1 00:00:11,440 --> 00:00:15,320 Good evening Draco. Glad to have you back with me 2 00:00:15,320 --> 00:00:17,720 again. Another show on a Wednesday. 3 00:00:18,600 --> 00:00:21,640 Been been switched up the schedule a little bit the last 4 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:23,840 two weeks. We just had some conflicts on 5 00:00:23,840 --> 00:00:28,360 Tuesday nights, but next week we will be back to our usual time 6 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:31,230 slot on Tuesday. So don't worry everyone, We 7 00:00:31,230 --> 00:00:34,830 won't be messing with your weekly viewing and content 8 00:00:34,830 --> 00:00:39,790 consumption routine. This is AI mean, I say it every 9 00:00:39,790 --> 00:00:44,030 week, another kind of wild week. I mean, Justin Fields, Anthony 10 00:00:44,030 --> 00:00:46,510 Richardson is officially done for the season Now. 11 00:00:46,950 --> 00:00:51,510 Justin Fields dislocates his thumb, and you know, that's 12 00:00:51,510 --> 00:00:53,030 because he's a Russian quarterback. 13 00:00:53,030 --> 00:00:55,670 It's it's more likely, actually, that you dislocate your thumb if 14 00:00:55,670 --> 00:00:57,870 you're a Russian quarterback all those miles you put on the 15 00:00:57,870 --> 00:01:00,580 thumb. He he'll never be able to hold a 16 00:01:00,580 --> 00:01:03,540 football again. No, no, yeah, probably. 17 00:01:03,700 --> 00:01:06,540 Probably his career is over. I I kid. 18 00:01:06,540 --> 00:01:12,180 But I mean another week, another shake up of the fantasy football 19 00:01:12,180 --> 00:01:15,660 landscape. I feel like with a season with 20 00:01:15,660 --> 00:01:18,980 this much chaos and I I think that we can officially say at 21 00:01:18,980 --> 00:01:20,860 this point there's been a little. 22 00:01:21,300 --> 00:01:23,780 I mean every season is chaotic. That's the nature of the game 23 00:01:23,780 --> 00:01:25,700 that we play. That's the nature of football, 24 00:01:25,700 --> 00:01:29,950 the sport in general. But I I feel like we dialed the 25 00:01:29,950 --> 00:01:33,670 chaos up to 11 for this season, just with all the injuries that 26 00:01:33,670 --> 00:01:36,310 we've had. I mean, Mikko Hardman is back to 27 00:01:36,310 --> 00:01:37,630 the Chiefs now. How? 28 00:01:38,230 --> 00:01:42,350 I mean, shit, we've had two trades this season where a team 29 00:01:42,350 --> 00:01:47,150 had gotten rid of a player and then traded for them back. 30 00:01:47,150 --> 00:01:51,230 Afterwards, we had JC Jackson going from the Chargers back to 31 00:01:51,230 --> 00:01:54,710 the Patriots in a trade, and then we had Miko Hartman going 32 00:01:54,710 --> 00:01:56,750 from The Jets back to the Chiefs. 33 00:01:56,750 --> 00:01:59,590 I feel that just seems so wild to me. 34 00:02:00,030 --> 00:02:03,350 I I don't know the last. I have a hard time understanding 35 00:02:03,350 --> 00:02:06,430 it as well, just because why didn't they just pay him the 36 00:02:06,430 --> 00:02:10,270 money in the 1st place? And now I know he got a signing 37 00:02:10,270 --> 00:02:13,510 bonus that they won't have to pay, but it's still structured 38 00:02:13,510 --> 00:02:16,670 to hit. It's still structured to spread 39 00:02:16,670 --> 00:02:19,110 out over. I think like five years or 40 00:02:19,110 --> 00:02:20,950 something like so they're they're still assuming that the 41 00:02:20,950 --> 00:02:23,630 cap hit. Unless they're really stingy 42 00:02:23,630 --> 00:02:27,590 about actual cash payouts, it doesn't make a lot of sense. 43 00:02:27,990 --> 00:02:32,030 And one day I just while you're talking about like the maximum 44 00:02:32,030 --> 00:02:37,590 chaos it did, it does feel like we've gotten very chaotic 45 00:02:37,590 --> 00:02:42,310 scenarios in lots of different ways where you've you've got the 46 00:02:42,310 --> 00:02:45,910 injuries, yes, but then we've also had these late round 47 00:02:45,910 --> 00:02:49,490 breakouts. At what seems like a much higher 48 00:02:51,010 --> 00:02:55,970 frequency or rate than before, where you've had Kyron, you had 49 00:02:56,170 --> 00:03:02,130 Puka and Nakua, even Rashid, Shahid has been a pretty good 50 00:03:02,130 --> 00:03:05,130 hit. Like, it feels like you're 51 00:03:05,130 --> 00:03:09,570 getting a couple of different ways of chaos and. 52 00:03:09,570 --> 00:03:13,530 And and definitely has been hard to, hard to keep up. 53 00:03:14,820 --> 00:03:18,300 Yeah, absolutely. I think at this point in the 54 00:03:18,300 --> 00:03:22,900 fantasy season, what we can do to best take advantage of these 55 00:03:22,900 --> 00:03:25,460 situations is just really try and parse through the data, 56 00:03:25,460 --> 00:03:29,180 think critically about what it's telling us and just try to try 57 00:03:29,180 --> 00:03:33,180 to have that, you know, leg up on our opponents and just maybe 58 00:03:33,180 --> 00:03:37,060 get to the correct conclusions one beat quicker than they can. 59 00:03:37,500 --> 00:03:39,980 And there's a couple really interesting things that I saw 60 00:03:39,980 --> 00:03:42,840 when I was putting together the charts this week that I think 61 00:03:42,840 --> 00:03:46,680 are going to lead to some actionable advantages for people 62 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:49,200 so excited to get into the charts here. 63 00:03:49,520 --> 00:03:52,480 All right. Not going to get a better segue 64 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:55,920 than that. So let's let's jump right into 65 00:03:55,920 --> 00:04:00,520 it was so before before I ask you what were there any 66 00:04:00,520 --> 00:04:05,200 quarterback related takes there just to explain this chart on 67 00:04:05,200 --> 00:04:08,000 the vertical axis you've got touched down, right, pretty 68 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,830 straightforward. And then on a horizontal axis, 69 00:04:10,830 --> 00:04:14,710 you've got adjusted yards per attempt, which is pretty similar 70 00:04:14,710 --> 00:04:18,470 to yards per attempt, but it rewards touchdowns and punishes 71 00:04:18,470 --> 00:04:21,709 interceptions. So it it has that adjustment 72 00:04:22,029 --> 00:04:26,870 just to just to be a holistic measure of these quarterbacks, 73 00:04:27,950 --> 00:04:31,790 Efficiency per attempt. And then the size of the bubble 74 00:04:31,790 --> 00:04:33,990 corresponds to rushing yards per game. 75 00:04:35,790 --> 00:04:38,030 Good, good breakdown of the chart there. 76 00:04:38,770 --> 00:04:42,130 My, my first thing that I saw when I was putting together this 77 00:04:42,130 --> 00:04:46,210 chart is that for the most part, there's not a difference at the 78 00:04:46,210 --> 00:04:50,770 quarterback position, right? And that was, I want to say like 79 00:04:50,770 --> 00:04:54,490 a core thesis or premise that I was drafting a lot of my best 80 00:04:54,490 --> 00:04:59,550 ball teams surrounding this offseason, that the difference 81 00:04:59,630 --> 00:05:03,270 at quarterback was being overblown and and the market was 82 00:05:03,270 --> 00:05:06,070 pricing them like there were. These and what you're referring 83 00:05:06,070 --> 00:05:08,350 to here is we've just got this BLOB in the middle. 84 00:05:08,390 --> 00:05:13,230 Yeah, look at look at the middle and and really when I'm looking 85 00:05:13,230 --> 00:05:16,150 at it like the TD rate stuff, like yes, there's some guys that 86 00:05:16,150 --> 00:05:19,880 are separating a TD rate. For most of those I don't care 87 00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:22,360 too terribly much. I I think a lot of the TD rate 88 00:05:22,360 --> 00:05:25,360 stuff is either going to be noisy or it could just be 89 00:05:25,360 --> 00:05:28,920 systemic in that the offense is just so much more likely to be 90 00:05:28,920 --> 00:05:32,040 rushing touchdowns and then throwing them depending on how 91 00:05:32,040 --> 00:05:35,560 that specific offense for the specific quarterback decides to 92 00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:37,600 run, especially when they get into the Green Zone. 93 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:40,840 But when you look at the adjusted yards per attempt, 94 00:05:41,360 --> 00:05:45,820 everyone is clustered there basically between like 6.5 and 95 00:05:45,820 --> 00:05:48,460 7.5. And then you've got your couple 96 00:05:48,460 --> 00:05:51,260 outliers like your Tuas, your Brock Purdy, your Jared Goff, 97 00:05:51,260 --> 00:05:54,460 your Josh Allen and and everyone else is basically the same. 98 00:05:54,460 --> 00:05:57,220 And then you've got your outliers on on the downside too, 99 00:05:57,220 --> 00:06:00,100 where Mack Jones, standard own Zack Wilson, Joe Burrow, et 100 00:06:00,100 --> 00:06:04,700 cetera. Just a question for you here CJ 101 00:06:04,700 --> 00:06:08,540 Strad was somebody where we noted highly efficient your 102 00:06:08,540 --> 00:06:12,180 adjusted yardage, yardage for attempt but. 103 00:06:12,540 --> 00:06:15,820 Not necessarily getting up there in the touchdown rate, not bad 104 00:06:15,820 --> 00:06:20,220 on the touchdown rate, but not in line with his yards. 105 00:06:20,220 --> 00:06:25,460 His touchdown rate is not in is not as good as his yardage rate. 106 00:06:25,900 --> 00:06:31,140 Do you think that's a case where it's sort of like the offensive 107 00:06:31,500 --> 00:06:35,940 scheme is keeping him out of the end zone or do you think that 108 00:06:35,940 --> 00:06:40,460 that that that still feels like to me potential further upside? 109 00:06:40,870 --> 00:06:41,430 Yeah. And. 110 00:06:41,430 --> 00:06:45,430 And we we started to see it a little bit you know #1, his 111 00:06:45,430 --> 00:06:48,750 yardage did come down this week but he did have a couple passing 112 00:06:48,750 --> 00:06:52,190 touchdowns. What what I think that it is, is 113 00:06:52,190 --> 00:06:56,790 it's indicative of the fact that it gets a lot harder to have 114 00:06:56,790 --> 00:06:58,630 successful plays when the field shrinks. 115 00:06:58,630 --> 00:06:59,990 And he's he's a rookie quarterback. 116 00:06:59,990 --> 00:07:03,340 He's doing phenomenal. I mean CJ Stroud is you know 117 00:07:03,380 --> 00:07:06,060 favorite for Offensive Rookie of the Year as he should be. 118 00:07:06,060 --> 00:07:08,980 He's he's crushing. I'm very excited to watch him, 119 00:07:09,140 --> 00:07:11,060 you know, and and see how his career plays out. 120 00:07:11,540 --> 00:07:15,140 But I just think that as a rookie you're asking so much to 121 00:07:15,820 --> 00:07:19,300 say like, OK and now I need you to go be successful and convert 122 00:07:19,300 --> 00:07:22,580 at a high rate in the red zone. That's just a difficult, it's a 123 00:07:22,580 --> 00:07:25,860 big ask, you know. And so I I think it's something 124 00:07:25,860 --> 00:07:28,820 where we could see him improve as he continues to grow as a 125 00:07:28,820 --> 00:07:30,830 quarterback. And I also think it's something 126 00:07:30,830 --> 00:07:33,030 where even without any improvement, he probably had a 127 00:07:33,030 --> 00:07:35,830 little room for positive regression and we did start to 128 00:07:35,830 --> 00:07:38,390 see that we we see him moving up a little bit on the chart. 129 00:07:38,390 --> 00:07:42,070 He was lower. I want to segue that into my big 130 00:07:42,070 --> 00:07:46,390 take away for this week and a a part of this is just the way 131 00:07:46,390 --> 00:07:48,390 that the main slate shakes out this week. 132 00:07:48,670 --> 00:07:54,150 You don't have Tua or the 49ers on the main slate you know so 133 00:07:54,150 --> 00:07:58,390 you're you're ending up with you know Texans are on by a lot of 134 00:07:58,390 --> 00:08:03,550 lot of good teams on by here in this week 7 by but you've got 135 00:08:03,550 --> 00:08:08,350 these quarterbacks of Josh Allen Jared Goff Lamar Jackson Justin 136 00:08:08,350 --> 00:08:11,670 Herbert kind of you know and Russell Wilson really in the 137 00:08:11,910 --> 00:08:15,310 good area of the chart that we're looking at is OK these 138 00:08:15,310 --> 00:08:19,580 might be the guys that are are leading the charge Pat Mahomes 139 00:08:19,580 --> 00:08:22,700 obviously leading the charge this week at quarterback and the 140 00:08:22,700 --> 00:08:25,980 one that I'm most interested in is Lamar Jackson. 141 00:08:26,860 --> 00:08:30,660 You see again the size of his data point here, representing 142 00:08:30,660 --> 00:08:35,340 his rushing yards per game. And I I really love the spot for 143 00:08:35,340 --> 00:08:38,740 him because he's playing against a competent offense in Detroit 144 00:08:38,980 --> 00:08:41,500 where when they're pushed, Detroit's willing to throw the 145 00:08:41,500 --> 00:08:44,780 ball. When when they're beaten the 146 00:08:44,780 --> 00:08:48,220 pants off teams, they'll they'll turn and and run it and just 147 00:08:48,220 --> 00:08:50,300 grind the game out with their lead happily. 148 00:08:50,700 --> 00:08:55,180 But I think that if you get a couple explosive plays and both 149 00:08:55,180 --> 00:08:58,020 of these teams are capable of delivering them, you could end 150 00:08:58,020 --> 00:09:01,980 up in a really fun spot where Lamar's got the absolute slate 151 00:09:01,980 --> 00:09:04,380 breaking up side. And when you have these smaller 152 00:09:04,380 --> 00:09:07,700 slates with fewer guys, basically fewer darts to try and 153 00:09:07,700 --> 00:09:11,860 hit those absolute nuclear weeks, I really like the guys 154 00:09:11,860 --> 00:09:14,820 who have a slightly higher probability of of achieving 155 00:09:14,820 --> 00:09:18,180 those outcomes. So really like Lamar for this 156 00:09:18,180 --> 00:09:19,940 week, he was popping in the other chart. 157 00:09:20,780 --> 00:09:25,940 And so Lamar is something, is it probably a good example of where 158 00:09:25,940 --> 00:09:29,740 we are looking for positive regression in a big way just 159 00:09:29,740 --> 00:09:34,140 because in a very obvious way you had, you had all these 160 00:09:34,140 --> 00:09:38,420 touchdown passes that he threw that were just dropped horribly 161 00:09:38,420 --> 00:09:43,020 dropped and that is obviously inefficient and and and. 162 00:09:43,500 --> 00:09:46,420 Some of it must be because of mistakes by the players and 163 00:09:46,460 --> 00:09:51,420 whatever, but it's that's also a huge, very insane, like, his 164 00:09:51,420 --> 00:09:54,300 pass catchers just aren't going to drop every touchdown pass 165 00:09:54,620 --> 00:09:58,940 every week. So if if we get it like that 166 00:09:58,940 --> 00:10:03,300 feels like an area where it's really not hard to see a big 167 00:10:03,300 --> 00:10:08,890 like, correction. Yeah, absolutely. 168 00:10:08,890 --> 00:10:12,050 So that's that's one reason why I'm so excited about Lamar. 169 00:10:12,250 --> 00:10:15,410 A guy on the chart who this is going to be his Viking funeral 170 00:10:15,410 --> 00:10:17,450 week. Anthony Richardson mentioned it 171 00:10:17,850 --> 00:10:20,730 earlier but officially done for the season having season ending 172 00:10:20,730 --> 00:10:22,930 surgery. But he was right there with 173 00:10:23,050 --> 00:10:26,530 Lamar in that, you know, rushing quarterback with the upside to 174 00:10:26,530 --> 00:10:29,330 truly break fantasy football. Really bummed. 175 00:10:29,370 --> 00:10:31,930 Feel like I just feel like this happens every year with these 176 00:10:31,930 --> 00:10:34,040 guys. You know Trey Lance first train 177 00:10:34,160 --> 00:10:36,120 Lancer didn't even get to see games. 178 00:10:36,120 --> 00:10:39,320 Anthony Richardson, we at least got to see like OK this guy's 179 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:42,440 legit. But to to keep going on the 180 00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:46,320 chart for stuff that's actual that we can actually use to gain 181 00:10:46,320 --> 00:10:48,440 an advantage over our opponents going forward. 182 00:10:49,640 --> 00:10:53,960 The the Jordan love spot is interesting because we had 183 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:59,340 talked about, you know the Broncos as a a salve and his his 184 00:10:59,340 --> 00:11:02,300 chart partner or his his neighbor there, Justin Fields. 185 00:11:02,580 --> 00:11:05,500 We saw get right against the Broncos a couple weeks ago and 186 00:11:05,500 --> 00:11:08,340 throw for almost 350 yards, a couple touchdowns. 187 00:11:09,460 --> 00:11:13,300 I think it it it almost feels too easy sometimes when we're 188 00:11:13,300 --> 00:11:17,940 like, oh Broncos easy match up. You know, the quarterback on the 189 00:11:17,940 --> 00:11:19,820 other side is a smash spot for them. 190 00:11:20,730 --> 00:11:23,450 But I think there are times where we just overthink stuff as 191 00:11:23,450 --> 00:11:26,570 fantasy football players and we we try to make it trickier than 192 00:11:26,570 --> 00:11:28,450 it is. And it's like, sure, there's 193 00:11:28,450 --> 00:11:31,290 going to be times where Jordan Love doesn't succeed in this 194 00:11:31,290 --> 00:11:35,450 match up against the Broncos, but there's also a good chunk of 195 00:11:35,450 --> 00:11:38,290 times where he just goes out and smashes because his defense has 196 00:11:38,290 --> 00:11:40,530 proven that they're not great, right? 197 00:11:40,610 --> 00:11:42,130 And so. And and one thing. 198 00:11:42,170 --> 00:11:45,490 One thing that may make people forget. 199 00:11:46,050 --> 00:11:49,290 Is that the the Broncos defense actually had a relatively good 200 00:11:49,290 --> 00:11:54,250 week against the Chiefs, so that that that probably puts the 201 00:11:54,570 --> 00:11:58,210 weeks where they're just getting absolutely hammered and in the 202 00:11:58,210 --> 00:12:01,330 rearview mirror a bit. But like those are still like 203 00:12:02,210 --> 00:12:07,240 extremely valid data points. Yeah, I mean the recency bias 204 00:12:07,240 --> 00:12:09,120 of, oh, they did well against the Chiefs. 205 00:12:09,120 --> 00:12:12,640 So now they are good. I think is, you know, we, we 206 00:12:12,640 --> 00:12:15,320 want to take that data into consideration and say, OK, they 207 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:18,320 showed that they're at least able to stop some stuff. 208 00:12:18,320 --> 00:12:21,640 But you know, the Chiefs, the Chiefs aren't rolling out some 209 00:12:21,640 --> 00:12:25,040 plethora of excellent weapons against them either. 210 00:12:25,200 --> 00:12:27,840 You know, it's it's just pretty much like, OK, can Mahomes put 211 00:12:27,840 --> 00:12:29,680 the team on his back? You know, can Kelsey put the 212 00:12:29,680 --> 00:12:34,780 team on his back? And defenses don't have to be 213 00:12:34,780 --> 00:12:38,780 horrible every week either. Like they can be a bad defense 214 00:12:38,780 --> 00:12:40,860 and then have occasional weeks where they're OK. 215 00:12:41,100 --> 00:12:44,580 Just like for the Giants for example. 216 00:12:44,580 --> 00:12:47,180 Like you're you're telling me that the Giants with what they 217 00:12:47,180 --> 00:12:50,260 did to the Bills, that's going to be at all sticky going 218 00:12:50,260 --> 00:12:51,580 forward. I I don't buy that. 219 00:12:51,580 --> 00:12:54,580 We've seen the Giants get absolutely dog walked every week 220 00:12:55,100 --> 00:12:58,740 and out outside of what they did against the Bills. 221 00:12:59,740 --> 00:13:02,820 I think that may have been, you know, not to get too down the 222 00:13:02,980 --> 00:13:05,340 the narrative rabbit hole, but it may have just been, you know, 223 00:13:05,340 --> 00:13:09,100 Brian Dayball against his former team, known a little bit of the 224 00:13:09,100 --> 00:13:12,340 secret sauce and the the weak spots in the armor for Josh 225 00:13:12,340 --> 00:13:13,860 Allen. But I mean. 226 00:13:13,860 --> 00:13:17,900 So let me just just to go back to Jordan Love because I just 227 00:13:17,900 --> 00:13:22,340 had to talk in terms of being actionable and with this being a 228 00:13:22,340 --> 00:13:27,380 week with a lot of buys and. And not everybody has an elite 229 00:13:27,380 --> 00:13:30,260 quarterback in their sort of home league or or redraft 230 00:13:30,260 --> 00:13:32,980 leagues. Do you think Jordan Love is is a 231 00:13:32,980 --> 00:13:36,660 good starting option in the off the waivers. 232 00:13:36,860 --> 00:13:39,300 Oh yeah, you could absolutely do worse. 233 00:13:39,300 --> 00:13:41,620 You know that that would certainly be a a streamer. 234 00:13:41,620 --> 00:13:45,900 I'd be happy to roll out there another one that it just looking 235 00:13:45,900 --> 00:13:50,140 at early projections out of the industry for for quarterback and 236 00:13:50,140 --> 00:13:55,110 receiver numbers spot that's going I think under looked right 237 00:13:55,110 --> 00:13:56,630 now. By the time that we get to 238 00:13:56,870 --> 00:14:01,710 Sunday it'll be corrected. But right now people are really 239 00:14:01,870 --> 00:14:05,430 undervaluing Tampa Bay just in general. 240 00:14:05,430 --> 00:14:09,190 The entire offense is being undervalued And yes, they're 241 00:14:09,190 --> 00:14:12,350 playing Atlanta and if Atlanta has their way, they slow the 242 00:14:12,350 --> 00:14:14,030 game down. They run lots of plays. 243 00:14:14,030 --> 00:14:16,230 They have extended drives with a lot of runs. 244 00:14:16,990 --> 00:14:20,190 But the last couple weeks, Atlanta's been throwing a lot. 245 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:23,440 So they they've shown that they're willing to throw. 246 00:14:23,800 --> 00:14:27,280 And so I think that there are outs to this game maybe not 247 00:14:27,280 --> 00:14:30,680 being, you know, not the highest scoring game on the slate, but 248 00:14:30,680 --> 00:14:32,800 definitely a viable game for fantasy. 249 00:14:32,800 --> 00:14:35,560 And you know, Baker Mayfield is certainly on your waiver wire. 250 00:14:35,560 --> 00:14:38,280 And so if you're in a pinch, you probably could do worse than 251 00:14:38,280 --> 00:14:41,480 Baker as well. And I I think that, you know, 252 00:14:41,480 --> 00:14:46,320 with the way that that passing game is concentrated on, it's 253 00:14:46,320 --> 00:14:48,840 pretty much Evans and Godwin and. 254 00:14:48,920 --> 00:14:50,980 And that's it. I really like that. 255 00:14:50,980 --> 00:14:54,500 I've actually haven't been drafting the dog bowl at all. 256 00:14:54,780 --> 00:14:58,860 The, you know, the qualifier to go to the live draft in Miami 257 00:14:58,860 --> 00:15:00,740 for underdog, I haven't drafted that at all. 258 00:15:01,060 --> 00:15:04,100 Up until this week, they had a decent promo that kind of 259 00:15:04,100 --> 00:15:07,860 softened the really steep rake that they charge on that 260 00:15:07,860 --> 00:15:10,060 contest. And so I've been ripping off a 261 00:15:10,060 --> 00:15:14,980 bunch of dog bowls today and yesterday, and I might have a 262 00:15:14,980 --> 00:15:18,340 lot of Baker Mayfield. Interesting. 263 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:22,720 Yeah just because the especially because it's half PPR and you 264 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:26,880 can just you can more or less just pick $1.00 to stack with 265 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:32,080 them and probably think that you're going if if he goes off 266 00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:35,880 it has to go through one of them in a big big substantial way. 267 00:15:36,320 --> 00:15:38,680 And the the price is just wrong. Like you're getting you're 268 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:42,360 getting Chris Godwin in like the late it's a 12 man draft in the 269 00:15:42,360 --> 00:15:44,640 dog bowl unlike the six man battle royales. 270 00:15:45,120 --> 00:15:49,260 And so you're getting Chris Godwin in like the 4th like late 271 00:15:49,260 --> 00:15:52,900 fourth round sometimes sometimes as late as the 5th and so it's 272 00:15:52,900 --> 00:15:55,940 just not the price is is very incorrect. 273 00:15:55,940 --> 00:16:00,660 Like, I know that Zay Flowers is sexy, and that it's really fun 274 00:16:00,660 --> 00:16:04,060 to take Zay Flowers and stack them with Lamar Jackson like 275 00:16:04,060 --> 00:16:08,460 you're not Chris Godwin in half PPR projects better than Zay 276 00:16:08,460 --> 00:16:11,580 Flowers straight up by by. Not like a small amount either 277 00:16:11,580 --> 00:16:14,460 by a couple points. And people take Flowers 2-3 278 00:16:14,460 --> 00:16:18,610 rounds earlier than Godwin. So there's there's some really 279 00:16:18,610 --> 00:16:20,410 big inefficiencies this week I've noticed. 280 00:16:20,490 --> 00:16:22,890 Right. And then the other thing as as 281 00:16:22,890 --> 00:16:28,650 well, especially in a 12 teamer and then with the bye weeks and 282 00:16:28,650 --> 00:16:35,890 stuff like that, it is much easier for a quarterback like 283 00:16:35,890 --> 00:16:38,810 Baker Mayfield to hit the ceiling they need in that 284 00:16:38,810 --> 00:16:43,210 situation than it is on a big, huge slate with like all the 285 00:16:43,210 --> 00:16:46,360 heavy hitters on it. Like that, that sort of say that 286 00:16:46,360 --> 00:16:49,680 it's a lot easier to to take something like someone like 287 00:16:49,680 --> 00:16:53,560 Baker Mayfield and if he scores three points, like maybe it's 288 00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:55,320 not the highest scoring quarterback of the week. 289 00:16:55,320 --> 00:17:01,000 But it it it, it may be and it may like be within very, very 290 00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:03,560 close touching distance of the the highest scoring quarterback. 291 00:17:04,040 --> 00:17:05,960 Absolutely. It's just about like how much 292 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:08,359 separation does another quarterback get from him? 293 00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:11,240 And it's kind of funny. I've actually been looking at 294 00:17:11,240 --> 00:17:15,569 this on reduced slate sizes specifically for playoff best 295 00:17:15,569 --> 00:17:17,650 ball. I'm working on a a pretty 296 00:17:17,650 --> 00:17:20,930 comprehensive playoff best ball piece right now that I'll have 297 00:17:20,930 --> 00:17:25,730 out in a couple weeks. So for anyone that is as sick as 298 00:17:25,730 --> 00:17:28,329 I am about playoff best ball, I I think you'll be really 299 00:17:28,329 --> 00:17:30,210 interested in it. But one of the things I'm 300 00:17:30,210 --> 00:17:32,770 looking at is on reduced slate sizes. 301 00:17:32,770 --> 00:17:36,570 So for example, you know week, week one, you know you only got 302 00:17:36,570 --> 00:17:37,730 a handful of quarterbacks playing. 303 00:17:37,730 --> 00:17:39,050 It's only 12 quarterbacks playing. 304 00:17:39,050 --> 00:17:42,770 It's six games, right? And so when we're looking at 305 00:17:43,070 --> 00:17:47,910 those kinds of slates, what what do the position distributions 306 00:17:47,910 --> 00:17:50,070 really look like from a scoring perspective? 307 00:17:50,510 --> 00:17:55,110 And really what it comes down to is when there's only one, maybe 308 00:17:55,110 --> 00:17:57,390 2 elite quarterback options on the week. 309 00:17:58,110 --> 00:18:01,550 Sometimes instead of paying up for that quarterback, like for 310 00:18:01,550 --> 00:18:04,910 example Lamar Jackson, I I would say that a great way to attack 311 00:18:04,910 --> 00:18:08,710 this slate might be I'm either going to get Lamar or Mahomes or 312 00:18:08,710 --> 00:18:11,790 Allen, or I'm just gonna take the very last quarterback in the 313 00:18:11,790 --> 00:18:14,590 draft, 'cause there's no, there's no point, I'm basically. 314 00:18:14,590 --> 00:18:17,150 Saying there's no point in paying off for the mid range 315 00:18:17,350 --> 00:18:20,510 when the separation is likely to be quite small. 316 00:18:20,910 --> 00:18:24,070 Yep, I I'm just saying that hey, if I don't get one of those 317 00:18:24,070 --> 00:18:26,790 three guys, they failed to separate anyway. 318 00:18:26,790 --> 00:18:31,030 And so then I'm taking a guy that's a random dart throw to to 319 00:18:31,030 --> 00:18:33,150 score enough to not get separated from. 320 00:18:33,470 --> 00:18:36,070 And all of those guys are basically the same. 321 00:18:36,110 --> 00:18:39,170 You know, like Russell Wilson goes undrafted in a lot of those 322 00:18:39,170 --> 00:18:41,650 drafts, and there's no actual difference between Russell 323 00:18:41,650 --> 00:18:44,730 Wilson and Jordan Love, really. You know, especially if you look 324 00:18:44,730 --> 00:18:46,970 at projection, they're the same. They're like, right? 325 00:18:47,610 --> 00:18:50,090 I mean, just by the numbers, Russell Wilson has played really 326 00:18:50,090 --> 00:18:52,690 well. Just yeah, just by the numbers. 327 00:18:52,690 --> 00:18:56,650 And I know I brought it up on this, this chart before that 328 00:18:56,650 --> 00:18:59,010 this is a chart that favors Russell Wilson. 329 00:18:59,290 --> 00:19:03,050 What I was looking at at some numbers where you you factor in 330 00:19:03,050 --> 00:19:05,650 the drop back instead of the attempt. 331 00:19:05,650 --> 00:19:08,250 So that includes sacks, scrambles, blah blah blah. 332 00:19:09,240 --> 00:19:13,520 And he's still he's still having a pretty good year even even if 333 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:17,400 you make, if you look at it on adjusted yards for drop back 334 00:19:18,360 --> 00:19:22,720 instead of attempt. Yeah, I I certainly think that 335 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:26,240 we could we could get a stretch where Russ gets hot and the 336 00:19:26,240 --> 00:19:29,120 Denver offense kind of gets their stuff together with Sean 337 00:19:29,120 --> 00:19:31,680 Payton. For right now there's still a 338 00:19:31,680 --> 00:19:33,200 lot going through the running backs. 339 00:19:33,640 --> 00:19:36,920 But yeah, it's it's well within Russ's range of outcomes to 340 00:19:36,920 --> 00:19:40,700 have, you know, one of those top scoring weeks at quarterback. 341 00:19:40,700 --> 00:19:43,940 And so this is, this is the kind of week where, hey, if I don't 342 00:19:43,940 --> 00:19:46,780 get one of those top guys, let me just roll Russell Wilson or 343 00:19:46,780 --> 00:19:50,940 Baker Mayfield or you know, some someone out there that Matt 344 00:19:50,940 --> 00:19:53,580 Stafford shoot, they all, they're all basically the same, 345 00:19:53,580 --> 00:19:55,980 you know, it's just statue pocket passers. 346 00:19:58,020 --> 00:19:59,900 Right. Well, I think he he has. 347 00:20:00,300 --> 00:20:02,420 Russell Wilson has been rushing a little bit. 348 00:20:02,900 --> 00:20:06,730 Not, not enough to like. Truly put him up there, but he 349 00:20:06,730 --> 00:20:09,450 has added points. Yeah, he he's added, you know 350 00:20:09,450 --> 00:20:12,450 20-30 yards a game sometimes a little bit more. 351 00:20:12,450 --> 00:20:13,970 But yeah, that's a that's a good point. 352 00:20:13,970 --> 00:20:18,330 So no other major takeaways on this chart. 353 00:20:18,330 --> 00:20:21,530 I mean we've got likely Trevor Lawrence is going to miss the 354 00:20:21,530 --> 00:20:24,730 Thursday game, it sounds like. I haven't seen anything that 355 00:20:24,730 --> 00:20:26,890 suggests he's going to actually be able to play. 356 00:20:27,970 --> 00:20:30,730 So yeah, it's it's just probably going to be a relatively low 357 00:20:30,730 --> 00:20:33,740 scoring week. At quarterback, unless we get 358 00:20:33,740 --> 00:20:36,500 one of those elite guys to to actually go off. 359 00:20:36,500 --> 00:20:38,180 So interesting week for quarterback. 360 00:20:39,940 --> 00:20:42,820 Yeah, for sure, for sure. I'm I'm happy to move on as 361 00:20:42,820 --> 00:20:47,540 well. And then I have to like every 362 00:20:47,540 --> 00:20:53,380 week shrink the chart a little bit so we can fit it in in our 363 00:20:54,220 --> 00:20:57,430 screen. And so this is, this is our one 364 00:20:57,430 --> 00:21:01,310 of our our main running back charts, one of our two running 365 00:21:01,310 --> 00:21:04,350 back charts. And we look as the title says 366 00:21:04,390 --> 00:21:09,990 snaps and usage. So we look at all of their rush 367 00:21:09,990 --> 00:21:14,990 attempts, all of their routes, all of their pass blocking, run 368 00:21:14,990 --> 00:21:18,990 blocking and and put that in a scale of that as a percentage of 369 00:21:18,990 --> 00:21:22,510 the team's overall place. And so you can see Kyron 370 00:21:22,510 --> 00:21:26,690 Williams who unfortunately is is dealing with an injury that 371 00:21:26,690 --> 00:21:28,410 means he's going to be out for a little while. 372 00:21:28,970 --> 00:21:35,290 He is coming in just just around 80% of the team snaps. 373 00:21:35,290 --> 00:21:40,690 He's on the field and I guess you you want you you want rush 374 00:21:40,690 --> 00:21:43,890 attempts, you also want them to be running roots so that they 375 00:21:43,890 --> 00:21:48,570 can get those targets. And then this is sort of like 376 00:21:48,570 --> 00:21:53,210 the starters like anybody with above roots or rush attempts 377 00:21:53,710 --> 00:21:58,910 above 40% that they're on this chart and we also look at 378 00:21:58,910 --> 00:22:03,070 rolling four weeks because we want to, we want to diagnose the 379 00:22:03,070 --> 00:22:07,710 trend rather than a seasonal average and then so. 380 00:22:07,950 --> 00:22:09,830 So that's the way this sort of chart is set up. 381 00:22:11,190 --> 00:22:14,350 Good breakdown there. I think we do need to start at 382 00:22:14,350 --> 00:22:21,710 the top here with Kyron because his injury leaves the most 383 00:22:21,710 --> 00:22:25,380 desirable role. For running back in the NFL wide 384 00:22:25,380 --> 00:22:30,060 open and it's very ambiguous. So you know right now you've got 385 00:22:30,060 --> 00:22:33,900 rookie Zach Evans who was the only running back left on the 386 00:22:33,900 --> 00:22:37,620 active roster on Sunday after you lost Kyron and Ronnie 387 00:22:37,620 --> 00:22:40,700 Rivers. And so Zach Evans got, I want to 388 00:22:40,700 --> 00:22:45,420 say it was like, was it 4 carries or something on Sunday? 389 00:22:47,220 --> 00:22:51,980 He looks to be right now. The reports that I've seen are 390 00:22:51,980 --> 00:22:55,030 that. He's probably the favorite to 391 00:22:55,070 --> 00:22:58,990 get the majority of the work, but I think it's very fragile. 392 00:22:58,990 --> 00:23:05,110 I I wouldn't. You know I wouldn't the the the 393 00:23:05,110 --> 00:23:11,870 Rams head coach was asked today. Hey is do you think Zach Evans 394 00:23:11,870 --> 00:23:16,310 is the favorite to to to carry the load here and the coach said 395 00:23:16,870 --> 00:23:20,410 I wouldn't say that I wouldn't say that he's got he's got a 396 00:23:20,410 --> 00:23:24,250 shot I'm really looking forward to see how how far along he's 397 00:23:24,250 --> 00:23:29,090 come this week and what he can handle so so sounds like it's 398 00:23:29,090 --> 00:23:34,130 still very much in flux he could I I mean it's it's there is the 399 00:23:34,130 --> 00:23:38,730 still the case of who else could it be like how how how can they 400 00:23:39,090 --> 00:23:43,490 who can they put on the field to keep him off of it but like you 401 00:23:43,490 --> 00:23:48,350 said definitely feels like something where it could it 402 00:23:48,350 --> 00:23:52,110 could go either way. Yeah, I mean it's Miles Gaskin 403 00:23:52,110 --> 00:23:56,910 or Daryl Henderson or you know it's right. 404 00:23:56,990 --> 00:24:00,150 It's going to be interesting to see what they end up rolling out 405 00:24:00,150 --> 00:24:02,750 there. I I Miles Gaskin is. 406 00:24:02,830 --> 00:24:07,030 He's a bit interesting in that when he played, especially his 407 00:24:07,030 --> 00:24:11,790 rookie year as a Dolphin and then the year after he played 408 00:24:11,790 --> 00:24:16,700 relatively well like he was a he was a fine player and and and 409 00:24:16,700 --> 00:24:21,660 can perform, but he he he also hasn't been able to get on the 410 00:24:21,660 --> 00:24:25,780 field in in a good while now. Yeah, that's a that's a good 411 00:24:25,780 --> 00:24:28,700 call out though, 'cause I could definitely see Gaskin being the 412 00:24:28,700 --> 00:24:34,060 one that you know is able to do the job that it really seems 413 00:24:34,060 --> 00:24:37,260 like he values a running back that's going to do the things 414 00:24:37,260 --> 00:24:42,180 that are expected of him and Gaskin kind of see he he comes 415 00:24:42,180 --> 00:24:44,780 from the Miami system, I think that. 416 00:24:46,040 --> 00:24:49,720 I think he could be the kind of archetype that MC Vey is 417 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:53,040 interested in. So really, really an all 418 00:24:53,080 --> 00:24:57,680 rounder. He's an all rounder and he does 419 00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:04,120 sort of like he does suit the sort of like 1 Cut jump running 420 00:25:04,120 --> 00:25:07,640 style. Oh, go ahead. 421 00:25:10,710 --> 00:25:13,630 I I was gonna say, is there anybody else up here who who 422 00:25:13,630 --> 00:25:15,590 sticks? At Yeah I was I was gonna keep 423 00:25:15,870 --> 00:25:17,990 We've got a couple guys at the top of the chart that are 424 00:25:17,990 --> 00:25:21,710 interesting to me. So Joe Mixon's role remains 425 00:25:21,710 --> 00:25:25,030 really good. Joe Mixon's production remains 426 00:25:25,030 --> 00:25:27,430 really bad. You've got the Bengals on by 427 00:25:27,430 --> 00:25:33,030 this week. I I start to wonder if during 428 00:25:33,030 --> 00:25:36,990 the by they're able to take a look at some of the other guys 429 00:25:36,990 --> 00:25:40,750 that they've got on the roster. And we see Joe Mixon, because 430 00:25:40,750 --> 00:25:44,310 they've already told us we don't like using Joe Mixon in the 431 00:25:44,310 --> 00:25:47,590 passing game if there's a better option, right, which Semaj P 432 00:25:47,590 --> 00:25:50,670 Ryan they determined was a better option than Mixon last 433 00:25:50,670 --> 00:25:54,950 season in the passing game. And so they even even when P 434 00:25:54,950 --> 00:25:56,990 Ryan was getting the passing game work, Mixon was still 435 00:25:56,990 --> 00:25:59,430 getting carries. I mean in the the penultimate 436 00:25:59,670 --> 00:26:02,630 playoff game, he he lost a lot of carries to P Ryan. 437 00:26:03,070 --> 00:26:07,470 But I do think that you're not going to see mixing go away. 438 00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,680 But you could see one of these other guys emerge. 439 00:26:10,680 --> 00:26:14,520 My favorite for that is Trayvion, just because he's 440 00:26:14,520 --> 00:26:16,600 managed to stick on the roster the whole time. 441 00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:21,320 I think that the Bengals value a player like that, a player that 442 00:26:21,320 --> 00:26:23,680 they're comfortable with, familiar with, knows the system. 443 00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:28,760 So if I had to bet, it would be Trayvion comes out of the bye 444 00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:31,000 and maybe sees a little bit of extra work. 445 00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:32,440 I don't know. It's not going to be. 446 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:36,550 With that said, we shouldn't drop him in the main event 447 00:26:36,870 --> 00:26:40,430 tonight. Well he he is on Bai and and we 448 00:26:40,470 --> 00:26:43,990 we're in desperate need of you know running back. 449 00:26:43,990 --> 00:26:46,190 So I'm. I'm not opposed to churning if 450 00:26:46,190 --> 00:26:48,110 we have. Yeah, no, that makes sense. 451 00:26:48,150 --> 00:26:49,470 Good, good point. He is on Bai. 452 00:26:49,470 --> 00:26:51,350 You can probably pick him up for a dollar next week as well. 453 00:26:51,350 --> 00:26:56,870 Right, right. But beyond mixing the other one 454 00:26:56,870 --> 00:27:00,910 up here, I mean I I just have to talk about Etienne and Jacobs 455 00:27:00,910 --> 00:27:03,030 really quickly. I don't think we need to dive 456 00:27:03,070 --> 00:27:06,290 too deep into it. But man, both of those guys have 457 00:27:06,290 --> 00:27:08,490 incredible roles. We'll we'll see as well on the 458 00:27:08,490 --> 00:27:10,490 expected fantasy points charts coming up. 459 00:27:10,490 --> 00:27:13,410 But those are the kind of backs that you want to have. 460 00:27:13,410 --> 00:27:16,690 Even though Jacobs hasn't been terribly efficient with his, it 461 00:27:16,690 --> 00:27:19,050 doesn't matter. You just want that opportunity 462 00:27:19,050 --> 00:27:22,050 and you're just going to trust that a couple game like he's 463 00:27:22,050 --> 00:27:24,370 still good enough that he'll have a couple games where he is 464 00:27:24,370 --> 00:27:27,690 efficient with that volume and is able to deliver a huge 465 00:27:27,690 --> 00:27:30,370 performance for you and in those other performances where he's 466 00:27:30,370 --> 00:27:32,020 not efficient. It doesn't matter. 467 00:27:32,020 --> 00:27:34,860 His floor is so high because of the role. 468 00:27:35,180 --> 00:27:39,580 Etienne is is being efficient and getting a huge amount of 469 00:27:39,580 --> 00:27:41,260 work. He's consolidating the snaps. 470 00:27:41,500 --> 00:27:44,500 So those are both running backs that are really exciting to see. 471 00:27:44,980 --> 00:27:49,060 But Saquan Barkley got a lot of work coming back off the injury. 472 00:27:50,100 --> 00:27:55,300 I'm pretty concerned. I I want to say that Saquan is 473 00:27:55,300 --> 00:28:00,640 closer to Joe Mixon in. What he is for you in fantasy 474 00:28:00,640 --> 00:28:02,240 now that's a little bit of hyperbole. 475 00:28:02,240 --> 00:28:05,280 Like he's still more valuable than Mixon, obviously, but he's 476 00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:10,440 closer to Mixon than he is to Josh Jacobs, for example is is 477 00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:12,800 my opinion, I mean certainly closer to Mixon than he is to 478 00:28:12,800 --> 00:28:15,200 Travis Etn. I'd say those are that's like a 479 00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:18,920 a large tier break between ETN and Barkley. 480 00:28:19,240 --> 00:28:23,760 So the the hard part with Barkley is there's not really 481 00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:26,000 anything too actionable you can do here. 482 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:27,400 It's not like you can go and pick up. 483 00:28:27,720 --> 00:28:30,720 You know Matt Britta and say that he's going to get some work 484 00:28:30,720 --> 00:28:33,480 or like oh if Saquan gets reinjured then Britta is going 485 00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:36,400 to have this great role. It's just the offense stinks and 486 00:28:36,400 --> 00:28:38,520 there's not a lot of production coming there. 487 00:28:38,520 --> 00:28:44,080 So that that's all I I had there kind of similar for Rashad White 488 00:28:44,120 --> 00:28:47,960 you know great role, just can't can't produce anything with it. 489 00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:53,440 So we saw. We saw Sean Tucker get a little 490 00:28:53,440 --> 00:28:55,280 bit of opportunity early in the season. 491 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,840 We saw them do a little bit with Keyshawn Vaughn. 492 00:28:58,760 --> 00:29:03,080 Maybe by the end of the season, one of those guys emerges as the 493 00:29:03,080 --> 00:29:06,160 better option than Rashad White. But I think the most likely 494 00:29:06,160 --> 00:29:11,240 outcome is the Bucks backfield is just one where it's not 495 00:29:11,240 --> 00:29:14,000 terribly exciting. There will be a week where the 496 00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:17,120 Bucks put up a lot of points and he falls into the end zone twice 497 00:29:17,120 --> 00:29:19,640 and is good just from the having the role, but. 498 00:29:20,440 --> 00:29:22,760 There's a lot of guys up here with these great roles, like 499 00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,040 this. Rashad White, Joe Mixon, Saquon 500 00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:30,960 Barkley are all like fake to me. Like the role, the role looks 501 00:29:30,960 --> 00:29:33,720 more valuable than it actually is, right? 502 00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:37,000 They they command a high percentage of their team's 503 00:29:37,000 --> 00:29:42,520 usage, but the offense isn't strong enough to make them must 504 00:29:42,880 --> 00:29:46,600 elite targets. Whereas like they probably 505 00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:52,130 project for a mediocre amount of points just because they've 506 00:29:52,130 --> 00:29:55,170 consolidated all the offense within them. 507 00:29:55,850 --> 00:29:59,690 But you were paying high, definitely. 508 00:29:59,730 --> 00:30:06,770 Saquan, you're you paid a high price to get that bell cow usage 509 00:30:06,810 --> 00:30:09,610 and and but you're not being paid off in fancy points. 510 00:30:10,770 --> 00:30:16,250 So 111 thing that I had noticed and then taught worth calling 511 00:30:16,250 --> 00:30:23,640 out is that Reese Hall, while he's I'm not sure if he's even 512 00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:25,720 on this chart, if he's on the next chart. 513 00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,080 He is. He's right below Montgomery and 514 00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:32,640 Ford. OK, OK, so I I looked at just 515 00:30:32,640 --> 00:30:38,960 this week and he was on the field for 68% of the team snaps 516 00:30:38,960 --> 00:30:41,760 this just this week. And he was. 517 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,960 He had so 20% rush of Hems. He'd already been getting the 518 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:47,920 rush of Hems, but he was also on. 519 00:30:48,290 --> 00:30:55,610 He had 41% of the the jet snaps he was running a route on, so 520 00:30:56,050 --> 00:30:58,650 definitely feels like Bruce Hall. 521 00:30:58,650 --> 00:31:02,130 Balcao usage is like firmly back. 522 00:31:02,490 --> 00:31:04,810 And we, and we talked about this before too. 523 00:31:04,810 --> 00:31:08,930 When when you're competing for touches from Dalvin Cooked and 524 00:31:08,930 --> 00:31:11,890 Michael Farter, like there's, there's no real competition. 525 00:31:11,890 --> 00:31:16,170 It's just the only thing keeping him off the field is the team 526 00:31:16,170 --> 00:31:20,120 wanting to make sure. That they're they're doing right 527 00:31:20,120 --> 00:31:23,320 by him they're not putting him at at severe risk of re injury 528 00:31:23,760 --> 00:31:27,760 and you know when you I want to say was it week after week three 529 00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:32,320 he tweeted something like 4 only four touches he was pissed about 530 00:31:32,560 --> 00:31:36,360 his lack of work and I I think that the guy probably knows his 531 00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:39,280 body and and he's a competitor he wants to be on the field so 532 00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:42,240 the team's trying to keep him safe from himself but I think he 533 00:31:42,240 --> 00:31:45,560 probably knows you know dude I I don't you don't need to limit me 534 00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:48,960 to 4 touches and. It's becoming pretty clear too. 535 00:31:49,280 --> 00:31:52,240 I I actually was watching The Jets play the Eagles this week. 536 00:31:52,880 --> 00:31:57,200 I said going into the half, when they come out of the half, it is 537 00:31:57,200 --> 00:32:00,200 going to be all briefs all the time because they want to win 538 00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:03,780 this game. And they know what, like we we 539 00:32:03,780 --> 00:32:07,940 have one path to win and it's not Zach Wilson throwing more, 540 00:32:08,060 --> 00:32:09,140 right. Like it is. 541 00:32:09,220 --> 00:32:13,020 Yeah, it's feed Breece the rock. And that's that is what they 542 00:32:13,020 --> 00:32:14,780 did. And then they did drop back 543 00:32:14,780 --> 00:32:17,540 some, but it was all it was like we're dropping back. 544 00:32:17,780 --> 00:32:19,980 And Zach, you only have eyes for Garrett Wilson. 545 00:32:19,980 --> 00:32:23,420 Don't fuck this up. Throw it to Garrett or no one 546 00:32:23,660 --> 00:32:26,940 and just keep the ball safe so that we can hand it to Breece 547 00:32:26,940 --> 00:32:29,350 more. And that's that's what they did 548 00:32:29,350 --> 00:32:31,590 and it was successful. And so I think what you're going 549 00:32:31,590 --> 00:32:35,870 to see is any time where you might lose Breeze Hall 550 00:32:35,870 --> 00:32:38,710 opportunities would be if The Jets were like blowing someone 551 00:32:38,710 --> 00:32:40,150 out. If The Jets are blowing someone 552 00:32:40,150 --> 00:32:43,630 out, they will gladly bring in Dalvin and Michael Carter for 553 00:32:43,630 --> 00:32:47,430 clean up duty and try and save Breece from putting too many 554 00:32:47,430 --> 00:32:50,430 miles on him. But in close games where The 555 00:32:50,430 --> 00:32:53,710 Jets want to win and. Boy, do The Jets want to win. 556 00:32:53,710 --> 00:32:57,790 And do they need to win to stay alive in the AFC for the playoff 557 00:32:57,790 --> 00:33:00,790 hunt. Because the AFC is brutal and 558 00:33:00,790 --> 00:33:04,750 Aaron Rodgers is rumored to be able to come back for the 559 00:33:04,750 --> 00:33:09,110 playoffs which is just wild to me that that's what he's sort of 560 00:33:09,110 --> 00:33:11,590 suggested he the timeline he's been given. 561 00:33:11,790 --> 00:33:19,110 And so just and I guess in terms of usability for Bruce Hall now 562 00:33:19,110 --> 00:33:23,000 for rest of season, so week seven through the end of the 563 00:33:23,000 --> 00:33:28,200 year where where would you slot Breeze Hall among the other 564 00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:30,880 backs? Yeah, into my starting lineup is 565 00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:32,320 where I would slot him every week. 566 00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:38,880 But yeah, right among the other backs, I would say I let's see 567 00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:44,600 like I like him better than the only right now at this point in 568 00:33:44,600 --> 00:33:47,760 time, the only backs I'm happier to start over. 569 00:33:47,760 --> 00:33:52,620 Breeze Hall would be like a. Travis ETNCMC when healthy 570 00:33:52,900 --> 00:33:57,780 Kenneth Walker I want to start Breece over DeAndre Swift cause 571 00:33:57,780 --> 00:33:59,900 Breece is getting more work in the passing. 572 00:33:59,900 --> 00:34:03,020 Swift is involved in the passing game, but Breece is getting more 573 00:34:03,020 --> 00:34:07,020 opportunity there. I I want Breece over Saquan. 574 00:34:07,020 --> 00:34:09,780 I want him, I want him over Kyron. 575 00:34:10,380 --> 00:34:12,739 I I'm pretty sure I want him over Ekler. 576 00:34:13,179 --> 00:34:15,260 That's a that's actually a curious one for me. 577 00:34:15,260 --> 00:34:17,500 How do you feel about Ekler going forward? 578 00:34:17,500 --> 00:34:19,580 And then how do you feel about him compared to Breece? 579 00:34:20,900 --> 00:34:26,820 So Eckler himself, he's coming off an injury, he's coming off 580 00:34:26,820 --> 00:34:32,620 the high ankle sprain and he did, he did have a nice run but 581 00:34:33,179 --> 00:34:39,659 didn't look fully healthy yet. So I think that you'll have this 582 00:34:39,659 --> 00:34:47,219 sort of ramp up back up to him getting it is normal snap amount 583 00:34:47,219 --> 00:34:49,940 that I'm not sure how many weeks that takes it'll take a couple 584 00:34:49,940 --> 00:34:57,420 of weeks but then by the end not an injury expert but would think 585 00:34:57,420 --> 00:35:00,300 that like hey they they they really like Ekler. 586 00:35:00,300 --> 00:35:06,660 Ekler is a superstar. So in a month let's say would be 587 00:35:06,660 --> 00:35:11,060 hope at least hoping that you're getting what you drafted Ekler 588 00:35:11,060 --> 00:35:15,850 in the first round to do so how how do how do I. 589 00:35:16,210 --> 00:35:20,610 There's not really a rest of season draft available today how 590 00:35:20,610 --> 00:35:27,450 would I use that I guess I would be I'm pretty I'd be pretty 591 00:35:27,450 --> 00:35:33,250 alert to as he ramps up as he starts to look good and and and 592 00:35:33,250 --> 00:35:36,490 maybe trying to play him a week early once once I've got some 593 00:35:36,490 --> 00:35:42,810 more good signs in Eclair would maybe would maybe try to see if 594 00:35:42,810 --> 00:35:46,530 I can trade for him if he has a bad week as this week as he gets 595 00:35:46,530 --> 00:35:50,890 through injury and then just to go back to Bruce Hall. 596 00:35:51,290 --> 00:35:56,770 I think I would have him in line with Kenneth Walker or perhaps a 597 00:35:56,770 --> 00:36:01,450 bit higher just because I'm looking at this trajectory of 598 00:36:02,010 --> 00:36:06,530 hey they they've been ramping Bruce up from injury and 599 00:36:06,970 --> 00:36:11,250 obviously he looks fantastic and he sort of crossed over the 600 00:36:11,250 --> 00:36:17,170 point into like now he's in he now he once once we get four 601 00:36:17,170 --> 00:36:21,890 weeks that look like week 6. He'll be much closer to the to 602 00:36:21,890 --> 00:36:27,970 the top of this chart and and I say it and it kind of in the 603 00:36:27,970 --> 00:36:32,850 workhorse range and the things that you've talked about with 604 00:36:33,530 --> 00:36:36,610 this competition. Ben Dalman, Cook and Michael 605 00:36:36,610 --> 00:36:38,210 Carter. Like they're still going to be 606 00:36:38,210 --> 00:36:40,800 true. So if anything, I'm sort of like 607 00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:45,400 still expecting more usage for Breeze than even Week 6. 608 00:36:45,760 --> 00:36:50,840 So I think he's getting pretty close to the sort of like elite 609 00:36:50,840 --> 00:36:53,240 running back range rest of the year. 610 00:36:54,250 --> 00:36:54,890 Yep. Yeah. 611 00:36:54,890 --> 00:36:58,130 Couldn't couldn't have said it better myself in in four weeks 612 00:36:58,130 --> 00:37:01,010 time, I guess. I guess five weeks time because 613 00:37:01,010 --> 00:37:03,690 they're on buy this week. But in five weeks time he's 614 00:37:03,690 --> 00:37:07,330 going to be right between Bijon and Josh Jacobs on the chart. 615 00:37:07,570 --> 00:37:10,770 You can take that to the bank for how many snaps he's getting. 616 00:37:10,770 --> 00:37:16,330 Snaps and usage right here. And then, you know, Riddle me 617 00:37:16,330 --> 00:37:20,170 this, you're the Austin Eckler manager in a, you know, redraft 618 00:37:20,170 --> 00:37:24,100 league and a trade offer. Comes into your DMS here and 619 00:37:24,100 --> 00:37:25,860 it's Bruce Hall for Austin Eckler. 620 00:37:25,860 --> 00:37:30,260 Straight up, What do you do? Bruce Hall? 621 00:37:30,980 --> 00:37:35,500 Yeah, I guess I thought about that for 1.2 seconds. 622 00:37:35,740 --> 00:37:37,100 Yeah, you just you just took a beat. 623 00:37:37,100 --> 00:37:38,660 But that that's what I would do too. 624 00:37:38,660 --> 00:37:42,740 Like the only the only guy I'm not moving for Bruce Hall is 625 00:37:42,740 --> 00:37:48,540 like Christian McCaffrey and like I I think I'm moving ETN 626 00:37:48,540 --> 00:37:50,340 for him too. I'm probably if I'm the guy 627 00:37:50,340 --> 00:37:52,020 selling etn I'm trying to get like. 628 00:37:52,730 --> 00:37:55,930 A little breeze plus, you know, get a get a little yeah. 629 00:37:56,090 --> 00:37:58,690 Squeeze squeeze some more juice out of how good Etns been. 630 00:37:58,690 --> 00:38:03,210 But like as a breeze Bowl, I'm trying to acquire all of the 631 00:38:03,210 --> 00:38:05,650 breeze. It's it's literally just CSD. 632 00:38:06,330 --> 00:38:11,210 And I mean shoot, let's just let's Fast forward and say Aaron 633 00:38:11,210 --> 00:38:16,930 Rodgers is back for the playoffs and his Achilles is is magically 634 00:38:17,130 --> 00:38:18,250 good. He's fine. 635 00:38:18,250 --> 00:38:20,330 He looks like Aaron Rodgers, right? 636 00:38:20,760 --> 00:38:24,400 It's playoff best ball, and let's just say hypothetically, 637 00:38:24,680 --> 00:38:28,480 that the odds of the 49ers making the Super Bowl and the 638 00:38:28,480 --> 00:38:32,400 odds of The Jets making the Super Bowl are exactly equal. 639 00:38:32,600 --> 00:38:35,080 OK? And everyone's healthy. 640 00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:36,960 Mccaffrey's healthy. Rodgers is healthy. 641 00:38:36,960 --> 00:38:40,280 Brice is healthy. Who are you taking earlier in 642 00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:43,280 playoff best ball then you taking healthy CMC or healthy 643 00:38:43,280 --> 00:38:45,880 Brice with equal odds of either making the Super Bowl? 644 00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:48,760 So obviously it's not. It's not going to be equal, 645 00:38:49,360 --> 00:38:52,980 right, just just to just to make sure that we're we're coming. 646 00:38:53,060 --> 00:38:59,100 Up with hypothetical scenario of all else equal between the 49ers 647 00:38:59,100 --> 00:39:02,380 and The Jets, would you prefer CMC or Breeze? 648 00:39:02,700 --> 00:39:09,900 I'm I think it would still be CMC, but it wouldn't it it it 649 00:39:09,900 --> 00:39:14,180 wouldn't be as far apart as it wouldn't be that far apart. 650 00:39:14,820 --> 00:39:18,490 Yeah, I I agree with you. If you're We're probably a 651 00:39:18,490 --> 00:39:21,090 little bit too early to be thinking about playoff best ball 652 00:39:21,090 --> 00:39:24,010 but he would definitely be somebody where you take them in 653 00:39:24,010 --> 00:39:27,570 the in the last round and and you're you're really happy about 654 00:39:27,570 --> 00:39:31,690 Reese in the last round, yeah. I I I agree with you and I'm I'm 655 00:39:31,690 --> 00:39:35,850 very glad that the 49ers will be such large favorites over The 656 00:39:35,850 --> 00:39:39,930 Jets to make it to the Super Bowl so I I don't have to Galaxy 657 00:39:39,930 --> 00:39:48,320 brain myself I think brace all over CMC so so who else I I I 658 00:39:48,320 --> 00:39:53,040 had another note about Devon Singletary and and just to try 659 00:39:53,040 --> 00:39:56,960 and I'm just trying to supplement obviously we're 660 00:39:56,960 --> 00:40:00,160 looking at four week averages but I try to look at like hey 661 00:40:00,360 --> 00:40:04,040 what what did the last week look like just because that can be 662 00:40:04,040 --> 00:40:08,360 you can you can spot quick changes there just by looking at 663 00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:12,200 at one week and and he was on the field for half the snaps for 664 00:40:12,200 --> 00:40:17,670 the Texans last week which. Is pretty I, I we talked about 665 00:40:17,670 --> 00:40:20,830 Devon Singulary quite a bit last week but that's that's 666 00:40:20,830 --> 00:40:26,870 interesting like that's a legitimate like 1A1B sort of 667 00:40:26,870 --> 00:40:34,270 committee and if we're excited about the Texas offense then I'm 668 00:40:34,270 --> 00:40:37,470 pretty excited about I I'm somewhat excited about cheap 669 00:40:37,830 --> 00:40:43,720 Devon Singletary. Devon Singletary and not not 670 00:40:43,720 --> 00:40:46,320 sure what what the different ways there's probably not gonna 671 00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:50,240 be a rest another rest of the season draft but definitely sort 672 00:40:50,240 --> 00:40:54,240 of like a sneaky waiver pick up where you can you can play them. 673 00:40:54,560 --> 00:40:57,960 Get you through your bye weeks. We'll get you, we'll we'll get 674 00:40:57,960 --> 00:41:02,920 you some points with upside for a decent week. 675 00:41:03,460 --> 00:41:06,500 And yeah, you you called that last week too, that he was he 676 00:41:06,500 --> 00:41:09,860 was under Price in in the resurrection drafts. 677 00:41:10,260 --> 00:41:13,460 Damien Pierce is supposedly dealing with a little bit of a 678 00:41:13,460 --> 00:41:17,180 knee injury and so they are kind of taking it easy with him. 679 00:41:17,540 --> 00:41:19,980 But that's hey it doesn't, it doesn't matter how Devin 680 00:41:19,980 --> 00:41:21,340 Singletary is getting on the field. 681 00:41:21,340 --> 00:41:23,700 He's still he's getting on the field and he's getting snaps and 682 00:41:23,700 --> 00:41:27,180 work. So yeah, I certainly view him as 683 00:41:27,300 --> 00:41:29,650 a. You know, if you're in a pinch 684 00:41:29,650 --> 00:41:33,090 and you need an NFL running back that gets snaps in an NFL 685 00:41:33,090 --> 00:41:37,690 offense, he checks those boxes. He, I mean, he does this. 686 00:41:37,690 --> 00:41:41,610 He does this every year where it's like going into the season. 687 00:41:42,050 --> 00:41:45,850 The coach says there's no way I'm going to play Devon Singer 688 00:41:45,930 --> 00:41:48,050 this year. I can't rely on Devon Singer 689 00:41:48,090 --> 00:41:50,530 this year. And then towards the end of the 690 00:41:50,530 --> 00:41:54,130 regular season, God damn it, I got to play Devon Singer this 691 00:41:54,130 --> 00:41:59,240 week and I don't. He must be one of those backs 692 00:41:59,240 --> 00:42:04,440 where he does enough, like NFL professional level things that 693 00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:07,000 they struggle to keep him off the field. 694 00:42:07,740 --> 00:42:09,620 Yeah, I I would say that's probably a pretty good 695 00:42:09,620 --> 00:42:11,940 assessment. I mean you you just see it with 696 00:42:11,940 --> 00:42:14,740 some guys where they're, hey, they are able to stick on a 697 00:42:14,740 --> 00:42:19,260 roster or stick around in the league for way longer and 698 00:42:19,260 --> 00:42:22,260 they're way, way more resilient than their talent level 699 00:42:22,260 --> 00:42:23,980 suggests. You know, then their raw 700 00:42:23,980 --> 00:42:27,020 athletic measure will suggest that they should be and they 701 00:42:27,020 --> 00:42:29,860 beat out guys who are, you know, twice the athlete they are, 702 00:42:29,940 --> 00:42:32,580 doesn't matter. They're they just have, you 703 00:42:32,580 --> 00:42:34,480 know? Whether it's their football IQ 704 00:42:34,480 --> 00:42:37,480 or their work ethic or whatever, you know they for Devin Sangre 705 00:42:37,480 --> 00:42:44,360 it's tackle a vision rate is is historically his broken tackle 706 00:42:44,360 --> 00:42:47,720 rate has been like really good and that that does seem to be 707 00:42:47,720 --> 00:42:52,160 something that. Coaches like as well on the on 708 00:42:52,160 --> 00:42:56,120 this chart before we move on to the next one, the only other 709 00:42:56,120 --> 00:43:02,090 note I had was Taje Spears. You know he he didn't do much in 710 00:43:02,090 --> 00:43:06,650 the game against Baltimore. He did flash one big play after 711 00:43:06,650 --> 00:43:10,130 Tannehill was out of the game. He took like a little dump off 712 00:43:10,130 --> 00:43:14,290 pass and you know made made a big play with it got the Titans 713 00:43:14,290 --> 00:43:18,410 down into the Green Zone off of a big yards after catch. 714 00:43:18,690 --> 00:43:22,610 So he he looks interesting. He's definitely still worth a 715 00:43:22,610 --> 00:43:27,210 stash he's on by right now. I I know I I've seen a couple 716 00:43:27,210 --> 00:43:29,330 people say he got dropped in their leagues. 717 00:43:29,820 --> 00:43:31,980 That's a guy that's that's worth adding. 718 00:43:33,340 --> 00:43:36,380 It's it's not, you know, not going to be a world beater or 719 00:43:36,380 --> 00:43:38,020 anything. I mean, shoot, even if Derrick 720 00:43:38,020 --> 00:43:41,580 Henry went down, you'd have a a middling running back. 721 00:43:41,580 --> 00:43:45,860 Probably like with 10 expected fantasy points, 11 expected 722 00:43:45,860 --> 00:43:48,460 fantasy points a week or something in that range. 723 00:43:48,460 --> 00:43:52,380 Maybe I'm underselling it, but I, I, I, I suspect. 724 00:43:52,660 --> 00:43:55,320 Who knows, obviously. But they must. 725 00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:58,400 I think the Titans really like Taiji Spears. 726 00:43:58,600 --> 00:44:01,920 They do, for sure. And that was the drum beat 727 00:44:01,920 --> 00:44:04,000 coming out of camp this offseason. 728 00:44:04,440 --> 00:44:07,520 And it's something where I've told myself this in the past and 729 00:44:07,560 --> 00:44:09,840 been like, I gotta remember that, like when teams say they 730 00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:12,360 really like a guy like. Just trust them. 731 00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:15,440 They're not gonna, they're not gonna really like a guy and get 732 00:44:15,440 --> 00:44:18,280 out there and say it for, you know, like teams say positive 733 00:44:18,280 --> 00:44:20,800 stuff about guys. But every once in a while you do 734 00:44:20,800 --> 00:44:24,920 get the We really like this Guy report and it's like K, right? 735 00:44:25,160 --> 00:44:27,720 For whatever reason, there there is a little bit of sound 736 00:44:27,720 --> 00:44:30,400 reporter report. Yes, there's there's a little 737 00:44:30,520 --> 00:44:32,760 signal. This is our starter and week one 738 00:44:32,760 --> 00:44:34,960 at training camp, we fucking love this guy. 739 00:44:35,360 --> 00:44:36,840 Yeah, oops. Sorry, children. 740 00:44:38,480 --> 00:44:40,840 But anyway, just had to have that note on Taje. 741 00:44:40,920 --> 00:44:44,760 Oh, and and Chuba. I mean also a guy on by if he's 742 00:44:44,760 --> 00:44:48,440 getting dropped anywhere that'd be a great pick up down down to 743 00:44:48,440 --> 00:44:50,600 Foreman. All all these guys at the bottom 744 00:44:50,600 --> 00:44:52,760 of the chart are actually kind of interesting down to Foreman. 745 00:44:53,320 --> 00:44:55,480 It's looking so Roshan didn't practice again. 746 00:44:55,480 --> 00:44:59,200 He's still not cleared through concussion protocol and there is 747 00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:01,600 some data that I've seen historically on. 748 00:45:02,430 --> 00:45:05,110 Running back, specifically coming back from concussion, 749 00:45:05,110 --> 00:45:09,310 have a little bit of a larger dip in their production on 750 00:45:09,310 --> 00:45:14,150 average than other positions do. And so it could be interesting, 751 00:45:14,150 --> 00:45:17,230 you know, especially since it's taken this long for Roshan to 752 00:45:17,230 --> 00:45:21,590 get out of concussion protocol, maybe you do see Deontay take 753 00:45:21,590 --> 00:45:23,470 the majority of the work this week. 754 00:45:23,870 --> 00:45:25,590 And it's a week where they don't have. 755 00:45:25,590 --> 00:45:28,950 I mean, not that Justin Fields was lighten it up in the passing 756 00:45:28,950 --> 00:45:32,390 game, but you might see the Bears lean even more run heavy. 757 00:45:32,430 --> 00:45:35,150 So maybe it's nothing terribly efficient with the offense. 758 00:45:35,470 --> 00:45:38,070 But if you need a spot start, you could definitely do worse 759 00:45:38,070 --> 00:45:40,670 than Donta Foreman this week. I think he could be in line for 760 00:45:40,670 --> 00:45:44,110 a lot of work, yeah, yeah, I agree. 761 00:45:44,270 --> 00:45:49,110 Especially if Roshan, hopefully Roshan, his concussion, that 762 00:45:49,350 --> 00:45:51,750 clears up. Not sure if that's the right way 763 00:45:51,750 --> 00:45:55,750 to say it, but if not, then yeah, definitely feel good about 764 00:45:55,790 --> 00:46:00,310 starting Don de Foreman. So should we move on? 765 00:46:00,630 --> 00:46:04,550 Yeah, let's go to the backups chart and on these on the 766 00:46:04,550 --> 00:46:09,310 backups chart, there weren't a ton of guys that I I thought had 767 00:46:09,350 --> 00:46:12,110 huge actionable takeaways. I mean, we see Craig Reynolds 768 00:46:12,110 --> 00:46:15,070 pop up here with the David Montgomery injury. 769 00:46:17,350 --> 00:46:21,110 Really not a not a ton. Else Latavius Murray we might 770 00:46:21,110 --> 00:46:24,310 see move up. A little bit with the Damien 771 00:46:24,310 --> 00:46:27,230 Harris next brain. Apparently the next brain was 772 00:46:27,230 --> 00:46:32,790 not too severe or anything that should really be limiting to 773 00:46:32,790 --> 00:46:36,230 Damien Harris going forward. But I I would anticipate maybe, 774 00:46:36,230 --> 00:46:39,750 you know, this one week removed from his ambulance trip off the 775 00:46:39,750 --> 00:46:43,910 field we might see Damien Harris either, you know, I I don't, I 776 00:46:43,910 --> 00:46:46,830 don't know if he'll be active or inactive but maybe Latavius 777 00:46:46,830 --> 00:46:48,190 Murray gets a little bit more run. 778 00:46:48,940 --> 00:46:53,020 This week but nothing nothing too terribly interesting here on 779 00:46:53,020 --> 00:47:02,380 the backup so I I do know that if I'm demercado so we we sort 780 00:47:02,380 --> 00:47:04,700 of like I don't think we we definitely weren't the only 781 00:47:04,700 --> 00:47:08,740 people saying it that the idea that he was going to be the back 782 00:47:08,740 --> 00:47:16,730 to own after the the the Conner injury and and just I saw a 783 00:47:16,730 --> 00:47:20,050 tweet from from Gretch that sort of lines of what we're seeing 784 00:47:20,050 --> 00:47:23,850 here where he actually did play a decent amount of snaps he was 785 00:47:23,850 --> 00:47:27,130 running routes a lot he was pass blocking but he didn't get that 786 00:47:27,130 --> 00:47:32,650 many touches and so he does seem to be the passing down back 787 00:47:32,850 --> 00:47:37,410 especially in sort of like clearer passing situations and 788 00:47:38,250 --> 00:47:42,760 that's definitely something where you're not going to get 789 00:47:42,880 --> 00:47:45,720 it's not something where you can just start that guy every week 790 00:47:45,720 --> 00:47:52,760 and feel good about it but it it it is a spot where you will get 791 00:47:53,240 --> 00:47:54,760 you'll occasionally get points there. 792 00:47:56,120 --> 00:48:00,520 Yeah, I I wonder. You know, with Kyler returning 793 00:48:00,720 --> 00:48:03,560 and the whole rushing, quarterbacks throw less to 794 00:48:03,560 --> 00:48:07,800 running backs narrative. If that devalues de Mercado a 795 00:48:07,800 --> 00:48:11,200 little further or if the boost that the offense gets 796 00:48:11,200 --> 00:48:14,960 inefficiency, I mean, maybe there is no boost, maybe Josh 797 00:48:14,960 --> 00:48:19,160 Dobbs is Kyler Murray, you know? But we'll, we'll have to see 798 00:48:19,600 --> 00:48:23,320 what that looks like. I mean, yeah, de Mercado's not 799 00:48:23,320 --> 00:48:27,160 looking so terribly exciting in in a redraft format where you're 800 00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:29,800 having to, like, make an active decision to start him. 801 00:48:30,330 --> 00:48:33,410 So it just it kind of looks like the Arizona backfield might not 802 00:48:33,410 --> 00:48:35,370 be valuable unless it's James Conner. 803 00:48:35,810 --> 00:48:42,090 So little little bit of a bummer there and a bit of it I I 804 00:48:42,090 --> 00:48:46,810 realized about 20 minutes before the show started that I messed 805 00:48:46,810 --> 00:48:52,210 up in accidentally excluding and Jonathan Taylor from this chart. 806 00:48:52,650 --> 00:48:55,130 Excel error. My my bad. 807 00:48:55,690 --> 00:49:01,030 And if he if he was in this chart, he'd be right between Zac 808 00:49:01,030 --> 00:49:06,910 Chabanet and taller Algiers. However, I do know if I just 809 00:49:06,950 --> 00:49:11,550 look at last week alone, he did play half the snaps. 810 00:49:11,830 --> 00:49:14,150 He did have 16 expected fantasy points. 811 00:49:14,630 --> 00:49:20,790 So the the the trajectory of one week back to Week 2 back is 812 00:49:20,790 --> 00:49:23,870 definitely it's it's moving strongly in Jonathan Taylor's 813 00:49:23,870 --> 00:49:28,080 favour and would look for obviously look for that to 814 00:49:28,080 --> 00:49:33,600 continue and definitely would have 0 hesitation about starting 815 00:49:33,600 --> 00:49:38,080 John and Taylor going forward and would be would be pretty 816 00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:42,520 interested in pretty interested in John and Taylor if if 817 00:49:42,520 --> 00:49:45,520 somebody was like is a bit worried about Zach Moss. 818 00:49:46,650 --> 00:49:49,370 The other thing about Jonathan Taylor, you mentioned he had 16 819 00:49:49,370 --> 00:49:52,090 expected fantasy points. A lot of that came in the 820 00:49:52,090 --> 00:49:55,210 passing game, which that's beautiful. 821 00:49:55,210 --> 00:49:57,370 You really like to see that for your running backs because that 822 00:49:57,370 --> 00:49:59,370 helps make them more game script proof. 823 00:49:59,770 --> 00:50:03,650 And so like, like we're seeing with Alvin Kamara, he, he's not 824 00:50:03,650 --> 00:50:06,730 efficient, he kind of sucks in the running game, but he's 825 00:50:06,730 --> 00:50:12,090 getting insane work, getting such a great passing role and it 826 00:50:12,090 --> 00:50:13,730 doesn't matter. You don't, you don't even have 827 00:50:13,730 --> 00:50:16,050 to be good. And so Jonathan Taylor is good. 828 00:50:16,520 --> 00:50:19,200 And could be getting this incredible role. 829 00:50:19,200 --> 00:50:22,160 I think he'll eat into more of the work from Zach Moss. 830 00:50:22,520 --> 00:50:26,000 Zach Moss might stick around a little longer than anyone wants 831 00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:28,480 and and he'll be annoying to Jonathan Taylor. 832 00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:31,160 Managers might, you know, take away some of the Russian game 833 00:50:31,160 --> 00:50:34,120 work but it does look like Jonathan Taylor's the guy they 834 00:50:34,120 --> 00:50:37,480 want to use in the passing game which is super valuable and I 835 00:50:37,480 --> 00:50:41,240 think the talent is ultimately just going to to edge Zach Moss 836 00:50:41,240 --> 00:50:44,200 out. But I I I expect Moss has done 837 00:50:44,200 --> 00:50:47,820 enough to. Earn himself some staying power 838 00:50:47,820 --> 00:50:50,260 in a role each week. Right as they're not going to, 839 00:50:50,260 --> 00:50:51,900 they're not going to drop him immediately. 840 00:50:52,180 --> 00:50:56,420 No. However, it's Janet and Taylor, 841 00:50:57,020 --> 00:50:59,580 and they did pay him a shit ton of money. 842 00:51:00,300 --> 00:51:05,900 And so I I do think my my my expectation would be anyway that 843 00:51:05,900 --> 00:51:10,660 by the by the time playoffs come you're seeing Janet and Taylor 844 00:51:10,660 --> 00:51:14,140 in his normal sort of like workhorse role where Zach Moss 845 00:51:14,140 --> 00:51:19,240 still plays and then still get some some work some touches. 846 00:51:19,640 --> 00:51:25,040 But you're you're getting you're getting starter level usage from 847 00:51:25,040 --> 00:51:28,880 Jonathan Taylor and like you said about the the passing game 848 00:51:29,360 --> 00:51:32,440 on it it it truly is unfortunately about Anthony 849 00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:36,920 Richardson's injury. But playing with a quarterback 850 00:51:36,920 --> 00:51:41,120 like Minshew, it does add a lot of expected points to the 851 00:51:41,120 --> 00:51:45,930 backfield there, which is is definitely a really nice outcome 852 00:51:46,130 --> 00:51:48,050 for Dunn and Taylor. Yep. 853 00:51:48,210 --> 00:51:50,250 Yeah. I mean, a really easy way to 854 00:51:50,250 --> 00:51:53,810 think of it is all of that value that Anthony Richardson added 855 00:51:53,810 --> 00:51:57,090 for fantasy with his legs that's now distributed to the rest of 856 00:51:57,090 --> 00:51:58,610 the offense. You're seeing it with Michael 857 00:51:58,610 --> 00:52:01,170 Pittman and Josh Downs and Jonathan Taylor. 858 00:52:01,170 --> 00:52:03,650 All those guys are getting a boost in their production. 859 00:52:03,650 --> 00:52:06,730 So huge bummer to lose Anthony Richardson. 860 00:52:07,090 --> 00:52:10,130 But for the rest of the pieces on this offense, all of a sudden 861 00:52:10,130 --> 00:52:13,290 they they did get a little bump up because Minshew is capable 862 00:52:13,290 --> 00:52:16,460 enough. To generate you know fantasy 863 00:52:16,460 --> 00:52:20,740 production for these guys so yeah agree agree. 864 00:52:20,940 --> 00:52:25,900 So I'm if you're happy I'm going to move on Yep keep us rolling 865 00:52:25,900 --> 00:52:32,100 here and and so I did I did we might have to we might have to 866 00:52:32,100 --> 00:52:38,100 move the the 20 XP so that does this bubble does say Christian 867 00:52:38,100 --> 00:52:43,300 McCaffrey that is Christian the Christian McCaffrey above 20 868 00:52:43,300 --> 00:52:46,900 expected fantasy points per week and and pretty efficient with it 869 00:52:46,900 --> 00:52:52,340 too but just to I guess re explain this chart on the 870 00:52:52,340 --> 00:52:56,540 horizontal axis you've got rushing expected points and then 871 00:52:56,540 --> 00:52:59,580 on the vertical axis you've got receiving expected points and 872 00:52:59,580 --> 00:53:03,980 the size of the bubble it corresponds to their to their 873 00:53:03,980 --> 00:53:07,580 efficiency their fantasy points over expected and you can see 874 00:53:07,580 --> 00:53:12,310 here this reference tells you at this size they're at 0 fantasy 875 00:53:12,310 --> 00:53:17,590 points over expected per game. Is there anybody here standing 876 00:53:17,590 --> 00:53:20,710 out to you that we haven't touched on, or even if you just 877 00:53:21,310 --> 00:53:25,030 want to recap some of the points we've made already just in the 878 00:53:25,030 --> 00:53:28,950 context of this chart? Kind of like James Cook is a buy 879 00:53:28,950 --> 00:53:32,270 low. If you look at the size of his 880 00:53:32,270 --> 00:53:36,430 bubble, he's not been like super efficient or inefficient. 881 00:53:36,430 --> 00:53:39,110 He's just kind of gotten what's been made available to him. 882 00:53:39,800 --> 00:53:43,640 Not that Damien Harris was taking a ton away, but just that 883 00:53:43,640 --> 00:53:46,800 little bit of snaps being able to potentially be consolidated 884 00:53:46,800 --> 00:53:50,280 between him and Latavius Murray. It's just a a tiny little bit of 885 00:53:50,280 --> 00:53:53,840 a boost to Cook. And then also you get the 886 00:53:53,840 --> 00:53:58,480 Patriots this week who have been bad historically. 887 00:53:58,480 --> 00:54:00,800 The Patriots have had a good defense, you know, and that's 888 00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:03,880 been something where you can always say, oh, it's the Bill 889 00:54:03,880 --> 00:54:05,840 Belichick defense. They're always so good. 890 00:54:06,280 --> 00:54:08,400 The Patriots look undisciplined on. 891 00:54:08,870 --> 00:54:12,990 In in every phase of the game like offense, defense, special 892 00:54:12,990 --> 00:54:16,230 teams, they're getting uncharacteristic penalties. 893 00:54:16,630 --> 00:54:19,270 You know from what they would have historically, they just, 894 00:54:19,550 --> 00:54:22,150 they don't look good. They're Matt Jude on tore his 895 00:54:22,150 --> 00:54:26,590 bicep a couple weeks ago like they're they kind of look like 896 00:54:26,590 --> 00:54:30,190 they're a big mess and so I like this as a spot for. 897 00:54:30,790 --> 00:54:32,830 Cook to kind of surge forward a little bit here. 898 00:54:33,110 --> 00:54:37,070 Last week we talked the the theme was guys in that 5 to 10 899 00:54:37,070 --> 00:54:40,470 expected fantasy point range. There are still some interesting 900 00:54:40,470 --> 00:54:43,550 guys there but we've we've kind of covered most of them and I 901 00:54:43,550 --> 00:54:45,870 don't think too many situations change there. 902 00:54:46,350 --> 00:54:49,230 This week when I was putting the charts together I really liked 903 00:54:49,230 --> 00:54:55,030 these 10 to 15 range guys. I I like James Cook a lot this 904 00:54:55,030 --> 00:54:56,430 week. I think he's interesting. 905 00:54:56,430 --> 00:54:58,550 I I think you could see this be a good. 906 00:54:59,470 --> 00:55:02,110 You know by this is a goodbye low window for James Cook right 907 00:55:02,110 --> 00:55:03,910 here. I like Deonta Foreman as a 908 00:55:03,910 --> 00:55:08,030 little spot start this week. Gibbs is also very interesting 909 00:55:08,030 --> 00:55:12,230 because you got Montgomery out, you've got a game against a 910 00:55:12,230 --> 00:55:15,230 potentially high scoring opponent in the Ravens. 911 00:55:15,230 --> 00:55:17,390 I'm hoping that turns into a high scoring game. 912 00:55:17,630 --> 00:55:20,270 That one kind of feels like it could go either way and it could 913 00:55:20,270 --> 00:55:23,350 be pretty polar right? You can end up with a, you know, 914 00:55:23,350 --> 00:55:27,180 13 to 10 just. Each team decides to run the 915 00:55:27,180 --> 00:55:29,820 football at each other and there's a lot of punting and the 916 00:55:29,820 --> 00:55:33,180 offenses don't get a bunch going and it's just a gross game 917 00:55:33,180 --> 00:55:35,620 because both teams are willing to run the ball. 918 00:55:36,740 --> 00:55:40,380 But I I think if you get a couple explosive plays, that's a 919 00:55:40,380 --> 00:55:44,340 really interesting one. And the last time that, you know 920 00:55:44,340 --> 00:55:47,700 Gibbs, Montgomery was out, Gibbs got a lot of work. 921 00:55:47,700 --> 00:55:51,340 I think he got 18 opportunities that game and so. 922 00:55:51,900 --> 00:55:55,380 With Craig Reynolds not practicing today, he's got a 923 00:55:55,380 --> 00:55:56,780 couple injuries. He's banged up. 924 00:55:56,820 --> 00:56:00,380 I'm pretty sure him not practicing is an abundance of 925 00:56:00,380 --> 00:56:03,260 caution by the Lions because they're like, oh, we are real 926 00:56:03,260 --> 00:56:05,380 thin at running back. And they like Craig. 927 00:56:05,420 --> 00:56:08,260 They've they've made it really clear they like Craig Reynolds 928 00:56:08,260 --> 00:56:10,580 like they gave him work over DeAndre Swift last year. 929 00:56:10,780 --> 00:56:16,300 He is not a ultra talented NFL running back, but he is. 930 00:56:16,870 --> 00:56:19,470 Just in the same vein as Devin Singletary, right? 931 00:56:19,630 --> 00:56:23,030 That dude does what he is assigned to do and the coaches 932 00:56:23,030 --> 00:56:25,430 love that about him. And so I think they're trying to 933 00:56:25,430 --> 00:56:28,070 be super safe with Reynolds because they feel thin at 934 00:56:28,070 --> 00:56:29,230 running back. They're holding him out of 935 00:56:29,230 --> 00:56:31,950 practice. But I mean just that, that 936 00:56:31,950 --> 00:56:35,350 little red flag of injury for Reynolds. 937 00:56:35,510 --> 00:56:38,470 Even though Gibbs is coming off injury, I could see this be a 938 00:56:38,470 --> 00:56:42,190 spot where Gibbs gets a lot of work and just the little bit 939 00:56:42,190 --> 00:56:44,990 that he's flashed when he has done some really efficient stuff 940 00:56:44,990 --> 00:56:47,160 and. I just I think back to Week 1 or 941 00:56:47,160 --> 00:56:49,800 he's bouncing off all those tackles and he just looked so 942 00:56:49,800 --> 00:56:53,760 electric. I think that if you you run well 943 00:56:53,760 --> 00:56:57,560 and Gibbs just breaks a couple plays that could be he, he could 944 00:56:57,560 --> 00:56:59,640 easily be the RB one on the week. 945 00:56:59,640 --> 00:57:02,280 So that's an interesting one to me. 946 00:57:03,080 --> 00:57:06,160 You're you're right he did get 18 touches in week 3. 947 00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:12,080 But other than week one he has gotten where week one he got 9 948 00:57:12,080 --> 00:57:15,080 touches. He has gotten the double digit 949 00:57:15,080 --> 00:57:17,760 touches every week apart from week 1. 950 00:57:18,280 --> 00:57:22,440 So obviously they took they took Gibbs in the first round they 951 00:57:22,680 --> 00:57:28,320 they they they still really like Gibbs it seems and but do think 952 00:57:28,320 --> 00:57:31,120 that's interesting where like maybe maybe he gets up there 953 00:57:31,120 --> 00:57:35,240 that again and if he can add the efficiency in a positive game 954 00:57:35,240 --> 00:57:39,220 script and that that could be useful. 955 00:57:39,220 --> 00:57:43,940 So just in terms of it sounds like you're happy to start Gibbs 956 00:57:43,940 --> 00:57:50,460 this week unless you have like clear elite elite running backs 957 00:57:50,660 --> 00:57:53,980 over him. But I see he's so I see he's at 958 00:57:53,980 --> 00:57:59,540 6300 on draftings and I'm just trying to think of it in terms 959 00:57:59,540 --> 00:58:04,620 of usability is do you think he's a million maker play or is 960 00:58:04,620 --> 00:58:08,790 he somebody that where he he's he's firmly in the range for 961 00:58:11,390 --> 00:58:13,150 this sort of smaller tournament stuff. 962 00:58:13,390 --> 00:58:16,310 I have to forget about ownership for a second, 'cause I I know we 963 00:58:16,310 --> 00:58:21,590 don't have that, but just like is, is he a relatively a good 964 00:58:21,590 --> 00:58:23,910 play? Yeah, yeah, I think at that 965 00:58:23,910 --> 00:58:26,910 price, he's a good play. He's got the ceiling necessary 966 00:58:26,910 --> 00:58:32,110 to to really pay off a 6300 tag. I, you know, just just at the 967 00:58:32,110 --> 00:58:33,830 start of every week, I'll like to. 968 00:58:34,640 --> 00:58:38,960 Get my own thoughts about the slate through and and try to not 969 00:58:39,000 --> 00:58:42,360 you know let other people's information and the all the 970 00:58:42,360 --> 00:58:45,520 touts influenced me. I'll just I'll construct a line 971 00:58:45,520 --> 00:58:49,120 up look at you know some of the the data that we have and and go 972 00:58:49,120 --> 00:58:52,000 through my thoughts on on who I like at certain price points. 973 00:58:52,320 --> 00:58:56,800 And I ended up with a very large Baltimore Detroit stack in the 974 00:58:56,880 --> 00:59:01,600 the line up that I built, I believe it was Lamar Gibbs and 975 00:59:02,360 --> 00:59:06,240 and Jameson Williams. With, I believe Zay Flowers. 976 00:59:06,440 --> 00:59:09,200 So it was, it was a lot of pieces all from that one game. 977 00:59:09,680 --> 00:59:12,400 So that game goes off. I'm expecting you to win the the 978 00:59:12,480 --> 00:59:16,480 Thunderdome, basically. Yeah, I I think, I think I'm 979 00:59:16,480 --> 00:59:19,400 gonna need to get a little bit of a bigger bankroll to play. 980 00:59:22,840 --> 00:59:25,360 But you know, if that game does go off, you can expect me to 981 00:59:25,360 --> 00:59:26,640 ship the dog bowl. I might. 982 00:59:26,640 --> 00:59:28,840 I might have three tickets to Miami. 983 00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:35,570 If that game goes off, I yeah, I I'd love to see that anybody 984 00:59:35,570 --> 00:59:38,770 else and we've talked about a bunch of these guys tonight and 985 00:59:38,770 --> 00:59:42,210 and and previous weeks as well. So happy to move. 986 00:59:42,210 --> 00:59:45,130 On yeah, I think we can move on everyone else's like trend 987 00:59:45,130 --> 00:59:46,650 holding or we've already discussed them. 988 00:59:47,370 --> 00:59:52,810 OK, sounds good. So same chart except this, this 989 00:59:53,050 --> 00:59:56,570 one one chart we have odds and then the other one we have evens 990 00:59:56,890 --> 01:00:01,330 and it's just to help help us declutter the chart. 991 01:00:01,490 --> 01:00:03,010 So we're showing two charts with. 992 01:00:03,530 --> 01:00:07,930 More distinct bubbles where you can easily discern who the 993 01:00:07,930 --> 01:00:10,690 players are. Yeah, and and when Draco says 994 01:00:10,690 --> 01:00:13,530 odds and evens, he just means all all these players we have 995 01:00:13,530 --> 01:00:17,570 ranked by expected fantasy points in our sheet and so we 996 01:00:17,570 --> 01:00:20,130 just go down the list, odd, even, odd, even and split them 997 01:00:20,130 --> 01:00:22,850 up that way. Otherwise in that 5 to 10 998 01:00:22,850 --> 01:00:26,810 expected fantasy point range, it'd be entirely unreadable. 999 01:00:27,130 --> 01:00:31,970 But same same thing that I talked about last week. 1000 01:00:32,520 --> 01:00:36,480 That or not, last week, the last chart, it's it's that not the 1001 01:00:36,480 --> 01:00:39,080 five to 10 expected fantasy point range like we were excited 1002 01:00:39,080 --> 01:00:42,000 about last week. Now it's the 10 to 15 expected 1003 01:00:42,000 --> 01:00:45,520 fantasy point range. You see Jerome Ford, who I I 1004 01:00:45,520 --> 01:00:50,240 really like him in a spot where the the Deshaun Watson 1005 01:00:50,240 --> 01:00:54,080 situation's really interesting. They're saying he's got that, 1006 01:00:54,080 --> 01:00:56,320 you know, deep shoulder contusion and that's what's been 1007 01:00:56,320 --> 01:00:57,840 holding him out. And so even though he's 1008 01:00:57,840 --> 01:01:01,200 medically cleared to throw, he's he's just really not, you know? 1009 01:01:01,550 --> 01:01:05,590 He he's deciding he's not capable of playing, and so I 1010 01:01:05,590 --> 01:01:07,950 like Ford. The Browns are always happy to 1011 01:01:07,950 --> 01:01:10,390 lean on their run game. He did fine last week. 1012 01:01:10,510 --> 01:01:14,470 I think he's probably like a little undervalued in public 1013 01:01:14,470 --> 01:01:16,550 perception right now because he didn't score a touchdown. 1014 01:01:16,550 --> 01:01:19,470 It was mostly it was like the classic Nick Chubb game, right? 1015 01:01:19,470 --> 01:01:21,990 Runs for a bunch of yards, doesn't score a touchdown, so it 1016 01:01:21,990 --> 01:01:25,750 doesn't really show up as exciting in the fantasy scores. 1017 01:01:25,750 --> 01:01:28,330 But. I I like Ford this week against 1018 01:01:28,330 --> 01:01:32,570 a a somewhat weak Colts defense. We mentioned last week the 1019 01:01:32,570 --> 01:01:36,810 Dolphins backfield. I think you asked me how I would 1020 01:01:36,810 --> 01:01:42,050 play it whether it be Ahmed or some of the other options of 1021 01:01:42,050 --> 01:01:42,930 Brooks. Thank you. 1022 01:01:43,330 --> 01:01:48,010 And I just said I would play it and it's you know it. 1023 01:01:48,010 --> 01:01:49,650 Last week it turned out to be Auckland. 1024 01:01:50,120 --> 01:01:52,640 And you see he's he's already sitting there. 1025 01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:56,120 That 10 to 15 expected fantasy point range is just like this 1026 01:01:56,120 --> 01:01:59,480 Dolphins backfield. All they know how to do is 1027 01:01:59,480 --> 01:02:03,040 produce fantasy points. So you just you play the 1028 01:02:03,040 --> 01:02:06,600 starters in that you play anyone on the Dolphins offense. 1029 01:02:06,600 --> 01:02:09,640 Basically, you can't go wrong. Yeah. 1030 01:02:09,640 --> 01:02:15,080 So I guess in the context of the Dolphins we did, we got news 1031 01:02:15,080 --> 01:02:19,140 that Jeff Wilson wouldn't be able to make it last week and I 1032 01:02:19,140 --> 01:02:24,020 think that that's part of what why Savannah Ahmed was the the 1033 01:02:24,020 --> 01:02:28,460 next man up. And with Jeff Wilson back this 1034 01:02:28,460 --> 01:02:35,620 week, do you do you think we can still look to Ahmed for points 1035 01:02:35,660 --> 01:02:39,220 or is he? Do you think oh oh, Ahmed, no, I 1036 01:02:39,220 --> 01:02:43,340 think it's probably well, it it really depends on what they. 1037 01:02:44,120 --> 01:02:47,760 I think the Dolphins are going to let us know at least with 1038 01:02:47,760 --> 01:02:51,600 enough certainty that we'll have an idea of is it Jeff Wilson, is 1039 01:02:51,600 --> 01:02:56,240 it Ahmed? But right now if I if I had to 1040 01:02:56,240 --> 01:03:00,120 call it today, I would say that it's Jeff Wilson. 1041 01:03:00,120 --> 01:03:03,680 I think they do prefer him. That's that's what they would 1042 01:03:03,680 --> 01:03:05,880 want to roll out. If you know, everyone is 1043 01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:07,960 healthy, everyone is, you know, feeling good. 1044 01:03:08,440 --> 01:03:12,720 So I I think it would be Jeff Wilson for me, but it's it. 1045 01:03:13,160 --> 01:03:15,960 Listen, Listen to what they say. Pay attention to injury reports 1046 01:03:15,960 --> 01:03:20,000 and practice reports and see what seems the most likely by 1047 01:03:20,000 --> 01:03:23,160 Sunday. And feel good. 1048 01:03:23,720 --> 01:03:26,400 Who even even if it's the It's going to be the second running 1049 01:03:26,400 --> 01:03:27,560 back, right? Most of it is. 1050 01:03:27,560 --> 01:03:30,600 Is the clear RB one there? You can feel good playing the 1051 01:03:30,600 --> 01:03:32,480 second one. There's just enough points there 1052 01:03:32,880 --> 01:03:36,040 that you're you're good, you know? 1053 01:03:36,200 --> 01:03:38,120 Got a good chance of lucking into a touchdown. 1054 01:03:38,120 --> 01:03:40,480 Just someone, someone falls in the end zone, they're going to 1055 01:03:40,480 --> 01:03:42,940 score. You know a lot of points, so 1056 01:03:43,220 --> 01:03:46,620 just take take your shots there. If if those are guys that you 1057 01:03:46,620 --> 01:03:49,620 need to be playing and you like, obviously you know, start your 1058 01:03:49,620 --> 01:03:52,060 studs over those guys. But if if that's a running back 1059 01:03:52,060 --> 01:03:53,820 you need to be playing, you definitely could do worse. 1060 01:03:54,500 --> 01:04:00,900 Yeah, for sure. And I do see is Isaiah Pacheco. 1061 01:04:00,900 --> 01:04:06,300 We had a discussion about him a couple weeks ago and I, after 1062 01:04:06,300 --> 01:04:10,100 disagreeing with you, I I capitulated and said you were 1063 01:04:10,100 --> 01:04:14,590 right and I feel good that I capitulated because you were 1064 01:04:14,590 --> 01:04:17,750 definitely right. I I think that's what's great 1065 01:04:17,750 --> 01:04:20,910 about both of our thought processes where we think about 1066 01:04:20,910 --> 01:04:25,630 the game in a really similar way and so whenever you tell me 1067 01:04:25,630 --> 01:04:29,550 something that you're on that is is different than my current 1068 01:04:29,550 --> 01:04:34,150 assessment of the situation, I always take a long hard think 1069 01:04:34,150 --> 01:04:37,110 about it like OK if Draco thinks this is there's probably 1070 01:04:37,110 --> 01:04:41,120 something to it and and I. Would say vice versa 'cause I 1071 01:04:41,120 --> 01:04:44,720 was able to get Honda, Pacheco and I I think I I do like our 1072 01:04:44,720 --> 01:04:48,000 our dynamic duo effect there. It helps the the couple blind 1073 01:04:48,000 --> 01:04:51,080 spots that each of us are you know in in playing fantasy 1074 01:04:51,080 --> 01:04:54,720 football you're gonna run into a couple player evaluations where 1075 01:04:54,720 --> 01:04:56,720 you're just wrong. You have a blind spot or bias or 1076 01:04:56,720 --> 01:04:59,680 whatever maybe maybe you just missed some news or information, 1077 01:05:00,160 --> 01:05:03,600 but I think between the two of us we we managed to patch up the 1078 01:05:03,600 --> 01:05:06,800 holes in the in the other ones analysis pretty well and so 1079 01:05:07,240 --> 01:05:09,840 definitely. Definitely glad to have you 1080 01:05:09,840 --> 01:05:11,280 there to get my back on some spot. 1081 01:05:12,400 --> 01:05:19,800 Good good good podcast partnership for sure and then on 1082 01:05:19,800 --> 01:05:23,680 on Pacheco. So obviously since then he had 1083 01:05:23,680 --> 01:05:30,480 23 expected points in week 315-1419. 1084 01:05:30,840 --> 01:05:34,720 So he's definitely he's definitely the running back to 1085 01:05:34,800 --> 01:05:40,970 to to play in KC that that one feels like. 1086 01:05:41,410 --> 01:05:45,490 I I don't I haven't honestly seen that much buzz about him 1087 01:05:45,490 --> 01:05:48,450 because he hasn't scored that many points either. 1088 01:05:49,330 --> 01:05:53,130 But like and like the Chiefs backfield is normally pretty 1089 01:05:53,130 --> 01:05:56,250 valuable. And so definitely, yeah, 1090 01:05:56,250 --> 01:06:01,930 definitely interested in Pacheco as like the the KC favored 1091 01:06:01,930 --> 01:06:04,890 running back. I I think he's a great play this 1092 01:06:04,890 --> 01:06:10,240 week against the Chargers on. You know, a short week I think 1093 01:06:10,240 --> 01:06:14,000 that you could see him. Maybe he finds the end zone a 1094 01:06:14,000 --> 01:06:17,000 couple times and delivers on his expected fantasy points. 1095 01:06:17,000 --> 01:06:21,760 And we see his his little bubble size increase a little bit as he 1096 01:06:22,120 --> 01:06:24,120 gets some fantasy points over expectation. 1097 01:06:24,120 --> 01:06:27,520 If he converts a couple touchdowns here yeah he he 1098 01:06:27,520 --> 01:06:31,400 actually in week four he had 10 points over expected. 1099 01:06:31,840 --> 01:06:37,280 So he he's he, he, he has had some weeks where he's delivered 1100 01:06:38,230 --> 01:06:40,310 and hopefully we can get a couple more. 1101 01:06:42,030 --> 01:06:44,110 Anybody else here you wanted to touch on? 1102 01:06:45,310 --> 01:06:48,990 You'll notice Derek Henry is sliding on down. 1103 01:06:48,990 --> 01:06:52,310 He's he's moved down into the five to 10 expected fantasy 1104 01:06:52,310 --> 01:06:55,990 point range and that is just the nature of. 1105 01:06:56,290 --> 01:07:00,410 Derrick Henry, you know you you're the when Derrick Henry is 1106 01:07:00,410 --> 01:07:04,650 delivering good fantasy weeks for you, it's by having huge 1107 01:07:04,650 --> 01:07:08,090 fantasy points over expected, he's breaking long breakaway 1108 01:07:08,090 --> 01:07:10,730 runs that are not expected points, right. 1109 01:07:11,330 --> 01:07:15,250 And so he's not going to look great on a chart like this. 1110 01:07:15,530 --> 01:07:18,930 He doesn't look, you know, super wash or anything. 1111 01:07:18,930 --> 01:07:21,570 He's still breaking a big run here and there and. 1112 01:07:22,450 --> 01:07:25,450 You know, apparently the Titans love him in their passing game. 1113 01:07:25,450 --> 01:07:29,010 He's thrown a couple passes a like scheming for for the 1114 01:07:29,010 --> 01:07:32,130 Derrick Henry jump pass or even even not the Derrick Henry jump 1115 01:07:32,130 --> 01:07:34,690 pass. Just like a, you know, 3030 yard 1116 01:07:34,690 --> 01:07:41,330 strike down field. So as far as Henry goes, he's 1117 01:07:41,330 --> 01:07:44,010 not someone where you could ever, I don't think he can ever 1118 01:07:44,010 --> 01:07:46,250 really acquire him in season long for anything. 1119 01:07:46,250 --> 01:07:49,490 That would be fair, right? The name carries too much value, 1120 01:07:49,810 --> 01:07:52,360 so. On on the flip side of that you 1121 01:07:52,360 --> 01:07:55,640 possibly could sell him off of a good game. 1122 01:07:56,120 --> 01:08:00,320 What I would what I would want to do because what I'm what I'm 1123 01:08:00,320 --> 01:08:02,560 seeing. You know I think a lot of people 1124 01:08:03,160 --> 01:08:06,280 the the best person to sell Derrick Henry to is probably 1125 01:08:06,280 --> 01:08:11,320 someone that is thinks they're smarter than they are at fantasy 1126 01:08:11,320 --> 01:08:14,440 and is paying attention to playoff matchups and stuff like 1127 01:08:14,440 --> 01:08:16,640 that. They're like, oh, hey, did you 1128 01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:19,240 know Derrick Henry plays the Texans twice in the fantasy 1129 01:08:19,240 --> 01:08:21,910 football playoffs? Because what I think we could 1130 01:08:22,109 --> 01:08:24,830 get is we get a nice Derrick Henry explosion game. 1131 01:08:25,270 --> 01:08:28,270 You go and ship them off to someone who's Galaxy braining 1132 01:08:28,270 --> 01:08:31,430 their fantasy playoff matchups. And by the time the fantasy 1133 01:08:31,510 --> 01:08:34,910 football playoffs roll around I'm pretty sure we're going to 1134 01:08:34,910 --> 01:08:38,510 see this Texans defense you know look a little stronger. 1135 01:08:38,830 --> 01:08:41,710 I I I think the way that this team is trending, I wouldn't be 1136 01:08:41,710 --> 01:08:43,670 surprised at all to see their run D. 1137 01:08:44,160 --> 01:08:46,160 Be stronger. Right now the Run D is not good 1138 01:08:46,439 --> 01:08:49,279 but I I wouldn't be surprised at all to see that be stronger by 1139 01:08:49,279 --> 01:08:52,439 season end just based on who they've faced so far this 1140 01:08:52,439 --> 01:08:54,960 season. And just you know, I I think 1141 01:08:55,240 --> 01:08:57,319 they they may be able to get it together a little bit. 1142 01:08:57,800 --> 01:09:00,160 And I think that if you're able to sell Derrick Henry off of a 1143 01:09:00,160 --> 01:09:04,160 big game you might miss out on a lot of these more disappointing 1144 01:09:04,160 --> 01:09:07,720 Derrick Henry floor games and be able to get a good haul soft 1145 01:09:07,720 --> 01:09:10,080 name value. So that was I think that's the 1146 01:09:10,080 --> 01:09:12,399 only actionable Derrick Henry stuff I had. 1147 01:09:13,810 --> 01:09:18,729 Yeah he he's mostly his expected points has mostly really truly 1148 01:09:18,729 --> 01:09:24,130 been in the five to 10 range. And so you you need the the 1149 01:09:24,130 --> 01:09:31,370 Derrick Henry monster runs to score points with him and with I 1150 01:09:31,370 --> 01:09:37,170 I I guess that that still seems to be part of his game, but for 1151 01:09:37,170 --> 01:09:39,770 the price you paid that that doesn't feel very good at all. 1152 01:09:41,090 --> 01:09:45,410 How do you think that part of his game is gonna look with 1153 01:09:45,410 --> 01:09:47,810 Tannehill out? Do you think that teams will be 1154 01:09:47,810 --> 01:09:52,050 able to commit more to preventing those explosive run 1155 01:09:52,050 --> 01:09:54,810 plays from Henry? Will it matter if they commit 1156 01:09:54,810 --> 01:09:57,010 more to preventing those plays or what? 1157 01:09:57,010 --> 01:10:03,490 How does that look? I think he's actually been 1158 01:10:03,610 --> 01:10:08,330 relatively productive with Malik Willis in the line up and 1159 01:10:09,210 --> 01:10:12,680 obviously when he's the quarterback you will get more 1160 01:10:12,680 --> 01:10:18,760 defenders in the box. But where Malik can help in in 1161 01:10:18,760 --> 01:10:23,000 terms of like the efficiency stuff because he's Malik is such 1162 01:10:23,000 --> 01:10:27,760 a threat as a runner himself and offenses can use that. 1163 01:10:27,800 --> 01:10:31,720 They can scheme with that to where to where effectively they 1164 01:10:31,720 --> 01:10:38,560 have to assign a defender to the quarterback who who the offense 1165 01:10:38,560 --> 01:10:42,780 doesn't have to block now. And so I think that part of it 1166 01:10:42,780 --> 01:10:48,260 might actually be a wash how I guess in in the running game. 1167 01:10:48,300 --> 01:10:55,780 But obviously his his receiving stuff is not going to be in in 1168 01:10:55,780 --> 01:10:58,660 play so much with Malik Willis at quarterback. 1169 01:10:59,780 --> 01:11:04,260 So you really need the breakaway runs because you're not getting, 1170 01:11:04,260 --> 01:11:05,620 you're not getting much receiving. 1171 01:11:07,220 --> 01:11:11,340 But do think the breakaway runs will still be in play. 1172 01:11:12,900 --> 01:11:16,460 And and not that this was a terribly efficient offense to 1173 01:11:16,460 --> 01:11:20,540 begin with, but I I don't really think that Malik Willis is going 1174 01:11:20,540 --> 01:11:22,580 to be better for the offense as a whole. 1175 01:11:22,980 --> 01:11:26,180 No Than Ryan Tannehill. Not that Tannehill's been good 1176 01:11:26,180 --> 01:11:29,380 by any stretch, but. I think you're probably going to 1177 01:11:29,380 --> 01:11:32,420 see the offense get a little bit worse. 1178 01:11:32,420 --> 01:11:35,220 And so just in general, that's going to be worse for Henry. 1179 01:11:35,220 --> 01:11:37,380 Just basically has to do it all himself, which he can. 1180 01:11:37,380 --> 01:11:41,180 He absolutely can. But I'd be looking for an out on 1181 01:11:41,180 --> 01:11:42,820 him. I'd be looking for a big game to 1182 01:11:42,820 --> 01:11:46,620 get out, but yeah, agree with that for sure. 1183 01:11:46,620 --> 01:11:50,180 Agree with that for sure. Anybody else that you want to 1184 01:11:50,260 --> 01:11:54,630 touch on, just very move on to. Yeah, very briefly. 1185 01:11:54,630 --> 01:11:57,510 Elijah Mitchell, Jordan Mason conversation. 1186 01:11:57,510 --> 01:12:00,510 If I don't, it doesn't sound like CM CS injury is super 1187 01:12:00,510 --> 01:12:02,910 serious. Sounds like he could go this 1188 01:12:02,910 --> 01:12:07,870 week, but if he does miss, I do think it's more likely to 1189 01:12:07,870 --> 01:12:10,350 actually be Mitchell ahead of Mason. 1190 01:12:10,630 --> 01:12:14,390 But I think you're going to get both backs, so that'll be 1191 01:12:14,390 --> 01:12:16,470 interesting to watch. I don't think there's a ton of 1192 01:12:16,470 --> 01:12:20,270 value. And either of them for the short 1193 01:12:20,270 --> 01:12:23,350 term your your contingent value is obviously good on both of 1194 01:12:23,350 --> 01:12:27,070 those guys. You know in the event that CMC 1195 01:12:27,070 --> 01:12:31,110 misses more time or even in the event that they are lighter with 1196 01:12:31,110 --> 01:12:35,670 his workload when he comes back, which I always thought the the 1197 01:12:35,670 --> 01:12:38,870 way they deployed him last season they they were a little 1198 01:12:38,870 --> 01:12:41,110 lighter with his workload than they have been to start this 1199 01:12:41,110 --> 01:12:44,150 season. So I I really thought that this 1200 01:12:44,150 --> 01:12:46,550 season we would see CM CS workload be. 1201 01:12:47,010 --> 01:12:51,050 Relatively light in the early parts of the season, you know, 1202 01:12:51,050 --> 01:12:56,050 still getting 60 plus percent, 70% of snaps, but not like the 1203 01:12:56,210 --> 01:12:59,770 8090%. Ridiculous CMC style workloads. 1204 01:13:00,170 --> 01:13:02,610 Just in the interest of preservation. 1205 01:13:02,610 --> 01:13:05,850 But anyway, that just Elijah Mitchell. 1206 01:13:05,850 --> 01:13:10,210 He's another guy where the coaches in previous years have 1207 01:13:10,210 --> 01:13:14,570 said we really like this guy. Yeah, he just he hasn't been 1208 01:13:14,570 --> 01:13:17,610 able to stay healthy. But yeah, I don't think the 1209 01:13:17,610 --> 01:13:21,930 team, the team's not looking at this guy when he's healthy 1210 01:13:21,930 --> 01:13:24,490 saying, well, we can't play you cuz you can't stay healthy, 1211 01:13:24,490 --> 01:13:25,930 right? Like if the dude is healthy, 1212 01:13:25,930 --> 01:13:27,610 they want they're gonna put him on the field. 1213 01:13:28,010 --> 01:13:31,250 So just when he's available, just know that he's probably a 1214 01:13:31,250 --> 01:13:35,760 decent asset for fantasy and. You just have to know that maybe 1215 01:13:35,760 --> 01:13:39,600 there's a slightly elevated injury risk for him just based 1216 01:13:39,600 --> 01:13:41,120 on his past. But I don't. 1217 01:13:41,160 --> 01:13:43,240 I I try not to read too much into that stuff. 1218 01:13:43,240 --> 01:13:44,960 I think a lot of it's pretty noisy. 1219 01:13:45,120 --> 01:13:46,960 I don't, I don't think that hardly anyone. 1220 01:13:46,960 --> 01:13:48,360 It's hard to call. Yeah. 1221 01:13:48,360 --> 01:13:50,920 I don't think anyone's good at predicting that or good enough 1222 01:13:50,920 --> 01:13:52,800 to actually gain an advantage from it. 1223 01:13:52,800 --> 01:13:56,680 So for all the injuries you predict you're gonna miss him, I 1224 01:13:56,720 --> 01:13:59,960 do think Elijah Mitchell's a pretty strong spot start. 1225 01:14:00,480 --> 01:14:01,520 Yeah. Yeah. 1226 01:14:01,520 --> 01:14:04,400 And you you also could roll Mason as well, I think. 1227 01:14:04,880 --> 01:14:15,280 Think they'll both get work. So OK and so moving on, oh, flew 1228 01:14:15,280 --> 01:14:18,520 through that. This is our tight end 1229 01:14:18,520 --> 01:14:20,440 utilization and efficiency chart. 1230 01:14:20,600 --> 01:14:25,000 So these are our starting tight ends and what we've got here is 1231 01:14:25,000 --> 01:14:28,680 we've got routes and pass blocking as a percentage of team 1232 01:14:28,680 --> 01:14:32,260 drop backs. And obviously what we want is 1233 01:14:32,260 --> 01:14:36,380 tight ends who are on the field for the the vast majority of the 1234 01:14:36,380 --> 01:14:40,340 teams passing place. And even more than that we want 1235 01:14:40,380 --> 01:14:44,940 tight ends running routes on the vast majority of the teams 1236 01:14:44,940 --> 01:14:49,300 passing place and like the running back charts because we 1237 01:14:49,300 --> 01:14:52,540 want the trend over the full season average. 1238 01:14:52,900 --> 01:14:56,780 This is a rolling four week average rather than the full 1239 01:14:56,780 --> 01:15:01,560 season. One thing that sort of struck me 1240 01:15:01,840 --> 01:15:07,040 was we see George Kittle really climbing up this chart in terms 1241 01:15:07,040 --> 01:15:12,080 of his actual routes. And I believe a big part of that 1242 01:15:12,280 --> 01:15:16,440 is that when another skill player gets injured, they they 1243 01:15:16,480 --> 01:15:21,400 start to rely on George Kittle as a pass catcher much more and 1244 01:15:21,400 --> 01:15:24,960 and that's where you get those weeks where Kittle just scorches 1245 01:15:24,960 --> 01:15:27,970 the air. Yep, Hundred 100%. 1246 01:15:27,970 --> 01:15:32,130 And even there, there are some weeks where there's an injured 1247 01:15:32,130 --> 01:15:36,770 weapon on the 49ers offense, and it's still game plan dependent 1248 01:15:36,770 --> 01:15:40,810 'cause you'll see games where they've decided we can just run 1249 01:15:40,810 --> 01:15:43,810 the piss out of the ball. We we're going to run the ball 1250 01:15:43,810 --> 01:15:46,570 50 times this week. And then George Kittle doesn't 1251 01:15:46,570 --> 01:15:49,370 run any routes. He's just out there mowing dudes 1252 01:15:49,370 --> 01:15:53,330 down, blocking 15 yards down field and so. 1253 01:15:54,080 --> 01:15:58,600 His usage is going to be really volatile for for the top tight 1254 01:15:58,600 --> 01:16:01,880 ends. I would say Kittle is the one he 1255 01:16:01,880 --> 01:16:05,960 he is like the the chameleon of these top tight ends where he 1256 01:16:05,960 --> 01:16:08,200 can be whatever the team needs him to be. 1257 01:16:08,440 --> 01:16:12,320 Or like you know, a lot of these guys up here can can do it all. 1258 01:16:12,320 --> 01:16:14,560 They can block, they can run routes, they're, you know, 1259 01:16:14,560 --> 01:16:17,240 weapons of the passing game. But Kittle. 1260 01:16:17,730 --> 01:16:21,450 You know the most can can really blend in and do what the team 1261 01:16:21,450 --> 01:16:24,770 needs him to do to win a specific game And so he'll have 1262 01:16:24,770 --> 01:16:26,930 a lot of volatility in his utilization. 1263 01:16:26,930 --> 01:16:30,170 And so that's why we can see him bounce up and down the chart 1264 01:16:30,170 --> 01:16:31,930 there. And so in in these last couple 1265 01:16:31,930 --> 01:16:35,770 weeks especially we we get rid of a couple of the the early 1266 01:16:35,770 --> 01:16:38,930 weeks of the season now since we're doing the rolling 4 weeks 1267 01:16:39,250 --> 01:16:43,210 and we have the Cowboys game in there where Kittle was 1268 01:16:43,210 --> 01:16:46,010 specifically used to exploit a match up. 1269 01:16:46,480 --> 01:16:51,360 Against the Cowboys safeties who are not as as good in past 1270 01:16:51,360 --> 01:16:54,680 coverage and they got absolutely worked for three receptions for 1271 01:16:54,680 --> 01:16:57,360 three touchdowns. So that that was a good game 1272 01:16:57,360 --> 01:17:01,920 plan, right? A little little bit of 1273 01:17:01,960 --> 01:17:06,800 disappointment in your voice there and I I sort of do notice 1274 01:17:06,800 --> 01:17:10,400 that he's Kettle's been above since week one he's been above 1275 01:17:10,560 --> 01:17:17,030 85% routes or higher just what's been volatile as whether he's 1276 01:17:17,030 --> 01:17:23,030 actually targeted it or not And so that that's that's the the 1277 01:17:23,030 --> 01:17:28,510 George Kittle experience I suppose another player that 1278 01:17:28,790 --> 01:17:35,670 struck me was your boy and Jake Ferguson where if I look at the 1279 01:17:35,670 --> 01:17:40,510 last two weeks Jake Ferguson is now at in the last two weeks at 1280 01:17:40,550 --> 01:17:46,080 80% of routes run and that's pretty that's like firmly in the 1281 01:17:46,080 --> 01:17:51,720 San Laporta Dallas Gotter and TJ Hawkinson range. 1282 01:17:52,240 --> 01:17:56,400 So that that seems like a pretty strong development there for 1283 01:17:57,000 --> 01:17:59,800 Jake Ferguson. Unless I'm missing something. 1284 01:18:00,440 --> 01:18:01,360 No. Yeah. 1285 01:18:01,360 --> 01:18:04,480 The the only like color or context I would add to the Jake 1286 01:18:04,480 --> 01:18:09,240 Ferguson stuff is now we have more signal that the Cowboys 1287 01:18:09,240 --> 01:18:12,320 offense is shit. So it's. 1288 01:18:13,500 --> 01:18:17,580 It's less exciting than initially when we thought, you 1289 01:18:17,580 --> 01:18:19,900 know, when we were getting the early signal that wow, Jake 1290 01:18:19,900 --> 01:18:23,020 Ferguson could consolidate, you know, more of these snaps. 1291 01:18:23,020 --> 01:18:25,340 He could get more routes and he's already getting he was 1292 01:18:25,340 --> 01:18:27,300 getting elite targets for route run numbers. 1293 01:18:27,300 --> 01:18:29,460 He was up at like 27% for a while. 1294 01:18:29,980 --> 01:18:34,980 His targets dropped down this last week and his his A dot's 1295 01:18:34,980 --> 01:18:39,670 actually still really low. So he's just that safety valve, 1296 01:18:40,030 --> 01:18:42,750 safety blanket. The reason I was excited for 1297 01:18:42,750 --> 01:18:46,950 Jake Ferguson was I anticipated this offense maybe taking a step 1298 01:18:46,950 --> 01:18:50,070 back from last season. But not only did they take a 1299 01:18:50,070 --> 01:18:52,630 step back, they took a step backwards and they actually were 1300 01:18:52,630 --> 01:18:56,510 at the top of a staircase and they fell and smacked their head 1301 01:18:56,510 --> 01:18:58,310 on every single stair on the way down. 1302 01:18:58,710 --> 01:19:00,590 They're all the way at the bottom of the league now. 1303 01:19:00,590 --> 01:19:02,990 I'm just trying. I'm I'm just trying to use this 1304 01:19:02,990 --> 01:19:06,350 section to suddenly make you talk bad about the Cowboys. 1305 01:19:06,390 --> 01:19:08,110 I got I got all I'm trying to do here a. 1306 01:19:08,110 --> 01:19:13,070 Lot to say about it, but anyway to to not, you know, hate on my 1307 01:19:13,150 --> 01:19:15,710 my Cowboys and cause myself too much misery here. 1308 01:19:15,990 --> 01:19:19,910 What I would say is my thesis for why I was so excited about 1309 01:19:19,910 --> 01:19:23,150 Jake Ferguson was I really liked the potential touchdown upside I 1310 01:19:23,150 --> 01:19:26,850 thought I saw on the offense. I think that has fundamentally 1311 01:19:26,850 --> 01:19:28,690 changed. I don't think he could get. 1312 01:19:28,930 --> 01:19:31,450 I thought double digit touchdowns were squarely in the 1313 01:19:31,450 --> 01:19:34,250 range of outcomes for him. I don't think that's the case 1314 01:19:34,250 --> 01:19:36,290 anymore. I think if you travel back in 1315 01:19:36,290 --> 01:19:39,250 time to the Cowboys offense with Callen Moore as the offensive 1316 01:19:39,250 --> 01:19:41,330 coordinator. That was in the range of 1317 01:19:41,330 --> 01:19:45,370 outcomes and it's it's not any longer so he'll be a low in 1318 01:19:45,370 --> 01:19:49,610 tight in one to end the season because tight end is a wasteland 1319 01:19:49,610 --> 01:19:52,410 and when you get this many routes and this many targets per 1320 01:19:52,410 --> 01:19:56,210 route run you will be a low in tight in one but his upside 1321 01:19:56,210 --> 01:19:59,690 that's a good echo though yeah I mean you're for. 1322 01:20:00,130 --> 01:20:02,690 Sure. You, your dreams of him being 1323 01:20:02,690 --> 01:20:05,690 like maybe like top four or something like that maybe. 1324 01:20:06,210 --> 01:20:10,170 Probably not as as live as it was at the start of the year but 1325 01:20:10,170 --> 01:20:12,010 still still a pretty strong outcome. 1326 01:20:12,010 --> 01:20:18,810 And another player that stuck struck out to me is we've got 1327 01:20:18,850 --> 01:20:24,290 Evan Ingram who he's pretty high up here. 1328 01:20:24,330 --> 01:20:26,690 He's getting targeted quite a bit. 1329 01:20:27,210 --> 01:20:30,890 A dot is not quite there, but definitely like. 1330 01:20:31,810 --> 01:20:34,850 Interesting usage for sure, where I think you're definitely 1331 01:20:34,850 --> 01:20:38,840 getting the. Elidish at usage that you were 1332 01:20:38,840 --> 01:20:42,120 hoping for where you drafted Ingram. 1333 01:20:42,520 --> 01:20:46,680 My caveat on the Ingram stuff is that this is while we're missing 1334 01:20:46,680 --> 01:20:50,360 Zay Jones and Zay Jones is I believe missing again this week. 1335 01:20:50,360 --> 01:20:54,720 So while Zay Jones is out I'm I'm happy to play Ingram. 1336 01:20:54,720 --> 01:20:56,800 Think he's probably a a pretty good play. 1337 01:20:57,960 --> 01:21:00,840 The thing I I really like about Ingram, even though his 8 odd is 1338 01:21:00,840 --> 01:21:06,230 really low, is Ingram is cut from the same cloth as like this 1339 01:21:06,230 --> 01:21:08,470 is going to sound like a knock against him but it's not. 1340 01:21:08,670 --> 01:21:12,390 It's Gerald Everett where he's the kind of guy where the 1341 01:21:12,390 --> 01:21:15,710 offense they want to get him the ball and let him make something 1342 01:21:15,710 --> 01:21:20,070 happen after the catch. And so that's part of why is a 1343 01:21:20,070 --> 01:21:22,270 dot so low. You know they're just they're 1344 01:21:22,270 --> 01:21:24,710 trying to get the ball in his hands and let him let him create 1345 01:21:24,710 --> 01:21:27,710 something and he's he's athletic he's a good receiver. 1346 01:21:27,990 --> 01:21:31,230 So I'm I definitely am excited about Ingram. 1347 01:21:31,510 --> 01:21:35,990 But I would caution and say that when Zay Jones comes back I 1348 01:21:35,990 --> 01:21:39,710 would expect that targets per route run number to decrease. 1349 01:21:40,150 --> 01:21:44,670 And so maybe it's something where in a season long league if 1350 01:21:44,670 --> 01:21:47,750 you're able to get a couple good performances from Ingram before 1351 01:21:47,750 --> 01:21:51,510 Zay Jones comes back you could move him to someone who's not as 1352 01:21:51,510 --> 01:21:55,950 plugged in and understanding the dynamics of that offense and and 1353 01:21:56,070 --> 01:21:58,350 why he's seeing so much more work right now. 1354 01:21:58,350 --> 01:22:01,790 But he he's still going to get work, even with Zay Jones back. 1355 01:22:02,440 --> 01:22:05,760 I just think that, you know, the best version of Evan Ingram's 1356 01:22:05,760 --> 01:22:10,560 fantasy production happens with one fewer mouths to feed on that 1357 01:22:10,560 --> 01:22:13,680 offense, whether it's Sage Jones or Cushion Kirk or Calvin Ridley 1358 01:22:13,680 --> 01:22:18,320 being out. That that does make sense and I 1359 01:22:18,320 --> 01:22:24,480 guess slight pushback would be that Ingram still had 16% 1360 01:22:24,480 --> 01:22:28,560 targets per out run on 21% targets per out run and week one 1361 01:22:28,560 --> 01:22:33,600 and two and. Before, which I believe were 1362 01:22:33,600 --> 01:22:40,400 before, and Zay Jones's injury and that that still seems fairly 1363 01:22:40,400 --> 01:22:45,200 strong. Unless I'm missing something 1364 01:22:45,280 --> 01:22:49,160 there, no, no, absolutely. I think Zay Jones did leave part 1365 01:22:49,160 --> 01:22:50,240 way through. Was it? 1366 01:22:50,280 --> 01:22:52,680 Was it week two that he left part way through the game? 1367 01:22:52,760 --> 01:22:55,280 I can't remember. I I might be misremembering but 1368 01:22:55,940 --> 01:22:59,060 yeah I I don't I certainly don't think Ingram is like a must sell 1369 01:22:59,060 --> 01:23:01,700 but if you if you're able to move him for something good but 1370 01:23:01,700 --> 01:23:05,340 yeah he he's certainly interesting this week with no 1371 01:23:05,340 --> 01:23:08,300 Trevor Lawrence it'll be interesting to see how that 1372 01:23:08,300 --> 01:23:09,580 shakes out. Yeah. 1373 01:23:09,980 --> 01:23:13,060 But yeah, he he's, I mean, he's squarely at a tight end. 1374 01:23:13,060 --> 01:23:15,700 One rest to see, you know? Right. 1375 01:23:16,700 --> 01:23:18,740 You you got the. I think you got the road that 1376 01:23:18,740 --> 01:23:20,980 you paid for. Yeah, yeah. 1377 01:23:21,340 --> 01:23:25,260 Which is, you know, for for those tight ends that go in the 1378 01:23:25,260 --> 01:23:30,020 middle of drafts, it's kind of rare that you get an outcome 1379 01:23:30,020 --> 01:23:32,260 where it's actually what you paid for, right? 1380 01:23:32,260 --> 01:23:35,540 Like, I feel like everyone else around, like in Joku and 1381 01:23:35,540 --> 01:23:39,700 Fryermuth, like those, those are both really painful picks. 1382 01:23:39,700 --> 01:23:42,700 Like you go a little bit later and it's like, you know, Dalton 1383 01:23:42,700 --> 01:23:46,620 Kincaid, like that's one you you'd like to have those ones 1384 01:23:46,620 --> 01:23:48,580 back, you know? And then a little bit before 1385 01:23:48,580 --> 01:23:51,860 that, like Darren Waller, Dallas Scottert, like you'd love to 1386 01:23:52,060 --> 01:23:54,720 love to right those ones out of your portfolio. 1387 01:23:54,720 --> 01:23:56,560 So it's like it's a little weird. 1388 01:23:56,600 --> 01:24:00,760 A high bust position. So the the rate of failure when 1389 01:24:00,760 --> 01:24:05,480 you when you're picking tight ends is high and and ideally 1390 01:24:05,480 --> 01:24:08,720 because of that you want your hits to be really big and 1391 01:24:08,880 --> 01:24:11,400 probably not getting that from Ingram, but you're still get 1392 01:24:11,400 --> 01:24:13,520 you're you're getting a solid hit. 1393 01:24:14,360 --> 01:24:16,720 Let's talk about a guy who could be a big hit. 1394 01:24:16,760 --> 01:24:21,380 And for whatever reason, the fantasy community is just 1395 01:24:21,380 --> 01:24:25,540 anchored to the fact that this guy is not a hit and that's Kyle 1396 01:24:25,540 --> 01:24:28,460 Pitts. And so Pitts has had a couple 1397 01:24:28,460 --> 01:24:32,700 good weeks in a row now and a big part of that is coming from 1398 01:24:32,980 --> 01:24:34,420 now. If you look at his peripherals, 1399 01:24:34,420 --> 01:24:36,980 his targets per route run have been high, right? 1400 01:24:36,980 --> 01:24:40,500 It's not this 19% is not new, it's been high. 1401 01:24:40,500 --> 01:24:44,100 His A dot has been high. In fact, I think this might be a 1402 01:24:44,100 --> 01:24:46,620 lower a dot than he's had in the last few weeks. 1403 01:24:46,620 --> 01:24:50,330 You can check me on that. But what we're actually seeing 1404 01:24:50,770 --> 01:24:53,810 his he's his snaps are decreasing you you've seen him 1405 01:24:53,810 --> 01:24:55,490 come down the chart a little bit. 1406 01:24:56,090 --> 01:25:00,370 But we're seeing them throw so many more passes. 1407 01:25:00,370 --> 01:25:05,010 Their, their attempts are up substantially, you know, like 1408 01:25:05,010 --> 01:25:09,730 more than double some weeks. And so you're going to have 1409 01:25:09,730 --> 01:25:12,690 weeks where the Falcons do Arthur Smith things and they 1410 01:25:12,690 --> 01:25:16,790 just run the ball and they refuse to play football in the 1411 01:25:16,790 --> 01:25:20,350 21st century, you know, But you're also going, they've now 1412 01:25:20,350 --> 01:25:24,510 shown us like, yes, we know sometimes we have to throw the 1413 01:25:24,510 --> 01:25:26,710 ball and they begrudgingly do it. 1414 01:25:26,710 --> 01:25:30,230 But those, I mean, shit, you don't even need a lot of those. 1415 01:25:30,230 --> 01:25:33,870 You need like 6-7 of those games in a season. 1416 01:25:33,870 --> 01:25:38,590 And like if you get one of those in the playoff weeks where the 1417 01:25:38,590 --> 01:25:42,590 Falcons drop back and throw 40 plus passes and Kyle Pitts is 1418 01:25:42,590 --> 01:25:46,530 out there with, you know 20% targets per route run at 8 out 1419 01:25:46,530 --> 01:25:52,850 of 12 lookout because you ABS like God, it it it just feels 1420 01:25:52,850 --> 01:25:56,610 like Kyle Pitts needs to be the guy you need in the like. 1421 01:25:56,610 --> 01:26:00,370 Doesn't that feel like that it's setting right in the universe? 1422 01:26:01,130 --> 01:26:05,650 A big, massive spike week and in one of the playoff weeks. 1423 01:26:06,290 --> 01:26:10,570 And here's a fun game. Or at least I think it's fun. 1424 01:26:11,210 --> 01:26:12,850 How? What do you think? 1425 01:26:13,270 --> 01:26:16,390 For the Falcons, what do you think their average drop back 1426 01:26:16,390 --> 01:26:19,950 per week is so far this year? Like their average number of 1427 01:26:19,950 --> 01:26:29,070 drop backs so far this year. Gosh, I'm gonna say it's so low 1428 01:26:29,070 --> 01:26:35,510 the first couple weeks. Let's go 33. 39 OK, OK. 1429 01:26:35,670 --> 01:26:39,150 Like you you've we treat it had 47. 1430 01:26:40,120 --> 01:26:45,480 Week 543639 and then last week 52. 1431 01:26:45,800 --> 01:26:53,640 So like I I I feel like the the team stuff is relatively OK. 1432 01:26:54,200 --> 01:26:58,040 You just you've had some weeks where he wasn't heavily targeted 1433 01:26:58,040 --> 01:27:01,640 and and maybe we can put that down to his recovery from the 1434 01:27:01,640 --> 01:27:06,440 knee injury or lack of hopefully not lack of chemistry with 1435 01:27:07,280 --> 01:27:10,340 Ritter but. The team stuff feels like 1436 01:27:10,340 --> 01:27:15,380 relatively OK and the the talent is certainly there. 1437 01:27:15,580 --> 01:27:21,860 So they're like, especially at the price, like I remember Pitts 1438 01:27:21,860 --> 01:27:25,500 was going like in the in the tenth round and later in 1439 01:27:25,500 --> 01:27:29,940 resurrection at that price. Like you've got the potential 1440 01:27:29,940 --> 01:27:31,660 for some really nice outcomes there. 1441 01:27:32,380 --> 01:27:36,140 Yeah and yeah. Firmly in play in DFS as well as 1442 01:27:36,140 --> 01:27:40,450 I would say yeah and his his price was like bargain basement 1443 01:27:40,450 --> 01:27:43,050 last week. I I think the the Ritter double 1444 01:27:43,050 --> 01:27:44,610 S ended up taking down the Millie. 1445 01:27:44,610 --> 01:27:46,610 They took down a lot of stuff last week. 1446 01:27:46,610 --> 01:27:50,850 So exciting exciting signs from that offense. 1447 01:27:50,850 --> 01:27:53,330 You're gonna have frustrating weeks from that off. 1448 01:27:53,330 --> 01:27:56,210 That is the nature of an Arthur Smith team right. 1449 01:27:56,210 --> 01:28:00,690 But there's there's signs of life and the cost that you were 1450 01:28:00,690 --> 01:28:04,210 paying for Pitts this season was low and you know, like he wasn't 1451 01:28:04,210 --> 01:28:08,270 going that much before Ingram, really, you know, like a round, 1452 01:28:08,270 --> 01:28:11,030 a round and a half, two rounds before Ingram. 1453 01:28:11,670 --> 01:28:14,950 And at that point in the draft there wasn't a ton of 1454 01:28:14,950 --> 01:28:17,750 opportunity cost difference between all the all the players 1455 01:28:17,750 --> 01:28:21,510 you'd select between them. Where I think that's that's 1456 01:28:21,510 --> 01:28:24,270 shaping up to be a pick that you're happy that you made 1457 01:28:24,550 --> 01:28:29,110 especially if it got you to stack them with Ritter as a Joe 1458 01:28:29,110 --> 01:28:33,250 cheap last round quarterback and you played it with one you you 1459 01:28:33,250 --> 01:28:36,450 managed to get one of the other quarterbacks that's a big hit 1460 01:28:36,450 --> 01:28:40,170 this season and then you've got Ritter who's deaf Ritter's major 1461 01:28:40,170 --> 01:28:42,490 starting lineup. If you drafted Ritter you know 1462 01:28:42,490 --> 01:28:45,450 he he's had a couple weeks where he's done enough to hit your 1463 01:28:45,450 --> 01:28:49,610 starting lineup. So it's definitely, I I think 1464 01:28:50,010 --> 01:28:54,170 you can already chalk it up as you know very, very promising 1465 01:28:54,170 --> 01:28:56,570 for the Falcons pass catching stacks. 1466 01:28:57,540 --> 01:29:00,940 Now I'm really excited about the prospect that we can get one of 1467 01:29:00,940 --> 01:29:03,740 these podcasts in under 2 hours. I think. 1468 01:29:03,820 --> 01:29:06,820 I think we can do it this week. Let's let's hit this backup 1469 01:29:06,820 --> 01:29:10,020 tight end chart and then motor through these wide receivers. 1470 01:29:11,260 --> 01:29:17,380 Yeah, so same chart, except as, as Zach said, these are the 1471 01:29:17,380 --> 01:29:23,500 backups and this is, this was originally Sam Sherman's like he 1472 01:29:23,500 --> 01:29:25,540 has this perverse sense of humor. 1473 01:29:26,010 --> 01:29:28,370 For making me talk about backup tight ends. 1474 01:29:28,370 --> 01:29:30,650 And he's still he's still making me do it. 1475 01:29:32,730 --> 01:29:35,850 I I've got there's oh sorry there. 1476 01:29:35,850 --> 01:29:39,330 There's three on this chart actually that are worth talking 1477 01:29:39,330 --> 01:29:40,690 about I. Go ahead. 1478 01:29:40,890 --> 01:29:45,370 Go right ahead, one of them. I want you to look up some data 1479 01:29:45,370 --> 01:29:49,010 for for me. Can you tell me Michael Mayer, 1480 01:29:49,690 --> 01:29:53,250 you know, percent of team drop backs and targets per route run 1481 01:29:53,250 --> 01:29:56,690 just for the last two weeks 'cause his Rolling 4 is gonna 1482 01:29:56,690 --> 01:30:00,730 look really bad, but his last two is where we are starting to 1483 01:30:00,730 --> 01:30:08,530 see this Michael Mayer breakout. Last week he was 67% route run 1484 01:30:08,930 --> 01:30:14,810 and 27% targets per route run. So essentially you can, if 1485 01:30:14,810 --> 01:30:16,610 that's maintains you can, you can. 1486 01:30:16,610 --> 01:30:19,490 That's what we were seeing from Jake Ferguson to start the 1487 01:30:19,490 --> 01:30:22,430 season. Basically, it's it's Jake 1488 01:30:22,430 --> 01:30:25,950 Ferguson exactly to start the season right 27% targets per 1489 01:30:25,950 --> 01:30:30,230 route run, just under 70%. So yeah, that's that's good. 1490 01:30:31,230 --> 01:30:37,350 Like 3.4 yards per route run. So like if if you are stuck at 1491 01:30:37,350 --> 01:30:42,950 tight end, I think you can, I can think you have a there's a 1492 01:30:42,950 --> 01:30:47,110 shot where you can start Michael Mera now, which given how bad it 1493 01:30:47,110 --> 01:30:48,910 looked at the start of the year, that's. 1494 01:30:49,680 --> 01:30:51,320 I'm pretty. I'm pretty pumped about that. 1495 01:30:51,880 --> 01:30:53,640 I got AI, got an interesting spot. 1496 01:30:53,800 --> 01:30:58,600 I've got Jake Ferguson on my my keeper home league. 1497 01:30:58,800 --> 01:31:01,000 Jake Ferguson's my only tight end on my roster. 1498 01:31:01,000 --> 01:31:04,740 I got a million guys on by this week don't don't really have 1499 01:31:04,740 --> 01:31:08,340 room to hold Jake Ferguson. I mean I I could cut some dart 1500 01:31:08,340 --> 01:31:12,540 throw running back but I'm debating cutting Ferguson to add 1501 01:31:12,540 --> 01:31:14,860 Mayer. The problem is I can keep 1502 01:31:14,860 --> 01:31:18,420 Ferguson for $2.00 next year. Probably won't got a bunch of 1503 01:31:18,420 --> 01:31:19,820 good keepers but I could sell them. 1504 01:31:20,180 --> 01:31:22,740 I can't keep Mayer because he didn't get drafted. 1505 01:31:23,220 --> 01:31:28,660 But OK, but is is it worth hanging on to Ferguson through 1506 01:31:28,660 --> 01:31:31,280 the buy? I really don't think I want to 1507 01:31:31,280 --> 01:31:34,680 roster both of them, but I I do really want to pick up Mayer. 1508 01:31:34,680 --> 01:31:38,800 I think, 'cause my my upside case for Ferguson I just talked 1509 01:31:38,800 --> 01:31:40,320 about, it kind of evaporated, right? 1510 01:31:40,320 --> 01:31:44,560 The the true huge ceiling I was excited for, and I think that's 1511 01:31:44,560 --> 01:31:46,000 live for May. Here. 1512 01:31:46,040 --> 01:31:48,600 Here's the thing, Michael Mayer is good. 1513 01:31:48,600 --> 01:31:51,440 He's really good. Like he's a good. 1514 01:31:51,600 --> 01:31:54,000 He was Notre Dame's best player for, for, for. 1515 01:31:54,570 --> 01:31:59,050 Every year he played there, I I believe, I believe, to quote 1516 01:31:59,090 --> 01:32:01,530 Evan Silva, I think he's a motherfucking Mackie Award 1517 01:32:01,530 --> 01:32:02,970 winner. Is that is that right? 1518 01:32:04,530 --> 01:32:09,490 So I I he he used the embodiment of the the Wonder Fucking Mackie 1519 01:32:09,490 --> 01:32:10,530 Award. Yeah. 1520 01:32:10,610 --> 01:32:14,970 So I I'm interested in Mayer not to spend too much time on the 1521 01:32:14,970 --> 01:32:16,970 back of tight end chart though so I'm gonna I'm gonna speed 1522 01:32:16,970 --> 01:32:20,360 through these next guys. Luke Musgrave also super 1523 01:32:20,360 --> 01:32:22,720 interesting 19% targets per route run. 1524 01:32:23,160 --> 01:32:28,040 Decent enough A dot and I I think what we might end up 1525 01:32:28,040 --> 01:32:31,840 seeing with Luke Musgrave is as the offense becomes more 1526 01:32:31,840 --> 01:32:35,400 efficient, even though he might end up getting a little bit 1527 01:32:35,400 --> 01:32:39,880 squeezed in his targets per route run, he could benefit from 1528 01:32:39,880 --> 01:32:43,680 getting some more touchdowns. The offense we saw when this 1529 01:32:43,680 --> 01:32:46,720 offense is efficient. Jordan loves chucking 3T DS a 1530 01:32:46,720 --> 01:32:50,440 week, right? So you're just asking for a 1531 01:32:50,440 --> 01:32:52,920 little bit of that touchdown variance to go Luke Musgrave's 1532 01:32:52,920 --> 01:32:57,200 way and they targeted the piss out of him in their last game 1533 01:32:57,200 --> 01:32:59,440 like they were they were feeding him the ball. 1534 01:32:59,960 --> 01:33:04,520 I I think if this offense gets a little better and maybe that you 1535 01:33:04,520 --> 01:33:07,440 know they needed the Aaron Jones boost to do that. 1536 01:33:08,240 --> 01:33:13,160 I'm interested in Luke Musgrave. So just another point to kind of 1537 01:33:13,280 --> 01:33:16,160 back that up is that in the first three weeks? 1538 01:33:16,860 --> 01:33:22,140 His routes run were 8081 and 86 and then he had the the 1539 01:33:22,140 --> 01:33:27,980 concussion that he pushed him down to 20% for a week and then 1540 01:33:27,980 --> 01:33:30,660 he was just coming off the concussion which pushed him to 1541 01:33:30,660 --> 01:33:33,260 68%. So I actually think there's a 1542 01:33:33,260 --> 01:33:38,220 pretty good chance that for the, for the full season, he's going 1543 01:33:38,220 --> 01:33:41,540 to be in the starting tight end section of the chart where he's 1544 01:33:41,540 --> 01:33:47,730 going to be around 80. Yeah, I I definitely like Luke 1545 01:33:47,730 --> 01:33:52,530 Musgrave as a guy going forward. I would, I would say actually 1546 01:33:52,530 --> 01:33:56,610 not sure how I feel about Mayer versus Musgrave rest of season. 1547 01:33:56,610 --> 01:33:58,410 Do you have a preference one over the other? 1548 01:34:00,970 --> 01:34:03,210 I I have a It's one of those things. 1549 01:34:03,210 --> 01:34:06,210 I'm just biased. I just think Michael Mayer is 1550 01:34:06,210 --> 01:34:10,690 like so good that he he's who I want to bet on. 1551 01:34:10,890 --> 01:34:15,350 But and and then. Luke Musgrave didn't really have 1552 01:34:15,350 --> 01:34:22,550 that strong a college profile, so I'm still holding. 1553 01:34:22,550 --> 01:34:26,390 I'm still hanging on to my priors with Michael Mayer, but 1554 01:34:28,070 --> 01:34:30,070 that's it. Maybe that maybe that's a bias 1555 01:34:30,070 --> 01:34:36,240 for me but I think I'm justified actually you know one of one of 1556 01:34:36,240 --> 01:34:41,920 the greatest DFS players Utica on on lalls said that he just 1557 01:34:41,920 --> 01:34:45,440 plays the best players plays the most talented players Pete Pete 1558 01:34:45,440 --> 01:34:48,320 managed to drag that out of him for his process and so I think 1559 01:34:48,320 --> 01:34:53,480 he would back up your Michael Mayer is is the guy there the 1560 01:34:53,480 --> 01:34:57,240 last backup tight end I will make anyone listen to me talk 1561 01:34:57,240 --> 01:35:03,380 about is Trey McBride and Trey McBride is we're catching the 1562 01:35:03,380 --> 01:35:07,100 signal one week early compared to where Michael Mayer is at 1563 01:35:07,100 --> 01:35:09,580 where now we've seen Michael Mayer string together these two 1564 01:35:09,580 --> 01:35:13,340 weeks where it's like OK like you have my attention Trey 1565 01:35:13,340 --> 01:35:17,980 McBride we're we're just one week prior in that breakout for 1566 01:35:17,980 --> 01:35:22,820 him and we saw him get more snaps we saw him get more 1567 01:35:22,820 --> 01:35:27,850 opportunities and he looks good A lot of his production did come 1568 01:35:27,850 --> 01:35:32,250 on the last play of the game total absolute the most garbagey 1569 01:35:32,250 --> 01:35:34,690 garbage time. But it was a long pass down the 1570 01:35:34,690 --> 01:35:36,770 field from Josh Dobbs. Hit him down the seam. 1571 01:35:36,770 --> 01:35:39,210 It was a nice little strike and he he. 1572 01:35:39,210 --> 01:35:41,010 Was that the one last time was expiring? 1573 01:35:41,090 --> 01:35:45,850 Yes, and they they were. They time expired after the 1574 01:35:45,850 --> 01:35:48,730 catch, so it was completely worthless in real life. 1575 01:35:49,250 --> 01:35:52,570 Yeah, I'm sure. I I believe I've got enough Trey 1576 01:35:52,570 --> 01:35:56,010 McBride that that had to help some best ball team of mine 1577 01:35:56,010 --> 01:36:00,250 somewhere, so. But he he hit a flex for me for 1578 01:36:00,290 --> 01:36:02,450 sure. McBride is good though. 1579 01:36:02,450 --> 01:36:04,610 It is the thing. He just like Michael Mayer. 1580 01:36:04,610 --> 01:36:06,450 He's good. He's very athletic. 1581 01:36:06,810 --> 01:36:10,250 And the other thing, this is kind of in the same vein as a 1582 01:36:10,250 --> 01:36:12,370 team telling you we really like this guy. 1583 01:36:12,850 --> 01:36:15,730 This this felt weird to me to see a team do this. 1584 01:36:16,010 --> 01:36:19,540 But they went out and they they, they, like, made a big deal 1585 01:36:19,540 --> 01:36:22,700 about this, too. They explicitly moved Zach Ertz 1586 01:36:22,700 --> 01:36:27,620 down on the depth chart to #2 and moved Trey McBride up to #1. 1587 01:36:27,620 --> 01:36:31,940 And it's like that just feels it feels like they're trying so 1588 01:36:31,940 --> 01:36:35,740 hard to send a message like that was like very much about the 1589 01:36:35,740 --> 01:36:39,530 messaging. And to me, I'm, I'm happy to buy 1590 01:36:39,530 --> 01:36:41,490 into that signal. I always thought Trey McBride 1591 01:36:41,490 --> 01:36:43,330 was really talented. I drafted a lot of him. 1592 01:36:43,330 --> 01:36:46,530 It was very frustrated to see Zach Ertz getting all this work 1593 01:36:46,530 --> 01:36:48,330 and and keeping Trey McBride bottled up. 1594 01:36:48,930 --> 01:36:52,210 I'm happy to to try and get on the Trey McBride train before it 1595 01:36:52,210 --> 01:36:55,250 leaves the station here. Not sure it's it's like for a 1596 01:36:55,250 --> 01:36:58,890 redraft league it's not terribly actionable but like keep them on 1597 01:36:58,890 --> 01:37:02,730 your watch list keep a light on you know maybe an FFPC you know 1598 01:37:02,730 --> 01:37:06,840 2020 man roster that's definitely I mean he's probably 1599 01:37:06,840 --> 01:37:10,520 owned but you know maybe maybe worth a pick up if he's somehow 1600 01:37:10,520 --> 01:37:12,560 out there on your waivers and tight end premium. 1601 01:37:12,560 --> 01:37:16,880 But anyway, that was that was the last backup tight end I had 1602 01:37:16,880 --> 01:37:17,600 anything to. Say about. 1603 01:37:17,600 --> 01:37:20,880 All right, all right, let's, let's keep him moving then. 1604 01:37:22,800 --> 01:37:26,720 So here we have the wide receiver chart and on the 1605 01:37:26,720 --> 01:37:29,600 horizontal axis, you've got fantasy point. 1606 01:37:29,720 --> 01:37:32,360 No, sorry. On the horizontal axis, you've 1607 01:37:32,360 --> 01:37:37,390 got weighted targets per outrun. Which is like normal targets per 1608 01:37:37,390 --> 01:37:41,830 out run, but it weighs down the field targets more. 1609 01:37:42,430 --> 01:37:45,070 And then on the vertical axis you've got fantasy points per 1610 01:37:45,070 --> 01:37:48,270 day. And what I normally find in this 1611 01:37:48,270 --> 01:37:52,150 chart is that after a couple of games in it tends to get very 1612 01:37:52,150 --> 01:37:55,470 stable. Like we we sort of figure out 1613 01:37:55,470 --> 01:38:01,190 who guys are pretty quickly and it can be good to sort of recap 1614 01:38:01,190 --> 01:38:04,110 that, but just sort of. But that's what I found with 1615 01:38:04,110 --> 01:38:06,750 this chart. Yeah, definitely. 1616 01:38:06,750 --> 01:38:10,150 I couldn't couldn't agree more. Once we've got a large enough 1617 01:38:10,150 --> 01:38:14,670 sample, most of the guys kind of are who they are there. 1618 01:38:14,670 --> 01:38:17,270 There can be certain situations where we want to read a little 1619 01:38:17,310 --> 01:38:20,350 bit more into the situation and the nuance surrounding it for 1620 01:38:20,350 --> 01:38:23,230 why a guy might move from 1 quadrant to another. 1621 01:38:23,590 --> 01:38:27,470 But like for example guys that I I don't think will be moving 1622 01:38:27,470 --> 01:38:31,790 from their quadrant would be like this dude that Steve Smith 1623 01:38:32,170 --> 01:38:34,730 senior agreed with me on for my player evaluation. 1624 01:38:34,730 --> 01:38:39,130 That's Jerry Judy because that's that's Jerry Hoody to to you 1625 01:38:39,130 --> 01:38:42,330 because that guy is absolute dust he's he's going to live in 1626 01:38:42,330 --> 01:38:47,170 the melt carton zone down here with Johann Dodson Alec Pierce 1627 01:38:47,170 --> 01:38:49,970 and Allen Robinson. They're they're all dust balls. 1628 01:38:51,290 --> 01:38:54,690 I I just had to shit on, had to shit on Jerry Judy take, take 1629 01:38:54,690 --> 01:38:58,570 one more victory lap on that take after Steve Smith backed me 1630 01:38:58,570 --> 01:39:00,570 up. It's always always nice to get 1631 01:39:00,570 --> 01:39:04,250 that support a guy that's actually something actionable. 1632 01:39:04,450 --> 01:39:06,370 There's two guys, they're right next to each other. 1633 01:39:06,610 --> 01:39:10,010 They're both in the proper, not proper, but our preferred 1634 01:39:10,010 --> 01:39:14,810 quadrant of the chart that we like and they are at points on 1635 01:39:14,810 --> 01:39:18,770 the chart where I think that we could see them trend in positive 1636 01:39:18,770 --> 01:39:20,690 directions both up and to the right. 1637 01:39:21,140 --> 01:39:23,820 And I don't think this is going to be like my CD lamb call where 1638 01:39:23,820 --> 01:39:26,740 I said he's moving up and to the right and then he did the exact 1639 01:39:26,740 --> 01:39:28,740 opposite. I I truly think there's some 1640 01:39:28,740 --> 01:39:31,220 pretty good signal here for why both of these guys might have 1641 01:39:31,220 --> 01:39:34,420 some positive movement. And that's Michael Pittman and 1642 01:39:34,420 --> 01:39:36,980 Amari Cooper. You can see they're both kind of 1643 01:39:36,980 --> 01:39:40,020 near that bottom left corner of the top right quadrant near the 1644 01:39:40,020 --> 01:39:42,940 middle of the chart. Both of these guys are running 1645 01:39:42,940 --> 01:39:45,340 lots of routes. They're both, you know, 95 to 1646 01:39:45,340 --> 01:39:49,740 100% routeshare, and they both happen to benefit from 1647 01:39:49,740 --> 01:39:53,340 quarterback changes. It's kind of funny, but we saw 1648 01:39:53,340 --> 01:39:57,900 this last season too, that Amari Cooper was better when Jacoby 1649 01:39:57,900 --> 01:40:01,300 Brissette was in at quarterback. And now that Deshaun Watson has 1650 01:40:01,300 --> 01:40:05,180 been out a couple weeks, it actually looks like Amari Cooper 1651 01:40:05,180 --> 01:40:07,860 might be a little bit better. Not that he was terrible with, 1652 01:40:08,180 --> 01:40:12,260 you know, Deshaun Watson, but I I don't think Deshaun Watson is 1653 01:40:12,260 --> 01:40:14,780 good. And so it doesn't matter that 1654 01:40:14,780 --> 01:40:17,340 he's your your brain plays a trick on you. 1655 01:40:17,820 --> 01:40:20,140 When you're like, oh, the starting quarterback's out, So I 1656 01:40:20,140 --> 01:40:22,580 can't play Amari Cooper. Any Amari Cooper's bad now. 1657 01:40:22,580 --> 01:40:24,580 He's dead, right? Or he's not not as good as he 1658 01:40:24,580 --> 01:40:28,220 was. But in in actuality, that's not 1659 01:40:28,220 --> 01:40:30,460 the case. Amari Cooper is just as good, 1660 01:40:30,580 --> 01:40:33,340 potentially better, because Deshaun Watson sucks. 1661 01:40:33,700 --> 01:40:37,420 And so I I think that that's one that's interesting to me. 1662 01:40:37,700 --> 01:40:40,660 I don't know how much more time Deshaun Watson is going to miss. 1663 01:40:41,530 --> 01:40:43,410 Who knows though. He's sitting on, you know, 200 1664 01:40:43,410 --> 01:40:44,970 mil guaranteed. Doesn't have to work. 1665 01:40:44,970 --> 01:40:48,050 Doesn't have to do anything and he's got a little little ouchie 1666 01:40:48,050 --> 01:40:49,650 in his shoulder. He doesn't want to play. 1667 01:40:51,090 --> 01:40:54,250 But Michael Pittman also benefiting from quarterback 1668 01:40:54,250 --> 01:40:56,130 change. This one we know is sticking. 1669 01:40:56,370 --> 01:40:59,810 We should, you know see Gardner, Minshew, I would assume finished 1670 01:40:59,810 --> 01:41:02,490 out the season for them. He would have to look really 1671 01:41:02,490 --> 01:41:05,330 bad. I I would guess to get benched 1672 01:41:06,330 --> 01:41:09,150 because I think the Colts kind of feel like they've got their 1673 01:41:09,150 --> 01:41:11,670 quarterback of the future and Anthony Richardson just with 1674 01:41:11,670 --> 01:41:13,950 what he's flashed. Not that he was such a prolific 1675 01:41:13,950 --> 01:41:17,590 passer or anything but you know he he was Cam Newton all over 1676 01:41:17,590 --> 01:41:20,230 again and when you got that you're you're going to ride it. 1677 01:41:20,230 --> 01:41:24,830 But to Michael Pittman's benefit, I mean he got what was 1678 01:41:24,830 --> 01:41:30,310 it was it 1011 targets last week and he's he's earning alpha work 1679 01:41:30,310 --> 01:41:34,590 like Alec Pierce is just out of the picture. 1680 01:41:34,590 --> 01:41:38,890 The his his competition for targets is, you know it's a 1681 01:41:38,890 --> 01:41:42,410 rookie slot receiver and Josh Downs who I I think is good at 1682 01:41:42,410 --> 01:41:44,490 football. But I just think Michael Pittman 1683 01:41:44,490 --> 01:41:47,210 is going to be able to command a pretty high percentage of the 1684 01:41:47,210 --> 01:41:51,290 targets and I think this offense is going to benefit from more 1685 01:41:51,290 --> 01:41:53,850 accurate passes more passing volume. 1686 01:41:53,850 --> 01:41:57,970 And we did talk about the effect earlier that removing that 1687 01:41:57,970 --> 01:42:00,890 quarterback rushing from the offense distributes some of 1688 01:42:00,890 --> 01:42:02,690 those fantasy points to other weapons. 1689 01:42:02,690 --> 01:42:06,470 So both of those guys, Amari Cooper, Michael Pittman, I 1690 01:42:06,470 --> 01:42:08,150 thought were really interesting on the chart. 1691 01:42:09,030 --> 01:42:11,510 Yeah. So Michael Pittman looks like 1692 01:42:11,510 --> 01:42:15,670 he's been in around the 25% target threat run range. 1693 01:42:15,950 --> 01:42:21,150 So that's like you're probably it's not truly elite but it's 1694 01:42:21,150 --> 01:42:26,710 it's wide receiver one usage. Yeah he's definitely definitely 1695 01:42:26,710 --> 01:42:30,910 paying off his tag he he went pretty cheap in basketball 1696 01:42:30,910 --> 01:42:36,470 drafts for his role he's he's kind of I don't want to call him 1697 01:42:36,470 --> 01:42:41,230 the the Tyler Walken and DK Metcalf of you know of 2023 1698 01:42:41,230 --> 01:42:46,070 where where they were so under valued in 2022 because people 1699 01:42:46,190 --> 01:42:49,870 thought that Seattle was going to be terrible but it he's he's 1700 01:42:49,870 --> 01:42:54,190 kind of in that in that range. I mean the the truest right 1701 01:42:54,190 --> 01:42:57,310 where he's. So cheap that just being hit, 1702 01:42:57,350 --> 01:43:01,070 hit solid is like a big win. Yeah, yeah. 1703 01:43:02,390 --> 01:43:04,390 Anyone else on this chart for you? 1704 01:43:04,390 --> 01:43:06,950 I mean Cooper Cup is doing Cooper Cup things. 1705 01:43:06,950 --> 01:43:09,510 Are we surprised Puka Nekua is still good? 1706 01:43:10,550 --> 01:43:12,670 Puka Nekua still got 33% target share. 1707 01:43:12,670 --> 01:43:16,430 I think the Rams threw really little this last week, right? 1708 01:43:16,430 --> 01:43:20,230 And they have only like let's see, 2021 attempts or something. 1709 01:43:20,230 --> 01:43:21,910 It was something crazy low for them. 1710 01:43:23,230 --> 01:43:32,150 Give me a second and but they they true. 2828 Dropbox in Week 1711 01:43:32,150 --> 01:43:34,750 6. So that that is tiny. 1712 01:43:35,030 --> 01:43:37,350 Yeah. Is very yeah, very little. 1713 01:43:37,670 --> 01:43:41,270 But puka Puka's still, you know out there doing puka things. 1714 01:43:41,270 --> 01:43:48,670 It it just looks like a great it it's man, just it's Gretch's 1715 01:43:48,670 --> 01:43:52,150 right about a lot of stuff but his call of there's gonna be the 1716 01:43:52,150 --> 01:43:55,830 haves and have nots is just looking so prescient. 1717 01:43:55,830 --> 01:43:59,240 The way the season is playing out, it's like, it's the Rams, 1718 01:43:59,280 --> 01:44:02,920 it's the Lions, it's the 49ers, it's the Dolphins. 1719 01:44:03,440 --> 01:44:05,880 And those are the competent offenses, right? 1720 01:44:05,880 --> 01:44:08,720 And and there's other offenses that are producing for fantasy, 1721 01:44:08,720 --> 01:44:11,720 like you got A.J. Brown and Stefan Diggs up there. 1722 01:44:11,880 --> 01:44:15,360 And I would argue that they're producing in spite of the way 1723 01:44:15,360 --> 01:44:19,040 their offenses are designed rather than they're they're not. 1724 01:44:19,520 --> 01:44:22,280 They're not being boosted by their offensive design. 1725 01:44:22,640 --> 01:44:26,280 They are the talent of the player and and obviously they 1726 01:44:26,280 --> 01:44:28,560 have incredible quarterback situations as well. 1727 01:44:28,920 --> 01:44:32,760 It's enough that the fact that their offense isn't you know the 1728 01:44:32,800 --> 01:44:35,680 the coordinator isn't among the very, very best in the league 1729 01:44:36,000 --> 01:44:37,800 like those four offenses I listed. 1730 01:44:38,080 --> 01:44:40,360 It doesn't matter. They're good enough and and the 1731 01:44:40,360 --> 01:44:44,240 players are so good but and I I would say like the same thing 1732 01:44:44,240 --> 01:44:49,130 with Keenan Allen, like you know good very good player very good 1733 01:44:49,130 --> 01:44:51,890 offense in general. I think Callan Moore in general 1734 01:44:51,890 --> 01:44:54,730 is is going to be closer to those sharper offensive 1735 01:44:54,730 --> 01:44:59,290 coordinators and he's he's in the the correct direction of the 1736 01:44:59,290 --> 01:45:01,290 trends. But there's there's still some 1737 01:45:01,290 --> 01:45:04,170 things that I think that he's lacking that those those best 1738 01:45:04,170 --> 01:45:08,170 four offensive coordinators are just doing way better than the 1739 01:45:08,170 --> 01:45:11,250 rest of the league. Agree for sure. 1740 01:45:11,690 --> 01:45:16,410 And so you mentioned CD, lime, and. 1741 01:45:17,210 --> 01:45:22,170 One thing I sort of noticed here is that he really is he's in the 1742 01:45:22,170 --> 01:45:26,810 like starter or or not starter. He's in the like wide receiver 1743 01:45:26,810 --> 01:45:31,170 one targets per out range like Ish he's he's hovering around 1744 01:45:31,170 --> 01:45:36,930 20% targets per out run and that honestly that really is 1745 01:45:36,930 --> 01:45:41,810 disappointing for taking him at the 1-2 turn like that is not 1746 01:45:41,810 --> 01:45:46,390 great and and. I was, I I was mindful that the 1747 01:45:46,550 --> 01:45:50,030 Cowboys could run a lot more this year than they did last 1748 01:45:50,030 --> 01:45:55,470 year but did expect him to be a very good target earner. 1749 01:45:55,830 --> 01:46:00,110 And so I've been a little bit disappointed with his his target 1750 01:46:00,110 --> 01:46:04,950 rate and still sort of leaving a candle on that. 1751 01:46:04,950 --> 01:46:10,430 It could improve as as the year goes on, but that that has been 1752 01:46:10,430 --> 01:46:14,500 a disappointment. Yeah, it's just I I was talking 1753 01:46:14,500 --> 01:46:18,020 about this in a Discord channel today, but in the offseason I 1754 01:46:18,020 --> 01:46:23,140 mentioned so frequently we overblow the impact that coaches 1755 01:46:23,140 --> 01:46:27,180 have on players production. And and like I, you know there's 1756 01:46:27,180 --> 01:46:29,260 these four offensive coordinators that are great and 1757 01:46:29,260 --> 01:46:31,220 they're having these huge positive impacts on their 1758 01:46:31,220 --> 01:46:35,970 players production and for the rest of the league it's not it's 1759 01:46:35,970 --> 01:46:38,890 like take it or leave it like the you you could you could lose 1760 01:46:38,890 --> 01:46:40,690 the offensive coordinator and never even know it. 1761 01:46:40,810 --> 01:46:43,770 You know for for a lot of them it wouldn't majorly impact the 1762 01:46:43,770 --> 01:46:46,770 production. But there's a couple guys out 1763 01:46:46,770 --> 01:46:50,170 there in the league that are just LED fucking weights to 1764 01:46:50,170 --> 01:46:53,810 their offenses and that is what Mike McCarthy and Schottenheimer 1765 01:46:53,810 --> 01:46:55,690 have been to the Cowboys like you. 1766 01:46:55,690 --> 01:46:58,770 You clearly you saw this offense was able to produce at an elite, 1767 01:46:58,770 --> 01:47:03,350 elite level for the last couple seasons and they they took that 1768 01:47:03,350 --> 01:47:06,830 offense out behind the barn and shot it and they buried it 6 1769 01:47:06,830 --> 01:47:10,670 feet deep. So something very significant 1770 01:47:10,670 --> 01:47:15,790 has to change for the Cowboys for their offense to produce at 1771 01:47:16,030 --> 01:47:20,070 the cost that they were being drafted at this season, which as 1772 01:47:20,070 --> 01:47:23,070 a Cowboys fan is very disappointing to say. 1773 01:47:23,710 --> 01:47:28,390 But I I really try not to let my fandom bias me and I had try to 1774 01:47:28,390 --> 01:47:32,170 be objective about this stuff and yeah, it just looks looks 1775 01:47:32,170 --> 01:47:37,050 ugly for Cowboys weapons man. Yeah, very unfortunate. 1776 01:47:37,290 --> 01:47:40,650 And I definitely have a lot of CD line. 1777 01:47:41,690 --> 01:47:48,290 So I I think, I think we've sort of covered the main points in 1778 01:47:48,290 --> 01:47:50,490 this chart. I'm happy to move on if you are. 1779 01:47:50,950 --> 01:47:53,550 Yeah, my last you can you can move to the next one because I 1780 01:47:53,550 --> 01:47:54,670 don't need the chart up for this one. 1781 01:47:54,670 --> 01:47:58,590 But George Pickens, I'm I'm really interested to see what 1782 01:47:58,590 --> 01:48:01,910 happens for Pickens because he's had a lot of injury. 1783 01:48:01,910 --> 01:48:04,590 You know you had Deontay miss all this time. 1784 01:48:04,790 --> 01:48:07,630 Fryermuth missed some time during that same window. 1785 01:48:07,950 --> 01:48:11,590 And so I'm very interested to see this. 1786 01:48:11,590 --> 01:48:15,990 I I think these next couple weeks are going to be pretty 1787 01:48:15,990 --> 01:48:21,870 defining for the Steelers as a team and and also for Pickens as 1788 01:48:21,870 --> 01:48:25,590 a player. I I think that you could if 1789 01:48:25,590 --> 01:48:30,230 Pickens is able to continue to command his target share that 1790 01:48:30,230 --> 01:48:34,310 he's been getting and he's able to keep producing as like a true 1791 01:48:34,310 --> 01:48:37,430 alpha this might be the very beginning of the Pickens 1792 01:48:37,430 --> 01:48:41,270 ascension. But if Deontay comes back and is 1793 01:48:41,270 --> 01:48:45,190 his usual target hog self and Matt Canada has, you know, 1794 01:48:45,270 --> 01:48:48,660 George Pickens running wind sprints again, you might you 1795 01:48:48,660 --> 01:48:50,100 might be in for a lot of disappointment. 1796 01:48:50,100 --> 01:48:52,980 So that was one one thing to watch that I wanted to know. 1797 01:48:53,060 --> 01:49:02,940 I think if if when Deontay comes back, Pickens gets kind of like 1798 01:49:02,940 --> 01:49:06,940 nerfed. If that happens, it seems like 1799 01:49:07,700 --> 01:49:10,220 pretty certain that Matt Canada just gets fired. 1800 01:49:11,020 --> 01:49:16,400 That's what I'm I I didn't want to to get 2 down the the 1801 01:49:16,400 --> 01:49:18,640 coaching is getting fired rabbit hole there. 1802 01:49:19,600 --> 01:49:22,680 But yeah I when I when I was saying it's a pivotal time for 1803 01:49:22,680 --> 01:49:24,760 the Steelers as a team. I definitely think that's 1804 01:49:24,760 --> 01:49:26,800 squarely in the range of outcomes. 1805 01:49:27,840 --> 01:49:31,200 So very interesting to, to watch how that unfolds. 1806 01:49:32,600 --> 01:49:38,600 So don't have a lot of new takeaways here and obviously 1807 01:49:38,680 --> 01:49:41,680 Josh Reynolds being in this section of the chart. 1808 01:49:42,100 --> 01:49:45,220 Is interesting. But I know you you have a you've 1809 01:49:45,220 --> 01:49:50,260 got some takes about a Detroit Lions receiver who may be coming 1810 01:49:50,300 --> 01:49:55,540 for his job. Yeah, so I I think Josh Reynolds 1811 01:49:55,540 --> 01:49:59,420 is gonna have sticking power on this offense just because I 1812 01:49:59,420 --> 01:50:02,620 think him and Goff have like a legit Goff is why Josh Reynolds 1813 01:50:02,620 --> 01:50:04,500 is in Detroit. They played together in LA. 1814 01:50:05,540 --> 01:50:08,300 Goff really pounded the table to get Josh Reynolds, that he'd be 1815 01:50:08,300 --> 01:50:11,160 helpful for the team. And he's he's good. 1816 01:50:11,160 --> 01:50:14,200 He's like a serviceable NFL wide receiver. 1817 01:50:15,160 --> 01:50:17,240 You know, he's not a world beater by any means, but like, 1818 01:50:17,240 --> 01:50:21,360 he's the kind of guy he seems to fit the Lions, their, their 1819 01:50:21,360 --> 01:50:24,280 preference for, like how they like their players to be and 1820 01:50:24,280 --> 01:50:26,320 behave. You know, that Josh Reynolds is 1821 01:50:26,320 --> 01:50:28,840 that kind of dude he's got. He's got that dog in him. 1822 01:50:29,640 --> 01:50:32,040 He takes US1. Failed to work, yes. 1823 01:50:32,360 --> 01:50:37,160 But for for all the good about Josh Reynolds, I think that 1824 01:50:37,160 --> 01:50:43,420 between gosh, what's the khalif? Raymond and Marvin Jones. 1825 01:50:43,780 --> 01:50:47,260 I think those guys are just, you know, placeholders out there. 1826 01:50:47,260 --> 01:50:50,580 They're literally they're there because you know someone has to 1827 01:50:50,580 --> 01:50:53,060 run the routes. And I think that Jamison 1828 01:50:53,060 --> 01:50:57,380 Williams is. I mean in in this last game I I 1829 01:50:57,380 --> 01:51:01,740 watched a little bit of the game film back and Jamison Williams 1830 01:51:01,740 --> 01:51:06,340 is like good, good Not not just like oh, he had some splash 1831 01:51:06,340 --> 01:51:10,790 plays. Like dude is just embarrassing 1832 01:51:10,790 --> 01:51:15,030 DBS out there like guys are not capable of covering him there. 1833 01:51:15,030 --> 01:51:18,070 There are lots of plays where he is like holy shit this dude's 1834 01:51:18,070 --> 01:51:24,190 open Like he's he's big boy open in the NFL you know and like 1835 01:51:24,190 --> 01:51:27,550 making great plays too. Like there were a couple balls 1836 01:51:27,550 --> 01:51:30,150 that were really not well thrown to him. 1837 01:51:30,150 --> 01:51:33,310 There was one where he he was on the left sideline. 1838 01:51:33,630 --> 01:51:38,380 Gets like 5 yards of separation on a deep comeback and Goff is 1839 01:51:38,380 --> 01:51:42,340 like getting pressured and like about to be hit as he throws it 1840 01:51:42,580 --> 01:51:45,500 and he just like lame ducks it and totally under throws Jameson 1841 01:51:45,500 --> 01:51:50,140 Williams if the if the timing is correct and he actually delivers 1842 01:51:50,140 --> 01:51:54,700 that ball like at the break. Jameson Williams is like one guy 1843 01:51:54,700 --> 01:51:58,020 to beat with a safety screaming over trying to help. 1844 01:51:58,020 --> 01:52:01,550 But it's like can he make a guy miss in space and then house 1845 01:52:01,550 --> 01:52:04,270 call it for another. Like Jameson Williams could have 1846 01:52:04,270 --> 01:52:06,910 had three long touchdowns last week. 1847 01:52:06,910 --> 01:52:10,230 He had the one, you know, he could have had three and. 1848 01:52:10,350 --> 01:52:13,510 On the only Rod 9 routes. Yeah, yeah, that's what I'm 1849 01:52:13,510 --> 01:52:15,870 saying. Like go go back and watch him. 1850 01:52:15,870 --> 01:52:18,630 Nine ain't that much to watch guys like literally go back and 1851 01:52:18,630 --> 01:52:21,670 watch him and you'll see. I I promise. 1852 01:52:21,670 --> 01:52:23,790 You don't have to know. Ball like you'll see it. 1853 01:52:23,790 --> 01:52:26,070 He's wide ass open like it's easy to see. 1854 01:52:26,880 --> 01:52:30,400 I'm super excited about him. I, you know, I haven't been like 1855 01:52:30,400 --> 01:52:33,720 a huge Jaymo Stan. I like the player as a prospect 1856 01:52:33,720 --> 01:52:36,240 coming out. He got a slow start, got unlucky 1857 01:52:36,240 --> 01:52:39,880 with the gambling suspension. No, no pun intended with the 1858 01:52:39,920 --> 01:52:43,120 unlucky there. But the way I I think I see him 1859 01:52:43,120 --> 01:52:46,800 progressing for the Lions is similar to how we've we've seen 1860 01:52:46,800 --> 01:52:51,080 them progress with other players in the PAT, like we are seeing 1861 01:52:51,080 --> 01:52:52,720 them progress with Gibbs. They're kind of taking it a 1862 01:52:52,720 --> 01:52:54,560 little slow and it's it's different for running back and 1863 01:52:54,560 --> 01:52:57,480 wide receiver. But I would anticipate that we 1864 01:52:57,480 --> 01:53:00,160 want to see more of him. We're not seeing as much as we'd 1865 01:53:00,160 --> 01:53:03,480 like. But the Lions are rational 1866 01:53:03,480 --> 01:53:05,760 enough. They they make rational enough 1867 01:53:05,760 --> 01:53:09,760 coaching decisions in games where I think that in the event 1868 01:53:09,760 --> 01:53:12,760 where they're getting pushed and they they need some explosives 1869 01:53:12,760 --> 01:53:15,760 to win a game. Jamison Williams is getting more 1870 01:53:15,760 --> 01:53:19,670 opportunity, 'cause that guy like, he's the best receiver on 1871 01:53:19,670 --> 01:53:23,470 the Lions and you get like he. He he unlocks the offense. 1872 01:53:23,470 --> 01:53:25,270 So yeah he's he's the best receiver. 1873 01:53:25,270 --> 01:53:27,590 Ahmad Raw is a good receiver. Jamison Williams is the best 1874 01:53:27,590 --> 01:53:30,310 receiver on the Lions and that's like you can take that all the 1875 01:53:30,310 --> 01:53:32,990 way to the bank. I promise you like next year at 1876 01:53:32,990 --> 01:53:38,390 this time it won't be a hot take like it's he's he's very good so 1877 01:53:38,630 --> 01:53:41,550 definitely excited for him. But I think it it's going to be 1878 01:53:41,550 --> 01:53:45,950 a, you know, come along a little slowly type of thing, but very 1879 01:53:45,950 --> 01:53:49,840 excited for him. Everybody else here that's 1880 01:53:49,840 --> 01:53:52,400 interesting. I I feel like we've talked about 1881 01:53:53,200 --> 01:53:57,320 like pretty in depth. One guy reminded me of one that 1882 01:53:58,080 --> 01:53:59,760 it's it's gonna be like a team level thing. 1883 01:53:59,760 --> 01:54:02,320 So his other counterpart will be on the next chart too. 1884 01:54:02,320 --> 01:54:07,240 But Nico Collins reminded me we've got Tank Dell coming back. 1885 01:54:07,880 --> 01:54:10,200 They're they're on by this week. But Tank Dell will come back 1886 01:54:10,200 --> 01:54:12,240 from injury and be back in the lineup. 1887 01:54:12,640 --> 01:54:15,960 While Tankedo was out, we saw signs of life from Dalton 1888 01:54:15,960 --> 01:54:17,720 Schultz. Dalton Schultz actually had a 1889 01:54:17,720 --> 01:54:22,280 couple couple usable games, got a touchdown, saw his his routes 1890 01:54:22,280 --> 01:54:25,400 go up, saw his snaps go up like previously. 1891 01:54:25,400 --> 01:54:28,600 He looked pretty left for dead, like looked entirely fantasy 1892 01:54:28,600 --> 01:54:32,680 irrelevant. And so that's one where I'm 1893 01:54:32,680 --> 01:54:34,160 going to watch that really closely. 1894 01:54:34,160 --> 01:54:39,050 I to me, I'm pretty sure that he was out there and and getting 1895 01:54:39,050 --> 01:54:42,050 increased opportunity out of necessity because it's like 1896 01:54:42,050 --> 01:54:46,010 well, we really like Tank Dell. He's not here. 1897 01:54:46,330 --> 01:54:49,090 So I guess Schultz can get some more work now. 1898 01:54:49,690 --> 01:54:52,130 But I I think what you're looking at in this offense is 1899 01:54:52,130 --> 01:54:54,010 Nico Collins is the clear number one. 1900 01:54:54,010 --> 01:54:57,650 Tank Dell is the #2 and then you've got Robert Woods and 1901 01:54:57,650 --> 01:55:01,210 Dalton Schultz is kind of like the safety blanket type targets 1902 01:55:02,290 --> 01:55:04,930 in the offense. So that I just as a whole for 1903 01:55:04,930 --> 01:55:07,410 the offense, I thought that was important to look at. 1904 01:55:09,090 --> 01:55:14,290 Makes makes sense for sure. And so I'm, I'm going to move on 1905 01:55:14,290 --> 01:55:20,250 to the next chart and this is this is our sort of like more 1906 01:55:20,250 --> 01:55:25,250 true backup chart and you can see this is players who play 1907 01:55:25,250 --> 01:55:28,970 anywhere from 40 to 70% of of routes. 1908 01:55:29,170 --> 01:55:32,650 And what we're looking for is we're looking for guys who have 1909 01:55:32,650 --> 01:55:36,210 been really productive on on small routes. 1910 01:55:36,700 --> 01:55:39,820 And we can say this guy has earned more playing time. 1911 01:55:40,620 --> 01:55:45,700 That's what we're looking for here and Jameson Williams is 1912 01:55:45,780 --> 01:55:49,020 probably one of those kind of classic examples of like yes 1913 01:55:49,020 --> 01:55:54,340 he's coming back from the suspension but he's he's been, I 1914 01:55:54,340 --> 01:55:59,740 I think he, I'm not sure if he where is James. 1915 01:56:00,100 --> 01:56:02,340 He's not. He's not getting enough routes. 1916 01:56:03,300 --> 01:56:04,500 OK, he doesn't. He. 1917 01:56:04,620 --> 01:56:06,060 He doesn't. Yeah, you're right. 1918 01:56:06,510 --> 01:56:10,430 He only got 9 routes, but if he did fit on the chart he he's 1919 01:56:10,430 --> 01:56:13,070 pretty classy Example of somebody earning more playing 1920 01:56:13,070 --> 01:56:18,190 time, yeah. Absolutely 1 Dale, who earned 1921 01:56:18,190 --> 01:56:20,990 more playing time and then I saw that he basically just took 1922 01:56:20,990 --> 01:56:22,790 Paris Campbell's job. Yep. 1923 01:56:23,790 --> 01:56:25,310 Yeah. And that was man. 1924 01:56:25,430 --> 01:56:28,190 Every once in a while the fantasy community and and 1925 01:56:28,190 --> 01:56:30,990 analysts just get something so right. 1926 01:56:31,430 --> 01:56:34,350 It's like, holy shit, sometimes we're really good at this. 1927 01:56:34,350 --> 01:56:37,750 And I heard so many people say this, I want to know who the 1928 01:56:37,750 --> 01:56:40,190 originator was. But a lot of people in the 1929 01:56:40,190 --> 01:56:43,430 offseason were saying, oh, you only are drafting Paris Campbell 1930 01:56:43,430 --> 01:56:46,270 for the first couple weeks until Wandale comes back and takes 1931 01:56:46,270 --> 01:56:48,110 that job. But Paris Campbell is just a 1932 01:56:48,110 --> 01:56:49,990 score of points in weeks one through 4. 1933 01:56:49,990 --> 01:56:51,470 Do you really want Paris Campbell? 1934 01:56:51,750 --> 01:56:54,670 And my goodness is that turning out to be like who? 1935 01:56:54,670 --> 01:56:57,900 Who had the crystal ball to see that one 'cause that is like as 1936 01:56:57,900 --> 01:56:59,620 bang on as you can be with analysis. 1937 01:56:59,620 --> 01:57:01,940 So bravo to to people making that call. 1938 01:57:02,300 --> 01:57:06,420 I drafted a lot of Wandale in the offseason and then I I 1939 01:57:06,420 --> 01:57:09,260 pulled back through like the entire middle of the summer, 1940 01:57:09,260 --> 01:57:11,540 'cause there was just like crickets. 1941 01:57:11,540 --> 01:57:13,580 There was no noise. And then at the end of the 1942 01:57:13,620 --> 01:57:16,700 summer we. Didn't get on the I, dude, if 1943 01:57:17,310 --> 01:57:22,790 man, I just needed like a just a shred of reason to be optimistic 1944 01:57:22,790 --> 01:57:26,270 in Wandale and I probably would have had like 4050% 'cause I 1945 01:57:26,270 --> 01:57:29,270 loved the player and I thought the whole receiving core was 1946 01:57:29,390 --> 01:57:35,030 absolute just waste and man it it would have been would have 1947 01:57:35,030 --> 01:57:36,990 been correct. But yeah, I didn't didn't get 1948 01:57:36,990 --> 01:57:39,550 the signal I needed to feel confident enough in his 1949 01:57:39,550 --> 01:57:42,680 recovery. But not to not to linger too 1950 01:57:42,680 --> 01:57:45,000 long on Wandale, He's definitely an interesting one for me. 1951 01:57:45,160 --> 01:57:47,040 Did pop up on the injury report this week. 1952 01:57:47,240 --> 01:57:50,480 Think it's more just being careful with his surgically 1953 01:57:50,480 --> 01:57:54,760 repaired knee than anything, but definitely worth watching this 1954 01:57:54,760 --> 01:57:56,480 one. I mean, if you're drafting 1955 01:57:56,480 --> 01:58:00,760 basketball teams this summer, Taekwon Thornton maybe has a 1956 01:58:00,760 --> 01:58:03,200 special place in your heart, but he does show up on the chart 1957 01:58:03,200 --> 01:58:06,120 here. He did get, I believe, 2 targets 1958 01:58:06,240 --> 01:58:10,040 this last week, not producing anything with them. 1959 01:58:10,400 --> 01:58:14,120 But here's the thing. The Patriots offense is 1960 01:58:14,120 --> 01:58:18,120 horrific. They're not necessarily horrific 1961 01:58:18,120 --> 01:58:20,440 because of Mack Jones. Now Mack Jones looks bad. 1962 01:58:20,520 --> 01:58:25,280 All the all the Mack Jones stuff looks bad right now, but I don't 1963 01:58:25,280 --> 01:58:29,040 think you can fairly evaluate a quarterback with the weapons 1964 01:58:29,040 --> 01:58:32,000 that are running out there for Mack Jones. 1965 01:58:32,520 --> 01:58:37,210 So this week, if you haven't seen Hunter Henry looks like he 1966 01:58:37,210 --> 01:58:42,010 might miss this week. And so the Patriots are down to 1967 01:58:42,330 --> 01:58:45,090 Kendrick. Bourne is like the only true NFL 1968 01:58:45,090 --> 01:58:48,770 player that catches passes for them other than Mike Gassicki. 1969 01:58:48,770 --> 01:58:54,010 So it's like Kendrick Bourne, Mike Gassicki and Taekwon. 1970 01:58:54,010 --> 01:59:01,130 So like, I kind of think that you might end up with a better 1971 01:59:01,830 --> 01:59:05,510 performance than expected from the Patriots this week because 1972 01:59:05,510 --> 01:59:09,190 the coaching staff making decisions of who to put on the 1973 01:59:09,190 --> 01:59:12,950 field can finally get the fuck out of their way and play their 1974 01:59:12,950 --> 01:59:16,270 best players. And play Kendrick Bourne and 1975 01:59:16,270 --> 01:59:19,430 tycoon Thornton and Mike Kissicki who I would say are 1976 01:59:19,430 --> 01:59:22,910 three of their four best pass catchers with the 4th best being 1977 01:59:23,110 --> 01:59:25,920 Hunter Henry. Because all the rest of these 1978 01:59:25,920 --> 01:59:30,440 guys are just like, I mean like maybe Demario Douglas or or you 1979 01:59:30,440 --> 01:59:33,360 know Keyshawn Booty can work in there. 1980 01:59:33,360 --> 01:59:36,000 I mean I I think we don't have enough sample to know for sure 1981 01:59:36,000 --> 01:59:39,240 how those guys stack up. But like there's one thing I 1982 01:59:39,240 --> 01:59:42,280 know for sure. It's not due to shit Poopster 1983 01:59:42,560 --> 01:59:47,440 and it's not the dusty ghost of Devante Parker, who like, I 1984 01:59:47,760 --> 01:59:50,440 would love it if Devante Parker was like 4 years younger. 1985 01:59:50,440 --> 01:59:52,200 He'd be the best receiver on this team. 1986 01:59:52,540 --> 01:59:55,620 You know, not that that's saying a ton, but like, dude, there's 1987 01:59:55,620 --> 01:59:58,780 just nothing out there. And so I'm optimistic that we 1988 01:59:58,780 --> 02:00:01,660 might get a shake up in the Patriots offense where it's like 1989 02:00:02,020 --> 02:00:04,740 we put different guys on the field and it turns out the other 1990 02:00:04,740 --> 02:00:08,340 guys who had been playing were so bad that these guys who also 1991 02:00:08,340 --> 02:00:13,540 are not good are good enough that it's like we're kind of 1992 02:00:13,540 --> 02:00:15,900 productive as an offense. So that's. 1993 02:00:15,940 --> 02:00:19,180 Like one. He did get 50% run, 50% of the 1994 02:00:19,180 --> 02:00:23,510 roots last week so obviously as he works his way back from 1995 02:00:23,510 --> 02:00:26,510 injury would would like to see that come up. 1996 02:00:27,750 --> 02:00:31,750 Definitely excited to see what he can do with some more 1997 02:00:31,750 --> 02:00:36,430 opportunity. Another guy that I think is 1998 02:00:36,430 --> 02:00:40,230 worth talking about is that Jackson Smith and and Jigba who 1999 02:00:40,230 --> 02:00:46,070 came out of the bye week and his his route his route rate is now 2000 02:00:46,070 --> 02:00:51,470 above 80%. He didn't he didn't do any 81% 2001 02:00:51,470 --> 02:00:56,630 was his Rep share didn't do anything with it and but very 2002 02:00:56,630 --> 02:01:00,990 encouraged by that and and given his his quality his resume in 2003 02:01:00,990 --> 02:01:05,150 college draft capital and all all all that sort of stuff would 2004 02:01:05,150 --> 02:01:11,510 look for him to hopefully start He he he now has the opportunity 2005 02:01:11,510 --> 02:01:15,390 to produce more in line with what we were hoping for in in 2006 02:01:15,390 --> 02:01:18,400 during draft season. Yeah, absolutely. 2007 02:01:18,400 --> 02:01:21,120 And I'm sure everyone's seen this clip on Twitter that's 2008 02:01:21,120 --> 02:01:25,960 circulating now of the play where JSN torches his man. 2009 02:01:25,960 --> 02:01:30,120 He is like literally nothing but green grass and he's he's wide 2010 02:01:30,120 --> 02:01:31,760 open and Gino just doesn't see him. 2011 02:01:32,160 --> 02:01:35,720 Gino scrambles for a first down instead of hitting JSN for a 2012 02:01:35,720 --> 02:01:37,360 nice 30 yard touchdown. So. 2013 02:01:37,640 --> 02:01:40,160 And Pete Carroll acknowledged that in the post game press 2014 02:01:40,160 --> 02:01:42,720 conference. So yeah, definitely bullish 2015 02:01:42,720 --> 02:01:48,120 signs for JSNI mean quite. Quite possibly like one of the 2016 02:01:48,120 --> 02:01:50,960 Best Buy Low candidates you'll ever get. 2017 02:01:50,960 --> 02:01:54,080 Not from like a oh, this guy is already produced and we know 2018 02:01:54,080 --> 02:01:58,760 he's good. But we have a pretty good idea 2019 02:01:58,760 --> 02:02:03,600 just based on his college resume that this this is a potentially 2020 02:02:03,600 --> 02:02:08,040 elite receiver in the NFL. And he's done nothing so far 2021 02:02:08,040 --> 02:02:10,560 that would would get on the radar of anyone except. 2022 02:02:11,430 --> 02:02:14,630 People that are sick and drafting lots of best ball teams 2023 02:02:14,630 --> 02:02:16,150 and paying close attention to this stuff. 2024 02:02:16,390 --> 02:02:19,750 So if you're in a home league and JSN is out, like there's a 2025 02:02:19,750 --> 02:02:22,550 strong chance he's on waivers. You know a lot of people dropped 2026 02:02:22,550 --> 02:02:25,430 him over the bye week. He hasn't done anything. 2027 02:02:25,710 --> 02:02:28,750 I mean you could probably if if you have a manager in your 2028 02:02:28,750 --> 02:02:31,470 league that doesn't know what they have in JSN. 2029 02:02:32,390 --> 02:02:35,390 The way I would try and get it is you don't trade for JSN, you 2030 02:02:35,390 --> 02:02:39,630 trade for a different piece and you add JSN as like a you do a 2 2031 02:02:39,630 --> 02:02:42,070 for two. And JSN is just like the random 2032 02:02:42,070 --> 02:02:43,990 throw in. You know, like you you say 2033 02:02:43,990 --> 02:02:46,630 nothing about him. You just you negotiate the trade 2034 02:02:46,630 --> 02:02:50,830 for the the first guy and then you throw in JSN and you you try 2035 02:02:50,830 --> 02:02:54,310 and pick up AW that way. But yeah, definitely interesting 2036 02:02:54,790 --> 02:02:58,670 my one of my highest drafted receivers across all platforms. 2037 02:02:58,710 --> 02:03:04,710 So my JSN bags are very optimistic and I I try, I try 2038 02:03:04,710 --> 02:03:08,310 really hard not to let my own biases and like what would 2039 02:03:08,310 --> 02:03:11,050 benefit me. Impact my analysis on this 2040 02:03:11,050 --> 02:03:14,490 stuff. And so I was you know I was like 2041 02:03:14,530 --> 02:03:18,410 pessimistic ish about JSN like still leaving a light on for him 2042 02:03:18,410 --> 02:03:21,810 going into this week. But we like this is the kind of 2043 02:03:21,810 --> 02:03:23,530 sick this is what you're looking for. 2044 02:03:23,530 --> 02:03:26,810 Like when you're looking for signs to become more optimistic 2045 02:03:26,810 --> 02:03:30,970 about a guy or try and get ahead of a breakout like these are the 2046 02:03:30,970 --> 02:03:34,450 things you look for. And so that's that's why we feel 2047 02:03:34,450 --> 02:03:36,530 the way we feel about JSN. It's not just because. 2048 02:03:36,870 --> 02:03:41,390 Draco and I both have fat bags of JSN 'cause we do but right 2049 02:03:41,390 --> 02:03:45,950 that's that's certainly a factor but it's not if it if it if it 2050 02:03:45,950 --> 02:03:50,670 weren't real signs we'll just would would be working to make 2051 02:03:50,670 --> 02:03:52,790 sure that if we weren't getting anything. 2052 02:03:52,830 --> 02:03:55,990 OK, we we we got a we got a or IP. 2053 02:03:56,310 --> 02:03:59,630 Yeah, First and foremost we're we're trying to deliver you good 2054 02:03:59,630 --> 02:04:01,990 actionable analysis. We're not just out here trying 2055 02:04:01,990 --> 02:04:04,850 to bag defend, but. You know when when the actual 2056 02:04:04,850 --> 02:04:07,410 analysis does align with defending our bags? 2057 02:04:07,650 --> 02:04:12,290 It's very sweet. OK, I am. 2058 02:04:12,530 --> 02:04:14,450 Is there anybody else that you'd like to talk with? 2059 02:04:15,170 --> 02:04:17,050 Anybody else that you'd like to talk talk about? 2060 02:04:17,370 --> 02:04:19,650 I I think we're good, Andrew, in the chat, said. 2061 02:04:19,650 --> 02:04:21,890 Kendrick Bourne has been pretty good and yeah, he has. 2062 02:04:21,890 --> 02:04:24,730 Bourne's Bourne's been great. That's one guy that I wish I had 2063 02:04:24,730 --> 02:04:26,890 drafted more of in basketball season. 2064 02:04:27,130 --> 02:04:30,650 I got on to him and and hammered him a good bit after I stopped 2065 02:04:30,650 --> 02:04:35,030 drafting Taekwon and I'm really. Really pleased with how the 2066 02:04:35,030 --> 02:04:38,190 thesis played out there and how I was able to get on to the 2067 02:04:38,190 --> 02:04:41,270 correct guy. Just wish that I had done it a 2068 02:04:41,270 --> 02:04:44,750 little earlier. But anyway, yeah, no, no one 2069 02:04:44,750 --> 02:04:49,070 else on this chart. But for those of you that made 2070 02:04:49,070 --> 02:04:52,830 it through, we almost hit our sub two hour mark this week. 2071 02:04:53,670 --> 02:04:56,630 I'm sure next week feels like the week Draco. 2072 02:04:56,630 --> 02:04:59,630 I think think we might be able to get a sub two hours here next 2073 02:04:59,630 --> 02:05:03,260 week, a type 120. Yes, yes. 2074 02:05:03,260 --> 02:05:05,060 But thank you guys for joining us. 2075 02:05:05,180 --> 02:05:09,020 We'll be back with you next Tuesday at our regularly 2076 02:05:09,020 --> 02:05:12,940 scheduled time and until then, good luck this week. 2077 02:05:13,260 --> 02:05:18,380 And may your JSN bags and your Jamison Williams bags flourish 2078 02:05:18,500 --> 02:05:22,020 this week. Thanks for joining us this week 2079 02:05:22,020 --> 02:05:25,420 everyone and and like Zach said, see you next Tuesday.