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Good morning. 
Happy new Year from rainy 

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Buffalo. 
I'm Mike Shove, ADP chasing is 

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back to recap some of the best 
ball season. 

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I mean, what a win for Sam 
Sherman. 

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Incredible. 
We'll talk about that for a 

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minute and handicapped our 
chances of winning next year. 

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I think that might be in the 
offing. 

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Then we'll build an FFPC playoff
challenge team. 

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That's always fun that glorious 
week of the year to do that. 

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And we'll wrap with the the 
highly anticipated last Call 

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results grand prize of zero 
$1,000,000 with our heroes, Pat,

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Jacob and Davis. 
I'm Mike Schoke, thanks for 

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being with us. 
ADP Chasing January 6th, 2026. 

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ADP chasing is for when you 
watch ship chasing you go these 

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guys are just football guys. 
I have my 4% exposure blanket. 

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Stay poor, actually. 
Back in, if it's Austin, it's. 

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Here to our crystal ball. close 
your eyes. 

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You know all your entries are 
going to lose anyway. 

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Yeah. 
That's fair. 

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You're. 
Not going to tell me how this 

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went. 
I was here. 

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It's anti cabal, it's anti the 
best ball thought leader. 

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I'm obviously lying to some 
degree because like, I have a 

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lot of both of these guys. 
It's the most disgusting thing 

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you can make, but. 
Man. 

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There he is, my first chance on 
the stream to congratulate Sam. 

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What a cool thing. 
Amazing. 

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How do you do it? 
The Niners, right? 

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I mean largely hit everybody. 
Pat, what was the? 

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Well, Derrick Henry was was 
pretty massive. 

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It was a classic Sam team, I 
would say, where he had some 

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sloppy guys, some guys he mocked
is overly slappy and then and 

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then some guys we mocked. 
Him winning with Burden is a fun

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like him winning with Burden is 
just a phenomenal bit like you 

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do gotta hand it to him. 
JSN is. 

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I mean, that's an incredible bet
he JSN was. 

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MM Micah Bernard could not be 
reached for comment at this 

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time. 
Week 17, Luther Burden, Week 17.

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With that, with that roster, 
sometimes you got to do it. 

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It was a combo. 
It was a combo of of slappy guys

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who hit and and guys who hit the
the Slappy's avoided. 

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So very good team. 
Well, I think Pete has gone 

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above and beyond listing me as a
Co favorite of the group to win 

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next year. 
I mean, I think. 

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I I mean Co Co favorite. 
I, I would say, I would say you 

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are, I would say you are the 
strong favorite chess Liam. 

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So here's the issue with chess 
Liam winning again at plus 350. 

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He, he currently is spending all
of his karmic points on the 

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bills winning at like multiple 
playoff games. 

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This I like I, I, I know I am 
annoying about the chiefs stuff.

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Everything I've seen from Liam 
in the last two weeks has been 

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like, you guys don't understand 
how fucking good the Bills are 

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going to be in the playoffs. 
Dude, I I hope that the Bills 

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get fucking blasted on Sunday 
like I I I. 

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I actually think I have. 
Never seen anything more 

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annoying than Liam like it is. 
It has made me want to take out 

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such a large bet on the 
Jacksonville Jaguars. 

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I I can't imagine clicking a 
Buffalo Bill in the gauntlet 

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just after absorbing this 
content. 

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And it's not even just the Bill 
stuff. 

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It's like he's he's decided this
entire and and show don't catch 

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any shrapnel. 
If it was just you, I'd be 

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buying a Bill's jersey for the 
Super. 

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Bowl, I am not. 
I am not offended. 

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It's a credit. 
It's a credit to Liam in a way, 

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because we have Shope, we have 
Leone. 

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Like there's like. 
Go Bills. 

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Go Bills. 
There's, there's like a lot of 

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Bills fans in my life that I 
root for, but I hope they get 

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their fucking asses kicked. 
See you guys, you guys right 

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now, and I'm sorry to do this, 
you guys are making a classic, 

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classic error with Liam, which 
is that you, you guys are unable

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to see how funny it is. 
This is this is your, this is 

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your, this is everyone's classic
error with Liam in which they 

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don't understand that he's 
literally one of the funniest 

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people alive. 
And that if you think of this as

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a, a full, if you, if you think 
of it as a full bit, it's it's 

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very like, it's very funny. 
I, I see, I see a Liam talking 

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about how shitty Trevor Lawrence
is. 

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And I'm like, yes, this is very 
funny. 

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It's very funny to like the the 
the idea that everyone in our 

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little corner of the Internet is
like, yeah, dude, the fucking 

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Jags of all the teams to make a 
run in the AFC like we all have.

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I've forgotten all of our priors
of the last five years on Trevor

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Lawrence. 
And we've now decided that that 

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Josh Allen is the little engine 
who could like, of course. 

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Just he's the little engine. 
He's he's got horrible coaching 

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for defense stocks. 
Yeah, like literally just Josh 

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Allen. 
He he's got no receivers like 

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they're playing Brandon Cooks, 
Tyrol Shavers, like the 

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receivers are a joke. 
Thanks Jacob, the literal NFL 

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rushing leader. 
But yes, go on. 

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Yes, I know. 
I'm thanking you for it. 

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Yes. 
But that's it, those two. 

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Nothing else. 
You've got James Cook, but James

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Cook is actually 
counterproductive in some ways 

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because they've run the ball too
much. 

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Like if James Cook was a 
receiver, I'd feel much better 

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about them because they'd 
actually like build the game 

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game plans around the past. 
But they're gonna, you have to 

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trust them to go into 
Jacksonville and attack through 

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the air because Jags are pass 
funnel. 

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They're much, much weaker 
through the air than on the 

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ground. 
I don't trust them to do that at

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all. 
I think they're they're gonna 

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stubbornly run the ball like 
they're the friggin Panthers and

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they they're trying to hide. 
I don't even. 

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Probably succeed because I, I 
think I might even go like you 

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said, Pat, that you're like, 
well, look, James Cook is so 

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good that it, that it makes them
run the ball more. 

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I, I think that's probably the 
actual order of operations. 

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But what if conspiracy theory 
they like running so much, they 

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intentionally sabotage their 
pass game by employing the worst

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wide receivers ever. 
So they have a justification to 

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run the ball more. 
Well, they that that I don't buy

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because we have evidence the 
thesis. 

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I don't think. 
I don't think Show could have 

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gotten yelled at on the radio if
that were true. 

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They they thought these 
receivers were good. 

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I just know two things. 
I, I think Jacksonville's number

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most rushing yards allowed in a 
game is 130 and that's because 

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Davis Mahomes went for 60 yards 
in that game. 

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That's their high. 
The Bills are over that number I

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think 7 times, by the way, 2-3 
years ago in Vegas. 

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And with the go Bills winners 
high king cause for watching 

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Luigi and Leone is coming to 
join us at craft steak for 

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dinner and he's bringing Gretch,
who I had not yet met. 

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And the two of them arrived. 
They come from the airport. 

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They sit down at the table, 
table of seven round table and 

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Gretch sort of introduces 
everybody introduces themselves 

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to him. 
And at one point sort of he hits

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it hits him. 
Wait, am I at a table with six 

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Bills fans? 
And he sort of starts to get up 

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and Leone sort of holds him down
so he can't leave. 

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But it was a great night. 
You know, critical. 

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What what what I would say is I 
also under like you guys are 

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less unabashedly, I guess Jacob 
actually is a huge Homer when 

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when the Colts were good for 
that 11 weeks. 

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But like. 
Great, 11 weeks. 

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The Chiefs, if the Chiefs right 
now were the the the 

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corresponding like the six seed 
in this spot, I mean, I would 

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be, I would be like so annoying 
because every if this iteration 

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of the Chiefs had somehow found 
a way to qualify for the 

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postseason, everyone would have 
said they were dead. 

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Everyone would have it would 
have been it would have been the

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same thing like, oh, they can't 
run the ball. 

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They're all I so, so I I am able
to understand where Liam is 

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coming from a little better, I 
think. 

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But well. 
But my favorite thing about the 

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bit Liam is doing is like the 
the way to to the way that the 

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Bills win the Super Bowl, which 
is like possible, by the way, 

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like it's like so wide open, 
like everybody agrees is it's 

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just they have the best 
quarterback in every single game

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they play. 
And so Josh Allen is just going 

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to be so incredible that they 
can do that. 

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And then what he's done so well,
he's like, he's recognized that.

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And so he's decided, I'm going 
to frame my entire view of the 

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playoffs and I'm just going to 
pick the best quarterback in 

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every matchup. 
She's like, not only is he a 

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Bills guy, but he's like, I'm 
going to pick the Chargers to go

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on a big run because. 
Of just wait, why was he picking

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the charges? 
If he's picking the best 

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quarterback, shouldn't you pick 
the MVP? 

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Oh God. 
I mean, I would, I would, I 

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would the impression. 
I was gonna pick. 

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There we go. 
We're getting it. 

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We're getting it from all angles
on the program now. 

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Yeah, we got, we're right over 
here. 

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I got a letter over right here. 
Isn't that kind of the natural 

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thing? 
Are you Are you in the Justin 

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Herbert looks so good that the 
stats don't matter to me Camp 

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that he's actually the best. 
Quarterback. 

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No, I think. 
I think that Drink Man should be

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the MVP. 
I I do think that Justin Herbert

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is a better quarterback than 
Drake May. 

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I don't. 
I don't even think it's close. 

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Herbert's not done anything. 
Close. 

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It's not. 
Herbert's never done anything 

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even close to what May's doing 
this year in his second year. 

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Like he's never looked this good
or done this well. 

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What a schedule. 
I would vote for Stafford. 

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The votes were were. 
Would you now? 

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I wouldn't put. 
I would. 

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Definitely vote. 
I would definitely vote for May 

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I I think I think that the gap 
between them in and I'm usually 

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like an EPA hater, but in this 
case, I think it it it helps in 

187
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that like it's such a huge gap 
and and the fact is like if in 

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theory, Stafford should have the
Stafford should have be the one 

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with the big gap. 
Like if you look at their 

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schedule, as much as Mace had a 
really easy schedule, the EPA, 

191
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the past defenses place is not 
played, is not. 

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Equivalent. 
It's literally one spot. 

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00:09:25,040 --> 00:09:29,160
I think it was 17th and 18th. 
They're both middle of the pack.

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00:09:29,360 --> 00:09:31,120
Barnwell did a whole analysis. 
Who was higher? 

195
00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,080
I'm not even sure that that 
Stafford was oh. 

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00:09:35,560 --> 00:09:37,440
Damn was. 
Stronger it was. 

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00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,520
It was like completely 
negligible And and then and then

198
00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:44,160
you you also have like the fact 
that yeah and Daniels good play 

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00:09:44,160 --> 00:09:44,680
caller. 
Yeah. 

200
00:09:44,760 --> 00:09:46,480
I mean, I'd still rather have 
Sean McVay. 

201
00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:51,520
You have Puka and Adams over you
know, the the assortment of the 

202
00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:53,240
guys they got. 
They also have a ridiculously 

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00:09:53,240 --> 00:09:56,440
good run game with the Rams. 
I I, I think it's clearly. 

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00:09:57,800 --> 00:09:59,680
I think, I think it's, it's 
obviously. 

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And it's ridiculous. 
It's ridiculous that I think 

206
00:10:01,960 --> 00:10:03,920
it's close. 
I think it's like the the media 

207
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loves Stafford, but I don't know
it's. 

208
00:10:07,480 --> 00:10:09,600
Clearly a lifetime achievement 
award for Stafford. 

209
00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,640
It's it's honestly like A to the
level where it's like a 

210
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fraudulent MVP. 
If he wins like there, it's his 

211
00:10:13,960 --> 00:10:15,080
buddy. 
Excuse me? 

212
00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:17,200
Lovsky voting for him. 
I think it's completely 

213
00:10:17,200 --> 00:10:21,840
fraudulent if he wins like he's 
his season has not been like. 

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I know say all the bills crap 
you want, but now you're going 

215
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to tell me like my take is 
completely unqualified because. 

216
00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:28,720
I don't. 
I don't think he's even close to

217
00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:29,920
the MVP. 
Because we're friends. 

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00:10:30,000 --> 00:10:31,520
He and I are friends. 
Significantly worse than. 

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00:10:31,560 --> 00:10:33,280
George, are you are you friends 
with Stafford? 

220
00:10:33,280 --> 00:10:34,880
Has he been on the show? 
Has Stafford. 

221
00:10:34,880 --> 00:10:36,320
Been on the show? 
Had him on the radio. 

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00:10:36,320 --> 00:10:38,360
I listened to it. 
There's a radio hit. 

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00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:40,200
You were delighted to have him 
watching and. 

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00:10:41,000 --> 00:10:45,280
He screamed at me because I. 
Said if it was my ballot and 

225
00:10:45,280 --> 00:10:47,120
they'll never give me a ballot, 
then if it was, I would 

226
00:10:47,120 --> 00:10:49,240
certainly have Josh Allen higher
than Matthew Stafford on my 

227
00:10:49,240 --> 00:10:50,320
ballot. 
I would have Josh Allen over 

228
00:10:50,320 --> 00:10:53,720
Matthew Stafford as well. 
Like if you trade Josh Allen to 

229
00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:57,000
the Rams, the Rams are way, way 
better. 

230
00:10:57,160 --> 00:11:00,120
If if it's Matthew Stafford on 
the Bills, they they suck. 

231
00:11:00,120 --> 00:11:03,160
They didn't make the playoffs. 
Everyone with the season that 

232
00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:04,840
both guys had, everyone realizes
that. 

233
00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:07,320
I think deep down maybe you're 
not willing to admit it because 

234
00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:09,640
you're a staff of MVP guy like 
like someone on the show. 

235
00:11:10,080 --> 00:11:13,120
But like and you know, and you 
do the same thing with me, like.

236
00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:16,240
I'd like to say I'm actually 
fine giving Stafford the 

237
00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:18,480
lifetime achievement MVP because
he does. 

238
00:11:18,480 --> 00:11:21,480
Like I think it's fine for him 
to have an MVP, but like if you 

239
00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,040
were doing it on. 
I don't think it's fine. 

240
00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:26,240
It's not the award. 
If you're doing it on. 

241
00:11:26,520 --> 00:11:27,880
Well, yeah, but that's kind of 
way. 

242
00:11:28,000 --> 00:11:30,600
If you're doing it on merit, go 
should we do it on merit then? 

243
00:11:30,680 --> 00:11:32,760
Do you think we should do the 
MVP on merit? 

244
00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:35,120
You know that, Crane? 
That's why they'll never give 

245
00:11:35,120 --> 00:11:37,040
you a vote. 
That's why they'll never give 

246
00:11:37,040 --> 00:11:38,080
you a vote. 
They'll never give me a vote 

247
00:11:38,080 --> 00:11:39,360
because I'll do it on. 
I'll give. 

248
00:11:39,720 --> 00:11:42,920
The MBA on Patriots fan. 
You poor guys, I'm not a 

249
00:11:43,000 --> 00:11:44,560
probably think you probably 
think I have a vote. 

250
00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:46,240
You might think I have a vote 
because I. 

251
00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:47,880
Have AI kind of do think you 
have a vote. 

252
00:11:47,880 --> 00:11:50,760
Secretly, I think you might. 
Heisman, I might have a vote. 

253
00:11:50,880 --> 00:11:53,680
No, it's 50 voters. 
What's your case for Stafford? 

254
00:11:54,840 --> 00:11:57,760
The Patriots played the easiest 
schedule of the last 25 years. 

255
00:11:57,960 --> 00:11:59,520
I mean, it was a joke every 
week. 

256
00:11:59,520 --> 00:12:02,720
I don't under How does it matter
that they played the the Browns 

257
00:12:02,720 --> 00:12:04,560
offense? 
What does that matter for May's 

258
00:12:04,600 --> 00:12:06,200
Stafford? 
It definitely matters. 

259
00:12:06,200 --> 00:12:09,000
It definitely matters. 
It matters. 

260
00:12:09,080 --> 00:12:11,680
How do they not go undefeated? 
It doesn't matter. 

261
00:12:11,680 --> 00:12:13,240
I mean if you're trying. 
To if you're. 

262
00:12:13,400 --> 00:12:17,800
Trying to say, oh, the 
difference between the Patriots 

263
00:12:17,800 --> 00:12:22,200
getting the two seed and the 
Rams not getting they're winning

264
00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:25,560
their own division and and being
a five seed and being on the 

265
00:12:25,560 --> 00:12:28,800
road in the playoffs. 
I'm trying to mitigate a 

266
00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:32,360
ridiculous concept of giving the
five seed the MVP and I'm using 

267
00:12:32,360 --> 00:12:34,560
the schedule against May there. 
That's the shirt. 

268
00:12:34,640 --> 00:12:36,520
OK. 
Oh, come on. 

269
00:12:36,760 --> 00:12:39,720
What I'm going? 
To give the five seed the MVP 

270
00:12:39,720 --> 00:12:41,360
because. 
Normally the five seed doesn't 

271
00:12:41,360 --> 00:12:42,880
get the MVP. 
That's not. 

272
00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:45,160
No, this is. 
This is the most this is the 

273
00:12:45,160 --> 00:12:48,480
most like ridiculous argument, 
normally every other argument. 

274
00:12:48,480 --> 00:12:50,800
The MVP comes from like, oh, 
like, I'm sorry. 

275
00:12:51,680 --> 00:12:54,720
All decides to give the Panthers
a home playoff game, so we can't

276
00:12:54,720 --> 00:12:56,680
give Stafford the why? 
Don't we give it to Dak? 

277
00:12:57,000 --> 00:12:59,560
Why don't we give it to Dak Dak?
They won 12 games. 

278
00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:01,320
They won 12 games. 
They didn't. 

279
00:13:03,280 --> 00:13:05,480
Make the playoffs. 
Dak had a great year. 

280
00:13:05,480 --> 00:13:08,360
Let's give it to Dak. 
What this is a, this is a what? 

281
00:13:08,360 --> 00:13:11,720
A start to 2026. 
Well, I'm excited to be in such 

282
00:13:11,720 --> 00:13:13,400
company here. 
And Jacob, you are too. 

283
00:13:13,400 --> 00:13:15,440
The Rams got anointed as the 
best team. 

284
00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:17,440
They're great in DVOA and stuff 
and like. 

285
00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:19,760
I was going to say they they 
got, they didn't get anointed. 

286
00:13:19,760 --> 00:13:21,240
They are the best. 
They are number. 

287
00:13:21,360 --> 00:13:23,080
They're number. 
Are they great? 

288
00:13:23,120 --> 00:13:25,280
So they play, so they they have 
a buy this week then. 

289
00:13:25,880 --> 00:13:28,000
Are they favored In the Super 
Bowl Against New England? 

290
00:13:28,120 --> 00:13:31,520
Yes, they would be favored. 
In the Super Bowl against New 

291
00:13:31,520 --> 00:13:33,240
England, No, they would be 
favored. 

292
00:13:33,240 --> 00:13:34,440
They would. 
You know, you're right. 

293
00:13:34,440 --> 00:13:35,240
They would be. 
They would be. 

294
00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:39,000
Because we're all friends. 
And keep in mind, keep in mind 

295
00:13:39,000 --> 00:13:40,240
team. 
They're just the quarterbacks. 

296
00:13:40,640 --> 00:13:42,000
They're just may, man. 
They're may. 

297
00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:50,160
The whole team's may OK. 
Well, rousing start the the 

298
00:13:50,160 --> 00:13:51,200
player what if? 
Chardonnay. 

299
00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:53,360
What if Chardonnay never 
recovered that fumble in the end

300
00:13:53,360 --> 00:13:54,360
zone then? 
Haven't noted that. 

301
00:13:55,760 --> 00:13:58,360
Oh, sorry, what? 
Well if Charbonnay never 

302
00:13:58,360 --> 00:14:02,560
randomly recovers that two point
conversion in the end zone after

303
00:14:02,560 --> 00:14:04,680
the whistle, then the Rams are 
the one seed. 

304
00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,240
Yeah, and if Stafford doesn't 
meltdown against the Falcons, 

305
00:14:08,240 --> 00:14:09,440
they might be the one seed, too.
Oh my God. 

306
00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,000
Well, I think we, we were, we 
were happy. 

307
00:14:12,880 --> 00:14:14,640
We were happy to see that 
meltdown against the. 

308
00:14:14,680 --> 00:14:15,920
Falcons. 
A lot of the people on this 

309
00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:20,200
program had May as the highest 
owed quarterback in FFPC Playoff

310
00:14:20,200 --> 00:14:22,080
Challenge ownership yesterday, 
and it wasn't Pat. 

311
00:14:26,640 --> 00:14:28,880
So Jacob, you mentioned, of 
course everybody is saying it 

312
00:14:28,880 --> 00:14:30,440
like you said. 
That's because I'm trying to 

313
00:14:30,440 --> 00:14:32,080
stay objective, Jacob. 
That's me. 

314
00:14:32,080 --> 00:14:34,360
That's me not doing the. 
Well, you sound very objective 

315
00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:35,840
this morning. 
Yeah, really. 

316
00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:37,600
Playoffs. 
I'm so tired. 

317
00:14:40,920 --> 00:14:43,800
You know what, maybe we should 
just give a home to proactively 

318
00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:47,080
the MVP because the chief it's. 
Such a weak argument that's not 

319
00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:50,040
sleepy weak past defenses. 
And if you want to, if you want 

320
00:14:50,040 --> 00:14:52,560
to go to the weak schedule 
arguments, let's talk about 

321
00:14:52,840 --> 00:14:54,160
who's the two season, who's the 
five? 

322
00:14:54,160 --> 00:14:57,520
Like if you just want to do it 
on the merit of the stats may 

323
00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:00,440
blow Stafford away. 
So you have to go to the stupid 

324
00:15:00,440 --> 00:15:03,680
arguments of like, well, 
actually the offenses they faced

325
00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:05,520
were very weak. 
Who gives a shit? 

326
00:15:05,800 --> 00:15:08,520
I don't care. 
Right to the mocking voice. 

327
00:15:08,520 --> 00:15:10,520
It's getting worse. 
It's getting worse. 

328
00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:13,680
That is not sleeping. 
I can't get my question in. 

329
00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:15,800
Don't wake me up at 7:00 if you 
don't want me to yell, OK? 

330
00:15:15,800 --> 00:15:16,960
Well, what? 
Are my idea. 

331
00:15:16,960 --> 00:15:20,720
This is early for me. 
I don't yell at 10. 10 is early 

332
00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:21,120
for me. 
Let. 

333
00:15:21,560 --> 00:15:24,840
Me yell at 10. 
There's one guy here who's 

334
00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:27,280
already back from the gym. 
It's not me even though I'm in 

335
00:15:27,280 --> 00:15:31,240
the latest time zone. 
I'll try again. 

336
00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:35,640
So not only is it wide open, but
you guys are probably drafting 

337
00:15:36,720 --> 00:15:39,880
underdog teams with Baltimore 
and Tampa Bay mixed in. 

338
00:15:39,880 --> 00:15:43,520
And even those teams were a 
little bit more sexy for builds.

339
00:15:43,520 --> 00:15:45,320
And now they're out. 
We were stuck with Pittsburgh 

340
00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:47,040
and Carolina, to put it that 
way. 

341
00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:51,880
So what, Jacob, like what, what 
are you seeing is it, does that 

342
00:15:51,880 --> 00:15:54,280
make it easier maybe because 
those are easier fades? 

343
00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:55,640
Or is it, you know, you have 
Baltimore? 

344
00:15:55,640 --> 00:15:57,720
Do you have Baltimore and Tampa 
teams already? 

345
00:15:59,840 --> 00:16:03,240
Honestly, like I had this 
probably the lowest volume that 

346
00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:06,320
I've been drafting in a while. 
So I don't have a ton of dead 

347
00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:07,720
stuff. 
I had, I had dabbled in some 

348
00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:11,320
Baltimore stuff that's dead now.
I hadn't been taking any Tampa 

349
00:16:11,320 --> 00:16:13,960
just because my, I think Tampa 
sucks. 

350
00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:16,520
So I I hadn't been bothering 
with Tampa Carolina. 

351
00:16:16,520 --> 00:16:18,040
I just feel like you're hoping 
for one round. 

352
00:16:18,040 --> 00:16:20,840
But I, I thought Baltimore had 
like some chance and there was 

353
00:16:20,840 --> 00:16:23,760
some drafts where you could take
like big dog and stuff like 

354
00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:28,920
really, really late. 
So yeah, it's we'll, we'll see 

355
00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:30,440
how it goes. 
I mean, this is this has been 

356
00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:33,120
the craziest year, whether we're
talking underdog, whether we're 

357
00:16:33,120 --> 00:16:36,640
talking any of these contests 
like where there just isn't 

358
00:16:36,640 --> 00:16:41,680
really that massively 
prohibitive favorite team. 

359
00:16:41,720 --> 00:16:44,000
Where like every other year it 
feels like there's like a team 

360
00:16:44,000 --> 00:16:46,960
where you know, you're picking 
at the turn and you're getting 

361
00:16:46,960 --> 00:16:50,920
the 3rd or the 4th player from 
the 49ers a couple years ago or 

362
00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,240
the Chiefs one year. 
Whereas whereas this year you, 

363
00:16:53,240 --> 00:16:55,640
you really do get to choose your
own adventure kind of wherever 

364
00:16:55,640 --> 00:16:57,720
you go. 
It's made of super fun. 

365
00:16:58,160 --> 00:17:00,480
And I think it's it's the most 
fun year I can recall doing 

366
00:17:00,480 --> 00:17:04,079
playoff contest because every 
you can make a a very realistic 

367
00:17:04,079 --> 00:17:07,200
case for basically any team in 
the AFC and you know, any team, 

368
00:17:08,119 --> 00:17:10,119
probably just the Rams, I guess 
the NFC right back. 

369
00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:14,640
What about the Rams? 
They're the only choice. 

370
00:17:15,079 --> 00:17:17,520
I I I said that you can win 
games for any theme in the AFC, 

371
00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:19,319
but the NFCI Guess it's just 
going to be the Rams. 

372
00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:22,040
Yeah, no, I mean, I think it's 
wide. 

373
00:17:22,040 --> 00:17:25,480
It's it's super wide open. 
Like obviously you can build 

374
00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:30,120
through the Rams on on the NFC 
side if you get the one seed, 

375
00:17:30,120 --> 00:17:32,160
but the Rams are tough to build 
with. 

376
00:17:32,200 --> 00:17:35,400
You know, if you don't have the 
the one seed, the one Rams in 

377
00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:36,200
the one seed. 
Ridiculous. 

378
00:17:36,560 --> 00:17:42,480
The the one O 1 you can build 
with the Rams but I mean. 

379
00:17:43,760 --> 00:17:47,000
Are we, are we kind of poisoned 
actually in our brain on the 

380
00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:49,640
puka projection though, thinking
like, Oh well, you can never win

381
00:17:49,640 --> 00:17:52,400
without puka, but like, couldn't
Adams in the Super Bowl just 

382
00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:55,320
like pretty easily outscore puka
just randomly? 

383
00:17:56,480 --> 00:17:59,360
I guess, but like to to to 
Jacob's point, like I don't 

384
00:17:59,360 --> 00:18:01,840
think the Rams are some, you 
know, juggernaut team that's 

385
00:18:01,840 --> 00:18:05,840
going to going to storm through 
the NFC like they they're going 

386
00:18:05,840 --> 00:18:08,800
to be playing on the road 
probably the whole way. 

387
00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:10,440
I mean, something really weird 
would need to happen for them 

388
00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:14,120
not to. 
That would be the Seahawks. 

389
00:18:14,120 --> 00:18:16,120
That would be the Niners or the 
Niners winning. 

390
00:18:16,120 --> 00:18:18,640
That would just. 
The Niners would need to win two

391
00:18:18,640 --> 00:18:21,360
games. 
Or the Packers would need to win

392
00:18:21,360 --> 00:18:23,440
two games, so. 
The Niners or they either win 

393
00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:25,640
1-2 games. 
The next slide has the Super 

394
00:18:25,640 --> 00:18:28,600
Bowl, the underdog Super Bowl. 
Their defense is. 

395
00:18:28,600 --> 00:18:31,920
Right by their Super Bowl odds, 
if you want to as much as I'd. 

396
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:35,720
Likely to just just so people 
know, Jack, Zach forgot to put 

397
00:18:35,720 --> 00:18:39,880
the put me on here, but I was 
-250 So let's go to. 

398
00:18:44,880 --> 00:18:46,680
That is kind of the technical 
host, right? 

399
00:18:46,680 --> 00:18:49,440
Because all the slide work and 
everything we really have to, we

400
00:18:49,440 --> 00:18:51,280
rely on Pat. 
It's true. 

401
00:18:52,200 --> 00:18:54,320
To be able to. 
I'm an undercover host. 

402
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:57,160
I'm a secret host. 
Show the face of the operation. 

403
00:18:59,120 --> 00:19:03,520
Look at the Rams as the third 
best odds by this to win it all.

404
00:19:04,120 --> 00:19:06,560
But to Davis's puka point, what 
do you What do we think? 

405
00:19:09,520 --> 00:19:14,720
Yeah, I mean, it's not like, and
it's tough because if you go, if

406
00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:18,000
you get to Rams Super Bowls and 
you have just Adams, let's say 

407
00:19:18,680 --> 00:19:21,120
if you have Kyron and Adams, 
then yeah, maybe. 

408
00:19:21,280 --> 00:19:25,680
But you probably, you probably 
need to pick the AFC right on 

409
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:29,240
the other side. 
Well, I mean, I think that goes 

410
00:19:29,280 --> 00:19:31,760
like if you're doing the Rams 
thing without puka, you better 

411
00:19:31,760 --> 00:19:34,480
have an AFC team that is 
prepared to score a lot of 

412
00:19:34,480 --> 00:19:35,360
points. 
You better have. 

413
00:19:35,360 --> 00:19:37,960
You better have a player. 
Doesn't have to be a wide 

414
00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,440
receiver, Could be a running 
back, could be a tight end who 

415
00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:44,200
can be the highest scoring 
player in the Super. 

416
00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:45,920
Bowl Jags are kind of 
interesting. 

417
00:19:45,920 --> 00:19:49,360
You could build. 
You could build that Well, I 

418
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:53,920
mean Adams, Kyron, ETN. 
And going to Jags to to look in 

419
00:19:54,040 --> 00:19:56,480
in. 
You got to hand it to chess, 

420
00:19:56,480 --> 00:20:00,040
Liam, that territory. 
Like if the Jags just get their 

421
00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:03,360
shit blown off by the bills and 
they like can't stop James Cook 

422
00:20:03,360 --> 00:20:06,640
and Josh Allen is the Superman 
and Trevor Lawrence throws like 

423
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:10,520
a back breaking interception. 
At some point, it's not like any

424
00:20:10,520 --> 00:20:13,280
of us are going to be like, 
well, there was just no possible

425
00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:15,360
way to see that coming. 
And I say this. 

426
00:20:15,520 --> 00:20:19,240
I say this as someone who is 
drafting the shit out of the 

427
00:20:19,240 --> 00:20:21,920
Jags, but I'm acknowledging that
it's very thin. 

428
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:25,560
Well, the it's not like the Jag.
I think that game is like a 5050

429
00:20:25,560 --> 00:20:29,480
game and it's just that the, 
there's certain people named 

430
00:20:29,480 --> 00:20:33,280
Liam who are acting like the 
like it's like Rams Panthers, 

431
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:36,840
where where it's like it's just 
like this is just a foregone 

432
00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,400
conclusion. 
Like the Bills are in the second

433
00:20:39,400 --> 00:20:41,240
round. 
It would be a catastrophic. 

434
00:20:41,240 --> 00:20:43,400
I, I wouldn't be surprised if 
the Bills won that game. 

435
00:20:43,400 --> 00:20:45,440
Of course not. 
I might even 1 1/2. 

436
00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:47,880
Yeah. 
But yeah, I mean it, it wasn't 

437
00:20:47,880 --> 00:20:49,120
happening. 
I think it's pretty accurate. 

438
00:20:49,120 --> 00:20:51,080
It could go either. 
Way the Jags might shoot 

439
00:20:51,080 --> 00:20:53,240
themselves in the foot a little 
bit with the potent offense, 

440
00:20:53,240 --> 00:20:55,080
because the thing with the Bills
is. 

441
00:20:55,080 --> 00:20:59,000
So this is such a good point. 
They've lost like, OK, so they 

442
00:20:59,000 --> 00:21:02,720
lost 23 to 20 to the Patriots. 
You only put up 20 points on the

443
00:21:02,720 --> 00:21:05,160
Patriots. 
They lost 24 to 14 to the 

444
00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:08,840
Falcons. 
They lost 30 to 13 to the 

445
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,560
Dolphins, which is weird, but 
weird stuff does happen. 

446
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:13,440
And then they lost 23 to 19 to 
the Texans. 

447
00:21:13,440 --> 00:21:17,760
So if you score like 25 points, 
bills, you you only have one 

448
00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:20,000
loss this year. 
Oh, they also lost 13 to 12 to 

449
00:21:20,000 --> 00:21:22,600
this to the Eagles. 
Their their wins. 

450
00:21:22,600 --> 00:21:24,240
They're normally like putting up
a bunch of points. 

451
00:21:24,240 --> 00:21:27,560
And if if you if you watch the 
games, it's like the bucks game 

452
00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:30,080
would be an example where the 
the bucks are like pushing the 

453
00:21:30,080 --> 00:21:33,000
crap out of the bills. 
The bills finally like unlock 

454
00:21:33,000 --> 00:21:35,720
that level where Josh Allen's in
super Superman mode. 

455
00:21:36,040 --> 00:21:38,520
They put up 44 points when 4432 
like. 

456
00:21:40,360 --> 00:21:42,280
You do not pass game very 
similar pass. 

457
00:21:42,360 --> 00:21:44,280
Game Second pass. 
Game Bills have to try. 

458
00:21:44,640 --> 00:21:48,120
Yeah, 3531 they they yeah, the 
Bills. 

459
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:49,600
The Bills looked awesome in that
game. 

460
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:53,520
They beat the Bengals the week 
before, scored 39 points there 

461
00:21:53,960 --> 00:21:55,800
that was a that was a shootout 
like look if. 

462
00:21:55,960 --> 00:21:58,080
You I don't, I don't trust the 
Bills. 

463
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,760
I I don't trust their offense. 
I don't think Cook is that 

464
00:22:01,760 --> 00:22:04,240
special. 
The the Jaguars do not give up 

465
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:05,800
yards on the ground unless 
Allen. 

466
00:22:06,040 --> 00:22:06,880
Doesn't. 
They don't. 

467
00:22:06,920 --> 00:22:08,200
I don't. 
Pass, they got it. 

468
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:11,440
I actually trusting mode. 
I trust all these people. 

469
00:22:11,440 --> 00:22:13,480
I trust James Cook, I trust Josh
Allen. 

470
00:22:13,480 --> 00:22:16,520
I actually think the defense in 
the postseason, like they're the

471
00:22:16,520 --> 00:22:19,480
fact that they can't stop the 
run just doesn't matter near as 

472
00:22:19,480 --> 00:22:21,360
much. 
The person that I do not trust 

473
00:22:21,360 --> 00:22:23,960
is Joe Brady. 
Joe Brady is waiting to to get a

474
00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:25,560
little bit of momentum on 
offense. 

475
00:22:25,560 --> 00:22:27,920
You know, it's the third quarter
and he's like, you know what I'm

476
00:22:27,920 --> 00:22:31,080
going to do end around Khalil 
Shakur. 

477
00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:33,160
Khalil Shakur flips it to Tyrell
Shavers. 

478
00:22:33,160 --> 00:22:38,040
Shavers flips it back to Allen 
for a seam route to Dawson Knox.

479
00:22:38,520 --> 00:22:40,040
That's like, that is what Joe 
Brady. 

480
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:44,440
Is for 16 yards. 
Yeah, Joe, Joe Brady, I mean, 

481
00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,040
Shoaib, I assume you were in a 
similar position to me where 

482
00:22:47,040 --> 00:22:49,480
like Matt Maggie is getting head
coaching interviews right now. 

483
00:22:49,760 --> 00:22:54,040
I assume you were like, come on,
Joe Brady, you can do it, buddy.

484
00:22:54,040 --> 00:22:57,160
Titans called Joe Brady. 
Browns called Joe. 

485
00:22:57,240 --> 00:22:59,040
Like I assume you were just like
you you. 

486
00:22:59,120 --> 00:23:01,920
You would drive Joe Brady in the
airport nearly as much anymore. 

487
00:23:01,920 --> 00:23:04,720
Hey, Like, last year he was like
he was turning teams away. 

488
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:08,640
And this year, it seems like. 
Well, early in the year he was 

489
00:23:09,200 --> 00:23:12,520
and I've and I've heard some 
tape guys like gush over what 

490
00:23:12,520 --> 00:23:14,360
he's doing in. 
Terms of some guys still love 

491
00:23:14,360 --> 00:23:15,480
him, I don't care, they're 
wrong. 

492
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:19,600
They're completely wrong, but 
they but he's probably doing the

493
00:23:19,880 --> 00:23:21,720
you know, I think they're wrong 
in the big picture. 

494
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:23,640
I'm sure he's doing some 
interesting stuff with heavy 

495
00:23:23,640 --> 00:23:29,400
personnel or whatever, but like 
it's it's such a terrible use of

496
00:23:29,480 --> 00:23:33,880
of Josh Allen like to build this
offense around this run game. 

497
00:23:34,040 --> 00:23:37,320
I'm not begging for him to 
leave, but they just, it's all 

498
00:23:37,360 --> 00:23:39,400
intentional. 
They don't have the receivers. 

499
00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:42,760
They made that decision. 
They've they've been, you know, 

500
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:45,320
difficult about it. 
They've dabbled on the waiver 

501
00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:49,000
wire plenty of times. 
Nicole Hartman was somebody that

502
00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,720
they talked about as important 
and then he was cut and he's on 

503
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,160
the practice squad and you had 
MVS and you had Elijah Moore and

504
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:55,720
all these names. 
I just don't. 

505
00:23:56,360 --> 00:23:59,680
Kincaid might end up being, you 
know, more about Liam, I guess. 

506
00:23:59,840 --> 00:24:02,800
Kincaid might end up being might
end up being the closest thing 

507
00:24:02,800 --> 00:24:05,320
to a skeleton key in their pass 
offense. 

508
00:24:05,320 --> 00:24:07,400
I think it's a good sign. 
He played against The Jets. 

509
00:24:07,400 --> 00:24:09,840
I mean 10 snaps maybe, but he 
was active. 

510
00:24:10,200 --> 00:24:12,760
Do you think he's not playing 
like all season? 

511
00:24:12,760 --> 00:24:16,600
I think he's maybe peaked at 
like 55% round participation. 

512
00:24:16,840 --> 00:24:18,680
He's not really involved in the 
run game. 

513
00:24:18,680 --> 00:24:20,800
So, you know, I'm sure his snap 
shares are even lower. 

514
00:24:20,800 --> 00:24:24,640
And do you think that's him 
being injured all year and them 

515
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:26,440
trying to nurse him through the 
season? 

516
00:24:26,440 --> 00:24:30,840
Or is that like because they 
like Jackson Hawes and Dawson 

517
00:24:30,840 --> 00:24:34,680
Knox more in the run game? 
I think it's 2/3 their identity 

518
00:24:34,920 --> 00:24:38,360
that point and then 1/3. 
He also has been pretty brittle.

519
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:41,440
But I think they're going into 
this game and you know, we're 

520
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:42,880
talking about building for a 
tournament. 

521
00:24:42,880 --> 00:24:44,840
This is just one game. 
It's the kind of game if the 

522
00:24:44,840 --> 00:24:47,840
Bills didn't have the the 
reputation or Allen or these 

523
00:24:47,840 --> 00:24:50,760
pieces where, you know, like 
Jacob, you've got a one point 

524
00:24:50,760 --> 00:24:54,040
favorite that would play four 
games in a tournament, that 

525
00:24:54,040 --> 00:24:57,200
might be a better bet because 
they're not even the favorites 

526
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:00,320
that the Patriots or the Texans 
are this week. 

527
00:25:00,320 --> 00:25:03,400
So I mean, the the Bills should 
be pretty popular, I would think

528
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:06,400
in these at least. 
But yeah, I I really don't trust

529
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:08,120
their offense. 
And defensively, there's always 

530
00:25:08,120 --> 00:25:10,160
injuries. 
You know, Max Hairston, their 

531
00:25:10,160 --> 00:25:13,880
first round pick, plays late 
against The Jets because it's 

532
00:25:13,880 --> 00:25:16,080
kind of I'll keep this short 
because it's not so much a 

533
00:25:16,080 --> 00:25:18,040
fantasy point. 
But remember the the Bills 

534
00:25:18,040 --> 00:25:21,480
signed Darius Slay in the middle
of the season after he was cut 

535
00:25:21,520 --> 00:25:23,800
by Pittsburgh. 
And to make room for him, they 

536
00:25:23,800 --> 00:25:26,560
cut a a depth DB named Jamarcus 
Ingram. 

537
00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:29,000
Then Slay says, I'm not going to
Buffalo. 

538
00:25:29,280 --> 00:25:32,040
And maybe it was Atlanta who 
claimed Ingram. 

539
00:25:32,040 --> 00:25:34,080
So they're kind of short a guy 
ever since then. 

540
00:25:34,240 --> 00:25:37,320
And now they're in this game 
where they're winning by 100 and

541
00:25:37,320 --> 00:25:39,520
Hairston is on the field and he 
gets hurt. 

542
00:25:39,520 --> 00:25:41,680
He's already been ruled out for 
this game against Jacksonville, 

543
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:45,080
their first round pick. 
So not not great. 

544
00:25:45,080 --> 00:25:47,960
I mean, there's just it's been a
a trying year for them. 

545
00:25:47,960 --> 00:25:52,480
They won 12 games again. 
Listen, I am rooting against the

546
00:25:52,480 --> 00:25:55,080
Bills and I hope they get beat 
very, very badly. 

547
00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:57,600
But it is out of love for the 
Bills organization ultimately 

548
00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:00,080
because I want I want them. 
I want this whole coaching staff

549
00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,440
gone. 
This is this is your chance. 

550
00:26:02,880 --> 00:26:06,480
They you're never cleaning house
with Josh Allen unless you get 

551
00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:09,120
embarrassed by Trevor Lawrence 
on the road in the playoffs, 

552
00:26:09,120 --> 00:26:09,800
right? 
That's how. 

553
00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:11,560
That's how maybe there's change,
do you think? 

554
00:26:11,800 --> 00:26:12,960
That's. 
There's a chance I. 

555
00:26:13,120 --> 00:26:16,480
Think it would have to be bad. 
I think it would have to be a 

556
00:26:16,480 --> 00:26:18,640
bad a bad loss this week and 
that's. 

557
00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:21,000
Just the whole coaching staff. 
They need to get rid of the GM 

558
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:21,720
too. 
The one the. 

559
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:24,840
GMs got to go too, yeah? 
Like the one who yells at fans 

560
00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:26,400
about how good wide receivers 
are. 

561
00:26:26,840 --> 00:26:28,120
Yeah. 
Like we got to get well, 

562
00:26:28,320 --> 00:26:31,680
everybody. 
I would say McDermott at 

563
00:26:31,680 --> 00:26:35,160
different times, including 
yesterday, has not so subtly 

564
00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:38,520
hinted at some frustration with.
Maybe it's the Ingram point. 

565
00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:42,120
He talked up Jacoby Myers 
yesterday when asked about the 

566
00:26:42,120 --> 00:26:43,800
Jaguars. 
And it sounded a little bit like

567
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:47,200
we could have had him, you know,
So I, I think there might be 

568
00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:48,920
some tension, maybe for the 
first time. 

569
00:26:50,160 --> 00:26:53,640
The this is actually we haven't 
talked about in a while, but 

570
00:26:53,640 --> 00:26:56,720
this is like why no one talks 
about maybe the running game is 

571
00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:58,560
like this because Josh loves 
doing dumb things. 

572
00:26:58,720 --> 00:27:00,600
I mean, that's exactly why they 
got to this place. 

573
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:04,480
But this is a this is a cowardly
way to play football with Josh 

574
00:27:04,480 --> 00:27:05,760
Allen. 
Like you're first of all, he's 

575
00:27:05,960 --> 00:27:08,840
he's cut way down on the 
interceptions and second of all,

576
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:09,960
like. 
Who? 

577
00:27:10,440 --> 00:27:11,800
You care like he this dude 
should have. 

578
00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:14,160
If anyone has a license to do 
some dumb things, it should be 

579
00:27:14,160 --> 00:27:16,200
Josh Allen. 
He's he's the best. 

580
00:27:16,200 --> 00:27:19,120
I mean, there should be no 
argument about the MVP because 

581
00:27:19,120 --> 00:27:20,680
the best quarterback in the 
league is Josh Allen. 

582
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:22,680
You know who else has he should 
win again. 

583
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:26,440
Like Steph Curry has always had 
a very high turnover rate. 

584
00:27:26,480 --> 00:27:28,520
Like you don't you don't care. 
Like he throws some crazy 

585
00:27:28,520 --> 00:27:30,160
passes. 
You go out of bounds. 

586
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:32,400
Like it's like you just you, you
just live with it. 

587
00:27:32,400 --> 00:27:35,640
Like if you have the the guy 
who's extremely special, like, 

588
00:27:36,600 --> 00:27:40,200
yeah, like I I get that he 
probably has thrown more tilting

589
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,040
interceptions than like most of 
the other mega elite Hall of 

590
00:27:43,040 --> 00:27:47,040
Fame quarterbacks, I guess, but 
like, it's super worth it. 

591
00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:48,920
It's like it's. 
So worth it. 

592
00:27:49,080 --> 00:27:50,920
Like it's way worth it. 
Yeah. 

593
00:27:50,920 --> 00:27:53,280
Like he. 
So I I've never understood 

594
00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:56,160
getting tilted over that. 
He's been great in the playoffs 

595
00:27:56,160 --> 00:27:57,880
too, over the years. 
Yeah, isn't. 

596
00:27:58,120 --> 00:28:00,040
It he's been awesome. 100% he 
has it. 

597
00:28:00,840 --> 00:28:01,600
Let. 
Me. 

598
00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:04,160
Let me tell you, it's like. 
They're literally holding him 

599
00:28:04,160 --> 00:28:08,200
back like he he could have had a
much stronger season if they if 

600
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:11,640
they just featured him. 
It's crazy. 

601
00:28:12,480 --> 00:28:16,520
Yeah, I, I, I'd like to, I'd 
like to pause at something here,

602
00:28:16,840 --> 00:28:22,360
which is that the, the best team
to be drafting right now in the 

603
00:28:23,880 --> 00:28:26,400
whatever form of playoff stuff 
you're doing. 

604
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:29,280
I mean, it's just simply the 
Philadelphia Eagles, right? 

605
00:28:30,160 --> 00:28:32,240
So it's just like, it's just 
like the Eagles got to rest 

606
00:28:32,240 --> 00:28:34,200
their starters last week. 
They're probably going to get 

607
00:28:34,440 --> 00:28:37,000
Lane Johnson back. 
You know, exactly who's getting 

608
00:28:37,000 --> 00:28:39,040
the ball. 
Five guys get the ball. 

609
00:28:39,280 --> 00:28:42,040
Everyone else is purely 
complimentary. 

610
00:28:42,040 --> 00:28:44,960
I mean, maybe you could take 
Dotson or Bixby with your final 

611
00:28:44,960 --> 00:28:50,160
pick in these drafts or 
whatever, but you can with a 

612
00:28:50,160 --> 00:28:53,360
pretty reliable consistency get 
Barkley, A.J. 

613
00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:55,720
Brown, Hertz, Devonta and 
Goddard. 

614
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,040
You can build an AFC stuff on 
top of that. 

615
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:01,120
You could do, you can take Woody
Marks and Jayden Higgins and 

616
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:06,560
Parker Washington and Bretton, 
Strange and Ramondre sometimes 

617
00:29:06,560 --> 00:29:10,560
in in that group. 
And I know we all like all 

618
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,280
famously, Jalen Hurd's not a top
25 quarterback. 

619
00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:16,280
I mean, this is a team to me. 
You know what you know. 

620
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:19,080
What happens that he complete in
that game against the Bills in 

621
00:29:19,080 --> 00:29:21,760
the second-half? 
The answer's one. 

622
00:29:22,240 --> 00:29:23,560
Didn't they? 
Didn't they just that win over 

623
00:29:23,560 --> 00:29:24,680
the Bills? 
Is that what do you mean? 

624
00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:26,920
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

625
00:29:27,000 --> 00:29:29,280
Oh, and Jalen Hurst was was the 
guy who led them to that win. 

626
00:29:29,280 --> 00:29:31,040
That was really a Jalen. 
I mean, I don't think you get, I

627
00:29:31,040 --> 00:29:32,360
don't think you get. 
I don't. 

628
00:29:32,360 --> 00:29:33,840
I don't believe I would have to 
check. 

629
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:37,480
I don't think you get fucking 
style points in playoff best 

630
00:29:37,480 --> 00:29:38,160
ball. 
I don't. 

631
00:29:38,240 --> 00:29:40,520
I don't. 
I got to do the whole I hope. 

632
00:29:40,600 --> 00:29:43,080
It's our whole game, might as 
well be called style points. 

633
00:29:43,440 --> 00:29:46,080
What are you talking about? 
I we're. 

634
00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:48,280
Great scoring last call this 
year we did that. 

635
00:29:48,280 --> 00:29:50,200
I hold two thoughts in my head 
at the same time. 

636
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:54,440
I think Jalen Hurts is a 
deplorable quarterback and I 

637
00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:58,120
also draft more of the Eagles 
than any other team in playoff 

638
00:29:58,120 --> 00:30:01,000
basketball contest. 
Yeah, because yeah. 

639
00:30:01,000 --> 00:30:04,000
I mean, just the Jalen Hurts 
thing, people making fun of me 

640
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:08,600
for using QB wins on Hertz now, 
which is fair, but it is funny 

641
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:11,680
that the take on Hertz is so 
outrageous. 

642
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:16,280
I mean, the one thing with Hertz
is he probably runs more in the 

643
00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:18,480
playoffs. 
I think there's like probably an

644
00:30:18,480 --> 00:30:20,840
extra gear to what he could be 
doing both his. 

645
00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:24,360
Yeah, and he had a week off for 
like his, his 'cause he's had 

646
00:30:24,360 --> 00:30:26,400
like a wonky knee for like the 
last two years. 

647
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:29,960
So he's had a week. 
He he of the quarterbacks 

648
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,160
playing in round one. 
Is he? 

649
00:30:33,160 --> 00:30:37,160
I guess Josh got a week off. 
Herbert got a week off. 

650
00:30:38,000 --> 00:30:42,040
Who else? 
That's it, right? 

651
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:45,760
Oh, Oh well, I guess his 
opponent, so never mind. 

652
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,960
This is actually a bad point 
because the Packers took the 

653
00:30:47,960 --> 00:30:49,840
week off, too. 
That's right. 

654
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:51,720
Yeah. 
But the Packers, they're not 

655
00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:52,960
playing the Packers. 
They're playing the 40. 

656
00:30:52,960 --> 00:30:56,280
Niners, right, But the, the and 
the 49ers did not get the week 

657
00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,360
off. 
And that's the crucial thing for

658
00:30:58,360 --> 00:31:02,640
the Eagles is that they they 
think they lucked out schedule 

659
00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:04,040
wise. 
They get the Niners this week, 

660
00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:07,120
which is scary ish, but not 
really. 

661
00:31:07,120 --> 00:31:10,440
That's the writing for the 
Eagles, because to me, the 

662
00:31:10,440 --> 00:31:12,680
scarier team for the Eagles 
team, the good defense because 

663
00:31:12,680 --> 00:31:15,040
their offense is pretty wonky, 
but like they're they're going 

664
00:31:15,040 --> 00:31:16,880
to their office is going to be 
fine against the 49ers. 

665
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:20,240
They can do their they can do 
their thing that is limited. 

666
00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:22,640
I don't think the 49ers have 
anything to do to stop them. 

667
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:24,960
They've had even more linebacker
injuries last week. 

668
00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:27,760
I like them in that game. 
And then they get probably the 

669
00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:33,720
Bears, which is a really, I 
mean, I know they lost the bears

670
00:31:33,720 --> 00:31:36,080
already this year, so they 
certainly could again, but like.

671
00:31:36,120 --> 00:31:37,800
Oh man, we are. 
We are so. 

672
00:31:38,920 --> 00:31:41,720
Close to some Caleb Williams 
apologies on this program. 

673
00:31:41,760 --> 00:31:43,800
I just like I can. 
I can just taste it. 

674
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:47,600
But I would I would that 4th. 
Quarter when they're when 

675
00:31:47,600 --> 00:31:50,160
they're downtown in the 4th at 
home to the Packers, you better 

676
00:31:50,160 --> 00:31:51,840
hope that fourth quarter goes 
your way. 

677
00:31:52,840 --> 00:31:56,160
But yeah, I think avoiding, 
avoiding the Rams, avoiding the 

678
00:31:56,160 --> 00:31:59,960
Seahawks, I think it's a pretty,
pretty nice draw for their for 

679
00:31:59,960 --> 00:32:02,440
the Philadelphia Eagles to get 
at least to the third round. 

680
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:05,240
And then I mean, even if even if
the Packers win, they get the 

681
00:32:05,240 --> 00:32:06,280
Rams. 
I mean, come on. 

682
00:32:07,160 --> 00:32:09,640
Yeah, yeah, here we go again. 
And as David said. 

683
00:32:09,640 --> 00:32:12,800
And, and, and crucially for the 
Philadelphia Eagles, if they do 

684
00:32:12,800 --> 00:32:15,040
get the Rams, they get them in 
the third round and they get 

685
00:32:15,040 --> 00:32:17,880
them at home. 
And like, it could be horrible 

686
00:32:17,880 --> 00:32:19,760
weather in that game, right? 
And last year? 

687
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:21,640
Well, they might. 
They might face them on the 

688
00:32:21,640 --> 00:32:23,880
second rounds. 
I mean, for real, I think 

689
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:25,600
Packers are very live. 
That's right. 

690
00:32:25,640 --> 00:32:28,800
Yeah, they might. 
Yeah, Davis made the point the 

691
00:32:29,040 --> 00:32:31,200
the fundamental point of 
Philadelphia is there's no 

692
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:33,000
mystery about who's getting the 
ball. 

693
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:36,120
A lot of these teams, you could 
really just get to the FFPC, you

694
00:32:36,120 --> 00:32:38,800
go all over the place, 
Jacksonville, Houston, teams 

695
00:32:38,800 --> 00:32:39,400
like that. 
Not. 

696
00:32:39,400 --> 00:32:41,440
Philly. 
I have some dead Philly teams 

697
00:32:41,440 --> 00:32:45,240
though, because someone in the 
in the chat earlier was making 

698
00:32:45,240 --> 00:32:48,360
the point that like, yes, it's 
kind of concentrated, but they 

699
00:32:48,360 --> 00:32:51,600
don't score as many fancy points
as they probably should. 

700
00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:55,440
They they, I mean. 
Not not as a five man, not as a 

701
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:58,800
five man unit, but one of them 
in a given game will be. 

702
00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:00,360
One of them. 
Yeah. 

703
00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:03,080
But when you need one of six, 
you need to get out of a putt. 

704
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:04,520
So I've got you. 
You need to draft. 

705
00:33:04,520 --> 00:33:07,840
Well, you need to draft well, 
that's well, I think it's why 

706
00:33:07,840 --> 00:33:10,320
you take so many Eagles teams is
you should be taking a lot of 

707
00:33:10,320 --> 00:33:13,560
Eagles teams and then taking 
them with a like a real variety 

708
00:33:14,080 --> 00:33:17,440
of of take them, take them with 
Packers, take them with bears, 

709
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:20,080
take them with Chargers, take 
them with like even do the 

710
00:33:20,080 --> 00:33:23,000
Steelers just like because I 
think advancing those five man, 

711
00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:29,480
those five man units are so big.
As much as the Eagles normally 

712
00:33:29,560 --> 00:33:34,680
don't exactly scream incredible 
fantasy offense, they would get 

713
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:38,760
probably the two worst defenses 
or or possibly the chat has 

714
00:33:38,760 --> 00:33:40,640
reminded me of the. 
Packers, I have this plan I want

715
00:33:40,680 --> 00:33:45,240
to take. 
The Yeah, the The chat has 

716
00:33:45,640 --> 00:33:48,160
reminded me that the Packers are
apparently favored against the 

717
00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:49,840
Bears. 
That seems crazy to me. 

718
00:33:49,840 --> 00:33:52,160
They were like they're. 
Now what's really with? 

719
00:33:52,920 --> 00:33:53,760
No, you're right. 
You're. 

720
00:33:53,800 --> 00:33:57,000
Right, you're right, 1 1/2. 
I think the Packers are a better

721
00:33:57,000 --> 00:33:59,120
team than the Bears. 
You know, you, you know, you 

722
00:33:59,120 --> 00:34:00,600
know. 
Oh, is Caleb Williams an 

723
00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:02,760
apology? 
Davis Maddock is is the sports 

724
00:34:02,760 --> 00:34:07,680
book community because I Caleb 
Williams believer I'm betting on

725
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:10,400
the Bears this weekend. 
So, you know, maybe that's. 

726
00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:12,960
Just because that's just because
you, it's just because you hate 

727
00:34:12,960 --> 00:34:15,639
the Packers. 
That's. 

728
00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:20,239
Neither here nor there, but I 
think that the as much as you 

729
00:34:20,239 --> 00:34:22,080
don't like the Eagles offense, 
as much as I don't like the 

730
00:34:22,080 --> 00:34:24,880
Eagles offense. 
In fact they get 49ers defense 

731
00:34:25,360 --> 00:34:27,560
and then quite plausibly Bears 
defense. 

732
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:30,920
You can't ask for a better two 
defenses to play in the in the 

733
00:34:30,920 --> 00:34:34,719
playoffs in terms of of ability 
for a mid offense to score a 

734
00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:37,159
bunch of points than than 49ers 
Bears. 

735
00:34:38,600 --> 00:34:42,679
What's happening with the one 
seeds in these drafts I. 

736
00:34:45,199 --> 00:34:48,040
Mean the Broncos are like, no, 
they're like radioactive. 

737
00:34:48,280 --> 00:34:50,040
The Broncos system, yeah, No one
believes in them. 

738
00:34:50,080 --> 00:34:51,560
They are the No one believes in 
this team. 

739
00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:53,320
No one believes in the Denver 
Broncos. 

740
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:58,280
I mean, I think an interesting 
thing is that Kenneth Walker 

741
00:34:58,280 --> 00:35:02,320
goes ahead of sharps every time.
And there's, I mean, I don't 

742
00:35:02,320 --> 00:35:04,800
know, I have to go look it up. 
Who scored more fantasy points 

743
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:06,720
in the regular season? 
I I do not know the answer. 

744
00:35:06,720 --> 00:35:10,560
To this it was Walker, but it 
was by like .04 or something 

745
00:35:10,560 --> 00:35:12,240
like that. 
Like it was like they were like,

746
00:35:12,320 --> 00:35:14,040
right? 
It was a rounding error. 

747
00:35:16,360 --> 00:35:20,240
Yeah, yeah. 
I I mean, and frankly, they are 

748
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:24,960
the the Broncos and the Seahawks
are the exact profile of teams 

749
00:35:24,960 --> 00:35:29,440
that one, we are conditioned to 
not believe in and two, have 

750
00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:33,960
these historic flame outs in the
post season, right, where the 

751
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:40,040
quarterback play is fine, but 
it's all based on a defense. 

752
00:35:40,040 --> 00:35:42,800
And I mean, we are all smart 
enough about football to know 

753
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:45,480
that, yeah, defenses win 
championships and it's nice to 

754
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:48,080
have a good defense, but 
sometimes quarterbacks and 

755
00:35:48,080 --> 00:35:51,680
opposing offenses just can just 
put you in a position where it's

756
00:35:51,680 --> 00:35:55,120
not up to you, you know, like. 
You know. 

757
00:35:55,320 --> 00:35:59,160
And Nix, Nix or Darnold have to 
make a play, actually, Gretsch 

758
00:35:59,160 --> 00:35:59,720
wrote. 
Really. 

759
00:35:59,720 --> 00:36:02,440
I'm actually really fucking 
tilted at Ben Gretsch, so I I 

760
00:36:02,440 --> 00:36:03,920
shouldn't even be complimenting 
him right now. 

761
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:08,880
But he wrote, he wrote a really,
we can get into why I'm tilted, 

762
00:36:08,880 --> 00:36:12,720
congratulator, But he wrote this
really good explanation of why 

763
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:17,160
specifically like 4 quarterbacks
like Darnold and Nicks that EPA 

764
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:21,920
is not the right way to view 
them because they spend so many 

765
00:36:21,920 --> 00:36:25,720
of their plays specifically 
trying to keep the ball out of 

766
00:36:25,720 --> 00:36:28,960
the hands of their quarterback. 
Like the you will see it'll. 

767
00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:31,000
Be you can account for this by 
using EPA per game. 

768
00:36:31,120 --> 00:36:36,480
That's why I use EPA per game. 
Not really, Not really, because 

769
00:36:37,280 --> 00:36:40,400
only to a point, because 
basically what will happen is 

770
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:43,720
many of the plays where, and 
this was Gretch's example, 

771
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:46,840
Mahomes, Andy Reid would go, all
right, Pat, well, we're in a 

772
00:36:46,840 --> 00:36:49,160
hole and I trust you. 
I think you can dig us out of 

773
00:36:49,160 --> 00:36:52,040
us. 
So it's second and 18 and then 

774
00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:56,160
third and 11 and I'm calling 2 
passing plays in which I expect 

775
00:36:56,160 --> 00:36:58,000
you to try and throw the ball 
past the sticks. 

776
00:36:58,280 --> 00:37:00,400
Clint Kubiak and Mike McDonald. 
But if he. 

777
00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,520
Completes those. 
Those are huge EPA gains. 

778
00:37:04,200 --> 00:37:06,000
Well, he didn't do very many 
completing of those. 

779
00:37:06,000 --> 00:37:08,800
Well, he didn't this year, but. 
That's actually how Mahomes 

780
00:37:08,800 --> 00:37:11,360
racks up a ton of EPA per game 
'cause he. 

781
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:14,560
Gets but he has put he has put 
in more situations where the 

782
00:37:14,560 --> 00:37:19,360
expectation would be to get a 
negative EPA, whereas the 

783
00:37:19,360 --> 00:37:22,640
Seahawks get in the third and 17
and they just call the half back

784
00:37:22,640 --> 00:37:24,120
draw. 
They're like, we're not even 

785
00:37:24,120 --> 00:37:27,920
going to give our quarterback a 
chance to make the mistake here.

786
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:30,360
The Broncos do the same thing. 
That's true. 

787
00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:35,920
And, and, and so people like us 
who tend to view things more 

788
00:37:35,920 --> 00:37:40,000
from a, a spreadsheet sort of 
sense actually have kind of an 

789
00:37:40,000 --> 00:37:44,400
inflated opinion of what guys 
like Darnold, guys like Nicks 

790
00:37:44,400 --> 00:37:46,760
are doing. 
This used to be this actually 

791
00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:50,760
used to be a, a Purdy thing. 
I I no longer think this applies

792
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:52,640
to him at all. 
It was a Jimmy G thing. 

793
00:37:52,920 --> 00:37:54,560
I don't think it was really ever
a Purdy thing. 

794
00:37:54,560 --> 00:37:56,680
It was really always played 
better than Jimmy G really. 

795
00:37:56,760 --> 00:37:58,720
Yeah, yeah. 
This, I guess this used to be a 

796
00:37:58,760 --> 00:38:01,280
Jimmy G thing. 
And, and frankly, I think that 

797
00:38:01,280 --> 00:38:05,680
Darnold is probably a lot like 
Jimmy G, where it's like, yeah, 

798
00:38:05,680 --> 00:38:08,080
the Seahawks could easily find 
themselves in a Super Bowl 

799
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,520
because Kubiak's a genius. 
The defense is really good. 

800
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:14,600
But if they're down 10 points in
the NFC Conference championship 

801
00:38:14,600 --> 00:38:18,360
to the Eagles, are you feeling 
really good about that spot? 

802
00:38:18,360 --> 00:38:19,520
I don't. 
I don't think you are. 

803
00:38:19,960 --> 00:38:23,200
The thing with Darnold where I 
would say he's not Jimmy G 

804
00:38:23,560 --> 00:38:28,000
really at all, is that what 
Darnold to me is, is a maniac 

805
00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:32,640
who's being kept within a very. 
Within he he's he's he's he's 

806
00:38:32,720 --> 00:38:36,640
quarterbacking with with like a 
strange jacket on. 

807
00:38:36,680 --> 00:38:38,880
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 
Like he's got, he's got the 

808
00:38:38,880 --> 00:38:42,200
straight jacket on and he's 
like, he's like, I'm chill, man.

809
00:38:42,440 --> 00:38:45,920
Just let me just Arnold is a A 
Let me be clear, Darnold is a 

810
00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,800
way greater thrower of the 
football. 

811
00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:50,880
Than a way greater throwers of 
the football. 

812
00:38:51,080 --> 00:38:55,240
Yeah, he just, I, I guess at the
end your ultimate criticism of 

813
00:38:55,240 --> 00:38:58,920
Darnold would be that he is just
either he trusts. 

814
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:02,440
Would you, would you say it's a 
he trusts his arm too much or 

815
00:39:02,480 --> 00:39:06,640
that he is just a split second 
late or, or just has problems 

816
00:39:06,640 --> 00:39:07,640
processing? 
I mean, I'm not. 

817
00:39:07,640 --> 00:39:09,640
I think he probably. 
Has problems, all the above. 

818
00:39:09,640 --> 00:39:11,600
He's not. 
He's not a great processor. 

819
00:39:11,640 --> 00:39:13,120
His arm is really good though I 
think. 

820
00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:16,120
The arm is his arm is phenomenal
like his Yeah, that's like his 

821
00:39:16,160 --> 00:39:19,880
upside is is I. 
I believe Darnold had 21 

822
00:39:19,880 --> 00:39:22,160
turnovers. 
He can panic. 

823
00:39:23,560 --> 00:39:26,880
Yeah, he panics all the time, 
but if you if you if you put me 

824
00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:31,840
down 10 as the Seahawks, I think
I'm live with Darnold in a way 

825
00:39:31,840 --> 00:39:35,120
that like I really don't. 
I mean, Nix has come back and 

826
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:36,560
everything. 
So I maybe this is unfair to 

827
00:39:36,560 --> 00:39:38,680
Nix, but I'd rather. 
Or I'd suggest that Pat use the 

828
00:39:38,680 --> 00:39:40,160
RAM game. 
I mean you could use. 

829
00:39:41,160 --> 00:39:42,520
Use. 
I'm not. 

830
00:39:42,760 --> 00:39:44,200
Actually, I can use the Rams 
game. 

831
00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:47,120
I think I feel better about the 
Broncos down 10. 

832
00:39:48,480 --> 00:39:50,440
I feel better about the Bronx. 
I see. 

833
00:39:50,440 --> 00:39:53,480
I feel better about the Broncos 
down 10 because they have more 

834
00:39:54,360 --> 00:39:57,920
guys who can like, make a play. 
The Seahawks have one guy who 

835
00:39:57,920 --> 00:40:01,640
can make a play, and it's JSN. 
Yeah, my my thing with. 

836
00:40:02,600 --> 00:40:04,480
With Denver's down 10, they 
should just end the game. 

837
00:40:05,120 --> 00:40:08,400
Is it like you, you don't, you 
don't get like double losses if 

838
00:40:08,400 --> 00:40:12,160
you, if you lose by, you know, 
20 points or whatever, if 

839
00:40:12,160 --> 00:40:15,000
you're, if you're down 10 and 
then you, you go down another 10

840
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,360
cuz Darnold throws a pick 6 like
right. 

841
00:40:17,600 --> 00:40:21,320
It's still just the one loss. 
I think that's he's more likely 

842
00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:25,480
to crater, but I also think he's
more likely to make some 

843
00:40:25,480 --> 00:40:28,480
incredible plays and win the 
game for you compared to. 

844
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:30,960
Bonus I I agree with that. 
I'm underrating Nix a little 

845
00:40:30,960 --> 00:40:33,080
bit. 
I think Nix is actually more 

846
00:40:33,400 --> 00:40:36,120
maybe not even underrating just 
I think the rap on him coming 

847
00:40:36,120 --> 00:40:37,640
out of college was just not 
correct. 

848
00:40:37,640 --> 00:40:40,480
Like the rap on him coming out 
of college was he was going to 

849
00:40:40,480 --> 00:40:43,520
be this dink and dunk artist, 
but I, I, that's how he's. 

850
00:40:43,920 --> 00:40:46,360
He's kind of like a Caleb, like 
he's trying to make plays and 

851
00:40:46,360 --> 00:40:47,480
stuff. 
Yeah. 

852
00:40:47,480 --> 00:40:49,720
And like, I don't know that I 
think he's that good, but like I

853
00:40:49,720 --> 00:40:52,760
actually think Denver and we we 
we saw this, we saw this with 

854
00:40:52,760 --> 00:40:54,800
Peyton when Russ was there too, 
actually. 

855
00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,200
But we've certainly seen in the 
last couple years with Nick, 

856
00:40:57,200 --> 00:40:59,960
especially this year, they can 
be good in comeback mode. 

857
00:41:00,200 --> 00:41:02,600
I think the biggest offense, I 
think the biggest issue that 

858
00:41:02,600 --> 00:41:06,200
Denver has offensively is that 
there's just it's like the 

859
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:08,920
opposite of the Seattle offense.
Seattle I worry about in 

860
00:41:08,920 --> 00:41:11,560
comeback mode because I think 
that for their offense, the hum,

861
00:41:11,880 --> 00:41:13,800
so much of it is built off of 
the run. 

862
00:41:14,400 --> 00:41:15,600
Yeah. 
Then they can do the play 

863
00:41:15,600 --> 00:41:17,200
action. 
They get favorable looks to 

864
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:19,280
throw. 
They get simplified looks where 

865
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:21,240
it's just one, two read, one or 
two reads. 

866
00:41:21,240 --> 00:41:22,960
The Arnold gets to use his arm 
talent to hit it. 

867
00:41:23,240 --> 00:41:25,680
And when you have to go into 
drop back mode, things get more 

868
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:30,200
cluttered with the Broncos. 
It feels like watching them. 

869
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:34,200
There's like no cohesion between
their running game and their 

870
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:36,400
pass game. 
They have this like heavy 

871
00:41:36,400 --> 00:41:39,680
personnel, like power run game 
that they do. 

872
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:42,680
But then when they want to pass,
they like spread it all out and 

873
00:41:42,680 --> 00:41:44,840
it feels like everything looks 
very different. 

874
00:41:45,320 --> 00:41:47,640
And if anything, it's like they 
get more disjointed when they're

875
00:41:47,640 --> 00:41:49,480
in these neutral game scripts 
and they're trying to keep 

876
00:41:49,480 --> 00:41:51,680
balance between run and pass and
they don't have any of the same 

877
00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:53,360
look to it. 
Whereas when they just have to 

878
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:56,040
go drop back mode, it feels like
they actually have like more 

879
00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:58,680
cohesiveness in their offense 
because then they just read it 

880
00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:01,080
out and they just go and like 
mix his arm count. 

881
00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:04,280
He can make throws. 
He's a bit of an arsonist too. 

882
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:07,360
But I, I think that they can, I,
I think that they're a little 

883
00:42:07,360 --> 00:42:10,760
bit more dangerous from behind 
than than than Your guys are 

884
00:42:10,760 --> 00:42:12,160
giving them a bit of credit. 
For. 

885
00:42:12,800 --> 00:42:14,920
I I do think they have a similar
thing to Darnold though, where 

886
00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:18,000
like Knicks has a lot of 
implosion upside. 

887
00:42:18,280 --> 00:42:20,400
Yeah. 
That that, that Darnold has, 

888
00:42:20,600 --> 00:42:23,360
which is why of these like 
really good defense, I don't 

889
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:24,760
really trust their offense 
teams. 

890
00:42:25,000 --> 00:42:29,000
The one I probably like the most
is Houston just because I I I 

891
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:32,280
don't trust their offense to win
them games, but I do trust 

892
00:42:32,280 --> 00:42:34,960
Stroud not to lose them games. 
So I feel like if their defense 

893
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:40,000
just shows up and plays great 
like he canmore traditionally 

894
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:42,800
manage the game. 
Whereas I could see a scenario 

895
00:42:42,800 --> 00:42:46,040
in which the Seattle or Broncos 
defense plays really well and 

896
00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:48,560
Darnold or Nicks just straight 
loses them the game. 

897
00:42:49,000 --> 00:42:52,400
Yeah, I mean if, if Darnold if 
if Darnold and Stroud take care 

898
00:42:52,400 --> 00:42:55,320
of the ball like 0 turnovers for
them over the next month, a 

899
00:42:55,320 --> 00:42:58,520
Texan Seahawks Super Bowl is 
like so on the cards. 

900
00:43:00,960 --> 00:43:04,600
They're the best 2 defenses. 
I mean the best 2 defenses could

901
00:43:04,600 --> 00:43:07,160
easily get to the Super Bowl so.
Maybe it's that kind of year. 

902
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:11,280
If you wanna, if you wanna 
defend Knicks a little bit as 

903
00:43:11,280 --> 00:43:12,840
well. 
And you know, someone pointed 

904
00:43:12,840 --> 00:43:15,000
out in the chat he'd had an 
incredible comeback this this 

905
00:43:15,000 --> 00:43:19,360
very year, which is fair. 
But also, I think it's probably 

906
00:43:19,360 --> 00:43:25,600
unfair to put him in the same 
bucket as Darnold's where, you 

907
00:43:25,600 --> 00:43:28,400
know, it's like we're hiding the
quarterback and then using the 

908
00:43:28,400 --> 00:43:31,480
passing game in these like 
highly curated situations. 

909
00:43:32,720 --> 00:43:35,600
The passing game's almost here 
to accentuate the running game a

910
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:39,640
little bit, which is obviously 
like not the most efficient way 

911
00:43:39,640 --> 00:43:42,880
to design an offense and in some
ways really helps the 

912
00:43:42,880 --> 00:43:45,480
quarterback who's especially if 
you're prone to making mistakes 

913
00:43:45,480 --> 00:43:47,880
like Darnold. 
But Knicks, I mean, the the 

914
00:43:47,880 --> 00:43:50,080
Broncos have a 2% pass rate of 
expected. 

915
00:43:50,640 --> 00:43:54,960
They're 5% on 1st and 10. 
They're 5% over expected on 3rd 

916
00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:59,200
and three plus. 
So the rbsdm.com doesn't have 

917
00:43:59,520 --> 00:44:04,360
like third and 10 plus here, but
I don't I don't no, they pass. 

918
00:44:04,360 --> 00:44:06,600
There's not a lot of evidence 
that they're like, you know, 

919
00:44:07,000 --> 00:44:09,280
that they're only kind of 
limiting him to specific 

920
00:44:09,280 --> 00:44:11,240
situations. 
They actually on 3rd and 1:00 

921
00:44:11,240 --> 00:44:14,480
and 1:00 and 2:00, they have a 
-, 7% password of expected. 

922
00:44:14,480 --> 00:44:16,440
So they tend to run in 3rd and 
short quite a bit. 

923
00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:19,760
So he's he's being asked. 
They also run very heavily in in

924
00:44:19,760 --> 00:44:22,640
2nd and short, which is kind of 
a a spot where you can take 

925
00:44:22,640 --> 00:44:25,840
shots. 
So it doesn't really look like 

926
00:44:25,840 --> 00:44:29,640
the numbers support Bo Nicks 
being like, you know, one of 

927
00:44:29,640 --> 00:44:32,400
these, one of these guys who 
isn't asked to play quarterback 

928
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:35,200
as much as you know, as real 
quarterbacks. 

929
00:44:35,440 --> 00:44:38,640
And there is some of that with 
Darnold where he he's doing a 

930
00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:41,600
lot of play action stuff. 
They run the ball and and the 

931
00:44:41,680 --> 00:44:44,280
offense overall could be more 
efficient if they were more 

932
00:44:44,280 --> 00:44:47,120
confident in the quarterback to 
be kind of the engine. 

933
00:44:47,800 --> 00:44:50,200
This Denver comeback was the 
Giants game. 

934
00:44:50,680 --> 00:44:53,240
The Giants, Yeah. 
Well, amazing. 

935
00:44:55,440 --> 00:44:59,360
Yeah, the thing with Nicks, what
what I think really is his issue

936
00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:02,240
is like his success rate has 
been awful this year. 

937
00:45:03,280 --> 00:45:06,160
Not, not awful is unfair, but 
like it, it's been much worse 

938
00:45:06,160 --> 00:45:08,280
than you'd expect given how 
efficient he's been. 

939
00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:11,760
He's been kind of in the, in the
range of like, you know, Aaron 

940
00:45:11,760 --> 00:45:16,400
Rodgers and Caleb Williams and 
some of these guys who just like

941
00:45:16,880 --> 00:45:19,360
play to play are not 
particularly consistent, but 

942
00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:23,040
then they do have really high 
moments, particularly Williams 

943
00:45:23,040 --> 00:45:27,320
and Nick's more than Rogers. 
But yeah, the success rate is, 

944
00:45:27,320 --> 00:45:30,520
is I think where he kind of 
falls down if you, you need him 

945
00:45:30,520 --> 00:45:34,520
to consistently make plays, you 
know, and I think that's, it's 

946
00:45:34,520 --> 00:45:36,960
weird that he has this marriage 
with, with Peyton because that's

947
00:45:36,960 --> 00:45:39,280
what Peyton wants. 
He's more of like a playmaker 

948
00:45:39,280 --> 00:45:42,200
type. 
And Peyton's more of like, just 

949
00:45:42,760 --> 00:45:44,640
run the offense and we'll, we'll
succeed. 

950
00:45:45,480 --> 00:45:49,000
Pat taking liberties, The 
private slash actual host of the

951
00:45:49,000 --> 00:45:52,320
show on the ribbon. 
Drake May for MVP for audio 

952
00:45:52,320 --> 00:45:55,360
consumers. 
The BBM 7 odds would have been 

953
00:45:55,360 --> 00:45:59,080
hilarious there, but don't, 
don't bother yourself to type 

954
00:45:59,080 --> 00:46:05,120
all that in at this late stage. 
Anyway, we we have two more 

955
00:46:05,120 --> 00:46:08,320
slides with the playoff field in
mind. 

956
00:46:08,440 --> 00:46:10,880
And we've talked about a couple 
of these teams already. 

957
00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:14,360
I mean, San Francisco is, if 
you're on Philadelphia so hard, 

958
00:46:14,360 --> 00:46:16,320
it's gonna be tough to be on San
Francisco, I guess. 

959
00:46:16,440 --> 00:46:18,680
Green Bay above Chicago. 
And no, because. 

960
00:46:18,680 --> 00:46:21,040
You don't draft them together. 
You don't draft them together. 

961
00:46:21,760 --> 00:46:25,240
Yeah. 
Right, because you can. 

962
00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:29,160
You can get the five man stacks 
of actually each team pretty 

963
00:46:29,160 --> 00:46:31,000
efficiently. 
Like I, I would guess like a 

964
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:36,240
huge chunk of My Portfolio is 
the 5 Eagles, the five 49ers 

965
00:46:36,400 --> 00:46:40,400
mixed in with Jags mixed in with
Patriots mixed in with whatever.

966
00:46:40,400 --> 00:46:43,760
Just trying to advance because 
in round one, obviously the five

967
00:46:43,760 --> 00:46:47,360
man stack, your expectation is 
pretty low, but in round two, 

968
00:46:47,480 --> 00:46:50,200
having a full starting line up 
with the team that just 

969
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:53,080
advanced, it's it. 
Even if those are your only 

970
00:46:53,080 --> 00:46:56,080
guys, even if everyone else on 
your roster just died, you know,

971
00:46:56,080 --> 00:46:58,720
you had the lad Mcconkey who 
just died in the wild card 

972
00:46:58,720 --> 00:47:00,280
round. 
You're like, why have a full 

973
00:47:00,280 --> 00:47:04,360
starting line up from this team?
Assume they win, you know, 24 to

974
00:47:04,360 --> 00:47:06,360
17 or whatever. 
Well, you probably got a decent 

975
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:10,040
amount of fantasy points from 
them and then you also then port

976
00:47:10,040 --> 00:47:12,000
over the starting line up to the
conference championship. 

977
00:47:12,240 --> 00:47:15,600
You put a lot of the times. 
I mean, Corinne, you guys have 

978
00:47:15,600 --> 00:47:18,120
actually like up probably done 
the research on this, like how 

979
00:47:18,120 --> 00:47:22,320
many teams on average in the 
gauntlet in the conference 

980
00:47:22,320 --> 00:47:24,800
championship round can feel the 
five man starting roster. 

981
00:47:25,320 --> 00:47:27,600
That's a sacrilegious question. 
I'm I'm really not sure. 

982
00:47:27,880 --> 00:47:32,280
I, I would I would bet it's, I 
would bet it's it's much lower 

983
00:47:32,280 --> 00:47:35,280
than you would like. 
I would bet it is exceedingly 

984
00:47:35,280 --> 00:47:39,720
rare for the entirety of the 10 
man pod to be able to do it all.

985
00:47:39,720 --> 00:47:42,880
Almost impossible for the entire
10 man pod to be able to do it. 

986
00:47:44,240 --> 00:47:46,920
I would say I, I mean, I doubt 
it's almost impossible because 

987
00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:49,480
you, you know. 
It depends on the IT depends. 

988
00:47:49,520 --> 00:47:52,400
It depends on the Super Bowl. 
It it depends on the Super Bowl,

989
00:47:52,400 --> 00:47:54,840
it depends on if the one sees 
each lose. 

990
00:47:55,360 --> 00:47:57,480
Is interactional. 
Round it depends on how many 

991
00:47:57,480 --> 00:48:03,400
Packers the side chick needs. 
Dude, I was on, I was on Davis's

992
00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:07,720
stream and we're going through 
and it's just capped trying to 

993
00:48:07,720 --> 00:48:12,440
make us take Packers, not stop 
the Packers. 

994
00:48:13,360 --> 00:48:15,560
I think that, you know, we're 
like, we don't have some kind of

995
00:48:15,560 --> 00:48:17,480
Packers. 
You know, you know who needs to 

996
00:48:17,480 --> 00:48:18,880
apologize? 
We're literally using the. 

997
00:48:18,880 --> 00:48:21,920
Market success of the pack. 
The sidekick needs to apologize 

998
00:48:21,960 --> 00:48:25,120
to Gala Williams. 
You know what we're? 

999
00:48:25,120 --> 00:48:28,280
Getting bears now. 
Because you guys moved, you guys

1000
00:48:28,280 --> 00:48:31,440
must have adjusted Burden's 
projection for more fantasy 

1001
00:48:31,440 --> 00:48:34,880
points because I'm now, I'm now 
starting to get. 

1002
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:37,080
Burden Davis understands. 
Yeah, I'm. 

1003
00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:40,280
Now starting to get Burden and 
Swift instead of Jacobs and 

1004
00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:42,360
Watson. 
Yeah. 

1005
00:48:42,360 --> 00:48:46,240
But it's also that the the 
Packers are, I guess the Packers

1006
00:48:46,240 --> 00:48:49,960
have come down a little bit, but
the Bears have moved up in terms

1007
00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:53,680
of where the, you know, the 
market is on them. 

1008
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:57,840
So that's that's helped as well.
The Bears are just, I mean, 

1009
00:48:57,840 --> 00:49:00,520
objectively the Bears are better
picks and playoff contest than 

1010
00:49:00,520 --> 00:49:04,000
they were a month ago. 
So we're taking them more now. 

1011
00:49:04,280 --> 00:49:06,560
Yeah. 
See, if we get to Loveland, we 

1012
00:49:06,560 --> 00:49:10,560
get around to the FFPC build 
where it's only one player per 

1013
00:49:10,560 --> 00:49:14,760
team. 
I I love Loveland in FFPC cuz I 

1014
00:49:14,760 --> 00:49:17,360
think that I I. 
Loveland's going to be big 

1015
00:49:17,360 --> 00:49:20,000
chalk. 
That's what that's what I was. 

1016
00:49:20,080 --> 00:49:23,800
That's what I was thinking. 
I think so, but I still think, 

1017
00:49:24,360 --> 00:49:26,640
well, we'll get into it. 
I think he's going to be big 

1018
00:49:26,640 --> 00:49:30,760
chalk and, and it's the type of 
I it's, it's not when I went 

1019
00:49:30,760 --> 00:49:34,040
into making the ownership 
projections, it's not what I was

1020
00:49:34,040 --> 00:49:37,840
expecting to like. 
It wasn't like top of my mind 

1021
00:49:37,840 --> 00:49:41,160
like, oh, let me let me get the 
Loveland projection up. 

1022
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:46,200
But it was like once I started 
doing it, there just isn't a 

1023
00:49:46,200 --> 00:49:49,320
tight end who's an easy click. 
There's not a single tight end 

1024
00:49:49,320 --> 00:49:52,240
who's an easy click. 
And then you get to Loveland and

1025
00:49:52,240 --> 00:49:56,320
it's like, well, this is an easy
click. 

1026
00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:57,920
Let me just get Loveland in 
here. 

1027
00:49:59,200 --> 00:50:01,240
I, I, you know, I haven't the 
highest owned tight end too. 

1028
00:50:01,240 --> 00:50:03,040
I don't, I don't think I had 
them quite as high as you did, 

1029
00:50:03,040 --> 00:50:05,080
but I I think I have more people
going to Kittle. 

1030
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:09,040
I do not think people go to 
Kittle at the CMC. 

1031
00:50:09,040 --> 00:50:13,280
I mean, the CMCMVP chatter is 
starting to to come back up. 

1032
00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:16,360
Like I don't think people want 
to avoid CMC. 

1033
00:50:16,360 --> 00:50:18,480
And you also have the CMC 
Barkley thing where you're like,

1034
00:50:18,480 --> 00:50:20,760
I have one of these two guys 
have AI, have an elite running 

1035
00:50:20,760 --> 00:50:24,560
back advancing no matter what. 
That's that's super comfy. 

1036
00:50:26,280 --> 00:50:28,480
Some people obviously play 
Kittle because he's an awesome 

1037
00:50:28,480 --> 00:50:32,360
play, but I don't think it'll be
like a ton. 

1038
00:50:32,520 --> 00:50:35,640
Yep. 
Hunter, Henry. 

1039
00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:38,440
Kincaid Gadsden. 
I think you get I think you get 

1040
00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:41,000
to Henry because if you don't 
want to do Drake May, I'm trying

1041
00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:42,840
to if I'm thinking if I'm 
putting myself in the mind of 

1042
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:45,200
FPC boomer people usually start 
with the quarterback first. 

1043
00:50:45,200 --> 00:50:47,320
So it's like, let's this person 
doesn't believe in the Patriots.

1044
00:50:47,320 --> 00:50:50,160
You're not clicking Drake May. 
And then they're like, well, 

1045
00:50:50,160 --> 00:50:52,520
what do I do with the Patriots? 
And you're like, well, I could 

1046
00:50:52,520 --> 00:50:54,680
do Hendo or I could do Stevens. 
I don't want to guess the 

1047
00:50:54,680 --> 00:50:56,960
running back. 
And then it's like I could do 

1048
00:50:56,960 --> 00:50:57,440
dig. 
You don't. 

1049
00:50:57,440 --> 00:50:59,640
Have to guess the running back. 
If you're a boomer, you know who

1050
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:02,240
the running back is. 
It's for Madre Stevens, dude. 

1051
00:51:03,840 --> 00:51:06,280
Jacob's right. 
You're right, Henry. 

1052
00:51:06,320 --> 00:51:08,480
Henry's like a default choice 
unless you soft pay. 

1053
00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:12,000
Them I can see he will get into 
Henry, but yeah, I interesting. 

1054
00:51:12,400 --> 00:51:14,200
Henry hasn't been that good this
year. 

1055
00:51:14,200 --> 00:51:16,200
Like he's been fine. 
He's been fine. 

1056
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:18,200
And it And it's not like he 
finished. 

1057
00:51:18,360 --> 00:51:20,480
Like buffing was. 
Crushing down the stretch. 

1058
00:51:22,040 --> 00:51:24,000
Yeah, Yeah. 
That's a good point. 

1059
00:51:24,560 --> 00:51:26,920
You want to jump to it. 
Yeah. 

1060
00:51:27,480 --> 00:51:30,480
Let's just do this. 
We've covered these other teams 

1061
00:51:30,480 --> 00:51:32,040
already. 
Last call for later. 

1062
00:51:32,160 --> 00:51:36,640
Oh, use my screen. 
Oh, your screen. 

1063
00:51:36,640 --> 00:51:37,360
I was like, what? 
What? 

1064
00:51:37,480 --> 00:51:38,840
What? 
It's not one of the slides. 

1065
00:51:39,280 --> 00:51:42,560
Got it. 
If you can do that, the FFPC 

1066
00:51:42,560 --> 00:51:49,080
Playoff Challenge $200 entry, 
you want to sort of take turns. 

1067
00:51:49,080 --> 00:51:51,520
It's 12 players and there's four
of us so. 

1068
00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:54,760
Well, look, I, I, I'll fully 
admit I've lost objectivity on 

1069
00:51:54,760 --> 00:52:00,600
on Drake May, I actually had him
lower than my my ability to read

1070
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:03,800
the market, you know, is not, is
not going to be great on May. 

1071
00:52:03,800 --> 00:52:07,280
I had him lower than Jacob did, 
in part because I'm not sure. 

1072
00:52:07,280 --> 00:52:09,520
But you could easily be right. 
Don't. 

1073
00:52:09,560 --> 00:52:12,760
I'm not the market. 
No, I know, but I just I don't 

1074
00:52:12,760 --> 00:52:15,520
feel confident. 
It's just interesting that you 

1075
00:52:15,520 --> 00:52:18,640
were higher, right? 
Like I'm sort of I'm like trying

1076
00:52:18,640 --> 00:52:22,400
to feel it out because I would 
prefer to play Drake May, but 

1077
00:52:22,400 --> 00:52:24,360
also don't think that the 
Patriot. 

1078
00:52:24,360 --> 00:52:27,400
Part of my MVP argument for May 
is that I don't think the 

1079
00:52:27,400 --> 00:52:28,440
Patriots are that strong of a 
team. 

1080
00:52:28,440 --> 00:52:30,560
Their defense isn't that great. 
It's not like they have great 

1081
00:52:30,560 --> 00:52:32,040
weapons. 
Their offensive line is below 

1082
00:52:32,040 --> 00:52:34,000
average. 
It's better with Campbell back, 

1083
00:52:34,000 --> 00:52:37,840
but still not very good. 
So they could easily lose early.

1084
00:52:38,160 --> 00:52:41,600
So you have to be comfortable 
with May winning in two, you 

1085
00:52:41,600 --> 00:52:43,440
know, being the optimal 
quarterback probably in two 

1086
00:52:43,440 --> 00:52:46,120
games, which I think he could 
be, but I don't think he's a 

1087
00:52:46,120 --> 00:52:48,080
jam. 
But I don't think Allen's a jam 

1088
00:52:48,120 --> 00:52:50,200
either. 
No one is. 

1089
00:52:50,360 --> 00:52:51,360
But it's the reason why 
probably. 

1090
00:52:51,360 --> 00:52:54,960
One of those two guys. 
The reason why I had May as my 

1091
00:52:55,120 --> 00:52:57,640
highest ownership quarterback, I
had all of them a little bit 

1092
00:52:57,640 --> 00:52:59,880
flatter than you did, but the 
reason I let it out on May over 

1093
00:52:59,880 --> 00:53:05,200
Allen was just one. 
Patriots are are a much heavier 

1094
00:53:05,200 --> 00:53:06,840
favorite this week than the 
Bills are. 

1095
00:53:06,840 --> 00:53:08,200
Bills are more in a toss up 
game. 

1096
00:53:08,600 --> 00:53:10,800
I I, I would guess people feel 
pretty comfortable with the 

1097
00:53:10,800 --> 00:53:12,440
Patriots. 
Yeah, better Super Bowl odds as 

1098
00:53:12,440 --> 00:53:14,520
well. 
Yeah, better Super Bowl odds as 

1099
00:53:14,520 --> 00:53:15,760
well. 
Yeah. 

1100
00:53:17,040 --> 00:53:20,600
And, and mostly I think if you, 
if you feel roughly similarly 

1101
00:53:20,600 --> 00:53:24,600
even about the odds of the Bills
of the Patriots to get to the 

1102
00:53:24,600 --> 00:53:29,360
Super Bowl, at least with the 
Bills, if you don't click Allen,

1103
00:53:29,360 --> 00:53:31,400
there's a really, really easy 
click there. 

1104
00:53:31,400 --> 00:53:33,320
You just go James Cook and 
everybody feels great about 

1105
00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:36,160
James Cook. 
If you don't click May, it just 

1106
00:53:36,160 --> 00:53:40,040
becomes difficult because I 
don't think people want to play 

1107
00:53:40,040 --> 00:53:42,560
the path to lose round one to 
the Chargers unless you're Liam.

1108
00:53:42,960 --> 00:53:44,440
But like most people won't want 
to do that. 

1109
00:53:44,960 --> 00:53:47,760
So then you kind of, and if you 
think and if you don't pick the 

1110
00:53:47,760 --> 00:53:50,400
quarterback, then that means you
have to pick one of the other 

1111
00:53:50,400 --> 00:53:52,240
guys. 
I don't know who people would 

1112
00:53:52,240 --> 00:53:55,200
feel good about. 
Like it's Hendo, it's Stevenson,

1113
00:53:55,200 --> 00:53:57,480
it's Diggs, it's Hunter Henry. 
Like you're kind of just picking

1114
00:53:57,480 --> 00:53:58,760
1. 
And I don't think people love 

1115
00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:01,880
the feeling of just picking one 
of four skill players and hoping

1116
00:54:01,880 --> 00:54:04,800
to pick the right one. 
Well, you don't have to do it. 

1117
00:54:04,840 --> 00:54:07,680
You could also just take the 
kicker or leave them off. 

1118
00:54:08,080 --> 00:54:09,760
Well, the three then. 
You're picking them to lose 

1119
00:54:09,880 --> 00:54:12,280
round one. 
Yeah, well, I mean 3 1/2 though.

1120
00:54:12,280 --> 00:54:15,480
I mean it's not the the the 
Chargers are a shorter underdog 

1121
00:54:15,480 --> 00:54:18,000
than the Niners. 
That means, though, that you're,

1122
00:54:18,240 --> 00:54:20,920
you're taking a Steeler or a 
Panther, which most people 

1123
00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:26,080
aren't going to do, or you're 
taking a like potentially both 

1124
00:54:26,080 --> 00:54:29,760
sides from the, from the Packers
and Bears because you're 

1125
00:54:29,760 --> 00:54:32,200
probably, well, I guess you're, 
you're playing a Charger. 

1126
00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:35,520
So that that frees up a fade. 
So maybe that's that's the pivot

1127
00:54:35,640 --> 00:54:37,320
is that you actually do play a 
Charger. 

1128
00:54:37,960 --> 00:54:39,080
Right. 
Yeah. 

1129
00:54:39,080 --> 00:54:41,080
And there I think. 
That tells a lot to New England.

1130
00:54:41,080 --> 00:54:41,960
Fade. 
That's a good point. 

1131
00:54:42,240 --> 00:54:43,840
A couple of interesting, maybe 
there is more. 

1132
00:54:43,840 --> 00:54:47,720
New England fade than I was 
thinking. 46 1/2, by the way, is

1133
00:54:47,720 --> 00:54:52,080
not a small number really for a 
January game in Foxborough. 46 

1134
00:54:52,080 --> 00:54:57,240
1/2 pretty healthy. 
Well, you want to go like man by

1135
00:54:57,240 --> 00:54:59,760
man here and just fill the fill 
the roster out. 

1136
00:54:59,960 --> 00:55:03,400
What I'm kind of curious on the 
bears stuff like if what do? 

1137
00:55:03,440 --> 00:55:04,000
You. 
Do I? 

1138
00:55:04,120 --> 00:55:06,080
I think you do. 
I think you do, you do 

1139
00:55:06,080 --> 00:55:09,600
Lovelander Burden and I think 
you, you take Loveland obviously

1140
00:55:09,600 --> 00:55:12,560
for the FFPC boost. 
I think you take Burden for, I 

1141
00:55:12,560 --> 00:55:16,000
mean burden probably. 
But do you think people will go 

1142
00:55:16,000 --> 00:55:19,040
to burden come over Loveland's 
in in tight end premium at a 

1143
00:55:19,040 --> 00:55:22,520
high rate or is it? 
My guess is in the flex you 

1144
00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:26,840
probably get Bird, you probably 
get Loveland over burden like 3 

1145
00:55:26,840 --> 00:55:30,280
to one that that in terms of 
total ownership that that's my 

1146
00:55:30,520 --> 00:55:33,200
that's my guess. 
What what did you have the Bears

1147
00:55:33,200 --> 00:55:36,560
that pack I I had Loveland the 
highest, but Swift pretty close.

1148
00:55:36,600 --> 00:55:37,920
We have. 
Let me see. 

1149
00:55:39,160 --> 00:55:41,320
Well, should we? 
Should we should we make the 

1150
00:55:41,320 --> 00:55:42,040
1:00? 
Pick that we're. 

1151
00:55:42,120 --> 00:55:46,120
All going to I've got them like 
4 times higher than burden and. 

1152
00:55:46,640 --> 00:55:49,680
I've swift below burden. 
You don't need the running back 

1153
00:55:49,680 --> 00:55:53,640
at all, but people like the 
running back on this side. 

1154
00:55:55,880 --> 00:55:57,200
I guess they do like. 
There were maybe. 

1155
00:55:57,200 --> 00:55:58,680
Maybe I have that off. 
Maybe. 

1156
00:55:58,680 --> 00:56:00,640
No, OK, I'll, I'll, I'll. 
Well, we can. 

1157
00:56:01,160 --> 00:56:03,480
We can. 
Just sort of try to fill these. 

1158
00:56:03,480 --> 00:56:06,000
All I'll have them super high 
and most I mostly have it going 

1159
00:56:06,000 --> 00:56:07,840
to Loveland. 
We can either try to fill these 

1160
00:56:07,840 --> 00:56:10,760
all like by consensus. 
One by one that might be harder 

1161
00:56:10,760 --> 00:56:14,160
or then just sort of like take 
turns filling slots. 

1162
00:56:14,160 --> 00:56:17,320
But if you want to start with 
Loveland, I've got no problem 

1163
00:56:17,320 --> 00:56:19,000
with that. 
Well, I was going to say first 

1164
00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:20,600
we can, we can put Loveland in, 
but I was going. 

1165
00:56:20,600 --> 00:56:22,920
To say first thing we can put in
is we we'll all agree on this 

1166
00:56:22,920 --> 00:56:24,520
one. 
The Texans defense, you just, 

1167
00:56:24,520 --> 00:56:27,120
you just giga eat that. 
No, no, what, why? 

1168
00:56:27,280 --> 00:56:29,440
Why would you do that? 
You're good, then you're going 

1169
00:56:29,440 --> 00:56:34,800
to pick a stealer. 
No, the Texans defense will just

1170
00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:38,920
be their highest scoring. 
Guy two games, yeah. 

1171
00:56:39,240 --> 00:56:40,520
OK, so this is this is the 
funny. 

1172
00:56:40,520 --> 00:56:42,120
Part is what I did. 
This what I did. 

1173
00:56:42,120 --> 00:56:44,880
In my this is the boomer OP 
though the the first thing that 

1174
00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:46,240
I the. 
First thing that I said to 

1175
00:56:46,240 --> 00:56:48,000
myself is I did the. 
Sheet and Davis, you're going to

1176
00:56:48,000 --> 00:56:53,040
be offended by this and I do 
mean it is. 

1177
00:56:53,280 --> 00:56:58,440
I was like, how many fucking 
slap Dicks are going to go hard 

1178
00:56:58,440 --> 00:57:01,640
fade Steelers and the Texans 
defense because that's so 

1179
00:57:01,640 --> 00:57:03,960
obviously stupid. 
But I think that people are 

1180
00:57:03,960 --> 00:57:06,040
going to do it anyways because 
they're just going to be like 

1181
00:57:06,440 --> 00:57:08,800
that's his D bro and like I 
can't take a stealer. 

1182
00:57:09,280 --> 00:57:12,880
And so like, yeah, you win. 
You win 10, seven and then you 

1183
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:15,600
and then you. 
Lose you lose 7 to 10. 

1184
00:57:15,600 --> 00:57:18,960
So you're you're defending this.
Do you think this is rational I.

1185
00:57:20,320 --> 00:57:21,200
Don't you? 
You're going to take. 

1186
00:57:21,200 --> 00:57:22,640
You're going to. 
Take Nico, I guess. 

1187
00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:26,040
I guess then it becomes what 
other team do you want to spade?

1188
00:57:26,560 --> 00:57:28,440
Schultz is also in play or you 
just. 

1189
00:57:28,920 --> 00:57:30,560
Take or you. 
Just take a stealer if you if 

1190
00:57:30,560 --> 00:57:32,200
you want you. 
Can take Kenny Gainwell. 

1191
00:57:33,000 --> 00:57:35,720
I don't, I don't like the 
Houston defense play because. 

1192
00:57:35,720 --> 00:57:38,760
Rogers is going to throw every 
pass in one second, doesn't get 

1193
00:57:38,760 --> 00:57:40,960
intercepted. 
I don't know if there are really

1194
00:57:40,960 --> 00:57:43,000
points there, even if it's a low
scoring game. 

1195
00:57:43,320 --> 00:57:45,920
No, that's fair. 
Then it's unironic. 

1196
00:57:46,040 --> 00:57:47,840
Unironic. 
That's fair if they're going to 

1197
00:57:47,840 --> 00:57:49,280
be. 
Chalky, I'd especially want to 

1198
00:57:49,280 --> 00:57:53,000
not do it. 
OK, Yeah, I don't know that. 

1199
00:57:53,000 --> 00:57:54,960
They're going to be super chalky
to. 

1200
00:57:54,960 --> 00:57:56,640
Not go. 
Double fade in the. 

1201
00:57:56,640 --> 00:58:02,560
Same game so so my my thing was.
When I was doing the ownership 

1202
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:06,720
stuff, which we're going to be 
talking through on this channel 

1203
00:58:06,720 --> 00:58:09,400
for, you know, the whole week, 
we're I think we're doing the 

1204
00:58:09,400 --> 00:58:11,560
boom opto tonight and then we're
going to reveal the ownership. 

1205
00:58:11,560 --> 00:58:13,640
So I'm so I'm going to be 
tweaking before before the 

1206
00:58:13,640 --> 00:58:15,120
official reveal. 
There's going to be some tweaks.

1207
00:58:15,120 --> 00:58:20,920
But my first run I only had 
Houston D at like 13% because 

1208
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:23,920
typically OK, so if you just go 
down. 

1209
00:58:23,920 --> 00:58:25,400
To odds to make. 
The Super Bowl, I went to 

1210
00:58:25,400 --> 00:58:29,320
FanDuel, I took the odds of 
winning the conference. 

1211
00:58:29,560 --> 00:58:31,520
So because I don't really care 
who wins the Super Bowl, I just 

1212
00:58:31,520 --> 00:58:32,760
wanted to get to the Super Bowl,
right. 

1213
00:58:33,040 --> 00:58:39,880
So odds to make the Super Bowl, 
it's Seattle 36, Denver 30, Rams

1214
00:58:39,880 --> 00:58:45,840
29, Patriots 19, Philly 19, 
Houston 18, Buffalo 18. 

1215
00:58:47,760 --> 00:58:50,600
Sorry, Buffalo's 17 and then 
Jacksonville 14. 

1216
00:58:50,600 --> 00:58:54,400
Everyone else is 10% or lower. 
This is where you and then you 

1217
00:58:54,400 --> 00:58:57,200
go to like Carolina's one, 
Pittsburgh's 5. 

1218
00:58:57,640 --> 00:59:01,480
So the typically we've seen 
massive fades on the teams like 

1219
00:59:01,480 --> 00:59:04,760
Carolina and Pittsburgh. 
And we've, we've seen teams like

1220
00:59:04,760 --> 00:59:07,480
the Chargers who are at 8% get 
faded pretty hard. 

1221
00:59:08,840 --> 00:59:12,240
We haven't seen teams that have 
like a close to 20% chance to 

1222
00:59:12,240 --> 00:59:14,800
make the Super Bowl get like 
Uber faded. 

1223
00:59:16,440 --> 00:59:17,760
Maybe this year's different 
though. 

1224
00:59:17,760 --> 00:59:19,200
Because then when I went to do 
the boomer. 

1225
00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:21,280
Opto, which we're revealing 
tonight. 

1226
00:59:22,600 --> 00:59:25,400
Houston D is the obvious boomer.
Opto click like. 

1227
00:59:25,400 --> 00:59:29,760
Just like super, super obvious 
boomer D So I actually it made 

1228
00:59:30,040 --> 00:59:32,680
me really second guess where I 
have the defenses and something 

1229
00:59:32,680 --> 00:59:37,800
I'm going to try to adjust 
before tonight because I guess. 

1230
00:59:38,080 --> 00:59:40,600
Like. 
What you then have to do is you 

1231
00:59:40,640 --> 00:59:43,480
you play both sides of the 
question is to me, do people 

1232
00:59:43,480 --> 00:59:48,680
play both sides of the the 
Packers, Bears and the Jags? 

1233
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:55,080
Bills fade one of New England or
the Chargers fade both of 

1234
00:59:55,080 --> 00:59:58,160
Pittsburgh and Carolina, meaning
soft and hard fades and then 

1235
00:59:58,160 --> 01:00:02,840
fade Houston via the D Is that 
going to be kind of the chalk? 

1236
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:06,400
I don't think it's going to be. 
The chalk, but I think it's 

1237
01:00:06,400 --> 01:00:08,680
going to be more. 
Popular than it should be. 

1238
01:00:09,000 --> 01:00:11,640
I mean, I I just think it's I 
think it's still just bad like 

1239
01:00:11,640 --> 01:00:14,080
if you if you're picking Houston
to win. 

1240
01:00:14,840 --> 01:00:17,240
So like, I mean, obviously if 
you want to play Houston D and 

1241
01:00:17,240 --> 01:00:19,240
you want to play a stealer, 
that's obviously fine. 

1242
01:00:19,560 --> 01:00:22,120
I'm saying if you're if you're 
hard fading the Steelers and 

1243
01:00:22,120 --> 01:00:25,040
you're playing Houston, DII 
still think you're really 

1244
01:00:25,040 --> 01:00:27,920
swimming upstream on that being 
optimal. 

1245
01:00:27,960 --> 01:00:32,040
I I like I I know it's possible,
but Houston D in two games, 

1246
01:00:32,640 --> 01:00:36,120
outscoring Nico and Schultz, 
just I don't know that feels 

1247
01:00:36,120 --> 01:00:38,240
really thin, especially if we're
saying one of those games is a 

1248
01:00:38,240 --> 01:00:40,800
loss. 
All right, well, we've got a 

1249
01:00:40,800 --> 01:00:43,560
week, even if we. 
Don't like where we end up here.

1250
01:00:43,560 --> 01:00:46,760
We can still make changes, but I
still think we should go man by 

1251
01:00:46,760 --> 01:00:49,800
man and make picks and then 
we'll see, you know, use what 

1252
01:00:49,800 --> 01:00:52,360
has already been decided in your
strategy. 

1253
01:00:52,360 --> 01:00:55,560
Is that OK? 
Yeah, sorry, I'm just the reason

1254
01:00:55,560 --> 01:00:57,840
I keep derailing it is. 
I'm trying to get a sense of of 

1255
01:00:57,840 --> 01:01:00,000
where you guys feel on these 
players because that's what 

1256
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:01,760
that's what I really care about 
right now because I'm trying to 

1257
01:01:01,840 --> 01:01:04,520
compile the ownership. 
I I think any year can be like 

1258
01:01:04,520 --> 01:01:07,360
this, but the overall. 
Point this year is just how 

1259
01:01:07,360 --> 01:01:10,800
there isn't anything obvious. 
I mean, Allen playing four games

1260
01:01:10,800 --> 01:01:12,720
last year is kind of easy or 
Hertz. 

1261
01:01:12,720 --> 01:01:15,120
And I think this year the 
spreads are so low, except for 

1262
01:01:15,120 --> 01:01:17,960
the RAM game there are. 
So I think Stafford could even 

1263
01:01:17,960 --> 01:01:21,200
be interesting. 
But yeah, I mean, I'm open 

1264
01:01:21,240 --> 01:01:22,680
almost anything. 
Can you talk a? 

1265
01:01:22,680 --> 01:01:24,760
Little bit more about that 
'cause that's that's where. 

1266
01:01:25,120 --> 01:01:28,600
Like Pooka is such a such an 
obvious click, but I've I've 

1267
01:01:28,840 --> 01:01:32,600
been wondering if Stafford 
actually get some, some love. 

1268
01:01:32,600 --> 01:01:36,520
I mean, you know, he he's 
probably going to win MVP. 

1269
01:01:36,840 --> 01:01:40,200
So there's, well, I was, I was 
talking with him last night 

1270
01:01:40,280 --> 01:01:41,480
about. 
You know the match? 

1271
01:01:41,480 --> 01:01:42,400
Yeah. 
What do you, what do you say? 

1272
01:01:42,760 --> 01:01:45,760
He seemed very bullish. 
Very bullish you were hanging 

1273
01:01:45,760 --> 01:01:47,280
out with. 
Dan and and Matt again. 

1274
01:01:47,920 --> 01:01:50,040
It was just a zoom, but you 
know, we don't get to see each 

1275
01:01:50,040 --> 01:01:53,760
other that often. 
Living so far apart, it's you. 

1276
01:01:54,240 --> 01:01:56,520
Know all right. 
Who wants to own the Loveland 

1277
01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:57,640
call? 
And we all like it. 

1278
01:01:58,040 --> 01:02:00,400
Anybody Davis you want I'll. 
Yeah, I'll take it. 

1279
01:02:00,520 --> 01:02:01,960
I don't. 
I don't like it if it's. 

1280
01:02:02,000 --> 01:02:05,480
Going to be disowned. 
All right, well, we got to do. 

1281
01:02:05,880 --> 01:02:07,200
It no Jacob. 
Jacob. 

1282
01:02:07,200 --> 01:02:09,760
Think about this in. 
Terms of how we think about. 

1283
01:02:10,920 --> 01:02:13,680
The Sims like think about what 
we've learned about salary cap 

1284
01:02:13,680 --> 01:02:18,360
DFS over the year is that is 
that there is a cascading 

1285
01:02:18,360 --> 01:02:22,560
negative effect the further away
you get from what is optimal and

1286
01:02:22,560 --> 01:02:26,200
that you don't have to be making
pivots at nine of your twelve 

1287
01:02:26,200 --> 01:02:31,760
line of spots in at that PC to I
do love this this this highbrow.

1288
01:02:31,760 --> 01:02:35,080
Take from a guy who wants to 
double fade the Steelers and the

1289
01:02:35,160 --> 01:02:37,920
the Texans game. 
I just think the Texans defense 

1290
01:02:37,920 --> 01:02:40,320
like the the. 
Texans do not score fantasy 

1291
01:02:40,320 --> 01:02:41,840
points. 
There are there are many stretch

1292
01:02:41,880 --> 01:02:45,400
like how many games this year 
did you like look at a Texans 

1293
01:02:45,400 --> 01:02:49,440
box score and you're like CJ 
Stroud, 189 yards, Nico 4 for 

1294
01:02:49,440 --> 01:02:54,840
76, Dalton Schultz 3 for 36. 
Woody Marks 18 rushes, 38 yards.

1295
01:02:56,160 --> 01:02:57,960
I'm going to, I'm going to pick 
the biggest. 

1296
01:02:58,280 --> 01:03:00,680
Chalk piece that I and I'm just 
going to go and order a chalk 

1297
01:03:00,680 --> 01:03:03,960
and see if you guys, well I'm I 
by the way, I'm fine to admit I 

1298
01:03:03,960 --> 01:03:05,440
was wrong. 
About the Texan defense, I 

1299
01:03:05,440 --> 01:03:06,640
didn't. 
I didn't think about it that 

1300
01:03:06,640 --> 01:03:08,000
much. 
I think you can. 

1301
01:03:09,760 --> 01:03:12,240
Play I enjoy that you that. 
It makes me. 

1302
01:03:12,240 --> 01:03:13,960
Think that a lot of. 
People are going to play Texan, 

1303
01:03:13,960 --> 01:03:17,400
Steve more than yeah, because 
I'm trying to like, stick, you 

1304
01:03:17,400 --> 01:03:18,320
know? 
I used the. 

1305
01:03:18,320 --> 01:03:21,920
Previous years as as like, you 
know, data points to try to keep

1306
01:03:21,920 --> 01:03:23,200
me like on the rails a little 
bit. 

1307
01:03:23,440 --> 01:03:27,840
The Texans potentially might be 
like the most faded team with 

1308
01:03:27,840 --> 01:03:31,160
the pretty live odds of making 
the Super Bowl, which is I don't

1309
01:03:31,160 --> 01:03:34,160
want to like, I didn't want to 
like start there because like by

1310
01:03:34,160 --> 01:03:36,800
like by a decent amount. 
But I think that's probably 

1311
01:03:36,800 --> 01:03:40,200
where we do get to is that 
they're they're faded like a 

1312
01:03:40,200 --> 01:03:43,320
team that has like a 9% chance 
when they actually have like a 

1313
01:03:43,320 --> 01:03:45,680
19% chance to make. 
I agree. 

1314
01:03:45,720 --> 01:03:47,800
I like this point. 
They're the same favorite. 

1315
01:03:47,800 --> 01:03:52,640
This week as New England is on 
the road yeah 3 1/2 no their 

1316
01:03:52,680 --> 01:03:54,240
their odds of making the. 
Super Bowl are basically. 

1317
01:03:54,240 --> 01:03:58,080
Identical to. 
To New England's so they they 

1318
01:03:58,160 --> 01:03:59,520
should be treated very 
similarly. 

1319
01:03:59,840 --> 01:04:02,160
Let me try to move us along 
because. 

1320
01:04:02,400 --> 01:04:04,560
I think there's I'll take JSN, 
I'll take JSN. 

1321
01:04:04,600 --> 01:04:06,120
I think he's the the highest 
stoned. 

1322
01:04:06,280 --> 01:04:09,280
Player let you go next. 
I am the same, yeah. 

1323
01:04:10,680 --> 01:04:12,200
All right, I'm going to put 
Collins in. 

1324
01:04:18,680 --> 01:04:20,960
All right. 
I I mean, I will I'll. 

1325
01:04:21,440 --> 01:04:25,400
Upset the apple cart here I'm 
going to take my favorite play 

1326
01:04:26,280 --> 01:04:30,720
of the tournament I will take. 
Bow Nix. 

1327
01:04:31,800 --> 01:04:33,520
Wow. 
All right, now we are. 

1328
01:04:33,680 --> 01:04:36,800
Now we are rolling. 
God damn it, Jacob, what the 

1329
01:04:36,840 --> 01:04:39,560
fuck just happened? 
Look. 

1330
01:04:39,720 --> 01:04:41,440
Nobody believes in this team 
they have. 

1331
01:04:41,440 --> 01:04:44,640
Great Super Bowl odds. 
They have an Of all of the 

1332
01:04:45,200 --> 01:04:49,720
quarterbacks, this is one of the
spots where the quarterback is 

1333
01:04:49,720 --> 01:04:52,440
the most likely, where if the 
Broncos get to the Super Bowl, 

1334
01:04:52,640 --> 01:04:56,120
Bonex is extremely likely to be 
the optimal Bronco, more so than

1335
01:04:56,120 --> 01:04:58,240
perhaps any other player on 
their team except for maybe 

1336
01:04:58,240 --> 01:05:01,200
Drake May. 
And I don't think he's going to 

1337
01:05:01,280 --> 01:05:04,040
attract much ownership at all. 
I think he's an unreal play in 

1338
01:05:04,040 --> 01:05:06,240
this tournament. 
He's getting this is fun, this 

1339
01:05:06,240 --> 01:05:07,720
is fun, I'm in. 
Let's go. 

1340
01:05:07,960 --> 01:05:10,160
All right, Davis, what do you 
want to do next? 

1341
01:05:11,200 --> 01:05:13,080
Your Eagles? 
What do you want? 

1342
01:05:13,080 --> 01:05:14,920
To do next Davis. 
And you could say anything. 

1343
01:05:14,920 --> 01:05:15,280
You. 
You. 

1344
01:05:15,280 --> 01:05:18,480
Want to go go for a walk? 
You want to go hang out with 

1345
01:05:18,480 --> 01:05:20,480
your dog? 
I do. 

1346
01:05:20,600 --> 01:05:22,960
I do think about. 
It. 

1347
01:05:24,680 --> 01:05:26,160
I guess give. 
Me. 

1348
01:05:26,160 --> 01:05:27,720
Give me A.J. 
Brown. 

1349
01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:33,760
OK. 
Barkley, Brown and. 

1350
01:05:34,680 --> 01:05:37,200
And Barkley are. 
This is the FFPC. 

1351
01:05:37,400 --> 01:05:44,040
It's it's 8. 7 to one, eight to 
one Yeah, I I have AI have. 

1352
01:05:44,040 --> 01:05:48,160
A pretty heavy to Barkley. 
OK, I I someone someone in I 

1353
01:05:48,160 --> 01:05:50,240
have. 
AI have a 2 to one but Barkley 

1354
01:05:50,240 --> 01:05:53,680
to 150%. 
So, OK, well, I'll go. 

1355
01:05:53,880 --> 01:05:57,760
I'll throw McCaffrey in then. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. 

1356
01:05:59,440 --> 01:06:01,160
Someone in. 
Pete's discord had a really 

1357
01:06:01,160 --> 01:06:04,240
funny comment the other day. 
If if Kelsey's name just showed 

1358
01:06:04,240 --> 01:06:07,840
up when you click tight end like
not no, no opponent like the 

1359
01:06:07,840 --> 01:06:09,600
chiefs have not qualified for 
the post season. 

1360
01:06:09,600 --> 01:06:11,160
But Kelsey's name was just in 
here. 

1361
01:06:11,280 --> 01:06:15,000
How many muscle memory clicks on
Travis Kelsey from the Chiefs 

1362
01:06:15,000 --> 01:06:17,880
being in there Like he's still 
he's still like like 10 people 

1363
01:06:17,880 --> 01:06:20,160
out of just pure but 
remembrance. 

1364
01:06:20,160 --> 01:06:22,920
We're just like, oh, well, 
obviously it's FGC playoff 

1365
01:06:23,000 --> 01:06:24,440
challenge. 
You got to put Kelsey in. 

1366
01:06:24,480 --> 01:06:26,440
Wouldn't you love the game of 
sleepwalking? 

1367
01:06:26,440 --> 01:06:28,400
He just finds. 
Himself at his computer like. 

1368
01:06:29,160 --> 01:06:34,280
He's just a bunch of he's just, 
I want to, I want to answer 

1369
01:06:34,280 --> 01:06:36,160
Joel's question. 
Why not play Trevor Lawrence to 

1370
01:06:36,160 --> 01:06:38,000
get the other extra game? 
First off, I also really like 

1371
01:06:38,000 --> 01:06:40,480
Trevor Lawrence. 
I like Knicks and Lawrence's 

1372
01:06:40,480 --> 01:06:42,280
plays. 
But like, you don't, you only 

1373
01:06:42,280 --> 01:06:44,600
get the extra game if they both 
make the Super Bowl and they 

1374
01:06:44,600 --> 01:06:46,840
can't both make the Super Bowl. 
So you don't, you don't actually

1375
01:06:46,840 --> 01:06:50,600
get the extra game. 
You you get it if the Jaguars 

1376
01:06:50,600 --> 01:06:53,080
make a Super Bowl. 
But Speaking of the Jaguars, 

1377
01:06:53,080 --> 01:06:57,000
I'll take Travis. 
I like Lawrence too in. 

1378
01:06:57,000 --> 01:07:00,400
This all right? 
I like both Lawrence and and 

1379
01:07:00,400 --> 01:07:01,680
Nicks just because I think 
they're. 

1380
01:07:01,680 --> 01:07:04,720
Going to have low ownership 
compared to Allen and May and I 

1381
01:07:04,720 --> 01:07:08,160
think the the three quarterbacks
in this whole tournament that 

1382
01:07:08,160 --> 01:07:12,360
I'm like extremely confident are
the optimal quarterback in the 

1383
01:07:12,360 --> 01:07:14,400
world where their team gets to 
the Super Bowl would be May 

1384
01:07:14,440 --> 01:07:19,160
Nicks and and Lawrence. 
I I think Allen and Allen can 

1385
01:07:19,160 --> 01:07:21,600
get outscored by Cook. 
Hertz can get outscored by 

1386
01:07:21,600 --> 01:07:25,640
Barkley or Brown like Stafford 
probably is outscored by Pukum 

1387
01:07:25,640 --> 01:07:27,400
Purdy's probably outscored by 
McCaffrey. 

1388
01:07:27,640 --> 01:07:30,520
I I think that really low 
ownership on Nixon Lawrence when

1389
01:07:30,520 --> 01:07:32,720
if they get there, they're in 
the optimal is is really 

1390
01:07:32,720 --> 01:07:37,480
intriguing to me, especially 
when Nick is the one Steve, do 

1391
01:07:37,480 --> 01:07:41,480
we want Cook then? 
Or do you want to just soft bait

1392
01:07:41,760 --> 01:07:43,000
the bills? 
Is that too risky? 

1393
01:07:44,640 --> 01:07:46,320
That's up to you guys. 
No. 

1394
01:07:46,520 --> 01:07:47,400
Do we? 
I think we. 

1395
01:07:47,400 --> 01:07:51,840
I think we, I, I think we want 
Cook or Kincaid. 

1396
01:07:53,560 --> 01:07:54,760
I don't want anything to do 
with. 

1397
01:07:54,760 --> 01:07:56,360
Kincaid I He's not. 
He's not. 

1398
01:07:56,400 --> 01:07:59,240
I, I meant to, I meant to bring 
this up earlier, 'cause. 

1399
01:07:59,240 --> 01:08:03,840
I agreed with Shope's point that
like, if the if the Bills do 

1400
01:08:03,840 --> 01:08:06,520
find something, they do end up 
making the Super Bowl. 

1401
01:08:06,520 --> 01:08:09,960
It it like becomes because 
Kincaid. 

1402
01:08:11,040 --> 01:08:15,800
Yeah, I think that's a good 
theory. 

1403
01:08:15,880 --> 01:08:19,000
The the Bo Knicks, this being a 
Bo Knicks team, it's sort of 

1404
01:08:19,000 --> 01:08:22,160
tough to because you're not 
really playing for if you have 

1405
01:08:22,160 --> 01:08:25,960
an AFC quarterback that's not 
Josh Allen, it makes it tough to

1406
01:08:25,960 --> 01:08:29,160
bet on Kincaid because that that
that whole theory doesn't really

1407
01:08:29,160 --> 01:08:30,439
work because they're not making 
the Super Bowl. 

1408
01:08:30,439 --> 01:08:34,600
Bo Knicks is right. 
Yep, I think so all. 

1409
01:08:34,600 --> 01:08:37,120
Right, so we. 
Don't have a RAM yet? 

1410
01:08:40,760 --> 01:08:42,960
Well, we, we. 
Yeah, we. 

1411
01:08:42,960 --> 01:08:43,840
We took Bo. 
Necks. 

1412
01:08:43,840 --> 01:08:46,680
So we are in a, we are in a, 
what the kids would call a rare 

1413
01:08:46,680 --> 01:08:51,319
part of the game tree. 
You know what? 

1414
01:08:52,880 --> 01:08:54,640
Sorry, sorry that I made a good 
play. 

1415
01:08:55,319 --> 01:08:56,120
No. 
It's, it's fine. 

1416
01:08:56,120 --> 01:08:59,240
I'm I'm not criticizing. 
You I'm just saying we are in a 

1417
01:08:59,240 --> 01:09:00,200
part. 
Of the game tree that our 

1418
01:09:00,200 --> 01:09:02,720
opponents are currently not 
joining us in. 

1419
01:09:03,200 --> 01:09:05,680
As I as I noted before, Bonex 
has a low success rate. 

1420
01:09:05,680 --> 01:09:09,319
Not as low of a success rate as 
this lineup, but it is lower 

1421
01:09:09,319 --> 01:09:11,840
than I do. 
Yeah, we don't have. 

1422
01:09:12,960 --> 01:09:15,160
We don't have the new. 
England. 

1423
01:09:15,200 --> 01:09:20,359
LA game. 
If if bone Nix if the Broncos 

1424
01:09:20,359 --> 01:09:21,720
get to the. 
Super Bowl all you're just going

1425
01:09:21,720 --> 01:09:23,359
to see. 
The FFTC challenge is just so 

1426
01:09:23,399 --> 01:09:26,080
what's what's your Sanderson 7? 
Sanderson can. 

1427
01:09:26,080 --> 01:09:28,680
You lay out your. 
Broncos win the Super Bowl, path

1428
01:09:28,680 --> 01:09:30,600
to. 
Me like what what's your what 

1429
01:09:30,600 --> 01:09:32,560
are you hoping for as we think 
about the bracket? 

1430
01:09:33,479 --> 01:09:35,560
Oh well, they're they're like, 
who do they have a? 

1431
01:09:35,560 --> 01:09:37,439
Buy. 
So that's pretty, I know that. 

1432
01:09:37,640 --> 01:09:40,319
But then I'm trying to think of 
the rest of our bracket. 

1433
01:09:40,319 --> 01:09:42,920
Here OK, do you want to they 
will in Round 2 they will 

1434
01:09:42,920 --> 01:09:44,120
probably. 
Well, they'll they'll play, 

1435
01:09:44,120 --> 01:09:45,840
yeah. 
I mean, I want them to play the 

1436
01:09:45,840 --> 01:09:49,200
Chargers, but I that seems, I 
mean, I guess we could play it 

1437
01:09:49,200 --> 01:09:50,160
that way. 
Yeah, I'll play. 

1438
01:09:50,640 --> 01:09:54,200
That would be helpful. 
Yeah, I'll take a. 

1439
01:09:54,600 --> 01:09:57,960
I'm Marion Hampton, all right. 
Man. 

1440
01:09:58,520 --> 01:10:01,560
Poor Pat has to call me a Homer.
Can't call me a Homer, here I 

1441
01:10:01,560 --> 01:10:04,160
am. 
Yeah, taking the chargers that 

1442
01:10:04,360 --> 01:10:07,120
'cause you should square if, if 
they, if the if the chargers get

1443
01:10:07,120 --> 01:10:08,480
there. 
I mean I think the Broncos at 

1444
01:10:08,480 --> 01:10:11,760
home certainly can beat any 
other team, but they would be 

1445
01:10:11,760 --> 01:10:14,640
uniquely well positioned to beat
the Chargers who have no O line 

1446
01:10:14,680 --> 01:10:16,720
like the Chargers I think are 
dead in that game. 

1447
01:10:18,080 --> 01:10:20,920
So Pittsburgh is almost. 
Certainly a fade now full. 

1448
01:10:20,920 --> 01:10:25,040
Fade Green Bay, right? 
We don't have Green Bay or 

1449
01:10:25,040 --> 01:10:27,880
Chicago, but we have Loveland. 
We have. 

1450
01:10:27,880 --> 01:10:31,560
We have Loveland. 
And. 

1451
01:10:31,560 --> 01:10:33,920
Then Carolina, I I think you 
don't. 

1452
01:10:34,440 --> 01:10:37,080
Have New England it does. 
It does kind of feel like if 

1453
01:10:37,080 --> 01:10:38,080
you're. 
If you're taking. 

1454
01:10:39,680 --> 01:10:43,360
If you're taking Loveland, it 
does kind of feel soft fade 

1455
01:10:43,360 --> 01:10:47,120
Green Bay because I think as a 
panel we. 

1456
01:10:47,120 --> 01:10:50,000
Probably all have a lower. 
Estimation of Green Bay than the

1457
01:10:50,000 --> 01:10:52,080
market does with the Green Bay 
defense. 

1458
01:10:52,320 --> 01:10:53,720
I don't. 
I think Green Bay's fine. 

1459
01:10:54,200 --> 01:10:55,680
I think Green Bay's I. 
Think Green Bay's. 

1460
01:10:56,040 --> 01:10:57,680
I mean, I think we all. 
We know about. 

1461
01:10:57,680 --> 01:10:59,480
We've been using the sidekick, 
yeah. 

1462
01:11:00,960 --> 01:11:02,400
We think, we think. 
It's just it's. 

1463
01:11:02,480 --> 01:11:04,240
Literally the market number in. 
There, it's not. 

1464
01:11:04,440 --> 01:11:06,320
It's. 
Not me, we like Green Bay. 

1465
01:11:06,320 --> 01:11:09,000
Also, is not the type of. 
Team that is likely to have like

1466
01:11:09,000 --> 01:11:12,240
a crazy fantasy score in a loss,
right? 

1467
01:11:13,400 --> 01:11:15,160
Green Bay defense, New England 
kicker. 

1468
01:11:18,360 --> 01:11:19,280
Works, I think. 
Yeah. 

1469
01:11:19,360 --> 01:11:20,840
Andy. 
Andy Borogalis. 

1470
01:11:21,200 --> 01:11:23,120
Yep. 
And you're you're fading the. 

1471
01:11:23,840 --> 01:11:26,920
Steelers and Panthers. 
So this this is a hard fade. 

1472
01:11:26,920 --> 01:11:28,000
Steelers. 
Panthers. 

1473
01:11:28,000 --> 01:11:31,960
And it's a soft fade. 
Patriots Packers Patriots 

1474
01:11:31,960 --> 01:11:33,040
Packers. 
All right. 

1475
01:11:33,840 --> 01:11:35,920
Shut that there. 
It is. 

1476
01:11:36,520 --> 01:11:37,840
Any. 
Major. 

1477
01:11:37,840 --> 01:11:40,880
Objections. 
No no. 

1478
01:11:40,880 --> 01:11:42,560
First minor. 
Many minor ones. 

1479
01:11:43,160 --> 01:11:45,120
I would say don't Dupus, but I 
know you won't. 

1480
01:11:45,640 --> 01:11:47,960
I know you won't. 
No one will have the courage. 

1481
01:11:47,960 --> 01:11:49,640
Listen, I'm sitting here going 
Boomer. 

1482
01:11:49,640 --> 01:11:51,600
Opto. 
Do I want to even though I think

1483
01:11:51,600 --> 01:11:53,520
I knew what Slappy meant? 
Do I want to ask? 

1484
01:11:53,520 --> 01:11:57,120
Maybe there could be a song, 
Maybe it's the best of 2025 for 

1485
01:11:57,120 --> 01:12:00,880
another definition, but that I 
take it a little bit personally.

1486
01:12:01,160 --> 01:12:02,960
So I don't really. 
Well, I did Slappy's case. 

1487
01:12:02,960 --> 01:12:05,800
Also, I don't really need the 
boomer opto. 

1488
01:12:05,800 --> 01:12:10,240
I believe is a. 
Son coin term and it's just the 

1489
01:12:10,240 --> 01:12:15,600
optimal lineup if you have the 
mind of a boomer do I and I 

1490
01:12:15,600 --> 01:12:19,360
don't think you do no you you 
you you you have to say Davis 

1491
01:12:19,360 --> 01:12:20,360
that's more. 
Of the mind. 

1492
01:12:20,360 --> 01:12:22,040
Of the boomer, the Davis really 
would be. 

1493
01:12:22,040 --> 01:12:24,840
Davis was walking in that. 
Texans D Guy had a. 

1494
01:12:24,840 --> 01:12:27,120
Kid guy had a kid one time and 
it's like fucking. 

1495
01:12:27,120 --> 01:12:29,120
Texans defense, Let's go. 
That's fine. 

1496
01:12:33,320 --> 01:12:36,520
The the Joel here also. 
Got some boomer tendencies. 

1497
01:12:36,520 --> 01:12:41,200
Fairband should be the auto kick
click I I dude, I think the and 

1498
01:12:41,200 --> 01:12:44,280
I say that because you know who 
like the more than any of us is 

1499
01:12:44,280 --> 01:12:45,800
to Miko. 
Ryan's SO. 

1500
01:12:49,280 --> 01:12:51,600
Texan soft fade I think is 
inherently. 

1501
01:12:51,600 --> 01:12:53,760
Boomer, because you're not 
playing, you can't tell me 

1502
01:12:53,760 --> 01:12:55,680
you're playing the Steelers. 
I know you're not playing the 

1503
01:12:55,680 --> 01:12:58,680
Steelers. 
So I I have I'm doing 30 

1504
01:12:58,680 --> 01:13:01,880
lineups. 
Between the 200 and the 35, I 

1505
01:13:01,880 --> 01:13:08,120
plan on having 20% Kenneth 
Gainwell, I think Steelers and. 

1506
01:13:08,120 --> 01:13:11,720
Panthers. 
Like kind of the Evergreen shark

1507
01:13:11,720 --> 01:13:16,960
plays are are playing just like 
the obvious clicks on teams like

1508
01:13:16,960 --> 01:13:19,440
the Steelers and Panthers. 
Like no one because no one wants

1509
01:13:19,440 --> 01:13:21,440
to do it and it sucks to do it. 
It's not fun. 

1510
01:13:22,320 --> 01:13:25,000
Gainwell would be my pick too. 
For Pittsburgh. 

1511
01:13:25,000 --> 01:13:27,360
Game was a great a great pit a 
great play because like. 

1512
01:13:27,760 --> 01:13:29,600
And and he also like if they 
win. 

1513
01:13:29,840 --> 01:13:33,560
Then sweet you get a low 
advanced guy for two games but 

1514
01:13:33,560 --> 01:13:37,680
if they lose like he's he's the 
ultimate negative game script 

1515
01:13:38,440 --> 01:13:41,080
guy right? 
Like he it's just he could get 

1516
01:13:41,640 --> 01:13:45,280
11 catches and a loss. 
Also, doesn't he always look 

1517
01:13:45,280 --> 01:13:48,360
really good? 
This year he does. 

1518
01:13:48,760 --> 01:13:51,400
He looks really good, yeah. 
Yeah, I liked him. 

1519
01:13:51,400 --> 01:13:53,560
Surprised. 
I thought he'd be. 

1520
01:13:53,640 --> 01:13:54,800
I thought he'd be like a 
starter. 

1521
01:13:55,160 --> 01:13:56,760
He's still not. 
Yeah, he was like the he was 

1522
01:13:56,760 --> 01:13:58,440
like the 9th best running back 
in. 

1523
01:13:58,440 --> 01:14:03,200
Memphis University history once 
shared a backfield with what was

1524
01:14:03,200 --> 01:14:05,560
it, Daryl Henderson, Tony 
Pollard? 

1525
01:14:06,560 --> 01:14:08,280
It's it's a legendary, it's a 
legend. 

1526
01:14:08,480 --> 01:14:10,640
It it's a legendary theme. 
I got to go. 

1527
01:14:10,640 --> 01:14:12,000
Pull it up. 
Do you, Gibson? 

1528
01:14:12,400 --> 01:14:13,880
Do you know this Taylor 
gentleman? 

1529
01:14:15,080 --> 01:14:17,040
Saying that you're not a boomer 
'cause you used to double date 

1530
01:14:17,120 --> 01:14:18,280
the cheerleaders in our high 
school. 

1531
01:14:18,280 --> 01:14:20,040
They weren't the cute ones. 
That they were the cheerleaders,

1532
01:14:20,520 --> 01:14:24,160
Kevin is in fact. 
Shope's, Shope's age Kevin, 

1533
01:14:24,160 --> 01:14:27,560
Kevin is, is a boomer. 
I don't know why you wouldn't be

1534
01:14:27,560 --> 01:14:29,440
a boomer for, I mean, frankly, 
dating. 

1535
01:14:29,440 --> 01:14:30,720
A a cheerleader. 
In high school? 

1536
01:14:30,720 --> 01:14:32,320
Sounds like a pretty boomer 
thing to do. 

1537
01:14:32,320 --> 01:14:36,760
That's boomers technically are 
like 80 now by the way. 75 to 80

1538
01:14:37,000 --> 01:14:43,440
they're I'm not quite there yet.
Like dating a cheerleader in the

1539
01:14:43,440 --> 01:14:44,560
50s. 
We I'm not a. 

1540
01:14:44,560 --> 01:14:46,200
Boomer. 
I dated a cheerleader and listen

1541
01:14:46,200 --> 01:14:50,760
to The Beatles like, OK, sure, 
you don't sound like a boomer. 

1542
01:14:50,760 --> 01:14:54,080
OK, hold. 
On the 20. 18 the 20. 18 Memphis

1543
01:14:54,080 --> 01:14:57,600
Tigers This team went eight and 
six, by the way, eight and six. 

1544
01:14:57,600 --> 01:15:02,040
The 2018 Memphis Tigers Daryl 
Henderson, Patrick Taylor, Tony 

1545
01:15:02,040 --> 01:15:08,560
Pollard, Kenny Gainwell, Calvin 
Austin Antonio Gibson Oh, I 

1546
01:15:08,560 --> 01:15:11,720
forgot about Gibson 8. 
And six no Tyler Shuck. 

1547
01:15:12,040 --> 01:15:15,200
Even. 
That long ago, Tyler Shuck was 

1548
01:15:15,200 --> 01:15:18,320
playing at Oregon then. 
Justin Herbert's back up, right?

1549
01:15:18,360 --> 01:15:21,080
It wasn't on the. 
Ducks with Justin Herbert. 

1550
01:15:21,400 --> 01:15:24,160
By the way, I I just this is 
like, I mean, this is not. 

1551
01:15:24,160 --> 01:15:26,760
Related at all to what we're 
doing, But like I just, I 

1552
01:15:26,760 --> 01:15:30,040
learned a huge lesson in being 
Bayesian this year, specifically

1553
01:15:30,040 --> 01:15:32,800
with Tyler Shuck, because I was 
like, this guy is not a 

1554
01:15:32,800 --> 01:15:34,680
prospect. 
There's no fucking chance he's 

1555
01:15:34,680 --> 01:15:37,200
horrible. 
And then like he gets he goes in

1556
01:15:37,200 --> 01:15:39,280
the second round. 
They're kind of talking about 

1557
01:15:39,280 --> 01:15:42,120
him. 
He had, he had a like a weirdly 

1558
01:15:42,120 --> 01:15:44,600
good combine. 
Like he was like kind of, he was

1559
01:15:44,600 --> 01:15:46,240
like kind of athletic at the 
combine. 

1560
01:15:46,560 --> 01:15:49,680
And I just like at some point in
June just completely changed my 

1561
01:15:49,680 --> 01:15:52,280
mind and started drafting the 
shit out of him. 

1562
01:15:52,600 --> 01:15:55,120
And it's just like, wow, you 
actually can. 

1563
01:15:55,400 --> 01:15:58,960
It's a good thing to remain 
pliable and adjust your your 

1564
01:15:58,960 --> 01:16:02,680
thoughts to new information. 
He was a great superflex. 

1565
01:16:02,680 --> 01:16:05,080
Pick Yeah, I. 
Didn't really get to him that 

1566
01:16:05,080 --> 01:16:08,840
much in regular basketball, but 
Davis had a bunch of him at 

1567
01:16:08,840 --> 01:16:10,680
Superflex to. 
Corroborate Davis. 

1568
01:16:10,840 --> 01:16:15,240
Point he did get to him on May. 
6th in Last Call and it was a 

1569
01:16:15,240 --> 01:16:19,800
controversial vote because Chuck
was Last Call's highest scoring 

1570
01:16:19,800 --> 01:16:23,000
player this year. 
There we go. 

1571
01:16:23,200 --> 01:16:26,240
Dude, he did not win the MVP. 
He finished second. 

1572
01:16:26,240 --> 01:16:30,640
In the MVP voting to Jackson 
Dart, who carried as the only 

1573
01:16:30,640 --> 01:16:34,120
quarterback on the team 
fraudulent MMP Pat's team to a 

1574
01:16:34,120 --> 01:16:35,720
resounding. 
Win in last. 

1575
01:16:35,720 --> 01:16:38,920
Call everyone. 
Everyone was shitting on my 

1576
01:16:38,920 --> 01:16:41,960
team. 
Everyone shat on my team so hard

1577
01:16:41,960 --> 01:16:44,560
and it finished second in this, 
which is very, very funny. 

1578
01:16:44,840 --> 01:16:47,680
Did everyone do that? 
Everyone. 

1579
01:16:47,680 --> 01:16:49,800
Literally the comments. 
Were 100%. 

1580
01:16:49,800 --> 01:16:52,680
Aligned and shitting on my last 
call team, every last one of 

1581
01:16:52,680 --> 01:16:55,000
them. 
So we don't have all the numbers

1582
01:16:55,000 --> 01:16:56,600
up, do we have? 
Do we have? 

1583
01:16:56,600 --> 01:16:58,920
When I took fannin was it .4 
seconds before? 

1584
01:16:58,920 --> 01:17:05,560
Davis as the chart. 
That's good, Fannin. 

1585
01:17:06,440 --> 01:17:10,880
Was the highest. 
Scoring tight end Pat's team so 

1586
01:17:10,880 --> 01:17:14,040
weeks. 151617. 
All players that were drafted 

1587
01:17:14,240 --> 01:17:17,400
out of the top 200 at the time 
we week on a weekly basis made 

1588
01:17:17,400 --> 01:17:21,000
these picks. 
Holy shit, Pat's. 

1589
01:17:21,000 --> 01:17:22,520
Team was the highest. 
Scoring team each. 

1590
01:17:22,520 --> 01:17:27,640
Week, OH. 
Baby 106. .3. 4IN week. 15 

1591
01:17:27,640 --> 01:17:30,000
that's a pretty good feat Dart. 
Wait what is it? 

1592
01:17:30,000 --> 01:17:33,720
How much do I have one O 6.3? 
4IN week 15. 

1593
01:17:33,880 --> 01:17:40,080
With Dart, Devon Neal, Woody 
Marks, Troy Franklin in the 17.8

1594
01:17:40,640 --> 01:17:45,880
AD, Mitchell's 14.4, Jalen 
Coker's 12, Schultz 17.6 and 

1595
01:17:45,880 --> 01:17:49,920
Valet in the flex at 9.4, that 
was the highest scoring week for

1596
01:17:49,920 --> 01:17:53,960
anybody. 
I would have made some BBM teams

1597
01:17:53,960 --> 01:17:56,040
in in some in some advancing 
odds of that. 

1598
01:17:56,880 --> 01:17:58,120
You could have put me in your 
pod. 

1599
01:17:58,120 --> 01:17:59,680
I would have. 
I wouldn't have finished last. 

1600
01:18:00,000 --> 01:18:01,400
That's right. 
A couple more things. 

1601
01:18:01,480 --> 01:18:03,200
I had no quarterbacks. 
At all. 

1602
01:18:03,480 --> 01:18:05,560
Russell Wilson, Daniel Jones, 
Spencer Rattler. 

1603
01:18:05,560 --> 01:18:09,440
All zeros. 
Davis had zeros at wide 

1604
01:18:09,440 --> 01:18:13,880
receiver. 
All eight guys almost in Week 

1605
01:18:13,880 --> 01:18:17,120
17. 
In Week 17, almost no points at 

1606
01:18:17,120 --> 01:18:22,880
all for the playoff season. 
Davis got an 18 from Jaylen. 

1607
01:18:22,880 --> 01:18:26,600
Naylor. 
In week 15, an 8 from Lambert 

1608
01:18:26,600 --> 01:18:29,640
Smith in week 15 and then nobody
else went for more than a point 

1609
01:18:29,640 --> 01:18:31,920
in 1/2. 
That is OK, that's perfect, 

1610
01:18:32,080 --> 01:18:36,040
that. 
That is, is so perfect 'cause 

1611
01:18:36,040 --> 01:18:39,000
then, I mean, if you look at 
this list though, OK, I got 0 

1612
01:18:39,000 --> 01:18:41,480
points. 
I mean, this whole list, were 

1613
01:18:41,480 --> 01:18:45,560
any of these guys anyone you 
would have wanted in in those 

1614
01:18:45,560 --> 01:18:46,640
weeks? 
Orton got hurt, Yeah. 

1615
01:18:47,320 --> 01:18:47,840
He. 
Would have. 

1616
01:18:48,000 --> 01:18:48,600
No, no. 
I'm. 

1617
01:18:48,600 --> 01:18:50,520
Saying I'm saying all of our 
wide. 

1618
01:18:50,520 --> 01:18:52,720
Receivers, look at the whole 
like Tesla. 

1619
01:18:52,720 --> 01:18:57,760
Mine were terrible Tesla, you 
would have wanted Pat Bryant 

1620
01:18:57,760 --> 01:19:00,200
died. 
Troy Franklin didn't really die,

1621
01:19:00,200 --> 01:19:03,040
but kind of died. 
I had Alec Pierce, the highest 

1622
01:19:03,040 --> 01:19:04,240
scoring receiver. 
We There you go. 

1623
01:19:04,400 --> 01:19:06,520
Alec Pierce 42 points Alec 
Pierce, but he. 

1624
01:19:06,640 --> 01:19:09,320
Had zero in 17. 
And he had two points in 15. 

1625
01:19:11,240 --> 01:19:13,720
Yeah, but. 
But but but what I'm saying is 

1626
01:19:13,720 --> 01:19:16,200
and I there here. 
Is a lesson we can actually take

1627
01:19:16,200 --> 01:19:17,840
forward to ourselves, Mac Nova 
said. 

1628
01:19:17,840 --> 01:19:19,040
That is. 
Our slappy king. 

1629
01:19:19,480 --> 01:19:25,040
I got 0 points but but. 
Well. 

1630
01:19:25,120 --> 01:19:26,640
I actually think this is maybe 
more. 

1631
01:19:26,640 --> 01:19:28,520
Instructive. 
And actually something we can 

1632
01:19:28,520 --> 01:19:31,320
all take away from last call, 
which is that those wide 

1633
01:19:31,320 --> 01:19:35,760
receiver clicks you're making in
the the 161718, maybe just do 

1634
01:19:35,800 --> 01:19:39,280
anything else, maybe just 
literally anyone else than than 

1635
01:19:39,280 --> 01:19:40,920
those dudes. 
Well, what did we find? 

1636
01:19:40,920 --> 01:19:44,920
We found some tight ends, Pat. 
Got a 12.9 from Noel in the 

1637
01:19:44,920 --> 01:19:50,480
week. 17 Also for Houston idle 
manner for for Jacob had a 11 

1638
01:19:50,480 --> 01:19:56,200
point Coker, Juan Fanon Coker. 
Sure, Coker had some points, I 

1639
01:19:56,200 --> 01:19:58,800
mean. 
T for Eddie Mitchell like prior.

1640
01:19:59,400 --> 01:20:00,040
If they. 
If they. 

1641
01:20:00,520 --> 01:20:02,760
Stuck with Tyrod Taylor. 
If they stuck with Taylor, 

1642
01:20:02,760 --> 01:20:03,880
Smash. 
Yeah, yeah. 

1643
01:20:04,760 --> 01:20:06,240
Davis's. 
Chuck and Juan. 

1644
01:20:06,240 --> 01:20:08,920
Johnson Stack worked out nicely 
for him. 

1645
01:20:08,920 --> 01:20:11,680
College, College roommates and 
NF. 

1646
01:20:11,680 --> 01:20:16,960
LNFL Stack Partners look at that
one quarterback and he rode to. 

1647
01:20:17,320 --> 01:20:18,240
A pretty easy. 
Win. 

1648
01:20:19,920 --> 01:20:21,240
Yeah. 
So that was fun. 

1649
01:20:23,280 --> 01:20:24,160
That was fun. 
That was fun. 

1650
01:20:25,040 --> 01:20:26,560
Tonight is Boomer. 
Opto we've. 

1651
01:20:26,640 --> 01:20:29,280
We've been talking about. 
It and we will see what you guys

1652
01:20:29,280 --> 01:20:32,480
think We let me let me ask you 
this for the for the. 

1653
01:20:32,640 --> 01:20:36,400
For my boomer. 
Opto, give me your Put yourself 

1654
01:20:36,400 --> 01:20:41,320
in the mind of a boomer please, 
and you have to fade. 

1655
01:20:41,680 --> 01:20:44,920
Four teams. 
And I I for fade purposes. 

1656
01:20:46,440 --> 01:20:49,160
For fade purposes. 
Kicker and. 

1657
01:20:49,160 --> 01:20:51,520
Defense count, so the. 
Four teams you're not. 

1658
01:20:51,520 --> 01:20:54,800
Picking anything from 2 and 
kicker and defense for two more 

1659
01:20:56,200 --> 01:20:57,680
and you're now you're in your 
boomer. 

1660
01:20:57,680 --> 01:21:00,280
Mindset, OK. 
Think, think back to those 

1661
01:21:00,880 --> 01:21:04,920
glorious days with the, you 
know, the car, it's the old 

1662
01:21:04,920 --> 01:21:07,640
classics going down the road. 
You got, you're holding hands 

1663
01:21:07,640 --> 01:21:10,520
with the cheerleader. 
You got you got a pop in your 

1664
01:21:10,520 --> 01:21:15,600
hand here I sell the sodie pop. 
I got a. 

1665
01:21:15,600 --> 01:21:20,040
Sodie pop. 
So it's November 5th, 19. 55 All

1666
01:21:20,040 --> 01:21:23,280
right, go. 
On Mayor Goldie Wilson, signs 

1667
01:21:23,280 --> 01:21:29,680
all over town, Yeah. 
Anyway, you put yourself in that

1668
01:21:29,680 --> 01:21:31,400
mindset and tell me which four 
teams you're fading. 

1669
01:21:34,000 --> 01:21:35,520
I guess that's. 
Where he got the idea to run for

1670
01:21:35,520 --> 01:21:37,960
mayor, Which 4? 
Teams Am I fading? 

1671
01:21:37,960 --> 01:21:43,080
Pittsburgh. 
Carolina Chargers, Packers. 

1672
01:21:44,040 --> 01:21:49,680
OK. 
Is that what I have? 

1673
01:21:49,760 --> 01:21:51,960
Yeah. 
Pittsburgh, Carolina charges 

1674
01:21:52,000 --> 01:21:56,720
Packers Davis. 
Sorry, say that again. 

1675
01:21:57,360 --> 01:22:00,200
Which four teams are you fading?
If if you're a boomer. 

1676
01:22:00,200 --> 01:22:04,280
Not a Davis but but Boomer need 
your boomer mind. 

1677
01:22:05,120 --> 01:22:12,480
Panthers is the most obvious. 
I think Steelers I can, so this 

1678
01:22:12,480 --> 01:22:13,920
is what I'm trying. 
To understand is because the. 

1679
01:22:14,400 --> 01:22:19,280
To the boomer, the boomers are 
are sort of partial to Tomlin 

1680
01:22:19,280 --> 01:22:21,600
and Rogers and you you see what 
I'm saying? 

1681
01:22:22,000 --> 01:22:24,960
Like they they actually might be
doing a little bit more like 

1682
01:22:24,960 --> 01:22:27,800
Gainwell Metcalf. 
If the Colts had made this, 

1683
01:22:27,800 --> 01:22:29,440
Phillip Rivers would probably 
be. 15. 

1684
01:22:29,440 --> 01:22:34,560
Percent yeah, I it feels. 
Like feels like a boomer fade is

1685
01:22:34,560 --> 01:22:36,440
the. 
Bears feels like a boomer fade 

1686
01:22:36,440 --> 01:22:38,800
is like Caleb Williams paints 
his fucking nails, dude. 

1687
01:22:38,800 --> 01:22:41,360
No chance. 
That's a good point, yeah. 

1688
01:22:42,240 --> 01:22:45,360
Packers, Come on, man. 
Packers play the game the right 

1689
01:22:45,360 --> 01:22:49,840
way. 
I love the steak. 

1690
01:22:50,720 --> 01:22:52,320
All right, so so. 
It's what? 

1691
01:22:52,320 --> 01:22:56,880
What were the four then? 
If I'm a boomer, I'm fading. 

1692
01:22:58,440 --> 01:23:01,640
Texans, Panthers. 
Bears. 

1693
01:23:04,640 --> 01:23:06,680
I really am having a hard time 
finding the 4th. 

1694
01:23:07,960 --> 01:23:09,680
I think it's still the Steelers.
I think it's. 

1695
01:23:09,680 --> 01:23:11,240
Still, the Steelers I. 
You know what? 

1696
01:23:11,240 --> 01:23:13,200
You know what is is kind of 
sneaky and Chad. 

1697
01:23:13,200 --> 01:23:16,640
Just said this in the chat. 
I wonder if there's a little bit

1698
01:23:16,640 --> 01:23:19,080
of Jacksonville, Jacksonville 
soft fade. 

1699
01:23:20,680 --> 01:23:22,880
I think there's some 
Jacksonville soft fade, yeah. 

1700
01:23:23,400 --> 01:23:25,760
What, what none of you guys have
said is the Chargers. 

1701
01:23:25,760 --> 01:23:28,080
So you guys don't think the 
Chargers, Chargers you did, the 

1702
01:23:28,120 --> 01:23:31,320
Chargers, Chargers you did too? 
Wait, yeah, I thought you said 

1703
01:23:31,320 --> 01:23:33,160
the Packers. 
Packers. 

1704
01:23:33,160 --> 01:23:35,040
Chargers, Steelers, Mike and I 
both are the same. 

1705
01:23:35,200 --> 01:23:35,880
Packers, Chargers. 
Oh. 

1706
01:23:35,880 --> 01:23:37,560
Oh, OK. 
So I missed. 

1707
01:23:37,640 --> 01:23:39,640
I missed, sorry. 
I just completely wept there 

1708
01:23:40,480 --> 01:23:42,920
while you're in boomer mode the 
last quarterback. 

1709
01:23:43,240 --> 01:23:45,440
To win a Monday night game in 
Pittsburgh. 

1710
01:23:48,400 --> 01:23:52,800
The Steelers have won 23. 
Consecutive home Monday night 

1711
01:23:52,800 --> 01:23:56,840
games. 
Trent Dilfer, Jeff Hostetler. 

1712
01:23:56,840 --> 01:23:58,680
Was. 
A pretty good guess. 

1713
01:23:59,040 --> 01:24:02,440
Real. 
Yep, 1991 Giants. 

1714
01:24:02,720 --> 01:24:06,280
Steelers at Three Rivers Stadium
on the turf is the last Steelers

1715
01:24:06,280 --> 01:24:08,600
Monday night home loss. 
I believe it's 23 in a row. 

1716
01:24:08,600 --> 01:24:11,720
I know that's the number. 
Wow, you're up. 

1717
01:24:11,720 --> 01:24:15,360
CJ Stroud. 
OK, this is a boomer and a. 

1718
01:24:15,360 --> 01:24:17,360
Packers. 
Fan Packers don't have a shot, 

1719
01:24:17,360 --> 01:24:20,120
but that the Packers fan 
actually makes you less reliable

1720
01:24:20,120 --> 01:24:22,560
in this case because you're 
like, this is a very 

1721
01:24:22,560 --> 01:24:24,200
disappointing season as the 
Packers fan. 

1722
01:24:24,200 --> 01:24:27,600
So you know they have a definite
shot. 

1723
01:24:27,640 --> 01:24:30,360
It's no one who I'd want to. 
Pick from Green Bay, but sure 

1724
01:24:30,360 --> 01:24:33,560
they do so other other potential
fades. 

1725
01:24:33,760 --> 01:24:36,160
So Green Bay over. 
Houston, the Boomers fading 

1726
01:24:36,560 --> 01:24:40,040
Green Bay what? 
What's your defense in the in 

1727
01:24:40,040 --> 01:24:42,040
you guys? 
Both said Pittsburgh, Carolina 

1728
01:24:42,320 --> 01:24:45,920
Chargers, Packers. 
Where's the defense come from? 

1729
01:24:45,960 --> 01:24:47,600
Packers defense or Packers 
defense? 

1730
01:24:47,920 --> 01:24:50,520
Steelers I. 
See I I have Steelers D is is. 

1731
01:24:50,520 --> 01:24:54,960
Actually, the chalk D 'cause I 
think this is how if it's those 

1732
01:24:54,960 --> 01:24:58,880
four teams, even if you sub in 
the Bears, Chargers D yeah, 

1733
01:24:58,880 --> 01:25:01,600
there's boomer not equal chalk. 
Actually, no, I think, I think 

1734
01:25:01,600 --> 01:25:03,000
people. 
Would go pack I think the. 

1735
01:25:03,000 --> 01:25:06,040
Most common would be hard fade 
Steelers, hard fade Panthers, 

1736
01:25:06,040 --> 01:25:10,040
Packers D and Dicker the kicker.
OK. 

1737
01:25:10,600 --> 01:25:12,240
I probably. 
Need to get Packers D up? 

1738
01:25:12,480 --> 01:25:14,680
Now I could see, but I could. 
I could see Packers and 

1739
01:25:14,680 --> 01:25:18,320
Steelers. 
D being pretty similar, we just 

1740
01:25:18,440 --> 01:25:21,440
took Green Bay and ours by. 
The way, right? 

1741
01:25:23,080 --> 01:25:24,640
Yeah. 
Packers D wasn't. 

1742
01:25:24,640 --> 01:25:27,920
Like a very high. 
Scoring D this year they they 

1743
01:25:27,920 --> 01:25:30,800
were like the fourth worst 
scoring D and Steelers was the 

1744
01:25:30,800 --> 01:25:34,120
3rd best. 
So I'm thinking people actually 

1745
01:25:34,120 --> 01:25:38,960
play Steelers DA Bunch, but the 
thing about that game, the Green

1746
01:25:38,960 --> 01:25:41,600
Bay game, is that. 
This is their third meeting in 

1747
01:25:41,600 --> 01:25:44,840
like a month. 
Well I wonder what that needs to

1748
01:25:44,840 --> 01:25:47,040
the game. 
I think Steelers will be the 

1749
01:25:47,040 --> 01:25:48,760
most common defense just because
like. 

1750
01:25:49,400 --> 01:25:53,760
Like currently I have I mean and
and obviously I'm sure I'll. 

1751
01:25:53,760 --> 01:25:57,960
Be wrong by a lot but like. 
I have like an 80% total fade on

1752
01:25:57,960 --> 01:26:02,760
the Steelers. 
So like whereas the Packers I 

1753
01:26:02,760 --> 01:26:09,920
have as my fourth most popular, 
but I only have them 45% and I I

1754
01:26:09,920 --> 01:26:14,240
have 79% is is the Steelers, so.
We're we're holding hands there 

1755
01:26:14,960 --> 01:26:18,080
'cause like there's going to be 
random other teams too. 

1756
01:26:18,080 --> 01:26:21,320
Right, Like they'll be like, you
know, a little bit of Chargers 

1757
01:26:21,320 --> 01:26:23,520
D, There's going to be some 
Texans D like we talked about 

1758
01:26:23,520 --> 01:26:24,480
already. 
There's going to be like a 

1759
01:26:24,480 --> 01:26:27,040
little bit of Bears, DA little 
bit of, I mean, I think there'll

1760
01:26:27,040 --> 01:26:29,960
be a little bit of Seahawks and 
Broncos D because you could 

1761
01:26:29,960 --> 01:26:32,600
play, you could play that. 
Their first? 

1762
01:26:32,600 --> 01:26:34,280
Game too. 
I had some of that too. 

1763
01:26:34,360 --> 01:26:38,000
I think that. 
Seahawks will be less popular 

1764
01:26:38,000 --> 01:26:40,160
than Broncos because you have to
give up JSN. 

1765
01:26:41,120 --> 01:26:43,280
Yeah, and people are pretty. 
Easy. 

1766
01:26:43,720 --> 01:26:44,880
Denver's pretty easy, I think 
people. 

1767
01:26:44,880 --> 01:26:47,080
I think people will. 
Like playing Broncos D because. 

1768
01:26:47,680 --> 01:26:50,720
I mean, unless I have them as 
the third highest, unless, 

1769
01:26:50,840 --> 01:26:55,880
unless you're a believer, it's 
it's a weird team and. 

1770
01:26:55,880 --> 01:26:58,480
That like I don't know are. 
People that pump to play Sutton 

1771
01:26:58,480 --> 01:27:02,680
or Harvey, like, I doubt it, 
Yeah. 

1772
01:27:02,680 --> 01:27:05,080
No, I think but the problem is 
that. 

1773
01:27:05,080 --> 01:27:09,400
If you fade Denver, which I 
actually have Denver 16% faded, 

1774
01:27:09,400 --> 01:27:12,200
which is a quite a bit higher 
than than you would expect for 

1775
01:27:12,320 --> 01:27:16,080
the team's strength and that's 
to make the Super Bowl. 

1776
01:27:17,400 --> 01:27:19,200
If you fade them, then then 
you're. 

1777
01:27:19,200 --> 01:27:21,880
Playing. 
Both sides of the Packers, 

1778
01:27:22,320 --> 01:27:27,280
Bears, or you're playing both 
sides of the Chargers, Patriots,

1779
01:27:28,160 --> 01:27:30,480
right? 
So or you're playing a Steeler 

1780
01:27:30,480 --> 01:27:33,520
and a or a Panther. 
So it kind of puts you in a spot

1781
01:27:33,520 --> 01:27:36,200
where like, I don't think a lot 
of people will go there. 

1782
01:27:36,840 --> 01:27:40,000
You might actually start with 
Denver D and get to the end and 

1783
01:27:40,000 --> 01:27:42,400
then you're like, no, I'm 
playing Steelers D and I'm 

1784
01:27:42,400 --> 01:27:46,280
playing Sutton or whatever. 
I mean, I think that honestly. 

1785
01:27:46,280 --> 01:27:50,680
I think that Sutton and Harvey 
are bad plays because if you 

1786
01:27:50,680 --> 01:27:55,280
think about the Broncos stuff in
the scenario in which the. 

1787
01:27:55,280 --> 01:28:00,080
Broncos lose Round 2. 
Like probably. 

1788
01:28:00,160 --> 01:28:03,240
You want them. 
Hard faded or Broncos D or 

1789
01:28:03,240 --> 01:28:06,640
kicker if they get to the Super 
Bowl I think you want. 

1790
01:28:06,640 --> 01:28:09,040
Knicks. 
So I think that Sutton and 

1791
01:28:09,040 --> 01:28:11,800
Harvey are like only like 
there's a range of 

1792
01:28:11,800 --> 01:28:14,880
possibilities, but the only 
world in which Sutton or Harvey 

1793
01:28:15,920 --> 01:28:19,360
are likely to be the most 
optimal Bronco is specifically 

1794
01:28:19,360 --> 01:28:21,600
they win round two and lose 
round 3. 

1795
01:28:22,080 --> 01:28:24,080
But I don't think people are 
going to go through that whole 

1796
01:28:24,280 --> 01:28:28,680
math like if the NFC 
quarterbacks are really unlikely

1797
01:28:28,680 --> 01:28:30,680
to be optimal versus their 
teammates, except for maybe 

1798
01:28:30,680 --> 01:28:32,720
Hertz. 
But Stafford is is a dog to 

1799
01:28:32,720 --> 01:28:34,880
Puka. 
Purdy's a dog to McCaffrey. 

1800
01:28:36,160 --> 01:28:38,320
Caleb, if they get there would 
would be the would be an 

1801
01:28:38,320 --> 01:28:39,920
exception to this. 
But I don't think people are are

1802
01:28:39,920 --> 01:28:41,400
playing. 
It's not just that Stafford's a 

1803
01:28:41,400 --> 01:28:46,120
dog to Puka, but the two V2. 
Of like Nick's puka versus 

1804
01:28:47,000 --> 01:28:50,400
Stafford Sutton. 
It's like, not even close. 

1805
01:28:50,920 --> 01:28:53,000
Yeah. 
And like, even Hertz, like Hertz

1806
01:28:53,000 --> 01:28:54,600
is probably gonna. 
Outscore, well, definitely 

1807
01:28:54,600 --> 01:28:58,040
outscore Nix, but like will 
Hertz outscore Nix by more than 

1808
01:28:58,080 --> 01:29:01,040
Barkley or Brown outscores 
Harvey or something Like I'm not

1809
01:29:01,040 --> 01:29:02,480
sure. 
I would probably say Nix is the 

1810
01:29:02,480 --> 01:29:04,640
favorite on that because 
everything gets so spread out 

1811
01:29:04,640 --> 01:29:06,600
there. 
So I I really think Broncos 

1812
01:29:06,600 --> 01:29:10,080
Super Bowl you want Nix. 
Broncos lose Round 2. 

1813
01:29:10,280 --> 01:29:11,400
They're just like any. 
Other round one. 

1814
01:29:11,400 --> 01:29:13,960
Team like, I don't know, are 
like Harvey and Sutton more 

1815
01:29:13,960 --> 01:29:17,920
likely to be higher scoring in a
round two loss than Dowdell and 

1816
01:29:17,920 --> 01:29:20,120
Tetero McMillan? 
Like they're like coin flips 

1817
01:29:20,120 --> 01:29:22,520
with those guys. 
So I I just think that the 

1818
01:29:22,520 --> 01:29:25,320
Broncos skill players are going 
to be drastically overplayed. 

1819
01:29:25,720 --> 01:29:30,440
And, and probably what I think 
more people should do is is 

1820
01:29:30,440 --> 01:29:33,240
either take Nicks or they should
just fade the team entirely. 

1821
01:29:33,240 --> 01:29:35,480
I think it's a narrow path for 
Sutton and Harvey. 

1822
01:29:36,640 --> 01:29:38,400
I like this take. 
I don't know that the. 

1823
01:29:38,400 --> 01:29:41,200
Field's going to play like this.
But it's a honestly, that's the 

1824
01:29:41,200 --> 01:29:44,080
most compelling case for Nick's 
quarterback. 

1825
01:29:45,200 --> 01:29:47,040
Well, I do. 
You. 

1826
01:29:47,040 --> 01:29:48,400
I don't think they're going to. 
Play it a little. 

1827
01:29:48,400 --> 01:29:49,600
That's why I think it's a good 
pick. 

1828
01:29:49,960 --> 01:29:51,640
No, I know. 
I thought they were going to 

1829
01:29:51,640 --> 01:29:52,840
play like a little bit. 
More. 

1830
01:29:53,920 --> 01:29:56,680
You've you've got me thinking, 
maybe Nix gets up to to. 

1831
01:29:56,680 --> 01:29:59,040
Where he's actually played more 
than Stafford, for example. 

1832
01:29:59,040 --> 01:30:01,960
But I am more than Stafford. 
But yeah, A. 

1833
01:30:02,320 --> 01:30:04,000
Lot, but maybe that's just my 
own. 

1834
01:30:04,920 --> 01:30:07,760
What do you have Nix at? 
Let me. 

1835
01:30:07,760 --> 01:30:11,320
Pull that up I. 
Have Nix at. 10 and I have 

1836
01:30:11,320 --> 01:30:17,480
Stafford at three. 
Yeah, Jacob's legal mind at 

1837
01:30:17,480 --> 01:30:18,880
work. 
That. 

1838
01:30:18,920 --> 01:30:20,280
Should be, yeah. 
I I don't mind. 

1839
01:30:20,280 --> 01:30:21,760
I don't mind. 
It I bet. 

1840
01:30:21,760 --> 01:30:24,320
Purdy goes pretty underplayed. 
Well, I made an underplay, but I

1841
01:30:24,560 --> 01:30:26,640
He's probably not gonna get 
played much at all 'cause you I 

1842
01:30:26,680 --> 01:30:29,240
think he's gonna get squeeze a 
ton, 'cause he's gonna get. 

1843
01:30:29,240 --> 01:30:32,320
Squeeze and if you get yourself 
off McCaffrey, I think it's 

1844
01:30:32,360 --> 01:30:34,600
easier to talk yourself into. 
Well, I'll take the tight end. 

1845
01:30:35,480 --> 01:30:38,320
Yeah, yeah, I probably have him 
I had. 

1846
01:30:38,320 --> 01:30:39,760
Him at 5:00 that's probably too 
high. 

1847
01:30:41,920 --> 01:30:46,960
I wonder if quarterback's a bit 
more spread than that's all I 

1848
01:30:46,960 --> 01:30:49,160
had it that. 
That you're probably maybe. 

1849
01:30:49,160 --> 01:30:51,800
Closer to right, because every 
year that I, every year I feel 

1850
01:30:51,800 --> 01:30:53,520
like I think it's going to be a 
little bit more spread and it's 

1851
01:30:53,520 --> 01:30:57,640
never that spread. 
May's an easy click. 

1852
01:30:58,680 --> 01:31:00,960
In a lot of ways because you you
don't have to think about the 

1853
01:31:00,960 --> 01:31:05,360
Patriots headache if you don't 
take May and then and to your 

1854
01:31:05,360 --> 01:31:09,360
point, I mean, Alan, you just go
to cook that's super comfy and 

1855
01:31:09,360 --> 01:31:10,920
then you don't have to He's not 
a. 

1856
01:31:10,920 --> 01:31:12,080
Gross. 
Click either. 

1857
01:31:12,080 --> 01:31:15,280
Like, you're like, yeah, I mean,
May could put up a lot of points

1858
01:31:17,640 --> 01:31:19,120
and he can be optimal in two 
games. 

1859
01:31:20,640 --> 01:31:22,280
What'd you say? 
What do you have, Hertz? 

1860
01:31:22,280 --> 01:31:30,400
Hat ownership wise 8 'cause I 
mean I I do wonder like did you 

1861
01:31:30,400 --> 01:31:33,120
have .8? 
No, I haven't. 

1862
01:31:33,120 --> 01:31:34,560
Like way higher. 
That's really. 

1863
01:31:35,280 --> 01:31:37,320
Yeah, yeah, I haven't. 
Oh, interesting. 

1864
01:31:37,400 --> 01:31:40,200
Please say 25. 
Well, I just. 

1865
01:31:40,200 --> 01:31:42,400
Wonder like is everyone? 
Is is everyone in the whole? 

1866
01:31:42,400 --> 01:31:44,560
Field just going to take an AFC 
quarterback basically, then 

1867
01:31:45,400 --> 01:31:48,640
maybe yes, doesn't really 
matter. 

1868
01:31:48,640 --> 01:31:49,880
Maybe. 
Yes, yeah. 

1869
01:31:49,960 --> 01:31:52,480
I mean. 
Hertz is not. 

1870
01:31:52,520 --> 01:31:54,120
He hasn't had that. 
Good of a year. 

1871
01:31:54,320 --> 01:31:56,760
He's no, he hasn't traditionally
been played. 

1872
01:31:57,040 --> 01:31:59,200
That much? 
They don't have great odds to 

1873
01:31:59,200 --> 01:32:01,600
make the Super Bowl. 
They're they're what about, what

1874
01:32:01,600 --> 01:32:03,480
about Goddard? 
What about Goddard for the 

1875
01:32:03,480 --> 01:32:05,000
Eagles? 
With these fake bullshit 

1876
01:32:05,000 --> 01:32:07,840
touchdowns they give him, he'll 
get a little bit, he'll get a 

1877
01:32:07,840 --> 01:32:10,320
little, he'll get a little. 
He's he's kind of interesting to

1878
01:32:10,320 --> 01:32:11,360
me. 
Thinking about it. 

1879
01:32:11,840 --> 01:32:17,760
I have him at 8:00. 
I think I'm at. 11:00 I could go

1880
01:32:17,760 --> 01:32:18,320
down a. 
Little bit. 

1881
01:32:21,640 --> 01:32:22,920
What do you have? 
Total tight end? 

1882
01:32:22,920 --> 01:32:26,960
It feels like it's gonna be a 
really low year. 120% so 1.2 

1883
01:32:26,960 --> 01:32:29,840
tight end so. 
So I have exactly 120 as well, 

1884
01:32:29,840 --> 01:32:30,840
but I'm wondering if that's 
high. 

1885
01:32:31,240 --> 01:32:33,560
I think it might actually be 
high, and I think some of it is,

1886
01:32:33,560 --> 01:32:34,960
but. 
Schultz comes down because 

1887
01:32:34,960 --> 01:32:36,960
people fade Houston a little bit
more than I was thinking, and 

1888
01:32:36,960 --> 01:32:40,280
they don't fade. 
Yeah, I've got to figure out 

1889
01:32:40,280 --> 01:32:42,320
where the fate. 
The thing is, there's like. 

1890
01:32:43,000 --> 01:32:46,080
You end up having to play more 
teams than you want to play in 

1891
01:32:46,080 --> 01:32:49,160
this in this year's. 
So it's like, oh, I'm gonna, I'm

1892
01:32:49,160 --> 01:32:51,400
gonna fade. 
Houston, LA, Pittsburgh, 

1893
01:32:51,400 --> 01:32:55,920
Carolina and Green Bay. 
They're like got to play someone

1894
01:32:56,200 --> 01:32:57,720
and like, it's one of. 
Those teams, you got to play 

1895
01:32:57,720 --> 01:33:00,280
someone. 
From I think Gadsden is a fun 

1896
01:33:00,440 --> 01:33:03,800
long shot. 
At tight end I could see it's 

1897
01:33:03,800 --> 01:33:06,000
fading New England like we are. 
Yeah, I can see that. 

1898
01:33:06,280 --> 01:33:07,760
When New England fades, because 
I think new. 

1899
01:33:07,800 --> 01:33:09,000
England catches a little. 
Fade too. 

1900
01:33:09,000 --> 01:33:11,480
And I think Denver catches some 
fade to your point. 

1901
01:33:11,480 --> 01:33:15,560
And then I think Jacksonville 
catches some fade and then the 

1902
01:33:15,560 --> 01:33:19,040
bears as well. 
So there's like, but I also 

1903
01:33:19,040 --> 01:33:20,880
think that. 
The Panthers. 

1904
01:33:20,880 --> 01:33:25,120
And the Steelers get Uber faded 
and, and one of the the things 

1905
01:33:25,120 --> 01:33:29,640
from doing this over the years, 
last year I had Denver 86% 

1906
01:33:30,080 --> 01:33:32,480
projected fade. 
They came in at 86%. 

1907
01:33:32,480 --> 01:33:35,760
I had Steelers at 88%. 
They came in at 91%. 

1908
01:33:36,200 --> 01:33:38,840
That's total fade including 
kicker and D Green Bay the year 

1909
01:33:38,840 --> 01:33:43,880
before I had it 77 percent, 74 
Pittsburgh, I had it 94%. 

1910
01:33:44,160 --> 01:33:51,080
They came in at 95 like it is. 
Yeah, these like massive, like 

1911
01:33:51,080 --> 01:33:54,800
the the the seven seeds that 
suck or whatever, the low the 

1912
01:33:54,800 --> 01:33:57,720
the people think the crap out of
them. 

1913
01:33:57,960 --> 01:33:59,360
I mean the Steelers and 
Panthers. 

1914
01:33:59,360 --> 01:34:00,680
Are both. 
Fours so this. 

1915
01:34:00,840 --> 01:34:03,160
You can make the same argument, 
it's just this year. 

1916
01:34:03,160 --> 01:34:05,880
For what it's worth, the sevens 
are way better. 

1917
01:34:06,040 --> 01:34:08,560
The sixes and sevens are way 
better than they've been for 

1918
01:34:08,560 --> 01:34:10,560
years. 
This is the sixth year of the 17

1919
01:34:10,560 --> 01:34:12,600
play offs. 
There's only ever been one close

1920
01:34:12,600 --> 01:34:16,240
game between the two and the 
seven, and that was kind of a 

1921
01:34:16,240 --> 01:34:17,920
fluke. 
Buffalo was A2 touchdown 

1922
01:34:17,920 --> 01:34:21,000
favorite against Skylar Thompson
and 13431. 

1923
01:34:21,000 --> 01:34:23,480
The Bills have been the 2 four 
times in these five years. 

1924
01:34:23,600 --> 01:34:25,960
But a lot of these these Steeler
teams at 7. 

1925
01:34:26,040 --> 01:34:30,040
In fact, the 17 to win is Green 
Bay in Dallas and they blew him 

1926
01:34:30,040 --> 01:34:31,760
out. 
Wasn't even a close game anyway.

1927
01:34:31,960 --> 01:34:34,760
Well, and I don't think people 
really believe in the twos and. 

1928
01:34:34,760 --> 01:34:38,200
The threes the same like like no
one is Lowen is looking at the 

1929
01:34:38,200 --> 01:34:41,200
Bears the way that they looked 
at previous two seeds, right? 

1930
01:34:41,240 --> 01:34:44,200
I I mean no one, even the 
patriots. 

1931
01:34:44,400 --> 01:34:46,720
I don't think people are viewing
this like a dominant team. 

1932
01:34:47,080 --> 01:34:50,160
I mean the the team that that'll
it seems like the most common 

1933
01:34:50,160 --> 01:34:53,520
Super Bowl pick out of the AFC 
is the Bills, who's a six seed 

1934
01:34:53,760 --> 01:34:55,320
and it's the Rams, who's a five 
seed. 

1935
01:34:55,600 --> 01:34:57,320
That's who, that's who people 
believe in. 

1936
01:34:58,080 --> 01:35:00,360
So it's it's it's yeah, it's a 
really weird yeah. 

1937
01:35:00,360 --> 01:35:02,400
The three seat people don't 
really believe in the Jags. 

1938
01:35:02,400 --> 01:35:04,000
People don't. 
Believe in the Patriots, really,

1939
01:35:04,280 --> 01:35:05,880
no one really believes in the 
Broncos. 

1940
01:35:06,400 --> 01:35:09,960
So, yeah, it's, it's, I mean, 
the Texans are kind of. 

1941
01:35:10,280 --> 01:35:13,040
But now you're already to. 
Like I kind of picking the 

1942
01:35:13,040 --> 01:35:15,840
Texans because I don't no one's 
going to think I'm dumb if I, 

1943
01:35:15,880 --> 01:35:17,280
you know, because it's sort of a
long shot. 

1944
01:35:17,360 --> 01:35:20,560
Like I'm already getting the 
long shot juice, you know, when 

1945
01:35:20,560 --> 01:35:21,920
you go. 
But like, who then who's the 

1946
01:35:21,920 --> 01:35:25,440
favorite? 
Yeah, it's wild, I guess. 

1947
01:35:25,440 --> 01:35:29,160
The more chances are take take 
more chances this year because 

1948
01:35:29,160 --> 01:35:31,720
the Rocco's people maybe I 
shouldn't have. 

1949
01:35:31,720 --> 01:35:33,320
Given that. 
Away, you know, now I'm going to

1950
01:35:33,320 --> 01:35:36,560
see I'm going to see all these 
Bonex teams in the FFPC playoff 

1951
01:35:36,560 --> 01:35:39,040
challenge. 
Well Bonex is is also. 

1952
01:35:39,040 --> 01:35:41,760
I mean he is a boomer. 
So I think he'll have, you know,

1953
01:35:43,480 --> 01:35:45,800
by being the same age. 
As the people selecting him I 

1954
01:35:45,800 --> 01:35:48,560
think maybe. 
He does get this because like, 

1955
01:35:48,960 --> 01:35:51,240
if you look at where the 
quarterback ownership tends to 

1956
01:35:51,240 --> 01:35:56,320
come from over the years, it is 
a lot of I want my quarterback 

1957
01:35:56,520 --> 01:35:58,600
in the Super Bowl because you 
get double points in the Super 

1958
01:35:58,600 --> 01:36:00,000
Bowl. 
Obviously, quarterbacks score a 

1959
01:36:00,000 --> 01:36:02,000
lot of points. 
So trying to get your 

1960
01:36:02,000 --> 01:36:04,840
quarterback in the Super Bowl 
has been, you know, an obvious 

1961
01:36:05,000 --> 01:36:09,680
and popular way to play this. 
Maybe I'm just underestimating. 

1962
01:36:09,680 --> 01:36:12,360
Nix, and maybe he's. 
Feels like a growth, a grosser 

1963
01:36:12,360 --> 01:36:16,520
Click to me than he will to a a 
a section of the field. 

1964
01:36:17,080 --> 01:36:19,840
I hope you're not. 
Isn't is is is is Josh? 

1965
01:36:19,960 --> 01:36:24,240
Is Josh not just going to be? 
The the huge. 

1966
01:36:24,360 --> 01:36:28,480
Chalk on the phone. 
Next I had I had Alan as the as 

1967
01:36:28,480 --> 01:36:31,040
the chalk. 
Over May when I did my first 

1968
01:36:31,040 --> 01:36:36,040
run, but then I kind of came off
of that a bit after talking with

1969
01:36:36,040 --> 01:36:37,440
Jacob. 
But you think so when? 

1970
01:36:37,440 --> 01:36:40,200
You're. 
Putting a line together and 

1971
01:36:40,200 --> 01:36:41,440
you're. 
Starting with the Bills. 

1972
01:36:41,440 --> 01:36:43,200
Are you? 
Do you want Cook or Josh? 

1973
01:36:46,240 --> 01:36:48,720
In a vacuum, I'd much rather 
have Alan, but yeah. 

1974
01:36:49,080 --> 01:36:51,320
I tend to agree. 
Vacuum Alan for sure, and. 

1975
01:36:52,320 --> 01:36:55,720
I just keep going to the the 2 V
2 of May cook to me feels so 

1976
01:36:55,720 --> 01:37:00,440
much better than Allen anybody 
patriots but I I. 

1977
01:37:00,600 --> 01:37:02,000
But I mean, if people start 
with. 

1978
01:37:02,000 --> 01:37:04,280
Quarterback and then they don't 
care. 

1979
01:37:04,760 --> 01:37:06,120
I guess that's the boomer way to
build, right. 

1980
01:37:06,120 --> 01:37:08,080
You just you start with your 
quarterback, you put Allen in 

1981
01:37:08,320 --> 01:37:09,880
yeah. 
So if you just put Allen in and 

1982
01:37:09,880 --> 01:37:11,400
you. 
Don't even start thinking about.

1983
01:37:11,400 --> 01:37:14,640
The two V2, I think you put 
Allen in, then you just put in 

1984
01:37:14,640 --> 01:37:16,560
Allen and. 
Then you just figure it out. 

1985
01:37:16,960 --> 01:37:20,800
So that's, that's maybe I think 
they'll be pretty close. 

1986
01:37:22,000 --> 01:37:27,080
What time is the show tonight? 
I believe it is at 8 Eastern 5. 

1987
01:37:27,080 --> 01:37:32,320
Pacific 930 Plumeropto reveal 
Newfoundland. 9. 30. 

1988
01:37:32,800 --> 01:37:36,040
In Newfoundland Atlantic. 
Is that Atlantic or is like 9? 

1989
01:37:36,040 --> 01:37:40,160
Is it 7 central? 
Some special other. 17 Central. 

1990
01:37:40,160 --> 01:37:43,600
6 mountain, 7 central, Yeah. 
Do you know more? 

1991
01:37:43,600 --> 01:37:46,080
Of the schedule for the week it.
Feels like it's going to be like

1992
01:37:46,080 --> 01:37:50,880
we're doing ownership. 
On Wednesday we're on 

1993
01:37:50,880 --> 01:37:53,800
Boomeropto, then the ownership 
reveal, then we're going to be 

1994
01:37:53,800 --> 01:37:59,560
talking with with Draco and 
Sacrilegious on Thursday, 

1995
01:37:59,560 --> 01:38:01,960
talking some of the the other 
playoff baseball contests as 

1996
01:38:01,960 --> 01:38:05,960
well as this one. 
And then on Friday, Leonie's 

1997
01:38:05,960 --> 01:38:11,320
joining us and we're doing our 
final build and I, I think 

1998
01:38:11,480 --> 01:38:14,720
Dink's joining us too. 
I should have confirmed that, 

1999
01:38:14,720 --> 01:38:17,600
but but we're going to do the 
the same show that we that we do

2000
01:38:19,320 --> 01:38:21,000
every year. 
Leonie's definitely coming. 

2001
01:38:21,440 --> 01:38:22,920
Yeah. 
Davis, you have anything of your

2002
01:38:22,920 --> 01:38:23,880
own this week? 
Probably. 

2003
01:38:24,760 --> 01:38:27,560
Yeah, Karain and I are. 
Streaming. 

2004
01:38:27,560 --> 01:38:34,040
At 12:30 Central, 10:30 Pacific.
And would that would that be 

2005
01:38:34,040 --> 01:38:37,320
2:00 PM Atlantic time, 2:00 PM 
Newfland, yes. 

2006
01:38:38,120 --> 01:38:40,120
So 2. 
PM The funny way to say it is. 

2007
01:38:40,120 --> 01:38:44,000
Just maritime. 
Yes. 2 PM. 2:00 PM Maritime. 

2008
01:38:44,440 --> 01:38:49,280
On my channel, Crane and I will 
be firing up the The Sims. 

2009
01:38:49,280 --> 01:38:52,360
We're going to be trying to 
draft some winners and, and 

2010
01:38:52,360 --> 01:38:54,560
doing that there and then 
immediately after this we do 

2011
01:38:54,560 --> 01:38:58,560
this whole cast. 630 Greenwich 
Mean perhaps. 

2012
01:38:59,000 --> 01:39:02,480
Jacob Yeah, we'll have our our 
usual dynasty. 

2013
01:39:02,480 --> 01:39:04,320
Points show tonight. 
But then thinking about 

2014
01:39:04,320 --> 01:39:06,240
thinking, I will just be writing
about this. 

2015
01:39:06,920 --> 01:39:11,200
I'll be writing about Bo Nicks, 
I think mostly today, and I'll 

2016
01:39:11,200 --> 01:39:13,240
do it right up on every team. 
It's a good thing. 

2017
01:39:13,240 --> 01:39:17,080
We'll do some some stuff Flag. 
And later in this week, those of

2018
01:39:17,080 --> 01:39:19,040
you who don't get enough bills 
in the fantasy. 

2019
01:39:19,040 --> 01:39:21,720
Space I'm on WGR every weekday 
from three to seven. 

2020
01:39:21,720 --> 01:39:25,480
I'll have the post game show 
Sunday Ross Tucker today for 

2021
01:39:25,480 --> 01:39:29,720
Eastern and best of luck to your
Co host for the for the MVP. 

2022
01:39:29,720 --> 01:39:31,200
Yes. 
Yeah, you're. 

2023
01:39:32,760 --> 01:39:36,000
Good for Stafford, for anybody. 
Who joined us, you know, within?

2024
01:39:36,000 --> 01:39:38,160
The last hour and a half. 
Hang on. 

2025
01:39:38,280 --> 01:39:40,360
That's it. 
Thank. 

2026
01:39:40,480 --> 01:39:42,560
Thank you everybody. 
Thanks to the FFPC for. 

2027
01:39:42,640 --> 01:39:45,320
Coordinating with us and enjoy 
the rest of your day.

