1 00:00:12,760 --> 00:00:16,239 It's we too. We have literally doubled our 2 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:19,400 sample size. All of our charts are twice as 3 00:00:19,400 --> 00:00:22,280 actionable. Our takeaways are twice as 4 00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:25,240 accurate. This is stat chasing. 5 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:31,520 Oh my God, I'm so sorry. Roll me in. 6 00:00:34,880 --> 00:00:39,080 Pat Fryer homo this. Is why This is why I'm hot 7 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,520 Anita. Hand job fix your site. 8 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:48,680 Jamar and also play Chase. You can't handle the heat. 9 00:00:49,000 --> 00:00:50,560 It looks like we're. Finally, at this point, you're 10 00:00:50,560 --> 00:01:00,860 right. Just like NFL offenses in Week 11 00:01:00,860 --> 00:01:02,820 One, are you? Were too quick. 12 00:01:03,540 --> 00:01:07,100 Yeah, we knew I was. Sharing that we were going live 13 00:01:07,100 --> 00:01:11,180 everywhere and then as soon as I finish, I'm like, shit, I gotta 14 00:01:11,180 --> 00:01:12,540 do that. I gotta roll the clip. 15 00:01:13,660 --> 00:01:16,540 Well, I just saw we're live and I was like, all right, I guess 16 00:01:16,540 --> 00:01:19,100 we're going. But hey, welcome to week two, 17 00:01:19,100 --> 00:01:21,100 everybody. Thank you for joining us. 18 00:01:22,370 --> 00:01:25,850 We've got some real fun charts here that will be taking you 19 00:01:25,850 --> 00:01:29,130 through this week. We're going to try not to go for 20 00:01:29,250 --> 00:01:31,730 a full 2 1/2 push in three hours. 21 00:01:31,770 --> 00:01:34,330 I think we're the goal is a tight 90. 22 00:01:34,810 --> 00:01:37,730 So we've we've done our homework, we've prepped up. 23 00:01:38,330 --> 00:01:41,970 Drico and I are ready to take you through all of these charts, 24 00:01:42,050 --> 00:01:45,570 pointing out the most relevant pieces of data and trying to 25 00:01:45,570 --> 00:01:48,570 give you some actual takeaways for your leagues. 26 00:01:50,030 --> 00:01:52,830 And without further ado, let's let's go ahead and dive into 27 00:01:52,830 --> 00:01:57,830 those. Charts yeah let's let's oh and 28 00:01:57,950 --> 00:02:04,070 present there we go and so yeah at just just to intro everybody 29 00:02:04,070 --> 00:02:07,430 to this at quarterback chart that we're talking about here 30 00:02:07,870 --> 00:02:13,630 and this is it scales adjusted yards per attempt which it's 31 00:02:13,630 --> 00:02:18,110 like yards per attempt throwing and but it rewards touchdowns 32 00:02:18,110 --> 00:02:22,190 and it punishes interceptions. And and actually some it does 33 00:02:22,190 --> 00:02:28,150 that roughly on the, on the scale of I believe win 34 00:02:28,150 --> 00:02:31,030 probability. It tries to like it tries to 35 00:02:31,110 --> 00:02:37,510 scale that to to win probability and for attempt and then on the 36 00:02:37,510 --> 00:02:39,670 other access we have a touchdown rate. 37 00:02:40,150 --> 00:02:43,630 And so really you've got it on the right hand side. 38 00:02:43,630 --> 00:02:46,070 You've got the the quarterbacks who've been thrown really, 39 00:02:46,070 --> 00:02:49,570 really efficiently. And then we also have on the 40 00:02:49,570 --> 00:02:53,690 vertical axis touchdown rate. And so you can see sort of 41 00:02:53,690 --> 00:02:58,770 quarterbacks who have either they've thrown for lots of 42 00:02:58,770 --> 00:03:02,810 touchdowns and possibly more touchdowns than their yardage 43 00:03:03,250 --> 00:03:08,170 and sort of like warrants. And then you have a quarterbacks 44 00:03:08,170 --> 00:03:13,370 who've thrown efficiently and perhaps thrown less touchdowns. 45 00:03:13,820 --> 00:03:18,420 Than than you would expect given their yardage toes and and so 46 00:03:18,420 --> 00:03:22,380 those quarterbacks I guess possible possible upward 47 00:03:22,380 --> 00:03:27,420 regression candidates yeah good good summary here. 48 00:03:27,420 --> 00:03:30,580 I I just had a thought. I really hadn't compared these 49 00:03:30,580 --> 00:03:34,060 two stats before I looked at how they're calculated in comparison 50 00:03:34,060 --> 00:03:36,380 but for adjusted yards per attempt that's going to be like 51 00:03:36,380 --> 00:03:38,580 directionally the same as EPA right? 52 00:03:38,580 --> 00:03:41,360 Like something that's a positive adjusted yards for a template is 53 00:03:41,360 --> 00:03:42,880 going to be a positive EPA. Yeah. 54 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:46,920 Yeah, you're right. I said win probability, it's EPA 55 00:03:47,120 --> 00:03:51,120 and it does it roughly. Yeah, roughly with the same 56 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,800 waiting. Like obviously it can't do 57 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:57,480 everything because it's a more straightforward adjustment than 58 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:00,240 EPA, which knows where they are on the fields. 59 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:05,400 But it's sort of trying to translate EPA per attempt into a 60 00:04:05,400 --> 00:04:08,360 yardage number to kind of make it more easier. 61 00:04:08,870 --> 00:04:09,910 Comprehend. Easy. 62 00:04:09,990 --> 00:04:12,150 More intuitive. OK, good. 63 00:04:12,310 --> 00:04:15,870 Good explanation there. When I when I first put this 64 00:04:15,870 --> 00:04:19,149 chart together, there were a couple guys that stood out to 65 00:04:19,149 --> 00:04:22,310 me. I'm gonna start with guys that 66 00:04:22,310 --> 00:04:26,750 are popping really well on the chart where they they have to 67 00:04:26,750 --> 00:04:29,390 come back down to earth, right? And the first one that's like 68 00:04:29,390 --> 00:04:32,590 clear as day is Jordan Love. I mean, he's been super 69 00:04:32,590 --> 00:04:34,870 efficient. He's thrown 3 touchdowns each 70 00:04:34,870 --> 00:04:39,690 game, but he is not throwing enough yards or enough pass 71 00:04:39,690 --> 00:04:43,450 attempts for this to be sustainable at all, right? 72 00:04:44,050 --> 00:04:45,570 They've just been really efficient. 73 00:04:46,490 --> 00:04:50,650 So I don't think this, you know, nearly 12%, I think it's like 74 00:04:50,650 --> 00:04:54,730 11, 1/2% touchdown rate is going to stick for Jordan Love. 75 00:04:55,610 --> 00:04:58,290 That being said, when you see these guys with this crazy 76 00:04:58,290 --> 00:05:03,010 efficiency, this is something I would say that Jordan Love is 77 00:05:03,010 --> 00:05:07,450 going to finish the season very close to Brock Purdy and like 78 00:05:07,450 --> 00:05:10,010 what they are for fantasy, right. 79 00:05:10,010 --> 00:05:11,970 I think that Brock Purdy comes up a little bit. 80 00:05:11,970 --> 00:05:14,570 I think Jordan Love comes down a little bit and they kind of meet 81 00:05:14,570 --> 00:05:17,250 in the middle because they both are are just going to be in 82 00:05:17,250 --> 00:05:21,250 offenses that are more efficient than they should be just because 83 00:05:21,250 --> 00:05:23,170 of you know, good, good scheming. 84 00:05:24,370 --> 00:05:26,730 But that was that was the first one I saw. 85 00:05:26,730 --> 00:05:30,050 Did you have any other guys in the good take away category that 86 00:05:30,050 --> 00:05:32,250 you wanted to touch on Drico and? 87 00:05:33,030 --> 00:05:36,910 Yeah I mean obviously I think the most obvious one is is your 88 00:05:36,910 --> 00:05:41,590 boy CJ Stroud where you you you called I think you called last 89 00:05:41,590 --> 00:05:46,390 week that he's gonna win somebody a million maker and for 90 00:05:46,470 --> 00:05:49,630 I think for a rookie to come out in the first two games and to be 91 00:05:49,630 --> 00:05:52,950 on the right hand side of the chart even though the touchdowns 92 00:05:52,950 --> 00:05:56,790 aren't there has I I mean that looks super positive super 93 00:05:56,790 --> 00:06:02,150 bullish where and if he if he's trying for good yardage and. 94 00:06:02,650 --> 00:06:06,130 The touchdown rate is low on on that sort of like a lowish 95 00:06:06,130 --> 00:06:10,610 sample size and again it's first two NFL games that that seems 96 00:06:10,610 --> 00:06:15,770 super bullish for CJ both CJ Stroud and and the receivers in 97 00:06:15,770 --> 00:06:19,690 that in that offense. Yeah, I mean CJ Stroud is fourth 98 00:06:19,690 --> 00:06:23,650 in the league in total passing yards right now so he's he's 99 00:06:23,650 --> 00:06:26,370 kind of cooking and they're they're letting him throw. 100 00:06:26,450 --> 00:06:31,350 He has 91 attempts, so the Houston is not hiding their 101 00:06:31,350 --> 00:06:34,630 rookie quarterback. Where on the other side of the 102 00:06:34,630 --> 00:06:37,430 coin you have Bryce Young, you can look at him. 103 00:06:37,430 --> 00:06:42,110 He, he and Danny Dimes kind of swapped positions on where they 104 00:06:42,110 --> 00:06:46,550 were on the chart last week. Bryce Young does not look like 105 00:06:46,550 --> 00:06:49,270 someone you want to have on any basketball teams. 106 00:06:49,270 --> 00:06:52,150 Doesn't look like someone that you want to play in fantasy you. 107 00:06:53,090 --> 00:06:55,690 I mean for the foreseeable future you don't really want to 108 00:06:55,690 --> 00:06:58,930 touch the Caroline offense. It's not going to produce very 109 00:06:58,930 --> 00:07:00,210 much. They're they're not letting him 110 00:07:00,210 --> 00:07:03,410 do very much and they just don't look like a terribly productive 111 00:07:03,410 --> 00:07:05,730 offense. So that one's a stay away. 112 00:07:05,730 --> 00:07:09,890 But really interesting to me, how drastically different those 113 00:07:09,890 --> 00:07:12,890 two rookies are looking for fantasy. 114 00:07:13,610 --> 00:07:17,790 Especially because I I think that at the, you know, during 115 00:07:17,830 --> 00:07:20,350 the offseason people might have even flipped that around and 116 00:07:20,350 --> 00:07:23,190 said they have higher hopes for Bryce Young and CJ Stroud. 117 00:07:23,750 --> 00:07:28,870 I was I I was a little bit more positive on Bryce Young than 118 00:07:28,870 --> 00:07:34,070 Stroud and mainly because I thought Young is a bit more of a 119 00:07:34,070 --> 00:07:37,030 threat as a rusher and and he has. 120 00:07:37,150 --> 00:07:41,990 He has added some points with his legs but just not not nearly 121 00:07:41,990 --> 00:07:45,950 enough with how anemic and he's in and I think. 122 00:07:46,510 --> 00:07:50,590 Honestly, at this point and then I'm just saying he needs to run 123 00:07:50,590 --> 00:07:55,190 a lot to to produce is is it? It does seem like the only kind 124 00:07:55,190 --> 00:07:59,350 of clear cut way for him to be a productive honesty starter. 125 00:08:00,950 --> 00:08:04,750 Guys I wanted to touch on that moved in the right direction 126 00:08:04,870 --> 00:08:07,350 this last week. Gino Smith. 127 00:08:07,390 --> 00:08:10,750 I don't think anyone was all terribly concerned after a poor 128 00:08:10,750 --> 00:08:13,030 week 1 showing from Gino. He kind of got back on the 129 00:08:13,030 --> 00:08:16,500 horse. I played a lot of Gino and GPP's 130 00:08:16,700 --> 00:08:19,020 this week and it it went pretty well for me. 131 00:08:19,020 --> 00:08:20,500 Needed to have them with Locket though. 132 00:08:21,140 --> 00:08:25,260 Other guys that are right next to Gino on the chart that were 133 00:08:25,260 --> 00:08:28,460 part of that whole late round quarterback thesis for this 134 00:08:28,460 --> 00:08:31,740 offseason and best ball. Sam Howell and Desmond Ritter 135 00:08:31,740 --> 00:08:35,460 both showed pretty much everything that you wanted to 136 00:08:35,460 --> 00:08:38,380 see out of them if you were drafting them in best ball. 137 00:08:38,700 --> 00:08:43,549 Sam Howe, I think was 299 yards passing, which is just you 138 00:08:43,549 --> 00:08:45,030 really, you really love to see that. 139 00:08:45,710 --> 00:08:48,830 Both Ritter and Howell showed a little with their legs as well. 140 00:08:48,830 --> 00:08:53,790 It's like week two was, hey, This is why we were drafting 141 00:08:53,790 --> 00:08:56,790 these guys late and thought that they were reasonable picks for 142 00:08:56,790 --> 00:08:59,430 best ball. So that was super encouraging. 143 00:08:59,430 --> 00:09:03,150 The other one that's near them on the chart that to me looks 144 00:09:03,150 --> 00:09:06,830 like a potential eruption spot is Lamar Jackson. 145 00:09:07,990 --> 00:09:11,870 I wanna, I wanna get ahead of this and say that Week 3 is the 146 00:09:11,870 --> 00:09:15,030 Lamar Jackson explosion game. He does. 147 00:09:15,270 --> 00:09:18,030 I, you know, if you look at Lamar's production profile 148 00:09:18,030 --> 00:09:21,030 historically, he does this kind of stuff where he'll just have 149 00:09:21,030 --> 00:09:23,230 some OK games. It's not like it was a bad game 150 00:09:23,230 --> 00:09:28,030 for him this week by any means. But I I think that week three 151 00:09:28,110 --> 00:09:32,470 against what is on paper, one of the worst defenses in the league 152 00:09:32,470 --> 00:09:34,590 in the Colts, and they've played, They've definitely 153 00:09:34,590 --> 00:09:36,270 played better than they look on paper. 154 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:40,520 But I think that if the Ravens really play to their full 155 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:43,000 potential, you could get a huge week from Lamar here. 156 00:09:43,000 --> 00:09:46,760 And he also, you can see from the size of his data point here 157 00:09:46,760 --> 00:09:49,600 that he's still adding a lot with his legs, even though 158 00:09:49,600 --> 00:09:51,600 they're not calling designed rushes. 159 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:54,560 And that's honestly, that's what I want. 160 00:09:54,600 --> 00:09:57,080 Because what he's doing when he's scrambling is he's taking 161 00:09:57,080 --> 00:10:00,590 place where otherwise there's not a ton to be had there 162 00:10:00,590 --> 00:10:04,310 throwing the ball and he's creating where, you know, a less 163 00:10:04,310 --> 00:10:06,510 mobile quarterback might just have to toss it away. 164 00:10:07,190 --> 00:10:10,750 You're really this type of scheme for Lamar can give you 165 00:10:10,750 --> 00:10:13,390 the best of both worlds and really maximizes overall 166 00:10:13,390 --> 00:10:16,950 production. So Lamar is my my Early Flag 167 00:10:16,950 --> 00:10:20,230 plant for Week 3. So when we're we're, we're 168 00:10:20,230 --> 00:10:22,910 beating a slow cast to the punch. 169 00:10:23,550 --> 00:10:26,720 Stop chasing. Is the first look stroke the 170 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:31,840 earliest first look show in the industry for DFS Takes Lamar 171 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:37,040 Jackson for million Maker confirmed the. 172 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:41,160 One note, sorry, just before we go too much on one note on that 173 00:10:41,160 --> 00:10:44,720 Jordan Love, who we touched on earlier and I just I just did 174 00:10:44,720 --> 00:10:48,800 the mat and if you remove his touchdowns and he just look at 175 00:10:48,800 --> 00:10:52,040 straight yards, pretend for Jordan Love he'd be out of 176 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:55,510 seven. So honestly that's still seems 177 00:10:55,510 --> 00:11:01,350 like positive like definitely like he he's not a bad passer 178 00:11:01,790 --> 00:11:07,910 but clearly not it doesn't seem like a God tier like you know 179 00:11:07,910 --> 00:11:12,030 he's gonna eviscerate the air at all season player that's that's 180 00:11:12,030 --> 00:11:16,230 really good context for the data and that that seems consistent 181 00:11:16,230 --> 00:11:20,010 with how I feel he's gonna end up on the season. 182 00:11:20,010 --> 00:11:22,490 Him and Perdy will be right in right in that same range. 183 00:11:22,530 --> 00:11:26,370 You know bottom bottom end QV ones on their good weeks and you 184 00:11:26,370 --> 00:11:30,130 know serviceable QV twos. The other thing though, with 185 00:11:30,130 --> 00:11:33,850 Jordan Love, just a wart to add to that profile, the attempts 186 00:11:33,850 --> 00:11:36,730 are really low. Both both weeks the attempts are 187 00:11:36,730 --> 00:11:38,530 low. Same with Perry, the attempts 188 00:11:38,530 --> 00:11:42,610 are. 30 and 27, which yeah, for fantasy production. 189 00:11:42,610 --> 00:11:47,480 For overall production. It's not great especially. 190 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:54,000 Yeah, I mean, maybe some of that is them having a lead and, but 191 00:11:54,720 --> 00:11:58,440 it's still like it does feel very 49 and quarterback esque. 192 00:11:59,200 --> 00:12:03,920 Yeah. Can you talk me out of Russell 193 00:12:03,920 --> 00:12:06,820 Wilson? Because Russ has looked pretty 194 00:12:06,820 --> 00:12:10,220 productive for fantasy. I from the bit of rust that I 195 00:12:10,220 --> 00:12:13,420 watched he he doesn't look fantastic. 196 00:12:13,420 --> 00:12:15,860 He's not a world beater, but he still does rust things. 197 00:12:16,060 --> 00:12:19,700 You know that play action shot to Nims or is like yeah this is, 198 00:12:19,700 --> 00:12:23,180 I mean Sean Payton's always done a really good job of getting the 199 00:12:23,420 --> 00:12:25,980 the best out of his players and playing to their strengths. 200 00:12:26,420 --> 00:12:28,100 That is the Russell Wilson strength. 201 00:12:28,100 --> 00:12:31,540 Like let him throw up the moon ball, like deep shot and just 202 00:12:31,580 --> 00:12:34,220 absolutely drop it on a guy 50 yards down the field. 203 00:12:34,760 --> 00:12:37,760 If you can have Russ do that in a couple spots a week, he's 204 00:12:37,760 --> 00:12:43,400 definitely viable for fantasy. Yeah, and I think definitely 205 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:46,960 viable for fantasy and trying touchdowns. 206 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:51,600 And obviously we're excited about Mims, him having a big day 207 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:57,240 despite only 6 snaps and 1. Russell Wilson is always a good 208 00:12:57,240 --> 00:13:00,800 note on on a caveat of this chart is that. 209 00:13:01,560 --> 00:13:06,000 It's per attempt so it's it. It's not per drop back so it's 210 00:13:06,000 --> 00:13:12,120 sort of like it wrote this chart rewards and quarterbacks who 211 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:16,040 will stand in the pocket and and throw deep but then also take 212 00:13:16,040 --> 00:13:19,160 sacks. So I I should note that he he's 213 00:13:19,160 --> 00:13:28,200 taken 9 sacks this year on let's say 8080 Dropbox and so. 214 00:13:29,370 --> 00:13:31,930 That's that's only a small that that that that probably takes 215 00:13:31,930 --> 00:13:38,130 them from like 88.1 to like closer to like let's say let's 216 00:13:38,130 --> 00:13:44,810 call it just over 7 and so this this this is always a chart that 217 00:13:44,810 --> 00:13:49,570 like makes Russell Wilson look it's hot better than he is and 218 00:13:49,810 --> 00:13:54,530 but when when you are targeting pocket passers you do want you 219 00:13:54,530 --> 00:13:56,850 want guys who trophy. You want big plays? 220 00:13:56,850 --> 00:14:00,680 You want touchdowns? So definitely I think when when 221 00:14:00,680 --> 00:14:03,600 you're getting, when you're getting cheap pocket pass or 222 00:14:03,600 --> 00:14:07,560 pricing for Russell Wilson you I think you can win in a big way. 223 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:14,000 I think though correct me if I'm wrong we're not I I I wouldn't 224 00:14:14,000 --> 00:14:18,520 be high on on on like expensive Russell Wilson like actually 225 00:14:18,560 --> 00:14:22,680 when I expensive I'm talking like seventh round like that 226 00:14:22,680 --> 00:14:26,560 that that feels pretty gross. No I I think Russ was a great 227 00:14:26,560 --> 00:14:29,880 price this whole offseason. He yeah was he was going late 228 00:14:29,880 --> 00:14:33,640 because the the markets have gotten more efficient in best 229 00:14:33,640 --> 00:14:36,360 fall over the years. But I was I was actually just 230 00:14:36,360 --> 00:14:38,960 today I was taking some notes for an article I wanna write 231 00:14:38,960 --> 00:14:42,960 this next offseason on stuff that the market still is really 232 00:14:42,960 --> 00:14:46,240 stupid at. And one of those things is did 233 00:14:46,240 --> 00:14:49,760 you hurt me last year? If you hurt me last year, sorry, 234 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:52,240 you're just you're not going to get to an efficient price 235 00:14:52,240 --> 00:14:55,620 because I'm still snake bit. So that was one of the things 236 00:14:55,620 --> 00:14:59,820 that I noted dovetailing off your sacks conversation from 237 00:14:59,820 --> 00:15:02,580 Russell Wilson. Does that mean that Justin 238 00:15:02,580 --> 00:15:05,580 Fields and Deshaun Watson are even worse than they look on 239 00:15:05,580 --> 00:15:07,700 this chart? Because both of you guys love to 240 00:15:07,700 --> 00:15:09,380 take sacks too. Yeah. 241 00:15:09,940 --> 00:15:15,740 And anybody who holds the ball and take sacks and will that 242 00:15:15,740 --> 00:15:18,140 will be even will be worse on this chart. 243 00:15:18,140 --> 00:15:22,940 So it indicates OK and I mean I don't think it's like. 244 00:15:23,670 --> 00:15:27,470 It's not quite fancy relevant, but it is relevant for the 245 00:15:27,470 --> 00:15:31,230 receivers that you think. I'm getting one of the most 246 00:15:31,230 --> 00:15:34,070 efficient quarterbacks in the league on a per attempt and it's 247 00:15:34,070 --> 00:15:37,590 like okay. Well per drop back it's maybe a 248 00:15:37,590 --> 00:15:41,710 bit closer to average for the strong efficiency guys. 249 00:15:42,650 --> 00:15:45,730 One one last one I wanted to point out before we go to the 250 00:15:45,730 --> 00:15:49,090 next chart here. Matt Stafford is being punished 251 00:15:49,090 --> 00:15:52,090 for his just he he ran poor on touchdowns. 252 00:15:52,090 --> 00:15:55,650 Kyron Williams is vacuuming up touchdowns these first couple 253 00:15:55,650 --> 00:15:58,410 weeks. If Matt Stafford throws a couple 254 00:15:58,410 --> 00:16:01,490 touchdowns he is going to look insane. 255 00:16:02,330 --> 00:16:05,730 Especially I mean this chart. One of the I think we might need 256 00:16:05,730 --> 00:16:09,210 to add another QB chart for volume related stuff. 257 00:16:09,370 --> 00:16:13,030 But one thing this chart does not pick up is the absolutely 258 00:16:13,030 --> 00:16:16,190 absurd amount of volume. Matt Stafford has 93 pass 259 00:16:16,190 --> 00:16:20,990 attempts through two games. You know, he CJ Stroud is right 260 00:16:20,990 --> 00:16:23,230 behind him with 91. But you know, Stafford and 261 00:16:23,230 --> 00:16:27,190 Stroud are just slinging it. So that's, you know, if if 262 00:16:27,190 --> 00:16:29,710 you're going to play a pocket passer, a statue quarterback, 263 00:16:30,190 --> 00:16:34,270 they need to be chucking it. And over 45 attempts a game is 264 00:16:34,350 --> 00:16:36,430 is what you want from a guy like Stafford. 265 00:16:37,510 --> 00:16:40,190 Yeah, that that makes sense as well and. 266 00:16:40,700 --> 00:16:44,500 Yeah, and I I think, I think when you're talking about the 267 00:16:44,500 --> 00:16:49,220 pocket passers like they're they're a little bit more 268 00:16:49,220 --> 00:16:53,740 volatile than than guys who have consistent rushing production. 269 00:16:53,980 --> 00:16:58,060 But they're they're single week ceilings can be really high 270 00:16:58,060 --> 00:17:02,100 because if they have a really good week as a passer, it's it's 271 00:17:02,100 --> 00:17:03,820 gone, it's they're going to score points. 272 00:17:04,420 --> 00:17:06,980 So when you have those volatile players. 273 00:17:07,630 --> 00:17:10,349 You definitely you you want the cheap, you want the cheap 274 00:17:10,349 --> 00:17:12,829 prices. With them, you it gets a little 275 00:17:12,990 --> 00:17:15,510 unless you tink their mahomes, it gets real. 276 00:17:15,510 --> 00:17:18,150 I think it gets really tricky when you're paying up for that 277 00:17:18,150 --> 00:17:22,349 sort of profile. Last sorry, I said last thing 278 00:17:22,349 --> 00:17:25,390 with Stafford, last question, the Russell Wilson rushing. 279 00:17:25,390 --> 00:17:27,710 He had like 54 rushing yards this week. 280 00:17:28,069 --> 00:17:33,140 I know a lot of it came on one big scramble that he had, but 281 00:17:33,140 --> 00:17:34,900 what? What do you make of that? 282 00:17:34,900 --> 00:17:38,820 Is he going to have just a little bit more rushing, Not not 283 00:17:38,900 --> 00:17:42,340 back to like old Russell Wilson when he was rushing for, you 284 00:17:42,340 --> 00:17:46,060 know, 600 yards a season. But is that back in the in the 285 00:17:46,060 --> 00:17:51,820 arsenal a little bit here? I mean it it's we we definitely 286 00:17:51,820 --> 00:17:55,100 don't have the sample size to say it and if most of his it 287 00:17:55,100 --> 00:17:58,620 sounds like most of his rushing is from that one attempt and 288 00:17:58,900 --> 00:18:01,240 but. If, if, if, if he could, if he's 289 00:18:01,240 --> 00:18:06,080 still able to do 40 yard or whatever was rushing attempts, 290 00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:09,520 that's definitely interesting. Like I I don't recall Tom Brady 291 00:18:09,520 --> 00:18:14,160 or Peyton Manning ever having a 40 yard rushing attempts so that 292 00:18:14,200 --> 00:18:17,800 being that being in his arsenal at all is definitely 293 00:18:17,800 --> 00:18:21,840 interesting. And yeah, I I I agree with you. 294 00:18:21,840 --> 00:18:25,160 Like the the the, the days of old doesn't seem to be there, 295 00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:30,050 but. And if you have some probability 296 00:18:30,050 --> 00:18:34,730 of getting like adding like four to five points from, like big 297 00:18:34,730 --> 00:18:37,130 runs, like, that's super interesting. 298 00:18:40,690 --> 00:18:42,090 All right. I think if we're gonna keep it 299 00:18:42,090 --> 00:18:44,890 to a tight 90, we gotta get to the next chart here. 300 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:50,800 And so whatever reason, this one always is just a tiny bit too 301 00:18:50,800 --> 00:18:52,120 large. We're gonna need to zoom out 302 00:18:52,120 --> 00:18:55,440 just a bit. But this is our RB snaps and 303 00:18:55,440 --> 00:18:59,560 usage chart. What this chart is good at is 304 00:18:59,560 --> 00:19:03,000 it's telling us who's got specific roles on a team. 305 00:19:03,080 --> 00:19:06,120 And so, you know, reading from the top down, it's gonna be the 306 00:19:06,120 --> 00:19:07,840 guys that are on the field the most. 307 00:19:08,800 --> 00:19:10,680 We've got. Our yellow is the routes that 308 00:19:10,680 --> 00:19:14,640 they ran, green is the rush attempts, blue is the pass 309 00:19:14,640 --> 00:19:17,650 blocks. And then Gray is the run blocks 310 00:19:18,090 --> 00:19:21,290 and I kind of look at as far as the colors, what's the most 311 00:19:21,290 --> 00:19:23,890 desirable? Yellow, if they're actually 312 00:19:23,890 --> 00:19:26,650 converting that into targets is really valuable. 313 00:19:26,970 --> 00:19:31,050 Green is the next most valuable. Blue is actually fine in my 314 00:19:31,050 --> 00:19:32,850 book. If a guy's on the field pass 315 00:19:32,850 --> 00:19:35,250 blocking it just means he's he's probably going to be able to be 316 00:19:35,250 --> 00:19:37,930 on the field more in passing situations which we want. 317 00:19:38,370 --> 00:19:40,690 And then Gray is is not good. I don't. 318 00:19:40,730 --> 00:19:43,490 I don't really want my guys to have a lot of Gray on their 319 00:19:43,490 --> 00:19:46,610 chart. Well I mean we we want guys who 320 00:19:46,610 --> 00:19:50,850 are on the field all the time either way and but I I think 321 00:19:51,090 --> 00:19:54,490 blue is interesting in that like if if somebody is pass blocking 322 00:19:54,490 --> 00:20:02,130 a lot it means they're trusted and and but yeah it obviously 323 00:20:02,170 --> 00:20:06,970 they're not they're not snaps that can be converted into 324 00:20:06,970 --> 00:20:11,170 points and then obviously this chart is it's on the scale of 325 00:20:11,170 --> 00:20:16,380 percentages so. The more the more it's for 326 00:20:16,380 --> 00:20:19,820 example, let's say Zack Moss that that's just shy. 327 00:20:20,140 --> 00:20:26,580 That's about 3035% of his team of the offenses and plays where 328 00:20:26,580 --> 00:20:32,020 Rush attempts for Zack Moss. So Zack, where is there anybody 329 00:20:32,020 --> 00:20:35,660 here who who's kind of a surprise to you or? 330 00:20:37,050 --> 00:20:39,930 I it shouldn't be a surprise after last week but Kyron 331 00:20:39,930 --> 00:20:42,850 Williams has an absolutely elite role. 332 00:20:43,770 --> 00:20:48,090 You know he he's not just from measurable standpoint. 333 00:20:48,090 --> 00:20:53,010 He's not particularly talented. He he doesn't look you know so 334 00:20:53,010 --> 00:20:55,490 so he he looks fine. He looks totally serviceable in 335 00:20:55,490 --> 00:20:58,730 the field but the role is so good that it literally doesn't 336 00:20:58,730 --> 00:21:00,370 matter. He's just going to. 337 00:21:01,290 --> 00:21:04,370 He will be out there scoring fantasy points for you. 338 00:21:05,170 --> 00:21:10,730 The one that I noticed as well, that was a guy didn't put up a 339 00:21:10,730 --> 00:21:14,290 great fantasy stat line, but Josh Jacobs usage is still 340 00:21:14,290 --> 00:21:16,730 really good. He'll show up on the next chart 341 00:21:16,930 --> 00:21:21,290 as well, when we look at efficiency, numbers and expected 342 00:21:21,290 --> 00:21:24,560 fantasy points. But just for anyone that just 343 00:21:24,560 --> 00:21:27,000 looked at the box score and was like, Oh my gosh, Jacobs was 344 00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:29,320 terrible. I mean, they were, they were 345 00:21:29,320 --> 00:21:32,120 getting shellacked by the Bills. And you can see that reflected 346 00:21:32,120 --> 00:21:33,920 in his past blocking numbers too. 347 00:21:34,200 --> 00:21:35,840 They just, they needed to throw a lot. 348 00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:37,880 And at least he stayed on the field. 349 00:21:37,960 --> 00:21:44,400 He you know yeah I I I noted in in in gratias stealing signals. 350 00:21:45,760 --> 00:21:47,920 Sorry. Gretsch noted in his ceiling 351 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:53,480 signals that the the Raiders had a really low play count like 352 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:55,640 they didn't have very many plays at all. 353 00:21:55,960 --> 00:22:01,240 So he he he can have a big percentage that that probably 354 00:22:01,240 --> 00:22:03,000 doesn't translate to the box score. 355 00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:08,840 But I I I don't think you really expect the Raiders to have like 356 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:15,250 an abysmally low play count. So it it goes to your point that 357 00:22:15,610 --> 00:22:19,610 his his role is still really valuable the the the points just 358 00:22:19,970 --> 00:22:24,370 haven't been there yet. One that one that stuck out to 359 00:22:24,370 --> 00:22:27,890 me on the the negative side is Damien Pierce. 360 00:22:28,610 --> 00:22:32,410 I I know it's only two weeks in and I know the Texas offensive 361 00:22:32,410 --> 00:22:35,490 line has had, you know, a lot of injuries. 362 00:22:35,490 --> 00:22:38,450 They're they're not anywhere close to full strength. 363 00:22:39,290 --> 00:22:42,690 But Damien Pierce, I I feel pretty confident in saying 364 00:22:42,770 --> 00:22:46,250 already that. You know the fifth round or 365 00:22:46,250 --> 00:22:48,450 sixth round? He was mostly in the fifth 366 00:22:48,450 --> 00:22:50,610 round. I want to say in in best fall 367 00:22:50,610 --> 00:22:52,730 drafts. But that 5th, 5th, 6th round 368 00:22:52,730 --> 00:22:55,930 price tag for him? Not looking good. 369 00:22:56,490 --> 00:22:58,610 All the hallmarks of a dead zone back. 370 00:22:59,010 --> 00:23:02,450 Yeah, 100% that is. That's the dead zone back 371 00:23:02,450 --> 00:23:05,170 archetype right there. Him and him and not super 372 00:23:05,530 --> 00:23:10,290 confident that they're getting all the snaps and then yeah, I 373 00:23:10,290 --> 00:23:13,570 suppose they they don't get all the snaps and then they don't 374 00:23:13,770 --> 00:23:15,130 really play well with them either. 375 00:23:15,530 --> 00:23:20,610 Speaking of them players that the market might get 376 00:23:20,610 --> 00:23:26,930 overconfident in them, in them getting all, all the all the 377 00:23:26,930 --> 00:23:30,050 snaps, all the usage is there. Do you think there's any risk 378 00:23:30,050 --> 00:23:34,970 that Kyron Williams that going forward do you think do you 379 00:23:34,970 --> 00:23:39,020 think he's like solid in that role now or is this something 380 00:23:39,020 --> 00:23:42,580 where you know it's the rounds they could get weird and it 381 00:23:42,700 --> 00:23:46,700 let's say the resurrection comes back and people drop them in the 382 00:23:46,700 --> 00:23:49,860 fifth round or something like that on the roll and then is 383 00:23:49,860 --> 00:23:51,620 there any risk that that gets rope pulled? 384 00:23:52,700 --> 00:23:56,900 I think there's a small amount of risk stemming from just his 385 00:23:56,900 --> 00:24:00,380 lack of talent. Not, not to say anything bad 386 00:24:00,380 --> 00:24:02,700 about Kyron Williams, but I I think that. 387 00:24:03,280 --> 00:24:05,960 You can plug in. You know, you could plug in Zach 388 00:24:05,960 --> 00:24:08,960 Moss into that role in the Rams backfield. 389 00:24:09,600 --> 00:24:13,800 And yeah, Zach Moss is also not a particularly talented player 390 00:24:14,080 --> 00:24:17,600 for NFL standards, but you know, he's still gonna produce. 391 00:24:17,600 --> 00:24:21,160 So I I think the risk that you're looking at is just a 392 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:24,760 talent risk. Like maybe you get someone else 393 00:24:24,760 --> 00:24:26,720 on that depth chart that ascends. 394 00:24:27,360 --> 00:24:31,440 Maybe you get a a Zach Evans, you know, that somehow works his 395 00:24:31,440 --> 00:24:34,690 way out of the field. That would be my only concern 396 00:24:34,690 --> 00:24:37,610 but I do think the Rams really like Kyron Williams. 397 00:24:37,610 --> 00:24:42,330 So I I would say you can operate with relative confidence that 398 00:24:42,330 --> 00:24:45,610 Kyron's going to maintain that role as long as he's able to 399 00:24:45,610 --> 00:24:48,010 stay healthy. He the other concern is he is a 400 00:24:48,010 --> 00:24:53,730 smaller back he's he's 190 something so the amount of work 401 00:24:53,730 --> 00:24:56,810 he's getting is pretty significant for someone his 402 00:24:56,810 --> 00:24:59,330 size. So that would those would be 403 00:24:59,330 --> 00:25:02,130 kind of the two prongs of my concern for Kyron Williams. 404 00:25:02,630 --> 00:25:06,310 But overall I think you got to operate with decent confidence 405 00:25:06,310 --> 00:25:09,190 that he's just going to be the guy going forward and and and 406 00:25:09,190 --> 00:25:13,950 I'm just looking at it here and he had a even like last week he 407 00:25:13,950 --> 00:25:18,510 ran 80% of the roots or or week two he Kyren Williams ran 80% of 408 00:25:18,590 --> 00:25:21,710 the Roots. In week one when Cammakers was 409 00:25:21,710 --> 00:25:29,310 active it was still 72% and then week 115 rush attempts week to 410 00:25:29,310 --> 00:25:35,020 14 rush attempts. So just I I guess reiterate that 411 00:25:35,020 --> 00:25:38,140 does feel like something where that's his role. 412 00:25:38,540 --> 00:25:43,580 I I I don't think I I I don't think there is much risk to that 413 00:25:43,580 --> 00:25:48,060 if they if they really like him as the passing down back like 414 00:25:49,580 --> 00:25:52,740 and and they had him and they had him running roots even when 415 00:25:52,740 --> 00:25:55,940 Cam Makers was was active that that does feel like something 416 00:25:55,940 --> 00:26:00,080 pretty sustainable. Yeah, I I agree. 417 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:02,600 I mean you can operate with pretty strong confidence. 418 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:05,640 He's the guy going forward. Just those little bits of risk 419 00:26:06,240 --> 00:26:09,560 that I mentioned. Another another back on here 420 00:26:09,560 --> 00:26:13,560 that I wanted to point out. Derrick Henry had a better 421 00:26:13,680 --> 00:26:18,360 scoring week for Fantasy this week, his usage still you know a 422 00:26:18,360 --> 00:26:21,360 little lower. We're definitely seeing Taja 423 00:26:21,360 --> 00:26:24,960 Spears. Taja Spears is is getting. 424 00:26:25,300 --> 00:26:29,580 Snaps He's He's on the field, so he's really interesting to me as 425 00:26:29,580 --> 00:26:32,980 maybe someone later on in the season that comes on, or in the 426 00:26:32,980 --> 00:26:36,900 event that the Titans just start losing a lot of games, like 427 00:26:36,900 --> 00:26:40,140 having him be more involved in the passing game definitely 428 00:26:40,140 --> 00:26:45,060 looks promising cuz Henry is not running very many routes. 429 00:26:46,260 --> 00:26:49,220 That was another one I noticed. The other one was. 430 00:26:50,030 --> 00:26:53,910 AJ Dillon, even though he got obviously a lot more work with 431 00:26:53,910 --> 00:26:58,110 Aaron Jones out this week and and this data is aggregating 432 00:26:58,150 --> 00:27:00,350 week one and week two. So that's why you're not seeing, 433 00:27:00,350 --> 00:27:05,510 you know, AJ Dillon shoot up the chart here but AJ Dillon didn't 434 00:27:05,510 --> 00:27:11,550 do a ton with it, so I'm not you know, once, once you get Aaron 435 00:27:11,550 --> 00:27:14,310 Jones healthy, I don't, I don't really think you're gonna see AJ 436 00:27:14,310 --> 00:27:17,950 Dillon be able to steal so, so much work from Aaron Jones. 437 00:27:17,950 --> 00:27:21,460 He just doesn't look great. And one thing I think that's 438 00:27:21,460 --> 00:27:26,340 interesting about Henry and Henry, whereas it used to be in 439 00:27:26,340 --> 00:27:30,340 in prior years, he was just getting like a really high 440 00:27:30,340 --> 00:27:34,140 snapshot, really high Snapshore and OK. 441 00:27:34,620 --> 00:27:39,140 And even though he didn't get a lot of passing work, he was able 442 00:27:39,140 --> 00:27:43,380 to be so efficient as a rusher and get so much of it that still 443 00:27:43,380 --> 00:27:48,520 sort of got there. And then it was last year and 444 00:27:48,520 --> 00:27:52,240 the year before where you had games where he was, he had that 445 00:27:52,240 --> 00:27:55,800 and then he also had targets. And that's how you got, that's 446 00:27:55,800 --> 00:28:00,520 how you got this sort of like Derek Henry legendary upside 447 00:28:00,520 --> 00:28:03,840 sort of stuff. But I think especially as the 448 00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:09,320 snaps come down and he gets older, like for him to maintain 449 00:28:09,360 --> 00:28:14,000 and keep the efficiency and he needs to like continue to be 450 00:28:14,000 --> 00:28:18,230 productive, like obviously exceptional player that that 451 00:28:18,230 --> 00:28:23,150 does seem like even even bigger risk than than we imagined, like 452 00:28:23,590 --> 00:28:26,670 you're still getting the points now, but definitely risky. 453 00:28:27,430 --> 00:28:29,630 I've I've got a fun question for you. 454 00:28:29,630 --> 00:28:34,390 Who who are you taking earlier in you know you go on 455 00:28:34,390 --> 00:28:36,710 DraftKings. They've got their Week 3 best 456 00:28:36,710 --> 00:28:39,310 ball tournaments right now where you can draft for the rest of 457 00:28:39,310 --> 00:28:42,030 the season. Travis Etn or Derrick Henry. 458 00:28:42,470 --> 00:28:43,390 Oh, Travis. ETN. 459 00:28:43,390 --> 00:28:45,890 Like, yeah, I, I, I, I I made them. 460 00:28:45,930 --> 00:28:51,570 I made us put ETN as as the sneaky Orbi one last year. 461 00:28:52,770 --> 00:28:54,930 But go ahead, hit me with some more. 462 00:28:55,130 --> 00:28:56,650 I got it. I got another one for you. 463 00:28:56,970 --> 00:29:00,050 Jamir Gibbs or Derrick Henry? Oh, my God. 464 00:29:02,090 --> 00:29:05,330 I mean, I think I'm a fraud if I don't say yes, don't say Gibbs. 465 00:29:05,330 --> 00:29:09,930 But it doesn't it for weak tree and on. 466 00:29:10,650 --> 00:29:15,470 Yeah I I I think it is Gibbs just because I know his his 467 00:29:15,470 --> 00:29:20,070 route share really got up there this week and even though like 468 00:29:20,310 --> 00:29:23,430 you get you get some of the gripes of like Dan Campbell oh 469 00:29:23,430 --> 00:29:28,550 his his root cause to pick six and then even and and they've 470 00:29:28,550 --> 00:29:32,870 been hesitant to play on. I just think when when you and 471 00:29:32,870 --> 00:29:35,630 take him into account how back weighted fantasy football is to 472 00:29:35,630 --> 00:29:40,430 the last couple of weeks of the season like it it I think at 473 00:29:40,550 --> 00:29:45,360 least it's there's a good probability and that Gibbs is is 474 00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:49,080 decently outscoring Henry at that point I I'm I'm curious so 475 00:29:49,080 --> 00:29:51,560 would would you would you have gone the other way. 476 00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:53,640 No, I I agree with you on both those. 477 00:29:53,640 --> 00:29:56,840 I've got the hardest one so far for you here though, OK. 478 00:29:56,880 --> 00:30:00,360 And I've got one more after it Kenneth Walker or Derek Henry 479 00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:05,960 and I I I think I think I'm kind of Walker there too and and it's 480 00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:13,090 because very similar are are types where they're not really 481 00:30:13,130 --> 00:30:17,890 they're not really past catchers and you just you need the you 482 00:30:17,890 --> 00:30:23,370 need the Russian efficiency to get there and I think this might 483 00:30:23,370 --> 00:30:28,210 this definitely says more about Henry than than moving Henry 484 00:30:28,210 --> 00:30:31,170 down than than pushing Walker into like the third round or 485 00:30:31,170 --> 00:30:36,690 something like that And because I guess you still do have them 486 00:30:39,380 --> 00:30:43,820 his roots came down cool a decent amount last week So 487 00:30:43,820 --> 00:30:47,340 there's still there's still some risks there and and and Walker's 488 00:30:47,340 --> 00:30:51,140 sort of usage even though the talent is very strong and but 489 00:30:51,580 --> 00:30:55,860 definitely if I'm being asked to make efficiency bets on a back I 490 00:30:55,860 --> 00:30:59,020 do feel much better at Walker. OK. 491 00:30:59,260 --> 00:31:02,380 Last one here. Brian Robinson. 492 00:31:02,860 --> 00:31:09,610 Oh my God. And if I want I honestly I I 493 00:31:09,610 --> 00:31:16,090 think I'm I am Henry there and just because he is the it's 494 00:31:16,090 --> 00:31:18,210 still like obviously older Derek Henry. 495 00:31:18,730 --> 00:31:22,450 Derek Henry losing snaps but still Derek Henry. 496 00:31:22,970 --> 00:31:28,330 I still, I think that that he's just such an elite talent, even 497 00:31:28,330 --> 00:31:32,370 if he is older and Brian Robinson, he's still in like a 498 00:31:32,610 --> 00:31:39,060 split back share backfield and so yeah, yeah, not not willing 499 00:31:39,060 --> 00:31:42,660 to go there yet. Yeah, I I come down on the same 500 00:31:42,660 --> 00:31:45,540 side as you do for all of those. You know what? 501 00:31:45,540 --> 00:31:47,900 I I think Brian Robinson is, though. 502 00:31:48,260 --> 00:31:51,500 Brian Robinson is what all of the Naji drafters thought that 503 00:31:51,500 --> 00:31:54,900 Naji was, right. That's what Brian Robinson is. 504 00:31:54,900 --> 00:31:59,220 He's like what Naji would be if Naji was halfway decent, right? 505 00:31:59,300 --> 00:32:03,430 But Naji is not. My The funniest play I got to 506 00:32:03,430 --> 00:32:06,910 watch of this week two of football was when Naji reversed 507 00:32:06,910 --> 00:32:10,630 direction in the backfield and ran like 60 yards for a 20 yard 508 00:32:10,630 --> 00:32:14,230 gain and he was running out of gas at the line of scrimmage. 509 00:32:14,430 --> 00:32:17,270 By the time he got back to the line of scrimmage, he was like 510 00:32:17,270 --> 00:32:19,990 fully gassed. He did manage to break it for 511 00:32:19,990 --> 00:32:25,030 like 20 yards, but it was that was a a really fun one to watch. 512 00:32:25,730 --> 00:32:29,730 Yeah, yeah. And I saw that the and the Roto 513 00:32:29,730 --> 00:32:33,850 world headline that he erupt for 43 yards. 514 00:32:35,450 --> 00:32:37,570 Yeah, that that's that's down bad. 515 00:32:39,450 --> 00:32:43,930 Anyone else on this RB chart or should we go on to the guys 516 00:32:43,930 --> 00:32:50,250 getting less usage? I think it's, I think it's 517 00:32:50,250 --> 00:32:54,170 somewhat interesting that Moss Anders is still pretty high up 518 00:32:54,170 --> 00:32:58,830 here ma'am, but obviously that's what the caveat that we have 519 00:32:58,830 --> 00:33:01,950 that grave concerns with the offense that he's on. 520 00:33:02,670 --> 00:33:05,870 And you know what? Chuba got 5 targets this week. 521 00:33:05,870 --> 00:33:09,870 You can Fact Check me on that one, but I believe if memory 522 00:33:09,870 --> 00:33:14,190 serves, Chuba got 5 targets and I wanna say Sanders got two, one 523 00:33:14,190 --> 00:33:18,100 or two. So I definitely see the work 524 00:33:18,180 --> 00:33:20,860 being split over the course of the season. 525 00:33:20,980 --> 00:33:24,060 I think that Miles Sanders, if he is gonna be getting more 526 00:33:24,060 --> 00:33:25,940 work, is getting the low calorie stuff. 527 00:33:27,100 --> 00:33:31,700 And I I think a lot of people say like Miles Sanders is a bad 528 00:33:31,700 --> 00:33:33,340 back. I don't think he's as bad as 529 00:33:33,340 --> 00:33:37,300 guys like Naji or you know, some of the lower talent guys. 530 00:33:37,580 --> 00:33:39,380 I don't think he's terrible, plus NFL talent. 531 00:33:39,860 --> 00:33:42,100 Yeah, for for sure. He's a plus NFL talent. 532 00:33:42,100 --> 00:33:46,540 I also I think Chuba is like. Replacement level talent as 533 00:33:46,540 --> 00:33:48,460 well. So I don't think he they're both 534 00:33:48,460 --> 00:33:51,100 better than Jamal Williams. You know, like, yeah, yeah, for 535 00:33:51,100 --> 00:33:53,700 sure. So I think it's gonna trend to 536 00:33:53,700 --> 00:33:58,260 being more split, but I do think that Chuba's getting more of the 537 00:33:58,260 --> 00:34:01,100 work in the passing game, which that's what I want in that 538 00:34:01,100 --> 00:34:02,140 offense. They're gonna be bad. 539 00:34:02,140 --> 00:34:05,020 They're gonna lose a lot of games, yeah. 540 00:34:05,420 --> 00:34:09,659 And I I like it. Just before we move on. 541 00:34:09,659 --> 00:34:14,860 I do like seeing that Bijon, even though he's splitting with 542 00:34:15,500 --> 00:34:20,340 Algier more than than the market was expecting, do like to see 543 00:34:20,340 --> 00:34:24,380 that his sort of like productive snack rate is around 60%. 544 00:34:24,659 --> 00:34:31,500 That is like it's just it's not it's like it's just a step below 545 00:34:31,500 --> 00:34:36,659 that sort of like second tier of work horseish running backs and 546 00:34:36,659 --> 00:34:40,340 and definitely feels like as the season goes on that he he could 547 00:34:40,420 --> 00:34:44,550 he he could add his strong efficiency to our state. 548 00:34:45,030 --> 00:34:47,510 He's already ready. Bijon is already strongly 549 00:34:47,510 --> 00:34:52,790 efficient, but he could also add in perhaps a bit more snap share 550 00:34:52,830 --> 00:34:55,630 to get even more production. Yeah, I agree. 551 00:34:55,630 --> 00:34:59,870 And just from from watching Bijon, there will not be a game 552 00:34:59,870 --> 00:35:03,350 this season where Bijon Robinson is not the best football player 553 00:35:03,350 --> 00:35:06,470 on the field at all times like that dude is insane. 554 00:35:06,470 --> 00:35:09,230 He moves in. There are multiple times where 555 00:35:09,230 --> 00:35:13,790 I'm watching Bijon run where he? Is moving out of the way of a 556 00:35:13,790 --> 00:35:16,230 tackler and he's still moving forward. 557 00:35:16,230 --> 00:35:18,190 He is. He is moving like sideways and 558 00:35:18,190 --> 00:35:22,910 forward so suddenly, at the same time, I my brain, like, can't 559 00:35:22,910 --> 00:35:25,630 comprehend that it's happening in the way that it's happening. 560 00:35:25,630 --> 00:35:29,350 He looks, he looks like the best player, hands down. 561 00:35:29,350 --> 00:35:33,630 He's very so. I know I've seen some talk. 562 00:35:33,630 --> 00:35:41,490 Dot CMC is like should be the 101 and are you there and then 563 00:35:41,490 --> 00:35:43,650 where would you put at bijon after that? 564 00:35:44,050 --> 00:35:47,810 This this sounds weird to say. After two weeks of the 49ers 565 00:35:47,810 --> 00:35:52,730 just keeping Christian McCaffrey on the field the entire time, I 566 00:35:52,730 --> 00:35:56,490 don't think that his usage is gonna be as sticky as it is. 567 00:35:57,050 --> 00:36:01,290 Yeah, I think that, you know, that game against the Rams was 568 00:36:01,290 --> 00:36:03,490 very close. They could have lost that game 569 00:36:03,650 --> 00:36:08,170 easily, you know, if it wasn't for that Kyron Williams, you 570 00:36:08,170 --> 00:36:12,040 know, interception. I think that you definitely 571 00:36:12,040 --> 00:36:14,720 could have seen the 49ers lose to the Rams there. 572 00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,800 And then in week one, like, yeah, they were. 573 00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,640 They were beaten on the Steelers, but it was week one 574 00:36:21,640 --> 00:36:23,560 and Chris McCaffrey was feeling good. 575 00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:26,440 He's fully healthy right now. He doesn't have, like, the 576 00:36:26,440 --> 00:36:28,880 Knicks and bruises that you accumulate over the course of 577 00:36:28,880 --> 00:36:32,720 the season. I don't think this usage stands, 578 00:36:33,840 --> 00:36:38,920 and I know I believe it was Ben who wrote about this in Stealing 579 00:36:38,920 --> 00:36:41,480 Signals. Something to the effect of the 580 00:36:41,480 --> 00:36:45,400 49ers just decided, hey, Elijah Mitchell, you're the odd man 581 00:36:45,400 --> 00:36:47,240 out. We have too many talented guys 582 00:36:47,840 --> 00:36:50,400 to get the ball distributed to all of them, so you're just 583 00:36:50,400 --> 00:36:53,040 never going to see the field. And I think that's going to be 584 00:36:53,040 --> 00:36:57,280 true when the games are close, but when they play games that 585 00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:01,640 are out of hand, or even when Christian McCaffrey is just a, 586 00:37:01,800 --> 00:37:04,440 you know, a little bit nicked up, I think we're not going to 587 00:37:04,440 --> 00:37:07,160 see this usage hold. And that's not to say that he's 588 00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:11,320 not a an incredibly strong first round pick, but just that you 589 00:37:11,320 --> 00:37:14,200 know it's the 101. Like I'm still pretty 590 00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:18,520 confidently taking Justin Jefferson 101 and I also think 591 00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:24,360 I'm taking Tyree kill 102 but then Christian McCaffrey is is 592 00:37:24,360 --> 00:37:28,120 probably the back that you have to take there and then in that 593 00:37:28,120 --> 00:37:31,080 next tier I think it's got to be Bijon, right? 594 00:37:31,080 --> 00:37:31,920 I can't. Yeah. 595 00:37:31,960 --> 00:37:35,500 You you have anyone different? Yeah I I was I was leading you 596 00:37:35,500 --> 00:37:40,860 to say that I I that I was saying like I was I was I was 597 00:37:40,860 --> 00:37:43,540 basically trying to get you to say yeah Bijon is after that and 598 00:37:43,580 --> 00:37:49,700 I completely agree and I I think it's somewhat interesting that 599 00:37:50,740 --> 00:37:56,140 so like this elite, elite, elite usage for CMC it's only like 600 00:37:56,140 --> 00:38:00,140 it's 20 carries a game and then what is it? 601 00:38:00,140 --> 00:38:02,060 We're looking at 3 1/2 targets a game. 602 00:38:02,780 --> 00:38:10,840 So like obviously very very good and but if you're if you're 603 00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:14,520 thinking like oh what's what's the best what's the best role in 604 00:38:14,520 --> 00:38:19,120 the NFL like obviously 25 touches a game is, is like it's 605 00:38:19,120 --> 00:38:24,000 pretty workhorse horseish. But I would bet if you got it, 606 00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:28,240 if if they get into games where like there's more, there's more 607 00:38:28,440 --> 00:38:32,670 touches for the box than 25 ish, then they're they're definitely 608 00:38:32,670 --> 00:38:35,750 bringing in Elijah Mitchell. Like, I think part of this 609 00:38:35,750 --> 00:38:39,830 percentage thing is that they just haven't gotten into, they 610 00:38:39,830 --> 00:38:42,830 haven't got to a stage where like, OK, we've given them too 611 00:38:42,830 --> 00:38:44,670 much touches. We need, we need to give this 612 00:38:44,670 --> 00:38:47,550 guy a breeder. Yeah, I agree. 613 00:38:50,350 --> 00:38:54,590 But if you don't have anyone else, we can move on to the to 614 00:38:54,590 --> 00:38:56,830 the backup chart. Yeah, let's go to the backup 615 00:38:56,830 --> 00:38:58,590 chart. We're we're gonna try and stay 616 00:38:58,590 --> 00:39:02,080 on schedule tonight, folks. So I think you're I actually I 617 00:39:02,080 --> 00:39:04,760 think we're on good schedule. Excellent, excellent. 618 00:39:05,760 --> 00:39:10,160 Here on this second chart, there's a couple guys here where 619 00:39:10,360 --> 00:39:12,720 like Justice Hill, Gus Edwards, they both are. 620 00:39:12,840 --> 00:39:17,880 They will eventually work their way towards that starter chart. 621 00:39:18,000 --> 00:39:21,400 It's just still the lag from Week 1 where Dobbins got 622 00:39:21,400 --> 00:39:24,600 everything in the first half, basically, other than Justice 623 00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:26,600 coming in and getting a couple touches. 624 00:39:26,600 --> 00:39:29,040 And then in the second-half it was Gus and Justice. 625 00:39:29,680 --> 00:39:31,880 But those guys will work their way up. 626 00:39:32,760 --> 00:39:35,600 Other guys that I fully anticipate to work their way 627 00:39:35,600 --> 00:39:38,080 onto that first chart. You're gonna see Gibbs work his 628 00:39:38,080 --> 00:39:40,560 way onto the first chart. With the Montgomery injury, 629 00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:43,320 you're gonna see Warren slowly work his way onto the first 630 00:39:43,320 --> 00:39:45,800 chart. Just because we got, we watched 631 00:39:45,800 --> 00:39:50,520 Naji play football for two weeks like the Bears. 632 00:39:50,520 --> 00:39:53,200 Backfield is interesting to me. I. 633 00:39:53,670 --> 00:39:57,150 I think that there's a chance that Herbert and Rochon 634 00:39:57,150 --> 00:39:59,310 consolidate everything between the two of them. 635 00:39:59,350 --> 00:40:01,950 I mean, you had to down to Foreman, inactive this last 636 00:40:01,950 --> 00:40:03,750 week. I don't know if that's going to 637 00:40:03,750 --> 00:40:06,230 be consistent going forward, but if there's a chance they 638 00:40:06,230 --> 00:40:09,310 consolidate it. But that offense doesn't look 639 00:40:09,390 --> 00:40:13,870 great, so I don't know how desirable you know either of 640 00:40:13,870 --> 00:40:16,910 them are for fantasy. I I mean, if I had to pick one, 641 00:40:16,910 --> 00:40:21,190 it's Rochon, just since he's a rookie running back. 642 00:40:23,290 --> 00:40:26,850 His ticker should be trending up over the course of the season. 643 00:40:28,810 --> 00:40:32,930 What do you make of Jovante Williams usage so far and how do 644 00:40:32,930 --> 00:40:35,170 you feel about him going forward this season? 645 00:40:36,090 --> 00:40:43,090 And so obviously he's playing off the ACL, so he is being an 646 00:40:43,610 --> 00:40:47,940 Angel long and I think. As long as like he's he's 647 00:40:47,940 --> 00:40:50,860 continuing for like progressing through his rehab. 648 00:40:51,220 --> 00:40:53,660 I I think that that something that sort of like missed a 649 00:40:53,660 --> 00:40:55,780 little bit or are not communicated well. 650 00:40:56,460 --> 00:41:01,020 Is that like part of the rehab from these knee injuries is 651 00:41:01,020 --> 00:41:04,980 actually playing in the game like the the way the way that 652 00:41:04,980 --> 00:41:07,660 people come back from injuries is by getting stronger, by 653 00:41:07,660 --> 00:41:12,620 getting more stamina, by by by putting stresses on on that 654 00:41:12,620 --> 00:41:17,600 injury and so and. He he's sort of like still in 655 00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:22,880 his his rehab and then once once he gets a couple of games under 656 00:41:22,880 --> 00:41:26,120 his belt assuming and no setbacks or anything like that 657 00:41:27,280 --> 00:41:34,360 would definitely expect better at him to get into the starter 658 00:41:34,360 --> 00:41:38,520 chart. And I think if you if you have 659 00:41:38,520 --> 00:41:42,320 the outlook that the the the Broncos are going to be a 660 00:41:42,320 --> 00:41:49,460 somewhat decent offense. Then we'll he will. 661 00:41:49,580 --> 00:41:57,420 He should be a productive back I think though if you were 662 00:41:57,420 --> 00:42:02,820 drafting Jovante in the sixth round, it does. 663 00:42:03,220 --> 00:42:07,940 Unless unless we see this again a good bit better soon. 664 00:42:08,220 --> 00:42:11,220 I think this is sort of shaping up to be a little disappointing 665 00:42:11,220 --> 00:42:15,050 there and. But if you if you were drafting 666 00:42:15,050 --> 00:42:20,370 him much earlier early in the offseason and then later in the 667 00:42:20,370 --> 00:42:25,130 draft I I I think that this is this is really strong for 668 00:42:25,130 --> 00:42:32,650 Giovante and but it it it's it's also hard it's hard to call just 669 00:42:32,650 --> 00:42:37,210 because his apart from his broken tackle metrics he's never 670 00:42:37,210 --> 00:42:42,520 been particularly efficient so. It is it it it's a tricky I 671 00:42:42,520 --> 00:42:48,200 think it is a tricky 1 where you need you you do need you need 672 00:42:48,200 --> 00:42:51,200 more snap shared on than than you're looking for from breeze 673 00:42:51,920 --> 00:42:54,480 and then you do need his recovery to be good enough where 674 00:42:54,480 --> 00:42:57,440 he can play well. That's cut sort of a wishy washy 675 00:42:57,440 --> 00:43:02,800 answer and but I think I'm I I probably not dropped him in the 676 00:43:02,800 --> 00:43:06,640 6th but happy to drop them in the 8 rounds. 677 00:43:06,720 --> 00:43:08,870 That is how I voted. Yeah. 678 00:43:08,870 --> 00:43:11,270 I think that's a good assessment and that's not wishy washy. 679 00:43:11,270 --> 00:43:15,670 That's the way, like, I know that what a lot of, I don't 680 00:43:15,670 --> 00:43:18,310 think this audience is that way. But I know that what a lot of 681 00:43:18,310 --> 00:43:20,990 people look for in fantasy analysis, they want like those 682 00:43:20,990 --> 00:43:24,930 strong takes or the strong stands, when really what good 683 00:43:24,930 --> 00:43:26,930 analysis is, is what you just did. 684 00:43:26,930 --> 00:43:30,490 You kind of laid out, you know, hey, here's the whole situation. 685 00:43:30,490 --> 00:43:32,770 Here's the pros and cons. Here's how it could break your 686 00:43:32,770 --> 00:43:35,690 way, here's what you're looking for, for it to go well, you 687 00:43:35,690 --> 00:43:38,650 know, here's a reasonable, you know, price range for him. 688 00:43:38,970 --> 00:43:41,130 Right. So, yeah, no, I I agree with 689 00:43:41,130 --> 00:43:45,050 that assessment on Jovante. It's all pretty positive so far. 690 00:43:45,050 --> 00:43:48,810 The way most of my Jovante came in, like round eight, round 691 00:43:48,810 --> 00:43:49,810 nine, you know. Yeah. 692 00:43:50,330 --> 00:43:52,170 And I'm. I'm feeling great about it. 693 00:43:52,690 --> 00:43:56,060 Yeah. For sure the the other guy that 694 00:43:56,060 --> 00:43:58,980 was going in that range of drafts and is right below him on 695 00:43:58,980 --> 00:44:01,660 the charts though. Dalvin Cook. 696 00:44:02,540 --> 00:44:04,260 Woof. I mean I know. 697 00:44:04,260 --> 00:44:05,820 I know it was the Cowboys defense. 698 00:44:05,820 --> 00:44:09,500 And so like for for me, honestly what I'm doing for The Jets this 699 00:44:09,500 --> 00:44:13,500 week is just like just that's a throw away the tape game. 700 00:44:13,540 --> 00:44:17,460 You know, like I'm not to not to be the world's biggest Cowboys 701 00:44:17,460 --> 00:44:19,340 Homer. I'm pretty sure a lot of teams 702 00:44:19,340 --> 00:44:21,660 are gonna have their worst offensive performance against 703 00:44:21,660 --> 00:44:25,860 that defense this year, So I I think you can throw away the 704 00:44:25,860 --> 00:44:27,540 tape there. I mean, it also doesn't help 705 00:44:27,540 --> 00:44:29,860 that Zach Wilson was the quarterback. 706 00:44:30,380 --> 00:44:33,300 That one that's about to. Say, hold on there, Homer. 707 00:44:33,300 --> 00:44:35,060 You've played fucking Zach Wilson. 708 00:44:37,580 --> 00:44:39,540 And what's the other guy? Yeah, done in time. 709 00:44:39,780 --> 00:44:43,180 Zach Wilson and Daniel Jones and and two offensive lines that 710 00:44:43,180 --> 00:44:46,140 have not shown that they've been particularly strong. 711 00:44:46,580 --> 00:44:50,580 But I I do think even though the competition that defenses face 712 00:44:50,580 --> 00:44:54,290 has not been, you know, the highest echelon that the NFL has 713 00:44:54,290 --> 00:44:57,610 to offer, I think that we're getting way more signal than 714 00:44:57,610 --> 00:45:00,570 noise from that defense is, is what I'll say about it. 715 00:45:00,570 --> 00:45:03,930 But no one wants to hear a Cowboys Homer go on about how 716 00:45:03,930 --> 00:45:06,250 this defense is the doomsday defense again. 717 00:45:06,610 --> 00:45:10,010 But what the people do want to hear is about Justice Hill. 718 00:45:10,970 --> 00:45:15,250 Because Justice Hill, while he didn't put up an incredible box 719 00:45:15,250 --> 00:45:19,110 score for you this week, there were some really encouraging 720 00:45:19,110 --> 00:45:22,430 things about the way that the workload was split and most 721 00:45:22,430 --> 00:45:24,870 specifically the way the high value touches were split. 722 00:45:25,350 --> 00:45:28,830 So this is a situation I followed extremely closely as 723 00:45:28,870 --> 00:45:33,350 the resident Justice Hill truther and Justice took 724 00:45:33,350 --> 00:45:38,470 basically a 5545 split. Gus did get work but Gus 725 00:45:38,470 --> 00:45:42,910 basically got a lot of the you know lower calorie carry type 726 00:45:42,910 --> 00:45:46,040 work. Justice out touched him and high 727 00:45:46,040 --> 00:45:50,120 value touches 5 to 1 and the only high value touch Gus did 728 00:45:50,120 --> 00:45:54,920 get was a goal line carry where unfortunately for Justice Hill 729 00:45:54,920 --> 00:45:58,320 he did get stuffed the play right before and then Gus came 730 00:45:58,320 --> 00:46:01,720 in and and cleaned it up and vultured the TVI. 731 00:46:01,720 --> 00:46:05,720 Do think that that that definitely that caps the ceiling 732 00:46:05,720 --> 00:46:09,840 for Justice right he's he's 190 pound something you know 733 00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:13,180 satellite back plus he's not he's not going to be the power 734 00:46:13,180 --> 00:46:16,940 back on the goal line but we did see in week one he is able to 735 00:46:16,940 --> 00:46:20,020 score from you know those Green Zone touches. 736 00:46:20,260 --> 00:46:23,220 I just don't think the you know run up the middles are are going 737 00:46:23,220 --> 00:46:26,140 to be the highest probability for Justice Hill touchdown plays 738 00:46:27,020 --> 00:46:29,700 but overall it was super positive for him. 739 00:46:30,340 --> 00:46:33,100 I do think really what you're looking at though is you're just 740 00:46:33,100 --> 00:46:37,940 looking for in games where the Ravens go crazy, Justice Hill 741 00:46:37,940 --> 00:46:42,400 has multi touchdown upside in his range of outcomes and in 742 00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:46,520 games where the Ravens are behind a lot and having to throw 743 00:46:46,520 --> 00:46:49,440 more, he is squarely the passing back. 744 00:46:50,360 --> 00:46:51,920 So that's that's what you wanted to see. 745 00:46:51,920 --> 00:46:53,400 That was the whole thesis of the play. 746 00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,520 So Justice Hills slappies were alive. 747 00:46:58,200 --> 00:47:03,760 And I think the fact that he did get 22 Green Zone touches are 748 00:47:03,760 --> 00:47:08,840 still like he's not dead for a goal line work. 749 00:47:09,370 --> 00:47:11,170 He's just sort of splitting it, yeah. 750 00:47:12,690 --> 00:47:18,090 And but yeah, agreed, agreed. It's definitely the usage and 751 00:47:18,090 --> 00:47:21,610 the situation is better than last week's box score would 752 00:47:21,610 --> 00:47:25,850 indicate. So moving on. 753 00:47:26,650 --> 00:47:32,930 And so we're still on the Orb charts and this is expected 754 00:47:32,930 --> 00:47:35,820 points. So we have a rushing expected 755 00:47:35,820 --> 00:47:39,420 points from rushing on the on the horizontal axis and then 756 00:47:39,500 --> 00:47:44,460 expected points from receiving and and targets on the on the 757 00:47:44,460 --> 00:47:49,300 vertical axis. And so we we'll we have covered 758 00:47:49,380 --> 00:47:53,980 a lot of a lot of these players. But I guess this this sort of 759 00:47:53,980 --> 00:47:58,540 converts it from like oh, when we on the field to like how good 760 00:47:58,540 --> 00:48:01,380 was your opportunity and and how efficient were you with it. 761 00:48:02,670 --> 00:48:05,430 Yeah, absolutely. One thing I do want to add just 762 00:48:05,430 --> 00:48:09,350 as some some clarity to this chart for guys that played week 763 00:48:09,350 --> 00:48:12,150 one but didn't play week two like Austin Eckler, we're only 764 00:48:12,150 --> 00:48:15,390 pulling week one data in here. So that's that's why he still is 765 00:48:15,390 --> 00:48:20,230 where he is. Guys that stood out to me. 766 00:48:20,950 --> 00:48:26,310 I mean, Raheem Moster looks like a very strong pick where he was 767 00:48:26,310 --> 00:48:30,220 going in basketball. Still, the role is just the role 768 00:48:30,220 --> 00:48:34,140 is fantastic. What this really does for me, 769 00:48:34,140 --> 00:48:36,740 like I I'm obviously super excited for the teams where I've 770 00:48:36,740 --> 00:48:40,140 got Rahim mosted on them. What makes me really excited 771 00:48:40,140 --> 00:48:43,620 though is that the runway is starting to get cleared out for 772 00:48:43,660 --> 00:48:47,700 a chain because you've had a couple injuries now you know 773 00:48:47,700 --> 00:48:51,180 you've still got Jeff Wilson on IR with the extremely dubious 774 00:48:51,180 --> 00:48:53,700 comments from the coaches of he could come back this season. 775 00:48:54,100 --> 00:48:54,980 Excuse me? Right. 776 00:48:55,340 --> 00:49:01,190 He might still be alive, but we, yeah, yeah, Salman Achmed got 777 00:49:01,190 --> 00:49:04,910 banged up in the last game. I haven't seen anything specific 778 00:49:04,910 --> 00:49:08,030 about the severity of his injury, but it's starting to 779 00:49:08,030 --> 00:49:11,510 look like we're going to get some a chain opportunity. 780 00:49:11,510 --> 00:49:14,870 He did manage to sneak his way onto the field a little bit in 781 00:49:14,870 --> 00:49:17,390 Week 2. So I think we're we're starting 782 00:49:17,390 --> 00:49:20,230 to see that ramp up for him, which that's really that's what 783 00:49:20,230 --> 00:49:22,590 you need. I would anticipate where he gets 784 00:49:22,590 --> 00:49:26,030 involved first is more in the passing game. 785 00:49:26,030 --> 00:49:29,630 Not that most, it is not a perfectly competent back in the 786 00:49:29,630 --> 00:49:32,950 passing game, but I think that a chain adds a lot more and that 787 00:49:32,950 --> 00:49:35,070 is what we saw from him when he was on the field. 788 00:49:36,150 --> 00:49:40,710 So this just if you take Raheem Moster there and you just remove 789 00:49:40,710 --> 00:49:44,270 his name and put Dolphins running back, that's the way 790 00:49:44,270 --> 00:49:46,430 that I'm looking at it. And so that's a role that I 791 00:49:46,430 --> 00:49:48,230 think is super valuable. It's just an offense. 792 00:49:48,230 --> 00:49:49,670 It's going to score a bunch of points. 793 00:49:49,950 --> 00:49:52,660 You want the running back there, you know? 794 00:49:52,660 --> 00:49:54,420 Should be able to be pretty efficient with it. 795 00:49:55,380 --> 00:49:58,140 And just as well it's Rahim Mostard. 796 00:49:58,260 --> 00:50:03,180 He's 32. It's weak to like, I mean 797 00:50:03,180 --> 00:50:07,540 obviously you hope that he makes a full year and for him as a 798 00:50:07,540 --> 00:50:10,900 player definitely hope that. And but on sort of balance of 799 00:50:10,900 --> 00:50:16,380 probabilities, like it is hard to see him be healthy and 800 00:50:16,380 --> 00:50:20,620 productive the same way he has been true at what is it, three 801 00:50:20,620 --> 00:50:23,160 months? And three plus months of an NFL 802 00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:28,640 season SO1. Easy to see somebody else come 803 00:50:28,640 --> 00:50:30,600 in. One thing you mentioned last 804 00:50:30,600 --> 00:50:35,720 week that I wanted to point out this week is for the size of the 805 00:50:35,720 --> 00:50:38,080 dots you can see up in the top left hand corner we've got the 806 00:50:38,080 --> 00:50:41,640 size reference is that size of the pink dot. 807 00:50:41,640 --> 00:50:46,000 There is zero fantasy points over expected per game, and so 808 00:50:46,650 --> 00:50:48,690 you can look at this in a couple ways. 809 00:50:48,890 --> 00:50:53,570 Number one, guys with a bigger size, they're probably playing a 810 00:50:53,570 --> 00:50:56,090 little bit more efficiently. The touches that they're being 811 00:50:56,090 --> 00:51:00,090 given, they're actually making more out of those than what they 812 00:51:00,090 --> 00:51:02,450 should be worth. The other thing though is if you 813 00:51:02,450 --> 00:51:06,840 get someone who runs super hot on touchdowns, they also will 814 00:51:06,840 --> 00:51:09,080 show up as a larger size. Is that the correct 815 00:51:09,080 --> 00:51:11,760 interpretation to that? So just be wary. 816 00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:21,040 You know not all size is created equal, but like one one that I 817 00:51:21,040 --> 00:51:25,480 see that stands out that is not exciting for me is Damian 818 00:51:25,480 --> 00:51:28,680 Pierce. I mean we touched on it earlier. 819 00:51:29,040 --> 00:51:32,840 Not only is you know, his role much smaller than anticipated, 820 00:51:33,460 --> 00:51:35,980 but his efficiency looks pretty poor. 821 00:51:35,980 --> 00:51:39,260 I mean, he is in that 10 to 15 expected fantasy points band 822 00:51:39,740 --> 00:51:44,700 there, but that's a guy where like here, here's a question. 823 00:51:45,500 --> 00:51:48,460 Neither of these are super exciting backs, but Isaiah 824 00:51:48,460 --> 00:51:51,060 Pacheco or Damian Pierce, Who would you rather have on your 825 00:51:51,060 --> 00:51:54,660 team? And Pacheco and OK. 826 00:51:55,460 --> 00:52:00,660 So I just just on on on the efficiency, so he's been bad on 827 00:52:00,660 --> 00:52:07,140 a yardage efficiency. So last last week he was -4 1/2 828 00:52:07,340 --> 00:52:12,780 at expected points are are over expected points on the yardage 829 00:52:12,900 --> 00:52:18,300 components and then -5.1 on on the TD. 830 00:52:18,340 --> 00:52:24,220 So that's like a negative 9.6. Obviously this is volatile you 831 00:52:24,220 --> 00:52:28,710 don't expect. That that low every, every week, 832 00:52:29,190 --> 00:52:32,510 but really quite per. Sorry, go ahead. 833 00:52:33,510 --> 00:52:39,150 No, no, the the other one that this one I I guess I'm just 834 00:52:39,150 --> 00:52:43,390 going to have to to take the L on this one but Latavius Murray 835 00:52:43,390 --> 00:52:47,590 having a legitimate role beyond being just a camp body for the 836 00:52:47,590 --> 00:52:53,800 Bills is baffling to me. I don't think that Damien Harris 837 00:52:53,960 --> 00:52:58,680 looks bad when he gets on the field but there I I think that 838 00:52:58,760 --> 00:53:01,680 this is probably a really savvy thing for real life football. 839 00:53:01,680 --> 00:53:04,280 Like hey let's take our our two guys that are going to be our 840 00:53:04,280 --> 00:53:07,600 more bruiser type acts except with habeas Murray is involved 841 00:53:07,600 --> 00:53:11,640 in the passing game like pretty pretty good as well but they're 842 00:53:11,640 --> 00:53:14,080 they're just splitting the load between those guys. 843 00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:17,600 So like I it's probably savvy for for real football for 844 00:53:17,600 --> 00:53:19,720 fantasy football. It's pretty frustrating. 845 00:53:20,210 --> 00:53:25,250 I think you you're you're much lower on Damien Harris going 846 00:53:25,250 --> 00:53:27,610 forward again Latavius Murray is 34. 847 00:53:27,610 --> 00:53:31,410 So in the same, you know same way that Raheem most are we 848 00:53:31,410 --> 00:53:35,330 don't really anticipate him having his strongest production 849 00:53:35,370 --> 00:53:37,010 in the back half of the season. I would. 850 00:53:37,090 --> 00:53:39,050 I'd feel the same about Murray. Yeah. 851 00:53:39,050 --> 00:53:43,370 But when I when I'm thinking of Murray, I'm more so thinking of 852 00:53:43,370 --> 00:53:46,410 him with respect to what does this mean for James Cook? 853 00:53:46,410 --> 00:53:48,170 What does this mean for Damien Harris? 854 00:53:49,330 --> 00:53:52,570 So how would you, how would you look for James Cook and Damian 855 00:53:52,570 --> 00:53:59,690 Harris going forward? So, James Cook, Obviously his 856 00:53:59,690 --> 00:54:02,330 yardage has been good, his snack count has been good. 857 00:54:04,290 --> 00:54:07,980 But. Frustrating that there's now two 858 00:54:07,980 --> 00:54:11,340 guys ahead of him on the scene or he's having to. 859 00:54:11,700 --> 00:54:15,100 Not only is is that Josh Allen going to account for a high 860 00:54:15,100 --> 00:54:20,700 percentage of the goal line touchdowns, but having two other 861 00:54:20,700 --> 00:54:23,660 backs that are going to mix in or and potentially play ahead of 862 00:54:23,660 --> 00:54:29,900 them on the on the goal line is. It's definitely frustrating and 863 00:54:30,980 --> 00:54:35,010 I think though. There's probably at least some 864 00:54:35,010 --> 00:54:39,090 probability that and James Cook has maybe a better goal line 865 00:54:39,090 --> 00:54:42,810 role than that we've seen through two weeks. 866 00:54:43,450 --> 00:54:50,130 And like like you mentioned Latavius Marie is 34 and and I 867 00:54:50,130 --> 00:54:53,610 think James Cook he has, he has been a good rusher. 868 00:54:53,930 --> 00:54:58,210 So I I think that he could still like be a good goal line back, 869 00:54:58,770 --> 00:55:03,610 but definitely I think. At least for the season, for the 870 00:55:03,610 --> 00:55:10,690 regular season part of of contests that him for now 871 00:55:10,730 --> 00:55:14,090 looking like that he sort of washed out of the of the goal 872 00:55:14,090 --> 00:55:17,410 and stuff it. It does take out your your 873 00:55:17,450 --> 00:55:22,210 outcomes where okay you took him in the 5th or whatever and now 874 00:55:22,250 --> 00:55:26,050 and and now he's going to be so good that he should he actually 875 00:55:26,050 --> 00:55:27,250 should have been in the second round pick. 876 00:55:27,250 --> 00:55:30,570 So you got it. You got a complete steal, I 877 00:55:30,570 --> 00:55:34,530 think that. And you probably you're you're 878 00:55:34,530 --> 00:55:40,810 not drawing super live to get like this really high advance 879 00:55:40,810 --> 00:55:46,370 rate and but I I don't I don't think like the for the whole 880 00:55:46,370 --> 00:55:50,170 year that his goal line that he's just dead to have a goal 881 00:55:50,170 --> 00:55:54,490 line role and he's just a little bit a little bit blocked to have 882 00:55:54,490 --> 00:55:59,650 enough of one that you need and if you took him in the 5th and 883 00:55:59,810 --> 00:56:05,730 what. I mean I think that he's 884 00:56:05,730 --> 00:56:09,770 definitely someone where you're interested in let's say around 885 00:56:09,770 --> 00:56:12,690 the seventh round. I I think still quite 886 00:56:12,690 --> 00:56:17,330 interesting because he he is getting a lot of non goal line 887 00:56:17,330 --> 00:56:22,330 usage. He has been efficient and so 888 00:56:22,730 --> 00:56:25,610 that's yeah I I think that's about where I'm at on him. 889 00:56:25,610 --> 00:56:30,900 OK I I had one more back I wanted to talk about on this 890 00:56:30,900 --> 00:56:36,340 chart before we move on and that's is there a more like ho 891 00:56:36,340 --> 00:56:40,420 hum he's gonna score his fantasy points back than Ramondre 892 00:56:40,420 --> 00:56:45,300 Stevenson feels right now like doesn't that just feel like yeah 893 00:56:45,300 --> 00:56:49,060 sure I'll take Ramondre and I I you know if you were drafting a 894 00:56:49,580 --> 00:56:51,540 a week three you know best ball team. 895 00:56:51,700 --> 00:56:55,060 Yeah, right now doesn't he probably just goes like fourth 896 00:56:55,060 --> 00:56:57,940 round like I guess I click Ramondre Stevenson here kind of 897 00:56:57,940 --> 00:57:00,170 pick. Yeah. 898 00:57:00,410 --> 00:57:05,890 And I mean, I think Zeke is playing a little bit more than 899 00:57:05,890 --> 00:57:09,890 you're expecting or a little bit more than I was expecting. 900 00:57:10,210 --> 00:57:12,490 Like I knew that he was going to play. 901 00:57:12,530 --> 00:57:15,930 I I didn't quite realize that he was going to play that much. 902 00:57:16,370 --> 00:57:22,090 And but I think that sort of like overall thesis for Ram 903 00:57:22,090 --> 00:57:25,210 Andre where I was drafting, drafting him in the Fort. 904 00:57:25,670 --> 00:57:28,710 And during the offseason I think that's like still sort of very 905 00:57:28,710 --> 00:57:35,630 much in play and and I would and maybe this is hope but I would 906 00:57:35,630 --> 00:57:39,430 hope that the more Zeke plays bad the less he gets played. 907 00:57:39,870 --> 00:57:42,590 So like Reminders World does get bigger. 908 00:57:43,070 --> 00:57:49,910 And then and maybe with some of the more encouraging signs from 909 00:57:50,070 --> 00:57:54,640 from Mac Jones where OK. The the offense doesn't have 910 00:57:54,640 --> 00:57:58,720 enough good players to like make Mac Jones look overall good but 911 00:57:58,720 --> 00:58:04,280 maybe you can keep it going just enough so that there is 912 00:58:04,280 --> 00:58:10,280 something for reminder to work with And but yeah the fact I I 913 00:58:10,360 --> 00:58:13,760 I'm just thinking true now the fact that like it doesn't feel 914 00:58:13,760 --> 00:58:17,960 super live for the New England Patriot offensive overall like 915 00:58:17,960 --> 00:58:22,920 really good that that hurts reminder a bit and but. 916 00:58:23,500 --> 00:58:26,860 Still I I I think still quite interested in the in the four 917 00:58:26,860 --> 00:58:33,700 rounds where I am. Where, where are you? 918 00:58:33,700 --> 00:58:37,860 On on on James Cook are are you are you different? 919 00:58:37,860 --> 00:58:41,460 Me, I think. I think the people that got him 920 00:58:41,460 --> 00:58:45,500 in, like, you know, the 8th, 9th round, yeah, got a really good 921 00:58:45,500 --> 00:58:47,260 price. I think the people that chased 922 00:58:47,260 --> 00:58:48,940 him up to the fifth, they're probably not. 923 00:58:49,700 --> 00:58:52,420 You're not like this. Obviously this week he had great 924 00:58:52,420 --> 00:58:54,580 production. You're you probably, if you 925 00:58:54,580 --> 00:58:56,620 drafted him in the fifth, you're probably telling yourself like, 926 00:58:56,620 --> 00:58:58,820 it's fine, like you look. Yeah, like how good he was. 927 00:58:59,180 --> 00:59:01,380 But I think what you're gonna end up with over the course of 928 00:59:01,380 --> 00:59:05,220 the season is a guy where the 5th is probably like a break 929 00:59:05,220 --> 00:59:07,540 even. You know, your best case 930 00:59:07,540 --> 00:59:10,620 scenario is that that's an efficient pricing of him, which, 931 00:59:10,620 --> 00:59:12,860 yeah, that's not really the way that I want to. 932 00:59:13,610 --> 00:59:17,490 I mean, you know, if if I have to pick between picking a player 933 00:59:17,490 --> 00:59:19,930 that's efficiently priced or picking a player that busted, 934 00:59:20,250 --> 00:59:22,010 like, yeah, I'll take the efficiently priced, yeah, all 935 00:59:22,010 --> 00:59:24,610 day. But that's not what I'm I'm not 936 00:59:24,610 --> 00:59:27,610 setting out to find all the guys that are efficiently priced in 937 00:59:27,610 --> 00:59:30,130 drafts, if that makes sense. Yeah, yeah, yeah. 938 00:59:30,170 --> 00:59:34,490 You're trying to win tournaments and and and not at unless. 939 00:59:34,690 --> 00:59:37,930 So unless he he does actually work into a decent share of the 940 00:59:37,930 --> 00:59:41,570 go long role you're it it it it's probably not going to be a 941 00:59:41,570 --> 00:59:45,160 tournament winning pick. Yeah I mean it may he he 942 00:59:45,160 --> 00:59:48,480 definitely for the 8th, 9th round price I think that's still 943 00:59:48,480 --> 00:59:50,480 enough room. Yeah, yeah, where you That 944 00:59:50,560 --> 00:59:52,120 should be a tournament winning pick, right? 945 00:59:52,560 --> 00:59:58,080 Yeah, totally agreed. And is there anybody else? 946 00:59:58,360 --> 01:00:01,000 I, I, I, I do think we have to move on and but. 947 01:00:02,200 --> 01:00:04,120 Yeah, I think, I think we're going to go to the next one. 948 01:00:04,440 --> 01:00:10,400 Yeah, ohh, I mean, I I gotta just start us off here. 949 01:00:10,400 --> 01:00:14,360 I mean, we already saw that Kyron's usage was elite, but 950 01:00:14,360 --> 01:00:18,760 yeah, his his expected fantasy points is also elite. 951 01:00:19,320 --> 01:00:23,760 Yeah, man, You know what I I'm really disappointed that Pat did 952 01:00:23,760 --> 01:00:26,920 not include Kyron Williams in his legendary upside articles 953 01:00:26,920 --> 01:00:29,560 this offseason. He just because he didn't have 954 01:00:29,560 --> 01:00:35,240 his cert eye open quite enough. Yeah, but man I mean the only 955 01:00:35,240 --> 01:00:39,750 guys that are looking so far legitimately live for like a 956 01:00:39,750 --> 01:00:44,910 legendary upside type season are Tony Pollard CMC. 957 01:00:45,150 --> 01:00:48,550 I mean, if Austin Eckler only misses one week, Austin Eckler, 958 01:00:49,430 --> 01:00:53,870 Bijon Robinson and you know, maybe maybe briefs for the back 959 01:00:53,870 --> 01:00:56,910 half of the season and then Kyron Williams like. 960 01:00:58,230 --> 01:01:04,710 Right. It's rarefied there for like a 961 01:01:04,750 --> 01:01:08,650 yeah. For such a late round pick it's 962 01:01:08,770 --> 01:01:14,930 so it's so unusual for this to have happened and but in 963 01:01:14,930 --> 01:01:20,050 hindsight it doesn't feel great to have like like it. 964 01:01:20,570 --> 01:01:23,290 I I wasn't. I wasn't particularly against 965 01:01:23,290 --> 01:01:29,090 Kyron, but I wasn't particularly like on him and so to speak and 966 01:01:29,410 --> 01:01:33,570 like looking back when the only other back that the the coaches 967 01:01:33,570 --> 01:01:37,380 liked was Cam makers. It it, it doesn't feel great to 968 01:01:37,380 --> 01:01:40,580 have like not been there 50% Kyron. 969 01:01:41,860 --> 01:01:45,380 Yeah, I I really liked Kyron this offseason. 970 01:01:45,380 --> 01:01:48,980 A lot of people that I follow that, you know, I, I think are 971 01:01:48,980 --> 01:01:50,460 sharp. Analysts had pointed me in the 972 01:01:50,460 --> 01:01:52,820 direction of Kyron and I liked him last season. 973 01:01:53,140 --> 01:01:55,260 I had some kind of loved him. Last year, yeah. 974 01:01:55,260 --> 01:02:00,460 Then we we didn't get to see the bet play out and earlier in the 975 01:02:00,460 --> 01:02:04,970 offseason this this is something where I feel like it's a good 976 01:02:04,970 --> 01:02:07,650 thing to do in your drafting process but it's also something 977 01:02:07,650 --> 01:02:10,570 where I'm making a note to be careful about this next season 978 01:02:10,570 --> 01:02:14,450 as well. But I I really lumped some of 979 01:02:14,450 --> 01:02:18,010 these players into this archetype that I had in my mind 980 01:02:18,010 --> 01:02:21,370 for them and for Kyron, I had put him in this. 981 01:02:21,650 --> 01:02:23,850 He's probably going to be the guy that gets a lot of the 982 01:02:23,850 --> 01:02:25,490 passing work. He's smaller. 983 01:02:25,490 --> 01:02:27,730 They really like him in that role. 984 01:02:27,730 --> 01:02:30,210 You know Cam Makers probably gets the stuff. 985 01:02:30,210 --> 01:02:32,810 I don't care that Cam Makers is getting, he's getting you know, 986 01:02:33,720 --> 01:02:36,600 16 carries for 50 yards. Like who cares? 987 01:02:36,880 --> 01:02:39,520 Kyron's getting 6 targets or whatever and the Rams are going 988 01:02:39,520 --> 01:02:40,880 to be bad and they're going to be losing. 989 01:02:41,160 --> 01:02:44,520 And so I want, you know, I want Kyron on full PPR sites. 990 01:02:44,520 --> 01:02:48,360 So I I targeted Kyron more on DraftKings and had a little bit 991 01:02:48,360 --> 01:02:52,320 of him on Underdog, but it was only 18 rounds on Underdog. 992 01:02:52,360 --> 01:02:55,360 It's like I'm not so confident that I need Kyron here, and I 993 01:02:55,360 --> 01:02:59,640 like him better in full PPR and really what I should be doing 994 01:02:59,640 --> 01:03:03,240 instead of like lumping a player into this is the archetype. 995 01:03:03,240 --> 01:03:06,720 This is the only box they fit in and I'm drafting them like that 996 01:03:06,720 --> 01:03:09,920 always is. I really need to think of like 997 01:03:09,920 --> 01:03:12,440 the range of their archetypes they could. 998 01:03:13,040 --> 01:03:16,520 In the event. Now that I think back to it, 999 01:03:16,920 --> 01:03:21,080 Jacob Sanderson had a pretty good article about running backs 1000 01:03:21,160 --> 01:03:27,550 as balloons and occupying space in an offense which I at first I 1001 01:03:27,550 --> 01:03:30,150 was like man, this this metaphor we're we're stretching it a 1002 01:03:30,150 --> 01:03:32,430 little bit. But now that I think about it 1003 01:03:32,430 --> 01:03:35,990 with respect to Kyron, it's like, yeah, if I had viewed 1004 01:03:35,990 --> 01:03:40,270 Kyron through that lens I I potentially could have gotten 1005 01:03:40,270 --> 01:03:44,510 myself onto more Kyron. So yeah, just a note that I 1006 01:03:44,510 --> 01:03:46,190 wanted to make for next season. Like don't be. 1007 01:03:46,190 --> 01:03:50,110 So, yeah, rigid in my definition of what a back is. 1008 01:03:50,350 --> 01:03:52,870 Because we don't, we don't know. Yeah, agreed. 1009 01:03:53,190 --> 01:03:55,790 And like I hated countermakers so much this year. 1010 01:03:56,540 --> 01:04:00,380 And then like it's like why don't why don't I make the jump 1011 01:04:00,380 --> 01:04:05,500 from I hate Cam makers and Kyron is the only other back they like 1012 01:04:06,020 --> 01:04:09,780 he goes in the last round like and you're right. 1013 01:04:09,900 --> 01:04:14,100 Like haven't I had this idea of like OK like he's not an NFL 1014 01:04:14,100 --> 01:04:17,100 lotly like his time was really bad. 1015 01:04:17,100 --> 01:04:21,260 He looked bad when he played and and and and making a note of 1016 01:04:21,260 --> 01:04:23,620 like, you know, there's there's a range of outcomes here. 1017 01:04:24,500 --> 01:04:27,180 And it is like you only have to take them in the 28 rounds. 1018 01:04:27,940 --> 01:04:36,820 And like, I really like that .1 of the other ones that I wanted 1019 01:04:36,820 --> 01:04:40,620 to point out here, we talked about his usage a little bit and 1020 01:04:40,980 --> 01:04:43,180 Gretchen stealing signals talked about this too. 1021 01:04:43,180 --> 01:04:46,660 But Jacob's efficiency has definitely been poor. 1022 01:04:46,660 --> 01:04:50,310 I mean it wasn't all the way to a throw out the tape game 1023 01:04:50,310 --> 01:04:53,590 against the Bills but it you know it was getting close. 1024 01:04:54,870 --> 01:04:57,550 But yeah that's that's slightly concerning for Jacobs. 1025 01:04:57,550 --> 01:05:02,190 His role is still it looks to be very good in the offense. 1026 01:05:02,190 --> 01:05:07,230 So I'm not ready to to say that he couldn't easily push himself 1027 01:05:07,230 --> 01:05:11,030 back up into that you know 20 expected fantasy point tier. 1028 01:05:11,030 --> 01:05:14,950 He only he only got like what? What was it like 10-11 touches 1029 01:05:15,550 --> 01:05:18,070 or test? Yeah, I think there was only 1030 01:05:18,190 --> 01:05:21,830 something like only 40 offensive snaps for the Raiders. 1031 01:05:22,710 --> 01:05:27,470 Yeah and it's like really low and and so he had 30 and 1032 01:05:27,470 --> 01:05:36,790 expected points and he scored 10 points and this is Week 2 and so 1033 01:05:37,070 --> 01:05:41,750 yeah it it it it is one of those things where and then. 1034 01:05:42,240 --> 01:05:46,000 In week one he had -11, 1/2, most of those from not 1035 01:05:46,000 --> 01:05:48,480 converting a goal line rush attempts. 1036 01:05:49,880 --> 01:05:53,600 So I think there there is something there where there's 1037 01:05:53,600 --> 01:05:59,120 been a outlier sort of like inefficiency that speaks to 1038 01:05:59,200 --> 01:06:03,320 outlier and stuff like not being able to convert goal line 1039 01:06:03,760 --> 01:06:07,720 touches that that that's just a randomness thing and like unless 1040 01:06:07,720 --> 01:06:10,640 he's terrible now. Like you probably would expect 1041 01:06:10,640 --> 01:06:15,200 that to go back to like a more average and statistic and then 1042 01:06:15,240 --> 01:06:17,960 you probably would expect the Raiders, I think that something 1043 01:06:17,960 --> 01:06:23,000 like 6 yards to play so it wasn't awful and them to have a 1044 01:06:23,800 --> 01:06:30,160 closer to a normal amount of offensive snaps and so again it 1045 01:06:30,160 --> 01:06:32,640 is. I think the main message is that 1046 01:06:32,640 --> 01:06:38,360 Jacob's role is still very, very strong and but. 1047 01:06:39,010 --> 01:06:42,850 It's like with a player like Jacobs, how many, like how many 1048 01:06:42,850 --> 01:06:46,490 bad efficiency things can you like can you handle? 1049 01:06:46,970 --> 01:06:51,330 Because he's not like he's not for his career, he hasn't been 1050 01:06:51,330 --> 01:06:55,370 this major efficiency guy. So I think just just last 1051 01:06:55,370 --> 01:06:58,130 season, right? Like, yeah, just last season was 1052 01:06:58,170 --> 01:07:02,490 not great and so I think if you're talking about him as like 1053 01:07:02,490 --> 01:07:07,210 a third, fourth round kick it it is starting to feel a little bit 1054 01:07:07,210 --> 01:07:10,500 dead zoney. And like that that that could 1055 01:07:10,500 --> 01:07:13,020 turn around next week with how good his role is. 1056 01:07:13,020 --> 01:07:17,940 If the offense plays well and he converts go line touches the 1057 01:07:17,940 --> 01:07:21,340 touch sounds could completely reverse next year. 1058 01:07:21,340 --> 01:07:27,220 So I I think the story is this it's still out the the jury's 1059 01:07:27,220 --> 01:07:32,380 still out on Jacobs a little bit but not as negative as as as 1060 01:07:32,460 --> 01:07:35,700 maybe it looks but definitely starting to get skeptical. 1061 01:07:36,830 --> 01:07:39,190 Yeah, I think, I think I'm a buyer in the fourth round. 1062 01:07:39,190 --> 01:07:41,910 If he's if he's going in the fourth round I'm I'm pretty 1063 01:07:41,910 --> 01:07:43,270 interested. I think the role is good. 1064 01:07:43,270 --> 01:07:44,350 Yeah. Enough that I'm willing to just 1065 01:07:44,350 --> 01:07:48,390 take a bet that the the early season and efficiency stuff for 1066 01:07:48,390 --> 01:07:52,030 him is just noise and that he looks more like he did last 1067 01:07:52,030 --> 01:07:53,750 season. Yeah. 1068 01:07:54,790 --> 01:07:56,150 Yeah. I I think that, I think that's 1069 01:07:56,150 --> 01:08:00,150 very reasonable. Do you wanna move on? 1070 01:08:00,910 --> 01:08:04,830 Yeah, let's let's keep going because we we're we're starting 1071 01:08:04,830 --> 01:08:07,630 to get a little long winded here and if we're trying to keep this 1072 01:08:07,630 --> 01:08:10,070 as a tight 90, we gotta get moving. 1073 01:08:10,790 --> 01:08:13,750 So quick refresher on this tight end utilization chart. 1074 01:08:14,150 --> 01:08:18,350 This is just the percentage of the team's dropbacks. 1075 01:08:18,830 --> 01:08:22,390 The green is what percent of routes did the tight end run and 1076 01:08:22,390 --> 01:08:27,029 the kind of salmonish color is what percent of pass blocking 1077 01:08:27,310 --> 01:08:29,910 snaps do they have on the team's dropbacks. 1078 01:08:30,500 --> 01:08:33,660 I mean Durham Smythe is the utilization king. 1079 01:08:34,140 --> 01:08:37,180 That guy. That guy is just on the field 1080 01:08:37,300 --> 01:08:39,660 all the time. You you definitely could do 1081 01:08:39,660 --> 01:08:43,340 worse than Durham Smythe as a tight end if he's if he's still 1082 01:08:43,340 --> 01:08:46,500 on your waiver wire and you're languishing at tight end, just 1083 01:08:46,660 --> 01:08:48,500 get Durham Smythe because at least he's out there. 1084 01:08:48,500 --> 01:08:49,939 At least he's running a lot of routes. 1085 01:08:50,260 --> 01:08:52,700 Right. And and and lots of routes is it 1086 01:08:52,700 --> 01:08:56,899 that's the pathway for late tight end smashes like those 1087 01:08:56,899 --> 01:08:59,140 guys who are just on the field all the time. 1088 01:08:59,770 --> 01:09:04,210 Like that that's how you get those big late round breakouts 1089 01:09:04,970 --> 01:09:09,890 and his his target for at run is really low which I guess is not 1090 01:09:09,890 --> 01:09:14,970 super surprising given how ho hum the offense has been like 1091 01:09:15,609 --> 01:09:19,649 Tyreke is cooking and Joe and Waddell not quite what he was 1092 01:09:19,649 --> 01:09:26,170 last year but still producing big plays still open and but I I 1093 01:09:26,529 --> 01:09:30,970 I I think. You will get weeks where at just 1094 01:09:30,970 --> 01:09:34,210 because he's on the field all the time where it does feel 1095 01:09:34,210 --> 01:09:37,649 quite likely that you'll get multiple touchdown weeks from S 1096 01:09:37,649 --> 01:09:39,770 from Smite, you just you don't know when it'll happen. 1097 01:09:40,290 --> 01:09:43,370 Yeah, yeah, absolutely. I mean in that offense like you 1098 01:09:43,370 --> 01:09:45,770 can definitely see him getting a couple, you know, little play 1099 01:09:45,770 --> 01:09:47,649 action on the goal line type deals. 1100 01:09:49,130 --> 01:09:53,890 Another guy that just jumps off the page here is Zach or it's 1101 01:09:54,450 --> 01:10:01,390 33% targets per route run. Now I know that this week I did 1102 01:10:01,390 --> 01:10:06,790 see more of Trey McBride on the field and he he looked halfway 1103 01:10:06,790 --> 01:10:08,150 decent. I was actually looking through 1104 01:10:08,150 --> 01:10:11,790 some of the PFF grades. Trey McBride is like the fifth 1105 01:10:11,830 --> 01:10:16,430 or sixth highest overall graded pass catcher for his for his 1106 01:10:16,430 --> 01:10:19,710 route running. Like not just in tight end like 1107 01:10:19,710 --> 01:10:25,350 in wide receivers as well. So I think what I'm taking away 1108 01:10:25,350 --> 01:10:30,230 from this is yeah I mean if you if you need a tight end you you 1109 01:10:30,230 --> 01:10:32,030 definitely could do worse than Zach Hertz. 1110 01:10:32,510 --> 01:10:35,670 But for all those best ball teams that are holding out hope 1111 01:10:35,710 --> 01:10:40,510 for you know the Trey McBride you know resurgence or not not 1112 01:10:40,510 --> 01:10:45,550 Resurgence I guess a breakout really I I just got so excited 1113 01:10:45,550 --> 01:10:48,390 from the end of last season where we saw some some flashes 1114 01:10:48,510 --> 01:10:52,350 from Trey McBride. But I think there's still hope 1115 01:10:52,350 --> 01:10:54,070 for that. I I think really what you're 1116 01:10:54,670 --> 01:10:58,630 wanting is you want Zach Hurts to get traded and there's really 1117 01:10:58,630 --> 01:11:03,350 no reason for this team to hold on to him, but they might. 1118 01:11:03,390 --> 01:11:07,230 Yeah yeah. I think it does very much feel 1119 01:11:07,230 --> 01:11:13,790 like it's it's it's super it's super hard to play Zach Hurts 1120 01:11:13,790 --> 01:11:19,310 even though that's such like an elite role and it it there is 1121 01:11:19,310 --> 01:11:20,750 pretty good signal here that the. 1122 01:11:21,850 --> 01:11:25,570 That the tight end usage on the Cardinals offense is, is is 1123 01:11:25,610 --> 01:11:31,170 excellent And that if if we got a player that we were excited 1124 01:11:31,170 --> 01:11:36,130 about and you said his name a second ago. 1125 01:11:36,130 --> 01:11:39,010 I can't remember Trey McBride. Trey McBride, thank you. 1126 01:11:39,330 --> 01:11:44,250 If if he was to step into that would be very, yeah, very 1127 01:11:44,250 --> 01:11:50,810 hopeful that you get like a true like smash season from from 1128 01:11:50,810 --> 01:11:55,020 McBride. And one thing that I'm not 1129 01:11:55,100 --> 01:11:58,460 sorry, go ahead. Oh sorry I cut you off there. 1130 01:11:58,460 --> 01:12:03,060 2/2 of the guys that I wanted to point out on the chart here are 1131 01:12:03,060 --> 01:12:07,420 two of the rookie pass catching tight ends and Sam Laporta and 1132 01:12:07,420 --> 01:12:11,380 Dalton Kincaid. They both have good targets per 1133 01:12:11,380 --> 01:12:14,420 route run rate. They both have lower a dots 1134 01:12:14,420 --> 01:12:18,540 right now. The one that I'm I personally 1135 01:12:18,540 --> 01:12:23,630 just from watching the games for both of these guys, the ones 1136 01:12:23,630 --> 01:12:25,990 that I'm a little more concerned about are Dalton Kincaid. 1137 01:12:26,390 --> 01:12:30,190 His really look like they're just throwing in the ball really 1138 01:12:30,190 --> 01:12:33,150 close to the line of scrimmage. Where La Porta. 1139 01:12:33,470 --> 01:12:36,710 I want to say that his were more like week one he had a bunch of 1140 01:12:36,710 --> 01:12:39,710 low a dot stuff and week two he had a bunch of kind of normal a 1141 01:12:39,710 --> 01:12:42,630 dot stuff and so it just is balancing out here. 1142 01:12:42,790 --> 01:12:45,870 I want to, if I'm remembering correctly, I think it's Week 1A. 1143 01:12:45,870 --> 01:12:47,750 dot was extremely low for La Porta. 1144 01:12:49,010 --> 01:12:54,050 La Porta looked really good. And I initially I was ready to, 1145 01:12:54,170 --> 01:12:57,290 you know, just when I made the chart and I saw Dalton Kincaid's 1146 01:12:57,290 --> 01:12:59,850 numbers, I was like, oh, Dalton Kincaid. 1147 01:12:59,850 --> 01:13:02,250 His snaps are going down. Like that's not good. 1148 01:13:02,690 --> 01:13:05,010 But I do. I do think that he's still going 1149 01:13:05,010 --> 01:13:07,530 to get used. I think that the team wants to 1150 01:13:07,530 --> 01:13:09,890 use him. I just think that it might take 1151 01:13:09,890 --> 01:13:13,250 a little longer for him to get to that spot for Fantasy where 1152 01:13:13,250 --> 01:13:17,710 we're super excited about him. But yeah, Dawson Knox is 1153 01:13:17,710 --> 01:13:20,190 definitely going to be frustrating for for Dalton 1154 01:13:20,190 --> 01:13:23,150 Kincaid drafters. I know he got a touchdown this 1155 01:13:23,150 --> 01:13:27,670 week, he's still out there running routes and I think 1156 01:13:27,670 --> 01:13:30,750 Kincaid was down to 60 something percent snaps this week. 1157 01:13:31,990 --> 01:13:36,830 So definitely lower than week one, but any thoughts on La 1158 01:13:36,830 --> 01:13:39,030 Porta or Kincaid? Yeah. 1159 01:13:39,070 --> 01:13:43,870 And one thing that I think that is interesting for for La Porta. 1160 01:13:44,560 --> 01:13:47,920 Is that so his his targets? Sorry. 1161 01:13:47,920 --> 01:13:54,520 His yard per run is it's A well in in week one it was 1 1/2 and 1162 01:13:54,520 --> 01:13:59,000 week two was 2.1. So even though the a dot is that 1163 01:13:59,000 --> 01:14:03,720 is not great he is that he is converting those into into 1164 01:14:04,240 --> 01:14:07,600 better yardage. True yards after the catch and 1165 01:14:07,680 --> 01:14:12,000 and and then I guess after catch efficiency and. 1166 01:14:13,030 --> 01:14:18,510 And definitely definitely encouraged by La Porta and as 1167 01:14:18,750 --> 01:14:22,630 sort of a rookie tight end he's getting this very much start 1168 01:14:22,670 --> 01:14:27,870 like true starter and level snaps and he's among the best 1169 01:14:27,870 --> 01:14:32,750 for tight ends and in his targets per ret run and he's 1170 01:14:32,750 --> 01:14:36,750 getting even though the aid I think the A dot is is in boat 1171 01:14:36,750 --> 01:14:41,750 weeks actually not at not great and but he's able to he's able 1172 01:14:41,750 --> 01:14:44,010 to. Make up for it a little bit with 1173 01:14:44,010 --> 01:14:50,290 yards after the catch and I mean for him to be at that level in 1174 01:14:50,290 --> 01:14:54,970 week ones and two as a rookie tight end, it is just really, 1175 01:14:54,970 --> 01:14:58,890 really strong. And then if you if if you put in 1176 01:14:58,890 --> 01:15:01,610 like if you mentally put in any sort of growth for him as a 1177 01:15:01,610 --> 01:15:07,970 player as he as he acclimatizes the NFL and feels definitely 1178 01:15:07,970 --> 01:15:12,170 feel super bullish there and for Kincaid. 1179 01:15:12,930 --> 01:15:18,850 The problem for Kincaid is that he like he has a he has he seems 1180 01:15:18,850 --> 01:15:23,210 to me to have this floor for roots just because like they 1181 01:15:23,290 --> 01:15:27,050 they really want to use them and and they don't care that Knox's 1182 01:15:27,050 --> 01:15:29,170 are tied in. They really want to use Kincaid 1183 01:15:30,330 --> 01:15:33,770 a lot as a route runner, as a sort of wide receiver, type B 1184 01:15:34,170 --> 01:15:38,130 and player and. But they they. 1185 01:15:39,000 --> 01:15:43,520 It's just impossible to run like that sort of formation 80% or 1186 01:15:43,520 --> 01:15:45,920 not impossible very very difficult to run that sort of 1187 01:15:45,920 --> 01:15:50,160 formation like 80%. So your your upside there is 1188 01:15:50,160 --> 01:15:57,840 capped and then his his targets per run of 16% is like solid for 1189 01:15:57,840 --> 01:16:02,560 a tight end not great and so he he'd really have to be like a 1190 01:16:02,560 --> 01:16:08,120 target vacuum on a sort of limited snaps and then. 1191 01:16:09,210 --> 01:16:13,450 A little for for somebody who's who's sort of billed as a wide 1192 01:16:13,450 --> 01:16:18,930 receiver with Ted tight end designation a 4.8 a dot super 1193 01:16:18,930 --> 01:16:21,690 discipline. You really do need to see that 1194 01:16:22,010 --> 01:16:28,090 like at least eight and and hopefully like 10 to like really 1195 01:16:28,090 --> 01:16:31,610 smash and and and with all that being said I think the one thing 1196 01:16:31,610 --> 01:16:36,170 that that does save him is the tight end designation where. 1197 01:16:36,840 --> 01:16:42,080 And you can play in my tight end and on underdog like even though 1198 01:16:42,160 --> 01:16:47,920 maybe probably overpaid just a little bit and it's still fine 1199 01:16:47,920 --> 01:16:50,000 just because tight end is such a wasteland. 1200 01:16:50,480 --> 01:16:54,320 And then on FFPC, like those that those targets, I think I 1201 01:16:54,320 --> 01:16:56,320 think it was like 6 targets or something like that that you got 1202 01:16:56,320 --> 01:17:00,400 last week is like it's still like if if you catch those 1203 01:17:00,720 --> 01:17:04,880 that's still like a respectable score with the with the premium 1204 01:17:05,200 --> 01:17:09,480 and but. It does feel not great from like 1205 01:17:09,600 --> 01:17:13,480 a true smash upside which I think I think it's a lot easier 1206 01:17:13,480 --> 01:17:18,320 to see envision the path for Sam Laporta to get the the that that 1207 01:17:18,320 --> 01:17:22,120 sort of upside. Yeah well well put definitely 1208 01:17:22,120 --> 01:17:26,360 agree there and that was I mean during all of draft season and 1209 01:17:26,480 --> 01:17:30,080 in the drafts that I did with you I I said I'm taking no 1210 01:17:30,080 --> 01:17:33,720 Dalton Kincaid on underdog. I I'm only taking him on FFPC 1211 01:17:33,720 --> 01:17:37,180 and tight end premium. Yeah because I really I think 1212 01:17:37,180 --> 01:17:40,300 that if he gets there it's going to be through that volume and 1213 01:17:40,340 --> 01:17:44,180 yeah I just want you know and and we're actually we're seeing 1214 01:17:44,180 --> 01:17:48,780 it play out for for TJ Hawkinson in that way super low a dot 1215 01:17:49,140 --> 01:17:52,060 doesn't matter you're going to get a gang of targets and those 1216 01:17:52,060 --> 01:17:55,740 things are 1.5 when he converts on untighted premium. 1217 01:17:55,740 --> 01:18:00,740 So another guy in that rookie vein, Luke Musgrave. 1218 01:18:01,060 --> 01:18:04,060 Good good A dot good targets per route run. 1219 01:18:04,690 --> 01:18:08,490 The the only reason why I'm not more excited for Luke Musgrave 1220 01:18:08,570 --> 01:18:11,370 is just the low volume for that offense right? 1221 01:18:11,370 --> 01:18:15,450 The low number of pass attempts, which I mean is Luke Musgrave 1222 01:18:15,770 --> 01:18:19,650 just like free Kyle Pitts. Then like we we paid like a 1223 01:18:19,650 --> 01:18:22,530 seventh round price. Sixth round price for Kyle 1224 01:18:22,530 --> 01:18:27,250 Pitts. Luke Musgrave was undrafted for 1225 01:18:27,330 --> 01:18:30,850 much of the summer. Is Luke Musgrave just Discount 1226 01:18:30,850 --> 01:18:33,290 Kyle Pitts? And. 1227 01:18:34,100 --> 01:18:39,500 Yeah I I I think I think that's sort of like that's very sad but 1228 01:18:39,940 --> 01:18:44,900 very very reasonable. I I mean the thing with Call 1229 01:18:44,900 --> 01:18:48,180 Pitts is that like he does have access to these types of seasons 1230 01:18:48,180 --> 01:18:50,020 that like most great probably doesn't. 1231 01:18:50,540 --> 01:18:55,300 But right now after two games feel very confident that Call 1232 01:18:55,300 --> 01:18:59,540 Pitts is not getting those rightly or wrongly it it feels 1233 01:18:59,540 --> 01:19:02,380 very certain that Call Pitts is not getting the seasons that 1234 01:19:02,540 --> 01:19:06,680 that you were hoping for. Yeah I think on a season wide 1235 01:19:06,680 --> 01:19:09,760 level you're probably not getting what you would have 1236 01:19:09,760 --> 01:19:15,320 wanted out of pits. I do think that, you know, we 1237 01:19:15,320 --> 01:19:19,000 saw this thesis play out with George Kittle last season in the 1238 01:19:19,000 --> 01:19:23,400 playoffs, but Kyle Pitts has that type of single game ceiling 1239 01:19:23,400 --> 01:19:27,400 where he could just be. If you don't have Kyle Pitts in, 1240 01:19:27,440 --> 01:19:31,120 you know, say it's week 15, you are not advancing, you know, 1241 01:19:31,120 --> 01:19:34,480 it's all the Kyle Pitts teams advance and if you didn't have 1242 01:19:34,480 --> 01:19:40,240 him just, you know, unlucky. Because what what we did see in 1243 01:19:40,240 --> 01:19:44,960 week two was the Falcons are not fully allergic to the pass. 1244 01:19:45,040 --> 01:19:49,160 They can, they can throw the ball, you know, some sometimes 1245 01:19:49,160 --> 01:19:51,120 better than others. There are a couple not great 1246 01:19:51,120 --> 01:19:56,830 looking passes from Ritter and also they did really try to get 1247 01:19:56,830 --> 01:19:59,270 Kyle Pitts you know on the board there. 1248 01:19:59,270 --> 01:20:01,750 They tried to force him the ball in the end zone there it didn't 1249 01:20:01,750 --> 01:20:06,670 work out even get his touchdown. But I I I'm leaving a light on 1250 01:20:06,670 --> 01:20:10,310 for Kyle Pitts the the single game upside is still there but 1251 01:20:11,390 --> 01:20:15,270 on a season level I'm not super excited. 1252 01:20:15,310 --> 01:20:18,430 So, so where would you be drafting Kyle Pitts, you know, 1253 01:20:18,510 --> 01:20:20,950 on a on a Week 3 tournament right now? 1254 01:20:20,950 --> 01:20:24,200 Where do you take him? We treat, we treat and beyond or 1255 01:20:24,280 --> 01:20:30,200 or we treat only. We treat beyond, beyond, and I 1256 01:20:30,200 --> 01:20:34,560 mean this feels a little bit too anchored and but I I feel like 1257 01:20:34,560 --> 01:20:36,640 this is 1 where you do want to be anchored. 1258 01:20:37,520 --> 01:20:42,160 I'm thinking like 8 rounds. OK. 1259 01:20:42,960 --> 01:20:50,300 And where like you know you just you just never know and it's 1260 01:20:50,340 --> 01:20:54,460 it's like how much do I wanna bet against at call pits season 1261 01:20:54,460 --> 01:20:56,980 2. And it's like maybe the the 1262 01:20:56,980 --> 01:21:01,900 likelihood of the call pits season is small, but if I don't, 1263 01:21:01,900 --> 01:21:05,100 if it happens and I don't have it, it's like you said if like 1264 01:21:05,340 --> 01:21:07,580 it just it'll it would be no pits, no money. 1265 01:21:08,740 --> 01:21:12,460 Yeah, the way that I kinda see the tight end landscape shaping 1266 01:21:12,460 --> 01:21:15,260 up so far with two weeks of data is. 1267 01:21:15,680 --> 01:21:19,080 You've got those elite got you know, you've got Travis Kelsey 1268 01:21:19,080 --> 01:21:25,320 and Mark Andrews, TJ Hawkinson, big break then George Kittle 1269 01:21:25,320 --> 01:21:29,200 because we know that he can have those huge games. 1270 01:21:29,200 --> 01:21:31,480 He's in a an extremely efficient offense. 1271 01:21:31,480 --> 01:21:34,640 He absolutely can have multi TV weeks, you know very accessible 1272 01:21:34,640 --> 01:21:39,800 to him and then all those guys the, you know the Darren Waller 1273 01:21:39,800 --> 01:21:43,570 the. Evan Ingram, the David and Joke 1274 01:21:43,570 --> 01:21:45,770 who? Pat Fryarmuth, Kyle Pitts, all 1275 01:21:45,770 --> 01:21:50,330 those guys going there, a bunch of them like the in Jokeu and 1276 01:21:50,330 --> 01:21:53,690 Fryarmuth. Just take that whole pole all 1277 01:21:53,690 --> 01:21:56,810 the way down. That's like round you know 1213. 1278 01:21:57,050 --> 01:21:59,850 There should be a group. A big old chunk of tight ends, 1279 01:21:59,890 --> 01:22:04,290 basically like rounds 12 through 14, is where a gang of the tight 1280 01:22:04,290 --> 01:22:06,050 ends, they're just a ton should go. 1281 01:22:06,560 --> 01:22:08,720 In that range. And then you may be like a guy 1282 01:22:08,720 --> 01:22:11,960 like Evan Ingram and Kyle Pitts. Those guys probably going like 1283 01:22:11,960 --> 01:22:15,280 the 9th, 10th round. Cuz isn't Evan Ingram, just 1284 01:22:15,520 --> 01:22:16,960 isn't Evan Ingram. Kyle Pitts. 1285 01:22:17,040 --> 01:22:19,600 But he's on an offense that actually throws the ball right? 1286 01:22:19,600 --> 01:22:24,120 Like he's he's super athletic, like past catching tight end. 1287 01:22:24,680 --> 01:22:27,120 You know he's not blocking either him look at look at him 1288 01:22:27,120 --> 01:22:29,880 and Kyle Pitt's usage he's he's running fewer routes than Kyle 1289 01:22:29,920 --> 01:22:32,520 or running a lower percentage of yeah, Kyle Pitts. 1290 01:22:32,800 --> 01:22:34,840 But overall that offense is passing more. 1291 01:22:35,600 --> 01:22:39,520 His a dot is lower but Evan Ingram's always added good good 1292 01:22:39,520 --> 01:22:43,760 after the catch numbers. So I think that that's a you 1293 01:22:43,800 --> 01:22:47,080 know Evan Ingram is just Kyle Pitts but on offense that can 1294 01:22:47,080 --> 01:22:49,720 pass and he he's, you know less talented as a player. 1295 01:22:50,200 --> 01:22:52,280 But it doesn't matter when your offense just won't throw the 1296 01:22:52,280 --> 01:22:56,970 ball. I agree on all on on on like 1297 01:22:56,970 --> 01:23:01,690 let's say the the bottom from the bottom 25% to the 70 the top 1298 01:23:01,690 --> 01:23:09,250 75% of outcomes like and you you probably don't feel bad about 1299 01:23:09,250 --> 01:23:12,810 taking Evan Ingram over Ram and Culpits. 1300 01:23:14,490 --> 01:23:19,490 I just, I feel I I just feel a little bit uncomfortable about 1301 01:23:19,490 --> 01:23:24,170 fading someone where they do have that top five, 10% outcome 1302 01:23:24,530 --> 01:23:30,850 where it's just unstoppable and it makes me, it makes me feel 1303 01:23:31,250 --> 01:23:36,970 very uncomfortable to like pass on it and but I could be 1304 01:23:36,970 --> 01:23:39,050 clinging on to something there that is. 1305 01:23:39,090 --> 01:23:43,850 It's just too, it's too hard to get with Eric Schmitt and with 1306 01:23:43,850 --> 01:23:47,230 them winning games. I can definitely see something 1307 01:23:47,230 --> 01:23:50,510 where like I think that's a 5 to 10% outcome and someone was like 1308 01:23:50,510 --> 01:23:53,630 no that that's a 1% outcome that's like a one in a million 1309 01:23:54,350 --> 01:23:57,030 and so. So maybe maybe I'm putting too 1310 01:23:57,030 --> 01:23:59,750 much weight on. I I don't. 1311 01:23:59,830 --> 01:24:02,430 I don't think you are. Because there's a universe where 1312 01:24:02,430 --> 01:24:05,230 Kyle Pitts catches the touchdown that they really tried to force 1313 01:24:05,230 --> 01:24:06,870 to him this week. And we're all talking about 1314 01:24:06,870 --> 01:24:09,230 like, my gosh, is Kyle Pitts season happening? 1315 01:24:10,230 --> 01:24:14,150 And I just to take a brief detour, yeah, we definitely have 1316 01:24:14,150 --> 01:24:18,910 time for detours in this show. But the the concept you talked 1317 01:24:18,910 --> 01:24:21,710 about of like, oh, I don't really want to fade a guy that 1318 01:24:21,710 --> 01:24:24,590 could bury me like that. I think from a game theory 1319 01:24:24,590 --> 01:24:28,070 perspective, we talk about taking stands on guys, being 1320 01:24:28,070 --> 01:24:30,190 really overweight on guys and fading a guy. 1321 01:24:30,870 --> 01:24:34,630 I feel pretty confident in saying that being double. 1322 01:24:34,960 --> 01:24:38,800 The field on a guy is a less aggressive stance to take than 1323 01:24:38,800 --> 01:24:43,800 full fading a guy, right? And so when you full fade, when 1324 01:24:43,800 --> 01:24:47,960 you 0% a guy like full on, this dude's not on any of my teams, 1325 01:24:48,280 --> 01:24:50,520 That's an enormous risk you're taking. 1326 01:24:50,520 --> 01:24:53,720 Because like you said, if that is the guy that you need in the 1327 01:24:53,720 --> 01:24:57,280 playoffs, cuz those weeks happen where it's yeah, that is just 1328 01:24:57,280 --> 01:24:59,810 the dude. And you have zero. 1329 01:24:59,810 --> 01:25:02,810 Literally zero. That can be the whole season for 1330 01:25:02,810 --> 01:25:04,250 you. The season is now over. 1331 01:25:04,290 --> 01:25:07,170 You know, it was Week 15. You had no Naji Harris. 1332 01:25:07,290 --> 01:25:10,970 He fell in the end zone four times and now Felix is winning 1333 01:25:10,970 --> 01:25:13,650 BBM four and Eagles took second place. 1334 01:25:13,850 --> 01:25:16,450 And you're wanting to drink bleach, you know, like. 1335 01:25:16,850 --> 01:25:21,050 But yeah, I think a full fade on a guy like Kyle Pitts, that can 1336 01:25:21,050 --> 01:25:24,410 really bury you. Is an extremely aggressive 1337 01:25:24,450 --> 01:25:27,810 stance to take and I don't think people view fades in that light. 1338 01:25:28,010 --> 01:25:31,170 And that's something that I think that you know if you're 1339 01:25:31,330 --> 01:25:33,410 taking this seriously and building out a really big 1340 01:25:33,410 --> 01:25:36,690 portfolio you should really strongly consider that a full 1341 01:25:36,690 --> 01:25:41,370 fade is an extremely aggressive position in a portfolio that 1342 01:25:41,850 --> 01:25:46,410 that's and I mean I'm not trying to say that I don't want to say 1343 01:25:46,410 --> 01:25:51,590 what I'm trying to I'm like I'm very and how do I say it I'm 1344 01:25:51,630 --> 01:25:56,110 very anxious about pushing them back too much and pits back too 1345 01:25:56,110 --> 01:25:58,910 much. And but I I did think that was a 1346 01:25:58,910 --> 01:26:03,150 really interesting way of describing how to build 1347 01:26:03,150 --> 01:26:06,990 portfolios and and and that's definitely made me think I I'm 1348 01:26:06,990 --> 01:26:10,950 I'm more nervous than I should be now about about full fading. 1349 01:26:12,190 --> 01:26:15,750 I I I'd still do it again, but that is a good way to think 1350 01:26:15,750 --> 01:26:18,570 about it. I think I got two Nachi teams 1351 01:26:18,570 --> 01:26:20,650 they're both like in the 5th and 6th round. 1352 01:26:20,650 --> 01:26:25,330 So we'll take those and all right let's I I think one thing 1353 01:26:25,330 --> 01:26:28,650 I should I point point out here is that there's a couple of 1354 01:26:28,650 --> 01:26:32,370 players here where if we were only looking at week two it 1355 01:26:32,370 --> 01:26:36,450 would look much better. So at Darren Waller and if you 1356 01:26:36,450 --> 01:26:39,330 just look at week two and you throw out the the weird the 1357 01:26:39,330 --> 01:26:42,930 weird game with the against the Cowboys and he would be at an 1358 01:26:42,930 --> 01:26:48,650 89% root share and we mentioned last week had the injury he had 1359 01:26:48,650 --> 01:26:55,130 an 88% root share last night and and then called sorry George 1360 01:26:55,130 --> 01:26:59,650 Kittle and this is probably because of the the Ayuk injury 1361 01:26:59,970 --> 01:27:05,450 he had an 86% root share last week and and I wouldn't normally 1362 01:27:05,450 --> 01:27:09,690 throw out one game at root shares but just bear I guess I 1363 01:27:09,690 --> 01:27:13,370 guess somebody's the bear in mind given our low sample size 1364 01:27:13,860 --> 01:27:16,220 that some of these players could jump quite a bit. 1365 01:27:17,180 --> 01:27:20,460 Yeah, that's a really good point and it's just, yeah, we need to 1366 01:27:20,660 --> 01:27:22,460 consider the context of the data. 1367 01:27:22,740 --> 01:27:26,740 Just aggregating 2 weeks and saying this is what it is is not 1368 01:27:26,740 --> 01:27:30,340 gonna be as helpful in cases where the situation was 1369 01:27:30,340 --> 01:27:33,140 drastically different might be closer to the mean outcome, 1370 01:27:33,780 --> 01:27:42,940 right? And I think we will probably go 1371 01:27:43,020 --> 01:27:45,420 through the the back tight end shirt quickly. 1372 01:27:45,420 --> 01:27:48,180 Travis Kelsey obviously don't expect him to be on the backup 1373 01:27:48,180 --> 01:27:53,780 shirt for a full season and 35% target threat run probably 1374 01:27:53,780 --> 01:27:56,540 because of the the few routes that he ran. 1375 01:27:57,460 --> 01:28:04,700 And and then I I did note that I saw that Gretchen noted in 1376 01:28:04,780 --> 01:28:09,500 stealing signals that Everett he actually ran quite a bit behind 1377 01:28:09,500 --> 01:28:14,820 Parham last week and so Everett was was the guy ahead in week 1378 01:28:14,820 --> 01:28:17,780 one and then Param was the guy ahead in week two. 1379 01:28:18,220 --> 01:28:22,380 So that that that definitely seems like it either Param has 1380 01:28:22,380 --> 01:28:29,180 just made it his his tight end and spot, or if those guys are 1381 01:28:29,180 --> 01:28:31,900 going to flip flop on roots like that week to week. 1382 01:28:31,900 --> 01:28:34,460 That makes it very difficult to to trust one. 1383 01:28:35,160 --> 01:28:39,480 Yeah I mean and and even though Gerald Everett got out to out 1384 01:28:39,480 --> 01:28:42,880 snapped by Parum he did have a couple plays where he looked 1385 01:28:43,120 --> 01:28:46,400 good. But yeah it's not it's not a 1386 01:28:46,400 --> 01:28:49,320 place where I'm super excited. I mean definitely in season long 1387 01:28:49,320 --> 01:28:52,200 fantasy I don't know how you ever have the confidence to like 1388 01:28:53,080 --> 01:28:56,000 unless it's like a break glass in case of emergency thing like 1389 01:28:56,000 --> 01:28:59,560 how do you have the confidence to fire up Everett in best ball. 1390 01:28:59,560 --> 01:29:02,200 I think it'll be OK. I think Everett is kind of. 1391 01:29:03,180 --> 01:29:06,220 He's like cut from the same cloth that Noah Fant is. 1392 01:29:06,220 --> 01:29:10,140 He's not quite as athletic, but he's very athletic, yeah. 1393 01:29:10,700 --> 01:29:16,500 Probably not quite as good, but are you drafting him like a 1394 01:29:16,500 --> 01:29:21,060 couple of rounds ahead of Parum? I think they're probably players 1395 01:29:21,060 --> 01:29:23,860 where the Adps should have been much closer. 1396 01:29:24,600 --> 01:29:29,120 Yeah now like if I were to jump in a draft right now, I would 1397 01:29:29,120 --> 01:29:32,280 probably they they both would be like eighteenth round tight ends 1398 01:29:32,280 --> 01:29:34,840 for me and I yeah, randomize. I just pick pick. 1399 01:29:34,840 --> 01:29:38,720 Whichever we did. We got a question in the chat 1400 01:29:38,720 --> 01:29:42,960 that I wanted to go back to for can we expect Jake Ferguson's 1401 01:29:42,960 --> 01:29:45,520 routes to increase as the season goes on? 1402 01:29:46,160 --> 01:29:48,640 And I saw this one earlier but we were on the the starter tight 1403 01:29:48,640 --> 01:29:51,980 end Page I. I kind of think no. 1404 01:29:52,700 --> 01:29:56,900 And here's why it the Cowboys did this last season when when 1405 01:29:56,900 --> 01:30:02,180 they had Schultz there in that they really like their they're 1406 01:30:02,180 --> 01:30:06,260 tied in room while you know you, the household names of Peyton 1407 01:30:06,260 --> 01:30:08,540 Hendershot and now Luke Schumacher. 1408 01:30:08,540 --> 01:30:11,820 Like, you might not have heard of them, but the Cowboys like 1409 01:30:11,820 --> 01:30:15,100 them and and they're like interested in getting all of 1410 01:30:15,100 --> 01:30:17,560 them involved. And they view all of them as 1411 01:30:17,560 --> 01:30:20,320 weapons, like they're manufacturing touches for Peyton 1412 01:30:20,320 --> 01:30:23,000 Hendershot, they're manufacturing touches for Luke 1413 01:30:23,000 --> 01:30:24,600 Schumacher when they get on the field. 1414 01:30:24,840 --> 01:30:27,680 It's not to say that like they're going to get a ton of 1415 01:30:27,680 --> 01:30:30,920 volume and opportunity, but just that, like, Jake Ferguson is 1416 01:30:30,920 --> 01:30:33,760 going to have trouble consolidating the role in the 1417 01:30:33,760 --> 01:30:37,120 way that Dalton Schultz did. And I don't think that it's 1418 01:30:37,120 --> 01:30:41,360 because Schultz is necessarily like this world's better talent 1419 01:30:41,360 --> 01:30:45,440 than Ferguson is. But I just think that it's they, 1420 01:30:45,440 --> 01:30:48,120 like all of these guys, they spent high draft capital on 1421 01:30:48,120 --> 01:30:50,120 Schumacher. I would expect over the course 1422 01:30:50,120 --> 01:30:52,320 of the season, Schumacher to take a step forward. 1423 01:30:52,840 --> 01:30:55,560 I do still think that Ferguson is the one that you want to have 1424 01:30:55,560 --> 01:30:59,680 for fantasy, but it'll be interesting to see. 1425 01:31:00,680 --> 01:31:03,480 You know, the Cowboys really haven't had a game where they've 1426 01:31:03,480 --> 01:31:07,480 been forced to pass a lot more. And I I do think that Ferguson 1427 01:31:07,480 --> 01:31:10,920 could end up getting more opportunity in a game script 1428 01:31:10,920 --> 01:31:14,200 like that. But the real take away for me 1429 01:31:14,200 --> 01:31:17,080 for Cowboys is gonna come when we get to the wide receiver 1430 01:31:17,080 --> 01:31:19,320 chart. We'll just leave that clear 1431 01:31:19,360 --> 01:31:22,440 finger there. True, true, Not quite a boots on 1432 01:31:22,440 --> 01:31:28,080 the grounds, but true fan take mixed with analytics. 1433 01:31:29,120 --> 01:31:33,320 I don't think you'll get a more informed opinion on the Cowboys 1434 01:31:33,320 --> 01:31:36,000 tight ends We wanna do. All the analytical stuff we 1435 01:31:36,000 --> 01:31:38,520 wanna pay attention to the metrics that can be really 1436 01:31:38,520 --> 01:31:40,880 telling for us. But when we get that little bit 1437 01:31:40,880 --> 01:31:45,560 of qualitative analysis in there too, that's not overwhelmingly 1438 01:31:45,560 --> 01:31:47,800 Homer. That's how we how we put out the 1439 01:31:47,800 --> 01:31:52,200 quality stuff for you guys really disappointed in this in 1440 01:31:52,200 --> 01:31:53,920 this usage. So for Michael Meyer yeah. 1441 01:31:54,480 --> 01:31:56,080 Was really excited about this year. 1442 01:31:57,880 --> 01:31:59,880 Yeah. Really really strong. 1443 01:31:59,880 --> 01:32:02,160 Yeah. Rookie profile going in as a 1444 01:32:02,160 --> 01:32:07,340 rookie and but very disappointing saying that 6% 1445 01:32:07,340 --> 01:32:08,940 targets were at running the 2 yard. 1446 01:32:08,980 --> 01:32:11,700 A dot Yeah pour pour some out for Michael. 1447 01:32:11,700 --> 01:32:13,380 My It's not happened in this season. 1448 01:32:13,460 --> 01:32:16,540 For Michael, I think it got rookie tight end on this. 1449 01:32:16,940 --> 01:32:23,140 Yeah unfortunately. And so yeah, as you will do the 1450 01:32:23,140 --> 01:32:27,500 two, let's let's hit the yeah, the white zebra chart and just 1451 01:32:27,500 --> 01:32:30,140 like we all expected how we were all. 1452 01:32:30,140 --> 01:32:34,210 Drafting it. Puka and Akua is the alpha of 1453 01:32:34,210 --> 01:32:40,810 all alphas. I mean, holy shit guys like I 1454 01:32:41,090 --> 01:32:44,770 I've gotta believe that it comes back down to earth a little bit. 1455 01:32:46,090 --> 01:32:52,210 But maybe that's just copium. Since I have so little Puka and 1456 01:32:52,210 --> 01:32:53,930 I I have to share with this little bit. 1457 01:32:53,930 --> 01:32:56,530 I went back. I have some buddies that I do 1458 01:32:56,530 --> 01:32:59,290 FFPC drafts with. I went back through our group 1459 01:32:59,290 --> 01:33:02,420 text and. Because I I remember being on 1460 01:33:02,420 --> 01:33:04,740 Puka early. I was I was leading the charge. 1461 01:33:04,740 --> 01:33:06,460 I was carrying the banner for Puka. 1462 01:33:06,980 --> 01:33:10,060 I look back at a text on June 3rd where I just pounded the 1463 01:33:10,060 --> 01:33:13,180 table and I was like we are taking Puka as our late round 1464 01:33:13,180 --> 01:33:15,540 dark throw here. We need him as the bring back to 1465 01:33:15,540 --> 01:33:19,340 our giant stack and so we took Puka on June 3rd. 1466 01:33:19,900 --> 01:33:23,660 Then just a couple weeks later June 30th and less bullish on 1467 01:33:23,660 --> 01:33:26,980 Puka, I say I put both Puka and Tutu in the queue. 1468 01:33:27,220 --> 01:33:30,100 I'm gonna use random.org to randomize between the two of 1469 01:33:30,100 --> 01:33:33,170 them. And then Fast forward to August 1470 01:33:33,170 --> 01:33:37,610 26th and my buddy asks do we want another puka share here? 1471 01:33:38,010 --> 01:33:40,810 And I said something to the effect of I'm not terribly 1472 01:33:40,810 --> 01:33:45,570 interested in the wide receiver 4 on the Rams and that that one 1473 01:33:45,570 --> 01:33:47,810 just stung. My takes regressed over the 1474 01:33:47,810 --> 01:33:49,490 summer. I think I just need to stick to 1475 01:33:49,530 --> 01:33:54,730 only drafting in June when I if you can just take your your best 1476 01:33:54,730 --> 01:33:58,290 opinions from June, combine them with your best opinions with all 1477 01:33:58,290 --> 01:34:02,490 other months of the summer you you've got a monster. 1478 01:34:03,490 --> 01:34:06,370 Yeah, I I I think though like hindsight. 1479 01:34:07,330 --> 01:34:12,810 Unless, unless you had the knowledge of Cooper Cup is 1480 01:34:12,810 --> 01:34:15,970 injured, so you're in. August Cooper Cooper Cup is 1481 01:34:16,010 --> 01:34:18,490 injured. And then maybe you're paying a 1482 01:34:18,490 --> 01:34:22,130 lot of attention to the idea that like, oh, Stafford is 1483 01:34:22,130 --> 01:34:24,810 really healthy this year. He doesn't have any elbow issues 1484 01:34:24,930 --> 01:34:28,360 like. And then you, you, you, you 1485 01:34:28,480 --> 01:34:31,880 picture this in your head of like, OK, prime Stafford and 1486 01:34:31,880 --> 01:34:33,200 then they have to try to someone. 1487 01:34:33,720 --> 01:34:39,760 And then maybe you get an idea that like like I I think if you 1488 01:34:39,760 --> 01:34:45,280 asked me in July if Puka Nakula would have been an 85 to 90% 1489 01:34:45,280 --> 01:34:48,920 route share guy for the Rams, I I I think that would have been 1490 01:34:48,920 --> 01:34:50,520 quite actually quite a surprise and. 1491 01:34:51,920 --> 01:34:53,360 Right. Yeah, that's. 1492 01:34:54,530 --> 01:34:57,410 No, you're you're you're right. You know there's no. 1493 01:34:58,850 --> 01:35:02,330 Even the person with the biggest Pooka bags did did not think 1494 01:35:02,330 --> 01:35:06,410 that he was going to be 85 to 90% route share, dropping you 1495 01:35:06,410 --> 01:35:10,810 know 25 fantasy points a game. By the way, my OCD is going to 1496 01:35:10,810 --> 01:35:13,490 kill me, but we've still got Aaron's message hanging out 1497 01:35:13,490 --> 01:35:15,650 there on the screen. Oh, oh, you're right, you're 1498 01:35:15,650 --> 01:35:16,930 right, right. I forgot about. 1499 01:35:17,050 --> 01:35:20,050 I knew. So I've got a I've got ADHC. 1500 01:35:20,090 --> 01:35:22,970 I knew, and I knew I was going to forget about it. 1501 01:35:23,010 --> 01:35:24,890 I was like, don't go off the screen. 1502 01:35:24,930 --> 01:35:27,450 And then when we flipped to the chart, I just forgot about it. 1503 01:35:27,770 --> 01:35:30,290 That's OK We just we wanted to give Aaron some love there. 1504 01:35:30,690 --> 01:35:33,170 But I. It dovetailing from that message 1505 01:35:33,170 --> 01:35:36,570 about Jake Ferguson will get to the point that I wanted to make 1506 01:35:36,570 --> 01:35:40,930 about why Jake Ferguson, you know, even if he did run more 1507 01:35:40,930 --> 01:35:45,970 routes, is not going to be quite the smash that all of the Jake 1508 01:35:45,970 --> 01:35:49,290 Ferguson bag holders myself is that the captain of the club 1509 01:35:49,650 --> 01:35:52,640 wanted him to be. And that's because CD Lamb is a 1510 01:35:52,640 --> 01:35:56,040 motherfucking alpha. CD Lamb is. 1511 01:35:56,360 --> 01:36:00,000 You see where he is in this quadrant, You're going to see 1512 01:36:00,000 --> 01:36:03,560 him move up and to the right. The Cowboys game scripts. 1513 01:36:03,560 --> 01:36:07,360 These first couple games have not really required a ton of 1514 01:36:07,360 --> 01:36:12,200 passing and he still earned 14 targets this week. 1515 01:36:12,440 --> 01:36:15,560 Like this guy is going to eat this is. 1516 01:36:16,610 --> 01:36:20,050 The the Cowboys offense didn't change all that much from Kellan 1517 01:36:20,050 --> 01:36:23,930 Moore departing, but in the subtle ways that it did change, 1518 01:36:23,930 --> 01:36:27,930 it became even more like what we saw from some of the older Mike 1519 01:36:27,930 --> 01:36:32,090 McCarthy offenses where that wide receiver won. 1520 01:36:32,090 --> 01:36:36,450 Just feast the, you know, the Jordy Nelson, the Devante Adams 1521 01:36:36,450 --> 01:36:41,690 and CD Lam operating as the power slot in an NFL meta where 1522 01:36:41,690 --> 01:36:44,490 it's too high safety. We refuse to give you explosive 1523 01:36:44,490 --> 01:36:47,130 plays. Yeah, this guy's gonna feast. 1524 01:36:47,730 --> 01:36:52,250 And I mean, he's right next to the guy that you know fits the 1525 01:36:52,250 --> 01:36:53,770 same archetype. Amman, Ross St. 1526 01:36:53,770 --> 01:36:55,490 Brown, both both of those players. 1527 01:36:55,490 --> 01:36:58,370 I'm very excited for this season. 1528 01:36:59,890 --> 01:37:01,450 Yeah. I mean pretty pretty much 1529 01:37:01,450 --> 01:37:04,130 everyone in this. The, the biggest surprise to me 1530 01:37:04,130 --> 01:37:06,250 is Michael Pittman's target earning ability. 1531 01:37:06,250 --> 01:37:08,210 I mean, he always had been pretty heavily targeted. 1532 01:37:08,810 --> 01:37:14,170 But yeah, I I think the first two weeks what we've seen has 1533 01:37:14,170 --> 01:37:16,300 been. Much more bullish than I 1534 01:37:16,300 --> 01:37:19,860 anticipated for Michael Pittman. So that was that was kind of 1535 01:37:19,860 --> 01:37:22,180 surprising to me. Did you have any big surprises 1536 01:37:22,180 --> 01:37:26,940 for you on this chart and obviously we know at T Higgins 1537 01:37:26,940 --> 01:37:32,580 played quite well and but seeing him in the alpha portion of the 1538 01:37:32,580 --> 01:37:36,500 of the chart where he's like he's like just above 70% 1539 01:37:36,500 --> 01:37:42,300 weighted targets per ret run and is that that's a little 1540 01:37:42,300 --> 01:37:46,650 surprising and and and and because I know that like 1541 01:37:46,650 --> 01:37:50,410 everybody sort of like went into the season expecting Jamar Chase 1542 01:37:50,810 --> 01:37:55,090 to be like the true target error and and he's sitting back there 1543 01:37:55,250 --> 01:38:02,650 at 50% and and I mean I don't expect that to to hold for the 1544 01:38:02,650 --> 01:38:06,930 full season for T Higgins to be 20% ahead and wait waited 1545 01:38:06,930 --> 01:38:12,890 targets right run and but with the heavy cut again heavy caveat 1546 01:38:12,890 --> 01:38:16,570 that and you you sort of want Burrow to be back playing 1547 01:38:16,570 --> 01:38:22,690 healthy and and playing well and that that over a full year if 1548 01:38:22,690 --> 01:38:27,130 like you get a season where T Higgins is like is a true 1B 1549 01:38:27,130 --> 01:38:32,410 rather than one and two and I I I think he's that he's really 1550 01:38:32,410 --> 01:38:37,330 honestly a great pick there at the two tree turn and same with 1551 01:38:37,330 --> 01:38:41,020 a lava I don't think that's a surprise there at all but still 1552 01:38:41,020 --> 01:38:45,140 noteworthy that olave is at 80% way to target spirit run like I 1553 01:38:45,140 --> 01:38:49,980 think he was like he was top I think it was two he was a lave 1554 01:38:49,980 --> 01:38:52,460 was second to Tyriq in way to target. 1555 01:38:52,460 --> 01:38:57,460 Spirit run as a rookie, so and interesting at least. 1556 01:38:57,460 --> 01:39:00,260 Interesting that he's sort of following that up with still 1557 01:39:00,260 --> 01:39:05,980 strong target earning ability and go ahead the The biggest 1558 01:39:05,980 --> 01:39:10,170 concern for me with Olave is. I really thought the Saints 1559 01:39:10,170 --> 01:39:14,330 might come out and just absolutely do it to the Panthers 1560 01:39:14,370 --> 01:39:17,730 and that game was a little disappointing. 1561 01:39:19,290 --> 01:39:22,490 I I I don't know. You know, maybe it's just one 1562 01:39:22,490 --> 01:39:26,290 week noise, but the Saints offense was not what you you 1563 01:39:26,490 --> 01:39:29,570 know, if you're a Chris Olave owner, you're right. 1564 01:39:29,650 --> 01:39:33,410 You were hoping their car primed their car and and they and they 1565 01:39:33,410 --> 01:39:35,130 can they can actually choke the ball. 1566 01:39:35,880 --> 01:39:38,240 Yeah, but. But I mean in hindsight looking 1567 01:39:38,240 --> 01:39:40,800 at that 2/3. Turn really that that whole 1568 01:39:40,800 --> 01:39:44,240 second round. I mean like basically the only 1569 01:39:44,240 --> 01:39:47,680 draftable running back in the entire second round was Tony 1570 01:39:47,680 --> 01:39:49,600 Pollard. And otherwise you should have 1571 01:39:49,600 --> 01:39:54,120 been taking, you know, Chris Olave, T Higgins, Devonta Smith, 1572 01:39:54,120 --> 01:39:56,960 Jalen Waddell. Like all all of those were way 1573 01:39:57,040 --> 01:39:58,920 outer picks of the running backs going there. 1574 01:40:01,280 --> 01:40:04,040 Yeah, I I agree. I definitely think. 1575 01:40:05,050 --> 01:40:08,210 Oh, another one that stood out. I mean, he just, if you watch 1576 01:40:08,210 --> 01:40:12,410 the game, he popped off the screen on his big breakaway 1577 01:40:12,410 --> 01:40:14,730 play. He displayed speed. 1578 01:40:14,730 --> 01:40:17,010 That, I don't think. Who got the theme from him? 1579 01:40:17,210 --> 01:40:19,330 George Pickens. Yeah. 1580 01:40:19,410 --> 01:40:20,690 And that was it. That was it. 1581 01:40:20,770 --> 01:40:22,050 I only saw how to play that was an. 1582 01:40:22,130 --> 01:40:27,050 Awesome, awesome play and we I I haven't seen a play from him in 1583 01:40:27,050 --> 01:40:31,010 the NFL where we got to see him really open it up and display 1584 01:40:31,010 --> 01:40:34,950 that speed. Holy cow I I wanna see the mph 1585 01:40:34,950 --> 01:40:38,230 from him on that one. Cuz he was gone when he when he 1586 01:40:38,230 --> 01:40:42,310 saw daylight he was absolutely out of there and he this, this 1587 01:40:42,310 --> 01:40:46,630 is what George Pickens needed to break out is we needed target 1588 01:40:46,630 --> 01:40:49,550 earner extraordinaire Deontay Johnson out of the way for a 1589 01:40:49,550 --> 01:40:51,830 little bit. So they didn't have a choice but 1590 01:40:51,910 --> 01:40:55,990 to give Pickens targets and I think that this is the path. 1591 01:40:55,990 --> 01:40:58,830 Like if you're going to get the holy shit Pickens as a league 1592 01:40:58,830 --> 01:41:02,510 winner type outcome, this is the path you need to be on. 1593 01:41:02,990 --> 01:41:06,150 It's not looking terribly optimistic because that offense 1594 01:41:06,150 --> 01:41:10,750 doesn't look great. Matt Canada is not calling plays 1595 01:41:10,750 --> 01:41:13,510 the way you would really want. I I think what you're really 1596 01:41:13,510 --> 01:41:17,470 hoping for is George Pickens and Kenny Pickett just developed 1597 01:41:17,470 --> 01:41:21,420 such chemistry that the the play calls don't they cease to 1598 01:41:21,420 --> 01:41:23,940 matter. The two guys are just on such a 1599 01:41:23,940 --> 01:41:28,060 level where and Pickens is such a good wide receiver that 1600 01:41:28,140 --> 01:41:31,660 they're just gonna produce those two are gonna produce. 1601 01:41:32,300 --> 01:41:33,700 So I think that's a good call out. 1602 01:41:34,780 --> 01:41:36,260 I think that's a good call out that. 1603 01:41:37,860 --> 01:41:39,500 What's his name? What's who do you go to? 1604 01:41:39,500 --> 01:41:41,540 Wide receiver? Sorry, Deontay. 1605 01:41:42,060 --> 01:41:45,180 Deonte I think that that he was missing and but. 1606 01:41:45,580 --> 01:41:49,300 Really interesting to see him in, in this high, yeah, weighted 1607 01:41:49,300 --> 01:41:53,380 targets were at run and section because that was always a sort 1608 01:41:53,380 --> 01:41:57,100 of knock with him was that he, he wasn't quote UN quote earning 1609 01:41:57,100 --> 01:42:00,620 targets and then he his open score and all that sort of stuff 1610 01:42:00,860 --> 01:42:04,300 was low. And so to see him actually get 1611 01:42:04,300 --> 01:42:07,100 up there that that's what you're looking for, for him getting 1612 01:42:07,100 --> 01:42:10,900 these deep targets for him to be targeted at at a decent rate. 1613 01:42:11,370 --> 01:42:16,330 He got 9 targets last night and and converted those. 1614 01:42:16,330 --> 01:42:21,290 He had four 4.2 yards forever on and 110 area yards. 1615 01:42:21,490 --> 01:42:23,090 Go. Sorry, go ahead, you're you're 1616 01:42:23,090 --> 01:42:27,090 good to add context to the data of prior to last night, when 1617 01:42:27,090 --> 01:42:30,250 Deontay Johnson was on the field in week one, and then also all 1618 01:42:30,250 --> 01:42:34,490 last season, the reason that Pickens open score was poor, the 1619 01:42:34,490 --> 01:42:38,010 reason that he wasn't earning targets at a high rate, is by 1620 01:42:38,010 --> 01:42:40,570 design. The offense was intentionally 1621 01:42:40,570 --> 01:42:43,890 using him as the cardio boy. You know clear it out. 1622 01:42:43,890 --> 01:42:46,610 Hey run right. I think he ran the 9 route at 1623 01:42:46,610 --> 01:42:50,410 the highest rate of any wide. I I I might be making this up 1624 01:42:50,410 --> 01:42:52,890 but I know it was very high. He might be the high. 1625 01:42:52,930 --> 01:42:56,170 I think last season it was the highest rate of nine routes was 1626 01:42:56,170 --> 01:42:59,730 George Pickens and it's like yeah, the dude is a contested 1627 01:42:59,730 --> 01:43:02,570 catch freak. Like if we are gonna throw it at 1628 01:43:02,570 --> 01:43:04,810 him when he's running all these nine routes that's fine. 1629 01:43:04,810 --> 01:43:07,010 But they weren't even throwing it to him. 1630 01:43:07,010 --> 01:43:10,590 He the the design of the offense was George Pickens is an 1631 01:43:10,590 --> 01:43:13,670 afterthought. And you know, occasionally we'll 1632 01:43:13,670 --> 01:43:17,350 throw him a pass. And so just when you have an 1633 01:43:17,350 --> 01:43:20,110 offense being run that incompetently, we're like very 1634 01:43:20,110 --> 01:43:24,550 clearly after after just one game, like, yeah, this is the 1635 01:43:24,550 --> 01:43:26,910 guy that they probably should have been throwing the ball to 1636 01:43:26,910 --> 01:43:28,790 or not. Not that Deonte's a bad receiver 1637 01:43:28,790 --> 01:43:31,430 by any means. But like, if you had to pick, 1638 01:43:31,590 --> 01:43:33,390 who do you want touching the ball more? 1639 01:43:33,430 --> 01:43:35,630 Do you want George Pickens touching the ball more or do you 1640 01:43:35,630 --> 01:43:38,230 want Deonte Johnson touching the ball more like you want George 1641 01:43:38,230 --> 01:43:41,230 Pickens. So when you force a bad 1642 01:43:41,230 --> 01:43:45,350 offensive coordinator to come correct with how he's running 1643 01:43:45,350 --> 01:43:48,830 his offense and and distributing the ball to his best players, 1644 01:43:49,630 --> 01:43:51,750 maybe that's the path you needed for Pickens. 1645 01:43:52,270 --> 01:43:54,630 Yeah, I do think that's interesting, where he played so 1646 01:43:54,630 --> 01:43:58,550 well. And then Deonte's out for a 1647 01:43:58,550 --> 01:44:03,830 little while that maybe Pickens plays so well that Canada has to 1648 01:44:03,830 --> 01:44:09,630 say ohh shit like I I I I just because Deonte's back doesn't 1649 01:44:09,630 --> 01:44:13,950 mean like I can I can I can just put this guy back to to what it 1650 01:44:13,950 --> 01:44:16,670 was before. And then even if he does that 1651 01:44:17,030 --> 01:44:19,470 Pickens is like, what the hell? Like I just followed out. 1652 01:44:19,470 --> 01:44:21,630 Please let me continue to do that. 1653 01:44:22,160 --> 01:44:24,400 Like that. It definitely feels very bullish 1654 01:44:24,960 --> 01:44:28,440 for like a Pickens upside season that he's able to put in a 1655 01:44:28,440 --> 01:44:32,240 performance like that. Anyone else on this chart that 1656 01:44:32,240 --> 01:44:35,640 you wanted to to talk about before we move on to the next 1657 01:44:35,640 --> 01:44:40,120 one? And yeah, and and Datsun. 1658 01:44:40,240 --> 01:44:44,480 Is a little disappointing there and with how well that Hallow 1659 01:44:44,480 --> 01:44:49,020 has played and but. Don't want to read in too much 1660 01:44:49,020 --> 01:44:52,940 to it we we still only have a two game sample size and the 1661 01:44:52,940 --> 01:44:57,060 fact that hell is playing decently well and you do hope 1662 01:44:57,060 --> 01:45:02,020 that that that can improve but I'm I'm that that's definitely 1663 01:45:02,020 --> 01:45:05,420 something where I'm like that's a bit surprising to me with how 1664 01:45:05,460 --> 01:45:11,540 excited we were about him wanna keep an eye on that on on him 1665 01:45:11,540 --> 01:45:15,180 having such a low weighted targets per ret run Datsun. 1666 01:45:18,320 --> 01:45:20,720 And. That's Is there anybody else you 1667 01:45:20,720 --> 01:45:24,080 want to talk about? I mean, Alec Pierce full on 1668 01:45:24,080 --> 01:45:26,320 Cardio Club. Like the definition of cardio 1669 01:45:26,320 --> 01:45:29,120 club. That's eighteenth round pick 1670 01:45:29,120 --> 01:45:32,920 only for me in out of Pierce. Yeah, drafting today it's 1671 01:45:32,960 --> 01:45:36,080 eighteenth round pick. So yeah, he's at, he's at 90 to 1672 01:45:36,080 --> 01:45:39,760 95% route share. But he's the less than 10% way 1673 01:45:39,760 --> 01:45:44,760 the targets per route run. So not good he is is is truly 1674 01:45:44,880 --> 01:45:49,880 clear cleared out like just not targeted and so on to the the 1675 01:45:49,880 --> 01:45:56,160 sort of second tier of charts here and we these are players 1676 01:45:56,160 --> 01:46:00,880 who are still like starters and but they they're they're not 1677 01:46:00,880 --> 01:46:04,880 they don't have as truly an elite route share as the first 1678 01:46:04,880 --> 01:46:09,000 chart and here you you'll have Tyreek Hill who's like. 1679 01:46:09,810 --> 01:46:13,930 Is a little bit older still a lead and but maybe he doesn't 1680 01:46:13,930 --> 01:46:18,690 run as much roots as as he would have when he was younger and but 1681 01:46:18,930 --> 01:46:24,730 more than makes up for that in Peru efficiency with like a way 1682 01:46:24,730 --> 01:46:26,850 to target spirit run of above 100%. 1683 01:46:27,560 --> 01:46:30,320 The The Tyree kill stuff too. If you watch the games. 1684 01:46:30,320 --> 01:46:32,080 What? What actually is happening to 1685 01:46:32,080 --> 01:46:35,600 why he's not getting an even higher route share is a lot of 1686 01:46:35,600 --> 01:46:38,320 the times he's he is running a lot. 1687 01:46:38,360 --> 01:46:40,480 He's running a lot on a play and they need to take. 1688 01:46:40,480 --> 01:46:44,320 It's like give me, give me a breather because and he don't 1689 01:46:44,320 --> 01:46:47,320 get oxygen on every half time, yeah. 1690 01:46:47,880 --> 01:46:51,480 I mean, out of necessity. Like this man is just going 1691 01:46:51,480 --> 01:46:55,230 crazy out here. Some guys that were really 1692 01:46:55,230 --> 01:46:58,790 encouraging both in production and where they show up on the 1693 01:46:58,790 --> 01:47:03,910 chart, I mean like Mike Evans, really, really exciting. 1694 01:47:04,710 --> 01:47:08,030 If you're drafting, I think that it's, you know, it's definitely 1695 01:47:08,030 --> 01:47:10,190 going to be a little noisy with just two weeks. 1696 01:47:10,790 --> 01:47:15,110 But Baker Mayfield is willing to throw and Mike Evans is still 1697 01:47:15,110 --> 01:47:18,510 Mike Evans and he's still going to get 1000 yards this season. 1698 01:47:18,510 --> 01:47:21,350 So where he was going in basketball drafts looking like a 1699 01:47:21,350 --> 01:47:24,880 strong value. Yeah, I think that I think 1700 01:47:24,880 --> 01:47:28,400 you'll see Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. 1701 01:47:28,760 --> 01:47:32,560 I mean, I think they'll move their their points a little 1702 01:47:32,560 --> 01:47:34,560 closer. I think Godwin's been running a 1703 01:47:34,560 --> 01:47:39,160 little poor and Baker just has decided that it's really fun to 1704 01:47:39,160 --> 01:47:41,680 throw it up to Mike. Like, who wouldn't want to throw 1705 01:47:41,680 --> 01:47:43,760 it up to Mike Evans? Like that sounds like a blast. 1706 01:47:43,760 --> 01:47:44,520 I'm. I'm in. 1707 01:47:45,800 --> 01:47:47,200 Maybe he could make those look good. 1708 01:47:47,940 --> 01:47:50,060 Yeah, right next to Mike. Evans, Nico. 1709 01:47:50,060 --> 01:47:52,300 Collins. Finally, I mean, we we touched 1710 01:47:52,300 --> 01:47:56,460 on him last week, but putting together another strong week, 1711 01:47:57,060 --> 01:48:00,900 the people that chased Nico Collins up the draft board are 1712 01:48:00,900 --> 01:48:04,620 looking pretty sharp here. I couldn't get there. 1713 01:48:04,620 --> 01:48:07,220 I was. I was too low on both Stroud and 1714 01:48:07,220 --> 01:48:10,700 Young, and so I'm batting 500 on those rookie quarterback takes 1715 01:48:10,700 --> 01:48:15,200 here because Stroud looks promising and this passing game 1716 01:48:15,200 --> 01:48:17,680 for Houston as a whole looks like something that you want a 1717 01:48:17,680 --> 01:48:21,840 part of for fantasy. It's it's like we discussed. 1718 01:48:21,840 --> 01:48:25,560 It's those offenses that were so, so cheap that they don't 1719 01:48:25,560 --> 01:48:30,360 even need to do anything crazy to be really great values. 1720 01:48:30,360 --> 01:48:32,840 And Nico looks like one of those really great values. 1721 01:48:33,640 --> 01:48:37,440 Yeah, yeah, I I agree. And. 1722 01:48:38,000 --> 01:48:42,670 For sure. Is other than those guys this 1723 01:48:42,670 --> 01:48:47,430 this chart is just starting to get pretty crowded like you're 1724 01:48:47,430 --> 01:48:52,270 definitely you get into these guys who are like good good 1725 01:48:52,270 --> 01:48:56,910 great to to great players but last of them in not like really 1726 01:48:56,910 --> 01:49:03,830 high yet way the targets run and some yeah I I also see I. 1727 01:49:03,870 --> 01:49:04,830 See. Go ahead. 1728 01:49:05,270 --> 01:49:06,750 Ohh no no you. You go ahead here. 1729 01:49:07,470 --> 01:49:10,510 And I do. I do do see Terry McLaren. 1730 01:49:10,510 --> 01:49:15,670 Here who's also pretty low on the the way the targets per out 1731 01:49:15,670 --> 01:49:22,190 run and I that that does make me wonder if is like is the offense 1732 01:49:22,190 --> 01:49:23,630 like just? Is it? 1733 01:49:23,630 --> 01:49:27,030 Sort of. Are they just not choking it 1734 01:49:27,030 --> 01:49:31,430 deep or like that that that does surprise me that that both of 1735 01:49:31,430 --> 01:49:35,150 the. It was relatively spread and 1736 01:49:35,150 --> 01:49:38,150 there was. There was a little bit in, I 1737 01:49:38,150 --> 01:49:41,390 wanna say it was 2 minute where Curtis Samuel just got a bunch 1738 01:49:41,390 --> 01:49:43,790 of stuff. It was like, here's Curtis 1739 01:49:43,790 --> 01:49:48,310 Samuel for like 3 plays in a row and and of course the tight ends 1740 01:49:48,310 --> 01:49:53,670 are both involved there. Yeah, another another point I. 1741 01:49:53,670 --> 01:49:57,030 Wanted to. To make here we do see Christian 1742 01:49:57,030 --> 01:50:00,390 Kirk and Calvin Ridley coming a little closer together here. 1743 01:50:01,470 --> 01:50:04,550 Calvin Ridley still looked really they're they're he was 1744 01:50:04,550 --> 01:50:07,350 doing things that were pretty spectacular and had a couple 1745 01:50:07,350 --> 01:50:10,230 close like shoulda, woulda, coulda plays. 1746 01:50:10,510 --> 01:50:14,710 So I'm not like I'm not calling his his pullback in production 1747 01:50:14,710 --> 01:50:17,350 from week two like ah this is what Calvin Ridley is. 1748 01:50:17,930 --> 01:50:21,570 But I I do think that my read on this offense is is going to be 1749 01:50:21,570 --> 01:50:24,850 pretty spot on and that it's all of these guys are spike week 1750 01:50:24,850 --> 01:50:27,050 players. Yeah they're they're all pretty 1751 01:50:27,050 --> 01:50:28,930 good. You probably wanted to be 1752 01:50:28,930 --> 01:50:31,130 investing through the cheapest prices. 1753 01:50:31,330 --> 01:50:34,330 So that is when Calvin Ridley was cheaper you wanted to load 1754 01:50:34,330 --> 01:50:37,210 up on him. When Christian Kirk was falling 1755 01:50:37,210 --> 01:50:40,490 at the end of the draft season you wanted to load up on him and 1756 01:50:40,490 --> 01:50:42,250 then ze Jones where he was going. 1757 01:50:42,250 --> 01:50:44,930 You you wanted to load up on ZE Jones pretty much all throughout 1758 01:50:44,930 --> 01:50:47,130 the draft. And I actually I wrote about 1759 01:50:47,130 --> 01:50:51,410 this in My Portfolio postmortem article that's up on Spike week 1760 01:50:51,410 --> 01:50:54,890 right now in how I thought the Jags offense should be played. 1761 01:50:55,410 --> 01:50:57,610 And through two weeks it does kind of look like it's starting 1762 01:50:57,610 --> 01:51:02,890 to play out that way. The other the other quick ones 1763 01:51:02,890 --> 01:51:05,690 that I wanted to bring up, if you've got a guy in the bottom 1764 01:51:05,690 --> 01:51:09,650 left quadrant of this chart, they're they're officially on 1765 01:51:09,650 --> 01:51:13,970 like the missing persons report. So, you know, like Hunter 1766 01:51:13,970 --> 01:51:19,020 Renfro, Donovan Peoples Jones, Michael Gallup, Paris Campbell, 1767 01:51:19,220 --> 01:51:24,020 Van Jefferson, UH, Alan Robinson, K Sean Booty. 1768 01:51:24,420 --> 01:51:26,860 Like these guys are all on the milk carton. 1769 01:51:26,860 --> 01:51:31,100 Like it's it's not looking good. And of all of those guys that I 1770 01:51:31,100 --> 01:51:34,580 listed, none of them have really, I haven't seen any. 1771 01:51:34,820 --> 01:51:36,660 You know, Mark has vowed this scantling. 1772 01:51:36,900 --> 01:51:41,220 Nothing has flashed where I'm like, Oh well, I'm hopeful that 1773 01:51:41,220 --> 01:51:44,540 he's gonna increase his weighted targets per route run next week. 1774 01:51:44,540 --> 01:51:47,820 Like Nope, These these dudes are on the milk carton and I don't 1775 01:51:47,820 --> 01:51:49,220 know what it's gonna take to find him. 1776 01:51:50,140 --> 01:51:53,820 The only couple that are in this quadrant where I can see some 1777 01:51:53,820 --> 01:51:56,860 stuff, you know, breaking better for them. 1778 01:51:58,100 --> 01:52:02,650 Josh Downs I think has pretty good chemistry with Anthony 1779 01:52:02,650 --> 01:52:06,050 Richardson. It's not really a back or a wide 1780 01:52:06,050 --> 01:52:07,810 receiver. I'm super excited about because 1781 01:52:07,810 --> 01:52:09,930 he's just, you know, slot wide receiver low. 1782 01:52:10,010 --> 01:52:12,610 A dot probably needs way more volume than he's going to be 1783 01:52:12,610 --> 01:52:14,130 able to get. If Anthony Richardson's 1784 01:52:14,130 --> 01:52:18,890 quarterback if Baker Mayfield's quarterback, you might wind up 1785 01:52:18,890 --> 01:52:21,290 with like a I haven't haven't looked at DraftKings pricing, 1786 01:52:21,290 --> 01:52:25,130 but there's definitely like a Josh Downs punt play type of 1787 01:52:25,330 --> 01:52:27,170 type of thing I could be interested in. 1788 01:52:28,310 --> 01:52:32,110 The other ones that I'll list really quickly, Darius Slayton 1789 01:52:32,150 --> 01:52:36,150 and Traylan Burks both are guys where I could see them trending 1790 01:52:36,270 --> 01:52:40,430 in a direction that's more positive on this chart just 1791 01:52:40,430 --> 01:52:44,230 because the Giants wide receivers outside of Jalen Hyatt 1792 01:52:44,590 --> 01:52:47,470 look pretty bad. I'm kind of bummed about 1793 01:52:47,670 --> 01:52:50,310 Hodgins, I thought. I thought Hodgins showed a 1794 01:52:50,310 --> 01:52:54,270 little bit near the end of last season where he might be able 1795 01:52:54,270 --> 01:52:57,840 to, you know, earn, earn a good amount of targets in offense 1796 01:52:57,840 --> 01:53:02,440 with not a ton of competition. But yeah, maybe you get a little 1797 01:53:02,440 --> 01:53:04,080 more out of Slayton. I don't think so, though. 1798 01:53:04,080 --> 01:53:06,480 I think Slayton's kind of we. We know what he is, we've seen 1799 01:53:06,480 --> 01:53:09,840 it. And then Burks, you're just 1800 01:53:09,840 --> 01:53:12,960 hoping that this is him slowly being worked back in. 1801 01:53:13,680 --> 01:53:16,960 Yeah, kind of, I think same box. I think he had something going. 1802 01:53:16,960 --> 01:53:22,640 On in the in in Week 2, because I, I I think I saw that he 1803 01:53:22,640 --> 01:53:26,710 didn't actually play that much. In the fourth quarter of last 1804 01:53:26,710 --> 01:53:31,590 week and but there's definitely like more encouraging signs for 1805 01:53:31,750 --> 01:53:35,150 for Burks. For example, last week he had 1806 01:53:35,150 --> 01:53:42,950 4.2 yards per hour run and and he had 4/4 targets and and they 1807 01:53:42,950 --> 01:53:48,230 only had 29 dropbacks. So like there's like, if you if 1808 01:53:48,230 --> 01:53:50,390 you're looking for something to be optimistic about, there's 1809 01:53:50,390 --> 01:53:52,030 definitely something there for Burks. 1810 01:53:52,430 --> 01:53:56,030 To be optimistic about and then another point on the like on the 1811 01:53:56,030 --> 01:54:01,630 milk carton guys that I think is worth noting is that this chart 1812 01:54:01,630 --> 01:54:08,110 sort of intentionally punishes guys who have low a dots and so 1813 01:54:08,430 --> 01:54:11,910 and because the weighting is it's sort of weighted towards 1814 01:54:11,950 --> 01:54:16,970 air yards to to. Make sure that we're waiting 1815 01:54:16,970 --> 01:54:19,970 towards the most fantasy productive sort of targets. 1816 01:54:20,170 --> 01:54:24,090 And so you can have guys who get four or five, maybe 6 targets, 1817 01:54:24,330 --> 01:54:29,370 but if they're up low a dot then then they can still be in the 1818 01:54:29,370 --> 01:54:33,650 cardio club section of the chart even though like they are, they 1819 01:54:33,690 --> 01:54:38,490 are actually getting targeted. But when you get the the the MBS 1820 01:54:38,610 --> 01:54:43,730 quiz and DPJ guys who are like supposed to be deep chat 1821 01:54:43,930 --> 01:54:47,450 receivers. And they're still really low 1822 01:54:47,730 --> 01:54:54,210 then then that's like a more like negative and bear sign than 1823 01:54:54,210 --> 01:54:58,010 than the kind of like slot low. A dot guys being in that 1824 01:54:58,010 --> 01:54:59,810 section. Yeah, good. 1825 01:55:00,530 --> 01:55:04,290 Good explanation there because, yeah, that's definitely an 1826 01:55:04,290 --> 01:55:06,170 important distinction to make there. 1827 01:55:08,090 --> 01:55:11,330 And and then do we wanna go? To the the. 1828 01:55:11,570 --> 01:55:14,620 Sort of true backup. Yeah, I think we gotta move on 1829 01:55:14,620 --> 01:55:17,500 to #3 because we're we're probably gonna run over 2 hours 1830 01:55:17,500 --> 01:55:20,500 here. Oh, you you have. 1831 01:55:20,500 --> 01:55:23,100 You have a lot of notes. For for the backup receiver. 1832 01:55:23,620 --> 01:55:25,740 Oh you just know that I'm I'm long winded. 1833 01:55:25,780 --> 01:55:28,300 I I could. I mean, when it comes to Jaden 1834 01:55:28,300 --> 01:55:31,140 Reed and Rashid Shaheed, I I could talk for a while. 1835 01:55:32,220 --> 01:55:35,820 I think these guys are just, you know, they were already exciting 1836 01:55:35,820 --> 01:55:39,340 week one. They continue to be exciting for 1837 01:55:39,340 --> 01:55:44,170 for what they are. Week 2, Justin Watson started 1838 01:55:44,170 --> 01:55:46,210 creeping in there. He had a good number of air 1839 01:55:46,210 --> 01:55:47,050 yards. He was. 1840 01:55:47,050 --> 01:55:49,090 He was over 100 air yards, correct. 1841 01:55:49,930 --> 01:55:54,850 Yeah, he he I mean. That receiver room is like 1842 01:55:54,930 --> 01:56:00,130 anyone's game. So if you you could end up with 1843 01:56:00,130 --> 01:56:04,330 the late career Justin Watson breakout for like all the one of 1844 01:56:04,330 --> 01:56:08,330 you Justin Watson truthers out there it it might happen 1845 01:56:09,840 --> 01:56:14,280 frustrating one Mac Hollins like can we just get those targets to 1846 01:56:14,280 --> 01:56:17,160 Drake London and Kyle Pitts please like what are we what are 1847 01:56:17,160 --> 01:56:20,320 we doing giving Mac Hollins so much stuff. 1848 01:56:21,520 --> 01:56:26,760 Another another interesting one was Tank Dell really you know 1849 01:56:26,760 --> 01:56:29,520 took advantage of the opportunity with Noah Brown 1850 01:56:30,640 --> 01:56:32,960 going on IR. So Tank Dell definitely 1851 01:56:32,960 --> 01:56:37,280 interesting and we like the we like the rookies who. 1852 01:56:38,000 --> 01:56:41,880 Because their rookies are not getting big route shares, but 1853 01:56:41,880 --> 01:56:44,160 when they're on the field, they're getting heavily 1854 01:56:44,360 --> 01:56:49,840 productive targets and and so encouraging for for the likes of 1855 01:56:49,840 --> 01:56:53,960 Tankdale and and Jaden Read that perhaps they'll increase their 1856 01:56:53,960 --> 01:56:55,600 Rd. share as they continue to play. 1857 01:56:55,600 --> 01:56:58,200 Well, yeah, absolutely. Good. 1858 01:56:58,360 --> 01:57:01,980 Good point there. One of the other rookies that I 1859 01:57:01,980 --> 01:57:05,380 do want to point out that ends up on this chart is JSN, and 1860 01:57:05,380 --> 01:57:08,940 he's basically dead middle. He's like average weighted 1861 01:57:08,940 --> 01:57:11,700 targets per outrun, average fantasy points per game. 1862 01:57:12,420 --> 01:57:15,460 When you talk about guys that get low a dot being punished, 1863 01:57:16,340 --> 01:57:18,820 he's definitely being punished here for that low a dot. 1864 01:57:18,820 --> 01:57:22,420 He had a decent number of targets this game, but they were 1865 01:57:22,420 --> 01:57:25,020 all very close to the line of scrimmage. 1866 01:57:25,460 --> 01:57:29,860 I don't necessarily think that's going to only be his game. 1867 01:57:31,260 --> 01:57:34,500 You know, he definitely can operate a little deeper down the 1868 01:57:34,500 --> 01:57:38,780 field, but I do just think it's gonna be something where it's 1869 01:57:38,780 --> 01:57:40,780 gonna take a little while for him to come on. 1870 01:57:41,260 --> 01:57:44,410 I did. I heard someone today say 1871 01:57:44,410 --> 01:57:49,290 something along the lines of, Oh well, the only way JSN really 1872 01:57:49,290 --> 01:57:52,370 gets to what you wanted him to be when you were drafting him at 1873 01:57:52,370 --> 01:57:55,490 the price that you're drafting him at, is you need an injury, 1874 01:57:55,570 --> 01:57:58,570 you need a DK Mac effort. I really don't think that's 1875 01:57:58,610 --> 01:58:01,330 true. I think that you're seeing the 1876 01:58:01,330 --> 01:58:04,530 path that a lot of these rookie wide receivers follow. 1877 01:58:04,930 --> 01:58:07,450 You know where they're going to come on slowly. 1878 01:58:07,450 --> 01:58:10,730 They're going to earn more work, you know, You can see he was 1879 01:58:10,730 --> 01:58:14,850 only a 60 to 65% route. Sure guy, he did increase from 1880 01:58:14,850 --> 01:58:17,370 week 1 to week two. So that's encouraging. 1881 01:58:17,730 --> 01:58:20,490 And don't forget, like, the dude just broke his wrist a couple. 1882 01:58:20,490 --> 01:58:25,170 He had wrist surgery like 2 1/2 weeks, 3 weeks ago now you know. 1883 01:58:26,450 --> 01:58:31,410 So I'm not, I'm not discouraged by JSN, but you know, when you 1884 01:58:31,410 --> 01:58:34,930 do see these rookies coming out with hot starts like Jaden Reed 1885 01:58:34,930 --> 01:58:39,600 and Tank Dell, you know, you're like, oh man, like I can't, I 1886 01:58:39,600 --> 01:58:42,640 can't JSN do that. But I I think it's still coming 1887 01:58:42,640 --> 01:58:46,080 for JSN. Yeah, yeah, he he he is simply 1888 01:58:46,080 --> 01:58:49,600 too good for us. To want to throw in the towel 1889 01:58:49,920 --> 01:58:55,160 and and important to that he he's still being targeted like 1890 01:58:55,160 --> 01:59:01,360 he's he's his he's still getting like he had 6 targets in week 24 1891 01:59:01,360 --> 01:59:05,450 targets week one and. And and on a lower like sort of 1892 01:59:05,450 --> 01:59:11,130 like snap or drop back bases like that's still still pretty 1893 01:59:11,410 --> 01:59:16,290 pretty good and and so like he he hasn't he hasn't flashed the 1894 01:59:16,290 --> 01:59:19,810 big play yet and but that that's sort of what we're looking for 1895 01:59:19,810 --> 01:59:24,810 where like he he he does have I mean his his time 40 time is not 1896 01:59:25,970 --> 01:59:30,000 the best. I am but he he he still does 1897 01:59:30,000 --> 01:59:33,680 have explosive play ability and and you're you're hoping to see 1898 01:59:33,680 --> 01:59:37,600 him make some big plays that that do force them to to play 1899 01:59:37,600 --> 01:59:41,960 him some more the by the way you. 1900 01:59:42,000 --> 01:59:47,320 You mentioned Terry Mclaurin earlier and here I mentioned 1901 01:59:47,320 --> 01:59:49,320 Curtis Samuel. Yeah, here's here's the reason 1902 01:59:49,320 --> 01:59:52,440 why you got, you got all this Curtis Samuel stuff taken away 1903 01:59:52,440 --> 01:59:55,080 from, you know, Dotson and Mclaurin. 1904 01:59:55,730 --> 02:00:00,130 So it is a relatively split offense for right now. 1905 02:00:00,610 --> 02:00:03,930 I don't know if you'll end up with howl having a favorite or 1906 02:00:03,930 --> 02:00:08,810 if it's always going to be kind of split like this, but we'll 1907 02:00:08,810 --> 02:00:11,610 and you know, there are tight ends involved in well as well. 1908 02:00:12,770 --> 02:00:15,610 So it'll be interesting to see how this shakes out. 1909 02:00:15,970 --> 02:00:19,810 I think that as far as like for DFS and things like that. 1910 02:00:20,360 --> 02:00:23,640 That Washington passing game's going to be really hard to pick 1911 02:00:23,840 --> 02:00:26,840 who you want to have with the with howl. 1912 02:00:26,840 --> 02:00:29,240 You probably are just better off, you know, if you're going 1913 02:00:29,240 --> 02:00:32,720 to do a howl playing in a given week, probably just want to take 1914 02:00:32,720 --> 02:00:35,320 the tight end, since such a large percentage of the tight 1915 02:00:35,320 --> 02:00:37,240 end points would would come from touchdown. 1916 02:00:37,240 --> 02:00:40,800 And if you do get that, you're probably good on your stack. 1917 02:00:40,800 --> 02:00:42,440 You know you probably paid off your tag. 1918 02:00:42,440 --> 02:00:44,920 I'm assuming they're going to be pretty cheap any any week you 1919 02:00:44,920 --> 02:00:49,370 want to play them. Any anyone else on this chart 1920 02:00:49,370 --> 02:00:54,410 that you had notes on and no and? 1921 02:00:54,490 --> 02:00:58,610 I think it's all like we're a lot, a lot of these guys are 1922 02:00:58,610 --> 02:01:04,330 Ram, if you're on this chart, I don't unless we're seeing stuff 1923 02:01:04,330 --> 02:01:08,410 to make us believe that you belong on the the last two 1924 02:01:08,410 --> 02:01:10,850 charts. For example, Jaden Reid, Rashid 1925 02:01:10,850 --> 02:01:15,890 Rice Tank, Dale and hopefully JSN soon if you're on this 1926 02:01:15,890 --> 02:01:18,290 chart. You you're really sort of like 1927 02:01:18,610 --> 02:01:22,610 and drawing 10 to be fantasy productive So the fact that you 1928 02:01:22,610 --> 02:01:28,970 see at Rondell Moore here at only 65 to 70% and and and not a 1929 02:01:30,370 --> 02:01:33,650 he does have a low a dot role so it it does make sense that he's 1930 02:01:33,650 --> 02:01:38,210 low and weighted targets for at run but low a dot role not 1931 02:01:38,210 --> 02:01:42,250 playing a lot and. That, that, that doesn't feel 1932 02:01:42,250 --> 02:01:45,690 like a strong a strong play. Ron Elmer doesn't seem like a 1933 02:01:45,690 --> 02:01:51,410 strong play right now and again Joshua Parmer where he is he's 1934 02:01:51,410 --> 02:01:55,370 supposed to be a deep track guy and and so the fact that he's 1935 02:01:55,970 --> 02:01:59,450 he's in the cardio club section not getting not getting a ton of 1936 02:01:59,450 --> 02:02:07,010 routes and or well he's 65 to 70% so not not terrible but far 1937 02:02:07,010 --> 02:02:12,240 from from startable. Yeah, the last I I. 1938 02:02:12,320 --> 02:02:15,880 Wanted to make a general macro point that I wanted to remind 1939 02:02:15,880 --> 02:02:19,960 myself of for next season. But in this cardio club, we've 1940 02:02:19,960 --> 02:02:22,720 got Rondale Moore as you mentioned, we've got DJ Chark. 1941 02:02:23,160 --> 02:02:26,800 These are two players where if you use Etr's best ball 1942 02:02:26,800 --> 02:02:29,760 rankings, these guys are both. You're gonna come in with a lot 1943 02:02:29,760 --> 02:02:31,840 of them if you just draft it off of rankings. 1944 02:02:32,360 --> 02:02:36,560 And this is the the Leonie likes the projectable volume special 1945 02:02:36,560 --> 02:02:40,080 where both these guys are like just if you know to sniff this 1946 02:02:40,080 --> 02:02:43,720 out next year, you'll save yourself a lot of money like not 1947 02:02:43,720 --> 02:02:46,960 clicking Rondell Moore way ahead of you know you you're going to 1948 02:02:46,960 --> 02:02:50,920 end up with like 1520% Rondell Moore 1520% DJ chart if you 1949 02:02:50,920 --> 02:02:53,400 followed the rankings. And on the flip side they 1950 02:02:53,400 --> 02:02:56,280 actually nailed Jaden Reed. They were super ahead of the 1951 02:02:56,280 --> 02:02:59,240 market on Jaden Reed the whole time and if you followed their 1952 02:02:59,240 --> 02:03:02,080 rankings on Jaden Reed, you probably got to like 20% Jaden 1953 02:03:02,080 --> 02:03:04,520 Reed. I I definitely did because I 1954 02:03:04,520 --> 02:03:06,760 was. I I was high on Jaden Reed. 1955 02:03:07,140 --> 02:03:09,260 ETR was high on Jaden Reed. Pat was high. 1956 02:03:09,980 --> 02:03:13,340 Everyone that I trusted for rankings was high on Jaden Reed. 1957 02:03:14,260 --> 02:03:17,300 But yeah, just a note for for future best fall drafting. 1958 02:03:17,540 --> 02:03:19,860 If you just remind yourself there's gonna be a couple guys 1959 02:03:19,860 --> 02:03:23,620 in the ETR rankings that are just up there because that's the 1960 02:03:23,620 --> 02:03:25,900 person that they were most confident to project volume 1961 02:03:25,900 --> 02:03:28,460 onto. But we already know. 1962 02:03:28,460 --> 02:03:30,580 We know what DJ Shark is. You know he's been in the league 1963 02:03:30,580 --> 02:03:33,380 long enough, and that offense was gonna be bad. 1964 02:03:33,380 --> 02:03:37,290 So just to avoid those landmines, but be willing to 1965 02:03:37,290 --> 02:03:40,050 lean into the ones like when they're excited about a rookie 1966 02:03:40,050 --> 02:03:42,370 like January. Yeah, just click click that over 1967 02:03:42,370 --> 02:03:45,890 and over. Yeah, I'm just to we we both, 1968 02:03:45,890 --> 02:03:49,450 really. Do like the the ETR rankings and 1969 02:03:49,970 --> 02:03:53,330 but just you want you definitely want to be careful on that 1970 02:03:53,410 --> 02:03:57,770 projectable volume for players where you have a very good idea 1971 02:03:57,890 --> 02:04:03,010 of what they're like sort of like fantasy sort of role is and 1972 02:04:03,010 --> 02:04:06,840 it isn't great. Like, I think that's a message 1973 02:04:06,840 --> 02:04:11,640 there, like a sort of overall, yeah, 100%, yeah. 1974 02:04:11,640 --> 02:04:14,400 It was not meant to be a dig at the ETR rankings. 1975 02:04:14,400 --> 02:04:16,520 They're one of the highest weights in my weighted aggregate 1976 02:04:16,520 --> 02:04:19,360 rankings. It was just, it's been a couple 1977 02:04:19,360 --> 02:04:21,520 of years ago, right. And I knew that you had no 1978 02:04:21,520 --> 02:04:24,280 intention of doing that. I just wanted to make sure. 1979 02:04:24,910 --> 02:04:26,590 Yeah, yeah. It's been a couple years in a 1980 02:04:26,590 --> 02:04:29,870 row though where you get the, gosh, who is Brashad Perriman 1981 02:04:29,870 --> 02:04:31,070 from? Yeah, years past. 1982 02:04:31,270 --> 02:04:33,550 You know there's a couple of those are going to sneak into 1983 02:04:33,550 --> 02:04:36,150 the rankings and that's that's part of doing rankings. 1984 02:04:36,150 --> 02:04:40,110 You know you gotta gotta project out team offense and sometimes 1985 02:04:40,510 --> 02:04:42,950 it's just ambiguous. And they, I feel like they did a 1986 02:04:42,950 --> 02:04:45,950 better job of it this year where they had a lot of, I'll call 1987 02:04:45,950 --> 02:04:49,870 them like ghost roles where they just had unassigned volume to 1988 02:04:49,870 --> 02:04:53,380 guys which that's I think that's a really sharp way to do it when 1989 02:04:53,380 --> 02:04:56,380 you have these ambiguous situations or offense that might 1990 02:04:56,380 --> 02:04:59,140 not be as good as you want to end up projecting it. 1991 02:05:00,500 --> 02:05:04,100 But yeah, there's just the point of and this isn't just their 1992 02:05:04,100 --> 02:05:07,540 rankings this is the market in general places a lot of 1993 02:05:07,540 --> 02:05:11,180 confidence in those kind of players where it's like well the 1994 02:05:11,180 --> 02:05:13,900 volume has to go to this guy. You know there's no there's 1995 02:05:13,900 --> 02:05:15,580 nowhere else for the volume to go. 1996 02:05:15,980 --> 02:05:20,740 And in in the cases of DJ Shark and Rondale Moore, it's, yeah, 1997 02:05:20,740 --> 02:05:22,620 sure, the volume could go to these guys. 1998 02:05:22,620 --> 02:05:25,380 It's just like, no volume, it doesn't matter, you know, And 1999 02:05:25,380 --> 02:05:30,140 right, we projected the offense. And sometimes in the case of 2000 02:05:30,140 --> 02:05:36,100 like, who's Van Jefferson? It's no, no, no Van Jefferson. 2001 02:05:36,100 --> 02:05:39,180 We know what he is. It's puka and Tutu, you know. 2002 02:05:39,500 --> 02:05:43,500 So just just having that, being cognizant of that for drafting 2003 02:05:43,500 --> 02:05:50,180 in the future, Yeah, yeah, I. Think that that is very. 2004 02:05:51,020 --> 02:05:54,940 Fair and Joshua gauge that that there's a I'm sorry Russell 2005 02:05:54,940 --> 02:06:00,980 Gauge that's another one right around very easy to to to to 2006 02:06:01,220 --> 02:06:03,980 project. And and and hoist volume onto 2007 02:06:03,980 --> 02:06:07,700 them where you know, where you know they're not very good. 2008 02:06:08,260 --> 02:06:11,260 It is. And you know, you know from like 2009 02:06:11,420 --> 02:06:14,620 seeing them play a couple of years that they're not very 2010 02:06:14,620 --> 02:06:16,780 good. It can definitely be tricky to 2011 02:06:16,780 --> 02:06:19,740 sniff those guys out though. You like you certainly as a 2012 02:06:19,740 --> 02:06:23,740 drafter can fall into that that narrative of Oh yeah, that makes 2013 02:06:23,740 --> 02:06:25,540 sense. Like I, Russell Gage in the 2014 02:06:25,540 --> 02:06:27,500 18th. Like they've got to throw to 2015 02:06:27,500 --> 02:06:30,580 someone there, you know, right. Mike Evans is gonna get traded 2016 02:06:30,580 --> 02:06:33,980 and then it's the Russell Gage show and it's yeah, be. 2017 02:06:34,020 --> 02:06:36,900 But being able to sniff those guys out, I think is a way that 2018 02:06:36,900 --> 02:06:41,110 you can, you know, those those eighteenth round picks, those 2019 02:06:41,110 --> 02:06:44,030 can be really valuable. That's a Puka, that's a Kyron, 2020 02:06:44,030 --> 02:06:46,030 that's a Tutu, that's Justice Hill. 2021 02:06:46,030 --> 02:06:49,710 You know, that's Josh Kelly, that's, you know, Jerome Ford. 2022 02:06:49,710 --> 02:06:52,190 At certain parts of the offseason, I'm still worried 2023 02:06:52,190 --> 02:06:54,830 that Jayden Reed has only played in three wide receiver sets. 2024 02:06:55,190 --> 02:06:58,590 Yeah, I mean, if you watched watched him play, he's good. 2025 02:06:59,790 --> 02:07:03,950 And so I I think that he's gonna earn his way to more playing 2026 02:07:03,950 --> 02:07:07,150 time, right. And and that's the point of 2027 02:07:07,150 --> 02:07:10,640 this, this share. Is the sniff at the guys that 2028 02:07:10,640 --> 02:07:12,400 aren't playing? Yeah, that's the reason. 2029 02:07:12,680 --> 02:07:15,280 If if Jayden Reed didn't exist there, would there would be 2030 02:07:15,280 --> 02:07:23,720 little point in the in in this chart and the fact that he is. 2031 02:07:23,720 --> 02:07:27,320 Earning targets. And down the field targets at 2032 02:07:27,320 --> 02:07:33,280 such a consistent rate and succeeding with them And is it? 2033 02:07:33,280 --> 02:07:35,960 It's definitely it. It's a reason for them to play a 2034 02:07:35,960 --> 02:07:39,580 more. And then Josh Joshua had a 2035 02:07:39,580 --> 02:07:42,940 question. Did Michael Wilson go missing? 2036 02:07:44,220 --> 02:07:47,780 And I hate to inform you, Joshua, but Michael Wilson never 2037 02:07:47,780 --> 02:07:51,220 existed in the 1st place. He was a ploy by Big Best Ball 2038 02:07:51,740 --> 02:07:57,820 to see how outlandish a player they could get you to click, I'm 2039 02:07:57,820 --> 02:08:01,620 pretty sure, and Michael Wilson is somebody I work with. 2040 02:08:02,340 --> 02:08:06,680 And. Michael Wilson's an accountant. 2041 02:08:06,680 --> 02:08:10,440 Somewhere there, there's definitely there's definitely an 2042 02:08:10,440 --> 02:08:12,680 accountant. Called that Michael Wilson out 2043 02:08:12,680 --> 02:08:14,520 there. Yeah, I mean, Michael Wilson 2044 02:08:14,520 --> 02:08:16,040 might be watching this show right now. 2045 02:08:16,040 --> 02:08:18,640 Michael Wilson might just be a fantasy player like a a. 2046 02:08:18,880 --> 02:08:23,560 He plays fantasy football. He's not an Is it a true deep 2047 02:08:23,560 --> 02:08:26,360 fake? I wasn't. 2048 02:08:26,360 --> 02:08:28,080 Wasn't trying to throw shade at you, Joshua. 2049 02:08:28,080 --> 02:08:30,120 I meant. I meant the collective You the 2050 02:08:30,240 --> 02:08:35,260 the Royal Best Ball drafting community and not psyopt into 2051 02:08:35,260 --> 02:08:37,100 Michael Wilson. So I think. 2052 02:08:37,100 --> 02:08:39,700 He is in here and we definitely we. 2053 02:08:39,700 --> 02:08:43,980 Definitely have him and he just, he's lost in a crowd of is he on 2054 02:08:43,980 --> 02:08:46,100 the, is he on the milk carton? Yeah, there he is. 2055 02:08:46,900 --> 02:08:52,460 There he is 70 to 75% route run. Between 40 and 60% targets per 2056 02:08:52,460 --> 02:08:55,060 route run just above 5 fantasy points a game. 2057 02:08:56,100 --> 02:08:58,780 So there's there's your your Michael Wilson folks. 2058 02:08:59,060 --> 02:09:05,030 There he is, you know. Glory, so I I guess we we we 2059 02:09:05,070 --> 02:09:07,950 brought the time. Back a little bit and but didn't 2060 02:09:07,950 --> 02:09:13,950 quite didn't quite I I'm, I don't feel bad that and we were. 2061 02:09:14,150 --> 02:09:17,350 I I felt like we had very productive conversations and and 2062 02:09:17,350 --> 02:09:20,390 hopefully useful for for people. Yeah. 2063 02:09:20,390 --> 02:09:23,470 I mean, as long as we're putting out work that's useful to 2064 02:09:23,470 --> 02:09:26,670 people, that's all I care about. And if we go over 2 hours, we go 2065 02:09:26,670 --> 02:09:29,230 over 2 hours, we'll we'll try and keep it tighter. 2066 02:09:30,310 --> 02:09:34,540 But I don't ever want to just shorten the show for just the 2067 02:09:34,540 --> 02:09:36,860 purpose of shortening it. I wanna make sure we get you 2068 02:09:36,860 --> 02:09:40,180 guys the analysis that you need to make the best decisions you 2069 02:09:40,180 --> 02:09:43,500 can going forward. Yeah, definitely agree. 2070 02:09:43,500 --> 02:09:45,100 And I think we did. We think we. 2071 02:09:45,100 --> 02:09:50,180 Did a good middle ground of scaling back to time and but 2072 02:09:50,180 --> 02:09:53,380 still making sure that it was full analysis like you said. 2073 02:09:56,230 --> 02:09:57,110 All right. Well, I I. 2074 02:09:57,110 --> 02:10:00,710 Think with that time to time to wrap it up and pack it in for 2075 02:10:00,710 --> 02:10:03,270 the night. For those of you that hung with 2076 02:10:03,270 --> 02:10:05,630 us for the whole two hours and change. 2077 02:10:05,630 --> 02:10:11,350 We appreciate you and yeah this this has been stat chasing yeah 2078 02:10:11,670 --> 02:10:14,510 that's that's week two of stat chasing done thanks for. 2079 02:10:14,670 --> 02:10:15,630 Listening in, folks.