56,400 --> 01:12:00,640
I think that's a pretty good way
to start, although actually I 

1306
01:12:00,640 --> 01:12:05,120
think I would probably say it 
differently and rather say, 

1307
01:12:05,120 --> 01:12:09,200
look, a a good economist is one 
that scrupulously avoids social 

1308
01:12:09,200 --> 01:12:12,600
desirability bias, that makes a 
strong effort not to go and 

1309
01:12:12,600 --> 01:12:16,960
sugarcoat the truth, doesn't try
to figure out a way to make the 

1310
01:12:17,000 --> 01:12:19,800
results socially acceptable, and
instead just describes the world

1311
01:12:19,800 --> 01:12:23,920
really bluntly as it is. 
You know, my view is most of the

1312
01:12:23,920 --> 01:12:27,680
value additive economics is that
it is the one social science 

1313
01:12:27,920 --> 01:12:32,400
where there is a strong 
tradition of just speaking very 

1314
01:12:32,400 --> 01:12:36,440
candidly, no matter how 
offensive what we're saying is 

1315
01:12:36,440 --> 01:12:39,280
to the rest of the world. 
And that's why we make a lot 

1316
01:12:39,280 --> 01:12:42,280
more progress in understanding 
the human condition than other 

1317
01:12:42,280 --> 01:12:46,160
fields where they've got tools 
that are good, but they're just 

1318
01:12:46,160 --> 01:12:49,560
handcuffed by their own fear of 
offending other people. 

1319
01:12:51,920 --> 01:12:55,600
So I have heard the line so many
times since the debate that 

1320
01:12:55,600 --> 01:12:59,240
Americans are as divided as 
ever, as if there wasn't a civil

1321
01:12:59,240 --> 01:13:02,200
war or the Kent State shootings 
of OK. 

1322
01:13:02,240 --> 01:13:06,240
So the point is, people think 
this is a really bad situation. 

1323
01:13:06,240 --> 01:13:10,600
We got on our hands. 
What is something you would say 

1324
01:13:10,600 --> 01:13:13,360
if you were the Martin Luther 
King Junior of today? 

1325
01:13:13,600 --> 01:13:17,520
What is a message you would give
to Americans in hopes of 

1326
01:13:17,720 --> 01:13:22,680
unifying them in a positive way?
That's common, that would lead 

1327
01:13:22,680 --> 01:13:24,120
to peace? 
Because I'm afraid the only way 

1328
01:13:24,120 --> 01:13:28,160
they can unify us is war against
China or war against Russia. 

1329
01:13:28,960 --> 01:13:31,280
Seems like the only thing we 
have in common is we fought 

1330
01:13:31,280 --> 01:13:33,000
those National Socialists 
together. 

1331
01:13:33,360 --> 01:13:36,600
So what is a message you would 
give to the masses to unify 

1332
01:13:36,600 --> 01:13:39,320
blacks, whites, men, women, 
Americans? 

1333
01:13:39,840 --> 01:13:43,440
This is going to sound crazy, 
but I'm just going to go back to

1334
01:13:43,520 --> 01:13:44,960
the book before the one we're 
talking about. 

1335
01:13:44,960 --> 01:13:47,640
Build, BB, build. 
Finally, here's the message that

1336
01:13:47,640 --> 01:13:50,680
all that we need to talk about 
Let's deregulate housing. 

1337
01:13:50,880 --> 01:13:53,920
Housing is crazy expensive. 
Government strangled it, and if 

1338
01:13:53,920 --> 01:13:58,000
we would just go and deregulate 
housing, it would lead to 

1339
01:13:58,680 --> 01:14:01,240
massive economic growth, rising 
living standards, lower 

1340
01:14:01,240 --> 01:14:04,800
inequality, lower poverty, lower
crime, more babies. 

1341
01:14:05,040 --> 01:14:08,760
Let's just put aside all these 
other arguments and just get 

1342
01:14:08,760 --> 01:14:13,000
together and take a flamethrower
to the building code and the 

1343
01:14:13,000 --> 01:14:17,920
land use regulation. 
That is what IA message that is 

1344
01:14:17,920 --> 01:14:20,800
totally constructive. 
And as I argue in Bill baby 

1345
01:14:20,800 --> 01:14:24,320
build, both liberals and 
conservatives, people of all 

1346
01:14:24,320 --> 01:14:28,080
ideological views who are at 
least a little reasonable should

1347
01:14:28,080 --> 01:14:32,600
be able to agree on this. 
And it's a big project to go and

1348
01:14:32,600 --> 01:14:36,200
get rid of height restrictions, 
multi family restrictions, 

1349
01:14:36,200 --> 01:14:38,960
minimum lot size, parking 
regulations, historic 

1350
01:14:38,960 --> 01:14:41,640
reservation regulations, just to
get rid of all this stuff. 

1351
01:14:42,000 --> 01:14:45,520
It's a massive project, would 
take a lot of time, and 

1352
01:14:45,520 --> 01:14:48,760
something that we could all do 
together for our own reasons, 

1353
01:14:49,240 --> 01:14:52,680
which from our own philosophical
views makes sense. 

1354
01:14:53,200 --> 01:14:56,240
I don't think I could actually 
sell this, but in terms of an 

1355
01:14:56,240 --> 01:15:01,200
idea that deserves to be a 
common goal that we can agree on

1356
01:15:01,200 --> 01:15:04,720
and without agreeing on the 
rationale, agree on the 

1357
01:15:04,720 --> 01:15:09,240
destination, I think housing 
deregulation is a great one. 

1358
01:15:10,520 --> 01:15:13,240
Thank you to everyone for 
watching the Libertarian 

1359
01:15:13,240 --> 01:15:15,880
Institute and Keith Knight Don't
tread on anyone. 

1360
01:15:16,000 --> 01:15:20,840
The book is self help is like a 
vaccine essays on better living.

1361
01:15:20,840 --> 01:15:25,120
Find it exclusively at Amazon. 
Doctor Kaplan, thank you so much

1362
01:15:25,120 --> 01:15:27,520
for your time. 
Thank you very much and $12.00 

1363
01:15:27,520 --> 01:15:29,560
for the paperback and 999 for 
the ebook. 

1364
01:15:29,840 --> 01:15:33,480
Despite tons of abide inflation,
I have not raised the price. 

1365
01:15:34,320 --> 01:15:35,840
Worth every penny.
