1 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:17,600 Hello everybody and welcome to week 7 of Statute saying you had 2 00:00:17,600 --> 00:00:21,200 an exciting week in week 6. A couple rookie wide receivers 3 00:00:21,400 --> 00:00:24,400 that flash the first time seeing the field and see me if Will 4 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:31,200 usage and also got to see some new look back fields in Seattle 5 00:00:31,500 --> 00:00:35,200 and in Los Angeles with the Rams that will be breaking down this 6 00:00:35,200 --> 00:00:39,400 week. Connor, how did your week 6 go 7 00:00:39,700 --> 00:00:48,300 for fantasy and in my in my daily kind of basketball stuff. 8 00:00:48,700 --> 00:00:53,100 I'm more or less broke even II had some teams that were solid 9 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:57,400 but never really sniffed at top of the leaderboard. 10 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:00,100 And I suppose that's just kind of the way it goes. 11 00:01:00,300 --> 00:01:03,500 Goes. And you're just you're just 12 00:01:03,500 --> 00:01:07,800 praying for that one, sweat and maybe get you got a handful of 13 00:01:07,800 --> 00:01:11,500 real sweats per season and it was not this week. 14 00:01:13,500 --> 00:01:17,600 Yeah, I was traveling last week so didn't get a chance to play 15 00:01:17,900 --> 00:01:21,700 any daily fantasy or any basketball on Underdog, anything 16 00:01:21,700 --> 00:01:25,100 like that. But yeah, didn't have the best 17 00:01:25,100 --> 00:01:29,000 week in my manage leagues. I think a couple Couple 18 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:33,500 frustrating injury situations that that were tough. 19 00:01:33,500 --> 00:01:36,400 I think the TA against thing was was one that was tricky to know 20 00:01:36,400 --> 00:01:40,700 how to handle. But yeah, not the best week but 21 00:01:41,300 --> 00:01:44,300 what can you do? Gotta gotta keep moving forward 22 00:01:44,300 --> 00:01:47,900 and hopefully with the by weeks coming up with me how I build 23 00:01:47,900 --> 00:01:51,000 some my teams with deep wide receiver benches. 24 00:01:51,000 --> 00:01:53,700 Hopefully can constrain together someone's here. 25 00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:58,300 But right you'll find out Yeah, that would that would help 26 00:01:58,300 --> 00:02:00,500 right? Yeah, that's how it works in 27 00:02:00,500 --> 00:02:05,300 theory, if we'll test it and practice coming up, but yeah. 28 00:02:05,300 --> 00:02:11,400 Anyways, let's dive into the data here for weeks, 1 through 29 00:02:11,400 --> 00:02:15,500 6. And for folks listening live, 30 00:02:15,500 --> 00:02:17,900 feel free to ask any questions in the YouTube. 31 00:02:17,900 --> 00:02:23,100 Chat will try to cover it here live and obviously just a plug 32 00:02:23,100 --> 00:02:26,000 for those listening either on on video. 33 00:02:26,200 --> 00:02:30,900 After the stream or listening on podcast apps, you are able to 34 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:35,200 join the ship casing. Discord can find more info in 35 00:02:35,300 --> 00:02:40,500 the description for the YouTube video here and you're able to 36 00:02:40,500 --> 00:02:44,100 access these freedoms live and ask us questions in the chat or 37 00:02:44,100 --> 00:02:46,900 even after the show the Discord. So just want to give a quick 38 00:02:47,000 --> 00:02:51,400 quick plug for that before we dive into the data here. 39 00:02:53,700 --> 00:02:58,200 It's like always, we'll start with quarterback and here we're 40 00:02:58,200 --> 00:03:01,500 looking at quarterback passing efficiency efficiency, excuse 41 00:03:01,500 --> 00:03:05,900 me, and rushing production for all the League's starting 42 00:03:05,900 --> 00:03:08,900 quarterbacks or projected starters going forward. 43 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:14,000 So here on the y-axis for those following Along on video we have 44 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:16,700 touchdown rate. So percentage of throws that end 45 00:03:16,700 --> 00:03:19,200 up in a touchdown. And on the x-axis we have 46 00:03:19,200 --> 00:03:22,000 adjusted yards per attempt which is a simple. 47 00:03:22,300 --> 00:03:26,200 Yards per attempt metric but adjusted for interceptions and 48 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:28,300 touchdowns. So for example, you'll see, 49 00:03:28,600 --> 00:03:31,300 Kenny picking is Kenny. Pickett is way off to the left 50 00:03:31,300 --> 00:03:32,900 here. He has a bad adjusted yards per 51 00:03:32,900 --> 00:03:36,500 attempt because in a relatively small sample, he's thrown four 52 00:03:36,500 --> 00:03:39,300 interceptions and just one touchdown so that will really 53 00:03:39,300 --> 00:03:43,700 way down guys like that who have way more interceptions than 54 00:03:44,100 --> 00:03:47,000 touchdowns. So anyways, that's that's the 55 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:49,300 chart here. And again, I guess, final last 56 00:03:49,300 --> 00:03:52,100 thing to add the size of the bubble here is rushing yards. 57 00:03:52,300 --> 00:03:55,800 You really see guys like Lamar Jalen hurts pop in a big way 58 00:03:55,800 --> 00:04:00,600 here. Draco thing that stands out to 59 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:03,000 me for some start. Maybe we can start the 60 00:04:03,000 --> 00:04:08,000 conversation. Here is daily zappy, way off on 61 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:10,900 the top right corner next to guys, like Josh Allen. 62 00:04:10,900 --> 00:04:14,500 Patrick Mahomes to obviously doesn't have the, the rushing, 63 00:04:15,400 --> 00:04:17,800 the rushing, Prestige of some of those guys. 64 00:04:18,300 --> 00:04:22,400 But he has been really good over the past couple weeks, in my 65 00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:24,800 sort of, take aways, which I posted on Twitter. 66 00:04:24,800 --> 00:04:29,600 I thought that he is a viable. Well, streaming candidate. 67 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,000 If he continues to start over Maxie Jones. 68 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:35,000 Do you have any thoughts on Bailey's appy? 69 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:39,800 Going forward? If he, if he continues to start 70 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:45,400 games here. Yeah, so I guess one nm1 thought 71 00:04:45,400 --> 00:04:50,100 I did have was as happy Slappy. And one thought I did have, is 72 00:04:50,100 --> 00:04:53,700 that it is a relatively small sample size. 73 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:59,400 So he's got 70 pass attempts. And he's done really, really 74 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:01,400 well with those 70 pass attempts. 75 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:11,200 And I think that, II think that being very efficient, like, on 76 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:15,600 this scale is, is really strong. It's a really strong start. 77 00:05:16,100 --> 00:05:21,900 And that if you are in trouble at quarterback, there's probably 78 00:05:21,900 --> 00:05:25,900 worse directions that you can go and one. 79 00:05:26,100 --> 00:05:30,200 Well, I guess one. Discomfort. 80 00:05:30,200 --> 00:05:33,700 I would have if if there was a kind of a legitimate option like 81 00:05:33,700 --> 00:05:39,700 I'm not sired him over, let's say Jared Goff or Geno Smith. 82 00:05:40,100 --> 00:05:44,300 And the reason for that would be obviously that the rushing is 83 00:05:44,300 --> 00:05:49,000 low. And then it you can have a guy 84 00:05:49,000 --> 00:05:53,800 who comes out the gate playing well and in the first two games 85 00:05:54,300 --> 00:05:58,900 and then because because the small, it's a small sample size. 86 00:05:59,300 --> 00:06:02,300 It's not always reliable as you want, and then the next game, it 87 00:06:02,300 --> 00:06:05,900 creators. But that I'm trying, I'm trying 88 00:06:05,900 --> 00:06:08,800 to find the new one, like saying, it's really encouraging, 89 00:06:09,100 --> 00:06:12,700 really exciting. And yeah, but you have to keep 90 00:06:12,700 --> 00:06:17,200 in mind that the, this could regress in a big way. 91 00:06:18,300 --> 00:06:21,100 Yeah, I I agree with that largely. 92 00:06:21,100 --> 00:06:23,700 I think, you know, I'm still starting Gino still charting 93 00:06:23,700 --> 00:06:26,400 Jared Goff over him. I think, once you start to get 94 00:06:26,400 --> 00:06:30,300 cut down to guys, like in your deeper leagues, maybe if you're 95 00:06:30,300 --> 00:06:32,700 considering between him and Penny and Kenny Pickett coming 96 00:06:32,700 --> 00:06:35,600 off that concussion, that's maybe a decision point. 97 00:06:35,600 --> 00:06:39,900 If you're deciding between him and Jimmy G, Ryan Tannehill. 98 00:06:39,900 --> 00:06:42,200 I think that's a decision point. I think that's kind of the tier 99 00:06:42,200 --> 00:06:44,400 of guys. Yeah, Frozen blue. 100 00:06:45,600 --> 00:06:48,200 But yeah, and then I guess the other thing to mention on zappy 101 00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:51,500 that I thought was interesting is the Patriots were up for 102 00:06:51,500 --> 00:06:53,700 almost all of that game. And something we saw with the 103 00:06:53,700 --> 00:06:57,300 Patriots last year in games that were closed or where they're 104 00:06:57,300 --> 00:07:00,900 winning, which didn't happen. Very frequently but certainly 105 00:07:00,900 --> 00:07:03,800 decent, sample size. They were willing just to run 106 00:07:03,900 --> 00:07:05,800 the shit out of the ball. They didn't really let Matt 107 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:09,700 Jones throat around much last week, I believe. 108 00:07:10,100 --> 00:07:14,900 Patriots got what is it up to? I think 40-plus pass attempts. 109 00:07:14,900 --> 00:07:20,100 That have to check the box score again for zappy. 110 00:07:21,500 --> 00:07:23,600 I'm pulling it up now. Yeah. 111 00:07:24,500 --> 00:07:29,400 Okay, so it was 34 pass attempts so again, yeah, not massive 112 00:07:29,800 --> 00:07:33,700 volume, but in a game where they were leading the entire way, 113 00:07:34,000 --> 00:07:40,300 that's still pretty solid. So I think that's something to 114 00:07:40,300 --> 00:07:43,100 consider that and maybe it was due to the Damien Harris injury 115 00:07:43,100 --> 00:07:46,300 as well if they're willing to lean on the pass a bit more, but 116 00:07:47,200 --> 00:07:50,100 we saw them throw it in even in a game where they're leading the 117 00:07:50,100 --> 00:07:51,800 whole time. So that's something to consider 118 00:07:51,800 --> 00:07:55,100 where in - game scripts there could be A lot of volume. 119 00:07:55,100 --> 00:07:58,500 But yeah, I think, I think that's the right sort of nuance 120 00:07:58,500 --> 00:08:01,900 that you touched on around Zach. Be like viable streamer, but not 121 00:08:01,900 --> 00:08:04,100 someone. You're starting over the normal 122 00:08:04,100 --> 00:08:07,700 starters or right golf or Gino. You probably picked up off the 123 00:08:07,700 --> 00:08:12,200 wire already. And one thing that I found 124 00:08:12,200 --> 00:08:15,000 interesting about this chart is that a jobber? 125 00:08:15,000 --> 00:08:18,500 Oh, he's moved into the into the good section. 126 00:08:18,500 --> 00:08:21,700 He's moved from the bad section of the chart in the kind of Lee 127 00:08:21,700 --> 00:08:23,200 was in the book kind of bottom of X. 128 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:26,100 Now he's moved out of the day. This Mill Zone which is good to 129 00:08:26,100 --> 00:08:30,200 see ya. And and I think it's interesting 130 00:08:30,200 --> 00:08:35,700 in how with the sample size that we're working with, how one game 131 00:08:36,400 --> 00:08:39,500 can truly change that in it, and it kind of dramatic way. 132 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:44,200 And at completely change the picture that you're looking at. 133 00:08:44,700 --> 00:08:47,500 And I think that is that that's kind of like important to keep 134 00:08:47,500 --> 00:08:53,000 in mind with some of these kind of on the Performing players 135 00:08:53,000 --> 00:08:55,400 that have played really well in the past. 136 00:08:56,400 --> 00:09:01,800 Like what I mean? I guess the the context for 137 00:09:01,800 --> 00:09:08,100 color Murray is almost too bad to really, I guess at this point 138 00:09:08,500 --> 00:09:16,200 expect A huge jump in efficiency and but he is someone who has 139 00:09:16,200 --> 00:09:22,000 had really, really good games. And they do get nuke back and we 140 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:26,600 just have an example of how one game can completely change the 141 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:32,100 perception on on a player. Yeah, yeah I think that's a good 142 00:09:32,100 --> 00:09:36,300 point and I almost like well I was watching that Denver 143 00:09:36,300 --> 00:09:40,300 Chargers game last night. And in the first half the Denver 144 00:09:40,300 --> 00:09:42,400 passing offense actually look quite good. 145 00:09:42,400 --> 00:09:44,700 Russell Wilson's connecting on some some Dean plays. 146 00:09:44,700 --> 00:09:48,800 It didn't look like incredible by any means but I'm starting to 147 00:09:49,300 --> 00:09:51,800 maybe come around there and look at real offense. 148 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,300 Yeah, looks like a real offense. Second half completely collapse, 149 00:09:54,300 --> 00:09:59,300 but I think Ross is another guy that jumps out there where the 150 00:09:59,300 --> 00:10:01,600 media narrative is so against Ross. 151 00:10:01,600 --> 00:10:03,600 He's been in all these Prime Time games where he's looked 152 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:09,400 awful and he has been bad. I will say I do Part of how bad 153 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:13,200 they've been is just really, really, really bad Red Zone 154 00:10:13,200 --> 00:10:15,100 efficiency. And some of that is probably 155 00:10:15,100 --> 00:10:18,100 structural like Russ looks bad down, there is throwing up these 156 00:10:18,100 --> 00:10:20,500 gross floaters. He's immediately turning around 157 00:10:20,500 --> 00:10:23,200 and running every time he sees pressure like it doesn't look 158 00:10:23,200 --> 00:10:25,900 good, but I think that's a situation where the Red Zone 159 00:10:25,900 --> 00:10:28,700 efficiency is going to positively regress. 160 00:10:29,100 --> 00:10:32,000 And I'm not here to tell you, Russ Wilson is going to be a top 161 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:33,200 five quarterback, the rest of the way. 162 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:37,800 But people might be really down on him in your league, so he's 163 00:10:37,800 --> 00:10:40,700 another guy. Guy where if you can get them 164 00:10:40,700 --> 00:10:43,500 for really cheap, maybe in superflex where you can kind of 165 00:10:43,600 --> 00:10:46,900 get more value out of it, that's that's a place. 166 00:10:46,900 --> 00:10:49,600 I might be looking because again, is adjusted net yards per 167 00:10:49,600 --> 00:10:52,600 attempt, progestin yards, per attempt is quite High, even with 168 00:10:52,600 --> 00:10:56,300 a really love TD rate. So that tells you that, I think 169 00:10:56,500 --> 00:11:00,100 he's maybe not playing as bad. As the media narrative. 170 00:11:00,100 --> 00:11:04,600 Sort of wood was just one piece of context and I was just 171 00:11:04,600 --> 00:11:06,700 thinking about this because I think I made this point on 172 00:11:06,700 --> 00:11:08,100 Russell Wilson. That is it just the yard? 173 00:11:08,300 --> 00:11:11,200 Kent is still quite good. Is that? 174 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:15,500 He holds the ball a long time. So he takes a lot of sacks. 175 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:17,400 Yeah. Sacha not factored in here, 176 00:11:17,400 --> 00:11:18,100 right? Yeah. 177 00:11:18,100 --> 00:11:18,800 All right. Yeah. 178 00:11:19,100 --> 00:11:24,300 And and so, I think we have to kind of like, visually adjust 179 00:11:24,300 --> 00:11:28,900 that he's probably closer to the average in adjusted yards per 180 00:11:28,900 --> 00:11:33,800 attempt and when you account for the the socks and stuff like 181 00:11:33,800 --> 00:11:35,600 that. Yeah, that's a good point. 182 00:11:35,900 --> 00:11:38,100 Like, the other thing would be interesting to see if we had 183 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:40,100 This data and I haven't really seen people break it down like 184 00:11:40,100 --> 00:11:44,700 this but sort of a yards per drop back statistic that 185 00:11:44,700 --> 00:11:47,800 factored in both sacks as well as like scrambles and rushing 186 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:48,800 yards. I think that would be 187 00:11:49,100 --> 00:11:51,700 interesting to see how that affects guys like Ross. 188 00:11:51,700 --> 00:11:55,500 You take a lot of sacks or guys like Lamar who may be adding a 189 00:11:55,500 --> 00:11:58,100 lot through through the ground on their drawbacks. 190 00:11:59,300 --> 00:12:03,000 But it's just a hypothetical thing, may be worth checking out 191 00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:05,900 in future weeks. Yeah, it's called me. 192 00:12:05,900 --> 00:12:08,700 Maybe we should be doing this for It back. 193 00:12:09,700 --> 00:12:10,900 Yeah. I think would be cool. 194 00:12:11,700 --> 00:12:13,900 Yeah. Like that that was that would 195 00:12:13,900 --> 00:12:16,300 add that would be a good adjustment for sure. 196 00:12:17,700 --> 00:12:21,400 Yep. Anything else on the 197 00:12:21,400 --> 00:12:26,500 quarterbacks that jumps out to you Connor, I think you know, 198 00:12:26,500 --> 00:12:28,600 we've been doing this for six weeks now, so I think we've 199 00:12:28,600 --> 00:12:33,000 touched on a lot of Trends are the same for the most part. 200 00:12:33,300 --> 00:12:38,600 Yeah. I think we're both seeing that 201 00:12:38,600 --> 00:12:47,200 and I think that a and it's, it's probably at work pointing 202 00:12:47,200 --> 00:12:49,500 out. So we have to talk about hello. 203 00:12:49,500 --> 00:12:54,600 I am in here just because he is expected to start next week, but 204 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:56,100 one thought I did have about that. 205 00:12:56,100 --> 00:13:01,300 Is that the sample size of games is smaller for, for him than the 206 00:13:01,300 --> 00:13:06,300 rest of the players which probably doesn't Does help and 207 00:13:06,700 --> 00:13:10,500 because he had such outlier games, it probably is a factor 208 00:13:10,500 --> 00:13:14,800 of, in terms of pushing them, to be the leader, and adjusted 209 00:13:14,800 --> 00:13:19,900 yards per attempt on. I have to imagine that if he, if 210 00:13:19,900 --> 00:13:24,900 he had the bigger sample size, he be closer, and be closer to 211 00:13:24,908 --> 00:13:30,500 the average, but maybe a smidge. And, but having said that, still 212 00:13:31,000 --> 00:13:37,100 happy to fire him up in And probably if you have them unless 213 00:13:37,200 --> 00:13:42,400 unless it's over like a Josh Allen or like Patrick Mahomes a 214 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:45,900 true Elite option. Still very strong player I 215 00:13:45,908 --> 00:13:47,600 think. Yeah, I agree with that. 216 00:13:47,600 --> 00:13:52,700 I'm starting him over like the Mariota, like Rogers, Derek, 217 00:13:52,700 --> 00:13:55,500 Carr, type sort of guys in that, that range. 218 00:13:55,500 --> 00:13:57,700 I think I'm taking the risk with two of these going back this 219 00:13:57,700 --> 00:14:00,400 week. I'm a Believer in the Miami 220 00:14:00,400 --> 00:14:02,600 scheme and the talent at wide receiver. 221 00:14:02,800 --> 00:14:05,600 Just watching those games tie, Rico Tyree kill is just getting 222 00:14:05,600 --> 00:14:08,300 open with such ease. Jalen waddle can stretch the 223 00:14:08,300 --> 00:14:11,500 field and also do do the yak stuff that tire you can do. 224 00:14:11,500 --> 00:14:14,600 It's just it seems to be a really good good passing scheme 225 00:14:14,600 --> 00:14:18,500 with talented weapons so I'm yeah, I agree. 226 00:14:18,500 --> 00:14:20,800 It's a small sample. Like I don't expect you to stay 227 00:14:20,900 --> 00:14:23,700 on the top right corner of this chart with that level of 228 00:14:23,708 --> 00:14:26,900 efficiency. But I do still see him as a high 229 00:14:26,900 --> 00:14:29,800 high upside quarterback going forward that I'm for sure, 230 00:14:29,800 --> 00:14:34,500 taking taking a shot on and I think the evidence has been he 231 00:14:34,500 --> 00:14:37,500 is Is an it is out of to the offense. 232 00:14:37,800 --> 00:14:41,200 Like it's not like they can just run out any other quarterback 233 00:14:41,700 --> 00:14:44,700 and ball out like they've genuine you miss them over the 234 00:14:44,708 --> 00:14:49,300 past couple of games and but there's a very noticeable 235 00:14:49,300 --> 00:14:55,100 difference in the offense when he plays and which I think is 236 00:14:55,100 --> 00:14:58,700 kind of like a strong sign and Doctor should be good, 237 00:14:58,700 --> 00:15:01,200 efficiency, good, the strong efficiency for him going 238 00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:03,500 forward. Yep. 239 00:15:04,900 --> 00:15:10,400 What one point, and I just changed in my spreadsheet. 240 00:15:10,400 --> 00:15:15,900 I just change Russell Wilson and from using the attempted to 241 00:15:15,900 --> 00:15:21,500 Dropbox and by using Dropbox, if pushes them from a 7.1, adjusted 242 00:15:21,500 --> 00:15:28,500 yards per attempt to 6.1 mmm and which is still, I guess if you 243 00:15:28,500 --> 00:15:32,000 look at the where the chart is, six point one that pushes them 244 00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:34,900 closed. Oh, sir to the, I guess just 245 00:15:34,900 --> 00:15:39,200 ahead of Matthew Stafford range. Yeah, and I guess to be fair to 246 00:15:39,208 --> 00:15:41,600 him, like, you would have to do that adjustment for everybody, 247 00:15:41,600 --> 00:15:43,000 right? So like everybody probably 248 00:15:43,000 --> 00:15:45,200 shifting a little bit, but I'm guessing that with the amount of 249 00:15:45,200 --> 00:15:49,800 sacks, he's taking, he is Shifting like the most the left 250 00:15:49,800 --> 00:15:51,800 on this chart, if you want to visualize it like that relative 251 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:54,900 to other players. But yeah, that's a good point. 252 00:15:55,100 --> 00:15:57,700 And maybe next week, we will have that view for quarterback. 253 00:15:57,700 --> 00:15:59,600 So yeah. I think we should. 254 00:16:00,000 --> 00:16:02,100 Yeah. Okay. 255 00:16:02,300 --> 00:16:06,500 Great moving on to running back here. 256 00:16:08,100 --> 00:16:13,100 So the expected points chart is back after a brief absence last 257 00:16:13,100 --> 00:16:15,000 week. I thought it was thought it was 258 00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:18,600 interesting to bring back this week for a couple reasons but to 259 00:16:18,600 --> 00:16:22,700 those following along and video and and on audio I suppose we're 260 00:16:22,700 --> 00:16:26,000 looking at running back workloads in terms of expected 261 00:16:26,000 --> 00:16:29,200 fantasy points and also looking at their efficiency. 262 00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:31,600 So fantasy points over under expected. 263 00:16:32,100 --> 00:16:33,500 Here in this chart on the y-axis. 264 00:16:33,500 --> 00:16:36,100 We have receiving workload so you see guys like Austin Eckler, 265 00:16:36,100 --> 00:16:39,300 really spiking their with massive receiving roles and on 266 00:16:39,300 --> 00:16:42,800 the x axis, we see rushing expected fantasy points. 267 00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:46,200 So you see guys like chub, Derrick, Henry, Taylor Etc, 268 00:16:46,500 --> 00:16:51,100 showing up with huge workloads there as we would expect. 269 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:56,900 So Connor, my first takeaway in looking at this chart, I think 270 00:16:56,900 --> 00:17:01,000 hecklers guy, that's kind of flown under the radar a little 271 00:17:01,000 --> 00:17:03,800 bit and Fantasy the season. I think the first couple weeks, 272 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,000 people are really scared about his role. 273 00:17:06,000 --> 00:17:09,000 He didn't really have a high snap rate, a lot of Michelle and 274 00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:11,700 Josh Kelley mixing in, for rushing attempts. 275 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:15,700 But this receiving workload, I don't know if it's a product of 276 00:17:15,700 --> 00:17:19,599 Keenan, Allen being out but it's really, really spiked recently. 277 00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:23,099 I believe you had 10 catches last night and it truly gross 278 00:17:23,099 --> 00:17:27,000 like compiling PPR effort, but still anytime a running back and 279 00:17:27,000 --> 00:17:30,900 get 10 catches, that's just flashing amazing upside for, for 280 00:17:30,900 --> 00:17:35,700 PPR Our maths. But yeah, how it's like, what 281 00:17:35,700 --> 00:17:37,600 you call it's like, last year a little bit, isn't it? 282 00:17:37,600 --> 00:17:39,900 Where they came in with this plan of? 283 00:17:40,200 --> 00:17:45,300 Okay, we can't just give every touch the Austin Eckler and he's 284 00:17:45,300 --> 00:17:47,600 one of our best players, we need to like preserve them. 285 00:17:48,300 --> 00:17:51,600 And then they realized that the guys that they brought in to 286 00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:58,500 take the load at are just not up to Snuff and and they're having 287 00:17:58,500 --> 00:18:03,200 to go back to Austin after a lot more and then I believe Him who 288 00:18:03,200 --> 00:18:05,100 was the backup running back for the Chargers. 289 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,600 Josh Kelley went down with the knee and the Aviary. 290 00:18:08,700 --> 00:18:11,500 Yeah. So that that, that probably 291 00:18:11,500 --> 00:18:16,700 helped them there. Yeah, but he's also been quite 292 00:18:16,700 --> 00:18:21,000 strong and in the last couple of games and I think the other part 293 00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:24,400 of it is, is that he's also good at football, very good. 294 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:30,000 And so that's something where a guy can get, maybe more, maybe 295 00:18:30,000 --> 00:18:34,500 he is in a committee, or He a he is snap. 296 00:18:34,500 --> 00:18:38,300 Share isn't as quite as strong as you'd like well he just plays 297 00:18:38,300 --> 00:18:40,600 so well that he's getting you touchdowns. 298 00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:44,700 He's getting you a production and he's definitely in that 299 00:18:44,700 --> 00:18:47,900 category. Yeah and it's an interesting 300 00:18:47,900 --> 00:18:50,500 sort of contrast will see when we go to the snaps chart and a 301 00:18:50,500 --> 00:18:52,600 little bit, he does not really flash there. 302 00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:55,600 But in terms of just raw expected fantasy points per 303 00:18:55,600 --> 00:19:00,000 game, he is now third at running backs behind only Joe Mixon and 304 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:04,100 Leonard fournette. He's That 18.7 total expected 305 00:19:04,100 --> 00:19:06,200 fantasy points per game. So that's a anytime you're 306 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:09,700 getting approaching 20 over this large of a sample size. 307 00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:12,200 That's a really, really strong expected fantasy points, 308 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:14,300 workload, and like you said, he's a talented running back. 309 00:19:14,300 --> 00:19:18,200 I expect him to be able to add Tennessee points on top of that, 310 00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:21,500 through his efficiency and that Chargers offense being, you 311 00:19:21,508 --> 00:19:23,400 know, hopefully pretty high scoring. 312 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:27,200 So, yeah, if you have, if you have Eckler, I think you're 313 00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:30,200 pretty excited. Outside of I'm not sure if you 314 00:19:30,200 --> 00:19:33,700 wouldn't be the third running back and maybe you know that's 315 00:19:33,700 --> 00:19:35,400 what resurrections over so we can check though. 316 00:19:35,400 --> 00:19:36,900 I was actually just going to make that point. 317 00:19:36,900 --> 00:19:39,000 So the best ball Resurrection is over. 318 00:19:39,500 --> 00:19:45,900 We still do have a TPS from the daily best ball and obviously, 319 00:19:45,900 --> 00:19:50,100 dad at is only the main slate. When you're looking at the with 320 00:19:50,100 --> 00:19:54,500 the I guess the biggest sample. Only includes two main say I am 321 00:19:54,600 --> 00:19:59,200 but Austin Eckler he is a turd running back over all. 322 00:19:59,700 --> 00:20:04,400 And by ATP and he goes he's so that he goes at an average of 323 00:20:04,400 --> 00:20:07,400 pick 6.7. That's five. 324 00:20:07,400 --> 00:20:11,700 Picks ahead of Nick Chubb and then Seth are six-and-a-half 325 00:20:11,700 --> 00:20:16,500 picks ahead of that Christian McCaffrey That, that is 326 00:20:16,508 --> 00:20:19,100 interesting. Yeah, look at these ATP is like, 327 00:20:19,100 --> 00:20:22,900 Derrick Henry is the first running back, right? 328 00:20:22,900 --> 00:20:25,200 I guess have people are is a slightly different game. 329 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:28,800 I can I can see, why is in the same range as those guys, but I 330 00:20:28,800 --> 00:20:31,600 think I'm pretty easily taking Eckler over Henry. 331 00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:36,500 I probably am taking McCaffrey over at Claire though, right? 332 00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,300 So I think I guess that's probably around about right? 333 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:41,500 What is it? EP is? 334 00:20:41,500 --> 00:20:47,400 So yeah, I think that a that Underdog is obviously a fairly 335 00:20:47,900 --> 00:20:53,100 sharp sight and and they've definitely noticed that that 336 00:20:53,100 --> 00:20:58,400 increase in production for a clear and Yeah. 337 00:20:59,700 --> 00:21:05,100 The one, the one running back that is yet should be on this 338 00:21:05,100 --> 00:21:08,700 chart that is still discounted, is Bruce Hall. 339 00:21:09,100 --> 00:21:11,200 So Breeze. Ha goes at a pic of an average 340 00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:17,200 of 30, which is the last round in these a fastball dailies, and 341 00:21:17,200 --> 00:21:22,200 they're that kind of baffles me, that that's obviously a huge 342 00:21:22,200 --> 00:21:25,600 priority Target. And when you getting over 15 343 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:29,400 expected points per game, He's a rookie who's playing very well, 344 00:21:29,800 --> 00:21:32,700 and he does it in the Run game on the, on the receiving game 345 00:21:33,300 --> 00:21:35,600 and kind of a smashed picked her, right? 346 00:21:36,500 --> 00:21:39,600 Yeah, yeah. I take 30, I don't know why he's 347 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:43,900 going so late and I think there's, there's even upside. 348 00:21:43,900 --> 00:21:47,200 We saw it and like the first couple games with Joe Flacco, 349 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:50,500 there's these massive receiving roles for some of these backs 350 00:21:50,500 --> 00:21:53,300 because the game script kind of got out of hand for the Jets. 351 00:21:53,300 --> 00:21:56,200 Now, the Jets have been good enough that they've been up in 352 00:21:56,200 --> 00:21:59,500 these games. Like against the Packers, I'm 353 00:21:59,500 --> 00:22:01,800 blanking on who it was the week before that, but they've had 354 00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:05,200 some weird game script that I don't really expect going 355 00:22:05,200 --> 00:22:07,400 forward. So once the Jets start to have 356 00:22:07,400 --> 00:22:11,300 to throw more, I think that actually helps res Halls ceiling 357 00:22:11,300 --> 00:22:13,600 because, you know, we've seen those running backs rack up a 358 00:22:13,600 --> 00:22:16,000 ton, a ton of catches in the first couple weeks. 359 00:22:16,000 --> 00:22:20,300 So, right, like to call me a big part of their offense, a large 360 00:22:20,300 --> 00:22:22,800 part of their offense is going to have to run for Bruce Hall. 361 00:22:24,000 --> 00:22:26,900 Yep. Yeah that offense it seems to be 362 00:22:26,900 --> 00:22:29,400 haul a little bit of Carter Darren Wilson. 363 00:22:29,400 --> 00:22:32,900 Corey Davis in the passing game and that's about that's about 364 00:22:32,900 --> 00:22:35,800 it. Not a lot going to a larger more 365 00:22:35,800 --> 00:22:38,300 other periphery pieces there. So a lot of a lot of fantasy 366 00:22:38,300 --> 00:22:40,800 points to the running backs on the Jets. 367 00:22:41,900 --> 00:22:44,400 Got another thing I wanted to call out, just sort of a quick 368 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:48,000 note D on Jackson's role was really strong last week. 369 00:22:48,000 --> 00:22:52,700 Now, I think this is actually averaging two weeks of Deon 370 00:22:52,700 --> 00:22:56,200 Jackson starts, right? And we're not not starts are two 371 00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:58,800 weeks of G on Jackson getting snaps. 372 00:22:58,800 --> 00:23:04,400 And one of them was the week when Hines was still around and 373 00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:08,100 he didn't have a huge workload, but last week he had a massive 374 00:23:08,100 --> 00:23:10,300 workload. I believe all the time I had 375 00:23:10,300 --> 00:23:13,400 close to 20 expected fantasy points. 376 00:23:13,700 --> 00:23:18,400 I had like 80 plus receiving yards so if Taylor and Heinz 377 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:23,900 remain out, he is a must start. Three and a half expected points 378 00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:30,100 for three and a half. Yeah, he scored a really strong 379 00:23:30,100 --> 00:23:32,200 game for him. Yes, he looks really good out 380 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:34,300 there just like a an eye test thing. 381 00:23:34,300 --> 00:23:35,900 Definitely looks better. I mean, I don't know what 382 00:23:35,900 --> 00:23:39,500 happened to fill up Lindsay, but man, that guy like, it's hard to 383 00:23:39,500 --> 00:23:42,600 describe, you got to watch them play, but He does this thing 384 00:23:42,600 --> 00:23:45,900 where he does this like stutter-step forever and it just 385 00:23:45,900 --> 00:23:48,200 goes nowhere. I like he, he looks like he has 386 00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,600 no juice out there but that's just a random aside, Deon 387 00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:54,800 Jackson definitely add him. I think Taylor will probably be 388 00:23:54,800 --> 00:23:57,700 back in Hines is probably not out for too much longer, but 389 00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,300 he's definitely worth like a cheap add on The Wire where you 390 00:24:01,300 --> 00:24:04,200 can get em and just see if you get another spot start out of 391 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:09,300 him this week versus the Titans, Any other running back 392 00:24:09,300 --> 00:24:13,800 situations, you want to talk through in the AFC or shall we 393 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:17,800 move on? I think I yeah we have another 394 00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:18,800 chart. Yeah. 395 00:24:19,900 --> 00:24:22,300 And that I think is better for some of these situations. 396 00:24:22,600 --> 00:24:26,100 Yep, for sure. So, touching quickly, on Nana, 397 00:24:26,100 --> 00:24:29,300 see here. Same same charge us with the NFC 398 00:24:29,300 --> 00:24:31,500 running backs. So we can compare sort of 399 00:24:31,500 --> 00:24:35,600 across, you know, back fields. Look at look at committees 400 00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:38,500 within a a certain team. A thing that stands out to me. 401 00:24:38,500 --> 00:24:43,600 Here Connor is, there's a pretty clear and we see it a little bit 402 00:24:43,600 --> 00:24:48,000 in the AFC to there's a pretty clear separation of The Haves 403 00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:50,300 and Have Nots. And then I see, we essentially 404 00:24:50,300 --> 00:24:56,800 have for Workhorse backs in the NFC with Berkeley for net, 405 00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:01,200 Chimera and McCaffrey. And I think Berkeley for net and 406 00:25:01,200 --> 00:25:04,300 McCaffrey those. Those aren't surprising to 407 00:25:04,300 --> 00:25:06,600 anybody who's been following the show or He's been following 408 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,800 fantasy this year. Those are those guys have been 409 00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:11,000 getting massive workloads all year. 410 00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:15,700 I think the Camaro one is interesting because he is really 411 00:25:15,700 --> 00:25:20,100 shot up this chart over the last couple weeks with Andy Dalton 412 00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:23,300 playing and the ton of the wide receivers being out. 413 00:25:23,300 --> 00:25:27,200 Michael Thomas has been out just a lava can cost Jarvis Landry 414 00:25:27,200 --> 00:25:30,400 has been out so a ton of the pass game. 415 00:25:30,400 --> 00:25:33,200 Usage has been funneling to Chimera and as a result we're 416 00:25:33,208 --> 00:25:36,400 seeing this massive receiving workload for Him. 417 00:25:36,400 --> 00:25:40,100 So yeah, quite question for you. What are you like on this chart? 418 00:25:40,100 --> 00:25:42,600 If you're just you know looking at it sort of blindly without 419 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:46,600 the context you would see oh Karen McCaffrey should be 420 00:25:47,100 --> 00:25:50,300 valued, you know about the same similar workloads, you know, 421 00:25:50,300 --> 00:25:53,900 what do you what do you think about that with Chimera going 422 00:25:54,300 --> 00:25:56,300 forward? You expect this usage to 423 00:25:56,300 --> 00:25:58,200 continue with the water. She was returning, or do you 424 00:25:58,208 --> 00:26:01,900 think this is sort of a small blip on the radar for him? 425 00:26:03,400 --> 00:26:08,900 And so I think I still would have a McCaffrey a good bit of 426 00:26:08,900 --> 00:26:14,800 head of chimera. And I guess, one of the big 427 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:20,800 concerns for Chimera is that it's the taysom hill, one sir, 428 00:26:20,800 --> 00:26:23,700 where they just decide this is going to be the taysom hill 429 00:26:23,700 --> 00:26:28,400 game, and he gets a lot of the touchdowns. 430 00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:32,600 He gets a lot of the At the artists to. 431 00:26:33,300 --> 00:26:42,500 And and I guess another issue I have with Chimera is that And I 432 00:26:42,500 --> 00:26:46,100 maybe this is to film grinder. E, it does. 433 00:26:46,100 --> 00:26:49,400 Kind of look like he's like while he's still very good. 434 00:26:49,800 --> 00:26:54,000 He's not quite the same player that he was and where's 435 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:58,700 Christian McCaffrey looks like vintage Christian McCaffrey and 436 00:26:58,700 --> 00:27:03,400 II do think that's like an important and distinction or 437 00:27:03,400 --> 00:27:06,600 difference. Yeah, and it shows up here in 438 00:27:06,600 --> 00:27:12,800 the data. Khmer McCaffrey has way more 439 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:16,900 fantasy points over expected. Then Camaro, I think the mayor 440 00:27:16,900 --> 00:27:19,200 is actually under performing his workload. 441 00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:20,700 Yeah. On the season, he's averaging 442 00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:25,400 about -3 fantasy points over expected per game. 443 00:27:25,600 --> 00:27:31,200 Whereas the Caffrey is at plus two point two fantasy points 444 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,300 over expected per game. So sort of a five-point 445 00:27:34,300 --> 00:27:36,900 difference there. In terms of efficiency, just 446 00:27:36,900 --> 00:27:41,000 looking at the fantasy points over expected metric between 447 00:27:41,000 --> 00:27:43,500 McCaffrey and Chimera. Yeah, I think I'm with you, that 448 00:27:43,500 --> 00:27:48,800 the TD Equity is a concern for New Orleans. 449 00:27:48,800 --> 00:27:51,500 Number one, I think that offense is that great number to the 450 00:27:51,500 --> 00:27:54,700 taysom hill situation. And I really do think to the 451 00:27:54,700 --> 00:27:55,800 point. I was sort of hanging out 452 00:27:55,800 --> 00:28:00,200 earlier. I do think that camara's roll. 453 00:28:00,500 --> 00:28:05,200 If number one Jamis comes back, he takes a hit number two, Once 454 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:09,100 a Lobby, Michael Thomas come back, he's gonna take a hit. 455 00:28:09,100 --> 00:28:11,700 So he's racked up a lot of receiving yards. 456 00:28:11,700 --> 00:28:15,100 The past two weeks, I think an average about 60 per game on six 457 00:28:15,100 --> 00:28:19,800 catches per game. I don't expect that to hold once 458 00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:21,900 all these receivers coming, come back there. 459 00:28:21,900 --> 00:28:25,800 Truly trotting out, like Marquez Callaway, trequan Smith, some 460 00:28:25,800 --> 00:28:31,000 real sort of dumpster dive guys at Wide Receiver right now, 461 00:28:31,000 --> 00:28:33,900 which is funneling a lot of stuff to chimera. 462 00:28:35,300 --> 00:28:39,200 Right. And and then I guess somebody 463 00:28:39,500 --> 00:28:44,000 order issue. And so And like you said, the 464 00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:47,700 per game average on that is a fantasy points. 465 00:28:47,700 --> 00:28:53,200 Over expected has been bad, but some of the one of the, on the 466 00:28:53,200 --> 00:28:55,600 detail, one of the most concerning things for me, is 467 00:28:55,600 --> 00:28:59,300 that. So, last week, he had a 468 00:28:59,300 --> 00:29:07,800 expected, receiving are 250, he came in at 25 and not sure on, 469 00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:16,200 and then the average So his two games before week for I think 470 00:29:16,200 --> 00:29:20,100 that was week one and two. Yeah, unexpected receiving it as 471 00:29:20,100 --> 00:29:28,500 a 50 came in at 19 and like it the detail. 472 00:29:28,500 --> 00:29:31,500 Obviously, this is a little bit small sample size but the detail 473 00:29:31,500 --> 00:29:36,800 there of him coming in way under what his expected receiving are 474 00:29:36,800 --> 00:29:44,600 and should be is It's definitely concerning given given that the 475 00:29:44,600 --> 00:29:47,400 eye test is making it look like he's not quite as good as he 476 00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:48,300 was. Yeah. 477 00:29:48,300 --> 00:29:51,000 And it's we have a whole I mean I think we also have all of last 478 00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:53,700 year where we saw, he was not the same old Chimera in terms of 479 00:29:53,700 --> 00:29:56,300 efficiency. He was a guy who always got 480 00:29:56,300 --> 00:30:00,800 there on pretty low volume and just insane efficiency and last 481 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:04,800 year's more of a volume play with with middling efficiency 482 00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:09,300 and we're kind of seeing that again this year with with 483 00:30:09,300 --> 00:30:10,800 Chimera. So I agree. 484 00:30:10,800 --> 00:30:14,200 It's concerning. I you know I see McCafferty for 485 00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:18,300 net Berkeley and Camara sort of in this tear on the chart. 486 00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:22,600 I am way higher on the other three especially McCaffrey and 487 00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:26,100 Berkeley then than Chimera going forward. 488 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:29,700 Any other situations. So just want to say historical 489 00:30:29,700 --> 00:30:34,800 anomalies appreciate you and always catching the show's. 490 00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:38,900 I was with the appreciation. And thanks dude. 491 00:30:39,900 --> 00:30:42,900 Yeah, appreciate that. And yeah, you have any quick 492 00:30:42,900 --> 00:30:45,700 questions. Let us know in the live chat. 493 00:30:45,700 --> 00:30:48,600 Guys will be happy to answer them. 494 00:30:49,400 --> 00:30:54,000 The yeah, I think Connor, I think we can probably move on to 495 00:30:54,000 --> 00:30:58,500 the snaps chart now and yeah, anything, yep, let's do it. 496 00:31:00,100 --> 00:31:05,400 So, still looking at running backs here, we're now looking at 497 00:31:05,700 --> 00:31:08,200 their usage. So, the first two trucks were 498 00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:10,900 looking at usage in terms of, Affected fantasy points. 499 00:31:11,100 --> 00:31:15,200 Now we're looking at usage just in terms of percent of team 500 00:31:15,200 --> 00:31:18,400 plays that they are getting a rush attempt or a route. 501 00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:21,900 So those are kind of the the juicy snaps where they're either 502 00:31:22,100 --> 00:31:25,000 directly in the ball, Rush attempt, obviously or the 503 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:27,800 running, a passing route and have the opportunity to earn a 504 00:31:27,800 --> 00:31:29,600 Target. We want to see workout horse 505 00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:32,900 running backs, have a high percentage of their team plays 506 00:31:32,900 --> 00:31:35,400 with are either getting the ball or they're out there running a 507 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:37,600 route where they can earn earn a Target. 508 00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:41,900 So it's sort of an interesting way Yep, go ahead and I guess 509 00:31:41,900 --> 00:31:44,100 one known is. So this said this chart was 510 00:31:44,100 --> 00:31:48,900 inspired after a conversation with with been Gretsch where he 511 00:31:48,900 --> 00:31:53,000 had said. And when a running for most 512 00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:56,500 running backs, unless it's the screenplay, when they get a 513 00:31:56,508 --> 00:31:59,800 Target, it's usually not by Design. 514 00:32:00,100 --> 00:32:03,700 Normally it's because something down the field, more desirable 515 00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:07,200 didn't work out as intended and there a check down option. 516 00:32:07,700 --> 00:32:09,500 There are some running backs like Christian. 517 00:32:09,600 --> 00:32:15,700 McCaffrey and Sake One Barkley who are true weapons and the 518 00:32:15,700 --> 00:32:19,600 team will look to have to find ways to get them involved and 519 00:32:19,600 --> 00:32:22,900 make them a big part of their offense at receiving was. 520 00:32:23,300 --> 00:32:26,800 But for most running backs, that's not the case. 521 00:32:27,500 --> 00:32:34,400 And because of that, we want to concentrate more on just who's 522 00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:37,800 out there, ready to receive a Target rather than them. 523 00:32:39,600 --> 00:32:44,100 Receive expected receiving based on the targets, they did go. 524 00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:46,600 Yeah, I think that's a good point. 525 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:49,500 Yeah like you'll see, you know, you'll see McCaffrey and Eckler 526 00:32:49,700 --> 00:32:52,300 run these routes of the backfield where it almost looks 527 00:32:52,300 --> 00:32:54,100 at their product, their the primary read, they have a 528 00:32:54,108 --> 00:32:57,000 mismatch on a linebacker. They sort of do that, I don't 529 00:32:57,000 --> 00:32:59,300 know what's called that Veer out where they cut to the right and 530 00:32:59,300 --> 00:33:02,300 then cupcakes. Oh yeah, yeah and you see that 531 00:33:02,300 --> 00:33:07,400 but then you know with guys like Joe Mixon you know Josh Jacobs 532 00:33:07,400 --> 00:33:10,200 even Leonard fournette. It's more so their targets are 533 00:33:10,700 --> 00:33:13,000 Brady looks down the field. Nobody's open. 534 00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:14,800 Okay for Nets here. Like let's do. 535 00:33:14,900 --> 00:33:17,800 Top it off. Ramps know, there's definitely a 536 00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:21,500 difference between those two types of backs, but for the 537 00:33:21,500 --> 00:33:24,500 ladder, we definitely just want to see them running a high 538 00:33:24,500 --> 00:33:27,200 percentage of routes because that'll give them a chance. 539 00:33:27,200 --> 00:33:30,700 You know, the guys like Nick Chubb, Josh Jacobs for Nat who 540 00:33:30,700 --> 00:33:32,300 maybe aren't special wide receivers. 541 00:33:32,300 --> 00:33:35,300 We want to see them out there running a lot of routes because 542 00:33:35,300 --> 00:33:37,900 they're probably not getting design looks in the passing 543 00:33:37,900 --> 00:33:40,100 game. It'll more have to be sort of on 544 00:33:40,100 --> 00:33:44,800 volume just being out there on on routes so and are not narrow. 545 00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:46,700 Person is probably a good example of that. 546 00:33:46,700 --> 00:33:49,900 Where, like nobody thinks of Darrell Henderson has this, like 547 00:33:49,900 --> 00:33:56,500 Supremo and running back receiving Force, but we see that 548 00:33:57,000 --> 00:34:02,900 he is running a very high percentage of his team's routes, 549 00:34:03,300 --> 00:34:07,400 which is pretty even though it's not, it's not a very good 550 00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:10,000 offense right now, it's kind of a bad offense. 551 00:34:10,500 --> 00:34:13,800 It's still exciting to see your running back run that kind of 552 00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:17,300 rupture Yep. I agree. 553 00:34:17,300 --> 00:34:21,400 I think. Henderson's may be a good a good 554 00:34:21,400 --> 00:34:24,400 person to start this conversation with, with all the 555 00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:28,400 turmoil in the Los Angeles, Rams backfield. 556 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:31,300 So Henderson's, an interesting one on this chart because he 557 00:34:31,300 --> 00:34:35,600 always shows up here as having the sort of top 12, you know, 558 00:34:35,600 --> 00:34:39,300 rb1 usage, in terms of percentage of team plays Ruiz on 559 00:34:39,300 --> 00:34:41,600 the field. But as you can see here, that 560 00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:45,199 dark green bar for Russia. Temps is very low relative to 561 00:34:45,199 --> 00:34:48,600 other Eyes on this chart, he's out there he's more so just 562 00:34:48,600 --> 00:34:52,100 running routes he's not really getting any Rush attempts when 563 00:34:52,100 --> 00:34:54,900 he's out there that's more so than the cam Akers or last week, 564 00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:59,200 Malcolm Brown role, but he is running a ton of routes. 565 00:34:59,200 --> 00:35:05,500 So I've been struggling with how to approach this Rams backfield 566 00:35:05,500 --> 00:35:08,000 going forward. I think I want to be buying 567 00:35:08,000 --> 00:35:12,500 Henderson, just because I think this big of a workload of just 568 00:35:12,500 --> 00:35:16,700 being on the field and with, with Acres Is going away. 569 00:35:17,000 --> 00:35:21,500 I think the market is still a little low on him. 570 00:35:21,700 --> 00:35:24,300 But yeah, if you have thoughts I know there's also other guys we 571 00:35:24,300 --> 00:35:26,900 can discuss like Malcolm Brown and Karen Williams, essentially 572 00:35:26,900 --> 00:35:30,100 coming back. But do you have thoughts on the 573 00:35:30,100 --> 00:35:33,000 Rams back to the going forward from sort of a season-long 574 00:35:33,500 --> 00:35:40,500 fantasy perspective of how you would you try to play it and For 575 00:35:40,500 --> 00:35:45,400 some reason and do Henderson is I was going at a discount and 576 00:35:45,600 --> 00:35:53,600 yeah, so if if he or so he is probably going to be the primary 577 00:35:53,600 --> 00:36:02,000 and beneficiary and just because he was already kind of like a 1A 578 00:36:02,000 --> 00:36:05,200 1B Whitcomb anchors. And now, with him out of the 579 00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:10,900 picture even though and Malcolm Is there. 580 00:36:11,200 --> 00:36:15,700 And I'm definitely excited about Karen Williams and he, 581 00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:19,300 especially with the discounts that he tends to go up. 582 00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:27,800 And he's not, he's not in the watch Colour daily and that's 583 00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:35,700 all and so don't really have a price check on them but and He 584 00:36:35,700 --> 00:36:39,900 is definitely somebody that I'm excited about and then Karen 585 00:36:40,200 --> 00:36:43,000 Karen Williams. Probably not. 586 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:45,100 It's not really a tournament player. 587 00:36:45,100 --> 00:36:48,000 Like you're not really gonna play him in Daily Fantasy on 588 00:36:48,000 --> 00:36:53,300 that sterile Henderson gets hurt as well and but definitely a to 589 00:36:53,300 --> 00:36:58,300 me and exciting bench stash and for two reasons. 590 00:36:58,300 --> 00:37:01,900 He was so productive in college he played really really well in 591 00:37:01,900 --> 00:37:08,700 college and and then he was Also at he also I guess he played 592 00:37:08,700 --> 00:37:12,700 himself into a week one role they were going to use him in 593 00:37:12,700 --> 00:37:17,800 the offense and week one, before he got injured and and that's 594 00:37:17,800 --> 00:37:21,300 really tough to do for a rookie. So the fact that he was able to 595 00:37:21,300 --> 00:37:25,100 do that means they really like them and that he once he comes 596 00:37:25,100 --> 00:37:28,400 back from injury so he does have the high on those high ankle 597 00:37:28,400 --> 00:37:32,800 sprain and but once he does come back at definitely excited to 598 00:37:32,808 --> 00:37:35,900 see how he does. Yeah, I'm excited to see that to 599 00:37:35,900 --> 00:37:38,600 definitely guy. I think you should be stashing 600 00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:41,400 historical anomalies ass. And, you know, I don't think 601 00:37:41,400 --> 00:37:43,900 we're trade experts here, but I think it's an interesting 602 00:37:43,900 --> 00:37:47,400 question with the CMC. Trade rumors, think, cam Akers 603 00:37:47,400 --> 00:37:49,800 plus an early pick would be enough for the Panthers to pull 604 00:37:49,800 --> 00:37:52,300 the trigger on CMC. I'm guessing they wouldn't 605 00:37:52,300 --> 00:37:54,400 really care about acres in that trade their more. 606 00:37:54,400 --> 00:37:58,900 So would care about the pick. I think Acres probably around 607 00:37:58,900 --> 00:38:02,200 the around the league right now. Doesn't really have any trade 608 00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:04,000 value. I'd be surprised at the Rams, 609 00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:08,200 get Much for him but yeah we'll see if he's going to conditional 610 00:38:08,200 --> 00:38:11,000 day tree pick. Yeah, I think that's about Acres 611 00:38:11,000 --> 00:38:13,100 value. So I don't know the Rams even 612 00:38:13,100 --> 00:38:15,000 have in the early picks and to offer. 613 00:38:15,000 --> 00:38:17,400 I know the latest on the situation but I know they've 614 00:38:17,400 --> 00:38:22,100 kind of had merged hadn't reached the future with all the 615 00:38:22,900 --> 00:38:24,000 picture. It's I don't think that's the 616 00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:29,000 most likely destination for CMC, but I would definitely have to 617 00:38:29,008 --> 00:38:30,800 look into the cap, situations more. 618 00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:35,300 I'm not firmly, you know, throw the first Grasp on what's even 619 00:38:35,300 --> 00:38:38,400 possible there. But yeah, interesting question. 620 00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:42,700 We'll see if CMC gets gets moved in the next week or so. 621 00:38:43,900 --> 00:38:45,900 Connor. I think we talked about Bruce 622 00:38:45,900 --> 00:38:49,400 out already, but I wanted to bring them up here, just because 623 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:53,300 he finally, for the first week has appeared on this chart which 624 00:38:53,300 --> 00:38:56,500 is just showing running backs with more than 45 percent of 625 00:38:56,500 --> 00:38:59,600 routes or Rush attempts. So, number one, that's exciting 626 00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:04,000 that he's finally getting that larger usage in terms of just 627 00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:09,300 being on the field more. And number two, you look at all 628 00:39:09,300 --> 00:39:13,100 the guys in this chart that have over 100 expected fantasy 629 00:39:13,100 --> 00:39:16,400 points. And it's all guys way to the 630 00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:20,400 left of the chart McCaffrey Berkeley tail for net. 631 00:39:20,400 --> 00:39:24,500 In Nixon, those are four out of the top five guys in terms of 632 00:39:25,300 --> 00:39:29,100 percent rushed a route rate and then you have two other guys 633 00:39:29,100 --> 00:39:31,600 scattered across the start with over 100 spective fantasy 634 00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:33,500 points. You have Eckler in the middle 635 00:39:33,500 --> 00:39:35,300 there. That's because when he is on the 636 00:39:35,300 --> 00:39:39,000 field, they are designing. Looks Rim in the pass game, very 637 00:39:39,000 --> 00:39:41,200 heavily. So that kind of makes sense and 638 00:39:41,200 --> 00:39:44,700 then Hall is other outlier here with And three expected fantasy 639 00:39:44,700 --> 00:39:49,000 points even with a relatively low snap rate. 640 00:39:49,000 --> 00:39:51,500 So I just think that's really exciting that he's been able to 641 00:39:51,800 --> 00:39:55,300 generate that many expect in fantasy points on that line of a 642 00:39:55,300 --> 00:39:56,900 workload. And there's still a ton of 643 00:39:56,900 --> 00:40:00,600 upside say, is number one, you know Carter could go down. 644 00:40:00,600 --> 00:40:02,600 That would open up support for him or number two. 645 00:40:02,900 --> 00:40:07,400 If you just continues to steal more of the work away, you know, 646 00:40:07,400 --> 00:40:10,100 especially in the Red Zone, I think Carter's sort of folks 647 00:40:10,100 --> 00:40:13,300 heard a lot from him there. So I think yeah, like we talked 648 00:40:13,300 --> 00:40:16,600 about earlier, Earlier, the briefs haul stuff is really 649 00:40:16,600 --> 00:40:19,400 exciting. And I think if we were doing, 650 00:40:20,000 --> 00:40:22,400 you know, if we had best of all Resurrection ATP? 651 00:40:22,500 --> 00:40:28,500 I think he should be like a late late first, early second round 652 00:40:28,500 --> 00:40:30,700 pick at this point. I think last week, he was more 653 00:40:30,700 --> 00:40:34,400 like early, third late second, I would be probably even more 654 00:40:34,400 --> 00:40:40,900 aggressive on him in that format, but just looking at the 655 00:40:41,300 --> 00:40:44,000 data from last week. Him. 656 00:40:44,100 --> 00:40:47,100 So he had 20 Rush attempts. Michael Carter. 657 00:40:47,100 --> 00:40:52,200 Had six. We had seven route Ron and 658 00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:57,300 Michael Carter had nine. So If we're looking at that from 659 00:40:57,300 --> 00:41:01,600 a share perspective, and I think they aren't the, the Jets only 660 00:41:01,600 --> 00:41:08,200 attempted at the only had 19 and 21, Dropbox, 18 attempts. 661 00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:13,900 So, you are looking at somebody who's getting a turtle or last 662 00:41:13,900 --> 00:41:18,600 week from last week, getting about a third to a half of the 663 00:41:19,200 --> 00:41:22,200 the routes and getting all the calories. 664 00:41:23,400 --> 00:41:28,900 So doc, I mean, that's an F in modern-day NFL starter. 665 00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:34,900 And yep, you put in the efficiency and you put in the 666 00:41:34,900 --> 00:41:37,800 fact that he's scoring points in every game script. 667 00:41:38,700 --> 00:41:42,800 I think that the the first round pick is probably it's probably 668 00:41:42,800 --> 00:41:49,700 fair, but He's definitely I'm most excited when I get a 669 00:41:49,707 --> 00:41:53,200 discount. Like unda where? 670 00:41:54,400 --> 00:41:59,000 And I'm most, like, I feel like I can win the fight a biggest 671 00:41:59,000 --> 00:42:01,200 amount. And this is probably a simple 672 00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:04,900 point, but a biggest amount amount when I'm getting a bigger 673 00:42:04,900 --> 00:42:09,100 discount. Hey, Autumn, because obviously, 674 00:42:09,500 --> 00:42:11,100 we're kind of projecting on for die. 675 00:42:11,100 --> 00:42:16,100 He's gonna dominate this back fields. and I want to, I want to 676 00:42:16,100 --> 00:42:19,400 buy a price where that doesn't assume that so that when he 677 00:42:19,400 --> 00:42:23,600 does, it's just a big win for me. 678 00:42:25,400 --> 00:42:27,600 Yeah. Now that that makes sense and I 679 00:42:27,607 --> 00:42:30,300 would guess, you know, this is just winging it, but I would 680 00:42:30,300 --> 00:42:33,000 guess if there was a best of all season long tournament out right 681 00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:36,900 now, he would still be going sort of right late second, 682 00:42:36,900 --> 00:42:39,700 early, third. So I imagine there's still still 683 00:42:39,700 --> 00:42:41,600 room to get him there. Obviously there's a ton of 684 00:42:41,600 --> 00:42:43,000 exciting wide receivers in that range. 685 00:42:43,000 --> 00:42:46,300 So, you know, it's tough to say without having that list and 686 00:42:46,300 --> 00:42:48,600 look at the names there, but I'd be willing to be pretty 687 00:42:48,600 --> 00:42:50,600 aggressive on them. Just based on how he's performed 688 00:42:50,600 --> 00:42:55,600 so far and I think things are still trending up for He's all 689 00:42:57,100 --> 00:43:01,300 and and and we do have that, we have the daily and basketball 690 00:43:01,300 --> 00:43:02,700 where you want in the last round. 691 00:43:03,300 --> 00:43:09,600 So definitely ways to cook the prophet quite well from being 692 00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:12,700 more aggressive on on Bruce Hall than the market. 693 00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:15,700 Yeah. Agreed. 694 00:43:17,300 --> 00:43:22,200 All right, let's move on to the second chart here. 695 00:43:22,300 --> 00:43:26,300 So now this is looking at more rotational back up, running 696 00:43:26,300 --> 00:43:30,700 backs guys, who were just in the 25 to 45 percent range, in terms 697 00:43:30,700 --> 00:43:35,300 of percent of team plays for they have a rush attempt or a 698 00:43:35,300 --> 00:43:38,700 route. I think a couple things that 699 00:43:38,700 --> 00:43:44,500 stand out here one early season in the Jags backfield Robinson 700 00:43:44,500 --> 00:43:48,100 had A pretty healthy lead on E TN, in terms of expected points. 701 00:43:48,100 --> 00:43:51,500 In terms of snaps that has been trending in the opposite 702 00:43:51,500 --> 00:43:53,100 direction of the past couple weeks. 703 00:43:53,500 --> 00:43:56,300 And, you know, if we had an updated version of this chart 704 00:43:56,300 --> 00:44:00,200 that just showed the last two last three weeks etn, I believe 705 00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:04,700 would be ahead of James Robinson on this chart. 706 00:44:04,700 --> 00:44:11,100 So, etn is a guy in Season long, where I think that the sentiment 707 00:44:11,200 --> 00:44:13,600 for owners is probably still low on him. 708 00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:17,000 They spend earlier Pick likely and haven't really got what they 709 00:44:17,008 --> 00:44:21,200 paid for especially with the Jags offense being sort of down 710 00:44:21,200 --> 00:44:26,900 the last couple weeks, but I'm looking to buy etn in season 711 00:44:26,900 --> 00:44:29,100 long. That's definitely a move. 712 00:44:29,700 --> 00:44:33,000 I would recommend Connor. Any, any comments on that 713 00:44:33,000 --> 00:44:36,200 situation or other other situations you want to touch on 714 00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:40,600 here. So, and just again, looking at 715 00:44:40,600 --> 00:44:45,100 it, the number for just this week and James Robinson 12, At 716 00:44:45,100 --> 00:44:49,800 rush attempts, travesty and 10, and games, Robinson, 8th routes 717 00:44:50,100 --> 00:44:56,400 travel gtn 13. So he would be ahead of a driver 718 00:44:56,400 --> 00:44:57,600 CD. N would be ahead of James 719 00:44:57,600 --> 00:45:04,000 Robinson on looking at more recent data and I think for me 720 00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:09,500 the way I look at these guys is that they're both and young 721 00:45:10,300 --> 00:45:14,600 really talented kind of a potential Superstar Runner. 722 00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:20,000 Hours that are have the fortune or Misfortune, depending how you 723 00:45:20,000 --> 00:45:22,100 look at it to share backfield together. 724 00:45:23,100 --> 00:45:31,500 And that the way I kind of its Because if the split backfield I 725 00:45:31,500 --> 00:45:36,600 think they're both going to be overly discounted and I guess I 726 00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:41,700 want to it's like I want to take the cheaper one and and when 727 00:45:41,700 --> 00:45:48,300 they have their Breakout game I want to benefit and I think I 728 00:45:48,300 --> 00:45:53,000 think it's their boat, really fun pics and and kind of DFS 729 00:45:53,200 --> 00:45:58,100 basketball DFS. And in terms of like Travis 730 00:45:58,100 --> 00:46:04,500 Etienne, trending ahead of James Robinson and I kind of I Do by 731 00:46:04,500 --> 00:46:10,900 it to some degree, but I also think that and James Robinson is 732 00:46:10,900 --> 00:46:13,100 so good. That I don't think he's going to 733 00:46:13,100 --> 00:46:17,000 get dusted. So I want to buy, I want to buy. 734 00:46:17,000 --> 00:46:18,600 What I'm saying is I want to buy etn. 735 00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:23,300 I want to buy James Robinson and when they have their Smash games 736 00:46:23,800 --> 00:46:26,400 and I think they each will have their Smash games. 737 00:46:26,400 --> 00:46:28,300 I want to be in a position to benefit. 738 00:46:29,500 --> 00:46:32,100 Yeah, that's that's a good point. 739 00:46:34,900 --> 00:46:38,900 Yeah, I think and I again to the point of the Jaguars offense, I 740 00:46:38,900 --> 00:46:41,900 think it's a good time to buy Jaguars. 741 00:46:41,900 --> 00:46:44,200 I think we saw them start off the season, really hot. 742 00:46:44,200 --> 00:46:46,800 They've had a couple games where they've looked really bad. 743 00:46:46,800 --> 00:46:50,900 I think the truth is somewhere in the middle for the Jags. 744 00:46:51,000 --> 00:46:53,800 I think they'll be better days ahead so I'm sure. 745 00:46:54,600 --> 00:46:57,200 Yeah. So that's a situation where, you 746 00:46:57,200 --> 00:46:59,400 know, both those guys are probably discounted, you can get 747 00:46:59,400 --> 00:47:01,900 a good price. I do want to talk, you know, 748 00:47:02,000 --> 00:47:06,200 Kenyan Drake is You know without the best, all Resurrection ATP. 749 00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:10,100 I think sort of talking about waivers guys is probably helpful 750 00:47:10,100 --> 00:47:13,700 and relevant this week. Kenyan Drake is a guy that just 751 00:47:13,700 --> 00:47:20,500 this past week he saw 34 snaps out of 59 total team offense of 752 00:47:20,508 --> 00:47:24,800 staff's the Ravens JK Dobbins. Only saw 16 Mike Davis only saw 753 00:47:24,800 --> 00:47:28,700 five he led the team. Also in routes, run targets 754 00:47:28,700 --> 00:47:32,800 carries at the running back position and I'm worried this 755 00:47:32,800 --> 00:47:35,800 Dobbins injury. He looked really bad yesterday 756 00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:39,000 and I think he's sat out for most of the second half with 757 00:47:39,000 --> 00:47:42,900 with knee tightness. I'm worried that an IR move 758 00:47:42,900 --> 00:47:46,300 could be in the future for JK Dobbins or at least there could 759 00:47:46,300 --> 00:47:49,900 be a stretch of time where he remains sort of limited or 760 00:47:49,900 --> 00:47:54,100 ineffective and Mandrake must be the last guy standing in that 761 00:47:54,100 --> 00:47:56,700 backfield. I think Mike Davis looks even 762 00:47:56,700 --> 00:48:00,000 dustier than Drake Gus Edwards have the super long recovery 763 00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:02,100 from the ACL tear. I don't have a ton of confidence 764 00:48:02,100 --> 00:48:04,400 in him. Coming back, just as Bill 765 00:48:04,400 --> 00:48:07,100 dealing with a hamstring injury, those are always tough to come 766 00:48:07,100 --> 00:48:10,100 back from. So I seen the General Industry 767 00:48:10,100 --> 00:48:13,500 sentiment to be like I ignore ignore this Kenyan Drake game 768 00:48:13,500 --> 00:48:16,700 doesn't mean anything, but if you can add them for cheap, you 769 00:48:16,700 --> 00:48:19,900 know, he's not, he's not a guy spending half my fab Budget on, 770 00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:24,100 but if you can get him for, you know, sub 10%. 771 00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:29,300 I do you think he is a pretty solid add especially in these by 772 00:48:29,300 --> 00:48:32,300 weeks coming up or you just kind of need guys to plug into the 773 00:48:32,300 --> 00:48:35,500 flex. I actually think Drake is a 774 00:48:35,500 --> 00:48:38,800 better ad than sort of how I've how I've heard industry people 775 00:48:38,800 --> 00:48:42,300 talk about him so far, you have any thoughts on the Baltimore 776 00:48:42,700 --> 00:48:46,000 backfield? It's been kind of bugging. 777 00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:49,400 You could get a good week from Kenya our Kenyan Drake. 778 00:48:50,100 --> 00:49:01,000 And I don't know that if a m JK Dobbins is like oh I don't know 779 00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:03,800 if he's going to miss an extended stretch I guess. 780 00:49:04,100 --> 00:49:07,100 That the the fact that maybe there's a probability that he 781 00:49:07,100 --> 00:49:12,000 might and that's kind of like upside for a Kenyan Drake and 782 00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:18,600 but the from the comments from John Harbaugh it was like he was 783 00:49:18,600 --> 00:49:23,200 like oh yeah it just said he just didn't feel like he was 784 00:49:23,200 --> 00:49:27,100 having the same explosiveness and so it doesn't really sound 785 00:49:27,100 --> 00:49:34,100 like a setback. Like and and just aren't sorry, 786 00:49:34,100 --> 00:49:37,200 maybe maybe it is. Maybe that's not accurate, 787 00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:42,300 that's not a setback but it's not like he had a significant 788 00:49:42,300 --> 00:49:45,100 doesn't sound like you had a significant setback where he's 789 00:49:45,100 --> 00:49:48,600 going to be sidelined for weeks to ready to come back. 790 00:49:49,100 --> 00:49:52,100 Maybe it was just kind of like some swelling as you come back 791 00:49:52,100 --> 00:49:57,600 from his ACL and mate and I even think that it's in play that 792 00:49:57,600 --> 00:50:01,300 he's good to go for next week. For definitely the week after 793 00:50:01,800 --> 00:50:09,800 and yep I suppose there is some floor there because at Dobbins 794 00:50:09,800 --> 00:50:12,800 is recovering from the ACL. I mean you don't really know 795 00:50:12,800 --> 00:50:20,000 when when he's going to be ready to kind of like take over and So 796 00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:26,100 yeah I think it's probably is definitely Russ terrible and and 797 00:50:26,100 --> 00:50:31,500 like you I'm not particularly excited to do it and but you 798 00:50:31,500 --> 00:50:35,500 know, we drop these 0 or B Team. Then even people who draft, are 799 00:50:35,500 --> 00:50:38,800 you running backs, sometimes you just need a some points this 800 00:50:38,800 --> 00:50:42,700 week from yeah, for cheap. And if you can get that from 801 00:50:43,100 --> 00:50:46,100 then it's definitely worthwhile. Yeah, and so now as I want to 802 00:50:46,100 --> 00:50:48,900 check my bias is a little bit with these guys like the 803 00:50:48,900 --> 00:50:51,000 Latavia. Marin situation is maybe an 804 00:50:51,000 --> 00:50:54,100 interesting one to highlight where I think myself and a lot 805 00:50:54,100 --> 00:50:56,700 of people in the industry like I'll tell you is Marie like, 806 00:50:57,000 --> 00:50:59,400 he's all he's washed up. Its kind of a name that sounds 807 00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:01,800 gross for the amount of teams he's played for the last four 808 00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:03,300 years. He doesn't like explosive at 809 00:51:03,300 --> 00:51:07,200 all, and I was completely downplaying that situation maybe 810 00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:11,800 like obviously I in hindsight, I still wonder spent $300 or 811 00:51:11,800 --> 00:51:15,700 whatever on the table summary, but I think he was worth adding 812 00:51:15,700 --> 00:51:19,000 for cheap and just because of the chance you can take over 813 00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:20,100 that back. Field. 814 00:51:20,100 --> 00:51:21,200 And I think Drake is another guy. 815 00:51:21,200 --> 00:51:23,500 We're just like every every bias. 816 00:51:23,500 --> 00:51:26,800 My brain is like Kenyan Drake washed up, you know, it's been 817 00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:30,500 kind of a journeyman running back the past couple years. 818 00:51:30,800 --> 00:51:32,200 Hasn't shown a lot. Don't they go? 819 00:51:32,200 --> 00:51:33,900 Says, he doesn't belong in the NFL. 820 00:51:35,200 --> 00:51:37,500 Yeah. And like, not an NFL Talent 821 00:51:37,500 --> 00:51:42,000 anymore at which is probably not like, it just probably is some 822 00:51:42,000 --> 00:51:43,400 truth to that. Yeah. 823 00:51:43,400 --> 00:51:46,200 But, I mean, just continue my point. 824 00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:49,200 Like 10, he had 10 rushes for 120 yards last week. 825 00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:53,600 Robin said, 7415, obviously small sample, it's one game, but 826 00:51:53,900 --> 00:51:57,800 like, I can't completely ignore the fact that he just looked way 827 00:51:57,800 --> 00:52:00,500 better than Dobbins. And I'm not sure that a week is 828 00:52:00,500 --> 00:52:04,300 going to magically fix this. Like, me tightening stuff. 829 00:52:04,300 --> 00:52:08,400 But yeah, it's gross. But again, I'm just trying to, 830 00:52:08,400 --> 00:52:11,500 like, I'm trying to check my biases. 831 00:52:11,500 --> 00:52:14,600 On these old wash guys, especially on teams were like, I 832 00:52:14,600 --> 00:52:17,500 don't need a star running back, like, I just need some fucking 833 00:52:17,500 --> 00:52:19,200 points. I did more than any right. 834 00:52:20,100 --> 00:52:23,900 Points. Yeah, but he definitely you 835 00:52:23,900 --> 00:52:26,000 don't. You want to make sure that your 836 00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:30,400 bids are though that your costs is though and that when or when 837 00:52:30,400 --> 00:52:36,700 or if it doesn't look like that. The situation is as positive for 838 00:52:36,700 --> 00:52:40,200 Drake like cuz they he was inactive like what the week 839 00:52:40,200 --> 00:52:46,000 before and when you see that it can be ready to toss them back 840 00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:50,900 with with a little regrets and And we did have a question on 841 00:52:50,900 --> 00:52:54,100 how to monitor your results and the resurrection draft. 842 00:52:54,500 --> 00:53:00,300 And so, what you need to do is you need to hit the live Tab and 843 00:53:00,300 --> 00:53:03,300 then go to best ball, and then you should be able to find the 844 00:53:03,300 --> 00:53:04,600 resurrection tournament from there. 845 00:53:06,700 --> 00:53:11,000 Yeah, and you results like the tournament hasn't first points 846 00:53:11,000 --> 00:53:12,700 will be scored. Oh, no, sorry. 847 00:53:12,700 --> 00:53:14,600 They should have been scored last week, it started. 848 00:53:14,600 --> 00:53:17,100 Yeah, yeah, yeah. I'm feeling alive. 849 00:53:19,700 --> 00:53:23,900 Seeing points populated got it. Yep, cool. 850 00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:30,800 Let's move on to wide receiver. Unless there's other situations 851 00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:34,300 you wanted to touch on there at running back. 852 00:53:34,300 --> 00:53:39,100 So looking at wide receiver here, same chart for those who 853 00:53:39,100 --> 00:53:41,300 are familiar. We're looking at wide receiver 854 00:53:41,300 --> 00:53:45,400 opportunity, measured in terms of weighted targets for Route, 855 00:53:45,400 --> 00:53:49,500 run, first fantasy points. So that results on your lineups 856 00:53:49,500 --> 00:53:56,500 on Sundays and here on this chart we have Okin players into 857 00:53:56,500 --> 00:53:58,400 four quadrants. So in the top right, we have 858 00:53:58,400 --> 00:54:00,200 strong performers. These are players with very 859 00:54:00,200 --> 00:54:04,000 strong roles that are scoring a lot of points in the bottom. 860 00:54:04,000 --> 00:54:06,700 Right quadrant, we have players that are potential by Lowe's, 861 00:54:06,700 --> 00:54:09,000 they have really strong roles, they're earning a lot of 862 00:54:09,000 --> 00:54:11,900 opportunity, but they're not converting it to fantasy points 863 00:54:11,900 --> 00:54:14,000 at a high rate. That's potential area to look 864 00:54:14,000 --> 00:54:16,900 for by Lowe's. And then we also have cell highs 865 00:54:16,900 --> 00:54:20,400 in the top left corner. These are guys that have very, I 866 00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:23,800 would say minimal or middling roles, but are scoring a lot of 867 00:54:23,800 --> 00:54:26,400 fantasy points. Situation where you might want 868 00:54:26,400 --> 00:54:29,600 to potentially sell a hot seller guy, hi there. 869 00:54:29,700 --> 00:54:34,500 And then finally bottom left quadrant jokingly we have sort 870 00:54:34,500 --> 00:54:37,700 of the cardio specialist so those are guys who are just out 871 00:54:37,700 --> 00:54:41,000 there getting some wind Sprints in and they're not really 872 00:54:41,000 --> 00:54:42,700 they're not really playing football, there's kind of 873 00:54:42,800 --> 00:54:44,600 they're just kind of getting their cardio and out there. 874 00:54:44,700 --> 00:54:49,500 But yeah, the first thing I want to mention on this chart just 875 00:54:49,500 --> 00:54:53,800 just for fun. Connor, I included Travis Kelce 876 00:54:53,800 --> 00:54:57,400 and Mark Andrews. This week just to see how they 877 00:54:57,400 --> 00:55:01,700 compared against the elite wide receivers and I was I was blown 878 00:55:01,700 --> 00:55:06,000 away by where Mark Andrews pops up on this chart. 879 00:55:06,100 --> 00:55:09,700 He has the highest weighted targets per route, run out of 880 00:55:09,700 --> 00:55:13,600 any player that's running more than 85% of routes higher than 881 00:55:13,600 --> 00:55:16,300 Davante Adams higher than Cooper cup higher than Justin 882 00:55:16,300 --> 00:55:19,000 Jefferson. All these you know Elite wide 883 00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:22,600 receivers that we're taking the first six pics of fantasy. 884 00:55:22,600 --> 00:55:26,100 This year. Mark Andrews is Showing up as a 885 00:55:26,100 --> 00:55:29,500 more dominant wide receiver than them at the tight end position 886 00:55:29,500 --> 00:55:33,000 in terms of role. Now, one like he's probably not 887 00:55:33,000 --> 00:55:36,600 going to score as much of those guys number one because you 888 00:55:36,600 --> 00:55:38,700 know, he still has a tie down he probably doesn't have quite the 889 00:55:38,700 --> 00:55:41,800 same receiving prowess has them. Although I'd argue it's close 890 00:55:41,800 --> 00:55:44,500 but I think the bigger Factor number two, is that he's on the 891 00:55:44,500 --> 00:55:48,300 Ravens and sort of a lower volume environment then those 892 00:55:48,300 --> 00:55:51,100 guys. So yeah, I don't know that this 893 00:55:51,400 --> 00:55:54,900 this chart just made me even more bullish on Market. 894 00:55:55,100 --> 00:55:56,900 Andrews. I think he was a steal this 895 00:55:56,900 --> 00:55:59,800 summer going the late second round, and now I think if 896 00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:03,400 they're a fantasy draft today, I would be taking him, you know, 897 00:56:03,400 --> 00:56:05,500 right? I think probably behind 898 00:56:05,500 --> 00:56:08,700 Jefferson and cop, but I think I'd be taking him ahead of Chase 899 00:56:09,300 --> 00:56:13,100 and Adams and then someone like digs would be, would be very 900 00:56:13,100 --> 00:56:14,800 close for me. It's just such a positional 901 00:56:14,800 --> 00:56:20,300 advantage to have Andrews or Kelsey in fantasy this year. 902 00:56:20,600 --> 00:56:24,300 Any thoughts here on these Lankan and ties and premium or 903 00:56:26,500 --> 00:56:30,300 Yeah, I guess Titan premium. I would tell any premium. 904 00:56:30,300 --> 00:56:34,000 I think I would go even higher for and like I'm not sure inside 905 00:56:34,000 --> 00:56:37,800 and premium that Andrews and Kelsey shouldn't be number one. 906 00:56:37,800 --> 00:56:40,300 And number two, because I have a hard honestly, have a really 907 00:56:40,300 --> 00:56:43,700 hard time seeing how in the three weeks, shootout. 908 00:56:43,800 --> 00:56:45,800 Okay, well, maybe this is talking about ffp. 909 00:56:45,800 --> 00:56:49,100 See, it's a there. FTC made event drafts held 910 00:56:49,100 --> 00:56:49,800 today. Let's use that as a 911 00:56:49,808 --> 00:56:52,500 hypothetical. I think I would take Andrews. 912 00:56:52,600 --> 00:56:56,700 Number one, Kelsey number. To because they're really the 913 00:56:56,700 --> 00:56:59,900 only tight ends that even approached, this kind of usage. 914 00:56:59,900 --> 00:57:04,200 They've legit like Alpha number one, wide receiver usage at the 915 00:57:04,200 --> 00:57:06,900 tight end position and the rest of the tight end position as 916 00:57:07,100 --> 00:57:10,700 completely flopped, I think it's going to be real, it's really 917 00:57:10,700 --> 00:57:15,900 hard to see how you win a three-week shoot out without one 918 00:57:15,900 --> 00:57:20,300 of those guys. So, maybe I'm like a little 919 00:57:20,300 --> 00:57:22,500 ahead of my skis here and you can certainly argue for 920 00:57:22,500 --> 00:57:26,500 McCaffrey Berkeley. You know, copper Jefferson over 921 00:57:26,500 --> 00:57:29,300 those guys, but I think there are all at least in the same 922 00:57:29,500 --> 00:57:33,400 tier and like personally I would go with one of the lead tight 923 00:57:33,400 --> 00:57:37,300 ends and then hope I can, you know, still get some lead water 924 00:57:37,300 --> 00:57:40,200 severs and sort of running backs later in the draft because I 925 00:57:40,207 --> 00:57:43,400 know there's no way you're getting any tight end that's 926 00:57:43,400 --> 00:57:45,700 going to match the scoring over a three-year period and tighten 927 00:57:45,700 --> 00:57:49,600 premium of Kelsey and Andrews. Right. 928 00:57:49,600 --> 00:57:54,400 And so I mean that that doesn't sound like the work. 929 00:57:55,700 --> 00:58:00,900 It doesn't have like the worst pick to make and I'm the owner 930 00:58:01,000 --> 00:58:09,300 my only kind of a concern at would be that it is still a lot 931 00:58:09,300 --> 00:58:15,500 of points to put to pay for a tight end and so if I look at so 932 00:58:15,500 --> 00:58:21,700 if I look at F Fe c-- Points, so Travis Kelce out scores every 933 00:58:21,700 --> 00:58:26,400 other what every wide receiver, he's a high-scoring flex player 934 00:58:27,000 --> 00:58:32,400 and what my only concern would be that even though we that's a 935 00:58:32,400 --> 00:58:37,900 six-week sample size and it is kind of hard to see that 936 00:58:37,900 --> 00:58:43,600 continue all season and but at the same just just given that 937 00:58:43,600 --> 00:58:48,600 he's an older player. But at the same time he he Looks 938 00:58:48,600 --> 00:58:51,800 great and the fact that he is the highest scoring for 939 00:58:51,800 --> 00:58:55,700 ex-player on ffp. See makes I it does make for a 940 00:58:55,707 --> 00:59:01,400 very, very strong Arguments for for tight ends to be one and two 941 00:59:01,900 --> 00:59:10,000 and yeah in ffv see it honestly it's a it is a bit of a hot take 942 00:59:10,000 --> 00:59:14,600 but it's one that's hard too hard, to really throw stones at. 943 00:59:14,600 --> 00:59:16,300 So. Yeah. 944 00:59:16,300 --> 00:59:18,000 And I don't want to go like last point. 945 00:59:18,000 --> 00:59:21,500 I'll make Make here is like and this is going down a rabbit hole 946 00:59:21,500 --> 00:59:24,600 of hypotheticals. But if it was a one-week final, 947 00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:28,600 I don't think I would take and it was a Kelsey there, right? 948 00:59:28,600 --> 00:59:31,900 Because I think in a one-week sample size, I could definitely 949 00:59:31,900 --> 00:59:36,200 see David and joke, you having a big game, you know, even maybe 950 00:59:36,500 --> 00:59:38,600 Kyle pits coming back from the grave and having a big game. 951 00:59:38,600 --> 00:59:42,900 But over a three-week stretch, I just think these two guys given 952 00:59:42,900 --> 00:59:45,500 how different their roles are than any other title in the 953 00:59:45,500 --> 00:59:47,400 league. One of them is going to 954 00:59:47,408 --> 00:59:50,600 separate, so Massively from the field in a way, you know. 955 00:59:50,600 --> 00:59:52,600 I think it's I think it's possible wide receiver that 956 00:59:52,600 --> 00:59:54,700 happens to you right? Like, cop can go off, but I 957 00:59:54,707 --> 00:59:57,500 think at wide receiver, you're more likely to find, you know, 958 00:59:57,500 --> 01:00:00,000 that mon Rothstein Brown of last year, you know, maybe pick up 959 01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:03,700 Juan Del Robinson and he puts together a crazy run down the 960 01:00:03,700 --> 01:00:05,500 stretch. I think that's possible to find 961 01:00:05,500 --> 01:00:08,000 those Diamonds in the Rough at wide receiver. 962 01:00:08,200 --> 01:00:11,000 In a way that like at tight end over a three-week period. 963 01:00:11,000 --> 01:00:14,500 I think you're just like, you're not, you're not going to find 964 01:00:14,500 --> 01:00:17,300 it. So but anyways, that was a lot 965 01:00:17,300 --> 01:00:19,800 of time at I dance. As for the wide receiver chart. 966 01:00:21,600 --> 01:00:23,500 Let's let's talk about some receivers here. 967 01:00:24,300 --> 01:00:27,500 Connor any any guys that stand out to you? 968 01:00:27,500 --> 01:00:30,200 Maybe maybe in the Box. I guess a question to make more 969 01:00:30,200 --> 01:00:32,000 targeted. Any of the guys like hovering in 970 01:00:32,000 --> 01:00:37,900 that by low range, that you are most excited about going 971 01:00:37,900 --> 01:00:42,100 forward. And so obviously we had the we 972 01:00:42,100 --> 01:00:47,900 had the Brendan, I you call last week and then he had very drunk. 973 01:00:48,200 --> 01:00:53,300 since last week, which was really nice to see at real 974 01:00:53,300 --> 01:01:03,500 ownership and it's It's hard to it's hard to really make a case 975 01:01:03,600 --> 01:01:06,100 for anybody that we haven't talked about before. 976 01:01:06,800 --> 01:01:14,000 And they Jones is showing up as getting a strong and strong 977 01:01:14,400 --> 01:01:18,700 Target for right run, and obviously ridiculously cheap. 978 01:01:19,000 --> 01:01:23,600 So interested there. Joshua Reynolds is somewhat 979 01:01:23,600 --> 01:01:27,900 interesting. And what I am, I'm almost more. 980 01:01:29,400 --> 01:01:34,000 Interested in that Jameson Williams is coming back soon and 981 01:01:34,200 --> 01:01:38,400 would be taken over that role and yeah, I think Reynolds is a, 982 01:01:38,500 --> 01:01:41,300 just a follow-up on Reynolds. I think a great spot. 983 01:01:41,300 --> 01:01:45,000 Start, you know, said said, shark misses a game or a 984 01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:48,400 monitors, misses a game and Jamison still hasn't come back 985 01:01:48,400 --> 01:01:50,400 yet. I think you can do a lot worse 986 01:01:50,600 --> 01:01:53,600 than putting Reynolds in the ear Flex as like a spot starter. 987 01:01:53,600 --> 01:01:57,400 But yeah, I think in the long term with Jameson coming back 988 01:01:57,600 --> 01:02:00,100 with charc. Not suffering a major injury. 989 01:02:00,400 --> 01:02:02,600 Like I have a hard time seeing that that pay off in the long 990 01:02:02,600 --> 01:02:05,700 run but I think a good like DFS player spot starred in the right 991 01:02:05,700 --> 01:02:08,600 sort of injury situation landscape there. 992 01:02:09,300 --> 01:02:11,600 But yeah, continue sounds like you had some other other 993 01:02:11,600 --> 01:02:18,200 thoughts and so Robbie Anderson does look interesting giving 994 01:02:18,200 --> 01:02:20,400 that he's now been traded to the Cardinals. 995 01:02:20,700 --> 01:02:24,800 Yeah the Cardinals are tricky offense now just because they 996 01:02:24,800 --> 01:02:30,900 haven't played very well but and Given that they do get nuke back 997 01:02:31,300 --> 01:02:36,200 and Hollywood is now injured. I do think Robby understand when 998 01:02:36,200 --> 01:02:40,100 he when he goes play will be really interesting as a kind of 999 01:02:40,100 --> 01:02:45,900 number two that could benefit from new drawing a coverage. 1000 01:02:47,400 --> 01:02:49,400 Yep. Yeah, I think those are all 1001 01:02:50,200 --> 01:02:55,600 those are all good ones. Yeah, it's tough to, you know, 1002 01:02:56,000 --> 01:02:59,400 it's like we already talked about Elijah more like there, it 1003 01:02:59,400 --> 01:03:03,000 feels like there should be a blow of game and then they have 1004 01:03:03,100 --> 01:03:08,000 what 18 pass attempts that's like, do I do I really want to 1005 01:03:08,000 --> 01:03:10,700 wear? Do I really want to go down that 1006 01:03:10,700 --> 01:03:14,300 road again? Yeah, I'm starting to almost 1007 01:03:14,300 --> 01:03:17,000 throw in the towel on a larger more like I still think. 1008 01:03:17,300 --> 01:03:21,600 Any guy that's running 90 to 95% of the routes, you know, he's 1009 01:03:21,600 --> 01:03:23,200 worth the DF. Like I still think he's a good 1010 01:03:23,200 --> 01:03:26,700 DFS play is going to be really low owned in the matchup where 1011 01:03:26,700 --> 01:03:30,300 they're forced to throw. I think he could luck into sort 1012 01:03:30,300 --> 01:03:33,400 of a big Target game just you know we saw it a little with 1013 01:03:33,400 --> 01:03:36,400 Allen Robinson last week, right? Like not a not a massive game 1014 01:03:36,400 --> 01:03:38,800 with these type of like wind Sprint, guys. 1015 01:03:38,900 --> 01:03:41,200 Just the fact they're on the field means they can stumble 1016 01:03:41,200 --> 01:03:43,700 into five catches and a touchdown. 1017 01:03:43,700 --> 01:03:46,400 No, I still think Elijah Moore's, Talent is good enough 1018 01:03:46,400 --> 01:03:49,300 that he could break off. Off a Long play Here, There and 1019 01:03:49,300 --> 01:03:52,900 be sort of a good DFS play. But yeah, man, it would have to 1020 01:03:52,900 --> 01:03:55,400 be sort of a large, a large tournament play. 1021 01:03:55,400 --> 01:03:59,100 I think, because he's just, not really, he's not really earning 1022 01:03:59,200 --> 01:04:02,200 earning the targets at this point, like he's not even in the 1023 01:04:02,200 --> 01:04:05,000 Bi-Lo for those looking at the chart. 1024 01:04:05,000 --> 01:04:08,700 He's he's mourn in cardio. Specialist near guys like Josh 1025 01:04:08,700 --> 01:04:10,900 Palmer, Allen Robinson, Robbie Anderson. 1026 01:04:10,900 --> 01:04:14,600 So it's a little, a little scary for him from sort of a 1027 01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:18,900 season-long perspective. But it definitely feels like 1028 01:04:18,900 --> 01:04:23,300 gross play. Yeah, but and the only thing 1029 01:04:23,300 --> 01:04:26,400 about it is like, should he be earning zero targets. 1030 01:04:28,500 --> 01:04:33,000 I think the answer is no and it will they find a way to correct? 1031 01:04:33,000 --> 01:04:39,000 That kind of hope. So, yeah, so it's a very 1032 01:04:39,000 --> 01:04:43,700 uncomfortable play but he is a player that is good enough that 1033 01:04:43,700 --> 01:04:47,200 if he were to hit would hit in a really big way. 1034 01:04:48,000 --> 01:04:50,600 Yep. Well that's kind of what I think 1035 01:04:50,600 --> 01:04:54,100 we should touch on the only guy who's, you know, in the cell. 1036 01:04:54,100 --> 01:04:59,200 I quadrant Gabriel Davis and I heard this sort of paraphrase 1037 01:04:59,200 --> 01:05:03,300 hidden Winks on a podcast. He said that the learn Target 1038 01:05:03,300 --> 01:05:06,300 share Bros. Lose again, with Gabriel Davis 1039 01:05:06,300 --> 01:05:12,100 and I think it's kind of it was in jest, but It's this weird 1040 01:05:12,100 --> 01:05:16,800 thing with Gabe Davis where you know I think there's this stance 1041 01:05:16,800 --> 01:05:20,800 where you can be Pro gave Davis and acknowledged that his earned 1042 01:05:20,800 --> 01:05:24,700 Target share is going to be pretty bad and you're just it's 1043 01:05:24,700 --> 01:05:27,500 just like very unique situation where he's on the best offense 1044 01:05:27,500 --> 01:05:32,600 in the league you know with the highest-scoring expectation of 1045 01:05:32,600 --> 01:05:37,300 any quarterback in Joshua Allen and just that is like we're so 1046 01:05:37,300 --> 01:05:39,000 used to thinking about sustainability in terms of 1047 01:05:39,000 --> 01:05:40,800 Target, share and targets and yards. 1048 01:05:41,000 --> 01:05:45,600 Davis, I think this touchdown stuff like is somewhat sticky 1049 01:05:45,600 --> 01:05:47,700 and you can rely on it. Even though it's Target share is 1050 01:05:47,700 --> 01:05:50,500 going to be bad, I would still make the point that you know, 1051 01:05:50,700 --> 01:05:54,300 back to last week he was going in the same range as guys like 1052 01:05:54,600 --> 01:06:00,500 DK Metcalf, Amari Cooper, you know Courtland Sutton these guys 1053 01:06:00,500 --> 01:06:05,000 who are earning massive roles and I can't justify like valuing 1054 01:06:05,000 --> 01:06:08,200 Gabe higher than that. But that said, like, if you have 1055 01:06:08,200 --> 01:06:10,900 Gabe Davis and fantasy like I still think you should be. 1056 01:06:11,000 --> 01:06:13,000 Riding him like this. This is somewhat. 1057 01:06:13,200 --> 01:06:16,100 It's maybe like a lukewarm take but I think like he's probably 1058 01:06:16,100 --> 01:06:19,200 slightly overvalued. But this touchdown stuff in this 1059 01:06:19,200 --> 01:06:22,200 big play stuff, I think is like somewhat sustainable, even 1060 01:06:22,200 --> 01:06:24,700 though it's really, really low Target volume for him. 1061 01:06:26,000 --> 01:06:31,800 Yeah. And and I think and the volume 1062 01:06:31,800 --> 01:06:37,300 as well as not terrible. And you mean the raw volume like 1063 01:06:37,300 --> 01:06:39,800 not the yeah, they're all volume. 1064 01:06:39,800 --> 01:06:45,600 Yeah, like and last. So, last week, he did have an, 1065 01:06:45,700 --> 01:06:52,300 you had five targets and 88 your are yards which is like not 1066 01:06:52,300 --> 01:06:55,600 amazing, but it's not bad either. 1067 01:06:56,200 --> 01:07:02,100 At the week before he had 268 your are yards on them on six 1068 01:07:02,100 --> 01:07:04,200 targets. Yeah. 1069 01:07:04,200 --> 01:07:06,500 He's still capping out. Like I think is highest Target 1070 01:07:06,500 --> 01:07:09,300 total in the game is like six this year and it's been a lot of 1071 01:07:09,308 --> 01:07:12,000 weight. We're really gonna earn five or 1072 01:07:12,000 --> 01:07:15,100 six really, really valuable targets. 1073 01:07:15,300 --> 01:07:20,200 Yeah. Every week and, and the tiger 1074 01:07:20,200 --> 01:07:25,600 chair is always going to be low, but it's almost like they have 1075 01:07:25,700 --> 01:07:29,900 so many pass attempts that even a low Target share if so getting 1076 01:07:29,900 --> 01:07:34,700 you fight 26 and those fight the 6ab such how you touched on 1077 01:07:34,700 --> 01:07:43,300 Equity that he is going to be a point score but definitely Not 1078 01:07:44,000 --> 01:07:48,500 after a value that he belongs in the turton for her done for 1079 01:07:48,500 --> 01:07:51,000 grounds. Yeah, I really do. 1080 01:07:51,000 --> 01:07:54,000 I think we agreed there. It's just interesting to look 1081 01:07:54,000 --> 01:07:56,700 through the numbers. Yeah, he's a true sort of 1082 01:07:56,700 --> 01:08:00,800 anomaly in the data this year. So interesting, talking point, 1083 01:08:00,800 --> 01:08:04,600 let's move on to this next group of wide receivers, in the 65 to 1084 01:08:04,600 --> 01:08:07,300 85 percent of routes run categories. 1085 01:08:07,300 --> 01:08:09,600 These are guys that are, you know, anywhere from sort of 1086 01:08:09,600 --> 01:08:14,700 close to full time players like digs Kill two guys that are more 1087 01:08:14,700 --> 01:08:19,800 maybe slot guys or guys are not earning a vast majority of their 1088 01:08:19,800 --> 01:08:26,200 team's routes Connor. The first guy I wanted to talk 1089 01:08:26,200 --> 01:08:30,800 about here and I tweeted this in my thread, was Chris olave. 1090 01:08:30,800 --> 01:08:34,300 He breaks the chart here in terms of the role. 1091 01:08:34,300 --> 01:08:38,000 Now I think like he had these insane out being compared to 1092 01:08:38,399 --> 01:08:39,800 what should I have for calling out? 1093 01:08:39,800 --> 01:08:42,000 You have to change the axis of this chair. 1094 01:08:42,100 --> 01:08:48,200 Art to accommodate and and so on the first page this way to 1095 01:08:48,200 --> 01:08:50,500 Target for outrun only goes to 80%. 1096 01:08:50,600 --> 01:08:54,300 Yeah, from you have to change the 84 85 percent because now 1097 01:08:54,300 --> 01:08:57,000 they're breaking the chart. Put it was 80%. 1098 01:08:57,000 --> 01:08:58,399 They wouldn't even be on the page. 1099 01:08:58,500 --> 01:09:01,500 Yeah, they would they don't even show up if you kept, the axe is 1100 01:09:01,500 --> 01:09:03,500 the same side. I had to adjust it. 1101 01:09:03,600 --> 01:09:04,700 Yeah. Lava and Tyree. 1102 01:09:04,700 --> 01:09:07,000 I mean, Tyrese obvious like, man. 1103 01:09:07,000 --> 01:09:09,200 He's the biggest smash this year. 1104 01:09:09,800 --> 01:09:12,600 We can talk about intersect but a Lobby is, maybe an Some guy 1105 01:09:12,600 --> 01:09:15,399 from a season-long perspective where I think there's still a 1106 01:09:15,399 --> 01:09:18,399 buying opportunity on him. The fantasy points, haven't 1107 01:09:18,399 --> 01:09:23,600 quite caught up to his role and I think the owner could be 1108 01:09:23,600 --> 01:09:25,500 spooked by that concussion. I mean, maybe you should be 1109 01:09:25,500 --> 01:09:27,200 slightly spooked by like concussion. 1110 01:09:27,200 --> 01:09:32,200 It did look bad. But his role is just massive 1111 01:09:32,700 --> 01:09:35,200 and, you know, compared to these other, some of these other 1112 01:09:35,200 --> 01:09:37,600 rookies he's just in such a better situation. 1113 01:09:37,800 --> 01:09:41,000 Drake London has the whole sort of Kyle pits problem of the 1114 01:09:41,000 --> 01:09:44,000 Atlanta offense just Just progressing to the 1940s. 1115 01:09:44,000 --> 01:09:47,500 You have guys like Garrett Wilson who are just not getting 1116 01:09:47,500 --> 01:09:52,100 the full set of the team snaps you know, Sky more even even 1117 01:09:52,100 --> 01:09:56,100 worse and that in that Spectrum. So a lot of a I think, is the 1118 01:09:56,100 --> 01:10:00,300 rookie I'm most excited about going forward and as somebody, 1119 01:10:00,300 --> 01:10:05,100 I'd be willing to pay up for, if, you know, I'm trying to 1120 01:10:05,100 --> 01:10:09,600 think of a good, like, example of a trade offer I would send in 1121 01:10:09,600 --> 01:10:12,000 a league like any sort of middling running back, maybe you 1122 01:10:12,200 --> 01:10:16,900 Send off David Montgomery and cash donor falling asleep. 1123 01:10:16,900 --> 01:10:19,600 Who might give, you Crystal Ave like running back, some that 1124 01:10:19,600 --> 01:10:26,100 sort of range I might be looking to move for a lot of a over 1125 01:10:26,100 --> 01:10:29,400 under. How many people listen to this 1126 01:10:29,400 --> 01:10:32,300 podcast? Drafted David Montgomery. 1127 01:10:35,000 --> 01:10:40,100 Yeah, that's true. Then diagram of people who 1128 01:10:40,100 --> 01:10:41,800 listen to his podcast and drafted. 1129 01:10:41,800 --> 01:10:46,000 David Montgomery is it's tiny and if you are one of those 1130 01:10:46,000 --> 01:10:49,100 people just know that we love you but you're in the minority. 1131 01:10:49,600 --> 01:10:52,100 Yeah. So this this advice, I'm just 1132 01:10:52,100 --> 01:10:54,900 realizing what it was for. Absolutely, nobody out here, 1133 01:10:54,900 --> 01:10:57,800 listening. But maybe there's, there's one. 1134 01:10:57,800 --> 01:10:59,200 There's got to be one of you, drafted. 1135 01:10:59,200 --> 01:11:02,000 David Montgomery out there and get rid of him. 1136 01:11:02,700 --> 01:11:04,600 Let's get down to zero. David Montgomery. 1137 01:11:04,600 --> 01:11:12,200 Oh, Owners in this podcast. And this ended last week, I 1138 01:11:12,200 --> 01:11:15,700 thought maybe that's just weak one stuff, but even last week, 1139 01:11:15,700 --> 01:11:21,700 he only ran a route on a 62% that of the Dropbox. 1140 01:11:23,200 --> 01:11:27,800 Like CS man. It's just like the big hoarding 1141 01:11:27,800 --> 01:11:29,800 route sauce week. Yeah. 1142 01:11:31,200 --> 01:11:32,400 What the fuck? We ate that. 1143 01:11:32,400 --> 01:11:37,200 I mean, it's just the Braxton various stuff is just, it's just 1144 01:11:37,200 --> 01:11:42,000 when there's a fourth like, you know, it goes under, I think 1145 01:11:42,000 --> 01:11:44,600 under notice and not talked about much when there's a fourth 1146 01:11:44,600 --> 01:11:48,200 wide receiver out there that the team likes that's going to just 1147 01:11:48,200 --> 01:11:50,200 hurt everybody. Unless you're on a really good 1148 01:11:50,200 --> 01:11:52,400 offense. I think like, you know, digs and 1149 01:11:52,400 --> 01:11:55,000 get away with the fact that there's these sort of forth 1150 01:11:55,000 --> 01:11:57,800 water severs to get some looks and he doesn't have 100% role, 1151 01:11:58,200 --> 01:12:00,000 you know, obviously isn't the bills, like someone like that 1152 01:12:00,000 --> 01:12:03,100 can get away with it, but what's the team like that when he goes 1153 01:12:03,100 --> 01:12:05,300 play, when they got him on the field? 1154 01:12:05,300 --> 01:12:07,100 They're like, okay, we're trying to dicks. 1155 01:12:07,400 --> 01:12:10,000 Yeah. Like when they take him off the 1156 01:12:10,000 --> 01:12:13,200 field is to give him a breeder so that they control to him or 1157 01:12:13,200 --> 01:12:17,300 when he comes back. Whereas these other offenses, 1158 01:12:17,300 --> 01:12:20,200 it's definitely tougher. Jeff's. 1159 01:12:20,200 --> 01:12:22,300 I mean come on, don't give Jeff Smith. 1160 01:12:22,300 --> 01:12:25,600 It snaps, just give those give those to Gary Wilson. 1161 01:12:25,600 --> 01:12:27,100 There's, there's no need for that. 1162 01:12:29,800 --> 01:12:32,700 Yeah. Anyways, this, this question was 1163 01:12:32,700 --> 01:12:35,800 interesting from Nick that I wanted to bring up. 1164 01:12:37,000 --> 01:12:40,400 London or Bateman rest of season. 1165 01:12:41,800 --> 01:12:45,300 Connor watch you go first year and then I'll share share my 1166 01:12:45,300 --> 01:12:51,000 stance. So I would lean probably fate 1167 01:12:51,000 --> 01:12:57,500 moment at this stage and yeah with him just because obviously 1168 01:12:57,500 --> 01:12:59,700 we're worried about the injury won't want to come back from the 1169 01:12:59,700 --> 01:13:05,500 injury and the Raven. It's just, it's one of those 1170 01:13:05,500 --> 01:13:11,000 things of like, the talent is, is drag one that probably has a 1171 01:13:11,000 --> 01:13:14,700 slight Edge in Talent. Slight slight Edge but Bateman 1172 01:13:14,700 --> 01:13:20,600 is, is kind of It's holding them to an almost draw and then the 1173 01:13:20,600 --> 01:13:24,200 offense that you want to be involved in is so obviously the 1174 01:13:24,300 --> 01:13:27,700 the Ravens over the Falcons where they're going to scoot 1175 01:13:27,700 --> 01:13:29,900 score, so many more touchdowns, they're going to have so much 1176 01:13:29,900 --> 01:13:32,700 more production. Overall, you got the play with 1177 01:13:32,700 --> 01:13:41,300 Lamar Jackson like I'm generally and weighing a talent over 1178 01:13:41,300 --> 01:13:44,900 offense, but when the town is that close and then the off one 1179 01:13:44,900 --> 01:13:49,000 offense and so much clearly better than the I guess it. 1180 01:13:49,000 --> 01:13:51,300 I think the offense kind of overrules the rest of it. 1181 01:13:52,200 --> 01:13:56,100 Yeah, I'm with you there and on the Falcons I was just looking 1182 01:13:56,100 --> 01:14:03,200 at this, you know, I think a big problem with the Falcons is they 1183 01:14:03,800 --> 01:14:07,300 like they need to be pushed to pass if it's closed or they're 1184 01:14:07,300 --> 01:14:10,400 winning. Like, Mariota, I think was 13 of 1185 01:14:10,400 --> 01:14:12,700 14. Last week these insanely low 1186 01:14:12,900 --> 01:14:15,900 past total games, I just want to point out. 1187 01:14:16,400 --> 01:14:19,200 On their schedule. It's not getting a lot better. 1188 01:14:19,200 --> 01:14:22,000 So they have the Bangles this next week that can be good. 1189 01:14:22,000 --> 01:14:24,100 The Bangles could push them. I could see that one being good 1190 01:14:24,100 --> 01:14:28,700 for London pits. Then it goes Panthers Chargers. 1191 01:14:28,700 --> 01:14:31,700 Again, that would be okay, but then Panthers again, then the 1192 01:14:31,700 --> 01:14:35,900 Bears then the Commander's, then the Steelers, then the Saints. 1193 01:14:36,400 --> 01:14:40,700 I mean, Panthers twice Bears, commanders, Steelers. 1194 01:14:40,700 --> 01:14:46,100 I mean, that's five of the next seven games where I don't really 1195 01:14:46,200 --> 01:14:49,100 Spect the other team to push them and they're going to get 1196 01:14:49,100 --> 01:14:53,000 away with just this tale of Huntley, 15 carries Tyler, 1197 01:14:53,000 --> 01:14:56,600 ideal, or algae or 10. Carries like these these games 1198 01:14:56,600 --> 01:14:57,800 were, they don't need to throw at all. 1199 01:14:57,800 --> 01:15:01,600 So I'm really nervous about the volume in Atlanta. 1200 01:15:01,600 --> 01:15:05,300 And I would also be on the Bateman side of things. 1201 01:15:05,300 --> 01:15:07,400 I mean the foot injuries are always scary. 1202 01:15:07,800 --> 01:15:10,600 I guess the fact that he wasn't on I are like, I'm retaining 1203 01:15:10,600 --> 01:15:12,900 some optimism. He'll be able to come back this 1204 01:15:12,900 --> 01:15:16,700 year and and produce I'm just I'm going for the Offense, that 1205 01:15:16,700 --> 01:15:20,600 has more upside even though London in a better offense, with 1206 01:15:20,600 --> 01:15:23,400 the way he's dominating targets, could really, really smash it 1207 01:15:23,400 --> 01:15:25,200 out of stone. I don't think it's gonna happen 1208 01:15:25,200 --> 01:15:29,400 with the land of this year. I think I would fail. 1209 01:15:29,400 --> 01:15:33,900 So you better about it if they were losing games and but 1210 01:15:34,100 --> 01:15:37,500 they're like, they're going quite 500 right now. 1211 01:15:38,100 --> 01:15:41,700 They've won three games. So like it's not like the coach 1212 01:15:41,700 --> 01:15:45,200 is going to be under this pressure to change approach or 1213 01:15:45,900 --> 01:15:50,600 is job is under pressure. Like you can feel pretty good 1214 01:15:50,600 --> 01:15:52,400 that they're going to play like this for the rest of year 1215 01:15:53,100 --> 01:15:54,600 unfortunately. Yeah. 1216 01:15:55,900 --> 01:15:59,200 Couple quick hits I had and then I think we should move on. 1217 01:15:59,200 --> 01:16:02,100 I think taekwon Thornton is a guy that you should add 1218 01:16:02,100 --> 01:16:05,000 everywhere. I would say, ffp c-style leagues 1219 01:16:05,000 --> 01:16:10,400 I would go up to 10% ish for Thornton your other leagues. 1220 01:16:10,400 --> 01:16:13,300 You can probably add in for free or more casual home leagues. 1221 01:16:14,300 --> 01:16:16,700 And then Chris God when I think is one of the Best Buy Low 1222 01:16:16,700 --> 01:16:22,000 candidates out there, he is showing a bigger role week in 1223 01:16:22,008 --> 01:16:26,400 and week out and we often see guys coming off of a Tears. 1224 01:16:26,600 --> 01:16:30,700 We see the second half of the year, they show out a lot 1225 01:16:30,700 --> 01:16:32,100 better. It often takes them a while to 1226 01:16:32,100 --> 01:16:35,400 sort of to get their confidence and even sort of their snap rate 1227 01:16:35,400 --> 01:16:36,900 up in the first half of the season. 1228 01:16:36,900 --> 01:16:40,400 So I'm expecting big things had for Godwin. 1229 01:16:40,600 --> 01:16:44,500 Any other quick hits you wanted to touch on here Connor. 1230 01:16:45,900 --> 01:16:50,300 No, I think I think you covered it, okay. 1231 01:16:52,700 --> 01:16:58,700 I'll let you have the floor here on this last chart for the wide 1232 01:16:58,700 --> 01:17:00,700 receiver opportunity versus fantasy points. 1233 01:17:00,700 --> 01:17:05,100 And this these are all guys getting less than 65% of their 1234 01:17:05,100 --> 01:17:07,300 team routes. I think a couple interesting 1235 01:17:07,400 --> 01:17:12,900 rookies just talked about here. One, our cover boy, in wandel 1236 01:17:12,900 --> 01:17:15,600 Robinson for this episode. Male 1 Dale. 1237 01:17:15,600 --> 01:17:20,700 Sorry I forgot he had the Latino excellent pronunciation there 1238 01:17:20,800 --> 01:17:21,700 but yeah. Want to talk. 1239 01:17:21,700 --> 01:17:25,300 Let's talk about $1, a what? What is our level of excitement 1240 01:17:25,300 --> 01:17:29,800 going forward? And so obviously really excited 1241 01:17:29,800 --> 01:17:33,400 to see him with strong Target, earning ability. 1242 01:17:33,900 --> 01:17:42,400 And so the fact that he is what you call it not playing the the 1243 01:17:42,400 --> 01:17:48,400 snaps that we want yet is a, I guess means you're not going to 1244 01:17:48,400 --> 01:17:54,300 start on next week, but The joints really do need a lot of 1245 01:17:54,308 --> 01:17:59,100 help at wide receiver. So the fact that he is producing 1246 01:18:00,400 --> 01:18:04,700 at a really high rate on a personal basis and both both in 1247 01:18:04,700 --> 01:18:08,600 terms of kind of like getting captures in yards and then also 1248 01:18:08,600 --> 01:18:12,300 that he caught, he caught, you got the touchdown for him and 1249 01:18:12,600 --> 01:18:18,600 means that he is someone where you have to feel good that he's 1250 01:18:18,600 --> 01:18:21,200 going to be a big part of their offense as the season. 1251 01:18:21,300 --> 01:18:26,500 It goes on. And yeah, one concern is that 1252 01:18:26,700 --> 01:18:32,300 it's a Jain so that the passing game is probably not going to be 1253 01:18:32,700 --> 01:18:38,200 too big of a party but and he's a really talented. 1254 01:18:38,200 --> 01:18:43,900 Rookie dominated in college at his first is, I guess the second 1255 01:18:43,900 --> 01:18:47,100 game back, he played really strong and his product. 1256 01:18:47,100 --> 01:18:49,400 His efficiency has been quite good. 1257 01:18:49,800 --> 01:18:54,400 So definitely. To a tied him to a bench and 1258 01:18:54,600 --> 01:18:56,900 wait for him to kind of take off a bit. 1259 01:18:57,400 --> 01:19:00,700 Yep, the green just add a little bit more numbers to it. 1260 01:19:00,700 --> 01:19:05,600 He was only at, like, 25 percent actually under 25% routes last 1261 01:19:05,600 --> 01:19:09,400 week, but I expect that to grow. There's nobody really ahead of 1262 01:19:09,400 --> 01:19:13,200 him there that could challenge him from a talent perspective. 1263 01:19:13,200 --> 01:19:17,500 So, yeah, great, great person out of your benches and he could 1264 01:19:17,500 --> 01:19:22,100 be, you know, if we're looking for an Amon-Ra stb, Brown this 1265 01:19:22,100 --> 01:19:24,300 year guy who sort of does nothing the first half of 1266 01:19:24,300 --> 01:19:29,000 season, then comes on huge down the stretch, I would look to one 1267 01:19:29,000 --> 01:19:33,700 Dale, Sky more and taekwon Thornton is sort of the three 1268 01:19:33,700 --> 01:19:36,100 top candidates there. Now, odds of anybody doing 1269 01:19:36,100 --> 01:19:38,900 what's a rounded obviously, really low. 1270 01:19:38,900 --> 01:19:43,300 But we got to take some steps here and those guys all profile, 1271 01:19:43,300 --> 01:19:49,600 as you know day one or start day, two NFL picks on, you know, 1272 01:19:49,600 --> 01:19:51,200 teams not a lot of wide receiver. 1273 01:19:51,400 --> 01:19:54,700 Ahead of them that are flashing strong Target, learning 1274 01:19:54,700 --> 01:19:57,200 abilities in limited sample sizes. 1275 01:19:57,200 --> 01:20:01,900 So yeah, all three of them at one point about on Dale and that 1276 01:20:01,900 --> 01:20:05,700 I think is easy to miss so and people see someone with his 1277 01:20:06,000 --> 01:20:10,200 stature and athletic kind of archetype, oh, he's earning a 1278 01:20:10,208 --> 01:20:13,600 bunch of targets. Must be a gadget guy, so he 1279 01:20:13,600 --> 01:20:19,500 actually got an average depth of Target of 9.3 last week at 37 1280 01:20:19,500 --> 01:20:22,600 are yards on it. Four targets. 1281 01:20:23,000 --> 01:20:28,800 And so, definitely not a gadget guy and actually legitimate at 1282 01:20:28,900 --> 01:20:31,200 running proper routes and FL receiver. 1283 01:20:31,900 --> 01:20:34,800 And we're excited to see what he can do to rest of your. 1284 01:20:35,200 --> 01:20:39,800 Yep, and last thing I'll mention on him is I think, you know, 1285 01:20:39,800 --> 01:20:44,300 also he did play running back quite successfully in college so 1286 01:20:44,300 --> 01:20:48,700 I do think there is a bit of a contingent upside where Berkeley 1287 01:20:48,700 --> 01:20:51,900 to the good to go down the giant son of a None of that running 1288 01:20:51,900 --> 01:20:55,000 back room and I do think he would have a chance at least a 1289 01:20:55,000 --> 01:20:59,300 turning some kind of Devo. Samuel Curtis Samuel asked 1290 01:20:59,300 --> 01:21:03,800 running back usage in the Giants where Berkeley to go down, but 1291 01:21:03,800 --> 01:21:07,900 obviously that's, you know, more of a contingency, sort of Fringe 1292 01:21:07,900 --> 01:21:12,200 scenario, but I do think that at least possible given his profile 1293 01:21:13,600 --> 01:21:20,800 Let's end with tight ends here. Connor we for people have been 1294 01:21:20,800 --> 01:21:22,100 listening. This is the same chart we've 1295 01:21:22,100 --> 01:21:24,600 always had similar to the running back. 1296 01:21:24,600 --> 01:21:28,000 One where we're looking at percent of Team drop backs and 1297 01:21:28,000 --> 01:21:31,800 we just want to know on drawbacks, are these tie-downs 1298 01:21:31,800 --> 01:21:34,600 out there. Are they running routes and we 1299 01:21:34,600 --> 01:21:39,300 sort of ordered the chart as so. So guys running the most routes 1300 01:21:39,400 --> 01:21:41,200 Mark, Andrews, George, Kittle Etc. 1301 01:21:41,200 --> 01:21:42,700 On the far, left-hand side of this chart. 1302 01:21:42,800 --> 01:21:47,200 Art and we also have Target / outrun shown at the bottom here. 1303 01:21:47,700 --> 01:21:50,400 So how many targets are they learning when they actually run 1304 01:21:50,400 --> 01:21:55,500 a route and a taut? So are they being used as sort 1305 01:21:55,500 --> 01:22:00,200 of a shallow area dump-off guy? AKA Tyler higbee or are they 1306 01:22:00,200 --> 01:22:02,900 being used as a wide receiver down the field? 1307 01:22:02,900 --> 01:22:06,900 Like our boy Greg dulcich with the highest start 1308 01:22:06,900 --> 01:22:09,000 second-highest. Eight out of any tight end in 1309 01:22:09,000 --> 01:22:11,800 this chart behind only Kyle pits. 1310 01:22:12,000 --> 01:22:14,300 I think that's a natural. Little place to start here, 1311 01:22:14,900 --> 01:22:17,100 Connor. So we wanted to make them Ararat 1312 01:22:17,100 --> 01:22:21,800 our cover boy, but the the flagship show said, no, that's 1313 01:22:21,800 --> 01:22:26,500 are cover boy and yeah, we were. So they would literally replace 1314 01:22:26,500 --> 01:22:29,300 us within 10 minutes if we had that as recover boy. 1315 01:22:29,300 --> 01:22:31,300 So we have, we had the capitulate. 1316 01:22:32,700 --> 01:22:41,100 And yeah, damn, I guess for an 18 round picked up was often 1317 01:22:41,200 --> 01:22:45,600 undrafted getting a very strong Target. 1318 01:22:45,600 --> 01:22:52,700 Actually red chair is super encouraging and then he I guess 1319 01:22:52,700 --> 01:22:56,000 he's also getting down the field looks deep. 1320 01:22:56,300 --> 01:23:01,300 I guess the only possible concern is that the target 1321 01:23:01,300 --> 01:23:04,700 share. There is still pretty low. 1322 01:23:05,200 --> 01:23:12,800 And yes, if he ran around out here an 27 routes, I believe on 1323 01:23:12,800 --> 01:23:19,300 34 drawbacks and saw just three targets, but yeah, I think on a 1324 01:23:19,300 --> 01:23:23,200 one-week sample size, the the target rate is extremely 1325 01:23:23,200 --> 01:23:26,500 variable. I'm just way more excited on the 1326 01:23:26,500 --> 01:23:28,700 fact that he was out there running all those routes. 1327 01:23:28,700 --> 01:23:31,400 I mean, he iced Tomlinson Sauber. 1328 01:23:31,800 --> 01:23:34,800 Alberto healthy scratchy. I saw these these guys that have 1329 01:23:34,800 --> 01:23:37,100 been getting looks in past weeks. 1330 01:23:37,100 --> 01:23:41,300 So yeah, I'm extremely bullish. Like, I don't think it's, I 1331 01:23:41,300 --> 01:23:45,200 think it's fair to call him. You know, a low-end tied end one 1332 01:23:45,300 --> 01:23:47,300 already for the rest of your client. 1333 01:23:47,300 --> 01:23:50,500 I tend to like not as the other piece that is. 1334 01:23:50,500 --> 01:23:54,800 So I'm worried about the day, eleven percent Target share, but 1335 01:23:55,300 --> 01:24:00,300 when compared to other tight ends I rookie got a rookie 1336 01:24:00,300 --> 01:24:04,600 getting that high. Message of routes and Ada 1337 01:24:04,800 --> 01:24:08,400 immediately compared to other Titans. 1338 01:24:09,000 --> 01:24:12,400 It's like the in the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is King. 1339 01:24:13,200 --> 01:24:19,000 Yeah. And he said his route, he still 1340 01:24:19,000 --> 01:24:21,800 Rao's daughter. To dance is really strong. 1341 01:24:22,300 --> 01:24:24,200 Yeah. And this is give like, you know, 1342 01:24:24,200 --> 01:24:26,000 for people making sit star decisions. 1343 01:24:26,000 --> 01:24:29,100 Like, you know, what is the line for the essentially? 1344 01:24:29,100 --> 01:24:31,000 I'm still planning joke over him. 1345 01:24:31,800 --> 01:24:34,400 We'll probably play in TJ Hawkinson over him, but then 1346 01:24:34,400 --> 01:24:38,000 once we get down to like the hate in her stall, seen knocks 1347 01:24:38,200 --> 01:24:42,900 Gerald Everett range. I think I'm going to go with the 1348 01:24:42,900 --> 01:24:48,000 upside with dulcich there. You know, it's highly variable 1349 01:24:48,500 --> 01:24:51,200 we don't have a ton of data on him but he's out there running 1350 01:24:51,200 --> 01:24:53,700 all the routes he's being used downfield, you're looking for 1351 01:24:53,700 --> 01:24:58,200 offside with these you know, late tight end stabs. 1352 01:24:58,200 --> 01:25:00,300 Like I want a guy who can catch like a 30-yard. 1353 01:25:00,300 --> 01:25:03,300 Seen pass for a touchdown. And I don't really want the guys 1354 01:25:03,700 --> 01:25:06,900 like, you know, Conklin where you're just praying for like 1355 01:25:06,900 --> 01:25:10,100 the, I guess Conklin has a high doll that's maybe a bad example, 1356 01:25:10,100 --> 01:25:12,600 but the guy like Austin Hooper where you're just praying, you 1357 01:25:12,600 --> 01:25:14,500 know, he gets a Red Zone touchdown, he's never going to 1358 01:25:14,508 --> 01:25:17,500 make a play down the field. So I'm pretty excited about 1359 01:25:17,500 --> 01:25:20,400 dulcich going forward and congrats everybody who who 1360 01:25:20,400 --> 01:25:23,700 stashed him or drafted him in the eighteenth round. 1361 01:25:27,000 --> 01:25:29,600 Anything else? I mean, we talked about Andrews 1362 01:25:29,600 --> 01:25:32,800 and Kelsey, just they blow everybody else out of the water 1363 01:25:32,800 --> 01:25:35,600 here. I think it's kind of a similar 1364 01:25:35,600 --> 01:25:39,700 story that we've touched on with kid'll daughter and Waller 1365 01:25:39,700 --> 01:25:45,600 before, we're like the roles still, look pretty good but it's 1366 01:25:45,600 --> 01:25:48,300 nice seeing it kiddos that route shirt. 1367 01:25:48,900 --> 01:25:54,000 Creep up, even more significant. Number two Rideshare, 18 percent 1368 01:25:54,000 --> 01:25:58,200 Target for that run. And it is nice to see him 1369 01:25:58,200 --> 01:26:03,700 getting more involved after kind of get not quite are bald but 1370 01:26:03,700 --> 01:26:06,100 close to it in the first couple weeks. 1371 01:26:07,000 --> 01:26:11,200 Yeah, I think that's true. I do think like that 18% number 1372 01:26:11,500 --> 01:26:14,500 for Kindle and for Waller I just noticed when suddenly also has 1373 01:26:14,500 --> 01:26:19,100 that number like it's not bad but it's kind of a bummer 1374 01:26:19,300 --> 01:26:22,100 considering it doesn't really stand out from the rest of the 1375 01:26:22,100 --> 01:26:23,900 field here. Like it's probably slightly 1376 01:26:23,900 --> 01:26:27,600 above average but You got, Zach, ertz, 20% targets for outrun. 1377 01:26:28,100 --> 01:26:30,400 You got Dallas, Carter, there at 17. 1378 01:26:30,400 --> 01:26:34,500 You got Ingram at 18 Pig, be a 24%, like all these middle and 1379 01:26:34,500 --> 01:26:37,900 guys, you got a lot later, like, Waller and Kettle aren't really 1380 01:26:37,900 --> 01:26:41,500 separating from them. Which I think at this point, 1381 01:26:41,600 --> 01:26:44,800 like I'd rather have Waller and kid old and those guys I 1382 01:26:44,808 --> 01:26:50,500 mentioned, but I think it was a Miss potentially to be drafting 1383 01:26:50,500 --> 01:26:52,300 them where I was this off season. 1384 01:26:52,300 --> 01:26:55,200 I think I have a lot of both of those guys. 1385 01:26:55,400 --> 01:26:57,800 And I think probably the move this year. 1386 01:26:57,800 --> 01:27:01,300 Obviously in retrospect, if you could do it over again, you 1387 01:27:01,300 --> 01:27:03,600 would take a ton of Kelsey, would take a ton of Andrews and 1388 01:27:03,600 --> 01:27:06,500 you'd probably fade the middle round. 1389 01:27:06,500 --> 01:27:10,200 Tie the ends which I did did hear some people advocating for 1390 01:27:10,200 --> 01:27:14,600 this offseason so congrats not ready to throw in the towel on 1391 01:27:14,600 --> 01:27:16,400 kiddo. Just got. 1392 01:27:16,500 --> 01:27:20,900 Yeah, I don't think you should give up either, but it's yeah, I 1393 01:27:20,900 --> 01:27:24,700 mean I'm not trying to suggest that you were saying that people 1394 01:27:24,700 --> 01:27:28,400 should cuddle. Mmm, but and I'm still, I'm 1395 01:27:28,400 --> 01:27:35,700 still ready to invest in kiddo and but Waller, I'm a bit more. 1396 01:27:35,800 --> 01:27:39,900 I'm a bit more worried and just given that we got the bigger 1397 01:27:39,900 --> 01:27:46,800 sample size and, and still have that kind of like eighteen 1398 01:27:46,800 --> 01:27:49,500 percent Target share, which is not really where you want it. 1399 01:27:50,200 --> 01:27:53,000 Yeah, it's not. Great and hamstring injuries. 1400 01:27:53,000 --> 01:27:56,400 Were older players. Also Not great. 1401 01:27:56,600 --> 01:28:01,300 Let's let's wrap this thing up with the you know we get asked 1402 01:28:01,300 --> 01:28:04,100 about this chart every week I get people the enemy Sam. 1403 01:28:04,100 --> 01:28:06,500 Can you make third string, tight end chart? 1404 01:28:06,500 --> 01:28:09,300 You know the back up tight end chart isn't quite scratching the 1405 01:28:09,300 --> 01:28:12,300 itch you know I can't quite commit to that yet. 1406 01:28:12,300 --> 01:28:15,900 That's still going to be behind the pay wall but the backup the 1407 01:28:15,900 --> 01:28:19,800 backup tight. End chart we do have this week, 1408 01:28:19,800 --> 01:28:21,600 a lot of really exciting names on here. 1409 01:28:21,600 --> 01:28:24,700 We got Eric's Albert, you got Pharaoh Brown. 1410 01:28:25,100 --> 01:28:28,400 We got Tommy tremble you know guys who I definitely know what 1411 01:28:28,400 --> 01:28:31,400 team they're on Tanner Hudson. That's another guy. 1412 01:28:31,400 --> 01:28:33,400 Definitely definitely know what team he's on death. 1413 01:28:33,400 --> 01:28:36,300 They don't have to look it up. Okay, now that you're done 1414 01:28:36,300 --> 01:28:40,700 telling us all, please give me actionable information on these 1415 01:28:40,700 --> 01:28:44,800 tight end side. Actually I did have some notes 1416 01:28:44,800 --> 01:28:48,000 here. So there's some interesting 1417 01:28:48,000 --> 01:28:52,400 tight end injuries to monitor while are we talked about so 1418 01:28:52,600 --> 01:28:57,100 Jesper oersted with I believe came from the Bears and is now 1419 01:28:57,100 --> 01:29:01,100 in the Raiders he actually got the start and ran a pretty ran 1420 01:29:01,100 --> 01:29:04,600 sort of a Waller like route share when both him sorry with 1421 01:29:04,600 --> 01:29:06,600 both Waller and Moreau Miss time. 1422 01:29:06,600 --> 01:29:09,900 So for those of you who are really desperate monitor the 1423 01:29:09,900 --> 01:29:13,800 Moreau and Waller situations and in tight end premium I don't 1424 01:29:13,800 --> 01:29:17,200 think horse dead would be the worst flyer. 1425 01:29:17,200 --> 01:29:20,200 Similarly in Tampa Bay there's an injury situation. 1426 01:29:20,200 --> 01:29:23,900 Cameron Bure went down with the pretty scary neck injury. 1427 01:29:24,000 --> 01:29:24,900 I probably should have led with this. 1428 01:29:25,100 --> 01:29:27,800 Because I think it's the the more exciting add, but I think 1429 01:29:27,800 --> 01:29:31,600 Kate Austen, he's probably been scooped up in your, your 1430 01:29:31,600 --> 01:29:34,600 high-stakes really competitive leagues, but he's probably out 1431 01:29:34,600 --> 01:29:36,200 there in a ton of casual leagues. 1432 01:29:36,200 --> 01:29:39,200 I think he is a pretty good start going forward. 1433 01:29:39,200 --> 01:29:41,300 I expect breit to miss some time. 1434 01:29:41,300 --> 01:29:43,700 He's earned, I believe seven targets. 1435 01:29:44,200 --> 01:29:46,000 And in his last start, when Bray it went down. 1436 01:29:46,000 --> 01:29:50,900 So, decent role there, for Alton and then Hendershot is the other 1437 01:29:50,900 --> 01:29:55,100 guy with Schultz. Let me actually check the The 1438 01:29:55,100 --> 01:30:00,000 Dallas routes last week, but Schultz did not play. 1439 01:30:00,300 --> 01:30:02,600 And what did this high density equation? 1440 01:30:02,600 --> 01:30:06,300 Look like, I believe it was Hendershot, that was ahead. 1441 01:30:06,300 --> 01:30:09,600 Yep. So Hendershot ran. 23 routes on 1442 01:30:09,600 --> 01:30:14,300 38, drawbacks, Jake Ferguson, ran, 15 Hendershot saw five 1443 01:30:14,300 --> 01:30:16,000 targets. So he's leaving the tight ends 1444 01:30:16,000 --> 01:30:19,800 there and routes again, if you're really desperate, I think 1445 01:30:19,800 --> 01:30:22,600 these are three, Andrew situations a monitor in Dallas, 1446 01:30:22,900 --> 01:30:28,800 Tampa Bay, and Los Vegas and in the last last pack up tight on 1447 01:30:28,800 --> 01:30:31,200 thing. I want to mention the Daniel 1448 01:30:31,200 --> 01:30:35,200 Bellinger roll. This is more anecdotally. 1449 01:30:35,200 --> 01:30:38,900 I wish I had more data to back this up, but it seems to be 1450 01:30:39,300 --> 01:30:42,700 growing and they're also scheming him like running plays. 1451 01:30:42,700 --> 01:30:45,700 I believe he had a rushing touchdown in the past two weeks. 1452 01:30:45,900 --> 01:30:50,700 Yeah, actually looking at this is from Nathan janki at PFF, but 1453 01:30:51,000 --> 01:30:54,600 Bellinger's percentage of offensive snaps have has risen 1454 01:30:54,600 --> 01:31:01,500 almost Every week this year from right at 50% in week, 12 above 1455 01:31:02,600 --> 01:31:08,200 85%, this past week, so he's really taking over the tight end 1456 01:31:08,200 --> 01:31:12,300 role there in New York and on a team where, you know, we talked 1457 01:31:12,300 --> 01:31:14,300 about how bear in the wide receiver room is. 1458 01:31:14,600 --> 01:31:17,700 I think for the more casual leagues out there, where 1459 01:31:17,700 --> 01:31:24,000 Ballinger's still on waivers, he is definitely worth an ad. 1460 01:31:25,200 --> 01:31:27,800 Yeah, so I got I got excited. They're in the back up 1461 01:31:27,800 --> 01:31:29,700 tie-downs. Not sure I left you and me about 1462 01:31:29,700 --> 01:31:32,300 the contingent value for Harrison Bryant. 1463 01:31:34,200 --> 01:31:37,300 Exactly, I wish that was a joke but I feel like we've talked 1464 01:31:37,300 --> 01:31:39,400 about that on every podcast so far. 1465 01:31:39,400 --> 01:31:43,600 So so he's arrogant, he's got that high Target for that run 1466 01:31:44,200 --> 01:31:47,100 when David and joke who goes down, you're just gonna be 1467 01:31:47,100 --> 01:31:50,800 licking your lips, that your bus licking, your chops that you get 1468 01:31:50,800 --> 01:31:52,900 that number one, tight ends and Cleveland. 1469 01:31:53,200 --> 01:31:56,500 Yeah, we are the only podcast talking about Harrison Brian 1470 01:31:56,500 --> 01:32:01,900 every single week, right? The best Victory lap of all 1471 01:32:01,900 --> 01:32:03,000 time. Yeah. 1472 01:32:03,100 --> 01:32:04,900 And we win money. It hurts and Brian. 1473 01:32:05,200 --> 01:32:07,400 Yeah, I think. Yeah. 1474 01:32:08,100 --> 01:32:12,000 Alright, well that was, you know, well maybe hit the 3rd 1475 01:32:12,000 --> 01:32:15,600 string tight ends next week but going to have to close it out 1476 01:32:15,600 --> 01:32:16,700 there. That was fun. 1477 01:32:16,700 --> 01:32:19,900 Connor talked a lot about a lot of interesting situations. 1478 01:32:21,200 --> 01:32:22,800 I'll just do a couple quick plugs. 1479 01:32:22,800 --> 01:32:26,400 Number one if you want to again. Like I talked about the top if 1480 01:32:26,400 --> 01:32:30,800 you want to join these streams live to ask questions, get 1481 01:32:30,800 --> 01:32:33,500 yourself into the ship chasing Discord, a lot of good 1482 01:32:33,500 --> 01:32:34,900 conversations, Shane going on there. 1483 01:32:34,900 --> 01:32:39,800 We also have p grach and Pat hopping into those as well. 1484 01:32:39,800 --> 01:32:42,100 Which I'm sure you guys are all aware of. 1485 01:32:42,100 --> 01:32:45,800 But yeah, that's that's number one, number two, you can check 1486 01:32:45,800 --> 01:32:50,600 out my all my takeaways from these charts on Twitter at 1487 01:32:50,700 --> 01:32:55,200 underscore or sorry at Sherman underscore ffb on Twitter will 1488 01:32:55,200 --> 01:33:00,200 sort of more detailed thoughts on these charts. 1489 01:33:00,900 --> 01:33:03,800 Connor, anything to plug before we get out. 1490 01:33:03,900 --> 01:33:05,100 Here. Hey yeah. 1491 01:33:05,100 --> 01:33:10,000 Not in particular as subscribe. Right over his and Jonas and the 1492 01:33:10,000 --> 01:33:14,100 Discord. I was a lot of fun would look to 1493 01:33:14,100 --> 01:33:18,700 anybody who listens to the show and would like to chat with us. 1494 01:33:19,000 --> 01:33:22,200 And we're all ways that are not always available but generally 1495 01:33:22,200 --> 01:33:26,600 available, Yep. Yeah, feel free to leave mean 1496 01:33:26,900 --> 01:33:30,700 YouTube comments as well. That really is a good way to 1497 01:33:31,000 --> 01:33:33,900 engage with us. Always happy to answer those, 1498 01:33:34,600 --> 01:33:36,700 The Untouchables. Yeah. 1499 01:33:37,300 --> 01:33:41,300 Well, anyways, that was fun for backup. 1500 01:33:41,300 --> 01:33:45,400 Tied and chasing. We will see you next week. 1501 01:33:45,800 --> 01:33:47,900 Good luck in week 7, everybody.