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Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to
ship, chasing ffp. 

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See Playoff Challenge week. 
We have a full week of 

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programming kicking off. 
Today with our friend, John 

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Daigle from NBC Sports Edge. 
But before we get to the playoff

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challenge, we have a very 
important news out of Chicago. 

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Listen man, have a seat. 
I was Consulting with my dear 

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beloved mother last night as she
talked to me in with my 

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customers story and warm glass 
of milk. 

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And I asked her how she felt 
about this Chicago Bear season 

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and she reiterated to me as, oh,
good Mothers. 

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Would How Deeply deeply 
disappointed? 

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She is in me. 
Personally, Matt you couldn't 

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get it done with the last first 
round quarterback pick and then 

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you built the offense around a 
journeyman who looked 

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overmatched even in preseason, 
he forced the new first run QB 

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pick to play in that offense. 
You called far, fewer lie down 

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passes when he was in there 
though ask him to succeed as a 

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pastor on the obvious passing 
downs and taking away the 

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non-obvious passing down. 
Look, I don't actually know 

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anything about any of this. 
I read it in the sub stack 

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somewhere. 
Anyway, everything is off the 

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team sucks. 
Who was at QB, it's time for a 

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change. 
Please pack up your office. 

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And PS. 
Olin kreutz is a liar and a 

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thief and probably a murderer. 
Yeah, yeah, Matt we're still on 

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for Friday. 
Reservations at 6:00. 

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Welcome to ship, chasing felt 
good to break that news here. 

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Even the Boomer, you know, 
having trouble ending the video 

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there. 
I love editing software. 

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Oh my God, the reviews are 
already coming in on the ship 

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chasing Twitter. 
I think that's a bit. 

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We're going to have to bring 
back grouches. 

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You Shepherd in the next era of 
Chicago coaching John Diggle. 

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Welcome to ship chasing, man. 
Last time you were here, I don't

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think you remembered being here.
You're muted. 

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This is the first five minutes 
after that so much. 

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So that I think I sent a few 
texts the next day and over the 

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course of a couple weeks, 
learning things about that, show

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that I was not aware of. 
So happy it took me 48 Hours of 

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recover from that last show. 
But we're doing well, we 

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scheduled it for an early 
afternoon instead so good to go 

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right now. 
Yes. 

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Yeah, you found out things that 
were said on that episode via an

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atom Levitan solo pod. 
That's how that's how blacked 

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out you were. 
And I didn't realize that I was 

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intelligent enough at least in 
my state, to mute the mic before

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I what happened, I know Gretchen
was messaging in the next day 

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asking what happened? 
Well, what happened is, I fell 

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asleep on the bathroom floor, 
that's what happened to stream, 

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your still being open, and I 
didn't realize like what had 

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happened before that then I went
back. 

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Watch. 
A couple minutes got embarrassed

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by that couple minutes, turned 
it off and said, okay, well 

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that's for the archives forever.
So we'll just leave it at that. 

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My favorite part was beat, never
took your window off the street,

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which is that? 
Well, he Casey came back. 

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I wanted him to feel like he 
could slide right back. 

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Um, all right, so as I 
mentioned, as you guys have 

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heard, we are obsessed with the 
FPC Playoff Challenge last year.

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I think we did three shows at 
this year, we said we're kicking

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it up a notch. 
We're going five. 

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Shows. 
So this entire week we're going 

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to have a show each day. 
Pat why don't you for the 

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uninitiated? 
Just give a very high level 

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overview of what this contest is
and then we can kind of drill 

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down from there. 
Yes, so the way this contest 

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works is that you select a 
typical FPC lineup which is a 

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tight end premium scoring 
format. 

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The normal format has two Flex 
has two wide receivers tight end

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quarterback. 
Kicker defense, this has 4 Flex 

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has because of the way, the 
playoffs are set up but that 

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still leaves two teams that 
don't fit into your lineup. 

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So essentially what you're doing
is you're picking one player 

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from every NFL team in the 
playoffs. 

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Up to that, you completely hard 
Fade Into don't pick anyone from

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it all and then includes kicker 
and defense. 

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So you can only pick Mahomes. 
You can't pick Kelsey and he'll 

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if you pick the homes, Etc. 
So you just pick one player from

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each NFL team. 
It's pretty simple, but the way 

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that the sort of chalk condenses
and stuff, makes this a pretty 

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fun contest. 
You also have to be thinking 

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through which teams are going to
advance because you're getting 

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their their scores through the 
entire playoffs and the Super 

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Bowl counts for double points. 
So you got to think who's going 

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to the Super Bowl and and when a
team gets the Super Bowl, which 

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player do you actually want in 
the Super Bowl Gretch? 

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What is it? 
Cuz that you fall in love with 

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this contest each year? 
What is it about this contest 

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that gets you. 
So excited. 

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I don't like the game theory. 
I guess there's so many layers 

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to it obviously, right? 
I mean, at first, it's very 

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simple. 
You were just saying this in our

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chat, like it at first, it seems
very simple. 

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And then you start peeling back 
layers and you're like, you 

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know, there's it's a, it's like 
a puzzle, you know, like how you

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want to play. 
It's kind of like DFS. 

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But obviously with the 
additional elements that 

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Patrick's described of you. 
Only get one player from each 

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team. 
You got to be able to understand

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how the different positions are 
going to play out over the four 

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games. 
Obviously teams that are playing

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more games matter and the double
points in the Super Bowl 

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matters. 
But at the end of the day, it's 

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like there's this math element. 
We're like who's going to 

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differentiate from their 
position. 

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The most, is there going to be a
quarterback who plays for games 

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and as a big Super Bowl and 
winds up scoring 100 points, and

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every other quarterback, because
that's possible, right? 

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Or that's also possible tight 
end, it's less possible running 

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back and receiver. 
But obviously, if the Fillmore 

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spots there and those guys when 
they do differentiate, even by 

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30 points, are going to be lost 
to be in the in the optimal, 

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what you're going to want. 
So so many ways to consider it, 

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a lot of these teams have the, 
you know, the clear top dudes on

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their rosters as like the clear.
Producers other ones have a few 

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more. 
Some are, you know, highly 

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unconcentrated like think about 
like the Patriots, right? 

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Some are concentrated but they 
have multiple options. 

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Still like a little Cowboys and 
bangles, right? 

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They have like three guys that 
we know are the guys, but in the

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passing game, but like, it could
be any of them over a multiple 

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weeks. 
And so like, how do you play all

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that stuff? 
The game theory of it is really 

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fast. 
Innate to me, Diego. 

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What is the the first thing 
where your brain goes when you 

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open up this blank line up? 
And, you know, you have to start

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filling out a roster that is set
on Saturday, and you can't touch

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it for the rest of the playoffs.
It may be more recency bias, but

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we've seen the last two seasons 
in particular, that the 

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Workhorse running backs at lower
seeds are typically the ones 

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that pull people through pull 
the winners through more 

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importantly, a couple of years 
ago, we got Dalvin cook with the

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Vikings. 
Underdogs in New Orleans. 

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I think it was last year we had 
the Browns, which in hindsight, 

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it seems crazy to say the Browns
are underdogs against the 

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Steelers nonetheless, they were 
underdogs and Nick Chubb, lit, 

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the FPC Playoff Challenge on 
fire. 

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And so, that's kind of where I 
go to First was saying, which 

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Workhorse running back. 
Can I get 20 plus touches out 

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of, for at least two weeks in an
upset? 

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And when you're looking down the
list, I think there are honestly

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a couple of viable options here.
Not so much an upset, but if you

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wanted to and I'm sure we'll get
into the game theory of all this

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eventually, but if you want to 
Pivot to Joe Mixon and that may 

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be popular. 
Since the last time we saw the 

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Bengals defeat the Raiders. 
It was Donkey Zack Taylor that 

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made an appearance with 30 
running back carries or 32 

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running back here. 
Is it 29 passes mix, it himself,

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had 30 carries. 
You could also go the Patriots 

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over the bills. 
Knowing it's going to be a run 

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heavy games for the Patriots, 
and although the bills did run, 

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I believe it finished the year. 
Well, no, not because because 

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Monday night ruined this stat. 
But prior to that the bills ran 

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the most fourth-down attempts 
after. 

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McDermott had basically been a 
coward last year's AFC 

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Championship game against the 
Chiefs kicking field goals 

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inside the 20. 
And Arrowhead feeling really 

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good about a 6-0 lead for some 
reason at the end of the first 

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quarter thinking that would 
actually matter. 

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And then earlier this year 
against the Bucks, choose opting

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for field goals as well. 
But did finally get aggressive 

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trying to win and feeding the 
Patriots. 

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Last time we saw them, I believe
that was over Christmas weekend,

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holiday weekend, at least and so
thinking the bills, let could 

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somehow, again, dominate the 
Patriots. 

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I don't know if that's the case.
So much. 

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So We can also look to remind 
Ray Stevenson or Damien Harris. 

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Pending our monitors Stevenson's
injury shakes out in particular,

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in this first round or if you 
want to go to Eagles bucks, I 

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think the Eagles, you know, as 
scary as this as dumb as it 

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sounds scary. 
As idiotic as this sounds. 

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I think the Eagles have a 
legitimate chance here, given 

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the covid list for the bucks. 
And more importantly, all the 

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injuries happening over the 
second half of the season. 

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If even if you take away 
quarterback carries like the the

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Bucks played the bills, the 
Bucks, played a couple other 

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Russian Court, Max you take away
quarterback carries from week, 

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nine on and the Bucks are still 
bottom. 

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Five and percentage of 10 plus 
runs allowed to opposing running

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backs and we know that's how the
Eagles are going to approach 

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this game and they had success 
doing that the last time they 

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played the Bucks and that was 
without Dallas, Carter those 

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before Jordan, however, was a 
factor. 

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So I'm just looking at these 
three matchups thinking, how can

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I get contrarian from the rest 
of the field in these particular

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instances? 
Yeah, and I think there that's 

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where we're going to, you know, 
as the week of Olives, you know.

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Next tomorrow we're going to hit
you know and Early look at 

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ownership projections because 
that's really when we're going 

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to be able to see, you know, 
where do we think the field is 

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going? 
Where's the field being 

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overconfident? 
It really does kind of play out 

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similar to DFS. 
In that regard, where it's not 

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necessarily like you're trying 
to be right? 

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We're trying to get paid off 
when we are right in the biggest

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way possible. 
Pat. 

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We went hard at this last year 
went even deeper than we had in 

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previous years. 
What would you say are some of 

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the kind of like key takeaways 
that we learn from last year's 

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experience or whether mistakes? 
Want to make again or things you

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want to try to emulate here this
year Well to just emphasize 

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diggle's point about the running
backs. 

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I think one of the best plays 
probably the best play that we 

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made last year was cam Akers. 
Who was another Underdog running

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back, who hit? 
And you know, the names that 

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they offloaded I think we're 
definitely interesting guys. 

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He didn't mention now as you 
hear us and Josh Jacobs, I think

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will be really interesting how 
people play those guys this 

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year. 
But But yeah, I think for me the

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ownership was a little bit 
different, a quarterback than I 

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had projected it, in particular,
I had over projected, Tom, Brady

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under projected Josh Allen and I
think people were just playing 

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that position more for like the 
projected points rather than 

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trying to make sure the 
quarterback was in the Super 

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Bowl. 
Tom, Brady actually ended up 

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being a pretty nice play because
he wasn't all that highly owned 

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and they obviously did win the 
Super Bowl. 

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So that's something I want to be
like thinking through a little 

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bit better. 
It's just a Back projected 

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ownership and I think it's tough
like is I look for the 

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quarterback. 
The way it's going to split up 

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is tough because I don't think 
Alan's going to be quite as 

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popular as he was last year. 
And there's a few guys that are 

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like semi-interesting like Dak 
you know that that I don't think

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will be like really popular 
either. 

226
00:11:43,400 --> 00:11:45,200
Yeah. 
And then I think one of the 

227
00:11:45,200 --> 00:11:48,600
things I've noticed to with this
contest and this happens in a 

228
00:11:48,608 --> 00:11:53,000
lot of fantasy stuff but recency
bias plays a major, you know 

229
00:11:53,000 --> 00:11:55,600
part. 
In in which players are used the

230
00:11:55,608 --> 00:11:57,200
most from. 
From teams. 

231
00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,500
I think the Bangles are pretty 
interesting example, you know, 

232
00:11:59,500 --> 00:12:02,000
Jabbar Chase. 
Coming off of these really big 

233
00:12:02,000 --> 00:12:05,400
games. 
Are there any players that 

234
00:12:05,400 --> 00:12:08,600
you're kind of noticing from 
this you know week 18 or these 

235
00:12:08,600 --> 00:12:12,000
past few weeks that you think 
are going to be incredibly 

236
00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,300
popular just because of how 
strong they finished. 

237
00:12:15,000 --> 00:12:16,100
I don't have any great ones in 
mind. 

238
00:12:16,100 --> 00:12:18,500
I was thinking about this 
watching the game last night. 

239
00:12:18,500 --> 00:12:20,900
The crazy game that Mike 
Williams is, was just getting 

240
00:12:20,900 --> 00:12:23,700
targeted so much late and I 
looked it up. 

241
00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:25,600
For this morning, Keenan, Allen 
only had eight targets. 

242
00:12:25,600 --> 00:12:28,000
I think it might have left some 
stuff toward Williams, if the 

243
00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:31,500
charger would have got in, but 
they didn't obviously, but 

244
00:12:31,500 --> 00:12:33,400
Jacobs was huge for them down 
the stretch. 

245
00:12:33,400 --> 00:12:36,500
I mean that's one where I think 
it took a little while but 

246
00:12:36,500 --> 00:12:39,100
people recognize that Jacobs has
a little bit of a different role

247
00:12:39,100 --> 00:12:41,600
this year than he has the last 
couple years, you still running,

248
00:12:42,900 --> 00:12:44,900
excuse me, Still Still The 
Workhorse, still getting gold 

249
00:12:44,900 --> 00:12:47,500
and touches and all that but 
he's running more routes and 

250
00:12:47,500 --> 00:12:51,900
things and so we are seeing like
the like we're talking about 

251
00:12:51,900 --> 00:12:53,600
some definitely some interesting
running back. 

252
00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,500
Back options. 
But as we start to like dick 

253
00:12:56,500 --> 00:12:58,800
peel, back the layers and look 
at all the teams a little bit. 

254
00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:02,800
There's not, it's not as deep of
a contest at running back, 

255
00:13:02,800 --> 00:13:05,000
especially when we lost JT, we 
lost Eckler. 

256
00:13:05,000 --> 00:13:10,700
Potentially guys like Jacobs, I 
think are interesting in that 

257
00:13:10,700 --> 00:13:14,300
regard are at least will be 
looked at positively, you know, 

258
00:13:14,300 --> 00:13:16,200
you had a really strong finish 
and he's such a key part of what

259
00:13:16,200 --> 00:13:17,900
they do. 
I don't think I'll have people 

260
00:13:17,900 --> 00:13:18,900
going to pick the Raiders to 
win. 

261
00:13:18,900 --> 00:13:20,200
So, maybe that's not a great 
example. 

262
00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:22,900
I hadn't let the interesting 
thing about. 

263
00:13:23,000 --> 00:13:25,500
I think just one thing. 
Contest in general is that you 

264
00:13:25,500 --> 00:13:27,800
can kind of play it two 
different ways or a combination 

265
00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:31,100
of both of these ways but you 
can pick up sets where let's 

266
00:13:31,100 --> 00:13:35,600
say, you go like Jacobs and then
you go like Bangles kicker or 

267
00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:39,700
you know, just don't select any 
one from them at all or you can 

268
00:13:39,700 --> 00:13:42,500
go, Josh Jacobs and Jamar Chase 
and play for it to be a shootout

269
00:13:43,100 --> 00:13:45,200
where you go, you know, Darren 
Waller Jamarcus, whatever you 

270
00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:48,300
want to do. 
And I think getting those 

271
00:13:48,300 --> 00:13:51,200
shootouts right because there's 
probably going to be one to two 

272
00:13:51,200 --> 00:13:53,400
like true shootout. 
There's some high over unders 

273
00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:55,800
on. 
Us on the Slate as well so you 

274
00:13:55,800 --> 00:14:00,200
know if you if you nail the 
shootout players then that gives

275
00:14:00,200 --> 00:14:04,300
you a big Edge and then in that 
sense you can pick I think gives

276
00:14:04,300 --> 00:14:07,900
you a little bit more leeway to 
pick like more chalky advances 

277
00:14:07,900 --> 00:14:11,900
as well because you're getting 
sort of an advantage. 

278
00:14:11,900 --> 00:14:14,300
You're setting a lead up with 
with getting that shootout. 

279
00:14:14,300 --> 00:14:16,800
It's kind of like the the chump 
play from last year and if you 

280
00:14:16,800 --> 00:14:19,500
would have done that with the 
Steelers receiver Juju a being 

281
00:14:19,500 --> 00:14:22,300
the highest scoring one but 
Deonte or was also really good 

282
00:14:22,300 --> 00:14:25,600
that came here. 
Is a good point though that is 

283
00:14:25,600 --> 00:14:29,000
an overarching emphasis for me 
and it's Dalton Schultz and 

284
00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:32,100
stock up for the Cowboys. 
But more importantly, it's when 

285
00:14:32,100 --> 00:14:35,100
you look at this slate like just
full, you can Flex all Titans. 

286
00:14:35,100 --> 00:14:38,100
If you wanted to like we brought
all the big dogs to the playoffs

287
00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:41,200
Dalton Schultz like carrying a 
20 plus percent Target share 

288
00:14:41,200 --> 00:14:42,900
from his last three games of the
postseason. 

289
00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:45,600
Plus you have Gronk and you 
know, we'll talk about Evans a 

290
00:14:45,608 --> 00:14:47,700
little bit too. 
But Gronk is there George? 

291
00:14:47,700 --> 00:14:49,600
Kittel Darren Waller. 
If you want to get a little 

292
00:14:49,600 --> 00:14:52,000
contrarian Travis Kelce. 
We have to wait and see about 

293
00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,400
Tara tyriq Wills injury because 
that will I'll also play in the 

294
00:14:54,400 --> 00:14:57,700
Kelsey's ownership, so overall, 
like playing all the tight ends 

295
00:14:57,700 --> 00:15:00,300
especially in, you know a tight 
end. 

296
00:15:00,300 --> 00:15:04,000
Premium option is is just is 
going through the heavyweight 

297
00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:07,300
adoption this lineup super fun 
because it's telling his guys 

298
00:15:07,300 --> 00:15:10,100
earlier like I think this is 
like my mind clears early take 

299
00:15:10,100 --> 00:15:13,300
away to was, that was a tight 
ends and I was just going to 

300
00:15:13,308 --> 00:15:16,400
bring to you this comment but no
I completely agree with. 

301
00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:18,700
You got hurt another one, you 
mentioned the Eagles. 

302
00:15:18,700 --> 00:15:21,500
Like I think you know he'll be 
somewhat popular play from the 

303
00:15:21,500 --> 00:15:24,400
Eagles from people who don't pay
them the the Which obviously 

304
00:15:24,400 --> 00:15:29,000
talk about the fade strategy as 
well, you have two full fade. 

305
00:15:29,000 --> 00:15:31,600
Two teams you have to saw off a 
two teams with a kicker a 

306
00:15:31,600 --> 00:15:34,600
defense pick. 
And so those four teens who 

307
00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:37,900
they're going to be a lot of 
times Pat, you're going to have 

308
00:15:37,900 --> 00:15:39,000
to comment on this better than I
can. 

309
00:15:39,000 --> 00:15:40,300
But it seems like it 
concentrates. 

310
00:15:40,300 --> 00:15:42,400
And last year, one of the things
we get some of our limits, we 

311
00:15:42,400 --> 00:15:44,700
played some Washington, we 
played some Chicago skill 

312
00:15:44,700 --> 00:15:47,500
players because they were teams 
that were going to be heavily 

313
00:15:47,500 --> 00:15:51,000
faded or maybe their kickers and
he's would be thrown in the 

314
00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:52,100
eagles. 
Look like that team. 

315
00:15:52,100 --> 00:15:53,600
This year the Patriots look like
that. 

316
00:15:53,700 --> 00:15:56,200
I think with the Raiders getting
in, they look like that team as 

317
00:15:56,200 --> 00:15:59,000
well, maybe a soft fade and the 
Steelers. 

318
00:15:59,000 --> 00:16:01,400
I mean, I think those are 
probably the for likeliest 

319
00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:05,600
candidates in Arizona, sort of 
low-key possibility to be soft 

320
00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:07,900
faded in some spots with their 
kicker defense. 

321
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:11,400
But yeah, I mean, there's gonna 
be interesting ways to play 

322
00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:13,400
those. 
Those specific teams Goddard 

323
00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,100
might be one for the Eagles 
today was but Daigle name, all 

324
00:16:16,100 --> 00:16:17,200
the other ones. 
I mean, you have Kelsey, you've 

325
00:16:17,200 --> 00:16:19,600
killed you of Waller. 
You have Gronk, you have irked 

326
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:22,100
potentially for the Cardinals as
their best option. 

327
00:16:22,100 --> 00:16:24,200
If you folks, you have got Nerd 
there. 

328
00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,500
It's an insane tight end field. 
Yeah, well, the thing for me 

329
00:16:27,500 --> 00:16:31,900
with good guppy for I was just 
gonna emphasize in in Gretsch 

330
00:16:31,900 --> 00:16:33,700
said it, but just because 
they're going to be terms, we 

331
00:16:33,700 --> 00:16:37,800
say a lot this week, full fade, 
obviously means you're not using

332
00:16:37,800 --> 00:16:42,300
a single player in your roster. 
We use soft fate if you're using

333
00:16:42,300 --> 00:16:46,100
them at kicker or defense. 
You're not, you don't want your 

334
00:16:46,100 --> 00:16:49,400
soft Fade to make it to the 
Super Bowl, and so that's the 

335
00:16:49,400 --> 00:16:51,200
kind of terminology there. 
But go ahead, Pat. 

336
00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:57,900
Yeah, I think Gretchen's point 
about this condensing is is 

337
00:16:57,900 --> 00:17:03,900
really on like we're going to we
saw last year 74% of the field 

338
00:17:04,500 --> 00:17:08,099
either hard faded or soft fated 
La. 

339
00:17:08,700 --> 00:17:13,300
So I mean and then 82% of the 
field had some kind of fade on 

340
00:17:13,300 --> 00:17:16,599
Washington 67 and a half one 
Chicago. 

341
00:17:17,300 --> 00:17:21,000
So I saw we're on the Rams last 
year, oh, cuz gone Ram, thank 

342
00:17:21,000 --> 00:17:25,000
God. 
They weren't Underdog to write, 

343
00:17:26,500 --> 00:17:31,100
but they had, you know, Court of
the Vegas money line for, you 

344
00:17:31,100 --> 00:17:34,400
know, just their odds of winning
the NFC Vegas had a six point, 

345
00:17:34,400 --> 00:17:36,000
three percent chance of making 
the Super Bowl. 

346
00:17:36,200 --> 00:17:39,600
You look at Tennessee, they had 
a nine point, one percent chance

347
00:17:39,600 --> 00:17:42,700
to make the Super Bowl, not all 
that much higher, they were 

348
00:17:42,700 --> 00:17:45,700
fated by 6% of the field. 
That's all faiths. 

349
00:17:46,100 --> 00:17:48,700
So you do see it kind of 
concentrate the other way where 

350
00:17:48,700 --> 00:17:52,300
the like for example I think the
Rams are probably going to have 

351
00:17:52,500 --> 00:17:56,200
Around the same amount of feeds 
is the Titans did last year 

352
00:17:56,200 --> 00:17:59,100
because they've got a player 
like their country last year in 

353
00:17:59,100 --> 00:18:01,500
Kubrick up that everyone's gonna
want to play, and it's hard to 

354
00:18:01,500 --> 00:18:04,200
even talk yourself into 
scenarios with the Rams lose and

355
00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,400
Cooper cup. 
You know, you'd rather have the 

356
00:18:06,408 --> 00:18:09,000
kicker than Cooper cup, like 
really, I think it's the weather

357
00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:10,900
I've come so it's going to be 
you see it kind of 

358
00:18:10,900 --> 00:18:13,700
concentrating, both ways. 
It's not completely synced up to

359
00:18:13,700 --> 00:18:16,000
the chances that these teams 
make Super Bowl. 

360
00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:21,000
In one thing that I noticed that
happens and I was just doing an 

361
00:18:21,000 --> 00:18:23,500
underdog draft and it's 
something that I think can 

362
00:18:23,500 --> 00:18:27,900
actually apply to this as well 
is kind of the markets certainty

363
00:18:27,900 --> 00:18:31,100
over some of these matchups and 
and Dominic mentioning this 

364
00:18:31,100 --> 00:18:35,900
Cincinnati Las Vegas game here. 
So you know the money line for 

365
00:18:35,900 --> 00:18:37,900
the Raiders winning is plus to 
15. 

366
00:18:37,900 --> 00:18:42,400
So that's an implied probability
of 31% one, almost one out of 

367
00:18:42,400 --> 00:18:44,500
three times. 
They win that game yet I just do

368
00:18:44,500 --> 00:18:46,500
an underdog draft. 
Joe Mixon goes in the second 

369
00:18:46,500 --> 00:18:49,800
round and I take Josh Jacobs in 
the 10th round and that kind of 

370
00:18:49,800 --> 00:18:52,300
dynamic is going to play out in 
the ffp. 

371
00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:55,400
PC contest as well. 
Where even though, I have a 30% 

372
00:18:55,400 --> 00:18:57,900
chance the way people are forced
to make decisions in this 

373
00:18:57,900 --> 00:19:01,500
contest leads to more. 
Binary decisions where that gets

374
00:19:01,500 --> 00:19:03,300
shifted down. 
Once we see Josh Jacobs 

375
00:19:03,300 --> 00:19:06,300
ownership come in, it probably 
won't be reflected in their 

376
00:19:06,300 --> 00:19:08,300
implied probability to actually 
win this game. 

377
00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:11,900
And so similar to DFS contest, 
you know, getting outside your 

378
00:19:11,900 --> 00:19:15,200
comfort zone with some of these 
things that everyone isn't 

379
00:19:15,200 --> 00:19:18,200
predicting to happen. 
Can really be how you get a leg 

380
00:19:18,200 --> 00:19:22,000
up on things. 
Yeah, I think that's right. 

381
00:19:22,700 --> 00:19:25,400
And I think with Cincinnati 
that's another team where it's 

382
00:19:25,400 --> 00:19:28,300
just very hard to see them 
getting a lot of soft or full 

383
00:19:28,300 --> 00:19:32,800
Fates because you basically have
to bet that, you know, Chase 

384
00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:36,700
Higgins, Mixon. 
None of those guys gets there in

385
00:19:36,700 --> 00:19:39,400
a loss against the Raiders 
defense that we know people can 

386
00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:42,100
put up points on and so it just 
makes me very uncomfortable and 

387
00:19:42,100 --> 00:19:44,400
I think the fact that you then 
immediately go well I'm not 

388
00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,000
going to do that. 
So then you slot in let's say 

389
00:19:46,000 --> 00:19:48,800
Jamar Chase. 
It makes it easier to fade the 

390
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:50,800
Raiders as well because you're 
like, well, I already picked a, 

391
00:19:50,800 --> 00:19:52,200
so I might as well. 
So you kind of like talk 

392
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:55,400
yourself into it and by the way 
you mentioned earlier, we were 

393
00:19:55,400 --> 00:19:57,600
talking about the recency bias 
element. 

394
00:19:57,600 --> 00:19:59,800
I mean, Daniel Carlson Scott as 
much recency bias. 

395
00:19:59,800 --> 00:20:03,200
Is anyone so I think we could 
see a popular, Raiders kicker 

396
00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:13,300
with welcome anytime. 
Yeah. 

397
00:20:13,300 --> 00:20:17,000
I imagine offense will take all 
the past catching options with 

398
00:20:17,000 --> 00:20:19,800
them. 
You want one other note, just 

399
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:23,400
broadly because we're kind of 
doing the easy takeaway. 

400
00:20:23,400 --> 00:20:26,400
I think when you're building 
teams, one thing that you got to

401
00:20:26,408 --> 00:20:29,000
keep in mind, if you're not 
super familiar with this contest

402
00:20:29,000 --> 00:20:32,500
or anything is and we kind of 
are hitting on this but is what 

403
00:20:32,500 --> 00:20:34,500
the matchups are, right? 
Like so you kind of want to tell

404
00:20:34,500 --> 00:20:37,600
yourself a bracket, this might 
be very obvious, but one of the 

405
00:20:37,608 --> 00:20:41,700
things you don't want to wind up
with is a soft fade in a hard 

406
00:20:41,700 --> 00:20:43,900
fade. 
Any combination, where the 

407
00:20:43,900 --> 00:20:46,900
playing each other like, say you
really, you wanted to fade The 

408
00:20:46,900 --> 00:20:50,600
Bangles You also faded the 
Raiders in some way. 

409
00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:53,100
One of those things has to win 
and in all likelihood, if a team

410
00:20:53,100 --> 00:20:56,600
plays two games, were probably 
going to see not the kicker or 

411
00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:59,100
the defense, certainly not a 
full fade. 

412
00:20:59,400 --> 00:21:01,200
They're going to they're going 
to have somebody in from a skill

413
00:21:01,200 --> 00:21:05,200
position, be in you know the 
optimal or you're going to want 

414
00:21:05,200 --> 00:21:07,300
somebody. 
And so looking at all these 

415
00:21:07,300 --> 00:21:10,500
first round matchups, like, say 
you're not real high on Tampa 

416
00:21:10,500 --> 00:21:12,200
and you decide you're going to 
just play their kicker or 

417
00:21:12,200 --> 00:21:14,700
something. 
Then you probably also the want 

418
00:21:14,700 --> 00:21:17,700
to make sure you get an eagle 
skill player in because one of 

419
00:21:17,700 --> 00:21:20,500
the ways that make sense is the 
Eagles actually winning that 

420
00:21:20,500 --> 00:21:22,000
game, right? 
You don't want to have the 

421
00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:23,900
Eagles as a full fade and 
Tampa's kicker. 

422
00:21:24,100 --> 00:21:26,600
That's the, you know, you're 
locking yourself in from a 

423
00:21:26,600 --> 00:21:29,600
structural perspective to 
having, either a softer full 

424
00:21:29,600 --> 00:21:31,300
Fate on a team, that's going to 
play at least two games. 

425
00:21:31,300 --> 00:21:33,100
And so, definitely, look at the 
matchups. 

426
00:21:33,100 --> 00:21:35,200
And we see this every year, by 
the way, might seem kind of like

427
00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,100
an obvious point, but you see 
you go through and you see teams

428
00:21:38,900 --> 00:21:42,000
lineups that have part of the 
bracket just locked in, okay? 

429
00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,400
I'm going to have either no one 
in the next round or a kicker or

430
00:21:44,408 --> 00:21:45,800
defense. 
Yeah. 

431
00:21:46,400 --> 00:21:50,300
Yeah, one other thing we should 
mention too because this is what

432
00:21:50,300 --> 00:21:54,100
really gets the juices flowing 
and is what is so fun about this

433
00:21:54,100 --> 00:21:57,100
is so they do have two different
contests this year. 

434
00:21:57,100 --> 00:21:59,500
They have a two hundred dollar 
price point and a thirty five 

435
00:21:59,500 --> 00:22:03,000
dollar price point. 
The 200 dollar contest has 

436
00:22:03,000 --> 00:22:07,100
500,000 dollars up top. 
So this is the prize pool. 

437
00:22:07,100 --> 00:22:10,700
And it does extend all the way 
down to 800 50th place and 

438
00:22:10,708 --> 00:22:13,200
there's some different prizes in
here as far as Main Event in 

439
00:22:13,200 --> 00:22:16,100
trees, Etc. 
And I believe, what is the 

440
00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:22,800
Backspin is it 150 Max in 350 
Max 7250 total entries. 

441
00:22:23,400 --> 00:22:27,500
Okay yeah so and last year this 
did end up filling, was it mid 

442
00:22:27,500 --> 00:22:31,000
to late week that it filled 
caracal. 

443
00:22:31,200 --> 00:22:35,000
Yeah so if you are yeah it'll 
definitely fill. 

444
00:22:35,000 --> 00:22:39,300
I believe the 35 dollar one is 
bigger but yeah just making that

445
00:22:39,300 --> 00:22:43,300
things are 35 was later if I 
think I think it did definitely 

446
00:22:43,300 --> 00:22:44,400
feel. 
I think if you want to get in, I

447
00:22:44,408 --> 00:22:48,100
think you should register. 
Ginobli early anything we saw 

448
00:22:48,100 --> 00:22:52,100
this year was the FPC main event
filled, I think on Monday or 

449
00:22:52,100 --> 00:22:54,200
Tuesday of the final week. 
I was still looking to get into 

450
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,300
some to add some additional 
teams. 

451
00:22:56,700 --> 00:22:59,600
And by I think it was by least 
Tuesday, you know, they still 

452
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:01,600
have drafts on Friday and 
Saturday, after the Thursday 

453
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:05,700
opener, even those were all 
booked so and those are those 

454
00:23:05,700 --> 00:23:10,400
are more fun to do, right? 
One thing I would say is like if

455
00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:15,000
you have kind of the budget to 
do like one of the 200 or you 

456
00:23:15,008 --> 00:23:19,000
know, you can do a Of the 35 to 
the handful of the 35 would be 

457
00:23:19,000 --> 00:23:21,300
my recommendation. 
Because yeah, it's fun to Think 

458
00:23:21,300 --> 00:23:24,400
Through different scenarios 
although I think the payout 

459
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:27,400
structure, splatter on the 200. 
So something would you? 

460
00:23:27,700 --> 00:23:30,500
How would you recommend say, if 
someone is going to make three 

461
00:23:30,500 --> 00:23:33,500
lineups for this and I was in 
the ship chasing Discord and it 

462
00:23:33,500 --> 00:23:35,800
seemed like most people were 
kind of in that range, you know,

463
00:23:35,800 --> 00:23:39,000
talking about, you know, making 
125 lineups for the contest. 

464
00:23:39,100 --> 00:23:42,900
Would it be by making, you know,
however, many lineups you're 

465
00:23:42,900 --> 00:23:45,700
going to make make that many 
different brackets. 

466
00:23:46,100 --> 00:23:48,800
And then reverse engineer your 
pics from your bracket, would 

467
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:50,500
that be kind of your starting 
point? 

468
00:23:50,500 --> 00:23:54,600
Yeah, I think making the bracket
is a great place to start and 

469
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,000
like you know, even within that 
trying to think through like, 

470
00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:00,000
okay, I'm playing this game to 
shoot out and playing, you know,

471
00:24:00,100 --> 00:24:02,900
if you have a contrarian idea 
about a team advancing, I think 

472
00:24:02,900 --> 00:24:07,000
you really want to play your 
line up with that idea, in mind.

473
00:24:07,100 --> 00:24:10,900
And another thing to think there
is like if a team's going to 

474
00:24:10,900 --> 00:24:14,800
advance, how are they going to 
advance like if you're betting 

475
00:24:14,900 --> 00:24:16,600
like, Okay so let's say 
Patriots. 

476
00:24:17,200 --> 00:24:20,900
If you're taking the Patriots, 
you know, the chalk skill player

477
00:24:20,900 --> 00:24:24,600
in the pages of me, Damien 
Harris, but if you're betting on

478
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,100
the Patriots, to advance 
multiple rounds, you still 

479
00:24:27,100 --> 00:24:29,200
probably want to take Damien 
Harris, you know, even though 

480
00:24:29,200 --> 00:24:32,800
he's the chalky guy because if 
they beat the bills that you 

481
00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,800
know we know exactly what the 
game plan is going to be and if 

482
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:38,300
you know if they end up winning 
multiple games it's probably 

483
00:24:38,300 --> 00:24:39,900
going to be on the back of the 
Run game. 

484
00:24:40,400 --> 00:24:44,200
So then you want to like have 
that reflected in what else you 

485
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:47,500
do with that lineup? 
Maybe you get contrarian with 

486
00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:49,900
the bills, you know, I think 
they would play the Titans in 

487
00:24:49,900 --> 00:24:52,600
the next round potential for 
most likely, so you get 

488
00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,800
contrarian around what you're 
doing with those other teams, 

489
00:24:56,200 --> 00:24:59,300
you know, for example, maybe you
don't play Derrick Henry because

490
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:02,200
the the Titans can be losing so 
many passing more or whatever it

491
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:03,400
is. 
But I wouldn't necessarily like 

492
00:25:03,400 --> 00:25:05,800
talk myself off of the main 
piece of the team that I want 

493
00:25:05,800 --> 00:25:07,700
advancing. 
Because you just want to thank 

494
00:25:07,700 --> 00:25:10,300
through like how is this team 
winning in the first place? 

495
00:25:11,300 --> 00:25:14,200
Yeah, and a guy feel like that 
there's a few of these teams 

496
00:25:14,200 --> 00:25:16,000
that are pretty interesting. 
I know we keep mentioning the 

497
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,300
Angles, but they're a team. 
When they have a lead there, 

498
00:25:18,300 --> 00:25:21,200
more than content to just run 
the shit out of the ball, we 

499
00:25:21,200 --> 00:25:25,200
just saw them play, you know, 
pants on fire high, high rate 

500
00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:27,600
over expectation, passing these 
past two games. 

501
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:30,800
Are there any of these teams 
that you think are fragile, as 

502
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:32,700
far as kind of like their pass 
rate? 

503
00:25:32,700 --> 00:25:35,200
You know, if you're deciding 
between your Joe Mixon, verse 

504
00:25:35,200 --> 00:25:37,200
your pass, Catcher Type 
situations here. 

505
00:25:37,200 --> 00:25:39,700
I think the Cowboys would 
probably be another example of 

506
00:25:39,700 --> 00:25:43,400
that you trying to egg me on but
thank you perfect. 

507
00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:49,600
Yeah, yeah. 
Considering this past week 

508
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:51,800
against Phillies. 
Second stringers the first time 

509
00:25:51,800 --> 00:25:55,000
we talking 70 yards, rushing 
salute, five I think I'll stay 

510
00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,600
away from cotton Zeke and this 
slate. 

511
00:25:57,600 --> 00:26:00,700
And this challenge, I think the 
Bucks are really interesting 

512
00:26:00,700 --> 00:26:02,500
since we're waiting on Leonard 
fournette. 

513
00:26:02,500 --> 00:26:04,900
Remember like Ford it was the 
actual engine of the Bucks 

514
00:26:04,900 --> 00:26:06,900
offense over the last month of 
the Season. 

515
00:26:07,100 --> 00:26:10,600
As a Brady was like slowly 
decaying before our very eyes 

516
00:26:10,600 --> 00:26:12,500
and then they had no choice but 
to pass heavier. 

517
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:16,000
And of course then they lost 
Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown. 

518
00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:20,100
And so now in this in this 
challenge, like I do, I would 

519
00:26:20,100 --> 00:26:23,200
really love to see what format 
will be Ross for that especially

520
00:26:23,200 --> 00:26:26,800
because I can't imagine it'll be
high since Gronk and Evans or 

521
00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:29,400
right there and super 
interesting ideas, especially 

522
00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:31,500
Brady as well. 
And I'd love to see what Derrick

523
00:26:31,500 --> 00:26:33,900
Henry is going to be the all 
know you have like a lean right 

524
00:26:33,900 --> 00:26:35,600
now. 
I don't Henry will be over AJ 

525
00:26:35,600 --> 00:26:40,400
Brown I think Henry I have Henry
right now and it's 70% is kind 

526
00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:44,200
of a an item 8 bring that down. 
I had like 70 percent and then 

527
00:26:44,200 --> 00:26:46,700
AJ Brown at like 26% Or 
something. 

528
00:26:46,700 --> 00:26:52,900
But Henry was it I think 71 
percent last year and they had 

529
00:26:52,900 --> 00:26:56,600
lower odds of advancing and I 
know it's coming off the injury 

530
00:26:56,900 --> 00:27:01,600
but it's just like I don't 
really see how people get off 

531
00:27:01,600 --> 00:27:04,000
Henry with, you know, there's so
much excitement for him to come 

532
00:27:04,000 --> 00:27:06,000
back. 
Adrian Brown was only eighteen 

533
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:07,500
percent last year. 
So actually have him off from 

534
00:27:07,500 --> 00:27:10,200
where he was last year. 
I think people are going to play

535
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:12,400
the Titans because they get the 
home game in the by. 

536
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:14,100
So they're not, you're not going
to see much Fades. 

537
00:27:14,100 --> 00:27:18,000
You saw some Fades last year. 
A little So that kind of boosts 

538
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:20,700
AJ Brown and Derrick Henry. 
I know that was, that was my 

539
00:27:20,700 --> 00:27:23,200
first read, but are you, are you
thinking it might come in, lower

540
00:27:23,200 --> 00:27:25,700
than that diggle? 
No, I was thinking maybe lower, 

541
00:27:25,700 --> 00:27:29,100
but you, I feel like you have a 
better feel on it than I do. 

542
00:27:29,500 --> 00:27:32,600
It still seems insane that I 
understand, it's, you know, 

543
00:27:32,600 --> 00:27:35,500
similar projected ownership to 
what he was last year, but also 

544
00:27:35,500 --> 00:27:38,000
like, this is foot surgery. 
We're talking about and it's 

545
00:27:38,000 --> 00:27:39,900
very first game back. 
So I don't know. 

546
00:27:39,900 --> 00:27:42,400
That seems like good enough 
reason to maybe go the other way

547
00:27:42,500 --> 00:27:45,700
and take AJ Brown, and hopefully
- game scripted also, I've kind 

548
00:27:45,700 --> 00:27:47,400
of been thinking Thinking about 
that one as well. 

549
00:27:47,400 --> 00:27:49,600
But honestly like right now you 
have the Bucks are big for me, 

550
00:27:50,100 --> 00:27:53,000
CAM Akers, kind of ruin the Sony
Michel touchdown, equity for me,

551
00:27:53,000 --> 00:27:56,100
over Cooper corpse so you can't 
go that one and then I think the

552
00:27:56,108 --> 00:27:59,100
most popular one will probably 
be Devin Singletary. 

553
00:27:59,200 --> 00:28:03,000
Over Josh Allen and Steph digs. 
Wow, what an awesome season but 

554
00:28:03,100 --> 00:28:05,100
you know, there's a lot of 
reasons I'm sure we'll talk 

555
00:28:05,100 --> 00:28:07,800
about it throughout the 
offseason but just a naturally 

556
00:28:07,800 --> 00:28:10,900
hitting regression this year and
not being really a ceiling 

557
00:28:10,900 --> 00:28:13,200
player. 
I think Singletary will probably

558
00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,000
get steamed quite a bit. 
Yeah, I saw someone. 

559
00:28:16,000 --> 00:28:18,200
I think it will be similar to 
those guys. 

560
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,300
Yeah, I've really, really think.
So, just it just given the 

561
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,700
overall peripherals of the last 
five games 20-plus touches and 

562
00:28:25,700 --> 00:28:27,900
three of his last four. 
We've seen Zach Moss. 

563
00:28:27,900 --> 00:28:29,800
Now, three consecutive games 
always active over. 

564
00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:32,400
Matt Braden now has not handled 
more than five carries in that 

565
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:34,400
stretch. 
So it's just literally all 

566
00:28:34,400 --> 00:28:36,500
Devon. 
Singletary, soaking up more 

567
00:28:36,500 --> 00:28:39,200
carries inside the 5-yard line 
than Josh Allen has over the 

568
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:40,800
last month as well. 
And so yeah. 

569
00:28:40,800 --> 00:28:42,800
I think Singletary is actually 
going to get pretty popular. 

570
00:28:43,100 --> 00:28:45,000
I think the big difference 
between him and some of those 

571
00:28:45,000 --> 00:28:45,900
back. 
So is it Josh? 

572
00:28:46,000 --> 00:28:46,800
Island. 
Pat. 

573
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,500
You were saying Josh, I'm 
probably gonna be the chuckle 

574
00:28:48,500 --> 00:28:50,400
QB, right. 
I think he still will be the 

575
00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:53,000
choc you be. 
This is anyone else come to 

576
00:28:53,008 --> 00:28:54,400
mind? 
If I think the homes will be up 

577
00:28:54,400 --> 00:28:56,800
from where he was last year, 
because we're not too sure about

578
00:28:56,900 --> 00:29:01,000
about Hill and Kelsey. 
But I don't think he'll surpass 

579
00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:04,100
Alan. 
I think I had my first, I 

580
00:29:04,100 --> 00:29:06,800
haven't even completed a full 
run of the projections yet, but 

581
00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:10,400
I had Alan at maybe like 30 
percent. 

582
00:29:10,600 --> 00:29:12,700
And he was, I think, thirty 
eight percent last year and 

583
00:29:12,700 --> 00:29:16,700
having the homes around 20% and 
he was like, you know, Maybe 16 

584
00:29:16,700 --> 00:29:19,300
17 or something. 
So of Allen is 30 and Diggs is 

585
00:29:19,300 --> 00:29:22,700
going to catch at least like 10 
plus, I don't think anyone will 

586
00:29:22,700 --> 00:29:25,100
play the awesome knocks in this 
tight end slate and I don't know

587
00:29:25,100 --> 00:29:27,000
about the other receivers but 
Singletary. 

588
00:29:28,500 --> 00:29:30,800
I can see him getting up there 
but I don't know, I guess I 

589
00:29:30,808 --> 00:29:32,500
would question if he can get 
over 50. 

590
00:29:32,700 --> 00:29:34,000
All right. 
If that's what if I'm thinking 

591
00:29:34,000 --> 00:29:35,700
ahead, like, I do love 
Singletary. 

592
00:29:35,700 --> 00:29:38,000
So I'd love to get him around 
4050 percent. 

593
00:29:38,400 --> 00:29:41,500
Yeah, man, I was thinking that, 
you know, it would be more like,

594
00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:45,400
you know, something like 20 
Singletary and like 40, ya dig. 

595
00:29:45,500 --> 00:29:49,300
I'm, I will also just say to 
diggle's point to like, I was 

596
00:29:49,300 --> 00:29:53,100
kind of surprised even over the 
past few weeks, like, projection

597
00:29:53,100 --> 00:29:58,700
systems were giving Singletary. 
A ton of Of points. 

598
00:29:58,700 --> 00:30:01,100
They were just continuing to 
project him well and I think 

599
00:30:01,100 --> 00:30:04,000
people finally, over this 
stretch have just been like, all

600
00:30:04,000 --> 00:30:07,000
right, this isn't some gross, 
you know, committee and the team

601
00:30:07,000 --> 00:30:09,000
never runs. 
I think I could just feel kind 

602
00:30:09,000 --> 00:30:12,500
of public sentiment swing back 
into, like, okay, I can trust 

603
00:30:12,500 --> 00:30:15,800
Evan Singletary, that's just 
kind of the vibe, I've been 

604
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,400
getting, so I kind of agree. 
And the other thing, the big 

605
00:30:18,400 --> 00:30:22,700
elephant in the room with 
Singletary with Derrick Henry is

606
00:30:23,100 --> 00:30:25,600
Jonathan Taylor. 
Cover is gone, you know, that 

607
00:30:25,600 --> 00:30:29,400
was going to soak up so so much.
And now people are really going 

608
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:34,000
to be looking for these spots 
and I could definitely see, you 

609
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:37,800
know, Taylor and Henry for sorry
Henry and Singletary soaking up 

610
00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:41,600
a lot of AFC running back place.
I mean, I freaking love Jonathan

611
00:30:41,600 --> 00:30:43,800
Taylor but I'm so tilted. 
They couldn't win and get in 

612
00:30:43,800 --> 00:30:46,200
this tournament because Taylor 
was going to be on every single 

613
00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:49,300
team and and rightfully so they 
run the ball so much even when 

614
00:30:49,300 --> 00:30:50,600
they lose, they run the ball 
ton. 

615
00:30:51,000 --> 00:30:53,600
But like there were two been 
pretty solid Equity. 

616
00:30:53,600 --> 00:30:55,800
I think in just softer for 
fading, the Colts and saying, 

617
00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:57,300
they're going to lose and 
Taylor's not going to have 

618
00:30:57,300 --> 00:30:59,000
enough. 
Points because he's not catching

619
00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,300
enough passes or went basically 
the game that he had against 

620
00:31:01,300 --> 00:31:03,300
James. 
I don't think he had a big final

621
00:31:03,300 --> 00:31:05,800
total. 
Yeah. 

622
00:31:05,900 --> 00:31:07,200
Anyway, he's not in the 
tournament. 

623
00:31:07,900 --> 00:31:11,900
Yeah, what? 
Oh, I was going to ask you. 

624
00:31:11,900 --> 00:31:14,200
I feel like on the running back 
front to what makes it so 

625
00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:18,300
interesting and specifically in 
the NFC, I mean, a lot of these 

626
00:31:18,300 --> 00:31:22,600
back fields are muddled, you 
know, as far as you can make. 

627
00:31:22,600 --> 00:31:27,000
I think pretty good cases for 
multiple running backs on a lot 

628
00:31:27,000 --> 00:31:30,400
of these teams. 
So does that push people away 

629
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:33,900
from making stands on on any of 
these guys? 

630
00:31:33,900 --> 00:31:34,900
I mean they go. 
What are you? 

631
00:31:34,900 --> 00:31:37,500
What are your thoughts on like 
Cardinals backfield Rams? 

632
00:31:37,500 --> 00:31:40,200
Backfield you know, because 
there is a lot of uncertainty 

633
00:31:40,200 --> 00:31:43,900
with these Chiefs backfield I 
think is another one too for 

634
00:31:43,900 --> 00:31:46,700
these and even we talked about 
the bills like maybe even given 

635
00:31:46,700 --> 00:31:48,100
Singletary. 
It's all going to come down to 

636
00:31:48,100 --> 00:31:50,500
the injury reports in the last 
few years. 

637
00:31:50,500 --> 00:31:52,700
I can't recall this, many 
question marks going to the 

638
00:31:52,700 --> 00:31:55,700
postseason, we did add a couple 
teams but just the fact that 

639
00:31:55,700 --> 00:31:57,600
literally the decision between 
James Conner Chase. 

640
00:31:57,700 --> 00:32:00,200
Edmonds is huge because it 
depends on which one's going to 

641
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:02,800
be available after Connor left. 
That game with rib injury. 

642
00:32:03,200 --> 00:32:04,600
Gabriel Davis is usage, comes 
down. 

643
00:32:04,600 --> 00:32:08,000
To is Emmanuel Sanders going to 
be healthy and then also just 

644
00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:10,400
for what else are we dealing 
with? 

645
00:32:11,500 --> 00:32:14,300
Oh, the fournette stuff? 
And like, how bullets are the 

646
00:32:15,300 --> 00:32:16,600
reports on fournette coming 
back? 

647
00:32:17,500 --> 00:32:19,000
Yes, I think that's the biggest 
thing. 

648
00:32:20,300 --> 00:32:23,100
And also Ronald Jones, by the 
way, behind for that who's also 

649
00:32:23,100 --> 00:32:25,000
injured. 
Now, to see eh and Darryl 

650
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:28,000
Williams Darryl Williams who 
left with an injury and Yeah, 

651
00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:30,800
there's just I think that's 
what's going to happen here and 

652
00:32:30,800 --> 00:32:33,800
I do Wonder just like DFS like 
whenever a couple weeks ago we 

653
00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:37,000
got Chase Edmunds News, 15 
minutes for lineup block and so 

654
00:32:37,000 --> 00:32:39,200
that was not a reason for me to 
jump on, Chase Edmunds. 

655
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,900
That was a reason for me to fade
him and that was the one game he

656
00:32:41,900 --> 00:32:45,000
didn't do well because that's 
when everyone is just trying to 

657
00:32:45,000 --> 00:32:47,600
Tinker even if they know it's 
not in their best interest. 

658
00:32:47,700 --> 00:32:49,900
We're all just trying to change 
their lineup according to the 

659
00:32:49,900 --> 00:32:51,600
most recent information they 
have. 

660
00:32:51,600 --> 00:32:53,800
And so like if some of these 
injury reports come down on like

661
00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:56,900
Friday afternoon and it makes a 
huge difference in a chalk 

662
00:32:56,900 --> 00:32:58,800
running back. 
I would just think that's what 

663
00:32:58,800 --> 00:33:02,000
people naturally do and react 
accordingly to that news. 

664
00:33:04,100 --> 00:33:06,600
That's interesting. 
Well, I wanted to ask you about 

665
00:33:07,100 --> 00:33:09,900
for net and Gronk. 
There's actually a whole series 

666
00:33:09,900 --> 00:33:12,800
of decision points that go, 
that's running back versus the 

667
00:33:12,800 --> 00:33:17,100
tight end that I'm that I'm 
basically saving for last as I'm

668
00:33:17,100 --> 00:33:20,200
going through and doing these 
initial projections ownership 

669
00:33:20,700 --> 00:33:25,600
but you know, Connor hurts Zeke,
Schultz fournette Kronk. 

670
00:33:26,000 --> 00:33:28,700
I think all of those are going 
to be really really key. 

671
00:33:29,100 --> 00:33:31,600
Then not even to get into how 
much killer gets played over 

672
00:33:31,600 --> 00:33:33,600
Debo. 
But I think those those tight 

673
00:33:33,800 --> 00:33:36,300
Running back decisions are are 
really tough to think through 

674
00:33:36,300 --> 00:33:41,500
right now, are you suggesting 
Gronk for net as Evans is the 

675
00:33:41,500 --> 00:33:43,600
most obvious player Evans? 
The one that's going to go 

676
00:33:43,600 --> 00:33:45,200
overlooked, he's gonna go 
overlooked. 

677
00:33:45,200 --> 00:33:48,400
I think, he'll go overlooked. 
I think he'll be the third most 

678
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:51,600
popular play of those. 
I would take my steel from P 

679
00:33:51,600 --> 00:33:53,300
time. 
I would take Evans in a vacuum, 

680
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:57,200
over Gronk. 
And I think, I think that's 

681
00:33:57,200 --> 00:34:00,700
something we're sort of seeing 
at least on our first look right

682
00:34:00,700 --> 00:34:04,000
now, is that some of these wide 
receivers feel like, Like they 

683
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,300
might wind up being some, I mean
again, like to just do some like

684
00:34:07,300 --> 00:34:10,199
early week strategy stuff. 
One of the things I know that we

685
00:34:10,199 --> 00:34:12,300
consider as we talked about, 
like the Acres plan, some of 

686
00:34:12,308 --> 00:34:14,400
these running back plays is that
one of the team has multiple 

687
00:34:14,400 --> 00:34:16,300
games, you got to factor in 
their winning games, right? 

688
00:34:16,300 --> 00:34:20,300
So they're going to be in some 
plus scripts and certainly over 

689
00:34:20,300 --> 00:34:22,400
enough games three or four games
in at the Superbowl. 

690
00:34:22,400 --> 00:34:23,900
That's when you probably want 
your quarterback, you're 

691
00:34:23,900 --> 00:34:26,400
probably projecting your 
quarterback to go all the way to

692
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:29,500
the Super Bowl. 
But as far as a team that maybe 

693
00:34:29,500 --> 00:34:32,600
makes a run from the Wildcard 
Weekend to the conference title 

694
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:35,199
which obviously with only one 
There's going to be team, you 

695
00:34:35,199 --> 00:34:37,600
know, a team on each side that 
does that minimum and then if 

696
00:34:37,600 --> 00:34:39,500
the one seeds were to lose in 
the divisional round, you could 

697
00:34:39,500 --> 00:34:43,100
have even a third team or a 
fourth team that make that run 

698
00:34:43,100 --> 00:34:45,000
and play three games but not 
possible. 

699
00:34:45,199 --> 00:34:46,699
Those teams are winning two 
games. 

700
00:34:47,000 --> 00:34:48,699
You probably want your running 
back to come from those 

701
00:34:48,699 --> 00:34:50,699
situations because they're going
to compile some stats and plus 

702
00:34:50,699 --> 00:34:54,100
game script and some certainty. 
And then the situations where a 

703
00:34:54,100 --> 00:34:55,800
team loses and only plays one 
game. 

704
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:57,700
Obviously, they probably 
throwing in a come-from-behind 

705
00:34:57,700 --> 00:35:00,400
like I was talking about the 
Taylor example and then saying 

706
00:35:00,400 --> 00:35:02,400
from the Jays game yesterday, 
like that's the kind of stat 

707
00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:05,600
line, even a good running back. 
In half and the game where his 

708
00:35:05,600 --> 00:35:08,200
team ends up behind has to throw
a bunch, then you might want the

709
00:35:08,200 --> 00:35:11,000
receivers in those scenarios. 
So really thinking through the 

710
00:35:11,000 --> 00:35:12,500
way, the games are going to be 
played and everything. 

711
00:35:13,200 --> 00:35:16,000
If you're picking a team to lose
in the first round, you probably

712
00:35:16,000 --> 00:35:18,000
going to be more likely to be on
the pass catchers on the 

713
00:35:18,000 --> 00:35:19,500
receivers. 
But yeah, a lot of these running

714
00:35:19,500 --> 00:35:21,800
back tight end decisions broadly
because were just talking about 

715
00:35:21,800 --> 00:35:26,000
the Evans situation. 
What was another one? 

716
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:27,700
You're talking about a couple 
other ones but there's receivers

717
00:35:27,700 --> 00:35:29,100
in there. 
Oh you're trying Michelle austyn

718
00:35:29,100 --> 00:35:31,800
Zeke I think yeah there's 
receivers there yet by the 

719
00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:34,000
Cardinals are talking about 
Cristian Kirk could Wind up 

720
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:36,100
being a play for the Cardinals. 
If they play one game and they 

721
00:35:36,100 --> 00:35:38,200
lose and Connor and hurts. 
Don't have a big game. 

722
00:35:38,200 --> 00:35:41,200
Cristian Kirk could wind up 
being the guy or hell. 

723
00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:42,400
Even AJ Green. 
I don't know. 

724
00:35:42,800 --> 00:35:44,100
I didn't know the it was 
obvious. 

725
00:35:44,200 --> 00:35:46,600
Probably this one I'm gonna 
cover for. 

726
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:51,700
He's always lurking. 
Yeah, oh god. 

727
00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:53,800
Well, I was gonna say there's a 
question. 

728
00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:56,300
John was asking if there's any 
way to fade Adams, and I think 

729
00:35:56,300 --> 00:35:58,400
that's kind of an interesting 
Way To Think through. 

730
00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:03,000
Like, you know, this point about
fading fading certain teams and 

731
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,100
thinking through Through the 
bracket as you do. 

732
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:09,300
Like, if you're going to fade 
atoms, they have to play one 

733
00:36:09,300 --> 00:36:11,600
game, right? 
Like, and maybe you could go 

734
00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:14,400
Lazard or something like that, 
or maybe you could go Aaron 

735
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:16,900
Jones or a due diligence, but AJ
Dylan's pretty tough. 

736
00:36:16,900 --> 00:36:20,100
Because our they are, they is a 
to Dillon, getting there in a 

737
00:36:20,100 --> 00:36:22,700
one-game and out scenario for 
the Packers. 

738
00:36:22,700 --> 00:36:26,800
So I think I'd rather like play 
Lazard and just hope he gets a 

739
00:36:26,800 --> 00:36:31,400
couple touchdowns in a loss, but
then you need to play and 

740
00:36:31,400 --> 00:36:33,500
ideally you're playing like 
maybe a bit of a contrarian. 

741
00:36:33,700 --> 00:36:37,200
Icon on the bracket in general. 
So like if you were going to 

742
00:36:37,200 --> 00:36:40,900
play the Cardinals to go to the 
conference Championship game, 

743
00:36:40,900 --> 00:36:45,900
for example, then maybe you 
would pair that with an atom's 

744
00:36:45,900 --> 00:36:48,400
fade, because the Cardinals 
would most likely be going 

745
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:50,300
through Green Bay. 
So, I think you'd want to think 

746
00:36:50,300 --> 00:36:53,300
through something like that. 
I think, if I was fading Adams, 

747
00:36:53,300 --> 00:36:55,200
I would play it as a softer, 
hard fate. 

748
00:36:55,200 --> 00:36:57,600
I mean, I think that both the 
Packers and Titans are kind of 

749
00:36:57,600 --> 00:36:59,900
interesting to consider from a 
faith perspective, because it 

750
00:36:59,900 --> 00:37:02,200
could also play only one game. 
Right? 

751
00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:04,800
That's true. 
Yeah, the And certainly could 

752
00:37:04,800 --> 00:37:07,400
the Packers, we know don't want 
a ton of plays. 

753
00:37:07,700 --> 00:37:10,300
And so let's say like the the 
Niners beat the Cowboys and go 

754
00:37:10,300 --> 00:37:12,800
on to put the Packers as a 60 
which would happen if the Bucks.

755
00:37:12,800 --> 00:37:17,200
Also, beat the Eagles, you can 
see a few basically be playing a

756
00:37:17,207 --> 00:37:20,100
Niners Packers game, where the 
Niners control the game, they 

757
00:37:20,100 --> 00:37:22,800
run the ball, they go in and 
they just absolutely crush. 

758
00:37:22,800 --> 00:37:24,800
The packages. 
Have a horrible offensive game. 

759
00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:26,500
Basically. 
I mean that's that's the way. 

760
00:37:26,500 --> 00:37:30,500
Ya see Adam's not getting there.
Yeah, which is, yeah, which is 

761
00:37:30,500 --> 00:37:32,600
kind of what I'm saying, 
although you're just it's a more

762
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:34,600
direct version but you. 
Want to play them to play one 

763
00:37:34,600 --> 00:37:36,400
game and then you need to figure
out who's going to beat them. 

764
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:39,400
Yeah, it's what makes it 
interesting for Cooper cups of 

765
00:37:39,408 --> 00:37:42,900
oil because you could get two 
games at a cup and then one or 

766
00:37:42,900 --> 00:37:47,100
two out of atoms because they 
could meet down the road and 

767
00:37:47,100 --> 00:37:48,900
those are going to be the two 
receivers that. 

768
00:37:48,900 --> 00:37:51,200
I know everyone will be talking 
about. 

769
00:37:51,300 --> 00:37:54,500
It's obviously harder to get 
away from Cup in my opinion, 

770
00:37:54,700 --> 00:37:57,500
because there were so fewer 
options to, like, confidently, 

771
00:37:57,500 --> 00:38:00,000
go to Aaron Jones. 
We can Ban case for the passing 

772
00:38:00,000 --> 00:38:01,800
game, usage HL. 
And if you think the Packers 

773
00:38:01,800 --> 00:38:04,300
extend all the way to the NFC 
championship, Pionship game is 

774
00:38:04,300 --> 00:38:07,200
fine for the Rams though. 
Like just the way they've used 

775
00:38:07,200 --> 00:38:10,400
their players over the last 
month really like Odell Beckham 

776
00:38:10,400 --> 00:38:12,500
has scored a couple touchdowns 
but even those came inside the 

777
00:38:12,500 --> 00:38:15,200
10 just on my fade routes he 
hasn't really been an explosive 

778
00:38:15,200 --> 00:38:17,200
option for them. 
They've only been filtering 

779
00:38:17,200 --> 00:38:19,800
through cup and now the running 
back situation without Michelle 

780
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,100
has become a muddled backfilled 
that we can't. 

781
00:38:22,100 --> 00:38:25,800
We honestly just can't pick 
either and so really it's hard 

782
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:28,200
for me to get off cup. 
Yeah, it's really hard to get 

783
00:38:28,200 --> 00:38:30,700
off because I think he's gonna 
be like 90 percent under more. 

784
00:38:30,700 --> 00:38:33,200
Yeah, it's wild. 
You would have to make the one 

785
00:38:33,200 --> 00:38:35,200
game on. 
And even then like yeah, you 

786
00:38:35,207 --> 00:38:38,100
know, one thing about 100 yards,
like and when I look at these 

787
00:38:38,100 --> 00:38:40,900
one game options, even someone 
that Clays Chase Claypool comes 

788
00:38:40,900 --> 00:38:45,100
to mind, you know, heat for 5 /.
5 games in a row, his route 

789
00:38:45,100 --> 00:38:47,900
participation increased so much 
though he was on the field for 

790
00:38:47,900 --> 00:38:52,800
96% of the team's dropboxes, 
past game and a season-high 91% 

791
00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:54,900
of snaps and now he goes into 
the playoffs with this Elite 

792
00:38:54,900 --> 00:38:57,500
usage. 
But even so like, you know, he 

793
00:38:57,500 --> 00:39:01,600
has to if I use him in one game 
elimination he has to respond 

794
00:39:01,600 --> 00:39:04,000
like a cup of cup would and so 
that's why I It's just, you 

795
00:39:04,008 --> 00:39:06,700
know, even in these teams were 
fading or thinking about getting

796
00:39:06,700 --> 00:39:10,300
on for one game samples. 
It's still just really hard 

797
00:39:10,300 --> 00:39:11,800
looking for that ceiling option 
here. 

798
00:39:12,100 --> 00:39:16,400
The biggest cock to cup for me 
as Michael Thomas in 2019 when 

799
00:39:16,400 --> 00:39:18,500
he broke them. 
Receptions reckon was incredible

800
00:39:18,700 --> 00:39:21,000
and they went in and they did 
get upset in the first round by 

801
00:39:21,000 --> 00:39:23,500
the Vikings and Michael Thomas 
1747. 

802
00:39:23,500 --> 00:39:26,300
See the difference is that was a
scenario where you had Michael 

803
00:39:26,300 --> 00:39:29,800
Thomas and a very clear running 
back and Alvin Kamara to Target 

804
00:39:29,800 --> 00:39:32,000
and Camara had a rushing TD, I 
think he was the right play 

805
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:36,600
ultimately over time. 
But does this Rams team have? 

806
00:39:36,600 --> 00:39:38,300
I mean, they like, they don't 
have a clue. 

807
00:39:38,300 --> 00:39:42,100
I don't have anybody. 
Yeah, so it's I mean, yeah. 

808
00:39:42,100 --> 00:39:45,500
If this was like four weeks from
now maybe it'd be Acres, but I 

809
00:39:45,508 --> 00:39:47,700
do a kers is very, very tough 
to. 

810
00:39:48,300 --> 00:39:51,600
I mean, I'm not even saying you 
couldn't play Acres, but the 

811
00:39:51,700 --> 00:39:54,300
percentage of the field on acres
is going to be, like, 1% or 

812
00:39:54,300 --> 00:39:56,500
maybe I was, like, sort of 
excited to play him, but then, 

813
00:39:56,500 --> 00:39:58,700
even just watching him this 
week, like you, it's not. 

814
00:40:00,100 --> 00:40:03,200
I don't think for net was played
last year in this tournament so 

815
00:40:03,200 --> 00:40:06,200
that you know the to give you an
idea like we're oh Joe was like 

816
00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:08,600
fifteen percent and for now it 
was like zero percent. 

817
00:40:08,600 --> 00:40:11,900
We will still we were still very
much like on the fence about who

818
00:40:11,900 --> 00:40:14,800
would be the lead running back. 
A lot of people thought it would

819
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:17,700
be for net, given the usage over
the last month of the season but

820
00:40:17,700 --> 00:40:19,400
remember that's one wrong Jones 
was also injured. 

821
00:40:19,400 --> 00:40:21,000
So we weren't sure what's going 
to happen when he was coming 

822
00:40:21,000 --> 00:40:23,100
back for the playoffs. 
Right now, we're already 

823
00:40:23,100 --> 00:40:25,400
certain, we know it's going to 
be for net if you note. 

824
00:40:25,400 --> 00:40:28,800
Oh yeah I was making the compa 
to the ram situation just then 

825
00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:31,000
that like I don't People are 
going to feel comfortable, 

826
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:36,000
projecting it to be cam Akers 
and you know, in a run even if 

827
00:40:36,000 --> 00:40:38,000
he even though like we saw last 
year that's it could certainly 

828
00:40:38,000 --> 00:40:40,300
happen. 
And even if we project Acres, 

829
00:40:41,000 --> 00:40:43,000
how much will slowly Michelle be
used? 

830
00:40:43,000 --> 00:40:45,800
And more importantly, if it's 
all Lakers, how effective will 

831
00:40:45,800 --> 00:40:48,100
it be searching? 
The effectiveness is what I was 

832
00:40:58,100 --> 00:41:00,700
even watching him. 
It's amazing that he made it 

833
00:41:00,700 --> 00:41:03,500
back to watching them like even 
if he plays a lot I don't see a 

834
00:41:03,508 --> 00:41:06,500
lot of scenarios where he winds 
up, putting up the production. 

835
00:41:06,500 --> 00:41:09,500
So that's why I challenged keep 
going back to Henry to. 

836
00:41:09,500 --> 00:41:13,000
It's like does his Henry like 21
carries for 43 yards and then we

837
00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,200
get the hell out of there. 
Like I'm just worried. 

838
00:41:15,500 --> 00:41:18,700
So Pat just as a thought 
experiment for people, if they 

839
00:41:18,700 --> 00:41:23,100
are thinking about, let's say, 
say they play a Rams hard fade 

840
00:41:23,500 --> 00:41:28,400
and let's say cup goes for 25 in
a loss. 

841
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:34,200
What are the things you need to 
survive that, as far as cup 

842
00:41:34,200 --> 00:41:39,700
appearing in the optimal, you'd 
probably need to hit on, you 

843
00:41:39,700 --> 00:41:42,400
know, another shootout that 
people didn't play like, you'd 

844
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:45,500
need to get on like a Claypool 
or something, if he goes off 

845
00:41:45,500 --> 00:41:48,700
because he's going to be like, 
you know, 1% 2% own because 

846
00:41:49,100 --> 00:41:52,300
people are the fading, the 
Steelers, they're playing Nagi. 

847
00:41:52,900 --> 00:41:55,300
And then, if any there's any 
wider super love, it'll probably

848
00:41:55,300 --> 00:41:57,000
go to Deonte. 
So if you found something like 

849
00:41:57,000 --> 00:42:00,800
that, you know, you You could 
get there but more likely, you 

850
00:42:00,808 --> 00:42:03,200
probably need to. 
Like if you're let's say you 

851
00:42:03,200 --> 00:42:07,000
faded cup, you did it because 
you're betting on the Cardinals 

852
00:42:07,000 --> 00:42:09,700
to advance. 
So maybe you have Kyler 

853
00:42:09,700 --> 00:42:12,200
quarterback and then if the 
Cardinals go to the Super Bowl 

854
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:14,300
with Kyler quarterback, I think 
that's the more likely. 

855
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:17,800
But I mean, it does make it hard
to fake up because, you know, 

856
00:42:17,800 --> 00:42:21,200
maybe there's a Kyler team who 
has Cup right, you know, that 

857
00:42:21,200 --> 00:42:22,600
you're competing against once 
you get to the Super Bowl. 

858
00:42:22,600 --> 00:42:28,400
So you kind of need I think up 
to to do like the Michael Thomas

859
00:42:28,400 --> 00:42:31,800
74 Andy if you're fading. 
Yeah and that's why I just think

860
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:34,500
those thought experiments are 
good because then you like if 

861
00:42:34,500 --> 00:42:37,400
you just can't Envision a world 
where he's going for less than 

862
00:42:37,400 --> 00:42:41,000
7470 like you obviously can't 
fade them and then otherwise you

863
00:42:41,000 --> 00:42:43,800
need to be really purposeful 
with where am I making up those 

864
00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:46,000
points? 
Because a 25 spot from cup is 

865
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:47,600
very likely to be in the 
optimal. 

866
00:42:47,800 --> 00:42:50,700
Which typically, right, I think 
I can't Envision a world where 

867
00:42:50,700 --> 00:42:54,900
you go 7470 like it. 
Hey, who's there going to throw 

868
00:42:54,900 --> 00:42:58,800
more and in that scenario? 
I mean go look at his game log. 

869
00:42:58,900 --> 00:43:00,900
These last couple of weeks, he's
only had seven targets but it 

870
00:43:00,900 --> 00:43:02,500
did better than that in both 
games. 

871
00:43:02,500 --> 00:43:04,900
But like, all season 
double-digit targets every 

872
00:43:04,900 --> 00:43:08,300
single week he has not had fewer
than 90 yards since week for. 

873
00:43:08,300 --> 00:43:10,200
That's the only game all year 
that you had fewer than 90 

874
00:43:10,200 --> 00:43:12,500
yards. 
I mean it right. 

875
00:43:12,600 --> 00:43:15,200
And if they win, I mean, you're 
just drawing dead at that point 

876
00:43:15,200 --> 00:43:17,500
because now they're everyone's 
getting two games at a cop and 

877
00:43:17,500 --> 00:43:19,700
you're getting, you know, two 
games out of whatever you try to

878
00:43:19,700 --> 00:43:22,000
do. 
You know, whether it's obj or 

879
00:43:22,300 --> 00:43:24,700
and, and today with Point, 
there's no pivots what are we 

880
00:43:24,700 --> 00:43:26,000
supposed to do. 
If we don't take them. 

881
00:43:26,500 --> 00:43:28,700
Yeah, this is a really good 
question. 

882
00:43:28,900 --> 00:43:32,000
From John here. 
What's the Merit to getting 

883
00:43:32,000 --> 00:43:34,400
unique versus playing? 
The best plays in this contest. 

884
00:43:34,400 --> 00:43:38,300
This format is such a merge of 
gametypes know and this is, you 

885
00:43:38,300 --> 00:43:42,200
know, hinting at you don't need 
to Galaxy brain, a lot of spots 

886
00:43:42,400 --> 00:43:46,600
in this contest, the ways to get
unique are fairly easy, but I 

887
00:43:46,600 --> 00:43:48,300
think it's still kind of a mind.
Fuck. 

888
00:43:48,300 --> 00:43:51,000
As far as how unique do you have
to get? 

889
00:43:51,700 --> 00:43:55,400
Well, I wouldn't say you 
necessarily need the teams going

890
00:43:55,400 --> 00:43:58,200
to the Super Bowl but then 
again, maybe you do like you 

891
00:43:58,200 --> 00:43:59,500
want. 
Your teams are going to the 

892
00:43:59,500 --> 00:44:02,100
Super Bowl to get those double 
points and so, like even the 

893
00:44:02,100 --> 00:44:05,100
best plays maybe that doesn't 
lead us to the Super Bowl team. 

894
00:44:05,100 --> 00:44:07,300
So that's kind of really what 
we're all figuring out here is 

895
00:44:07,300 --> 00:44:10,300
not only do we project but then 
how do we get the most points 

896
00:44:10,300 --> 00:44:14,400
every single round? 
Yeah I think you don't want to 

897
00:44:14,408 --> 00:44:19,100
be taking guys like like don't 
select Kolb easily you know like

898
00:44:19,100 --> 00:44:23,400
he'll be zero percent owns you 
know, like don't don't go that 

899
00:44:23,400 --> 00:44:27,400
far down the depth charts you 
know, even though he's obviously

900
00:44:27,400 --> 00:44:30,400
a starter for them but you know 
I think if you think about like 

901
00:44:30,400 --> 00:44:33,800
a Marty Cooper, Amari Cooper is 
going to be very low and he'll 

902
00:44:33,800 --> 00:44:37,900
be single digits because you're 
going to have, you know, lots of

903
00:44:37,900 --> 00:44:40,100
ownership. 
Go to seek and Schultz and CD 

904
00:44:40,100 --> 00:44:41,900
will catch most of the wide 
receiver ownership, I think. 

905
00:44:43,400 --> 00:44:46,400
You could you could say like see
eh yeah see it's going to be 

906
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:48,900
super low and because there's 
three guys that are all going to

907
00:44:48,900 --> 00:44:51,500
be popular ahead of him. 
So there's lots of situations 

908
00:44:51,500 --> 00:44:55,200
like that I think we're, you 
know, like if you have the guts 

909
00:44:55,200 --> 00:44:57,900
to play Julio Jones, which is 
probably not a great play, but 

910
00:44:57,900 --> 00:45:00,600
like you wanted to do that in a 
Titans Lou scenario, you know, 

911
00:45:00,600 --> 00:45:04,400
and who he was in the optimal if
we look at last week's game, but

912
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:06,700
something like that, you know, 
it's starting a guy who's a 

913
00:45:06,700 --> 00:45:11,100
starting wide receiver and and 
maybe the secondary the 

914
00:45:11,100 --> 00:45:15,100
secondary receiving, On his team
potentially could could be very 

915
00:45:15,100 --> 00:45:17,800
low and a really good player 
from last year to discuss on 

916
00:45:17,800 --> 00:45:20,700
this is Juju because he was very
low. 

917
00:45:20,700 --> 00:45:23,200
And and he wound up being 
Pittsburgh's highest scoring 

918
00:45:23,200 --> 00:45:25,500
player in one and done 
situation. 

919
00:45:26,000 --> 00:45:27,800
Was he in the winter? 
I mean he had to have been in 

920
00:45:27,800 --> 00:45:29,800
the winning line up right. 
Like so I guess my question is 

921
00:45:29,800 --> 00:45:34,200
like if you get to like a 5% or 
less play theres only 7000 - you

922
00:45:34,200 --> 00:45:38,500
know lineups here. 
Does if that play hits does is 

923
00:45:38,500 --> 00:45:41,400
that required to win the 
tournament Patty of the winning 

924
00:45:41,400 --> 00:45:44,300
line from last year I'm really, 
I think it's you trying to pull 

925
00:45:44,300 --> 00:45:47,400
it up. 
I wasn't no, I don't have it. 

926
00:45:51,500 --> 00:45:55,700
Play pool was a, I think he was 
like 9 to 11 percent and he had 

927
00:45:55,700 --> 00:45:58,100
50 yards and two touchdowns in 
the first game and that 

928
00:45:58,100 --> 00:46:00,100
elimination game. 
So I've been trying to see if 

929
00:46:00,100 --> 00:46:02,000
Claypool was in 2002. 
Yeah. 

930
00:46:02,100 --> 00:46:05,400
And I also think you know to 
path went like the the way I 

931
00:46:05,400 --> 00:46:08,200
would think about the two ways 
that you can get unique in. 

932
00:46:08,200 --> 00:46:12,100
Not like to Galaxy brain weighs.
Like you said, these offenses, 

933
00:46:12,300 --> 00:46:14,500
Has that have three or four guys
that are all getting around a 

934
00:46:14,508 --> 00:46:17,600
similar market share in one's 
not pulling ahead where the 

935
00:46:17,607 --> 00:46:21,700
field Fields confident or 
playing the underdog studs. 

936
00:46:21,700 --> 00:46:24,700
We mentioned the Josh Jacobs, 
Pat mentioned, Chase Claypool. 

937
00:46:24,700 --> 00:46:27,100
If you want to throw in Dallas 
ghadir like these guys, that 

938
00:46:27,100 --> 00:46:31,000
could have an alpha game, that's
a good one and there's two ways 

939
00:46:31,000 --> 00:46:33,200
like you can hit it on two 
levels, right? 

940
00:46:33,200 --> 00:46:36,800
Like you can hit the Dallas 
ghadir Alpha game in a loss and 

941
00:46:36,800 --> 00:46:40,200
you could also get two really 
good games out of him in a win 

942
00:46:40,200 --> 00:46:43,600
to so you don't have to be like 
Really specific on how the 

943
00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:46,000
Eagles do. 
Like if you do get one of those 

944
00:46:46,000 --> 00:46:49,300
as the alphago, I think with the
bottom Smith, like he's gonna be

945
00:46:49,300 --> 00:46:52,200
5% on and yeah you know because 
I think because people will 

946
00:46:52,200 --> 00:46:54,900
funnel The Goddard when they 
don't fit right. 

947
00:46:55,100 --> 00:46:58,100
I think the biggest thing with 
like the Jupiter trying to make 

948
00:46:58,100 --> 00:46:59,900
in, in a lot of these 
discussions that we're having is

949
00:46:59,900 --> 00:47:02,100
thinking through, the guy has to
be the bit that the 

950
00:47:02,100 --> 00:47:04,700
highest-ranked player on his 
team as well like that other 

951
00:47:04,700 --> 00:47:07,800
element were like because you 
can only have one it comes down 

952
00:47:07,800 --> 00:47:10,500
to like the like Deco product 
label clip a lot of big game in 

953
00:47:10,500 --> 00:47:12,100
that one, I think Beyonce had 
doubled. 

954
00:47:12,200 --> 00:47:14,400
Agents as well. 
Everyone was playing Deonte, but

955
00:47:14,400 --> 00:47:17,400
Juju on up scoring the most as I
recall out of the three, but 

956
00:47:17,400 --> 00:47:19,700
they all were good, but the 
reality is like, you're 

957
00:47:19,700 --> 00:47:23,500
comparing to the other rosters 
that are built in this contest. 

958
00:47:23,600 --> 00:47:25,500
And so by having Juju over 
clicked, like you could 

959
00:47:25,500 --> 00:47:29,400
basically have the same roster 
everywhere else, but you gain 

960
00:47:29,400 --> 00:47:31,700
even if you only get like two 
points that might end up being 

961
00:47:31,700 --> 00:47:34,500
what what propels you to that 
one extra spot and gives you the

962
00:47:34,500 --> 00:47:36,900
win. 
So like, I don't know. 

963
00:47:36,908 --> 00:47:39,400
I'm trying to think through this
difference of like in a scenario

964
00:47:39,400 --> 00:47:41,900
where you still had a good play 
a higher. 

965
00:47:42,300 --> 00:47:44,000
I mean, like, I know last year, 
we are really excited. 

966
00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:47,300
We played a lot of AJ, Brown 
jarrick Henry came in Monster, 

967
00:47:47,300 --> 00:47:49,600
Brown beat him by like only a 
few points. 

968
00:47:49,700 --> 00:47:53,200
But just the fact that now, we 
were ahead of all of the Derrick

969
00:47:53,200 --> 00:47:56,500
Henry lineups, where we had 
Brown everywhere, even if we are

970
00:47:56,500 --> 00:47:58,800
the same everywhere else, if we 
get to the final, you have to 

971
00:47:58,800 --> 00:48:00,400
have everything, right? 
When you get to the front, you 

972
00:48:00,400 --> 00:48:03,100
have to have the QB that's in 
the Super Bowl and has the 

973
00:48:03,100 --> 00:48:04,200
bigger. 
It's that line the Super Bowl 

974
00:48:04,200 --> 00:48:07,000
because get 2x quarterback is 
just one of those positions 

975
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:10,200
where it's really hard. 
I think to fill your quarterback

976
00:48:10,200 --> 00:48:13,300
spot from a team that doesn't 
Make the Super Bowl because of 

977
00:48:13,300 --> 00:48:15,200
the 2X and the fact that they're
going to get points in that 

978
00:48:15,200 --> 00:48:20,500
scenario. 
But yeah, I ultimately like 

979
00:48:20,500 --> 00:48:23,200
those really small amounts were 
guy out scores, the rest of his 

980
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:25,600
teammates in a loss and there's 
going to be six teams that lose 

981
00:48:25,600 --> 00:48:27,300
this weekend and the first 
weekend, right? 

982
00:48:28,600 --> 00:48:30,800
A lot of this is going to be 
determined in this first 

983
00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:33,000
weekend. 
Just like, did you have the 

984
00:48:33,000 --> 00:48:35,000
highest score on these 
one-and-done teams? 

985
00:48:35,000 --> 00:48:37,800
Because that's what you're going
to need in order to in Dunn's? 

986
00:48:38,000 --> 00:48:40,100
I remember last year, one was 
Baltimore, right? 

987
00:48:40,100 --> 00:48:45,900
Because they upset Tennessee. 
So Say you had AJ brown or a 

988
00:48:45,908 --> 00:48:48,100
Tennessee, some kind of Derrick 
Henry fade, who was mega mega 

989
00:48:48,100 --> 00:48:53,100
chalk and then then you need to 
get the Baltimore player right? 

990
00:48:53,100 --> 00:48:56,900
And there's three guys, Marquis 
Brown JK diamonds and Mark 

991
00:48:56,900 --> 00:48:59,400
Andrews were all kind of like in
that second game at the bills. 

992
00:48:59,400 --> 00:49:01,100
They're just like all fighting 
it out. 

993
00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:04,800
So this team who comment is 
super super interesting and for 

994
00:49:04,800 --> 00:49:07,900
anyone who's on audio, it's Juju
he just pulled up, Juju was that

995
00:49:07,900 --> 00:49:10,000
10.2%. 
He was on the perfect roster, 

996
00:49:10,000 --> 00:49:13,000
but clay, pull it 13.9% was on 
the Inning roster. 

997
00:49:13,700 --> 00:49:15,100
One of the things I was trying 
to think through there, when I 

998
00:49:15,100 --> 00:49:18,200
brought the brown, Henry thing 
was, if you get brown to just 

999
00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:21,800
score over Henry but Henry 70% 
own, the play you're making is 

1000
00:49:21,800 --> 00:49:24,000
not playing Henry. 
So now you've moved ahead of all

1001
00:49:24,000 --> 00:49:28,300
the Henry plays in that scenario
or like even like that. 

1002
00:49:28,300 --> 00:49:30,800
I think that the Beasley points 
a good example this year because

1003
00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:32,600
Diggs, is it going to be 
particularly High? 

1004
00:49:32,700 --> 00:49:36,100
We don't know if Singletary will
be, you're not gaining as much 

1005
00:49:36,100 --> 00:49:38,700
by hitting Juju correct in that 
scenario. 

1006
00:49:38,700 --> 00:49:41,700
And ultimately Claypool ended up
winning because there wasn't 

1007
00:49:41,700 --> 00:49:44,800
like a Fade necessary. 
I mean Deonte was the clear fade

1008
00:49:44,900 --> 00:49:48,600
but Claypool got outscored by 
Juju but was still in the 

1009
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:51,000
winning roster because we're 
talking about percentages of 10%

1010
00:49:51,000 --> 00:49:52,600
13%. 
They're only a couple hundred 

1011
00:49:52,600 --> 00:49:55,400
lineups, ultimately, for this 
whole contest, which there's 

1012
00:49:55,400 --> 00:49:58,100
like, you know, 7,000 or 
whatever, you see what I'm 

1013
00:49:58,100 --> 00:49:59,700
saying. 
Like if you're not if you're if 

1014
00:49:59,707 --> 00:50:02,800
you're not hitting on a 5% who's
out scores, his teammate by 

1015
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:06,100
maybe just a couple of points in
conjunction with a teammate that

1016
00:50:06,100 --> 00:50:09,100
teammate being like a 70% play, 
then you're not actually 

1017
00:50:09,100 --> 00:50:12,500
utilizing the same game because 
if his teammates only 13%, Never

1018
00:50:12,500 --> 00:50:14,500
it can kind of be either of them
because you have to get all the 

1019
00:50:14,500 --> 00:50:15,400
other pieces, right? 
Still. 

1020
00:50:15,400 --> 00:50:18,000
Yeah. 
And this is a good point to and 

1021
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,600
this kind of gets into 
conversations, we have with DFS,

1022
00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:23,500
there is an actual risk like 
when you're playing DFS when 

1023
00:50:23,500 --> 00:50:25,400
we're talking about being 
contrary and you're actually not

1024
00:50:25,400 --> 00:50:28,500
really worried about being 
duplicated because with 9 roster

1025
00:50:28,500 --> 00:50:32,100
spots, it's just very unlikely 
but there are going to be dupes 

1026
00:50:32,100 --> 00:50:34,900
on the most popular lineups in 
this contest. 

1027
00:50:34,900 --> 00:50:37,200
And you don't want to be 
duplicated, that's going to be 

1028
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,900
one of the things we're going to
start to get at this week 

1029
00:50:39,900 --> 00:50:42,100
tomorrow with Davis early 
ownership projections. 

1030
00:50:42,200 --> 00:50:45,400
Day with our buddies, Hassan, 
revealing the Boomer opto and I 

1031
00:50:45,408 --> 00:50:47,800
don't know off the top of my 
head, I might be pulling this 

1032
00:50:48,200 --> 00:50:50,400
out of my ass but I want to say 
there was a lineup That was 

1033
00:50:50,400 --> 00:50:55,600
like, rock, like roster 250 
sometimes last year I'm not sure

1034
00:50:55,600 --> 00:50:59,400
yet you said nine spots. 
But like remember in DFS even we

1035
00:50:59,400 --> 00:51:02,900
can go down to 3K guys, ain't no
one's you playing Byron Pringle.

1036
00:51:02,900 --> 00:51:06,100
Exactly and the narrow pool, 
actually we're talking about 

1037
00:51:06,100 --> 00:51:08,700
like, what 45 players really 
were thinking about and that's 

1038
00:51:08,700 --> 00:51:09,800
it. 
So yeah, of course we're 

1039
00:51:09,800 --> 00:51:11,900
probably going to do one another
in. 

1040
00:51:11,900 --> 00:51:13,200
Yeah. 
So that and then the 

1041
00:51:13,200 --> 00:51:15,300
conversation it's the same with 
DFS, right? 

1042
00:51:15,300 --> 00:51:18,400
It's how many you don't want to 
be over leverage, right? 

1043
00:51:18,400 --> 00:51:22,400
Like you don't want to go. 
I'm taking you know, Aaron Jones

1044
00:51:22,400 --> 00:51:26,200
over Adams and then I'm taking 
Acres over, you know, cuff and 

1045
00:51:26,200 --> 00:51:27,800
that like you don't have to go 
down the board. 

1046
00:51:27,800 --> 00:51:31,200
But it's now finding that sweet 
spot of you don't want to eat 

1047
00:51:31,200 --> 00:51:32,500
every one of those chops. 
You do. 

1048
00:51:32,500 --> 00:51:34,400
Need to make some leverage 
questions. 

1049
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:36,700
It's just how far do you go? 
Yeah, because then it gets the 

1050
00:51:36,700 --> 00:51:38,200
point. 
Where even if you win, you're 

1051
00:51:38,200 --> 00:51:40,200
splitting it. 
It's like her hanging on for 

1052
00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:43,700
something so yeah. 
Forget, you know, we should, I 

1053
00:51:43,700 --> 00:51:46,600
bet fantasy Mojo, has that and 
by the way, shout out to Fantasy

1054
00:51:46,600 --> 00:51:49,200
Mojo. 
Check out his site for the past 

1055
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:52,300
ownership, projections or 
ownership results for this 

1056
00:51:52,300 --> 00:51:54,000
contest. 
He's got, I should also mention,

1057
00:51:54,000 --> 00:51:58,800
he has a really cool new thing. 
He has an Optimizer out for this

1058
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:01,000
year for the playoff contest 
with projection. 

1059
00:52:01,000 --> 00:52:03,800
So you can run different 
scenarios and and see it so 

1060
00:52:03,800 --> 00:52:07,200
definitely check out fantasy 
Mojo.com for his Optimizer. 

1061
00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:10,900
If you're looking to get into 
the Weeds on that, if PC slowly 

1062
00:52:10,900 --> 00:52:13,100
getting all growns up. 
That's right. 

1063
00:52:14,500 --> 00:52:17,700
Um what do you think? 
Should we say we kind of you 

1064
00:52:17,700 --> 00:52:20,400
know we got to pace ourselves 
this week. 

1065
00:52:20,400 --> 00:52:22,200
We are doing five shows. 
Why don't we? 

1066
00:52:22,200 --> 00:52:25,600
I don't like I know you invited 
me on to start the week but I 

1067
00:52:25,607 --> 00:52:28,200
also I did want to go like heavy
I've done a lot of research in 

1068
00:52:28,200 --> 00:52:30,000
the matchups already. 
Just because you know, we kind 

1069
00:52:30,000 --> 00:52:31,800
of yeah what the Seas were going
to happen. 

1070
00:52:32,000 --> 00:52:34,900
But overall I also didn't want 
to like ruin the show because I 

1071
00:52:34,900 --> 00:52:36,700
know you have so many more 
guests. 

1072
00:52:36,700 --> 00:52:38,800
It's so much more time to feel 
that's probably going to talk 

1073
00:52:38,800 --> 00:52:41,500
about the same thing. 
So yeah, we could very awesome. 

1074
00:52:41,500 --> 00:52:42,400
That's absurd. 
We could. 

1075
00:52:42,700 --> 00:52:45,200
Yeah, please. 
This is what we want back 

1076
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:46,600
honestly. 
If you would like like, it 

1077
00:52:46,600 --> 00:52:48,200
doesn't matter to me at all. 
No. 

1078
00:52:48,200 --> 00:52:51,300
I was going to transition us 
into building a lineup, so maybe

1079
00:52:51,300 --> 00:52:53,300
that's the perfect vehicle for 
firing off. 

1080
00:52:53,300 --> 00:52:55,500
Some of those takes, I think we 
should take a bit day. 

1081
00:52:55,500 --> 00:52:57,200
We'll go get my game real quick,
give us a call. 

1082
00:53:01,200 --> 00:53:03,100
That's right. 
Let's go ahead and go to line 

1083
00:53:03,100 --> 00:53:04,800
up. 
I'll share some thoughts as we 

1084
00:53:04,800 --> 00:53:06,900
move along there. 
Why don't why don't you kick 

1085
00:53:06,900 --> 00:53:09,400
this off with? 
Maybe kind of a big, you know, 

1086
00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:13,300
macro or say micro take that. 
That is informing one of your 

1087
00:53:13,300 --> 00:53:16,500
decisions here. 
Yeah I don't want to get too 

1088
00:53:16,500 --> 00:53:19,400
considering early right now. 
It's only Monday but right now I

1089
00:53:19,408 --> 00:53:22,300
already mentioned claypole for 
the usage reasons. 

1090
00:53:22,400 --> 00:53:26,800
I cited, I do I think that he's 
a good start or I can still kind

1091
00:53:26,800 --> 00:53:31,700
of like Mouse Sanders quiet. 
Wow, sneakily, get two games out

1092
00:53:31,700 --> 00:53:33,200
of him. 
More importantly, I think is 

1093
00:53:33,200 --> 00:53:35,700
going to be heavily involved. 
Regardless, even if you get a 

1094
00:53:35,700 --> 00:53:39,700
one score game scripts, the fact
they were leaning on him heavily

1095
00:53:39,700 --> 00:53:42,400
even in the game that Jordan 
Howell was available for For you

1096
00:53:42,408 --> 00:53:44,300
got injured. 
I'm actually pretty confident in

1097
00:53:44,308 --> 00:53:45,800
him. 
So those are my kind of too 

1098
00:53:45,800 --> 00:53:47,500
early contrarian plays right 
now. 

1099
00:53:48,300 --> 00:53:52,400
I will just keep it easy though.
And start with hey guys, real 

1100
00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:54,900
quick on Mi Anders, what's the 
deal with this broken hand? 

1101
00:53:54,900 --> 00:53:57,300
Like what it sounds like you 
think he's going to be back 

1102
00:53:57,300 --> 00:53:59,600
fully healthy? 
We don't know just yet. 

1103
00:53:59,900 --> 00:54:04,100
Okay, just like for Nets. 
They have said some broad 

1104
00:54:04,500 --> 00:54:06,400
messages that he's going to 
return. 

1105
00:54:06,800 --> 00:54:08,900
I think you'll be good to go, 
and if he's good to go, that's 

1106
00:54:08,900 --> 00:54:11,000
the best part about this injury,
like Elijah Mitchell. 

1107
00:54:11,100 --> 00:54:13,300
It was like upper body it. 
It's like a hand and so like 

1108
00:54:13,300 --> 00:54:15,000
once he gets in there, 
everyone's worried about like 

1109
00:54:15,000 --> 00:54:16,800
re-injury. 
This is not Derrick Henry foot 

1110
00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:19,000
surgery, it's your hand. 
I don't care. 

1111
00:54:19,100 --> 00:54:21,500
And so you know, the use of the 
issues was good regardless 

1112
00:54:21,500 --> 00:54:23,500
before he got injured and so 
that's why I jumped to him in 

1113
00:54:23,508 --> 00:54:25,800
this spot again. 
Like I said the Bucks defense, 

1114
00:54:25,800 --> 00:54:28,600
the rush defense has been 
actually atrocious over the last

1115
00:54:28,600 --> 00:54:31,000
month in particular and just 
since in the second half of the 

1116
00:54:31,000 --> 00:54:33,800
Season since week nine. 
So that's why I kind of sneakily

1117
00:54:33,800 --> 00:54:37,600
like him quite a bit. 
And I mean, as long as he scores

1118
00:54:37,600 --> 00:54:42,000
enough to be, not a fade 
situation for the Eagles, right?

1119
00:54:42,100 --> 00:54:44,000
You know, one of the issues. 
Obviously, with the Eagles is 

1120
00:54:44,000 --> 00:54:46,500
how much hurts can eat up but 
hurts us and going to probably 

1121
00:54:46,500 --> 00:54:48,700
be the likely QB unless the 
Eagles make a run. 

1122
00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:50,800
I mean I guess there's probably 
scenarios with to make a run to 

1123
00:54:50,808 --> 00:54:54,100
the NFC Championship or hurts. 
Could be the optimal especially 

1124
00:54:54,100 --> 00:54:57,500
like if it was only three if it 
was say a Green Bay, Tennessee, 

1125
00:54:57,800 --> 00:55:00,300
Super Bowl, and she only getting
three games from the other, 

1126
00:55:00,300 --> 00:55:03,200
there's no team that plays four 
games this year, it could be 

1127
00:55:03,200 --> 00:55:07,100
hurts, but in all likelihood, 
the Eagles play two games, it 

1128
00:55:07,100 --> 00:55:08,900
could be, you know, it could be 
a saint. 

1129
00:55:09,000 --> 00:55:10,900
I mean, I think that's actually 
really interesting. 

1130
00:55:13,100 --> 00:55:14,800
All right, Dale. 
Start us off. 

1131
00:55:15,300 --> 00:55:18,800
I'm going to go, Mike Evans. 
I like qualities. 

1132
00:55:18,800 --> 00:55:23,400
If someone wanted Rock. 
I just think it's such a awesome

1133
00:55:23,400 --> 00:55:24,800
spot. 
That like you said, I was 

1134
00:55:24,800 --> 00:55:26,300
shocked. 
You said he'd go overlooked. 

1135
00:55:26,300 --> 00:55:27,300
I thought everyone would catch 
on. 

1136
00:55:27,300 --> 00:55:31,200
But like right now Mike Evans 
only had an 18.7% targets here 

1137
00:55:31,300 --> 00:55:33,300
yesterday but played the fewest 
snaps. 

1138
00:55:33,300 --> 00:55:35,800
He's played in a full game all 
year and was Tampa's only 

1139
00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:38,600
receiver with India mountains. 
It ends on targets Evans. 

1140
00:55:38,600 --> 00:55:40,900
Hasn't reached a 28 percent 
Target chair in any game. 

1141
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:43,100
All year, but that's because 
he's been playing with Chris 

1142
00:55:43,100 --> 00:55:46,200
Godwin and Rob Gronkowski 
crisscross when Antonio Brown 

1143
00:55:46,300 --> 00:55:50,000
Rob Gronkowski. 
Now, imagine a life where Evans 

1144
00:55:50,000 --> 00:55:53,200
going to play every single snap.
And then also get all these 

1145
00:55:53,200 --> 00:55:55,300
targets without God, when the 
Antonio Brown moving forward. 

1146
00:55:55,300 --> 00:55:59,400
So I think Evans is just like an
awesome ceiling play compared to

1147
00:55:59,408 --> 00:56:02,200
God, but compared to grow. 
So, where are you at? 

1148
00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:05,400
On where the ownership comes in,
on the three of those guys? 

1149
00:56:05,400 --> 00:56:06,700
Because that's, that's going to 
be? 

1150
00:56:06,700 --> 00:56:08,500
I think one of the key things to
get, right? 

1151
00:56:08,500 --> 00:56:10,900
Don't we discussed it a lot 
brother. 

1152
00:56:11,300 --> 00:56:15,400
My issue is that just like last 
year and you mentioning and Main

1153
00:56:15,400 --> 00:56:19,700
Event even filling up by. 
I think John or someone had 

1154
00:56:19,700 --> 00:56:22,200
mentioned the chat like Thursday
morning Friday morning. 

1155
00:56:22,200 --> 00:56:27,100
It was filled by these things, 
get popular generally every 

1156
00:56:27,100 --> 00:56:28,900
single year. 
Also why I like main event was 

1157
00:56:28,900 --> 00:56:31,900
so much more popular this year 
and I've seen so many people 

1158
00:56:31,900 --> 00:56:34,800
already touting shows for the 
playoff challenge. 

1159
00:56:34,800 --> 00:56:37,500
I genuinely think it's going to 
get Jay on this year. 

1160
00:56:37,900 --> 00:56:40,400
I think we're looking at like a 
Wednesday afternoon, Wednesday 

1161
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:42,300
evening. 
Getting filled just because 

1162
00:56:42,300 --> 00:56:46,000
there's so much content now 
around this one, playoff format 

1163
00:56:46,100 --> 00:56:49,100
that everyone loves so much. 
That's so much, it's so much 

1164
00:56:49,100 --> 00:56:51,600
more different than best ball, 
which is easily accessible, so 

1165
00:56:51,600 --> 00:56:54,000
much more different than DFS 
which people are tired of 

1166
00:56:54,000 --> 00:56:55,300
because it's too sharp this 
year. 

1167
00:56:55,500 --> 00:56:56,800
And so, yeah, I just think 
everyone. 

1168
00:56:56,800 --> 00:57:00,200
Like, I really think it's gonna 
be the most popular contest so I

1169
00:57:00,200 --> 00:57:02,700
think ownership is going to 
shift like drastically in the 

1170
00:57:02,700 --> 00:57:05,900
next 48 hours. 
Next 72 hours and like the more 

1171
00:57:05,900 --> 00:57:08,200
people talk about the same place
over and over again, that's 

1172
00:57:08,200 --> 00:57:09,700
what's ultimately going to get 
steamed. 

1173
00:57:09,800 --> 00:57:10,900
That's why I kind of think of 
them. 

1174
00:57:11,000 --> 00:57:13,700
The week, we may be looking at 
higher, Mike Evans and hired 

1175
00:57:13,700 --> 00:57:16,500
Kevin Singletary, but right now 
it's just not what we are 

1176
00:57:16,500 --> 00:57:17,800
projecting on Monday. 
At least. 

1177
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:20,700
Those are two, I think my 
favorite plays gotcha. 

1178
00:57:21,700 --> 00:57:23,200
All right, Gretch. 
Who do you want to put in here? 

1179
00:57:26,100 --> 00:57:32,800
Let's just do cup. 
Don't sound so excited. 

1180
00:57:36,700 --> 00:57:42,200
Pat Well, given that he might 
not be the most popular play on 

1181
00:57:42,200 --> 00:57:44,200
his team. 
As I thought he probably still 

1182
00:57:44,200 --> 00:57:47,900
would be, he's 57 percent on 
last year, but I'm gonna go 

1183
00:57:47,900 --> 00:57:50,000
Stefon Diggs. 
If we're thinking maybe he ends 

1184
00:57:50,000 --> 00:57:52,200
up in the high 20s. 
Okay. 

1185
00:57:54,600 --> 00:57:58,200
Let's Do It. 
Um, what do we think that should

1186
00:57:58,200 --> 00:58:01,000
I just give us a try. 
Give us a Mahomes line up here. 

1187
00:58:03,800 --> 00:58:06,100
Yeah, works for me. 
Yeah, I'll go my homes. 

1188
00:58:06,700 --> 00:58:11,500
I'm not back to degel. 
We're already running out of 

1189
00:58:11,500 --> 00:58:14,200
running backs. 
A do we have a link early on 

1190
00:58:14,300 --> 00:58:17,600
Deebo Samuel or George Kettle? 
Like projection was. 

1191
00:58:19,000 --> 00:58:22,000
I bet it to be pretty even I 
think, I think it's going to be 

1192
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:25,300
lean Debo. 
Just given the recent results. 

1193
00:58:25,300 --> 00:58:27,900
But, yeah. 
And you know, it'll certainly 

1194
00:58:27,900 --> 00:58:30,300
allows you to do other stuff. 
Yeah, you don't really need the 

1195
00:58:30,300 --> 00:58:31,100
tight end. 
Yeah. 

1196
00:58:32,500 --> 00:58:37,100
The sure, what is your lie like?
What are you? 

1197
00:58:37,100 --> 00:58:38,600
Who would you rather play in a 
vacuum? 

1198
00:58:39,500 --> 00:58:44,600
I think Kettle, interesting. 
But it's it's all good though. 

1199
00:58:45,000 --> 00:58:47,000
Titan premium. 
I push people though, I mean, 

1200
00:58:47,600 --> 00:58:49,800
and I saw a comment about Elijah
Mitchell being this year's 

1201
00:58:49,800 --> 00:58:51,400
Acres. 
I think he's a reasonable bet 

1202
00:58:51,400 --> 00:58:54,600
to, and Elijah might get a 
little bit of of Interest. 

1203
00:58:54,700 --> 00:58:57,800
It may be Depot comes in a 
little low. 

1204
00:58:57,900 --> 00:59:00,300
How about this year's moster You
know. 

1205
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:05,100
Yeah, there you go. 
Well then I can't pick between 

1206
00:59:05,100 --> 00:59:06,500
then I'm going to let someone 
else do it. 

1207
00:59:06,500 --> 00:59:09,900
I'll just go should be good. 
We talked about the Davonte I 

1208
00:59:09,900 --> 00:59:11,800
miss Cooper cup scenario. 
Should we go Davante Adams? 

1209
00:59:12,200 --> 00:59:13,800
I think I was I was going to 
take him. 

1210
00:59:13,800 --> 00:59:15,600
I think if you're taking my 
home's, you're probably not 

1211
00:59:15,600 --> 00:59:18,100
playing for a four-week 
quarterback on the other side. 

1212
00:59:18,100 --> 00:59:20,100
You probably. 
I mean, most likely in Mahomes 

1213
00:59:20,100 --> 00:59:23,700
is the guy. 
When yeah, Green Bay a Green Bay

1214
00:59:23,700 --> 00:59:26,500
Super Bowl, I'll take you know 
what? 

1215
00:59:26,700 --> 00:59:28,800
I'll let some I'll let you make 
the decision, then Gretchen I'll

1216
00:59:28,800 --> 00:59:30,000
go mix it. 
Nixon. 

1217
00:59:30,100 --> 00:59:31,900
Okay, nice. 
Nice. 

1218
00:59:32,500 --> 00:59:33,500
Yeah. 
I'll talk about him. 

1219
00:59:33,500 --> 00:59:36,500
So I'm having tons of fun. 
Take a cup and Adams obviously 

1220
00:59:36,500 --> 00:59:39,400
have the best place so far. 
My guys are gonna score more 

1221
00:59:39,400 --> 00:59:42,800
than all of your pigs. 
Yeah, okay. 

1222
00:59:42,800 --> 00:59:44,800
Casey from a home. 
So, I think it makes a lot of 

1223
00:59:44,808 --> 00:59:46,600
sense to take Green Bay to the 
Super Bowl. 

1224
00:59:46,600 --> 00:59:49,100
It's like probably the most 
likely scenario where my home's 

1225
00:59:49,100 --> 00:59:52,400
is the right QB. 
And so Adams is probably a 

1226
00:59:52,408 --> 00:59:56,200
locking that that outcome 
Alright, so now, to make a 

1227
00:59:56,207 --> 00:59:59,800
decision about Dallas is our 
decision. 

1228
01:00:00,200 --> 01:00:11,600
Yeah, I'm gonna go Dallas D. 
Wow, here we go, here we go. 

1229
01:00:11,900 --> 01:00:14,700
Um, all right. 
Yeah, because I was even tempted

1230
01:00:14,700 --> 01:00:17,500
to just throw Zeke into this. 
Just I mean it because big 

1231
01:00:22,700 --> 01:00:25,900
popular as it can. 
An option, right? 

1232
01:00:25,900 --> 01:00:28,600
I don't like no one wants to 
play him for Town. 

1233
01:00:28,600 --> 01:00:31,000
Who's the popular option on 
Dallas? 

1234
01:00:31,000 --> 01:00:32,900
Then, who's the? 
Who's the chalk option? 

1235
01:00:32,900 --> 01:00:34,900
I think you already mentioned, I
think it's CD lamb or Dalton 

1236
01:00:34,900 --> 01:00:39,400
Schultz yeah, I think those 
guys, I think the three of them 

1237
01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:45,300
come in pretty even Yeah, I 
could see that I am going to do 

1238
01:00:45,300 --> 01:00:48,700
the Eli Mitchell. 
We lost a visual. 

1239
01:00:48,700 --> 01:00:51,200
Oh oops. 
Here we go. 

1240
01:00:51,400 --> 01:00:55,100
Let's get Eli Mitchell back. 
So this is one of the items we 

1241
01:00:55,100 --> 01:00:58,200
were dancing around crane. 
Is that you know now strategy 

1242
01:00:58,200 --> 01:01:02,000
comes in where how many people 
are going to play this player 

1243
01:01:02,000 --> 01:01:05,400
against like their defense. 
Right. 

1244
01:01:05,700 --> 01:01:08,200
Right? 
Yeah and Elijah majeste an 

1245
01:01:08,200 --> 01:01:10,300
analogy for any other player 
versus the defense. 

1246
01:01:10,700 --> 01:01:13,300
They would probably rather 
choose the team. 

1247
01:01:13,300 --> 01:01:15,800
They're fading as opposed to 
having a player go up against 

1248
01:01:15,800 --> 01:01:17,800
their defense but I think it's 
warranted right here. 

1249
01:01:18,200 --> 01:01:21,800
One thing we do have already 
I'll just note as we have one 

1250
01:01:21,800 --> 01:01:24,100
player from every wild card 
game. 

1251
01:01:25,300 --> 01:01:28,500
One winner, basically from every
I mean, they don't all have to 

1252
01:01:28,500 --> 01:01:31,400
be winners but we have we have 
at least one skill player and 

1253
01:01:31,400 --> 01:01:33,900
then also Mahomes from every 
wild card game. 

1254
01:01:33,900 --> 01:01:36,100
So we don't have anything that 
we like, feel like we need to 

1255
01:01:36,500 --> 01:01:38,500
make sure we're not fading, both
sides of a game. 

1256
01:01:38,900 --> 01:01:43,800
Gotcha. 
All right to flex is tight end 

1257
01:01:43,800 --> 01:01:46,600
and placekicker. 
Who are we back over to? 

1258
01:01:47,700 --> 01:01:50,800
I think degel you just took. 
Yeah yeah back today go. 

1259
01:01:51,600 --> 01:01:54,000
I'm not making the jarrick Henry
edge of brown decision for us 

1260
01:01:54,000 --> 01:01:55,900
all that. 
What do y'all do that then? 

1261
01:01:55,900 --> 01:01:57,500
Do you want to do you want to 
think that? 

1262
01:01:57,600 --> 01:02:05,000
I mean I would love to look at 
how far you have to scroll down,

1263
01:02:05,000 --> 01:02:09,500
you have to scroll past Hunter 
Renfro, this running back. 

1264
01:02:16,400 --> 01:02:22,600
All right. 
And like that against against 

1265
01:02:22,600 --> 01:02:25,100
Mahomes because you're playing 
Week, 1 is a shootout which is 

1266
01:02:25,100 --> 01:02:29,400
great for the Mahomes pick. 
So I think something that's 

1267
01:02:29,400 --> 01:02:35,200
interesting here is we have not 
taken a tight end and we have 

1268
01:02:35,200 --> 01:02:38,300
Mahomes in. 
So we have Kelsey playing for 

1269
01:02:38,300 --> 01:02:41,600
games, we're going to need a 
tight end who's playing multiple

1270
01:02:41,600 --> 01:02:43,000
game. 
We also you know, we played 

1271
01:02:43,000 --> 01:02:45,700
Evans over Gronk, we did some of
these other things that we're 

1272
01:02:45,700 --> 01:02:48,300
going to need a tight end, who 
is capable of playing multiple 

1273
01:02:48,300 --> 01:02:53,800
games to compete? 
yeah, that's I mean it's him or 

1274
01:02:56,000 --> 01:02:59,000
Him. 
That's what I was thinking. 

1275
01:02:59,000 --> 01:03:01,000
That's where I was going. 
It's got to be hurts because we 

1276
01:03:01,000 --> 01:03:03,400
took out of stock, so we're 
better off. 

1277
01:03:03,400 --> 01:03:07,900
If it were its advances, instead
of come in a sense, we and we 

1278
01:03:07,900 --> 01:03:11,100
have the Niners winning. 
And so they're going to play the

1279
01:03:11,100 --> 01:03:14,200
Packers. 
And so now you can get the 

1280
01:03:14,200 --> 01:03:16,800
Cardinals in 23 games without 
going through the Packers who 

1281
01:03:16,800 --> 01:03:18,800
were also kind of seeing in the 
Super Bowl. 

1282
01:03:19,600 --> 01:03:22,100
It's, It's gotta be, it's Gotta 
Be Earth. 

1283
01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:23,900
Yeah. 
I already know what's going to 

1284
01:03:23,900 --> 01:03:25,300
happen to we're going to spend 
so much time. 

1285
01:03:25,500 --> 01:03:27,400
Building lineups this week and 
this is going to end up being 

1286
01:03:27,400 --> 01:03:33,500
our best lineup. 
That's how it always goes and 

1287
01:03:33,500 --> 01:03:37,500
then it's Carlson, right? 
It was just lost angle desserts.

1288
01:03:37,500 --> 01:03:40,100
Got on there. 
He said, he's out day, goes out 

1289
01:03:40,900 --> 01:03:42,400
Carlson. 
So we're yeah. 

1290
01:03:42,400 --> 01:03:47,800
Full fade on New England and 
Philly or think will be two of 

1291
01:03:47,800 --> 01:03:49,200
the most popular. 
Yeah. 

1292
01:03:50,500 --> 01:03:51,500
Yeah. 
What do you? 

1293
01:03:51,500 --> 01:03:53,400
So? 
Yeah, because people would go 

1294
01:03:53,400 --> 01:03:56,700
like Damien Harris or full 
Phaeton, New England mostly you 

1295
01:03:56,700 --> 01:04:00,200
could do one of their kickers. 
I mean, the fact that we played 

1296
01:04:00,200 --> 01:04:03,600
like Evans for example, might 
mean that Philly actually pushes

1297
01:04:03,600 --> 01:04:06,400
Tampa, a little and the fact we 
played Mixon means that they may

1298
01:04:06,400 --> 01:04:09,400
be run all over. 
You know the Raiders just don't 

1299
01:04:09,400 --> 01:04:11,800
show up. 
You could maybe make a case for 

1300
01:04:11,800 --> 01:04:15,700
the Eagles kicker. 
I don't know about Patriots with

1301
01:04:15,700 --> 01:04:19,100
digs and yeah maybe that's a 
maybe I think Patriots defense 

1302
01:04:19,100 --> 01:04:20,900
might get a little bit of love. 
Yeah. 

1303
01:04:20,900 --> 01:04:23,100
And I just play for you getting 
passing attempts against them. 

1304
01:04:23,100 --> 01:04:28,900
Probably It's Selva choke in the
Wi-Fi with all that, all, 22 

1305
01:04:28,900 --> 01:04:31,200
film. 
Yeah, he just woke up, so I'm 

1306
01:04:31,200 --> 01:04:34,000
sure we started using something.
He's watching old randomizer 

1307
01:04:34,000 --> 01:04:39,700
streams. 
You would not believe by the way

1308
01:04:39,700 --> 01:04:44,400
how often that happens. 
I know Silva is a big fan, I get

1309
01:04:44,400 --> 01:04:48,100
it. 
Um well Daigle we appreciate you

1310
01:04:48,500 --> 01:04:52,900
coming on and kicking off, five 
straight days of FPC. 

1311
01:04:52,900 --> 01:04:55,000
Playoff Challenge programming 
here on shift chasing. 

1312
01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:58,600
What did we do for our last 
Cardinal stick? 

1313
01:04:58,600 --> 01:05:03,700
That's when the computer froze, 
it is accurate records and any 

1314
01:05:03,700 --> 01:05:06,800
time you play chop, Daniel 
Carson, you gotta, you gotta do 

1315
01:05:06,800 --> 01:05:10,200
it. 
We already made our big, you 

1316
01:05:10,200 --> 01:05:13,100
know, Dallas defense as well as 
pointed out in the chat. 

1317
01:05:13,100 --> 01:05:17,100
Pretty contrarian pick their 
someone take a screenshot of 

1318
01:05:17,100 --> 01:05:19,900
this and then you take a 
screenshot of your lineup, 

1319
01:05:19,900 --> 01:05:22,500
Friday for your last stream 
because I guarantee you're going

1320
01:05:22,500 --> 01:05:25,200
to Galaxy brain yourself into 
the, craziest shit at the end of

1321
01:05:25,200 --> 01:05:26,700
this. 
Uh, yeah, I have it. 

1322
01:05:27,000 --> 01:05:29,600
We're going to build a lineup at
the end of each show this week 

1323
01:05:29,600 --> 01:05:33,000
and I will do this. 
I'll do this SC Daigle and we 

1324
01:05:33,000 --> 01:05:35,000
will you trying to Pieces each 
line. 

1325
01:05:35,000 --> 01:05:37,500
Is we aggressively going to get 
worse thinking. 

1326
01:05:37,500 --> 01:05:40,400
It gets bad mix receivers in 
that. 

1327
01:05:40,400 --> 01:05:42,700
We pull it back up. 
Yeah, we played. 

1328
01:05:42,700 --> 01:05:45,200
No, yeah. 
All Flex receivers very it's a 

1329
01:05:45,207 --> 01:05:48,900
ship chasing team. 
We forgot about tighten and 

1330
01:05:49,000 --> 01:05:52,900
tighten premium format, right? 
I'm glad I could just simply. 

1331
01:05:54,000 --> 01:05:57,000
Yes. 
Daigle idiot. 

1332
01:05:57,000 --> 01:05:58,900
Any other plugs for for you 
here. 

1333
01:05:58,900 --> 01:06:00,500
What are you up to this week? 
Yeah. 

1334
01:06:00,500 --> 01:06:02,800
It's the wild card. 
You know, where to follow me, if

1335
01:06:02,800 --> 01:06:04,400
not, then you'll figure it out 
eventually. 

1336
01:06:05,000 --> 01:06:07,800
Also, I'll be doing playoff, 
only rankings at ABC, Sports 

1337
01:06:07,800 --> 01:06:10,000
edge.com. 
I guess, right now I'm going for

1338
01:06:10,000 --> 01:06:12,900
Tuesday night, Wednesday, 
morning, release, and now have 

1339
01:06:12,900 --> 01:06:15,400
them updated and its rankings 
according to the entire 

1340
01:06:15,400 --> 01:06:17,400
postseason. 
So basically, which teams I 

1341
01:06:17,400 --> 01:06:19,500
think we'll go to the Super Bowl
and then which players I think 

1342
01:06:19,500 --> 01:06:22,900
are like contrarian but 
intelligent contrarian ranked 

1343
01:06:22,900 --> 01:06:25,300
higher than some of the perhaps 
like play the best. 

1344
01:06:25,400 --> 01:06:27,000
This guy. 
So you can look for that at the 

1345
01:06:27,008 --> 01:06:28,300
site. 
Awesome. 

1346
01:06:28,400 --> 01:06:33,400
Yes, Gretch, crane. 
Anything else here before? 

1347
01:06:33,400 --> 01:06:36,000
I mean, we'll be back in less 
than 24 hours because that's 

1348
01:06:36,000 --> 01:06:37,400
what that's what we're doing 
this week. 

1349
01:06:37,400 --> 01:06:39,900
That's my will have, the will 
have to walk through out on 

1350
01:06:39,900 --> 01:06:41,900
Friday for the oh nice going 
through? 

1351
01:06:41,900 --> 01:06:43,700
Yeah. 
That's gonna do four shows 

1352
01:06:43,700 --> 01:06:46,000
before the walkthrough and then 
try to figure it all out on 

1353
01:06:46,000 --> 01:06:49,100
Friday. 
Yeah, it's gonna be a busy week 

1354
01:06:49,400 --> 01:06:50,600
and that's right. 
Yeah. 

1355
01:06:50,600 --> 01:06:52,800
So did. 
So to recap tomorrow at 4:00 

1356
01:06:52,800 --> 01:06:55,700
will have Davis Matic on 
Wednesday 9:15 Hassan and Blair 

1357
01:06:55,700 --> 01:06:58,400
Boomer, opto show Thursday, very
excited to welcome Sean. 

1358
01:06:58,400 --> 01:07:00,300
Siegel back to the program 9:15 
p.m. 

1359
01:07:00,300 --> 01:07:03,400
Eastern and then we will wrap 
things up on Friday, 9:15 p.m. 

1360
01:07:03,400 --> 01:07:05,400
Eastern. 
We are running back are drunk 

1361
01:07:05,400 --> 01:07:09,600
build show with Leone and Dink. 
Chaos will ensue will be needing

1362
01:07:09,600 --> 01:07:11,800
to get our lineups in. 
But we'll also be having a very 

1363
01:07:11,800 --> 01:07:14,900
good time. 
Drinking always a tightrope, to 

1364
01:07:14,900 --> 01:07:16,500
who to walk out of Friday, 
evening. 

1365
01:07:16,800 --> 01:07:19,700
We will be here all week. 
I'm Pete overs that will see you

1366
01:07:19,700 --> 01:07:20,400
guys tomorrow.