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Week 11 is in the books and the 
Lions are winning the Super 

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Bowl. 
This is that chasing Pat Fryer 

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Helmo this. 
Is why This is why I'm hot, 

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Anita Hand. 
Job. 

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Fix your sight. 
Jamar Alpha play Chase. 

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You can't handle the heat. 
It looks like we're finding piss

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boys. 
You're right. 

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Well, Draco, were you playing 
lions this last week? 

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And was I playing Lions? 
I actually did. 

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I didn't play any of the the 
weekly stuff. 

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I, I had a decent amount of 
lions. 

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Unfortunately I Galaxy brained 
myself off of Alman Raw and 

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said, oh, it's gonna be a low 
passing volume day so Alman Raw 

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won't get there. 
So I was heavy on Jamo and heavy

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on the running backs and I had 
some Goff. 

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I had actually a ton of Goff and
Gibbs together in the dog bowl. 

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Unfortunately I had 0 Alman Raw 
in the dog bowl. 

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So that was painful. 
I did have a team that would 

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have shipped a dog bowl seat 
except I flipped a coin between 

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Geno and Goff 'cause I had JSN 
on there and I had done a bunch 

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of Goff and Gibbs already. 
So yet again, close but no 

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cigar. 
Another another top 1% finish 

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that does not result the dog 
bowl seat for me. 

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Yeah, those are tough. 
That's, that's a, yeah, that's a

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tough run. 
I know I you'll have a string 

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where you'll just like connect, 
connect, connect. 

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And if you were like, wow, this 
guy, like, he's really lucky. 

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Yeah, no one, no one pays 
attention though to when you are

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just finishing in the top 1% and
not actually winning because 

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that doesn't really do anything.
So. 

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Right, right. 
Yeah. 

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But I know, I know your, your 
true radical EV is really high. 

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It's just not a. 
It's not hitting right now. 

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Oh yeah, my, my Sklanskys are 
are through the roof. 

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So but that's, that's enough 
about my Sklansky's. 

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Let's go ahead and get into the 
charts here. 

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Got a fun quarterback chart this
week? 

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Yeah. 
And so this is our quarterback 

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volume efficiency and rushing 
chart. 

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We have a volume, our kind of 
measure for volume is expected 

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points from passing that's on 
the horizontal axis. 

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Adjusted yards per attempt is 
our throwing, our passing 

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efficiency metric. 
And then the size of the bubble 

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corresponds to rushing. 
And I, I guess that that the 

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thing that stands out to me is 
that especially in terms of 

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passing, Burrow has just been 
like the the king this year. 

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Yeah, he is. 
He's certainly the volume king 

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and he's being efficient with 
that volume to. 

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So that is, that's super 
exciting, I think. 

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I mean. 
That's your elite pocket passer 

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season. 
Yeah, Burrow obviously getting a

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lot more passing volume than 
Purdy just because the 49ers are

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pretty run heavy. 
But they're both roughly the 

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same efficiency where you you 
are getting a little bit more 

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similar, similar passing 
efficiency. 

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Excuse me, you are getting a 
little bit of rushing with 

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Purdy. 
But yeah, though if if I had to 

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pick a pocket passer this year 
where I'm going to play in in 

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like a weekly contest or 
something, it's Burrow or Purdy.

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They also coincidentally are 
looking like two of the best, 

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best ball quarterbacks. 
Both of them were going, you 

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know, kind of in the seventh, 
eighth round there. 

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And they both are smashing their
AD. 

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PS You know, if I can go back in
time and draft more Joe Burrow 

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double sacks. 
I mean, really just Bengals 

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onslaughts. 
Like if you drafted Bengals 

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onslaughts, you're pretty happy.
I mean, even even though Gasiki 

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looks to be a little toast with,
with Higgins being back, those 

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early spike weeks that you got 
from Kasiki more than paid off 

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his late ADP. 
But this is the quarterback 

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chart. 
We'll we'll get into all those 

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other guys later. 
The other guy that I think is 

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interesting just because he's 
he's the one who's changed the 

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most since the start of the 
season, I would say is Justin 

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Herbert, where at the very start
of the season his volume was 

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super low. 
He wasn't rushing as much, he 

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was less efficient. 
And all three of those things 

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have improved since the start of
the season. 

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Now the charges have kind of 
shown us that they still can be 

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run heavy. 
So the bottom can sort of drop 

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out on Herbert in a single week,
but his ceiling is up there with

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just about, you know, anyone 
else outside of the really elite

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guys like Lamar and Josh Allen, 
I think can have a have a higher

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single week ceiling and the 
ability to access that ceiling a

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little easier than Herbert. 
But Herbert's running a lot. 

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I mean, if you look at the size 
of his bubble, like, yes, he's 

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smaller than, you know, Kyler 
and Josh Allen and Lamar. 

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But over the past few weeks, I 
mean, he he's been, he's got 

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some design runs. 
He's scrambling a lot more and 

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he looks. 
Good. 

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I, I, I will say, I will say 
just if, if some gentle 

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pushback, we did just see his 
high as expected points season. 

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Our, our game of the season in 
prime time, like we did 

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essentially in, in his, in his 
ten games or so. 

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We saw the, the, the, the, the 
highest game that he's put up in

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terms of expected points. 
His week 9 was his. 

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So he was he total expected 
points was 19.9 and, and, and, 

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and week 11. 
He had 19.1 in week 9 or, or 

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week 10, I should say. 
Then he had 18.1 a couple weeks 

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ago week 8. 
And and then I guess the last 

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couple of weeks have have been 
really high. 

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It just seems like more of a 
question of is that like a long 

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term trend with Herbaugh just 
gushing over the quarterback or 

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like, I don't want to overreact 
like some kind of like recency 

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bias where they were playing the
Bengals, he was slicing and 

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dicing and that that that's the 
high watermark for him for the 

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season. 
No, I I think that's a good 

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point. 
And and prior to the Bengals 

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game, you know, they did have a 
a week of lower passing volume 

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where they kind of went back to 
what we had expected from them 

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prior to the season and to start
the season. 

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But those those three games 
prior to that, they were 

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positive pass rate over 
expected, which was a huge 

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deviation for the Chargers, 
right. 

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I I think it's. 
We didn't think that was in the 

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range of outcomes going into the
season. 

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So the fact that it's there is 
is is positive. 

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Yeah, it, it's a little bit of a
trend, but I also, I don't think

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that it's like, Oh yeah, this is
the new normal. 

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I think it's just, hey, like 
this is the ceiling that the guy

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has access to and he can cook 
like this. 

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So I'm, I'm pretty excited. 
Like if you got Herbert on a 

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basketball team you're really 
excited about, you know, getting

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him pick 1:20 to 1:40 or 
something like that, that was a 

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smash that the Herbert pick is 
looking pretty good. 

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And then really like the 
actionable thing for this cause 

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like, not like you can do 
anything about your basketball 

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stuff is in weekly formats. 
Like I'm certainly into playing 

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Herbert. 
Really like I'd, I'd want to do 

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it in games where I think the 
Chargers are more likely to be 

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pushed. 
Because that's kind of what had 

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to happen here. 
The the Bengals, you know, he 

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started strong and then the 
Bengals fired back and, and push

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him to be able to access that 
ceiling. 

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The other thing is as far as 
playoff best ball is concerned, 

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the chargers look pretty 
interesting to me now. 

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And the fact that Herbert, you 
know, just looks like he has a 

138
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much better ceiling. 
I, I think the floor is still 

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low with Herbert 'cause you can 
just get those really run heavy 

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games. 
But the fact that he has that 

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ceiling makes me pretty excited 
about him and and Charger stacks

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in general in playoff best ball.
Yeah, yeah. 

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Makes sense. 
Makes sense. 

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And so it looks like I don't, I 
don't have am I'm just looking 

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at playoffstatus.com. 
I don't know if that's how 

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reputable that is, but it I'm 
kind of getting the sense that 

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they're really high probability 
to make the playoffs. 

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00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:58,920
Yeah. 
And then the bookies aren't 

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giving them a lot of probability
to to advance far from there 

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00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:08,560
where like the Matt is the Matt.
They're probably going to the 

151
00:09:08,560 --> 00:09:11,800
playoffs with that 7 entry 
record and you're kind of 

152
00:09:11,960 --> 00:09:16,400
you're, but you're getting the 
Platon is kind of like early 

153
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upsets in probably again, I 
don't know what kind of seeding 

154
00:09:22,120 --> 00:09:24,760
they're looking at, but it's 
it's not going to be, it's not 

155
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going to be a wild card seed. 
And and you, you, you're 

156
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getting, you're getting access 
to a ceiling here that is at a 

157
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good price. 
Wait, the Chargers are almost 

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guaranteed a wild card seed, 
right? 

159
00:09:40,160 --> 00:09:41,920
Because the Chiefs are are 
going. 

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00:09:41,920 --> 00:09:42,920
Oh, you're right. 
You're right. 

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00:09:42,920 --> 00:09:43,840
You're right. 
Sorry. 

162
00:09:43,840 --> 00:09:46,040
I. 
Was like you you do you get the 

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00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:48,080
wild card seed for the? 
Chargers OK, OK. 

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00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:53,560
And so that's that's why you're 
getting the low, the low Super 

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00:09:53,560 --> 00:09:56,840
Bowl probability because they're
they're kind of locked into 

166
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having a tough round one matchup
and a tough Round 2 matchup. 

167
00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:04,320
Yeah, Yeah, I think in our 
stuff, we've got him as like 

168
00:10:04,320 --> 00:10:08,080
around a 10% chance of making it
to the conference championship, 

169
00:10:08,480 --> 00:10:12,800
right, Which I mean for where 
you can get him in playoff best 

170
00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:15,520
of all, it's still pretty 
intriguing to me, right? 

171
00:10:16,520 --> 00:10:19,280
The other quarterback that I had
a note on that I, I think we 

172
00:10:19,280 --> 00:10:22,080
have to touch on and he is, I 
mean, he's the bell of the ball 

173
00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,160
in playoff. 
Best ball is Jared Goff. 

174
00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:30,240
So the Lions have shown us that 
the ceiling for a Lions game 

175
00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:33,120
actually doesn't have to come 
from a game where they're 

176
00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,360
pushed. 
It can just come from a game 

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00:10:35,360 --> 00:10:38,040
where they are by far the 
superior team. 

178
00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:41,480
Because Dan Campbell does not 
give a fuck about your feelings.

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00:10:41,480 --> 00:10:43,760
He's gonna hang 50 on you if he 
can. 

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00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:46,680
And what a what a fun game to 
watch. 

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00:10:46,680 --> 00:10:50,840
I mean, that was the the Lions 
just like it, it was an absolute

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00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:53,480
clinic. 
It felt like every single time 

183
00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:56,040
they touched the ball, it was 
inevitable that they were going 

184
00:10:56,040 --> 00:11:00,560
to drive the field like it. 
It never looked like there is 

185
00:11:00,560 --> 00:11:03,640
any question that, Yep, the 
Lions have the ball and they're 

186
00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:08,040
going to score that. 
That did make it pretty fun for 

187
00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:11,320
DFS stuff if you had any Lions 
going. 

188
00:11:12,480 --> 00:11:16,560
Also Jameson Williams with the 
Marshawn Lynch hold my Dick 

189
00:11:16,560 --> 00:11:20,640
celebration into the end zone 
was an all timer, so shout out 

190
00:11:20,640 --> 00:11:23,600
to Jamo for that one. 
I I think the actual take away 

191
00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:27,600
here though is that you get the 
golf ceiling through absurd 

192
00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:29,840
efficiency when the Lions just 
roll a team. 

193
00:11:31,880 --> 00:11:37,000
And I mean, when you get to 
playoff best ball, the Lions 

194
00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:43,080
just look like a near mortal 
lock for the BI and then, you 

195
00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:46,080
know, as strong a favorite to 
make the conference championship

196
00:11:46,080 --> 00:11:47,920
as you can really have in the 
NFL. 

197
00:11:49,400 --> 00:11:55,520
Yeah, they look, yeah, they look
really likely to make the make 

198
00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:57,960
the conference championship, 
really likely to make the Super 

199
00:11:57,960 --> 00:12:03,000
Bowl and, and a very potent 
offense. 

200
00:12:03,000 --> 00:12:07,200
So I, I, I I have to assume the 
the lines are just very 

201
00:12:07,200 --> 00:12:10,360
expensive across the board. 
Yeah, they are. 

202
00:12:10,840 --> 00:12:14,120
The funny thing is they're still
too cheap in playoff basketball.

203
00:12:14,720 --> 00:12:17,360
They'll they'll get there. 
Like it's just the way really 

204
00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:20,640
contest right now and people 
seem to really not know what 

205
00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:24,680
they're doing in those. 
So the Lions are still far too 

206
00:12:24,680 --> 00:12:27,120
cheap. 
You can occasionally get some 

207
00:12:27,120 --> 00:12:28,880
really insane Lions 
combinations. 

208
00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:33,240
Basically the if you're able to 
get Goth, one of the running 

209
00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:36,920
backs in Almond raw, that's like
the stone cold nuts right now. 

210
00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:39,960
It's pretty hard to do that, but
if you can get it, that's 

211
00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:44,280
really, really good. 
Right, right. 

212
00:12:44,560 --> 00:12:49,920
Makes makes sense for sure. 
The the last quarterback I had a

213
00:12:49,920 --> 00:12:54,760
note on here was Anthony 
Richardson, who had a a pretty 

214
00:12:54,760 --> 00:12:59,320
good game here in his, you know,
comeback appearance. 

215
00:12:59,840 --> 00:13:02,560
What what do you think about 
Anthony Richardson is? 

216
00:13:03,040 --> 00:13:06,440
So I will, if you recall, I was 
cost cautiously kind of 

217
00:13:06,440 --> 00:13:09,560
optimistic about him going into 
last week. 

218
00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:17,080
And I think that what we saw is,
hey, this is a young quarterback

219
00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:22,320
who was rushing upside who chose
it deep and his weekly ceiling 

220
00:13:22,360 --> 00:13:29,200
is, is really, really high. 
And then you saw a week where it

221
00:13:29,200 --> 00:13:33,320
looks as if they game planned a 
little bit better, like they, 

222
00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:36,920
they rushed them more, much more
often than they had before. 

223
00:13:37,320 --> 00:13:39,920
It looked like he was very 
accurate. 

224
00:13:39,920 --> 00:13:42,880
And then the put, the receivers 
were actually catching the 

225
00:13:42,880 --> 00:13:51,280
accurate passes. 
And I, I, I, I think that it's 

226
00:13:51,280 --> 00:13:53,480
more likely than not. 
I, I, I don't know if it's 

227
00:13:53,480 --> 00:13:55,240
guaranteed, but it's more likely
than not. 

228
00:13:55,760 --> 00:13:58,840
Then we saw that, that we just 
saw a stretch of games that were

229
00:13:58,840 --> 00:14:02,880
just kind of like, how do I say 
it was hit? 

230
00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:10,800
It was a bad run for him where 
he he, he he had a series of 

231
00:14:10,880 --> 00:14:15,200
very, very low scores. 
And that we should be a lot 

232
00:14:15,200 --> 00:14:18,560
closer to the start of the 
season when we project Anthony 

233
00:14:18,560 --> 00:14:22,760
Richardson is what I think. 
Yeah, he, he had his best 

234
00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:26,800
completion percentage of the 
season, you know, outside that 

235
00:14:26,960 --> 00:14:31,480
Steelers game where he only 
threw 4 passes, completed three 

236
00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:33,800
of them. 
But yeah, his best, best 

237
00:14:33,800 --> 00:14:39,720
completion percent of the 
season, almost 300 yards, 272 

238
00:14:39,720 --> 00:14:42,520
yards like his. 
I, I think it's pretty clearly 

239
00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:46,280
his best passing performance, 
certainly his best pass grade 

240
00:14:46,280 --> 00:14:49,520
that PFF has given him. 
So it was, it was very 

241
00:14:49,520 --> 00:14:52,200
promising. 
The other take away that I had 

242
00:14:52,200 --> 00:14:55,680
just from watching the game was 
Josh Downs is so good. 

243
00:14:57,080 --> 00:15:00,560
If Anthony Richardson can, he 
doesn't have to play this good 

244
00:15:00,560 --> 00:15:04,080
every week 'cause I think this 
is this is a high watermark for 

245
00:15:04,080 --> 00:15:08,320
the caliber of his passing. 
Well, the, it, the PFF, they, 

246
00:15:08,360 --> 00:15:11,800
they charted them with an 89% 
accurate pass. 

247
00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:15,720
So like if you, if you I guess 
you're that's his completion 

248
00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:20,120
percentage plus drops. 
Yeah. 89% that, that is really 

249
00:15:20,120 --> 00:15:22,120
high. 
No, that kind of yards per 

250
00:15:22,120 --> 00:15:24,840
attempt. 
Yeah, he was he was cooking. 

251
00:15:25,560 --> 00:15:28,120
And I don't I don't think that 
this is the new normal for him. 

252
00:15:28,440 --> 00:15:32,680
But what I'm saying is if he can
just be, you know, in this 

253
00:15:32,680 --> 00:15:36,480
direction compared to how he was
to start the season, if he's if 

254
00:15:36,480 --> 00:15:39,560
he's more in this direction of 
what we saw this last week 

255
00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:43,560
against a pretty good Jets 
defense, you know, now the the 

256
00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:46,400
wheels are seeming to fall off 
for The Jets. 

257
00:15:46,400 --> 00:15:50,280
But I do want to give Anthony 
Richardson his flowers and I, I 

258
00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:53,400
just think Josh Downs is so good
that as long as Anthony 

259
00:15:53,400 --> 00:15:58,200
Richardson can play OK, I think 
it, it might just be the Josh 

260
00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:01,720
Downs, Anthony Richardson show 
the the way that I plan on 

261
00:16:01,720 --> 00:16:05,080
playing this offense next season
in baseball. 

262
00:16:05,960 --> 00:16:08,360
I would assume that Richardson 
probably gets a lot cheaper than

263
00:16:08,360 --> 00:16:10,040
he was this year. 
So he'll he'll probably be a 

264
00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:14,680
little more palatable. 
Josh Downs is like the only guy 

265
00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:17,280
that I am really all that 
interested in. 

266
00:16:17,440 --> 00:16:20,400
If any of the other guys have 
any kind of price tag on him, 

267
00:16:20,760 --> 00:16:23,840
like if you'll get me AD 
Mitchell or Alec Pierce for 

268
00:16:23,840 --> 00:16:27,280
free, I'll take him as like an 
18th round guy to pair with 

269
00:16:27,280 --> 00:16:32,400
Anthony Richardson. 
But Josh Downs looks like so far

270
00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:35,320
and away the best receiver on 
this team. 

271
00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:39,120
I mean, did you see that diving 
full extension catch that he had

272
00:16:39,800 --> 00:16:43,040
where it was a it was a pretty 
good ball from Richardson. 

273
00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:45,840
I think it was a little out in 
front of him, but Josh Downs 

274
00:16:45,840 --> 00:16:48,480
just made it look like that was 
exactly how they drew it up. 

275
00:16:48,480 --> 00:16:52,560
It was beautiful. 
And I, I didn't actually, I 

276
00:16:52,560 --> 00:16:55,720
didn't catch that one. 
And but no, no surprise. 

277
00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:59,480
He he's been bawling all year. 
Yeah, he he's great. 

278
00:16:59,480 --> 00:17:01,800
One of one of my favorite 
receivers in the league right 

279
00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:03,600
now. 
He's a treat to watch. 

280
00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:07,119
All right, those were all the 
quarterback notes I had. 

281
00:17:07,119 --> 00:17:08,920
Did you have anyone else you 
wanted to talk about? 

282
00:17:09,920 --> 00:17:15,440
And well, I do remember you 
saying that you had wanted to 

283
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:17,960
touch briefly on on Russell 
Wilson. 

284
00:17:17,960 --> 00:17:22,160
Just kind of note some someone 
coming back down to air in a 

285
00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:26,800
pretty plus match up too. 
Yeah, it turns out that when he 

286
00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:30,320
doesn't connect for like 3 
touchdowns in a game on moon 

287
00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:34,880
balls that are basically 5050, 
he's he's much less efficient. 

288
00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:39,880
Yeah, he I believe he took three
sacks in this game, had another 

289
00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:43,600
turnover worthy play, which PFF 
actually charted him for this 

290
00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:45,160
time. 
I've I've griped about that 

291
00:17:45,160 --> 00:17:48,040
they've not been charting him 
with turnover worthy plays when 

292
00:17:48,040 --> 00:17:50,160
he certainly had them. 
They definitely gave him one 

293
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:53,120
this time. 
He had a a pretty high number of

294
00:17:53,120 --> 00:17:58,000
attempts, his highest all season
and yeah, just did not look 

295
00:17:58,000 --> 00:17:59,360
good. 
His his worst yards per. 

296
00:17:59,360 --> 00:18:06,040
Well, he yeah, he had 4.4 
adjusted yards per attempt on 41

297
00:18:06,240 --> 00:18:09,480
on 36 attempts. 
And then you mentioned the 

298
00:18:09,480 --> 00:18:14,640
sacks, see of the interception. 
Yeah, 44 sacks, which does not 

299
00:18:14,640 --> 00:18:16,960
get factored in to adjusted 
yards per attempt. 

300
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,640
But I'm thinking, thinking we 
should figure out something to 

301
00:18:20,640 --> 00:18:22,440
do with sacks next season, 
Draco. 

302
00:18:23,280 --> 00:18:26,280
Well, well, we can fit. 
We can factor that into adjusted

303
00:18:26,280 --> 00:18:29,800
yards per drop back, which is 
adjusted yards per drop back was

304
00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:35,120
3.9 and and and that is is very,
very poor. 

305
00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:38,560
So he he had he had a bad game 
against the Ravens. 

306
00:18:39,360 --> 00:18:43,080
Bad, bad game. 
The literal nut spot he he could

307
00:18:43,080 --> 00:18:46,040
not show up. 
Right, He he fumble the nuts. 

308
00:18:47,280 --> 00:18:49,720
Yeah, it'll, it'll be 
interesting to see. 

309
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:52,560
I mean, I expected him to 
regress. 

310
00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:56,600
I didn't expect it to be like 
poop your pants like this level.

311
00:18:57,160 --> 00:19:00,920
The The funny thing is, Steelers
still win the game because 

312
00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:03,680
Ravens also happened to fumble 
the bag here. 

313
00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:06,000
Right. 
Well, I mean, that wasn't enough

314
00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:10,200
to save Justin Fields. 
Like a good record was not good 

315
00:19:10,200 --> 00:19:14,400
enough to save him. 
And so if, if, if we continue to

316
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:20,040
see performances like this from 
Russ, then I, I, I, I do think 

317
00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:23,760
we're on, on, on bench watch. 
Yeah, I think for Russ. 

318
00:19:24,120 --> 00:19:27,400
I I he's certainly got a longer 
leash than just the one game 

319
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:28,160
right? 
But I. 

320
00:19:28,280 --> 00:19:31,520
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. 
I'm, I'm saying like, hey, 

321
00:19:32,200 --> 00:19:34,960
let's, let's keep an eye out on 
this to see if he continued 

322
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:38,120
playing like this. 
Yeah, if he strings 3 stinkers 

323
00:19:38,120 --> 00:19:41,720
together, I I would, I would 
think it's squarely in the range

324
00:19:41,720 --> 00:19:46,000
of outcomes for Fields to right 
back in just in time for the 

325
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,000
playoffs, right? 
The playoffs. 

326
00:19:49,960 --> 00:19:55,520
Yeah, and and perhaps the the 
Steelers are likely to make the 

327
00:19:55,520 --> 00:19:56,720
real playoffs, too, weren't 
they? 

328
00:19:56,880 --> 00:19:59,080
They're locked to make the 
playoffs, basically, yeah. 

329
00:19:59,520 --> 00:20:03,440
So, Justin Fields in playoff 
basketball, You heard of your 

330
00:20:03,480 --> 00:20:05,080
risks? 
Oh baby. 

331
00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:08,880
Honestly it's a really weird 
spot because the Steelers and 

332
00:20:08,880 --> 00:20:13,080
Chargers are two of the better 
or the the most mispriced teams 

333
00:20:13,080 --> 00:20:16,520
for playoff basketball given 
they're probably actually making

334
00:20:16,520 --> 00:20:20,080
the playoffs and like ability to
maybe win a game or two. 

335
00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:23,560
So they're pretty mispriced, 
but. 

336
00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:25,720
You're gonna go with the 
Chargers over, over. 

337
00:20:25,920 --> 00:20:29,800
I'm going, I'm, I'm definitely 
Chargers over Steelers 'cause 

338
00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:32,600
if, if you, you know, told me 
like which of these teams 

339
00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,720
actually could have a chance of 
making it to the Super Bowl, 

340
00:20:36,240 --> 00:20:38,720
there's an outcome where this, 
the Chargers can make it. 

341
00:20:38,720 --> 00:20:43,280
I don't really feel that way 
about the Steelers, but man, it 

342
00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:47,160
would be really interesting. 
I I mean, even if there's any 

343
00:20:47,160 --> 00:20:50,520
kind of ambiguity about the 
quarterback situation, it gets 

344
00:20:50,520 --> 00:20:53,680
to be really weird to draft the 
Steelers in playoff basketball. 

345
00:20:53,680 --> 00:20:57,360
Like if we get 2 bad games from 
Russ in a row and they haven't 

346
00:20:57,360 --> 00:21:00,800
benched him yet, but it's like 
the, you know, the rumor mill is

347
00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:02,560
out. 
Like, oh, the Fields could be 

348
00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:04,440
back. 
Like, that's a really 

349
00:21:04,440 --> 00:21:06,280
interesting spot for playoff 
basketball. 

350
00:21:07,280 --> 00:21:12,480
Yeah, yeah, because nobody 
fields will be undrafted, but 

351
00:21:13,160 --> 00:21:15,840
with a very good ceiling. 
Yeah. 

352
00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:19,120
All right, let's move on to the 
running backs. 

353
00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:28,320
Am I on the right? 
Did did you OK, this is this is 

354
00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:30,880
the chart we actually. 
Want to say I apologize, I put I

355
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,120
maybe put the charts together in
the wrong order. 

356
00:21:33,360 --> 00:21:39,800
No, no, no worries at all. 
And so I think and and we can go

357
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:41,920
move over these ones pretty 
quickly. 

358
00:21:41,960 --> 00:21:45,320
I think our, our, our general 
sort of take away on on the 

359
00:21:45,320 --> 00:21:50,720
snaps and usage chart was kind 
of that the we're just seeing a 

360
00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:55,920
continuation of sort of 
established trends where we 

361
00:21:55,920 --> 00:21:58,840
already we touched on last week 
CMC straight to the top. 

362
00:21:59,600 --> 00:22:03,840
We've been talking all year 
about Truba Hubbard and I guess 

363
00:22:03,840 --> 00:22:08,360
it's it's worth asking, like, do
we think Truba Hubbard is at 

364
00:22:08,360 --> 00:22:12,600
risk here at the top with 
Jonathan Brooks back next week? 

365
00:22:13,920 --> 00:22:17,600
I mean, I certainly expect 
Brooks to get some touches. 

366
00:22:18,480 --> 00:22:21,640
I would if you made me set a 
line for it. 

367
00:22:22,000 --> 00:22:28,160
I'd say that Brooks probably 
gets like less than 20% of snaps

368
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:29,040
in the first. 
Yeah. 

369
00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:33,440
They've just been so slow to 
bring him along that I to me it.

370
00:22:33,520 --> 00:22:37,040
Like, do they really value him 
more than sorry, not value? 

371
00:22:37,040 --> 00:22:39,520
Are they really gonna play him 
that much more than Moss Sanders

372
00:22:39,520 --> 00:22:41,000
was playing? 
Right. 

373
00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:46,720
I I think that if they do it's 
I, I number one, I don't think 

374
00:22:46,720 --> 00:22:51,560
that's likely in the first game.
If they do him more than that as

375
00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:55,320
the season progresses, it's 
because they they need to get a 

376
00:22:55,320 --> 00:22:58,840
better sense of like what he is 
or they they want it. 

377
00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:02,760
They really want to see him in 
action to know because again, 

378
00:23:02,760 --> 00:23:04,880
it's it's a lost season for 
them. 

379
00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:08,640
It doesn't mean anything, right?
So I would think they want to be

380
00:23:08,640 --> 00:23:12,800
pretty cautious with right he. 
Needs to blow the barn doors off

381
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,240
to play I think. 
Yeah. 

382
00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:20,240
If he's just fine, it's going to
be the Chuba show and they be 

383
00:23:20,240 --> 00:23:23,600
like, OK, Brooks, this is this 
is kind of getting you ready for

384
00:23:23,600 --> 00:23:26,800
next year. 
Even if he blows the barn doors 

385
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:31,760
off, I don't think just like put
yourself in in their shoes real 

386
00:23:31,760 --> 00:23:33,800
quick, like he blows the barn 
doors off. 

387
00:23:33,800 --> 00:23:36,800
And so then you know, you know 
that like this is the guy and 

388
00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:39,600
and like we we've got something 
we can build around next year. 

389
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:43,480
Chuba and him this incredible 
1-2 punch on the ground. 

390
00:23:43,680 --> 00:23:47,160
We're all set there. 
We can address other positions. 

391
00:23:48,360 --> 00:23:52,560
Do you even like? 
Well, I, I I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm 

392
00:23:53,360 --> 00:23:54,840
thinking 1st about it. 
True. 

393
00:23:54,840 --> 00:23:58,960
The lens of Chuba Hubbard, who 
right now is, is an incredible 

394
00:23:59,880 --> 00:24:03,760
running back start, or not 
incredible, but a strong running

395
00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:07,640
back start. 
And I, I what I'm saying is 

396
00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:11,120
Brooks has to blow the barn 
doors off to knock him off that 

397
00:24:11,120 --> 00:24:15,040
spot, which would, I think 
turned it into a 5050. 

398
00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:21,680
Yeah, but not, not, not put 
Brooks as a clear 111A. 

399
00:24:22,120 --> 00:24:25,200
Yeah, I, I agree. 
I think 5050 is probably his his

400
00:24:25,200 --> 00:24:28,440
best case scenario. 
And really the the thing that's 

401
00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:32,720
hard to parse is how much would 
they value like protecting Chuba

402
00:24:32,720 --> 00:24:35,520
from not getting him too many 
carries versus protecting Brooks

403
00:24:35,840 --> 00:24:38,880
and not getting him too high a 
workload coming off the injury. 

404
00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:43,040
I think if, if I had to guess, 
they're gonna prioritize 

405
00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:46,840
protecting Brooks, even though 
they very clearly like Chuba. 

406
00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:48,360
They just gave him the 
extension. 

407
00:24:50,440 --> 00:24:53,720
If I had to guess, the lean is 
going to be to protect Brooks, 

408
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:56,880
and that's gonna be Chuba's 
probably the favorite. 

409
00:24:56,920 --> 00:25:00,680
The only thing is, so I know, I 
know it's Canalis's first kind 

410
00:25:00,680 --> 00:25:05,320
of like damn year, so he has 
some Trudy, but I have to 

411
00:25:05,320 --> 00:25:07,960
believe he's like under pressure
to get some wins too. 

412
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:15,040
Yeah, I mean, I, I don't really 
know with Tepper how to like 

413
00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:18,360
you, you would think that they 
should be really happy just 

414
00:25:18,400 --> 00:25:24,520
tanking it, you know? 
But right, Who knows, maybe, 

415
00:25:24,640 --> 00:25:26,920
maybe there is some internal 
pressure to get a win. 

416
00:25:28,160 --> 00:25:29,600
Right. 
I mean, there certainly has 

417
00:25:29,600 --> 00:25:30,920
been. 
Yeah. 

418
00:25:32,280 --> 00:25:36,720
But yeah, that was kind of all 
and the the the totality of our 

419
00:25:36,720 --> 00:25:40,040
notes on this chart that we 
haven't like we talked about all

420
00:25:40,040 --> 00:25:43,000
season quickly. 
Touch on Kareem Hunt, who's had 

421
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,040
a pretty solid. 
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, I had that 

422
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:49,400
note, didn't I? 
Yeah, but I mean, we get Pacheco

423
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:52,920
coming back now. 
Do you think that Kareem Hunt is

424
00:25:53,200 --> 00:25:56,680
totally useless going forward? 
What is his outlook like? 

425
00:25:57,760 --> 00:26:02,880
So the Kareem hunting was always
kind of like a volume play and 

426
00:26:03,040 --> 00:26:07,920
where his his expected points 
was so good that it doesn't 

427
00:26:07,920 --> 00:26:12,040
matter that he's old, that he's 
like in prior years he's been 

428
00:26:12,040 --> 00:26:19,000
bad. 
So but I think and like we're 

429
00:26:19,240 --> 00:26:24,040
what going into week 12 now, I 
do think by playoff weeks and 

430
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:28,600
he's going to be pretty marginal
like in in like a month's time. 

431
00:26:29,280 --> 00:26:32,600
And if Pacheco's in in line to 
play next week, in a month's 

432
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,800
time like I, I think you're 
probably going to get Pacheco 

433
00:26:35,800 --> 00:26:41,160
back as old at his old role. 
Yeah, I I agree Kareem Hunt at 

434
00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:45,680
this point just looks like 
slightly better Ezekiel Elliott 

435
00:26:46,000 --> 00:26:48,960
on right a better offense than 
the Cowboys. 

436
00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:52,920
Also, he's he's dealing his knee
got banged up a couple weeks ago

437
00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:56,920
and I, I do think, I mean, he, 
he wasn't efficient before, but 

438
00:26:56,920 --> 00:26:59,680
he's looked even less efficient 
these last. 

439
00:26:59,680 --> 00:27:02,760
And and that that's kind of the 
that's kind of the point up with

440
00:27:02,880 --> 00:27:06,040
older backs that they get banged
up more often, that they take 

441
00:27:06,040 --> 00:27:09,120
longer to heal. 
And that's just part of the, 

442
00:27:09,280 --> 00:27:12,400
that's just part of the the 
calculus for don't think. 

443
00:27:12,640 --> 00:27:15,600
Don't tell that to Saquon 
Barkley, Joe Mixon, Derrick 

444
00:27:15,600 --> 00:27:17,200
Henry and Alpha Kamara this 
season. 

445
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:22,800
Well, it is is. 
Maybe am I am I just AM? 

446
00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:25,800
No, no, you're right. 
I'm just giving. 

447
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,480
I'm giving you. 
Giving us a hard time, Yeah. 

448
00:27:29,520 --> 00:27:32,680
Will Kareem Hunt? 
I guess he's only 29. 

449
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:34,000
Yeah. 
He's 29. 

450
00:27:34,000 --> 00:27:36,680
Those other guys are like 
28/30/29. 

451
00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:41,040
Yeah, yeah. 
So, yeah, no, don't you know, 

452
00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:44,080
pay no attention to the man 
behind the curtain who's bawling

453
00:27:44,080 --> 00:27:47,560
his eyes out because he's 
running as bad as you possibly 

454
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,760
could imagine with these, you 
know, ageless wonders at running

455
00:27:50,760 --> 00:27:53,800
back. 
Yeah, I, I, I, I salute them. 

456
00:27:55,680 --> 00:28:00,520
The only other note I had here 
was the Javonte Williams versus 

457
00:28:00,560 --> 00:28:03,440
Andrick estimate, but I think 
they are on the next chart. 

458
00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:07,440
OK. 
Yeah, see Javonte Williams 

459
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:10,800
andrick Estimate. 
Kind of seems like at this point

460
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:15,360
it's a it's a coin flip. 
Who knows who's gonna be the guy

461
00:28:15,360 --> 00:28:18,680
to actually, you know, lead the 
the Broncos game? 

462
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:23,040
It it, it kind of reminds me of 
when I got so excited about 

463
00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:27,800
Troy, the Troy Franklin game 
where he like was high in 

464
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:30,760
routes. 
He had the really high target 

465
00:28:30,760 --> 00:28:34,280
per run and then they just 
didn't play him the next week. 

466
00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:38,600
Yeah, the the classic Sean 
Payton run pole. 

467
00:28:38,600 --> 00:28:42,920
So start, start any Broncos 
player at your own risk. 

468
00:28:43,840 --> 00:28:46,600
It's basically the take away. 
Yeah. 

469
00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:51,200
OK, let's go backwards to the 
running back efficiency charts 

470
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:54,640
now. 
Let's go backwards, not 

471
00:28:54,640 --> 00:29:02,720
forwards. 
So on these ones, man, the first

472
00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:05,880
guy I got to point out, you know
what this reminds me of? 

473
00:29:06,120 --> 00:29:09,040
So talking about Ken Walker 
here, you can see him. 

474
00:29:09,360 --> 00:29:12,960
He's the smallest bubble in the 
15 to 20 expected fancy point 

475
00:29:12,960 --> 00:29:14,960
band. 
Do you know who this reminds me 

476
00:29:14,960 --> 00:29:15,520
of? 
Draco. 

477
00:29:15,520 --> 00:29:19,920
It's like eerily similar to the 
Travis Etienne season of last 

478
00:29:19,920 --> 00:29:24,200
year, where I feel like by week 
four, week five, I think on this

479
00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:27,160
show we talked about like, Oh 
yeah, Travis Etienne. 

480
00:29:27,160 --> 00:29:29,640
We would we would take him at 
the 2-3 turn if we knew that 

481
00:29:29,640 --> 00:29:31,840
this was, you know, how the 
season was going to play. 

482
00:29:32,040 --> 00:29:34,840
He's crushing, you know, one of 
one of the best facts in 

483
00:29:34,840 --> 00:29:37,320
fantasy. 
And then as the season went on, 

484
00:29:37,640 --> 00:29:39,560
he just couldn't maintain that 
efficiency. 

485
00:29:39,560 --> 00:29:42,440
And he had he had the passing 
game role just like Walker did. 

486
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:48,560
And so I'm, you know, not to not
to pattern match here, but were 

487
00:29:48,560 --> 00:29:52,200
we just were we two out over our
skis on Ken Walker to start the 

488
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:55,160
season? 
Because this is the archetype of

489
00:29:55,160 --> 00:29:57,800
the like, this is what Ken 
Walker is. 

490
00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:01,560
He can deliver these hyper 
efficient performances on these 

491
00:30:01,560 --> 00:30:04,560
breakaway runs. 
And like he can, he can do that.

492
00:30:04,880 --> 00:30:07,960
The the big difference, I guess 
this year is that he's been so 

493
00:30:07,960 --> 00:30:10,400
involved in the receiving game. 
So you do have that added 

494
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:13,080
wrinkle to really bolster his 
profile. 

495
00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:16,800
But I feel like from a rushing 
perspective, like this is just 

496
00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:19,000
Ken Walker is who he thought he 
was. 

497
00:30:19,280 --> 00:30:21,760
But I'm curious to hear your 
thoughts on it. 

498
00:30:22,920 --> 00:30:29,840
Yeah. 
So I think that I think that in 

499
00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:35,520
terms of like the efficiency in 
term as a rusher, I think he's 

500
00:30:35,520 --> 00:30:38,560
been fine the last couple of 
games, like not not fantastic, 

501
00:30:38,560 --> 00:30:41,360
but he's been fine. 
The piece that's kind of tailed 

502
00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:46,760
off here is the his receiving 
role has kind of tapered down. 

503
00:30:47,680 --> 00:30:51,760
Like he had a really strong 
couple of weeks in a row. 

504
00:30:52,600 --> 00:30:58,160
His week and five through 8, he 
averaged 9 1/2 expected 

505
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:06,880
receiving points per game, and 
then that didn't, I guess that 

506
00:31:06,880 --> 00:31:08,480
that doesn't seem to have 
sustained. 

507
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:14,640
And then as, yeah, like I said, 
I think his yardage has been 

508
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:19,360
fine and the big knock has been 
the touchdowns. 

509
00:31:19,920 --> 00:31:24,080
Like for example, week eight he 
was 9.2 touchdowns 

510
00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:28,800
underexpected. 
And no, no, sorry, not 9.2 

511
00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:31,800
touchdowns underexpected. 
So that would that would one and

512
00:31:31,800 --> 00:31:34,480
a half, 9.2 points. 
So 1 1/2 touchdowns 

513
00:31:34,480 --> 00:31:39,440
underexpected and then -3.4 in, 
in week 9. 

514
00:31:40,240 --> 00:31:45,120
And I think those are the big 
kind of pieces driving this. 

515
00:31:46,120 --> 00:31:52,200
So I, I would kind of lean that 
this kind of efficiency stuff is

516
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:56,600
driven mostly by week to week 
touchdown variance. 

517
00:31:59,360 --> 00:32:06,640
Like you're, you don't, you 
don't typically see the games 

518
00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:10,600
that he's having from like 
elite, elite running backs like 

519
00:32:10,600 --> 00:32:13,800
they, they they'd normally play 
a little bit better than he has.

520
00:32:13,840 --> 00:32:20,560
I think he's played fine, but 
just it is kind of like the 

521
00:32:20,960 --> 00:32:26,520
maybe you worry that his that 
his play style does does come 

522
00:32:26,520 --> 00:32:28,840
with those down efficiency weeks
on rushing. 

523
00:32:29,480 --> 00:32:35,600
And but I would, I'm not 
freaking out about kind of kind 

524
00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:38,240
of Walker at all is what I would
say. 

525
00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:44,000
Yeah, that, that makes sense. 
I really didn't have any other 

526
00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:48,200
notes on this specific chart. 
I mean, we can briefly touch on 

527
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:53,400
Austin Eckler. 
I guess he he saw a lot of work 

528
00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:56,360
in that game against the Eagles 
where he was just a check down 

529
00:32:56,360 --> 00:32:59,680
monster. 
Gretch actually had a note in 

530
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:04,200
stealing signals that Daniels 
has not been passing deep as 

531
00:33:04,200 --> 00:33:06,960
well after the rib injury and he
hasn't been running as much 

532
00:33:07,080 --> 00:33:09,320
either. 
And so I think, you know, when 

533
00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:12,520
you combine those two things, 
it, it does seem like a recipe 

534
00:33:12,520 --> 00:33:16,680
for Austin Eckler to get a lot 
more work there. 

535
00:33:17,400 --> 00:33:21,320
And he's just kind of assuming 
the role of underneath pass 

536
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:25,000
catcher kind of taking away from
ertz as well. 

537
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:29,000
So he's he's at the very least 
interesting. 

538
00:33:29,000 --> 00:33:31,040
He's more of like a floor play 
type guy. 

539
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:34,840
I think the ceiling is a little 
hard for him to access. 

540
00:33:34,840 --> 00:33:39,560
But with Brian Robinson in, just
because Brian Robinson's going 

541
00:33:39,560 --> 00:33:42,080
to, you know, at the very least 
take away a little bit of the 

542
00:33:42,080 --> 00:33:46,520
touchdown equity from Eckler. 
But Eckler's interesting to say 

543
00:33:46,520 --> 00:33:48,640
the least. 
Like if you were drafting a 

544
00:33:48,640 --> 00:33:52,120
playoff basketball team, Draco, 
and you're in the last round and

545
00:33:52,120 --> 00:33:55,840
you've got a commander's, you 
know, piece, you've got Jaden 

546
00:33:55,840 --> 00:33:59,560
Daniels, Terry Mclaurin and 
Brian Robinson's been taken, but

547
00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:01,560
you're in the 10th round. 
You got all that you need for 

548
00:34:01,560 --> 00:34:04,320
the Super Bowl matchup already. 
And this is just to help you 

549
00:34:04,320 --> 00:34:07,600
advance out of round one. 
Like would you take Austin 

550
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:13,199
Eckler Or let's say that you've 
got let's say you're doing it 

551
00:34:13,199 --> 00:34:15,320
with the Bills, who you think 
are getting the buy. 

552
00:34:15,679 --> 00:34:19,880
So you want Austin Eckler or do 
you want like a a random chief 

553
00:34:20,000 --> 00:34:24,840
dart throw who's likely to go 
further in the playoffs but 

554
00:34:24,840 --> 00:34:26,080
probably project less than 
Ekler? 

555
00:34:26,080 --> 00:34:28,480
Like a Juju? 
You take an Ekler or Juju there.

556
00:34:29,159 --> 00:34:34,159
So in, in, yeah, you know, I 
actually have kind of a problem.

557
00:34:34,520 --> 00:34:39,199
So what we're saying is the 
commander's piece here is to 

558
00:34:39,199 --> 00:34:45,000
help you advance out of Week 1. 
And we want to take Austin 

559
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:49,480
Ekler. 
Like I, I, I, you're, you're the

560
00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:53,600
playoff expert and definitely 
relative to me. 

561
00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:57,480
But in that spot, I, I, I'd 
almost prefer like a one off 

562
00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:03,920
that and maybe from like the NFC
or the AFC side where they at 

563
00:35:03,920 --> 00:35:07,480
least have like a strong like 
week 1 projection. 

564
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:18,960
If I'm going to go that route, 
it it would be because and, and 

565
00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:23,600
the reason I say that is it's 
not that he hasn't had any good 

566
00:35:23,600 --> 00:35:31,280
games, Austin Ecker. 
But I, I do think when you have 

567
00:35:31,280 --> 00:35:34,520
somebody who's like such a huge 
dog to make the conference 

568
00:35:34,520 --> 00:35:38,440
championship, when, when you 
take when you take them on on a 

569
00:35:38,440 --> 00:35:43,240
playoff basketball team, you do 
want them to score good points 

570
00:35:44,080 --> 00:35:48,400
in that ten outcome where you're
right, you, you, you do want, 

571
00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:50,880
you do want that player to 
project well when you hit. 

572
00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:55,600
So you're you're not super 
interested in Ecler going 

573
00:35:55,600 --> 00:35:59,680
forward, thinking maybe that 
increase in usage was maybe just

574
00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:02,240
an aberration from the Eagles 
game, not something where he's 

575
00:36:02,240 --> 00:36:05,320
going to see this increased 
passing volume coming. 

576
00:36:05,320 --> 00:36:10,920
Yeah, I mean, so in in week 9, 
which I believe Brian Robinson 

577
00:36:10,920 --> 00:36:15,080
missed, that's the only other 
week where you see strong, 

578
00:36:15,080 --> 00:36:18,560
strong receiving workload for 
us. 

579
00:36:18,560 --> 00:36:24,800
And after like week 10 is 1.4 
expected receiving points week 

580
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:34,400
85.7, week 73.1, week 65.9. 
Like yeah, I am. 

581
00:36:34,400 --> 00:36:38,160
I I think the the statistics 
kind of lean that way more than 

582
00:36:38,320 --> 00:36:44,200
more than not. 
OK, let's let's go to the other 

583
00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:47,040
running back efficiency chart 
here, 'cause there were a couple

584
00:36:47,040 --> 00:36:52,920
notes I had on this other one. 
The first one is that the 

585
00:36:52,920 --> 00:36:56,480
Christian McCaffrey role and the
Devana Chan role appear to be 

586
00:36:56,480 --> 00:37:00,360
quite similar there. 
There's Spider Man meme here. 

587
00:37:00,360 --> 00:37:06,080
Now, the Christian McCaffrey has
not been quite as efficient as 

588
00:37:06,080 --> 00:37:11,000
Devana Chan in his first couple 
games back, so the larger bubble

589
00:37:11,160 --> 00:37:14,320
Devana Chan is simply eating the
smaller bubble Christian 

590
00:37:14,320 --> 00:37:18,680
McCaffrey on this chart. 
But they're both seeing 

591
00:37:18,680 --> 00:37:23,000
fantastic expected fantasy 
points in the receiving game and

592
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:26,200
getting very solid workloads on 
the ground as well. 

593
00:37:27,440 --> 00:37:30,720
I mean, Devana Chan, Christian 
McCaffrey, you have to be super 

594
00:37:30,720 --> 00:37:32,480
excited about both going 
forward. 

595
00:37:34,280 --> 00:37:38,720
However, they're both a little 
dicey for playoff basketball. 

596
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:43,840
Christian McCaffrey is extremely
overpriced right now. 

597
00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:48,840
I would assume that corrects as 
we when we get like the the real

598
00:37:48,840 --> 00:37:51,520
playoff basketball contest out 
like the Gauntlet and the 

599
00:37:51,520 --> 00:37:53,960
Mitten. 
I would assume that McCaffrey 

600
00:37:53,960 --> 00:37:57,840
comes down a good chunk there. 
Unless the 49ers are just going 

601
00:37:57,840 --> 00:38:01,720
on a tear but a Chan. 
I mean, all the Dolphins are 

602
00:38:01,720 --> 00:38:04,320
free, but again, it's pretty 
unlikely that they make the 

603
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:06,000
playoffs. 
They're technically still alive 

604
00:38:06,000 --> 00:38:08,240
though. 
Right. 

605
00:38:08,760 --> 00:38:12,000
And if I remember right, you 
said last year that with these 

606
00:38:12,000 --> 00:38:18,000
super long shots that you, you 
don't really have to, you don't 

607
00:38:18,000 --> 00:38:21,400
really have to go that route, 
that you're, you're better off 

608
00:38:21,440 --> 00:38:25,240
if you, if you want to play the 
wild card team, you're better 

609
00:38:25,240 --> 00:38:28,600
off waiting for the last couple 
weeks because they're still 

610
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:32,040
going to be cheap because their 
conference championship odds are

611
00:38:32,040 --> 00:38:34,920
going to be low. 
But at least you know that 

612
00:38:34,920 --> 00:38:37,360
they're playing Week 1. 
Right. 

613
00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:42,280
The the way to think about it is
that if you kind of think of 

614
00:38:43,320 --> 00:38:45,640
like the probability that the 
Dolphins make the conference 

615
00:38:45,640 --> 00:38:50,040
championship right now, it might
be, you know, 1% or something. 

616
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:53,960
If they make the playoffs, 
what's it going to be 610? 

617
00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:58,040
You know, like right Still. 10 
for sure. 

618
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:02,080
Yeah, it's still such a small 
probability that it's like, 

619
00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:08,040
great, you went from the the 
relative value of them increased

620
00:39:08,040 --> 00:39:11,600
substantially, but you know, to 
what it was. 

621
00:39:11,720 --> 00:39:14,440
But then when you compare it to 
the other players in the pool, 

622
00:39:14,720 --> 00:39:17,080
it's like, yeah, now he's just a
viable pick. 

623
00:39:17,080 --> 00:39:21,760
Before he was, he's really thin.
Now he's just moved to viability

624
00:39:22,240 --> 00:39:24,960
and so those players, right, you
banked viability. 

625
00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:28,640
Yeah, you banked viability and 
and those players typically do 

626
00:39:28,640 --> 00:39:32,920
not see a significant enough 
price increase for it to justify

627
00:39:32,920 --> 00:39:35,240
accepting that level of risk 
early on. 

628
00:39:35,240 --> 00:39:39,320
Them there are certain 
circumstances where you'll see a

629
00:39:39,320 --> 00:39:43,280
really large price increase on 
players like that. 

630
00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:49,120
The 49ers would be an example 
just because now #1 they will 

631
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:52,440
see a decent conference 
championship probability if they

632
00:39:52,440 --> 00:39:54,760
do make the playoffs. 
So that that drives part of it. 

633
00:39:55,240 --> 00:39:58,360
But the market will kind of 
overcount stuff like that for 

634
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:01,480
teams like the 49ers where it's 
like, oh, but this is a good 

635
00:40:01,480 --> 00:40:05,640
team. 
So that's one where when they're

636
00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:10,120
cheap, I'm like a little bit 
more into the idea of taking 

637
00:40:10,120 --> 00:40:15,320
49ers as a risky play. 
Just all, all of their fantasy 

638
00:40:15,320 --> 00:40:18,560
assets are very good as well. 
It's kind of the thing that you 

639
00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:22,760
saw with the Bills last year 
where the Bills were very cheap 

640
00:40:22,760 --> 00:40:26,400
when their probability of making
the playoffs was only 13%. 

641
00:40:28,120 --> 00:40:32,160
And so you could be really risky
and and accept that risk and 

642
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:35,480
take the Bills there. 
But at least you're getting 

643
00:40:35,480 --> 00:40:39,080
extreme closing line value if 
that scenario hits. 

644
00:40:39,240 --> 00:40:41,640
Right. 
And then once, once the Bills 

645
00:40:41,720 --> 00:40:44,560
had a decent probability of 
making the playoffs, they got 

646
00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:46,760
absurdly overpriced like 
overnight. 

647
00:40:46,760 --> 00:40:49,720
And so then you really you 
really didn't want to draft any 

648
00:40:49,720 --> 00:40:51,280
Bills. 
So that's. 

649
00:40:51,360 --> 00:40:53,280
Versus like the Green Bay 
Packers. 

650
00:40:53,880 --> 00:40:56,560
Right. 
They they actually did make it 

651
00:40:56,600 --> 00:40:59,560
and then they were still free. 
Yep, exactly. 

652
00:40:59,560 --> 00:41:04,120
So that's a spot where you can 
kind of you can add a little 

653
00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:08,640
value in playoff basketball. 
I think you need to understand 

654
00:41:08,640 --> 00:41:11,640
the risk that you're accepting 
drafting teams like that early 

655
00:41:12,440 --> 00:41:15,720
that that that team has a very 
high probability of just going 

656
00:41:15,720 --> 00:41:17,880
to 0 before the playoffs even 
start. 

657
00:41:19,360 --> 00:41:22,560
But understanding that it's 
going to be something you're 

658
00:41:22,560 --> 00:41:27,120
just not going to be able to get
exposure to later in a smart way

659
00:41:28,640 --> 00:41:31,480
there, there's some value to 
knowing that and and being 

660
00:41:31,480 --> 00:41:34,240
willing to accept that risk. 
So it's kind of an interesting 

661
00:41:35,040 --> 00:41:38,240
dynamic there. 
The the other back I had a note 

662
00:41:38,240 --> 00:41:42,280
on here was Chase Brown and we 
we talked about him last week. 

663
00:41:42,680 --> 00:41:45,240
Just that, you know, the, the 
bell cow role is absurd. 

664
00:41:45,880 --> 00:41:48,880
I mean, when you see it with the
expected fantasy points, like, 

665
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:53,960
it's truly a crazy workload. 
At this point, the only thing 

666
00:41:53,960 --> 00:41:59,040
I'm worried about is can he keep
up that workload through the end

667
00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:02,240
of, you know, the regular season
here and through the fantasy 

668
00:42:02,240 --> 00:42:03,800
playoffs? 
What are your thoughts on that, 

669
00:42:03,800 --> 00:42:08,400
Draco? 
And I mean, of course he can. 

670
00:42:09,000 --> 00:42:12,720
Like it's only a couple games 
and he didn't even play that 

671
00:42:12,720 --> 00:42:16,760
much at the start of the year. 
So, sorry, are you talking about

672
00:42:16,760 --> 00:42:19,880
like if his body can hold up to 
that workload? 

673
00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:21,920
I guess that's part of the 
question. 

674
00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:24,880
And then it's like, do you have 
some kind of like bench risk 

675
00:42:24,880 --> 00:42:27,600
where they work in Khalil 
Herbert more? 

676
00:42:28,000 --> 00:42:29,800
Right. 
Will will the Bengals, do they 

677
00:42:29,800 --> 00:42:32,840
want to keep giving him this 
amount of work or are they 

678
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:34,680
looking at this? 
It seems like it. 

679
00:42:35,160 --> 00:42:38,360
We need to get someone else in 
there so we're not just throwing

680
00:42:38,360 --> 00:42:41,120
this guy on the field for 80% of
snaps. 

681
00:42:42,000 --> 00:42:44,120
I mean, I think they love Chase 
Brown. 

682
00:42:44,400 --> 00:42:47,120
Like there's been nothing but 
Chase Brown enthusiasm from the 

683
00:42:47,120 --> 00:42:52,680
Bengals for like the last year. 
And then interestingly, if 

684
00:42:52,680 --> 00:42:55,960
you're if you were looking for 
for Nuggets on on why he might 

685
00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:59,560
play less and you're not going 
to find them on this podcast. 

686
00:42:59,920 --> 00:43:06,280
Because. 
And the, the, the, the, the 

687
00:43:06,320 --> 00:43:09,800
thing that's interesting, in the
last game, they actually ramped 

688
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:13,320
up his pass blocking. 
So he had 11 pass blocking snaps

689
00:43:14,240 --> 00:43:17,840
in the last game. 
And so to me that that speaks to

690
00:43:17,840 --> 00:43:21,000
them trusting him. 
Now let's see how I'm going to 

691
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:23,120
look it up. 
How, how did he actually grayed 

692
00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:25,640
out on, on those pass blocking 
snaps? 

693
00:43:26,280 --> 00:43:30,080
But that's that to me that that 
is significant that they're 

694
00:43:30,080 --> 00:43:33,640
actually not, they're not right.
They're not pushing them down. 

695
00:43:33,640 --> 00:43:34,680
They're actually ramping them 
up. 

696
00:43:34,680 --> 00:43:37,480
They're expanding to different 
ways that they use them. 

697
00:43:38,640 --> 00:43:41,720
Yeah, I think they just got a 
little tired of doing the let's 

698
00:43:41,720 --> 00:43:44,360
put Tanner Hudson in the 
backfield and have him get a 

699
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:46,640
pass blocking Rep. 
They're like, this is stupid. 

700
00:43:46,640 --> 00:43:49,360
Chase Brown, you're you're good 
enough to pass blocking. 

701
00:43:49,360 --> 00:43:50,920
We just rather have you out 
there. 

702
00:43:51,280 --> 00:43:55,200
Allows us to do more stuff. 
So I think it's a sharp 

703
00:43:55,200 --> 00:43:58,040
personnel move by the Bengals. 
It really is just like can you 

704
00:43:58,040 --> 00:44:03,560
provide minimum viable pass 
blocking here man? 

705
00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:08,360
I guess he only he's only he 
only on those 11 pass blocks. 

706
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:14,040
He led 11 pressure and 
unfortunately that pressure did 

707
00:44:14,040 --> 00:44:20,600
turn into a sack. 
But one one pressure on on 11 

708
00:44:20,600 --> 00:44:24,240
pass blocks like that's, that's 
not bad. 

709
00:44:25,120 --> 00:44:30,920
Yeah, Khalil Herbert also had. 
I don't know exactly how how 

710
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:33,840
they'd grade this 'cause there 
was there was a free rusher on 

711
00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:35,960
the play where Khalil Herbert, 
the one that I'm thinking of. 

712
00:44:36,000 --> 00:44:40,080
So Khalil Herbert's on the 
field, he's in pass pro, There's

713
00:44:40,080 --> 00:44:44,040
a blitzer, Khalil Herbert picks 
up the rusher that he's 

714
00:44:44,040 --> 00:44:46,720
assigned, but there's an 
additional free rusher. 

715
00:44:47,480 --> 00:44:51,240
Now, part of the problem was the
free rusher. 

716
00:44:51,240 --> 00:44:54,560
The other part of the problem 
was Khalil Herbert did also get 

717
00:44:54,560 --> 00:44:58,960
beat in pass protection there. 
So he got him. 

718
00:44:59,280 --> 00:45:07,200
He's charted with one pass block
and one pressure. 

719
00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:12,560
OK, yeah, it's it's like 
borderline a not fair pressure 

720
00:45:12,560 --> 00:45:15,680
to give him cuz like there was 
gonna be pressure regardless of 

721
00:45:15,680 --> 00:45:18,320
if he failed or not. 
It did make the play a whole lot

722
00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:20,760
worse, though, that he gave up 
another rusher to the 

723
00:45:20,760 --> 00:45:22,720
quarterback. 
Yeah, they they, they called 

724
00:45:22,720 --> 00:45:26,120
that one a hurry. 
So I guess that that it did it 

725
00:45:26,120 --> 00:45:29,280
impacted the play. 
Yeah, I mean, it did like if you

726
00:45:29,280 --> 00:45:32,040
watch that one, it like very 
clearly impacted the play. 

727
00:45:32,440 --> 00:45:35,840
You probably get Burrow able to 
navigate the one free rusher, 

728
00:45:36,040 --> 00:45:40,160
but when there were two, it was 
not not something that the 

729
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:43,120
quarterback could overcome. 
So it wasn't a great look for 

730
00:45:43,120 --> 00:45:47,160
Khalil Herbert, although not not
the greatest situation for him 

731
00:45:47,160 --> 00:45:52,440
to get a past block win and. 
He's he, he, he, He hasn't been 

732
00:45:52,680 --> 00:45:57,680
trusted as a rash blocker. 
So like he's, he only had, he 

733
00:45:57,680 --> 00:46:02,240
only had 30 pass blocks last 
year, 30 pass blocks the year 

734
00:46:02,240 --> 00:46:07,960
before. 
They like I, I think, I think 

735
00:46:07,960 --> 00:46:11,520
that that passing down role is 
safe from Killer Harbor. 

736
00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:15,760
Yeah, I I agree. 
All right, let's let's hit the 

737
00:46:15,760 --> 00:46:22,800
tight end charts now. 
Man, we are just motoring to 

738
00:46:22,800 --> 00:46:25,360
these. 
I know we're making good time 

739
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:29,280
tonight. 
So tight end utilization and 

740
00:46:29,280 --> 00:46:33,720
efficiency, and this is our 
starter chart and we're looking 

741
00:46:33,720 --> 00:46:38,560
at what percentage of team drop 
backs did they run a route and 

742
00:46:38,560 --> 00:46:41,200
then what percentage were they 
path blocking? 

743
00:46:41,200 --> 00:46:44,880
And then you can kind of see 
who's on the field for 100% of 

744
00:46:44,880 --> 00:46:49,120
drop backs. 
And I should say that for the 

745
00:46:49,120 --> 00:46:52,400
running back and tight end 
charts, it's the rolling four 

746
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:55,240
week average. 
So bear that in mind. 

747
00:46:55,240 --> 00:46:58,880
It's not that Zach Eerts has 
played every drop back of the 

748
00:46:58,880 --> 00:47:01,120
season. 
He's played every drop back in 

749
00:47:01,120 --> 00:47:06,480
the last four games. 
Yeah, the the first guy that we 

750
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:11,480
need to talk about is Will 
Disley, who I mean, he looks to 

751
00:47:11,480 --> 00:47:15,600
have fully taken over the tight 
end one role for the Chargers. 

752
00:47:16,760 --> 00:47:19,600
Now the Chargers use a bunch of 
tight ends. 

753
00:47:19,600 --> 00:47:23,240
They they got all these like 
Lurch looking mother fuckers out

754
00:47:23,240 --> 00:47:28,680
there on the field. 
God, what is the name of some, 

755
00:47:28,680 --> 00:47:32,800
some guy with his number in the 
40s and he is just as wide as a 

756
00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:36,200
house, but he was he was out 
there. 

757
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:39,320
Anyway, the the long and short 
of what I'm getting at is the 

758
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:40,920
Chargers use a lot of tight 
ends. 

759
00:47:41,200 --> 00:47:43,480
Will Disley is the one that's 
catching passes. 

760
00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:46,600
The other guys are out there 
blocking and Disley you can see 

761
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:48,600
has some pass blocking in there 
as well. 

762
00:47:49,720 --> 00:47:53,680
But Disley is, is the guy that 
they're using to catch passes 

763
00:47:54,640 --> 00:47:58,280
and he's looked good doing it. 
Like he he looked pretty good. 

764
00:47:59,680 --> 00:48:02,960
I'm I'm into Will Disley. 
I'm like he's a very viable 

765
00:48:03,200 --> 00:48:07,640
weekly format like DFS and you 
know, underdog battle Royale 

766
00:48:07,640 --> 00:48:11,280
type tight end. 
He's he's very viable in my 

767
00:48:11,280 --> 00:48:14,320
book. 
Right. 

768
00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:22,240
And yeah, I mean, he he started 
the year in kind of a part time 

769
00:48:22,240 --> 00:48:26,640
role and now he's kind of 
emerged as the full time route 

770
00:48:26,640 --> 00:48:29,040
runner. 
He's he's running all the 

771
00:48:29,040 --> 00:48:30,600
routes. 
He's he's getting lots of 

772
00:48:30,600 --> 00:48:33,320
targets. 
It's kind of, I think you're 

773
00:48:33,320 --> 00:48:39,680
kind of looking at the Dalton 
Schultz the the kind of like 

774
00:48:39,680 --> 00:48:41,360
running off the routes, getting 
targets. 

775
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:47,440
It's not very deep down the 
field role and but you know, 

776
00:48:47,440 --> 00:48:50,640
that's very playable and fantasy
that's very playable, especially

777
00:48:50,640 --> 00:48:54,080
with how late he went. 
Like he's a strong, he's a 

778
00:48:54,080 --> 00:48:58,280
strong pickup. 
If you have a yeah, if you have 

779
00:48:58,280 --> 00:49:02,120
a need a tight end and you need 
to play somebody, I think you 

780
00:49:02,120 --> 00:49:03,720
can plug and play in there every
week. 

781
00:49:05,000 --> 00:49:08,960
Yeah, yeah, absolutely. 
The other guy that I had a note 

782
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:16,520
on is Evan Ingram. 
I mean, he the upside seems like

783
00:49:16,520 --> 00:49:20,720
totally gone out of this Jaguars
offense with Mac Jones, but he's

784
00:49:20,720 --> 00:49:24,200
back on his PPR scam bullshit, 
right, Gabe? 

785
00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:26,680
Gabe Davis is out for the season
now as well. 

786
00:49:26,680 --> 00:49:31,480
So it's really it's just Evan 
Ingram and Brian Thomas junior 

787
00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:34,920
out there catching poorly thrown
balls from Mac Jones. 

788
00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:38,240
But the the floor for Evan 
Ingram. 

789
00:49:38,960 --> 00:49:43,120
I mean, while still it's not a 
rock solid floor because you can

790
00:49:43,120 --> 00:49:46,280
just have the full Mac Jones 
implosion weeks where it doesn't

791
00:49:46,280 --> 00:49:47,840
matter and there's not going to 
be anything. 

792
00:49:48,240 --> 00:49:53,600
But he's like a solid guy if you
got to start him in a pinch. 

793
00:49:53,800 --> 00:49:57,160
By the way, I did find the name 
of the other Chargers tight end 

794
00:49:57,160 --> 00:49:59,880
I was thinking of. 
I believe it was Tanner Fisk, 

795
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:03,200
Tucker Fisk. 
Tucker Fisk. 

796
00:50:03,240 --> 00:50:06,000
Thank you. 
But yes, Tucker Fisk. 

797
00:50:07,200 --> 00:50:10,440
I did play a little bit of him 
in on the Showdown slate, 

798
00:50:10,760 --> 00:50:13,520
believe it or not. 
And then as soon as I saw him on

799
00:50:13,520 --> 00:50:16,760
the field, I knew that it was a 
mistake to have played him even 

800
00:50:16,760 --> 00:50:24,560
at $200. 
So I, I, I wanna, I want to note

801
00:50:24,560 --> 00:50:28,800
here I made a mistake on on will
Disney or not a mistake. 

802
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:31,960
There was a typo in in one of 
the formulas. 

803
00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:37,520
I should say that if you look at
his, he's actually his route 

804
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:46,360
percentage is closer to 65%. 
So he would that me a culpa and 

805
00:50:46,360 --> 00:50:49,320
there was AI don't know what 
happened, but there was 

806
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:54,960
something wrong in the formula. 
And and so he's on the field 

807
00:50:54,960 --> 00:50:57,520
about 70%. 
So he's still on their starter 

808
00:50:57,520 --> 00:51:01,840
shirt, but he's somewhere 
between Noah and and and chick. 

809
00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:07,240
And so maybe, maybe maybe my my 
my comment there about him being

810
00:51:07,240 --> 00:51:10,080
playable every week. 
Probably probably not quite 

811
00:51:10,080 --> 00:51:11,840
correct. 
Yeah, he is. 

812
00:51:11,880 --> 00:51:15,600
He is getting lots of targets, 
but that is a good, good point 

813
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:19,720
that he's not actually out there
for all of the drop backs. 

814
00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:23,040
Good job we are not spreading 
fake news. 

815
00:51:23,040 --> 00:51:25,560
So that's. 
Yeah, I was like, I spotted it 

816
00:51:25,560 --> 00:51:27,200
and I was like, I could just 
move on. 

817
00:51:27,200 --> 00:51:31,360
But I don't want. 
I don't want anyone to get the 

818
00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:33,000
wrong impression. 
Yep. 

819
00:51:34,280 --> 00:51:36,360
OK, the next Titan I had a note 
on. 

820
00:51:36,600 --> 00:51:40,000
I mean, we have to talk about 
Jonnu, one of one of the three 

821
00:51:40,280 --> 00:51:42,880
monster performances. 
We're not even, we're not even 

822
00:51:42,880 --> 00:51:45,760
mentioning Brock Bauer's monster
performance because that's just 

823
00:51:45,760 --> 00:51:47,360
like what we've come to expect 
from him. 

824
00:51:47,360 --> 00:51:52,920
He's the Titan one next year. 
Like full stop I I don't care if

825
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:55,880
if the market is taking anyone 
other than Brock Bowers this 

826
00:51:55,880 --> 00:51:58,920
tight in one next year I'll have
100% Brock Bowers, I don't give 

827
00:51:58,920 --> 00:52:03,120
a shit. 
But for Jonnu, he had a pretty 

828
00:52:03,120 --> 00:52:07,760
incredible ceiling game as well.
And I mean, Pat had brought this

829
00:52:07,760 --> 00:52:10,200
up to me a couple weeks ago when
we were talking about Dolphin 

830
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:15,520
stuff on our preview pod. 
But Jonnu really looks like he 

831
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:19,800
is kind of just he, he stole 
Jaylen Waddle's lunch. 

832
00:52:19,800 --> 00:52:24,680
It looks like as as you know, 
where he's at on the for the 

833
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:28,560
offense, like in the offensive 
hierarchy for the Dolphins right

834
00:52:28,560 --> 00:52:32,160
now, it really feels like it's 
Divana Chan one, Tyree kill 2, 

835
00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:35,280
Jonnu Smith 3 and Jaylen Waddle 
4. 

836
00:52:36,120 --> 00:52:40,760
And I mean, really the, The 
thing is when you're talking 

837
00:52:40,760 --> 00:52:44,280
about Dolphins players, like 
when the offense is humming, 

838
00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:46,600
there can be a lot of touchdowns
to go around. 

839
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,160
And now they're not going to 
play the, the Raiders every 

840
00:52:49,160 --> 00:52:52,400
single week. 
But Jonnu getting the two 

841
00:52:52,400 --> 00:52:56,400
touchdowns like you, you can 
very easily see that he's got 

842
00:52:56,400 --> 00:53:01,320
access to this monster ceiling. 
So he's, he's certainly 

843
00:53:01,440 --> 00:53:05,360
interesting in that regard, 
Definitely a, a viable guy in 

844
00:53:05,360 --> 00:53:08,160
weekly DFS formats. 
Yeah. 

845
00:53:08,200 --> 00:53:12,840
And I mean the thing, but he's 
he's running like what something

846
00:53:12,880 --> 00:53:17,480
75% of routes he's getting the 
he's getting the good. 

847
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:23,960
And what is it the 21% target 
sprout run That's that's pretty,

848
00:53:24,040 --> 00:53:27,800
pretty good. 
Yeah. 

849
00:53:29,240 --> 00:53:31,720
OK. 
Moving on to the next tight end 

850
00:53:32,400 --> 00:53:36,720
I mentioned, I mentioned this 
earlier, but Mike Kasicki seems 

851
00:53:36,720 --> 00:53:40,920
like he's probably dead with 
with T Higgins back. 

852
00:53:41,320 --> 00:53:43,440
I mean, I'm sure there will be 
games where he gets a couple 

853
00:53:43,440 --> 00:53:46,800
targets here and there, but that
role where Kasiki seemed like 

854
00:53:46,800 --> 00:53:51,960
the legitimate #2 pass catcher 
on the Bengals very logically 

855
00:53:51,960 --> 00:53:54,720
has has gone away with Tiggins 
back. 

856
00:53:57,000 --> 00:54:01,840
The other guy that I had a note 
on here is. 

857
00:54:02,200 --> 00:54:05,920
I I guess the only thing that's 
interesting about Kasiki here is

858
00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:12,680
that and he didn't run 77% of 
routes now like he was he was 

859
00:54:12,680 --> 00:54:18,400
not targeted. 
He got 2 targets and on those on

860
00:54:18,400 --> 00:54:25,920
56 on actually I can't see how 
many routes, so 77% of 56 drop 

861
00:54:25,920 --> 00:54:31,920
backs, so probably around 40 
yeah, he had around 40 routes, 2

862
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:37,040
targets. 
I I don't know if I want to call

863
00:54:37,040 --> 00:54:39,360
that dead. 
Like it'd be different if like 

864
00:54:39,360 --> 00:54:41,080
they were like, oh, no, step 
aside. 

865
00:54:41,360 --> 00:54:43,960
Kasiki T Higgins is back. 
You don't even get the play. 

866
00:54:45,800 --> 00:54:52,000
I still think somebody who's in 
the 75% of routes range is like 

867
00:54:52,960 --> 00:54:58,800
is interesting, but the the the 
number if he's the number 3 or 4

868
00:54:58,800 --> 00:55:04,040
target behind two receivers that
dominate targets, it is a lot 

869
00:55:04,040 --> 00:55:07,760
less interesting. 
Yeah, I, I more so when I called

870
00:55:07,760 --> 00:55:11,480
him dead, I more so meant like 
the, the ceiling that we saw 

871
00:55:11,480 --> 00:55:14,520
from him earlier where he's 
getting 7 targets and he's live 

872
00:55:14,520 --> 00:55:17,760
for two touchdowns. 
Like that's just not really 

873
00:55:17,760 --> 00:55:22,080
going to happen with T Higgins 
and Chase active again, which 

874
00:55:22,080 --> 00:55:24,920
makes sense. 
And like I said, he might have 

875
00:55:24,920 --> 00:55:28,600
some games where he gets a few 
receptions here and there, but 

876
00:55:28,600 --> 00:55:32,160
that the ceiling is different 
with T Higgins in the line up 

877
00:55:35,040 --> 00:55:38,600
right? 
The the next guy who's stealing 

878
00:55:38,600 --> 00:55:41,040
is also affected by another 
player being active in the 

879
00:55:41,040 --> 00:55:46,640
lineup is Mark Andrews. 
And with Isaiah likely back and 

880
00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:50,400
then playing a very important 
division game against the 

881
00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:56,000
Steelers at a very close game, 
they went to likely a lot. 

882
00:55:56,600 --> 00:56:00,400
So it was, it was pretty 
concerning for Mark Andrews, in 

883
00:56:00,400 --> 00:56:03,440
my opinion. 
But how do you parse this Ravens

884
00:56:03,440 --> 00:56:09,480
tight end situation, Greco? 
So Mark Andrews, he had only 58%

885
00:56:09,480 --> 00:56:12,520
of routes run 14% targets per 
outrun. 

886
00:56:13,000 --> 00:56:16,400
So that works out that he got 3 
targets. 

887
00:56:17,240 --> 00:56:28,560
And then if I look at likely, so
likely 53% routes run 26% 

888
00:56:29,040 --> 00:56:34,160
targets per outrun 5 targets. 
Now he did corralled those 

889
00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:38,040
targets into 75 yards. 
So he had that good game. 

890
00:56:39,040 --> 00:56:42,640
I don't that that feels like a 
true tight end committee to me. 

891
00:56:42,920 --> 00:56:51,960
Like both of these guys are 
around around 50% Rep run. 

892
00:56:53,840 --> 00:57:00,040
I, I, I guess I'm, I'm happy 
that like I'm happy for likely 

893
00:57:00,040 --> 00:57:05,520
that he still had the good game,
but neither of those usages look

894
00:57:05,520 --> 00:57:07,120
strong. 
It kind of does look like 

895
00:57:07,120 --> 00:57:08,640
they're just cannibalizing each 
other. 

896
00:57:08,960 --> 00:57:13,520
I I agree 100% it it does make 
it pretty tough for playoff 

897
00:57:13,520 --> 00:57:17,560
basketball as well. 
The the way I'm reading this for

898
00:57:17,560 --> 00:57:21,600
playoff basketball is if I'm 
playing Ravens to the Super 

899
00:57:21,600 --> 00:57:25,080
Bowl, I'm definitely interested 
in both because when you get all

900
00:57:25,080 --> 00:57:28,680
the way down to the Super Bowl, 
it it doesn't really matter. 

901
00:57:29,560 --> 00:57:32,880
You know, like a a very small 
amount of points can be 

902
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:34,880
extremely important in that 
format. 

903
00:57:36,440 --> 00:57:40,080
But if you're just grabbing like
a random Ravens one off and 

904
00:57:40,080 --> 00:57:43,520
you're not even playing them as 
a Super Bowl team, I have 

905
00:57:43,520 --> 00:57:47,840
virtually no interest in any of 
these kind of tertiary Ravens 

906
00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:49,800
pass catchers. 
And that includes Likely and 

907
00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:54,040
Andrews, right? 
Right. 

908
00:57:56,000 --> 00:57:58,640
Yeah, makes makes sense for 
sure. 

909
00:57:59,000 --> 00:58:01,240
Makes sense for sure. 
OK, we. 

910
00:58:02,400 --> 00:58:04,880
Go ahead. 
We do have to talk about Tayson 

911
00:58:04,880 --> 00:58:09,840
Hill, who put up maybe one of 
the greatest tight end in quotes

912
00:58:09,880 --> 00:58:15,160
games of all time. 
Just I mean, in the first 

913
00:58:15,160 --> 00:58:18,880
quarter of the game, I just 
thought Taysom was going to bury

914
00:58:18,880 --> 00:58:23,040
everyone from APR scam. 
He he had something like 8 

915
00:58:23,040 --> 00:58:25,920
targets and five receptions in 
the first quarter of the game or

916
00:58:25,920 --> 00:58:27,240
something. 
Or maybe it was just five. 

917
00:58:27,240 --> 00:58:30,000
I think he ended with eight 
targets, but he ended with 10. 

918
00:58:30,000 --> 00:58:33,120
Targets. 
OK, yeah, so so he has like 5 

919
00:58:33,120 --> 00:58:36,440
receptions in the first quarter 
and I'm thinking, oh God, I 

920
00:58:36,440 --> 00:58:39,560
didn't play enough Taysom Hill. 
I I had AI was more than double 

921
00:58:39,560 --> 00:58:41,840
the field of the dog bowl. 
Still not enough. 

922
00:58:43,360 --> 00:58:48,120
And of course, he just, he, he 
buried you in every conceivable 

923
00:58:48,120 --> 00:58:51,480
way Tayson Hill could bury you. 
He caught passes, he threw 

924
00:58:51,480 --> 00:58:55,600
passes, he rushed the ball. 
He had breakaway place like it 

925
00:58:55,600 --> 00:58:58,680
was incredible. 
So he's had a couple now big 

926
00:58:58,680 --> 00:59:02,920
spike weeks and in DraftKings he
was going in the somewhere 

927
00:59:02,920 --> 00:59:05,920
between one 40s and one 20s for 
most of the summer. 

928
00:59:07,560 --> 00:59:10,960
I I would argue that he's like 
the best tight end pick on 

929
00:59:10,960 --> 00:59:14,400
DraftKings by cost. 
Just the fact that you can drop 

930
00:59:14,400 --> 00:59:18,280
a 40 at the tight end position. 
You know, if this if this 

931
00:59:18,280 --> 00:59:22,000
happens in a playoff week, in 
one of the the best ball playoff

932
00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:25,880
weeks, like taste of hill ends 
up being an absolute league 

933
00:59:25,880 --> 00:59:27,640
where like have to have him type
of guy. 

934
00:59:27,640 --> 00:59:32,760
So, and this, it seems, set up 
very well for taste of Hill the 

935
00:59:32,760 --> 00:59:35,880
rest of the way. 
Like the Saints depth chart is 

936
00:59:35,880 --> 00:59:39,000
just decimated at wide receiver.
They're extremely thin at 

937
00:59:39,000 --> 00:59:42,520
running back, too. 
And he's also their best tight 

938
00:59:42,520 --> 00:59:45,920
end. 
So it's like he's just gonna get

939
00:59:45,920 --> 00:59:47,600
there by being the Jack of all 
trades. 

940
00:59:47,600 --> 00:59:51,400
And I think it could be a really
fun season to have some taste of

941
00:59:51,400 --> 00:59:57,840
Hill in basketball. 
Yeah, Yeah, very, very strong. 

942
00:59:57,840 --> 01:00:01,840
Yeah, DraftKings pick. 
Like good. 

943
01:00:01,840 --> 01:00:07,080
Honestly, you were happy with 
his score at quarterback in FFPC

944
01:00:07,760 --> 01:00:11,560
Underdog last week. 
But yeah, very, very strong. 

945
01:00:12,320 --> 01:00:15,880
And the other one here that's 
kind of stunt. 

946
01:00:15,960 --> 01:00:20,880
I know we had a Luke's shooting 
Macker in prime time. 

947
01:00:22,560 --> 01:00:25,080
He he had like something 
ridiculous. 

948
01:00:25,080 --> 01:00:28,760
Like what was it 10 targets? 
And what's kind of interesting 

949
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:33,320
there is he only ran a route on 
50% of of dropbacks. 

950
01:00:34,000 --> 01:00:40,520
He just, he had a really high, 
he had a 32% targets per run and

951
01:00:40,840 --> 01:00:44,520
50% of routes. 
Well, they had 62 drop backs. 

952
01:00:44,520 --> 01:00:52,440
So he had 31 routes. 
And I guess the question, the 

953
01:00:52,880 --> 01:00:55,800
the question or the conclusion 
that comes to my mind is that 

954
01:00:55,800 --> 01:01:00,360
that's kind of a product have 62
drop backs, But is that just 

955
01:01:00,360 --> 01:01:03,760
something that we could see a 
lot from the Cowboys going 

956
01:01:03,760 --> 01:01:05,520
forward? 
And, and, and, and you're going 

957
01:01:05,520 --> 01:01:11,320
to get these just random dudes 
who get 10 targets in a game. 

958
01:01:11,960 --> 01:01:16,120
Yeah, I mean, Schumacher 
specifically I think is viable 

959
01:01:16,320 --> 01:01:18,760
if you're going to get Ferguson 
missing time. 

960
01:01:19,280 --> 01:01:24,920
But I mean, Cooper Rush did not 
look good and it just looked 

961
01:01:24,920 --> 01:01:27,960
like Luke Schumacher was a nice 
safety blanket, right? 

962
01:01:28,080 --> 01:01:33,400
And so I don't know how bad the 
Ferguson injury is going to be. 

963
01:01:35,040 --> 01:01:36,640
You know, maybe just a week, 
but. 

964
01:01:37,200 --> 01:01:39,880
Yeah, I heard. 
I thought I'd saw a quote that 

965
01:01:40,200 --> 01:01:43,160
he, McCarty was asked about it 
and he's like, it's not looking 

966
01:01:43,160 --> 01:01:45,400
likely for next week. 
Right, right. 

967
01:01:45,440 --> 01:01:50,400
I would anticipate at least one 
week of Schumacher and so, but 

968
01:01:50,400 --> 01:01:53,520
really the only actual stuff I 
can give you on Schumacher is 

969
01:01:53,520 --> 01:01:57,680
it's it's probably like a it's 
an OK plug and play one time 

970
01:01:57,680 --> 01:01:59,400
like tight end streamer type 
thing. 

971
01:02:00,080 --> 01:02:03,280
I'd assume he's probably like 
Min Price on DraftKings as well 

972
01:02:03,280 --> 01:02:08,280
so. 
Maybe I mean the the question 

973
01:02:08,280 --> 01:02:14,680
that that comes to me is, so I 
accept that in the 62 drop back 

974
01:02:14,680 --> 01:02:19,160
games somebody other than CD Lam
has to get targets. 

975
01:02:20,280 --> 01:02:23,880
That makes sense to me. 
But the question is it always 

976
01:02:23,880 --> 01:02:27,080
going to be Schumacher? 
I don't. 

977
01:02:27,800 --> 01:02:30,360
I don't think we can say just 
because we don't. 

978
01:02:30,360 --> 01:02:31,920
Have right? 
I don't think so either. 

979
01:02:32,280 --> 01:02:36,840
But but what I'm saying is say 
Schumacher's 2500 on DraftKings 

980
01:02:36,960 --> 01:02:39,080
and say say you think the 
Cowboys are only going to have 

981
01:02:39,080 --> 01:02:45,160
30 drop backs if he gets 4 
targets, even like 4. 

982
01:02:45,240 --> 01:02:48,360
If I'm if I'm getting 4 targets 
at 2500, I'm pretty happy with 

983
01:02:48,360 --> 01:02:55,080
it, right? 
I mean at 30 drop backs like and

984
01:02:55,080 --> 01:02:59,720
then let's say he doesn't have 
the 32% targets per run, he has 

985
01:02:59,720 --> 01:03:02,000
an 18% targets per run. 
Then you're like. 

986
01:03:02,080 --> 01:03:03,560
Then you're looking at 2 
targets. 

987
01:03:04,080 --> 01:03:12,720
Right, Yeah, I mean, yeah, he's 
he's probably pretty fringy, but

988
01:03:12,720 --> 01:03:14,560
it's it's someone that's worth 
having on your. 

989
01:03:14,560 --> 01:03:19,720
Radar, I would say, yeah, yeah, 
for sure we're having on your on

990
01:03:19,720 --> 01:03:27,200
your radar for sure. 
It just, I guess those are the 

991
01:03:27,200 --> 01:03:29,480
types of targets that we're 
going to be looking at here on 

992
01:03:29,480 --> 01:03:33,600
the Cowboys and I guess thinking
about it. 

993
01:03:34,080 --> 01:03:37,720
And so Rico Dowdle, he did get 5
targets. 

994
01:03:37,880 --> 01:03:41,920
He didn't do a lot with them. 
And but if that's going to be 

995
01:03:41,920 --> 01:03:45,200
the type of target that the 
offense relies on, somebody like

996
01:03:45,200 --> 01:03:48,920
Kim could could be stronger 
because you never it. 

997
01:03:49,000 --> 01:03:52,200
It could be Rico Dado next week 
who gets 10 targets. 

998
01:03:54,600 --> 01:03:56,840
Yeah, yeah, that's a, that's a 
good point. 

999
01:03:57,560 --> 01:04:00,080
I was just, I was looking at the
Cowboys schedule here. 

1000
01:04:01,200 --> 01:04:04,320
You will have a couple showdown 
slates coming up for them 

1001
01:04:04,360 --> 01:04:08,560
because you get them on 
Thanksgiving and then I believe 

1002
01:04:08,560 --> 01:04:11,960
that the game they have against 
the Bengals, which is a few 

1003
01:04:11,960 --> 01:04:15,240
weeks away now. 
What's dryer, the Turkey or the 

1004
01:04:15,240 --> 01:04:23,120
Cowboys offense? 
Yeah, Cowboys offense not 

1005
01:04:23,320 --> 01:04:28,880
particularly inspiring, but 
yeah, if if Ferguson misses time

1006
01:04:28,880 --> 01:04:32,920
long term, look for Luke 
Schumacher on a Showdown slate 

1007
01:04:32,920 --> 01:04:36,160
near you. 
Yeah, makes makes sense. 

1008
01:04:36,280 --> 01:04:40,320
Probably time for us to kick 
this over to wide receivers. 

1009
01:04:40,640 --> 01:04:42,400
Yep, let's do wide receivers 
here. 

1010
01:04:43,200 --> 01:04:46,400
And so our wide receivers chart,
we've got weighted targets for 

1011
01:04:46,400 --> 01:04:50,800
our run, which is kind of our 
metric for how often not only 

1012
01:04:50,800 --> 01:04:53,760
are they targeted on the routes,
but how often are they targeted 

1013
01:04:53,760 --> 01:04:56,560
downfield. 
It weighs those down the field 

1014
01:04:56,560 --> 01:05:00,000
targets more heavily. 
And then we plot that against 

1015
01:05:00,000 --> 01:05:02,960
fantasy points per game, because
that's ultimately what it's all 

1016
01:05:02,960 --> 01:05:08,560
about. 
Yeah, so the notes that I had 

1017
01:05:08,560 --> 01:05:12,200
the first one I had was we 
finally get the Almond rod nuke 

1018
01:05:12,200 --> 01:05:14,680
game. 
You know, he he's had a pretty 

1019
01:05:14,680 --> 01:05:19,880
quiet season, definitely like 
lower target volume for him this

1020
01:05:19,880 --> 01:05:24,560
year than in years past. 
I don't think prior to this 

1021
01:05:24,560 --> 01:05:26,720
game, I think he only had the 
one game over. 

1022
01:05:26,720 --> 01:05:30,840
I want to say 8 targets. 
I'm going to Fact Check myself 

1023
01:05:30,840 --> 01:05:36,120
on that. 
But he finally gets the big game

1024
01:05:36,120 --> 01:05:41,360
here and and it reminds you that
he does have access to that 

1025
01:05:41,360 --> 01:05:43,480
absolutely incredible ceiling. 
Yeah. 

1026
01:05:43,480 --> 01:05:46,000
So he had he had the 18 target 
game in week two. 

1027
01:05:46,160 --> 01:05:50,160
Other than that, no games over 8
targets and he only had three, 

1028
01:05:50,160 --> 01:05:54,200
eight target games, the other 
ones being 7246 and six. 

1029
01:05:54,200 --> 01:05:57,800
So really, really low target 
volume for him this year 

1030
01:05:57,800 --> 01:06:01,480
compared to what he's had in the
past outside of those two 

1031
01:06:01,480 --> 01:06:04,680
monster games. 
But the fact that he has those 

1032
01:06:04,680 --> 01:06:08,560
games in his bag still certainly
encouraging. 

1033
01:06:09,320 --> 01:06:12,840
I, I was a little concerned that
this was just going to be like 

1034
01:06:12,840 --> 01:06:15,360
the new normal for Detroit and 
it was going to be really hard 

1035
01:06:15,360 --> 01:06:18,320
for him to have these ceiling 
outcomes like that. 

1036
01:06:19,320 --> 01:06:22,560
He's got a couple good games 
coming up on the schedule as 

1037
01:06:22,560 --> 01:06:27,160
well till you get the Colts next
week where, you know, they're 

1038
01:06:27,160 --> 01:06:30,920
not as, not quite as terrible as
the Jaguars. 

1039
01:06:31,320 --> 01:06:35,000
But I I could certainly see that
being another big game for the 

1040
01:06:35,000 --> 01:06:39,120
Lions before they end up against
some pretty strong defenses 

1041
01:06:39,120 --> 01:06:42,640
where they get Chicago twice in 
four games, they get Buffalo, 

1042
01:06:42,640 --> 01:06:47,720
they get Green Bay. 
But yeah, really for me, the the

1043
01:06:47,720 --> 01:06:51,240
biggest take away was because I 
was starting to get concerned 

1044
01:06:51,240 --> 01:06:55,040
about like, God, I want to draft
Almond raw for playoff baseball,

1045
01:06:55,440 --> 01:06:58,600
but do I just take Gibbs over 
him instead? 

1046
01:06:59,280 --> 01:07:02,200
But I think after this game, 
just reminding me like, hey, 

1047
01:07:02,200 --> 01:07:04,680
this ceiling is still very much 
in the range of outcomes. 

1048
01:07:06,040 --> 01:07:10,000
I'm, I'm very comfy having 
almond raw is, you know, one of 

1049
01:07:10,000 --> 01:07:11,800
the best clicks in playoff 
basketball. 

1050
01:07:13,520 --> 01:07:16,640
Makes makes sense for sure makes
sense. 

1051
01:07:17,960 --> 01:07:22,960
Then you you you also kind of 
like notes here that Chase and T

1052
01:07:22,960 --> 01:07:28,720
Higgins boats smashing and and 
and and and it does seem like 

1053
01:07:28,720 --> 01:07:31,600
they're just both consolidating 
those targets so heavily. 

1054
01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:36,640
Burroughs playing so well their 
like their defense sucks so 

1055
01:07:36,640 --> 01:07:40,720
their volume is good and and and
it is making for a pretty nice 

1056
01:07:40,720 --> 01:07:43,760
season for the both of them. 
Yeah. 

1057
01:07:43,760 --> 01:07:48,240
I mean they're, they are both 
over 55% weighted targets per 

1058
01:07:48,240 --> 01:07:52,520
route run or I think Chase might
be just a lick under that's kind

1059
01:07:52,520 --> 01:07:55,840
of where the median or the 
midpoint line is right there. 

1060
01:07:57,560 --> 01:08:01,160
But yeah, Chase and and Higgins 
are absolutely consolidating 

1061
01:08:01,160 --> 01:08:04,480
everything on the offense and 
they're smashing with it. 

1062
01:08:04,480 --> 01:08:07,760
I mean, the the Bengals 
onslaughts really do look like 

1063
01:08:07,760 --> 01:08:09,800
what you need. 
The Bengals are just this the 

1064
01:08:09,800 --> 01:08:12,600
most consolidated offense in all
the best ways. 

1065
01:08:12,600 --> 01:08:15,800
You get Chase Brown doing 
everything on the ground and 

1066
01:08:16,240 --> 01:08:18,640
Jamar, Chase and T Higgins 
consolidating everything through

1067
01:08:18,640 --> 01:08:22,000
the air. 
If you've got a Joe Burrow, T 

1068
01:08:22,000 --> 01:08:25,520
Higgins, Jamar Chase, Chase 
Brown stack in best ball, that 

1069
01:08:25,520 --> 01:08:28,120
team's probably advancing and 
you're probably feeling pretty 

1070
01:08:28,120 --> 01:08:30,240
good about it heading into the 
fantasy playoffs. 

1071
01:08:31,200 --> 01:08:35,359
The other dynamic duo of 
receivers that I think we have 

1072
01:08:35,359 --> 01:08:40,080
to talk about is Cooper Cup and 
then his his teammate Kuka 

1073
01:08:40,080 --> 01:08:44,640
Takua, who actually is still 
languishing down on the the 40 

1074
01:08:44,640 --> 01:08:49,800
to 70% routes run chart just 
because of some weird he's had 

1075
01:08:49,800 --> 01:08:51,840
some flu. 
He got ejected, he got injured. 

1076
01:08:51,960 --> 01:08:55,200
Got ejected, got injured, you 
know, missed some the first game

1077
01:08:55,200 --> 01:08:56,439
that. 
He and he's only played in five 

1078
01:08:56,439 --> 01:08:58,720
games. 
Yeah, first game he's back from 

1079
01:08:58,720 --> 01:09:00,319
injury. 
They, they were really light 

1080
01:09:00,319 --> 01:09:03,399
with his snap, so you got those 
things holding him back down 

1081
01:09:03,399 --> 01:09:05,720
there. 
Didn't stop his performance this

1082
01:09:05,720 --> 01:09:09,640
week though. 
Both Puka and cup exploded this 

1083
01:09:09,640 --> 01:09:13,439
week. 
Shout out to Pat for I mean 

1084
01:09:13,439 --> 01:09:17,520
Pat's walkthrough is always very
good, but this week he was just 

1085
01:09:17,520 --> 01:09:20,520
so on it. 
Like pretty much every take away

1086
01:09:20,520 --> 01:09:23,479
that I had from reading the 
walkthrough and adjustments that

1087
01:09:23,479 --> 01:09:27,080
I made to my process for playing
in the draft games and playing 

1088
01:09:27,080 --> 01:09:30,160
DFS this week. 
Like Pat literally knocked it 

1089
01:09:30,160 --> 01:09:32,600
out of the park for everything. 
He had Puka Deku as the cover 

1090
01:09:32,600 --> 01:09:35,399
boy. 
Puka just absolutely explodes in

1091
01:09:35,399 --> 01:09:38,160
the first half. 
Like if you were playing a lot 

1092
01:09:38,160 --> 01:09:41,120
of puka, you were resting easy 
after that first half. 

1093
01:09:42,080 --> 01:09:44,479
He also mentioned that Stafford 
was in a phenomenal spot for 

1094
01:09:44,479 --> 01:09:46,920
regression. 
For positive regression, 

1095
01:09:47,160 --> 01:09:49,359
Stafford ends up with the four 
touchdowns in the Super 

1096
01:09:49,359 --> 01:09:53,080
efficient game. 
Just had to had to give some 

1097
01:09:53,080 --> 01:09:56,120
flowers to pat there for a job 
well done on the walkthrough per

1098
01:09:56,120 --> 01:09:59,320
usual. 
But this week was really a very 

1099
01:09:59,320 --> 01:10:02,560
nice one. 
But the the Higgins and Chase 

1100
01:10:02,560 --> 01:10:07,040
and Kath and Puka thing just to 
me highlights another point that

1101
01:10:07,680 --> 01:10:10,840
I feel like we need to make 
because every year I feel like 

1102
01:10:10,840 --> 01:10:13,000
we have to have this discussion 
when people are drafting 

1103
01:10:13,000 --> 01:10:16,720
basketball teams where people 
are like, oh, you can't take 

1104
01:10:16,720 --> 01:10:20,040
both. 
If you take Puka Nakua and 

1105
01:10:20,040 --> 01:10:23,520
Cooper Cup, they're just too 
expensive to take together. 

1106
01:10:23,520 --> 01:10:26,240
It's like, no, no, no, like 
these guys are correlated. 

1107
01:10:26,480 --> 01:10:31,200
They can have good games 
together, like trust me, like it

1108
01:10:31,200 --> 01:10:34,080
is good to have them. 
And even in the games where one 

1109
01:10:34,080 --> 01:10:38,200
of them gets there at the cost 
of the other one getting there, 

1110
01:10:38,600 --> 01:10:41,360
that's still not a bad thing for
you in basketball. 

1111
01:10:41,360 --> 01:10:44,920
Like you're just you're helping 
to raise your floor and you're 

1112
01:10:44,920 --> 01:10:48,160
raising your ceiling in the same
like with the same pick. 

1113
01:10:48,160 --> 01:10:52,480
So it is it's not a bad thing to
be taking players from the same 

1114
01:10:52,480 --> 01:10:54,920
offense. 
And you can see it with T 

1115
01:10:54,920 --> 01:10:59,680
Higgins and Jamar Chase as well.
Now you can look at the, you 

1116
01:10:59,680 --> 01:11:03,200
know, the examples of when it 
goes bad is Tyree kill Jalen 

1117
01:11:03,200 --> 01:11:05,800
Waddle. 
But again, like those outcomes 

1118
01:11:05,800 --> 01:11:09,040
are are correlated together. 
Like you're getting worse 

1119
01:11:09,040 --> 01:11:12,240
outcomes for Tyreke and worse 
outcomes for Waddle because you 

1120
01:11:12,240 --> 01:11:14,160
have the quarterback injury that
affects them both. 

1121
01:11:14,400 --> 01:11:18,000
You have the Dolphins involving 
their running backs much more in

1122
01:11:18,000 --> 01:11:20,480
the passing game, involving 
Jonnu Smith in the passing game.

1123
01:11:20,480 --> 01:11:22,920
Like so they're correlated 
outcomes. 

1124
01:11:22,920 --> 01:11:26,720
And yes, when it goes bad, it 
feels really bad because it's 

1125
01:11:26,720 --> 01:11:31,040
going badly together. 
But when it goes well, like if 

1126
01:11:31,040 --> 01:11:34,560
you have the Bengals onslaught 
here, you're laughing straight 

1127
01:11:34,560 --> 01:11:36,040
to the bank. 
Like these teams look 

1128
01:11:36,040 --> 01:11:37,840
incredible. 
And same thing with the Rams. 

1129
01:11:37,840 --> 01:11:42,120
Now the Rams, you got the puka 
injury and the the cup injury 

1130
01:11:42,120 --> 01:11:46,040
early in the season. 
But man, if you've got like a a 

1131
01:11:46,040 --> 01:11:49,200
Stafford double that somehow 
makes it into the best ball 

1132
01:11:49,200 --> 01:11:52,080
playoffs, like I'm pretty 
excited about that. 

1133
01:11:52,080 --> 01:11:56,160
So I just I had to get on my 
soapbox there for just remember 

1134
01:11:56,160 --> 01:11:58,560
this next year when you're 
drafting basketball teams and 

1135
01:11:58,560 --> 01:12:01,240
people are telling you like, oh,
you really don't want to take 

1136
01:12:01,240 --> 01:12:04,120
the two guys that are expensive 
together on the same offense. 

1137
01:12:04,120 --> 01:12:08,840
Like just not wave it because 
when it when it works out, it's 

1138
01:12:08,840 --> 01:12:13,680
really good. 
And then your next, your next 

1139
01:12:13,680 --> 01:12:17,960
question here was, are we aren't
you worried about Malik 

1140
01:12:17,960 --> 01:12:19,640
neighbors with the veto 
starting? 

1141
01:12:21,040 --> 01:12:28,040
And, and I, I, I'm having a, a 
tough time being worried about 

1142
01:12:28,040 --> 01:12:32,960
neighbors after going through 
the, the Danny Dimes story. 

1143
01:12:33,920 --> 01:12:44,080
Now, I guess Dimes is, is not I,
I guess he's not the absolute 

1144
01:12:44,080 --> 01:12:50,600
worst, but he was pretty bad. 
And I do think that neighbors is

1145
01:12:50,600 --> 01:12:53,080
so important for the offense. 
He's going to get so many 

1146
01:12:53,080 --> 01:12:58,280
targets that I think you're 
probably looking at outcomes 

1147
01:12:58,280 --> 01:13:01,440
pretty close to the start of the
season where he's just going to 

1148
01:13:01,440 --> 01:13:04,480
dominate targets. 
And you just have to hope that 

1149
01:13:04,800 --> 01:13:09,680
Neighbors plays like neighbors, 
and he dominates with the ball 

1150
01:13:09,880 --> 01:13:11,840
on receptions as well as with 
targets. 

1151
01:13:13,160 --> 01:13:17,600
Yeah, that, that makes sense and
I agree with you on that one 

1152
01:13:17,600 --> 01:13:19,840
there. 
But I do think that it was 

1153
01:13:19,880 --> 01:13:23,960
important to talk about. 
Yeah, I think a lot of people 

1154
01:13:23,960 --> 01:13:26,240
are probably worried about Malik
Neighbors going forward. 

1155
01:13:26,480 --> 01:13:29,680
I had AI had a question that a 
friend of mine reached out with 

1156
01:13:29,880 --> 01:13:34,120
just normal home League. 
He's got CD Lamb, Malik 

1157
01:13:34,120 --> 01:13:38,280
Neighbors and someone sent in 
the trade offer of Nico Collins 

1158
01:13:38,520 --> 01:13:42,600
for Lamb plus Neighbors. 
Which side of that do you 

1159
01:13:42,600 --> 01:13:51,160
prefer? 
And I think, I think I want to 

1160
01:13:51,160 --> 01:13:57,440
keep neighbors on them. 
That's what I said, But I don't 

1161
01:13:57,440 --> 01:13:59,760
think it's egregious if you want
to go get Nico. 

1162
01:14:00,560 --> 01:14:02,760
But yeah, I think you just hold 
neighbors. 

1163
01:14:02,760 --> 01:14:04,560
I think his value is still 
pretty high, but. 

1164
01:14:04,680 --> 01:14:07,040
Yeah. 
I did want to get the sanity 

1165
01:14:07,040 --> 01:14:13,360
check from you because he he. 
Yeah, I mean going both ways is 

1166
01:14:13,360 --> 01:14:19,680
the gap between the league 
neighbors and Nico ACD Lam gap 

1167
01:14:20,240 --> 01:14:25,840
and is the gap between CD and 
Nico a Malik neighbors gap? 

1168
01:14:26,120 --> 01:14:29,440
No, it just like. 
Yeah, I agree. 

1169
01:14:32,120 --> 01:14:36,600
Yeah, moving on. 
The next guy had a note on Oh 

1170
01:14:36,600 --> 01:14:39,360
man, Draco, I think it might be 
finally happening. 

1171
01:14:39,440 --> 01:14:44,520
Is the JSN breakout upon us? 
I think, yeah, I think we're in 

1172
01:14:44,520 --> 01:14:49,280
the, the JSN breakout now. 
It is a what are we looking at 

1173
01:14:49,280 --> 01:14:51,920
here? 
We're looking at 684 yards 

1174
01:14:51,920 --> 01:14:56,200
through 10 games breakout, so 7 
yards a game. 

1175
01:14:57,000 --> 01:14:59,000
But I, I, I, I think we're in 
it. 

1176
01:14:59,080 --> 01:15:03,040
I think, I think it's kind of 
turned the corner here where 

1177
01:15:03,040 --> 01:15:05,560
where he's not going to 
establish part of the offense or

1178
01:15:05,560 --> 01:15:09,280
not establish it where like he's
a driver of the offense. 

1179
01:15:10,680 --> 01:15:13,400
Yeah. 
Now, now bear with me here. 

1180
01:15:13,800 --> 01:15:17,960
Did you know that if you take 
his three best games and we just

1181
01:15:17,960 --> 01:15:21,320
cherry pick those and say those 
are actually the real games for 

1182
01:15:21,320 --> 01:15:23,240
JS? 
You know the ones where he got 

1183
01:15:23,240 --> 01:15:26,320
16 targets, 12 targets and 11 
targets if you. 

1184
01:15:26,320 --> 01:15:29,120
Throw out the one where he had 9
yards 31 yard. 

1185
01:15:29,440 --> 01:15:32,320
No, no, we're listen, throw out 
all the bad stuff. 

1186
01:15:32,320 --> 01:15:35,960
We're only looking at the three 
very best games from production.

1187
01:15:36,160 --> 01:15:39,480
We're actually not even counting
the 12 target, 51 yard game 

1188
01:15:39,600 --> 01:15:42,040
either because that one doesn't 
feed our narrative here. 

1189
01:15:42,280 --> 01:15:46,240
But if you look at these three 
specific games, he's got a 

1190
01:15:46,240 --> 01:15:49,760
little over 400 yards in three 
games. 

1191
01:15:49,920 --> 01:15:54,000
So if you extrapolate that out 
to a full season, you're looking

1192
01:15:54,000 --> 01:15:57,600
at 2500 receiving yards in a 
season from JSN, so. 

1193
01:15:57,920 --> 01:16:01,560
It's pretty wild that NFL teams 
had a backup running backs 

1194
01:16:01,560 --> 01:16:04,200
playing cornerback in four 
different games. 

1195
01:16:04,240 --> 01:16:05,960
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 
I can't believe it. 

1196
01:16:06,440 --> 01:16:08,560
I I thought that that was just, 
you know, the kind of 

1197
01:16:08,560 --> 01:16:11,360
shenanigans that went on when 
people were covering Ohio State 

1198
01:16:11,360 --> 01:16:13,520
receivers in college, but 
apparently it happens in the 

1199
01:16:13,520 --> 01:16:18,080
NFL, too. 
So I I just hope that he keeps 

1200
01:16:18,080 --> 01:16:20,960
getting to run against, you 
know, backup running backs 

1201
01:16:21,080 --> 01:16:27,200
playing corner, but who knows. 
I do think there's something to 

1202
01:16:28,000 --> 01:16:31,840
when DK Metcalf went out and 
then they like expanded his 

1203
01:16:31,840 --> 01:16:39,440
round tree and like it exploded 
to OK his, his, his role is kind

1204
01:16:39,440 --> 01:16:43,200
of different now. 
His role is is something where 

1205
01:16:43,200 --> 01:16:46,480
they trust him to push the ball 
down the field and make that 

1206
01:16:46,480 --> 01:16:49,160
work. 
Yeah, and they, I mean, in, in 

1207
01:16:49,160 --> 01:16:53,440
this game against San Francisco 
too, he was the, he was the, we 

1208
01:16:53,440 --> 01:16:55,760
got to get it. 
We need, you know, we need this 

1209
01:16:55,920 --> 01:16:57,760
conversion, we need this third 
down. 

1210
01:16:57,760 --> 01:17:02,520
Like he was their trusted guy on
a lot of those big high leverage

1211
01:17:02,520 --> 01:17:05,600
spots. 
So that's, it's pretty 

1212
01:17:05,600 --> 01:17:10,920
encouraging to see 'cause I feel
like in the past they would try 

1213
01:17:10,920 --> 01:17:15,080
to use DK Metcalf like that, but
he, he really isn't that. 

1214
01:17:15,160 --> 01:17:18,160
Like that's not what DK Metcalf 
it really does. 

1215
01:17:18,560 --> 01:17:21,840
And so it didn't really work 
that way for for this stuff. 

1216
01:17:21,920 --> 01:17:26,680
So the other the other thing 
that I want to point out is it's

1217
01:17:26,680 --> 01:17:31,200
not like I saw a lot of people 
saying like, Oh yeah, he he like

1218
01:17:31,240 --> 01:17:34,480
he lined up out wide so much 
more after DK Metcalf was there.

1219
01:17:34,680 --> 01:17:37,520
Like, no, he didn't. 
It was still it was like almost 

1220
01:17:37,520 --> 01:17:41,080
all slot snaps in the game 
against the Rams, 91 1/2 percent

1221
01:17:41,080 --> 01:17:45,320
slot snap rate, lower, lower 
slot rate, but like still in 

1222
01:17:45,320 --> 01:17:48,160
line with what he's getting this
season on average this last week

1223
01:17:48,160 --> 01:17:50,360
against San Francisco, 83% in 
the slot. 

1224
01:17:50,760 --> 01:17:52,520
So he's still operating out of 
the slot. 

1225
01:17:52,840 --> 01:17:56,920
And and to me, like when you get
a guy that's doing what he's 

1226
01:17:56,920 --> 01:18:00,440
done now over these past couple 
games where he can very clearly 

1227
01:18:00,440 --> 01:18:05,360
operate at all depths, but you 
know, he's operating primarily 

1228
01:18:05,360 --> 01:18:08,200
out of the slot. 
Like that is the same archetype 

1229
01:18:08,200 --> 01:18:11,560
as like, you know, the prime 
Cooper Cup, the Almond raw St. 

1230
01:18:11,560 --> 01:18:15,360
Brown, the CD lamb, like that's 
what those guys do. 

1231
01:18:15,400 --> 01:18:21,640
And so I I don't want to get out
over my skis, but in in 

1232
01:18:21,640 --> 01:18:25,840
basketball next year. 
If JSN has a late second round 

1233
01:18:25,840 --> 01:18:31,040
tag, are you taking him there? 
A late second round tag. 

1234
01:18:34,720 --> 01:18:38,640
I don't think so. 
I think I'm looking I mean, and 

1235
01:18:38,640 --> 01:18:42,960
maybe I have PFF brain actually 
FFPC brain right, right. 

1236
01:18:43,520 --> 01:18:45,920
But I I I'm that. 
Where? 

1237
01:18:45,920 --> 01:18:48,560
Where would you think on FFPC 
and I can translate? 

1238
01:18:48,560 --> 01:18:51,680
It, yeah, it's going to 
translate pretty well, I think. 

1239
01:18:51,680 --> 01:18:55,920
I I think I'm thinking like 
somewhere like turn round free 

1240
01:18:55,920 --> 01:18:58,640
for turn. 
Yeah, yeah, 3-4. 

1241
01:18:58,760 --> 01:19:01,960
So 3-4 turn, he probably would 
not get up into the second 

1242
01:19:01,960 --> 01:19:03,080
round. 
He'd be close. 

1243
01:19:03,080 --> 01:19:06,040
It depends on the tight end. 
So yeah, you're, you're, you're 

1244
01:19:06,040 --> 01:19:10,040
saying maybe early 3rd is where 
you think would be appropriate 

1245
01:19:10,040 --> 01:19:10,520
next. 
Year. 

1246
01:19:10,520 --> 01:19:14,800
Yeah, yeah, yeah, I, I think 
that I think that's right. 

1247
01:19:15,520 --> 01:19:17,640
I I kind of think it's 
inevitable. 

1248
01:19:18,960 --> 01:19:24,680
He now granted, a lot of this, 
it's, it's funny, but this is 

1249
01:19:24,760 --> 01:19:27,200
true. 
A lot of the way that guys get 

1250
01:19:27,200 --> 01:19:30,000
price is how they finish the 
season, right? 

1251
01:19:30,000 --> 01:19:32,280
Like it's the what have you done
for me lately and and the 

1252
01:19:32,280 --> 01:19:34,320
vividness bias and the recency 
bias. 

1253
01:19:35,160 --> 01:19:39,600
So if he stinks to close the 
season out, I think that you'll 

1254
01:19:39,600 --> 01:19:43,080
get another year where he'll be 
majorly discounted and you can 

1255
01:19:43,080 --> 01:19:44,920
just load up on him, which I 
would. 

1256
01:19:45,560 --> 01:19:48,920
But if he keeps delivering on 
these performances, which I I 

1257
01:19:48,920 --> 01:19:50,680
think is the more likely 
outcome. 

1258
01:19:50,720 --> 01:19:52,640
And and again, wide receiver is 
very volatile. 

1259
01:19:53,000 --> 01:19:55,120
I'm not saying he's never gonna 
have a down game again. 

1260
01:19:55,120 --> 01:19:58,520
Like he almost certainly will 
have a couple down games to 

1261
01:19:58,520 --> 01:20:02,400
close out the season. 
But if he keeps putting up these

1262
01:20:02,400 --> 01:20:05,200
performances at least a couple 
more times to finish the season 

1263
01:20:05,200 --> 01:20:08,400
out, he's gonna. 
I don't see him going any later 

1264
01:20:08,400 --> 01:20:12,560
than the third round, right? 
Right. 

1265
01:20:12,720 --> 01:20:16,720
I, I mean, if, if he just keeps 
having 100 yard games every week

1266
01:20:17,200 --> 01:20:21,760
from here on out, then yeah, my,
my price is going to be too 

1267
01:20:21,760 --> 01:20:23,880
cheap. 
He'll be a lot closer to your 

1268
01:20:23,880 --> 01:20:26,320
price. 
Seahawks kind of interesting in 

1269
01:20:26,320 --> 01:20:29,480
playoff basketball as well. 
The whole, the whole NFC West is

1270
01:20:29,480 --> 01:20:32,160
basically up for grabs right now
with all those teams being 

1271
01:20:32,160 --> 01:20:36,920
within one game of each other. 
So that's a that's kind of an 

1272
01:20:36,920 --> 01:20:39,120
interesting one to note. 
No one's drafting Seahawks right

1273
01:20:39,120 --> 01:20:40,960
now. 
They're they're kind of risky. 

1274
01:20:41,640 --> 01:20:43,320
They're one of those that I'd 
wait and see on. 

1275
01:20:43,320 --> 01:20:46,120
But yeah, yeah. 
All right. 

1276
01:20:46,120 --> 01:20:47,840
We can go to the next chart 
here. 

1277
01:20:51,400 --> 01:20:52,960
And I mean, we got to talk about
this guy. 

1278
01:20:52,960 --> 01:20:56,760
He is the, you know, he's on the
thumbnail for this week. 

1279
01:20:57,120 --> 01:20:59,680
He's the league winner. 
I think I talked about him on 

1280
01:20:59,680 --> 01:21:02,080
like every single podcast that I
did last week. 

1281
01:21:02,720 --> 01:21:05,920
And that's Jawan Jennings, like 
absolute league winner. 

1282
01:21:06,440 --> 01:21:09,800
You know what's funny? 
If you go and look back, I'm 

1283
01:21:09,800 --> 01:21:10,920
going to I'm going to pull this 
up. 

1284
01:21:11,080 --> 01:21:13,360
I've already I've already looked
at it, but I'm pulling it up 

1285
01:21:13,400 --> 01:21:18,760
just to to verify for myself. 
If you look at the our charts 

1286
01:21:18,760 --> 01:21:23,160
last year for Brandon Nyuk, who 
was just having a hell of a 

1287
01:21:23,160 --> 01:21:25,960
season, right? 
Like, you know, absolutely 

1288
01:21:25,960 --> 01:21:30,480
incredible season. 
Brandon Nyuk is actually 

1289
01:21:31,520 --> 01:21:35,160
basically in the exact same spot
on the chart as Jawan Jennings. 

1290
01:21:35,160 --> 01:21:40,560
Brandon Nyuk average just about 
17 fantasy points per game over 

1291
01:21:40,560 --> 01:21:43,400
the whole season. 
Jawan Jennings, right, about 15.

1292
01:21:43,400 --> 01:21:45,800
So a little lower than what he's
actually realized, but you do 

1293
01:21:45,800 --> 01:21:49,760
have, you know, some, some games
or he just hasn't had the same 

1294
01:21:49,760 --> 01:21:55,120
role to start the season. 
Brandon Nyuk right, about 60% 

1295
01:21:55,120 --> 01:21:58,720
weighted targets per route run. 
Jawan Jennings a little north of

1296
01:21:58,720 --> 01:22:00,640
60% weighted targets per route 
run. 

1297
01:22:01,280 --> 01:22:04,600
I mean, listen, Jawan Jennings 
is in the Brandon Iuke role 

1298
01:22:04,600 --> 01:22:09,280
right now, and I'm starting to 
think that Brandon Iuke might 

1299
01:22:09,280 --> 01:22:12,160
just be a system wide receiver, 
because Jawan Jennings looks 

1300
01:22:13,040 --> 01:22:16,800
pretty damn good to me, yeah. 
I'm going to try and frame it 

1301
01:22:16,800 --> 01:22:20,880
more as like a Jawan Jennings 
and coming on developing as a 

1302
01:22:20,880 --> 01:22:24,560
player like it's rare that we 
see these late break breakouts, 

1303
01:22:24,560 --> 01:22:26,800
but that I think that's what 
we're getting here. 

1304
01:22:27,800 --> 01:22:34,000
And when he's played this year, 
he's very consistently been at a

1305
01:22:34,000 --> 01:22:38,960
high targets per run. 
And now last two games in a row,

1306
01:22:39,320 --> 01:22:45,520
he's been 95% route run, 94% 
route run and then 28% targets 

1307
01:22:45,520 --> 01:22:50,040
per run, 29% targets per run. 
So just very consistently 

1308
01:22:50,480 --> 01:22:54,040
earning high target volume. 
I guess one thing that's kind of

1309
01:22:54,040 --> 01:22:59,120
interesting is that since the 
injury, his A dot has come right

1310
01:22:59,120 --> 01:23:03,120
down. 
Like he was pretty much always 

1311
01:23:03,520 --> 01:23:10,400
and above 12 in the first six 
weeks of the season and now the 

1312
01:23:10,760 --> 01:23:15,800
week, week 10 and 11, he's been 
an 8.2 and 7:00. 

1313
01:23:17,400 --> 01:23:22,280
So that A dot is coming down. 
So you're seeing heavy targets 

1314
01:23:22,880 --> 01:23:25,040
lower A dot. 
And I guess it's interesting 

1315
01:23:25,040 --> 01:23:29,920
that he's shown that versatility
that he's succeeded both ways. 

1316
01:23:30,880 --> 01:23:34,880
And so yeah, that that I do 
think very, very interesting 

1317
01:23:34,880 --> 01:23:39,880
player and I'm kind of buying 
this late career breakout. 

1318
01:23:40,840 --> 01:23:44,640
Yeah, if you're doing a 49ers 
stuff for playoff basketball, 

1319
01:23:45,520 --> 01:23:48,560
Jawan Jennings like a must have 
on those teams for me. 

1320
01:23:50,240 --> 01:23:56,120
I mean, this is this is going to
sound stupid, but I don't think 

1321
01:23:56,680 --> 01:24:01,560
Jawan Jennings is that different
than Devo Samuel from a week to 

1322
01:24:01,560 --> 01:24:08,400
week projection at this point. 
Like sorry, that's that's it is 

1323
01:24:08,400 --> 01:24:10,800
what it is. 
And he's just he's always going 

1324
01:24:10,800 --> 01:24:13,920
to be cheaper just cause the 
name value of Devo. 

1325
01:24:13,920 --> 01:24:19,600
So, but we can, we can move on 
to the next guy before my, my 

1326
01:24:19,600 --> 01:24:21,720
love for Joan Jennings just 
runneth over. 

1327
01:24:22,640 --> 01:24:27,480
Josh Downs, another one of my my
favorite receivers this season. 

1328
01:24:28,600 --> 01:24:33,560
He's just so fun to watch. 
Like he just looks so good Every

1329
01:24:33,560 --> 01:24:37,640
time I see Josh Downs, he's like
getting open at will. 

1330
01:24:37,960 --> 01:24:41,360
He's operating in in different 
quadrants of the field too. 

1331
01:24:41,360 --> 01:24:45,600
He's not just this little pop 
gun slot guy that like gets open

1332
01:24:45,600 --> 01:24:48,200
really quick and you know, does 
the Deonte Johnson stuff. 

1333
01:24:48,600 --> 01:24:51,480
Deonte Johnson not a not a slot 
guy, but you know what I mean? 

1334
01:24:51,480 --> 01:24:54,360
Like just to get open really 
quick and catch the ball type 

1335
01:24:54,360 --> 01:24:59,520
guy like Josh downs can do it 
all and he's he's like very, 

1336
01:24:59,520 --> 01:25:01,720
very clearly the Colts best 
receiver. 

1337
01:25:03,880 --> 01:25:08,000
I mean, I, I think it's the only
thing that could hold Josh Downs

1338
01:25:08,000 --> 01:25:12,640
back is if Anthony Richardson 
looks like he did for the first 

1339
01:25:12,640 --> 01:25:15,720
few weeks of the season. 
But if Anthony Richardson even 

1340
01:25:15,720 --> 01:25:19,240
plays OK like Josh Downs is is 
incredible. 

1341
01:25:21,400 --> 01:25:24,920
And yeah, yeah, he's having a, 
he's having a very, yeah, very 

1342
01:25:24,920 --> 01:25:29,800
strong sophomore year after the 
injury early. 

1343
01:25:32,640 --> 01:25:38,680
Another guy who this this rookie
is having a pretty strong year 

1344
01:25:38,720 --> 01:25:41,200
is Ladd Mcconkey. 
He's actually, he's right near 

1345
01:25:41,200 --> 01:25:45,480
Brian Thomas on the chart, who 
to be fair to Brian Thomas, we 

1346
01:25:45,480 --> 01:25:48,560
would be gushing over him too if
his quarterback situation 

1347
01:25:48,560 --> 01:25:51,800
weren't so dire going forward. 
So he's just a little less 

1348
01:25:51,800 --> 01:25:55,120
exciting. 
But Ladd Mcconkey looks 

1349
01:25:55,120 --> 01:25:56,520
incredible. 
I mean. 

1350
01:25:57,800 --> 01:26:00,280
He does. 
I, I, I do think this is one 

1351
01:26:00,280 --> 01:26:03,400
where his, like his role has 
just been so sporadic week to 

1352
01:26:03,400 --> 01:26:06,240
week. 
I, I think it's coming on. 

1353
01:26:06,480 --> 01:26:09,880
I think it's developing more and
more and he's becoming more of a

1354
01:26:09,880 --> 01:26:13,160
mainstay and a staple in the. 
Well, he he had one of his best 

1355
01:26:13,160 --> 01:26:16,600
games of the year in the last 
game, in the last kind of prime 

1356
01:26:16,600 --> 01:26:20,320
time game. 
But Week 10, he saw just two 

1357
01:26:20,320 --> 01:26:23,440
targets. 
And that was that was the week 

1358
01:26:23,440 --> 01:26:26,000
where they really like came back
down to earth though, and didn't

1359
01:26:26,000 --> 01:26:28,920
pass very much. 
So when they're passing. 

1360
01:26:28,920 --> 01:26:31,640
Yeah. 
But that's that's like a 9% 

1361
01:26:31,640 --> 01:26:34,800
targets per run, right? 
I agree with you. 

1362
01:26:34,800 --> 01:26:41,360
He's having a good year and he's
very playable, like he's 

1363
01:26:41,360 --> 01:26:43,200
playable in dailies, all that 
kind of stuff. 

1364
01:26:43,520 --> 01:26:51,000
But I do think his kind of week 
to week outlook is pretty 

1365
01:26:51,000 --> 01:26:54,320
volatile. 
Yeah, I, I think, I think that 

1366
01:26:54,320 --> 01:26:58,080
volatility is part and parcel 
with an offense that is willing 

1367
01:26:58,080 --> 01:27:02,680
to, at the drop of a hat, go, 
you know -15% PROE like that's 

1368
01:27:02,680 --> 01:27:05,120
just right. 
And and and and, you know, 

1369
01:27:05,120 --> 01:27:06,880
there's, there's there, there 
has been weeks. 

1370
01:27:06,880 --> 01:27:11,040
It wouldn't surprise me if 
there's weeks where Ram, what's 

1371
01:27:11,040 --> 01:27:15,080
his name, Quinton Johnson is get
gets more targets than you can. 

1372
01:27:16,040 --> 01:27:21,760
Absolutely, although recently it
definitely like it's to me it's 

1373
01:27:21,760 --> 01:27:24,680
pretty clear that Mcconkey is 
the guy they prefer to be 

1374
01:27:24,680 --> 01:27:27,320
throwing the ball to. 
Like Quinton Johnston is out 

1375
01:27:27,320 --> 01:27:31,440
there as a capable receiver, 
which honestly I never saw 

1376
01:27:31,440 --> 01:27:34,960
myself saying he to. 
To Quinton Johnson's credit, the

1377
01:27:34,960 --> 01:27:38,400
thing that he was the worst at 
last year of literally not being

1378
01:27:38,400 --> 01:27:41,160
able to catch the ball. 
He actually seems to have 

1379
01:27:41,160 --> 01:27:42,520
cleaned up pretty well this 
year. 

1380
01:27:42,520 --> 01:27:46,880
Like the drops are are not 
really anywhere close to the the

1381
01:27:46,880 --> 01:27:50,960
issue that they were his rookie 
season, which, you know, kudos 

1382
01:27:50,960 --> 01:27:52,560
to him. 
Like that's that's a great 

1383
01:27:52,560 --> 01:27:54,120
development for him and his 
career. 

1384
01:27:54,760 --> 01:27:58,520
I still think Mcconkey is like 
the the strongest receiver here 

1385
01:27:58,520 --> 01:28:00,600
and will. 
Yeah, yeah, for sure, for sure. 

1386
01:28:01,640 --> 01:28:05,120
The the, the thing that I'm 
interested in is where do you 

1387
01:28:05,120 --> 01:28:07,680
think Mcconkey goes next year in
best of all? 

1388
01:28:10,960 --> 01:28:16,280
I want to guess like Fort round.
Yeah, 4th or 5th feels about 

1389
01:28:16,280 --> 01:28:19,360
right to me. 
It's gonna like we talked about 

1390
01:28:19,360 --> 01:28:22,080
with JSN, it's gonna depend on 
how he closes the season out, 

1391
01:28:22,120 --> 01:28:23,720
right? 
Like I'm, I'm, I'm. 

1392
01:28:23,720 --> 01:28:27,520
Kind of thinking like the the 
Drake London is the comp, Drake 

1393
01:28:27,560 --> 01:28:30,280
London as a sophomore is is the 
ADP comp. 

1394
01:28:30,880 --> 01:28:34,360
That that tracks for me. 
I I think that makes a lot of 

1395
01:28:34,360 --> 01:28:39,160
sense. 
All right, let's let's move on 

1396
01:28:39,160 --> 01:28:41,400
to the last chart, unless 
there's anyone that you wanted 

1397
01:28:41,400 --> 01:28:46,920
to talk about on this one. 
No, no, a lot of these guys, 

1398
01:28:46,920 --> 01:28:52,720
we've spilled plenty of van or 
not spilled ink we've used 

1399
01:28:52,720 --> 01:28:56,920
oxygen on. 
That's it. 

1400
01:28:56,920 --> 01:29:00,960
Let's move on. 
Oh man, this is a messy chart. 

1401
01:29:01,200 --> 01:29:04,240
It's it is a messy chart and 
don't worry, you don't even 

1402
01:29:04,240 --> 01:29:07,760
really need to get lost in this.
On the dots. 

1403
01:29:07,960 --> 01:29:11,640
Yeah, in this rat's nest of dots
down here, because none of these

1404
01:29:11,640 --> 01:29:15,200
guys are really relevant. 
I mean, you get to right we're. 

1405
01:29:15,200 --> 01:29:18,520
Past the point where a guy is 
just gonna like, impress. 

1406
01:29:18,880 --> 01:29:21,880
Or maybe not past the point, but
it's a lot less likely now. 

1407
01:29:22,240 --> 01:29:26,240
Yeah, you get DeAndre Hopkins 
down here purely because he is 

1408
01:29:26,880 --> 01:29:28,800
just not running a full 
complement of Rouse and that's 

1409
01:29:28,800 --> 01:29:31,920
what he's been doing the entire 
season dealing with the knee 

1410
01:29:31,920 --> 01:29:35,120
injury. 
He's he's at the very least like

1411
01:29:35,120 --> 01:29:38,960
interesting on the Chiefs now, 
but he's not a not a crusher by 

1412
01:29:38,960 --> 01:29:41,080
any means. 
Certainly a good piece in 

1413
01:29:41,080 --> 01:29:43,560
playoff basketball, though, with
how likely the Chiefs are to 

1414
01:29:43,560 --> 01:29:47,080
make the conference championship
in the Super Bowl and the fact 

1415
01:29:47,080 --> 01:29:50,480
that he's like pretty clearly 
the number two behind Kelsey 

1416
01:29:50,960 --> 01:29:53,160
now. 
So he, he's very much 

1417
01:29:53,160 --> 01:29:55,720
interesting as a pass catcher. 
Also the fact that all the 

1418
01:29:55,720 --> 01:30:00,960
Chiefs like tertiary pass 
catchers seem pretty gross this 

1419
01:30:00,960 --> 01:30:03,360
year. 
So it really feels like it's 

1420
01:30:03,360 --> 01:30:08,640
Kelsey and and Hopkins and then,
you know, no one else. 

1421
01:30:08,880 --> 01:30:14,040
So the we talked about Puka 
already on the 1st chart in the 

1422
01:30:14,040 --> 01:30:17,800
context of cup and we kind of 
explained why he's down here on 

1423
01:30:17,800 --> 01:30:21,680
this chart just with some of the
weird fluky stuff limiting his 

1424
01:30:21,680 --> 01:30:24,720
routes. 
The only other guy that I I 

1425
01:30:24,720 --> 01:30:26,440
think is worth talking about 
here. 

1426
01:30:26,640 --> 01:30:29,920
I guess there's two I I should 
have made a note on on this guy,

1427
01:30:29,920 --> 01:30:33,000
which we'll touch on briefly. 
Christian Watson did have a 

1428
01:30:33,000 --> 01:30:35,600
pretty good game. 
Looks like he is. 

1429
01:30:35,600 --> 01:30:38,200
He's firmly like icing out 
Dontavie on Wix. 

1430
01:30:39,480 --> 01:30:43,640
So sorry to all the Wix truthers
it it does appear that Christian

1431
01:30:43,640 --> 01:30:48,000
Watson is winning that third 
wide receiver role here. 

1432
01:30:50,400 --> 01:30:53,600
I'm I'm interested, would would 
you ever draft Dantavia on 

1433
01:30:53,600 --> 01:30:55,160
what's the playoff basketball 
Draco? 

1434
01:30:55,160 --> 01:30:57,920
Or is he just you you'd rather 
have like Tucker craft or 

1435
01:30:57,920 --> 01:31:01,160
something? 
Yeah, you, you, you wouldn't do 

1436
01:31:01,160 --> 01:31:03,480
it, would you? 
Like, I don't think so. 

1437
01:31:03,480 --> 01:31:09,360
So you're you've got of the 
Packers that you would draft 

1438
01:31:09,480 --> 01:31:12,840
after Jordan Love, You've got 
Aaron Jones, you've got Jayden 

1439
01:31:12,840 --> 01:31:15,560
Reed, you've got Christian 
Watson. 

1440
01:31:16,960 --> 01:31:23,840
And then yeah, Dobbs, like I, I 
just don't think there's ever a 

1441
01:31:23,840 --> 01:31:30,000
point like he was at just 30% 
right to run at last week with 

1442
01:31:30,000 --> 01:31:35,320
Christian Watson at 75%, like 
as, as you kind of noted, Watson

1443
01:31:35,320 --> 01:31:39,680
just icing him out. 
Yeah, when you, when in in 

1444
01:31:39,680 --> 01:31:42,720
playoff basketball, when you're 
diving that deep, like when 

1445
01:31:42,720 --> 01:31:46,640
you're dumpster diving on a 
team, it has to be a team that 

1446
01:31:46,640 --> 01:31:48,280
you think is making the Super. 
Bowl. 

1447
01:31:49,000 --> 01:31:51,720
Because that's where those 
dumpster diver picks can be the 

1448
01:31:51,720 --> 01:31:53,960
most valuable. 
It turns into like a showdown 

1449
01:31:53,960 --> 01:31:58,240
slate style of game where anyone
who can, you know, score a 

1450
01:31:58,240 --> 01:32:01,320
touchdown all of a sudden could 
be extremely valuable. 

1451
01:32:02,680 --> 01:32:05,560
So they're really the only. 
Factory's kind of just missing 

1452
01:32:05,560 --> 01:32:10,720
the cut off almost for that. 
Yeah. 

1453
01:32:10,720 --> 01:32:14,840
And really the thing that I'm 
I'm thinking is like if you are 

1454
01:32:14,840 --> 01:32:18,360
playing Packers to the Super 
Bowl, like you can get five 

1455
01:32:18,360 --> 01:32:22,920
really good Packer, like you can
go Jaden Reed, Josh Jacobs, 

1456
01:32:22,920 --> 01:32:26,560
Jordan Love, Romeo Dobbs. 
Chris So I said Aaron Jones 

1457
01:32:26,560 --> 01:32:27,880
instead of Josh Jacobs, didn't 
I? 

1458
01:32:28,040 --> 01:32:30,040
That's OK. 
I didn't I, I knew what you 

1459
01:32:30,040 --> 01:32:32,960
meant. 
But that's 5, like you got 5 

1460
01:32:32,960 --> 01:32:35,520
Packers right there. 
You're gonna have some Super 

1461
01:32:35,520 --> 01:32:37,360
Bowl opponent against them most 
likely. 

1462
01:32:37,360 --> 01:32:42,440
And so to me, it's like and, and
hypothetically say you show up 

1463
01:32:42,480 --> 01:32:44,840
in the Super Bowl, it is the 
Packers. 

1464
01:32:44,840 --> 01:32:47,880
You are right. 
How many people are you even 

1465
01:32:47,880 --> 01:32:51,760
competing with that have that 
have a 5 stack of Packers in the

1466
01:32:51,760 --> 01:32:54,280
Super Bowl? 
Like it just feels unnecessary. 

1467
01:32:54,280 --> 01:32:56,800
Like I'd rather have other other
guys. 

1468
01:32:57,720 --> 01:33:01,520
But anyway, the the guy who I 
actually had a note on that we 

1469
01:33:01,520 --> 01:33:07,440
still haven't talked about is 
Deonte Johnson, who slowly seems

1470
01:33:07,440 --> 01:33:10,560
like he's. 
Yeah, up to a whopping 17% right

1471
01:33:10,560 --> 01:33:13,320
to run. 
I mean, it's, it's more more 

1472
01:33:13,520 --> 01:33:21,400
than he previously was getting. 
He's up from 8% to 17% and two 

1473
01:33:21,400 --> 01:33:25,560
targets, both games good on. 
Him, yeah. 

1474
01:33:25,920 --> 01:33:29,240
And and who who said that he's a
low A dot merchant? 

1475
01:33:29,880 --> 01:33:34,440
His his A dot was 32. 
So it's 64 air yards. 

1476
01:33:35,720 --> 01:33:38,120
That's that's quite odd. 
Yeah, the he he did have a 

1477
01:33:38,120 --> 01:33:41,640
couple deep passes in this game,
but so. 

1478
01:33:41,640 --> 01:33:46,200
To me that that's honestly like 
that's speaking to. 

1479
01:33:46,680 --> 01:33:48,800
They're like, OK, yes, you're 
Deonte Johnson. 

1480
01:33:48,800 --> 01:33:51,360
Yes, your main skill is getting 
open shallow. 

1481
01:33:52,040 --> 01:33:54,480
That's not the offense. 
Yeah, that's not just that we 

1482
01:33:54,480 --> 01:33:55,440
run to. 
US. 

1483
01:33:56,360 --> 01:34:00,120
And and if that's where he's 
competing with these other guys,

1484
01:34:00,240 --> 01:34:08,200
I don't like why if if that's no
matter what the name of the guy 

1485
01:34:08,200 --> 01:34:10,080
out there is, what their skill 
set is, you're just going to 

1486
01:34:10,080 --> 01:34:13,160
have them run deep anyway. 
I don't know why you would play 

1487
01:34:13,160 --> 01:34:17,000
Deonte Johnson. 
Yeah, so in playoff basketball, 

1488
01:34:17,000 --> 01:34:20,280
you're drafting today, you're 
taking your 10th pick in a 

1489
01:34:20,280 --> 01:34:22,400
Ravens. 
It's just not Deonte. 

1490
01:34:22,840 --> 01:34:28,160
Deonte or Nelson Aguilar. 
And I mean, I bet Nelson. 

1491
01:34:28,160 --> 01:34:31,800
Let me check Nelson Aguilar's 
there right run. 

1492
01:34:32,360 --> 01:34:40,160
So he's at 42% and seeing a very
similar amount of targets like 

1493
01:34:40,200 --> 01:34:42,880
am I allowed to take what's 
what's the number two guy's name

1494
01:34:42,880 --> 01:34:44,600
again? 
Am I that like? 

1495
01:34:44,600 --> 01:34:46,440
Is Bateman still there? 
No, Bateman. 

1496
01:34:46,440 --> 01:34:48,680
Somebody. 
Does he get literally every? 

1497
01:34:48,800 --> 01:34:51,040
Yeah, in literally every playoff
basketball draft. 

1498
01:34:51,040 --> 01:34:53,520
Here's how the Ravens go. 
It's Derrick Henry in the first 

1499
01:34:53,520 --> 01:34:56,040
round, Lamar Jackson in the 
second round, Zay Flowers in 

1500
01:34:56,040 --> 01:34:57,440
either the second or the third 
round. 

1501
01:34:58,000 --> 01:34:59,880
And then people wait and wait 
and wait. 

1502
01:35:00,520 --> 01:35:03,800
And then like Mark Andrews will 
usually go in like the 5th. 

1503
01:35:04,240 --> 01:35:07,880
And then inexplicably, someone's
like Rashad Bateman. 

1504
01:35:07,880 --> 01:35:11,240
And this takes Rashad Bateman 
way too early. 

1505
01:35:12,400 --> 01:35:15,720
But yes, that is he, he, he 
definitely goes and he goes. 

1506
01:35:15,720 --> 01:35:21,280
So so likely so you can get 
luckily instead of them and 

1507
01:35:21,280 --> 01:35:24,600
Deonte. 
Likely goes before Deonte's 

1508
01:35:24,600 --> 01:35:28,080
undrafted. 
Likely gets drafted, but yes you

1509
01:35:28,080 --> 01:35:30,000
could very. 
Very reasonably, yeah. 

1510
01:35:30,000 --> 01:35:38,600
I, I mean, I don't, I, I, I 
think I don't like, I don't see 

1511
01:35:38,600 --> 01:35:42,800
like a compelling reason for 
Deonte's route to, to, to 

1512
01:35:42,800 --> 01:35:45,960
increase a lot. 
And so I would need to see that 

1513
01:35:45,960 --> 01:35:48,200
happen before I consider him 
draftable. 

1514
01:35:49,000 --> 01:35:52,520
Deonte Johnson or Tylen Wallace.
Oh Jesus. 

1515
01:35:54,600 --> 01:36:00,760
I mean, I'm probably not 
dropping either of those guys. 

1516
01:36:01,040 --> 01:36:04,520
Right, Yeah, I I would not 
either, but yeah, did I? 

1517
01:36:04,520 --> 01:36:07,680
I felt like we we should talk 
about it, though, just on the on

1518
01:36:07,680 --> 01:36:11,160
the Deonte watch, seeing as he 
gets integrated into the Ravens 

1519
01:36:11,160 --> 01:36:15,520
offense. 
But all right, those are all the

1520
01:36:15,520 --> 01:36:17,000
notes I had. 
Did you have anyone else you 

1521
01:36:17,000 --> 01:36:18,160
wanted to talk about on this 
chart? 

1522
01:36:18,160 --> 01:36:23,560
Draco. 
Oh, Draco. 

1523
01:36:23,560 --> 01:36:26,200
Draco already out. 
He's out of here already. 

1524
01:36:27,480 --> 01:36:29,760
Well, I guess I will. 
I'll close this up. 

1525
01:36:29,840 --> 01:36:33,040
I I would assume Draco's gonna 
be back here to say goodbye to 

1526
01:36:33,040 --> 01:36:34,640
you lovely people in just a 
second. 

1527
01:36:34,640 --> 01:36:39,000
But thank you for sticking with 
us here and making it all the 

1528
01:36:39,000 --> 01:36:42,360
way through our Week 11 episode 
of Stat Chasing. 

1529
01:36:42,680 --> 01:36:45,680
I believe this is a record 
setting episode for our shortest

1530
01:36:45,680 --> 01:36:50,560
one of the season, but I hope 
that you still found some useful

1531
01:36:50,560 --> 01:36:54,560
analysis and Nuggets to take 
away here as you head into Week 

1532
01:36:54,560 --> 01:37:00,160
12 and get ready. 
So with that, I will go ahead 

1533
01:37:00,160 --> 01:37:04,840
and wrap us up and we will see 
you here next week. 

1534
01:37:18,000 --> 01:37:20,120
Maybe Draco's power went out or 
something.