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Hello everybody, and welcome to 
week. 11 of that chasing had a 

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really exciting week. 
Tend to break down, we saw the 

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emergence of a couple rookie, 
running backs and Rashad white 

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and as I have to check, oh 
Justin Fields continued his 

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domination. 
Of NFL and Justin Jefferson may 

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be made the best catch of all 
time in a thrilling game between

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the Vikings and the bills. 
Connor, how are you doing? 

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How was your week 10 for fantasy
and pretty, pretty nondescript, 

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item in cash or two in, at the 
fs. 

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I had a, Some solid scores in 
reducted, but at nothing really 

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nothing, really that notable. 
Yep. 

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Have a similar similar for me. 
I didn't. 

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I took the week off from from 
DFS. 

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Actually I've been playing a ton
of DFS this year. 

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Just been busy with other stuff 
and don't have time for it. 

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But yeah, my sadly our season 
long stature. 

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Acing team is is dead. 
So at least I don't have to 

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worry about Fab arguments 
anymore but yeah, yeah, no and 

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no stop chasing stream. 
Bob arguments bleeding onto 

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where stream know that seems 
dead mother season-long stuff's 

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going. 
Okay, but yeah, I'm hopeful for 

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best ball. 
Was a couple players that, you 

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know, I had been drafting a 
bunch of teams like Tony Rashad 

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white Pollard, they had been 
sort of postings years for a 

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while and now those guys are 
starting to pick up. 

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So I think overall my portfolio 
for redacted is trending up but 

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you never You never know until I
get the playoffs is still 

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multiple weeks away before we 
know which players are really 

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gonna go no matter their. 
But yeah, right now I've got a 

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30% Advanced Rihanna and BBM, 
but like every one of those 

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teams has either like Bruce Hall
or Lance trayvon's. 

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So it's yeah. 
It's that's a very weird 

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feeling. 
Yeah. 

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It's tough going through the 
teams. 

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And yeah I noticed some other 
thing with a lot of my scoring 

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teams I think And I'm fairly 
spread exposures but Trey. 

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Lance was my highest on 
quarterback at like, 14 percent?

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I think, so that's frustrating. 
But yeah, we'll see, I think I 

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think with the amount of sort 
of, like, handcuff running backs

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I have in my team's, I have a 
bunch of dawn to form in which 

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has been fun. 
Maybe I can sort of get some of 

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those gorb or anchor, RV teams 
through, Yeah, it was a fun NFL 

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week to watch and yeah, why 
don't we just start by by 

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breaking on the positions as we 
do? 

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Yeah, everyone here we talked a 
bit about this a little bit and 

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it sounds like you had a fun 
stream with pop last night 

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yesterday evening. 
Yeah. 

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And and I guess maybe, 
unfortunately issue a little bit

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too much here, but we were kind 
of talking at least I notice 

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when looking at these charts at 
a lot of it is the same and and 

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maybe a fresh angle would be to 
combine the approach of like. 

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Okay, we were using and the 
resurrection before. 

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Maybe we can use this to talk 
through some of the atp's on 

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them on the playoff format. 
Yeah, yeah, I like that and I 

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think yeah, obviously the 
playoff format for people didn't

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catch it last night. 
This is underdogs while there, 

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the first term is called the way
too early wild card, but 

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essentially, the turn the 
structure of this tournament and

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the future class tournaments, 
there, you want to release is 

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best ball in the NFL playoffs 
and you look each round of the 

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NFL playoffs. 
Is around in the best ball 

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tournament. 
So you first need to win the 

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Wildcard Weekend, then you need 
to win the divisional round. 

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And so on, so teams players on 
teams that are expected to 

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advance really far like the 
bills Chiefs, you know, Vikings 

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Eagles. 
Those players are obviously 

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worth more than, you know, 
someone on The Bangles, just 

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because the Bangles right now 
only have a 40% chance of making

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the playoffs according to 538. 
So, it has that angle and Top of

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it. 
But I like that as well. 

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And I like, that idea Connor, as
we go through some of these 

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things, we can reference 
reference that ATP, which I'm 

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sure is updating pretty pretty 
sharply week-to-week there right

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day today. 
It's from, yeah, it's Earth day 

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today even. 
Yeah, yeah, Okay, cool. 

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So yeah, quarterback, like I 
said, I think I think this chart

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is the one that is the most 
stable, so don't A ton to call 

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out here. 
I think a few things that the 

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continue to stand out for me to 
uh continues to be the most 

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efficient quarterback in the NFL
from another that you are per 

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acre. 
Yeah to the Chart breaker from 

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adjusted yards per attempt 
standpoint. 

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So that's exciting. 
Looking going to the ADP for the

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best ball tournament on Underdog
to is at ADP of 24. 

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So that's like a late 
fourth-round pick in this 

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format, which is pretty good 
when compared to other top guys.

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So, I do like playing that 
tournament through Miami me and 

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Pat touched on this last night. 
But, you know, it can be very 

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concentrated with waddle and 
tyriq. 

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We actually saw them and go a 
little bit away from the 

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concentration this past week, 
but I think that was a bit of a 

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fluke. 
The offense is highly 

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concentrated to has been very 
efficient, it's a good ski in 

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there in Miami. 
Just the fastest wide receivers 

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in the league. 
Getting opened with heavy 

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concentrated targets towards 
them. 

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So I like to I like Miami. 
Yeah. 

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Any thoughts there on the 
Dolphins or 2000? 

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And honestly the Dolphins were 
the first team that I taught of.

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And when when I start thinking 
about this in that, like, likely

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to be undervalued and because 
it's hard to Envision the making

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a deeper on, but they're so 
concentrated that if they do you

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almost know where you feel very 
So strongly about where two 

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points are going to come from 
and but looking at your chart, 

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the biggest surprise to me 
actually is the Seahawks who now

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they're not 90% chance to make 
the playoffs, their 79 percent 

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chance to make the playoffs. 
But there are Lee has drafted 

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guy is kind of Walker 44 and a 
half and at Gino's commit is Q 

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B12 in a six round draft. 
So, So basically rarely getting 

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drafted, and then we see him in 
the good section of the chart. 

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He's got some rushing yards. 
He also shows somewhat 

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concentrated with with their to 
Tyler Lockett and became and 

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that that seems like something 
that's going to fly under the 

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radar. 
And it's definitely risky not 

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without risk, but can see that 
kind of like being a team that 

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It can carry, it can carry you. 
You're going to score points 

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because you know, or you have a 
good feeling on who the points 

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are going to come from. 
Yeah, I like that with the 

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Seahawks and that division to 
you really have the Cardinals 

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and the Rams both falling off a 
cliff. 

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So it's really going to be down 
at the Seahawks and the 49ers 

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49ers are five and four right 
now Seahawks sitting at 6 and 4.

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So there's definitely paths to 
them. 

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When in the division and getting
a home playoff game as well. 

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And also obviously a chance, the
wild card. 

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So I like, I like the Seahawks 
for that format to agree with 

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all your points and 
concentration. 

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Juno other thing, I'll add is as
you can see in this chart here, 

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he adds a bit of rushing juice. 
He's up there and sort of the 

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borough Mahomes range in terms 
of rushing production. 

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So that's that's pretty solid to
tack that onto Some solid 

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passing stats as well. 
Especially If you start off with

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a team, likely to get a first 
round, bye. 

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Exactly. 
Yeah it's a cheap stack you can 

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throw on the end with with 
locket Metcalf or you know 

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throughout Canada Locker in 
there if you need a running 

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back. 
Yeah yeah. 

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You you make it better deal if 
you go in with the Chiefs and 

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they get the first round by that
you got Seahawks and 

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concentrated often. 
Sir, yeah, jump jumping around a

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little bit. 
This is this is less of a take 

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for the fantasy playoffs. 
But I I did want to talk about. 

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Kenny pick it a little bit here.
You really continues to 

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struggle. 
Continues to struggle. 

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He's a the far left of the chart
and adjusted yards per attempt. 

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Now again that's driven by a 
very high interception to 

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touchdown ratio which is maybe 
somewhat fluky but we do have a 

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pretty big sample on Kenny 
Pickett now. 

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So for maybe this is more of a 
take in Dynasty. 

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I'm certainly not giving up on. 
Kenny pick it yet but I he 

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hasn't really flashed much in in
a limited in a sample so far. 

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So I'm like dude this is in 
Dynasty and superflex. 

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This is a great off-ramp spot 
for Kenny Pickett, where he 

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still put up games with points, 
he's showing some rushing upside

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and in superflex you can likely 
get a pretty good return on 

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them. 
After yeah, yeah. 

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Yeah. 
If you're a contender that needs

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points and you're looking for a 
forward-looking team, you can 

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maybe deal. 
Picot 4, I don't know. 

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I'm not a dinosaur expert but 
like an older quarterback is 

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going to give you more 
production, down the stretch, 

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maybe a Brady plus something 
else. 

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Something along those lines. 
Or if you're trying to 

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completely blow it up, you 
could. 

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Maybe trade pick it for for a 
future pick as well. 

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Yeah. 
So Pat was talking. 

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About ended our season that he 
was able to. 

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And after Daniel Jones is rookie
season, he was able to trade him

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for a book at the pics and it's 
just because the quarterback 

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position is so valuable. 
And so, that's kind of like what

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I had in mind in, like, teams 
will seem even, even if they're 

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not the best quarterback, if 
they're young, you think they're

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going to start for a while, 
they've got some rushing at you.

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They do tend to have some 
pretty. 

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About you. 
Yep, great and yeah I'm with you

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there on the picket stuff. 
Last thing to call out, we 

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talked about Justin Fields as 
the Arbitrage, Lamar Jackson, 

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that continues to look good. 
The rushing production for 

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Fields is just insane. 
He's now at 67 rushing yards per

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game, that's second only to 
Lamar and it's really been 

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skewed towards the last You 
know, the back half of the Year 

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early in the season. 
They weren't having Fields Rush 

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much. 
So I think that's almost like 

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the floor of maybe that's too 
ambitious but I'm thinking of 

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like that's 60 to 65 numbers. 
Almost the floor of fields. 

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Rushing going forward, he's 
shown like 100 plus rushing 

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yards in back-to-back games, 
even up to 180 and one game. 

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So I'm not he's an elite fantasy
quarterback now. 

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00:12:22,200 --> 00:12:25,900
Yeah, who like how many guys are
you playing? 

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00:12:26,400 --> 00:12:28,900
Out of him and say, so you 
picked up Fields off waivers, 

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which is very possible, Right? 
How many guys are you still 

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playing had a fields and who 
would they be? 

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00:12:34,700 --> 00:12:40,300
And I mean next week, Josh 
Allenwood that injury. 

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I'm probably playing a Justin 
fields. 

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00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:49,300
Adam. 
After that, I probably start 

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jail and hurt over him. 
And I think fields and Mahomes 

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00:12:57,100 --> 00:13:03,100
know this might be a bit of a 
hot take, and I think that's 

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00:13:03,100 --> 00:13:06,100
actually thinking Sherwood. 
I think that's really close. 

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And probably slight Edge Mahomes
over fields. 

200
00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:15,200
Well, yeah, I was tempted to, I 
was actually tempted when I 

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00:13:15,200 --> 00:13:17,000
started that sentence to put 
Fields ahead of them. 

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00:13:17,000 --> 00:13:20,500
But I think you still want a 
home slightly ahead. 

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And yeah, then yeah, I think. 
Yeah, that's, that's fair. 

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So yeah, I think for me, I would
maybe slightly less bullish, but

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I still think I would have in my
top five. 

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00:13:35,800 --> 00:13:41,900
I think I think I'd play Mahomes
Alan hurts and Lamar assuming 

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that, that Andrews is back. 
I would play those for ahead of 

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fields, but even with the Allen 
injury, Yeah, I think I don't 

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00:13:52,900 --> 00:13:54,800
know. 
I heard some some film 

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breakdowns in the game. 
It looked to me like just poor 

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decision-making more than like 
an injury affecting Alan last 

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00:14:01,500 --> 00:14:05,000
week and he still put up 20 
fantasy points. 

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00:14:05,000 --> 00:14:09,500
So I guess I'm not that spooked 
on Allen with the injury. 

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I just think you know he's still
at 26 points per game for the 

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season Fields down at 20 so he 
still you know I think you have 

216
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to project Alan Better. 
But like you said I don't think 

217
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it's crazy. 
Like there's an argument for 

218
00:14:25,300 --> 00:14:29,000
Fields what I'm probably doing 
if I have both of them is I'm 

219
00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:33,100
trading Josh Allen for an elite 
running back or wide receiver 

220
00:14:33,100 --> 00:14:35,800
and then starting Fields the 
rest of the way, you know, 

221
00:14:35,800 --> 00:14:38,500
totally depends on what you can 
get. 

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00:14:39,800 --> 00:14:42,200
As trade compensation, how, how 
much you leave me? 

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00:14:42,200 --> 00:14:45,000
It's are willing to pay out for 
quarterback, but I'd be selling 

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00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:49,100
the if I have any of these top 
five guys, Mahomes Allen Lamar 

225
00:14:49,200 --> 00:14:52,000
hurts, I'd be trying. 
Trade them and ride fields for 

226
00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,900
the rest of the year. 
I actually did this in one in 

227
00:14:54,900 --> 00:15:00,600
one League, one quarterback 
League, where I dealt Lamar for 

228
00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:04,000
Tyler Lockett, it wasn't an 
amazing deal. 

229
00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:06,600
I wish I could have gotten more 
for Lamar but I was really 

230
00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:09,500
struggling that wide receiver. 
I needed to get a win that week 

231
00:15:09,700 --> 00:15:13,300
and I'll start lock at the rest 
of the way and I feel fine with 

232
00:15:13,300 --> 00:15:16,600
with Fields replacing Jackson. 
So ideally you can get like a 

233
00:15:16,608 --> 00:15:18,500
little bit of a better player 
than that. 

234
00:15:18,500 --> 00:15:20,900
If you're dealing one of these 
Elite quarterbacks but Times 

235
00:15:21,100 --> 00:15:23,800
that's just dependent on what 
your, what your league mates 

236
00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:25,400
are. 
Yeah it's not chasing, not 

237
00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:31,100
negotiations trading. 
Yeah but I do know that that's 

238
00:15:31,100 --> 00:15:33,000
the type of I'm trying to make 
trade. 

239
00:15:33,100 --> 00:15:35,200
If you got Fields off waivers 
and you have to lie, 

240
00:15:35,200 --> 00:15:39,800
quarterbacks now trade the guy 
you drafted highly and and ride 

241
00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:41,800
with Fields because I think 
that's the the way you're going 

242
00:15:41,800 --> 00:15:43,600
to get the most bang for your 
buck. 

243
00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:49,300
So interesting Dynasty question 
here of a dynasty fields or 

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00:15:49,300 --> 00:15:54,300
Watson This is fields for me, 
and, and close at all. 

245
00:15:56,400 --> 00:16:02,900
My rationale would just be Age 
and and then also for Watson, 

246
00:16:02,900 --> 00:16:08,100
you knew how that I was I hate 
talking about like this and but 

247
00:16:08,100 --> 00:16:13,900
it is just like a risk of like 
you see, you see all these 

248
00:16:13,900 --> 00:16:18,600
connect, continuous like 
lawsuits come in. 

249
00:16:19,100 --> 00:16:24,200
And and it doesn't, it doesn't, 
it feels right now like the 

250
00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,000
door, maybe. 
Maybe closed but you've got that

251
00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:29,600
wrist. 
Stop suddenly it sounds right 

252
00:16:29,600 --> 00:16:33,700
back open and flings right back 
open. 

253
00:16:34,100 --> 00:16:37,900
Yeah. 
And he I guess. 

254
00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:45,100
Yeah, I think that that that's 
what I would say about that. 

255
00:16:46,100 --> 00:16:53,900
Yeah, I think I would go fields 
to, you know, Watson's only 27, 

256
00:16:54,000 --> 00:16:58,500
I'm not quarterbacks can last a 
really long time. 

257
00:16:58,500 --> 00:17:00,500
I'm not super worried about the 
age difference. 

258
00:17:00,500 --> 00:17:04,800
It gets from 23 to 27. 
I'm more on the concern of a 

259
00:17:05,000 --> 00:17:09,000
legal risk, down the line for 
Watson. 

260
00:17:09,300 --> 00:17:13,300
The sometimes we will see when 
guys take extended periods off 

261
00:17:13,300 --> 00:17:16,800
from football. 
They just don't come back. 

262
00:17:17,099 --> 00:17:20,900
Like, who knows how Watson's 
training regimen has been since 

263
00:17:20,900 --> 00:17:22,599
he's been gone. 
You know, I haven't heard any 

264
00:17:22,599 --> 00:17:26,900
reports those been bad, but 
clearly he's got some mental 

265
00:17:27,400 --> 00:17:29,900
issues going on. 
You know, I don't want to say 

266
00:17:29,900 --> 00:17:33,300
too much more about that. 
I'm not a legal expert or 

267
00:17:33,300 --> 00:17:39,100
anything, but I would treat 
Fields as the safer. 

268
00:17:39,200 --> 00:17:43,100
Option and I think he also has 
incredible upside as well. 

269
00:17:43,300 --> 00:17:47,200
So I would probably I'd probably
roll with Fields but I think 

270
00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:51,000
it's from the age point of view 
is that entry. 

271
00:17:51,000 --> 00:17:57,200
So Watson 27 now and 2020 for 
entry years Watson will have a 

272
00:17:57,200 --> 00:18:02,200
tree at the start of his age and
now I know you don't it's not 

273
00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,100
real like the stock market or 
whatever. 

274
00:18:04,200 --> 00:18:06,800
But I do think that's like 
you're pretty predictable point 

275
00:18:06,800 --> 00:18:09,100
where the trade value is is 
lower. 

276
00:18:09,300 --> 00:18:16,300
Our Wares at when feels as 27. 
His I think from that point of 

277
00:18:16,300 --> 00:18:18,600
view, his value is going to hold
up a lot better in the trade 

278
00:18:18,600 --> 00:18:20,500
market. 
Yeah, Watson's well. 

279
00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:26,800
Yeah, that's a fair point. 
I certainly defer to you on, 

280
00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:29,400
like, Dynasty trade markets. 
I don't have a ton of experience

281
00:18:29,400 --> 00:18:32,300
there. 
I'm making it up. 

282
00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:36,300
Yeah. 
As we all are. 

283
00:18:36,300 --> 00:18:39,500
Okay, cool. 
Let's move along here to to 

284
00:18:39,500 --> 00:18:44,800
running back. 
So for people following Along on

285
00:18:44,800 --> 00:18:48,300
video, we're now looking at 
running back snaps and usage 

286
00:18:48,400 --> 00:18:51,800
over the last five weeks from 
week, six week 10. 

287
00:18:52,600 --> 00:18:55,800
And we have all the running 
backs here who have greater than

288
00:18:55,800 --> 00:19:01,000
40% routes or Rush attempts as a
percentage of their team's 

289
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:03,300
snaps. 
So it ranges from guys like 

290
00:19:03,300 --> 00:19:07,500
seokwon Berkeley who are around 
70% routes or Rush attempts as a

291
00:19:07,508 --> 00:19:10,300
percent of their, his team snaps
all the way down. 

292
00:19:10,300 --> 00:19:14,700
To Jamal Williams who is at 
around 40 percent routes and 

293
00:19:14,700 --> 00:19:17,600
Rush attempts as a percent of 
his team snaps. 

294
00:19:17,900 --> 00:19:21,800
You could also see the expected 
points per game here below. 

295
00:19:21,900 --> 00:19:24,500
Whoa, the names. 
See, some guys like Eckler and 

296
00:19:24,500 --> 00:19:26,100
room. 
Andre really popped there in 

297
00:19:26,100 --> 00:19:29,000
terms of expected points as well
as fantasy points. 

298
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:33,500
Over expected per game. 
Joe Mixon is now the most 

299
00:19:33,500 --> 00:19:36,500
efficient running back in 
fantasy points over expect a 

300
00:19:36,500 --> 00:19:40,900
game besides Tony Pollard, due 
to that 150 per week six. 

301
00:19:41,500 --> 00:19:49,400
Yeah, that one explosion. 
So anyways, I think this there's

302
00:19:49,400 --> 00:19:55,800
a couple things that that jump 
out to me here, starting with 

303
00:19:56,000 --> 00:19:58,100
James Conner. 
This is a guy we haven't talked 

304
00:19:58,100 --> 00:20:03,700
about for a while but he came 
back last week immediately in an

305
00:20:03,700 --> 00:20:09,300
80 plus percent snap share. 
Roll the team also has released,

306
00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:14,000
you know, Benjamin and I believe
only gave the backup running 

307
00:20:14,000 --> 00:20:17,800
back in last week's game. 
He can't they are Gorham. 

308
00:20:17,900 --> 00:20:21,900
A handful of carries Ingram just
had to carry or sorry. 

309
00:20:21,900 --> 00:20:25,000
One carry to Connors 21, just 
two routes. 

310
00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:31,000
Run to Connors 23. 
Connor, had 65 68 snaps. 

311
00:20:31,300 --> 00:20:35,500
So I think, actually, this chart
is showing Connors usage over 

312
00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:39,000
maybe, maybe two games and it 
would even look better if it was

313
00:20:39,000 --> 00:20:41,500
just last week's. 
I forget exactly when he went 

314
00:20:41,500 --> 00:20:45,200
out with injury but point being 
I think they're ready to go back

315
00:20:45,200 --> 00:20:50,200
to James Conner in Full-time 
role, like we saw last year when

316
00:20:50,900 --> 00:20:55,100
Chase Edmunds was hurt. 
So, Connor is a guy that maybe 

317
00:20:55,100 --> 00:20:59,400
there's a sneaky by window on 
him right now. 

318
00:21:00,200 --> 00:21:03,200
I'm trying to think of like who 
I would send for Connor like 

319
00:21:03,600 --> 00:21:10,200
guys like Zeke, maybe na, zhi, 
guys, maybe in that range, maybe

320
00:21:10,200 --> 00:21:12,600
even for net. 
You consider with Rashad white 

321
00:21:13,100 --> 00:21:15,000
usage popping up. 
Maybe you can deal one of those 

322
00:21:15,000 --> 00:21:18,800
guys and get Connor because the 
you usage was real strong last 

323
00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:22,100
week and any thoughts on Connor?
Yeah, the Cardinals running back

324
00:21:22,100 --> 00:21:24,300
situation General. 
Yeah. 

325
00:21:24,500 --> 00:21:30,500
So tough for me would maintain 
would be in terms of the playoff

326
00:21:30,800 --> 00:21:35,900
and playoff basketball. 
I don't think he's really in the

327
00:21:35,908 --> 00:21:42,600
conversation and we've got our 
Earth 538 have cardinals. 12%. 

328
00:21:42,900 --> 00:21:46,700
Yeah probability of making the 
playoffs they've not been very 

329
00:21:46,700 --> 00:21:47,900
good at. 
This year. 

330
00:21:49,100 --> 00:21:51,800
I think really you're thinking 
about James Conner in a 

331
00:21:51,808 --> 00:21:58,900
situation of he's now got effort
in the next couple of weeks, at 

332
00:21:58,900 --> 00:22:01,000
least, at least the next couple 
weeks. 

333
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:06,500
He's got what we are perceiving 
to be a great and opportunity 

334
00:22:06,500 --> 00:22:10,900
share and so it's definitely 
definitely seems like to be able

335
00:22:10,900 --> 00:22:15,200
to profile of if you really need
help getting into the playoffs 

336
00:22:15,800 --> 00:22:18,300
and he's a good potential 
Target. 

337
00:22:19,800 --> 00:22:25,200
And I think with any of these 
guys and especially all the 

338
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,400
running backs, you do want to be
careful of like an over pay. 

339
00:22:28,700 --> 00:22:32,000
And I don't think any of those 
players that you mentioned 

340
00:22:32,400 --> 00:22:36,500
represent that at, but that is 
something I would definitely be 

341
00:22:36,500 --> 00:22:41,700
careful with. 
And it's hard to do in a vacuum.

342
00:22:41,700 --> 00:22:48,300
It's difficult to present and 
possible, trade, cut candidates,

343
00:22:48,300 --> 00:22:52,300
because you can't see. 
About every single League app or

344
00:22:52,300 --> 00:22:55,700
format, but definitely it's 
definitely Target. 

345
00:22:55,700 --> 00:23:01,300
Where if situationally you are 
one of those kind of cusp and 

346
00:23:01,300 --> 00:23:04,900
playoff teams, and you need a 
bit of a push over the edge. 

347
00:23:05,000 --> 00:23:09,500
Definitely a good potential 
Target to consider but really do

348
00:23:09,500 --> 00:23:14,700
want to be price-conscious. 
Yeah, and he did have 22 Point 

349
00:23:14,700 --> 00:23:18,300
PPR points or so last week so 
for the box score Watchers, it 

350
00:23:18,300 --> 00:23:22,700
might be tough. 
Enough to buy him but I think my

351
00:23:22,700 --> 00:23:26,300
overall plan would be is if 
someone's like thinking oh this 

352
00:23:26,300 --> 00:23:31,200
is a James Conner, sell High 
opportunity and you can buy them

353
00:23:31,200 --> 00:23:33,900
at a reasonable price. 
Again like hard to say exactly 

354
00:23:33,900 --> 00:23:38,000
what what that is aside from 
some of those names I threw out.

355
00:23:38,100 --> 00:23:40,700
I think Connor is a good a good 
buy right now. 

356
00:23:40,700 --> 00:23:45,800
I think that the market 
perception of him is is lower 

357
00:23:45,800 --> 00:23:48,600
than it should be Stephanie. 
That's what about when Williams 

358
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,500
gets off. 
I Our I think he's not Darryl 

359
00:23:51,500 --> 00:23:56,500
Williams, not back to you for my
are for a couple weeks and yeah,

360
00:23:56,500 --> 00:23:58,600
even then I don't know. 
I'm not I'm not projecting 

361
00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:02,100
Williams for a big role, 
Williams was running behind. 

362
00:24:02,200 --> 00:24:05,200
You know for most of the year 
and you know, just got caught. 

363
00:24:05,200 --> 00:24:10,700
So I don't think the team thinks
pretty highly of Darryl 

364
00:24:10,700 --> 00:24:14,100
Williams. 
I would probably Target Kiante 

365
00:24:14,100 --> 00:24:19,300
Ingram as the most likely number
two there, but you're not trying

366
00:24:19,300 --> 00:24:22,600
to Suggest that you pay about 
kept price, for Connor eater. 

367
00:24:23,200 --> 00:24:26,900
I mean, if you do pay a belko 
parts for Connor, well, then you

368
00:24:26,900 --> 00:24:30,000
have to be worried about daro 
you have to be worried about 

369
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:31,200
fiance? 
Yeah. 

370
00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:36,700
And but if you are price 
conscious, you can probably 

371
00:24:36,700 --> 00:24:43,400
wetter than getting solid at 
workloads and him still that 

372
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:48,700
scoring good points for you, 
from being the lead committee 

373
00:24:48,700 --> 00:24:54,200
back. 
And yeah, that that to me that's

374
00:24:54,200 --> 00:24:58,100
that's why you be price 
conscious but he's definitely 

375
00:24:58,100 --> 00:25:04,600
going to be the top dog. 
Now, it seems Yep, I agree with 

376
00:25:04,600 --> 00:25:07,000
that. 
Okay, let's let's get to a 

377
00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,000
couple. 
I want to talk through the 

378
00:25:09,000 --> 00:25:12,900
Chiefs and the box back field. 
So, I think there's some 

379
00:25:12,900 --> 00:25:15,900
interesting stuff going on 
there. 

380
00:25:15,900 --> 00:25:21,800
So let's start with the box. 
We have fournette here at about 

381
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:25,100
a 60% snap roll again, this is 
over the past five weeks and 

382
00:25:25,100 --> 00:25:27,200
about 15 expected points per 
game. 

383
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:30,700
We have Rashad white on the next
chart at a row. 

384
00:25:30,800 --> 00:25:37,100
Round a 35% Rush, route, roll 
and nine. 

385
00:25:37,100 --> 00:25:38,900
Expecting fantasy points per 
game. 

386
00:25:38,900 --> 00:25:42,100
So, you know, it's not a perfect
way to do it, but add those 

387
00:25:42,100 --> 00:25:46,800
together 9 + 15, we're talking 
about 25 or so, expecting 

388
00:25:46,800 --> 00:25:52,200
fantasy points per game in this 
backfield between two guys, do 

389
00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:54,300
you have a lien on how would you
sort of? 

390
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:57,300
If you're going to reject this 
forward, the rest of the way it 

391
00:25:57,300 --> 00:25:59,100
sounds like for Nets. 
Injury is not going to be an 

392
00:25:59,100 --> 00:26:01,100
issue. 
So let's assume right now This 

393
00:26:01,100 --> 00:26:05,100
girl right now the beat and the 
beat reporters are talking about

394
00:26:05,100 --> 00:26:07,900
and Rashad white. 
Being the starter going forward.

395
00:26:08,600 --> 00:26:14,900
Yeah, he would I mean he was the
starter in the end the game just

396
00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:21,800
in and we 10 and he's obviously 
he's got the age in his favor 

397
00:26:24,800 --> 00:26:29,900
Lenny historically has been a 
pretty inefficient back so I 

398
00:26:29,900 --> 00:26:35,200
would so that's Of like 1510 in 
Lenny's favor, I would expect it

399
00:26:35,200 --> 00:26:39,900
to be 1510 and Richard White's 
favor going forward. 

400
00:26:40,500 --> 00:26:45,000
And I think the biggest thing 
for this offense and these box 

401
00:26:45,600 --> 00:26:50,400
is that 25 expected points per 
game is pretty good. 

402
00:26:50,900 --> 00:26:56,500
So it there is enough expected 
points going around there for to

403
00:26:56,500 --> 00:27:03,000
Fantasy viable box. 
And And my my biggest take on 

404
00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:10,500
Rashad white is that he is value
is a lot higher in redraft 

405
00:27:10,500 --> 00:27:16,100
probably to me anyway. 
Then he would be in Dynasty at 

406
00:27:16,100 --> 00:27:21,200
and my rationale for that is is 
that he actually, he is an older

407
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:24,800
rookie and let me get his exact 
age. 

408
00:27:26,800 --> 00:27:31,800
I think he's 24 and then the one
of the big reasons that it's so 

409
00:27:31,800 --> 00:27:35,100
valuable. 
He's 23, but he turns 24 in 

410
00:27:35,100 --> 00:27:40,600
January and One of the big 
things that this backfield is 

411
00:27:40,600 --> 00:27:43,800
valuable is just from the goal 
line carries. 

412
00:27:43,800 --> 00:27:47,100
Now, obviously they've been 
lower this year and also, when 

413
00:27:47,700 --> 00:27:51,400
at Targets from Tom Brady, and I
think if you think about it from

414
00:27:51,400 --> 00:27:57,000
a dinosaur Dynasty perspective, 
you've got extreme risk of are 

415
00:27:57,400 --> 00:28:02,600
Brady retiring pretty soon, and 
then I'll do that fantasy. 

416
00:28:02,600 --> 00:28:08,200
Richness is no longer there and 
so would be where It would be 

417
00:28:08,200 --> 00:28:14,100
pretty wary but that in Dynasty 
and put pre excited about white 

418
00:28:14,100 --> 00:28:17,200
for the the rest of the year. 
Yeah. 

419
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:23,800
I think I'm sit like that. 1510 
breakdown is is probably about 

420
00:28:24,900 --> 00:28:27,900
Yeah, I was in the median is 
something or anywhere from a 

421
00:28:27,900 --> 00:28:31,500
full 50/50 split to a slight 
Edge for Rashad Wade. 

422
00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:34,800
I will call out that even though
Richard white officially did 

423
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:38,900
start the game. 
In Munich, for net, did out 

424
00:28:38,900 --> 00:28:44,100
touch him 10:46 before fournette
went down with injury so it 

425
00:28:44,100 --> 00:28:46,300
really was something close to 
50/50 split. 

426
00:28:46,300 --> 00:28:51,200
Maybe even you could say a 
slight lean to fournette, but 

427
00:28:51,400 --> 00:28:55,200
with with injury without well, 
Richard white played After 

428
00:28:55,200 --> 00:28:59,700
fournette went down, I think 
that coming out of the body by 

429
00:28:59,700 --> 00:29:02,900
they're going to look to get 
Rashad white involved as the one

430
00:29:02,900 --> 00:29:05,800
a, but I do expect. 
Yeah, something closer to a 

431
00:29:05,800 --> 00:29:11,000
55/45 60/40. 
I have to still give fournette 

432
00:29:11,000 --> 00:29:14,300
the edge on sort of carries from
the, you know, one or two yard 

433
00:29:14,300 --> 00:29:17,600
line goal line carries. 
He's just a bigger back that the

434
00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:21,300
team probably trust down there, 
but white certainly has more 

435
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:24,700
more upside than for neck 
because I now I think The 

436
00:29:24,700 --> 00:29:29,800
likelihood of for not getting an
80%, roll with white healthy is 

437
00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:33,300
almost zero now where I could 
see a world where they move for 

438
00:29:33,300 --> 00:29:36,400
Nat to a much smaller role of 
with white, really performs down

439
00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,200
the stretch. 
The other point I wanted to add 

440
00:29:39,200 --> 00:29:43,600
to the playoff contest. 
I think the Bucks are one of the

441
00:29:43,600 --> 00:29:46,900
most exciting ways to attack the
playoff contest. 

442
00:29:46,900 --> 00:29:51,000
Right now, they have just an 83 
percent chance of making the 

443
00:29:51,000 --> 00:29:54,400
playoffs. 
So not guaranteed. 

444
00:29:54,600 --> 00:29:57,600
Class but I think that's keeping
their prices really low. 

445
00:29:57,700 --> 00:30:04,800
You have Brady going at pick 50 
so that's close to a last round 

446
00:30:04,800 --> 00:30:09,100
pick in this format second or 
third last round. 

447
00:30:09,100 --> 00:30:17,600
You have Mike Evans going in. 
Let's see pick 35 start 39. 

448
00:30:17,700 --> 00:30:22,200
So also pretty late, you have 
Godwin going even after that 

449
00:30:22,200 --> 00:30:26,400
pick 54 Rashad White. 660. 
So that's like last overall 

450
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:28,100
pick. 
You can really get away with 

451
00:30:28,100 --> 00:30:33,200
stacking up the box with four of
your last you know six picks or 

452
00:30:33,200 --> 00:30:35,800
so. 
And I just think that the NFC 

453
00:30:35,800 --> 00:30:40,500
this year is pretty wide open. 
You know, you have the Eagles 

454
00:30:40,500 --> 00:30:43,500
who just lost the Commander's 
last night. 

455
00:30:43,500 --> 00:30:48,300
I mean, they're still looking 
really good but I think their 

456
00:30:48,500 --> 00:30:50,800
win-loss record is a little bit 
fluky. 

457
00:30:51,300 --> 00:30:53,500
The Vikings people have also 
made this point but they've just

458
00:30:53,500 --> 00:30:55,800
want to Taunton Of one score 
games. 

459
00:30:55,800 --> 00:31:00,000
I think their win-loss record is
a little bit fluky and I could 

460
00:31:00,000 --> 00:31:03,400
just see the Box getting hot at 
the right time in the playoffs 

461
00:31:03,400 --> 00:31:06,200
and and making a bit of a run. 
Maybe it's, you know, maybe it's

462
00:31:06,200 --> 00:31:09,500
my Tom Brady bias as growing up 
as a Pats fan. 

463
00:31:09,500 --> 00:31:11,900
But we saw this with the box 
back in. 

464
00:31:11,900 --> 00:31:19,100
Where do you again? 
Might be in England, but yeah, 

465
00:31:19,800 --> 00:31:24,400
definitely cries. 
This is likely. 

466
00:31:24,500 --> 00:31:26,800
Um touting the bills as a good 
pick. 

467
00:31:26,800 --> 00:31:28,500
If I tap out Tom Brady and 
anything. 

468
00:31:28,500 --> 00:31:32,500
But yeah man I don't know, I I 
mean we just talked about the 

469
00:31:32,500 --> 00:31:36,400
Seahawks out similar prices. 
I'm so excited to talk about 

470
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:41,500
Kent Walker at with his big 
share of that ring, back, usage,

471
00:31:41,500 --> 00:31:44,800
and price. 
So it and probably be a little 

472
00:31:44,800 --> 00:31:48,600
bit hypocritical of me, not to, 
at least be a little bit excited

473
00:31:48,600 --> 00:31:52,300
about Rashad, why a pic 60? 
When I just said, I think he's 

474
00:31:52,300 --> 00:31:54,300
getting that 50 and expected 
points per game. 

475
00:31:55,200 --> 00:32:01,100
And Chris Godwin, I pick 55. 
Yeah, those seem like pretty 

476
00:32:01,100 --> 00:32:06,200
attractive prices and it's so 
it's just so hard to Envision me

477
00:32:06,300 --> 00:32:10,700
at for me to Envision and the 
Buccaneers being the same that 

478
00:32:10,700 --> 00:32:13,700
makes a deep run, but it's week,
ten. 

479
00:32:13,800 --> 00:32:16,200
We really don't know any of this
stuff right now. 

480
00:32:16,900 --> 00:32:18,700
Yeah. 
And if you remember back in 

481
00:32:18,700 --> 00:32:23,100
2020, you know, I, I don't know 
their exact record this point, 

482
00:32:23,100 --> 00:32:28,600
but people work on Of ruling out
the box at around this time then

483
00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:33,000
like their record was okay but 
the team the offense is really 

484
00:32:33,000 --> 00:32:36,400
struggling Brady didn't look 
that great I think people forget

485
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:40,300
a little bit their 2020 run in 
the playoffs. 

486
00:32:40,300 --> 00:32:45,900
I think came from a wild-card 
spot or maybe a for a force you 

487
00:32:45,900 --> 00:32:48,700
to the division. 
When I wish I had this, this 

488
00:32:48,700 --> 00:32:54,300
remember right now but another 
thing in favor of the box is if 

489
00:32:54,300 --> 00:32:56,900
they make the I also it's almost
certainly because they won the 

490
00:32:56,900 --> 00:33:00,600
division, which gets them one 
home game in the playoffs that 

491
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:02,900
division is so bad. 
They just have to beat out the 

492
00:33:02,900 --> 00:33:08,300
Falcons Saints and Panthers. 
So I think that's like that this

493
00:33:08,300 --> 00:33:11,500
81% from 538. 
I'd almost be willing to say 

494
00:33:11,500 --> 00:33:15,400
that that should be even higher.
I know there's the chance they 

495
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,700
miss and the Falcons. 
Go on some kind of weird run and

496
00:33:17,700 --> 00:33:19,400
make the playoffs or maybe the 
Saints do. 

497
00:33:19,400 --> 00:33:23,600
But, you know, I have a really 
hard time seeing them losing the

498
00:33:23,600 --> 00:33:26,200
division to the, to the Falcons 
or Saints or Panthers. 

499
00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:30,500
So, so when in that, they have a
fifteen percent probability to 

500
00:33:30,500 --> 00:33:38,800
the Falcons, which kind of using
a probabilistic thinking seems 

501
00:33:38,800 --> 00:33:41,900
reasonable. 
Like, I think to get to the 

502
00:33:41,900 --> 00:33:46,500
book, the book, and here's to 85
90, you gotta push the Falcons 

503
00:33:46,500 --> 00:33:53,000
clothes, like, really close to 
0, and which I'm a little bit 

504
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,000
low to do just because you do, 
Have to think probabilistically 

505
00:33:56,000 --> 00:33:59,100
about these things. 
Yeah, yeah. 

506
00:33:59,100 --> 00:34:02,300
Now that's That. 
That's that's fair. 

507
00:34:02,300 --> 00:34:05,500
I think, you know, I can see how
they get to the 80% figure. 

508
00:34:05,500 --> 00:34:08,000
The Bucks are only five and 
five, a lot of weird stuff can 

509
00:34:08,000 --> 00:34:14,300
happen then FL but yeah, I feel 
good at the thing that matters I

510
00:34:14,308 --> 00:34:17,400
think is like, say you compare 
them to the Seahawks or Giants. 

511
00:34:17,699 --> 00:34:20,500
Those teams have similar odds 
for making the playoffs but the 

512
00:34:20,500 --> 00:34:23,500
Seahawks only have a 35% chance 
of winning the division and the 

513
00:34:23,507 --> 00:34:25,100
Giants. 
Only have a 12% chance of 

514
00:34:25,100 --> 00:34:27,600
winning their division. 
So that's to say, if those teams

515
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:30,400
make the playoffs, they're going
to be going on the road more. 

516
00:34:30,500 --> 00:34:32,900
Likely than not. 
Whereas if the Bucks make the 

517
00:34:32,900 --> 00:34:36,000
playoffs, it's almost certainly 
because they won their division 

518
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:39,100
and that's a pretty big 
Advantage, you know, right. 

519
00:34:39,100 --> 00:34:43,500
What home-field advantage is 
worth, usually like 33 points on

520
00:34:43,500 --> 00:34:46,000
bedding line or whatever the, 
you know, the common knowledge 

521
00:34:46,000 --> 00:34:48,800
is there. 
So that's a presbyter reflected 

522
00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,900
in your expected games. 
Yeah, total that you were 

523
00:34:51,900 --> 00:34:54,300
talking about last night. 
Yeah, I am. 

524
00:34:55,800 --> 00:34:59,100
Anyways, we've gone off on a 
tangent, a bit, any other 

525
00:34:59,100 --> 00:35:02,300
running backs, We should talk 
about the chief situation. 

526
00:35:02,300 --> 00:35:06,600
Actually, we mentioned that the 
top me and Pat talked about this

527
00:35:06,600 --> 00:35:08,800
last night, but do you have a 
lien on? 

528
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:13,100
It seems pretty clear that CH is
out and it's kind of down to 

529
00:35:13,500 --> 00:35:18,200
McKinnon verse Pacheco. 
Let's say for just the regular 

530
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:21,200
season. 
Now like if you're a team that 

531
00:35:21,400 --> 00:35:25,000
wants to acquire one of these 
guys for your regular season 

532
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:28,300
fantasy leagues, do you have a 
lien between who you want? 

533
00:35:29,100 --> 00:35:35,700
The check over is McKinnon. 
Not really. 

534
00:35:35,700 --> 00:35:39,400
No, I think they're both 
valuable but it does seem like a

535
00:35:39,408 --> 00:35:46,200
situation where but Jack I was 
getting the carries McKinnon's. 

536
00:35:46,500 --> 00:35:50,700
Getting the, he's getting the 
targets and I don't think I 

537
00:35:50,707 --> 00:35:55,200
think make Cannon will be a 
factor closer to go line and 

538
00:35:55,800 --> 00:36:00,000
especially with his passing is 
receiving a bill chops. 

539
00:36:00,600 --> 00:36:04,100
Hmm. 
So that's yeah. 

540
00:36:04,100 --> 00:36:06,800
That one feels. 
Very close to 50/50 commit to me

541
00:36:07,100 --> 00:36:12,000
and maybe slightly in Pacheco 
but not not overwhelming by any 

542
00:36:12,000 --> 00:36:17,800
stretch. 
Yeah, that that seems about 

543
00:36:17,900 --> 00:36:24,800
right to me, I think, for the 
regular season on go Pacheco, he

544
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:27,600
even like the routes were pretty
close between Pacheco. 

545
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:30,900
Don MacKinnon last week, it was 
18 McKinnon routes to 16 

546
00:36:30,900 --> 00:36:33,800
Pacheco. 
Now McKinnon turned those 18 

547
00:36:33,800 --> 00:36:36,900
routes into eight targets. 
Whereas Pacheco had zero Targets

548
00:36:36,900 --> 00:36:40,700
on 16 route. 
So I think Mahomes like you can 

549
00:36:40,700 --> 00:36:42,700
kind of tell when it can't make 
cannons in the game. 

550
00:36:42,900 --> 00:36:46,800
Um, homes is looking his way 
with pacheco's, in the game, his

551
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,800
route running does not look 
very, very competent. 

552
00:36:49,800 --> 00:36:52,700
I don't think he has many 
different players. 

553
00:36:52,900 --> 00:36:55,800
Yeah, but I still think. 
Yeah. 

554
00:36:55,800 --> 00:36:58,600
Just for the, the carries the 
goal line usage. 

555
00:36:59,100 --> 00:37:02,800
I would rather have Pacheco. 
Now, if we're talking, if we're 

556
00:37:02,800 --> 00:37:05,800
talking the playoff format, and 
this is more just like a gut 

557
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:10,800
feel take than analytics. 
I would actually, lean McKinnon 

558
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:12,800
over Pacheco for some other 
dude. 

559
00:37:12,900 --> 00:37:16,500
Laughter. 
Yeah, yeah. 

560
00:37:16,600 --> 00:37:19,200
I think two main reasons for 
that one. 

561
00:37:19,200 --> 00:37:21,300
I think there is some 
possibility. 

562
00:37:21,300 --> 00:37:24,000
The team is just sort of 
protecting McKinnon for the 

563
00:37:24,000 --> 00:37:26,400
playoffs. 
We saw last year him really go 

564
00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:30,600
off in the playoffs and even 
when CH was healthy they just 

565
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:33,700
completely I CH for McKinnon, he
got the rushing and the 

566
00:37:33,700 --> 00:37:35,600
receiving workload in a couple 
games. 

567
00:37:35,900 --> 00:37:39,300
So that's one reason. 
Number two, they're more likely 

568
00:37:39,300 --> 00:37:41,900
to be in passing scripts in the 
playoffs and they're in the 

569
00:37:41,900 --> 00:37:43,600
regular season. 
So When they go up against the 

570
00:37:43,600 --> 00:37:46,600
bills, you know, if they play 
the Bengals, these teams are 

571
00:37:46,607 --> 00:37:48,100
there any to score, a lot of 
points. 

572
00:37:48,500 --> 00:37:52,800
So I'm expecting McKinnon to get
heavier, snap shares in those 

573
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:54,800
playoff games. 
Assuming they're going up 

574
00:37:54,800 --> 00:37:57,200
against some high powered 
offenses in the playoffs. 

575
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:01,200
Do you agree with that? 
McKinnon over Pacheco for the 

576
00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:06,100
playoff formats? 
Yeah, yeah I've got and it feels

577
00:38:06,100 --> 00:38:08,500
like something like we both know
that. 

578
00:38:08,500 --> 00:38:10,900
It's not like we have solid data
to back that up. 

579
00:38:10,900 --> 00:38:12,700
We just know that's what they 
did last year. 

580
00:38:12,700 --> 00:38:16,800
So seems like the most probable 
outcome was that. 

581
00:38:16,800 --> 00:38:21,900
They do it again. 
Yeah, I agree with that. 

582
00:38:24,000 --> 00:38:25,600
Let's see here. 
I think another thing people 

583
00:38:25,600 --> 00:38:28,700
will be talking about is the San
Francisco running back 

584
00:38:28,700 --> 00:38:33,600
situation. 
We have McCaffrey moving pretty 

585
00:38:33,600 --> 00:38:38,400
far to the right on this chart. 
And that's, that's mainly 

586
00:38:38,400 --> 00:38:41,300
influenced by two things by his 
first week in San Francisco, 

587
00:38:41,300 --> 00:38:44,300
where he had a very limited role
that week is reflecting this 

588
00:38:44,300 --> 00:38:46,800
data. 
It's also a little bit because 

589
00:38:46,800 --> 00:38:52,600
of last week where McCaffrey saw
more of a committee with Elijah 

590
00:38:52,600 --> 00:38:55,300
Mitchell back. 
In the fold, we had a larger 

591
00:38:55,300 --> 00:38:59,200
Mitchell getting a decent snap 
share. 

592
00:38:59,200 --> 00:39:05,100
He had 24 snaps out of 71 so, 
almost a 30% snap share with 

593
00:39:05,700 --> 00:39:10,600
McCaffrey at 47 out of 71. 
So, more of like a 60%, snap 

594
00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:16,900
share I think and curious what 
you think I'm not overly 

595
00:39:17,000 --> 00:39:19,600
concerned about this. 
I think when you see the box 

596
00:39:19,600 --> 00:39:22,500
score, it looks kind of scary 
that Mitchell. 

597
00:39:22,500 --> 00:39:26,700
Got 18 carries but McCaffrey 
still had five targets. 

598
00:39:26,700 --> 00:39:28,500
He still had 14 carries of his 
own. 

599
00:39:28,500 --> 00:39:31,300
He was, he was getting all the 
routes out of the backfield. 

600
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:36,300
You know, this is no longer the 
McCaffrey on the Panthers roll. 

601
00:39:36,500 --> 00:39:42,300
It's it's just more your sort of
average Workhorse or semi Horse 

602
00:39:42,300 --> 00:39:45,000
roll on another team but on a 
much more efficient offense. 

603
00:39:45,000 --> 00:39:48,200
So yeah, I don't know. 
Like you're not going to worry 

604
00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:52,200
there, the situation is a little
bit worse. 

605
00:39:52,500 --> 00:39:56,200
Like he's a 49er now. 
Yeah, so he's gonna have the 

606
00:39:56,200 --> 00:40:01,700
49er kind of like profile and 
probably where there's so many 

607
00:40:01,700 --> 00:40:04,700
good players on our team, which 
is why they're so efficient or 

608
00:40:04,700 --> 00:40:05,500
partly. 
Why? 

609
00:40:06,000 --> 00:40:11,000
And that it's not it's probably 
you're not going to get every 

610
00:40:11,000 --> 00:40:15,000
game beat in the calf. 
The show now and or at least 

611
00:40:15,000 --> 00:40:17,400
that's what seems likely, but 
you're still going to get some 

612
00:40:17,400 --> 00:40:21,700
very strong games. 
And but it's also, I think it's 

613
00:40:21,700 --> 00:40:26,900
also a situation where It's 
really hard to be at too 

614
00:40:26,900 --> 00:40:29,100
confident, either way what's 
going to happen. 

615
00:40:29,700 --> 00:40:35,800
Like to, I'm placing a fair bit 
of of weight on the fact that 

616
00:40:36,100 --> 00:40:42,200
they really, really liked and 
Elijah Mitchell last year and 

617
00:40:42,900 --> 00:40:47,500
when he's back healthy, they're 
giving him like a fair share of 

618
00:40:47,508 --> 00:40:50,800
the workload. 
And I think it's kind of, like, 

619
00:40:52,000 --> 00:40:55,300
pretty likely that they To give 
them that. 

620
00:40:55,800 --> 00:41:00,800
But at the same time it did the 
whenever you talk about the 

621
00:41:00,800 --> 00:41:03,300
49ers, it's really hard to call 
it one way or the other. 

622
00:41:05,000 --> 00:41:07,400
Yep. 
Yep. 

623
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:11,400
I feel similarly. 
I think I expect a similar, snap

624
00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:13,500
share breakdown. 
I do think that the fact 

625
00:41:13,500 --> 00:41:17,300
Mitchell got 18 carries on 24 
snaps is a little, a little bit 

626
00:41:17,300 --> 00:41:20,000
fluky, you know, due to the to 
the positive game, strip a 

627
00:41:20,008 --> 00:41:24,500
little bit there. 
But yeah, I'm I guess like, you 

628
00:41:24,500 --> 00:41:28,100
have to say last week was a -2. 
McCaffrey the fact that Mitchell

629
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:32,700
took sort of that, you know, 33%
snap roll and took a decent bit 

630
00:41:32,700 --> 00:41:36,800
of carries but almost every Any 
back in the league sees, right? 

631
00:41:36,800 --> 00:41:39,200
Like some running back on their 
team. 

632
00:41:39,200 --> 00:41:45,000
Take a third of the snaps. 
So yeah, my God after McCaffrey 

633
00:41:45,000 --> 00:41:49,500
101 and someone tells you oh 
well, another running back is 

634
00:41:49,500 --> 00:41:51,400
getting 30. 
Tryi 25%. 

635
00:41:51,400 --> 00:41:55,600
In the schnapps at your camera. 
Got a little weird but away and 

636
00:41:55,600 --> 00:41:59,400
I won't good. 
Ah, yeah, you dropped them 

637
00:41:59,400 --> 00:42:00,900
one-on-one on. 
Someone's house you that then 

638
00:42:00,900 --> 00:42:05,900
you're disappointed. 
So it is like like you said it 

639
00:42:05,900 --> 00:42:10,300
is a - but still at very sorry 
to ballplayer. 

640
00:42:10,900 --> 00:42:14,200
Yeah, still I think I would 
still be. 

641
00:42:15,300 --> 00:42:20,400
Yeah I would probably still have
McCaffrey and my top three or so

642
00:42:20,400 --> 00:42:24,300
you know maybe someone like 
Eckler and Berkeley I would 

643
00:42:24,300 --> 00:42:28,200
wreck I would probably rather 
have but I think McCaffrey is 

644
00:42:28,200 --> 00:42:31,200
still up there for me for the 
receiving usage. 

645
00:42:31,200 --> 00:42:32,700
And yeah, where does one, you 
know, one. 

646
00:42:32,900 --> 00:42:36,300
On week, off of his 40-point, 
Fantasy game on the 49ers. 

647
00:42:36,300 --> 00:42:43,700
So I'm still taking them over 
just in Jefferson in PPR. 

648
00:42:43,700 --> 00:42:48,300
No, I don't think it would take 
them over Jefferson. 

649
00:42:48,300 --> 00:42:52,800
I don't think I would take them 
over Diggs or Tyreke either. 

650
00:42:53,800 --> 00:42:56,100
I don't think I'll take any 
running backs over those three 

651
00:42:56,100 --> 00:42:58,500
to be honest. 
That's fair, for sure. 

652
00:42:58,500 --> 00:43:01,900
Yeah. 
And that's what we year. 

653
00:43:02,300 --> 00:43:04,800
Yeah. 
Okay, cool. 

654
00:43:04,800 --> 00:43:07,900
Speaking of water. 
Severs, let's I think let's keep

655
00:43:07,900 --> 00:43:09,800
things moving. 
I don't think there's there's 

656
00:43:09,800 --> 00:43:14,600
too many interesting, I guess 
like just a couple quick notes. 

657
00:43:14,900 --> 00:43:19,200
Jeff Wilson again. 
Dominated snaps last week. 

658
00:43:19,200 --> 00:43:22,800
I think it's sort of a 60/40 
split with most shirt. 

659
00:43:22,800 --> 00:43:25,000
So he's a guy. 
If you can catch your league 

660
00:43:25,000 --> 00:43:29,200
made Sleeping, try to try to, 
you know, send some type of 

661
00:43:29,200 --> 00:43:31,300
package deal. 
You get Jeff Wilson thrown in. 

662
00:43:31,500 --> 00:43:35,300
I think he's a really strong by 
now and also for the Fantasy 

663
00:43:35,300 --> 00:43:38,800
Playoff. 
Formats agree. 

664
00:43:39,500 --> 00:43:41,500
But besides that let's move on 
to water Seaver. 

665
00:43:45,400 --> 00:43:47,200
Yeah. 
Well next our do you want to 

666
00:43:47,207 --> 00:43:52,100
talk about this? 
Now let's just let's keep going 

667
00:43:52,100 --> 00:43:53,700
wide receiver. 
I'll send these trucks. 

668
00:43:53,700 --> 00:43:57,900
So the I do think just for 
people falling along, I did do 

669
00:43:57,900 --> 00:43:59,600
the expected fantasy points 
chart. 

670
00:43:59,800 --> 00:44:02,000
It's running back. 
Just filtering for the last five

671
00:44:02,000 --> 00:44:03,900
weeks. 
I think they're interesting, but

672
00:44:03,900 --> 00:44:05,700
we've already spent a lot of 
time and money back, so I'll 

673
00:44:05,700 --> 00:44:08,600
send these out on Twitter for 
anyone who wants to look at 

674
00:44:08,600 --> 00:44:10,600
these. 
It shows things like Eckler, 

675
00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:14,200
with an insane, 19 expected 
fantasy points per game from 

676
00:44:14,200 --> 00:44:16,200
week, six, two weeks, 10. 
That's ridiculous. 

677
00:44:16,300 --> 00:44:19,000
You know, Ramon Dre in a 
legendary work workload. 

678
00:44:19,000 --> 00:44:21,000
Type role. 
There's some cool stuff here on 

679
00:44:21,000 --> 00:44:24,000
this chart to check out but I 
think we got it. 

680
00:44:24,100 --> 00:44:28,100
And so long talking about at 
running backs, Pete is logging 

681
00:44:28,100 --> 00:44:31,700
back in the Stream yard Dakota. 
Our access because out the 

682
00:44:31,700 --> 00:44:37,600
stream and start chasing will be
done by new host next week. 

683
00:44:37,700 --> 00:44:40,000
Yeah, yeah. 
We've been fired for talking 

684
00:44:40,000 --> 00:44:41,700
about Elijah Mitchell for 20 
minutes. 

685
00:44:42,300 --> 00:44:49,800
It's a real shame, okay, wide, 
receiver by Pete's decree, we 

686
00:44:50,200 --> 00:44:53,600
are looking at here, water super
opportunity verse fantasy 

687
00:44:53,600 --> 00:44:58,000
points, four wide receivers that
have run more than 85% of their 

688
00:44:58,000 --> 00:45:01,900
team's routes on the here, we 
have fantasy points per game on 

689
00:45:01,900 --> 00:45:06,300
the y, axis on the x axis, 
waited targets, per route run. 

690
00:45:06,500 --> 00:45:10,100
So, these are number of targets,
you get her number of routes run

691
00:45:10,500 --> 00:45:14,000
but adjusted for your average 
depth of Target. 

692
00:45:14,300 --> 00:45:20,300
So short screen is worth less 
than a 40 yard bomb down field. 

693
00:45:21,100 --> 00:45:24,000
So in this chart here again, 
this this chart is another one 

694
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:29,200
that Brent been pretty stable. 
We now have 10 weeks of data, we

695
00:45:29,200 --> 00:45:31,100
did get it. 
Motion for staff dicks. 

696
00:45:31,700 --> 00:45:33,100
I think that's pretty notable, 
actually. 

697
00:45:34,500 --> 00:45:37,200
Yeah, can you talk through what 
your food, your friend to their 

698
00:45:37,200 --> 00:45:41,800
digs and so their eggs? 
And for a lot of this was on the

699
00:45:41,800 --> 00:45:48,300
second sharp and he's, he was 
below before he was below 85% 

700
00:45:48,300 --> 00:45:49,800
there. 
A rat's run. 

701
00:45:49,800 --> 00:45:57,300
And now he's above are, which 
is, I mean, he's such a strong 

702
00:45:57,300 --> 00:45:59,500
pick, we're just talking about 
him being one of the first, I 

703
00:45:59,500 --> 00:46:02,600
don't know, like three or four 
picks and so it's hard for him 

704
00:46:02,600 --> 00:46:07,400
to go higher. 
Her butt and that just, it just 

705
00:46:07,400 --> 00:46:09,600
adds to the floor. 
Make gives them an even higher 

706
00:46:09,600 --> 00:46:12,600
for time before that he's 
running even more, right? 

707
00:46:12,900 --> 00:46:15,800
And even higher percentage of 
Rights, then he was at the start

708
00:46:15,800 --> 00:46:18,000
of the Year. 
Yep. 

709
00:46:18,600 --> 00:46:21,000
Yeah. 
I don't have a good reason for 

710
00:46:21,000 --> 00:46:24,800
why he was at less than 85% and 
now wise crept up. 

711
00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:28,100
I maybe he was dealing with some
minor conditioning or he'll 

712
00:46:28,100 --> 00:46:30,300
thing earlier in the year and 
they've just ramp them up, 

713
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:33,400
either way. 
Good to see him in that. 

714
00:46:33,700 --> 00:46:38,500
Category now and yeah this chart
I think it's pretty clear. 

715
00:46:38,700 --> 00:46:41,900
If you look at the top right of 
this chart who the elite 

716
00:46:41,900 --> 00:46:45,700
contingent of water receivers 
are you know, then you can 

717
00:46:45,700 --> 00:46:49,000
throat. 
Chase Jefferson cop who's now an

718
00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:54,400
IR Hopkins digs Adams and maybe 
lamb and AJ Brown, may be 

719
00:46:54,400 --> 00:46:59,500
slightly below those guys but 
this chart pretty clearly shows 

720
00:47:00,200 --> 00:47:02,600
the, you know, the players who 
are getting a massive 

721
00:47:02,600 --> 00:47:04,800
opportunity Tea. 
And and the one, the two that 

722
00:47:04,800 --> 00:47:07,600
are maybe missing from here, 
that you would consider in that 

723
00:47:07,600 --> 00:47:11,400
would be Tyreke and waddle. 
They're just on the next chart 

724
00:47:11,400 --> 00:47:13,600
because they have less than 85% 
of their team's routes. 

725
00:47:13,600 --> 00:47:17,500
But this chart does a really 
good job of highlighting sort of

726
00:47:17,500 --> 00:47:23,700
the elite elite roles in the NFL
and yeah, so I think one thing I

727
00:47:23,707 --> 00:47:27,500
want to talk about here Connor 
was the Cooper cop situation. 

728
00:47:27,900 --> 00:47:29,900
He is going to go on IR for four
weeks. 

729
00:47:29,900 --> 00:47:34,000
I wouldn't be surprised if he's 
out even longer or if Shut him 

730
00:47:34,000 --> 00:47:37,700
down for the full year just 
based on where the Rams are in 

731
00:47:37,700 --> 00:47:39,800
the standings right now. 
They could be ruled out from the

732
00:47:39,800 --> 00:47:44,100
playoff hunt at that point. 
So the guys running behind him 

733
00:47:44,200 --> 00:47:49,600
are Allen Robinson, van 
Jefferson and Bennett Scout 

734
00:47:49,600 --> 00:47:54,200
Raonic in a league where say 
you're desperate for a flex or 

735
00:47:54,200 --> 00:47:57,900
wide receiver starter. 
And these guys are available on 

736
00:47:57,900 --> 00:48:01,400
the waiver wire. 
Do you have any lien on how the 

737
00:48:01,400 --> 00:48:05,100
wide receiver room for the Rams 
is Going to going to shake out 

738
00:48:05,600 --> 00:48:10,400
and I think it's just going to 
be terrible to be honest. 

739
00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:18,000
Like I hate saying it but these 
are all just below NFL average 

740
00:48:18,000 --> 00:48:23,400
players. 
Like even hapy is not and not, 

741
00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:28,500
and I reached below average 
receiver the NFL level, and so 

742
00:48:29,000 --> 00:48:31,300
that suggests. 
And then you have the struggles 

743
00:48:31,300 --> 00:48:36,500
in the running game and and they
the easy answer for me or the 

744
00:48:36,500 --> 00:48:39,000
quick answer is I just think 
it's going to be none of them 

745
00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:46,000
and the offense going to suck 
and boy, that's a little bit of 

746
00:48:46,000 --> 00:48:52,700
a cop-out and Probably, I guess 
if I would have to pick somebody

747
00:48:53,300 --> 00:48:59,500
it probably is Alan Robinson and
just because he goes have some 

748
00:48:59,500 --> 00:49:05,500
pedigree. 
Yeah and skowronek is kind of 

749
00:49:05,500 --> 00:49:08,100
like the dictionary definition 
of a jog. 

750
00:49:09,200 --> 00:49:14,200
But that I don't know if I can 
do a lot better than that at 

751
00:49:14,200 --> 00:49:16,900
maybe maybe. 
Yeah, even van Jefferson coming 

752
00:49:16,900 --> 00:49:21,000
off the injury. 
Like I'm struggling to see how 

753
00:49:21,000 --> 00:49:26,300
he performs. 
Well, now that the offense, I 

754
00:49:26,300 --> 00:49:33,400
guess if the offense craters and
how does that give him enough 

755
00:49:33,400 --> 00:49:38,400
kind of room to operate or Run? 
Deep, if you happens just isn't 

756
00:49:38,400 --> 00:49:39,700
on the field. 
As much anymore. 

757
00:49:40,700 --> 00:49:43,400
Yeah, I think it's kind of a 
disaster and you also have 

758
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:46,400
Stafford her, you know, Wilfred 
played last week. 

759
00:49:46,700 --> 00:49:50,300
I think I'm kind of with you 
that it's more, stay away than 

760
00:49:50,300 --> 00:49:53,400
like some massive contingent 
upside for one of these guys, I 

761
00:49:53,400 --> 00:49:55,000
agree. 
If I was to pick, I'm going 

762
00:49:55,000 --> 00:49:58,600
Robinson overs coronavirus. 
I think you can rule it down to 

763
00:49:58,600 --> 00:50:00,900
those two. 
Just based on routes and 

764
00:50:00,900 --> 00:50:04,100
Skrillex, you know, Robinson. 
We've made fun of his cardio 

765
00:50:04,100 --> 00:50:06,400
specialist ability out their 
butts. 

766
00:50:06,400 --> 00:50:08,300
Chronic Sun even worse as you 
see on the next chart. 

767
00:50:09,100 --> 00:50:12,600
At around, 30% way, to targets 
for Route, Ron one of the worst 

768
00:50:12,600 --> 00:50:18,000
of the 75 to 80% route players. 
So he's he's earning even less 

769
00:50:18,000 --> 00:50:20,900
targets than Robinson. 
I think some of the designed 

770
00:50:21,500 --> 00:50:25,500
short area stuff that kept that 
cop gets a ton of will go to 

771
00:50:25,500 --> 00:50:26,900
Robinson. 
I think they're more likely to 

772
00:50:26,900 --> 00:50:32,600
design plays for him. 
So, you know, if you're telling 

773
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:37,600
like maybe if you're telling me 
like Allen Robinson, verse 

774
00:50:37,600 --> 00:50:42,000
thielen rest of A year I would 
rather have Robinson because of 

775
00:50:42,008 --> 00:50:46,400
this cup injury. 
I think I'd rather have him than

776
00:50:46,400 --> 00:50:53,000
a guy like Mooney or dpj. 
So I think that's that's sort of

777
00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:57,900
the range I'm talking about like
a high-end wide receiver for 

778
00:50:57,900 --> 00:51:01,800
low-end wide receiver three. 
I think it's kind of how I'm 

779
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:06,100
viewing Robinson but it's not a 
guy with with a ton of upside. 

780
00:51:06,100 --> 00:51:09,300
I don't think it's just you know
someone who can get you Six 

781
00:51:09,300 --> 00:51:12,000
catches for 62 yards and maybe a
touchdown. 

782
00:51:12,000 --> 00:51:15,400
I think at this point in his 
career he's not getting you a 

783
00:51:15,400 --> 00:51:17,600
ton more than that and a weekly 
basis. 

784
00:51:18,600 --> 00:51:21,900
So if you don't mind, if I go 
back to our kind of like 

785
00:51:21,900 --> 00:51:28,300
playoff, yeah, that's Pol team. 
And one of the teams that you in

786
00:51:28,300 --> 00:51:32,300
538, they have a pretty high 
expected game number for the 

787
00:51:32,300 --> 00:51:38,500
Cowboys. 95% to make the 
playoffs, 2.2 expected games and

788
00:51:38,500 --> 00:51:41,200
the hi. 
Highest is the Chiefs 2.7. 

789
00:51:41,500 --> 00:51:48,100
So it's the 538 are telling us 
that the Cowboys are a team and 

790
00:51:48,100 --> 00:51:54,000
that we should be interested in 
for this tournament and assuming

791
00:51:54,000 --> 00:51:57,000
assuming we buy that we can we 
can maybe talk about if we buy 

792
00:51:57,000 --> 00:52:00,400
it or not. 
Am I see that CD? 

793
00:52:00,400 --> 00:52:06,400
Lime is definitely not a 
discount ATP of 14 but Michael 

794
00:52:06,400 --> 00:52:12,100
Gallup is pick 47. 
Which is pretty that's pretty 

795
00:52:12,100 --> 00:52:19,000
late for the wide receiver to on
a team with that without it. 

796
00:52:19,300 --> 00:52:24,900
Hi a playoff equity. 
And but we see on this chart 

797
00:52:24,900 --> 00:52:29,300
that despite and despite getting
a pretty solid and way to 

798
00:52:29,300 --> 00:52:32,800
targets per outrun, his points 
have been terrible. 

799
00:52:33,800 --> 00:52:39,600
However, you looking at at 
Monkey gallop Yeah, he's a guy 

800
00:52:39,600 --> 00:52:44,000
that I think is interesting and 
I would, I've been in some home 

801
00:52:44,000 --> 00:52:46,900
legs was available on waivers. 
I'm trying to get him this week.

802
00:52:47,300 --> 00:52:50,400
I think with these guys coming 
off, ACL tears. 

803
00:52:50,600 --> 00:52:52,900
We generally see them ramp up 
throughout the course of the 

804
00:52:52,900 --> 00:52:55,300
year. 
And like you said his Target 

805
00:52:55,300 --> 00:52:58,100
opportunity is pretty strong. 
It's in the range of guys like 

806
00:52:58,300 --> 00:53:04,300
Pittman Devante Smith Debo TJ 
some guys that have you know had

807
00:53:04,300 --> 00:53:07,600
some strong performances. 
So I'm interested in Gallup. 

808
00:53:07,600 --> 00:53:10,000
You're right. 
The inefficiency has been on a 

809
00:53:10,000 --> 00:53:13,800
darkened basis has been awful so
far, but I'm willing to bet that

810
00:53:13,800 --> 00:53:21,200
it's sort of regresses to his 
career, his career averages, and

811
00:53:21,300 --> 00:53:24,500
he becomes a useful sort of flex
piece down the stretch. 

812
00:53:24,500 --> 00:53:28,300
And yeah, like you said, in the 
playoff formats I think he's an 

813
00:53:28,300 --> 00:53:31,800
interesting guy to add late for 
your Dallas tax. 

814
00:53:33,100 --> 00:53:35,700
Yeah, I guess other thing is 
like, obj is a bit of a wild 

815
00:53:35,700 --> 00:53:37,100
card there, right? 
I think. 

816
00:53:37,100 --> 00:53:40,700
Oh. 
Jake could Corp sort of Steel. 

817
00:53:40,700 --> 00:53:42,500
Gallops roll. 
Potentially, there's been a lot 

818
00:53:42,500 --> 00:53:45,100
of rumors there. 
So that's maybe the risk on 

819
00:53:45,100 --> 00:53:48,600
investing a ton in Gallup. 
Is that someone like obj comes 

820
00:53:48,600 --> 00:53:50,100
in? 
But, you know, I'd still put 

821
00:53:50,100 --> 00:53:52,400
that at less than 50 percent 
chance of happening. 

822
00:53:52,400 --> 00:53:56,400
Maybe around 50, if I was just a
wing wing, a probability, their 

823
00:53:57,200 --> 00:54:03,400
scent and with the playoff 
question and him and him being 

824
00:54:03,400 --> 00:54:07,100
such a strong value, relative to
the other Cowboys. 

825
00:54:07,200 --> 00:54:14,100
Why and how would you make him 
part of like a Dallas like super

826
00:54:14,100 --> 00:54:15,700
stock? 
Because like that's an easier 

827
00:54:15,700 --> 00:54:21,500
way to draft for Cowboys. 
Or would you prefer to maybe do 

828
00:54:21,500 --> 00:54:27,600
a not a skinny but like to to 
kind of wise flares and out of 

829
00:54:27,600 --> 00:54:31,400
Cheaper value. 
How would you play that? 

830
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:38,200
Yeah, that's a good question. 
I think, I think in this is a 

831
00:54:38,207 --> 00:54:44,300
cop-out. 
I think both are are viable. 

832
00:54:45,200 --> 00:54:50,200
I think I'm more likely though 
to take Gallop on teams where I 

833
00:54:50,200 --> 00:54:55,000
have the Cowboys, making a Deep 
Run, so maybe more like, Cowboys

834
00:54:55,000 --> 00:54:56,800
Super Stacks. 
What I'm saying? 

835
00:54:56,800 --> 00:54:59,900
I'm taking back, I'm taking Paul
or time taking lamb. 

836
00:55:00,200 --> 00:55:02,700
And I'm betting that the Cowboys
are going to make it to the 

837
00:55:02,707 --> 00:55:04,800
Super Bowl. 
In that scenario, I probably 

838
00:55:04,800 --> 00:55:08,300
want some fourth piece there, 
whereas like, if I'm just taking

839
00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:12,500
two players from from a team, 
oftentimes, you're okay with 

840
00:55:12,500 --> 00:55:15,300
those two players just having 
one or two big weeks and then 

841
00:55:15,300 --> 00:55:17,700
losing in the conference 
Championship for something. 

842
00:55:17,900 --> 00:55:20,500
And you know, if I'm only 
getting Cowboys players from one

843
00:55:20,500 --> 00:55:25,200
or two weeks, I think it's less 
likely that, you know, Gallop 

844
00:55:25,200 --> 00:55:28,900
gets there in a massive Spike 
week and when's you week, I 

845
00:55:28,908 --> 00:55:32,300
think he's more likely to be a 
guy that matters in that format 

846
00:55:32,300 --> 00:55:35,800
because he just gets It's 
successive like nine to Fifteen 

847
00:55:35,800 --> 00:55:39,100
Point weeks that help you 
advance and help you in the 

848
00:55:39,100 --> 00:55:43,100
final week. 
But yeah that's just sort of off

849
00:55:43,100 --> 00:55:45,100
the top of my head. 
You have any thoughts there? 

850
00:55:45,900 --> 00:55:50,900
And to be honest? 
No it was just a question I had.

851
00:55:51,100 --> 00:55:55,000
Yeah. 
And I was curious what you 

852
00:55:55,000 --> 00:55:58,900
thought about it. 
I think I tend to agree and that

853
00:55:58,900 --> 00:56:06,400
he eats that clean attractive 
for peace and And yeah, I agree 

854
00:56:06,400 --> 00:56:08,700
with that. 
We have you put that next dance.

855
00:56:09,000 --> 00:56:11,500
Good point from Stephanie here. 
I was thinking about this, James

856
00:56:11,500 --> 00:56:13,500
Washington will be back soon for
Dallas. 

857
00:56:13,500 --> 00:56:17,300
I still think Gallup is the 
water Seaver. 

858
00:56:17,300 --> 00:56:20,400
The team invested very heavily 
in this offseason. 

859
00:56:20,400 --> 00:56:23,500
He got a pretty big contract. 
He's been running ahead of Noah 

860
00:56:23,500 --> 00:56:27,000
Brown. 
Now, if you look at last week's 

861
00:56:27,000 --> 00:56:31,700
snaps, so I expect Washington to
compete with brown for the wide 

862
00:56:31,700 --> 00:56:34,300
receiver role. 
I don't really expect him to be 

863
00:56:34,300 --> 00:56:38,000
taking Snaps from Gallup. 
Especially coming off a pretty 

864
00:56:38,000 --> 00:56:39,900
major injury himself, but that's
a good note. 

865
00:56:39,900 --> 00:56:42,900
James Washington is someone we 
should should keep on our radar.

866
00:56:42,900 --> 00:56:46,000
See how he affects the snaps 
when he Comes back. 

867
00:56:47,300 --> 00:56:50,400
Let's move on here to to the 
next wide. 

868
00:56:50,400 --> 00:56:59,200
Receiver chart, I didn't have a 
ton to say here besides Darius 

869
00:56:59,200 --> 00:57:03,700
Layton is is the wide receiver 
one on the Giants. 

870
00:57:03,700 --> 00:57:08,100
I think that's pretty clear. 
Now and he had a pretty big 

871
00:57:08,200 --> 00:57:11,700
spiked week last week as far as 
translator severs go. 

872
00:57:11,700 --> 00:57:15,400
So, he's a guy, I'm adding in 
more casual leaks. 

873
00:57:15,400 --> 00:57:20,000
We're still on the wire aside 
from that kind of kind of same 

874
00:57:20,000 --> 00:57:26,200
old here for these water severs.
Yeah. 

875
00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:29,400
Any thoughts, any thoughts? 
Any of these guys? 

876
00:57:32,200 --> 00:57:37,800
And nothing is really and 
jumping out to me and just going

877
00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:42,100
to check for T. 
So T Hagins maybe it's 

878
00:57:42,100 --> 00:57:46,600
interesting. 
And yeah in and the playoff 

879
00:57:46,600 --> 00:57:54,400
format give going to ATP 49 and 
That's one of those things where

880
00:57:54,400 --> 00:57:57,700
like the Bangles are like one of
those lower probability teams. 

881
00:57:58,000 --> 00:58:02,600
Yeah, but if they do make it 
we've seen them. 

882
00:58:02,600 --> 00:58:06,200
We saw to make a run last year 
and we've seen how important to 

883
00:58:06,200 --> 00:58:11,600
Higgins can be for the team and 
but I would count that as kind 

884
00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:13,800
of like a more of a minor at 
Point. 

885
00:58:14,500 --> 00:58:16,300
Yeah. 
I don't have any kind of like 

886
00:58:16,300 --> 00:58:20,100
strong take takes or takeaways 
from this chart that we haven't 

887
00:58:20,100 --> 00:58:23,600
talked about before here. 
That's that's fair. 

888
00:58:23,600 --> 00:58:26,100
I think a guy who's not on this 
chart but we should talk about 

889
00:58:26,100 --> 00:58:29,100
is taddarius Tony for the 
Chiefs. 

890
00:58:30,300 --> 00:58:35,200
So I think he wasn't actually 
going to be due for a major role

891
00:58:35,200 --> 00:58:39,500
last week and then Juju went 
down and that pushed him into a 

892
00:58:39,500 --> 00:58:42,200
much higher. 
Snap-roll me called Hardman was 

893
00:58:42,200 --> 00:58:45,100
down to and Michael Arden was 
down to, so, that's a good 

894
00:58:45,100 --> 00:58:49,600
point. 
I think, you know, I think this 

895
00:58:49,600 --> 00:58:55,400
requires like really monitoring 
the Chiefs injuries to both Juju

896
00:58:55,400 --> 00:58:58,400
and Hardman neither of their 
injuries sound like something 

897
00:58:58,400 --> 00:59:01,200
that is going to keep them out 
for too long. 

898
00:59:01,200 --> 00:59:04,800
So it's interesting. 
If you look at the snaps last 

899
00:59:04,800 --> 00:59:11,300
week, 40 there was a total of 40
routes for the Chiefs mvs, led 

900
00:59:11,300 --> 00:59:16,400
the team with 34 routes, then 
Watson at 29, and then Tony and 

901
00:59:16,400 --> 00:59:21,600
JuJu down at 17 and 16 Sky more 
all the way down at 10, you 

902
00:59:21,600 --> 00:59:29,600
know, I I think that Watson and 
mvs are less talented than Juju 

903
00:59:29,600 --> 00:59:34,000
Tony and Hardman but I don't 
know if you can play Hardman 

904
00:59:34,000 --> 00:59:35,700
Juju and Tony on the field 
together. 

905
00:59:35,700 --> 00:59:41,100
I think none of them are really 
like proven as outside wide 

906
00:59:41,100 --> 00:59:46,200
receivers in the NFL. 
So I want to say that Watson and

907
00:59:46,200 --> 00:59:49,600
MDS could be pushed to the side 
and you can get, you know, Tony 

908
00:59:49,600 --> 00:59:53,700
juju and Hardman out there but I
don't think The Chiefs will do 

909
00:59:53,700 --> 00:59:55,400
that. 
I think you'll steal still see a

910
00:59:55,400 --> 00:59:58,100
lot of Watson and mvs. 
Oh yeah. 

911
00:59:58,100 --> 01:00:00,500
I like I want to be more excited
about Tony and I think in 

912
01:00:00,500 --> 01:00:03,400
playoff formats I am. 
But for this regular season 

913
01:00:03,400 --> 01:00:06,800
stuff, I still expect him to 
have like more of, you know, a 

914
01:00:06,808 --> 01:00:10,700
50%, even with the Jews you out 
for half the game and Hardman 

915
01:00:10,700 --> 01:00:12,700
out last week. 
He didn't even run 50% of the 

916
01:00:12,700 --> 01:00:17,000
team's route. 
So I don't know. 

917
01:00:17,000 --> 01:00:19,300
I think I would still probably 
project him for the regular 

918
01:00:19,300 --> 01:00:22,700
season that like a 50 to 60% 
routes. 

919
01:00:22,800 --> 01:00:27,300
Roll and maybe in the playoffs 
that that spikes even more. 

920
01:00:27,300 --> 01:00:31,900
But yeah. 
I don't want to be the the cold 

921
01:00:32,100 --> 01:00:34,600
towel or whatever. 
The expression is on Tony guy 

922
01:00:34,600 --> 01:00:38,200
but weapon like that. 
Yeah, wet blanket called out. 

923
01:00:39,300 --> 01:00:41,700
Yeah. 
Any thoughts on Tony like how do

924
01:00:41,700 --> 01:00:45,900
you see his snaps evolving 
throughout the year if you're at

925
01:00:45,900 --> 01:00:51,600
a sort of guess there and That's
a hard one I think. 

926
01:00:51,800 --> 01:00:57,300
And if I used to make the case 
for it going higher it would be 

927
01:00:57,300 --> 01:01:01,800
that when he what they use them 
a lot when he was on the field 

928
01:01:02,200 --> 01:01:10,000
and and he performed with with 
it and so that would be maybe 

929
01:01:10,000 --> 01:01:12,200
the case of where he might say, 
okay? 

930
01:01:12,500 --> 01:01:16,900
And these other players, they 
that they've struggled a bit and

931
01:01:16,900 --> 01:01:19,600
then Tony he's played better 
with Snaps. 

932
01:01:19,600 --> 01:01:24,800
I he has so that could maybe be 
the case for him to be closer to

933
01:01:24,800 --> 01:01:30,800
a full-time player and but yet 
Tony is a hard one for me to 

934
01:01:30,800 --> 01:01:32,600
read that. 
He's a heart. 

935
01:01:33,300 --> 01:01:39,600
It's one of those good things 
where he's he always seems to 

936
01:01:39,607 --> 01:01:46,200
have these question marks of 
like availability and stuff like

937
01:01:46,200 --> 01:01:50,700
faking the hamstring to get off 
the team. and with the Giants, 

938
01:01:51,100 --> 01:01:58,900
which is kind of what he told 
us, what a celebration and Dada 

939
01:01:59,500 --> 01:02:03,400
that sort of stuff is kind of 
like it's a bit of a red flag 

940
01:02:03,400 --> 01:02:08,800
for me and he's, he had issues 
in college with availability. 

941
01:02:09,200 --> 01:02:14,100
And yeah, that, that that's 
where I always struggle with 

942
01:02:14,100 --> 01:02:16,300
Tony. 
But the problem is that he's so 

943
01:02:16,300 --> 01:02:25,100
so good that if, if I'm wrong 
and and and the, the enthusiasts

944
01:02:25,100 --> 01:02:26,400
are correct. 
It. 

945
01:02:26,900 --> 01:02:31,200
And he does have this good year 
then he could smash so so hard 

946
01:02:32,500 --> 01:02:35,700
Yeah, it seems like situation 
where like the median projection

947
01:02:35,700 --> 01:02:39,400
doesn't look great for Tony just
cuz of concerns on playing time 

948
01:02:39,400 --> 01:02:41,700
and maybe some off-the-field 
health stuff. 

949
01:02:41,900 --> 01:02:45,700
But he has clearly the most 
upside I think of any sheeps 

950
01:02:45,700 --> 01:02:50,000
wide receiver, I think I would 
only take Juju above him for 

951
01:02:50,000 --> 01:02:53,700
rest of season and fantasy. 
I definitely like him over MDS 

952
01:02:53,700 --> 01:02:57,400
Hardman. 
You know, whoever else and yeah 

953
01:02:57,400 --> 01:03:01,500
maybe even I think he has more 
pure upside than Juju but JuJu's

954
01:03:01,600 --> 01:03:07,800
As you know, 52 95% outcomes or 
maybe still better than Tony's 

955
01:03:08,200 --> 01:03:12,100
is how I would maybe look at it.
So I think that's very fair. 

956
01:03:12,500 --> 01:03:17,100
Yeah. 
Okay, let's uh, finish up on on 

957
01:03:17,100 --> 01:03:24,300
tight ends here, starting with 
the starting tight ends, if you 

958
01:03:24,308 --> 01:03:26,100
want to call them that we're 
looking here at tight end, 

959
01:03:26,100 --> 01:03:29,200
utilization and efficiency. 
So tie downs, with greater than 

960
01:03:29,200 --> 01:03:32,500
60% of routes are on from weeks,
six through ten. 

961
01:03:33,900 --> 01:03:36,500
We also have targets for Route, 
Ron and a DOT shown in this 

962
01:03:36,500 --> 01:03:39,500
chart. 
So you can look at to see if 

963
01:03:39,600 --> 01:03:42,500
tight ends are using down the 
getting used down the field, you

964
01:03:42,508 --> 01:03:46,300
know, like Kyle pits 8, Of 14.4 
that's really high for a tight 

965
01:03:46,300 --> 01:03:49,400
end Greg dulcich 13.7. 
That's really high for a tight 

966
01:03:49,400 --> 01:03:52,800
end versus guys that are being 
used and more sort of short 

967
01:03:52,900 --> 01:03:56,900
dump-off roles like Dallas 
ghadir, you know, 5.1 a taught 

968
01:03:57,800 --> 01:04:03,200
hidden hers 5.48 odd. 
So, some differences there, I'll

969
01:04:03,200 --> 01:04:05,300
call out a couple things that I 
noticed, right away. 

970
01:04:05,400 --> 01:04:11,200
Number one, I think Foster 
Moreau is a tight end, one as 

971
01:04:11,200 --> 01:04:15,400
long as Darren wohlers out, he's
made Be not the most exciting 

972
01:04:15,400 --> 01:04:19,800
guy from an athletic standpoint 
but he has the full time role 

973
01:04:19,800 --> 01:04:22,200
there. 
That's pretty clear and he's got

974
01:04:22,200 --> 01:04:27,000
a decent targets for outrun, you
know, okay middling a lot. 

975
01:04:27,400 --> 01:04:30,600
Not someone, I'm super excited 
about but I think he's 

976
01:04:30,600 --> 01:04:35,200
definitely, you know, on the low
end tight end one bubble. 

977
01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:40,300
As long as Mahler is out. 
Yeah. 

978
01:04:40,300 --> 01:04:43,900
Any thoughts on some of the 
other guys? 

979
01:04:44,100 --> 01:04:49,100
On this chart yan'er. 
So the first thing that struck 

980
01:04:49,100 --> 01:04:55,100
me here was the train McBride 
popping and aren't top seven, or

981
01:04:55,100 --> 01:05:00,500
so, a rat run. 
And I will say that's a that's 

982
01:05:00,500 --> 01:05:06,300
held up quite a lot and by the 
last game and week 10, when 

983
01:05:07,900 --> 01:05:10,400
what's his name Zack? 
Eric's got injured. 

984
01:05:10,900 --> 01:05:15,300
And so, yes are actually They 
just to be clear this. 

985
01:05:15,300 --> 01:05:20,900
I did a manual change just to 
only show McBride from last week

986
01:05:20,900 --> 01:05:22,600
just to smoke a. 
A oh yeah, yeah. 

987
01:05:22,600 --> 01:05:25,500
So because that is what's that's
kind of like the closest that we

988
01:05:25,500 --> 01:05:28,000
can get to what we should 
project forward. 

989
01:05:28,200 --> 01:05:29,000
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

990
01:05:29,000 --> 01:05:36,000
And so that makes sense and and 
I think that's also relevant 

991
01:05:36,000 --> 01:05:39,500
when we look at the targets per 
Rev Run and that were only 

992
01:05:39,500 --> 01:05:41,700
looking at what is it? 
36 routes. 

993
01:05:42,600 --> 01:05:46,900
And sample size. 
Yeah, 4%. 

994
01:05:47,000 --> 01:05:52,000
He got one Target on those that 
are maybe that the target 

995
01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:55,200
prayer. 
Run is so the target proton is 

996
01:05:55,200 --> 01:05:58,400
actually for the full year so 
that that is actually an 

997
01:05:58,400 --> 01:06:00,200
accurate targets for Route, run 
for him. 

998
01:06:00,200 --> 01:06:03,000
For this whole year. 
It's just been really, really 

999
01:06:03,000 --> 01:06:05,700
bad for McBride, but still still
a low amount of routes. 

1000
01:06:05,700 --> 01:06:08,800
I can, you know, as you continue
talking to me product and pull 

1001
01:06:08,800 --> 01:06:16,900
that up. 
Okay so that yeah he does have 

1002
01:06:16,900 --> 01:06:21,100
four percent car sir out run 
over the whole the whole season.

1003
01:06:23,000 --> 01:06:31,600
And that is based on 5058 route,
CS3 Targets on 58 routes this 

1004
01:06:31,600 --> 01:06:38,000
season. 
Again, so I fought with then 

1005
01:06:38,100 --> 01:06:39,500
maybe. 
Yeah, I'm not sure where that 

1006
01:06:39,500 --> 01:06:42,300
number is this 4 but it's low, 
whatever it is. 

1007
01:06:42,700 --> 01:06:48,300
Yeah, so I've got four Targets 
on at 90 routes and so that's, 

1008
01:06:48,300 --> 01:06:50,200
that's where we're getting our 
four percent. 

1009
01:06:50,600 --> 01:06:55,100
Okay, got it, got it. 
Okay, and so that's obviously 

1010
01:06:56,100 --> 01:07:06,100
pretty / and I think that's for 
for someone like me. 

1011
01:07:06,100 --> 01:07:09,000
I was really excited, about 
McBride going into the season, 

1012
01:07:09,200 --> 01:07:14,200
he had this great receiving a 
profile in college and it was it

1013
01:07:14,200 --> 01:07:18,000
was excited to see what he could
do to kind of challenge. 

1014
01:07:18,000 --> 01:07:23,300
Zach ertz as a as that receiver 
from the tight end spot. 

1015
01:07:23,700 --> 01:07:27,300
And for me, that's obviously a 
big kind of like, reason for 

1016
01:07:27,300 --> 01:07:29,500
caution. 
Oh okay, maybe. 

1017
01:07:29,700 --> 01:07:31,900
The results here. 
Maybe he's not as good. 

1018
01:07:31,900 --> 01:07:35,200
A receiver in the NFL as I 
taught he would be. 

1019
01:07:36,300 --> 01:07:42,500
And so maybe that's a reason for
some caution and but I'm still a

1020
01:07:42,500 --> 01:07:46,900
little bit optimistic that he 
was so good as a receiver in 

1021
01:07:46,900 --> 01:07:50,600
college and we're still only 
talking about 90 routes that 

1022
01:07:50,600 --> 01:07:55,400
maybe maybe with Zach ertz down 
that they're the kind of roots. 

1023
01:07:55,400 --> 01:07:59,500
I, he's running and and the role
his overall role, Maybe. 

1024
01:07:59,600 --> 01:08:05,300
That's more conducive to fantasy
points and Donna that it was 

1025
01:08:05,300 --> 01:08:10,600
before. 
So but definitely that's that 

1026
01:08:10,600 --> 01:08:13,800
makes me more cautious for sure.
Yeah, yeah. 

1027
01:08:13,800 --> 01:08:17,300
So I think I'm similar I'm 
willing to like give them a 

1028
01:08:17,308 --> 01:08:19,399
little bit of pass on the torch 
for outrun. 

1029
01:08:19,399 --> 01:08:22,899
Just based on the fact that his 
his role looks to be really 

1030
01:08:22,899 --> 01:08:25,899
strong, he's going to be running
all the routes, you know, sort 

1031
01:08:25,899 --> 01:08:29,000
of in the same range as guys 
like Hawkinson pits. 

1032
01:08:29,700 --> 01:08:33,500
They'll search in terms of just 
of Route rates, it's a team that

1033
01:08:33,500 --> 01:08:37,800
we do expect to be decently past
heavy if marriage to come back 

1034
01:08:38,000 --> 01:08:39,399
and now or it's is out for the 
year. 

1035
01:08:39,399 --> 01:08:45,100
So you know, the target / outrun
stuff is not good but you know, 

1036
01:08:45,100 --> 01:08:49,700
that's tough. 
Can I think the be a bit noisy 

1037
01:08:49,700 --> 01:08:54,300
in such a small sample size 
right you know we would we were 

1038
01:08:54,300 --> 01:08:56,899
ripping on coal combat all year 
as someone who had a really low 

1039
01:08:56,899 --> 01:08:59,800
targets for outrun but it was 
running all the routes And all 

1040
01:08:59,800 --> 01:09:02,399
of a sudden, the drips off to 
massive Spike weeks. 

1041
01:09:02,399 --> 01:09:05,000
So, you know, you really just 
want to Target the guys that are

1042
01:09:05,000 --> 01:09:09,500
running all the routes and sort 
of, you know, cross your 

1043
01:09:09,500 --> 01:09:13,600
fingers, McBride's made me not 
Flash the most Talent thus far 

1044
01:09:13,600 --> 01:09:19,300
in the NFL, but I think he's 
Still Still Still viable as it 

1045
01:09:19,300 --> 01:09:22,300
like a fringe. 
You know tied, N1 low-end tied 

1046
01:09:22,300 --> 01:09:27,100
into Another thing that that I 
noticed he was trained in the 

1047
01:09:27,100 --> 01:09:30,000
kitty. 
I think shows up here because 

1048
01:09:30,000 --> 01:09:37,000
Everett got hurt last week. 
I don't have the latest on 

1049
01:09:37,200 --> 01:09:42,300
Everett's injury, but it looks 
like last week cleanup a snap 

1050
01:09:42,300 --> 01:09:47,100
counts. 
Now the kitty ran 31 routes on 

1051
01:09:47,100 --> 01:09:56,800
144 drawbacks for the Chargers. 
So that's a pretty high route 

1052
01:09:56,800 --> 01:09:58,300
rate. 
Every it was down in just seven.

1053
01:09:58,300 --> 01:10:02,800
So we must have gotten injured. 
Eh, we got a got a groin injury 

1054
01:10:03,100 --> 01:10:04,900
and he's now considered 
day-to-day. 

1055
01:10:05,300 --> 01:10:08,700
Okay, got it. 
Okay, so that's just something, 

1056
01:10:08,700 --> 01:10:11,400
you know, very deep tight and 
premium leagues. 

1057
01:10:11,900 --> 01:10:15,500
Kitty is may be worth a stash. 
I think you can start and if 

1058
01:10:15,500 --> 01:10:19,900
you're desperate he looks to be 
the pretty clear back up to 

1059
01:10:19,900 --> 01:10:23,500
Everett. 
I think Purim is on IR or also. 

1060
01:10:23,700 --> 01:10:26,600
Injured. 
So yeah that's just maybe a name

1061
01:10:26,800 --> 01:10:30,400
a stash to throw out there for 
those leagues. 

1062
01:10:31,900 --> 01:10:39,800
Yeah, besides, that didn't have 
a ton to call out here. 

1063
01:10:39,800 --> 01:10:44,900
Again, Kyle pits, peripherals 
continue to be off the charts 

1064
01:10:44,900 --> 01:10:50,000
and you can cash in your slansky
box on those in your points per 

1065
01:10:50,000 --> 01:10:53,700
targets for route on leagues. 
He's absolutely smashing, not 

1066
01:10:53,700 --> 01:10:58,100
the most actionable point. 
And, but one thing you are, I 

1067
01:10:58,100 --> 01:11:01,600
often hear about George kittel, 
is that he blocks too? 

1068
01:11:02,600 --> 01:11:05,500
And you can see here even in the
last five weeks. 

1069
01:11:05,500 --> 01:11:07,200
So I've been pretty favorable to
him. 

1070
01:11:07,400 --> 01:11:12,900
He has actually blocked a lot 
but he plays like almost every 

1071
01:11:12,900 --> 01:11:18,100
snack so like even though he's 
blocking like a pretty high 

1072
01:11:18,100 --> 01:11:21,800
percentage of the time, he's 
also running a lot of routes or 

1073
01:11:21,800 --> 01:11:25,500
a very high percentage of routes
and over the last five weeks 

1074
01:11:25,500 --> 01:11:29,000
he's actually ran the highest 
percentage of routes and out of 

1075
01:11:29,000 --> 01:11:34,100
anyone and so maybe This is more
of a DFS Point than anything 

1076
01:11:34,100 --> 01:11:39,700
else in that. 
When and when the 49ers go into 

1077
01:11:39,700 --> 01:11:43,500
- grants game scripts and have 
to throw a lot. 

1078
01:11:44,000 --> 01:11:48,200
He is I mean I don't know him 
who needs a reminder of this 

1079
01:11:48,200 --> 01:11:52,100
that in those scenarios George 
kiddo can put up a lot of 

1080
01:11:52,100 --> 01:11:56,000
points. 
Yep, till they view, their I 

1081
01:11:56,000 --> 01:12:00,400
think kid'll is a good DFS play.
I think people are probably 

1082
01:12:00,900 --> 01:12:04,500
sleeping on him in terms of 
ownership just with how many 

1083
01:12:04,500 --> 01:12:08,500
sort of, you know, dud games. 
He's had in a row or just games 

1084
01:12:08,500 --> 01:12:12,000
re hasn't made a big splash. 
So that's that's a good note 

1085
01:12:12,000 --> 01:12:14,800
there. 
Let's finish off here with 

1086
01:12:14,800 --> 01:12:22,300
everybody's favorite chart the 
backup tight ends poof. 

1087
01:12:22,300 --> 01:12:27,600
I do I You know, I did a ton of 
film this week on these guys 

1088
01:12:27,600 --> 01:12:31,200
didn't have a lot to share. 
I'd, I will say chigga cock. 

1089
01:12:31,200 --> 01:12:36,400
Whoa, I think I said this is a 
few weeks in a row so people are

1090
01:12:36,400 --> 01:12:40,200
probably familiar but he just 
rips off like big plays every 

1091
01:12:40,200 --> 01:12:43,800
game. 
So I don't know why they can't 

1092
01:12:43,800 --> 01:12:46,900
get him on the field. 
More that passing offense is 

1093
01:12:46,900 --> 01:12:50,700
really struggling. 
I think, you know, I'm not I'm 

1094
01:12:50,700 --> 01:12:53,600
still not adding him probably 
because it's that's just too. 

1095
01:12:53,900 --> 01:12:56,900
Deep, I don't, you know, to deal
with and add in your main event.

1096
01:12:56,900 --> 01:13:01,200
Fpg guys, League's most likely 
but he is a guy I'm watching 

1097
01:13:01,200 --> 01:13:05,500
that if you were ever to jump 
out to like 50% routes or 

1098
01:13:05,500 --> 01:13:09,700
something like that, if you see 
that start to go up, i-i'm 

1099
01:13:09,900 --> 01:13:15,000
excited about him. 
But yeah, other than that I'm 

1100
01:13:15,000 --> 01:13:17,800
not sure there's any injury 
situations, anything like that 

1101
01:13:17,800 --> 01:13:21,600
to discuss for these back up 
tight ends. 

1102
01:13:21,600 --> 01:13:29,600
You got anything Connor and not 
really know and I'm wondering 

1103
01:13:29,600 --> 01:13:32,000
why. 
Yeah, taller higbee is on the 

1104
01:13:32,000 --> 01:13:37,200
second page. 
Here, you get hurt this week 

1105
01:13:37,200 --> 01:13:41,200
too. 
Let me look into that. 

1106
01:13:42,200 --> 01:13:44,600
Yeah, he I think he did get 
injured. 

1107
01:13:44,600 --> 01:13:49,600
He only ran 24 routes on on 40 
drawbacks this week. 

1108
01:13:52,800 --> 01:13:59,200
I think he got banged up but I'm
not seeing much news on it. 

1109
01:14:00,500 --> 01:14:05,900
You heard it here folks here 
folks would be is Rose getting 

1110
01:14:05,900 --> 01:14:08,500
caught by the Rams for no 
apparent reason. 

1111
01:14:09,300 --> 01:14:11,600
Yeah, nobody else is talking 
about this. 

1112
01:14:12,800 --> 01:14:14,500
Nobody else is talking about 
this. 

1113
01:14:14,500 --> 01:14:17,900
He did have a neck injury and 
week 8, that's all I can find 

1114
01:14:18,700 --> 01:14:24,100
but yeah man his he started the 
year and an extremely high roll.

1115
01:14:24,100 --> 01:14:27,700
I think also we can see in this 
chart here Connor is let his 

1116
01:14:27,700 --> 01:14:32,000
past like he's still on the 
field for 75% of snaps but he's 

1117
01:14:32,000 --> 01:14:35,600
pass blocking a lot because I 
think largely due to the Rams 

1118
01:14:35,600 --> 01:14:39,700
offensive line just sucking. 
So I think that's part of the 

1119
01:14:39,700 --> 01:14:42,400
story as well that he's just 
coming into block but yeah. 

1120
01:14:42,500 --> 01:14:46,200
He must have either been injured
last week or was just passed 

1121
01:14:46,200 --> 01:14:49,200
blocking a shit ton because his 
routes. 

1122
01:14:49,400 --> 01:14:55,900
So this is like a true number 
actually week 8 is impacting it 

1123
01:14:55,900 --> 01:15:01,000
so that push them down to 42 
percent and what we can 65%, 

1124
01:15:01,400 --> 01:15:06,700
I've roads run week, nine, sixty
one percent week seven and fifty

1125
01:15:06,700 --> 01:15:14,500
nine percent. 
So and in that time, let's see 

1126
01:15:14,500 --> 01:15:20,100
past blocks we had a yeah yeah, 
24 different path. 

1127
01:15:20,200 --> 01:15:26,400
You had a lot of possible rocks 
and please up in the in those in

1128
01:15:26,400 --> 01:15:32,300
the past five weeks, he's 
averaging about a 20% and block 

1129
01:15:32,300 --> 01:15:35,800
rate. 
So he's past blocking 20% of the

1130
01:15:35,800 --> 01:15:41,800
time and he's Running a route 
that's called at 80% of the time

1131
01:15:41,900 --> 01:15:45,900
are sixty percent of the time. 
So that is like, that's a 

1132
01:15:45,907 --> 01:15:49,100
material change, right? 
That he. 

1133
01:15:49,600 --> 01:15:52,300
And I think that's, that's a 
great call that on the past 

1134
01:15:52,300 --> 01:15:57,000
block stuff that we were 
considering him like an ant and 

1135
01:15:57,000 --> 01:16:00,800
every or close to 80% route guy 
before. 

1136
01:16:01,300 --> 01:16:04,600
And that's a, that's pretty much
where he was. 

1137
01:16:04,900 --> 01:16:06,800
Yeah. 
Where's eat? 

1138
01:16:06,800 --> 01:16:08,500
That's no longer the Tyler 
higbee. 

1139
01:16:08,800 --> 01:16:14,400
A the Tyler higbee profile now 
he's he's running way less Red 

1140
01:16:14,400 --> 01:16:18,800
Sun before. 
So yeah, that's obviously quite 

1141
01:16:18,800 --> 01:16:24,200
a big concern if you wear are 
expecting fantasy points from 

1142
01:16:24,200 --> 01:16:28,100
Tyler higbee. 
Yep, that is, that's a good 

1143
01:16:28,100 --> 01:16:29,800
point. 
He'd be like, I think for a 

1144
01:16:29,808 --> 01:16:32,600
while I would have thought of in
the same Tears, like the Hayden,

1145
01:16:32,600 --> 01:16:37,600
Hurst Evan engram, mikasuki, 
Dawson, knocks types, he's 

1146
01:16:37,600 --> 01:16:40,500
clearly no longer in that. 
At tier, I think he's definitely

1147
01:16:40,500 --> 01:16:44,000
caught a bubble in your regular 
12 team, you know, leagues and 

1148
01:16:44,000 --> 01:16:47,300
your tight end premium you can 
probably even do better than 

1149
01:16:47,300 --> 01:16:49,400
higbee. 
Like, for example, trade 

1150
01:16:49,400 --> 01:16:51,800
McBride, just based on the 
routes info. 

1151
01:16:51,800 --> 01:16:54,500
I would definitely take 
treatment, broad over Tyler, 

1152
01:16:54,500 --> 01:17:00,000
higbee just I think the lot more
upside in that offense, just do 

1153
01:17:00,000 --> 01:17:02,200
the routes. 
So that's a good note. 

1154
01:17:02,700 --> 01:17:05,700
Somebody listening to stop 
chasing Until the End. 

1155
01:17:05,900 --> 01:17:07,800
Yep, that's that. 
Might have been the most 

1156
01:17:07,800 --> 01:17:12,000
optional. 
We set up show that anywhere. 

1157
01:17:12,200 --> 01:17:15,100
Speaking of actionability, I was
just going to break down the 

1158
01:17:15,100 --> 01:17:18,100
Giants. 
Tied end situation. 

1159
01:17:18,100 --> 01:17:22,300
Lawrence cager actually came out
of nowhere and led the Giants 

1160
01:17:22,300 --> 01:17:26,900
and snaps for anybody desperate 
enough to start Tanner Hudson. 

1161
01:17:27,400 --> 01:17:31,000
We may or may not have done that
in our statute async team which 

1162
01:17:31,000 --> 01:17:34,100
is extremely down. 
Bad Lawrence cager, just 

1163
01:17:34,100 --> 01:17:38,100
completely iced Tanner Hudson. 
They both ran the same amount of

1164
01:17:38,100 --> 01:17:39,900
routes. 
Actually they each just ran 

1165
01:17:39,900 --> 01:17:46,300
eight of 23 but cager had 45 
snaps to Hudson's 11 so if 

1166
01:17:46,300 --> 01:17:49,600
you're gonna if Bellinger's 
still out and you're extremely 

1167
01:17:49,600 --> 01:17:55,000
down bad you probably got to 
start cager over 10 or Hudson 

1168
01:17:56,300 --> 01:18:00,100
but that's probably only applies
to our statue acing team, which 

1169
01:18:00,100 --> 01:18:02,900
is just the deadest of dead at 
this point. 

1170
01:18:02,900 --> 01:18:06,400
So hopefully, hopefully, you can
see better than Lauren's Gauger.

1171
01:18:08,800 --> 01:18:12,700
Let's see, I don't think I can 
foresee any other takes out. 

1172
01:18:15,000 --> 01:18:18,500
On the back up tight ends unless
you got something Connor. 

1173
01:18:19,000 --> 01:18:22,400
Oh, let me, let me get my list 
here of buckle up, tight and 

1174
01:18:22,400 --> 01:18:26,100
takes Harrison, Brian. 
We have to tell you about Russia

1175
01:18:26,100 --> 01:18:28,700
and legally required to talk 
about Harrison Brian on every 

1176
01:18:28,700 --> 01:18:31,300
show. 
So what's going on? 

1177
01:18:31,400 --> 01:18:32,800
What's going on with their to 
Brian? 

1178
01:18:35,600 --> 01:18:41,300
He he caught the touchdown, so 
he scored some points and put 

1179
01:18:43,600 --> 01:18:45,400
and Goku is coming back soon, 
right? 

1180
01:18:45,700 --> 01:18:49,400
And Joker should be back soon. 
Brian's role was better this 

1181
01:18:49,400 --> 01:18:53,700
week and we can then week nine, 
he was at 32 of 42 routes, he 

1182
01:18:53,700 --> 01:18:57,200
only saw three targets but 
that's a much stronger route 

1183
01:18:57,200 --> 01:18:59,200
rate than we saw the week 
before. 

1184
01:18:59,200 --> 01:19:01,300
I don't know if that was like a 
game plan specific thing or 

1185
01:19:01,300 --> 01:19:05,400
what, but if in-joke who is out 
I think you can fire A up Bryant

1186
01:19:05,400 --> 01:19:09,200
with like a little bit more 
confidence in desperation spots.

1187
01:19:09,800 --> 01:19:15,600
But right, he misses the next 
game and he started about with 

1188
01:19:15,600 --> 01:19:20,100
the Harrison brine start chasing
money back guarantee. 

1189
01:19:21,300 --> 01:19:22,400
Yeah. 
Oh, yeah. 

1190
01:19:22,400 --> 01:19:26,200
Any money you lose in Harrison? 
Brian, you've been mopey. 

1191
01:19:26,200 --> 01:19:29,400
Just put Harrison Bryant in the 
description. 

1192
01:19:30,000 --> 01:19:31,900
That's that's again, that's a 
guarantee. 

1193
01:19:32,800 --> 01:19:38,200
All right, let's cut this. 
Off a couple couple sort of 

1194
01:19:38,700 --> 01:19:41,200
logistics things. 
We're hopefully going to be 

1195
01:19:41,200 --> 01:19:44,500
trying to continue to do 
playoff, best ball streams going

1196
01:19:44,500 --> 01:19:47,500
forward. 
Those I think will mostly try to

1197
01:19:47,500 --> 01:19:52,500
do Monday, but things will move 
around there a bit, a bit TBD on

1198
01:19:52,500 --> 01:19:55,000
that scheduling. 
But, yeah, as we get close to 

1199
01:19:55,000 --> 01:19:59,400
the to, the real NFL playoffs, I
know that format gets really 

1200
01:19:59,400 --> 01:20:04,400
popular, so we're going to 
continue to do some content 

1201
01:20:04,400 --> 01:20:06,300
around. 
And that and if you didn't get 

1202
01:20:06,300 --> 01:20:10,800
to see it yesterday, check out 
my stream with Pat which is 

1203
01:20:10,800 --> 01:20:15,100
hopefully pretty Evergreen for 
macro strategy on playoff best 

1204
01:20:15,100 --> 01:20:17,200
ball. 
And we also put together a 

1205
01:20:17,200 --> 01:20:22,000
couple teams there live, so 
that's definitely worth a watch.

1206
01:20:23,000 --> 01:20:27,200
Yeah, Connor any, any last last 
notes, or plugs before we head 

1207
01:20:27,200 --> 01:20:31,900
out here and no, and nothing 
really from me and thanks for 

1208
01:20:31,900 --> 01:20:34,300
joining us. 
Everyone and really enjoying the

1209
01:20:34,600 --> 01:20:37,900
Every week and thanks. 
Thanks for going on the journey 

1210
01:20:37,900 --> 01:20:39,800
with us. 
Yeah. 

1211
01:20:39,800 --> 01:20:42,700
Thanks. 
Appreciate everyone who joined 

1212
01:20:42,700 --> 01:20:44,900
live in the chat. 
That was a lot of fun. 

1213
01:20:45,700 --> 01:20:49,500
We will see you next week in 
week 12. 

1214
01:20:49,700 --> 01:20:51,700
Good luck. 
And week 11, everybody.