1
00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:17,000
We got pack train yards per 
Gretsch, Davis Matic, your hair.

2
00:00:17,000 --> 00:00:19,400
I haven't seen your hair down 
like this in a while. 

3
00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:23,400
Looks good, buddy. 
You're muted. 

4
00:00:23,400 --> 00:00:34,200
Pulling a look at this. 
Background noise, but not Davis.

5
00:00:34,600 --> 00:00:37,000
Everyone's Savor this. 
These are those few moments 

6
00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,600
where you don't hear, Davis 
talking on a show that he's on 

7
00:00:39,600 --> 00:00:43,400
really just soak it in. 
So you're saying we could just 

8
00:00:43,400 --> 00:00:52,400
talk and talk and talk and now 
I'm back to cut you guys off his

9
00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:54,300
few minutes. 
How's it going Davis? 

10
00:00:54,900 --> 00:00:57,000
It's so it's good. 
I was just doing some yard work 

11
00:00:57,000 --> 00:01:00,000
so I didn't have didn't have my 
hair up you know the the life of

12
00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,600
a Suburban home. 
What yard? 

13
00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:04,800
Where I couldn't. 
It's 10 degrees here. 

14
00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:06,200
What is it? 
Where you are right now? 

15
00:01:06,900 --> 00:01:08,500
Jesus Christ. 
My lights are a mess. 

16
00:01:09,100 --> 00:01:12,900
It's it is also like 10 degrees 
but I was cleaning up after my 

17
00:01:12,900 --> 00:01:15,300
dogs. 
Gotcha, gotcha. 

18
00:01:15,600 --> 00:01:18,700
Um, have you started to get 
excited about the playoff 

19
00:01:18,700 --> 00:01:20,900
challenge here? 
Yeah, I was just registering 

20
00:01:20,900 --> 00:01:25,400
some teams this morning and I 
mean it feels like they're just 

21
00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:29,900
some very clear angles where the
Boomers who play on FF P CR are 

22
00:01:29,900 --> 00:01:34,100
going to be very different 
Current than than us which you 

23
00:01:34,100 --> 00:01:38,700
know, provided Derrick Henry and
the Titans don't make the Super 

24
00:01:38,700 --> 00:01:39,900
Bowl. 
I think should be good. 

25
00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:42,300
Yes. 
And, you know, we're going to do

26
00:01:42,300 --> 00:01:45,900
the tightrope walk. 
Today of unveiling, some 

27
00:01:46,200 --> 00:01:49,500
ownership projections while, not
necessarily stealing Hassan's 

28
00:01:49,500 --> 00:01:53,200
Thunder for the Boomer opto 
reveal tomorrow night, that'll 

29
00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:56,700
be at our normal time, 9:15. 
Hassan and Blair will be joining

30
00:01:56,700 --> 00:02:00,900
us Gretch. 
I know you have been typing up. 

31
00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:04,900
A storm in our Discord chat with
Leone and Pat any new 

32
00:02:04,900 --> 00:02:08,699
Revelations on this contest 
since we last talked yesterday. 

33
00:02:10,300 --> 00:02:13,200
I wouldn't say any big new ones.
I'm excited for Davis is I mean,

34
00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:15,000
he starts with fading Derrick, 
Henry. 

35
00:02:15,000 --> 00:02:17,100
He knows how to play to the 
crowd a little bit. 

36
00:02:17,100 --> 00:02:19,400
Any chance we get that, they 
Derrick Henry around here. 

37
00:02:19,500 --> 00:02:22,200
We're very happy today. 
I can't wait for 2022 when he 

38
00:02:22,200 --> 00:02:24,000
Bears me again. 
Yes. 

39
00:02:24,000 --> 00:02:27,300
Yeah Pat and I did a podcast the
other day where we realize that 

40
00:02:27,300 --> 00:02:30,800
he's going to turn 29 and pack 
because I was like Pat, we can't

41
00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:33,800
do this again. 
In Pat's like he's 29 coming off

42
00:02:33,800 --> 00:02:36,200
the foot injury and I was like 
great, our brain. 

43
00:02:39,200 --> 00:02:40,100
That's right. 
Right. 

44
00:02:40,500 --> 00:02:44,500
And Pat you it feels like your 
first pass at ownership 

45
00:02:44,500 --> 00:02:47,600
projections. 
Is it in a good spot or still a 

46
00:02:47,608 --> 00:02:51,200
very fluid situation? 
No I think it's in a good spot 

47
00:02:52,300 --> 00:02:54,700
looking at some projections 
couple different sets of 

48
00:02:54,708 --> 00:02:57,800
projections which helped me feel
like I landed on the right. 

49
00:02:59,900 --> 00:03:03,200
Ownership of talking about 
Hassan and he's always got his 

50
00:03:03,200 --> 00:03:04,300
finger on the pulse of the 
Boomer. 

51
00:03:04,300 --> 00:03:07,300
So he helped me correct a couple
spots been help me correct a 

52
00:03:07,308 --> 00:03:12,000
couple spots so I'm feeling good
feeling good about some of these

53
00:03:12,000 --> 00:03:14,800
like 50/50 situations that I was
really unsure about. 

54
00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:17,200
Once you start like, projecting,
you know, the teams that need to

55
00:03:17,200 --> 00:03:19,500
get fate of the lot and where 
the quarterbacks are going to go

56
00:03:19,500 --> 00:03:21,700
at all sorts to start to point 
you in the right direction. 

57
00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:26,300
Yeah, and so let's just start 
very high level here. 

58
00:03:27,000 --> 00:03:29,400
Obviously, you can build a super
team in this. 

59
00:03:29,700 --> 00:03:32,200
Actually can literally pick 
whatever plays you want. 

60
00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:35,700
You can hashtag play the best 
plays but that armor, you want 

61
00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:39,400
whoever you want, but it Nestor 
isn't necessarily your best path

62
00:03:39,400 --> 00:03:42,500
to winning this contest. 
So the conversation, we were 

63
00:03:42,508 --> 00:03:45,900
starting to hit on yesterday 
with Daigle was, you know, how 

64
00:03:45,900 --> 00:03:49,200
unique do you have to get? 
And there's going to be lots of 

65
00:03:49,208 --> 00:03:52,500
these situations where there's 
two, maybe three, maybe four 

66
00:03:52,500 --> 00:03:57,400
guys, on a team that are viable,
but one is the better play, you 

67
00:03:57,400 --> 00:03:58,900
know, they're just going to 
project for more points. 

68
00:03:58,900 --> 00:04:00,900
So what? 
Going to kind of go through and 

69
00:04:00,900 --> 00:04:04,200
I think the whole, you know, 
Crux of this contest is how much

70
00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:06,400
are you willing to sacrifice 
from a projected Point 

71
00:04:06,400 --> 00:04:10,100
standpoint, you know, to be a 
little bit more unique off of 

72
00:04:10,300 --> 00:04:14,000
the chalk line up. 
So Pat, how are you thinking 

73
00:04:14,000 --> 00:04:15,500
about that? 
At least right now? 

74
00:04:15,500 --> 00:04:18,899
As far as you know what the 
fields doing verse, how unique 

75
00:04:18,899 --> 00:04:20,899
we need to get in some of these 
spots? 

76
00:04:22,400 --> 00:04:27,500
I think that, you know, as doing
the ownership, make me just 

77
00:04:27,500 --> 00:04:31,700
reminded me that you don't have 
to even get that unique because 

78
00:04:31,700 --> 00:04:35,000
like, you know, you're looking 
at deante Johnson. 

79
00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:39,300
For example, I had him at one 
point and at single-digit 

80
00:04:39,300 --> 00:04:41,900
ownership now, I think that's 
wrong. 

81
00:04:41,900 --> 00:04:44,300
I have them in the teens now, 
but you're kind of. 

82
00:04:44,300 --> 00:04:47,200
But even then, I mean, you know,
teams number one, wide receiver 

83
00:04:47,400 --> 00:04:49,200
will probably be in the teens 
because of how many people are 

84
00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:53,300
gonna have two feet. 
Pittsburgh, you look T Higgins. 

85
00:04:53,300 --> 00:04:56,100
I think is ultimately probably 
going to get squeezed because 

86
00:04:56,100 --> 00:05:01,700
mix in is someone that is pretty
easy to go to, you know, I 

87
00:05:01,700 --> 00:05:04,500
ultimately think the Arizona 
running backs are going to be 

88
00:05:04,500 --> 00:05:08,700
pretty low and unless we get 
news oh because yeah, people 

89
00:05:08,700 --> 00:05:10,800
just don't want to play that 
guessing game so you can 

90
00:05:10,800 --> 00:05:15,200
probably get, you know, the the 
higher owned of those two will 

91
00:05:15,200 --> 00:05:17,800
probably be in single digits is 
how I have it right now. 

92
00:05:17,800 --> 00:05:21,500
So there's like lots of spots 
where you're picking. 

93
00:05:22,000 --> 00:05:25,800
Kind of a no-brainer like very 
middle of the road like solid 

94
00:05:25,800 --> 00:05:30,300
DFS play like nothing crazy and 
they'll be you know, 15 percent 

95
00:05:30,300 --> 00:05:32,500
or less. 
What do you guys think? 

96
00:05:32,500 --> 00:05:34,600
Should we just dive in here? 
I think we decide we're going to

97
00:05:34,608 --> 00:05:37,900
go maybe team by team obviously 
some of these teams won't have 

98
00:05:37,900 --> 00:05:40,900
as much of a conversation 
surrounding them at. 

99
00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:42,900
Do you have a spot you want to 
start pet? 

100
00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:46,700
Yeah. 
Well we just go a team by team 

101
00:05:47,200 --> 00:05:50,600
and alphabetical or if that's if
that works for you, let's do it.

102
00:05:51,400 --> 00:05:55,100
Okay, what is that? 
I got the sheriff, alphabetical 

103
00:05:55,100 --> 00:06:08,000
order, I'm like this, bring the 
screen up here on your, on your 

104
00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:09,300
screen. 
Just so it's a little bit 

105
00:06:09,300 --> 00:06:11,200
bigger. 
Yep. 

106
00:06:12,400 --> 00:06:16,400
God you and I should also 
mention so Pat's can of course 

107
00:06:16,400 --> 00:06:18,000
be updating these throughout the
week. 

108
00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:20,700
We're also going to make this 
available in the ship chasing 

109
00:06:20,700 --> 00:06:23,900
Discord. 
If you are a member, you will 

110
00:06:23,900 --> 00:06:25,800
have access to that. 
We will post that in there and 

111
00:06:25,800 --> 00:06:29,900
you can get the updated version 
as the week progresses. 

112
00:06:31,800 --> 00:06:36,700
So right out of the gate. 
Pat we have Arizona DST as the 

113
00:06:36,700 --> 00:06:38,700
as the most popular Arizona 
play. 

114
00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:43,100
That's how I have it right now. 
I people want a couple of want 

115
00:06:43,100 --> 00:06:46,100
to fade Arizona, right? 
Because they're going to be 

116
00:06:46,100 --> 00:06:49,000
playing chalk. 
I have cup is the talkies player

117
00:06:49,000 --> 00:06:51,300
that I think I've ever projected
in the contest. 

118
00:06:51,900 --> 00:06:57,100
And what we saw last year was 
that Allah was the chalk defense

119
00:06:57,500 --> 00:06:59,900
going against DK Metcalfe and 
Tyler. 

120
00:06:59,900 --> 00:07:02,400
Lockett who are both? 
Like it was sort of like picked 

121
00:07:02,400 --> 00:07:04,800
up one of those wide receivers. 
Don't think about it too hard. 

122
00:07:05,400 --> 00:07:07,400
Play the defense on the other 
side and move on. 

123
00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:09,500
And I think we're going to get 
that this year. 

124
00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:13,700
Except you just pick up the 
cups, kind of a no-brainer and 

125
00:07:13,700 --> 00:07:16,600
then, you know, you can talk 
yourself in a scenario where 

126
00:07:16,600 --> 00:07:20,200
it's like staffer throws a Pick,
6 cup, smashes Rams win. 

127
00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,500
I'm already got. 
I've already got a huge lead so 

128
00:07:23,400 --> 00:07:25,900
I think Arizona ultimately be 
the choc T now I think that'll 

129
00:07:25,900 --> 00:07:30,600
change if we get Connor like 
Connor going solo is basically 

130
00:07:30,600 --> 00:07:34,400
like bringing up Arizona as a 
fair amount of feeds the kicker 

131
00:07:34,400 --> 00:07:39,000
I have fairly high as well, not 
too much pure fade but I just 

132
00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:43,100
think that No one's going to 
want to jam, Zach ertz, you 

133
00:07:43,100 --> 00:07:45,500
know, Pete where Pete was 
yelling at me and Davis for 

134
00:07:45,500 --> 00:07:49,300
Tottenham in the in the summer. 
People just it's not, it's a 

135
00:07:49,308 --> 00:07:53,100
shame that people didn't want 
Earth's Gerald, it's 

136
00:07:53,100 --> 00:07:54,900
unbelievable. 
But what, you know, we can't 

137
00:07:54,900 --> 00:07:56,800
change people's minds here. 
We just got to predict what 

138
00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:59,800
they're going to do and I don't 
think that hurts is going to be 

139
00:07:59,800 --> 00:08:03,300
like thirty percent owned which 
is kind of what you need in 

140
00:08:03,300 --> 00:08:06,400
order for some kind of fade not 
to be popular unless we get 

141
00:08:06,400 --> 00:08:09,700
Conor Davis scratch. 
Anything jump out to you looking

142
00:08:09,700 --> 00:08:13,500
at this The Cardinals run. 
Well, this is a it's already 

143
00:08:13,500 --> 00:08:16,400
interesting to me because 
basically a huge chunk of this 

144
00:08:16,400 --> 00:08:20,500
contest is figuring out which 
dog can not only win, but maybe 

145
00:08:20,500 --> 00:08:24,100
even when multiple games and to 
me Arizona is like a great 

146
00:08:24,100 --> 00:08:26,500
definition of that because they 
have great players. 

147
00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:31,100
Like the really the when you 
start criticizing Arizona, you 

148
00:08:31,100 --> 00:08:32,600
basically start with their head 
coach. 

149
00:08:32,600 --> 00:08:37,100
But if Cliff just like randomly 
runs into not being a donkey for

150
00:08:37,100 --> 00:08:40,900
one game, like Arizona is A 
team. 

151
00:08:41,100 --> 00:08:45,100
And so like, could they make the
Super Bowl? 

152
00:08:45,100 --> 00:08:47,600
Can they beat the Buccaneers 
like yet to me? 

153
00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:52,100
They easily can like I so I 
wonder if they have to go 

154
00:08:52,100 --> 00:08:54,800
through Green Bay most likely 
have a horrible. 

155
00:08:54,800 --> 00:08:56,900
They have a horrible at. 
Yeah, they have a horrible 

156
00:08:56,900 --> 00:09:02,100
route, but I mean, but even even
two games of Kyler, two games of

157
00:09:02,100 --> 00:09:04,200
Kirk like, that is pretty 
interesting to me. 

158
00:09:04,200 --> 00:09:06,800
And then, you know, James 
Connors been playing through 

159
00:09:06,800 --> 00:09:09,300
this heel injury. 
Like there certainly is a 

160
00:09:09,300 --> 00:09:12,700
scenario Where Edmonds is back. 
Connor re-injures is. 

161
00:09:12,700 --> 00:09:14,900
He'll Edmonds doesn't play 
Connors. 

162
00:09:14,900 --> 00:09:18,500
And they're like both of those 
are pretty intriguing spots to 

163
00:09:18,500 --> 00:09:21,600
me and I look at it and see the 
receivers. 

164
00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:25,500
I mean I think even if they're 
one and done I mean people are 

165
00:09:25,508 --> 00:09:28,600
going to be really interested in
playing Hertz or the D like 

166
00:09:28,600 --> 00:09:31,800
we're projecting here and the 
kicker but I mean Kirk is 

167
00:09:31,800 --> 00:09:32,700
vaguely. 
Interesting. 

168
00:09:32,700 --> 00:09:35,700
Certainly can hit on a Long play
and be their highest scoring 

169
00:09:35,700 --> 00:09:39,200
player. 
I mean, I'm not going to tell AJ

170
00:09:39,200 --> 00:09:43,200
Green, but like if you want, we 
need to generate another $35. 

171
00:09:43,200 --> 00:09:49,200
You like, no, I like that. 
The other thing I would say for 

172
00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:53,200
them on, in a scenario where, 
like maybe you're playing Kyler,

173
00:09:53,500 --> 00:09:56,800
I think I would play it as San, 
Fran beating Dallas because like

174
00:09:56,800 --> 00:10:00,400
Pat mentioned, Arizona would 
have to go to Green Bay. 

175
00:10:00,400 --> 00:10:03,700
Otherwise, I don't really think.
I'm not really giving Philly a 

176
00:10:03,708 --> 00:10:07,200
great chance to beat Tampa, but 
you need one of those upsets to 

177
00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:09,300
Yeah, you could do it with the 
Tampa losses. 

178
00:10:09,300 --> 00:10:12,000
Well, you could do it at a loss 
as well, but either way, you 

179
00:10:12,000 --> 00:10:14,300
need, one of those upsets to get
Arizona to not have to go to 

180
00:10:14,300 --> 00:10:17,600
Lambeau in the second round. 
And then, I mean, even if they 

181
00:10:17,608 --> 00:10:20,600
have to go to Lambeau in the 
conference Championship, there's

182
00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:25,500
probably passed the Cuyler being
the optimal QB with Green Bay 

183
00:10:25,500 --> 00:10:28,400
then being the sea runs so much.
Yeah. 

184
00:10:28,600 --> 00:10:32,100
Like, maybe Rogers, isn't that 
great in a three-game scenario, 

185
00:10:32,100 --> 00:10:33,900
maybe it's a Green Bay, 
Tennessee, Super Bowl. 

186
00:10:33,900 --> 00:10:36,600
And so there's not necessarily a
clear AFC quarterback. 

187
00:10:37,300 --> 00:10:40,500
And Kyler has some some big 
games in their two wins and get 

188
00:10:40,500 --> 00:10:41,800
in their conference Championship
run. 

189
00:10:42,000 --> 00:10:44,200
And like, you know, obviously in
the Green Bay Super Bowl Adams 

190
00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:46,500
is going to pop really, really 
big, and so there could be some 

191
00:10:46,500 --> 00:10:47,900
ways that caller could work that
way. 

192
00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:50,700
But yeah, I would probably play 
it with an upset in one of the 

193
00:10:50,700 --> 00:10:53,500
other NFC games that make sense.
Yeah. 

194
00:10:53,500 --> 00:10:57,500
And in Silas notes that you know
Evans is out Connor will be a 

195
00:10:57,500 --> 00:10:59,800
Smash. 
If Emmons is out we're have to 

196
00:10:59,800 --> 00:11:04,500
scrap this whole everything 
about Arizona's wrong if evans's

197
00:11:04,500 --> 00:11:05,200
out. 
Yeah. 

198
00:11:05,200 --> 00:11:07,700
So the chalk D is going to come.
Way down. 

199
00:11:07,700 --> 00:11:09,200
No One's Gonna want to play it 
like that. 

200
00:11:09,300 --> 00:11:11,500
Everyone's still going to play 
cop, but then you can play it as

201
00:11:11,500 --> 00:11:13,100
kind of a high-scoring game with
Connor. 

202
00:11:14,900 --> 00:11:17,700
He'll be super chalky. 
The D's will have to go 

203
00:11:17,700 --> 00:11:19,000
somewhere else is going to 
change up. 

204
00:11:19,200 --> 00:11:21,400
Basically a ton about the entire
Contest. 

205
00:11:21,400 --> 00:11:24,200
New England will probably cut 
this game on Saturday or Sunday.

206
00:11:25,300 --> 00:11:27,300
I think it's Monday. 
Yeah. 

207
00:11:27,400 --> 00:11:29,300
Oh you're right getting this. 
It is the money game. 

208
00:11:29,300 --> 00:11:31,100
So we're not going to know 
you're not gonna die. 

209
00:11:31,100 --> 00:11:33,000
Not gonna know. 
We're not gonna know which is 

210
00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:34,900
that. 
That's like a super interesting 

211
00:11:34,900 --> 00:11:36,600
angle, right? 
Is like, I'm playing James 

212
00:11:36,600 --> 00:11:41,600
Conner at at 11% but he might 
be, you know, had we if if that 

213
00:11:41,600 --> 00:11:45,400
came out tomorrow, he'd be what 
35-ish or something? 

214
00:11:45,400 --> 00:11:48,900
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 
Running back is pretty thin. 

215
00:11:48,900 --> 00:11:51,600
It's something that we're going 
to go through overall and so, 

216
00:11:51,700 --> 00:11:54,900
yeah, he probably get jammed. 
I think he'd be so dumb. 

217
00:11:55,100 --> 00:11:57,100
Robbins was in the mid-20s last 
year. 

218
00:11:58,800 --> 00:12:01,100
Nick Chubb was 32 percent last 
year. 

219
00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:04,600
Those feel like pretty decent 
comps for Connor. 

220
00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:08,400
I think he coming around around 
there but Acres was like, what 

221
00:12:08,400 --> 00:12:11,700
ten percent last year? 
So, you know, you could, you 

222
00:12:11,700 --> 00:12:14,000
could end up in kind of an acre 
situation where you're taking on

223
00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:17,000
risk, but you're getting a lot 
of outsized upside. 

224
00:12:17,700 --> 00:12:20,200
Yeah, that will be an 
interesting one. 

225
00:12:20,300 --> 00:12:22,300
Let's who do we have up next 
Buffalo? 

226
00:12:23,900 --> 00:12:30,000
Yeah, Buffalo, let me get them. 
Just some amazing spreadsheet 

227
00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:33,700
work from the pakery at is a 
freak in the sheets. 

228
00:12:37,100 --> 00:12:38,900
All right, a freaking 
spreadsheets. 

229
00:12:39,900 --> 00:12:41,500
So this was one. 
We're talking to Daigle 

230
00:12:41,500 --> 00:12:45,700
yesterday on the show and he was
talking about seven Singletary. 

231
00:12:46,100 --> 00:12:48,600
Peter mentioned Devin 
singletary's Underdog ATP coming

232
00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:50,400
up? 
Ultimately, I still have Diggs 

233
00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:53,100
is the chocolate part of me just
feels like if they were priced 

234
00:12:53,100 --> 00:12:56,400
you know, at the same price on 
DraftKings this week everyone 

235
00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,500
would be jamming digs like I 
don't know, it's just hard for 

236
00:12:58,500 --> 00:13:00,200
me to imagine that Singletary. 
Be played. 

237
00:13:00,700 --> 00:13:04,000
I had a big straight up. 
I have Allen's slightly ahead of

238
00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:07,900
where he was last year, but it 
does feel like it's kind of 

239
00:13:07,900 --> 00:13:10,400
harder for me to, no, no, sorry.
I haven't behind. 

240
00:13:10,400 --> 00:13:13,000
He was at 38 percent. 
Last year, I did bump them up 

241
00:13:13,000 --> 00:13:15,300
closer to where he was, but I 
have him down partly because 

242
00:13:15,300 --> 00:13:20,000
Singletary, stealing ownership 
and Mahomes is going to be more 

243
00:13:20,000 --> 00:13:21,600
popular this year. 
I think so too. 

244
00:13:21,600 --> 00:13:24,100
Yeah, yeah. 
Because he's getting a fourth 

245
00:13:24,100 --> 00:13:26,800
game. 
So it changes the quarterback 

246
00:13:26,900 --> 00:13:29,500
equation. 
But and tyriq and Kelsey, you're

247
00:13:29,500 --> 00:13:33,200
both banged up, right? 
I have your hands up. 

248
00:13:33,400 --> 00:13:37,400
That's been we'll get there but 
that's one PC RV is not pulling 

249
00:13:37,400 --> 00:13:44,400
any ownership this year either. 
But I was struggling with moms 

250
00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:45,800
because I want to bump him off 
more. 

251
00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:48,000
I probably will ultimately bump 
more but I wanted to kind of 

252
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:50,600
check in with people before I 
did that because he was at 15% 

253
00:13:50,600 --> 00:13:54,400
the last two years. 
I have them above that now but 

254
00:13:55,000 --> 00:13:56,900
it's hard for me to project her 
like 28. 

255
00:13:57,700 --> 00:14:00,600
Percent or something, you know 
when he's been historically not 

256
00:14:00,600 --> 00:14:03,600
that high end. 
But the major difference is the 

257
00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:07,000
last two years, they had a bye. 
Yeah right yeah. 

258
00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:12,400
So it does it does change the 
equation their favored to win 

259
00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:18,400
the AFC over Tennessee who has 
the by and yet for this contest 

260
00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:21,000
you get that extra game out of 
my home so it is pretty unique. 

261
00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:22,700
I could see him in the high 
twenties. 

262
00:14:23,500 --> 00:14:28,600
Yeah I already found feels like 
the best play of Every available

263
00:14:28,600 --> 00:14:31,100
player. 
So do it that way. 

264
00:14:31,100 --> 00:14:33,200
You will for ownership, all 
right? 

265
00:14:35,300 --> 00:14:38,300
Taking encasing player and 
specifically a superfan Davis 

266
00:14:38,300 --> 00:14:39,600
mad. 
I just said he's the best player

267
00:14:39,600 --> 00:14:44,200
in the tournament because just 
because it's fairly unique with 

268
00:14:44,200 --> 00:14:47,900
the, the way the buys of changed
as mom said, the by every year 

269
00:14:47,900 --> 00:14:49,300
they've made the playoffs. 
I'm pretty sure. 

270
00:14:49,300 --> 00:14:51,100
That's correct. 
I think so. 

271
00:14:51,500 --> 00:14:54,800
So and the, by the way, they 
like the markets agree with 

272
00:14:54,800 --> 00:14:57,500
this, the markets have the 
chiefs as a far-out size 

273
00:14:57,500 --> 00:14:59,200
favorite considering that they 
have to play. 

274
00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:02,600
An extra playoff game like they 
are, they are ahead of the 

275
00:15:02,600 --> 00:15:06,700
Titans in the Super Bowl Market,
which is like just if you think 

276
00:15:06,700 --> 00:15:09,200
about probability, that actually
makes no make any sense. 

277
00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:13,800
So like the market is just 
giving them the win. 

278
00:15:15,700 --> 00:15:20,000
When I ultimately steal some 
ownership from Allen and give 

279
00:15:20,100 --> 00:15:22,700
some of it to my homes. 
Where do you think? 

280
00:15:22,700 --> 00:15:25,800
The where do you think that goes
between dignitary? 

281
00:15:26,900 --> 00:15:29,200
I think Singletary. 
Yeah. 

282
00:15:29,400 --> 00:15:33,100
I mean, the one thing I was, you
know, Daigle had a pretty high 

283
00:15:33,100 --> 00:15:35,500
forecast for Singletary. 
The one thing I was mentioning 

284
00:15:35,500 --> 00:15:38,000
with the underdog stuff, a lot 
of what's pulling the 

285
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:40,500
Singletary. 
Ownership up is well one running

286
00:15:40,500 --> 00:15:43,900
back being gross. 
But two people often the digs 

287
00:15:43,900 --> 00:15:48,100
Alan start is just a very normal
start in the underdog. 

288
00:15:48,100 --> 00:15:50,900
And so then when you're looking 
for your next Buffalo Bills 

289
00:15:50,900 --> 00:15:54,000
player, like singletary's the 
guy because Knox and Beasley and

290
00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:56,700
Gabriel Davis are all cheap. 
So I think singletary's just 

291
00:15:56,700 --> 00:15:59,200
keeps creeping up because those 
Josh Allen dig. 

292
00:15:59,300 --> 00:16:02,100
Otters are like, oh, I want to 
grab my next bill, so I'm not 

293
00:16:02,100 --> 00:16:04,900
quite sure how transferable it 
is to this contest. 

294
00:16:04,900 --> 00:16:09,200
But that coupled with the fact 
that DFS projection systems have

295
00:16:09,200 --> 00:16:12,100
loved Singletary, the past few 
weeks, he's paid off on those 

296
00:16:12,100 --> 00:16:14,800
projections. 
I think the field is definitely 

297
00:16:14,800 --> 00:16:16,200
more comfortable with 
Singletary. 

298
00:16:16,200 --> 00:16:19,600
Has a play than they ever. 
Would have been even four weeks 

299
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:21,000
ago. 
That's a good point but not 

300
00:16:21,800 --> 00:16:25,100
compared running think you'll be
above digs. 

301
00:16:25,500 --> 00:16:29,100
Or do you think, do you think I 
need to close the door? 

302
00:16:29,300 --> 00:16:32,500
The Gap. 
I don't I can't imagine him 

303
00:16:32,500 --> 00:16:36,300
flipping him that would seem 
crazy to me, but I would be Pro 

304
00:16:36,300 --> 00:16:39,600
closing the gap. 
I was just going to note, I 

305
00:16:39,600 --> 00:16:44,000
looked up my homes and he has 
had a by every they haven't. 

306
00:16:44,300 --> 00:16:46,500
Last time they played the walk 
around that Alex with the QB. 

307
00:16:46,600 --> 00:16:50,200
So yeah, we have not seen him in
this contest as a wild-card 

308
00:16:50,200 --> 00:16:54,400
quarterback. 
I'm well, Allen's coming down 

309
00:16:54,700 --> 00:16:57,000
after this conversation and 
Singletary will come up. 

310
00:16:58,200 --> 00:17:00,900
Yeah, it at the thing too is 
just like thinking about yeah, 

311
00:17:00,900 --> 00:17:04,500
the recency bias and how people 
are kind of viewing the bills 

312
00:17:04,500 --> 00:17:06,500
right now. 
But yeah, let's move on to the 

313
00:17:06,500 --> 00:17:09,000
Bangles and we can discuss more 
Mahomes when we get to the 

314
00:17:09,000 --> 00:17:10,700
Chiefs. 
Walk us through what we're 

315
00:17:10,700 --> 00:17:11,800
looking at here with the 
Bangles. 

316
00:17:13,700 --> 00:17:18,800
Yeah, so first run didn't have 
mixing as the chalk but if you 

317
00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:22,400
as you go through this, running 
back is kind of tough, you know,

318
00:17:22,500 --> 00:17:25,300
you're going to end up. 
Like do you want to play Nagi 

319
00:17:25,300 --> 00:17:29,400
Harris or Josh Jacobs? 
Most people aren't gonna want to

320
00:17:29,408 --> 00:17:31,800
go to the Eagles running back. 
We just talked about Arizona, 

321
00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:35,300
being totally up in the air, and
I think that's ultimately going 

322
00:17:35,300 --> 00:17:39,400
to push people to mix in over 
Chase and Higgins. 

323
00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:41,700
Projection systems have to split
these two. 

324
00:17:42,200 --> 00:17:44,200
I think e TR has Higgins. 
Slightly ahead. 

325
00:17:44,200 --> 00:17:48,000
Actually, I think Chase will be 
more popular but chick than 

326
00:17:48,000 --> 00:17:51,200
Higgins but still, it's kind of 
one of those things were, 

327
00:17:51,500 --> 00:17:55,200
especially with mixin. 
You can talk yourself into like,

328
00:17:56,100 --> 00:17:59,400
You know, I'm playing this for 
shootouts along the way where 

329
00:17:59,400 --> 00:18:02,900
mix-ins get in the touchdowns 
but then if I actually get a run

330
00:18:02,900 --> 00:18:05,600
at a Cincinnati mix-ins, 
probably going to be really 

331
00:18:05,600 --> 00:18:08,000
really valuable so table. 
Yeah. 

332
00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:10,400
So you kind of feel like you 
have more outs with mixing in 

333
00:18:10,400 --> 00:18:14,500
some ways to and I ultimately do
think he'll he'll be the choc 

334
00:18:14,500 --> 00:18:17,000
Borough. 
Maybe this is a touch high for 

335
00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:19,700
Borough with my home's coming up
but I don't know, just the 

336
00:18:19,700 --> 00:18:21,100
ceiling. 
Then he showed off the last two 

337
00:18:21,100 --> 00:18:25,700
weeks that he played so high, I 
think I'll catch some ownership.

338
00:18:27,300 --> 00:18:28,800
Yet. 
Davis, how do you feel about 

339
00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,300
like the chase verse Borough? 
Stop, because I do agree. 

340
00:18:31,300 --> 00:18:34,300
Just from what Chase did more 
recently is going to be more 

341
00:18:34,300 --> 00:18:36,700
front of mine. 
Like I think if you flipped the 

342
00:18:36,700 --> 00:18:39,700
like Jabbar, Jason, the run this
course they had. 

343
00:18:39,800 --> 00:18:44,000
Yeah, no, I think you're right. 
What's most interesting to me 

344
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:48,300
is, I'm looking at, you know, 
realistic upsets from round one 

345
00:18:48,300 --> 00:18:50,800
and I feel like the Raiders can 
win this game. 

346
00:18:50,900 --> 00:18:53,200
Like, not really would not be 
that. 

347
00:18:53,200 --> 00:18:55,900
Surprising, I know I know Zach. 
Taylor got a lot better at 

348
00:18:55,900 --> 00:18:58,700
coaching throughout the Or to 
the year but it certainly does 

349
00:18:58,700 --> 00:19:02,000
feel like he could get into, you
know, a playoff game and be 

350
00:19:02,008 --> 00:19:06,100
like, we gotta establish it, we 
got a ball control, we got a pun

351
00:19:06,100 --> 00:19:09,400
and then, you know, all of a 
sudden DeSean Jackson is like 

352
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:11,500
streaking to the end zone and 
the fourth quarter and they're 

353
00:19:11,500 --> 00:19:14,400
down 10 points and he just 
doesn't know what to do. 

354
00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:19,700
So I wonder if I wonder if, you 
know, going with with MacPherson

355
00:19:19,700 --> 00:19:22,900
or the defense here, or 
something like that, as one of 

356
00:19:22,900 --> 00:19:26,300
your, as kind of like, one of 
your puns spots that is it's a 

357
00:19:26,300 --> 00:19:28,200
little interesting. 
To me from liking. 

358
00:19:28,200 --> 00:19:30,600
All right perspective, very 
excited about the bagels, but 

359
00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:33,400
that picture you just painted 
was way too good. 

360
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:39,000
At least on the sideline with 
his helmet off and he just looks

361
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:45,700
pissed and, and like he's like I
get I can just see it and you 

362
00:19:45,700 --> 00:19:49,500
know, this is always the worst 
game, the first AFC playoff game

363
00:19:49,500 --> 00:19:51,500
on Saturday. 
It's always the worst game. 

364
00:19:51,500 --> 00:19:55,200
This was the game that the 
Texans used to be in every year.

365
00:19:55,300 --> 00:19:58,100
This was the game that Who is 
that? 

366
00:19:58,100 --> 00:20:01,500
Raiders backup quarterback. 
Connor Cook had to start a game.

367
00:20:01,500 --> 00:20:04,300
Like if this is always the 
absolute worst, playoff game, 

368
00:20:04,300 --> 00:20:07,200
the one Texas game was against 
Josh out a few years ago when he

369
00:20:07,200 --> 00:20:10,200
tried that lateral like tall. 
My God. 

370
00:20:10,200 --> 00:20:13,100
Now that was a great game that 
ended up being a great game. 

371
00:20:13,300 --> 00:20:16,700
Yeah, no. 
But I will say, I mean, the way 

372
00:20:16,700 --> 00:20:18,000
you paint it makes a lot of 
sense. 

373
00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:22,200
I'm so like, like happy or 
confident about the Bengals it 

374
00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,200
in part because I feel like they
have sort of just crossed the 

375
00:20:24,200 --> 00:20:26,300
Rubicon. 
They were so good in their last 

376
00:20:26,300 --> 00:20:27,800
two games past so good. 
Good bro. 

377
00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:30,700
How to comment this week? 
I just on Twitter, I think this 

378
00:20:30,700 --> 00:20:33,300
morning actually where they're 
asking him about Joe Mixon in 

379
00:20:33,300 --> 00:20:35,600
the Run game and he said 
something like, yeah, like how 

380
00:20:35,600 --> 00:20:38,400
helpful that is. 
And then also the what did he 

381
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:39,600
call him? 
The freaks we have on the 

382
00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:43,900
outside the, you know, something
immediately referenced Jason 

383
00:20:43,900 --> 00:20:45,500
Higgins. 
I think, yeah, I think the 

384
00:20:45,508 --> 00:20:48,000
mentality has changed a little 
bit where they understand that 

385
00:20:48,000 --> 00:20:49,900
Jason Higgins are so vital to 
them winning. 

386
00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:54,100
I'm hopefully. 
See ya at Pat. 

387
00:20:54,100 --> 00:20:55,500
What is your it? 
Because I think one of the big 

388
00:20:55,500 --> 00:20:58,900
thing my guess is. 
People feel pretty comfortable 

389
00:20:58,900 --> 00:21:01,400
playing this game as a shootout.
I mean, when you do look at the 

390
00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:03,800
markets, people are 
overconfident that the Bangles 

391
00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:06,100
are going to win based on just 
like the underdog atp's. 

392
00:21:06,100 --> 00:21:11,300
I'm seeing, but I do think 
people might do lots of Mixon 

393
00:21:11,800 --> 00:21:16,300
and Jacobs or Jacobs and Jamar 
Chase and play this game as a 

394
00:21:16,300 --> 00:21:18,600
shootout. 
I think you're going to get a 

395
00:21:18,600 --> 00:21:21,200
fair amount of that. 
I have the Raiders. 

396
00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:23,400
I can actually go over to the 
team break down here. 

397
00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:30,200
And I have the, are the total 
Fades, actually. 

398
00:21:30,200 --> 00:21:32,600
I didn't paste it, but I have 
the odds to advance but these 

399
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:34,400
are sorted by their odds, to 
advance. 

400
00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:39,100
And you can see, you know, Las 
Vegas compared to New England 

401
00:21:39,800 --> 00:21:43,600
is, you know, a lower fade even 
though doing on has a much 

402
00:21:44,300 --> 00:21:47,900
better chance of advancing. 
Like, I'm not playing New 

403
00:21:47,900 --> 00:21:51,700
England on any of my team's. 
I don't think there's one really

404
00:21:51,700 --> 00:21:54,600
like you. 
I however me it seems I do I'm 

405
00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:56,900
not playing Patriots players, 
like literally, what is the 

406
00:21:56,900 --> 00:22:01,700
point because I not with I think
of the dogs other than the 

407
00:22:01,700 --> 00:22:05,100
Steelers, I think they are in 
the toughest spot because 

408
00:22:05,100 --> 00:22:08,400
they're if they get down 10 
points like that's just it. 

409
00:22:08,400 --> 00:22:10,000
There's just as nothing they can
do. 

410
00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:15,100
There is not there's not a way 
Bill Belichick and like Jedi 

411
00:22:15,100 --> 00:22:18,100
mind trick his way out of a 
10-point deficit with this team 

412
00:22:18,300 --> 00:22:21,400
I'll never forget Hayden Winks 
summed up the Patriots 

413
00:22:21,400 --> 00:22:23,800
perfectly. 
He said that if the Patriots got

414
00:22:23,800 --> 00:22:26,300
into a fifty three man race 
against every other team, they 

415
00:22:26,300 --> 00:22:30,000
would finish last which is like 
that is the Perfect way to 

416
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:33,600
describe them as. 
Yeah, Amy Harris would be fun. 

417
00:22:34,600 --> 00:22:37,500
The only thing I've I don't like
I agree with you Davis. 

418
00:22:37,500 --> 00:22:41,500
I just it's a very hard for me 
to imagine them winning but I 

419
00:22:41,500 --> 00:22:44,700
will say to and if you're making
you know three to five teams, I 

420
00:22:44,700 --> 00:22:47,100
think making stands like that is
completely fine. 

421
00:22:47,100 --> 00:22:49,700
If you're making a bunch, you 
really start to get in dicey 

422
00:22:49,700 --> 00:22:51,700
territory. 
If you're just like, completely 

423
00:22:51,900 --> 00:22:56,600
exiting out of tea, okay, so a 
couple comments about Boyd being

424
00:22:56,600 --> 00:23:00,400
low and he probably is a little 
bit low on But where does it 

425
00:23:00,400 --> 00:23:02,200
come from? 
Because you think, where do you 

426
00:23:02,200 --> 00:23:05,500
think Borough comes in? 
Is this a little too high at 12%

427
00:23:05,500 --> 00:23:07,500
or is that? 
I don't think that looks a 

428
00:23:07,508 --> 00:23:08,500
little on. 
Who's clicking? 

429
00:23:08,500 --> 00:23:10,400
Tyler boy, who is clicking 
Tyler. 

430
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,800
What do you do when you have the
long TVs, the last few weeks you

431
00:23:12,800 --> 00:23:15,900
only have like five targets? 
Like I've always loved Tyler 

432
00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:19,400
Target are on the years. 
Like 15% he ever outscore even 

433
00:23:19,400 --> 00:23:21,200
with the long TVs that he ever 
outscore. 

434
00:23:21,200 --> 00:23:22,700
One of Higgins are chasing a 
game. 

435
00:23:22,700 --> 00:23:25,300
I don't think he did. 
Oh, there's that one game we get

436
00:23:25,300 --> 00:23:27,100
out for. 
We did outscored t a couple 

437
00:23:27,100 --> 00:23:28,400
times. 
When tea was going through 

438
00:23:29,600 --> 00:23:31,500
You're scoring of the to and he 
did. 

439
00:23:31,500 --> 00:23:33,500
Did he? 
What about mixing was he wants 

440
00:23:33,900 --> 00:23:35,200
to the outscore mixing in that 
game? 

441
00:23:35,300 --> 00:23:37,200
Probably not. 
I don't think there's really 

442
00:23:37,200 --> 00:23:38,800
been a game. 
We're Tyler boy has been in the 

443
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:40,700
high end or on their teeth and 
that's what you need. 

444
00:23:40,700 --> 00:23:43,500
You need him to out because 
Mixon, Chase and Higgins are all

445
00:23:43,500 --> 00:23:46,100
going to be really popular and 
boy it's going to be all right. 

446
00:23:46,600 --> 00:23:48,800
Burrows gonna be somewhat 
popular so you need him to be 

447
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:52,000
the optimal play. 
It's pretty thin. 

448
00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:54,200
Okay. 
Yeah it was a 15-10 win over the

449
00:23:54,200 --> 00:23:56,300
Broncos and week 15. 
He was their highest highest 

450
00:23:56,300 --> 00:23:59,000
score if they do that. 
I mean that I'll just pack it up

451
00:23:59,300 --> 00:24:00,600
now. 
I think this does actually 

452
00:24:00,600 --> 00:24:02,800
remind a little bit of the juju 
play for last year. 

453
00:24:02,900 --> 00:24:06,000
I'm so afraid of that. 
No, no, Tyler believe is has 

454
00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:09,400
never been, I mean, not with 
these set of teammates. 

455
00:24:09,400 --> 00:24:12,700
He's never gotten the 
theoretical type of usage that 

456
00:24:12,700 --> 00:24:16,300
the Jew has gotten. 
Yeah, I think that burrow stuff 

457
00:24:16,300 --> 00:24:18,200
looks right. 
I mean he's coming off of one of

458
00:24:18,208 --> 00:24:20,500
the most insane finishes to a 
season. 

459
00:24:20,500 --> 00:24:24,100
He feels to me a lot like how 
maybe a Russell Wilson would 

460
00:24:24,100 --> 00:24:26,700
feel in previous years where 
people can talk themselves into 

461
00:24:26,700 --> 00:24:28,900
this really high ceiling Super 
Bowl. 

462
00:24:28,900 --> 00:24:32,300
Run from the Wild card spot. 
And people are just really on 

463
00:24:32,300 --> 00:24:34,900
board with the Bangles getting 
like to shoot out games right 

464
00:24:34,900 --> 00:24:36,100
now. 
Like everyone just convince 

465
00:24:36,100 --> 00:24:40,100
themselves of that. 
Yeah, all right, let's move on. 

466
00:24:42,800 --> 00:24:48,100
Cowboys Cowboys, ETR has CD 
project for the most points 

467
00:24:48,100 --> 00:24:53,900
right now, but it's like very 
close between lamb and Zeke and 

468
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:58,600
ultimately I think the running 
back need pushes each head. 

469
00:24:59,700 --> 00:25:05,900
Then a pretty big gap down to 
Schultz Cooper Dak, I think 

470
00:25:05,900 --> 00:25:08,000
could come up from here or a 
touch. 

471
00:25:08,100 --> 00:25:11,300
I think he's a decent play but 
there's other options like Kyler

472
00:25:11,300 --> 00:25:12,300
like bird. 
Errol. 

473
00:25:12,300 --> 00:25:15,000
Like if you want to go for that,
kind of Underdog to make a run. 

474
00:25:15,000 --> 00:25:20,300
Bet you have other options. 
So yeah, ultimately, I think 

475
00:25:20,400 --> 00:25:22,500
most of the ownership will 
condense on Zeke and lamp. 

476
00:25:24,100 --> 00:25:28,700
Yeah, I like DAC / Kyler pretty 
comfortably. 

477
00:25:28,700 --> 00:25:32,400
I mean, they're, they're odds to
based on the betting Market are 

478
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,300
about double to make the Super 
Bowl. 

479
00:25:34,400 --> 00:25:37,900
Then, Arizona some of that's 
because they're at home in round

480
00:25:37,900 --> 00:25:40,300
one and is a three seed like if 
something were to happen to the 

481
00:25:40,300 --> 00:25:43,100
box or even if there. 
The go to Tampa Bay and win in 

482
00:25:43,100 --> 00:25:45,600
round two. 
And the Packers got upset, they 

483
00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:49,100
could get another home game down
the stretch, as a three seed, 

484
00:25:49,100 --> 00:25:52,200
Arizona, as a five-seater in all
likelihood is, is making the run

485
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,400
all the way on the road to him 
saying, like, Dallas could 

486
00:25:55,400 --> 00:25:57,900
actually end up with two home 
games potentially, and they got 

487
00:25:57,900 --> 00:26:00,700
a good defense to. 
So, Dak Pops to me here and 

488
00:26:00,700 --> 00:26:04,100
Martin Schulz, obviously, due to
a problem with the problem with 

489
00:26:04,100 --> 00:26:06,600
Schultz is he just got instant 
cocked. 

490
00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:08,900
When Blake Darwin came off, the 
I are like that. 

491
00:26:08,900 --> 00:26:11,700
That looks High to me based out 
here an ass. 

492
00:26:11,900 --> 00:26:15,200
Season-low, route, share and 
snap share immediately. 

493
00:26:15,200 --> 00:26:16,900
When Blake Darwin came off the 
IR. 

494
00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:21,800
Yeah, I agree with you Davis on 
that although I just think 

495
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:26,000
recency bias just absolutely 
plays people in don't generals 

496
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:29,000
has been like really solid. 
I was going to ask you, you 

497
00:26:29,000 --> 00:26:30,600
know, boots on the ground 
Dallas. 

498
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:32,600
Cowboys like where's the 
sentiment? 

499
00:26:32,600 --> 00:26:35,300
Do you think on these Cowboys? 
Because you look at these top 

500
00:26:35,300 --> 00:26:39,800
five six, guys, you can remove 
the defense, like, no one ever 

501
00:26:39,800 --> 00:26:43,100
really separated as like The 
alpha fantasy gay. 

502
00:26:43,100 --> 00:26:45,400
People are people are out on a 
Mari. 

503
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:50,100
I will say that people are are 
done with Amari Cooper and it's 

504
00:26:50,100 --> 00:26:53,600
so funny like Zeke also just 
useless. 

505
00:26:53,600 --> 00:26:56,100
I mean, Zeke has just been 
useless for the last six weeks 

506
00:26:56,100 --> 00:27:00,000
of the NFL season. 
Basically I think maybe at one 

507
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:01,400
good. 
I think he had a two touchdown 

508
00:27:01,400 --> 00:27:05,800
game dispersed in there, but it 
is just funny to see him more on

509
00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:09,500
than lamb, more on the deck 
moral and then Amari when you 

510
00:27:09,500 --> 00:27:15,500
know what you're getting, I 
guess the, the The The Devil's 

511
00:27:15,500 --> 00:27:17,500
Advocate Arts when I couldn't 
couldn't come up with that term 

512
00:27:17,500 --> 00:27:22,000
would be that if the Cowboys win
two or three playoff games, I 

513
00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:25,100
mean, you just know that they've
given Zeke his touches in there.

514
00:27:25,100 --> 00:27:27,300
Like you just know beyond a 
shadow of a doubt. 

515
00:27:27,300 --> 00:27:29,900
They have spent time feeding 
Zeke because that's what they 

516
00:27:29,900 --> 00:27:31,100
do. 
Whatever things are going. 

517
00:27:31,100 --> 00:27:33,800
Well it's so funny watching Z 
trying to turn a corner of this 

518
00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:35,100
year. 
I like that. 

519
00:27:35,100 --> 00:27:42,500
But I mean like if it's well 
blocked up the Of the go around 

520
00:27:42,500 --> 00:27:45,100
the corner and he's the 
literally never going to make it

521
00:27:45,100 --> 00:27:45,700
around. 
It's true. 

522
00:27:45,700 --> 00:27:48,900
Sometimes he looks like he looks
shot out of a cannon on one run.

523
00:27:48,900 --> 00:27:52,900
I think it's a week 16 week 17, 
maybe where it was actually 

524
00:27:52,900 --> 00:27:55,900
called back to holding, but he 
looks shot out of a cannon but 

525
00:27:55,908 --> 00:27:59,000
it was right up the gut just 
like he just well I read I read 

526
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:02,500
an NBC Sports Edge blurb, that 
that, that run you were talking 

527
00:28:02,500 --> 00:28:04,400
about Was His Highest game 
speed. 

528
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:09,000
That had been recorded all year 
12 mph. 

529
00:28:10,700 --> 00:28:15,300
Like there's like 60 I mean, to 
be fair, there's an interesting 

530
00:28:15,300 --> 00:28:17,600
comment and chat about Dallas 
fade being interesting. 

531
00:28:17,600 --> 00:28:19,900
I think. 
And, I mean, I think the, the 

532
00:28:19,900 --> 00:28:22,700
lines, you greet, the percent, 
retire, yourself, retire 

533
00:28:22,700 --> 00:28:27,100
yourself. 
San Fran is live to win in round

534
00:28:27,100 --> 00:28:28,900
one. 
Absolutely, I know Davis's. 

535
00:28:28,900 --> 00:28:29,500
You know. 
Do you know? 

536
00:28:29,500 --> 00:28:30,800
Know, all right. 
They are. 

537
00:28:30,800 --> 00:28:34,600
But if San Francisco, if San 
Francisco wins this game, one of

538
00:28:34,600 --> 00:28:37,500
these Dallas guys has gotten 25 
plus, like one of the skill 

539
00:28:37,500 --> 00:28:40,700
position guys, possibly, but San
Fran can win games through 

540
00:28:40,700 --> 00:28:42,300
running the ball and control. 
And clock. 

541
00:28:42,300 --> 00:28:44,400
Dialysis had some games where 
they've looked really bad, 

542
00:28:44,400 --> 00:28:47,200
offensive lie. 
I'm not. 

543
00:28:47,300 --> 00:28:51,200
Yeah, I find I think you play 
the defense then a it was 

544
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:54,200
already bought as Casey does 
Super Bowl tickets in order to 

545
00:28:54,200 --> 00:28:58,200
imagine. 
Can you imagine one thing I 

546
00:28:58,200 --> 00:29:00,800
think we should address because 
I've just noticed it pop up a 

547
00:29:00,808 --> 00:29:03,400
few times. 
Once with Tyler Boyd, then a 

548
00:29:03,400 --> 00:29:06,800
Galaxy brain, Cedric Wilson. 
I think we should just kind of 

549
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:10,400
emphasize that that level of 
galaxies branding is just not 

550
00:29:10,400 --> 00:29:12,200
needed. 
In a contest like this, 

551
00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,900
especially, on an offense, where
the ownership is already 

552
00:29:14,900 --> 00:29:18,100
incredibly spread out. 
What about what about the Galaxy

553
00:29:18,100 --> 00:29:21,000
brain of playing Pollard over 
Zeke and saying, when the 

554
00:29:21,000 --> 00:29:24,100
bullets are flying and and they 
have to win these games, they're

555
00:29:24,100 --> 00:29:25,300
going to say Zeke. 
We love you. 

556
00:29:25,300 --> 00:29:28,200
We know you're making all this 
money, but you literally cannot 

557
00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:30,700
play right now. 
You can see where I stand on 

558
00:29:30,700 --> 00:29:32,000
that. 
Galaxy brain Davis. 

559
00:29:32,200 --> 00:29:36,600
I don't give many guys 1% but I 
gave collared 14 cents coming 

560
00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:48,000
for me. 
Want to be overweight on this. 

561
00:29:48,000 --> 00:29:49,900
I'm not really buying the routes
thing. 

562
00:29:49,900 --> 00:29:53,000
I mean, you can say, immediately
got cut Big Crush, Philly and a 

563
00:29:53,008 --> 00:29:55,500
game that didn't really need to 
be going all out in. 

564
00:29:55,700 --> 00:30:00,000
I know the other guys are mostly
played, but like when Darwin was

565
00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,500
healthy earlier this year 
Schultz was still playing like, 

566
00:30:02,500 --> 00:30:04,400
beat him out. 
They started like 50/50, he 

567
00:30:04,400 --> 00:30:08,600
started to beat him out and was 
has been so good. 

568
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:10,000
All year. 
We I don't, I mean, I think it'd

569
00:30:10,000 --> 00:30:14,100
be really kind of bizarre if he 
just couldn't be productive 

570
00:30:14,100 --> 00:30:17,100
still, I don't know. 
I think he's Pretty sneaky 

571
00:30:17,100 --> 00:30:20,700
stuff. 
What about Cooper's 11%? 

572
00:30:20,700 --> 00:30:24,600
Because I'll probably bump up 
Dak like maybe two percent. 

573
00:30:24,600 --> 00:30:27,000
Something like that. 
Should I come from Cooper? 

574
00:30:27,200 --> 00:30:28,600
Should the check? 
Come from Schultz. 

575
00:30:28,600 --> 00:30:33,300
Where's that come from? 
Mike Schultz, I agree with 

576
00:30:33,300 --> 00:30:35,000
Davis's. 
Take, I just can't imagine 

577
00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,200
anyone being excited to click 
Amari Cooper. 

578
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:40,500
Yeah, that 11% feels very I to 
me. 

579
00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:42,900
Okay. 
That'll that's where. 

580
00:30:43,100 --> 00:30:45,000
That's where deck because I 
think I'm gonna raised a cab it.

581
00:30:46,700 --> 00:30:54,500
All right, let's move on. 
We're going to have to play so 

582
00:30:54,500 --> 00:31:00,500
much along this place. 
We are Leona's loves. 

583
00:31:01,200 --> 00:31:04,900
That's the juju plays is a Mari 
is a mark because, yeah, 

584
00:31:04,900 --> 00:31:06,500
Pittsburgh didn't have a running
back last year. 

585
00:31:06,500 --> 00:31:08,900
They just had three receivers 
that we were deciding between 

586
00:31:10,600 --> 00:31:15,700
All right, Green Bay, Packers 
massive, massive projection on 

587
00:31:15,700 --> 00:31:19,700
Davante, Adams. 
Can anyone see this? 

588
00:31:19,700 --> 00:31:22,100
Not being correct? 
It seems like know, it's 

589
00:31:22,100 --> 00:31:27,300
correct, but just feed me AJ. 
Dylan feed this to me, JJ 

590
00:31:27,300 --> 00:31:30,000
Dillon, it's cold, it's in 
Lambo. 

591
00:31:30,000 --> 00:31:33,200
I mean, come on feed JJ Dillon 
1% bro. 

592
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,100
Simon Davis em, like 20 of these
are you doing? 

593
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:58,600
I'm gonna do more now Davis. 
So much easier then you can make

594
00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:00,800
up the running back points. 
That's true. 

595
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:05,400
The trouble with AJ Dillon, is 
that you have to have that 

596
00:32:05,400 --> 00:32:10,200
script play out like three times
because right, he's not getting 

597
00:32:10,300 --> 00:32:14,900
they're in a bit, please out, if
it plays out twice and he gets 

598
00:32:16,200 --> 00:32:18,800
So it's a yes one smash right? 
One of these games. 

599
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:21,400
Whichever one it is. 
He gets one Smash and then he 

600
00:32:21,400 --> 00:32:23,800
just gets 11 in the other two 
games. 

601
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:27,500
Like 11 on average. 
What what what odds? 

602
00:32:27,500 --> 00:32:29,300
So that's like, what I'm taking 
it. 

603
00:32:29,800 --> 00:32:30,900
Yeah. 
You're still. 

604
00:32:30,900 --> 00:32:33,500
You're still, you're still just.
Yeah. 

605
00:32:33,500 --> 00:32:36,000
Like doing, like, we're going to
watch the first half of the 

606
00:32:36,000 --> 00:32:38,400
first game till I mean, this is 
Davis is perfect world. 

607
00:32:38,400 --> 00:32:41,800
Dylan's going to get like 10 to 
12 carries and have like, 70 

608
00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:44,700
yards and be smashing Davis. 
Keep your body blowing and 

609
00:32:44,700 --> 00:32:47,500
naughty blows to Two minute. 
Warning Davante Adams is going 

610
00:32:47,500 --> 00:32:49,800
to catch four passes for 40 
yards, to set up a field goal 

611
00:32:49,800 --> 00:32:51,400
and he's going to be ahead of do
another half. 

612
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:55,800
And that's why I turned into 
such a boomer whenever whenever 

613
00:32:55,800 --> 00:32:59,600
a Dylan comes up I just like I 
totally get, I get the ffp. 

614
00:32:59,600 --> 00:33:03,400
See ethos whenever AJ Dylan 
comes up, why is it? 

615
00:33:03,400 --> 00:33:05,400
They were, you know, Dylan and 
never wear on Henry. 

616
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:07,800
I don't really because his price
is right? 

617
00:33:10,800 --> 00:33:13,500
He's Arbitrage. 
Derrick Henry bro, do you really

618
00:33:13,500 --> 00:33:15,800
is actually so is there anything
else? 

619
00:33:15,900 --> 00:33:18,100
It's interesting to discuss with
the Packers, I guess. 

620
00:33:18,100 --> 00:33:21,100
Rogers is the other interesting 
thing and how much people feel 

621
00:33:21,100 --> 00:33:24,700
confident because there is 
people are, you know, in on the 

622
00:33:24,708 --> 00:33:27,800
Packers, making the Super Bowl, 
it's just hard to Envision him 

623
00:33:27,800 --> 00:33:29,500
out scoring a specially, with 
the Titan. 

624
00:33:29,500 --> 00:33:32,500
This is where he was last year 
to 10% with the by. 

625
00:33:32,500 --> 00:33:36,700
So, Especially the Titans not 
being like a really popular one 

626
00:33:36,700 --> 00:33:40,600
seat on the other side, like 
it's really hard to see unless 

627
00:33:40,600 --> 00:33:42,800
it is the Titans then you can 
see Rogers. 

628
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:46,400
But whoever it is the bills, The
Bangles, whoever who makes them 

629
00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:50,100
run, obviously, Kansas City. 
If one of them, it's not the 

630
00:33:50,100 --> 00:33:52,800
Titans you're talking about an 
extra game as well. 

631
00:33:52,900 --> 00:33:56,500
And those guys don't necessarily
have the same concentration of 

632
00:33:56,500 --> 00:33:58,800
weapons is Adams. 
I mean, those, those scenarios 

633
00:33:58,800 --> 00:34:01,800
where it's Green Bay, KC Green 
Bay Buffalo, it just feels like 

634
00:34:01,800 --> 00:34:05,500
it's Adams. 
Ian Adams Mahomes, right? 

635
00:34:06,400 --> 00:34:10,500
Yeah, yeah. 
And like, if you've got, I mean 

636
00:34:10,500 --> 00:34:13,500
in a weird way Aaron Rodgers 
that he just doesn't have that 

637
00:34:13,500 --> 00:34:16,800
much of a chance of beating 
Adams, over a long stretch and 

638
00:34:16,800 --> 00:34:19,000
then you obviously don't want to
lose your quarterback, so you 

639
00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:22,400
need them to go to the Super 
Bowl, but over that many games 

640
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:24,600
Adams is probably going to have 
a blow up your you're out. 

641
00:34:24,600 --> 00:34:28,100
I guess is that Rogers is the 
one you needed in the Super 

642
00:34:28,100 --> 00:34:31,600
Bowl. 
And gets the double scoring, a 

643
00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:35,500
Allen Lazard, Allen Lazard, mvs 
actually me say brown, they all 

644
00:34:35,500 --> 00:34:38,600
make their appearances and 
Rogers that's ago. 

645
00:34:39,000 --> 00:34:44,500
Yeah that's what it do it. 
Yeah um I was just going to say.

646
00:34:44,500 --> 00:34:51,400
So you think 0% on fade and in 
kicker and in DST or one percent

647
00:34:51,400 --> 00:34:54,699
total on those three? 
Well number. 

648
00:34:54,699 --> 00:34:57,000
The number one seeds. 
Never get faded. 

649
00:34:57,300 --> 00:35:02,500
Yeah, they really don't. 
Last year, I think that the two 

650
00:35:02,500 --> 00:35:07,000
guys with a by had about one 
percent combined ownership 

651
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:12,700
between DST, but between hard 
fate DST and kicker, they had 1%

652
00:35:12,900 --> 00:35:16,400
fade. 
So yeah, also just to be clear 

653
00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,000
with these. 
This isn't what we think they 

654
00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:21,400
should be. 
Our lineups are going to be what

655
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:23,500
we think they should be. 
These are what? 

656
00:35:23,500 --> 00:35:24,300
I have. 
No Aaron. 

657
00:35:24,300 --> 00:35:28,900
He owns a lot of want. 
I want that on the record in the

658
00:35:28,900 --> 00:35:30,900
process. 
Um is is just what an incredible

659
00:35:30,900 --> 00:35:33,300
play Davante Adams is. 
So it's just going to be very 

660
00:35:33,300 --> 00:35:37,200
hard for any of these non Adams 
Packers to pull significant 

661
00:35:37,200 --> 00:35:39,200
ownership. 
I mean, if Adams isn't the guy 

662
00:35:39,300 --> 00:35:43,800
and like Davis is saying he 
plays age of Dylan and they 

663
00:35:43,800 --> 00:35:47,000
probably got to lose in their 
one game and yeah, exactly. 

664
00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:49,900
Dylan has. 
But the problem is that Dylan 

665
00:35:49,900 --> 00:35:52,800
Like absolutely cannot get there
in a loss, I don't think right, 

666
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:56,400
but Jones can so yeah, because 
it can, if you're playing like, 

667
00:35:56,400 --> 00:36:00,900
let's say you're playing Let's 
say you're playing Dallas to 

668
00:36:00,900 --> 00:36:04,200
win. 
Then and yet but you want to bet

669
00:36:04,200 --> 00:36:06,400
against Green Bay. 
Well Arizona, most likely is 

670
00:36:06,408 --> 00:36:10,600
going to Green Bay if they win. 
So you play or you could play 

671
00:36:10,700 --> 00:36:13,000
cup and Jarron Jones and just 
hope. 

672
00:36:13,300 --> 00:36:15,300
I mean no one's really going to 
play Stafford, but, but 

673
00:36:15,300 --> 00:36:18,000
essentially I'm saying, is like 
it in a Kyler lineup, for 

674
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:21,800
example, you're probably betting
against Green Bay. 

675
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:25,800
So, in that scenario, you could 
go with Aaron Jones who you need

676
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:27,800
them to be one and done if 
you're taking your inner Jones 

677
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:30,100
like I guess Aaron Jones has 
enough touchdown Equity that 

678
00:36:30,100 --> 00:36:33,300
over two games. 
He could be the guy It does, it 

679
00:36:33,300 --> 00:36:35,800
feels pretty he would have to 
have one of those signature, 

680
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,500
Aaron Jones games, where he 
scores like four touchdowns on 

681
00:36:38,500 --> 00:36:41,000
12 touches. 
I was just yeah because though 

682
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:44,800
the the ownership is going to be
massive, like your 81% here is 

683
00:36:44,800 --> 00:36:47,700
huge and so if you did hit that 
correctly. 

684
00:36:48,500 --> 00:36:49,300
Yeah. 
It's a huge. 

685
00:36:49,300 --> 00:36:51,400
You have the field like 
dominated all that. 

686
00:36:51,400 --> 00:36:56,600
Yeah, yeah. 
Um all right let's move on to 

687
00:36:56,700 --> 00:37:02,000
whoever is next in the alphabet.
All right, Casey. 

688
00:37:02,700 --> 00:37:05,500
All right, this is Davis is time
to shine. 

689
00:37:09,700 --> 00:37:13,600
What was what was the sentiment 
on the Chiefs heading into the 

690
00:37:13,600 --> 00:37:16,200
playoffs last year? 
Was it was it all Kelsey coming 

691
00:37:16,200 --> 00:37:18,300
off? 
A just that massive year, it was

692
00:37:18,300 --> 00:37:21,600
all Kelsey, he's like 70% under 
something and there was like a 

693
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:28,000
little bit of Could be Damian 
Williams early week. 

694
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:30,900
It was like, why do birds who 
were there could be the 

695
00:37:31,500 --> 00:37:33,200
contrarian play. 
And I think by late week, a lot 

696
00:37:33,200 --> 00:37:34,400
of people were like wait Terry 
kills. 

697
00:37:34,400 --> 00:37:35,700
Not even going to be played a 
lot. 

698
00:37:35,700 --> 00:37:37,600
Yeah, I think he was sort of 
like the, the contrary 

699
00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:41,200
apparently. 
Exactly a Tyree kill was a 

700
00:37:41,200 --> 00:37:45,400
contrarian pivot last year like 
don't don't get to off the 

701
00:37:45,400 --> 00:37:46,700
Border. 
You don't need to be playing 

702
00:37:47,100 --> 00:37:49,900
your by talking to people. 
This is the second time a Cedric

703
00:37:49,900 --> 00:37:52,000
Wilson, Galaxy brain play as 
been. 

704
00:37:52,000 --> 00:37:54,200
Floated the chat guys, you Ew, 
don't need. 

705
00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:56,600
I told you guys, there's two 
touchdowns a week 17, we're 

706
00:37:56,600 --> 00:38:03,000
going to give 5%, he's like, put
it in, I'm gonna put in. 

707
00:38:03,000 --> 00:38:06,400
So I'm making a note to add 
citric Wilson to like 2%. 

708
00:38:06,600 --> 00:38:10,900
The people love it. 
They love great Boise State 

709
00:38:10,900 --> 00:38:13,700
player. 
All right, Davis boots on the 

710
00:38:13,700 --> 00:38:15,200
ground. 
How does this look to you here? 

711
00:38:16,100 --> 00:38:20,000
I mean, my home's look slow to 
me and Kelsey look slow. 

712
00:38:20,000 --> 00:38:22,400
I feel like, I feel like we're 
basically setting up for the 

713
00:38:22,400 --> 00:38:26,000
same thing with Tyreke where he 
and he did, just get hurt. 

714
00:38:26,100 --> 00:38:28,100
Right. 
So we everyone saw him on that 

715
00:38:28,100 --> 00:38:30,700
because, you know, it was a 
Saturday National TV game. 

716
00:38:30,900 --> 00:38:34,700
Everyone saw him limping around.
That might have been McColl 

717
00:38:34,700 --> 00:38:37,800
hardman's. 
First-ever 100-yard game. 

718
00:38:37,900 --> 00:38:41,200
It almost has to be his first 
100 yard game that he just had 

719
00:38:41,200 --> 00:38:44,600
against the Denver Broncos. 
So it's a long touchdown has 

720
00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:47,000
come on, man. 
He had to have had at least one 

721
00:38:47,100 --> 00:38:49,700
it at that II. 
Don't even know. 

722
00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:53,900
But I know like that's gotta be 
is probably right. 

723
00:38:53,900 --> 00:38:55,400
It's gonna be so depressing to 
find. 

724
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:57,300
Yeah, I can, I can find out 
right now. 

725
00:38:58,200 --> 00:39:01,300
Career game log. 
Yep. 

726
00:39:01,300 --> 00:39:02,800
First 100 years ago? 
No. 

727
00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:10,100
Yeah, 97 once before 9:00. 
So, so, I mean, I really think 

728
00:39:10,100 --> 00:39:12,200
with Kansas City. 
You are choosing from Kelsey 

729
00:39:12,200 --> 00:39:18,700
Tyreke and Mahomes and these 
Kelsey look slow Tyreke looks 

730
00:39:18,700 --> 00:39:20,900
High Mahomes looks a little bit 
low. 

731
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:23,900
But even the way these are 
projected, I'm just looking at 

732
00:39:23,900 --> 00:39:26,800
this going, like Mahomes is just
such a smash because they have 

733
00:39:26,800 --> 00:39:30,600
even, they've even expanded this
year, the, the level to, which 

734
00:39:30,600 --> 00:39:34,000
they are willing to troll. 
You on offense, like through, 

735
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,600
you know, throwing touchdowns 
two offensive tackles Michael, 

736
00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:41,600
Burton is getting carries, 
they're using I right now for 

737
00:39:41,600 --> 00:39:44,600
the game, this weekend against 
the Steelers, I have been 

738
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:47,100
projected to use for running 
backs like it. 

739
00:39:47,100 --> 00:39:50,200
They are just, they are just 
ready to troll you to death and 

740
00:39:50,200 --> 00:39:52,400
Mahomes is the beneficiary of 
all that trolling. 

741
00:39:53,100 --> 00:39:54,800
What? 
As Davis talks it out, just 

742
00:39:54,800 --> 00:39:58,800
because we don't have the 
sentiment on Kelsey heading into

743
00:39:58,800 --> 00:40:00,400
this year. 
We mentioned the Tyree kill 

744
00:40:00,400 --> 00:40:06,700
injury stuff, I could see 
Mahomes really get pushed up. 

745
00:40:06,700 --> 00:40:08,600
His people are like, I don't 
know who to play between Kelsey 

746
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:09,600
and hell. 
I'll just play my home. 

747
00:40:09,600 --> 00:40:13,000
I was thinking I was thinking 
that Pat Hill more on 20, that 

748
00:40:13,000 --> 00:40:15,900
looks good tell me, you're 
tired, but I don't know from 

749
00:40:15,900 --> 00:40:19,900
where you're not getting any. 
Maybe in years past some of the 

750
00:40:19,900 --> 00:40:23,000
running backs would have pulled 
some some, you know, Pringle 

751
00:40:23,000 --> 00:40:25,300
Hardman, whatever would have 
pulled some no one's doing that 

752
00:40:25,300 --> 00:40:28,600
this year like those guys are 
stone-cold zeros, right? 

753
00:40:28,600 --> 00:40:31,600
Because I mean you have on so 
much uncertainty around the 

754
00:40:31,607 --> 00:40:33,800
backfield, one a split to both 
guys. 

755
00:40:34,000 --> 00:40:37,100
Guys banged 05 hurt. 
No one's excited to play either 

756
00:40:37,100 --> 00:40:40,200
of those. 
What about that? 

757
00:40:40,500 --> 00:40:42,500
Yeah, that looks great. 
Yeah, it's funny. 

758
00:40:42,500 --> 00:40:45,100
You move Edwards alert out of 
than it made me think about it. 

759
00:40:45,100 --> 00:40:48,700
I'm like, man. 3% on, not those 
guys, that might even wind up 

760
00:40:48,700 --> 00:40:50,400
high. 
Like, can you see? 

761
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:53,100
I know just a certain point, you
have to have like something got 

762
00:40:53,100 --> 00:40:56,000
a bit of, there's gonna be, 
there's gonna be like point two 

763
00:40:56,000 --> 00:40:57,400
five percent hard. 
To me. 

764
00:40:57,400 --> 00:41:00,500
Tell you, if I'm not clicking on
Clyde ever two layers named no 

765
00:41:00,500 --> 00:41:02,600
one's clicking on car. 
That was hilarious -. 

766
00:41:05,300 --> 00:41:08,100
Yeah, well, that's sort of like 
the, you know, the quarter 

767
00:41:08,100 --> 00:41:10,100
percent Darryl Williams, It's 
and all that Davis. 

768
00:41:10,100 --> 00:41:12,800
You want to tragic nickel Arvin 
staff from looking at that game 

769
00:41:12,800 --> 00:41:16,000
like that we just did his last 
career-high, was his third 

770
00:41:16,000 --> 00:41:18,600
career game in 2019 week, 3, I 
know. 

771
00:41:18,600 --> 00:41:21,100
I buddy, I know I've been 
chasing the dragon. 

772
00:41:21,100 --> 00:41:23,200
This whole time isn't that 
another game too? 

773
00:41:23,300 --> 00:41:25,300
His third career, gave him three
seasons. 

774
00:41:25,300 --> 00:41:30,000
Basically, then you finally did 
it, right, big when they needed 

775
00:41:30,000 --> 00:41:31,500
them. 
Let's move on. 

776
00:41:37,500 --> 00:41:41,400
We got la. 
Yeah, la I think is fascinating 

777
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:45,400
similar to Green Bay. 
Yeah. 

778
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:50,400
So hey even bigger shock. 
I just don't see how you get off

779
00:41:51,000 --> 00:41:53,100
cup. 
I even, I don't feel like, I 

780
00:41:53,107 --> 00:41:55,700
think it's pretty easy to see 
why you wouldn't play them. 

781
00:41:56,300 --> 00:42:03,100
Been Jefferson, who are because 
because unlike the Packers where

782
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:05,100
you're like, there's just no way
one of these. 

783
00:42:05,100 --> 00:42:07,700
Other guys can blow up over two 
or three games. 

784
00:42:07,700 --> 00:42:11,200
I think it's pretty easy to see.
See, one of the running backs, 

785
00:42:11,200 --> 00:42:14,000
just totally smashing over two 
games. 

786
00:42:14,100 --> 00:42:17,900
Odell, scoring three touchdowns,
and two games, igby scoring two 

787
00:42:17,900 --> 00:42:20,800
touchdowns and being like the 
tight end that you needed. 

788
00:42:20,800 --> 00:42:24,100
Like, now cup is obviously even 
a better play than atoms in 

789
00:42:24,100 --> 00:42:27,000
terms of, like, per game 
projection, but the Packers just

790
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,300
don't even like have enough 
offensive volume. 

791
00:42:29,300 --> 00:42:32,500
In the way they call plays is 
not even designed to have other 

792
00:42:32,500 --> 00:42:37,400
guys do well, but I think 
Stafford Acres, I would lean 

793
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:39,300
Sony Odell like I think all of 
those guys. 

794
00:42:39,500 --> 00:42:42,900
Can can be, smashes everyone 
listen to Davis? 

795
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:49,400
It's just it's such a tough 
needle to thread, right? 

796
00:42:49,400 --> 00:42:54,400
Because even in a loss cup could
just massively outscore every 

797
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:55,400
option. 
Yes. 

798
00:42:56,800 --> 00:43:00,600
Sony's Sony's only way of doing 
it would be to score five 

799
00:43:00,600 --> 00:43:03,200
touchdowns in the playoffs 
right, doing doing what they're 

800
00:43:03,200 --> 00:43:06,500
going to say in the one game 
also doing doing like, what 

801
00:43:06,500 --> 00:43:08,200
Lenny did for the Box. 
Yes, ugly. 

802
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:13,800
It's just like, look, this is 
dumb and Davis is right, there's

803
00:43:13,800 --> 00:43:16,100
a variance. 
But I just like, I open up his 

804
00:43:16,100 --> 00:43:19,100
game log, and it's insane. 
I'm gonna play Cooper. 

805
00:43:19,100 --> 00:43:23,000
Cup means Calvin Johnson. 
Dude, the ridiculous. 

806
00:43:23,500 --> 00:43:27,500
The interesting thing about Sony
is that Like as the playoffs go 

807
00:43:27,500 --> 00:43:30,300
on, you would expect Acres 
probably to take more from the 

808
00:43:30,308 --> 00:43:32,300
point, but that's yeah, that's 
not the play. 

809
00:43:32,300 --> 00:43:34,600
You're just hoping you're 
praying, they lose. 

810
00:43:35,000 --> 00:43:38,000
And so you get Sony in the one 
game where he's going to get the

811
00:43:38,000 --> 00:43:40,400
most touches and then you're 
done. 

812
00:43:40,600 --> 00:43:44,300
So, so let me, let me throw this
out, they lose to the Cardinals,

813
00:43:45,000 --> 00:43:51,400
Cooper cup gets his 30, Sony 
gets 19 Who would you rather 

814
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:56,900
have? 
Even given that you feel much 

815
00:43:56,900 --> 00:44:00,200
better about your ability to get
other wide receiver points as 

816
00:44:00,200 --> 00:44:02,300
opposed to running back to him 
that much better. 

817
00:44:02,700 --> 00:44:05,100
Ox's? 
Yeah this for flexes. 

818
00:44:06,300 --> 00:44:08,800
Yeah, it's the optimal in that 
scenario is going to have cup in

819
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:11,300
a flex, but I think there's 
going to be other exact point 

820
00:44:11,600 --> 00:44:13,600
program. 
Yeah, it would have to be like 

821
00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:17,100
two points or something to where
you'd take Sony for the Yashin 

822
00:44:17,100 --> 00:44:18,900
Advantage. 
Yeah. 

823
00:44:18,900 --> 00:44:21,100
If you fade, if you fade Cooper 
cup, you don't need to play 

824
00:44:21,100 --> 00:44:26,900
Cedric Wilson. 
And in the, the Cooper, Stafford

825
00:44:26,900 --> 00:44:30,300
Dynamic is like an even more 
exaggerated version of the 

826
00:44:30,300 --> 00:44:31,900
Rodgers. 
And Adams, one, where it's just 

827
00:44:31,900 --> 00:44:34,600
like, in Stafford, like, never 
getting there without bringing, 

828
00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:36,000
he's dead. 
Like, yeah. 

829
00:44:36,100 --> 00:44:40,200
Yeah, he has to because you also
have to think through, if this 

830
00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:43,900
team goes on a run, how are they
actually going to win, right? 

831
00:44:44,000 --> 00:44:46,200
And so like when you take 
Matthew Stafford, you need them 

832
00:44:46,200 --> 00:44:48,700
to probably go to Super Bowl 
East Conference Championship, 

833
00:44:49,400 --> 00:44:52,100
what scenarios are Stafford, the
guy you need a quarterback in 

834
00:44:52,100 --> 00:44:55,900
cup, had a bad run. 
Yeah, right. 

835
00:44:56,200 --> 00:44:59,200
It's yeah, it seems like a 
really tough play and what do 

836
00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:00,600
ya? 
You have them at 3%. 

837
00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:04,300
Yeah yep. 
I'm sure that seems, I might be 

838
00:45:04,300 --> 00:45:07,800
light cup but no one ever comes 
in above 90. 

839
00:45:07,800 --> 00:45:10,800
But I just, I don't know. 
It's hard to see who those 

840
00:45:10,800 --> 00:45:12,400
people are. 
Yeah. 

841
00:45:13,700 --> 00:45:17,900
All right, not much interesting 
to talk about the Rams. 

842
00:45:20,600 --> 00:45:24,500
Who are we on to Vegas? 
Las Vegas? 

843
00:45:25,400 --> 00:45:29,000
I think the one big thing 
started, there's not much to say

844
00:45:29,000 --> 00:45:32,900
but took us eyes will come up is
like in a loss is usually where 

845
00:45:32,900 --> 00:45:36,100
the chalk doesn't work because 
the more guys that give apply 

846
00:45:36,100 --> 00:45:38,600
the more games they play, the 
more likely he is going to you 

847
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:40,200
know he's gonna be part of them 
winning. 

848
00:45:40,200 --> 00:45:43,000
He's got the cream is gonna rise
to the top, all that stuff but 

849
00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:45,900
in a loss also cup is so hard to
see not being the time. 

850
00:45:45,900 --> 00:45:48,900
Yeah yeah yeah. 
Because we're going to go to 

851
00:45:48,900 --> 00:45:50,400
him. 
When other stuff isn't working, 

852
00:45:50,400 --> 00:45:52,600
he's just going to start dialing
in on cup. 

853
00:45:52,600 --> 00:45:55,000
It's just really hard. 
It's really hard. 

854
00:45:56,500 --> 00:45:58,300
All right. 
Las Vegas here. 

855
00:45:58,900 --> 00:46:02,200
Is this our first fade as the 
top projection? 

856
00:46:02,800 --> 00:46:06,100
I think? 
So Arizona, I had the defense 

857
00:46:06,100 --> 00:46:07,700
has the top so you know soft 
fate. 

858
00:46:07,700 --> 00:46:08,900
Is the top of this is the first 
hard. 

859
00:46:08,900 --> 00:46:12,900
Fate is the top Josh Jacobs. 
Again, just gets you that 

860
00:46:12,900 --> 00:46:14,400
running back. 
That's much harder to fill 

861
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:16,600
tight. 
End is like way easier to fill 

862
00:46:16,600 --> 00:46:18,600
actually the kind of like a 
lower tight end. 

863
00:46:19,300 --> 00:46:22,300
Significantly from the first 
ownership run that I did. 

864
00:46:22,700 --> 00:46:26,800
Because I was way above where 
the field was last year in terms

865
00:46:26,800 --> 00:46:28,900
of their tight ends. 
I think they'll be above where 

866
00:46:28,900 --> 00:46:31,200
they were last year, but I also 
over projected tight end last 

867
00:46:31,200 --> 00:46:33,300
year. 
So didn't want to like massively

868
00:46:33,300 --> 00:46:37,800
over project that which brings 
Waller down and Jacobs up, even 

869
00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:41,000
though I'm projections, I think 
they'll be pretty close, but if 

870
00:46:41,000 --> 00:46:44,300
you're going to play the Raider,
I think you're doing it to get a

871
00:46:44,308 --> 00:46:47,200
little bit different, running 
back and fill one of those 

872
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:49,000
spots. 
So I think what? 

873
00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:52,100
Lauren will ultimately come in 
around this. 

874
00:46:52,100 --> 00:46:54,900
Like, I, this is one of the ones
I thought through fair amount, 

875
00:46:54,900 --> 00:46:57,200
and I feel pretty good about the
15%. 

876
00:46:57,200 --> 00:46:59,400
Even though, I think it makes 
wallet pretty interesting. 

877
00:47:01,500 --> 00:47:03,100
Yeah, as another one with a 
wider love. 

878
00:47:03,900 --> 00:47:07,600
I love Waller there. 
Yeah, Walters Waters, great 

879
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:08,700
there. 
But this another one where the 

880
00:47:08,700 --> 00:47:10,700
low and wide receiver kind of 
Pops me. 

881
00:47:10,700 --> 00:47:12,700
I think I've seen that a couple 
times now where it's like, okay,

882
00:47:12,700 --> 00:47:18,100
140 at 2%, I saying that they're
likely to lose in the first 

883
00:47:18,100 --> 00:47:19,300
round, I mean, obviously, they 
could Advance. 

884
00:47:19,300 --> 00:47:21,300
We just talk through that 
scenario, Davis, like that 

885
00:47:21,300 --> 00:47:22,900
scenario. 
That's a possibility. 

886
00:47:22,900 --> 00:47:24,900
I don't like it. 
That's not a world. 

887
00:47:24,900 --> 00:47:27,400
I want to live in, but I'm just 
telling you how it works. 

888
00:47:28,400 --> 00:47:32,200
Yes, Zack Taylor does this, but 
if they, You lose. 

889
00:47:32,900 --> 00:47:35,500
I can see a lot of pasta like I 
mean, run froze. 

890
00:47:35,500 --> 00:47:39,400
A lot closer to a coin flip with
Jacobs and Waller in a loss than

891
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:43,700
those ownerships, you know. 
Like we're talking five times, 

892
00:47:43,800 --> 00:47:46,500
ten Jacobson a loss is probably 
Mega dust. 

893
00:47:47,600 --> 00:47:50,100
Which is interesting about this.
Yeah. 

894
00:47:51,000 --> 00:47:54,100
We'll do you think people go 
Waller because I mean the FPC 

895
00:47:54,100 --> 00:47:56,300
does like you know they're 
really tight ends. 

896
00:47:56,300 --> 00:47:58,100
Yeah. 
I feel like I feel like I feel 

897
00:47:58,100 --> 00:48:03,500
like Jacobs maybe looks a smidge
high and Waller looks a little 

898
00:48:03,500 --> 00:48:04,700
low. 
The only thing you got to 

899
00:48:04,700 --> 00:48:07,400
remember about Waller though for
ffp see brain. 

900
00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:10,700
I mean he burned everyone who 
drafted him this year. 

901
00:48:10,700 --> 00:48:12,900
He's been out of sight. 
Out of mind. 

902
00:48:12,900 --> 00:48:15,500
He's going undrafted in these 
Underdog drafts granted 

903
00:48:15,500 --> 00:48:19,500
obviously 1.5 Here. 
But I feel like sentiment on 

904
00:48:19,500 --> 00:48:22,100
Waller is at an all-time low. 
Yeah, that's a good point. 

905
00:48:22,200 --> 00:48:23,500
I agree. 
I don't think wall is going to 

906
00:48:23,500 --> 00:48:24,600
be 9 times. 
Run 40. 

907
00:48:24,600 --> 00:48:26,400
Wish you just shift it in a 
gutsy. 

908
00:48:26,400 --> 00:48:31,200
I mean that just doesn't seem. 
I would want. 

909
00:48:31,200 --> 00:48:35,400
What do you think to be the 
caller, the wall or ownership is

910
00:48:35,400 --> 00:48:39,200
going to compromise? 
Maybe that get really excited to

911
00:48:39,200 --> 00:48:41,700
roll out like for tight ends 
because every year there's a few

912
00:48:41,700 --> 00:48:44,200
there, like, holy shit, I can 
just roll out for stud tight 

913
00:48:44,200 --> 00:48:47,200
ends and that someone's gotta 
toss Waller into that. 

914
00:48:48,300 --> 00:48:50,400
But I just don't think a lot of 
people are going to even get 

915
00:48:50,400 --> 00:48:55,000
past, you know, Jacobs to him. 
It's really sad. 

916
00:48:55,000 --> 00:48:57,400
We're not having the Lamar 
Jackson vs. 

917
00:48:57,400 --> 00:49:00,500
Mark Andrews conversation 
considering this run that 

918
00:49:00,500 --> 00:49:02,600
Andrews just ripped off like it 
is. 

919
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:04,700
It's a bummer that that's not an
element. 

920
00:49:04,700 --> 00:49:07,100
We're watching the Steelers in 
the playoffs instead. 

921
00:49:07,100 --> 00:49:08,300
Yeah, it's pretty. 
Big bummer. 

922
00:49:08,500 --> 00:49:09,600
Oh man. 
Yeah. 

923
00:49:10,600 --> 00:49:13,000
I mean having the Chargers would
have been so fun. 

924
00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:17,100
I mean, talk about a fun team 
for this contest, it would have 

925
00:49:17,107 --> 00:49:19,200
been like a more interesting 
version of The Bangles. 

926
00:49:20,500 --> 00:49:25,300
Carlson seems low Silas says 
kickers, tough Carlson might get

927
00:49:25,300 --> 00:49:30,300
a child kicker, which would take
some from the fade, but I think 

928
00:49:30,700 --> 00:49:33,900
right now I have Nick Folk 
coming in pretty high, but I 

929
00:49:33,900 --> 00:49:37,600
think that would probably come 
down if we get Connor because 

930
00:49:37,600 --> 00:49:41,000
then there will be more New 
England defense. 

931
00:49:41,400 --> 00:49:43,000
So everything kind of gets 
shipped around, but that's 

932
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:45,100
probably right. 
They cook that Carlson's 

933
00:49:45,100 --> 00:49:48,500
probably a little low. 
I'll make sense. 

934
00:49:50,900 --> 00:49:54,000
All right, who do we have up 
next? 

935
00:49:57,200 --> 00:50:00,700
New England. 
Alright, skip it. 

936
00:50:05,900 --> 00:50:09,300
I mean, the boomers are going to
love to play Damien Harris and 

937
00:50:09,300 --> 00:50:13,300
we gotta admit that. 
And there's a lot of DST kicker 

938
00:50:13,300 --> 00:50:15,100
at full fade. 
I mean that's like, what? 

939
00:50:15,100 --> 00:50:18,100
70 bright? 
I could I should take it back, I

940
00:50:18,100 --> 00:50:20,800
could see playing the pick the 
Patriots defense, they get it. 

941
00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:23,300
They get a pick six and a 42 7 
loss. 

942
00:50:24,700 --> 00:50:28,300
So the thing that's fascinating 
to me about the Patriots defense

943
00:50:28,300 --> 00:50:32,300
and I was wondering about this 
to like if Alan is so popular, 

944
00:50:32,700 --> 00:50:35,900
will people use New England 
defense against Allen and 

945
00:50:35,900 --> 00:50:41,600
they're like, they should Yeah, 
I have a lower than I would 

946
00:50:41,600 --> 00:50:46,300
because of that concern, right? 
If it was a better like if they 

947
00:50:46,300 --> 00:50:50,100
were going against burrow or 
like it basically, anyone else 

948
00:50:50,100 --> 00:50:52,800
they would be the choc d by a 
lot? 

949
00:50:52,800 --> 00:50:55,500
I would assume I think this is 
right? 

950
00:50:55,500 --> 00:50:57,600
And it's a, I mean, just another
one where I'm sitting, you're 

951
00:50:57,600 --> 00:51:00,100
going, I mean, if they lose in 
the first round, Jacoby Myers 

952
00:51:00,100 --> 00:51:01,900
catch could catch a passes. 
Hunter. 

953
00:51:01,900 --> 00:51:04,200
Henry could catch six and two 
touchdowns. 

954
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:07,400
And, you know, if they if what 
if to eat, what is 84 45 and no 

955
00:51:07,400 --> 00:51:12,200
touchdowns do for you though. 
Make it you in the optimal. 

956
00:51:12,200 --> 00:51:15,400
I don't know. 
Well maybe I guess it for 45 is.

957
00:51:16,000 --> 00:51:17,500
That's a real low. 
Wait up. 

958
00:51:19,600 --> 00:51:21,200
I don't know. 
I just I just am not 

959
00:51:21,200 --> 00:51:23,600
anticipating the Patriots being 
particularly competitive here, 

960
00:51:23,600 --> 00:51:26,000
but may I think that maybe 
that's like a minority opinion 

961
00:51:26,000 --> 00:51:30,500
though. 
What are like if you were to gal

962
00:51:30,500 --> 00:51:34,500
brain or, you know, the the 
Patriots in because I agree with

963
00:51:34,500 --> 00:51:37,300
Davis's thesis, right? 
Like if they're down there dunzo

964
00:51:37,300 --> 00:51:41,500
but does that mean we get you 
know more Jacoby Myers? 

965
00:51:41,500 --> 00:51:43,800
Can we get Ramon? 
Ray Stevenson catching some 

966
00:51:43,800 --> 00:51:45,700
screen passes like is there 
anything there? 

967
00:51:46,600 --> 00:51:49,100
Something a freakin use Brandon 
Bolden this last game. 

968
00:51:49,100 --> 00:51:52,500
Yeah, I don't think Stevenson is
that yeah, it's bold and not 

969
00:51:52,500 --> 00:51:56,700
Stevenson, I think. 
Maybe Myers, but Myers has no 

970
00:51:56,700 --> 00:52:00,400
touchdown Equity Hunter Henry. 
Feels like, okay, maybe Hunter 

971
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:03,500
Hunter Henry feels feels like a 
great differential. 

972
00:52:03,500 --> 00:52:08,700
Actually, yeah. 
And I think this 4% about right,

973
00:52:08,700 --> 00:52:10,700
like people aren't gonna be 
excited to click on her Henry, 

974
00:52:11,300 --> 00:52:15,100
man. 
Ow, the weather John brings up 

975
00:52:15,200 --> 00:52:17,600
it's looking bad. 
Add in New England, Cold Plus 

976
00:52:17,600 --> 00:52:20,000
win. 
We just saw New England, do the 

977
00:52:20,000 --> 00:52:23,100
three pass attempt game against 
Buffalo and beat that. 

978
00:52:23,100 --> 00:52:25,300
Like, that's how they're 
designed to play footballs just 

979
00:52:25,300 --> 00:52:27,900
like run every single play, 
right? 

980
00:52:27,900 --> 00:52:31,900
And the bills are, that's a 
tougher spot for the bills man 

981
00:52:33,400 --> 00:52:35,300
can like, you know, is that 
dead? 

982
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,600
I don't know. 
I don't think that that did. 

983
00:52:38,600 --> 00:52:43,200
I mean, the the chances of 
advancing I think are like 12% 

984
00:52:43,200 --> 00:52:45,200
or something. 
Sorry, not of advancing, but 

985
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:49,700
chances of making the soup. 
More like 12%, they're going to 

986
00:52:49,700 --> 00:52:53,300
be over faded relative to their 
chances of making it run, right?

987
00:52:55,200 --> 00:52:57,000
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

988
00:52:57,000 --> 00:52:59,700
I do think it's interesting to 
just how people are thinking 

989
00:52:59,700 --> 00:53:02,400
through the bills as it relates 
to the Patriots because I think 

990
00:53:02,400 --> 00:53:04,900
everyone's assuming the Bills 
win but they're still not 

991
00:53:04,900 --> 00:53:09,200
necessarily excited to play the 
bills against the Patriots, 

992
00:53:09,200 --> 00:53:12,300
which brings me back to Davis's 
initial point about Mahomes 

993
00:53:12,400 --> 00:53:17,200
really separating from Allen. 
Just if people are like, oh 

994
00:53:17,200 --> 00:53:19,600
what? 
If I get a so-so game at Allen 

995
00:53:19,900 --> 00:53:22,700
in round one, where people feel 
pretty confident that Mahomes is

996
00:53:22,700 --> 00:53:24,700
going to light up the Chiefs or 
the Steelers? 

997
00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:27,800
Yeah. 
All right. 

998
00:53:27,800 --> 00:53:30,500
Yeah yeah. 
I think the Allen stuff is is 

999
00:53:30,500 --> 00:53:34,600
outdated from the point about 
the by being really key. 

1000
00:53:36,100 --> 00:53:42,100
Yeah, from homes, this year. 
alright, let's head on over to 

1001
00:53:46,800 --> 00:53:47,800
Eagles. 
Another. 

1002
00:53:47,800 --> 00:53:51,500
Another quick one. 
Yeah, yeah. 

1003
00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:58,300
So maybe so, I think Goddard is 
pretty interesting. 

1004
00:54:00,100 --> 00:54:04,500
Because it allows you to that 
allows you to not use Gronk, 

1005
00:54:04,800 --> 00:54:09,500
Kelsey, you know like the temp 
we haven't got to Tampa Bay yet 

1006
00:54:09,500 --> 00:54:11,700
but Tampa Bay is pretty 
interesting and Gronk does look 

1007
00:54:11,700 --> 00:54:16,600
like one of their stronger plays
and I think Goddard is having 

1008
00:54:16,600 --> 00:54:18,000
their death but they're 
definitely not going to win 

1009
00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:20,700
though. 
There's a lot of tight ends. 

1010
00:54:20,700 --> 00:54:23,500
I mean you mentioned not playing
gromp Kelsey but also like 

1011
00:54:23,500 --> 00:54:26,300
wohlers in this Kittles in this 
you know we talked about Schultz

1012
00:54:26,300 --> 00:54:29,700
Earth's like there's a lot of 
freakin tight and I could see 

1013
00:54:29,700 --> 00:54:33,500
Goddard but it's like you lose a
little bit of the benefit of 

1014
00:54:33,500 --> 00:54:35,900
like if he has a good game then 
he's probably the right tight 

1015
00:54:35,900 --> 00:54:38,700
end because they're going to be 
tied into advanced and play 

1016
00:54:38,700 --> 00:54:41,300
multiple games and so it's hard.
Nothing. 

1017
00:54:41,700 --> 00:54:43,800
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

1018
00:54:44,200 --> 00:54:48,800
The Eagles are interesting 
because they're almost like 141 

1019
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:51,300
in terms of figuring out the 
projections for this. 

1020
00:54:51,700 --> 00:54:54,500
I just literally went and looked
at Washington last year because 

1021
00:54:54,500 --> 00:54:56,900
you have Hogan Thomas was the 
clear plate? 

1022
00:54:56,900 --> 00:54:59,100
No one was betting on Washington
to Vance. 

1023
00:54:59,400 --> 00:55:00,800
Good Terror McLaren, is the 
clear? 

1024
00:55:00,800 --> 00:55:03,700
Number one, receiver, he came in
at 3 percent. 

1025
00:55:04,300 --> 00:55:08,700
You've got Gibson came in at. 
I think 22 %. 

1026
00:55:08,700 --> 00:55:12,500
JD mckissick came in at 2%. 
It's a, you get Mi Sanders for 

1027
00:55:12,900 --> 00:55:16,300
and then loga Tom's. 
I think was like ten and I feel 

1028
00:55:16,300 --> 00:55:17,900
like God or might be slightly 
more popular. 

1029
00:55:17,900 --> 00:55:22,000
So the only a be that to me from
a projection standpoint makes 

1030
00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:24,600
sense as a cop. 
But I need people are really 

1031
00:55:24,600 --> 00:55:28,200
down on the box and I think 
we're pretty spooked about this 

1032
00:55:28,200 --> 00:55:32,300
version of The box without 
Godwin and a be at least in my 

1033
00:55:32,300 --> 00:55:34,000
head. 
I'm thinking the Eagles are 

1034
00:55:34,000 --> 00:55:36,500
decently live. 
I don't know if the field 

1035
00:55:36,500 --> 00:55:40,300
catches catches up to that, but 
it does make me more interested 

1036
00:55:40,300 --> 00:55:42,100
in the Eagles than I, otherwise 
would be. 

1037
00:55:43,100 --> 00:55:45,200
Yeah. 
And I agree with Davis that like

1038
00:55:45,200 --> 00:55:48,700
the way to play that if you are,
if you think you're getting an 

1039
00:55:48,700 --> 00:55:51,500
eagle's upset, I mean isn't 
Goddard just kind of the obvious

1040
00:55:51,500 --> 00:55:54,100
play in that case. 
Yeah, if you get two games out 

1041
00:55:54,100 --> 00:55:58,100
of God, where he looks great, 
Yeah, I think ghadir I mean I 

1042
00:55:58,100 --> 00:55:59,400
think basically got a real 
catch. 

1043
00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:04,600
I mean Sanders might be high. 
This might be like Sanders won. 

1044
00:56:04,700 --> 00:56:08,400
Got her 15 or something but you 
know the point remains that 

1045
00:56:08,400 --> 00:56:11,300
Goddard space is going to catch 
all the skill player ownership 

1046
00:56:11,300 --> 00:56:11,700
here. 
Ethan. 

1047
00:56:12,300 --> 00:56:15,600
Yeah and the Eagles backfield is
like the exaggerated version of 

1048
00:56:15,607 --> 00:56:19,200
the Cardinals one where it's 
like not only do we have kind of

1049
00:56:19,200 --> 00:56:22,800
uncertainty there saying you 
know, Howard and Sanders will 

1050
00:56:22,800 --> 00:56:27,000
both be back but like no one is 
necessarily excited about Either

1051
00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:30,700
of these guys know. 
And yeah Charlie points out they

1052
00:56:30,700 --> 00:56:34,900
go mentions mile Sanders is an 
interesting play but I don't 

1053
00:56:34,900 --> 00:56:38,000
think it'll be popular. 
Yeah, just because you're all 

1054
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:40,000
you also have. 
Howard is going to be active for

1055
00:56:40,000 --> 00:56:45,700
this game so yeah, that'll be. 
I think five percent or lower. 

1056
00:56:46,800 --> 00:56:51,000
Yeah. 
All right we are on to 

1057
00:56:51,400 --> 00:56:54,500
Pittsburgh here. 
Another team that everyone is 

1058
00:56:54,500 --> 00:56:59,500
lining up to fade. 
Yeah, I mean you 28 seems crazy.

1059
00:57:01,000 --> 00:57:05,400
Well, so nausea was tough 
because chub came in. 

1060
00:57:05,400 --> 00:57:10,500
Like I said, earlier at 32% 
Dobbins, I think was 26% which 

1061
00:57:10,500 --> 00:57:14,100
seemed like, you know, somewhat 
decent cops but then Acres was 

1062
00:57:14,100 --> 00:57:18,600
10 percent last year, you could 
see that, you know, you could 

1063
00:57:18,600 --> 00:57:23,400
see Nagi like being way over 
projected at 28 percent but no, 

1064
00:57:23,400 --> 00:57:27,000
I don't know, I think I get it, 
I just I can't talk pet up on 

1065
00:57:27,000 --> 00:57:29,400
this a little bit. 
I mean part of the reason I 

1066
00:57:29,408 --> 00:57:32,900
think Pat your initial was like 
We're 20s if I'm not mistaken. 

1067
00:57:32,900 --> 00:57:35,200
Yeah, I think I had like 20 to 
something like that. 

1068
00:57:36,200 --> 00:57:38,500
Part of my thought was number 
one. 

1069
00:57:38,500 --> 00:57:41,500
The running back position is 
light and Harris was a guy who 

1070
00:57:41,500 --> 00:57:44,500
go all the way back to August. 
We were drafting the one to turn

1071
00:57:44,500 --> 00:57:48,000
and he was good enough all year 
that especially late that I 

1072
00:57:48,008 --> 00:57:50,900
think people I mean especially 
the Boomers who don't really 

1073
00:57:50,900 --> 00:57:53,900
look at skill that much like we 
I think looked at Jonathan 

1074
00:57:53,900 --> 00:57:56,100
Taylor a lot differently last 
year because he was such a 

1075
00:57:56,100 --> 00:57:59,300
better Prospect. 
I think people are like, Harris 

1076
00:57:59,300 --> 00:58:00,500
has actually been rushing a 
fish. 

1077
00:58:00,600 --> 00:58:02,400
Gently in the last couple of 
weeks and I think people are 

1078
00:58:02,400 --> 00:58:04,700
like thinking like they're 
talking about him as a top five 

1079
00:58:04,700 --> 00:58:06,800
pick next year. 
The thinking about him similarly

1080
00:58:06,800 --> 00:58:10,700
to Jonathan Taylor at this time 
last year basically which to me 

1081
00:58:10,700 --> 00:58:12,100
seems crazy. 
I think probably the all you 

1082
00:58:12,100 --> 00:58:14,500
guys seems a little bit crazy 
but there's a little bit of 

1083
00:58:14,508 --> 00:58:15,500
that. 
And then the other side of it 

1084
00:58:15,500 --> 00:58:19,500
that I pointed out was that pit 
last year in a loss in the Wild 

1085
00:58:19,500 --> 00:58:21,400
Card round. 
Had that huge shootout and that 

1086
00:58:21,400 --> 00:58:23,700
kind of lingers a little bit. 
I mean all their guys got their 

1087
00:58:23,700 --> 00:58:26,200
Claypool of the two touchdown 
game Juju had the big game, 

1088
00:58:26,200 --> 00:58:31,000
Deonte had a big game they're 
like Hard. 

1089
00:58:31,000 --> 00:58:33,600
I mean I think their faith 
percentages right here but I 

1090
00:58:33,607 --> 00:58:37,200
don't think they'll be like 70% 
faded because they still 

1091
00:58:37,400 --> 00:58:38,600
everything is concentrated. 
People. 

1092
00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:41,600
Love the Harris workload. 
People love the Deonte targets 

1093
00:58:41,600 --> 00:58:43,200
you know? 
Yeah yeah. 

1094
00:58:43,200 --> 00:58:46,200
And to that point. 
So I pasted into point five 

1095
00:58:46,200 --> 00:58:51,500
percent chance of making the 
Super Bowl but I have them. 

1096
00:58:52,000 --> 00:58:55,700
Not that high fated you know 
like compared to I think 

1097
00:58:55,700 --> 00:58:58,600
Washington was the lowest last 
year, 82% faded. 

1098
00:59:00,300 --> 00:59:03,100
So So I think they'll be over, 
played in a sense and if you get

1099
00:59:03,100 --> 00:59:04,300
the shootout, it's not 
overplayed. 

1100
00:59:04,300 --> 00:59:06,100
But they'll definitely be 
overplayed relative to the 

1101
00:59:06,100 --> 00:59:08,200
chances of advancing or making a
big run. 

1102
00:59:09,200 --> 00:59:14,100
Yeah, the other thing too. 
I'm wondering if playing that 

1103
00:59:14,100 --> 00:59:17,600
game as a shootout is going to 
end up being a little bit 

1104
00:59:17,600 --> 00:59:21,100
contrarian, you know, Evan 
mentioned, Deonte in the chat. 

1105
00:59:21,100 --> 00:59:24,800
I kind of like that thought to I
mean, I could totally see like 

1106
00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:28,000
this having The Vibes of the 
Cleveland. 

1107
00:59:28,600 --> 00:59:32,600
Yeah, I definitely rather play 
Deonte Nagi and in the way, this

1108
00:59:32,600 --> 00:59:33,900
game plays. 
What's your take on? 

1109
00:59:33,900 --> 00:59:36,400
Deion's has ownership there 
Dave, do you think that's right?

1110
00:59:37,200 --> 00:59:40,900
I mean to me like I just went I 
just went through and made like 

1111
00:59:40,900 --> 00:59:45,200
a little rough draft team, and 
Deonte was the Steeler that I 

1112
00:59:45,200 --> 00:59:49,000
click through, but I think 
probably in the end, I will just

1113
00:59:49,000 --> 00:59:53,400
not play a Steeler at all like 
it just well, I don't know, it 

1114
00:59:53,400 --> 00:59:56,600
gets it gets kind of clothes 
because you're like, I don't 

1115
00:59:56,600 --> 00:59:59,800
know what I rather fade 
Philadelphia or Pittsburgh, I 

1116
00:59:59,800 --> 01:00:01,200
don't know, it's pretty Close. 
Those are. 

1117
01:00:02,400 --> 01:00:05,500
And I, but I like the Raiders 
more than the sealers, which I 

1118
01:00:05,500 --> 01:00:07,700
think is maybe where I disagree 
with the market. 

1119
01:00:09,000 --> 01:00:12,400
So people the comments here's 
and Pittsburgh defense feels 

1120
01:00:12,400 --> 01:00:14,400
low. 
Charlie's talking about Boswell,

1121
01:00:14,400 --> 01:00:18,900
kicking a bunch of field goals. 
What do you think about the DST 

1122
01:00:18,900 --> 01:00:23,100
and Boswell? 
And do you think people will 

1123
01:00:23,100 --> 01:00:26,100
play those guys instead of 
fading them or ultimately Linen 

1124
01:00:26,100 --> 01:00:29,300
on like Boswell instead of 
clicking Nagi see? 

1125
01:00:29,300 --> 01:00:32,200
I feel like the soft face. 
The Steelers makes no sense 

1126
01:00:32,700 --> 01:00:34,200
because it's kind of what I 
wear. 

1127
01:00:34,200 --> 01:00:36,200
I was here, just gonna get 
there, just going to get boat 

1128
01:00:36,200 --> 01:00:40,300
race like it's not like and and 
so obviously the defense is not 

1129
01:00:40,300 --> 01:00:42,700
going to do anything, getting 
boat raised and you don't go to 

1130
01:00:42,700 --> 01:00:46,800
Arrowhead and kick field goals. 
So it just feels like either you

1131
01:00:46,800 --> 01:00:51,200
play Deonte Nagi or Claypool or 
fryer with or whatever Prime 

1132
01:00:51,200 --> 01:00:54,100
route. 
Maybe I'm like, yeah, I love the

1133
01:00:54,200 --> 01:00:57,800
deal, is probably one of my 
favorite plays seems good, it's 

1134
01:00:57,800 --> 01:01:00,000
mookie has a great point. 
This is the other thing I was 

1135
01:01:00,000 --> 01:01:01,600
saying to you, pal. 
At earlier with this is going to

1136
01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:03,800
be Benson final game of his 
career because they're going to 

1137
01:01:03,800 --> 01:01:05,300
get their ass kicked and then 
they're going to let him throw 

1138
01:01:05,300 --> 01:01:07,900
50 times because they're gonna 
be like you're going to go out 

1139
01:01:07,900 --> 01:01:09,700
case. 
They are they already tried to 

1140
01:01:09,700 --> 01:01:12,400
do this, by the way, they tried 
to do it in his final home game.

1141
01:01:12,400 --> 01:01:16,500
He threw 48 passes and and it 
was really bad. 

1142
01:01:16,500 --> 01:01:19,500
It was such a really 53 for 189 
yards. 

1143
01:01:19,500 --> 01:01:20,900
It's exactly what's going to 
happen. 

1144
01:01:21,600 --> 01:01:24,700
Yeah. 
So so a couple points on the 

1145
01:01:24,700 --> 01:01:28,000
nausea thing. 
Two years ago, Derrick Henry was

1146
01:01:28,000 --> 01:01:32,000
massive chalk and AJ Brown. 
During his breakout rookie 

1147
01:01:32,000 --> 01:01:33,700
season where he was just like 
crushing down. 

1148
01:01:33,700 --> 01:01:39,000
The stretch came in at 6 percent
Jarvis Landry last year came in 

1149
01:01:39,000 --> 01:01:41,400
at 6 percent with Nick Chubb at 
32%. 

1150
01:01:41,700 --> 01:01:47,000
So I think Deonte is a little 
bit different last year. 

1151
01:01:47,800 --> 01:01:51,900
Allen Robinson actually came in 
slightly above David Montgomery.

1152
01:01:51,900 --> 01:01:56,600
Both were in the teens, but I 
feel like sentiment around Nagi 

1153
01:01:56,600 --> 01:02:00,900
is sort of closer to chub than 
David Montgomery last Year. 

1154
01:02:02,500 --> 01:02:04,600
And so I often will be in the 
buddy. 

1155
01:02:04,600 --> 01:02:07,200
I think, but it's sentiment 
around Deonte is a lot closer to

1156
01:02:07,200 --> 01:02:08,800
what a Rob was last year than 
Lantern. 

1157
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:10,600
No one ever wants to play Landry
in anything. 

1158
01:02:10,800 --> 01:02:14,700
Yeah, people people really like,
Dante Johnson, but maybe it's 

1159
01:02:14,700 --> 01:02:17,900
Matt Harvey been a Rob. 
Was, I think it key was like 17 

1160
01:02:17,900 --> 01:02:21,500
or 18 percent last year so this 
is, yeah, this seems right? 

1161
01:02:21,600 --> 01:02:24,400
Yeah. 
Maybe, maybe I'll, maybe I'll go

1162
01:02:24,400 --> 01:02:29,300
17 and 27 but 26. 
This is how the sausage gets 

1163
01:02:29,300 --> 01:02:32,200
made, folks. 
We think about that. 

1164
01:02:33,400 --> 01:02:35,800
Yeah, I mean I still want to 
play the on Deck. 

1165
01:02:36,300 --> 01:02:41,900
All right then I got to high. 
Are we to San Francisco? 

1166
01:02:42,900 --> 01:02:49,000
Yeah, let me get that up. 
This is where we get even 

1167
01:02:49,000 --> 01:02:56,700
entree, Lance. 
Everybody know I'm still. 

1168
01:02:56,700 --> 01:02:59,400
This is how I'm coping. 
I initially had some of the 

1169
01:02:59,400 --> 01:03:02,300
underdog drafts at the very end.
I would take both jibiji and 

1170
01:03:02,300 --> 01:03:05,500
Lance and now I'm finally just 
taking jibiji like, I can't get 

1171
01:03:05,500 --> 01:03:07,600
I can't get hurt like this 
again, Davis. 

1172
01:03:08,300 --> 01:03:15,400
Well, you know, DraftKings has 
20 round playoff estoppel, loved

1173
01:03:15,400 --> 01:03:17,200
it. 
It was like their back. 

1174
01:03:17,300 --> 01:03:19,900
Developer was like, this would 
be too much work to change this 

1175
01:03:19,900 --> 01:03:21,700
copy and pasted, they just kept 
it. 

1176
01:03:21,700 --> 01:03:27,500
They had to of so ridiculous. 
San Francisco's fun though, for 

1177
01:03:27,500 --> 01:03:30,600
this contest, you like Mitchell.
Feed it to me, bro. 

1178
01:03:31,000 --> 01:03:33,800
Beall aye. 
Mitchell is just stoned smash 

1179
01:03:33,800 --> 01:03:36,800
here. 
Well so you and Mitchell is 

1180
01:03:36,808 --> 01:03:41,800
interesting because you can play
this is you know a shootout but 

1181
01:03:41,800 --> 01:03:43,800
San Francisco. 
I think it's not going to be 

1182
01:03:44,100 --> 01:03:47,200
like super popular to beat 
Dallas in the show yesterday. 

1183
01:03:47,400 --> 01:03:50,600
Dallas D and people are like you
know wow that's really contrary 

1184
01:03:50,600 --> 01:03:52,900
and nobody maybe it's contrary 
because you brothers played as a

1185
01:03:52,900 --> 01:03:55,900
shootout but San Francisco only 
8% chance to make the Super 

1186
01:03:55,900 --> 01:03:59,600
Bowl. 
So my guess is that people are 

1187
01:03:59,600 --> 01:04:02,300
going to be more interested in 
Debo and Kettle because you're 

1188
01:04:02,300 --> 01:04:07,100
looking at like a to run the to 
game Run is, you know, most 

1189
01:04:07,100 --> 01:04:10,000
realistic one game Run is most 
realistic but but, you know, 

1190
01:04:10,500 --> 01:04:14,700
probably not three. 
That was my thinking and having 

1191
01:04:14,700 --> 01:04:22,600
Mitchell down 11%, yeah, I'm 
trying to get in the mind of You

1192
01:04:22,600 --> 01:04:26,300
know, kid'll. 
He had those that explosion 

1193
01:04:26,300 --> 01:04:31,400
game, I guess Eli Mitchell 
hasn't been at where his highs 

1194
01:04:31,400 --> 01:04:33,500
were. 
I just for me, I feel like the 

1195
01:04:33,500 --> 01:04:36,600
field will be more excited about
Mitchell compared to kid'll, but

1196
01:04:36,600 --> 01:04:40,100
I don't know. 
But kittel fulfills the the 

1197
01:04:40,100 --> 01:04:42,800
tight end stuff and people will 
play in some and flex, the 

1198
01:04:42,800 --> 01:04:45,600
double tight end. 
Well, I don't know. 

1199
01:04:45,600 --> 01:04:47,900
People love Debo. 
I wonder if Tebow will be a 

1200
01:04:47,900 --> 01:04:50,400
little bit more and and gold a 
little bit less. 

1201
01:04:52,200 --> 01:04:55,500
Yeah, the few need to fade 
somehow and I feel like, I don't

1202
01:04:55,500 --> 01:04:57,600
think you're going to get a ton 
of just straight fade. 

1203
01:04:57,800 --> 01:05:00,700
That's why I have gold and the d
a little bit higher than it. 

1204
01:05:00,700 --> 01:05:03,900
Probably feels comfortable, but 
I don't know, maybe people just 

1205
01:05:03,900 --> 01:05:06,500
don't fade San Francisco. 
Although, if you look at the, 

1206
01:05:06,500 --> 01:05:08,600
that's what I was thinking. 
I don't, I don't think San 

1207
01:05:08,600 --> 01:05:11,000
Francisco is a good faith, at 
all, because plenty of their 

1208
01:05:11,000 --> 01:05:15,000
guys can get there in a loss and
I think they're drawing Fairly 

1209
01:05:15,000 --> 01:05:18,600
live to be Dallas. 
I have them like relatively 

1210
01:05:18,600 --> 01:05:21,300
chances going to Super Bowl. 
I have them is like By far the 

1211
01:05:21,300 --> 01:05:23,000
lowest fee. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

1212
01:05:23,000 --> 01:05:26,900
So I have a baked into a degree 
but it's like I don't want to 

1213
01:05:27,000 --> 01:05:31,200
necessarily project them for, 
you know, only like 35% faded, 

1214
01:05:32,400 --> 01:05:35,300
you know, just given that a lot 
of people, I assume would pick 

1215
01:05:35,300 --> 01:05:38,100
them to lose this game. 
Sure, that makes yeah. 

1216
01:05:41,100 --> 01:05:43,000
All right. 
Well you guys are thinking like 

1217
01:05:43,000 --> 01:05:47,300
I don't know maybe if we did 
like kittel 18 I think it's like

1218
01:05:47,300 --> 01:05:50,200
this is one of the spots where 
the market Works irrational. 

1219
01:05:50,400 --> 01:05:52,000
Like the market is not going to 
rationally. 

1220
01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:54,400
Treat the 49ers like a team 
that's going to have to go on 

1221
01:05:54,400 --> 01:05:57,100
the road for all these games or 
whatever. 

1222
01:05:57,100 --> 01:05:59,300
Like they're just going to be 
like these guys squeal? 

1223
01:05:59,300 --> 01:06:01,300
Yeah, yeah. 
All right. 

1224
01:06:01,300 --> 01:06:03,400
I'm going to lower the total 
Fades on San Francisco. 

1225
01:06:03,400 --> 01:06:05,600
I think is one way because I 
it's tough for me to think 

1226
01:06:05,600 --> 01:06:08,400
Kittles below like 18, that 
feels like kind of the floor for

1227
01:06:08,400 --> 01:06:10,700
him. 
I mean it's George kettle. 

1228
01:06:11,200 --> 01:06:14,800
And he had like, a gigantic game
a couple weeks ago and and same 

1229
01:06:14,800 --> 01:06:17,700
thing for Debo. 
Like, it's Devo, Devo was right 

1230
01:06:18,200 --> 01:06:22,100
Debo is like one of the like him
and cup or like the too big like

1231
01:06:22,400 --> 01:06:23,900
guys. 
You had to have to win money 

1232
01:06:23,900 --> 01:06:25,800
this year. 
Yeah, yeah. 

1233
01:06:25,800 --> 01:06:31,000
The one thing I kind of agree 
that maybe even SFA comes in a 

1234
01:06:31,000 --> 01:06:35,100
little lower just because people
are going to want pieces of this

1235
01:06:35,100 --> 01:06:37,100
game. 
I think it'll feel comfy for 

1236
01:06:37,100 --> 01:06:39,400
people to kind of hedge. 
Like oh what if this is a 

1237
01:06:39,400 --> 01:06:42,200
shootout and the I know Joe and 
all, that's a great point 

1238
01:06:42,200 --> 01:06:45,200
because it is More likely want 
to win. 

1239
01:06:45,200 --> 01:06:48,400
Its Davis is Raiders point where
that line is closer than the 

1240
01:06:48,400 --> 01:06:50,700
Raiders are getting played. 
But in this case, like people 

1241
01:06:50,700 --> 01:06:53,400
are excited about San Fran's 
offense and San Fran can win. 

1242
01:06:54,300 --> 01:06:55,700
So we're going to play both 
sides of it. 

1243
01:06:57,000 --> 01:06:57,900
Yep. 
All right. 

1244
01:06:58,100 --> 01:07:00,200
Well let's see it's like tough 
because then they're you know, 

1245
01:07:00,200 --> 01:07:02,200
there's some other spots where 
we talked about the fates being 

1246
01:07:02,200 --> 01:07:06,300
really high but this is why it's
good San Francisco like San 

1247
01:07:06,300 --> 01:07:10,400
Francisco should be probably 55 
percent faded just based on you 

1248
01:07:10,408 --> 01:07:14,000
know around 50 to 55 percent 
based on their eight percent 

1249
01:07:14,000 --> 01:07:14,700
chance. 
Makes you both. 

1250
01:07:14,700 --> 01:07:17,900
There it sounds like we're going
to have them at like below 40% 

1251
01:07:17,900 --> 01:07:20,200
for sure. 
So that pushes up but I mean 

1252
01:07:20,200 --> 01:07:23,100
just think about making a team 
like are you going to fade 49ers

1253
01:07:23,100 --> 01:07:27,700
on any team you make? 
But Pat, they have the closest 

1254
01:07:27,700 --> 01:07:31,200
line of the wild-card rounds of 
any Underdog. 

1255
01:07:31,200 --> 01:07:33,600
So you're looking for sister 
chance to make the super make 

1256
01:07:33,600 --> 01:07:37,100
The Chainsmokers Super Bowl. 
Yeah, the Super Bowl stuff is is

1257
01:07:37,100 --> 01:07:42,400
the way it is because they are 
to go on the road against much 

1258
01:07:42,400 --> 01:07:45,500
but like, really good teams, but
yeah, but the fade percentage is

1259
01:07:45,500 --> 01:07:47,000
more about. 
Can they just play a second 

1260
01:07:47,000 --> 01:07:48,100
game, really? 
Right? 

1261
01:07:48,100 --> 01:07:50,400
If they play two games are 
probably you don't want to 

1262
01:07:50,400 --> 01:07:51,000
fight. 
Yeah. 

1263
01:07:51,400 --> 01:07:53,000
You don't want to pay them. 
Yeah, that's a good point. 

1264
01:07:53,400 --> 01:08:04,600
That's good point. all right, we
are on to what Tampa Tampa's 

1265
01:08:04,600 --> 01:08:09,900
really interesting team. 
So for next popping in the 

1266
01:08:09,900 --> 01:08:11,800
projections, looks a couple of 
different projections. 

1267
01:08:11,800 --> 01:08:15,200
He's coming as like the play of 
the tournament. 

1268
01:08:15,300 --> 01:08:20,000
On ETR means that the 
highest-ranked guy overall, but 

1269
01:08:20,000 --> 01:08:22,000
I think Gronk is an awesome play
and then Evans is an awesome 

1270
01:08:22,000 --> 01:08:24,300
place. 
So I actually wonder if maybe 

1271
01:08:24,300 --> 01:08:28,000
Brady needs to come down to get 
some more drunken Evans in, but 

1272
01:08:29,399 --> 01:08:31,100
it probably will, because I'm 
going to have my home's coming 

1273
01:08:31,100 --> 01:08:33,800
up. 
But yeah, I didn't necessarily 

1274
01:08:33,800 --> 01:08:36,000
think that I would have for I 
thought but I thought about 

1275
01:08:36,000 --> 01:08:38,399
Gronk Being the chalk. 
But again, this running back 

1276
01:08:38,399 --> 01:08:41,600
stuff and the projections, I 
think it's going to be for net. 

1277
01:08:43,600 --> 01:08:47,300
I do agree that they're going, 
people are going to play it 

1278
01:08:47,300 --> 01:08:50,700
through these big three. 
It's now kind of a condensed 

1279
01:08:50,899 --> 01:08:55,300
offense and sentiment on Brady 
is pretty low after. 

1280
01:08:55,300 --> 01:08:57,600
After this finish these past 
couple weeks. 

1281
01:08:59,700 --> 01:09:02,000
Where do you guys think? 
Because Eric mentioning, you 

1282
01:09:02,000 --> 01:09:04,200
know, didn't expect to see Lenny
that high after missing that 

1283
01:09:04,200 --> 01:09:07,500
many weeks and we'll get to 
that. 

1284
01:09:07,500 --> 01:09:09,300
That will be interesting. 
I think. 

1285
01:09:10,000 --> 01:09:12,500
But it's a real test of the 
projection. 

1286
01:09:12,500 --> 01:09:14,399
Like how much are people leaning
on projections? 

1287
01:09:14,399 --> 01:09:17,200
Because I think basically any 
projections that you look at are

1288
01:09:17,200 --> 01:09:24,200
going to have Lenny very high. 
Yeah I think that as long as we 

1289
01:09:24,200 --> 01:09:27,899
get, you know what, you know, 
Leonard fournette, full 

1290
01:09:27,899 --> 01:09:31,200
practice, Bruce Arians says ago 
you know Lombardi Lenny, he 

1291
01:09:31,200 --> 01:09:35,600
feels great. 
We just get we get one positive,

1292
01:09:35,600 --> 01:09:38,800
NBC Sports, Edge blur or on on 
Leonard fournette? 

1293
01:09:38,800 --> 01:09:42,100
Availability. 
I think he's Tom. 

1294
01:09:42,100 --> 01:09:46,600
Brady looks so low to me, really
looks little ready. 

1295
01:09:47,100 --> 01:09:50,000
I mean, maybe not low in terms 
of how he's projected, but just 

1296
01:09:50,000 --> 01:09:54,700
low in terms of like He's Tampa,
Tommy's for Rings, Tommy, this 

1297
01:09:54,700 --> 01:09:56,900
guy at the skis going to, he's 
gonna get four games, he's gonna

1298
01:09:56,900 --> 01:10:00,600
win the Super Bowl and rightly 
so, recent last year for really 

1299
01:10:00,600 --> 01:10:02,900
10% last ourselves. 
How many Super Bowls? 

1300
01:10:03,200 --> 01:10:06,900
Yeah. 
Yeah, he's got six, right? 

1301
01:10:07,400 --> 01:10:12,500
Yeah, it's definitely got more. 
I just think now losing both 

1302
01:10:12,500 --> 01:10:14,200
those guys. 
Like if you would have just lost

1303
01:10:14,200 --> 01:10:17,200
one of a b or Godwin. 
No, I think that would have been

1304
01:10:17,200 --> 01:10:20,000
ready to ride with Brady and I 
think people are spooked and 

1305
01:10:20,000 --> 01:10:24,000
they're like, why take the risk?
I can just get Bel cowl any 

1306
01:10:24,500 --> 01:10:28,200
Gronk tied in premium or Evans, 
Alpha wide receiver, and I knew 

1307
01:10:28,200 --> 01:10:30,800
this guy who even played Cyril, 
Grayson in cash last year. 

1308
01:10:31,000 --> 01:10:34,700
So we've moved on cash week is 
over. 

1309
01:10:38,600 --> 01:10:41,600
Yeah, I was even seeing some, 
like, stuff on tampabay Twitter.

1310
01:10:41,600 --> 01:10:44,100
There were like, you know, least
we got our Super Bowl last year 

1311
01:10:44,200 --> 01:10:47,100
they like that? 
Yes. 

1312
01:10:48,400 --> 01:10:50,200
Revising. 
The old days, we used to grind 

1313
01:10:50,200 --> 01:10:52,300
the Tampa Bay pod. 
Yes, sir. 

1314
01:10:52,300 --> 01:10:54,600
Yeah when you would when he 
would be listening to the Pewter

1315
01:10:54,600 --> 01:10:58,900
Report podcast for Road jealous,
hate it at mannputer report 

1316
01:10:58,900 --> 01:11:02,200
always here. 
I think that was a universally 

1317
01:11:02,200 --> 01:11:05,200
held opinion in Tampa Bay. 
It was specially Peter Report 

1318
01:11:06,400 --> 01:11:11,600
are more open-minded on Titans 
Titans to close it out. 

1319
01:11:11,800 --> 01:11:15,700
Hear ye hear, ye hear, ye hear 
ye, let's make all of our money 

1320
01:11:15,700 --> 01:11:20,500
on AJ Brown. 
So, this is another one where 

1321
01:11:21,000 --> 01:11:25,000
Derrick Henry is. 
A leap of faith but I think I 

1322
01:11:25,000 --> 01:11:29,000
could need to change this one. 
Can like in a major way as the 

1323
01:11:29,000 --> 01:11:33,300
week goes on. 
Like this could flip because so 

1324
01:11:33,300 --> 01:11:35,200
far. 
Projections aren't that bullish 

1325
01:11:35,200 --> 01:11:38,100
on Henry? 
I think they they we need more 

1326
01:11:38,100 --> 01:11:41,100
than just like one nice news 
report about Henry for this to 

1327
01:11:41,100 --> 01:11:43,500
hold. 
So this could yeah, very easily 

1328
01:11:43,500 --> 01:11:46,400
flip but I think but we're not 
going to get any information on 

1329
01:11:46,400 --> 01:11:49,900
them because they're on a body. 
Yeah, I guess so. 

1330
01:11:49,900 --> 01:11:50,500
That crew. 
Good. 

1331
01:11:50,500 --> 01:11:53,300
That's a good point. 
Yeah, all right, well then 

1332
01:11:53,300 --> 01:11:56,800
maybe, I, maybe I need to get 
this, like, cool here, but this 

1333
01:11:56,800 --> 01:12:00,800
is, you know, Unstoppable Force 
meets an immovable object 

1334
01:12:00,800 --> 01:12:05,300
because people are very excited 
to line up to play. 

1335
01:12:05,300 --> 01:12:08,400
Derrick Henry, like again, 
Underdog, he's the number one. 

1336
01:12:08,400 --> 01:12:11,300
Running back off the board in 
those drafts. 

1337
01:12:11,300 --> 01:12:13,600
He's going in the beginning of 
the second round. 

1338
01:12:13,600 --> 01:12:16,600
Now, like to me, it seems like 
people are just banking on the 

1339
01:12:16,600 --> 01:12:18,400
fact that he's back and ready to
rock. 

1340
01:12:18,500 --> 01:12:19,800
I think. 
I think the fact that we're not 

1341
01:12:19,800 --> 01:12:22,000
going to get any news this week 
actually works to keep his 

1342
01:12:22,500 --> 01:12:24,600
ownership up. 
Like there's not going to no 

1343
01:12:24,600 --> 01:12:25,900
one's going to think there's 
anything wrong, they're just 

1344
01:12:25,900 --> 01:12:27,400
going to be assuming that next 
week. 

1345
01:12:27,400 --> 01:12:28,800
It's all going to be good to go.
Okay. 

1346
01:12:28,800 --> 01:12:31,900
So I have a question, who is 
Tennessee most likely to play 

1347
01:12:33,200 --> 01:12:35,500
Cincy? 
Yes, in see. 

1348
01:12:36,400 --> 01:12:40,700
Yes, yeah, because 23 would be 
Casey bills and then 1/4 would 

1349
01:12:40,700 --> 01:12:43,600
be Tennessee, bangle. 
How did they get? 

1350
01:12:43,600 --> 01:12:45,800
If they get, they could get the 
Patriots. 

1351
01:12:46,500 --> 01:12:48,800
If, if the page was when that it
would be. 

1352
01:12:49,000 --> 01:12:50,700
Be Bangles KC, which would be 
someone. 

1353
01:12:50,700 --> 01:12:52,900
Someone talked me out of 
Tennessee is the fade. 

1354
01:12:54,400 --> 01:12:56,400
I'm David kitchen. 
That was one of the first things

1355
01:12:56,400 --> 01:12:59,800
I said to these guys, this week 
is, like low-key a by team would

1356
01:12:59,800 --> 01:13:03,900
be a really interesting Faith. 
So anyway, guys are worth even 

1357
01:13:03,900 --> 01:13:08,100
believe Tennessee deserves to 
get the by like even even 

1358
01:13:08,100 --> 01:13:10,000
Tennessee. 
Titans are like, we should give 

1359
01:13:10,000 --> 01:13:17,000
it to Kansas City. 
I think the thing with the if 

1360
01:13:17,000 --> 01:13:22,000
this holds And AJ Brown is your 
is your Tennessee fade. 

1361
01:13:22,100 --> 01:13:24,100
Oh, right? 
Yeah, he's just a smash. 

1362
01:13:24,400 --> 01:13:27,000
Yeah, you're hoping you get 
Cincy and round two since he 

1363
01:13:27,000 --> 01:13:30,000
beats them, but Brown goes off, 
but they can definitely lose in 

1364
01:13:30,000 --> 01:13:33,000
a way where Henry's not 
particularly healthy doesn't 

1365
01:13:33,000 --> 01:13:36,200
perform well obviously but then 
also, you know, Brown doesn't 

1366
01:13:36,200 --> 01:13:38,400
necessarily have a big game, 
right? 

1367
01:13:38,400 --> 01:13:40,200
They can't we know that. 
Yeah, they totally can. 

1368
01:13:41,200 --> 01:13:44,700
Yeah, and maybe I'm light on the
Fades, but again, the by teams 

1369
01:13:44,700 --> 01:13:47,700
just weren't faded last year, 
maybe people feel differently 

1370
01:13:47,700 --> 01:13:50,800
about Tennessee. 
But I don't know. 

1371
01:13:50,800 --> 01:13:54,000
I mean, I think Henry's going to
be like Henry's very popular and

1372
01:13:54,000 --> 01:13:55,500
then we're excited to play AJ 
Brown. 

1373
01:13:55,500 --> 01:13:58,900
So who's who's actually, like, 
no, you're not actually gonna 

1374
01:13:58,900 --> 01:14:01,200
fade. 
I'm not actually gonna fade 

1375
01:14:01,600 --> 01:14:04,100
them, but they are. 
That's gonna I feel we could 

1376
01:14:04,100 --> 01:14:05,600
talk about it, but we won't do 
it. 

1377
01:14:05,600 --> 01:14:08,500
Well, maybe if New England wins,
that's the one I'll say. 

1378
01:14:08,500 --> 01:14:11,300
If you play New England to win a
New England, Tennessee, round to

1379
01:14:11,300 --> 01:14:15,900
game that game, I would want to 
be overweight on Tennessee 

1380
01:14:15,900 --> 01:14:17,500
faded, give New England was able
to beat them. 

1381
01:14:17,500 --> 01:14:19,400
Like, that's going to be a Slow 
shit. 

1382
01:14:19,400 --> 01:14:22,300
Yeah, that's get that keeps 
sucking suck. 

1383
01:14:22,800 --> 01:14:25,300
Yeah and I think that's 
something. 

1384
01:14:25,300 --> 01:14:28,100
Did you guys just put a Titans 
Patriots game out into the 

1385
01:14:28,100 --> 01:14:30,000
ether? 
It's Pockets. 

1386
01:14:30,400 --> 01:14:32,000
I mean, it's not that 
far-fetched. 

1387
01:14:32,000 --> 01:14:35,000
David literally, why would they 
ruin our play off that wagon? 

1388
01:14:38,100 --> 01:14:40,000
You just talked about the 
Bangles losing. 

1389
01:14:40,300 --> 01:14:43,200
So, oh, man. 
If we get Raiders and Patriots 

1390
01:14:43,200 --> 01:14:46,500
advancing after round one, Oh my
God. 

1391
01:14:46,600 --> 01:14:48,700
You're gonna run the ball 
hundred times in that game. 

1392
01:14:50,800 --> 01:14:55,100
Yeah. 
I I can't see much past the the 

1393
01:14:55,100 --> 01:14:58,200
Henry Brown fade. 
Like I mean, what sickos, 

1394
01:14:58,200 --> 01:15:00,700
clicking Julio Jones have you 
just Leone making a line up on 

1395
01:15:00,700 --> 01:15:04,200
his own so he can just put 
leonean mr. 

1396
01:15:04,200 --> 01:15:07,200
Leone specifically. 
I figured so we have any we 

1397
01:15:07,200 --> 01:15:10,400
don't be as doing Leone's doing 
one in the 200 and he's like I 

1398
01:15:10,400 --> 01:15:14,000
don't care. 
I'm playing Tyler boys and truly

1399
01:15:14,000 --> 01:15:18,600
jig reads it, huh? 
Other jobs the geriatric build. 

1400
01:15:20,300 --> 01:15:23,600
Yeah, I mean, I guess the only 
other if we want to get into 

1401
01:15:23,600 --> 01:15:27,000
galaxies brain territory here, 
like Davis mentioned with like 

1402
01:15:27,000 --> 01:15:30,100
The Parlour door, the AJ Dylan 
play of like orbit and Derrick 

1403
01:15:30,100 --> 01:15:34,100
Henry just isn't ready and it's 
down to Foreman at, you know 

1404
01:15:34,100 --> 01:15:35,400
what I mean? 
It's like a foot injury. 

1405
01:15:35,400 --> 01:15:38,600
Unlike a 250-pound man. 
Like, I can certainly see him 

1406
01:15:38,600 --> 01:15:43,800
not being good to go. 
Yeah, I mean maybe maybe I 

1407
01:15:43,800 --> 01:15:46,700
should just include Foreman just
to I have Galley. 

1408
01:15:46,700 --> 01:15:49,600
I've tossed form in in in, in 
the 10th round of the underdog 

1409
01:15:49,600 --> 01:15:56,700
ones, okay? 
Yeah yeah and I don't know maybe

1410
01:15:56,700 --> 01:15:59,400
there maybe there is a little 
bit more Tennessee fade. 

1411
01:16:00,200 --> 01:16:03,400
Yeah now do you think people if 
people do fate Tennessee do they

1412
01:16:03,400 --> 01:16:05,500
play? 
That is as Bullock or do they 

1413
01:16:05,500 --> 01:16:08,000
played as a straight fade? 
There's a lot of kicker options.

1414
01:16:08,200 --> 01:16:11,600
I feel like they might just 
straight feet up if people if 

1415
01:16:11,600 --> 01:16:14,900
people knew or we're projecting 
the Patriots ago, I think people

1416
01:16:14,900 --> 01:16:20,900
will be excited to play 
Tennessee as the defense but I 

1417
01:16:20,900 --> 01:16:23,200
guess I guess people should be 
more excited, right? 

1418
01:16:23,200 --> 01:16:26,100
Because if the Bills win in the 
Bangles like Tennessee at home 

1419
01:16:26,100 --> 01:16:28,400
versus The Bangles, that's a 
nice defensive spot for 

1420
01:16:28,400 --> 01:16:31,200
Tennessee there too. 
Yeah, that's true. 

1421
01:16:33,000 --> 01:16:34,800
Yeah, maybe Tennessee defense 
will catch them. 

1422
01:16:35,600 --> 01:16:38,800
I'm just trying to think out 
through people actually fading 

1423
01:16:38,800 --> 01:16:41,700
them which is like this is 
higher relative to where they 

1424
01:16:41,700 --> 01:16:43,300
were last. 
Like five percent is actually 

1425
01:16:43,300 --> 01:16:46,800
pretty high for a team of the by
but we'll also Pat I think it'd 

1426
01:16:46,800 --> 01:16:50,200
be directly correlated if we 
somehow get more some 

1427
01:16:50,200 --> 01:16:52,900
uncertainty around Henry or just
something that isn't super 

1428
01:16:52,900 --> 01:16:54,600
bullish. 
Like you just pull away from 

1429
01:16:54,600 --> 01:16:57,500
Henry to fade because the 
boomers are going to be like I'm

1430
01:16:57,500 --> 01:17:00,300
either playing Derek Henry or 
I'm not touching this Godfrey. 

1431
01:17:00,300 --> 01:17:01,100
Say yeah. 
That's right. 

1432
01:17:01,100 --> 01:17:05,100
That's right. 
That's a boomer. 

1433
01:17:05,800 --> 01:17:08,200
Do not love AJ Brown. 
The way we do Jimmy Derrick 

1434
01:17:08,200 --> 01:17:09,700
Henry here. 
Give me death. 

1435
01:17:10,500 --> 01:17:12,600
It is funny that the Boomers 
don't love AJ Brown because he's

1436
01:17:12,600 --> 01:17:16,400
a massive Target hog. 
Like he kind of fits. 

1437
01:17:16,500 --> 01:17:18,300
You just would not understand, 
dude. 

1438
01:17:19,500 --> 01:17:22,100
You don't get it. 
I don't get it. 

1439
01:17:22,300 --> 01:17:24,700
That's what I'm saying. 
It's too flashy, dude. 

1440
01:17:24,700 --> 01:17:27,000
He's too flashy with the Gucci 
headbands. 

1441
01:17:28,400 --> 01:17:30,500
Huh? 
Yeah, because you're right Adams

1442
01:17:30,500 --> 01:17:33,000
isn't really, that flashy Adams 
has a whole thing about Justin. 

1443
01:17:33,000 --> 01:17:35,500
Rouse don't do these drills 
don't post on Instagram, just 

1444
01:17:35,700 --> 01:17:37,800
Routes. 
That's a boomer take. 

1445
01:17:38,100 --> 01:17:40,900
I saw, I saw a great Boomer 
thing with Davante Adams. 

1446
01:17:40,900 --> 01:17:43,600
The other day, the Packers beat 
writers were praising him 

1447
01:17:43,600 --> 01:17:47,900
because he was on his phone 
during, you know, meet 

1448
01:17:47,900 --> 01:17:50,000
availability or whatever. 
And people were like, oh, you 

1449
01:17:50,000 --> 01:17:53,500
know, he's being an asshole and 
he was bringing up game film to 

1450
01:17:53,500 --> 01:17:56,400
show them like a route Concepts 
to the Boomers were like, oh my 

1451
01:17:56,400 --> 01:17:57,500
God. 
Davante Adams. 

1452
01:17:57,500 --> 01:18:01,000
He is just a Football Genius. 
He's just and I'm just like, I 

1453
01:18:01,000 --> 01:18:03,500
hate, I guess that's cool that 
he did that, but I hate all of 

1454
01:18:03,500 --> 01:18:05,500
you so much. 
Yeah. 

1455
01:18:05,600 --> 01:18:07,500
Yeah, to be clear. 
I like to watch a Adams and I 

1456
01:18:07,508 --> 01:18:09,600
like that he runs a lot of 
routes and he got, I mean, talk 

1457
01:18:09,600 --> 01:18:11,100
about a guy that like revive his
career. 

1458
01:18:11,100 --> 01:18:13,900
He was he almost had like the 
nikhil Harry washout. 

1459
01:18:13,900 --> 01:18:15,100
It was, it was looking pretty 
bad. 

1460
01:18:15,100 --> 01:18:17,900
There's Heaven. 
He became the best weapon 

1461
01:18:18,400 --> 01:18:20,400
people. 
Forget, people forget that. 

1462
01:18:20,600 --> 01:18:22,500
So, just remember that. 
The next time you're making fun 

1463
01:18:22,500 --> 01:18:23,800
of my McCall. 
Hardman bags. 

1464
01:18:23,900 --> 01:18:26,100
Could be the next Beyoncé, atoms
or Lavista. 

1465
01:18:26,200 --> 01:18:28,100
You watch yourself. 
Watch yourself out there, 

1466
01:18:28,900 --> 01:18:32,000
honestly, actually very similar,
please. 

1467
01:18:32,000 --> 01:18:38,300
No, I can't do this right now. 
Let us he'll let us know. 

1468
01:18:40,400 --> 01:18:44,200
Let's do the Pac-12 early, 
declares. 

1469
01:18:44,200 --> 01:18:48,000
That's all I'm saying, Pete. 
Yeah, Adams was Fresno State but

1470
01:18:48,000 --> 01:18:49,900
still very similar. 
I will give you that. 

1471
01:18:50,000 --> 01:18:51,500
Is it Christmas Day in the 
Pac-12? 

1472
01:18:51,500 --> 01:18:54,600
Or that's Matt, he's Mac. 
I was going to say. 

1473
01:18:54,600 --> 01:18:56,900
Imagine thinking I know which 
conference is players went to, 

1474
01:18:56,900 --> 01:19:01,000
but Davis doesn't know either. 
I didn't know either is one of 

1475
01:19:01,000 --> 01:19:03,800
those Midwest guys, that just 
doesn't even think the Pac-12 

1476
01:19:03,800 --> 01:19:05,500
exist. 
See that hockey helmet over my 

1477
01:19:05,500 --> 01:19:08,400
shoulder? 
Here is a legitimate power, five

1478
01:19:08,400 --> 01:19:11,300
conference buddy, it doesn't 
even exist. 

1479
01:19:11,300 --> 01:19:14,500
Come on, oh God, here we go. 
Okay Boomer. 

1480
01:19:15,500 --> 01:19:17,700
All right, Davis, you're a guest
of honor. 

1481
01:19:18,000 --> 01:19:20,300
We built a lineup with Daigle. 
I think we're going to keep this

1482
01:19:20,300 --> 01:19:22,500
tradition going at the end of 
each of our shows this week. 

1483
01:19:22,500 --> 01:19:25,000
Who do you want? 
Well I said, Patrick Mahomes was

1484
01:19:25,000 --> 01:19:28,400
the best play in the entire 
tournament so I will take 

1485
01:19:28,400 --> 01:19:32,600
Patrick Mahomes. 
I Mahomes grass. 

1486
01:19:32,600 --> 01:19:35,100
You're up next. 
I'll take, Deonte, I was excited

1487
01:19:35,100 --> 01:19:36,400
about that. 
If we're talking, Owen taking my

1488
01:19:36,400 --> 01:19:38,400
homes, will go a shootout, round
one. 

1489
01:19:38,400 --> 01:19:41,300
That's a good idea. 
I'm on board. 

1490
01:19:43,400 --> 01:19:46,100
Where are you, Deonte, he's 
running to Tariq there the 

1491
01:19:46,100 --> 01:19:49,500
grass. 
Okay, there we go, Pat your 

1492
01:19:49,500 --> 01:19:56,800
turn. 
I kind of just feel like, let's 

1493
01:19:56,800 --> 01:19:57,900
go. 
Let's go Gronk. 

1494
01:20:00,300 --> 01:20:02,900
This is a, this is a 100% 
overlap with the team. 

1495
01:20:02,900 --> 01:20:07,100
I just built what we were going 
through this thus far, I want to

1496
01:20:07,100 --> 01:20:09,300
do after seeing that those 
percentages. 

1497
01:20:09,300 --> 01:20:11,100
I want to. 
I want to play the Eli Mitchell,

1498
01:20:12,000 --> 01:20:13,800
still 100% overlap with the 
team. 

1499
01:20:13,800 --> 01:20:16,000
I just built. 
This is good. 

1500
01:20:16,000 --> 01:20:19,500
I think Pete's 100% in selecting
you like Mitchell and in these 

1501
01:20:19,500 --> 01:20:23,600
steel. 
Did I play it? 

1502
01:20:23,600 --> 01:20:25,400
I do Pat. 
I've like, it's my DFS. 

1503
01:20:25,400 --> 01:20:28,500
They were, I've already done the
Men in Black erase, my brain, 

1504
01:20:28,500 --> 01:20:31,800
for whatever we can. 
I remember, we had him in that 

1505
01:20:31,800 --> 01:20:34,300
lineup. 
I'm pretty sure so, okay, 

1506
01:20:34,300 --> 01:20:36,000
because it was against Dallas D.
You're right. 

1507
01:20:36,000 --> 01:20:36,900
You're right. 
Yeah. 

1508
01:20:37,400 --> 01:20:38,400
All right. 
Whatever it is. 

1509
01:20:38,400 --> 01:20:39,800
What it is. 
It can't change it now. 

1510
01:20:40,800 --> 01:20:42,100
All right. 
Back to, I think, I just thought

1511
01:20:42,100 --> 01:20:45,700
it was interesting or not, I had
to Gronk. 

1512
01:20:46,200 --> 01:20:50,700
I will take T Higgins. 
I was going to take D Higgins, 

1513
01:20:50,700 --> 01:20:52,300
when I took Rock. 
I thought about it. 

1514
01:20:52,700 --> 01:20:54,300
I think she Higgins is really 
interesting. 

1515
01:20:54,300 --> 01:20:56,200
I think he's going to, its kind 
of the squeeze that we talked 

1516
01:20:56,200 --> 01:21:00,000
about in DFS like How does t? 
Higgins get steamed? 

1517
01:21:00,000 --> 01:21:03,800
How how exactly will just take 
Chase? 

1518
01:21:04,300 --> 01:21:06,000
They will. 
All right Gretch. 

1519
01:21:15,300 --> 01:21:18,100
I feel like we're barreling 
towards the Derrick Henry deep. 

1520
01:21:18,900 --> 01:21:28,700
Oh no, no, no, stop. 
Gratitude, I'm being taken to, 

1521
01:21:28,700 --> 01:21:32,100
you're not probably playing for 
the Bengals to make a super Deep

1522
01:21:32,100 --> 01:21:33,900
Run. 
We already have Mahomes out of 

1523
01:21:33,900 --> 01:21:37,100
the, the AFC, but that doesn't 
go through Tennessee. 

1524
01:21:39,200 --> 01:21:42,400
How do we get away from it? 
I think he got Works in either 

1525
01:21:42,400 --> 01:21:44,800
scenario win or a loss. 
You could get this bike game. 

1526
01:21:44,800 --> 01:21:50,300
Yeah, it doesn't matter. 
Yeah, I mean he does but over 

1527
01:21:50,300 --> 01:21:53,100
multiple games I think like 
mixing gets more interesting. 

1528
01:21:53,100 --> 01:21:55,900
And yeah. 
I mean we don't have to play any

1529
01:21:55,900 --> 01:21:58,000
but they're like, where I feel 
like we're leaning towards 

1530
01:21:58,000 --> 01:22:00,300
Titans, wonder, why would we not
play AJ Brown? 

1531
01:22:01,200 --> 01:22:04,900
Yeah, we can I didn't want to 
make your pick for you. 

1532
01:22:04,900 --> 01:22:11,000
I'll but I was I will take Damn,
I'm looking at the bracket like 

1533
01:22:11,000 --> 01:22:13,700
what games do we have right now?
We have Tampa. 

1534
01:22:14,700 --> 01:22:17,800
I mean, I like talking that 
intersect obvious picks at this 

1535
01:22:17,800 --> 01:22:22,000
point already. 
I'll just take up again. 

1536
01:22:22,000 --> 01:22:23,600
I'm just going to do this at 
every show a lot. 

1537
01:22:24,400 --> 01:22:27,400
I love it. 
This is no one. 

1538
01:22:27,400 --> 01:22:30,100
And no one can fault you. 
You are completely immune from 

1539
01:22:30,100 --> 01:22:34,100
criticism. 
Pat. 

1540
01:22:34,400 --> 01:22:37,000
I'm very excited for this pick 
Darren Waller. 

1541
01:22:37,600 --> 01:22:40,900
Woohoo! 
It's gonna make some tough 

1542
01:22:40,900 --> 01:22:42,500
Fades. 
We got some tough Fades coming 

1543
01:22:42,500 --> 01:22:45,000
here, but yeah, stealer in a 
Raider. 

1544
01:22:45,000 --> 01:22:47,500
But uh, I mean you just want one
up. 

1545
01:22:47,500 --> 01:22:49,800
You just push this further 
towards Derrick Henry in my 

1546
01:22:49,800 --> 01:22:51,300
mind. 
Oh I think I pushed us to it to 

1547
01:22:51,300 --> 01:22:53,100
Tennessee. 
Faith is what I was hoping but 

1548
01:22:53,100 --> 01:22:56,100
yeah. 
And I'm gonna I'm gonna just go 

1549
01:22:56,108 --> 01:23:02,100
ahead and toss digs in. 
Well I mean if either the 

1550
01:23:02,100 --> 01:23:05,300
Bangles or the Raiders win and 
then beat the Titans, you don't 

1551
01:23:05,300 --> 01:23:07,700
think mixing and Jacobs make a 
lot of sense there. 

1552
01:23:07,700 --> 01:23:13,300
I was going to take Singletary. 
Now, I can't, there's only one 

1553
01:23:13,300 --> 01:23:18,600
guy that we can take. 
No, it's fat Zeke. 

1554
01:23:20,700 --> 01:23:25,000
Wait, so who are Fades? 
We gotta figure out pit sweet 

1555
01:23:25,000 --> 01:23:26,800
pad. 
You just like buttons. 

1556
01:23:26,800 --> 01:23:47,000
Know we have revealed. 
I mean, this team is, this is 

1557
01:23:47,000 --> 01:23:48,900
already pretty over-leveraged. 
You can eat that. 

1558
01:23:48,900 --> 01:23:53,600
I'm gonna take out so who's our 
placekicker and defense? 

1559
01:23:55,000 --> 01:23:58,700
Who cares? 
We need Prater Prater Prater for

1560
01:23:58,700 --> 01:24:00,600
why Davis, is there maybe a 
oldest? 

1561
01:24:00,600 --> 01:24:04,000
Yes yes, no, don't do it. 
That was one of the worst 

1562
01:24:04,000 --> 01:24:06,400
experiences because I thought 
that I had this like treasured 

1563
01:24:06,400 --> 01:24:12,200
memory and no one remember that.
It's so it's so funny to me and 

1564
01:24:12,200 --> 01:24:15,200
then I re-watch it and of course
it was not like it was funny but

1565
01:24:15,200 --> 01:24:16,700
it wasn't as funny as I remember
it. 

1566
01:24:16,700 --> 01:24:22,000
Like I remember this very drawn 
out Jesus with this weird 

1567
01:24:22,000 --> 01:24:24,600
southern accent and that's not 
how it played out. 

1568
01:24:24,800 --> 01:24:27,800
Anyways, it doesn't matter. 
The real reason to take Prater 

1569
01:24:27,800 --> 01:24:35,200
is that clip is the first time 
probably pretty soon but the 

1570
01:24:35,200 --> 01:24:37,700
real reason is that Cliff is 
just begging to kick five field 

1571
01:24:37,700 --> 01:24:40,800
goals against the Los Angeles, 
Rams, in a playoff game he can't

1572
01:24:40,800 --> 01:24:44,600
wait to do it, all right? 
And which defense did we say? 

1573
01:24:45,900 --> 01:24:51,500
Titans Patriots. 
I feel like the Patriots, I feel

1574
01:24:51,500 --> 01:24:53,200
like we do it. 
I feel like we actually do the 

1575
01:24:53,200 --> 01:24:55,100
Tennessee fade. 
We were just talking about. 

1576
01:24:55,100 --> 01:24:57,900
Yeah, I like that. 
Okay, yep. 

1577
01:24:59,000 --> 01:25:00,900
All right. 
There it is. 

1578
01:25:00,900 --> 01:25:02,900
Digs Buffalo's. 
Had had the throat. 

1579
01:25:03,100 --> 01:25:05,100
Can we see it for a second? 
Pull back up. 

1580
01:25:05,700 --> 01:25:07,700
This is a fun one. 
The Tennessee fate. 

1581
01:25:07,700 --> 01:25:09,500
I feel like this is pretty off 
the board. 

1582
01:25:09,600 --> 01:25:13,500
Let me know who I need to send 
five dollars of etherium to, so,

1583
01:25:13,500 --> 01:25:16,200
that's something I can get my 
share when we get paid out of 

1584
01:25:16,200 --> 01:25:17,800
here. 
Davis, this one. 

1585
01:25:17,800 --> 01:25:20,100
So this is on that. 
This one's on ether. 

1586
01:25:20,400 --> 01:25:24,300
What we doing 35, then? 
Yes, I registered five. 

1587
01:25:24,300 --> 01:25:31,000
Those are huge crashing through.
Yes Davis you could send me a 

1588
01:25:31,000 --> 01:25:33,400
penguin Fight Club in Ft for 
this one. 

1589
01:25:34,600 --> 01:25:37,400
I don't have any left. 
They're all they're all for sale

1590
01:25:37,400 --> 01:25:41,700
on a looks rare.com now to earn 
my turn my looks token. 

1591
01:25:42,000 --> 01:25:45,100
That's right. 
Um well thank you Davis for 

1592
01:25:45,100 --> 01:25:47,300
joining us today. 
Like we said, we are going to be

1593
01:25:47,300 --> 01:25:49,500
here every day this week doing 
FPC. 

1594
01:25:49,500 --> 01:25:52,300
Playoff Challenge content will 
be back the next three nights. 

1595
01:25:52,400 --> 01:25:55,400
I'm going to be at our usual 
time of 9:15 p.m. 

1596
01:25:55,400 --> 01:25:57,200
Eastern tomorrow. 
We have the Boomer opto with a 

1597
01:25:57,208 --> 01:26:00,900
saint and Blair Thursday. 
We have Sean Siegel joining us 

1598
01:26:00,900 --> 01:26:04,000
to talk some Galaxy brain angles
and then Friday, of course, 

1599
01:26:04,000 --> 01:26:07,000
capping it off with Leone in 
dink are drunk build. 

1600
01:26:07,000 --> 01:26:09,300
Trying to recapture the magic 
from last year. 

1601
01:26:09,300 --> 01:26:12,500
Also Pat will be sharing his 
ownership, projection 

1602
01:26:12,500 --> 01:26:15,500
spreadsheet in the ship chasing 
Discord, you can get access to 

1603
01:26:15,500 --> 01:26:19,000
that by becoming a YouTube 
member and then sync it with 

1604
01:26:19,000 --> 01:26:22,200
your Discord account and it will
unlock that channel anything. 

1605
01:26:22,400 --> 01:26:23,900
Else I am forgetting here, 
fellas. 

1606
01:26:25,500 --> 01:26:26,600
Nope. 
No. 

1607
01:26:27,300 --> 01:26:29,800
Alright. 
Well, that is it for Davis for 

1608
01:26:29,800 --> 01:26:32,100
Gretsch for Pat. 
I'm Pete will see you guys 

1609
01:26:32,100 --> 01:26:32,500
tomorrow.