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It's Week 3 and the Miami 
Dolphins are winning the Super 

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Bowl, but we've got some charts 
to show you how it can be 

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applicable for your fantasy 
teams. 

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This is stat chasing Pat Fryer 
helmo this. 

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Is why. 
This is why I'm hot Anita. 

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Hint hand job, fix your side. 
Jamar and also play Chase. 

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You can't handle the heat. 
It looks like we're finally this

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boy too, right? 
Good evening, Drico. 

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I hope that you enjoyed Week 3 
as much as I did because I was 

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shouting from the rooftops about
my Miami bags. 

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Was feeling very excited about 
that. 

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Yeah definitely. 
Yeah. 

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Definitely a good week to be to 
be on there at Miami and 

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definitely and and nice little 
boosted it to the yeah standing 

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advance rates even if they are 
meaningless in a week 3. 

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Ohh yeah I'm definitely 
calculating my advance rates 

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each week. 
Just. 

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Watching them slowly, slowly 
take up. 

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I mean, if you're not doing it, 
are you really? 

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Do you really consider yourself 
a basketball sicko if you're not

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fever, right? 
Like checking your advance rates

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not even at the end of the week,
but like at the end of every 

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window of every game. 
Like because the FFPC is like so

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like archaic and then I have 
like a little spreadsheet that I

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can see like which teams are 
scoring like. 

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What? 
What? 

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What? 
Each team has scored so far 

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because you actually have to 
calculate that like so totally 

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degenerate behavior. 
Yeah, fortunately for my the 

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DraftKings ones are the ones 
that are the most difficult for 

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like. 
There's no way I'm going to go 

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through by hand and count up all
the DraftKings ones that are 

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advancing and not advancing. 
But thankfully, Spike Week has a

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tool for that, so I saved myself
some time manually counting 

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teams there. 
But before we dive into the 

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charts today, I just need to 
take the L as the biggest 

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professional musher. 
I think. 

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I mean, I I haven't been a 
musher before. 

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I think it's just being part of 
the ship chasing universe. 

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Now you're a content creator. 
I I inherited the mush dude 

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because the Dallas Cowboys just 
got absolutely mushed to death 

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after after me singing their 
praises last week. 

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I think I I said CD Lamb is 
moving up into the right on the 

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wide receiver charts. 
We're gonna see that. 

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That didn't age super well. 
I think I said doomsday defense.

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That also did not age well. 
We had Josh. 

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I remember I was saying like 40 
yards. 

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I remember. 
I was like, oh, well, we don't 

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really like what if these 
players that they played are bad

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and you're like, no, dude, this 
defense is that good. 

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Yeah. 
Yeah. 

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I'm, I'm King Musher. 
There were a couple other mushes

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that I had that I mean, Puka I 
know Puka was injured going into

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this week, but I was, I was, you
know ready to call Puka the 

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second coming of Cooper Cup and 
mushed mushed him pretty good. 

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So in the interest of a reverse 
mush, Kendra Miller teams, 

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they're just dead. 
Nothing's happening. 

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Kendra Kendra's done, guys. 
So pack it up. 

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Yeah, absolutely. 
Cut Kendra in all formats. 

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Unplayable. 
All right, let's let's get into 

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it. 
So like last week, we're looking

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at this. 
This is mainly an efficiency 

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chart and we've got a adjusted 
yard for attempt. 

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Which it's like a yards per 
attempt but it rewards touch 

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sounds and and and punishes 
interceptions and and roughly in

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the same weight as an EPA chart 
would but just that yards per 

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attempt is more intuitive and 
then touchdown rate pretty 

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intuitive and the size of the 
bubble is is how much rushing 

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yards they have and and with the
scale on on the left here. 

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Indicating what 100 yards at a 
game looks like. 

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Excellent chart summary here. 
My immediate takeaways is I 

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believe that Tua is him. 
Previously we had Jordan Love 

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over in that area of the chart 
where Tua existed, but he came 

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back down to earth. 
This week he finally did not 

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throw 3 touchdowns in a game. 
So he he started to see his 

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touchdown rate and adjusted 
yards per attempt regress back a

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little bit. 
But to A to a looks like him 

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looking like probably the best 
quarterback pick in in all of 

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basketball drafts. 
And we'll we won't we won't go 

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too much into where he should go
in resurrection because I think 

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we've got a a special treat at 
the end of the charts today that

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I'll we. 
Don't want to tip our hats a 

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teaser? 
Yeah, yeah, the other the other 

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guys, I noticed on this chart 
and now that we have a couple 

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games of sample, I'm starting to
look for guys that I think might

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be potentially undervalued by 
the market or like prime for a 

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good bounce back spot. 
I still think that Lamar is a 

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good candidate for outperforming
how he has been doing this past 

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week. 
He did score you a lot of 

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fantasy points. 
He just did it all through the 

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ground. 
He rushed for over 100 yards and

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two touchdowns. 
You know, he certainly got 

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there, but he didn't bring any 
weapons along with him. 

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I think that you're just waiting
for that week where the passing 

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in clicks for Baltimore and 
Lamar gets a little bit more 

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done through the air and adds 
some on the ground and you can 

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get one of those truly massive 
weeks the other one that I. 

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Go ahead. 
Any concern about that? 

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Well, maybe actually, you know 
what? 

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Let's save the receiver's 
questions and talks to that part

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of the chart. 
But yeah, I think I know where 

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you're going with that one. 
And yeah, we'll definitely touch

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on that. 
I I think CJ Stroud, my, my 

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early CJ Stroud take is looking 
like it's going to age pretty 

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well. 
He's airing it out and doing 

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pretty well. 
And when I'm looking for guys on

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these charts that that I like as
a potential target or someone 

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that that could have like a 
spike week disproportionate to 

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what their previous weekly 
scoring has looked like looking 

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for guys in that top right 
quadrant but more you know 

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closely aligned with that that 
red dotted line for TD rate. 

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So like Stroud Purdy, Geno Smith
Baker, Justin Herbert, guys that

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are still getting pretty good 
adjusted yards per attempt, but 

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having a relatively low 
touchdown rate for how high the 

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yards per attempt is. 
To me, that's what I want to be 

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looking at when I'm looking for 
people with potential for a 

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really big game and just to keep
with the trend of the early look

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ahead. 
I like Justin Herbert for this 

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next week against Las Vegas. 
And I mean, my goodness, that's 

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probably gonna be the most 
consolidated target tree you 

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could imagine. 
It's like the dream for fantasy.

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It's it's just gonna be the 
Keenan Allen show. 

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So I I really like that spot 
this week. 

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And I think just just to back up
on that, Caesar Stroud, I think 

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the way I'm looking at this is 
that like, hey, he's a pocket 

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passer. 
Who's actually been scoring 

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decent points, but in terms of 
like efficiency touchdown, he's 

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been a pocket passer putting up 
points without touchdown 

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efficiency, which is sort of 
nuts. 

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Like if if if he can keep up 
this kind of like yardage 

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production, like he should have 
some monster passing games. 

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Like, obviously, caveat, it's 
true, three weeks of an NFL 

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season. 
But. 

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I think. 
I think that looks super 

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interesting. 
Yeah, 100% agree. 

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Stroud, Stroud, I really like 
he. 

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He would be someone that I would
consider targeting in 

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Resurrection if he's still going
cheap for sure. 

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Any guys that stood out to you 
on the chart either as 

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intriguing by low candidates or 
people that you're a little 

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worried now that we've got three
weeks of data that there may be 

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a little more sticking power to 
the trends? 

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And obviously a little worried 
to see somehow having produced 

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kind of like so pearly he's in 
the I I I don't like to see guys

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I was excited about in the Zach 
Wilson section of the chart and 

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I do know I I guess one note 
about it was that they were they

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were trailing pretty heavily. 
And so quarterbacks they can 

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they do have to they have to 
throw more aggressively they 

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have to take more risks and and 
those interceptions they sort of

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like they come with happen to to
to throw deep and throw 

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aggressively when you're when 
you're losing And so I I'm I'm 

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starting to get a a smidge 
concerned with hello and but not

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that certainly not throwing in 
the towel still excited because.

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You you are still getting like 
even you you still are getting 

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sort of aggressive trolls. 
You're still getting rushing 

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production and but I'm I'm 
starting to I I'm starting to 

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reassess how I see that offense 
where you know I it it it would 

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be I think a win at this stage 
if the the commanders are sort 

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of like league average as an 
offense. 

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Yeah Howell was definitely 
concerning this week. 

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They were they were trailing 
pretty heavily and against a 

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good Bills defense but he took a
pretty significant number of 

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sacks and he threw a lot of 
interceptions He was he was 

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still throwing deep and and 
being aggressive when they were 

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behind. 
So you like to see that you know

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he's not he's not doing the you 
know I'm just going to hide and 

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Get Me Out of this game type 
thing when when he's in a bad 

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spot. 
So at least there's that that's 

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encouraging but yeah I I'm 
adjusting my priors on howl now 

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and looking at him as he can 
still produce spike weeks. 

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The rushing so far has not been 
as much as you would have liked.

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You know the the thesis was, oh 
he can add a little with his 

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legs and so it hasn't been as 
much as you would have liked. 

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I think he's still you know, 
capable of producing a spike 

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lake here and there just with 
the quality of the weapons 

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around him and he he is willing 
to push the ball downfield. 

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But I I'm probably taking Sam 
Howell either with elite 

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quarterbacks that have very low 
downside deviation or I'm taking

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him in three quarterback builds 
now. 

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I'm not doing very much of the 
the two quarterback how builds 

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where it's one guy like say a 
Geno Smith or a DAC Prescott. 

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Plus how I I'm gonna be more 
prone to taking three if he's my

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my QB three there. 
That that makes sense. 

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And yeah sad sad to see and but 
yeah you have to adjust as well 

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There is there is one more I had
before we move on and that's 

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Trevor Lawrence is is definitely
concerning. 

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His success rate was still fine 
but his EPA was really poor. 

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So I think he's getting a little
bit unlucky, but it's not super 

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encouraging to see this quote UN
quote generational prospect, you

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know, Andrew Luck level 
quarterback struggling so much 

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with, you know, the weapons that
he has around him in a game 

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where you know, frankly people, 
people had them as you know 

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pretty strong favorite and they 
did not look good. 

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So I'm definitely concerned 
about Lawrence. 

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I think that his his ADP over 
the summer obviously got to just

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irrational exuberance levels, 
which is why I didn't end up 

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with a ton of him. 
But I would, I would firmly 

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expect him to fall a bunch in 
resurrection and the market 

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might even overcorrect on him. 
But yeah, definitely. 

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I think, I think we've seen 
enough so far this season with 

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Lawrence to to know that like 
5000 yards passing is probably a

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that's wish casting at this 
point for a Trevor Lawrence 

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outcome this season. 
Yeah, yeah, I I I agree. 

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I'm just looking at some of the 
numbers here. 

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But I, I was just sort of 
doubting somehow. 

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But if you take out the 
interceptions and you're just 

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looking at a yard for attempts 
and and I I guess. 

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You can't really do that but 
let's say we just say 

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interceptions game the game are 
a bit volatile and I'm hell he 

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has 6.8 yards per attempt. 
Trevor Warren 6.5 They each have

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3 passing touchdowns and and the
only real difference is the 5 

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picks to to just two picks and I
mean that I I'm obviously I'm 

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obviously being not quite 
correct here but it just it 

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reinforces the point to me that.
It just hasn't been very good. 

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Yeah, that's. 
I think that's a good comparison

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just to kind of show this is 
where this is the tier at 

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Echelon he's been in and that's 
that's why he shows up in the 

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00:14:00,940 --> 00:14:03,060
quadrant of the charts, yeah, 
that he shows up in. 

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Yeah, agreed. 
And so, yeah, we did. 

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We did have a tease we wanted to
do after the charts. 

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So we're gonna move through a 
little bit more quickly this 

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week and moving on to the Orbi 
Snaps and usage charts. 

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And so in in the green section, 
we've got rush attempts, yellow 

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00:14:24,110 --> 00:14:29,230
is roots and blue we've got pass
blocking and Gray we've got run 

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blocking. 
And so everyone, and this is 

226
00:14:32,070 --> 00:14:36,270
also scaled to as a percentage 
of the team's offensive snaps. 

227
00:14:36,870 --> 00:14:42,510
And everybody knows green roots 
rushes for running back normally

228
00:14:42,510 --> 00:14:46,030
good and roots you want to see. 
You want to see your your 

229
00:14:46,030 --> 00:14:47,630
running back running a ton of 
roots. 

230
00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:52,440
And then pass block is not a. 
It's not quite useless because 

231
00:14:52,440 --> 00:14:56,840
it does show that the team 
trusts them and but you don't 

232
00:14:56,840 --> 00:15:01,120
accrue any fantasy points in the
leaks that I play in for 

233
00:15:01,120 --> 00:15:03,600
blocking. 
And run blocking is obviously 

234
00:15:03,680 --> 00:15:09,960
pure garbage useless. 
Good summary here and at the top

235
00:15:09,960 --> 00:15:12,480
of the chart. 
Just as we all predicted and how

236
00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:15,760
we were drafting over the 
summer, Kyron Williams and Zach 

237
00:15:15,760 --> 00:15:19,440
Moss have the best running back 
roles in the entire NFL. 

238
00:15:20,080 --> 00:15:21,520
Okay. 
And that's the end of this chart

239
00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:27,720
section. 
Other ones that Rashad White is 

240
00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,480
still getting a really good 
role. 

241
00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:32,880
We might Rashad White isn't 
good. 

242
00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:37,960
He's you know he's way under 
expectation is rushing yards 

243
00:15:37,960 --> 00:15:40,800
over expectation. 
He's still very negative, but 

244
00:15:41,650 --> 00:15:46,130
he's at least getting a role. 
So like as a as a floor play or 

245
00:15:46,130 --> 00:15:49,010
like a I don't know where he's 
going to go in resurrection. 

246
00:15:49,010 --> 00:15:51,370
I'm not sure how the market 
feels about Rashad White, but 

247
00:15:51,730 --> 00:15:55,370
maybe it's like a 0RB guy to 
make sure you're not getting 

248
00:15:55,410 --> 00:15:57,330
zeros. 
He's interesting. 

249
00:15:58,210 --> 00:16:01,130
Other roles that I thought were 
were noteworthy here. 

250
00:16:03,410 --> 00:16:09,070
We did see James Connors role 
shrink a little bit in favor of 

251
00:16:09,070 --> 00:16:12,270
Kiante Ingram this week. 
So that was interesting. 

252
00:16:13,870 --> 00:16:18,230
Wondering if that's going to be 
a trend over the season as we 

253
00:16:18,230 --> 00:16:22,390
see more Ingram work as the 
season goes along, or if it was 

254
00:16:22,390 --> 00:16:26,510
just a product of them just 
sticking it to the Cowboys? 

255
00:16:28,350 --> 00:16:34,590
And yeah, I mean James Connor. 
He is older and it seems like 

256
00:16:34,590 --> 00:16:37,870
he's playing decently well or or
better than I expected. 

257
00:16:38,630 --> 00:16:45,550
And but that is interesting and 
that Kiante Ingram is is eating 

258
00:16:45,550 --> 00:16:51,550
into his into his snaps the and 
and that's that's one of those 

259
00:16:51,550 --> 00:16:55,230
things that it's super hard to 
call and you don't know like is 

260
00:16:55,230 --> 00:17:00,070
Kiante Ingram playing well or 
have they just sort of decided 

261
00:17:00,070 --> 00:17:02,350
that like yeah you know like 
James Connor we can't play him 

262
00:17:02,350 --> 00:17:07,380
on the field like every down. 
Yeah, I I'm not sure. 

263
00:17:07,380 --> 00:17:11,660
I think we need more sample to 
know for sure if that's gonna be

264
00:17:11,660 --> 00:17:14,140
something that continues going 
forward or if that was just a 

265
00:17:14,140 --> 00:17:16,900
little noisy this week. 
But it's definitely something I 

266
00:17:16,900 --> 00:17:20,780
wanna monitor. 
It can make Kiante Ingram an 

267
00:17:20,780 --> 00:17:25,260
interesting you know, last round
dark throw potentially. 

268
00:17:26,660 --> 00:17:30,060
Just yeah to you know just to 
sprinkle in here and there. 

269
00:17:31,100 --> 00:17:35,440
Other guys that I thought were 
interesting we're starting to 

270
00:17:35,440 --> 00:17:38,880
see Swift climb up the charts 
more now that he's got two games

271
00:17:38,880 --> 00:17:42,240
of actually getting work. 
He's now over Kenny Gain. 

272
00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:49,080
Well he's he, you know is still 
getting a pretty good amount of 

273
00:17:49,080 --> 00:17:50,680
work. 
The charts aren't going to 

274
00:17:50,680 --> 00:17:52,800
totally reflect it cuz we've got
week one in there where he 

275
00:17:52,800 --> 00:17:55,560
didn't get anything yet. 
But I would anticipate him 

276
00:17:55,560 --> 00:17:59,380
continuing to rise on this 
chart, and I would, I would 

277
00:17:59,380 --> 00:18:03,540
think gain, well, probably gets 
bumped to the backup chart 

278
00:18:03,620 --> 00:18:08,140
before too many weeks here. 
If this usage split continues 

279
00:18:08,140 --> 00:18:14,300
from this last week, yeah. 
And I I just flipped it to and 

280
00:18:14,580 --> 00:18:19,380
and if if you did just use week 
two or or if you exclude week 

281
00:18:19,380 --> 00:18:27,500
one then and Yonder Swift would 
then be he would be 14th on this

282
00:18:27,500 --> 00:18:30,440
chart. 
So right around that, right 

283
00:18:30,440 --> 00:18:33,760
around Ramadre and yeah, Rahim 
mostard area. 

284
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:37,600
Yeah. 
And and so yeah. 

285
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,160
But that feels like it that 
feels like a fair expectation 

286
00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:46,240
going forward where he's 54% of 
the useful snaps and and and 

287
00:18:48,240 --> 00:18:51,840
yeah and and and and you hope 
that the talent keeps him there 

288
00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:55,840
and and that he actually like 
outperforms because because of 

289
00:18:55,840 --> 00:19:00,150
the the ridiculous efficiency. 
One that I noticed this week 

290
00:19:00,150 --> 00:19:05,390
that I had a question for you on
was we saw the role delineation 

291
00:19:05,390 --> 00:19:10,110
in the Washington backfield get 
really really stark when they 

292
00:19:10,110 --> 00:19:14,030
were trailing heavily and that's
Antonio Gibson ran like almost 

293
00:19:14,070 --> 00:19:18,110
all of the routes and Brian 
Robinson just he he was just 

294
00:19:18,110 --> 00:19:21,270
only out there running routes 
you know in name only it wasn't 

295
00:19:21,270 --> 00:19:24,780
it wasn't really like hey we're 
having him run routes because we

296
00:19:24,780 --> 00:19:27,540
wanna get him active in the 
passing game is well it's a 

297
00:19:27,540 --> 00:19:29,900
passing play and he's on the 
field so he might as well run a 

298
00:19:29,900 --> 00:19:32,260
route. 
But Antonio Gibson was a lot 

299
00:19:32,260 --> 00:19:33,660
more involved in the passing 
game. 

300
00:19:34,100 --> 00:19:36,020
I'm wondering do you think 
that's gonna be sticky going 

301
00:19:36,020 --> 00:19:37,740
forward? 
Was it just a product of the 

302
00:19:37,740 --> 00:19:40,020
game script? 
What are your thoughts on that 

303
00:19:40,020 --> 00:19:41,580
backfield and how it's shake it 
out? 

304
00:19:42,420 --> 00:19:47,300
And it's that is something where
it's super, it's like really 

305
00:19:47,300 --> 00:19:52,490
tempting to say listen and. 
The the the Washington 

306
00:19:52,650 --> 00:19:55,290
commanders they've seen what 
they they've seen what brown 

307
00:19:55,290 --> 00:20:01,610
Robins can do as a as a receiver
and and they don't like it and 

308
00:20:01,610 --> 00:20:04,530
and so they're putting in 
they're putting in Antonio 

309
00:20:04,530 --> 00:20:10,090
Gibson and but I'm I'm having a 
still a hard time with that 

310
00:20:10,530 --> 00:20:13,690
because we are that is one thing
where we're dealing with such 

311
00:20:13,690 --> 00:20:19,910
small samples and and. 
It's I think it's like you said 

312
00:20:19,910 --> 00:20:24,190
like you said previously that 
it's it's interesting you want 

313
00:20:24,190 --> 00:20:28,510
to monitor it and if if you're 
getting a market that is just 

314
00:20:28,510 --> 00:20:32,030
leaving Antonio Gibson for dead 
like you you've got all the 

315
00:20:32,030 --> 00:20:37,350
reason to to like take cheap 
Antonio Gibson and but I I 

316
00:20:37,350 --> 00:20:40,070
certainly wouldn't want to be 
paying for it like that's gonna 

317
00:20:40,070 --> 00:20:44,100
be the case going forward. 
Yeah, very, very well put. 

318
00:20:44,100 --> 00:20:46,500
That was that was my take on it 
as well. 

319
00:20:46,500 --> 00:20:49,900
Like if the market's willing to 
give them to me for free, that's

320
00:20:49,900 --> 00:20:53,940
an interesting piece. 
But yeah, I don't don't really 

321
00:20:53,940 --> 00:20:58,180
wanna pay up for it. 
Anyone that you noticed on this 

322
00:20:58,180 --> 00:21:01,340
usage chart you know trends that
you're interested in going 

323
00:21:01,340 --> 00:21:07,890
forward and what is interesting 
I think it it, it is a little 

324
00:21:07,890 --> 00:21:13,810
bit interesting that Joe Mixon 
has held on to such a a strong 

325
00:21:13,850 --> 00:21:18,090
role and it did this. 
This feels a little bit stronger

326
00:21:18,090 --> 00:21:21,410
than than the market was 
expecting and and and what they 

327
00:21:21,410 --> 00:21:25,930
had for him last year. 
And it does sort of suggest to 

328
00:21:25,930 --> 00:21:29,490
me that the reason that he took 
a little bit of a backseat on 

329
00:21:29,490 --> 00:21:32,970
passing downs towards the end of
last year was actually the 

330
00:21:32,970 --> 00:21:38,780
Bengals liked P Ryan and it it 
wasn't such a indictment on that

331
00:21:38,780 --> 00:21:44,300
mixing and I'm definitely 
embarring an injury. 

332
00:21:44,660 --> 00:21:49,660
I'm definitely not as excited 
with my my backup Bengals 

333
00:21:49,780 --> 00:21:53,900
running backs, and they don't 
feel nearly as good as they did 

334
00:21:54,100 --> 00:21:57,820
before the season started. 
OK, interesting. 

335
00:21:57,820 --> 00:22:00,540
I was gonna ask you how you felt
about Trevion Williams because 

336
00:22:00,540 --> 00:22:03,860
it does look like he is emerging
as the Clear 2. 

337
00:22:04,380 --> 00:22:07,620
To mix it, right, like I know 
he's, he's hung on the roster 

338
00:22:07,620 --> 00:22:10,980
for a while and they were 
willing to let P Ryan go. 

339
00:22:10,980 --> 00:22:15,860
So I kind of by process of 
elimination had decided they 

340
00:22:15,860 --> 00:22:18,580
probably like Treyvion Williams,
at least enough. 

341
00:22:18,580 --> 00:22:21,380
Clearly they don't like him as 
much as Semaj P Ryan or he would

342
00:22:21,380 --> 00:22:23,660
have been playing more last 
night, right. 

343
00:22:24,780 --> 00:22:30,340
So he's somewhere in between, 
you know, Semaj P Ryan and all 

344
00:22:30,340 --> 00:22:31,940
the other backs on the depth 
chart. 

345
00:22:32,760 --> 00:22:35,480
But they did like Semaj P Ryan 
more than Joe Mixon in the 

346
00:22:35,480 --> 00:22:38,160
passing game. 
And honestly, they kind of 

347
00:22:38,160 --> 00:22:41,520
seemed like they liked him just 
better in general in the 

348
00:22:41,520 --> 00:22:43,680
playoffs. 
You know, Semaj P Ryan was was 

349
00:22:43,680 --> 00:22:46,640
out snapping Mixon when it 
mattered the most, when the 

350
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:50,560
chips were down. 
So to me, I thought there was a 

351
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:52,840
path. 
I'll be in a thin one for 

352
00:22:52,840 --> 00:22:58,000
Trevion to work his way in and 
and get some more opportunity in

353
00:22:58,000 --> 00:23:02,250
this offense. 
So how, how do you view Trevion 

354
00:23:02,250 --> 00:23:04,650
specifically in this backfield 
going forward? 

355
00:23:05,290 --> 00:23:11,530
And I think that's a good point 
that that he's he is the clear 

356
00:23:11,530 --> 00:23:18,010
#2 over those other guys. 
And I mean if he can if he can 

357
00:23:18,010 --> 00:23:24,090
eat into mix and share it 
doesn't take that much and it 

358
00:23:24,090 --> 00:23:27,290
doesn't take that much in that 
type of offense. 

359
00:23:27,290 --> 00:23:33,550
Well I I should I should caveat 
that it it last year it wouldn't

360
00:23:33,550 --> 00:23:35,510
have taken that much for it to 
be valuable. 

361
00:23:35,830 --> 00:23:40,790
This year it it's not it's not 
nearly as valuable so far with 

362
00:23:40,790 --> 00:23:45,830
with Joe Joe Burrow injured and 
and the offense not playing as 

363
00:23:45,830 --> 00:23:50,830
well and so it's it it it sort 
of feels like you are you are 

364
00:23:50,830 --> 00:23:55,230
doing a sort of tricky parlay 
where you need the offense to 

365
00:23:55,230 --> 00:23:59,670
get better and you do need them 
to consolidate and a little bit 

366
00:23:59,670 --> 00:24:06,750
more in terms of like what you 
call it in in terms of usage. 

367
00:24:06,910 --> 00:24:10,190
Just just for example the the 
Bengals I forget how many times 

368
00:24:10,190 --> 00:24:14,990
they they threw last night but I
know they threw quite a bit and 

369
00:24:15,070 --> 00:24:20,190
Trevion had just 7 routes. 
So you you really do need that 

370
00:24:20,190 --> 00:24:24,630
share to go grow quite a, yeah, 
quite a bit I think. 

371
00:24:25,570 --> 00:24:28,370
Yeah, so sounds like eighteenth 
round Darkthrow. 

372
00:24:28,370 --> 00:24:31,050
Only on Trey Leon and and not 
yeah, someone that you're very 

373
00:24:31,130 --> 00:24:34,530
acceptable 18th round Darkthrow.
But you're you're not coming. 

374
00:24:34,530 --> 00:24:38,050
In super overweight Trevion or 
anything, expecting no much from

375
00:24:38,050 --> 00:24:41,610
him. 
That's just yeah, you just need 

376
00:24:41,650 --> 00:24:46,010
you need a couple of things to 
break your way and it it it it 

377
00:24:46,010 --> 00:24:48,250
doesn't feel that it doesn't 
feel like I said, it doesn't 

378
00:24:48,250 --> 00:24:51,250
feel as strong as it did before.
What what what? 

379
00:24:51,250 --> 00:24:53,370
What's your take on it. 
It sounds like you might be the 

380
00:24:53,410 --> 00:24:56,430
the opposite. 
No, no I'm I'm I'm kind of with 

381
00:24:56,430 --> 00:25:00,670
you that I'm not terribly 
optimistic about Treyvion going 

382
00:25:00,670 --> 00:25:03,750
forward but I think the way to 
play that backfield is probably 

383
00:25:03,750 --> 00:25:06,870
through Treyvion. 
Yeah, I don't know where the. 

384
00:25:06,870 --> 00:25:09,110
I don't know what the Mixon 
price is gonna be. 

385
00:25:09,110 --> 00:25:12,910
If if people are letting Mixon 
go for for cheap, I'm interested

386
00:25:12,910 --> 00:25:16,030
just in in the role. 
In the event that Treyvion just 

387
00:25:16,030 --> 00:25:19,070
never is able to get much work 
or get on the field and Mixon 

388
00:25:19,070 --> 00:25:22,190
just has this incredible role, 
then I'm interested if he's 

389
00:25:22,190 --> 00:25:25,910
cheap, but if he's. 
Still relatively expensive or 

390
00:25:25,910 --> 00:25:28,270
going like in that that dead 
zone range. 

391
00:25:29,950 --> 00:25:32,670
I'll probably just opt out of 
Nixon and take a couple random 

392
00:25:32,670 --> 00:25:35,910
dark throws on Trevians. 
See if it breaks my way, Yeah, 

393
00:25:36,150 --> 00:25:39,230
yeah, I agree there. 
I definitely agree with that 

394
00:25:39,230 --> 00:25:45,790
approach and love to see Bijan 
continue up in the in the sort 

395
00:25:45,790 --> 00:25:53,060
of work horsy section of the 
chart and we we still still have

396
00:25:53,060 --> 00:25:56,740
Deon Jackson here. 
I that's on me to to take him 

397
00:25:56,780 --> 00:25:59,060
out. 
Yeah, my, my apologies. 

398
00:25:59,060 --> 00:26:01,980
We'll we'll next Deon Jackson 
next week in the charts. 

399
00:26:01,980 --> 00:26:07,700
I can I can exclude him and. 
But no, nobody else here is 

400
00:26:07,700 --> 00:26:11,100
like, seriously, like, other 
than like what we've already 

401
00:26:11,100 --> 00:26:14,940
talked about. 
And I'm not saying I I'm not 

402
00:26:14,940 --> 00:26:19,980
saying anybody else here. 
And I mean Ramadre is right 

403
00:26:19,980 --> 00:26:22,180
around where we'd have expected 
him to be. 

404
00:26:22,540 --> 00:26:25,460
It's a bit interesting that 
Madison has held on to his 

405
00:26:26,140 --> 00:26:31,380
stronger snap rate and that the 
Vikings they for somehow haven't

406
00:26:31,380 --> 00:26:33,140
been able to find anyone better 
than him. 

407
00:26:34,100 --> 00:26:36,020
And he did. 
He did finally put together a 

408
00:26:36,020 --> 00:26:38,980
decent game this week. 
I mean, he didn't. 

409
00:26:39,020 --> 00:26:40,860
He didn't look great again and 
had. 

410
00:26:41,620 --> 00:26:45,620
Honestly, what should have been 
a fumble, I believe they they 

411
00:26:45,620 --> 00:26:48,620
reviewed it for forward progress
and ruled him down. 

412
00:26:48,620 --> 00:26:53,220
Which my goodness, can we just 
get like any kind of consistency

413
00:26:53,220 --> 00:26:55,460
in what we can and cannot 
review? 

414
00:26:55,460 --> 00:26:58,140
And that, like, I thought 
forward progress was virtually 

415
00:26:58,140 --> 00:27:00,580
unreviewable. 
It's just based on the whistle, 

416
00:27:00,580 --> 00:27:01,460
right? 
Like we can't. 

417
00:27:01,980 --> 00:27:03,940
But apparently we can review 
that. 

418
00:27:03,940 --> 00:27:05,900
We can't review pass 
interference. 

419
00:27:06,100 --> 00:27:09,720
It's just officiating this 
league is very silly yeah. 

420
00:27:09,960 --> 00:27:19,000
And yeah I I I agree and that 
that is a bit strange and but 

421
00:27:19,000 --> 00:27:22,040
yeah I I I think we've sort of 
like I I don't I don't think 

422
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:27,240
there's anybody emerging here 
and that wouldn't have expected 

423
00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:29,320
like obviously. 
I think most of the trends are 

424
00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:34,040
holding that we discussed Damian
Pierce continuing to migrate 

425
00:27:34,040 --> 00:27:37,030
towards the bottom, that's like.
Get it. 

426
00:27:37,030 --> 00:27:39,590
Get out while you can on your 
Damien Pierce if you can get 

427
00:27:39,590 --> 00:27:45,870
anything for him yeah agreed and
so let's let's go to the backup 

428
00:27:45,870 --> 00:27:52,710
section of the chart and and 
super Ram. 

429
00:27:52,790 --> 00:27:59,550
I I think it's a it's a it's a 
bit disheartening and seeing 

430
00:27:59,830 --> 00:28:03,190
seeing some of the names of the 
top javante but to be honest 

431
00:28:03,190 --> 00:28:08,270
with with the injury that's sort
of to be expected and I know 

432
00:28:08,310 --> 00:28:12,310
Jamir Gibbs he's been running at
he he he did run quite a lot of 

433
00:28:12,310 --> 00:28:15,390
roots in in week two and then he
sort of came back a bit and we 

434
00:28:15,390 --> 00:28:18,350
tree which is also a bit 
disappointing. 

435
00:28:19,110 --> 00:28:22,030
You know what's the weirdest 
thing to me about Gibbs? 

436
00:28:22,030 --> 00:28:25,990
Is I I thought with no 
Montgomery, you know, he'd 

437
00:28:25,990 --> 00:28:28,870
increase his opportunities on 
the ground. 

438
00:28:28,870 --> 00:28:32,550
But I I I thought just by virtue
of having him on the field more 

439
00:28:33,030 --> 00:28:36,840
they would end up, you know? 
Throwing to him a ton, he'd get 

440
00:28:36,880 --> 00:28:40,000
even more targets, but that 
really wasn't the case. 

441
00:28:40,000 --> 00:28:44,160
He he was much more involved on 
the ground than I anticipated 

442
00:28:44,480 --> 00:28:47,280
and less involved in the passing
game than I thought he would be.

443
00:28:47,800 --> 00:28:51,600
I do think that and this is a 
relationship that we've seen 

444
00:28:51,600 --> 00:28:54,680
historically, but tight end and 
running back targets being 

445
00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:58,880
inversely correlated now part of
that is because of the area on 

446
00:28:58,880 --> 00:29:01,560
the field where those players 
operate typically. 

447
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:04,920
And so I don't know if that's 
necessarily what's happening 

448
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:08,080
here because La Porta is 
operating in all quadrants. 

449
00:29:09,120 --> 00:29:12,160
So I don't know that that's 
necessarily the reason why Gibbs

450
00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:16,240
saw fewer targets. 
But it's interesting to monitor.

451
00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:20,360
I wanna pay attention and see if
we've got like a decent negative

452
00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,080
correlation between Gibbs and La
Porta. 

453
00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:28,680
And so I think Gibbs is somebody
where we do have to mark our 

454
00:29:28,680 --> 00:29:32,890
expectations down a little bit 
cuz like the the pure, the pure 

455
00:29:32,890 --> 00:29:36,890
not run out that we thought we 
were going to get especially 

456
00:29:36,890 --> 00:29:39,490
seeing how incredibly he looked 
in week one. 

457
00:29:40,090 --> 00:29:44,410
It it doesn't it doesn't feel as
strong and what and what is 

458
00:29:44,410 --> 00:29:49,730
notable is his his predecessor 
and the under Swift. 

459
00:29:50,130 --> 00:29:53,210
Like absolutely beating the piss
out of like any of the 

460
00:29:53,210 --> 00:29:58,090
accusations that it seems like 
the the the the lines coaching 

461
00:29:58,090 --> 00:30:01,860
staff were giving Swift. 
And so it does. 

462
00:30:01,900 --> 00:30:05,060
It does make me think that like 
OK, if somebody as incredible as

463
00:30:05,060 --> 00:30:09,900
Swift and and able to perform as
exceptionally well as he has had

464
00:30:10,020 --> 00:30:15,860
had the kind of bad rap with 
coaches in with the lines like 

465
00:30:15,860 --> 00:30:22,180
does that just like bode ill for
for Gibbs and go ahead. 

466
00:30:22,820 --> 00:30:24,580
No, Yeah, I think it's a good 
point. 

467
00:30:24,580 --> 00:30:27,900
I I do think there's a little 
smoke here with how this 

468
00:30:27,900 --> 00:30:30,220
coaching staff deploys. 
They're running backs. 

469
00:30:31,400 --> 00:30:35,240
I think it's a little premature 
to say oh we're not gonna get 

470
00:30:35,280 --> 00:30:38,280
that ceiling outcome that we 
think from get you know he's 

471
00:30:38,280 --> 00:30:40,800
still a rookie it's still it's 
only been week three. 

472
00:30:41,360 --> 00:30:44,680
I think we can we can definitely
see his production increase as 

473
00:30:44,680 --> 00:30:48,400
the season goes on and the 
situation's very, very good. 

474
00:30:50,000 --> 00:30:54,240
It's just not it's not the 
absolute dream like Oh my gosh 

475
00:30:54,240 --> 00:30:56,800
you know David Montgomery goes 
down and Gibbs is just already 

476
00:30:56,800 --> 00:30:58,760
delivering you 20 point fantasy 
weeks. 

477
00:30:58,760 --> 00:31:02,380
But I I'm still, so that's what 
I mean, yeah. 

478
00:31:02,820 --> 00:31:04,860
Yeah. 
Like I'm not trying to say, hey,

479
00:31:04,860 --> 00:31:10,060
there's no ceiling now for Gibs.
I'm just trying to say, well, if

480
00:31:10,060 --> 00:31:13,300
you drop them in the third round
and you're hoping that you're 

481
00:31:13,300 --> 00:31:17,940
getting first round production 
by some point, that feels less 

482
00:31:17,940 --> 00:31:21,180
likely. 
Yeah, that's very valid. 

483
00:31:22,460 --> 00:31:24,820
One of the other rookie running 
backs that shows up on this 

484
00:31:24,820 --> 00:31:27,220
chart that I wanted to mention. 
I thought this was was 

485
00:31:27,220 --> 00:31:29,620
definitely worth bringing to 
people's attention if they 

486
00:31:29,620 --> 00:31:33,620
didn't notice Zach Charbonnay 
all the way at the bottom. 

487
00:31:33,860 --> 00:31:36,780
But he is. 
He's going to be slowly creeping

488
00:31:36,780 --> 00:31:38,540
up. 
He's seen his snap share 

489
00:31:38,540 --> 00:31:42,820
increase week over week. 
Not that I mean Kenneth Walker 

490
00:31:42,820 --> 00:31:46,380
has looked Kenneth Walker looks 
like exactly what you'd want out

491
00:31:46,380 --> 00:31:48,460
of Kenneth Walker. 
You know he he's a home run 

492
00:31:48,460 --> 00:31:50,900
hitter right? 
Like that is that's. 

493
00:31:51,340 --> 00:31:53,380
What he's built for and that's 
what he's doing. 

494
00:31:53,380 --> 00:31:56,980
So you know you feel feel great 
about Kenneth Walker. 

495
00:31:57,380 --> 00:32:01,340
I do think that Charbonnay is 
starting to become pretty 

496
00:32:01,340 --> 00:32:04,540
interesting. 
You know his contingent value 

497
00:32:04,700 --> 00:32:07,740
has got to be one of the better 
contingent values in the league.

498
00:32:07,900 --> 00:32:13,700
I I would think just cuz I 
wouldn't anticipate like a DJ 

499
00:32:13,700 --> 00:32:17,900
Dallas getting substantial work 
for long in the event that 

500
00:32:17,900 --> 00:32:19,860
Walker missed time, right. 
I think Charbonnay would be able

501
00:32:19,860 --> 00:32:22,530
to consolidate. 
Most of that. 

502
00:32:22,850 --> 00:32:28,970
So he's interesting to me in 
that aspect And then just a you 

503
00:32:28,970 --> 00:32:33,410
know quick quick touch on the 
the Ravens backfield. 

504
00:32:33,410 --> 00:32:35,450
I mean Gus Edwards is now 
injured. 

505
00:32:35,450 --> 00:32:39,010
Justice Hill is injured. 
We're just like we're just going

506
00:32:39,010 --> 00:32:42,650
to roll out like Melvin Gordon 
and Kenyon Drake and whatever 

507
00:32:43,530 --> 00:32:47,330
man that's a that team cannot 
catch a break with injuries. 

508
00:32:47,410 --> 00:32:51,750
How has your opinion changed on?
Which of these running backs you

509
00:32:51,750 --> 00:32:55,110
want in the Baltimore backfield?
Is it just a stay away for you? 

510
00:32:55,110 --> 00:33:01,150
How are you playing this? 
And it it it has become like a 

511
00:33:01,150 --> 00:33:06,310
sort of like frustrating 
backfield and where the overall 

512
00:33:06,310 --> 00:33:10,910
offense hasn't been good enough 
to like really prop up 

513
00:33:10,910 --> 00:33:17,150
production and and then you have
you have the rushing quarterback

514
00:33:17,590 --> 00:33:23,830
so he can obviously still 
touchdowns and then what's his 

515
00:33:23,830 --> 00:33:27,030
name Zay Flowers. 
He gets a ton of like what could

516
00:33:27,030 --> 00:33:32,870
have been running back targets 
and definitely not it doesn't 

517
00:33:32,870 --> 00:33:36,950
seem to be a fantasy rich 
environment for running backs 

518
00:33:37,390 --> 00:33:42,470
and and and probably honestly 
probably some of that is that 

519
00:33:43,150 --> 00:33:49,240
they're not trotting out world 
leaders and I think when Justice

520
00:33:49,240 --> 00:33:52,840
Hill comes back he's still he's 
still the running back to own 

521
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:59,400
and but would be very cost 
conscious on on on on justice 

522
00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:10,159
and I think you're like probably
is the wealth round or 12th 

523
00:34:10,159 --> 00:34:12,920
round is like I'm I'm I'm I 
think I might be actually too 

524
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:16,600
high there or or too early there
is like the most I'm paying 

525
00:34:19,300 --> 00:34:21,420
doesn't feel like a good 
backfield to target for sure. 

526
00:34:22,020 --> 00:34:27,179
Yeah, I think I, I did 2 
Resurrection drafts today just 

527
00:34:27,179 --> 00:34:29,500
to kind of like dip my toes in 
the water and yeah, see the 

528
00:34:29,500 --> 00:34:33,699
initial Adps. 
And he is currently unlisted 

529
00:34:33,699 --> 00:34:36,699
with no ADP. 
So it's really just you're at 

530
00:34:36,699 --> 00:34:40,060
the mercy of your room. 
You know you're trying to play a

531
00:34:40,060 --> 00:34:42,739
guessing game of when. 
People are going to take him. 

532
00:34:42,739 --> 00:34:44,860
He went too early in both rooms 
in my opinion. 

533
00:34:44,860 --> 00:34:47,780
I think someone grabbed him in 
like the 8th in one of the rooms

534
00:34:47,780 --> 00:34:50,460
and the 10th in the other and I 
starting running back price. 

535
00:34:50,900 --> 00:34:56,260
Yeah I I was good off off that. 
There is a pretty steep running 

536
00:34:56,260 --> 00:34:58,820
back. 
Gets disgusting rather quick 

537
00:34:59,100 --> 00:35:01,980
after like the 12th, 13th round 
in resurrection. 

538
00:35:01,980 --> 00:35:07,020
Just cuz we've a lot of the the 
0RB targets like the thesis. 

539
00:35:07,630 --> 00:35:10,110
Has already played itself out. 
You know, a bunch of them 

540
00:35:10,110 --> 00:35:14,270
already hit and the ones that 
didn't hit they got like super 

541
00:35:14,270 --> 00:35:17,750
mush. 
So right, it's pretty binary on 

542
00:35:17,750 --> 00:35:20,270
those. 
The 0 RB targets, it does kind 

543
00:35:20,270 --> 00:35:24,270
of make it a little harder, you 
know, pushing the that RB pin 

544
00:35:24,430 --> 00:35:27,430
all the way to the end. 
The, the, the, the range of 

545
00:35:27,430 --> 00:35:30,670
uncertainty on lots of 
backfields got a lot thinner. 

546
00:35:31,150 --> 00:35:36,110
Yeah, which makes it. 
Harder 100% Yeah, that, that 

547
00:35:36,110 --> 00:35:40,340
makes sense. 
And then yeah, one one thing on 

548
00:35:40,340 --> 00:35:43,900
on Zach Charbonnay, it does feel
like the coaching staff, they 

549
00:35:43,940 --> 00:35:48,300
really like Kenneth Walker, 
really like Kenneth Walker. 

550
00:35:48,460 --> 00:35:52,700
So the fact that they're playing
Charbonnay, even this much, it's

551
00:35:52,780 --> 00:35:54,900
it's probably a solid sign for 
him. 

552
00:35:55,900 --> 00:36:00,380
Especially if you're playing for
like a contingent value where 

553
00:36:00,820 --> 00:36:04,540
Walker may not, where Walker 
isn't available to like if he's 

554
00:36:04,540 --> 00:36:07,970
injured. 
Yeah, I, yeah, definitely, 

555
00:36:07,970 --> 00:36:09,850
definitely interested in 
Charbonnay because of that 

556
00:36:09,850 --> 00:36:11,330
because they they certainly like
Walker. 

557
00:36:12,850 --> 00:36:17,970
And so let's move on to the 
expected points part of the 

558
00:36:17,970 --> 00:36:21,170
chart. 
And so we've got a on the on the

559
00:36:21,170 --> 00:36:24,570
vertical axis we've got 
receiving expected points and on

560
00:36:24,570 --> 00:36:27,530
the horizontal axis we've got 
rushing expected points. 

561
00:36:27,810 --> 00:36:32,930
And then you can see these sort 
of dotted red lines that sort of

562
00:36:32,930 --> 00:36:36,910
mark the different sections. 
So it starts off as zero to five

563
00:36:36,910 --> 00:36:39,790
expected points, 5 to 1010 to 
1515 to 20. 

564
00:36:40,470 --> 00:36:45,390
And then one thing that we 
should note that it may may have

565
00:36:45,390 --> 00:36:49,830
not been clear last week was 
that we split this up into two 

566
00:36:49,830 --> 00:36:52,670
different charts into an evens 
and odds. 

567
00:36:52,870 --> 00:36:56,510
And that may not seem intuitive,
but the reason for it is, is we 

568
00:36:56,510 --> 00:37:00,510
wanted to make sure that the 
charts are not clustered. 

569
00:37:00,510 --> 00:37:03,660
We want you to be able to see 
the players on the charts and 

570
00:37:03,660 --> 00:37:06,340
then by splitting them out that 
way, that was the best way to 

571
00:37:06,340 --> 00:37:10,980
achieve that. 
Excellent chart explanation. 

572
00:37:11,860 --> 00:37:16,420
Much of the same on this chart 
from the past two weeks. 

573
00:37:17,300 --> 00:37:21,180
Couple couple big differences. 
I mean, Rahim Mostard is going 

574
00:37:21,500 --> 00:37:24,660
way over fantasy points expected
per game now. 

575
00:37:25,620 --> 00:37:28,060
I mean he's he's just been 
absolutely smashing. 

576
00:37:28,060 --> 00:37:31,820
He he managed to break himself 
into that 15 to 20 expected 

577
00:37:31,820 --> 00:37:35,250
fantasy points tier. 
You know, among the likes of 

578
00:37:35,250 --> 00:37:39,010
Christian McCaffrey, Kenneth 
Walker, Alexander Madison. 

579
00:37:39,610 --> 00:37:44,090
So most it is someone that's 
really interesting for his 

580
00:37:44,090 --> 00:37:48,090
immediate term production. 
Although on the next chart we 

581
00:37:48,090 --> 00:37:51,530
will see his backfield mate who 
erupted this week, and we'll 

582
00:37:51,570 --> 00:37:54,130
we'll talk a little bit more 
about the implications that 

583
00:37:54,130 --> 00:38:00,250
backfield as a whole, other 
other things worth pointing out.

584
00:38:03,070 --> 00:38:06,990
I mean there's just that big 
kind of clump of guys in that 10

585
00:38:06,990 --> 00:38:12,030
to 15 fantasy point range where 
they to me, I kind of look at 

586
00:38:12,030 --> 00:38:15,350
that ranges like these are the 
last running backs I'm really 

587
00:38:15,870 --> 00:38:19,630
wanting to target. 
You know, if you look at 

588
00:38:19,630 --> 00:38:23,430
everyone below that, you're 
looking at like Latavius Murray,

589
00:38:23,430 --> 00:38:27,710
Khalil Herbert, Dalvin Cook, Eli
Mitchell, you know, Devin 

590
00:38:27,710 --> 00:38:34,320
Singletary, Deonta Foreman, not.
Not guys I'm super excited 

591
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:37,800
about. 
And so that 10 to 15 band 

592
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:40,960
contains the guys where I'm 
like, let me let me throw a 

593
00:38:40,960 --> 00:38:45,160
bunch of these on my roster, you
know, at good costs. 

594
00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:48,720
There's a couple though that 
we're going to see continue to 

595
00:38:48,720 --> 00:38:50,240
climb. 
Like for example, I wouldn't 

596
00:38:50,240 --> 00:38:52,800
expect DeAndre Swift to hang out
here very long. 

597
00:38:54,480 --> 00:38:57,720
You know, I I think that we'll 
probably see him. 

598
00:38:58,520 --> 00:39:02,040
Get a little more work he he's 
just been so efficient with it 

599
00:39:02,120 --> 00:39:04,960
and the Eagles seem to they're 
they're picking up what he's 

600
00:39:04,960 --> 00:39:07,640
putting down. 
I I think they're pretty happy 

601
00:39:08,000 --> 00:39:10,400
with what he's doing. 
So I wouldn't be surprised to 

602
00:39:10,400 --> 00:39:14,720
see him Crest into that 15 to 20
range and be in there with guys 

603
00:39:14,720 --> 00:39:17,200
like Most or Kenneth Walker 
McCaffrey. 

604
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:22,560
Yeah, that that makes sense. 
And one thing that that this 

605
00:39:22,560 --> 00:39:27,800
chart can be can be useful for 
is that you see yeah Khalil 

606
00:39:27,800 --> 00:39:33,280
Herbert he's getting at 37% of 
the between rush attempts and 

607
00:39:33,280 --> 00:39:39,440
routes and on on other teams 
obviously that's that's that's 

608
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:47,480
not not great and on on other 
teams that would be more usable 

609
00:39:47,960 --> 00:39:51,480
and but you can see here he's 
he's sort of hanging out in the 

610
00:39:51,480 --> 00:39:55,830
in the nine expected points 
range which absolutely you know 

611
00:39:55,830 --> 00:39:58,910
absolutely fine if you're 
getting a cheap Kaloo Herbert. 

612
00:39:59,630 --> 00:40:04,310
But the the kind of potential 
downside case for the Bears 

613
00:40:04,310 --> 00:40:09,110
backfield where the offense 
isn't very good and it split up 

614
00:40:09,110 --> 00:40:12,510
too many different ways and 
definitely, definitely feels 

615
00:40:12,510 --> 00:40:18,710
like it's playing out there. 
But I do think like that's also 

616
00:40:18,910 --> 00:40:22,630
a backfield where if you get an 
injury. 

617
00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:26,680
And it sort of consolidates a 
bit that could be that that 

618
00:40:26,680 --> 00:40:29,160
could get very interesting 
especially if the bears were 

619
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:33,800
were to to turn it around. 
I'm I'm the most interested in 

620
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:38,680
Rochon in that backfield. 
I don't think he's, I don't 

621
00:40:38,680 --> 00:40:42,080
think that Herbert does so much 
more than him as a runner, where

622
00:40:42,560 --> 00:40:46,640
he's gonna, you know, get kept 
off the field because they just 

623
00:40:46,640 --> 00:40:50,040
love Herbert over him and I 
think he adds a lot more in the 

624
00:40:50,040 --> 00:40:53,820
passing game. 
The problem is this Bears team 

625
00:40:53,820 --> 00:40:58,180
is really bad, at least so far. 
They they look like an offense. 

626
00:40:58,180 --> 00:41:01,740
You don't want to touch the 10 
foot pole and Justin Fields 

627
00:41:01,740 --> 00:41:05,580
doesn't look like he can deliver
the ball accurately to anyone so

628
00:41:05,660 --> 00:41:09,100
that they're receiving expected 
points that Roshan is getting. 

629
00:41:09,540 --> 00:41:12,300
I wonder how much we can 
actually expect him to realize 

630
00:41:12,300 --> 00:41:15,060
those, if those are, you know, 
especially if he's getting 

631
00:41:15,060 --> 00:41:16,700
targets that are farther 
downfield. 

632
00:41:18,240 --> 00:41:20,440
You know are they really going 
to be something he can convert 

633
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:23,560
because are they even catchable?
But I am. 

634
00:41:23,560 --> 00:41:26,920
I think as far as the way to 
play this backfield, you want to

635
00:41:26,920 --> 00:41:30,160
play it through Rochon because 
the ceiling is probably the 

636
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:34,320
highest there and you end up 
with that archetype of back 

637
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:36,960
where he should be able to be 
involved regardless of game 

638
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:39,840
script, where Khalil Herbert can
definitely get game scripted 

639
00:41:39,920 --> 00:41:42,960
out. 
So I'm definitely, I prefer 

640
00:41:42,960 --> 00:41:46,750
Rochon to Herbert and I think. 
I believe I would be taking 

641
00:41:46,750 --> 00:41:50,830
Roshon over Herbert right now in
resurrection. 

642
00:41:51,430 --> 00:41:54,350
OK, that said, that sounds very 
fair. 

643
00:41:54,350 --> 00:42:00,870
And I'm guessing that that is a 
large function of you're not 

644
00:42:00,870 --> 00:42:04,270
gonna take Herbert very high 
either, so you're. 

645
00:42:04,670 --> 00:42:08,750
Yeah, you're not gonna take 
either than very high and like I

646
00:42:08,750 --> 00:42:13,940
know the the current ADP is it's
not it's gonna update and but 

647
00:42:13,940 --> 00:42:19,820
current ADP has Herbert 94 like 
obviously way too high and then 

648
00:42:20,500 --> 00:42:23,380
Rochon's hanging around 1:50. 
The way. 

649
00:42:24,260 --> 00:42:29,860
Oh, sorry, go ahead. 
And I'm thinking that you should

650
00:42:29,860 --> 00:42:32,940
probably push Rochon up a good 
amount. 

651
00:42:33,460 --> 00:42:37,700
And so that's in the 150, that's
like the 13 rounds. 

652
00:42:38,380 --> 00:42:42,580
And so probably push them up to 
like I don't know the 12th, 11th

653
00:42:43,150 --> 00:42:46,750
that that's not actually that 
good amount and then and then 

654
00:42:46,750 --> 00:42:51,870
Herbert A just a little bit 
behind them and but I I think I 

655
00:42:51,870 --> 00:42:56,510
I probably would expect drafters
to to take Herbert over Roshan 

656
00:42:56,510 --> 00:43:03,230
which which I hope they do. 
Yeah, yeah, I I was just gonna 

657
00:43:03,230 --> 00:43:08,310
say that I I kind of anticipate 
that that range of the draft 

658
00:43:08,310 --> 00:43:12,870
from like the 12th through 14th 
round has a bunch of. 

659
00:43:13,100 --> 00:43:15,980
People in it right now that 
should move there. 

660
00:43:16,060 --> 00:43:19,420
The Adp's are really inefficient
in that kind of range of the 

661
00:43:19,420 --> 00:43:22,180
draft. 
So I bet you're going to get a 

662
00:43:22,180 --> 00:43:27,620
bunch of these like Herbert, 
Mitchell, Singletary, Dalvin, 

663
00:43:27,620 --> 00:43:31,860
Cook, all these guys. 
You know, I I bet that's where a

664
00:43:31,860 --> 00:43:34,700
bunch of them land, cuz that to 
me that feels like kind of a 

665
00:43:34,700 --> 00:43:38,260
vacuum or an empty space in the 
draft where there's guys in that

666
00:43:38,260 --> 00:43:40,620
range that'll move up a lot and 
there's guys in that range 

667
00:43:40,620 --> 00:43:43,390
that'll move down a lot. 
And I think that's going to be 

668
00:43:43,390 --> 00:43:46,670
just like the empty void where 
all these guys settle. 

669
00:43:46,670 --> 00:43:50,230
That's just my read on it one. 
One that I wanted to bring up. 

670
00:43:50,510 --> 00:43:53,870
If you are drafting 
resurrection, one that's really 

671
00:43:53,870 --> 00:43:58,510
interesting sequon is you know 
allegedly had a high ankle 

672
00:43:58,510 --> 00:44:00,910
sprain. 
But you know the it's the rumor 

673
00:44:00,910 --> 00:44:02,670
mill is like Oh no, he's he's 
fine. 

674
00:44:02,670 --> 00:44:05,790
He's week to week. 
Let's just let's just sprinkle 

675
00:44:05,790 --> 00:44:07,990
little Matt Breeda in there. 
He's going undrafted. 

676
00:44:08,030 --> 00:44:12,390
That's, you know. 
Pre pre NFL season, I wasn't 

677
00:44:12,390 --> 00:44:14,470
very excited about a handcuff in
that backfield. 

678
00:44:14,470 --> 00:44:18,430
But now that we are, we have a 
much higher probability of 

679
00:44:18,430 --> 00:44:21,270
realizing the contingent value 
in that backfield. 

680
00:44:21,950 --> 00:44:23,870
And I don't think Breed is going
to be a world beater or 

681
00:44:23,870 --> 00:44:24,950
anything. 
I don't think. 

682
00:44:24,950 --> 00:44:27,750
I think sake one actually. 
He said that he has a high 

683
00:44:27,750 --> 00:44:31,830
anchor screen. 
OK, but yeah, I'm I'm looking at

684
00:44:31,830 --> 00:44:35,910
like now I have a way higher 
probability of realizing this, 

685
00:44:35,910 --> 00:44:37,990
and so let me just take some 
dark throws. 

686
00:44:38,560 --> 00:44:43,080
On on Breda Gosh, I can't 
remember the name is escaping me

687
00:44:43,080 --> 00:44:46,400
for the other back there that 
got more of the past a little 

688
00:44:46,400 --> 00:44:49,880
more past catching work in their
most recent game. 

689
00:44:51,040 --> 00:44:54,680
I'm drawing a blank as well, and
they're probably. 

690
00:44:54,680 --> 00:44:58,720
Both fine dart throws. 
I I think you prefer Breda 

691
00:44:58,720 --> 00:45:03,480
because he does look to be 
working ahead of whoever is back

692
00:45:03,880 --> 00:45:05,000
bright. 
Well, thank you. 

693
00:45:05,470 --> 00:45:06,510
Thank you. 
Yeah. 

694
00:45:06,510 --> 00:45:10,190
So I'm Breeda over Brightwell. 
But like if you wanted to, if 

695
00:45:10,190 --> 00:45:12,910
you think that the Giants are 
going to get a lot better and 

696
00:45:12,910 --> 00:45:16,070
that offense is the one that you
want to target, I would mix in 

697
00:45:16,070 --> 00:45:19,190
both Breeda and Brightwell. 
Then for someone where you're 

698
00:45:19,190 --> 00:45:22,070
just like I would like an 18th 
round running back that has the 

699
00:45:22,070 --> 00:45:24,790
ability to potentially get work,
I would just be sprinkling 

700
00:45:24,790 --> 00:45:26,630
Breeda. 
I think Brightwell is just more 

701
00:45:26,630 --> 00:45:29,150
if you're like bullish on that 
offense and trying to diversify 

702
00:45:29,150 --> 00:45:33,630
your bets there that that makes 
sense for sure. 

703
00:45:34,230 --> 00:45:39,350
And I think reminder is that a 
really interesting point of that

704
00:45:39,750 --> 00:45:45,070
of this chart where he's at 15 
expected points per game and and

705
00:45:45,150 --> 00:45:48,430
obviously that's like a starting
that's a starting running back 

706
00:45:48,470 --> 00:45:54,750
role and but the efficiency has 
has just not been there and I 

707
00:45:54,790 --> 00:46:00,830
think that's somewhat 
interesting in that running back

708
00:46:00,830 --> 00:46:05,570
efficiency it can be super 
volatile and we have a we do 

709
00:46:05,570 --> 00:46:10,650
have a decent track record that 
Ramondre is good and then you 

710
00:46:10,650 --> 00:46:13,090
you have this thing as well 
where the offense hasn't played 

711
00:46:13,290 --> 00:46:16,250
that well either. 
So maybe that's part of the 

712
00:46:16,250 --> 00:46:20,290
function of the the 
underperformance. 

713
00:46:21,450 --> 00:46:24,250
But not to. 
Oh, good, Go ahead. 

714
00:46:24,290 --> 00:46:28,130
No, no, you go ahead. 
Not to, you know, zoom in to too

715
00:46:28,130 --> 00:46:31,170
small of a sample, but just from
watching the game this week, 

716
00:46:31,490 --> 00:46:35,520
Ramondre didn't look great. 
To me you know I'm I'm not a 

717
00:46:35,520 --> 00:46:37,800
ball knower so take that with a 
grain of salt. 

718
00:46:37,800 --> 00:46:43,000
But he there there was a a play 
where he was wide open and the 

719
00:46:43,120 --> 00:46:45,720
had nothing but green grass 
ahead of him wide open in the 

720
00:46:45,720 --> 00:46:49,400
flat and he gets hit in the 
numbers with the pass and just 

721
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:51,360
just drops it just flat drops 
it. 

722
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:56,000
I know the weather wasn't great 
but it was like dude come on 

723
00:46:56,000 --> 00:46:58,280
that that's like must must 
catch. 

724
00:46:58,280 --> 00:47:01,560
There was another route that he 
ran where. 

725
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:07,360
Just it didn't look like he was.
I I don't know. 

726
00:47:07,360 --> 00:47:10,440
He didn't look like he was ready
for the ball or like, aware that

727
00:47:10,440 --> 00:47:15,200
he was gonna be targeted. 
You think he's like, he's not. 

728
00:47:15,200 --> 00:47:18,280
His head isn't in the game. 
I I don't wanna say that. 

729
00:47:18,520 --> 00:47:26,160
That feels like I know you don't
wanna say that, but I yeah, it's

730
00:47:26,200 --> 00:47:27,600
it's just something. 
I think it's something that's 

731
00:47:27,600 --> 00:47:31,650
like super hard to call. 
I'm just obviously we want to be

732
00:47:31,650 --> 00:47:35,250
on the on the on the watch out 
for him to just play really 

733
00:47:35,250 --> 00:47:40,930
badly all year. 
But like unless we unless we've 

734
00:47:40,930 --> 00:47:44,930
heard something where like he's 
gained weight or like the 

735
00:47:44,930 --> 00:47:49,130
coaches like they don't like 
him, it it does feel like a 

736
00:47:49,850 --> 00:47:53,330
let's say reminder he falls into
like the fifth round or 

737
00:47:53,330 --> 00:47:55,210
something like that or like 
something like that. 

738
00:47:55,930 --> 00:47:58,650
It does seem like a really 
interesting bet to make. 

739
00:48:00,020 --> 00:48:02,660
Yeah, in the 5th it starts to be
interesting. 

740
00:48:02,660 --> 00:48:06,740
I would need to be on the clock,
faced with the other decisions 

741
00:48:06,740 --> 00:48:10,780
there in the 5th because like 
you know, the Swift's ADP right 

742
00:48:10,780 --> 00:48:13,540
now is silly. 
It won't stay, but it's like 80.

743
00:48:14,140 --> 00:48:15,500
You're never taking, right, 
Andre? 

744
00:48:15,500 --> 00:48:18,620
Over Swift, right? 
No. 

745
00:48:18,620 --> 00:48:21,100
Yeah. 
What about mixing? 

746
00:48:23,060 --> 00:48:26,220
So I, I I probably will take 
room, Andre over mixing. 

747
00:48:26,610 --> 00:48:29,010
Yeah, interesting. 
I I think I probably go mixing 

748
00:48:29,010 --> 00:48:32,810
over Ramondre just because 
they're they're giving Zeke a 

749
00:48:32,810 --> 00:48:36,210
lot of opportunity, like a lot, 
like more than he probably 

750
00:48:36,210 --> 00:48:37,850
should get. 
But they're giving him a lot. 

751
00:48:37,890 --> 00:48:41,810
So and mixing is like not 
receiving that that kind of 

752
00:48:41,810 --> 00:48:44,490
competition for touches. 
So for me, I'm just gonna take 

753
00:48:44,490 --> 00:48:47,610
the guy who seems like he's 
gonna carve out a larger piece 

754
00:48:47,610 --> 00:48:51,290
of the pie. 
Yeah, I mean that that that that

755
00:48:51,290 --> 00:48:54,410
sounds totally fair. 
And I am. 

756
00:48:55,450 --> 00:49:01,220
I just have have a block in my 
brain of like but I I just find 

757
00:49:01,220 --> 00:49:03,780
it so hard to believe that they 
will continue to do that with 

758
00:49:03,780 --> 00:49:09,220
Zeke and but that is like when 
when when one running back is 

759
00:49:09,220 --> 00:49:14,060
getting considerably more 
competition for touches and then

760
00:49:14,060 --> 00:49:17,500
maybe it is easier to believe 
the Bengals offense turn around 

761
00:49:17,540 --> 00:49:23,100
I I I I'm a bit more I'm a bit 
skeptical of that and but I I 

762
00:49:23,100 --> 00:49:29,140
totally see that. 
If you have anyone else on this 

763
00:49:29,140 --> 00:49:35,220
chart, go ahead and and yeah 
let's let's let's move on so 

764
00:49:35,220 --> 00:49:38,140
same chart and I assume this is 
this is the odds. 

765
00:49:39,100 --> 00:49:43,620
Yep, and just as we anticipated 
the running backs with the 

766
00:49:43,620 --> 00:49:46,220
highest amount of expected 
fantasy points per week. 

767
00:49:46,300 --> 00:49:49,780
Austin Eckler, Kyrie Williams 
and And Zack Moss Hot on the 

768
00:49:49,780 --> 00:49:52,980
heels. 
Yeah. 

769
00:49:53,100 --> 00:49:58,050
And that super surprising. 
And one thing that that does 

770
00:49:58,050 --> 00:50:03,290
strike me here is that when when
is enough enough? 

771
00:50:03,610 --> 00:50:07,890
With Josh Jacobs, I. 
I was gonna bring up the same 

772
00:50:07,890 --> 00:50:11,330
thing he is. 
He's withering in, you know, 

773
00:50:11,330 --> 00:50:16,810
he's getting the opportunity and
he is withering it's and I I 

774
00:50:16,810 --> 00:50:20,660
don't know. 
This this week could be a get 

775
00:50:20,660 --> 00:50:22,740
right spot gets the Chargers 
right. 

776
00:50:22,740 --> 00:50:25,540
Chargers have not been good 
against the run by you know, 

777
00:50:25,900 --> 00:50:33,660
probably by design as well. 
But I mean, if Josh Jacobs and 

778
00:50:33,660 --> 00:50:36,700
I, I hate when people do that. 
If this guy doesn't produce this

779
00:50:36,700 --> 00:50:39,620
week, he's done like that's 
that's almost really. 

780
00:50:39,940 --> 00:50:43,340
But if Josh Jacobs doesn't 
produce this week against the 

781
00:50:43,340 --> 00:50:45,340
Chargers and gets a similar 
workload? 

782
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:48,400
You've got to start to be 
concerned about the ceiling 

783
00:50:48,400 --> 00:50:53,400
outcomes for him, and I don't 
know exactly what what it is 

784
00:50:53,400 --> 00:50:57,040
that's causing him to be less 
efficient this season. 

785
00:50:58,840 --> 00:51:03,080
But yeah so so far through this 
small sample it hasn't looked 

786
00:51:03,080 --> 00:51:06,160
great. 
Yeah, yeah I, I. 

787
00:51:06,160 --> 00:51:11,120
And then the fact that he he did
have just the one year of of 

788
00:51:11,120 --> 00:51:16,510
excellent or good efficiency and
is definitely yeah, definitely 

789
00:51:16,510 --> 00:51:20,990
concerning. 
And then sometimes when when I 

790
00:51:20,990 --> 00:51:23,430
see a player who's been 
particularly inefficient I I 

791
00:51:23,430 --> 00:51:30,030
like the look of the yardage and
the touchdown stuff So he's on 

792
00:51:30,030 --> 00:51:35,270
the touchdown for for all for 
all three weeks he's he's -14 

793
00:51:35,390 --> 00:51:39,670
expected points are points over 
expected just from touchdowns 

794
00:51:40,550 --> 00:51:44,300
and and so that obviously you 
you have to take that with a 

795
00:51:44,300 --> 00:51:49,140
grain of salt because and that 
that's super volatile and but on

796
00:51:49,140 --> 00:51:54,740
the yardage point he's at he's 
-8 over expected so you're 

797
00:51:54,740 --> 00:52:03,420
talking about let's say 30 or so
202527 and yardage under 

798
00:52:03,420 --> 00:52:07,380
expected and and so like it's 
just like a broad scale 

799
00:52:07,380 --> 00:52:11,100
inefficiency and and and and 
when I'm already a little 

800
00:52:11,100 --> 00:52:16,010
skeptical I I I I I anyway tend 
to be a little bit quicker to 

801
00:52:16,010 --> 00:52:20,130
like yeah you know like this 
feels like very dead zoning. 

802
00:52:21,410 --> 00:52:24,650
Yeah, I I agree. 
He feels very dead zoning to me.

803
00:52:26,290 --> 00:52:29,930
The the man of the week that we 
have to we can't leave this 

804
00:52:29,930 --> 00:52:33,650
chart without talking about is 
Devani chain largest circle on 

805
00:52:33,650 --> 00:52:37,290
the chart just running hotter 
than the sun on fantasy points 

806
00:52:37,290 --> 00:52:42,130
over expectation, you know. 
Breaking off long runs for 

807
00:52:42,130 --> 00:52:46,410
touchdowns, his that short 
touchdown, his first touchdown 

808
00:52:46,410 --> 00:52:50,490
that he got where he was working
through traffic inside. 

809
00:52:50,770 --> 00:52:53,610
They were like around right 
around the 10 when he got it, 

810
00:52:53,930 --> 00:52:55,210
but he's working through 
traffic. 

811
00:52:55,250 --> 00:52:59,210
I I did not think he was scoring
a touchdown on that play. 

812
00:52:59,210 --> 00:53:01,490
To me. 
I was like, OK, he might, he's 

813
00:53:01,490 --> 00:53:04,450
gonna get hit around the five 
and he'll he'll go down right at

814
00:53:04,450 --> 00:53:08,290
the goal line. 
But he just managed to get right

815
00:53:08,290 --> 00:53:10,340
in there, that was. 
That was awesome. 

816
00:53:10,340 --> 00:53:12,140
Oh, maybe that was the 2nd 
touchdown he scored. 

817
00:53:12,140 --> 00:53:14,340
I think the first one was that. 
No look, shovel pass. 

818
00:53:14,340 --> 00:53:16,420
Is that right? 
Or was that a there were so many

819
00:53:16,420 --> 00:53:20,220
touchdowns in that game. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. 4 

820
00:53:20,220 --> 00:53:24,220
touchdowns. 
Hard to keep track of them all 

821
00:53:24,460 --> 00:53:27,980
and I but the point you're 
making is that he he he looks 

822
00:53:27,980 --> 00:53:29,660
fantastic. 
Yeah. 

823
00:53:29,660 --> 00:53:33,900
And and and when a rookie comes 
out in his first kind of like 

824
00:53:34,460 --> 00:53:38,180
big game where there's a big 
role and he looks that good and 

825
00:53:38,180 --> 00:53:43,800
very, very encouraging. 
And so I I've been sort of like 

826
00:53:44,720 --> 00:53:51,120
humming and hawing on a chain. 
So with our with a Chan and with

827
00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:55,400
him looking so good but then on 
the other hand other running 

828
00:53:55,400 --> 00:54:00,800
backs being healthy next week 
Ahmed and Jeff Wilson comes back

829
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:04,120
soon. 
How, how are you balancing that?

830
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:07,960
Do you think like and the 
coaching staff are just gonna be

831
00:54:07,960 --> 00:54:11,600
like, Oh well, this guy is 
clearly fantastic or do you 

832
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:15,120
think they'll be, they'll still 
really like the guys that they 

833
00:54:15,120 --> 00:54:18,040
liked and that might push him a 
bit. 

834
00:54:18,440 --> 00:54:21,000
I'm I'm trying to remember where
I heard this so I properly 

835
00:54:21,000 --> 00:54:24,080
attribute credit, but I believe 
it was on stealing bananas. 

836
00:54:24,080 --> 00:54:29,280
I wanna say that, Gretsch said. 
You know this a Chan is, he's 

837
00:54:29,280 --> 00:54:31,080
out of the bag. 
The cat's out of the bag on it, 

838
00:54:31,120 --> 00:54:32,400
right? 
He takes out of the few. 

839
00:54:33,040 --> 00:54:37,000
Yeah you cannot you can't go 
back and just pretend that you 

840
00:54:37,000 --> 00:54:39,280
didn't see this crazy 
efficiency. 

841
00:54:39,280 --> 00:54:43,360
He he looked looked like 
everything you want as a coach. 

842
00:54:43,360 --> 00:54:49,240
So I I'd be very surprised for 
him to not have maybe his his 

843
00:54:49,240 --> 00:54:53,640
workload isn't as large as it 
was you know this last week 

844
00:54:53,720 --> 00:54:56,440
going forward. 
I'd be pretty surprised, though.

845
00:54:56,440 --> 00:54:58,440
They're going to have trouble 
keeping off the field. 

846
00:54:59,280 --> 00:55:01,400
And then we got a a good 
question. 

847
00:55:01,970 --> 00:55:08,890
In the chat from Aaron here. 
If you had to choose between 1 

848
00:55:08,890 --> 00:55:12,330
running back between a Chan or 
gain well season long, who would

849
00:55:12,330 --> 00:55:14,330
it be? 
I'll let you answer this one 

850
00:55:14,330 --> 00:55:17,490
first Rico. 
Yeah, it's a Chan all all day 

851
00:55:17,490 --> 00:55:21,970
long all day long. 
And obviously they they started 

852
00:55:21,970 --> 00:55:25,090
they started off in at different
places in in week one. 

853
00:55:25,610 --> 00:55:30,650
But if you give me, if you give 
me two running backs who 

854
00:55:30,650 --> 00:55:37,410
honestly have at least for the 
next couple weeks have similar 

855
00:55:37,730 --> 00:55:41,010
expectations for snap 
percentage, but one of them 

856
00:55:41,010 --> 00:55:44,490
looks incredible and then the 
other one is clearly being 

857
00:55:44,490 --> 00:55:48,330
outperformed, I I want the one 
who looks incredible. 

858
00:55:49,330 --> 00:55:53,290
Yeah, yeah, Well, well said. 
It's a it's a windmill slam 

859
00:55:53,290 --> 00:55:56,730
dunk, A chant over game. 
Well, for me, yeah. 

860
00:55:56,890 --> 00:56:03,720
Yeah no no question about it. 
And and then obviously he gets 

861
00:56:03,720 --> 00:56:06,320
he he's he's sort of like his 
ADP. 

862
00:56:07,280 --> 00:56:10,320
Like, I'm I'm just trying to 
think through his ADP now. 

863
00:56:10,600 --> 00:56:14,160
Like he's what you want the 
Gibbs to be, right? 

864
00:56:14,160 --> 00:56:19,640
Jamir Gibbs. 
It I think it's a little early 

865
00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:24,640
to say just because we only have
the one week of the workload 

866
00:56:24,640 --> 00:56:29,840
being what you'd want. 
Because like putting putting him

867
00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:32,200
up to like, Ohh, he's what we 
wanted Gibbs to be. 

868
00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:34,720
I mean what we want. 
I know I'm that that's 

869
00:56:34,720 --> 00:56:36,600
suggesting that he should be in 
the fourth round. 

870
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:41,000
I don't know if I if I if I 
wanna suggest that and, but I'm 

871
00:56:41,000 --> 00:56:43,200
just trying to like frame my 
thinking in terms of like 

872
00:56:43,240 --> 00:56:47,600
upside. 
Yeah, I mean the the upside is 

873
00:56:47,800 --> 00:56:52,240
that he consolidates the 
majority of I I always think 

874
00:56:52,240 --> 00:56:55,920
they're gonna be a multi back 
backfield, but the upside is he 

875
00:56:55,920 --> 00:57:00,250
consolidates the majority of. 
The best offense in the league 

876
00:57:00,290 --> 00:57:04,170
for the eventual Super Bowl 
winning Miami Dolphins and he's 

877
00:57:04,890 --> 00:57:09,170
live for 15 touchdowns. 
You know like, yeah. 

878
00:57:09,850 --> 00:57:12,450
So the upside is, is sky 
freaking high. 

879
00:57:12,490 --> 00:57:16,650
You know the he is it. 
Is it too hot of a take to say 

880
00:57:16,650 --> 00:57:19,050
that the upside is like top five
RB? 

881
00:57:19,690 --> 00:57:24,210
No, I don't think so. 
And like if if if if you're 

882
00:57:24,210 --> 00:57:28,250
saying that if he has like this 
possibility to be like let's say

883
00:57:28,490 --> 00:57:39,010
a 5055% Snapshare guy and he's 
this player who Mike McDaniels. 

884
00:57:39,610 --> 00:57:42,530
He he just can't wait to scheme 
of all these different crazy 

885
00:57:42,530 --> 00:57:45,850
ways to get him in space. 
He runs a four tree and and and 

886
00:57:45,850 --> 00:57:48,370
he's getting all these long 
touch sounds and crazy plays 

887
00:57:49,670 --> 00:57:52,150
like that that that totally 
feels like a possibility. 

888
00:57:53,430 --> 00:57:56,710
Yeah, I mean he he just seems 
like a perfect fit for the 

889
00:57:56,710 --> 00:58:00,150
offense very, very bullish on 
him going forward. 

890
00:58:00,790 --> 00:58:05,750
The other guy who I I feel a 
little more bullish on going 

891
00:58:05,750 --> 00:58:09,310
forward after this week is James
Cook. 

892
00:58:09,310 --> 00:58:12,870
I mean he he's still, you still 
have the goal line carry 

893
00:58:12,870 --> 00:58:16,230
concerns where. 
He's losing goal line work to 

894
00:58:16,230 --> 00:58:21,630
Latavius Murray. 
I I cannot, I refuse to believe 

895
00:58:21,670 --> 00:58:25,430
that by week, by the most 
important weeks, you know, week 

896
00:58:25,590 --> 00:58:29,910
15/16/17, Latavius Murray is 
still getting goal line carries.

897
00:58:29,950 --> 00:58:33,570
There's no way. 
I I refuse to believe 34 year 

898
00:58:33,570 --> 00:58:38,050
old Latavius Murray is stealing 
goal line work in week 17 of the

899
00:58:38,050 --> 00:58:41,410
year of our Lord 2023. 
Does that Am I being do I have 

900
00:58:41,410 --> 00:58:43,730
take lock Am I like Latavius 
Murray? 

901
00:58:43,730 --> 00:58:49,730
Anti take locked or what's going
on here and I mean he he's 

902
00:58:49,770 --> 00:58:53,050
clearly giving us the evidence 
that like hey they like this guy

903
00:58:53,050 --> 00:58:58,690
on the on the goal line and 
they're giving him the work and 

904
00:58:58,690 --> 00:59:03,550
but I think as as like if you're
trying to test the fragility or 

905
00:59:03,550 --> 00:59:06,350
like how did how how can the 
seat how can our new 

906
00:59:06,350 --> 00:59:09,750
expectations be fragile like 
that definitely feels like one 

907
00:59:09,750 --> 00:59:14,470
where yes that him Latavius 
Murray being the goal line back 

908
00:59:14,710 --> 00:59:18,510
for as long as they for the rest
of the year probably it feels 

909
00:59:18,510 --> 00:59:27,470
like probably a decent a decent 
percentage likelihood but it's 

910
00:59:28,230 --> 00:59:31,860
it's also so fragile where 
there's so many things that can 

911
00:59:31,860 --> 00:59:37,580
happen where you can get injured
or he he messes up he he has a 

912
00:59:37,580 --> 00:59:41,420
big fumble and he messes some 
stuff up and then like they 

913
00:59:41,420 --> 00:59:47,900
don't have any attachment to him
and yeah that that's sort of 

914
00:59:47,900 --> 00:59:52,620
like I I'm I'm trying to talk to
you myself and like I I think it

915
00:59:52,700 --> 00:59:59,100
it it probably is like a it's I 
think it's probably a a 5050 

916
00:59:59,100 --> 01:00:01,970
thing and. 
Where? 

917
01:00:03,330 --> 01:00:07,730
Yeah, sorry. 
But I I do think what what is 

918
01:00:07,730 --> 01:00:14,010
interesting is even with a 
Latavius Murray taking goal line

919
01:00:14,010 --> 01:00:19,330
stuff and James Cook, he still 
had like half, half an expected 

920
01:00:19,330 --> 01:00:24,130
touchdown in week two and three.
So, like it's not like he's 

921
01:00:24,130 --> 01:00:27,490
drawn, he's not like he's not 
getting any goal line stuff. 

922
01:00:27,850 --> 01:00:29,730
You just you wish it was a bit 
more. 

923
01:00:30,360 --> 01:00:35,280
Yeah, I and that's I just think 
that he's looked good enough and

924
01:00:35,400 --> 01:00:39,120
if he continues to play well 
then there's a chance of him 

925
01:00:39,120 --> 01:00:41,400
being able to win a little bit 
more of that work. 

926
01:00:41,440 --> 01:00:43,560
I don't think they really want 
him for the Super. 

927
01:00:43,600 --> 01:00:47,760
You know the hey, it's we're, 
you know first and goal on the 

928
01:00:47,760 --> 01:00:50,200
one like are we really putting 
James Cook in there? 

929
01:00:50,200 --> 01:00:52,560
Are we just going to ram it up 
the middle of Latavius? 

930
01:00:53,240 --> 01:00:56,040
But like from the stuff that's 
just a couple yards out, like 3 

931
01:00:56,040 --> 01:00:59,400
yards out, four yards out, five 
yards out, I feel like he's he's

932
01:00:59,520 --> 01:01:03,440
very live to get those 
opportunities, which he he's 

933
01:01:03,440 --> 01:01:06,040
definitely good enough to to 
score. 

934
01:01:06,280 --> 01:01:09,520
If I agree, situations and the 
fact that he's already getting 

935
01:01:09,520 --> 01:01:13,560
something, it makes it much 
easier to believe that like he 

936
01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:15,440
he can just build that up just a
little bit more. 

937
01:01:16,110 --> 01:01:18,390
That's that's one where I'm just
like kind of praying that the 

938
01:01:18,390 --> 01:01:22,430
market overreacts to him not 
getting goal line stuff and he 

939
01:01:22,430 --> 01:01:26,790
he slides back to what his early
ADP looked like. 

940
01:01:27,230 --> 01:01:32,270
But we'll we'll see how the 
market plays that makes sense 

941
01:01:32,270 --> 01:01:40,070
for sure and I think Bruce Hall 
still being back here and 

942
01:01:40,150 --> 01:01:47,130
obviously as they ramp him up 
and as Zach Zach Wilson sort of 

943
01:01:47,130 --> 01:01:51,850
like impairs the offense. 
And I I I'm a little I'm a 

944
01:01:51,850 --> 01:01:56,730
little sad to see him still down
here especially when when you 

945
01:01:56,730 --> 01:02:02,730
know when we saw that what's his
name Jovante is is seems to be 

946
01:02:02,730 --> 01:02:06,410
running a little bit ahead of 
him in terms of expected points.

947
01:02:06,450 --> 01:02:10,370
Oh well, he's right here. 
And so that that is a bit 

948
01:02:10,370 --> 01:02:13,570
disappointing for Breece Hall. 
Are, are, are we? 

949
01:02:14,790 --> 01:02:16,830
Are are we adjusting there or 
or? 

950
01:02:18,430 --> 01:02:21,750
I I think it's still, he's still
not getting the amount of snaps 

951
01:02:21,750 --> 01:02:23,590
that you think that he can get 
to. 

952
01:02:24,270 --> 01:02:27,910
He did see more snaps this week,
believe he's up around 50%. 

953
01:02:28,030 --> 01:02:32,630
I don't have it right in front 
of me, but I would, I would 

954
01:02:32,630 --> 01:02:35,550
anticipate his role to continue 
to grow because Cook has looked 

955
01:02:35,550 --> 01:02:37,270
terrible. 
They don't have anyone else of 

956
01:02:37,270 --> 01:02:40,910
consequence there that is going 
to push him for work. 

957
01:02:41,410 --> 01:02:44,170
So I really just think it's, you
know, Breese and Cook and right 

958
01:02:44,170 --> 01:02:47,450
now Michael Carter's doing the 
Michael Carter is out there when

959
01:02:47,450 --> 01:02:50,450
they're like just a warm body, 
anybody. 

960
01:02:50,490 --> 01:02:52,890
Michael Carter takes the snaps, 
pal. 

961
01:02:53,890 --> 01:02:56,850
So I think Breese can take all 
of, he can win all those snaps 

962
01:02:56,890 --> 01:02:59,530
and he can, he can steal some of
the snaps that Dalvin's getting.

963
01:02:59,530 --> 01:03:03,690
Right now the big, the big 
question for me that defines 

964
01:03:04,010 --> 01:03:08,650
where you take Breese Hall, what
your expectation is for him is 

965
01:03:08,650 --> 01:03:11,720
how many more weeks. 
Does Zach Wilson play 

966
01:03:11,720 --> 01:03:17,760
quarterback for The Jets? 
Yeah, and and and let's say, 

967
01:03:17,800 --> 01:03:20,960
let's say they come out tomorrow
and it looks like they just 

968
01:03:20,960 --> 01:03:24,800
signed that Trevor Simeon. 
If they switch to Trevor Simeon,

969
01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:29,600
how how much does that? 
Like does that impact your your 

970
01:03:29,600 --> 01:03:34,640
outlook for Brees Hall? 
It's probably like situation 

971
01:03:34,640 --> 01:03:37,800
neutralish, You know, I don't, I
don't think it's a huge 

972
01:03:37,800 --> 01:03:39,520
improvement over Zach Wilson, 
but. 

973
01:03:42,060 --> 01:03:45,780
Yeah, I mean the the types of 
moves that would make me 

974
01:03:46,860 --> 01:03:51,260
reassess and say now I'm like, I
think the probability of the 

975
01:03:51,260 --> 01:03:54,740
true bowl case for Breese is 
much more likely to be realized 

976
01:03:54,740 --> 01:04:01,300
would be they trade for Jacoby 
Burset or you know, Ryan 

977
01:04:01,300 --> 01:04:05,740
Fitzpatrick comes out of 
retirement or you know, I mean 

978
01:04:05,900 --> 01:04:09,060
shit even like Joe Flacco. 
What would be enough? 

979
01:04:09,060 --> 01:04:11,500
Where I'm like, all right, 
Breece is back on the menu. 

980
01:04:13,140 --> 01:04:18,580
I I think that he is talented 
enough that it just won't matter

981
01:04:18,580 --> 01:04:22,620
to an extent. 
Like he will always have the 

982
01:04:22,620 --> 01:04:26,900
explosive play in his bag. 
It's just the frequency that he 

983
01:04:26,900 --> 01:04:31,340
can break explosive plays at is.
Lower if the offense is a whole 

984
01:04:31,340 --> 01:04:33,980
like if the only thing you have 
to worry about is Brees, then 

985
01:04:33,980 --> 01:04:37,180
it's much harder to to get those
explosive plays at a higher 

986
01:04:37,180 --> 01:04:39,940
frequency. 
And also he he doesn't get to 

987
01:04:39,940 --> 01:04:43,180
realize as much touchdown equity
if the offense is just bad and 

988
01:04:43,180 --> 01:04:46,180
not moving the ball and and 
sustaining drives and getting 

989
01:04:46,180 --> 01:04:50,820
into the red zone. 
So it's it's pretty important I 

990
01:04:50,820 --> 01:04:55,060
yeah, I'm operating under the 
assumption that. 

991
01:04:55,850 --> 01:04:58,530
The Jets are in to win this 
season. 

992
01:04:58,610 --> 01:05:03,530
I I think they firmly, Whether 
this is based in reality or not,

993
01:05:03,570 --> 01:05:06,170
I think they're gonna delude 
themselves into thinking Aaron 

994
01:05:06,170 --> 01:05:08,810
Rodgers will be able to make it 
back for a playoff run. 

995
01:05:09,210 --> 01:05:13,090
All we have to do is limp into 
the playoffs like we basically 

996
01:05:13,090 --> 01:05:16,650
the the strategy for every 
Breece Hall drafter in best ball

997
01:05:16,650 --> 01:05:18,610
season. 
Like Breece is gonna be at full 

998
01:05:18,610 --> 01:05:20,050
strength in the most important 
weeks. 

999
01:05:20,130 --> 01:05:22,330
All I have to do is limp into 
the playoffs with Breece Hall, 

1000
01:05:22,330 --> 01:05:23,930
right? 
I think The Jets are the same 

1001
01:05:23,930 --> 01:05:29,730
way. 
So I I feel like the odds have 

1002
01:05:29,730 --> 01:05:32,970
to be pretty strong that they 
bring in a quarterback to 

1003
01:05:33,410 --> 01:05:36,450
replace Zach Wilson before too 
long here. 

1004
01:05:38,090 --> 01:05:41,770
Yeah. 
And I see that where like they 

1005
01:05:41,770 --> 01:05:44,770
the the the coaching staff gets 
frustrated enough that they're 

1006
01:05:44,770 --> 01:05:46,730
like, OK, we got it. 
We got it. 

1007
01:05:46,810 --> 01:05:48,970
We got to give some. 
We got to make a trade here or 

1008
01:05:48,970 --> 01:05:54,330
we got to like make a move. 
And I think the other thing 

1009
01:05:54,330 --> 01:05:57,090
that's interesting about Breeze,
because I was just thinking 

1010
01:05:57,090 --> 01:06:01,410
about it while you were talking,
is that he did actually do 

1011
01:06:01,490 --> 01:06:05,450
everything that he did last year
was in a or not everything, but 

1012
01:06:05,570 --> 01:06:08,290
almost everything he did last 
year was in a Zach Wilson 

1013
01:06:08,730 --> 01:06:13,250
operated offense. 
And so if he did get if he got 

1014
01:06:13,290 --> 01:06:17,890
back when when he gets back to 
100% like we can probably use 

1015
01:06:18,570 --> 01:06:23,110
last year's kind of like games 
somewhat of a framework to think

1016
01:06:23,110 --> 01:06:27,830
about it where The Jets they 
want to hide their quarterback 

1017
01:06:29,990 --> 01:06:33,350
maybe maybe less so if it's not 
Zach Wilson but they want to 

1018
01:06:33,350 --> 01:06:36,470
hide their quarterback and how 
do you do that You find creative

1019
01:06:36,470 --> 01:06:41,950
ways to get Reese haldeval and 
and I think that that that's 

1020
01:06:41,950 --> 01:06:45,590
like an important sort of like 
we're not we're not seeing that 

1021
01:06:45,590 --> 01:06:51,190
yet because he is ramping up. 
But I think that's an important 

1022
01:06:51,230 --> 01:06:54,710
part of the the story of like 
when he when he does get close 

1023
01:06:54,710 --> 01:07:01,990
to 100% and they are giving him 
much more work that maybe he can

1024
01:07:01,990 --> 01:07:05,870
just be efficient enough that 
you you get you get something 

1025
01:07:05,870 --> 01:07:09,510
there even with with per 
quarterback play. 

1026
01:07:10,030 --> 01:07:16,350
So I think honestly I'm haven't 
told myself that story. 

1027
01:07:16,350 --> 01:07:20,040
I don't think I'm, I'm moving 
them down all that much just 

1028
01:07:20,040 --> 01:07:24,360
because the first tree like 
let's say the 1st through the 

1029
01:07:24,360 --> 01:07:29,400
1st 3 weeks of the season and 
Chris Hall has been on the field

1030
01:07:29,960 --> 01:07:38,120
at 39% of the time and then in 
Week 3 that was 4049% of the 

1031
01:07:38,120 --> 01:07:40,240
time. 
So he is being he is being 

1032
01:07:40,240 --> 01:07:44,440
ramped back up and it probably 
is is actually pretty close to 

1033
01:07:44,440 --> 01:07:48,600
the trajectory that would have 
been reasonable to believe and 

1034
01:07:48,600 --> 01:07:52,540
before the year. 
And so I think I'm I'm I'm 

1035
01:07:52,540 --> 01:07:55,780
starting to feel like you know, 
I I, I when I first saw him on 

1036
01:07:55,780 --> 01:07:59,100
the chart here I was kind of 
discouraged but thinking true 

1037
01:07:59,100 --> 01:08:02,660
it. 
I think you I I'm actually not 

1038
01:08:02,660 --> 01:08:04,340
moving. 
I'm not moving that much. 

1039
01:08:05,340 --> 01:08:08,260
No, yeah, it's to me, it's Bree,
solid business as usual. 

1040
01:08:08,260 --> 01:08:12,220
We still, you know, we're still 
hoping for it to play out in in 

1041
01:08:12,220 --> 01:08:13,660
the way that we think that it 
can. 

1042
01:08:14,210 --> 01:08:18,890
The the biggest concern for me, 
if it is a Zach Wilson offense 

1043
01:08:18,890 --> 01:08:22,410
the whole season is it's going 
to be much harder to realize his

1044
01:08:22,410 --> 01:08:26,890
upside in the receiving game 
because he is he's an elite 

1045
01:08:27,010 --> 01:08:29,090
receiver. 
You know, like he's up there 

1046
01:08:29,090 --> 01:08:32,890
with Christian McCaffrey as far 
as how good he is in the passing

1047
01:08:32,890 --> 01:08:35,970
game. 
And so if you have like, Oh my 

1048
01:08:35,970 --> 01:08:38,170
God, I'm just, I'm so sad to 
not. 

1049
01:08:38,740 --> 01:08:40,859
See Aaron Rodgers. 
Get to use him in the passing 

1050
01:08:40,859 --> 01:08:42,620
game? 
Cuz that to me felt like such a 

1051
01:08:42,620 --> 01:08:45,020
good match. 
Like the the type of quarterback

1052
01:08:45,020 --> 01:08:49,460
that would be able to truly take
advantage of his running back 

1053
01:08:49,460 --> 01:08:52,859
having that type of skill set. 
Oh, it's such a bummer. 

1054
01:08:52,859 --> 01:08:54,979
All right, we need to move to 
the next chart before I get too 

1055
01:08:54,979 --> 01:08:59,220
sad here. 
And one thing, one thing just 

1056
01:08:59,220 --> 01:09:01,220
cuz I do wanna make sure we're 
taking questions. 

1057
01:09:01,460 --> 01:09:03,779
And Penny, Where would you take 
Penny? 

1058
01:09:04,340 --> 01:09:07,380
And so where do you take the 
Ford string running back? 

1059
01:09:07,779 --> 01:09:12,300
Yeah, same. 
Place I take Boston Scott, yeah,

1060
01:09:12,380 --> 01:09:16,220
and feels really bad. 
Much regret. 

1061
01:09:16,979 --> 01:09:22,180
But yeah, he's an 18th round 
dark Tro if you so wish. 

1062
01:09:22,660 --> 01:09:26,660
Yeah. 
So, yeah, let's move on. 

1063
01:09:28,149 --> 01:09:29,830
And so we're on to the tight end
chart. 

1064
01:09:29,990 --> 01:09:35,430
And so this is the chart part is
what we're really focusing on is

1065
01:09:35,430 --> 01:09:39,109
the root percentage and that's 
that green color. 

1066
01:09:39,630 --> 01:09:43,910
And then just because we want to
see how often they're still on 

1067
01:09:43,910 --> 01:09:48,189
the field for passing place, we 
have pass blocking there in that

1068
01:09:48,189 --> 01:09:53,689
kind of salmon pink color. 
And and then obviously you want 

1069
01:09:53,689 --> 01:09:55,810
that, you want, you don't want 
them just running roots, you 

1070
01:09:55,810 --> 01:09:57,490
want them going to have blue 
target as well. 

1071
01:09:57,690 --> 01:10:01,210
So we've got targets per run 
here, and then you want targets 

1072
01:10:01,210 --> 01:10:05,170
down the field, so we've got a, 
we've got a dot here as well. 

1073
01:10:07,690 --> 01:10:12,690
Yeah the we can we can have a 
funeral for our our boy Smythe 

1074
01:10:12,850 --> 01:10:17,810
this week because this was the 
the week where if you're going 

1075
01:10:17,810 --> 01:10:19,900
to. 
Again, not to not to do that 

1076
01:10:19,900 --> 01:10:21,820
thing where it's like, oh, he 
didn't produce this week. 

1077
01:10:21,820 --> 01:10:25,460
He's totally buried. 
But like he's not he's not 

1078
01:10:25,460 --> 01:10:29,700
anyone that I want to like play 
in season long or like he the 

1079
01:10:29,700 --> 01:10:33,460
only time I'm throwing Smythe 
out there is in like DFS when 

1080
01:10:33,460 --> 01:10:37,060
he's Stoneman and I'm 
correlating him with to you 

1081
01:10:37,060 --> 01:10:41,380
know, I'm not yeah. 
Not super excited to take him in

1082
01:10:41,860 --> 01:10:48,690
resurrection drafts, but man. 
You know who I am super excited 

1083
01:10:48,690 --> 01:10:52,010
to take? 
Who I Unfortunate I was greedy 

1084
01:10:52,010 --> 01:10:55,450
today in my 2 drafts that I did 
and I tried to push him just one

1085
01:10:55,450 --> 01:10:58,610
of the sorry on smite and before
sorry to interrupt. 

1086
01:10:58,890 --> 01:11:02,210
Yeah. 
He had just a 25% route share in

1087
01:11:02,570 --> 01:11:05,370
in, in we treat. 
Yeah, sorry, I didn't clarify 

1088
01:11:05,370 --> 01:11:10,450
there why we were burying him. 
And so we were super happy when 

1089
01:11:10,450 --> 01:11:14,200
he was at the top of this chart.
And his talent is not something 

1090
01:11:14,200 --> 01:11:17,560
that we're particularly excited 
about, but like a tight end 

1091
01:11:17,560 --> 01:11:20,800
who's running every route and 
very excited. 

1092
01:11:21,160 --> 01:11:24,720
But if he's being dropped, 
unless there's some injury that 

1093
01:11:24,720 --> 01:11:30,400
we don't know about like that, 
just completely unplayable. 

1094
01:11:30,840 --> 01:11:35,150
And I'm a bit hesitant to cut 
just because maybe there's an 

1095
01:11:35,150 --> 01:11:38,510
injury announcement and he's 
fine or something like that, but

1096
01:11:38,990 --> 01:11:42,030
very, very close to to cotable 
as well, I think. 

1097
01:11:43,030 --> 01:11:45,070
Yeah, I would. 
I would agree with you there. 

1098
01:11:45,990 --> 01:11:47,990
Yeah, not not super excited 
about him. 

1099
01:11:48,030 --> 01:11:50,910
Who I was getting to, that I am 
super excited about though is 

1100
01:11:50,910 --> 01:11:56,710
Samuel Porta who looks to be. 
I mean, I don't even think it's 

1101
01:11:56,710 --> 01:11:59,830
a hot take to say Samuel Porta 
is live for tight end One this 

1102
01:11:59,830 --> 01:12:02,180
season. 
I know that probably sounds like

1103
01:12:02,180 --> 01:12:05,460
a hot take, but like Literal, 
the highest scoring tight end 

1104
01:12:05,540 --> 01:12:08,300
overall in the season is in his 
range of outcomes. 

1105
01:12:09,020 --> 01:12:11,620
He's not the favorite for it, 
you know I'd I'd still take 

1106
01:12:11,620 --> 01:12:16,860
Kelsey over him for that, but 
squarely, squarely in his range.

1107
01:12:16,860 --> 01:12:19,140
He looks awesome. 
He's a rookie. 

1108
01:12:19,140 --> 01:12:24,180
He's extremely highly involved. 
His 27% targets for route run, 

1109
01:12:24,380 --> 01:12:27,300
his a dot has been increasing 
week over week. 

1110
01:12:27,900 --> 01:12:30,910
So. 
That's like all systems are go 

1111
01:12:30,910 --> 01:12:32,470
get on the LA Porter rocket 
ship. 

1112
01:12:32,510 --> 01:12:37,870
His ADP is gonna get crazy. 
He should in resurrection 

1113
01:12:37,870 --> 01:12:41,270
drafts. 
He probably should be like, this

1114
01:12:41,270 --> 01:12:43,590
is gonna sound nuts. 
He should be like in the fifth 

1115
01:12:43,590 --> 01:12:46,150
round or the fourth round, Yeah,
I agree. 

1116
01:12:46,590 --> 01:12:51,390
And he is like he's he's an 
elite tight end for Fantasy. 

1117
01:12:51,590 --> 01:12:55,510
He's got an elite tight end role
and clearly has good talent too,

1118
01:12:55,990 --> 01:13:04,340
so wheels up. 
And I, I I mean you, you almost 

1119
01:13:04,340 --> 01:13:07,780
wanna like. 
Just close your eyes, squint and

1120
01:13:07,780 --> 01:13:09,180
call him man. 
TJ Hawkinson. 

1121
01:13:09,740 --> 01:13:14,860
I I was gonna say my when I was 
drafting today, I got to the 

1122
01:13:14,860 --> 01:13:16,700
point of the draft where I 
would. 

1123
01:13:16,740 --> 01:13:21,020
I thought TJ Hawkinson was a 
good player to consider. 

1124
01:13:21,020 --> 01:13:22,380
There were a couple running 
backs on the board. 

1125
01:13:22,380 --> 01:13:26,180
I liked there as well and 
LaPorte is Adps way later. 

1126
01:13:26,180 --> 01:13:29,950
But I was like. 
I think I should technically, if

1127
01:13:29,950 --> 01:13:33,190
I was just drafting purely off 
rank and not not caring about 

1128
01:13:33,190 --> 01:13:36,310
when the market was going to 
take a guy, I should take la 

1129
01:13:36,310 --> 01:13:41,190
Porta here over everyone else 
that I'm considering and I I 

1130
01:13:41,310 --> 01:13:43,830
waited and try to push it and 
got greedy and didn't end up 

1131
01:13:43,830 --> 01:13:47,630
getting him. 
But I I think he goes, I think 

1132
01:13:47,630 --> 01:13:51,350
he goes before Hawkinson in my 
like right before Hawkinson, 

1133
01:13:52,270 --> 01:13:58,090
that is that is super 
interesting And so like that's 

1134
01:13:58,090 --> 01:14:02,090
basically, yeah, yeah, it's sort
of like what are, what is 

1135
01:14:02,090 --> 01:14:04,450
efficient, what would would 
efficient ADP be. 

1136
01:14:05,130 --> 01:14:08,130
Yeah, So what should we project?
Project ADP? 

1137
01:14:08,130 --> 01:14:13,010
The finish app by the time the 
contest closes and. 

1138
01:14:13,410 --> 01:14:19,650
Yeah, I would say in the range 
he could finish as early as the 

1139
01:14:19,650 --> 01:14:21,930
end of round three, the 3-4 
turn. 

1140
01:14:22,440 --> 01:14:26,080
That's yeah, that happens when 
he continues to have crazy games

1141
01:14:26,080 --> 01:14:28,000
and he's just cooking and he 
looks great. 

1142
01:14:29,240 --> 01:14:32,000
I so clear priority, target and 
yeah. 

1143
01:14:32,960 --> 01:14:36,960
In the early going in a in 
resurrection. 100% Get it. 

1144
01:14:36,960 --> 01:14:39,080
Get absolutely as much Laporta 
as you can. 

1145
01:14:39,080 --> 01:14:44,480
Like I I think that if you have 
100% Laporta for a while that's 

1146
01:14:44,720 --> 01:14:54,880
you're playing optimally. 
Very very fair and and then I 

1147
01:14:54,880 --> 01:14:57,120
see. 
I see every year around this 

1148
01:14:57,120 --> 01:15:03,480
time I see a post about how 
gross tight end is they show us 

1149
01:15:03,880 --> 01:15:08,160
hey this guy cut tree touchdowns
Donald Purham and he's tight end

1150
01:15:08,160 --> 01:15:13,720
6. 
And so it is that that is sort 

1151
01:15:13,720 --> 01:15:17,780
of like important context I 
think to think true and some of 

1152
01:15:17,780 --> 01:15:22,420
these guys where you're just 
looking for roots and you're 

1153
01:15:22,420 --> 01:15:31,100
hoping that they can get a 
decent target share, but I'm 

1154
01:15:31,100 --> 01:15:35,380
not, I'm not this is sort of 
settling other than the early 

1155
01:15:35,380 --> 01:15:39,580
surprises that we got this is 
sort of settling sort of what we

1156
01:15:39,580 --> 01:15:43,470
expected. 
The only one that I'm still then

1157
01:15:43,470 --> 01:15:46,390
still a bit surprised that I'm 
still a bit surprised to see 

1158
01:15:46,390 --> 01:15:51,790
Darren Waller down down so low 
here where he does have 21% 

1159
01:15:51,790 --> 01:15:58,030
target per run, but at that like
65 Ish, Dawson, Knox, Juwan, 

1160
01:15:58,030 --> 01:16:01,790
Johnson route share, I think 
that that that's obviously a 

1161
01:16:01,790 --> 01:16:04,670
clear disappointment. 
Yeah, I think it's just you've 

1162
01:16:04,670 --> 01:16:07,430
got he's old, you know and so 
they're they're trying to limit 

1163
01:16:07,430 --> 01:16:12,790
his reps that might. 
To me, I'm like starting to be a

1164
01:16:12,790 --> 01:16:17,470
little bit more excited about 
getting some Darren Waller on my

1165
01:16:17,470 --> 01:16:20,950
teams and it's not because I 
like you're correct in your 

1166
01:16:21,150 --> 01:16:24,190
assessment that like man, this 
is not exciting. 

1167
01:16:24,190 --> 01:16:28,550
We wanted more from this, but I 
think that the market probably 

1168
01:16:28,670 --> 01:16:32,440
over corrects on this. 
And this seems like the kind of 

1169
01:16:32,440 --> 01:16:35,520
player where, like he's pretty 
clearly the preferred target for

1170
01:16:35,520 --> 01:16:38,000
Daniel Jones. 
If that offense has good games, 

1171
01:16:38,000 --> 01:16:41,480
I can really see him earning a 
lot of targets. 

1172
01:16:41,600 --> 01:16:45,000
And I'm really, I'm just wanting
him for cheap is I I want him 

1173
01:16:45,000 --> 01:16:46,560
for cheap. 
If he's going expensive, still 

1174
01:16:46,560 --> 01:16:49,280
like I'm fully, fully out, but 
right? 

1175
01:16:49,640 --> 01:16:52,000
I could see him falling and then
I'm gonna end up with some 

1176
01:16:52,000 --> 01:16:55,720
Darren Waller that that makes 
sense. 

1177
01:16:55,720 --> 01:17:00,370
And so I guess that the natural 
question then is where are you 

1178
01:17:00,450 --> 01:17:02,130
at? 
Where where's the point where 

1179
01:17:02,130 --> 01:17:05,890
you're like, OK, I I think I 
have to take down while here. 

1180
01:17:06,570 --> 01:17:13,890
The there's right now the ADP is
so murky with with the market. 

1181
01:17:15,170 --> 01:17:20,650
The way it feels to me is there 
should be a big old chunk of 

1182
01:17:20,690 --> 01:17:25,170
wide receivers that are going to
move up from that like eighth 

1183
01:17:25,170 --> 01:17:27,650
round range into like the 
seventh round. 

1184
01:17:28,440 --> 01:17:32,080
And I think that eighth round is
gonna end up like, like right 

1185
01:17:32,080 --> 01:17:34,240
around 8th, 9th. 
And I've only done 2 drafts, so 

1186
01:17:34,240 --> 01:17:35,760
like, don't don't hold me to 
this. 

1187
01:17:35,760 --> 01:17:38,120
These might be some bad takes. 
I think like the eighth and 

1188
01:17:38,120 --> 01:17:41,800
ninth round is gonna end up 
being kind of like another one 

1189
01:17:41,800 --> 01:17:45,120
of those vacuums that I 
mentioned where like, it's 

1190
01:17:45,120 --> 01:17:48,640
devoid of players that people 
actually think belong there and 

1191
01:17:48,640 --> 01:17:50,880
it's gonna clear out and leave 
room for guys. 

1192
01:17:51,590 --> 01:17:54,550
And so you'll you'll end up with
guys that fall there, whether or

1193
01:17:54,550 --> 01:17:57,470
not their ADP belongs there 
efficiently. 

1194
01:17:57,470 --> 01:18:00,630
It's just like there's there's a
void here and we have to draft 

1195
01:18:00,630 --> 01:18:03,230
someone here. 
And so I think that Waller will 

1196
01:18:03,230 --> 01:18:06,590
go there. 
Most likely if I if I were going

1197
01:18:06,590 --> 01:18:09,710
to pull out my crystal ball and 
tell you exactly what his ADP 

1198
01:18:09,710 --> 01:18:12,990
does over this tournament, it 
will fall a little bit at the 

1199
01:18:12,990 --> 01:18:14,710
beginning. 
Especially if he has another 

1200
01:18:14,710 --> 01:18:18,070
poor production game, it will 
fall, you know, even further 

1201
01:18:18,070 --> 01:18:23,520
into like the you know. 
Early mid like hundred 10120, I 

1202
01:18:23,520 --> 01:18:26,040
could see him even going in like
the one 30s if he has a really 

1203
01:18:26,040 --> 01:18:30,240
bad game and then I bet you he 
climbs back up and settles 

1204
01:18:30,280 --> 01:18:35,280
around like the low 90s or so 
that's that's kind of what I see

1205
01:18:35,840 --> 01:18:38,840
sounds like. 
Would you take would you take 

1206
01:18:38,840 --> 01:18:45,960
Waller over pits called pits? 
Damn, that that hurts. 

1207
01:18:45,960 --> 01:18:50,620
Yeah, probably. 
Yeah, that's such a sad. 

1208
01:18:50,620 --> 01:18:53,820
Yeah. 
What about Evan Ingram? 

1209
01:18:59,740 --> 01:19:04,460
I probably I probably take 
Waller over Evan Ingram. 

1210
01:19:05,100 --> 01:19:08,420
That's another I think. 
I think it's it's pick your 

1211
01:19:08,420 --> 01:19:11,340
poison on Pitts Waller. 
Evan Ingram. 

1212
01:19:11,460 --> 01:19:15,180
I think it's that one's honestly
just like a probably just let 

1213
01:19:15,220 --> 01:19:20,620
let the correlations be true. 
So you think those tree are in 

1214
01:19:20,620 --> 01:19:22,980
the same tier basically? 
Yeah, I think they're right 

1215
01:19:22,980 --> 01:19:25,060
around each other. 
Does that does that sound too 

1216
01:19:25,060 --> 01:19:29,580
crazy to you? 
And no I think that that found 

1217
01:19:29,780 --> 01:19:36,260
that sounds pretty fair and 
where they all have like pretty 

1218
01:19:36,620 --> 01:19:40,940
significant downside risk and 
like we already noted their 

1219
01:19:40,940 --> 01:19:45,220
concern with Evan 8 with the 
Trevor Lawrence and the 

1220
01:19:45,220 --> 01:19:52,290
Jacksonville offense called pits
everybody's like keenly aware of

1221
01:19:52,290 --> 01:19:57,130
the of the downside risks there 
and then and then Darren Waller 

1222
01:19:57,130 --> 01:20:00,370
he has the he has the the kind 
of like soft tissue injuries 

1223
01:20:00,690 --> 01:20:05,970
giants aren't very good and but 
is Darren Waller I think I think

1224
01:20:05,970 --> 01:20:12,210
I'd still prefer call pits out 
of that bunch and but totally I 

1225
01:20:12,210 --> 01:20:14,570
think that that's totally 
reasonable and and sort of 

1226
01:20:14,570 --> 01:20:18,700
rational and. 
Way to to look at it. 

1227
01:20:19,300 --> 01:20:22,060
With a player like Kyle Pitts, 
who's burned so much of the 

1228
01:20:22,060 --> 01:20:26,460
market so vividly and and he's 
starting to do it again, you 

1229
01:20:26,460 --> 01:20:29,140
know, it's not like you haven't 
gotten a good game from him yet.

1230
01:20:29,940 --> 01:20:32,660
To me, that's the kind of player
where you try to play really 

1231
01:20:32,660 --> 01:20:37,060
exploitative on it. 
And I think that's a player 

1232
01:20:37,060 --> 01:20:40,420
where you often push it. 
You just you you need to, if 

1233
01:20:40,420 --> 01:20:42,860
you're going to draft a lot of 
resurrection or draft a lot of 

1234
01:20:42,860 --> 01:20:45,340
these, you know, DraftKings 
tournaments where they they were

1235
01:20:45,340 --> 01:20:49,040
a lot of new one every week. 
I think you need to get a sense 

1236
01:20:49,040 --> 01:20:52,240
over a couple drafts of how late
you can push Kyle Pitts. 

1237
01:20:53,520 --> 01:20:56,640
And then this would be more if 
you're taking like a volume 

1238
01:20:56,640 --> 01:20:58,600
approach. 
And then once you kind of know, 

1239
01:20:58,600 --> 01:21:01,440
like, he doesn't usually make it
past 130. 

1240
01:21:01,440 --> 01:21:04,040
Like I've seen him go to 1:30, 
but he doesn't usually make it 

1241
01:21:04,040 --> 01:21:07,680
past 1:30, then you start 
nailing it right around that 

1242
01:21:07,680 --> 01:21:10,600
rail. 
Like OK, if he's ever passed 125

1243
01:21:10,680 --> 01:21:13,320
I go crazy here and I just click
him every time. 

1244
01:21:14,000 --> 01:21:15,960
Yeah. 
I I was saying for myself where 

1245
01:21:15,960 --> 01:21:18,720
just let sliders slide let him 
slide. 

1246
01:21:19,240 --> 01:21:20,960
Don't don't be don't be the 
hero. 

1247
01:21:21,520 --> 01:21:25,560
Let him slide and and and and 
let the let the room hand you 

1248
01:21:25,640 --> 01:21:29,520
the value don't don't get in the
way which just sounds sounds 

1249
01:21:29,520 --> 01:21:31,320
like pretty much what you're 
advocating. 

1250
01:21:31,320 --> 01:21:39,120
So yeah just just to wrap up 
this chart here I I I don't see 

1251
01:21:39,120 --> 01:21:44,550
anything super surprising here 
and we we have some sort of 

1252
01:21:44,750 --> 01:21:51,870
Colin and grandson John Smith 
and Julian Hill Hayden Hurst 

1253
01:21:52,310 --> 01:21:56,190
like there there there's there's
some players here where they're 

1254
01:21:57,230 --> 01:22:02,990
they're playing snaps they're 
getting some roots but not a I I

1255
01:22:02,990 --> 01:22:09,830
guess not super excited to play 
like it's a it's tight end 

1256
01:22:09,830 --> 01:22:12,070
remains pretty gross. 
Yeah. 

1257
01:22:12,760 --> 01:22:16,000
Ohh, just as a this. 
This won't reflect super clearly

1258
01:22:16,000 --> 01:22:17,960
on this chart since it's all 
three weeks combined. 

1259
01:22:18,280 --> 01:22:21,680
But Zacherts finally had like a 
normal week where you have like 

1260
01:22:21,680 --> 01:22:25,240
2 targets instead of his usual 
like double digit targets. 

1261
01:22:25,240 --> 01:22:29,600
So that that is looking like 
don't worry, Zacherts isn't 

1262
01:22:29,600 --> 01:22:32,400
going to bury you with double 
digit targets every single week.

1263
01:22:33,680 --> 01:22:36,480
I can finally breathe a sigh of 
relief. 

1264
01:22:38,040 --> 01:22:43,360
And you only had a you only had 
64% route share in in that wheat

1265
01:22:43,360 --> 01:22:45,600
tree as well, which is a bit 
interesting too. 

1266
01:22:45,720 --> 01:22:46,600
Didn't. 
Didn't need him. 

1267
01:22:46,600 --> 01:22:51,280
They're kicking the shit out of 
the Cowboys didn't need Zach 

1268
01:22:51,280 --> 01:22:58,680
Arts and neither do I. 
And so just gonna, I don't think

1269
01:22:58,680 --> 01:23:02,080
that there's that there's 
anything particularly new on the

1270
01:23:02,080 --> 01:23:05,080
on the tight end chart. 
Is there, is there any that you 

1271
01:23:05,080 --> 01:23:09,200
wanted to touch on here? 
Ferguson got more targets this 

1272
01:23:09,200 --> 01:23:11,360
week. 
Even I think he. 

1273
01:23:11,800 --> 01:23:14,400
I want to say that his route 
share went up just a tiny bit 

1274
01:23:14,400 --> 01:23:18,960
this week. 
He's the only one on this whole 

1275
01:23:18,960 --> 01:23:21,840
chart that like, looks 
interesting, right? 

1276
01:23:21,840 --> 01:23:24,760
He's got 27% targets per route 
run hit. 

1277
01:23:25,040 --> 01:23:27,200
Most of these guys you're not 
going to consider because 

1278
01:23:27,200 --> 01:23:30,440
there's not on the field enough.
But that's the only one where 

1279
01:23:30,440 --> 01:23:32,120
I'm like, that's a little 
interesting. 

1280
01:23:32,160 --> 01:23:33,280
Oh, you know what? 
I lied. 

1281
01:23:33,280 --> 01:23:34,920
There's one more. 
It's Cole Turner. 

1282
01:23:35,200 --> 01:23:39,160
He's down near the bottom 
because Logan Thomas was healthy

1283
01:23:39,160 --> 01:23:41,160
for the first couple weeks. 
But. 

1284
01:23:41,660 --> 01:23:44,860
I was drafting quite a bit of 
Cole Turner near the end of 

1285
01:23:44,860 --> 01:23:48,540
draft season because I already 
had a ton of Logan Thomas and I 

1286
01:23:48,540 --> 01:23:52,020
I just wasn't so certain that 
Logan Thomas would stay healthy 

1287
01:23:52,020 --> 01:23:56,420
for the whole season. 
And this is, this is one of 

1288
01:23:56,420 --> 01:23:59,940
those things where it's just 
like how how is it going to play

1289
01:23:59,940 --> 01:24:02,660
out to be this simple? 
Like how was it this obvious? 

1290
01:24:02,660 --> 01:24:07,620
But there were, there was the 
rumblings in the offseason that 

1291
01:24:07,700 --> 01:24:09,940
Washington is going to run, you 
know. 

1292
01:24:10,490 --> 01:24:12,610
The tight ends going to get the 
Travis Kelsey role. 

1293
01:24:12,930 --> 01:24:15,010
The Travis Kelsey role, It's 
Eric Bienni. 

1294
01:24:15,130 --> 01:24:18,010
He only knows how to use the 
tight end as an elite role. 

1295
01:24:18,490 --> 01:24:21,490
And I was like, I dismissed it a
little bit, but I still liked 

1296
01:24:21,490 --> 01:24:24,010
the tight ends there because 
they were free and I liked Sam 

1297
01:24:24,010 --> 01:24:28,010
Howell. 
But I kind of think the tight 

1298
01:24:28,010 --> 01:24:30,770
end role is pretty valuable on 
the offense. 

1299
01:24:30,770 --> 01:24:35,730
So that's that's your 18th round
dark throw, Cole Turner. 

1300
01:24:35,730 --> 01:24:38,120
And then you know. 
On the previous chart, Hunter 

1301
01:24:38,120 --> 01:24:40,080
Henry's still going too cheap in
resurrection. 

1302
01:24:40,080 --> 01:24:43,040
I'm sure he'll climb but on this
what's interesting about Cole 

1303
01:24:43,040 --> 01:24:47,880
Turner is so he did get he got 
11 targets in 91 area yards but 

1304
01:24:47,880 --> 01:24:54,360
he's still only run at 56% root 
share so he was 29% them and 

1305
01:24:54,360 --> 01:24:58,320
this is weak tree and and weak 
tree even with Logan Thomas out 

1306
01:24:58,760 --> 01:25:04,760
and so he's 29% targets per run 
and so that does tell me that 

1307
01:25:04,760 --> 01:25:08,720
not only like obviously he he 
did even in that case he didn't 

1308
01:25:08,720 --> 01:25:14,160
consolidate to a true degree the
the the Reds that tight end but 

1309
01:25:15,200 --> 01:25:20,280
it is a it's a it's clearly a 
heavily targeted role in that 

1310
01:25:20,280 --> 01:25:25,800
offense so very like very very 
interested in tight end in in 

1311
01:25:25,800 --> 01:25:27,360
Washington. 
Yeah. 

1312
01:25:28,920 --> 01:25:34,650
So now we move to the wide 
receiver part of the chart, and 

1313
01:25:34,930 --> 01:25:37,650
we have to acknowledge that 
Devonte Adams is him. 

1314
01:25:38,530 --> 01:25:43,610
Yeah, Devonte Adams. 
I mean, undraftable, right? 

1315
01:25:43,610 --> 01:25:47,010
Like the Raiders are going to be
so bad and he can't, you know, 

1316
01:25:47,130 --> 01:25:50,450
he'll never be able to produce. 
Just kidding. 

1317
01:25:50,450 --> 01:25:54,210
Devonte Adams is among the best 
receivers in the league. 

1318
01:25:54,290 --> 01:25:56,810
You know, the guys who are 
better than him, you can count 

1319
01:25:56,810 --> 01:26:00,170
on one hand like he's, he's 
elite, elite. 

1320
01:26:00,170 --> 01:26:02,810
I mean, this feels like a silly,
like there's. 

1321
01:26:03,220 --> 01:26:05,820
I don't even know why we're 
wasting time comparing the two, 

1322
01:26:05,820 --> 01:26:10,540
but like, the only guy that does
stuff that Devante Adams does, 

1323
01:26:10,540 --> 01:26:14,020
Like Devante Adams does some 
Justin Jefferson looking stuff 

1324
01:26:14,020 --> 01:26:17,140
and Justin Jefferson does some 
Devante Adams looking stuff like

1325
01:26:17,580 --> 01:26:19,380
that. 
That play where Devante just 

1326
01:26:19,380 --> 01:26:23,180
like elevated and went up over 
the defender and like came down 

1327
01:26:23,180 --> 01:26:25,540
on his back. 
It's like I've seen a guy do 

1328
01:26:25,540 --> 01:26:27,380
that and his name is Justin 
Jefferson. 

1329
01:26:27,380 --> 01:26:31,020
Like, of course, Devante's been 
doing this a long time. 

1330
01:26:32,560 --> 01:26:35,200
But man those those are some 
elite receivers. 

1331
01:26:37,280 --> 01:26:42,040
I mean Keenan Allen also like 
Keenan Allen just showing that 

1332
01:26:42,200 --> 01:26:45,520
he can answer the call man when 
when there is no one else that 

1333
01:26:45,520 --> 01:26:49,880
they want to throw the ball to. 
Keenan says give me all of it 

1334
01:26:51,440 --> 01:26:56,200
and I I think that I think we 
this this may be the year of 

1335
01:26:56,200 --> 01:26:59,040
Keenan Allen just with the way 
that things seem to be playing 

1336
01:26:59,040 --> 01:27:01,560
out for this charges offense 
with the Mike Williams injury 

1337
01:27:01,600 --> 01:27:03,670
and. 
I wouldn't be surprised to see 

1338
01:27:03,670 --> 01:27:07,230
Eckler just be in and out this 
season. 

1339
01:27:07,390 --> 01:27:10,950
I wouldn't be surprised at all 
to see him not play a ton of 

1340
01:27:10,950 --> 01:27:14,070
games. 
Yeah, yeah, that that makes 

1341
01:27:14,070 --> 01:27:17,870
sense for sure. 
Where he he's just the the only 

1342
01:27:17,870 --> 01:27:23,710
true star on the the offense And
the one one thing I'm curious to

1343
01:27:23,710 --> 01:27:29,750
get your take on is that I see 
CD Lam here and with only 50, 

1344
01:27:29,750 --> 01:27:35,930
four, 4% and of the way the 
targets for at run and so is is 

1345
01:27:36,010 --> 01:27:37,770
is he is he not getting 
targeted? 

1346
01:27:37,810 --> 01:27:41,730
It is. 
This just so I I subjected 

1347
01:27:41,730 --> 01:27:45,370
myself to the pain of watching 
every snap of that Cowboys game 

1348
01:27:45,410 --> 01:27:47,370
and it was really gross, 
honestly. 

1349
01:27:47,370 --> 01:27:50,570
Like you want to throw out the 
tape game that looked like a 

1350
01:27:50,570 --> 01:27:53,050
throw out the tape game. 
They just they it was a trap 

1351
01:27:53,050 --> 01:27:54,130
game. 
They looked like they didn't 

1352
01:27:54,130 --> 01:27:58,130
show up to play what what ended 
up happening on offense a lot 

1353
01:27:58,130 --> 01:28:00,810
was. 
Gallup got more involved. 

1354
01:28:01,490 --> 01:28:04,250
Gallup finally saw some targets.
And also Ferguson. 

1355
01:28:04,330 --> 01:28:06,850
As I previously mentioned, 
Ferguson saw more targets. 

1356
01:28:08,930 --> 01:28:16,490
I honestly, I can't really give 
you much reason as to why I I'm 

1357
01:28:16,490 --> 01:28:18,890
gonna call it more noise than 
signal. 

1358
01:28:19,010 --> 01:28:23,290
But yeah it wasn't wasn't a good
sign to see the Cowboys get dog 

1359
01:28:23,290 --> 01:28:31,090
walked by the Cardinals and so 
yeah I I I think I agree on the 

1360
01:28:31,290 --> 01:28:35,770
on the CD stuff and I saw Dez 
Bryant on Twitter saying I'm 

1361
01:28:35,770 --> 01:28:39,850
dead serious about this. 
I want the Cowboys to hire me as

1362
01:28:39,890 --> 01:28:44,810
as a as an assistant, and I want
to create ways to get him open 

1363
01:28:44,890 --> 01:28:48,770
near near the end zone because 
he's their best player or like 

1364
01:28:48,770 --> 01:28:53,540
among their best players. 
And I'd be surprised that we 

1365
01:28:53,540 --> 01:28:57,980
didn't get like some squeaky 
wheel weeks pretty soon there 

1366
01:28:57,980 --> 01:29:03,700
from from a little after they 
lose, after they lose and they 

1367
01:29:03,700 --> 01:29:07,260
didn't use them properly. 
And that seems pretty likely to 

1368
01:29:07,260 --> 01:29:10,580
me. 
The other to me, the the thing 

1369
01:29:10,580 --> 01:29:14,180
that I'm noticing in this Mike 
McCarthy calling the plays 

1370
01:29:14,180 --> 01:29:17,020
offense is. 
Mike McCarthy is not 

1371
01:29:17,020 --> 01:29:20,100
tremendously bad at play 
calling, as everyone would have 

1372
01:29:20,180 --> 01:29:23,940
would have us believe. 
But he's also not very good, and

1373
01:29:23,940 --> 01:29:27,500
he often does. 
If he if he's getting to the 

1374
01:29:27,500 --> 01:29:32,300
right answer or like he's doing 
what what would be correct, he's

1375
01:29:32,300 --> 01:29:35,340
going to go too far in the 
direction of what's correct, 

1376
01:29:35,340 --> 01:29:38,300
right. 
So like, oh CD Lamb needs more 

1377
01:29:38,300 --> 01:29:42,700
targets. 25 sounds reasonable. 
Like let's throw the ball 25 

1378
01:29:42,700 --> 01:29:45,690
times or like. 
Oh, Tony Pollard's our most 

1379
01:29:45,690 --> 01:29:48,570
efficient back. 
Let's give him all the work. 

1380
01:29:48,570 --> 01:29:51,090
It's like, no, no, no, you need 
to mix in Rico Dowdle just a 

1381
01:29:51,090 --> 01:29:54,170
little bit or like, oh, you 
know, we're we're in, you know, 

1382
01:29:54,250 --> 01:29:57,570
really favorable down and 
distance situations like we 

1383
01:29:57,570 --> 01:30:00,090
should run the ball more. 
It's like no, dude, take take 

1384
01:30:00,090 --> 01:30:02,570
advantage and pass a little bit.
So there there's just stuff 

1385
01:30:02,570 --> 01:30:06,450
where it seems like I I don't, 
I'm not gonna say you're you're 

1386
01:30:06,450 --> 01:30:10,610
expecting an overcoreaction. 
Yeah, he he he seems like the 

1387
01:30:10,810 --> 01:30:13,250
prime example of a coach 
overcorrecting. 

1388
01:30:14,090 --> 01:30:17,570
And so I would that's just I'm 
going to make like a note to 

1389
01:30:17,570 --> 01:30:23,090
myself like pay attention to 
Cowboys games, see what happens 

1390
01:30:23,090 --> 01:30:26,450
week to week and see if that 
overcorrection trend holds on 

1391
01:30:26,450 --> 01:30:29,450
different aspects. 
And and try to take advantage of

1392
01:30:29,450 --> 01:30:31,730
that for DFS. 
If that's something where 

1393
01:30:31,730 --> 01:30:33,930
there's a little little bit of 
signal to that. 

1394
01:30:33,930 --> 01:30:36,290
Because I think that he might be
a little bit more predictable 

1395
01:30:36,290 --> 01:30:39,610
and his tendencies as a play 
caller just from what I'm seeing

1396
01:30:40,770 --> 01:30:45,850
that that makes sense for sure. 
And also interesting here is 

1397
01:30:45,890 --> 01:30:51,530
Adam Thielen and very high yeah 
route share for an older player 

1398
01:30:51,530 --> 01:30:57,970
which is interesting but very 
clearly in the in the kind of 

1399
01:30:57,970 --> 01:31:02,930
like we don't if there was a 
sell high section of the chart 

1400
01:31:03,170 --> 01:31:07,010
it would be the guys getting 
lots of points but low weighted 

1401
01:31:07,010 --> 01:31:12,890
targets per at run and and give 
given that those those feel like

1402
01:31:12,890 --> 01:31:16,050
it's definitely I'm not breaking
any news here but definitely 

1403
01:31:16,050 --> 01:31:18,730
feels like you're pretty 
comfortable and quote UN quote 

1404
01:31:18,730 --> 01:31:24,250
sell high. 
Yeah, the only other guys that I

1405
01:31:24,370 --> 01:31:28,570
I think are worth mentioning on 
this chart because there weren't

1406
01:31:28,570 --> 01:31:32,330
a ton of crazy movers here. 
I mean, other than the guys that

1407
01:31:32,330 --> 01:31:34,810
put up some monster weeks like 
Devonta and Keenan. 

1408
01:31:35,250 --> 01:31:38,490
But Chris, Chris Godwin here. 
It does. 

1409
01:31:38,830 --> 01:31:43,230
It's starting to look like Baker
only has eyes for Mike Evans and

1410
01:31:43,230 --> 01:31:45,470
I don't know. 
Again, it's only three weeks. 

1411
01:31:45,470 --> 01:31:49,550
Could be small sample size. 
But the way Baker seems to like 

1412
01:31:49,550 --> 01:31:53,670
to play is he really likes 
chucking it up and letting 

1413
01:31:53,670 --> 01:31:57,270
someone make a play. 
And Mike Evans is, is pretty 

1414
01:31:57,270 --> 01:32:00,670
good at that. 
So I kind of feel like Mike 

1415
01:32:00,670 --> 01:32:03,150
Evans is going to be the 
receiver you want to own in this

1416
01:32:03,150 --> 01:32:06,910
offense. 
But yeah, that was the only 

1417
01:32:06,910 --> 01:32:09,430
other. 
Noteworthy receiver I had on 

1418
01:32:09,430 --> 01:32:12,470
this chart. 
Yeah that that makes sense for 

1419
01:32:12,470 --> 01:32:17,990
sure makes sense for sure and 
and then I I do notice them DJ 

1420
01:32:17,990 --> 01:32:22,350
Murr is is in a very kind of 
like disappointing part where 

1421
01:32:22,350 --> 01:32:27,470
Ram he's um he's not even 
getting it even with them how 

1422
01:32:27,470 --> 01:32:30,830
bad the the offense has been 
he's not even like really 

1423
01:32:30,830 --> 01:32:37,210
consolidating down the field 
that crows and very yeah very 

1424
01:32:37,210 --> 01:32:42,930
disappointing and I guess he did
get he did get six he has been 

1425
01:32:42,930 --> 01:32:50,010
getting 6 targets week two and 
week 3 which isn't awful and 130

1426
01:32:50,010 --> 01:32:56,370
area yards week three that 
that's pretty good and but yeah 

1427
01:32:56,370 --> 01:33:02,610
really really weird usage there 
and then I mean hopefully if the

1428
01:33:02,650 --> 01:33:08,220
the the bears do manage to turn 
around and better DJ more usage 

1429
01:33:08,580 --> 01:33:13,980
is part of the story and what 
definitely feels that feels bad 

1430
01:33:13,980 --> 01:33:16,820
to have done that you remember 
that that four or five turn 

1431
01:33:16,820 --> 01:33:20,580
thing where people were clicking
fields and DJ more seems like a 

1432
01:33:21,140 --> 01:33:24,580
seems like a bad yeah I'd say 
that's aging. 

1433
01:33:25,020 --> 01:33:28,100
DJ Moore feels like one of those
prime candidates for which you 

1434
01:33:28,100 --> 01:33:29,780
talked about of Let Fallers 
Fall. 

1435
01:33:29,780 --> 01:33:31,500
That's one where we want to. 
Yeah. 

1436
01:33:31,540 --> 01:33:35,140
See how low can you go, baby? 
Yeah, I I agree. 

1437
01:33:36,290 --> 01:33:37,410
Very last. 
Sorry. 

1438
01:33:37,410 --> 01:33:39,290
Last one before we go to the 
next chart. 

1439
01:33:39,570 --> 01:33:44,410
Cortland Sutton. 
I mean, wasn't he he, he didn't 

1440
01:33:44,490 --> 01:33:48,490
perform great, you know. 
But he they sure wanted to get 

1441
01:33:48,490 --> 01:33:51,370
him involved. 
All the the rumblings before the

1442
01:33:51,370 --> 01:33:55,290
season of Sean Payton's making 
Cortland Sutton watch old 

1443
01:33:55,290 --> 01:33:58,250
Michael Thomas film. 
Oh, he's gonna, he's gonna have 

1444
01:33:58,250 --> 01:34:01,370
the Michael Thomas role. 
He kind of looks like he might 

1445
01:34:01,370 --> 01:34:04,330
have the Michael Thomas role. 
He is super involved. 

1446
01:34:04,330 --> 01:34:08,970
Man. 
I I'm a little uncertain of how 

1447
01:34:08,970 --> 01:34:10,970
I want to play this Denver 
offense. 

1448
01:34:11,090 --> 01:34:16,890
I think that the market is also 
just from what I saw on the two 

1449
01:34:16,890 --> 01:34:21,250
drafts that I did And so I kind 
of think that all of the 

1450
01:34:21,250 --> 01:34:24,930
receivers might be a buy at at 
where they'll end up going. 

1451
01:34:26,290 --> 01:34:29,970
I mean Mims was going like crazy
early in the the drafts that I 

1452
01:34:29,970 --> 01:34:32,410
did but I don't know where he 
settles. 

1453
01:34:32,410 --> 01:34:36,490
But to me it seems like they 
might all be mispriced like an 

1454
01:34:36,490 --> 01:34:39,770
efficient price. 
It it say Cortland Sutton role 

1455
01:34:40,250 --> 01:34:45,970
stays about where it is, like he
probably is 1/7 rounder or a 6th

1456
01:34:45,970 --> 01:34:49,250
rounder and he's he's more going
in like the 8th right now. 

1457
01:34:49,810 --> 01:35:01,880
So, yeah and yeah, very. 
And so I guess only thing I'm 

1458
01:35:01,880 --> 01:35:06,840
seeing here is that, so he had a
26%. 

1459
01:35:06,840 --> 01:35:09,720
And so just adjusting obviously 
we're looking at weighted 

1460
01:35:09,720 --> 01:35:14,040
targets per at run in this chart
which weights high a dot throws 

1461
01:35:14,080 --> 01:35:18,520
more heavily than at low a dot, 
but just looking at normal 

1462
01:35:18,560 --> 01:35:23,810
unadjusted targets per at run. 
So he did have 26% in that week 

1463
01:35:23,810 --> 01:35:28,170
tree but then it was 17% in 
week, 214% in week one. 

1464
01:35:28,810 --> 01:35:36,890
And I I do wonder if if maybe we
saw just like a one game high 

1465
01:35:36,890 --> 01:35:41,570
from or like obviously him 
having these types of games in 

1466
01:35:41,570 --> 01:35:45,610
his range and and you're 
suggesting that like he's he 

1467
01:35:45,610 --> 01:35:50,410
should go in the seventh round 
like very very fair and but just

1468
01:35:50,770 --> 01:35:54,450
to temper expectations a little 
bit and this this may have been 

1469
01:35:54,690 --> 01:36:00,250
kind of like a high end game for
him and his normal range is 

1470
01:36:00,250 --> 01:36:03,770
maybe closer to somewhere 
between 15 and 20%. 

1471
01:36:04,330 --> 01:36:12,170
That's that's very reasonable. 
And so yeah let's move on to our

1472
01:36:12,490 --> 01:36:15,730
our sort of like they're 
starters but they're not at 

1473
01:36:15,730 --> 01:36:17,850
they're not on the field in 
every snap chart. 

1474
01:36:18,670 --> 01:36:24,990
And so we touched on Mike Evans 
and Tyreke Hill as always is the

1475
01:36:25,830 --> 01:36:30,550
is the chart breaker and Mike 
Williams, I know we're we're 

1476
01:36:30,550 --> 01:36:33,590
leaving, we're leaving Mike 
Williams in this chart just to 

1477
01:36:33,590 --> 01:36:36,510
kind of send them off. 
He was. 

1478
01:36:36,550 --> 01:36:38,950
He was doing great, man. 
It was going to be a great 

1479
01:36:38,950 --> 01:36:42,430
season for Mike Williams. 
That looked like just the way 

1480
01:36:42,430 --> 01:36:45,510
that he was being deployed in 
that offense was was better than

1481
01:36:45,790 --> 01:36:50,500
previous years. 
Very unfortunate to see him tear

1482
01:36:50,500 --> 01:36:55,180
his ACL you that guy has had 
really unfortunate injury luck 

1483
01:36:56,620 --> 01:37:00,700
but maybe maybe we can consider 
Nico Collins the the new Mike 

1484
01:37:00,700 --> 01:37:04,620
Williams kind of a a bigger 
bodied guy you know similar 

1485
01:37:05,220 --> 01:37:09,420
similar area of the chart here. 
Nico been doing a lot with the 

1486
01:37:10,260 --> 01:37:12,300
with Stroud. 
You know, being being willing to

1487
01:37:13,060 --> 01:37:15,580
throw it up there Tank Dell did,
kind of. 

1488
01:37:16,300 --> 01:37:20,620
Steal Nikko's Thunder a little 
bit this week, But man, the more

1489
01:37:20,620 --> 01:37:23,540
the more I think about that 
Houston offense. 

1490
01:37:23,580 --> 01:37:26,780
I'm kind of like I should just 
have a lot of pieces of it other

1491
01:37:26,780 --> 01:37:29,580
than all all the pieces not 
named Dalton Schultz, right? 

1492
01:37:29,580 --> 01:37:30,500
Like I should have. 
Yeah. 

1493
01:37:31,540 --> 01:37:33,180
Yeah, yeah, definitely. 
Yeah. 

1494
01:37:33,580 --> 01:37:35,780
If the market is gonna be slow 
to react. 

1495
01:37:36,340 --> 01:37:40,220
And and and and you've already 
said they're they're they're 

1496
01:37:40,220 --> 01:37:41,660
print. 
They're gonna print million 

1497
01:37:41,660 --> 01:37:43,180
makers. 
Yeah. 

1498
01:37:43,220 --> 01:37:49,450
And and definitely feels like if
the market is slow to react very

1499
01:37:49,450 --> 01:37:54,370
very stockable offense and 
definitely want pieces of it and

1500
01:37:54,410 --> 01:37:59,210
just that one thing that that I 
think is this it's hard to see 

1501
01:37:59,210 --> 01:38:05,130
in this chart but very notable 
is Calvin Ridley is is really 

1502
01:38:05,130 --> 01:38:09,290
kind of sitting down here. 
I'm I'm I'm surprised to see him

1503
01:38:09,290 --> 01:38:15,460
at only 80 to 85% roots and then
sitting behind a 60% weighted 

1504
01:38:15,460 --> 01:38:19,140
targets per run what we're 
looking at 12 fantasy points per

1505
01:38:19,140 --> 01:38:24,740
game and then after week one 
week one it felt like OK I I I 

1506
01:38:24,740 --> 01:38:31,620
faded readily I am going to get 
crushed and then he's at 14 in 

1507
01:38:31,620 --> 01:38:37,140
in unadjusted targets per run 14
and 15% the last two weeks and 

1508
01:38:37,980 --> 01:38:42,230
that is that it's it's that that
does make me think that the kind

1509
01:38:42,230 --> 01:38:48,030
of two tree turn early turn 
around prices was extremely 

1510
01:38:48,030 --> 01:38:51,030
rich. 
Oh yeah, I mean that. 

1511
01:38:51,030 --> 01:38:53,910
That was always like you were 
you were a slappy if you were. 

1512
01:38:54,670 --> 01:38:57,710
Even even with week one in the 
books where I'm like, oh God, am

1513
01:38:57,710 --> 01:38:59,190
I? 
Am I going to get roasted here? 

1514
01:38:59,470 --> 01:39:03,750
But I still was pretty confident
that regardless of the results, 

1515
01:39:03,750 --> 01:39:06,990
taking Ridley a 2-3 turn was 
very slappy behavior. 

1516
01:39:06,990 --> 01:39:10,900
I mean like. 
If you're not paying attention 

1517
01:39:10,900 --> 01:39:14,340
to the change in draft capital 
that you're spending on a guy, 

1518
01:39:14,340 --> 01:39:17,540
not just like the raw number of 
picks that he moved up, cuz like

1519
01:39:17,540 --> 01:39:19,820
of course Madison moved up more 
picks than Ridley. 

1520
01:39:20,060 --> 01:39:23,340
But the draft capital that 
Ridley increased by was the 

1521
01:39:23,340 --> 01:39:27,260
largest of any player. 
And what you're saying there it 

1522
01:39:27,260 --> 01:39:30,340
like cuz I have a lot of Ridley 
teams where I got him in the 

1523
01:39:30,340 --> 01:39:33,700
fourth like late 4th. 
I even think I have one where I 

1524
01:39:33,700 --> 01:39:36,860
got him in the 5th. 
That's super early, which is 

1525
01:39:36,860 --> 01:39:41,000
wild, but. 
What you're saying when you take

1526
01:39:41,040 --> 01:39:44,040
Ridley at the 2 three turn and 
you run up against me in the 

1527
01:39:44,040 --> 01:39:47,400
playoffs and I've got late 4th 
Ridley or I've got early 5th 

1528
01:39:47,400 --> 01:39:52,160
Ridley, You're telling me that 
like you've got an extra 

1529
01:39:52,600 --> 01:39:57,400
player's worth, you've got like 
an extra, say Kenneth Walker? 

1530
01:39:57,740 --> 01:40:01,060
On your like, I'm I'm rolling up
with a whole extra Kenneth 

1531
01:40:01,060 --> 01:40:04,660
Walker against you when you're 
doing your two, three Ridley 

1532
01:40:04,900 --> 01:40:08,620
against my 4-5 Ridley. 
Like it's an enormous draft 

1533
01:40:08,620 --> 01:40:11,820
capital difference. 
So you're just like you're 

1534
01:40:11,820 --> 01:40:14,220
you're betting a really thin 
parlay. 

1535
01:40:14,220 --> 01:40:16,740
When it gets to be that you're 
basically what you're saying is 

1536
01:40:16,740 --> 01:40:19,620
like Ridley gets me to the 
playoffs but like when the 

1537
01:40:19,620 --> 01:40:21,940
playoffs happen I need Ridley to
suck. 

1538
01:40:21,980 --> 01:40:25,860
Otherwise, I'm, I'm toast. 
Or I'm I'm banking on fading 

1539
01:40:25,860 --> 01:40:29,380
like. 12 Player Parlay Then you 
know so. 

1540
01:40:30,700 --> 01:40:34,780
That's why I'm really, I'm 
extremely price sensitive on 

1541
01:40:35,060 --> 01:40:39,060
really, really aggressive risers
specifically from a draft 

1542
01:40:39,060 --> 01:40:41,860
capital perspective. 
But to build on your Ridley 

1543
01:40:41,860 --> 01:40:45,860
point, you do notice all of the 
Jags receivers are kind of right

1544
01:40:45,860 --> 01:40:47,420
in there. 
You know Ze Jones missed some 

1545
01:40:47,420 --> 01:40:52,360
time so but you still have that 
Jags triangle there. 

1546
01:40:52,360 --> 01:40:54,400
You got right Calvin Ridley's a 
Jones. 

1547
01:40:54,400 --> 01:40:56,640
They're all hanging around that 
same spot. 

1548
01:40:57,280 --> 01:41:01,040
And I I wrote about this in My 
Portfolio post mortem review 

1549
01:41:01,040 --> 01:41:04,880
article over on Spike week where
I said my prediction for how the

1550
01:41:04,880 --> 01:41:09,040
Jags offense was going to go was
all three players, all three 

1551
01:41:09,040 --> 01:41:10,960
wide receivers are going to 
produce usable weeks. 

1552
01:41:10,960 --> 01:41:13,120
They're going to have be good 
spike week players. 

1553
01:41:13,440 --> 01:41:16,120
But that I didn't think any one 
of them was going to be like a 

1554
01:41:16,120 --> 01:41:19,080
consistent gotta have it alpha 
on your team. 

1555
01:41:19,660 --> 01:41:23,140
And so if that's the way, if you
truly believe that that is the 

1556
01:41:23,180 --> 01:41:25,620
outcome that's going to happen, 
you should be playing it through

1557
01:41:25,620 --> 01:41:28,540
the cheapest one at the highest 
weight and then you know, 

1558
01:41:28,540 --> 01:41:30,900
tapering your weights down as 
they get more expensive. 

1559
01:41:31,940 --> 01:41:34,300
And I unfortunately didn't 
execute that perfectly. 

1560
01:41:34,300 --> 01:41:37,460
I ended up with more Christian 
Kirk than anyone and then Zay 

1561
01:41:37,460 --> 01:41:42,220
Jones and then Calvin Ridley. 
But I'm I'm feeling OK about the

1562
01:41:42,220 --> 01:41:45,940
way that I played it it it feels
better than how it did after 

1563
01:41:45,940 --> 01:41:48,420
Week 1. 
Yeah. 

1564
01:41:49,010 --> 01:41:53,290
And yeah makes it I, I, I, I 
would I feel I would feel better

1565
01:41:53,290 --> 01:41:59,850
about what's his name Christian 
Kirk then then after week one as

1566
01:41:59,850 --> 01:42:03,890
well and one one that kind of 
mover on this chart that I 

1567
01:42:03,890 --> 01:42:08,210
noticed that Trail and Burks is 
definitely starting to move in 

1568
01:42:08,210 --> 01:42:12,050
the right direction. 
Fantasy points not there yet and

1569
01:42:12,050 --> 01:42:15,890
but given that we we kind of 
cited that him returning from 

1570
01:42:15,890 --> 01:42:19,320
injury. 
Was part of why he had a slow 

1571
01:42:19,320 --> 01:42:23,160
start and then him starting to 
pick up on the targets. 

1572
01:42:23,400 --> 01:42:30,520
He had 6 targets in week 3 and 
and did not did not really 

1573
01:42:30,600 --> 01:42:35,400
perform with them. 
But definitely feeling better. 

1574
01:42:35,480 --> 01:42:41,650
Feeling better about trailing 
Burks now and go ahead I I was 

1575
01:42:41,650 --> 01:42:44,650
gonna say this this week. 
He didn't end up with a ton of 

1576
01:42:44,650 --> 01:42:46,570
targets, right? 
But I do believe that he 

1577
01:42:46,570 --> 01:42:48,170
converted a touchdown. 
Is that. 

1578
01:42:48,210 --> 01:42:53,250
Am I misremembering? 
And Carolyn Burks, So he he had 

1579
01:42:53,250 --> 01:42:58,370
six targets, OK, and but 
converted that into just five 

1580
01:42:58,370 --> 01:43:01,490
yards and no, five yards, 30 
yards. 

1581
01:43:01,490 --> 01:43:07,410
And sorry, I was right the first
time. 

1582
01:43:07,450 --> 01:43:10,490
Just five yards, 5 yards in a 
touchdown, though. 

1583
01:43:10,530 --> 01:43:13,330
Or just. 
No touchdown and no touchdown. 

1584
01:43:13,330 --> 01:43:16,010
Just five yards. 
I'm I'm attributing a phantom 

1585
01:43:16,010 --> 01:43:19,570
touchdown to Trail and Burke's 
apparently welcome. 

1586
01:43:19,810 --> 01:43:23,090
To stop stacing folks. 
Yeah, sorry there. 

1587
01:43:23,090 --> 01:43:25,410
There's only so many stats I can
hold in my head. 

1588
01:43:26,570 --> 01:43:30,210
But yeah, I I mean, it's 
encouraging to see him move in 

1589
01:43:30,210 --> 01:43:35,170
this right direction. 
I am concerned about Tennessee 

1590
01:43:35,170 --> 01:43:39,940
as a whole, though. 
Yeah so it's it's a mixed bag 

1591
01:43:39,940 --> 01:43:42,340
there. 
It's like yay, the player is, is

1592
01:43:42,340 --> 01:43:46,100
moving in the direction that we 
want but ohh boy the offense is 

1593
01:43:46,100 --> 01:43:47,780
moving in the opposite 
direction. 

1594
01:43:47,780 --> 01:43:50,460
So we'll we'll see how that 
shakes out. 

1595
01:43:52,180 --> 01:43:55,260
Yeah, yeah, for sure, yeah, for 
sure. 

1596
01:43:55,740 --> 01:44:01,500
And interesting to see Elijah 
Murr in the kind of like even 

1597
01:44:01,500 --> 01:44:05,780
though he's his, his a dot has 
been low and but. 

1598
01:44:06,190 --> 01:44:09,390
His, his targets have his 
targets have come up. 

1599
01:44:09,870 --> 01:44:11,990
I think he got something like 9 
targets this week. 

1600
01:44:12,670 --> 01:44:17,790
And yeah, he's and he's like 
he's like Zay Flowers on the 

1601
01:44:17,790 --> 01:44:20,030
Browns, right? 
They're they're manufacturing a 

1602
01:44:20,030 --> 01:44:21,550
lot of shorter. 
Yeah, stuff for him. 

1603
01:44:22,990 --> 01:44:25,350
Yeah, that. 
That's that's how. 

1604
01:44:25,470 --> 01:44:27,470
That's a good way to ruin your 
appetite. 

1605
01:44:27,470 --> 01:44:29,950
And say Flowers rolled on the 
Browns. 

1606
01:44:31,550 --> 01:44:36,190
I mean they they even involved 
him in that double reverse pass 

1607
01:44:36,230 --> 01:44:38,510
back to him. 
That was that was a fun play 

1608
01:44:38,510 --> 01:44:42,230
design. 
It's like a double reverse and 

1609
01:44:42,230 --> 01:44:44,830
they set him up with like a a 
screen. 

1610
01:44:44,830 --> 01:44:47,350
They were like you had three 
blockers ahead of them, went for

1611
01:44:47,350 --> 01:44:49,950
like 10 yards. 
There's a whole lot of work for 

1612
01:44:49,950 --> 01:44:52,510
10 yards, man, but I'm sure they
had fun installing it. 

1613
01:44:53,230 --> 01:45:03,030
Yeah, yeah, fun play, fun play. 
But yeah, I think, I think we've

1614
01:45:03,270 --> 01:45:08,470
talked about this chart and is 
there anybody else screaming at 

1615
01:45:08,470 --> 01:45:11,150
you? 
Not really no one that we 

1616
01:45:11,150 --> 01:45:12,710
haven't talked about in the past
weeks. 

1617
01:45:12,870 --> 01:45:14,710
I think everyone else is like 
kind of holding. 

1618
01:45:15,830 --> 01:45:19,170
Okay and. 
So yeah this this is this is 

1619
01:45:19,170 --> 01:45:22,850
kind of a more fun chart where 
yeah it's the guys not playing 

1620
01:45:22,850 --> 01:45:28,050
that much but you try and pick 
out the out performers such as 

1621
01:45:28,290 --> 01:45:35,130
Tankdale who still 65 to 70% 
root share that that seems 

1622
01:45:35,130 --> 01:45:39,570
pretty good for a rookie that 
that's trying to break onto the 

1623
01:45:39,570 --> 01:45:43,010
team and and and now clearly has
broken onto the team. 

1624
01:45:44,630 --> 01:45:48,430
Yeah I would I would anticipate 
this trend to continue for him 

1625
01:45:48,430 --> 01:45:52,630
he you know but before the 
season there was a lot of news 

1626
01:45:52,630 --> 01:45:55,070
about the rapport between him 
and Stroud and Stroud had 

1627
01:45:55,070 --> 01:45:58,270
specifically asked for him to 
get drafted and and now that 

1628
01:45:58,270 --> 01:46:01,190
he's on the field, you know he's
making plays and you know 

1629
01:46:01,230 --> 01:46:05,910
earning targets. 
I he he seems like a a strong 

1630
01:46:05,910 --> 01:46:09,110
rising candidate. 
Yeah. 

1631
01:46:09,710 --> 01:46:12,110
And yeah, I, I I'm just looking 
at it here. 

1632
01:46:12,110 --> 01:46:18,790
So 46% at route rate in week 
one, then 82% and 84% in in week

1633
01:46:18,790 --> 01:46:23,030
two. 
So in it he he he'll belong in 

1634
01:46:23,030 --> 01:46:25,910
the starter section pretty soon,
right. 

1635
01:46:25,950 --> 01:46:33,310
He is in the starter section 
basically in Yeah, in, so he'll 

1636
01:46:33,350 --> 01:46:37,030
graduate next week. 
Yeah, and. 

1637
01:46:37,910 --> 01:46:43,070
Then we have a we have a bunch 
of players here that aren't that

1638
01:46:43,070 --> 01:46:50,270
interesting like Braxton, 
Barrios and obviously part time 

1639
01:46:50,270 --> 01:46:56,470
player but getting targeted when
he's out there and Sky Murr and 

1640
01:46:57,590 --> 01:47:01,550
better than it was before 
Bateman. 

1641
01:47:01,990 --> 01:47:04,710
I'm I'm officially worried about
Bateman. 

1642
01:47:05,500 --> 01:47:07,820
Me too. 
I'm pretty worried about 

1643
01:47:07,820 --> 01:47:11,460
Bateman. 
I I just don't know if Bateman's

1644
01:47:11,460 --> 01:47:15,580
happening, man. 
It's it's kind of a bummer but 

1645
01:47:15,580 --> 01:47:21,420
it's like it's been in a while 
and he's not able to get on the 

1646
01:47:21,420 --> 01:47:26,540
field over. 
I I don't Nelson Aguilar like. 

1647
01:47:26,740 --> 01:47:31,380
I think he, he did a, yeah, he 
did have a he had an injury in 

1648
01:47:31,380 --> 01:47:35,340
this game and yeah. 
And then he was still he he 

1649
01:47:35,340 --> 01:47:43,380
still he actually he got up to a
74% route chair and but only 

1650
01:47:43,500 --> 01:47:49,140
still only three targets. 
So and then he had the hamstring

1651
01:47:49,140 --> 01:47:54,500
injury and so definitely, 
definitely somebody where if I'm

1652
01:47:54,500 --> 01:47:57,060
getting them super late I'm 
still going to take them but 

1653
01:47:57,580 --> 01:47:59,820
very happy to let a slider slide
there. 

1654
01:48:00,700 --> 01:48:04,020
Yeah, I I agree on that one. 
The other one that the the the 

1655
01:48:04,020 --> 01:48:07,260
people may need to know what 
what are you doing with jsn? 

1656
01:48:08,660 --> 01:48:18,180
JSN and I think you're 
definitely if you're take if you

1657
01:48:18,180 --> 01:48:24,420
were taking it in in the six 
rounds and that that doesn't 

1658
01:48:24,420 --> 01:48:29,180
feel super likely to pay off now
and. 

1659
01:48:29,870 --> 01:48:33,950
And and and your problem here is
really that the guys playing 

1660
01:48:33,950 --> 01:48:38,710
ahead of him have just played so
well that it's been hard for him

1661
01:48:38,710 --> 01:48:41,230
to crack the field as much as 
you want. 

1662
01:48:41,750 --> 01:48:43,830
And then what's also 
disappointing is that he hasn't 

1663
01:48:43,830 --> 01:48:48,070
really made the plays that you'd
wanna like normally when you 

1664
01:48:48,070 --> 01:48:51,390
have it, this guy, this rookie 
coming in that you think is 

1665
01:48:51,390 --> 01:48:55,230
incredible and and you and 
you're just hoping or you're 

1666
01:48:55,510 --> 01:48:58,780
you're playing for this idea. 
That he'll be the starter by 

1667
01:48:58,780 --> 01:49:03,900
week four or five what you're 
looking for is for for him to on

1668
01:49:03,900 --> 01:49:10,420
his limited snapshare to play 
incredible and and I think 

1669
01:49:10,900 --> 01:49:15,500
unless it truly is this thing 
where like the the wrist injury 

1670
01:49:16,060 --> 01:49:20,460
and is holding him back too much
they said this is definitely 

1671
01:49:20,460 --> 01:49:26,680
disappointing and but I think. 
It's it's definitely a dip I 

1672
01:49:26,680 --> 01:49:31,000
will I will buy and just because
that that's one where I'm 

1673
01:49:31,000 --> 01:49:35,480
definitely more willing to to 
take on the risk that I'm just. 

1674
01:49:35,920 --> 01:49:39,200
I'm just wrong that he's just 
not as good as I think just 

1675
01:49:39,200 --> 01:49:44,640
because his his college profile 
is so good and you can sort of 

1676
01:49:44,640 --> 01:49:52,120
blame the injury. 
Yeah, yeah, I I think the thesis

1677
01:49:52,120 --> 01:49:56,680
is still like you're you're 
hoping it's this you know you're

1678
01:49:56,680 --> 01:49:59,640
you're you're praying for like 
the rookie Amanra St. 

1679
01:49:59,640 --> 01:50:03,880
Brown outcome where he doesn't 
do anything for a while and then

1680
01:50:03,880 --> 01:50:07,480
when all the chips are down he's
he's doing what you need. 

1681
01:50:07,480 --> 01:50:13,080
But I definitely would want to 
get a discount now relative to 

1682
01:50:13,080 --> 01:50:15,840
where I was taking him before 
the season started, just based 

1683
01:50:15,840 --> 01:50:18,920
on what we've seen and not 
getting, not getting any of the 

1684
01:50:18,920 --> 01:50:21,640
flashes yet. 
Yeah. 

1685
01:50:22,220 --> 01:50:28,460
Yeah, I agree for sure. 
And so do you and anybody else 

1686
01:50:28,460 --> 01:50:30,700
you wanted the, the, the, the to
touch on here? 

1687
01:50:32,260 --> 01:50:35,900
I mean, no, no, not really. 
I I think the best thing we can 

1688
01:50:35,900 --> 01:50:39,660
do is hop at a draft right now 
and and put our takes to the 

1689
01:50:39,660 --> 01:50:40,980
test. 
Show the people. 

1690
01:50:42,180 --> 01:50:43,900
You know, show the people. 
And yeah, sounds go to the 

1691
01:50:43,980 --> 01:50:46,140
meeting. 
All right. 

1692
01:50:46,140 --> 01:50:49,900
Let me so go ahead and share 
screen here. 

1693
01:51:00,390 --> 01:51:05,590
So sorry, we're not as you can 
see we're not as a experienced 

1694
01:51:05,590 --> 01:51:08,990
them getting getting our stuff 
up. 

1695
01:51:09,870 --> 01:51:14,070
But essentially what we're going
to do here is we we like to talk

1696
01:51:14,070 --> 01:51:17,910
about our our takes through the 
lens of a best ball 

1697
01:51:17,910 --> 01:51:20,870
resurrection, just because it is
a. 

1698
01:51:22,350 --> 01:51:24,470
Are you OK with me sharing or do
you want me to kick you off. 

1699
01:51:24,990 --> 01:51:27,270
No no go ahead. 
Yeah you you can share here 

1700
01:51:27,270 --> 01:51:29,510
I've. 
I'm gonna go ahead and jump in a

1701
01:51:29,510 --> 01:51:34,110
draft here for us let me I I 
should probably zoom in a little

1702
01:51:34,110 --> 01:51:39,510
bit I'm assuming here let's or 
do you do you have the ability 

1703
01:51:39,510 --> 01:51:43,830
to zoom on on your end or should
there we go that looks a little 

1704
01:51:43,830 --> 01:51:48,910
better and let's let's get that 
make it a little more readable 

1705
01:51:54,380 --> 01:51:57,460
So we drew the 102 here. 
Sorry we didn't give a ton of 

1706
01:51:57,460 --> 01:52:03,380
warning to to let you guys jump 
in the draft with us here but 

1707
01:52:03,380 --> 01:52:07,300
this way you can you can kind of
see you'll notice we didn't give

1708
01:52:07,300 --> 01:52:14,270
a ton of ADP takes during the 
chart portion of the show 

1709
01:52:14,590 --> 01:52:17,390
because we we had planned on 
hopping in a draft here to kind 

1710
01:52:17,390 --> 01:52:19,910
of show you when the rubber 
meets the road what we're doing.

1711
01:52:22,430 --> 01:52:27,910
And so here my my priority let's
do we have anyone in here. 

1712
01:52:28,270 --> 01:52:32,350
If you're if you are in the 
draft with us, it is illegal for

1713
01:52:32,350 --> 01:52:35,870
you to not alert us in the chat.
But I don't. 

1714
01:52:35,870 --> 01:52:40,990
I don't know that we have anyone
that's. 

1715
01:52:41,030 --> 01:52:43,430
Okay so. 
Ohh, we're not on the clock, OK?

1716
01:52:44,390 --> 01:52:50,590
And I I've got. 
I know what I'm taking here. 

1717
01:52:53,070 --> 01:52:57,830
But I I'm willing to to hear 
your I'm taking this dude. 

1718
01:52:58,270 --> 01:53:02,310
Taking. 
This point Tyriq over CMC yeah. 

1719
01:53:03,030 --> 01:53:05,510
OK. 
There's there's running backs 

1720
01:53:05,510 --> 01:53:07,750
that I really like at the 2 
three turn the way that it's 

1721
01:53:07,750 --> 01:53:11,430
been shaking out. 
We'll we'll see if it gets to us

1722
01:53:11,590 --> 01:53:18,630
in that way but yeah I I tyreke 
is the 102 feels pretty pretty 

1723
01:53:18,630 --> 01:53:23,550
comfy to me personally. 
CM, the argument for CMC is 

1724
01:53:23,550 --> 01:53:27,110
really strong in that the 
phenomenon we talked about 

1725
01:53:27,150 --> 01:53:35,590
earlier with 0RB ambiguity is is
less now and so you're just not 

1726
01:53:35,590 --> 01:53:38,350
as able to get the values on 
some of those players with 

1727
01:53:38,350 --> 01:53:42,580
really strong zero RB profiles 
anymore. 

1728
01:53:42,980 --> 01:53:47,380
So right, getting that kind of 
hero RB to hold it down with 

1729
01:53:47,380 --> 01:53:51,780
Christian McCaffrey in the first
is more appealing to me. 

1730
01:53:51,780 --> 01:53:54,340
Certainly now like I I am 
probably taking. 

1731
01:53:55,500 --> 01:53:57,900
I think the way that this first 
round played out through the 1st

1732
01:53:57,900 --> 01:54:01,940
3 is how I do it. 
Are you still chased for the 

1733
01:54:01,940 --> 01:54:04,580
105? 
I'm chased for the 104. 

1734
01:54:05,420 --> 01:54:09,130
OK, I don't. 
Dude, there's no way the Bengals

1735
01:54:09,130 --> 01:54:13,930
stay that bad, right? 
Like I. 

1736
01:54:14,050 --> 01:54:16,170
I refuse to talk. 
I'm a bit worried about the 

1737
01:54:16,610 --> 01:54:21,450
about the Burrow injury. 
The way I see it, the 8000 down,

1738
01:54:22,290 --> 01:54:24,010
like they just haven't been as 
aggressive. 

1739
01:54:24,890 --> 01:54:26,570
How long is that gonna linger 
though? 

1740
01:54:26,570 --> 01:54:31,370
You you got like 3 weeks like 
because you gotta remember this,

1741
01:54:31,370 --> 01:54:34,610
this tournament doesn't start 
until week 6, right? 

1742
01:54:34,770 --> 01:54:37,910
That is true. 
So I I think that's a way to 

1743
01:54:37,910 --> 01:54:42,670
play the market over reactions 
Like if they're like for example

1744
01:54:42,670 --> 01:54:46,670
if Cooper Cup makes it back to 
us here like my goodness, you 

1745
01:54:46,670 --> 01:54:49,510
better believe like I'm willing 
to risk that. 

1746
01:54:49,550 --> 01:54:51,990
You know like yeah, he he should
be all the way back. 

1747
01:54:52,470 --> 01:54:56,270
That's one where earlier today 
when I did I jumped in my 2 just

1748
01:54:56,270 --> 01:54:57,630
to kind of get the lay of the 
land. 

1749
01:54:58,230 --> 01:55:03,910
His ADP, I think was 27. 
And I I got the 11 and the 12 

1750
01:55:03,910 --> 01:55:07,060
hole in my drafts and I was 
like, I'm not going to take him 

1751
01:55:07,060 --> 01:55:10,300
here at the 1-2 turn even though
I would take Cooper Cup over 

1752
01:55:10,300 --> 01:55:16,020
Calvin Ridley like, whoever. 
Quick KKK like I God, I hope 

1753
01:55:16,020 --> 01:55:21,660
that name is not a illusion. 
Yeah, but this dude's A crayon 

1754
01:55:21,660 --> 01:55:23,940
eater for sure. 
Like Calvin Ridley at 13. 

1755
01:55:23,940 --> 01:55:26,740
You're bad, bro. 
Like, sorry, sorry not sorry. 

1756
01:55:27,700 --> 01:55:30,180
But Cooper Cup there at 16. 
That makes sense. 

1757
01:55:30,540 --> 01:55:33,020
Oh, by the way, like this elite 
quarterback in the second round 

1758
01:55:33,020 --> 01:55:35,850
nonsense too. 
Like, shouldn't people have? 

1759
01:55:36,010 --> 01:55:38,490
Like, how many times do we have 
to teach you this lesson? 

1760
01:55:38,490 --> 01:55:41,810
Old man like this shit was is 
not going to age well. 

1761
01:55:41,810 --> 01:55:45,290
Like, we already We're starting 
to see that the gap between the 

1762
01:55:45,290 --> 01:55:48,850
elite quarterbacks and the rest 
of the field that we saw last 

1763
01:55:48,850 --> 01:55:51,650
year was more of an anomaly than
the norm. 

1764
01:55:52,210 --> 01:55:55,170
And here we go, we're just 
taking two quarterbacks in the 

1765
01:55:55,170 --> 01:55:58,810
second round again with 
incredible players on the board.

1766
01:55:59,170 --> 01:56:03,250
Like, this is Looney Tunes 
Banana Town to me. 

1767
01:56:03,250 --> 01:56:06,880
Like taking Jalen Hertz and Pat 
Mahomes in the second round is 

1768
01:56:06,880 --> 01:56:11,440
not the business, not not a 
business that I'm gonna be 

1769
01:56:11,440 --> 01:56:15,080
investing in. 
And can you you see that you see

1770
01:56:15,880 --> 01:56:18,880
that that that thing be ohh no 
you're already on it. 

1771
01:56:18,920 --> 01:56:23,800
Never mind what's the? 
Isn't there one? 

1772
01:56:23,800 --> 01:56:26,000
Where isn't the button next to 
the X? 

1773
01:56:26,400 --> 01:56:28,520
Doesn't that make it bigger? 
Ohh, it does. 

1774
01:56:28,520 --> 01:56:30,720
It does pop the draft board out 
well. 

1775
01:56:30,760 --> 01:56:32,440
OK. 
What if you shared that one? 

1776
01:56:32,640 --> 01:56:35,150
That one might. 
Maybe after we make this pick 

1777
01:56:35,150 --> 01:56:37,150
here that does that does sound 
like the move. 

1778
01:56:38,870 --> 01:56:42,910
Who who do you like here, here 
at the 2 three turn? 

1779
01:56:43,350 --> 01:56:46,510
I'm gonna, I'm gonna go by 
position here, let you look at 

1780
01:56:46,510 --> 01:56:48,670
the running backs. 
Are there any running backs here

1781
01:56:48,670 --> 01:56:51,110
that you're really interested in
clicking at the 2/3? 

1782
01:56:52,550 --> 01:56:58,950
No, I'm not this, this feels, 
this feels very uncomfortable 

1783
01:56:58,950 --> 01:57:03,530
and yeah. 
I wow. 

1784
01:57:04,370 --> 01:57:06,610
I wanna take Wilson, but that 
doesn't seem right. 

1785
01:57:07,330 --> 01:57:13,290
No, no. 
For me I I'm like maybe DK. 

1786
01:57:13,290 --> 01:57:16,250
I'm also maybe just Mark Andrews
and and fuck. 

1787
01:57:16,250 --> 01:57:17,810
It, Yeah. 
Let's do Andrews, Andrews, 

1788
01:57:17,810 --> 01:57:21,410
Andrews, Then I I think that's 
the play, honestly. 

1789
01:57:21,450 --> 01:57:24,850
Yeah, because the receivers are 
the it's they're all same. 

1790
01:57:24,850 --> 01:57:32,910
Same but different, right? 
Yeah, agreed for sure. 

1791
01:57:33,590 --> 01:57:38,990
And the the other stuff that. 
Booms we missed out on ETN. 

1792
01:57:39,350 --> 01:57:43,230
That's that's what I had been 
alluding to when I said there's 

1793
01:57:43,230 --> 01:57:45,270
running backs that I really 
liked the 2-3 turned. 

1794
01:57:47,510 --> 01:57:52,110
But we'll we'll see who who 
falls to us here. 

1795
01:57:53,590 --> 01:57:56,510
So big Poppy takes Josh Jacobs 
with his first pick. 

1796
01:57:57,470 --> 01:57:59,890
Really. 
What I'm what I'm thinking here 

1797
01:57:59,890 --> 01:58:02,850
is I I want receiver. 
Yeah. 

1798
01:58:02,850 --> 01:58:09,010
Let me Riddle me this is 
because, like, I'm kind of 

1799
01:58:09,010 --> 01:58:12,810
tempted to play into The Jets 
doing something different at 

1800
01:58:12,810 --> 01:58:16,490
quarterback. 
Like, like by we. 

1801
01:58:16,490 --> 01:58:18,770
Want you want to fight a dip on 
a Garrett Wilson? 

1802
01:58:18,890 --> 01:58:20,810
I kind of think so. 
Like how? 

1803
01:58:20,810 --> 01:58:22,610
How far can he dip, though? 
Because. 

1804
01:58:23,010 --> 01:58:25,370
Because we could let A fall or 
fall, but I don't think he makes

1805
01:58:25,370 --> 01:58:28,140
it back to us. 
Not other guys I don't consider 

1806
01:58:28,140 --> 01:58:31,820
would be like Debo or Metcalf 
here. 

1807
01:58:32,900 --> 01:58:34,860
I'm really not taking any of 
these running backs. 

1808
01:58:34,860 --> 01:58:37,500
I don't think it's. 
Yeah necessary here I think. 

1809
01:58:37,500 --> 01:58:40,180
Yeah I think Garrett Wilson I 
think you you you did a Sean 

1810
01:58:40,180 --> 01:58:44,420
Siegel on me there. 
I've I've we just kept on 

1811
01:58:44,420 --> 01:58:48,260
talking until the pic was done. 
I I think that's my MO though is

1812
01:58:48,260 --> 01:58:50,100
just keep talking for way too 
long. 

1813
01:58:50,460 --> 01:58:53,460
Let's let's pop this out and 
we'll do the full draft for it 

1814
01:58:53,460 --> 01:58:55,020
here. 
Is that a little little better? 

1815
01:58:56,110 --> 01:59:02,350
Yeah, I think that that is much 
better and we can, let's see if 

1816
01:59:02,350 --> 01:59:08,070
I can zoom on this a little 
more, yeah. 

1817
01:59:08,230 --> 01:59:10,070
So the much better. 
Much better. 

1818
01:59:10,510 --> 01:59:15,750
So I don't, I don't think we 
have anyone in here that's 

1819
01:59:15,750 --> 01:59:18,350
watching this stream. 
I don't No one no one's 

1820
01:59:18,350 --> 01:59:20,950
identified themselves. 
So I'm just I'm gonna like for 

1821
01:59:20,950 --> 01:59:23,830
the most part put cards on the 
table just, yeah, so we can talk

1822
01:59:23,830 --> 01:59:24,070
through. 
Yeah. 

1823
01:59:24,070 --> 01:59:27,220
Everything. 
What I'm looking at here is I'm 

1824
01:59:27,220 --> 01:59:30,980
praying to God because we 
already have the bet on The Jets

1825
01:59:30,980 --> 01:59:35,220
doing something that's an 
alternative, Zach Wilson. 

1826
01:59:35,780 --> 01:59:40,340
And so if we get briefs at 47, 
we're Windmill jamming it in. 

1827
01:59:41,500 --> 01:59:44,540
The other one that I'm just 
taking all the way to the bank 

1828
01:59:44,540 --> 01:59:47,620
here is Kenneth Walker. 
I'm super, super excited about. 

1829
01:59:49,480 --> 01:59:51,880
The other one that I'm taking 
here is DeAndre Swift. 

1830
01:59:52,400 --> 01:59:56,200
I'm not he's not going to make 
it back at 70, so I'm taking him

1831
01:59:56,200 --> 02:00:02,080
here at this turn. 
Yeah, stay hydrated, says how is

1832
02:00:02,080 --> 02:00:04,880
Garrett Wilson still this 
valuable to go this high. 

1833
02:00:05,320 --> 02:00:07,760
And So what I would say is you 
need to think through the range 

1834
02:00:07,760 --> 02:00:10,080
of outcomes. 
It's not that Garrett Wilson, 

1835
02:00:10,120 --> 02:00:13,560
right now, with Zach Wilson 
throwing him the ball, is a 2-3 

1836
02:00:13,560 --> 02:00:17,120
turn, but Garrett Wilson with 
literally. 

1837
02:00:17,430 --> 02:00:19,590
Like Garrett Wilson with Joe 
Flacco. 

1838
02:00:19,750 --> 02:00:22,430
I'm like, super pumped about 
this price, right? 

1839
02:00:22,550 --> 02:00:24,190
Garrett Garrett Wilson with Joe 
Flacco. 

1840
02:00:24,190 --> 02:00:27,030
I'm ecstatic. 
I'm probably taking Garrett 

1841
02:00:27,030 --> 02:00:32,350
Wilson over like Devonta Smith 
with Joe Flacco. 

1842
02:00:32,990 --> 02:00:35,150
Taking him over Chris Olave with
Joe Flacco. 

1843
02:00:36,070 --> 02:00:40,470
He goes back to Bing and at the 
early second, second round, 

1844
02:00:40,470 --> 02:00:42,670
yeah. 
So I'm I'm just looking at like 

1845
02:00:43,430 --> 02:00:47,700
give me some competent 
quarterback and that's how the 

1846
02:00:47,700 --> 02:00:49,540
Garrett Wilson bet pays off 
here. 

1847
02:00:50,140 --> 02:00:54,300
The other thing is like we did, 
we did see Garrett Wilson have a

1848
02:00:54,300 --> 02:00:56,700
couple games with Zach Wilson 
last season. 

1849
02:00:56,700 --> 02:01:01,100
It wasn't, you know, it wasn't 
always Mike White and and Joe 

1850
02:01:01,100 --> 02:01:05,340
Flacco and the other cast of 
characters that they rolled out 

1851
02:01:05,340 --> 02:01:09,500
there. 
He's just such an elite talent 

1852
02:01:10,340 --> 02:01:14,220
that I'm willing to just bet on 
the upside there. 

1853
02:01:14,740 --> 02:01:18,110
You know, like DK Metcalf. 
Think, think about the way the 

1854
02:01:18,110 --> 02:01:20,390
way I frame it is. 
Think about it in this way. 

1855
02:01:20,990 --> 02:01:26,110
What's the How much could DK 
Metcalf outperform this ADP? 

1856
02:01:28,910 --> 02:01:31,790
Not not very much like What 
about Devo Samuel? 

1857
02:01:31,790 --> 02:01:34,590
How much could Devo Samuel 
outperform this ADP? 

1858
02:01:35,310 --> 02:01:41,870
And Debo, actually quite a bit 
if I I agree more more so in the

1859
02:01:41,870 --> 02:01:45,170
single week range of outcomes, 
right? 

1860
02:01:45,170 --> 02:01:51,610
Like Debo's single game ceiling 
is absurd to where like, even if

1861
02:01:51,610 --> 02:01:55,010
he doesn't compile crazy stats 
for you over the course of the 

1862
02:01:55,010 --> 02:01:59,930
season, you're you're looking at
you know he he does enough in 

1863
02:01:59,930 --> 02:02:02,570
single games where it when the 
money really matters. 

1864
02:02:03,850 --> 02:02:09,290
Right and and you also you have 
to like the the the contingent 

1865
02:02:09,290 --> 02:02:12,930
value for Debo is is is just 
correct correct and. 

1866
02:02:14,040 --> 02:02:18,560
And I mean he he he's probably 
the other strong candidate for 

1867
02:02:18,560 --> 02:02:21,960
who he could have taken. 
But like you said, DK Macup, 

1868
02:02:21,960 --> 02:02:25,920
Seyquan Berkeley and Lamar 
Jackson, Ram, Andre T Higgins. 

1869
02:02:30,320 --> 02:02:38,720
And that's funny. 
And those players are not a 

1870
02:02:38,760 --> 02:02:40,720
those players are not compelling
Pixie either. 

1871
02:02:40,720 --> 02:02:45,380
So it's super, super flat. 
And and and we've sort of just 

1872
02:02:45,380 --> 02:02:51,700
gone for the for the upside. 
Yeah that's I mean that's I'm 

1873
02:02:51,700 --> 02:02:55,540
I'm always gonna build my teams 
around like trying to capture 

1874
02:02:55,860 --> 02:02:58,980
the crazy ceiling where I'm I'm 
just winning the tournament now.

1875
02:02:58,980 --> 02:03:00,900
Ohh. 
DeAndre Swift goes one pick 

1876
02:03:00,900 --> 02:03:04,180
before us. 
That is very brutal. 

1877
02:03:04,180 --> 02:03:05,620
That's been happening to me all 
day. 

1878
02:03:05,620 --> 02:03:10,020
I'm pretty sad. 
So, I mean, it's right, Najay, 

1879
02:03:10,020 --> 02:03:13,620
right? 
So at running back it's starting

1880
02:03:13,620 --> 02:03:17,340
to be a little scary. 
I'm definitely interested in 

1881
02:03:17,340 --> 02:03:22,700
Kyron Williams. 
The other picks I'd be 

1882
02:03:22,700 --> 02:03:26,900
considering here would be like a
George Pickens. 

1883
02:03:26,900 --> 02:03:29,580
But that offense isn't great. 
We oughta drafted Kyron 

1884
02:03:29,580 --> 02:03:32,620
Williams. 
Do you do you think Kyron was 

1885
02:03:32,620 --> 02:03:38,660
reasonable there? 
He has a yeah, it is somewhat 

1886
02:03:38,660 --> 02:03:42,820
reasonable and. 
I think if we were just me 

1887
02:03:42,820 --> 02:03:48,380
drafting that that's probably 
just as a smidge rich for me and

1888
02:03:48,380 --> 02:03:51,460
but you know when you when you 
draft with somebody else also 

1889
02:03:51,460 --> 02:03:56,100
good to get players that they're
interested in and none of the 

1890
02:03:56,100 --> 02:03:59,700
players were screaming here 
either and I think who is 

1891
02:03:59,700 --> 02:04:03,980
interesting would be Jovante 
just because it is the Week 6 

1892
02:04:03,980 --> 02:04:10,270
tournament OK and but. 
I also I don't see everybody 

1893
02:04:10,270 --> 02:04:17,350
who's yeah, I think, I think 
you're right. 

1894
02:04:17,350 --> 02:04:20,470
We'll get some receivers that 
that could come back to us that 

1895
02:04:20,470 --> 02:04:25,150
I'm happy with and running back 
it does dry up a little bit 

1896
02:04:25,150 --> 02:04:31,550
where a lot of the the guys that
we're more interested in, they 

1897
02:04:34,310 --> 02:04:38,150
they definitely are, you know 
coming off the board a little. 

1898
02:04:38,150 --> 02:04:41,630
Earlier here where this must run
out here. 

1899
02:04:42,230 --> 02:04:45,630
We missed the put off on the 
running backs were super 

1900
02:04:45,630 --> 02:04:47,590
excited. 
The draft that yeah this this 

1901
02:04:47,590 --> 02:04:52,310
run out of Kenneth Walker, Joe 
Mixon, James Cook, Brisal 

1902
02:04:52,310 --> 02:04:57,830
DeAndre Swift was less than 
ideal for us cuz those those are

1903
02:04:57,830 --> 02:05:02,110
all guys I would have clicked 
and I I do think that we we 

1904
02:05:02,110 --> 02:05:06,710
probably got the beginning of 
another tier rather than getting

1905
02:05:06,710 --> 02:05:10,230
the end of this last tier which 
is a little unfortunate. 

1906
02:05:12,510 --> 02:05:20,470
Yeah, but Kyron definitely like 
easily strongest role there And 

1907
02:05:20,750 --> 02:05:25,030
of the players with the really 
high yeah, unexpectedly really 

1908
02:05:25,030 --> 02:05:30,990
high work share, he's definitely
the strongest case to hold on to

1909
02:05:30,990 --> 02:05:36,140
it and. 
Even I think even just his his 

1910
02:05:36,140 --> 02:05:40,980
passing then work almost like is
almost worth this pick. 

1911
02:05:41,820 --> 02:05:44,900
And then Jovante. 
He just hopes that as he ramps 

1912
02:05:44,900 --> 02:05:52,420
up, back up from the ACL tear 
and that given that it's Week 6 

1913
02:05:52,420 --> 02:05:56,500
and on, just just becomes one 
one of those players where we, 

1914
02:05:56,540 --> 02:06:01,340
we don't see it now but in the 
later weeks in the season is a 

1915
02:06:01,340 --> 02:06:04,060
very strong pick. 
Yeah, I am. 

1916
02:06:04,900 --> 02:06:09,620
I'm a little less bullish about 
Jovante than you because I I 

1917
02:06:09,620 --> 02:06:15,020
kind of see that this, this 
split in the backfield, I don't 

1918
02:06:15,020 --> 02:06:18,580
see it changing very much 
regardless of his health. 

1919
02:06:18,660 --> 02:06:21,180
And so really, I think what 
you're playing for then is 

1920
02:06:21,180 --> 02:06:23,460
you're playing for increased 
efficiency. 

1921
02:06:25,020 --> 02:06:28,220
You know, both, both increased 
efficiency from Jovante himself 

1922
02:06:28,380 --> 02:06:33,390
and from the offense. 
And so I don't know that that's 

1923
02:06:33,390 --> 02:06:35,390
the bet that I'm super excited 
to make. 

1924
02:06:35,390 --> 02:06:38,630
But when I, when I consider the 
alternatives that are going 

1925
02:06:38,630 --> 02:06:46,030
around here, like Ohh, who is 
this rat bastard from the 12 

1926
02:06:46,030 --> 02:06:48,510
taking Tua here? 
I mean, this is a good price for

1927
02:06:48,510 --> 02:06:50,230
Tua. 
I was just really hoping he'd 

1928
02:06:50,230 --> 02:06:52,750
make it back to us. 
This guy's taking him entirely 

1929
02:06:52,750 --> 02:06:53,430
unstacked. 
Ugh. 

1930
02:06:55,910 --> 02:06:59,190
I'm not a fan of, not a fan of 
the drafter and the 12 here. 

1931
02:07:01,090 --> 02:07:07,090
Tree strikes and you're out. 
Yeah, but that's that's a big 

1932
02:07:07,090 --> 02:07:11,450
bummer for me. 
Was really my my plan here was 

1933
02:07:11,450 --> 02:07:14,570
we get to it here and then after
the turn, they're they're a 

1934
02:07:14,570 --> 02:07:17,370
bunch of wide receivers. 
I like who's going to be happy 

1935
02:07:17,370 --> 02:07:21,580
with whoever the field gave us. 
But it's fine. 

1936
02:07:21,740 --> 02:07:24,780
We'll we'll navigate around that
the the one thing that I'm 

1937
02:07:24,780 --> 02:07:28,340
really considering here is I 
need to open up some stacking 

1938
02:07:28,500 --> 02:07:31,660
options here. 
Like we've got a back stack with

1939
02:07:31,660 --> 02:07:35,220
Stafford and back stack with 
Russ available here getting 

1940
02:07:35,220 --> 02:07:36,980
getting some major receivers 
with them. 

1941
02:07:37,500 --> 02:07:41,100
So I'm keeping you know that's 
that's available. 

1942
02:07:41,100 --> 02:07:45,620
But I'm definitely prioritizing 
pass catchers that increase my 

1943
02:07:45,620 --> 02:07:51,170
optionality now. 
Yeah, George Pickens making it 

1944
02:07:51,170 --> 02:07:54,130
all the way to 67 seems 
interesting to me. 

1945
02:07:54,370 --> 02:07:57,810
I mean, the offense looks bad, 
but he looks like a pretty 

1946
02:07:57,810 --> 02:08:04,050
interesting player. 
I do know that going back and 

1947
02:08:04,050 --> 02:08:08,130
forth does turn my my overlay 
off, so I wanted to get back 

1948
02:08:08,130 --> 02:08:10,530
here and refresh in time to get 
my overlay up. 

1949
02:08:11,930 --> 02:08:15,090
And I've got a couple different 
guys here that I like. 

1950
02:08:16,950 --> 02:08:19,750
Not really interested in any of 
the quarterbacks at this point, 

1951
02:08:19,750 --> 02:08:22,470
really just looking at wide 
receiver and running back. 

1952
02:08:23,070 --> 02:08:26,470
Is there anyone here that you 
have a strong preference for? 

1953
02:08:27,350 --> 02:08:36,670
And it doesn't feel strong. 
And so Mike Williams out at 

1954
02:08:36,670 --> 02:08:39,990
Drake London definitely feels 
like you're getting the bad 

1955
02:08:40,550 --> 02:08:44,290
season here. 
Yeah, let's Scroll down a 

1956
02:08:44,290 --> 02:08:46,450
little, Jerry. 
Judy feels very good here 

1957
02:08:46,450 --> 02:08:48,530
actually. 
OK I'm. 

1958
02:08:48,650 --> 02:08:51,690
I'm definitely Kirk over Judy 
but I would I'd be willing to 

1959
02:08:51,690 --> 02:08:54,810
and and Kirk does have the 
higher eighty piece but I I'd be

1960
02:08:54,810 --> 02:08:57,930
down to double tap that. 
Yeah, that sounds good. 

1961
02:09:05,110 --> 02:09:08,870
Just because I'm like we talked 
about earlier, I'm, I'm 

1962
02:09:08,870 --> 02:09:11,630
comfortable playing it through 
Sutton as well. 

1963
02:09:15,110 --> 02:09:19,160
Not, not that I think that you 
know, he's a better player than 

1964
02:09:19,160 --> 02:09:20,800
Judy. 
But if if the market's gonna 

1965
02:09:20,800 --> 02:09:27,040
give me Sutton so much cheaper, 
I'm down to tend to oblige. 

1966
02:09:30,000 --> 02:09:33,840
I mean they're sort of cheap 
enough that you can you can 

1967
02:09:33,840 --> 02:09:39,400
double stock here. 
But who who would you be taking 

1968
02:09:39,400 --> 02:09:44,750
instead instead of Judy here? 
Probably not. 

1969
02:09:45,070 --> 02:09:47,190
I'm not terribly interested in 
anyone. 

1970
02:09:47,870 --> 02:09:52,150
Dotson I think is is going to be
a good follower to just let let 

1971
02:09:52,150 --> 02:09:55,510
him fall. 
So yeah, Judy is definitely the 

1972
02:09:55,510 --> 02:09:59,790
most appealing receiver here. 
JSN is like tempting but I I'm 

1973
02:09:59,790 --> 02:10:02,510
going to let him fall. 
I'm actually. 

1974
02:10:02,510 --> 02:10:04,670
I'm pretty interested in 
Montgomery actually. 

1975
02:10:04,870 --> 02:10:08,290
I'm I think no I'll I'll do Judy
here. 

1976
02:10:08,290 --> 02:10:10,250
I'll see if we can get 
Montgomery to fall because of 

1977
02:10:10,250 --> 02:10:12,930
the injury. 
But just the way that that 

1978
02:10:12,930 --> 02:10:18,570
offense they've kind of they tip
their hand and they're I think 

1979
02:10:18,570 --> 02:10:22,570
that when Montgomery comes back 
healthy he's going to he's going

1980
02:10:22,570 --> 02:10:29,290
to take enough of the role that 
he's valuable and and that he's 

1981
02:10:29,290 --> 02:10:37,640
frustrating for Gibbs managers 
yet I'll I'll give us a quick 

1982
02:10:37,640 --> 02:10:42,280
recap here So we're through 7 
rounds started with Tyree kill 

1983
02:10:42,360 --> 02:10:46,600
Mark Andrews at the two or Tyree
kill from the two spot Mark 

1984
02:10:46,600 --> 02:10:52,040
Andrews Garrett Wilson at the 2.
Three turn get sniped by one 

1985
02:10:52,040 --> 02:10:55,320
pick on DeAndre swift big bummer
there. 

1986
02:10:55,600 --> 02:10:59,440
Had to settle for Kyron Williams
at the 4-5 turn followed it up 

1987
02:10:59,440 --> 02:11:04,250
with Javante Williams. 
Then at the 6-7 turn we double 

1988
02:11:04,250 --> 02:11:07,210
tap receiver with Christian Kirk
Jerry Judy. 

1989
02:11:08,370 --> 02:11:11,770
So I think that we're we're not 
behind the 8 ball on receiver. 

1990
02:11:12,410 --> 02:11:15,970
We're definitely looking for you
know Garrett Wilson to get a 

1991
02:11:15,970 --> 02:11:19,330
quarterback upgrade to feel good
about that pick and the price 

1992
02:11:19,330 --> 02:11:21,210
that we took him at. 
But I think that's pretty 

1993
02:11:21,210 --> 02:11:24,210
squarely within the range of 
outcomes As far as our 

1994
02:11:24,210 --> 02:11:30,760
quarterback options here. 
My goodness the guy from the 

1995
02:11:30,760 --> 02:11:36,840
four hole is unhinged. 
Taking Justin Fields at 52 

1996
02:11:38,320 --> 02:11:42,600
unstacked and then taking Gino 
Smith to stack with Tyler 

1997
02:11:42,600 --> 02:11:46,160
Lockett but taking Gino in the 
7th where I've seen Gino falling

1998
02:11:46,800 --> 02:11:50,280
you know well into the hundreds 
today in the couple drafts that 

1999
02:11:50,280 --> 02:11:53,200
I did and it's a DP is is also 
around there. 

2000
02:11:53,200 --> 02:11:58,560
So we've got we've got some live
ones in in the room for sure. 

2001
02:12:00,460 --> 02:12:03,060
I don't think that's 
particularly good to take Gino 

2002
02:12:03,060 --> 02:12:06,900
here in the seventh round. 
I'm not sure what the fuck is 

2003
02:12:06,900 --> 02:12:09,500
going on with quarterback in 
this draft. 

2004
02:12:09,500 --> 02:12:15,780
We've got Gino going at 76. 
You know two are going unstacked

2005
02:12:15,780 --> 02:12:19,100
at 61 This this price is 
reasonable for two of us taking 

2006
02:12:19,100 --> 02:12:23,420
him unstacked. 
The Kirk Cousins price seems 

2007
02:12:23,460 --> 02:12:27,740
reasonable to me here. 
Like he definitely should should

2008
02:12:27,740 --> 02:12:33,160
be moving on up. 
But this guy's gonna be hurt and

2009
02:12:33,160 --> 02:12:37,200
bad for receiver in the three 
hole starting DK Metcalf, 

2010
02:12:37,200 --> 02:12:40,560
Marquis Brown, and those are his
only two receivers through 

2011
02:12:40,560 --> 02:12:43,040
seven. 
I think he's gonna be in for a 

2012
02:12:43,040 --> 02:12:47,240
pretty bad time. 
Here, yeah, that makes sense. 

2013
02:12:47,920 --> 02:12:53,720
And what we have that we did get
a question in about a while ago 

2014
02:12:54,160 --> 02:12:57,560
and. 
How are we looking at late 

2015
02:12:57,560 --> 02:13:01,280
season, late season matchups in 
the tournament? 

2016
02:13:01,280 --> 02:13:04,120
Now we have more information on 
which defenses are good. 

2017
02:13:04,880 --> 02:13:07,480
I don't. 
I'm still mostly ignoring 

2018
02:13:07,880 --> 02:13:12,920
defensive matchup stuff just 
because it you're still talking 

2019
02:13:12,920 --> 02:13:17,760
about like 4, like that's 3 1/2 
months away like. 

2020
02:13:18,390 --> 02:13:20,190
And we only have three weeks of 
data. 

2021
02:13:20,190 --> 02:13:24,710
Like, it's so hard to to say 
hey, we know which defenses to 

2022
02:13:24,710 --> 02:13:29,670
avoid now and that that is just 
not it's not a factor for me. 

2023
02:13:30,590 --> 02:13:31,910
Yeah, I agree. 
It's you. 

2024
02:13:31,950 --> 02:13:35,350
You don't actually fuck. 
La Porta goes here at 98. 

2025
02:13:35,350 --> 02:13:39,870
That was who I was going to 
suggest at 95, just being too 

2026
02:13:39,870 --> 02:13:43,150
greedy on La Porta. 
Just I just need to start 

2027
02:13:43,430 --> 02:13:48,370
aggressively taking him. 
He's going to rise so much, 

2028
02:13:49,690 --> 02:13:52,330
very, very bummed to have zero 
Laporta through three drafts. 

2029
02:13:53,170 --> 02:13:55,610
But to go back to the defense 
thing, you don't actually know 

2030
02:13:55,610 --> 02:13:58,250
what defenses are good. 
You know, we think we know what 

2031
02:13:58,250 --> 02:14:00,290
defenses are good. 
But number one, it's only been 

2032
02:14:00,290 --> 02:14:02,770
three weeks. 
We, you know, the Cowboys were 

2033
02:14:02,770 --> 02:14:05,170
the best defense to ever play in
the National Football League 

2034
02:14:05,210 --> 02:14:08,770
through week two, you know, So 
we just don't know what defenses

2035
02:14:08,770 --> 02:14:11,490
are good. 
The only thing you know is what 

2036
02:14:11,490 --> 02:14:15,440
two teams play each other in 
Week 17, and that is the way 

2037
02:14:15,440 --> 02:14:17,640
that you should play this game. 
You don't know anything. 

2038
02:14:17,760 --> 02:14:20,200
None of us know anything. 
But we do know what the NFL 

2039
02:14:20,200 --> 02:14:22,920
schedule is, right? 
I mean, within reason, like, 

2040
02:14:23,120 --> 02:14:24,840
right? 
Maybe Maybe another game gets 

2041
02:14:24,840 --> 02:14:28,600
canceled, maybe an earthquake 
happens and swallows the the 

2042
02:14:28,600 --> 02:14:33,600
ground hole, but yeah. 
You wanna? 

2043
02:14:34,160 --> 02:14:38,960
Yeah. 
So and now actually we're still 

2044
02:14:38,960 --> 02:14:46,740
not interested and. 
So JSN would be the eight round.

2045
02:14:49,460 --> 02:14:52,700
None of none of these running 
backs are ones that I'm right 

2046
02:14:52,700 --> 02:14:56,460
very interested in here. 
I think that by taking our two 

2047
02:14:56,460 --> 02:15:01,420
early ones we kind of put 
ourselves in a position to where

2048
02:15:01,420 --> 02:15:04,660
we can can wait on running back 
and just attack the position 

2049
02:15:04,660 --> 02:15:10,190
through volume. 
I think this is you know this is

2050
02:15:10,190 --> 02:15:12,470
pretty reasonable for JSN. 
The other thing, yeah this is a 

2051
02:15:12,630 --> 02:15:16,950
pretty micro thing week five 
players should increase in value

2052
02:15:17,310 --> 02:15:20,270
because yeah you're they don't 
have a buy technically in this 

2053
02:15:20,270 --> 02:15:24,590
tournament. 
So yeah I'm I'm willing to to do

2054
02:15:24,590 --> 02:15:30,990
bets on JSN here. 
We do have now now that we miss 

2055
02:15:30,990 --> 02:15:35,550
Laporta, who I was really hoping
to get Andrews, Laporta as my 

2056
02:15:35,550 --> 02:15:37,790
tight ends and just be done at 
the position. 

2057
02:15:39,560 --> 02:15:43,920
I'm not really super interested 
in Kyle Pitts as far as 

2058
02:15:43,920 --> 02:15:47,800
quarterback is concerned. 
We've got Lawrence in the 90s. 

2059
02:15:49,480 --> 02:15:52,160
Yeah, let's take them. 
I think it's reasonable. 

2060
02:15:52,720 --> 02:15:54,360
Yeah. 
We also have that first week of 

2061
02:15:54,360 --> 02:15:57,120
the playoffs correlation. 
And then there's a couple other 

2062
02:15:58,080 --> 02:16:01,460
good matchups here that I 
actually like as far as like 

2063
02:16:01,460 --> 02:16:04,420
getting players and not not 
specifically talking about like,

2064
02:16:04,420 --> 02:16:06,740
oh, I'm happy to target Tampa 
Bay or Carolina. 

2065
02:16:06,740 --> 02:16:10,380
Like the defenses, I'm happy to 
target these teams because of 

2066
02:16:10,380 --> 02:16:13,300
the optionality they give me in 
the draft, what players it opens

2067
02:16:13,300 --> 02:16:18,660
up for me for stacking purposes,
just to to talk it through while

2068
02:16:18,660 --> 02:16:20,660
we're on the clock. 
Are there any of these receivers

2069
02:16:20,660 --> 02:16:23,180
here where you would be 
considering taking them over, 

2070
02:16:23,180 --> 02:16:25,980
Lawrence? 
No, I don't think so. 

2071
02:16:26,100 --> 02:16:30,700
I think it's 10 now enough that 
receiver here that Lawrence is 

2072
02:16:30,700 --> 02:16:33,580
the right pick. 
And I think it's also 

2073
02:16:33,580 --> 02:16:36,980
interesting because given we 
sort of like we showed some some

2074
02:16:36,980 --> 02:16:41,180
concern about Lawrence at the 
start of the draft. 

2075
02:16:41,820 --> 02:16:45,900
Would you mind scrolling back to
quarterback and just see who we 

2076
02:16:46,580 --> 02:16:49,700
we took, which quarterbacks we 
took them over and? 

2077
02:16:50,750 --> 02:16:54,910
So we took him over to Sean 
Watson, over Anthony Richardson,

2078
02:16:54,910 --> 02:16:57,510
Daniel Jones, Zach Prescott, 
Jared Guff. 

2079
02:16:58,150 --> 02:17:01,430
But that feels right. 
He still, it still feels like 

2080
02:17:01,430 --> 02:17:04,030
Trevor Lawrence should go ahead 
of that. 

2081
02:17:04,510 --> 02:17:10,389
That's here because like we did 
know some concerns and that he 

2082
02:17:10,389 --> 02:17:14,990
hasn't played very efficiently 
and but we are only true two 

2083
02:17:14,990 --> 02:17:18,160
weeks. 
Yeah, I think this was for me, 

2084
02:17:18,160 --> 02:17:22,680
this was always where he should 
have gone, just like in this 

2085
02:17:22,680 --> 02:17:25,400
range with these kinds of pocket
passers. 

2086
02:17:25,400 --> 02:17:28,400
And I I always thought that Tua 
should be going where he was 

2087
02:17:28,400 --> 02:17:31,200
going. 
And so the market is finally 

2088
02:17:31,200 --> 02:17:34,719
gonna get that right. 
It seems like Tua and Trevor 

2089
02:17:34,719 --> 02:17:38,040
Lawrence are gonna complete 
their Freaky Friday ADP swap 

2090
02:17:38,120 --> 02:17:42,400
that they they did over the 
summer and they'll now they'll 

2091
02:17:42,400 --> 02:17:47,580
be more appropriately priced. 
I mean I guess I'll just I'll 

2092
02:17:47,580 --> 02:17:49,219
fucking mush myself all the way 
here. 

2093
02:17:49,219 --> 02:17:53,379
But two it should be like 
probably a fourth round pick if 

2094
02:17:53,379 --> 02:17:56,139
you're not taking you know like 
let's let's go back and look at 

2095
02:17:56,139 --> 02:18:01,059
the board. 
So like I think this group of 

2096
02:18:01,059 --> 02:18:05,940
quarterbacks, Hertz, Mahomes, 
Allen, Lamar, I'm willing to 

2097
02:18:05,940 --> 02:18:08,580
move Herbert up with Lamar in 
that range. 

2098
02:18:08,980 --> 02:18:13,160
That should probably go like 
right here like right where this

2099
02:18:13,160 --> 02:18:17,440
Jonathan Taylor, Derek Henry, TJ
Hawkinson, like where your pick.

2100
02:18:17,440 --> 02:18:19,760
I probably still take Kenneth 
Walker over them. 

2101
02:18:19,760 --> 02:18:22,480
So I think they're like back of 
the third beginning of the 

2102
02:18:22,480 --> 02:18:26,879
fourth type picks. 
And I think that Tua should be 

2103
02:18:26,879 --> 02:18:29,559
right here with Justin Herbert. 
I think Justin Herbert and Tua 

2104
02:18:29,959 --> 02:18:32,360
shouldn't really go all that 
different from each other. 

2105
02:18:32,360 --> 02:18:35,000
And in fact, like you probably 
could say that Tua should go 

2106
02:18:35,639 --> 02:18:40,049
right with Mahomes hurts Allen 
Lamar. 

2107
02:18:40,090 --> 02:18:43,930
I don't think it's that crazy. 
Like, I know it sounds weird, I 

2108
02:18:43,930 --> 02:18:47,889
know we have to unanchor 
ourselves from past prices, but 

2109
02:18:49,370 --> 02:18:51,850
I think it's right. 
Pretty sure that's correct. 

2110
02:18:53,730 --> 02:19:01,809
Yeah, the 12 hole exists. 
The 12 hole exists on this earth

2111
02:19:01,809 --> 02:19:05,770
to tilt me. 
This guy's out here drafting. 

2112
02:19:05,770 --> 02:19:09,190
I'm just gonna be blunt, 12 
hole. 

2113
02:19:09,190 --> 02:19:11,910
If you ever end up watching this
stream, it's nothing against you

2114
02:19:11,910 --> 02:19:15,230
as a person, but you are 
drafting like an idiot. 

2115
02:19:15,590 --> 02:19:18,190
You're taking all my players 
that I want, but you're taking 

2116
02:19:18,190 --> 02:19:22,910
them like multiple, multiple 
rounds earlier than they should 

2117
02:19:22,910 --> 02:19:25,309
go. 
And so it's just tilting me. 

2118
02:19:25,590 --> 02:19:29,030
Like Luke, Musgrave probably 
shouldn't go at 108, but he's 

2119
02:19:29,030 --> 02:19:30,430
someone I'm super excited to 
get. 

2120
02:19:30,430 --> 02:19:33,570
Like at 143. 
Hunter Henry shouldn't go at 

2121
02:19:33,570 --> 02:19:34,610
109. 
Someone. 

2122
02:19:34,610 --> 02:19:41,129
I'm super excited to get it. 
You know 146, I hate you. 12 

2123
02:19:41,129 --> 02:19:43,730
hole. 
You're my my mortal enemy now. 

2124
02:19:47,570 --> 02:19:53,170
So we chase stats, then we, then
we we make blood. 

2125
02:19:53,410 --> 02:19:56,090
Blood enemies for yeah. 
Then we then we tilt our faces 

2126
02:19:56,090 --> 02:19:58,770
off. 
Blood vendettas, yeah. 

2127
02:20:03,790 --> 02:20:08,430
So and so and we're sort of 
balanced here true, true non 

2128
02:20:08,430 --> 02:20:12,510
rounds which does give us like a
little bit of sort of option 

2129
02:20:12,630 --> 02:20:16,830
optionality and as as we don't 
we don't necessarily have to 

2130
02:20:16,830 --> 02:20:20,550
pick a certain position. 
Yeah, I'm gonna, I'm gonna give 

2131
02:20:20,550 --> 02:20:24,430
us a little more time to decide 
on this here because I think we 

2132
02:20:24,430 --> 02:20:27,470
have a couple tough decisions 
based on who's left on the 

2133
02:20:27,470 --> 02:20:31,960
board. 
We'll just look at QB just to 

2134
02:20:31,960 --> 02:20:35,960
like see what's still available.
And so for me, I'm in this, I'm 

2135
02:20:35,960 --> 02:20:39,160
in a spot where I basically 
wanna push QB and just like take

2136
02:20:39,160 --> 02:20:40,600
the followers. 
Yeah. 

2137
02:20:41,800 --> 02:20:46,960
And so I'm really more so 
interested in in running back in

2138
02:20:46,960 --> 02:20:50,960
wide receiver here. 
Out of these running backs and 

2139
02:20:50,960 --> 02:20:54,320
wide receivers, is there anyone 
that's very interesting to you? 

2140
02:20:55,740 --> 02:20:58,380
I think Dubs is pretty 
interesting. 

2141
02:20:58,380 --> 02:21:03,300
Yeah, that's the one that stuck 
out to me as well and and then 

2142
02:21:03,300 --> 02:21:06,740
I'm gonna throw out a name 
that's probably too early and 

2143
02:21:06,820 --> 02:21:11,300
but I think we'll be too we'll 
be not early enough is Rashi 

2144
02:21:11,300 --> 02:21:13,980
rice. 
I think you're right, man. 

2145
02:21:13,980 --> 02:21:18,260
You've been trying to sell me on
Rashi Rice all offseason when we

2146
02:21:18,260 --> 02:21:23,860
were drafting together and. 
I'll go ahead and, I mean, it's 

2147
02:21:23,860 --> 02:21:26,180
not even, like, to the point 
where I need to capitulate yet. 

2148
02:21:26,180 --> 02:21:29,180
He hasn't done a ton yet, but 
he's the best receiver on the 

2149
02:21:29,180 --> 02:21:33,620
team, right? 
Like yeah, easily, easily and 

2150
02:21:34,500 --> 02:21:38,620
and then he's in in week one, 
2.4 yards for that run. 

2151
02:21:38,860 --> 02:21:42,780
Week 23.3 yards for that run. 
We treat a 2.8 yards for that 

2152
02:21:42,780 --> 02:21:49,110
run and then then his his route 
share and and weak tree. 

2153
02:21:49,190 --> 02:21:52,950
Now maybe it was because of the 
blowout and what it did get up 

2154
02:21:52,950 --> 02:21:57,150
to 51%. 
So definitely feels like an 

2155
02:21:57,150 --> 02:22:00,630
emerging break out there. 
So we're we're good with dubs 

2156
02:22:00,630 --> 02:22:06,830
here, yes. 
OK, here's here's the question. 

2157
02:22:07,070 --> 02:22:11,190
Do we try to play the ADP game 
on rice and push him all the way

2158
02:22:11,190 --> 02:22:16,960
around or do we just? 
Just say that he is the best 

2159
02:22:16,960 --> 02:22:19,360
option here. 
I mean, the ceiling case for 

2160
02:22:19,360 --> 02:22:24,600
Rice above all these other 
receivers is pretty tantalizing.

2161
02:22:27,360 --> 02:22:35,400
And do so Rashi Rice. 
So would be pick 154. 

2162
02:22:35,680 --> 02:22:37,320
Roshan, Roshan goes. 
I was. 

2163
02:22:37,320 --> 02:22:46,010
That was what I was gonna, OK, 
discuss and so and he's like the

2164
02:22:46,090 --> 02:22:49,730
end of the 12th normally but 
we're getting in the beginning 

2165
02:22:49,730 --> 02:22:54,330
of the 11th that Yeah, but I 
wouldn't overtake that even a 

2166
02:22:54,330 --> 02:22:56,130
tiny bit. 
OK. 

2167
02:22:57,690 --> 02:22:59,810
Like. 
Yeah he's he's the he's the best

2168
02:22:59,810 --> 02:23:04,010
ceiling for sure here and and 
you know what I think we we got 

2169
02:23:04,090 --> 02:23:08,410
done a favor this last week by 
him where he didn't convert that

2170
02:23:08,410 --> 02:23:11,370
touchdown he ended up down on 
like the one inch line because 

2171
02:23:11,370 --> 02:23:14,930
he's probably going higher if he
converts that but. 

2172
02:23:16,530 --> 02:23:20,050
To me, just through the first 
couple weeks, that looks like 

2173
02:23:20,050 --> 02:23:23,810
the guy that you want to have in
that offense. 

2174
02:23:23,810 --> 02:23:28,610
I don't see any of the other 
receivers emerging enough to to 

2175
02:23:28,610 --> 02:23:30,650
have a role that you're excited 
about. 

2176
02:23:30,650 --> 02:23:34,010
But he is. 
I think the range is widest 

2177
02:23:34,010 --> 02:23:36,130
because he's a rookie. 
We've seen the least we have. 

2178
02:23:36,170 --> 02:23:41,130
We have the least amount of data
to you know to know what he is. 

2179
02:23:42,440 --> 02:23:45,080
And in the limited stuff that 
we've seen he's he's flashed a 

2180
02:23:45,080 --> 02:23:52,360
little. 
So, yeah and yeah, where when he

2181
02:23:52,360 --> 02:23:57,240
plays he's been heavily targeted
and when he's targeted he makes 

2182
02:23:57,240 --> 02:24:02,840
plays and then he's a he's a 
second round drop pick as well. 

2183
02:24:02,840 --> 02:24:06,760
So and and and and it this 
doesn't start the week 6 as 

2184
02:24:06,760 --> 02:24:09,920
well. 
So like to me I I I'm obviously 

2185
02:24:10,430 --> 02:24:13,870
maybe a little bit too bullish, 
but to me it feels like we got 

2186
02:24:13,870 --> 02:24:18,190
the, the the chief starting wide
receiver, best wide receiver in 

2187
02:24:18,190 --> 02:24:20,750
the 11 rounds. 
Yeah, I know you're you're 

2188
02:24:20,750 --> 02:24:24,790
right. 
This is this is where the the 

2189
02:24:24,790 --> 02:24:28,510
ADP value goblin comes out of 
me. 

2190
02:24:28,590 --> 02:24:32,310
And he's like, oh, but if if you
liked Rashi in the 11th, 

2191
02:24:32,310 --> 02:24:33,950
wouldn't you love him in the 
12th? 

2192
02:24:33,950 --> 02:24:36,310
It's like, yeah, you would, but 
like, what are you really? 

2193
02:24:36,990 --> 02:24:40,950
There was if my if Roshon had 
been on the board still there 

2194
02:24:41,030 --> 02:24:43,990
that was gonna be pushing for 
what I was gonna push for Yeah. 

2195
02:24:45,550 --> 02:24:47,310
Yeah. 
And and and that would've been 

2196
02:24:47,310 --> 02:24:51,110
that would've been a hard 
argument to to resist and but 

2197
02:24:51,110 --> 02:24:58,430
definitely glad we got glad glad
we got Rushy there for sure and 

2198
02:24:58,830 --> 02:25:02,310
some of these picks like it is 
interesting where you see like 

2199
02:25:02,510 --> 02:25:07,730
Odell back home. 
Josh Josh Palmer 126 is that's 

2200
02:25:07,730 --> 02:25:12,650
just funny man. 
Pat Ryerman in the 11th that 

2201
02:25:12,650 --> 02:25:15,370
does I I I'm definitely happy 
that we took Rice. 

2202
02:25:15,370 --> 02:25:19,010
But Pat Ryerman in the 11th that
that does seem like 

2203
02:25:20,610 --> 02:25:25,690
inefficiently like low I. 
Don't think it's that 

2204
02:25:25,690 --> 02:25:28,370
inefficient. 
I think like 10th I guess like 

2205
02:25:28,370 --> 02:25:32,250
where he went in the 11th. 
He he's like middle of the 11th.

2206
02:25:32,290 --> 02:25:34,690
I don't know, 10th, 10th seems 
kind of reasonable to him. 

2207
02:25:34,690 --> 02:25:40,730
The offense is bad, yeah. 
He he he hasn't been. 

2208
02:25:41,170 --> 02:25:43,450
I think we're just anchored a 
little bit too much to his 

2209
02:25:43,450 --> 02:25:48,050
previous price. 
I I think like so this pits 

2210
02:25:48,050 --> 02:25:53,770
price I think is about correct. 
Yeah this La Porta price is not 

2211
02:25:53,770 --> 02:25:55,610
correct. 
It should be a lot earlier. 

2212
02:25:56,930 --> 02:25:58,570
This Ingram price is not 
correct. 

2213
02:25:58,570 --> 02:26:01,230
It should be later. 
This Goddard price is not 

2214
02:26:01,230 --> 02:26:03,470
correct. 
It should be later the kill you 

2215
02:26:03,590 --> 02:26:05,550
think Goddard should be later 
than 87? 

2216
02:26:05,950 --> 02:26:10,390
Yeah, yeah, I don't. 
I at tight end, what's happening

2217
02:26:10,430 --> 02:26:14,710
is the people are trying to 
draft guys because they're like 

2218
02:26:15,390 --> 02:26:18,150
their wish casting that Dallas 
Goddard's going to be this elite

2219
02:26:18,150 --> 02:26:20,990
tight end and he's not. 
Dallas Goddard is Hunter Henry. 

2220
02:26:21,230 --> 02:26:24,270
You know, like show me the 
difference. 

2221
02:26:24,270 --> 02:26:26,830
You know, like there isn't a 
difference. 

2222
02:26:26,830 --> 02:26:29,590
He's just on a better offense, 
but he's less involved, like. 

2223
02:26:29,980 --> 02:26:33,100
I don't care. 
Like get out of here with your 

2224
02:26:33,100 --> 02:26:37,460
expensive fancy Hunter Henry. 
Like I'll take later Hunter 

2225
02:26:37,460 --> 02:26:40,580
Henry. 
He's not good either. 

2226
02:26:40,580 --> 02:26:43,580
Like I know that early in his 
career we were excited about 

2227
02:26:43,580 --> 02:26:46,060
like him potentially being like 
a really good player. 

2228
02:26:46,500 --> 02:26:50,100
If you've this is this is a 
watching ball take. 

2229
02:26:50,100 --> 02:26:53,220
So like huge grain of salt. 
Probably not worth listening to.

2230
02:26:53,620 --> 02:26:55,700
He's looked bad with the ball in
his hands. 

2231
02:26:55,700 --> 02:26:58,660
He looks like a slow, lumbering 
dude. 

2232
02:26:58,900 --> 02:26:59,380
Where? 
It's. 

2233
02:27:00,000 --> 02:27:03,200
Not a guy that they should be 
forcing the ball to. 

2234
02:27:03,200 --> 02:27:07,840
He seems like, I I don't know. 
To me he seems like he should be

2235
02:27:07,840 --> 02:27:09,920
like a Jason Witten type of 
tight end. 

2236
02:27:09,920 --> 02:27:12,800
Like, uh oh, my primary options 
are covered. 

2237
02:27:13,080 --> 02:27:17,600
Better check it down to Goddard.
Yeah, that is fair. 

2238
02:27:17,600 --> 02:27:20,640
He's not his. 
His yards were targeted. 

2239
02:27:20,960 --> 02:27:24,600
I've never really been that high
and that somebody pointed out he

2240
02:27:24,600 --> 02:27:28,480
is 28. 
So you wanna? 

2241
02:27:31,030 --> 02:27:32,550
I think we need running back 
here. 

2242
02:27:33,150 --> 02:27:36,830
I am really not into clicking AJ
Dillon, though. 

2243
02:27:37,710 --> 02:27:39,790
Let's see who or Deodor running 
back soon. 

2244
02:27:41,470 --> 02:27:46,430
I've got one that I want, and 
OK, who do you want? 

2245
02:27:46,830 --> 02:27:50,110
I I would do Spears here, yeah, 
Yeah, agreed. 

2246
02:27:50,590 --> 02:27:55,630
I man the the Derrick Henry 
Snapshare is super, super 

2247
02:27:55,630 --> 02:27:59,150
concerning to me. 
I don't. 

2248
02:27:59,190 --> 02:28:03,110
I don't think we're getting 
Derrick Henry this season. 

2249
02:28:03,110 --> 02:28:07,870
I hate to break it to to people.
I'm pretty sure that what we're 

2250
02:28:07,870 --> 02:28:11,630
going to get is like the player 
formerly known as Derrick Henry,

2251
02:28:11,630 --> 02:28:14,590
he'll still have the big runs 
and break off a couple things. 

2252
02:28:14,950 --> 02:28:17,270
You're not going to get the 
volume you need for Derrick 

2253
02:28:17,270 --> 02:28:18,710
Henry to get there. 
Plain and simple. 

2254
02:28:18,910 --> 02:28:25,830
The the days of him getting like
high 20s touches is true. 

2255
02:28:25,950 --> 02:28:31,340
You know well and truly over. 
So great point, Jameson. 

2256
02:28:31,340 --> 02:28:33,780
The week starts in Week 6. 
Clear. 

2257
02:28:33,780 --> 02:28:35,780
Clear. 
Probably a clear Miss Price 

2258
02:28:35,780 --> 02:28:38,020
here. 
Where is where does Jameson go? 

2259
02:28:38,900 --> 02:28:40,660
Is he available? 
He off the board? 

2260
02:28:40,700 --> 02:28:42,620
Yeah, he is off the board. 
But I I do agree. 

2261
02:28:42,620 --> 02:28:44,580
I took him in an earlier draft 
today. 

2262
02:28:45,140 --> 02:28:47,900
So there there was a running 
back that I was considering 

2263
02:28:47,900 --> 02:28:50,220
here. 
It's, it's much there, a 

2264
02:28:50,220 --> 02:28:53,180
quarterback on tight end. 
We can. 

2265
02:28:53,180 --> 02:28:55,540
Let's do Russ here, actually. 
And let's do Russ. 

2266
02:28:57,480 --> 02:28:59,280
That, yeah, good, good call. 
Thank you. 

2267
02:28:59,280 --> 02:29:01,640
Completes our double stack with 
Javante Judy. 

2268
02:29:02,920 --> 02:29:06,560
So now we we can stand pat at 
quarterback here. 

2269
02:29:07,960 --> 02:29:11,600
Just I'll I'll review our team 
for the the audio listeners. 

2270
02:29:11,600 --> 02:29:14,880
Here at quarterback we have 
Trevor Lawrence and Russell 

2271
02:29:14,880 --> 02:29:17,240
Wilson. 
Running back we have Kyron 

2272
02:29:17,240 --> 02:29:19,840
Williams, Javante Williams and 
Tajay Spears. 

2273
02:29:20,320 --> 02:29:23,200
At wide receiver, we have Tyree 
Kill, Garrett Wilson, Christian 

2274
02:29:23,200 --> 02:29:26,360
Kirk, Jerry Judy, JSN Romeo 
Dubs. 

2275
02:29:27,140 --> 02:29:30,860
Rashi Rice and then at tight end
holding it down for us is Mark 

2276
02:29:30,860 --> 02:29:34,460
Andrews. 
So and we need so I do. 

2277
02:29:34,660 --> 02:29:38,780
I did notice that we did. 
We did stock our Our quarterback

2278
02:29:38,780 --> 02:29:42,020
buys. 
We did. 

2279
02:29:42,060 --> 02:29:45,740
We did in fact do that. 
So I guess we are taking a 1/3 

2280
02:29:45,740 --> 02:29:51,940
quarterback here especially. 
So this is a this is a nitty 

2281
02:29:52,060 --> 02:29:55,780
micro thing, but because we have
fewer regular season weeks. 

2282
02:29:57,110 --> 02:30:00,670
Eating a zero at you know like, 
yeah, eating a zero at either 

2283
02:30:00,710 --> 02:30:03,190
onesie tied Ender Quarterback 
becomes worse. 

2284
02:30:03,710 --> 02:30:08,630
It was never ideal before to eat
a zero at a onesie because you 

2285
02:30:08,630 --> 02:30:10,750
you did two guys on the same 
buy. 

2286
02:30:10,830 --> 02:30:15,190
But we'll we'll end up needing 
to take a third quarterback here

2287
02:30:15,990 --> 02:30:20,550
and so we have we have a couple 
good options that I like late. 

2288
02:30:21,230 --> 02:30:24,390
I I have some some sneaky stuff 
we'll we'll just talk about it 

2289
02:30:24,390 --> 02:30:26,190
openly if someone wants to snipe
me on this. 

2290
02:30:27,920 --> 02:30:32,480
So Stroud just went Yeah, that 
feels like a great pick. 

2291
02:30:32,880 --> 02:30:35,880
It it does. 
The 12 hole is just continuing 

2292
02:30:35,880 --> 02:30:38,440
to to hurt me. 
I I think. 

2293
02:30:38,680 --> 02:30:42,200
I think it's a bad practice to 
take 3 quarterbacks here when 

2294
02:30:42,200 --> 02:30:45,280
you've taken to. 
I think that's not great. 

2295
02:30:45,880 --> 02:30:48,440
Yeah, it's it's it's some great 
picks, but a bad team. 

2296
02:30:49,160 --> 02:30:51,740
Yeah. 
Yeah he he has his wide receiver

2297
02:30:51,740 --> 02:30:54,900
5IS Jaden Reed which I like 
Jaden Reed but wide receiver 

2298
02:30:54,900 --> 02:30:57,500
four is Adam Thielen. 
Wide receiver three is Cortland 

2299
02:30:57,500 --> 02:31:03,380
Sutton like and and this guy has
you know Christian Kirk diet 

2300
02:31:03,380 --> 02:31:08,260
Christian Kirk that he took 13th
overall and we we got Christian 

2301
02:31:08,260 --> 02:31:12,860
Kirk in the 6th so right I I'm 
just salty I'm gonna lay it on 

2302
02:31:12,860 --> 02:31:16,100
the 12 spot thick tonight. 
This guy's not pulling any 

2303
02:31:16,100 --> 02:31:19,800
punches. 
The way I I think we have to 

2304
02:31:19,800 --> 02:31:23,760
play this is we we know that we 
need one more quarterback so one

2305
02:31:23,760 --> 02:31:26,520
of these is a quarterback spot 
and then we are running back, 

2306
02:31:26,520 --> 02:31:29,240
running back, running back tight
end. 

2307
02:31:29,600 --> 02:31:33,440
So our our draft is we got boxed
in a little bit and like 

2308
02:31:34,040 --> 02:31:36,240
positional need what we have to 
take here. 

2309
02:31:38,120 --> 02:31:42,640
I I don't know if you disagree 
at all and well, I I I agree 

2310
02:31:42,640 --> 02:31:46,880
with your point about needing 
the third quarterback and and 

2311
02:31:46,880 --> 02:31:51,100
then and how many running backs 
do you think total 6. 

2312
02:31:51,300 --> 02:31:53,460
I think 6 total. 
OK. 

2313
02:31:54,420 --> 02:31:59,020
And so we have SO2682, is that 
what? 

2314
02:31:59,180 --> 02:32:03,620
No, no, it's 3672. 
Yeah, it'll be at 3672. 

2315
02:32:04,940 --> 02:32:09,860
And yeah, not a, not a, not, not
our, our, our finest them. 

2316
02:32:10,740 --> 02:32:15,260
Yeah, we, we we didn't want it 
to go in needing to pick who we 

2317
02:32:15,260 --> 02:32:19,790
need to pick. 
But sometimes, sometimes. 

2318
02:32:19,790 --> 02:32:25,310
That is how it goes. 
For me, I'm. 

2319
02:32:25,350 --> 02:32:28,550
I'm pretty happily putting in 
Shuba here. 

2320
02:32:29,310 --> 02:32:32,270
Yeah, sounds good. 
I was. 

2321
02:32:32,270 --> 02:32:36,950
I was strongly considering him 
last time, yeah. 

2322
02:32:38,270 --> 02:32:41,630
Our our other quarterback 
options, I think it's probably 

2323
02:32:41,630 --> 02:32:47,850
just fine to go ahead and do. 
To Stafford here and stack him 

2324
02:32:47,850 --> 02:32:50,290
with Kyron. 
I don't don't hate that at all. 

2325
02:32:52,210 --> 02:32:53,610
Go back to running back for a 
second. 

2326
02:32:56,850 --> 02:33:04,730
Any interest in in Jeff Wilson? 
I think it's thin. 

2327
02:33:05,410 --> 02:33:09,890
If we are gonna take him, I'd 
rather do Stafford here and then

2328
02:33:09,890 --> 02:33:12,930
just OK, OK, just get to 
Stafford. 

2329
02:33:13,450 --> 02:33:17,010
Next. 
All right, so our our 

2330
02:33:17,010 --> 02:33:18,730
quarterback problem has been 
solved. 

2331
02:33:18,730 --> 02:33:22,370
We've got Matt Stafford. 
Our our playoff stacking is 

2332
02:33:22,370 --> 02:33:26,450
looking a little light. 
We do have some good stacking 

2333
02:33:26,450 --> 02:33:32,250
with Cuba and the Jags here. 
We've got We've got a little bit

2334
02:33:32,250 --> 02:33:36,290
for Lawrence. 
Ideally we'd like to find 

2335
02:33:36,290 --> 02:33:39,730
something for, you know, our 
other quarterbacks here to get 

2336
02:33:39,730 --> 02:33:44,650
some bringbacks, although I 
don't really anticipate getting.

2337
02:33:45,160 --> 02:33:47,520
A New York Giants player, cuz I 
don't think we're taking another

2338
02:33:47,520 --> 02:33:51,600
wide receiver to go with to have
a bring back for Stafford. 

2339
02:33:51,600 --> 02:33:55,600
So that I was just gonna be it 
is what it is and I don't really

2340
02:33:55,600 --> 02:34:00,320
see us getting a charger to go 
with Russ and then our our 

2341
02:34:00,800 --> 02:34:04,240
preferred tight end of Hunter 
Henry is gone. 

2342
02:34:04,240 --> 02:34:05,400
So I don't think we're getting 
that. 

2343
02:34:06,560 --> 02:34:09,280
Where did that, has Rico Dado 
gone in this? 

2344
02:34:09,320 --> 02:34:12,440
I assume so. 
I don't believe he has. 

2345
02:34:12,440 --> 02:34:14,440
He's he's gone later. 
Yeah. 

2346
02:34:14,820 --> 02:34:20,140
So that's what I would be, yeah 
is obviously like a, even at 

2347
02:34:20,140 --> 02:34:24,700
this point, super strong pick. 
Yes, because he's got a roller 

2348
02:34:25,100 --> 02:34:29,260
and then the the the backfield 
is super valuable. 

2349
02:34:33,060 --> 02:34:37,180
This is hill gone, so we're 
we're 4 running backs here. 

2350
02:34:37,940 --> 02:34:41,220
The other ones I'd be 
considering. 

2351
02:34:44,200 --> 02:34:47,160
I mean, this is maybe where like
we start to get into the Kiante 

2352
02:34:47,160 --> 02:34:57,230
Ingram territory. 
The, the there, there's there's 

2353
02:34:57,230 --> 02:35:01,670
a couple options. 
This is what I'm starting to to 

2354
02:35:01,670 --> 02:35:03,150
think is going to be the right 
play. 

2355
02:35:04,390 --> 02:35:08,790
So we've got round 16, seven and
18 left, yeah, and. 

2356
02:35:09,550 --> 02:35:11,470
We do. 
We do still need a tight end. 

2357
02:35:11,470 --> 02:35:14,070
So yeah, let's let's kind of 
pick through here. 

2358
02:35:14,750 --> 02:35:17,050
This is fine. 
This is whatever. 

2359
02:35:17,050 --> 02:35:25,330
It's not super exciting. 
I don't think we can even 

2360
02:35:25,330 --> 02:35:30,530
justify Dolsich at any point. 
I think he's, well, he's on IR 

2361
02:35:30,530 --> 02:35:33,210
right now, right? 
Yeah, but it he'll he'll be 

2362
02:35:33,210 --> 02:35:36,610
back, you know before too long 
in the once this tournament 

2363
02:35:36,610 --> 02:35:43,370
kicks off. 
Who's interesting? 

2364
02:35:43,370 --> 02:35:47,890
K Dotton is is interesting now 
that we sort of like have a bit 

2365
02:35:47,890 --> 02:35:52,490
more information that's helpful 
like ohh we we have this 78% 

2366
02:35:52,490 --> 02:35:57,050
root share like we're living in 
a reality where Baker Mayfield 

2367
02:35:57,050 --> 02:35:58,650
is making the offense look 
solid. 

2368
02:36:02,930 --> 02:36:04,570
We do have the Washington tight 
ends too. 

2369
02:36:04,570 --> 02:36:07,010
So I I think the way that we 
play this is tight end is our 

2370
02:36:07,010 --> 02:36:11,370
last overall pick. 
And so we just do running back, 

2371
02:36:11,370 --> 02:36:13,810
running back on this turn, get 
the guys that we want. 

2372
02:36:13,810 --> 02:36:17,270
Yep. 
And just take whatever's left it

2373
02:36:17,270 --> 02:36:19,950
tight in, because we're, you 
know, if this team isn't using 

2374
02:36:19,950 --> 02:36:24,030
Mark Andrews score for the 
majority of weeks, it's probably

2375
02:36:24,030 --> 02:36:30,670
not going terribly well for us. 
Yeah, I am, I guess sad when I 

2376
02:36:30,670 --> 02:36:35,390
don't feel on that FFPC because 
I do love my Yeah yeah, tight 

2377
02:36:35,390 --> 02:36:38,670
end in the Flex. 
I'm, I'm gonna. 

2378
02:36:40,110 --> 02:36:43,350
Sleep poorly tonight, knowing I 
have 0 Laporta through three 

2379
02:36:43,350 --> 02:36:46,670
resurrection drafts. 
That feels it feels so bad. 

2380
02:36:46,670 --> 02:36:48,790
It feels like such a misplay to 
me. 

2381
02:36:48,790 --> 02:36:56,310
Like, yeah, I'm just all right. 
I I'm making a decree for myself

2382
02:36:56,310 --> 02:37:01,030
if Laporta is there in the 7th, 
I take Laporta like, pretty much

2383
02:37:01,030 --> 02:37:03,670
regardless of who's available. 
I mean it it would have to be 

2384
02:37:03,670 --> 02:37:08,410
like 2 for me to not take 
Laporta in the 7th that that 

2385
02:37:08,410 --> 02:37:09,850
that is good. 
I think that's a that's a 

2386
02:37:09,850 --> 02:37:13,450
helpful like sort of rule of 
like because like obviously what

2387
02:37:13,450 --> 02:37:20,010
you're coming against here is a 
scenario that you think because 

2388
02:37:20,010 --> 02:37:23,610
of the the information we have 
we have a pretty good idea that 

2389
02:37:23,610 --> 02:37:29,010
Laporta is like is an extreme 
value at in all of the early 

2390
02:37:29,010 --> 02:37:33,130
resurrection drafts and 
hopefully will only go higher. 

2391
02:37:33,570 --> 02:37:38,850
And so like how, how high do you
push that and and where you're 

2392
02:37:38,850 --> 02:37:42,810
sort of like coming where you're
sort of drawing the line now is 

2393
02:37:42,810 --> 02:37:47,610
like any I want to pick the 80, 
I want to pick them at a point 

2394
02:37:47,610 --> 02:37:50,650
where I'm going to get an 80% of
the time. 

2395
02:37:52,890 --> 02:37:54,930
Yeah, yeah. 
And the the other way that I 

2396
02:37:54,930 --> 02:37:58,650
think about it is I'm going to 
go back and show this little 

2397
02:37:59,850 --> 02:38:02,370
thing because this is super 
useful for me. 

2398
02:38:02,610 --> 02:38:05,010
This effective draft capital 
tool tip. 

2399
02:38:05,530 --> 02:38:08,890
I use this. 
A lot in my drafts, especially 

2400
02:38:08,890 --> 02:38:12,410
the longer a tournament has gone
on and the more ADP has moved 

2401
02:38:12,890 --> 02:38:16,530
this this is as close to 
cheating as you can get because 

2402
02:38:16,530 --> 02:38:21,850
it's basically telling you what 
the entire field has paid as the

2403
02:38:21,850 --> 02:38:26,130
price for the player. 
And so then you can know if you 

2404
02:38:26,170 --> 02:38:31,210
are getting an advantage or a 
disadvantage on that player at 

2405
02:38:31,210 --> 02:38:33,530
the cost you're paying relative 
to the field. 

2406
02:38:34,560 --> 02:38:37,960
And So what I'm going to start 
doing is getting a lot of my La 

2407
02:38:37,960 --> 02:38:42,400
Porta in and and what I know I'm
going to see is I'm going to see

2408
02:38:42,400 --> 02:38:46,800
this effective draft capital 
number scream up for La Porta 

2409
02:38:47,560 --> 02:38:51,680
where you're you're just going 
to see him rise so much that 

2410
02:38:51,720 --> 02:38:53,280
you're getting. 
You're going to have a large 

2411
02:38:53,280 --> 02:38:55,920
advantage over the field when 
he's going in the fourth round. 

2412
02:38:58,300 --> 02:39:01,260
Would you mind Don't just scroll
into the running back. 

2413
02:39:01,260 --> 02:39:02,860
So Deon Jackson? 
No. 

2414
02:39:03,020 --> 02:39:04,260
Todd Chandler? 
No. 

2415
02:39:04,540 --> 02:39:07,180
Down to Foreman? 
No, you're strong. 

2416
02:39:07,180 --> 02:39:12,820
No quarter of Patterson. 
And so, yeah, those feel like 

2417
02:39:12,820 --> 02:39:15,260
the strongest picture is Kiante.
Yeah, Ingram. 

2418
02:39:15,620 --> 02:39:21,020
You like Ingram over Brita and 
they're they're sort of the the 

2419
02:39:21,020 --> 02:39:22,460
same, I think. 
OK. 

2420
02:39:24,300 --> 02:39:28,860
Like and sake one, he does have 
that high ankle sprain, but I 

2421
02:39:28,860 --> 02:39:33,820
think by Week 6 we'll be back 
pretty close to 100%, OK? 

2422
02:39:34,780 --> 02:39:37,860
I'm I'm always willing to bet on
a high ankle sprain. 

2423
02:39:39,540 --> 02:39:41,260
There's mushing. 
Mushing a player. 

2424
02:39:41,260 --> 02:39:44,100
Yeah. 
OK, so so you wanna meet? 

2425
02:39:44,380 --> 02:39:47,500
Ruda, then Yeah, they they're 
both bringbacks for us. 

2426
02:39:47,500 --> 02:39:49,380
But this is a bringback with our
quarterback. 

2427
02:39:52,110 --> 02:39:54,590
So I think I so 100, so way more
valuable. 

2428
02:39:56,590 --> 02:39:59,830
Then I I wouldn't say way more 
valuable, but it is more 

2429
02:39:59,830 --> 02:40:02,350
valuable, right? 
The the correlation will be a 

2430
02:40:02,350 --> 02:40:07,790
little a little bit stronger to 
have it be quarterback to 

2431
02:40:07,790 --> 02:40:11,670
opposing team running back than 
it would running back to 

2432
02:40:11,670 --> 02:40:14,510
opposing team wide receiver. 
It's like we're talking about 

2433
02:40:14,510 --> 02:40:17,990
like microscopic differences. 
It probably doesn't matter too 

2434
02:40:17,990 --> 02:40:21,400
terribly much. 
For me the thing that that made 

2435
02:40:21,400 --> 02:40:23,240
the decision Brita is the high 
ankle. 

2436
02:40:23,480 --> 02:40:25,920
Having the information on the 
high ankle sprain on sake one. 

2437
02:40:25,920 --> 02:40:31,400
And I think gosh, like if you 
look historically at high ankle 

2438
02:40:31,400 --> 02:40:35,640
sprains and like what 
probability the player missing 

2439
02:40:36,400 --> 02:40:40,600
more time than expected or or 
not playing a full complement of

2440
02:40:40,600 --> 02:40:42,320
snaps for the rest of the 
season. 

2441
02:40:42,320 --> 02:40:44,240
Like, I think, I think you're 
going to find that. 

2442
02:40:46,520 --> 02:40:49,600
I think it's a pretty good bet 
to have Brita at this price. 

2443
02:40:49,680 --> 02:40:53,400
I want to say that I'm 100% 
Brita right now through three 

2444
02:40:53,400 --> 02:40:58,440
drafts. 
And so just that, just to play 

2445
02:40:58,440 --> 02:41:03,400
devil's advocate a bit, there's 
a an ESPN article now with the 

2446
02:41:03,400 --> 02:41:08,840
Giants say that Berkeley is 
day-to-day and he could play in 

2447
02:41:08,840 --> 02:41:13,480
week four. 
Yeah, I mean he was always 

2448
02:41:13,680 --> 02:41:17,420
reported as day-to-day. 
They all like they said he could

2449
02:41:17,420 --> 02:41:23,220
have gone last week, but I'm I'm
more of the opinion that like if

2450
02:41:23,220 --> 02:41:26,980
this truly was a it's either a 
misreported injury it wasn't an 

2451
02:41:26,980 --> 02:41:33,340
actual high ankle or if it is a 
high ankle, that's like the not.

2452
02:41:33,340 --> 02:41:35,580
That Mal you think that the 
Giants are basically doing 

2453
02:41:35,580 --> 02:41:40,740
malpractice and like, makes even
more interested in in burrito? 

2454
02:41:41,500 --> 02:41:44,460
I just think your risk of 
reinjury is probably pretty high

2455
02:41:46,310 --> 02:41:50,190
for a guy coming back that quick
from a high ankle and like this 

2456
02:41:50,190 --> 02:41:53,550
is, this is like starting to 
talk about stuff that we should 

2457
02:41:53,550 --> 02:41:57,230
just leave to the doctors. 
But just he or me for a little 

2458
02:41:57,230 --> 02:41:59,030
bit. 
The mechanism of injury for a 

2459
02:41:59,030 --> 02:42:03,790
high ankle sprain is like way 
closer to a fracture than us. 

2460
02:42:03,790 --> 02:42:06,030
You know, like it's pretty bad. 
Like a high ankle sprain's 

2461
02:42:06,030 --> 02:42:08,350
really bad. 
You have the ligament damage and

2462
02:42:08,350 --> 02:42:11,070
then you also have like micro 
fractures around where the 

2463
02:42:11,070 --> 02:42:15,010
ligaments are attaching to bone.
So it's pretty, pretty pretty 

2464
02:42:15,010 --> 02:42:19,250
serious, you know, like it's not
high ankle sprain, like calling 

2465
02:42:19,250 --> 02:42:22,530
it a high ankle sprain is 
underselling the severity of. 

2466
02:42:22,530 --> 02:42:26,370
The It's a misnomer. 
Yeah, it it should just be like,

2467
02:42:26,650 --> 02:42:29,650
yeah, the guy's leg got caught 
in a lathe, but we turned it off

2468
02:42:29,650 --> 02:42:32,410
just in time, is what a high 
ankle sprain really should 

2469
02:42:32,650 --> 02:42:35,210
should be. 
His leg got caught in a what a 

2470
02:42:35,210 --> 02:42:40,580
lathe. 
I'm sorry, I'm LLATHEA lathe. 

2471
02:42:40,860 --> 02:42:42,700
I don't know. 
Am I not pronouncing that well? 

2472
02:42:43,620 --> 02:42:47,740
I'm from Ireland, so I I don't 
know what that it's like a piece

2473
02:42:47,740 --> 02:42:51,140
of of heavy machinery, like like
you just mushed his fucking leg.

2474
02:42:51,740 --> 02:42:56,700
OK, yeah, that doesn't seem 
helpful for an NFL player. 

2475
02:42:57,100 --> 02:43:00,820
It's it's a bit of a gross 
exaggeration on my part, but I 

2476
02:43:00,820 --> 02:43:02,580
was trying to paint a vivid 
picture here. 

2477
02:43:04,620 --> 02:43:09,470
And. 
So who are the Obviously quite a

2478
02:43:09,470 --> 02:43:12,870
few tight ends of having gone 
there since we set up that 

2479
02:43:12,870 --> 02:43:16,070
queue. 
Yeah, I think our guys are still

2480
02:43:16,070 --> 02:43:19,390
there though. 
Okay got all our favorites. 

2481
02:43:21,990 --> 02:43:23,790
Let's take a look at our playoff
view here. 

2482
02:43:23,790 --> 02:43:28,190
So week 17, we ended up with 
some actually not bad week 17 

2483
02:43:28,190 --> 02:43:31,390
correlation here. 
We've got three games with good 

2484
02:43:31,390 --> 02:43:34,500
pieces here to like Stafford, 
Kyron, Williams. 

2485
02:43:34,500 --> 02:43:37,020
I really like because there's 
the positive correlation of 

2486
02:43:37,020 --> 02:43:39,620
being very involved in the 
passing game and also the 

2487
02:43:39,700 --> 02:43:43,180
negative correlation of the 
quarterback running back where 

2488
02:43:43,180 --> 02:43:45,460
like we've already seen this 
play out with Kyron where he's 

2489
02:43:45,460 --> 02:43:48,180
getting all the touchdowns, 
Staffords underperforming. 

2490
02:43:48,540 --> 02:43:53,180
So I like this for the potential
ping pong effect and then we've 

2491
02:43:53,180 --> 02:43:58,860
got the the Jags in Carolina 
here with Chuba as profiling 

2492
02:43:58,860 --> 02:44:00,420
more like the past catching 
back. 

2493
02:44:00,420 --> 02:44:03,860
So in a scenario where the Jags 
are eating, maybe Chuba is 

2494
02:44:03,860 --> 02:44:09,420
getting a little more work. 
Week 16 we've got Taj and JSNI 

2495
02:44:09,420 --> 02:44:14,500
do really like getting rookies 
in my playoff correlations just 

2496
02:44:14,500 --> 02:44:16,820
because that's probably when 
they should be producing at 

2497
02:44:16,820 --> 02:44:21,260
their highest. 
And then let's see our week 15 

2498
02:44:21,260 --> 02:44:22,940
and we got a little week 15 here
too. 

2499
02:44:23,180 --> 02:44:26,580
So we're as far as our 
correlation, we ended up doing 

2500
02:44:26,580 --> 02:44:31,190
okay this draft capital is going
to be all wonky right now with 

2501
02:44:31,190 --> 02:44:36,270
Adp's being not solidified. 
So I don't. 

2502
02:44:36,550 --> 02:44:38,270
Really care much about makes 
sense. 

2503
02:44:38,510 --> 02:44:44,520
Now I just want to I am. 
Shit fit sock he He kidnapped my

2504
02:44:44,520 --> 02:44:47,600
family and he told me that he 
would only release them if we 

2505
02:44:47,600 --> 02:44:52,280
did a resurrection draft. 
My my drafts of Drico were so 

2506
02:44:52,280 --> 02:44:55,560
good this offseason. 
All of our best ball teams that 

2507
02:44:55,560 --> 02:44:59,680
we did together over on FFPC are
just crushing. 

2508
02:44:59,680 --> 02:45:01,600
We've got some really good 
looking ones here. 

2509
02:45:03,120 --> 02:45:06,840
And now you have to live with 
the reality of my underdog 

2510
02:45:07,000 --> 02:45:11,850
drafting. 
Now now here's I'm gonna throw 

2511
02:45:11,850 --> 02:45:15,450
some guys in the queue and you. 
OK, we have 15 seconds. 

2512
02:45:15,530 --> 02:45:17,290
I'll let you be my random.org 
here. 

2513
02:45:17,730 --> 02:45:25,610
OK, so Kate and went Logan 
Thomas, Cole Turner and Mike 

2514
02:45:25,610 --> 02:45:27,930
Kazaki. 
I think it is Logan Thomas. 

2515
02:45:28,530 --> 02:45:30,130
OK, you like him over Cole 
Turner? 

2516
02:45:30,690 --> 02:45:34,370
Yeah, OK. 
Assuming he doesn't retire. 

2517
02:45:35,290 --> 02:45:37,210
Yeah, I mean that was a brutal 
concussion. 

2518
02:45:37,290 --> 02:45:39,530
Ohh man. 
Not this is this is what the 

2519
02:45:39,530 --> 02:45:42,810
people TuneIn for they TuneIn to
hear me complain about NFL 

2520
02:45:42,810 --> 02:45:45,650
rules. 
And I suck. 

2521
02:45:46,250 --> 02:45:48,370
What? 
A what by week did Logan Thomas 

2522
02:45:48,410 --> 02:45:51,330
have Week 14? 
We're we're chilling. 

2523
02:45:51,810 --> 02:45:54,650
OK, OK, I got a little nervous 
there for a second. 

2524
02:45:56,290 --> 02:45:58,930
But man, those those head to 
head hits like that hit that 

2525
02:45:58,930 --> 02:46:01,450
Logan Thomas took. 
That's an instant ejection in my

2526
02:46:01,450 --> 02:46:02,970
book. 
You you hit a guy like that. 

2527
02:46:02,970 --> 02:46:03,730
Sorry. 
You done? 

2528
02:46:04,320 --> 02:46:05,400
Go, go. 
Take a time out. 

2529
02:46:05,400 --> 02:46:09,040
Think about what she did. 
Yeah, but that's that's enough 

2530
02:46:09,040 --> 02:46:11,720
of of my grandstanding. 
Let's review the team for the 

2531
02:46:11,720 --> 02:46:15,360
audio listeners. 
At quarterback we have Trevor 

2532
02:46:15,360 --> 02:46:19,880
Lawrence who we got just before 
pick 100, Russell Wilson in the 

2533
02:46:19,880 --> 02:46:22,840
one 40s. 
They do have the same buy 

2534
02:46:22,840 --> 02:46:25,320
though, so we did have to take a
third quarterback in Matthew 

2535
02:46:25,320 --> 02:46:27,040
Stafford. 
I don't think that's terrible 

2536
02:46:27,040 --> 02:46:29,320
given the capital we spent on 
quarterback here. 

2537
02:46:29,990 --> 02:46:33,870
Yeah, running back we have Kyron
Williams, Javante Williams. 

2538
02:46:35,230 --> 02:46:39,270
We have Taje Spears, Chuba 
Hubbard, Kiante Ingram, Matt 

2539
02:46:39,270 --> 02:46:43,110
Breeda. 
A little thin, but I'm very glad

2540
02:46:43,110 --> 02:46:45,990
that we got 6 running backs here
with the way that the rooms 

2541
02:46:45,990 --> 02:46:48,310
check out. 
Yeah, I think that's a strong 

2542
02:46:48,310 --> 02:46:52,390
six, yeah. 
For taking I definitely had 

2543
02:46:52,390 --> 02:46:55,290
weaker sixes. 
If Giovante comes back, we're 

2544
02:46:55,290 --> 02:46:57,170
in. 
We're in serious business if he 

2545
02:46:57,170 --> 02:46:59,970
starts getting more opportunity 
or being more efficient. 

2546
02:47:00,890 --> 02:47:04,370
At wide receiver, we have Tyree 
Kill, Garrett Wilson, Christian 

2547
02:47:04,370 --> 02:47:08,650
Kirk, Jerry Judy, JSN, Romeo 
Dubs, and Rashi Rice. 

2548
02:47:09,330 --> 02:47:13,290
And then at tight end we have 
Mark Andrews and Logan Thomas. 

2549
02:47:14,250 --> 02:47:18,450
Got a good amount of playoff 
correlation 3IN week 17 that we 

2550
02:47:18,450 --> 02:47:21,860
already covered, we went ahead 
and added another one to week 16

2551
02:47:21,860 --> 02:47:25,140
with Logan Thomas and we added 
one more to week 15 with Logan 

2552
02:47:25,140 --> 02:47:26,940
Thomas. 
So we have at least three-game 

2553
02:47:26,940 --> 02:47:29,260
stacks in every week of the 
playoffs. 

2554
02:47:29,780 --> 02:47:33,820
I do like to see that we've got 
two quarterback running back 

2555
02:47:33,820 --> 02:47:36,540
stacks, which is something that 
I think the field is not doing 

2556
02:47:36,540 --> 02:47:40,180
at a high enough rate. 
I did a lot of research on this 

2557
02:47:40,180 --> 02:47:43,820
in the offseason and played with
some models and it definitely 

2558
02:47:43,820 --> 02:47:45,940
seemed to suggest that 
quarterback running back stacks,

2559
02:47:45,940 --> 02:47:49,930
when done correctly, are a very 
powerful way to attack large 

2560
02:47:49,930 --> 02:47:53,450
field tournaments. 
And so I do think that that's 

2561
02:47:53,450 --> 02:47:55,970
going to be a trend that we'll 
see going into next year. 

2562
02:47:55,970 --> 02:48:00,610
I would certainly anticipate 
people catching on to that, but 

2563
02:48:00,610 --> 02:48:02,610
that was that was our 
resurrection draft. 

2564
02:48:03,210 --> 02:48:05,690
Drico, you got any, anything you
want to add on this one before 

2565
02:48:05,690 --> 02:48:11,810
we let the people go? 
No, no, obviously. 

2566
02:48:14,780 --> 02:48:16,380
Well I said no and now I'm 
gonna. 

2567
02:48:16,460 --> 02:48:20,660
Now I'm gonna try and think of 
something to say and it it I 

2568
02:48:20,660 --> 02:48:26,260
guess it is, it's always tricky.
I think this is my first draft 

2569
02:48:26,260 --> 02:48:31,900
since since what is that early 
Well my first draft in three 

2570
02:48:31,900 --> 02:48:35,540
weeks. 
So I know I I definitely feel a 

2571
02:48:35,540 --> 02:48:40,980
little rusty after some drafting
and time off and but. 

2572
02:48:41,760 --> 02:48:45,080
It it in these resurrection 
tournaments it it it always 

2573
02:48:45,080 --> 02:48:49,640
makes sense to be thinking about
like week week 6 not at not 

2574
02:48:49,640 --> 02:48:55,040
exactly what happened this week 
and so like that that that's why

2575
02:48:55,040 --> 02:49:01,640
I I I sort of pushed for Javante
where as as that ACL tier gets 

2576
02:49:01,680 --> 02:49:05,360
even better and sort of Rashi 
Rai is hoping that he's the 

2577
02:49:05,360 --> 02:49:10,720
starter and I know him. 
And sack, I I know you're super 

2578
02:49:10,720 --> 02:49:13,160
excited about La Porta because 
like it's like okay. 

2579
02:49:13,160 --> 02:49:16,680
If he's doing this in in true 
three weeks as a rookie like 

2580
02:49:16,880 --> 02:49:18,840
what? 
What could he be in in in in 

2581
02:49:18,840 --> 02:49:23,760
several weeks time? 
Yeah, I I honestly think that 

2582
02:49:23,840 --> 02:49:27,800
you getting me to click Rashi 
Rice there is probably one of 

2583
02:49:27,800 --> 02:49:30,400
the best decisions we made in 
the whole draft. 

2584
02:49:30,400 --> 02:49:35,760
If we look at what we sacrificed
for him, it wasn't much. 

2585
02:49:37,290 --> 02:49:39,690
You know, Jaden Reed's a player 
where I would have liked to have

2586
02:49:39,690 --> 02:49:42,450
him, but I think I prefer Rashi 
rice over him. 

2587
02:49:42,450 --> 02:49:44,730
And we already got dubs on this 
team. 

2588
02:49:45,730 --> 02:49:49,530
I I think the Rashi rice, if I 
had to pick a selection that's 

2589
02:49:49,530 --> 02:49:54,090
gonna age the best on this team,
it's probably the Rashi Rice 

2590
02:49:54,090 --> 02:49:56,770
one. 
The other one that that could 

2591
02:49:56,810 --> 02:50:01,090
age extremely well is JSN. 
If he does get involved at 95, 

2592
02:50:01,090 --> 02:50:05,240
yeah, could be really exciting. 
And if the Jags turn it around, 

2593
02:50:05,480 --> 02:50:08,000
I was honestly my my biggest 
disappointments. 

2594
02:50:08,000 --> 02:50:13,800
Aside from the 12 hole just 
being just an absolute knob for 

2595
02:50:13,800 --> 02:50:16,280
us. 
Here I was, I was kind of 

2596
02:50:16,280 --> 02:50:19,600
disappointed to not get Zay 
Jones to come back here. 

2597
02:50:19,600 --> 02:50:24,920
I thought that would be a really
nice little double stack here in

2598
02:50:24,920 --> 02:50:26,800
the tenth round with Trevor 
Lawrence. 

2599
02:50:27,040 --> 02:50:30,360
Especially because I I laid out 
my thesis for that offense 

2600
02:50:30,360 --> 02:50:32,600
earlier. 
I would have been doing 

2601
02:50:32,600 --> 02:50:34,560
cartwheels to get. 
Yeah, I do. 

2602
02:50:34,680 --> 02:50:39,400
Think if you are going to take a
bet on an offense that struggled

2603
02:50:39,800 --> 02:50:44,480
on a player on an offense that 
struggled so far, and especially

2604
02:50:45,080 --> 02:50:48,720
if if you're going to do that, 
you should probably sack that 

2605
02:50:48,720 --> 02:50:49,960
offense. 
Yeah. 

2606
02:50:50,160 --> 02:50:54,720
Where like if you're taking 
someone like Jerry Judy then. 

2607
02:50:56,260 --> 02:50:59,780
Mixing Stack or or Jovante, 
stacking them with Judy, 

2608
02:50:59,780 --> 02:51:02,100
Jovante. 
Russell Wilson that way. 

2609
02:51:02,500 --> 02:51:06,700
And if if that offense actually 
is better than than we taught, 

2610
02:51:07,220 --> 02:51:10,260
then then you're you're all sort
of bubbling up together. 

2611
02:51:10,500 --> 02:51:14,460
The same with the Jaguars, where
if if you're going to take a 

2612
02:51:14,460 --> 02:51:17,940
Jag, you're probably better off 
actually making a bet on the 

2613
02:51:17,940 --> 02:51:20,180
team rather than the individual 
player. 

2614
02:51:20,940 --> 02:51:23,900
Yeah, extremely well put. 
And that's kind of the whole. 

2615
02:51:25,430 --> 02:51:28,910
It's really poignant to say that
for the resurrection drafts, 

2616
02:51:28,950 --> 02:51:32,710
because that's kind of the way 
that I like to attack the before

2617
02:51:32,710 --> 02:51:35,310
the season started. 
Drafts is I want to attack a lot

2618
02:51:35,310 --> 02:51:38,110
of the teams that people were 
underrating. 

2619
02:51:38,110 --> 02:51:41,430
Like my big targets there were 
like I really thought New 

2620
02:51:41,430 --> 02:51:44,390
England was under priced. 
I really, I wanted to take shots

2621
02:51:44,390 --> 02:51:48,070
on Ritter, I wanted to take 
shots on howl all those guys 

2622
02:51:48,070 --> 02:51:52,690
going really late because you 
don't need a lot for them to 

2623
02:51:52,690 --> 02:51:55,250
outperform their price. 
And so it it's the same thing 

2624
02:51:55,250 --> 02:51:58,890
here when we get guys like 
Lawrence where the market was so

2625
02:51:58,890 --> 02:52:03,050
certain he was a, you know, 
sixth round pick for a long time

2626
02:52:03,050 --> 02:52:06,210
over the summer and then all of 
a sudden we get him at the 910 

2627
02:52:06,210 --> 02:52:09,410
turn, it's like well the 
pendulum might have swung a 

2628
02:52:09,410 --> 02:52:11,330
little too far. 
I think this is probably close 

2629
02:52:11,330 --> 02:52:13,690
to efficient. 
You know, I I would have been 

2630
02:52:14,210 --> 02:52:17,970
ecstatic, Excuse me, we got him 
at the 8-9 turn. 

2631
02:52:17,970 --> 02:52:20,450
I would have been ecstatic if he
came all the way back in the 

2632
02:52:20,450 --> 02:52:22,490
10th. 
But I I think given the way the 

2633
02:52:22,490 --> 02:52:26,410
board was at that point and our 
needs on our our team from a 

2634
02:52:26,410 --> 02:52:30,290
roster construction standpoint, 
he was the best pick and and so 

2635
02:52:30,290 --> 02:52:32,250
I think it was reasonable to 
take him there at the beginning 

2636
02:52:32,250 --> 02:52:36,210
of the 9th. 
Makes sense for sure. 

2637
02:52:36,970 --> 02:52:41,530
And yeah, I think I think we 
should probably call it there, 

2638
02:52:41,530 --> 02:52:46,130
lest we go into into tree hours.
I I think this is a great 

2639
02:52:46,130 --> 02:52:49,170
stopping point. 
So for those of you that made it

2640
02:52:49,250 --> 02:52:52,450
with us all the way through a 
resurrection draft and many 

2641
02:52:52,450 --> 02:52:57,450
charts, we appreciate your 
viewership and hope that we gave

2642
02:52:57,450 --> 02:53:01,050
you some valuable takeaways and 
and things that you can use in 

2643
02:53:01,050 --> 02:53:04,050
your own drafting, your own, 
your own fantasy teams. 

2644
02:53:06,090 --> 02:53:07,570
Thanks for that guys and have a 
great night. 

2645
02:53:08,010 --> 02:53:09,170
Yeah, thanks for tuning in.