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Our honored guest reject Meyer 
was trying to do small talk 

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backstage before the show and I 
said no we do it all live, we go

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live. 
We've got the crew here tonight 

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we're running it back from last 
year. 

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It's the final night of ship 
chasings wall-to-wall ffp. 

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See Playoff Challenge coverage 
we got And Gretch we got Michael

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Leone, Drew dink Meyer joining 
us Pat crane. 

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How we doing tonight? 
Guys Drew good. 

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You do you remember last year, 
you know, perfectly reasonably 

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suggested Rob Gronkowski? 
And we were also biased that we 

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like ridiculed. 
You just all have no, that's the

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whole reason. 
That's kind of weird. 

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Open run that back. 
Yeah, irony. 

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It was a good recommendation. 
It was good. 

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Yeah, we should have listened to
you. 

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And I feel like all of us, I can
I put out, you know, the promo 

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tweet for our programme, you 
know, we're all building up to 

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this event, like, four hours 
ago. 

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We realized no one actually 
formally asked you to do. 

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What is going on? 
A except it's if you guys think 

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of consuming football content 
this time of year, right now you

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are out of your minds. 
I just assumed that you were 

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banned from All Sports books 
because you're Draymond Green, 

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props, and now you had to crawl 
over to the FTC Playoff 

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Challenge. 
No, no, I'm simply in the NBA 

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and prop streets. 
Trying to find the next Draymond

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Green opportunity to bankrupt 
DraftKings. 

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The other thing I remember about
your appearance last year was 

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you or sweating your OB 80 this 
whole time, ya know? 

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Situation tonight. 
I thank God and be just finally 

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stopped trying to break a break.
This 30-point barrier got 

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another prop Victory. 
So so dank if we were to if you 

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were to assign a percentage to 
what level of focus we have from

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you on these ffp, see Playoff 
Challenge rosters relative to 

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kind of your MBA 
responsibilities. 

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What percentage threshold? 
Yeah I would say it's roughly 

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the same level of percentage of 
focus that Mike Lee only gets 

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for me you know, 30 minutes 
before established Nonsense. 

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So, what is that number Leo? 
Yeah, I feel like that's about 

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enough information that I, yeah,
that's all we were Towing this 

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week with having a bit. 
We're like we go live and 

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pretend we don't realize we're 
live, and I'm like, Drew Ben 

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Roethlisberger is in the 
playoffs. 

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I'm dead serious. 
You need to fucking do your 

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research before the shows, but 
we didn't, we were my favorite 

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moment. 
I think of any podcast, this 

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whole year was was when dig 
wasn't sure, if you're messing 

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with them, when you were 
Shouting bra, quite right. 

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That was so good because you 
played it perfectly Leona. 

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You just sort of touted him. 
You're like I know it's gross I 

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I was not I was not sure until I
saw a stat pop up across the 

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screen the next day for him and 
then we week 18. 

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I've told Mike, I was like you 
could have slid someone in and I

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would have fallen for it. 
Like I feel it. 

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I'm living on an exotic Ranch 
that like, then dink was like, 

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really. 
Really. 

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Yeah, the other best part about 
Brock right? 

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Has been Dapper lab started 
minting in a piece of his 

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catches. 
So, yeah, you know, everyone is 

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heard a bunch from us this week.
Let's get some fresh takes here.

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Where are you at on all these, 
where you at dig? 

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Speak on that? 
What, where am I at on? 

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What I was excited to find out 
there, three games on Sunday, 

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like a three-game slates. 
Fun know, the things that I've 

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liked the thing that seems 
apparent to me is if you can get

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the NFC right and it not be 
Green Bay, you have a huge role 

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in the field. 
Like that's that seems to be the

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thing to me because it's So 
congested there and how did 

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Aaron Jones? 
Now I'm well I think I think the

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best case scenario would be 
getting away just like Green 

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Bay, losing early. 
So if it's Aaron Jones that's 

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fine or a kicker or whatever 
like but that's the best case 

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scenario to get a lot of 
Leverage and I think if you can 

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get you know, like if Arizona 
could make a run or something 

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like that, like to thank you. 
Loading up key players on and I 

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think that's that's runs on 
every time you take a shot at 

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what about. 
So it sounds like you're also 

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suggesting a coup perk up fate 
if you're doing a memory 

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Runners. 
Let's get nutty, let's get 

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honey. 
Wow. 

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How did this is out there of the
7500 teams out there? 

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How many do you think? 
They'd both atoms and cup like, 

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less than 100? 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

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Intruding Myers. 
Just come in here guns, Ablaze 

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fade them, both motherfuckers. 
Mister mister been here, earlier

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in the You were trying to 
convince this to do 100% advice.

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Yeah. 
That I thought you were all like

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yeah you know what is this 
video? 

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Dude, you gotta have it. 
I wouldn't do a hard luck here. 

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More soft so much on that was we
have a lot of teams and we're 

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talking about like, maybe seven 
like the fields that probably 

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gonna Maybe it's 80% of those 
guys. 

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And if you match the field there
or if you're even like let's say

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blow the field a little bit. 
So your 75% both suddenly you're

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not some teams that are that 
neither of them are in but 

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suddenly about half your team's 
don't have one of them and it's 

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like they do look like, really, 
really good plays even in short 

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and, you know, short or long 
runs kind of a regardless. 

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And so it's like, do we really 
want to sacrifice? 

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You know, half our bill? 
I think it's sort of a, it's a 

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12 team roster, right? 
And you have to Parlay this, you

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can't. 
Or late. 

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You have to make bets on every 
game. 

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There's a lot of other ways to 
get different. 

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I do think there's some 
reasonable justification, 

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especially for doing like 10 
minutes to just lock those guys 

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in get different in your other 
10 spots. 

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I do think that's viable. 
And I think we should also 

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acknowledge most people, I'm 
just guessing I could be wrong, 

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most people watching this will 
probably be building five 

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lineups or less so we should we 
should cater to that to that 

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audience, the hand, Builders the
true men and women people would 

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have softlocked before out of 
five, literally, the definition 

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of us. 
What will I do want to follow up

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on on doing scenario here where 
you like let's say you're going 

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the extreme scenario where you 
go Kyler you fade cup, you set 

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up the bracket. 
So you know they're fading 

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they're putting Green Bay in the
next round. 

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What you mean? 
Tampa Bay wins? 

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I guess Tampa and Dallas win so 
then the Cardinals go to Green 

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Bay, they beat them. 
You got them at that point. 

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Kyler might already be in the 
optimal but the thing that could

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ruin it is Josh Allen to the 
Super Bowl. 

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Maybe maybe Chiefs to the 
sublime. 

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How are you playing the AFC? 
South are you doing like a New 

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England upset with that? 
Or are you just feel like now 

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you're getting a little too 
nutty with the bracket? 

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Yeah, I mean caveat, this is the
first time Drew is consider this

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scenario and now it's I think I 
think that's where you get into 

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the wide receivers from those 
teams and you hope the one wide 

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receivers is just the one that 
soaks up the bulk of the work. 

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And I mean in that in that 
scenario, you know, that's 

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probably, you know, digs are 
Tyreke, right? 

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So like I think you could play 
with the New England upset still

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have Tyreke on the other side 
but I think I think that's the 

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way to do it. 
You get away from if you get 

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away from Devonte and cup, you 
need wide receivers. 

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You want the wide receivers from
some other, you know, Star team 

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that could make the big run and 
kind of replace those and you 

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get leverage on everything. 
Pat may be another good place 

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for us to start tonight. 
What have been the biggest 

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movements in your ownership 
projections from when you 

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initially launched them on 
Tuesday? 

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Why you look that up? 
I've got a question for you 

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think how much Leverage is too 
much? 

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Leverage is there, is there such
a thing? 

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Well, I mean these contests, 
these concepts are all like 

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super top-heavy, right? 
So and there's and there's going

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to be a lot of there's gonna be 
a lot of duplicates, but the way

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that this type of contest is 
played. 

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So Really, I think if you're 
picking, like, you know, 

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Pittsburgh to the Superbowl, 
that's probably too much, like, 

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if you're playing that type of 
strategy, but I think really in 

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the, in the NFC specifically, I 
think there's less of a gap 

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between the quality of teams 
then there is in the AFC. 

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And so, in the AFC, I think, you
know, you can play it on a 

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little bit of the chalky or 
side, get weird on the NFC side.

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And I think you're naturally 
kind of Creating the leverage 

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there for you because I really 
do think like, any of these NFC 

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teams. 
Could make, could make a run 

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with the exception of like 
Philly. 

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I don't think Philly can really 
make it. 

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Yeah. 
Deep Run. 

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But any, any one of the other 
teams, like, I could see a 

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scenario where they make a Deep 
Run and everybody is going to 

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want to play Tampa Bay. 
The Rams in Green Bay to be the 

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teams that are successful and I 
don't think those teams are 

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meaningfully better than the 
other teams where is in the AFC.

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The teams of people are gonna 
want to play. 

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I do think they're meaningfully 
better than their opponents. 

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Especially when you consider 
from a theme. 

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Like, if New England plays 
really well, it's probably kind 

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of be, you know, a lower scoring
type environment that they're 

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producing all the way through. 
So, I think that's kind of the 

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approach that I take What do you
guys think about lineups? 

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Were New England, beats Buffalo,
but New England. 

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Still doesn't get a skilled 
player in like what are the odds

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of that happening? 
Probably small? 

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But it seems impossible but it's
probably more like that should 

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be for any other team, right? 
Like I think it's decently 

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possible because I was looking 
at Damien, Harris has snap rates

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earlier today and forget what 
the stat was I think was like 

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since we gate he hasn't had 50% 
plus snaps some of that's 

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because they've been Blowouts 
and they pulled him and stuff, 

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but it's like he's not he's not 
gotten a ton of work in most 

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games and he's run, really hot 
on touch, I think it's eight 

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touchdowns over his last five 
games. 

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So, you know, he would get in if
he gets in the end zone but it's

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just like pretty easy to see him
having like, even in a win, you 

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know, maybe Brandon Bolden 
scores a touchdown may be 

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remanded because it's a short 
touchdown and and Harris has 

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like or maybe they kick you out 
your future goals. 

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Yeah, they think much of me, 
man. 

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Play two games. 
Like this is like a obvious 

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point but like defense and 
kicker are playing two games 

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like YouTube games with the boy.
Those think the same thing. 

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00:13:05,900 --> 00:13:08,500
Yeah. 
So I do think that's a 

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construction that I'm probably 
overly like, being like rigid 

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with. 
Okay, this team's gonna win. 

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So I have to have a skill player
because I mean we saw that ftn 

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article like I think the average
kicker defense games from like 

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top teams was like 1.3 1.4. 
So actually happens like what 30

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to 40% of the time. 
Time then Leone had how tilted 

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are you going to be if you go to
another frigid bills home? 

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Get a burst of a dreamer they 
lose like 9:46 like it's fun to 

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talk about this in theory but 
the bills aren't going to lose 

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mine. 
So would you say we are doing a 

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soft lock on the bills? 
That's that makes sense to me, 

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right? 
You know let's The market a 

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little bit. 
But at the same time we do know 

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better so we'll soft lock it. 
Yeah. 

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Show a little bit of humility. 
Okay. 

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00:14:08,600 --> 00:14:11,300
Yeah, early, you are you can you
bring a sign to the Bills game? 

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It's a softlock place. 
We already. 

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00:14:14,900 --> 00:14:16,400
Does that make you want to play 
more? 

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00:14:16,600 --> 00:14:19,300
I know it's kind of chalky, but 
more New England, D and kicker 

217
00:14:19,300 --> 00:14:23,200
because you can play like the 
bills to win with digs and like 

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00:14:23,200 --> 00:14:26,900
the New England D and kicker. 
And then, I mean, let's say the 

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bills do lose but digs in Ends 
up catching enough passes. 

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You might actually still be able
to back your way into something 

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that works with the two games of
the kicker for New England or 

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whatever. 
And I there are some lineups 

223
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:43,200
that I've seen that. 
Have you kind of as they like 

224
00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:47,300
the bills Fade with New England,
soft fade, which seems like 

225
00:14:47,300 --> 00:14:50,200
ridiculous but that's, that 
would be kind of like the full 

226
00:14:50,200 --> 00:14:53,800
Galaxy, right on. 
It's just like what the Bad 

227
00:14:53,800 --> 00:14:56,900
Builders do though if you're 
right and that's why I don't 

228
00:14:56,900 --> 00:15:00,100
want to do it, but if you, if 
you think through like a say, 

229
00:15:00,100 --> 00:15:05,200
just a super gross game, that 
New England wins and then 

230
00:15:05,200 --> 00:15:07,500
they're getting two games, 
either kicker and d. 

231
00:15:07,700 --> 00:15:11,400
And there's a lot of projected 
high scoring games this weekend.

232
00:15:11,500 --> 00:15:15,600
I mean, I'm not saying that's 
always good idea, I'm just if 

233
00:15:15,600 --> 00:15:18,600
we're Galaxy bringing from, but 
thank saying like and I've seen 

234
00:15:18,600 --> 00:15:22,800
it in some of the, you know, 
stuff that's been spit out, so 

235
00:15:23,100 --> 00:15:26,100
Well, the other thing that kind 
of lends itself to that is even 

236
00:15:26,100 --> 00:15:29,100
in a path to Victory. 
They still are going on the road

237
00:15:29,100 --> 00:15:32,600
to Tennessee, where they could 
play another 9:46 game, you 

238
00:15:32,608 --> 00:15:35,400
know, with the Titans, like 
their path isn't set up four 

239
00:15:35,400 --> 00:15:38,000
points. 
Like if what if like not a here 

240
00:15:38,000 --> 00:15:41,000
could be a chance that none of 
their skill players, get past 

241
00:15:41,000 --> 00:15:45,700
20, ffp, see points in two weeks
and then your and then if you've

242
00:15:45,700 --> 00:15:50,300
got two weeks of kicker and 
defense scoring those defensive 

243
00:15:50,300 --> 00:15:52,800
kickers are really popping. 
Yeah. 

244
00:15:52,900 --> 00:15:53,600
Yeah, right. 
Yeah. 

245
00:15:53,600 --> 00:15:56,800
Because you don't actually need 
to have the kicker or the 

246
00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:58,900
defense be the highest scoring 
New England player. 

247
00:15:59,400 --> 00:16:02,400
You just need to go find someone
who covers the difference for 

248
00:16:02,400 --> 00:16:03,400
you. 
Yeah, yeah. 

249
00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:05,500
It's just like the side of 
Damien Harris, is the leading 

250
00:16:05,500 --> 00:16:09,000
scorer at 18 and the New England
D gets 11 because they played 

251
00:16:09,000 --> 00:16:12,500
two games that's nine points. 
Like you could easily have 

252
00:16:12,500 --> 00:16:16,800
Darren Waller score 23 in the 
Raiders D score for and that's 

253
00:16:16,800 --> 00:16:18,600
not. 
That's a 19 exact Gap, you know 

254
00:16:18,608 --> 00:16:20,800
that's 10 points you how far can
we push? 

255
00:16:20,800 --> 00:16:22,800
This could New England playing 
three games. 

256
00:16:22,900 --> 00:16:32,800
Eames the optimal kicker defense
in the Super Bowl. 

257
00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:36,900
Let's go, let's time stamp this.
So when it happens. 

258
00:16:39,100 --> 00:16:42,900
All right, so we know where 
bills or Leone's bills, 

259
00:16:42,900 --> 00:16:46,800
allegiances lie. 
Pat how about back to that 

260
00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:50,500
ownership? 
Steam conversation, what's move?

261
00:16:50,500 --> 00:16:55,700
The most since you first set 
this, Well, one thing that moved

262
00:16:56,200 --> 00:17:00,800
like the first one I did was 
like, very high in tight end 

263
00:17:01,500 --> 00:17:05,099
percentage like higher than I 
thought it would come in and I 

264
00:17:05,108 --> 00:17:08,400
bumped it down. 
And then I've since raised it 

265
00:17:08,400 --> 00:17:11,000
above where I had it initially 
and my running back, percentage 

266
00:17:11,000 --> 00:17:15,400
is way below where like I would 
have told you was appropriate on

267
00:17:15,400 --> 00:17:18,700
Monday, but it just seems like 
maybe it's because we talked to 

268
00:17:18,700 --> 00:17:21,200
Shawn Siegel last night, but it 
does seem like you know, there's

269
00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:26,500
there's more interest In playing
like to just two running backs 

270
00:17:26,500 --> 00:17:30,700
but I think a lot of people will
play just three and I don't 

271
00:17:30,700 --> 00:17:33,700
think people will Jam running 
back because you are there is 

272
00:17:33,700 --> 00:17:35,800
opportunity cost of the tight 
end position. 

273
00:17:35,800 --> 00:17:39,400
I think people play, almost 
three running backs and almost 

274
00:17:39,400 --> 00:17:41,800
two tight ends on average and 
play wide receiver actually 

275
00:17:41,800 --> 00:17:45,400
pretty similar to give you a 
percentage of each maybe maybe 

276
00:17:45,400 --> 00:17:48,200
the FPC handled tweeting out 
that they're thinking about 

277
00:17:48,200 --> 00:17:50,500
getting rid of running backs. 
All together my influence. 

278
00:17:50,500 --> 00:17:52,500
How people are thinking about 
the running back position? 

279
00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:55,600
I mean y'all the boomers are 
going to get tilted in Jam. 

280
00:17:55,600 --> 00:17:56,400
Running backs. 
Not. 

281
00:17:56,400 --> 00:17:58,500
Yeah, that's actually might be 
the reaction. 

282
00:18:00,900 --> 00:18:03,700
You can't take away by running 
backs without a fight. 

283
00:18:03,700 --> 00:18:05,600
I'm loading six of them into my 
life. 

284
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:09,800
What up boy? 
What about Henry? 

285
00:18:09,800 --> 00:18:14,400
And fernette specifically like 
those guys trip me up because 

286
00:18:15,700 --> 00:18:20,600
You could see instances where 
they should be like 70% played, 

287
00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:22,900
or they should be 30, like, just
based on their workloads. 

288
00:18:22,900 --> 00:18:26,700
I don't know those guys could be
jams or you can be. 

289
00:18:26,700 --> 00:18:30,500
I brought for net down just like
a hair, but I also brought Brady

290
00:18:30,500 --> 00:18:33,000
down because I think people are 
worried about this weather 

291
00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:35,000
stuff. 
I don't think he'll be that 

292
00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:36,800
popular. 
He was already way under, he was

293
00:18:36,800 --> 00:18:39,500
a much better play last year, 
and he was way below where I 

294
00:18:39,500 --> 00:18:40,700
projected. 
So I'm being a little 

295
00:18:40,700 --> 00:18:43,700
conservative on Brady, but I 
brought for a night down, I 

296
00:18:43,708 --> 00:18:46,300
haven't 43%. 
Still Still the chalk on 

297
00:18:46,300 --> 00:18:50,400
tampabay of Gronk at 30%. 
It's a gronk's like pretty fun 

298
00:18:50,400 --> 00:18:55,100
play Evans down at 17%. 
So I don't know, I mean this 

299
00:18:55,100 --> 00:18:58,200
game time decision stuff, maybe 
I'm too high on for now but on 

300
00:18:58,208 --> 00:19:00,700
the other hand, I know the 
projections, love them and I 

301
00:19:00,700 --> 00:19:02,200
don't think the projections are 
scared off them. 

302
00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:05,200
So when people are looking at 
that sending their lineups, he's

303
00:19:05,200 --> 00:19:09,400
going to make a ton of sense mix
in his sort of steadily climbed,

304
00:19:09,400 --> 00:19:12,800
because if people are getting 
scared off of for net or Henry, 

305
00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:15,500
they're gonna go to mix these 
kind of the He asked, I mean, 

306
00:19:15,500 --> 00:19:18,400
Sean was talking about playing 
mix and so, you know that anyone

307
00:19:18,400 --> 00:19:22,300
can get on the mix and play, 
dear can re I have it. 50% of 

308
00:19:22,300 --> 00:19:26,900
actually brought him up, which 
could be wrong, but I just 

309
00:19:26,900 --> 00:19:30,600
haven't heard like a lot of you 
can't play, Derrick Henry, you 

310
00:19:30,600 --> 00:19:34,300
know, type, it takes, I think 
some people are sort of nervous 

311
00:19:34,300 --> 00:19:36,900
about it, but probably still 
playing a decent amount. 

312
00:19:37,400 --> 00:19:41,800
I know AJ Brown is going to be 
popular, but I have him at 37 

313
00:19:41,800 --> 00:19:46,100
percent, but I still feel like 
Derrick Henry will still get a 

314
00:19:46,100 --> 00:19:50,300
lot of love. 
Yeah, I mean, it just with all 

315
00:19:50,300 --> 00:19:53,900
of the uncertainty, you know, 
with running back once you had 

316
00:19:53,900 --> 00:19:57,000
that Leonard, fournette stuff in
the mix, I mean, Henry, and 

317
00:19:57,000 --> 00:19:59,600
Mixon. 
Those are the two safest clicks,

318
00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:02,400
right at running back the warm 
fuzzies mix-ins, the most to 

319
00:20:02,408 --> 00:20:04,700
get, to use the safest. 
I think makes no, I was just 

320
00:20:04,700 --> 00:20:06,700
telling you like a half hour 
before the show Pete that 

321
00:20:06,700 --> 00:20:09,200
everyone of every building has 
been putting Henry. 

322
00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:12,100
Mix it in and I don't even like 
either those players but they're

323
00:20:12,100 --> 00:20:13,300
the warm fuzzies. 
Yes. 

324
00:20:13,800 --> 00:20:14,600
Yeah. 
Ones. 

325
00:20:15,200 --> 00:20:16,100
Mix. 
It doesn't give me the warm 

326
00:20:16,100 --> 00:20:18,300
fuzzies at all, because I keep 
thinking about who I'm not 

327
00:20:18,300 --> 00:20:22,500
playing, but I think it just 
from a pure, you got to pick a 

328
00:20:22,500 --> 00:20:24,300
running back, which one's the 
safest perspective. 

329
00:20:24,300 --> 00:20:28,200
It is mixing. 
Yeah, and I think a lot of this,

330
00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:32,900
if we do have true game time, 
decisions on Connor on 

331
00:20:32,900 --> 00:20:36,500
fournette, like it's going to be
the people who are willing to 

332
00:20:36,500 --> 00:20:40,400
clackety-clack roll the dice and
potentially take a zero at 

333
00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:44,100
running back in a Tampa Bay loss
or a zero at running back in an 

334
00:20:44,100 --> 00:20:47,800
Arizona loss. 
You know, I guess it's a little 

335
00:20:47,800 --> 00:20:51,400
different with for net because 
if you're playing for net you're

336
00:20:51,400 --> 00:20:54,100
locking him at least with the 
Connor situation you could just 

337
00:20:54,100 --> 00:20:56,900
play Edmonds as yours. 
As your choice and then, even if

338
00:20:56,900 --> 00:20:59,400
Connor plays, you're still going
to get some points. 

339
00:20:59,800 --> 00:21:01,500
Yeah, I brought the matter down 
to 0%. 

340
00:21:01,500 --> 00:21:03,600
I don't think anyone's. 
Yeah, I could have collected on 

341
00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:06,400
that in the 200 and I think 
Edmonds will get some. 

342
00:21:06,400 --> 00:21:09,500
I think I'm at seven but that's 
below like the combined 

343
00:21:09,500 --> 00:21:11,700
ownership when I was. 
Didn't have any idea how that's 

344
00:21:11,700 --> 00:21:14,100
going to play out. 
I just kind of had like a like a

345
00:21:14,200 --> 00:21:17,300
it was like, 15% sort of starter
range for both running backs, 

346
00:21:17,300 --> 00:21:19,100
combined. 
And so that's, that's cut in 

347
00:21:19,100 --> 00:21:21,100
half now. 
We only how bad do you want to 

348
00:21:21,100 --> 00:21:25,100
bring up Zeke right now? 
The Prima. 

349
00:21:26,300 --> 00:21:31,600
I wanted us to play 10% Zeke, 
and then giving me a hard time. 

350
00:21:33,500 --> 00:21:34,600
I did. 
I was working on the 

351
00:21:34,608 --> 00:21:38,100
walkthrough, which I will have 
up later tonight. 

352
00:21:38,100 --> 00:21:39,100
I still gotta edit it. 
Yeah. 

353
00:21:39,100 --> 00:21:42,300
But does it that hard games 
tomorrow, right? 

354
00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:45,100
Yeah, it normally does. 
But it didn't ya. 

355
00:21:46,800 --> 00:21:51,100
So I'm gonna have it out and 
you'll be able to read it, but I

356
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:54,300
was looking up since the by 
Zeke's workload. 

357
00:21:54,300 --> 00:21:57,500
He's running back. 17 in 
expected work, well, respected 

358
00:21:57,500 --> 00:21:59,500
points, per game, since the 
bike. 

359
00:21:59,500 --> 00:22:02,200
Don't don't love it. 
I think I'm, I think I'm on the 

360
00:22:02,300 --> 00:22:05,700
outside its argument now. 
You were the one pushing for 

361
00:22:05,700 --> 00:22:08,200
more. 
I was pushing I was pushing for.

362
00:22:08,200 --> 00:22:10,300
I was trying to flush you out 
and get you to tell us what you 

363
00:22:10,300 --> 00:22:12,100
actually want to because I 
thought it might be Ridin. 

364
00:22:12,100 --> 00:22:15,000
I came in with an honest. 
No, not her. 

365
00:22:15,100 --> 00:22:17,500
I like I didn't question. 
I didn't want to say that our 

366
00:22:17,500 --> 00:22:20,000
percentages a bit. 
I wanted to like, actually can I

367
00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:21,900
cast our esteemed guest a quick 
question? 

368
00:22:21,900 --> 00:22:26,100
There's a great question here 
from Jarrett in the chat is Tony

369
00:22:26,100 --> 00:22:30,000
Pollard over Zeke to gal. 
Brain, what type of Leverage 

370
00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:32,900
would that provide this over the
end Leone lineups. 

371
00:22:33,000 --> 00:22:34,800
I think that's I think that's 
Far. 

372
00:22:36,000 --> 00:22:39,500
I'm a, I'm a 24-hour guy in a 
ball just but I think that's too

373
00:22:39,500 --> 00:22:41,100
far. 
I need your basically hoping 

374
00:22:41,100 --> 00:22:47,600
that Z allow gets hurt his Tony 
Pollard, in any other scenario, 

375
00:22:47,600 --> 00:22:50,300
is going to have a real hard 
time competing with the wide 

376
00:22:50,300 --> 00:22:54,300
receivers or like or or you're 
hoping that Dallas like losses 

377
00:22:54,300 --> 00:22:59,100
first round and and Pollard just
like has a has a random great 

378
00:22:59,100 --> 00:23:01,600
game, which we haven't even seen
that type of ceiling from him 

379
00:23:01,600 --> 00:23:05,100
during during the year. 
So, I think bar and I agree 

380
00:23:05,100 --> 00:23:08,100
injury, Pollard, like can't, 
there's no way that Pollard can 

381
00:23:08,100 --> 00:23:11,000
be optimal. 
I think Pollard has outscored 

382
00:23:11,000 --> 00:23:17,700
Zeke like twice this year. 
Yeah, but when he did Mike it 

383
00:23:17,700 --> 00:23:31,700
looks so good. 
There is an argument for his 

384
00:23:31,700 --> 00:23:36,200
explosiveness but yeah. 
We did our Target exposures 

385
00:23:36,200 --> 00:23:38,800
Leone that started some of our 
Zeke discussions and I had 

386
00:23:38,800 --> 00:23:42,100
Pollard at Liberty, I'm not pro 
Zeke, it's just with the 

387
00:23:42,700 --> 00:23:44,000
workload. 
He's getting. 

388
00:23:44,000 --> 00:23:45,600
I think it's silly to full 
fadem. 

389
00:23:45,600 --> 00:23:48,200
If you're playing like a lot of 
teams, do it in the context of 

390
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:51,000
this group. 
You're the world's biggest Zeke.

391
00:23:51,000 --> 00:23:52,600
No, I agree. 
I know. 

392
00:23:52,600 --> 00:23:55,600
It's insane. 
It would be, it would be kind of

393
00:23:55,600 --> 00:23:56,800
silly. 
And like, close-minded. 

394
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:58,900
Just a full face. 
Someone who has a good workload 

395
00:23:59,100 --> 00:24:00,700
Leone, what are your thoughts on
Devin Singletary? 

396
00:24:00,700 --> 00:24:04,900
Let's go. 
Situation is a little bit 

397
00:24:04,900 --> 00:24:11,500
different and I built. 
This is Singletary lineup. 

398
00:24:11,500 --> 00:24:17,300
I want that on the record and 
write it out at you scoundrel. 

399
00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:22,100
Okay, here's my Singletary. 
Take probably a little too hand 

400
00:24:22,100 --> 00:24:23,900
in the dirt. 
Well one like just pure 

401
00:24:23,900 --> 00:24:26,900
projections wise. 
I have Singletary is like way 

402
00:24:26,900 --> 00:24:30,000
worse of a played Zeke like 
relative to his teammates but 

403
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:35,300
and it's just it's if the bills 
I'll lose this game. 

404
00:24:35,600 --> 00:24:37,300
It's hard for me to see 
Singletary. 

405
00:24:37,300 --> 00:24:40,700
Being the optimal piece and if 
they're playing multiple games 

406
00:24:41,500 --> 00:24:43,400
like I could see a lot of 
scenarios where he's the second 

407
00:24:43,400 --> 00:24:48,900
best buffalo piece but he's run 
like God the last three weeks I 

408
00:24:48,900 --> 00:24:51,800
mean you know a handful of weeks
ago. 

409
00:24:51,800 --> 00:24:54,800
If we were talking about Devin 
Singletary would have been two 

410
00:24:54,800 --> 00:24:58,700
percent in this contest for 
weeks ago but he can't turn a 

411
00:24:58,708 --> 00:25:00,600
corner. 
Some things he cannot do it. 

412
00:25:00,700 --> 00:25:03,800
I just want you guys to know 
that I checked my slack DMZ. 

413
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:08,200
There's there's a literal asked 
in a three-man conversation of 

414
00:25:08,200 --> 00:25:13,300
somebody asking if Leone was 
requesting an mft trade to get 

415
00:25:13,300 --> 00:25:17,500
Zeke into his wallet. 
Like this is literally every 

416
00:25:17,500 --> 00:25:20,700
platform that I'm on is Leone 
asking for more Zeke. 

417
00:25:21,900 --> 00:25:29,500
Hey this is being set up. 
Very disingenuously regular 

418
00:25:29,500 --> 00:25:31,300
right now. 
Okay? 

419
00:25:32,100 --> 00:25:33,800
Like I'm being thrown under the 
bus. 

420
00:25:33,900 --> 00:25:37,400
Yes, I am entering a group entry
and I happen to have the other 

421
00:25:37,400 --> 00:25:39,600
pieces. 
So somebody does, in fact have 

422
00:25:39,600 --> 00:25:46,500
to send Ezekiel Elliott, I 
actually will give Leone some 

423
00:25:46,500 --> 00:25:49,900
credit because he's like, you 
know, the Patriots it's 

424
00:25:49,900 --> 00:25:52,400
impossible for them to win this 
week. 

425
00:25:52,500 --> 00:25:55,800
You would think in this bill's 
route, that maybe Leone would be

426
00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:59,100
more excited about Devin 
Singletary, in a positive game 

427
00:25:59,100 --> 00:26:05,600
script but he's not my fears 
with Singletary are I've already

428
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:08,200
hit on bunch of them. 
There's a long list of let's be 

429
00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:11,500
honest you have the bills in the
Super Bowl in all of the 

430
00:26:11,500 --> 00:26:14,500
scenarios you projected. 
So you just have 100% Josh Allen

431
00:26:14,500 --> 00:26:18,000
lineups. 
Well if there's scenarios were 

432
00:26:18,000 --> 00:26:21,900
Allen gets into optimal as in 
like two games because the way 

433
00:26:21,900 --> 00:26:26,900
the quarterbacks are on 
Tennessee, Green Bay, even Tampa

434
00:26:26,900 --> 00:26:29,500
Bay. 
Yeah. 

435
00:26:30,000 --> 00:26:34,100
And like you if you make a San 
Francisco run the quarterbacks 

436
00:26:34,500 --> 00:26:38,000
Even Kansas City with Tyreke and
Kelsey like there's not a ton of

437
00:26:38,000 --> 00:26:42,100
ways that Alan doesn't get in 
the optimal even in the AFC 

438
00:26:42,100 --> 00:26:44,800
Championship Game. 
You know, with his Russian 

439
00:26:44,800 --> 00:26:46,400
nobility in the way they spread 
it out. 

440
00:26:46,500 --> 00:26:50,100
And then you've got Singletary 
versus digs, I do I'm probably 

441
00:26:50,100 --> 00:26:56,100
undervaluing how often 
Singletary beats days but I do 

442
00:26:56,100 --> 00:27:00,600
also think like if Singletary. 
It's been it's been 18 weeks of 

443
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:02,300
over projecting digs. 
What's another one? 

444
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,600
What what? 
People have probably been saying

445
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:09,400
we've been over projecting 
Singletary for 32 weeks until 

446
00:27:09,400 --> 00:27:13,300
the last for like I mean like 
this shit just sometimes happens

447
00:27:13,400 --> 00:27:15,700
you know it's not uniformly 
distributed like I think there's

448
00:27:15,700 --> 00:27:18,900
an element of Randomness like I 
don't think Devin Singletary is 

449
00:27:18,900 --> 00:27:22,600
all of a sudden like this go to 
goal line, he's not what not. 

450
00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,700
But I guess the question is is 
there a concern that your swing 

451
00:27:25,700 --> 00:27:28,000
back too far? 
Because because it's such 

452
00:27:28,000 --> 00:27:31,900
obvious like - leverage his 
workload over this stretch of in

453
00:27:31,900 --> 00:27:33,400
much better than Zeke's 
workload. 

454
00:27:36,900 --> 00:27:40,900
Yeah, I mean, the last thing I 
expected points like throughout 

455
00:27:40,900 --> 00:27:43,600
the efficiency stuff. 
Yeah, I think. 

456
00:27:44,400 --> 00:27:47,100
Okay, I might be to hand hand in
the dirt here, but I think 

457
00:27:47,100 --> 00:27:50,100
they've had some games that 
aren't representative how 

458
00:27:50,100 --> 00:27:52,100
they're going to play in the 
playoffs and I could be wrong, 

459
00:27:52,100 --> 00:27:56,500
but they've played some bad 
weather games against, yo, 

460
00:27:56,500 --> 00:28:01,800
Carolina, Atlanta, the Jets to 
finish, like, I think those are 

461
00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,900
kind of the bills, the way they 
I want to plan A Plus and this 

462
00:28:04,900 --> 00:28:07,600
is super cold game coming up. 
So like there's a chance that 

463
00:28:07,600 --> 00:28:10,000
the weather does cause them to 
play somewhat like they did in 

464
00:28:10,008 --> 00:28:14,200
those games but I think they 
want Alan to just drop back like

465
00:28:14,400 --> 00:28:17,100
90% again. 
Like an absurd amount of the 

466
00:28:17,100 --> 00:28:19,500
time kind of like what they did 
in the New England game. 

467
00:28:19,500 --> 00:28:21,400
And I think Singletary, did I 
have still? 

468
00:28:21,400 --> 00:28:26,200
I'm like an okay game and the 
Tampa Bay game but also like my 

469
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:28,700
take isn't purely narrative. 
Like maybe my projection on him 

470
00:28:28,700 --> 00:28:31,800
is wrong but like, it's coming 
from that, like I have him as 

471
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:35,300
like a 5% time. 
Play and the fields going to 

472
00:28:35,300 --> 00:28:39,700
play him 20%. 
So I'll fade, you know what I 

473
00:28:39,708 --> 00:28:41,500
mean? 
We can just play in five percent

474
00:28:41,500 --> 00:28:43,000
and still be way under way and 
have a look. 

475
00:28:43,000 --> 00:28:45,000
Yeah, I put them in a fucking 
line up, baby. 

476
00:28:47,000 --> 00:28:49,800
Well, you can, we did have a 
whole discussion this week where

477
00:28:49,800 --> 00:28:51,800
you were very clear about my 
nose. 

478
00:28:51,900 --> 00:28:57,300
Not, this was not a softlock. 
This was a lock, a 0% hard. 

479
00:28:57,300 --> 00:28:59,900
I found a good lineup with him 
in and I put it in. 

480
00:29:00,100 --> 00:29:02,600
It's got to be what, like, a 
two-game scenario for 

481
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:05,500
Singletary. 
Yeah, a lot of these running 

482
00:29:05,500 --> 00:29:07,700
backs are that's your open for, 
you hope for two games at a lot 

483
00:29:07,700 --> 00:29:10,000
of these running backs and 
that's the big question goes 

484
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,600
with the idea. 
You know a lot of these guys 

485
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:17,200
like their dogs to the field on 
two games but the two games 

486
00:29:17,200 --> 00:29:20,300
specifically is probably more 
likely than any other relative 

487
00:29:20,300 --> 00:29:23,800
to the beach. 
Wal outcome would Henry be the 

488
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:29,000
only running back where he's 
likely the optimal play from the

489
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:34,700
team in a three-game scenario. 
I think Nixon very easily could 

490
00:29:34,700 --> 00:29:38,000
be but I know no. 
I think missing could be makes 

491
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:44,000
it alive for that for that. 
Yeah that definitely good for. 

492
00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:47,400
Nothing is like Mitchell. 
I mean where are we honest? 

493
00:29:47,400 --> 00:29:49,700
Where we at on Mitchell's 
pass-catching? 

494
00:29:49,700 --> 00:29:52,000
Because at least with mix and we
know he's going to catch some 

495
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:54,500
passes. 
Yeah I do. 

496
00:29:54,500 --> 00:29:57,400
I'm so nice. 
Our on Nick Mitchell I think 

497
00:29:57,900 --> 00:30:00,900
Mitchell could catch four passes
or you could get zero I just 

498
00:30:00,900 --> 00:30:04,200
have like absolutely no idea. 
The problem. 

499
00:30:05,500 --> 00:30:07,500
Yeah I think the two Diamond 
past catching, it's the same 

500
00:30:07,500 --> 00:30:10,600
thing with Mixon, right? 
Like those two down, guys that 

501
00:30:10,600 --> 00:30:12,900
are like good football, players.
Like they have those random 

502
00:30:12,900 --> 00:30:16,100
Spike weeks receiving but they 
have no 4 on it. 

503
00:30:17,800 --> 00:30:22,500
Yeah, and Hasty is still like 
playing some passed down snaps. 

504
00:30:22,500 --> 00:30:28,400
So so if I told you that you are
for the Bengals were making it 

505
00:30:28,400 --> 00:30:33,100
to the AFC Championship Game, 
mix in would be the play for you

506
00:30:33,100 --> 00:30:35,700
guys. 
No, no. 

507
00:30:35,700 --> 00:30:37,700
I would pick one of the 
receivers, but I don't think it 

508
00:30:37,700 --> 00:30:40,700
like mix-ins, a bad play. 
No, yeah, ya. 

509
00:30:40,800 --> 00:30:41,800
I would definitely pick one the 
receipt. 

510
00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:45,300
I think I would lean towards 
mixing and if I think it would 

511
00:30:45,300 --> 00:30:49,600
be mixes but hard to get the 
running back, obviously love the

512
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,100
receivers love the Bengals 
passing game and play them in 

513
00:30:52,100 --> 00:30:55,300
every format all year. 
So hard to get the right running

514
00:30:55,300 --> 00:30:58,300
backs in this particular year in
this contest. 

515
00:30:58,500 --> 00:31:00,900
Mix and feels to me like he 
would separate in that scenario.

516
00:31:00,900 --> 00:31:03,000
I mean he's gonna be he's gonna 
be brought along by the passing 

517
00:31:03,000 --> 00:31:03,800
game. 
He's going to score some 

518
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:06,100
touchdowns there. 
Going to games, have one of the 

519
00:31:06,100 --> 00:31:08,000
things is that they're playing. 
Plus scripts in two of those 

520
00:31:08,000 --> 00:31:10,700
games. 
Most likely, I want the running 

521
00:31:10,700 --> 00:31:13,000
back on that spot and then I 
want to take the good receivers 

522
00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:16,300
we have on so many other teams, 
you know, in other spots. 

523
00:31:16,300 --> 00:31:19,400
That's why I keep picking mix in
my lambs and it's just it's so 

524
00:31:19,400 --> 00:31:22,700
tricky because what been saying,
like he could get outscored by 

525
00:31:22,700 --> 00:31:25,400
Chase and being the optimal, you
know, if it's a true running 

526
00:31:25,400 --> 00:31:28,100
back optimal. 
Right. 

527
00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:29,500
Right. 
That's true. 

528
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:32,000
That's true. 
So explain that because I think 

529
00:31:32,000 --> 00:31:36,200
people have a hard time wrapping
Their head around that, that a 

530
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:39,400
player who scores less than one 
of his teammates, could be the 

531
00:31:39,400 --> 00:31:43,000
optimal play from that team. 
So it would have to be a to 

532
00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:45,800
running back optimal for this to
be possible, but if running back

533
00:31:45,800 --> 00:31:51,600
is just so bad, if mixed in 
outscores, you know, the next 

534
00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:56,700
closest running back by more 
than Jamar chase out scores, you

535
00:31:56,700 --> 00:31:59,400
know, the wide receiver. 
That would be left off mix-ins. 

536
00:31:59,400 --> 00:32:02,800
Actually going to be a better 
play. 

537
00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:06,300
It's probably better off. 
Compare them to the like who the

538
00:32:06,300 --> 00:32:09,200
third running back would be. 
So you have two points from last

539
00:32:09,200 --> 00:32:11,700
year like the final points to 
kind of show how the optimal 

540
00:32:11,700 --> 00:32:13,700
even comes together. 
That's something we should have 

541
00:32:13,900 --> 00:32:15,400
kind of Duty because it does get
trip. 

542
00:32:15,400 --> 00:32:17,400
Like it's stuff really gets 
tricky like we're talking to 

543
00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:19,600
line up before and things like 
why would you use you know 

544
00:32:19,608 --> 00:32:22,600
Damien Harris against the bills 
defense and like he brought up 

545
00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:24,900
some good game script points but
like at the end of the day it's 

546
00:32:24,900 --> 00:32:28,300
like especially with the way 
this defensive scoring works on 

547
00:32:28,300 --> 00:32:30,600
ffp. 
See where it's like so Random 

548
00:32:30,700 --> 00:32:33,800
like you gotta do some shit. 
That doesn't seem like it 

549
00:32:34,100 --> 00:32:39,200
totally makes A sense and can 
argue you're digging through 

550
00:32:39,200 --> 00:32:41,900
stuff last year. 
My brother like the, why did I 

551
00:32:41,900 --> 00:32:44,700
was this line of possible? 
And then you looked at like the 

552
00:32:44,700 --> 00:32:48,800
potential points scored, and 
it's like, oh, like this gap 

553
00:32:49,300 --> 00:32:50,800
between these different in this 
guy. 

554
00:32:50,800 --> 00:32:53,800
Yeah, I would do a lot of that 
digging last year but like the 

555
00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:57,300
gap between positions. 
The one thing I remember is 

556
00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:00,300
running back gets really shallow
really quick. 

557
00:33:00,300 --> 00:33:02,700
Like, in terms of total points 
scored and you have to cut a 

558
00:33:02,708 --> 00:33:04,600
couple out because you're like, 
oh yeah, this running backs. 

559
00:33:05,300 --> 00:33:08,100
You know, 20 points over the 
playoff run because this team 

560
00:33:08,100 --> 00:33:10,800
played three or four games, but 
he has, you know, whatever 

561
00:33:10,800 --> 00:33:13,000
whoever does Travis Kelce your 
tire kill on his team, who 

562
00:33:13,000 --> 00:33:15,400
scored 80, right? 
And so like that was the optimal

563
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:16,700
over there. 
It's not even close. 

564
00:33:17,100 --> 00:33:19,600
And so you start looking down, 
you're like not a lot of running

565
00:33:19,600 --> 00:33:22,000
backs because like most teams 
only have really one. 

566
00:33:22,000 --> 00:33:25,400
Maybe a second, you know, 
running back that can score 

567
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:27,500
points. 
Receiver is a lot deeper and 

568
00:33:27,500 --> 00:33:30,000
that in some ways means that 
there's a lot more chance for 

569
00:33:30,000 --> 00:33:31,000
guys to hit ceiling. 
Yeah? 

570
00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:33,500
Right. 
Yeah, although the thing I 

571
00:33:33,500 --> 00:33:36,900
struggle with the Bangles, Is 
that just having watched the 

572
00:33:36,900 --> 00:33:39,800
team? 
And you know, sir seeing how bad

573
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:43,300
they were when they did go run 
heavy, like mixing can come 

574
00:33:43,300 --> 00:33:45,300
along for the ride when the 
teams playing well? 

575
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:48,600
And it's certainly very possible
that he would be the highest 

576
00:33:48,600 --> 00:33:52,300
scoring guy, or the guy you 
needed in a three-game run, but 

577
00:33:52,300 --> 00:33:55,600
I think like, even against the 
Titans, you know, they're 

578
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:57,000
probably they're going to have 
the chiefs of the bills. 

579
00:33:57,000 --> 00:34:00,600
Most likely as one of the three 
games, potentially both their 

580
00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:02,400
winning those games because 
Burrows going off. 

581
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,600
I think like, I just think 
that's how they actually make. 

582
00:34:04,700 --> 00:34:07,200
A run, you know? 
And so it's just harder for me 

583
00:34:07,200 --> 00:34:10,900
to Pivot and imagine this 
version of The Bangles that 

584
00:34:10,900 --> 00:34:13,000
we've never really seen. 
They've never been actually very

585
00:34:13,000 --> 00:34:15,800
good when they've leaned on 
mixing and Borough hasn't been 

586
00:34:15,800 --> 00:34:18,800
effective. 
So, I kind of like mixing in 

587
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:23,300
order to game scenarios you can 
develop throughout definitely 

588
00:34:23,300 --> 00:34:26,900
get brought along like there was
a stretch in November where you 

589
00:34:26,900 --> 00:34:31,900
know mixing outscored I think 
Jason Higgins combined over 

590
00:34:31,900 --> 00:34:35,199
three games But that was that 
struggling? 

591
00:34:35,199 --> 00:34:37,400
I mean combined. 
Yeah yeah. 

592
00:34:37,500 --> 00:34:40,000
But what do they were like it 
can Hattery in that stretch 

593
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:43,500
there was like freaking terrible
from from a field sentiment 

594
00:34:43,500 --> 00:34:46,199
standpoint. 
It's just such a mindfuck though

595
00:34:46,199 --> 00:34:50,000
because the Bangles passing game
finished so strong like everyone

596
00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:53,600
has those massive Chase and 
Higgins games in their head and 

597
00:34:53,600 --> 00:34:57,600
yet running back is so gross 
that mix. 

598
00:34:57,600 --> 00:35:00,200
It looks like such an attractive
play where normally if the 

599
00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:03,600
running back field was a little 
stronger, everyone be ripping 

600
00:35:03,600 --> 00:35:07,000
Chase right now because he would
just he's coming off. 

601
00:35:07,100 --> 00:35:10,000
Just an incredible finish and so
I don't know. 

602
00:35:10,000 --> 00:35:12,400
I feel like the field could go 
either way on the mix inverse 

603
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:16,100
Chase stuff. 
And I'd be a lot more in who's 

604
00:35:16,100 --> 00:35:20,700
getting left out by the way. 
And then that stretch that 

605
00:35:20,700 --> 00:35:24,300
stretch that, you know he 
outscored Higgins and Chase 

606
00:35:24,300 --> 00:35:26,000
combined. 
They were two on one and, you 

607
00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:29,700
know, they scored 41 and 32 
points, you know, one of those 

608
00:35:29,700 --> 00:35:33,500
games was against Vegas were 
mixing around for 123 so like I 

609
00:35:33,500 --> 00:35:36,700
think we're shorting mix-ins 
ability a little bit here, but I

610
00:35:36,700 --> 00:35:39,200
do agree with Pete. 
Like it is like a fascinating 

611
00:35:39,500 --> 00:35:43,200
figma between the positional 
scarcity and the recency bias 

612
00:35:43,900 --> 00:35:46,600
and that what passes Said like, 
hey, can we just talk about the 

613
00:35:46,600 --> 00:35:48,600
other side of that game? 
The Raiders? 

614
00:35:48,600 --> 00:35:50,600
Because I feel like they're both
overrated, in under eight. 

615
00:35:50,600 --> 00:35:51,700
And I don't know what to do with
them. 

616
00:35:52,000 --> 00:35:54,700
Like they're, they're underrated
by the market in this contest. 

617
00:35:54,700 --> 00:35:56,800
I think, I also think they're 
overrated, I've said it's not a 

618
00:35:56,800 --> 00:35:59,800
few different times, but since 
they're buying week, a every one

619
00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,100
of their games has been every 
one of the wind spent, a one 

620
00:36:02,100 --> 00:36:04,500
score went there, five and two 
prior, they're five and five 

621
00:36:04,500 --> 00:36:06,200
cents there. 
Different team, lost their head,

622
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:08,100
coach lost Senator rugs 
different team. 

623
00:36:08,600 --> 00:36:11,900
All five wins one score wins for
on last second field goals to 

624
00:36:11,900 --> 00:36:16,000
and over time, that's time. 
Even a playoff team, like 

625
00:36:16,000 --> 00:36:18,000
they're worse than the spoilers 
by that regard. 

626
00:36:18,000 --> 00:36:20,700
That's like a fishing. 
It's an actual record, right? 

627
00:36:22,000 --> 00:36:24,500
Yeah, we want we want the 
Chargers in we don't want to 

628
00:36:24,500 --> 00:36:28,500
lose so are they underrated? 
They're underrated by the market

629
00:36:28,500 --> 00:36:30,800
relative to their chances of 
winning based on the spread 

630
00:36:30,800 --> 00:36:32,200
based on their seed. 
All those things. 

631
00:36:32,500 --> 00:36:34,800
I also think they're just like, 
not a playoff team. 

632
00:36:35,200 --> 00:36:37,500
I think the properly rated I 
think they're going to get play.

633
00:36:37,500 --> 00:36:41,000
I think again, get faded about 
60% of the field will be on the 

634
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:43,600
kicker defense or not. 
Playing them, which is about 

635
00:36:43,600 --> 00:36:46,200
right for their odds of 
advancing. 

636
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:50,700
And I think, you know, people 
will play it through Waller and 

637
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:55,500
then UPS, fairly close behind. 
And then sprinkle around 40, no 

638
00:36:55,500 --> 00:36:57,400
one's going to play the 
quarterback as they shouldn't. 

639
00:36:57,700 --> 00:37:00,600
I actually think the Raiders are
hitting me like pretty well 

640
00:37:00,600 --> 00:37:03,600
played. 
That's what's what you're saying

641
00:37:03,600 --> 00:37:06,200
about the Raiders ban is how I 
feel about a couple spots, where

642
00:37:06,400 --> 00:37:08,700
I feel like if you're asking 
people like build out their 

643
00:37:08,700 --> 00:37:13,300
brackets and stuff like they're 
under rating Tennessee, I think 

644
00:37:13,300 --> 00:37:15,300
they're, you know, over rating 
San Francisco. 

645
00:37:15,400 --> 00:37:18,400
But then, for this contest, I 
think they're over playing 

646
00:37:18,400 --> 00:37:20,400
Tennessee. 
I think they're under Plain San 

647
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:22,100
Francisco. 
I think they're applying the 

648
00:37:22,100 --> 00:37:25,300
Raiders even though so it gets 
trippy like you. 

649
00:37:25,300 --> 00:37:28,300
Yeah, like Pat and I were trying
to figure out ways to take 

650
00:37:28,300 --> 00:37:30,600
advantage of the market 
overconfidence in San Francisco 

651
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:32,600
because it's not really and 
fading them because it looks 

652
00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:34,900
like you both can be played 
correctly. 

653
00:37:35,000 --> 00:37:37,700
Mitchell's like we played a lot 
and kiddo looks like an actually

654
00:37:37,700 --> 00:37:42,000
like in plus opportunity there 
Pat. 

655
00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:45,700
Well how are you dealing? 
Like I feel like if I was doing 

656
00:37:45,700 --> 00:37:51,200
the ownership I would be tempted
to slide more towards mix it in 

657
00:37:51,200 --> 00:37:53,700
Henry. 
With people getting spooked with

658
00:37:53,700 --> 00:37:57,700
for net and sliding a bunch 
toward Gronk, right? 

659
00:37:57,700 --> 00:38:02,100
Because Gronk now becomes the 
comfortable Tampa Bay play. 

660
00:38:02,200 --> 00:38:06,800
If people are really worried 
about for net but I don't I mean

661
00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:09,700
I would love to hear you guys 
opinion on this but I don't feel

662
00:38:09,700 --> 00:38:13,000
like they really are that word 
about fournette. 

663
00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:16,600
Like did projection like you 
guys stay pretty much in line, 

664
00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:20,900
right? 
Yeah, I do. 

665
00:38:20,900 --> 00:38:23,400
These situations are always 
tough but the quote was like 

666
00:38:23,400 --> 00:38:25,700
he's questionable, but if he 
plays, he's gonna be a full go, 

667
00:38:25,700 --> 00:38:28,600
and I just kind of feel like 
he's playing, and they just 

668
00:38:28,600 --> 00:38:30,200
don't want to say he's playing, 
he's gonna be. 

669
00:38:30,200 --> 00:38:33,300
I mean, Aryan said he's a 
game-time decision and I think 

670
00:38:33,300 --> 00:38:35,800
the words game time decision. 
Spook people. 

671
00:38:37,500 --> 00:38:39,700
I think so too. 
I lured him a little bit but it 

672
00:38:39,700 --> 00:38:44,500
is tough to like and one thing 
with a guy like for net is like 

673
00:38:44,600 --> 00:38:48,000
if he's projecting is like 
literally ET ours, top ranked 

674
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:51,900
school player in the entire 
playoffs that young height which

675
00:38:51,900 --> 00:38:56,400
is the position adjusted, right?
Nonny position adjusted on your 

676
00:38:56,400 --> 00:38:59,200
rankings. 
Yeah. 

677
00:38:59,300 --> 00:39:01,700
What was I being made fun of 
therefore, I was answering to 

678
00:39:01,700 --> 00:39:05,400
support question. 
No, I think it was the question.

679
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:14,000
How is obvious that you just 
love? 

680
00:39:14,000 --> 00:39:21,200
So much Singletary? 
You got not sorry. 

681
00:39:22,600 --> 00:39:24,100
You guys have the best running 
back. 

682
00:39:26,000 --> 00:39:29,700
Expected points to know what was
questioning. 

683
00:39:29,700 --> 00:39:33,100
I'm just asking if you guys are 
hedging because of the injury 

684
00:39:33,100 --> 00:39:38,400
news, no, we don't have anything
hedged on the Tampa Bay we have 

685
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:39,800
for now. 
It'll go down pretty. 

686
00:39:40,300 --> 00:39:41,700
Okay. 
So you guys have one of them 

687
00:39:41,900 --> 00:39:43,000
will go? 
I think. 

688
00:39:43,000 --> 00:39:44,600
Yes. 
Other sites probably do too. 

689
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:47,700
So I don't know. 
Like it's people are building 

690
00:39:47,700 --> 00:39:49,600
their lineups. 
They're gonna, I think a lot of 

691
00:39:49,607 --> 00:39:51,200
people are going to look at 
projections, help guide them 

692
00:39:51,200 --> 00:39:54,000
through and follow. 
And it's up for seven hours ago.

693
00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:56,700
For net is still not on the 
Active roster. 

694
00:39:57,200 --> 00:39:59,900
Can I just point out Leon is 
wearing a Steve Largent Jersey 

695
00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,200
and Steve large? 
It was known for after 

696
00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:04,400
interceptions. 
Absolutely lighting up the 

697
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:07,900
Beasley OT came back at Pat 
there with the Steve Largent 

698
00:40:07,900 --> 00:40:10,000
after the interception is coming
back at you. 

699
00:40:10,000 --> 00:40:15,800
I was just nobody's safe. 
Nobody knows where the debris 

700
00:40:15,800 --> 00:40:17,900
will go. 
I don't even know and no one. 

701
00:40:17,900 --> 00:40:22,500
Even sure who's going at, who 
better for now. 

702
00:40:22,500 --> 00:40:24,800
Okay, Pete help me out. 
I've got Leonard, fournette, 

703
00:40:24,800 --> 00:40:28,200
43%. 
Gronk at 30% in Evans at 17 

704
00:40:28,200 --> 00:40:30,000
percent. 
And keep in mind, I have total 

705
00:40:30,000 --> 00:40:33,800
ownership for running backs at 
2.75 the line. 

706
00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:37,400
So it's already pretty low, but 
what would you do with that? 

707
00:40:39,600 --> 00:40:43,800
I think I'm starting to slide 
more to Henry and pulling the 

708
00:40:43,800 --> 00:40:49,200
fournette to Gronk. 
Now, are you siding with mixing,

709
00:40:50,400 --> 00:40:54,000
43, Grand, cat, 30 you? 
What you want to pull for nuts? 

710
00:40:54,000 --> 00:40:57,500
UB40 guys, I hate to say it. 
We're jamming Lenny. 

711
00:40:57,500 --> 00:40:59,900
If that's true. 
This is this is like right? 

712
00:40:59,900 --> 00:41:02,000
I'm just going like we're 
jamming Lenny. 

713
00:41:02,500 --> 00:41:05,100
Then I kind of feel like there's
like a push and a pull at this 

714
00:41:05,100 --> 00:41:06,300
time. 
I think some people will get 

715
00:41:06,300 --> 00:41:08,000
spooked. 
But I also think people when 

716
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:11,800
they see like 39 percent would 
be like, 103 good running backs,

717
00:41:11,800 --> 00:41:22,000
just that. 
With respect to this contest 

718
00:41:22,000 --> 00:41:23,900
specifically in football stuff 
right now. 

719
00:41:24,300 --> 00:41:28,600
And for me, it's like when I 
think about these contests, the 

720
00:41:28,600 --> 00:41:31,600
hardest part is tearing out who 
the hell to play a running back 

721
00:41:31,900 --> 00:41:33,300
because I don't want to play any
of them. 

722
00:41:33,700 --> 00:41:37,100
And so like the only guys that I
would feel good about clicking 

723
00:41:37,100 --> 00:41:40,200
at all, our Henry mix in in for 
net. 

724
00:41:40,900 --> 00:41:46,500
And it's so those guys have to 
be ridiculously utilized by the 

725
00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:50,300
I think that's going to be 50 
block. 

726
00:41:50,300 --> 00:41:52,100
All have to, we softlock all 
three. 

727
00:41:52,100 --> 00:41:55,900
Or I mean, like like Henry's, 
like 75, right? 

728
00:41:56,000 --> 00:42:00,200
So then you've got at least 125 
more to dish out, and if you're 

729
00:42:00,200 --> 00:42:03,500
talking about like, you know, 
maybe 2.75 and total, then you 

730
00:42:03,500 --> 00:42:07,100
got another 200 to dish out and 
like how do you even get? 

731
00:42:07,500 --> 00:42:10,000
Like no one's playing Mi 
Sanders. 

732
00:42:10,300 --> 00:42:11,900
No one's playing like James 
Conner. 

733
00:42:12,000 --> 00:42:15,800
Like maybe sometimes a little 
like SQL be like, smashing you 

734
00:42:15,800 --> 00:42:17,000
getting some Jake? 
Gibbs. 

735
00:42:17,500 --> 00:42:22,200
Yeah, I'm like that people can 
come around. 

736
00:42:22,200 --> 00:42:26,700
I'm telling you if we do not get
a more bullish quote about 

737
00:42:26,700 --> 00:42:29,000
fournette status and they're 
still the game time decision, 

738
00:42:29,000 --> 00:42:33,400
stuff floating, he's not going 
to be 50%, we do we should be, I

739
00:42:33,400 --> 00:42:35,600
think we should take a chance 
and if he doesn't play, you 

740
00:42:35,600 --> 00:42:37,500
know, so be it, you know, like 
the money on fire. 

741
00:42:37,500 --> 00:42:39,400
But we're trying to win half a 
mil here. 

742
00:42:39,700 --> 00:42:42,400
The problem is that Gronk is 
such a strong play as well. 

743
00:42:42,700 --> 00:42:46,000
That if you yeah, like if you're
wrong and the Gronk is the one 

744
00:42:46,000 --> 00:42:49,700
that comes Really low. 
We got the overweight, right? 

745
00:42:50,400 --> 00:42:52,800
Yeah, we can't play Brady then 
because we got to be even on 

746
00:42:52,800 --> 00:42:54,400
Evans. 
I don't want to touch Brady with

747
00:42:54,400 --> 00:42:56,300
a 10-foot pole. 
I don't either, I don't really 

748
00:42:56,300 --> 00:42:59,300
want to make this make some 
Brady full face the same fucking

749
00:42:59,300 --> 00:43:00,400
thing happened. 
Last year. 

750
00:43:05,000 --> 00:43:10,300
Not even saw fade full fade, 
just know, we're soft fading. 

751
00:43:10,300 --> 00:43:13,100
Brady Lord, azlok ever, fall off
a whole thing. 

752
00:43:13,600 --> 00:43:16,400
We're saw fading, Brady, you got
clear, every brick, every Brady.

753
00:43:16,500 --> 00:43:21,600
Lineup is a Singletary lineup, 
Leone deal with that but I would

754
00:43:21,600 --> 00:43:25,300
rather have five percent of 
those guys together than knowing

755
00:43:25,300 --> 00:43:27,000
Brady. 
All right, I've already felt 

756
00:43:27,000 --> 00:43:28,700
greatest. 
I'm so joke's on you guys. 

757
00:43:29,100 --> 00:43:37,200
Ha, ha, ha, you guys like what 
if, what if last year and for 

758
00:43:37,200 --> 00:43:45,900
not like doesn't play in 
warm-ups and they just so here's

759
00:43:45,900 --> 00:43:48,300
my thing. 
Last year's team was very 

760
00:43:48,300 --> 00:43:50,200
spread, right? 
This year's team is like 

761
00:43:50,200 --> 00:43:52,500
essentially the Chiefs. 
Like you have Tyree kill Mike 

762
00:43:52,500 --> 00:43:54,300
Evans. 
You have Travis Kelce, Rob, 

763
00:43:54,300 --> 00:43:56,500
Gronkowski, and you have a 
really good running back and 

764
00:43:56,508 --> 00:44:00,700
that's like there's no one else.
It's not dude fucking siren 

765
00:44:00,700 --> 00:44:04,400
pricing work like 102 one week. 
You Brady's gonna go to Scotty 

766
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:07,200
Miller and whoever the hell he 
wants like, yeah, he does if 

767
00:44:07,200 --> 00:44:09,800
they go to the Super Bowl like 
Bray. 

768
00:44:10,100 --> 00:44:13,000
I'm not saying he's an amazing 
play, but it's stupid to full 

769
00:44:13,000 --> 00:44:16,500
fade him. 
You're making the lineup you 

770
00:44:16,500 --> 00:44:18,500
guys make it 5:00 yet? 
Fine for Theta. 

771
00:44:18,700 --> 00:44:20,000
Hey I want to tell you guys a 
story. 

772
00:44:20,100 --> 00:44:24,100
Uncle Andy 912 p.m. logs in 
before the show's even gone 

773
00:44:24,100 --> 00:44:25,900
live, he says do a Jalen hurts 
team. 

774
00:44:26,300 --> 00:44:29,200
He chills out for about 45 
minutes. 

775
00:44:29,400 --> 00:44:31,500
He's unsatisfied with the 
content he comes back. 

776
00:44:31,500 --> 00:44:33,700
At 9:59, says do a. 
Jalen hurts team. 

777
00:44:38,400 --> 00:44:39,800
I don't even know what this 
needs. 

778
00:44:39,900 --> 00:44:42,300
What do we do? 
He wants us to build a jail 

779
00:44:42,300 --> 00:44:44,400
under someone. 
Tell him a positive. 

780
00:44:44,400 --> 00:44:45,600
Jalen Hurd story. 
Pat. 

781
00:44:45,600 --> 00:44:47,200
You want you have a little story
time for him? 

782
00:44:48,100 --> 00:44:49,500
Yeah, sure. 
I get some story time. 

783
00:44:49,500 --> 00:44:53,300
Everyone's worried about this 
weather, in Tampa Bay, talking 

784
00:44:53,300 --> 00:44:55,400
about gusts up to 35, there's 
rain. 

785
00:44:55,900 --> 00:44:58,600
Well, the rain supposed to be 
done, basically by, you know, 

786
00:44:58,600 --> 00:45:01,900
12:30, it's not even going to be
raining, and then we don't know 

787
00:45:01,900 --> 00:45:03,800
when these gusts are happening, 
maybe they're only one, Tom 

788
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:05,500
Brady's, throwing the ball. 
Maybe the winds not that big a 

789
00:45:05,508 --> 00:45:09,100
deal, maybe it's Were rated 
still that the day away here. 

790
00:45:09,100 --> 00:45:13,200
So we get Jalen hurts going 
against the big old past funnel.

791
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:16,300
He connects with the Von Teese 
Smith, deep downfield, for a 

792
00:45:16,300 --> 00:45:18,000
touchdown. 
He hits Goddard over the middle 

793
00:45:18,000 --> 00:45:20,300
for another test. 
Any runs one in now is advancing

794
00:45:20,300 --> 00:45:21,900
twice and you're already looking
at hurts. 

795
00:45:21,900 --> 00:45:23,200
Maybe in the optimal. 
Let's go. 

796
00:45:24,300 --> 00:45:26,700
Wow, there you go. 
Uncle. 

797
00:45:26,700 --> 00:45:28,500
Andy, that's looking good there 
too. 

798
00:45:28,500 --> 00:45:32,700
To gamer that will you kind of 
have to you have to write like 

799
00:45:32,700 --> 00:45:34,300
you've got a Green Bay 
Tennessee. 

800
00:45:34,300 --> 00:45:37,400
Probably right. 
And then the Green Bay Game was 

801
00:45:37,400 --> 00:45:39,600
a massive shootout, but Adams, 
blew up. 

802
00:45:39,600 --> 00:45:43,600
And then you get Henry and Adams
as the, the optimal for those 

803
00:45:43,600 --> 00:45:46,700
teams could be wrong. 
What are the odds of the 

804
00:45:46,707 --> 00:45:58,200
conference 
Championship? 

805
00:46:01,000 --> 00:46:04,600
Yeah, it just sucks. 
I mean, I wish that they could 

806
00:46:04,600 --> 00:46:08,700
match up, you know, with Dallas.
Or Los Angeles or Arizona after.

807
00:46:08,700 --> 00:46:12,100
I think it's actually the road 
based on the odds you put in the

808
00:46:12,100 --> 00:46:14,400
begin the week, the under the, a
three percent chance of making 

809
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:17,300
the Super Bowl. 
Yeah, I think that might be what

810
00:46:17,300 --> 00:46:19,400
the market sometimes. 
The market over rates. 

811
00:46:19,400 --> 00:46:22,700
Like the berry back-end teams a 
little bit because they just 

812
00:46:22,700 --> 00:46:26,500
want people to bet on and and 
he's a full 3.9 right now on 

813
00:46:26,500 --> 00:46:33,400
that 347, but like there I mean 
I don't know like I think Jalen 

814
00:46:33,400 --> 00:46:36,300
hurd's is ok just cuz I do think
there are some scenarios he can 

815
00:46:36,300 --> 00:46:38,500
sneak in. 
In a to gamer and then you kind 

816
00:46:38,500 --> 00:46:39,900
of free. 
Roll the equity stake. 

817
00:46:39,900 --> 00:46:43,900
Jalen hurd's is an immediate 
Buffalo Fame, like a buffalo, 

818
00:46:43,900 --> 00:46:47,200
losing first round. 
I think you want buffalo losing 

819
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:49,100
to Kansas City, at least I don't
think you have time. 

820
00:46:49,100 --> 00:46:53,200
It was in the first round. 
Well, I'm just thinking like so,

821
00:46:53,200 --> 00:46:54,700
How likely do you think it is 
that hurts? 

822
00:46:54,700 --> 00:46:56,600
Outscores. 
Josh, Alan if they both have two

823
00:46:56,600 --> 00:46:59,800
games, well How likely is it 
that hurts outscores Goddard by 

824
00:46:59,800 --> 00:47:01,800
more than Joshua outscores 
dicks? 

825
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:07,900
Okay and I think you're playing 
the hurts team is like they're 

826
00:47:07,900 --> 00:47:12,500
just, you know just running 
horses just, you know, running 

827
00:47:12,500 --> 00:47:15,400
rampant and so there's not a lot
of passing going on. 

828
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:18,400
That's The thing you about that 
it's at it's almost like you 

829
00:47:18,408 --> 00:47:21,500
have to get two things right 
with the Eagles because even if 

830
00:47:21,500 --> 00:47:24,000
they get positive game scripts 
they want to run the ball. 

831
00:47:24,000 --> 00:47:25,800
No matter what. 
And then it's like well then you

832
00:47:25,800 --> 00:47:29,200
need the running to also be 
Jalen hurts running and getting 

833
00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:30,900
those touchdowns near the goal 
line. 

834
00:47:31,100 --> 00:47:34,400
But that's kind of the only 
thing I just ran an absurd 

835
00:47:34,400 --> 00:47:37,500
amount of times like hurts had a
pretty decent Fantasy game. 

836
00:47:38,100 --> 00:47:41,600
Also like I know like the 
temptation to like look at the 

837
00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:44,600
game script on the stuff is 
sometimes like teams end up 

838
00:47:44,600 --> 00:47:47,100
winning after their Trail. 
Into scores for most of the game

839
00:47:47,100 --> 00:47:49,000
or it's just a closed back and 
forth game. 

840
00:47:49,000 --> 00:47:53,600
Like, there's so many today to 
doesn't matter anymore, I gotta 

841
00:47:53,600 --> 00:47:55,100
go. 
Yes, I was. 

842
00:47:55,100 --> 00:48:03,700
I was only one who's drinking. 
Okay, about how much I'm 

843
00:48:03,700 --> 00:48:07,900
drinking. 
So, I think you'd like this 

844
00:48:07,900 --> 00:48:10,500
beer. 
It's, it's a Pilsner with 

845
00:48:10,500 --> 00:48:14,100
Jasmine. 
Buster has Drew Drew is going 

846
00:48:14,100 --> 00:48:16,600
for the booze, quite good. 
The old Leone just admit it. 

847
00:48:16,600 --> 00:48:17,900
Are you saving yourself for 
tomorrow? 

848
00:48:17,900 --> 00:48:20,800
Well, we'll all be okay. 
I gotta sit, I actually have my 

849
00:48:22,500 --> 00:48:25,200
pre-physical blood test tomorrow
morning. 

850
00:48:25,200 --> 00:48:28,800
So I feel like loading up on a 
bunch of alcohol tonight and 

851
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:32,100
then that would probably screw 
up my numbers a little bit. 

852
00:48:32,100 --> 00:48:37,700
So also as I recall last 
clickbait, this is Clinton, but 

853
00:48:37,700 --> 00:48:40,700
also as our goal last year we 
were all drunk and we already 

854
00:48:40,700 --> 00:48:42,400
carried our lineups. 
Ooh, the fittest. 

855
00:48:42,400 --> 00:48:48,600
Yeah, I also know what's 
happening in an hour, you got a 

856
00:48:48,600 --> 00:48:51,000
choose-your-own-adventure, he 
got it. 

857
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:56,600
All right, let's tell her. 
What is that would want to make 

858
00:48:56,600 --> 00:49:00,700
up all those dos? 
I mean, we're on the beer isn't 

859
00:49:00,700 --> 00:49:20,000
highlight, your favorite beer. 
Sounds good to me. 

860
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:23,300
Leone what it tell us, walk us 
through. 

861
00:49:23,300 --> 00:49:25,900
What's, what's the tailgate plan
tomorrow? 

862
00:49:25,900 --> 00:49:28,200
Who are you going with? 
Is this with the landscaper? 

863
00:49:28,200 --> 00:49:29,600
I don't even know the details 
here. 

864
00:49:30,600 --> 00:49:32,600
It is with the lie. 
I'm going to the landscaper. 

865
00:49:32,800 --> 00:49:35,900
I'm going with Jay. 
I love how good of friends. 

866
00:49:35,900 --> 00:49:37,600
You become feeling. 
It's Caper. 

867
00:49:37,800 --> 00:49:39,400
Well, it was more like the 
opposite. 

868
00:49:39,500 --> 00:49:41,700
Yeah, friends and then I became 
a landscaper. 

869
00:49:43,000 --> 00:49:45,400
I was trying to follow his wife 
first. 

870
00:49:45,400 --> 00:49:50,500
I was like going back to high 
school, We don't we don't really

871
00:49:50,500 --> 00:49:53,200
like have set plans. 
Only thing we've done is, we had

872
00:49:53,200 --> 00:49:55,100
like extra tickets where we were
sitting. 

873
00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:58,700
So instead we fought better 
tickets, like five rows behind 

874
00:49:58,700 --> 00:50:01,000
the bills bench, so I'm pretty 
pumped about that. 

875
00:50:01,100 --> 00:50:02,900
I am taking some heat for 
turning down. 

876
00:50:02,900 --> 00:50:05,300
A sweet ticket. 
People like you are climbing 

877
00:50:05,300 --> 00:50:09,300
idiot, but I feel like I got to 
be out there with the people and

878
00:50:09,300 --> 00:50:11,600
like experiences, 
once-in-a-lifetime Adventure, 

879
00:50:11,600 --> 00:50:13,300
dude. 
Yeah, I'm on you. 

880
00:50:13,300 --> 00:50:16,200
I'm on your side with this one. 
Silva called out Leone's virtue 

881
00:50:16,200 --> 00:50:21,800
signaling. 
With the people and I think it's

882
00:50:21,800 --> 00:50:23,700
true. 
I mean no that's because here's 

883
00:50:23,700 --> 00:50:26,100
you can't, you can't win with 
silver, right? 

884
00:50:26,100 --> 00:50:28,800
Because if you say you're going 
to the sweet, he starts calling.

885
00:50:28,800 --> 00:50:32,100
You saw a man of the people in 
your Ivory Tower. 

886
00:50:32,100 --> 00:50:35,200
The hundred percent. 
Yes, here's what still you 

887
00:50:35,200 --> 00:50:37,000
couldn't Leone's never really at
the game. 

888
00:50:37,000 --> 00:50:39,900
You just watching, this is 
watchin from a sweet, someone's 

889
00:50:39,900 --> 00:50:42,700
giving him a foot massage while 
you watch Devin Singletary. 

890
00:50:42,700 --> 00:50:46,600
Run in four touchdowns. 
I've definitely noticed at 

891
00:50:46,600 --> 00:50:50,000
Michael Leone, making a goddamn.
Damn public statement every time

892
00:50:50,000 --> 00:50:53,000
he enters the Great Outdoors. 
Incredible virtue signaling 

893
00:50:53,200 --> 00:50:56,400
would expect nothing less from 
the El Jefe of the spreadsheet. 

894
00:50:56,400 --> 00:51:03,900
Socialist, enjoy the game. 
Comrade So that's that's what 

895
00:51:03,900 --> 00:51:08,100
it's like to work at each. 
Wow that's awesome. 

896
00:51:10,700 --> 00:51:24,300
In three months. 
I've degree temperatures around 

897
00:51:24,300 --> 00:51:27,200
the Neanderthal Bill fans, then 
he then he comes after you. 

898
00:51:27,200 --> 00:51:29,300
You can't win. 
Yeah, I can't. 

899
00:51:29,600 --> 00:51:31,400
I can't. 
It's a, is it gonna be a real 

900
00:51:31,400 --> 00:51:35,600
socialist crowd down there of 
the bill Stadium? 

901
00:51:46,700 --> 00:51:49,000
Oh my God. 
Unbelievable. 

902
00:51:51,900 --> 00:51:54,600
I do have the idea that you'll 
be five five rows behind the 

903
00:51:54,600 --> 00:51:56,900
bills bench. 
I mean that's I'm stoked. 

904
00:51:56,900 --> 00:51:58,800
That's my awesome. 
You're gonna get the whole feel 

905
00:51:58,800 --> 00:52:00,900
of it that's going to be that's 
going to be blasted. 

906
00:52:02,100 --> 00:52:04,800
What's up what is the boots on 
the ground about Devon 

907
00:52:04,800 --> 00:52:06,200
Singletary? 
Let us know if we should play in

908
00:52:06,200 --> 00:52:09,900
the next week in DFS. 
I you guys hit like scared by 

909
00:52:09,900 --> 00:52:11,600
literally just up there doesn't 
Singletary. 

910
00:52:11,600 --> 00:52:20,100
Projection, you guys. 
This is what's so crazy about 

911
00:52:20,100 --> 00:52:23,500
these arguments is like I don't 
want to fucking touch, Devon 

912
00:52:23,500 --> 00:52:25,500
Singletary. 
But that Leone says zero percent

913
00:52:25,500 --> 00:52:27,400
and I'm like this guy's off his 
rocker. 

914
00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:31,000
Yeah. 
No, I know. 

915
00:52:46,900 --> 00:52:57,400
we don't have some better reason
for us to have zero the same way

916
00:52:57,400 --> 00:53:07,600
like I'm like, like everybody 
thinks that way, but it's You 

917
00:53:07,600 --> 00:53:10,400
know, yeah sometimes you got to 
take your Ellis late number one,

918
00:53:10,400 --> 00:53:12,600
give us this and I've learned 
yeah be able to take your ass 

919
00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:15,200
sometimes but that's why we 
should fade Zeke. 

920
00:53:16,400 --> 00:53:19,500
Well to the beta Mommy, I want 
to take some more stands. 

921
00:53:19,500 --> 00:53:21,800
I think we're too spread out. 
Probably. 

922
00:53:22,000 --> 00:53:23,500
I really do this. 12 line of 
spots. 

923
00:53:23,500 --> 00:53:26,300
I think we should be making like
harder stands in something. 

924
00:53:26,300 --> 00:53:29,300
You know, I think about think 
what's good for doing just fine 

925
00:53:29,300 --> 00:53:33,900
but then then I want you to go 
back in your time machine. 

926
00:53:34,100 --> 00:53:37,200
After that, Pittsburgh Cleveland
game. 

927
00:53:37,300 --> 00:53:40,800
Game last year and tell me how 
long again, tell me how you 

928
00:53:40,800 --> 00:53:42,600
felt. 
So ask you, how do you feel 

929
00:53:42,600 --> 00:53:44,700
about the the Stan? 
We try like, you know what, that

930
00:53:44,700 --> 00:53:49,100
was the best week whatever. 
Because like we did this we sat 

931
00:53:49,100 --> 00:53:52,500
here at this spot last year and 
the pat you were with me. 

932
00:53:52,500 --> 00:53:55,600
I recall us both being, oh, 
sorry, to drag you down with me.

933
00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:58,400
But telling Leone over and over 
again, that Juju was does. 

934
00:53:58,400 --> 00:54:00,100
I know. 
Also, we didn't have enough chub

935
00:54:00,100 --> 00:54:02,500
either, like, on the class team 
didn't have enough chub. 

936
00:54:02,700 --> 00:54:05,800
Chub was kind of like a more 
conscious like underweight 

937
00:54:05,800 --> 00:54:07,900
though, but yeah, we Have 
enough. 

938
00:54:08,100 --> 00:54:11,400
But like as much as we really 
could include Juju was very 

939
00:54:11,400 --> 00:54:15,300
conscious On Bended Knees Park. 
Very sudden about not playing 

940
00:54:15,300 --> 00:54:18,100
Gigi I guess. 
I meant like chop was like a 

941
00:54:18,100 --> 00:54:22,500
game theory play Juju was just 
like you guys just went just 

942
00:54:22,500 --> 00:54:24,200
adamant that we did not play 
him. 

943
00:54:24,500 --> 00:54:28,200
No matter what Hassan was like 
in the comments, like my only 

944
00:54:28,200 --> 00:54:30,500
like Lifeline. 
I was just getting. 

945
00:54:30,900 --> 00:54:34,700
I was getting it from all sides.
I think I've told you guys this.

946
00:54:34,700 --> 00:54:39,100
How much that game mess? 
To me up because we had all of 

947
00:54:39,100 --> 00:54:41,800
our ffp. 
See lineups that went to hell 

948
00:54:41,800 --> 00:54:44,500
with that game. 
I was in like fifth one place in

949
00:54:44,500 --> 00:54:49,200
the in the gpp Jesus Leon. 
I was in fifth place at a gpp, 

950
00:54:49,400 --> 00:54:53,100
then didn't even cash. 
And I used to take my, I 

951
00:54:53,100 --> 00:54:55,800
remember that. 
Yeah, I used to take my phone 

952
00:54:55,800 --> 00:54:57,500
like to bet like that was just 
my routine. 

953
00:54:57,500 --> 00:54:59,600
You know, you go upstairs with 
your phone and I said, you know,

954
00:54:59,700 --> 00:55:01,200
fuck it. 
I don't even need to look at 

955
00:55:01,200 --> 00:55:03,700
anything on the internet. 
Leave my goddamn phone at my 

956
00:55:03,700 --> 00:55:06,500
desk. 
I kept that routine up for four 

957
00:55:06,500 --> 00:55:09,400
months. 
That game broke me so much that 

958
00:55:09,400 --> 00:55:11,900
I said, I don't need my phone at
night. 

959
00:55:12,300 --> 00:55:15,700
I'm still shook that game but it
helped me build really strong 

960
00:55:15,700 --> 00:55:20,900
life habits. 
So yeah, I remember that was the

961
00:55:20,900 --> 00:55:25,500
same week where I put my ETR job
on the line and belt. 

962
00:55:25,500 --> 00:55:30,200
Michael Thomas over Tyreke Hill 
with Adam Levitan and Michael 

963
00:55:30,200 --> 00:55:36,100
Thomas played the entire game 
and scored zero, I've never been

964
00:55:36,100 --> 00:55:39,900
more embarrassed. 
About and I have a lot of 

965
00:55:39,900 --> 00:55:43,600
embarrassing old. 
Like as far as like fantasy 

966
00:55:43,600 --> 00:55:46,700
calls go, I don't think there's 
been one more embarrassing than 

967
00:55:46,700 --> 00:55:47,600
that. 
We already. 

968
00:55:47,600 --> 00:55:49,000
What tells me? 
Tell me what happened. 

969
00:55:49,000 --> 00:55:52,300
You go to this game tomorrow. 
The bills are just absolutely 

970
00:55:52,300 --> 00:55:56,100
crushing but Devon Singletary. 
Has 200 yards and two touchdowns

971
00:55:56,300 --> 00:55:59,800
200. 
I might 1.45 carries coat off. 

972
00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:07,000
Your streaking, your fandom more
than our lineups. 

973
00:56:09,100 --> 00:56:10,300
Oh yeah. 
I care about my Phantom 

974
00:56:10,600 --> 00:56:11,900
responding to another support 
ticket. 

975
00:56:11,900 --> 00:56:13,700
What are you wearing? 
Yes, please stop. 

976
00:56:13,800 --> 00:56:21,100
I want to know. 
What are you wearing to this 

977
00:56:21,100 --> 00:56:24,000
Bills game? 
Like that's it's so cold. 

978
00:56:24,100 --> 00:56:26,600
Okay so I'm glad you asked 
because I think every 

979
00:56:26,600 --> 00:56:28,900
opportunity I can to tell people
about this winter coat. 

980
00:56:28,900 --> 00:56:31,200
I bought I've told you about 
about six times already. 

981
00:56:32,000 --> 00:56:33,600
No, I'm definitely heard about 
it. 

982
00:56:34,900 --> 00:56:37,000
I know you've heard about it and
I'm going to tell you again 

983
00:56:37,000 --> 00:56:42,400
because you know, Pat asked, I 
wish I could find, he's got some

984
00:56:42,400 --> 00:56:43,900
sort of like affiliate deal with
this. 

985
00:56:43,900 --> 00:56:47,300
It was like the line was like, 
if you're not going on an 

986
00:56:47,300 --> 00:56:49,700
expedition, in the Arctic, you 
don't need this code. 

987
00:56:49,700 --> 00:56:54,300
And I was like, that's exactly 
the coat I want because I refuse

988
00:56:54,300 --> 00:56:59,300
to be cold. 
So I'm more worried about what's

989
00:56:59,300 --> 00:57:02,100
like my, did you in my like, a 
warm coat? 

990
00:57:02,200 --> 00:57:05,000
It did seem like, you got paid 
to put out that tweet. 

991
00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:08,400
No, I'm just so proud of the 
coat that I just put it out on 

992
00:57:08,400 --> 00:57:10,500
my own. 
When I was, I'm probably gonna 

993
00:57:10,500 --> 00:57:12,500
send another one. 
You prepared. 

994
00:57:12,800 --> 00:57:15,000
Hashtag add, it's coming. 
All right. 

995
00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:18,400
Obviously, the same exact tweet 
here with my landscaper. 

996
00:57:18,400 --> 00:57:22,200
In my Feathered, Friends go, 
I've he this is just absurd. 

997
00:57:23,900 --> 00:57:41,300
Everyone called me fat Tio. 
Yeah, he was there for a year. 

998
00:57:42,500 --> 00:57:45,400
I literally there for one year, 
he was at that game though. 

999
00:57:45,400 --> 00:57:48,700
They like had a thing with him. 
And I used to have like 

1000
00:57:48,700 --> 00:57:52,700
everyone's Jersey, hey Rick, 
Rick would be proud of me. 

1001
00:57:52,800 --> 00:57:57,600
Here's another photo of Rachel 
Getting ding Leone. 

1002
00:57:57,600 --> 00:58:03,400
Ready for the game tomorrow? 
She's already sending me all 

1003
00:58:03,400 --> 00:58:08,700
these tips, I guess, the 
cardboard Ben Kramer. 

1004
00:58:08,700 --> 00:58:11,800
No slouch at said it, but I've 
heard it like the cardboard in 

1005
00:58:11,800 --> 00:58:16,800
your boots or under your feet is
like a really plus EV move. 

1006
00:58:17,300 --> 00:58:20,500
What do you mean? 
Like, you put, like you stand on

1007
00:58:20,500 --> 00:58:22,900
cardboard over the concrete 
instead of just standing 

1008
00:58:22,900 --> 00:58:25,300
directly on the concrete. 
Pipe are like excellent 

1009
00:58:25,300 --> 00:58:27,800
insulator. 
There you go. 

1010
00:58:28,600 --> 00:58:31,400
So you that's, this is the dut. 
You get you kill two birds with 

1011
00:58:31,400 --> 00:58:35,300
one stone. 
You, you roll in with the, the 

1012
00:58:35,300 --> 00:58:41,200
soft walk on the cardboard time.
You slip it under as a foot 

1013
00:58:41,200 --> 00:58:46,300
warmer, dude, if I could soft 
lock on TV. 

1014
00:58:47,900 --> 00:58:51,100
What's the challenge? 
Like, what do I get from you 

1015
00:58:51,100 --> 00:58:52,700
guys? 
I'm pretty sure you get a ship 

1016
00:58:52,700 --> 00:58:54,800
chasing promo, clip that goes 
over Twitter. 

1017
00:58:59,800 --> 00:59:04,000
Oh my goodness between the soft 
lock and bird Scouts suggestions

1018
00:59:04,200 --> 00:59:06,700
to Joshua Allen. 
There's just there's too much 

1019
00:59:07,000 --> 00:59:11,200
too much going on in this Bills 
game is well I guess is Levitan 

1020
00:59:11,200 --> 00:59:14,600
making you wear ETR gear. 
You know in case you get on 

1021
00:59:15,000 --> 00:59:18,300
because I did I hear Levi was 
going to a sum game with 

1022
00:59:19,100 --> 00:59:21,100
Jennings to their to go to that 
where they sat Courtside. 

1023
00:59:21,100 --> 00:59:23,200
I want to get to a basketball 
game already. 

1024
00:59:23,200 --> 00:59:25,900
I think, did he get on TV? 
Did he get the E TR Pub in 

1025
00:59:25,900 --> 00:59:26,500
there? 
No, no. 

1026
00:59:26,500 --> 00:59:29,700
The game got canceled. 
What? 

1027
00:59:30,300 --> 00:59:32,000
Yeah, yeah. 
So that was the game. 

1028
00:59:32,300 --> 00:59:35,900
It was nuggets Warriors. 
Loved him was going to sit 

1029
00:59:35,900 --> 00:59:40,000
Courtside. 
With CSU CSU got covid called in

1030
00:59:40,000 --> 00:59:42,100
a favor and the NBA postpone the
game. 

1031
00:59:44,700 --> 00:59:47,100
Oh my God. 
They were worried that Pete 

1032
00:59:47,100 --> 00:59:50,400
would give the players covid and
they had to cancel cancel it. 

1033
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:53,100
So, so, so it's been rescheduled
and CSU. 

1034
00:59:53,100 --> 00:59:56,200
I'm sure they're fitting in and 
they're just they're checking 

1035
00:59:56,200 --> 01:00:00,600
back with Pete on his golf 
schedule for the rest of the 

1036
01:00:00,600 --> 01:00:03,300
winter before, before scheduling
that one. 

1037
01:00:03,300 --> 01:00:07,400
But the game is not taken place 
yet where Adam was going to go 

1038
01:00:07,400 --> 01:00:11,100
fully TR billboard for the 
seats. 

1039
01:00:13,100 --> 01:00:16,300
Like this is how you make up for
the the Michael Thomas bet. 

1040
01:00:16,300 --> 01:00:19,500
You goes fully TR billboard. 
Yeah. 

1041
01:00:19,500 --> 01:00:21,900
And I start jamming Devon 
Singletary lineups. 

1042
01:00:23,700 --> 01:00:27,400
Well to go not back to them how 
much Devin Singletary. 

1043
01:00:27,400 --> 01:00:31,200
Do you want to play it that like
0%? 

1044
01:00:34,900 --> 01:00:36,800
I just wanted to give you a hard
time about Zeke. 

1045
01:00:51,900 --> 01:00:58,500
We haven't mentioned yet. 
My going to talk about this on 

1046
01:00:58,500 --> 01:01:01,200
established Millions today. 
For just this DFS late this this

1047
01:01:01,207 --> 01:01:03,900
week as well but like I think 
it's my Gavin's. 

1048
01:01:05,200 --> 01:01:07,000
I thought you were going to say 
Darren waller for a sec. 

1049
01:01:07,000 --> 01:01:08,400
Why you're innocent? 
Our Boyd? 

1050
01:01:09,000 --> 01:01:10,300
No, no. 
It's harder boy. 

1051
01:01:10,300 --> 01:01:13,500
It's too cute for this type of 
contest for DFS stuff. 

1052
01:01:13,500 --> 01:01:16,400
I think there's there's yeah, 
there's reason there. 

1053
01:01:16,400 --> 01:01:20,000
But what do you like like with 
evidence? 

1054
01:01:20,000 --> 01:01:24,300
Like he's only going to get held
down because of his teammates. 

1055
01:01:24,500 --> 01:01:28,500
There's nothing to do with him. 
Like, if you could play multiple

1056
01:01:28,500 --> 01:01:31,000
bucks, players everybody would 
be playing Mike Evans in this 

1057
01:01:31,000 --> 01:01:33,900
contest as well. 
Literally just said this earlier

1058
01:01:33,900 --> 01:01:36,300
that, if for net, and Grand 
Cordon this, we would love 

1059
01:01:36,300 --> 01:01:38,300
Evans. 
Yeah, you know, in 2002. 

1060
01:01:38,300 --> 01:01:41,700
That's why would you say that? 
If you remove the two best 

1061
01:01:41,700 --> 01:01:43,800
options on every team, you'd 
like their third. 

1062
01:01:43,900 --> 01:02:03,300
Well, 
For the playoffs, you would 

1063
01:02:03,300 --> 01:02:06,500
choose my Gavin's and that's why
it's a known God wins out. 

1064
01:02:06,700 --> 01:02:09,800
You say like Evans is the best 
fancy producer but it's the 

1065
01:02:09,800 --> 01:02:13,800
positional stuff that is pushing
up for Nat and Gronk. 

1066
01:02:14,500 --> 01:02:17,700
And so like Evans is just 
getting left behind for no 

1067
01:02:17,700 --> 01:02:20,000
reason. 
No fault of his own just his 

1068
01:02:20,000 --> 01:02:24,700
teammates thing is like like 
he's straight-up projects worse 

1069
01:02:24,700 --> 01:02:29,400
than yes to even aside from the 
positional stuff and I don't 

1070
01:02:29,400 --> 01:02:31,000
think you know, she would ride 
him. 

1071
01:02:32,000 --> 01:02:34,700
So it's more about the Titan 
premium score. 

1072
01:02:34,700 --> 01:02:39,900
Yeah, then needing a tight end. 
But I do, I go back and forth on

1073
01:02:39,900 --> 01:02:41,800
a, we were talking about Evans a
lot. 

1074
01:02:41,800 --> 01:02:45,800
And the problem I had was like, 
okay, it looks like we should 

1075
01:02:45,800 --> 01:02:48,700
play avens like X percent or 
whatever and I'm like I think it

1076
01:02:48,700 --> 01:02:50,600
should be higher than that but 
then I look at like the 

1077
01:02:50,600 --> 01:02:52,600
ownership and the ownerships 
already higher than that. 

1078
01:02:52,600 --> 01:02:56,700
And I get into this wraparound 
Enigma, where I'm like do I want

1079
01:02:56,700 --> 01:02:59,800
to? 
I know better for segai into the

1080
01:02:59,800 --> 01:03:03,800
ownership that's already higher 
than you know, like and I always

1081
01:03:03,800 --> 01:03:05,700
have a tough time with those 
plays, whether it's to what's, 

1082
01:03:05,700 --> 01:03:07,500
what's what do you have Evans, 
projected? 

1083
01:03:07,700 --> 01:03:13,200
now, Pat in terms of ownership, 
Yeah, yeah. 

1084
01:03:13,200 --> 01:03:18,000
I might I might have brought 
them yet but I'm down to 15 that

1085
01:03:18,000 --> 01:03:20,900
sounds about, right? 
I think you want 25. 

1086
01:03:22,300 --> 01:03:24,100
See, that's where I was at 
initially and then you get 

1087
01:03:24,100 --> 01:03:27,200
through it and you're like, you 
want to be overweight. 

1088
01:03:27,200 --> 01:03:29,100
Oh, that's why you don't fucking
play Tom Brady? 

1089
01:03:29,400 --> 01:03:31,900
Yeah, I think that's right. 
I think that's why you go low 

1090
01:03:31,900 --> 01:03:33,600
on. 
Brady still, what's wrong? 

1091
01:03:33,600 --> 01:03:37,600
What's wrong? 
What do you think, Roxy? 

1092
01:03:37,600 --> 01:03:40,500
What would you pick Gronk? 
I have drunk at 32, and I have 

1093
01:03:40,500 --> 01:03:44,400
for net, 45 rocket. 32 is a 
really nice place for and that's

1094
01:03:44,400 --> 01:03:46,400
coming down. 
I'm telling you that right now. 

1095
01:03:47,800 --> 01:03:49,600
How low? 
Hello for not and great. 

1096
01:03:49,900 --> 01:03:54,200
I mean five to six percent drunk
at 32 is a tough tough spot for 

1097
01:03:54,200 --> 01:03:58,800
me to take a stand on. 
So that means I probably have it

1098
01:03:58,800 --> 01:04:00,400
about, right? 
Yeah. 

1099
01:04:00,400 --> 01:04:03,300
You're the grok. 
If I brought for net down to 

1100
01:04:03,400 --> 01:04:06,500
240, dinkin Leone, you guys just
jamming? 

1101
01:04:06,900 --> 01:04:10,500
Yeah, yeah. 
I think he wants that, he won 50

1102
01:04:10,500 --> 01:04:14,500
55 to 60 at that point. 
I think I'm gonna leave my 45 

1103
01:04:14,500 --> 01:04:16,600
then. 
So he's gonna be for, I think 

1104
01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:19,500
he's going to be 50 when you say
you'd want 55 to 60 at that 

1105
01:04:19,500 --> 01:04:21,100
point, would that come off of 
Evans? 

1106
01:04:21,100 --> 01:04:22,500
Or would you be really under 
when I'm grown? 

1107
01:04:22,600 --> 01:04:24,200
No, I literally would not play 
Brady. 

1108
01:04:25,000 --> 01:04:28,000
Yeah, but still 55 to 60, you 
said 25 on Evan. 

1109
01:04:28,000 --> 01:04:33,400
So you'd be what 8285 so you'd 
be at 15 to 20 of growth, which 

1110
01:04:33,400 --> 01:04:35,600
would be well underway? 
Yeah, it's okay. 

1111
01:04:35,600 --> 01:04:36,700
That's what you'd be. 
Okay. 

1112
01:04:36,700 --> 01:04:39,900
Yeah, we're playing for 25 
percent. 

1113
01:04:39,900 --> 01:04:43,900
Brady, It's Just Happening. 
We almost done this with like 15

1114
01:04:43,900 --> 01:04:46,000
guys. 
Yeah. 

1115
01:04:46,100 --> 01:04:49,600
Cuz it's just happening. 
It's just the way it's gonna be.

1116
01:04:49,900 --> 01:04:52,800
Yeah, you guys, you guys get a 
little crazy like I get with 

1117
01:04:52,800 --> 01:04:55,700
seven singletary's but do that 
would like I will probably don't

1118
01:04:55,700 --> 01:04:58,200
like you guys don't like a lot 
of players. 

1119
01:05:01,300 --> 01:05:05,300
That's true. 
Actually it's actually it's a 

1120
01:05:05,300 --> 01:05:14,600
fair criticism. 
We don't need this team. 

1121
01:05:21,000 --> 01:05:21,800
Thank you, thank you. 
Thank you. 

1122
01:05:28,100 --> 01:05:31,000
I think that's where I'd be. 
So you wouldn't play like a 

1123
01:05:31,100 --> 01:05:33,600
Single Tampa Bay fate. 
Its single Tampa Bay wouldn't 

1124
01:05:33,600 --> 01:05:35,600
play time to lose one and we 
went place. 

1125
01:05:35,800 --> 01:05:50,300
So I 
can tell you what I've got in 

1126
01:05:50,300 --> 01:05:54,200
the scenarios that they lose. 
The game. 

1127
01:05:55,200 --> 01:06:05,100
Yeah, tell me it's a mask. 
Pete, that would be helpful to 

1128
01:06:05,100 --> 01:06:06,400
honey. 
What are you looking at right 

1129
01:06:06,400 --> 01:06:08,600
now? 
Like where did your gaze went 

1130
01:06:08,600 --> 01:06:17,200
from like this direction, 
clearly to get up here? 

1131
01:06:18,900 --> 01:06:21,000
Why don't you have it on the 
ceiling like grabbing us monitor

1132
01:06:21,000 --> 01:06:28,900
Envy now? 
Okay, games, where games where 

1133
01:06:29,300 --> 01:06:33,300
the Box play scenarios for the 
Box play? 

1134
01:06:33,300 --> 01:06:38,200
One game I have for Nat and grok
is the highest exposure. 

1135
01:06:38,200 --> 01:06:42,500
But massive - leverage and Tampa
Bay defense and Ryan suck up is 

1136
01:06:42,500 --> 01:06:46,600
clearly the highest leverage 
place and a higher exposure, you

1137
01:06:46,600 --> 01:06:49,700
know, than Evans and Breanna 
Brady's obviously like it clear 

1138
01:06:49,700 --> 01:06:53,000
not play. 
Yeah. 

1139
01:06:53,000 --> 01:06:55,400
Brady is a clear not play and 
all that. 

1140
01:06:55,400 --> 01:06:59,200
That was kind of my take notes. 
Imagine let's just accept we 

1141
01:06:59,207 --> 01:07:13,000
just clip that probably only 
five Super Bowl twice. 

1142
01:07:15,100 --> 01:07:17,300
I was ready for that one. 
You son of a bitch. 

1143
01:07:20,200 --> 01:07:24,700
So Brady is like the second 
highest exposure, Tampa Bay 

1144
01:07:24,700 --> 01:07:28,700
player and internally to Lenny 
or not. 

1145
01:07:28,900 --> 01:07:33,400
Yeah, hmm. 
Oh and he's he's he's thrown so 

1146
01:07:33,400 --> 01:07:38,200
by far the highest leverage in 
Tampa Bay and five games me. 

1147
01:07:38,200 --> 01:07:45,000
Ask you this you have to take 
one big stand either overweight 

1148
01:07:45,000 --> 01:07:48,300
or underweight on a single 
player on tampabay what would 

1149
01:07:48,300 --> 01:07:50,100
your big stand on Tampa? 
Baby. 

1150
01:07:50,400 --> 01:07:53,700
I would reluctantly be 
underweight, Mike Evans? 

1151
01:07:54,900 --> 01:07:57,000
That would be a big Stan. 
Wow. 

1152
01:07:57,000 --> 01:08:01,000
If you're forcing me to do to, 
I'm playing like hey, let's play

1153
01:08:01,000 --> 01:08:02,300
a little bit of everybody. 
Okay? 

1154
01:08:02,300 --> 01:08:07,900
Like but if you're if you're 
saying you're looking like, 

1155
01:08:07,900 --> 01:08:10,100
you're like, yeah. 
Like if I had if I had I think I

1156
01:08:10,100 --> 01:08:13,800
put 10% as my desired exposure, 
when we were going through our 

1157
01:08:13,800 --> 01:08:16,399
thing thought I knew. 
By the way, I don't know that 

1158
01:08:16,399 --> 01:08:17,800
Brady's going to count as a big 
stand. 

1159
01:08:17,800 --> 01:08:19,899
If you paid him was I've got him
at four percent right now. 

1160
01:08:19,899 --> 01:08:21,700
Like I just don't think people 
are going there with the wind 

1161
01:08:21,700 --> 01:08:23,399
gain. 
No one wants him in round one. 

1162
01:08:23,399 --> 01:08:25,899
Yeah I mean pretty. 
You could play. 

1163
01:08:26,800 --> 01:08:29,899
Yeah, well, I mean, he wouldn't 
even in your optimal, he was the

1164
01:08:29,899 --> 01:08:31,399
second play. 
I mean, I'm not saying, but 

1165
01:08:31,399 --> 01:08:34,100
like, yeah. 
So if I fire, the highest lab 

1166
01:08:34,100 --> 01:08:38,500
reference for reference, most 
teams in five game in a run to 

1167
01:08:38,500 --> 01:08:41,200
the Super Bowl five game, run 
out of the wild-card, the 

1168
01:08:41,200 --> 01:08:44,300
quarterback is helpful for most 
guests and Brady doesn't show 

1169
01:08:44,300 --> 01:08:46,399
that way. 
It's not for Green Bay, not for 

1170
01:08:46,399 --> 01:08:48,800
Tennessee. 
They are not kind city. 

1171
01:08:48,800 --> 01:08:52,300
Barely, I said five games. 
Who's the other one? 

1172
01:08:52,300 --> 01:08:52,800
Kansas? 
No. 

1173
01:08:52,800 --> 01:08:54,000
But this would be, this would be
the same. 

1174
01:08:54,000 --> 01:08:55,399
It would be the same. 
For their team, right? 

1175
01:08:55,399 --> 01:08:58,899
Because it's the same concept. 
I mean, sure there's teams, 

1176
01:08:58,899 --> 01:08:59,399
yeah. 
Okay. 

1177
01:08:59,399 --> 01:09:01,100
Like Jimmy Garoppolo or 
whatever. 

1178
01:09:01,100 --> 01:09:04,399
Yeah, I mean, I mean it's so 
it's probably about half the 

1179
01:09:04,399 --> 01:09:08,600
team's not most probably about 
50, 50, it does feel like, you 

1180
01:09:08,600 --> 01:09:11,200
disappointed actually pure in 
the AFC though because if the 

1181
01:09:11,200 --> 01:09:13,600
bills make the Super Bowl and 
you have Brady your, I feel like

1182
01:09:13,600 --> 01:09:17,000
you're kind of dead. 
I think you guys are under 

1183
01:09:17,000 --> 01:09:20,000
rating. 
Brady, throwing bullshit, 

1184
01:09:20,000 --> 01:09:21,899
touchdown passes. 
I'm hammering. 

1185
01:09:21,899 --> 01:09:24,200
Brady was his body builder 
rejection. 

1186
01:09:24,600 --> 01:09:28,000
Guys, all playoffs. 
He was 10 percent last year and 

1187
01:09:28,000 --> 01:09:31,100
I just want your blessing. 
People aren't excited about the 

1188
01:09:31,100 --> 01:09:34,300
Buccaneers to make a run again, 
they're definitely not excited 

1189
01:09:34,300 --> 01:09:36,600
to play them. 
In round one, they could be 

1190
01:09:36,600 --> 01:09:38,500
going up against Dallas and 
round two. 

1191
01:09:38,600 --> 01:09:41,800
That might not be that. 
But you know, so and then you've

1192
01:09:41,800 --> 01:09:43,800
also got more interesting, 
quarterbacks in general. 

1193
01:09:43,800 --> 01:09:49,000
I think you've got ya, Kyler do 
I like your bullshit TDR? 

1194
01:09:49,000 --> 01:09:50,500
A like, the more than I'm 
thinking about this. 

1195
01:09:50,500 --> 01:09:53,100
Now, I think, my Big Stan would 
probably be anti drunk then. 

1196
01:09:54,900 --> 01:09:59,200
II agree with that dick because 
I'm more on Gronk is going to 

1197
01:09:59,200 --> 01:10:00,900
catch more ownership than we 
think. 

1198
01:10:01,100 --> 01:10:03,900
So, the thing, the thing that I,
the thing that I would think 

1199
01:10:03,900 --> 01:10:08,100
through is like, I think I 
gained more by being right on a 

1200
01:10:08,108 --> 01:10:10,800
drawing fade that I gained from 
being right on an Evans fade. 

1201
01:10:10,800 --> 01:10:12,700
And I think you're basically 
saying like we want to be over 

1202
01:10:12,700 --> 01:10:15,900
for not and Mike's making really
good cases for being over, Brady

1203
01:10:15,900 --> 01:10:18,900
on a small rate. 
And so like, where do you get 

1204
01:10:18,900 --> 01:10:21,600
under? 
And there's more room to get 

1205
01:10:21,600 --> 01:10:23,800
under on Gronk than there is to 
get under on Heavens. 

1206
01:10:23,800 --> 01:10:27,200
You get more when you're right 
on that so that's where I'm at. 

1207
01:10:28,500 --> 01:10:31,500
I think I'm on the inside 
because gronk's led, the team in

1208
01:10:31,500 --> 01:10:34,200
routes for the last two weeks as
a tight end. 

1209
01:10:34,400 --> 01:10:36,200
He's getting targeted. 
A high rate. 

1210
01:10:36,500 --> 01:10:38,000
Yeah. 
The tight end premium stuff. 

1211
01:10:38,000 --> 01:10:40,100
I mean, like he's just such a 
good play. 

1212
01:10:40,100 --> 01:10:42,600
Like he committed a it's a it's 
a tight end. 

1213
01:10:43,900 --> 01:10:47,200
Let's say what's a reasonable 
model balls for them to catch 

1214
01:10:47,200 --> 01:10:50,200
over, I mean it's five games 
Super Bowl counts twice. 

1215
01:10:50,200 --> 01:10:52,200
So like those things doing noise
incentives. 

1216
01:10:53,500 --> 01:10:57,100
Happens on us. 
Like let's say it's 30 catches 

1217
01:10:57,100 --> 01:11:00,700
in a Super Bowl run, like that's
15 points that gronk's being 

1218
01:11:00,700 --> 01:11:05,200
spotted if they each can. 
I mean it's a lot and tighten 

1219
01:11:05,200 --> 01:11:10,700
and he's positioning this but we
have one thing we have here that

1220
01:11:10,700 --> 01:11:12,200
I think is being a little bit 
under waited. 

1221
01:11:12,200 --> 01:11:14,300
But I mean, I don't know how 
heavy we're going to play it, 

1222
01:11:14,300 --> 01:11:18,300
but Mahomes is never been as a 
quarterback, not in a by 

1223
01:11:18,300 --> 01:11:20,300
scenario. 
So in this contest for several 

1224
01:11:20,300 --> 01:11:23,000
years, we've never had the 
potential for five games. the 

1225
01:11:23,000 --> 01:11:26,400
home my homes and like it can 
still be kelsier Hill for the 

1226
01:11:26,407 --> 01:11:30,200
Chiefs but Kelsey's, typically 
the best play, right? 

1227
01:11:30,200 --> 01:11:31,600
He's gonna highest own tight 
end. 

1228
01:11:31,600 --> 01:11:33,900
He's a great play. 
But you could have a scenario 

1229
01:11:33,900 --> 01:11:36,500
where Casey being favored in the
AFC makes a run. 

1230
01:11:36,500 --> 01:11:38,500
And Mahomes is actually the 
quarterback, which hasn't really

1231
01:11:38,500 --> 01:11:40,600
been the case. 
When they've had a by like last 

1232
01:11:40,600 --> 01:11:44,100
year, it was Brady, Kelsey. 
That's what you want, but this 

1233
01:11:44,100 --> 01:11:46,700
year can be Mahomes Gronk. 
Pretty easily like Gronk. 

1234
01:11:46,700 --> 01:11:48,800
I think Janek best tight end 
play. 

1235
01:11:48,800 --> 01:11:52,500
I think, I think he's a, I think
he's better tight end play than 

1236
01:11:52,500 --> 01:11:54,400
Kelsey. 
Like, just straight up. 

1237
01:11:54,500 --> 01:11:57,000
Like, I think his Target 
profiles, just better. 

1238
01:11:57,500 --> 01:12:00,800
Yes. 
In like, you know, you can go 

1239
01:12:00,800 --> 01:12:03,500
to, you can go to the homes, you
can you can go to Hill. 

1240
01:12:03,500 --> 01:12:06,100
There's a pretty big opportunity
cost in playing Kelsey. 

1241
01:12:06,100 --> 01:12:08,300
I think it's one of the fields 
going to be on Kelsey and so I 

1242
01:12:08,308 --> 01:12:11,100
think like Gronk fate. 
Kelsey lineups are actually 

1243
01:12:11,100 --> 01:12:15,100
pretty cool but like also like 
most of these lineups are 

1244
01:12:15,100 --> 01:12:18,600
probably playing too tight. 
I mean yeah sure this is like 

1245
01:12:18,600 --> 01:12:20,500
the tight end. 
Scarcity is like almost a 

1246
01:12:20,500 --> 01:12:23,400
complete non factor. 
Will do you think I'm off with 

1247
01:12:23,400 --> 01:12:27,800
the fact that I have Kelsey 58% 
Mahomes at 22%? 

1248
01:12:28,200 --> 01:12:32,000
And tyriq of 15%, I just know 
that I reeks the jam of all 

1249
01:12:32,000 --> 01:12:34,700
jams, that's what it's like to 
take. 

1250
01:12:34,700 --> 01:12:39,500
I feel most confident in like in
terms of like I'll be wrong too 

1251
01:12:39,500 --> 01:12:41,700
low on my too low on the 
percentages. 

1252
01:12:43,000 --> 01:12:47,300
That seems to me, I, my first 
instinct is that a little hot on

1253
01:12:47,300 --> 01:12:51,800
Kelsey and a little light Enric,
not not like egregiously, so but

1254
01:12:51,800 --> 01:12:53,500
like five to seven years and 
stuff though. 

1255
01:12:53,500 --> 01:12:56,400
People are really worried about 
how healthy is he left, week, 

1256
01:12:56,400 --> 01:12:58,900
18, come back. 
Everyone was playing them in 

1257
01:12:58,900 --> 01:13:01,300
DFS. 
I mean, like, but I don't know. 

1258
01:13:01,300 --> 01:13:04,700
Has Kelsey like, just like he's 
scored. 

1259
01:13:04,700 --> 01:13:06,100
So we're all good. 
Now, about that. 

1260
01:13:06,100 --> 01:13:08,800
Like whole stretch were like the
pre-drilling cousin, does these 

1261
01:13:08,800 --> 01:13:10,600
old like? 
Yeah, we're good. 

1262
01:13:10,600 --> 01:13:12,000
Everyone's good about that. 
Okay. 

1263
01:13:12,800 --> 01:13:17,300
People who play this contest to 
like really have like stuff 

1264
01:13:17,300 --> 01:13:19,300
that's happened. 
In previous playoffs is in their

1265
01:13:19,300 --> 01:13:23,200
heads more than it should be. 
And one of that is Kelsey just 

1266
01:13:23,200 --> 01:13:27,800
absolutely, you know, crushing 
souls and like the recency bias 

1267
01:13:27,800 --> 01:13:31,900
just in general. 
I mean, the, the season finished

1268
01:13:31,900 --> 01:13:35,000
with Kelsey scoring touchdowns 
in back-to-back games, Tyree 

1269
01:13:35,000 --> 01:13:40,200
kill didn't play and then had 40
empty calorie yards in week 17. 

1270
01:13:40,200 --> 01:13:44,300
Like just the, the kind of 
Sincere by esteem is not going 

1271
01:13:44,300 --> 01:13:46,800
to be there on Hill. 
Can I just point out gobblers 

1272
01:13:46,800 --> 01:13:48,800
come and he said you're going to
be, you guys are going to be 

1273
01:13:48,800 --> 01:13:50,500
punting tight end by the end of 
the night. 

1274
01:13:51,100 --> 01:13:53,100
And right back, we've already 
figured out that we're going to 

1275
01:13:53,100 --> 01:13:55,800
play two running backs. 
We were started the week saying 

1276
01:13:55,800 --> 01:13:57,500
we're going to gym, five tight 
ends. 

1277
01:13:57,600 --> 01:14:01,200
The way this ends is, we were 
dis y'all over our lineups, 

1278
01:14:01,200 --> 01:14:03,200
right? 
Dude, we already got some five 

1279
01:14:03,200 --> 01:14:06,800
tight on lineups in. 
Give me the tie downs. 

1280
01:14:06,900 --> 01:14:09,100
We're also cranking purple. 
We're cranking purple or 

1281
01:14:09,100 --> 01:14:11,800
pissing, you know? 
Well I want to get things take 

1282
01:14:11,800 --> 01:14:13,900
on the strategy that Shawn 
followed the last night with 

1283
01:14:13,900 --> 01:14:16,100
this running back stuff. 
You know, he was he was saying 

1284
01:14:16,400 --> 01:14:21,200
one thing you could do is like 
play Josh Jacobs or chase 

1285
01:14:21,200 --> 01:14:23,300
Edmunds or nausea Harris. 
I don't think we had admins at 

1286
01:14:23,308 --> 01:14:27,400
the time but the but the idea 
being you play a guy who you're 

1287
01:14:27,400 --> 01:14:30,900
actually kind of hoping gets 
eliminated but has a good gain 

1288
01:14:30,900 --> 01:14:33,600
and then you have your wide 
receivers advancing and everyone

1289
01:14:33,600 --> 01:14:35,700
else has a bunch of running 
backs advancing and you're just 

1290
01:14:35,700 --> 01:14:36,700
going to beat him the rest of 
the way. 

1291
01:14:37,000 --> 01:14:39,700
Yeah, no, shocking. 
Then Sean. 

1292
01:14:39,900 --> 01:14:41,300
Would come up with a strategy 
like that. 

1293
01:14:42,200 --> 01:14:44,800
I know. 
But yeah, I know it. 

1294
01:14:45,000 --> 01:14:47,800
I think it makes sense given the
quality of the running backs. 

1295
01:14:47,800 --> 01:14:52,000
I mean, this has been this has 
been like the ultimate year 40 

1296
01:14:52,000 --> 01:14:56,300
running back and just 
understanding like, you know, 

1297
01:14:56,300 --> 01:14:59,000
the variance at the position, 
the volatility in the attrition 

1298
01:14:59,000 --> 01:15:01,300
issues at the position and then 
I think the league is just moved

1299
01:15:01,300 --> 01:15:04,600
in this direction as well, where
you know, the league understands

1300
01:15:04,600 --> 01:15:06,200
replacement value of the 
position as well. 

1301
01:15:06,300 --> 01:15:12,300
So I do think I do think It's a 
very, very reasonable approach. 

1302
01:15:14,800 --> 01:15:15,900
Yeah. 
Do you have any thoughts on 

1303
01:15:15,900 --> 01:15:18,800
those particular running backs 
that the most likely the most 

1304
01:15:18,800 --> 01:15:20,000
likely one, and done running 
backs? 

1305
01:15:20,000 --> 01:15:24,600
I guess would be nausea Jacobs. 
Damien, Harris Chase Edmunds. 

1306
01:15:25,200 --> 01:15:26,700
Yeah. 
Elijah Mitchell mile Sanders. 

1307
01:15:27,200 --> 01:15:30,800
Yeah. 
Mitchell is the most interesting

1308
01:15:30,800 --> 01:15:37,300
to me just because I think It's 
like I'm like, it sounds like 

1309
01:15:37,300 --> 01:15:39,100
you guys think Debo is going to 
be the guy that's going to be 

1310
01:15:39,100 --> 01:15:41,800
mostly played from San Francisco
by like kind of a wide margin 

1311
01:15:41,800 --> 01:15:44,900
and we've just seen like San 
Fran. 

1312
01:15:44,900 --> 01:15:49,900
Just really, really loves Eli. 
Like, a lot of the Debo in this 

1313
01:15:49,900 --> 01:15:53,100
is feel so correct me if I'm 
wrong, but a lot of the Debo 

1314
01:15:53,100 --> 01:15:55,100
like goal-line Russian carries 
and stuff. 

1315
01:15:55,400 --> 01:15:59,000
I feel like those happen more in
the games that Eli was not 

1316
01:15:59,000 --> 01:16:01,200
there. 
Then the games that Eli was 

1317
01:16:01,200 --> 01:16:05,800
there. 
It was Was before Eli went out. 

1318
01:16:05,800 --> 01:16:08,900
But then when he came back 
Depot, kinda stayed. 

1319
01:16:09,100 --> 01:16:11,600
There were still doing that. 
Okay, I think he has a crush. 

1320
01:16:11,600 --> 01:16:16,400
I still think, like last week, 
he's the guy that I think that 

1321
01:16:16,400 --> 01:16:19,500
games going to play fast. 
I like I'm I think San Fran 

1322
01:16:19,500 --> 01:16:21,400
that's the way that they're 
going to try to attack things. 

1323
01:16:21,400 --> 01:16:24,500
I mean, the Dallas pass rush and
secondary has been the thing 

1324
01:16:24,500 --> 01:16:26,800
that's been disruptive for 
Dallas is defense this year and 

1325
01:16:26,800 --> 01:16:28,800
led to like games getting out of
control. 

1326
01:16:29,000 --> 01:16:31,900
And I think they just kind of 
executed their game plan to 

1327
01:16:31,900 --> 01:16:34,900
Perfection against the Rams, a 
similar type of secondary and 

1328
01:16:34,900 --> 01:16:38,400
pass rush where it was just like
ball control, keep the other 

1329
01:16:38,400 --> 01:16:40,700
team off and just pound and 
pound and pound. 

1330
01:16:41,000 --> 01:16:45,700
And so I think I think 
Mitchell's At the top of my 

1331
01:16:45,700 --> 01:16:48,100
list, relative to the way you 
guys are talking about from like

1332
01:16:48,100 --> 01:16:49,400
how the field is going to 
utilize them. 

1333
01:16:49,800 --> 01:16:56,200
And then I think nausea, you 
would be next because I think as

1334
01:16:56,200 --> 01:16:58,400
much as like Pittsburgh's 
talking about like we have no 

1335
01:16:58,400 --> 01:16:59,900
chance and different things like
that. 

1336
01:17:00,000 --> 01:17:04,500
I think they have to know that 
their best chance is that they 

1337
01:17:04,500 --> 01:17:08,200
can, they can just run the ball 
right down Kansas City's, throw 

1338
01:17:08,200 --> 01:17:11,000
it all day and like that's their
best chance of being successful 

1339
01:17:11,000 --> 01:17:14,400
and So I think those are the two
guys that would stand out from 

1340
01:17:14,400 --> 01:17:17,500
that perspective to me and I 
think naturally you are getting 

1341
01:17:17,600 --> 01:17:21,300
if they do get eliminate earlier
whatever and you do run into the

1342
01:17:21,300 --> 01:17:24,800
big wide receiver performances 
whether it's like Devonte, Cobb 

1343
01:17:26,100 --> 01:17:29,900
Chase, like you know, get off 
mix and get into some Chase or 

1344
01:17:29,900 --> 01:17:34,100
Higgins or whatever like those 
guys can put up really, really 

1345
01:17:34,100 --> 01:17:36,100
big numbers. 
If their teams make a run really

1346
01:17:36,100 --> 01:17:39,100
big numbers. 
Yep. 

1347
01:17:39,900 --> 01:17:41,000
Yeah. 
I like the nausea call. 

1348
01:17:41,100 --> 01:17:43,200
I don't think he'll be all that 
popular. 

1349
01:17:43,800 --> 01:17:46,200
I keep like kind of fiddling 
down back and forth. 

1350
01:17:46,200 --> 01:17:49,400
I have it. 22% Nagi and 19% the.
Aw, yeah. 

1351
01:17:49,400 --> 01:17:53,100
Was he back at practice today? 
He's a, I think they're calling 

1352
01:17:53,100 --> 01:17:55,700
the game time, but I mean, I 
know he didn't practice. 

1353
01:17:55,700 --> 01:17:58,400
Yes, you did practice. 
He did know he did practice 

1354
01:17:58,400 --> 01:17:59,000
today. 
Yeah. 

1355
01:17:59,100 --> 01:18:01,800
So I don't think people are like
all that word he misses. 

1356
01:18:01,800 --> 01:18:04,000
But that's one thing I'm trying 
to factor in like the people 

1357
01:18:04,000 --> 01:18:05,700
just say, I'm not messing with 
it. 

1358
01:18:06,900 --> 01:18:10,600
Yeah, I feel like dontay and 
Naja are both pretty good 

1359
01:18:10,600 --> 01:18:17,100
overweights my my feeling. 
Yeah, I guess now, that nagi's 

1360
01:18:17,100 --> 01:18:20,200
back it, it seemed like people 
would just be, it's tough, 

1361
01:18:20,200 --> 01:18:21,100
right? 
Because I think people would 

1362
01:18:21,100 --> 01:18:23,900
feel far more comfortable 
playing deante Johnson, but 

1363
01:18:23,900 --> 01:18:25,900
because again, running back is 
so gross. 

1364
01:18:26,000 --> 01:18:29,400
I think people would land on 
naxi and Nagi was good to people

1365
01:18:29,400 --> 01:18:31,700
throughout the year. 
People put nausea into their 

1366
01:18:31,700 --> 01:18:33,900
lineups and they felt good about
what they got back. 

1367
01:18:35,200 --> 01:18:38,800
Yeah, so there's a comment here 
about Earth's being the Galaxy 

1368
01:18:38,800 --> 01:18:42,500
brain play in Arizona. 
I having this as the chalk play.

1369
01:18:42,800 --> 01:18:47,400
He's like, but like, I love it, 
I don't know, maybe I'm too high

1370
01:18:47,400 --> 01:18:51,000
honor, its if people like 
Albert, I would assume that that

1371
01:18:51,000 --> 01:18:54,600
comment is coming from because 
my, my first perception would be

1372
01:18:54,600 --> 01:18:58,000
like, oh, you know, we're 
looking at like, Arizona Fades 

1373
01:18:58,000 --> 01:19:01,500
or we're looking at, is the, 
that is the highest have, right?

1374
01:19:01,700 --> 01:19:04,700
And or we're looking at a 
situation where it's like, okay,

1375
01:19:05,000 --> 01:19:07,900
Not fading Arizona, like we're 
locked or not playing a, you 

1376
01:19:07,907 --> 01:19:11,100
know, an overwhelming amount of 
tie downs and Hertz is like, you

1377
01:19:11,100 --> 01:19:14,200
know what, the fourth favorite 
tight end of the Slate, that you

1378
01:19:14,200 --> 01:19:16,300
would even look at. 
But I think when you like look 

1379
01:19:16,300 --> 01:19:19,600
at, hey, if we're going to play 
Arizona guys, and we're playing 

1380
01:19:19,600 --> 01:19:22,400
Arizona to lose, which I think 
most people are at take Skylar 

1381
01:19:22,400 --> 01:19:24,100
off the table. 
The running back situations like

1382
01:19:24,100 --> 01:19:27,300
totally off the table. 
You don't have Hopkins, so like 

1383
01:19:28,000 --> 01:19:32,700
gotta be Earth's, right? 
I think Earth should, if you're 

1384
01:19:32,700 --> 01:19:37,200
not fading Arizona, the Field is
playing hurts like no one feels 

1385
01:19:37,200 --> 01:19:39,200
comfortable now. 
There's uncertainty with the 

1386
01:19:39,200 --> 01:19:41,500
running backs and no one wants 
to play. 

1387
01:19:41,500 --> 01:19:43,700
Cristian Kirk like people are 
jamming hurts. 

1388
01:19:44,300 --> 01:19:46,500
We need to make sure we play 
some Cristian Kirk. 

1389
01:19:46,900 --> 01:19:49,900
Yeah because I agree are you 
could con he could come in at 

1390
01:19:49,900 --> 01:19:51,700
like like we have them 
single-digit. 

1391
01:19:51,700 --> 01:19:54,100
Projected ownership. 
I like he could come in like sup

1392
01:19:54,100 --> 01:19:55,400
53. 
Yeah. 

1393
01:19:55,400 --> 01:19:57,900
And at that point like that's 
yeah, you're right. 

1394
01:19:58,400 --> 01:20:02,100
That's like like I mean his odds
about scoring hurts. 

1395
01:20:02,100 --> 01:20:04,300
I mean it's kind of like the 
Evans Gronk thing except you're 

1396
01:20:04,300 --> 01:20:08,100
getting Kirk at three percent. 
Instead of, you know, Evans at 

1397
01:20:08,100 --> 01:20:13,000
17, here's what happens. 
The Eagles upset, the Box, the 

1398
01:20:13,000 --> 01:20:16,600
Cardinals win and you get 
Cristian Kirk verse LA and then 

1399
01:20:16,600 --> 01:20:19,200
Cristian Kirk in the dome 
against Dallas. 

1400
01:20:19,400 --> 01:20:23,000
I mean now you're cooking, Mike 
whatever. 

1401
01:20:23,700 --> 01:20:27,300
What's your take on Cuyler? 
Like what's the percentage or 

1402
01:20:27,300 --> 01:20:33,400
arguing for Kyler in these 
things quarterback stuff like 

1403
01:20:33,400 --> 01:20:36,600
like around 10%. 
Aunt, I think and once the 

1404
01:20:36,600 --> 01:20:42,100
projected own Pat on caller 
caller, I have at 8%. 

1405
01:20:43,300 --> 01:20:45,000
Yeah, I kind of like a break 
even. 

1406
01:20:45,100 --> 01:20:48,600
So the guy I like more is DAC. 
It's kind of like a similar 

1407
01:20:48,600 --> 01:20:53,300
play, except I think doc has 
even more routes to separate 

1408
01:20:53,300 --> 01:20:56,900
from his teammates and an even 
better chance of even just 

1409
01:20:56,900 --> 01:21:00,600
making out around for one. 
So I like both of them for 

1410
01:21:00,600 --> 01:21:02,700
similar reasons, but I like I 
might get less. 

1411
01:21:02,700 --> 01:21:04,800
Tyler just runs like crazy, 
obviously, he could separate. 

1412
01:21:04,900 --> 01:21:08,400
That that's the so that that's 
the like hidden variable to me 

1413
01:21:08,400 --> 01:21:13,500
on Cuyler that it's just like 
what what if they just like them

1414
01:21:13,500 --> 01:21:15,300
really? 
Really let loose like and he 

1415
01:21:15,300 --> 01:21:17,500
really lets loose on the Russian
side of things. 

1416
01:21:19,600 --> 01:21:21,000
I try to think about that with a
few. 

1417
01:21:21,000 --> 01:21:23,300
I like, I like I learned quite a
bit. 

1418
01:21:23,300 --> 01:21:27,400
I just, I think it's like him 
and DAC or similar plays. 

1419
01:21:27,400 --> 01:21:31,100
I preferred back especially. 
Yeah, and we were talking again,

1420
01:21:31,100 --> 01:21:33,700
going back to that thing. 
Pat, I were discussing where the

1421
01:21:33,700 --> 01:21:35,800
people are over ratings. 
San Fran but they're under 

1422
01:21:35,800 --> 01:21:39,400
playing their skill players. 
So like one way around to 

1423
01:21:39,400 --> 01:21:42,300
actually take advantage of that 
since you can't fade. 

1424
01:21:42,300 --> 01:21:45,800
San Fran is to played a can 
assume you know the victory at 

1425
01:21:45,800 --> 01:21:47,500
least one Victory there. 
Yeah. 

1426
01:21:47,500 --> 01:21:50,400
I think you're going to need 
more than one but I think are 

1427
01:21:50,500 --> 01:21:52,500
the kind of rushing thing. 
Makes a lot of sense in terms of

1428
01:21:52,500 --> 01:21:55,000
like how are they going to win? 
Like they're going to win by 

1429
01:21:55,000 --> 01:21:57,800
opening up the offense and Kyler
actually being their whole 

1430
01:21:57,800 --> 01:22:00,900
offense because their receivers 
are not good and I'm gonna face 

1431
01:22:00,900 --> 01:22:03,900
like that. 
So like the Rams have a great 

1432
01:22:03,900 --> 01:22:09,100
pass rush So like, you're going 
to get a lot like Kyler having 

1433
01:22:09,100 --> 01:22:15,600
to improvise a lot. 
And I could just see a scenario 

1434
01:22:15,600 --> 01:22:19,400
where like, he really has to 
carry an egregious load in this 

1435
01:22:19,400 --> 01:22:21,500
first game. 
And then, you know, in the 

1436
01:22:21,500 --> 01:22:25,200
second game there's there's the 
most likely opponent the second 

1437
01:22:25,200 --> 01:22:27,000
game would be Green Bay right 
under that scenario. 

1438
01:22:27,000 --> 01:22:31,600
But again in Green Bay has been 
a team that historically like 

1439
01:22:31,600 --> 01:22:35,600
has really struggled with Rome 
quarterbacks that Has been one 

1440
01:22:35,600 --> 01:22:38,000
of the things that they've 
struggled with historically, so,

1441
01:22:38,500 --> 01:22:43,400
like I could just see a scenario
where a Kyler, really, really in

1442
01:22:43,400 --> 01:22:47,600
like to get even into games, 
just puts up really big rushing 

1443
01:22:47,600 --> 01:22:50,900
numbers and we thought we've had
some positive conversations 

1444
01:22:50,900 --> 01:22:55,500
about color, but I like, I like 
something you said about just 

1445
01:22:55,500 --> 01:22:59,100
like the idea that what if they 
really turn it loose like a 

1446
01:22:59,108 --> 01:23:00,200
couple spots are thought about 
that? 

1447
01:23:00,200 --> 01:23:01,600
Like I was joking about the Bard
thing earlier. 

1448
01:23:01,600 --> 01:23:03,700
I don't actually think you 
should play Pollard in this but 

1449
01:23:03,700 --> 01:23:06,000
it would not really surprised. 
That much of Dallas went to a 

1450
01:23:06,000 --> 01:23:09,200
little bit more Pollard. 
Now, the other one is Elijah 

1451
01:23:09,200 --> 01:23:11,400
Mitchell, okay? 
I just want to throw that in 

1452
01:23:11,400 --> 01:23:13,600
there as when I was thinking 
about the other one is alive 

1453
01:23:13,600 --> 01:23:14,800
Mitchell. 
Yo, you gotta give it. 

1454
01:23:14,800 --> 01:23:18,700
That was a pretty reasonable 
take 0 as your Mitchell is, is 

1455
01:23:18,800 --> 01:23:21,000
is an interesting play, soft 
lock it. 

1456
01:23:21,000 --> 01:23:26,100
What, what about if San Fran is 
like, we are going to turn Debo 

1457
01:23:26,100 --> 01:23:30,000
loose in the depot is there like
such an important part of their 

1458
01:23:30,000 --> 01:23:32,600
offense? 
What if he gets 10 to 12 carries

1459
01:23:32,600 --> 01:23:35,900
instead of five or six? 
Now, Now, Elijah Mitchell's not 

1460
01:23:35,900 --> 01:23:38,500
not even a possibly, the only, 
the only thing that I know that 

1461
01:23:38,500 --> 01:23:41,300
they're and again this will be 
thrown right back at me with 

1462
01:23:41,300 --> 01:23:44,700
Kingsbury not being the sharpest
felon in the world. 

1463
01:23:44,800 --> 01:23:50,900
But like, how many times have we
expected Shanahan with with like

1464
01:23:51,100 --> 01:23:55,100
kidal to like just like turn 
things loose in terms of just 

1465
01:23:55,100 --> 01:23:57,200
like pepper and Kettle with 
volume? 

1466
01:23:57,200 --> 01:23:59,700
Like the clearly like one of the
most efficient players in the 

1467
01:23:59,700 --> 01:24:02,900
league and it just like it's 
never a priority. 

1468
01:24:03,200 --> 01:24:04,700
It's something that just kind of
happens. 

1469
01:24:04,900 --> 01:24:08,300
It happens and so I just don't 
know that San Francisco. 

1470
01:24:08,700 --> 01:24:11,500
I don't know that they think of 
anything in that context. 

1471
01:24:11,500 --> 01:24:15,200
Now again I don't I'm making the
case to Cliff will think about 

1472
01:24:15,200 --> 01:24:18,300
this with Kyler and I don't know
I don't see any reason to really

1473
01:24:18,300 --> 01:24:19,900
believe that I put to your 
point. 

1474
01:24:19,900 --> 01:24:22,900
Like I mean maybe Cliff isn't 
involved like you know if caller

1475
01:24:22,900 --> 01:24:24,600
has to scramble around 
improvise. 

1476
01:24:25,100 --> 01:24:28,800
So that's kind of my thought 
process on and like and I've not

1477
01:24:28,800 --> 01:24:32,000
been impressed with the way the 
Rams have closed the season me 

1478
01:24:32,000 --> 01:24:35,400
neither. 
And so I you know, I think Think

1479
01:24:36,200 --> 01:24:41,500
I think there's like a lot of, a
lot of Primacy bias when people 

1480
01:24:41,500 --> 01:24:43,800
get to the playoffs, right? 
Like especially like casual 

1481
01:24:43,800 --> 01:24:48,600
people like you all year long. 
You thought like the Rams are, 

1482
01:24:48,600 --> 01:24:52,100
great Green Bay's, really good, 
and you've been skeptical of 

1483
01:24:52,100 --> 01:24:55,100
Arizona, and then Arizona kind 
of faded a little bit the end. 

1484
01:24:55,100 --> 01:24:58,600
So, it's just, like, just what 
you needed to be like, I'm out 

1485
01:24:58,600 --> 01:25:01,600
on Arizona and so in everybody 
wants to play Cooper cup because

1486
01:25:01,600 --> 01:25:04,000
he's been the fantasy God this 
season. 

1487
01:25:04,500 --> 01:25:08,800
So, Just like, I really think 
playing Arizona took to advance 

1488
01:25:09,200 --> 01:25:12,300
is just like there's a lot of 
Leverage points on that. 

1489
01:25:12,300 --> 01:25:15,900
And I think I literally just 
such a such a potential game 

1490
01:25:15,900 --> 01:25:18,600
breaker on this contest to that 
point. 

1491
01:25:18,600 --> 01:25:21,800
I just want to say, I feel like 
if there's one team that I'm 

1492
01:25:21,800 --> 01:25:26,700
kind of fighting like the field 
on to keep the, you know, the 

1493
01:25:26,700 --> 01:25:29,600
projections too high here. 
It's Arizona, like I have them 

1494
01:25:29,600 --> 01:25:34,300
as 57% faded and San Francisco 
was like pretty similar odds of 

1495
01:25:34,300 --> 01:25:36,600
playing too. 
Games making Super Bowl, I have 

1496
01:25:36,600 --> 01:25:40,400
them at 33 percent, total faded,
kicker defense and yeah. 

1497
01:25:40,400 --> 01:25:44,000
So like almost twice as high for
Arizona and I think I might be 

1498
01:25:44,000 --> 01:25:46,700
too low on Arizona. 
I think that Fades might come in

1499
01:25:46,700 --> 01:25:52,900
more like, okay, there's no, 
yeah, yeah, the one thing I'm 

1500
01:25:52,900 --> 01:25:55,600
thinking about Arizona. 
So like even when you look at, 

1501
01:25:55,600 --> 01:25:58,700
you know, 538 gives them seven 
percent chance to make the 

1502
01:25:58,700 --> 01:26:01,300
conference Championship game, 
football Outsiders gives them a 

1503
01:26:01,300 --> 01:26:04,700
five point, two percent chance, 
the second lowest other than 

1504
01:26:04,800 --> 01:26:08,100
Iceberg to me where Arizona gets
interesting. 

1505
01:26:08,100 --> 01:26:12,700
And if I want to play a Kyler, I
want to play an eagle's upset 

1506
01:26:12,700 --> 01:26:16,700
because then Eagles go to Green 
Bay and are simple, just go 

1507
01:26:16,700 --> 01:26:22,300
upstairs, Dallas. 
San Francisco or hang on a San 

1508
01:26:22,300 --> 01:26:25,700
Francisco upset and Cardinals. 
Yeah, exactly Cardinals in the 

1509
01:26:25,700 --> 01:26:27,700
Cardinals. 
Go to Tampa Bay now. 

1510
01:26:27,700 --> 01:26:30,700
You're right. 
Yeah I still don't love it. 

1511
01:26:30,700 --> 01:26:34,500
You probably want them at Dallas
if you think you could pick last

1512
01:26:34,500 --> 01:26:35,800
likely to happen. 
Yeah. 

1513
01:26:35,800 --> 01:26:37,300
Really I want them at the Tampa 
Bay. 

1514
01:26:37,300 --> 01:26:41,200
They're throwing a ton. 
No I want the Dome the Dome 

1515
01:26:41,200 --> 01:26:43,200
matchup. 
Not on the road at Tampa. 

1516
01:26:43,600 --> 01:26:45,300
Yeah. 
Well you're on the road at 

1517
01:26:45,300 --> 01:26:48,800
Dallas to yeah but doubt I guess
both those defenses are Solid 

1518
01:26:48,800 --> 01:26:54,100
but I guess my point is like you
are thinking about those subsets

1519
01:26:54,200 --> 01:26:57,400
like in your Arizona situation, 
you don't want to go on a green 

1520
01:26:57,400 --> 01:26:59,500
Arizona at Green Bay. 
That's that's a death sentence, 

1521
01:26:59,500 --> 01:27:02,700
I think for them. 
So that's a really I think 

1522
01:27:02,700 --> 01:27:05,300
informative Point like if you 
are wanting to play that just 

1523
01:27:05,300 --> 01:27:08,000
think of getting them in the 
best possible scenario to get to

1524
01:27:08,000 --> 01:27:11,900
the NFC championship game. 
I love, I love that because then

1525
01:27:11,900 --> 01:27:15,300
also like there's there's 
dominoes that fall in that then 

1526
01:27:15,300 --> 01:27:18,300
you fade Dallas, right? 
You played dialysis defense or 

1527
01:27:18,300 --> 01:27:20,000
doll Kick out. 
As you're playing saying friend,

1528
01:27:20,000 --> 01:27:24,100
when it's Dallas is not going to
be faded heavily by the by the 

1529
01:27:24,100 --> 01:27:27,200
field. 
And so you can or soften them or

1530
01:27:27,200 --> 01:27:30,100
hard fate of whatever yet. 
Don't throw in a Dallas, clear? 

1531
01:27:30,100 --> 01:27:32,200
Because they are a team that if 
they're losing especially to a 

1532
01:27:32,208 --> 01:27:35,700
team like San Fran who to Cuts 
plays in a game. 

1533
01:27:35,700 --> 01:27:40,100
Yeah, they're slow. 
And then Dallas spread the ball 

1534
01:27:40,100 --> 01:27:41,600
around and then there's no one 
there. 

1535
01:27:41,800 --> 01:27:44,900
So go play, pit player. 
Go play deante. 

1536
01:27:44,900 --> 01:27:47,200
Johnson, go play ghadir and 
fade. 

1537
01:27:47,200 --> 01:27:48,400
Dallas from this. 
Go get one. 

1538
01:27:48,500 --> 01:27:50,600
You're running backs, figure it 
out and she was like, it's like 

1539
01:27:50,600 --> 01:27:53,400
no one that's that technique and
try to correlate if you like 

1540
01:27:53,400 --> 01:27:56,800
I'll like it, there's so many 
levers that you're pulling on. 

1541
01:27:57,800 --> 01:28:00,900
Like you don't have to get, you 
don't have to get super weird on

1542
01:28:00,900 --> 01:28:04,200
like Devonte and like like cause
you're pulling levers on the 

1543
01:28:04,208 --> 01:28:06,400
field in different ways with, 
with the car stuff. 

1544
01:28:06,400 --> 01:28:08,500
So, that's right there. 
This is really interesting. 

1545
01:28:08,700 --> 01:28:10,600
We've joked about Pat story. 
Time all week. 

1546
01:28:10,600 --> 01:28:13,000
This, these are the stats, the 
stories that Pat has been 

1547
01:28:13,000 --> 01:28:14,900
telling the most I think are the
kind of stories. 

1548
01:28:14,900 --> 01:28:16,800
He said some really good Kyler 
stores. 

1549
01:28:16,800 --> 01:28:18,400
I like Carlos stories and burrow
store. 

1550
01:28:18,800 --> 01:28:21,200
It's gross. 
Yes, the borough stores. 

1551
01:28:21,200 --> 01:28:24,700
You do the same thing, you send 
him to the KC, they have a 

1552
01:28:24,708 --> 01:28:26,900
shootout, you know, then it gets
the bills or whatever. 

1553
01:28:26,900 --> 01:28:29,600
He can have fun well in dink, 
you think about it, right? 

1554
01:28:29,600 --> 01:28:32,600
For Showdown when you're trying 
to be unique we don't have 

1555
01:28:32,600 --> 01:28:35,600
leaving on the salary available 
for this conference, right? 

1556
01:28:35,600 --> 01:28:38,600
So what are the two ways we get 
unique either with gal, brain 

1557
01:28:38,700 --> 01:28:42,700
off the radar plays or by 
flipping the build construction 

1558
01:28:42,700 --> 01:28:45,100
stuff. 
I don't think this contest lends

1559
01:28:45,100 --> 01:28:47,900
itself to the gal brain, 
super-thin, back up tight in 

1560
01:28:47,900 --> 01:28:49,400
place. 
So how do you do it? 

1561
01:28:49,400 --> 01:28:52,600
You play a different 
construction than everyone's 

1562
01:28:52,600 --> 01:28:56,500
playing and I think that's where
you can really get it without 

1563
01:28:56,500 --> 01:29:03,800
having to be too outrageous. 
Yeah, I think so and I think I 

1564
01:29:03,800 --> 01:29:06,500
think it's just it's like you 
look at all the teams on the 

1565
01:29:06,500 --> 01:29:08,100
landscape of the playoffs right 
now. 

1566
01:29:08,100 --> 01:29:10,900
In terms of teams that could 
surprise and make a run and like

1567
01:29:10,900 --> 01:29:12,100
where would the points come 
that? 

1568
01:29:12,100 --> 01:29:14,900
You be confident that if they 
made the run you would identify 

1569
01:29:14,900 --> 01:29:17,900
the right player and I don't 
think there's a better. 

1570
01:29:19,000 --> 01:29:21,400
Don't think there's a better 
example than Kyler and Arizona. 

1571
01:29:21,900 --> 01:29:26,500
Like, yeah, I feel the exact 
same way about Daft. 

1572
01:29:26,500 --> 01:29:30,600
I think feels about Kyler, yeah.
And I get it, I get it. 

1573
01:29:30,600 --> 01:29:33,400
And I think Jack and Alice are 
more likely to make a run. 

1574
01:29:33,700 --> 01:29:37,300
But I think there are scenarios 
where if that can douse make a 

1575
01:29:37,308 --> 01:29:42,600
run, there's scenarios where the
wide receiver is, is the top 

1576
01:29:42,600 --> 01:29:45,100
play like there. 
There's a cherries on Mars on 

1577
01:29:45,100 --> 01:29:47,500
Arizona. 
I have like, Earth's is more 

1578
01:29:47,500 --> 01:29:50,800
likely to be the top play than 
like Lamb with the Titan premium

1579
01:29:50,800 --> 01:29:55,300
scoring like Earth has a higher 
Target, share them lamb and he 

1580
01:29:55,300 --> 01:29:57,700
gets one and a half per catch. 
Yeah. 

1581
01:29:59,200 --> 01:30:01,600
That's another one of my 
thoughts, Pat. 

1582
01:30:01,600 --> 01:30:05,200
If I feel like I'm more on the 
field, getting spooked by 

1583
01:30:05,200 --> 01:30:06,500
Foreign at the maybe you guys 
are. 

1584
01:30:06,500 --> 01:30:11,700
But if that happens, I do think 
Zeke starts to soak up a little 

1585
01:30:11,700 --> 01:30:14,900
bit more of it, just because no 
one else is separating for the 

1586
01:30:14,900 --> 01:30:17,200
field as like a confidence play 
on down. 

1587
01:30:17,700 --> 01:30:19,500
Are you breaking the picket line
right now? 

1588
01:30:19,600 --> 01:30:20,800
Are you? 
What's adorning? 

1589
01:30:20,800 --> 01:30:23,300
The only side. 
What is Leone side? 

1590
01:30:23,300 --> 01:30:25,600
He know Liam like exactly 
opposite. 

1591
01:30:28,500 --> 01:30:49,400
People are buzzing about CD lamb
like that's just not happening, 

1592
01:30:49,400 --> 01:30:52,300
like people are indifferent on, 
see deal and he didn't torch 

1593
01:30:52,300 --> 01:30:54,200
people. 
He didn't win any leaks for 

1594
01:30:54,200 --> 01:30:57,200
people, people are indifferent 
on him and I think if push comes

1595
01:30:57,200 --> 01:30:59,400
to shove and there's 
uncertainty, Some uncertainty on

1596
01:30:59,400 --> 01:31:02,300
running back like Zeke is going 
to be that guy that gets pushed 

1597
01:31:02,300 --> 01:31:04,500
up a little bit to do some 
point. 

1598
01:31:04,800 --> 01:31:07,500
I think you're right I 
definitely I have cd a journey 

1599
01:31:07,500 --> 01:31:11,100
one and Zeke at 30 and I 
probably need to give like Drew 

1600
01:31:11,100 --> 01:31:13,200
you one of my swing you were my 
favorite. 

1601
01:31:13,200 --> 01:31:16,000
This is like a late point in the
show to be bringing this up at 

1602
01:31:16,000 --> 01:31:19,100
your my favorite people in the 
industry in terms of analyzing 

1603
01:31:19,300 --> 01:31:22,800
the contest, right? 
I think you're like so freaking 

1604
01:31:22,800 --> 01:31:29,600
good at this stuff DFS, we have 
the ability to Limit the things 

1605
01:31:29,600 --> 01:31:31,400
we need to get right by stacking
nipplegate. 

1606
01:31:31,500 --> 01:31:34,600
Yeah, here we can't. 
We have 12 games that we have 12

1607
01:31:34,600 --> 01:31:38,400
lineup spots and we have to play
basically every game and we're 

1608
01:31:38,400 --> 01:31:40,700
talking about this I think right
now with the Cuyler thing where 

1609
01:31:40,700 --> 01:31:44,300
we can start to see The Dominoes
fall and coralie right across 

1610
01:31:44,300 --> 01:31:46,900
multiple games and you can start
to build a bracket. 

1611
01:31:46,900 --> 01:31:48,600
Yeah. 
Are there other like I have had 

1612
01:31:48,600 --> 01:31:50,700
a hard time with this all week. 
I'm trying to think of other 

1613
01:31:50,700 --> 01:31:54,200
ways that we can start to 
correlate things across games 

1614
01:31:54,200 --> 01:31:57,400
are the things that you, but so 
do you, so yeah, what you're 

1615
01:31:57,400 --> 01:31:59,800
getting at there been was. 
The thing that I was saying with

1616
01:31:59,800 --> 01:32:02,400
Arizona and that Mike and sing 
on Dallas which is just that 

1617
01:32:02,400 --> 01:32:06,000
like the idea is when you stack 
and DFS, the idea is that you're

1618
01:32:06,000 --> 01:32:09,500
trying to get multiple things 
right when you're getting 

1619
01:32:09,500 --> 01:32:11,000
actually one thing, right? 
Right. 

1620
01:32:11,000 --> 01:32:14,200
Like you're trying to get a pass
game to explode and you get the 

1621
01:32:14,200 --> 01:32:17,600
wide receiver and the in the 
quarterback correlated together 

1622
01:32:18,100 --> 01:32:20,600
and sew. 
The way that I'm thinking 

1623
01:32:20,600 --> 01:32:24,400
through this, when you guys are 
talking about is, how do I try 

1624
01:32:24,400 --> 01:32:26,600
to get multiple things right 
with getting one thing, right? 

1625
01:32:26,600 --> 01:32:30,500
And in all of these situations, 
if you pick a team to make a 

1626
01:32:30,500 --> 01:32:35,200
run, you have to consider who is
the most likely player to lead 

1627
01:32:35,200 --> 01:32:37,600
that team in scoring and 
different things like that as 

1628
01:32:37,600 --> 01:32:41,100
well as getting the run, right? 
And so with these teams where I 

1629
01:32:41,100 --> 01:32:45,000
feel like one player can be 
dominant and is not going to be 

1630
01:32:45,000 --> 01:32:47,600
utilized heavily by the field 
for whatever reason they're the 

1631
01:32:47,600 --> 01:32:49,200
field is out on that team or 
whatever. 

1632
01:32:49,300 --> 01:32:51,400
Ever those are interesting 
spots. 

1633
01:32:51,400 --> 01:32:55,100
Like I obviously the bills are 
going to be heavily played in 

1634
01:32:55,100 --> 01:32:57,500
like Josh Alan is gonna be 
heavily played, so it's not 

1635
01:32:57,500 --> 01:33:02,100
really the same example, but if 
if you want if Josh Allen was 

1636
01:33:02,100 --> 01:33:04,800
played at the level that Arizona
and Colin Murray were played at,

1637
01:33:04,800 --> 01:33:06,800
I would feel the same way about 
that situation because it's like

1638
01:33:06,900 --> 01:33:08,900
I know where the points are 
coming from. 

1639
01:33:09,300 --> 01:33:12,600
If this team does make the run 
and that's my way of saying like

1640
01:33:12,600 --> 01:33:15,700
Okay I can get two things right 
by getting one thing right. 

1641
01:33:16,000 --> 01:33:18,900
Which is if this team makes a 
run, I at least know where the 

1642
01:33:18,900 --> 01:33:21,500
points are. 
Coming from and that's that's 

1643
01:33:21,500 --> 01:33:23,700
why Kyler stands out to me in 
that way. 

1644
01:33:23,700 --> 01:33:26,500
And I'm trying to think through 
what other scenarios are like 

1645
01:33:26,500 --> 01:33:28,600
since Dad. 
And I don't know, I think the 

1646
01:33:28,600 --> 01:33:31,700
Patriots are kind of that 
scenario with Damien Harris, 

1647
01:33:31,700 --> 01:33:32,300
doing. 
Yeah? 

1648
01:33:32,300 --> 01:33:34,700
Dan. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

1649
01:33:34,700 --> 01:33:37,700
It doesn't feel good like, but I
think you're right. 

1650
01:33:38,700 --> 01:33:43,700
They are, but the other thing 
with the Cuyler Dak Dak thing is

1651
01:33:44,200 --> 01:33:48,600
just because of atoms with Green
Bay and you know, the stuff we 

1652
01:33:48,600 --> 01:33:50,700
talked about We like no one 
wanted to play Brady. 

1653
01:33:50,700 --> 01:33:54,300
Anyways, they can easily get 
there and you know, a conference

1654
01:33:54,300 --> 01:33:56,300
Championship loss. 
So you've got out. 

1655
01:33:56,700 --> 01:33:58,400
So again like getting less 
things, right? 

1656
01:33:58,400 --> 01:34:00,700
Like you don't even need to get 
who wins that the conference 

1657
01:34:00,700 --> 01:34:02,800
Championship game, right? 
Yeah. 

1658
01:34:03,700 --> 01:34:09,800
One thing I saw brought up was 
this idea of fading teams on the

1659
01:34:09,800 --> 01:34:12,500
same side of the bracket as 
basically as you play a 

1660
01:34:12,500 --> 01:34:13,900
quarterback. 
Like if you're playing Kyler 

1661
01:34:13,900 --> 01:34:16,900
through and we can talk about 
this, you end up fading Dallas. 

1662
01:34:17,800 --> 01:34:20,800
You can play a lot of skill 
players on the other side, sort 

1663
01:34:20,800 --> 01:34:23,200
of playing those as shootouts 
and you have multiple outs in 

1664
01:34:23,200 --> 01:34:24,900
the way that side of the bracket
can play out. 

1665
01:34:24,900 --> 01:34:26,500
But the side that you're playing
the quarterback, you need to 

1666
01:34:26,508 --> 01:34:28,400
play it a certain way. 
You need Arizona to make a run, 

1667
01:34:28,400 --> 01:34:31,900
if you're playing Kyler and so 
you can fade some of the other 

1668
01:34:31,900 --> 01:34:35,500
potential, you know, Dallas 
Dallas, can't make a run Affairs

1669
01:34:35,500 --> 01:34:38,100
on is making a run or, I mean, 
they both could, but it's 

1670
01:34:38,100 --> 01:34:40,900
obviously more narrow, you want 
Arizona in the Super Bowl and 

1671
01:34:40,900 --> 01:34:45,600
then you can play the maybe 
fadem and play the tight ends 

1672
01:34:45,600 --> 01:34:48,100
from that side and then, and 
then on the other side, You can 

1673
01:34:48,100 --> 01:34:49,300
play the running backs and 
receivers that. 

1674
01:34:49,300 --> 01:34:52,600
Can that could get there in one 
game to game 3 games, something 

1675
01:34:52,600 --> 01:34:54,600
like that. 
It gives you multiple outs on 

1676
01:34:54,600 --> 01:34:57,600
half the bracket I do. 
That's what I think. 

1677
01:34:57,600 --> 01:34:59,000
Some of this other stuff that 
we've talked about. 

1678
01:34:59,000 --> 01:35:02,700
I mean, is who are the players 
that can get there. 

1679
01:35:03,900 --> 01:35:05,700
In situations where their teams 
don't make around. 

1680
01:35:05,700 --> 01:35:07,500
Like that was getting back to 
the question that Pat was asking

1681
01:35:07,500 --> 01:35:11,700
me that Sean had brought up last
night with you guys on, like, 

1682
01:35:11,700 --> 01:35:14,200
the running back position, but I
think Mike's brought that up 

1683
01:35:14,200 --> 01:35:17,200
with Josh, Alan, I brought up 
with Cara Marie, likes brought 

1684
01:35:17,200 --> 01:35:19,900
up at that a little bit too. 
Like, who are the guys that if 

1685
01:35:19,900 --> 01:35:23,500
it's not perfect, they can still
get there in the fields. 

1686
01:35:23,500 --> 01:35:28,000
May be under rating, How likely 
they can still be in the winning

1687
01:35:28,000 --> 01:35:31,200
line up even if their team 
doesn't make a run and think 

1688
01:35:31,200 --> 01:35:34,300
like, all, almost all the first 
round, Her dogs. 

1689
01:35:34,600 --> 01:35:49,800
Yes, there's dr. 
Jacobs nausea collectively, like

1690
01:35:50,200 --> 01:35:52,400
people are just special, get to 
the seven seats. 

1691
01:35:52,400 --> 01:35:56,500
Get to Pittsburgh and Philly. 
I mean, for sure I wanted to I 

1692
01:35:56,500 --> 01:35:59,300
came in the chat earlier was 
like guys where are we at again 

1693
01:35:59,300 --> 01:36:02,100
on Devante Smith? 
Because yeah, he strikes me as a

1694
01:36:02,108 --> 01:36:05,300
guy who got the highwomen Dot. 
You don't even need the 

1695
01:36:05,300 --> 01:36:08,100
high-volume game but it's 
certainly possible to given the 

1696
01:36:08,100 --> 01:36:12,900
the matchup in the past final 
situation with Tampa Bay, his 

1697
01:36:13,200 --> 01:36:15,200
Target profiles stronger than 
goddard's. 

1698
01:36:15,300 --> 01:36:19,300
God is just run really hot on 
his targets so it's obviously 

1699
01:36:19,300 --> 01:36:21,300
going to be highly volatile 
because he's a deep threat. 

1700
01:36:21,600 --> 01:36:25,100
And there could be wind and he 
hasn't been efficient this year 

1701
01:36:25,300 --> 01:36:27,700
so it could just totally burn 
you but that's one words, like 

1702
01:36:27,700 --> 01:36:30,200
he's going to be probably two or
three percent roster. 

1703
01:36:30,200 --> 01:36:32,100
I think he also runs underneath 
route. 

1704
01:36:32,100 --> 01:36:35,200
So he is a deep threat but he he
operates it all day. 

1705
01:36:35,200 --> 01:36:36,100
Yeah. 
It's like that's it. 

1706
01:36:36,400 --> 01:36:39,800
They can catch 88 passes in a 
game where God or catches three,

1707
01:36:39,800 --> 01:36:41,800
and you get the time that 
premium that's going to push 

1708
01:36:41,800 --> 01:36:44,600
Goddard ahead and projections. 
Most most of the time. 

1709
01:36:44,600 --> 01:36:47,700
But yeah, Devante can win in a 
one-game easy. 

1710
01:36:48,500 --> 01:36:54,600
The I am curious, like those 
guys like Devon te and Kirk I 

1711
01:36:54,600 --> 01:36:56,800
think are pretty easy to play 
like a little bit over the 

1712
01:36:56,800 --> 01:36:58,100
field. 
I don't know how much I'd want 

1713
01:36:58,100 --> 01:36:59,800
of them. 
It's always hard to figure out 

1714
01:36:59,800 --> 01:37:03,500
where to draw the line on like 
the third options. 

1715
01:37:03,700 --> 01:37:07,600
A team like, you know, Tyler 
Boyd in a one-game set, you 

1716
01:37:07,600 --> 01:37:10,200
know, Odell and it won games. 
That's a really easy way to get 

1717
01:37:10,200 --> 01:37:12,400
leverage if you are picking them
to lose though, right? 

1718
01:37:12,400 --> 01:37:15,700
I mean yeah. 
It's for those that like we I 

1719
01:37:15,700 --> 01:37:17,500
mean what were people on ship 
Chase? 

1720
01:37:17,500 --> 01:37:19,700
Talk about Gabe Davis. 
Like like that it's like it's 

1721
01:37:19,700 --> 01:37:21,600
definitely but I'd rather just 
do. 

1722
01:37:21,600 --> 01:37:25,400
I'd rather do bills D and then 
go play Deonte, right? 

1723
01:37:25,400 --> 01:37:27,300
Yeah. 
The thing, the thing that's hard

1724
01:37:27,300 --> 01:37:31,500
for me in this contest about 
that like third option is so 

1725
01:37:31,500 --> 01:37:34,100
you're hoping the team loses and
that third option Option out 

1726
01:37:34,100 --> 01:37:37,900
scores the primary to game in 
the first of June. 

1727
01:37:38,600 --> 01:37:43,800
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. 
It's just, I don't know. 

1728
01:37:43,800 --> 01:37:48,900
It seems super super unlikely 
and like with Boyd with Boyd 

1729
01:37:48,900 --> 01:37:52,500
specifically, like talking about
him specifically, like do you 

1730
01:37:52,500 --> 01:37:55,200
guys know how many, how many 
games that he actually, like, 

1731
01:37:55,200 --> 01:37:57,100
led the team in scoring this 
year? 

1732
01:37:57,600 --> 01:37:59,200
He did. 
Once we looked it up earlier 

1733
01:37:59,900 --> 01:38:02,900
this week, I'm ship chasing. 
It's like my guess is one that 

1734
01:38:02,900 --> 01:38:05,900
would have been. 
One is had been the only one to 

1735
01:38:05,900 --> 01:38:09,600
me the analogy of if you are 
playing like the Tyler Boyd, the

1736
01:38:09,608 --> 01:38:13,800
Gabe Davis, the Cedric Wilson, 
the analogy is playing a non 

1737
01:38:13,800 --> 01:38:17,700
chalky, 3K wide receiver in a 
gpp, right? 

1738
01:38:17,700 --> 01:38:20,700
Like is there a chance it hits? 
Of course, of course. 

1739
01:38:20,700 --> 01:38:24,300
Is it likely know like you 
really need to thread an 

1740
01:38:24,300 --> 01:38:26,500
incredible needle for in the 
other thing that I'd say they're

1741
01:38:26,500 --> 01:38:29,900
which like you know it gets back
to what has become my fucking 

1742
01:38:29,900 --> 01:38:32,300
catch phrase in this industry I 
guess but like what do you 

1743
01:38:32,300 --> 01:38:34,600
actually win when you win? 
Like How much does Boyd 

1744
01:38:34,600 --> 01:38:36,400
outscore? 
These other guys buy that like 

1745
01:38:36,400 --> 01:38:40,300
you get like is Boyd outscoring 
them by 10 like probably not 

1746
01:38:40,400 --> 01:38:41,800
God. 
This is a great Point here 

1747
01:38:41,800 --> 01:38:45,000
because Juju last year was night
this in the realignment here. 

1748
01:38:45,000 --> 01:38:48,400
Play put was and JuJu outscored 
Claypool because he was so label

1749
01:38:48,400 --> 01:38:52,000
was like the same. 
I mean, Juju was a bad play. 

1750
01:38:55,200 --> 01:38:59,600
They outscored Deonte both by 
like a huge margin, right? 

1751
01:38:59,700 --> 01:39:25,800
But well, my my my 
Million dollars. 

1752
01:39:30,700 --> 01:39:32,300
That's what you want. 
What do you mean? 

1753
01:39:32,800 --> 01:39:35,300
It is a point that I've been 
making on this one as well. 

1754
01:39:35,300 --> 01:39:37,900
Drew this week where somebody 
was some about CJ use almond 

1755
01:39:37,900 --> 01:39:40,200
which is funnier on the same 
team but Boyd kind of makes the 

1756
01:39:40,208 --> 01:39:44,600
same point even if you hit that 
you're gaining on the field 

1757
01:39:44,600 --> 01:39:48,100
there but because you can't 
correlate like DFS. 

1758
01:39:48,100 --> 01:39:50,600
Yeah you still have to get the 
other ten spots, right. 

1759
01:39:50,600 --> 01:39:54,200
And it's yeah you start to get 
the Super Bowl ring and like and

1760
01:39:54,200 --> 01:39:57,300
like I mean someone's had a game
where he's like probably outside

1761
01:39:57,300 --> 01:39:59,700
because he had that one like 
crazy game with you Josh. 

1762
01:39:59,800 --> 01:40:01,900
Sounds very probably scored his 
team by like his teammates by 

1763
01:40:01,900 --> 01:40:04,800
10. 
Does Boyd have that in a? 

1764
01:40:04,800 --> 01:40:05,800
Maybe? 
Maybe? 

1765
01:40:05,800 --> 01:40:07,500
I don't know. 
It's probably more likely to 

1766
01:40:07,508 --> 01:40:10,100
outscores, teammates by 10. 
Then rhizoma probably. 

1767
01:40:10,100 --> 01:40:13,300
I agree on that but I still 
think it's like a small 

1768
01:40:13,300 --> 01:40:15,600
percentage of times. 
If that happens I think most of 

1769
01:40:15,600 --> 01:40:18,100
the times avoid wins that 
matchup against the other three 

1770
01:40:18,100 --> 01:40:23,700
skill players it's by like 23 
and like you don't you don't 

1771
01:40:23,700 --> 01:40:26,100
actually separate in any way 
shape or form. 

1772
01:40:27,600 --> 01:40:29,700
Yeah, I'm more open to it than 
you guys. 

1773
01:40:29,700 --> 01:40:32,500
I think there's more of, you 
know, if a chalky bracket plays 

1774
01:40:32,500 --> 01:40:34,700
out like those three points 
could actually be like super 

1775
01:40:34,700 --> 01:40:37,300
pivotable. 
Pivotal I want to ask. 

1776
01:40:37,300 --> 01:40:40,300
Why you have edible boy? 
I better than Boyd and I think 

1777
01:40:40,300 --> 01:40:43,000
yes by like a wide margin. 
I thought we were going to get 

1778
01:40:43,000 --> 01:40:44,800
drunk Leone. 
Just said pivotable. 

1779
01:40:45,000 --> 01:40:47,200
I think the boys better than 
boys. 

1780
01:40:48,000 --> 01:40:50,400
I think I use better than Boyd. 
I was really going on. 

1781
01:40:50,400 --> 01:40:54,100
Is like a guy I think is like, 
On the line. 

1782
01:40:54,200 --> 01:40:56,900
Not that, I'm not saying we 
should play boy, but I think 

1783
01:40:56,900 --> 01:41:00,700
like, Boyden Odell are like, 
where the line is. 

1784
01:41:00,900 --> 01:41:03,600
Yeah. 
And claypool's on that line. 

1785
01:41:04,000 --> 01:41:05,700
Yeah. 
It's been kind of comes out of 

1786
01:41:05,708 --> 01:41:10,000
how you feel about the against, 
right? 

1787
01:41:12,000 --> 01:41:16,500
Like maybe the first that's the,
that's the appeal of devotees, 

1788
01:41:16,500 --> 01:41:19,700
like, he might be the first. 
Yeah, he has been the plates 

1789
01:41:19,700 --> 01:41:22,700
based on the targets, dad like 
claypool's. 

1790
01:41:22,700 --> 01:41:28,000
Probably on that line to like I 
think those that's the tough 

1791
01:41:28,000 --> 01:41:31,300
part in our builds right now is 
how many of those types of guys 

1792
01:41:31,300 --> 01:41:32,500
that we play? 
I think collectively. 

1793
01:41:32,500 --> 01:41:35,900
We all agree that those types of
plays are overrated in general, 

1794
01:41:36,000 --> 01:41:38,600
but I don't think they're like 
useless. 

1795
01:41:39,400 --> 01:41:42,400
Yeah, and it's funny. 
We had back-to-back comments 

1796
01:41:42,400 --> 01:41:44,200
here. 
Austin asking in the end. 

1797
01:41:44,200 --> 01:41:46,800
Is it more important to get the 
contrarian individual players, 

1798
01:41:46,900 --> 01:41:48,500
correct? 
Or just get the teams that are 

1799
01:41:48,500 --> 01:41:50,400
going to win in advance, 
correct. 

1800
01:41:50,400 --> 01:41:52,700
And I'm a I'm with Alan here 
saying it's better. 

1801
01:41:52,800 --> 01:41:56,000
Predicting the couple of upsets 
and fading the job popular teams

1802
01:41:56,000 --> 01:41:59,500
than finding the thin place. 
That's not 100% hundred degrees.

1803
01:41:59,500 --> 01:42:02,700
So like a perfect example are 
talking about Tyler Boyd, like 

1804
01:42:02,900 --> 01:42:07,500
play play, Las Vegas to the AFC 
Championship game in Play Josh 

1805
01:42:07,500 --> 01:42:10,600
Jacobs like that. 
That's your play. 

1806
01:42:10,600 --> 01:42:12,800
You know that? 
Yes, she is totally and play 

1807
01:42:12,800 --> 01:42:16,800
like, if they make a run, it's 
probably through like, they've 

1808
01:42:16,800 --> 01:42:20,100
gone past week, two, and three 
tight ends sets, its kind of has

1809
01:42:20,100 --> 01:42:22,600
to Jacobs. 
We've said this before. 

1810
01:42:22,700 --> 01:42:24,700
For this week. 
But if you want to go to a thin,

1811
01:42:24,700 --> 01:42:28,300
like Cedric Wilson or CG use, 
AMA play, the better way to do 

1812
01:42:28,300 --> 01:42:29,700
that. 
Like in DFS, it makes sense 

1813
01:42:29,700 --> 01:42:32,300
because their salary constraints
and like it doesn't always make 

1814
01:42:32,300 --> 01:42:33,300
sense. 
But yeah, pain. 

1815
01:42:33,700 --> 01:42:36,900
Yeah, the better way to do that 
in this contest is play a team 

1816
01:42:37,200 --> 01:42:40,700
that is being heavily faded and 
play a good player, play Devante

1817
01:42:40,700 --> 01:42:43,300
Smith from Philly, he's actually
good at football. 

1818
01:42:43,500 --> 01:42:45,700
Played deante, Johnson plate. 
You know, somebody they're going

1819
01:42:45,700 --> 01:42:48,300
to be so heavily faded you're 
making the sort of the same 

1820
01:42:48,300 --> 01:42:50,500
percentage bad, but you're 
actually getting to play good 

1821
01:42:50,500 --> 01:42:52,600
football player and it's better 
fit. 

1822
01:42:52,800 --> 01:42:54,900
This contest for sure it is a 
little different. 

1823
01:42:54,900 --> 01:42:58,400
But we have had people, when 
like, million-dollar to game 

1824
01:42:58,400 --> 01:43:01,300
slides because they played, you 
know, Byron Pringle over. 

1825
01:43:01,800 --> 01:43:05,700
Tyree kill, you know? 
Yeah, so II think like, 90% of 

1826
01:43:05,700 --> 01:43:09,200
the time you guys are right? 
I think like, 10% of your 

1827
01:43:09,200 --> 01:43:12,100
lineups, like should be carved 
out for like, some of these guys

1828
01:43:12,100 --> 01:43:18,000
as well. 
So, it's like, the really big 

1829
01:43:18,000 --> 01:43:21,200
difference between this contest 
and like, talking about in 

1830
01:43:21,200 --> 01:43:25,100
comparison, with DFS and You can
you can do the 1 V 1 comparisons

1831
01:43:25,100 --> 01:43:26,800
when you're talking about 
players that you're expecting to

1832
01:43:26,800 --> 01:43:31,400
lose and be out in one game, but
it's the compounding interest of

1833
01:43:31,400 --> 01:43:35,700
multiple games that allows the 
good players, a better chance at

1834
01:43:35,700 --> 01:43:39,100
separating from the fluke game, 
right? 

1835
01:43:39,100 --> 01:43:42,800
So like that's why that lion is 
about, liar them off the board 

1836
01:43:42,900 --> 01:43:45,300
on some of these options. 
You need it. 

1837
01:43:45,400 --> 01:43:50,400
I think you need it to be one 
and done because if not they're 

1838
01:43:50,400 --> 01:43:53,400
more likely to get covered by 
one of their Maids the more 

1839
01:43:53,400 --> 01:43:55,900
games that they play. 
Like it's just it's the the 

1840
01:43:55,900 --> 01:44:00,100
natural rule of of, you know, 
the law of large numbers. 

1841
01:44:00,100 --> 01:44:00,800
The more. 
Yeah. 

1842
01:44:00,800 --> 01:44:03,500
We need to take them out. 
I mean, we definitely seen it 

1843
01:44:04,100 --> 01:44:07,600
and that's why I think if you 
make the pivot and you go it's 

1844
01:44:07,600 --> 01:44:11,600
not just that like if you pivot 
to Smith or Jacobs that that guy

1845
01:44:11,600 --> 01:44:16,200
has like a better chance, then 
Tyler board, let's say up being 

1846
01:44:16,200 --> 01:44:19,300
high-scoring guy but then if you
get that team advancing, you're 

1847
01:44:19,300 --> 01:44:22,600
not like oh no, I'm dead. 
Like I'll see I've got I got the

1848
01:44:22,700 --> 01:44:25,700
Best guy on this team, right? 
Yeah, exactly. 

1849
01:44:26,200 --> 01:44:30,300
All right, it is time to build a
lineup as I've been doing on the

1850
01:44:30,300 --> 01:44:32,200
show. 
For each of our five shows this 

1851
01:44:32,200 --> 01:44:35,600
week, I have registered a team 
into the football guys. 

1852
01:44:36,100 --> 01:44:39,000
Thirty five dollar entry. 
We are going to build a team. 

1853
01:44:39,100 --> 01:44:42,200
We are going to start with our 
honored guest and a true sweetie

1854
01:44:42,200 --> 01:44:47,900
pie, true dink Meyer. 
Who do you what this light up? 

1855
01:44:50,600 --> 01:44:53,600
What sweetie? 
My God. 

1856
01:44:55,800 --> 01:44:59,500
All right, I mean, I could, 
there have been a worse time. 

1857
01:44:59,500 --> 01:45:03,300
I Gotta Serve worst, DM for him 
to release to Twitter. 

1858
01:45:27,700 --> 01:45:29,500
Let's start with. 
Let's do it. 

1859
01:45:33,700 --> 01:45:36,800
It's all how the dominoes are 
going to fall in place here. 

1860
01:45:38,600 --> 01:45:40,700
I love it. 
We going down. 

1861
01:45:40,900 --> 01:45:46,200
Um yes, we will go. 
Let's go to Leone our second 

1862
01:45:46,200 --> 01:45:49,300
featured guest. 
Okay, I'll go met gay. 

1863
01:45:54,300 --> 01:46:00,300
That's how you use your pick. 
Okay. 

1864
01:46:01,700 --> 01:46:03,900
I mean you can still blink up in
this lineup. 

1865
01:46:03,900 --> 01:46:07,600
That's already. 
Like that's. 

1866
01:46:07,600 --> 01:46:10,500
So disturbing is how quickly he 
said it. 

1867
01:46:11,500 --> 01:46:14,700
It was unbelievable. 
It was like the computer to his 

1868
01:46:14,700 --> 01:46:23,300
left. 
If our overriding this frames 

1869
01:46:23,300 --> 01:46:27,300
team and and they got a loose 
and socialist. 

1870
01:46:27,300 --> 01:46:29,900
Yeah. 
Picks that gay. 

1871
01:46:30,000 --> 01:46:32,100
I didn't even know he's in this 
contest. 

1872
01:46:35,600 --> 01:46:37,400
You're just lucky. 
I didn't take Zeke. 

1873
01:46:38,300 --> 01:46:40,600
Is that why you had to type his 
name in? 

1874
01:46:42,500 --> 01:46:45,800
Yeah, everyone is I mean 
Gretchen it on the show this 

1875
01:46:45,800 --> 01:46:52,000
week is Gretsch puts Cooper 
cover the lightest of. 

1876
01:46:52,000 --> 01:46:55,700
All right let's go to let's go 
to Gretch. 

1877
01:46:56,100 --> 01:46:58,000
Oh he's gonna take 10 times 
longer than me. 

1878
01:46:58,300 --> 01:47:00,400
Not everybody ready? 
And I'm going to do exactly what

1879
01:47:00,400 --> 01:47:02,700
the only did. 
And I'm going to take Dallas 

1880
01:47:02,700 --> 01:47:07,000
defense because Putting Tyler. 
Yo, lock in the San Fran win. 

1881
01:47:07,100 --> 01:47:09,300
You lock it up. 
Defense. 

1882
01:47:09,500 --> 01:47:11,700
Let's do it. 
I was gonna put in Dallas to see

1883
01:47:11,700 --> 01:47:17,300
if it came to me. 
We're United be set up. 

1884
01:47:20,300 --> 01:47:21,600
All right, Pat, who are you 
picking? 

1885
01:47:24,100 --> 01:47:28,900
All right. 
Well we've got I mean we 

1886
01:47:28,900 --> 01:47:32,400
probably need Tyree kill in the 
sauna, okay? 

1887
01:47:34,800 --> 01:47:36,100
Love it. 
Love it. 

1888
01:47:36,900 --> 01:47:43,300
Yeah, I'm Gonna Let You Bros 
figure out the NFC mess that you

1889
01:47:43,300 --> 01:47:50,000
have created and I'll put like 
we do every goddamn week. 

1890
01:47:55,800 --> 01:47:57,400
We need to snake. 
It Pete. 

1891
01:47:57,400 --> 01:48:00,600
Pete a second pick. 
Wow you what's the snake? 

1892
01:48:00,600 --> 01:48:04,900
It ruins the leverage big at the
End the Opium, I do. 

1893
01:48:05,300 --> 01:48:07,900
All right. 
Um, I'll just burn our. 

1894
01:48:07,900 --> 01:48:10,000
I mean if we have Kyle we can't 
we can eat some Derrick Henry 

1895
01:48:10,000 --> 01:48:14,200
Chuck here. 
So then who's it back to Pat? 

1896
01:48:14,900 --> 01:48:21,300
Yeah, I know who I want, ready. 
Brock, and right. 

1897
01:48:24,800 --> 01:48:32,500
Let me go. 
I'm gonna go kid'll, okay? 

1898
01:48:32,800 --> 01:48:36,600
I was gonna clean up that Dallas
mess with Debo, but that was the

1899
01:48:36,600 --> 01:48:41,400
right call 10. 
That was something that's who I 

1900
01:48:41,400 --> 01:48:46,900
was gonna take. 
Who are we to scratch now? 

1901
01:48:46,900 --> 01:48:49,100
Yeah, that was going. 
D Wilson. 

1902
01:48:49,100 --> 01:48:52,500
I have to think you have to know
Cooper. 

1903
01:48:52,700 --> 01:48:55,200
No, No Deal Chi. 
Higgins T Higgins. 

1904
01:48:58,700 --> 01:49:04,600
All right. 
Now to Leone you can see it. 

1905
01:49:05,100 --> 01:49:07,500
Who did you want? 
Only you know, I want, I was 

1906
01:49:07,500 --> 01:49:10,400
going to kid'll and then I'm 
just trying to decide on this 

1907
01:49:10,400 --> 01:49:13,700
Tampa, Bay situation what we 
want. 

1908
01:49:13,700 --> 01:49:17,200
Let's do, let's do jessjacobs, 
okay. 

1909
01:49:17,200 --> 01:49:18,800
I like that. 
I like that a lot. 

1910
01:49:19,900 --> 01:49:23,000
All right, dink double tap power
move. 

1911
01:49:23,400 --> 01:49:28,600
Oh man, you got to make the 
Tampa Bay decision for us but 

1912
01:49:28,600 --> 01:49:31,800
they Philly and Tampa Bay. 
Philly. 

1913
01:49:31,800 --> 01:49:35,300
Pittsburgh Casey's in the do we 
have any idea? 

1914
01:49:35,300 --> 01:49:39,000
The Patriots. 
Oh Patriots, we have the big on 

1915
01:49:39,000 --> 01:49:40,600
Smart. 
New England here. 

1916
01:49:40,600 --> 01:49:42,800
Yeah, we're good. 
This is a New England fade, 

1917
01:49:42,800 --> 01:49:44,700
right? 
Yeah, yeah. 

1918
01:49:47,300 --> 01:49:50,700
The rare light up build where 
the tight end and please don't 

1919
01:49:50,700 --> 01:49:53,900
have placekicker have a green 
bag that's that's a wild card 

1920
01:49:53,900 --> 01:49:58,400
Green Bay. 
So if faded cup so you know I 

1921
01:49:58,400 --> 01:50:01,000
mean yeah I think I think 
leading the witness 

1922
01:50:16,600 --> 01:50:19,800
Yes Tina cup and add and look 
how. 

1923
01:50:19,800 --> 01:50:34,500
But here been just was in Ben's 
events in France event for the 

1924
01:50:34,500 --> 01:50:38,200
comment of the night. 
Greg has listened to the audio 

1925
01:50:38,200 --> 01:50:41,200
version. 
Frank says that gay period? 

1926
01:50:41,200 --> 01:50:44,300
Oh my God, that is me. 
We only do it. 

1927
01:50:44,300 --> 01:50:52,400
You gotta do it, right? 
How is any of our stuff stinks 

1928
01:50:52,400 --> 01:50:57,700
out of fan? 
We talked about how we kind of 

1929
01:50:57,708 --> 01:50:59,800
want Tampa Bay to lose in this 
scenario, right? 

1930
01:50:59,800 --> 01:51:02,600
So I think if we want them 
playing from behind, I think we 

1931
01:51:02,600 --> 01:51:06,200
went my boy, Mike, Kevin. 
Oh no, we already set up the San

1932
01:51:06,200 --> 01:51:08,700
Fran's losing. 
We already set up the Dallas 

1933
01:51:08,700 --> 01:51:11,100
loss. 
Okay. 

1934
01:51:11,600 --> 01:51:13,400
So that would be Arizona 
playing. 

1935
01:51:14,200 --> 01:51:18,200
Well, I can't make sense of it. 
An Arizona gets a home game in 

1936
01:51:18,200 --> 01:51:20,400
the second round. 
I mean you can really point, I 

1937
01:51:20,400 --> 01:51:22,500
mean, you complete a to lose but
all right. 

1938
01:51:22,800 --> 01:51:24,900
I don't think I guess but both 
sides of that game you could 

1939
01:51:24,900 --> 01:51:27,500
just put like Evan just want an 
excuse to play Mike Evans. 

1940
01:51:27,500 --> 01:51:31,100
You were yeah. 
You just wanted to like he had 

1941
01:51:31,100 --> 01:51:33,200
the player and he was trying to 
back in the line. 

1942
01:51:38,900 --> 01:51:44,300
I think the idea of playing 
people here because then you get

1943
01:51:44,700 --> 01:51:46,900
that extra out because we 
already have San Francisco. 

1944
01:51:46,900 --> 01:51:48,400
Winning. 
That's great. 

1945
01:51:48,400 --> 01:51:50,200
Pat, it's not your fucking pig, 
was it? 

1946
01:51:50,900 --> 01:51:56,000
It's weird. 
Who's pick is it? 

1947
01:52:01,500 --> 01:52:14,200
I'm trying. 
With Dallas Goddard. 

1948
01:52:17,800 --> 01:52:30,700
Anymore. 
Yeah, we're gonna have a good 

1949
01:52:30,700 --> 01:52:37,100
time. 
Entering our Lighthouse, making 

1950
01:52:37,100 --> 01:52:39,000
them is going to be the hard 
part. 

1951
01:52:39,900 --> 01:52:42,100
All right to reconfigure 
underestimated. 

1952
01:52:42,100 --> 01:52:45,100
How long it's going to take us 
to actually put them in after we

1953
01:52:45,100 --> 01:52:48,600
make? 
All right, so tomorrow, tomorrow

1954
01:52:50,600 --> 01:52:53,900
tomorrow. 
I want to be very clear on the 

1955
01:52:53,900 --> 01:52:57,800
play that I recommended that. 
You guys all know wave, I feel 

1956
01:52:57,800 --> 01:53:01,100
like it's Mike Evans. 
I feel like based on Leone's 

1957
01:53:01,100 --> 01:53:04,600
conversation based on Pat 
leaning towards my Kevin State, 

1958
01:53:04,600 --> 01:53:08,000
I feel like Mike Evans is this 
year's Grand this, you know 

1959
01:53:08,000 --> 01:53:10,400
think you know, we're definitely
up at PC. 

1960
01:53:10,400 --> 01:53:12,000
It's tight and premium people 
forget. 

1961
01:53:12,000 --> 01:53:13,900
Yeah, yeah. 
Yeah. 

1962
01:53:30,300 --> 01:53:34,000
So to recap the lineup we built 
quarterback, Kyler Marie, Josh 

1963
01:53:34,000 --> 01:53:37,700
Jacobs Derrick Henry at running 
back wide receivers, Tyree kill 

1964
01:53:37,700 --> 01:53:40,100
Stefon Diggs Mike Evans Davante 
Adams T. 

1965
01:53:40,100 --> 01:53:41,900
Higgins tight ends Dallas 
ghadir. 

1966
01:53:42,000 --> 01:53:45,200
George Kittle Alpha play mat gay
at placekicker. 

1967
01:53:45,200 --> 01:53:51,800
We only had, what was that game?
What do you mean, was he? 

1968
01:53:52,200 --> 01:53:54,700
What do you think? 
Matt gay was is terms of a, put 

1969
01:53:54,700 --> 01:54:04,500
a bull, put them in the chat and
it's like really throwing me off

1970
01:54:04,500 --> 01:54:06,100
at their name. 
Are you trying to grasp all 

1971
01:54:06,100 --> 01:54:07,200
scream? 
He's drunk. 

1972
01:54:14,000 --> 01:54:19,900
They started with Kyler Murray 
which Alpha Play Just Gonna Be 

1973
01:54:19,900 --> 01:54:23,100
scrambling all over the field 
running left and right running 

1974
01:54:23,100 --> 01:54:27,200
through the NFC wild, we gotta 
get them set up and we gotta 

1975
01:54:27,200 --> 01:54:29,500
beat the Rams to do it. 
So you know what? 

1976
01:54:29,500 --> 01:54:32,500
Cooper cup biggest beta play out
there. 

1977
01:54:32,600 --> 01:54:36,500
All you losers afraid to fade on
90 percenter with half a mil up 

1978
01:54:36,500 --> 01:54:39,200
top. 
So we come in with Mac gate, 

1979
01:54:40,100 --> 01:54:41,200
Alpha play