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Hello everyone and welcome to my
final cold open for in season 

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ADP Chasing. 
So it's not going anywhere. 

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Davis and Pat will be bringing 
you guys to the end of the 

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season here on ADP Chasing, but 
this will be my final show. 

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We have a lot to cover today. 
I'll give sort of a quick 

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summary of what's going on with 
me and then we will get to a mid

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season check in on our truth 
serum takes. 

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Let's do it. 
ATP chasing is for when you 

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watch ship chasing, you go these
guys are just football guys. 

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And the targets for outrun 
leagues, that's going to be 

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really nice, actually. 
Back in, if it's Austin, it's. 

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Here to our crystal ball. close 
your eyes. 

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You know all your entries are 
going to lose anyway. 

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Yeah. 
That's fair. 

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This is a Deuce von show. 
It's. 

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Anti cabal. 
It's anti the best ball thought 

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leader. 
I'm obviously lying to some 

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degree because like, I have a 
lot of both of these guys. 

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It's the most disgusting thing 
you can make, but man. 

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End of an era. 
It's been it's been a fun ride 

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guys. 
Welcome Davis, Pat Week 9 and 

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season 80P chasing. 
How are we doing today? 

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Doing good. 
You know, the show will go on, 

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but I just don't see any way 
that we're going to be able to 

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make as disgusting pics as we 
did with with you on the show, 

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Sam. 
It's going to be hard. 

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It's going to be sad every week 
when the intro plays I. 

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Know you know. 
It's going to be the, the, the 

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intro will always be a brutal, a
brutal reminder. 

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You know we and and we're not. 
Going to get to see. 

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Yeah, you know, we're not going 
to get to see Sam's New England 

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Cottage background anymore. 
It's going to be, it's going to 

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be pretty tough. 
It looks like your internet's 

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trying to give out on you right 
now. 

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Yeah, the CLV game in shambles. 
I promise you, Corinne and I 

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will not be tracking CLV next 
offseason. 

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I used to be the background 
king. 

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You know, there's, there's 
people kind of coming and going.

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Sam has so many. 
Is this a commune that you live 

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in? 
Sam, There's there's. 

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No, there's, there's been 
various representatives of the 

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bank just. 
Just kind of coming slowly to. 

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To take all my, they actually 
just took my, my Wi-Fi. 

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So I think that's what happened 
there. 

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But yeah, slowly but surely 
being stripped of all my assets.

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But yeah, I miss what you said 
there, David. 

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Something weird is going on with
my Internet. 

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But yeah, you guys are going to 
do justice for the show, I'm 

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sure. 
Yeah, something, something will 

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happen. 
It's going to be great. 

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It's going to be entertaining. 
I wanted to start off to allow 

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me to be self indulgent here for
a second and just give sort of 

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my my quick story about what's 
going on with me. 

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A lot of people, you know, reach
out over the past week and say 

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things like, Oh, I hope you're 
OK, things like that. 

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So I just want to get the, the 
story out, you know, I'm totally

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fine. 
I just want to kind of provide 

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people with context and what I'm
doing, what's going on. 

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So I, I guess just like zooming 
out to go back to my start in 

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the fantasy space. 
For me, I kind of got into 

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fantasy content creation and 
kind of a, a happenstance way. 

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It actually started with the the
main event guest streams that 

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Pat and Pete did. 
This was back in like summer 

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2021. 
I signed up for one of those, 

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kind of got a taste of what it's
like to go on the Internet and 

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fire off fantasy football takes 
like, oh, this is, this is 

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pretty fun. 
Maybe it's something I would 

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enjoy. 
I was working full time at that 

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point, didn't really have time 
for it. 

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And Fast forward a year, I 
started grad school in 2022 and 

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Pat actually reached out asking 
if I wanted to do stat chasing 

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with with Trico. 
And I honestly never really 

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thought about doing fantasy 
football while I was at my NBA. 

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But then I was like, oh, this is
a cool opportunity. 

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I have some free time. 
I'm not working full time. 

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I can do this on a Friday or 
whatever and let's see how it 

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goes. 
And from there, that show I 

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thought went great. 
Love doing that pitch. 

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Davis and Pat on ADP chasing. 
I thought that that went much 

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better than I expected. 
Kind of had an audience from 

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that and that kind of spiraled 
to. 

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You'd be much better than 
expected. 

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What'd you say? 
What do you mean much better 

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than expected? 
Well. 

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You know it's. 
Pretty It's a pretty nerdy show.

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When you do something as nerdy 
as hyper, specifically tracking 

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where other nerds are taking 
fake fantasy players in one 

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specific contest on one specific
applet, that's a pretty hyper 

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niche show. 
That is true. 

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Actually the response was quite,
quite good, much better than 

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than I think we all expected. 
Not that we have some crazy like

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not there's 100,000 people 
tuning into ADB chasing. 

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I get it just in in the context 
of like a niche fantasy show. 

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I thought it it did well. 
And like, you know, frankly, 

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I've had a lot of industry 
people reach out to me and 

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saying how much they like the 
show. 

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So maybe it's like a a fantasy 
football show for fantasy 

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football analysts a little bit. 
That is, yeah, this this is for 

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everyone who styles themselves, 
you know, sort of sort of like, 

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yeah, oh, I'm, I'm on the 
sharper side of the industry. 

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You know, they're like, oh, I 
love ADP chasing. 

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Yeah, even though our collective
listeners, if they followed our 

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advice, they they're probably 
not doing too well. 

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But that's. 
What size are moving up? 

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OK, they're moving up. 
They're good. 

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Friends in a bank examiner. 
Yeah, they're good for. 

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Yeah, exactly. 
So I, I share all this to say 

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that like fantasy football for 
me was like a bit of a side 

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quest in what I was doing career
wise, what I was doing school 

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wise. 
That kind of obviously spiraled 

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into, you know, from a spot side
quest to kind of the main plot. 

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Over the past couple months I 
started more or less doing full 

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time fantasy football work, 
doing a gig with ETR, writing an

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article for them, doing a gig 
with Underdog, helping Pat out 

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with leg UPS, still continuing 
the show. 

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At the same time though, I I had
this corporate job that actually

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paid for my grad school. 
I'm more or less required to go 

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back and work with them. 
Not not legally or anything like

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that, but I would suddenly have 
a lot of bills to pay for the 

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grad school that they paid for 
if I decided not to do that. 

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So this was kind of always 
coming. 

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They gave me a late start date 
later than I expected in 

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November, which is why I kind of
scrambled to do all these 

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fantasy football roles, kind of 
make it more of a full time 

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thing to plug the financial gap 
a little bit over the past few 

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months. 
But yeah, it's, it's, you know, 

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it does. 
It still feels weird to me. 

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I guess I'll say like I still 
have had some doubts about this 

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decision, like, oh, can I try to
do something part time with 

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fantasy and do this full time 
job at the same time. 

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And I sided on at least taking a
long break from doing fantasy 

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football content. 
I think 6 months a year from now

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already visit if I can kind of 
do both. 

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But yeah, it's just nothing 
exciting. 

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Just kind of financial career 
decision for me and that's what 

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it came down to. 
So that, that's the basics of 

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the story. 
I'll, I'll stop ranting. 

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But yeah, Davis, Pat, I don't 
know if you guys have any 

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questions or comments. 
If you do, feel free to ask 

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otherwise. 
Are are you going to be able to 

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take breaks from your bank 
examiner job to come on my 

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stream so that you can get your 
Eric all exposure next year? 

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I don't know, coming off AC out 
there that might be, might be 

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tough to get exposure. 
But yeah, I think, you know, I 

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don't expect to do 0 fantasy 
football streams next year. 

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I would love to occasionally 
come on as a guest for for 

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people show. 
So I'm sure I'll find ways to, 

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to get on their ways, get some, 
get some takes out there. 

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But it's I'd say it's pretty 
unlikely that next year I'll be 

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doing like a regular show. 
I don't want to say that's 100% 

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it's going to happen, but I'd 
say it's it's pretty unlikely 

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that I'll be doing like anything
weekly or anything of that 

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regularity. 
It's a real twist that Sam 

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turned out to be the bank 
examiner in the end. 

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Yeah, you weren't able to draft 
much this this summer because 

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you're in Maine, but you do now.
Sam. 

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Well, Sam's. 
Actually the. 

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Mole. 
He's the mole. 

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The Bank sent Sam into our 
universe to be like these guys. 

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These guys have $3000 worth of 
Jalen Warren, the the the backup

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running back on the worst 
offense in football. 

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We we need to investigate this 
immediately. 

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Yeah, I, I was hired by, I mean 
anyone who had any pro Keenan 

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Allen takes this season, that 
was something I was sending 

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right to the bank examiner. 
They'll be following up with you

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guys about that shortly. 
So yeah, I'm sorry, I'm sorry I 

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had to come to this, but I'm 
sure, I'm sure you understand 

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that things got a little out of 
hand financially. 

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Thomas says. 
Now I've become the bank 

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examiner, the destroyer of bags.
So true. 

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So true, man. 
Although the JSN bags doing 

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pretty well, this is a good 
night for him to go on. 

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I do appreciate. 
I appreciate. 

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JSN famous famously I was in on 
JSN this year because of the 

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every stuff. 
Yeah, we're. 

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We're gonna find out. 
We're we're gonna find out that 

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Blake Corum was actually playing
coverage for the for the. 

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Rams he got upgraded. 
From the practice squad, but not

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but but not not as a he or Cody 
Schrader. 

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Cody Schrader was, was playing 
cornerback or or or safety or 

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something for the Rams last 
night. 

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I, I mean, this is totally 
neither here nor there, but JSN 

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racking up 227 area yards, the 
most of any Seahawks wide 

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receiver in the Geno era, and 
having seventy of those yards 

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called back by penalty. 
So you look realistically like a

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300 area yards game. 
I mean, we don't know nothing, 

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man. 
I know you think you know at 

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least the style of targets he's 
going to get, but we did not, as

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it turns out. 
Yeah, Jacob had a good tweet 

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that was like it. 
It's impossible to have a 

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definitive take of JS NS like 
projection going for it. 

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So I'm paraphrasing or something
like that. 

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But it's locked like 6 times 
today. 

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Like a being like he's so he's 
so back. 

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It's so over it like like he had
16 targets week two against the 

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Patriots, but then he was 
Jackson Smith Majigba again. 

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So what? 
What do you do? 

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What do you do? 
I have no idea. 

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I have no way to diagnose it. 
Yeah, I don't know either. 

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Anyways, final thing I do have a
right is he, is he picking up 

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the Locket mantle? 
Is that, is that what it is? 

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You know we're going to under 
draft him for eight straight 

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years. 
Yeah, I don't know. 

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Yeah, Locket, because he, I feel
like he started off his career 

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being kind of like more boring 
and consistent and then he 

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emerged into being like 
extremely volatile and like 

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you'd either start him and get 2
points or you'd bench him and 

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get like 40. 
So I don't know, I guess that's 

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a little bit of JSN. 
Like last year he was kind of 

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stable but boring, and this year
he's either 0 or 100 each week. 

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It's, it's a weird season 
anyways, This show, it's, it's 

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always jarring in the show to to
try to be genuine and earnest. 

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That's not really what we're 
about here, but. 

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Really, really not our bit here 
on. 

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ADP It's no, it's not. 
So it's very discordant, but I 

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do I did kind of do some 
reflecting and I wanted to give 

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a couple like pieces of advice 
for anyone who's interested in 

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doing fantasy football content 
or thinking about it as a 

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career. 
I I had a couple things I wanted

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to get out there. 
My first thing is, if you have 

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any aspirations of doing it or 
you think it's something you're 

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interested in and you have time,
just go ahead and start making 

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content. 
Start a YouTube channel and 

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00:12:16,160 --> 00:12:18,760
start doing streams. 
Post your takes on Twitter, 

225
00:12:18,760 --> 00:12:22,720
start a free blog. 
Like there's a lot of ways in 

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00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:26,840
2024 where you can get content 
out there for free and build an 

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00:12:26,840 --> 00:12:30,360
audience organically. 
And I think that if I'm 

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reflecting on myself, there was 
a large period of time where I 

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00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:36,120
was interested in fantasy 
football and I followed it 

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00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:40,040
really closely, but I just 
wasn't publishing any of my 

231
00:12:40,040 --> 00:12:42,160
takes. 
I wasn't doing anything with how

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00:12:42,200 --> 00:12:44,320
into it I was, if that makes 
sense. 

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00:12:44,320 --> 00:12:48,400
So if I could go back to when I 
was in college or younger and 

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00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:52,680
I'd started doing this earlier, 
that's maybe something I, I wish

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00:12:52,680 --> 00:12:55,960
I'd doing. 
So I, I don't know now, now I'm 

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00:12:55,960 --> 00:13:00,600
almost 30, I have like bigger 
financial things to think about,

237
00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:02,760
got a mortgage to pay off, 
etcetera. 

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00:13:02,760 --> 00:13:05,800
And it's harder to, to make the 
leap into doing this as a full 

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00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:08,080
time job. 
So that that's just my advice in

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00:13:08,080 --> 00:13:12,200
reflecting is just like start. 
Doing yeah, genuine, genuine 

241
00:13:12,200 --> 00:13:14,520
advice. 
This is in no way shape or form 

242
00:13:14,520 --> 00:13:16,320
sarcastic. 
It's going to sound sarcastic. 

243
00:13:16,680 --> 00:13:21,520
I I do not mean it this way. 
Do 55 second fantasy football 

244
00:13:21,520 --> 00:13:24,000
tik toks post them on TikTok, 
post them on Instagram. 

245
00:13:24,240 --> 00:13:27,760
You'll have a bigger audience 
than than me by next week. 

246
00:13:28,560 --> 00:13:33,320
No, no cap like 0 cap. 
You will, you will generate an 

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00:13:33,320 --> 00:13:35,560
audience. 
I was really going to be honest 

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00:13:35,560 --> 00:13:38,440
about telling someone to do how 
if they really want to make a 

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living on it. 
I would say total, totally 

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00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,000
unexploited space. 
Instagram. 

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00:13:43,240 --> 00:13:46,320
Like, look, Holka Polka doesn't 
come on our shows anymore. 

252
00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:48,840
He, he, he does his own, he does
his own thing. 

253
00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:50,600
He's huge. 
Guy's huge. 

254
00:13:51,600 --> 00:13:54,600
Yeah, yeah, I, I agree with 
that. 

255
00:13:54,680 --> 00:13:56,920
Yeah. 
I don't even have any particular

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00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:59,360
takes on like where's best. 
I think Davis, I think you're 

257
00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:01,560
probably right there. 
I think, you know, YouTube's 

258
00:14:01,560 --> 00:14:04,160
also probably a good place to, 
to monetize and make money that 

259
00:14:04,160 --> 00:14:06,480
way. 
But yeah, just start just like 

260
00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,840
if you think you want to do it, 
just just go ahead and do it. 

261
00:14:08,840 --> 00:14:11,280
There's no like traditional way.
And that kind of leads into my 

262
00:14:11,280 --> 00:14:14,040
second point. 
Like, I don't know, I feel like 

263
00:14:14,040 --> 00:14:17,640
when I was a kid, I, I pictured 
like jobs like, oh, you, you get

264
00:14:17,640 --> 00:14:21,440
an internship at a newspaper as 
a sports writer, and then from 

265
00:14:21,440 --> 00:14:25,920
there you apply to NBC and get a
job as a fantasy creator. 

266
00:14:25,920 --> 00:14:28,440
Like there's, there's no 
traditional paths in fantasy 

267
00:14:28,440 --> 00:14:31,640
football anymore. 
So I think that's my second 

268
00:14:31,640 --> 00:14:35,800
lesson to anyone who wants to do
this is just like, don't expect 

269
00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:40,880
a hierarchical career ladder 
from one place to the next. 

270
00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,680
It's it's really completely the 
opposite of that. 

271
00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:45,480
I think there's maybe some 
people in the industry, like 

272
00:14:45,720 --> 00:14:48,600
I've actually heard Pat wrote a 
Pat talk about this that did 

273
00:14:48,600 --> 00:14:51,480
enter the fantasy space and sort
of that traditional route. 

274
00:14:51,800 --> 00:14:55,840
And I would say that's like 
extremely rare nowadays. 

275
00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:59,080
So I I would. 
Say don't do that at all. 

276
00:14:59,080 --> 00:15:02,000
I would say do not plan on going
into the fantasy industry and 

277
00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:05,000
getting a full time job at 
Rotoworld or whatever. 

278
00:15:05,000 --> 00:15:07,680
I would say plan on being a 
contractor. 

279
00:15:07,840 --> 00:15:12,960
Start your own thing, a Patreon,
a website, a YouTube, whatever. 

280
00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:19,360
Don't don't be like I'm going to
I'm going to be a, you know, a a

281
00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:22,680
a a W2 employee for establish 
the run. 

282
00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:25,960
That's not going to happen. 
Yeah, I would also say I think 

283
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,760
the most important thing is do 
stuff you're enjoying doing and 

284
00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:33,560
that you are doing really well 
and focus on doing really good 

285
00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:37,280
stuff. 
And then like, I mean to the 

286
00:15:37,280 --> 00:15:40,320
TikTok point, I mean, I don't 
know anything about TikTok, but 

287
00:15:40,640 --> 00:15:44,240
I would going somewhere with 
it's like fertile ground makes a

288
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:47,120
lot of sense to me. 
But then within that framework, 

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00:15:47,120 --> 00:15:50,280
I think focusing on making sure 
the contents actually really 

290
00:15:50,280 --> 00:15:54,120
good as opposed to try and like 
hack your way to it. 

291
00:15:54,520 --> 00:15:58,160
I mean, like ship chasing would 
be an example of like kind of 

292
00:15:58,160 --> 00:16:01,400
how I, I've been doing stuff for
a long time writing at Rotobiz 

293
00:16:01,400 --> 00:16:02,960
and stuff. 
But ship chasing ultimately I 

294
00:16:02,960 --> 00:16:07,640
think helped me get hired at 
Roto World when I was like 7 

295
00:16:07,640 --> 00:16:09,880
years into into doing all this 
stuff. 

296
00:16:09,880 --> 00:16:13,560
So, you know, we just didn't, it
wasn't, we just sort of wanted 

297
00:16:13,560 --> 00:16:19,120
to stream our drafts, me and 
Pete, like it wasn't any grand 

298
00:16:19,120 --> 00:16:20,720
plan. 
We just enjoyed doing that. 

299
00:16:21,560 --> 00:16:25,440
We did a high stakes team 
together as part of fantasyland 

300
00:16:25,440 --> 00:16:28,720
episode and that kind of like 
evolved into articles and then a

301
00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:30,920
podcast and then live streaming 
and and all that. 

302
00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:33,640
But it was always like this is a
we're having fun. 

303
00:16:33,640 --> 00:16:38,600
People are responding to it in a
fun way and and enjoying the 

304
00:16:38,600 --> 00:16:43,720
content we're putting out. 
So I, I tend to think, you know,

305
00:16:43,760 --> 00:16:46,320
to Davis's point, if you're 
going to be doing this as a side

306
00:16:46,320 --> 00:16:50,040
hustle, it has to be fun, right?
It has to be something you're 

307
00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:51,520
enjoying. 
You can't like grind yourself 

308
00:16:51,520 --> 00:16:55,800
down trying to do this thing. 
And I, you know, to the extent 

309
00:16:55,800 --> 00:16:59,600
possible, like keeping your 
expectations in check for what 

310
00:16:59,600 --> 00:17:03,560
like the immediate future might 
hold on it because, I mean, I 

311
00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:05,280
did, I did stuff on the side for
a long time. 

312
00:17:06,040 --> 00:17:11,200
So yeah, I just doing stuff you 
enjoy doing and with people you 

313
00:17:11,200 --> 00:17:15,119
enjoy doing it with, which is 
kind of advice Pete gave me a 

314
00:17:15,119 --> 00:17:16,800
while back. 
Yep. 

315
00:17:17,480 --> 00:17:19,800
That has served me well. 
So I mean, this, this show would

316
00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:22,040
be an example of that. 
You know, we're just, we're just

317
00:17:22,880 --> 00:17:23,839
hanging out and having a good 
time. 

318
00:17:24,760 --> 00:17:25,640
Exactly. 
I think. 

319
00:17:25,640 --> 00:17:27,119
I think that's why people enjoy 
it, Yeah. 

320
00:17:27,319 --> 00:17:29,000
Yeah. 
And yeah, for the side hustle 

321
00:17:29,000 --> 00:17:32,320
thing too, I want to say that 
that's like a totally viable 

322
00:17:32,320 --> 00:17:33,640
path. 
And that's what a ton of people 

323
00:17:33,640 --> 00:17:35,840
in this industry do. 
I think like I didn't realize 

324
00:17:35,840 --> 00:17:39,280
that until I became a part of 
it, that like there are a lot of

325
00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:41,640
people obviously doing this as a
full time job, but there are 

326
00:17:42,000 --> 00:17:46,280
equally a lot of people who they
do one or two articles, I do one

327
00:17:46,280 --> 00:17:49,920
or two shows and then they work 
a normal nine to five job on top

328
00:17:49,920 --> 00:17:51,360
of that. 
And I think that's like an 

329
00:17:51,360 --> 00:17:53,800
awesome balance for a lot of 
people. 

330
00:17:54,320 --> 00:17:59,560
I think me personally, I'm 
really obsessive and that's, I 

331
00:17:59,560 --> 00:18:03,720
think both one of my strengths 
and my falls that I, I really go

332
00:18:03,720 --> 00:18:07,080
all in when I do something and I
have a hard time like balancing 

333
00:18:07,080 --> 00:18:09,040
multiple things. 
I just know that about myself. 

334
00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:13,360
So at least for the short term, 
I, I decided not to go that 

335
00:18:13,360 --> 00:18:16,560
path. 
But certainly that's very viable

336
00:18:16,560 --> 00:18:18,600
for a lot of people. 
And I, I would say like a year 

337
00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:21,400
from now, two years from now, if
I feel like I settled in at my 

338
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:24,680
corporate job, that's certainly 
something I'd consider. 

339
00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,640
So, yeah, I did think that's a 
good point from Pat, yeah. 

340
00:18:27,920 --> 00:18:30,840
You did like ship chasing and 
stuff at ETR while you were 

341
00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:33,640
working like a corporate job for
a while, yeah. 

342
00:18:33,640 --> 00:18:37,640
When I was at ETR, I did ETR as,
as a side freelance thing. 

343
00:18:38,080 --> 00:18:43,800
Yeah, when I was, I was in a 
energy efficiency gig for like 

344
00:18:43,800 --> 00:18:46,840
10 years. 
But I started writing, I got 

345
00:18:46,840 --> 00:18:50,040
obsessed with Rotaviz like a 
couple like a year into that job

346
00:18:50,040 --> 00:18:52,800
and I started writing, writing 
for Rotaviz like the year after 

347
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:55,280
that. 
So I think I started writing for

348
00:18:55,280 --> 00:19:00,000
Rose in 2014, got hired at 
Rotoworld in 2021. 

349
00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:03,240
So isn't that so funny that I'm 
younger than you, but I like 

350
00:19:03,240 --> 00:19:06,240
literally like by the time you 
were at Rotaviz, I'd already 

351
00:19:06,240 --> 00:19:09,400
like I was the 4th ever writer 
there. 

352
00:19:09,760 --> 00:19:11,360
Like it was like me. 
Yeah, Davis is. 

353
00:19:11,360 --> 00:19:14,120
When I talk about being obsessed
with Rotaviz, it's like Davis 

354
00:19:14,120 --> 00:19:16,120
and John Moore and Matt 
Friedman. 

355
00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:17,520
Yeah, it's like. 
I was there. 

356
00:19:17,600 --> 00:19:19,600
I was there before Matt. 
It was me. 

357
00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:23,640
Bales Fantasy Douche and John 
Moore were like the first 

358
00:19:23,640 --> 00:19:27,160
articles on It's so it's so 
funny how that works like. 

359
00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:30,640
The articles used to come out at
noon, right around noon Eastern,

360
00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:32,800
and I would just like be logged 
on refresh. 

361
00:19:33,400 --> 00:19:35,680
Refresh. 
Yeah, it was like four articles 

362
00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:37,480
a day early on cuz there were 
like 4. 

363
00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:42,000
Yeah, this is neither like here 
nor there, but I do remember 

364
00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:44,520
like my impression of Rhoda Biz 
back in the day, this is when I 

365
00:19:44,520 --> 00:19:47,320
was far less serious about 
fantasy football was like there.

366
00:19:47,360 --> 00:19:50,280
There's zero RB article, which I
think was always Sean writing 

367
00:19:50,280 --> 00:19:52,560
it. 
I remember that being like me 

368
00:19:52,560 --> 00:19:55,720
learning about running backs 
that I'd never heard of before. 

369
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:58,480
I was like, this is some like 
scroll of running backs that 

370
00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:02,120
like nobody in my league, like 
even those exist and I'm going 

371
00:20:02,120 --> 00:20:04,040
to take at the end of my drafts 
and they're going to be league 

372
00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:07,040
winners. 
But yeah, that's it's just so 

373
00:20:07,040 --> 00:20:09,640
funny thinking back to how 
different fantasy football was 

374
00:20:09,640 --> 00:20:12,280
back then with with sleepers and
and those type of things. 

375
00:20:14,200 --> 00:20:20,080
ANYWAYS, final piece of advice I
have, and this is kind of like 2

376
00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:24,120
pronged or two sides of the same
coin I'd say for. 

377
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:28,840
New content creators, I'd say 
like be bold about trying to 

378
00:20:28,840 --> 00:20:32,840
make connections in this space. 
Don't be scared or hesitant to 

379
00:20:32,840 --> 00:20:37,240
reach out to people who you 
think might be too good for you.

380
00:20:37,240 --> 00:20:40,680
Don't have enough time for you. 
It's not always going to work. 

381
00:20:40,880 --> 00:20:44,400
And I'm not saying like spam 
every content creator and say, 

382
00:20:44,400 --> 00:20:46,120
hey, you want to start a podcast
with me. 

383
00:20:46,120 --> 00:20:48,320
Like obviously that that's not 
going to work. 

384
00:20:48,320 --> 00:20:53,280
You have to get some level of 
credentials first are, are 

385
00:20:53,280 --> 00:20:56,160
getting established. 
But I would say for me, like I 

386
00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:59,920
reached out to both of you guys 
to start this ADP chasing show. 

387
00:20:59,920 --> 00:21:03,920
I had, I don't know, 900 
followers on on Twitter. 

388
00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:06,640
I had no idea if you guys are 
going to want to do it. 

389
00:21:06,640 --> 00:21:09,840
And for a while I was like, oh, 
is this like a stupid idea to, 

390
00:21:09,840 --> 00:21:12,160
to reach out to you guys to see 
if you want to do it. 

391
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,920
And it ended up being a great 
decision for me in this space. 

392
00:21:14,920 --> 00:21:16,720
So I'm not saying it's always 
going to work. 

393
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:21,920
Like I, I feel like early on I 
was bold about that and got some

394
00:21:22,240 --> 00:21:25,320
people to, you know, some big 
names in the space to come on 

395
00:21:25,320 --> 00:21:28,760
the show to collab with me. 
And other people I asked said 

396
00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:32,480
no. 
But I think that's like part of 

397
00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:35,360
fantasy football. 
I think most people in the space

398
00:21:35,360 --> 00:21:40,440
are like really supportive and 
willing to do a guest show on, 

399
00:21:40,440 --> 00:21:45,880
on your podcast and support, you
know, less established content 

400
00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:46,960
creators. 
And that's kind of the other 

401
00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:51,040
side of it is like, I'd say like
if you do have an established 

402
00:21:51,040 --> 00:21:54,240
audience, and I think both 
Davis, you and Pat have been 

403
00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:57,560
great about this, like be 
supportive of up and coming 

404
00:21:57,560 --> 00:22:03,280
content creators, you know, 
retweet their stuff on Twitter, 

405
00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:07,640
have them on your shows, go on 
on their shows and kind of pay 

406
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:09,760
it back that that's kind of how 
I viewed it. 

407
00:22:09,760 --> 00:22:12,360
I feel like I've had a lot of 
good mentors in this space that.

408
00:22:12,360 --> 00:22:14,960
That's a big thing. 
I'm I'm, I'm pretty good about 

409
00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,040
like retweeting or whatever. 
I don't always go on other 

410
00:22:17,040 --> 00:22:21,160
people's shows a lot 'cause I'm 
like I do 90 hours of content a 

411
00:22:21,160 --> 00:22:23,160
week and sometimes it's a bit, 
it's a bit much. 

412
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:28,240
But like I like, I know like 
like JJ and Reebs will just like

413
00:22:28,240 --> 00:22:31,360
if you ask them to go on a show,
pretty much they'll just do it 

414
00:22:31,640 --> 00:22:35,160
'cause I mean they were like JJ 
was around, he did the rotor 

415
00:22:35,160 --> 00:22:36,760
world thing, you know, before I 
even did. 

416
00:22:36,760 --> 00:22:39,360
So like they're, they're pretty 
big on on paying it for. 

417
00:22:39,360 --> 00:22:43,040
Which is not to say that if you 
have 3 YouTube subscribers and 

418
00:22:43,040 --> 00:22:44,440
you start a show. 
That, like JJ will. 

419
00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:47,560
Be your first guest, like maybe 
you will, I don't know, but 

420
00:22:48,480 --> 00:22:51,480
generally speaking a lot of 
people are are down to pay it 

421
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:53,560
forward. 
Yeah, and I think it helps to 

422
00:22:54,560 --> 00:22:57,840
just like this goes to the 
TikTok idea and stuff like that.

423
00:22:57,840 --> 00:23:00,600
It just like kind of just doing 
it because it helps. 

424
00:23:00,640 --> 00:23:04,200
Like I don't think it didn't 
matter how many follows you 

425
00:23:04,720 --> 00:23:06,880
follows. 
You had Sam, you had been on 

426
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:09,280
stat chasing. 
So we need to be on camera and 

427
00:23:09,280 --> 00:23:11,280
do analysis. 
That's yeah. 

428
00:23:11,480 --> 00:23:13,040
It's like, can you like, you 
know? 

429
00:23:13,360 --> 00:23:14,880
No, it's a. 
It's a pretty big do, yeah. 

430
00:23:14,880 --> 00:23:16,680
Because a lot of people are not 
good on camera. 

431
00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:18,080
Right. 
So if you're if you're good on 

432
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:20,960
camera and you can do analysis, 
right, or if you're can do 

433
00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:22,400
analysis and you're a good 
writer, right? 

434
00:23:22,400 --> 00:23:25,640
Those are the two things like 
that I would be interested in 

435
00:23:25,640 --> 00:23:30,880
knowing, you know, and it's hard
to know unless I'm like, Oh 

436
00:23:30,880 --> 00:23:33,080
yeah, I see you doing it and 
it's good. 

437
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:34,920
So there's that's good, you 
know. 

438
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:37,360
Yeah, that's a really good point
because I, I remember too in in 

439
00:23:37,360 --> 00:23:39,880
the early days of statues and 
like talking to, I think it was 

440
00:23:39,880 --> 00:23:42,720
Pete, maybe not you, Pat. 
I was like, oh, Pete, what do 

441
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:44,440
you think about getting guests 
on the show? 

442
00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:47,360
Like, I think it could be fun. 
And he was like, honestly, like,

443
00:23:47,360 --> 00:23:49,600
I think you guys just aren't 
quite ready for it yet. 

444
00:23:49,600 --> 00:23:51,080
You like got to get your own 
cadence down. 

445
00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:55,560
I think that was great advice. 
Like having 10 whatever streams 

446
00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:59,440
under my belt before I tried 
layering in guests like yeah 

447
00:23:59,440 --> 00:23:59,720
you. 
Got. 

448
00:24:00,560 --> 00:24:03,920
You got to get reps in first. 
So, yeah, whether that's a solo 

449
00:24:03,920 --> 00:24:07,320
stream or you have a buddy that 
wants to do it with you, like 

450
00:24:07,800 --> 00:24:11,560
get get reps in first. 
And but yeah, anyways, I just 

451
00:24:11,560 --> 00:24:15,440
say like, don't like worst thing
that can happen. 

452
00:24:15,440 --> 00:24:18,760
You ask Pat, you ask me to come 
on your podcast and I'll say, 

453
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:20,480
sorry, I'm too busy, I don't 
have time. 

454
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:23,200
Like I, I feel like there was 
this huge barrier I was making 

455
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:25,560
up of like, oh, what if I ask 
someone and they say like, fuck 

456
00:24:25,560 --> 00:24:28,720
off, I'm not interested. 
Like who who who cares, man? 

457
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:30,400
Like if. 
It's not really the space it is,

458
00:24:30,400 --> 00:24:32,120
yeah. 
To be honest, if you ask me and 

459
00:24:32,120 --> 00:24:34,280
I don't want to do it, I 
probably just won't respond and.

460
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:36,560
Yeah, and that's fine. 
Yeah, and the world, the world, 

461
00:24:36,560 --> 00:24:38,840
we could just move on. 
Exactly, Yeah. 

462
00:24:38,840 --> 00:24:40,600
So don't, don't be discouraged 
by that. 

463
00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:45,600
But yeah, that's, that's all I 
had hope. 

464
00:24:45,800 --> 00:24:48,000
Hopefully that's helpful for for
someone out there. 

465
00:24:48,000 --> 00:24:51,160
And I definitely don't want this
to be a lesson of like, oh, I, I

466
00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:54,920
think this is a terrible space 
and you have no future in it. 

467
00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:56,880
And this is all dark and gloomy 
like. 

468
00:24:56,880 --> 00:25:02,360
I, I think I, I leave today, I 
leave fantasy football content 

469
00:25:02,360 --> 00:25:05,640
creation, like being pretty 
happy about what I've done and 

470
00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:09,640
thinking like if I wanted to 
make a career doing this, I 

471
00:25:09,640 --> 00:25:11,200
could do it. 
It wouldn't be easy. 

472
00:25:11,200 --> 00:25:14,560
It's, it's a really tough space.
It's, it's going to be a grind, 

473
00:25:14,560 --> 00:25:18,640
But there, there's still a 
career for people who, who want 

474
00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:20,680
to do this as a full time job or
want to do as a side gig. 

475
00:25:20,680 --> 00:25:24,280
So yeah, don't I don't want my 
final word to be like, oh, this 

476
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,080
like be discouraged or give up 
on doing this. 

477
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:30,480
Like that's certainly not what 
I'm what I'm trying to say here.

478
00:25:30,480 --> 00:25:36,080
So that's my final word, Yeah. 
Anything else Davis patter? 

479
00:25:36,080 --> 00:25:38,600
Should we get into the the truth
serum takes? 

480
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:40,840
Then we can dive into it. 
We'll. 

481
00:25:40,960 --> 00:25:41,920
Miss you buds. 
Do it. 

482
00:25:41,920 --> 00:25:45,360
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 
Hang on, I got to reload this. 

483
00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,560
I'll be right back. 
OK, All right. 

484
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:54,520
So changing gears here. 
We did a truth serum takes show 

485
00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:59,280
for our last ADP chasing this 
offseason. 

486
00:25:59,760 --> 00:26:04,400
We're going to go through those 
takes 1 by 1 and we had, there 

487
00:26:04,400 --> 00:26:07,520
was actually an independent, 
independent panel of judges that

488
00:26:07,680 --> 00:26:10,920
created each of our takes like 
kind of like a report card. 

489
00:26:11,400 --> 00:26:14,200
Yeah, that was actually just me,
but. 

490
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:18,880
Yeah, I didn't expect. 
I was worried. 

491
00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,360
I was worried it would, it would
really violate those sort of the

492
00:26:21,440 --> 00:26:24,320
ethic of the show or whatever 
to, yeah, to have someone come 

493
00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:27,960
in and objectively do this. 
No, no, it was just all me. 

494
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,680
And it was. 
Actually, just Pete, Pete, Pete 

495
00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:32,240
just came in. 
Pete, actually. 

496
00:26:32,280 --> 00:26:36,320
Hired Pete would be too much. 
Pete hired someone actually with

497
00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:39,440
with his BR winnings to to to 
greet him. 

498
00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:40,760
Exactly. 
Yeah, yeah. 

499
00:26:40,760 --> 00:26:42,560
But that. 
Person was Sam. 

500
00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:48,680
So we'll start here and last 
thing I'll say, yeah, the the 

501
00:26:48,680 --> 00:26:51,360
bank examiner took my PowerPoint
license. 

502
00:26:51,720 --> 00:26:53,920
I thought that was a little 
unnecessary, but I had to make 

503
00:26:53,920 --> 00:26:55,960
these slides and and Google 
Slides. 

504
00:26:56,360 --> 00:27:01,200
So the quality is has gone down.
Just wanted to get that out 

505
00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:03,000
there. 
Anyways, my we're going to start

506
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:06,120
with my first take. 
We did one team level take. 

507
00:27:06,120 --> 00:27:08,840
We did one player level take. 
We did 1 roster construction 

508
00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:10,000
level take. 
We're going to start with the 

509
00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:14,880
team level takes. 
First my first one summary. 

510
00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:19,360
I basically said Colt stink. 
My actual take was the Colts top

511
00:27:19,360 --> 00:27:22,680
three skilled players are 
massively overvalued because the

512
00:27:22,680 --> 00:27:25,640
market's overconfident that 
Anthony Richardson could lead a 

513
00:27:25,640 --> 00:27:29,640
confident NFL offense. 
This take was almost too good 

514
00:27:29,640 --> 00:27:33,160
because it actually got Anthony 
Richardson benched to the point 

515
00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:36,200
where the the pieces around. 
Downtowns is now actually really

516
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:38,240
a good pick. 
Yeah, yeah, except. 

517
00:27:38,440 --> 00:27:42,520
Except not even except like kind
of not even because Joe Flacco 

518
00:27:42,560 --> 00:27:46,120
can't even maintain APPR scam 
because he's 41 or whatever. 

519
00:27:46,600 --> 00:27:50,320
Pittman and Taylor, and I think 
we talked about this when you 

520
00:27:50,320 --> 00:27:53,360
made the take, is that that 
Pittman and Taylor were, you 

521
00:27:53,360 --> 00:27:56,640
know, much worse picks than 
Downs because they were very 

522
00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:58,440
expensive. 
Yeah. 

523
00:27:58,440 --> 00:28:01,640
So, yeah, to be clear, I said 
the the top three players. 

524
00:28:01,640 --> 00:28:04,000
So I was referring to Pittman, 
Taylor and Richardson. 

525
00:28:04,000 --> 00:28:07,080
I was actually, I think where we
disagreed on the offseason show 

526
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:10,560
was I was out on Richardson too.
You you guys were a little bit, 

527
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:12,840
I don't think either of you guys
were taking like huge stands on 

528
00:28:12,840 --> 00:28:13,520
Richardson. 
Not huge. 

529
00:28:13,520 --> 00:28:15,440
Stands, but I was definitely in.
I was. 

530
00:28:15,440 --> 00:28:17,000
Exactly, Yeah. 
I just didn't. 

531
00:28:17,120 --> 00:28:20,080
I just could not have my name 
attached to an Anthony 

532
00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:22,840
Richardson fade knowing that he 
could score 19 rushing 

533
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,840
touchdowns. 
But I wish, I wish I 'cause I 

534
00:28:25,840 --> 00:28:27,920
didn't draft, obviously the 
reason I didn't draft him was 

535
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:31,360
just luck, 'cause I have 20% of 
the worst quarterback in 

536
00:28:31,360 --> 00:28:34,960
fantasy, Patrick Mahomes. 
Mahomes, in a way, kind of saved

537
00:28:34,960 --> 00:28:36,560
me from Rich. 
I would have had a lot of 

538
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:39,040
Richardson. 
Probably I would have more. 

539
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:40,840
Richardson but he has the same 
bias. 

540
00:28:40,840 --> 00:28:44,000
Drake May. 
So yeah, that that helped a 

541
00:28:44,000 --> 00:28:44,680
little bit. 
No. 

542
00:28:44,680 --> 00:28:47,680
And Jane and Jane Daniels. 
So it was it was it was tough, 

543
00:28:47,680 --> 00:28:49,080
honestly. 
And Lamar. 

544
00:28:49,360 --> 00:28:50,960
So it's like, well, it's not 
even close. 

545
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,240
So I'm choosing a week 14 by a 
quarterback I want. 

546
00:28:53,280 --> 00:28:55,320
Right, right, right, right. 
Yeah. 

547
00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:58,680
Yeah, I, I don't know what like 
the the lesson here is going 

548
00:28:58,680 --> 00:29:01,360
forward and this also I'll say 
that like I think it's firmly in

549
00:29:01,360 --> 00:29:04,240
play that they go back to 
Richardson at some point and he 

550
00:29:04,240 --> 00:29:06,000
could. 
I I don't know man, you. 

551
00:29:06,240 --> 00:29:09,000
Think it's over? 
So like we've already gotten the

552
00:29:09,000 --> 00:29:10,760
report that teams have reached 
out to trade him. 

553
00:29:10,760 --> 00:29:14,440
Like basically the reporting is 
not dissimilar from the Bryce 

554
00:29:14,440 --> 00:29:18,240
Young reporting, the reporting 
very similar to the Bryce Young 

555
00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:21,840
reporting and and a much weirder
organization. 

556
00:29:21,840 --> 00:29:23,800
Like the Panthers are a weird 
organization, the Colts are 

557
00:29:23,800 --> 00:29:27,600
weirder. 
Jim Ursay's daughter is on the 

558
00:29:27,600 --> 00:29:31,960
sideline in a full uniform with 
a headset on. 

559
00:29:34,600 --> 00:29:37,160
Yeah, What's going on? 
What? 

560
00:29:38,480 --> 00:29:43,760
No Google it Fact Check true. 
He was doing this, she was doing

561
00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:45,880
this last year too, apparently. 
I saw this on Twitter. 

562
00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:49,280
Yeah. 
I don't know what that means, 

563
00:29:49,480 --> 00:29:52,800
like what role she has in the 
sidelines or or what's going on 

564
00:29:52,800 --> 00:29:57,480
there, but certainly seems 
bizarre that she's on the. 

565
00:29:57,480 --> 00:30:01,640
Side right behind Steiken. 
Standing right behind Steiken. 

566
00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:05,160
Dude, this is a. 
Does she have a role? 

567
00:30:05,160 --> 00:30:07,800
Is she like on? 
Is she a an executive or 

568
00:30:07,800 --> 00:30:09,280
something? 
I don't know who. 

569
00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:14,240
Knows who knows, but it's it's 
they I mean, this is a team that

570
00:30:14,240 --> 00:30:16,720
hired Jeff Saturday from 
coaching high school football. 

571
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:18,640
Now he's on TV, he's not even a 
coach anymore. 

572
00:30:18,640 --> 00:30:20,560
Like. 
He was on TV when they hired 

573
00:30:20,560 --> 00:30:23,160
him. 
Yeah, he was on ESPN. 

574
00:30:23,880 --> 00:30:28,720
So basically, in my opinion, I 
think that if you made me bet it

575
00:30:28,920 --> 00:30:34,200
either side -110 is Richardson 
the starting quarterback for the

576
00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:35,400
Colts next season? 
I I. 

577
00:30:35,880 --> 00:30:37,040
I I would. 
Probably. 

578
00:30:37,040 --> 00:30:38,400
Say no. 
Probably. 

579
00:30:38,400 --> 00:30:40,600
Say it seems so bizarre, it 
seems so bizarre to me that 

580
00:30:40,600 --> 00:30:43,120
they're willing to give up on 
him this quickly. 

581
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:46,080
I, I, I actually don't think 
like if the plan was to bench 

582
00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:49,360
him for a couple games, take 
some heat off him, have him work

583
00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:51,440
on some things in practice and 
they go back to him like week 

584
00:30:51,440 --> 00:30:53,280
12. 
I actually don't think that's 

585
00:30:53,280 --> 00:30:55,680
like that terrible of a plan. 
You can certainly argue it. 

586
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:59,360
If there is completely giving up
on him to roll Joe Flacco out 

587
00:30:59,360 --> 00:31:03,520
there, I'm like, yeah, that 
makes absolutely no sense to me.

588
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,920
It makes so it's very strange 
because it goes against sort of 

589
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:12,880
basic self preservation like 
Steiken needs to. 

590
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:16,400
The Steiken's not going to keep 
his job and Ballard's not going 

591
00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:20,360
to keep his job if the Anthony 
Richardson thing is a total 

592
00:31:20,360 --> 00:31:23,840
disaster. 
Exciting came from Philadelphia,

593
00:31:23,840 --> 00:31:25,360
right? 
Like he's, he helped Hertz 

594
00:31:25,360 --> 00:31:27,080
develop. 
Like that's the that's the idea.

595
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:30,160
So we're going to bring him in 
and he's going to help Anthony 

596
00:31:30,160 --> 00:31:32,120
Richardson become this this dual
threat. 

597
00:31:34,040 --> 00:31:37,800
I. 
I don't understand I you almost 

598
00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:42,440
have to bring Richardson back if
you think there's any chance of 

599
00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:44,240
you keeping your job. 
Maybe they're just like there 

600
00:31:44,240 --> 00:31:45,560
isn't. 
I'm going to get fired and I 

601
00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:48,120
want to go out with Joe Flacco 
like, but it it doesn't really 

602
00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:50,480
make sense to me. 
Similarly to like the Canalis 

603
00:31:50,480 --> 00:31:51,880
stuffer. 
I'm like, you're going to get 

604
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:55,800
fired with Andy Dalton playing 
like this because no way you're 

605
00:31:55,800 --> 00:31:59,640
keeping your job. 
If like, I mean, I think this 

606
00:31:59,640 --> 00:32:02,760
thumb spraying may have like 
saved Canalice's job, you know, 

607
00:32:02,760 --> 00:32:04,760
because they they put Bryce 
Young back out on the field and 

608
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:07,440
he's at least showing like more 
promise than he did before. 

609
00:32:08,120 --> 00:32:10,120
Probably not, but like that's 
the only path. 

610
00:32:10,120 --> 00:32:12,640
Like you have to show 
development from the young 

611
00:32:12,640 --> 00:32:15,080
quarterback. 
That's otherwise like, what is 

612
00:32:15,080 --> 00:32:17,440
the point, right? 
We're going to, we're going to 

613
00:32:17,440 --> 00:32:19,680
reset, we're going to we're 
going to get a new quarterback, 

614
00:32:19,680 --> 00:32:22,280
bring a new quarterback in. 
We're keeping the same coaching 

615
00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:25,120
staff that failed with the old 
quarterback like that rarely 

616
00:32:25,120 --> 00:32:29,680
happens. 
Yeah, so yeah, I I want to see 

617
00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,080
what the Colts actually do 
before I'm like too harsh on 

618
00:32:32,080 --> 00:32:34,600
them here. 
Like if if they are just playing

619
00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:37,320
Flack for a couple games and go 
back to Anthony Richardson, I 

620
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:38,760
don't think that's the craziest 
plan. 

621
00:32:38,760 --> 00:32:40,960
But yeah, I think that's what 
Davis has a point that. 

622
00:32:40,960 --> 00:32:44,120
Like that game was winnable last
night though, and they they they

623
00:32:44,120 --> 00:32:47,760
were calling like they called a 
third and short zone read with 

624
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:51,400
Flacco as the quarterback. 
What? 

625
00:32:52,240 --> 00:32:55,280
Yeah. 
It's tough because I'm on both 

626
00:32:55,280 --> 00:32:58,560
minds of this because like, I 
think it's also entirely 

627
00:32:58,560 --> 00:33:01,240
possible Flacco comes out the 
next couple weeks and looks a 

628
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:04,000
lot better like this. 
This Vikings defense has given 

629
00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:07,320
everybody trouble this year 
besides basically the Rams on 

630
00:33:07,320 --> 00:33:10,160
Thursday night last week. 
Like they made they made Stroud 

631
00:33:10,160 --> 00:33:14,160
with a healthy Nico Collins and 
Von Dix look really bad. 

632
00:33:14,200 --> 00:33:18,880
Like, so I don't want to judge 
Flacco too much based on this 

633
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:20,680
one game. 
It was really ugly last night 

634
00:33:20,680 --> 00:33:24,800
and was just a terrible luck. 
But yeah, I'll, I'll give it a 

635
00:33:24,800 --> 00:33:27,120
little bit of time. 
Pat, you had something to say 

636
00:33:27,120 --> 00:33:30,880
there or? 
Yeah, I mean, people, I guess 

637
00:33:30,880 --> 00:33:34,240
what I would say is from a long 
term perspective, you know, 

638
00:33:34,760 --> 00:33:39,480
don't like it's over, this is 
over now. 

639
00:33:39,720 --> 00:33:42,800
Like this doesn't happen to a 
quarterback who's going to be 

640
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:46,240
someone that we ever really want
to draft in baseball again. 

641
00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:51,480
I think like I was assuming too 
much job security this year with

642
00:33:51,480 --> 00:33:56,880
the assumption that Daikon 
wouldn't blow up his own head 

643
00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:59,760
coaching career, which this to 
me feels very much like. 

644
00:33:59,880 --> 00:34:02,760
Like it's hard to imagine. 
Worst move. 

645
00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:08,239
This this is Trey Lance. 
Well, it's, I don't know, it's, 

646
00:34:08,239 --> 00:34:10,800
it's like worse than Trey Lance,
'cause they there's no Purdy. 

647
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:14,679
It's, it's different if you're a
Super Bowl contender and you 

648
00:34:14,679 --> 00:34:18,000
have a guy who's Shoni can play 
cause the other guy got hurt and

649
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:19,679
you're sort of like, yeah, we're
going to go with that. 

650
00:34:19,679 --> 00:34:23,239
Or you have a Jimmy Garoppolo, 
you know, and, and he's a 

651
00:34:23,239 --> 00:34:26,400
capable steward and your Super 
Bowl contender, but the team's 

652
00:34:26,400 --> 00:34:28,040
losing games are not going 
anywhere. 

653
00:34:29,239 --> 00:34:33,480
So anyway, I thought that there 
was more job security baked in 

654
00:34:33,480 --> 00:34:36,440
because Stiken would be really, 
really incentivized to not let 

655
00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:40,320
like, let's say hypothetically 
benching Richardson and then 

656
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:43,480
having his offense look like 
total ass on national television

657
00:34:43,520 --> 00:34:45,880
the following week like that. 
Just hypothetically, you know, 

658
00:34:46,360 --> 00:34:52,960
so I but I was wrong about that.
And what I don't want to do is 

659
00:34:52,960 --> 00:34:56,719
ignore this going like someone 
said I was going to start next 

660
00:34:56,719 --> 00:34:59,600
year. 
Like I think most likely we get 

661
00:34:59,600 --> 00:35:05,800
a Jameis Winston style 
quarterback coming in a cast off

662
00:35:06,960 --> 00:35:10,080
kind of a black OS type of guy. 
But it may be like a little bit 

663
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:12,320
but but he's going to be the 
backup. 

664
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,840
You know, we're not going to 
it's Richardson we're 

665
00:35:14,840 --> 00:35:17,440
recommitting to Richardson. 
That's like probably the most 

666
00:35:17,440 --> 00:35:22,360
likely thing, but it's going to 
it's over like you the way 

667
00:35:22,360 --> 00:35:26,480
Richardson became a great 
quarterback was continuity the 

668
00:35:26,480 --> 00:35:29,840
coaching staff building a system
around him, specifically their 

669
00:35:29,840 --> 00:35:32,840
jobs tied to his success and he 
develops. 

670
00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:37,600
That's unless he like rebounds 
really strongly at the end of 

671
00:35:37,600 --> 00:35:41,720
this year and Stiken is is 
captain like I could see that. 

672
00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:45,120
But like a new coaching staff, 
he's done. 

673
00:35:45,240 --> 00:35:47,960
He's done. 
We, we can't, we can't, we can't

674
00:35:47,960 --> 00:35:51,280
get pulled back in here by 
anything Richardson related 

675
00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:55,760
unless, again, unless he like, 
comes back and really blows the 

676
00:35:55,760 --> 00:35:56,840
doors off at the end of the 
year. 

677
00:35:58,000 --> 00:36:01,840
Yeah, it's going to be tough. 
Last thing I'll say is listen to

678
00:36:01,840 --> 00:36:06,320
Amina Kimes podcast, I think it 
was with Dominique Foxworth, I 

679
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:07,920
believe is who does that show 
with her. 

680
00:36:08,160 --> 00:36:12,720
Sorry if I if I'm messing that 
up, but he like had contacts in 

681
00:36:12,720 --> 00:36:15,640
the Colts locker room it sounded
like and he didn't like come out

682
00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,040
and say it. 
I think players are like a 

683
00:36:18,040 --> 00:36:21,440
little bit cagey about 
criticizing other players at 

684
00:36:21,440 --> 00:36:23,840
times, but he was kind of 
alluding to the fact that 

685
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:26,760
there's things behind the scenes
in Indianapolis in terms of 

686
00:36:26,760 --> 00:36:30,400
Richardson's preparation and 
things along those lines that 

687
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:32,960
have not been up to parcel. 
I I don't think this is like 

688
00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,840
entirely on field performance 
for Richardson too. 

689
00:36:36,280 --> 00:36:38,760
You can still quibble with the 
decision and say it's a bad 

690
00:36:38,760 --> 00:36:42,360
decision to not let him go play 
through his mistakes. 

691
00:36:42,360 --> 00:36:45,000
But I think in situations like 
this, we we got to remember like

692
00:36:45,000 --> 00:36:47,680
there's a lot of stuff in the 
locker room behind the scenes 

693
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:49,920
that we don't know anything 
about. 

694
00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:54,520
And that plays a huge role in 
the decisions here, so. 

695
00:36:55,000 --> 00:36:56,680
I think probably it's too big a 
role. 

696
00:36:56,800 --> 00:37:00,440
Like I think clearly they're 
like pissed off, you know, about

697
00:37:00,480 --> 00:37:03,760
what's going on. 
But like, like zoom out, man. 

698
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,720
Like you've got, you've got one 
shot at being a head coaching. 

699
00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:09,240
You know, you got to get this 
guy back out on the field and 

700
00:37:09,240 --> 00:37:10,720
looking good. 
That's the only way you're 

701
00:37:10,720 --> 00:37:12,560
keeping the job. 
Yeah. 

702
00:37:13,560 --> 00:37:16,880
And yeah, the independent 
panelists here, Let's see how 

703
00:37:16,880 --> 00:37:18,800
they graded this take. 
Oh, wow. 

704
00:37:18,800 --> 00:37:21,680
OK, that was that was oh, come 
on, that's an A minus. 

705
00:37:21,960 --> 00:37:23,360
It's it's too good. 
It's too good. 

706
00:37:23,560 --> 00:37:24,960
It was. 
Yeah. 

707
00:37:25,520 --> 00:37:27,880
I I think this is about as 10 
out of 10. 

708
00:37:28,000 --> 00:37:29,360
All right, fair enough, Fair 
enough. 

709
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:33,040
I always thought you meant that.
I always thought you meant it's 

710
00:37:33,040 --> 00:37:35,640
top three weapons, not including
Richardson himself. 

711
00:37:35,640 --> 00:37:38,800
But if it's if it's Richardson, 
Taylor and Pittman, then I 

712
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:40,480
guess. 
Yeah, it was those. 

713
00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:44,880
It was those 3 and. 
Yeah, and Will and Will Mallory.

714
00:37:45,920 --> 00:37:47,320
Yeah, and Will Mallory, I said. 
I was. 

715
00:37:47,720 --> 00:37:50,960
I was taking stabs at each of 
the five Colts tight ends each, 

716
00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:53,040
all five of them. 
They're on the graphic I was 

717
00:37:53,040 --> 00:37:55,280
taking shares of now. 
God that remember that episode 

718
00:37:55,480 --> 00:37:57,200
that was dark. 
That was dark. 

719
00:37:57,400 --> 00:37:59,240
All right, we're going to Davis 
here. 

720
00:37:59,560 --> 00:38:01,280
This one's a little bit more 
interesting. 

721
00:38:01,960 --> 00:38:02,880
I should have said this to 
start. 

722
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,160
How we'll do these is I'll give 
it to the person who had to take

723
00:38:05,160 --> 00:38:08,000
first to say how they feel about
it now, and then we'll debate 

724
00:38:08,000 --> 00:38:09,960
it. 
So Davis, your take was 

725
00:38:10,600 --> 00:38:13,520
basically along the lines of the
Bengals are more fragile than 

726
00:38:13,520 --> 00:38:16,240
the ADP suggests. 
You talked about different risk 

727
00:38:16,240 --> 00:38:18,640
factors. 
Burroughs wrist, hand injury, 

728
00:38:18,920 --> 00:38:21,440
chases, hold out, tease, lack of
guaranteed money. 

729
00:38:22,000 --> 00:38:24,880
Here's a picture of the Bengals 
players walking across a highway

730
00:38:24,880 --> 00:38:27,640
to get to practice. 
Incredible real picture that 

731
00:38:27,640 --> 00:38:29,080
seems fake. 
It's not it's real. 

732
00:38:29,280 --> 00:38:29,640
It's. 
Real. 

733
00:38:29,640 --> 00:38:32,120
This is real. 
Yeah, this is not AI generated 

734
00:38:32,120 --> 00:38:34,400
real picture. 
So David, how, how are you 

735
00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,840
feeling about this take? 
I think there's pieces of truth 

736
00:38:37,840 --> 00:38:40,400
in this, parts of it, they're 
overblown, but what's your? 

737
00:38:40,400 --> 00:38:42,880
Opinion so the thing that has 
not mattered at all is Burrough 

738
00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:46,320
has been 100% healthy and 
Burrough has clearly been a good

739
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:51,920
pick in fantasy football. 
The overall Bengals being 

740
00:38:51,920 --> 00:38:58,000
fragile 100% real Jermaine 
Burton I mean the Jermaine 

741
00:38:58,000 --> 00:38:59,760
Burton said this is breaking my 
brain. 

742
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:02,400
He he gets the IT it doesn't 
matter. 

743
00:39:02,400 --> 00:39:05,320
I got a lot of Jermaine Burton. 
Andre Yoshibas is basically the 

744
00:39:05,320 --> 00:39:09,200
worst wide receiver in the NFL. 
He is amongst players with over 

745
00:39:09,200 --> 00:39:12,680
150 routes or more. 
He is third to last in targets 

746
00:39:12,680 --> 00:39:15,880
per route run. 
Like half of his receptions are 

747
00:39:15,880 --> 00:39:18,160
touchdowns because it's the only
place he can get the ball. 

748
00:39:18,400 --> 00:39:22,080
Zach Moss and Chase Brown kind 
of played out exactly how he 

749
00:39:22,080 --> 00:39:24,800
thought it would, which is Chase
Brown is clearly the better 

750
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:29,280
player, but they just want Moss 
on the field for pass 

751
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:30,480
protection. 
Although I thought it was 

752
00:39:30,720 --> 00:39:34,200
strange yesterday that Trayvion 
Williams played three snaps. 

753
00:39:34,200 --> 00:39:36,760
Chase Brown got 28 touches 
yesterday. 

754
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:40,880
Like like just kind of kind of, 
to be honest, I, I did not 

755
00:39:40,880 --> 00:39:44,960
really anticipate that much. 
I thought we'd see a little bit 

756
00:39:44,960 --> 00:39:46,800
of Trayvion. 
I thought we'd see a little bit 

757
00:39:46,800 --> 00:39:48,760
of Trayvion. 
Just to be tilted, like just to 

758
00:39:48,760 --> 00:39:53,280
just to tilt us where where I 
think you have to grade the 

759
00:39:53,280 --> 00:39:57,280
clear correction or the clear, 
clearly I was correct, is 

760
00:39:57,280 --> 00:40:00,840
Chase's holdout mattered. 
The offense started out so slow,

761
00:40:00,840 --> 00:40:04,840
so brutal, so disjointed. 
And T's lack of guaranteed money

762
00:40:04,840 --> 00:40:07,520
means that if he feels the 
twinge in his hamstring 

763
00:40:08,040 --> 00:40:12,960
correctly, he's not playing. 
And Chase's big games have 

764
00:40:12,960 --> 00:40:15,480
actually come with Higgins in 
the lineup because Zach Taylor 

765
00:40:15,480 --> 00:40:18,480
is a moron. 
Chase leads the NFL in 

766
00:40:18,480 --> 00:40:22,800
percentage of his routes where 
he is double covered and Zach 

767
00:40:22,800 --> 00:40:25,920
Taylor has no interest in like. 
He doesn't. 

768
00:40:27,320 --> 00:40:30,880
He doesn't just lead the NFL. 
It's like twice the rate of 

769
00:40:30,880 --> 00:40:34,360
normal. 
He's like literally like he like

770
00:40:34,360 --> 00:40:37,520
25% is like fairly high. 
I mean, it's like, you know, 

771
00:40:37,520 --> 00:40:40,520
it's like a little high, like 
60th percentile and he's at like

772
00:40:40,520 --> 00:40:42,840
50%. 
It's not. 

773
00:40:42,840 --> 00:40:44,880
It's nuts. 
And they're and they're rotating

774
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:48,200
literally 4 tight ends. 
Literally literally Tanner 

775
00:40:48,200 --> 00:40:53,000
Hudson, Drew Sample, Eric All 
and Drew and and Mike Sickey all

776
00:40:53,000 --> 00:40:54,920
ran at least 10 routes 
yesterday. 

777
00:40:56,440 --> 00:40:59,800
So yeah, I think the the the 
only part I'll grade myself a 

778
00:40:59,800 --> 00:41:02,320
failure on is Burroughs wrist. 
Doesn't matter at all. 

779
00:41:02,320 --> 00:41:03,320
It's really. 
Healthy. 

780
00:41:03,640 --> 00:41:06,400
Everything else I think I was 
either right or directionally. 

781
00:41:06,400 --> 00:41:08,600
What about when he picked up 
that that Cam? 

782
00:41:10,600 --> 00:41:12,520
What about when he What about 
when he picked up the Gatorade 

783
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:15,760
bottle? 
That's harder to do. 

784
00:41:15,760 --> 00:41:17,160
What? 
What are we worried about? 

785
00:41:17,800 --> 00:41:20,320
That was, yeah, summer of 
fantasy football. 

786
00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:23,720
That was one we we've been a 
little harsh at points on the 

787
00:41:23,720 --> 00:41:25,760
injury doctors. 
Shout out to the injury doctors,

788
00:41:25,760 --> 00:41:28,200
at least the the good ones on 
Joe Burrows wrist. 

789
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:30,160
They were all saying like you 
guys are idiots. 

790
00:41:30,160 --> 00:41:31,400
That doesn't that doesn't 
matter. 

791
00:41:31,400 --> 00:41:34,080
He's going to be fine. 
So shout out to them. 

792
00:41:34,080 --> 00:41:36,240
I think they got that call 
right. 

793
00:41:36,720 --> 00:41:39,240
I will say, David, I think like 
this is a bit of an incomplete 

794
00:41:39,240 --> 00:41:42,880
grade too, because you alluded 
to it, but with like Chase and 

795
00:41:42,880 --> 00:41:45,360
T's contract situations, yeah, I
think they're also. 

796
00:41:45,400 --> 00:41:46,960
Not going to make the playoffs, 
yeah. 

797
00:41:47,360 --> 00:41:50,840
Yeah, I think this could get 
messy end of season with them, 

798
00:41:51,120 --> 00:41:54,520
like sitting out games with very
minor injuries. 

799
00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:56,760
It's I. 
Mean it's basically are like how

800
00:41:56,760 --> 00:41:58,280
many games is Teigen's going to 
play this year? 

801
00:41:58,280 --> 00:42:02,400
Like 7. 
Yeah, I don't, I, I don't want 

802
00:42:02,400 --> 00:42:05,320
to like question these guys 
toughness because I don't, I 

803
00:42:05,320 --> 00:42:08,240
don't think that's what it is. 
It's honestly like, look what 

804
00:42:08,240 --> 00:42:10,040
happened to brand toughness. 
It's no. 

805
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:11,480
It would be. 
Stupid it. 

806
00:42:12,840 --> 00:42:15,400
Would be stupid for for T 
Higgins to be like, you know 

807
00:42:15,400 --> 00:42:19,600
what, I got to grit it out for 
this team that is going nowhere.

808
00:42:19,840 --> 00:42:21,160
Well, you know what the other 
thing is? 

809
00:42:21,680 --> 00:42:24,720
We see this in fantasy. 
I've been, you know, guilty of 

810
00:42:24,720 --> 00:42:31,600
this myself when when players 
play through injury, we don't 

811
00:42:32,360 --> 00:42:36,440
factor that after the fact. 
We look at what they did on the 

812
00:42:36,440 --> 00:42:38,680
field and they say, oh, they 
weren't very good. 

813
00:42:38,920 --> 00:42:40,280
I guess he's I guess he's 
washed. 

814
00:42:40,320 --> 00:42:42,800
It doesn't matter to us if they 
play through injury. 

815
00:42:43,160 --> 00:42:44,840
You have to be good every time 
you're on the field. 

816
00:42:44,840 --> 00:42:48,480
I think it's in T Higgins. 
You know, his incentives are are

817
00:42:48,480 --> 00:42:52,240
like when I'm on the field, I 
need to be 100% and making plays

818
00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:55,080
and putting everything on tape 
that's going to get me paid. 

819
00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:58,280
It's just a real like he just 
shouldn't be out there unless 

820
00:42:58,280 --> 00:43:01,280
he's he's 100%. 
Yeah, he has a bit of a tough 

821
00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:04,520
calculus because I think that's 
if he plays banged up and is 

822
00:43:04,520 --> 00:43:06,960
100%, that's going to be counted
against him in contract 

823
00:43:06,960 --> 00:43:09,520
negotiations. 
Now, if he like really milks 

824
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:11,920
this quad injury to the point 
where they think he's like 

825
00:43:11,920 --> 00:43:14,520
faking it, that's going to hurt 
him not only with the Bengals, 

826
00:43:14,520 --> 00:43:17,000
but I think other teams going to
look at that and be like, that's

827
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,160
a bit of a red flag for a guy 
we're about to pay guaranteed 

828
00:43:19,160 --> 00:43:21,240
money too. 
So he has this really tough 

829
00:43:21,240 --> 00:43:22,560
calculus. 
Now, I'm not saying he's going 

830
00:43:22,560 --> 00:43:25,320
to like totally fake his injury 
the rest of the way, but if he 

831
00:43:25,320 --> 00:43:28,960
has any kind of minor ailment, I
think we have to expect him to 

832
00:43:28,960 --> 00:43:31,560
sit. 
Bengals are also 4:00 and 5:00. 

833
00:43:31,880 --> 00:43:35,640
They have upcoming Ravens, 
Chargers, Steelers, then a. 

834
00:43:35,640 --> 00:43:38,480
Couple this Ravens game. 
This Ravens game is massive. 

835
00:43:38,520 --> 00:43:41,840
If they get smoked in this game 
on Thursday night against the 

836
00:43:41,840 --> 00:43:45,440
Ravens then we are in firm. 
They might not be playing 

837
00:43:45,440 --> 00:43:47,920
starters in the fantasy playoffs
situation. 

838
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:50,200
It's a tough schedule of 
defenses. 

839
00:43:50,720 --> 00:43:53,640
They also play the Titans, 
Broncos, Steelers again down the

840
00:43:53,640 --> 00:43:57,840
stretch. 
So anyways, yeah, yeah, 

841
00:43:58,040 --> 00:44:00,680
independent panelists here, 
Davis. 

842
00:44:01,200 --> 00:44:02,280
I think they're a little harsh 
here. 

843
00:44:02,280 --> 00:44:03,480
I I'm willing to bump that 
grade. 

844
00:44:03,520 --> 00:44:05,840
Up I I was going to give myself 
AB minus I. 

845
00:44:05,840 --> 00:44:07,800
Was going to give myself AB 
minus. 

846
00:44:08,560 --> 00:44:10,040
I'll talk to the panel and see 
if they're. 

847
00:44:10,040 --> 00:44:12,920
Willing to let them know yeah 
this is too harsh yeah it's. 

848
00:44:12,960 --> 00:44:17,480
A little too harsh. 
Here's one that's interesting, 

849
00:44:17,560 --> 00:44:18,800
Pat. 
Here's. 

850
00:44:19,360 --> 00:44:21,680
Here's what I've noticed. 
Here's what I've noticed. 

851
00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:23,960
You always go, I screwed up this
game. 

852
00:44:23,960 --> 00:44:27,640
You always go bearish because I 
can, I can say, hey, there's 

853
00:44:27,640 --> 00:44:30,080
still, there's still time for 
this to turn, so. 

854
00:44:30,080 --> 00:44:34,720
True always go bearish. 
Or we do this show after week 

855
00:44:34,720 --> 00:44:36,560
three-week 3. 
That's that's week. 

856
00:44:36,560 --> 00:44:39,280
Three, we're going, We're going.
A+ Crane. 

857
00:44:39,280 --> 00:44:40,880
Crane. 
A plus baby. 

858
00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:43,480
Serum. 
Yeah, so for the audio listeners

859
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:46,560
here, Pat's take was backdoor 
Stack the Saints. 

860
00:44:46,560 --> 00:44:51,760
He was an absolute genius after 
two weeks now Shaheed's out for 

861
00:44:51,760 --> 00:44:54,080
the season. 
Derek Carr got another coach 

862
00:44:54,080 --> 00:44:56,120
fired. 
They lost the Panthers. 

863
00:44:56,120 --> 00:44:57,760
This one's getting a little ugly
here. 

864
00:44:57,800 --> 00:45:01,520
I'll, I'll get out in front of 
it with my grade I or actually, 

865
00:45:01,520 --> 00:45:04,400
sorry, the independent 
independent panelist. 

866
00:45:04,400 --> 00:45:07,680
They did give you AB minus they 
gave you some credit for how 

867
00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:09,680
well the Saints did to start the
year. 

868
00:45:09,680 --> 00:45:12,520
I do think there's a world where
the Saints offensive line 

869
00:45:12,520 --> 00:45:13,880
doesn't get completely banged 
up. 

870
00:45:14,200 --> 00:45:17,880
Rashid Shaheed stays healthy and
this take still looks pretty 

871
00:45:17,880 --> 00:45:20,280
good because look at the other 
quarterbacks you're comparing 

872
00:45:20,280 --> 00:45:22,760
car to. 
It's Bryce Young. 

873
00:45:24,320 --> 00:45:26,480
Who else was going really late? 
I guess Bo Nicks and Drake Mays,

874
00:45:26,480 --> 00:45:28,560
certainly better picks than 
Derek Carr, but there were some 

875
00:45:28,560 --> 00:45:30,080
land mines towards the end of 
drafts. 

876
00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:32,720
Deshaun Watson, maybe you could 
throw in there as well. 

877
00:45:32,720 --> 00:45:35,520
So yeah, that that's my opinion 
on it. 

878
00:45:35,720 --> 00:45:40,760
Pat, I think you ran out bad a 
little bit, but maybe at the 

879
00:45:40,760 --> 00:45:43,400
same time it it wasn't the 
soundest take. 

880
00:45:43,400 --> 00:45:44,600
What? 
What's your thought on this one?

881
00:45:46,320 --> 00:45:49,480
The reason it so if I'm 
criticizing my take, it's that 

882
00:45:49,560 --> 00:45:54,240
in almost any other situation I 
would also been saying we got to

883
00:45:54,240 --> 00:45:56,440
be hammering this eighth round 
running back when we're doing 

884
00:45:56,440 --> 00:45:58,200
these backdoor stacks. 
Oh boy. 

885
00:45:58,680 --> 00:46:01,400
I wasn't doing that. 
So right there there's a huge 

886
00:46:01,400 --> 00:46:03,440
issue with the take. 
I've got a blind spot in it. 

887
00:46:03,760 --> 00:46:07,920
I'm taking this tight end who's 
going to run 33% of routes, but 

888
00:46:07,920 --> 00:46:12,120
I'm not taking a not just a 
cheap running back, but running 

889
00:46:12,120 --> 00:46:14,160
back who's the only Bible I 
like. 

890
00:46:14,160 --> 00:46:16,680
I was not taking Kendry Miller 
really at any point this 

891
00:46:16,680 --> 00:46:18,960
offseason. 
I I just did not think he had a 

892
00:46:18,960 --> 00:46:21,000
role. 
I wasn't taking Jamal Williams. 

893
00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:24,600
So the Camara mist continues to 
sting and it continues to sting 

894
00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:28,720
as part of this tag especially. 
Obviously Shaheed was a smash. 

895
00:46:28,720 --> 00:46:32,080
You know, there's sort of like 
two ways to think through this 

896
00:46:32,080 --> 00:46:33,960
stuff. 
You know, it's like everything 

897
00:46:33,960 --> 00:46:35,840
that happened would have 
happened and we should have 

898
00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,800
tried to predict that, but I 
think that's wrong. 

899
00:46:39,320 --> 00:46:40,600
Right. 
Well, if you weren't predicting 

900
00:46:40,600 --> 00:46:43,040
Shaheed's injury, because I 
actually had that one. 

901
00:46:43,240 --> 00:46:44,440
So yeah, you had the Shaheed 
injury. 

902
00:46:44,440 --> 00:46:48,280
Yeah, yeah, the the Shaheed pick
was an awesome pick, you know, 

903
00:46:48,280 --> 00:46:51,080
so well. 
So getting on Shaheed was was 

904
00:46:51,080 --> 00:46:53,880
good if you're betting on a 
lave, you know, I mean, taking 

905
00:46:53,880 --> 00:46:56,480
the offense was DeMarcus. 
Robinson is still on the board. 

906
00:46:56,680 --> 00:47:02,920
Yeah, that's that's. 
DeMarcus Robinson, by the way, 

907
00:47:02,920 --> 00:47:05,440
I, I, I don't, I'm not even 
going to tweet this because I'm 

908
00:47:05,440 --> 00:47:09,040
so sick of everyone. 
But he, he, he right now is on 

909
00:47:09,040 --> 00:47:12,600
pace to set a, a Stafford era 
record. 

910
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:15,880
So Stafford's whole career of 
targets to touchdown ratio. 

911
00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:18,480
I I did, I did search. 
Wow, he really is that good. 

912
00:47:19,720 --> 00:47:21,120
Impressive. 
Anyways, I get. 

913
00:47:21,680 --> 00:47:23,240
Get that was something up 
because. 

914
00:47:23,520 --> 00:47:26,080
Shaheed was a smash pick. 
Let's let's be honest, like, 

915
00:47:26,080 --> 00:47:29,480
yeah, yeah, yeah. 
Like if you had Shaheed 

916
00:47:29,520 --> 00:47:33,360
carstacks, I think you actually 
played it pretty well. 

917
00:47:33,400 --> 00:47:36,960
If you have I I think even 
though lobby was was a solid 

918
00:47:36,960 --> 00:47:40,560
pick, he's just not, you know, 
the the second round's been 

919
00:47:40,560 --> 00:47:46,680
brutal and obviously, you know, 
or is yeah, that was a a rough, 

920
00:47:46,880 --> 00:47:49,960
rough, you know, injury last 
last game. 

921
00:47:49,960 --> 00:47:53,440
But Mac Nova sums it up. 
The problem with this takes it 

922
00:47:53,440 --> 00:47:56,000
says Olave, Shaheed and Johnson 
instead of Camaro, Olave and 

923
00:47:56,000 --> 00:47:59,120
Shaheed, which is correct. 
It's it's the it's the blind 

924
00:47:59,120 --> 00:48:01,960
spot on Camara keeps this from 
because I mean, honestly, if it 

925
00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:07,160
said Camara, Olave and Shaheed 
stacked with car, it's an A+ 

926
00:48:07,160 --> 00:48:08,760
take. 
I just, I just have the blind 

927
00:48:08,760 --> 00:48:10,840
spot on Camara, which continues 
to be a bummer. 

928
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:16,120
Yeah, yeah. 
And again, I'll just say like I 

929
00:48:16,120 --> 00:48:19,960
think under told part of the 
story is the Saints offensive 

930
00:48:19,960 --> 00:48:21,840
line. 
Obviously weeks 1 and 2, they 

931
00:48:21,840 --> 00:48:23,400
beat up on the Panthers and 
Cowboys. 

932
00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:25,760
That's a little bit fraudulent. 
But they're in the worst 

933
00:48:25,760 --> 00:48:28,360
division in football, so like, 
you can reasonably expect stuff 

934
00:48:28,400 --> 00:48:30,880
like that. 
Yeah, exactly. 

935
00:48:30,880 --> 00:48:34,120
And and the the online was 
supposed to be terrible coming 

936
00:48:34,120 --> 00:48:36,720
into the season. 
It was surprisingly good through

937
00:48:36,720 --> 00:48:39,680
a couple games and then I think 
they had two starting offensive 

938
00:48:39,680 --> 00:48:42,600
lineman go out before Week 3 or 
or during Week 3, I forget 

939
00:48:42,600 --> 00:48:44,760
which, that that really hurt 
them. 

940
00:48:44,760 --> 00:48:47,080
Not something that a lot of 
people are are mentioning, but 

941
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:50,320
it was a fragile operation. 
I guess you can point to that, 

942
00:48:50,960 --> 00:48:54,200
but I think there was some bad 
run out here for the Saints. 

943
00:48:54,200 --> 00:48:56,760
Well. 
If I'm going to argue for for AB

944
00:48:56,800 --> 00:48:59,320
plus, which I don't really care 
if you give me or not, but if 

945
00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:03,840
but it's going to argue for it, 
it would be that. 

946
00:49:03,840 --> 00:49:09,600
Part of this is that we weren't 
necessarily we were too high on 

947
00:49:09,600 --> 00:49:13,480
the other backdoor stacks. 
So the Panthers stacks, you 

948
00:49:13,480 --> 00:49:17,160
know, have been pretty bad. 
The Titan stacks have been 

949
00:49:17,200 --> 00:49:18,840
pretty bad. 
I wish I. 

950
00:49:19,840 --> 00:49:24,480
Could I wish I could call the 
bank examiner right now and send

951
00:49:24,480 --> 00:49:27,640
every Titans stack? 
Like can I trade that in for $3 

952
00:49:27,640 --> 00:49:29,240
each? 
Yeah, because that's what you 

953
00:49:29,240 --> 00:49:30,400
have to think. 
Like what? 

954
00:49:30,400 --> 00:49:34,400
How many worlds exist where this
would have worked? 

955
00:49:34,400 --> 00:49:37,520
And how many worlds exist where 
like Bryce Young stacks are 

956
00:49:37,520 --> 00:49:39,000
going to pay off? 
Like almost none. 

957
00:49:39,280 --> 00:49:41,880
Almost no worlds where Titan 
stacks pay off right like this. 

958
00:49:41,960 --> 00:49:44,000
It's just like it wasn't going 
to work. 

959
00:49:44,000 --> 00:49:48,480
We we discover pretty quickly 
into the season the Bo Nicks 

960
00:49:48,480 --> 00:49:50,320
stuff. 
I mean, Bo Nicks is a guy you 

961
00:49:50,320 --> 00:49:53,400
want but the stacks didn't work.
Right. 

962
00:49:53,880 --> 00:49:57,200
Drake Mays a guy you want 
stacks. 

963
00:49:57,760 --> 00:49:59,360
Hunter, Henry. 
Stacks are OK. 

964
00:49:59,360 --> 00:50:02,320
Hunter, Henry Kendrick. 
Bourne maybe? 

965
00:50:02,720 --> 00:50:06,280
Kendrick Bourne yeah, it's not 
like it's more about the 

966
00:50:06,280 --> 00:50:09,760
quarterback than the stacks with
I think both those rookies, 

967
00:50:09,760 --> 00:50:11,880
although yeah, getting Hunter 
Henry matters. 

968
00:50:11,960 --> 00:50:16,480
So, but anyway, I think part of 
the take was look, you can 

969
00:50:16,480 --> 00:50:20,600
actually stack this offense and 
and the quarterbacks, you know, 

970
00:50:20,600 --> 00:50:24,160
a little bit more locked in than
than guys like Young and and 

971
00:50:24,160 --> 00:50:25,840
Levis and stuff. 
Yep. 

972
00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:31,160
All right, we'll move on here to
our player Take section. 

973
00:50:32,280 --> 00:50:35,400
My take. 
Home run A plus. 

974
00:50:36,040 --> 00:50:40,240
A + A plus. 
Yeah, this one is a bummer. 

975
00:50:40,240 --> 00:50:41,920
Obviously Niko got hurt, so 
right down. 

976
00:50:42,200 --> 00:50:43,840
Well, right down to the 
hamstring injuries. 

977
00:50:43,840 --> 00:50:45,440
Niko Collins is Julio Jones two 
point. 

978
00:50:45,440 --> 00:50:47,320
O right now. 
Having hamstrings made out of. 

979
00:50:47,320 --> 00:50:50,560
Exactly, exactly. 
He's he's too fast and too 

980
00:50:50,560 --> 00:50:53,600
strong for his own body, so 
occasionally that's going to 

981
00:50:53,600 --> 00:50:55,720
hurt him. 
But yeah, I feel really good 

982
00:50:55,720 --> 00:50:58,080
about this one. 
I think that this wasn't just 

983
00:50:58,080 --> 00:51:01,040
like a hot take for the the sake
of hot takes it. 

984
00:51:01,120 --> 00:51:05,280
It was based on the fact that 
Nico Collins had a three-point O

985
00:51:05,280 --> 00:51:10,640
plus yards for Outrun in 2023. 
He was like 1 of only, I think 3

986
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:13,000
or 4 guys do that in the last 15
years. 

987
00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:16,880
The other three were Julio 
Jones, Tyree Kill and Cooper Cop

988
00:51:16,960 --> 00:51:18,760
I believe. 
Maybe I'm missing one there, but

989
00:51:18,760 --> 00:51:21,800
I think it's just those 3 and I 
thought everyone was like 

990
00:51:21,840 --> 00:51:25,400
tripping over themselves to make
excuses for why it wasn't that 

991
00:51:25,400 --> 00:51:26,840
impressive. 
I know he was a second round 

992
00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:29,960
pick, but it's like, ah, we got 
to draft Marvin Harrison over 

993
00:51:29,960 --> 00:51:31,160
him. 
We got to draft Drake London 

994
00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:33,480
over him. 
You know, these these aren't bad

995
00:51:33,480 --> 00:51:34,760
wide receivers, but I was just 
like, why? 

996
00:51:34,760 --> 00:51:38,120
Why can't we be more excited 
about Nico Collins? 

997
00:51:38,240 --> 00:51:43,680
3 point O yards per out run? 
He's like 6 foot four runs A4440

998
00:51:44,080 --> 00:51:46,360
like I I just wasn't getting why
we weren't more excited. 

999
00:51:46,360 --> 00:51:49,400
So. 
Yeah, I think part of the Nico 

1000
00:51:49,400 --> 00:51:52,720
Collins stuff was like, and it's
something I've tried to do a 

1001
00:51:52,720 --> 00:51:55,560
better job of it. 
Like when a guy is not a great 

1002
00:51:55,560 --> 00:51:59,880
prospect but then he has a great
results, we need to be pretty 

1003
00:51:59,880 --> 00:52:03,480
quick and be like, well, we're 
wrong, you know. 

1004
00:52:03,480 --> 00:52:06,000
And what was Collins was a third
round pick? 

1005
00:52:06,000 --> 00:52:08,040
I think so. 
Is that right? 

1006
00:52:08,040 --> 00:52:11,280
Yeah, He was an early declare 
third round pick, kind of like 

1007
00:52:11,280 --> 00:52:12,760
developmental. 
I don't think he was early 

1008
00:52:12,760 --> 00:52:15,040
declare. 
I think he, maybe he was a red 

1009
00:52:15,040 --> 00:52:17,320
shirt junior, but I'm pretty 
sure he did at least four years.

1010
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:23,000
So so the deal with Nico was 
that he was a giga 5 star like 

1011
00:52:23,000 --> 00:52:24,960
this. 
Like when Michigan landed him, 

1012
00:52:25,000 --> 00:52:28,680
it was like a big deal and then 
it was Michigan. 

1013
00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:32,400
So he just absolute like, you 
know how many let's see him 

1014
00:52:32,400 --> 00:52:36,480
going forward passes. 
They threw his two seasons, 2018

1015
00:52:36,640 --> 00:52:39,840
Michigan Wolverines, they threw 
347 passes. 

1016
00:52:40,040 --> 00:52:43,920
His quarterback then I believe 
is still in in still in college.

1017
00:52:44,160 --> 00:52:46,800
Shay Patterson. 
It's 2024 and. 

1018
00:52:46,800 --> 00:52:50,360
In 2019. 
They threw 410 passes. 

1019
00:52:51,960 --> 00:52:52,520
He. 
Yeah. 

1020
00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:55,920
Just. 
Really, really incredible stuff.

1021
00:52:56,840 --> 00:53:00,200
Yeah, yeah, I don't, I'm not 
sure about the earlier. 

1022
00:53:00,200 --> 00:53:04,000
He was 20/17/2017 high school 
class drafted 2021. 

1023
00:53:04,000 --> 00:53:06,520
So he was, I don't know if he's 
red shirted a year maybe, but he

1024
00:53:06,520 --> 00:53:09,280
was. 
But he, he was very much like a,

1025
00:53:10,200 --> 00:53:12,960
you know, he kind of Terry 
Mclareny. 

1026
00:53:12,960 --> 00:53:15,840
I'd say it's like bet on size, 
athleticism, downfield 

1027
00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:19,200
production, and he comes in and 
he doesn't do anything his 

1028
00:53:19,200 --> 00:53:23,120
rookie year, but then his 
sophomore year was was better 

1029
00:53:23,120 --> 00:53:26,040
and then his junior year was or 
not junior, but his third year 

1030
00:53:26,040 --> 00:53:29,960
in the league was like amazing, 
right? 

1031
00:53:29,960 --> 00:53:33,400
And this is his fourth year. 
Yeah, this is fourth year. 

1032
00:53:35,320 --> 00:53:39,680
But I think I was like the thing
I'm like a little bit annoying 

1033
00:53:39,840 --> 00:53:42,040
with myself was like I was like,
well, Tank Dell, I didn't really

1034
00:53:42,040 --> 00:53:44,000
like that much of the prospect, 
but he's so good as a rookie and

1035
00:53:44,000 --> 00:53:47,120
now I'm in. 
Nico has been. 

1036
00:53:47,120 --> 00:53:50,840
It took a little longer. 
But to your point, Sam, what we 

1037
00:53:50,840 --> 00:53:54,640
got in the third season was so 
good that it should have like 

1038
00:53:55,160 --> 00:53:59,800
adjusted priors more thoroughly.
Yeah, here's where, not that 

1039
00:53:59,800 --> 00:54:02,040
anyone cares at this point. 
This is the weird part of Nico's

1040
00:54:02,040 --> 00:54:04,840
profile that was missing. 
He opted out of the 2020 season 

1041
00:54:05,080 --> 00:54:07,560
due to COVID. 
So that's where there's that 

1042
00:54:07,560 --> 00:54:09,080
weird thing. 
But you you're right. 

1043
00:54:09,080 --> 00:54:11,120
Yeah, he was not planning to be 
an early declare. 

1044
00:54:11,120 --> 00:54:12,840
He was planning to play, 
obviously, in 2020. 

1045
00:54:12,840 --> 00:54:18,160
So, yeah, I think that's a good 
point that you make, Pat, that 

1046
00:54:18,160 --> 00:54:20,840
because it's not always wrong, 
like being being skeptical of 

1047
00:54:20,840 --> 00:54:23,840
guys who aren't great prospects 
like that serves you right 

1048
00:54:23,840 --> 00:54:25,160
sometimes. 
Like that probably would have 

1049
00:54:25,160 --> 00:54:27,280
served you right with Christian 
Watson. 

1050
00:54:27,280 --> 00:54:31,480
I think on the spectrum of where
I land on this compared to like 

1051
00:54:32,720 --> 00:54:35,880
you and Gretchen, other smart 
analysts, not saying like I'm 

1052
00:54:35,880 --> 00:54:38,120
right or wrong on this. 
Like I'm more willing, 

1053
00:54:38,360 --> 00:54:41,240
especially with all like the 
weird like COVID stuff that's 

1054
00:54:41,240 --> 00:54:43,440
happened the last couple years. 
I'm more willing to just say 

1055
00:54:43,440 --> 00:54:47,120
like kind of throw out the 
college stuff once I see it like

1056
00:54:47,120 --> 00:54:49,600
once we're talking year 4 in the
NFL. 

1057
00:54:49,600 --> 00:54:52,880
Like I don't really care about 
his college stuff that much. 

1058
00:54:53,280 --> 00:54:56,240
But again, that there has been 
some points for that perspective

1059
00:54:56,240 --> 00:54:59,200
of like, oh, keep in mind the 
Longview and his profile more 

1060
00:54:59,440 --> 00:55:02,480
does does pay off. 
So it's it's, it's one of those 

1061
00:55:02,480 --> 00:55:05,400
things where it's not black and 
white like it's, it's a per, 

1062
00:55:05,480 --> 00:55:08,520
it's a player by player thing 
that you got evaluated on. 

1063
00:55:10,240 --> 00:55:12,400
Yeah, I do. 
I think I would probably say I 

1064
00:55:12,400 --> 00:55:14,680
was a little bit biased though, 
because to your point, like in 

1065
00:55:14,680 --> 00:55:16,640
Year 4, it doesn't really matter
and he's coming up this 

1066
00:55:16,640 --> 00:55:19,000
incredible season. 
But I'm going, well, he did a 

1067
00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:22,240
lot of damage with with tank out
and everything, but you could 

1068
00:55:22,240 --> 00:55:24,600
also have flipped that and be 
like, yeah, but he was the only 

1069
00:55:24,600 --> 00:55:27,080
option on the team and the 
entire offense flowed through 

1070
00:55:27,080 --> 00:55:28,920
him, which is like what we're 
looking for. 

1071
00:55:29,720 --> 00:55:31,560
So yeah, so yeah, that's what I 
didn't do. 

1072
00:55:31,680 --> 00:55:35,880
It's like, Oh yeah, he had like 
200 yards when everyone else was

1073
00:55:35,880 --> 00:55:38,000
hurt. 
And I'm like that seems good if 

1074
00:55:38,320 --> 00:55:40,080
the guys who's. 
Running bus alongside of this. 

1075
00:55:40,640 --> 00:55:45,040
Yeah, it's like Robert Woods and
whatever, Noah Brown and the 

1076
00:55:45,040 --> 00:55:47,320
defense still can't stop him 
like that seems pretty good to 

1077
00:55:47,320 --> 00:55:51,000
me, but. 
You know, yeah, but I I tend to 

1078
00:55:51,000 --> 00:55:55,120
think I'm kind of coming around 
more to your side of like, let's

1079
00:55:55,120 --> 00:55:58,360
let's like throw out the 
prospect stuff. 

1080
00:55:58,600 --> 00:56:03,760
But when we get bullish news, 
like, you know, let's let's 

1081
00:56:04,080 --> 00:56:06,880
let's say you look, I mean, you 
know, This is why I was so on 

1082
00:56:06,880 --> 00:56:09,840
Rushy Rice. 
Like that was an amazing rookie 

1083
00:56:09,840 --> 00:56:10,920
year. 
He plays with Patrick Holmes. 

1084
00:56:10,920 --> 00:56:13,520
Like I don't care any any draft 
capital behind him. 

1085
00:56:13,520 --> 00:56:17,680
So there was getting. 
Stuck down by Patrick Mahomes. 

1086
00:56:17,680 --> 00:56:20,440
Like think of how think like 
recontextualize how good Rashi 

1087
00:56:20,440 --> 00:56:23,280
Rice must be given how bad his 
quarterback play was. 

1088
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:30,560
Like imagine Rashi Rice on the 
Lions with Jared Goff. 

1089
00:56:31,320 --> 00:56:36,520
No, go on, man. 
Kind of recontextualizes Travis 

1090
00:56:36,520 --> 00:56:38,440
Kelsey's career too. 
It honestly does I. 

1091
00:56:38,880 --> 00:56:41,640
Mean he held him back. 
Yeah, Kelsey's even Kelsey. 

1092
00:56:41,920 --> 00:56:43,840
Even better. 
Yeah, for real. 

1093
00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:49,600
But I think I don't know, I'd 
still like willing to I think 

1094
00:56:49,600 --> 00:56:53,360
like if a guy's had a bad rookie
season, we should maybe return 

1095
00:56:53,360 --> 00:56:56,560
to the prospect profile and see 
is there any hope for I mean, 

1096
00:56:56,560 --> 00:56:58,880
Tank Bixby would be an example 
of this, you know, like it's 

1097
00:56:58,880 --> 00:57:01,280
like it is a decent enough 
prospect profile bombs his 

1098
00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:04,680
rookie year. 
I think in that case, you want 

1099
00:57:04,680 --> 00:57:07,880
to return and see if there's any
hope for, you know, someone to 

1100
00:57:08,040 --> 00:57:12,320
overcome disappointment. 
But yeah, when you get when you 

1101
00:57:12,320 --> 00:57:15,840
get stuff as bullish as what 
Nico showed in year 3, like this

1102
00:57:15,880 --> 00:57:20,360
doesn't matter anymore. 
Yeah, let's move on here to 

1103
00:57:20,360 --> 00:57:24,040
another hot button issue of the 
offseason of the season. 

1104
00:57:24,040 --> 00:57:28,520
So far, this one's been a yo-yo 
Davis's take was Marvin Harrison

1105
00:57:28,520 --> 00:57:31,400
junior's overpriced. 
I actually got the the real 

1106
00:57:31,800 --> 00:57:34,440
quotation from Davis here, so 
I'm not paraphrasing. 

1107
00:57:34,440 --> 00:57:39,040
He said, quote, Marvin Harrison 
is one of the most spectacularly

1108
00:57:39,040 --> 00:57:42,880
overdrafted players in the 
history of Best Ball Mania. 

1109
00:57:43,760 --> 00:57:45,960
Davis. 
This one is going to be 

1110
00:57:45,960 --> 00:57:48,720
contentious, I imagine. 
What is your grade on this 

1111
00:57:48,720 --> 00:57:50,400
stage? 
Who could possibly contend this?

1112
00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:54,080
He's not. 
He's not even like the second 

1113
00:57:54,080 --> 00:57:57,560
best rookie wide receiver. 
I agree, I agree with you. 

1114
00:57:57,560 --> 00:58:00,080
But there are, trust me, there 
are people that are going to be 

1115
00:58:00,080 --> 00:58:02,880
mad about this. 
Stage I I believe let me let me 

1116
00:58:02,880 --> 00:58:05,840
let me check so I don't say 
something that is is totally non

1117
00:58:05,840 --> 00:58:07,680
true. 
I believe he has fewer fantasy 

1118
00:58:07,680 --> 00:58:13,200
points than Xavier Worthy. 
That's probably close, but where

1119
00:58:13,200 --> 00:58:15,480
he hasn't played yet tonight, 
maybe on a points per game basis

1120
00:58:15,480 --> 00:58:20,280
or something. 
Yeah, so actually we'll jump to 

1121
00:58:20,280 --> 00:58:23,600
this. 
The the independent panel of 

1122
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:26,640
judges also submitted this 
slide, which I thought was 

1123
00:58:26,640 --> 00:58:29,960
interesting usually. 
Oh wow, the Jeff is normally 

1124
00:58:29,960 --> 00:58:33,280
don't submit additional slides. 
No, they usually don't. 

1125
00:58:33,280 --> 00:58:38,800
I think because Pat or P120K 
they he must have paid extra for

1126
00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:40,760
this. 
But yeah, this is Marvin 

1127
00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:44,680
Harrison Junior versus a cohort 
of mystery players. 

1128
00:58:45,560 --> 00:58:47,480
Yeah, I guess Pat, do you does 
this look like a fair 

1129
00:58:47,480 --> 00:58:49,560
statistical cohort like Marvin 
Harrison junior kind of the 

1130
00:58:49,560 --> 00:58:51,960
middle yards for route run. 
These guys very similar targets 

1131
00:58:51,960 --> 00:58:55,000
for route run, very similar 
points per game, also very 

1132
00:58:55,000 --> 00:58:57,000
similar, like if you want to 
argue the spike week point with 

1133
00:58:57,000 --> 00:58:59,640
Marvin Harrison Junior. 
These other guys also have had 

1134
00:58:59,640 --> 00:59:03,520
similar amounts of spike weeks 
in Yeah, spike, spike quarters, 

1135
00:59:03,520 --> 00:59:05,120
Yeah. 
Does this look like a fair set 

1136
00:59:05,120 --> 00:59:06,600
of comparisons patch? 
Sure. 

1137
00:59:06,680 --> 00:59:08,720
Yeah, it seems fair enough. 
Go ahead. 

1138
00:59:08,720 --> 00:59:09,320
OK, cool. 
Yeah. 

1139
00:59:09,320 --> 00:59:26,400
So 
again, I didn't, I didn't make 

1140
00:59:26,400 --> 00:59:28,240
this slide the the Independent. 
Judges. 

1141
00:59:28,920 --> 00:59:39,440
Together but. 
We found our new T Higgins. 

1142
00:59:39,440 --> 00:59:43,040
It was, it was it's it's Quentin
Johnson having a better yards 

1143
00:59:43,080 --> 00:59:45,120
for route run for me that I 
just. 

1144
00:59:45,440 --> 00:59:48,080
I know it's too much. 
It's too much. 

1145
00:59:49,840 --> 00:59:50,600
Oh my God. 
Yeah. 

1146
00:59:50,600 --> 00:59:52,840
T Higgins too good for this 
chart this year. 

1147
00:59:52,840 --> 00:59:54,280
No, he couldn't. 
He doesn't fit. 

1148
00:59:54,680 --> 00:59:59,400
I I almost put T Higgins like 
2021 stats on this or something 

1149
00:59:59,400 --> 01:00:01,600
like that, but. 
Couldn't quite do it. 

1150
01:00:02,160 --> 01:00:06,880
Yeah, my honest take on this is 
like he's playing the Rams and 

1151
01:00:06,880 --> 01:00:08,840
this is the funniest thing. 
He's playing the Rams in Week 

1152
01:00:08,840 --> 01:00:10,880
17. 
So what's going to happen is 

1153
01:00:10,880 --> 01:00:13,560
he's going to go for 100 yards 
and two touchdowns versus the 

1154
01:00:13,560 --> 01:00:17,160
Rams and no one, no one's going 
to be able to admit that they 

1155
01:00:17,160 --> 01:00:19,680
were wrong about Marvin Harris 
on whatever side you're on. 

1156
01:00:19,880 --> 01:00:22,720
You're going to think you were 
so right for targeting in the in

1157
01:00:22,720 --> 01:00:25,360
the first round because he had 
that spike week in Week 17. 

1158
01:00:25,560 --> 01:00:28,600
If you were fading him, you're 
going to think you're so right 

1159
01:00:28,600 --> 01:00:31,560
because you basically got fancy 
Quentin Johnson, Cortland son 

1160
01:00:31,560 --> 01:00:33,040
out of him on a season long 
basis. 

1161
01:00:33,560 --> 01:00:35,680
And we're going to go we're 
going to go into next season and

1162
01:00:35,680 --> 01:00:37,160
no one's going to be willing to 
agree. 

1163
01:00:37,160 --> 01:00:40,080
He's going to be a 12 turn pick 
again and we're going to do this

1164
01:00:40,080 --> 01:00:42,800
thing all over again. 
So that's that's my take in 

1165
01:00:42,800 --> 01:00:45,800
Marvin Harrison Junior is people
are going to be stuck in their 

1166
01:00:45,800 --> 01:00:48,200
corners on this one, but I don't
know. 

1167
01:00:48,280 --> 01:00:49,400
Yeah. 
Pat, what do you think? 

1168
01:00:49,480 --> 01:00:51,840
Like stripping the irony out of 
Marvin Harrison? 

1169
01:00:52,040 --> 01:00:54,200
What is your actual take on him 
so far this season? 

1170
01:00:55,600 --> 01:00:57,720
Yeah, I mean, I think Marvin 
Harrison was kind of the poster 

1171
01:00:57,720 --> 01:01:01,440
boy for this like thing we're 
all trying to figure out in 

1172
01:01:01,440 --> 01:01:04,360
basketball mania, which is that 
like the end of season 

1173
01:01:04,360 --> 01:01:08,080
production is just infinitely 
more valuable than the regular 

1174
01:01:08,080 --> 01:01:10,920
season production. 
And you know, how how do we 

1175
01:01:10,920 --> 01:01:13,560
weight that when we're drafting 
teams and putting teams 

1176
01:01:13,560 --> 01:01:17,160
together? 
I do think that, you know, if 

1177
01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:19,960
you're, if you're have a a wide 
receiver on your team who's at 

1178
01:01:19,960 --> 01:01:24,800
1.8 yards per outrun, is a big 
piece of his team's offense, has

1179
01:01:24,800 --> 01:01:29,320
competent quarterback play and 
is already achieved this despite

1180
01:01:29,320 --> 01:01:32,040
being a rookie. 
I think you're pretty excited 

1181
01:01:32,040 --> 01:01:35,040
about that, even if you had to 
pay the 2O2 to get them. 

1182
01:01:35,200 --> 01:01:38,880
You know, I, I really don't 
think like he's in many, there's

1183
01:01:38,880 --> 01:01:41,680
many players. 
I'm like, God damn it, I have 

1184
01:01:41,680 --> 01:01:43,520
this guy. 
I don't think he's really one of

1185
01:01:43,520 --> 01:01:45,720
those guys. 
Now there's other guys you'd 

1186
01:01:45,720 --> 01:01:47,720
rather take it. 
It's more about who you took 

1187
01:01:47,800 --> 01:01:53,240
over him than what he has done. 
Himself, sure, but most of the 

1188
01:01:53,240 --> 01:01:56,200
players aren't wide receivers so
it's probably more maybe more of

1189
01:01:56,200 --> 01:01:59,040
a larger structural. 
Thing, Nico Collins and Drake 

1190
01:01:59,040 --> 01:02:01,640
London were the next two wide 
receivers out for him. 

1191
01:02:02,320 --> 01:02:05,840
Yeah, Nico for sure. 
Drake London you'd rather have. 

1192
01:02:08,400 --> 01:02:11,600
Yeah, no, I agree. 
I mean, I think he, it felt 

1193
01:02:11,600 --> 01:02:13,560
steamy. 
At the same time, I was just 

1194
01:02:13,560 --> 01:02:16,520
like, I'm not going to be out on
this guy because, you know, he 

1195
01:02:16,520 --> 01:02:18,960
could just be the dude. 
I don't think he's the dude 

1196
01:02:18,960 --> 01:02:21,840
right now. 
But you know, CD Lamb had 1.8 

1197
01:02:21,840 --> 01:02:25,040
yards per outrun in his rookie 
season or close to that in that 

1198
01:02:25,040 --> 01:02:27,200
range. 
Lots of guys who go on to be 

1199
01:02:27,200 --> 01:02:31,760
superstars are produced 
similarly, you know, through 

1200
01:02:31,760 --> 01:02:35,400
week nine of their rookie season
to what Harrison has done. 

1201
01:02:36,000 --> 01:02:40,280
So I'm still, you know, pretty 
bullish on what his career looks

1202
01:02:40,280 --> 01:02:41,400
like. 
Yeah. 

1203
01:02:41,400 --> 01:02:44,120
But there's always going to be 
this thing like, if he doesn't 

1204
01:02:44,120 --> 01:02:47,080
hit the ground running in a way 
that rookie wide receivers 

1205
01:02:47,080 --> 01:02:51,520
rarely do, ironically, even like
neighbors did just that. 

1206
01:02:51,520 --> 01:02:54,280
But if he doesn't do that, then 
it's going to be like, what are 

1207
01:02:54,280 --> 01:02:57,160
we doing? 
And to your point, Sam, it's 

1208
01:02:57,160 --> 01:02:59,720
just going to come down to what 
what his playoffs are like, 

1209
01:02:59,720 --> 01:03:02,160
which is not, you know, it's 
like a really difficult way to 

1210
01:03:02,160 --> 01:03:05,680
judge. 
But, you know, I do think he's, 

1211
01:03:06,400 --> 01:03:09,760
I do think that even, you know, 
with this price, he's probably 

1212
01:03:11,000 --> 01:03:15,240
more likely to be peaking at the
end of the season than some than

1213
01:03:15,240 --> 01:03:18,360
some veterans, you know, because
he his role can continue to 

1214
01:03:18,360 --> 01:03:19,240
grow. 
Yeah. 

1215
01:03:19,240 --> 01:03:23,760
So that's where it's just, it's,
it was always going to be a 

1216
01:03:23,760 --> 01:03:28,280
difficult eval because it was an
insane price to pay relative to 

1217
01:03:28,280 --> 01:03:34,440
what we've done historically. 
I I give Davis credit for making

1218
01:03:34,440 --> 01:03:36,480
the stand on it though, because 
it was not. 

1219
01:03:36,720 --> 01:03:39,440
We just basically no one wanted.
To be. 

1220
01:03:39,720 --> 01:03:42,440
A Marvin Harrison Bear. 
No one wanted to put their name 

1221
01:03:42,440 --> 01:03:45,160
to this take. 
So I think if if we're giving, I

1222
01:03:45,200 --> 01:03:50,760
think an A minus is too that's 
too kind as far as the the way 

1223
01:03:50,760 --> 01:03:53,640
the takes played out because I 
don't think he's been 

1224
01:03:53,640 --> 01:03:58,160
spectacularly overdrafted 
relative to the results, leaving

1225
01:03:58,160 --> 01:03:59,960
aside the comps that Sam put 
together. 

1226
01:03:59,960 --> 01:04:05,160
But I do think that taking a 
stand against Harrison was 

1227
01:04:05,160 --> 01:04:08,480
something no one wanted to do. 
And so I'm OK with the grade 

1228
01:04:08,760 --> 01:04:12,600
factoring that part of it in. 
Yeah, I, I don't disagree with 

1229
01:04:12,600 --> 01:04:15,080
anything you said. 
I think we, we've we've hashed 

1230
01:04:15,080 --> 01:04:19,760
this out before on like the the 
late season rookie spike thing 

1231
01:04:19,760 --> 01:04:22,760
and I've laid out why. 
I guess I just don't see like 

1232
01:04:22,760 --> 01:04:24,840
why is Marvin Harrison more 
likely to be spiking the 

1233
01:04:24,840 --> 01:04:27,120
playoffs than Drake London or 
Nico Collins? 

1234
01:04:27,120 --> 01:04:29,720
Like these are also young 
players in the rookie contracts.

1235
01:04:29,720 --> 01:04:32,480
Like are they, do they have any 
like bench risk or something 

1236
01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:34,360
like that that's going to 
prevent them from spiking the 

1237
01:04:34,360 --> 01:04:36,320
playoffs? 
So that's a part of it that I. 

1238
01:04:36,320 --> 01:04:38,560
And it gets up this high. 
I hear what you're saying. 

1239
01:04:38,560 --> 01:04:39,160
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

1240
01:04:39,320 --> 01:04:42,400
That's what I was never sold on.
And like also the data backs us 

1241
01:04:42,400 --> 01:04:46,040
up like Jack, Jack Miller's done
articles on this that showed 

1242
01:04:46,040 --> 01:04:49,640
actually it's the the later. 
He just does it by ADP, not like

1243
01:04:49,760 --> 01:04:51,200
draft capital or anything like 
that. 

1244
01:04:51,560 --> 01:04:53,640
It would be interesting to 
actually do it by like NFL draft

1245
01:04:53,640 --> 01:04:56,760
capital. 
He just does it by like ADP of 

1246
01:04:56,760 --> 01:04:59,440
where the rookies are taken. 
And he's shown that the last 

1247
01:04:59,520 --> 01:05:04,480
5-10 years that the rookies that
actually spike at the end of the

1248
01:05:04,480 --> 01:05:07,200
season are the later round 
rookie wide receivers, not the 

1249
01:05:07,200 --> 01:05:09,400
ones that go in the 1st 8 
rounds. 

1250
01:05:09,400 --> 01:05:12,480
Now can you find examples of 
guys that spiked the end of the 

1251
01:05:12,480 --> 01:05:13,760
season that were earlier around 
that? 

1252
01:05:14,120 --> 01:05:15,000
Certainly. 
Can. 

1253
01:05:15,440 --> 01:05:20,280
Definitely makes sense to me the
way the NFL is played now where 

1254
01:05:20,280 --> 01:05:22,440
these rookies just hit the 
ground running right away. 

1255
01:05:22,480 --> 01:05:24,960
Right, right. 
That that makes total sense to 

1256
01:05:24,960 --> 01:05:26,640
me. 
Like Marvin Hearson, Junior and 

1257
01:05:26,640 --> 01:05:28,720
Lake Neighbor started their 
first NFL games. 

1258
01:05:29,200 --> 01:05:31,400
Exactly, Yeah. 
I do think it's something to 

1259
01:05:31,400 --> 01:05:34,640
like, if you look at kind of the
way that offense is designed, 

1260
01:05:34,720 --> 01:05:37,600
who you know, it's right now, I 
think McBride is the number one 

1261
01:05:37,600 --> 01:05:43,160
in that offense. 
And you're if you take a guy who

1262
01:05:43,760 --> 01:05:50,240
is, you know, the number 2 on 
their offense, you're much more 

1263
01:05:50,240 --> 01:05:54,800
likely to have that change in 
your guys favor if he's a rookie

1264
01:05:54,880 --> 01:05:57,760
or maybe a second year player 
over the course of that season. 

1265
01:05:57,760 --> 01:06:01,480
I think that's that's kind of 
part of it for me is like Malik 

1266
01:06:01,480 --> 01:06:03,720
Neighbors is not like he's 
already the dude. 

1267
01:06:03,720 --> 01:06:05,760
So like his upside is just kind 
of is what it is now. 

1268
01:06:05,840 --> 01:06:07,880
Like he's essentially Malik 
neighbors became a veteran in 

1269
01:06:07,880 --> 01:06:11,440
like one week, you know, but 
Harrison is still in some ways a

1270
01:06:11,440 --> 01:06:13,680
Rook, even though it's playing 
time reflects that of a veteran 

1271
01:06:13,680 --> 01:06:17,280
because I think at the end of 
the season, it's possible that 

1272
01:06:17,280 --> 01:06:20,280
like he has emerged as like 
their clear go to weapon in a 

1273
01:06:20,280 --> 01:06:21,400
way that he really isn't. 
Right now. 

1274
01:06:21,400 --> 01:06:25,000
It's more McBride. 
Here's the the last thing I'll 

1275
01:06:25,000 --> 01:06:31,640
say on this is like the Kyler 
stuff and you can debate if you 

1276
01:06:31,640 --> 01:06:33,680
know Kyler's bomb is a little 
harsh. 

1277
01:06:33,680 --> 01:06:38,280
I think it is fair to say that 
the Kyler Marvin Harrison junior

1278
01:06:38,280 --> 01:06:43,560
connection is not something it's
a work in progress. 

1279
01:06:43,560 --> 01:06:47,480
And I can also make the argument
that like stylistically, I'm not

1280
01:06:47,480 --> 01:06:50,920
sure Marvin Harrison with his 
ability to like win on crossing 

1281
01:06:50,920 --> 01:06:53,840
routes over the middle, which 
has been kind of underutilized 

1282
01:06:54,600 --> 01:06:57,600
anyways, has not been a great 
fit with Kyler Murray, who's not

1283
01:06:57,600 --> 01:06:58,920
good at throwing the ball over 
the middle. 

1284
01:06:58,920 --> 01:07:02,000
Like everyone saw the Trey 
McBride wide open end zone look 

1285
01:07:02,160 --> 01:07:05,720
this past week, like literally 
Tyler Murray either couldn't see

1286
01:07:05,720 --> 01:07:08,680
him because he's too short to 
see over the lineman or his 

1287
01:07:08,680 --> 01:07:10,960
vision at looking at players 
over the middle of field is not 

1288
01:07:10,960 --> 01:07:12,840
good. 
So I just think like when you're

1289
01:07:12,840 --> 01:07:16,720
talking about a first round 
fantasy pick, you need so many 

1290
01:07:16,720 --> 01:07:20,000
factors to to go right. 
You need the player to be 

1291
01:07:20,000 --> 01:07:21,480
awesome. 
You need him to have awesome 

1292
01:07:21,480 --> 01:07:24,280
chemistry with his quarterback. 
Like you, you know a lot of 

1293
01:07:24,280 --> 01:07:26,680
things to go right. 
And even if you thought Marvin 

1294
01:07:26,680 --> 01:07:29,600
Harrison junior is some 
unquestioned generational 

1295
01:07:29,600 --> 01:07:33,840
superstar prospect, like, I 
don't know, I guess like give me

1296
01:07:33,840 --> 01:07:36,960
the wide receiver that already 
has proven that connection with 

1297
01:07:36,960 --> 01:07:39,040
this quarterback and Nico 
Collins or or give me the wide 

1298
01:07:39,040 --> 01:07:42,760
receiver with a much more 
experienced pocket passing 

1299
01:07:42,760 --> 01:07:45,760
quarterback and Kurt Cousins and
Drake London. 

1300
01:07:45,760 --> 01:07:48,720
So I I don't know, I just think 
like the Kyler part of this was 

1301
01:07:48,720 --> 01:07:51,360
like a little under. 
The stuff do the Kyler's a bum 

1302
01:07:51,360 --> 01:07:54,920
people I I'm just wondering like
are they able to see the final 

1303
01:07:54,920 --> 01:07:57,480
scores of games? 
Like do they? 

1304
01:07:57,840 --> 01:07:59,800
I don't agree with Kyler as a 
bomb for. 

1305
01:07:59,800 --> 01:08:03,080
The rest like or or do you guys 
have access to like divisional 

1306
01:08:03,080 --> 01:08:05,440
standings or like betting odds 
or? 

1307
01:08:06,160 --> 01:08:08,800
Like EPA? 
Have none of that has reached 

1308
01:08:08,800 --> 01:08:12,200
your corner of the Internet yet?
It'll get there someday. 

1309
01:08:12,480 --> 01:08:14,560
Standing standings. 
Like running back quarterback 

1310
01:08:14,560 --> 01:08:17,439
8IN EPA or something. 
Just like might be might be 

1311
01:08:17,439 --> 01:08:19,560
interesting for you to. 
I don't learn to read, learn to 

1312
01:08:19,560 --> 01:08:25,880
read. 
I mean, Kyler has his flaws. 

1313
01:08:25,920 --> 01:08:27,680
Like he's a very frustrating 
quarterback. 

1314
01:08:28,120 --> 01:08:31,279
He looks like he's quarterback 
12 and EPA for play. 

1315
01:08:32,960 --> 01:08:35,000
Hire them Holmes. 
He's hire them, Holmes. 

1316
01:08:36,319 --> 01:08:39,720
Interesting. 
All right, we'll go on here to 

1317
01:08:39,920 --> 01:08:43,040
Pat stake another Cardinals 
player, he said. 

1318
01:08:43,040 --> 01:08:46,479
Quote, I'm not sure Trey McBride
is that good. 

1319
01:08:46,720 --> 01:08:49,040
And then the argument I think 
Pat and you can correct me if 

1320
01:08:49,040 --> 01:08:52,880
I'm wrong, is that he he looked 
to you like potentially just a 

1321
01:08:52,880 --> 01:08:56,760
product of weak target 
competition in Arizona in 2023 

1322
01:08:56,960 --> 01:08:59,680
and 2022 with Zacker, it's Ron 
Delmore, Michael Wilson, 

1323
01:09:00,279 --> 01:09:03,240
etcetera. 
I thought this comment was funny

1324
01:09:03,279 --> 01:09:05,600
from the truth serum take. 
So the top comment. 

1325
01:09:05,920 --> 01:09:09,479
I physically threw tomatoes at 
my TV screen when Pat said that 

1326
01:09:09,720 --> 01:09:14,800
awful Tray McBride take. 
Pat, what are your thoughts on 

1327
01:09:14,800 --> 01:09:17,399
on this one? 
The the main issue at this take 

1328
01:09:17,399 --> 01:09:21,920
is that Tray McBride is good and
so it just makes it hard to 

1329
01:09:22,040 --> 01:09:24,800
defend the take. 
Yeah, generally if you say guys,

1330
01:09:24,800 --> 01:09:26,840
MIDI should. 
Not that rushing that rushing 

1331
01:09:26,840 --> 01:09:28,760
touchdown yesterday. 
Yeah. 

1332
01:09:29,120 --> 01:09:30,760
Well, of course. 
And, and you know, I mean, look,

1333
01:09:30,760 --> 01:09:33,600
obviously like Kyler sucks so 
bad he couldn't throw it to him.

1334
01:09:33,600 --> 01:09:36,439
Like clearly, clearly Kyler's 
just a bum. 

1335
01:09:36,439 --> 01:09:38,399
So they had to give him a crat a
rushing touchdown. 

1336
01:09:38,680 --> 01:09:41,359
Right. 
Yeah, I had James Conner in the 

1337
01:09:41,359 --> 01:09:45,000
DFS lineup that missed, missed 
the cash line by a point. 

1338
01:09:45,640 --> 01:09:50,560
So that didn't hurt at all. 
But yeah, not me, who cares. 

1339
01:09:50,840 --> 01:09:54,520
But no chair McBride is good. 
His yards per hour on is 

1340
01:09:54,600 --> 01:09:58,680
actually slightly higher this 
year than was last year. 

1341
01:09:58,680 --> 01:10:00,440
We didn't have any turn 
competition. 

1342
01:10:02,200 --> 01:10:05,600
He's I think the number one 
right now ahead of Harrison, 

1343
01:10:06,120 --> 01:10:09,320
which is impressive even if 
Harrison eventually overtakes 

1344
01:10:09,320 --> 01:10:10,640
him. 
Like I don't think he needs to 

1345
01:10:10,640 --> 01:10:14,000
keep as a tight end. 
I don't need he think he needs 

1346
01:10:14,000 --> 01:10:18,160
to like play the whole season as
the clear number one over a 

1347
01:10:18,160 --> 01:10:21,920
generational wide receiver 
prospect to, you know, 

1348
01:10:22,320 --> 01:10:25,600
completely sync my my mid take. 
So yeah, I don't really have 

1349
01:10:25,600 --> 01:10:27,880
much of A defense. 
Yeah, yeah. 

1350
01:10:27,880 --> 01:10:31,240
I mean you, if you had just 
picked Dalton Kincaid or Sam 

1351
01:10:31,240 --> 01:10:33,720
Laporta, you had a lot of 
options here to. 

1352
01:10:33,840 --> 01:10:39,360
Well, I think I did. 
I give it to this take into sort

1353
01:10:39,360 --> 01:10:40,880
of an defense of Marvin 
Harrison. 

1354
01:10:40,960 --> 01:10:42,880
Is that like part of the reason 
that we're? 

1355
01:10:43,120 --> 01:10:45,160
Got it. 
We're, you know, saying, oh, 

1356
01:10:45,200 --> 01:10:47,520
he's going to be overdrafted is 
because of Trey McBride, but 

1357
01:10:47,520 --> 01:10:49,600
like, well, Trey McBride was 
just in the right place at the 

1358
01:10:49,600 --> 01:10:50,760
right time. 
Turns out that. 

1359
01:10:50,760 --> 01:10:53,080
Was I will, I will agree with 
you there, because I was 

1360
01:10:53,080 --> 01:10:55,200
rewatching the show today. 
This looked like a take you 

1361
01:10:55,200 --> 01:10:57,280
really didn't want to give. 
Like you had you had something 

1362
01:10:57,280 --> 01:10:58,840
else queued up. 
And then because we were 

1363
01:10:58,840 --> 01:11:01,400
talking, talking about Marvin 
Harrison Junior, that pulled 

1364
01:11:01,400 --> 01:11:02,000
this one out. 
Of you. 

1365
01:11:02,000 --> 01:11:05,840
It was a truth truth serum take.
I was on truth serum and they 

1366
01:11:06,320 --> 01:11:08,720
Davis made me think of this and 
I had to say it. 

1367
01:11:09,000 --> 01:11:12,280
I didn't want to say this. 
OK, this is the way truth serum 

1368
01:11:12,280 --> 01:11:13,960
works. 
You have to say what comes into 

1369
01:11:13,960 --> 01:11:15,800
your mind. 
Exactly. 

1370
01:11:15,840 --> 01:11:19,240
Now, if, if all of our truth 
serum takes were good, then that

1371
01:11:19,240 --> 01:11:21,480
would be bad. 
That would actually show that we

1372
01:11:21,480 --> 01:11:23,200
were being dishonest as fantasy 
analysts. 

1373
01:11:23,200 --> 01:11:25,200
You got to have some. 
You got to have some bad takes 

1374
01:11:25,200 --> 01:11:27,040
in the back of your mind. 
There you don't want to say. 

1375
01:11:27,400 --> 01:11:29,120
Yeah, unfortunately the 
panelists did. 

1376
01:11:30,120 --> 01:11:32,160
Yeah, they asked to see you 
after class. 

1377
01:11:32,160 --> 01:11:33,200
I don't really know what that 
means. 

1378
01:11:33,240 --> 01:11:34,360
Oh, you're playing pickleball 
again? 

1379
01:11:34,360 --> 01:11:38,200
What's going on? 
Yeah, they they were not too 

1380
01:11:38,200 --> 01:11:39,560
kind on this one. 
Yeah. 

1381
01:11:40,680 --> 01:11:42,520
Davis, any final words here 
before we move on? 

1382
01:11:42,960 --> 01:11:45,520
He really should have just done 
Dalton Kincaid because that is 

1383
01:11:45,600 --> 01:11:47,120
just like he, you know, it's 
like. 

1384
01:11:47,600 --> 01:11:50,640
It was right there. 
Dunking on Dalton Kincaid now is

1385
01:11:50,640 --> 01:11:52,960
like you're you're just the 
globetrotters and he's the 

1386
01:11:52,960 --> 01:11:55,000
Washington generals. 
It's like the it's like the 

1387
01:11:55,000 --> 01:11:57,520
easiest layup you can make as a 
fantasy analyst now. 

1388
01:11:57,960 --> 01:11:59,320
Yeah. 
He's yeah. 

1389
01:11:59,920 --> 01:12:01,360
These are called intrusive 
thoughts, Pat. 

1390
01:12:01,360 --> 01:12:02,280
And no, you don't have to say 
them. 

1391
01:12:02,480 --> 01:12:05,400
You do want fruit syrup. 
That's the whole point. 

1392
01:12:06,040 --> 01:12:08,720
The truth of thought serum is it
would be another name for it. 

1393
01:12:09,160 --> 01:12:11,760
And people thought the truth 
serum thing was just like a bit 

1394
01:12:11,760 --> 01:12:15,440
like, no, we actually had real 
doctors comment and checked us 

1395
01:12:15,440 --> 01:12:17,400
with. 
Just just off screen, I was, 

1396
01:12:17,400 --> 01:12:20,760
there was an IV of truth serum 
flowing into my veins so that I 

1397
01:12:20,760 --> 01:12:23,480
didn't, I was worried I would 
only say the truth serum stuff 

1398
01:12:23,480 --> 01:12:25,680
at the beginning of the stream, 
but it was flowing. 

1399
01:12:25,680 --> 01:12:28,400
It was flowing the whole stream.
It was flowing the whole stream.

1400
01:12:28,400 --> 01:12:33,480
So anyway, Speaking of shitting 
on Don Kincaid, wow, another 

1401
01:12:33,520 --> 01:12:35,600
another good take for me. 
That's so surprising that my 

1402
01:12:35,600 --> 01:12:38,560
final show trying to bring up 
all my good takes that. 

1403
01:12:38,720 --> 01:12:41,600
This was this is by far the 
worst of your takes because you 

1404
01:12:41,600 --> 01:12:43,520
had to take George Kittle and 
Elite. 

1405
01:12:43,520 --> 01:12:46,400
OK, I might have. 
It's ridiculous. 

1406
01:12:46,800 --> 01:12:49,320
It was absolutely. 
Ridiculous I have to use the CNN

1407
01:12:49,360 --> 01:12:53,960
debate rules in this one, but 
this is what I said. 

1408
01:12:54,120 --> 01:12:56,080
That you're getting this off 
before Kelsey. 

1409
01:12:56,080 --> 01:13:01,040
Plays a point .3 ADP difference 
was enough to distinguish the 

1410
01:13:01,120 --> 01:13:04,320
the tier for. 
Let's let's not get bogged down 

1411
01:13:04,320 --> 01:13:06,400
in semantics. 
Let's just go with what the 

1412
01:13:06,400 --> 01:13:08,160
fact. 
Let's go with the facts of what 

1413
01:13:08,160 --> 01:13:10,600
I actually said. 
This, this is the facts of what 

1414
01:13:10,600 --> 01:13:13,680
I actually said. 
I said straight up in points, 

1415
01:13:13,880 --> 01:13:17,880
not not even cost adjusted. 
I'd say the tight end 7 through 

1416
01:13:17,880 --> 01:13:19,960
12. 
You can bicker on 7 verse 6. 

1417
01:13:20,040 --> 01:13:24,400
Fact of it is the ADP markets on
all the major fantasy websites 

1418
01:13:24,400 --> 01:13:26,440
that ranked George Kittle as the
tight end 7. 

1419
01:13:26,440 --> 01:13:28,440
I'm sorry they did that. 
I don't think that was right, 

1420
01:13:28,440 --> 01:13:31,400
but but they did. 
I said I'd straight up prefer 

1421
01:13:31,680 --> 01:13:35,200
the tight end 7 through 12 in 
raw points over the tight ends 

1422
01:13:35,200 --> 01:13:37,480
one through 6. 
And as a result of that, because

1423
01:13:37,480 --> 01:13:40,680
I prefer their points straight 
up and you can draft them later,

1424
01:13:40,960 --> 01:13:44,800
that makes the tight end 7 
through 12 much better picks on 

1425
01:13:44,800 --> 01:13:47,760
a cost adjusted basis than tight
ends one through 6. 

1426
01:13:48,240 --> 01:13:53,080
Fast forward to week 8, top 
three of the top four tight ends

1427
01:13:53,200 --> 01:13:56,000
are in that tight end 7 to 12 
range. 

1428
01:13:56,440 --> 01:13:59,160
Some of the major boss have come
in that tight end one to six 

1429
01:13:59,160 --> 01:14:01,800
range, most notably I'd say 
Dalton Kincaid and Sam LaPorte. 

1430
01:14:01,840 --> 01:14:03,920
LaPorte has been like the 
biggest boss because he was 

1431
01:14:03,920 --> 01:14:09,320
first and then varying degrees 
of boss for Andrews Kincaid. 

1432
01:14:09,360 --> 01:14:13,400
I mean, honestly a just a real 
suck out on Andrews that he's 

1433
01:14:13,400 --> 01:14:16,680
not the biggest bust. 
God, he's not going to start her

1434
01:14:16,680 --> 01:14:20,920
basically and somehow not the 
biggest early tight end bust. 

1435
01:14:21,040 --> 01:14:22,600
So. 
Touchdowns are the only thing 

1436
01:14:22,600 --> 01:14:29,480
that matters at the position. 
Yeah, but yeah, I mean the 

1437
01:14:29,480 --> 01:14:33,560
judges agreed with me again. 
I, I don't know, I mean. 

1438
01:14:33,560 --> 01:14:35,720
You got to give yourself the 
minus for your for your little 

1439
01:14:35,760 --> 01:14:38,880
your little George Kittle. 
That was so silly. 

1440
01:14:38,880 --> 01:14:41,600
I don't get the George Kittle 
thing because I'm not trying to 

1441
01:14:41,600 --> 01:14:44,680
get bogged down whether you call
him an elite tight end or not or

1442
01:14:44,680 --> 01:14:47,840
or whatever, but like, it was 
true, he was the tight end 7, 

1443
01:14:47,840 --> 01:14:49,840
right? 
I know, but it was sort of like 

1444
01:14:49,920 --> 01:14:52,760
there was a group of this early 
group that he was clearly a part

1445
01:14:52,760 --> 01:14:54,920
of and then there was a 
secondary group behind him. 

1446
01:14:55,240 --> 01:14:58,440
So it's a just like sliver him 
off and put him into a bucket 

1447
01:14:58,440 --> 01:15:02,200
that he wasn't being drafted as 
was always a little bit of a, 

1448
01:15:02,320 --> 01:15:05,240
you know, it was good. 
He was a, you know, credit to 

1449
01:15:05,240 --> 01:15:07,000
you for, for making sure you did
that. 

1450
01:15:07,000 --> 01:15:09,240
But I always thought it was like
sort of a silly framing of the 

1451
01:15:09,240 --> 01:15:12,680
argument because we're taking, 
you know, anyone drafting these 

1452
01:15:12,680 --> 01:15:16,280
early guys was pretty much into 
all the the early tight end 

1453
01:15:16,280 --> 01:15:17,560
thing or the elite tight end 
thing. 

1454
01:15:17,560 --> 01:15:19,560
We have to say early, because 
none of them are producing 

1455
01:15:19,560 --> 01:15:24,680
anything, is that, you know, we 
want to be mixing up our bets to

1456
01:15:24,680 --> 01:15:26,640
some extent and making sure 
we're drafting these guys 

1457
01:15:26,640 --> 01:15:28,200
because we saw it as a big 
opportunity. 

1458
01:15:30,200 --> 01:15:33,720
And so Kittle would always been 
part of that group in that in 

1459
01:15:33,720 --> 01:15:36,000
that strategy where a guy like 
in joke, it would not have been 

1460
01:15:36,560 --> 01:15:39,800
Bowers was, but he wasn't a part
of the elite tight end strategy.

1461
01:15:40,240 --> 01:15:44,960
Yeah, yeah, I guess my thing is 
that like, and I could be wrong 

1462
01:15:45,000 --> 01:15:48,160
and I could be paraphrasing 
people, I think like the elite 

1463
01:15:48,160 --> 01:15:52,800
tight end proponents were more 
so saying like you got to attack

1464
01:15:52,920 --> 01:15:56,600
all the top seven tight ends, 
like to an equal degree. 

1465
01:15:56,600 --> 01:15:58,680
I'm not saying people don't have
their their own player takes, 

1466
01:15:58,680 --> 01:16:02,040
but like the elite tight end 
take was like all these guys are

1467
01:16:02,040 --> 01:16:03,840
huge values. 
They're all way underpriced 

1468
01:16:03,840 --> 01:16:06,000
compared to last year. 
You got to hammer these top 

1469
01:16:06,000 --> 01:16:10,200
seven tight ends. 
And I thought that was wrong 

1470
01:16:10,200 --> 01:16:13,320
because it didn't factor in like
how flat tight end one through 

1471
01:16:13,320 --> 01:16:17,920
12 was and that you should 
actually like semi fade soft 

1472
01:16:17,920 --> 01:16:21,960
target some of the top six, but 
like go way after like kind of 

1473
01:16:21,960 --> 01:16:25,160
play chicken at the position and
then go really hard after 

1474
01:16:25,160 --> 01:16:28,160
Bowers, Kittle and Joker. 
Those those are my top three. 

1475
01:16:28,160 --> 01:16:31,080
Well, that's where I I see, I 
guess I see you're saying with 

1476
01:16:31,080 --> 01:16:33,360
the Kittle thing of like Kittle 
with the last guy. 

1477
01:16:33,360 --> 01:16:37,280
So you basically let Kittle fall
into your lap in round 6 or 

1478
01:16:37,280 --> 01:16:39,920
whatever. 
So from that perspective, it, it

1479
01:16:39,920 --> 01:16:45,240
fits the strategy. 
But it think to me, what makes 

1480
01:16:45,520 --> 01:16:49,480
your take correct is that Bowers
was sitting there and a Joku was

1481
01:16:49,480 --> 01:16:51,600
sitting there. 
I mean, Joku needed the Watson 

1482
01:16:51,600 --> 01:16:55,360
injury to like really get there.
But like he's going to get there

1483
01:16:55,480 --> 01:17:01,480
and Bowers was obviously Jameis.
Jameis, he'll get there. 

1484
01:17:01,480 --> 01:17:05,000
I mean, he's, he's going to get 
there like 2 weeks ago. 

1485
01:17:05,000 --> 01:17:06,760
Like that was already huge, you 
know? 

1486
01:17:07,880 --> 01:17:09,800
No, that's true. 
Yeah. 

1487
01:17:09,880 --> 01:17:12,280
I wonder. 
I'm I'm currently concerned for 

1488
01:17:12,280 --> 01:17:15,760
Tillman and Joku now that they 
might go to Dorian Thompson 

1489
01:17:15,800 --> 01:17:19,040
Robinson cause Winston is is so 
brutal. 

1490
01:17:20,120 --> 01:17:24,920
The the other thing with this 
TIG, the whole thing with the 

1491
01:17:24,920 --> 01:17:27,880
elite tight end and the elite 
tight end stuff's not going to 

1492
01:17:27,880 --> 01:17:30,600
work as well as I was hoping it 
was. 

1493
01:17:31,240 --> 01:17:34,280
But it's important, I think, to 
realize, like what the point of 

1494
01:17:34,280 --> 01:17:36,080
elite tight end is. 
Like, you know, I've written 

1495
01:17:36,080 --> 01:17:39,800
about it and it just doesn't 
really help your advance rates. 

1496
01:17:39,960 --> 01:17:42,360
And that's not the point of it. 
The point is not that it helps 

1497
01:17:42,360 --> 01:17:45,120
your advance rates. 
In some seasons, it might hurt 

1498
01:17:45,120 --> 01:17:48,200
your advance rates a little bit.
This season might hurt your 

1499
01:17:48,200 --> 01:17:51,560
advance rates a lot. 
But the point is that you're 

1500
01:17:51,560 --> 01:17:53,680
drafting these guys who have 
ceilings that aren't really 

1501
01:17:53,680 --> 01:17:57,240
available later. 
Now, I think Bowers specifically

1502
01:17:57,480 --> 01:17:59,800
would be the big counter to 
that. 

1503
01:17:59,800 --> 01:18:03,160
Like we had a guy who's the best
tight end prospect ever just 

1504
01:18:03,160 --> 01:18:07,120
sitting there, you know, Browns 
after these guys are going and 

1505
01:18:07,120 --> 01:18:12,680
he clearly has a ceiling a when 
you a fantasy playoff matchup 

1506
01:18:12,680 --> 01:18:17,680
ceiling that would be in line 
with these elite today. 

1507
01:18:17,680 --> 01:18:20,800
I mean, he's going to go like 
top 3-4 rounds next year. 

1508
01:18:20,800 --> 01:18:24,480
I think pretty clearly, you 
know, so that's where I think 

1509
01:18:24,480 --> 01:18:29,000
the I think Bowers is kind of 
the the the real king of your 

1510
01:18:29,000 --> 01:18:31,520
take, because you didn't have to
pay for the elite ceiling and 

1511
01:18:31,520 --> 01:18:33,760
you still got it. 
And I think a joke of those 

1512
01:18:33,760 --> 01:18:36,880
still gives you that. 
I think Ingram Ingram kind of 

1513
01:18:36,880 --> 01:18:40,360
gives you a little bit of a of a
spike week ceiling now with with

1514
01:18:40,360 --> 01:18:44,880
Kirk out. 
So that's that's part of the I 

1515
01:18:44,880 --> 01:18:47,320
think as far as framing the win 
of your take, it actually is 

1516
01:18:47,320 --> 01:18:52,320
like there were true ceiling 
tight ends available after the 

1517
01:18:52,320 --> 01:18:55,200
elite guys guys haven't shown 
the weekly ceiling. 

1518
01:18:55,200 --> 01:18:56,520
We were hoping for the most 
part. 

1519
01:18:57,520 --> 01:18:58,920
Yeah, that that was the point of
the take. 

1520
01:18:58,920 --> 01:19:02,360
It wasn't saying that like the 
idea of getting tight ends that 

1521
01:19:02,360 --> 01:19:05,840
have high ceiling is bad. 
My point is just that the way 

1522
01:19:05,840 --> 01:19:09,480
that the fantasy market was 
ordering the top 12 tight ends 

1523
01:19:09,480 --> 01:19:13,200
was just like straight up wrong.
And I, I, I was consistent about

1524
01:19:13,200 --> 01:19:16,920
this all offseason. 
So it's not me trying to do some

1525
01:19:16,920 --> 01:19:20,720
revisionist history like the 
eight round, seven round gap 

1526
01:19:20,720 --> 01:19:24,160
between Dalton Kincaid and David
and Joku, like literally I 

1527
01:19:24,160 --> 01:19:29,080
thought had zero foundation in 
fact or with what they did last 

1528
01:19:29,080 --> 01:19:30,240
year. 
Like there there was a lot of 

1529
01:19:30,240 --> 01:19:33,040
examples like that where I'm 
just like, these gaps make no 

1530
01:19:33,040 --> 01:19:35,160
sense. 
And reflecting back on it, like 

1531
01:19:35,160 --> 01:19:38,640
all those tight ends that went 
in rounds 345, that's where the 

1532
01:19:38,640 --> 01:19:40,480
smash running back picks are 
available. 

1533
01:19:40,480 --> 01:19:44,880
That's where Kenneth Walker, Joe
Mixon, Pacheco probably on track

1534
01:19:44,880 --> 01:19:46,200
to do that before he got 
injured. 

1535
01:19:46,480 --> 01:19:48,080
Like there were some land mines 
in there. 

1536
01:19:48,080 --> 01:19:53,160
But like, I think going running 
back there, passing on like the 

1537
01:19:53,160 --> 01:19:56,560
quote UN quote elite tight ends 
by ADP and then getting very 

1538
01:19:56,560 --> 01:20:00,880
similar profiles later was what 
I was consistent about all 

1539
01:20:00,880 --> 01:20:03,320
offseason. 
So that's my point is like, I'm 

1540
01:20:03,320 --> 01:20:05,200
not trying to say elite tight 
end was bad. 

1541
01:20:05,200 --> 01:20:08,640
I just think like this was a 
very unique tight end market 

1542
01:20:08,640 --> 01:20:12,480
that called for a different 
strategy based on the profiles 

1543
01:20:12,480 --> 01:20:14,480
that were available and where 
they were available. 

1544
01:20:15,520 --> 01:20:19,480
And I, I think I got a ton of 
things wrong this season. 

1545
01:20:19,480 --> 01:20:22,240
So I'm not trying to be like, 
Oh, I got everything right this 

1546
01:20:22,240 --> 01:20:26,320
year, but I, I do feel like I 
got this pretty right, to be 

1547
01:20:26,320 --> 01:20:28,800
honest. 
Like I, I don't know, but. 

1548
01:20:29,640 --> 01:20:32,520
I I see what you're saying like,
and some of these elite tight 

1549
01:20:32,520 --> 01:20:35,320
ends are still very live for 
like Travis Kelsey can have a 30

1550
01:20:35,320 --> 01:20:40,080
point week in the playoffs. 
Might have a 30 point game 

1551
01:20:40,080 --> 01:20:42,360
tonight after having a 30 point 
game last week. 

1552
01:20:42,520 --> 01:20:46,000
Might be. 
Yeah, Kelsey, one is weird, 

1553
01:20:46,000 --> 01:20:47,040
right? 
Because that's a little bit of a

1554
01:20:47,040 --> 01:20:49,680
suck out with the injuries, I 
think you have to admit, but. 

1555
01:20:50,920 --> 01:20:53,920
Well, but Kittle but Kittle's 
upside is is much higher because

1556
01:20:53,920 --> 01:20:56,600
of injury like. 
Yeah, all these guys are that 

1557
01:20:56,600 --> 01:20:59,480
that's a funny thing about all 
these tight ends is like, I 

1558
01:20:59,480 --> 01:21:02,480
don't think elite tight end is 
any offenses like preferred 

1559
01:21:02,480 --> 01:21:05,400
strategy going into the season. 
Like honestly, all these guys 

1560
01:21:05,400 --> 01:21:09,160
have benefit from chaos and Joku
from the Cooper trade, Bowers 

1561
01:21:09,160 --> 01:21:13,000
from the Adams trade, Dallas 
Goddard had massive weeks when 

1562
01:21:13,000 --> 01:21:16,360
their wide receivers were 
injured, Kate Alton massive 

1563
01:21:16,360 --> 01:21:18,600
weeks when their top wide 
receivers are injured, Kelsey, 

1564
01:21:18,600 --> 01:21:20,960
massive weeks when the wide 
receivers are injured. 

1565
01:21:20,960 --> 01:21:24,800
So I think across the board 
these guys like benefit from 

1566
01:21:24,800 --> 01:21:30,080
chaos a little bit because none 
of them maybe maybe McBride is 

1567
01:21:30,080 --> 01:21:32,360
the exception. 
Like he's maybe the one guy that

1568
01:21:32,360 --> 01:21:35,360
going into the season, the teams
like our plan is to make this 

1569
01:21:35,360 --> 01:21:38,760
guy our number one. 
I don't think like any other 

1570
01:21:38,920 --> 01:21:42,120
tight end, the team had that 
plan going into the season, 

1571
01:21:43,080 --> 01:21:46,880
unless I'm missing somebody. 
But anyways, we got to move on 

1572
01:21:46,880 --> 01:21:48,040
from this point. 
That's probably true. 

1573
01:21:48,040 --> 01:21:51,240
Yeah, Ours ultimately turned out
that way, but. 

1574
01:21:51,360 --> 01:21:53,840
But it wouldn't have been. 
Yeah, exactly. 

1575
01:21:54,160 --> 01:21:55,360
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

1576
01:21:56,280 --> 01:22:01,360
All right, move on. 
Davis and Pat both had with 

1577
01:22:01,360 --> 01:22:04,640
their shoes the serum take some 
version of I'm paraphrasing, 

1578
01:22:05,000 --> 01:22:08,720
we've gone too far with zero RB.
Davis's take, they were slightly

1579
01:22:08,720 --> 01:22:11,200
different. 
So I'll try to explain what I 

1580
01:22:11,200 --> 01:22:15,080
heard when going back listening.
Davis was basically saying some 

1581
01:22:15,080 --> 01:22:17,920
of these dead zone running backs
are going to be huge values. 

1582
01:22:17,920 --> 01:22:20,320
He talked about in the segment, 
both hits and misses talked 

1583
01:22:20,320 --> 01:22:22,200
about. 
ETN also talked about mix in 

1584
01:22:22,480 --> 01:22:26,920
Kenneth Walker some of the guys 
who have the big hits Pats take 

1585
01:22:26,920 --> 01:22:29,600
was. 
The all time interstellar meme. 

1586
01:22:29,800 --> 01:22:35,120
Like God just shouting. 
Just please, for the love of 

1587
01:22:35,200 --> 01:22:39,400
God, listen to yourself. 
Yeah. 

1588
01:22:40,720 --> 01:22:43,960
You just watch yourself put down
this take after the after the 

1589
01:22:43,960 --> 01:22:45,320
stream and just. 
Continued I. 

1590
01:22:45,320 --> 01:22:46,960
I put it down and then. 
I was like, you know who's a 

1591
01:22:47,040 --> 01:22:48,120
good, you know who's a good 
pick? 

1592
01:22:48,120 --> 01:22:50,800
Might as. 
Well, might as well take another

1593
01:22:50,800 --> 01:22:53,280
Jalen Jalen Wall or Saquon 
Barkley. 

1594
01:22:53,280 --> 01:22:54,720
I don't know. 
Why don't I take the guy who's 

1595
01:22:54,720 --> 01:22:56,640
never finished in the NFL game? 
Sure. 

1596
01:22:56,640 --> 01:22:59,200
Why? 
Good stuff, good stuff. 

1597
01:23:00,080 --> 01:23:01,440
Yeah. 
And Pat, just to finish it. 

1598
01:23:01,440 --> 01:23:03,200
Pat, yours was slightly 
different, but I think kind of 

1599
01:23:03,200 --> 01:23:05,640
similar more or less. 
You were saying people are a 

1600
01:23:05,640 --> 01:23:07,760
little too rigid with wide 
receiver roster construction. 

1601
01:23:07,760 --> 01:23:11,480
You were saying and advocating 
for trying out weirder builds. 

1602
01:23:11,480 --> 01:23:13,920
You called it like one wide 
receiver through 4 rounds really

1603
01:23:13,920 --> 01:23:17,880
hammering some running backs, 
elite tight ends and such. 

1604
01:23:17,880 --> 01:23:22,320
So yeah, you, I think you guys 
are both like very right on 

1605
01:23:22,320 --> 01:23:23,240
this. 
It's a such a. 

1606
01:23:23,240 --> 01:23:25,720
Great season, think was better 
than mine, 'cause mine was mine 

1607
01:23:25,720 --> 01:23:33,360
was saying like draft wide 
receiver and then a running back

1608
01:23:33,360 --> 01:23:40,720
and then like Josh Allen and you
know, you know, a tight end, the

1609
01:23:40,720 --> 01:23:42,560
draft Josh Allen decade or 
something like that. 

1610
01:23:42,560 --> 01:23:46,400
It was like more, it would be 
like wide receiver, running back

1611
01:23:46,400 --> 01:23:49,760
Lamar Andrews would be more, 
more of kind of I think what I 

1612
01:23:49,760 --> 01:23:53,440
was experimenting with. 
So yeah, Davis's take, I think 

1613
01:23:53,520 --> 01:23:56,000
just take the running back, the 
dead zone running backs. 

1614
01:23:56,000 --> 01:23:57,600
It was just a a cleaner and 
better take. 

1615
01:23:57,600 --> 01:24:00,480
It if you, if you look at it, if
you actually other than in round

1616
01:24:00,480 --> 01:24:04,080
one, if you just took the oldest
running back in each round. 

1617
01:24:04,440 --> 01:24:05,200
You. 
You won. 

1618
01:24:05,680 --> 01:24:09,000
So not not not in run, but 
Barkley. 

1619
01:24:09,440 --> 01:24:12,680
Henry. 
Mixon Kamara. 

1620
01:24:13,920 --> 01:24:15,720
I guess that's not true in 
rounds. 

1621
01:24:16,120 --> 01:24:17,160
Oh no. 
James Conner. 

1622
01:24:17,240 --> 01:24:19,720
So. 
Reached for Kareem Hunt in round

1623
01:24:19,720 --> 01:24:22,840
8 I'd say. 
Yeah, Kareem Hunt, Zeke. 

1624
01:24:22,880 --> 01:24:24,560
It stopped working right before 
Zeke. 

1625
01:24:24,560 --> 01:24:27,480
That's why he. 
Don't he don't so, so basically 

1626
01:24:27,480 --> 01:24:32,720
rounds 2 through 8, if you just 
instead of if the only metric 

1627
01:24:32,720 --> 01:24:37,560
you knew was age and you just 
evaluated it via age and you 

1628
01:24:37,560 --> 01:24:40,080
just took the oldest running 
back, you are winning this year.

1629
01:24:40,080 --> 01:24:41,680
It's. 
Crazy. 

1630
01:24:42,160 --> 01:24:44,000
Yeah, and I was pretty 
consistent all offseason and 

1631
01:24:44,000 --> 01:24:46,560
saying, yeah, make sure you get 
cream on in the 18th round in 

1632
01:24:46,560 --> 01:24:49,760
every draft. 
Just really following this this 

1633
01:24:49,760 --> 01:24:52,920
line of thinking, yeah, I don't 
know, man. 

1634
01:24:52,920 --> 01:24:57,520
This is going to be like the 
Fast forward to 2025 offseason 

1635
01:24:57,520 --> 01:25:02,640
debates, the debate over whether
the wide receiver injuries like 

1636
01:25:04,040 --> 01:25:08,560
caused all of this to happen or 
whether the dead zone running 

1637
01:25:08,560 --> 01:25:10,160
backs are always going to be 
smash picks. 

1638
01:25:10,160 --> 01:25:11,400
I think that's going to be an 
ongoing debate. 

1639
01:25:11,400 --> 01:25:12,680
That'll be you want. 
To remind me of a little. 

1640
01:25:12,680 --> 01:25:18,000
Bit interesting, yeah. 
Remember the year that Stefan 

1641
01:25:18,000 --> 01:25:23,360
Diggs got traded to the Bills? 
It was an absolute smash, and we

1642
01:25:23,360 --> 01:25:26,040
kind of like had to rethink. 
I think there's one other 

1643
01:25:26,440 --> 01:25:28,560
example of that that happened 
like the year before. 

1644
01:25:29,240 --> 01:25:32,840
But Hopkins to the Cardinals is 
maybe around a similar time to 

1645
01:25:33,280 --> 01:25:35,560
that. 
Yeah, it was something like but 

1646
01:25:35,560 --> 01:25:39,600
he but digs that year had fallen
because he goes to, you know, 

1647
01:25:39,640 --> 01:25:42,480
play with Josh Allen and it's 
more uncertain. 

1648
01:25:42,920 --> 01:25:45,680
And we have had a lot of 
research showing, you know, why 

1649
01:25:45,680 --> 01:25:47,280
receivers changing teams was 
bad. 

1650
01:25:47,880 --> 01:25:50,920
And he goes on and he just goes 
nuts. 

1651
01:25:51,280 --> 01:25:53,040
And this went like one of the 
picks, I think he was in the 

1652
01:25:53,040 --> 01:25:58,440
fifth round that year was nuts. 
So it is a little like Barkley 

1653
01:25:58,440 --> 01:26:02,800
goes to the Eagles and I you 
know, the market did a good job 

1654
01:26:02,800 --> 01:26:05,000
of being like, no, no, no, like 
it's Barkley. 

1655
01:26:05,360 --> 01:26:07,320
He's on the eagles good 
offensive line. 

1656
01:26:07,400 --> 01:26:09,440
They like to run. 
He's going to smash. 

1657
01:26:09,680 --> 01:26:14,560
I was not in on that. 
He's crushing the Henry one. 

1658
01:26:14,560 --> 01:26:17,080
I mean that one is just even his
age. 

1659
01:26:17,080 --> 01:26:20,680
It's like harder to see how it 
would pan out as well as it's 

1660
01:26:20,680 --> 01:26:23,840
panned out. 
But I do think like there's an 

1661
01:26:23,840 --> 01:26:27,640
element to like and again, the 
market did a good job actually 

1662
01:26:27,640 --> 01:26:30,720
of pricing this in. 
But like the upside that that 

1663
01:26:30,720 --> 01:26:35,040
created was definitely I 
undercounted the upside element 

1664
01:26:35,040 --> 01:26:38,840
there too focused on the 
downside of 30 year old running 

1665
01:26:38,840 --> 01:26:43,200
back hasn't been very efficient 
for two seasons, you know, 

1666
01:26:43,680 --> 01:26:47,560
changing teams in a good spot. 
But like, are we really going to

1667
01:26:47,560 --> 01:26:49,520
get what is he going to run for 
like 2000 yards? 

1668
01:26:49,520 --> 01:26:51,240
Like, come on. 
Yes, he is, yeah. 

1669
01:26:52,120 --> 01:26:57,280
He's got 1000 yards already, the
Derrick Henry. 31 year old 31 

1670
01:26:57,280 --> 01:26:59,840
year old Henry Round 2 next 
year. 

1671
01:27:00,400 --> 01:27:03,120
It's crazy. 
Yeah, yeah, he's on a one year 

1672
01:27:03,120 --> 01:27:04,520
contract, right. 
I'm I'm. 

1673
01:27:04,560 --> 01:27:07,400
Somehow going to find a way to 
lose more money next year than 

1674
01:27:07,400 --> 01:27:09,120
this year. 
It's going to be. 

1675
01:27:09,200 --> 01:27:11,160
It's going to be really. 
Something I'm actually I'm 

1676
01:27:11,160 --> 01:27:13,760
starting to get kind of bullish 
on my basketball portfolio now 

1677
01:27:13,760 --> 01:27:15,960
I'm I'm digging out. 
It's been good. 

1678
01:27:16,080 --> 01:27:17,800
I'm every every week I'm 
getting. 

1679
01:27:17,840 --> 01:27:19,840
We're we're too far. 
We're too far behind. 

1680
01:27:19,920 --> 01:27:23,440
Like I just got a literal 30 
point game from Chase Brown. 

1681
01:27:23,440 --> 01:27:25,440
He was the second highest 
scoring running back of the 

1682
01:27:25,440 --> 01:27:28,040
week. 
Did not did not change my 

1683
01:27:28,040 --> 01:27:29,880
advance rate. 
No, I changed mine. 

1684
01:27:30,800 --> 01:27:33,840
Not even not even one more team.
I recommend a lower advance rate

1685
01:27:33,840 --> 01:27:36,360
so that it can be changed more. 
That's good. 

1686
01:27:36,360 --> 01:27:38,560
Well, the Chiefs, the Chiefs 
also have not played yet, so 

1687
01:27:38,560 --> 01:27:41,360
maybe, maybe after, right? 
Can you imagine a world where 

1688
01:27:41,360 --> 01:27:44,920
Mahomes goes 303 in a game? 
I mean, me personally, I can't, 

1689
01:27:45,320 --> 01:27:49,600
but it would be something. 
You need Noah great to have 100 

1690
01:27:49,600 --> 01:27:51,160
yard game if that's going to 
happen. 

1691
01:27:51,440 --> 01:27:56,200
And I just I don't see that. 
I I think Pat, getting back to 

1692
01:27:56,200 --> 01:27:59,720
your point of like, what did we 
learn from all this? 

1693
01:27:59,880 --> 01:28:02,600
This is like firing from the hip
a little bit. 

1694
01:28:02,600 --> 01:28:06,840
I think maybe what I learned is 
like the advanced running back 

1695
01:28:06,840 --> 01:28:10,880
stats and projecting running 
back efficiency, like be willing

1696
01:28:10,880 --> 01:28:14,840
to accept huge error bars when 
there's massive changes in 

1697
01:28:14,840 --> 01:28:18,600
situation for players. 
I think that was maybe a little 

1698
01:28:18,600 --> 01:28:20,880
bit under not not really 
underrated by the market like 

1699
01:28:20,880 --> 01:28:23,920
cuz again, I think the market 
pricing Barkley, that's what 

1700
01:28:23,920 --> 01:28:25,440
made this. 
Tough is that these guys were 

1701
01:28:25,440 --> 01:28:29,960
expensive, so the error bars 
pointed to baiting them. 

1702
01:28:30,520 --> 01:28:34,680
You know, we're like, I don't 
know, Barkley's hard for me cuz 

1703
01:28:34,720 --> 01:28:35,640
I. 
Just Barkley's gonna. 

1704
01:28:35,720 --> 01:28:38,480
Fade the next Barkley? 
I'm gonna fade the next Barkley.

1705
01:28:38,720 --> 01:28:41,560
The next Henry in the third 
rounds, maybe. 

1706
01:28:41,720 --> 01:28:44,320
Although is there a next Henry? 
Who is the next Derrick Henry? 

1707
01:28:45,240 --> 01:28:47,960
Yeah, it'll be it'll. 
Be Barkley on his, It'll be 

1708
01:28:47,960 --> 01:28:50,360
Barkley on his next team. 
Yeah, but he's, I mean, yeah, I 

1709
01:28:50,360 --> 01:28:53,760
guess, but. 
Barkley, when he's 31, playing 

1710
01:28:53,760 --> 01:28:57,120
for the Texans or something, 
that's going to be the next one,

1711
01:28:57,800 --> 01:28:59,880
but I I think. 
There's something to be learned 

1712
01:28:59,880 --> 01:29:01,920
from Barkley. 
There's nothing to be learned 

1713
01:29:01,920 --> 01:29:03,560
from Henry. 
Like absolutely nothing. 

1714
01:29:04,720 --> 01:29:07,000
I think there's a little to be 
learned Like, let's be honest, 

1715
01:29:07,000 --> 01:29:11,280
like for a second of like the 
how our group of people thinks 

1716
01:29:11,280 --> 01:29:15,640
about Derrick Henry is that at 
least in half PPRI think we've 

1717
01:29:15,640 --> 01:29:18,880
been wrong about him for a while
and been unwilling to accept 

1718
01:29:18,880 --> 01:29:21,120
like what a crazy outlier he is 
Now. 

1719
01:29:21,120 --> 01:29:22,880
Maybe we were. 
We were finally, finally right 

1720
01:29:22,880 --> 01:29:25,960
to fade him last year when the 
wheels fell off in Tennessee. 

1721
01:29:25,960 --> 01:29:28,760
But it was a stretch of like 
four years running. 

1722
01:29:29,000 --> 01:29:31,320
Or just like, oh, Derek Henry 
can't be that efficient, can't 

1723
01:29:31,320 --> 01:29:33,600
score that many touchdowns, and 
he's doing. 

1724
01:29:33,600 --> 01:29:35,920
It well, that's I think there's 
more to learn from Henry than 

1725
01:29:35,920 --> 01:29:37,960
Barkley, because Henry. 
Was cheap. 

1726
01:29:38,560 --> 01:29:41,480
Barkley was never cheap. 
You know, maybe he was cheaper 

1727
01:29:41,480 --> 01:29:43,400
than not. 
Maybe he was cheaper than he 

1728
01:29:43,400 --> 01:29:47,200
should have been, right? 
But he was never cheap. 

1729
01:29:47,240 --> 01:29:50,840
And he so to me, you were buying
like a big upside scenario that 

1730
01:29:50,840 --> 01:29:54,760
like checked a lot of very 
specific boxes, you know, 

1731
01:29:54,760 --> 01:29:57,200
because like he's still, even 
though he he catches every 

1732
01:29:57,200 --> 01:30:00,240
reception he has, goes for a 
touchdown, which is especially 

1733
01:30:00,240 --> 01:30:02,880
tilting because he's like not 
actually involved in the 

1734
01:30:02,880 --> 01:30:05,880
receiving game except when he 
catches a touchdown. 

1735
01:30:07,960 --> 01:30:11,680
But you needed him to like kind 
of it was a narrow path. 

1736
01:30:11,720 --> 01:30:15,680
Now the path doesn't look narrow
because he's awesome, right? 

1737
01:30:15,840 --> 01:30:19,560
And he's jumping over dudes 
backwards, you know, So it 

1738
01:30:19,560 --> 01:30:24,480
doesn't it, it looks quite 
robust given how given how 

1739
01:30:24,480 --> 01:30:27,840
talented he is. 
But from this summer, you know, 

1740
01:30:27,880 --> 01:30:32,000
I was like, basically, I lose if
Barkley lights the Internet on 

1741
01:30:32,000 --> 01:30:33,680
fire every week because he's 
just that good. 

1742
01:30:33,800 --> 01:30:37,160
And here he is doing that and 
I've lost that bet, So. 

1743
01:30:37,640 --> 01:30:42,040
But I think to me, I was put 
like, if you're going to put me 

1744
01:30:42,040 --> 01:30:43,960
in a position where I'm like, I 
only really feel like I'm losing

1745
01:30:43,960 --> 01:30:47,200
this bet is if if this guy's 
like clearly the most talented 

1746
01:30:47,200 --> 01:30:50,400
running back in the league 
despite him not profiling like 

1747
01:30:50,400 --> 01:30:53,080
that for several seasons. 
Like, but going back to 2018 is 

1748
01:30:53,080 --> 01:30:54,880
the last time we would have 
really evidence that he's that 

1749
01:30:54,880 --> 01:30:56,800
good. 
So I'm just going to bet against

1750
01:30:56,800 --> 01:30:59,720
him being that good. 
And then if he is that good, I'm

1751
01:30:59,720 --> 01:31:00,840
going to have to eat a bunch of 
crow. 

1752
01:31:00,840 --> 01:31:07,080
Well, we got any more crow left?
I think we're all out of crow. 

1753
01:31:07,320 --> 01:31:09,000
No, there's more. 
There's a whole heap thing 

1754
01:31:09,000 --> 01:31:10,520
helping. 
I'm going to be eating some more

1755
01:31:10,520 --> 01:31:12,920
later. 
But you know, it's like we're 

1756
01:31:12,920 --> 01:31:14,080
never going to be right about 
everything. 

1757
01:31:14,080 --> 01:31:15,640
We're going to be wrong about 
most things. 

1758
01:31:15,880 --> 01:31:20,320
And for me, Barclays, it's like 
in order for me to be like 

1759
01:31:20,320 --> 01:31:23,440
really wrong, like he just has 
to be so good. 

1760
01:31:23,440 --> 01:31:24,520
And I'm going to bet against 
that. 

1761
01:31:24,680 --> 01:31:27,200
Henry, because he was cheaper. 
He didn't even have to be so 

1762
01:31:27,200 --> 01:31:28,760
good. 
Now he is good, but he could 

1763
01:31:28,760 --> 01:31:31,120
have been worse than he is and 
still hit. 

1764
01:31:33,320 --> 01:31:37,640
So for yeah, for me, I think the
big lesson is, is and this kind 

1765
01:31:37,640 --> 01:31:39,240
of the thing I'm always trying 
to dial in with best ball is 

1766
01:31:39,240 --> 01:31:40,720
just like price. 
Like, how much? 

1767
01:31:41,480 --> 01:31:43,320
What am I? 
What do I need for this price? 

1768
01:31:43,320 --> 01:31:45,920
What what am I want? 
What types of risk should I be 

1769
01:31:45,920 --> 01:31:50,240
willing to accept at this price?
And I think Henry showed like 

1770
01:31:50,240 --> 01:31:54,160
that, the upside that he still 
had on a really good offense on 

1771
01:31:54,160 --> 01:31:57,240
a team we know, would, you know,
love to have a guy like Derrick 

1772
01:31:57,240 --> 01:32:00,920
Henry running like this, that 
that upside was still worth more

1773
01:32:00,920 --> 01:32:05,400
than I gave it credit for. 
Yeah, I think that makes sense. 

1774
01:32:05,400 --> 01:32:08,120
And Berkeley is like maybe it's 
own separate discussion. 

1775
01:32:08,120 --> 01:32:10,840
I think maybe the bigger lesson 
with these running backs is like

1776
01:32:11,200 --> 01:32:17,200
the guys going in round 3456 
just because like, OK, just 

1777
01:32:17,640 --> 01:32:20,520
looking back at the final 
WrestleMania ADP, Joe Mixon, 

1778
01:32:20,520 --> 01:32:24,000
just to call out one example, he
was the running back 15 going at

1779
01:32:24,000 --> 01:32:26,160
pick 64 by the end of the 
season. 

1780
01:32:26,160 --> 01:32:30,000
That that seems crazy to me. 
He was going around like the 

1781
01:32:30,000 --> 01:32:34,880
wide receiver 404142 like. 
I was taking some Mixon. 

1782
01:32:34,880 --> 01:32:36,920
I just wish I took more, you 
know? 

1783
01:32:37,480 --> 01:32:41,120
Yeah, same for me. 
I have overweight Mixon, but I 

1784
01:32:41,120 --> 01:32:44,000
wasn't like, oh, Mixon's one of 
my priority targets by any 

1785
01:32:44,000 --> 01:32:46,000
means. 
I think I'd have something 8 to 

1786
01:32:46,000 --> 01:32:48,720
10%, something like that. 
But it's just like, OK, once 

1787
01:32:48,720 --> 01:32:52,720
you're comparing running back 15
versus wide receiver 40, like 

1788
01:32:52,720 --> 01:32:57,640
The thing is like in 2023, but 
like it still was right to like 

1789
01:32:58,400 --> 01:33:02,480
roster construction wise, like 
take the wide receiver 35 over 

1790
01:33:02,480 --> 01:33:04,400
the running back 16. 
Like that's kind of how it 

1791
01:33:04,400 --> 01:33:08,000
played out, but it is a little 
crazy when you think about it in

1792
01:33:08,000 --> 01:33:11,880
1/2 PPR site to say, you know, I
I want to take the wide receiver

1793
01:33:11,880 --> 01:33:15,120
40 over the running back 15 like
that. 

1794
01:33:15,120 --> 01:33:18,560
That I think went a little bit 
too far, especially because at a

1795
01:33:18,560 --> 01:33:21,600
certain point the wide 
receivers, I think do kind of 

1796
01:33:21,600 --> 01:33:24,400
flatten out once you get like 
wide receiver 40 through like 

1797
01:33:24,400 --> 01:33:27,760
60, like that's pretty flat, but
the running backs actually fall 

1798
01:33:27,760 --> 01:33:30,320
off a Cliff. 
Like Joe Mixon has a running 

1799
01:33:30,320 --> 01:33:33,840
back 15 to like Jonathan Brooks 
is the running back 30. 

1800
01:33:33,840 --> 01:33:39,120
Like that is much more massive 
drop off than you know, Deonte 

1801
01:33:39,120 --> 01:33:42,600
Johnson as the wide receiver 38.
Rashid Jahid as the wide 

1802
01:33:42,600 --> 01:33:46,360
receiver, 54 still. 
Market things at play like 

1803
01:33:46,360 --> 01:33:49,120
you're not coming back from 
being dead at wide receiver 

1804
01:33:49,240 --> 01:33:50,720
either. 
Right, that is the problem. 

1805
01:33:50,720 --> 01:33:54,280
That's this is and it's just 
like I, I, I'm truly like, 

1806
01:33:54,280 --> 01:34:00,160
honestly, this conversation, no 
one, almost no one is ready to 

1807
01:34:00,160 --> 01:34:03,840
earnestly have the conversation 
and just understand like it's 

1808
01:34:03,840 --> 01:34:07,560
just one slate, man. 
It's just it's one, it's it's 1 

1809
01:34:07,560 --> 01:34:08,920
slate. 
It's playing out this way. 

1810
01:34:08,920 --> 01:34:12,760
What if Joe Mixon was Cam Akers?
Cam Akers was, I believe the 

1811
01:34:12,760 --> 01:34:14,960
same exact. 
I believe he was the running 

1812
01:34:14,960 --> 01:34:19,640
back 15 last year was basically 
the worst pick on the board and 

1813
01:34:19,640 --> 01:34:22,640
to to pretend this was always 
the way it was going to happen. 

1814
01:34:22,880 --> 01:34:24,400
Barkley was always going to 
smash. 

1815
01:34:24,640 --> 01:34:27,640
Henry was always going to smash.
The running backs were always 

1816
01:34:27,640 --> 01:34:31,160
the best picks. 
I just it, it's just, I mean, 

1817
01:34:31,280 --> 01:34:32,440
it's frankly, it's just not 
true. 

1818
01:34:32,600 --> 01:34:34,960
Like really is. 
Is well also, yeah. 

1819
01:34:34,960 --> 01:34:37,680
And The thing is that like, even
if it is true that that Barclay 

1820
01:34:37,680 --> 01:34:39,600
was always going to smash 
because it's hard to see him 

1821
01:34:39,600 --> 01:34:41,760
playing like this and not think 
he's always going to smash. 

1822
01:34:42,400 --> 01:34:44,000
But you know, he does have to 
stay healthy. 

1823
01:34:44,000 --> 01:34:47,640
And and, you know, some of the 
stuff is like, you know, guys 

1824
01:34:47,640 --> 01:34:52,000
who got hurt that is just really
ruined the season for them. 

1825
01:34:52,000 --> 01:34:55,640
That and people that drafted 
them, you know, like there was 

1826
01:34:55,640 --> 01:34:58,840
she rice thing, like there was 
she rice injury changes so much,

1827
01:34:59,000 --> 01:35:03,200
you know, so that type of stuff,
like Even so, of course, like it

1828
01:35:03,200 --> 01:35:06,440
kind of only it can't play out 
one way because the injuries 

1829
01:35:06,440 --> 01:35:10,640
get, you know, they're so fluky.
But even if it was, then the 

1830
01:35:10,640 --> 01:35:14,080
prices change and we have to 
like figure out how to do this 

1831
01:35:14,080 --> 01:35:16,960
all again. 
And that's where it being 1 

1832
01:35:16,960 --> 01:35:21,600
slate is so key like that the 
prices all change and figuring 

1833
01:35:21,600 --> 01:35:25,800
out what to do relative to those
prices becomes a new puzzle. 

1834
01:35:26,400 --> 01:35:30,960
I think one of the takeaways for
me though, with the you make the

1835
01:35:30,960 --> 01:35:33,560
point about the wide receivers 
being flat and everything. 

1836
01:35:36,040 --> 01:35:38,040
I have no regrets about taking 
Jaden Reed. 

1837
01:35:38,480 --> 01:35:40,480
You know, when I took Jaden 
Reed, that's a guy. 

1838
01:35:40,480 --> 01:35:46,360
I'm like, you know, there was it
felt a little Nico Collins E or 

1839
01:35:46,360 --> 01:35:50,280
Rashi Ricey and sort of like 
we're we're making excuses why 

1840
01:35:50,280 --> 01:35:54,400
we shouldn't buy into what this 
guy did in a in a situation that

1841
01:35:54,400 --> 01:35:59,760
we're excited about. 
And I had some hesitation with 

1842
01:35:59,760 --> 01:36:01,840
Rita. 
I wasn't like hammering him, but

1843
01:36:01,840 --> 01:36:06,160
like he also was a very talented
rookie, kind of a classic second

1844
01:36:06,160 --> 01:36:08,000
year breakout. 
And we're going much cheaper 

1845
01:36:08,000 --> 01:36:10,720
than some of the other upside at
the position. 

1846
01:36:11,200 --> 01:36:15,480
I do have regrets about taking, 
you know, more Keenan Allen 

1847
01:36:15,480 --> 01:36:17,560
there. 
You know, like there's, there's 

1848
01:36:17,560 --> 01:36:19,760
like a lot. 
Of my a lot of my regrets are 

1849
01:36:19,760 --> 01:36:22,160
bears related to be. 
Honest, yeah, Bears, Bears 

1850
01:36:22,160 --> 01:36:26,520
related takes. 
Yeah, I think the the hunt for 

1851
01:36:26,520 --> 01:36:30,440
wide receiver upside in that 
range was was a worthwhile 

1852
01:36:30,640 --> 01:36:36,080
exercise. 
The once like once like kind of 

1853
01:36:36,080 --> 01:36:39,680
the the tear breaks had occurred
of like potential number one 

1854
01:36:39,920 --> 01:36:45,160
options on their offense are 
gone and you're like going for 

1855
01:36:45,160 --> 01:36:47,160
like number twos on their 
offense. 

1856
01:36:47,160 --> 01:36:49,400
Now. 
This is how funny this shit is, 

1857
01:36:49,400 --> 01:36:50,720
right? 
Chris Godwin would have been an 

1858
01:36:50,720 --> 01:36:54,120
example of that and he's it's 
yeah, was the giga smash before 

1859
01:36:54,120 --> 01:36:58,680
he broke his ankle. 
So but I think the I I do want 

1860
01:36:58,680 --> 01:37:03,280
to look more at like if running 
back prices or anything like 

1861
01:37:03,280 --> 01:37:07,880
last year, I don't want to just 
be like thinking I'm hitting a 

1862
01:37:07,880 --> 01:37:10,840
single or a double at wide 
receiver, you know, in the in 

1863
01:37:10,840 --> 01:37:14,440
the early fifth round. 
I need to be swinging for the 

1864
01:37:14,440 --> 01:37:16,680
fences still. 
Or just pivot. 

1865
01:37:17,000 --> 01:37:18,600
Just pivot and grab a running 
back. 

1866
01:37:19,160 --> 01:37:21,720
You know, if there's a running, 
if there's a clear starter 

1867
01:37:21,720 --> 01:37:25,520
available who doesn't completely
suck, you know, I think that 

1868
01:37:25,520 --> 01:37:29,240
that would be the lesson for me.
My last one, this I think the 

1869
01:37:29,240 --> 01:37:30,360
Chris. 
Oh, sorry. 

1870
01:37:30,360 --> 01:37:31,480
Go ahead, Davis, if you had 
something. 

1871
01:37:31,480 --> 01:37:33,600
Well, I did just want to make 
the point about next year, 

1872
01:37:33,720 --> 01:37:37,280
people like us who are like, I 
want to take a 29 year old 

1873
01:37:37,280 --> 01:37:39,520
running back on his third team 
in the fourth round. 

1874
01:37:40,440 --> 01:37:43,320
We're we're about to get saved 
by the rookie running back class

1875
01:37:44,640 --> 01:37:46,920
like we are. 
We are about to be big time 

1876
01:37:46,920 --> 01:37:50,640
bailed out from our 
predilections by the quality of 

1877
01:37:50,640 --> 01:37:52,480
running back coming in. 
There's going to be a first 

1878
01:37:52,480 --> 01:37:56,160
round running back drafted. 
So take a backfield right now 

1879
01:37:56,440 --> 01:38:01,240
that maybe we're not interested 
in, add a first round rookie 

1880
01:38:01,240 --> 01:38:03,280
there. 
Jonathan Brooks will be healthy 

1881
01:38:03,280 --> 01:38:05,920
next year and they'll be a 
different coaching staff and 

1882
01:38:05,960 --> 01:38:09,560
quarterback in Carolina. 
So that'll bring a high-priced 

1883
01:38:09,560 --> 01:38:10,840
running back that we all kind of
like. 

1884
01:38:11,680 --> 01:38:15,880
And then they're going to be 
probably, I don't know, five day

1885
01:38:15,880 --> 01:38:19,480
2 running backs. 
I would think maybe more 

1886
01:38:19,480 --> 01:38:21,160
honestly, it's a very strong 
running back class. 

1887
01:38:21,160 --> 01:38:24,720
So we are, we are, you know, we,
we are going to kind of quinch 

1888
01:38:24,720 --> 01:38:27,160
on Judkins, our situation out 
here. 

1889
01:38:27,240 --> 01:38:31,520
So instead of having to take 
DeAndre Swift on the Bears, we 

1890
01:38:31,520 --> 01:38:34,720
might be able to get to take 
Caleb Johnson, this rookie 

1891
01:38:34,800 --> 01:38:37,160
running back for Iowa on the 
Bears. 

1892
01:38:38,680 --> 01:38:41,560
Gotcha. 
Although I as we know these guys

1893
01:38:41,560 --> 01:38:44,000
always go somewhere where there 
is a guy that we like. 

1894
01:38:44,520 --> 01:38:46,400
That's the way this works. 
That's kind of it's kind of 

1895
01:38:46,400 --> 01:38:49,360
Ashton, Gene T first round 
running back Atlanta Falcons put

1896
01:38:49,360 --> 01:38:51,840
it on the card right now. 
That would be hilarious. 

1897
01:38:51,840 --> 01:38:54,080
Oh my God. 
What what's going to happen is 

1898
01:38:54,600 --> 01:38:58,600
Rashad White's going to get 
traded tomorrow and then it's 

1899
01:38:58,600 --> 01:39:00,640
going to be Bucky Irving 
installed as the as the 

1900
01:39:00,640 --> 01:39:02,280
Buccaneers start and then 
they're going to take a first 

1901
01:39:02,280 --> 01:39:04,360
round running back. 
That's the 190 lbs. 

1902
01:39:04,360 --> 01:39:07,000
I'm fine, fine. 
Passing them on to the next 

1903
01:39:08,800 --> 01:39:10,800
person. 
Yeah, Last, last thing I. 

1904
01:39:10,800 --> 01:39:13,440
Wanted to say here that. 
Pat's Chris. 

1905
01:39:13,440 --> 01:39:18,680
Goblin point got me thinking 
about is just that it's like I 

1906
01:39:18,680 --> 01:39:25,080
think in the day and age of 
underdog fantasy where it's, you

1907
01:39:25,080 --> 01:39:28,680
know, calling it an efficient 
market is a bit extreme, but it 

1908
01:39:28,720 --> 01:39:35,280
it's much more efficient than I 
think fantasy markets have been 

1909
01:39:35,320 --> 01:39:38,520
10 years ago, five years ago to 
the point where like the 

1910
01:39:38,600 --> 01:39:43,000
so-called market trends, like, 
you know, draft rookies because 

1911
01:39:43,000 --> 01:39:45,880
they have late season upsider 
draft second year players 

1912
01:39:45,880 --> 01:39:48,200
because they can break out in 
much bigger ways. 

1913
01:39:48,200 --> 01:39:50,800
Like all those things. 
It's not like they're not true, 

1914
01:39:50,800 --> 01:39:55,480
but they're just much more baked
in than I think they ever have 

1915
01:39:55,480 --> 01:39:57,680
been before. 
So the game of fantasy football,

1916
01:39:57,680 --> 01:40:00,920
in my opinion, is no longer as 
simple as taking like these 

1917
01:40:01,400 --> 01:40:05,880
sweeping market heuristics and 
applying them like peanut 

1918
01:40:05,880 --> 01:40:09,480
butter, spreading them over the 
the whole pair player pool and 

1919
01:40:09,480 --> 01:40:12,000
drawing lessons based on that. 
Like I think it has gotten to 

1920
01:40:12,000 --> 01:40:15,440
the point where it's much more 
like player by player, like 

1921
01:40:15,440 --> 01:40:20,160
evaluate each team differently, 
each player on a, you know, 

1922
01:40:20,160 --> 01:40:22,320
player by player basis. 
I'm not sure making this point 

1923
01:40:22,320 --> 01:40:26,600
very eloquently, but. 
It's just to say, like I, I'm a 

1924
01:40:26,600 --> 01:40:32,080
little bit skeptical of these 
market trends, like as the way 

1925
01:40:32,080 --> 01:40:35,000
to think about fantasy football 
going forward. 

1926
01:40:35,000 --> 01:40:38,760
Like I, I do think you got to 
think through each player 

1927
01:40:39,080 --> 01:40:42,960
individually because I think a 
lot of that stuff has gotten 

1928
01:40:43,280 --> 01:40:45,080
baked in. 
No that that I agree with. 

1929
01:40:45,080 --> 01:40:49,760
Just the idea like second. 
Year wide receiver breakouts 

1930
01:40:51,160 --> 01:40:54,000
name your name, your rule name, 
your name, your heuristic of 

1931
01:40:54,120 --> 01:40:56,320
choice. 
It's it's priced in to some 

1932
01:40:56,320 --> 01:40:59,200
degree. 
Great, great comment here. 

1933
01:40:59,200 --> 01:41:01,760
The orthodoxy creates its own 
inefficiency. 

1934
01:41:01,760 --> 01:41:03,600
I think that's pretty evidently 
true. 

1935
01:41:03,720 --> 01:41:07,000
It's obviously most true in the 
game that we are talking about 

1936
01:41:07,000 --> 01:41:10,520
on underdog where the orthodoxy 
is like literally the point to 

1937
01:41:10,520 --> 01:41:13,760
play the game like people are 
like people are like, oh, you 

1938
01:41:13,760 --> 01:41:15,600
know, you got it. 
If if you're on underdog, like 

1939
01:41:15,600 --> 01:41:17,920
you can't get buried by the 
avalanche, don't get don't get 

1940
01:41:17,920 --> 01:41:19,680
buried by the avalanche on on 
underdog. 

1941
01:41:19,880 --> 01:41:24,720
So that that reinforces itself 
again, I do just want to make 

1942
01:41:24,720 --> 01:41:29,000
the point that whatever was 
going to happen this year or 

1943
01:41:29,000 --> 01:41:30,480
has. 
Happened was. 

1944
01:41:30,480 --> 01:41:34,720
Not always going to happen. 
I, I would just like you go go 

1945
01:41:34,720 --> 01:41:39,360
look at a weekend of your DFS 
results, good, bad, indifferent 

1946
01:41:39,880 --> 01:41:41,760
and then just look at a winning.
Line up and. 

1947
01:41:41,800 --> 01:41:46,120
Then look at like, oh, what had 
that great example if that 

1948
01:41:46,440 --> 01:41:51,200
Seahawks game does not go if, if
Pukunakuwa doesn't punch a 

1949
01:41:51,200 --> 01:41:54,680
defender in the helmet, did the 
did the Seahawks ever get close?

1950
01:41:54,680 --> 01:41:56,520
Does Kenneth Walker get to 25 
rushing attempts? 

1951
01:41:56,520 --> 01:42:00,560
Does Injigba score? 
Does he get what did he get 8 

1952
01:42:00,560 --> 01:42:03,760
second-half targets? 
Whatever it might be, Go look at

1953
01:42:03,760 --> 01:42:06,240
the micro things that close and 
then realizing that we are doing

1954
01:42:06,240 --> 01:42:11,200
the same thing on a grand scale 
of being like, well, you know, 

1955
01:42:11,200 --> 01:42:14,200
why does Rashi Rice was always 
Mahomes was always going to tear

1956
01:42:14,200 --> 01:42:17,600
out Rashi Rice's ACL on an 
interception. 

1957
01:42:19,240 --> 01:42:21,080
Isaiah Pacheco was always going 
to break his leg. 

1958
01:42:21,080 --> 01:42:25,240
Obviously Kareem Hunt was always
going to lead the AFC in rushing

1959
01:42:25,240 --> 01:42:27,000
touchdown. 
Joe Mixon was always going to 

1960
01:42:27,000 --> 01:42:30,000
succeed with the Texans. 
There was no universe where Joe 

1961
01:42:30,000 --> 01:42:34,920
Mixon who looked beyond cooked 
in his last year's Cincinnati 

1962
01:42:34,920 --> 01:42:36,880
Bengals was always going to be 
great. 

1963
01:42:37,120 --> 01:42:40,880
That was that was obvious. 
Crystal Ave. was always going to

1964
01:42:40,880 --> 01:42:42,120
get injured. 
There's never a season where 

1965
01:42:42,120 --> 01:42:43,440
Crystal Ave. would not get 
injured. 

1966
01:42:45,240 --> 01:42:47,320
Yeah. 
And I think the the other thing 

1967
01:42:47,320 --> 01:42:49,120
that's. 
Funny about you know when you. 

1968
01:42:49,120 --> 01:42:53,080
Compare it to the DFS slates. 
It's like what everyone else has

1969
01:42:53,080 --> 01:42:55,480
changes so dramatically like. 
We're only competing against. 

1970
01:42:55,480 --> 01:42:58,240
Other people so like the hits 
that people get and the way you 

1971
01:42:58,240 --> 01:43:01,160
could put teams together, you 
know, and the weeks in which 

1972
01:43:01,160 --> 01:43:04,360
those players score points so 
they hit like they remember. 

1973
01:43:04,360 --> 01:43:07,840
Josh Jacobs was the was the nuts
and then he didn't score any 

1974
01:43:07,840 --> 01:43:10,680
points in the playoffs. 
Justin Jefferson was the nuts 

1975
01:43:10,680 --> 01:43:13,640
the year I won and he had his 
worst game of his entire career 

1976
01:43:13,880 --> 01:43:17,600
in Week 17. 
That's just blind dumb luck, 

1977
01:43:17,720 --> 01:43:20,080
right? 
There's no rhyme or reason to 

1978
01:43:20,080 --> 01:43:22,400
that. 
It's just, you know, weird stuff

1979
01:43:22,400 --> 01:43:26,320
happens in DFS. 
Like I think this is drive that 

1980
01:43:26,320 --> 01:43:29,280
point home. 
Like I've scored, I've scored 

1981
01:43:29,280 --> 01:43:32,040
like 158 points in my best 
lineup this week. 

1982
01:43:32,120 --> 01:43:34,960
Didn't cash. 
I score like 159 points two 

1983
01:43:34,960 --> 01:43:38,160
weeks ago, finished fourth in I 
scored 200 points, you know, in 

1984
01:43:38,160 --> 01:43:42,160
week three I was like finished 
250th in in a tournament. 

1985
01:43:42,160 --> 01:43:46,280
Like it just what everyone else 
has is going to change the the 

1986
01:43:46,280 --> 01:43:50,920
type of teams that other people 
built with that player pool, the

1987
01:43:50,920 --> 01:43:55,200
combos right, the the type of 
like the people who were 

1988
01:43:55,200 --> 01:43:58,200
drafting Henry were also tending
to draft this guy and he's 

1989
01:43:58,240 --> 01:44:00,000
either stayed healthy or not. 
I have a very. 

1990
01:44:00,200 --> 01:44:02,320
I have a very. 
I have a very good example of 

1991
01:44:02,320 --> 01:44:04,000
this. 
The Derrick Henry. 

1992
01:44:04,000 --> 01:44:08,640
Drafter you can look it up on. 
BBM right now was about 75% more

1993
01:44:08,640 --> 01:44:12,920
likely to take Zac Moss than 
Chase Brown, which is just an 

1994
01:44:12,920 --> 01:44:16,120
example of like OK they got. 
One right and then? 

1995
01:44:16,120 --> 01:44:17,840
They missed the other 
completely. 

1996
01:44:17,840 --> 01:44:19,640
They were not even close. 
They weren't even close to 

1997
01:44:19,640 --> 01:44:21,600
directionally accurate. 
But you know it. 

1998
01:44:21,600 --> 01:44:25,200
It doesn't matter because that's
it's just the way it plays out. 

1999
01:44:25,200 --> 01:44:28,520
But it doesn't it doesn't mean 
that the Derrick Henry and the 

2000
01:44:28,520 --> 01:44:30,880
Alvin Kamar drafters were 
omniscient. 

2001
01:44:32,400 --> 01:44:34,840
You know it just like this late,
it worked out for them. 

2002
01:44:34,880 --> 01:44:36,200
I'm. 
Happy for them, I hope that. 

2003
01:44:36,200 --> 01:44:38,720
It's not working out for me. 
I'm not going to make any money.

2004
01:44:39,160 --> 01:44:44,280
It is the way it is, you know, 
Yeah, it's so it's so tough to 

2005
01:44:44,280 --> 01:44:47,840
evaluate, especially like. 
All this reiterate, reiterate 

2006
01:44:47,840 --> 01:44:51,280
here like how many awesome wide 
receiver picks are out for the 

2007
01:44:51,280 --> 01:44:53,840
season both early round and late
round. 

2008
01:44:53,880 --> 01:44:58,640
We talked about Chris, Chris 
Godwin, Rasheed Rice, Rasheed 

2009
01:44:58,640 --> 01:45:02,200
Shaheed, Nico Collins for half 
the season. 

2010
01:45:02,560 --> 01:45:04,520
There's there's more I'm not 
thinking of right now. 

2011
01:45:04,760 --> 01:45:06,600
Cooper Cup. 
You can even say for half, half 

2012
01:45:06,600 --> 01:45:09,840
the season he's looked very good
when he's been out there ton 

2013
01:45:09,840 --> 01:45:11,640
tons of them. 
Like you can go on and on. 

2014
01:45:12,000 --> 01:45:15,000
And in terms of running backs, 
it's I think really only been, 

2015
01:45:15,640 --> 01:45:18,440
you know, Joe Mixon missed about
a month, Jonathan Taylor missed 

2016
01:45:18,440 --> 01:45:20,920
about a month. 
Isaiah Pacheco is maybe missing 

2017
01:45:20,920 --> 01:45:23,800
2-3 months. 
Yeah, CMC 2. 

2018
01:45:23,800 --> 01:45:28,200
So, so there have been some 
certainly, but just in terms of 

2019
01:45:28,200 --> 01:45:31,320
season, like I think there's 
been zero season ending injuries

2020
01:45:31,560 --> 01:45:33,600
to running backs, unless you're 
going to say Pacheco's season 

2021
01:45:33,600 --> 01:45:37,120
ending, which is a little up in 
there right now compared to wide

2022
01:45:37,120 --> 01:45:38,280
receivers. 
There's been much more. 

2023
01:45:38,280 --> 01:45:42,480
So that's a bit of an outlier. 
Like even if I think the the 0 

2024
01:45:42,480 --> 01:45:45,680
running, it's more than a bit of
an outlier the the devastation 

2025
01:45:45,680 --> 01:45:46,720
of the wide receiver position 
and. 

2026
01:45:46,720 --> 01:45:51,080
The total health of the running 
back position is I don't know if

2027
01:45:51,080 --> 01:45:52,240
we'll ever see anything like it 
again. 

2028
01:45:52,320 --> 01:45:53,840
Yeah. 
Yeah, it's an. 

2029
01:45:53,840 --> 01:45:57,360
Outlier I I do think. 
You can say like just to say the

2030
01:45:57,360 --> 01:46:00,280
other side of it, you look at 
the injury rate data, the 

2031
01:46:00,280 --> 01:46:04,280
injuries to wide receivers and 
running backs hasn't been that 

2032
01:46:04,280 --> 01:46:05,920
different historically. 
Like I think the narrative of 

2033
01:46:05,920 --> 01:46:08,280
like, oh, running back is a 
minefield. 

2034
01:46:08,280 --> 01:46:11,000
They get injured every single 
season and wide receivers stay 

2035
01:46:11,000 --> 01:46:12,840
healthy. 
That's not really supported by 

2036
01:46:12,840 --> 01:46:14,800
the data. 
But this is an outlier to the 

2037
01:46:14,800 --> 01:46:17,280
point where it's swung like so 
drastically in the other 

2038
01:46:17,280 --> 01:46:19,320
direction where it's a huge 
outlier. 

2039
01:46:19,320 --> 01:46:22,680
So it's so tough to evaluate, 
like if you had a portfolio with

2040
01:46:22,720 --> 01:46:26,720
a ton of Rashid Rice, a ton of 
Rashid Shaheed and a ton of 

2041
01:46:26,720 --> 01:46:30,160
Isaiah Pacheco or something like
that, you're going to get beat 

2042
01:46:30,160 --> 01:46:34,120
down this year, even though that
was probably a decent strategy, 

2043
01:46:34,120 --> 01:46:36,240
right? 
So at least stop bullying Davis.

2044
01:46:36,840 --> 01:46:40,480
Yeah, it's yeah. 
It's yeah, it's it's tough. 

2045
01:46:40,960 --> 01:46:42,280
It's a, it's a tough game we 
play. 

2046
01:46:42,480 --> 01:46:46,480
Yeah, no, I, it's been tough. 
I I I'd love a sliding glass 

2047
01:46:46,480 --> 01:46:48,560
doors. 
On what the Chiefs offense. 

2048
01:46:48,560 --> 01:46:50,560
Would have been like had 
Hollywood never gotten injured. 

2049
01:46:50,840 --> 01:46:54,840
Like was I really so wrong? 
Like they they actually were 

2050
01:46:54,840 --> 01:46:57,320
going to be terrible regardless.
There was no universe where they

2051
01:46:57,320 --> 01:47:01,600
were going to be good. 
Or was the Hollywood injury and 

2052
01:47:01,600 --> 01:47:04,880
having to use Justin Watson? 
Was that really kind of the 

2053
01:47:04,880 --> 01:47:08,920
moment that they just decided 
like, well, you know, time, 

2054
01:47:08,920 --> 01:47:13,400
time, time to shut it down time,
that time to be the the 2017 

2055
01:47:13,400 --> 01:47:16,200
Patriots. 
That's so tough. 

2056
01:47:16,400 --> 01:47:18,440
I think they would have been 
really fun pass offense. 

2057
01:47:18,480 --> 01:47:20,480
But we'll never, we'll never 
know. 

2058
01:47:22,200 --> 01:47:23,120
We'll see. 
We'll see as well. 

2059
01:47:23,120 --> 01:47:25,720
I mean, we'll, it's a it's a 
crazy. 

2060
01:47:25,720 --> 01:47:30,840
Variant game we play feels like 
so clear what's worked and what 

2061
01:47:30,840 --> 01:47:33,840
matters. 
It's week 9. 

2062
01:47:33,960 --> 01:47:36,800
We just finished week 9. 
Yeah, like what? 

2063
01:47:36,800 --> 01:47:40,040
What's it what mattered in 2024 
best ball? 

2064
01:47:40,800 --> 01:47:43,600
We have no idea exactly. 
We still don't know because it 

2065
01:47:43,600 --> 01:47:45,720
it's ultimately going to come 
down to what happened in week. 

2066
01:47:45,720 --> 01:47:50,440
15. 16 and 17 and like, 
probably, right, If you were 

2067
01:47:50,440 --> 01:47:56,200
making bets on what matters, you
know you would much you're 

2068
01:47:57,040 --> 01:47:59,640
Barkley and Henry are locks to 
have mattered. 

2069
01:47:59,800 --> 01:48:01,960
Camaro is a lock to have 
mattered because he's going to 

2070
01:48:02,320 --> 01:48:04,720
power so many teams to those 
weeks in the 1st place. 

2071
01:48:05,640 --> 01:48:08,800
But fundamentally, like the way 
we look at this season and think

2072
01:48:08,800 --> 01:48:12,360
about like what really mattered.
We still just don't know that 

2073
01:48:12,360 --> 01:48:15,920
yet. 
Yeah, I'll say like, yeah, the 

2074
01:48:15,920 --> 01:48:18,120
only reason it sounds. 
Like a post mortem in the fan. 

2075
01:48:18,120 --> 01:48:21,880
Season is because I'm leaving so
I wanted to do this, but that's 

2076
01:48:21,880 --> 01:48:24,560
a that's a really good point 
that like this is not the 

2077
01:48:24,560 --> 01:48:27,080
perfect time to have this 
conversation Very long season. 

2078
01:48:27,240 --> 01:48:28,960
Like yeah, we're basically 
halfway through the season. 

2079
01:48:29,600 --> 01:48:31,280
That's kind of crazy to think 
about. 

2080
01:48:31,280 --> 01:48:33,520
It feels like towards the end, 
but it's it's not really at all.

2081
01:48:33,520 --> 01:48:35,640
So ton ton left to be played 
here. 

2082
01:48:36,120 --> 01:48:41,040
I think that'll wrap up our 
review of the true serum takes. 

2083
01:48:41,200 --> 01:48:45,280
I'd give us an overall, I'd say 
the independent panel that 

2084
01:48:45,360 --> 01:48:49,840
reviewed this gave us overall AB
plus on these true serum takes. 

2085
01:48:49,840 --> 01:48:52,520
Did the overall panel name an 
MVP of the group or we were all 

2086
01:48:52,520 --> 01:48:56,840
just treated equally? 
It it was pretty clear, but we 

2087
01:48:56,840 --> 01:48:59,280
don't need to kind of get. 
Into that, it's not really the 

2088
01:48:59,280 --> 01:49:03,000
point of the show about who had 
the best takes on the episode 

2089
01:49:03,000 --> 01:49:05,680
that kind of mattered the most. 
I would say it's not. 

2090
01:49:05,840 --> 01:49:07,840
It's not. 
Yeah, drafting, I think by the 

2091
01:49:07,840 --> 01:49:09,680
time we gave those takes or or 
no. 

2092
01:49:10,040 --> 01:49:10,720
Interesting. 
Yeah. 

2093
01:49:10,800 --> 01:49:12,960
A lot of people have told me 
that that was the episode that 

2094
01:49:12,960 --> 01:49:14,280
kind. 
Of they think about most in 

2095
01:49:14,280 --> 01:49:17,480
terms of like who had the best 
takes and in the whole run of 

2096
01:49:17,480 --> 01:49:19,280
the show. 
Yeah, the whole I know it's 

2097
01:49:19,280 --> 01:49:20,840
weird, I wouldn't have guessed 
it either. 

2098
01:49:22,280 --> 01:49:26,000
But yeah, we got it. 
We got to close. 

2099
01:49:26,440 --> 01:49:28,480
Final, final segment, then we'll
get out of here. 

2100
01:49:29,360 --> 01:49:32,720
Pat, we're checking in on the 
health of Justin Fields 

2101
01:49:32,880 --> 01:49:35,360
hamstring. 
I know you've consulted a lot of

2102
01:49:35,360 --> 01:49:37,040
medical experts about this. 
What? 

2103
01:49:37,320 --> 01:49:40,520
What is your diagnosis for his 
hamstring injury going forward? 

2104
01:49:41,240 --> 01:49:43,400
It's still hurting. 
Hamstring injury is still 

2105
01:49:43,400 --> 01:49:46,240
hurting a little bit. 
But here's the thing. 

2106
01:49:46,240 --> 01:49:48,640
I made two bets on just. 
I didn't draft that much Justin 

2107
01:49:48,640 --> 01:49:52,880
Fields, Ironically, because I 
was drafting so much Drake May 

2108
01:49:52,880 --> 01:49:54,560
that I never really drafted that
much Fields. 

2109
01:49:55,160 --> 01:49:57,360
I honestly felt pretty nervous 
about it entering the season. 

2110
01:49:57,360 --> 01:50:01,760
I was like, I should have 
drafted more Fields, but I made 

2111
01:50:01,760 --> 01:50:03,640
two bets on Fields. 
This is my skin in the. 

2112
01:50:03,640 --> 01:50:05,560
Game was that fields will. 
Start week 1. 

2113
01:50:05,560 --> 01:50:07,520
Obviously that was never in 
doubt. 

2114
01:50:08,360 --> 01:50:13,640
Then the other bet. 
Is what I made with Leone that 

2115
01:50:13,640 --> 01:50:15,840
he would start I? 
Believe week 14. 

2116
01:50:16,120 --> 01:50:19,480
So I'm still feeling from from 
the hamstring check in of my 

2117
01:50:19,480 --> 01:50:21,320
bags. 
I think the hammy's good. 

2118
01:50:21,320 --> 01:50:25,200
I think he's good to go for the 
week 14 start that I need to 

2119
01:50:25,680 --> 01:50:28,360
have the ultimate side bet suck 
out. 

2120
01:50:29,000 --> 01:50:32,280
In fact, I hope his hammy 
doesn't kneel until the very end

2121
01:50:32,280 --> 01:50:35,680
of week 13. 
That's my New Hope I. 

2122
01:50:35,680 --> 01:50:37,960
With how this has run out for 
you, I almost guarantee you're 

2123
01:50:37,960 --> 01:50:39,320
going to win that bet against 
Leonie I. 

2124
01:50:39,320 --> 01:50:42,480
Don't know how, it might be a 
Wildcat package on the 1st Dr. 

2125
01:50:42,480 --> 01:50:46,320
of the game or something, but 
you'll find a way to to suck out

2126
01:50:46,320 --> 01:50:48,080
on that one as well. 
Yeah. 

2127
01:50:48,960 --> 01:50:51,360
Oh, man. 
All right, let's see. 

2128
01:50:51,360 --> 01:50:54,040
I actually did draft him. 
That's the the most frustrating 

2129
01:50:54,040 --> 01:50:55,200
thing about all this is you 
guys. 

2130
01:50:55,200 --> 01:50:57,480
Were just having like an 
argument and I was like drafting

2131
01:50:57,480 --> 01:51:02,320
him a ton. 
He's scoring points and before 

2132
01:51:02,320 --> 01:51:05,360
before are we winding down? 
We have anything. 

2133
01:51:05,480 --> 01:51:08,720
Anything else we wanted to cover
I I was going to kick it to you 

2134
01:51:08,720 --> 01:51:11,080
guys to talk about future for 
the. 

2135
01:51:11,080 --> 01:51:12,360
Show unless you had something 
else. 

2136
01:51:12,840 --> 01:51:16,640
We'll, I think we'll, we'll make
there's tune back in. 

2137
01:51:16,640 --> 01:51:19,960
Next Monday and we'll we'll 
communicate what we're doing. 

2138
01:51:19,960 --> 01:51:21,480
We'll have we'll have something.
We'll have something. 

2139
01:51:21,520 --> 01:51:22,720
You'll have something. 
There will be some. 

2140
01:51:22,720 --> 01:51:24,040
Maybe we'll have, maybe we'll 
have a guest. 

2141
01:51:24,040 --> 01:51:26,080
Maybe we won't, but. 
We'll have something. 

2142
01:51:27,160 --> 01:51:30,160
Before we go though, shout out 
to. 

2143
01:51:30,160 --> 01:51:34,280
Zach Landers, who's helped us so
much with the intro and and you 

2144
01:51:34,280 --> 01:51:36,320
know everything along the way. 
Some of the clips you guys have 

2145
01:51:36,320 --> 01:51:41,360
seen one more here for before we
get out of here. 

2146
01:51:43,040 --> 01:51:45,600
Hello everyone and welcome to a 
special. 

2147
01:51:45,640 --> 01:51:49,280
To a special. 
To a special in the final ADP 

2148
01:51:49,280 --> 01:51:52,120
chasing show. 
For years we've been chasing 

2149
01:51:52,120 --> 01:51:54,320
ADP's. 
A journey filled with laughter. 

2150
01:51:55,120 --> 01:52:00,840
Look how long this is. 
Heated debates. 

2151
01:52:01,040 --> 01:52:03,160
This is an argument like a tree 
lap on a high. 

2152
01:52:03,160 --> 01:52:04,720
Ankle sprain for cup. 
Like that is. 

2153
01:52:05,640 --> 01:52:10,080
I'm saying if it makes it. 
Part of a good argument that's. 

2154
01:52:10,080 --> 01:52:11,760
Fine, you're allowed to lie on 
it. 

2155
01:52:12,520 --> 01:52:15,960
As Sam Sherman embarks on a new 
chapter, we bid farewell to the 

2156
01:52:15,960 --> 01:52:19,600
greatest. 
And the targets per outrun 

2157
01:52:19,600 --> 01:52:21,680
leagues that's going to. 
Be really nice on his like 11 

2158
01:52:21,680 --> 01:52:23,600
routes per. 
Game that's well Zach Wilson's 

2159
01:52:23,600 --> 01:52:26,440
better in the cold than two of 
my thing with JSN I think is 

2160
01:52:26,440 --> 01:52:30,280
like I saw the worst JSN takes 
on my timeline and now I'm just 

2161
01:52:30,280 --> 01:52:33,760
arguing against the straw man 
and that's why I won the bet 

2162
01:52:33,760 --> 01:52:36,080
regardless of the outcome. 
I got it in cow pits is that 

2163
01:52:36,080 --> 01:52:38,280
kind of guy. 
He was close to producing 

2164
01:52:38,280 --> 01:52:40,080
Cadarius Tony when they're at 
Florida together. 

2165
01:52:40,080 --> 01:52:42,960
He didn't quite do it, but that 
definitely shows a level of 

2166
01:52:42,960 --> 01:52:45,880
untapped upside that you 
definitely want to tight end 

2167
01:52:46,080 --> 01:52:48,880
that this was a good thing that 
Keenan Allen was big. 

2168
01:52:49,080 --> 01:52:51,200
I mean, he's training for the 
Will Disley role in Shane 

2169
01:52:51,200 --> 01:52:54,720
Waldron's office. 
Sam, this is the perfect hyper 

2170
01:52:54,720 --> 01:52:56,200
niche. 
Best full story for you? 

2171
01:52:56,240 --> 01:52:59,080
Because it's just hating. 
I want to get a little bit into 

2172
01:52:59,080 --> 01:53:03,240
Cooper cups drop off last. 
Year 32 year old wide receiver, 

2173
01:53:03,240 --> 01:53:04,920
right? 
I just turned 31. 

2174
01:53:05,200 --> 01:53:07,960
He's about to turn 33, you know,
playing next. 

2175
01:53:08,040 --> 01:53:11,040
To a fifth round rookie from. 
BYU here's why. 

2176
01:53:11,080 --> 01:53:16,200
The fact that he was very worse 
category is a Oh my God every 

2177
01:53:16,200 --> 01:53:18,320
time you see a mystery player 
and think it's. 

2178
01:53:19,400 --> 01:53:22,600
Any guy that everyone says is 
bad, his stats are always better

2179
01:53:22,600 --> 01:53:26,560
than T. 
Higgins, like T Higgins and DJ 

2180
01:53:26,560 --> 01:53:28,400
Shark, we can move. 
Past this. 

2181
01:53:28,840 --> 01:53:30,760
Christian Kirk comparison. 
Nothing. 

2182
01:53:30,760 --> 01:53:35,160
Really big to see here every 
time you get into a heated 45 

2183
01:53:35,160 --> 01:53:38,880
minute debate about Russell. 
Wilson and Justin Fields Let let

2184
01:53:38,880 --> 01:53:41,280
me cook you. 
You haven't seen Russell Wilson 

2185
01:53:41,280 --> 01:53:43,640
versus Justin Fields. 
By the numbers yet, buddy, every

2186
01:53:43,640 --> 01:53:46,800
time you hear that's fair and 
wonder if it's derogatory, Yeah.

2187
01:53:47,400 --> 01:53:49,920
That's fair. 
The spirit of ADP chasing lives 

2188
01:53:49,920 --> 01:53:51,960
on. 
So as we say. 

2189
01:53:51,960 --> 01:53:55,360
Goodbye to Sam, let's continue 
to chase ADP's in his honor. 

2190
01:53:56,080 --> 01:53:58,760
In the end, we are all going to 
fucking lose anyways. 

2191
01:53:59,440 --> 01:54:03,440
That seems fair. 
Oh my God. 

2192
01:54:05,560 --> 01:54:07,560
The T Higgins. 
Christian Kirk, that I don't. 

2193
01:54:07,560 --> 01:54:09,640
Know why that one? 
Particularly that one. 

2194
01:54:09,640 --> 01:54:12,200
'S so getting Rona pat, just 
being there for that one was a 

2195
01:54:12,200 --> 01:54:16,080
really, really nice. 
That was really good. 

2196
01:54:16,880 --> 01:54:18,000
Thank. 
Thank you, Zach. 

2197
01:54:19,040 --> 01:54:20,120
Yeah, we'll get out of here on 
this. 

2198
01:54:20,120 --> 01:54:23,360
Thanks. 
Thanks to everyone who joined us

2199
01:54:23,520 --> 01:54:26,640
on this ADP chasing journey. 
I've seen a lot of shout outs in

2200
01:54:26,640 --> 01:54:31,120
the comment sections and yeah, I
just wanted to say I'd really 

2201
01:54:31,120 --> 01:54:33,200
enjoy doing the show. 
I really appreciate everyone who

2202
01:54:33,200 --> 01:54:38,320
tuned in and had fun with us. 
I had a lot of fun and Pete's 

2203
01:54:38,320 --> 01:54:40,720
here, so I'll let him. 
No, I just, I just had to. 

2204
01:54:40,720 --> 01:54:43,440
Swing by at the end. 
To stay, thank you for. 

2205
01:54:43,960 --> 01:54:47,240
All your work, ADP chasing, stat
chasing, going way back, you 

2206
01:54:47,240 --> 01:54:52,480
have been an awesome addition in
foil and to all of our ship 

2207
01:54:52,480 --> 01:54:54,760
chasing bullshit and madness and
fun. 

2208
01:54:54,760 --> 01:54:58,320
So, you know, thank you again 
and best of luck, you know, 

2209
01:54:58,320 --> 01:55:01,280
pushing paper, pencils, whatever
kind of stuff you're going to be

2210
01:55:01,280 --> 01:55:03,240
doing there. 
And yeah, dude, we're going to 

2211
01:55:03,240 --> 01:55:05,400
miss you. 
You crush it on this show like 

2212
01:55:05,640 --> 01:55:08,320
both just from an entertainment 
perspective and for the channel,

2213
01:55:08,320 --> 01:55:10,840
like the channel has grown 
because of the good work. 

2214
01:55:11,120 --> 01:55:13,760
And you know, Pat and I and 
Gretch have never prepped for a 

2215
01:55:13,760 --> 01:55:15,160
show. 
And you actually brought 

2216
01:55:15,160 --> 01:55:16,880
PowerPoints and slides and it's 
like who knows? 

2217
01:55:16,880 --> 01:55:18,000
So true. 
Who knows. 

2218
01:55:18,000 --> 01:55:21,840
It actually helps. 
Thank you. 

2219
01:55:21,920 --> 01:55:24,240
We appreciate. 
You Thanks for you. 

2220
01:55:24,240 --> 01:55:27,160
Yeah, I really appreciate that. 
Yeah, it's a ton of fun. 

2221
01:55:27,160 --> 01:55:32,000
So I don't have much else to 
say, but I yeah, I'm going to 

2222
01:55:32,000 --> 01:55:33,920
I'm going to miss this and we'll
see. 

2223
01:55:33,920 --> 01:55:37,720
Maybe maybe it's a Brett Farve, 
Tom Brady retirement 2026. 

2224
01:55:37,720 --> 01:55:41,240
I'll pick up the please. 
You know, I'm never, never going

2225
01:55:41,240 --> 01:55:43,080
to rule anything out. 
So, well, we'll be here. 

2226
01:55:43,080 --> 01:55:45,920
We'll be here. 
We'll we'll miss having say I'm 

2227
01:55:45,920 --> 01:55:49,240
with this, but. 
Yeah, if you, if you're ever, if

2228
01:55:49,240 --> 01:55:51,280
you're trying to pull a Farve, 
you know where to find us. 

2229
01:55:51,800 --> 01:55:53,360
Yeah, sounds good. 
Yes. 

2230
01:55:53,800 --> 01:55:55,360
All right, we'll get out of 
here. 

2231
01:55:55,760 --> 01:55:56,160
Peace.
