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If you don't know where you're 
going to be on January first 

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2023, and what matchups you'll 
be watching on that day. 

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You're paying the rake prior 
homos. 

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Handjob exercise. 
Germar Chase. 

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Eric or welcome back to the show
was the last know you've had to 

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have been on since last summer 
show, right? 

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I can't really remember, I can't
really remember, because all 

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I've been thinking about for the
last, like, three months has New

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Year's Day 2023. 
So, I don't really remember a 

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lot of the, you know, guest 
appearances that I've made. 

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I'm really just hyper-focus 
married to the game if you will,

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that's right now, that's how I 
want to make sure. 

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Cause sometimes I question, you 
know, everyone's I'm trying to 

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think here, because this help if
I do this, just grabbing for my 

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depression, just makes your 
ticker here. 

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I'll have to work on the for bad
egg here, but if you do, if you 

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know the schedule, you get it, 
you get it. 

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We're making our, we're making, 
we're making it, we're making a 

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shirt. 
It's going to be glorious. 

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I'm really excited for all. 
Thanks to each other twice, as 

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Jack, Black Jacks. 
I don't know what happened. 

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I just copied from my 
spreadsheet. 

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Oh, it's because Houston plays 
Casey Tennessee in Jacksonville,

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and then Jacksonville's next 
alphabetically. 

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So, goddesses are the three 
matchups for each team. 

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This is the three Matchups. 
Yes, here's your cheat sheet. 

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I know. 
But Eric, how about have you 

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been, dude? 
It's been, it's been wonderful. 

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I was, I was trying to look 
before but I got distracted with

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with the basketball game and 
like last year, we it took a 

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long time throughout the 
offseason to kind of like really

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shake things up in the whole 
like best ball space, right? 

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Like last year was like the 
first big gear of drafting and 

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then like one of these streams, 
you know, we did the wide 

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receiver thing and the next 
thing, you know, the whole draft

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Market That now we're like 
barely out of May. 

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It's June 8th. 
I literally had to check. 

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The date is June 8th and like we
already have everybody triggered

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about the stupid. 
So it's so stupid week, 17 

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things. 
So I feel like we're making 

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progress. 
I'm anxious to see it, really 

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irks. 
Yeah. 

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What, what happens next year? 
Like what are we going to talk 

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about in? 
Like February like while the 

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Super Bowl is going? 
Are we gonna be streaming about 

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like what you know our strategy 
is for for next year? 

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I don't know but we're making 
progress. 

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What I love about the week 17 
thing is that like even people 

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who agree with the week 17 
thing, or also still just drink 

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the whole conversation. 
Yes, of course. 

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But please stop with Eric about 
it too. 

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It was like, I don't know, I put
out the video. 

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Eric's, been talking a lot about
it at Spike week, I guess I 

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haven't like seen it. 
I know some of the ETR, guys, 

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jack Miller's wrote in up 
written up a few good pieces 

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about it. 
But I haven't really seen it 

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that many places other than But 
everyone is mad. 

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Everyone is mad about this right
now. 

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They're precious best ball. 
Game has been ruined by. 

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It seems like there was just 
silence. 

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It was just your video, the 
video. 

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I mean, you've got a, there's a 
medic here where you used to 

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make fun of the group think. 
And now, when you make something

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serious, it's immediately the 
group think that everyone wants.

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It was funny this how the 
sausage gets made on that 

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because I was I've been working 
with Michael. 

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Abner on those videos he's 
helped out a ton and we were 

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trying to Rack our brain for 
good titles for that video 

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because everyone now does the 
how to win two million dollars 

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playing basketball. 
It's like we've all seen that a 

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million times so it's just white
noise and I had the it had the 

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Epiphany to I was like week 17 
is all that matters that is good

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click that and it will trigger 
the shit out of a lot of people 

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and apparently it did I just 
realized the The Logical end to 

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the med I just described is you 
mocking you gotta have to have 

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you Uh, yeah video now. 
Oh, you got a pad immediately 

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like work? 
Well, that just like, yeah, what

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was it in the dynasty Guy video?
He was given the ship Chasers, 

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the jerk-off motion for their 
Sky more love. 

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So yeah, I think I do have to do
another best ball bro, sequel? 

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We just have so many. 
I mean, Eric think about like 

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even the vocabulary that has 
changed like when I made that 

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video last year. 
I mean, so many of the things we

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talked about now barbell week 
70, like we weren't this wasn't 

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even part of the vernacular. 
No, it's fucking nuts, dude. 

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Like it took, it took a whole 
year. 

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It took a whole year to like now
I'm like memeing Trail ants, 

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right? 
That's it. 

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This year like before this whole
week 17 thing came about. 

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All I'm doing is kind of your 
stupid bit videos because it's 

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not really worth while to put 
out this serious content because

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you either get the people like 
on the show listening to it or 

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like in your Discord in my 
Discord, whatever where we can 

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have some serious conversation 
about it but like on Twitter and

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whatever. 
We just joke around and now but 

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the feedback loop is so fast. 
Now, like last year, it was 

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like, we were all willing to 
have real conversations about 

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all of this. 
I legitimately believe that, 

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like, the week 17 thing is like 
something we figured out like, 

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like, we all knew it last year, 
right? 

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We talked about it. 
I mean, we talked about it on 

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this show. 
You talked about on your 

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streams, we talked about it on 
the stream that we did that on 

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the, the best Ball Mania team 
that did that did really well, 

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James Conner, because he was 
playing our Dallas Cowboys 

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stack. 
Exactly exactly half the pics. 

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We made were because of the week
17 thing. 

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But last year, for whatever 
reason, it didn't stick with 

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people and now like that 
feedback loop. 

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It was like a lot of people, I'm
not calling myself smart, but a 

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lot of smart people started to 
figure out like em, like in your

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video, all the money is in week 
17, like literally all the money

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is in week 17. 
So I should probably try to do 

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my best to optimize for that. 
That's all we've said. 

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And I don't know what happened. 
All the sudden everybody is just

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like, oh, all they ever talk 
about is week 17. 

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And and like, that's not true. 
But it's like the 0 RB. 

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It's the new 0 RB. 
It's 100% the new 0r B. 

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Like there's no middle ground to
be had in this whole 

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conversation. 
You're like gonna need ten more 

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years arguing to get to the 
news, your RV. 

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How about I'm retired? 
I hope I'm not doing this in 10 

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years, I'm up. 
I'm up two minds about this 

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because on the one hand, you 
know, before the draft I was 

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like I should answer some puppy 
slows and of course, 

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accidentally entered a puppy 
fast, which I'm in right now. 

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So getting sniped on AJ Green in
the in the sixteenth round is 

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like such a gross feeling of 
like I was going to draft them 

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and now I'm so I can't but I 
need him because I have Tyler 

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and I already have Kyler double 
stacks and I have got a drake 

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one to bring back but I still 
wanted that sweet sweet triple 

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stack. 
So from that sets like week 16 

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week 17 is dumb and we should 
stop talking about it but I 

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think there's also like some 
meat left on the bone here with 

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this conversation because like 
not only is week 17 like so much

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more important than advancing 
but like week 16 is also way 

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more important than advance and 
like you know like doing well in

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week 15 week 15 is also way more
important than advancing. 

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So like I think like we're still
there's still some more 

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triggering to come here on one, 
kind of like how. 

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Because right we're taking a 
game this best ball game that's 

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been primarily about like Being 
able to win your 12 team 12, 

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team leagues, consistently or 
maybe even like grinding 3 mins 

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and six man's whatever and just 
like almost like a cash game 

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strategy and it's now 
transformed to the super 

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top-heavy tournament structure, 
which is like a completely 

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different game to the point. 
Like I think we're all still 

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kind of realizing just how 
different it is from like best 

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ball and I do think. 
Now again, we were obviously in 

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such a bubble for the people who
are still attacking it this way,

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but I don't know how you feel 
Eric, but what I feel, Like I 

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almost want to have an addendum 
or a PSA of like there is 

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diminishing returns to reaching 
for the stacks and I almost feel

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like it's now. 
Okay, say there's a cohort of us

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who are hammering. 
This strategy, the best at 

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employing, this are now going to
be the most patient of that 

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cohort who can sit and wait on 
their correlation, you're going 

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to get more naturally unique 
teams because that cohort is 

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reaching to get these stacks and
it's going to have similar 

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Stacks repeated over and over, 
who can build the super teams 

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with the correlation. 
Patient enough to sit on it. 

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I feel like that is now the game
for me it was 100% Auto Dragon, 

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so, yeah, the drop-off exactly. 
He's got to focus on this puppy 

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draft, but I actually think 
that's the thing that gets 

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missed. 
The most in any, like, strategic

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conversation is that it becomes 
binary, it becomes 0. 

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All you care about is week 17 
and that is absolutely not true,

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right? 
You, you still have to Leone 

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replied. 
To one of the Tweets that I had 

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and said it really really 
perfectly. 

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It was it was so smart basically
calling it as long as your 

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stick. 
So we have to put all these 

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addendums on these things, 
right? 

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But as long as you're still 
drafting a structurally smart 

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team, right? 
You don't have six. 

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Quarterbacks you're drafting, 
you know, you're not reaching 

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two, three, four rounds on 
players like as long as we put 

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those caveats in, you get to a 
tier of players, right? 

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Like you talked about in the 
draft we did last year. 

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Are we going to take James, 
Conner? 

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Or we going to take, whoever 
right another Another very 

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similar running back in the 10th
round, will you take that? 

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It's like a tiebreaker. 
It's like, on this team for this

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structure of vest ball 
tournament. 

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Now that that player makes more 
sense, but he doesn't always 

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make more sense, right? 
Even if you have Arizona guys or

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Atlanta guys, or last year, it 
was Cowboys and Cardinals, guys,

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that Claire doesn't always make 
sense. 

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He started a robust running back
team, you don't take James 

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Conner there. 
So there's a lot, it's like the 

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third or fourth rung down. 
On the list when you're doing 

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the drafts and so I just don't 
ever, I don't really get why 

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it's even like a triggering 
thing because it's just like a, 

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I've reached a tear, right? 
I've reached a tear and now, how

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do I decide between guys that 
project the exact same, right? 

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It's just like in DFS. 
I've two guys to project within 

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point, two points of each other.
Well, I'm going to choose the 

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things that make the most sense 
on that lineup, right? 

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00:10:46,800 --> 00:10:49,700
I'm not just going to pick the 
guy that projects 4.1 more. 

200
00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:51,800
I'm going to pick the guy that 
gets the most sense on that line

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up. 
So I don't know. 

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00:10:52,900 --> 00:10:55,400
This is any different. 
Yeah. 

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00:10:55,400 --> 00:11:01,100
And I was stupid. 
I mean this is it. 

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Like when you say is the news, 
you are be. 

205
00:11:03,100 --> 00:11:05,900
It's an Uzi or be in that regard
that like everything you just 

206
00:11:05,900 --> 00:11:08,200
said, made perfect sense. 
But people still people don't 

207
00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:10,800
love uncertainty, right? 
So like what you just described 

208
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about players being in similar 
to yours requires us to 

209
00:11:13,400 --> 00:11:16,000
acknowledge what we've been 
trying to talk about with 0 RB 

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and so many other strategies for
years. 

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The NFL seasons are chaotic when
we don't know a lot, we're gonna

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have mrs. 
We have to bake in some 

213
00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:26,100
resiliency, we have to try to 
build an anti fragile team that 

214
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can actually get better with in 
chaos because there's going to 

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00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:30,800
be chaos. 
There's going to be a lot of 

216
00:11:30,800 --> 00:11:34,100
Uncertain events But like 
everyone wants to predict they 

217
00:11:34,100 --> 00:11:36,500
want to, they want to, you know,
I know better. 

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00:11:36,800 --> 00:11:38,500
Why would you take this plate 
over this playlist but it's 

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00:11:38,500 --> 00:11:42,500
definitely better. 
I mean, everything you said, but

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actually feels. 
It feels less like Zero running 

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00:11:46,700 --> 00:11:51,400
back to me and more like some 
like, DFS gpp strategy stuff. 

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00:11:51,400 --> 00:11:53,800
We're like, yeah, yeah. 
Like it feels like the thing 

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like, you know, I watch your 
shows in your like guys, we 

224
00:11:57,000 --> 00:12:01,000
cannot eat the chalky. 
We can't do it and it's like 

225
00:12:01,000 --> 00:12:03,400
every week, you're like, you 
know, that they're like with 

226
00:12:03,400 --> 00:12:04,700
this. 
We can we need to talk to you, 

227
00:12:04,700 --> 00:12:10,300
like still no more like that. 
Where like people are kind of on

228
00:12:10,300 --> 00:12:13,100
board, they want to be on board,
there's some, but like we're all

229
00:12:13,100 --> 00:12:15,300
still kind of figuring out like 
what the optimal way to play a. 

230
00:12:15,300 --> 00:12:17,600
So there's this ongoing 
conversation but there's also 

231
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:20,300
like these biases that you're 
fighting that you want to draft 

232
00:12:20,300 --> 00:12:22,300
a certain way like even if you 
know, you should need to talk to

233
00:12:22,300 --> 00:12:23,800
you. 
You kind of want to that week 

234
00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:25,500
because it's such a good player.
Whatever it is. 

235
00:12:25,500 --> 00:12:29,700
I feels more like that than 0 RB
where people have gone to their 

236
00:12:29,700 --> 00:12:31,800
camps and their, and their 
sharpening their weapons. 

237
00:12:31,800 --> 00:12:35,200
But it's similar though I think 
from the DFS perspective, sorry 

238
00:12:35,200 --> 00:12:39,100
Pete, I was just going to say 
because I obviously like I came 

239
00:12:39,100 --> 00:12:41,700
from DFS. 
So a lot of this is where my 

240
00:12:41,700 --> 00:12:44,500
mind you know, naturally 
gravitates to his these kinds of

241
00:12:44,500 --> 00:12:45,600
things. 
I also think that's why I like 

242
00:12:45,600 --> 00:12:48,800
Pete came across this while a 
lot of us all think the same is 

243
00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,400
because we come from DFS, I 
don't really come. 

244
00:12:51,400 --> 00:12:53,500
I know you guys kind of You more
than me. 

245
00:12:53,500 --> 00:12:55,700
Like, I don't come from 
traditional season, like I 

246
00:12:55,700 --> 00:12:59,100
haven't been grinding the main 
event for years and like trying 

247
00:12:59,100 --> 00:13:02,700
to, you know, pick the pick, the
best plays or whatever. 

248
00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:05,700
Sorry, Mike. 
Those guys literally just like 

249
00:13:05,700 --> 00:13:07,000
started putting something in my 
ears. 

250
00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,600
Those freaking that was freaking
me out for a second. 

251
00:13:09,900 --> 00:13:14,500
Those four years since before 
I've been doing it definitely 

252
00:13:14,500 --> 00:13:17,400
care about the playoffs like 
their lives every year, they 

253
00:13:17,400 --> 00:13:20,900
were looking at Weeks, 14 15, 16
back in the day, every year. 

254
00:13:20,900 --> 00:13:22,500
Like that's one of the first 
things I learned from shamas. 

255
00:13:22,700 --> 00:13:26,300
He cared a lot about the 
matchups and the number we did 

256
00:13:26,300 --> 00:13:29,400
Fantasy Land in our very first 
trip and we were interviewing 

257
00:13:29,400 --> 00:13:31,600
the Grinders and they were 
talking to us about the schedule

258
00:13:31,600 --> 00:13:33,800
and I remember that was like a 
lightbulb moment for you and me 

259
00:13:33,808 --> 00:13:37,100
that we're like, oh we had never
even thought of looking at the 

260
00:13:37,100 --> 00:13:41,300
week, 14 through 16 at the time 
and just I would just close out 

261
00:13:41,300 --> 00:13:48,000
the point, the the DFS angle, it
reminds me so much of talking 

262
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,800
with blender, right? 
So for like more than a year, I 

263
00:13:50,800 --> 00:13:55,500
podcast it with blender every 
Eek and he has big stick. 

264
00:13:55,600 --> 00:14:00,000
If you don't know Jordan Cooper 
at blender HD on on Twitter is 

265
00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:03,100
like you know he's like play, 
whoever you want, that's his 

266
00:14:03,100 --> 00:14:05,500
thing. 
But it when it goes back to is 

267
00:14:05,500 --> 00:14:07,700
like, people be like, do you 
like this guy or this guy? 

268
00:14:07,700 --> 00:14:10,400
He's like, I don't fucking know.
Look at the projection, you 

269
00:14:10,400 --> 00:14:12,900
know, I don't care. 
These Darrell chest, these are 

270
00:14:12,900 --> 00:14:14,500
chess pieces and that's what it 
is. 

271
00:14:14,508 --> 00:14:17,500
Invest ball to its people are, 
but people are not. 

272
00:14:17,500 --> 00:14:20,000
It's not ingrained in us that 
there's in DFS, we kind of are 

273
00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,600
now. 
It's such a mature industry. 

274
00:14:22,700 --> 00:14:25,300
Re-invest ball. 
It's not people are like no 

275
00:14:25,400 --> 00:14:29,200
watch the film on this guy and 
you're like, I mean, yeah, you 

276
00:14:29,200 --> 00:14:32,000
like that plays into my rankings
in my projections and all that, 

277
00:14:32,000 --> 00:14:34,700
but but then, once I reach a 
certain point that that player 

278
00:14:34,900 --> 00:14:38,300
is at the same tear on my 
rankings and projects the same 

279
00:14:38,300 --> 00:14:41,500
as everybody else, then we move 
on to the next you know, the 

280
00:14:41,500 --> 00:14:46,000
next lever that I pull and, and 
like, but people, I feel like in

281
00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:47,900
best ball we haven't reached the
point where that's like the 

282
00:14:47,900 --> 00:14:51,400
market cans in DFS, 100%. 
That's I mean we're way past 

283
00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:54,100
that we're way more advanced 
Pete's talking to Brick and 

284
00:14:54,100 --> 00:14:57,900
Bricks doing shit that I never 
even meet up guy can dream of in

285
00:14:57,900 --> 00:15:00,500
his in his models and stuff. 
But we just haven't got their 

286
00:15:00,500 --> 00:15:04,700
invest ball and it's funny, you 
say, the the, the whole play, 

287
00:15:04,700 --> 00:15:07,500
whoever you want, because I was 
thinking about that as far as 

288
00:15:07,500 --> 00:15:11,200
constructions to and I was 
thinking, like, draft whoever 

289
00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,000
you want. 
Like, I truly think in the first

290
00:15:13,000 --> 00:15:16,000
three to four rounds, assuming 
you're not, maybe taking like to

291
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:19,800
cubies within the first four, 
you can build a logical 

292
00:15:19,800 --> 00:15:22,500
well-made team based on whatever
you do. 

293
00:15:22,600 --> 00:15:26,000
Do in those first four or five 
rounds and it's just it's what 

294
00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,000
you do after that. 
It's the whole thing. 

295
00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:29,800
Hyper fragile is always the best
example. 

296
00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,600
You can start three Arby's that 
is completely fine. 

297
00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:36,100
It's do you take your feet off 
the gas and then reallocate all 

298
00:15:36,100 --> 00:15:38,000
your Capital to the other 
positions? 

299
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:39,600
And that's what I think is so 
fun about this. 

300
00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:42,800
It's like, I can't I never feel 
comfortable nitpicking a draft 

301
00:15:42,800 --> 00:15:46,200
board until like round six 
because it's still like this is 

302
00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:48,100
a Choose Your Own Adventure at 
the start. 

303
00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:50,100
Yeah, it's like the blender 
thing. 

304
00:15:50,100 --> 00:15:52,100
It's, you know, if you want to 
get the truck running back that 

305
00:15:52,100 --> 00:15:55,300
week, Eat the chalk running back
but then you have but then don't

306
00:15:55,300 --> 00:15:58,300
eat the truck stack at the chalk
bring that you know like he's 

307
00:15:58,300 --> 00:15:59,800
writing GBP that's not going to 
work out. 

308
00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,500
So it's kind of like this like 
you want to start two or three 

309
00:16:02,500 --> 00:16:04,700
running backs, like start two or
three running backs but then 

310
00:16:05,400 --> 00:16:08,700
don't take that fourth, just 
take the fourth in round five 

311
00:16:08,700 --> 00:16:12,000
that's gonna hurt. 
And and then when all of the 

312
00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:16,400
money is in week 17, right? 
Similar to a DFS tournament. 

313
00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:20,100
All the money is at the top. 
So your you are not building, 

314
00:16:20,100 --> 00:16:21,800
two, men. 
Cash, why are you having the 

315
00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:23,700
conversation that you Just 
mentioned, right? 

316
00:16:23,700 --> 00:16:26,000
Dalvin cook Sout. 
Alexander Madison is 5K. 

317
00:16:26,900 --> 00:16:29,200
He's going to be 80% own. 
I'm going to play him. 

318
00:16:29,200 --> 00:16:31,300
I decided I'm going to play a 
me, projects to well or 

319
00:16:31,300 --> 00:16:35,800
whatever. 
Then, right, Ryan Tannehill to 

320
00:16:35,800 --> 00:16:38,200
AJ Brown, is also going to be 
the highest own stack. 

321
00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:41,700
It's like, okay, I probably 
can't play that like and I 

322
00:16:41,708 --> 00:16:43,800
can't. 
And then the Eagles are facing 

323
00:16:43,800 --> 00:16:46,800
whatever offense, they're going 
to be a 30 percent on defense. 

324
00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:50,400
You have to start making 
decisions because all the money 

325
00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:52,400
is at the top. 
And how do I get there? 

326
00:16:52,700 --> 00:16:54,600
Not by playing the same guys 
that everybody else does. 

327
00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:56,800
So the week 17 thing is the same
thing. 

328
00:16:56,900 --> 00:17:00,600
All the money is in week 17. 
So once I reach a point similar 

329
00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:02,600
to, okay? 
I decided on Alexander Madison. 

330
00:17:02,800 --> 00:17:07,700
I decided on these first six 
picks in my draft now, what do 

331
00:17:07,700 --> 00:17:11,200
I, how do I decide that gives me
the best chance to win this 

332
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:12,500
turn? 
This game, that we're playing 

333
00:17:12,500 --> 00:17:14,200
this game and like, we don't 
have to. 

334
00:17:14,200 --> 00:17:16,900
Like if you don't like the 
payout structure, that's fine. 

335
00:17:17,000 --> 00:17:20,000
Like don't play, but this is the
game that we're playing, and 

336
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:22,900
it's all that money is there. 
So you should make your Ins 

337
00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:26,000
after that fact accordingly. 
What do you think about this 

338
00:17:26,000 --> 00:17:27,700
question? 
Because I don't do you have a 

339
00:17:27,700 --> 00:17:31,100
good example for this? 
Eric Josh says, what about when 

340
00:17:31,100 --> 00:17:34,900
the ATP is influenced by week? 
17 considerations already kit? 

341
00:17:35,100 --> 00:17:37,800
I don't know if I can spot one 
that specifically, due to week 

342
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:40,400
17. 
No, because it's awesome. 

343
00:17:40,400 --> 00:17:45,500
House probably is because people
want to Stack around those 

344
00:17:45,500 --> 00:17:48,600
late-round guys that are like 
part of those really popular 

345
00:17:48,600 --> 00:17:51,100
game Stacks. 
I imagine that KJ, KJ Handler 

346
00:17:51,700 --> 00:17:55,400
Katie, What're those guys are 
all going to be steamed up as he

347
00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:58,200
going ahead of time Patrick now 
because he's still no several 

348
00:17:58,200 --> 00:17:59,300
rounds under God's. 
Damn. 

349
00:17:59,300 --> 00:18:03,300
Well, please Tim Patrick hardly 
fits into that because he goes, 

350
00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:06,000
I mean, this is Tim patches 
Autumn and he goes, he goes 

351
00:18:06,000 --> 00:18:08,600
pretty high. 
But they never like brother goes

352
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:11,300
higher than he might like, well,
although, those are games. 

353
00:18:11,300 --> 00:18:13,200
Those are specific games that 
doesn't. 

354
00:18:13,200 --> 00:18:17,400
We're not talking about the 
week, 17 is not about spotting 

355
00:18:17,400 --> 00:18:20,200
right now. 
The game on New Year's Day 2023.

356
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:21,500
That's going to score the most 
points. 

357
00:18:21,700 --> 00:18:24,000
It's about Korra Dating from 
within, right? 

358
00:18:24,300 --> 00:18:27,800
If I take AJ, Brown, Pat and I 
talked about Pat came on one of 

359
00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:31,100
my shows the other a week ago. 
And we talked about man, 

360
00:18:31,100 --> 00:18:34,600
actually in week 17, that that 
Eagles Saints game looks kind of

361
00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:37,100
gross, which sucks because we 
were really excited about the 

362
00:18:37,100 --> 00:18:39,400
Eagles. 
But that doesn't mean don't take

363
00:18:39,400 --> 00:18:44,700
Eagles, but like Chris olave, or
whatever, or whoever ends up 

364
00:18:44,700 --> 00:18:46,500
being the second running back on
the scene. 

365
00:18:46,500 --> 00:18:48,200
So you tell me who it is, right?
G. 

366
00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:50,100
Miss those guys aren't getting 
steamed. 

367
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:53,400
It's just a correlation thing. 
It's like if I Look, this guy 

368
00:18:53,400 --> 00:18:56,900
when I get to this round and I'm
in a structure that requires a 

369
00:18:56,908 --> 00:18:59,200
wide receiver. 
I take Crystal Ave and that one 

370
00:18:59,200 --> 00:19:02,500
or I take Jarvis Landry and that
one even though I don't really 

371
00:19:02,500 --> 00:19:06,100
care about those guys, you've 
already got it - see yep. 

372
00:19:06,100 --> 00:19:08,100
You major busy. 
At the end of the season that 

373
00:19:08,100 --> 00:19:11,900
there's going to be some games 
that are way more correlated 

374
00:19:12,300 --> 00:19:15,400
than other games, which I'm not 
saying like I still should be 

375
00:19:15,400 --> 00:19:18,900
the case but like not even. 
So I think the shoe things one 

376
00:19:18,900 --> 00:19:22,200
people are like I'm going to 
stack up the bills bangle, you 

377
00:19:22,208 --> 00:19:24,600
know? 
Bill's, Bangles Chiefs, Broncos,

378
00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:27,800
the LA Boulders, couple games 
are like those are enticing just

379
00:19:27,800 --> 00:19:29,200
out the gate. 
People might be like, I'm going 

380
00:19:29,200 --> 00:19:32,400
to try to stack up the game but 
then also if you get a chief 

381
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:35,300
you're like you're getting a 
Bronco like that's one that 

382
00:19:35,300 --> 00:19:37,900
you're not going to not, you 
know, you're going to make an 

383
00:19:37,900 --> 00:19:39,200
effort, too many correlate that 
one. 

384
00:19:39,200 --> 00:19:43,000
Whereas if you get a panther, 
maybe you don't bother trying to

385
00:19:43,000 --> 00:19:44,900
prioritize a buck or whatever it
is. 

386
00:19:45,300 --> 00:19:47,700
So I think right? 
Don't you think that like just 

387
00:19:47,700 --> 00:19:51,800
naturally so maybe a pivot off 
that is like, Making more of an 

388
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:56,500
effort to prioritize many stacks
across the board rather than the

389
00:19:56,500 --> 00:19:58,700
ones that are going to be like 
super heavily correlate problem.

390
00:19:59,000 --> 00:20:00,500
Hmm. 
Well, that's a but there's a 

391
00:20:00,508 --> 00:20:03,500
bunch of specific questions of 
our games about questions about 

392
00:20:03,500 --> 00:20:05,900
like specific. 
Like Casey says, we sure we want

393
00:20:05,900 --> 00:20:10,000
to put our faith and we Vegas 
week, 17, total severe just hit 

394
00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:11,800
that? 
No, this is this is the exact 

395
00:20:11,800 --> 00:20:15,100
point that we aren't trying to 
identify which game is the best.

396
00:20:15,100 --> 00:20:17,600
There's one thing we can 
predict, we know which teams are

397
00:20:17,600 --> 00:20:20,100
playing and we know that 
correlation is a factor. 

398
00:20:20,400 --> 00:20:23,800
Does not matter which game you 
should just be correlating the 

399
00:20:23,800 --> 00:20:26,500
pears. 
I literally have zero bias on 

400
00:20:26,500 --> 00:20:29,700
what I'm not going after. 
Just the team's I think are 

401
00:20:29,700 --> 00:20:31,700
gonna have a 50 plus Point team 
total. 

402
00:20:31,700 --> 00:20:34,900
I mean, even think to it on a 
week-to-week basis in DFS, the 

403
00:20:34,900 --> 00:20:37,200
chalk players end up coming from
the highest. 

404
00:20:37,200 --> 00:20:40,000
Projected total games, you know,
in Dallas and Arizona are 

405
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:41,800
playing and it's a 55 point 
total. 

406
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:45,300
That's where all the chalk 
concentrates, but how many times

407
00:20:45,300 --> 00:20:47,600
do we see a team? 
Take it down with a 48 point. 

408
00:20:47,600 --> 00:20:50,600
Total game a 46-point like 
that's what we're Doing here. 

409
00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:53,500
We can't predict won't be 70. 
Yeah we just been predict the 

410
00:20:53,500 --> 00:20:55,900
correlation even a DFS in a 
given week. 

411
00:20:55,900 --> 00:20:57,300
We don't know what game is gonna
blow. 

412
00:20:57,300 --> 00:21:00,800
I mean remember no late last 
year when Rex Burkhead went off 

413
00:21:00,800 --> 00:21:04,300
and Houston LEC well, the money 
like 11:10 won, all the money 

414
00:21:04,300 --> 00:21:07,000
playing, both Justin Jackson, 
Rex Burkhead, I mean that was 

415
00:21:07,000 --> 00:21:09,700
smart as hell the. 
But even on a one-week sample, 

416
00:21:09,700 --> 00:21:12,600
when we know what the teams Pass
rates, are we know what the 

417
00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:14,000
matchups are. 
We know who's injured? 

418
00:21:14,000 --> 00:21:15,000
We know what everything's going 
to be. 

419
00:21:15,400 --> 00:21:17,600
We're still not right. 
That's not a football works. 

420
00:21:17,600 --> 00:21:20,900
It's like sometimes the game 
just shoot out sometimes In 

421
00:21:20,900 --> 00:21:24,000
early pick six. 
There's a, you know, a schematic

422
00:21:24,000 --> 00:21:26,300
thing that the team saw and they
get a lot more pass, having 

423
00:21:26,300 --> 00:21:29,300
whatever. 
Obviously, you can't predict 

424
00:21:29,300 --> 00:21:31,700
that in June. 
I mean that's like a writing 

425
00:21:31,700 --> 00:21:34,300
drafting much, but I can hear 
you guys, says, 45 minutes and 

426
00:21:34,300 --> 00:21:36,800
figure out what the hell. 
You guys are saying, but it 

427
00:21:36,800 --> 00:21:39,700
doesn't stick in. 
You got to be way more 

428
00:21:39,700 --> 00:21:41,400
comfortable with uncertainty. 
I say that when you're doing 

429
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:42,600
this, you are be drafts and 
everything. 

430
00:21:42,600 --> 00:21:45,800
Like, people are not comfortable
with uncertainty, with 

431
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:48,900
uncomfortability like stack used
in Jacksonville. 

432
00:21:48,900 --> 00:21:52,400
I don't know boss. 
Alec is a, he's being serious. 

433
00:21:52,900 --> 00:21:54,700
He's being serious, I know, he's
being serious. 

434
00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,400
Go for it. 
Like, like, why can't that game?

435
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:00,100
Shootout? 
That's, that's the bigger 

436
00:22:00,100 --> 00:22:01,000
question. 
Why to that point? 

437
00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:02,500
Where is it? 
Here's a, here's a, here's a 

438
00:22:02,900 --> 00:22:08,100
piggybacking on that. 
You get to the 16th round and 

439
00:22:08,100 --> 00:22:11,100
you went robust running back. 
So it's wide receiver time, 

440
00:22:11,200 --> 00:22:11,800
right? 
16? 

441
00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:14,100
17, 18. 
Theoretically, these guys are 

442
00:22:14,100 --> 00:22:15,600
sick Erica. 
Yeah, that's true. 

443
00:22:15,700 --> 00:22:19,300
You're right, you're right. 
But you so you drive. 

444
00:22:20,500 --> 00:22:22,400
Because you're already dead or 
you're saying you would happen? 

445
00:22:22,500 --> 00:22:26,800
Yes, bust is the key part of 
that phrase but you need wide 

446
00:22:26,800 --> 00:22:28,300
receivers, right? 
Your whatever, your structure 

447
00:22:28,300 --> 00:22:29,600
is, you need wide receivers in 
these. 

448
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:33,900
These late rounds that game is /
is perfect and you can plan 

449
00:22:33,900 --> 00:22:35,900
ahead for that. 
You can be like, okay I get to 

450
00:22:35,900 --> 00:22:37,000
this spot. 
Guess what? 

451
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,600
John mechi Nico Collins. 
Welcome to the team in the 

452
00:22:40,600 --> 00:22:44,200
sixteenth round or whatever. 
And then rub in Jordan Brevin, 

453
00:22:44,200 --> 00:22:47,400
Jordan is available late. 
If you still want to ride the 

454
00:22:47,408 --> 00:22:50,900
visca train, he's back there. 
I like type, I'm Drafting is a 

455
00:22:50,900 --> 00:22:54,800
Jones right? 
There's a fucking fucking Dan 

456
00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,200
Arnold doing it. 
Get you want to get super crazy?

457
00:22:57,200 --> 00:22:59,100
You want like but there's 
options right? 

458
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:00,500
I don't give a shit about the 
names. 

459
00:23:00,600 --> 00:23:03,500
There's options for you to 
figure out a little backdoor 

460
00:23:03,500 --> 00:23:05,900
orbit Jones. 
He was really late Martin. 

461
00:23:05,900 --> 00:23:07,600
I don't want to really like 
Jones but he goes, I don't 

462
00:23:07,600 --> 00:23:09,500
either. 
I don't either. 

463
00:23:09,700 --> 00:23:12,500
But you know what I mean? 
Like, it makes sense like those 

464
00:23:12,500 --> 00:23:14,700
just do that. 
It's like, I don't. 

465
00:23:14,700 --> 00:23:17,000
Does anyone actually like, I'm 
probably not going to watch, 

466
00:23:17,100 --> 00:23:20,200
Houston Jacksonville game, but 
it's like that. 

467
00:23:20,400 --> 00:23:23,500
Little like, when you get to 
that point and your team has 

468
00:23:23,500 --> 00:23:26,800
dictated that sounds like it 
should be Thursday night, right?

469
00:23:27,100 --> 00:23:29,500
I hope at the fact that you 
don't know. 

470
00:23:29,900 --> 00:23:31,000
Yeah. 
Off the street. 

471
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:34,200
I've eaten. 
You had one job memorized. 

472
00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:37,700
The schedule. 
You don't have to memorize the 

473
00:23:37,700 --> 00:23:42,200
days and then yeah, yeah, yeah. 
You gotta know, if that's a 

474
00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:45,100
short week, you know, defense 
has been arrested. 

475
00:23:45,100 --> 00:23:48,800
Exactly, exactly. 
I wasn't doing anything about 

476
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:51,700
difficulties of people. 
Cowboys Titans on that Thursday 

477
00:23:51,700 --> 00:23:53,100
FYI. 
Pat okay. 

478
00:23:53,800 --> 00:23:56,400
Oh jeez. 
I don't know even more reason to

479
00:23:56,400 --> 00:23:58,800
fade. 
Derrick Henry J Wiki. 

480
00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,200
I don't know how to say his name
but he said if there's 

481
00:24:01,200 --> 00:24:04,100
absolutely three games are 
getting steamed, if they're all 

482
00:24:04,100 --> 00:24:08,600
valid rough equally roughly 
right now, that means it's deaf 

483
00:24:08,600 --> 00:24:14,900
plus EV to fade between each all
games, but I fade not fade, but 

484
00:24:14,900 --> 00:24:19,100
not reach to build stacks from 
the when I always like to talk 

485
00:24:19,100 --> 00:24:22,500
about is building Our teams from
the back to the front. 

486
00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:25,600
And I think most people 
especially with these games 

487
00:24:25,600 --> 00:24:27,300
build their teams from the front
to the back. 

488
00:24:27,300 --> 00:24:31,100
So they start in round one and 
you're like I got to March Ace. 

489
00:24:31,400 --> 00:24:33,700
Boom. 
Bills Bengal stack, right? 

490
00:24:33,700 --> 00:24:37,200
I'm gonna take whatever I'm 
gonna get my Josh Allen, or I'm 

491
00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:39,300
going to get my job or I'm going
to get my gay Davis, I'm going 

492
00:24:39,300 --> 00:24:41,700
to get digs whatever. 
However, it works out in your 

493
00:24:41,708 --> 00:24:43,900
draft. 
They force it from the front and

494
00:24:43,900 --> 00:24:45,300
I think you should do the 
opposite. 

495
00:24:45,300 --> 00:24:46,900
Just kind of Let it Flow To You.
Right? 

496
00:24:46,900 --> 00:24:49,800
If you know if you take Chase 
and digs fall see which never 

497
00:24:49,800 --> 00:24:52,300
happens? 
But if it happens, yeah, sure of

498
00:24:52,300 --> 00:24:54,300
course. 
But you don't just like, oh now 

499
00:24:54,300 --> 00:24:56,500
I got to take Josh Allen. 
And then in the third, now I got

500
00:24:56,500 --> 00:24:58,900
to take D Higgins and now I'm 
going to reach around for 

501
00:24:58,900 --> 00:25:00,900
jobber. 
Oh, that's how you lose. 

502
00:25:01,100 --> 00:25:04,300
Even though you targeted a good 
game, imagine how triggered 

503
00:25:04,300 --> 00:25:06,400
everyone would be. 
If we said, you can't take stuff

504
00:25:06,400 --> 00:25:09,900
digs in round one because he's 
the chalk week, 17 kids down. 

505
00:25:12,000 --> 00:25:17,600
That's what I was going to say 
is I mean they're all good 

506
00:25:17,600 --> 00:25:19,400
offenses. 
They probably going to be good 

507
00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,200
ovens is a week 7. 
There's not like a legit reason 

508
00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:25,600
for us to be fading them this 
far in advance either, but I 

509
00:25:25,600 --> 00:25:28,900
really like the way I just put 
that because my answer to that 

510
00:25:28,900 --> 00:25:31,500
question and I would be less 
knowledgeable than any of you 

511
00:25:31,700 --> 00:25:35,400
but it would be that you have 18
roster spots, 20 rostros, 

512
00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:40,200
whatever they are on these 
graphs these days in DFS. 

513
00:25:40,200 --> 00:25:43,000
Like the question is sort of 
assuming sort of like in DFS 

514
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,300
what game do we fade? 
Because it's the chalky game. 

515
00:25:46,200 --> 00:25:48,800
You can stack like four games 
in. 

516
00:25:48,800 --> 00:25:51,300
Yeah, and I'm the best ball. 
Raft is my point. 

517
00:25:51,300 --> 00:25:54,300
So you can have this and Houston
Jacksonville, you know, you 

518
00:25:54,300 --> 00:25:56,900
probably still want exposure to 
those three games in some form. 

519
00:25:57,100 --> 00:25:58,400
But like you said, Eric, you're 
not. 

520
00:25:58,400 --> 00:26:01,300
You don't need an S, like go 
straight for a full game stack 

521
00:26:01,300 --> 00:26:04,700
from round, 2 3 4, you can take 
chase, you can wind up, taking 

522
00:26:04,700 --> 00:26:06,800
gate Davis, and that's your 
little mini correlation you hope

523
00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:07,900
that. 
When that game shot a little 

524
00:26:07,900 --> 00:26:10,300
bit, those guys, both have 
multiple touchdown games. 

525
00:26:10,400 --> 00:26:13,300
They're the big parts of that 
game but it's not like a the 

526
00:26:13,300 --> 00:26:16,000
huge big, you know, winner you 
have multiple other plays, you 

527
00:26:16,008 --> 00:26:17,900
have Houston Jack right? 
You have other stuff going on, 

528
00:26:18,200 --> 00:26:19,600
right? 
You just kinda her and 

529
00:26:19,600 --> 00:26:21,200
Hollywood. 
On that team to. 

530
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:24,300
And that with the Drake London, 
bring back our whatever. 

531
00:26:24,300 --> 00:26:26,800
As your, as your quote-unquote 
main main. 

532
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,900
It's like in a DFS, I can DFS we
use, S, I call, you know, it's a

533
00:26:29,900 --> 00:26:33,200
calm secondary correlations, I'm
doing that across all my best 

534
00:26:33,200 --> 00:26:36,000
ball teams, that's actually 
probably, what takes more of my 

535
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:40,500
brain energy in a draft is like,
I took the Andre Swift, okay? 

536
00:26:40,500 --> 00:26:42,700
I got the either, put them in 
the queue, right? 

537
00:26:42,700 --> 00:26:46,000
Or in the back of my head, I got
the Bears there. 

538
00:26:46,300 --> 00:26:48,900
I don't need to stack them just 
because I took DeAndre Swift but

539
00:26:48,900 --> 00:26:51,900
I'm just thinking about When a 
tear comes. 

540
00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:55,500
Okay, this tier is Darnell. 
Mooney Brandin Cooks, Rashad 

541
00:26:55,500 --> 00:26:57,500
Bateman on this team. 
I'm going to take Darnell moon, 

542
00:26:57,800 --> 00:26:59,100
right? 
Because I took the Andre Swift 

543
00:26:59,100 --> 00:27:01,700
in the in the second round. 
If I took, if I took Nick Chubb 

544
00:27:01,700 --> 00:27:04,300
in the second round and we get 
to a certain point, I'm gonna 

545
00:27:04,300 --> 00:27:07,200
think about Terry McClure, Noor,
Jehan Dotson or whatever. 

546
00:27:07,600 --> 00:27:11,200
It's just figuring out those 
little nuances. 

547
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,600
That is probably where the EV 
is, is a bunch of fucking mini 

548
00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:16,400
correlations and I fucking hope.
So. 

549
00:27:20,700 --> 00:27:23,600
But I do think like it probably 
is because if you think about 

550
00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:24,800
like, okay, let's say that 
bills. 

551
00:27:25,100 --> 00:27:28,000
Bengals game blows up and you 
need to like, you just have to 

552
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:30,800
have Chase in week 17, totally 
plausible. 

553
00:27:30,800 --> 00:27:32,700
Like if you don't have to chase,
you're not winning it period. 

554
00:27:33,100 --> 00:27:35,700
But then gave Davis also scores 
a touchdown, as a good game, 

555
00:27:36,000 --> 00:27:40,200
most teams bubbling up also have
gave Davis attached, but you 

556
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:42,500
could potentially have DeAndre 
Swift. 

557
00:27:42,500 --> 00:27:44,800
Who, let's say he's a really 
popular hero running back 

558
00:27:45,700 --> 00:27:47,600
counter, just got a really good 
article and wrote a bit about 

559
00:27:47,600 --> 00:27:51,100
how that particular structures. 
Suffers from, you know, 

560
00:27:51,100 --> 00:27:53,700
potentially chalky running backs
making it because it looks like 

561
00:27:53,700 --> 00:27:56,500
you have a hero running back 
build that there can be a lot of

562
00:27:56,500 --> 00:28:00,000
similar Heroes that, you know, 
happen to have the right weeks 

563
00:28:00,000 --> 00:28:01,400
in the playoffs to get you to 
week 17. 

564
00:28:01,400 --> 00:28:03,600
So you've got to kind of chalky 
running back potentially, in 

565
00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:06,700
DeAndre Swift got this chalky 
game, stack, it goes off, but 

566
00:28:06,700 --> 00:28:11,100
then you've got Mooney and if 
Mooney beats Gabe Davis, your 

567
00:28:11,100 --> 00:28:12,700
that could be it. 
So it's like those little 

568
00:28:12,700 --> 00:28:18,200
meanies. 
I think not only We just lost 

569
00:28:18,200 --> 00:28:19,900
Pat Saudi. 
I was wondering if that was a, 

570
00:28:19,900 --> 00:28:23,100
this is middle of a great point.
I still have no idea. 

571
00:28:23,300 --> 00:28:36,900
This is your best 
is like people who and I'm 

572
00:28:36,900 --> 00:28:40,000
guilty of this myself like oh, 
when I'm trying to get a cheap 

573
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:44,200
Tennessee bring back on Dallas. 
I find myself going for Hassan 

574
00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:47,700
Haskins the mystery box rookie 
today I am Taken John traill 

575
00:28:47,700 --> 00:28:50,500
Hillier, you know, I never take 
him but it was just this idea of

576
00:28:50,500 --> 00:28:55,100
like if 90% of our stacking 
cohort is going to be taking the

577
00:28:55,100 --> 00:28:58,600
same player in these Pockets 
because of correlation, it's 

578
00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:00,300
like how can we get unique 
there? 

579
00:29:00,300 --> 00:29:03,500
Because what is the honest 
difference in probability of 

580
00:29:03,500 --> 00:29:05,400
Hilliard hitting verse Haskins, 
right? 

581
00:29:05,400 --> 00:29:09,000
It's probably like a 50/50 
honestly, who could be the 

582
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:10,700
backup. 
If someone got hurt and yet, 

583
00:29:10,700 --> 00:29:14,400
we're drafting it. 
As if it's 90%, Haskins and 10% 

584
00:29:14,600 --> 00:29:16,600
Hilliard. 
Can we talk about how you guys 

585
00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:18,500
can? 
Related your back lights to the,

586
00:29:18,500 --> 00:29:23,100
to the guy didn't realize this. 
I didn't realize it matches my 

587
00:29:23,100 --> 00:29:25,700
shirt. 
You see, you see the Razor Ramon

588
00:29:25,700 --> 00:29:28,800
shirt? 
I literally correlated mine to, 

589
00:29:28,800 --> 00:29:32,300
to my, to my t-shirt. 
So not to paint. 

590
00:29:32,300 --> 00:29:34,500
That was fun. 
We're getting a little bit over 

591
00:29:34,500 --> 00:29:41,000
the over the correlation. 
Jump of the shot wasn't Globe 

592
00:29:41,000 --> 00:29:43,100
row. 
Then one thing I was just 

593
00:29:43,108 --> 00:29:47,500
thinking about going back to the
0 RB analogy with all This I do 

594
00:29:47,500 --> 00:29:50,200
think there is a firm tie-in 
with it. 

595
00:29:50,200 --> 00:29:54,300
That goes back to like, humility
based drafting, which one thing.

596
00:29:54,400 --> 00:29:57,000
One thing I love about 
correlating with week 17, is it 

597
00:29:57,008 --> 00:30:00,000
leads me to Natural 
diversification instead of being

598
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,200
every time on the clock being 
like I'm taking visca. 

599
00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:04,700
Take it Sky War by favorite guy 
by favorite guy. 

600
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:07,600
It's like no, I don't think I'm 
better than the market at 

601
00:30:07,600 --> 00:30:11,400
picking players at ATP so I'll 
let the little correlation boost

602
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:14,200
break those ties for me. 
Whereas if you're saying no, I'm

603
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:15,900
better than the market, I know 
better. 

604
00:30:15,900 --> 00:30:18,800
I'm gonna identify by The League
winner at every single pick. 

605
00:30:18,800 --> 00:30:20,500
That's a non humility based 
approach. 

606
00:30:20,500 --> 00:30:23,400
And so I think understanding my 
only edge here is knowing that 

607
00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:25,600
correlation matters. 
Not only do you get natural 

608
00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:29,000
diversification but it's a 
humility based way to draft 

609
00:30:29,000 --> 00:30:31,300
knowing, we don't know but how 
can we benefit? 

610
00:30:31,700 --> 00:30:34,500
I would add to that. 
That's an extreme way of 

611
00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:36,600
approaching it because you're 
saying you're only edges 

612
00:30:36,600 --> 00:30:38,300
correlation. 
I think you can still have 

613
00:30:38,300 --> 00:30:40,700
player targets and opinions and 
still do everything that you 

614
00:30:40,708 --> 00:30:41,400
guys. 
Yeah. 

615
00:30:41,700 --> 00:30:44,300
For sure. 
Yeah, those comes I will say, 

616
00:30:44,300 --> 00:30:46,600
um, those come first in the 
hierarchy. 

617
00:30:46,800 --> 00:30:48,900
Be clear. 
If there if you are drafting a 

618
00:30:48,908 --> 00:30:52,700
player, you get to the 12th 
round and there's a guy you have

619
00:30:52,700 --> 00:30:56,300
one or two tiers above that's 
available, right? 

620
00:30:56,300 --> 00:31:00,700
It's just like in DFS. 
You talked about earlier, Pete. 

621
00:31:00,700 --> 00:31:02,800
I think you said, you know, 
mentioned the like, projection, 

622
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:05,000
boost. 
That's what correlation is. 

623
00:31:05,100 --> 00:31:08,300
So if you are making a DFS team 
and you got the two, similarly 

624
00:31:08,300 --> 00:31:10,900
projected players and one 
correlated with your lineup and 

625
00:31:10,900 --> 00:31:14,000
one did not there would be a 
projection boost built into your

626
00:31:14,000 --> 00:31:17,800
projections so that that the 
player that related would 

627
00:31:17,900 --> 00:31:20,600
project higher on that lineup, 
right? 

628
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:23,500
Because they predict that 
there's a correlation boost, you

629
00:31:23,500 --> 00:31:26,000
should do the same thing and 
best ball but that doesn't mean 

630
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:29,100
that the correlation outweighs 
the projection on the other guy 

631
00:31:29,100 --> 00:31:31,100
either, right? 
If there's a guy who you have 

632
00:31:31,100 --> 00:31:34,500
into your to at wide receiver 
and we're on to tear for that 

633
00:31:34,500 --> 00:31:36,600
guy could correlate, but he 
could still be a worst pick. 

634
00:31:36,600 --> 00:31:38,400
So I understand. 
So that's kind of Player thing. 

635
00:31:38,600 --> 00:31:40,600
When you're stacking Rams 
Chargers, you still don't take 

636
00:31:40,600 --> 00:31:43,500
van Jefferson because no matter 
how much it is rejected. 

637
00:31:43,500 --> 00:31:49,900
Jennifer, So you can't, that's 
why that. 

638
00:31:49,900 --> 00:31:52,500
And that is how been ended up 
with 90% 22 at? 

639
00:31:52,500 --> 00:32:01,000
Well, I kind of like to do I do 
because this brings up kind of a

640
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:03,100
point of the diversification 
thing. 

641
00:32:03,100 --> 00:32:05,000
And like one thing I've been 
thinking through because I'm 

642
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:08,100
kind of like team, I don't care,
I'm totally fine drafting my 

643
00:32:08,100 --> 00:32:11,100
guys, you know, try to get money
p-value. 

644
00:32:11,100 --> 00:32:13,300
Try to do all the mini 
correlations and all that but 

645
00:32:13,300 --> 00:32:16,800
like being overweight doesn't 
bother me so much but if I'm 

646
00:32:16,800 --> 00:32:19,400
going to go over weight, right? 
You risk having a bad year? 

647
00:32:19,400 --> 00:32:22,900
Because you like, it's like I'm 
if I'm right, I'll have a great 

648
00:32:22,900 --> 00:32:24,300
year if I'm wrong. 
Could have a bad year. 

649
00:32:24,500 --> 00:32:28,700
One thing that makes me nervous 
about not diversifying as much 

650
00:32:28,700 --> 00:32:33,700
as some others, is that like 
this slate is a year away from 

651
00:32:33,700 --> 00:32:36,600
another slate and it does feel 
like we've kind of leveled up 

652
00:32:36,600 --> 00:32:40,100
the conversation and pretty 
meaningful way from just last 

653
00:32:40,100 --> 00:32:43,600
year. 
So like like between week 15 and

654
00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:47,300
week 16 DFS slates. 
There's not like a Upgrade in 

655
00:32:47,300 --> 00:32:50,900
the understanding of how to play
GPS from the field. 

656
00:32:51,100 --> 00:32:56,200
But there might be a another 
sizable gain in the strategy. 

657
00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:59,100
The tactics that everyone's 
using in drafting these 

658
00:32:59,100 --> 00:33:02,000
tournament basketball teams from
2022 2023. 

659
00:33:02,000 --> 00:33:04,500
Like I could see potentially 
popular sites having like, 

660
00:33:04,700 --> 00:33:08,100
tournament basketball rankings 
compared to like or like, you 

661
00:33:08,100 --> 00:33:09,700
know, tournament best ball 
tools. 

662
00:33:09,700 --> 00:33:11,500
Mean you guys are rolling out a 
bunch of tools and Spike Lee 

663
00:33:11,500 --> 00:33:15,700
like all that stuff. 
Making people like way sharper 

664
00:33:15,700 --> 00:33:18,500
at drafting this these teams 
they already are. 

665
00:33:18,500 --> 00:33:20,800
I feel like they're going to be 
even more next year. 

666
00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:23,900
So like I don't know. 
How do you like to think through

667
00:33:23,900 --> 00:33:25,200
that? 
Like a part of me doesn't want 

668
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:28,000
to like make as many players 
specific stands this year 

669
00:33:28,000 --> 00:33:30,700
because if I do happen to be 
wrong. 

670
00:33:31,100 --> 00:33:34,100
Now I'm entering a room next 
year that's filled with like way

671
00:33:34,100 --> 00:33:42,300
more sharps. 
I got to two replies, one is 

672
00:33:42,900 --> 00:33:47,800
people are stubborn and stupid, 
that's like the number-one rule 

673
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:50,300
to life. 
And that's the number one rule. 

674
00:33:50,300 --> 00:33:54,200
I've been working in DFS and as 
a towel or whatever, I'm not the

675
00:33:54,200 --> 00:33:57,100
world's best DFS player. 
I've been able to have some 

676
00:33:57,100 --> 00:33:59,100
success. 
I mostly just listen to other 

677
00:33:59,100 --> 00:34:01,700
smart people right? 
Pete talks to Brick. 

678
00:34:01,700 --> 00:34:04,700
I listen to Brian, I listened to
two blender. 

679
00:34:04,700 --> 00:34:08,100
I listen to Shit, my money, Adam
share. 

680
00:34:08,100 --> 00:34:11,100
I listened to the people in my 
little bubble that are smarter 

681
00:34:11,100 --> 00:34:12,699
than me and better than me at 
this. 

682
00:34:12,900 --> 00:34:15,900
And and then I have my own, my 
own takes on different things. 

683
00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:19,199
It doesn't matter what I say. 
It doesn't Brian Hooper is one 

684
00:34:19,199 --> 00:34:20,699
of the best DFS players on the 
planet. 

685
00:34:20,699 --> 00:34:23,100
He literally does a show where 
he talks a lot about his 

686
00:34:23,100 --> 00:34:25,300
process. 
People don't give a shit. 

687
00:34:25,900 --> 00:34:28,300
People are going to do what 
they're going to do vers up. 

688
00:34:30,900 --> 00:34:32,100
I don't remember what it's 
called though. 

689
00:34:32,199 --> 00:34:36,000
I don't remember what it's 
called but people do not. 

690
00:34:36,100 --> 00:34:41,600
Not get you could, you could lay
out exact and, and maybe people 

691
00:34:41,600 --> 00:34:43,900
likely, like, right Liam's 
getting into the content space, 

692
00:34:43,900 --> 00:34:45,800
maybe he does. 
Maybe he is just better at this 

693
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:48,500
than all of us, he's laying out.
How does doubtful? 

694
00:34:48,500 --> 00:34:50,400
He doesn't even know how to 
create a YouTube channel. 

695
00:34:50,500 --> 00:34:53,699
It's fucking people Danny's in 
the thread game. 

696
00:34:53,699 --> 00:34:57,100
Now I can't, he's getting me a 
little bit, he's getting muted, 

697
00:34:57,100 --> 00:35:01,100
I think it's getting bad, but 
like you could lay out. 

698
00:35:01,100 --> 00:35:04,000
Exactly. 
I literally built tools on. 

699
00:35:04,000 --> 00:35:06,700
Rota Grinders like slate. 
Was the main one. 

700
00:35:06,700 --> 00:35:09,800
That was my baby. 
It was like the first one that 

701
00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,900
like looked at all historical 
slates. 

702
00:35:12,900 --> 00:35:16,500
Exactly to this ran simulations 
of of slates. 

703
00:35:16,500 --> 00:35:21,300
That told you to your point on, 
like the defense Captain thing. 

704
00:35:21,500 --> 00:35:23,800
We were like you can't play this
defense. 

705
00:35:24,100 --> 00:35:27,000
You can't play this. 
I'm thinking of Showdown but 

706
00:35:27,000 --> 00:35:30,200
like you can't play this captain
and Showdown you if you can't do

707
00:35:30,200 --> 00:35:33,200
it, you're it's a massively - 
Evie thing to do and people 

708
00:35:33,200 --> 00:35:35,900
would be like, nope. 
I know better, I don't care. 

709
00:35:36,200 --> 00:35:38,100
And that that would still be the
highest own Captain. 

710
00:35:38,100 --> 00:35:40,700
Right now we've evolved a little
bit in the DFS space but I think

711
00:35:40,700 --> 00:35:44,000
we're so far away from from 
that, invest ball. 

712
00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:46,000
And then the only other thing I 
was going to say is to Pete's 

713
00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:50,100
Point earlier, this kind of 
thing is exactly how you don't 

714
00:35:50,100 --> 00:35:53,700
have huge stands on players. 
I actually am, more Pro stands 

715
00:35:53,900 --> 00:35:57,300
on individual players probably 
than like some of our the people

716
00:35:57,300 --> 00:36:01,300
that we talked to frequently. 
But this is how I how it doesn't

717
00:36:01,300 --> 00:36:05,200
happen because right. 
I have my, you know, I am like 

718
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,900
fading, Derrick Henry Never so I
get a little Overexposed to 

719
00:36:07,900 --> 00:36:11,800
Justin Jefferson but like 
there's 12 Packers for me to 

720
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:13,500
take. 
Like I'm not getting over 

721
00:36:13,500 --> 00:36:16,100
exposed to any of those guys 
because I'm just kind of letting

722
00:36:16,100 --> 00:36:18,400
the draft come to me. 
I think this is actually an 

723
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:21,600
awesome way to diversify your 
portfolio without even you're 

724
00:36:21,600 --> 00:36:24,400
not even trying to diversify it 
just happens naturally. 

725
00:36:25,200 --> 00:36:29,600
Yeah and there is two. 
I also think it just, you know, 

726
00:36:29,600 --> 00:36:34,000
how we all like to approach 
fantasy is like it. 

727
00:36:34,100 --> 00:36:36,900
These are puzzles, right? 
And we're trying To solve new 

728
00:36:36,900 --> 00:36:39,600
puzzles and it's like trying to 
figure out a new game type. 

729
00:36:39,600 --> 00:36:43,100
And there is just a group of 
people, a large group of people 

730
00:36:43,100 --> 00:36:46,500
that just want to select guys. 
They like their favorite players

731
00:36:46,500 --> 00:36:48,300
on the team's, they like build 
over. 

732
00:36:48,300 --> 00:36:50,600
They want and have a chance to 
win some money. 

733
00:36:50,600 --> 00:36:54,300
It's so there's probably just 
this natural resistance in the 

734
00:36:54,308 --> 00:36:56,400
same way. 
We're like, oh man I don't want 

735
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,500
to go up against brick and DFS 
in these guys running. 

736
00:36:58,500 --> 00:37:03,400
Yeah we're like the middle spot 
between just gut in Sims where 

737
00:37:03,400 --> 00:37:05,700
it's like we know how to play 
the game. 

738
00:37:05,700 --> 00:37:09,300
We just Have big enough brains 
or the tools to actually execute

739
00:37:09,300 --> 00:37:11,200
what we do. 
We need to do, but we understand

740
00:37:11,200 --> 00:37:13,400
we need to do it. 
And so I understand other people

741
00:37:13,400 --> 00:37:15,400
are just like, fuck this, just 
let me draft a team. 

742
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,100
The chat is is crushing right 
now. 

743
00:37:18,100 --> 00:37:20,600
They said so many people, just 
think they can have the perfect 

744
00:37:20,600 --> 00:37:23,000
draft. 
I KB, I know better than 0. 

745
00:37:23,000 --> 00:37:25,100
B doesn't work. 
I tried it one time and it 

746
00:37:25,100 --> 00:37:27,900
didn't work. 
I mean, just play the best place

747
00:37:27,900 --> 00:37:28,500
guys. 
Thank you. 

748
00:37:28,500 --> 00:37:31,600
Realize that like, just dropped 
all the good players that do 

749
00:37:31,600 --> 00:37:34,200
good. 
If you go back and look all of 

750
00:37:34,200 --> 00:37:36,600
the good players have the 
highest Win rates. 

751
00:37:36,600 --> 00:37:38,200
That's how you win a battle. 
Yeah. 

752
00:37:38,200 --> 00:37:41,800
Dropped all the good players 
correlate, the the 20 plus 

753
00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:43,800
percent win rates. 
Then you're gonna win. 

754
00:37:44,700 --> 00:37:46,300
I take it attack on this 
question. 

755
00:37:46,300 --> 00:37:49,400
Say you repeat you do 30, 
drafted Route 28 10 ones to the 

756
00:37:49,400 --> 00:37:54,000
other two. 
Well, this is the type of 

757
00:37:54,000 --> 00:37:56,100
medical. 
Yeah, it's been tough out there 

758
00:37:56,100 --> 00:37:57,700
guys. 
Have eaten naturally, force 

759
00:37:57,700 --> 00:38:04,000
myself, dude, you're with you 
killing me posting my my my 

760
00:38:04,000 --> 00:38:06,000
whole Brant, like all of my 
life. 

761
00:38:06,100 --> 00:38:08,600
Drafts. 
I get 101 or 102 I keep doing 

762
00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:11,700
hyper fragile builds. 
I have like four percent zero or

763
00:38:11,700 --> 00:38:14,500
be built on stream because 
everyone in the chat jumps in 

764
00:38:14,500 --> 00:38:16,200
with me and takes all the 
receivers. 

765
00:38:16,500 --> 00:38:19,600
And so, the brand is just an 
absolute shambles right now. 

766
00:38:19,600 --> 00:38:24,300
If you take an Eddie Lacy 2.0 
101 yet, not as you hear that 

767
00:38:24,300 --> 00:38:26,700
from you are not here. 
Is that not your fournette are 

768
00:38:26,707 --> 00:38:33,500
born bad yourself? 
It's the I don't think it's not 

769
00:38:33,500 --> 00:38:35,800
going to be it would be smart to
take Nagi at 10. 

770
00:38:36,100 --> 00:38:40,500
One because it won't be a unique
combo when he's going at three 

771
00:38:40,500 --> 00:38:41,900
well-known. 
Yeah. 

772
00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:46,300
Yeah, I mean literally the 
Steelers are like we're reducing

773
00:38:46,300 --> 00:38:49,900
his workload. 
That all right. 

774
00:38:49,900 --> 00:38:52,400
Should we put some of these 
ideas on their feet and hop in a

775
00:38:52,408 --> 00:38:54,000
puppy draft? 
I can see the chats getting 

776
00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:58,300
restless. 
All right, good luck. 

777
00:38:58,300 --> 00:39:04,100
If you're trying to get in this 
draft looks like no jeez. 

778
00:39:07,700 --> 00:39:13,000
Of course, bags. 
In the here, goodness, we got 

779
00:39:13,000 --> 00:39:21,800
Nick FF links. 
We got the 110 110, 110 is fun. 

780
00:39:21,800 --> 00:39:23,600
There's not, there's not ship 
Chasers in here. 

781
00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:26,600
Really, it's not a friends, and 
I don't think we might have been

782
00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:31,200
the, the last one to register, 
but we might actually get to 

783
00:39:31,200 --> 00:39:34,000
take some receivers. 
It was packed with specs. 

784
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,400
Just spamming the puppy. 
He's in here. 

785
00:39:36,700 --> 00:39:38,800
Every one of the next like 12 
puppies. 

786
00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:44,400
Spags is he he's like made it 
his life's mission to Max this 

787
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:46,700
puppy. 
And I just can't wait until they

788
00:39:46,700 --> 00:39:48,300
drop another one in about a 
week. 

789
00:39:48,300 --> 00:39:51,400
And he just realizes that, this 
isn't sustainable. 

790
00:39:52,900 --> 00:39:56,200
He's gonna burn out, he's in a 
burnout hard. 

791
00:39:57,600 --> 00:40:00,900
We will talk shit about whoever.
If you're willing to send us 

792
00:40:00,900 --> 00:40:02,900
$20, not to talk shit about 
them. 

793
00:40:02,900 --> 00:40:10,000
I'm happy to go down this road. 
Steve like yeah, that's Tony. 

794
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:12,300
That's Tony. 
Who won the DK Millie last year 

795
00:40:13,200 --> 00:40:16,200
before that fades in here to 
sort of toy bus to stop stop. 

796
00:40:17,500 --> 00:40:22,100
Yeah, about right now. 
Hmm he actually looks fat 

797
00:40:22,100 --> 00:40:24,300
though. 
Nausea weight not nausea. 

798
00:40:24,300 --> 00:40:29,600
Looks like Nagi Lenny looks a 
little bit less fat but he he he

799
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:34,000
said like sometimes it's hard to
keep my like offseason wait 

800
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:36,900
where I want it like healing 
that which is what I want to 

801
00:40:36,900 --> 00:40:39,800
draft in the second round, dude.
I mean I 

802
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,300
was hope saying thats pegs in 
the other one do is multi. 

803
00:40:53,300 --> 00:40:56,900
Yeah, it's good and all that 
daily. 

804
00:40:57,600 --> 00:41:04,500
It's beautiful. 
All right, the 110 here. 

805
00:41:06,500 --> 00:41:09,200
What are we thinking? 
This is, this is definitely one 

806
00:41:09,200 --> 00:41:12,000
of the weirder spots. 
I think even outside of ship 

807
00:41:12,000 --> 00:41:15,500
chasing drafts this year, like 
that one night, is an feels 

808
00:41:15,500 --> 00:41:17,600
pretty weird to me. 
Mmm, this is where I just 

809
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:20,500
dropped it from in that puppy. 
I accidentally brushed her for 

810
00:41:23,900 --> 00:41:28,200
the big, dog. 
Fifth, I took I think I took 

811
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:31,700
Dalvin cook. 
And then I got the bow on the 

812
00:41:31,700 --> 00:41:36,000
rap. 
I've intruded album yet. 

813
00:41:36,000 --> 00:41:38,600
I haven't taken Dalvin yet. 
So the only later will have to 

814
00:41:38,607 --> 00:41:41,100
have a choice, which made me 
what a fucking surprise. 

815
00:41:41,100 --> 00:41:46,600
We did that literally last week 
with Leone so no, this is the 

816
00:41:46,600 --> 00:41:50,200
spot. 
I'm adamant about either devonté

817
00:41:50,200 --> 00:41:55,600
or Kelsey here either. 
I like Devonte, I've been doing 

818
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:58,900
Devonte just because I like 
those other Elite tight, end 

819
00:41:58,900 --> 00:42:01,200
prices so much that I'm passing 
out of your. 

820
00:42:02,300 --> 00:42:04,200
It's exactly where I'm happy to 
leave. 

821
00:42:04,400 --> 00:42:08,400
In into the bit though, what I 
will say is Kelsey getting 

822
00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:11,500
really tight end Kelsey, you get
the elite tight end. 

823
00:42:11,500 --> 00:42:14,600
Like everybody has the same 
concerns about his age and stuff

824
00:42:14,600 --> 00:42:19,100
but like, Tyreke is gone. 
This dude could like set the 

825
00:42:19,100 --> 00:42:24,200
roof on fire at tight end so I'm
actually trying to get 

826
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:29,700
overweight on on him real quick 
covers IV this D Bo Adams start 

827
00:42:29,700 --> 00:42:34,200
as is so chalk but I still love 
it so much, I'm I'm fine. 

828
00:42:34,300 --> 00:42:36,400
With it. 
Yes, I mean this is one of those

829
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:38,900
classic examples of you're 
literally taking the highest 

830
00:42:38,900 --> 00:42:41,100
available wide receiver based on
ATP. 

831
00:42:41,100 --> 00:42:44,800
It just so happens. 
They're playing week 17, baby. 

832
00:42:44,900 --> 00:42:48,700
There's no other pick. 
That is even in the tier, with 

833
00:42:48,700 --> 00:42:51,100
Debo in my opinion. 
None of the other receive great.

834
00:42:51,500 --> 00:42:53,900
I think our I would not take any
of these running backs. 

835
00:42:53,900 --> 00:42:55,800
In that tear, I would not put 
Mark Andrews. 

836
00:42:55,800 --> 00:43:00,100
I think Swift some Like yeah, 
I'm not saying it's not the 

837
00:43:00,100 --> 00:43:03,500
draftable I'm saying like in, I 
don't know, I think people 

838
00:43:03,500 --> 00:43:07,500
should be above that kid be 
probably the next player I would

839
00:43:07,500 --> 00:43:09,300
take to Pat. 
This is my point. 

840
00:43:09,500 --> 00:43:12,800
Have you seen the trail Ansa 
hype from Camp? 

841
00:43:13,100 --> 00:43:16,300
It's not. 
Yeah, yeah, I said, what is he 

842
00:43:16,300 --> 00:43:19,400
got your strides as a player 
and, and I hope you got, I hope 

843
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:23,500
you didn't smashing him and 
drafts because he is, he is, but

844
00:43:23,700 --> 00:43:27,500
it's the steam is getting these 
get, he's going to settle. 

845
00:43:27,700 --> 00:43:30,000
Bye hurts. 
If Jimmy G gets traded for sure,

846
00:43:30,000 --> 00:43:32,300
100, 100. 
I think so. 

847
00:43:32,500 --> 00:43:38,300
Can we try out that the mini 
correlation is the EV move and I

848
00:43:38,308 --> 00:43:40,500
mean, I don't know that you want
to necessarily not correlate 

849
00:43:40,500 --> 00:43:42,800
this game anymore, but don't you
think everyone who has this 

850
00:43:42,800 --> 00:43:44,500
start? 
As made sure to get more gas in 

851
00:43:44,500 --> 00:43:46,600
this game. 
So now we go to other games and 

852
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:48,000
we just have these two for this 
game. 

853
00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:54,000
This is what you keep, you keep 
building your name and of course

854
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:55,700
that's different. 
But he's like an eighth or ninth

855
00:43:55,700 --> 00:44:00,100
round pick but you you keep 
building your team, right? 

856
00:44:00,100 --> 00:44:02,600
So whoever comes wrong here. 
I'm what I'm suggesting is 

857
00:44:02,800 --> 00:44:06,400
intentionally, swerving away 
from Lance and building a 

858
00:44:06,400 --> 00:44:10,200
different different play now. 
Only having the atoms Debo many.

859
00:44:10,900 --> 00:44:13,400
Yeah, I'm totally, I'm open, I'm
open to that. 

860
00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:16,400
I guess I'm, we don't have to 
force Lance, but I mean it's, 

861
00:44:17,700 --> 00:44:19,800
it's late. 
But if land is intentionally not

862
00:44:19,800 --> 00:44:25,000
correlating, the new correlation
plot like this, this is super 

863
00:44:25,100 --> 00:44:27,800
super quick. 
This is a real thing at that in 

864
00:44:27,800 --> 00:44:30,300
our bubble. 
So like we have a bike week 

865
00:44:30,300 --> 00:44:31,100
Discord. 
Right. 

866
00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:34,400
Pete has a Discord. 
This, these are all the biggest 

867
00:44:34,400 --> 00:44:36,900
Grinders that exist in this 
entire space, right? 

868
00:44:36,900 --> 00:44:40,700
The the enters or whatever like 
that. 

869
00:44:40,700 --> 00:44:42,800
This is not a thing. 
That the normal person thinks 

870
00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:45,800
about how many people in this 
draft are thinking about, like, 

871
00:44:45,900 --> 00:44:49,000
oh, I got two guys that 
correlate in week, 17, they 

872
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,100
don't even know the fucking week
17 schedule. 

873
00:44:51,500 --> 00:44:54,000
We have a ticker for IT on this,
on the stream. 

874
00:44:54,400 --> 00:44:58,900
Like the like people don't even 
think I've asked exactly don't 

875
00:44:58,900 --> 00:45:02,800
even think that deeply. 
So we're just in this bubble 

876
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:05,600
where we're like I don't want to
overthink it. 

877
00:45:05,600 --> 00:45:06,800
I'm yeah. 
To the point. 

878
00:45:07,000 --> 00:45:07,900
You don't want. 
No I'm not. 

879
00:45:08,100 --> 00:45:12,900
Teaching on Lance or whatever or
car or whatever but you don't 

880
00:45:12,900 --> 00:45:17,100
need to like totally over like 
we're not to the DFS meta yet 

881
00:45:17,100 --> 00:45:20,200
where it's like they know he's 
jock and I know he's jock. 

882
00:45:20,200 --> 00:45:22,100
So is he not going to be chalk 
like that? 

883
00:45:22,100 --> 00:45:24,000
That doesn't exist yet in best 
ball? 

884
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:28,500
In my opinion? 
I think you're right and 99.9% 

885
00:45:28,500 --> 00:45:34,800
of teams will not make week 17. 
So I do think like if you don't 

886
00:45:34,800 --> 00:45:37,100
feel like we're in an 
environment like you break ties 

887
00:45:37,100 --> 00:45:41,000
towards not In that environment.
Just because like your this team

888
00:45:41,000 --> 00:45:44,200
isn't going to be in that final 
anyway like the vast vast 

889
00:45:44,200 --> 00:45:48,600
majority of the time this teams 
like not even in it so it's more

890
00:45:48,600 --> 00:45:52,200
like you're going to maybe 
Bubble Up one and then you want 

891
00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:53,700
that team structured really 
really well. 

892
00:45:57,000 --> 00:46:01,200
Let's see this, this board. 
Yeah, this is like a, this is a 

893
00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:06,000
fairly normal draft. 
This isn't a wacko piss in 

894
00:46:06,008 --> 00:46:09,500
yellow draft. 
So what are we? 

895
00:46:12,800 --> 00:46:14,900
What are you looking at? 
I have a tick. 

896
00:46:14,900 --> 00:46:16,600
I don't know if Ben's gonna 
agree with it, but we'll see 

897
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:20,300
what ceased. 
Well, that was it Hollywood is 

898
00:46:20,300 --> 00:46:24,200
my guy right there actually / /.
Even / DJ more, but I'm cool 

899
00:46:24,200 --> 00:46:26,900
with the rest of these guy. 
Like, I like waddle or more a 

900
00:46:26,900 --> 00:46:30,800
lot. 
Do you guys graduate fine second

901
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:32,500
bottle over more? 
I mean, I think while it's 

902
00:46:32,500 --> 00:46:35,600
getting overly disrespected. 
Yeah, I'm into that. 

903
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:39,900
Okay, let's do it. 
Yeah I mean I got I got waddle 

904
00:46:39,900 --> 00:46:42,500
on a draft the other day. 
I mean Right around here. 

905
00:46:42,500 --> 00:46:44,900
I think I got them at 41 because
it was, I had two, three, four 

906
00:46:44,900 --> 00:46:48,200
turn, which man, it seems like a
little too much of a discount on

907
00:46:48,200 --> 00:46:50,000
him in the draft. 
I just did. 

908
00:46:50,000 --> 00:46:53,200
I got Waller in the same spot 
and actually got Marquis Brown 

909
00:46:53,200 --> 00:46:56,300
on the rap, and I do like that 
Marquis Brown called because 

910
00:46:56,700 --> 00:47:00,000
that then sets you up to go get 
Kyler. 

911
00:47:00,000 --> 00:47:02,400
So that, that team ended up 
being a Pilar Lansky because I 

912
00:47:02,408 --> 00:47:04,700
got Debo, it's actually kind of 
similar to this team. 

913
00:47:06,800 --> 00:47:09,400
Yeah, so I like Marky. 
I mean, I'm breaking ties to 

914
00:47:09,900 --> 00:47:13,600
some ties to Marquise because 
I'm like, I want to go, we're on

915
00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:16,700
the clock break from the mean, 
what it's Deonte or Judy here, 

916
00:47:16,700 --> 00:47:17,900
right? 
Either one. 

917
00:47:18,200 --> 00:47:21,100
Either one's for, I mean, we 
could go kid'll as well. 

918
00:47:21,100 --> 00:47:23,400
I know, it's a bit of a reach, 
but while there's a I prefer, I 

919
00:47:23,400 --> 00:47:26,700
prefer to push it. 
Push it like me bolete Debo. 

920
00:47:26,700 --> 00:47:29,700
Yeah, so that's some of them 
Dion taste, totally fine. 

921
00:47:30,100 --> 00:47:31,800
I was just going to say, okay. 
So like it. 

922
00:47:31,800 --> 00:47:34,700
Fourth round pick. 
Isn't it crazy? 

923
00:47:34,800 --> 00:47:36,500
Isn't it crazy that? 
He's a fourth round pick. 

924
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:40,600
I don't have a ton. 
I was just looking at 9% Deonte,

925
00:47:40,600 --> 00:47:43,100
but it's just great. 
He's falling. 

926
00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:46,600
So like, he's the perfect guy 
where people get really caught 

927
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:49,600
up in like early draft season 
and like I wasn't really 

928
00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:51,500
drafting him. 
He was like kind of like closer 

929
00:47:51,500 --> 00:47:54,400
to like the early. 
Third ish type, you know, like 

930
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:58,400
three like early to mid third. 
Now, I mean shit. 

931
00:47:58,400 --> 00:48:01,100
I mean, the 403. 
And like, if we wouldn't have 

932
00:48:01,100 --> 00:48:03,800
taken him, we don't even know. 
You would have guaranteed to go 

933
00:48:03,800 --> 00:48:05,800
in the next couple. 
He's gonna be a mid 4th round 

934
00:48:05,800 --> 00:48:07,000
pick. 
Soon. 

935
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:11,100
So he's just the perfect guy. 
I think to kind of start to 

936
00:48:11,107 --> 00:48:14,200
scoop up, but I was just going 
to say I'll Kyler Falls. 

937
00:48:14,300 --> 00:48:16,700
Can anyone understand understand
why? 

938
00:48:16,700 --> 00:48:18,800
Kyler's falling? 
Is it just the Hopkins thing. 

939
00:48:19,100 --> 00:48:22,000
But like I'm trying to get 
Hollywood, dude, Hollywood here 

940
00:48:22,000 --> 00:48:25,800
with with Kyler in the fifth 
sixth is like gold to me. 

941
00:48:26,200 --> 00:48:28,500
I think it's because Carla 
didn't have a very strong 

942
00:48:29,200 --> 00:48:31,200
post-injury part of the season 
last year. 

943
00:48:32,000 --> 00:48:35,000
You know he was a meeting lazy, 
he didn't look for he was amazed

944
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:36,500
and the artist, he was like 
that. 

945
00:48:36,600 --> 00:48:40,400
MVP like literally that 
FrontRunner MVP and then he 

946
00:48:40,400 --> 00:48:43,000
finally saw what his ceiling 
could be. 

947
00:48:43,300 --> 00:48:46,000
Like that makes me want to bet 
on him more than next year. 

948
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:48,100
Like okay, it was hurt when he 
was playing bad. 

949
00:48:48,200 --> 00:48:50,000
All right. 
I'll write that off a little 

950
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:51,400
bit, you know. 
Yeah. 

951
00:48:51,700 --> 00:48:55,000
And they add Marquis Brown who 
yeah, good, good girl, perfect 

952
00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:57,500
here, which is what they need 
is, the perfect. 

953
00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:04,100
The perfect fit. but the Jets a 
little bit, we got a sad, 

954
00:49:04,100 --> 00:49:09,100
comment DJ clear number one 
hello we could have taken DJ 

955
00:49:09,100 --> 00:49:14,400
more there it would have been an
easy pick I'm not gonna laugh 

956
00:49:14,400 --> 00:49:16,600
and I was fine with waddle over 
DJ Stein. 

957
00:49:16,600 --> 00:49:18,400
Want that on the record. 
I was fine with it. 

958
00:49:18,400 --> 00:49:20,200
I also I take, but I want to be 
with her. 

959
00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:23,800
I take I take DJ moreover, Jalen
waddle there, but I think 

960
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:26,100
they're listening to that. 
They're like to sit there, like 

961
00:49:26,100 --> 00:49:28,200
so similar to me. 
Yeah, yeah. 

962
00:49:28,500 --> 00:49:30,700
I kind of mix it. 
I'll take waddle, I don't mind. 

963
00:49:30,700 --> 00:49:34,200
Take them all over more. 
I also think I'm sure you guys 

964
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:38,100
have better reasons for taking 
moreover waddle, but just in 

965
00:49:38,100 --> 00:49:41,500
general, I did this arbitrary 
who's the wide receiver one eye 

966
00:49:41,500 --> 00:49:42,400
because I've gotten that one 
eye. 

967
00:49:42,500 --> 00:49:43,700
Take T. 
Higgins in the second. 

968
00:49:43,700 --> 00:49:46,600
Why are you taking the Bangles 
number two wide receiver? 

969
00:49:46,600 --> 00:49:49,800
It's I mean we can get back to 
the piece of the pie and how big

970
00:49:49,800 --> 00:49:52,700
the pie conversation is but we 
just we have to be done with 

971
00:49:52,900 --> 00:49:56,000
what those meaningless. 
Designations mean also like, oh 

972
00:49:56,008 --> 00:49:59,800
Dom, its side what by what 
margin like T. 

973
00:49:59,800 --> 00:50:03,800
Higgins was like he had a higher
Target rate then Jamar Chase 

974
00:50:03,800 --> 00:50:08,100
last year, Chaser and more 
routes but like they scored more

975
00:50:08,100 --> 00:50:11,700
touchdowns, right? 
It was very thin margins about 

976
00:50:11,700 --> 00:50:13,500
who like that. 
The number one versus number 

977
00:50:13,500 --> 00:50:16,200
two. 
There 1A 1B, that's a great 

978
00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:17,900
Point. 
There's a few different good 

979
00:50:17,900 --> 00:50:20,600
ones but another big one is 
Jalen waddle is a second. 

980
00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:23,500
Like the second I perceive you 
want to Target and there's 

981
00:50:23,500 --> 00:50:24,900
contingent value in that as 
well. 

982
00:50:24,900 --> 00:50:28,300
Whereas Tyree killed, mrs. 
Time, Jalen waddle immediately 

983
00:50:28,300 --> 00:50:31,200
looks like an absolute star. 
I mean, he was amazing last year

984
00:50:31,200 --> 00:50:34,000
when he was filming guy. 
There are again, we're not 

985
00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:36,000
trying to predict too much. 
There are a lot of scenarios 

986
00:50:36,000 --> 00:50:39,900
where in week 17, I mean, any 
scenario where, Tyrese now the 

987
00:50:39,900 --> 00:50:43,200
field, obviously, but Jalen 
waddle is on Umber one and then 

988
00:50:43,200 --> 00:50:44,600
is looking like an absolute star
tip. 

989
00:50:44,600 --> 00:50:46,400
But Pat you said earlier in the 
offseason he could even have 

990
00:50:46,400 --> 00:50:48,300
Target in this year, right? 
Like it wouldn't be that 

991
00:50:48,300 --> 00:50:52,200
surprising. 
Now what if Tyreke opens up the 

992
00:50:52,200 --> 00:50:55,800
offense and Jalen waddle is 
still just Jalen wad of last 

993
00:50:55,800 --> 00:50:59,700
year but now instead of Mac 
Holland's running real standing 

994
00:50:59,700 --> 00:51:02,700
outside, it's tight. 
It's Tyree kill right? 

995
00:51:05,700 --> 00:51:08,300
Let's see here. 
There's also the other thing 

996
00:51:08,300 --> 00:51:11,100
where like if you look at wide 
receiver scoring like think 

997
00:51:11,100 --> 00:51:15,100
about the the FPC play alternate
that we were doing like it was 

998
00:51:15,100 --> 00:51:17,500
so tilting because we made a big
stain on see Higgins and then T 

999
00:51:17,500 --> 00:51:19,600
Higgins had this incredible 
super stuck the Super Bowl but 

1000
00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:22,600
like he had such a bad stretch 
before that that RT against 

1001
00:51:22,600 --> 00:51:24,100
things were already dead. 
Yeah. 

1002
00:51:24,100 --> 00:51:26,400
They were got em like our chairs
were all kind of in the wrong 

1003
00:51:26,800 --> 00:51:30,700
things and all that but like you
you need a tea Higgins. 

1004
00:51:30,700 --> 00:51:33,300
Like T Higgins. 
Ultimately was he had such a big

1005
00:51:33,300 --> 00:51:37,200
week like that could easily. 
Week 17, it could be week 16 you

1006
00:51:37,200 --> 00:51:39,600
know like what if the agency has
50 points in week 16. 

1007
00:51:40,100 --> 00:51:44,200
But my guys, when the positional
needs in the correlation lineup,

1008
00:51:44,200 --> 00:51:48,200
can you pass this test here? 
I don't, I don't know the 

1009
00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:52,400
schedule Dobbins. 
I hope it's diamonds markers. 

1010
00:51:52,400 --> 00:51:53,800
Pittsburgh. 
Yeah, week 17. 

1011
00:51:54,100 --> 00:51:56,500
Yes. 
I mean, I love res Hall to if 

1012
00:51:56,500 --> 00:51:59,200
anyone wants to take brief halt.
Smash him for diamonds, man. 

1013
00:51:59,500 --> 00:52:01,200
Dobbins is a better pick than 
briefs all. 

1014
00:52:01,200 --> 00:52:04,100
They're both good pics. 
They're probably very good. 

1015
00:52:04,100 --> 00:52:06,200
It's the same tier. 
Like Eric was saying earlier, 

1016
00:52:06,200 --> 00:52:09,200
yeah, and the correlation is. 
Yeah, it's the same too. 

1017
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:12,900
This is he had to get the 
duchess. 

1018
00:52:12,900 --> 00:52:15,000
Settle. 
A nice that is nice. 

1019
00:52:15,000 --> 00:52:19,000
Isn't it? 
See, this is why the week 17 

1020
00:52:19,000 --> 00:52:21,200
correlation thing. 
Matters is like, it just Falls 

1021
00:52:21,200 --> 00:52:26,000
to you if we didn't take JK 
Dobbins at the three, four turn.

1022
00:52:26,000 --> 00:52:31,100
We took him at ATP. 
Alright, this is a little bit 

1023
00:52:31,100 --> 00:52:33,000
more of a 
choose-your-own-adventure here. 

1024
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:37,600
How you guys feeling? 
Her lies and more lies and more 

1025
00:52:39,600 --> 00:52:42,500
lies. 
And more works for me, although 

1026
00:52:42,500 --> 00:52:45,400
Elijah more ultimate amun-ra and
try to get Fields later. 

1027
00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:48,300
Yeah, that's true. 
I don't mind amun-ra, a lot, 

1028
00:52:48,300 --> 00:52:50,500
it's definitely. 
Elijah more almond around for 

1029
00:52:50,508 --> 00:52:53,300
me. 
Let's go, Elijah. 

1030
00:52:53,500 --> 00:52:57,300
Yeah, let's go Elijah. 
I'm kind of excited but Elijah 

1031
00:52:57,300 --> 00:52:59,500
more I'm kind of excited about 
Elijah more. 

1032
00:52:59,500 --> 00:53:02,700
Should I kind of think the we 
just did the Jalen waddle Tyree 

1033
00:53:02,700 --> 00:53:06,100
kill thing and like I'm not 
calling Elijah more and Garrett 

1034
00:53:06,100 --> 00:53:11,700
Wilson Tyree kill and Jalen 
waddle but like if Elijah more 

1035
00:53:11,700 --> 00:53:14,300
is as good as he showed last 
year, I understand the Zach 

1036
00:53:14,300 --> 00:53:17,200
Wilson concerns. 
He was awesome. 

1037
00:53:17,300 --> 00:53:21,600
Elijah more was awesome last 
year if he just is that good and

1038
00:53:21,600 --> 00:53:24,300
the offense now has briefs all 
and Garrett Wilson. 

1039
00:53:24,900 --> 00:53:28,400
And actual tight ends that can 
that can do something in the 

1040
00:53:28,400 --> 00:53:32,000
passing game, like, it's just 
now, can Jack Wilson, be 

1041
00:53:32,000 --> 00:53:34,400
competent. 
And that's like, he doesn't have

1042
00:53:34,408 --> 00:53:36,500
to be awesome. 
He just needs to be competent. 

1043
00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:40,800
The thing I worry about with, 
with Elijah more and like one of

1044
00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:42,500
the reasons I like wide 
receiver. 

1045
00:53:42,500 --> 00:53:44,900
So much, is that I don't need to
worry about the coaches. 

1046
00:53:44,900 --> 00:53:47,600
The coaches can't really screw 
this up for me, as long as I'm 

1047
00:53:47,600 --> 00:53:50,800
drafting really good wide 
receivers, but they can screw up

1048
00:53:50,800 --> 00:53:53,500
this one. 
Because Corey Davis is like, are

1049
00:53:53,500 --> 00:53:54,700
they going to play chord Davis 
over? 

1050
00:53:55,000 --> 00:53:57,700
In some to wide receiver sets. 
Are they going to mix in Braixen

1051
00:53:57,700 --> 00:53:59,900
Barrios a little bit like the 
rat? 

1052
00:53:59,900 --> 00:54:02,900
It's like one of those 
situations where CD lamb the CD 

1053
00:54:02,900 --> 00:54:05,700
lamb, right? 
This happened playing examine 

1054
00:54:05,700 --> 00:54:08,000
the city. 
It's exactly the city land, 

1055
00:54:08,000 --> 00:54:10,100
where it's like, dude, just put 
them on the field. 

1056
00:54:10,100 --> 00:54:13,500
Why isn't he? 
He's running 73% of the routes 

1057
00:54:13,500 --> 00:54:17,000
that he was your busy. 
He's our best player and yeah 

1058
00:54:17,000 --> 00:54:19,700
he's he's not even running 80% 
of routes. 

1059
00:54:19,700 --> 00:54:21,600
Yeah. 
It's and you'll see that like, 

1060
00:54:21,600 --> 00:54:25,000
that's not so that that's what 
worries me and they think The 

1061
00:54:25,000 --> 00:54:27,900
get Wilson pick indicates, you 
know maybe they do see him as 

1062
00:54:27,900 --> 00:54:30,300
more of a slot which is one of 
the concerns coming in last 

1063
00:54:30,300 --> 00:54:31,400
year. 
He didn't look like that. 

1064
00:54:31,400 --> 00:54:34,600
He look like he was a real, you 
know, can do everything type of 

1065
00:54:34,600 --> 00:54:38,100
wide receiver but I would not 
be, it would be like a million 

1066
00:54:38,100 --> 00:54:41,800
example of coaches being shown 
something that counters, what 

1067
00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:44,600
they may have thought 
originally, and then going with 

1068
00:54:44,600 --> 00:54:46,100
what they thought originally 
instead. 

1069
00:54:46,500 --> 00:54:51,300
But that, that scenario is one, 
where Garrett Wilson is an 

1070
00:54:51,300 --> 00:54:54,500
absolute smash at his ATP. 
I think there is an element here

1071
00:54:54,500 --> 00:54:58,000
where Like Elijah is being 
bought into a lot heavier by the

1072
00:54:58,000 --> 00:55:01,500
market for a reason. 
He showed he was good last year.

1073
00:55:01,500 --> 00:55:03,700
Gary Wilson could also just be 
bad, right? 

1074
00:55:03,900 --> 00:55:05,100
Yeah. 
I'm making an assumption that 

1075
00:55:05,100 --> 00:55:08,300
Gary Wilson playing into wide 
receiver sets, which could be a 

1076
00:55:08,300 --> 00:55:11,400
completely wrong, right? 
I don't even think about that. 

1077
00:55:11,400 --> 00:55:14,200
That's what I mean with the with
the draft Capital to its the 

1078
00:55:14,200 --> 00:55:17,100
right assumption but, but it 
could be wrong. 

1079
00:55:17,100 --> 00:55:20,300
Yeah, you never know. 
I mean at the end of the day, we

1080
00:55:20,300 --> 00:55:26,800
the draft capital is Very 
clearly a predictor but also 

1081
00:55:26,800 --> 00:55:31,500
like this is the Shanahan tree. 
Who Brandon, are you get is not 

1082
00:55:31,500 --> 00:55:35,000
playing to start the year and 
Tracer and they tried it up, 

1083
00:55:35,100 --> 00:55:38,400
talk to Dante, Pettis was the 
second coming, you know, I was 

1084
00:55:38,400 --> 00:55:40,900
drafting duct tape medicine. 
The eighth round on draft, like 

1085
00:55:40,900 --> 00:55:45,200
it was a, you know, I was I was 
on drugs as many times. 

1086
00:55:45,200 --> 00:55:49,000
I was taking Dante Pettis and 
the dude just got gone. 

1087
00:55:49,200 --> 00:55:51,500
My God, my dog is growling like 
a bear. 

1088
00:55:51,900 --> 00:56:05,500
Dog. 
All right so here's what he woke

1089
00:56:05,500 --> 00:56:10,300
up and there's all these fucking
lights and darkness, his 

1090
00:56:10,300 --> 00:56:12,500
brother. 
His brother is over like in 

1091
00:56:12,500 --> 00:56:15,100
front of this. 
One of these lights over here. 

1092
00:56:15,200 --> 00:56:17,400
So he'll it looks freaky as 
shit. 

1093
00:56:17,800 --> 00:56:20,400
Like, there's like light he 
looks almost like a predator or 

1094
00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:22,600
something. 
Where Where there's lights 

1095
00:56:22,600 --> 00:56:25,100
coming from. 
I think it really he's freaked 

1096
00:56:25,100 --> 00:56:26,800
him out. 
He's just pissed. 

1097
00:56:26,800 --> 00:56:28,600
Elijah board. 
Doesn't correlate with anyone on

1098
00:56:28,600 --> 00:56:33,200
our roster. 
Yeah, we're gonna talk. 

1099
00:56:33,200 --> 00:56:38,400
Yeah, this is Noah fan. 
It's no offense. 

1100
00:56:38,700 --> 00:56:40,300
This is another thing to you. 
I like it. 

1101
00:56:40,300 --> 00:56:42,800
I like it waddle. 
Plays the Patriots. 

1102
00:56:43,400 --> 00:56:45,700
Yes they do. 
Ship horn plays the Box. 

1103
00:56:46,700 --> 00:56:49,700
So we probably should take a DJ 
more in hindsight, just purely 

1104
00:56:49,700 --> 00:56:52,300
off of that. 
Been, you guys are taking this 

1105
00:56:52,300 --> 00:56:56,300
correlation thing way too far. 
All right, I'm like weeks behind

1106
00:56:56,300 --> 00:57:00,900
you guys like literal weeks with
everything's moving. 

1107
00:57:00,900 --> 00:57:06,800
Like, every hour. 
I was gonna just say real quick.

1108
00:57:06,800 --> 00:57:10,100
Someone I do think, you know, 
hurts wouldn't have been, you 

1109
00:57:10,100 --> 00:57:13,500
know, a bad pick by any means. 
But like one thing, looking at 

1110
00:57:13,500 --> 00:57:14,900
all the wide receivers we were 
taken. 

1111
00:57:14,900 --> 00:57:17,100
We have all late. 
Late, quarterback, stack 

1112
00:57:17,100 --> 00:57:19,200
options. 
Whereas if we go hurts, Devon to

1113
00:57:19,200 --> 00:57:22,600
Smith went right in front of us,
were basically forced into like 

1114
00:57:22,600 --> 00:57:26,500
triple tapping hurts Goddard Mi 
Sanders just to get any real 

1115
00:57:26,500 --> 00:57:29,600
exposure to the Eagles there. 
So to me, it's kind of an Easy 

1116
00:57:29,600 --> 00:57:30,800
Pass. 
Yep. 

1117
00:57:32,800 --> 00:57:35,900
The Saints aren't they're also 
not fun because you're kind of 

1118
00:57:35,900 --> 00:57:40,500
that forced into a lot of a 
Jarvis Landry, which is all 

1119
00:57:40,508 --> 00:57:42,200
right. 
Who do you like for your spot? 

1120
00:57:44,100 --> 00:57:47,100
We could do Renfro. 
Get the correlation. 

1121
00:57:48,500 --> 00:57:55,800
Could you can't block say 
someone make us. 

1122
00:57:55,800 --> 00:57:59,600
Think about it. 
I think I would take CH so I 

1123
00:57:59,600 --> 00:58:02,500
just can't do this too. 
I think Ben I think Kenneth 

1124
00:58:02,500 --> 00:58:04,000
Walker might still be hanging 
around. 

1125
00:58:04,300 --> 00:58:10,400
Okay Pat got bullied into CH 
last time I kind of do it 12 

1126
00:58:10,400 --> 00:58:13,700
again I know I listen I would 
have I would have I don't want 

1127
00:58:13,700 --> 00:58:15,400
to do that. 
Yeah, I don't I don't want to do

1128
00:58:15,400 --> 00:58:18,700
be the Leone to this 
uncorrelated CA It's the week 

1129
00:58:18,700 --> 00:58:21,200
after a correlated. 
See a, yeah, but Denver, we 

1130
00:58:21,200 --> 00:58:23,300
have, we've had this fucking 
discussion. 

1131
00:58:23,300 --> 00:58:27,300
That Denver is available later. 
We can get our cage, a ham. 

1132
00:58:27,300 --> 00:58:36,200
Why don't you just tell Burt, 
oh, Alberto whatever I really 

1133
00:58:36,200 --> 00:59:01,900
don't like, 
It's like this kind of you know 

1134
00:59:01,900 --> 00:59:04,600
I give only taking them a couple
times, I've got like a couple 

1135
00:59:04,600 --> 00:59:07,300
things that will sway me and 
kind of get me to change my 

1136
00:59:07,308 --> 00:59:09,100
opinion little bit. 
One of them is went Ron Siegel 

1137
00:59:09,100 --> 00:59:12,100
starts comparing guys to Jamal 
Charles that generally gets me 

1138
00:59:12,100 --> 00:59:14,800
to take them a little bit more. 
So yeah I started taking a walk 

1139
00:59:14,800 --> 00:59:17,600
a little bit. 
Look, Sean. 

1140
00:59:17,600 --> 00:59:19,600
I love song, but I feel like 
he's on drugs. 

1141
00:59:22,000 --> 00:59:24,800
Jamaal Charles is if you know, 
there's the guy that won him, 

1142
00:59:25,100 --> 00:59:28,100
the time, I know that year and 
it's like honestly his favorite 

1143
00:59:28,100 --> 00:59:30,900
running back of all time. 
So that's that's a big 

1144
00:59:30,900 --> 00:59:34,800
comparison. 
If you're what you guys think 

1145
00:59:34,800 --> 00:59:40,200
about the Seahawks, do you 
think, are you like there's a 

1146
00:59:40,200 --> 00:59:43,900
lot of sentiment right around 
them about how bad they're going

1147
00:59:43,900 --> 00:59:47,200
to be, are you just like 
ignoring that and maybe they get

1148
00:59:47,200 --> 00:59:49,600
bigger or something like that to
make it better? 

1149
00:59:49,600 --> 00:59:51,100
Or how are you kind of 
approaching them? 

1150
00:59:51,100 --> 00:59:53,600
Because like I like the Jedi 
like Elijah I like Garrett 

1151
00:59:53,600 --> 00:59:55,900
Wilson. 
I like all these guys briefs 

1152
00:59:55,900 --> 01:00:00,600
whatever but like I really still
even with our correlation talk 

1153
01:00:00,600 --> 01:00:03,500
for a half-hour I struggled to 
click some of these seahorses 

1154
01:00:03,600 --> 01:00:07,400
Ox, well, I struggled, because 
one thing that's unfolding here 

1155
01:00:07,400 --> 01:00:11,500
in real time, is spag setting up
a massive backdoor bid Equity, 

1156
01:00:11,500 --> 01:00:15,900
Drew locks tax, because he loves
the Seattle, he gets that caps, 

1157
01:00:15,900 --> 01:00:17,900
lock it. 
I know he's just sitting at 

1158
01:00:17,900 --> 01:00:20,900
home. 
Knowing wait to see the Uproar. 

1159
01:00:20,900 --> 01:00:23,200
When I draft through lock in the
18th, he's okay. 

1160
01:00:23,600 --> 01:00:25,200
Luck's. 
Not going to start. 

1161
01:00:33,700 --> 01:00:37,000
Drew lock. 
Yes he's got his percentages are

1162
01:00:37,000 --> 01:00:39,700
down because he's done a million
drafts but it was he was coming 

1163
01:00:39,700 --> 01:00:43,100
in hot early that's gonna suck. 
I'm sorry bags. 

1164
01:00:44,200 --> 01:00:48,200
Bags, you do you do exactly what
you're doing, smoked you right 

1165
01:00:48,200 --> 01:00:50,500
out into the chat. 
How are you been chatting when 

1166
01:00:50,500 --> 01:01:00,000
you're multi-tabling 9 draft? 
All right, so I got a trivial 

1167
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:02,200
while we're waiting for pickup. 
We maybe. 

1168
01:01:02,200 --> 01:01:08,300
Should we take a trail ants in 
the maybe that was probably All 

1169
01:01:08,300 --> 01:01:11,900
right, you guys know who Dante 
Pettis plays for now. 

1170
01:01:13,700 --> 01:01:15,900
Yes, he's on. 
He was on the Giants last year 

1171
01:01:18,000 --> 01:01:20,900
but the Bears. 
That's right, he plays. 

1172
01:01:21,100 --> 01:01:32,100
Oh yeah, yeah. 
All the shitty washout wide 

1173
01:01:32,100 --> 01:01:35,500
receivers are on the Bears and 
valus Jones and Village. 

1174
01:01:35,500 --> 01:01:45,200
Jones is older than all of them.
Did the Bears wide. 

1175
01:01:45,200 --> 01:01:49,700
Receiver room is just a list of 
like third round. 

1176
01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:51,500
Rookie pecs. 
I got cut after what? 

1177
01:01:51,500 --> 01:01:53,400
Yeah yours. 
Yeah. 

1178
01:01:53,400 --> 01:01:56,600
Equanimity is seen brown like 
there's yep, many dudes, all the

1179
01:01:56,600 --> 01:01:59,400
guys we talked ourselves into 
all the times that these guys 

1180
01:01:59,400 --> 01:02:02,300
Pat talked me into in the third 
round of all my Dynasty, rookie 

1181
01:02:02,300 --> 01:02:05,100
draft and now they're all on the
fucking pairs. 

1182
01:02:06,400 --> 01:02:11,700
They even more Byron bringle. 
I mean good biscuit next year. 

1183
01:02:17,900 --> 01:02:26,500
Yeah. 
So we definitely have an 

1184
01:02:26,500 --> 01:02:29,900
interesting build here with the 
ones he positions for sure. 

1185
01:02:30,000 --> 01:02:34,200
I would love to squeak out at 
least a to build from one of 

1186
01:02:34,200 --> 01:02:36,900
them. 
I kind of regret not taking 

1187
01:02:36,900 --> 01:02:39,000
Lancer. 
You guys on that quarterbacks 

1188
01:02:39,000 --> 01:02:40,300
fine. 
I think we'll be fine at 

1189
01:02:40,300 --> 01:02:43,200
quarterback who needs Hunter Run
40 when you got to want to add. 

1190
01:02:43,500 --> 01:02:47,100
AKA 40 percent Target share. 
We do have a million options at 

1191
01:02:47,100 --> 01:02:50,000
quarterbacks quarterbacks. 
Fine, Thai tender. 

1192
01:02:51,500 --> 01:02:55,200
Tynan might be a little sketchy.
What our daughter this Goddard 

1193
01:02:55,200 --> 01:02:58,200
fall man. 
Yeah we'll see what this does. 

1194
01:02:58,800 --> 01:03:01,300
Yeah got it would have been 
absolute smash. 

1195
01:03:01,300 --> 01:03:05,500
I think yes. 
I mean, I'm still open. 

1196
01:03:05,600 --> 01:03:08,800
I'm still open to knocks here. 
What do you guys think? 

1197
01:03:09,100 --> 01:03:11,600
Oh, there you go. 
I think, I think we just take 

1198
01:03:11,600 --> 01:03:13,100
car. 
Yeah, I do too. 

1199
01:03:13,900 --> 01:03:16,800
We got the double already. 
This guy has two behind us. 

1200
01:03:16,800 --> 01:03:18,600
Oh yeah. 
This guy's a wild card and he 

1201
01:03:18,600 --> 01:03:20,200
has Waller. 
We probably shouldn't mess her. 

1202
01:03:20,200 --> 01:03:23,200
Yes, we won wider wait. 
He has one wide receiver and 

1203
01:03:23,200 --> 01:03:26,000
Kelsey and Waller a 512 Bill 
Maher. 

1204
01:03:55,600 --> 01:03:56,800
And really, just get all the 
guys. 

1205
01:03:57,100 --> 01:04:05,500
Oh my goodness. 
Harris at 111, guys. 

1206
01:04:05,900 --> 01:04:07,900
Let's just a sec. 
Take some time with Damien. 

1207
01:04:08,500 --> 01:04:13,500
Yeah, I would like to announce 
every single player on our team 

1208
01:04:13,500 --> 01:04:18,200
currently has a week 17 
correlation right now, so this 

1209
01:04:18,200 --> 01:04:20,800
is how it's done. 
Did you hear that? 

1210
01:04:20,800 --> 01:04:24,100
Josh North. 
I really wish I really wish you 

1211
01:04:24,100 --> 01:04:28,800
could just like Fast, forwarded 
to the like week, 14 missed 

1212
01:04:28,800 --> 01:04:51,800
Iman, finishing eighth place. 
You can see how many points you 

1213
01:04:51,808 --> 01:04:59,400
would have put up in. 
All right. 

1214
01:04:59,400 --> 01:05:02,300
This is no shit. 
So I'm we're like super, super 

1215
01:05:02,300 --> 01:05:04,800
close to finishing this like 
exposures tool and stuff. 

1216
01:05:05,400 --> 01:05:08,900
We're building out like a sweat,
like a weight, a tool to like 

1217
01:05:08,900 --> 01:05:11,700
sweat your teams. 
So like that would be literally 

1218
01:05:11,700 --> 01:05:15,700
be possible is like so we're 
going to feel like we have to 

1219
01:05:15,700 --> 01:05:21,600
jump. 
We have projections that we have

1220
01:05:21,600 --> 01:05:24,500
results, right? 
So like we buy that data. 

1221
01:05:24,900 --> 01:05:27,500
So, like, for every single team 
that you have, I have a 

1222
01:05:27,508 --> 01:05:30,600
projection for every single one 
of those players, and then 

1223
01:05:30,600 --> 01:05:33,000
obviously have the past results.
So, like, you could see 

1224
01:05:33,000 --> 01:05:36,600
line-by-line each demon, scroll 
down to your 12th Place teams. 

1225
01:05:36,800 --> 01:05:39,400
Like right, I drafted this 0 or 
B, team is supposed to get 

1226
01:05:39,400 --> 01:05:41,700
better as the year goes on. 
I drafted all these rookies on 

1227
01:05:41,700 --> 01:05:45,200
that team and like, it's just 
destroying souls and like, week 

1228
01:05:45,200 --> 01:05:49,700
12, but it's so far behind. 
Yeah, so far behind that. 

1229
01:05:50,300 --> 01:05:53,100
It doesn't matter, it's our 
version of Sky Lansky bucks. 

1230
01:05:53,100 --> 01:05:55,900
Like one of us week 17 
correlation Bros needs to be 

1231
01:05:55,900 --> 01:05:59,900
able to say but if we would have
got there, we were billion like 

1232
01:05:59,900 --> 01:06:04,300
we need that so bad. 
You like go like through your 

1233
01:06:04,300 --> 01:06:07,900
gpp lineups after the day and go
back and look at like old like 3

1234
01:06:07,900 --> 01:06:10,300
B 3 is that you had in like 
health, I just played this 

1235
01:06:10,300 --> 01:06:15,100
summer, everyone does they say 
everyone at all? 

1236
01:06:15,700 --> 01:06:18,000
I usually just close my lap as 
you go water. 

1237
01:06:18,000 --> 01:06:21,400
The second child touchdown. 
I had this entered and then I 

1238
01:06:21,408 --> 01:06:30,400
switched, it was gut-wrenching. 
See you still need to get there.

1239
01:06:30,500 --> 01:06:33,100
This this is the these are this 
is the chalk. 

1240
01:06:33,600 --> 01:06:36,000
You know, argument against it. 
You still need to get there 

1241
01:06:36,000 --> 01:06:37,400
thinking. 
This correlation drafting is 

1242
01:06:37,400 --> 01:06:39,200
going over. 
Watch the thing that I've never 

1243
01:06:39,200 --> 01:06:41,600
heard. 
Anyone articulate is what are 

1244
01:06:41,600 --> 01:06:44,200
you gonna do? 
Strategically to get their 

1245
01:06:44,200 --> 01:06:47,400
differently than what I'm doing?
If I'm not hemorrhaging ATP 

1246
01:06:47,400 --> 01:06:49,300
value are then. 
You're just saying, you're going

1247
01:06:49,300 --> 01:06:52,400
to pick players better than me. 
Like, I guess just tell me what 

1248
01:06:52,400 --> 01:06:56,300
the strategy is to get there 
that I'm not doing because I 

1249
01:06:56,300 --> 01:06:57,800
also would like to know that 
strategy. 

1250
01:06:57,900 --> 01:07:01,300
Gee, I think I might like one 
when when people talk about it 

1251
01:07:01,300 --> 01:07:04,800
Jan straight last year, when we 
would talk about, like, I would 

1252
01:07:04,800 --> 01:07:07,100
say, I'm playing to try to win 
first place. 

1253
01:07:07,300 --> 01:07:10,300
And other people would say, oh, 
I'm just trying to get as many 

1254
01:07:10,300 --> 01:07:14,200
bullets into the final and like 
that sounds fine. 

1255
01:07:15,000 --> 01:07:18,700
But no one could ever say, okay,
what specifically are you doing 

1256
01:07:18,800 --> 01:07:22,400
different than me right to get 
more bullets there and like know

1257
01:07:22,400 --> 01:07:23,700
what? 
Like it would usually be just 

1258
01:07:23,700 --> 01:07:27,200
like three quarterbacks and I'm 
like, okay like that's fine, I 

1259
01:07:27,200 --> 01:07:28,900
guess. 
Quarterbacks are three tight 

1260
01:07:28,900 --> 01:07:30,900
ends is like your difference, 
whatever. 

1261
01:07:30,900 --> 01:07:34,100
Because like, I'm taking a TD 
value, like we didn't reach on 

1262
01:07:34,100 --> 01:07:35,700
anybody. 
We are not drafting a bad 

1263
01:07:35,700 --> 01:07:37,900
structure. 
We're not doing anything on this

1264
01:07:37,900 --> 01:07:41,800
team worse than any team that is
quote, unquote, trying to 

1265
01:07:41,800 --> 01:07:44,700
advance, this team is perfectly 
set up to advance. 

1266
01:07:44,700 --> 01:07:48,500
We just happen to also be on top
of that building in little 

1267
01:07:48,500 --> 01:07:50,500
correlations that help us in 
week 17. 

1268
01:07:50,600 --> 01:07:52,500
So it's getting The Best of Both
Worlds. 

1269
01:07:52,800 --> 01:07:56,800
And I still do think I do agree 
like the the more like robust 

1270
01:07:56,800 --> 01:07:59,700
onesie stuff 3, Ruby's three 
tight ends will help your 

1271
01:07:59,700 --> 01:08:02,200
Advance rate out of weeks 1 
through 14, but it's still 

1272
01:08:02,200 --> 01:08:03,900
immediately kills you for the 
way. 

1273
01:08:03,900 --> 01:08:07,400
The 15 16 17, you still have to 
win these mini uncorrelated 

1274
01:08:07,400 --> 01:08:10,900
tournaments, where you're 
allocating resources at a onesie

1275
01:08:10,900 --> 01:08:13,900
position, where what you're 
getting above replacement isn't 

1276
01:08:13,900 --> 01:08:17,100
really worth it, but I think you
can maybe go more Elite at those

1277
01:08:17,100 --> 01:08:18,700
ones in positions. 
And that would help you get 

1278
01:08:18,700 --> 01:08:23,200
through week 15 and 16, right? 
But your then once you get to 

1279
01:08:23,200 --> 01:08:27,800
week 17, you would potentially, 
you know, have a harder. 

1280
01:08:28,000 --> 01:08:30,100
I'm of having that really high 
score that you would need to 

1281
01:08:30,100 --> 01:08:33,000
take down week 17. 
So I do think maybe that's a way

1282
01:08:33,399 --> 01:08:37,000
if you really want to get more 
bullets in but then you but that

1283
01:08:37,000 --> 01:08:39,500
comes directly at the cost of 
the more important week. 

1284
01:08:39,800 --> 01:08:41,700
What do you guys think of get 
sticky here? 

1285
01:08:42,800 --> 01:08:45,800
Get our friend. 
Yeah I like it it's in the chat 

1286
01:08:45,800 --> 01:08:50,300
already just trying to play it a
little close to the back 

1287
01:08:50,300 --> 01:08:52,700
scratched Pi. 
What have looked at the schedule

1288
01:08:52,700 --> 01:08:55,399
while you guys were talking and 
figured out where we might want 

1289
01:08:55,399 --> 01:08:57,399
to go next. 
So I just want you to read it. 

1290
01:08:57,899 --> 01:09:00,100
You're on it. 
He needs the ticker he needs the

1291
01:09:00,100 --> 01:09:03,899
ticker in order to understand 
who Miami place. 

1292
01:09:04,399 --> 01:09:06,600
So there's an obvious pick here 
then, right? 

1293
01:09:06,600 --> 01:09:08,000
Yeah. 
With yes, it's true. 

1294
01:09:08,200 --> 01:09:10,500
I mean if he wants to if you 
want something in the triple 

1295
01:09:10,500 --> 01:09:12,399
tap. 
Yeah, go for it. 

1296
01:09:13,899 --> 01:09:16,600
This is nice. 
I wrote that in the chat and I'm

1297
01:09:16,600 --> 01:09:19,200
so glad that it was actually, 
like a viable thing. 

1298
01:09:19,200 --> 01:09:21,600
And I'm not just a complete 
idiot it real good signal. 

1299
01:09:21,600 --> 01:09:27,800
As to why those are negatively. 
Exclusive Eric, how funny is it 

1300
01:09:27,800 --> 01:09:29,800
that we were talking about like 
you don't have to take this too 

1301
01:09:29,800 --> 01:09:31,000
far. 
You can backdoor your 

1302
01:09:31,000 --> 01:09:33,200
correlations. 
We literally have the most 

1303
01:09:33,300 --> 01:09:36,300
textbook correlated team the 
quarterback. 

1304
01:09:36,300 --> 01:09:41,100
Yeah, it's kind of fun because 
the one, the one viewer wanted 

1305
01:09:41,100 --> 01:09:45,500
us to give an example and this 
is like How you doing handed to 

1306
01:09:45,500 --> 01:09:47,399
us? 
Like this is not a good example 

1307
01:09:47,399 --> 01:09:50,899
of how to do it because it was 
this this literally happened to 

1308
01:09:50,899 --> 01:09:56,200
me two weeks ago or something. 
So I do a Thursday show that's 

1309
01:09:56,200 --> 01:09:59,600
like just strategy-based. 
I just dive into some specific 

1310
01:09:59,600 --> 01:10:02,000
strategy thing. 
And I think I on that particular

1311
01:10:02,000 --> 01:10:05,900
Thursday, I talked about week 17
and then on the front on 

1312
01:10:05,900 --> 01:10:10,600
Fridays, we do giraffes similar 
to like, Pete's this or Pete's 

1313
01:10:10,600 --> 01:10:15,400
like Monday morning streams. 
And I literally said before, I'm

1314
01:10:15,400 --> 01:10:17,500
like, I'm gonna draft a 0r B 
team. 

1315
01:10:18,600 --> 01:10:21,700
I was like, this is a 0, RB 
draft, if you want to join and 

1316
01:10:21,700 --> 01:10:23,000
you want to make me look like an
idiot. 

1317
01:10:23,000 --> 01:10:26,900
Go ahead. 
I drafted, maybe the best 0r B 

1318
01:10:26,900 --> 01:10:29,600
Team. 
I've drafted in, like two years 

1319
01:10:29,600 --> 01:10:33,500
on the stream and it had to 
exactly like this every pic was 

1320
01:10:33,500 --> 01:10:36,300
like, oh, I took Javonte. 
Hmm. 

1321
01:10:36,500 --> 01:10:40,800
Here's mvs around after around 
after ATP, right? 

1322
01:10:40,800 --> 01:10:43,800
This quarterback Habitrail ants 
Falls to me when I have So 

1323
01:10:43,800 --> 01:10:46,800
Samuel like a round after 
everything just fell in together

1324
01:10:46,800 --> 01:10:50,400
perfectly, so it's beautiful. 
It's absolutely beautiful when 

1325
01:10:50,400 --> 01:10:52,400
this, when this happens and it's
also awesome because you get to 

1326
01:10:52,407 --> 01:10:55,300
dunk on the people in the 
comments that are like a week, 

1327
01:10:55,300 --> 01:10:58,200
17 is stupid. 
You're like, I'm getting weak 17

1328
01:10:58,200 --> 01:11:00,000
and my team still better than 
even still. 

1329
01:11:00,000 --> 01:11:03,700
There's so many good stories. 
Nothing to do with this game. 

1330
01:11:04,100 --> 01:11:06,900
Damien Harris, Jake a job as a 
cat Walker. 

1331
01:11:06,900 --> 01:11:08,900
All going to score, first-half 
touchdowns and force. 

1332
01:11:08,900 --> 01:11:13,500
They're correlated receivers to 
catch, but I'm so. 

1333
01:11:13,600 --> 01:11:18,700
So pumped for this roster where 
I be this is kind of the perfect

1334
01:11:18,700 --> 01:11:21,000
spot because we were going to I 
was going to even say it was 

1335
01:11:21,000 --> 01:11:24,400
going to be a weird combo. 
If Harris and Stevenson were 

1336
01:11:24,400 --> 01:11:26,700
both on the board because I'm 
guessing we're all Stevenson 

1337
01:11:26,700 --> 01:11:28,900
heads here. 
I'm kind of glad that they just 

1338
01:11:28,900 --> 01:11:32,800
made that decision for us there.
Yeah, we when I guys like about 

1339
01:11:32,800 --> 01:11:35,200
the first-half touchdowns from 
Harris for him to get there. 

1340
01:11:35,200 --> 01:11:38,900
Yes, that happened last year. 
Tonight, probably, as I have 

1341
01:11:38,900 --> 01:11:41,100
three and then two, women room 
on drugs. 

1342
01:11:43,700 --> 01:11:46,100
Scored a million points in week 
17 last year. 

1343
01:11:46,100 --> 01:11:50,200
I think I've taken some Damien 
just because like he can he 

1344
01:11:50,200 --> 01:11:53,300
might be the goal line, back and
happy PR that could be what you 

1345
01:11:53,300 --> 01:11:55,700
need. 
So I've taken a little bit but 

1346
01:11:55,700 --> 01:11:57,500
man. 
Yeah obviously wrote like Ramon 

1347
01:11:57,500 --> 01:12:01,300
tree better. 
No one shot killer Jemaine 

1348
01:12:01,300 --> 01:12:04,300
Damien falling out so much. 
Yeah. 

1349
01:12:04,300 --> 01:12:05,600
We are. 
You handling, are you? 

1350
01:12:05,600 --> 01:12:08,000
Are you kind of like starting 
the balance and that balance it 

1351
01:12:08,000 --> 01:12:12,000
out a little bit after that? 
I'm not really, I would say 

1352
01:12:12,000 --> 01:12:13,700
balancing it out because your 
mind race still. 

1353
01:12:13,700 --> 01:12:16,800
Like every time I see Damion 
like I can wait like another 

1354
01:12:17,200 --> 01:12:20,100
full round to go get her Mantra,
think it's not like one of those

1355
01:12:20,100 --> 01:12:22,900
things where it's like, if I 
don't take Damien, I'll 

1356
01:12:22,900 --> 01:12:24,400
definitely won't get from Andre 
either. 

1357
01:12:24,900 --> 01:12:26,900
And in that case, I might be 
like, I'll take doing in here. 

1358
01:12:27,600 --> 01:12:31,100
But, yeah. 
So it's still like, I'm still 

1359
01:12:31,100 --> 01:12:33,200
going to end up being 
underweight or still am right 

1360
01:12:33,200 --> 01:12:35,800
now underway being. 
There's, I know this is an 

1361
01:12:35,800 --> 01:12:39,000
underdog Channel, but I've 
actually been drafting a lot on 

1362
01:12:39,000 --> 01:12:41,500
DraftKings. 
Lately. 

1363
01:12:41,700 --> 01:12:46,700
And the if you want to draft 
form, Andre go to be soggy draft

1364
01:12:47,100 --> 01:12:49,900
and Ian go Damien still goes in 
like the seventh eighth round 

1365
01:12:49,900 --> 01:12:53,000
her Mantra goes in like the 
11-12 round better fit for the 

1366
01:12:53,000 --> 01:12:55,100
scoring as well. 
Yeah, way better. 

1367
01:12:55,200 --> 01:12:59,000
Yep. 
I mean this is going to line up 

1368
01:12:59,000 --> 01:13:02,400
pretty well again to if we want 
to take Henry here, mmm. 

1369
01:13:04,800 --> 01:13:08,800
Yep, I've never seen this much 
Raw sturbation on ship chasing. 

1370
01:13:09,800 --> 01:13:11,900
Really you have it? 
Yeah, yeah. 

1371
01:13:13,400 --> 01:13:18,000
Well I get triggered. 
When I just like listen to the 

1372
01:13:18,000 --> 01:13:21,700
podcast about the restoration, 
anything else I'm missing here 

1373
01:13:21,700 --> 01:13:28,000
over Henry. 
He's a great pick. 

1374
01:13:28,300 --> 01:13:31,600
Yeah it's great and just perp it
perfectly fits. 

1375
01:13:33,300 --> 01:13:35,300
Now we're kind of back on track 
structurally. 

1376
01:13:35,300 --> 01:13:38,500
It is there a single pick? 
We've taken more than I think. 

1377
01:13:38,500 --> 01:13:40,600
It looks like one and change 
ahead of ATP. 

1378
01:13:40,600 --> 01:13:42,700
OD boat was to and change ahead 
of ATP. 

1379
01:13:43,500 --> 01:13:45,700
Oh, Elijah more was four spots 
ahead ATP. 

1380
01:13:45,700 --> 01:13:49,000
I mean, like, everything is like
right at 80 was also not 

1381
01:13:49,000 --> 01:13:51,600
correlated at that time. 
At that did not. 

1382
01:13:52,000 --> 01:13:54,900
We just pick the player at that 
point but debose. 

1383
01:13:54,900 --> 01:13:57,000
Well, yeah, who do you guys like
Here. 

1384
01:13:57,100 --> 01:14:00,200
Now we're kind of open. 
Are we on? 

1385
01:14:00,200 --> 01:14:03,300
I mean, Algeria. 
And Pickens both are look 

1386
01:14:03,300 --> 01:14:08,300
interesting to me. 
I mean, I was, I was going to 

1387
01:14:08,308 --> 01:14:11,700
say, Tyrion, Davis price is 
actually my favorite. 

1388
01:14:11,700 --> 01:14:14,900
I think of all of all these 
guys, I like game well here, so 

1389
01:14:14,900 --> 01:14:17,500
we're all on double. 
Yeah, I like getting my liking. 

1390
01:14:22,600 --> 01:14:24,400
Yeah. 
I mean, I doubt any yet. 

1391
01:14:24,400 --> 01:14:29,500
None of those guys are making it
back to us, but right after I 

1392
01:14:29,500 --> 01:14:31,500
said that now we're having our 
biggest correlation reach. 

1393
01:14:31,500 --> 01:14:35,300
Five spots ahead of ATP. 
Wow, ruined it, this has gone 

1394
01:14:35,300 --> 01:14:38,100
too far. 
I don't know what we're 

1395
01:14:38,100 --> 01:14:45,400
thinking. 
One thing on the correlation, 

1396
01:14:47,200 --> 01:14:49,800
I've tried to doing like a 
little bit is just like, doing 

1397
01:14:49,800 --> 01:14:51,500
more like one side. 
It's tough. 

1398
01:14:51,800 --> 01:14:52,700
What do you guys think about 
that? 

1399
01:14:52,700 --> 01:14:55,000
Like where you just kind of do 
like more like Onslaught E-Type 

1400
01:14:55,000 --> 01:14:56,900
stuffs, right? 
As opposed to, like I got one 

1401
01:14:56,900 --> 01:14:58,400
here, I'll get one from the 
other get one here. 

1402
01:14:58,400 --> 01:15:01,500
You know what I mean? 
No, I'm just like just building 

1403
01:15:01,500 --> 01:15:04,900
like more like one side of it 
and then like, I think I did 

1404
01:15:04,900 --> 01:15:08,400
that with San Francisco or I 
don't have a Raider, but I, but 

1405
01:15:08,400 --> 01:15:11,800
I make sure to get like tearing 
David Price, Trail adds, Danny 

1406
01:15:11,800 --> 01:15:12,900
Gray. 
A and Debo. 

1407
01:15:14,200 --> 01:15:18,300
I like it, Connor brings up 
sorry God no go ahead, no go 

1408
01:15:18,300 --> 01:15:19,500
ahead. 
I was gonna say kind of brings 

1409
01:15:19,500 --> 01:15:22,600
up the RV one and second one, 
not historically strong stack 

1410
01:15:22,600 --> 01:15:24,500
but he obviously doesn't know 
anything about the New England 

1411
01:15:24,500 --> 01:15:27,600
Patriots. 
Oh, that's a team in the NFL and

1412
01:15:28,100 --> 01:15:29,700
the running backs in the tight 
ends. 

1413
01:15:29,900 --> 01:15:31,400
Are all that matters, all that 
teeth. 

1414
01:15:31,500 --> 01:15:33,400
I do think there's a 
conversation though. 

1415
01:15:33,400 --> 01:15:37,500
Like it again week, 17, all that
matters yada yada, but we are 

1416
01:15:37,500 --> 01:15:42,200
still making macro correlation 
bets on these offenses to get us

1417
01:15:42,200 --> 01:15:43,800
there. 
So, yes, while that might have 

1418
01:15:44,000 --> 01:15:47,600
Slightly negative correlation in
a single week. 

1419
01:15:47,600 --> 01:15:50,500
If the Patriots take a big step 
up, we're going to want like 

1420
01:15:50,500 --> 01:15:53,400
Henry and Harris are probably 
going to be responsible for a 

1421
01:15:53,400 --> 01:15:55,500
lot of their touchdowns that 
they score. 

1422
01:15:56,300 --> 01:15:59,600
Yeah plus like we got what do we
get here? 

1423
01:15:59,600 --> 01:16:03,900
Is because we got we got Henry 
in the 13th, you got hairs a 

1424
01:16:03,907 --> 01:16:07,100
couple rounds before that like I
don't feel like we need to be 

1425
01:16:07,100 --> 01:16:08,600
right about every single one of 
these. 

1426
01:16:08,600 --> 01:16:11,800
Like we have the Dolphins going 
up which we made a big stack on 

1427
01:16:11,800 --> 01:16:13,500
the Dolphins. 
So we need the Dolphins, have a 

1428
01:16:13,508 --> 01:16:15,200
good week. 17. 
And then we have a couple 

1429
01:16:15,200 --> 01:16:16,700
options of brings acts like 
that. 

1430
01:16:17,100 --> 01:16:18,400
And those are the touchdown 
guys. 

1431
01:16:18,400 --> 01:16:21,400
Like, we happen to have the 
right guy, who scores a 

1432
01:16:21,400 --> 01:16:24,000
touchdown that week on the 
Patriots, I don't give a shit 

1433
01:16:24,100 --> 01:16:26,000
it, right? 
If like, Damien Harris doesn't 

1434
01:16:26,000 --> 01:16:28,000
do anything that we might be 
totally fine. 

1435
01:16:28,600 --> 01:16:31,800
Even even as crazy as it sounds,
even Debo doesn't do anything 

1436
01:16:31,800 --> 01:16:35,700
that week, but tearing Davis 
price goes for right 33, 

1437
01:16:35,700 --> 01:16:39,800
touchdowns, that sounds crazy. 
But last year like Jonathan, 

1438
01:16:39,800 --> 01:16:41,100
Taylor and Cooper cup and 
marking. 

1439
01:16:41,100 --> 01:16:44,400
Andrews were the three biggest 
Smashes in all of Tennessee, 

1440
01:16:44,800 --> 01:16:46,600
like probably not particularly 
close. 

1441
01:16:46,600 --> 01:16:49,200
And I guess Depot is in that 
bucket to none of them went 

1442
01:16:49,200 --> 01:16:51,200
nuts. 
In the final week they were 

1443
01:16:51,200 --> 01:16:53,800
nowhere near the top of of raw 
scores. 

1444
01:16:53,800 --> 01:16:58,400
It was everybody else, right? 
I'm on rossing Brown destroyed, 

1445
01:16:58,400 --> 01:17:01,200
Kubrick up and raw points in the
championship. 

1446
01:17:01,200 --> 01:17:04,400
And so that's why you make these
these little bets. 

1447
01:17:05,100 --> 01:17:07,900
Like, to Pete's point is just 
like I have no idea how it's 

1448
01:17:07,900 --> 01:17:12,600
going to play out, but I want to
correlate my bets and make them 

1449
01:17:12,600 --> 01:17:14,400
all kind of fit together. 
Together. 

1450
01:17:14,400 --> 01:17:18,900
Well and and you do get a 
benefit of them being a team 

1451
01:17:18,900 --> 01:17:22,700
level if Trey, Lance is awesome.
I know we don't have him that's 

1452
01:17:22,700 --> 01:17:25,500
good for Debo and that's good 
for Davis price. 

1453
01:17:25,900 --> 01:17:28,600
And so you want to also 
correlate those little things 

1454
01:17:28,800 --> 01:17:30,300
we're rooting for Jimmy and this
game. 

1455
01:17:30,500 --> 01:17:36,700
We want one thing in common. 
Everyone wants Jimmy, he's that.

1456
01:17:36,700 --> 01:17:39,400
He's the starter in San 
Francisco. 

1457
01:17:39,600 --> 01:17:41,900
We don't, we don't, we don't 
speak of the back of Jimmy's 

1458
01:17:41,900 --> 01:17:43,800
completion. 
Percentage over expected is 

1459
01:17:44,500 --> 01:17:46,400
Pretty good. 
It's pretty good you know well 

1460
01:17:46,400 --> 01:17:49,200
and I showed that team in my 
video that finished top 10 and 

1461
01:17:49,200 --> 01:17:53,200
BBM three last year that had 
literally 11 combined players 

1462
01:17:53,300 --> 01:17:57,200
from two teams total. 
Oh yeah, Curzon The Bangles that

1463
01:17:57,200 --> 01:17:59,300
you could go down the road, 
these guys are negatively 

1464
01:17:59,300 --> 01:18:02,800
correlated these are they made a
macro bet on two teams that 

1465
01:18:02,800 --> 01:18:07,700
wildly exceeded expectations and
they made it to 10th in a very 

1466
01:18:07,700 --> 01:18:10,500
top-heavy tournament again, I'm 
not saying to replicate that for

1467
01:18:10,500 --> 01:18:14,900
this year, but that macro bets 
on teams is it is a very viable 

1468
01:18:14,900 --> 01:18:16,600
strategy. 
I think we're just all scaling 

1469
01:18:16,600 --> 01:18:19,600
it back a little bit. 
We're not doing 45, but I've 

1470
01:18:19,600 --> 01:18:22,300
been doing all kinds of team, 
mate pairs on. 

1471
01:18:22,300 --> 01:18:26,200
Yeah, on my team's I think cost 
is important mainly when it 

1472
01:18:26,200 --> 01:18:28,200
pertains to quarterback and 
running back. 

1473
01:18:28,300 --> 01:18:32,000
I think the biggest mistake 
people make is like, I took 

1474
01:18:32,400 --> 01:18:34,100
James Conner. 
Now, I'm going to take Kyler 

1475
01:18:34,100 --> 01:18:38,900
Murray and and like, the ceiling
events for James Conner and 

1476
01:18:38,900 --> 01:18:45,100
Kyler Marie are quite like 
opposing, you know, Their cost. 

1477
01:18:45,100 --> 01:18:47,600
But like, if you take that know,
Darryl Williams, or, you know, 

1478
01:18:47,600 --> 01:18:50,000
Benjamin or Chianti Ingram, it's
a different, it's a very 

1479
01:18:50,000 --> 01:18:52,400
different discussion. 
What about a feeling? 

1480
01:18:52,700 --> 01:18:55,500
Fuller, not correlated, because 
it's not a team. 

1481
01:18:55,800 --> 01:18:57,600
I think solar in like every 
team. 

1482
01:18:57,600 --> 01:19:02,200
So, I I take full her face, you 
know what else? 

1483
01:19:11,200 --> 01:19:14,800
I swear to God, if Fuller 
doesn't land With Las Vegas or 

1484
01:19:14,800 --> 01:19:16,500
Miami. 
I'm gonna be so pissed. 

1485
01:19:18,000 --> 01:19:19,900
That's definitely going back 
with Miami. 

1486
01:19:20,000 --> 01:19:22,100
Yeah, he's going back to Miami. 
Yeah. 

1487
01:19:22,100 --> 01:19:23,700
All the money. 
They paid for all those wide 

1488
01:19:23,700 --> 01:19:27,900
receivers but it is funny him 
and Juan de la like my to go to 

1489
01:19:27,900 --> 01:19:29,500
late-round wide receivers and 
they're both. 

1490
01:19:29,700 --> 01:19:32,400
They're both right here. 
I can't help myself with either.

1491
01:19:32,500 --> 01:19:35,400
That's the other one that I 
wanted to highlight receivers 

1492
01:19:35,900 --> 01:19:39,600
like obj as much as we played 
correlation we maybe haven't 

1493
01:19:39,600 --> 01:19:42,200
played structure while I'm 
young. 

1494
01:19:42,300 --> 01:19:45,500
I love grits so much. 
We did, we need better, we need 

1495
01:19:45,500 --> 01:19:48,900
more wide receivers. 
How many do we have 7, IV Tiger 

1496
01:19:48,900 --> 01:19:54,500
goes? 
Huh, At this point, I usually 

1497
01:19:54,500 --> 01:20:00,400
take obj or polio Jesus Christ. 
What about dpj? 

1498
01:20:00,600 --> 01:20:02,100
Alright. 
Leone, don't we use it? 

1499
01:20:02,100 --> 01:20:10,700
We can we take a guy younger 
than 40 for the Leone draft. 

1500
01:20:10,700 --> 01:20:14,800
Can we take dpj or or even Becky
one of those? 

1501
01:20:16,300 --> 01:20:20,300
D, PJ sucks. 
But yeah we could Julio can't 

1502
01:20:20,300 --> 01:20:23,800
walk. 
Julio is probably in that water.

1503
01:20:23,800 --> 01:20:28,500
I would honestly if they can 
either pads old man you guys got

1504
01:20:28,500 --> 01:20:33,000
few issues. 
He was okay. 

1505
01:20:55,600 --> 01:20:59,400
Let me win the room back over. 
We can wrap your dpj because the

1506
01:20:59,400 --> 01:21:02,800
Browns play the Ravens in week 
15. 

1507
01:21:02,900 --> 01:21:06,100
All right, that's our third. 
It's the week. 

1508
01:21:06,100 --> 01:21:10,600
That matters the record most. 
Do you know the 15 and 16 

1509
01:21:11,000 --> 01:21:12,000
matchups? 
Beat? 

1510
01:21:12,200 --> 01:21:15,100
Because I don't have my heart on
my spreadsheet that I look like 

1511
01:21:15,300 --> 01:21:17,200
that. 
I look at Some all the 15. 

1512
01:21:17,200 --> 01:21:20,500
So I keep my I keep, you know, 
we have a schedule up on Spike 

1513
01:21:20,500 --> 01:21:23,800
week, I keep it up still even 
though I know all the week 17 

1514
01:21:23,800 --> 01:21:27,600
games just just like in a moment
of panic is something if 

1515
01:21:27,600 --> 01:21:30,100
something were to happen or 
whatever, I'd like to have it up

1516
01:21:30,500 --> 01:21:34,800
I don't know that I don't really
think about the 15 and 16 games 

1517
01:21:34,800 --> 01:21:36,900
really very much. 
I know that you think about it a

1518
01:21:36,907 --> 01:21:39,400
little bit more than I view. 
It's more. 

1519
01:21:39,400 --> 01:21:42,600
Honestly like in that instance 
I'm just joking but I do like 

1520
01:21:42,600 --> 01:21:46,000
looking at which kind of overall
schedules. 

1521
01:21:46,100 --> 01:21:51,400
I really like so like Tampa Bay,
Arizona and the to La teams like

1522
01:21:51,400 --> 01:21:54,500
their week 15 through 17, 
there's not they're all either 

1523
01:21:54,500 --> 01:21:58,100
warm weather or Dome games like 
it, it's just perfect. 

1524
01:21:58,100 --> 01:22:00,800
So I do look at some of that 
stuff but yeah, I'm not 

1525
01:22:00,800 --> 01:22:03,500
specifically going out of my way
for 15 or 16. 

1526
01:22:04,000 --> 01:22:10,900
The Casey the chief schedule is 
it's pretty good for the whole 

1527
01:22:10,900 --> 01:22:13,900
playoffs. 
So, yeah, at least we think that

1528
01:22:13,900 --> 01:22:18,100
are either Houston, Seattle. 
And Is pretty sexy. 

1529
01:22:18,200 --> 01:22:22,000
It's hard to imagine. 
Those are like, no one on their,

1530
01:22:22,000 --> 01:22:26,500
their team is projecting poorly 
in any, in any of those games, I

1531
01:22:26,500 --> 01:22:28,800
don't think so. 
You're taking a stand against 

1532
01:22:28,800 --> 01:22:33,200
Derrick, Henry does his week 15 
and 16 schedule scare the crap 

1533
01:22:33,200 --> 01:22:37,000
out of you we talked did we talk
about this when you get I think 

1534
01:22:37,000 --> 01:22:44,300
I think it doesn't doesn't scare
the crap out of me but I mean 

1535
01:22:44,300 --> 01:22:48,800
these guys a little the Chargers
in the So just run all over. 

1536
01:22:48,800 --> 01:22:51,400
This guy's the Texans is pretty 
terrifying. 

1537
01:22:51,400 --> 01:22:53,500
I'm a little bit bullish on the 
Chargers. 

1538
01:22:53,500 --> 01:22:57,800
I think the charger's defense is
probably going to take a fairly 

1539
01:22:57,800 --> 01:23:00,000
significant step forward. 
Does that mean that Derrick 

1540
01:23:00,000 --> 01:23:02,800
Henry can't have a big game of? 
I mean, of course he can. 

1541
01:23:03,200 --> 01:23:08,300
But you also talked about like 
dude, Derrick Henry, even before

1542
01:23:08,300 --> 01:23:11,000
the injury like he was smashing,
but I don't know, he wasn't 

1543
01:23:11,000 --> 01:23:13,300
quite the same Derrick Henry and
then when he came back, then 

1544
01:23:13,300 --> 01:23:15,900
when he came back and he was 
flat-out bad. 

1545
01:23:16,100 --> 01:23:19,100
Does that mean he's going to be 
bad next year? 

1546
01:23:19,100 --> 01:23:23,700
Of course not, but I don't know.
I have more concerns about 

1547
01:23:23,800 --> 01:23:27,700
Derrick, Henry being Derrick 
Henry, regardless of matchup 

1548
01:23:27,800 --> 01:23:32,600
than I do about like, you know, 
the Texans in week 16 because 

1549
01:23:32,600 --> 01:23:35,100
I'm certain, I mean, he could go
for two hundred and four men 

1550
01:23:35,100 --> 01:23:37,800
against the Cowboys and I might 
be the charges. 

1551
01:23:37,800 --> 01:23:40,000
I'm thinking, you know, there 
they were kind of guarantees to 

1552
01:23:40,000 --> 01:23:42,100
run on them last year so that 
might not go so great. 

1553
01:23:42,100 --> 01:23:45,000
And they also have and they 
spent a lot on the defense. 

1554
01:23:45,000 --> 01:23:47,800
They spent a Them. 
They knew it was a it was a 

1555
01:23:47,800 --> 01:23:56,300
whole they needed to fill. 
So I was scrolling back up at 

1556
01:23:56,300 --> 01:23:57,600
the Jazz. 
And so buddy. 

1557
01:23:59,000 --> 01:24:02,000
Matt said, let's get weird in 
the puppies. 

1558
01:24:02,400 --> 01:24:06,500
The name of our video draft 
optimally at every pick. 

1559
01:24:07,700 --> 01:24:11,500
Ha Ha. 
See I'm savoring it because 

1560
01:24:11,500 --> 01:24:13,600
normally we would have been 
forced to get super weird and a 

1561
01:24:13,608 --> 01:24:16,800
ship chasing room and instead we
got a regular room and got to 

1562
01:24:16,800 --> 01:24:19,000
execute exactly what we what we 
want. 

1563
01:24:21,000 --> 01:24:27,400
All right so I mean what we're 
probably Ernest and Julio Jones,

1564
01:24:29,500 --> 01:24:31,500
do whatever you want. 
We're a little bit going. 

1565
01:24:31,500 --> 01:24:33,800
All right, we're a little bit 
weak at running back. 

1566
01:24:34,200 --> 01:24:37,300
I think this is your next 
Journey filled dearness makes 

1567
01:24:37,300 --> 01:24:38,000
sense. 
On this team. 

1568
01:24:38,000 --> 01:24:39,400
I would take six running backs 
on this team. 

1569
01:24:39,400 --> 01:24:40,800
I think. 
Yeah. 

1570
01:24:43,200 --> 01:24:50,300
At least furnace dpj stat. 
How much we have five and is 

1571
01:24:50,300 --> 01:24:51,000
each other. 
Then 

1572
01:25:14,100 --> 01:25:17,200
If anyone wants to buy equity in
this team, it's guaranteed to be

1573
01:25:17,200 --> 01:25:19,000
a winner. 
The last time I was on its 

1574
01:25:19,000 --> 01:25:31,900
China, I can sell it. 
Yet so tell I do I do have I 

1575
01:25:31,900 --> 01:25:33,800
guess a blind spot with Sony 
Michelle. 

1576
01:25:35,200 --> 01:25:36,900
I think I've heard your case 
before. 

1577
01:25:36,900 --> 01:25:39,300
Pappa. 
But spell it out again it's 

1578
01:25:39,300 --> 01:25:41,200
pretty simple case. 
I don't think Chase Edmunds is 

1579
01:25:41,200 --> 01:25:45,000
their goal line back. 
And so if you just take stabs at

1580
01:25:45,000 --> 01:25:47,200
Rahim, most Iran and Saudi 
Michelle, and a bunch of drafts.

1581
01:25:47,200 --> 01:25:49,300
Like you probably have Miami's 
goal line back. 

1582
01:25:51,700 --> 01:25:56,200
And they're also so cheap that I
will take them together on teams

1583
01:25:56,200 --> 01:26:00,700
that are like, you know, Zero 
running back teams that are 

1584
01:26:00,700 --> 01:26:04,000
hurting a little bit more than 
I'd like a hand Cocker in our 

1585
01:26:04,000 --> 01:26:06,900
midst. 
Well, it's kind of like I think 

1586
01:26:06,900 --> 01:26:10,500
when it gets that cheek like if 
you were to take, you know 

1587
01:26:11,100 --> 01:26:14,700
you're taking two stabs not just
at finding like a guy who has a 

1588
01:26:14,700 --> 01:26:18,200
role but finding a guy who has 
the goal line rule, I'm way more

1589
01:26:18,200 --> 01:26:22,000
willing to do it on my in Miami 
where I don't like That what the

1590
01:26:22,000 --> 01:26:23,900
to cheap thing, too? 
Because there's a correlation 

1591
01:26:23,900 --> 01:26:26,100
there where if Edmonds has a 
serious injury. 

1592
01:26:26,100 --> 01:26:28,300
Those guys could be like 
alternating. 

1593
01:26:28,500 --> 01:26:31,400
Yeah, we'd backs at various 
times throughout the year. 

1594
01:26:31,400 --> 01:26:35,100
Like they are similar plays of 
their upside, their contingent 

1595
01:26:35,100 --> 01:26:37,900
value, like could be tied in 
correlated with each, right? 

1596
01:26:38,400 --> 01:26:41,600
We have a system where the, you 
know, he's coming from the 

1597
01:26:41,600 --> 01:26:43,900
Shanahan tree with a 
traditionally rotated backs, 

1598
01:26:43,900 --> 01:26:47,300
we've had backs each week. 
It's a, it's a system that has 

1599
01:26:47,300 --> 01:26:49,600
produced Spike weeks, but also 
from a variety of backs of the 

1600
01:26:49,608 --> 01:26:53,600
course of the season. 
It's also I think just 

1601
01:26:53,600 --> 01:26:57,200
specifically with Edmonds like 
he's so easy for me to bet 

1602
01:26:57,200 --> 01:26:59,700
against his the goal line back. 
There's almost not a back. 

1603
01:26:59,800 --> 01:27:01,700
I did it. 
He did it. 

1604
01:27:01,700 --> 01:27:09,200
Yeah, let's roll the clip that I
made. 

1605
01:27:24,500 --> 01:27:27,300
Play highlight clip for Drew 
lock and I had to edit it. 

1606
01:27:30,600 --> 01:27:32,700
Wait is that real? 
You made that whole clip if you 

1607
01:27:32,700 --> 01:27:35,400
edit it just made the whole 
cliff and that I you know, I 

1608
01:27:35,400 --> 01:27:39,100
reduced it from about a minute, 
20 down to 11 second Clips, 

1609
01:27:39,100 --> 01:27:41,400
amazing. 
All right, if I make a call, you

1610
01:27:41,400 --> 01:27:44,900
can't do that though. 
Do you have still that 

1611
01:27:44,900 --> 01:27:48,300
assignment is still on your desk
to make it's still on my desk? 

1612
01:27:48,300 --> 01:27:51,800
I mean, You know, you'll be 
happy to hear. 

1613
01:27:51,800 --> 01:27:57,100
I'm waiting until ffp season to 
make the dosage but I do want 

1614
01:27:57,100 --> 01:28:01,100
the 1.5 CPR scoring for my 
rookie Titan for your lesson, 

1615
01:28:01,100 --> 01:28:05,100
okay. 
Yeah, but it will not be a bit 

1616
01:28:05,100 --> 01:28:08,300
once that cup is made all right,
Eric, I want you to give us the 

1617
01:28:08,300 --> 01:28:11,000
rundown, pull up our team here 
again. 

1618
01:28:11,000 --> 01:28:14,700
Obviously we talked through it 
as we went but I give you a 

1619
01:28:14,708 --> 01:28:18,900
breakdown of what we did here. 
See, this is like what so many 

1620
01:28:18,900 --> 01:28:23,600
of my team's look like all the 
week 17 correlation. 

1621
01:28:23,600 --> 01:28:27,100
But to what we talked about at 
the very beginning, I'm not 

1622
01:28:27,100 --> 01:28:31,300
picking and choosing the games, 
as we start out the draft that 

1623
01:28:31,300 --> 01:28:33,700
I'm targeting for week 17, 
right? 

1624
01:28:33,700 --> 01:28:37,100
I mean, I like the 49ers and 
Raiders game just fine but we 

1625
01:28:37,100 --> 01:28:41,900
let it all flow to us and a lot 
of people hate the Dolphins and 

1626
01:28:41,900 --> 01:28:44,600
Patriots game like if you were 
to pick a game that you wanted 

1627
01:28:44,600 --> 01:28:47,700
to Target, nobody is really 
targeting that But we like we we

1628
01:28:47,700 --> 01:28:50,300
we like the Dolphins and I don't
know. 

1629
01:28:50,300 --> 01:28:52,000
I kind of don't hate the 
Patriots. 

1630
01:28:52,000 --> 01:28:55,200
We didn't necessarily get the 
exact players we wanted on the 

1631
01:28:55,200 --> 01:28:57,200
Patriots, right? 
With Ramon Draper's is Damien, 

1632
01:28:57,200 --> 01:29:00,100
whatever. 
But everything fit structurally 

1633
01:29:00,200 --> 01:29:04,000
like this is how I think you 
should draft is like whether you

1634
01:29:04,000 --> 01:29:07,500
like deante Johnson or Damien 
Harris or or dear Ernest Johnson

1635
01:29:07,500 --> 01:29:12,300
or two or Hunter Henry, every 
pick fit well together, you 

1636
01:29:12,300 --> 01:29:15,900
didn't sacrifice ATP value and 
it fits structurally well 

1637
01:29:15,900 --> 01:29:17,900
together. 
And the correlation all fell 

1638
01:29:17,900 --> 01:29:19,900
together. 
That that is everything we 

1639
01:29:19,900 --> 01:29:22,200
talked about. 
For like the first half hour is 

1640
01:29:22,200 --> 01:29:25,600
like putting all the right 
things together, mainly that we 

1641
01:29:25,600 --> 01:29:28,700
talked about last year, right 
structure, all that kind of 

1642
01:29:28,708 --> 01:29:32,000
stuff. 
And then mixing in the the 

1643
01:29:32,008 --> 01:29:35,300
correlation elements. 
Like this is how I want to draft

1644
01:29:35,300 --> 01:29:37,400
every team. 
Basically what school, but a lot

1645
01:29:37,400 --> 01:29:39,700
of the players you just said 
that maybe we don't like, is 

1646
01:29:39,700 --> 01:29:41,900
that that's about half of our 
team but about half of our team 

1647
01:29:41,900 --> 01:29:45,300
were sort of player takes like 
we were like, you know, we want 

1648
01:29:45,300 --> 01:29:48,400
to take Adams who was want to 
take Debo and then you make the 

1649
01:29:48,400 --> 01:29:51,700
decision Deonte Elijah more, 
right? 

1650
01:29:51,800 --> 01:29:56,800
Etc. 
Even I mean waddle and DJ more 

1651
01:29:56,800 --> 01:30:00,000
was gonna be one or the other, 
but it is those very much a 

1652
01:30:01,100 --> 01:30:03,800
we're going wide receiver here. 
We want one of these two players

1653
01:30:03,800 --> 01:30:05,800
and then, you know, then you 
figure it out from there. 

1654
01:30:05,800 --> 01:30:08,600
But you get your exposure to the
guys that you like, and then 

1655
01:30:09,400 --> 01:30:11,700
you're still correlating. 
And I mean, you have to be 

1656
01:30:11,700 --> 01:30:15,600
willing to not try to make every
of your 18 picks be like 

1657
01:30:15,600 --> 01:30:18,300
correct. 
You're talking about but that 

1658
01:30:18,300 --> 01:30:23,300
doesn't mean none of your picks 
are like player stands for 

1659
01:30:23,300 --> 01:30:25,300
anything. 
Yeah and I think one of the 

1660
01:30:25,300 --> 01:30:28,100
things for me that sometimes 
struggle with is like I do have 

1661
01:30:28,100 --> 01:30:32,000
player stands and I want to make
my player stands but like I also

1662
01:30:32,000 --> 01:30:36,900
have like player preferences 
like I prefer briefs haul over 

1663
01:30:36,900 --> 01:30:38,900
JK Dobbins. 
Don't feel that strongly about 

1664
01:30:38,900 --> 01:30:42,600
it. 
Yeah, but like keeping track of 

1665
01:30:42,600 --> 01:30:45,600
that player preference is 
sometimes difficult like how 

1666
01:30:45,800 --> 01:30:50,100
okay like If I think it's like, 
5545 my drafting like that, 

1667
01:30:50,100 --> 01:30:52,800
like, do I need to go check? 
Am I like wildly Overexposed to 

1668
01:30:52,800 --> 01:30:54,700
Bruce Hall. 
Compared to David, but like 

1669
01:30:54,700 --> 01:30:58,600
using the, the correlation with 
Dobbins like P you were like 

1670
01:30:58,600 --> 01:31:00,100
immediately. 
Like, look, we got the diamonds 

1671
01:31:00,100 --> 01:31:03,300
correlation that like, stuff 
like that. 

1672
01:31:03,300 --> 01:31:04,600
Like I think it's just like 
helpful. 

1673
01:31:04,900 --> 01:31:07,900
Okay, let's keep it. 
If you have, it doesn't come to 

1674
01:31:07,900 --> 01:31:10,100
pass. 
It is like that many correlation

1675
01:31:10,100 --> 01:31:11,800
hitting. 
Like just I do think it's like 

1676
01:31:11,800 --> 01:31:15,700
helpful in guiding. 
Your, your overall portfolio and

1677
01:31:15,700 --> 01:31:18,000
we had there. 
There are multiple times during 

1678
01:31:18,000 --> 01:31:20,700
that draft to where I was like, 
oh this is kind of a gross gross

1679
01:31:20,700 --> 01:31:22,000
spot. 
I feel like you could have made 

1680
01:31:22,000 --> 01:31:24,200
the case for three to four 
different players, two to three 

1681
01:31:24,200 --> 01:31:26,700
different positions, a couple 
different times. 

1682
01:31:26,700 --> 01:31:29,000
So it's like if you have your 
player preferences and your 

1683
01:31:29,000 --> 01:31:31,200
player takes, there's still 
going to be plenty of logical 

1684
01:31:31,200 --> 01:31:35,600
ways to plant that flag during a
draft without, you know, really 

1685
01:31:35,600 --> 01:31:38,500
sacrificing something that 
sometimes it lines up perfectly 

1686
01:31:38,500 --> 01:31:40,800
and you're like, yeah, let's 
just do this but I think there's

1687
01:31:40,800 --> 01:31:43,900
tons of time still, where, you 
know, I find myself doing that a

1688
01:31:43,900 --> 01:31:46,400
lot of times with the the 0r B 
guys. 

1689
01:31:46,500 --> 01:31:49,700
Eyes to like we all have our 
guys that we end up liking 

1690
01:31:49,700 --> 01:31:56,200
there. 
This might be dumb but trying to

1691
01:31:56,208 --> 01:32:00,400
like Propel the discussion 
forward a little bit or think 

1692
01:32:00,400 --> 01:32:02,900
through the next things about 
it. 

1693
01:32:02,900 --> 01:32:05,900
I mean, it was sort of sort of 
similar to my dumb comment of 

1694
01:32:05,900 --> 01:32:07,700
beginning where we had Adams 
Debo. 

1695
01:32:07,700 --> 01:32:09,800
Should we intentionally not 
correlate that, right? 

1696
01:32:09,800 --> 01:32:12,100
Like that's that's a little bit 
aggressive, but everyone else is

1697
01:32:12,100 --> 01:32:13,400
doing that. 
My correlate them. 

1698
01:32:14,100 --> 01:32:18,200
But the one thing that that 
caught my eye and then I go back

1699
01:32:18,200 --> 01:32:20,500
to when I was looking at our 
roster, was the Renfro pick 

1700
01:32:20,500 --> 01:32:24,400
where I don't think in DFS, in a
given week, I would Play an 

1701
01:32:24,400 --> 01:32:26,800
atom's a car Adams, Renfro 
stack. 

1702
01:32:26,800 --> 01:32:29,300
Necessarily because Renfro to me
is not that guy that I 

1703
01:32:29,300 --> 01:32:31,900
necessarily want to throw in as 
a double stack Target. 

1704
01:32:32,000 --> 01:32:35,500
He's the guy that on a week 
where Adams Target shares down 

1705
01:32:35,500 --> 01:32:38,800
or wall or targets are down, 
he's kind of sucking up that 

1706
01:32:38,900 --> 01:32:41,900
volume but he's not going to be 
like a big play guy that could 

1707
01:32:41,900 --> 01:32:45,800
secondary, you know, Target and 
we still played a pretty big 

1708
01:32:45,800 --> 01:32:49,300
price on him. 
Is there an element now would 

1709
01:32:49,500 --> 01:32:51,700
rather than just like, okay, 
this player correlates it's 

1710
01:32:51,700 --> 01:32:54,300
throw him in where you start to 
actually We think about how he 

1711
01:32:54,300 --> 01:32:59,300
correlates do, I want to pass on
him, the counter to this Eric 

1712
01:32:59,400 --> 01:33:01,800
already kind of gave earlier 
when you were talking about how,

1713
01:33:02,800 --> 01:33:04,900
at one point you were talking 
about, how could be different 

1714
01:33:04,900 --> 01:33:06,400
weeks. 
Like, Renfro could be the guy 

1715
01:33:06,400 --> 01:33:08,100
that helps us in week, 16 and a 
cute. 

1716
01:33:08,100 --> 01:33:10,000
So, it's a little different than
DFS, right? 

1717
01:33:10,400 --> 01:33:12,900
And I mean, the Bangles with a 
perfect example, last year with 

1718
01:33:12,900 --> 01:33:17,300
kind of Chase and Higgins. 
Ping-ponging these just massive 

1719
01:33:17,600 --> 01:33:20,700
weeks and that almost goes back 
to the macro correlation thing, 

1720
01:33:20,700 --> 01:33:22,400
right? 
We're just making a bet that the

1721
01:33:22,400 --> 01:33:25,200
Dolphins in Raiders is 
massively, you know exceed 

1722
01:33:25,200 --> 01:33:28,600
expectations this yeah 
especially because we don't have

1723
01:33:28,600 --> 01:33:30,600
an elite quarterback. 
When I'm gonna rushing at the 

1724
01:33:30,600 --> 01:33:32,800
quarterback position. 
So I actually am really glad we 

1725
01:33:32,800 --> 01:33:36,000
have around 40 with a car to a 
team because like we're going to

1726
01:33:36,000 --> 01:33:38,900
need Miami in Oakland to be like
Oakland, A Las Vegas, to be like

1727
01:33:38,900 --> 01:33:43,100
huge over performers, all season
long. 

1728
01:33:44,000 --> 01:33:46,300
I'm actually really glad you 
brought this up because this is 

1729
01:33:46,300 --> 01:33:52,500
my biggest Pain Point probably 
still like it's maybe 

1730
01:33:52,500 --> 01:33:55,200
overconfidence, but I have quite
a bit of confidence, in kind of 

1731
01:33:55,200 --> 01:33:57,800
my approach to all these 
different things, week 17, 

1732
01:33:57,800 --> 01:34:00,500
right, structure, whatever all 
that shit. 

1733
01:34:00,500 --> 01:34:05,400
That is kind of, it's almost 
silly at this point but this is 

1734
01:34:05,400 --> 01:34:09,400
the one where, like, I bring my 
DFS brain exactly. 

1735
01:34:09,400 --> 01:34:12,300
Like what you said Ben where 
it's like, dude, if I'm making a

1736
01:34:12,308 --> 01:34:17,500
DFS team, I'm not playing Justin
Jefferson and Adam thielen with 

1737
01:34:17,500 --> 01:34:18,500
Kirk Cousins. 
Yeah. 

1738
01:34:19,800 --> 01:34:23,600
Because like Adam thielen can't 
outperform every other 7K wide 

1739
01:34:23,600 --> 01:34:25,200
receiver. 
If Justin Jefferson is 

1740
01:34:25,200 --> 01:34:28,500
outperforming Jamar Chase and 
Tyree kill right? 

1741
01:34:28,500 --> 01:34:32,600
And Davante Adams and whatever 
and like obviously they're very 

1742
01:34:32,600 --> 01:34:35,800
different games but my brain 
comes from that space. 

1743
01:34:36,100 --> 01:34:37,700
So like that's how I think about
things. 

1744
01:34:37,700 --> 01:34:41,400
It's like I took Davante Adams 
in the first round I need him to

1745
01:34:41,400 --> 01:34:45,300
be a smash. 
So if he's a smash and I take 

1746
01:34:45,300 --> 01:34:49,400
Darren Waller in the fourth 
round, how can Darren Waller? 

1747
01:34:49,600 --> 01:34:51,800
Like how can Davante Adams be 
the best first round? 

1748
01:34:51,800 --> 01:34:54,100
Pick? 
If I'm thinking like this pure 

1749
01:34:54,100 --> 01:34:57,600
total nut nut optimal outcome, 
right? 

1750
01:34:57,600 --> 01:35:02,800
And so there's a balancing act 
in that there are outcomes like,

1751
01:35:02,800 --> 01:35:07,100
last year, where T Higgins goes 
for 40 in the, in week 16, and, 

1752
01:35:07,200 --> 01:35:09,800
and is awesome. 
He was awesome all year but then

1753
01:35:09,800 --> 01:35:12,100
also goes for 40 and week, 16 
and Jamar. 

1754
01:35:12,100 --> 01:35:15,700
Chase is awesome. 
All year and goes for 50 in the 

1755
01:35:15,700 --> 01:35:19,500
face in the fantasy playoffs. 
But the bat that it's easy to 

1756
01:35:19,500 --> 01:35:22,700
get tied to that because we saw 
it happen in like a very hyper 

1757
01:35:22,700 --> 01:35:25,100
specific scenario. 
I always loved to joke about the

1758
01:35:25,100 --> 01:35:28,600
Davante Adams thing, right? 
Like oh this third year wide 

1759
01:35:28,600 --> 01:35:31,900
receiver really sucks ass. 
But remember Davante Adams was 

1760
01:35:31,900 --> 01:35:35,400
awesome even though he sucked 
ass for two years as a 

1761
01:35:35,407 --> 01:35:38,300
third-year wide receiver, I'm 
trying not to get too hyper 

1762
01:35:38,300 --> 01:35:40,900
focus on that but I also don't 
know that I have the right 

1763
01:35:40,900 --> 01:35:44,500
answer. 
I tend to lean more to the, I'm 

1764
01:35:44,500 --> 01:35:47,100
not trying to overspend on 
anyone offense. 

1765
01:35:47,500 --> 01:35:50,000
I tend to lean there. 
I don't want to have I don't 

1766
01:35:50,000 --> 01:35:52,800
want to have zero like Chase 
Higgins in my portfolio. 

1767
01:35:52,900 --> 01:35:55,700
I don't want to I definitely 
don't have zero Adams Renfro 

1768
01:35:55,700 --> 01:35:58,100
whatever. 
But I'm very cognizant of how 

1769
01:35:58,100 --> 01:36:01,000
much I'm spending on an 
individual offense, particularly

1770
01:36:01,000 --> 01:36:04,200
given the best ball tournaments.
We have net right now, right? 

1771
01:36:04,200 --> 01:36:06,600
It's not last year, where 
there's less than 200 people in 

1772
01:36:06,600 --> 01:36:08,600
the finals. 
There's 500 people in the 

1773
01:36:08,600 --> 01:36:10,000
finals. 
On DraftKings. 

1774
01:36:10,000 --> 01:36:13,300
There's a fucking thousand 
people in the, in the final is 

1775
01:36:13,300 --> 01:36:15,200
huge. 
So, like, I'm being more 

1776
01:36:15,200 --> 01:36:18,100
cognizant of it, this year maybe
than I even was in the past. 

1777
01:36:18,100 --> 01:36:20,600
So that was a really good. 
Good monologue. 

1778
01:36:20,600 --> 01:36:22,800
So I want to let you finish but 
that wasn't my point at all. 

1779
01:36:22,800 --> 01:36:27,700
I would take atoms and Darren 
Waller on the same team because 

1780
01:36:27,700 --> 01:36:30,000
of the types of players are. 
What I was saying was, I'm not 

1781
01:36:30,000 --> 01:36:34,200
going to let him have have a 
play, you yourself while you're 

1782
01:36:34,200 --> 01:36:57,500
here. 
I specifically like like it's a 

1783
01:36:57,508 --> 01:36:59,700
player take, right? 
Like it's I know better time. 

1784
01:36:59,700 --> 01:37:04,400
I got you with your correlation.
Is that another step that is 

1785
01:37:04,400 --> 01:37:07,700
worth taking? 
I think it's an interesting, so 

1786
01:37:07,700 --> 01:37:09,800
I think I would align it with, 
like player. 

1787
01:37:09,800 --> 01:37:13,500
Archetype putting players into 
archetypes, right? 

1788
01:37:13,500 --> 01:37:16,300
I got amazing Waller on a 
counter to this point because I 

1789
01:37:16,300 --> 01:37:17,900
think they can both have 
multiple touchdown games in the 

1790
01:37:17,907 --> 01:37:20,400
same game or, you know, 
whatever, I'm not. 

1791
01:37:20,400 --> 01:37:26,900
Like renfro's ceiling to me. 
Overlaps morning. 

1792
01:37:26,900 --> 01:37:30,200
You know, is more negatively 
correlated with Devante because 

1793
01:37:30,500 --> 01:37:32,400
of how to get there, right? 
How they get to their They're 

1794
01:37:32,400 --> 01:37:35,400
stealing is very different and 
their position position is also 

1795
01:37:35,400 --> 01:37:37,900
a really important factor in 
this, right? 

1796
01:37:37,900 --> 01:37:40,900
A tight end ceiling like what 
you need from Davante, Adams and

1797
01:37:40,907 --> 01:37:43,000
Hunter Renfro as a wide receiver
/. 

1798
01:37:43,000 --> 01:37:46,900
Flex is very, very different 
than what you need from a tight 

1799
01:37:46,900 --> 01:37:49,700
end school like the general or 
feel an example you gave. 

1800
01:37:49,800 --> 01:37:51,200
Like I wasn't thinking about 
that way. 

1801
01:37:51,200 --> 01:37:53,600
I would pledge Jefferson thielen
to me, would be the same 

1802
01:37:53,600 --> 01:37:57,600
examples Adams Waller here, but 
Renfro to positionally, it's 

1803
01:37:57,600 --> 01:38:00,000
different but positionally it's 
different, right? 

1804
01:38:00,100 --> 01:38:05,400
Thielen Waller is a Den who like
if I get 17 to 20 points out of 

1805
01:38:05,407 --> 01:38:07,700
my tight end? 
Like you're probably out of my 

1806
01:38:07,700 --> 01:38:09,200
stoned as well as well. 
Yeah. 

1807
01:38:09,200 --> 01:38:10,700
Except you have to fucking play 
him at wide. 

1808
01:38:10,700 --> 01:38:13,000
Receiver spoiler, there is a 
wide receiver. 

1809
01:38:13,000 --> 01:38:14,900
You get to play at tight end. 
You can draft him in the third 

1810
01:38:14,900 --> 01:38:15,700
round. 
He plays for the Atlanta 

1811
01:38:15,700 --> 01:38:20,200
Falcons, but like, the Adam 
thielen thing is like, I have to

1812
01:38:20,200 --> 01:38:22,700
pay up not in best of all. 
It's different. 

1813
01:38:23,000 --> 01:38:26,200
It's a, it's a bad example for 
drafts because he's not that 

1814
01:38:26,200 --> 01:38:29,000
expensive. 
It's much more of like the Chase

1815
01:38:29,000 --> 01:38:32,000
Higgins. 
It's like I'm spending two of my

1816
01:38:32,000 --> 01:38:35,600
top. 
Top three round picks on this 

1817
01:38:35,600 --> 01:38:38,100
offense. 
And so, I need a, I need them to

1818
01:38:38,100 --> 01:38:43,400
both be a that good or like a 
truly insane scenario of them, 

1819
01:38:43,400 --> 01:38:47,300
ping-ponging, which is, which 
is, which is pretty tough. 

1820
01:38:47,300 --> 01:38:49,300
It seems lower likelihood. 
I'm trying to think of others 

1821
01:38:49,400 --> 01:38:52,400
like examples but maybe almond 
Roz one where like if I'm on 

1822
01:38:52,400 --> 01:38:56,300
Swift I'd rather be swift 
Hawkinson then audition. 

1823
01:38:56,300 --> 01:39:01,000
Yeah yep I would even go so far 
as to say that if I'm on a Mike 

1824
01:39:01,000 --> 01:39:03,600
Williams Herbert stack, you We 
can't make this decision after 

1825
01:39:03,600 --> 01:39:06,700
the fact, but I don't know if I 
want Keenan at his price, I 

1826
01:39:06,700 --> 01:39:10,500
think I'd want to build La 
cheaper with my extra pieces, 

1827
01:39:11,600 --> 01:39:15,300
every I'd ever do that only 
because they're going to be. 

1828
01:39:15,300 --> 01:39:19,200
So uncommonly paired that if you
did get a chance to drop both of

1829
01:39:19,208 --> 01:39:20,900
them because they're atp's are 
right next to each other. 

1830
01:39:21,300 --> 01:39:22,700
Yeah. 
Different nothing but there but 

1831
01:39:22,700 --> 01:39:24,800
you're just not going to see 
many of those teams okay? 

1832
01:39:24,900 --> 01:39:28,300
I think of it as like a sliding 
scale, similar to DFS. 

1833
01:39:28,300 --> 01:39:31,600
If you're using a bunch of your 
salary on a premium double 

1834
01:39:31,600 --> 01:39:35,600
stack, where It's like the more 
expensive this deck is, the more

1835
01:39:35,600 --> 01:39:39,800
you need that team to score and 
outperformed expectations in the

1836
01:39:39,800 --> 01:39:42,100
cheaper. 
It is the more wiggle room you 

1837
01:39:42,100 --> 01:39:44,900
have like, you can. 
Look at the Alexander Madison 

1838
01:39:44,900 --> 01:39:47,100
Pollard, you know, win rates and
stuff from last year. 

1839
01:39:47,100 --> 01:39:50,000
It's like they give you that one
or two big games at that cost. 

1840
01:39:50,000 --> 01:39:51,900
You drafted them in the second 
round there. 

1841
01:39:51,900 --> 01:39:53,600
When Reds would have been awful 
at that. 

1842
01:39:53,600 --> 01:39:55,900
But at their cost, all it takes 
is those two. 

1843
01:39:55,900 --> 01:39:59,400
So it's like the first the less 
Capital you invest in it. 

1844
01:39:59,400 --> 01:40:03,000
The more you can get away with 
not getting the Insane ceiling 

1845
01:40:03,000 --> 01:40:05,300
games consist. 
But is there anything to this 

1846
01:40:05,300 --> 01:40:07,400
archetype point? 
Or is it trying to be too 

1847
01:40:07,400 --> 01:40:09,400
precise? 
That's sort of like to do. 

1848
01:40:09,400 --> 01:40:11,400
I like this? 
I think it might be too precise 

1849
01:40:11,900 --> 01:40:14,700
but I also think Liam's got the 
point of like because I feel the

1850
01:40:14,700 --> 01:40:16,000
same way. 
It's like I just don't want to 

1851
01:40:16,008 --> 01:40:16,900
rest on a. 
I don't know. 

1852
01:40:18,200 --> 01:40:20,000
I don't like it for half PPR, so
it's more. 

1853
01:40:20,000 --> 01:40:22,900
Like I loved about the atoms. 
Archetype scores points. 

1854
01:40:22,900 --> 01:40:24,500
Touchdowns against question 
Target this. 

1855
01:40:24,500 --> 01:40:28,400
Archive, you good? 
Yeah, here's my thing about the 

1856
01:40:28,400 --> 01:40:30,100
archetype. 
I agree. 

1857
01:40:30,200 --> 01:40:33,000
Structurally. 
Not just like On the micro Team 

1858
01:40:33,000 --> 01:40:35,200
level, it's the same, it's 
Eric's favorite line. 

1859
01:40:35,200 --> 01:40:36,900
What is James White you for this
team? 

1860
01:40:37,000 --> 01:40:41,100
So, we, he's like the James 
White of strong wide receiver 

1861
01:40:41,100 --> 01:40:44,400
team, right, where it's like, 
we're loaded up here. 

1862
01:40:44,500 --> 01:40:48,300
That's why I kind of was like at
the at one point to like Pickens

1863
01:40:48,300 --> 01:40:51,200
looked attractive to me too 
because it's like could he just 

1864
01:40:51,200 --> 01:40:53,500
could Pickens be a third or 
fourth round pick next year? 

1865
01:40:53,600 --> 01:40:55,600
I think so. 
Like probably where it's like 

1866
01:40:55,600 --> 01:40:59,800
can Renfro probably not you know
so just thinking of that to of 

1867
01:40:59,800 --> 01:41:02,900
like what type of profile are we
Abby here that could 

1868
01:41:02,900 --> 01:41:05,200
realistically. 
See our starting lineup that 

1869
01:41:05,200 --> 01:41:07,300
said, I have a feeling run for a
while. 

1870
01:41:07,300 --> 01:41:09,800
Will definitely crack our line 
up a few times throughout the 

1871
01:41:09,800 --> 01:41:11,600
year. 
Yeah. 

1872
01:41:11,600 --> 01:41:13,500
Yeah. 
Like I said I feel way better 

1873
01:41:13,500 --> 01:41:17,000
that we have car and need car. 
Like even if you have we have 

1874
01:41:17,000 --> 01:41:21,100
Lance car, I would feel less 
good about because then it's 

1875
01:41:21,100 --> 01:41:23,900
like cars almost just like our 
bet is going to be more 

1876
01:41:23,900 --> 01:41:25,700
primarily on the better 
quarterback. 

1877
01:41:26,700 --> 01:41:29,500
But we like need the Raiders to 
yeah, really good. 

1878
01:41:29,500 --> 01:41:33,000
Yeah, yeah. 
And the other thing, too. 

1879
01:41:33,000 --> 01:41:36,400
And again, with all of this 
stuff, like there's contingent 

1880
01:41:36,500 --> 01:41:40,200
value, you know, if Waller were 
to get hurt, you know, stuff 

1881
01:41:40,200 --> 01:41:43,300
like that, where all of a sudden
Renfro is now all of a sudden 

1882
01:41:43,300 --> 01:41:46,200
back into a bigger Target share 
than we expected. 

1883
01:41:46,200 --> 01:41:48,600
Like, you do have those out and 
that's why to like I don't want 

1884
01:41:48,600 --> 01:41:51,600
to pigeonhole myself out of any 
combinations just because of 

1885
01:41:51,600 --> 01:41:53,600
stylistic or archetypal fits, 
right? 

1886
01:41:53,600 --> 01:41:56,000
Because you still always have 
that contingent value. 

1887
01:41:57,000 --> 01:41:59,700
That's the hardest part and 
contingent the contingent thing 

1888
01:41:59,700 --> 01:42:04,200
is very difficult because it's 
easy to say and like we all 

1889
01:42:04,200 --> 01:42:06,300
understand it as we're talking 
through it. 

1890
01:42:06,700 --> 01:42:11,600
But, well, you're terrible at 
archetypes. 

1891
01:42:11,600 --> 01:42:16,000
Liam supercomputers becomes a 
pretty fucking good arkad 

1892
01:42:16,000 --> 01:42:21,000
archetype for upside. 
The guy, I don't know, but 

1893
01:42:21,000 --> 01:42:22,800
they're pretty good. 
I don't know. 

1894
01:42:23,100 --> 01:42:26,200
Maybe you should learn archetype
and stop playing chess. 

1895
01:42:26,500 --> 01:42:31,700
But that that it is, it is, it 
is really difficult that. 

1896
01:42:31,700 --> 01:42:36,500
The archetype thing is really 
difficult and the like, all this

1897
01:42:36,500 --> 01:42:39,600
kind of these conversations are 
the ones I think are the most 

1898
01:42:39,600 --> 01:42:41,800
important, like, even like the 
stuff we talked about with week 

1899
01:42:41,800 --> 01:42:44,100
17, it's important, but it was 
more. 

1900
01:42:44,100 --> 01:42:47,800
So a little bit of trolling. 
This is like the hard part, like

1901
01:42:48,100 --> 01:42:51,200
you tell everything that been 
said about, like the Sunda, 

1902
01:42:51,200 --> 01:42:54,200
Renfro fit on this team makes 
perfect sense to me. 

1903
01:42:54,300 --> 01:42:58,200
But then like when we like Take 
another view through it and 

1904
01:42:58,200 --> 01:43:00,000
you're like, oh, we just bet on 
the Raiders, right? 

1905
01:43:00,000 --> 01:43:02,300
There's contingent value. 
There's all these reasons that 

1906
01:43:02,300 --> 01:43:04,300
makes sense to what's the right 
answer? 

1907
01:43:04,300 --> 01:43:07,300
I have no idea. 
It's all because Renfro could 

1908
01:43:07,300 --> 01:43:10,800
have a big week 16 and be the 
reason we get atoms in color 

1909
01:43:10,800 --> 01:43:13,000
stack through and there might 
not be a lot of times card 

1910
01:43:13,000 --> 01:43:16,000
Stacks through got the didn't 
have Renfro and then we end up 

1911
01:43:16,000 --> 01:43:17,800
winning with that. 
What we're trying to say is what

1912
01:43:17,800 --> 01:43:24,000
if renfro's the guy you need? 
But part of me, does lean 

1913
01:43:24,000 --> 01:43:26,400
towards run for being a good 
pick. 

1914
01:43:26,500 --> 01:43:30,700
I was at least for like any team
that I'm a part of because I am 

1915
01:43:30,700 --> 01:43:33,700
never taking run Pro. 
Like anytime it's like, rent, 

1916
01:43:33,700 --> 01:43:36,500
like renfro's always cover for 
whoever else, I'm hoping fall. 

1917
01:43:36,500 --> 01:43:39,000
So, like if there's a spot 
where, like, Renfro actually 

1918
01:43:39,000 --> 01:43:43,800
does make sense here, I do feel 
like he probably makes sense 

1919
01:43:43,800 --> 01:43:46,300
because I'm all my by the seas 
are telling me not to pick him 

1920
01:43:46,300 --> 01:43:49,700
up. 
I do have more Renfro than I 

1921
01:43:49,708 --> 01:43:53,600
probably care to admit, because 
I'm massively over exposed to 

1922
01:43:53,600 --> 01:43:55,100
the 49ers. 
I'm Trey Lancer. 

1923
01:43:55,300 --> 01:43:58,600
So he's like the The oh shit. 
I don't have any Raiders. 

1924
01:43:58,700 --> 01:44:04,900
Yeah like I mean and in here I 
have to take Josh Jacobs like 

1925
01:44:04,900 --> 01:44:09,300
yeah or it's getting its way 
worse. 

1926
01:44:09,300 --> 01:44:13,500
If you don't take him it's like 
your options are Kenyan Drake 

1927
01:44:13,600 --> 01:44:18,500
zamir, white Demarcus Robinson 
like it gets out of that real 

1928
01:44:18,500 --> 01:44:20,200
bad. 
If you don't take Hunter Renfrew

1929
01:44:20,200 --> 01:44:21,800
I think it would Cole's got that
job. 

1930
01:44:22,100 --> 01:44:26,200
Yeah, I know it's Jesus Christ 
like I said it gets real fucking

1931
01:44:26,200 --> 01:44:29,300
bad. 
I'm not drafting killing coal, 

1932
01:44:29,300 --> 01:44:30,400
but I'm also not dropping to 
Mark. 

1933
01:44:30,400 --> 01:44:36,400
So either the the point you made
about like, needing more based 

1934
01:44:36,400 --> 01:44:38,600
on how much the cost is for that
stack like the higher you pay, 

1935
01:44:38,600 --> 01:44:41,200
the more you need that does have
me. 

1936
01:44:41,200 --> 01:44:45,000
Like, because we just saw with 
the with the Bangles, like that 

1937
01:44:45,000 --> 01:44:47,100
does make me feel like, you know
what? 

1938
01:44:47,100 --> 01:44:50,600
I'm fine, getting some of this 
Chase Higgins, double stack. 

1939
01:44:50,600 --> 01:44:56,600
I also saw Draco and and Liam 
and I think Eric you were About 

1940
01:44:56,600 --> 01:44:58,600
not being super No Mess act. 
Like the fact that you guys like

1941
01:44:58,600 --> 01:45:01,700
aren't that in on that stack 
also make me feel like, well, 

1942
01:45:01,700 --> 01:45:05,400
maybe I'll get one of these guys
have been talking Hayden's 

1943
01:45:05,400 --> 01:45:07,900
heads, not in on it. 
Hayden's not in on it. 

1944
01:45:07,900 --> 01:45:09,100
A lot of people are not sitting 
on. 

1945
01:45:09,100 --> 01:45:12,200
This is where we're through our 
small field DFS turned into a. 

1946
01:45:12,200 --> 01:45:14,800
We all out level each other by 
the Arecibo. 

1947
01:45:14,800 --> 01:45:18,400
I heard him getting Steve done. 
This could gpp show, I doubt I 

1948
01:45:18,400 --> 01:45:23,600
can but that's going to be I 
think I am because like all 

1949
01:45:23,600 --> 01:45:27,300
these people aren't and we know 
what has As the ceiling. 

1950
01:45:27,800 --> 01:45:30,700
So but I guess my like, is there
push back? 

1951
01:45:30,700 --> 01:45:33,200
Like, is the ceiling that we saw
last year? 

1952
01:45:33,200 --> 01:45:38,000
And the way it was ordered. 
Like, he's that just like so 

1953
01:45:38,000 --> 01:45:41,800
random and unlikely to repeat 
again that we should probably 

1954
01:45:41,800 --> 01:45:44,700
just like, go back a step and 
go. 

1955
01:45:45,100 --> 01:45:46,700
Hang on. 
We're asking a ton from these 

1956
01:45:46,700 --> 01:45:51,600
guys for the car. 
It's a great question. 

1957
01:45:51,700 --> 01:45:54,100
Liam says he doesn't care about 
cost for Stacks. 

1958
01:45:55,000 --> 01:45:59,900
I don't agree but I but I don't 
have a like I said, I'm coming 

1959
01:45:59,900 --> 01:46:03,200
from this DFS lens again. 
I don't laugh week that breaks 

1960
01:46:03,200 --> 01:46:05,600
it down. 
Pretty clearly here that Jack 

1961
01:46:05,600 --> 01:46:09,000
Miller just posted. 
As far as how important the 

1962
01:46:09,200 --> 01:46:11,400
getting positive value on Stacks
is here. 

1963
01:46:12,600 --> 01:46:16,100
But that's value, right? 
I mean, that would be like 

1964
01:46:16,100 --> 01:46:19,100
sleeping on. 
Stacks is means you're, you're 

1965
01:46:19,100 --> 01:46:23,100
in this with or bucket here. 
The reason for reaching or like 

1966
01:46:23,100 --> 01:46:26,400
the fact that like, let's say, 
you've got chase a pic pastino. 

1967
01:46:26,400 --> 01:46:28,200
People loss against fell in the 
third. 

1968
01:46:28,500 --> 01:46:29,500
Gotcha. 
Yeah. 

1969
01:46:31,300 --> 01:46:32,600
Right? 
I see what you're saying that 

1970
01:46:32,600 --> 01:46:34,400
just, you're paying a lot for 
the stacks, but you're still 

1971
01:46:34,400 --> 01:46:37,700
getting it at appropriate, ATP 
value, Jack's. 

1972
01:46:37,700 --> 01:46:40,800
Yeah, go back to Jack's tweet. 
That was interesting because he 

1973
01:46:40,800 --> 01:46:43,400
was to find neutral as within 16
pics of ATP. 

1974
01:46:43,400 --> 01:46:46,400
I mean, I feel like that's a 
pretty big window. 

1975
01:46:46,400 --> 01:46:47,900
I don't know. 
I can't even swim though. 

1976
01:46:47,900 --> 01:46:51,600
Probably has samples, but that 
neutral bucket is still okay. 

1977
01:46:51,600 --> 01:46:54,400
And that's a whole round and a 
third. 

1978
01:46:54,400 --> 01:46:58,000
Yeah. 
So you I mean if you reach your 

1979
01:46:58,000 --> 01:47:01,400
round, that's saying you're 
still not like sacrificing a 

1980
01:47:01,400 --> 01:47:05,900
ton. 
Yeah, it's interesting. 

1981
01:47:08,000 --> 01:47:12,100
Yeah, I think it's more just 
like it's a good reminder to not

1982
01:47:12,400 --> 01:47:14,300
go wild chasing these 
correlations. 

1983
01:47:14,300 --> 01:47:17,500
Just knowing, once you open 
yourself up to not caring about 

1984
01:47:17,500 --> 01:47:19,800
specific games and you know, you
can do any of the secondary 

1985
01:47:19,800 --> 01:47:22,300
correlations. 
There's Avenues throughout the 

1986
01:47:22,300 --> 01:47:24,800
entire draft where you never 
have to force it. 

1987
01:47:25,000 --> 01:47:27,500
Like, I don't think I've ever 
done where I'm just like, walk 

1988
01:47:27,500 --> 01:47:29,600
like I have nothing. 
I don't know what to do. 

1989
01:47:29,600 --> 01:47:32,400
I have no options or whatever it
even if that's the case. 

1990
01:47:32,400 --> 01:47:35,400
Like, sometimes I'm needing to 
get a Minnesota guy and I miss 

1991
01:47:35,400 --> 01:47:37,100
Osborne and there's just no one 
left. 

1992
01:47:37,100 --> 01:47:37,900
That's fine. 
Fine. 

1993
01:47:37,900 --> 01:47:41,700
Yeah, but you're flipping is Neo
of of correlation. 

1994
01:47:41,700 --> 01:47:43,700
Yeah. 
You're like reading the book in 

1995
01:47:43,700 --> 01:47:47,200
The Matrix, like every time 
we're doing a draft together, 

1996
01:47:47,200 --> 01:47:48,800
you're like oh yeah, it's this 
guy obviously. 

1997
01:47:48,800 --> 01:47:51,200
I'm like, what the fuck are we 
taking me way longer than the 

1998
01:47:51,200 --> 01:47:52,600
30? 
Second block, I would have 

1999
01:47:52,600 --> 01:47:54,700
figured that out halfway through
the next round. 

2000
01:47:56,700 --> 01:47:57,700
Was it? 
It's my favorite. 

2001
01:47:57,700 --> 01:48:03,100
I think that forgot the song 
with the week 17 matchups. 

2002
01:48:03,200 --> 01:48:07,300
Oh, Lu Lu, ya did that? 
I have to pull that up. 

2003
01:48:07,300 --> 01:48:11,200
This Great. 
Lou, put together a little 

2004
01:48:11,900 --> 01:48:15,900
mnemonic device. 
So if you if you don't have the 

2005
01:48:15,900 --> 01:48:18,200
cheat sheets with you, we didn't
start there. 

2006
01:48:18,200 --> 01:48:21,400
A line of Tampa Bay Cardinals, 
getting Chick-fil-A, San 

2007
01:48:21,400 --> 01:48:23,600
Francisco, Las Vegas Saints. 
Got a march to Philly. 

2008
01:48:23,600 --> 01:48:26,400
I mess that up. 
Dolphins hats, will it snow Mini

2009
01:48:26,400 --> 01:48:28,500
at Lambeau somehow? 
Spaags made it in here. 

2010
01:48:28,500 --> 01:48:33,400
Texans Jags wins bags, pump my 
Bangles bills bags, jet socks 

2011
01:48:33,400 --> 01:48:35,400
Ravens pit, Giants, Colts are 
they? 

2012
01:48:35,400 --> 01:48:37,600
It lions tigers and bears. 
Oh my win, you win. 

2013
01:48:37,700 --> 01:48:38,500
Win. 
Will you cry? 

2014
01:48:38,500 --> 01:48:40,600
We didn't stack. 
Week 17. 

2015
01:48:40,600 --> 01:48:44,700
No we didn't stack it. 
We failed to bring it back so 

2016
01:48:44,700 --> 01:48:45,200
good. 
Bye. 

2017
01:48:45,200 --> 01:48:55,300
Lou there. 
That's so good. 

2018
01:48:55,500 --> 01:48:57,700
Dallas child. 
I wrote this one if we were 

2019
01:49:07,800 --> 01:49:15,000
in Washington, that is amazing. 
So Eric, yeah, tell the people 

2020
01:49:15,000 --> 01:49:20,200
you guys got a full set of 
programming going on over and 

2021
01:49:20,300 --> 01:49:23,600
Spike week, but everyone wants 
to know, Wind tools when tool? 

2022
01:49:23,600 --> 01:49:25,400
Yeah, can I share my screen real
quick? 

2023
01:49:25,400 --> 01:49:28,800
Yeah, so I can tease a little 
something. 

2024
01:49:32,500 --> 01:49:37,000
So this is the, the first 
version of this tool that we're 

2025
01:49:37,000 --> 01:49:39,500
building. 
We're still polishing up a 

2026
01:49:39,508 --> 01:49:43,600
couple of things. 
A few little functionality 

2027
01:49:43,600 --> 01:49:46,000
things, I just have my under. 
So, this is literally my 

2028
01:49:46,000 --> 01:49:48,400
Underdog teams. 
I've drafted 53 teams. 

2029
01:49:48,400 --> 01:49:54,800
You see $865 and I'll go to this
first, just because it only has 

2030
01:49:54,800 --> 01:49:57,200
dummy data in it so far, but we 
have a couple different tabs 

2031
01:49:57,200 --> 01:50:00,900
that you can see here with like 
kind of my drafts and exposures.

2032
01:50:01,300 --> 01:50:03,100
And so I'm really excited. 
Cited actually about this 

2033
01:50:03,100 --> 01:50:05,000
exposure stabbed because said, 
it's just dummy data. 

2034
01:50:05,000 --> 01:50:07,300
You see just a bunch of Derrick 
Henry stuff, very excited about 

2035
01:50:07,300 --> 01:50:10,200
Derrick Henry, apparently, 
clearly I'm drafting a shitload 

2036
01:50:10,200 --> 01:50:12,300
of Derrick Henry, this was 
strolling. 

2037
01:50:12,300 --> 01:50:15,600
This was this was strolling by 
the designer, and the developer 

2038
01:50:15,600 --> 01:50:20,500
is putting Derrick Henry into my
into my mock-up, but but, but 

2039
01:50:20,500 --> 01:50:25,600
you see, like, you'll be able to
see everything about your entire

2040
01:50:25,600 --> 01:50:27,300
portfolio. 
Like, obviously this is just the

2041
01:50:27,300 --> 01:50:32,000
players, but all your Stacks 
like the exposure, you have to 

2042
01:50:32,200 --> 01:50:34,100
Every single stack, the 
exposure, you have to every 

2043
01:50:34,100 --> 01:50:37,100
single structure. 
I always say that I don't have 

2044
01:50:37,100 --> 01:50:39,100
the right, would you call this a
roster build? 

2045
01:50:39,100 --> 01:50:42,400
This is what we just did. 
Roster build like 2592 and then 

2046
01:50:42,400 --> 01:50:46,500
structure being 0, RB hero, our 
be whatever, but you'll be able 

2047
01:50:46,500 --> 01:50:49,100
to see you. 
See, they joked around with 

2048
01:50:49,500 --> 01:50:52,200
calcium are be and indifferent, 
stupid names. 

2049
01:50:52,500 --> 01:50:55,200
But like, then also seeing how 
your playoff correlations? 

2050
01:50:55,200 --> 01:51:01,100
Look, how many of the each game 
in week 17, you have and you'll 

2051
01:51:01,100 --> 01:51:03,500
be able to actually like, Pull 
up and look and see. 

2052
01:51:04,000 --> 01:51:07,700
I click on write. 
If This Were Kansas City Denver,

2053
01:51:07,800 --> 01:51:10,100
I click on this and I would be 
able to see the teams that I 

2054
01:51:10,100 --> 01:51:15,300
have like specifically that are 
our Kansas City Denver teams and

2055
01:51:15,300 --> 01:51:19,600
then just from within the actual
drafts, like you can upload 

2056
01:51:19,600 --> 01:51:22,300
your, you'll be able to upload 
your own rankings here and then 

2057
01:51:22,300 --> 01:51:27,200
see, like everything about my 
top down portfolio. 

2058
01:51:27,200 --> 01:51:29,000
Like, you can see, right? 
I have six percent Jonathan 

2059
01:51:29,000 --> 01:51:31,200
Taylor. 
It's a, there's a rounding. 

2060
01:51:31,200 --> 01:51:34,600
And this is obviously Sakura no 
pizza, no face but I 

2061
01:51:34,600 --> 01:51:41,000
unfortunately this isn't crowd. 
So I want but I wanted to show 

2062
01:51:41,000 --> 01:51:48,000
it just because you can see it's
almost like a draft kind of 

2063
01:51:48,008 --> 01:51:49,200
thing. 
Obviously you can see your 

2064
01:51:49,200 --> 01:51:54,700
exposure but There's a bunch of 
cool shit, right? 

2065
01:51:54,700 --> 01:51:58,400
Like I can hear, you can see 
like, look at some of this is 

2066
01:51:58,400 --> 01:52:01,000
actually not very good. 
You can see, my average ATP of 

2067
01:52:01,000 --> 01:52:03,000
Javonte Williams versus this, 
current ATP. 

2068
01:52:03,000 --> 01:52:07,200
I'm, I have not been taking him 
always at ATP, right? 

2069
01:52:07,200 --> 01:52:09,900
But Justin Jefferson. 
I'm getting good value on. 

2070
01:52:09,900 --> 01:52:11,200
Justin Jefferson say, gone 
Berkeley. 

2071
01:52:11,200 --> 01:52:14,800
I'm getting good value on Sake, 
One Berkeley on, and on down the

2072
01:52:14,800 --> 01:52:17,600
list, I can see that for every 
single player in my ranking. 

2073
01:52:17,600 --> 01:52:21,500
Set trail ants, there's trailing
arms around your head, straight 

2074
01:52:22,700 --> 01:52:26,100
And it right. 
But that so you can see all of 

2075
01:52:26,100 --> 01:52:28,400
that, you can see the playoff, 
the playoff schedule is here for

2076
01:52:28,400 --> 01:52:29,400
you. 
If you want to keep this up 

2077
01:52:29,400 --> 01:52:30,900
instead of the playoff schedule,
right? 

2078
01:52:30,900 --> 01:52:34,000
I can see who Jonathan Taylor 
plays in week 15. 16 17. 

2079
01:52:34,200 --> 01:52:37,900
I see a teepee changes. 
And then this is honestly kind 

2080
01:52:37,900 --> 01:52:40,700
of my favorite. 
I just tweeted out about this, I

2081
01:52:40,700 --> 01:52:44,600
can see on each site. 
So I'll be able to filter by 

2082
01:52:44,600 --> 01:52:47,300
Underdog DraftKings. 
And we're adding drafters as 

2083
01:52:47,300 --> 01:52:50,800
well like all of my. 
So you see here my obviously a 

2084
01:52:50,808 --> 01:52:52,500
Jonathan Taylor team is not 
going to be a 0 r. 

2085
01:52:52,700 --> 01:52:56,900
Team right? 
But 100% of my Jonathan Taylor 

2086
01:52:56,900 --> 01:52:59,300
teams start with two running 
backs. 

2087
01:52:59,800 --> 01:53:03,600
So like I have 6% Jonathan 
Taylor and they all start with 

2088
01:53:03,600 --> 01:53:07,100
to the first two rounds are 
running backs and so like that's

2089
01:53:07,100 --> 01:53:09,100
I power know that that's really 
great. 

2090
01:53:09,100 --> 01:53:12,400
Yeah I didn't I literally didn't
know that until two days ago and

2091
01:53:12,400 --> 01:53:17,600
so I got that like and now you 
quickly see how exposed you are 

2092
01:53:17,600 --> 01:53:21,200
to like Berkeley Aaron Jones and
those two, three turn running 

2093
01:53:21,200 --> 01:53:23,900
backs Javonte succeed. 
Adding where you could have a 

2094
01:53:23,907 --> 01:53:28,100
Jonathan Taylor smash here but 
say that grouping fails like 

2095
01:53:28,500 --> 01:53:30,800
man, that's such a powerful 
information. 

2096
01:53:31,200 --> 01:53:32,900
Yeah. 
And so you see it's also really 

2097
01:53:32,900 --> 01:53:35,500
funny. 
The, I'm not that worried as 

2098
01:53:35,500 --> 01:53:37,200
much about the running backs. 
I mean, I don't want to have 

2099
01:53:37,200 --> 01:53:42,800
100% to running back starts with
with JT, but it was funny to me.

2100
01:53:42,800 --> 01:53:47,600
You look at Cooper cup versus 
Justin Jefferson versus Jamar 

2101
01:53:47,600 --> 01:53:50,500
Chase. 
Like, almost all my Jamar Chase 

2102
01:53:50,500 --> 01:53:53,300
teams or zero running back. 
That's not the case with the 

2103
01:53:53,300 --> 01:53:56,300
other two early round wide 
receivers, and it's like, well, 

2104
01:53:56,500 --> 01:53:57,700
why would Jim? 
Our Chase? 

2105
01:53:57,700 --> 01:54:01,200
Be the only one that's giving 
all the 0 RV, teams and wise, 

2106
01:54:01,200 --> 01:54:03,800
Kubrick up getting all these two
running backs starts, right? 

2107
01:54:03,800 --> 01:54:06,800
Do I want that? 
This probably because I like in 

2108
01:54:06,800 --> 01:54:09,400
a draft in my perfect world. 
I would be able to kind of like 

2109
01:54:09,400 --> 01:54:11,800
randomize, some of the 
structures for that. 

2110
01:54:11,800 --> 01:54:15,300
So to quickly go check your on a
Jamar Chase and no, oh, maybe 

2111
01:54:15,300 --> 01:54:17,900
I'll get an anchor. 
You know, running back. 

2112
01:54:17,900 --> 01:54:20,400
Build here in the Kind of third 
every now and again, to kind of 

2113
01:54:20,407 --> 01:54:23,800
balance. 
The textures of my Jamar Chase 

2114
01:54:23,800 --> 01:54:27,400
builds, that's awesome. 
Yep, you'll also be able to see 

2115
01:54:27,400 --> 01:54:30,800
those specific combinations. 
So on this, so only other thing 

2116
01:54:30,800 --> 01:54:34,300
I'll say on this exposures, see 
the search here this doesn't 

2117
01:54:34,300 --> 01:54:37,100
work yet but you would be able 
to type in it says you see. 

2118
01:54:37,100 --> 01:54:40,500
It says team or up to four 
players together I could type in

2119
01:54:40,500 --> 01:54:44,600
Jamar Chase. 
T Higgins, cool, whatever. 

2120
01:54:44,800 --> 01:54:47,100
And then it will filter all this
data down here. 

2121
01:54:48,200 --> 01:54:52,700
To say, okay, what are, what are
my stacks with that combination 

2122
01:54:52,700 --> 01:54:55,900
of players or what are my 
structures with that combination

2123
01:54:55,900 --> 01:54:58,400
of players? 
So this is like super, super 

2124
01:54:58,400 --> 01:55:00,700
super close. 
I keep kind of teasing it, 

2125
01:55:00,700 --> 01:55:04,900
mostly just because I'm like, 
selfishly excited about it, but 

2126
01:55:04,900 --> 01:55:08,600
it's coming like, I don't know. 
Not even a week, hopefully, 

2127
01:55:08,600 --> 01:55:11,800
it'll be out. 
That's that that everybody is so

2128
01:55:12,100 --> 01:55:16,000
fucking awesome. 
Consigliere asking the tough 

2129
01:55:16,000 --> 01:55:18,200
questions. 
How much is this tool gonna 

2130
01:55:18,200 --> 01:55:20,900
cost? 
I'll tease it only only for the 

2131
01:55:20,900 --> 01:55:25,100
ship just because I love the 
ship chasing promo code, chasing

2132
01:55:25,400 --> 01:55:27,800
the promo code promo, code ship 
Kasich chip chasing. 

2133
01:55:28,200 --> 01:55:30,600
We're going to be launching a 
full-fledged premium product, 

2134
01:55:30,600 --> 01:55:33,900
which will include this tool, 
and other tools, actually don't 

2135
01:55:33,900 --> 01:55:37,000
don't know if I can pull up some
of the ATP stuff, I just want to

2136
01:55:37,000 --> 01:55:39,800
see if it's working right now. 
Under my, we have a bunch of 

2137
01:55:39,800 --> 01:55:41,900
like a teepee. 
We're building a bunch of shit. 

2138
01:55:41,900 --> 01:55:45,100
Okay. 
Yeah so like You'll be able to 

2139
01:55:45,100 --> 01:55:47,900
see specific. 
Let me see if this works really 

2140
01:55:47,900 --> 01:55:51,600
fast, just to pull it up for 
shit's and gigs. 

2141
01:55:51,900 --> 01:55:55,700
So you see here by round, you'll
be able to see like a teepee 

2142
01:55:55,700 --> 01:55:57,500
tools. 
Let's look at who's available in

2143
01:55:57,500 --> 01:55:59,300
the sixth round right now 
Underdog. 

2144
01:55:59,600 --> 01:56:03,100
And you can see like, like I 
mean, Antonio Gibson used to be 

2145
01:56:03,100 --> 01:56:06,300
going 30th overall and you see 
now he's in the sixth round. 

2146
01:56:07,200 --> 01:56:08,600
Right? 
And so there's a mic. 

2147
01:56:09,300 --> 01:56:11,600
I can exit dudes out, okay? 
I don't want to look at Gibson, 

2148
01:56:11,600 --> 01:56:16,500
I don't know. 
That's great. 

2149
01:56:16,600 --> 01:56:20,100
But so, we have ATP tools. 
The rankings are going to go 

2150
01:56:20,100 --> 01:56:21,800
behind the paywall. 
There's a bunch of shit. 

2151
01:56:21,800 --> 01:56:25,600
We're just doing a lot of stuff 
like more than me have been 

2152
01:56:25,600 --> 01:56:28,000
putting in a lot of hard work. 
So like I'm really proud of it. 

2153
01:56:28,100 --> 01:56:31,200
I'm really proud of the guys 
putting in all this and it's 

2154
01:56:31,200 --> 01:56:33,100
literally it's going to be $25 a
month. 

2155
01:56:33,200 --> 01:56:35,700
I know I was burying the lead 
like everything that you're 

2156
01:56:35,700 --> 01:56:38,900
going to get like forever for 
Spike week is going to be $25 a 

2157
01:56:38,907 --> 01:56:41,500
month. 
So yeah. 

2158
01:56:41,500 --> 01:56:45,100
Very very very very soon. 
Thank you for Me share it 

2159
01:56:45,108 --> 01:56:47,700
because I was a excited about 
the progress. 

2160
01:56:47,700 --> 01:56:50,500
Now you get to get the Gretsch 
treatment where we tell him that

2161
01:56:50,500 --> 01:56:54,300
his newsletters too cheap to get
to tell you that the the tools 

2162
01:56:54,300 --> 01:56:57,500
are too cheap. 
We do the mat comment about, you

2163
01:56:57,508 --> 01:57:01,400
know, wonder if he should file 
divorce or wait for a wife to 

2164
01:57:01,400 --> 01:57:03,000
push it. 
Once the once the tool goes 

2165
01:57:03,000 --> 01:57:07,300
live, I do think like you know, 
the barbell strategy that we're 

2166
01:57:07,300 --> 01:57:11,200
all big fans of like this kind 
of gives you something to do 

2167
01:57:11,400 --> 01:57:14,000
instead of just like firing off 
too many best. 

2168
01:57:14,200 --> 01:57:17,600
Ball drafts in, you know? 
Yeah, the first week of training

2169
01:57:17,600 --> 01:57:19,700
camp, right? 
It's like you can use this time 

2170
01:57:19,700 --> 01:57:22,200
to actually analyze like what 
you need like, okay, you're 

2171
01:57:22,200 --> 01:57:27,300
prepping for your final push of 
drafts like I think I'll like 

2172
01:57:27,300 --> 01:57:29,600
plan out something, I need to 
get some more Jim Marchese here,

2173
01:57:29,600 --> 01:57:32,600
running back starts or whatever 
it is right and you've got like 

2174
01:57:33,000 --> 01:57:35,600
you know, you're like prep. 
You've got a game plan. 

2175
01:57:36,700 --> 01:57:39,000
Yeah. 
And I do think too like that is 

2176
01:57:39,000 --> 01:57:41,600
really the next Frontier of the 
stuff we're going to be talking 

2177
01:57:41,600 --> 01:57:45,400
about is like portfolio. 
Lawns and stuff like that 

2178
01:57:45,400 --> 01:57:49,600
because, you know, you would 
never sure she would some people

2179
01:57:49,600 --> 01:57:54,600
run 150, you know, the same 
stack in games back and DFS. 

2180
01:57:54,600 --> 01:57:57,400
Yes, some people some people do 
that but as far as like pure 

2181
01:57:57,400 --> 01:58:00,800
entertainment purposes and stuff
like you do want to be relying 

2182
01:58:00,800 --> 01:58:04,300
on the structure in some of 
these edges, you have and 

2183
01:58:04,300 --> 01:58:06,500
building through those in 
different ways and to have a 

2184
01:58:06,500 --> 01:58:09,000
tool like this, that can 
actually quantify it. 

2185
01:58:09,000 --> 01:58:10,600
And not like, I just do it off 
of feel. 

2186
01:58:10,600 --> 01:58:13,600
Like I think I normally don't 
take this guy here too, but 

2187
01:58:13,600 --> 01:58:19,400
well, I mean, I've never had a 
manage this many basketball 

2188
01:58:19,400 --> 01:58:21,400
teams because they can't do 
Underdog as we all know. 

2189
01:58:22,300 --> 01:58:24,500
But I would have met like I hear
you guys talk about how it's 

2190
01:58:24,500 --> 01:58:27,600
kind of tough to draft as much 
as you have to to get us enough 

2191
01:58:27,600 --> 01:58:30,300
of these teams in. 
But the way that I feel like 

2192
01:58:30,300 --> 01:58:32,600
this tool would add a ton of 
value for me is that I'd go look

2193
01:58:32,600 --> 01:58:33,900
at this and then want to get it 
more. 

2194
01:58:34,100 --> 01:58:37,200
Like I'd have ideas on what to 
do and that's crafts. 

2195
01:58:37,200 --> 01:58:40,200
Like, yeah, you're constantly 
then being pushed. 

2196
01:58:40,200 --> 01:58:42,000
Yeah. 
You know to help you hit your 

2197
01:58:42,200 --> 01:58:46,300
your number of entries. 
I want to get to you have now a 

2198
01:58:46,300 --> 01:58:49,000
mission for your next couple 
weeks of what you need to do, to

2199
01:58:49,000 --> 01:58:52,200
smooth out, some some stuff. 
So and also and smoothing out 

2200
01:58:52,200 --> 01:58:55,200
and getting the ideas because 
like, I do get like, you know, 

2201
01:58:55,200 --> 01:58:58,300
I'm nervous to put this in and 
see how much will Fuller I have 

2202
01:59:01,900 --> 01:59:13,600
that without that 12 for that. 
But to that point, it was like I

2203
01:59:13,600 --> 01:59:17,400
can see See how much Zero 
running back I have and it's 

2204
01:59:17,400 --> 01:59:20,500
like yeah well I thought I was I
thought I was drafting this much

2205
01:59:20,800 --> 01:59:25,700
and like to please Point your 
like doing it in your head but 

2206
01:59:25,700 --> 01:59:28,800
like it never looks like you, I 
mean, shit we just talked about 

2207
01:59:28,800 --> 01:59:32,100
like I'm literally drafting like
what? 

2208
01:59:32,100 --> 01:59:35,000
I thought was a shitload of Zero
running back teams or hero 

2209
01:59:35,000 --> 01:59:37,500
running back teams and then the 
data comes back and I'm like, 

2210
01:59:37,700 --> 01:59:39,500
fuck. 
That's not what I thought that 

2211
01:59:39,500 --> 01:59:42,100
this was going to look like. 
Like I thought it was going to 

2212
01:59:42,108 --> 01:59:44,000
be like tons of Zero running 
back. 

2213
01:59:44,200 --> 01:59:49,300
Jabez be it, 90 %, 0r B, but I'm
at 80%, I need to get nasty. 

2214
01:59:49,300 --> 01:59:51,000
All they hear, they do you see 
all that? 

2215
01:59:51,000 --> 01:59:52,700
Not even, just heroic here are 
running back. 

2216
01:59:52,700 --> 01:59:55,200
I'm like, kind of okay with 
there's like like tons. 

2217
01:59:55,200 --> 01:59:57,800
So like are like dual running 
back, is to in the first three 

2218
01:59:57,800 --> 02:00:00,200
rounds are. 
I think for its, somebody asked 

2219
02:00:00,200 --> 02:00:02,500
about the definitions, I can 
get, I can get those to you, 

2220
02:00:02,500 --> 02:00:04,100
we're still working on the 
definitions. 

2221
02:00:04,400 --> 02:00:06,100
I want to make sure the data 
makes sense, right? 

2222
02:00:06,100 --> 02:00:08,500
Is trying to it. 
Work massaging, all of that. 

2223
02:00:08,600 --> 02:00:11,800
But like I thought it would come
back with, like, a bunch of zero

2224
02:00:11,800 --> 02:00:14,000
and hero, R&B, and it did not 
come back. 

2225
02:00:14,100 --> 02:00:17,400
That way. 
And so I was like, you know, but

2226
02:00:17,500 --> 02:00:20,600
my strategy is zero and hero 
R&B. 

2227
02:00:20,600 --> 02:00:23,600
And if I'm not implementing my 
strategy, how I think I am, I 

2228
02:00:23,600 --> 02:00:26,200
need to know that and there's no
other way for me to know that 

2229
02:00:26,200 --> 02:00:28,500
right now. 
Do you know what you should do? 

2230
02:00:28,500 --> 02:00:30,100
Eric. 
We should have you know like 

2231
02:00:30,100 --> 02:00:31,900
ESPN. 
And I even don't wrote of his 

2232
02:00:31,900 --> 02:00:33,400
does it? 
They have their like ranking 

2233
02:00:33,400 --> 02:00:36,000
Summit. 
You should host a best ball 

2234
02:00:36,000 --> 02:00:38,000
Summit, where you get some best 
ball. 

2235
02:00:38,000 --> 02:00:40,600
Thought leaders. 
And we hash out what we're all, 

2236
02:00:40,600 --> 02:00:43,700
just going to call these and 
just so we can all agree upon it

2237
02:00:43,700 --> 02:00:48,100
for Data terms for Clear use 
like it would be really nice to 

2238
02:00:48,100 --> 02:00:51,300
get everyone on the same page. 
Oh my God, I posted about this 

2239
02:00:51,300 --> 02:00:54,100
specifically for this. 
And that sounds like the worst 

2240
02:00:54,100 --> 02:00:56,600
fucking Summit to be at. 
Oh my God, you go. 

2241
02:01:00,600 --> 02:01:03,600
So I'm not saying a fucking word
at that Summit because I posted 

2242
02:01:03,600 --> 02:01:06,200
one tweet asking about it and it
was the most miserable 

2243
02:01:06,200 --> 02:01:09,800
experience of my life. 
Here's what I think for the 

2244
02:01:09,800 --> 02:01:12,200
definitions of yours Pete in 
your video. 

2245
02:01:12,700 --> 02:01:15,900
I went because I was asking 
Michael do more about the EB 

2246
02:01:15,900 --> 02:01:20,800
calculations and so I vent. 
So I had then have the calc but 

2247
02:01:20,800 --> 02:01:22,800
I just knew what the builds 
were. 

2248
02:01:23,100 --> 02:01:25,900
And so I went to make sure the 
calculation right I did all of 

2249
02:01:25,900 --> 02:01:30,300
the like 0 running back there 
running that guilt and I by 

2250
02:01:30,300 --> 02:01:33,300
intuition got to your build 
like, very quickly. 

2251
02:01:33,300 --> 02:01:34,900
So I feel like your definitions 
were. 

2252
02:01:35,300 --> 02:01:37,500
We're pretty on point for the 
for those structures. 

2253
02:01:38,000 --> 02:01:41,000
Yes, we are very, very similar. 
We had like, very minor 

2254
02:01:41,000 --> 02:01:43,100
differences, like super minor 
differences. 

2255
02:01:44,100 --> 02:01:48,200
Yeah, tears. 
I mean the truth is at the end 

2256
02:01:48,200 --> 02:01:52,200
of the day people they like 
arguing about the name because 

2257
02:01:52,200 --> 02:01:55,600
they don't want to engage with 
the ideas themselves and let's 

2258
02:01:55,600 --> 02:01:57,200
have it. 
It's much easier to argue about 

2259
02:01:57,200 --> 02:02:02,400
a day. 
As we look to the chase there. 

2260
02:02:02,400 --> 02:02:05,700
Is that feeling of because I did
experience this a little bit 

2261
02:02:05,700 --> 02:02:06,700
last year. 
I don't think there's really 

2262
02:02:06,700 --> 02:02:10,300
anything worse than being like, 
Yeah, like let's say, this is a 

2263
02:02:10,300 --> 02:02:12,500
zero running back here. 
Just like those either running 

2264
02:02:12,500 --> 02:02:14,200
back. 
Your was it like 2015, what was 

2265
02:02:14,200 --> 02:02:16,100
the running back apocalypse? 
Like, there's another running 

2266
02:02:16,100 --> 02:02:17,600
back pop-ups. 
Like you need to have zero 

2267
02:02:17,600 --> 02:02:20,200
running back teams this year and
it's like, Zero running back 

2268
02:02:20,200 --> 02:02:23,700
crushes and I love jus Martis. 
I'm gonna have an incredible 

2269
02:02:23,700 --> 02:02:27,500
year and then to realize you 
don't, oh I drafted a bunch of 

2270
02:02:27,500 --> 02:02:28,900
here. 
Running back teams with Tamar 

2271
02:02:28,900 --> 02:02:29,900
Chaser. 
I prefer agile teams. 

2272
02:02:29,900 --> 02:02:32,600
I mean that's like, like why 
would you you would never do 

2273
02:02:32,600 --> 02:02:34,000
that. 
You would never go into the 

2274
02:02:34,000 --> 02:02:37,300
season intentionally doing yeah.
Yep. 

2275
02:02:37,500 --> 02:02:38,700
For sure. 
Well. 

2276
02:02:38,800 --> 02:02:42,100
Very excited for that. 
You guys can obviously should be

2277
02:02:42,100 --> 02:02:45,000
following Eric on Twitter 
checking out Spike week. 

2278
02:02:45,000 --> 02:02:49,300
All kinds of stuff over there 
between livestreams, the tools 

2279
02:02:49,700 --> 02:02:53,200
articles on the site, lots of 
fun overlap with the deposit 

2280
02:02:53,200 --> 02:02:56,300
Kingdom, guys, I know our guy 
Silas is over there doing stuff.

2281
02:02:56,300 --> 02:02:59,600
We got robbed Jonathan's doing 
written stuff. 

2282
02:02:59,600 --> 02:03:03,200
So awesome. 
Best ball community over there. 

2283
02:03:03,200 --> 02:03:06,700
Definitely check it out. 
And this will not be the last 

2284
02:03:06,700 --> 02:03:08,500
Spike week ship, chasing 
crossover stream. 

2285
02:03:08,500 --> 02:03:11,900
We Do this year will definitely 
get things running back. 

2286
02:03:11,900 --> 02:03:13,200
Probably in about a month again,
right? 

2287
02:03:13,200 --> 02:03:15,100
In the middle of best ball, 
summer. 

2288
02:03:15,100 --> 02:03:18,000
I say we run this back grach, 
Pat. 

2289
02:03:18,000 --> 02:03:20,900
Anything else on your guys radar
here? 

2290
02:03:22,900 --> 02:03:26,000
Nope. 
Nope, I am doing a randomizer 

2291
02:03:26,000 --> 02:03:29,700
draft with Davis tomorrow. 
He's threatening to pull a Silva

2292
02:03:29,700 --> 02:03:31,400
on me. 
Come help me. 

2293
02:03:31,400 --> 02:03:34,000
Shame him to tweet out dumb 
shit. 

2294
02:03:34,000 --> 02:03:37,500
And have fun. 
Enjoy the rest of your week. 

2295
02:03:37,500 --> 02:03:39,000
We will see you guys next 
Wednesday.

