Hello everybody and welcome to week 10 of statues.
There's a lot of interesting developments in week nine.
You saw a couple records set. Justin Fields, set the NFL
record for most rushing yards by a quarterback.
Tyree kill was the fastest water Seaver in NFL history to reach
1,000 yards. I also talked with wide receiver
in NFL history. Also the fastest Waters even NFL
history and a lot of players who are traded and the deadline last
week, got their first look on their new teams and week Don.
So will be breaking that down and a lot more this week.
I'm joined as always, by becos Connor Connor.
How was I was weak 9 for you and fantasy?
Any luck with DFS, or your season-long leagues II, took a
week off? I took a stress break from from
fantasy, football are not fantasy football, but DFS kind
of related stuff and just been busy and work at a lot going on
the weekend. So just one of those like, you
know what, like, I don't want to truly burn out.
So so you got to got to give myself a break where I can, but
I do have two teams in the top twenty seven of total scoring in
best. Follow that in the best ball
ffp, see, basketball tournament. Wow, that's pretty cool.
That's awesome. Ultimately meaningless because
like the team the team had that will not sure.
I think they were like ends up being like 300 or something in
regular season scoring so yeah it didn't really matter and but
still cool cool that at those teams have been scoring so many
points. Yeah that's fun to watch and I
think that's why the underdog. Season prizes is a lot of fun,
this year. I mean, I think I'd be even more
fun if they gave out prizes for like, the top 100 teams, but I
think that's a way to make the in season basketball experience
more entertaining when you can monitor those leaders
leaderboards and feel like it matters but more.
But yeah, like you said, without any kind of regular season
prize. I think you could almost argue
that having like a new. This is two galaxies brain, but
you could almost argue that having like a top 10 scoring
team by the end of the regular season, is is like bad, right?
Because it Means you have a ton of the chalky players for
advanced, right? It's almost.
So that's why I think, I think these tournaments should have
some kind of regular season prize to award teams who really
are performed by their season. But yeah, I think that's an
interesting guy. I was I'm really interested in
the hey you don't want the player scoring too many points
at ATP adjusted because then they'll be really popular.
But the the way I was look at it is.
Okay. Well, if you have those players,
those fairs are the guys who get the low-scoring players, true.
Yeah, yeah. That's, that's true.
I'm when willful or yes. Signed, in week, 14, you know,
I'm gonna be, I'm gonna be the only one in the tournament.
Well, yeah, I mean, the wool filler stuff is down bad.
I mean, DeSean Jackson got signed.
Now, there's all these rumors about Odell signing with teams
and willful or can't, even, I can't even find a mom like you
No, random on credible sources on Twitter.
There's just, no no willful or Buzz at all.
Yeah, that's, that's a shame. Yeah, I commend his ability to
get off the grid with such ease. Yeah he's taking you're taking a
stretch break for week 9. He's been taking a stress break
for two seasons now I think so. Well I mean I hope all is well
with Will Fuller you know maybe he does need to take some time
away. He's probably made millions of
dollars. So who are we?
Who are we to judge with? Whatever.
He's up to now, he's probably having a good time anyways.
Let's let's jump into it with the quarterbacks here, weeks 1
through 9. And for those falling along,
this is the same chart that you've seen before.
We're looking at quarterback, passing efficiency and rushing
production. On the y-axis.
Here, we have touchdown rate and on the x axis here, we have
adjusted yards per attempt, so that's yards per attempt, but
adjusted for interceptions, and touchdowns to reward,
quarterbacks that have high touchdown interception ratios at
this point. We've talked about this chart a
ton. Not a ton is changing week to
week. I do think there's a couple
things worth noting. And I don't think it's gonna
spend a ton of time here. I think the first thing that
jumps out is to still firmly in the top right-hand side of this
chart. And I think, for a while we saw
him there and we're excited about his potential.
But we kept saying he's, you know, he's gonna regress, he's
not going to be ahead of Patrick, my homes and Josh Allen
and yards per attempt but now we have a pretty decent sample size
on them still smaller than those guys and he is still just
absolutely crushing it from an efficiency standpoint.
Again we've talked about this before, I really think the
scheme in. Miami is good.
They're funneling. All their looks to jail and
waddle and Tyree kill. They're not overthinking and
trying to incorporate, you know, you know, these bad running
backs in the passing game. They're not trying to
incorporate trencher field and Cedric Wilson, they're just
going to their best guys. Play after play racking up a ton
of yards after the catch on short passes and that's working
really well for to, so yeah, not sure like I have anything.
Thing actionable to say from fantasy football perspective.
I guess I would be I would be buying to as sort of a back-end
quarterback one. Maybe in the quarterback like
six to eight range roughly if there's any any owners that are
still sort of skeptical of to buying him there but think it's
really impressive this season he's having thus far.
Yeah, I agree for sure and seven well kind of 6 and a half games
sample size and so still a little bit limited but the idea
where you can say, oh, he's just on a hot streak or it's just
kind of limited at, he's just playing very well, and I think
as well like the the thing where I go away from, hey it's just a
scheme. They've had other guys play and
and the offense is greater. So There's clearly he's clearly
a providing a big boost or value.
I'd to the offense. Yeah exactly.
The other games with Skylar Thompson and Teddy Bridgewater.
We're not nearly as good for the offense, the offense as a whole.
Hey do you know how? We can how we post a link to the
stream to this chord? Yes I can I can take care of
that. If you can if you want to in any
other quarterbacks you want to talk through here while I.
Yeah yeah. Yeah.
And so I did my first Take away when I saw this after the
shooting as how Justin Fields basically, looks like if Lamar
Jackson played for rare, the Chicago Bears and spot.
We saw the we saw a clip of that Mike McDaniel.
It's shouting at you as please. Stop running the ball.
Please stop running. Stop scrambling.
And there, I think that that really that captures it.
Where is previous? Coaching staff and even current
coaching staff earlier in the season, wouldn't let them do it.
And when he, when he is scrambling and rushing it
frustrates the shit out of the motor coaches, which I assume
that's what you want your Rec or back to do, right?
Yeah. It is bizarre that it seemed to
take so long for a coaching staff to embrace Justin Fields
strengths, but it seems like We're finally, you know, almost
at that point. And yeah, I just want to look
at, you know, if you look at this chart, you kind of notice
that Justin Fields looks like an Arbitrage, Lamar Jackson
basically and if you other fantasy points totals, I'm just
looking at sort of an ESPN, standard quarterback scoring
right now. Justin Fields is that 18 fantasy
points per game and Lamar Jackson is a 22.
So it's closed, right? And for the price, you paid this
offseason, I think you're definitely not upset.
You took them are, but Fields is definitely one of the better.
Late quarterback plays and you talk about what it would look
like. If Lamar Jackson was on the
Bears. You know what that brought to
mind for me, is the wide receiving cores of these two
teams were at the start of the Season.
It was clearly better for the Ravens.
With Bateman looking, really explosive Mark Andrews,
obviously tearing it up. And now with those two guys
injured and Claypool going to Chicago actually Justin Fields
pass catchers, look better you know until Mark Andrews returns
obviously. But I think that that's slight
Improvement in the past catching core even though we don't think
of Claypool as a superstar, I did see.
And I think Pat crane mentioned this on some of this podcast has
Week that if you look at percentage of routes in which
wide receivers are double covered Claypool is actually in
the top 10 for water receivers and NFL by that metric.
So teams really view him as a threat when he's on the field
and that can potentially open up looks for other players.
Now, I'm not saying that Fields crushed it from a passive
perspective this past week. That's not why he's a great
fantasy score, all the sun, that's the rushing.
But if we see Claypool open up things a little bit more than
offense as he Gets adjusted I think Fields even has a bit
higher of a passing ceiling, then any shown thus far.
Yeah, definitely think with the new, and the new, with the
shackles being off you mentioned the 18 points per game to 22
points. I would expect that Gap to close
right to enclose pretty significantly.
Yeah, I would too, especially, if Andrews if this injury for
Andrews, lingers. I mean, the Ravens are putting
DeSean Jackson and James crochet, and all these nobodies
out at wide receiver. So it's pretty ugly for them.
And I think that this, right? It's tempting to overreact on,
maybe I'm doing this, but if we see, keep seeing these types of
performance, which I think is a reasonable expectation and I'm
just unveils maybe not. Like break the site every week,
but strong a strong scoring. He's probably a top six guy and
in fastball next year, right? Okay, not popsicle sticks
around. Sit top six rounds guy not in.
Yeah, I mean, I think, I don't think that's crazy.
I mean, I think that you have to say hurts Mahomes, Alan Lamar
are firmly ahead of him. Yeah.
And then, and then there's guys like Herbert Kyler, you know,
some of the pocket pastors Borough, maybe, but Fields,
definitely has a chance to break into that into that range.
That's a top ten is definitely something I do.
Project. And I'd be interested.
I know Underdog last year. They released like a tournament
for next. Not the platform.
It's like the, the next season tournaments, they released one
of those. And that was a soft that was
sophomores and juniors. So this year of growth in
second, year players of which Fields is one and next year.
Yes. How exactly?
Yeah. Now, I think that will
definitely be Actionable in the first day or so of that draft.
Maybe the first week but definitely seems like a likely
inefficiency that you want to take advantage of back early.
Yep, I agree. Only thing I want to mention
this chart that that's maybe like noteworthy is the Sam.
Ehlinger stuff is really bad and I think it's going to drag down
the entire Fire Colts. I'm passing game and, you know,
it's not all on him. I will watch that game as a
Patriots fan, the o-line is awful there.
And there were some hope that I mean that was part of the logic
why people thought they went to ehlinger over.
Matt Ryan was that he was better at avoiding pressure but that's
clearly not true after last week and at least you know Ryan was
not great but I mean he started to of interceptions but he's at
least getting rid of the ball, a lot of short stuff which created
some some ER scoring for Pittman and the running backs in the
passing game but yeah the best Deon Jackson fantasy performance
of all time. Yeah I got yet I had I think I
have for manage season-long leagues.
I got Dee Ann Jackson and all four of them and somehow still
went three and one last week. So so credit to me for her
stomaching that absolute grenade performance from Deon Jackson.
Now that was ugly. I mean yeah we need to track
down mom back on the buck at the helm.
Yeah we do and maybe we'll get that with.
I mean Jeff Saturday noted three and seven in his last coaching
gig as a high school football coach, really, really strong
resume. I trust that he'll pull things
together. Yeah, I I think it's kind of
funny in a way and like there's like no downside to the college
for doing this because if it doesn't It blows up
spectacularly, it's a great time.
Like just hiring the riskiest coach that you can possibly
imagine. It is a great way to tank.
But on the other hand, it does seem like a gym are saw
genuinely likes as Saturday and it's like, okay, here's your
chance as almost like a win-win but at obviously not, ah, it's
not encouraged. From classical perspective.
Yeah, there's a press conference was really unhinged, it's hard
to. Yeah, maybe he's like a genius
and he's doing this on purpose to tank and this is all just a
show, but I'd recommend people check out the Earth's force, a
press conference on the Saturday higher.
He, he shocker, he's not a fan of analytics and he rants
against that for a little bit, just this overall pretty, pretty
funny stuff there. Last thing I want to mention, I
think I mentioned this a couple weeks, but like, the Atlanta
stuff again just continues to piss me off on the volume side
because, you know, Mariota hasn't been great.
I don't think by any means, he's like a top ten and I fell
quarterback but again he shows up pretty well here on this
chart from an efficiency standpoint meaning of it's not
like Atlanta has this awful, you know, passing game, you know,
maybe you can make this argument for for the Giants.
And that's why they're so run, heavy or even for the Bears, and
that's why their cell run had to because the passing him selling
efficient, but Mariota actually has not been that inefficient on
a per pass attempt basis. So, just the absolute, you know,
burying your head in the sand, running the ball every single
play just as even more frustrating when the quarterback
is giving you something there. So I don't know.
I'm no longer like hopeful that Elena is going to change.
JH. I think we're kind of stuck with
this attack, but I just like my only wish is that they lost more
games. So the coach might be on the hot
seat more but he's probably one enough games that he's going to
see how the season. Yeah and that Division I mean
they could still I think they're still tied for first in the
division with the box. It's exactly.
Anyways let's let's move on to some more of the interesting
situations at the other positions.
Chris really wants to see Ritter man.
Sorry, I want to dress like comment quickly, you know.
I think it's always fun to wish for the the rookie quarterbacks
and then you see Malik Willis and Kenny pick it out there and
you realize what, maybe they're not.
They're not going to some of these guys.
But anyways, had to get a little Ritter slander in there for
Chris before we move on running backs.
We're looking. So we're going to start with the
opportunity like the snaps and you should start for running
backs first before going to the expected points.
And we're looking at this chart here, running back snaps and
usage. We're looking at percent of team
plays, that running backs are getting a rush attempt or a
route and this is just looking over the last five weeks.
So either four or five games played depending on bye weeks.
For some of these players and the chart here is ordered sort
of on The left hand side the most sort of Workhorse, he backs
Squad Berkeley, Derrick Henry some names.
You maybe wouldn't expect like Damien Pearson or Madre over
there. And then the right hand side is
sort of the more rotational committee, guys, getting around
40% rush or route rates in Melvin, Gordon Darryl, Anderson
like Carter, those type of guys. So yeah, the Achievers in the
chat calls out, Ramon, Dre. That's where I wanted to start.
Here on this chart? Yeah, the achiever.
Yeah, remonster I think, I think we mentioned before, but it's
really exciting for him. They expect, so you can see
here, also expected points per game.
He's at 22, expected fantasy points per game over the past
five weeks. Second to only Austin Eckler
over that stretch, that's, that's really impressive and the
routes and Russia times back that up.
Now, Damien Harris has missed some games in there.
You missed due to illness, he's here.
Miss some other games, do a hamstring injury, but there's
still two games not sample where Harris was active.
And you think even one game where he was, like, officially
named the starter? And got the first, the first
steps and even in those games room Andres still really popping
as a Workhorse here. So I feel pretty confident in
term Andre as sort of a low-end rb1.
The rest of the way, I think the Patriots are pretty committed to
him, especially in the receiving game, which with a quarterback
like Once I think is quite valuable in any section of Andre
Connor, do you think back end like rb1 maybe, you know, I
think there are probably prayers there.
Yeah, that's probably Fair. My only I have this, have this
niggling doubt that maybe there's like an injury or things
going on with Damien Hirst that like, we don't actually know
about that even when he's healthy enough to like play,
he's like not Healthy enough to, to get his for his normal, full
split and like I'm ready to I'm. I could easily be wrong with
this. I'm ready to believe that a
reminder is just kind of dusted them, but there's just a small
that a bit of Doubt for me that like, maybe, maybe we don't have
as much information on the situation as we would like Yeah,
yeah I think I think that's fair.
I mean he did come back a lot quicker from the hamstring
injury. Then people originally expecting
the Patriots are notoriously guarded about their, their
injury news. So, here we are.
Remember years ago that used to when they used used to be a
probable, that is designation. Yeah, they have like a key
player B. Yeah, and probable, they would
put in all their key players is probable.
Even though they weren't behind them and buried them on the
injury report. Yeah.
And I remember braid, I think there were some years for Brady
was either probable or questionable like every single
week with just, like knee or like shoulder or something.
And they just yeah, that I don't know.
Then they'll build us funky stuff with injury report there
for sure. But either way, I think you got
to be bullish on our Mantra. Again, he had a pretty big week
last week even in a game where they gave Jay, Jay Taylor roll
the clip, 10 carries 49 yards, funny you mention roll the cliff
I just realized how to actually roll these clips, should we make
sure you're all the children together?
Cliff, I don't think we've got the same leeway to do that on
this show. As the, the boys on the yeah.
I think we might get fired for that.
Yeah, that's not button but yeah, I know.
No, I'm actually gonna, I'm, I talked to Pete about this.
I'm going to be making a new Jay Taylor highlight clip for his
best, so he had ten carries for non yards last week, you had a
couple really good one and two yard runs in there.
So I'm going to be adding to the Highlight clip with a couple of
those awesome one-yard, run, forget it Taylor.
Yeah, let's see. That's jump around here a little
bit. I think the Miami discussion is
maybe a good one, Rahim mustard. So, again, this is the past five
weeks. This isn't going to
automatically update to the new situation, with Jeff Wilson.
But most again here shows up pretty well on this chart from a
staff perspective, he's in the range of guys like Aaron Jones.
Travis etn. Joe Mixon Kenneth Walker.
That's good to see. We flip over to the next chart
here. We see Jeff Wilson just barely
missing the chart. He's that sort of a 40% routes
and Russia tax rate. Now what we should really be
looking out for those. These two guys is what happened
last week because that's the most relevant.
That's the most relevant information we have.
Yeah. And what happened last week is
Jeff Wilson actually out snapped moster, he had 28 snaps to
mosters 26, we saw him slightly Edge.
Moisture and routes run. 11:42 out.
The got more targets that I'm 321.
Same amount of carries, they both got nine.
So I think from watching this game, I don't have the data on
this. I think most are was sort of the
clearly in the first half and then Wilson like took over in
the second half. And it's not like it was a
blowout, it was a close game throughout.
So I'm reading that as either a small injury to moster that kept
in limited, but probably more likely, that that Wilson is
going to become. Um, the guy here, going forward.
And yeah, I'm willing to be aggressive here.
And I would immediately relegate moster to sort of, you know,
around running back, 35 to 45 range, weekly.
And I would put Wilson, may be closer to running back, 20 to
25. This is me kind of kind of
winging my ranks, but I think you get the general Point here.
I would some almost immediately Flip Wilson and most hurt after
that one. We performance.
Are you on the same page there? Are, are you more hesitant to do
that? and so I yeah, I think you do
have to react pretty quickly to the new information and I know
we kind of like had a conversation off are and where I
had talked that, and the fact that Jeff Wilson has played in a
version of this offense and yeah, the league would give me a
huge jumpstart on Facebook stuff and But kind of immediately
being 5050 II, don't think? I don't think anybody had that
in the cards, and I think you should have a pretty decent bias
towards and that being a starting point and then it
turning into like a 60/40 and maybe even higher as it.
Me maybe even more in favor of Jeff Wilson and we'll probably
base case 6040. Jeff.
Yeah. And it's pretty small sample
size and but I do see that Jeff Wilson was also slightly more.
He had a he was more efficient and they both had similar and
efficiency in terms of getting to approach that in verses and
much was expected. But yeah, for Wilson, he We had
more receiving yards and expected, and he also had more
rushing yards than expected. Where's her?
He Mozart was - on both of those.
So, I mean, that's super small, sample size.
But I guess it is something that Jeff Wilson.
Basically, I played them as well.
Yeah. And it's something that like, I
don't rely too much on this, but it's simply something that the
eye test backs up. If he's just watching either of
these guys this season. Wilson has had some runs in San
Francisco where it looks like he shot out of a cannon.
Most stirred, you know, it's it looks like he still has a long
speed but he's not as explosive getting getting through the
first layer of the defense. It doesn't seem and, you know,
it makes sense, given his age, right?
I mean, even in the first couple of weeks, he had a couple of
weeks ago, he was the fastest ball carrier and a tour in the
game. Or are you recorded the fastest
run? And but he's out.
He's an older guy. So it probably does make sense
for that. Someone doctor like, slow down
as we head into the end of the regular and, and, and the
regular season, I guess. Yeah.
That that makes sense. Another thing I wanted to touch
on was Kenneth Walker his placed on this chart.
Now if you remember from past weeks, he had been usually
showing up on the the second one of these charts as sort of a
lower snap guy and then as Penny went down it's sort of been
making his way up the chart. But I just wonder is the point
that his role Is really no longer like the it's not the
Rashad Penny roll that we saw last season or they'll be salt
earlier this year. He is not quite like, a three
Down, a true, three down back, but it's almost like a Joe Mixon
situation where he's getting a lot of routes on 1st and 2nd
down and also getting some third-down work.
She took the snap counts here for just this past week.
In week 9, he played 56 of 73 He ran 21 of 38 routes.
So around a sixty percent route Force participation rate, he had
four targets, and obviously ridiculous 26 carriers to go
along with that. So, I think this role here is
truly Elite, it's closer to Joe Mixon, Dalvin, cook than it is,
you know, Richard Penny of years passed.
And I'm, yeah, go ahead. Go ahead.
And you said something together. And so just looking The last
three weeks and if you combine his his routes and that Rush
attempts that 64% of the team sort of place and we I've got to
talk as say Quan Berkeley being 67 and are also an actor being
67. So true like and today's NFL
true Workhorse, Yeah, well, I wish you were.
Yeah, sure, of course. And on a good a good offense to
you. Like I don't think this Geno
Smith stuff is fluky anymore. I think it's safe to protect
them as like a top half. Even top third NFL offense, the
rest of the way. So yeah.
They like anybody who's saying you should sell.
Hi, I'm Kenneth Walker, he's done this all and efficiency and
they're not paying attention to how his role has grown, and if
you're going to nitpick in for Travis Homer, you know, getting
20 snaps, you're not. Paying attention to the fact
that everybody every running back losses.
Snaps to somebody, right? Right.
Yeah. His role is a probably losing
snaps to somebody. This 32% of the New York Giants
plays second Barca is not on the field and he's a Shady Tree
percent on he's the top snap guy and based on this data.
Yeah, yeah, exactly. So, you know, that's why I think
This chart is helpful and it puts it in context, it's
sometimes you see, oh Travis, I'm gonna get a third of the
snaps. Is that bad?
No. Like once you put it in context
of what every other running back in the league is looking like
you realize that that's actually really bullish.
So I'd be taking Kenneth Walker like again sort of winging it.
I think I had a firm Andre probably like R&B.
I'd have to actually let starting backs out, but
something like rb7 or rv8 the rest of the way, you know, I
think it take Eckler Henry Berkeley.
Caffrey Chimera maybe one or two other guys ahead of him.
But once you sort of get past those Elite guys, I think he's
right, right up there and sort of the RB 629 range bright.
He's probably doesn't have like, the double double we're like 10
points. Over ten points, expected
Russian points and over ten points expected that receiving
points. What?
And over the last three weeks he has Got let me see.
He's got 17 expected points per game and their six points over
expected. So, like, that's not, that's not
really your 25 points, a game like you, you burn down the
world and even if you drop them in the first round, but that is
like, that's a really, really strong.
Yeah. I agree with that for sure.
The there's some talk in the chat about JT so I want to hit
it so get on that. Yeah.
Do you have any thoughts on this on this question for Jonathan
Taylor or maybe just like maybe first before we get to that?
Talk about Taylor more. Broadly, how do you sort of see
his rest of season outlook in this sammelan?
Or Jeff Saturday LED Colts Quagmire and well it goes seem
like the Colts are going to run the piss out of the bottom,
right. And that probably had those help
and Jonathan Taylor and but He's also injured, right, Michael's
friend. And whenever you see these
injuries that are lingering and they're kind of like, they kind
of like more at the ability, any injuries, like a high ankle
sprain, it lingers, and I become more in the camp of.
I'm just going to fade them and I'm the logic kind of is there
that I would expect the price to still not properly account for
the risk that you need to take with that kind of injury.
And you said, and like you said, you still have these issues with
some ehlinger and the offense and the coaching staff, and the
fact that they have, they don't have anybody on the staff who's
ever called an NFL play? And yeah, it's kind of, it's
it's it's just It's unless like, I don't even know, like, I feel
like a dummy like, saying that like, oh, yeah, I'd start
considering like the six round, or something like that.
And that's probably too late, but whatever, whatever.
Wherever I think, I think that the efficient and price on
Janet. Taylor will still be lower than
what other people will pay for him.
Yeah. Have you Um charted the snaps of
Jeff Saturday's, high school games to get a sense of his play
call. Yeah that's been working on a
day or night. Yeah.
Okay you let me know when you I'm really looking forward to
seeing that data. So we should let me know, wing-t
the the quarterback tried to pass the ball immediately,
benched, okay, that could be good for for Matt Ryan, getting
in there. Yeah.
I will say but yeah, no, I'm with you on JT.
Like I think it's a yearly reminder that whenever there's
these ankle injuries, I think you got to just sell low.
Like if you just sold low on Jonathan Taylor, right at the
ankle injury. And got like Russia, Gibbs.
Josh. Yeah, Mi Sanders Josh Jake.
Like I do every year, these high ankle sprain guys.
Like this happened to Berkeley. Maybe the past two years, even
definitely one of the past years with the ankle we're like, Like
the guy comes back and he's just clearly not the same player.
They try to play through the injury.
It's injury that takes a long time to heal from but guys,
always hard to play through it. They reactivate it like I can't
remember a high ankle sprain success story at the running
system specifically at the running back position, it just
seems so, so hard to come back from in season.
So yeah, I'm just, this is a personal reminder.
If, you know, one of your top running backs is a high ankle
sprain, I'm just selling them low, and Search ratings allowed
and just saying, fuck it. It's kind of a Lost season for
that guy. Yeah, the we spend a lot of time
here. I think we should hit on Damien
Pierce. That is also a bit of a shocker
and where he pops on this chart. He's not like a crazy hot if
this was ordered by just snaps. Now remember, this is ordered by
percent Rush attempts and routes not snaps.
If this is ordered just by snaps.
Peers would not be the same. Acai up because he's not asked
to pass block a lot, he's never asked to run block, which makes
sense, you know, there's quarterback, Luke Davis Mills,
there's no design runs, but he's on the field.
He's almost always getting a rush or running a route.
So he's got this really interesting role where he's not
a huge snap player but he's doing a lot of valuable things
when he is on the field. And yeah his role has also grown
over the past few weeks. You've seen Rex Burkhead really
be pushed to the side. I think we've seen some like
weird one, weird like Daria Goomba Wale game in there for
some reason, but Pierce's role has really has really grown and
he's a guy I'm excited about going forward.
I think a really talented running back his issue.
Obviously I think the upside is is limited by being on the
Texans. So I'm not going to say he's a
clear, top six running back recipes and I think he's, you
know, probably in the high-end rb2 range is because of his team
situation. Equation.
But obviously a huge Smash 4. We're, you drafted him?
And yeah, I would guess the market is kind of caught up to
his value. I wish we had some ATP data to
have like a firmer stance there but he's a guy.
I'm pretty excited. Yeah, de re really hot right
now. Is this drafting salary and hey
6380? Seems seems pretty solidly
efficient and maybe a little bit High because it does strike me
as like the Archer type or the Prototype of running back that
the market always over values. Like, and his expected points
per game is like solid. And, but even, even with that
kind of like Workhorse, he roll and He's not getting this like
huge share of like high-value touches and or are not huge,
very huge amount of high-value touches.
Yeah, where you can really like Crush at.
He hasn't been efficient place for about offense and he's I
will say when I watch him play I'm like, oh that this guy looks
fucking good. Yeah, he looks like he can play.
You can really play running back.
And but II don't know. I'm and I I could just get like
my face smashed in with this one, but I just don't know if he
can really hit like yeah, like, 6300 seems fine.
But like, it's not like and probably maybe a tad high, but
yeah, yeah. Now I'm with you and I think,
like, in DFS you talking GPS, like, he doesn't strike me as
Like a massive ceiling guy at that price.
Just because of the T. Honestly, just because the team
contacts, like maybe he gets there, he could get there up
breaking off some long runs. And also, if you do look at his
reception totals the past five weeks, he has games of 6, then 3
then 4 then 3 and then you know back down to zero last week.
So we kind of came back down to Earth but that's a 4 Game of you
know five-game stretch of some some decent reception totals in
there for peers but again to my larger born and I think Point
like at that price he's kind of seems more of like a floor guy
not based on this town. I just based on the team
situation there and he stole Yeah.
Agreed. Yeah.
Okay, let's take a quick look at the the backup running backs.
Here don't have to spend a ton of time.
I think nothing on this chart. I had a couple notes from last
week. 14 people in deep leagues, Isaiah Spiller, iced Sony.
Michelle as the backup running back.
I think that was partially do. Due to a Michelle injury in
game. I'm not entirely actually
looking into it. I don't think Michelle got hurt,
so maybe I'll take that back. Unless someone can just prove
me, I think Spiller just just out.
Snapped him outside from 10:47. He had seven carries some shells
one. So he looks like the like sort
of a classic like sneaky ten to fifty dollar ad in these FPC
leagues where you can get the Handcuff.
On a good offense for pretty cheap.
But yeah, the rest any other like any of these guys you want
to hit on Connor and not a ton of here.
Ginger tiller on the chart with -6 fantasy points under
expected. Yeah that's that's a career.
Yeah. And now wire that's clearly
going to regress in a Min and so the last couple last a couple Do
you have - six? And so just to even it out, he's
actually going to have plus 6 or the next three weeks.
So, yeah, they can smash your judges.
Yellow verse 15 points a game over the next three weeks and
sarcasm, aside, as I did, I think we saw the beat report
that Rashad white and it looked more like speculation to me than
like, informed. Hey, this is the team said this.
This. Yeah, that Richard white could
flip Lenny and I didn't think that was interesting and I have
a home League where, of course, I don't have anyone to play at
running back and so it's kind of short short bench.
So I I'm playing Richard white until Until I'm proven wrong or
right. Yeah, that's, yeah, I'm hoping
that. That is true.
And the thing with a shot of light is like, he honestly
hasn't been that good. If you look at all the metrics,
he's been better than fournette. I don't know if he's like, he's,
I feel like he's got to make a play like tree art for car
eating that. Yeah.
But I mean, isn't honestly don't think Richard White's like that
much better after. I don't understand from me right
now. But my point is like, for this
to come true, I feel like Richard Whiteley.
It needs to break like a 40-yard Ron or like, I don't know.
Can you like I can't think of a Rashad white play from this
season, like you don't see him on Red Zone, breaking off plays
like look for Nat sot doing anything either, but it's all
like white is like playing to this extremely impressive level.
So yeah, we'll see you on that. I'm stashing white and so many
leaks so I hope it happens but yeah, I don't know.
Other thing like we saw the return of Corey, I'll pass And
that's worth million. I wanted me to mention that and
obviously very efficient his at like at expected point for SNAP
is really high. That's that's not like a metric
that we look at but it's clearly very high where I am.
He's getting it, he's getting targeted at a high rate and it's
getting go line Looks and and that's the quarter of Patterson
kind of Like experience, right? Where they really they look to
him to make big plays for the team when it matters and he
scores a lot some point soon. Yep.
I think you're back to come from
Comfortably starting him. I think.
Yes. Nap for a little bit Limited in
this one, he just played 23 of 61 snaps, he saw a lot of algae
and Huntley in there. You know.
I expect that to go up. I expect him to be closer to 50%
snaps and maybe like hot. Is the loser there we will see
but yeah you had on all the key things there.
It's almost like a little bit like the Nick Chubb role where
it's not a high percentage of snaps, it's not even like
necessarily high percentage share of Touches at the running
back position, but what it is is really efficient touches, you
know, locks on the goal line work, right?
And just a talented player. So you're going to be starting
Patterson, unless your land and obviously he gets lots of
Targets as well. So, that would be a difference
but it's one of those things where like, the snap share it at
if you are only looking at snap share this, not sure it's like
biased against this player and you need to be looking at older
data to fully get a picture and Yeah.
Okay, let's we've spent a lot of time running back.
Let's just like maybe one or two points each on these expected
points, charts, I just wanted to make the Joe Mixon point that I
think. Like if you followed us here,
hopefully that maybe got you on to Joe Mixon in a GP last week.
I mean, obviously, we're, we weren't the only people touting
Joe mix-ins. Workload.
That's not like, you know, Unique, take to us but it just
goes to show that these running backs that have massive
workloads even if they're not super talented, they have
potential for these massive games and if you look at Joe
Mixon is scoring last week in the bank on the Bangles.
And I heard this point from maybe it was Sean or calm on the
root of a word of this OT pod. They talked about how none of
Nixon's touchdowns last week were like long, 50-yard
touchdown. Towns which you usually see,
when these guys have these explosion games, it was just
like a 15-yard touchdown, a 4-yard touchdown, a one-yard
touchdown like all these touchdowns from within 15 yards,
just make the point that like, you know, when these guys have
these massive workloads, even if they're not, these amazing
explosive players, they can pop up for ceiling games.
And I think if you look at the underlying usage for mix in, you
could see that at one of these games was potentially coming.
So yeah, I don't know if that that's, that's sort of my I
thought on mix in. I don't think a lot has changed.
I don't think anything changed for him and usage.
I think they displayed an awful team and a couple.
You got a couple of good breaks and things with his way in that
game. So yeah that's my mixing.
Take any any thoughts there or like any other these guys you
want to touch on before we go on to position?
I don't think so. I think we hit on like to kind
of like relevant relevant points and I guess we could say.
We're all very disappointed dot ed u under Swift has gotten hurt
again and let's walk on to be too generous with legendary
season and but I think I think we've touched on what we want to
talk about. Yeah.
Yep. I I guess one.
Final note, Darrell Henderson. So Acres was bad.
This Rams backfield. I think it's worth talking about
because it's constantly in flux Henderson.
Last week was at 50% snaps, but he led the team in carries which
we haven't seen for a while. He had 12 carries two, only two
for Malcolm Brown. Only 54 can Acres, Henderson's
routes were actually down. Malcolm Brown, took a bunch of
routes. It's but yeah I guess my larger
Point here is that Henderson still even with Acres sort of
disappearance and you know re-emergence Henderson still
seems like the one there. Ronnie Rivers went back to not
play any offensive snaps. So yeah again like this is going
to change week to week but just wanted to get the update on the
Rams. I guess I'm still may be like
slightly buying Henderson but it's not something.
I'm super. Excited about but he's like he's
a fine. Flax are be to play in Desperate
spots, I think. Okay, let's go to wide receiver
now. Just to orient everyone to the
Chart. We're looking at wide receiver
opportunity verse fantasy points and restarting with wide
receivers that have run over 85% of their team's routes so true
full-time wide receivers. On this chart, we have fantasy
points per game on the y axis on, the x axis.
We have waited targets for Route run, so that is targets per
route run. So the number of targets you get
on divided by the number of routes you run adjusted for
depth of Target. So the low a DOT targets are not
as valuable as the targets down field because your expect to get
more yards on those Targets in fantasy.
So that's the chart. We should have broken up and
Different quadrants here, which we've talked about before, and
it ranges from the guys like Marcus Johnson, who are just
running cardio out there along with likes of Paris, Campbell
and out, Robinson, two guys like Crystal Ave CT lamb Devonte
Cooper cop who are learning a ton of targets on the routes
they're running. So Connor all all kick it to
you. What do you like of these?
By Lowe's, I'll give you a group of guys, that's like showing up
in the Spy low quadrant. These are guys that are earning
significant opportunity Targets on the routes, but are not
really showing up in the box score in terms of fantasy
points. So of Drake London, Courtland
Sutton DJ more deante, Johnson and Brandin Cooks.
Let's assume for the moment that cooks his off, the field stuff.
But let's ignore rights TV playing.
Next week in this conversation. Yeah, he's playing this next
week in the conversation of those five guys who are you most
excited about for for rest of season and fantasy?
I mean, it seemed your, if you're kind of asked me, who's
the tallest munchkin, I think that it's pretty obvious.
This is that the basket here is like, talented wide receivers in
offenses, that aren't maximizing their palates. yep, and It's, I
don't know. It's tough.
It's like, because I need these guys cuz they're so good.
So, any of these guys can go out and have a huge game next week,
but as like a human and like one of those, like, kind of like,
cognitive biases of, like, you've seen them play at, not
pearly, but produced purely from a fantasy perspective and you
see, we've seen their teams and Well, we've seen at times
quarterback struggle and it's like so hard to like Envision
the game that you need but I do think any of these guys can like
go out. Like I said, I think I know you
guys can go out and have a big game.
It's just it's really hard to wear to get excited and yeah,
it's some of the most disappointing offense in the
league. Yeah.
Sorry. I cut you off and you have so
now and I think that the deejay Or week where he, where he got
down in price and then he has like his best game of the season
so far, it's probably good. Like indication of how you need
to play this of like, whenever these guys get like,
ridiculously cheap than their good place.
Don't let the offense push you off and these very good.
Players are cheap prices, but order done that.
It's just very hard to get excited.
Yeah. Yeah, it is.
It is really hard. I think like, if I were to make
a case for one of these guys, it would probably be Courtland
Sutton just because I at least, you know, I think the rough
stuff has been pretty bad, that's been well documented.
But of the other quarterbacks here, you know, DJ more we're
looking at t.j. Walker Baker.
Sam Donald for Drake London, we're looking at an offense from
the 1940s that Throw the ball for jump to Johnson.
We're looking at Kenny piggy who maybe have some upside and
Cooks, we're looking at Davis Mills.
So, you know, I'm just sort of doing the simple simple
filtering for quarterback play. I think of this group of five, I
think Sutton, and Deonte have quarterbacks that there's at
least some hope for upside there.
So, if I was picking between these guys, I think I would lean
towards those two. But yeah, I don't know the Yalta
is like it's not just this year for de'aunte, like he would
probably be in this pile o quadrant like every single year
of his career. He he draws targets at an insane
rate but these targets aren't that valuable for whatever
reason. Yeah, he's in a confusing guy
but anyways, I think I'll go Courtland son.
I think I could see him, you know, having the highest weekly
upside. If Ross could ever figure things
out the rest of these guys, the quarterback and team situation
is just even more Saying that it is in Denver but yeah I think I
think you hit on on the road the right points there for that, for
that quadrant. Yeah, other than that, I think
we've seen all these guys sort of in similar places all year.
I guess I'll kick it to you. If there's anybody you wanted to
talk about otherwise. I think it's kind of just a bit
of par for the course for. Yeah, a lot of these guys are
rare. I We've set a remark on this
before. This is probably one of our most
stable charts. Yeah, you make a point one week.
And then it's the same point next week and I think that a
curse olave is probably the most interesting guy and in the kind
of positive portion. Yeah.
He's obviously drunk drying. This really high and way to
Tigers / at run and the fantasy points haven't quite line.
It up and but young receiver relatively young and rookie
receiver. So very, very easy to imagine a
big game and but I see that he is 60, I think it's 60 6800 on a
Draft Kings and so yeah that's that's probably enough dada.
Maybe his ownership doesn't get out of control and that he
actually is a good play there and obviously don't want to turn
into like a DFS tout at podcast but just trying to make it
Market orientated. Yeah that yeah that's probably
the most interesting and thing from this chart for me.
Yeah I think that a lot of the lava stuff is just the lack of
touchdowns. He's had a pretty awesome roll
all year, like a ton of targets ton of are yards Just the two
touchdowns over his eight games played.
So yeah, he's a guy that people might be sleeping on and again,
yeah, I'm not, I'm no DFS tout. I don't, I don't know ownership
or anything like that, but I'm sort of with you on the by low
for a law of a, I think CD is, is another one that it may be
more casual leagues. You could catch your league
mates, sleeping with CD, maybe not, he's Pretty, pretty big
name and someone probably drafted him high.
So they might not be willing to trade him away for cheap.
But his role is why are you should pick him up for sure?
Yeah, he's on the wire. You got it.
You got Adam. It's funny.
You say that, like, I get these note, I don't know if you play
in an ESPN Leagues, with ESPN sends out these notifications
and I know they're like for a casual audience, but sometimes
the ridiculous like that. I got this notification last
week. That's like why Derrick Henry is
worth? Holding on to entertain those.
Like, who's this more? Like, who, what content who's
the target audiences got that? But yeah, add add CD lamb and
all of your league season. He's a must-have for me this
week and just looking at the at last season and the other
Johnson was actually in PB or scoring, he was the wide
receiver seven in points per game, okay?
And yeah. So obviously hugely
disappointing and season just you thought it couldn't get any
worse than a Big Ben and it really did in a big way.
Yeah, that whole Narrative of how about like how he was a bit
of a product of big bands like failing arm or whatever was may
be true? But yeah, I think he will.
Like, he will rebound somewhat. Like, I expect him to be, I
don't know. 12 to 15, people are points per game, the rest of the
year, Target numbers are really strong.
But anyways, we've talked a lot about those guys.
Let's move on to the next chart. Maybe some more more interesting
discussions we can have here. Yeah, the first thing again,
Tyree kill, like there's no way you can buy to re-kill low at
this point. It's I mean that would be insane
but his his role is like pretty Far and Away the best of any
wide receiver in the league this year.
I think it's getting to the point where I would, I would
probably with cups injury and how the Rams are looking with
chases injury. I mean, maybe this is a hot
take, I think I would take. I think I would take Tyreke
first overall. I think you could make a case
for for dick, has actually the most expensive wide receiver on
DraftKings. Make up the DFS Marcus caught
up. I think if we ran some kind of
like redraft for the rest of the year, I don't think people I
think. People would be anchored to
Jefferson digs cop ahead of him, but I think you, I think that
Hill is the best asset in fantasy right now at Wide
Receiver, right? The targets are in saying the
yardages and saying, and the touchdowns I think we'll catch
up. So I would be ranking Hill every
week. Every week, Adam digs, out of
Jefferson. You know, it's not with a ton of
confidence. All those guys are good, right?
Yeah, that's all. I'm looking at Hill for the rest
of the year. Yeah, so slightly, you know,
I've Hill ahead of that. Those guys, I think makes sense
and yeah. Can you kill the wide receiver?
Changing teams? Is bad narrative.
Can we can we bury that once and for all or what do you think?
I think I can get one of those things where like it really
depends. Like I think a lot of that
analysis, there was an inbuilt bias like into it and before
where the teams that wear the sari, the receivers that we're
changing teams. The teams did not want to pay
them for a reason. It was cuz It's like that
analysis works great. When it's kind of gold a because
the team Knows Kenny go, they is not like a borderline Elite
receiver, where's and? And you had like players like
Mike Wallace who was not a borderline illegal wide receiver
and got paid like it and whereas Tyree kill even with the move
was clearly clearly, an elite wide receiver and Iraq.
Prior on that should not have changed.
And so have like it's one of those things where it's like a
judgment call and like there's obviously going to be it's hard
to make those judgment calls with 100% correctness and but I
think that's the way you have to look at it wears.
Like hey is this player actually Elite and and Tyree kill Cleary
actually, and he could probably do the same for Davante Adams on
a kind of Like smaller scale. Obviously there's been more
disappointment there for Adams but it's still been good.
Yeah, he's still clearly, it's not like he's this guy where the
team won't pay him because they know he's not as good as the
stock has been. And and that's I think that's
the distinction that you have to make.
Yep, I think that's that's fair. I think there's also something
to just like I think part of that narrative was like oh it's
going to take, you know, the guy a season, to learn the Playbook
to get accustomed to new quarterback.
And like I don't know what the mechanism is behind that, but I
think things have changed where players are more easily
integrated into new teams. I don't know if like like they
spend more time studying Play books or Play Books & More
similar across teams. But we've seen this with trades
now, this A way that I've never seen it before, you know, TJ
Hawkins. And we'll get to in a bit gets
traded midweek. He's immediately like a full
full time player at tight end, which is supposed to be one of
the most complex positions to play.
You know, Jeff Wilson comes in four days after being traded
leads the team in snaps. Running back, Claypool comes in
immediately, has a decent role in Chicago.
So I think that like there's something to I don't know if the
coaches are just unaware, you daring to suggest that the
football people. Football adjacent people haven't
been 100% accurate and how the game works.
No, no. I'm not saying that they're
obviously they're always right. But yeah.
It does seem like one of those narratives we're not quite as
correct as they want. Would want us to believe.
Yeah, like three honest, I the kind of Playbook stuff and like
maybe in week 1, I believe it. And stuff like that, maybe week
two. But yeah, II think that stuff is
probably a little bit over phone.
Yeah. Yep, I agree.
Okay, let's get back to the players, the players here.
I'll try to make this. This more action will talk about
more Fringe. Guys, I think Juan crayon
Barracks. I added them back to the start
this week. If he's available in any League,
he's worth a stash just because Tennessee has nothing at wide
receiver. And they, you know, they might
want to jumpstart their offense and get him more integrated than
he was early in the season. I think that's one.
To Darius Layton again for you for you really deeply because I
think he's a name. That pops here is a guy that I
think has some talent and there's opportunity there maybe
after the bye week. You know we saw Marcus Johnson
on the last chart as just the biggest cardio guy in the
league. For some reason get 85 to 90% of
the steam snaps. You would think a smart guy like
Dave ball is going to make that adjustment and get Slayton up to
that range after the by. So So I like I like Slayton as
an ad in deeper leagues and maybe like a desperation Flex.
Those are my takeaways any other guys here, Connor or any
comments on either of those? Not really got ya.
I can't find anybody that we haven't talked about a lot.
All right. Yeah, we can keep it going.
I let I want to kick it to you here on this last chart.
So now we're looking at the more rotational guys.
So the Packers, let's talk about the Packers for a second.
Cobb is injured looks to be for a while dubs.
I think is likely to go and I are with a high ankle sprain.
Sammy Watkins is terrible, Christian W and they don't trust
albums are is decent, but I think there's still room for
another wide receiver. There you have any thoughts on
this? Some more a tour a guy and
forgive me if I'm not pronouncing his name, right?
But he I know is like if he's French, it doesn't hooray.
Well, yeah, Torres. Okay, Tory?
I know, he was like an interesting Prospect for some
people. He came in last week, had 22
routes run on 47, drawbacks earned four targets.
Yeah. Is he a guy that like you have
any any Prospect takes on a more like is he a guy that you think
we should be adding speculatively with all these
injuries and underpaid am? So I actually I haven't looked
at them and so I'm going to I'm going to look up his, his
college starts now and I've got my gut reaction.
So and I guess he's a rookie and four year career.
He was in college from 2017 at true 2021.
When he became three seasons and his Dominator rating for his
first and and 2017 and 2019 season RNA.
And that sounds good, right? Right.
That meant. It's so high.
So I can even count it for ya. And and then as a 2423 Half your
old super senior I guess and he had a 32 percent Dominator
rating for Nebraska. That's pretty good, right?
32 percent. That's pretty dumb be like a
breakout considered. A pretty guy is to break out
trash. Okay.
Yeah.
And for a guy who start old like he's almost 24 and and it's
their only like real year of production and its content.
I would I would lean to a bit. Pretty low it's like imagine the
way I like to think about it is like imagine you get to put your
24 year old self and compete against like your 18 year old
self or 19 or whatever like unless you've gotten horribly
out of shape or whatever and or I don't know.
Like have that have had issues. You should be your 24 year.
Old self should be dominating your 19.
Itself. And yeah, and he was he got the
Betty like he was a good player, but I don't think that like
points to good NFL talent and having said that and it does
seem like maybe he's going to get a few routes for the Green
Bay Packers. And I think, I think though,
that it's probably more of a sign of how.
How bad the Packers are going to be Donna.
How good he's going to be for fantasy?
Before. Yeah, that's fair.
Yeah so he was running as the wide receiver three.
Still had walk ins and Lazard ahead of him who are both
healthy. Yeah this is maybe like this is
maybe like an FF PC like $1 add, I think is fine for Toure.
I mean they seem to really not trust Watson for whatever reason
and Watkins is out there just like bumbling around making
mistakes so I can see them giving this tour a guy chance.
I think they're probably desperate enough at there.
Destroy anything. So I'm adding him for $1.
Yes. I'm athleticism.
Yes. It's like that's that's a
helpful breakdown of his Prospect profile.
Doesn't sound like it was a good producer in college, sort of an
older player. He did run a 443 at the combine
which is decent to strong athleticism at position.
So who knows sometimes we get lucky with those guys.
So yeah, again, this is probably like a $1, add on teams, where
you're desperate, nothing. More than the right.
And and there's it in the context of that the wide
receivers generally available on the wire and are pretty
terrible. So it's like this is like a
preferred flavor shit. Basically are we dropping Sky
more for for some horatora? Every that down not all right, I
don't know. I might argue for it this week
just just to be a troll on our 2 and 17.
Yeah, rest in peace, I might need to take in order.
At middle. Hope we give.
Yeah, you start doing that. I think I can get one of the, of
the three guys on my side. I think I can get that on my
side. It's not.
Okay. He said, you got the right so
maybe not. Yeah, yeah.
Man, Scott Moore, I don't even want to talk about Sky more.
I've been like pretty anti Sky more and it's been coping with
the fact that I'm over exposed him, and best of all.
So like, I'm not really, my takes really weren't anti Sky
more, but Maddie Boof. Boof.
I don't want to talk about it. Let's talk about Thai dance.
Talk about something more fun. Okay, so we're going to talk
through the last 15 minutes here.
Talk through tight end utilization and efficiency.
Same trap, we've always had we're looking at percent of Team
drawbacks and the past Route percentage on those drawbacks
that chart is ordered hear from the guys getting the most pass
routes on the left. The guys getting the least on
the right and we also have below the guys names, we have their
targets per route, run and a taut so you can see are they
being used more like a tight? And down the field.
Okay, Kyle pits, Greg, dulcich, Mark Andrews or are they a
symptom of a broken offense? Like, Tyler higbee who's 3.4
yard a dots usually draw results in drops on bubble screens?
So anyways, that's the general layout of the chart here.
Yeah, a couple quick things, I'll head on and then Connor,
I'll give it to you if you have any other takes One Foster
Moreau continues to be like a full-time player without Darren
Waller. He's not particularly talented.
So he hasn't had like a huge game yet but he's certainly
somebody you can start as a back-end tied N1 in most
leagues. Same thing goes for Kate.
Austen continues to be a full-time player with Cameron
breit injured. So those are a couple guys that
might be in the wire in your leagues that are decent plays.
If you have to Connor any, any tight end takes here, looking at
the starting tight ends. And I think you alluded to
earlier and TJ Hawkinson immediately.
Oh, yeah, and smash, smash and roll.
And so, I filtered down the a version of this or a table.
That's a version of this chart 84% of the routes.
I am trying to figure out how to Get the so yeah, just quickly 30
here and 37 of 43 routes last week.
So yeah. Continue with with ham.
That's really good for a first. Yeah, absolutely.
And he was he got he got nine targets.
Not yeah. Nine Targets on 37 routes, which
is very strong as well. Yeah.
And so yeah. So that's 24 percent and cargo
spur outrun. And yeah, I I dropped it, a
decent amount of at Hawkinson, and this year and wasn't feeling
particularly great about it. But feeling very, very good
about it now, and you rather have Hawkinson or dulcich for
the rest of the year. Probably Hawkinson.
Yeah, that's fair just because we know a little bit more about
them and have a bit more confidence in the Vikings
offense and Yeah, and no more batam more confidence in the
Vikings often. So yeah, it would be still very
excited about those such stuff. Yep.
Those six looks very good here for people listening.
He's got a 13 .38 out. I alluded to that off the top
and at 18% targets for outrun. So the targets for outrun is is
a middling figure. But when he's being used that
far down, the field means he has a pretty big ceilings.
He's being used on seem routes to stretch the defense.
It's he's right up there, I think s only Kyle hits in terms
of a taught at the tight end position.
Kyle Pitts has a DOT is at fourteen point two, which I'm
assuming is due to that 70 yard bomb last week, where Marietta
missed him when he was wide open.
So yeah, you can cash in your glance key box on Kyle pits.
A DOT is a DOT and hers. For outrun is really strong, but
it does not mean anything for fantasy.
It's sadly, yeah yeah I thought Gossage in his in week, eight
hundred and fourteen yards. So definitely, definitely happy
there and Kyle pits. Yeah, it's another thing we're
clearly a great player and that / route numbers are query great
and they just are not a just not strong enough for it to be
helpful enough. And obviously though we've seen
the games where he does get there and just by being a great
player and he's done that a couple times this year and so
not a complete write-off. But obviously complete on the
performance that ATP. Yep.
And yeah I think it for your
Dynasty teams. Like I'm not panicking.
Kyle pits. I think he liked the talents
going to shine through at some It might be frustrating with
Arthur Smith Smith for a little bit until they figure out this
quarterback situation or maybe move on to a different coach.
But yeah, he's truly like the peripherals or truly Elite they
have been for both his years and then I fell.
So it's really a volume, volume, volume issue with them.
The last thing before we get to the back up tight ends, I wanted
to bring up cold commit because he had a big spike week this
past week, with two touchdowns he had Six Targets on 30 routes.
So decent targets were out around just to raise the point
that when these tight ends have full-time roles and commit has
been on this chart, as a guy, having a full-time role, this
whole season, they just inherently have ceiling.
Even if it's a really gross player, like Cole commit.
So if you're using this chart to maybe make your DFS decisions,
like sure the targets were out, running a DOT stuff is helpful.
But for if you're looking for contrarian guys, like maybe
Dawson Knocks, Jajuan Johnson, maybe fit the bill.
There may be hidden Hurst like these guys that are just running
all the routes for their team have have upside even if they
seem really gross and you know, at a low price or low ownership
in DFS, they should be worth considering.
That's just my take, therefore, sort of the gross tight ends
that, you know, or if they're still getting full-time roles
that are worth consideration in, right?
It's definitely lineups and there's definitely weeks.
Where you have to play or not have to play where you think
about playing the gross tight ends, and when you have a guy
with load ownership, but High route, share.
That is just a good flake, right?
Yeah. All right, we have a little bit
of time to talk through our favorite shirt, the back up
tight end chart. I got a lot of GM's this week
asking if we could look at guys running five to ten percent of
the team routes That is still behind the pay wall but that
means we still got to talk about exciting, guys.
Like trama, Kitty Zach Gentry. Jack stole Shane, zylstra you
know, pop big time last week with a touchdown as the third
string tight, end Lions. So really excited to talk
through some of these guys. Hey Sam are you a closet?
Boomer you love that? You love these.
Do see running back, you love your back up, tight ends and
then we're late to the show today.
They because you couldn't get your audio figured out, yeah.
Apparently are very suspicious here.
Yeah, I might be I, you know, I'm using but the audio problems
were very concerning today, but yeah, anyways, let's try to get
my dance segments before I try to start pushing the show off
the rails. The show is usually off the
rails by the time you get the backup lay downs.
Yeah, poof. This is a lot of, a lot of names
here. I guess some actual stuff
thinking through injuries for the week.
Evan engram got hurt. I don't know if Dan Arnold is on
this chart because Ingram had such a massive role.
But for ffcc leagues Den Arnold is worth an ad.
I think he would immediately be like a tight end 12 to 16 range.
If Evan engram was out, Arnold is a guy that's kind of used as
a Wide receiver similar to, to Ingram.
He's not a blocker. So he's interesting in the back
up. Tie down range.
Yeah, the lion stuff historical anomalies that zylstra, and
Mitchell wolf of the TD's. It looks like Brock right is
clearly going to be the lead in snaps there.
So I don't know. I'm not, I'm not wasting a
roster spot on these lines guys. It's sort of a three-way
committee. I think.
Brock, right. We'll probably Get a lot of
snaps, get 50 of 62 snaps so he's sort of the full-time guy
but he's not going to any Target.
So that situation is gross. Trying to think of any other
things in the back up. Tight end side.
I still think jig a conch. Whoa, is interesting.
He had a huge play. I think like a 44 yard catch
from Willis where he did it all himself.
It was like a screen or a short play that he took for a long
game. So yeah, it was really and I
remember Yeah. He's an athletic he kind of
looks like Joey mr. Looks like Johnny you out there.
He looks super athletic, so one play for sure.
Yeah, but not as I should mention Isaiah, likely he was a
full-time guy, 52 snaps of 68, 20 of 25 route.
So we tied for the team lead in routes run.
I think like a general take even if Andrews is likely to be back.
I think they're wide receiver core without Bateman is so weak
that they're going to be forced into doing a lot of too tight
end stuff. We saw that.
Even last week where Josh Oliver ran 50 percent routes so I could
see likely, even with Anders coming back staying in sort of
like the 50 to 60 percent routes rate category which makes him
usable and definitely like in deeper leagues, I would hold on
to him even after Andrews comes back just for the contingent
upside and potential, like desperation usability.
Yeah, that's all I got for backup tie-downs, Connor.
Yeah. Can I ask you a question under
the question? What is that what's going on
with your hair in the thumbnail? Was that a Halloween costume?
That was in that picture comes from?
I think Vietnam. And I was trying on suits and
took some selfies so yeah, I don't know that's back when I
had a lot a lot more hair like six or seven years ago.
I wish I wish I could rock that that look now.
But But you're in Vietnam. Yeah, I was there in college
everyone. I did like a trip there when I
was when I was in college, studying Australia and then did
a couple weeks in Vietnam, traveling around whole place.
But yeah, that's where the thumbnail thumbnails from I
said, I said Pete a lot of bad selfies of me for thumbnails and
he finally put them to use today, he does now, but yeah, he
just were talking has a soft spot.
Yeah, it was a boring week so we had to drive drive clicks.
Ah, now with with her? Yes, Oracle.
I'm Louise is buying suits in Vietnam as an alpha but yeah, a
little-little life. Advice last few minutes of the
show, I think I Like three suits that were out like equivalent
quality to what you get in the u.s. like a decent decent shop
for like 25 bucks each. So if you go to Vietnam by
suits, if you play enough PC, don't start James Mitchell.
And yeah, that's that's that's all I got Connor and thing you
want to plug before we wrap things up and know.
No, and not. Really.
I right. I'll be writing on rotor
businessweek missed last week, but we'll be back again to write
about the bottle rails on the drug.
Nice. Okay, cool.
I got I got nothing to plug. I guess I'll say for those
listening on audio or watching the replay and video, you can
catch these shows live by joining the ship chasing
Discord. You can find details of how to
do that in the description and then also Give me a follow at
Sherman underscore ffb for further analysis of these charts
and sort of relevant Trends from this season, from us to school
standpoint. Just yeah.
Hey, thanks for the chat as well.
You guys have been with us all. Show a tree appreciated when you
guys hang out with us. Yeah, we love having the chat
asking questions, so yeah, I hope people continue to do that
going forward. Word for myself.
For Connor. Good luck to everybody in week,
10. We will see you next week.