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Hello everybody and welcome to 
week 2 edition of statue. 

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A seing we have a really 
exciting week of football to 

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discuss a lot of really high 
wide receiver scoring from 

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Stefon Diggs, really highlighted
the week with a 40. 

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Five point four minutes and a 
lot of interesting other 

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situations that running back to 
discuss the some of the top 

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players posting 
lower-than-expected scores. 

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So yeah. 
It was exciting. 

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Week Draco, how'd everything, go
for you in week, two, for a 

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fantasy perspective. 
Yeah. 

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Fun week for sure. 
And I thought I had a sweat in a

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DFS, kind of ironic. 
I put that big post out like 

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this is why I'm focusing on. 
The bottle rails now. 

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And then I saw had a bunch of 
tickets on a Draft Kings and I 

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enter them into the into the 
Jukebox, which is about 150,000.

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And like, you know, I'm not 
gonna spend a lot of time on 

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this just chime in there. 
And then, at some point I was I 

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was in the top place for read 
the Jukebox and then yeah, 

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couldn't pull it out. 
Had to shoot a couple. 

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I think I'd tree scores above 
220 points. 

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Wow. 
I want I want enough for a pack 

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of a six-pack of Bud Light in 
the end. 

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Yeah, that's that's what you 
have in those lineups. 

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And they were it was definitely 
stalking the Miami and both of 

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my game, got it. 
Yeah, it seems like we didn't 

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have to us of water or to it a 
hill or maybe you maybe even 

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needed both to take down this 
tournaments. 

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Yeah, we also had a pretty 
insane sweat in our main event 

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team. 
I know people don't want to hear

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about. 
Outer leaks, but we were down 80

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points going into Monday Night, 
Football had Jalen hurts and 

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Stefon Diggs. 
They both went nuclear and we 

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ended up winning by just a 
handful of points, which was, 

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which was pretty exciting for 
Monday night. 

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So yeah, a lot of crazy scores 
going up in general as well. 

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Get into as we go through the 
data here. 

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But but, yeah, I think we can, 
we can jump into it. 

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Had a great reception from folks
for week. 

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One. 
So will largely stick this in 

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format that you may be familiar 
with now and yeah trickle. 

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Why don't we just get started 
with the quarterbacks here? 

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And then just want to say good 
evening to you too, the 

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Achievers? 
Yeah, thanks for tuning in. 

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And yeah, for those of you guys 
watching will answer questions. 

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We'll try to answer questions as
we go through these. 

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So feel free to chime in with 
comments and questions. 

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Yeah, so anyways, on the 
quarterback side again, just to 

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describe what we're looking at 
here, we have TV rate on the 

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y-axis and adjusted yards per 
attempt on the x-axis, which is 

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a yards per attempt adjusted for
interceptions and touchdowns, 

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and the size of the bubbles here
again. 

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Is rushing yards. 
It's to see which of you know 

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the Lamar Jackson Jalen hurts 
Marcus mariota's type pop out 

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here. 
So with that said I think I 

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noticed a couple interesting 
things in this chart to up there

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in the far, right corner is one,
but drink all gets you any any 

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big quarterback takeaways from 
this chart, which, and again, to

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be clear, this is what you get, 
what weeks one, and two 

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combined. 
So, not just week to, but both 

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weeks wanted To any takeaways 
here. 

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Yeah, I did want to start with a
question that we got in the in 

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the Discord and it was 
essentially, how come on, Matt 

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Ryan was so bad and it's a, it's
a, it's an easy answer, he's 

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obviously an older quarterback, 
but the big problem for him was 

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that his best receiver in the 
game. 

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His top targeted receiver in the
game was actually do and who was

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a career point Gunner. 
So that add that, obviously, 

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that system predictable results 
at or easy easy to call a 

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predictive result after the 
fact. 

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Yeah, they've been being out. 
Definitely, definitely seems to 

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have heard him for sure for 
sure. 

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And so some other takeaways I 
had was so you can see just how 

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pearly Kyler color Murray 
performed there he's kind of 

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Hidden Away in this kind of 
cluster Davis. 

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Mills Marcus Mariota cluster 
never want to be in the Davis 

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Mills Marcus Mariota and so, 
yeah, I did a little bit of 

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digging on it and it kind of Are
not it kind of it looks like 

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they were relying on Hollywood 
Brown to in the alpha role. 

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So he was like, the top targeted
receiver. 

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He was getting like a turkey nay
dot, which is like, that's the 

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kind of alpha a DOT and just 
brutal results. 

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Absolutely brutal results and it
really does look like they're 

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missing and new cop cans and 
awful lot. 

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Like, I guess there was some 
hope that Hollywood Be able to 

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kind of like soak up those sort 
of Targets in the early goings, 

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but it does seem clear. 
That's not the type of receiver 

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that he is and and I guess with 
this being a kind of, like, I on

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Resurrection stuff to note that 
nuke, those come back in week 7.

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So that would be something that 
I would kind of look for a 

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decent jump there for Kyler. 
And once new comes back, Yeah, I

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agree with that with the 
resurrection. 

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If collars ATP is falling. 
I'm still buying there because, 

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yeah, like you said, it doesn't 
start to leak. 

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Six love nuke back. 
I think, you know, with nuke 

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back that could put Marquis 
Brown into a more natural 

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position as a field stretcher. 
Secondary Target similar to what

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he played for the Ravens last 
year with Mark Andrews is Alpha 

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Target earner. 
I think that might be a more 

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natural role for Marquis. 
Once once Hopkins is back and I 

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think you could see this card 
Offense start to click a little 

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bit more, you'll have Rondell 
more, hopefully healthy, Zach 

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ertz, hopefully more healthy 
than he started off the year as 

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maybe travel abroad coming on 
late certainly, a poor start for

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Murray in the first two weeks 
but I am not panicking 

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especially if his price starts 
to fall right behind the so he 

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is ATC is still at 50. 
So yep and and I guess people do

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it does seem like people are 
holding off on the resurrection 

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until we get more. 
More information and which I do 

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think makes sense. 
And, but when, when Jalen Hertz 

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is qe5, and going just so early 
and it does it does make an ATP 

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of 50 more palatable, like it 
still hurts. 

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Just gonna fix her. 
You 652 doesn't sound too bad 

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and but obviously you probably 
do want to look for a bit of a 

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slide. 
Even the performances, but at 

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the same time, I think it's 
important not to forget how 

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volatile fantasy football can be
and ham have volatile. 

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Just production can be because 
if you were to look at the color

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Maurice and the Cardinals 
offensive performance at the 

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start of last year, it was, it 
was gangbusters. 

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They could do no wrong. 
They were in shootout, either, 

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they were in shootouts, or they 
were just scoring so many. 

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Points on the opponent that the 
other side couldn't keep up. 

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So I guess I just wouldn't 
forget about that just because 

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that they've had this kind of 
like / result to start the 

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season. 
Yep, I'm totally on board on 

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board there. 
I think huge games are still 

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definitely within collars range 
of outcomes. 

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I think Draco we can touch on a 
little bit is maybe quarterbacks

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on the, you know, low-end qb1 
high-end qb2 border because 

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there are a lot of teams out 
there that are going to lose 

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DAC. 
Or that I've lost act that I've 

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lost Trail ants to injuries for 
a good stretch. 

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Do you have any preference? 
Let me throw it for names to 

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you. 
Okay, said of out of out 

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performed early season 
expectations, a little bit, kind

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of a handful of pocket pastors 
here and to, uh, Jared golf, 

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Carson, Wentz, and Trevor 
Lawrence. 

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For me, I like golf quite a bit.
I think he would be my, my 

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preference there the Lions, but 
it's not shown on this chart, 

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but after you may not cost, 
right? 

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Yeah. 
Sorry I cost. 

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Yeah, I'm talking sort of ATP 
for best ball. 

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Resurrection important to make 
that clear. 

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I think I cost Jared Goff still 
goes. 

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I believe in the 1880s. 
The Lions have one of the 

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highest Pass rates over 
expectation of any team in the 

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league so far. 
And I think the lines weapons 

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are still under rated in terms 
of the who have the general 

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public perceives them. 
I think people are finally 

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catching on to a monstrosity and
brown, he's way up there. 

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Obviously, Swift is way up 
there, but they're secondary 

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guys Jameson Williams, DJ char. 
TJ Hawkinson Jamaal Williams. 

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They have a bunch of good 
players here on offense, and I 

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think similar to what you saw 
with Jerry golf in l.a. back. 

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In the day, when you surrounded 
by Playmakers, he can 

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effectively lead an offense and 
put up some pretty big spike 

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weeks and fantasy. 
Also looks like the Lions 

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defense is going to continue to 
be a weaker for them so it's a 

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team that's throwing a lot. 
It's got good weapons with a bad

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defense. 
I'm pretty bullish on Lion 

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Stacks even at the elevated 
prices for mantra and Swift 

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right now. 
Yeah, I couldn't agree more and 

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so it looks like Goff has moved 
up a little bit. 

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He's moved up to 155, okay? 
And split still like for the 

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type of performance is that 
you've been getting that is 

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still really really strong and 
and I think as well, there's 

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been like comments that like he 
still looks like got it It's not

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like he's transformed into this 
order like being out of nowhere 

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and he's just destined for some 
kind of regression. 

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He's still playing you still 
playing like Jared Goff you just

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kind of been dragged Along by. 
Yeah. 

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Really, really strong weapons. 
Yep, yeah, I agree with. 

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That is what I think is, you 
know, a system quarterback. 

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And when the system is good, and
I think it is right now, I'm 

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buying the Lions. 
I think, I think he can be good,

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but yeah, let's let's maybe move
on to two running backs here. 

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I think that was a good 
discussion on the quarterbacks 

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So here again, for running 
backs, we're looking at workload

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here on this chart versus 
efficiency, that's how to think 

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about it at a high level. 
So, on the y-axis, we have 

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receiving expected fantasy 
points per game. 

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The x-axis is rushing fantasy 
points per game. 

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Add those two together and you 
have a good sense, good sense of

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the opportunity that each 
individual running back is 

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getting in their respective 
offenses. 

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Also you can see in the chart, 
the size of the bubble is 

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fantasy points over expected. 
So someone like DeAndre Swift 

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who's ripping off massive runs 
on a fairly light workload. 

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You see enough sort of a huge 
bubble here. 

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Whereas someone like Joe Mixon 
who is more so more or less just

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surviving on a massive workload,
but not showing any great. 

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Efficiency has a really small 
bubble here. 

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So that's sort of the overview 
of the chart. 

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What's shown here just to be 
clear is Running backs with more

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than 10 or sort of round 10 or 
more fantasy expected, nasty 

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points per game, which is a 
group of about 30, or so running

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backs. 
So, trigger anything, from a 

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workload perspective that jumped
out to you in week, 1 on the 

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running backs and so I guess, 
one thing that I helped me 

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understand this chart a little 
bit better. 

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Those are the lines those 
diagonal lines if they're to the

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right of those lines. 
And essentially that Josh 

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Jacobs, you can see has more 
than 10 expected points per 

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game. 
Yeah, I don't know. 

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You probably did say that. 
And now, that's a good. 

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That's a good point. 
Yeah, those different ranges. 

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You can see that they're sort of
color coded, but that's a good 

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way to think about it. 
So, on the far right side there,

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those are the guys with the 
biggest workloads, they're just 

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the right of sort of a line that
would connect 22:20, if we 

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rewrite, they can of charts. 
That means that Berkeley mixing 

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Antonio Gibson. 
Are all in this Elite work load 

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range of more than 20 expected 
fans request for game. 

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But yeah, that's a good thing to
point out, Rick. 

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Oh, I'll let you continue. 
And so, honestly to start off 

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with the kind of like the box 
with the big expected Point 

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workloads. 
Joe Mixon, is honestly one of 

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the most intriguing for me in 
that he just got so many. 

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He's got so many expected points
and He has got such a high 

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percentage of the expected 
points. 

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He's got 84 percent of the 
expected points for, and the 

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Bangles and, and just just for 
comparison. 

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Sake, one has the highest 
percentage at 93%. 

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00:14:19,400 --> 00:14:22,800
So that's, that's a real. 
Not only is he getting volume he

225
00:14:22,800 --> 00:14:24,600
done in really high percentage 
of the volume. 

226
00:14:25,200 --> 00:14:31,600
And a big part of that is just 
how many plays and the Bangles 

227
00:14:31,600 --> 00:14:39,700
are running. any, but the I 
guess, Even even with some kind 

228
00:14:39,700 --> 00:14:45,000
of regression on the, on the 
play volume and if they have 

229
00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:49,300
like, a more normal play volume,
he still got this huge workload 

230
00:14:49,700 --> 00:14:54,200
and a big part of the kind of 
undershoot on or are say, under 

231
00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:56,100
performance on the fantasy 
points. 

232
00:14:56,500 --> 00:14:58,700
It's just, he hasn't gotten. 
He hasn't converted the 

233
00:14:58,700 --> 00:15:02,500
touchdowns and that he would be 
expected to. 

234
00:15:02,700 --> 00:15:07,300
So he's at about Mona, 14 
expected points and about Eight 

235
00:15:07,300 --> 00:15:12,200
of that is just from touchdowns 
and it. 

236
00:15:12,200 --> 00:15:15,300
Honestly, Sam, this is at this 
it's a difficult one for me 

237
00:15:15,300 --> 00:15:20,400
because yeah, and he's going at 
the to treat urn, which seems 

238
00:15:20,400 --> 00:15:26,000
kind of palatable, but yeah, at 
the same time I don't I don't 

239
00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:29,100
know how I've never been a Joe 
Mixon drafter of never. 

240
00:15:31,300 --> 00:15:34,800
I don't, he's never been that 
interesting for me, but at the 

241
00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:41,100
same time, If he keeps up that 
percentage and he doesn't get 

242
00:15:41,100 --> 00:15:44,500
hurt, it's almost inevitable 
that he has another big year. 

243
00:15:45,100 --> 00:15:49,800
Yeah, I am definitely more 
bullish on Nixon than when I 

244
00:15:49,808 --> 00:15:52,200
started the year. 
And it's interesting that is ATP

245
00:15:52,400 --> 00:15:57,800
is actually Fallen slightly 
compared to is sort of preseason

246
00:15:58,200 --> 00:16:00,200
ATP. 
And I think the biggest thing 

247
00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:03,600
that jumps out is the receiving 
usage, right? 

248
00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:06,300
You know he's still not playing 
all the third Downs. 

249
00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:10,200
It's pure and still getting a 
lot of that work but they target

250
00:16:10,200 --> 00:16:14,800
him heavily on 1st and 2nd down.
And, you know, part of that. 

251
00:16:15,400 --> 00:16:18,700
My guess is that they're 0 line 
has been such a disaster. 

252
00:16:18,700 --> 00:16:22,100
That burrow is not able to get 
the ball deep to Higgins and 

253
00:16:22,100 --> 00:16:23,900
Chase and he's forced into a lot
more. 

254
00:16:23,900 --> 00:16:27,400
Check towns to mix in. 
You're also seeing hurst's usage

255
00:16:27,500 --> 00:16:29,400
pretty strong as well from that 
perspective. 

256
00:16:29,400 --> 00:16:34,000
So you know, we'll see if that 
sticks, but at an ATP of around 

257
00:16:34,000 --> 00:16:36,200
20 right now and that's all 
Resurrection. 

258
00:16:37,100 --> 00:16:40,500
You know I'm not super excited 
by the talent for mixin but the 

259
00:16:40,500 --> 00:16:44,400
row looks really good and with I
mean running back is really 

260
00:16:44,400 --> 00:16:46,800
thinned out. 
Derrick Henry, he's fallen off a

261
00:16:46,808 --> 00:16:48,500
cliff, it looks like album 
Camaros. 

262
00:16:48,500 --> 00:16:51,200
Workload is way down Nagi 
Harris. 

263
00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:54,300
Has this injury scare combined 
with a lower workload. 

264
00:16:54,300 --> 00:16:58,200
Unexpected like a lot is looking
down for some of the top running

265
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:01,500
backs for mixing things were 
looking up and if it's sort of a

266
00:17:01,500 --> 00:17:06,300
scarcity thing at running back 
at the top this year, then Nixon

267
00:17:06,400 --> 00:17:10,000
It seems pretty good to me in 
the in the late s. 

268
00:17:10,000 --> 00:17:13,700
Once all those Elite, the lead 
wide receivers are off the 

269
00:17:13,700 --> 00:17:17,500
board. 
Yeah, I think it's interesting 

270
00:17:17,500 --> 00:17:23,200
as well, and that there was a 
lot of conversation this year 

271
00:17:23,500 --> 00:17:27,200
over, whether all the wide 
receivers we're being drafted 

272
00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:32,600
too high and of the situation 
downgrades for wide receivers. 

273
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:36,300
But through, I don't think there
was a lot of conversation about 

274
00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:40,200
about maybe the situations 
aren't that great for the 

275
00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:43,900
running backs eater. 
Like we had like a huge amount 

276
00:17:43,900 --> 00:17:48,700
of over 26 27. 28 year old 
running backs in the first and 

277
00:17:48,700 --> 00:17:53,100
second rounds. 
And obviously committees are 

278
00:17:53,100 --> 00:17:58,400
becoming more and more kind of 
prominent and the kind of uber 

279
00:17:58,400 --> 00:18:02,300
back type that we've seen is 
less prevalent. 

280
00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:09,300
And I guess it is interesting. 
That Joe Mixon, he's only 26. 

281
00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:15,100
So it doesn't feel like he 
should be only 26, but that's 

282
00:18:15,100 --> 00:18:18,800
almost an advantage. 
I think when you see, he's been 

283
00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:20,700
kind of drafted alongside 
Derrick Henry. 

284
00:18:21,500 --> 00:18:25,100
Yeah, yeah and I think that 
will, I think that will get up 

285
00:18:25,100 --> 00:18:26,900
to it as more people draft in 
the best ball. 

286
00:18:26,900 --> 00:18:30,000
Resurrection, I think Ray's ATP 
will will creep up. 

287
00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:32,900
But yeah I think in that light 
second range I'm definitely 

288
00:18:32,900 --> 00:18:36,700
buying Sighing, I think other 
sort of things, I wanted to 

289
00:18:36,700 --> 00:18:41,500
touch on this chart. 
James Robinson's workload is 

290
00:18:41,500 --> 00:18:44,700
really good for we're you 
drafted him, he's like that 10 

291
00:18:44,700 --> 00:18:48,500
to 15 expected Point range. 
Just to the left of Jonathan 

292
00:18:48,500 --> 00:18:51,500
Taylor if you're looking at the 
chart and he's clearly ahead of 

293
00:18:51,500 --> 00:18:55,200
etm right now. 
And look, I think that will 

294
00:18:55,200 --> 00:18:58,200
balance out as the season goes 
on. 

295
00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:02,700
But in terms of just a winner, 
verse ADP, James Robinson is 

296
00:19:02,700 --> 00:19:06,900
awesome. 
Um, one I had none of I was not 

297
00:19:06,900 --> 00:19:09,700
buying the recovery from the 
Achilles. 

298
00:19:09,900 --> 00:19:13,000
I think I might have to change 
that in future years just given 

299
00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:15,200
how many of these guys are 
coming back so quickly from the 

300
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:17,700
Achilles and the ACLS. 
I mean, we'll see how it plays 

301
00:19:17,700 --> 00:19:21,400
out in the full season but just 
fully fading a guy because of an

302
00:19:21,400 --> 00:19:24,800
injury was maybe not smart on my
point. 

303
00:19:25,200 --> 00:19:27,300
Given what he had shown in his 
house, actually? 

304
00:19:27,300 --> 00:19:30,000
Yeah. 
I think is, well, what's 

305
00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:31,400
interesting about James 
Robinson? 

306
00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:32,800
It's not only. 
Is he getting work out. 

307
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:36,300
He's playing well. 
Yep, he's a sexy. 

308
00:19:36,300 --> 00:19:39,700
He's getting a positive and, or 
in some in. 

309
00:19:39,700 --> 00:19:42,500
So, in some ways you getting a 
positive Fantasy Point over 

310
00:19:42,500 --> 00:19:47,700
expected, he is scoring coach 
sounds, he is Russian for yards,

311
00:19:48,200 --> 00:19:53,300
and that's the sort of thing 
that asks that kind of Demands 

312
00:19:53,300 --> 00:20:00,800
more more usage. and he he is a 
player who we know to be a 

313
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:06,700
really good running back, he is 
a good running back and I think 

314
00:20:06,700 --> 00:20:11,100
that if you drafted etn, which I
did when he was in the fourth 

315
00:20:11,100 --> 00:20:18,500
and fifth rounds and area, and 
in the offseason, That's it. 

316
00:20:18,500 --> 00:20:20,100
Son, I think you're almost 
getting a little bit. 

317
00:20:20,100 --> 00:20:25,300
Squeeze there by just how good 
and James Robinson is playing. 

318
00:20:25,900 --> 00:20:32,200
And I guess the one, I guess, 
positive for etn is that they're

319
00:20:32,200 --> 00:20:34,000
the only two running backs to 
get use. 

320
00:20:34,700 --> 00:20:37,800
That's, that's the one kind of 
like, you're not going to get. 

321
00:20:37,900 --> 00:20:41,000
I think you're bearing another 
injury to James Robinson, which 

322
00:20:41,000 --> 00:20:43,900
we don't want to see. 
You're going to be totally 

323
00:20:43,900 --> 00:20:47,300
disappointed with etn, but the 
one Saving Grace Is they running

324
00:20:47,300 --> 00:20:49,600
up to so it's only getting split
up two different ways? 

325
00:20:50,500 --> 00:20:53,800
Yeah. 
Now that's true and I think etn,

326
00:20:54,500 --> 00:20:56,500
you know, I think he will 
continue to get more involved. 

327
00:20:56,500 --> 00:21:00,200
It's also a team, we're outside 
of Cristian Kirk, they're really

328
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,100
running out some questionable 
town at wide, receiver with Mark

329
00:21:03,100 --> 00:21:06,400
Jones, A Jones Jamal agnew's 
getting snaps. 

330
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:08,700
It's a, it's an offense where 
you could see a lot of the 

331
00:21:08,700 --> 00:21:11,200
targets, go to the running back 
and tight end. 

332
00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:15,700
So, you know, etm he was not a 
good pick in the third round. 

333
00:21:15,700 --> 00:21:18,700
I don't think you're Dead. 
They're not off the offense 

334
00:21:18,700 --> 00:21:22,600
looks decent so far that you 
know, there's still outs for 

335
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:25,700
etm, maybe with the James 
Robinson injury, but I don't 

336
00:21:25,700 --> 00:21:28,400
like I think before the season 
people were thinking that he can

337
00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:31,800
fully dust Robinson, I don't 
think his role is going away. 

338
00:21:31,800 --> 00:21:34,100
He looks, he looks good. 
He's played well before and that

339
00:21:34,100 --> 00:21:38,200
offense, I think he's going to 
continue to maintain a decent 

340
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,000
sized rule there. 
Yeah. 

341
00:21:41,000 --> 00:21:43,000
And that is a good point that 
the best part. 

342
00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:46,400
Probably the best players in the
offense are James Robinson and 

343
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:50,300
Yugi. 
And which helps both of them. 

344
00:21:50,300 --> 00:21:52,400
Really, I think. 
Yeah. 

345
00:21:52,800 --> 00:21:58,000
Agreed, agreed. 
My my love note to Antonio 

346
00:21:58,000 --> 00:22:02,500
Gibson and it didn't pay off in 
week 2. 

347
00:22:02,800 --> 00:22:06,100
And but what was interesting is 
that he still maintains that 

348
00:22:06,100 --> 00:22:12,200
kind of Double-Double expected 
point and workload and I guess 

349
00:22:12,200 --> 00:22:17,700
the roots were close to 50/50 
with mckissack but I still think

350
00:22:17,700 --> 00:22:21,200
that if he's getting half the if
he's getting hot at least half 

351
00:22:21,200 --> 00:22:29,900
the receiving workload for the 
commanders and I've I guess I'm 

352
00:22:29,900 --> 00:22:32,300
feeling a little peevish about 
my maybe he should be going. 

353
00:22:32,300 --> 00:22:34,700
He he should be going in the 
foreground. 

354
00:22:34,700 --> 00:22:40,000
But and it does seem like there 
is still a very strong work 

355
00:22:40,000 --> 00:22:44,000
though, they're still a very 
talented player and that I'm 

356
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,600
still hopeful that he breaks 
off. 

357
00:22:46,800 --> 00:22:50,400
Map, some big plays to add to 
make me look a little smarter. 

358
00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:52,900
Yeah. 
And he has a lot of room to 

359
00:22:52,900 --> 00:22:56,000
address. 
Like I don't think I think we 

360
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:58,500
probably weren't expecting him 
to maintain that Double-Double 

361
00:22:58,500 --> 00:23:02,700
for the whole season but he 
could, you know, at his cost you

362
00:23:02,700 --> 00:23:05,600
could regress pretty far on this
chart from the workload 

363
00:23:05,600 --> 00:23:07,500
perspective and still be worth 
is right. 

364
00:23:07,500 --> 00:23:12,900
You in the 60s you know his 
workload is far exceeding that 

365
00:23:12,900 --> 00:23:16,000
of the guys going in his range 
currently. 

366
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:21,400
So I still like him, he's going 
to see what, is it 63 right now?

367
00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:25,100
You know, right around etn 
around Zeke, around cream, Han 

368
00:23:25,300 --> 00:23:29,300
around JK Dobbins, there's risk 
there but there had all those 

369
00:23:29,300 --> 00:23:32,700
guys are super risky, right? 
And I still like rights and at 

370
00:23:32,700 --> 00:23:35,800
that cost, a few spent a bunch 
of early round picks a lot 

371
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:38,600
receiver and he need a running 
back with with some upside down 

372
00:23:38,600 --> 00:23:40,300
the street. 
And he's really hasn't moved up 

373
00:23:40,300 --> 00:23:45,000
that much. 
No like I think when we also did

374
00:23:45,000 --> 00:23:46,500
this, he was going to run 67 
there. 

375
00:23:46,700 --> 00:23:50,300
He's going to pick 60 tree, 
that's it. 

376
00:23:50,300 --> 00:23:53,800
I that, that is still like you 
leave a lot of room for error, 

377
00:23:54,100 --> 00:23:56,600
and I do a lot of room for dr. 
Really smash, too. 

378
00:23:58,100 --> 00:24:01,200
Agreed. 
So I'm going to move to the next

379
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:05,500
running back chart here, that 
shows running backs with less 

380
00:24:05,500 --> 00:24:07,900
than 10 or so expected points 
per game. 

381
00:24:07,900 --> 00:24:09,700
Just so we can visualize it 
better. 

382
00:24:09,700 --> 00:24:13,000
But before we do that, I do want
to call into attention where 

383
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:16,400
Tony Pollard is on this chart. 
He's right around on the chart 

384
00:24:16,400 --> 00:24:18,600
this week. 
Is he he made it on the chart 

385
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:22,400
this week at 10 expected points 
per game but who you do not see 

386
00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:26,300
on this chart? 
Is Ezekiel Elliott who is 

387
00:24:26,300 --> 00:24:31,000
actually on the next chart. 
Art at just you'll see, I'm sort

388
00:24:31,000 --> 00:24:35,100
of in the middle to the right 
side and the yellow band on this

389
00:24:35,100 --> 00:24:39,000
chart at less than 10 expected 
points per week. 

390
00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:41,900
So this is not something I'm 
hearing people talking about, 

391
00:24:42,100 --> 00:24:46,700
but based on usage and weeks. 
One and two Pollard has actually

392
00:24:46,700 --> 00:24:50,900
flipped Zeke in terms of usage. 
Now that is heavily driven by 

393
00:24:51,000 --> 00:24:53,900
receiving usage and targets. 
As you can still maintaining a 

394
00:24:53,900 --> 00:24:58,700
higher, snap share getting more 
rushes but Pollard Seeing a much

395
00:24:58,700 --> 00:25:02,800
bigger receiving role, he was 
given a goal line touch last 

396
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,200
week at the one-yard line. 
He had a big catch and they look

397
00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:08,800
to him on the one-yard line to 
punch it in, you got it done, 

398
00:25:10,000 --> 00:25:12,200
you know, I don't think he's 
going to steal the goal, line, 

399
00:25:12,200 --> 00:25:14,400
roll from seek. 
I think that was, maybe a little

400
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:19,100
bit of a feat of a fluke, but I 
do think that, you know, if the 

401
00:25:19,100 --> 00:25:23,000
Cowboys offense can get better, 
I think we're going to see 

402
00:25:23,000 --> 00:25:26,900
closer to a 50/50 split than 
what we've seen in years past 

403
00:25:26,900 --> 00:25:30,300
with the c compiler. 
Third, I think Zeke looks quite 

404
00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:34,100
bad and these games. 
And if the Cowboys have really 

405
00:25:34,100 --> 00:25:37,200
any chance of winning games, 
they're going to be looking to 

406
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:39,800
get Paul or more involved. 
The last one, I'll add. 

407
00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,400
There is the wide receiver 
corpse is just a disaster. 

408
00:25:42,400 --> 00:25:46,600
Now, Noah Brown's becoming a 
Target hog somehow. 

409
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:49,800
Dalton Schultz is injured with 
the PCL injury, who knows on 

410
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:53,900
Gallop, but their trotting out a
really, really weak wide. 

411
00:25:53,900 --> 00:25:55,700
Receiver core. 
Dennis Houston. 

412
00:25:55,700 --> 00:25:57,400
I think is getting snaps no idea
who he is. 

413
00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:01,100
So There's room in this offense 
for a running back to get a 

414
00:26:01,108 --> 00:26:04,700
higher Target share that we 
might expect just based on on 

415
00:26:04,700 --> 00:26:06,500
the offense. 
So yeah. 

416
00:26:06,500 --> 00:26:14,300
Any thoughts there on the Parlor
and Zeke, I think you've you 

417
00:26:14,300 --> 00:26:19,500
sufficiently dance on the grave 
of as well, what? 

418
00:26:19,500 --> 00:26:24,000
Yeah, right, it gives you then. 
Yeah, it's a fun based on my 

419
00:26:24,000 --> 00:26:27,700
preseason shares of Zeke, I'm 
very happy to do that. 

420
00:26:27,900 --> 00:26:31,700
Dance. 
I, I do, I do want to point out 

421
00:26:31,700 --> 00:26:39,200
that based on workload. 
Javante is firmly ahead now. 

422
00:26:39,500 --> 00:26:46,800
Melvin Gordon, and they, he, I 
think he was, it was somewhere 

423
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:53,900
around 15 to 25 expected points 
last week, somewhere, around 

424
00:26:53,900 --> 00:27:00,000
that range and data. 
If you Drafting in Javonte at 

425
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:03,200
the to treat turn. 
That is a, it's a really nice 

426
00:27:03,200 --> 00:27:06,800
outcome. 
I do think though that and I, 

427
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:12,600
obviously fish fantasy football,
deficiencies super volatile, he 

428
00:27:12,700 --> 00:27:17,100
does have to start playing 
better, to keep Melvin Gordon 

429
00:27:17,400 --> 00:27:23,400
off the field but and that it's 
definitely very, it's a very 

430
00:27:23,400 --> 00:27:27,700
notable development, I think. 
Yeah, Agreed. 

431
00:27:27,700 --> 00:27:30,600
And I think, you know, I'm 
selling this for people who 

432
00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:33,100
watch more films than me, but 
you hear people say Javonte 

433
00:27:33,100 --> 00:27:35,900
looks way, more explosive, way 
more likely, to rip off a big 

434
00:27:35,900 --> 00:27:38,700
run, but Gordon is still better 
at finding the whole, you know, 

435
00:27:38,700 --> 00:27:40,900
grinding out. 
Those 67-yard runs were, maybe 

436
00:27:40,900 --> 00:27:44,700
Javonte missus, missus where the
play is going a little bit. 

437
00:27:44,700 --> 00:27:48,100
So you can see that in the chart
here, Melvin is showing as a bit

438
00:27:48,100 --> 00:27:49,700
more efficient through the first
two weeks. 

439
00:27:49,700 --> 00:27:52,200
But I don't think that's likely 
to hold just based on their 

440
00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:55,000
trajectory. 
I think table, they will be more

441
00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:57,200
efficient than Gordon the long 
run but Hey Gordon. 

442
00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,200
So, again player, if you draft a
Koreans cost, I think that's 

443
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:02,600
that's a win. 
He has a solid role as an rb2 in

444
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:06,000
this offense, for sure. 
So, just just, I guess to 

445
00:28:06,000 --> 00:28:10,900
clarify, on my stock here in 
week 2, Devante was about 14 and

446
00:28:10,900 --> 00:28:14,200
a half expected points while 
Melvin Gordon was six and a 

447
00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:20,400
half. 
And so, I guess that thoughts 

448
00:28:20,400 --> 00:28:25,000
did just to clarify clarify. 
Why that might look different to

449
00:28:25,000 --> 00:28:29,200
the to the chart. 
So we did, we actually got a 

450
00:28:29,200 --> 00:28:34,900
question in from, from Pete, 
about the Arizona and what the 

451
00:28:34,908 --> 00:28:42,400
hell happens, once James Conner 
came down and the not good for 

452
00:28:42,400 --> 00:28:45,800
you now, unfortunately, right. 
It's not great. 

453
00:28:45,800 --> 00:28:51,600
So, what if you look at the the 
workload overall, it was closer 

454
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,700
to 5050. 
It was pretty the one. 

455
00:28:54,700 --> 00:28:58,600
That the one thing that Kind of 
our shaded two teams that kind 

456
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:02,700
of pushed the mentor ahead so he
got a little bit more work in 

457
00:29:02,700 --> 00:29:06,200
the red zone so you got about 
four opportunities versus to for

458
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:13,600
Eno and then to inside the ten 
it was 24 and the mentor one for

459
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:21,200
Eno and then at Williams also 
had the 30-yard run at which 

460
00:29:21,300 --> 00:29:23,900
obviously was pretty nice for 
his usage. 

461
00:29:24,500 --> 00:29:29,700
So I guess it's It's not, it's 
consolation prize that they were

462
00:29:29,700 --> 00:29:34,900
closer to 5050, but it wasn't 
like and James Conner went down 

463
00:29:35,300 --> 00:29:39,600
and then, you know, still the 
backup. 

464
00:29:40,500 --> 00:29:48,600
It was, I guess it was close to 
50/50 but and still not great if

465
00:29:48,600 --> 00:29:54,700
when James Conner goes down and 
you know, still is a At not 

466
00:29:54,700 --> 00:29:57,200
getting knocked, he doesn't have
the contingent value. 

467
00:29:57,200 --> 00:29:58,200
That we talk, what are you 
doing? 

468
00:29:58,200 --> 00:30:00,900
It does seem to have some solid 
Standalone value. 

469
00:30:02,100 --> 00:30:05,000
Yeah, I agree with that. 
It was a bit of a different 

470
00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:08,000
story in week one, it looks like
you knows clearly ahead there, 

471
00:30:08,300 --> 00:30:11,500
but clearly the Cardinals will 
play it a little bit 

472
00:30:11,500 --> 00:30:15,400
differently. 
Once once James Conner actually 

473
00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,900
goes down as we saw last week. 
But again, I'm adding both of 

474
00:30:18,900 --> 00:30:21,800
these guys. 
If we're talking managed season 

475
00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:24,700
long, I'm I'm taking steps of 
both. 

476
00:30:24,700 --> 00:30:28,800
I think I would slightly 
prioritize the mentor ovary no 

477
00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:33,800
but it's close I wouldn't pay a 
big price difference there in 

478
00:30:33,800 --> 00:30:36,900
terms of Fab. 
I think they're both solid 

479
00:30:36,900 --> 00:30:39,400
speculative ads and maybe you 
get one or two starts out of 

480
00:30:39,408 --> 00:30:42,300
them. 
One thing I wanted to talk about

481
00:30:42,300 --> 00:30:46,400
in this chart here Draco was 
tdps rushing workload. 

482
00:30:46,400 --> 00:30:49,500
Yeah, on the bottom to start 
here you can see a couple of 

483
00:30:49,500 --> 00:30:53,100
just pure to down Grinders and 
Tyler algier. 

484
00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,100
Interior Davis, price or getting
zero, receiving work. 

485
00:30:56,100 --> 00:31:00,300
But pretty heavy, rushing game 
workloads for TDP. 

486
00:31:00,500 --> 00:31:02,600
I think this is interesting 
because he has a high ankle 

487
00:31:02,600 --> 00:31:04,800
sprain. 
Now at expect them to be out 

488
00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:07,200
four to six weeks or so. 
That's generally what you see 

489
00:31:07,200 --> 00:31:10,200
with this injury. 
So there's a pretty big rushing 

490
00:31:10,200 --> 00:31:12,500
workload there. 
Also, if you mind straight 

491
00:31:12,500 --> 00:31:15,400
Lance's down, that's additional 
rushing workload, that's going 

492
00:31:15,400 --> 00:31:19,900
to go to someone, I think this 
Jeff Wilson roll, just at by 

493
00:31:19,900 --> 00:31:22,500
default because there's no one 
else there could start to get 

494
00:31:22,500 --> 00:31:23,900
quite big. 
Big. 

495
00:31:23,900 --> 00:31:28,400
And I'm also taking steps on 
both Marlon, Mac and Jordan 

496
00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:33,200
Mason as the rb2 there with both
Mitchell and TDP out for a long 

497
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:36,300
stretch, I think there's going 
to be two running backs that 

498
00:31:36,300 --> 00:31:39,600
have value here. 
So it's a matter of just spray 

499
00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:42,100
and pray with with San Francisco
and hope you land. 

500
00:31:42,100 --> 00:31:44,600
Someone that gets part of this 
Russian workload. 

501
00:31:45,300 --> 00:31:51,700
So we just want to say, I 
appreciate you and Kaz and so, 

502
00:31:51,700 --> 00:31:58,300
yeah, I always have a tough time
with these kind of pure rushing,

503
00:31:58,300 --> 00:32:06,200
grinder type box because 
obviously we use a predominantly

504
00:32:06,200 --> 00:32:10,500
kind of like inner hero or zero 
or be where you are just trying 

505
00:32:10,500 --> 00:32:16,600
to find some cheap points at 
running back the I guess because

506
00:32:16,700 --> 00:32:19,600
and it's probably because I was 
a lot of what I play is kind of 

507
00:32:19,600 --> 00:32:26,500
just tournaments and The guy is 
starting to the guys that are 

508
00:32:26,500 --> 00:32:29,200
those pure rushing down 
grinders. 

509
00:32:30,500 --> 00:32:34,000
It does, unless you got a kind 
of like a larger Mitchell 

510
00:32:34,000 --> 00:32:37,100
situation where they just dust 
everyone else, they are 

511
00:32:37,100 --> 00:32:42,000
receiving profile. 
It's it does seem like it's hard

512
00:32:42,000 --> 00:32:46,800
for them to be the guys that can
really push it over the top and 

513
00:32:46,800 --> 00:32:51,700
let's say a shootout in the main
event or any other kind of 

514
00:32:51,700 --> 00:32:56,200
tournaments, but they are 
definitely useful. 

515
00:32:56,300 --> 00:33:00,200
They're all useful pieces and 
just trying to get some points. 

516
00:33:00,300 --> 00:33:07,000
It's on on your starting lineup 
as you try and unearth. 

517
00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:11,300
The next that Elijah Mitchell or
James Robinson or whoever it is,

518
00:33:11,300 --> 00:33:16,900
that that can get you 15 to 20 
point week with some some 

519
00:33:16,900 --> 00:33:21,100
regularity that make sense. 
Yeah, that makes sense. 

520
00:33:21,100 --> 00:33:22,900
Yeah, I think I agree. 
I don't think these guys have a 

521
00:33:22,908 --> 00:33:25,500
ceiling and a GP, you know. 
Jeff Wilson. 

522
00:33:25,500 --> 00:33:29,600
The pencil is priced at he could
maybe get you there as right. 

523
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:32,400
Shocked Play that you need at a 
cheap price but I imagine he 

524
00:33:32,400 --> 00:33:36,300
gets priced up now. 
Yeah I'm more talking waivers 

525
00:33:36,300 --> 00:33:38,000
and the main event in deeply 
right? 

526
00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:42,400
And I wasn't really, I didn't 
really mean and DFS because 

527
00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:46,900
obviously we're going back is 5K
and there are certain running 

528
00:33:46,900 --> 00:33:48,400
back, they can obviously get 
there. 

529
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,000
What we have seen in terms of, 
like, let's say you're doing a 

530
00:33:51,000 --> 00:33:56,200
shoot out in the main event and 
on you want 20 points, it does 

531
00:33:56,200 --> 00:33:58,800
feel harder for those guys to 
get that. 

532
00:34:00,800 --> 00:34:02,500
Yep. 
Yeah, I agree. 

533
00:34:02,700 --> 00:34:07,700
Probably low lower upside 
because of that we I mean San 

534
00:34:07,700 --> 00:34:10,199
Francisco's just such a unique 
situation where I've almost 

535
00:34:10,199 --> 00:34:13,000
learned to treat it differently 
than almost any other running 

536
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:14,800
back situation. 
And then I fell, where there's 

537
00:34:14,800 --> 00:34:17,000
just insane, rushing workloads 
for these guys. 

538
00:34:17,000 --> 00:34:20,199
They're not going to catch us on
a passes, but they can. 

539
00:34:20,400 --> 00:34:23,800
If one of them does consolidate,
the workload, with writings the 

540
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:28,000
best bet right now, he's had big
multi TD Russian games in the 

541
00:34:28,000 --> 00:34:32,199
past ripped off. 
Some long runs, Yeah, I think if

542
00:34:32,199 --> 00:34:34,100
you find the starter, they can 
get you there. 

543
00:34:34,100 --> 00:34:37,699
The backup, not so much but it's
just to get you, you know, one 

544
00:34:37,699 --> 00:34:41,300
man away from maybe and that 
starter if Wilson goes down, but

545
00:34:41,300 --> 00:34:45,000
I totally hear what you're 
saying on the sort of the capped

546
00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:48,199
upside for for that role in 
itself. 

547
00:34:50,900 --> 00:34:55,300
So any other points here on the 
running backs, you wanted to hit

548
00:34:55,300 --> 00:34:56,900
on. 
Yeah. 

549
00:34:57,000 --> 00:34:59,100
So one thing that I was 
interested, I was interested in 

550
00:34:59,100 --> 00:35:05,700
was last night and the gap 
between and Dalvin cook and 

551
00:35:05,700 --> 00:35:08,900
Madison. 
So I was this doesn't show up in

552
00:35:08,900 --> 00:35:12,400
the kind of like two weeks 
average, but it was, it was a 

553
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:17,500
lot closer to a 60/40 split 4000
and Madison last night. 

554
00:35:17,900 --> 00:35:23,000
And if you You were draft and 
David Cook in the first round on

555
00:35:23,000 --> 00:35:25,900
the idea that he was going to be
an 80 to 90%. 

556
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:31,000
Share guy every game. 
That's I think that's got to be 

557
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:37,400
a little bit alarming. 
And oh yeah and promising for 

558
00:35:37,500 --> 00:35:41,800
for a rat and Madison drafters 
as well especially with some of 

559
00:35:41,808 --> 00:35:44,800
the food that came true in the 
offseason. 

560
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:48,700
So it's hard to know where the 
kind of like true average. 

561
00:35:49,100 --> 00:35:52,900
Split is No Lie. 
Maybe Madison played more last 

562
00:35:52,900 --> 00:35:55,000
night because of game script or 
something like that. 

563
00:35:55,200 --> 00:36:00,200
Whereas cook played more in 
against Green Bay because 

564
00:36:00,400 --> 00:36:02,400
because it because they were 
winning so much. 

565
00:36:03,200 --> 00:36:08,200
But if now you're introducing 
this kind of snuff volatility 

566
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:14,500
for the two of them, where eater
than can wear cook can be game. 

567
00:36:14,500 --> 00:36:19,100
Scripted Downs with a 60% 
workload that is that's very 

568
00:36:19,100 --> 00:36:21,400
different. 
What we're used to from them 

569
00:36:21,400 --> 00:36:24,500
too. 
Yeah, I agree with that. 

570
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:29,100
I wonder if part of it was last 
night, it really got into pure 

571
00:36:29,100 --> 00:36:32,400
sort of blowout territory and 
maybe that was why you saw 

572
00:36:32,400 --> 00:36:36,300
Madison play more. 
But even without that cook, does

573
00:36:36,300 --> 00:36:38,800
not seem to have as big of a 
Stranglehold on this role. 

574
00:36:38,800 --> 00:36:43,300
As we expected Madison is maybe 
a little bit more usable as a 

575
00:36:43,300 --> 00:36:46,100
flex pain. 
Play than we thought if he's 

576
00:36:46,100 --> 00:36:49,400
going to get a decent share of 
the work, their butt. 

577
00:36:49,700 --> 00:36:51,600
You know, the Viking I think 
will be better days ahead for 

578
00:36:51,600 --> 00:36:54,300
the Vikings. 
I think something about Kirk 

579
00:36:54,300 --> 00:36:57,000
Cousins on prime time. 
It's like a meme, but it's so 

580
00:36:57,000 --> 00:36:58,900
true. 
He just he can't get it. 

581
00:36:58,908 --> 00:37:02,400
Done in prime time and that 
offense really collapsed. 

582
00:37:02,900 --> 00:37:05,200
Trick. 
We did have one question in the 

583
00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:12,700
Discord from asan on Seattle. 
Running back situation for yes. 

584
00:37:12,700 --> 00:37:15,700
Can we trust any running back in
Seattle? 

585
00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:22,500
This is, this is so disgusting. 
Travis Homer, doesn't even 

586
00:37:22,500 --> 00:37:27,100
appear here but I think led the 
team in snaps God. 

587
00:37:28,300 --> 00:37:32,200
I think my answers language is 
no, I think that's it. 

588
00:37:32,200 --> 00:37:36,000
That's the key. 
Like you're never going to be 

589
00:37:36,000 --> 00:37:37,200
II. 
Don't think you're ever going to

590
00:37:37,207 --> 00:37:43,000
be excited late? 
I need these guys and we started

591
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:49,000
at Rashad Penny and last week 
And we're really hoping to not 

592
00:37:49,000 --> 00:37:51,300
ever have to do at this point 
for now. 

593
00:37:51,300 --> 00:37:55,300
We're really hoping to not have 
to do that and anytime soon. 

594
00:37:56,000 --> 00:38:02,900
And I think that the hardest 
thing is that you've just it's 

595
00:38:02,900 --> 00:38:07,100
just such a full-blown committee
that you've got multiple guys. 

596
00:38:07,100 --> 00:38:11,700
They're going to share the 
Russian workload and there's not

597
00:38:11,700 --> 00:38:14,000
going to be a whole lot of 
rushing touchdowns. 

598
00:38:14,700 --> 00:38:19,500
At, you've got Travis Homer, 
who's the third down guy but how

599
00:38:19,900 --> 00:38:24,300
how valuable is, you know, 
Smith's turned down at checkdown

600
00:38:24,300 --> 00:38:27,300
guy? 
It's it doesn't seem to be that 

601
00:38:27,300 --> 00:38:31,100
valuable. 
No, it's definitely not. 

602
00:38:31,100 --> 00:38:34,400
And, you know, if I was really 
to force myself to pin an upside

603
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,300
scenario for one of these guys, 
I think you do want Kenneth 

604
00:38:37,300 --> 00:38:41,700
Walker over anyone, in this 
group, he did, you know, he's 

605
00:38:41,700 --> 00:38:44,200
not expected to have much of a 
receiving roll coming to the 

606
00:38:44,200 --> 00:38:46,000
NFL. 
He didn't show up here with 

607
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,800
close to five receiving expected
fantasy points per game. 

608
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:53,100
So, perhaps there's a world 
where they dust Homer and deejay

609
00:38:53,100 --> 00:38:54,900
Dallas. 
And these guys, and they commit 

610
00:38:54,900 --> 00:38:57,600
to Walker in the third, no. 
Able, I don't think that's 

611
00:38:57,600 --> 00:38:59,400
likely, but I think it's 
possible. 

612
00:38:59,400 --> 00:39:01,300
Look, they spent a second round 
pick on this guy. 

613
00:39:01,400 --> 00:39:04,500
I think he's more likely to have
that role than Penny given penny

614
00:39:04,500 --> 00:39:08,800
at something insane, like two 
Targets last year, you know, in 

615
00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:11,900
10 games played or whatever. 
He's just an absolute zero and 

616
00:39:11,900 --> 00:39:13,400
how they want to use them in the
past game. 

617
00:39:13,400 --> 00:39:16,600
So, I think Walker has more 
upside to capture that passed 

618
00:39:16,600 --> 00:39:20,000
down role, and maybe we see a 
situation, like, with the Jets 

619
00:39:20,000 --> 00:39:22,700
backs, you know, where it's 
running backs on this terrible 

620
00:39:22,700 --> 00:39:26,600
team, that are throwing a lot. 
Maybe Walker can sort of, you 

621
00:39:26,607 --> 00:39:29,300
know, accumulate Target. 
In that scenario. 

622
00:39:29,300 --> 00:39:32,000
But we need Homer to get out of 
the way first. 

623
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:34,500
And as of right now, that's not 
going to happen. 

624
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:38,600
Unfortunately. 
And I guess the one thing, the 

625
00:39:38,600 --> 00:39:43,600
one kind of like shining, Beacon
of Hope, is that there has been 

626
00:39:43,600 --> 00:39:49,400
games were shot paying just goes
nuclear on efficiency of where 

627
00:39:49,400 --> 00:39:56,300
he gets his six to seven yards 
per carry games and and it's all

628
00:39:56,300 --> 00:39:58,200
the stuff we're talking about, 
do it doesn't matter, because 

629
00:39:58,300 --> 00:40:03,700
She's just playing so well. 
And he kind of Walker was so 

630
00:40:03,700 --> 00:40:07,500
good as a rusher in college that
it's really not difficult to 

631
00:40:07,508 --> 00:40:09,500
Envision him having those games 
either. 

632
00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:15,400
But for now it's you kind of 
start them really right? 

633
00:40:15,400 --> 00:40:19,300
No you can't start them with 
confidence it's a it's a it's a 

634
00:40:19,300 --> 00:40:22,600
prayer if you put them into your
RV to which unfortunately I will

635
00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:26,200
probably be praying to Pete 
Carroll and some leagues next 

636
00:40:26,200 --> 00:40:29,000
week when I'm forced to start. 
Shot Penny. 

637
00:40:29,500 --> 00:40:30,800
Last thing. 
I wanted to touch on here. 

638
00:40:30,800 --> 00:40:37,200
Running back is see eh. 
He has the biggest fantasy 

639
00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:39,900
points over expected on this 
chart. 

640
00:40:40,000 --> 00:40:43,600
I would have to double check but
I think perhaps even the biggest

641
00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:48,300
maybe only to chub and Diandra 
Swift Out of all running backs 

642
00:40:48,400 --> 00:40:54,800
through two weeks. 
So, you know, I was doing a best

643
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:58,200
ball, Resurrection Draft today, 
and I saw CH is a DP. 

644
00:40:58,300 --> 00:41:04,000
P going in the 40s, and I am 
almost fully fading him there. 

645
00:41:04,300 --> 00:41:08,500
I think, you know, if you 
chapter 3 overall, he's number 

646
00:41:08,500 --> 00:41:13,300
tree and at a fantasy points 
over expected agreed. 

647
00:41:13,300 --> 00:41:16,200
Yeah, good. 
Okay, I gotcha that. 

648
00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:17,700
Thanks for double-checking that.
Yeah. 

649
00:41:19,000 --> 00:41:23,300
That was just weak to. 
Okay, well, bad, no, that's all 

650
00:41:23,300 --> 00:41:24,400
good. 
But I think it's something close

651
00:41:24,400 --> 00:41:25,900
to that. 
I think he's top five in fantasy

652
00:41:25,900 --> 00:41:29,300
points over expected. 
He does not have the goal line 

653
00:41:29,300 --> 00:41:31,900
roll lockdown. 
We've seen both McKinnon and 

654
00:41:31,900 --> 00:41:33,200
Pacheco. 
Get goal line. 

655
00:41:33,200 --> 00:41:35,800
Touches McKinnon is still true, 
everyone's well. 

656
00:41:36,100 --> 00:41:39,400
Number three, overall, gotcha. 
McKinnon is still quite involved

657
00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:42,700
as a receiver. 
I think Pacheco as a rookie his 

658
00:41:42,700 --> 00:41:44,500
role could grow throughout the 
year. 

659
00:41:44,500 --> 00:41:48,700
So you know CH you draft him at 
pick 80 to 100 in the preseason.

660
00:41:48,800 --> 00:41:51,600
And you're loving that, you got 
a pretty good value there. 

661
00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:56,300
He's gonna pop out first like 
weeks, but at an ADP in the 40s 

662
00:41:56,300 --> 00:41:59,200
I am most likely taking a wide 
receiver there. 

663
00:41:59,200 --> 00:42:03,000
I think that's far too rich 
based on what his role has been 

664
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:04,200
so far. 
And I think the market is 

665
00:42:04,200 --> 00:42:07,600
overreacting to some extreme 
efficiency. 

666
00:42:07,600 --> 00:42:10,300
So far from CH, which based on 
what we know about him. 

667
00:42:10,300 --> 00:42:12,900
As a talent through the first 
two years, in the NFL, I am 

668
00:42:12,900 --> 00:42:16,000
highly betting that, that 
efficiency does not hold 

669
00:42:16,000 --> 00:42:20,900
throughout the year, Yeah, I 
mean it's almost like so the the

670
00:42:20,900 --> 00:42:25,700
running back the starting 
running back row for for Chiefs,

671
00:42:25,700 --> 00:42:30,200
is valuable in that you get to 
play with my homes and the Reed 

672
00:42:30,200 --> 00:42:34,700
is this great offensive mind 
that we're kind create the 

673
00:42:34,700 --> 00:42:38,800
efficiency for probably. 
So power Talons. 

674
00:42:39,500 --> 00:42:46,000
And but like you said, if you 
drop it and in the 100's and 

675
00:42:46,700 --> 00:42:49,600
after last year, Where he just 
looks so bad. 

676
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:52,700
And every other, every other 
running back, they brought in 

677
00:42:52,900 --> 00:42:58,900
look Mi better down on the fact 
that he is playing well has to 

678
00:42:58,900 --> 00:43:04,200
be encouraging but I don't see a
teepee of 40 like Dede to. 

679
00:43:04,400 --> 00:43:09,600
That is an unpalatable price. 
No, you're getting just way too 

680
00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:13,600
little workload there. 
Anyways let's move on to the 

681
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:18,400
wide receiver position. 
So looking at this chart here, 

682
00:43:18,400 --> 00:43:23,300
for those who tuned in last week
we have slightly changed up, how

683
00:43:23,300 --> 00:43:26,200
we're going to look at wide 
receivers on the y-axis. 

684
00:43:26,200 --> 00:43:30,500
Here, we have fantasy points per
game, going up, the top, and 

685
00:43:30,500 --> 00:43:33,700
then on the x-axis, same as last
week, we have waited targets, 

686
00:43:33,700 --> 00:43:36,100
per route, run for those who are
unfamiliar with weighted 

687
00:43:36,100 --> 00:43:40,300
targets, per route, run. 
It is a stat that factors in 

688
00:43:40,300 --> 00:43:43,800
targets per route wrong but 
adjusts it for are yards. 

689
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:46,500
So a Target 50 yards down the 
field. 

690
00:43:46,700 --> 00:43:48,700
Is worth more than a screen 
pass. 

691
00:43:50,100 --> 00:43:55,500
So, looking at this chart here, 
I think an interesting way to 

692
00:43:55,500 --> 00:44:00,000
read it is looking I sort of 
broke up this chart into four 

693
00:44:00,000 --> 00:44:01,800
segments, we have in the top 
right corner. 

694
00:44:01,800 --> 00:44:05,300
Those are guys with high waited 
targets per route runs and high 

695
00:44:05,300 --> 00:44:07,600
fantasy points per game. 
So these are guys with big roles

696
00:44:07,600 --> 00:44:10,200
that are performing in the 
bottom, right? 

697
00:44:10,200 --> 00:44:13,200
We have what I called by Lowe's.
These are guys with big 

698
00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:16,500
opportunities, big way to Tarts 
for out wrong, but if not shown 

699
00:44:17,000 --> 00:44:19,100
Much of a fantasy points ceiling
so far. 

700
00:44:19,600 --> 00:44:22,800
And then on the left hand side, 
we have guys who have lower 

701
00:44:22,800 --> 00:44:26,500
roles and on the top there guys 
with lower roles that are 

702
00:44:26,500 --> 00:44:28,600
scoring. 
A lot of points that might be a 

703
00:44:28,600 --> 00:44:30,400
signal that you might want to 
sell some of these guys. 

704
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:32,900
Hi. 
And then in the you know bottom 

705
00:44:32,900 --> 00:44:36,400
left quadrant I just call this 
guy's cardio Specialists there. 

706
00:44:37,000 --> 00:44:39,600
They're not getting much 
opportunity, the running a lot 

707
00:44:39,600 --> 00:44:42,900
of routes and they're not really
scoring points. 

708
00:44:42,900 --> 00:44:45,700
So we're going to start with the
wide receivers here who have 

709
00:44:45,900 --> 00:44:50,200
Ranma More than 90 route or 
sorry, higher than 90% of routes

710
00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:54,000
run of their team's drawbacks. 
These are guys that are running 

711
00:44:54,200 --> 00:44:58,400
almost every single route. 
So with that said, drink, I'll 

712
00:44:58,400 --> 00:45:01,400
kick it to you. 
Anything jump out here, the two 

713
00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:06,100
weeks perhaps, someone whose 
role looks a lot better than you

714
00:45:06,100 --> 00:45:15,200
expected going into the season. 
So am I guess the one thing I 

715
00:45:15,207 --> 00:45:20,200
thought that is kind of drugging
and probably a big part of it is

716
00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:28,400
duties injury and Courtland, 
Sultan had that Courtland Sutton

717
00:45:28,500 --> 00:45:33,800
had a had that really strong 
opportunity and he I guess 

718
00:45:33,900 --> 00:45:37,500
Jerry, Judy made Russell Wilson,
look good last week and court 

719
00:45:37,500 --> 00:45:41,200
and Sutton made him look good 
for a play and this week. 

720
00:45:41,600 --> 00:45:45,400
So I do I do think that's 
interesting that after like, 

721
00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:50,000
after a week where the wide 
receivers weren't really 

722
00:45:50,000 --> 00:45:54,700
involved for Denver, that Court,
insulting kind of like jumps 

723
00:45:54,700 --> 00:46:01,400
back up and I am honestly, I am 
a little bit surprised that 

724
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:07,300
Cristian Kirk has been able to 
kind of like be kind of firmly 

725
00:46:07,300 --> 00:46:11,900
in that strong performer 
quadrant because he always, he 

726
00:46:11,900 --> 00:46:16,500
always kind of seem to me to be 
more alongside the what's His 

727
00:46:16,500 --> 00:46:19,800
name, Hollywood brand sort of 
like type of player. 

728
00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:23,900
So the fact that he is getting 
that type of Target chair and 

729
00:46:23,900 --> 00:46:28,700
performing with it is obviously 
super bullish for him and yeah 

730
00:46:29,200 --> 00:46:32,300
super interesting for Kirk yeah.
You almost wonder if you do 

731
00:46:32,700 --> 00:46:35,600
yeah. 
Sorry go ahead. 

732
00:46:35,600 --> 00:46:41,500
Do I say almost wonder on Kirk 
if you know this Kingsbury 

733
00:46:41,500 --> 00:46:43,300
system is so bad. 
That wants players. 

734
00:46:43,300 --> 00:46:46,100
Get out of it. 
They look they look even better.

735
00:46:46,600 --> 00:46:48,800
Maybe, you know, for those who 
have died and she shares of 

736
00:46:48,800 --> 00:46:51,500
Rondell more, that's some some 
false hope to hold on to. 

737
00:46:51,500 --> 00:46:55,100
But yeah, I was shocked by that 
with Kirk to, he's not a guy, I 

738
00:46:55,100 --> 00:46:58,500
think of as a high Target in her
High, you know, over 20 fantasy 

739
00:46:58,500 --> 00:47:01,300
points per game so far, but his 
role looks really good. 

740
00:47:01,400 --> 00:47:03,000
You know, he's not going to 
maintain this efficiency. 

741
00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:07,400
That would be insane. 
But I think, obviously your 

742
00:47:07,400 --> 00:47:11,000
pumps with where you took him. 
Yeah. 

743
00:47:11,000 --> 00:47:13,500
Sorry to cut you off track. 
I don't know if you let other no

744
00:47:13,500 --> 00:47:18,300
no, no, you are good. 
And so I think that it's 

745
00:47:18,300 --> 00:47:24,300
interesting at Jahan dachshund 
as a kind of sell High it. 

746
00:47:24,300 --> 00:47:28,800
Now with these kind of high 
performing rookies, it can be, 

747
00:47:29,000 --> 00:47:34,600
it can be tricky to put a sell 
High notice on them and just 

748
00:47:34,600 --> 00:47:37,100
because they have so much were 
they can often have so much room

749
00:47:37,100 --> 00:47:43,100
to grow, but the fact that He's 
running this really high for a 

750
00:47:43,100 --> 00:47:44,800
rookie route. 
Share. 

751
00:47:45,200 --> 00:47:50,100
Not getting great targets but 
has put up the points. 

752
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:55,800
Those kind of like that does 
sort of scream as a regression 

753
00:47:55,800 --> 00:48:01,200
candidate. 
Yeah he does need to get over 

754
00:48:01,200 --> 00:48:06,100
ski when he went and excitement 
from is, maybe we need to see a 

755
00:48:06,100 --> 00:48:10,400
little bit more before we truly 
get excited. 

756
00:48:10,600 --> 00:48:15,500
Just because he's not and he's 
not earning targets at the rate 

757
00:48:15,500 --> 00:48:19,300
that we would want to see to get
excited for a rookie. 

758
00:48:20,700 --> 00:48:22,600
Yeah, that's that's a good 
point. 

759
00:48:22,700 --> 00:48:25,800
He is not learning the targets 
but he has been super Vision 

760
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:29,400
when Yue has been targeted. 
So you know with on the sell 

761
00:48:29,400 --> 00:48:33,300
High thing, I think that's sort 
of just a general way to think 

762
00:48:33,300 --> 00:48:35,300
about it. 
But I don't think I think it's 

763
00:48:35,300 --> 00:48:37,700
important to consider the 
context of each player, right? 

764
00:48:37,700 --> 00:48:42,400
And Datsun as a first round. 
Rookie who when some of these 

765
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:46,000
first round rookies, like, you 
know, George Pickens have done. 

766
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,600
Absolutely nothing on the field,
and getting a lot of snaps. 

767
00:48:48,600 --> 00:48:50,900
I'm still excited by the fact 
that he is scoring touchdowns. 

768
00:48:50,900 --> 00:48:52,900
He's producing, he's out there, 
he's made some highlight reel 

769
00:48:52,900 --> 00:48:56,800
catches, it's not the profile of
someone. 

770
00:48:56,900 --> 00:49:00,800
I am extremely excited about, 
you know, I'm not taking over 

771
00:49:00,800 --> 00:49:03,300
Drake London now and Dynasty and
not taking him over Gary Wilson,

772
00:49:03,300 --> 00:49:05,300
obviously. 
Obviously, those guys have 

773
00:49:05,300 --> 00:49:10,500
flashed a lot more, but I think 
it's still promising again. 

774
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:14,900
To his cost but currently is 
going 80, I think in the low 80s

775
00:49:14,900 --> 00:49:21,200
on the best of all Resurrection.
I operate, it is yards per run, 

776
00:49:21,400 --> 00:49:26,800
it's just you know, six. 1.6 
1.06. 

777
00:49:27,000 --> 00:49:31,400
Yep. 
Okay so I guess he's not, he's 

778
00:49:31,400 --> 00:49:36,800
not earning targets and even 
even if he and and that is kind 

779
00:49:36,800 --> 00:49:42,400
of like an ADA adjusted at 
Target metric and he's not 

780
00:49:42,400 --> 00:49:46,000
getting yardage, but he has had 
touchdown efficiency. 

781
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:48,700
Hmm. 
Now, again like like, you're 

782
00:49:48,700 --> 00:49:52,300
talking, he's a rookie and 
there's room for rookies to grow

783
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:54,500
but I did want to make That 
point. 

784
00:49:54,900 --> 00:49:58,500
Now I think it's a good one that
if you know don't expect the tea

785
00:49:58,500 --> 00:50:02,500
and Santini ready for a John 
off, Datsun to continue, one 

786
00:50:02,500 --> 00:50:07,000
thing, I wanted to call out here
and we slandered CD lamb a lot 

787
00:50:07,000 --> 00:50:13,100
on the show last week. 
I think I'm I think I'm actually

788
00:50:13,100 --> 00:50:16,600
back in on CD lamb in the high 
third. 

789
00:50:16,600 --> 00:50:18,800
Mid to high 30s. 
That's where I got them in the 

790
00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:21,200
best ball. 
Resurrection, drafted a look. 

791
00:50:21,200 --> 00:50:26,000
His role is still pretty 
massive, and we've made this 

792
00:50:26,000 --> 00:50:28,500
argument before with the target 
competition. 

793
00:50:28,500 --> 00:50:32,000
But again, I'll restate it. 
The wide receivers there that 

794
00:50:32,000 --> 00:50:34,600
they're trotting out, Noah 
Brown, Dennis Houston. 

795
00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:36,800
Just known in guys, Dalton 
Schultz. 

796
00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:38,500
Now, looks like he's going to 
miss some time. 

797
00:50:39,100 --> 00:50:42,800
I think seed Almost has to get 
more efficient and score more 

798
00:50:42,800 --> 00:50:45,300
points based on the target 
Charities, getting. 

799
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:48,600
And again, I think part of the 
discount you're getting on him. 

800
00:50:48,600 --> 00:50:52,200
Now, is the fact that deck is 
injured, but in the best or 

801
00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:54,900
Resurrection, Jack, will be back
for the playoffs. 

802
00:50:54,900 --> 00:50:57,300
Should be back for a good chunk 
that regular season? 

803
00:50:57,300 --> 00:51:00,200
I think. 
So, I was totally fading. 

804
00:51:00,200 --> 00:51:01,800
See, at the one to turn this 
year. 

805
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:03,800
I think it was so clear that 
there was just better wide 

806
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:06,700
receivers available. 
But once you get into the mid 

807
00:51:06,700 --> 00:51:12,200
30s, you can't find many guys. 
With roles from a Target burning

808
00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:14,300
perspective that look as good as
he Lam. 

809
00:51:14,300 --> 00:51:19,800
So, you know, I even think that 
price could continue to drop so 

810
00:51:19,800 --> 00:51:23,200
maybe you want to wait a little 
bit and see if you can get even 

811
00:51:23,200 --> 00:51:27,000
a better price. 
But his role just looks really 

812
00:51:27,000 --> 00:51:29,900
good from a Target, everyone 
note on the resurrection. 

813
00:51:30,100 --> 00:51:34,500
So the scoring starts in week 6 
and Jerry Jones just came out 

814
00:51:34,500 --> 00:51:37,500
today and obviously a wildly 
optimistic. 

815
00:51:37,500 --> 00:51:42,400
He said that could prep play. 
Week four is it's not going to 

816
00:51:42,400 --> 00:51:47,800
play in week 4. 
But if you I guess if he came 

817
00:51:47,800 --> 00:51:51,900
back in week six or seven you're
obviously feeling very good 

818
00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:55,300
about at Roundtree or four-cd 
lime, right? 

819
00:51:55,700 --> 00:51:59,500
Yeah I agree. 
Any thoughts here maybe the 

820
00:51:59,500 --> 00:52:01,300
cover up with Maris name for 
Sean. 

821
00:52:01,700 --> 00:52:05,700
I think what the cheevers is 
pointing out is maybe we do need

822
00:52:05,700 --> 00:52:07,300
to talk about Amari Cooper a 
little bit. 

823
00:52:07,300 --> 00:52:11,300
He is he is flashing quite a Big
role and and like the plumbing 

824
00:52:11,300 --> 00:52:14,100
made with Doc for CD, there's 
the same Narrative of the Mari. 

825
00:52:14,100 --> 00:52:17,200
We're the Champs Watson is going
to be back, you know, week 12, I

826
00:52:17,207 --> 00:52:19,800
believe it is and for the 
playoff stretch and best ball 

827
00:52:21,100 --> 00:52:25,200
Amar'e, you know, you had a 
really bad week one and then a 

828
00:52:25,207 --> 00:52:27,900
really good week to I can't say 
I watch the games. 

829
00:52:27,900 --> 00:52:31,600
Exactly know why. 
But any thoughts on Amar'e and 

830
00:52:31,600 --> 00:52:34,100
his in this price right now and 
best of all drafts. 

831
00:52:34,900 --> 00:52:40,800
And so he still going pick 77 
Well, so right around 

832
00:52:40,800 --> 00:52:46,400
surrounding on that. 
Damn and it's going ahead of 

833
00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:49,700
names. 
Like Curtis Samuel is up to 80 

834
00:52:49,700 --> 00:52:51,300
tree. 
He's going ahead of Elijah 

835
00:52:51,300 --> 00:52:53,700
murder. 
Devon to Schmitt going ahead of 

836
00:52:53,707 --> 00:53:06,900
Garrett, Wilson Trail and Burks 
and I, I think that at that, the

837
00:53:06,900 --> 00:53:11,100
price does make it difficult to 
price is definitely, it's low 

838
00:53:11,100 --> 00:53:17,200
enough that it's interesting and
And Mary Cooper. 

839
00:53:17,200 --> 00:53:21,100
The player is I was just really 
hard to get excited about 

840
00:53:21,300 --> 00:53:24,400
because he's just never been 
Elite. 

841
00:53:25,100 --> 00:53:31,400
And and when I think about these
kind of tournaments and I really

842
00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:36,100
do want to be getting the guys 
who could be getting 25 points 

843
00:53:36,400 --> 00:53:39,800
week after week in the playoffs.
Not maybe not guaranteed to do 

844
00:53:39,800 --> 00:53:45,700
it but have the potential to do 
it and even, even with With 

845
00:53:45,700 --> 00:53:49,800
what's in back. 
Every it is really hard for me 

846
00:53:49,800 --> 00:53:56,900
to imagine that for a merry but 
the price, they're does make it 

847
00:53:56,900 --> 00:54:03,800
interesting in that you can 
still pick plenty of high up 

848
00:54:03,800 --> 00:54:10,500
side guys, and before him and 
still and still get some strong 

849
00:54:10,500 --> 00:54:14,500
weeks out of them. 
I guess it's probably not going 

850
00:54:14,500 --> 00:54:16,400
to be a name that I click too 
often. 

851
00:54:17,700 --> 00:54:20,700
And but I certainly see the 
case. 

852
00:54:21,400 --> 00:54:24,300
That's, that's fair. 
I think it's a name. 

853
00:54:24,300 --> 00:54:25,800
I think we may be slightly 
disagree there. 

854
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:29,100
I think it's 77, some of the 
wide receivers you listed after 

855
00:54:29,100 --> 00:54:31,800
him. 
I think those guys is price will

856
00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:33,300
go up guys. 
Like, well, right? 

857
00:54:33,300 --> 00:54:34,700
That's right. 
I don't think I'm taking Cooper 

858
00:54:34,700 --> 00:54:38,100
over over some of those guys but
I think Cooper will ultimately 

859
00:54:38,100 --> 00:54:42,900
fall in a Range where he's cheap
enough and again that wide 

860
00:54:42,900 --> 00:54:46,500
receiver room and Cleveland is 
just is just for rash right now.

861
00:54:46,500 --> 00:54:49,400
It's horrific. 
Deshawn coming back to Sean is 

862
00:54:49,400 --> 00:54:51,700
super cheap. 
I you know I hate I hate 

863
00:54:51,700 --> 00:54:54,700
drafting the Sean. 
It feels gross but he is really 

864
00:54:54,700 --> 00:54:57,900
cheap and especially in this 
tournament when you know it 

865
00:54:57,900 --> 00:55:01,700
starts in week 6 him being out 
for those six weeks does not 

866
00:55:01,700 --> 00:55:05,200
hurt you that much. 
And is priced, I don't think has

867
00:55:05,200 --> 00:55:09,500
moved up enough to reflect the 
difference from when you draft 

868
00:55:09,500 --> 00:55:12,200
him and need him to start, you 
know, weeks 1, 1 through 6, 

869
00:55:12,200 --> 00:55:13,800
since those points, don't count 
anymore. 

870
00:55:14,100 --> 00:55:17,300
I think the Sean is way too 
cheap, but I don't want to tell 

871
00:55:17,500 --> 00:55:19,500
Charles Watson anymore. 
Just discussing. 

872
00:55:20,100 --> 00:55:23,100
I think other quick eyes will 
move on to other chart just for 

873
00:55:23,100 --> 00:55:28,100
folks listening on audio names 
that are having incredible role 

874
00:55:28,100 --> 00:55:31,400
so far a modern a modern State 
Brown Cooper cop Justin 

875
00:55:31,400 --> 00:55:35,100
Jefferson Davante Adams AJ Brown
Jim Marchese. 

876
00:55:35,100 --> 00:55:37,300
Cristian Kirk. 
I think those are pretty obvious

877
00:55:37,300 --> 00:55:39,100
but you should be really happy 
if you have those. 

878
00:55:39,100 --> 00:55:43,300
Guys guys that are running a ton
of routes and not performing 

879
00:55:43,400 --> 00:55:47,200
Allen Robinson, Devante Smith 
George Pickens Adams. 

880
00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:50,200
Elin. 
Elijah, more Darnell Mooney. 

881
00:55:50,400 --> 00:55:53,800
I don't think by any means those
guys are dead and we don't have 

882
00:55:53,800 --> 00:55:55,900
enough time to talk about each 
of them individually. 

883
00:55:56,100 --> 00:56:00,200
But there are definitely warning
signs there for those guys. 

884
00:56:00,200 --> 00:56:04,800
Just wanted to highlight that 
before we move on to the next 

885
00:56:04,800 --> 00:56:08,600
chart, which is going to show 
wide receivers the same chart, 

886
00:56:08,600 --> 00:56:12,000
but now wide receivers running 
70 to 90% of routes. 

887
00:56:12,200 --> 00:56:14,300
So these are close to full time 
players. 

888
00:56:14,700 --> 00:56:17,900
But for whatever reason, the 
running slightly less Outs. 

889
00:56:18,200 --> 00:56:22,000
The 90% plus, they could be slot
players. 

890
00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:24,800
This could be disc used by teams
that have been in blowout. 

891
00:56:24,800 --> 00:56:27,500
So they're arresting guys. 
I think that, that explains some

892
00:56:27,500 --> 00:56:29,400
of the guys in this name on this
list. 

893
00:56:29,800 --> 00:56:33,200
But anyways, same chart for 
guys, in the 79% routes run 

894
00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:38,600
range Draco, I'll kick it to 
you, who stands out on this 

895
00:56:38,600 --> 00:56:42,000
chart for a lot of receivers 
running to 79% of routes. 

896
00:56:42,900 --> 00:56:48,100
So I think we're into the range 
now where the kind of Breakout 

897
00:56:48,100 --> 00:56:50,700
profile wide receivers a true 
story. 

898
00:56:50,700 --> 00:56:56,600
Rookie wide receivers start to 
get I guess start to be more 

899
00:56:56,600 --> 00:57:01,000
prominent and Drake London. 
They're earning just a huge 

900
00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:06,100
amount of at Targets. 
I'm huge Target. 

901
00:57:06,100 --> 00:57:11,200
Share and doing that. 
When he's not even am. 

902
00:57:11,700 --> 00:57:15,500
He's only running, he's in that 
80, to 85 percent range. 

903
00:57:15,600 --> 00:57:20,100
So you have the Potential for 
like let's say a 10% bump. 

904
00:57:20,600 --> 00:57:25,100
So that's how I get that's the 
potential for even more targets.

905
00:57:25,600 --> 00:57:33,000
If he becomes more of a 
full-time player and The the 

906
00:57:33,000 --> 00:57:36,000
olave stuff. 
I don't know. 

907
00:57:36,000 --> 00:57:39,200
If you saw all the all the stuff
on Twitter that he I think he 

908
00:57:39,200 --> 00:57:43,900
had like 300 are yards, I think 
was 346 something insane. 

909
00:57:44,200 --> 00:57:49,500
Like, just a crazy amount of air
yards and that's pretty yards 

910
00:57:49,500 --> 00:57:52,400
perhaps, but at least 150 of 
those were real are yards. 

911
00:57:52,400 --> 00:57:57,700
Probably 200 per yards mixed in 
there though and that's still a 

912
00:57:58,600 --> 00:58:06,900
for a rookie that is a great. 
kind of opportunity and Yeah, I 

913
00:58:07,000 --> 00:58:13,300
totally agree on the more 
negative side and so we were, we

914
00:58:13,300 --> 00:58:17,100
were very interested in Curtis 
Samuel last week and obviously 

915
00:58:17,100 --> 00:58:22,600
he paid dividends again. 
And but I do think it's 

916
00:58:22,600 --> 00:58:27,900
interesting hearing that he is 
in the so that he scored so many

917
00:58:27,900 --> 00:58:31,300
points. 
But the tiger chair isn't quite 

918
00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:36,100
strong enough that it is the 
amount of points. 

919
00:58:36,100 --> 00:58:38,600
It Doesn't quite Justified new 
man at Point C scoring? 

920
00:58:39,600 --> 00:58:42,500
Yeah I think with Samuel. 
What's interesting is maybe the 

921
00:58:42,500 --> 00:58:45,500
target share is okay. 
But again looking at waited 

922
00:58:45,500 --> 00:58:49,300
targets per outrun, I think what
Samuel is really hurt by here. 

923
00:58:49,300 --> 00:58:53,700
Is it extremely low a DOT? 
I believe he has a less than 

924
00:58:53,700 --> 00:58:58,500
five a DOT I could I could pull 
up and the numbers on that, but 

925
00:58:58,700 --> 00:59:03,300
he's being used as an extreme 
short area sort of skiing touch 

926
00:59:03,700 --> 00:59:09,200
Target. 
Now, If that you know sell High,

927
00:59:09,300 --> 00:59:10,400
let's think about cell had 
means. 

928
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:13,500
If you can get someone who's 
expecting Curtis Samuel to score

929
00:59:13,600 --> 00:59:17,500
20 plus points a game, the rest 
of the year, sure you can sell 

930
00:59:17,500 --> 00:59:18,400
him. 
Hi. 

931
00:59:18,400 --> 00:59:22,900
I do think he has a pretty solid
role in this offense and I still

932
00:59:22,900 --> 00:59:28,200
think the market is not going to
be buying Curtis Samuel. 

933
00:59:28,200 --> 00:59:32,200
He's now going in the 80s. 
I believe on Underdog best all 

934
00:59:32,200 --> 00:59:36,300
Resurrection. 
Again, I'm still quick Mary 

935
00:59:36,300 --> 00:59:42,000
Cooper or Curtis Samuel. 
I'm taking Amari Cooper. 

936
00:59:42,000 --> 00:59:47,900
I think he has high potential to
be sort of a Target hog and have

937
00:59:48,200 --> 00:59:53,100
big spike weeks down the 
stretch, but I think that's 

938
00:59:53,600 --> 00:59:56,400
that's close for me. 
I'm still taking Samuel over 

939
00:59:56,400 --> 01:00:00,000
Mooney, I'm taking Samuel over 
Datsun, /. 

940
01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:04,800
IU /, thielen four guys in that 
rain. 

941
01:00:04,800 --> 01:00:11,000
That range. 
Yeah but I think the point you 

942
01:00:11,000 --> 01:00:16,600
made on London is a good one 
that stood out to me a lot when 

943
01:00:16,600 --> 01:00:21,800
looking at this chart I also 
think that both him and Bateman 

944
01:00:21,800 --> 01:00:25,500
or interesting and that they're 
in the set London's in the 80 to

945
01:00:25,500 --> 01:00:28,900
85 percent of routes are on. 
Bateman's, just in the 70 to 80%

946
01:00:28,900 --> 01:00:31,000
of routes run. 
The both of them are commanding 

947
01:00:31,000 --> 01:00:35,400
huge Target shares. 
Huge weighted Target shares on 

948
01:00:35,400 --> 01:00:38,500
those routes. 
So they Maybe even have more 

949
01:00:38,600 --> 01:00:42,200
hidden upside. 
I've seen some concerns about 

950
01:00:42,200 --> 01:00:45,700
Bateman because he's not really 
been a full-time player in the 

951
01:00:45,700 --> 01:00:49,500
traditional wide receiver one 
sense, but given what he's 

952
01:00:49,500 --> 01:00:53,900
earning when he is on the field,
I'm still pretty excited about 

953
01:00:53,900 --> 01:00:57,100
it and I think there's a world 
where we get to week, you know, 

954
01:00:57,100 --> 01:01:00,200
six and they're cutting down the
routes for proche, a and 

955
01:01:00,200 --> 01:01:03,600
Thailand Wallace and Duvernay a 
little bit and all these sort of

956
01:01:03,600 --> 01:01:07,000
secondary guys. 
And Bateman could see an even 

957
01:01:07,200 --> 01:01:10,200
Right? 
He's just playing so well that 

958
01:01:11,100 --> 01:01:16,300
can you really project abatement
for it to be a 78% Road? 

959
01:01:16,300 --> 01:01:21,700
Sure guy when he's playing this 
well, Yeah I agree. 

960
01:01:21,900 --> 01:01:24,500
Maybe a name here. 
That I want to talk about on the

961
01:01:24,500 --> 01:01:27,100
by low side that I think is the 
most interesting. 

962
01:01:27,800 --> 01:01:32,100
It is not equal to me saying 
Brown I should have redacted him

963
01:01:32,100 --> 01:01:34,300
from this chart. 
It's Sterling Shepherd. 

964
01:01:34,700 --> 01:01:38,100
I think we should be exciting. 
Excited about Shepherds similar 

965
01:01:38,100 --> 01:01:40,800
to James Robinson. 
He looks good. 

966
01:01:40,800 --> 01:01:43,900
Coming off the the the torn 
Achilles we've actually seen 

967
01:01:43,900 --> 01:01:46,600
wide receivers, do better off 
the torn Achilles than running 

968
01:01:46,600 --> 01:01:48,900
backs in years past we've seen 
sand. 

969
01:01:49,100 --> 01:01:51,600
Ders Emmanuel Sanders come back 
and still be pretty good from 

970
01:01:51,600 --> 01:01:55,000
that black and other names right
now, but I know it has a higher 

971
01:01:55,000 --> 01:01:57,900
hit rate for wide receivers and 
running backs and Shepherds been

972
01:01:57,900 --> 01:01:59,700
really good. 
He's been someone that I know. 

973
01:01:59,700 --> 01:02:01,300
I'm out that harmer in at 
reception. 

974
01:02:01,300 --> 01:02:04,100
Perception is really liked. 
He's shown a targeted earning 

975
01:02:04,100 --> 01:02:10,100
potential NFL and he's right now
earning the most Targets on the 

976
01:02:10,100 --> 01:02:13,700
Giants at, you know, just an 80 
to 85 percent, route rate. 

977
01:02:13,700 --> 01:02:17,600
So maybe if they feel more 
comfortable with him, down the 

978
01:02:17,600 --> 01:02:21,400
stretch, he could increase That 
route rate and you know as long 

979
01:02:21,400 --> 01:02:24,300
as they don't trust guitarist, 
Tony these other wide receivers 

980
01:02:24,300 --> 01:02:27,700
are charting out there. 
Richie James, Kennedy Gaul a day

981
01:02:28,100 --> 01:02:31,500
David Stills. 
It's a bunch of no names and I 

982
01:02:31,508 --> 01:02:36,600
think it's odd that it and Kenny
go they had something like two 

983
01:02:36,600 --> 01:02:38,300
routes or something like that. 
The last game. 

984
01:02:38,600 --> 01:02:42,400
Yeah, he's dust. 
I think I was doing an underdog 

985
01:02:42,400 --> 01:02:45,400
drafted. 
A, and I think Shepherd and ADP 

986
01:02:45,400 --> 01:02:50,400
of 161, yeah, is maybe one of Of
my favorite values. 

987
01:02:50,400 --> 01:02:53,200
Look like Tony, Tony probably 
gets more of a role. 

988
01:02:53,200 --> 01:02:56,700
Wanda Robinson, will be back at 
some point, but I think at that 

989
01:02:56,700 --> 01:03:00,200
cost given what he's shown so 
far and, you know, maybe even 

990
01:03:00,200 --> 01:03:02,700
getting healthier throughout the
year, I think Shepherds a pretty

991
01:03:02,700 --> 01:03:06,800
interesting ad and your deep 
leagues for four main event and 

992
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:09,400
other sort of season-long 
leagues, and also a pretty good 

993
01:03:09,400 --> 01:03:12,100
value in the best. 
Well, Resurrection, so I do 

994
01:03:12,100 --> 01:03:16,500
think that Sarah and Shepherd, 
is the type of player where the 

995
01:03:16,500 --> 01:03:19,000
efficiency versus Target chair 
is all. 

996
01:03:19,100 --> 01:03:22,600
The efficiency is always going 
to be a low fishing guy over 

997
01:03:22,600 --> 01:03:27,200
like a multiple if you take an 
average of a couple weeks and 

998
01:03:27,800 --> 01:03:33,700
but at a pic of 160 and you're 
getting like kind of close to a 

999
01:03:33,700 --> 01:03:37,500
full-time guy who is, who is 
commanding the pregnant chair 

1000
01:03:37,500 --> 01:03:41,200
that he normally goes? 
It is a great pick and the other

1001
01:03:41,200 --> 01:03:46,800
thing about his his 80 to 85 and
I guess he is a sot receiver but

1002
01:03:46,800 --> 01:03:51,000
he's also coming off at pretty. 
Recent Achilles injury and so 

1003
01:03:51,000 --> 01:03:57,800
you could definitely think that 
as the season goes on and as he 

1004
01:03:57,800 --> 01:04:00,300
recovers further from that that 
that would go higher. 

1005
01:04:01,300 --> 01:04:04,300
Yeah. 
That's that's my thesis for 

1006
01:04:04,300 --> 01:04:05,000
Shepherd. 
I think. 

1007
01:04:05,000 --> 01:04:08,300
I just think the price is so 
cheap that, you know, your kind 

1008
01:04:08,300 --> 01:04:10,100
of lighting picks on fire in the
16 years. 

1009
01:04:10,100 --> 01:04:13,100
Anyways, if you can get a guy 
who's been good before and then 

1010
01:04:13,100 --> 01:04:15,500
I fell and is currently leading 
his wide receiver room and 

1011
01:04:15,500 --> 01:04:18,200
opportunity, I think that makes 
some sense. 

1012
01:04:18,800 --> 01:04:24,300
I Should touch on the Chiefs 
guys, you'll see Juju with just 

1013
01:04:24,300 --> 01:04:26,800
a 40 percent. 
Ash weighted targets throughout,

1014
01:04:26,800 --> 01:04:32,700
run mvs, even lower than that. 
In the mid. 30s from a weighted 

1015
01:04:32,700 --> 01:04:34,700
targets per route Ron 
perspective. 

1016
01:04:34,800 --> 01:04:37,500
I'll flip over the next chart 
quickly so we can see the Cole 

1017
01:04:37,500 --> 01:04:41,700
Harmon who has a much higher way
to targets throughout run at 

1018
01:04:41,700 --> 01:04:48,900
around 65%, but he is earning 
significantly less snaps than 

1019
01:04:49,000 --> 01:04:52,100
Both of those guys Sky. 
More is not earning any snaps. 

1020
01:04:52,100 --> 01:04:54,900
It's actually Justin Watson as a
wide receiver for there. 

1021
01:04:54,900 --> 01:04:59,000
So, you know, none of these guys
have really popped up for big 

1022
01:04:59,000 --> 01:05:03,900
Fantasy games so far. 
It's a tough one to read, Juju 

1023
01:05:03,900 --> 01:05:07,300
and MDS or earning more steps, 
but earning less targets. 

1024
01:05:07,500 --> 01:05:11,200
The coal actually looks like the
guy when he's on the field that 

1025
01:05:11,400 --> 01:05:15,300
homes looks to get him the ball 
and does look pretty explosive 

1026
01:05:15,300 --> 01:05:17,500
out there. 
I know you also potentially got 

1027
01:05:17,500 --> 01:05:20,300
banged up last week so That's 
something to monitor. 

1028
01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:26,800
I think that cost I would 
probably go McColl and then Juju

1029
01:05:26,800 --> 01:05:30,100
and then MPS but it's a really 
tricky room. 

1030
01:05:30,300 --> 01:05:35,500
I don't want to be spending a 
lot to to take a, take a bet 

1031
01:05:35,500 --> 01:05:38,400
here when I get in the coal for 
so cheap, I think there's some 

1032
01:05:38,400 --> 01:05:42,000
concern about about Juju, you 
looked good in week 1, but last 

1033
01:05:42,000 --> 01:05:45,100
week looked like, sort of the 
guy on the Steelers, just 

1034
01:05:45,100 --> 01:05:48,600
getting really low a targets, 
not doing a lot with them, I 

1035
01:05:48,600 --> 01:05:50,500
think. 
The talent is in question there 

1036
01:05:50,500 --> 01:05:52,600
and this is going for someone 
who bought Juju a lot. 

1037
01:05:52,600 --> 01:05:56,700
This offseason but let's let's 
see what his price is now. 

1038
01:05:56,700 --> 01:06:02,700
It's still in the mid 50's, I am
a little weary of that price. 

1039
01:06:03,200 --> 01:06:05,600
Given what you do is shown so 
far, did you have any thoughts 

1040
01:06:05,600 --> 01:06:07,300
on these? 
These Casey wide receivers? 

1041
01:06:07,500 --> 01:06:11,100
Yeah, and so, I know obviously, 
I think we both listen to Sean 

1042
01:06:11,100 --> 01:06:12,700
Siegel everybody. 
Listens to Chauncy go. 

1043
01:06:12,700 --> 01:06:16,100
A lot and one of the comments, 
he was making in the runoff, our

1044
01:06:16,100 --> 01:06:20,400
journey off season last year 
Ardis year Was that Mahomes was 

1045
01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:24,800
getting cheaper, but all the 
wide receivers, we're getting 

1046
01:06:24,800 --> 01:06:28,800
more expensive. 
And one of the comments that 

1047
01:06:28,800 --> 01:06:32,700
they've kind of the Chiefs, it 
consistently made is, hey, it's 

1048
01:06:32,700 --> 01:06:36,600
going to be different guys on 
different weeks and that that's 

1049
01:06:36,600 --> 01:06:38,100
just the way that we want to 
play. 

1050
01:06:39,700 --> 01:06:44,400
And I think that when you hear 
that Cummings, I don't think a 

1051
01:06:44,408 --> 01:06:48,000
lot of people kind of like 
Incorporated that they took that

1052
01:06:48,000 --> 01:06:50,600
the base. 
Assumption was okay. 

1053
01:06:50,700 --> 01:06:55,700
Somebody is going to consolidate
that work and we just need to 

1054
01:06:55,700 --> 01:07:01,800
take kind of random shots across
these guys and and hope that it 

1055
01:07:01,800 --> 01:07:06,200
happens. 
And I think what we're seeing is

1056
01:07:06,200 --> 01:07:14,100
that it doesn't look likely to A
date and no just because you've 

1057
01:07:14,100 --> 01:07:19,000
got kind of like you've got 
Travis Kelce and then you've got

1058
01:07:19,300 --> 01:07:25,900
kind of a lot of middling NFL 
talents at wide receiver and it 

1059
01:07:25,900 --> 01:07:29,100
was very effective against the 
Cardinals and not quite as 

1060
01:07:29,100 --> 01:07:32,500
effective against their the 
Chargers, which is a really 

1061
01:07:32,500 --> 01:07:36,900
strong defense. 
And so the way I would look to 

1062
01:07:36,900 --> 01:07:41,900
play that situation and Unless I
talked to was somebody who 

1063
01:07:41,900 --> 01:07:46,300
really had a chance to 
consolidate and it really price,

1064
01:07:46,300 --> 01:07:48,500
sensitivity is the name of the 
game. 

1065
01:07:49,100 --> 01:07:53,300
And just I guess just to pull up
some of these atp's. 

1066
01:07:53,900 --> 01:07:59,700
And I would be looking to make 
sure that Put her down, Kelsey 

1067
01:07:59,700 --> 01:08:05,100
that I'm just making sure that I
get prices where and I can 

1068
01:08:05,100 --> 01:08:08,100
afford them to be a wide 
receiver by committee. 

1069
01:08:08,500 --> 01:08:10,400
Yeah. 
So look at the presses Draco. 

1070
01:08:10,400 --> 01:08:12,900
We got Juju for just the wide 
receivers. 

1071
01:08:12,900 --> 01:08:17,300
We got JuJu at 57 then a huge 
drop off to MBS at 111. 

1072
01:08:17,300 --> 01:08:21,300
Then another huge drop off to 
Hardman at 138 and then Sky more

1073
01:08:21,300 --> 01:08:24,300
at 141. 
So I am totally playing this 

1074
01:08:24,300 --> 01:08:28,899
through mvs Harmon and Sky. 
I think It doesn't make sense 

1075
01:08:28,899 --> 01:08:32,100
that JuJu's price is so much 
higher than those guys based on 

1076
01:08:32,100 --> 01:08:34,899
what he's shown so far. 
And I do think, I do want to 

1077
01:08:34,899 --> 01:08:37,300
make the point on sky that it's 
looked quite bad through two 

1078
01:08:37,300 --> 01:08:41,399
weeks, but the fact that none of
these guys is really popping 

1079
01:08:41,700 --> 01:08:44,899
does is a bit bullish for him. 
That maybe when he sees the 

1080
01:08:44,899 --> 01:08:51,100
field he can emerge as a Target 
owner, he clearly something's 

1081
01:08:51,100 --> 01:08:54,100
going on and practice where he 
hasn't shown that but you know 

1082
01:08:54,100 --> 01:08:57,399
I'm leaving the light on for him
and probably take him at 141 

1083
01:08:57,399 --> 01:09:03,399
just as That that these other 
guys mvs Juju McColl are not you

1084
01:09:03,399 --> 01:09:07,399
know going to be consolidators 
in the NFL for homes this year. 

1085
01:09:08,899 --> 01:09:14,500
Yeah, that makes sense. 
And I think that that men call 

1086
01:09:14,500 --> 01:09:16,899
heuerman does look interesting, 
as a guy. 

1087
01:09:17,200 --> 01:09:19,700
Yeah. 
And if he's going to be that 

1088
01:09:19,700 --> 01:09:26,200
cheap and easy play for the 
Chiefs, he, he does have this 

1089
01:09:26,200 --> 01:09:29,800
kind of like the fine roll. 
But I do think that he probably 

1090
01:09:29,800 --> 01:09:36,500
is capped at this like 60% root 
chair guy, who is, I guess it's 

1091
01:09:36,500 --> 01:09:41,600
not going to be terribly 
efficient and when he's on the 

1092
01:09:41,600 --> 01:09:48,399
field but those have some pretty
solid and touchdown I guess 

1093
01:09:48,399 --> 01:09:51,800
Avenues. 
Yeah that would be enough at 

1094
01:09:51,800 --> 01:09:54,900
that price agreed. 
Oh I think those are good 

1095
01:09:54,900 --> 01:09:57,500
breakdown of the Chiefs. 
Let's move on to this last chart

1096
01:09:57,500 --> 01:10:02,200
for the Receivers. 
These are guys that are more 

1097
01:10:02,200 --> 01:10:07,000
rotational wide receivers in the
30 to 70% of routes Ron. 

1098
01:10:07,400 --> 01:10:11,000
What you will notice here is 
some guys who missed a week gave

1099
01:10:11,000 --> 01:10:14,500
Davis, Mike, Pittman their 
numbers are a bit skewed. 

1100
01:10:14,500 --> 01:10:19,000
I did not adjust for injury 
here, I would have had more time

1101
01:10:19,000 --> 01:10:22,200
but, you know, besides some of 
those guys who clearly 

1102
01:10:22,200 --> 01:10:24,600
disappear, because I missed a 
game, you see a lot of 

1103
01:10:24,600 --> 01:10:30,500
rotational wide receivers that 
Are pretty interesting for me, 

1104
01:10:30,600 --> 01:10:32,100
Draco. 
And then I'll let you give your 

1105
01:10:32,100 --> 01:10:36,800
thoughts clearly the most 
interesting to me here is the 

1106
01:10:36,800 --> 01:10:39,100
rookies Berks and Garrett, 
Wilson. 

1107
01:10:39,200 --> 01:10:41,200
I think those guys are gonna be 
really hyped up. 

1108
01:10:41,700 --> 01:10:46,200
I'll let you you go on about 
either of those guys, if you 

1109
01:10:46,200 --> 01:10:47,700
want. 
But another guy wanted to call 

1110
01:10:47,700 --> 01:10:49,400
attention to that's maybe going 
more under. 

1111
01:10:49,400 --> 01:10:54,100
The radar is Ashton Doolin. 
He's only running 40 to 50 

1112
01:10:54,100 --> 01:10:57,100
percent of routes, but isn't 
seeing an insane Target rate on 

1113
01:10:57,100 --> 01:10:59,300
those routes? 
You know, that could be just 

1114
01:10:59,300 --> 01:11:03,400
small sample variance for sure 
that can definitely happen and 

1115
01:11:03,400 --> 01:11:05,300
these types of charts, when 
you're looking at, you know, 

1116
01:11:05,400 --> 01:11:08,600
just a few handful of routes for
these guys, but there really 

1117
01:11:08,600 --> 01:11:12,600
isn't a wide receiver to in 
Indianapolis. 

1118
01:11:13,900 --> 01:11:17,100
That's really shown much in that
FL the italic Pierce there 

1119
01:11:17,100 --> 01:11:20,500
hasn't shown much, Paris 
Campbell can't really seem to do

1120
01:11:20,500 --> 01:11:22,900
to do anything. 
So, I do think there's a chance 

1121
01:11:22,900 --> 01:11:25,800
to do one can emerge. 
There's the Clearwater super to 

1122
01:11:26,200 --> 01:11:30,600
and provide Some value. 
But yeah, those are my key. 

1123
01:11:30,600 --> 01:11:33,700
Takeaways from this chart, I'll 
let you hit on Burks Wilson or 

1124
01:11:33,700 --> 01:11:36,400
anyone else that's jumping out 
here. 

1125
01:11:37,100 --> 01:11:39,700
Yeah. 
I guess the only event Jewel and

1126
01:11:39,700 --> 01:11:45,300
is that A big, a big part of and
I know this is probably going to

1127
01:11:45,300 --> 01:11:48,400
be true all Year. 
Big part of his Target share has

1128
01:11:48,400 --> 01:11:50,900
just been that. 
They just don't have anybody 

1129
01:11:50,900 --> 01:11:56,300
else other than am Pittman. 
And the pivot was also out last 

1130
01:11:56,300 --> 01:11:59,000
week when do right left Target. 
So worth noting that to. 

1131
01:11:59,100 --> 01:12:03,000
Yeah. 
And and the other thing as well,

1132
01:12:03,000 --> 01:12:07,900
is how about I guess have bad. 
Matt Ryan looks like an awful 

1133
01:12:08,400 --> 01:12:11,500
and and so it, I think it's 
pretty strong. 

1134
01:12:11,700 --> 01:12:14,000
For red doing that. 
He had three point two yards for

1135
01:12:14,200 --> 01:12:21,600
reroute run and and obviously 
with just this huge huge Target 

1136
01:12:21,600 --> 01:12:26,300
chair. 
And but if it does make me 

1137
01:12:26,300 --> 01:12:30,600
nervous how bad that Ryan looked
and how bad the offense looked 

1138
01:12:30,700 --> 01:12:36,500
when they have to rely on Jewel 
and to to that degree and a 

1139
01:12:36,508 --> 01:12:42,500
hundred other other than that. 
And I do think obviously at 

1140
01:12:42,500 --> 01:12:46,600
this, this is just a hugely 
bullish symbol for Garrett 

1141
01:12:46,600 --> 01:12:52,000
Wilson and trailing burps. 
Oh yeah, we're those are players

1142
01:12:52,000 --> 01:12:56,800
that we think are going to be. 
At least I think are going to be

1143
01:12:56,800 --> 01:13:00,100
under priced in pretty much any 
format. 

1144
01:13:00,200 --> 01:13:05,300
And probably need to wait a week
or two for DFS on trail and 

1145
01:13:05,300 --> 01:13:12,300
Burks but and Agreed yeah perks 
yeah person sorry Brooks balls 

1146
01:13:12,300 --> 01:13:15,300
are both so go on the 90s as 
want to give that context on 

1147
01:13:15,300 --> 01:13:16,800
best ball. 
Resurrection ATP. 

1148
01:13:16,800 --> 01:13:20,500
So the market is not caught up 
to this and saying usage and 

1149
01:13:20,500 --> 01:13:24,200
insane potential for these guys.
But continued trick out and I'm 

1150
01:13:24,200 --> 01:13:28,100
just, I guess on the 
resurrection point and these 

1151
01:13:28,100 --> 01:13:33,100
rookies the resurrection is 
basically made for a rookie 

1152
01:13:33,100 --> 01:13:36,600
receivers because the scoring 
doesn't start until week 6. 

1153
01:13:37,200 --> 01:13:40,600
Yeah. 
And and Those are all the the 

1154
01:13:40,600 --> 01:13:44,900
first five weeks is the weakest 
point for, for rookie wide 

1155
01:13:44,900 --> 01:13:49,400
receivers. 
And so anytime like you kind of 

1156
01:13:49,407 --> 01:13:53,600
just have to try and get as many
rookies as you can on your 

1157
01:13:53,600 --> 01:13:57,000
rookie wide receivers, as you 
can on your roster and in that 

1158
01:13:57,000 --> 01:14:00,500
format. 
Yep, along those lines. 

1159
01:14:00,500 --> 01:14:03,600
I think another interesting 
thing that you'll see on this 

1160
01:14:03,600 --> 01:14:08,500
chart is the Packers wide 
receivers they all appear as 

1161
01:14:08,600 --> 01:14:12,500
Cardio Specialists, meaning low,
weight are throughout run and 

1162
01:14:12,500 --> 01:14:16,500
low fantasy points on a chart of
rotational wide receiver. 

1163
01:14:16,500 --> 01:14:18,600
So that tells you something 
about this room right now, 

1164
01:14:18,800 --> 01:14:20,900
they're just kind of throwing 
shit at the wall with these wide

1165
01:14:20,900 --> 01:14:22,200
receivers, they don't know who's
good. 

1166
01:14:22,200 --> 01:14:26,100
None of them are really flashing
much, but to your point of this,

1167
01:14:26,300 --> 01:14:28,500
this best ball. 
Resurrection thing is made for 

1168
01:14:28,500 --> 01:14:31,900
what rookie wide receivers, I 
am, putting my chips in, on 

1169
01:14:31,900 --> 01:14:34,400
Christian Watson and Romeo 
Dobbs. 

1170
01:14:34,800 --> 01:14:37,400
I'm not sure either of them are 
good, they haven't really shown 

1171
01:14:37,400 --> 01:14:40,100
a whole lot yet, but they Shown 
more from a Target or any 

1172
01:14:40,108 --> 01:14:43,900
perspective that Sammy Watkins 
and Randall Cobb and Allen 

1173
01:14:43,900 --> 01:14:47,900
Lazard. 
So yeah, it's gross for the 

1174
01:14:47,900 --> 01:14:52,700
Packers, if I'm Aaron Rodgers, 
I'm not sure why I resigned in 

1175
01:14:52,700 --> 01:14:54,500
Green Bay for a year. 
If this is the wide receiver 

1176
01:14:54,500 --> 01:14:58,200
room, I was going to be given 
but you know someone here I 

1177
01:14:58,200 --> 01:15:02,100
think has to emerge out of this,
you know. 

1178
01:15:02,100 --> 01:15:04,600
Worst quadrant on the worst 
chart that were showing four 

1179
01:15:04,600 --> 01:15:06,300
wide receivers. 
Somebody has to do better than 

1180
01:15:06,300 --> 01:15:10,700
this and I am going to bet on On
the rookies here, at what I 

1181
01:15:10,708 --> 01:15:15,800
assume to be pretty low prices. 
We got jobs at 141 and Christian

1182
01:15:15,800 --> 01:15:19,500
Watson at 156. 
You can put together a pretty 

1183
01:15:19,700 --> 01:15:23,600
damn cheap Packers stack. 
And you know hope you get hope. 

1184
01:15:23,600 --> 01:15:27,200
You get lucky for a week or two 
in the best ball playoffs with 

1185
01:15:27,200 --> 01:15:29,900
with some of those guys that 
makes sense. 

1186
01:15:30,400 --> 01:15:35,000
And one question that we did 
get, it's probably a little bit 

1187
01:15:35,000 --> 01:15:37,700
longer but I think it's an 
interesting. 

1188
01:15:38,900 --> 01:15:43,400
So how how do we rank the rookie
wide receivers? 

1189
01:15:43,800 --> 01:15:47,300
And I think we're a bit short 
for time, so let's just do for 

1190
01:15:47,300 --> 01:15:54,800
the rest of the season and Yeah.
Okay, for me, I think working 

1191
01:15:54,800 --> 01:15:58,300
wide receivers. 
I think London is the clear 

1192
01:15:58,300 --> 01:16:04,000
number one for me. 
Number two, I think I would go 

1193
01:16:04,600 --> 01:16:07,200
Burke's. 
It's closed between him and 

1194
01:16:07,200 --> 01:16:10,700
Wilson, but I'm just giving 
Burke's Edge in a weaker wide 

1195
01:16:10,700 --> 01:16:14,500
receiver room, which with, I 
think a better quarterback. 

1196
01:16:14,500 --> 01:16:17,800
I think once Zach Wilson comes 
back for the Jets, it could 

1197
01:16:17,800 --> 01:16:21,100
really hurt, Garrett Wilson. 
So I'm going London, Burke's 

1198
01:16:21,400 --> 01:16:23,000
then. 
Garrett Wilson. 

1199
01:16:23,400 --> 01:16:26,700
And then I think there's and 
then a Lobby I think is probably

1200
01:16:26,700 --> 01:16:30,500
clearly forth and then I think a
big tear break after that, I 

1201
01:16:30,500 --> 01:16:34,400
would then probably go Datsun 
and then move. 

1202
01:16:34,700 --> 01:16:37,400
Yeah, I got to think through it 
more but those are I think that 

1203
01:16:37,400 --> 01:16:40,400
right there. 
Yeah. 

1204
01:16:40,700 --> 01:16:43,800
So one thing that I be 
interesting in what you changed 

1205
01:16:43,800 --> 01:16:49,500
out, efficient ATP would be for 
Drake London and Burkes. 

1206
01:16:49,800 --> 01:16:52,800
So if you, if you were going to 
Obviously, we don't want to 

1207
01:16:52,900 --> 01:16:57,200
complete you rank it and would 
you take would you take Draco on

1208
01:16:57,200 --> 01:17:00,000
then? 
It had DJ more. 

1209
01:17:03,500 --> 01:17:07,900
I think I would, I think I'm and
Yeah. 

1210
01:17:08,000 --> 01:17:14,600
I I would and it kind of hurts a
little bit but his role as a lot

1211
01:17:14,600 --> 01:17:19,500
better, he was taken in the top 
what was he? 

1212
01:17:19,600 --> 01:17:22,200
The top 10 pick and then I felt 
draft, right. 

1213
01:17:22,600 --> 01:17:27,000
And I think more the situation 
and Carolina is is a bit 

1214
01:17:27,000 --> 01:17:29,000
concerning. 
So I think I think that's very 

1215
01:17:29,000 --> 01:17:31,800
close to. 
I'm not 100% confident that but 

1216
01:17:32,200 --> 01:17:34,500
what about you? 
What's your that? 

1217
01:17:34,500 --> 01:17:39,600
I think I think I would And 
it's, it doesn't, it doesn't 

1218
01:17:39,600 --> 01:17:46,100
feel comfortable. 
But I feel like I do think that 

1219
01:17:46,300 --> 01:17:49,500
trach the efficient ATP and 
you're probably never gonna have

1220
01:17:49,500 --> 01:17:51,900
to drop them there. 
Efficient ADP probably is for 

1221
01:17:51,900 --> 01:17:53,300
Trends. 
Hmm. 

1222
01:17:53,300 --> 01:17:58,900
And for Burke's probably, 
probably just a little bit 

1223
01:17:58,900 --> 01:18:04,000
behind and probably like Early 
fifth. 

1224
01:18:04,000 --> 01:18:05,800
Fifth round. 
Let me see. 

1225
01:18:07,900 --> 01:18:10,500
I think, yeah, I think that 
makes sense to me. 

1226
01:18:10,500 --> 01:18:13,200
And again, I want to rip more of
these vessel Resurrection 

1227
01:18:13,200 --> 01:18:18,000
drafts, so I can really get my 
head around ADP, but that sounds

1228
01:18:18,000 --> 01:18:20,600
fair. 
And I like, he has to earn a 

1229
01:18:20,608 --> 01:18:23,000
bigger role and with the amount 
is going to be Target when he's 

1230
01:18:23,000 --> 01:18:26,500
on the field. 
I mean, I think variable is 

1231
01:18:26,500 --> 01:18:30,200
ultimately a smart coach. 
You know, you might not do 

1232
01:18:30,200 --> 01:18:33,400
everything perfectly from what 
sort of analytics people want, 

1233
01:18:33,400 --> 01:18:36,900
but I think he's going to get 
his best player on the field in 

1234
01:18:37,000 --> 01:18:38,000
short order. 
Order. 

1235
01:18:38,000 --> 01:18:42,100
So I think that sounds about 
right to me, I think an 

1236
01:18:42,100 --> 01:18:44,700
interesting way to think about, 
you know, quick tangent. 

1237
01:18:44,700 --> 01:18:48,500
The best ball, Resurrection ADP.
I think it's a little 

1238
01:18:48,500 --> 01:18:51,600
interesting to think of it from 
the perspective of if we were 

1239
01:18:51,600 --> 01:18:54,900
doing drafts for next year. 
Where would Drake London, go 

1240
01:18:54,900 --> 01:18:58,500
based on these first two games? 
And I would say, like third 

1241
01:18:58,500 --> 01:19:00,400
round if I just. 
Yeah, I thought I had to Draft 

1242
01:19:00,400 --> 01:19:02,000
today. 
And if you're taking that 

1243
01:19:02,000 --> 01:19:05,100
mindset, why shouldn't he go in 
the third round for the end of 

1244
01:19:05,100 --> 01:19:08,100
the season this year? 
I think people are A bit too 

1245
01:19:08,100 --> 01:19:11,600
anchored to preseason a DPS on 
certain guys. 

1246
01:19:11,600 --> 01:19:16,600
So, I think London based on what
is shown so far, you know, he 

1247
01:19:16,600 --> 01:19:21,300
sort of deserves that third 
fourth round ATP, for sure. 

1248
01:19:21,500 --> 01:19:23,500
So I'm hammering him anywhere I 
can. 

1249
01:19:24,100 --> 01:19:26,900
Yeah. 
And, and the point isn't like, 

1250
01:19:26,900 --> 01:19:29,400
oh yeah, we're Drafting and drag
London and afford. 

1251
01:19:29,900 --> 01:19:32,700
The point is. 
Okay, this is what the, we're 

1252
01:19:32,700 --> 01:19:36,300
just trying to put a framework. 
Where should they be valued, 

1253
01:19:36,300 --> 01:19:38,300
right? 
Yep. 

1254
01:19:38,400 --> 01:19:41,200
Agree. 
Let's finish with tight end 

1255
01:19:41,200 --> 01:19:42,900
here. 
Draco. 

1256
01:19:43,500 --> 01:19:45,500
You guys should be familiar with
this chart from last week, but 

1257
01:19:45,500 --> 01:19:49,100
it's pretty simple. 
We're just showing tight end 

1258
01:19:49,200 --> 01:19:52,900
house-passed route percentage. 
So to be precise, this is we 

1259
01:19:52,900 --> 01:19:55,300
take the total number of 
drawbacks for the team. 

1260
01:19:55,400 --> 01:19:59,000
We see how on, how many of those
drawbacks are the tight ends 

1261
01:19:59,000 --> 01:20:00,700
running a route. 
That's a really important 

1262
01:20:00,700 --> 01:20:03,400
statistic and that gets you, 
your pastor a percentage pass 

1263
01:20:03,400 --> 01:20:06,200
block percentage of the same 
thing on, how many of the team's

1264
01:20:06,300 --> 01:20:10,400
drawbacks are these I staying in
and pass blocking. 

1265
01:20:10,600 --> 01:20:14,700
So this chart here shows the 
high usage tight ends guys, who 

1266
01:20:14,700 --> 01:20:19,200
are getting more than 60% of 
routes run. 

1267
01:20:19,200 --> 01:20:22,100
I think we can cover this 
quickly Draco. 

1268
01:20:22,100 --> 01:20:25,300
My main takeaway here and let me
zoom in on this chart a little 

1269
01:20:25,300 --> 01:20:26,400
bit just so we can see it 
better. 

1270
01:20:27,200 --> 01:20:30,400
I think there's a couple 
late-round tight ends that look 

1271
01:20:30,400 --> 01:20:35,000
really good from a pure usage 
and also Target earning 

1272
01:20:35,000 --> 01:20:38,500
standpoint Tyler. 
Higbee Hayden her First Evan 

1273
01:20:38,500 --> 01:20:42,500
engram, jajuan Johnson who was 
mostly undrafted. 

1274
01:20:42,500 --> 01:20:47,400
Those guys are all learning 80 
close to 80% or more of their 

1275
01:20:47,400 --> 01:20:52,100
team's routes and they're 
earning solid targets while 

1276
01:20:52,100 --> 01:20:54,100
during doing. 
So I think Evan engram is 

1277
01:20:54,100 --> 01:20:55,800
potentially the most exciting 
there. 

1278
01:20:56,100 --> 01:20:58,300
We talked about how weak the 
wide receiver room was were 

1279
01:20:58,300 --> 01:21:01,400
talking about Robinson etn but 
that applies to Ingram as well. 

1280
01:21:01,600 --> 01:21:04,100
He's a weighted targets for 
route on a fifty three percent 

1281
01:21:04,100 --> 01:21:06,400
which would be strong even for a
wide receiver. 

1282
01:21:06,400 --> 01:21:10,000
So, Yeah, that's my big takeaway
I think, Evan engram. 

1283
01:21:10,000 --> 01:21:13,200
And those other guys have 
mentioned are looking quite 

1284
01:21:13,200 --> 01:21:16,400
strong and I you know I'm not an
expert on T of Astro you 

1285
01:21:16,400 --> 01:21:19,400
probably better stats than me. 
But I would probably be playing 

1286
01:21:19,400 --> 01:21:23,900
guys, like Ingram and hearse and
DFS before they have a big game 

1287
01:21:23,900 --> 01:21:26,300
because I think you can 
definitely see one coming in the

1288
01:21:26,300 --> 01:21:27,900
future. 
Yeah. 

1289
01:21:27,900 --> 01:21:30,100
Any thoughts there on those 
guys, are anybody else in the 

1290
01:21:30,100 --> 01:21:35,600
sheriff that jumps out to you? 
And I think he may be one of the

1291
01:21:35,600 --> 01:21:39,600
only people remaining who can, 
who can Get excited about having

1292
01:21:39,600 --> 01:21:43,100
Ingram. 
Yeah, yeah. 

1293
01:21:43,100 --> 01:21:47,400
I mean, he's he was good, you 
know, he was good before he was 

1294
01:21:47,400 --> 01:21:50,700
bad at some point. 
We thought he was good on the 

1295
01:21:50,700 --> 01:21:52,300
giant. 
No, then he dropped the ball 

1296
01:21:52,300 --> 01:21:55,400
doesn't okay. 
It is important though that he 

1297
01:21:55,400 --> 01:21:59,400
is running that high road share.
He is earning those targets and 

1298
01:21:59,400 --> 01:22:02,600
and that that is super 
important. 

1299
01:22:03,100 --> 01:22:07,500
And and definitely, when you can
get that out, I agree. 

1300
01:22:07,700 --> 01:22:09,700
Cast. 
It has to be interesting. 

1301
01:22:10,500 --> 01:22:15,900
And yeah, I think it's super 
interesting that America Andrews

1302
01:22:16,400 --> 01:22:20,500
at that kind of like he's the 
highest road share guy with the 

1303
01:22:20,500 --> 01:22:25,900
highest Target earning ability. 
And where is he? 

1304
01:22:26,100 --> 01:22:29,400
I think I think the hosta be 
super interesting and he oh 

1305
01:22:29,407 --> 01:22:34,100
yeah, easily the shoo-in to be 
the tight end, one on the year 

1306
01:22:34,400 --> 01:22:38,500
and the ATP has not Really 
reacted. 

1307
01:22:38,500 --> 01:22:43,200
He still gonna take around 20. 
Yeah, I was taking so much 

1308
01:22:43,200 --> 01:22:46,000
Andrews in the offseason and I 
thought it one point not because

1309
01:22:46,000 --> 01:22:48,100
I know sharp people were a 
little bit down on him. 

1310
01:22:48,100 --> 01:22:51,100
I was taking him in the late s 
almost every time and he's still

1311
01:22:51,100 --> 01:22:54,400
sitting there. 
I mean he's like you know, we 

1312
01:22:54,400 --> 01:22:56,600
talked about pits as a wide 
receiver, you can play it tight 

1313
01:22:56,600 --> 01:22:59,100
end, Mark Andrews actually is a 
wide receiver. 

1314
01:22:59,100 --> 01:23:03,200
You can play at I doubt he has 
0% past clock right here. 

1315
01:23:03,300 --> 01:23:08,200
Like he's not he's not a tight 
end and he Don't quite 

1316
01:23:08,200 --> 01:23:10,600
understand why? 
Kelsey still goes so far. 

1317
01:23:10,900 --> 01:23:12,700
Ahead of him Andrews is the 
younger player. 

1318
01:23:12,700 --> 01:23:15,300
He's running more routes. 
These are any more targets. 

1319
01:23:15,600 --> 01:23:17,200
He's more explosive this point 
of his career. 

1320
01:23:17,200 --> 01:23:19,900
I mean, Kelsey's a stud to I'm 
not hating on Kelsey, but 

1321
01:23:20,000 --> 01:23:23,700
Andrews should be right up there
with Kelsey and drafts totally 

1322
01:23:23,700 --> 01:23:26,600
with you on that. 
And then you just have fun stop.

1323
01:23:26,600 --> 01:23:30,900
Here is that he's only in line 
at 10% of that the time. 

1324
01:23:31,800 --> 01:23:34,900
Yeah, that's that's insane. 
He's a beast. 

1325
01:23:35,100 --> 01:23:37,100
I guess we should, we should 
touch on pits. 

1326
01:23:37,200 --> 01:23:39,900
I People. 
Yeah, he isn't thinking I think.

1327
01:23:40,300 --> 01:23:44,800
Yeah, so my takeaway from this 
chart is pits. 

1328
01:23:44,800 --> 01:23:47,200
His role is fine. 
I've heard a lot about, oh, he's

1329
01:23:47,200 --> 01:23:49,700
being asked to pass block a lot.
Okay. 

1330
01:23:49,700 --> 01:23:52,800
Maybe it's a little bit more 
than would expect but he's still

1331
01:23:53,100 --> 01:23:55,300
looking at this chart, he's 
running the seventh highest 

1332
01:23:55,300 --> 01:23:59,400
percentage of routes of any 
tight end that that role is 

1333
01:23:59,400 --> 01:24:03,000
totally fine. 
My book what is not happening 

1334
01:24:03,000 --> 01:24:05,800
for him. 
Is learning learning targets. 

1335
01:24:06,100 --> 01:24:09,900
Only 23% wait. 
Artists throughout run is quite 

1336
01:24:09,900 --> 01:24:12,700
low. 
I'm willing to bet that's more 

1337
01:24:12,700 --> 01:24:17,500
small sample noise than a big 
concern for pits. 

1338
01:24:17,500 --> 01:24:20,300
Certainly like his ATP has 
fallen a little bit. 

1339
01:24:20,300 --> 01:24:24,200
I think that's Justified but if 
he continues to slip I think 

1340
01:24:24,200 --> 01:24:27,900
he's in the 40s. 
Now I'm still in on pits you 

1341
01:24:27,900 --> 01:24:30,000
know a lot of the things that we
thought about in for the season 

1342
01:24:30,000 --> 01:24:32,600
are still true. 
He's very talented player, high 

1343
01:24:32,600 --> 01:24:35,500
draft Capital, you know got 
1,000 yards as a rookie. 

1344
01:24:35,800 --> 01:24:38,900
I think the nature of the tight 
end position In is there's going

1345
01:24:38,900 --> 01:24:41,200
to be down weeks. 
If you look at Kelsey Mark 

1346
01:24:41,200 --> 01:24:44,500
Andrews box scores from last 
year you can find to catch 20 

1347
01:24:44,500 --> 01:24:48,500
yard games scattered in there. 
It's going to happen but I'm not

1348
01:24:48,500 --> 01:24:52,700
like full-on panicking on pets 
as right. 

1349
01:24:52,700 --> 01:24:55,600
Seemed to see on Twitter. 
And yeah yesterday, there's 

1350
01:24:55,600 --> 01:25:00,100
definitely some victory laps 
over over the grave of a called 

1351
01:25:00,100 --> 01:25:05,000
pits and the I mean honestly the
target stuff. 

1352
01:25:05,500 --> 01:25:09,100
If you had a told me instead of 
starting Year at heat on the air

1353
01:25:09,100 --> 01:25:11,100
in two Targets, a game for first
two weeks. 

1354
01:25:11,600 --> 01:25:14,000
It's just, it's super 
disappointing. 

1355
01:25:14,300 --> 01:25:19,800
Yeah but you do have to I think 
you have to make sure that 

1356
01:25:19,800 --> 01:25:22,100
you're using all the available 
information. 

1357
01:25:22,300 --> 01:25:26,600
Like people treat it as if the 
last two games that we saw is 

1358
01:25:26,600 --> 01:25:30,400
the only information that we 
have when not just you have to 

1359
01:25:30,407 --> 01:25:33,800
bring in all the other factors 
like how good he was in college,

1360
01:25:34,200 --> 01:25:38,100
how good of a tight end year he 
had last year as a rookie Which 

1361
01:25:38,100 --> 01:25:43,200
is kind of like a little bit on 
haired off and the, the comments

1362
01:25:43,200 --> 01:25:47,200
if this is probably a bit more 
of a stretch with the comments 

1363
01:25:47,200 --> 01:25:50,100
of where he, that Carter Smith 
got also. 

1364
01:25:50,100 --> 01:25:51,900
Hey, why isn't he getting more 
tired? 

1365
01:25:51,900 --> 01:25:54,000
Since like, I'm trying to win a 
real game here. 

1366
01:25:54,300 --> 01:25:58,800
Not fantasy football, the back. 
I think the backlash to that of 

1367
01:25:58,800 --> 01:26:00,500
like what do you mean? 
You're not using it when your 

1368
01:26:00,500 --> 01:26:04,700
best players when you're trying 
to win a game is so strong and 

1369
01:26:04,800 --> 01:26:09,300
the play. 
Were they lost the game on that 

1370
01:26:09,300 --> 01:26:14,100
pick to Brian Edwards and triple
coverage is so egregious that? 

1371
01:26:14,100 --> 01:26:18,900
I almost wonder if they're 
forced to just go to your way of

1372
01:26:18,900 --> 01:26:22,900
like okay this is embarrassing 
why aren't we using called pits?

1373
01:26:23,400 --> 01:26:29,600
And then maybe we do see we do 
see some stronger and stronger 

1374
01:26:29,600 --> 01:26:33,100
Target rate and but definitely I
pick 40. 

1375
01:26:33,600 --> 01:26:36,600
I think what a talent like that 
at such a Barren position. 

1376
01:26:37,200 --> 01:26:41,100
You Really, like it goes seem 
like such a smash pick. 

1377
01:26:42,500 --> 01:26:45,700
I agree with that. 
Let's finish up with the chart 

1378
01:26:45,700 --> 01:26:51,300
you've all been waiting for 
rotational tight ends so these 

1379
01:26:51,300 --> 01:26:57,200
are these guys are earning 30 to
60 percent of their routes Ron 

1380
01:26:57,200 --> 01:27:02,300
its flying you mentioned that 
were gray that was my one of my 

1381
01:27:02,300 --> 01:27:05,300
big takeaways from the chart. 
I think this is this is more of 

1382
01:27:05,300 --> 01:27:09,200
a managed League point. 
I do think there's something to 

1383
01:27:09,200 --> 01:27:12,100
be said that Travis Kelce he's 
back up tight. 

1384
01:27:12,300 --> 01:27:16,500
And should be raw stirred, and I
think it's pretty clearly Noah 

1385
01:27:16,500 --> 01:27:18,200
Gray from a past catching 
perspective. 

1386
01:27:18,200 --> 01:27:20,900
He's running more routes than 
Fortson. 

1387
01:27:20,900 --> 01:27:22,300
That foursome doesn't even 
appear on this chair. 

1388
01:27:22,300 --> 01:27:24,900
I think he's closer to like 10 
or 15 percent of routes. 

1389
01:27:25,100 --> 01:27:27,600
No agrees up at around 40 
percent of routes. 

1390
01:27:27,900 --> 01:27:29,900
No Gray. 
Also, you know, small sample but

1391
01:27:29,900 --> 01:27:34,700
55% waited targets per route, 
run, that's quite strong. 

1392
01:27:34,700 --> 01:27:38,400
So if you're in a managed league
and you have an extra bench 

1393
01:27:38,400 --> 01:27:40,800
spot, need some tight end up 
side on your roster. 

1394
01:27:40,800 --> 01:27:44,200
Say your trotting out, dog. 
Austin, Knox and David and joke,

1395
01:27:44,200 --> 01:27:47,300
you, or whoever it may be, I 
think Noah grade makes sense to 

1396
01:27:47,308 --> 01:27:50,200
the stash in the same way that 
you would stash, Alexander 

1397
01:27:50,200 --> 01:27:52,400
Madison, or some odd shape here 
on at running back. 

1398
01:27:52,400 --> 01:27:56,500
I think, whoever steps into 
Travis Kelce, his role would be 

1399
01:27:56,500 --> 01:28:00,100
a top ten tight end and maybe no
gray has some Talent. 

1400
01:28:00,100 --> 01:28:03,200
So, so that's not know, grating 
on that. 

1401
01:28:03,400 --> 01:28:05,600
Yeah. 
As, you know, I'm not a big 

1402
01:28:05,800 --> 01:28:10,400
monitor sky and, but one of the,
one of the big things of the 

1403
01:28:10,400 --> 01:28:14,900
main event is too short bench. 
And how much that really makes 

1404
01:28:14,900 --> 01:28:17,200
you think about. 
You really got to think about 

1405
01:28:17,200 --> 01:28:22,800
who are using a roster spot on. 
And you think that at the main 

1406
01:28:22,800 --> 01:28:27,000
event kind of with the with that
bit the the shorter bench, do 

1407
01:28:27,008 --> 01:28:30,300
you think he's still kind of a 
stash or do you think he's more 

1408
01:28:30,300 --> 01:28:34,700
of a like, okay, some of these 
redraft leaks that would do on 

1409
01:28:34,700 --> 01:28:37,400
sleeper or something like that 
and they've got it. 

1410
01:28:37,400 --> 01:28:39,300
Yeah. 
Is that where he's more? 

1411
01:28:39,300 --> 01:28:42,100
Interesting. 
Yeah, I think I'm going to give 

1412
01:28:42,500 --> 01:28:45,200
wishy-washy answer but I think 
it depends it depends where you 

1413
01:28:45,200 --> 01:28:50,000
need upside on your roster. 
If you're a 0r B team and have 

1414
01:28:50,100 --> 01:28:53,200
Darren Waller, as you're 
starting tight end, like we do, 

1415
01:28:53,400 --> 01:28:56,300
I'm going to be throwing my 
flyers at Chris Evans. 

1416
01:28:56,300 --> 01:29:00,400
You know, Ronald yelled like 
these third, string running 

1417
01:29:00,400 --> 01:29:02,800
backs that may have some 
potential value because I know 

1418
01:29:02,800 --> 01:29:04,500
we need upside the running back 
position. 

1419
01:29:04,500 --> 01:29:07,700
I'm throwing my darts, at those 
type of guys, if I have a roster

1420
01:29:07,700 --> 01:29:10,700
where I punted tight end and 
I'm, you know, maybe I drafted 

1421
01:29:10,700 --> 01:29:13,300
gets sticky. 
Herb Smith. 

1422
01:29:13,300 --> 01:29:15,100
Some guys that may be 
disappointed so far. 

1423
01:29:15,300 --> 01:29:18,000
I do think in that scenario 
where maybe the rest of your 

1424
01:29:18,000 --> 01:29:20,800
roster looks quite strong and 
you say, hey what really takes 

1425
01:29:20,800 --> 01:29:23,500
us roster over the top is an 
upside swing at tight end. 

1426
01:29:23,600 --> 01:29:28,000
I think guys like Noah gray, 
Isaiah likely is definitely 

1427
01:29:28,000 --> 01:29:29,900
another one. 
I would 100% throw in that 

1428
01:29:29,900 --> 01:29:32,800
category. 
You can say the same thing that 

1429
01:29:32,800 --> 01:29:35,500
I said about gray about likely, 
except he's even earning more 

1430
01:29:35,500 --> 01:29:38,000
routes and hasn't even more 
insane Target share, which is on

1431
01:29:38,000 --> 01:29:40,800
the field. 
So, those are two guys, Isaiah 

1432
01:29:40,800 --> 01:29:44,300
likely and Noah Gray. 
That in that PC Main Event, if I

1433
01:29:44,300 --> 01:29:47,000
need upside at tight end, I am 
stashing them. 

1434
01:29:47,000 --> 01:29:49,400
You know, if I feel good about 
running back and other 

1435
01:29:49,400 --> 01:29:51,900
positions, does that make sense?
Yeah. 

1436
01:29:51,900 --> 01:29:52,200
Yeah. 
No. 

1437
01:29:52,200 --> 01:29:53,600
That doesn't make sense for 
sure. 

1438
01:29:54,000 --> 01:29:57,000
Yeah. 
And one question that we got, 

1439
01:29:57,000 --> 01:30:03,600
and I see Eric Hove agrees with 
us about the about cockpits. 

1440
01:30:04,000 --> 01:30:07,300
And I've done a bunch of code 
drops with a very sharp guy. 

1441
01:30:07,500 --> 01:30:11,400
And one question, he had a 
Buddhist and this your mic is 

1442
01:30:11,400 --> 01:30:14,100
sticky. 
Answers like oh, is it usable? 

1443
01:30:14,500 --> 01:30:19,400
I think the problem for his sake
and mikasuki on the Dolphins is 

1444
01:30:19,400 --> 01:30:24,700
that not only is he not getting 
the root share that we want. 

1445
01:30:24,700 --> 01:30:30,900
So he's there below is 60% route
share but in the wide receiver 

1446
01:30:31,200 --> 01:30:37,100
and in the in the wide receiver 
chart, we saw that waddle on 

1447
01:30:37,100 --> 01:30:42,500
Tyree kill, our are earning such
a dominant like such a huge each

1448
01:30:42,500 --> 01:30:48,700
Target shares that rotational 
sort of tight ends and it just 

1449
01:30:48,700 --> 01:30:53,200
so the tight end. 
And the offense has to has to be

1450
01:30:53,400 --> 01:30:58,900
100% rude guy almost and then 
even then it's like, it's 10 

1451
01:30:58,900 --> 01:31:01,600
because those guys are taking 
them so much Target chair. 

1452
01:31:02,900 --> 01:31:07,400
Yeah, totally agree on that 
point because sticky, I think it

1453
01:31:07,400 --> 01:31:11,800
needs, I don't know, a Smythe 
injury or something to to be 

1454
01:31:11,800 --> 01:31:14,600
usable because right now, he's 
just, he's splitting that role 

1455
01:31:14,600 --> 01:31:17,500
and he'll definitely, I mean if 
your potting tie down there are 

1456
01:31:17,500 --> 01:31:20,700
worse places, we know you can be
involved in the Red Zone, he has

1457
01:31:20,700 --> 01:31:24,200
the speed to, you know, take her
out, down, the seam, and the 

1458
01:31:24,200 --> 01:31:26,000
Dolphins offense. 
Look it's looks explosive. 

1459
01:31:26,000 --> 01:31:29,200
So you know you're asking me 
Mike is sticky or Brevin? 

1460
01:31:29,200 --> 01:31:32,500
Jordan or mikasuki or Logan 
Thomas, I'll go get sticky, but 

1461
01:31:33,000 --> 01:31:36,600
He's, you know, pretty firmly in
the tight end to discussion. 

1462
01:31:36,600 --> 01:31:40,400
I think it right. 
Cool. 

1463
01:31:40,400 --> 01:31:44,300
Well, I think that once you 
spent ten minutes talking about 

1464
01:31:44,300 --> 01:31:49,000
Isaiah, likely, and Noah gray, 
it's a good good time to wrap up

1465
01:31:49,000 --> 01:31:51,200
the stream, but that was a ton 
of fun guys. 

1466
01:31:51,200 --> 01:31:54,300
I'm glad you got to do the show 
live, I believe Trickle and I 

1467
01:31:54,300 --> 01:31:59,500
will be trying to do this every 
Tuesday night at around 7 p.m. 

1468
01:31:59,500 --> 01:32:02,900
and be live for the ship chasing
VIP members. 

1469
01:32:02,900 --> 01:32:09,100
So, if you're not involved 
there, you can join the ship kit

1470
01:32:09,100 --> 01:32:13,700
chasing Or and be able to access
these streams live. 

1471
01:32:14,700 --> 01:32:16,800
Yeah the only other thing I'll 
plug if you're interested in 

1472
01:32:16,800 --> 01:32:21,000
looking at these charts in more 
detail one I will post them in 

1473
01:32:21,000 --> 01:32:23,700
the ship chasing Discord in PDF 
form. 

1474
01:32:23,700 --> 01:32:26,100
So you can take a look at the 
charts and maybe get some 

1475
01:32:26,100 --> 01:32:28,900
insights from guys. 
We didn't talk about and you can

1476
01:32:28,900 --> 01:32:33,500
also follow me at Sherman 
underscore ffb on Twitter where 

1477
01:32:33,500 --> 01:32:38,300
I will be posting a weekly 
thread with these charts and my 

1478
01:32:38,300 --> 01:32:43,100
key takeaways A trick of 
anything you want to plug before

1479
01:32:43,100 --> 01:32:45,500
we get out of here. 
Hey yeah. 

1480
01:32:45,500 --> 01:32:49,200
Obviously yeah. 
Subscribe to a roto virus and 

1481
01:32:49,200 --> 01:32:50,900
that's where you get a lot of 
shit. 

1482
01:32:51,000 --> 01:32:56,200
A lot of articles that from Sean
Siegel and I'm going to I'm 

1483
01:32:56,200 --> 01:33:01,600
writing a column on the the 
Battle Royale every week. 

1484
01:33:02,000 --> 01:33:04,200
I think that's a super fun 
format, that more and more 

1485
01:33:04,200 --> 01:33:07,200
people are getting into. 
What's really cool about it is 

1486
01:33:07,200 --> 01:33:11,500
that it's like DFS but no. 
We're near the time commitment. 

1487
01:33:11,600 --> 01:33:14,700
You do you know how to skip 
brunch on a Sunday morning? 

1488
01:33:15,100 --> 01:33:17,700
If you if you don't want to, you
can draft your team during the 

1489
01:33:17,700 --> 01:33:22,200
week with the information that 
you get at, you can from your 

1490
01:33:22,200 --> 01:33:27,000
research and and it's a lot of 
fun to sweat. 

1491
01:33:27,700 --> 01:33:31,600
But I yeah, I've been doing a 
lot of research are so writing 

1492
01:33:31,600 --> 01:33:35,100
about the kind of strategy on 
and, and how to take advantage 

1493
01:33:35,400 --> 01:33:38,900
of different. 
A strategic elements there and 

1494
01:33:39,200 --> 01:33:42,300
I'll probably Uh doing some 
podcast soon with column Kelly 

1495
01:33:42,300 --> 01:33:46,900
on rotavirus and put those are, 
those are my plugs nice. 

1496
01:33:46,900 --> 01:33:48,600
Yeah, definitely. 
Check out those battle royales 

1497
01:33:48,600 --> 01:33:50,400
more. 
It sounds kind of fun. 

1498
01:33:50,700 --> 01:33:52,600
But anyways, that was a lot of 
fun, guys. 

1499
01:33:52,900 --> 01:33:55,700
We'll see you back here next 
week.

