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Hello everyone and welcome to a 
special May 13th edition of ADP 

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Chasing. 
We're joined today by special 

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guest Hayden Winks of Underdog 
Fantasy to discuss his early 

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ranking disagreements with the 
market. 

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We're also debuting a new ADP 
chasing intro clip for the first

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time. 
Let's hit it. 

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ADP chasing is for when you 
watch ship chasing, you go. 

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These guys are just football 
guys. 

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And the targets for outrun 
leagues, that's going to be 

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really nice. 
Actually back in if it's 

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ashenet. 
Compared to our crystal ball, 

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close your eyes. 
You know all your entries are 

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going to lose anyway, yeah? 
That's fair. 

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This is a deuce von show. 
It's anti cabal. 

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It's anti the best ball, thought
leader. 

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I'm obviously lying to some 
degree, 'cause like I have a lot

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of both of these guys. 
It's. 

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The most disgusting thing you 
can make, but man, that's 

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incredible great. 
Who do we give credit? 

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Who do we give credit to for 
that again, Zach? 

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Lanard Zach Lanard, Who also if 
you if if people have not 

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checked out the highlight video 
that we have from the first 

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season of ADP Chasing, which is 
on the YouTube channel, they 

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should check that out. 
He made that as well. 

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Wow, Just just incredible stuff.
Hayden, thanks for joining us 

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today. 
I think it's now second year in 

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a row we've had you on as the 
first ADP chasing guest the 

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season. 
How you doing? 

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Doing well. 
Excited to join Rashi Rice. 

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Chasing. 
I've been tuning in and it's all

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you guys talking about nowadays.
He's the he's the most 

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interesting guy to think about 
in the player pool right now. 

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There there is. 
You know, with such little 

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change in in informational, he's
really the only interesting guy 

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to think about at this time. 
I would love to talk about Rashi

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Writes less. 
Could you help us out there? 

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Yeah, yeah. 
Rashi, please. 

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Since last week, there's been a 
new police report. 

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We we have another police report
to talk about Rashi. 

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Writes There's been a police 
report. 

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There's been stuff that's come 
out about teams having them off 

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their draft boards last year. 
There's been all sorts of stuff.

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So don't don't worry, we'll 
we'll get to that later. 

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We might as well dive in now. 
I wanted to start Hayden with 

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your ranking disagreements. 
You pulled this chart together 

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and I just want to start from a 
sort of macro draft landscape. 

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We don't need to get into 
specific players, but you know, 

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my interpretation of this chart 
is you're much higher than the 

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market on early running backs, 
you know say to pick 60 or 70 or

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so. 
I'm just curious how you're, if 

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you were drafting in these 
tournaments. 

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Obviously you can't. 
You know you're an underdog 

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employee, but how would you be 
thinking about your macro draft 

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strategy with respect to running
back in the in the early rounds?

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Well, I I feel like the the 
first thing I wanted to do is 

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after tinkering with my rankings
displayed, I'm on a chart like 

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this so I could get a feel for 
like where I'm going to be 

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higher on guys in general and 
lower on guys in general. 

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That way I'm not just like 
completely overloading into one 

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position. 
So like even though my ranking 

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suggests I have a bunch of 
running backs early, I'm not 

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like taking 4 running backs. 
I'm like the top 8 rounds like 

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very often. 
So to me it's still about the 

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just roster construction kind of
buckets and then kind of filling

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into that. 
I think that this year just 

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because the running back prices 
are down, like like not even 

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exaggerating like another two 
rounds in general, I'm going to 

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be more willing to take those 
guys. 

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I think for for the first round 
it's like all wide receivers 

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anyways. 
So it's not like it's like the 

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old robust RB days where like 
you would literally start with 

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running back, running back, 
running back. 

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Like now it's like there are RB 
teams would be like wide 

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receiver, wide receiver and then
like 3 running backs like the 

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next four or five rounds. 
So it's just a it's a totally 

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different market now, which 
makes the historical data really

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challenging to navigate because 
the prices are completely 

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different at the two positions 
that matter by far the most, 

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running backs and wide 
receivers. 

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But for the most part, like, no 
matter if I have a bunch of 

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running backs early, if I don't 
have 4-5 wide receivers by round

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seven, five, or six wide 
receivers by round ten, I've 

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done something drastically 
wrong. 

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So maybe like the other take 
away would be that I'm not 

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drafting the elite tight ends 
very often because I'm not 

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willing to sacrifice wide 
receiver points, and I think the

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running back values are at a 
good price point. 

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So if there was a position I was
going to kind of punt off this 

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year, it would be the tight 
ends. 

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And I think going to yeah, that 
go out Corinne. 

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Well, I was just going to ask 
because it seems like your 

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rankings pretty clearly show 
that you see value popping up at

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running back in the second round
with like Josh Jacobs, Etienne 

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Henry, Pacheco, like that group 
you have quite a bit above. 

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But the thing that makes this 
year so interesting to me is 

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that the values don't stop. 
So, like, I agree with you like 

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all these guys. 
Like Najee Harris is not someone

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I've ever been excited to draft.
I think he's a pretty good pick 

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this year. 
Zach Moss, Jonathan Brooks 

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Raheem Monster. 
Brian Robinson, Zeke. 

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I have no issues with any of 
these guys. 

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Right. 
So that's to me that's the tough

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thing is that if you it's it's 
not about finding running back 

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value. 
It's about maximizing the 

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running back value you get while
also kind of sticking with the 

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principles that you that you've 
laid out. 

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We're making sure you have 
enough wide receiver firepower. 

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It's it's it's kind of a 
balancing act. 

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Yeah, I think that's going to 
determine who makes the money 

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this year. 
And I think what I'm going to be

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doing is like they're kind of 
boundaries like typically like I

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was listed like 5 to 6 running 
or four to five wide receivers 

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by round seven is typically 
that's been optimal every single

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year in basketball. 
So all four years it's been that

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kind of structure. 
Maybe in previous years I would 

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have had five, this year I might
be at four and kind of do one 

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more detour in the 1st 10 
rounds. 

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So maybe and I would typically 
only have 3 running backs 

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through round ten this year. 
If if I add a Brian Robinson and

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Inaji Harris as my my RB threes 
and RB4 and rounds 8 and 10, I 

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think I'd be OK with that. 
So. 

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Are you done at that point? 
Like, are you? 

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Are you taking? 
I've well, if I have a fifth 

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running back it'll be like the 
last couple rounds, but I have 

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to say. 
So are you going back to the the

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hyper fragile teams or kind of 
thinking of it that way? 

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Yeah, a little bit. 
I don't want to get like 2 out 

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of the buckets though. 
Like we have four different kind

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of seasons now. 
And for the things that have 

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been optimal every single year, 
I feel like staying 

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directionally close to that and 
then making like slight tinkers 

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is probably the way to approach.
Them And what are the rules of 

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thumb again for wide receivers? 
Yeah, let me pull them up 

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exactly. 
So this is for every single year

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this has been either completely 
optimal or almost optimal. 

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Four or five wide receivers 
through round seven, five or six

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wide receivers through round 10,
and then seven or eight wide 

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receivers through round 18, 
which is like pretty much 

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consensus anyways. 
I think there's a lot of ways we

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can kind of get there, but like 
if I drafted 4 wide receivers in

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the first four rounds, I others 
would draft the fifth in the 

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sixth wide receivers in round 
five, round six, no problem. 

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I think I'm at the point where I
would want to push that a little

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bit and kind of call it a day a 
little earlier than usual. 

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Can you guys hear my cat 
screaming, by the way? 

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Yeah, I. 
Heard that? 

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He's he well, he understands 
that there's someone else who 

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actually sees the truth and 
beauty and Chase Brown and he's 

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so right now what he's doing is 
he's calling out and he's being 

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like look, you can try and make.
Davis, boss. 

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Happen. 
It it's the opposite of what you

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think, Davis. 
I think that's he's very low on 

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Chase Brown. 
No, I know you. 

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No, Aiden is low on Chase Brown.
The cat is saying. 

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The cat is saying I I understand
the truth and the way and the 

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life of of Chase. 
Brown. 

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He's great in my screen merchant
leagues where he gets well. 

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Turns out you get a lot of 
points. 

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Turns out you get a lot of 
points for bringing a screen 

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merchant. 
Yeah, that's great. 

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We're all in screen merchant 
leagues, Hayden, these. 

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Are the IT is great. 
It is great. 

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I would like to see a single 
Chase Brown run. 

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That would be helpful, but we'll
see. 

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Well, I would like to see a 
single Zach Moss break a tackle,

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but then after he breaks the 
tackle, continue advancing the 

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run and breaking the tackle and 
then immediately going down. 

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It's me personally something I'd
like to see. 

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This is why David Monk. 
Earlier now I will say we've 

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made fun of Chase Brown for 
having one good play last year. 

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But if you watched that screen, 
he literally just catches a 

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screen pass and he has blockers 
in front of him and he just runs

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straight like he's fast. 
He's not even an impressive 

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play. 
It's not an. 

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Impressive play. 
It's not an impressive play like

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any running back could have done
it. 

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So the I still think that. 
Any running back, not any 

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running back. 
Ezekiel. 

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Zeke. 
Zeke cannot do it. 

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Yeah, Zeke cannot do it. 
AJ Dillon couldn't do it. 

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But besides that? 
Dillon could not do it. 

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I mean look, Chase Brown did 
have 330 rushing attempts his 

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final season in college. 
I I think this is not, this is 

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not, you know, Dylan Dylan Lauby
right, where he had more 

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receiving yards than than 
rushing yards. 

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Really the the take away would 
be if you wanted to not just be 

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a religious zealot about 
drafting off rankings, but to 

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use it to make market based 
decisions. 

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It would be instead of taking 
Jayden Reid, Terry Mclaurin, 

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Trey McBride, Mark Andrews, 
whomever it would be take Travis

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Etienne, Josh Jacobs, Isaiah 
Pacheco, Kenneth Walker. 

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Those those rounds 4-5 running 
backs are, I mean look they are 

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huge discounts relative to what 
the running back. 

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What would the What's the lowest
the running back 12 has ever 

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been in fantasy football, I 
don't think. 

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This is this is. 
Not one. 

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It would not even be close. 
It would be like 30 spots in 

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overall rankings. 
Yeah, I don't think. 

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I don't think that the running 
back 12, has ever been a fifth 

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round pick in any fantasy 
football contest. 

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Ever. 
Ever. 

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Yeah, but I think like, so. 
My it's funny, 'cause I think 

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we're kind of more like way more
on the same page with the 

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running back stuff than you 
would think from just looking at

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the rankings, cause your point 
about you have to get the 

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receiver. 
So kind of what would happen 

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with if we were like were to do 
a draft is that we'd be looking 

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at a bunch of running. 
We would take our favorite 

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running back early probably or 
maybe a couple. 

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But then we'd be looking at a 
lot of running backs as we were 

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like, ah, we got to give 
receivers. 

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You know, it's kind of the way 
it would go. 

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But I guess my thing 
structurally, I'm actually kind 

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of more curious about the tight 
end point that you made because 

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I think Elite tight end is a 
pretty big edge this year just 

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because the prices are way down 
and I don't like the tight ends 

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late like I last year we had an 
awesome tight end class coming 

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in. 
We catch the Trey McBride 

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breakout, which you know, it's 
kind of a a little bit lucky 

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that we got that. 
Maybe we get something like that

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again, I don't know. 
But I think that the landscape 

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feels pretty different generally
than last year. 

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I generally also like elite 
tight end as a strategy. 

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So I'm kind of maybe biased 
towards it from the jump. 

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But if I go, let's say 4 wide 
receivers, you know, and then a 

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tight end in Round 5 and then 
let's say, you know, maybe I get

227
00:10:48,040 --> 00:10:49,760
another wide receiver in round 
six. 

228
00:10:50,200 --> 00:10:52,800
So now I'm five wide receivers 
and a tight end through six 

229
00:10:52,800 --> 00:10:56,600
rounds I can get like David 
Montgomery as my running back 

230
00:10:56,600 --> 00:10:58,720
one. 
Yep, that seems like. 

231
00:10:58,760 --> 00:10:59,880
Pretty It's pretty nice. 
It's. 

232
00:11:00,160 --> 00:11:02,320
Pretty nice. 
Like I just did that today. 

233
00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:04,160
I grabbed Dave Montgomery in the
seventh round. 

234
00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:06,480
I think it was a Lamar Andrews 
build. 

235
00:11:06,480 --> 00:11:08,560
So it was a little less strong 
at wide receiver. 

236
00:11:08,560 --> 00:11:10,360
Yeah, but it was 4. 
Wide receivers. 

237
00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:12,240
Lamar Andrews and David 
Montgomery. 

238
00:11:12,440 --> 00:11:17,520
Yeah, that's, I mean I'm having 
a tough time not doing that. 

239
00:11:17,520 --> 00:11:19,760
So I guess what I would be 
curious to get more of your 

240
00:11:19,760 --> 00:11:22,880
thoughts on like don't grab the 
elite tight end, grab the 

241
00:11:22,880 --> 00:11:26,160
running back and then how those 
builds look end up looking 

242
00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:28,880
different. 
I would I the kind of 1V1 is 

243
00:11:28,880 --> 00:11:31,440
like would you rather have Trey 
McBride or Isaiah Pacheco in 

244
00:11:31,440 --> 00:11:33,920
like that 4th, 5th kind of turn.
And I I would much rather have 

245
00:11:33,920 --> 00:11:37,400
like the Pacheco and then go 
from there and the the point 

246
00:11:37,400 --> 00:11:40,080
about the late late round tight 
ends being worse, which they are

247
00:11:40,080 --> 00:11:44,080
a little bit worse this year. 
It's also because the the to me 

248
00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:46,240
the running backs, late round 
running backs, like there's no 

249
00:11:46,240 --> 00:11:49,480
the running back class this year
was really bad and there's a ton

250
00:11:49,480 --> 00:11:54,080
of wide receivers like day one 
day two wide receivers in like 

251
00:11:54,080 --> 00:11:58,120
the 678 all the way to the 18th 
round where I'm kind of flipping

252
00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:01,280
it where like yeah I wanted to 
be drafting the kind of more 

253
00:12:01,280 --> 00:12:03,800
veteran running backs because 
there's less rookie running 

254
00:12:03,800 --> 00:12:06,400
backs like later on. 
So it's kind of the same point 

255
00:12:06,400 --> 00:12:07,880
you're making with the tight 
ends where you want to draft 

256
00:12:07,880 --> 00:12:10,680
them early because we have a 
less influx of rookie tight ends

257
00:12:10,680 --> 00:12:12,800
late. 
Well, I'm looking for the rookie

258
00:12:12,800 --> 00:12:15,720
running backs like our guys this
year are 6 rounders. 

259
00:12:15,760 --> 00:12:17,960
Like come on, you Did All and 
Tyrone. 

260
00:12:17,960 --> 00:12:21,760
Tracy But a lot of those guys, a
lot of those rookie running 

261
00:12:21,760 --> 00:12:25,720
backs who have like shitty draft
capital landed in like, deserts 

262
00:12:25,760 --> 00:12:29,240
of available still like. 
But they're running bad, but 

263
00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,280
still bad in general. 
It's still really bad in 

264
00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:33,120
general. 
We can kind of spin zone it. 

265
00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:33,640
Yeah. 
Tyron. 

266
00:12:33,640 --> 00:12:34,240
Tracy. 
Has well, but. 

267
00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:36,240
Then you saw the running back 
for the Giants. 

268
00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:40,080
I mean what about what about 
what about the spin zone, spin 

269
00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:43,560
zone Hayden that that the the 
Overton window for running backs

270
00:12:43,560 --> 00:12:47,360
have shifted because teams are 
just so over it that like what 

271
00:12:47,360 --> 00:12:50,320
used like a, you know five years
ago a Day 4 running back like 

272
00:12:50,320 --> 00:12:52,440
might not even make the team 
now. 

273
00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:55,240
Like a Round 5 running back like
Bucky Irving is just like going 

274
00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:57,600
to be the second running back on
the Buccaneers when the season 

275
00:12:57,600 --> 00:12:59,280
starts. 
Like they just they're like, 

276
00:12:59,280 --> 00:13:00,640
yeah, we'll just go fill this 
with. 

277
00:13:00,640 --> 00:13:02,480
We know. 
I mean they they tried out Chase

278
00:13:02,480 --> 00:13:03,000
Edmonds. 
They try. 

279
00:13:03,000 --> 00:13:05,240
Everyone on their roster has 
gotten a shot and they were 

280
00:13:05,240 --> 00:13:07,640
like, Nope. 
So yeah, I I just. 

281
00:13:07,640 --> 00:13:10,360
Think we have. 
I mean, yeah, like also last 

282
00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:12,160
year we can say, you know, 
running backs are getting 

283
00:13:12,160 --> 00:13:14,160
devalued more and more and I 
think that's generally true. 

284
00:13:14,160 --> 00:13:16,240
Last year, we still had two 
running backs go on the what, 

285
00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:20,240
Top 12 of the NFL Draft and 
Gibbs and Dijon. 

286
00:13:20,240 --> 00:13:21,840
Robinson the Lions would like a 
word. 

287
00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:24,280
Yeah, and then one of them 
didn't start and then one of 

288
00:13:24,280 --> 00:13:26,680
those running backs and one of 
the top 12 didn't start for his 

289
00:13:26,680 --> 00:13:28,160
team. 
Yeah, I know. 

290
00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:30,920
It's just any, any time we say 
like, oh, the first round, real 

291
00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:34,600
life running back is dead. 
Teams prove us wrong like every 

292
00:13:34,600 --> 00:13:36,320
year. 
So, yeah, I'm just a little 

293
00:13:36,320 --> 00:13:38,960
hesitant to say that the Giraffe
capital is like completely. 

294
00:13:39,120 --> 00:13:41,360
No, it was a bad running back. 
It was definitely a bad running 

295
00:13:41,360 --> 00:13:42,440
back. 
I think Jonathan Brooks was a 

296
00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:44,600
good running back prospect. 
You know, if he doesn't tear his

297
00:13:44,600 --> 00:13:48,000
ACL, like, I mean he went pretty
early in the second round with 

298
00:13:48,000 --> 00:13:49,560
the torn ACL, so, but. 
Then. 

299
00:13:49,600 --> 00:13:51,080
Even him. 
It's like now he's the Panthers 

300
00:13:51,080 --> 00:13:52,720
running back, right? 
Damn it. 

301
00:13:52,720 --> 00:13:55,200
Like and then like Trey. 
Trey Benson could have been 

302
00:13:55,200 --> 00:13:56,920
sick. 
Well, he at least had like some 

303
00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:59,120
level of competition with James 
Conner and then. 

304
00:13:59,120 --> 00:14:01,280
In third round, I didn't love 
him falling to the third. 

305
00:14:01,920 --> 00:14:05,320
No, I I think, I think Trey 
Benson, I think Trey Benson is 

306
00:14:05,320 --> 00:14:09,920
is going to be the answer to how
did we let this happen in the 

307
00:14:09,920 --> 00:14:12,120
end, Like, James Conner is 29 
years old. 

308
00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:15,000
The whole team just got younger.
They're like it's going to be 

309
00:14:15,000 --> 00:14:18,400
much less the horizontal Raid. 
I think we have a very bad 

310
00:14:18,400 --> 00:14:20,760
picture of what the Cardinals 
offense looks like because the 

311
00:14:20,760 --> 00:14:24,320
last two years have been Josh 
Dobbs and then, you know, like 

312
00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:27,040
Cliff, like not even bothering 
to show up for work. 

313
00:14:27,040 --> 00:14:34,360
How crazy is it that in 2021 we 
were taking James Conner behind 

314
00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:36,840
Chase Edmonds? 
Yeah, we couldn't. 

315
00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:37,680
He's. 
Still there. 

316
00:14:38,080 --> 00:14:40,000
And he's still there. 
He was still there. 

317
00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:41,400
Yards after context for carry 
last. 

318
00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:43,640
Year he was so good last Year 
#1, so good. 

319
00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:44,240
I mean it's. 
Good. 

320
00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:46,440
He was the best in the staff 
that we don't care about. 

321
00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:48,760
Yeah, it's crazy. 
I guess we we we were out 

322
00:14:48,760 --> 00:14:50,320
because of injury proneness, 
right? 

323
00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:51,880
Another injury prone loss for 
us. 

324
00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:55,480
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 
I wanted to talk here, so we'll 

325
00:14:55,480 --> 00:14:57,320
we'll get into a bunch of 
specific players that we've 

326
00:14:57,320 --> 00:14:59,480
we've talked about. 
I wanted to start the risers and

327
00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:01,760
followers conversation just 
highlighting. 

328
00:15:01,760 --> 00:15:05,680
So this is the top 11 followers 
I think I have or sorry, top 11 

329
00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:10,360
risers I think I have on here. 
Eight of the top 11 are rookies.

330
00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:14,640
So my question, I'll start with 
you on this Crane, is this 

331
00:15:14,640 --> 00:15:16,760
justified? 
Like were the initial ranks? 

332
00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:20,200
No, just so bad? 
Are we just getting, are we just

333
00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:21,520
getting bored? 
Like, are we just? 

334
00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:25,080
Bored people are so bored. 
People are so fucking bored, 

335
00:15:25,280 --> 00:15:26,360
lad. 
Mcconkey. 

336
00:15:26,720 --> 00:15:32,160
Ladd Mcconkey is a fifth round 
pick now on 1/2 point PPR site. 

337
00:15:32,320 --> 00:15:35,080
Yes, we're bored, dude. 
We are bored. 

338
00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:41,280
I think it's maybe a little more
justified than Davis does. 

339
00:15:41,280 --> 00:15:46,040
Like we we had to get some of 
these guys up substantially, you

340
00:15:46,040 --> 00:15:47,360
know, and it doesn't happen 
overnight. 

341
00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:51,920
So there's still like some some 
cost, you know, adjustments 

342
00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:54,440
happening. 
Let me see where we have Ladd. 

343
00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:57,080
Yeah, we're, I think he's fine 
for Ladd. 

344
00:15:57,480 --> 00:15:58,680
You know, he's in the sixth 
round. 

345
00:15:58,920 --> 00:15:59,960
That seems fine to me. 
It's. 

346
00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:02,080
It's fine. 
Yeah, it's fine. 

347
00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:06,480
We're now behind a little bit on
Keon Coleman, but just barely, 

348
00:16:07,080 --> 00:16:09,880
Benson Knot seems like. 
A little out of control, that's 

349
00:16:10,280 --> 00:16:11,280
that's the boredom. 
One. 

350
00:16:11,280 --> 00:16:12,760
Let's get real. 
That's ridiculous. 

351
00:16:13,240 --> 00:16:17,680
That one definitely seems a 
little wild. 20 months ago this 

352
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:21,120
guy was listed as a This guy was
listed as a full back on the K 

353
00:16:21,120 --> 00:16:23,600
State football. 
He won, He won the the low Man 

354
00:16:23,600 --> 00:16:24,800
award. 
He was the best full back in the

355
00:16:24,800 --> 00:16:25,840
country. 
I can't. 

356
00:16:25,840 --> 00:16:30,760
Now that being said, if you take
Dave Daniels, if you take Jane 

357
00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:33,160
Daniels, you know you're tapping
that button on. 

358
00:16:33,320 --> 00:16:36,680
Oh yeah, yeah, yeah. 
The R-squared on taking Daniels,

359
00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:40,320
then taking making Sannett and 
Luke McCaffrey Has to be like 7,

360
00:16:40,680 --> 00:16:43,360
I mean. 
You you have to consider the 

361
00:16:43,360 --> 00:16:46,480
correlation like Sannat, I mean 
the best fullback in the 

362
00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:47,880
country. 
He's going to be blocking for 

363
00:16:47,880 --> 00:16:50,120
these Jaden Daniels runs that 
you need him out there. 

364
00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:53,280
It's the B Rob Stacks. 
Yeah, yeah. 

365
00:16:53,680 --> 00:16:55,440
I mean, I'm into that too, to be
honest. 

366
00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:58,600
Yeah, so I did think this was 
interesting. 

367
00:16:58,600 --> 00:17:02,240
This is from John Boyd Beats. 
He did sort of a study about how

368
00:17:02,520 --> 00:17:06,200
rookie AD PS, particularly at 
wide receiver seem to really 

369
00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:10,280
spike in, in June, like early 
June, which is I think basically

370
00:17:10,280 --> 00:17:13,359
that's kind of where we are now 
because people are so excited to

371
00:17:13,359 --> 00:17:15,680
draft right now. 
And these red XS, I did this 

372
00:17:15,680 --> 00:17:17,839
kind of quickly, but if you look
at the wide receivers which are 

373
00:17:17,839 --> 00:17:22,400
on the right of this chart, I 
put red XS on guys where you 

374
00:17:22,400 --> 00:17:27,160
basically got the worst value on
them in early June and they're 

375
00:17:27,160 --> 00:17:30,600
buying opportunities later. 
So this is. 

376
00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:32,960
This is. 
Also when frequency of sex per 

377
00:17:32,960 --> 00:17:34,600
baseball drafter is at A at. 
A. 

378
00:17:35,160 --> 00:17:38,000
All time low. 
Oh yeah. 

379
00:17:40,680 --> 00:17:42,360
Yeah. 
So I don't know. 

380
00:17:42,440 --> 00:17:43,720
Aiden you have any thoughts on 
this? 

381
00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:47,000
Yeah, I mean, we're kind of 
joking, but it's like right when

382
00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:50,680
we the first puppy, it's just 
the same people throwing like 

383
00:17:51,320 --> 00:17:55,040
253050 drafts in and so like 
this. 

384
00:17:55,040 --> 00:17:57,520
Call is coming from inside the 
room, right? 

385
00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,960
But like this consensus, where 
like typically a consensus is 

386
00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:03,680
like each person's opinion 
equals one. 

387
00:18:03,960 --> 00:18:07,520
Now after a puppy draft, it's by
draft, not by users. 

388
00:18:07,520 --> 00:18:10,240
Now all of a sudden that the 
person that's drafting all these

389
00:18:10,240 --> 00:18:12,880
zero running back teams, now you
just watch the 0 running or the 

390
00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,440
wide receiver prices go 
dramatically up right when we 

391
00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:17,960
launch the Puppies, same thing. 
That's going to be the same 

392
00:18:17,960 --> 00:18:20,800
cohort that's going to be 
drafting the rookies in general.

393
00:18:21,360 --> 00:18:23,520
So yeah, it makes sense. 
Like right after the Puppy 

394
00:18:23,520 --> 00:18:26,640
launches, this will probably be 
the peak of both wide receiver 

395
00:18:26,640 --> 00:18:29,920
prices and rookie prices, and 
it'll slightly tail off. 

396
00:18:29,920 --> 00:18:34,200
But I mean, we're talking about 
like 5-6 points or draft spots I

397
00:18:34,200 --> 00:18:35,960
think in general here. 
So I don't think it's going to 

398
00:18:35,960 --> 00:18:39,240
matter all that much. 
Yeah, I don't think it's going 

399
00:18:39,240 --> 00:18:41,160
to matter too much. 
I just think, yeah, I think the 

400
00:18:41,160 --> 00:18:44,040
psychology of it is right when 
the contest opens, there are 

401
00:18:44,040 --> 00:18:47,960
these crazy values and Pete 
overset, obviously he, he put 

402
00:18:47,960 --> 00:18:50,720
out some videos highlighting 
awesome values right away. 

403
00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:53,280
But then people have that 
mindset and I think it lasts 

404
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:55,600
like a couple weeks too long 
where it's like, oh, I got to 

405
00:18:55,600 --> 00:18:58,200
get in the draft and like, get 
this rookie because he's never 

406
00:18:58,200 --> 00:19:00,520
going to be, you know, going 
this late. 

407
00:19:00,520 --> 00:19:03,640
And then that mindset just keeps
going, keeps going to a point 

408
00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:06,040
where it's no longer. 
True people are literally 

409
00:19:06,040 --> 00:19:09,440
logging on to do drafts to draft
Benson at right now. 

410
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:12,160
They're like, they're like I'm 
entering a draft to make sure 

411
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:15,040
that I come away with Jane 
Daniels and Benson at and Luke 

412
00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:18,160
McCaffrey here, and it's me. 
He did a whole video where he's 

413
00:19:18,160 --> 00:19:20,360
like, I'm going to do that. 
I'm going to get that stack. 

414
00:19:20,360 --> 00:19:24,400
And that was like 2 weeks ago. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

415
00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:29,720
I mean, let's take the the Sanat
one is that one feels like the 

416
00:19:29,720 --> 00:19:33,240
most fragile to me of these, 
like when? 

417
00:19:33,800 --> 00:19:36,560
Tracy and Vidal are pretty 
fragile too, but I agree with 

418
00:19:36,600 --> 00:19:38,800
you. 
I mean, fragile in the sense 

419
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:42,760
that, like, when August drafters
come in, they're going to be 

420
00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:48,800
like, Ben, what now? 
And Ben Ben Senate is There's a 

421
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:52,440
chance that he ends up going, 
like, undrafted in August. 

422
00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:54,120
Drafts for sure. 
Like straight up. 

423
00:19:54,120 --> 00:19:57,160
He is not gonna be running with 
the first team, I can guarantee.

424
00:19:57,800 --> 00:20:01,240
Early 21 personality will be 
hidden. 

425
00:20:04,560 --> 00:20:07,680
I mean how we might as well at 
this point call? 

426
00:20:07,720 --> 00:20:10,240
Zacker, Eckler and E Rob, it's 
going to be all free from the 

427
00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:12,480
back. 
I formation. 

428
00:20:12,480 --> 00:20:17,720
He's definitely on the fields. 
How mad, how mad are the 11th 

429
00:20:17,720 --> 00:20:20,880
round Ben Center drafters going 
to be when Zach Ertz has IS 

430
00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:22,960
leading the Washington 
Commanders and Targets through 

431
00:20:22,960 --> 00:20:26,080
three weeks in the season? 
Stop bag defending. 

432
00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:28,600
It's not. 
It's not a bag effect. 

433
00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:30,160
No. 
No. 

434
00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:33,360
For once in my life, I you get 
to be the side of common sense 

435
00:20:33,360 --> 00:20:36,440
in a rookie versus old. 
I've never in my life been on 

436
00:20:36,440 --> 00:20:39,120
the common sense side, no. 
You're back defending Ertz, not 

437
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,720
for. 
The first time ever. 

438
00:20:41,960 --> 00:20:44,760
For the first time ever, I 
needed it. 

439
00:20:44,760 --> 00:20:47,640
The chat is asking, No, I'm I'm 
not drafting Ertz right now. 

440
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:49,880
I've moved on to Dawson Knox as 
my. 

441
00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:51,520
Oh yeah, I take Knox. 
That's. 

442
00:20:51,720 --> 00:20:53,760
That's as as my cope in round 
18. 

443
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:56,040
What? 
Are you saying what we can't 

444
00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:59,120
take Josh Allen's guy who might 
catch a touchdown on the right 

445
00:20:59,120 --> 00:20:59,680
week? 
Dude. 

446
00:20:59,960 --> 00:21:02,320
Yeah, seems fine. 
That guy. 

447
00:21:02,360 --> 00:21:04,520
Sold the Parkinson on That's 
right. 

448
00:21:04,680 --> 00:21:06,800
Yeah, Level little. 18th round, 
Colby Parkinson. 

449
00:21:07,920 --> 00:21:09,720
Yeah, that's Will this Lee dog. 
Will. 

450
00:21:09,720 --> 00:21:10,920
Will this Lee. 
Oh man. 

451
00:21:11,200 --> 00:21:14,680
I saw you wrote him up so you 
think Parkinson cause 

452
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:17,440
Parkinson's got late like hate B
will be back at the end of the 

453
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,120
season right. 
So you think he he's got to take

454
00:21:19,120 --> 00:21:20,080
that job? 
I don't know. 

455
00:21:20,200 --> 00:21:26,280
Yeah, I think he's, yeah, I 
think he's like in. 

456
00:21:26,440 --> 00:21:30,240
January, yeah, that's not great.
Also, he's never been good. 

457
00:21:30,880 --> 00:21:33,360
Like, he's got, he's been good 
for three weeks at a time. 

458
00:21:33,360 --> 00:21:36,560
I don't know Colby Parkinson's. 
Like, he's massive. 

459
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,680
And like the the underlying 
numbers aren't terrible, yeah. 

460
00:21:43,280 --> 00:21:45,520
What was Oliver? 
You know, like they they he they

461
00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:49,040
had Everett and Higbee and they 
they, like told Everett to hit 

462
00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:50,760
the road and they gave Higbee an
extension. 

463
00:21:50,760 --> 00:21:52,200
So I I don't know. 
It makes me 'cause. 

464
00:21:52,200 --> 00:21:54,320
I got a lot of money though. 
I think there's like what, $15 

465
00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:57,160
million or something like that? 
I forgot the exact number. 15 

466
00:21:57,160 --> 00:21:59,480
1/2 guaranteed. 
Yeah, like. 

467
00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:01,480
That's a lot. 
I like at that point. 

468
00:22:01,480 --> 00:22:03,480
It's not even Josh Oliver. 
Money, dude. 

469
00:22:05,480 --> 00:22:13,880
Ross Oliver's a good Ben Sonata.
Not even like that's just a. 

470
00:22:15,680 --> 00:22:18,120
That's just a good point. 
That was a tremor through the 

471
00:22:18,120 --> 00:22:22,400
universe right there, though. 
Because Joshua was kind of an 

472
00:22:22,400 --> 00:22:24,400
interesting prospect. 
For he was. 

473
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,040
He was, yeah. 
It's the whole the whole game. 

474
00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:30,600
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 
I kind of like Sonata, but it is

475
00:22:30,600 --> 00:22:33,400
getting a little wild. 
We gotta stop talking about H 

476
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,200
backs. 
We're gonna lose all we're not 

477
00:22:36,360 --> 00:22:37,000
let's. 
Move. 

478
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:41,240
No, one is not one. 
Let's move on to Mike Evans. 

479
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:43,200
I thought this was an 
interesting ADP rise because it 

480
00:22:43,200 --> 00:22:46,640
really bucks the rookie trend 
he's he's in here moving up two 

481
00:22:46,640 --> 00:22:49,280
spots. 
I think this is driven by ETR as

482
00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:50,280
you. 
Know what's drawing this? 

483
00:22:50,560 --> 00:22:51,840
Yeah. 
Don't act like you don't know 

484
00:22:51,880 --> 00:22:53,920
you guys have them at like 17. 
This is. 

485
00:22:54,000 --> 00:22:56,640
Come on. 
Look, I, I I'm not putting 

486
00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:59,600
inputs in there at ETR. 
I'm, you know, I'm not involved,

487
00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:03,080
so don't blame me. 
But yeah, this is also. 

488
00:23:03,240 --> 00:23:07,200
It's also structural, too, 
because it's a natural push back

489
00:23:07,200 --> 00:23:10,000
to why I don't want to fucking 
draft Devon a chain. 

490
00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:13,160
I don't want to draft Kyron. 
Maybe I don't like Devonte. 

491
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:15,720
Maybe I don't like IU, maybe I 
don't like Debo. 

492
00:23:15,720 --> 00:23:19,720
Like, it's just a it's a it's a 
ranking that made that people 

493
00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:21,520
feel comfortable sliding into 
that. 

494
00:23:21,520 --> 00:23:24,400
It just feels nice and cozy, 
like putting on a Snuggie, like,

495
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:26,440
all right, I'll just take Mike 
Evans ahead of Devon, HP. 

496
00:23:26,440 --> 00:23:28,600
Yeah. 1000 yards. 
I'll just grab 1000 yards. 

497
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:30,440
I know I'm. 
Just like 1000 yards, yeah. 

498
00:23:30,480 --> 00:23:32,560
Yeah, that sounds good. 
I think too, like I have a bit 

499
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:36,680
of a Mike Evans rant. 
Like I think touchdowns just 

500
00:23:36,680 --> 00:23:40,520
matter way more than half PPR 
than people give the credit for.

501
00:23:40,520 --> 00:23:43,400
And I get they're unpredictable,
but with Mike Evans, they're. 

502
00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:47,360
Really not on Mike Evans. 
Yeah, 13 plus touchdowns and 

503
00:23:47,360 --> 00:23:51,040
three of his four last NFL 
seasons. 12 plus touchdowns in 

504
00:23:51,040 --> 00:23:54,280
five of his ten NFL seasons. 
If you compare that to guys 

505
00:23:54,280 --> 00:23:57,960
going near him in ADP Chris 
Olave in his two NFL seasons. 

506
00:23:58,000 --> 00:24:01,440
Four and five touchdowns. 
Jalen Waddle in his three NFL 

507
00:24:01,440 --> 00:24:05,760
seasons, 6-8 and four. 
Hey, hold on, hold on about. 

508
00:24:05,840 --> 00:24:10,400
Jalen Waddle, Mike Evans is, I'm
just saying he he's 6 foot 5. 

509
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:12,920
Chris Olave, Jalen Waddle. 
These other guys going near him,

510
00:24:12,920 --> 00:24:14,920
they're like 5 foot, 10/5 foot 
11. 

511
00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:17,840
Like you can say touchdowns are 
unpredictable and I'm gonna 

512
00:24:17,840 --> 00:24:20,440
chase like the younger guys with
theoretical upside. 

513
00:24:20,440 --> 00:24:24,160
But you can draft Mike Evans and
just, I don't know, you can bank

514
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:26,800
12 plus touchdowns like 90% of 
the time. 

515
00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:27,680
That's. 
Crazy. 

516
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:28,920
You can't. 
No, you can't. 

517
00:24:29,560 --> 00:24:31,000
You can't bank 12 plus 
touchdowns. 

518
00:24:31,040 --> 00:24:33,040
Come on, he's. 
No, I'm just saying literally, 

519
00:24:33,040 --> 00:24:34,960
it's historical. 
Hit rates 13, plus touchdowns 

520
00:24:34,960 --> 00:24:37,400
75% of the time the last Four 
Seasons. 

521
00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:40,520
Yeah, yeah, OK. 
But that's because you started 

522
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:45,000
it after he went 5-8 and eight. 
So if you just. 

523
00:24:45,160 --> 00:24:48,840
Zoom out and it's got the Baker 
quarterback upgrade over Tom. 

524
00:24:48,840 --> 00:24:49,960
Yeah, Baker. 
QB upgrade. 

525
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:52,760
Come on. 
I mean, so, so you're buying. 

526
00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:54,960
That you just can't tell me. 
That you can't tell me that a 

527
00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:58,480
guy who's he had can't tell me a
guy who's 6 foot 5 doesn't just,

528
00:24:58,480 --> 00:25:01,480
like, inherently score more 
touchdowns than a guy who's 511.

529
00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:04,280
He had. 6. 
Touchdowns 2 years ago. 

530
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,640
How tall is Tyreek Hill? 
Yeah. 

531
00:25:07,360 --> 00:25:09,800
OK, well. 
This is turning into the dumbest

532
00:25:09,800 --> 00:25:15,200
group debate ever. 
He had six touchdowns 2 years 

533
00:25:15,200 --> 00:25:16,400
ago and he went in the seventh 
round. 

534
00:25:16,400 --> 00:25:18,640
Then he had 13 touchdowns and 
now he's going in the second 

535
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,240
round. 
Like, which are you? 

536
00:25:20,240 --> 00:25:22,800
Which is the thing that's 
affecting the ADP because I 

537
00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:24,360
think we're chasing the 
touchdown. 

538
00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:26,520
The touchdowns aren't like 
something no one's thought of. 

539
00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:29,880
He just scored 13 touchdowns and
it boosted his ADP by 5 rounds. 

540
00:25:30,320 --> 00:25:31,720
That's why he's. 
Doing here. 

541
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:36,160
You said that no one's deserving
of the second round pick, and I 

542
00:25:36,160 --> 00:25:38,440
think that's true. 
Every single person we put up 

543
00:25:38,440 --> 00:25:39,920
there, we're going to say he 
shouldn't be there. 

544
00:25:40,120 --> 00:25:43,000
Like they either haven't done it
before or they're a regression 

545
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:45,640
candidate should come back down.
Unless we want to treat Derrick 

546
00:25:45,640 --> 00:25:48,320
Henry in those types as legit 
second rounders, but we don't 

547
00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:50,720
want to do that. 
So I think it's just like, OK, 

548
00:25:50,720 --> 00:25:53,360
Brandon Nyuk, Marvin Harrison's 
a a first round pick. 

549
00:25:53,360 --> 00:25:56,160
OK, but Brandon Nyuk is actually
the worst second round pick 

550
00:25:56,160 --> 00:25:57,680
though. 
Can we be honest about this? 

551
00:25:58,880 --> 00:26:01,080
So you love Debo and you don't 
like Ayuk? 

552
00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:03,640
Why? 
No, he's actually fine. 

553
00:26:03,640 --> 00:26:07,160
It's just all it's all it's all 
a brand thing now. 

554
00:26:07,400 --> 00:26:10,000
I just I like. 
The thing is is that I. 

555
00:26:10,080 --> 00:26:14,080
Prefer because you love Debo. 
I prefer Adams and Debo like 

556
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:17,760
pretty significantly in this 
format to IUK, so it just means 

557
00:26:17,760 --> 00:26:21,120
I'll never take him because 
because no other drafter drafts 

558
00:26:21,120 --> 00:26:24,720
that way at people are actually 
more likely to take IUK ahead of

559
00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,880
Marvin Harrison Junior than take
Adams ahead of IUK. 

560
00:26:27,880 --> 00:26:30,360
So it just it just means I won't
get him, which is fine. 

561
00:26:30,360 --> 00:26:34,680
I think the the issue you have 
with IU because he will never 

562
00:26:34,680 --> 00:26:37,280
have the highest single game 
ceiling on his team. 

563
00:26:37,360 --> 00:26:41,120
McCaffrey and Debo have much 
higher single game ceilings. 

564
00:26:41,120 --> 00:26:46,040
So to me that just feels like if
the 49ers kind of goes according

565
00:26:46,040 --> 00:26:48,200
to plan, you know, none of these
guys get traded. 

566
00:26:48,200 --> 00:26:50,320
No one misses any significant 
time with injury. 

567
00:26:51,120 --> 00:26:53,520
Probably all of them will be 
pretty good advance rate guys 

568
00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:55,920
because Purdy is pretty cheap 
and they're all pretty good and 

569
00:26:55,920 --> 00:26:59,440
the offense is so concentrated. 
So you just show up to week 17 

570
00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:04,120
with like the third highest 
ceiling projection of the guys. 

571
00:27:04,120 --> 00:27:09,440
And I you know not to say in any
given game he can't be the 

572
00:27:09,480 --> 00:27:11,800
highest scoring player, but I 
still prefer Debo. 

573
00:27:11,800 --> 00:27:15,760
By quite a bit. 
Because he's got the contingent,

574
00:27:16,160 --> 00:27:18,280
because you're saying basically 
if CMC, even if CMC were to go 

575
00:27:18,280 --> 00:27:20,200
down now, we're probably more 
excited about Debo. 

576
00:27:20,240 --> 00:27:24,080
Oh, if CMC goes down like let's 
say CMC tears his need tomorrow,

577
00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,640
where does deep I mean Debo 
immediately leap Prague's iuke, 

578
00:27:26,680 --> 00:27:29,120
I would assume in in ADP I. 
Think you're right? 

579
00:27:29,360 --> 00:27:32,240
Yeah. 
I think Iuke is like absolutely 

580
00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:34,680
ready to completely take off one
of these years. 

581
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:36,480
And well, maybe I maybe I'll 
need to. 

582
00:27:36,640 --> 00:27:41,160
Maybe I'll need to readjust. 
I just like based on the 

583
00:27:41,160 --> 00:27:43,520
evidence that I have when these 
guys are on the field together, 

584
00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:46,440
Debo gets the ball more and he 
scores more points. 

585
00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:49,880
But you know what Debo's about 
to IS he turned. 

586
00:27:49,880 --> 00:27:52,080
He turns 29 this year. 
So. 

587
00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:54,960
That's like a long 29 years. 
Old It's a long 29. 

588
00:27:54,960 --> 00:27:57,240
So that's the other thing is 
Debo could, this could like, 

589
00:27:57,240 --> 00:28:00,080
Debo could, his black marble 
season could be this year it 

590
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:03,160
could be, it could be Week 4. 
Debo kind of like rolls over on 

591
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:06,800
his ankle and it, you know, it's
over, right? 

592
00:28:07,480 --> 00:28:09,720
And there's also the there's 
like I'll I'll put like a ten, 

593
00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:15,080
1520% chance somewhere in there 
that Debo gets traded before the

594
00:28:15,080 --> 00:28:17,120
season. 
And at that point I would want 

595
00:28:17,120 --> 00:28:21,840
IU and like the combat. 
Demo Debo on a non Shanahan 

596
00:28:21,840 --> 00:28:23,240
team. 
I don't. 

597
00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:26,320
I don't have any interest with 
Debo on the Carolina Panthers. 

598
00:28:26,360 --> 00:28:28,600
I'll say he. 
Would go take the Malachi Corley

599
00:28:28,600 --> 00:28:31,520
job with The Jets and he'll be 
in the seventh round. 

600
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:36,000
Oh God, that's disgusting. 
As so, I'm just looking at Brand

601
00:28:36,000 --> 00:28:39,920
IU's Game log. 
Has he ever had a 30 point game 

602
00:28:40,120 --> 00:28:41,600
in PPR? 
No. 

603
00:28:41,600 --> 00:28:43,160
Maybe in maybe in his rookie 
season. 

604
00:28:43,560 --> 00:28:46,320
It is kind of crazy. 
He has on DraftKings with the 

605
00:28:46,320 --> 00:28:49,800
bonus, but he's never had it in.
He's never had it in PPR. 

606
00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,280
Yeah, 'cause last year. 
'S ceiling is just so much 

607
00:28:52,280 --> 00:28:54,360
better historically, if you 
believe that's predictive. 

608
00:28:54,880 --> 00:28:56,680
Right. 
And I mean it makes. 

609
00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:58,960
Sense you are the. 
Originator of that point that 

610
00:28:58,960 --> 00:29:01,040
sometimes you could just look at
a guy's game logs and be like, 

611
00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:03,360
well, he has like literally done
this before. 

612
00:29:04,920 --> 00:29:06,480
Yeah, I mean that's. 
Originator but. 

613
00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:10,120
I'm the originator. 
I'm the first guy to look at box

614
00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:13,200
scores of. 
That. 

615
00:29:16,680 --> 00:29:18,440
Yeah. 
I'm ready for the flip inning. 

616
00:29:18,440 --> 00:29:20,320
This is the year. 
The IU flip inning has been like

617
00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:23,640
this close to happen every 
single year and I feel like this

618
00:29:23,640 --> 00:29:27,320
just this would make sense and I
think he's falling off too like 

619
00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:30,880
he's been in the mix and like 
there's there's odd that either 

620
00:29:30,880 --> 00:29:32,440
one of those guys are at the age
Cliff. 

621
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:34,760
Same thing with CMC. 
And then I like at that point 

622
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:38,160
all of a sudden IU can take 
another lead and like it's go 

623
00:29:38,160 --> 00:29:41,400
time. 
Isn't isn't the someone who 

624
00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:42,760
understands? 
You though go. 

625
00:29:43,120 --> 00:29:44,800
Ahead, OK. 
I was going to say as someone 

626
00:29:44,800 --> 00:29:47,320
who understands contracts better
than we do, is there any like 

627
00:29:47,360 --> 00:29:51,280
contract related reason that 
Debo isn't going to be traded 

628
00:29:51,280 --> 00:29:53,560
until like after June 1st or 
something like that? 

629
00:29:53,560 --> 00:29:57,120
Because I heard that floated, 
but I did not really understand 

630
00:29:57,120 --> 00:29:59,120
why that would be a they're. 
Shopping him on draft night. 

631
00:29:59,480 --> 00:30:01,120
Yeah. 
So on draft night is going to be

632
00:30:01,120 --> 00:30:02,520
hard because you have to pass a 
physical. 

633
00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:05,760
And he wasn't like it's too hard
to do that during the draft 

634
00:30:05,760 --> 00:30:07,520
night. 
The reason why they would want 

635
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:11,800
to do is because they would save
$23 million next year and that's

636
00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:14,360
how much over the cap they are, 
like exactly $23 million. 

637
00:30:14,360 --> 00:30:19,800
So when they have to pay for 
Ayuk and all these guys Purdy, 

638
00:30:20,720 --> 00:30:23,880
they're going to have to get rid
of some some contract and the 

639
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:25,520
most obvious one would be Debo 
Samuel. 

640
00:30:25,520 --> 00:30:28,080
Now the 49ers most likely are 
going to say, well we want to 

641
00:30:28,080 --> 00:30:30,480
try to win the Super Bowl this 
year and we'll try to trade Debo

642
00:30:30,480 --> 00:30:33,440
next year. 
But if they get the right, so 

643
00:30:33,440 --> 00:30:35,360
there's. 
There's been some good reporting

644
00:30:35,360 --> 00:30:40,800
on that from guys around the 
team which is that Debo is the 

645
00:30:41,000 --> 00:30:45,040
the the chess piece. 
Debo is the one that makes the 

646
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:48,040
defensive coordinators be like 
well shit we don't really know 

647
00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:51,120
what to do. 
And I the chats going to start 

648
00:30:51,120 --> 00:30:54,600
doing the man versus zone thing 
to which I will say I have 

649
00:30:54,600 --> 00:30:57,480
literally no interest in like 
literally less than 0 interest 

650
00:30:57,520 --> 00:31:01,160
in but it totally makes sense. 
Like I you you can just like 

651
00:31:01,160 --> 00:31:04,480
he'll win it as the flanker 
he'll win is like he's a great 

652
00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:12,480
NFL wide receiver but you are he
is a less versatile less like 

653
00:31:12,480 --> 00:31:14,760
dynamic after the catch player 
than Debo. 

654
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:19,120
You you can structure an entire 
game plan around like 8 Debo 

655
00:31:19,120 --> 00:31:22,800
Samuel plays you know to to 
break out at any given time. 

656
00:31:23,160 --> 00:31:25,680
So it would make sense why 
Shanahan would not want to trade

657
00:31:25,680 --> 00:31:27,520
him. 
I saw it the other way though, 

658
00:31:27,520 --> 00:31:31,240
because IU is the only one that 
wins down field and it's beyond 

659
00:31:31,240 --> 00:31:34,840
coverage and you can replace the
Debo stuff with more George 

660
00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,720
Kittle, more CMC, more. 
Michael Hartman. 

661
00:31:38,040 --> 00:31:39,960
Could do some of the the. 
Ricky Pierce saw it. 

662
00:31:39,960 --> 00:31:42,960
Some interesting rushing stuff 
in college too, so maybe that's 

663
00:31:42,960 --> 00:31:45,680
their view on the long term. 
Debo replacement potentially. 

664
00:31:45,960 --> 00:31:47,920
Yeah, if they can't throw the 
ball down field, I think all the

665
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,360
Mickey Mouse stuff becomes a lot
less appealing. 

666
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:53,800
So I would guess that they feel 
really confident that they have 

667
00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:56,720
to pay Iuke moving forward. 
He's definitely, I know. 

668
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:00,680
Like, Iuke did really well in 
reception perception in 2022. 

669
00:32:00,920 --> 00:32:04,400
And then I assume he did well 
this past year. 

670
00:32:04,400 --> 00:32:08,480
We don't have it yet, but he was
wide receiver, 8IN open score 

671
00:32:08,640 --> 00:32:11,160
last year. 
So like, I think the point about

672
00:32:11,160 --> 00:32:14,240
him being able to come, like if 
I'm Shanahan, I'm like, this guy

673
00:32:14,240 --> 00:32:16,320
wins without me. 
That's cool, you do that and 

674
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:17,840
then I'll figure out everybody 
else. 

675
00:32:19,000 --> 00:32:22,840
But it is interesting that he 
hasn't like Ayuk feels like he 

676
00:32:22,840 --> 00:32:26,480
could handle so much more, like 
they could just run the offense 

677
00:32:26,480 --> 00:32:27,240
through it. 
But they don't. 

678
00:32:27,480 --> 00:32:29,560
They don't tend to do. 
That they don't really do that. 

679
00:32:29,720 --> 00:32:31,240
Yeah, I don't understand why 
not. 

680
00:32:31,240 --> 00:32:35,480
But like the Tampa Bay game, he 
went nuts. 156 yards and a 

681
00:32:35,480 --> 00:32:37,320
touchdown, but he only had six 
targets. 

682
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:41,160
I mean this like this is like 
George George Kittle. 

683
00:32:41,160 --> 00:32:44,400
George Kittle couldn't handle 
the Kelsey Esque role for years 

684
00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:47,160
and they just had really no 
interest in doing that. 

685
00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:49,640
Right. 
I think my point is like he's 

686
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:53,080
already established he's a 
fourth round pick with a bunch 

687
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:55,720
of target competition without 
these huge spike weeks. 

688
00:32:56,120 --> 00:32:58,520
And that if I if I have to draft
him in the second round this 

689
00:32:58,520 --> 00:33:00,960
year and he turns out to be 1/4 
rounder, I think that's kind of 

690
00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:02,520
how most of the second rounders 
are going to be. 

691
00:33:02,520 --> 00:33:05,560
But if all of a sudden there's 
less target competition, whether

692
00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:11,280
it's a trade or the other older 
guys get injured, now I have a 

693
00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:14,600
chance where I can actually see 
him go up into like the first 

694
00:33:14,600 --> 00:33:17,120
round because like all the other
numbers to me are right there. 

695
00:33:17,120 --> 00:33:21,360
He he seems very, very capable 
of handling like a 30% target 

696
00:33:21,360 --> 00:33:23,280
share. 
I kind of doubt it ever happens 

697
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:26,120
because of the offense he's in. 
But like this is you're buying 

698
00:33:26,120 --> 00:33:28,200
low from a talent perspective. 
I agree with that. 

699
00:33:29,920 --> 00:33:31,640
Let's. 
Move on to a guy we were 

700
00:33:31,640 --> 00:33:34,600
discussing pre show. 
This is the Venn diagram of 

701
00:33:34,600 --> 00:33:37,280
Hayden Winks and Davis Maddock 
takes as I have. 

702
00:33:37,280 --> 00:33:39,680
Pacheco is right in the middle 
there. 

703
00:33:39,920 --> 00:33:44,520
He's up four spots, 7% in ADP. 
Start with Ukraine 'cause I 

704
00:33:44,520 --> 00:33:46,840
think I might be wrong. 
I think maybe you're a little 

705
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:50,360
bit lower on Pacheco than the 
market, or at least not super 

706
00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,800
excited about him. 
What are your thoughts on this 

707
00:33:52,800 --> 00:33:57,920
movement upwards for Pacheco? 
Yeah, I'm, I'm not super excited

708
00:33:57,920 --> 00:34:00,240
about Pacheco, but I generally 
get it. 

709
00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:04,040
I mean, he was good last year. 
He showed a ceiling in a single 

710
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,240
week. 
They, the Chiefs were more 

711
00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:10,040
willing to lean on him than 
they, you know, really they 

712
00:34:10,080 --> 00:34:11,480
usually are with the running 
back. 

713
00:34:11,880 --> 00:34:15,120
There's no competition, 
competition CEH, like that's 

714
00:34:15,120 --> 00:34:17,840
just ideal. 
So I do understand that. 

715
00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:20,320
Daniel Razz this morning 
actually was like, I think he's 

716
00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:22,600
going to end up being in the Top
40 pretty soon. 

717
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:24,880
So we're we moved him up a 
little bit. 

718
00:34:24,880 --> 00:34:28,679
The other thing I would say 
about Pacheco is like I never 

719
00:34:28,679 --> 00:34:32,600
get him falling. 
Like I can get mixing sometimes 

720
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:35,920
at crazy prices. 
It never happens with Pacheco. 

721
00:34:35,920 --> 00:34:40,679
So as I don't love Pacheco, he's
not a priority for me. 

722
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:45,239
But I do think if you want to 
make sure you have some and 

723
00:34:45,239 --> 00:34:47,400
you're just going to have him a 
little bit more top of mind, 

724
00:34:47,400 --> 00:34:50,719
that feels prudent because I 
think he probably does continue 

725
00:34:50,719 --> 00:34:52,719
to move up a little bit. 
So you're you're going to want 

726
00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:56,000
to take him at or a little ahead
of ADP if you're if you're 

727
00:34:56,000 --> 00:34:57,200
trying to get some exposure 
right now? 

728
00:34:58,160 --> 00:34:59,600
Hayden, I know you're 
prioritizing. 

729
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:02,400
I think he was on your list of 
running backs to draft now. 

730
00:35:02,960 --> 00:35:05,560
Could you give a little more of 
like the ceiling bulk case for 

731
00:35:05,560 --> 00:35:08,960
Pacheco? 
So from week 12 on through the 

732
00:35:10,040 --> 00:35:15,240
playoffs, he averaged 17.6 half 
PBR points on 18 Expected 

733
00:35:15,240 --> 00:35:18,280
Points, which both would have 
been the RB3 if you would 

734
00:35:18,280 --> 00:35:19,600
extrapolate that the entire 
season. 

735
00:35:19,600 --> 00:35:21,920
Obviously a little bit of a 
smaller sample, but that was 

736
00:35:21,920 --> 00:35:25,160
like 10 games with Pacheco and 
that would make. 

737
00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:26,960
Sense that's when Mccannon was 
was out. 

738
00:35:27,280 --> 00:35:30,720
Yeah, Mccannon was out and then 
Pacheco day three guy and he's 

739
00:35:30,720 --> 00:35:33,320
like had to earn the trust of 
the coaching staff. 

740
00:35:33,320 --> 00:35:36,280
He had some fumble issues, he 
had some vision issues and now 

741
00:35:36,280 --> 00:35:37,880
he's getting better and that 
would make more. 

742
00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:39,720
Sense his legs were a little 
sore from stomping. 

743
00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:41,680
Yeah, exactly. 
Stomping. 

744
00:35:41,720 --> 00:35:43,640
That big Stompers. 
So yeah, I think I've seen that,

745
00:35:43,640 --> 00:35:48,160
like the role and the points 
last year were really good and I

746
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:50,560
think that we look at like the 
regular season points. 

747
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:53,280
We don't factor in like the NFL 
playoffs, like he was balling in

748
00:35:53,280 --> 00:35:55,200
the playoffs. 
And I think like that is when 

749
00:35:55,480 --> 00:35:57,480
the team really cares about all 
that. 

750
00:35:57,480 --> 00:36:00,160
So I think there's a little bit 
of a discount on like not 

751
00:36:00,160 --> 00:36:01,440
looking at the playoff box 
scores. 

752
00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:04,400
And then the other note with him
is I was looking like who 

753
00:36:04,400 --> 00:36:07,040
finishes like top three overall 
took a version of the legendary 

754
00:36:07,040 --> 00:36:09,360
upside and not even about the 
players. 

755
00:36:09,360 --> 00:36:13,200
It's like what teams they're on 
and over like the last decade, 

756
00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:15,800
the teams have finished or the 
run backs have finished either 

757
00:36:15,800 --> 00:36:17,920
first, second or third on the 
season. 

758
00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:21,960
They played on a team that had a
above 500 winning percentage 80%

759
00:36:21,960 --> 00:36:26,640
of the time and 50% of those top
three running backs played on a 

760
00:36:26,640 --> 00:36:30,120
team that won 67% of their 
games, which is like top five. 

761
00:36:30,320 --> 00:36:33,760
So like there really is like a 
more or less short list of guys 

762
00:36:33,760 --> 00:36:35,960
that can do that. 
I think Breece Hall could be a 

763
00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:37,240
little bit of an exception this 
year. 

764
00:36:37,240 --> 00:36:40,800
Maybe Bijan, who might not be 
that on that good of teams, but 

765
00:36:41,000 --> 00:36:44,800
there's only so many teams that 
project for 11-12 wins and 

766
00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:47,480
Pacheco is one of them and he 
goes fairly late. 

767
00:36:47,920 --> 00:36:49,960
Zach Moss would be another 
player. 

768
00:36:49,960 --> 00:36:51,920
That's their running back that's
really low. 

769
00:36:51,920 --> 00:36:55,920
But. 
That was a good one. 

770
00:36:56,880 --> 00:37:00,800
Snuck that in there. 
I did also want to. 

771
00:37:00,800 --> 00:37:03,960
So I don't know, I I think 
Pacheco too like and I've 

772
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,200
hidden, I've even heard you and 
Josh talk about this like in 

773
00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:07,840
years past. 
You're not that excited about 

774
00:37:08,040 --> 00:37:09,840
Isaiah. 
Pacheco like the talent at 

775
00:37:09,840 --> 00:37:12,680
running back necessarily. 
You go into his advanced stuff 

776
00:37:12,680 --> 00:37:16,280
last year and I just put Taylor 
there as as an example that of 

777
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:18,640
you know, a running back that 
everyone considers to be some 

778
00:37:18,640 --> 00:37:21,000
elite talent. 
I'm not saying Pacheco is better

779
00:37:21,000 --> 00:37:23,880
than Jonathan Taylor, but if you
look at the stats from last 

780
00:37:23,880 --> 00:37:28,600
year, he basically was. 
But I am saying that, but I'm 

781
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:29,760
actually. 
I'm saying. 

782
00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:34,040
That so I picked Taylor's worst 
year and Pacheco's the last year

783
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:38,760
and he's better than him but no.
But he's top ten, top 15 and 

784
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:42,040
seriously like and the 
competition is literally a rugby

785
00:37:42,040 --> 00:37:44,760
player. 
CEH and like well, Michael P 

786
00:37:44,760 --> 00:37:48,760
Rein like let's get real there. 
There's not really like the risk

787
00:37:48,760 --> 00:37:51,760
of him. 
Yeah the risk of him losing his 

788
00:37:51,760 --> 00:37:55,640
workload isn't like in the true 
dead zone risk where like he 

789
00:37:55,640 --> 00:37:58,640
could lose his job or be forced 
into like a 5050 committee. 

790
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,560
It could be the same thing as 
last year where they find 

791
00:38:01,560 --> 00:38:04,520
someone to take the McKinnon 
role and you just get Pacheco in

792
00:38:04,520 --> 00:38:07,800
that like 60% role again fine. 
That's that's not great. 

793
00:38:07,800 --> 00:38:10,360
That's not a huge win there, but
I do think there is some like 

794
00:38:10,360 --> 00:38:13,320
workhorse, esque potential for 
Pacheco. 

795
00:38:13,320 --> 00:38:15,920
Just cause like seriously who 
who else are they going to play?

796
00:38:15,920 --> 00:38:18,400
Who else are they going to trust
on pass downs for Patrick 

797
00:38:18,400 --> 00:38:20,400
Mahomes? 
Like there's just there's nobody

798
00:38:20,400 --> 00:38:22,320
there. 
One one reason I'm having 

799
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:26,200
trouble getting Pacheco and I 
think the market's just going to

800
00:38:26,200 --> 00:38:29,360
force my hand on this and it'll 
actually, I'll end up when he 

801
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:32,000
moves up, I'll actually getting 
more, I'll end up getting more 

802
00:38:32,000 --> 00:38:34,640
of him. 
But I've been taking James Cook 

803
00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:37,800
ahead of Pacheco, and that's one
where you make the arguments 

804
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:39,840
about the offense powering these
guys. 

805
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:42,520
I mean, I get the Bills offense 
that seems pretty great. 

806
00:38:42,520 --> 00:38:44,280
They threw to the running back 
way more at the end of the 

807
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:47,040
season, so I get that kind of 
that kind of boost to it. 

808
00:38:47,320 --> 00:38:50,400
I also had, I mean, James Cook 
went nuts in a couple games late

809
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:55,760
in the season against Dallas, he
had 25 carries, 179 yards, a 

810
00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:59,280
touchdown, 42 more receiving 
yards and another touchdown or 

811
00:38:59,280 --> 00:39:02,360
two receptions. 
The week before, he had 83 

812
00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:05,440
receiving yards and a touchdown,
58 yards on 10 carries. 

813
00:39:05,440 --> 00:39:06,760
Didn't get the the workhorse 
uses. 

814
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:10,200
But in Week 16, he had another 
20 carries, 70 yards. 

815
00:39:11,800 --> 00:39:15,160
He he closes with 16 carries, 13
carries, 18 carries, 18 carries.

816
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:20,280
He now has Ray Davis, who's 
actually older than CEH. 

817
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:24,560
I just made that up. 
But you really you. 

818
00:39:24,840 --> 00:39:26,600
Didn't even say that. 
I believe that you might be. 

819
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:28,760
Right, I might. 
Actually be right. 

820
00:39:29,120 --> 00:39:31,600
Flip the coins. 
You're you're not looking at 

821
00:39:31,600 --> 00:39:34,120
like a ton of competition. 
Now you do have it the the 

822
00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:36,520
obvious push back is goal line 
stuff. 

823
00:39:36,680 --> 00:39:37,920
Does Cook get used to the goal 
line? 

824
00:39:38,000 --> 00:39:41,040
I don't know does Pacheco get 
used to the goal line 100% 

825
00:39:41,040 --> 00:39:42,720
definitely. 
So that's pretty great. 

826
00:39:42,720 --> 00:39:46,160
But like, you have to me, I'm 
like this dude, I think Cook is 

827
00:39:46,360 --> 00:39:48,080
better. 
Like I think Cook is a better 

828
00:39:48,080 --> 00:39:51,320
running back and what if he gets
the goal line usage? 

829
00:39:52,240 --> 00:39:54,040
I have to take a little bit of 
leap of faith with that. 

830
00:39:54,040 --> 00:39:57,440
But I feel like if he does, 
like, good luck without him, 

831
00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:59,760
like he's gonna smash. 
Yeah, Crane, I've. 

832
00:39:59,840 --> 00:40:02,000
I've got some new advanced stat 
for you. 

833
00:40:02,000 --> 00:40:02,920
I don't know if you've heard of 
it. 

834
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:06,280
It's called touchdowns. 
James Cook has two rushing 

835
00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:08,040
touchdowns each of the last two 
years. 

836
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:10,000
So you might you might want to. 
Yeah, I mean, it's a, it's an 

837
00:40:10,040 --> 00:40:12,080
Ecoler thing, right? 
It's like, do they give him it? 

838
00:40:12,080 --> 00:40:13,600
It is. 
Do they give him the work? 

839
00:40:13,680 --> 00:40:17,080
Because like, if they give him 
the work and you didn't think 

840
00:40:17,120 --> 00:40:19,880
James Cook in the fifth round, 
like you're you're gonna be 

841
00:40:19,880 --> 00:40:21,400
hurting. 
You're gonna be, yeah. 

842
00:40:21,680 --> 00:40:25,280
That's dog levels. 
Crane, I I dog, dog, dog per 

843
00:40:25,280 --> 00:40:30,440
pound and dog per year. 
Ray Ray Davis is is a dog. 

844
00:40:30,640 --> 00:40:34,480
I I I think I think I think he's
gonna be the goal. 

845
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:35,080
I back. 
For yeah. 

846
00:40:35,080 --> 00:40:36,880
And he and he ages in dog years,
yeah. 

847
00:40:37,520 --> 00:40:42,880
Well done. 
I yeah, James Cook, three months

848
00:40:42,880 --> 00:40:46,080
older than Ray Davis. 
That to me, I I mean, you guys 

849
00:40:46,080 --> 00:40:48,560
can correct me or or or say if 
you think I'm wrong. 

850
00:40:48,560 --> 00:40:51,120
To me, I sort of felt like the 
team that takes Ray Davis 

851
00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:54,200
totally understands what they're
buying, which is about 20-6 

852
00:40:54,200 --> 00:40:56,920
months of a serviceable running 
back and they plan to put him. 

853
00:40:57,360 --> 00:41:00,280
I I don't think there's any 
seasoning for Ray Davis. 

854
00:41:00,280 --> 00:41:03,600
I think it was whichever team 
takes him, he's like got to be 

855
00:41:03,600 --> 00:41:06,360
ready to go right away. 
There's just no point in taking 

856
00:41:06,360 --> 00:41:10,120
him and being like he's fine. 
He's ready made. 

857
00:41:10,800 --> 00:41:13,320
You take the plastic off and you
put Ray Davis on the lineup. 

858
00:41:13,520 --> 00:41:17,400
So the the James Cook fall to me
I I preferred Pacheco over him 

859
00:41:17,400 --> 00:41:19,520
anyway. 
So I I just because they're 

860
00:41:19,520 --> 00:41:21,920
you're on the clock and they're 
both there a good bit of the 

861
00:41:21,920 --> 00:41:23,600
time. 
So I wasn't taking him to begin 

862
00:41:23,600 --> 00:41:28,600
with and now with Ray Davis 
being, I think, legit 

863
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:30,760
competition for the most 
important touches. 

864
00:41:30,760 --> 00:41:34,320
I mean, touchdowns on underdog 
are that's what's going to swing

865
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:38,200
all the money and how does James
Cook get those touchdowns? 

866
00:41:38,920 --> 00:41:42,440
To make Sam's point. 
But to make Sam's point, Josh 

867
00:41:42,440 --> 00:41:44,600
Allen is literally bigger than 
Mike Evans. 

868
00:41:44,600 --> 00:41:47,320
So when they get down to the 
goal, you know who's the actual 

869
00:41:47,320 --> 00:41:49,080
goal line back here? 
Well, true, yeah. 

870
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:53,600
Also, he's got lots of pressure.
Also like the The Eckler thing, 

871
00:41:53,600 --> 00:41:55,400
I do think is a little bit 
different 'cause he had a 

872
00:41:55,400 --> 00:41:59,040
legitimate blocker in Melvin 
Gordon for most of his career 

873
00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:02,240
who was a a good running back. 
I think with James Cook they're 

874
00:42:02,240 --> 00:42:04,360
trotting out 35. 
Jonas. 

875
00:42:04,360 --> 00:42:07,760
Murray they're trotting out Todd
like they're they're just not 

876
00:42:07,760 --> 00:42:10,400
showing any faith in it. 
So I do agree with Ukraine, like

877
00:42:10,720 --> 00:42:13,440
we did see it with Eckler and 
maybe, there's, I don't know, 

878
00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:16,080
1020% chance Cook gets this goal
line role. 

879
00:42:16,240 --> 00:42:18,120
If he does, that's awesome. 
He's a smash. 

880
00:42:18,120 --> 00:42:21,040
But I just think it's like a 
big, big, big if that they're 

881
00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:23,040
going. 
To give him here I've got to I I

882
00:42:23,200 --> 00:42:25,520
I meant to say this earlier when
we were talking about Pacheco 

883
00:42:25,520 --> 00:42:28,760
but I'll I'll do let's do a 
blind resume here for for 

884
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:33,000
Pacheco and another formerly 
fantasy great Chiefs running 

885
00:42:33,000 --> 00:42:35,760
back. 
This was the the Chiefs running 

886
00:42:35,760 --> 00:42:40,000
back in 2018. 
Eleven games, 181 rushing 

887
00:42:40,000 --> 00:42:43,600
attempts, 800 yards, 7 
touchdowns with 26 receptions. 

888
00:42:43,720 --> 00:42:48,680
Weirdly 7 receiving touchdowns. 
Isaiah Pacheco in 13 in 14 games

889
00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:53,800
last season. 205 rushes, 935 
yards, 7 touchdowns, 44 

890
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:57,840
receptions, only two touchdowns.
So basically the same stat line 

891
00:42:57,960 --> 00:43:02,720
with the touchdowns swapped. 
That 2018 Chiefs running back 

892
00:43:02,720 --> 00:43:06,160
was Cream Hunt who was a first 
round pick and now the market is

893
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:08,680
saying no thank you Isaiah 
Pacheco. 

894
00:43:08,680 --> 00:43:11,240
I was waiting. 
Pretty interesting. 

895
00:43:11,240 --> 00:43:14,880
Darrell Williams or yeah, the 
other chief Kareem, I was. 

896
00:43:14,880 --> 00:43:16,400
Waiting for like Kyle Kyle Davis
or something. 

897
00:43:18,000 --> 00:43:20,360
Well, Kareem it, it would have 
been, it would have been more 

898
00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:22,640
games. 
But then Kareem Hunt got cut 

899
00:43:22,640 --> 00:43:25,720
from the team for and then and 
then by the way Daryl Williams 

900
00:43:25,720 --> 00:43:27,840
just continue to do the exact 
same thing with that. 

901
00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:31,120
No disruption. 
Like, literally no disruption to

902
00:43:31,120 --> 00:43:33,000
what the Chiefs were doing in 
anyway, so. 

903
00:43:34,120 --> 00:43:38,320
So one thing I'll just note on 
James Cook in terms of the kind 

904
00:43:38,320 --> 00:43:42,120
of his ability at the goal line 
stuff, his, his I wrote about 

905
00:43:42,120 --> 00:43:45,800
this last year with success rate
actually having a little bit of 

906
00:43:45,800 --> 00:43:47,560
correlation to goal line 
opportunity. 

907
00:43:47,560 --> 00:43:51,840
The following year, you could 
potentially look at James Cook 

908
00:43:51,840 --> 00:43:54,960
and be like, oh, he's basically 
like a DeAndre Swift, kind of 

909
00:43:54,960 --> 00:43:59,600
like better than that, he's 
better than that. 

910
00:43:59,640 --> 00:44:03,760
He had a 43% success rate last 
year, which was just behind 

911
00:44:03,760 --> 00:44:05,920
James Connor and Deontay 
Foreman, ahead of Kyron 

912
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:09,000
Williams. 
Yeah, he was like top ten in the

913
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:12,280
NFL and success rate, right? 
Yeah, it was HM White, 

914
00:44:12,280 --> 00:44:16,600
McCaffrey, Hubbard, Montgomery, 
Connor Foreman, James Cook, then

915
00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:19,680
Kyron, then Naji, then Khalil 
Herbert, then Zach Moss. 

916
00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,160
So and then Zeke, actually. 
So it's like these dudes are 

917
00:44:23,160 --> 00:44:25,680
like guys who hit the right hole
pretty well. 

918
00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:30,640
If Cook's doing that, I think 
he's got a shot to get some of 

919
00:44:30,640 --> 00:44:33,280
that work over a rookie day 
three guy. 

920
00:44:33,400 --> 00:44:35,960
Like, I think, I don't think 
it's as big an if as you're 

921
00:44:35,960 --> 00:44:39,280
painting it as. 
And the, you know, I I think 

922
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:42,600
Hayden's point about Josh Allen 
being there is, is more 

923
00:44:42,600 --> 00:44:44,720
concerning. 
And you probably need to. 

924
00:44:44,720 --> 00:44:47,080
I mean, everyone else has 
already been doing this, but you

925
00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:49,920
probably, Pat needs to start 
taking Pacheco ahead of Cook, 

926
00:44:49,960 --> 00:44:51,280
'cause I think I think that 
makes sense. 

927
00:44:51,280 --> 00:44:53,800
You're getting you want to have 
access to some of these, some of

928
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:55,600
these guys. 
But I if Cook's going to fall to

929
00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:59,000
the fifth, like, I really think 
that's a pretty big opportunity 

930
00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:04,160
to get an explosive, versatile 
running back on a on an elite 

931
00:45:04,160 --> 00:45:06,720
offense. 
Just looking. 

932
00:45:06,720 --> 00:45:11,120
Josh Allen was 7th and inside 
the five yard line carries last 

933
00:45:11,120 --> 00:45:13,240
year. 
So that I think that's like the 

934
00:45:13,960 --> 00:45:16,720
probably the one thing that 
Austin Eckler didn't have to 

935
00:45:16,720 --> 00:45:20,320
worry about is his quarterback 
getting involved down there. 

936
00:45:21,000 --> 00:45:24,120
But I James Cody I think is 
still a fantastic pick. 

937
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:26,240
Like he didn't have to score the
touchdowns to be worth that 

938
00:45:26,240 --> 00:45:27,680
price tag. 
Like, yeah. 

939
00:45:28,000 --> 00:45:30,080
And I agree with Ukraine. 
He's he's just like a great 

940
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:31,440
player. 
I think he's shown that in two 

941
00:45:31,440 --> 00:45:33,000
years. 
So if you just want to bet on 

942
00:45:33,000 --> 00:45:35,920
the talent and sometimes the 
situation, the role can kind of 

943
00:45:35,920 --> 00:45:37,400
fall into place. 
So I think that's a good point. 

944
00:45:37,800 --> 00:45:40,120
Let's move on to talking about 
Sam Laporta. 

945
00:45:40,440 --> 00:45:42,560
We kind of tease the elite 
tight. 

946
00:45:42,640 --> 00:45:45,240
End I might as well be fucking 
invisible when I'm drafting on. 

947
00:45:45,240 --> 00:45:50,240
Yeah, what's the point? 
Literally, what is the point? 

948
00:45:51,000 --> 00:45:54,160
I don't get it at all. 
He didn't separate at all. 

949
00:45:54,480 --> 00:45:57,640
He was like, on a technicality, 
the tight end one last year. 

950
00:45:57,720 --> 00:46:01,200
Literally a technicality. 
But I don't know, man, you're 

951
00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:02,680
paying. 
Something to the judges. 

952
00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:07,440
Yeah. 
I think it literally was like 

953
00:46:07,560 --> 00:46:12,920
him at 11.1 half PPR points per 
game and then like 10 guys from 

954
00:46:12,920 --> 00:46:16,040
like 10 to 11.1. 
Or, you know, I'm exaggerating, 

955
00:46:16,040 --> 00:46:20,360
but it's something like that. 
I don't know, Crane. 

956
00:46:20,360 --> 00:46:22,560
I think you're probably most 
interested in taking him. 

957
00:46:22,560 --> 00:46:24,400
So I'll. 
I'll give to you what's like. 

958
00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:27,440
What could we all be missing? 
What's the reason why? 

959
00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:30,120
LaPorte is a good pick here if 
you were to paint that case. 

960
00:46:30,320 --> 00:46:32,800
He's not that great of a pick. 
He's the number 2. 

961
00:46:34,080 --> 00:46:36,000
Option one. 
Yeah, he's, he's. 

962
00:46:36,120 --> 00:46:38,120
He's not. 
I don't think he's a horrendous 

963
00:46:38,120 --> 00:46:39,480
pick because you're getting 
like. 

964
00:46:39,600 --> 00:46:42,080
Whatever. 
Yeah, you're getting a guy who 

965
00:46:42,080 --> 00:46:43,560
was. 
All right, here's the bull case.

966
00:46:43,600 --> 00:46:47,360
You're getting a dude who was 
just but a tight end one on a 

967
00:46:47,360 --> 00:46:48,880
technicality, but the tight end 
one. 

968
00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:51,960
As a rookie when we just heard, 
you know, rookie tight ends 

969
00:46:51,960 --> 00:46:54,520
can't produce. 
He comes in and immediately is 

970
00:46:54,520 --> 00:46:57,480
the tight end one in fantasy and
now you're getting him in the 

971
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:00,640
third round. 
That seems pretty good. 

972
00:47:00,920 --> 00:47:04,280
The problem is that all the 
other tight ends are going 

973
00:47:04,280 --> 00:47:08,880
behind him and I think probably 
have stronger cases to to be the

974
00:47:08,880 --> 00:47:12,480
tight end one this year. 
So it's I don't, I don't want to

975
00:47:12,480 --> 00:47:14,840
break the SEAL. 
Like I like the elite, elite 

976
00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:17,640
tight ends a lot this year. 
But in part it's because like 

977
00:47:17,920 --> 00:47:18,880
I'm getting. 
I'm getting him. 

978
00:47:18,880 --> 00:47:21,720
After Sam LaPorte, the number 2 
on the Lions, I can get the the 

979
00:47:21,720 --> 00:47:24,280
number one on the Chiefs still 
in Travis Kelsey. 

980
00:47:24,280 --> 00:47:26,360
I can get potentially the number
one on the Ravens. 

981
00:47:26,360 --> 00:47:29,120
I can get the, you know, if I 
won a #2, why don't I take Trey 

982
00:47:29,120 --> 00:47:30,800
McBride in the in the 4th or 
5th. 

983
00:47:31,440 --> 00:47:33,760
Dalton Kincaid might be the 
number one on the bills. 

984
00:47:34,720 --> 00:47:38,280
You know probably, probably not.
But like at the worst case I'm 

985
00:47:38,280 --> 00:47:40,120
getting the number 2 on the 
Bills and you have the number 2 

986
00:47:40,120 --> 00:47:42,640
on the Lions. 
So I, you know, I like LaPorte. 

987
00:47:42,640 --> 00:47:46,560
I think he's very talented. 
But it does feel a little 

988
00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:49,080
expensive compared to the rest 
of the position. 

989
00:47:49,080 --> 00:47:52,080
OK. 
Do you guys know how many just 

990
00:47:52,160 --> 00:47:57,120
raw half PPR points Sam LaPorte 
scored to be the tight end one 

991
00:47:57,120 --> 00:47:58,680
last year? 
Just like don't look, just 

992
00:47:58,680 --> 00:48:01,680
guess, just say a number. 
Like 100 game or? 

993
00:48:02,160 --> 00:48:06,640
Total cumulative. 160, I'm going
to 192. 

994
00:48:07,000 --> 00:48:11,440
I'll go 180. 196 point. 
Wow, I hate it. 

995
00:48:12,400 --> 00:48:17,600
That. 
Is like sort of you put that in 

996
00:48:17,600 --> 00:48:19,840
context. 
That was like as many points as 

997
00:48:19,840 --> 00:48:22,640
Jerome Ford scored. 
Last year, the projections don't

998
00:48:22,640 --> 00:48:24,520
make sense. 
It's it's just doesn't. 

999
00:48:24,520 --> 00:48:26,720
It's just immaterial what what 
it is, is. 

1000
00:48:26,720 --> 00:48:30,800
He could finish tight end one. 
He could duplicate last year's 

1001
00:48:30,800 --> 00:48:34,080
performance and just be 
completely immaterial, you know,

1002
00:48:34,120 --> 00:48:36,000
Just it just won't matter, you 
know? 

1003
00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:38,680
The other thing is he scored 10 
touchdowns. 

1004
00:48:39,080 --> 00:48:40,680
His like, expected points. 
Obviously he's good. 

1005
00:48:40,680 --> 00:48:41,880
The Lions are good. 
All that. 

1006
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:45,080
He scored four more points and 
like his usage would indicate #1

1007
00:48:45,560 --> 00:48:49,480
and over expected touchdowns at 
tight end and he did that. 

1008
00:48:49,480 --> 00:48:52,120
He barely squeaked by as the 
tight end one. 

1009
00:48:52,120 --> 00:48:55,520
So yeah, I don't know, I think 
it was, Gretch said. 

1010
00:48:55,520 --> 00:48:58,920
Like we got a draft like Boomers
a little bit more this year and 

1011
00:48:58,920 --> 00:49:02,600
like sit there, look at the 
projections and then kind of 

1012
00:49:02,600 --> 00:49:04,280
figure out how we should be 
drafting. 

1013
00:49:04,640 --> 00:49:06,600
And I think that Sam Laporta is 
going to be one of the guys when

1014
00:49:06,800 --> 00:49:09,080
once everyone's posted their 
projections, it's like wait a 

1015
00:49:09,080 --> 00:49:11,480
minute, why is why is he 1/3 
rounder? 

1016
00:49:11,840 --> 00:49:13,560
Dude, that's a great call. 
Actually, it's probably the 

1017
00:49:13,560 --> 00:49:17,160
worst time to draft Sam Laporta 
where like, these aren't as 

1018
00:49:17,160 --> 00:49:19,520
projection driven as they're 
going to be. 

1019
00:49:19,880 --> 00:49:22,680
And like, Kelsey's going to flip
Laporta once. 

1020
00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:25,120
Projections are driving this 
stuff more right? 

1021
00:49:26,200 --> 00:49:28,920
And he she should. 
I mean, unless you're completely

1022
00:49:28,920 --> 00:49:31,120
ignoring the playoff run last 
year and saying it didn't 

1023
00:49:31,120 --> 00:49:33,800
happen. 
Kelsey's ceiling versus Laporta.

1024
00:49:35,840 --> 00:49:38,400
The team, the team thought 
Kelsey might be done. 

1025
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:41,080
They thought they might have. 
They thought he, he literally 

1026
00:49:41,080 --> 00:49:43,640
ended his season in practice 
before the Lions gave. 

1027
00:49:43,640 --> 00:49:46,640
They were they like, you get 
like, do people remember that? 

1028
00:49:46,800 --> 00:49:49,560
Like, he played with this crazy 
ankle injury all year there. 

1029
00:49:49,560 --> 00:49:54,520
There's like a very real reason 
why why he had a a bad year. 

1030
00:49:54,720 --> 00:49:56,680
I don't think people will 
remember that, actually, and 

1031
00:49:56,680 --> 00:49:57,320
that. 
I don't think. 

1032
00:49:57,320 --> 00:49:59,040
They do. 
He didn't play Week 1. 

1033
00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:01,600
And people, again, people don't 
count the playoff stats, which 

1034
00:50:01,600 --> 00:50:03,200
is always so dumb. 
I don't get that. 

1035
00:50:03,200 --> 00:50:05,800
But look at Kelsey in the 
playoffs like he wasn't. 

1036
00:50:05,800 --> 00:50:07,760
Just look at. 
Kelsey in the playoffs like but 

1037
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:10,800
do look at Kelsey in the 
playoffs but like he they the 

1038
00:50:10,800 --> 00:50:13,760
team that just won the Super 
Bowl was like how do how do we 

1039
00:50:13,760 --> 00:50:15,880
get here And it was the answer 
was Travis Kelsey. 

1040
00:50:15,960 --> 00:50:18,080
Like, this dude is not dumb. 
Yeah. 

1041
00:50:18,680 --> 00:50:23,280
Yeah, I I we have a season long 
projections in pick em on our 

1042
00:50:23,280 --> 00:50:24,480
dog and I was looking at 
Kelsey's. 

1043
00:50:24,840 --> 00:50:27,680
There's wide receivers who are 
going ahead of him like Zay 

1044
00:50:27,680 --> 00:50:31,120
Flowers who have a lower 
straight up season long 

1045
00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:33,160
projections than Kelsey does as 
the tight end. 

1046
00:50:33,600 --> 00:50:37,120
Like I don't know it just seems 
bad like he's still projected 

1047
00:50:37,120 --> 00:50:39,880
for over 1000 yards and there's 
wide receivers projected from 

1048
00:50:39,880 --> 00:50:41,760
the eight hundreds. 
Are you? 

1049
00:50:41,760 --> 00:50:44,800
Recommending an elite tight end.
I'll take. 

1050
00:50:44,800 --> 00:50:47,680
I don't mind Kelsey in the 
fourth, fifth round standing 

1051
00:50:47,680 --> 00:50:50,320
with. 
Marc Andrews 5th, come on right.

1052
00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:52,280
Now he's in the what 4th? 
Round in the fifth round, we're 

1053
00:50:52,280 --> 00:50:53,960
taking Jaden Reed ahead of him. 
Like what? 

1054
00:50:54,400 --> 00:50:56,160
Exactly. 
I don't want Jaden Reed either. 

1055
00:50:57,040 --> 00:50:58,080
You mean Marc? 
Andrews. 

1056
00:50:58,760 --> 00:51:02,080
That's the point of like 
Andrews, too, of of the point of

1057
00:51:02,080 --> 00:51:03,640
drafting like a boomer this 
year. 

1058
00:51:03,640 --> 00:51:07,200
Like with tight ends, Like I'm 
drafting the guys where I've 

1059
00:51:07,200 --> 00:51:11,520
seen them be elite for years. 
Like give me Marc Andrews, give 

1060
00:51:11,520 --> 00:51:13,400
me Kelsey. 
Give me George Kittle. 

1061
00:51:13,400 --> 00:51:15,240
I'm I'm OK with trade McBride 
too. 

1062
00:51:15,240 --> 00:51:19,000
But like, man, Dalton Kincaid. 
Kyle Pitts. 

1063
00:51:19,000 --> 00:51:21,880
Sam Laporta. 
First, the guys we've just seen 

1064
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:24,000
do it over and over and over 
again. 

1065
00:51:24,000 --> 00:51:26,520
Like, for me, that's how I'm 
approaching it. 

1066
00:51:26,520 --> 00:51:29,720
Maybe it's maybe it's drafting 
like a boomer, I don't know. 

1067
00:51:29,720 --> 00:51:33,400
But I just see so many paths of 
Andrews and Kelsey being the 

1068
00:51:33,560 --> 00:51:37,600
elite top passing option on 
their own teams compared to 

1069
00:51:37,600 --> 00:51:43,320
those other guys, so. 
Yeah, no, I I completely agree 

1070
00:51:43,320 --> 00:51:46,160
and I think tight end is is the 
position where drafting like a 

1071
00:51:46,160 --> 00:51:49,200
Boomer's generally been like the
correct way to go. 

1072
00:51:49,200 --> 00:51:52,920
Like the the tight end breakouts
often burn us in a pretty big 

1073
00:51:52,920 --> 00:51:56,680
way. 
I just said I kind of like 

1074
00:51:56,680 --> 00:51:58,240
Kincaid, but I mean, Kincaid 
might suck. 

1075
00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:01,680
He had kind of normal tight end 
efficiency. 

1076
00:52:01,680 --> 00:52:04,360
He might suck as far as the 
number one wide receiver on a 

1077
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:07,240
team with tight end eligibility.
I mean, by that standards he had

1078
00:52:07,240 --> 00:52:10,440
kind of normal ish tight end 
efficiency last year. 

1079
00:52:10,440 --> 00:52:12,320
He's going to be asked to step 
up with no bigger role. 

1080
00:52:12,320 --> 00:52:15,760
I think it gives him a really 
high ceiling, but he might not 

1081
00:52:15,760 --> 00:52:18,320
be that good, you know, and we 
we've obviously chased Kyle 

1082
00:52:18,320 --> 00:52:21,880
Pitts for years and years, no 
ones ever interested in George 

1083
00:52:21,880 --> 00:52:24,120
Kittle. 
And then he he puts up a few big

1084
00:52:24,120 --> 00:52:27,080
Spike weeks every year. 
Can't wait to see how Pitts 

1085
00:52:27,080 --> 00:52:29,240
doesn't get there this year. 
I mean, it's just like, 

1086
00:52:29,840 --> 00:52:31,280
incredible. 
Like, definitely like is. 

1087
00:52:31,480 --> 00:52:34,720
Is Pitts going to get hurt? 
Is it going to be 1100 yards 

1088
00:52:34,720 --> 00:52:37,800
with no touchdowns? 
Is it going to be Rondale Moore 

1089
00:52:37,960 --> 00:52:39,560
finally becoming everything 
we've been? 

1090
00:52:39,560 --> 00:52:44,480
Will it be like they trade for a
wide receiver 140 Darnell Mooney

1091
00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:47,840
target like it's just you know 
he's it's final destination 

1092
00:52:47,840 --> 00:52:51,520
style like whatever needs to 
happen for him to not get there.

1093
00:52:51,520 --> 00:52:56,200
But it is also clearly lining up
for him that I I just, I can't 

1094
00:52:56,200 --> 00:52:57,600
wait. 
This is why we play the game. 

1095
00:52:57,840 --> 00:53:00,840
It's why we play the game. 
How will we get rugged on Kyle 

1096
00:53:00,840 --> 00:53:02,600
Pitts this year? 
It's it's amazing. 

1097
00:53:04,520 --> 00:53:06,600
The guy I hope we don't get 
rugged on is Jonathan Brooks 

1098
00:53:06,600 --> 00:53:08,360
because I've been drafting a ton
of him. 

1099
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:13,720
He's up five spots to pick 92. 
Hayden, where are you at on 

1100
00:53:13,800 --> 00:53:17,720
Brooks at this price? 
Yeah, I think this is another 

1101
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:20,240
good pick here. 
I draft him as like my running 

1102
00:53:20,240 --> 00:53:22,520
back four. 
Sometimes we're running back 

1103
00:53:22,520 --> 00:53:25,560
three. 
I think that he's going to be a 

1104
00:53:25,560 --> 00:53:28,680
little bit capped because the 
Panthers are so awful. 

1105
00:53:28,760 --> 00:53:31,880
But I think like, he has like 
pretty good odds of beating this

1106
00:53:31,880 --> 00:53:34,800
ADP by like a couple rounds. 
I think like by the end of the 

1107
00:53:34,800 --> 00:53:37,800
season they'll probably be like 
running back 18 in rankings or 

1108
00:53:37,800 --> 00:53:40,200
something like that, which is 
rock solid. 

1109
00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:43,080
And if he's really, really good,
you have the chance of him 

1110
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:46,160
completely breaking out. 
At least the Panthers addressed 

1111
00:53:46,160 --> 00:53:48,000
their offensive line this 
offseason. 

1112
00:53:48,760 --> 00:53:52,160
But without the ACL, I thought 
Brooks was very clearly the 

1113
00:53:52,160 --> 00:53:53,520
best. 
Running back in the class, Me 

1114
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:57,400
too. 
Very clearly and and like in 

1115
00:53:57,400 --> 00:54:01,400
ways that like translate very 
obviously to fantasy points like

1116
00:54:01,440 --> 00:54:05,960
size and catching passes. 
So I think the ACL stuff 

1117
00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,560
happened early in the year is 
like a clean tear, if you will 

1118
00:54:08,840 --> 00:54:11,440
that I think he'll be out there 
in the mix starting from week 

1119
00:54:11,440 --> 00:54:12,960
one. 
But it's just the Panthers, 

1120
00:54:12,960 --> 00:54:16,160
like, don't have a lot of faith 
over there. 

1121
00:54:16,360 --> 00:54:18,240
I think they have a lot of faith
in running the ball, though. 

1122
00:54:18,240 --> 00:54:20,280
The Canalis won't stop talking 
about he wants to run the ball. 

1123
00:54:20,280 --> 00:54:21,920
Drafts of running back in the 
second rounds. 

1124
00:54:21,920 --> 00:54:23,560
I think if you're trying, if 
you're coming into that 

1125
00:54:23,560 --> 00:54:27,800
situation, you're like, how am I
going to show progress? 

1126
00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:31,200
It's run the ball a lot. 
You got to run the ball, use 

1127
00:54:31,440 --> 00:54:34,160
Bryce Young on play action 
stuff, but you can't. 

1128
00:54:35,240 --> 00:54:37,320
I don't think you want to 
feature Bryce Young right now. 

1129
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:38,880
Right. 
But I think that goes to the 

1130
00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:43,280
point where it's like he's got 
good odds of beating this ADP 

1131
00:54:43,480 --> 00:54:45,800
because he's going to get a 
bunch of carries and stuff. 

1132
00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:48,320
But if the offense is so run 
first, then you're like, OK, 

1133
00:54:48,600 --> 00:54:51,840
there goes the ceiling, like 
they're just trying to win six 

1134
00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:54,960
games and trying to put up 20 
points each week With a run 

1135
00:54:54,960 --> 00:54:57,280
heavy offense, we're like, OK, 
now there's less of a ceiling 

1136
00:54:57,280 --> 00:54:59,320
because they they're trying to 
run the ball so often. 

1137
00:54:59,320 --> 00:55:02,280
So yeah, I think he's fine. 
Like, I think he's like he makes

1138
00:55:02,280 --> 00:55:04,160
sense in some builds like 
depending on who the running 

1139
00:55:04,160 --> 00:55:07,520
backs you have around him and at
least for like this archetype on

1140
00:55:07,520 --> 00:55:09,200
a bad team, he's at least is a 
rookie. 

1141
00:55:09,200 --> 00:55:11,840
So there is like the anything 
could happen with him. 

1142
00:55:12,080 --> 00:55:15,240
Yeah, and I do think like the 
Canalis factor too. 

1143
00:55:15,280 --> 00:55:19,240
It obviously goes into how much 
you weigh coaching in projecting

1144
00:55:19,240 --> 00:55:21,680
performance. 
But it's been two straight years

1145
00:55:21,680 --> 00:55:24,080
where Dave Canalis has been on a
coaching staff. 

1146
00:55:24,480 --> 00:55:26,600
But going into the season, 
you're like, this is the worst 

1147
00:55:26,600 --> 00:55:29,080
quarterback in the NFL. 
They're going to be a disaster. 

1148
00:55:29,080 --> 00:55:32,080
And he's made them like league 
average, maybe even top twelve 

1149
00:55:32,080 --> 00:55:33,920
options. 
You know it was Geno Smith in 

1150
00:55:33,920 --> 00:55:36,920
2022 when he was the 
quarterbacks coach, I believe in

1151
00:55:36,920 --> 00:55:38,920
Seattle. 
It was Baker last year. 

1152
00:55:38,920 --> 00:55:41,000
No one was touching Baker. 
Everyone thought that was going 

1153
00:55:41,000 --> 00:55:43,240
to be a disaster. 
You know, he led the Bucks to 

1154
00:55:43,720 --> 00:55:46,400
having tons of players that had 
really high fantasy relevance 

1155
00:55:46,680 --> 00:55:49,560
last year. 
So I don't know, like I guess 

1156
00:55:49,560 --> 00:55:53,320
with Bryce Young, I'm, I'm 
seeing the upside maybe a little

1157
00:55:53,320 --> 00:55:57,560
bit more than you guys are. 
Like we we've seen this with top

1158
00:55:57,560 --> 00:55:59,960
quarterbacks where they've 
looked so bad their rookie year.

1159
00:56:00,200 --> 00:56:01,960
Trevor Lawrence is maybe one 
example. 

1160
00:56:02,200 --> 00:56:05,120
You know, Justin Fields 
obviously never became good but 

1161
00:56:05,120 --> 00:56:07,000
got much better than he was as a
rookie. 

1162
00:56:07,240 --> 00:56:12,280
So I can see Carolina being, you
know, the 20th best offense in 

1163
00:56:12,280 --> 00:56:15,640
the league, something like that.
And maybe that's enough for 

1164
00:56:15,640 --> 00:56:17,600
Brooks to to have some upside 
even. 

1165
00:56:17,600 --> 00:56:20,560
Most Most Improved Player of the
Year for Bryce Young, if they 

1166
00:56:20,560 --> 00:56:22,480
get to 20th on offense, for 
sure. 

1167
00:56:22,960 --> 00:56:27,640
But I mean, to your point, Sam, 
like Baker Mayfield was worse in

1168
00:56:27,640 --> 00:56:30,440
this Panthers offense, you know,
two years ago. 

1169
00:56:30,440 --> 00:56:33,840
And then he gets Canalis and he,
he takes a big step forward. 

1170
00:56:34,880 --> 00:56:37,360
So yeah, I mean, maybe I'm 
underselling kind of what 

1171
00:56:37,360 --> 00:56:41,160
Canalis can do a little bit just
in, in terms of making this 

1172
00:56:41,160 --> 00:56:43,560
Panthers offense not terrible. 
And then also maybe they throw 

1173
00:56:43,560 --> 00:56:45,000
to Brooks. 
You know, they just threw to 

1174
00:56:45,000 --> 00:56:48,280
Rashad White a lot. 
Brooks isn't the receiving 

1175
00:56:48,280 --> 00:56:51,080
prospect that White was, but 
he's pretty versatile. 

1176
00:56:51,200 --> 00:56:54,480
I think he can get used a fair 
amount in the receiving game. 

1177
00:56:55,040 --> 00:56:57,440
Brooks is kind of like, maybe 
it's like sort of like what we 

1178
00:56:58,080 --> 00:57:02,960
like wanted DeAndre Swift to be 
is his upside is, is the kind of

1179
00:57:02,960 --> 00:57:05,440
the way I see it. 
But I do wonder, all that said, 

1180
00:57:06,280 --> 00:57:09,040
is this the wrong time to be 
drafting a bunch of Brooks? 

1181
00:57:09,040 --> 00:57:13,240
Because I thought after the 
draft, yes, he he was drafted in

1182
00:57:13,240 --> 00:57:14,800
the second round, but the 
Panthers stink. 

1183
00:57:14,880 --> 00:57:17,760
Like I thought that might drop 
him a little bit. 

1184
00:57:17,760 --> 00:57:20,800
He's been a riser, but so many 
of these rookies have been a 

1185
00:57:20,800 --> 00:57:24,280
riser. 
When, when August drafters come 

1186
00:57:24,280 --> 00:57:27,680
in, are they going to go, This 
is cheap for a running back or 

1187
00:57:27,680 --> 00:57:29,880
are they going to go Panthers? 
Panthers. 

1188
00:57:29,880 --> 00:57:30,880
Gross. 
No thanks. 

1189
00:57:31,040 --> 00:57:32,880
You think he goes up? 
Brooks Brooks goes up. 

1190
00:57:32,880 --> 00:57:36,720
You know who comes down? 
Jalen Warren. 

1191
00:57:37,160 --> 00:57:39,800
Jalen Warren. 
Jalen Warren Will Warren will 

1192
00:57:39,800 --> 00:57:41,960
come down for. 
Sure, Jalen Warren will come 

1193
00:57:41,960 --> 00:57:43,400
down. 
Chase Brown will. 

1194
00:57:43,480 --> 00:57:45,880
Get The problem with waiting to 
draft Jalen Warren is that he's 

1195
00:57:45,880 --> 00:57:48,360
going to break the season. 
So you you want you still want 

1196
00:57:48,360 --> 00:57:51,000
some now? 
Sure, yeah. 

1197
00:57:51,600 --> 00:57:54,120
I'm not the AFC North running 
back that's going to break the 

1198
00:57:54,120 --> 00:57:56,760
season. 
But the issue is, is Chase Brown

1199
00:57:56,760 --> 00:57:59,240
is going to catch a screen pass 
in the preseason. 

1200
00:57:59,720 --> 00:58:01,840
You know Gallup 47 yards 
untouched. 

1201
00:58:01,840 --> 00:58:03,440
You might be Amir Abdullah. 
Yeah, exactly. 

1202
00:58:04,400 --> 00:58:06,640
No, literally. 
We watched the Amir Abdullah 

1203
00:58:06,760 --> 00:58:08,320
clip on the show. 
We did, yeah. 

1204
00:58:09,120 --> 00:58:10,520
It was good. 
It was so. 

1205
00:58:11,000 --> 00:58:13,640
Well, here's the thing about 
Brooks in where he wanted to do 

1206
00:58:13,640 --> 00:58:16,760
truly the ADP chasing. 
He's gonna start training camp 

1207
00:58:16,760 --> 00:58:18,920
on the PUP. 
We know he's going to start on 

1208
00:58:18,920 --> 00:58:21,080
the pup and his price is going 
to fall that day. 

1209
00:58:21,080 --> 00:58:22,920
At the very least, it means 
nothing. 

1210
00:58:22,920 --> 00:58:25,240
I'm not saying we need to draft 
it, but he's going to start 

1211
00:58:25,240 --> 00:58:27,720
training him with the pup and be
with the pup, Oh no. 

1212
00:58:28,000 --> 00:58:30,240
And then you're going to get, 
you're going to get him in the 

1213
00:58:30,240 --> 00:58:32,800
hundreds for at least a day. 
I'm almost wondering though that

1214
00:58:33,000 --> 00:58:37,200
that's the assumption and that 
if we get a little bit of good 

1215
00:58:37,200 --> 00:58:40,960
news on him, like what if he 
doesn't start on the PUP list I?

1216
00:58:40,960 --> 00:58:42,880
Mean it won't matter what's 
depending that won't. 

1217
00:58:43,200 --> 00:58:45,400
Matter the seventh round. 
That won't matter. 

1218
00:58:45,400 --> 00:58:47,800
But but the publicist will move 
him down. 

1219
00:58:48,080 --> 00:58:49,760
You think so? 
I think everyone's assuming 

1220
00:58:50,040 --> 00:58:53,000
assuming that he's. 
Like, gonna every time I think 

1221
00:58:53,000 --> 00:58:54,560
this. 
Like trying to predict ADP, 

1222
00:58:54,560 --> 00:58:57,480
though like every time I think 
something's baked in, it never 

1223
00:58:57,480 --> 00:58:59,240
is. 
It's never baked in. 

1224
00:58:59,240 --> 00:59:00,920
Kirk Cousins might go to the 
Falcons. 

1225
00:59:00,920 --> 00:59:02,800
That seems like at least a 50% 
chance. 

1226
00:59:02,800 --> 00:59:05,560
Dustin Fields might get traded 
for a conditional 4th round pick

1227
00:59:05,560 --> 00:59:07,680
goes from quarterback 8th to 
quarterback 45. 

1228
00:59:07,680 --> 00:59:10,200
It's never even. 
Yeah, Drake London jumped from 

1229
00:59:10,200 --> 00:59:13,280
the 4th to the to the early 2nd 
on the cousin. 

1230
00:59:13,280 --> 00:59:15,640
None of it was baked in, just 
not like a 0%. 

1231
00:59:15,640 --> 00:59:17,800
It was crazy to me. 
So anyway, I don't. 

1232
00:59:17,800 --> 00:59:20,840
I think, yeah. 
I think it'll move either, it'll

1233
00:59:20,840 --> 00:59:22,680
move either way. 
And just on the injury timeline 

1234
00:59:22,680 --> 00:59:27,280
stuff, I think Brooks had a 
surgery December 5th, so a nine 

1235
00:59:27,280 --> 00:59:30,720
month timeline exactly 9 months 
that would mean return to action

1236
00:59:30,720 --> 00:59:32,440
September 5th, that's like week 
one. 

1237
00:59:32,640 --> 00:59:34,320
I think it could go, it could go
either way. 

1238
00:59:34,320 --> 00:59:38,080
Whether he's like on the 
training camp pop or not, I 

1239
00:59:38,080 --> 00:59:40,880
think I don't know the the news 
is is been generally positive 

1240
00:59:40,880 --> 00:59:42,960
around that. 
So we'll see. 

1241
00:59:43,480 --> 00:59:45,680
Let's let's move on. 
I don't think he starts the 

1242
00:59:45,680 --> 00:59:48,840
season on pop. 
So any, like, pup stuff, we Oh 

1243
00:59:48,880 --> 00:59:52,360
yeah, yeah, yeah, we attack 
that, we attack it, but yeah. 

1244
00:59:52,640 --> 00:59:54,840
Especially hidden. close your 
close your ears for a second. 

1245
00:59:54,840 --> 00:59:58,200
Especially on DraftKings where 
he's gonna get that Q tag. 

1246
00:59:58,920 --> 01:00:01,360
Oh boy, he's gonna drop. 
He's gonna drop a bunch on 

1247
01:00:01,360 --> 01:00:06,800
DraftKings, yeah. 
I think Davis is gone for his 

1248
01:00:06,800 --> 01:00:09,680
his TV. 
No, he's gonna, he's gonna come 

1249
01:00:09,680 --> 01:00:11,400
back and then no, he's. 
Gonna come back? 

1250
01:00:11,400 --> 01:00:12,360
Not yet. 
Yeah, he's. 

1251
01:00:12,400 --> 01:00:15,800
Gonna put on now, can we get the
Q tag on underdog? 

1252
01:00:15,800 --> 01:00:18,760
Why? 
Why can we not just or or even 

1253
01:00:18,760 --> 01:00:20,720
better? 
Can we get can we get 

1254
01:00:20,720 --> 01:00:22,360
misinformation on your site 
please? 

1255
01:00:24,720 --> 01:00:28,760
Can we get Rashi rice just can 
we display it with a red O? 

1256
01:00:28,760 --> 01:00:31,760
Or maybe just put Rashi Rice's 
name in red? 

1257
01:00:32,280 --> 01:00:34,320
No. 
Like a What about like a jail? 

1258
01:00:34,320 --> 01:00:37,000
A jail cell around it. 
Can we do this emoji? 

1259
01:00:39,680 --> 01:00:41,680
Emoji tags would be glorious. 
Could we? 

1260
01:00:41,840 --> 01:00:46,680
Please, I just whatever. 
How can I use that platform to 

1261
01:00:46,680 --> 01:00:49,480
get Ashy right to be like a 
round 12 pick so that it doesn't

1262
01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:51,960
even matter to my bottom line if
he doesn't play this year? 

1263
01:00:53,040 --> 01:00:55,960
All you just need is it's a rain
to drop him to 180 in his 

1264
01:00:55,960 --> 01:00:57,880
rankings and then see what 
happens. 

1265
01:01:00,200 --> 01:01:03,840
No, sadly, I I mean, I think 
Cray has sway, but he doesn't 

1266
01:01:03,840 --> 01:01:05,560
have Leone sway. 
What we need is. 

1267
01:01:05,600 --> 01:01:06,720
I need. 
Him on the pod? 

1268
01:01:06,760 --> 01:01:10,760
Yeah, I don't. 
We need we need Leone to nuke 

1269
01:01:10,760 --> 01:01:12,640
him from orbit. 
We need him to rank him behind 

1270
01:01:12,640 --> 01:01:14,480
Jonathan Mingo. 
I I think that's. 

1271
01:01:14,480 --> 01:01:18,520
I think that's. 
Wow, Davis, if if after the 

1272
01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:22,000
season I sat you down and was 
like, hey, listen, Rashi Rice is

1273
01:01:22,000 --> 01:01:25,240
going to have an ADP after 
Jonathan Mingo, I I would have 

1274
01:01:25,280 --> 01:01:26,360
loved it. 
What's? 

1275
01:01:26,480 --> 01:01:29,520
What's he going to do? 
Well, I I did not. 

1276
01:01:29,600 --> 01:01:32,960
I guess maybe I wiped it. 
We can do rushy corner before I 

1277
01:01:32,960 --> 01:01:36,840
leave. 
I I did not remember that this 

1278
01:01:36,840 --> 01:01:38,960
scouting the the character 
stuff. 

1279
01:01:38,960 --> 01:01:41,600
I I don't remember that at all 
because people would have loved 

1280
01:01:41,600 --> 01:01:43,680
to have made the Chiefs jokes. 
Right. 

1281
01:01:43,680 --> 01:01:46,360
Because the Chiefs just they 
only had draft assholes 

1282
01:01:46,360 --> 01:01:49,840
apparently. 
I I really don't remember any of

1283
01:01:49,840 --> 01:01:50,280
this. 
Yeah. 

1284
01:01:50,280 --> 01:01:52,080
The the I. 
Don't think these were Yeah. 

1285
01:01:52,360 --> 01:01:53,640
So I'll get to what Davis was 
talking about. 

1286
01:01:53,640 --> 01:01:54,400
I don't, Davis. 
I don't. 

1287
01:01:54,720 --> 01:01:56,360
I don't think you're wrong for 
not remembering it because I 

1288
01:01:56,360 --> 01:01:59,440
don't think these are public. 
But this is from an athletic 

1289
01:01:59,440 --> 01:02:01,440
article. 
There was an alleged shooting 

1290
01:02:01,440 --> 01:02:05,960
incident over a girl that this 
basketball player at SMU and 

1291
01:02:05,960 --> 01:02:07,600
Rashid Rice for both allegedly 
seeing. 

1292
01:02:07,600 --> 01:02:10,920
I don't know, it's all alleged. 
I always feel a little bit dirty

1293
01:02:10,920 --> 01:02:13,080
about sharing these things 
because like there was no 

1294
01:02:13,080 --> 01:02:15,400
criminal report, there was 
nothing. 

1295
01:02:15,720 --> 01:02:18,600
I do think though like back to 
the overall Rashid Rice 

1296
01:02:18,600 --> 01:02:21,560
situation again, stress is 
enough. 

1297
01:02:21,560 --> 01:02:23,200
I'm not a lawyer, I don't 
understand how these things 

1298
01:02:23,200 --> 01:02:25,920
work. 
Drew Davenport though, who does 

1299
01:02:25,920 --> 01:02:29,600
a lot of good work in sort of 
analyzing the legal stuff from a

1300
01:02:29,600 --> 01:02:32,800
fantasy perspective. 
He said that prior criminal 

1301
01:02:32,800 --> 01:02:35,440
history is really important in 
these cases. 

1302
01:02:35,440 --> 01:02:38,720
Now I'm not too worried about 
this pre draft incident but the 

1303
01:02:38,720 --> 01:02:43,600
fact that now he has this like 
new assault incident like while 

1304
01:02:43,760 --> 01:02:46,640
he's being charged with felony 
aggravated assault for the 

1305
01:02:46,640 --> 01:02:52,040
driving thing like with the the 
prosecutors be able to weigh 

1306
01:02:52,040 --> 01:02:56,160
this like new charge like I 
don't know it just seems like 

1307
01:02:56,280 --> 01:03:00,600
really bad if sort of your prior
history is a factor in these 

1308
01:03:00,600 --> 01:03:03,920
type of legal things and then 
you go out and allegedly punch 

1309
01:03:03,920 --> 01:03:06,560
some photographer at a nightclub
like that seems like that could 

1310
01:03:06,560 --> 01:03:11,120
be factored in to how they view 
this original incident. 

1311
01:03:11,120 --> 01:03:15,080
So again. 
But the nightclub owner said, of

1312
01:03:15,080 --> 01:03:17,040
course he wasn't drunk. 
It wasn't really. 

1313
01:03:17,040 --> 01:03:19,680
It wasn't like a brawling 
situation. 

1314
01:03:19,840 --> 01:03:22,040
Like, maybe this was just like a
business deal gone. 

1315
01:03:22,040 --> 01:03:25,520
No, you. 
Love to trust nightclub owners? 

1316
01:03:26,440 --> 01:03:28,240
Of the lit. 
Of the lit kitchen. 

1317
01:03:28,640 --> 01:03:30,480
I mean here's. 
The account was that he showed 

1318
01:03:30,480 --> 01:03:33,560
him Instagram messages on on his
own phone. 

1319
01:03:33,560 --> 01:03:35,160
This is all hearsay. 
I don't know. 

1320
01:03:35,160 --> 01:03:37,720
But the what what people are 
saying is that that he showed 

1321
01:03:38,000 --> 01:03:41,080
and then he hit him with the 
with the accusation that he was 

1322
01:03:41,720 --> 01:03:44,880
messaging his girlfriend. 
That's what that's what the 

1323
01:03:44,920 --> 01:03:47,120
accusation was, that he 
basically was like come back 

1324
01:03:47,120 --> 01:03:50,360
here and then he's like I'm 
showing him the messages 

1325
01:03:50,800 --> 01:03:52,920
allegedly. 
And then that's where that's 

1326
01:03:52,920 --> 01:03:55,240
where the incident occurred. 
So it wasn't. 

1327
01:03:55,240 --> 01:03:59,200
And the fact that he wasn't 
drinking is potentially a red 

1328
01:03:59,200 --> 01:04:02,560
flag, no. 
No, I think you're dead sober. 

1329
01:04:02,680 --> 01:04:04,280
You do that. 
That's got to be mitigating. 

1330
01:04:04,280 --> 01:04:05,960
That has to be mitigating. 
I don't know. 

1331
01:04:05,960 --> 01:04:08,160
It's not that's that's you 
sober. 

1332
01:04:08,960 --> 01:04:13,000
It doesn't seem great to me. 
Can we just just six games, NFL 

1333
01:04:13,000 --> 01:04:15,520
Six games. 
Let let six games. 

1334
01:04:16,520 --> 01:04:19,080
Here, here's the other thing I 
want to point out that came out 

1335
01:04:19,080 --> 01:04:20,960
today that this was also from 
The Athletic. 

1336
01:04:20,960 --> 01:04:22,840
I didn't see many people talking
about this. 

1337
01:04:23,160 --> 01:04:25,680
This was another big thing that 
Drew was talking about, like how

1338
01:04:25,680 --> 01:04:29,080
bad the injuries are really 
matter for this felony 

1339
01:04:29,080 --> 01:04:32,280
aggravated assault charge. 
It has to be serious bodily 

1340
01:04:32,280 --> 01:04:34,160
injury. 
Here's the description of the 

1341
01:04:34,160 --> 01:04:37,400
injuries from The Athletic. 
The injuries include, quote, 

1342
01:04:37,400 --> 01:04:40,960
trauma to the brain lacerations 
to the face requiring requiring 

1343
01:04:40,960 --> 01:04:44,360
stitches, multiple conclusions 
about the body disfigurement, 

1344
01:04:44,360 --> 01:04:47,160
internal bleeding and other 
internal and external injuries. 

1345
01:04:47,160 --> 01:04:51,200
dot dot dot, like that sounds 
potentially a lot like serious 

1346
01:04:51,200 --> 01:04:54,600
bodily injury to me. 
So there there was some stuff 

1347
01:04:54,600 --> 01:04:57,000
initially that's like, oh it's 
just like these guys got 

1348
01:04:57,000 --> 01:04:58,640
scratches. 
It's not a big deal. 

1349
01:04:58,640 --> 01:05:00,480
I don't know. 
According to The Athletic, there

1350
01:05:00,520 --> 01:05:02,960
were some really serious 
injuries in this car crash. 

1351
01:05:02,960 --> 01:05:07,280
So again that seems really bad 
and I have generally been on 

1352
01:05:07,280 --> 01:05:10,680
like the rice is OK at a 
discount thing, but I do think 

1353
01:05:10,680 --> 01:05:14,120
we are doing some coping in like
just any piece of bad news. 

1354
01:05:14,120 --> 01:05:16,160
We're like, Oh yeah, another 
great Rashid Rice buying 

1355
01:05:16,160 --> 01:05:18,240
opportunity. 
Like at some point we got to 

1356
01:05:18,240 --> 01:05:20,960
look at these things like. 
The call the call does not look 

1357
01:05:20,960 --> 01:05:23,320
inside my house. 
The call I can't. 

1358
01:05:23,680 --> 01:05:28,360
It's like what do I do when the 
the the round is 8 and it's 

1359
01:05:28,360 --> 01:05:31,760
Christian Watson or Rashi Rice? 
I mean, what am I supposed to do

1360
01:05:32,360 --> 01:05:34,400
really? 
Poem the round is 8. 

1361
01:05:34,800 --> 01:05:40,040
The haiku. 
Like, what am I really supposed 

1362
01:05:40,040 --> 01:05:41,240
to just be like? 
I don't know. 

1363
01:05:41,240 --> 01:05:44,080
I guess I'll just be scared. 
I don't know. 

1364
01:05:44,600 --> 01:05:46,480
Here's what I wanted to say 
about Rishi Rice. 

1365
01:05:47,160 --> 01:05:50,600
What if a lot of his production 
was because there was not 

1366
01:05:50,600 --> 01:05:53,000
another wide receiver on the 
field that was able to do 

1367
01:05:53,000 --> 01:05:54,760
anything? 
We all agree this is the case. 

1368
01:05:54,760 --> 01:05:57,160
That his numbers are not nearly 
as good. 

1369
01:05:57,160 --> 01:05:58,360
Yeah, like the. 
Yeah, they're fake. 

1370
01:05:58,480 --> 01:06:00,400
They're fake numbers and now he 
has like legit target 

1371
01:06:00,400 --> 01:06:01,640
competition. 
So even if he's not. 

1372
01:06:01,640 --> 01:06:03,480
What if it's not legit target 
competition? 

1373
01:06:04,040 --> 01:06:07,120
I think it is though. 
I do too, but what if it's not? 

1374
01:06:07,400 --> 01:06:09,320
Yeah, I'm with that argument 
here a couple times. 

1375
01:06:09,480 --> 01:06:12,040
Yeah, he he had really, he had a
pretty low first read target 

1376
01:06:12,040 --> 01:06:13,520
rate. 
So the to the extent that it was

1377
01:06:13,520 --> 01:06:18,160
fake, it was fake after someone 
else didn't get open for them, 

1378
01:06:18,240 --> 01:06:20,960
you know, so and maybe, maybe. 
And that's that's an issue. 

1379
01:06:21,520 --> 01:06:26,400
Yeah, I think it's potentially 
an issue, but normally under 

1380
01:06:26,400 --> 01:06:29,760
normal circumstances we would 
expect the Chiefs to call a lot 

1381
01:06:29,760 --> 01:06:31,560
more plays with Rishi. 
Rice's the first read in his 

1382
01:06:31,560 --> 01:06:34,040
second season after the rookie 
season that he just had the 

1383
01:06:34,040 --> 01:06:36,400
issue. 
Does that not happen now because

1384
01:06:37,080 --> 01:06:38,360
he's not really part of the 
plan. 

1385
01:06:38,360 --> 01:06:41,040
So that so I agree with. 
I think it creates a much lower 

1386
01:06:41,040 --> 01:06:44,440
floor than you would typically 
see for a player with his rookie

1387
01:06:44,440 --> 01:06:48,840
season. 
But I mean I also think the fact

1388
01:06:48,840 --> 01:06:51,160
that he was able to earn on that
volume without a lot of first 

1389
01:06:51,160 --> 01:06:53,720
read looks is extremely bullish 
in terms of like his ability to 

1390
01:06:54,200 --> 01:06:55,600
show chemistry with with 
Mahomes. 

1391
01:06:55,600 --> 01:06:57,000
I just. 
Think it was like Mahomes is 

1392
01:06:57,000 --> 01:06:59,440
going to get his regardless and 
there was literally nobody to 

1393
01:06:59,440 --> 01:07:01,560
throw the ball to. 
So like somebody was going to 

1394
01:07:01,560 --> 01:07:03,400
look good. 
Now, I think Rashi Rice is a 

1395
01:07:03,400 --> 01:07:07,920
decent player, but I mean the 
way that he was used really 

1396
01:07:07,920 --> 01:07:10,960
close to the line of scrimmage, 
like anything beyond that is a 

1397
01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:16,040
mystery and I I think. 
That that's still Andy Reid 

1398
01:07:16,040 --> 01:07:19,440
still wants to have all of that.
It like that's not going out of 

1399
01:07:19,440 --> 01:07:22,760
the Andy Reid offense. 
Even if Xavier Worthy and 

1400
01:07:23,040 --> 01:07:25,880
Hollywood Brown are amazing, 
they're the the this close to 

1401
01:07:25,880 --> 01:07:27,680
the line of scrimmage up is not 
going anywhere. 

1402
01:07:28,160 --> 01:07:31,680
But, but like, I think to like 
be like a very legit wide 

1403
01:07:31,680 --> 01:07:33,800
receiver, you're going to need 
to do more than what Rasheed 

1404
01:07:33,800 --> 01:07:37,800
Rice was doing now that we have 
Hollywood Brown and Xavier 

1405
01:07:37,800 --> 01:07:40,600
Worthy and and I view Xavier 
Worthy just as a straight up, 

1406
01:07:40,600 --> 01:07:42,960
way better player. 
Oh Xavier Worthy. 

1407
01:07:43,400 --> 01:07:45,680
Xavier Worthy is my new 
replacement for favorite. 

1408
01:07:45,680 --> 01:07:47,720
Click on the board now that I'm 
pretty sure Rashi Rice is 

1409
01:07:47,720 --> 01:07:51,840
getting suspended 6 games. 
Yeah, maybe he's a better 

1410
01:07:51,840 --> 01:07:53,760
player. 
But like, the fact that Rashi 

1411
01:07:53,760 --> 01:07:58,600
Rice went out there and was like
open a bunch of times when no 

1412
01:07:58,600 --> 01:08:03,880
one else was is like, is huge. 
It's hard to overstate how 

1413
01:08:03,880 --> 01:08:07,040
important that is compared to a 
guy who's got, like some serious

1414
01:08:07,040 --> 01:08:09,720
flags in his profile in in 
Xavier Worthy. 

1415
01:08:09,720 --> 01:08:13,240
Like, this dude was really 
inefficient on deep targets. 

1416
01:08:13,240 --> 01:08:14,400
I know a bunch of those were 
inaccurate. 

1417
01:08:14,400 --> 01:08:16,040
I know he had a broken hand his 
second year. 

1418
01:08:16,279 --> 01:08:19,520
But like, you know, he was 
really productive as a freshman.

1419
01:08:19,920 --> 01:08:23,279
Most of his best stuff is really
kind of more more gadgety 

1420
01:08:23,279 --> 01:08:26,040
things. 
He's like 108 lbs. 

1421
01:08:26,399 --> 01:08:29,240
You know, like, there's there's 
ways that this doesn't work out.

1422
01:08:29,279 --> 01:08:32,200
And we look back and we're like,
Oh yeah, you ran the fastest 40 

1423
01:08:32,200 --> 01:08:35,240
ever because you are like, too 
small to actually play outside 

1424
01:08:35,240 --> 01:08:38,160
receiver in the NFL. 
So I don't know. 

1425
01:08:38,160 --> 01:08:39,880
I mean, like, as a prospect, 
it's not close. 

1426
01:08:39,880 --> 01:08:42,479
It's if you're worthy, like by a
bunch. 

1427
01:08:42,479 --> 01:08:45,240
But Rice is right. 
I'm just more impressed by 

1428
01:08:45,240 --> 01:08:49,279
Rice's rookie season, I think. 
Yeah, I I think my fear is I 

1429
01:08:49,279 --> 01:08:52,479
think you can pretty much lock 
in a six game suspension at the 

1430
01:08:52,479 --> 01:08:55,600
minimum now. 
And that's what I don't know, 

1431
01:08:55,880 --> 01:08:58,319
that that's kind of what people 
are saying. 

1432
01:08:58,319 --> 01:09:00,680
And I think it makes sense given
what's happened this offseason. 

1433
01:09:01,279 --> 01:09:04,920
You say can. 
You ask you a few guys whether 

1434
01:09:04,920 --> 01:09:07,160
or not you're who you're taking 
here, yeah. 

1435
01:09:09,000 --> 01:09:11,080
Do this for the next 13 1/2 
minutes. 

1436
01:09:14,279 --> 01:09:16,479
'Cause we're getting to the 
point where now we're talking 

1437
01:09:16,479 --> 01:09:22,200
about JSN or Rashid Rice. 
Come on, I'm I'd probably take 

1438
01:09:22,479 --> 01:09:24,279
JSN. 
I'm taking JSN. 

1439
01:09:24,960 --> 01:09:26,640
You're taking JSN? 
Yeah. 

1440
01:09:26,640 --> 01:09:31,279
OK, we're looking at Christian 
Watson or Rashid Rice. 

1441
01:09:32,319 --> 01:09:33,560
I want Watson. 
Jimmy Watson. 

1442
01:09:34,200 --> 01:09:36,600
Deante Johnson or Rashid Rice? 
Oh, geez. 

1443
01:09:37,399 --> 01:09:41,479
Probably Rashid there. 
Yeah, yeah, Deonte scares me. 

1444
01:09:43,640 --> 01:09:45,920
OK, yeah, that feels fair to me.
I'm I was. 

1445
01:09:46,040 --> 01:09:48,600
I'm kind of shocked that you 
were willing to say JSN soon. 

1446
01:09:51,080 --> 01:09:53,600
I've I've been a little, I've 
been a little JSN pilled 

1447
01:09:53,600 --> 01:09:54,200
recently. 
What? 

1448
01:09:56,440 --> 01:09:58,520
Dude, please elaborate. 
That often's gonna finish. 

1449
01:09:58,640 --> 01:10:02,120
I'm gonna say top 3IN air yards 
in top five in past attempts 

1450
01:10:02,120 --> 01:10:03,280
this year. 
That's gonna be my my 

1451
01:10:03,280 --> 01:10:04,880
prediction. 
Seahawks are gonna do complete 

1452
01:10:04,880 --> 01:10:09,760
180 here. 
So I I want to go back to to JSN

1453
01:10:09,760 --> 01:10:13,840
last year like it it turned into
a bit of me hitting JSN so much.

1454
01:10:13,880 --> 01:10:17,280
But all I was saying last year 
is that Tyler Lockett and DK 

1455
01:10:17,280 --> 01:10:21,480
Metcalf are good and this guy 
broke his wrist like a week ago.

1456
01:10:21,480 --> 01:10:23,960
Like maybe we shouldn't be 
taking him in in the fifth 

1457
01:10:23,960 --> 01:10:26,240
round. 
Like I wasn't prognosticating 

1458
01:10:26,240 --> 01:10:28,280
like JSN is some massive boss as
a player. 

1459
01:10:28,280 --> 01:10:30,400
I'm just like price doesn't make
sense to me. 

1460
01:10:30,680 --> 01:10:34,920
I'm out now, year two. 
We do finally get the discount 

1461
01:10:35,200 --> 01:10:39,640
that pick 85 or whatever. 
I'm willing. 

1462
01:10:39,640 --> 01:10:43,320
I'm willing to give JSN a second
chance at that price. 

1463
01:10:43,320 --> 01:10:45,400
He's definitely not something 
I'm going to be like targeting. 

1464
01:10:45,400 --> 01:10:49,200
But I think yeah, with pose the 
question him versus Rishi Rice, 

1465
01:10:49,200 --> 01:10:51,920
I think I'd take JSN. 
What about, like, the running 

1466
01:10:51,920 --> 01:10:57,640
backs in that range, like Samir 
White, Romandre Stephenson? 

1467
01:10:57,760 --> 01:11:00,640
You're taking those dudes ahead.
I I feel like at that point it's

1468
01:11:00,640 --> 01:11:02,640
just so structured dependent. 
It's hard to say. 

1469
01:11:03,200 --> 01:11:07,160
In a vacuum, yeah, yeah. 
In a vacuum, probably, yes. 

1470
01:11:07,160 --> 01:11:08,480
Like Romandre. 
Yes. 

1471
01:11:09,000 --> 01:11:12,680
Yeah. 
I kind of like that to your 

1472
01:11:12,680 --> 01:11:14,080
receivers. 
You get all those rookies in 

1473
01:11:14,080 --> 01:11:18,440
there JSN second year breakout, 
then like Cortland, Sutton's 

1474
01:11:18,440 --> 01:11:19,800
still the number one on his 
team. 

1475
01:11:20,360 --> 01:11:22,440
OK, so you're in on Sutton. 
No one's in on Sutton. 

1476
01:11:22,440 --> 01:11:25,280
I can't get, I can't get any 
bites on Sutton as a good pick. 

1477
01:11:25,280 --> 01:11:27,920
I think he's a good pick. 
Son's a guy that you can take, 

1478
01:11:27,920 --> 01:11:29,640
but you you shouldn't be openly 
touting him. 

1479
01:11:29,640 --> 01:11:31,800
I mean that's. 
I mean, yeah, those are the best

1480
01:11:31,800 --> 01:11:33,440
these. 2 gross we're seeing, we 
know it's gross. 

1481
01:11:34,640 --> 01:11:40,320
Those are the best picks. 
Yeah, Speaking of guys. 

1482
01:11:41,360 --> 01:11:43,600
You openly touted Austin Hooper.
We can't tell. 

1483
01:11:45,400 --> 01:11:49,080
Speaking of guys you get openly 
shamed for touting, Josh Jacobs 

1484
01:11:49,720 --> 01:11:53,800
has fallen 6 picks. 
Pick 37 We've done a little bit 

1485
01:11:53,800 --> 01:11:56,280
of Josh Jacobs on the show 
already, so we'll keep it quick,

1486
01:11:56,280 --> 01:11:59,240
but Hayden I. 
Know your promises that we keep 

1487
01:11:59,240 --> 01:12:02,440
this quick, actually. 
Hayden Why? 

1488
01:12:02,520 --> 01:12:03,960
Why is Josh Jacobs a good pick 
here? 

1489
01:12:05,040 --> 01:12:07,560
So I think the Packers are just 
going to be really good this 

1490
01:12:07,560 --> 01:12:10,280
year, just the way that they 
closed last year. 

1491
01:12:10,280 --> 01:12:13,560
And I get Marshawn Lloyd's like 
a fun pick to you. 

1492
01:12:13,560 --> 01:12:16,880
I I dropped some Marshawn Lloyd,
but I think there's like some 

1493
01:12:17,880 --> 01:12:20,080
schematic reasons why they want 
Josh Jacobs. 

1494
01:12:20,080 --> 01:12:23,480
Like if you look at what the 
Shanahan tree is doing, McVeigh 

1495
01:12:23,480 --> 01:12:25,400
included. 
Like they're changing from like 

1496
01:12:25,400 --> 01:12:29,080
zone based offenses to like 
power gap based offenses and 

1497
01:12:29,080 --> 01:12:30,600
that's what Josh Jacobs is good 
at. 

1498
01:12:30,600 --> 01:12:32,640
And we just saw this with Kyron 
Williams. 

1499
01:12:33,120 --> 01:12:36,040
We've seen this with Christian 
McCaffrey and there's like some 

1500
01:12:36,040 --> 01:12:39,640
reasons why they chose Josh 
Jacobs over Aaron Jones. 

1501
01:12:39,640 --> 01:12:42,440
And Aaron Jones, like 
historically, has been in a 

1502
01:12:42,440 --> 01:12:45,160
committee. 
But the floor wants to get the 

1503
01:12:45,160 --> 01:12:48,520
running backs really involved. 
And Josh Jacobs just way bigger 

1504
01:12:48,560 --> 01:12:50,720
than Aaron Jones. 
I think there's a chance that he

1505
01:12:51,080 --> 01:12:55,960
absorbs more of the kind of 
share of that backfield. 

1506
01:12:56,200 --> 01:12:59,440
And yeah, now he's in the fourth
round, so even though I rank him

1507
01:12:59,440 --> 01:13:01,280
higher, I still only draft him 
right next to ADP. 

1508
01:13:02,360 --> 01:13:04,240
So yeah, I'm totally fine with 
him dropping. 

1509
01:13:04,240 --> 01:13:08,320
I think that the Packers, they 
drafted a first round lineman. 

1510
01:13:08,720 --> 01:13:11,080
The team is projected for a 
bunch of wins this year. 

1511
01:13:11,280 --> 01:13:14,400
They were one of the best 
offenses from like week 12 on 

1512
01:13:14,400 --> 01:13:16,840
last year. 
I think Lafleur is a fantastic 

1513
01:13:16,840 --> 01:13:19,240
coach and I think that the way 
that they're trying to move the 

1514
01:13:19,240 --> 01:13:22,920
offense like in general makes 
sense why they signed Josh 

1515
01:13:22,920 --> 01:13:26,440
Jacobs to a big contract. 
And the other thing I've seen 

1516
01:13:26,440 --> 01:13:30,000
Josh Jacobs be a top five ish 
overall fantasy asset like just 

1517
01:13:30,000 --> 01:13:31,800
two years ago. 
So it's not like this is 

1518
01:13:31,800 --> 01:13:34,280
completely absurd here. 
Like last year was really bad, 

1519
01:13:35,800 --> 01:13:39,840
which we should factor 
indefinitely, but he was just as

1520
01:13:39,840 --> 01:13:44,160
good the year before. 
Fantasy points above replacement

1521
01:13:44,160 --> 01:13:48,080
was like at plus 20%. 
Last year was like a -15%. 

1522
01:13:48,400 --> 01:13:52,600
So we've seen him kind of get to
that baseline level and then the

1523
01:13:52,600 --> 01:13:55,400
Aaron Jones workloads like 
plenty enough for Josh Jacobs to

1524
01:13:55,400 --> 01:13:57,640
be a top 10 running back this 
year. 

1525
01:13:58,400 --> 01:14:00,200
That makes sense. 
And I wanted to show this 

1526
01:14:00,480 --> 01:14:02,320
quickly and then I'll let you 
chime in Korean. 

1527
01:14:03,080 --> 01:14:06,400
In terms of like getting to his 
career baseline, Ryan Heath of 

1528
01:14:06,400 --> 01:14:07,880
Fantasy Points pulled this 
together. 

1529
01:14:07,880 --> 01:14:11,560
He basically compared PPR 
scoring versus sort of a 

1530
01:14:11,560 --> 01:14:14,840
player's opportunities and 
looked at last year's 

1531
01:14:14,840 --> 01:14:18,440
differential, that's that diff 
column versus the career 

1532
01:14:18,440 --> 01:14:21,280
differential. 
Josh Jacobs was was obviously 

1533
01:14:21,280 --> 01:14:25,160
terrible last year but his 
career different differential is

1534
01:14:25,160 --> 01:14:28,240
much closer to a guy who just 
kind of gets what the 

1535
01:14:28,240 --> 01:14:30,440
opportunities are that's laid 
out for him. 

1536
01:14:31,120 --> 01:14:33,400
And I'm. 
I'm willing to say that like man

1537
01:14:33,400 --> 01:14:36,920
he's been on pretty bad teams 
his whole career. 

1538
01:14:36,920 --> 01:14:40,560
A lot of running back efficiency
stats I think do come down to 

1539
01:14:40,560 --> 01:14:43,480
teams not the player. 
So I definitely see the case 

1540
01:14:43,600 --> 01:14:46,200
there. 
I I am also a bit worried about 

1541
01:14:46,480 --> 01:14:48,600
the Marshawn law and stuff. 
But yeah, curious. 

1542
01:14:49,040 --> 01:14:52,520
Curious where your thoughts are 
are Crane on whether Jacobs can 

1543
01:14:52,960 --> 01:14:55,920
you know beat this price at pick
37 or pick 30. 

1544
01:14:56,120 --> 01:14:57,240
Yeah, pick 37. 
Sorry. 

1545
01:14:58,000 --> 01:15:00,240
Yeah, I mean I think he 
definitely can beat the price at

1546
01:15:00,240 --> 01:15:02,880
pick 37. 
I don't think he's a bad pick. 

1547
01:15:03,360 --> 01:15:06,600
You know at the end of the third
round, I think he's he's like 

1548
01:15:06,600 --> 01:15:09,880
totally fine there. 
I don't think he's a priority 

1549
01:15:09,880 --> 01:15:13,160
because he's coming off a very 
inefficient season. 

1550
01:15:13,360 --> 01:15:17,440
It's like chronic crazy how 
inefficient he actually was. 

1551
01:15:18,480 --> 01:15:21,040
He was like worse than AJ 
Dillon. 

1552
01:15:21,840 --> 01:15:24,480
You know you look at the the 
rush yards over expected. 

1553
01:15:24,480 --> 01:15:28,280
This the stats that I was 
referencing earlier in success 

1554
01:15:28,280 --> 01:15:33,640
rate with James Cook, he had a 
success rate of 35%. 

1555
01:15:34,400 --> 01:15:37,480
That was behind Tony Pollard, 
behind Jerome Ford, behind 

1556
01:15:37,680 --> 01:15:42,040
Kareem Hunt, Austin Eckler. 
He was pretty poor and rush 

1557
01:15:42,040 --> 01:15:45,600
hour's over expected as well. 
Left 86 yards on the field there

1558
01:15:45,840 --> 01:15:49,680
only better than Kamara Hunt, 
Jamal Williams and Rashad White 

1559
01:15:50,560 --> 01:15:56,480
behind guys like AJ Dillon, Zeke
Elliott, Miles Sanders, Austin 

1560
01:15:56,480 --> 01:15:59,360
Eckler. 
Alexander Madison, Tony Pollard.

1561
01:15:59,520 --> 01:16:01,720
I mean it was it was bad. 
It was really, really bad. 

1562
01:16:02,080 --> 01:16:06,840
And I think like if you're 
looking at a guy who I think is 

1563
01:16:06,840 --> 01:16:10,280
probably going to have like 
middling to OK efficiency. 

1564
01:16:11,520 --> 01:16:13,120
There's just a ton of those 
guys. 

1565
01:16:13,200 --> 01:16:16,320
You know you can get like David 
Montgomery, you can get Najee 

1566
01:16:16,320 --> 01:16:17,640
Harris. 
You know you're. 

1567
01:16:17,680 --> 01:16:20,720
I think he does represent a 
pretty big premium on the 

1568
01:16:20,720 --> 01:16:22,880
Packers bet which could 
certainly pay off. 

1569
01:16:22,880 --> 01:16:28,320
But I just have a hard time 
thinking about him as like, you 

1570
01:16:28,320 --> 01:16:33,400
know, one of the keys to the 
season, in part because Lafleur 

1571
01:16:33,400 --> 01:16:36,680
has not talked about him as like
a workhorse, Like Coach Peak 

1572
01:16:36,680 --> 01:16:39,360
Index has a quote. 
You guys know how I feel 

1573
01:16:39,360 --> 01:16:41,280
philosophically. 
I think you have to have 

1574
01:16:41,280 --> 01:16:43,840
multiple backs in this league. 
I don't see it really changing 

1575
01:16:43,840 --> 01:16:46,040
much in terms of how we want to 
use our backs. 

1576
01:16:46,320 --> 01:16:48,760
And then the Coach Peak Index 
takeaways that he thinks he's 

1577
01:16:48,760 --> 01:16:50,200
basically going to be in the 
Aaron Jones role. 

1578
01:16:50,480 --> 01:16:54,320
Aaron Jones is an explosive 
runner and an awesome receiver. 

1579
01:16:54,400 --> 01:16:56,920
Josh Jacobs, even at his best, I
don't think was as good as Aaron

1580
01:16:56,920 --> 01:17:00,800
Jones was at his best. 
So just like I'm getting like a 

1581
01:17:00,840 --> 01:17:05,720
less exciting player in the same
role as Aaron Jones again in the

1582
01:17:05,720 --> 01:17:08,400
third, fourth round. 
I don't, I don't hate it at all.

1583
01:17:08,400 --> 01:17:10,760
I mean, you can kind of like, 
lock up the touches. 

1584
01:17:11,000 --> 01:17:14,520
It's like pretty well priced. 
But that's why I pushed back on 

1585
01:17:14,520 --> 01:17:16,400
the idea that, like somehow this
is a missed price. 

1586
01:17:17,360 --> 01:17:19,760
The other thing though, is we're
everyone's assuming now that he 

1587
01:17:19,760 --> 01:17:23,800
is either average or below 
average inefficiency. 2 years 

1588
01:17:23,800 --> 01:17:25,840
ago he was pretty. 
Pretty. 

1589
01:17:25,840 --> 01:17:27,040
Yeah, it was awesome too. 
Yeah, it was. 

1590
01:17:27,040 --> 01:17:30,360
Awesome too and and like looking
at like I posted on Twitter, 

1591
01:17:30,440 --> 01:17:33,360
David Montgomery before and 
after when you're on the Bears 

1592
01:17:33,360 --> 01:17:35,360
versus the Lions, like the 
efficiency just goes immediately

1593
01:17:35,360 --> 01:17:37,320
way up. 
So like there is a chance that 

1594
01:17:37,320 --> 01:17:39,920
the efficiency just gets way 
better with Josh Jacobs. 

1595
01:17:39,920 --> 01:17:43,480
And I saw somebody was asking 
about percentage of carries in a

1596
01:17:43,480 --> 01:17:45,760
stack box and I just looked at 
him real quick. 

1597
01:17:46,000 --> 01:17:51,640
Josh Jacobs had 83 carries into 
eight or nine defenders in the 

1598
01:17:51,640 --> 01:17:53,880
box, which is that's an absurd 
amount. 

1599
01:17:54,120 --> 01:17:57,120
And on them he only averaged 1.9
yards per attempt. 

1600
01:17:57,400 --> 01:18:00,040
So the Raiders were just like 
not giving this up, like we're 

1601
01:18:00,040 --> 01:18:03,640
going to run it right into eight
or nine or ten defenders in the 

1602
01:18:03,640 --> 01:18:06,080
box and we're just going to keep
doing it even though it's not 

1603
01:18:06,080 --> 01:18:07,720
working. 
So I think there could be some 

1604
01:18:07,720 --> 01:18:10,120
reasons we're like, all right, 
Matt Lafleur is not going to do 

1605
01:18:10,120 --> 01:18:13,680
that. 
Maybe the other Raiders OCS that

1606
01:18:13,680 --> 01:18:15,160
keep getting fired, they would 
do that. 

1607
01:18:15,320 --> 01:18:17,760
But Luke. 
Getsy's down, Luke. 

1608
01:18:17,760 --> 01:18:19,200
Getsy's gonna try it. 
Yeah. 

1609
01:18:19,400 --> 01:18:22,320
So yeah, I think, I think Zamir 
White, this thing could flip 

1610
01:18:22,320 --> 01:18:25,080
where? 
Yeah, this could be Josh. 

1611
01:18:25,120 --> 01:18:27,520
This could be Josh Mcdaniel's 
stat from last year. 

1612
01:18:27,520 --> 01:18:30,600
This could have been like once 
Mcdaniel's got fired, maybe the 

1613
01:18:30,600 --> 01:18:33,240
new OC did a little bit of a 
better job with Samir White than

1614
01:18:33,240 --> 01:18:35,800
Josh Jacobs. 
I I do think it is like at least

1615
01:18:35,800 --> 01:18:38,750
worrying you compare this Samir 
White to Josh Jacobs stuff head 

1616
01:18:38,747 --> 01:18:43,240
to I got different coaches over 
the period of times they were 

1617
01:18:43,240 --> 01:18:46,600
playing Jacob's. 
Got some of Antonio Pierce? 

1618
01:18:47,440 --> 01:18:51,560
Yeah he got some I mean but yeah
I I am kind of more in the 

1619
01:18:51,560 --> 01:18:54,160
ballpark that like these 
efficiency stats running backs 

1620
01:18:54,160 --> 01:18:57,640
like fluctuates so wildly year 
to year that I don't look into 

1621
01:18:57,640 --> 01:19:00,720
them too too much. 
And yeah my other point was 

1622
01:19:00,760 --> 01:19:03,760
Korean I I get the the Aaron 
Jones role point. 

1623
01:19:03,760 --> 01:19:06,400
I think the big difference from 
the Josh Jacobs versus the Aaron

1624
01:19:06,400 --> 01:19:10,200
Jones role is it it could be 
like similar in terms of a snap 

1625
01:19:10,200 --> 01:19:15,040
share split from Jacobs to Lloyd
then Jones to Dillon. 

1626
01:19:15,200 --> 01:19:18,440
But it could be Jacobs with like
100% of the goal line work. 

1627
01:19:18,440 --> 01:19:20,600
Whereas what was always 
frustrating with Aaron Jones 

1628
01:19:20,600 --> 01:19:24,640
right is AJ Dillon was taking 50
ish percent of that right. 

1629
01:19:24,640 --> 01:19:28,960
So again on a team and Marshawn.
Lloyd's more the Aaron Jones 

1630
01:19:28,960 --> 01:19:31,720
type of. 
That's the big thing, yeah. 

1631
01:19:32,080 --> 01:19:35,800
Marshawn Lloyd is like low 
success rate, really high 

1632
01:19:35,800 --> 01:19:39,320
explosives. 
Like, I think it would be a lot 

1633
01:19:39,320 --> 01:19:43,120
for Marshawn Lloyd to like, like
be the number one by the end of 

1634
01:19:43,120 --> 01:19:44,880
the season. 
Just be like the style runner. 

1635
01:19:44,880 --> 01:19:48,320
Like there's a a trust factor 
that most coaches haven't given.

1636
01:19:48,440 --> 01:19:50,400
So he's a little Ronald Jonesy 
isn't. 

1637
01:19:50,480 --> 01:19:53,640
He, I mean, he's so Ronald 
Jonesy and the best way is in 

1638
01:19:53,640 --> 01:19:55,400
the worst ways. 
But I think like that type of 

1639
01:19:55,400 --> 01:19:58,000
profile is like maybe we do the 
thing with like Jalen Warren. 

1640
01:19:58,000 --> 01:20:00,720
We're like, wow, on his 100 
touches, he looks pretty damn 

1641
01:20:00,720 --> 01:20:02,920
good now. 
We should get him more involved 

1642
01:20:02,920 --> 01:20:05,440
going forward, not like. 
And then he continues to look 

1643
01:20:05,440 --> 01:20:07,280
really good. 
Yeah, and then he looks really 

1644
01:20:07,280 --> 01:20:08,480
good. 
And then we're we're ready to 

1645
01:20:08,480 --> 01:20:10,120
party. 
But I'm not sure if Marshawn 

1646
01:20:10,120 --> 01:20:12,440
Lloyd has, like, immediately 
earned trust. 

1647
01:20:13,920 --> 01:20:15,760
Yeah. 
Yeah, this is a point that 

1648
01:20:15,760 --> 01:20:17,520
everyone will hate but like. 
Probably not. 

1649
01:20:17,560 --> 01:20:19,880
Like I, I worry about his 
ability to earn trust. 

1650
01:20:20,200 --> 01:20:21,800
Right. 
And then in a Roto type of way, 

1651
01:20:21,960 --> 01:20:25,360
the opposite, like even when 
Jacobs is not good, I mean 

1652
01:20:25,400 --> 01:20:27,600
Antonio Pierce loves Josh 
Jacobs. 

1653
01:20:27,600 --> 01:20:30,080
Like he, Josh Jacobs is like the
trust guy I've. 

1654
01:20:30,080 --> 01:20:32,960
Called him Fancy Devin 
Singletary, which is obviously a

1655
01:20:33,120 --> 01:20:36,040
little derogatory, but it's also
like Devin, you know, who earns 

1656
01:20:36,040 --> 01:20:37,200
trust? 
Devin Singletary. 

1657
01:20:37,560 --> 01:20:42,160
Yeah. 
Yeah, let's move on here to 

1658
01:20:42,440 --> 01:20:45,920
Drake, May. 
Even though he completed 38 of 

1659
01:20:45,920 --> 01:20:49,880
39 passes in practice today, 
he's still down 17 spots. 

1660
01:20:50,800 --> 01:20:54,160
I I don't know how this is. 
Clearly underdog drafters are 

1661
01:20:54,160 --> 01:20:56,240
not grinding the news like we 
are. 

1662
01:20:57,720 --> 01:21:00,520
Crane, are you still? 
Are you still taking the Drake? 

1663
01:21:00,520 --> 01:21:02,520
May oh, I'm back in. 
I'm back in, baby. 

1664
01:21:02,520 --> 01:21:07,080
This, this new price. 
I mean this dude is like he's 

1665
01:21:07,080 --> 01:21:10,040
like Justin Herbert with a more 
aggressive mindset like that's 

1666
01:21:10,040 --> 01:21:12,400
now I'm you know is he gonna 
turn out to be as good as 

1667
01:21:12,400 --> 01:21:13,120
Herbert. 
No. 

1668
01:21:13,280 --> 01:21:16,160
He's gonna be Blake Bortles but 
it's gonna be fun it's gonna be 

1669
01:21:16,160 --> 01:21:17,720
fun this year. 
Yeah. 

1670
01:21:18,480 --> 01:21:22,720
I'm I'm excited about Drake may 
like at A at a big discount I I 

1671
01:21:22,720 --> 01:21:25,680
took him a ton in the big board 
you're getting you're getting a 

1672
01:21:25,680 --> 01:21:28,360
little bit of that you know what
if the Vikings trade up what if 

1673
01:21:28,360 --> 01:21:31,600
the the commanders take him 
Obviously that doesn't happen 

1674
01:21:31,880 --> 01:21:35,360
those those shares are a little 
less fun but I think he's he's 

1675
01:21:35,360 --> 01:21:39,000
the number three overall pick 
they refused the Vikings were 

1676
01:21:39,000 --> 01:21:42,080
begging them to come up and get 
him they refused to trade down 

1677
01:21:42,640 --> 01:21:44,840
then they're going to bench him 
behind Jacoby Brissett for you 

1678
01:21:44,840 --> 01:21:47,080
know half a season I doubt it 
you know I think he's he's 

1679
01:21:47,080 --> 01:21:50,560
getting out on the field fairly 
quickly and I still just 

1680
01:21:50,560 --> 01:21:53,160
maintain the biggest part of 
this people just don't get how 

1681
01:21:53,160 --> 01:21:54,840
fantasy friendly this guy's 
skill set is. 

1682
01:21:54,840 --> 01:21:57,480
He's big. 
He's very willing as a 

1683
01:21:57,480 --> 01:22:00,320
scrambler. 
He runs around the goal line and

1684
01:22:00,320 --> 01:22:03,440
he throws deep. 
He throws deep willingly and 

1685
01:22:03,440 --> 01:22:06,120
pretty well his big time throws 
on on deep balls were very 

1686
01:22:06,120 --> 01:22:08,920
impressive. 
So I'm into the Drake May 

1687
01:22:09,280 --> 01:22:12,240
fantasy friendly skill set more 
than anything else. 

1688
01:22:12,240 --> 01:22:15,280
And then it also helps if you're
running out of if you need a 

1689
01:22:15,280 --> 01:22:17,200
backdoor stack, nothing is 
easier. 

1690
01:22:17,320 --> 01:22:21,520
You get Jalen Bulk, you get 
Antonio Gibson, you take Baker, 

1691
01:22:21,520 --> 01:22:23,800
Henry Bourne. 
You can't even get boxed out. 

1692
01:22:24,120 --> 01:22:25,560
You can take KJ Osborne at the 
end. 

1693
01:22:25,560 --> 01:22:27,480
If you get boxed out, it's like 
it's impossible. 

1694
01:22:27,920 --> 01:22:29,880
It's impossible. 
I'm just drafting all the 

1695
01:22:29,880 --> 01:22:31,920
Patriots. 
What's a What's a better What's 

1696
01:22:31,920 --> 01:22:34,560
a better backdoor stack? 
If you're trying to win $1.5 

1697
01:22:34,560 --> 01:22:39,400
million on underdog.com, Justin 
Fields and Roman Wilson or Drake

1698
01:22:39,400 --> 01:22:41,640
May and Hunter Henry, which 
which side are you taking? 

1699
01:22:41,760 --> 01:22:42,200
Drake. 
May and. 

1700
01:22:42,360 --> 01:22:45,680
Hunter Henry, come on. 
I was doing this with Mac Jones 

1701
01:22:45,680 --> 01:22:47,680
last year. 
Hand up I was Devante Parker. 

1702
01:22:47,800 --> 01:22:50,040
Well, no, I was I I I was 
trying. 

1703
01:22:51,040 --> 01:22:56,360
To see that AMC, yeah. 
I was trying to craft a a tweet 

1704
01:22:56,360 --> 01:22:57,880
this morning. 
I couldn't quite figure out the 

1705
01:22:57,880 --> 01:23:00,640
right words, but I was like it 
was like year four of drafting a

1706
01:23:00,640 --> 01:23:03,720
Patriots quarterback in round 17
and one of their loser pass 

1707
01:23:03,720 --> 01:23:06,840
catchers in round 18. 
But surely this will be the year

1708
01:23:06,840 --> 01:23:08,080
at work it? 
Has to work this year. 

1709
01:23:08,240 --> 01:23:10,960
It has to work this year. 
Here's the thing that's I think 

1710
01:23:10,960 --> 01:23:14,240
not not very known about my 
fantasy game is I'm a Patriots 

1711
01:23:14,320 --> 01:23:15,960
man. 
I'm not that vocal about it and 

1712
01:23:15,960 --> 01:23:19,960
my Patriots bias like seeps into
my fantasy drafting even though,

1713
01:23:19,960 --> 01:23:22,280
like, I pretend it doesn't. 
Like every year. 

1714
01:23:22,280 --> 01:23:24,960
I just like, wow, I I just love 
this Mack Jones, Hunter Henry 

1715
01:23:24,960 --> 01:23:26,440
late round stack. 
It's so good this year. 

1716
01:23:26,440 --> 01:23:28,400
I'm like Romandra in the seventh
round. 

1717
01:23:28,400 --> 01:23:29,960
Like might as well draft him 
every time. 

1718
01:23:29,960 --> 01:23:35,160
I mean, I don't really know how 
it is 30% Devante Parker, other 

1719
01:23:35,160 --> 01:23:37,720
than being a Patriots fan. 
No, it's just it's so deep 

1720
01:23:37,720 --> 01:23:40,720
inside me that I like denied 
that the bias is there, but it 

1721
01:23:40,720 --> 01:23:45,440
just went every year. 
So how much may you get? 

1722
01:23:45,720 --> 01:23:48,160
Yeah, yeah, I'm doing. 
I'm not going to KJ Osborne, but

1723
01:23:48,160 --> 01:23:50,720
I'll draft May and all. 
Right, maybe all this went too 

1724
01:23:50,800 --> 01:23:52,640
far there. 
I think you went too far there, 

1725
01:23:52,640 --> 01:23:55,800
But yeah, give me Douglas Baker.
Oh, Douglas. 

1726
01:23:55,880 --> 01:23:57,160
Yeah. 
Oh God, there's so. 

1727
01:23:57,240 --> 01:24:00,200
Many Oh, well, OK, well, while 
we have noted Chargers fan 

1728
01:24:00,200 --> 01:24:03,520
Hayden winks on the program, can
I just what What's your personal

1729
01:24:03,520 --> 01:24:06,880
opinion on what Harbaugh's plan 
for Quinton Johnson is? 

1730
01:24:07,320 --> 01:24:11,400
Oh, Quinton. 
Punk Gunner. 

1731
01:24:11,840 --> 01:24:13,600
Well guys, they changed the kick
return rule. 

1732
01:24:13,640 --> 01:24:17,880
You guys, you know that, right? 
Well, if I'll tell you this, if 

1733
01:24:17,880 --> 01:24:22,360
DJ Shark is starting at a single
snap over Quinn Johnson, it is 

1734
01:24:22,520 --> 01:24:25,720
so over. 
For oh, it's DJ Shark is like 

1735
01:24:25,720 --> 01:24:28,800
the Dementor for failed first 
round wide receiver prospects. 

1736
01:24:29,040 --> 01:24:32,040
Sorry, 1 snap where Shark is 
playing over QJ. 

1737
01:24:32,560 --> 01:24:35,720
It's a complete sell. 
So that's the only thing I know 

1738
01:24:35,760 --> 01:24:36,320
about that. 
That's. 

1739
01:24:37,160 --> 01:24:39,880
So fucking funny, because he 
just did it to Minko. 

1740
01:24:40,440 --> 01:24:41,400
And he just said it's over, 
Yeah. 

1741
01:24:42,440 --> 01:24:45,440
And he did it to did he do it? 
To Jameson Williams, too. 

1742
01:24:45,440 --> 01:24:48,880
He did it to Jameson Williams. 
Yeah, he's the. 

1743
01:24:49,400 --> 01:24:50,760
The one meme. 
Oh. 

1744
01:24:51,200 --> 01:24:54,640
Yeah, if you're Yeah, if you're 
not better than DJ Shark, you 

1745
01:24:54,640 --> 01:24:56,160
might be. 
Terrible. 

1746
01:24:56,200 --> 01:24:58,240
Well, I guess. 
I guess this is where I should 

1747
01:24:58,240 --> 01:25:01,640
go hand up I I'm I'm like 
drafting like Uncorrelated 

1748
01:25:01,640 --> 01:25:06,760
Unstacked Quinton Johnson. 
Because what if you know what? 

1749
01:25:07,080 --> 01:25:08,840
He was. 
He was good against Michigan in 

1750
01:25:08,840 --> 01:25:09,280
college. 
Right. 

1751
01:25:09,400 --> 01:25:11,360
Really hoping you had something 
stronger. 

1752
01:25:11,400 --> 01:25:12,840
Than. 
What if? 

1753
01:25:13,360 --> 01:25:17,040
I guess the the what if the what
if the the real life what if 

1754
01:25:17,040 --> 01:25:21,280
would be we used to have much 
different aging curve 

1755
01:25:21,280 --> 01:25:24,200
expectations for wide receivers.
Rookie wide receivers would play

1756
01:25:24,480 --> 01:25:30,680
and suck a lot, and I'm kind of 
ready for a wave of us being 

1757
01:25:30,680 --> 01:25:34,560
wrong about guys in year one and
then going way too far and 

1758
01:25:34,560 --> 01:25:37,160
leaving them for dead. 
And then in year two, they 

1759
01:25:37,160 --> 01:25:39,720
rebound to some degree, I mean. 
It works for Jalen Rigger, 

1760
01:25:39,720 --> 01:25:41,000
right? 
It's not going to. 

1761
01:25:41,040 --> 01:25:43,080
That's the thing. 
The thing that's so different 

1762
01:25:43,080 --> 01:25:45,840
now is, is rookie wide receivers
play all the time. 

1763
01:25:46,120 --> 01:25:48,680
So it's going to happen. 
It's going to happen way less 

1764
01:25:48,680 --> 01:25:53,040
often, but you know. 
Yeah, I mean in. 

1765
01:25:53,320 --> 01:25:54,840
I think it's not a bad point, 
Davis. 

1766
01:25:54,880 --> 01:25:57,320
I mean. 
It's it's a pretty bad point 

1767
01:25:57,320 --> 01:26:04,240
because I don't really believe 
it but but so The thing is is he

1768
01:26:04,240 --> 01:26:07,080
might be better than the dust 
balls on his team like Josh 

1769
01:26:07,080 --> 01:26:11,200
Palmer stinks you know. 
Glad Mcconkey. 

1770
01:26:11,400 --> 01:26:14,760
I just like I saw the clip of 
him wearing the mushroom helmet.

1771
01:26:14,760 --> 01:26:16,240
The other. 
Day and that was so bad. 

1772
01:26:16,880 --> 01:26:19,360
It was so bad. 
They are not doing him any 

1773
01:26:19,360 --> 01:26:21,680
favors, letting him get 
photographed and videoed in the 

1774
01:26:21,680 --> 01:26:25,480
mushroom helmet. 
And to me, Quinton Johnston was 

1775
01:26:25,480 --> 01:26:30,080
like very developmental in my 
opinion, like a lot of his 

1776
01:26:30,080 --> 01:26:32,200
production, including that 
Michigan, Michigan game, it was 

1777
01:26:32,200 --> 01:26:36,040
like play action, deep post 
coverage bus and he picks up a 

1778
01:26:36,040 --> 01:26:38,600
bunch of yards and then there 
was some screens and then he 

1779
01:26:38,600 --> 01:26:40,840
would, he had the athletic 
skills to make the first guy 

1780
01:26:40,840 --> 01:26:44,360
miss and then run out of bounds.
Like to me, there was a work in 

1781
01:26:44,360 --> 01:26:47,440
progress to kind of filter in 
between the two of those things 

1782
01:26:47,440 --> 01:26:51,040
and he had the athletic tools to
do that and he was a young 

1783
01:26:51,040 --> 01:26:53,200
player where like eventually 
maybe. 

1784
01:26:53,280 --> 01:26:55,440
He can, and you can tell when 
he's not thinking. 

1785
01:26:55,480 --> 01:26:58,600
He's actually pretty good. 
Remember the like 85 yard catch 

1786
01:26:58,600 --> 01:27:01,240
from Easton Stick? 
Like when he's just in the 

1787
01:27:01,240 --> 01:27:04,080
decision, when he's not having 
to make any decisions and it's 

1788
01:27:04,080 --> 01:27:06,280
just bullets flying, he's all 
right. 

1789
01:27:07,160 --> 01:27:09,640
But that's not really the way 
the game is played anymore. 

1790
01:27:09,640 --> 01:27:10,960
I don't. 
Think he's going to be a volume 

1791
01:27:10,960 --> 01:27:12,840
guy. 
I think the best case scenario 

1792
01:27:12,840 --> 01:27:15,320
is. 10 touchdowns. 
Play action, play action, deep 

1793
01:27:15,320 --> 01:27:17,000
shots. 
Herbert's just throwing absolute

1794
01:27:17,000 --> 01:27:19,520
missiles. 
He has two catches for 80 yards 

1795
01:27:19,800 --> 01:27:22,200
and we get Jameson Williams type
of stuff. 

1796
01:27:22,200 --> 01:27:25,200
I feel like that would be. 
A wide receiver 67, yeah, that's

1797
01:27:25,240 --> 01:27:27,800
like, I think I can. 
I think because I I don't want 

1798
01:27:27,800 --> 01:27:29,560
to have any Palmer really at 
all. 

1799
01:27:30,280 --> 01:27:33,840
It's Sharks second season is is 
the the upside case really 

1800
01:27:33,840 --> 01:27:36,080
right. 
Like he bombed his rookie season

1801
01:27:36,080 --> 01:27:39,800
second round pick and then he 
was kind of awesome. 

1802
01:27:39,800 --> 01:27:41,800
He was like, you know we were 
like psyched to play this dude 

1803
01:27:41,800 --> 01:27:43,320
in DFS. 
He looked like he was an 

1804
01:27:43,320 --> 01:27:47,680
emerging maybe not like 
superstar but like one of the 

1805
01:27:47,680 --> 01:27:49,440
like a good young wide receiver 
in the league. 

1806
01:27:49,520 --> 01:27:51,800
And then that was ended up being
kind of the flash in the plan 

1807
01:27:51,840 --> 01:27:53,200
pan only season that really 
mattered. 

1808
01:27:53,200 --> 01:27:56,040
But I think it's definitely 
possible. 

1809
01:27:57,200 --> 01:27:59,000
Yeah, I mean the the Charger 
stuff too. 

1810
01:27:59,200 --> 01:28:02,200
I guess Mcconkey is is getting 
up there, but it's so, so cheap.

1811
01:28:02,200 --> 01:28:05,960
If you want to start in round 10
and grab like 4 Chargers 

1812
01:28:05,960 --> 01:28:08,680
players, it's not a terrible 
strategy. 

1813
01:28:08,680 --> 01:28:10,720
Honestly. 
Like we could just be. 

1814
01:28:11,200 --> 01:28:14,080
I mean, honestly, I think we are
a little bit wrong on the 

1815
01:28:14,080 --> 01:28:17,240
Charger stuff and saying they're
going to be so bad. 

1816
01:28:17,240 --> 01:28:20,000
And you know, going back to the 
1990s, like Harbaugh's going to 

1817
01:28:20,000 --> 01:28:21,720
be a boomer and he's going to be
run base. 

1818
01:28:21,720 --> 01:28:24,160
But I think it's ultimately 
going to be a pretty efficient 

1819
01:28:24,160 --> 01:28:26,640
offense, even if it's not high 
volume, like, well, the you 

1820
01:28:26,640 --> 01:28:28,600
could run. 
Into the Roman offenses are 

1821
01:28:28,600 --> 01:28:30,760
always efficient. 
It's after that where you run 

1822
01:28:30,760 --> 01:28:33,080
into the problem. 
Yeah, I mean Greg Roman. 

1823
01:28:33,080 --> 01:28:36,400
His first year with Lamar, Lamar
Jackson was the the third best 

1824
01:28:36,400 --> 01:28:38,040
offense in NFL history of the 
last. 

1825
01:28:38,040 --> 01:28:39,520
Decade. 
But but he does. 

1826
01:28:39,520 --> 01:28:41,560
That happens. 
That effect is because the the 

1827
01:28:41,560 --> 01:28:44,120
guy's run. 
Is he going to turn Herbert into

1828
01:28:44,120 --> 01:28:45,800
a dual threat? 
Because if so, then we are. 

1829
01:28:46,560 --> 01:28:49,600
He made Alex. 
I mean, he made Alex Smith like 

1830
01:28:49,800 --> 01:28:54,040
he he turned Alex Smith into 
like a top twelve offense in San

1831
01:28:54,040 --> 01:28:57,440
Francisco a couple years. 
Yeah, but I think that's sort of

1832
01:28:57,440 --> 01:28:59,160
era specific. 
We pulled this, I was on the 

1833
01:28:59,160 --> 01:29:02,280
Rotorworld pod and we pulled up 
Alex Smith's stats, and they 

1834
01:29:02,280 --> 01:29:03,280
were. 
Like 24 rounds. 

1835
01:29:03,760 --> 01:29:06,000
Yeah, no, for real. 
Like he had, yeah, 23 

1836
01:29:06,000 --> 01:29:09,080
touchdowns. 
Peak Peak. 

1837
01:29:10,120 --> 01:29:14,800
My name is Herbert is. 
The guys around him are just, I 

1838
01:29:14,840 --> 01:29:16,880
mean, awful. 
And like, I don't mind Justin 

1839
01:29:16,880 --> 01:29:17,960
Herbert as my second 
quarterback. 

1840
01:29:17,960 --> 01:29:22,160
Like it's guys like Chase Brown,
Rashid, Shaheed, Jared Goff, 

1841
01:29:22,160 --> 01:29:25,320
Jacoby Myers, Taiji Spears, Josh
Palmer, Dalton Schultz. 

1842
01:29:25,320 --> 01:29:26,800
Like those. 
Those are the guys right around 

1843
01:29:26,800 --> 01:29:29,560
Justin Herbert. 
Like, I don't mind just taking 

1844
01:29:29,600 --> 01:29:32,440
Herbert as my quarterback, too, 
and then back stacking it with 

1845
01:29:33,640 --> 01:29:37,600
Quinn, Johnson, or freaking Will
Disley or Vidal or whatever. 

1846
01:29:38,000 --> 01:29:41,600
Like that tear around Herbert's 
so bad that. 

1847
01:29:41,600 --> 01:29:45,120
I read the the wrong stat. 
It's he peaked its 18 

1848
01:29:45,120 --> 01:29:48,840
touchdowns. 
You mentioned Disley there. 

1849
01:29:48,840 --> 01:29:53,480
Disley's AI drafted Disley on 
not not on underdog. 

1850
01:29:53,480 --> 01:29:56,160
Yet on DraftKings I've. 
Drafted him on underdog. 

1851
01:29:56,640 --> 01:29:59,680
I've drafted from Underdog. 
So Disley's the you think 

1852
01:29:59,680 --> 01:30:01,640
Disley's the answer 'cause they 
also have Hayden Hurst? 

1853
01:30:02,400 --> 01:30:06,280
So this we got got way more 
money than Hearst, I think. 

1854
01:30:07,000 --> 01:30:09,920
Hayden Hearst, I I mean I just 
did this on the show last week 

1855
01:30:09,920 --> 01:30:12,480
so I don't want to belabor the 
point, but he he had such a bad 

1856
01:30:12,480 --> 01:30:14,400
concussion last year he forgot 
his name. 

1857
01:30:14,880 --> 01:30:19,920
He he he he medically retired 
for like like temporary amnesia.

1858
01:30:20,120 --> 01:30:22,520
So like shout out to him for 
rehabbing and getting back or 

1859
01:30:22,520 --> 01:30:25,600
whatever. 
But that feels like just like 

1860
01:30:25,600 --> 01:30:28,440
the most precarious situation I 
can imagine. 

1861
01:30:29,480 --> 01:30:33,280
So yeah, the Disley. 
Disley is the is my inconvenient

1862
01:30:33,280 --> 01:30:34,800
truth talking about backdoor 
stacks. 

1863
01:30:34,800 --> 01:30:37,480
I mean, Justin Herbert is now so
cheap that you can get him as a 

1864
01:30:37,480 --> 01:30:39,600
back. 
Like you can go Herbert Round 

1865
01:30:39,600 --> 01:30:41,960
11. 
QJ, Round 13. 

1866
01:30:42,080 --> 01:30:45,000
Kamani Vidal, Round 14. 
Disley, Round 18. 

1867
01:30:45,000 --> 01:30:46,760
Not that you don't even have to 
do, Disley. 

1868
01:30:46,960 --> 01:30:49,880
I'm in a bunch of slow drafts 
and I'm doing stuff where I take

1869
01:30:50,120 --> 01:30:54,840
Palmer as like my wide receiver,
six or five, and then I set up 

1870
01:30:55,160 --> 01:30:59,360
the Herbert on the on the raft. 
On the other side, and. 

1871
01:30:59,440 --> 01:31:02,720
If I get Herbert, awesome. 
And if I don't, you know I'll 

1872
01:31:02,720 --> 01:31:04,080
figure out. 
I'm gonna draft Drake. 

1873
01:31:04,280 --> 01:31:07,280
Well then you have then you have
uncorrelated Josh Palmer. 

1874
01:31:07,280 --> 01:31:11,080
So what I do is I take Dantavy 
and Wicks there, 'cause I think 

1875
01:31:11,080 --> 01:31:15,000
Wicks is a way better player and
way better bet, and then I just 

1876
01:31:15,000 --> 01:31:18,440
figure the Herbert stuff out 
next 'cause I'm in a bunch of 

1877
01:31:18,440 --> 01:31:20,320
slows too. 
I will say I mean Herbert. 

1878
01:31:20,320 --> 01:31:22,920
I don't think Herbert's gonna. 
I don't believe in this offense 

1879
01:31:22,920 --> 01:31:26,560
at all. 
But like I I am willing to be 

1880
01:31:26,560 --> 01:31:29,760
humble if I'm paid for it. 
And and the market's paying me 

1881
01:31:29,760 --> 01:31:31,320
to be humble on Justin Herbert, 
right? 

1882
01:31:31,360 --> 01:31:33,640
You're getting a big discount. 
He'll be a spike week guy. 

1883
01:31:33,640 --> 01:31:36,640
He'll have a bunch of weeks 
where he has 186 passing yards. 

1884
01:31:36,840 --> 01:31:39,360
But there, I mean, Hayden, what 
do you think they'll be Chiefs 

1885
01:31:39,360 --> 01:31:42,280
games, they'll be a shootout, 
One of those maybe. 

1886
01:31:42,280 --> 01:31:44,840
They just absolutely smoke the 
Raiders one of these games. 

1887
01:31:44,840 --> 01:31:47,360
Like they'll be like four or 
five real spike weeks. 

1888
01:31:47,720 --> 01:31:51,280
When we get Chiefs versus 
Chargers Week 17 on Wednesday, 

1889
01:31:51,280 --> 01:31:53,840
you guys will be drafting Justin
Herbert in the eighth round. 

1890
01:31:53,920 --> 01:31:56,480
So. 
I've already got a I've already 

1891
01:31:56,480 --> 01:32:00,040
got a bunch of Mahomes Mcconkey 
teams for this eventuality. 

1892
01:32:00,280 --> 01:32:02,080
What? 
What if we get Chargers Raiders.

1893
01:32:02,080 --> 01:32:07,200
Man, yeah, 17th round. 
We are. 

1894
01:32:07,200 --> 01:32:10,720
We are officially rooting for 
Raiders Buccaneers in Week 17, 

1895
01:32:10,720 --> 01:32:14,560
so Peter and I can go be boots 
on the ground for the Laird 

1896
01:32:14,560 --> 01:32:19,240
Lauby jersey swap in Week 17. 
Wow. 

1897
01:32:19,560 --> 01:32:21,040
Yeah, we need that. 
We need that. 

1898
01:32:22,840 --> 01:32:25,000
All right. 
Let's let's talk about Chupa 

1899
01:32:25,000 --> 01:32:26,960
Hubbard for some reason, I guess
I. 

1900
01:32:27,000 --> 01:32:28,160
Don't think we need to. 
No. 

1901
01:32:28,160 --> 01:32:29,880
We I I really don't think he 
needs it. 

1902
01:32:30,520 --> 01:32:32,040
I wanted to. 
I wanted to hit the one last 

1903
01:32:32,040 --> 01:32:35,400
thing for news Odell. 
Odell Beckham going to Miami. 

1904
01:32:35,400 --> 01:32:37,240
This is drop. 
Jonnu. 

1905
01:32:37,320 --> 01:32:38,960
This is drop. 
Malik Washington. 

1906
01:32:39,240 --> 01:32:41,720
What are our thoughts? 
Hayden, What do you think Odell 

1907
01:32:42,040 --> 01:32:44,680
has left in the tank after 
Washington last year in 

1908
01:32:44,680 --> 01:32:48,040
Baltimore? 
It's a good landing spot for him

1909
01:32:48,040 --> 01:32:50,240
because like you guys mentioned,
like they do so much of the 

1910
01:32:50,240 --> 01:32:53,040
motion stuff, these these guys 
are just tired out there so they

1911
01:32:53,040 --> 01:32:55,880
can't play all the snaps. 
So when Jalen Waddle's 

1912
01:32:55,880 --> 01:32:59,320
exhausted, now it's Odell time 
to run the motion routes and 

1913
01:32:59,320 --> 01:33:00,800
he's not going to be fantasy 
relevant. 

1914
01:33:01,160 --> 01:33:04,600
Jonas Smith's a fine punt tight 
end. 

1915
01:33:05,040 --> 01:33:08,080
But yeah, I don't. 
I don't see it really mattering 

1916
01:33:08,080 --> 01:33:10,400
to anybody's individual 
projection. 

1917
01:33:10,760 --> 01:33:12,080
Are you? 
Are you drafting? 

1918
01:33:12,080 --> 01:33:14,440
The tight end Why is she 
affecting Jonas Smith's ADP at 

1919
01:33:14,480 --> 01:33:16,440
all? 
I think it's just the idea that 

1920
01:33:16,440 --> 01:33:18,760
Jonny kind of looked like the 
clear third option in the 

1921
01:33:18,760 --> 01:33:21,880
passing game, just like if 
you're scheming up touches to a 

1922
01:33:21,880 --> 01:33:23,520
player from a coaching 
perspective. 

1923
01:33:23,680 --> 01:33:26,160
And now that probably should be 
Odell, right? 

1924
01:33:26,200 --> 01:33:27,240
That. 
That was my thought. 

1925
01:33:28,200 --> 01:33:31,280
Should it? 
This dude was useless to close 

1926
01:33:31,280 --> 01:33:34,360
last season. 
Yeah, I I I will have a good 

1927
01:33:34,360 --> 01:33:40,040
0.0% of Odell and if anything it
makes it more likely that I do 

1928
01:33:40,720 --> 01:33:43,320
round 18 Malik Washington. 
Because it's going to take Malik

1929
01:33:43,320 --> 01:33:47,560
Washington from being like a 80%
drafted player to like a what? 

1930
01:33:47,560 --> 01:33:51,640
Probably like AI mean literally.
Maybe maybe 25% of best ball 

1931
01:33:51,640 --> 01:33:55,480
mania drafts have him. 
Why are we drafting Malik 

1932
01:33:55,480 --> 01:33:57,200
Washington again? 
I like the profile, but he's a 

1933
01:33:57,200 --> 01:33:59,600
six round pick. 
No, we're we shouldn't. 

1934
01:33:59,680 --> 01:34:01,200
Be bored, man. 
It's fucking. 

1935
01:34:01,320 --> 01:34:02,800
We're bored. 
Yeah, this is, Yeah, this. 

1936
01:34:02,840 --> 01:34:05,320
Is our our topic? 
Number one, we're we're bored in

1937
01:34:05,320 --> 01:34:06,280
May. 
What's going on with these 

1938
01:34:06,320 --> 01:34:07,720
rookie? 
He gets on base, dude. 

1939
01:34:08,080 --> 01:34:11,360
He gets on base. 
Tell us who the RV twos are on 

1940
01:34:11,360 --> 01:34:13,440
like 10 more depth charts and we
won't. 

1941
01:34:13,440 --> 01:34:14,160
We just. 
We just. 

1942
01:34:14,160 --> 01:34:15,320
Don't. 
That's why I'm drafting these 

1943
01:34:16,200 --> 01:34:18,000
awful tight ends in the last 
round. 

1944
01:34:18,120 --> 01:34:20,200
No, I. 
Tucker crafts Dawson. 

1945
01:34:20,200 --> 01:34:21,880
Knox. 
Easy, yeah, Parkin. 

1946
01:34:23,400 --> 01:34:25,000
Colby Parkinson. 
I'll throw on. 

1947
01:34:25,880 --> 01:34:29,440
No, the Colby Parkinson thing is
you're it's like Congrats, you 

1948
01:34:29,440 --> 01:34:33,440
won the guy on the bench behind 
Tyler Higbee in Week 17. 

1949
01:34:34,400 --> 01:34:36,560
I'd like to see it. 
I think Higbee's a total. 

1950
01:34:36,760 --> 01:34:37,720
Ass. 
I think Higbee's done. 

1951
01:34:37,720 --> 01:34:39,520
Yeah, I think it might get 
caught a. 

1952
01:34:40,080 --> 01:34:42,320
Lot of guys have tried. 
A lot of guys have tried to kill

1953
01:34:42,320 --> 01:34:46,760
Tyler Higbee, Bryson Hopkins, 
Kendall Blanton. 

1954
01:34:46,760 --> 01:34:49,040
What was the? 
Guy, you guys the Super athlete?

1955
01:34:50,760 --> 01:34:52,600
Jacob Harris. 
Jacob Harris. 

1956
01:34:52,960 --> 01:34:56,280
Yes, that guy was a stud A. 
Lot of guys, a lot of guys have 

1957
01:34:56,800 --> 01:34:59,440
come. 
Guys have come for Tyler Higbee.

1958
01:34:59,560 --> 01:35:01,880
He was. 
He was Theo Johnson before Theo 

1959
01:35:01,880 --> 01:35:06,880
Johnson. 
The strategy for this year is 

1960
01:35:07,320 --> 01:35:10,200
what if the Seahawks, all three 
of the tight ends that they had 

1961
01:35:10,200 --> 01:35:13,360
last year were all so good and 
now that they're all separated 

1962
01:35:13,360 --> 01:35:15,680
from each other, there's 
correlation where it's like all 

1963
01:35:15,680 --> 01:35:17,600
three of them were studs. 
That's why they were in even 

1964
01:35:17,600 --> 01:35:20,320
rotation. 
You go to Fant, Disley, 

1965
01:35:20,360 --> 01:35:23,400
Parkinson, and we're like, wow, 
that's why they were in a 

1966
01:35:23,400 --> 01:35:26,520
committee. 
They're all, they're all so 

1967
01:35:27,440 --> 01:35:29,960
good. 
Actually, if that's. 

1968
01:35:30,040 --> 01:35:31,280
True late. 
Round tight end. 

1969
01:35:31,560 --> 01:35:34,120
For sure, no fan is by far the 
best late round tight end. 

1970
01:35:34,360 --> 01:35:36,720
Well, no, he's not. 
He's he's not. 

1971
01:35:36,720 --> 01:35:40,080
He definitely is. 
He's exactly who he is, and he's

1972
01:35:40,080 --> 01:35:42,280
always been. 
But he's he's round rate's going

1973
01:35:42,280 --> 01:35:45,440
to go up from like 55% to 70. 
So that's that would be that 

1974
01:35:45,440 --> 01:35:47,000
would be the difference. 
It's it's the David. 

1975
01:35:47,120 --> 01:35:50,320
It's the David and Joku thing. 
Like when when they paid David 

1976
01:35:50,320 --> 01:35:53,120
and Joku that big contract after
he was like a timeshare tight 

1977
01:35:53,120 --> 01:35:54,480
end. 
Everyone was like the Browns are

1978
01:35:54,480 --> 01:35:57,680
so stupid like David and Joku 
sucks immediately that next year

1979
01:35:57,680 --> 01:35:59,520
he was awesome before he got 
hurt. 

1980
01:35:59,880 --> 01:36:02,760
Obviously it's pattern matching 
to some degree, but these tight 

1981
01:36:02,760 --> 01:36:06,160
ends, like they just this late 
breakout thing for tight ends 

1982
01:36:06,160 --> 01:36:09,520
happens all the time. 
And like, who's playing snaps at

1983
01:36:09,520 --> 01:36:11,000
tight end instead of no offense,
Seattle. 

1984
01:36:11,000 --> 01:36:12,960
I don't know who it is. 
It's a Ricky. 

1985
01:36:13,720 --> 01:36:14,680
I'm. 
I'm worried we're going to learn

1986
01:36:14,680 --> 01:36:17,560
names, because sometimes we 
learn names when the answer's 

1987
01:36:17,560 --> 01:36:22,240
like it's his name's. 
I was. 

1988
01:36:22,280 --> 01:36:25,080
I was learning, yeah. 
I was learning names in the 

1989
01:36:25,080 --> 01:36:28,440
Titans Titan. 
Room the Second The second name 

1990
01:36:28,560 --> 01:36:31,840
is as funny as it gets. 
It literally could not be 

1991
01:36:31,840 --> 01:36:33,800
funnier. 
The second guy on the Rs? 

1992
01:36:34,880 --> 01:36:38,480
It's Pharaoh Brown oh. 
No, we're in. 

1993
01:36:38,640 --> 01:36:39,200
We're in Good. 
Shape. 

1994
01:36:39,200 --> 01:36:41,120
No, that's. 
What you guys? 

1995
01:36:41,240 --> 01:36:43,480
No, we're in great shape. 
So what you That's So what you 

1996
01:36:43,480 --> 01:36:45,800
guys think. 
And then all of a sudden, Tyler 

1997
01:36:45,800 --> 01:36:47,920
Mabry is playing 33. 
Percent, I would have been 

1998
01:36:47,920 --> 01:36:49,800
worried if you were, said 
Mercedes Lewis. 

1999
01:36:49,880 --> 01:36:51,760
I'd be like, shit. 
Yeah, yeah. 

2000
01:36:52,600 --> 01:36:54,080
I think. 
I think I just have been. 

2001
01:36:54,080 --> 01:36:58,160
I mean, minorly fan pilled. 
It's just like I I'm looking for

2002
01:36:58,160 --> 01:37:03,440
any reason to stop taking Tucker
Craft and and Dawson Knox so so 

2003
01:37:03,440 --> 01:37:06,360
this is a good reason. 
I do think there's like the late

2004
01:37:06,360 --> 01:37:08,680
round tight ends. 
It's tough because so many of 

2005
01:37:08,680 --> 01:37:12,240
the guys get kind of fanted or 
or either in the Hayden Hurst 

2006
01:37:12,240 --> 01:37:15,880
zone where they just like run. 
You know, like who or who was 

2007
01:37:15,880 --> 01:37:19,600
the dude that we drafted on the 
Panthers like four years ago was

2008
01:37:19,600 --> 01:37:22,760
real athletic and he was good 
for like 1, exactly 1 minute. 

2009
01:37:23,680 --> 01:37:25,240
Ian Thomas. 
Ian Thomas? 

2010
01:37:25,360 --> 01:37:27,960
Yeah, Ian Thomas. 
And then it's like, oh Nope, 

2011
01:37:27,960 --> 01:37:29,880
it's just a rotation. 
Like there's basically there's 

2012
01:37:29,880 --> 01:37:33,040
like 5 teams potentially this 
year that just like essentially 

2013
01:37:33,120 --> 01:37:35,960
aren't playing a fantasy 
relevant tight end because no 

2014
01:37:35,960 --> 01:37:37,040
one's going to accumulate 
enough. 

2015
01:37:37,040 --> 01:37:38,920
Snacks. 
But that's what so like, that's 

2016
01:37:38,920 --> 01:37:41,320
what you think though, about the
rotation stuff. 

2017
01:37:41,320 --> 01:37:43,440
And then all of a sudden the guy
you've never heard of starts 

2018
01:37:43,440 --> 01:37:46,200
rotating in. 
What do you? 

2019
01:37:46,320 --> 01:37:48,600
This is this is the Noah fan 
issue, yes. 

2020
01:37:48,840 --> 01:37:49,840
Yeah, no, that's what I'm 
saying. 

2021
01:37:49,840 --> 01:37:52,160
It's the Noah fan issue. 
You you give him 75 and then 

2022
01:37:52,160 --> 01:37:55,440
it's like Pharaoh Brown gets he 
only gets 20, but then this 

2023
01:37:55,440 --> 01:37:58,080
other dude gets 20. 
Two, but Tyler Mabry gets 8 and 

2024
01:37:58,240 --> 01:38:00,520
they play a full back, Yeah. 
Yeah, yeah. 

2025
01:38:00,520 --> 01:38:02,800
But I think also Pete Carroll's 
gone in Seattle. 

2026
01:38:02,800 --> 01:38:05,520
Like, I think the Will Disley 
thing was a Pete Carroll thing. 

2027
01:38:05,520 --> 01:38:07,880
I think the Parkinson thing was 
AI don't think they're like 

2028
01:38:07,880 --> 01:38:09,320
philosophy. 
It's not like Seattle's 

2029
01:38:09,320 --> 01:38:11,480
philosophy, like philosophically
committed to. 

2030
01:38:11,480 --> 01:38:13,840
They didn't even they. 
You need to see the coaching 

2031
01:38:13,840 --> 01:38:15,280
this. 
Part is when they had to, I got 

2032
01:38:15,280 --> 01:38:15,800
it. 
I got yeah, they. 

2033
01:38:16,000 --> 01:38:18,520
Smell so good? 
I got to correct you on this, 

2034
01:38:18,880 --> 01:38:20,000
Pete. 
Carroll's not the head coach. 

2035
01:38:20,000 --> 01:38:22,640
He's still employed by the team.
What? 

2036
01:38:23,520 --> 01:38:25,040
Yes. 
Does he get to set the tie down 

2037
01:38:25,080 --> 01:38:26,200
rotation? 
No, he's in. 

2038
01:38:26,360 --> 01:38:29,600
He's in like an he's in like an 
advisory role now on the team. 

2039
01:38:30,280 --> 01:38:32,320
It's not they. 
They basically just realized we 

2040
01:38:32,320 --> 01:38:34,600
can't have an 85 year old. 
Oh my God. 

2041
01:38:35,000 --> 01:38:37,280
He's on it for Jess, first 
because they won't pay him 

2042
01:38:37,280 --> 01:38:39,800
Social Security. 
He needs, he needs the the money

2043
01:38:40,520 --> 01:38:42,800
right now. 
Why is he still employment? 

2044
01:38:43,760 --> 01:38:46,760
Team So, like, I think people 
treating this like brand new 

2045
01:38:46,760 --> 01:38:49,560
Seahawks, like need to zoom out 
on the chart a little bit. 

2046
01:38:49,560 --> 01:38:51,360
Like, I would not agree with 
that assessment. 

2047
01:38:52,160 --> 01:38:55,000
They kept the same quarterback. 
It's a new offense, though. 

2048
01:38:55,000 --> 01:38:57,800
Like that Huskies offense last 
year was so sick. 

2049
01:38:58,320 --> 01:38:59,960
Like I'm not new. 
Coordinator. 

2050
01:39:00,480 --> 01:39:05,840
I'm not trying to be, I'm not 
trying to to be a downer on any 

2051
01:39:05,840 --> 01:39:07,400
of that. 
I just, I'm saying it's not, 

2052
01:39:07,400 --> 01:39:11,200
this is not like, you know, they
didn't just become, I don't 

2053
01:39:11,200 --> 01:39:13,560
know, the the 49ers overnight or
whatever. 

2054
01:39:14,960 --> 01:39:17,800
I think the just generally with 
the last time I had on the tight

2055
01:39:17,800 --> 01:39:20,640
ends is I think now is the time 
to do the late round tight end 

2056
01:39:20,640 --> 01:39:24,640
because we don't know who the RV
twos are right now and 

2057
01:39:24,800 --> 01:39:27,760
eventually we'll know that. 
And then at the same time most 

2058
01:39:27,760 --> 01:39:32,240
likely the mid round running 
backs in August, their ADP is 

2059
01:39:32,240 --> 01:39:34,640
going to go up and I think that 
the tight ends in that range are

2060
01:39:34,640 --> 01:39:35,840
going to slide down a little 
bit. 

2061
01:39:35,840 --> 01:39:39,320
So then you're basically you can
draft the kind of Kyle Pitts 

2062
01:39:39,320 --> 01:39:44,680
cohort, the Marc Andrews cohort 
guys maybe they're 5670 spots 

2063
01:39:44,680 --> 01:39:48,000
down in August and then we don't
have to draft as many know. 

2064
01:39:48,000 --> 01:39:51,080
But if Marc Andrew's going to 
pick 60 in August, I'm gonna 

2065
01:39:51,240 --> 01:39:54,840
have the biggest bag of anyone 
I've I've maybe ever had. 

2066
01:39:54,840 --> 01:39:56,960
That's, yeah. 
I would love I think. 

2067
01:39:56,960 --> 01:39:59,680
I think I need to start taking 
more fan though. 

2068
01:39:59,680 --> 01:40:02,560
Like this. 
This depth chart is brutal. 

2069
01:40:02,800 --> 01:40:04,080
Yeah. 
Like it's. 

2070
01:40:04,360 --> 01:40:05,480
Like. 
Former first round. 

2071
01:40:05,480 --> 01:40:06,760
It's a good former first round 
pick. 

2072
01:40:06,760 --> 01:40:10,760
Like, really good athlete. 
And drafted to be a receiver, I 

2073
01:40:10,760 --> 01:40:13,240
mean, that's that's like. 
I think his career yards per out

2074
01:40:13,240 --> 01:40:15,640
run, if you look at it, it's 
like 1.5 or something. 

2075
01:40:15,760 --> 01:40:17,720
I I totally made that up. 
But I think it's like pretty 

2076
01:40:17,720 --> 01:40:20,320
good. 
It it's been bad the last couple

2077
01:40:20,320 --> 01:40:23,360
years, but. 
I got to ask Winx a question, 

2078
01:40:23,360 --> 01:40:23,880
though. 
Who? 

2079
01:40:23,920 --> 01:40:26,440
Who is the offensive coordinator
for Seattle now? 

2080
01:40:27,200 --> 01:40:29,120
Ryan Grubb from Washington 
Huskies. 

2081
01:40:29,200 --> 01:40:33,040
OK, so if if you're looking for 
a reason of how fans routes get 

2082
01:40:33,040 --> 01:40:36,240
cut, do you know who they? 
Did they take the guy that they 

2083
01:40:37,080 --> 01:40:39,480
from that offense? 
They took, they took Westover. 

2084
01:40:39,480 --> 01:40:41,800
They took the tight end from 
from the Huskies. 

2085
01:40:41,920 --> 01:40:47,880
Was he a draft pick or a UDUDFA?
I assume a UDFA Jack Westover 

2086
01:40:47,880 --> 01:40:49,400
I'll take. 
My I'll take my chances. 

2087
01:40:50,960 --> 01:40:53,960
Yeah, I mean, like, probably 
it's gonna be fine, but. 

2088
01:40:53,960 --> 01:40:57,400
Stan Noah Fan has a career yards
broadband of 1.47. 

2089
01:40:57,920 --> 01:40:59,840
How does it make you feel to 
just know that off the top of 

2090
01:40:59,840 --> 01:41:03,760
your head? 
Like, I'm on that spectrum of 

2091
01:41:04,080 --> 01:41:06,080
sex having versus when you're 
drafting you. 

2092
01:41:06,080 --> 01:41:08,600
Know what is Hunter? 
What is Hunter having his career

2093
01:41:08,600 --> 01:41:10,640
Yards per round. 
We know, we know where to find 

2094
01:41:10,640 --> 01:41:12,160
you on the Sharp. 
Yeah, you know where? 

2095
01:41:12,160 --> 01:41:16,200
To find me on the sharp. 
Hunter had any 1.3 that. 

2096
01:41:17,320 --> 01:41:19,160
Sounds right. 
No, I think that. 

2097
01:41:19,160 --> 01:41:21,040
Might be that sounds right. 
Maybe a little low. 

2098
01:41:21,400 --> 01:41:24,360
Let's sort by the touchdowns. 
Who cares about yards at tight 

2099
01:41:24,360 --> 01:41:25,560
end? 
That's so. 

2100
01:41:25,720 --> 01:41:28,320
It's literally so true. 
Sort by fucking touchdowns. 

2101
01:41:28,520 --> 01:41:32,760
Yeah, 1.41.48 for Hunter Henry. 
The honest truth is that you can

2102
01:41:32,760 --> 01:41:35,280
guess 1.5 for most tight ends 
for. 

2103
01:41:35,280 --> 01:41:39,960
Most tight ends, yeah. 
Pat Firemuth was the other guy 

2104
01:41:39,960 --> 01:41:45,520
that has a little bit of post 
hype sleeper and there's no one 

2105
01:41:45,520 --> 01:41:47,000
else in that offense to throw 
the ball to. 

2106
01:41:47,000 --> 01:41:49,280
We know that Arthur Smith 
fantasizes about. 

2107
01:41:49,760 --> 01:41:52,040
About about Darnell Washington 
He. 

2108
01:41:52,080 --> 01:41:53,760
Yeah, I was thinking. 
About that's a problem. 

2109
01:41:53,800 --> 01:41:56,400
He He's going. 
To he's going to be a blocker. 

2110
01:41:56,440 --> 01:41:58,480
All the all the the play action 
actually. 

2111
01:41:58,560 --> 01:41:59,960
Think they're legit? 
Blocking. 

2112
01:42:00,360 --> 01:42:03,440
They're legit going to, I think 
could just convert him to tackle

2113
01:42:03,440 --> 01:42:05,200
eventually. 
The whole point is not to tip 

2114
01:42:05,200 --> 01:42:06,600
your hand. 
So you put Darnell Washington, 

2115
01:42:06,600 --> 01:42:07,400
well, we're going to run the 
ball. 

2116
01:42:07,400 --> 01:42:08,440
We're definitely going to run 
the ball. 

2117
01:42:08,440 --> 01:42:10,120
And then Nope. 
Darnell Russo is one of the. 

2118
01:42:10,120 --> 01:42:12,280
World's slowest round Who is 
Darnell Washington? 

2119
01:42:12,280 --> 01:42:14,480
If not, fancy Michael Pruitt, 
Honestly. 

2120
01:42:14,480 --> 01:42:18,400
Yeah, yeah. 
What is the Steelers plan at in 

2121
01:42:18,400 --> 01:42:20,320
three wide receiver sets? 
Are they just not going to do 

2122
01:42:20,320 --> 01:42:21,800
them this year? 
They're not doing them. 

2123
01:42:21,840 --> 01:42:23,880
Fryerman is going to be the slot
receiver basically, and it's 

2124
01:42:23,880 --> 01:42:26,680
going to be Roman Wilson and Pat
Fryerman is out in the routes 

2125
01:42:26,680 --> 01:42:30,320
with Pickens and Darnell 
Washington in there to block and

2126
01:42:30,320 --> 01:42:32,560
all the play action stuff. 
Like Pratt, Fryerman is going to

2127
01:42:32,560 --> 01:42:35,800
have like the targets per route.
Oh no, you guys are so wrong. 

2128
01:42:35,880 --> 01:42:37,320
You guys are so wrong about 
this. 

2129
01:42:37,320 --> 01:42:39,600
Van Jefferson is playing ahead 
of Roman Wilson. 

2130
01:42:41,240 --> 01:42:43,760
Come on, Van Jefferson is also a
good DJ Shark. 

2131
01:42:44,640 --> 01:42:47,120
Van Jefferson Van Jefferson is 
like a a. 

2132
01:42:47,440 --> 01:42:49,080
Super Elite. 
Yeah, see ya. 

2133
01:42:50,160 --> 01:42:52,880
Yeah. 
Yeah, every route that he runs 

2134
01:42:52,880 --> 01:42:55,600
ahead of Roman Wilson, we have 
to lower Wilson one spot in the 

2135
01:42:55,600 --> 01:42:57,800
ranks. 
Yeah, I mean Van Van Jefferson 

2136
01:42:57,800 --> 01:42:59,600
is like a a really good run 
blocker. 

2137
01:42:59,600 --> 01:43:02,120
That was like his thing, that 
that was like his selling point.

2138
01:43:03,400 --> 01:43:07,320
This depth chart is insane. 
So bad Calvin Austin. 

2139
01:43:07,320 --> 01:43:10,440
Denzel Mims. 
I love Quez Watkins. 

2140
01:43:10,440 --> 01:43:12,480
Dez Fitzpatrick. 
Scott Miller. 

2141
01:43:12,480 --> 01:43:15,960
Marcus Callaway. 
This is a year. 

2142
01:43:16,600 --> 01:43:18,480
Memories of a round eighteen 
guys. 

2143
01:43:20,080 --> 01:43:25,920
We shouldn't have drafted, yeah.
Memories of around 18 past. 

2144
01:43:26,280 --> 01:43:28,720
Well, Marcus Callaway was 
memories of Round 8 past. 

2145
01:43:29,640 --> 01:43:34,080
Yeah, not, not for me. 
OK, don't. 

2146
01:43:34,640 --> 01:43:35,800
Forget why I. 
I do. 

2147
01:43:35,800 --> 01:43:38,440
I do want to talk about Justin 
Fields here real quick because 

2148
01:43:38,440 --> 01:43:40,200
that this is officially where 
I've reached. 

2149
01:43:41,240 --> 01:43:44,720
I'm completely jumping the shark
as someone who just wants to win

2150
01:43:44,720 --> 01:43:47,680
$1.5 million playing fantasy 
football. 

2151
01:43:47,680 --> 01:43:52,520
If I'm thinking to myself, I 
don't know, I really need 13 

2152
01:43:52,520 --> 01:43:56,120
points in week 13 when Mahomes 
is on by or whatever, and taking

2153
01:43:57,200 --> 01:44:01,240
Bonex when it's like we know 
beyond a shadow of a doubt. 

2154
01:44:01,240 --> 01:44:03,520
If Russell Wilson retired from 
football tomorrow, we know 

2155
01:44:03,520 --> 01:44:05,680
exactly what the market would 
do. 

2156
01:44:05,880 --> 01:44:07,800
Fields would come all the way 
back up. 

2157
01:44:08,040 --> 01:44:10,800
He would go ahead of Dax, he 
would go ahead of Kyler, he 

2158
01:44:10,800 --> 01:44:13,680
would go right next to Joe 
Burrow and like the seventh 

2159
01:44:13,680 --> 01:44:17,680
round. 
And he he is also completely 

2160
01:44:18,840 --> 01:44:22,360
protected from sucking at 
fantasy because he'll just run 

2161
01:44:22,520 --> 01:44:25,520
like he'll he just, we will just
run like you. 

2162
01:44:25,520 --> 01:44:27,960
You call pass play for him, 
Arthur Smith, whatever. 

2163
01:44:27,960 --> 01:44:31,320
It doesn't matter. 
I'm just going to run like I 

2164
01:44:31,320 --> 01:44:34,920
think you got to start working 
him in, especially on I think 

2165
01:44:34,920 --> 01:44:38,320
elite quarterback teams, if this
makes sense, where you have 

2166
01:44:38,320 --> 01:44:41,120
Kurtz or Allen or whatever, 
where you really are just 

2167
01:44:41,120 --> 01:44:45,040
wanting a unique 31 ball out of 
nowhere and you don't have to 

2168
01:44:45,040 --> 01:44:47,080
stack him either. 
You can take him totally naked. 

2169
01:44:47,680 --> 01:44:50,400
So that's where I'm at. 
I've been sitting here in the 

2170
01:44:50,400 --> 01:44:53,480
one 90s just waiting for Justin 
Fields to come down and here he 

2171
01:44:53,480 --> 01:44:54,760
is. 
He's here. 

2172
01:44:55,000 --> 01:44:56,560
So I think. 
I think it's time. 

2173
01:44:56,560 --> 01:44:59,080
I think it's a it's a great 
point he's got. 

2174
01:44:59,080 --> 01:45:02,000
He fell to the range. 
There's very little opportunity 

2175
01:45:02,000 --> 01:45:04,280
cost. 
Hayden just noted that the late 

2176
01:45:04,280 --> 01:45:06,280
rounds were we. 
We don't know what to do. 

2177
01:45:06,560 --> 01:45:09,440
Why not? 
Why not draft Justin Fields and 

2178
01:45:09,960 --> 01:45:12,720
tack him on to sure elite, elite
quarterback. 

2179
01:45:12,720 --> 01:45:15,760
But why not tack him on to Brock
Purdy and Trevor Lawrence? 

2180
01:45:15,880 --> 01:45:18,200
That's that's also a good way to
do it, yeah. 

2181
01:45:18,840 --> 01:45:20,640
And he's we're getting to the 
point where he's not going to be

2182
01:45:20,640 --> 01:45:22,160
drafted every single time 
especially. 

2183
01:45:22,160 --> 01:45:24,160
If he's correct. 
And we're going to get the 

2184
01:45:24,160 --> 01:45:26,440
unique builds. 
Like, let's say Russell Wilson 

2185
01:45:26,440 --> 01:45:28,120
is like, oh, he's totally 
cooked. 

2186
01:45:28,400 --> 01:45:30,880
He's starting in August, like 
now you're going to have the 

2187
01:45:30,880 --> 01:45:32,640
unique build. 
So it's like it's now or never. 

2188
01:45:32,640 --> 01:45:34,320
And for those type of guys, I 
feel like it's. 

2189
01:45:34,680 --> 01:45:37,480
I mean isn't that isn't that 
what is going to happen? 

2190
01:45:37,480 --> 01:45:40,520
Like Russell Wilson is going to 
be cooked and like is like kind 

2191
01:45:40,520 --> 01:45:43,080
of a dog, maybe even a start 
week or. 

2192
01:45:43,080 --> 01:45:45,680
Russell Wilson is cooked like 
this, too. 

2193
01:45:46,240 --> 01:45:48,320
Sean Payton came. 
Remember Sean Payton? 

2194
01:45:48,760 --> 01:45:51,280
Offensive guru Sean Payton? 
He took a look at. 

2195
01:45:51,280 --> 01:45:53,080
Russell was like, no, get the. 
He said. 

2196
01:45:53,160 --> 01:45:54,880
He said. 
He said get Bone Nicks in the 

2197
01:45:54,880 --> 01:45:59,320
building for me right now, I 
can't live with Russell Wilson. 

2198
01:45:59,520 --> 01:46:02,880
You go to the University of 
Auburn and get me Bone Nicks 

2199
01:46:02,880 --> 01:46:05,360
now. 
He saw a dude throwing screen 

2200
01:46:05,360 --> 01:46:07,560
passes on Saturday and was like,
that guy. 

2201
01:46:07,800 --> 01:46:12,640
I need that guy right now. 
Bone Nicks also fantastic eighth

2202
01:46:12,640 --> 01:46:14,400
round, 18th round pick. 
He. 

2203
01:46:14,480 --> 01:46:16,880
He I mean. 
The, the, the, the rushing. 

2204
01:46:16,880 --> 01:46:20,120
I think the rushing stuff with 
Knicks is is a little under 36 

2205
01:46:20,120 --> 01:46:24,480
rushing touchdowns in college. 
Yeah, there's no way. 

2206
01:46:24,480 --> 01:46:27,440
There's no way from leadership 
with Mike Tomlin. 

2207
01:46:27,680 --> 01:46:30,040
You got, you know who's going to
come in and be like, you know, 

2208
01:46:30,040 --> 01:46:33,000
the Steelers minds that they 
want Russell Wilson or the guy 

2209
01:46:33,000 --> 01:46:34,760
that like the Bears locker room 
was in love with. 

2210
01:46:34,840 --> 01:46:37,840
It's Justin Peels is starting by
the end of the season for sure. 

2211
01:46:37,920 --> 01:46:40,960
And even if he doesn't, neither 
were your other shitty 18 round 

2212
01:46:40,960 --> 01:46:43,280
picks anyways. 
You don't. 

2213
01:46:43,280 --> 01:46:47,320
You don't need you don't need 
Beau Nix's points in Week 6 on 

2214
01:46:47,320 --> 01:46:50,160
your on your Justin Herbert 
Aaron Rodgers team anyways. 

2215
01:46:50,280 --> 01:46:54,400
What you do need is you need to 
find someone who can go nuclear 

2216
01:46:54,400 --> 01:46:58,080
in in a given week. 
So Sam and I have a bet on 

2217
01:46:58,080 --> 01:47:00,280
Justin Fields of whether or not 
he starts week one. 

2218
01:47:01,160 --> 01:47:04,280
He got it in good there. 
Do you want to go heads up? 

2219
01:47:04,280 --> 01:47:06,680
Heads up points, Justin Fields 
or not, they Parker. 

2220
01:47:10,280 --> 01:47:12,320
Eagles wide receiver three. 
I don't know, man. 

2221
01:47:12,360 --> 01:47:13,560
Could be hey. 
Johnny. 

2222
01:47:13,600 --> 01:47:15,400
Wilson. 
Eraser. 

2223
01:47:15,400 --> 01:47:16,400
Come on. 
Yeah. 

2224
01:47:17,560 --> 01:47:22,600
And I'll say that Justin Fields 
is like he's a he's a backup 

2225
01:47:22,600 --> 01:47:24,760
quarterback and they're starting
quarterback in the draft that 

2226
01:47:25,680 --> 01:47:30,560
that's all I got to say. 
I mean the the I I do, I mean 

2227
01:47:30,560 --> 01:47:32,560
Knicks. 
I I guess I should go back to 

2228
01:47:32,560 --> 01:47:35,480
that like Knicks is kind of like
a mystery box in the sense of 

2229
01:47:35,480 --> 01:47:38,400
like what? 
What is the Broncos offense 

2230
01:47:38,400 --> 01:47:39,880
even? 
Look, they have no wide receiver

2231
01:47:39,880 --> 01:47:42,320
talent. 
What do you think Bo Nick's his 

2232
01:47:42,320 --> 01:47:45,160
average rushing yards in rushing
touchdowns per game was in 

2233
01:47:45,160 --> 01:47:47,160
college, Bo Nick. 
His rushing touchdowns are 

2234
01:47:47,200 --> 01:47:49,920
shockingly. 
It's it's a 12 rushing 

2235
01:47:49,920 --> 01:47:51,360
touchdowns per game or 
something. 

2236
01:47:51,520 --> 01:47:54,280
Yeah, and he runs for like 30 
yards a game. 

2237
01:47:54,400 --> 01:47:58,120
But keep in mind, keep in mind 
like this, like he used, like 

2238
01:47:58,120 --> 01:48:00,720
the Gus Malzahn Auburn stuff and
then like the base. 

2239
01:48:00,800 --> 01:48:03,400
On Oregon. 
Yeah, well, playing in Oregon is

2240
01:48:03,400 --> 01:48:05,200
cheating. 
Playing you you you basically 

2241
01:48:05,200 --> 01:48:09,960
play 9 exhibition games and then
two real games a year at at 

2242
01:48:09,960 --> 01:48:12,280
Oregon. 
I'm not, I'm not trying to take 

2243
01:48:12,280 --> 01:48:16,560
anything away from Knicks like I
I I like the idea. 

2244
01:48:16,560 --> 01:48:19,520
But Fields has a demonstrably 
better single game. 

2245
01:48:19,640 --> 01:48:22,160
Oh yeah, for sure. 
But Knicks is a good pick. 

2246
01:48:22,240 --> 01:48:25,200
Knicks is a good pick. 
You're getting job security, you

2247
01:48:25,200 --> 01:48:27,280
know, and and when I say job 
security, I'm, I'm thinking 

2248
01:48:27,280 --> 01:48:28,800
about the fantasy playoffs. 
Who's getting? 

2249
01:48:28,800 --> 01:48:30,240
Who's getting started in the 
fantasy playoffs? 

2250
01:48:30,240 --> 01:48:33,280
You don't get that with Daniel 
Jones, who's goes in that range.

2251
01:48:33,280 --> 01:48:35,720
You don't get that with Gardner.
Minshew, who goes in that range?

2252
01:48:35,720 --> 01:48:39,000
You have, I think, much stronger
job security for the fantasy 

2253
01:48:39,000 --> 01:48:40,600
playoffs with the rookie 
quarterback who they just 

2254
01:48:40,600 --> 01:48:42,320
drafted early in the first 
round. 

2255
01:48:42,720 --> 01:48:44,680
And then, yeah, there's a little
bit of a mystery box element 

2256
01:48:44,680 --> 01:48:46,120
with the rushing. 
Like, if he runs a little bit 

2257
01:48:46,120 --> 01:48:48,520
about around the goal line, in 
some ways, like the Oregon stuff

2258
01:48:48,520 --> 01:48:50,320
should have made him run less, 
right? 

2259
01:48:50,320 --> 01:48:51,560
It's all like gimmicky short 
stuff. 

2260
01:48:51,560 --> 01:48:52,600
What? 
What's this dude taking off? 

2261
01:48:52,600 --> 01:48:53,800
He's a. 
Five star recruit, like this 

2262
01:48:53,800 --> 01:48:57,040
guy's like a legit decent 
athlete and yeah, I know like he

2263
01:48:57,080 --> 01:49:00,720
had 97th percentile EPA play. 
Like you don't just walk into 

2264
01:49:00,720 --> 01:49:03,400
that like that's he took a lot 
of strays and I get it. 

2265
01:49:03,920 --> 01:49:06,920
But even when you remove their 
screens and the Rpos like the 

2266
01:49:06,920 --> 01:49:10,160
dude was still lighting it up. 
So I'm interested. 

2267
01:49:10,640 --> 01:49:14,960
He's a better, he's a better 
quarterback prospect than than 

2268
01:49:14,960 --> 01:49:16,920
Pennex. 
And Bryce, I agree. 

2269
01:49:18,600 --> 01:49:21,400
Well. 
I mean rice is rice is too 

2270
01:49:21,400 --> 01:49:22,960
small, man, can we get real for 
one? 

2271
01:49:22,960 --> 01:49:25,120
Second, yeah, Danny Carter had 
this last year. 

2272
01:49:25,120 --> 01:49:26,680
He's just like, he's too small. 
It's not gonna work. 

2273
01:49:26,680 --> 01:49:29,800
And then boom, that's. 
Exactly what I mean the The 

2274
01:49:29,840 --> 01:49:32,520
thing is is Knicks kind of looks
like what a quarterback looks 

2275
01:49:32,520 --> 01:49:33,840
like. 
That's the interesting thing. 

2276
01:49:33,880 --> 01:49:35,560
You know, like you just you just
kind of look at him in the 

2277
01:49:35,560 --> 01:49:38,040
huddle, look at him in the past.
He kind of looks like a 

2278
01:49:38,040 --> 01:49:40,920
quarterback, which I don't know.
That adds like 2 fantasy points 

2279
01:49:40,920 --> 01:49:44,480
per game. 
That's two starts per year I 

2280
01:49:44,480 --> 01:49:46,480
would. 
Say Yeah, definitely. 

2281
01:49:46,480 --> 01:49:49,000
That starts. 
So it's like, why Sam Darnold 

2282
01:49:49,000 --> 01:49:52,000
still has a job is he's got the 
square, he's he's got the square

2283
01:49:52,000 --> 01:49:54,600
jaw on the wide shoulder. 
So it's just like sure, 

2284
01:49:54,600 --> 01:49:56,560
whatever, $10 million a year 
what? 

2285
01:49:57,920 --> 01:50:00,120
How do you guys think Brock 
Osweiler got paid back in the 

2286
01:50:00,120 --> 01:50:01,120
day? 
And I'm like, come on. 

2287
01:50:02,080 --> 01:50:04,440
Brock was almost He almost 
looked too much like a 

2288
01:50:04,480 --> 01:50:05,480
quarterback. 
Yeah. 

2289
01:50:06,280 --> 01:50:07,200
He's too big. 
Red flag. 

2290
01:50:07,200 --> 01:50:08,800
It was too big. 
Same with Levis. 

2291
01:50:09,120 --> 01:50:12,120
Levis, like, looks almost AI 
quarterback and he's like, all 

2292
01:50:12,120 --> 01:50:14,280
right, that's we've gone too 
far. 

2293
01:50:14,520 --> 01:50:16,280
It's too far. 
Yeah, that's like it. 

2294
01:50:16,280 --> 01:50:20,040
Too far? 
All right, we got to get out of 

2295
01:50:20,040 --> 01:50:23,960
here. 
We've gone off the deep end 

2296
01:50:23,960 --> 01:50:26,360
here. 
One today's show. 

2297
01:50:26,360 --> 01:50:32,680
We always do best closing line 
values does anyone. 

2298
01:50:32,680 --> 01:50:36,880
So again, for people who haven't
followed us before, we're not 

2299
01:50:36,880 --> 01:50:39,920
predicting like the best picks. 
We're just saying, who do we 

2300
01:50:39,920 --> 01:50:45,480
think is going to rise the most 
in ADP by the close of drafts 

2301
01:50:45,480 --> 01:50:48,400
compared to today can? 
We can. 

2302
01:50:48,440 --> 01:50:51,600
We have guests do this. 
Yeah, we had guests do this. 

2303
01:50:52,000 --> 01:50:53,680
Yeah, we had guests do this last
year. 

2304
01:50:53,880 --> 01:50:59,400
Hayden, go ahead. 
Blake Coram He's 130th overall. 

2305
01:50:59,800 --> 01:51:01,040
That's. 
Very interesting. 

2306
01:51:01,240 --> 01:51:05,560
I think the running backs will 
go up, just generally, but I 

2307
01:51:05,560 --> 01:51:09,200
also think there's like huge 
upside of Blake Coram's like in 

2308
01:51:09,200 --> 01:51:11,960
the mix for any of those snaps. 
If something happens to Kyron 

2309
01:51:11,960 --> 01:51:16,120
Williams, Blake Coram, I think 
goes into the third, fourth 

2310
01:51:16,120 --> 01:51:19,520
round somewhere in there, this 
offense is ready to go. 

2311
01:51:20,040 --> 01:51:23,720
I don't see him falling more 
like who's even the RB3 on the 

2312
01:51:23,720 --> 01:51:25,320
Rams? 
It's like very clearly him. 

2313
01:51:27,040 --> 01:51:29,240
Yeah, exactly. 
Yeah. 

2314
01:51:29,240 --> 01:51:31,280
I think it's not going to take a
lot for Blake Corm to get a 

2315
01:51:31,280 --> 01:51:35,080
bunch of snaps in training camp,
especially the way that McVeigh 

2316
01:51:35,880 --> 01:51:37,880
treats training camp in 
preseason stuff. 

2317
01:51:37,880 --> 01:51:40,640
So there's going to be a lot of 
opportunity for Blake Corm to be

2318
01:51:40,640 --> 01:51:47,120
like very much in in the news 
and like he touched the ball 400

2319
01:51:47,120 --> 01:51:49,480
times every season. 
So it's it's not easy to paint 

2320
01:51:49,480 --> 01:51:54,280
the the picture of how Blake 
Horms like the guy you need in 

2321
01:51:54,280 --> 01:51:58,760
Best Ball this year. 
OK, I I'm going to, I'm going to

2322
01:51:58,760 --> 01:52:01,280
save the Rashi Rice bullet for 
another week. 

2323
01:52:01,280 --> 01:52:03,120
So if Crane wants to take it, he
can. 

2324
01:52:03,520 --> 01:52:06,000
I'm going to take someone very 
similar actually right next to 

2325
01:52:06,000 --> 01:52:07,120
him in AVP. 
I'm going to take Zach 

2326
01:52:07,120 --> 01:52:09,800
Chardonnay. 
Like literally almost the exact 

2327
01:52:09,800 --> 01:52:11,640
same thing. 
The the third running back is 

2328
01:52:11,640 --> 01:52:14,560
like a non existent person named
Kenny McIntosh. 

2329
01:52:14,960 --> 01:52:18,400
I think we'll start to get some 
good vibes about you know 

2330
01:52:18,400 --> 01:52:21,200
obviously this brand new look 
Seattle Seahawks team but really

2331
01:52:21,200 --> 01:52:25,120
it's just he he actually worked 
into the timeshare we wanted him

2332
01:52:25,120 --> 01:52:28,280
to be in last year but got 
cheaper which doesn't doesn't 

2333
01:52:28,280 --> 01:52:31,160
make a ton of sense. 
I I think he should go ahead of 

2334
01:52:31,680 --> 01:52:37,240
Spears Elliott and Gus Edwards 
probably. 

2335
01:52:37,240 --> 01:52:41,200
All honestly, I'm. 
Going to go a little more 

2336
01:52:41,200 --> 01:52:44,200
boring, I'm going to say Josh 
Palmer. 

2337
01:52:45,080 --> 01:52:48,600
We talked about God. 
I I took him the first time for,

2338
01:52:48,680 --> 01:52:51,000
well, we're doing duplicates or 
whatever, yeah, but we can do 

2339
01:52:51,000 --> 01:52:51,840
duplicates. 
We can. 

2340
01:52:51,960 --> 01:52:52,640
Do we? 
We can. 

2341
01:52:52,680 --> 01:52:53,920
No. 
So we can dupe. 

2342
01:52:53,920 --> 01:52:57,000
We can dupe each other, but we 
can't dupe ourselves. 

2343
01:52:57,240 --> 01:52:59,400
OK, I I'm gonna go and let me 
go. 

2344
01:52:59,400 --> 01:53:00,800
Drake May. 
Then we talked about him. 

2345
01:53:01,760 --> 01:53:02,440
I'll go. 
Drake May. 

2346
01:53:02,440 --> 01:53:05,000
He's finally. 
This is a This is a bad use of 

2347
01:53:05,000 --> 01:53:06,960
this pick. 
He's not gonna go higher. 

2348
01:53:08,680 --> 01:53:09,800
You're right. 
All right, I'm thinking. 

2349
01:53:09,800 --> 01:53:11,560
Justin Fields? 
No. 

2350
01:53:12,160 --> 01:53:14,240
I'm going Justin Fields. 
We talked about Justin Fields. 

2351
01:53:14,240 --> 01:53:15,520
He's finally in the range he's 
going to. 

2352
01:53:15,520 --> 01:53:16,880
Go Well, that's fine. 
He's going to take the job. 

2353
01:53:17,120 --> 01:53:18,520
I got to get even on Justin 
Fields. 

2354
01:53:18,760 --> 01:53:21,120
Yeah, that was a smart pick 
taking a backup quarterback. 

2355
01:53:21,120 --> 01:53:25,800
All right, I'm going to go give 
me Jaleel McLaughlin. 

2356
01:53:26,400 --> 01:53:28,760
Damn Jaleel. 
Jaleel was the other guy I was 

2357
01:53:28,760 --> 01:53:30,760
going to take. 
That's a good Jaleel McLaughlin.

2358
01:53:31,200 --> 01:53:34,080
I I treated out some propaganda 
today already. 

2359
01:53:35,000 --> 01:53:37,600
As we know I'm a huge market 
mover in the space so that 

2360
01:53:37,600 --> 01:53:41,440
should adjust accordingly. 
But now I think, I don't know. 

2361
01:53:41,440 --> 01:53:43,320
I think the Denver stuff is 
pretty ambiguous. 

2362
01:53:43,320 --> 01:53:46,720
I think if you really look into 
Javonte Williams NFL career, it 

2363
01:53:46,760 --> 01:53:50,000
it's pretty mediocre. 
He has this really bad knee 

2364
01:53:50,000 --> 01:53:52,040
injury. 
Sometimes guys just don't come 

2365
01:53:52,040 --> 01:53:53,680
back from really bad knee 
injuries. 

2366
01:53:54,160 --> 01:53:57,000
I think Sean Payton has a guy in
McLaughlin he likes. 

2367
01:53:57,000 --> 01:54:00,080
I wouldn't be surprised if it's,
you know has sees a bigger role 

2368
01:54:00,080 --> 01:54:01,800
next year and I think we'll 
we'll probably get some training

2369
01:54:01,800 --> 01:54:03,600
camp buzz on that, yeah. 
Jaleel. 

2370
01:54:04,160 --> 01:54:08,280
Jaleel is like, get him on all 
your teams and all like trade 

2371
01:54:08,280 --> 01:54:10,960
for him in dynasty. 
Like, do like, do it all right 

2372
01:54:10,960 --> 01:54:12,920
now. 
Because we're going to start 

2373
01:54:12,920 --> 01:54:17,600
like, I don't know, fantasy. 
Like JJ Zacharison will put 

2374
01:54:17,600 --> 01:54:21,120
something out in his draft guide
or whatever that, like, shows 

2375
01:54:21,120 --> 01:54:23,720
all the cumulative running back 
receptions and Sean Payton's 

2376
01:54:23,720 --> 01:54:26,120
offenses. 
And then everyone will will pick

2377
01:54:26,120 --> 01:54:29,680
up on it and they'll realize 
that Julie Mclaughlin's gonna 

2378
01:54:29,680 --> 01:54:32,720
catch 77 passes and there's 
nothing anyone can do about it. 

2379
01:54:33,120 --> 01:54:34,400
Well, where's some AJP? 
Ryan? 

2380
01:54:34,400 --> 01:54:36,320
In this example 'cause cut? 
That's. 

2381
01:54:36,360 --> 01:54:38,280
Cut. 
He's a yeah, he's a he's like a 

2382
01:54:38,280 --> 01:54:39,920
Buccaneer or something. 
He's cut. 

2383
01:54:40,400 --> 01:54:42,880
I mean, I'm, I've been kind of 
waiting, 'cause I took a ton of 

2384
01:54:42,880 --> 01:54:46,880
McLaughlin in the big board and 
I've been cooling off a little 

2385
01:54:46,880 --> 01:54:49,440
bit as I'm like, are they, when 
is this cut happening? 

2386
01:54:49,600 --> 01:54:50,960
No. 
But here's the thing. 

2387
01:54:51,080 --> 01:54:54,080
This is like the reverse of the 
McKinnon situation, where like 

2388
01:54:54,080 --> 01:54:57,400
last offseason we knew it's like
McKinnon was going to be on the 

2389
01:54:57,400 --> 01:54:59,840
team even when he was underdog, 
didn't even change his team 

2390
01:54:59,840 --> 01:55:02,600
designation even when he was a 
free agent because it was so 

2391
01:55:02,600 --> 01:55:05,680
obvious he was coming back. 
You don't take estimate in the 

2392
01:55:05,680 --> 01:55:09,400
fourth round, then sign Watson 
and then be like when we really 

2393
01:55:09,400 --> 01:55:12,280
like these guys, pass catching. 
If you're planning on having 

2394
01:55:12,280 --> 01:55:14,880
Pieran on the team, I mean, 
maybe it's Javonte who's not 

2395
01:55:14,880 --> 01:55:17,400
going to be on the team. 
Does he, like, hate this dude 

2396
01:55:17,400 --> 01:55:18,920
like you? 
You should be cutting this guy 

2397
01:55:18,920 --> 01:55:20,320
as soon as possible. 
If you're going to cut him, 

2398
01:55:20,320 --> 01:55:22,560
don't have him sit around on 
your roster or he doesn't have a

2399
01:55:22,600 --> 01:55:23,760
chance to make another team like
it. 

2400
01:55:24,080 --> 01:55:27,400
It's kind of. 
He probably wants, he wants to 

2401
01:55:27,400 --> 01:55:29,080
see if the guy the rookies can 
play. 

2402
01:55:29,160 --> 01:55:30,880
He wants. 
To yeah, I think. 

2403
01:55:30,920 --> 01:55:33,280
I think that's what it is. 
He wants to see SMA and Watson 

2404
01:55:33,280 --> 01:55:35,480
in person and be like, OK, are 
they good enough? 

2405
01:55:35,520 --> 01:55:38,920
We're gonna dump your eye. 
I mean it's 3 million in three. 

2406
01:55:39,000 --> 01:55:40,000
Blake. 
Watson. 

2407
01:55:40,080 --> 01:55:41,800
Some UDFA, they, they. 
Signed. 

2408
01:55:41,800 --> 01:55:43,800
No. 
He was good in college though he

2409
01:55:43,840 --> 01:55:45,280
he. 
I don't know if I I don't know 

2410
01:55:45,280 --> 01:55:48,760
anything about his combine, but 
I know that he was like he was 

2411
01:55:49,720 --> 01:55:53,520
hey, if. 
If you go undrafted in this 

2412
01:55:53,520 --> 01:55:55,360
class, I don't know that you 
were that good in college. 

2413
01:55:56,440 --> 01:55:58,400
The Memphis running back bid's 
been pretty good, yeah. 

2414
01:55:59,640 --> 01:56:02,480
That's. 50 I mean, 53 
receptions. 

2415
01:56:02,480 --> 01:56:03,720
It's not nothing, but yeah, 
it's. 

2416
01:56:05,040 --> 01:56:08,320
Just small JP run. 
They can say it's not negligible

2417
01:56:08,320 --> 01:56:10,200
money. 
They can save $3,000,000 cutting

2418
01:56:10,200 --> 01:56:11,280
in. 
It's like what's what's the 

2419
01:56:11,280 --> 01:56:15,560
point? 
But anyways, Hayden, tell the 

2420
01:56:15,560 --> 01:56:17,560
people what's going on at at 
Underdog. 

2421
01:56:17,560 --> 01:56:19,720
What content are you working on?
Any other contest? 

2422
01:56:19,720 --> 01:56:24,320
Anything you want to tease? 
Just in general, underdog we're 

2423
01:56:24,320 --> 01:56:28,200
going to be releasing more 
different types of contests this

2424
01:56:28,200 --> 01:56:30,080
year, more price points than 
ever. 

2425
01:56:30,080 --> 01:56:32,080
We could have made BBM bigger if
we wanted to. 

2426
01:56:32,080 --> 01:56:35,680
We decided to keep it the same 
so we can unlock some more 

2427
01:56:35,720 --> 01:56:38,520
contests. 
So there will be something for 

2428
01:56:38,560 --> 01:56:41,120
everybody out there. 
And then we'll be doing YouTube 

2429
01:56:41,120 --> 01:56:43,480
shows about it on Underdog 
Fantasy. 

2430
01:56:43,480 --> 01:56:46,960
So that's it. 
Awesome, Davis, what you got 

2431
01:56:46,960 --> 01:56:49,720
going on in Take cast? 
Any more backup running backs 

2432
01:56:49,720 --> 01:56:52,040
coming on the show or anything 
along those lines? 

2433
01:56:52,960 --> 01:56:57,480
Maybe getting cokeefed on to do 
a whole podcast series on on 

2434
01:56:57,480 --> 01:56:59,800
Sitting Bull. 
You know we'll see that's kind 

2435
01:56:59,800 --> 01:57:01,760
of that's kind of in the works 
right now. 

2436
01:57:03,160 --> 01:57:05,400
Yeah check out, check out all 
the stuff on. 

2437
01:57:05,480 --> 01:57:07,480
If you guys want to see the 
programming that I'm wearing 

2438
01:57:07,480 --> 01:57:10,760
this suit coat for, check out 
Sports Grade on your on your 

2439
01:57:10,760 --> 01:57:13,960
Smart TV. 
Pat Legendary. 

2440
01:57:13,960 --> 01:57:16,280
Upside. 
Any more tree articles coming 

2441
01:57:16,280 --> 01:57:20,560
out? 
I'm done writing about trees in 

2442
01:57:20,560 --> 01:57:23,680
the rainforest, but check that 
out if you that one was 

2443
01:57:23,680 --> 01:57:25,440
completely free on 
legendaryupside.com. 

2444
01:57:25,920 --> 01:57:29,280
Well, best ball strategy article
called The Tree of Jacquard. 

2445
01:57:29,360 --> 01:57:32,440
We've got underdog rankings, 
updated daily DraftKings 

2446
01:57:32,440 --> 01:57:35,120
rankings, updated daily FFPC 
rankings are launching soon. 

2447
01:57:35,120 --> 01:57:37,320
We're going to launch drafters 
rankings in a few weeks. 

2448
01:57:38,360 --> 01:57:39,720
So a lot of great stuff over 
there. 

2449
01:57:40,040 --> 01:57:43,280
And Speaking of underdog, we got
a promo going where you can get 

2450
01:57:43,280 --> 01:57:47,520
$50 and underdog credit if you 
sign up for a yearly 

2451
01:57:47,520 --> 01:57:48,280
subscription. 
You go to 

2452
01:57:48,280 --> 01:57:51,560
legendaryupside.com/perks to 
learn about that. 

2453
01:57:53,080 --> 01:57:54,040
Awesome. 
Sounds good. 

2454
01:57:54,400 --> 01:57:55,920
Hayden, thanks again for joining
us. 

2455
01:57:56,000 --> 01:57:59,960
We will be back. 
Yeah, be back next week, 3:30 

2456
01:57:59,960 --> 01:58:02,600
PM. 
We'll see all of you guys then. 

2457
01:58:03,160 --> 01:58:03,520
Peace.
