As we put Week 13 in the books, we are now well and truly past
Cope season. We're into the homestretch of
the fantasy season. Next week we'll decide which
teams move on to the Fantasy play offs.
We'll take you through all the players that we think are the
most exciting to have on your teams as you head into the play
offs and more on stat chasing Pat Fryer, Helmo Anita hand job.
Fix your sight. Jamar Alpha, play Chase.
You can't handle the heat. It looks like we're fine with
this, boys. You're right.
Good evening, Draco. Man, the season really flies by.
I mean, I feel like. Just the year flies by.
I kind of believe it's already December.
No, yeah. I mean, just like just a week
ago, it feels like we were coping that maybe all these
running backs that were off to hot starts, we're going to slow
down. And you know, age is.
Going to happen if anything, they they, they speed it up,
they speed. No, yeah.
I mean, in in the first couple weeks, we didn't realize that we
were being lowered into the grave and they've just been
covering us with dirt for the past few weeks.
So. This week they started actually
dancing on top of the the the the the completely packed and
freshly laid gravesite. Yeah, yeah, we're, we're almost
to that point. But you know, there, there are
some glimmers of hope for for people that subscribe to the way
that we draft basketball teams. You know, there, there are some
things coming on here down the stretch where you, you do have a
reason to think maybe you know one of the teams of my 10%
advance rate. Right.
What, what, what? What has been particularly
brutal is is the low scores overall while Saquon and and
other running backs put up big scores.
So it's but I think it's not just that they're putting up big
scores, it's also that lots of the other score scoring is down.
Right. Yeah.
Like wide wide receiver scoring has just been like a little
muted. I mean, a big part of that is
when you look across like the top receivers of the league, the
guys who have led in scoring over the last few seasons, like
CD Lamb dealing with multiple injuries, doesn't have a
quarterback right now. Justin Jefferson, not in the
worst situation of all the elite wide receivers, but he does have
Sam Darnold as his quarterback. So it's certainly not the best
situation he's been in in his career.
You know, Tyree kill, apparently the guys wrist is just fully
detached from his arm. You know, there's no ligament
even really holding it on. It's just a it's a sock of meat
that's on the end of his arm. He's just trying to catch the
ball at one hand that every time.
Yeah, basically. I mean, like almond raw has been
pretty good. Really With almond raw, though,
it's like because I was, I was talking to some people about
like how I felt like almond raw was like a little disappointing
with where you drafted him. He's got a well above average
advance rate, but it's, it's really coming more through like
the absolute consistency, the floor.
Like when I, when I do the Sortino ratio stuff for this
year, like he's gonna be a Sortino ratio monster.
The guy just, you know, never, never has a down game.
He never busts. He's always having, you know, an
average to above average game. And so he's not, he's had like 2
legitimate spike weeks and other than that been a little
disappointing. And then A.J.
Brown, who looks fantastic while he's out there, or I should say
while they're passing, is on the team that is now throwing less
than the Steelers. Like so there's just like all
these round one receivers and I mean like even you get into puka
like guy missed half the season with injury.
So you have all of these, you know, receivers who should be
our top. Let me, yeah, let me read you
the the top five receivers by points per game.
So Jamar Chase and PBR 22.7. Rashi Rice 21.6.
Stop. Chris Godwin 19.7.
Nico Collins 19.5 T Higgins 18.4 Cooper Cup 18.2.
So that's like six or five of the top six top scoring per game
have missed all missed significant time, like
significant time. That's it, that that.
That's a pretty rough way for the receiver season to go.
Hey, do you remember when people said you shouldn't draft Jamar
Chase and T Higgins together on basketball teams because there's
no way they could both get there?
And you're you're really going to hurt your ceiling in the
playoff weeks? I remember that.
I yeah, I remember that too. And anyway, we we should
probably get to the the the the stats.
Yeah. So we'll dive into the
quarterback chart here. If you're, if you're new here,
welcome. Thank you for joining us in Week
13. Our quarterback chart on the X
axis is displaying the expected fantasy points from passing.
This is really just a volume metric.
It's showing you, you know, how much are these teams actually
throwing. And then the Y axis is our
adjusted yards per attempt. That's an efficiency metric.
It's letting you know how efficient these passers are
being with their opportunity. Obviously, higher is better
here. And then the size of the data
point for each of the quarterbacks is indicating how
many rushing yards on average they are running for in a game.
And we've got the handy reference bubble in the bottom
right corner that shows what 100 rushing yards per game would
look like. I think that's the first time I
introduced the QB chart, Rico. I think that is.
So I normally refer to them as the horizontal and and vertical
axis because I always forget which axis corresponds to X and
which is Y. So I'm just going to remember
now that the 1X on the bottom, that's the, that's the, that's
the X axis. There you go.
That's that's the little hint that I left in there for you.
I, I kind of wanted to start with, I, I want to frame this
stuff around the fantasy playoffs as we're approaching.
And so I wanted to start with a question of which three
quarterbacks are you most excited to see on your
basketball rosters right now? When you scroll through all of
our FFPC teams with hilarious names, might I add, many of
which are not advancing on the few that are advancing when you
open them up, what quarterbacks do you want to see there?
So you want to see Joe Burrow, you want to see Lamar and I know
you had it and a third one and that's so good to you.
I can't quite recall it. Those are the, I mean, I guess
the other one that you you're pumped about is that Bonex given
the price like you're pretty pumped to bring in Bonex and QB
to the playoffs. You're pre you'd be pretty happy
with a Baker Mayfield team. I yeah, both of those.
Are pretty. I think those, I think those are
the big ones. The other one I'm I'm interested
in is Justin Herbert. I just I think that, you know,
you've seen now more rushing upside with him and they've
shown the ability to have the spike games.
And again, he was pretty cheap, not quite as cheap as Baker.
But I mean, for all intents and purposes, this is something I,
I've been talking about with the, I think the thing that we
and and and I talked about this extensively this last season,
like the difference in actual cost, what you're paying for a
player becomes almost nothing in the later rounds.
Like the difference between round 13 and round 15 is very,
very little. Difference between round 14 and
round 18 is very, very little. And so sure was, you know,
Justin Herbert a little bit more expensive than Baker Mayfield.
Yeah. But like the opportunity cost
was nothing. You know, you're like, oh, no, I
missed out on a Jalen Wright. You know, like you're not you're
not actually giving anything up in the moment.
It feels like you're giving something up to take the earlier
quarterback compared to the later one, but it's really not
anything. And so I I think we need to do
better at I I'll, I'll speak for myself.
I need to do better still at kind of decoupling ADP from the
cost of a player. Once you get past really like
once you're past like the 10th, 12th round, like it's just not a
thing anymore. Like you're, you're better off
just removing ADP from your app and not even looking at it.
It's really only just like a it, it gives you some hint as to
what order your opponents might take the player in.
It shouldn't do anything as far as like your actual assessment
of like how good a player is. So that all all to say, like any
of these kind of later pocket passers that are hitting and and
Bonex and Herbert do have the rushing upside.
Baker even has has shown some rushing upside.
But I agree with you all of those guys.
I'm pretty happy to see him on my teams, and I certainly agree
with you on Lamar and Burrow. Just just I know we have this
comment from Don about Bo Nicks not rushing at all that that's
actually true. His his his rushing yardage is
expecting rushing yardage is expecting rushing TDs have all
plummeted in the last month. I will note that his expected
points from passing at 14 1/2, that's still that's still pretty
good. So that's in the last four, just
a four week rolling average there and that's still pretty
good. So like a starting and fairly
efficient pocket passer at Bonex price is still really good.
And I I don't think that upside has has has just like left like
you could still see a game where he has a rushing attempt.
So he just, it doesn't seem like he needs to to get going
anymore. Yeah.
I also think that just with the back injury he's been dealing
with that that's kind of, you know, I, I think that's tamp
down his desire to run. He's probably a little bit more
tentative as a runner. Injured from carrying the team
on his back. Yeah, I mean, very much so.
So I don't wanna, I'm not gonna say like Bo Nix's rushing upside
is now entirely gone. I think it's reasonable to say
that it's we should adjust diminished.
Yeah, it is diminished and we should adjust what we're
expecting from that. But would I be terribly
surprised if in Week 17, Bonex rushes for 50 yards because he's
finally healthy and and they need that to win the game?
No, I wouldn't. So but but yes reasonable to
adjust our prior for how much we would expect him to rush
basically the. UM, and I I understand, do you
know what this comment is? When 6 QBs go in the top 13
picks? Is this referring referring to?
This has got to be, yeah, this has got to be playoff
basketball, which I guess leads into our next topic here.
Well, yeah, I mean, I guess you're not.
You're not really left with that many QBs after that, are you?
Yeah, I don't someone, someone somewhere has Houston ranked
like highly. Just I've noticed people like
being quite willing to pass on these to, to me and, and to the
playoff odds. There are 5 quarterbacks that
are very important and it's Buffalo, Kansas City, Baltimore,
Philadelphia and Detroit. Those are the five quarterbacks
that are very, very important for playoff basketball.
And they're kind of meta defining right now where you
need to get one of those five because they represent such a
large portion of the Super Bowls.
Those five quarterbacks have the vast majority of Super Bowls.
They they represent, you know, of all the Super Bowl matchups
that could possibly happen, those five are making up a ton
of them. Houston does not make up that
many Super Bowl matchups. I'll, I'll pull up our, our
playoff SIM results here really quick just because I think this
is important. I I've seen a lot of people
doing this and I think it's quite bad.
People will. So I'm seeing here that they're
8% to make the the Super Bowl based on ESPN.
I don't know how good ESPN data is.
The ESPN model when we checked it is, is pretty decent.
We've got Houston as just about 14 1/2 percent to make the
conference championship and I would assume that they are
probably a dog against whoever they would face.
Also, we have some more updates that they just take a little in
our in our SIM. We're using the actual results
of the games, and then we're also adjusting the strength of
the teams based on what has happened.
Those adjustments take a little longer.
The schedule results are in. So we already have the results
of the week 13 games in the SIM, and we're seeing about 14 1/2%
of the time Houston makes the conference championship.
They're very likely a dog against whoever they would face
in the conference championship. So they're probably less than
50%. So yeah, I would say they're
probably somewhere around 7, you know, sub 7% to make the Super
Bowl. The thing that I think is quite
bad in playoff basketball right now that I see a lot of people
doing, people that I typically would assume would know better
just 'cause they're like, they're people that are in the
streets often they're like intentionally passing on one of
these top five quarterbacks to load up on strong skill position
players on high playoff probability teams.
And then they're taking Houston as their back stack option.
Don't get it wrong, I I'm not saying you can never draft
Houston, but for me that is a backup option that is like, Oh
no, the room forced me into Houston as my primary Super Bowl
team. It's OK, I'm not dead, but I
don't want to do this very often.
And I see people that are setting out to do it in damn
near every draft. I think you're punting if you're
doing that. And, and I'm just gonna be very
blunt when I talk about playoff basketball, 'cause I feel pretty
strongly that I have a good enough understanding of the game
to say what is punting and what is not.
And so if I'm saying something or, you know, it's, it's
offensive to you, 'cause I'm saying something you're doing is
punting or it's bad. It is not meant as an attack on
your character. It is meant to help you plug a
leak. Because I assume if you were
watching stat chasing in Week 13, you're either sick or you
care about being good at fantasy football.
And so if I'm telling you that something is bad, I'm doing it
to try and help you. So it's it's not a, it's not an
attack. I'm not saying you're a bad
person, but I will tell you straight up if something is bad.
So I'm, I'm going to play a little bit of maybe just a
little bit of of devil's I've got here and I'm looking at
playoffstatus.com. And so they have, they have for
the AFC side, they have the Chiefs and, and 42%, they have
the Bills 28% and and I, I and then the Steelers 11%, the
Ravens 6% on on the playoff probabilities.
I guess the question is like these odds seem to make it seem
like it's, it's like it's a slam dunk that the, that the Super
Bowl, sorry, there, there's a Super Bowl probability that the
Super Bowl is basically either going to be the Chiefs or the
Bills. Yeah, I well, number one, I
don't. Think that feels a little
overconfident? I don't think that's a
particularly good source and we'll we'll have AII would not
trust the quality of the outputs there.
Not to not to shit on anyone's work, but we're going to put up
our SIM results on leg up here. We're we're working on getting
an app page up so you can sort and filter by the different
teams and see all the matchups and things like that.
So we'll have that up on legendary upside.
So you can go and see the source of the playoff SIM results that
are powering the sidekick. You do not need to be a sidekick
to your subscriber to see those SIM results.
We'll have those up. I believe it's going to be
behind the paywall though for members.
So you do need the base level leg up subscription to see it,
but you don't need a sidekick to your subscription.
But yeah, I, I feel quite confident that our our playoffs
end is pretty good. Like our numbers are going to be
very reasonable. And so anything that's diverging
from that substantial? So I guess the question, so the
question then becomes at least on the AFC side, what it, what
I'm inferring from what you're telling me is that it, it goes
Chiefs, Bills and Ravens and Steelers.
And, and if you're, if you're not if like on the AFC side, if
you don't get one of them, you're, you're, you're basically
you're, you're done. I would, if you are playing for
one of the AFC teams to have your quarterback, you pretty
strongly prefer it to be Bills, Chiefs or Ravens.
All of those are above a 40% chance of making the conference
championship. And when we when we talk about
playoff best ball, we typically refer to conference championship
appearance odds rather than Super Bowl odds because that's
actually what we're. It is easier to play the game
just from like a mental framework optimizing for you,
maximizing the points you score in the conference championship.
And that is very heavily correlated to maximizing the
number of points that you would score in a Super Bowl in the
given Super Bowl scenarios that can play out.
And that's, that's just I. I've written extensively about
this and why that is the correct way to play the game.
That article is up on legendary upside.
I'm not going to rehash all of the game theory behind that, but
framing things in conference championship odds is, in my
opinion, a a better way to do it when talking about playoff
basketball. So that's that's kind of how
I'll I'll discuss it. But these teams?
And so, so I, I guess just to just to bring us back to Q BS,
I, I know we got a question on the Steelers and QB Russell
Wilson and, and to lead that. So the I think the reason this
site has the Ravens so low on on the conference championship on
the playoffs is that they're currently in a wild card seed
because the Steelers have like the better record right right
now. And so with the Steelers being a
non wild card team and what likely four or five seed and
four, three or four seed. And then I guess does that make,
does that make Russell Wilson a compelling?
Pick. Yeah, I, I wrote in the show
notes and I knew, I knew that Sam Sherman would love this, but
I am drafting Russell Wilson in playoff basketball.
The Steelers right now are one of the most mispriced teams.
You can get George Pickens. You can get Najee Harris, Jalen
Warren, Russell Wilson, all very, very cheaply.
The only one that is at all contested typically is George
Pickens. He will sometimes get taken by
people as a one off. But the Steelers are actually
higher probability of making the conference championship than the
Texans. And yet people are just piling
into the Texans like it's, you know, God's gift to playoff best
ball. Like they think they've found
the skeleton key. And meanwhile, they're sitting
over here just letting the Steelers go, you know,
completely free. I, I typically prefer to not try
and play the Steelers as my primary Super Bowl team.
Obviously there are circumstances where the room
just forces you into that and, and that's the way you've got to
go to build a live team. But they're, I think they're a
pretty fantastic team to play to help you advance bye week teams.
Like if you're playing the Lions, I've got a lot of Lions
Chargers teams, I've got a lot of Lions Texans teams, right
where I'm trying to use these. Texans teams, you said you have
a lot of lions I but you just shit shit on people for right.
For for taking it because people are doing it without a another
quarterback. They're doing it where CJ Stroud
is their quarterback. They're they're playing Texans.
It's Go. To the Super Bowl, It's a single
CJ Stroud team. Correct.
Yeah, using using the Texans to advance a bye we team is
entirely different than playing it like the Texans are going to
the Super Bowl, right? Because number one, you're more
than cutting the probability of them going to the Super Bowl in
half because they're going to be a dog in the conference
championship game and they're only making the conference
championship about 14 1/2% of the time.
I would expect that number goes down after we do the strength of
the team strength adjustments simply because they did not beat
Jacksonville with Mac Jones by any kind of convincing margin.
Right? Like, so I, I don't think the
Texans are going to look particularly strong as far as
like the the overall strength of teams relative to each other in
the NFL. But what I'm, what I'm saying is
the Texans and Chargers are both very popular ways to try and
advance these bye week teams, but the Steelers are much less
popular. They're becoming in vogue
recently. Like I, I talked about it this
morning on a podcast I did or a stream I did with Davis Matic on
his YouTube channel. And I noticed a lot more people
taking Pittsburgh this morning than they're they had been
previously. So it I think it's starting.
People are starting to come around on it, but Pittsburgh is
still certainly too cheap. Russ is in fact a a decent pick
in playoff basketball. It doesn't change my opinion
that he is just absolutely sun running on efficiency.
Although I will, as someone who tries to be an unbiased analyst,
say that he had a particularly good game against the Bengals.
It was different than the normal Russell Wilson games.
Weirdly. Like the normal Russell Wilson
good games are like he's chucking deep balls and they're
just all getting there and you're like how?
How is this guy running so pure? There was a lot more underneath
stuff against the Bengals, which was surprising to me that that
was how they chose to attack the Bengals.
Lot of lot of underneath passing got Friar Youth going more
Pickens touchdown actually came on a screen pass.
So like they were they were doing more stuff that was
underneath. It was it was definitely
different than how Russell Wilson has typically.
They also had an A + 11% pass rate over expected.
Yeah. I mean, I think that.
That that makes me think that maybe the Bengals are like a
yeah, a a defensive target. Oh, absolutely.
The Bengals are are probably one of the best fantasy matchups you
can get, not only because of how poor to their defense is, but
because of how pass heavy they are.
And, and I actually was talking about this with Korain.
We were talking about how the Steelers, the worst thing that
can happen for the Steelers in the playoffs, we were talking
about it in the context of playoff bestball, is they run
into a team like the Ravens or they run into a team like the
Texans, where these teams are happy to run the ball right?
Both, both sides are happy to run.
And then I feel like that is the Steelers, you know, secret
kryptonite. You don't actually want as a,
you know, someone who's a Steeler's backer, you don't want
them to run into a match up where both sides are gonna be
content running the ball. It's actually a lot worse for
the Steelers. You really want them to get in a
situation where they're forced to throw because they're
breaking tendency to go pass heavy.
They're still gonna run. But so much of what the Steelers
do is they're having success through this play action where
they're they're play actioning. Teams are expecting them to run.
Russ is taking these deep shots and they're super efficient at
it. And So what you want is you want
a game where they're forced to throw a little more because I
don't even think NFL teams believe the Steelers want to
throw even when they're in circumstances where they should
be throwing it. It's catching them by surprise.
And so that I think your, your ideal scenario is you want the
Steelers to face a pass happy team in the playoffs.
If you're using them to get through week 1, they're like,
oh, please don't put me against the Ravens where both teams are
just happy to pound the ball into each other's faces or
something like give me, give me someone that's going to be pass
happy here. So.
So just the other, I think the other angle we can talk about
with with quarterbacks is so this is the last week for, for
waivers in FFPC and it's only teams that made the regular
season playoffs that can make waiver pickups.
But it's, it's the last week. So there's some pretty big, I
think considerations for a select few teams and that made
it and and don't have like a Josh Allen or Lamar or something
like that as to what to do with your QB 2 and QB 3 and 11
player. That I think is pretty
interesting is that is Jim is just because you do, I guess
when you're when you're doing these projections, you do have
that kind of nice. Where?
Where is he on the art chart here for expected points?
He. Is I guess he's only at 12
expected points from passing and which that's the I I, I'm I'm a
little surprised by that. And but he does he does drop
Cincinnati week 17. Oh man, they they get the
Steelers next week or this week, which isn't great.
The Chiefs. And but those are I, I think
those are like fine matchups where like the Browns are going
to the Browns want to push it. Those are teams that that will
probably push the Browns and then finishing up with against
the Bengals Week 17. I I think that's a pretty
strong, yeah, pretty strong pick up.
Oh, that's, I mean, that's a great call, Draco, I think.
I mean, Jameis Winston for all the money in week 17 sounds like
one of the most fun fantasy football experiences, I imagine.
I mean, 'cause you, you just have like Jameis is gonna Jamis,
you know, like could he go out there and throw 3 interceptions
at only 120 yards? Absolutely.
But he also could go out there and throw 500 yards, 4
touchdowns and three picks like he did that game against the.
Bronx, it's probably an issue with with my data charting and
how I did it. I'm getting Jim is at about 15.3
expected points from passing. It might, it might be that he
came in in relief in a couple games and we're.
OK, right, right. It it also because.
I see in the chat Nick said Broncos get the Bengals Week 17.
So unfortunately we were, we were wrong about yeah, who who
are who did the Browns play? I I barely remember.
Oh, oh, oh, It's Week 16 that they play in, which is still
important. Yeah, yeah.
In the shootout, the Browns. The Browns get the Dolphins.
Could it could still be fun? That's so Chiefs, Bengals,
Dolphins is a pretty good fantasy schedule.
Yeah, definitely could still be fun.
Like for for shootout purposes, week 16 is just as important as
week 17. Yeah.
That's pretty FFC. So good at good.
Good call, Nick. I think those are those are all
the quarterback notes I think we had.
Do you want to move on to RV or is there anyone?
I, I guess the only question I'd have then is there is there
anybody else on the on the NFC side that that is worth
mentioning? And I know Tink, so maybe Jordan
Love. Oh, I mean, the cat's all the
way out of the bag on Jordan Love.
He's he's Packers. Packers are too cheap.
I mean, the really too, the NFC is so juicy right now because
you have Detroit and Philly that are both so strong, but you get
Green Bay in Minnesota. They're they're both also mortal
locks for the playoffs, right? They're it's basically a certain
thing that they're getting in and their conference
championship odds are both pretty strong as well.
They're both, you know, right around 30%.
Minnesota's closer to 25%. Green Bay's about 29%.
But like, for their cost, it's quite good.
Like they are very cheap in playoff basketball.
So I mean, dude, there there are drafts where Justin Jefferson
will go in like the seventh round or something, which is
absolutely wild because just last year Justin Jefferson would
go in the first or second round and the Vikings were an
absolutely terrible playoff best ball team.
Like picking Vikings was atrocious last year and people
were slamming Justin Jefferson. This year, Justin Jefferson goes
so much later, I don't know who to blame about the whole field
getting better at playoff best ball.
Right. What?
What content site is that? Yeah, is doing this.
We're all trying to find the guy who did this.
And but yeah, let's let's move on from, from quarterback here
and I will zoom out. I I I blame Zach for the for the
the non uniformity of the of the page sizes.
My apologies, I'll never change. So this is our running back
snaps and usage chart, which is we've got our starters here,
which is like basically above 40% of this of their team's
offensive plays in the last four games.
Have them have them with above actually both 40% routes and
rush attempts on their on their their team snaps.
And so I guess the, the one that that is most interesting to me
to talk about that most kind of subject to change here is that
Chuba Hubbard. So I get, I guess he's up the
top here. But then when I looked at and
apologies, I don't have this right now.
And but when I looked at the when I looked at the game log
and for the Panthers, I think Jon and Brooks actually like had
almost as many touches as as as Tuba Hubbard did.
Yeah, I believe he also had three targets.
Wanna say he he out? Yeah, tuba as well.
And yeah, Tuba had no targets and, and, and Brooks had had all
of them. Very, very limited work.
You know, we're we're not dealing with a large sample for
Jonathan Brooks yet, but the little bit that I got to see, he
looked good. Like sure looked as advertised.
You know, now the problem is what you're, I mean like I'm
holding onto a little hope as a guy who drafted a decent amount
of Jonathan Brooks and I believe I'm advancing a couple Jonathan
Brooks teams. Now remember that I drafted over
2000 basketball teams. So like just by, you know, sheer
attrition, there's gonna be a Brooks team in there somewhere.
I'm holding out a little hope that like in weeks 17 and 18 and
like to be crystal clear, I don't even think I'm getting
anything usable in weeks 1415 or 16.
I'm saying weeks 17 and 18, the Panthers are truly like hanging
it up for the season. We're resting all the vets.
We're not trying to get anyone injured.
We know what we've got here. Let's see what we've got in the
young guys. Maybe then you get like a 60%
Brooks snapshare or something, 65% Brooks snapshare, and he
gets a decent amount of work and we just get there on some
extreme efficiency because, you know, there's a pretty wide
range of outcomes with the guy we barely seen play in the NFL
snaps. So when I when I look at the
snaps here, so even even last week when when Brooks out
touched them, Chubu was still ahead, but he's now down to just
a 59% and snapshare. And so that's to me that's
pretty telling. He he did run routes.
He had like 42% of of the team players he was running around.
Let me see what that is. Let me see how many actual
routes. So he had 12 routes or 30
routes. And then, and I'm wrong on the
touches, he had 12 pass attempts and then Brooks had 6 or so.
He had 12 rush attempts. Brooks had 6 rush attempts and
then and the tree targets. So it was 9:00 to 12:00.
And I guess what I'm kind of getting here is that the tuba
workhorse season is kind of over.
Yeah, I agree with you there. And and man, what a run it was
though. Like if you drafted Chuba in
basketball, hats off to you. Like round of applause.
I think there are we've, we've talked about like what we think
was a process mistake or what was good process.
On I think he's still, and I think he's still a helpful pick.
Oh my God, in the playoffs. Pick 00 in the playoffs.
So it I mean, if he's going to maintain a 60% snap share and
like, I don't want to read too much into him not getting any
targets only had 30 routes. Will Brooks only had six.
Like obviously we should expect Brooks to continue to eat into
that. But if he's still going to be
like the lead back, that's still like helpful you just like
you're saying you need you need efficiency.
It's just it's different. It's it's so much different what
it was right. But I, I do, I want to touch on
this really briefly because like I'll, I people do not want to
hear that fading. I, I think Saquon Barkley, like
fading Saquon Barkley at his cost was not terrible process in
in hindsight, I think the thing that I got wrong was I thought
that the tail outcome happened at a lower frequency than it
actually did. And we're, we're also living in
one of the like, we're definitely living in like a 95th
percentile outcome. And, and if anyone tries to tell
me different, like if you thought that this guy was
potentially setting the single season rushing record like
greater than 5% of the time, you should be rich beyond your
wildest dreams with how much money you slammed in on props
this offseason, like on futures markets.
But I I digress. The the Saquon 1, I, I think
that one I, I'm going to sleep OK about the tuba one I think is
the one where it wasn't even a tail outcome for him to be this
like advanced rate monster that trails off at the end of the
season. But I, I think we were just so
squarely focused on, oh, but you lose the, the back end
production and that's all that matters.
And it is. It's the most important thing.
But we're just talking about how like it's not going to go to 0
like, for example, Chuba Hubbard or Taje Spears down the stretch.
Oh yeah, Chuba. Great.
Yeah. So it's like Chuba's not he
didn't evaporate from your water like.
Still like it's like given the cost that you paid them, if you
get like 12 points or 15 points in your flex from Chuba, like
that's super helpful. Yep.
So, so yeah, I think the flaw with Chuba was understanding how
the range was going to shift over the course of the season,
but then being way too confident in that specific outcome and and
not assigning enough value to, you know, just the floor saying,
saying the floor was not zero with Chuba, even with Brooks,
you know, coming on and taking the work.
So I think that's honestly, I think that's one of my biggest
process flaws. I think the Chuba Hubbard range
of outcomes was something that I grossly messed up.
So that's one where I want to want to remember that for next
season, adjust the process a little bit there, have some fun
offseason project ideas that I'm going to work on to try and help
myself out with getting getting a more realistic range of
outcomes. It's kind of like a a way to
frame my player evaluation in the offseason.
But OK, I I do need to talk about another running back And,
and actually, both these running backs don't exist on this chart
anymore. And they're the reason that
Chuba is all the way up at the top by his lonesome.
But CMC was up there with Chuba before he suffered a seasoning
PCL injury and Jordan Mason also suffered a season ending high
ankle sprain. It's putting him on IR Draco.
I had a 555 best ball team with Christian McCaffrey that I was
advancing. How was I advancing a Christian
McCaffrey 555 team, you ask? It's 'cause the rest of the team
was really fucking good. I had Brock Bowers on it, I had
Taysom Hill think I had Joe Burrow on it.
I like Mike Evans. It was, it was absolutely
cooking with gas. The team was incredible.
And I was getting CMC back just in time for the playoffs.
Might have been one of, you know, a a dozen CMC teams, maybe
even less than that in the 555 'cause that's a pretty small
tournament. And so I'm just sitting here so
excited to get this team through like one of the the teams I'm
most excited for. And I also slammed the ever
loving shit out of CMC. On that snow game, I think he
was in 90% of my line UPS on Showdown that night.
He's looking incredible. He's gashing them.
He looks unstoppable. He's vintage CMC.
Not only does he look good, but my line UPS, I, I'm, I'm
crushing Showdown, I'm like, I'm all over it.
I'm, I'm in the top 1% with a bunch of line UPS.
I'm looking live to ship it. He breaks that long run and he
is literally an ankle tackle away from a touchdown.
And on that ankle tackle, he tears his PCL.
And so all of a sudden, my 555 basketball team up in smoke, my
incredible showdown sweat where I'm like poised to bink seems up
in smoke. But I take solace in the fact
that it's OK because I actually have a couple 555 teams with
Jordan Mason that are are going to advance.
And now those look fantastic too.
It's like, you know what, you know, when God shuts a a door,
he he opens a window. And, and I thought that was how
it was going to be for Jordan Mason.
And that window was just to smash your Dick in.
It slammed shut, absolutely slammed closed on my pecker.
And, and you know what makes matters worse?
Jordan Mason, who did leave the game with the high ankle sprain,
scored 1.1 fantasy points 1 yard to pit me out of first place on
the showdown slate. I literally had the bink if
Jordan Mason gets 1 less yard. So it was you you want to talk
about like the opposite of sun running, like losing multiple
high stakes basketball teams that looked like they were in
incredible positions in rapid succession to losing a flagship
showdown bank to the Jordan Mason and CMC scenario.
I mean, I had to share that with everyone.
I was bitching in the discord too.
So if you're in there, sorry you had to hear this twice, but but
quite possibly like some of the worst run bat I've experienced
in fantasy football, not just like the individual events,
sure, they happen, but just for all of that to go back-to-back
to back, like, Oh my God. All right, rant rant.
Over frustrated. You're you're that's frustrating
and you're, you're frustrated. I mean, I'm all, all you can do
now is laugh at it. It honestly is just funny so.
I I guess then is there anybody, is there anybody on this chart
who you think is like particularly like underpriced or
mispriced in, in playoff basketball?
Like I I get that they're, they're known commodities, but
yeah, take it away. Yeah, it's, it's Najee Harris,
man. The the other.
Here's the other medicine we got to take Now, I'm going to be
crystal clear on this one. The Jalen Warren process was
solid process. We did run pretty bad on the
fact that he was injured to start the season and that really
let Naji maintain a firm stranglehold on the job because
Warren was depleted through much of the early season.
He looks fine now, but they just, they love them.
So Naji Harris and guys, I'm telling you it, it's, it's time
to just lean into their Naji love for playoff bestball.
I'm not saying you can't draft Jalen Warren in playoff
bestball. I think they're both totally
fine picks. I definitely prefer Naji to
Warren cuz really what what you're actually looking for in
playoff bestball sealing matters so much less in the format.
You're just looking for points. You're looking for points that
are happening in later rounds. And so if the Steelers can win
one playoff game and Naji can get 18 carries for 60 yards in a
touchdown like in the second round of the playoffs, that's
fantastic for you. So Naji is way too cheap right
now. Warren is is cheap.
He should definitely be cheaper than Naji.
His contingent upside is pretty good, but you also have to
remember that like they're probably going to use Cordero
Patterson if something actually happens to Naji.
But. I mean, they're they're pretty.
And if you just take the last four games, they're they're not
close, but they're not really close, but they're kind of
close. Like Naji with 16 1/2 expected
points a game and Jaylen Warren 11 1/2.
Like, yeah, like Naji is better. And but that's closer with with
how dynamic NFL teams can be, That's closer to a conflict,
right? And.
But Nazi's a great, great playoff basketball pick right
now. Yeah.
Just running back that's guaranteed to play in the first
round and has an extremely safe floor.
Like, that's a dream. That's an absolute dream.
Like he, he's just going to get so much work like, and, and it
can be ugly and it can be bad and, and it probably doesn't
matter, you know, a lot of the time.
Like the what? About like Josh Jacobs cat's.
Out of the bag, Yeah, Cat's out of the bag on Jacobs.
He. I mean, get it, get him while
the getting's good. One of the I'll just blow my own
shit up right now. One of the things that is my
favorite ways to play this right now is when Josh Allen So I'm
I'm playing the Bills and Chiefs buy situation is particularly
fluid. Some drafts I'm treating it is
so the chiefs get the buy. Some drafts I'm treating it is
so the Bills get the buy because of the the five quarterback
dynamic that we talked about at the top of the show where
there's there are those big 5 that represent the vast majority
of Super Bowl outcomes. I want one of those five
quarterbacks since there are six teams in the draft drafting from
the 101 and not taking a quarterback with your first pick
is particularly dangerous because you're you're praying
someone in the room must make a mistake for a quarterback to get
back to you, right? Like.
From. If if people in the room were
playing optimally, you would never get a quarterback back if
you didn't take one at the one O 1.
But occasionally that does happen.
So you have two choices from the One O 1.
You can swing from the fences or swing for the fences and take a
Lions player, take Almond Raw, take Jamir Gibbs and just say I
hope a quarterback gets back to me.
That's viable because now I'm building a super team.
I'm building something that's really hard to get right and it
it shouldn't be available for long because people should
figure out this five quarterback meta, partly because I'm going
to talk about it on like every show that I do for the next few
weeks. But the alternative to swing for
the fences and risking that you end up having to do a Texans
team or you have to do a Vikings or a Packers right with with
this Lions play that you've taken, which is not my favorite
way to to build around a Lions player.
It's not you can't you know it it's OK you can do it sometimes.
I just don't want to do it very often.
But the safer way is you take Josh Allen one O 1 because none
of the Bills pieces are expensive.
You typically get James Cook back.
James Cook will sometimes go a little earlier.
The the quarterback and running back metas are a little dynamic.
They'll they'll shift where in some rooms the running backs
will all go earlier and the quarterbacks will slide.
And that typically is a phenomenon of when someone takes
Josh Allen in the one O 1, the running backs will go hotter
than not. And when someone takes non
quarterback one O 1, the quarterbacks typically go hot.
I think the field will figure out how they're supposed to play
it. Right now they're fucking that
up occasionally. But taking Josh Allen one O 1 is
quite safe. You have one of those
quarterbacks and then you can play it through.
Hopefully you get James Cook back.
But if you don't get James Cook, you know who's going to be
available there. You can get Josh Jacobs, you can
get Aaron Jones, and you can get all of the best weapons on both
the Packers and the Vikings. And between the two of those
teams, that makes up damn near 50% of the NFC conference
championship games. Like you cover about half the
outcomes when you get those two teams in conjunction together.
And so being able to say, hey, I'm Bill's Super Bowl and then
it's one of these underdog NFC North teams makes it to the the
Super Bowl as well. That's a pretty fun way to
draft. It's also pretty easy to advance
those teams. If you play it as Buffalo
doesn't get the buy, great. Now you can take Jordan Love or
Sam Darnold late, Super easy. Really, really good stacking
options If you play it as Buffalo or that's that's if
Buffalo does get the buy. If you play it as Buffalo
doesn't get the buy, then you're just solo Josh Allen.
You jam, you jam way more Bills when you're playing Buffalo
doesn't get the buy, you jam more Bills 'cause it's easier to
advance Buffalo. Therefore, when they make it to
the Super Bowl, you're much more likely to run into rosters with
a lot of Bills players and you want to have those blockers in
the Super Bowl. It it becomes a game where you
care about covering combinations that your opponents can field.
So Bills with buy is pretty skinny on bills like Josh Allen.
You could literally stop at Josh Allen, James Cook and just the
all Packers Vikings for the rest of your team.
If it's Bills by. If it's not Bills by, you want
to be closer to vertical bills where you're just drafting a lot
of Bills players. 34567 Bills. And and and just a clarifying
question. I'm going to guess that you're
not just spinning a wheel and to decide which one you do, it has
more to do which which players make it back.
Yeah, it's it's which players make it back to me.
The sidekick does have diversification built into it.
So for decisions that are close, we will break ties for you so
that you're not breaking the tie the same way every time.
For decisions that aren't close, we'll pick the one that is it
that we feel is the best pick. And so that's typically how I'll
handle the building the Bills from the one hole we're gonna.
This is probably like too much playoff bestball talk here, so
we'll we'll wrap. Oh, is it?
I mean, I, I feel like I'm just rambling, but we'll, we're gonna
have a show on the leg up YouTube channel later this week
where if you're into playoff bestball, 'cause I know some
people are watching this show who probably are not.
But if you're into playoff bestball, we're gonna go through
a lot more strategy stuff like that and some of the game theory
and the current landscape and, and walk you through what you
need to be successful at the format, which I will say is the
format that I believe that an an average fantasy player should
have the largest engine. All, all you need to do is learn
a little bit about the game and this should be theoretically
your most profitable format. Realizing that expected value,
just like all fantasy, is quite difficult, but theoretically
this should be the format where you have the largest edge on the
field. Makes makes sense and I'm
looking through this. I don't, I don't think, I guess,
yeah, I don't think there's anything that we need to go in
on detail and. Yeah.
What's the question? Would be Kareem Hunt seems kind
of dead for playoff. He's I think he's still good for
playoff best ball because you don't need, you don't need any
points at playoff best ball. Like 4 points might be good If
the if the Chiefs get the buy, Kareem Hunt becomes much better
because it's harder to get Chiefs into the Super Bowl.
So in it's it's like any port in the storm.
Any Chief will do. If if the Chiefs get the buy,
the Kareem Hunt's a great. Game.
So are are you basically saying he's so cheap that like 4 points
is is fine? Yep, he's he's totally free.
And the other thing is sometimes, like with the way the
running back meta goes, you just might end up totally boxed out a
running back early. And then you have really strong
pass catchers and you get some kind of middling running backs.
Like you do the Aaron Jones or you do the Joe Mixon or you do
whatever you need to advance the team.
And then you're like, when I get to the Super Bowl, it's Kareem
Hunt and he falls in the end zone and he gets me 8 total
points. And that's all I need because
it's just hard to have five active players in the Super
Bowl. The next chart does have a very
important playoff basketball player on it, though.
It actually has a couple. Obviously David Montgomery, one
of the best playoff basketball picks that there is his team.
Justice Hill. And Justice Hill is is the next
one. Yeah, unironically, Justice Hill
is an incredible playoff basketball pick.
Raven's not going to have a buy. The nice thing about Justice
Hill is that in games where the Ravens are behind, you still can
get some production out of him. I actually like taking him in
tandem with Derrick Henry. I think a lot of people are just
not used to this format and so they would think, oh, if I take
Derrick Henry, I can't take Justice Hill.
I'm betting on Derrick Henry. It's like, no, no, no, dude,
What you're actually wanting to happen here is if these guys
could ping pong weeks through playoff baseball where round one
the Ravens stomp. They just absolutely stomp a mud
hole through whoever they face in round one, right?
Round 2, it's a close game. It's back and forth.
They're trailing for a lot of the game.
Just as Hill is in there getting a lot of passing work.
Henry is, you know, nowhere to be seen for the majority of the
game because they're just in trailing game script.
And look at Justice Hill's juicy, juicy yellow bar here.
It's all routes all the time. Time baby.
And so Justice Hill, fantastic playoff basketball pick.
He is 1 where if I have any Ravens on my team and they are a
team that I am drafting for the Super Bowl, like I'm not
drafting them as like a A1 off for advancing an AFC team.
But if it's a team that I'm saying the Ravens could be
either my primary Super Bowl stack or they're a secondary
Super Bowl stack. They're they're complementing an
NFC quarterback. Justice Hill is queued up every
single draft like that's AII don't care.
I'll take Justice Hill, like almost every draft if you give
it to me and I'm playing Ravens. Makes sense, makes sense.
And I I I think we should move on from running back, hit the
the tight ends. Yeah, yeah, we can.
Just we can skip over these efficiency charts.
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, 'cause I, I feel like we've talked about a
lot of these guys already. Yeah, the only the only stuff I
had on there was just waxing poetic about how Chase Brown is
writing in like Gandalf to save my teams, and how if Chase Brown
is Gandalf, then his. Oh yeah, yeah.
I guess we, we just who, who are you excited to have in the
playoffs? We're, we're, we're, we're
pumped to have Chase Brown and we're, we're pumped to have
Bucky Irving. And I'm kind of pumped up.
Rico Dowdell. Now I'm like, I'm I'm the hope
is rekindled. At least I'm not like I'm
reserving my my expectations are low, but I'm like, oh baby, what
if I got like a few more of those Rico Dowdle games?
That would sure hit the spot. Yeah, I am.
I I, I, I've got 1 remaining live fantasy pros and team with
with Kyle and and Daniel and we've got we've got Bijan.
We've got Rico Dowdle, Drake London, George Kittle, Brock
Barris, Oh Collins, Zay Flowers and Jerry Judy.
Oh, that's a beast. That's a great team.
It's a really, really nice team. I'm hoping we we we're in the
four seed so we were second in points that I scored and so we
didn't get that, we didn't get the two seed and so we need, we
need to win this week to get in. But it's a pretty exciting team.
Yeah, yeah, that's a fun one. I mean, any team with Brock
Bowers maybe. Speaking of Brock Bowers, let's
get to the tight end charts. Yeah, Brock Bowers and George
Kittle and Soaker craft as well. My first note on this tight end
chart is there is but one tight end and his name is Brock Bowers
because there's no what? Like if we're setting the bar as
Brock, like Brock Bowers is what defines a fantasy tight end.
None of the rest of these guys are fantasy tight ends.
They're just, I don't even know what they are like.
But they're not Brock fucking Bowers, OK?
Like this guy, put him in the Hall of Fame right now.
He's so good. He's I mean, he's not even the
best tight end. He's the best football player on
the Raiders and, and I think pretty highly of Max Crosby,
like Brock Bauer's the best football player on the Raiders.
I think Max Crosby would tell you that too.
Like this guy is so good. And it's not just like that.
He's very physically talented. Raiders are giving him into
rounds, which I was very excited to see.
I I really thought they would involve him even more in that
aspect of the game. But I'm glad to see that they're
getting involved in that regard now.
But he's just so smart. He's like, I, I feel like this
guy could just teach APHD class on like how you were supposed to
play the tight end position. He looks like a receiver on shit
that he's doing too. Like he's, he's like
legitimately. Oh, he's a freak out.
He's he's turning defenders around in a way that you see
like the best wide receiver route runners turn guys around.
Like I I could talk about Brock Bowers for a long time, but I I
think you all get the gist that this guy is like, listen, if
Brock Bowers is not going as the one O 1 in FFPC next year,
permission to have 100% Brock Bowers with you Draco.
Yeah, for sure. And so I, I, I just just for a
point of reference. And I, I've heard some, some
talk of like Jonnu Smith being the tight end one.
And if I, let's say I filter down to the last that I'm going
to say the last 10 games, the, the, the last.
And let's, let's let's sort by actually not the last 10 games
since week, since week 10. So we're getting a running week
10/11/12. OK, so I guess this hasn't
pulled in week 13 yet. And if you're looking at Brock
Barry's, his points per game is 27.6 in those in that stretch
and John is at 23.4. If you want to do that from like
the start of the season, he's at 2019.96 points a game and versus
John who's at like 14.6, like maybe, maybe, maybe this doesn't
like the, the reason I'm, I'm kind of calling this out is
like, if I compare that to Trey McBride, that's 17.6 points a
game. Like talk about winning at the
tight end position. Like you were just like clubbing
opponents over the head with this guy.
Like people are excited about Zack Eert's his 12 points a
game, 12 points from a a decent hit to 20.
Like that's eight points per game you're winning and that
that's that. I guess that's enough about
Brock Bauer's. Yeah, I feel like you wrote a
very good article about how drafting double elite tight end
on FFPC was not. That was just insane.
And man, this year, if you drafted Trey McBride and Brock
Bauer, what, what do you think the advance rate is for Trey
McBride, Brock Bauer's teams on FFPC?
It's got to be like, you have to be like almost 50% or something.
So it it'll be good. The problem the problem is just
like how like else the season is.
Yeah, if if you were the kind of person who would draft Trey
McBride and Brock Bowers, I bet you didn't click Saquon.
I bet you didn't click Derrick Henry very much.
No, that's the, that's that's the.
That's kind of the problem. But man, I yeah, it it does feel
a little unfair that I just wax poetic about Brock Bowers for,
you know, 10 minutes and we didn't give Trey McBride a shout
out who's also fucking crushing. Same aid on as Brock Bowers,
basically same targets for route run over the last four weeks.
This guy is also a freak. The the problem for poor Trey
McBride is he just can't score touchdowns because quarterback
can't see him. Like Kyler is too short.
It's so frustrating. He needs to get taller.
The the other kind of scary thing for me, I mean, you wanna
you wanna talk about like I'm thinking like next year for
tight ends, like Trey McBride's situation isn't changing.
You know, like he's he's there with Kyler.
Like Kyler's the quarterback. Trey McBride's not going
anywhere. So like don't expect, I mean,
obviously he's running cold on touchdowns.
So like, you can expect some positive regression there, but I
don't think, like, I do think part of it is systemic that
like, hey, it's just going to be harder for Trey McBride to score
touchdowns just because of who his quarterback is and how they
come like not 0 touchdowns over the course of a season hard, but
like, you know, just a little harder.
And then he is, he is in terms of points, he is 21 points
underexpected on on receiving touchdowns.
Yeah, so a little over three like 3 1/2 ish touchdowns under
expected, so. Given his reception count,
that's a low expectation, right? So that's just to put a number
on kind of what you're explaining, which is that like,
hey, he's running cold, but the expected amount is also low.
Right, Yeah, thank you. That's I think that's really
helpful context there. And then to you know, for all
the concern about Trey McBride, given his situation, which like
how concerned can we really be this these guys are crushing at
the tight end position. But it's like to the thing that
I'm thinking through is like what makes Trey McBride or Brock
Bowers not just like the one O 1 in FFPC?
But like, listen, there were times when Travis Kelsey could
have been the legitimate one O one overall and half PPR just
because of the gap from him to the next player of the position.
Brock Bowers and Trey McBride are the the archetype of player
that could be the literal one O 1.
I know it sounds wild to say. I don't think either of them
will get to be the one O 1 in in half.
PPR is my framing here. Because the other exists.
So the gap from the Titan one to the Titan 2 will just not be as
large as it was when Kelsey was in his heyday and there was just
a bunch of other bums that weren't doing anything.
But like if if Brock Bowers had a good quarterback and he was
scoring. Imagine we got Brock Bowers with
Sam Laporte's 10 touchdowns from last season.
Like Ruck Bowers isn't just like the tight end one.
He's he's the overall best fantasy player.
You know, like he's like the wide receiver too or something.
You know, like guy's insane. Yeah, if if, if if he was
playing with Joe Burrow or something like that, Like it
would just be the young question one O 1 like dude.
My God, yeah. So I just made-up a scenario
that will never happen but. Yeah, I'm gonna go to sleep
thinking about that. Just what if?
What if the Raiders didn't draft Brock Bowers and he got to go to
the Bengals? I mean, because they clearly
wanted to use a tight end in the passing game too.
Like they're, they're trying so hard to make it work.
Oh, man, OK, we spend enough time talking about all these
tight ends and I think we kind of answered the question of the
three tight ends you're most excited to see on your
basketball teams, I mean, it's Trey McBride, Brock Bowers and
Jonnu Smith. I I mean, at least for me.
Is there anyone else you want to throw in as a an honorable?
Yeah, George Kittle, you're happy about True.
Yeah, a little concerning with the Brock Purdy shoulder injury
and like how much the Niners, the Niners are like closing up
shop, right? Like CMC insta IR, high ankle
sprained for Jordan Mason insta IR, right?
They put a defensive. I don't think it's in their DNA
to like, stop playing hard. I mean, they they put a
defensive tackle on IR right away after the game too.
I'm just saying like you get a George Kittle like rib.
The stuff that George Kittle would normally play through is
the kind of stuff now that the George Kittle still might want
to play. The 49ers will absolutely start
shutting guys down is my read based on what they did after
after the Buffalo loss. Like three guys immediately
going to IR and like yes, the CMC 1 is probably like IR
worthy, but. High ankle sprain for Jordan
Mason. Those are those are here.
What's that? I said I'm just reading the tea
leaves here. It see, they seem like they're
they're picking up the pieces to the board game.
They're putting things back in the box.
They're just they're getting ready to play next season.
I I, I, I I agree with what you're saying, but I, I, I do
think like, it's not like, hey, he like he, he has a Grade 1
hamstring strain straight to AIR buddy.
And it'd be more like if he had a great two hamstring string,
like he could maybe get back for week 17.
Like those are probably the things where is like the type of
injuries where he might already be out for the fantasy playoffs
anyway. Right.
Yeah. And I to be clear, I am with
you. If I open up a team and it's got
George Kittle on it, I'm excited to have him going into the
fantasy playoffs. But I'm just, I'm a little
concerned that it's gonna get to Week 16 and I'm gonna watch the
bottom drop out of my George Kittle teams.
But right. I just think that risk is
slightly higher for him than some other guys, you know?
So then I guess that then the other thing to talk about or to
think about is of these tight ends here, who am who is it who,
who, who should be like highly drafted for playoff basketball
like is is LaPorte is like he's somebody who should probably go
towards the end, right? No, no, the Lions are so #1 when
you think through the players on the Lions that could project,
think about your. Right.
He's like, he's like the fifth line, right, Which is prob,
maybe, maybe that's round 3 or 4.
Yeah, Yep, which is right. It's right about where he goes
like the 3-4 turn and and yes, like just think through it as
I'm doing projections for the Super Bowl, which players am I
projecting? And it's like LaPorte is kind of
the last stop before you get into the really gross guys.
You're getting down to like Tim Patrick, you know, or like
you're, you're hoping that Khalif Raymond is back from IR,
right. Like you're, you're like Brock
Wright. I I could project Brock Wright
for like 10 routes and .5 reception, you know, like you're
getting down into the true showdown.
So Laporta is like the last non showdown to your play for the
Lions. So he's immensely valuable just
because of how high their play out their Super Bowl probability
is. Other other guys like Hawkinson
way too cheap. Just kind of in the theme with
the Vikings. You have to remember that tight
end does not get its own special designation though and play
baseball. It's it's WT, it's wide receiver
slash tight end. So you really need these guys to
be scoring kind of in line with some of the wide receivers you'd
be taking them around. So a lot of the value for tight
end is driven by their team specifically.
Man, you want, you want the Babe Ruth call my shot, though, if
the Ravens make a run, Mark Andrews is the guy you need.
I mean, we've been seeing it over these past few weeks that
more and more it kind of feels like when the rubber is hitting
the road, they're like, all right, dude, we got to, we just
got to lean on you a little bit and like you can see it.
His targets for route run is 23% now.
His his percent of team drop backs is still lower than it has
been historically. Like they're still using Isaiah
Likely. I'm just.
Right, ever since he had that 94% game, he's averaged 61%.
Yeah, but but I'm just telling you, like, I would not be the
least bit surprised if we see Mark Andrews do a similar thing
to what we saw Travis Kelsey do last year in the playoffs where
it's like leading into the playoffs.
Do you remember how down people were on Travis Kelsey?
Like people were taking, I mean, that was, this was before Roshi
Rice is like fully breaking out, but people were taking Roshi
Rice over Travis Kelsey. People were taking, you know.
Oh, you remember R.E.M.? You remember we caught the guy.
It's because we got to play Travis Kelsey as like a
contrarian play. Yeah.
Instead of Rashi Rice and then
and then and Travis Kelsey went on his terror and.
And the guy cheated. But yeah, like it.
It was legitimately scary for us to play Travis Kelsey.
We were like, this guy might be done.
Yeah, Rashi Rice is. A major contrarian play, but
like in your in your mind's eye, do you not see Mark Andrews just
I mean, when I saw him absolutely Moss a defender for a
touchdown this last week and it was in the middle of three dudes
and Lamar was like, yeah, I'm throwing it up to my boy.
Like that is vibe little vibes based analysis here.
That was all I needed to see to be like, Oh yeah, like they're,
they're getting the band back together for the play when when
the chips are down, like I'm not going to be surprised.
So. I I mean you still have to be
somewhat concerned about the the the route percentage.
That so here's the beautiful thing.
It's playoff baseball. So I don't even need that many
points, right? Like a, a touchdown is pretty
good in playoff baseball. And again, the farther that
you're going, the lower the point requirement threshold is
to have a play be good. And so I that's that's the
beautiful thing. Like I don't need Mark Andrews
to go out there and drop 30 burgers on people like a simple
15 spot will do just fine. But but to be crystal clear on
my, my opinion on what I think is is possible to happen.
I wouldn't be surprised if if we get a Mark Andrews 30 burger
during the playoffs. I don't think that's the most
likely outcome, but I think it's way more in the I, I would say
if I'm doing projections in the playoffs, I've got Mark Andrews
range. I got his right tail a little
longer and a little fatter than I do, You know, next week.
Well, certainly they're on by. But you know, week 14, I got
Mark Andrews, you know, a lot closer to what he's done so far
this season in the playoffs. I think they're taking the
governor off. They might.
They might take the old Andrews Mobile out for a spin.
Yeah, yeah, makes makes sense for sure.
Like I know that Gretch is kind of like honed in on stuff where
the new offense maybe that's like emphasizing somebody like
Merck Andrews less and but you watch him play, it doesn't it
doesn't feel like we're watching Dusty Marc Andrews.
I feel it feels like watching normal and Marc Andrews.
So, so you do see that like possibility that they're just
like, Oh yeah, we're just gonna play you like, you have to come
up with some kind of reason that they're not doing it right now.
Like he's not that old and but. He's he's older and he is a type
1 diabetic. Load maybe?
They are just saving him for the playoffs.
Yeah, load. Load management makes sense to
me. We should get to the back of
tight ends because there is one we have to talk about before we.
Move. Oh, there is, there is.
And he is a fantastic playoff basketball pick.
Actually, there's two here that are great playoff basketball
picks. One is Isaiah Likely.
Just because we like Mark Andrews doesn't mean that we
have to dislike Isaiah Likely. OK, like both, both guys can be
good picks. They don't even have to both get
there to be good picks. You know, we're we're process
over results here. Isaiah Likely's a great pick.
He goes very late off sometimes. He goes undrafted every once in
a while. You get just an absolute stone
dead mouth breather in the room who like takes the first 3
Ravens and somehow doesn't think through the fact that like,
buddy, if the Ravens make the Super Bowl, everyone with your
team is advancing. Like you have your Zay Flowers,
Derrick Henry, Lamar Jackson and you want to show up to the Super
Bowl with those as your only Ravens players and you're going
to battle with that. And then you got a bunch of one
offs that aren't doing shit in the playoffs or in the Super
Bowl. Like I am jamming vertical.
If you're saying the Ravens are your Super Bowl team, you better
show up with six. Like don't don't let me catch
you in the Super Bowl with under 6 Ravens like or I'm going to
I'm going to dust you like you. You will get to sit in the cuck
chair and watch me win first place If you show up with less
than 6 Ravens in the Super Bowl and they are in the Super Bowl.
That's all I'm saying. So Isaiah likely great pick just
because he is, he counts as one Raven and he is one on your way
to six or more Ravens if you're playing Ravens to the Super
Bowl. The other one that's really
important is Noah Gray. We we can't ignore that Noah
Gray has seen a production spike lately.
And again, the deeper you go into playoff basketball, the
less and less it becomes like best.
Well, the more and more it becomes like NFL Showdown.
And so would you play Noah Gray on NFL showdown?
Guess what? The field played Noah Gray at
like 40% on the NFL showdown. The last Chiefs slate.
They jammed the fuck out of this guy because at the cost that he
was, he was a decent play. Probably not like 40% decent,
but people got a little over their skis there.
But in playoff baseball, you'd get Noah Gray for free last
round. And again if.
You're right, you're looking at 5 targets a game, 50 or yards.
Yeah, if you're playing the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, this
is kind of like the Buffalo dynamic where I said, hey, if
you're playing Buffalo gets the buy, you can go skinnier on
Buffalo or as if you're playing Buffalo doesn't get the buy, you
want to go vertical. It's the same thing for the
Chiefs. If you're going Chiefs, don't
get the buy. Load them up, baby.
You better be jamming Chiefs in there or again, you're gonna be
in a world of hurt when the cards turn over in the Super
Bowl. And I'm sitting there with 10
live players because I have 7 Chiefs and three of whoever the
opponent is in the Super Bowl. And you're sitting there with
five because you drafted 3 Chiefs and two guys from the
other team and a bunch of one offs.
Like you're literally guaranteed to lose to me because I have you
blocked. You can't make a lineup that I
can't make right? Like that's that's the whole
concept in playoff basketball that a lot of people miss is
it's about having all of the combos covered.
But all right, we can go to wide receiver now.
Yeah, let's go to wide receiver. And so I guess we just read out
who were excited. I read out kind of at the top of
the show who were excited about getting into the playoffs.
So we're excited about Nico, excited about Jamar, we're
excited about T Higgins. And who else would you say?
Maybe George Pickens, maybe they flowers JSN a lot of a lot of
guys who have who have kind of flashed big games.
Right. That you, you, you have hope for
that. I mean, this guy, Cortland
Sutton, not only a guy I'm excited to see on my, on my
basketball teams. Imagine telling yourself that
this summer you're so stoked to have Cortland Sutton.
Like Cortland Sutton was like the consolation prize for like,
damn it, I didn't draft enough wide receivers early.
Right now you're stoked to have him on your team.
But not only is he a player I want on my regular season
basketball teams as they advance to the playoffs, he's a player
that is an awesome free square in playoff basketball because
the Broncos are making the playoffs and Cortland Sutton is
the clear alpha on the team. So it's very easy to to say
like, hey, if I'm taking this little one off in the Broncos
land, Cortland Sutton is a great way to play it.
He's the one I'm most confident in that could get me some points
to help me through Week 1. I'm not going very many Broncos.
Like to be clear, I don't think I'd ever even take like 3
Broncos. I might take Bo Nicks, Cortland
Sutton and use it to advance A-Team.
Like that's my bye week coverage, right?
But the fact that those are both free at the end of drafts and
they're going to make the playoffs, that's a really good
spot in my opinion. So had to had to throw Cortland
Sutton out there. You mentioned no great shot.
George Pickens also a great one for playoff basketball.
He's a little contested though. The the cat's out of the bag on
him. He's a good pick, this guy.
Not a pick that you can make in playoff basketball because his
team will not be in the playoffs.
However, we have to talk about the fact that I got absolutely
fucking buried by Jerry Judy, my arch nemesis, I mean.
I think he might like football again.
I think he does. I think you needed Jameis to
unlock Jerry, Judy says a little.
Bit it's like actually like the perfect QB for him who like
inspires his best play. Yes, like most players, that
actually probably has very little impact with the Jimenez
charisma and personality. No, yeah, actually is bringing
the best out of Jerry. Judy, is that what you're kind
of saying? Yes, yeah, unironically, it is
very good for him to have Jameis Winston, not just because of the
Yolo ball Chuck it up mentality, but because I think he has
brought fun back to football for Jerry Judy.
He likes his job again. He does like his job again.
I will say just as an aside, if you're getting paid $40 million
a year and you can't find it within yourself to be motivated.
Oh, I knew. I knew there was.
You have to find some way there. There might be there might be
some issues like I, I I still think you know, and I I am not.
I don't want to shit on Jerry Judy here in the wake of his
incredible, you know, best, best game of his career.
Probably will be the best game he ever has, you know.
But you know. And I actually I don't.
I don't think so. I'm pretty, I feel quite
confident that's the best game Jerry Judy will ever have in his
NFL career. The and the reason The reason
200 yards. It is hard to put up to 100
yards, but he did have 142 yarder this season as well.
So like, maybe I mean, maybe there is the high watermark mark
on his yardage counts, but this is like Jerry Judy is like
supremely talented, supremely talented.
He was like the best player on a stacked, absolutely stacked Bama
team. Like shoe in like nailed on
first round pick like. Supremely.
Talented. I'm not.
I'm not ready to say he's supremely talented.
He. Clearly is.
Off of a couple good games with James like.
But he clearly is supremely talented.
I mean, it was a head wrecker. Why doesn't why?
Why it wasn't coming? Together career.
His entire career, he's been nothing even remotely close to
supremely talented. He's been supremely shit for his
entire. Well, he's been an
underachiever, but that doesn't mean he didn't have the talent
already. That's the kindest way to put
it. Yeah.
An underachiever. I mean, like I I now, to be
clear, I drafted Jerry Judy in basketball, OK?
I thought the price for what you were like, I've got like 5%
Jerry Judy. I'm not sitting here with a
stone 0 Jerry Judy bag, You know, In fact, he's helping a
couple 55 fives advance after that monster game.
So like, I harbor no ill will towards Jerry Judy.
That is not true. It's it's true, it's true.
I harbor no ill will towards him.
I wish him the best. I'm just I'm wondering if he's
so good, why did it take this many years to do absolutely
anything? Because he didn't like his.
Job he didn't like his job all right we could we could move on
from Jerry Judy, let's let's go to the next chart here there's a
guy here that man I just I I need to play this guy as much as
I possibly can to close the season out because I feel quite
confident that the nuclear game is coming and I just don't like
I know people like this guy I know I'm not alone in this
opinion it's it's just kind of like you know when they when
they were like first testing the atomic bomb and they're like
this is going to be a really big explosion like this shit's going
to be big everyone stand back like like we got to be far away
and then they actually detonate the thing and they see the
mushroom cloud rise up and it's just like holy shit like the
you're feeling the shockwave. That's what I'm expecting from
Nico Collins at some point here soon, because in these past few
games, Nico Collins just keeps getting touchdown after
touchdown, big play after big play, called back, and they're
typically called back on these stupid penalties that the Texans
are. Nothing to do with the play.
I mean alignment on the other side of the field went a yard
down the field too much. Yeah, the Texans and Patriots
have to be two of the least disciplined teams in the league
as far as, like, getting their shit together with penalties.
It's infuriating. Like on the off chance that
anyone who hears this could ever say anything to those teams,
like, obviously congratulations if you made it to be, you know,
on the coaching staff of an NFL team, you're you're clearly like
in the top of your peer group to ascend to that level of coaching
football. Absolutely embarrassing to have
a team that commits penalties in the way that the Patriots and
the Texans commit penalties. If you've managed to make it
this far in the NFL, you absolutely have the capability
to sort that shit out. Do better.
Like holy crap, it is just I I'd be so embarrassed if I was in
charge of a team that is because it's not the the thing that is
so frustrating. They're not talent mistakes,
it's just like misorganization. And it's and it's the same
mistakes over and over. Like, how many times can one
player line up off sites like getting an offensive offsides
penalty? You're getting a legal motion
multiple times. Like, this is something you can
practice. This is just it's inexorable.
Yeah. So I I had to get on my soapbox
there. But the the long and short of
that is Nigo Collins is absolutely primed.
And the other thing is too like he keeps I mean, Pat talks about
the splash zone in his weekly write up a lot and talks about
how like the Texans really target the splash zone.
I feel like every freaking catch I see from Nico Collins is in
the splash zone. And every time, like if I'm
fading Nico Collins, every time I see him get a ball there, I'm
like, Oh no, like this could be a how it feels like every catch
could be a house full. He feels like very AJ Brownish
to me. You know what I mean?
Like he has the ball in space and it's just scary like this.
Guy, can anybody, can anybody tackle this guy?
Yeah, exactly. So had to had to say that about
Nico Collins here. OK, I had one question for you,
Draco. This is not playoff basketball
relevant. It's really just more for people
that are like in managed league setting, setting lineups, I
guess for like DFS purposes too. But if you've got Debo or Jawan
Jennings on your team, Oh my God, are these guys just dead?
Like, what are we? What are we doing?
Here, so I'll look up Debo first and kind of like dive into his.
So Debo he had five targets with with five air yards And and I I
in in, in the most recent game, and I guess you, you, you can
blame the shoulder, you can blame the snow, all that kind of
stuff. And in in that last game and
then yeah, it it's just been a weak season for him.
It's been a very weak season where he's definitely running
into routes. But like in, in, in the in the
Devo good season. Obviously he he he he kept
housing and rushes and and quasi rushes for touchdowns.
But in that first half of the season, he'd also played really,
really well as a receiver and was like getting open down the
field and catching all that. It doesn't I, I, I don't know,
it just he's not doing that this year.
He's not getting heavily targeted.
And, and then Juan let me pull up Juan as well.
So Juan's actually running more routes.
He's getting more targets. I, I don't know, I hate to say
it like it feels silly like this.
This stats the the the most recent stats say that Juan
Jennings should be projected higher than Tebow.
Oh, I agree wholeheartedly. I've been, I mean, I've been
saying it for like the last couple weeks when when we were
doing, you know, closing up dog bowl drafts.
Like the last few weeks, I had Debo and Juan Jennings basically
back-to-back in my ranks. And you know, granted, it didn't
work out taking either of them over the last few weeks, right?
It stunk, but yeah, I mean. I I want to pay a a pretty close
attention to the Brock Purdy and practice reports.
I heard that he's he's expected to practice in full this week.
OK. I think that's like a pretty
material difference from like not practicing at all or getting
in one practice where he's showing these like softballs
and, and then they have to shoot them down after 5 minutes to
like a full practice all week. So I, I, I think that's, that's
something to pay close attention to.
If we get another bad week then then we're it's trouble.
So tell me if this is too crazy for you then.
I mean, what if we get the good practice reports from Purdy?
No limitations, Fogo the whole week, right?
And then as a set back. No, I'm saying do you think it's
crazy if I just absolutely ate in to 49ers stacks this week
just knowing no one wants to touch him with a 10 foot pole?
I think that's pretty. I think that's pretty
reasonable. I cannot wait for next week on
stat chasing when I get to talk about how much money I lost
slamming the 49ers. All right, last guy on this
chart is really, it's just a very quick playoff basketball
thing. Also a commentary on his last
nuclear game. Terry Mclaurin.
Terry Mclaurin's pretty boom bust profile.
It feels right he's having. Yeah, I, I, I think we, it, it
was, it wasn't last week we talked about it was the week
before where his like targets per out run is like in the 20s.
I guess it it the average over the years 21%, but his A dot is
is 14 and and, and he's also been catching touchdowns.
I will say the IT was encouraging.
The last game is actually a little bit more encouraging in
in terms of the stability. He got 8 total targets and then
his A dot was about 7. Yeah, it was shorter stuff.
And so so that that is an interesting that they're that
they're given more variety to his play.
Yeah, no, I, I don't know if it's something where like that's
going to be a trend or if it was just like the noise from that
one game where he got some shorter stuff because one of
them was a, a goal line target, right?
Where there's no there's he can't run 14.
Yards, Right, right, right. There's no ADOC that exists,
yeah. But it was encouraging for
Terry. I do think that the Commanders 3
piece at the end of drafts, just do Mclaurin Daniels, Bryan
Robinson is a really nice way to pick a different NFC team to
help you advance a A-Team when you have an AFC bye week
quarterback. Because a lot of the times I'm
doing like the Packers or the Vikings, you know, as a way to
help advance those teams. I think the Commanders are
decent as well, and they've got strong enough playoff odds that
that I think they're fine. I'm gonna guess that Quinton
Johnson is free and and playoff westball.
He's pretty free. The Chargers got a little
expensive. The Chargers got steamed.
I don't, I don't wanna like say it's because we talked about the
Chargers. I think it's also cuz we had
some good games, but we talked about the Chargers on a pod that
we did when the way too early tournaments were up and they
were one of the best clicks on the board then.
And then they got really steamed.
And as soon as the tournament opened, it was like everyone had
all this pent up Chargers energy where they just needed to jam
Chargers. And so Chargers got like a
little steamed up where, you know, Dobbins and Herbert and
Mcconkey were all going like a little earlier than I I thought
they should be going. They're they're fine.
They're like appropriately priced.
Now. There was a just a brief minute
where they're really steamy. It was kind of a race to the
Chargers. Now that Dobbins has the injury
and it really looks like none of the backs, like Kamani Vidal
does not look like someone I'm gonna draft for playoff bestball
at all. You know, it just it just seems
so, so extraordinarily thin. So now that you don't have the
running back to pair with the team, it makes them a lot less
desirable as like this advance rate piece.
And something like Quinton Johnson, you, you have to tell
your that's, that's like a Chargers to the Super Bowl team
almost if you're taking Quinton Johnson.
The other thing you can do with it is you jammed 5 bills or five
chiefs and you're saying or not 5 you jammed 5 lions say like
which is hard. It's really hard to get 5 lines,
but maybe you got 5 bye week players like 4 lions in a chief
that a bill right? And then you just slam Chargers
and you're super heavy Chargers as the advance rate team and
you're playing them making it a conference championship run.
That's another way to do it. But yeah, I don't feel good
about clicking Quinton Johnson or Will Disley, you know?
But like, those are the Chargers.
The Chiefs and Chargers are kind of similar in that like, well,
now with Dobbins injury, it's like hard.
It's not really the same three piece, but with the commanders,
sorry, the commanders and charters commanders have this
three piece where it's like Maclaurin, Daniels, Brian
Robinson. Chargers used to have it with
Dobbins, Mcconkey, Herbert. Now it's more just like I'm, I'm
much more into like the Herbert Mcconkey skinnies.
Right, all right, we can, we can go to the last chart.
Here, yeah and yeah and I guess and so wordy is like he he's a
kind of like cut and dried. If you're taking them, you're
taking them because it's it's chief Super Bowl.
He's kind of tertiary, but he has a big play explosiveness.
He seems like the player that the the market would have no
difficulty pricing. Yeah, he's he's in the kind of
like middle rounds. He's he's a player where I'll
often push him and like, if I don't get him, it's fine because
I'll take Hollywood Brown later. But if I, if he comes back to me
cheap, great. I just want to try and jam in
some like better non chiefs players instead of just like
being really greedy to get worthy and and you'll get some
still. So he he's not somebody where
where you're like, OK, I'm playing Chiefs of the Super
Bowl. Or it's because there's some
chance that you earn to buy that you're you're going to be fine
with a skinnier chief stock. Right.
I had, I had been playing quite a bit of Chiefs get the buy
prior to this week. And then now where it looks like
it's, it's kind of a true coin flip for Bills Chiefs to get the
buy. And I, I think there's a lot of
smart money on Bills to get the buy just based on how both teams
have looked recently. So I will, I'll tell you what,
over this next week I will have more vertical Chiefs where I
just literally just slam them all.
My first round pick is like the best pick that I can make.
It's probably like Alliance, like Jameer Gibbs.
And then I'm just taking like 6 Chiefs after that, you know,
like trying to get as many as I can throw a couple 1 offs in
there. And I remember that they were
last year they were even though they had the, they did they
have, I think they did have the buy even.
Yeah. They had the buy.
They still got really unpopular. People were very queasy about
Chiefs. Yeah.
And it's interesting that we're seeing that again when there's
like actually like a decent possibility that they don't get
the buy. Yeah.
And wow, this is this is a gross.
It feels like it feels like a bunch of flies, just like lying
around the X axis. Oh yeah, Evan in the chat says
Chiefs were the three seed last year.
Yeah, Ravens. OK, yeah, thank you.
I. I yeah, yeah, yeah.
I jammed all the Raven stuff and was very.
Yeah, I don't know why I blended.
Thank you. Yeah, Chiefs 5 two years ago or
something, I don't know. It all blends together, Greco.
Yeah. All right, I've got a public
service announcement for a new drafting playoff.
Best of all, I know Deonte Johnson is sitting like on the
edge of this chart, and you might be tempted to click him.
Do not click Deonte Johnson. I don't think he plays a snap
for the rest of the season. Like I, I think you're in danger
of this guy just not playing and so.
And he hasn't. Yeah, his his highest rate for
the Ravens this year is 17%, and it's like it's dipping.
He refused. To go on the field in the game
for the Ravens this last week they tried to get him out there
and he said Nah, he he literally gnaw waved the coach and said
I'm not going out there because he's frustrated that he's not
more involved. He's upset that the Ravens
claimed him just to not use him, to deny him from like a team
that could have used him like the chief.
And so he's. Some bad blood.
Yeah, there's some bad blood, but guess what?
The Ravens don't give a shit, buddy.
Like, the Ravens are in it to win the Super Bowl.
They don't care about your feelings, Deonte.
Like, I'm sorry, I get dude, I'd be frustrated too if I were him.
But to me, this is just one of those spots where, like, you put
your head down, you'd be a good soldier, you know?
You, you do everything you can do to try and help the team
succeed. And you, you try and contribute.
I know it's tough to comparison professional athletes, but we
all have jobs, we all have disappointments in jobs.
But at the end of the day, like you have to be a team player.
Like if the team wins, everybody wins.
Right. That's the way you have to think
about it. Yeah, if you Fast forward from
now to March and the Ravens have won the Super Bowl, you think
Deonte Johnson's like, Nah, fam, keep that Super Bowl ring.
I don't want it. Like, there's no fucking chance.
He's like, he's stoked to get a ring.
So like, dude, just suck it up, buttercup.
Like I you're right to be frustrated.
You're right, it's kind of shitty what they did, but it's a
game. And like, I get that it sucks to
be a piece in a game, but you're being compensated handsomely for
it. And like, you knew what you were
signing up for. So anyway, don't draft Deonte
Johnson. He's probably not playing at all
and the Ravens have absolutely no reason to release the guy.
They don't want him to go sign with another team, right?
And. Some like revenge narrative,
yeah. Deante Johnson is a prisoner of
war right now, basically, right He's.
A political prisoner. Yes.
And I've got one question for you before we wrap up here.
Sure. DeAndre Hopkins or Hollywood
Brown for playoff basketball if you're building.
Hopkins. Hopkins, OK.
Holly Brown's basically free. I mean, not for long.
Where the sidekick is, is rapidly.
Right. I I mean, Hollywood is
interesting and but Hopkins is playing right now.
Yeah, he's not 8 targets in the last game like he was.
He had one of his highest route participations and at 65% this
week. And let me see where Dada
actually came in and routes because I wonder if if they just
had like a lower drop back. It's not coming up.
It's not coming up and God damn it.
Well, I I do. Route, so we had 34 routes.
So that was one office season at total high.
And so I coming off the injury seeing like an uptick in usage
like that is pretty encouraging. Yeah, and I, I do appreciate the
sanity check because I keep getting into a situation where I
have chiefs and I'm staring down like DeAndre Hopkins, Xavier
Worthy. And then I'm like, you know
what, I'm just going to pass on these guys in perpetuity.
And if they just come back to me really late, it's fine.
And if not, excuse me. If not, then I've got Hollywood
Brown late and I'll just take him.
And I was just looking at them as like two equivalent, I think.
I do think I need to kind of reply.
Yeah, yeah, he's, he's a tear above.
No, I I agree it just like I needed it helped me to hear you
say it so, so thank you to before, before we close up here,
did you have any other receivers that you wanted to talk about
here? I'm looking through it.
So I guess the only the only thing that strikes me is we're
talking about here is like the Packers guys.
And I guess that the question that that presents to me is, so
there's somebody who and it's tough to like envision them
making a run, but then if they do make a run.
Like you want a lot of these guys.
Yeah, vertical Packers are very good right now in my.
Opinion because like if the Packers make the Super Bowl,
you're going to need the Pack. The cheap Packers receivers like
you just will. Yeah, that's a good shout.
And, and I think getting like 5 Packers like you want, you want
to hear something fun is 5 Ravens, 5 Packers.
That is pretty fun, yeah. 55 Chiefs 5 Packers You know 5.
Builders right like it it it seems like a great one to pair
with a one seed. Yeah, yeah.
Well, tonight as we close out, we do have a special treat for
all of the faithful stat chasing listeners.
You know, we, we really wanted to reflect how this best fall
season has felt for all of us as we watch Derrick Henry just
absolutely jam it down our throats and cough and dance with
my lifeless corpse of my basketball portfolio.
And so the very multi talented editor of Pete's videos, Buck,
who is in the ship chasing Discord, put together a little
song for us here called Wake Me Up When the Hambur Ends.
We're holding space for it right now.
You're going to have to tell me when to end the stream because
I'm the one sharing it. I don't hear it.
Why the fuck Walmart pass? He's run on every plate of
grass. Wake me up when the amber runs.
Here comes the king again. Bracking of the yards, burying
my team again. A fucking superstar as I lay my
teams to rest, Henry makes sure I have lost.
Wake me up when the hammer ends.