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We are only three weeks away 
from the fantasy football play 

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offs and it has now become 
crystal clear that the answer to

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the 4-5 turn in drafts was just 
to take Ted McMillan and George 

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Pickens. 
This is stat chasing Pat fryer 

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Helmo this. 
Is what? 

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This is what I'm Pat. 
Anita hand job, fix your sight. 

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Jamar Alpha play Chase. 
You can't handle the heat. 

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It looks like we're finally at 
this point, You're right. 

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You know, what's funny is I 
think just a week ago in the leg

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up rankings chat, we were 
talking about, you know, 

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drafting Ted McMillan over 
George Pickens and I was I was 

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just kind of victory lapping how
much George Pickens I have and 

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saying imagine taking Ted 
McMillan over George Pickens and

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in you know. 
Everybody said I was taking Ted 

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McMillan over over George 
Pickens. 

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Interest of Full disclosure, I 
had a ton. 

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I have a ton of both, but I I do
have more George Pickens than 

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Ted. 
I just wish I had more. 

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Of both of. 
You actually, yeah. 

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I mean, the part of the reason 
why you do have more George 

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Pickens than Ted is, I believe, 
reluctantly. 

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Every single time that we were 
in a draft, I was twisting your 

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arm to draft George Pickens 
many, many rounds ahead of where

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we needed to take him. 
And you would ultimately 

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capitulate and say, OK, we can 
take him here. 

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Yeah, I think, I think, I think 
we where we end up like 30%, I 

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think I would have had like 18%.
No, you you were still, you were

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definitely on board. 
It was not like I was making you

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eat your vegetables. 
It was just larger help. 

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It wasn't one of those like 
knife fights over a pick that we

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have where? 
We're going now. 

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Where we're like start 
questioning our friendship after

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like a few rounds. 
But on that, on that note, we 

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should get to the charts. 
And so we had a, we had a Bryce 

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Young spike week where it was, 
it almost reminded me of how 

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Bryce Young ended 2024 where 
he's just hitting on everything.

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He's dropping back a lot. 
He's hitting Dimes. 

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I and I, I don't have a lot of 
confidence in my own football 

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takes, but one of my few 
football takes is that he's very

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good at finding the seams in 
zones. 

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It's when it's when he's against
man coverage and he has the kind

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of like fit it into a tight 
window that he he falls down. 

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And I I do wonder if the Falcons
just played a lot of his own and

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and he was able to pick them 
apart. 

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That was interesting. 
Yeah, I haven't I haven't looked

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into that. 
I was, I was kind of curious as 

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to what happened. 
I think that, I mean, in 

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general, it just seems like the 
wheels are starting to fall off 

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for the Falcons. 
I mean, gosh, certainly on the 

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offensive side of the ball. 
But that's, yeah, conversation 

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for another chart. 
I'm curious what you think of 

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the Bryce Young spike week. 
I agree with you that it was 

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reminiscent of of how we 
finished down the stretch from 

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last year. 
I have AI have a funny 

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comparison and I I honestly 
can't even make it in good faith

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but I'm going to do it anyway. 
So Bryce Young pretty close on 

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the chart to Caleb Williams. 
What is the real difference 

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between Bryce Young and Caleb 
Williams for fantasy? 

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Yeah, that's interesting. 
I mean, probably, probably the 

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big difference is that Caleb 
Williams is able to do Doc level

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of mediocre play over a pretty 
large I was I was going to say 

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he has he has more drop backs, 
but is the chart going to prove 

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me wrong that? 
He does he, Caleb does, ever so 

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slightly. 
You know, like less than one 

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more drop back per game. 
Yeah, I don't know. 

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So there's Caleb. 
So Caleb is more efficient and 

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and bit more yardage and more 
drop backs. 

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So I guess other not they're the
same. 

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And he run he runs more. 
I mean, honestly, so many how 

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where I've gotten torched by my 
Caleb is bad takes and like when

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I've been fading him in DFS or 
things like that is he will be 

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bad. 
He'll be terrible for the whole 

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game and then he run, he 
scrambles for 1/3. 

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He finally decides I'm allowed 
to go beyond the line of 

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scrimmage on this scramble. 
I've done enough of this spin 

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out and run for 20 yards behind 
the line of scrimmage and throw 

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a completely off target pass 25 
yards down the field and miss my

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targeted receiver by 5 yards. 
This one I'm going to run and 

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then he runs for 20 yards. 
It's like, that was pretty good.

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That's half a touchdown right 
there or, or he, you know, runs 

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it in the end zone and, you 
know, scores 10 points in a 

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single fantasy play from, you 
know, 40 yards out or something 

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ridiculous like he did a couple 
weeks ago. 

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So I, I, I even me as like the 
card carrying member of the 

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Caleb Williams hater fan club 
couldn't make that argument in 

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good faith that that Bryce Young
and Caleb Williams are are not 

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any different. 
I I think really the like take 

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away from this is Bryce Young 
does have access to a ceiling. 

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It's just going to be kind of 
few and far between for him 

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because normally the Panthers 
really, really are just happy, 

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you know, turtling up and 
running the ball a ton Here. 

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They had to pass a bunch and and
all it's not even a a sure thing

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that when Caleb or when Bryce 
drops back to pass, it's going 

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to go this well. 
So you know, you have access to 

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the ceiling. 
It's definitely thinner than 

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Caleb though. 
Yeah, yeah, it, it is. 

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It is interesting though. 
Where I would, I would make kind

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of make the case that like on a 
game to game basis, all these 

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guys have a ceiling like it 
don't like, I guess all with an 

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asterisk like Tim Boyle doesn't 
have a ceiling, but we've seen 

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games where he was, he was the 
backup for the for the giants 

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who who had them. 
He had like a massive, massive 

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game late last year against the 
WAS. 

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It was against the Colts, right?
Who DeVito or? 

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It was the IT was the Giants 
backup quarterback who was 

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playing in relief and he had 
like a map like Denucci. 

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Denucci, I think his name is. 
It was one of the like Italian 

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American quarterbacks, I think. 
Yeah, I think, I think Tommy 

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DeVito. 
Tommy DeVito. 

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Yes, yes, Denucci DeVito. 
Danucci is my my XFL superstar 

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that's won won a lot of money 
slamming Danucci in XFL. 

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But I guess it, I guess probably
the the most realistic take 

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away. 
It's just that within reason, 

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any of these guys can get there 
on a on a given week. 

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Yeah, The next note I had on the
chart was a guy who seems to get

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there every single week since 
he's taken over as the starter, 

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and that's Jacoby Brissett, 
who's basically Jacoby Brissett 

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and Joe Flacco are. 
I mean, lately Flacco's been. 

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You know, I cop them too. 
Like he's like Jim, Jim. 

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Jim is last year. 
Yeah, he he's very James coded. 

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He's just saying it sets sets 
the record for single game 

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completions in this game. 
Honestly, I, I went back and 

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looked at some of the Seahawks 
stuff because I on the on our 

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show last week, I, you know, 
said something to the effect of,

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you know, Brissette was finally 
exposed and he was bad. 

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And it actually, he really 
wasn't that bad. 

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It was just like, yeah, you have
a guy in your face in the 

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backfield and you are, you know,
like there, there just really 

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wasn't a ton for him to do. 
It was like almost inevitable 

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that you know the bad plays were
were going to be bad for him or 

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like you could swap out any 
number. 

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Of quarterbacks attempts, 57 
attempts average time to throw 

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2.58 and then he completed 4747 
of of the 50 of 57 passes for an

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82 1/2% completion rate on a 
2.62.58 time to throw. 

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I, I, I'm just backing up your 
point here where it's like, 

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that's pretty good. 
Like I, I, I get where you're 

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coming from, where I get your 
Joe Flacco take as well, where 

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it's like a backup who can just 
handle an insane amount of 

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volume and, and, and do OK with 
it. 

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It's kind of crazy how bad Kyler
is. 

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Like, you got to be percent. 
Jacoby reset was so bad last 

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year for the Patriots, like, you
know, absolutely terrible, like 

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unwatchable levels of bad. 
You know, thought he might that 

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might be curtains for him. 
And he's out here playing 

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substantially better than Kyler.
I mean, there's no way they go 

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back to Kyler now. 
I think they have to figure out 

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a way to move Kyler in the 
offseason. 

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You can't. 
Yeah, that's what the noise has 

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been. 
Well, like, think, walk me 

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through. 
Like, how does it go any other 

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way in the offseason? 
You can't go into 2026 saying, 

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hey, Kyler, remember when we 
benched you for Jacoby were set?

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Well, you're going to be the guy
now. 

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We couldn't figure out anything 
better. 

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Like you're going to get a like 
the team is going to mute me. 

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The the team can't, you know, 
have have been part of this 

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season watching how horrible 
Kyler failed. 

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I mean, shit, Trey McBride's 
going to mute me like that. 

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Like, no, absolutely no way are 
you going to tank, you know, my 

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ability to get a massive 
contract by having Kyler Murray 

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be my quarterback again. 
So I, I mean, I have to think 

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that Kyler is, you know, the 
vet. 

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There's got to be a. 
Suitor as well. 

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The contract is tough. 
The Cardinals are going to have 

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to give eat some of their 
salary, but there's got to be a 

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suitor there. 
And I mean, yeah, like team. 

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Desperate at quarterback. 
Yeah, jets are are desperate 

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enough they they probably could 
be in the market. 

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Jets like notoriously stupid 
when it comes to quarterback 

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contracts. 
Yeah, they're they're they're a 

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great fit. 
I'm trying to think who else is?

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I mean, God, you know what could
actually work like a team that 

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has the room for, I mean, not a 
ton of room, but like they don't

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have a quarterback contract on 
the books right now. 

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That is, would you know, prevent
them is the Vikings. 

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Yeah, yeah, I agree. 
I, I, I when you said not a ton 

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of room, but they don't have a 
contract cubic on the books. 

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Yeah, Vikings would be a great 
fit. 

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That would be 1 where they'd 
have to send a King's ransom to 

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to the Cardinals though, just 
for the salary relief. 

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Basically like you're, you're 
buying, you know, calf space 

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with your draft picks, which I 
mean, man, for, for where they 

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are at as a franchise. 
Like I don't hate it for the 

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Vikings. 
I mean, other than the fact that

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it's it's Kyler. 
Like I do hate that aspect of it

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for the Vikings. 
That's. 

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Bad other than sorry, I just I 
want to cut into and there we 

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had a comment here. 
Ravens are playing that slow. 

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So I actually while we were 
talking, I looked this up. 

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So the Ravens this year in 
neutral situation. 

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00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:06,640
So that's excluding the last two
minutes of 1/2. 

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It's, it's only when the, when 
the game is within seven points 

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either way and the Ravens are 
dead last in second for snap at 

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31.4. 
They are dead last in no huddle 

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00:12:23,080 --> 00:12:31,440
rate at 1% and they are not dead
last in pass rate, but they're 

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at 49% versus. 
So that's that's third last. 

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00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:41,640
So yes, the volume is pretty low
for the Ravens. 

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00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,200
Obviously we love Lamar. 
He's so efficient. 

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He is a God. 
And but yeah, the the pace and 

200
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and volume in in for Lamar is 
pretty low in here. 

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00:12:56,520 --> 00:13:01,480
Yeah, we, we did actually go in.
We were working on playoff 

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basketball stuff. 
We did adjust Lamar's range of 

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outcomes in our sins just for 
how the how the Ravens have been

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playing lately and we, you know,
moved him just a touchdown. 

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But yeah, I mean, still still 
love Lamar. 

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00:13:17,560 --> 00:13:22,960
We've we've seen the Ravens in 
the past have times like this 

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where then they figure it out 
like they Ravens seasons often 

208
00:13:26,760 --> 00:13:30,320
can be like a tale of two teams 
where Oh my God, they haven't 

209
00:13:30,320 --> 00:13:33,040
figured it out and then they 
figure it out or it's going very

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well at the start of the season 
and then something happens where

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the wheels fall off. 
So if you're a Ravens fan, 

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you're hoping this is 1 where 
one of the seasons where they 

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00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,920
figure it out as as they 
approach the playoffs here 

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because they they are, you know,
the favorite to to make it from 

215
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the NFC North because none of 
those teams are particularly 

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00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,240
interested in in winning 
football games currently. 

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So the Ravens kind of by default
or or seeming to get there, but.

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00:13:58,760 --> 00:14:01,760
Oh baby. 
Here's the Ravens next four 

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00:14:01,760 --> 00:14:05,080
games. 
They get The Jets, they get the 

220
00:14:05,080 --> 00:14:09,360
Bengals, they get the Steelers. 
And then the Bengals again. 

221
00:14:10,000 --> 00:14:17,280
Like holy moly. 
Yeah, the no go. 

222
00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:21,640
Ahead they finish with the the 
the Patriots and the Packers. 

223
00:14:22,120 --> 00:14:28,200
So that's not as a as a juicy as
a week 17 and 16 and but the 

224
00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:31,840
lead up to the to the playoffs 
true where week 15. 

225
00:14:31,840 --> 00:14:35,040
Oh man, that that's pretty 
spicy. 

226
00:14:35,240 --> 00:14:38,720
That's pretty nice. 
So the Ravens and the Chiefs are

227
00:14:38,720 --> 00:14:43,000
both five and five. 
I want you to guess what do our 

228
00:14:43,000 --> 00:14:46,160
Sims have the probability of the
Ravens making the playoffs 

229
00:14:46,160 --> 00:14:47,640
versus the Chiefs making the 
playoffs? 

230
00:14:47,640 --> 00:14:49,280
Same. 
Both of them, same record right 

231
00:14:49,280 --> 00:14:52,120
now, Obviously different 
visions, different schedules, 

232
00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:53,520
but. 
And they're and they're playing 

233
00:14:53,520 --> 00:14:56,440
for the wild card, obviously 
Chiefs. 

234
00:14:56,640 --> 00:15:01,360
Are wild card, yeah. 
I would say that Ravens are are 

235
00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:06,960
higher because they have the 
they they have they're against 

236
00:15:06,960 --> 00:15:11,640
the Steelers, who are probably 
more live to shit the bad on an 

237
00:15:12,240 --> 00:15:17,440
on the division, whereas Broncos
less likely with that defense. 

238
00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:26,200
And I want to say, I want to say
it's like Ravens 60, KC 40. 

239
00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:28,680
OK. 
You're a little, little bearish 

240
00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:31,640
on both Ravens. 
We've got at 80% KC, we have a 

241
00:15:31,720 --> 00:15:36,640
65%. 
OK, Yeah, it's still I, Casey. 

242
00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:38,520
We That's probably heavily ELO 
right? 

243
00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:40,920
Yeah, yeah, right. 
Yeah, yeah. 

244
00:15:40,920 --> 00:15:43,600
A lot of it is just, hey, these 
teams are good, they should win.

245
00:15:43,720 --> 00:15:47,280
They're going to win. 
Many of their games, All right, 

246
00:15:47,600 --> 00:15:49,600
but back to to the quarterback 
chart. 

247
00:15:49,680 --> 00:15:53,520
I won one point of housekeeping 
here. 

248
00:15:54,920 --> 00:15:59,360
A commenter pointed out last 
week that we didn't have Jackson

249
00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:03,000
Dart on the chart, and I went 
back and looked and realized 

250
00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,600
that he was correct. 
And I was like, there's no way. 

251
00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:08,080
That's right, He's in the. 
Code that feels like a Mendoza 

252
00:16:08,080 --> 00:16:10,080
affecting. 
I know I was like Jackson Dart's

253
00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:11,920
in my code. 
Like I'm looking through the 

254
00:16:12,120 --> 00:16:13,920
stuff we used to generate the 
charts every week. 

255
00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:16,400
I'm like there he is Jackson 
Dart, how is he not showing up? 

256
00:16:16,400 --> 00:16:17,720
I. 
Feel like we've talked about 

257
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:19,000
him. 
Yeah, yeah. 

258
00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:24,120
I, I realized that I had a typo 
in the spelling of Jackson 

259
00:16:24,120 --> 00:16:27,320
Dart's name. 
I had him JAXON instead of 

260
00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:30,760
JAXSON. 
And so that's on me. 

261
00:16:30,760 --> 00:16:34,400
Mia culpa Jackson Dart. 
I mean, we we probably would 

262
00:16:34,400 --> 00:16:37,840
have, we would have gassed this 
boy up, you know, multiple weeks

263
00:16:37,840 --> 00:16:41,560
ago and and now the poor guy is 
concussed and you know, Jameis 

264
00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:44,120
is on the chart. 
So I feel bad we did Jackson 

265
00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:47,520
dart dirty, but he is a 
perfectly cromulent quarterback 

266
00:16:47,520 --> 00:16:49,840
from a passing standpoint. 
He is right about, you know, 

267
00:16:49,840 --> 00:16:52,880
league average as far as drop 
backs and and efficiency. 

268
00:16:53,560 --> 00:16:57,840
But if you look at the size of 
his bubble, that's a big old 

269
00:16:57,840 --> 00:16:59,320
bubble. 
So he is a. 

270
00:17:00,600 --> 00:17:03,120
He's like a baby Drake. 
Drake May. 

271
00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:06,800
I think that's what we call them
in first couple of games. 

272
00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:11,359
Yeah, baby Drake May is is 
definitely he if he can follow 

273
00:17:11,359 --> 00:17:13,640
the same development curve that 
Drake May did from year one to 

274
00:17:13,640 --> 00:17:17,280
year 2. 
It like I hope Jackson Dart goes

275
00:17:17,280 --> 00:17:20,720
really cheap next year. 
He could be absolute like best 

276
00:17:20,720 --> 00:17:22,960
ball skeleton key. 
If if we're getting Jackson dart

277
00:17:22,960 --> 00:17:26,200
in like the 13th round or 
something, it's I'm going to 

278
00:17:26,200 --> 00:17:29,440
have a disgusting amount of 
Jackson dart, like an 

279
00:17:29,560 --> 00:17:32,480
irresponsible amount. 
I, I, I, I really don't think 

280
00:17:32,480 --> 00:17:37,480
he's going to be that cheap. 
I think it's going to be like, I

281
00:17:37,520 --> 00:17:40,640
think you, it's going to be like
the the Bonex. 

282
00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:42,800
Break the Bonex. 
Yeah, I think you're right. 

283
00:17:42,880 --> 00:17:46,200
You're probably right. 
I I just wonder if like the 

284
00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:50,360
stink from the Giants kind of 
hangs on him and you get a new 

285
00:17:50,360 --> 00:17:54,280
coaching staff. 
I I don't know, I think you're 

286
00:17:54,400 --> 00:17:57,240
you're most likely right. 
We probably get like, maybe a 

287
00:17:57,240 --> 00:17:59,120
little bit of like, but. 
It, it depends. 

288
00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:01,400
It depends. 
Like you're saying, there could 

289
00:18:01,400 --> 00:18:06,480
be some new very defensive 
minded head coach who says we're

290
00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:10,680
going to run the damn ball and, 
and everyone's like, oh, what 

291
00:18:10,680 --> 00:18:13,320
about the volume? 
What about the volume? 

292
00:18:14,320 --> 00:18:16,880
And it's like. 
The Giants stink. 

293
00:18:17,000 --> 00:18:19,320
He runs a lot. 
There's going to be volume. 

294
00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:21,200
Don't worry about it. 
That that that's when you're 

295
00:18:22,240 --> 00:18:25,040
you're getting interested from 
the contrarian standpoint. 

296
00:18:26,000 --> 00:18:28,640
Yeah, I think maybe he takes 
more of like a Kyler Price 

297
00:18:28,680 --> 00:18:31,440
rather than a Bonex Price where 
the pendulum swings back a tiny 

298
00:18:31,440 --> 00:18:34,720
bit because I feel like this 
this happens with the pendulum 

299
00:18:34,720 --> 00:18:39,400
where like we had the CJ Stroud 
price right where Oh my gosh, 

300
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:42,120
you know, rookie quarterback, so
incredible. 

301
00:18:42,280 --> 00:18:44,480
Got to draft him to the fifth 
round, you know, pocket passer. 

302
00:18:44,960 --> 00:18:48,200
Then the year after that, we 
kind of chill out a little bit. 

303
00:18:48,200 --> 00:18:51,680
We cool down and then so it 
swings back and forth every 

304
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:54,320
year. 
I wonder if if here we get dart 

305
00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:56,960
closer to like a eighth round 
price instead of like a. 

306
00:18:57,640 --> 00:19:00,720
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 
I think I thought that that's 

307
00:19:00,720 --> 00:19:05,000
what I had in mind as well, like
a a small discount to to bone 

308
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:09,880
Nicks given what you said. 
Yeah, Last note I had on the 

309
00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:13,320
quarterback chart, I didn't 
really feel like a ton like 

310
00:19:13,320 --> 00:19:15,840
changed meaningfully here to 
where we needed to talk about 

311
00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:17,520
it. 
But one thing that did change 

312
00:19:17,840 --> 00:19:21,240
was Brock Purdy, we get his 
debut back from injury. 

313
00:19:22,000 --> 00:19:25,760
I was a little worried that, you
know, just with how long the 

314
00:19:25,760 --> 00:19:29,320
injury lingered, like there 
might be, you know, some risk 

315
00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:32,680
that he he just wasn't fully 
himself and they just rushed him

316
00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,560
back. 
But he looks good. 

317
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:39,880
Looks totally, you know, same 
old Brock Purdy to me. 

318
00:19:39,880 --> 00:19:42,760
Everyone out there was eating 
other than Ricky Pierce, all you

319
00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:44,400
have a decent game from 
Jennings. 

320
00:19:44,720 --> 00:19:48,080
Kittle explodes. 
You know, CMC gets a million 

321
00:19:48,080 --> 00:19:50,120
fantasy points. 
Did you have anything to add on 

322
00:19:50,120 --> 00:19:54,000
Brock Purdy? 
No, Nope, not. 

323
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,560
And that all seems pretty, 
pretty fair. 

324
00:19:58,200 --> 00:20:03,880
And when when when does Justin 
Herbert get his alignment back? 

325
00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:06,440
Never. 
They're never. 

326
00:20:06,640 --> 00:20:09,520
They're just fucked. 
I assume you've seen the the the

327
00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:14,840
the video where they they give 
the PFF rankings of various 

328
00:20:14,840 --> 00:20:20,360
alignment and it's like his left
tackle 34 out of 36, left guard 

329
00:20:20,360 --> 00:20:25,000
35 out of 37, centre 40 out of 
40. 

330
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:30,520
And it's like every single one 
of his O line is like one of the

331
00:20:30,520 --> 00:20:32,480
worst in the league. 
Yeah. 

332
00:20:32,480 --> 00:20:35,400
I mean, that's that is in fact 
what happens when you lose both 

333
00:20:35,400 --> 00:20:37,880
of your starting tackle. 
I mean, they they lost Slater 

334
00:20:37,880 --> 00:20:40,560
before the season even starts 
and then you lose all you know, 

335
00:20:40,640 --> 00:20:42,800
you lose them, you get it back 
and you lose them again. 

336
00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:46,280
That's just there. 
There's only so much depth you 

337
00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:51,240
can have on O line and we've 
we've found the limits of the 

338
00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:54,360
charter's depth here. 
You know what is a really fun 

339
00:20:54,360 --> 00:20:58,480
stash for for your home leagues?
I mean, there's no way this 

340
00:20:58,480 --> 00:21:00,760
defense is unowned because 
they've been a juggernaut. 

341
00:21:00,760 --> 00:21:05,360
But if by some miracle they're 
unowned or someone drops them or

342
00:21:05,360 --> 00:21:09,440
something along the way, the 
Texans are a really, really nice

343
00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:11,960
fantasy playoffs defense 
schedule. 

344
00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:15,920
They get the chargers in week 17
and you know they're the 

345
00:21:15,920 --> 00:21:19,320
chargers are not getting back. 
You know, anything that's going 

346
00:21:19,320 --> 00:21:24,120
to matter there. 
I know their Week 15 and 16 

347
00:21:24,120 --> 00:21:27,480
schedules are pretty good for 
opponents are pretty good as 

348
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:31,480
well, yeah. 
So they I think they have the 

349
00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:35,960
buy week 12. 
They get, they got the Raiders, 

350
00:21:36,680 --> 00:21:38,840
which is probably a pretty 
favorable matchup for the 

351
00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:40,720
Chargers. 
That's one where the offense 

352
00:21:40,720 --> 00:21:44,560
will look pretty functional. 
Then after that they get the 

353
00:21:44,560 --> 00:21:47,800
Eagles and I was like, oh, baby 
Eagles. 

354
00:21:48,360 --> 00:21:52,400
And then they get the Chiefs, 
then they get the Cowboys. 

355
00:21:52,640 --> 00:22:00,280
So that's probably 1 where maybe
maybe the revamp and all all the

356
00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:04,080
all the cards, all the money on 
the table Cowboys defence will 

357
00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:06,880
actually give them a bit of 
double down, but maybe not. 

358
00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:08,960
And then, like you said, we'd 
seven days. 

359
00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,560
It's the. 
Yeah, yeah. 

360
00:22:12,560 --> 00:22:17,000
Texans playoff schedule is 
Cardinals, Raiders, Chargers. 

361
00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:21,320
That's a pretty juicy stretch 
there at yeah, feels pretty 

362
00:22:21,320 --> 00:22:23,880
good. 
All right, I think that's 

363
00:22:23,880 --> 00:22:25,480
everything on the quarterback 
chart. 

364
00:22:25,480 --> 00:22:27,200
Let's let's move on to running 
backs. 

365
00:22:27,200 --> 00:22:33,320
Here, let me zoom out. 
There we are zoomed out. 

366
00:22:34,320 --> 00:22:39,120
And so your first note here was 
that was just how how how do we 

367
00:22:39,120 --> 00:22:44,560
look at Treyvion Henderson after
2 monster fantasy games when 

368
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:48,840
Romandre comes back And like you
note here, they get the Bengals 

369
00:22:48,840 --> 00:22:51,440
this week. 
Big cupcake matchup. 

370
00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:54,760
Have you heard anything Isrim 
Andri expected to play this 

371
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:58,960
week? 
I haven't seen anything I I 

372
00:22:58,960 --> 00:23:02,160
thought he would be back because
he was practicing as a limited 

373
00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:07,240
participant last week. 
So I would think that he is back

374
00:23:07,240 --> 00:23:10,680
this week. 
But that's something we 

375
00:23:10,680 --> 00:23:13,320
definitely are going to want to 
check later in the week as we 

376
00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:15,160
get the more meaningful practice
reports. 

377
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:27,680
So yeah, reminder he's expected 
to practice tomorrow and it 

378
00:23:27,680 --> 00:23:32,320
sounds, it sounds like he's 
going to start off on an LP and 

379
00:23:32,520 --> 00:23:35,680
it's about, I guess it's about 
kind of kind of getting in a 

380
00:23:36,760 --> 00:23:41,320
full, a full participation. 
But yeah, that makes it there's 

381
00:23:41,320 --> 00:23:43,400
a pretty there's a pretty good 
chance he's back this week. 

382
00:23:43,880 --> 00:23:49,960
Is is is my take away. 
And then the question is does. 

383
00:23:51,120 --> 00:23:55,840
So obviously, I think the start 
at at least at least the start 

384
00:23:56,000 --> 00:24:00,680
Romandre is going to have 
something at a little bit close 

385
00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:04,040
to his old role where he's the 
trusted veteran. 

386
00:24:04,520 --> 00:24:06,720
They're like, we're really 
excited about trading on 

387
00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:09,440
Henderson development. 
We're so happy to see him make 

388
00:24:09,440 --> 00:24:13,200
plays. 
But obviously they they the way 

389
00:24:13,200 --> 00:24:16,240
they're talking about him, they 
still see him as like somebody 

390
00:24:16,800 --> 00:24:21,200
who's he's on the development 
curve. 

391
00:24:22,160 --> 00:24:26,800
He's he's not made it yet, which
is is bizarre. 

392
00:24:27,360 --> 00:24:33,080
I am I I I I do think they're 
they're doing him dirty and I 

393
00:24:33,080 --> 00:24:36,080
really do on on his rookie year 
where he he deserves a lot 

394
00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:41,040
better. 
And but I think to start with 

395
00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:45,560
room Andre, it's probably going 
to be 1A Henderson, the 1B. 

396
00:24:46,240 --> 00:24:50,920
And but my opinion then would be
that we're only one reminder, a 

397
00:24:50,920 --> 00:24:55,160
fumble, devastating fumble away 
before they're like, OK, like 

398
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:56,840
you, you fumbled enough times, 
buddy. 

399
00:24:57,200 --> 00:25:00,720
Like it has to be or or or mega 
Henderson run. 

400
00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:08,040
And then they're like, OK, like 
that, that we, we can't, we, we,

401
00:25:08,120 --> 00:25:11,360
we have to go with Henderson. 
Like I, I, I, I think initially 

402
00:25:11,360 --> 00:25:16,040
the start, like I said, it's 
going to be room Andre one, but 

403
00:25:16,040 --> 00:25:18,160
then Henderson takes over as we 
go forward. 

404
00:25:19,480 --> 00:25:23,080
Yeah, I think I'm pretty much in
lockstep with you there. 

405
00:25:23,080 --> 00:25:28,200
So I'll, I'll ask you a question
that I, I think is 1. 

406
00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:31,600
You know, that a good, good 
number of people might face 

407
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:35,360
something similar. 
So last week I, I was in the 

408
00:25:35,360 --> 00:25:38,720
luxurious position of being able
to choose between starting 

409
00:25:38,720 --> 00:25:41,880
Trayvon Henderson of Reese Hall 
on that Thursday night game. 

410
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:44,640
I, you know, didn't didn't have 
enough spots to play both of 

411
00:25:44,640 --> 00:25:46,880
them. 
And I fortunately picked 

412
00:25:46,880 --> 00:25:51,640
Henderson over Breece there. 
This next week here, you know, 

413
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,840
we get the great match up 
against the Bengals for 

414
00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:57,800
Henderson, you know, for The 
Jets. 

415
00:25:57,800 --> 00:26:00,800
Who really knows what's going to
happen with Tyrod Taylor. 

416
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:06,880
Do you still start Henderson 
over Breece, or are you 

417
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:08,960
concerned enough about the 
romandre? 

418
00:26:09,840 --> 00:26:12,600
You know, eating into the 
workload that Breeze probably 

419
00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,920
projects. 
It probably depends on on on the

420
00:26:15,920 --> 00:26:18,880
reminder news. 
Like in a scenario where we're 

421
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,760
like, hey, reminder is good to 
go. 

422
00:26:21,960 --> 00:26:23,880
Yeah, he's full. 
Let's just say he's full go 

423
00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:26,440
every. 
It was LP and then full 

424
00:26:26,440 --> 00:26:28,080
participation. 
Full participation. 

425
00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:29,600
And they're like, he looks 
great. 

426
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:32,560
He, he, he. 
He's back, baby. 

427
00:26:32,640 --> 00:26:36,680
Healthiest I. 
I I think you'd probably start 

428
00:26:36,680 --> 00:26:42,960
briefing that situation yeah, 
where Bruce is going to be the 

429
00:26:43,000 --> 00:26:47,360
the offense for The Jets. 
You obviously have the floor 

430
00:26:47,480 --> 00:26:52,320
being not great with with the 
offense, the systemic offensive 

431
00:26:52,320 --> 00:26:57,240
issues, but Bruce is so good and
he's probably their only real 

432
00:26:57,360 --> 00:27:01,360
real chance of score that you. 
I think you still have it like 

433
00:27:02,080 --> 00:27:04,840
you still have a pretty good 
floor with a solid ceiling 

434
00:27:05,680 --> 00:27:10,120
where's I don't know, I I don't 
know if I I don't think I would 

435
00:27:10,240 --> 00:27:17,520
bet on on Henderson to to keep 
that the lead will remind you of

436
00:27:17,520 --> 00:27:21,640
back. 
Well, I agree with your answer 

437
00:27:21,640 --> 00:27:24,840
and I also hate it. 
I was really hoping that as the 

438
00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:28,880
foremost Trayvon Henderson Bowl 
that I know that you would talk 

439
00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:31,440
me into doing the fun thing, but
you talked me into doing the 

440
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:34,640
responsible thing. 
But we'll we'll see how the. 

441
00:27:34,680 --> 00:27:38,880
Yeah, I mean, I am I, I I'm what
it's funny, what makes me a bull

442
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:41,920
is that like, hey, I think this 
good player is good. 

443
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:46,240
Like I don't want to overreact 
to like some of the like game to

444
00:27:46,240 --> 00:27:48,480
game noise. 
I think I still think he's good.

445
00:27:49,040 --> 00:27:53,040
But like you said, you don't 
want, like you don't want to 

446
00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:56,400
lose sight of that, the 
mentality of the coaching staff.

447
00:27:57,720 --> 00:27:59,120
Yeah. 
I mean, we got to, we got to 

448
00:27:59,120 --> 00:28:03,240
give credit where credit is due.
I mean, I am, I consider myself,

449
00:28:03,280 --> 00:28:08,320
you know, pretty, I, I feel like
I, I don't overreact to stuff 

450
00:28:08,320 --> 00:28:10,880
too much. 
I'm, I'm willing to adjust my 

451
00:28:10,880 --> 00:28:15,360
priors based on new information.
And, and I think, you know, lots

452
00:28:15,360 --> 00:28:18,800
of the, lots of the people that 
were still in on Trayvon 

453
00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:21,240
Henderson were starting to lose 
faith. 

454
00:28:21,280 --> 00:28:23,520
You know, my, myself included. 
I, I definitely thought the 

455
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:27,000
probability that he was bad was 
a lot higher now prior to his 

456
00:28:27,000 --> 00:28:29,520
two breakout games. 
But you were, you were 

457
00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:32,280
steadfast. 
You're the the true believer in 

458
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:34,960
Trayvon. 
Henderson yeah, I just, I just, 

459
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:38,760
I watched the carries where 
everywhere the game where he had

460
00:28:38,760 --> 00:28:42,000
like 10 carries for what, 35 
yards or something like that. 

461
00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:45,080
I watched them and I'm like, I 
think this guy is good. 

462
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:48,760
I think these are good carries. 
And he's just not he hasn't 

463
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:54,040
broken into the open fields. 
And so, like I said, I, I, I, I 

464
00:28:54,040 --> 00:28:59,080
don't think my football takes 
are, are great And, but I, I, I 

465
00:28:59,080 --> 00:29:05,840
only have a couple of them and 
I, I, I, I, I do, I, I like to 

466
00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:08,520
think I get one or two right. 
You, you know enough to be 

467
00:29:08,520 --> 00:29:10,360
dangerous. 
That's I mean, that's how I feel

468
00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:15,040
as well, where I'm never going 
to be like, oh, the only thing 

469
00:29:15,040 --> 00:29:17,880
that matters is what I see when 
I watch the game. 

470
00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:21,240
It's like so much of it is 
driven by the underlying 

471
00:29:21,240 --> 00:29:26,400
metrics, but it's really, really
shocking how far just a little 

472
00:29:26,400 --> 00:29:30,080
bit of context goes. 
I mean like the JJ McCarthy 

473
00:29:30,080 --> 00:29:30,320
stuff. 
I. 

474
00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:32,480
Think we're we're. 
It's most probably most helpful 

475
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,440
is in the low sample size stuff.
Yep. 

476
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:40,400
Like in in the low samples and 
and the JJ McCarthy is another 

477
00:29:40,400 --> 00:29:43,960
one where it's low sample size 
and it's like, OK, we don't 

478
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:48,400
have, we don't have the sample 
size to be confident in data and

479
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:51,320
what other other information do 
we have at our disposal? 

480
00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:55,240
The nice thing is that's the 
easiest stuff too, because like 

481
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:58,280
the amount of work you're 
actually asking yourself to do, 

482
00:29:58,400 --> 00:30:02,360
like go, go watch every JJ 
McCarthy snaps. 

483
00:30:02,360 --> 00:30:05,360
Like, all right, cool, I'm going
to take 15 minutes, 3 minutes. 

484
00:30:05,880 --> 00:30:08,360
I'm done. 
I, I watched every single play. 

485
00:30:08,480 --> 00:30:10,640
I digested it, this guy's 
cheeks. 

486
00:30:10,840 --> 00:30:13,360
And you know what? 
That saved me a bunch of money 

487
00:30:13,360 --> 00:30:16,640
by not playing JJ McCarthy for 
two weeks in DFS while other 

488
00:30:16,640 --> 00:30:20,880
people were like, oh, well, you 
know, he projects for like 1719 

489
00:30:20,880 --> 00:30:22,960
points this week. 
Like, Nope, that's not that is 

490
00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:24,240
not a thing. 
I promise. 

491
00:30:24,240 --> 00:30:26,120
I watched this guy. 
That's not a thing. 

492
00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:30,520
And yeah, same can be said for, 
you know, you being able to 

493
00:30:30,520 --> 00:30:33,560
maintain the faith in Trayvon 
Henderson through, you know, 

494
00:30:33,560 --> 00:30:38,880
very small sample size. 
The the next RB that I had a 

495
00:30:38,880 --> 00:30:44,160
note on here, Aaron Jones. 
I just wanted to make a comment 

496
00:30:44,160 --> 00:30:48,120
on his role here. 
I I think it was a little 

497
00:30:48,120 --> 00:30:50,920
unclear when he came back, like 
is it going to be more of a a 

498
00:30:50,920 --> 00:30:53,640
split between him and Mason or 
how is it going to shake out? 

499
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:58,160
It really, really looks like 
they strongly prefer Jones to 

500
00:30:58,160 --> 00:31:01,040
take the majority of the work 
and then use something like 

501
00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:07,760
north of 80% of the the snaps. 
Mason gets a little bit and he 

502
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:11,680
actually had a pretty good run 
it it looked like if you 

503
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,640
remember from the beginning of 
the season, Mason had some like 

504
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,680
pretty electric's the wrong 
word. 

505
00:31:17,680 --> 00:31:19,520
But like he had some very strong
runs. 

506
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:22,160
You know, where he's breaking 
tackles and like getting 

507
00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:26,600
downhill and looks like exactly 
why the Vikings were very 

508
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:31,720
exciting to acquire him and he 
looked like that in his limited 

509
00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:34,560
work here. 
But Aaron Jones is like 

510
00:31:34,560 --> 00:31:37,200
strongly, strongly the 1A right 
now. 

511
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:41,080
I do think this is the kind of 
backfield where that can shift 

512
00:31:41,080 --> 00:31:44,400
quickly, Not necessarily 
because, oh, they're going to 

513
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,800
decide that Mason is better than
Jones or anything like that, but

514
00:31:47,800 --> 00:31:50,360
just because of who Aaron Jones 
is as a player. 

515
00:31:50,360 --> 00:31:54,280
He's been pretty fragile from an
injury standpoint for a couple 

516
00:31:54,280 --> 00:31:56,920
seasons now. 
You know, he missed a bunch of 

517
00:31:56,920 --> 00:32:00,200
time with injury this season. 
It, you know, wouldn't surprise 

518
00:32:00,200 --> 00:32:04,000
me at all for it to switch back 
to more of 5050 or something 

519
00:32:04,000 --> 00:32:06,600
like that. 
But for right now, Aaron Jones 

520
00:32:06,600 --> 00:32:10,520
is like clearly the guy getting 
the vast majority of the work. 

521
00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:14,400
He has a good role. 
The fly in the ointment here is 

522
00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:18,520
that JJ McCarthy is just taking 
a shit on any kind of efficiency

523
00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:22,080
that that he's going to be able 
to get with his touches just 

524
00:32:22,080 --> 00:32:25,040
because the offense itself is is
very stunted. 

525
00:32:26,240 --> 00:32:30,200
Yeah. 
Yeah, what's kind of interesting

526
00:32:30,200 --> 00:32:36,040
is that Aaron Jones, even even 
though he had the clear lead 

527
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:41,320
over Jordan Mason, he had 16 
rush attempts to Jordan Mason, 

528
00:32:41,320 --> 00:32:47,760
617 routes to Jordan Mason's 
two, and then was the trusted to

529
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,640
do pass blocking while Mason was
not. 

530
00:32:54,120 --> 00:32:59,520
He they still they I guess they 
didn't they, they ran, they must

531
00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:06,240
have run a lot of plays where 
they didn't have a back play 

532
00:33:07,160 --> 00:33:20,080
because he's only like a 60. 
Maybe, maybe JJ Yeah, they they,

533
00:33:20,120 --> 00:33:23,360
he so 17 routes and and what is 
it? 

534
00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:29,720
22 pass blocks on 32 attempts 
and then they must still be 

535
00:33:29,720 --> 00:33:32,000
using another. 
Maybe they're using another back

536
00:33:32,280 --> 00:33:35,240
primary? 
I think I saw, I want to say it 

537
00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:39,960
was CJ Ham, but I did see I can 
pull it up. 

538
00:33:40,000 --> 00:33:43,960
I did see a full back or 
somewhat of that ilk. 

539
00:33:46,920 --> 00:33:48,880
I'll take a look at it here real
quick. 

540
00:33:55,900 --> 00:33:59,860
Yeah, CJ Ham played 12 backfield
snaps. 

541
00:33:59,860 --> 00:34:02,960
Tree in the stock. 15 total. 
Yeah. 

542
00:34:03,880 --> 00:34:10,199
So even though he didn't he 
didn't register any stats, he he

543
00:34:10,199 --> 00:34:12,520
did take a big chunk. 
So I guess that that's the other

544
00:34:13,159 --> 00:34:18,560
fly where I'd still classify 
Aaron Jones as like A1A rather 

545
00:34:18,560 --> 00:34:22,520
than like clear starter. 
And but Jordan Mason is crushed,

546
00:34:23,040 --> 00:34:25,920
absolutely crushed in value, 
right? 

547
00:34:25,920 --> 00:34:28,159
Now. 
Unless you get an Aaron Jones 

548
00:34:28,159 --> 00:34:31,199
injury or something like that. 
Yep, yeah, I think that is the 

549
00:34:31,400 --> 00:34:33,880
the most valuable take away. 
Like you can't if you're 

550
00:34:33,880 --> 00:34:36,600
starting Jordan Mason something 
terrible has happened right now 

551
00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:39,239
still about and we. 
Are actually starting at at 

552
00:34:39,239 --> 00:34:42,960
Mason Taylor, unfortunately. 
Maybe maybe you can get Bucky 

553
00:34:42,960 --> 00:34:46,719
back and or something like that 
and not have to to do that. 

554
00:34:48,159 --> 00:34:51,600
Yeah, we can. 
We can do this whole segment 

555
00:34:51,800 --> 00:34:55,560
through the lens of our our main
event team because Sean Tucker 

556
00:34:55,560 --> 00:34:57,440
is the next running back that I 
have a note on. 

557
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:02,360
And he is also filling in for us
on our main event team while we 

558
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:07,520
just scratch and claw hoping to 
make it to the Sprint with Bucky

559
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:10,960
Irving and Amari and Hampton 
hopefully coming back. 

560
00:35:10,960 --> 00:35:14,960
But so, so Sean Tucker, this 
isn't, this is just Groundhog 

561
00:35:14,960 --> 00:35:17,800
Day for Sean Tucker because he 
did this exact same thing last 

562
00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:20,680
season where he doesn't really 
get a ton of work. 

563
00:35:20,880 --> 00:35:22,880
And then there's finally a game 
where they give him a bunch of 

564
00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:26,680
work and he just explodes. 
You know, I, I think last year 

565
00:35:26,680 --> 00:35:30,040
he went for something ridiculous
like 144 yards, multiple 

566
00:35:30,040 --> 00:35:33,040
touchdowns. 
This year, you know, similar 

567
00:35:33,040 --> 00:35:36,720
thing, huge racks up, huge yards
total, you know, looks 

568
00:35:36,880 --> 00:35:39,480
incredible. 
He's very, very fast. 

569
00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:43,880
He also has a great bit that he 
did back in college that he has 

570
00:35:43,880 --> 00:35:46,360
continued now. 
He just hasn't had a ton of 

571
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:50,040
opportunity to continue it now. 
But when he finishes after a 

572
00:35:50,040 --> 00:35:56,000
game, he'll go and tweet like 
his stat line and say like, 

573
00:35:56,000 --> 00:36:00,040
very, very proper, like, I am 
pleased with the performance 

574
00:36:00,040 --> 00:36:03,000
that I put on the field today 
all like with punctuation and 

575
00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,880
shit like it's, it's a, it's a 
great bit, you know. 

576
00:36:06,800 --> 00:36:11,000
So after the game against the 
Bills, he says, I am pleased 

577
00:36:11,040 --> 00:36:15,840
with my performance today. 
So he, I, I do. 

578
00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,400
I should hope so. 
I do hope, Sean. 

579
00:36:18,400 --> 00:36:21,280
Tucker gets to send more. 
I am pleased with my performance

580
00:36:21,280 --> 00:36:24,200
today. 
Tweets but I'm I'm kind of 

581
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:28,600
worried Draco, because this 
flash in the pan stuff happened 

582
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:31,520
last year and they didn't change
anything. 

583
00:36:31,600 --> 00:36:34,880
They were just like, you know, 
great, great job filling in 

584
00:36:34,880 --> 00:36:37,640
champ, you know, back, back to 
the bench with you. 

585
00:36:37,880 --> 00:36:38,560
So. 
Right. 

586
00:36:38,880 --> 00:36:42,240
Do you think have have the Bucks
learned their lesson like Sean 

587
00:36:42,240 --> 00:36:44,720
Tucker is better than Rashad 
White and and we'll see more of 

588
00:36:44,720 --> 00:36:48,440
them going forward or do you 
think this is going to be more 

589
00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:55,840
ethereal like it was last year? 
So yeah, I think, and I mean, I 

590
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:59,640
think they're going to lean on 
Sean Tucker when, but while 

591
00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:02,680
Bookie's out and we'll see when 
Bookie comes back, they're going

592
00:37:02,680 --> 00:37:06,520
to lean on him to, for, for 
actual touches for the most 

593
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:09,520
part. 
And like carries and, and, and, 

594
00:37:09,520 --> 00:37:15,080
and probably enough targets to 
get the touch count up like you 

595
00:37:15,080 --> 00:37:20,200
had, he had 21 touches versus 12
for White. 

596
00:37:20,800 --> 00:37:26,120
And that spread probably grows 
if, if, if Bucky's out next 

597
00:37:26,120 --> 00:37:29,880
week. 
And but they, they just really 

598
00:37:29,880 --> 00:37:33,360
trust Rashad White as the, as 
the long down the distance back.

599
00:37:33,720 --> 00:37:39,320
They really, really do. 
And, but I guess they, they 

600
00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:42,240
didn't trust them so much. 
I'm going to contract. 

601
00:37:42,240 --> 00:37:44,480
I'm going to contradict myself 
there. 

602
00:37:44,600 --> 00:37:47,360
They didn't trust them so much 
where they were still, they were

603
00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:49,000
actually using Bucky a lot for 
that. 

604
00:37:49,840 --> 00:37:55,480
So I, I guess the, the fact that
they were using bookie is kind 

605
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:59,600
of a more about bell cow early 
in the year and why as the 

606
00:38:01,360 --> 00:38:06,760
change of pace guy. 
I I really, I actually, I 

607
00:38:06,760 --> 00:38:12,960
honestly think that they'll use 
Sean Tucker to, to spell bookie 

608
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:17,520
on that on 2 down stuff. 
That's what they should that's I

609
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:20,720
100% agree with you, that's what
they should do and that's what a

610
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:23,560
logical coaching staff, the 
conclusion you would come to 

611
00:38:23,960 --> 00:38:26,840
because when you swap out a. 
Piece how dumb are? 

612
00:38:27,560 --> 00:38:30,800
They right when you swap out a 
piece like Rashad White for Sean

613
00:38:30,800 --> 00:38:33,400
Tucker, where Sean Tucker is a 
threat to score the ball from 

614
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,920
anywhere on the field, Rashad 
White straight up is not, you 

615
00:38:37,080 --> 00:38:40,400
know, like that. 
And so that's just a a whole 

616
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:42,840
different element that you get 
to add to your offense then, 

617
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:46,680
where just because Bucky is not 
on the field, like doesn't make 

618
00:38:46,920 --> 00:38:49,960
the threat of a run any less 
dangerous to the defense. 

619
00:38:50,240 --> 00:38:53,080
But when Rashad White is on the 
field, the threat of a run is 

620
00:38:53,080 --> 00:38:55,520
very much unserious, 
undangerous. 

621
00:38:55,520 --> 00:38:58,920
They they're like, oh, please 
run, please, please, please run 

622
00:38:58,920 --> 00:39:00,680
the ball with Rashad White on 
the right. 

623
00:39:01,120 --> 00:39:05,240
And so you just have to hope 
that the Bucks are are savvy 

624
00:39:05,240 --> 00:39:08,120
enough to realize. 
I mean, you have to be blind to 

625
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:12,360
not realize it, but man, maybe 
Rashad is just such a good hang 

626
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:14,840
and he says all the right stuff 
in the meeting rooms and he 

627
00:39:14,840 --> 00:39:17,840
doesn't make a lot of mistakes 
in practice and that that kind 

628
00:39:17,840 --> 00:39:21,520
of stuff goes a long way, you 
know, with coaches. 

629
00:39:21,520 --> 00:39:24,400
So. 
But Sean Tucker definitely going

630
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:25,600
to be an interesting one to 
watch. 

631
00:39:26,640 --> 00:39:30,960
The last running back I had a 
note on here was RJ Harvey. 

632
00:39:31,000 --> 00:39:34,000
I think it's actually pretty 
important to dive into this one.

633
00:39:34,000 --> 00:39:36,440
He's on the backups chart. 
We can actually go to the 

634
00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:43,640
backups here so. 
Actually, before I before I I'm 

635
00:39:43,640 --> 00:39:50,600
looking at, I'm looking at the 
trend on on Tucker and and and 

636
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:54,920
white. 
And so the first, at least the 

637
00:39:54,920 --> 00:39:59,720
far as I make it, the first game
that they were trust into the 

638
00:39:59,720 --> 00:40:04,440
spotlight would Bucky out was 
week 5 and it was 18 touches for

639
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:11,040
White, 6 for Tucker. 
Then 20 touches 614 two and then

640
00:40:11,040 --> 00:40:19,920
week 8 it was 15 versus 1215 
versus 10 and then we get 21 

641
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:23,360
versus 12. 
I do wonder if that's like kind 

642
00:40:23,360 --> 00:40:28,800
of a more of a, a slow burn of 
like he's, he's been taking over

643
00:40:29,080 --> 00:40:34,120
from White and if that's enough 
for them to be like if if the I 

644
00:40:34,120 --> 00:40:38,160
guess that being more of a 
sustained trend makes it more 

645
00:40:38,160 --> 00:40:40,600
likely that they're going to 
lean on Tucker over White. 

646
00:40:41,360 --> 00:40:43,840
Yeah, yeah, that makes sense to 
me. 

647
00:40:43,840 --> 00:40:48,480
I'm, I'm certainly more 
optimistic, you know, now that 

648
00:40:48,480 --> 00:40:51,640
we've got a a little bit of a 
trend of that happening, but 

649
00:40:52,120 --> 00:40:54,600
right, I'm I'm just scarred. 
I'm scarred from last season. 

650
00:40:54,600 --> 00:40:57,000
Draco, I really like Sean Tucker
as a prospect. 

651
00:40:57,000 --> 00:41:00,240
He was fun. 
I jammed the one who's a rookie.

652
00:41:00,560 --> 00:41:05,640
Yeah, I, I had a lot of them. 
I, yeah, I remember when he, you

653
00:41:05,640 --> 00:41:07,760
know, didn't run at the combine 
because of the health stuff. 

654
00:41:07,760 --> 00:41:11,720
And I, I wish we got combine 
numbers from Sean Tucker because

655
00:41:11,720 --> 00:41:15,240
allegedly he ran in the four 
twos on, you know, private 

656
00:41:15,240 --> 00:41:18,040
workouts. 
He kind of looks like it when 

657
00:41:18,160 --> 00:41:20,760
he's on the field. 
Yeah, that, that boy Nice. 

658
00:41:22,480 --> 00:41:26,800
And he he was a track star, you 
know, so he's he's got all the 

659
00:41:28,000 --> 00:41:29,480
he's got all the fun stuff going
for him. 

660
00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:32,040
OK. 
But but the RJ Harvey rule, I do

661
00:41:32,040 --> 00:41:36,680
think it's pretty important 
because for fantasy, it was very

662
00:41:36,680 --> 00:41:39,120
frustrating, right? 
If you were watching this game, 

663
00:41:39,760 --> 00:41:42,920
there really was not a ton of 
success on the ground from him. 

664
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:47,080
You know, he doesn't have any 
runs over 10 yards. 

665
00:41:47,120 --> 00:41:50,320
And that's, you know, one of the
things that is exciting about 

666
00:41:50,320 --> 00:41:52,520
him to see. 
He is explosive and can break 

667
00:41:52,520 --> 00:41:55,520
those big plays. 
He gets vulture budget. 

668
00:41:55,520 --> 00:41:59,520
Leo McLaughlin. 
So you're just like, if you're 

669
00:41:59,520 --> 00:42:02,920
only watching red zone, you see 
Julio McLaughlin get the 

670
00:42:02,920 --> 00:42:05,720
touchdown, You've been looking 
at the box score, you've seen a 

671
00:42:05,720 --> 00:42:10,200
handful of bad runs from RJ 
Harvey that don't really do 

672
00:42:10,200 --> 00:42:12,960
anything. 
But if you actually look at the 

673
00:42:12,960 --> 00:42:17,160
underlying usage, he gets the 
vast majority of the touches and

674
00:42:17,160 --> 00:42:20,640
it's just Julio McLaughlin and 
Tyler Bidet just mixing it a 

675
00:42:20,640 --> 00:42:22,920
little bit. 
I think Bidet and McLaughlin 

676
00:42:22,920 --> 00:42:27,080
both got like the same amount of
snaps and Harvey was up up at 

677
00:42:27,080 --> 00:42:30,320
like season high I believe. 
So it was. 

678
00:42:30,320 --> 00:42:34,200
It was. 14 touches for Harvey 
versus 7 for McLaughlin. 

679
00:42:34,960 --> 00:42:41,160
So Harvey decidedly ahead. 
And I think and, and then the 

680
00:42:41,160 --> 00:42:45,240
problem for I think McLaughlin 
is he's not very good. 

681
00:42:46,400 --> 00:42:50,400
So it's like 7 is probably among
the most he'll ever get. 

682
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:55,200
Like it's not going to 12. 
It's more likely that we get 5 

683
00:42:55,200 --> 00:43:00,440
this week than 12, I think. 
And, and, and those additional 

684
00:43:00,440 --> 00:43:02,600
touches probably do go to 
Harvey. 

685
00:43:03,320 --> 00:43:08,360
But I, I, I agree with you, 
Harvey clearly ahead and clearly

686
00:43:08,360 --> 00:43:12,320
should be projected for what, 12
to 16 touches a week now? 

687
00:43:13,000 --> 00:43:15,280
And he's not going to play the 
Chiefs every week. 

688
00:43:15,880 --> 00:43:18,200
We'll break those explosive 
plays. 

689
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:22,120
Yeah, after their buy, they do 
get Washington coming out of the

690
00:43:22,120 --> 00:43:25,000
buy, I believe, if I'm 
remembering correctly. 

691
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:33,800
I'll pull that up real quick. 
Yeah, they have Washington 

692
00:43:34,080 --> 00:43:38,080
coming out of the buy, so that 
that could be a good spot for 

693
00:43:38,080 --> 00:43:40,440
Harvey to break out. 
Then they get the Raiders after 

694
00:43:40,440 --> 00:43:44,960
that as well. 
I think the dynamic with Harvey 

695
00:43:44,960 --> 00:43:50,840
could also be, you know, kind of
similar to Trayvion where he 

696
00:43:50,840 --> 00:43:53,400
just hasn't gotten a ton of 
opportunity yet. 

697
00:43:53,400 --> 00:43:57,200
He now he's shown more explosion
than we had from Trayvion prior 

698
00:43:57,200 --> 00:43:59,480
to the breakout games, right? 
He's, you know, he's gotten in 

699
00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:01,320
the end zone. 
He's had some explosive plays, 

700
00:44:01,720 --> 00:44:04,840
none quite as like dynamic or 
electric as the the huge 

701
00:44:04,840 --> 00:44:09,000
Trayvion plays that kind of, you
know, put the genie out of the 

702
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:10,720
bottle. 
But I think you're. 

703
00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:13,080
And he is getting, he is getting
20. 

704
00:44:13,120 --> 00:44:17,200
He got 20 routes and four pass 
blocks. 

705
00:44:17,960 --> 00:44:21,400
So that's versus 2 routes, no 
pass blocking for McLaughlin. 

706
00:44:22,280 --> 00:44:30,920
And I see, I see 2 pass blocks, 
but I don't think and then one 

707
00:44:30,920 --> 00:44:34,840
target for the day. 
So like the underlying usage is 

708
00:44:34,840 --> 00:44:40,480
probably for for more targets 
for Harvey less like McLaughlin 

709
00:44:40,480 --> 00:44:45,480
and Bidet are not going to have 
like an insane like 5040% 

710
00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:49,440
targets for run every week. 
Yeah, going to be down to 15% 

711
00:44:49,440 --> 00:44:53,920
every week. 
Yeah, Harvey, Harvey, even prior

712
00:44:53,920 --> 00:44:56,640
to the Dobbins injury, was 
getting some of the. 

713
00:44:57,320 --> 00:45:02,360
So Sean Payton is pretty 
predictable in the things that 

714
00:45:02,360 --> 00:45:04,000
he's wanting to do in his 
offense. 

715
00:45:04,000 --> 00:45:07,520
It's not always predictable what
personnel he's deploying to do 

716
00:45:07,520 --> 00:45:10,000
them. 
But like the Marvin Mims stuff 

717
00:45:10,040 --> 00:45:12,520
from last year where it's like I
need a guy who can catch swing 

718
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:15,680
passes out of the backfield and,
and, you know, run in space and 

719
00:45:15,680 --> 00:45:16,960
catch passes up the line of 
scrimmage. 

720
00:45:16,960 --> 00:45:19,480
Basically. 
RJ Harvey's been doing a bunch 

721
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:22,680
of that this year where the day 
was taking a little bit, but the

722
00:45:22,680 --> 00:45:26,080
day's more of like a hey, I'm 
I'm here to pass block and then 

723
00:45:26,080 --> 00:45:29,320
I'll release as well. 
Where Harvey's are more designed

724
00:45:29,320 --> 00:45:31,800
like, hey, you're you're going 
to run a little, you know, 

725
00:45:32,240 --> 00:45:34,360
you're going to run a route in 
the flat or you're going to run 

726
00:45:34,360 --> 00:45:37,200
a little swing route out of the 
backfield type things. 

727
00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:39,920
The exact stuff that Marvin 
Ninja was doing last season. 

728
00:45:40,240 --> 00:45:43,840
And you know, that is part of 
why Marvin Mims has not really 

729
00:45:43,840 --> 00:45:46,480
seen an expanded role this 
season where he's lost a lot of 

730
00:45:46,480 --> 00:45:50,280
that and is is, you know, just 
in this little part time 

731
00:45:50,280 --> 00:45:52,800
receiver role where he doesn't 
have that role in the backfield 

732
00:45:52,800 --> 00:45:56,320
anymore. 
So I think with Harvey, there's 

733
00:45:56,320 --> 00:46:00,360
still room to consolidate more 
work where you just, there's not

734
00:46:00,360 --> 00:46:04,280
really a, a great reason to give
Julie McLaughlin touches, you 

735
00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:08,840
know, like the occasional one 
to, to spell a guy, sure, but 

736
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:11,840
like, you don't need to give him
7 touches, you know, like it's 

737
00:46:11,840 --> 00:46:13,480
just not a thing that's 
necessary. 

738
00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:18,040
And I think if you get Harvey, 
Harvey just needs to give them a

739
00:46:18,040 --> 00:46:20,960
reason to be like, hey, just 
let's be this guy a little bit 

740
00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:22,280
more. 
And I think he's capable of 

741
00:46:22,280 --> 00:46:26,280
doing that. 
It it just, you know, Sean 

742
00:46:26,280 --> 00:46:27,520
Payton's still making him earn 
it. 

743
00:46:27,520 --> 00:46:32,840
So I'd be I'm overall like the 
sentiment for Harvey. 

744
00:46:33,120 --> 00:46:35,240
Going up, It's not going down, 
it's going up. 

745
00:46:36,120 --> 00:46:39,120
Yep, and I just I wanted to 
highlight that given the 

746
00:46:39,120 --> 00:46:43,880
disappointing box score from the
fantasy game for for this past 

747
00:46:43,880 --> 00:46:47,720
week against a tough opponent, I
do think that, you know, it's 

748
00:46:47,720 --> 00:46:54,080
still trending up for Harvey so.
Yeah, agreed. 

749
00:46:54,320 --> 00:46:59,760
Agreed. 
So think so we're I I I didn't 

750
00:46:59,760 --> 00:47:04,400
actually I don't see I don't see
anyone we need to talk about 

751
00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:06,440
here. 
Don't see anybody we need to 

752
00:47:06,440 --> 00:47:13,120
talk about. 
And I guess I've one note where 

753
00:47:13,800 --> 00:47:18,920
the this is one that I find 
myself playing in main event and

754
00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:23,840
more than I want to, which is 
like the Bam night, Bam night 

755
00:47:23,840 --> 00:47:28,440
and Michael Carter stuff. 
I did see, I saw a tweet where 

756
00:47:28,440 --> 00:47:33,480
basically after the Mccardo went
out, Michael Carter had the 

757
00:47:33,480 --> 00:47:40,640
lion's share of snaps and usage.
And I probably a lot of that was

758
00:47:40,640 --> 00:47:43,480
just because the Cardinals were 
chasing the game once again. 

759
00:47:45,040 --> 00:47:51,360
And rather than actually, I 
don't, I don't know, I would 

760
00:47:51,360 --> 00:47:54,720
have liked if M Knight had have 
gotten that instead of Michael 

761
00:47:54,720 --> 00:47:58,440
Carter. 
And but that that's one where 

762
00:47:58,600 --> 00:48:03,600
I'm, I'm, I'm actually I'm, I'm 
I'm struggling to figure out how

763
00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:05,560
to play it. 
And I wondered if Dan Knight 

764
00:48:05,560 --> 00:48:08,400
also had Dan Knight also had the
ankle too. 

765
00:48:09,000 --> 00:48:13,480
So, OK, so I do think I, I'm, I 
agree with you that it was more,

766
00:48:14,560 --> 00:48:17,960
you know, it was just, hey, 
we're in a major trailing game 

767
00:48:17,960 --> 00:48:19,440
script. 
Dan Knight's banged out that we 

768
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:20,840
don't even like him as a pass 
catcher. 

769
00:48:20,840 --> 00:48:23,080
Anyway. 
Let's just you know, Michael 

770
00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:25,320
Carter, you can get out there in
this meaningless game. 

771
00:48:25,840 --> 00:48:29,880
I I would think that they are 
going to prefer Bam Knight, you 

772
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:31,280
know, provided that he's 
healthy. 

773
00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:34,160
But that's one where you 
probably do care a lot about the

774
00:48:34,160 --> 00:48:37,480
injury reports. 
If he's like full participant, I

775
00:48:37,480 --> 00:48:40,520
think you lean Bam Knight if he 
is still banged up. 

776
00:48:42,200 --> 00:48:43,880
Who do the Cardinals play this 
week? 

777
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:47,120
Good. 
Question. 

778
00:48:48,160 --> 00:48:50,000
I mean, no one really cares 
because the Cardinals just 

779
00:48:50,000 --> 00:48:53,600
haven't mattered for so long. 
The Jags, they play the Jags, 

780
00:48:54,160 --> 00:48:55,920
so. 
That's a tough matchup. 

781
00:48:56,880 --> 00:48:59,520
Yeah, that's a game where 
they're not inherently 

782
00:48:59,520 --> 00:49:02,840
guaranteed to be in a trailing 
script, but I I would expect 

783
00:49:02,840 --> 00:49:07,400
them to be trailing. 
The Jags do seem to to really 

784
00:49:07,400 --> 00:49:10,000
want to, you know, pound the 
rock right now. 

785
00:49:11,040 --> 00:49:15,520
Liam Cohen seems to be not 
enthralled with the Trevor 

786
00:49:15,520 --> 00:49:19,120
Lawrence experience. 
So it could be a thing where, 

787
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:22,400
you know, the Jaguars are just 
able to run all over them and, 

788
00:49:23,080 --> 00:49:26,360
you know, you you end up with a 
really good game script for 

789
00:49:26,360 --> 00:49:28,200
Michael Carter again. 
But I don't think it's like a, 

790
00:49:29,000 --> 00:49:31,320
you know, for example, the 
Cardinals play the Rams in a 

791
00:49:31,320 --> 00:49:34,200
couple weeks that that would be 
1 where I'm like, that's a 

792
00:49:34,200 --> 00:49:37,040
Michael Carter script. 
So the Rams are about to go hang

793
00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:39,480
40 on them. 
Michael Carter should feast 

794
00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:43,160
here. 
But Jags, I think are close 

795
00:49:43,160 --> 00:49:46,040
enough that you know, if, if Van
Knight's healthy, I think he's 

796
00:49:46,040 --> 00:49:47,320
it could. 
Be pretty competitive. 

797
00:49:47,680 --> 00:49:51,240
Yeah. 
Yeah, makes sense. 

798
00:49:51,240 --> 00:49:54,440
Appreciate you humoring me on 
that one. 

799
00:49:55,280 --> 00:50:00,760
And and so moving on to the 
tight ends, I think your first 

800
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:04,120
note was about George Kittle. 
No, it wasn't. 

801
00:50:04,120 --> 00:50:07,560
It was AJ Barner. 
Equal players, you know, similar

802
00:50:07,560 --> 00:50:14,120
caliber guys. 
Yeah, I just, I wanted your 

803
00:50:14,120 --> 00:50:18,360
opinion on the AJ Barner role. 
He had a absolute gang of 

804
00:50:18,360 --> 00:50:23,080
targets Pat and I were actually 
looking at this tight end split 

805
00:50:23,080 --> 00:50:26,880
as we were working on playoff 
best ball ranges of outcomes for

806
00:50:26,880 --> 00:50:34,000
these guys for Sims. 
And I believe that, you know, it

807
00:50:34,000 --> 00:50:38,960
looks like Arroyo is is more of 
just like a part timer with 

808
00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:43,480
Barner being the one that gets 
the majority of of the work. 

809
00:50:43,480 --> 00:50:47,480
Yeah, where the and that's. 
How the trending as well? 

810
00:50:48,000 --> 00:50:51,800
There was a one game blip where 
Barner got less and Arroyo got 

811
00:50:51,800 --> 00:50:54,600
more, but I think that would 
that coincided with the same 

812
00:50:54,600 --> 00:50:58,160
week where Barner had an ankle 
injury and then this week, you 

813
00:50:58,160 --> 00:51:00,480
know, you get the big, big 
Barner usage. 

814
00:51:00,480 --> 00:51:03,240
So but I wanted your opinion on 
it. 

815
00:51:03,640 --> 00:51:04,080
How you? 
Yeah. 

816
00:51:04,080 --> 00:51:08,120
So since week 8 and and and I 
think that's what we pulled 

817
00:51:08,120 --> 00:51:12,400
through on the chart. 
And since week 8, Barner has 

818
00:51:12,400 --> 00:51:17,080
been at 80% routes. 
He's gotten a 25% targets per 

819
00:51:17,080 --> 00:51:22,120
outrun and out of 3 1/2 A dot. 
It's giving. 

820
00:51:23,520 --> 00:51:26,360
It's giving Jake Ferguson. 
It's giving. 

821
00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:31,120
Yeah, Jake Ferguson is probably 
the best comp I can think of 

822
00:51:31,440 --> 00:51:36,680
where I don't think he's he's 
not getting a ton of area yards.

823
00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:42,280
Like he only has 49 area yards 
in the last, what, four games? 

824
00:51:42,280 --> 00:51:46,360
So like 12 area yards a game, 
but that's comes with 14 

825
00:51:46,360 --> 00:51:48,040
targets. 
So he's getting 4 targets a 

826
00:51:48,040 --> 00:51:52,480
game. 
And I guess particularly notable

827
00:51:52,480 --> 00:51:55,520
in the, in the, in the last game
where he's, he's getting fed. 

828
00:51:57,200 --> 00:52:03,840
I am I, I, I mean, he's running 
80% of the routes, which is 

829
00:52:04,360 --> 00:52:11,000
pretty good for a tight end. 
The Cooper Cup getting a lot of 

830
00:52:11,000 --> 00:52:16,000
routes probably means that even 
though JSN is feasting and that 

831
00:52:16,000 --> 00:52:19,400
probably frees up a lot of tight
end targets for your tight end 

832
00:52:19,920 --> 00:52:24,360
in that you have the Cooper Cup 
kind of black hole there and 

833
00:52:24,520 --> 00:52:27,920
it's AJ Berner far ahead of that
Arroyo. 

834
00:52:28,800 --> 00:52:31,520
Arroyo is getting down the field
targets more often. 

835
00:52:31,520 --> 00:52:38,520
His A dot is what, 10.4 the last
month, 8.2 on the season. 

836
00:52:38,960 --> 00:52:41,720
Whereas a much shallower A dot 
for Berner. 

837
00:52:42,840 --> 00:52:48,320
But Barner's a guy. 
I, I, I I. 

838
00:52:48,520 --> 00:52:51,760
It certainly doesn't seem to me 
that that that's changing. 

839
00:52:53,000 --> 00:52:56,960
Yeah, I'm, I'm with you there. 
Barner is getting, you know, 

840
00:52:57,000 --> 00:53:01,320
double the snaps on passing 
plays that Arroyo is, you know, 

841
00:53:01,320 --> 00:53:06,560
and he's Arroyo. 
Like, let's see, overall snaps. 

842
00:53:08,360 --> 00:53:12,680
Barner's out there for 73 of the
snaps, you know, just basically 

843
00:53:12,680 --> 00:53:16,320
an every down player and then, I
don't know, snaps. 

844
00:53:17,880 --> 00:53:20,320
Yeah. 
And then Arroyo out there for 31

845
00:53:20,560 --> 00:53:24,160
snaps and then only 17 passing 
snaps to Age of Art is 38 

846
00:53:24,800 --> 00:53:29,800
passing snaps. 
But yeah, I do think Arroyo is 

847
00:53:30,120 --> 00:53:33,640
viable and like in showdowns in 
particular, he's pretty fun just

848
00:53:33,640 --> 00:53:37,080
because his the way he's more 
likely to score points, like you

849
00:53:37,080 --> 00:53:40,240
said, is downfield. 
And so if you're looking for a 

850
00:53:40,240 --> 00:53:44,480
cheap guy, which he usually is, 
who can deliver a big play and 

851
00:53:44,480 --> 00:53:48,080
like potentially break a 
touchdown, which is kind of 

852
00:53:48,080 --> 00:53:50,760
slave breaking on showdown for 
the price that he usually is. 

853
00:53:51,520 --> 00:53:56,080
Arroyo is an interesting one, 
but you're never really like on 

854
00:53:56,080 --> 00:53:57,920
a main slate, you're never going
to play Arroyo. 

855
00:53:58,880 --> 00:54:01,480
You know, in a in a league where
you're having to set your line 

856
00:54:01,480 --> 00:54:04,640
up, you're never playing Arroyo.
You would you could play Barner 

857
00:54:04,680 --> 00:54:06,880
in a pinch. 
You're not, you know, over the 

858
00:54:06,880 --> 00:54:10,240
moon about it, but he he's 
someone you could technically 

859
00:54:10,240 --> 00:54:14,840
play like a like a worse than 
Dalton Schultz level play right 

860
00:54:14,840 --> 00:54:17,680
now, You know, but but in a 
pinch, you you could do. 

861
00:54:17,680 --> 00:54:20,080
Worse, right? 
Yeah, People are gonna start 

862
00:54:20,080 --> 00:54:24,880
worse players than AJ Berner in 
in their main event team this 

863
00:54:24,880 --> 00:54:28,840
week for sure. 
OK there. 

864
00:54:28,840 --> 00:54:32,000
Are gonna be people who who are 
wishing they got to start AJ 

865
00:54:32,000 --> 00:54:33,600
Berner. 
Yes, yeah. 

866
00:54:35,080 --> 00:54:37,200
Now we can talk about George 
Kittle. 

867
00:54:37,800 --> 00:54:40,760
I mean, this was a spot that 
felt really obvious to me 

868
00:54:40,760 --> 00:54:44,200
because Kittle and Purdy just 
kind of have the mind meld 

869
00:54:44,200 --> 00:54:48,560
connection. 
He he just scores the touchdowns

870
00:54:48,560 --> 00:54:52,040
when Brock Purdy is in the game 
and Purdy's first game back, 

871
00:54:52,040 --> 00:54:53,800
Kittle gets in the end zone 
twice. 

872
00:54:55,680 --> 00:55:00,760
I mean, it, it really does feel 
like he is Purdy's preferred 

873
00:55:00,760 --> 00:55:05,080
target in the passing game. 
You know, outside of CMCI. 

874
00:55:05,080 --> 00:55:10,680
Think it's not unreasonable to 
say George Kittle, you know, has

875
00:55:10,680 --> 00:55:16,080
a good chance to lead the 49ers 
in receiving again outside of 

876
00:55:16,080 --> 00:55:20,720
CMCCMC is just like an 
aberration where, you know, we 

877
00:55:20,720 --> 00:55:22,760
don't even count him. 
It's like, yeah, CMC is going to

878
00:55:22,760 --> 00:55:25,120
lead in targets and everything, 
but other than him, who's the 

879
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:27,360
next guy? 
And I think George Kittle's very

880
00:55:27,360 --> 00:55:29,440
live to do that with. 
Pretty healthy. 

881
00:55:30,800 --> 00:55:33,520
I mean, you know, you get a 
respectable game out of Jawan 

882
00:55:33,520 --> 00:55:36,960
Jennings. 
Pearsall's pretty quiet, but he 

883
00:55:36,960 --> 00:55:40,320
runs 85% of the routes or 
something like that. 

884
00:55:41,840 --> 00:55:43,960
But yeah, Kittle. 
Kittle looks great in the first 

885
00:55:43,960 --> 00:55:46,320
game back with Purdy. 
Do you have anything to add on 

886
00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:50,280
George Kittle here? 
Yeah, I mean, he's not gonna 

887
00:55:50,280 --> 00:55:55,360
score 2 touchdowns every week 
and but he is, he is, he is 

888
00:55:55,360 --> 00:55:58,200
pretty live to score a touchdown
every game. 

889
00:55:59,720 --> 00:56:03,680
It it, it reminds me of kind of 
like when we've gotten injuries 

890
00:56:03,680 --> 00:56:07,760
to when Debo was on the team and
when Ayuk was healthy, when 

891
00:56:07,760 --> 00:56:13,800
those guys were injured, Kettle 
would feast because he's 

892
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:18,160
honestly very, very, very, he's 
like elite as as a receiver. 

893
00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:22,640
But and, and lots of games they 
don't have to use them for that.

894
00:56:22,640 --> 00:56:25,360
So they use them for the 
blocking whereas now they have 

895
00:56:25,360 --> 00:56:28,480
no choice but to use them really
because and they don't have a 

896
00:56:28,480 --> 00:56:35,480
lot of lot else at receiving. 
And so looking to looking for a 

897
00:56:35,480 --> 00:56:40,040
really strong down the stretch 
season from Kittle for sure. 

898
00:56:40,720 --> 00:56:42,440
Yeah, I think that's a really 
good note. 

899
00:56:42,440 --> 00:56:46,560
And I, I want to piggyback on 
that, that he often times when 

900
00:56:46,560 --> 00:56:48,600
he's not producing, it's because
he's there. 

901
00:56:49,040 --> 00:56:53,840
He's so involved as a blocker. 
But there's a couple things that

902
00:56:53,840 --> 00:56:57,360
I think are are playing in his 
favor as being utilized heavier 

903
00:56:57,360 --> 00:57:01,680
as a pass catcher down the 
stretch #1 the 49ers defense is,

904
00:57:01,760 --> 00:57:05,960
is just, you know, decimated. 
Like they've been absolutely 

905
00:57:05,960 --> 00:57:10,080
ravaged by injury. 
And so you're much more likely 

906
00:57:10,080 --> 00:57:12,880
to get the 49ers in these back 
and forth game scripts where 

907
00:57:12,880 --> 00:57:16,480
they just have to be scoring 
points and they're not going to 

908
00:57:16,480 --> 00:57:20,240
be able to run as much #2 their 
run game hasn't been as 

909
00:57:20,240 --> 00:57:24,400
effective as it has been 
historically just because CMC 

910
00:57:24,400 --> 00:57:27,400
has not been as efficient. 
You know what's funny is Brian 

911
00:57:27,400 --> 00:57:30,240
Robinson actually looks pretty 
efficient when they give him the

912
00:57:30,240 --> 00:57:33,320
ball. 
It's like the 49ers run game can

913
00:57:33,320 --> 00:57:36,280
still work. 
They're just running it with the

914
00:57:36,280 --> 00:57:37,880
wrong player. 
And I know that sounds 

915
00:57:38,120 --> 00:57:41,040
blasphemous, like not to take 
anything away from CMC, who's 

916
00:57:41,040 --> 00:57:45,000
one of the greatest to ever do 
it, but he he's starting to be 

917
00:57:45,000 --> 00:57:49,120
in his early stage Alvin Camara 
era, right where he's still the 

918
00:57:49,120 --> 00:57:52,360
elite, elite receiver. 
But we're starting to see that 

919
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:54,720
he does not have the juice in 
the run game anymore. 

920
00:57:55,160 --> 00:57:57,920
And so I think that the 40, it's
just a confluence of factors 

921
00:57:57,920 --> 00:58:02,040
where all of this stuff should 
push the 49ers more to the past 

922
00:58:02,040 --> 00:58:04,560
and then add on to the fact that
now you have Purdy back where 

923
00:58:04,560 --> 00:58:06,680
before it was Mac Jones and 
they're, you know, they're just 

924
00:58:06,680 --> 00:58:09,800
trying to kind of like scrape by
with whatever they can do. 

925
00:58:09,920 --> 00:58:13,280
I I think Christian Mccaffrey's 
very much in dissolving Camara 

926
00:58:13,280 --> 00:58:17,960
era and like if you look at his 
rush yards over expected per 

927
00:58:17,960 --> 00:58:24,200
attempt, he's -.67. 
That's Fort worst in the NFL and

928
00:58:24,200 --> 00:58:30,160
that's next Gen. stats. 
Where's that Camara is -.84? 

929
00:58:31,440 --> 00:58:37,560
So like not a not much better. 
And yeah, so I, I think they 

930
00:58:37,560 --> 00:58:40,360
could, they really could lean 
heavier into the pass. 

931
00:58:40,360 --> 00:58:44,120
And, and George Kittle is just 
that kind of like that piece 

932
00:58:44,120 --> 00:58:49,080
where he he can do either thing,
but just for whatever reason, 

933
00:58:49,080 --> 00:58:52,560
the way that they deploy him 
often times can remove him from 

934
00:58:52,560 --> 00:58:55,000
the passing game if they go 
really run heavy. 

935
00:58:55,760 --> 00:58:58,360
But I, I do think that they 
might be incentivized to pass a 

936
00:58:58,360 --> 00:59:00,760
little bit more here, especially
with Purdy back. 

937
00:59:00,760 --> 00:59:02,320
So he's pretty fun down the 
stretch. 

938
00:59:02,560 --> 00:59:05,640
George Kittle is 1 where it's 
like, can you not just see in 

939
00:59:05,640 --> 00:59:08,120
your mind's eye that in the 
fantasy playoffs, George Kittle 

940
00:59:08,120 --> 00:59:09,440
is the guy that you have to 
have? 

941
00:59:09,440 --> 00:59:12,200
Where it's like, oh, this guy 
who was super hard to advance, 

942
00:59:12,200 --> 00:59:15,360
but all of a sudden George 
Kittle goes for three touchdowns

943
00:59:15,360 --> 00:59:18,960
and eight receptions for 138 
yards or some crazy George 

944
00:59:18,960 --> 00:59:20,040
Kittle line. 
You know that. 

945
00:59:20,040 --> 00:59:22,240
That that is how the playoffs 
work, right? 

946
00:59:22,440 --> 00:59:25,600
Where it's like during the 
regular season and all these 

947
00:59:26,080 --> 00:59:29,880
like weak one through 14 is like
so, so important. 

948
00:59:30,520 --> 00:59:33,480
But then once you actually get 
in the playoffs, it's like 

949
00:59:33,560 --> 00:59:35,840
literally what do you project 
for now? 

950
00:59:36,800 --> 00:59:40,200
And George Kill is going to 
project very, very well. 

951
00:59:42,760 --> 00:59:45,240
Yeah, he's he's a fun one down 
the stretch for sure. 

952
00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:51,000
OK, last guy that I had a note 
on here, Mark Andrews. 

953
00:59:51,920 --> 00:59:54,520
Mark Andrews, I don't know if 
you did. 

954
00:59:54,520 --> 00:59:56,760
You saw the play where he he 
does the fake. 

955
00:59:56,760 --> 00:59:57,880
Yeah. 
Yeah, I saw it. 

956
00:59:57,880 --> 01:00:00,840
Of course I saw it. 
And now how could I not see it? 

957
01:00:01,520 --> 01:00:04,200
But you have some. 
Fun stats I want I want to let 

958
01:00:04,200 --> 01:00:09,520
you get to, but I also need to 
add another just little little 

959
01:00:09,520 --> 01:00:12,240
flavor morsel, just a little 
color to this play. 

960
01:00:12,760 --> 01:00:19,640
So shady advice is is sweating a
team in the Mega Millie this 

961
01:00:19,640 --> 01:00:25,920
Sunday and he says maybe 30 
seconds before this Ravens fake 

962
01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:29,760
tush push, he says Mark Andrews 
touchdown would be cool. 

963
01:00:30,280 --> 01:00:33,800
And then they line up for the 
tush push and Mark Andrews 

964
01:00:34,120 --> 01:00:38,440
houses in on a fake tush push. 
Just insane. 

965
01:00:38,440 --> 01:00:41,120
That team ultimately binks the 
Millie for Shady. 

966
01:00:41,120 --> 01:00:43,800
I don't think I've ever seen 
someone do that. 

967
01:00:44,320 --> 01:00:48,200
Just that level of wizardry or 
you call for what you need and 

968
01:00:48,200 --> 01:00:51,520
then it comes in like if you 
were, if you were, you know, 

969
01:00:51,680 --> 01:00:56,400
writing The Sims for, you know, 
to model probabilistically, what

970
01:00:56,400 --> 01:01:00,400
are the odds of a Mark Andrews 
rushing play for 40 yards or 

971
01:01:00,400 --> 01:01:03,440
whatever it is out of that 
formation When they call the 

972
01:01:03,440 --> 01:01:06,400
tush push there, you know, that 
situation down in distance, 

973
01:01:07,160 --> 01:01:12,480
you've got to have that at like 
0 or .001% or something. 

974
01:01:12,480 --> 01:01:16,920
You know, like 0 like the, you 
know, the distribution of like 

975
01:01:16,920 --> 01:01:19,240
the length of the Mark Andrews 
rush there. 

976
01:01:19,720 --> 01:01:21,920
I don't think 40 is in the 
distribution. 

977
01:01:21,960 --> 01:01:26,040
You know, just like such absurd 
stuff. 

978
01:01:26,600 --> 01:01:29,200
So shout out to shady. 
Congratulations to him. 

979
01:01:29,200 --> 01:01:31,840
That was a very fun play to get 
to watch right after he 

980
01:01:32,160 --> 01:01:32,840
performed his. 
Week. 

981
01:01:32,840 --> 01:01:34,560
I didn't know that that. 
That's very cool. 

982
01:01:35,080 --> 01:01:37,800
Yeah, but now the floor is 
yours. 

983
01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,680
Regale us with all the fun Mark 
Andrews stats. 

984
01:01:41,480 --> 01:01:46,120
So this was obviously the the in
in this year 2025. 

985
01:01:46,720 --> 01:01:50,720
This is Mark Andrews fastest 
ever recorded speed, unfilled 

986
01:01:50,720 --> 01:01:59,280
speed where you hit 20.09 mph. 
Now you compare that to the 

987
01:01:59,280 --> 01:02:01,800
Jameson Williams touchdown, the 
40 yard touchdown. 

988
01:02:01,800 --> 01:02:04,800
So Mark Andrews 35 yard 
touchdown. 

989
01:02:05,280 --> 01:02:08,400
Jameson Williams had a 40 yard 
receiving touchdown. 

990
01:02:08,400 --> 01:02:16,880
His was 20.19. 
So like 110th of a a mile per 

991
01:02:16,880 --> 01:02:22,120
hour faster than Andrews. 
So like very, very little Sean 

992
01:02:22,120 --> 01:02:26,760
Tucker, who he said at one at 
what was a track star, he was 

993
01:02:26,760 --> 01:02:32,680
only he was 21 point O 9. 
So just to put in perspective, 

994
01:02:33,200 --> 01:02:35,080
like you remember, you 
remembered it remembered a big 

995
01:02:35,080 --> 01:02:37,920
long run that JK Dobbins had 
last year. 

996
01:02:38,480 --> 01:02:40,920
And we were like, yeah, but it 
was only 16 mph. 

997
01:02:41,640 --> 01:02:44,520
Eric Andrews, 20. 
Like, I'm kind of blown away. 

998
01:02:44,520 --> 01:02:49,920
I thought he'd lost his his 
fastball, but clearly he is just

999
01:02:49,920 --> 01:02:53,120
as fast as ever. 
Oh yeah, the big, big fella can 

1000
01:02:53,120 --> 01:02:55,040
move. 
I mean, there's probably 

1001
01:02:55,040 --> 01:02:57,320
something about a fake tush push
that really gets you up. 

1002
01:02:57,360 --> 01:03:00,760
You know, you got to score that.
Like when they call your number 

1003
01:03:00,760 --> 01:03:01,920
on that. 
That's one order. 

1004
01:03:02,200 --> 01:03:07,480
You do the swing around you got 
you got the the swing block and 

1005
01:03:07,520 --> 01:03:11,440
and pulling guard in front of 
you and Charlie Kohler and it's 

1006
01:03:11,440 --> 01:03:16,800
like nothing but green grass. 
Like he's he, like like you 

1007
01:03:16,800 --> 01:03:18,640
said, you got to get a first 
situation like that. 

1008
01:03:20,040 --> 01:03:22,000
Yeah, happy to see it for Mark 
Andrews. 

1009
01:03:23,160 --> 01:03:27,360
Definitely makes me happier to 
draft him in playoff basketball 

1010
01:03:27,360 --> 01:03:29,440
knowing that there's still a 
little juice left there. 

1011
01:03:30,800 --> 01:03:32,760
Still a little tread left on the
tires. 

1012
01:03:34,000 --> 01:03:38,200
Maybe maybe he can make it right
for me this year because he sure

1013
01:03:38,200 --> 01:03:40,240
cost me a whole lot of money 
last year. 

1014
01:03:40,440 --> 01:03:46,320
You know, Ravens players and 
either dropping what look to be,

1015
01:03:46,320 --> 01:03:48,920
you know, sure catches or 
fumbling the ball at the goal 

1016
01:03:48,920 --> 01:03:53,120
line has cost me quite a bit of 
money in back-to-back playoff 

1017
01:03:53,120 --> 01:03:56,400
basketball years. 
I'm starting to think that maybe

1018
01:03:56,400 --> 01:03:57,960
it's just something with the 
Ravens Driko. 

1019
01:03:57,960 --> 01:04:02,400
Maybe I learn my lesson, or 
maybe I don't and I just triple 

1020
01:04:02,400 --> 01:04:05,760
down this year and continue to 
martingale the Ravens in playoff

1021
01:04:05,760 --> 01:04:08,360
basketball. 
Yeah, it's gotta work 

1022
01:04:08,360 --> 01:04:12,360
eventually, right? 
All right, I think those are all

1023
01:04:12,360 --> 01:04:14,240
the tight ends. 
Let's head to the receiver 

1024
01:04:14,240 --> 01:04:20,760
charts here. 
Man, it's so sad seeing and 

1025
01:04:20,760 --> 01:04:24,320
Drake Drake London up here when 
he has the what is it the PCL? 

1026
01:04:24,480 --> 01:04:26,760
Yeah, I left him on the chart 
for now. 

1027
01:04:26,760 --> 01:04:29,680
I just out of, you know, 
optimism. 

1028
01:04:29,680 --> 01:04:33,200
I I'm hoping that he comes back 
because he's he's been really 

1029
01:04:33,200 --> 01:04:36,880
good man with not great 
quarterback play. 

1030
01:04:36,880 --> 01:04:40,840
Like I, I mean, he he really 
does. 

1031
01:04:42,680 --> 01:04:45,440
You get you get the TET 
performance, you know, in the 

1032
01:04:45,440 --> 01:04:50,680
same game TET really does. 
I wouldn't be surprised if it's 

1033
01:04:50,680 --> 01:04:52,920
next season. 
We're saying that Tet is the, 

1034
01:04:53,480 --> 01:04:56,240
you know, Charizard to Drake 
London's Charmeleon. 

1035
01:04:56,240 --> 01:05:01,560
Like they do seem like they are 
similar archetypes, but I I do 

1036
01:05:01,560 --> 01:05:05,840
think TET is a little bit more 
complete or T Mac rather he he 

1037
01:05:05,880 --> 01:05:10,120
does not enjoy TET. 
But yeah, we have we have Drake 

1038
01:05:10,120 --> 01:05:15,600
London, who, if you made me bet 
on it, I I would assume that he 

1039
01:05:16,760 --> 01:05:19,520
he might get shut down for the 
season if it's serious, because 

1040
01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:21,800
you don't want to risk a a 
player like that. 

1041
01:05:21,800 --> 01:05:26,240
And you know, your quarterback's
already done and dusted in 

1042
01:05:26,240 --> 01:05:28,840
pennex. 
But again, he he probably is not

1043
01:05:28,840 --> 01:05:32,280
the answer. 
The the first note I did have on

1044
01:05:32,280 --> 01:05:35,480
the wide receiver chart, though,
is George Pickens. 

1045
01:05:36,480 --> 01:05:39,840
Pretty sure Pickens is a top 
five real life wide receiver in 

1046
01:05:39,840 --> 01:05:42,520
the league. 
I think it's probably like Chase

1047
01:05:42,800 --> 01:05:52,520
Lamb, Jefferson, Luca Pickens, 
like JS, NS in there too, but I 

1048
01:05:52,520 --> 01:05:54,520
mean. 
You didn't even mention Cdr. 

1049
01:05:55,160 --> 01:05:57,040
No, I didn't, I put, I put Lamb 
in there. 

1050
01:05:57,040 --> 01:06:00,000
But I mean, you could make a 
case that Pickens is better than

1051
01:06:00,000 --> 01:06:02,760
Lamb, like he's been out 
producing him since, you know, 

1052
01:06:03,200 --> 01:06:04,920
since Lamb has been back and 
healthy. 

1053
01:06:04,920 --> 01:06:09,760
So I I think there is it's it's 
at the very least a conversation

1054
01:06:09,760 --> 01:06:12,840
that George Pickens is a top 
five real life NFL receiver. 

1055
01:06:13,520 --> 01:06:16,520
He's absolutely a top ten real 
life NFL wide receiver. 

1056
01:06:16,800 --> 01:06:20,040
If you didn't get a chance to 
watch that entire Raiders game, 

1057
01:06:20,680 --> 01:06:22,160
I know the Raiders aren't world 
beaters. 

1058
01:06:22,880 --> 01:06:25,040
George Pickens does stuff out 
there. 

1059
01:06:25,280 --> 01:06:30,080
You know the the JSN catch where
you know, he just he reaches out

1060
01:06:30,080 --> 01:06:34,560
his hand and just so casual, 
just like nothing to it. 

1061
01:06:34,560 --> 01:06:38,080
Another day at the office. 
George Pickens every play looks 

1062
01:06:38,080 --> 01:06:40,040
like that. 
He had one where he's out of 

1063
01:06:40,040 --> 01:06:45,240
bounds in the end zone this game
and it was an absurd catch. 

1064
01:06:45,240 --> 01:06:49,920
It's not a touchdown, but he 
just one hands it so easily, 

1065
01:06:49,920 --> 01:06:52,480
effortlessly like the strongest 
hands in the league. 

1066
01:06:52,760 --> 01:06:54,480
I don't think that's an 
exaggeration at all. 

1067
01:06:54,480 --> 01:06:57,440
Like that's one where I I would,
you know, George Pickens bar for

1068
01:06:57,440 --> 01:07:01,000
bar against anybody that you 
know, as far as strongest hands.

1069
01:07:01,000 --> 01:07:06,840
That guy is insane. 
My, my dream, my prayer is that 

1070
01:07:06,840 --> 01:07:09,680
the Cowboys do not franchise tag
George Pickens and they let him 

1071
01:07:09,680 --> 01:07:12,800
hit the open market and he 
becomes a New England Patriot. 

1072
01:07:13,120 --> 01:07:15,760
I just need, I need to see 
George Pickens getting the ball 

1073
01:07:15,760 --> 01:07:19,320
thrown to him by Drake. 
May that. 

1074
01:07:19,720 --> 01:07:21,280
That that's probably the most 
likely. 

1075
01:07:21,960 --> 01:07:24,840
That's probably the the the 
favorite versus not, not versus 

1076
01:07:24,840 --> 01:07:26,400
the field, but the most likely 
outcome. 

1077
01:07:26,840 --> 01:07:28,960
I think franchise tag is the 
most likely outcome. 

1078
01:07:28,960 --> 01:07:30,360
That's. 
What, you think they will tag 

1079
01:07:30,360 --> 01:07:32,080
him? 
That's already the rumblings 

1080
01:07:32,080 --> 01:07:33,840
from Cowboy's camp. 
Yeah, I. 

1081
01:07:33,840 --> 01:07:35,120
Mean that's the smart thing to 
do. 

1082
01:07:35,760 --> 01:07:37,760
It is it's it's fucked up to the
play. 

1083
01:07:37,760 --> 01:07:40,960
I mean this guy literally just 
took a bet on himself. 

1084
01:07:40,960 --> 01:07:45,640
Deal to come play for you and 
and took a one year and then the

1085
01:07:45,640 --> 01:07:49,880
franchise tagging just seems 
yeah the franchise tag's fucked 

1086
01:07:49,880 --> 01:07:55,160
up man I don't like it I. 
Don't know it's it's anti 

1087
01:07:55,160 --> 01:07:58,320
American. 
It should, I mean, if really 

1088
01:07:58,320 --> 01:08:01,840
what it should be is that if you
do franchise tag a player, the 

1089
01:08:01,840 --> 01:08:04,240
team is the one that bears the 
risk of injury. 

1090
01:08:04,240 --> 01:08:06,960
Then where if you're saying 
like, hey, we can't give you 

1091
01:08:06,960 --> 01:08:10,040
this big deal. 
You at least need to be the ones

1092
01:08:10,040 --> 01:08:14,360
carrying the cost of risk. 
Where either the team is forking

1093
01:08:14,360 --> 01:08:17,120
out the premium for an insurance
policy for the player. 

1094
01:08:18,319 --> 01:08:20,840
You know, where you know, they, 
they can insure against lost 

1095
01:08:20,840 --> 01:08:24,120
future earnings. 
Or the team has something where,

1096
01:08:24,439 --> 01:08:28,439
hey, if this player is to get 
injured, you know, there's if 

1097
01:08:28,439 --> 01:08:32,960
you franchise tag in, then 
you're on the hook for market 

1098
01:08:32,960 --> 01:08:36,319
rate, you know, some, some 
amount, you know, near the 

1099
01:08:36,319 --> 01:08:39,920
franchise tag for three years. 
If this player gets injured 

1100
01:08:39,920 --> 01:08:43,880
during this season and doesn't 
get a contract commensurate with

1101
01:08:43,880 --> 01:08:47,520
that rate, something, something 
needs to be done to where teams 

1102
01:08:47,520 --> 01:08:49,600
can't basically hold a guy 
hostage like this. 

1103
01:08:49,600 --> 01:08:52,479
Who what what else is George 
Pickens supposed to do? 

1104
01:08:52,600 --> 01:08:56,560
Like all he did was the right 
that he he knew that he wasn't 

1105
01:08:56,560 --> 01:08:58,000
going to get paid what he's 
worth this year. 

1106
01:08:58,359 --> 01:09:00,880
He goes and bets on himself on a
new team. 

1107
01:09:01,279 --> 01:09:04,720
He's bawling out. 
He's playing out of his mind and

1108
01:09:05,000 --> 01:09:10,840
and now he is probably going to 
get held hostage here and not 

1109
01:09:10,840 --> 01:09:12,640
paid. 
I mean, the Cowboys wouldn't pay

1110
01:09:12,640 --> 01:09:15,560
Micah Parsons like I it would 
surprise me. 

1111
01:09:15,560 --> 01:09:19,479
Here's here's what's wild, 
Here's what's wild to me is that

1112
01:09:19,479 --> 01:09:23,040
the Cowboys could franchise tag 
Biggins twice. 

1113
01:09:23,560 --> 01:09:27,960
Yep. 
And then when he when he finally

1114
01:09:27,960 --> 01:09:33,359
hits the open market as a free 
agent after his rookie year or 

1115
01:09:33,359 --> 01:09:38,000
his rookie contract 2 franchise 
tags, he'll still only be 26. 

1116
01:09:38,880 --> 01:09:44,359
Jeez, I mean George Pickens God 
if he hits the open market. 

1117
01:09:45,000 --> 01:09:48,160
But yeah, but like, so I just 
looked up the, the, yeah, the 

1118
01:09:48,160 --> 01:09:53,359
franchise tag it's 25,000,000. 
Like that's that's below that's 

1119
01:09:53,359 --> 01:09:56,440
actually cheating the player. 
Like most of the time if you 

1120
01:09:56,560 --> 01:09:59,280
franchise like something that's 
more than they would get per 

1121
01:09:59,280 --> 01:10:02,360
year in a deal. 
But he I think he gets 30 

1122
01:10:02,360 --> 01:10:04,880
million easily. 
Yeah, the wide with the wide 

1123
01:10:04,880 --> 01:10:08,520
receiver market as it is, right?
Like, yeah, he, he's a 30. 9 for

1124
01:10:08,560 --> 01:10:13,880
somebody that young, too. 
Yeah, yeah, I mean, bring it, 

1125
01:10:13,880 --> 01:10:16,880
bring it back to, you know, how 
is this applicable for fantasy? 

1126
01:10:16,880 --> 01:10:19,160
Are we just going to, you know, 
circle jerk about how good 

1127
01:10:19,160 --> 01:10:21,160
George Pickens is? 
I mean, how it's applicable for 

1128
01:10:21,160 --> 01:10:24,560
fantasy is you just play this 
guy every single week. 

1129
01:10:24,600 --> 01:10:26,840
Like boost the George Pickens 
projection. 

1130
01:10:26,920 --> 01:10:29,880
The the ceiling is never 
accounted for in the George 

1131
01:10:29,880 --> 01:10:32,520
Pickens projection. 
Just know like, because this guy

1132
01:10:32,520 --> 01:10:34,720
can just go out and and dominate
there. 

1133
01:10:34,720 --> 01:10:38,480
There's not a defender in the 
league where he doesn't have 

1134
01:10:38,480 --> 01:10:41,640
just absolutely dominating them 
and making them look like they 

1135
01:10:41,640 --> 01:10:44,200
don't belong in the NFL in the 
range of outcomes. 

1136
01:10:45,200 --> 01:10:49,080
And he's been projected pretty 
low for like the last few weeks.

1137
01:10:49,080 --> 01:10:50,960
He's been projected relatively 
low. 

1138
01:10:51,600 --> 01:10:55,520
I I think it's more appropriate 
to have him and Lam pretty close

1139
01:10:55,520 --> 01:10:58,520
going forward. 
I I know that that might sound a

1140
01:10:58,520 --> 01:11:00,720
little reactionary. 
You know, George Pickens just 

1141
01:11:00,720 --> 01:11:02,600
had one big game. 
You you wouldn't be saying the 

1142
01:11:02,600 --> 01:11:04,840
same thing if Lamb caught that, 
you know, touchdown. 

1143
01:11:04,840 --> 01:11:06,880
He should have caught on 4th 
down there in the game. 

1144
01:11:06,880 --> 01:11:10,200
Like I just I think this is an 
offense with two alphas. 

1145
01:11:10,800 --> 01:11:13,200
They do different things. 
Lamb is going to be the one that

1146
01:11:13,200 --> 01:11:15,960
that should earn more target 
volume over the course of a, you

1147
01:11:15,960 --> 01:11:19,480
know, a season a larger sample, 
but Pickens is getting stuff 

1148
01:11:19,480 --> 01:11:22,800
deeper down the field. 
He, I mean, even the after the 

1149
01:11:22,800 --> 01:11:26,800
catch stuff, like I would have 
given that to Lamb in the past, 

1150
01:11:26,800 --> 01:11:31,520
but my God, like if you watched 
George Pickens last night after 

1151
01:11:31,520 --> 01:11:33,720
the catch, he looked like a man 
possessed. 

1152
01:11:33,720 --> 01:11:36,880
He's just untacklable. 
He he's awesome. 

1153
01:11:36,880 --> 01:11:39,640
He's one of my favorite players 
to watch. 

1154
01:11:40,600 --> 01:11:44,880
Definitely a guy where I wish 
the Cowboys had a chance to make

1155
01:11:44,880 --> 01:11:47,360
the playoffs. 
I'm I'm getting a Dez Bryant 

1156
01:11:47,440 --> 01:11:50,680
feel. 
Yeah, you said that last night 

1157
01:11:50,680 --> 01:11:51,480
too. 
That's a great. 

1158
01:11:51,480 --> 01:11:54,560
Ball in the air. 
That's a great comparison, yeah.

1159
01:11:54,560 --> 01:11:57,480
And then in the open field, he's
so dynamic. 

1160
01:11:58,400 --> 01:11:59,800
Yeah. 
So fast. 

1161
01:12:01,880 --> 01:12:03,920
Yeah. 
I mean, if you think back to 

1162
01:12:03,960 --> 01:12:07,840
what we saw for Steelers, George
Pickens, a lot of the Pickens 

1163
01:12:07,840 --> 01:12:12,360
big games, the Pickens big games
with the Steelers were one of 

1164
01:12:12,360 --> 01:12:14,040
two things. 
It was either George Pickens 

1165
01:12:14,040 --> 01:12:16,840
caught a slant in the middle of 
the field and then he just ran 

1166
01:12:16,840 --> 01:12:19,400
through everybody. 
He just like, oh, they were 

1167
01:12:19,400 --> 01:12:20,640
defenders. 
They were, they were in 

1168
01:12:20,640 --> 01:12:22,760
position, they had an angle. 
It didn't matter. 

1169
01:12:22,760 --> 01:12:27,080
This guy was just electric in 
open space and it you know, 

1170
01:12:27,440 --> 01:12:31,160
you're not going to catch him or
he catches, you know, this big 

1171
01:12:31,160 --> 01:12:35,160
deep ball down the sideline and 
you know, makes it incredible 

1172
01:12:35,160 --> 01:12:37,400
acrobatic catch. 
And that's how you get big 

1173
01:12:37,400 --> 01:12:42,240
Pickens games or you used to. 
Now it's volcano as dose like 

1174
01:12:42,240 --> 01:12:45,600
he'll he'll just do it all and 
the Cowboys throw the ball 

1175
01:12:45,600 --> 01:12:48,280
enough and and DAC is a good 
enough quarterback that he can 

1176
01:12:48,280 --> 01:12:54,120
feed Pickens all over the field.
So you just you have two do it 

1177
01:12:54,120 --> 01:12:58,760
all receivers in Pickens and 
Lamb, where George will more you

1178
01:12:58,800 --> 01:13:02,400
know, he'll he'll more so be the
downfield threat guy, but he can

1179
01:13:02,400 --> 01:13:05,320
operate underneath as well. 
And Lamb will more be the 

1180
01:13:05,320 --> 01:13:07,960
underneath an intermediate guy, 
but he can operate deep as well.

1181
01:13:08,440 --> 01:13:10,560
It's just it is such a dynamic 
duo. 

1182
01:13:11,160 --> 01:13:13,800
It just makes me really bummed 
that I'm not going to draft 

1183
01:13:13,800 --> 01:13:15,880
either of these guys in playoff 
basketball because the Cowboys 

1184
01:13:15,880 --> 01:13:17,400
are basically dead to make the 
playoffs. 

1185
01:13:17,400 --> 01:13:20,800
But man, talk about advance rate
pieces. 

1186
01:13:20,800 --> 01:13:23,560
Like even even if the Cowboys 
were making the playoffs, we 

1187
01:13:23,560 --> 01:13:25,240
know they're dead to to make a 
run. 

1188
01:13:25,240 --> 01:13:27,640
But man, you want like a one and
done. 

1189
01:13:27,640 --> 01:13:30,400
Like get my team through the 
first round type of player. 

1190
01:13:30,400 --> 01:13:32,520
Like George Pickens is pretty 
fun there. 

1191
01:13:32,520 --> 01:13:36,880
But all right, that's enough 
waxing poetic on George Pickens.

1192
01:13:38,960 --> 01:13:41,040
We talked about Ricky Pearsall a
little bit already. 

1193
01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:44,080
I had a note on him that he was 
pretty quiet in his first game 

1194
01:13:44,080 --> 01:13:46,480
back. 
He was out there, he just didn't

1195
01:13:46,480 --> 01:13:52,040
earn any targets. 
Not 9% Tiger Sprat run which is 

1196
01:13:52,120 --> 01:13:57,320
is is pretty low, pretty low. 
You had, you had 25% for Kittle,

1197
01:13:57,320 --> 01:14:01,480
you had 25% for Jennings, you 
had 25% for CMC. 

1198
01:14:03,520 --> 01:14:06,320
Not, not a lot left for the 
other guys. 

1199
01:14:07,480 --> 01:14:09,520
Do you think that's how it's 
going to go going forward, or do

1200
01:14:09,520 --> 01:14:12,040
you anticipate Pearsall being 
able to crack into that a little

1201
01:14:12,040 --> 01:14:18,360
more? 
And not really, no. 

1202
01:14:19,120 --> 01:14:21,960
I'm. 
I'm. 

1203
01:14:21,960 --> 01:14:25,840
With you, maybe he trades the 
odd game with Jennings where you

1204
01:14:25,840 --> 01:14:31,280
get a pearsall 25% game and 
Jennings is quiet and but not. 

1205
01:14:31,280 --> 01:14:32,800
Not as a matter of course, I 
don't think. 

1206
01:14:32,800 --> 01:14:36,760
Not as a regular thing. 
Yeah, and I mean, you know, 

1207
01:14:36,760 --> 01:14:38,840
maybe at some point Brandon Iuke
will come back. 

1208
01:14:38,880 --> 01:14:42,360
Probably not. 
But like, if Brandon Iuke comes 

1209
01:14:42,360 --> 01:14:46,520
back, I think it's curtains for 
for old Ricky here, at least in 

1210
01:14:46,520 --> 01:14:49,840
the short term, long, long term.
This guy sure could, you know, 

1211
01:14:50,080 --> 01:14:53,560
the the 49ers have a lot of 
aging stars that they'll need 

1212
01:14:53,560 --> 01:14:58,600
someone to to step up. 
I think he's, he'll probably be 

1213
01:14:58,600 --> 01:15:06,720
very strong in, you know, 2027. 
Yeah, I he, he, he strikes me as

1214
01:15:06,720 --> 01:15:08,840
just like a kind of a journeyman
type. 

1215
01:15:09,080 --> 01:15:13,040
He's going to stick in the NFL. 
He's going to play games like 

1216
01:15:14,840 --> 01:15:20,160
his teammate DeMarcus Robinson. 
Oh, oh, Oh no. 

1217
01:15:20,480 --> 01:15:23,200
Oh, poor Ricky. 
Why'd you have to? 

1218
01:15:23,240 --> 01:15:25,880
Maybe I'm being too harsh but. 
Jesus Christ. 

1219
01:15:25,880 --> 01:15:29,200
Like just there's a guy who 
plays in the NFL, plays in the 

1220
01:15:29,200 --> 01:15:31,920
NFL a long time, but maybe not 
fantasy relevant. 

1221
01:15:31,920 --> 01:15:35,600
Wow. 
Well, that's dark I. 

1222
01:15:35,600 --> 01:15:37,680
Maybe I'm a bit too harsh, too 
premature. 

1223
01:15:38,200 --> 01:15:41,120
I apologize to the listeners if 
you have Ricky Pearsall bags 

1224
01:15:41,480 --> 01:15:44,120
trick up chest set them with the
shadow around. 

1225
01:15:45,560 --> 01:15:49,240
The last note I had on this 
chart was just about Vikings 

1226
01:15:49,240 --> 01:15:51,680
past catchers. 
We we talked about it last week.

1227
01:15:52,720 --> 01:15:56,960
This is not AI was going to say 
this is not a victory lap. 

1228
01:15:56,960 --> 01:16:00,280
It's definitely a victory lap. 
It's not it's not soulless and 

1229
01:16:00,280 --> 01:16:03,720
it's not solely a victory lap. 
It is just a process thing. 

1230
01:16:03,720 --> 01:16:06,760
It is a keep your eye on this. 
Now. 

1231
01:16:06,880 --> 01:16:10,840
Do I think the JJ McCarthy 
projection should be closer to 

1232
01:16:10,840 --> 01:16:14,680
correct, you know, in in future 
weeks going forward than they 

1233
01:16:14,840 --> 01:16:16,360
compared to how they were the 
last two weeks? 

1234
01:16:16,720 --> 01:16:20,080
Probably like they probably 
should be more correct, right? 

1235
01:16:20,600 --> 01:16:23,200
But it's just a keep an eye on 
it kind of thing. 

1236
01:16:23,640 --> 01:16:28,040
If you're still seeing Vikings 
projecting really well, that is 

1237
01:16:28,040 --> 01:16:30,120
probably a spot where you can 
just go in there. 

1238
01:16:30,120 --> 01:16:33,080
And we talked about it before, 
like, hey, it's small sample 

1239
01:16:33,080 --> 01:16:34,520
stuff. 
It you know, it can be hard to 

1240
01:16:34,520 --> 01:16:36,720
trust the data there. 
That's OK. 

1241
01:16:36,840 --> 01:16:39,120
We've we've watched every JJ 
McCarthy Rep. 

1242
01:16:39,320 --> 01:16:41,000
I've watched every JJ McCarthy 
pass. 

1243
01:16:41,040 --> 01:16:45,120
I, I know what I need to know. 
And I, I know that I don't need 

1244
01:16:45,120 --> 01:16:48,840
to spend American dollars 
betting that JJ McCarthy is 

1245
01:16:48,840 --> 01:16:52,320
going to provide ceiling 
outcomes for his pass catchers. 

1246
01:16:52,320 --> 01:16:55,400
That's just not a thing that I 
need to be doing because the 

1247
01:16:55,400 --> 01:16:57,560
rate not saying it's not 
possible, right. 

1248
01:16:57,560 --> 01:16:59,920
We saw Jalen Naylor have a 
massive game with them like it 

1249
01:16:59,920 --> 01:17:03,000
just Justin Jefferson could have
good games with them. 

1250
01:17:04,080 --> 01:17:06,440
The it's not to say that those 
things aren't possible. 

1251
01:17:06,640 --> 01:17:10,080
It's just the rate that they 
occur is very likely going to be

1252
01:17:10,080 --> 01:17:12,240
over represented. 
If you see good projections for 

1253
01:17:12,240 --> 01:17:15,560
these guys like that's that's 
all that's all we're saying. 

1254
01:17:16,360 --> 01:17:19,720
So just keep an eye on on 
Vikings projections going 

1255
01:17:19,720 --> 01:17:22,080
forward. 
It's an easy one to add some add

1256
01:17:22,080 --> 01:17:28,360
some value for yourself. 
Yeah, he he's an easy 1 to get 

1257
01:17:28,360 --> 01:17:30,560
off of. 
Like I'm looking there. 

1258
01:17:31,000 --> 01:17:35,120
So he's $5000 in DraftKings 
Trevor Lawrence, 5100 Bryce 

1259
01:17:35,120 --> 01:17:41,040
Young, 5200 Jacoby Percent 5300.
So Jacoby percent all day and 

1260
01:17:41,040 --> 01:17:46,520
and you know twice on Sundays 
over JJ McCarthy my God like the

1261
01:17:46,600 --> 01:17:48,040
the. 
Price difference between Young 

1262
01:17:48,040 --> 01:17:50,840
is is Monday, he's Monday. 
So OK, yeah. 

1263
01:17:51,720 --> 01:17:57,360
But yeah, it it, it's $300 more 
more to go from Trisha McCarthy 

1264
01:17:57,480 --> 01:18:03,560
to Jacoby Percent. 
One of the another one. 

1265
01:18:03,640 --> 01:18:06,320
I didn't have a note on this 
one, but here's one where you 

1266
01:18:06,320 --> 01:18:08,600
can go ahead and save yourself 
from the projection industrial 

1267
01:18:08,600 --> 01:18:10,760
complex. 
Darnell Mooney is going to have 

1268
01:18:10,760 --> 01:18:13,400
a monster projection with Kyle 
Pitts out. 

1269
01:18:14,240 --> 01:18:16,560
You can just whatever it is 
divided by two. 

1270
01:18:16,680 --> 01:18:21,440
I I promise you, whatever it is 
divided by two, you're going to 

1271
01:18:21,440 --> 01:18:24,400
do OK. 
Like don't, don't do it to 

1272
01:18:24,400 --> 01:18:26,520
yourself. 
I'm trying to save you dollars. 

1273
01:18:28,760 --> 01:18:35,400
So Darnell Mooney, 4800. 
Meanwhile, Juan Jennings, 4900. 

1274
01:18:36,680 --> 01:18:39,600
You I bet you you can divide the
Darnell Mooney projection by 

1275
01:18:39,600 --> 01:18:41,080
two. 
Run your Sims. 

1276
01:18:41,080 --> 01:18:42,680
You'll still get some Darnell 
Mooney in there. 

1277
01:18:42,920 --> 01:18:45,120
You'll just get a much more 
reasonable amount of Darnell 

1278
01:18:45,120 --> 01:18:48,960
Mooney. 
He's going to, he's going to 

1279
01:18:48,960 --> 01:18:51,440
project for so much. 
There's no one there, you know, 

1280
01:18:53,360 --> 01:18:55,840
and he was getting targets. 
He just can't catch them. 

1281
01:18:56,240 --> 01:18:58,360
So that's, that is the hard 
part. 

1282
01:18:59,120 --> 01:19:03,440
You know that if you don't catch
the targets, they actually don't

1283
01:19:03,440 --> 01:19:07,920
count for any fantasy points. 
Xavier Wordy, 4700. 

1284
01:19:08,800 --> 01:19:12,960
Not. 
Interested Josh Downs, 4500. 

1285
01:19:14,320 --> 01:19:17,280
We'll we'll talk about Xavier 
Worthy on a future chart. 

1286
01:19:17,320 --> 01:19:20,400
There's a reason he's not on the
85 to 100% routes run guy. 

1287
01:19:24,200 --> 01:19:28,840
Got it. 
Ready to move on. 

1288
01:19:29,360 --> 01:19:37,320
Yeah, let's go to the next one. 
Next chart and so your first 

1289
01:19:37,320 --> 01:19:41,560
note was at was was our quiver 
boy, which is Team Mac. 

1290
01:19:42,280 --> 01:19:45,040
We're finally, finally big game 
for team Mac. 

1291
01:19:45,880 --> 01:19:50,880
And what's crazy is for as much 
as we were complaining and I was

1292
01:19:50,880 --> 01:19:54,480
complaining, you were 
complaining very upset about the

1293
01:19:54,480 --> 01:20:01,400
team Mac production. 
He's actually wide receiver 9 in

1294
01:20:02,560 --> 01:20:07,120
after after week 11. 
So like I'm I'm pretty sure he 

1295
01:20:07,120 --> 01:20:09,240
was drafted lower than wide 
receiver 9. 

1296
01:20:09,960 --> 01:20:15,240
So even with the the garbage no 
good rice young games like he's 

1297
01:20:15,240 --> 01:20:19,240
still doing pretty good. 
He just had so many targets and 

1298
01:20:19,240 --> 01:20:22,440
so much volume that he's been 
able to produce like a very 

1299
01:20:22,440 --> 01:20:26,640
consistent floor. 
And so and yes, he's been very 

1300
01:20:26,640 --> 01:20:30,800
good for how it like works for 
us and best of all, and how many

1301
01:20:30,800 --> 01:20:35,480
points he's adding, he's adding.
He's he's not quite as good as 

1302
01:20:35,480 --> 01:20:38,960
his like total raw counting stat
accumulation looks. 

1303
01:20:39,840 --> 01:20:42,760
But he's also someone where I'm 
very excited down the stretch 

1304
01:20:42,760 --> 01:20:47,040
where if you can get a if you 
can just get Bryce young to 

1305
01:20:47,040 --> 01:20:50,640
piece it together for a few 
games, just like last season and

1306
01:20:50,640 --> 01:20:53,120
they were moving, they're moving
T Mac around more. 

1307
01:20:53,120 --> 01:20:57,160
They're having to play more in 
the slot and outside, which I 

1308
01:20:57,160 --> 01:21:00,880
think is how you should use a 
player like he's you know, he's 

1309
01:21:00,880 --> 01:21:05,480
like a Drake London plus like he
he can do more than Drake 

1310
01:21:05,480 --> 01:21:07,040
London. 
Drake London is not much of A 

1311
01:21:07,040 --> 01:21:12,120
downfield threat where T Mac is 
more of like a he's like a more 

1312
01:21:12,120 --> 01:21:14,680
complete Drake London with like 
a little bit of Mike Evans 

1313
01:21:14,760 --> 01:21:18,040
rolled into him. 
Like he's a he can do it all. 

1314
01:21:18,360 --> 01:21:21,720
So he is the exact type of 
player that you want to move 

1315
01:21:21,720 --> 01:21:24,560
around like a, a queen chess 
piece, you know, like like they 

1316
01:21:24,560 --> 01:21:28,160
do with JSN or CD Lamb, like 
Puga, those types of guys. 

1317
01:21:29,040 --> 01:21:32,080
I mean, Puga doesn't really do a
ton of stuff outside. 

1318
01:21:32,080 --> 01:21:35,640
I, I think the ceiling is so, so
high on guys like this though, 

1319
01:21:36,320 --> 01:21:39,960
where they can just become so 
much of an offense because they 

1320
01:21:39,960 --> 01:21:43,720
can basically they can be two 
different types of players for 

1321
01:21:43,720 --> 01:21:45,800
that offense. 
They they can just occupy 

1322
01:21:45,800 --> 01:21:50,640
multiple roles as one person. 
So pretty exciting for him. 

1323
01:21:51,200 --> 01:21:54,920
I mean, my, my prayer is that 
you get a new quarterback before

1324
01:21:54,920 --> 01:21:57,160
next season. 
It's not Bryce Young going into 

1325
01:21:57,160 --> 01:22:03,400
next year and ideally not Kyler 
Murray because I I think that 

1326
01:22:03,680 --> 01:22:07,160
Kyler Murray would probably be 
the absolute nut worse thing you

1327
01:22:07,200 --> 01:22:09,280
could get for T Mac. 
Yeah, you're right. 

1328
01:22:09,400 --> 01:22:13,000
Talk, talk about another team 
that that can probably take on 

1329
01:22:13,000 --> 01:22:16,080
the Keller Murray contract. 
It probably is the Panthers 

1330
01:22:16,840 --> 01:22:17,920
which. 
Yeah. 

1331
01:22:17,960 --> 01:22:22,080
I don't know why you go from 
Bryce Young to Keller Murray. 

1332
01:22:22,080 --> 01:22:26,480
It's like, you know that guy who
we're replacing that's bringing 

1333
01:22:26,480 --> 01:22:29,320
in the same that a very similar 
type of player. 

1334
01:22:29,640 --> 01:22:34,920
Just an older model, right? 
Yeah, I mean, probably still 

1335
01:22:34,920 --> 01:22:40,320
faster, but you're not. 
You're not really playing Kotler

1336
01:22:40,320 --> 01:22:45,880
for his rushing anymore. 
Yeah, yeah, just, I mean, I 

1337
01:22:45,880 --> 01:22:49,400
don't really know who you're 
hoping for, but you want some 

1338
01:22:49,400 --> 01:22:52,360
journeyman QB? 
I mean, you want Jacoby. 

1339
01:22:52,440 --> 01:22:54,880
Percent. 
Yeah, I don't I don't know that 

1340
01:22:54,880 --> 01:22:59,400
Jacoby percent is I mean, maybe 
maybe he's on the market. 

1341
01:22:59,480 --> 01:23:00,880
Yeah. 
That that whole situation is 

1342
01:23:00,880 --> 01:23:02,800
going to be interesting. 
There's no way a team goes 

1343
01:23:02,800 --> 01:23:06,960
within his plan A though. 
I mean, God, can we can we get 

1344
01:23:06,960 --> 01:23:09,000
Jameis? 
Can we get Jameis? 

1345
01:23:10,520 --> 01:23:13,720
That'd be so fun that. 
'D be pretty good. 

1346
01:23:14,600 --> 01:23:16,440
No NFL team will ever do that 
for us. 

1347
01:23:16,440 --> 01:23:19,760
So they hate fun. 
They hate they. 

1348
01:23:20,440 --> 01:23:24,520
Hate fun interceptions? 
Yeah, that that part as well. 

1349
01:23:25,600 --> 01:23:29,080
The other note I had on this 
chart, Christian Watson is 

1350
01:23:29,080 --> 01:23:31,520
starting to become pretty 
interesting. 

1351
01:23:31,520 --> 01:23:35,640
He looks like he might be taking
over the Packers receiver room 

1352
01:23:35,720 --> 01:23:38,000
as the alpha here. 
He's, you know, continuing to 

1353
01:23:38,000 --> 01:23:41,880
see his role grow. 
He's getting, you know, as you 

1354
01:23:41,880 --> 01:23:44,520
would expect for Christian 
Watson, he's getting targets 

1355
01:23:44,720 --> 01:23:48,000
downfield. 
Romeo, Dobbs and Watson are like

1356
01:23:48,000 --> 01:23:51,920
the clear 2 leaders in the 
clubhouse right now as far as 

1357
01:23:51,920 --> 01:23:55,520
opportunity for the Packers, but
they really don't have anyone. 

1358
01:23:55,560 --> 01:23:59,000
I mean, Luke Mustrick, yeah. 
Watson actually led the team in 

1359
01:23:59,000 --> 01:24:03,680
in routes this week. 
Led the team. 

1360
01:24:03,680 --> 01:24:07,800
In routes and Luke Mustrick gets
benched on TV on Wix doesn't do 

1361
01:24:07,800 --> 01:24:12,480
anything like. 
Dallas was ahead in targets and 

1362
01:24:12,480 --> 01:24:19,160
but Watson he gots down the 
field so he he led the team in 

1363
01:24:19,160 --> 01:24:24,800
our yards routes at 80% and that
looks pretty. 

1364
01:24:25,320 --> 01:24:26,480
Good. 
I think when you couple that 

1365
01:24:26,480 --> 01:24:29,960
with the Josh Jacobs injury 
where you know, he he's, you 

1366
01:24:29,960 --> 01:24:33,480
know, probably day-to-day right 
now, you just might end up with 

1367
01:24:33,480 --> 01:24:36,080
the Packers having to learn more
into the passing game, which 

1368
01:24:36,080 --> 01:24:38,480
like, you know, Lafleur is 
probably going to have a heart 

1369
01:24:38,480 --> 01:24:40,320
attack. 
Just he's like having cold 

1370
01:24:40,320 --> 01:24:43,400
sweats at night, not sleeping 
well, thinking about like, Oh my

1371
01:24:43,400 --> 01:24:46,040
God, I might have to pass above 
expectation. 

1372
01:24:46,080 --> 01:24:50,840
Like this is really scary for 
me, but I think if they do, 

1373
01:24:51,000 --> 01:24:53,360
Christian Watson would stand to 
benefit because he seems like 

1374
01:24:53,360 --> 01:24:56,160
the best guy in the in the 
receiver. 

1375
01:24:56,640 --> 01:25:00,920
Room Prairie yards flair, 
though, where his A dot in the 

1376
01:25:00,920 --> 01:25:05,520
four games he's been back is 
1820830217. 

1377
01:25:06,400 --> 01:25:10,360
So it, it, it's probably one of 
those things where he's going to

1378
01:25:10,360 --> 01:25:17,720
hit for a massive week, but I, I
guess he had two touchdowns. 

1379
01:25:17,720 --> 01:25:23,640
So last week was was that 
massive week And oh, but maybe 

1380
01:25:23,640 --> 01:25:28,720
I'm So what I'm saying is going 
to hit for massive yardage, but 

1381
01:25:28,760 --> 01:25:31,880
he's going to be pretty volatile
week to week given that he's 

1382
01:25:31,880 --> 01:25:34,200
like he's got that kind of a 
dot. 

1383
01:25:34,760 --> 01:25:37,840
Yeah. 
But that that Matthew Golden 

1384
01:25:38,200 --> 01:25:42,320
like, absolutely cooked. 
Yeah, it's, it's curtains. 

1385
01:25:42,920 --> 01:25:46,840
With the with EU and the O 
spelling of that of that phrase.

1386
01:25:47,840 --> 01:25:49,800
Yeah, Matthew Golden it it is 
curtains. 

1387
01:25:50,920 --> 01:25:53,840
We were we were doing playoff 
basketball rankings and talking 

1388
01:25:53,840 --> 01:25:58,320
through Matthew Golden and you 
know, the normal like 

1389
01:25:58,320 --> 01:26:01,680
development curve and 
opportunity for rookies is that 

1390
01:26:02,200 --> 01:26:06,160
down the stretch you'd expect 
them to get more opportunity, 

1391
01:26:06,200 --> 01:26:09,560
you know, see their snaps arise.
Matthew Golden is going other. 

1392
01:26:09,560 --> 01:26:12,360
Way more trust from the coaching
staff, right? 

1393
01:26:12,400 --> 01:26:15,080
And they're like, yeah, we're 
we're giving this guy a good 

1394
01:26:15,080 --> 01:26:17,280
role because we drafted him, we 
like him. 

1395
01:26:18,040 --> 01:26:21,800
And then the more they save him,
the less opportunity he gets. 

1396
01:26:22,200 --> 01:26:25,440
Yeah, that, yeah, Matthew Golden
is doing the exact opposite 

1397
01:26:25,440 --> 01:26:29,400
where he got opportunity out of 
the gate because of the draft 

1398
01:26:29,400 --> 01:26:33,640
capital and then he is playing 
his way into less opportunity. 

1399
01:26:34,760 --> 01:26:37,280
No, no way to see this coming, 
unfortunately. 

1400
01:26:37,280 --> 01:26:39,640
How? 
How could anyone have seen that 

1401
01:26:39,960 --> 01:26:45,120
Matthew Golden might not have 
been as as good as the the 

1402
01:26:45,120 --> 01:26:46,880
Packers thought that he was? 
I mean, who? 

1403
01:26:46,960 --> 01:26:50,800
Who? 
I think the other thing, no. 

1404
01:26:51,000 --> 01:26:56,080
Longer getting all the routes. 
Yeah, I think the other thing to

1405
01:26:56,120 --> 01:26:58,960
piggyback off of the Christian 
Watson thing is it does make 

1406
01:26:58,960 --> 01:27:02,480
Jane Reed kind of interesting 
for playoff basketball where the

1407
01:27:02,480 --> 01:27:04,840
Packers are just this is kind of
a vacuum. 

1408
01:27:04,840 --> 01:27:08,480
Like someone can step forward 
and and claim lots of 

1409
01:27:08,480 --> 01:27:12,040
opportunity here. 
I think it's it's always going 

1410
01:27:12,040 --> 01:27:16,360
to be a spread out room, but it 
has been consolidating more 

1411
01:27:16,880 --> 01:27:19,480
because the guys they've been 
spreading it out to stink. 

1412
01:27:19,640 --> 01:27:26,240
And so just by by nature of, you
know, these players not 

1413
01:27:26,240 --> 01:27:29,480
developing in the way that the 
Packers, you know, thought they 

1414
01:27:29,480 --> 01:27:32,800
might, I think that you've got a
little bit of a talent vacuum 

1415
01:27:32,800 --> 01:27:35,520
here. 
And so if someone were to step 

1416
01:27:35,520 --> 01:27:39,720
up and really, you know, have a 
big breakout game, like if 

1417
01:27:39,720 --> 01:27:43,440
Christian Watson continues this 
trajectory and starts converting

1418
01:27:43,440 --> 01:27:47,000
these area yards into more 
consistent games, or Jayden Reid

1419
01:27:47,000 --> 01:27:50,560
comes back and, and looks like I
would expect Jayden Reid to 

1420
01:27:50,600 --> 01:27:53,560
because I, I think he's clearly 
the most talented. 

1421
01:27:54,000 --> 01:27:56,920
I think Jayden Reid is the best 
player on offense on the 

1422
01:27:56,920 --> 01:27:59,680
Packers. 
Like I, I think, you know, he, 

1423
01:28:00,480 --> 01:28:04,920
if he was on a different team, 
we would, we would think totally

1424
01:28:04,920 --> 01:28:09,560
different about Jayden Reid. 
Jayden Reid on the Chiefs would 

1425
01:28:09,560 --> 01:28:14,280
be like Rashi Rice. 
He yeah, he might be coming back

1426
01:28:14,280 --> 01:28:14,920
soon. 
Too. 

1427
01:28:15,360 --> 01:28:17,560
Yeah, no, he's his. 
His window is supposed to be 

1428
01:28:17,560 --> 01:28:23,320
active. 
At the floor, yeah, Lefleur was 

1429
01:28:23,320 --> 01:28:27,000
asked, Hey, are, are you guys 
planning to activate him 

1430
01:28:27,000 --> 01:28:29,680
yesterday? 
And he said, I, I I really hope 

1431
01:28:29,680 --> 01:28:31,760
so. 
We'll know more in the next two 

1432
01:28:31,760 --> 01:28:35,640
days. 
And then yesterday at Jayden. 

1433
01:28:35,640 --> 01:28:40,800
Sorry, not yesterday. 
Today at 4:34, Jayden Reed 

1434
01:28:40,800 --> 01:28:42,800
posted a picture of himself on 
Instagram. 

1435
01:28:43,520 --> 01:28:45,880
Like he, he's putting on it 
where he's putting on his 

1436
01:28:45,880 --> 01:28:47,360
helmet. 
He's about to walk onto the 

1437
01:28:47,360 --> 01:28:49,240
field is what it looks like to 
me. 

1438
01:28:50,000 --> 01:28:56,160
And so we, we, we could be 
getting Jayden Reed down the 

1439
01:28:56,160 --> 01:28:58,120
stretch. 
I, I need it. 

1440
01:28:58,160 --> 01:29:00,880
That would be very good. 
I need it so badly, Draco. 

1441
01:29:01,000 --> 01:29:05,240
I I just just to, you know, have
the validation to know that we 

1442
01:29:05,240 --> 01:29:11,120
were right about Jayden Reed. 
All right. 

1443
01:29:13,280 --> 01:29:15,320
Oh, OK. 
I had a couple of good notes on 

1444
01:29:15,320 --> 01:29:17,960
this one, actually. 
So Troy Franklin, just we 

1445
01:29:17,960 --> 01:29:20,800
talked. 
Sorry, go ahead. 

1446
01:29:21,680 --> 01:29:23,720
No, you have importance of. 
I haven't known her for anything

1447
01:29:23,720 --> 01:29:29,320
to say and Garrett Wilson just 
tweeted out any good in Madden 

1448
01:29:29,320 --> 01:29:31,160
leagues these days. 
So we know. 

1449
01:29:31,160 --> 01:29:34,000
Where his head is at. 
Yeah, he is not. 

1450
01:29:34,000 --> 01:29:35,760
He's not playing another snap 
this season. 

1451
01:29:37,360 --> 01:29:41,680
Troy Franklin, the flipping is, 
is complete. 

1452
01:29:41,960 --> 01:29:44,520
We talked about this I think a 
little bit last week where 

1453
01:29:45,080 --> 01:29:47,400
between Franklin and Sutton, 
like there's a flipping 

1454
01:29:47,400 --> 01:29:48,920
happening. 
The flipping has happened. 

1455
01:29:49,200 --> 01:29:52,960
Troy Franklin and Sutton are 
basically, I would say they're, 

1456
01:29:53,160 --> 01:29:57,640
you know, they're equal parts 
that it's not even 1A1B, it's 

1457
01:29:57,640 --> 01:30:02,600
just one A1A and what calling 
either of them 1A is probably 

1458
01:30:03,640 --> 01:30:07,200
overselling it a little bit. 
They're both one BS or even 2, 

1459
01:30:07,200 --> 01:30:10,400
as you know, as far as how many 
fantasy points they're actually 

1460
01:30:10,400 --> 01:30:13,960
going to score. 
But Troy Franklin, it really 

1461
01:30:13,960 --> 01:30:16,680
does appear like the the 
connection with Bonex, the 

1462
01:30:16,680 --> 01:30:20,480
shower narrative means a lot. 
Sean Payton also seems to like 

1463
01:30:20,480 --> 01:30:22,880
him. 
But yeah, Troy Franklin and 

1464
01:30:22,880 --> 01:30:24,360
Courtland Sutton are the same 
thing. 

1465
01:30:24,360 --> 01:30:29,080
Now, I think that's a pretty 
important thing to know for 

1466
01:30:29,080 --> 01:30:31,000
playoff basketball, because I 
would. 

1467
01:30:31,440 --> 01:30:33,480
I haven't. 
I can't remember off the top of 

1468
01:30:33,480 --> 01:30:36,840
my head what the ADP is. 
I actually can pull this up 

1469
01:30:36,840 --> 01:30:43,160
here. 
But you know, the Broncos 97% to

1470
01:30:43,160 --> 01:30:47,600
make the playoffs and 25% to get
the by strong, strong 

1471
01:30:47,600 --> 01:30:50,320
probability of making it to the 
conference championship as well.

1472
01:30:50,320 --> 01:30:53,720
So they're definitely A-Team. 
That's squarely on the menu. 

1473
01:30:54,680 --> 01:30:56,960
Troy Franklin, ADP. 
Sorry. 

1474
01:30:56,960 --> 01:31:01,880
Before, before you start that, 
MI just want everyone to know 

1475
01:31:01,880 --> 01:31:05,560
that those are proprietary 
playoff probabilities from the 

1476
01:31:05,560 --> 01:31:09,640
Lego model that you're getting. 
Yeah, a sneak peek on you. 

1477
01:31:09,680 --> 01:31:11,640
You don't know how lucky you are
to be getting that kind of 

1478
01:31:11,640 --> 01:31:13,360
insight. 
Thank you, Draco. 

1479
01:31:13,360 --> 01:31:15,960
Draco is is out here plugging 
for me. 

1480
01:31:15,960 --> 01:31:18,880
I'm just, I'm just out here in 
the, you know, the back end 

1481
01:31:18,920 --> 01:31:22,680
reading off of the SIM results 
and just sharing that with the 

1482
01:31:22,680 --> 01:31:26,480
world. 
But so yeah, I think the 

1483
01:31:26,480 --> 01:31:30,080
Cortland Sutton, Troy Franklin 
ADP is super inefficient right 

1484
01:31:30,080 --> 01:31:31,560
now. 
Sutton ADP of 40. 

1485
01:31:31,560 --> 01:31:36,040
Troy Franklin, ADP of 58, the 
whole the Broncos AD PS in 

1486
01:31:36,040 --> 01:31:40,360
general are just bad. 
I mean, the for the day one AD 

1487
01:31:40,400 --> 01:31:43,560
PS are just atrocious. 
Like they they have nothing to 

1488
01:31:43,560 --> 01:31:46,720
do with how you actually should 
be drafting these players. 

1489
01:31:46,720 --> 01:31:50,800
Like there's some correlation 
with the order in which these 

1490
01:31:50,800 --> 01:31:53,200
players should go, but it's not 
strong. 

1491
01:31:53,800 --> 01:31:57,760
It's it's quite poor. 
So if you are drafting playoff 

1492
01:31:57,760 --> 01:32:01,280
basketball already and you know 
what you're doing, you're 

1493
01:32:01,600 --> 01:32:04,040
probably getting getting it in 
pretty good right here. 

1494
01:32:04,040 --> 01:32:07,080
But yeah, Troy Franklin, 
Cortland Sutton, that is a spot 

1495
01:32:07,080 --> 01:32:11,280
where the market is super off. 
Very easy to take advantage of 

1496
01:32:11,280 --> 01:32:16,080
that. 
OK, the last player note I had 

1497
01:32:16,120 --> 01:32:20,400
on this chart, Jameson Williams,
he remains involved. 

1498
01:32:22,280 --> 01:32:26,040
Jamo, he's over here. 
His weighted targets per route 

1499
01:32:26,040 --> 01:32:31,440
run for the year is just above 
40%, but it's trending upwards. 

1500
01:32:32,720 --> 01:32:34,640
You know, ever since Dan 
Campbell took over the play 

1501
01:32:34,640 --> 01:32:37,600
calling, Jamo just continues to 
get fed. 

1502
01:32:38,640 --> 01:32:44,040
I've got to think that continues
with the laporta to IRI mean the

1503
01:32:44,360 --> 01:32:48,400
we're just adding data points to
the trend and and it is 

1504
01:32:48,400 --> 01:32:53,280
continuing. 
So the Jamo Faders might might 

1505
01:32:53,280 --> 01:32:56,720
be in for a world of hurt come 
the fantasy playoffs here. 

1506
01:32:58,720 --> 01:33:02,040
But yeah, so here's here's the 
other side of it. 

1507
01:33:02,840 --> 01:33:07,320
And he was only at a 16% targets
per outrun in week 11. 

1508
01:33:08,320 --> 01:33:13,960
It just the way that they got 
him targets made sense in the 

1509
01:33:13,960 --> 01:33:18,840
context of Jameson Williams. 
It's like it's like, I think his

1510
01:33:18,880 --> 01:33:24,960
his use, like his number of 
targets and and that was 

1511
01:33:25,160 --> 01:33:31,600
probably it was similar his area
yards and not too far off other 

1512
01:33:31,600 --> 01:33:36,120
games. 
But they're just with Dan 

1513
01:33:36,120 --> 01:33:38,840
Campbell calling the plays, 
they're plays that makes sense. 

1514
01:33:39,760 --> 01:33:42,520
And obviously that's that's an 
emphasis of like, OK, this is a 

1515
01:33:42,520 --> 01:33:44,680
guy we just paid a lot of money 
to because we think he's really 

1516
01:33:44,680 --> 01:33:47,440
good. 
Let's let's get let's when we 

1517
01:33:47,440 --> 01:33:50,760
when we get the ball to Jameson 
and let's make sure that that 

1518
01:33:50,760 --> 01:33:52,880
makes sense. 
And that's, I think that's 

1519
01:33:52,880 --> 01:33:56,720
what's happening. 
One one note I'd have on the the

1520
01:33:56,720 --> 01:33:59,080
target share for the week 11 
game. 

1521
01:33:59,600 --> 01:34:03,320
There's a lot of targets that 
are in that data that aren't 

1522
01:34:03,640 --> 01:34:06,240
aren't targets. 
Not not just to Jameson, just in

1523
01:34:06,240 --> 01:34:08,280
general. 
There's Jared Goff pass attempts

1524
01:34:08,280 --> 01:34:12,480
that I, if you were like, hey 
sack, I want you to make me the 

1525
01:34:12,480 --> 01:34:16,680
proprietary sack data set where 
I get the absolute maximum 

1526
01:34:16,680 --> 01:34:19,720
signal out of every. 
You're gonna chart every game 

1527
01:34:19,760 --> 01:34:23,320
and tell me I would straight 
remove like 15 of the pass 

1528
01:34:23,320 --> 01:34:26,000
attempts from this game because 
they're not even real. 

1529
01:34:26,360 --> 01:34:29,320
They're not. 
Jared Goff was throwing it and 

1530
01:34:29,320 --> 01:34:33,520
in his mind he thought there was
0.0% chance this was ever going 

1531
01:34:33,520 --> 01:34:35,800
to be a completion. 
It was I got to show up near 

1532
01:34:35,800 --> 01:34:38,680
this guy, so I don't draw 
intentional grounding. 

1533
01:34:38,800 --> 01:34:42,200
Yep, exactly. 
And so the way you would chart 

1534
01:34:42,200 --> 01:34:45,080
that if you were like trying to 
derive maximum signal from this 

1535
01:34:45,080 --> 01:34:48,000
and the, you know, the 
statistics that we look at for a

1536
01:34:48,000 --> 01:34:50,440
lot of these things like targets
per route run and things like 

1537
01:34:50,440 --> 01:34:53,640
that, you would just say that's 
not even a target, it's not even

1538
01:34:53,640 --> 01:34:56,080
an attempt. 
You know, it's a drop back that 

1539
01:34:56,520 --> 01:34:58,480
that ended in something. 
Throw away. 

1540
01:34:58,800 --> 01:35:02,760
Yeah, I, I mean, yeah, yeah, 
results in a throw away doesn't 

1541
01:35:02,760 --> 01:35:05,560
even go into the, the overall 
like attempts volume. 

1542
01:35:05,640 --> 01:35:09,880
So just a, a thing worth noting.
I mean, if you look at the the 

1543
01:35:09,880 --> 01:35:13,840
box score for that game, Amaral 
has 12 targets in the real like 

1544
01:35:14,360 --> 01:35:17,200
real honest to God targets. 
He had a chance to catch 5. 

1545
01:35:17,440 --> 01:35:21,720
You know, there's, there's like 
7 of them that aren't just not, 

1546
01:35:21,720 --> 01:35:24,880
not even a prayer. 
You know, like I, I would have 

1547
01:35:24,880 --> 01:35:28,720
let you bet me, you know, 10,000
to one that that target is not 

1548
01:35:28,720 --> 01:35:31,960
getting caught on, you know, 
seven of those and, and I would 

1549
01:35:31,960 --> 01:35:36,960
have taken all your money. 
But all right, I think that's 

1550
01:35:36,960 --> 01:35:40,920
the last guy on this chart. 
And and we do have a couple on 

1551
01:35:40,920 --> 01:35:46,080
the the very lowest routes run 
chart here. 

1552
01:35:48,160 --> 01:35:51,440
Yeah. 
So moving at, moving on. 

1553
01:35:52,800 --> 01:35:55,880
Oh man, a lot of guys on here, a
lot of guys. 

1554
01:35:55,920 --> 01:35:59,640
You know one thing that I notice
here is I almost want wonder if 

1555
01:35:59,640 --> 01:36:05,880
we should push the 65 to 70% 
guys onto this chart. 

1556
01:36:05,960 --> 01:36:09,720
Yeah, yeah, because. 
Like I'm like, why, why? 

1557
01:36:09,720 --> 01:36:14,200
And I know, I know I'm speaking 
at at a turn here, but why do we

1558
01:36:14,200 --> 01:36:19,000
have the 65% to 70% guys right 
next to the 40 to 50% guys? 

1559
01:36:20,400 --> 01:36:27,720
Yeah, as I'm looking at all 
these guys, I'm trying to even 

1560
01:36:27,720 --> 01:36:33,040
think like do we just nuke the, 
do we get rid of the 40 to 50% 

1561
01:36:33,040 --> 01:36:34,280
guys too? 
Yeah. 

1562
01:36:34,280 --> 01:36:35,960
Yeah, yeah. 
It's just not relevant. 

1563
01:36:36,440 --> 01:36:40,640
I mean, I, I, I like that for 
the rookies, but at this stage 

1564
01:36:40,640 --> 01:36:42,960
of the game, like. 
And the start. 

1565
01:36:43,120 --> 01:36:45,520
Part of the season, we we, we 
take that out for sure, yeah. 

1566
01:36:45,600 --> 01:36:47,760
Yeah, it might be something 
we're at the start of next year.

1567
01:36:47,760 --> 01:36:51,160
We still keep the 40 to 50s, but
after we get through week, you 

1568
01:36:51,160 --> 01:36:55,360
know, 910, we just cut, cut out 
those bottom guys and and make 

1569
01:36:55,360 --> 01:36:56,480
this chart a little more 
readable. 

1570
01:36:56,480 --> 01:37:01,440
I think that's a good call. 
So I've got 4 four players I 

1571
01:37:01,440 --> 01:37:05,560
wanted to talk about here. 
Three are like positive vibes 

1572
01:37:05,640 --> 01:37:09,480
ish 1 is like, you know, barely 
could be considered positive 

1573
01:37:09,480 --> 01:37:11,400
vibes. 
The other one's a negative vibes

1574
01:37:11,400 --> 01:37:15,400
which you want to start with. 
OK, let's let's get our our, our

1575
01:37:15,400 --> 01:37:19,800
tough medicine, our our tough to
hear medicine out of the way. 

1576
01:37:20,560 --> 01:37:22,600
Sorry man that that went up the 
good vibes. 

1577
01:37:23,120 --> 01:37:24,600
Here it goes. 
We're going to RIP the Band-Aid 

1578
01:37:24,600 --> 01:37:27,800
off. 
All offseason I said Xavier 

1579
01:37:27,800 --> 01:37:31,400
Worthy was fancy Rasheed 
Shaheed, and I was pretty 

1580
01:37:31,400 --> 01:37:34,320
staunchly opposed to where his 
price was. 

1581
01:37:34,400 --> 01:37:38,120
Thought it was a little silly. 
Thought there was a fundamental 

1582
01:37:38,120 --> 01:37:40,680
difference between how his 
rookie season went and how Rashi

1583
01:37:40,680 --> 01:37:43,600
Rice's rookie season went, and 
it was not appropriate to 

1584
01:37:43,600 --> 01:37:48,280
attribute the same trajectory to
Xavier Worthy as Rashi Rice. 

1585
01:37:49,680 --> 01:37:52,280
It turns out fancy Rashid 
Shaheed is far too bad for 

1586
01:37:52,280 --> 01:37:54,440
Xavier Worthy. 
You wish Xavier Worthy, wish 

1587
01:37:54,440 --> 01:37:57,560
Rashid Shaheed. 
That would be phenomenal if 

1588
01:37:57,560 --> 01:38:00,160
Xavier Worthy got the outcome of
Rashid Shaheed. 

1589
01:38:00,680 --> 01:38:05,040
It turns out that Xavier Worthy 
is in the same category as 

1590
01:38:05,440 --> 01:38:07,880
Taekwon Thornton. 
In fact, Xavier Worthy basically

1591
01:38:07,880 --> 01:38:10,440
just is Taekwon Thornton. 
He is Taekwon Thornton in the 

1592
01:38:10,440 --> 01:38:13,320
same offense, he just happens to
start over Taekwon Thornton. 

1593
01:38:14,680 --> 01:38:18,200
But yeah, if you just one for 
one replace him, it's really not

1594
01:38:18,240 --> 01:38:22,080
all that different. 
It just is what it is for Xavier

1595
01:38:22,080 --> 01:38:27,360
Worthy, probably a guy that gets
massively overdrafted in playoff

1596
01:38:27,360 --> 01:38:29,520
basketball. 
If I look at the Xavier Worthy 

1597
01:38:29,520 --> 01:38:36,560
ADP right now, he's actually OK.
Currently his ADP is 60. 

1598
01:38:37,680 --> 01:38:41,520
But I almost guarantee after a 
day of people drafting that he 

1599
01:38:41,520 --> 01:38:43,640
does get get steamed up a little
bit. 

1600
01:38:44,520 --> 01:38:46,640
And, you know, if the Chiefs 
start winning games, he'll, 

1601
01:38:46,640 --> 01:38:50,640
he'll just go. 
Yeah, very, very, very secondary

1602
01:38:50,640 --> 01:38:56,440
receiver here and don't ever 
see, don't very often see his 

1603
01:38:56,440 --> 01:38:58,640
speed connecting in the way that
we thought it would. 

1604
01:38:58,640 --> 01:39:03,320
Don't see the the kind of yak 
that we'd want to see and very 

1605
01:39:03,320 --> 01:39:06,520
disappointing for sure. 
For I think part of it's on my. 

1606
01:39:06,600 --> 01:39:09,040
I don't think he actually 
belongs on this chart the only. 

1607
01:39:09,040 --> 01:39:11,840
Thing. 
I think, I think it's being 

1608
01:39:11,840 --> 01:39:15,600
skewed a little bit because he 
was 2% in week one with the big 

1609
01:39:15,600 --> 01:39:19,520
injury. 
So I think that's why he's like 

1610
01:39:19,520 --> 01:39:22,280
every other game he's been above
70%. 

1611
01:39:22,920 --> 01:39:27,560
And so maybe maybe I need to 
code that differently so that he

1612
01:39:27,720 --> 01:39:30,200
he takes him out of this this 
chart. 

1613
01:39:30,720 --> 01:39:32,680
You're you're wanting to promote
Xavier worthy. 

1614
01:39:32,840 --> 01:39:35,800
I do to to like give a little 
bit of, you know. 

1615
01:39:36,080 --> 01:39:39,400
Well, just to make it accurate. 
Like he, he, he, he runs. 

1616
01:39:39,400 --> 01:39:40,920
He no, no. 
Yeah, I agree. 

1617
01:39:40,920 --> 01:39:45,320
With some of these other guys. 
I, I do want to say, I do think 

1618
01:39:45,320 --> 01:39:49,720
part of Xavier Worthy's lack of,
of appeal is partially on 

1619
01:39:49,720 --> 01:39:51,960
Mahomes. 
Mahomes has not been good with 

1620
01:39:51,960 --> 01:39:55,320
the deep ball. 
I mean, for, for the whole two 

1621
01:39:55,320 --> 01:39:57,040
seasons Worthy has had with 
them. 

1622
01:39:57,040 --> 01:39:59,800
Like it's, it's just been missed
connection after missed 

1623
01:39:59,800 --> 01:40:01,840
connection. 
Like you want to talk about why 

1624
01:40:01,840 --> 01:40:04,040
Drake May is the best 
quarterback in the league right 

1625
01:40:04,040 --> 01:40:07,000
now? 
Drake May has hit Xavier Worthy 

1626
01:40:07,000 --> 01:40:10,360
for 10 touchdowns at this point.
You know, Patrick Mahomes just 

1627
01:40:10,360 --> 01:40:12,600
misses him. 
Drake May puts it. 

1628
01:40:13,600 --> 01:40:16,440
You know, on an absolute dot, 
it's basically a hand off down 

1629
01:40:16,440 --> 01:40:19,440
the field if he's throwing the 
ball to Xavier worthy like that 

1630
01:40:19,440 --> 01:40:22,360
is just the difference between 
the guy who is the very best and

1631
01:40:22,360 --> 01:40:25,600
the guy who is the second best 
or the third best quarterback in

1632
01:40:25,600 --> 01:40:28,320
the league. 
But it is cool to watch someone 

1633
01:40:28,320 --> 01:40:31,880
separate like that. 
And I I do think that part of 

1634
01:40:31,880 --> 01:40:35,520
Xavier Worthy's woes are not 
he's not solely to blame. 

1635
01:40:35,720 --> 01:40:40,200
You know, he he could he could 
be doing Rashid Shaheed things 

1636
01:40:40,200 --> 01:40:43,240
in a different offense. 
He would be an awesome receiver 

1637
01:40:43,240 --> 01:40:46,680
for the patriots to have where 
Drake may just gets to Chuck it 

1638
01:40:46,680 --> 01:40:51,040
downfield while he burns guys. 
All right, that's that's all the

1639
01:40:51,680 --> 01:40:55,440
the unfun stuff. 
We'll we'll go in order of like 

1640
01:40:55,680 --> 01:40:59,120
gross and barely fun to. 
Yeah, I I looked at ESPN open 

1641
01:40:59,120 --> 01:41:03,000
score just to see if I could 
make some kind of case that like

1642
01:41:03,040 --> 01:41:06,320
he's getting open downfield, but
no, he's like wide receiver 70 

1643
01:41:06,920 --> 01:41:10,480
and open score. 
Yeah, that's not fun. 

1644
01:41:10,680 --> 01:41:13,280
Or or or receiver 17 because 
this includes tight ends. 

1645
01:41:14,600 --> 01:41:17,760
Yuck and so. 
OK, on on to more positive 

1646
01:41:17,760 --> 01:41:20,160
things. 
Gabe Davis is back. 

1647
01:41:20,360 --> 01:41:23,840
We Gabe Davis is back. 
Oh, OK. 

1648
01:41:25,280 --> 01:41:27,840
I told you this one was barely, 
barely positive. 

1649
01:41:28,280 --> 01:41:31,040
But you know what? 
If you were just feeling 

1650
01:41:31,040 --> 01:41:34,120
nostalgic, you wanted to have 
Gabe Davis in playoff basketball

1651
01:41:34,160 --> 01:41:38,120
to, you know, put up a massive, 
you know, 4 touchdown game or 

1652
01:41:38,120 --> 01:41:42,320
something to, to really make it 
feel like, you know, Bills of 

1653
01:41:42,320 --> 01:41:45,480
old where he's the, the guy you 
got to have to advance to the 

1654
01:41:45,480 --> 01:41:48,120
rounds. 
He's now back on the menu. 

1655
01:41:48,640 --> 01:41:52,320
He's pretty involved in his 
first game, first game back with

1656
01:41:52,320 --> 01:41:55,400
the team. 
They tried to try to defeat him 

1657
01:41:55,560 --> 01:41:58,600
in the in the end zone. 
No, heavily targeted. 

1658
01:41:58,760 --> 01:42:00,640
So he only had a 40%, right? 
Right. 

1659
01:42:03,440 --> 01:42:10,320
He drops the touchdown. 45% 
route rate, but he gets 27% 

1660
01:42:10,400 --> 01:42:13,360
target sprout run. 
So on, on how many? 

1661
01:42:14,000 --> 01:42:18,440
He had four targets. 
He caught three of them. 

1662
01:42:18,640 --> 01:42:20,960
I guess the one was the 
touchdown that he dropped. 

1663
01:42:21,840 --> 01:42:29,280
And so I guess part of the part 
of the Keon Coleman benching was

1664
01:42:29,280 --> 01:42:33,280
getting Gabe Davis out there. 
I guess Gabe Davis is just that.

1665
01:42:33,520 --> 01:42:36,520
Imagine if Keon Coleman was an 
NFL quality receiver. 

1666
01:42:37,320 --> 01:42:40,560
Yeah, it's every time a Keon 
Coleman is benched and Gabe 

1667
01:42:40,560 --> 01:42:47,000
Davis gets his wings. 
OK, now now on to actual, actual

1668
01:42:47,000 --> 01:42:48,240
fun. 
These ones are fun. 

1669
01:42:48,240 --> 01:42:51,760
Yeah. 
So the reason the honestly the 

1670
01:42:51,760 --> 01:42:54,600
main reason we have this chart 
is to track the rookies. 

1671
01:42:54,600 --> 01:42:56,880
If if it weren't for the 
rookies, I would not care about 

1672
01:42:56,880 --> 01:43:02,120
this chart at at all. 
And where at Luther Burden, he, 

1673
01:43:02,120 --> 01:43:08,000
he gets up to a 61% route share 
and finally takes over of 

1674
01:43:08,000 --> 01:43:10,880
immediate Zacchaeus. 
I think that the route share 

1675
01:43:10,880 --> 01:43:15,080
probably would have been higher 
if at Cole Command and Loveland 

1676
01:43:15,080 --> 01:43:18,800
didn't get so many snaps. 
And they, it looks like they 

1677
01:43:18,800 --> 01:43:22,400
played a lot of two tight end 
sets so that the, the, yeah, the

1678
01:43:22,400 --> 01:43:26,600
slot receiver didn't play as 
much, but he did see 23% targets

1679
01:43:26,600 --> 01:43:32,400
per run and he got 5 targets. 
He only, it was only tree 

1680
01:43:32,400 --> 01:43:37,320
reception for 27 yards. 
So it's like it's for, for a 

1681
01:43:37,360 --> 01:43:40,160
game where we, we got a lot of 
what we've been looking for. 

1682
01:43:40,160 --> 01:43:45,720
It's kind of tepid. 
And but this is 1 where I, I 

1683
01:43:45,720 --> 01:43:49,280
don't know if I'm quite ready to
stardom and, and managed, but 

1684
01:43:49,280 --> 01:43:52,400
we're right there. 
We're right on the cusp of that 

1685
01:43:52,400 --> 01:43:58,160
Luther Burden being a very, very
stiritable managed player. 

1686
01:43:58,480 --> 01:44:00,240
I. 
Think, boy, boy, do I have some 

1687
01:44:00,240 --> 01:44:03,560
basketball teams that would kill
for some Luther. 

1688
01:44:03,920 --> 01:44:07,880
If if you could, if you could 
give me just two Luther burden, 

1689
01:44:07,880 --> 01:44:12,080
like legitimate spike weeks, I'm
talking, you know, 20 plus 

1690
01:44:12,080 --> 01:44:15,440
fantasy points, I would. 
I would be such a happy man. 

1691
01:44:15,440 --> 01:44:19,600
That'd be so good for me. 
It feels like I have a chance. 

1692
01:44:22,520 --> 01:44:25,040
The the other guy that is also 
pretty fun. 

1693
01:44:25,640 --> 01:44:29,440
It's Jayden Higgins, who finally
for the first time this season 

1694
01:44:29,800 --> 01:44:34,640
ran more routes than the very 
formidable Xavier Hutchinson. 

1695
01:44:34,640 --> 01:44:38,360
I believe Hutchinson is still 
sub one yards per route run. 

1696
01:44:38,520 --> 01:44:40,200
Is that correct? 
He might have, he might have 

1697
01:44:40,200 --> 01:44:42,360
cracked one yards per route run 
now. 

1698
01:44:43,160 --> 01:44:48,520
But you know, with competition 
that stiff, you know, you 

1699
01:44:48,520 --> 01:44:51,240
understand why Jayden Higgins 
can't run more routes than that 

1700
01:44:51,240 --> 01:44:52,400
guy. 
Like, how do you take that off 

1701
01:44:52,400 --> 01:44:56,280
the field? 
No, the Texans continue to be 

1702
01:44:56,280 --> 01:44:59,560
extraordinarily frustrating, but
Jayden Higgins is looking good. 

1703
01:44:59,680 --> 01:45:09,040
.9494 yeah, for a run, but yeah.
Did Jayden Higgins take off is 

1704
01:45:09,040 --> 01:45:13,360
here? 
Yeah, where he's he's fine. 

1705
01:45:13,440 --> 01:45:18,520
So he wait, he's still only had,
I guess he's still only had a 

1706
01:45:18,760 --> 01:45:21,000
57% route share. 
Correct. 

1707
01:45:21,280 --> 01:45:26,440
Yeah. 
So when he had an 81% ride 

1708
01:45:26,440 --> 01:45:29,960
share, I think based on some 
injuries, but he he got he he's 

1709
01:45:29,960 --> 01:45:33,920
had two games in a row now tree 
out of the last four with 7 

1710
01:45:33,920 --> 01:45:37,560
targets and, and he is producing
with those targets. 

1711
01:45:38,240 --> 01:45:44,400
So the and, and then the, the 
Mika Ryan is like, hey, we're 

1712
01:45:44,400 --> 01:45:46,640
taking the rookie Tiger off. 
We don't have any more rookies 

1713
01:45:46,640 --> 01:45:48,160
now. 
These are these are our guys. 

1714
01:45:48,840 --> 01:45:52,640
You I guess this this is another
one where it's like he's like 

1715
01:45:52,640 --> 01:45:54,520
right there in terms of being 
startable. 

1716
01:45:54,520 --> 01:45:58,880
He's right there. 
Not not not quite there yet, but

1717
01:45:59,200 --> 01:46:03,840
the the it's coming. 
Yeah, I call bullshit on the 

1718
01:46:03,840 --> 01:46:06,480
we're we're taking the rookie 
tag off because if you were, 

1719
01:46:06,480 --> 01:46:08,480
Jalen Knoll would be playing 
every there's. 

1720
01:46:08,560 --> 01:46:10,080
Christian Kirk would not see the
field. 

1721
01:46:10,080 --> 01:46:12,480
Christian Kirk would be a game 
day inactive if you were taking 

1722
01:46:12,480 --> 01:46:15,880
the rookie tag off. 
Jalen Knoll looks sick anytime 

1723
01:46:15,880 --> 01:46:18,400
he's on the field. 
Like he's just nice. 

1724
01:46:19,000 --> 01:46:20,360
I mean, he looks better than 
Higgins. 

1725
01:46:20,400 --> 01:46:23,280
Clear. 
Like clearly, clearly I, I don't

1726
01:46:23,280 --> 01:46:27,320
think it's that, you know, I 
think it's pretty hard to debate

1727
01:46:27,320 --> 01:46:29,000
otherwise. 
They're different. 

1728
01:46:29,000 --> 01:46:31,400
They're very different in what 
they can do and offer for the 

1729
01:46:31,400 --> 01:46:34,160
offense. 
But like those aren't the two 

1730
01:46:34,160 --> 01:46:37,280
that are competing for snaps. 
So you're not having Higgins and

1731
01:46:37,280 --> 01:46:40,120
Noel compete with each other. 
You're having Christian Kirk 

1732
01:46:40,320 --> 01:46:45,120
keep Jalen Noel off the field, 
which makes exactly 0 sense. 

1733
01:46:45,200 --> 01:46:51,040
I mean, just please play your 
best player, man, please, 

1734
01:46:51,160 --> 01:46:56,640
please, but I don't know they 
they continue to be very 

1735
01:46:56,640 --> 01:46:59,440
frustrating, but it does look 
like Higgins is going to get 

1736
01:46:59,440 --> 01:47:04,200
there before Noel. 
God, I I this feels like the 

1737
01:47:04,200 --> 01:47:08,960
prototypical spot, though, where
these guys both should come on 

1738
01:47:08,960 --> 01:47:11,720
down the stretch man like 
they're they're good. 

1739
01:47:11,920 --> 01:47:17,000
The competition is for snaps. 
Is Hutchinson and Christian Kerr

1740
01:47:17,080 --> 01:47:21,600
like, you've got to, you have to
be seeing more of these guys 

1741
01:47:21,600 --> 01:47:25,280
like. 
I can't wait to draft them next 

1742
01:47:25,280 --> 01:47:28,960
year. 
I don't know, man, I'm I'm a 

1743
01:47:28,960 --> 01:47:31,960
little worried about drafting 
Texans passing and they get they

1744
01:47:32,000 --> 01:47:33,880
better be real cheap again. 
I'm gonna. 

1745
01:47:34,440 --> 01:47:35,800
I think these guys will be 
cheap. 

1746
01:47:36,600 --> 01:47:40,960
Yeah, no, you're not wrong. 
I mean, shit, it's like you, me 

1747
01:47:41,520 --> 01:47:45,120
probably like the 120 slappies 
that even know who Jalen Knoll 

1748
01:47:45,120 --> 01:47:49,760
is, you know, like there's not a
broad audience that are in the 

1749
01:47:49,760 --> 01:47:56,920
market for Jalen Knoll, so. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

1750
01:47:56,920 --> 01:47:59,080
That that's a contrarian play 
for sure. 

1751
01:47:59,720 --> 01:48:01,800
And but I think that covers this
this week, right? 

1752
01:48:02,400 --> 01:48:07,680
Yeah, that is everybody. 
We as a show note, programming 

1753
01:48:07,680 --> 01:48:11,280
note, we'll be taking next week 
off for the Thanksgiving 

1754
01:48:11,280 --> 01:48:14,080
holiday. 
Sorry everybody, you're going to

1755
01:48:14,080 --> 01:48:17,360
have to survive a week without 
stat chasing, but we'll be 

1756
01:48:17,360 --> 01:48:20,040
picking it up the very next 
week. 

1757
01:48:21,080 --> 01:48:24,120
So we will not be seeing you on 
Tuesday the 25th. 

1758
01:48:24,480 --> 01:48:30,480
We will be back on December the 
2nd for stat chasing and that 

1759
01:48:30,480 --> 01:48:37,920
will be Week 13, the penultimate
week before the final regular 

1760
01:48:37,920 --> 01:48:39,840
season week for fantasy 
football. 

1761
01:48:41,080 --> 01:48:42,880
Yeah. 
And yeah, that'll be one of the 

1762
01:48:42,880 --> 01:48:45,560
last, last one. 
So looking forward to it. 

1763
01:48:45,880 --> 01:48:47,480
And thanks for joining us again,
everyone.