1 00:00:12,700 --> 00:00:18,200 What is up everyone? Welcome to week, 14 stat, 2 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:24,600 chasing at week, 14 coming up, here we are close to the thick 3 00:00:24,600 --> 00:00:27,700 of the playoffs. People have either started their 4 00:00:27,700 --> 00:00:31,700 playoff one or more. Hoping to continue their playoff 5 00:00:31,700 --> 00:00:33,400 run. If you are continuing. 6 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:36,200 Congratulations. If you've made the playoffs, 7 00:00:36,300 --> 00:00:38,900 congrats to you as well. If you haven't, hopefully, you 8 00:00:38,908 --> 00:00:43,100 can still give you some relevant tidbits. 9 00:00:43,100 --> 00:00:49,300 If you're playing DFS this season or are going to play any 10 00:00:49,700 --> 00:00:53,900 of the playoff contest coming up, but my name is Sam hopin. 11 00:00:53,900 --> 00:00:59,100 I am your host for the show. If you haven't watched before. 12 00:00:59,100 --> 00:01:02,400 Thank you for tuning in. Is the show were all be going 13 00:01:02,400 --> 00:01:05,200 through. Many of the key stats and 14 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:08,800 metrics that I think are important to help lay the 15 00:01:08,800 --> 00:01:10,300 foundation. For understanding. 16 00:01:10,300 --> 00:01:14,300 What happened this past week. It's pretty much the start of my 17 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:19,200 research for the week to understand what happened and try 18 00:01:19,200 --> 00:01:25,500 to explain what might happen in the upcoming week and hope to do 19 00:01:25,500 --> 00:01:27,700 the same for you. But before I get into the 20 00:01:27,700 --> 00:01:30,000 details, going to walk through again. 21 00:01:30,200 --> 00:01:34,300 Quickly, the stats that I'll be using on the show today. 22 00:01:34,300 --> 00:01:37,300 So if you are new, you understand, what each of the 23 00:01:37,300 --> 00:01:41,100 stats, I'm referring to our from PFF. 24 00:01:41,100 --> 00:01:46,400 I get all of my routes data. So that's any metric related to 25 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:49,700 routes that started to grow up run anything like that. 26 00:01:50,400 --> 00:01:54,100 I also get their expected fantasy points from their is 27 00:01:54,100 --> 00:01:58,400 well, which is a model built that weights Opportunity by the 28 00:01:58,400 --> 00:02:00,100 line of scrimmage. I use this. 29 00:02:00,200 --> 00:02:05,500 Primarily as a measure of usage and this is not to be confused 30 00:02:05,500 --> 00:02:09,300 with projected fantasy points. This is what a player would 31 00:02:09,300 --> 00:02:12,500 expect to get given. The sort of workload, he was 32 00:02:12,500 --> 00:02:17,600 given and the opportunity, the number of opportunities and 33 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:22,800 where those opportunities came. From the NFL play by play data 34 00:02:22,800 --> 00:02:25,900 is where I get the majority of my stats. 35 00:02:25,900 --> 00:02:29,700 From NFL faster, I get area rugs from there which is the 36 00:02:29,700 --> 00:02:31,900 distance, the ball travels in the air before it gets to a 37 00:02:31,900 --> 00:02:35,300 receiver. Part of that is Whopper which is 38 00:02:35,300 --> 00:02:38,600 weighted opportunity rating. That's a metric that Josh firms 39 00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:43,100 when I created that weights area of share and Target share for a 40 00:02:43,108 --> 00:02:46,900 player. Also use racer which is receiver 41 00:02:46,900 --> 00:02:49,300 are conversion ratio, that's receiving yards. 42 00:02:49,500 --> 00:02:52,500 Yes. Excuse me, / area, ards. 43 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:55,900 And that's essentially a receivers ability to convert are 44 00:02:55,900 --> 00:02:59,400 yards into actual yards as a sign of efficiency. 45 00:03:01,100 --> 00:03:05,100 Excuse me on the flipside have Paster which is passing air 46 00:03:05,100 --> 00:03:09,700 conversion ratio, passing hours. / passing are regards and shows 47 00:03:09,700 --> 00:03:13,200 how well quarterbacks or his receivers are converting areas 48 00:03:13,200 --> 00:03:17,200 in the actual yards. Four quarterbacks I have 49 00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:20,900 entrusted yards per attempt which is yards per attempt. 50 00:03:20,900 --> 00:03:24,600 But weights it with interceptions and touchdowns 51 00:03:24,600 --> 00:03:26,800 giving a bonus for touchdowns and taking away four 52 00:03:26,800 --> 00:03:30,500 interceptions. I also use pass rate over 53 00:03:30,500 --> 00:03:34,900 expectation and completion percentage over expectation. 54 00:03:34,900 --> 00:03:39,000 Pete, Pastor no transportation is at the team level and that is 55 00:03:39,000 --> 00:03:43,700 the difference between a team's expected pass rate and their 56 00:03:43,700 --> 00:03:48,800 actual pass rate. And then cpoe is the difference 57 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:52,900 between a quarterback's expected, completion percentage 58 00:03:52,900 --> 00:03:54,600 in his actual completion percentage. 59 00:03:54,600 --> 00:03:59,100 And those are two models built into the player. 60 00:03:59,700 --> 00:04:02,500 Excuse me, the play-by-play data in the NFL. 61 00:04:03,700 --> 00:04:07,800 Finally have a couple of stats popularized by been Gretsch 62 00:04:07,900 --> 00:04:09,600 himself. I have waited targets per 63 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:13,500 outrun, primarily use this for the wide receiver position. 64 00:04:13,500 --> 00:04:17,899 And this is targets per route run, but weights are yards and 65 00:04:17,899 --> 00:04:23,600 the distance that a target comes up and includes a standard 66 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:26,800 scalar as well. And also have high value touches 67 00:04:26,800 --> 00:04:29,100 which is a running back specific metric. 68 00:04:29,400 --> 00:04:34,000 This looks at carries inside the 10 yard line and any optional 69 00:04:34,000 --> 00:04:40,000 also refer to green zone touches which is a touch inside, the 70 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:45,400 opponent's 10-yard line, whether it's a catch or a Carrie. 71 00:04:45,800 --> 00:04:49,100 So I'm going to go through these position by position. 72 00:04:49,100 --> 00:04:52,000 As I always do, we'll have a couple of Team specific 73 00:04:52,400 --> 00:04:58,500 situations to talk through, at the end of a reminder, to 74 00:04:58,500 --> 00:05:00,200 subscribe to the YouTube channel. 75 00:05:00,900 --> 00:05:06,600 Like this video, become a member become a member to the ship 76 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:10,600 chasing channel for just. Five dollars a month to get live 77 00:05:10,600 --> 00:05:14,700 access to this show, be able to access the Discord, which is And 78 00:05:14,700 --> 00:05:18,700 a bunch of other benefits and a final shot out to at change 79 00:05:18,700 --> 00:05:22,000 College on Twitter who has been doing a great job. 80 00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:27,500 Helping us out with timestamps for each of the positions and 81 00:05:27,800 --> 00:05:31,000 team conversations. I got a lot of questions in the 82 00:05:31,000 --> 00:05:36,600 Discord this week about specific items and situations that they 83 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:40,700 wanted me to cover today. So if you're so inclined to just 84 00:05:40,700 --> 00:05:45,800 skip ahead to those, you're free to do that with the timestamps. 85 00:05:48,000 --> 00:05:56,200 Alright, enough of the details. It's time to get into the 86 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:59,800 important stuff and I'm pulling up the truck here. 87 00:05:59,800 --> 00:06:03,400 Hopefully you're watching this on YouTube and helps to be able 88 00:06:03,400 --> 00:06:09,500 to see the chart and understand where players are on said chart 89 00:06:10,300 --> 00:06:14,800 as I talk through them. This first one is for the 90 00:06:14,800 --> 00:06:18,800 quarterback position on the x-axis have adjusted yards per 91 00:06:18,800 --> 00:06:22,600 attempt on the y-axis have touchdown rate. 92 00:06:23,100 --> 00:06:28,000 And then the size of a player's bubble is his rushing yards per 93 00:06:28,000 --> 00:06:31,900 game again, looking for efficiency here because that's 94 00:06:32,300 --> 00:06:36,500 primarily what drives fantasy production at the quarterback 95 00:06:36,500 --> 00:06:39,500 position. Volume is not as big of an 96 00:06:39,500 --> 00:06:43,500 indicator as it is for the other positions. 97 00:06:43,500 --> 00:06:49,200 And unfortunately, someone who hasn't been as efficient lately 98 00:06:49,300 --> 00:06:51,600 is Lamar Jackson. You can see him on the chart 99 00:06:51,600 --> 00:06:55,300 here way. Way over to the right, has an 100 00:06:55,300 --> 00:06:58,500 adjusted yards per attempt at around four and a half yards. 101 00:06:58,500 --> 00:07:04,300 Still, an average 4% touchdown rate over the last five weeks. 102 00:07:04,300 --> 00:07:09,000 But he's, he's just been a little off and you can see it if 103 00:07:09,000 --> 00:07:12,800 you've actually watch the games, I know I've been watching the 104 00:07:12,800 --> 00:07:14,900 games, not everyone has, that's okay. 105 00:07:16,200 --> 00:07:21,000 But anyway, he just doesn't look the same over the past. 106 00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:26,100 For weeks, he is averaging, excuse me. 107 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:30,000 Yeah, over the last four weeks, he's averaging two interceptions 108 00:07:30,000 --> 00:07:32,000 per game. This is since the by me, he 109 00:07:32,000 --> 00:07:36,000 missed the one game due to the illness. 110 00:07:37,900 --> 00:07:41,000 So, we thrown eight interceptions since then, which 111 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:45,500 is not great. As about has six touchdowns in 112 00:07:45,500 --> 00:07:50,400 that span, as well as still throwing 230 passing yards per 113 00:07:50,400 --> 00:07:53,500 game and rushing it. For 71 yards per game. 114 00:07:53,500 --> 00:07:57,800 So that's really good. And was what's keeping his floor 115 00:07:58,400 --> 00:08:02,900 relatively high? But since the by he has three of 116 00:08:02,900 --> 00:08:07,100 his four games, he's recorded fewer than 18 fantasy points. 117 00:08:07,500 --> 00:08:13,500 He was below that Mark, just once in the first seven games of 118 00:08:13,500 --> 00:08:18,100 his season and he had a spike week in week 9, scoring 30 and a 119 00:08:18,108 --> 00:08:22,200 half fantasy points. But since then, it's been Rather 120 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:27,200 disappointing for someone who you likely would have been 121 00:08:27,700 --> 00:08:32,299 relying on from a fantasy perspective in weeks 2 through 122 00:08:32,299 --> 00:08:38,900 6, he had a positive cpoe. And since week 7, it's been - he 123 00:08:38,900 --> 00:08:45,300 has a - cpoe in every single game since week 7 with a low at 124 00:08:45,300 --> 00:08:52,000 - 13% in week in week 7. But again, the rushing yards are 125 00:08:52,000 --> 00:08:56,800 helping. He's averaging about 15, tsunami 126 00:08:56,800 --> 00:09:02,600 13 carries per game since the, by has Kari counts of 20 1814, 127 00:09:02,600 --> 00:09:07,100 and ate his last four games, which is about on par with what 128 00:09:07,100 --> 00:09:14,900 he was doing in the first seven weeks of the, the season and Not 129 00:09:14,900 --> 00:09:18,100 that this impacts his efficiency at all. 130 00:09:18,100 --> 00:09:20,300 It certainly, impacts is volume a little bit from a passing 131 00:09:20,300 --> 00:09:25,300 perspective, but before the, by the Baltic, the Baltimore Ravens 132 00:09:25,300 --> 00:09:27,400 have password over expectation of zero percent. 133 00:09:27,400 --> 00:09:31,700 So, they were right about at League average, which is was 134 00:09:31,700 --> 00:09:34,600 good. It was higher than what it had 135 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:36,100 been in Baltimore in previous years. 136 00:09:36,100 --> 00:09:40,800 But since the by they are at negative four percent and the 137 00:09:40,800 --> 00:09:44,900 starting to lean a lot more on the Ground game. 138 00:09:44,900 --> 00:09:48,400 It seems like they are starting to trust Devonta Freeman and 139 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:53,700 latavius Murray a little bit more which it's not necessarily 140 00:09:53,700 --> 00:09:56,800 something I would be doing but it's what they're doing. 141 00:09:56,800 --> 00:09:58,900 Nonetheless they're leaving back towards the run. 142 00:09:58,900 --> 00:10:03,200 So the run the Run game will continue to keep Jackson's floor 143 00:10:03,200 --> 00:10:08,300 high but I think to really explode and capture that 144 00:10:08,300 --> 00:10:11,600 ceiling, he's going to need to improve his passing down the 145 00:10:11,600 --> 00:10:23,500 stretch here. on the flip side, a player whose rushing. 146 00:10:24,900 --> 00:10:28,300 Carried him. This past week, Kyler Murray 147 00:10:28,300 --> 00:10:31,100 back in action against the Bears. 148 00:10:31,100 --> 00:10:35,400 Had a season High ten Russia's against them. 149 00:10:35,400 --> 00:10:40,400 So certainly there was no no concern about trying to keep him 150 00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:46,000 healthy from a Russian perspective and that helped him 151 00:10:46,000 --> 00:10:49,500 he had in the game. He had 59 rushing yards. 152 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:54,700 Excuse me, two rushing touchdowns so That on it in 153 00:10:54,700 --> 00:10:58,300 itself is 18 points from a fantasy perspective, so he could 154 00:10:58,300 --> 00:11:01,700 have done, nothing else from the passing game and had a totally 155 00:11:01,700 --> 00:11:05,200 solid day, but still through for 123 yards and two touchdowns, 156 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:10,000 only threw the ball 15 times. And I think that was just a 157 00:11:10,008 --> 00:11:13,200 function of the game that they were playing. 158 00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:16,700 They really didn't need to against the Bears who struggled 159 00:11:16,700 --> 00:11:20,000 to get anything going on offense. 160 00:11:20,600 --> 00:11:25,200 I think that's primarily a concern for the past Textures in 161 00:11:25,200 --> 00:11:31,000 Arizona and DeAndre Hopkins did have the one longest touchdown, 162 00:11:31,000 --> 00:11:33,900 but I've tried that didn't really do much, so had a solid 163 00:11:33,900 --> 00:11:38,000 game in his game back, but in any case, Getting back to 164 00:11:38,000 --> 00:11:40,900 Kyler's. He Didn't Throw It particularly 165 00:11:40,900 --> 00:11:44,100 deep either. So it might have just been a 166 00:11:44,100 --> 00:11:50,200 game where You know they said hey we don't need to do a lot to 167 00:11:50,200 --> 00:11:53,000 win this game against the Bears. Our defense is playing 168 00:11:53,600 --> 00:11:58,500 tremendously right now. Murray had a 3.9 average depth 169 00:11:58,500 --> 00:12:03,300 of Target in the game. This past week before that his 170 00:12:03,300 --> 00:12:07,800 season low was seven yards in a single game. 171 00:12:07,800 --> 00:12:14,500 So I'm not worried about Kyler's, passing volume going 172 00:12:14,500 --> 00:12:18,300 down by any means. Is because again, he can, he is 173 00:12:19,100 --> 00:12:23,500 pretty much the goal line. Back for that offense, if it's 174 00:12:23,500 --> 00:12:26,400 not James Conner. And and that showed this past 175 00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:30,600 week, he does still have a positive cpoe on the season. 176 00:12:30,600 --> 00:12:34,900 Has a positive cpoe and every single game this season truly 177 00:12:34,900 --> 00:12:39,700 playing it in MVP level. When he is in the lineup when 178 00:12:40,500 --> 00:12:45,500 the with snow and Kyler was out those 33 games. 179 00:12:45,500 --> 00:12:47,400 I believe it's three. And then they have their buy-in 180 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:50,600 there as well. So you missed four weeks but in 181 00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:53,700 those three games Arizona's password over expectation, was 182 00:12:53,700 --> 00:13:00,100 at 2% with Kyler in the lineup. It was at about 1% so they 183 00:13:00,100 --> 00:13:04,100 actually were a tad more aggressive, throwing the ball 184 00:13:04,100 --> 00:13:10,900 with without Kyler and part of that I think was the game 185 00:13:10,900 --> 00:13:15,200 situations they were in for, for some of them but in any case, 186 00:13:15,208 --> 00:13:19,100 it's good to see. See that it didn't completely 187 00:13:19,100 --> 00:13:23,200 bottomed out without Kyler and they're still comfortable 188 00:13:24,100 --> 00:13:27,800 passing the ball regardless of whose understand you could see 189 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:32,600 collar up here, just breaking the scale on the chart here for 190 00:13:32,600 --> 00:13:37,400 the week, 13. Excuse me, production chart 191 00:13:37,400 --> 00:13:40,200 here, at a great, it just does portents and touchdown, right? 192 00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:43,800 That that's what happens when you only throw like 15 times, 193 00:13:45,100 --> 00:13:47,300 Matt Jones didn't make it on the chart because you only through 194 00:13:47,300 --> 00:13:50,900 it three times, which I don't believe I'll be talking about 195 00:13:50,900 --> 00:13:53,000 later. But that game was just really 196 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:55,600 funny. Gardner Minshew showing up here, 197 00:13:55,600 --> 00:14:01,800 obviously, that was against the Jets so sort of easy to have a 198 00:14:01,800 --> 00:14:06,400 solid game against them. The Eagles are entering their by 199 00:14:06,800 --> 00:14:11,500 this week and then forget who they play coming out of the by 200 00:14:11,900 --> 00:14:16,300 but still to be determined if he'll be the starter coming out 201 00:14:16,300 --> 00:14:19,300 of it. The last the one other note that 202 00:14:19,300 --> 00:14:21,200 I wanted to mention at the quarterback position is that 203 00:14:21,200 --> 00:14:26,500 Justin Herbert in their game. This week had a Tevin seven or 204 00:14:26,500 --> 00:14:29,900 ten point seven, yard average depth of Target which was his 205 00:14:29,900 --> 00:14:33,000 deepest, a dot in a single game this season. 206 00:14:33,000 --> 00:14:36,800 It was only the third time. He's been over nine yards in a 207 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:42,300 game as previous high, was nine and a half yards and I don't 208 00:14:42,300 --> 00:14:46,500 think he needs to be throwing it that far every single game. 209 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:51,900 But if it's at the high eights or low nines, that's where he's 210 00:14:51,900 --> 00:14:53,800 going to Excel and truly hit a ceiling. 211 00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:58,400 It certainly helped Mike Williams a little bit jail, 212 00:14:58,400 --> 00:15:03,300 inviting, some of the other tertiary pieces in that offense 213 00:15:03,300 --> 00:15:06,300 but Herbert just had A phenomenal day. 214 00:15:06,300 --> 00:15:10,900 Made some of the most impressive throws that I've seen all season 215 00:15:10,900 --> 00:15:14,500 which he, he can certainly do week in and week out. 216 00:15:14,500 --> 00:15:17,800 So there's a, there's some concern. 217 00:15:17,800 --> 00:15:21,900 If Keenan Allen is going to play this upcoming week, he was put 218 00:15:21,900 --> 00:15:25,500 on the covid reserved lifts list, but I am pretty sure he's 219 00:15:25,500 --> 00:15:28,500 back sedated. So he still has a chance to play 220 00:15:28,500 --> 00:15:32,400 this upcoming Sunday, which might be a big loss to Herbert 221 00:15:32,400 --> 00:15:35,700 but they play the Giants. So I'm not not all that 222 00:15:35,700 --> 00:15:46,200 concerned either way. All right, get it on to the 223 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:49,300 running back position. The most important position in 224 00:15:49,300 --> 00:15:52,500 all fantasy football, some would say, maybe not here. 225 00:15:52,700 --> 00:15:58,200 But yeah, a case on the chart here on the x-axis have rushing 226 00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:03,400 expected points on the y-axis have receiving expected points 227 00:16:03,700 --> 00:16:07,300 and then the size of a player's bubble is his fantasy points 228 00:16:07,300 --> 00:16:09,500 over expectation. That's F po. 229 00:16:09,900 --> 00:16:15,800 As all refer to in, this is all these are all per game numbers 230 00:16:16,100 --> 00:16:21,200 as well and going to kick off the running back position 231 00:16:21,300 --> 00:16:27,900 looking at the Raiders running backs because Kenyan Drake is 232 00:16:27,900 --> 00:16:31,200 now out for the season has an ankle injury. 233 00:16:32,300 --> 00:16:36,900 And I think this opens up Josh Jacobs to and someone pointed 234 00:16:36,900 --> 00:16:40,400 this out on Twitter. I think put some almost in a 235 00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:45,000 notch, a Harris roll through the end of the season. 236 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:51,200 Now we'll see if other running backs get involved without 237 00:16:51,300 --> 00:16:55,200 drink, maybe jail or shark comes back or they for some reason, 238 00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:58,300 get paid and Barbara more involved but since the week 239 00:16:58,300 --> 00:16:59,200 seven. Bye. 240 00:17:00,100 --> 00:17:07,900 For the Raiders, Josh Jacobs is commanding. 70% of the backfield 241 00:17:07,900 --> 00:17:13,500 Touches for the Raiders has an average of five point, eight 242 00:17:13,500 --> 00:17:16,300 targets per game, 12.8 carries per game. 243 00:17:16,300 --> 00:17:19,500 So he's averaging over 18 and a half opportunities. 244 00:17:19,500 --> 00:17:26,599 Per game, has a very solid 6.2 high-value touches per game. 245 00:17:27,599 --> 00:17:32,000 And thanks to all that is averaging 15 PPR points per 246 00:17:32,000 --> 00:17:35,400 game. On top of, that is running a 247 00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:41,000 route on 52% of Dropbox, which is really solid for a running 248 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,900 bag. You can see here on the chart 249 00:17:43,900 --> 00:17:47,100 that he is, fourth in receiving expected fantasy points per 250 00:17:47,100 --> 00:17:56,700 game, Over the last five weeks, he's averaging. 9.6, receiving a 251 00:17:56,700 --> 00:17:59,400 people game which is just phenomenal. 252 00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,600 Like, you don't see that that often obviously. 253 00:18:04,300 --> 00:18:09,000 Yeah, it's crazy to see Leonard fournette up there on the chart 254 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:12,200 as well. But in any case, I mean, this is 255 00:18:12,200 --> 00:18:15,400 higher than guys like like JD mckissack, like, Cordero, 256 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:19,100 Cordarrelle, Patterson, like nausea Harris, and that's the 257 00:18:19,100 --> 00:18:26,200 stuff of work horse, running backs for sure in week. 13 in 258 00:18:26,208 --> 00:18:30,400 this again was obviously with Kenyan Drake leaving a little 259 00:18:30,400 --> 00:18:35,200 bit early. Jacob's had a season High 85% 260 00:18:35,300 --> 00:18:40,400 snap share, he had 22 opportunities, which is his 261 00:18:40,400 --> 00:18:43,600 second highest of the season coming after his most of the 262 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:47,900 season with 26 and week, 12 and obviously, two straight games 263 00:18:47,900 --> 00:18:52,600 with over 20 opportunities, ran a route on a season High 71 264 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:56,900 percent of drop backs and has been above 50% the last three 265 00:18:56,900 --> 00:19:01,100 weeks. Also had the second most high 266 00:19:01,100 --> 00:19:06,500 value touches on the week with 10 and week, 13 and had one 267 00:19:06,900 --> 00:19:10,500 green zone touch. And Jacobs has at least one 268 00:19:10,500 --> 00:19:16,100 green zone touch in all, but one game this season and week 11 was 269 00:19:16,100 --> 00:19:22,900 the one time that he didn't So this is really, really good 270 00:19:22,900 --> 00:19:27,200 news. If you have Josh Jacobs, I 271 00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:30,600 don't, I'm not going to touch. I think Kenyan Drake was 272 00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:34,900 interesting at times for PPR leagues, because he was 273 00:19:34,900 --> 00:19:37,600 averaging three and a half targets per game. 274 00:19:38,600 --> 00:19:40,800 I think Jalen. Richard is the most likely 275 00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:46,200 person to step into that role, but the hope is that Jacobs just 276 00:19:46,200 --> 00:19:51,400 takes over all of that. And becomes the Workhorse that 277 00:19:51,700 --> 00:19:53,400 we've seen him. Be. 278 00:19:56,000 --> 00:20:01,500 Staying with the AFC West, we got to see what a Workhorse roll 279 00:20:01,500 --> 00:20:07,200 looks like on Javonte Williams and Christian asking in the 280 00:20:07,208 --> 00:20:12,000 Discord of Williams production will sustain when Melvin Gordon 281 00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:14,000 returns. And I'm not going to sit here 282 00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:18,600 and tell you that, I think it will because we don't you know I 283 00:20:18,600 --> 00:20:22,300 it's not go I don't think it's going to stay what it was. 284 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:29,500 In week 13 going forward because Melvin Gordon is still solid. 285 00:20:29,500 --> 00:20:32,100 Like he's put up some solid games, this year both from a 286 00:20:32,100 --> 00:20:35,900 fantasy and a real life perspective and I think it could 287 00:20:35,900 --> 00:20:41,800 be an Aaron Jones, JJ Dillon type situation in this first 288 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,700 game. Back for Melvin, Gordon in that 289 00:20:44,700 --> 00:20:47,700 game. Aaron Jones. 290 00:20:47,700 --> 00:20:51,500 I think had about ten opportunities and JJ Dillon had 291 00:20:51,500 --> 00:20:54,700 like 20 or something like that and leave it as the game against 292 00:20:54,700 --> 00:21:00,400 the Rams actually. And it was a situation where the 293 00:21:01,000 --> 00:21:03,600 Bronco or excuse me, the Packers were up. 294 00:21:04,600 --> 00:21:08,300 So, big against the Rams that it really didn't make sense for 295 00:21:08,300 --> 00:21:14,500 them to push Aaron Jones to get more touches, but if my memory 296 00:21:14,500 --> 00:21:18,200 serves me correctly, the Broncos, played the Jets in week 297 00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:20,300 14. So it could be a very, very 298 00:21:20,300 --> 00:21:23,800 similar situation to that where they ride Javonte Williams, 299 00:21:24,600 --> 00:21:29,700 given he is healthy but want to talk quickly about the week that 300 00:21:29,700 --> 00:21:35,900 William had without Melvin Gordon, because and before I get 301 00:21:35,900 --> 00:21:41,300 to that, it's You know what? Let's talk about the week that 302 00:21:41,300 --> 00:21:49,800 he had, so he had 32 opportunities had Over I believe 303 00:21:49,800 --> 00:21:52,600 over 150 total yards. He had 23 carries and nine 304 00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:56,500 targets. Again, Mike Boone was mildly 305 00:21:56,500 --> 00:22:00,700 involved, he had five touches, but Williams ran a route. 306 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:07,600 I'm sixty-four percent of drop backs, had 11 rushing and 11 307 00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:11,900 receiving expected. Fantasy points had six fantasy 308 00:22:11,900 --> 00:22:16,200 points over expectation. Because again, like I the 309 00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:23,000 scoring certainly helped him. But have seven high-value 310 00:22:23,000 --> 00:22:27,300 touches got the loan green zone, touch for the Broncos in that 311 00:22:27,300 --> 00:22:31,600 game. Just truly a remarkable game for 312 00:22:31,600 --> 00:22:36,700 Williams who is a shining star. But what I wanted to mention is 313 00:22:36,700 --> 00:22:40,900 that things were starting to turn a little bit in this 314 00:22:40,900 --> 00:22:44,300 backfield before Gordon got hurt. 315 00:22:44,300 --> 00:22:50,800 So, in every single game from week 5 through week 9, so Five 316 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:54,900 straight weeks, Melvin Gordon had out snapped javontae 317 00:22:54,900 --> 00:22:59,200 Williams and then in weeks, 10 and huichol 12. 318 00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:07,600 Williams was above Gordon at 57% to 43%, in both cases. 319 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,900 So there was already sort of a change. 320 00:23:11,900 --> 00:23:14,100 Again, big are Changing of the Guard if you will. 321 00:23:14,100 --> 00:23:18,000 Now Gordon, didn't did end up having more opportunities in 322 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:24,800 both of those games. So he, he was still involved, 323 00:23:25,200 --> 00:23:29,700 but William still got more high-value touches in those 324 00:23:29,700 --> 00:23:34,400 games, you had four and week 10, 6, and week 12, while Gordon had 325 00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:39,400 only three in each of those two games Williams, this past week 326 00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:44,000 had a, like I said, a seven high-value touches, which is a 327 00:23:44,900 --> 00:23:49,900 season high for him. And his routes run rate has been 328 00:23:49,900 --> 00:23:54,500 above 55 percent in each of the last three weeks before. 329 00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:59,400 Week 10, it had never gotten above 45 percent. 330 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:05,600 So that's a pretty drastic switch to see him getting all of 331 00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:09,200 that past and work the final thing I'll say is that again 332 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:14,700 they pretty much split the green zone touches in weeks nine 333 00:24:15,300 --> 00:24:21,000 through 12, but we've seen in other scenarios That season and 334 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:27,400 season pass about the post by Ricky A bomb, and it sort of 335 00:24:27,400 --> 00:24:29,800 looked like it was going that way and week, 12, and then 336 00:24:30,300 --> 00:24:33,100 Gordon gets hurt. So, it's not, there's obviously 337 00:24:33,100 --> 00:24:40,300 little Credence to getting more workload in week 13 but Still 338 00:24:40,300 --> 00:24:43,500 very, very encouraging. And if you held onto Williams, 339 00:24:43,500 --> 00:24:47,000 this long, you are hopefully going to be rewarded for the 340 00:24:47,000 --> 00:24:59,400 next several weeks. Okay, the next situation I'm 341 00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:02,600 going to talk about, I said, I wasn't talking about this game, 342 00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:05,700 but I forgot. I wanted to talk about the 343 00:25:06,300 --> 00:25:10,900 Patriots running back. Someone had asked about this in 344 00:25:10,900 --> 00:25:14,800 the Discord. All these caveat here, that 345 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:20,500 Damien Harris did, leave the game early last night, and the 346 00:25:20,500 --> 00:25:24,700 total numbers for these players are going to be very skewed 347 00:25:24,700 --> 00:25:29,300 because All of the Patriots. I don't remember exactly how 348 00:25:29,300 --> 00:25:34,800 many times they ran and I think it was like 40 some 45 times or 349 00:25:34,800 --> 00:25:37,300 something like that. Only passed the ball three 350 00:25:37,300 --> 00:25:39,000 times. They were hell-bent on running 351 00:25:39,400 --> 00:25:42,700 didn't even want to give Matt Jones, an opportunity to throw 352 00:25:42,700 --> 00:25:46,700 the ball. But in any case, we'll look at 353 00:25:46,700 --> 00:25:52,500 this backfield in the scope of the last three weeks because 354 00:25:52,500 --> 00:25:55,800 those are the three weeks that Damien Harris has been healthy. 355 00:25:55,900 --> 00:25:59,400 And I say that he missed week 10, and then it's been back for 356 00:25:59,400 --> 00:26:03,100 weeks, 11, 12 and 13. They enter their by as well. 357 00:26:03,100 --> 00:26:07,200 So I think it's likely that Harris is back in suited up for 358 00:26:07,200 --> 00:26:14,900 them in week 15 but in any case the split had gotten a lot 359 00:26:14,900 --> 00:26:20,600 closer between Stephenson and Harris for those three weeks. 360 00:26:21,500 --> 00:26:24,200 Actually Stevenson. And again, this is where some of 361 00:26:24,200 --> 00:26:28,800 the Tobias comes in with the game yesterday, Stephenson has a 362 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:33,000 51%. Share of the backfield touches, 363 00:26:33,000 --> 00:26:40,500 Harris only x 36 and that's because Stevenson had 24 364 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:45,100 opportunities in the game. Last night, he had 25 in the 365 00:26:45,100 --> 00:26:48,900 game in week 10, that Damien Harris missed. 366 00:26:48,900 --> 00:26:53,300 So again, if Harris was to miss time, then for sure, you're 367 00:26:53,300 --> 00:26:56,100 plugging in Stevenson into your lineup. 368 00:26:56,100 --> 00:27:00,200 And I think early on in the game last night, Harris was getting a 369 00:27:00,208 --> 00:27:04,000 lot of run pun intended and people were sort of wondering 370 00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:07,000 what happened to Stevenson because he had been getting a 371 00:27:07,000 --> 00:27:10,600 little bit more involved was, but was just out of the 372 00:27:10,600 --> 00:27:18,100 question, but Stevenson had a season High 63 percent snap 373 00:27:18,100 --> 00:27:23,100 chair, which is the largest single largest, snap share for a 374 00:27:23,100 --> 00:27:25,900 Patriots, winning back this season. 375 00:27:26,500 --> 00:27:29,000 Damien Harris was at 61% in week four. 376 00:27:29,100 --> 00:27:34,200 But has not been above 40% in the last four weeks. 377 00:27:36,100 --> 00:27:41,100 And Brandon Bolden is mildly involved. 378 00:27:41,100 --> 00:27:47,700 He hasn't had, he said fewer than 10 Tartan opportunities in 379 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:51,800 all but one game this season. So he's just sort of going to be 380 00:27:51,800 --> 00:27:57,400 a thorn in the side of both of these guys primarily Stevenson 381 00:27:57,700 --> 00:28:01,900 who is getting a little bit more of the passing down work. 382 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:07,500 Brandon Bolden Rena route and got one target. 383 00:28:07,900 --> 00:28:11,500 So had a solid 33% routes run rate, but again, they all have 384 00:28:11,500 --> 00:28:15,900 to be 3 times. The other thing to note here 385 00:28:15,900 --> 00:28:20,300 though is that Harrison Stevenson have essentially split 386 00:28:20,300 --> 00:28:27,400 the high-value touches the last three weeks and Stephenson just 387 00:28:27,400 --> 00:28:32,700 has yet to find the end zone, so that should help him as a -2.2 388 00:28:33,000 --> 00:28:37,300 fantasy points over expectation. So, the way I'm thinking about 389 00:28:37,500 --> 00:28:40,900 this situation is that, if Damon hairs plays, you're for sure 390 00:28:40,900 --> 00:28:45,200 playing Karis because they want to play him if he's healthy 391 00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:49,000 enough. And if he does play, Then 392 00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:52,800 Stevenson is probably a flex option and if Harris does not 393 00:28:52,800 --> 00:28:54,900 play them, Stevenson is for sure. 394 00:28:54,900 --> 00:29:00,000 Like an rb2, I do, I think Borden will take that many more 395 00:29:00,000 --> 00:29:07,400 opportunities from him, if he is the league back, So that's that 396 00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:15,400 situation going to move quickly. Now, to the Jaguars running 397 00:29:15,400 --> 00:29:20,500 backs here and had a bit of a weird situation, James Robinson, 398 00:29:20,500 --> 00:29:26,700 sort of got benched in this game and then came back late in the 399 00:29:26,700 --> 00:29:30,500 game, three of his five, Sydney, free of his eight carries, were 400 00:29:30,500 --> 00:29:33,800 in the final two minutes of the game when the Jaguars were 401 00:29:33,800 --> 00:29:39,400 trailing by 30 points. And And so on after Urban Meyer 402 00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:42,500 back, Daddy said there's a running back rotation and 403 00:29:42,500 --> 00:29:46,400 running back coach. Bernie Parmalee must have wanted 404 00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:48,700 to get Robinson a few more carries that point when I said 405 00:29:48,700 --> 00:29:52,000 that didn't seem wise Meyer Meyer said I didn't greet. 406 00:29:53,300 --> 00:29:57,700 So kind of weird situation Robinson. 407 00:29:57,700 --> 00:30:05,000 Had a 52% snap share in the game and hasn't been above 65 percent 408 00:30:05,200 --> 00:30:09,700 since week. When he was at 85% and he was at 409 00:30:09,700 --> 00:30:12,300 60% or above in 3 straight games. 410 00:30:12,300 --> 00:30:18,000 There, Meanwhile, Carlos Hyde was above 44%. 411 00:30:18,100 --> 00:30:22,900 Excuse me, was that 44% was above 30%. 412 00:30:24,400 --> 00:30:28,800 In a game in which Robinson was fully healthy for the first time 413 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:34,000 since week three. So Robinson was looking like the 414 00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,300 lead back. He had at least 15 opportunities 415 00:30:36,300 --> 00:30:40,700 and weeks, 10 through 12 that had only 12 this past week 416 00:30:41,500 --> 00:30:43,000 Robinson. Also had at least three 417 00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:44,900 high-value touches in those three weeks. 418 00:30:44,900 --> 00:30:50,500 Only had one this past week. And what's really locking down 419 00:30:50,900 --> 00:30:54,500 the green zone work? As well as it was averaging 420 00:30:54,500 --> 00:30:57,300 one-and-a-half. This whole season didn't have 421 00:30:57,300 --> 00:31:01,500 any this past week. Carlos Hyde that the loan the 422 00:31:01,500 --> 00:31:03,700 too long green zone, touches in that game. 423 00:31:03,700 --> 00:31:12,500 So it's it's hard to trust, it's hard to trust, overmyer shocker, 424 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:17,000 but You're for sure, still not going to start off side because 425 00:31:17,000 --> 00:31:20,900 the ceiling is so low. He's everything 4.4 expected 426 00:31:20,900 --> 00:31:26,800 points per game over his last for, but Robinson, I think you 427 00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:30,600 want to hear maybe some positive more positive, coach feet coming 428 00:31:30,600 --> 00:31:36,100 out of Myers mouth this week. And Just pray that things go 429 00:31:36,100 --> 00:31:41,200 back to normal with that situation Robinson hasn't also 430 00:31:41,200 --> 00:31:46,200 hasn't been above a 50% routes run rate since week 6. 431 00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:51,100 So his passing work has gone down a little bit as well. 432 00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:02,600 So got a question from couple final things on the running back 433 00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:05,700 position. Got a question from Nomar. 972 434 00:32:05,700 --> 00:32:10,900 in the Discord asking if James Conner keeps this workload with 435 00:32:10,900 --> 00:32:15,700 Chase Edmunds coming back. I don't think it does. 436 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:20,400 I think the big thing that will go away are the targets because 437 00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:24,900 Edmonds is such a good pass catching back he went from just 438 00:32:24,900 --> 00:32:29,000 one point two Targets per game. Without Edmund talks to me with 439 00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:35,600 Edmonds 24.3 without Edmonds and he said five more rushing 440 00:32:35,600 --> 00:32:39,000 attempts per game as well, but that'll drop down to, I think 441 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:44,500 about 12 and a half 13 per game which is not Terrible. 442 00:32:44,500 --> 00:32:48,700 And excuse me. He was being used more as a 443 00:32:49,900 --> 00:32:54,600 goal-line back. That Edmonds was. 444 00:32:54,600 --> 00:32:58,300 So that's the the hope is that the the touchdown Equity stays 445 00:32:58,300 --> 00:33:05,400 with With con sorry. David Montgomery, had 11, high 446 00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:09,500 value taxes in week. 13 net, laid all running back, so again, 447 00:33:09,500 --> 00:33:16,300 he's in a bell tower roll. Sony, Michelle was the guy for 448 00:33:16,700 --> 00:33:18,900 the Rams this week. There are hundreds and was 449 00:33:18,900 --> 00:33:22,700 active but was really only used for emergency situations. 450 00:33:22,700 --> 00:33:28,700 Michelle had played on 97% of snaps render out on 3141. 451 00:33:29,400 --> 00:33:33,700 Drop backs at 24 26, running back carries had all of the 452 00:33:33,700 --> 00:33:40,000 running back targets and had 54 yards on 12, carries against 453 00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:42,600 stack boxes, which is a term or Defenders. 454 00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:44,500 That's all from mr. John diggle. 455 00:33:44,500 --> 00:33:49,200 So, again, whichever one it's Michelle or it's Henderson. 456 00:33:49,200 --> 00:33:53,300 One of those two guys is going to be the Workhorse final thing. 457 00:33:54,300 --> 00:33:55,300 Kenny game. Well. 458 00:33:57,300 --> 00:34:00,500 Had 12 carries in the game against the Jets, but eight of 459 00:34:00,500 --> 00:34:04,800 his 12 carries were in the final eight plays of the game. 460 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:08,800 When Philly was in clock, killing a mode as been Gretsch 461 00:34:08,800 --> 00:34:15,400 pointed out his newsletter. Boston, Scott will also not 100% 462 00:34:15,600 --> 00:34:18,600 in this game. So that's a little bit. 463 00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,600 What led to gain Wells, big game. 464 00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:31,199 All right, the wide receiver position going to start this one 465 00:34:31,199 --> 00:34:36,800 here with the Bucks wide receivers because we now know 466 00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:42,600 that Antonio Brown is going to be out for at least the next two 467 00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:47,100 games, he is suspended for faking his vaccinations card. 468 00:34:48,699 --> 00:34:50,300 Or as vaccination, status, whatever it is. 469 00:34:50,300 --> 00:34:57,100 So the good thing is that we have a good split of games 470 00:34:57,100 --> 00:35:00,700 without Antonio Brown. And this is all coming from 471 00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:05,300 since week 7, Chris Coghlan with the big week this past week at 472 00:35:05,300 --> 00:35:10,900 17 targets. But my Kevin still had 10 473 00:35:10,900 --> 00:35:14,500 Targets in this game. They're both ever going to over 474 00:35:14,500 --> 00:35:21,500 seven targets per game since A bee has been out, have a nearly 475 00:35:21,500 --> 00:35:25,100 identical Whopper at right around 0.46. 476 00:35:25,100 --> 00:35:30,800 Godwin is slightly leaning in Target, share 24, percent to 18 477 00:35:30,800 --> 00:35:36,100 percent, but Evans has a 30% area are share compared to 20% 478 00:35:36,100 --> 00:35:42,000 the only two receivers running a route on more than 65% of 479 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:45,600 drawbacks in there. Both had 90%, plus they are both 480 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:49,700 averaging over 13. Good points per game, which is 481 00:35:49,700 --> 00:35:52,000 solid. So, both of these guys continue 482 00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:55,900 to be studs, the one guy that I do want to talk about, is 483 00:35:55,900 --> 00:35:59,400 prashad Pyramid. Helium-3 Targets in the game, 484 00:35:59,400 --> 00:36:02,800 but Randall route on 90% of Dropbox. 485 00:36:02,800 --> 00:36:10,000 He was at 32% in week 11. So someone to potentially keep 486 00:36:10,000 --> 00:36:12,900 an eye on Tyler Johnson, his routes rate. 487 00:36:12,900 --> 00:36:20,400 Dropped from around 65% in the prior three weeks to 14% in week 488 00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:23,200 13. So it's looking like periman has 489 00:36:23,200 --> 00:36:27,700 taken over that opportunity in Tampa Bay. 490 00:36:30,300 --> 00:36:35,000 Speaking of taking over opportunities, the Vikings 491 00:36:35,600 --> 00:36:38,900 unfortunately are going to be without a demand. 492 00:36:38,900 --> 00:36:43,300 Feeling sounds like he'll be back this season but unknown, 493 00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:49,000 whether she knew when he will be back and Justin Jefferson was 494 00:36:49,000 --> 00:36:54,300 already lighting it up. With Feelin and I don't think. 495 00:36:56,800 --> 00:37:01,700 Really his opportunities going to get that much bitter, excuse 496 00:37:01,700 --> 00:37:04,900 me without feeling you had a 34 percent Target share in the 497 00:37:04,908 --> 00:37:08,300 game. This past week, 14 targets, 182 498 00:37:08,300 --> 00:37:12,200 yards, and a touchdown, 35 PPR points. 499 00:37:13,500 --> 00:37:17,900 Ran around 98% of drop backs away to Target, brought one of 500 00:37:17,900 --> 00:37:21,100 0.87 just phenomenal. And you can see him on the truck 501 00:37:21,100 --> 00:37:23,100 here. Like, this is weeks 1913. 502 00:37:23,500 --> 00:37:27,900 He was already at an elite share of Area. 503 00:37:27,900 --> 00:37:30,000 Arts Elite waited targets per hour. 504 00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:35,800 Run just The stone nuts for Justin Jefferson but the guy to 505 00:37:35,800 --> 00:37:42,900 talk about here is KJ Osbourne. He ran a route on 96% of Dropbox 506 00:37:42,900 --> 00:37:46,100 and week three. And that was his highest Mark of 507 00:37:46,100 --> 00:37:50,700 the Season highest since he ran on around, 90% of drawbacks in 508 00:37:50,700 --> 00:37:57,700 week one, and but hadn't been above 80% in any week since 509 00:37:57,700 --> 00:38:03,200 then, he got had seven targets. In week, 13, which was His 510 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:07,700 Highest since week one as well, the second highest Mark of the 511 00:38:07,700 --> 00:38:11,000 season. So I think basically all of 512 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:14,800 Steel and targets will sort of shift to Osborne. 513 00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:18,800 I don't expect Osborne to be nearly as efficient as Feelin. 514 00:38:18,800 --> 00:38:22,600 Has been obviously deals with a touchdown scoring machine. 515 00:38:23,800 --> 00:38:28,800 So, again, KJ Osbourne, the big priority here but DD Westbrook, 516 00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:31,100 which is kind of a weird name to say. 517 00:38:31,100 --> 00:38:35,100 But He is should be on your radar as well. 518 00:38:35,100 --> 00:38:39,600 You render out on 60% of drawbacks which was by far, his 519 00:38:39,600 --> 00:38:44,400 season-high hadn't been murdered above 31% in any game this 520 00:38:44,400 --> 00:38:46,700 season. So basically double his previous 521 00:38:46,700 --> 00:38:51,000 season, High only had two Targets in this game, but 522 00:38:51,100 --> 00:38:55,100 they'll need a third wide receiver and he looks to be the 523 00:38:55,100 --> 00:39:05,400 one that will be stepping up in dealings absence. all right, 524 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:15,500 going to flip the chart over to the week 13 chart And focusing 525 00:39:15,500 --> 00:39:22,900 now on the Los Angeles, Rams. Because we now have a three-game 526 00:39:22,900 --> 00:39:28,500 sample with Odell Beckham jr. On the team. 527 00:39:28,500 --> 00:39:34,500 Christie also wanted me to talk about this situation as well. 528 00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:39,700 And it's an interesting three-game sample that we have 529 00:39:39,700 --> 00:39:43,500 Cooper cup is Cooper cop. Like he's continuing to crush, 530 00:39:43,500 --> 00:39:49,000 it has double digit Targets in every single game, but one this 531 00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:53,900 season. And can just turn turn it on 532 00:39:53,900 --> 00:40:01,700 whenever you want, but obj and Van Jefferson have sort of 533 00:40:01,700 --> 00:40:07,100 flipped flopped as the Deep guy in. 534 00:40:08,500 --> 00:40:11,200 Over the last three weeks, it was Odell Beckham jr. 535 00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:16,600 And week 10, granted. He only played for about 25% of 536 00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:21,200 drawbacks in that game, but obj's been at over 100 537 00:40:21,200 --> 00:40:24,500 receiving, excuse me area. Ours, the last two weeks. 538 00:40:25,300 --> 00:40:30,900 Jefferson was at 164 and week 12 and then only 57 in week 13. 539 00:40:32,300 --> 00:40:36,800 And in the last three games oh BJ has a weighted targets per 540 00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:42,400 outrun of 0.76. So really solid. 541 00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:48,400 For him and only had five Targets this passive but had 10 542 00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:53,400 in the week before van Jefferson was at 9 and week 12 and 8 this 543 00:40:53,400 --> 00:40:56,200 past week. Jefferson is still running a 544 00:40:56,200 --> 00:40:57,900 route. A lot more. 545 00:40:58,100 --> 00:41:03,700 Consistently Beckham was up at 97% in week 12, but drop back 546 00:41:03,700 --> 00:41:10,500 down to 56 percent in week 13. So unfortunately, I think 547 00:41:10,500 --> 00:41:12,100 Beckham was a little bit hobbled. 548 00:41:12,300 --> 00:41:16,900 I saw some potential a report saying that which could have 549 00:41:16,900 --> 00:41:21,500 been an act, but van Jefferson hasn't been below. 90, 90 550 00:41:21,500 --> 00:41:28,700 percent route rate in any of the last four games has been at 96 551 00:41:28,700 --> 00:41:33,700 percent overall, basically on par with Cooper cups. 97 percent 552 00:41:35,100 --> 00:41:39,000 And is that what you mean, eight targets per game over the last 553 00:41:39,900 --> 00:41:42,000 three games? So, Jefferson. 554 00:41:42,000 --> 00:41:47,700 I think, almost what this, they wanted to Sean Jackson to be but 555 00:41:47,700 --> 00:41:51,600 slightly better and that's why they got rid of DeSean Jackson. 556 00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:57,400 But In any case. I think you should be confident 557 00:41:57,400 --> 00:42:02,000 playing either Jefferson or Beckham as a flex because they 558 00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:06,400 both have, I think a pretty high ceiling assuming that back 559 00:42:06,400 --> 00:42:10,400 amazed actually healthy going into the week. 560 00:42:14,800 --> 00:42:20,300 Okay, the last situation here for the wide receiver position 561 00:42:21,100 --> 00:42:24,100 is the Ravens wide receiver position and this is a little 562 00:42:24,100 --> 00:42:30,000 less less optimistic. At least if you're a Rashad 563 00:42:30,000 --> 00:42:34,200 abatement fan and I know a lot of people here are even though 564 00:42:34,200 --> 00:42:38,500 they want maybe not originally. So over the last four weeks, 565 00:42:38,500 --> 00:42:43,400 which is when Sammy Watkins return from injury. 566 00:42:45,200 --> 00:42:47,700 We're overall refract, pavement has some really solid numbers. 567 00:42:47,700 --> 00:42:53,900 He's running around 61% of drawbacks as a 1.1 racer, 13 568 00:42:53,900 --> 00:42:57,600 percent Target share averaging about five targets per game. 569 00:42:59,800 --> 00:43:08,500 But that all changed. this past week again, he was at 60% routes 570 00:43:08,500 --> 00:43:15,100 run or above in the last in the three weeks before. 571 00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:21,600 Sydney from weeks, nine to 11. Rashad Bateman was at 65% route, 572 00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:25,400 freight run or above. We taught me was that 56% and 573 00:43:25,400 --> 00:43:28,200 then back down to 38 percent in week 13. 574 00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:31,600 So a pretty steep decline as targets that dropped as well 575 00:43:31,600 --> 00:43:37,700 going from six and week 3:49 to just one this past week. 576 00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:41,700 Again, it's a situation where you would hope that the better 577 00:43:41,700 --> 00:43:46,300 player would sort of bear out and get the targets. 578 00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:53,000 Bateman had 111 are yards in week 9 but hasn't been above 70 579 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:57,200 yards in any other game. Granted, it's not like those 580 00:43:57,700 --> 00:44:01,600 deep targets are going to Sammy Watkins, he hasn't been above 65 581 00:44:01,600 --> 00:44:05,900 area hours in his four games, since returning. 582 00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:13,300 And it's one of those situations where They're just sort of 583 00:44:13,300 --> 00:44:18,800 splitting the targets between between those two guys and not 584 00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:22,200 necessarily giving one a big opportunity. 585 00:44:22,600 --> 00:44:27,400 But Devin du vernay also continues to be mildly involved 586 00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:32,500 as well. He's had targets of four six, 587 00:44:32,500 --> 00:44:36,200 two and three over the last four weeks, which again, doesn't 588 00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:39,000 sound like a lot. But for an offense that like I 589 00:44:39,000 --> 00:44:41,900 mentioned earlier is not passing it a ton. 590 00:44:44,100 --> 00:44:47,000 It can mean a lot and it does mean a lot especially from a 591 00:44:47,100 --> 00:44:53,000 traditionally or historically, very efficient passer in Lamar 592 00:44:53,000 --> 00:44:56,600 Jackson. Now Hollywood, Brown is still 593 00:44:56,600 --> 00:44:59,100 fine. He only had seven Targets in the 594 00:44:59,100 --> 00:45:03,000 game this past week, but that was of that after four straight 595 00:45:03,000 --> 00:45:05,600 games of, at least of double-digit targets. 596 00:45:06,600 --> 00:45:11,700 So, Richard Bateman goes back to someone who I'm not trusting in 597 00:45:11,700 --> 00:45:18,000 my Flex quite yet, because again, I would want to see, I 598 00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:22,500 would want to see the consistent, you know, more 599 00:45:22,500 --> 00:45:24,700 routes, more targets, more everything. 600 00:45:25,900 --> 00:45:29,800 Especially in an offense. That's not passing it that much. 601 00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:33,200 This is one of the more condensed offenses with Marquis 602 00:45:33,200 --> 00:45:35,900 Brown in, Mark, Andrews, sort of leaving the way. 603 00:45:35,900 --> 00:45:39,400 But after that, it gets pretty, pretty murky. 604 00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:46,300 A couple little final notes on the wide receiver position. 605 00:45:46,300 --> 00:45:50,400 Elijah more Corey Davis is going to be out for the season so 606 00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:57,400 he'll see a huge boost to get 201 are yards and 0.9 Whopper in 607 00:45:57,400 --> 00:46:02,700 week 13, both the highest of the week. 608 00:46:05,500 --> 00:46:10,600 Over the last two weeks, John diggle points out behind, Corey 609 00:46:10,600 --> 00:46:14,700 Davis with him being out. He's been at 87% of snaps at 610 00:46:14,700 --> 00:46:19,300 32%, Target of share routes one, a 91% of drawbacks, which is 611 00:46:19,700 --> 00:46:24,900 obviously Elite. The big concern is he said, he 612 00:46:24,900 --> 00:46:28,000 says a clock. It is sweet but it's Zach Wilson 613 00:46:28,300 --> 00:46:32,600 played very much like Drew lock but Elijah more. 614 00:46:32,900 --> 00:46:37,500 Now primed for that late-season break up just in time for the 615 00:46:37,500 --> 00:46:42,700 ship chasing crew to hit its stride again. 616 00:46:42,700 --> 00:46:46,200 I mention con Amore at the top of the show, DeAndre Hopkins, 617 00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:49,900 did one a route on 85 percent drop back seemed healthy. 618 00:46:49,900 --> 00:46:53,700 Only had two catches in the game. 619 00:46:54,200 --> 00:46:58,200 So he's back to I guess a full workload. 620 00:46:58,500 --> 00:47:02,200 Again, the just want to see the pass attempts, go up for the 621 00:47:02,200 --> 00:47:04,700 team. And finally DeVante Parker 622 00:47:04,700 --> 00:47:10,800 returned is well played. Excuse me, render out on 3245. 623 00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:15,000 Drop backs had five targets for 12 percent Target, share and 624 00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:19,100 hold it in 62. Receiving yards on on those five 625 00:47:19,100 --> 00:47:22,400 targets. So, so I would return Not that 626 00:47:22,400 --> 00:47:27,100 worried about Jalen water but want to talk about another one 627 00:47:27,100 --> 00:47:32,300 of their teammates. Mr. Mica Sicky who continues to 628 00:47:32,300 --> 00:47:38,700 have just a really solid season over the this is over the last 629 00:47:38,700 --> 00:47:43,900 five games for Mike to Sticky. He's averaging six point, seven 630 00:47:44,400 --> 00:47:49,200 targets per game, has a 19 percent Target, share 22, 631 00:47:49,200 --> 00:47:53,300 percent Target area. I'd share 0.43 Whopper running 632 00:47:53,300 --> 00:47:58,300 around an 81% of drawbacks. This is all second on the team 633 00:47:58,300 --> 00:48:05,400 behind And Jaylen, waddle. And is averaging -4 fantasy 634 00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:08,500 points over expectation. Per game. 635 00:48:08,500 --> 00:48:12,200 So he could be in a prime position when they returned from 636 00:48:12,200 --> 00:48:17,500 by to have a solid week. He had a season. 637 00:48:17,500 --> 00:48:22,000 Excuse me, second highest Mark of the season with 11 Targets in 638 00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:25,500 week 13. This rocks, did drop back down 639 00:48:25,500 --> 00:48:30,700 to 77 percent after hitting 90 percent in week 12, but that's 640 00:48:30,700 --> 00:48:34,900 still encouraging to see with DeVante Parker back. 641 00:48:35,300 --> 00:48:41,400 Did have a seat Ian, hi 0.32 targets per outrun in week 642 00:48:41,400 --> 00:48:44,800 three, but again, the issue is that he's also scored two 643 00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:48,200 touchdowns this season hasn't scored since week 7. 644 00:48:49,300 --> 00:48:54,400 So hopefully can find the end zone when they return. 645 00:48:55,500 --> 00:48:57,700 From there. They're sweet by sure. 646 00:48:57,700 --> 00:48:59,300 It's going to be terrible down there in Miami. 647 00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:05,600 Someone who's also hasn't scored. 648 00:49:10,300 --> 00:49:16,100 Excuse me who hasn't scored in a while that I'm much more 649 00:49:16,100 --> 00:49:21,100 concerned about is Kyle pits. Since Calvin, Ridley left, who 650 00:49:21,100 --> 00:49:24,300 again shot the him. Hope he's doing well. 651 00:49:25,000 --> 00:49:28,200 Doing better mentally. Seems like he won't be returning 652 00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:30,800 this season but hope he's getting the help, he needs. 653 00:49:30,800 --> 00:49:34,100 But in any case since Calvin Ridley left, it's been six 654 00:49:34,100 --> 00:49:38,100 weeks. Pictures, averaging, six, six 655 00:49:38,100 --> 00:49:41,700 point, three targets per game, still good for a 21 percent 656 00:49:42,100 --> 00:49:45,400 Target, share and leads the team with a 32% area. 657 00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:49,700 I'd share is wanting a route on 86% of drawbacks. 658 00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:54,200 But hasn't found the end zone in any of those six games. 659 00:49:54,500 --> 00:50:00,500 As the -3.4 fantasy points are expectation and is tight, end 17 660 00:50:01,400 --> 00:50:06,300 in that stretch averaging about seven, PPR points. 661 00:50:07,400 --> 00:50:13,200 Per game. So it's kind of crazy because he 662 00:50:13,200 --> 00:50:18,100 blew up in weeks 5 and 7. And then everyone you know and 663 00:50:18,100 --> 00:50:22,800 then Calvin Ridley left and everyone was super excited and 664 00:50:22,800 --> 00:50:27,900 he just hasn't excuse me been given the same opportunity 665 00:50:27,900 --> 00:50:31,100 hasn't had more than seven Targets in the game since then 666 00:50:31,100 --> 00:50:33,900 hasn't had more than 90 areas in a single game. 667 00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:39,700 Again, still running around out on a very high percent of drop 668 00:50:39,700 --> 00:50:46,600 backs, but it's just he's not. Finding the end zone and is only 669 00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:51,000 averaging about 40, receiving yards per game because he's not 670 00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:54,000 getting super efficient. Target. 671 00:50:54,000 --> 00:50:58,900 So, it's interesting because so I posted a threat on Twitter 672 00:50:58,900 --> 00:51:02,600 this afternoon about starts to decisions right now and like 673 00:51:02,600 --> 00:51:07,700 what do you do with someone like Kyle pits because He has a 674 00:51:07,700 --> 00:51:11,300 ceiling. We've seen that and he's a 675 00:51:11,300 --> 00:51:12,700 writer. He's a really good player. 676 00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:17,700 And the opportunity is there. I mean, 66 targets for a tight 677 00:51:17,700 --> 00:51:21,600 end per game is a solid Mark for sure. 678 00:51:23,200 --> 00:51:25,500 But, the Falcons offense has not been. 679 00:51:26,500 --> 00:51:31,700 All that inspiring this season. So would you rather have cop? 680 00:51:31,700 --> 00:51:36,500 It's who get as that ceiling. But Certainly doesn't have much 681 00:51:36,500 --> 00:51:41,400 of a floor either or someone like Tire Coughlin who I believe 682 00:51:41,400 --> 00:51:44,300 is tied and six over the last six weeks. 683 00:51:45,700 --> 00:51:52,400 Has some opportunity opening up for him in Minnesota and has a 684 00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:54,900 couple of games over 15 PPR points. 685 00:51:54,900 --> 00:52:01,500 So has a relatively high ceiling at least for a tight hat And so 686 00:52:01,500 --> 00:52:04,900 a lot of it comes down. I think to what I mentioned in 687 00:52:04,900 --> 00:52:09,100 this threat, the mental aspect of it is can you stomach been 688 00:52:09,100 --> 00:52:12,600 seeing someone like hot pits and then having him go off on your 689 00:52:12,600 --> 00:52:14,400 bench? This goes back to a trade 690 00:52:14,400 --> 00:52:17,100 question. I got a couple weeks ago and 691 00:52:17,100 --> 00:52:24,300 someone was between two two trades and Because he had two 692 00:52:24,300 --> 00:52:28,300 tight ends and one of which was cockpits and someone was asking 693 00:52:28,300 --> 00:52:31,200 for the other the other side and it's like a trade, the other 694 00:52:31,200 --> 00:52:33,700 side of town and away like you're never going to not start 695 00:52:33,700 --> 00:52:36,900 pits. And I believe that other side 696 00:52:36,900 --> 00:52:42,900 and was Pat fry removed. And and and obviously Eric Ebron 697 00:52:42,900 --> 00:52:49,200 has been hurt but that might be changing now, like I'd probably 698 00:52:49,200 --> 00:52:52,900 rather Starfire motive if Iran was out. 699 00:52:53,800 --> 00:52:57,400 And not playing. But in any case, if complex is 700 00:52:57,400 --> 00:53:00,100 your only tight end, I'm not going to the waiver wire and 701 00:53:00,100 --> 00:53:03,600 trying to find a replacement. That's way too drastic for me. 702 00:53:03,600 --> 00:53:06,800 But expectations certainly stood. 703 00:53:06,800 --> 00:53:11,900 And I think happen, Tap temper at this point. 704 00:53:11,900 --> 00:53:15,400 Another stat from Daigle getting a lot of screen time here today 705 00:53:15,400 --> 00:53:19,300 but 47 players have seen at least 33 Target since week 706 00:53:19,300 --> 00:53:21,200 eight. But Kyle picks is the only one 707 00:53:21,200 --> 00:53:24,500 who has recorded, just one Red Zone Target in that span. 708 00:53:24,800 --> 00:53:29,200 So again, this not getting the high-value targets from Matt 709 00:53:29,200 --> 00:53:31,800 Ryan. Final thing Depot, Samuel was 710 00:53:31,800 --> 00:53:37,200 out this week, George kidal just blasted off against the Seahawks 711 00:53:37,200 --> 00:53:41,500 at 12 targets for a for Two percent Target share. 47% of the 712 00:53:41,500 --> 00:53:46,700 team's Area Arts, share random, 28 of 32 Dropbox, and had to 713 00:53:46,700 --> 00:53:50,400 back field snacks as well. So great, great, great to see 714 00:53:50,400 --> 00:53:54,300 George. Kittle back paying off for 715 00:53:55,200 --> 00:54:05,800 Fantasy drafters. Realized I forgot to switch over 716 00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:09,300 to the tight end the week 13 chart, but you can see George 717 00:54:09,300 --> 00:54:11,200 Kittle. Absolutely. 718 00:54:11,200 --> 00:54:14,400 Crushing here. I think you probably be might 719 00:54:14,400 --> 00:54:17,600 end one for the rest of the season. 720 00:54:19,900 --> 00:54:27,200 Okay, wrapping the show up with two Team level conversations, 721 00:54:27,200 --> 00:54:31,200 the first of which is for the Cincinnati Bengals. 722 00:54:31,200 --> 00:54:34,700 Hinder us from Jake stays online to talk about the Bengals pass 723 00:54:34,700 --> 00:54:38,100 catchers and we'll get to them. Here shortly. 724 00:54:38,100 --> 00:54:42,300 But want to talk about the whole team as I always do and 725 00:54:43,700 --> 00:54:47,800 Unfortunately, the Bengals are back on their bullshit before 726 00:54:47,900 --> 00:54:50,900 the four weeks before their by, they were at a five percent pass 727 00:54:50,900 --> 00:54:55,200 rate or expectation. But since then in the three 728 00:54:55,200 --> 00:54:59,500 weeks after their by their at a negative 5% so borough is 729 00:54:59,500 --> 00:55:02,900 averaging just 31 attempts per game. 730 00:55:02,900 --> 00:55:05,900 Only has three passing touchdowns has three 731 00:55:05,900 --> 00:55:08,900 interceptions in that span averaging, just 14. 732 00:55:09,300 --> 00:55:14,300 PPR points per game. A 3%, excuse me, touchdown 733 00:55:14,300 --> 00:55:19,000 rates. And It he just doesn't have as 734 00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:23,100 high of a ceiling because he hasn't been that efficient 735 00:55:23,100 --> 00:55:27,400 hasn't been dusted rested yards per attempt of about six yards. 736 00:55:28,200 --> 00:55:32,700 And unfortunately, his receivers are not helping him out. 737 00:55:34,200 --> 00:55:36,400 Excuse me, that much, is it 0.82? 738 00:55:36,400 --> 00:55:43,000 Pacer which is incredibly low for a quarterback and don't know 739 00:55:43,008 --> 00:55:48,300 if I mentioned this but has a 14, PPR Point per game average 740 00:55:48,300 --> 00:55:54,400 in those three games he does have a 6.2 percent completion 741 00:55:54,400 --> 00:55:58,900 percentage over expectation so still completing passes at a 742 00:55:58,900 --> 00:56:03,100 pretty high rate but If you been carrying two quarterbacks, I 743 00:56:03,107 --> 00:56:07,400 think there might be better options available at the 744 00:56:07,400 --> 00:56:10,500 position. As far as the running back 745 00:56:10,500 --> 00:56:12,500 position. We know again, they've been 746 00:56:12,500 --> 00:56:15,600 running the ball more of their been very comfortable with Joe 747 00:56:15,600 --> 00:56:18,900 Mixon mix-ins. Averaging over 25 carries per 748 00:56:18,900 --> 00:56:23,700 game over the last three weeks. Has 78 percent of the running 749 00:56:23,700 --> 00:56:28,100 back touches in that span is averaging, 19, expected fantasy 750 00:56:28,100 --> 00:56:34,300 points per game and has recorded a touchdown in leave. 751 00:56:34,300 --> 00:56:42,800 Its nine straight games. Yes, nine straight games just 752 00:56:43,300 --> 00:56:46,800 absolutely crushing. It has only been above 100 753 00:56:47,100 --> 00:56:52,300 rushing yards twice this season and two of those came in weeks 754 00:56:52,300 --> 00:56:56,000 11 and 12. So it's certainly and part of 755 00:56:56,000 --> 00:56:58,300 that is because of the volume for sure. 756 00:56:59,500 --> 00:57:03,500 Why he still is just not getting a ton of passing work. 757 00:57:03,500 --> 00:57:07,600 He's a, he's just five targets total in his last three games. 758 00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:11,000 The only other thing that I'll mention about this backfield is 759 00:57:11,000 --> 00:57:15,700 that smudgy perine. I'm fairly confident. 760 00:57:15,700 --> 00:57:20,100 Is the handcuffed to own in that backfield? 761 00:57:20,100 --> 00:57:21,400 I think. Now is the time where you want 762 00:57:21,400 --> 00:57:27,600 to be targeting Handcuffs if it's not your own then certainly 763 00:57:28,400 --> 00:57:32,300 of other players. So he's been, he was out of 34 764 00:57:32,300 --> 00:57:39,100 percent snap rate in week. 13 has hovered around 30% all year. 765 00:57:39,100 --> 00:57:43,800 Has seen boost in snap rate when mixed in has gone down. 766 00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:50,700 So, certainly someone to keep an eye on but getting to the 767 00:57:50,700 --> 00:58:00,600 important part, the pass catchers of Jonesboro because I 768 00:58:00,600 --> 00:58:03,300 think people are worried about Jamar Chase. 769 00:58:04,400 --> 00:58:08,200 And, you know, I've been saying it for weeks, those drops are 770 00:58:08,200 --> 00:58:10,800 going to come back to haunt them for going to come back. 771 00:58:11,700 --> 00:58:16,500 I've been saying this literally for 200 weeks, just saying the 772 00:58:16,500 --> 00:58:21,100 drops aren't getting, but they sort of happen. 773 00:58:21,300 --> 00:58:25,900 He's only averaging 41 receiving yards in his last three games, 774 00:58:26,700 --> 00:58:32,600 and his production has come at the expense of T Hagan's. 775 00:58:33,200 --> 00:58:37,000 Just absolutely crushing it over the last couple weeks. 776 00:58:37,000 --> 00:58:41,400 Averaging 19, PPR points per game as a 28 percent Target, 777 00:58:41,400 --> 00:58:48,000 share 43% area. Are share a 0.69 of Whopper 14, 778 00:58:48,000 --> 00:58:52,500 expected points, 14.8 expected points per game, averaging over 779 00:58:52,500 --> 00:58:56,300 eight targets per game, this continues to be one of the more 780 00:58:56,300 --> 00:59:00,500 condensed passing a tax. Which is really, really good. 781 00:59:01,000 --> 00:59:04,500 Both Boyd and Chase are added. Nineteen percent Target share 782 00:59:05,100 --> 00:59:09,100 over the last three weeks. Since their by Chase, still has 783 00:59:09,100 --> 00:59:12,200 a an edge in area are share at 28%. 784 00:59:13,500 --> 00:59:18,500 But again, the drops You Dropped a long, what would have been 785 00:59:18,500 --> 00:59:23,300 touchdown? And his numbers have dropped a 786 00:59:23,300 --> 00:59:26,000 little bit since before the Bible for the by Hughes option, 787 00:59:26,000 --> 00:59:34,600 eight targets per game. excuse me, back down to 5.7 in week 3 788 00:59:35,900 --> 00:59:43,300 and His way to targets per run, has gone from 0.65 down to 0.43. 789 00:59:44,600 --> 00:59:48,300 They're still all running about on a very high percentage of 790 00:59:48,300 --> 00:59:52,500 drawbacks chase at 96%, Higgins at 92%. 791 00:59:52,500 --> 00:59:56,800 And then, Ty Borden and CJ Osama, who I should mention 85% 792 00:59:58,000 --> 01:00:00,700 as well. Who's on, what did have six 793 01:00:00,700 --> 01:00:04,200 Targets? This past week, which was tied 794 01:00:04,200 --> 01:00:09,100 for a season high for him, Hagen's had At 14 targets, which 795 01:00:09,100 --> 01:00:13,900 is just the third time that he's been in double digits, but was 796 01:00:13,900 --> 01:00:18,900 his second most of the season and Higgins. 797 01:00:19,100 --> 01:00:22,600 Again, I mentioned the area Arts but Higgins has over 100 Area 798 01:00:22,600 --> 01:00:27,400 Arts in five of his last six games. 799 01:00:27,800 --> 01:00:34,700 While Jamar, Chase has been at Well, I've been at 30 or below 800 01:00:35,000 --> 01:00:37,900 in two of us. Last five has been at an 85 or 801 01:00:37,900 --> 01:00:43,800 below in three of his last five. So this is not I would not be 802 01:00:43,800 --> 01:00:47,200 worried about Jamar Chase. I think things will turn around. 803 01:00:48,200 --> 01:00:53,700 I hope that the Bangles turn around and pass it more again, 804 01:00:54,300 --> 01:00:58,000 like they were before the by, I think they got scared off a 805 01:00:58,000 --> 01:01:04,800 little bit after the The Chargers loss assume, you know, 806 01:01:04,800 --> 01:01:07,100 the Jeff Schloss sort of thinking them. 807 01:01:09,500 --> 01:01:14,600 But Tyler boy continued, its he still sort of the third fiddle 808 01:01:15,300 --> 01:01:18,200 here. He he's always been second or 809 01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:22,700 third and in targets and Target share, doesn't command a large 810 01:01:22,700 --> 01:01:27,200 percent of the area are share and doesn't have a receiving 811 01:01:27,200 --> 01:01:30,000 touchdown since returning from the by. 812 01:01:30,000 --> 01:01:35,900 So, It's you know, it's a matter of to of Jamar Chase not scoring 813 01:01:35,900 --> 01:01:40,600 as many touchdowns, he has just one touchdown since the buy-in 814 01:01:40,900 --> 01:01:44,700 was averaging point. Eight touchdowns per game before 815 01:01:44,700 --> 01:01:47,600 the by. So those will turn around. 816 01:01:48,000 --> 01:01:53,100 I'm not worried in your ear happy if you have to watch a 817 01:01:53,100 --> 01:01:57,800 swan your receivers, but Let's wrap things up here. 818 01:01:59,400 --> 01:02:02,800 With the Detroit Lions. Congratulations to the Detroit 819 01:02:02,800 --> 01:02:05,900 Lions and Jared Goff for winning. 820 01:02:05,900 --> 01:02:10,600 Their first game of the season against the Minnesota Vikings 821 01:02:10,600 --> 01:02:15,000 and it's funny I reflected back on something. 822 01:02:15,000 --> 01:02:17,600 I said earlier this season that Jared Goff could potentially be 823 01:02:17,600 --> 01:02:21,200 a really solid fantasy quarterback because he was had 824 01:02:21,200 --> 01:02:26,500 so much volume. And You know, he was being, you 825 01:02:26,500 --> 01:02:29,800 wasn't being super efficient, but he was getting the volume in 826 01:02:29,800 --> 01:02:34,900 that just obviously has not been the case hasn't been efficient. 827 01:02:36,200 --> 01:02:39,700 Throwing the ball on on the season but since they're 828 01:02:39,700 --> 01:02:42,500 weeknight by I've been pretty good averaging. 829 01:02:42,500 --> 01:02:46,700 One point seven touchdowns for game about 30 attempts per game 830 01:02:46,800 --> 01:02:52,400 as a 5.6% touchdown Ray 27.1 adjusted yards per attempt. 831 01:02:53,400 --> 01:02:57,900 But again that's only helped him get about 12 and a half PPR 832 01:02:57,900 --> 01:03:03,300 points per game. And they have just committed to 833 01:03:03,300 --> 01:03:07,700 the Run even more on the season. They have a negative 5% password 834 01:03:07,700 --> 01:03:11,100 over expectation. That's the Lions but since 835 01:03:11,100 --> 01:03:18,200 they're by the right - eleven percent so it's a they certainly 836 01:03:18,200 --> 01:03:23,200 are committed to the run and who's been the benefactor of 837 01:03:23,200 --> 01:03:26,200 that. It's been the running backs. 838 01:03:27,100 --> 01:03:33,800 Or has it. So DeAndre Swift was out this 839 01:03:33,800 --> 01:03:40,500 past week, missed most of the Thanksgiving game in week 12. 840 01:03:40,700 --> 01:03:42,900 And a lot of people thought this was going to be the Jamaal 841 01:03:42,900 --> 01:03:46,300 Williams show but it was it was not. 842 01:03:46,500 --> 01:03:51,800 He only played the 47% of snaps and Godwin igwe bouquet. 843 01:03:53,000 --> 01:03:57,700 Hopefully I'm pronouncing that right heading season-high. 39% 844 01:03:58,000 --> 01:04:02,200 snack. Break Jamar Jefferson Down at 845 01:04:02,200 --> 01:04:08,400 just 11% and hasn't been above 20% at all this season. 846 01:04:09,600 --> 01:04:16,500 And the notable thing here as well, in addition to snaps is 847 01:04:16,500 --> 01:04:23,200 that equal bouquet ran around on 58% of drawbacks, which is the 848 01:04:23,200 --> 01:04:26,700 highest Mark for any non Swift running back? 849 01:04:27,400 --> 01:04:33,000 In on the Lions this season, he did only get four opportunities, 850 01:04:33,000 --> 01:04:37,100 and Jamaal Williams got 18 yet, 20 week 12. 851 01:04:37,100 --> 01:04:42,500 So, he still getting the majority of the work and is 852 01:04:42,500 --> 01:04:49,000 being used when he is on the field. but equate bouquet, 853 01:04:49,000 --> 01:04:52,100 someone certainly to keep an eye out and if he's on your waiver 854 01:04:52,100 --> 01:04:56,500 wire definitely worth an ad because it looks like he has 855 01:04:56,500 --> 01:05:03,400 probably Eclipse germar Jefferson as the Handcuff I 856 01:05:03,400 --> 01:05:07,000 handcuffed to the Handcuff if you will and we're not sure how 857 01:05:07,000 --> 01:05:10,400 long Swift is going to be out as well. 858 01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:16,200 So something to keep an eye on In that backfield. 859 01:05:16,800 --> 01:05:20,500 But I want to talk quickly to again to round out the show 860 01:05:20,500 --> 01:05:27,600 about the pass catchers for the lines because they are going to 861 01:05:27,600 --> 01:05:34,100 continue to have to pass the ball, a decent amount and I'm on 862 01:05:34,100 --> 01:05:39,000 Rossi Brown. Looks like now, he is the wide 863 01:05:39,000 --> 01:05:45,800 receiver one for the Lions. He had a season High Hi 12 864 01:05:45,800 --> 01:05:53,300 Targets in the game, the highest Mark for any any pass catcher, I 865 01:05:53,308 --> 01:05:58,900 believe any wide receiver tight end at least in a game this 866 01:05:58,900 --> 01:06:04,600 season renter out on 100% of drawbacks has been above 80% in 867 01:06:04,600 --> 01:06:08,100 every game. Since week 6 has been above 90 868 01:06:08,100 --> 01:06:12,500 percent in each of the last three weeks and as Willie coming 869 01:06:12,500 --> 01:06:20,100 on in his last, Four games has a 24 percent Target, share a 0.49, 870 01:06:20,100 --> 01:06:24,300 weighted targets per outrun and is averaging over 11 expected 871 01:06:24,300 --> 01:06:29,600 points per game. Right on par with his 11.7, PPR 872 01:06:29,600 --> 01:06:34,000 points per game. So someone to potentially 873 01:06:34,000 --> 01:06:38,200 consider in DFS again worth and add ink as a potential Flex 874 01:06:38,200 --> 01:06:41,600 option. TJ Hawkinson has bounced up and 875 01:06:41,600 --> 01:06:44,100 down. Quite a bit. 876 01:06:44,100 --> 01:06:49,800 He it's been a little weird for him since the by over the last 877 01:06:49,800 --> 01:06:51,900 four weeks. This is the number of targets. 878 01:06:51,900 --> 01:06:55,000 He's had these ever one week time which was really weird. 879 01:06:55,200 --> 01:06:59,800 Then he had eight and week 11 3 and week 12 and 8 again in week 880 01:06:59,800 --> 01:07:03,300 13. So he still has an 18 percent 881 01:07:03,300 --> 01:07:09,600 Target share over that span. Averaging five targets per game, 882 01:07:10,800 --> 01:07:18,800 but clearly does not have a ceiling that he had before the 883 01:07:18,800 --> 01:07:24,100 buyer when he was averaging. You know, eight plus targets per 884 01:07:24,100 --> 01:07:29,000 game and seems like the focal part of the offense still 885 01:07:29,000 --> 01:07:36,600 running around on 88% of drop backs and Actually, led the team 886 01:07:36,600 --> 01:07:40,400 s in the team in area, ards in a week, 13, with 88. 887 01:07:40,400 --> 01:07:45,700 Just behind the 94, Amon-Ra st. Brown. 888 01:07:46,600 --> 01:07:50,500 And last thing I'll say about same brown two points, point 889 01:07:50,500 --> 01:07:52,800 two, seven, three targets per outrun. 890 01:07:52,800 --> 01:07:56,600 Was His Highest Mark of the season, so he's getting used 891 01:07:56,600 --> 01:08:01,400 when he's on the field and the lines seem to like them. 892 01:08:01,400 --> 01:08:06,700 I know there was some coach speak, or I guess Cuba speak 893 01:08:07,100 --> 01:08:11,400 earlier this season about golf pointing to Get him more 894 01:08:11,400 --> 01:08:16,500 involved and that looks to be coming, true? 895 01:08:17,700 --> 01:08:23,100 That is going to do it for the show today. 896 01:08:23,100 --> 01:08:27,500 Hope you all enjoyed it and learned some new stuff that will 897 01:08:27,500 --> 01:08:31,700 help you in your matchups this week. 898 01:08:33,000 --> 01:08:36,399 Be sure to tune in to the show tomorrow night, 9:15 p.m. 899 01:08:36,399 --> 01:08:39,100 Eastern. As always, I will be back here 900 01:08:39,500 --> 01:08:46,200 at 3:15 p.m. central next week. Good luck stat. 901 01:08:46,200 --> 01:08:46,800 That