1 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:19,100 Everybody and welcome to week 6 of statue acing another 2 00:00:19,100 --> 00:00:23,000 interesting week in the NFL to break down with a lot of 3 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:24,800 injuries this week. I feel like the past couple 4 00:00:24,800 --> 00:00:27,800 weeks injuries have really been piling up, so a lot of 5 00:00:28,100 --> 00:00:31,200 interesting situations to monitor Particularly at running 6 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:34,300 back. I believe this week, Draco. 7 00:00:34,300 --> 00:00:38,200 How did your week 6 or we fire? We don't have about week six 8 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:42,500 here. Yeah, it was, it was rough for 9 00:00:42,500 --> 00:00:45,800 me. Not a lot of T, Higgins teams 10 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:50,600 that got you, sagged and yeah, overall overall just yeah, my 11 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:54,500 redacted is great, but my idea fast. 12 00:00:54,500 --> 00:01:00,100 Sign them on the dog was no, yeah, I didn't bring but it was 13 00:01:00,300 --> 00:01:03,800 pretty close. Yeah. 14 00:01:04,500 --> 00:01:08,200 Yeah. I had a similar similar results 15 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:12,300 for me, so, let's see ya. Nothing exciting to talk about 16 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:16,900 with with our teams, so why don't we just dive dive into 17 00:01:16,900 --> 00:01:19,700 the, the stats here? Starting starting with 18 00:01:19,700 --> 00:01:22,400 quarterback and apologies to the Discord. 19 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:26,700 I know there are some bad bad communication about when we're 20 00:01:26,700 --> 00:01:29,200 going live. So, we'll get that fixed in the 21 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:33,500 coming weeks, anyways. Starting starting with 22 00:01:33,500 --> 00:01:38,600 quarterback here, for those who have joined us before before 23 00:01:39,100 --> 00:01:42,600 we're looking at the same stats as always your quarterback. 24 00:01:42,600 --> 00:01:46,500 We have TD rate here on the y axis and then adjust the yards 25 00:01:46,500 --> 00:01:50,300 per attempt on the x-axis, which is again yards per attempt, but 26 00:01:50,300 --> 00:01:53,400 adjusted for interceptions and touchdowns. 27 00:01:53,400 --> 00:01:58,900 And then the size of the bubbles here is rushing rushing yards 28 00:01:59,200 --> 00:02:02,500 for quarterbacks. So yeah, I think this is an 29 00:02:02,500 --> 00:02:06,700 interesting comment from from CJ that maybe we can kick off this 30 00:02:06,900 --> 00:02:11,300 discussion, looking like late-round quarterback is dead. 31 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,100 Drink up the way. I've actually seen quarterback 32 00:02:15,100 --> 00:02:17,700 the quarterback landscape, this your fantasy football, is that 33 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:21,700 the very early quarterbacks have hit AK. 34 00:02:21,700 --> 00:02:25,100 Jalen hurd's Lamar Mahomes, Josh Alan. 35 00:02:25,900 --> 00:02:29,900 But then those mid-range like, the sort of low-end QB ones have 36 00:02:29,900 --> 00:02:34,700 been almost Entirely disasters, Russell Wilson, Aaron Rodgers, 37 00:02:34,700 --> 00:02:35,500 Tom. Brady. 38 00:02:36,400 --> 00:02:39,100 A lot of those guys are getting in sort of the 80 to 120. 39 00:02:39,100 --> 00:02:42,600 ATP range have completely flopped. 40 00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:46,100 So yeah, I don't know. Do you what are your overall 41 00:02:46,100 --> 00:02:49,400 thoughts on on quarterback this year? 42 00:02:49,400 --> 00:02:52,300 Do you think that it's an anomaly that those sort of 43 00:02:52,500 --> 00:02:56,100 mid-range, quarterback ones flopped, or do you think they're 44 00:02:56,500 --> 00:02:57,800 there? Something we could have seen 45 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:01,200 seen coming there with a bunch of those guys not really. 46 00:03:01,300 --> 00:03:05,800 We working out. And so obviously, one of the big 47 00:03:05,800 --> 00:03:15,200 surprises Russell Wilson who has just been bad and I, I guess in 48 00:03:15,500 --> 00:03:18,500 hindsight, maybe there's like, there's things you can point out 49 00:03:18,500 --> 00:03:22,500 to as evidence that. Yeah, maybe we should have 50 00:03:22,500 --> 00:03:27,200 expected it, but I can't get in a similar situation again. 51 00:03:28,000 --> 00:03:34,800 I think that he probably died. I think he was probably a little 52 00:03:34,800 --> 00:03:42,300 bit pricey, but I don't think he was like, kind of like Price in 53 00:03:42,300 --> 00:03:47,900 a way that like you should just like totally fade ignore am. 54 00:03:48,800 --> 00:03:52,400 And we have a comment here that Tom Brady will be League winner. 55 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:57,100 I think that that's probably a situation where if you wanted to 56 00:03:57,100 --> 00:04:00,700 make the comment that, hey, it's five weeks. 57 00:04:01,100 --> 00:04:05,000 The season is long, we're only one-third of the way, see the 58 00:04:05,000 --> 00:04:08,200 way through the season. And we've got so many more games 59 00:04:08,200 --> 00:04:12,400 and action to come at us. Brady is probably a guy where I 60 00:04:12,400 --> 00:04:14,100 don't think the story is written yet. 61 00:04:14,500 --> 00:04:18,800 He's had a good few games now without his kind of like Star 62 00:04:18,800 --> 00:04:25,900 receivers and yet Chris Godwin back and, which is a big deal, 63 00:04:26,100 --> 00:04:29,500 it's a huge deal. I guess he's no longer trading 64 00:04:30,500 --> 00:04:34,600 trowing to and called Beasley. Yeah. 65 00:04:34,900 --> 00:04:38,900 And which have a man. Yeah, all those guests and 66 00:04:38,900 --> 00:04:40,400 trayvon's. I don't ya. 67 00:04:40,500 --> 00:04:43,800 Yeah, or IP, unfortunately. Yeah. 68 00:04:44,800 --> 00:04:46,600 But I think that, I think that's a good point. 69 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:54,200 That that's the way it started this year and I think it's 70 00:04:54,200 --> 00:05:00,200 probably a little bit too early to say that's the story written, 71 00:05:00,800 --> 00:05:06,900 and but it's, it's also difficult to point to I mean 72 00:05:06,900 --> 00:05:11,100 maybe Joe Borough Joe Burrows a situation where like the team 73 00:05:11,100 --> 00:05:15,500 just has so much talent and it's like how can they not turn 74 00:05:15,500 --> 00:05:19,400 around but the same time they played so bad for so many weeks 75 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,200 in a row. Now that you're like okay well 76 00:05:22,900 --> 00:05:27,300 at it makes you question whether they can do it or not even 77 00:05:27,300 --> 00:05:30,500 though like I know that it's possible. 78 00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:34,000 Yeah, yeah. I feel the same way. 79 00:05:34,000 --> 00:05:35,800 I do. I'm pretty optimistic about 80 00:05:36,100 --> 00:05:39,900 burrow and Brady, especially, I think you highlighted with 81 00:05:39,900 --> 00:05:42,800 Brady, the pass catchers all coming back there. 82 00:05:42,800 --> 00:05:46,000 I think you're going to lead to him rebounding from the early 83 00:05:46,000 --> 00:05:48,600 season struggles. I think, what's interesting, I 84 00:05:48,600 --> 00:05:52,400 know we've talked about this show a lot in terms of the best 85 00:05:52,400 --> 00:05:56,200 ball, Resurrection ATP. There's also only a few days 86 00:05:56,200 --> 00:05:59,600 left to draft those teams. And I think it's about 50% full 87 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,600 or something right now, so, I think it's a good Time to really 88 00:06:02,600 --> 00:06:05,500 dive in there as it's the last couple days before people can. 89 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:09,800 Well, people can still get those drafts in and the landscape 90 00:06:09,800 --> 00:06:12,900 there at quarterback which we've touched on is super interesting. 91 00:06:13,300 --> 00:06:17,800 There's four guys going in the top 20 ATP, which is from this 92 00:06:17,800 --> 00:06:19,100 graph. It's pretty, obviously, it is, 93 00:06:19,100 --> 00:06:22,200 it's Mahomes. Jalen hurts, Lamar and Josh 94 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:25,100 Allen then in the 30 to 60 range. 95 00:06:25,100 --> 00:06:30,900 You just have four guys Herbert around 30, Kyler Murray at 40, 96 00:06:31,100 --> 00:06:36,600 Borough at 50, Brady at 60, just all those guys spaced out about 97 00:06:36,800 --> 00:06:39,600 by 10. And then there's a huge drop-off 98 00:06:39,800 --> 00:06:44,300 down to the next here. Let me let me list a couple 99 00:06:44,300 --> 00:06:49,000 names here, Draco of guys, from atp's of 90. 100 00:06:49,100 --> 00:06:51,400 It's true right away. Oh Drake. 101 00:06:51,400 --> 00:06:56,300 Oh sorry, it's a trick out. I'll list some guys from ATP of 102 00:06:56,300 --> 00:07:01,300 90 to 120 and curious which of these guys are buying Dying 103 00:07:01,300 --> 00:07:03,800 because I think this is really going to be the key to the best. 104 00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:06,900 Well resurrectionist identifying which of these middle round 105 00:07:06,900 --> 00:07:09,200 quarterbacks you want to prioritize. 106 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:14,400 So we have golf DAC, Aaron Rodgers, Trevor Lawrence. 107 00:07:14,500 --> 00:07:21,700 Derek Carr, Kirk Cousins, Gino to uh Ross and dashon and I'll 108 00:07:21,700 --> 00:07:23,200 throw them at Stafford in there as well. 109 00:07:23,600 --> 00:07:26,600 That's a lot of names, but those are all guys kind of going and 110 00:07:26,900 --> 00:07:32,100 90 to 120 or so range of ATP. If you're trying to attack this 111 00:07:32,100 --> 00:07:35,700 tournament by still prioritizing skill position players early, 112 00:07:35,700 --> 00:07:39,400 you're likely taking stabs on to or so of these guys in your 113 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:42,100 teens. Do you have a preferred strategy 114 00:07:42,100 --> 00:07:45,400 there of how your how you're looking at those and of 115 00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:48,000 quarterbacks? The further put it in context 116 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:54,100 and Josh Allen his at ATP is at the fifth, the five, the fifth, 117 00:07:54,100 --> 00:07:57,500 the 105 is ATP. Yeah. 118 00:07:57,800 --> 00:08:00,200 Yeah. Which prevented ridiculous. 119 00:08:01,000 --> 00:08:04,300 And it's hard for me to see how you can win with that. 120 00:08:04,700 --> 00:08:10,400 And I think that and this, it feels like a cop that, but I 121 00:08:10,400 --> 00:08:16,200 think that Geno Smith is easily, the, the value, they're easily 122 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:21,100 the Target. And I think we, we that was 123 00:08:21,100 --> 00:08:24,300 probably one of our finer moments last week where I think 124 00:08:24,300 --> 00:08:30,500 we talked a lot about all the ways that and he might not get 125 00:08:30,500 --> 00:08:32,799 it. It doesn't seem like an outlier 126 00:08:33,299 --> 00:08:39,200 and they have The Talented pass catchers and their their team is 127 00:08:39,200 --> 00:08:44,700 setting them up for offset defensive efficiency and and 128 00:08:44,700 --> 00:08:47,900 they absolutely smashed again. Last week you see all the all 129 00:08:47,900 --> 00:08:51,900 the film Grinders where the beautiful highlights of Geno 130 00:08:51,900 --> 00:08:59,700 Smith and obviously he is also adding some Russian component as 131 00:08:59,700 --> 00:09:02,600 well, which yeah? It is really nice for fantasy 132 00:09:03,300 --> 00:09:08,000 and other than it's super god, it's to stay on Gina Gina for a 133 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,400 second. It's super concentrated to like, 134 00:09:10,400 --> 00:09:14,400 you know, it's gonna go through locket and Metcalf and that's 135 00:09:14,700 --> 00:09:16,700 that's really it. Like I'm not even touching the 136 00:09:16,700 --> 00:09:19,000 tight ends or other pass catchers there. 137 00:09:19,000 --> 00:09:22,800 So he's a fun guy to stack and that you know if he's going off 138 00:09:22,800 --> 00:09:25,900 it's gonna be one of those two guys like riding on percent of 139 00:09:25,900 --> 00:09:32,300 the time. and the guy is like at this point, the guys like Derek 140 00:09:32,300 --> 00:09:36,600 Carr and Kirk Cousins at kind of they kind of feel a little bit 141 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:41,700 like name brand recognition and that like hey you know who they 142 00:09:41,700 --> 00:09:44,300 are and you know, they're going to be they're going to be 143 00:09:44,300 --> 00:09:51,000 starting for the rest of the year and but It's really hard 144 00:09:51,000 --> 00:09:56,300 for me to see them at at like pick 110 or so it's really hard 145 00:09:56,300 --> 00:09:59,700 for me to see them being kind of like league and tournament 146 00:09:59,700 --> 00:10:04,900 winners just because even though they have weekly ceilings but 147 00:10:05,300 --> 00:10:08,800 it's just difficult to see them hit that on a kind of consistent 148 00:10:08,800 --> 00:10:11,900 basis. Yep, so I'll give you two guys 149 00:10:11,900 --> 00:10:14,700 that that I agree with the genome point. 150 00:10:14,700 --> 00:10:17,100 I think that's a good one. The two other guys out of that 151 00:10:17,100 --> 00:10:21,700 list that I like Like R2 and Dak Prescott. 152 00:10:22,000 --> 00:10:25,200 I think you're getting a big injury discount especially with 153 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:29,900 two and a little bit with DAC and both of those guys I expect 154 00:10:29,900 --> 00:10:33,100 to come back in the next couple weeks in a way that it's not 155 00:10:33,100 --> 00:10:35,900 really going to hurt you for the best ball. 156 00:10:35,900 --> 00:10:38,800 Resurrection again, this is a tournament where the most 157 00:10:38,800 --> 00:10:41,900 important weeks are weeks 15 through 17. 158 00:10:41,900 --> 00:10:45,600 So maybe you miss out on one, two, three weeks from these guys 159 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:48,200 the beginning but you should have them. 160 00:10:48,500 --> 00:10:52,900 Stretch Ron, and I think both these guys have really talented 161 00:10:52,900 --> 00:10:57,800 pass catchers, they play on past first teams and again, just when 162 00:10:57,800 --> 00:11:03,300 you're seeing burrow and Brady, go at pick 50 and 60, I don't 163 00:11:03,300 --> 00:11:05,600 hate those guys. You know, when a relative to 164 00:11:05,600 --> 00:11:11,100 Josh Allen going at pick five, but when you can sort of get you 165 00:11:11,100 --> 00:11:14,500 know get the discount on the pocket, passers they're 30 40 166 00:11:14,500 --> 00:11:18,300 pics later with to and DAC. I like those too. 167 00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:20,700 Teams and like those like those offenses. 168 00:11:20,700 --> 00:11:24,600 And again, to the concentration point, I think with two it's 169 00:11:24,600 --> 00:11:26,900 very similar to G know where they're throwing all their 170 00:11:26,900 --> 00:11:32,000 passes to Waddle and Tyree kill. And you're really not going to 171 00:11:32,008 --> 00:11:35,400 see a lot of tertiary pass catchers their get involved. 172 00:11:35,400 --> 00:11:39,600 So if a to a stack hits and you have those players you're you're 173 00:11:39,600 --> 00:11:45,600 going to win big there. So yeah, that's one for sure. 174 00:11:45,900 --> 00:11:52,600 Yeah, I think I'm starting to get a little bit skittish 175 00:11:53,200 --> 00:11:58,900 slightly on unsual I think and just the injury then Drew 176 00:11:58,900 --> 00:12:02,200 concern. Yeah and on the injury concern 177 00:12:02,900 --> 00:12:06,700 because You there whenever they're also. 178 00:12:06,700 --> 00:12:09,800 Hey, is there a timeline or you know, we don't even care about 179 00:12:09,800 --> 00:12:12,100 timeline or just trying to make sure that he's okay. 180 00:12:13,000 --> 00:12:20,900 And That it is. He's not on I or and put that at 181 00:12:20,900 --> 00:12:23,500 that does worry me a little bit. And yeah. 182 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:32,600 And, and I do, I feel I do feel better about doc given that 183 00:12:32,600 --> 00:12:37,700 like, they're there, there's a lot more immediacy about him. 184 00:12:37,700 --> 00:12:42,600 Returning of like, okay, maybe, maybe it's not this week, but it 185 00:12:42,600 --> 00:12:45,300 does seem like it's not a Million Miles Away. 186 00:12:45,700 --> 00:12:50,400 Hmm, yeah that's fair. I think the DAC is is safer but 187 00:12:50,400 --> 00:12:52,200 you it's somewhat reflecting ATP. 188 00:12:52,200 --> 00:12:54,600 You want to pay up a little bit for it, right? 189 00:12:54,700 --> 00:12:58,600 Yeah. Yeah, I think on I guess maybe 190 00:12:58,600 --> 00:13:00,800 to round out this quarterback conversation I want to talk 191 00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:04,800 about too late round super late round, quarterbacks I like and 192 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:09,400 again this is more through the best ball, Resurrection frame, 193 00:13:09,400 --> 00:13:11,600 where you're going to need a quarterback to or maybe on some 194 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:13,000 bills of quarterback. Three. 195 00:13:13,500 --> 00:13:16,100 The two guys I like really close to the end. 196 00:13:16,100 --> 00:13:22,100 Our Ryan Tannehill at pick 194 and Daniel Jones a little bit 197 00:13:22,100 --> 00:13:26,700 earlier at pick 164. I think starting with Daniel 198 00:13:26,700 --> 00:13:32,000 Jones, the main reason I'm into him here is just the rushing he, 199 00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:36,800 I think his fourth after the elite rushers, Lamar, Josh 200 00:13:36,800 --> 00:13:41,000 Allen, and Jalen hurd's in terms of rushing yards per game and 201 00:13:41,300 --> 00:13:45,200 that offense, I think table is doing a good job of getting the 202 00:13:45,200 --> 00:13:47,000 best out of their Playmakers. In that offense. 203 00:13:47,000 --> 00:13:49,700 They're really running a lot through say Quan but I think 204 00:13:49,700 --> 00:13:53,100 there is some potential once Rondell Robinson and Tony, get 205 00:13:53,100 --> 00:13:56,000 back for them to open it up. Through the pass game a little 206 00:13:56,000 --> 00:13:57,600 bit. We also saw slate and get some 207 00:13:57,600 --> 00:13:59,700 run last week and I thought he looked good. 208 00:13:59,700 --> 00:14:01,900 So maybe there's a world where you have a three wide receiver 209 00:14:01,900 --> 00:14:06,900 set out there of Slayton, Juan, Dale and Tony and it's actually 210 00:14:06,900 --> 00:14:09,400 a pretty good through Idris Roger, severs set compared to 211 00:14:09,400 --> 00:14:12,000 the, you know, the likes of Marcus Johnson and David silver. 212 00:14:12,000 --> 00:14:15,400 The Big Ronnie on past week, so I pick 164. 213 00:14:15,500 --> 00:14:18,100 I like Dan Jones and then with Tannehill. 214 00:14:18,200 --> 00:14:22,100 I think I don't know why people are so low on and maybe there's 215 00:14:22,100 --> 00:14:26,900 some fear of Malik. It's coming into, and, and the 216 00:14:26,900 --> 00:14:30,300 season there, perhaps that's depressing is price. 217 00:14:30,300 --> 00:14:33,100 But I just think he's, like, I pick 194. 218 00:14:33,100 --> 00:14:36,800 I mean that's going close to Davis Mills, Mac Jones, like, 219 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:39,000 some guys that we really haven't seen any upside from. 220 00:14:39,000 --> 00:14:42,000 And past couple years, we've seen Tana lab some, some big 221 00:14:42,000 --> 00:14:45,200 games with some rushing TDS and you know, is spotter. 222 00:14:45,200 --> 00:14:48,700 Silver Corp is pretty pretty bad, but just that late in the 223 00:14:48,700 --> 00:14:51,600 draft I'm willing to buy 10 L at that price. 224 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:54,800 You have any later on guys, you're interested in. 225 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:59,700 Trick 000 and it could be the case that the fact that Joshua 226 00:14:59,700 --> 00:15:07,800 Allen is the the 106 and and that changes how you need to 227 00:15:07,800 --> 00:15:13,200 look at quarterbacks and but strategically, I've always tried 228 00:15:13,200 --> 00:15:17,200 to get even if I'm being kind of caught price-conscious. 229 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:22,400 I've always tried to get guys who I can't could finish sort of 230 00:15:22,400 --> 00:15:27,700 like close to the top 10. Yeah, by the end of the year, 231 00:15:28,100 --> 00:15:36,500 and I guess it's still hard for me to see and a lot of even the, 232 00:15:36,500 --> 00:15:38,200 the kind of, like, cheaper, guys. 233 00:15:38,900 --> 00:15:45,400 Finish up with that, like, Even if I guess if I were, if I 234 00:15:45,400 --> 00:15:48,900 really pushed, hey, you have to draft a quarterback after round 235 00:15:48,900 --> 00:15:54,500 16 and it, I guess it's, this is beyond the spirit of such a 236 00:15:54,500 --> 00:15:57,800 scene, but it's probably some hell, and mmm. 237 00:15:58,400 --> 00:16:00,400 It won't happen gatien. I did have. 238 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:05,500 And was that you see Zach Wilson on this chart. 239 00:16:05,500 --> 00:16:10,800 And even after playing some not intimidating at defenses in the 240 00:16:10,800 --> 00:16:17,000 Steelers and the Dolphins. Fans at pretty / efficiency and 241 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:22,000 his is, it definitely has have noticed a difference in the Lux 242 00:16:22,000 --> 00:16:26,600 of Garrett Wilson. Yeah, I think it's a like, the 243 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:31,200 efficiency and also, the volume have been way down for Wilson 244 00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,100 comparative. What Joe Flacco was given us. 245 00:16:34,700 --> 00:16:37,000 Right? Yeah, I don't know. 246 00:16:37,000 --> 00:16:42,100 Yeah, it's hard to tell like, How much of that is game script 247 00:16:42,100 --> 00:16:45,700 verse? The Jets wanting to hide Zach 248 00:16:45,700 --> 00:16:47,600 Wilson like that. Miami game was weird and that 249 00:16:47,600 --> 00:16:52,600 they were able to get up pretty big and can just run, run a 250 00:16:52,600 --> 00:16:54,700 bunch. I don't know if that's gonna get 251 00:16:54,700 --> 00:16:58,100 a hold for. The Jets, I would do, right? 252 00:16:58,100 --> 00:17:05,700 It's not and but I also yeah, it just seems like, he's a, he's 253 00:17:05,700 --> 00:17:10,200 not somebody who's consistently moving chains, which now Now and 254 00:17:10,900 --> 00:17:13,500 there's also hurts the kind of play volume. 255 00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:16,400 Yeah, that bacterial around quarterback point. 256 00:17:16,400 --> 00:17:18,099 I think. Yeah, what I want to hit on with 257 00:17:18,099 --> 00:17:20,599 that, I agree that how I was attacking. 258 00:17:20,599 --> 00:17:23,400 Best of all tournaments this summer was I was grabbing one of 259 00:17:23,400 --> 00:17:27,400 the LI guys, very heavy on Lamar, Jalen Hurd strelitz, 260 00:17:27,599 --> 00:17:31,800 Kyler Murray guys in that range. And then I was usually just 261 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:34,800 doing two quarterback teams by getting someone in the sort of 262 00:17:34,800 --> 00:17:39,000 early 100's. I think with how the ADP works 263 00:17:39,000 --> 00:17:43,400 now I'm going to get boxed out of Lamar Mahomes Alan hurts on 264 00:17:43,400 --> 00:17:47,000 almost every single team and I think even like the burrow and 265 00:17:47,000 --> 00:17:49,700 Brady prices around pick 50 and 60. 266 00:17:49,700 --> 00:17:54,500 I don't I don't love so I think I am and maybe this is a mistake 267 00:17:54,500 --> 00:17:57,300 and I just need to bite the bullet and buy these. 268 00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:01,100 You know Elite quarterbacks in the pics in rounds one and two 269 00:18:01,100 --> 00:18:03,400 but I think I am going to be pushed to builds. 270 00:18:03,400 --> 00:18:06,900 Where guys like Russell Wilson, Derek Carr, Trevor Lawrence 271 00:18:08,000 --> 00:18:10,900 Guys, in that range are my first quarterback, right? 272 00:18:10,900 --> 00:18:13,400 And I mean, we've been talking about every week. 273 00:18:13,700 --> 00:18:17,600 Yeah, I'm not. I'm not saying that you still 274 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:20,700 need to chase these quarterbacks into the first and second round. 275 00:18:20,800 --> 00:18:26,500 I guess what I am saying is rather than go, kind of like 276 00:18:26,500 --> 00:18:33,200 deep sea fishing and at me 94. And and so on, I'd rather be 277 00:18:33,200 --> 00:18:41,100 trying to get em That I guess it's probably everybody knows 278 00:18:41,100 --> 00:18:47,900 that you need to try and get and Geno Smith but I still want to 279 00:18:47,900 --> 00:18:56,300 kind of live in that range where I can pick a guy and it might 280 00:18:56,300 --> 00:19:00,700 work at into getting a top-10 quarterback season. 281 00:19:01,400 --> 00:19:06,000 Well, yeah. And It's so it's. 282 00:19:06,000 --> 00:19:11,200 So like you said even Tom Brady here pick 60 that is like that's 283 00:19:11,200 --> 00:19:16,800 really hard to pay and but you know I might I might still be 284 00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:20,100 willing to take Jared Goff even though he had the bad week last 285 00:19:20,200 --> 00:19:24,800 week I might still be willing to take Jared Goff as somebody who 286 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:28,400 might be I don't want to call him discount Tom Brady but as 287 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:33,600 somebody who might be a pocket passer and because of the the 288 00:19:34,000 --> 00:19:37,800 teams that Raishin might still get a lot of passing production. 289 00:19:39,300 --> 00:19:45,800 Yeah that's fair, I think. Yeah, ideally I'm grabbing two 290 00:19:45,800 --> 00:19:50,100 of those guys in that range and then maybe, you know, when these 291 00:19:50,100 --> 00:19:53,900 quarterbacks fall past ATP, it's like saying a Hertz is ATP of 292 00:19:53,900 --> 00:19:58,600 Pick 12 if he falls to pick 20 or so, I might just say, you 293 00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:01,500 know what, I'm still getting them in a better value than most 294 00:20:01,500 --> 00:20:05,400 of the teams are in this format. I know it's like, Like not a 295 00:20:05,400 --> 00:20:09,100 great pic but at that price I'll mix them in something like that 296 00:20:09,100 --> 00:20:11,300 but I think yeah, let me talk to her before. 297 00:20:11,300 --> 00:20:12,900 I don't know if we need to spend more time. 298 00:20:12,900 --> 00:20:17,800 I've mostly probably going for these pocket, pastors around the 299 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:21,200 hundred range and just trying to build up, you know, double 300 00:20:21,200 --> 00:20:25,100 Stacks through those guys. Cool. 301 00:20:25,500 --> 00:20:28,200 That was a good discussion on on quarterback. 302 00:20:28,200 --> 00:20:31,300 And I think, you know, next year, if this quarterback ATP 303 00:20:31,300 --> 00:20:34,500 holds for the summer, it'll be a really interesting conversation. 304 00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:37,900 And civil see about that next year. 305 00:20:38,800 --> 00:20:44,900 Looking at running back. We're going to dive into the 306 00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,500 running back, snaps and usage chart. 307 00:20:48,500 --> 00:20:52,500 So for those who are following Along on video, what this chart 308 00:20:52,500 --> 00:20:57,800 is showing is the percentage of team plays, we're running back 309 00:20:57,800 --> 00:21:00,600 is either getting a rush attempt or a route. 310 00:21:00,600 --> 00:21:03,700 And those are the green colors in the chart. 311 00:21:03,700 --> 00:21:05,900 And then you also see the percentage of plays or they're 312 00:21:06,000 --> 00:21:09,100 either pass blocking or run blocking, so they're still on 313 00:21:09,100 --> 00:21:10,400 the field there, that's a good sign. 314 00:21:10,400 --> 00:21:13,300 They're getting used to Edge. But it's more so and empty, 315 00:21:13,300 --> 00:21:15,100 snap. And through that we can get an 316 00:21:15,100 --> 00:21:20,400 idea of, okay, of a team's total plays, how often are these 317 00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:23,500 running backs involved, either through a rush or through a pass 318 00:21:23,500 --> 00:21:25,600 route where they could earn Target volume. 319 00:21:25,700 --> 00:21:28,500 And that gives us a sense of these guys on the far, left-hand 320 00:21:28,500 --> 00:21:30,500 side here who are the shoe were courses? 321 00:21:30,500 --> 00:21:33,100 That are getting a ton of Rush attempts and routes versus the 322 00:21:33,100 --> 00:21:35,600 guy on the the guys in the far right hand side here which are 323 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:39,700 more sort of rotational guys in committees. 324 00:21:40,800 --> 00:21:44,000 So, Look at this chart here Draco. 325 00:21:44,200 --> 00:21:50,100 I think one of the things that stand out to me are number one, 326 00:21:50,100 --> 00:21:55,800 I think Berkeley and Christian McCaffrey are really separating 327 00:21:55,800 --> 00:22:00,600 from the rest of the field. In terms of industries of usage 328 00:22:00,600 --> 00:22:02,500 percentage of team plays at they're getting rushed attempts 329 00:22:02,500 --> 00:22:06,400 and routes. Do you see that as I guess? 330 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:09,300 First question, do you see that as a top like a clear top tier 331 00:22:09,300 --> 00:22:12,900 with just those two guys and then between those two say 332 00:22:12,900 --> 00:22:16,200 you're on the clock and both of them are available at say, pick 333 00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:18,900 105 and a draft which of these running backs. 334 00:22:18,900 --> 00:22:20,700 Are you, are you leaning towards? 335 00:22:21,100 --> 00:22:24,400 And so I think it was either last week or week before that. 336 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,500 I said, I think sake. One is the, is the 101. 337 00:22:28,300 --> 00:22:31,400 Yeah. And I still I still feel like 338 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:37,200 that and maybe I need to change. Maybe there's a bit more upside 339 00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:41,300 into CMC. Now that might rule is fired. 340 00:22:41,800 --> 00:22:48,700 And but I still, I still prefer Sake One and just given his 341 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:53,800 ability to make Dynamic, he's been making Dynamic plays in The 342 00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:59,500 Run game and the pass game, just so important for his team and 343 00:23:01,300 --> 00:23:03,200 that, that would be who I would go with. 344 00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:08,400 But I definitely follow anyone for still referring CMC. 345 00:23:09,300 --> 00:23:11,600 Yeah, I think of in the same boat, I wish I had like a Otter 346 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:14,000 take about, you know, one's clearly better than the other 347 00:23:14,000 --> 00:23:16,000 but I think they're really close. 348 00:23:16,000 --> 00:23:18,500 And I think that they're pretty clearly the best two running 349 00:23:18,500 --> 00:23:21,500 backs. Just the role that they have far 350 00:23:21,500 --> 00:23:23,200 surpassed. Surpasses any other running back 351 00:23:23,200 --> 00:23:25,700 in the league and it's interesting because neither of 352 00:23:25,700 --> 00:23:28,400 them are really on great offenses. 353 00:23:29,400 --> 00:23:32,400 But Berkeley you have to give the edge to Berkeley the giants, 354 00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,900 look much more competent than the Panthers. 355 00:23:36,100 --> 00:23:38,400 If there's some games with the Panthers, just can't even get a 356 00:23:38,400 --> 00:23:41,300 first down and who knows. It looks like Baker may be out. 357 00:23:41,400 --> 00:23:44,200 For a couple weeks and p.j. Walker's coming in. 358 00:23:44,400 --> 00:23:47,200 You have to Arnold on IR who might come back eventually. 359 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:51,600 But you know, I don't I wish I was excited about those guys is 360 00:23:51,600 --> 00:23:54,500 potentially eleve in the offense, but I think we've seen 361 00:23:54,500 --> 00:23:56,200 PJ Walker in the past couple years. 362 00:23:56,200 --> 00:24:00,800 It's it's not great. Darn old obviously not great 363 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:03,900 either. So yeah, I think I'd give that 364 00:24:03,900 --> 00:24:07,000 just a Berkeley just because I feel a little bit better in the 365 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,300 offense, and I can see the offense even getting better, 366 00:24:09,300 --> 00:24:14,000 once I get Tony, and Robinson back potentially so I think I'm 367 00:24:14,000 --> 00:24:17,100 with you there. Slide slight Edge to Berkeley 368 00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:19,600 looking at the rest of this chart. 369 00:24:19,600 --> 00:24:24,000 Is there anything? Anything else that stands out to 370 00:24:24,000 --> 00:24:25,500 you? And many players are situations. 371 00:24:25,500 --> 00:24:30,700 You wanted to highlight and yeah one thing that I think is 372 00:24:30,700 --> 00:24:35,500 humorous, is that a so Joe Mixon and I just run a road of this 373 00:24:35,500 --> 00:24:41,000 tool the road of his screener and then Joe Mixon on the season 374 00:24:41,000 --> 00:24:46,600 today. date, he would be 238, most inefficient that ring back 375 00:24:46,600 --> 00:24:54,400 of all time since going back to That's going back to the 2000. 376 00:24:54,900 --> 00:24:57,200 Is that extrapolating? What he's done so far over the 377 00:24:57,200 --> 00:24:59,700 full? No, no just just somebody's not 378 00:24:59,700 --> 00:25:01,100 so far. Wow, it's week. 379 00:25:01,100 --> 00:25:07,900 Five, the worst is Edgerrin. James for Arizona. 380 00:25:07,900 --> 00:25:12,900 In 2006 with at minus 70 tree fantasy points over expected but 381 00:25:14,100 --> 00:25:18,400 he's easily on truck as so. I thought that was funny. 382 00:25:19,400 --> 00:25:22,300 Yeah, that's, that's why. I mean, you'd really jumps off 383 00:25:22,300 --> 00:25:24,200 this chart. As you can see here on the 384 00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:27,500 bottom, we have expected points and then fan fpo is fantasy 385 00:25:27,500 --> 00:25:32,900 points over expectation. So Joe Mixon is leading the NFL 386 00:25:32,900 --> 00:25:38,100 and expected points for running backs but as - 40 fantasy points 387 00:25:38,100 --> 00:25:42,400 over expected and that's I mean, it's ridiculous. 388 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:44,500 That's it. Blows anyone else a little 389 00:25:44,500 --> 00:25:45,700 water? I think the second closest would 390 00:25:45,700 --> 00:25:50,100 be Javonte and -19 even nausea who Who everyone is ripping on 391 00:25:50,100 --> 00:25:53,300 for being. So, terrible is only at minus 392 00:25:53,300 --> 00:25:56,400 15. So what mix-ins doing out there 393 00:25:57,400 --> 00:26:01,800 it's disgusting. You asked what his own pace for. 394 00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:05,500 So he's on Pace for, if I use that if 16-game season to make 395 00:26:05,500 --> 00:26:11,700 this consistent, he's on Pace for - on June 28 and next, it - 396 00:26:11,700 --> 00:26:16,200 73. So clearly as historically bad 397 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:20,600 efficiency season, Yeah. Hello man. 398 00:26:20,600 --> 00:26:24,700 Even with that, I have to like for trying to be actionable here 399 00:26:24,700 --> 00:26:31,200 is ATP is 25 again I'm going to say that I think that's that's 400 00:26:31,200 --> 00:26:33,000 still an okay pick. I think. 401 00:26:33,500 --> 00:26:35,300 Like I think I don't think Joe Mixon is good. 402 00:26:35,300 --> 00:26:38,100 I don't think he's this bad though. 403 00:26:38,100 --> 00:26:42,000 Like he's not that old yet. Just I test from watching him. 404 00:26:42,000 --> 00:26:45,100 Like he doesn't look great but he looks how he's always looked 405 00:26:45,100 --> 00:26:47,000 to me. Just a guy who kind of gets 406 00:26:47,000 --> 00:26:49,100 what's there. And not much more. 407 00:26:49,100 --> 00:26:52,400 So I think, if you regresses to just like League average 408 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:56,900 efficiency, he is still a fine pick and I think he does have. 409 00:26:57,400 --> 00:27:00,800 I think he still has the spike week potential just from getting 410 00:27:00,800 --> 00:27:02,300 touchdowns and from all this volume. 411 00:27:02,300 --> 00:27:05,500 So it's like not a pic. I'm excited about it all. 412 00:27:05,500 --> 00:27:10,000 But say, I prefer not to pick the potentially least efficient 413 00:27:10,000 --> 00:27:14,500 player of all time. I pick 25 and yeah, that was me 414 00:27:15,100 --> 00:27:18,300 now. I think I'm just teasing Get it 415 00:27:19,700 --> 00:27:25,100 wrong. It's a he's got the fifth 416 00:27:25,100 --> 00:27:31,600 highest I guess Fantasy Point usable kind of snap share. 417 00:27:32,900 --> 00:27:34,900 Just there just behind Leonard fournette. 418 00:27:35,300 --> 00:27:41,200 I just had a Josh Jacobs. It feels like a situation where 419 00:27:41,900 --> 00:27:44,400 you should be able to get get paid off. 420 00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:49,500 I pick 25. It's just I don't know that. 421 00:27:49,500 --> 00:27:52,200 It's just it. I'm never going to feel 422 00:27:52,200 --> 00:27:56,600 compelled to pick a running back and just because just because 423 00:27:57,200 --> 00:28:00,900 they have the, the volume, especially not with such a 424 00:28:00,908 --> 00:28:03,600 narrow, you pick Yeah, that's fair. 425 00:28:03,700 --> 00:28:05,600 I think it's a specific build thing for me. 426 00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:09,700 Where said I go Cooper, cop and AJ Brown, the first two, picks 427 00:28:09,800 --> 00:28:14,300 something like that. I'll not build call a 0 or B. 428 00:28:14,300 --> 00:28:16,600 Yeah, I'll plug my nose and take. 429 00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:18,700 I'll take some Nixon at that price. 430 00:28:18,700 --> 00:28:22,400 I wouldn't say I'd be like over overweight him, but I probably 431 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,600 wouldn't be fading. I'm either, I think maybe a 432 00:28:25,600 --> 00:28:28,000 better pick though. You know, if you're going to 433 00:28:28,000 --> 00:28:31,600 play that same card of the running back getting volume just 434 00:28:31,600 --> 00:28:33,600 take Josh Jake. Up to pick 48. 435 00:28:33,600 --> 00:28:38,900 I think last week, we were touting him at around pick like 436 00:28:38,900 --> 00:28:41,300 70s, price was still really depressed. 437 00:28:41,800 --> 00:28:44,200 I mean, Matt, he looks, he looks good. 438 00:28:44,200 --> 00:28:46,800 And it shows up in the numbers here, 10 fantasy points over 439 00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:50,400 expected. He has the sixth best roll out 440 00:28:50,400 --> 00:28:52,900 of any running back, based on right, percentage of Russia, 441 00:28:52,900 --> 00:28:56,400 Thompson routes. And I mean, the, I'm not worried 442 00:28:56,400 --> 00:28:58,800 about zamir white. I don't think it looks very good 443 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:00,700 out there. I'm not worried about Brandon 444 00:29:00,700 --> 00:29:03,700 Bolden and Ameer Abdullah. I mean, those guys will take a 445 00:29:03,708 --> 00:29:06,900 little bit of work but I'm pretty. 446 00:29:07,300 --> 00:29:10,500 I'm pretty in, on Jacobs at pick 48. 447 00:29:10,500 --> 00:29:13,200 I realized that's like, you know, we talked about running 448 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:15,300 backs in that range as being in the dead zone. 449 00:29:15,300 --> 00:29:18,300 But from what I've seen from Jacobs this far, I don't see any 450 00:29:18,300 --> 00:29:22,100 reason not to, not to take him there, especially if I've gone 451 00:29:22,100 --> 00:29:25,000 through the water Seaver. Heavy before that, pick. 452 00:29:25,300 --> 00:29:27,100 What do you think about Jacobs to pick 48? 453 00:29:28,300 --> 00:29:30,600 It's really hard to disagree with that. 454 00:29:30,700 --> 00:29:36,200 And just looking at the numbers. And dude, there, I guess there's 455 00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:39,100 always been people in the fantasy community that has 456 00:29:39,100 --> 00:29:43,100 really believed in. Josh Jacobs has talent, and they 457 00:29:43,100 --> 00:29:47,100 are having their day right now. And looking at these numbers, it 458 00:29:47,100 --> 00:29:50,100 kind of looks like he should be. He should be a first-round pick 459 00:29:50,300 --> 00:29:54,200 based on the numbers and that's really hard to not. 460 00:29:54,200 --> 00:29:56,400 Say, don't drop him at the end of the for Trent. 461 00:29:56,800 --> 00:30:02,700 Yeah. I I don't like it, but I am 462 00:30:02,700 --> 00:30:06,700 probably drafting a Josh Jacobs. Yeah, but that prime mean, I 463 00:30:06,700 --> 00:30:09,200 don't know if you'd like more, fill ground or take, but I don't 464 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:11,300 know if you watch the game last night, but he is just, like, 465 00:30:11,500 --> 00:30:15,000 punishing Defenders out there, and he looks quick to, he's just 466 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:18,000 if he has a one-on-one against the safety or cornerback, he's 467 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:21,600 just absolutely bulldozing them and I don't know. 468 00:30:21,600 --> 00:30:24,300 I, I feel like I've never seen Josh able to play this way. 469 00:30:24,300 --> 00:30:27,100 I don't know, like, he looks different to me. 470 00:30:27,100 --> 00:30:30,400 I don't know if it's just like, Results bias of him putting up 471 00:30:30,400 --> 00:30:32,300 fantasy points and all of a sudden I'm like, oh, he's really 472 00:30:32,300 --> 00:30:35,000 good but like he looks like a different player out there. 473 00:30:35,000 --> 00:30:37,400 I don't know if he's been hampered by injuries in the past 474 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:39,200 couple years and he hasn't looked as explosive. 475 00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:44,900 But yeah, we've always believed in Josh Jacobs here at stat 476 00:30:44,900 --> 00:30:48,100 chasing and ship, chasing huge, huge Jacobs fans. 477 00:30:48,100 --> 00:30:52,900 So yeah. Now I wish I could honestly say 478 00:30:52,900 --> 00:30:54,000 that. I don't think I have. 479 00:30:54,100 --> 00:30:55,600 I don't think I have much of him. 480 00:30:56,300 --> 00:31:02,000 So I got my face there. From the preseason 1 egg 1 pick 481 00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:05,700 that stands out big time to me is that Rahim most dirt. 482 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:11,000 He's clearly kind of a at taking a Stranglehold, not a 483 00:31:11,000 --> 00:31:13,100 Stranglehold. But in today's running back 484 00:31:13,100 --> 00:31:20,600 landscape he's taking a Austin Eckler sized share of the 485 00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:26,200 Dolphins Back Field and the points haven't really caught up 486 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:30,900 yet and what? Let's see where he's going and 487 00:31:30,900 --> 00:31:33,000 yeah, he's the best. He's the best running back value 488 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:35,100 right now. And best of all Resurrection. 489 00:31:35,100 --> 00:31:39,300 I think I'm with hundred eat like a huge priority. 490 00:31:39,600 --> 00:31:43,500 Huge priority. Yeah, they're icing admin. 491 00:31:43,500 --> 00:31:46,800 I mean Mi gasps. Can I think got more snaps and 492 00:31:46,800 --> 00:31:50,800 than Edmonds last week. So they're really down, really, 493 00:31:50,800 --> 00:31:53,800 really down on Edmonds. Yeah. 494 00:31:53,800 --> 00:31:57,400 Pick 100. You're getting a top 15 roll. 495 00:31:58,600 --> 00:32:02,100 In terms of Rush are and routes. And I do think like we talked 496 00:32:02,100 --> 00:32:06,900 about, with Miami earlier, I think I mean to, to a coming 497 00:32:06,900 --> 00:32:08,900 back, there's no some wrist there, but I think Teddy 498 00:32:08,900 --> 00:32:11,300 Bridgewater's injury does not appear to be serious. 499 00:32:11,500 --> 00:32:13,600 He should at least be back. Open cavity. 500 00:32:14,300 --> 00:32:18,000 Yeah. Like it was because he this a 501 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:22,600 spotter said that he sipped but there was no and there's no 502 00:32:22,600 --> 00:32:26,700 video evidence of ever sipping. So they're like, there's no sign 503 00:32:26,700 --> 00:32:32,200 of concussion but you have to go through the protocol and it 504 00:32:32,200 --> 00:32:34,800 sounds like he's fine. Yeah. 505 00:32:36,700 --> 00:32:39,100 Yeah, I think he should be back in again. 506 00:32:39,100 --> 00:32:41,600 Yet you just didn't League or average Quarterback play. 507 00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:44,800 I think in Miami and most are definitely had to pick a 508 00:32:44,808 --> 00:32:47,700 hundred, you know, it's totally worth it. 509 00:32:47,800 --> 00:32:50,200 I think we should talk about the, the cover board for this 510 00:32:50,200 --> 00:32:53,800 week. Now in Ken Walker, who had does 511 00:32:53,800 --> 00:32:58,100 not appear on this chart. We see Penny, they're just walk, 512 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:01,900 I'm not even sure Walker but here we should have at use some 513 00:33:04,100 --> 00:33:09,100 Adobe what's Called a Photoshop and just scribbled out Rashad 514 00:33:09,100 --> 00:33:11,600 pennies name and put in kind of Walkers. 515 00:33:12,100 --> 00:33:15,200 Yeah. We yeah we need to, we'll do 516 00:33:15,200 --> 00:33:17,500 some Next Level editing next week, but yeah. 517 00:33:17,500 --> 00:33:20,400 Penny rest in peace. You starting to look like a good 518 00:33:20,400 --> 00:33:23,500 pick at around, pick a hundred. This offseason. 519 00:33:23,500 --> 00:33:28,100 Would, he is out for the Year. Ken, Walker looks like the most 520 00:33:28,100 --> 00:33:32,100 exciting way, Brad for casual, leagues out there that will have 521 00:33:32,200 --> 00:33:34,700 all season, obviously in any League where he's available. 522 00:33:34,700 --> 00:33:37,400 You're saying like all your money on him. 523 00:33:38,900 --> 00:33:41,700 I think it's interesting to talk about like what do we think? 524 00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:48,500 How do we think Ken Walker, will where do we think will show up 525 00:33:48,500 --> 00:33:52,600 on this chart next week, in terms of percentage of Team 526 00:33:53,700 --> 00:33:59,400 routes and Russia tabs? Because I think we've seen it 527 00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:01,400 was interesting in Seattle, because originally, we saw this 528 00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:04,800 three-man split. Where was Homer, Penny and 529 00:34:04,800 --> 00:34:08,400 Walker, homered goes on. I are they basically plug deejay 530 00:34:08,400 --> 00:34:11,000 Dallas into the Homer role for a week and it was still a 531 00:34:11,007 --> 00:34:12,699 three-way split among those guys. 532 00:34:13,199 --> 00:34:16,400 Since then, they basically pushed DJ jealous to the side 533 00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:18,600 and it's just been Penny and Walker. 534 00:34:19,100 --> 00:34:22,000 And now, Penny goes down. So what do we think? 535 00:34:22,000 --> 00:34:24,699 Do they involve deejay Dallas? A lot more, just Travis home or 536 00:34:24,699 --> 00:34:27,600 have a role when he comes back? Where do you think, like, if 537 00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:31,000 you're just to sort of postulate, where do you think 538 00:34:31,000 --> 00:34:35,500 Walker will sort of slot in on the spectrum of, you know, 539 00:34:35,500 --> 00:34:39,900 Workhorse all Berkeley, McCaffrey Taylor to, you know, 540 00:34:39,900 --> 00:34:43,699 50% snap, share guy, Allah, Cordarrelle, Patterson James 541 00:34:43,699 --> 00:34:48,900 Robinson. Give me next week, Janek, I or I 542 00:34:48,900 --> 00:34:51,600 guess over the course, right? Yeah I think they're two 543 00:34:51,600 --> 00:34:57,100 different questions and but important persons and so I think 544 00:34:57,100 --> 00:35:01,200 that this is kind of one of those goods one of those 545 00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:05,400 situations where when two running backs are in a timeshare 546 00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,600 and the reason that they're in a timeshare is that their boat so 547 00:35:08,600 --> 00:35:14,700 good that they both become their boat hugely. 548 00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:20,900 Valuable picks and fantasy because the contingent upside is 549 00:35:20,900 --> 00:35:26,000 just so high. Yeah, and I really don't see any 550 00:35:26,000 --> 00:35:31,400 way that he doesn't and get pretty much all of their pennies 551 00:35:31,400 --> 00:35:38,100 kind of rushing workload and I but I still, I still would have 552 00:35:38,100 --> 00:35:45,500 some question about his past catching and he was not Receiver 553 00:35:45,500 --> 00:35:49,700 in college. So that at, I think that part 554 00:35:49,700 --> 00:35:53,800 that the fact that Penny was starting to eat into the kind of 555 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:59,800 Route share, I don't know if we can just push that onto a walker 556 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:05,600 but it might be a situation where he's so good is a rusher 557 00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:11,600 because he really was a great, a great College talent for at 558 00:36:11,600 --> 00:36:13,500 roasting. So that really could transfer to 559 00:36:13,500 --> 00:36:17,500 the NFL and big way. He might he might end up being 560 00:36:17,500 --> 00:36:19,200 kind of like a you're not going to like this. 561 00:36:19,200 --> 00:36:24,500 He might kind of be end up being and it like Nick Chubb role and 562 00:36:24,900 --> 00:36:32,100 if we really do believe in the Seahawks offense and The 563 00:36:32,100 --> 00:36:36,000 touchdown element might be strong enough to really at push 564 00:36:36,000 --> 00:36:38,900 him forward. I think that would be like, my 565 00:36:38,900 --> 00:36:42,200 kind of, like reasonable. Yeah, base case. 566 00:36:42,600 --> 00:36:45,900 And obviously, there's a huge range of outcomes like that he 567 00:36:45,900 --> 00:36:48,300 could end up being like, oh, he's actually a solid pass 568 00:36:48,300 --> 00:36:52,500 Catcher And he becomes a Workhorse or it could be a 569 00:36:52,508 --> 00:36:56,400 situation where they're like uh, who still like these other 570 00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:59,200 running backs or so going to use them in a Russian game and I'm 571 00:36:59,200 --> 00:37:01,900 wrong on the downside. But I think that's a Good. 572 00:37:02,700 --> 00:37:09,800 I think if you non-premium brand that are discount brand Nick 573 00:37:09,800 --> 00:37:16,100 Chubb on the Seahawks offense. Yeah what I'd say that's 574 00:37:16,100 --> 00:37:20,500 interesting. Yeah I think that seems like a 575 00:37:20,508 --> 00:37:23,800 fair base case. I've heard people talk about the 576 00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:27,200 fact that I think, if you look at the numbers, I don't have it 577 00:37:27,200 --> 00:37:31,100 up right now. Walker has drawn a decent amount 578 00:37:31,100 --> 00:37:33,700 of time. Targets on the routes he's run. 579 00:37:33,700 --> 00:37:37,000 It's actually looking at the weighted Target for out Ronnie 580 00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,200 is a 60%, waited targets for Route. 581 00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:41,400 Ron. That's a very small sample size 582 00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:46,200 and just from like a film film take perspective, I think he's 583 00:37:46,200 --> 00:37:50,400 been in a lot where they've done these Jet Sweep design plays for 584 00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:53,400 him that are essentially running plays and on such a small sample 585 00:37:53,400 --> 00:37:55,800 that's going to really skew the numbers. 586 00:37:55,800 --> 00:37:58,600 So I have to have that. I just want to sort of provide 587 00:37:58,600 --> 00:38:00,200 the counter. Take I have heard people talk 588 00:38:00,200 --> 00:38:03,100 about. Oh, Workers earning targets. 589 00:38:03,200 --> 00:38:06,800 I'm a little skeptical of that because of the small sample and 590 00:38:06,800 --> 00:38:10,200 the Jet Sweep stuff. But who knows? 591 00:38:10,500 --> 00:38:14,800 We have seen in the past running backs that don't have much of a 592 00:38:14,900 --> 00:38:18,600 receiving profile in college that can perform at the NFL 593 00:38:18,600 --> 00:38:20,800 level. I think Taylor's maybe an 594 00:38:20,800 --> 00:38:24,200 example he's different than Walker and that he flashed a bit 595 00:38:24,200 --> 00:38:27,700 more receiving college and Walker did but that's maybe one 596 00:38:27,700 --> 00:38:30,700 example of a guy when we saw the receiving. 597 00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:35,000 Come up in the NFL in a way, we didn't quite see in college but 598 00:38:35,000 --> 00:38:38,600 I think your your base case makes sense. 599 00:38:38,600 --> 00:38:41,800 I think going back to the ADP, he's I think it'll take some 600 00:38:41,800 --> 00:38:45,700 time for the ADP to adjust off the injury news, but he's only 601 00:38:45,700 --> 00:38:49,900 going at pick 81 right now, which is behind Melvin Gordon 602 00:38:50,000 --> 00:38:53,800 JJ, Dillon Jamaal Williams. James Connor, James Robinson. 603 00:38:54,500 --> 00:39:00,900 I think he should be going closer to the judge a cups range 604 00:39:00,900 --> 00:39:03,300 at around. Pick 50 to 60. 605 00:39:03,700 --> 00:39:07,500 So I'm still definitely buying Walker at pick a tea. 606 00:39:07,500 --> 00:39:10,800 Just a bet on the talent, second round pedigree and a bet on the 607 00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:15,600 Seattle offense being strong and also a bet against these deejay 608 00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:18,600 Dallas, Travis Homer, guys, I think if they do start out with 609 00:39:18,600 --> 00:39:21,900 the roll, I think, Seattle will see how much better Walker is 610 00:39:21,900 --> 00:39:25,700 than them and will eventually sort of ice ice those guys into 611 00:39:25,700 --> 00:39:29,900 smaller roles and on your, on your kind of Jet Sweep down 612 00:39:29,900 --> 00:39:33,300 going to point, he has Of at 12 or yards? 613 00:39:33,800 --> 00:39:36,000 Yeah, that's what those targets are. 614 00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:40,800 Yeah. And what, you know, it's still 615 00:39:40,800 --> 00:39:46,800 interesting that he has in entry games that he's been targeted. 616 00:39:47,100 --> 00:39:53,800 So we have seven Targets on the year, which considering that he 617 00:39:53,800 --> 00:39:56,300 was at week one, right? Yeah. 618 00:39:56,300 --> 00:40:00,100 Is that week one? So that's close to Edge to 619 00:40:00,100 --> 00:40:03,900 targets a game. Which, I mean, it's fine. 620 00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:10,200 Yep, better than what pain he's ever done for sure. 621 00:40:10,800 --> 00:40:14,800 But yeah, I think like, it's hard to paint given the current 622 00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:18,500 backfield and, you know what? We even if Seattle maintains 623 00:40:18,500 --> 00:40:20,500 just sort of a League average offense, they've actually been 624 00:40:20,500 --> 00:40:22,600 better than that. It's sort of hard to paint the 625 00:40:22,600 --> 00:40:26,100 down side case for Walker, at pick a tea, like you're getting 626 00:40:26,100 --> 00:40:29,900 the clearly. The lead back on offense that 627 00:40:29,900 --> 00:40:34,100 has been strong. Yeah, this price will go up, I'm 628 00:40:34,100 --> 00:40:37,100 sure but I'm trying to get some drafts in tonight where he's 629 00:40:37,107 --> 00:40:38,900 still going around the right that pretty. 630 00:40:38,900 --> 00:40:44,300 Yeah, this tournament closes on Thursday. 631 00:40:44,500 --> 00:40:46,300 So it's really a Race Against Time. 632 00:40:46,500 --> 00:40:52,000 I was like how quickly can the kind of a TB catch up with 633 00:40:52,800 --> 00:40:54,300 obviously an advantage right now. 634 00:40:55,100 --> 00:40:59,100 Yeah. The last running back I want to 635 00:40:59,107 --> 00:41:03,200 talk about is Ramon Ray Stevenson just in the context 636 00:41:03,200 --> 00:41:06,200 that Damien Harris is likely to miss a couple weeks. 637 00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:09,400 I think there's even a chance you might go on ir and if we go 638 00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:16,200 to the next chart quickly we see Damien Harris with 53 expected 639 00:41:16,200 --> 00:41:19,200 points. So he has sort of a small role 640 00:41:19,200 --> 00:41:21,400 in terms of when he's actually on the field. 641 00:41:21,400 --> 00:41:25,100 But when he hasn't on the field, he's getting a ton of touches if 642 00:41:25,100 --> 00:41:29,600 from Andhra even absorbs some of the From Andres been in a bigger 643 00:41:29,600 --> 00:41:33,000 role due to his past game uses. She's at 61 expected fantasy 644 00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:37,300 points. If he absorbs just like half of 645 00:41:37,300 --> 00:41:40,900 Harris's role which I think is a realistic base case assumption, 646 00:41:41,300 --> 00:41:44,600 he would all of a sudden be near the top in terms of expected 647 00:41:44,600 --> 00:41:47,900 fantasy points and near the far left of the chart in terms of 648 00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:50,900 guys of the Workhorse role. So I've seen it on Twitter 649 00:41:50,900 --> 00:41:53,900 already guys who are deep in the projection streets or already 650 00:41:53,900 --> 00:41:57,200 coming out with Ramon Dre as one of the top projected. 651 00:41:57,400 --> 00:41:59,900 Running backs next week in terms of points. 652 00:42:00,500 --> 00:42:02,500 So I think that's just interesting interesting guy to 653 00:42:02,500 --> 00:42:06,100 highlight that you know maybe in some leagues where the manager 654 00:42:06,100 --> 00:42:09,700 isn't really aware of how much upside or Monterey has you could 655 00:42:09,900 --> 00:42:13,000 you could buy them at a lower price or even in these best 656 00:42:13,000 --> 00:42:14,000 ball. Resurrection drafts. 657 00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:18,900 I think he is a pretty good value at at pick 60, just for 658 00:42:18,900 --> 00:42:22,000 the, the near-term upside and I think in the playoffs you will 659 00:42:22,000 --> 00:42:25,500 still maintain sort of the lead back role that we've seen thus 660 00:42:25,500 --> 00:42:30,500 far in New England. But yeah, II really like 661 00:42:30,500 --> 00:42:35,300 reminder I really like his talent and my only pushback 662 00:42:35,300 --> 00:42:39,600 would be not I still think Harris is coming back like he 663 00:42:39,600 --> 00:42:42,700 has this that hamstring injury just kind of leave them out for 664 00:42:42,700 --> 00:42:46,500 a while. The other while they're Wyler. 665 00:42:46,500 --> 00:42:51,600 Monterey is while he's out room, Andre should be this total 666 00:42:52,600 --> 00:42:58,300 smash. I do think that the fact that 667 00:42:59,200 --> 00:43:05,600 Harris comes back and that when he comes back the the 668 00:43:05,600 --> 00:43:09,600 week-to-week floor is so low and the ceiling is it? 669 00:43:09,600 --> 00:43:12,400 While Harris is playing. The ceiling is not great either. 670 00:43:13,400 --> 00:43:20,300 I I think that picks 60 might be a tad too expensive for me given 671 00:43:20,300 --> 00:43:27,600 that and Yeah, I can definitely hate, he could be a guy with the 672 00:43:27,600 --> 00:43:32,600 with the shorter and what's it called? 673 00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:37,300 Not playoff with the shorter group stage, he could be 674 00:43:37,300 --> 00:43:40,000 somebody who almost Advanced you on why himself. 675 00:43:40,700 --> 00:43:44,300 But when you're trying to take down these tournaments, you 676 00:43:44,300 --> 00:43:48,400 really do need to remember what the kind of last few week upside 677 00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:53,400 is, and I don't know if that matches add the price and that's 678 00:43:53,500 --> 00:43:56,700 Situation. Yeah, I think that's fair. 679 00:43:56,800 --> 00:43:59,400 Like, we've talked about guys, that I think are better values 680 00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:01,800 bit later. I certainly think that most are 681 00:44:02,300 --> 00:44:05,900 and Ken Walker better values slightly later, but I still 682 00:44:05,900 --> 00:44:10,100 think pick 64 am. Andre is fair just that in the 683 00:44:10,100 --> 00:44:13,600 the two weeks prior. While, while Harris was still 684 00:44:13,600 --> 00:44:19,500 playing, he put up pretty strong lines over what week one and to 685 00:44:19,500 --> 00:44:21,100 do. Yeah, Week 1 and 2. 686 00:44:21,800 --> 00:44:24,500 We wanted to. I will We, I think there was a 687 00:44:24,508 --> 00:44:29,000 bit of a role change in that we saw in weeks one and two, number 688 00:44:29,000 --> 00:44:32,400 one, we had Thai Montgomery and they're messing things up a 689 00:44:32,408 --> 00:44:34,500 little bit. Again, he could be back to you, 690 00:44:34,500 --> 00:44:36,200 so you can make the argument that he will mess. 691 00:44:36,200 --> 00:44:39,100 Things up in the future, but we have that aspect of it. 692 00:44:39,100 --> 00:44:42,700 We also had Damien Harris in those early weeks, running 693 00:44:42,800 --> 00:44:45,800 equal, or even more routes than or Madre, which everyone was 694 00:44:45,800 --> 00:44:49,200 pointing out is pretty weird. I think that was certainly the 695 00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:51,400 case in week 2. And then that flipped and weeks, 696 00:44:51,400 --> 00:44:54,300 three and four, where you saw Ramon, Audrey put up four 697 00:44:54,300 --> 00:44:59,200 receptions each week also had 12 to 14 carries in each game with 698 00:44:59,400 --> 00:45:03,100 65 plus rushing yards in each. So, even before Harris got hurt, 699 00:45:03,100 --> 00:45:11,700 we did see like this 10 to 18 touch per game role for am 700 00:45:11,700 --> 00:45:16,300 Andre, which again, the, the floor like we have seen the 701 00:45:16,300 --> 00:45:20,100 floor and we just wanted to but that's still a pretty solid role 702 00:45:20,100 --> 00:45:24,300 with Harris and these midseason Ring injuries. 703 00:45:24,400 --> 00:45:28,400 I'm always sort of betting against the guy to come back 704 00:45:28,600 --> 00:45:33,100 fully healthy. So I, yeah, I think I see your 705 00:45:33,100 --> 00:45:35,200 side of the take. Like, there's better values. 706 00:45:36,600 --> 00:45:40,100 When you can get Jacobs to pick 50, you can get most sure to 707 00:45:40,100 --> 00:45:42,600 pick 100. He's not the best value out 708 00:45:42,600 --> 00:45:46,600 there but I'd probably want to have some room, Andre, and some 709 00:45:46,600 --> 00:45:49,400 world where I'm doing a bunch of these best ball drafts. 710 00:45:50,200 --> 00:45:55,000 And so, one thing I would point out is Is that in week 2? 711 00:45:55,300 --> 00:46:03,600 And he did have a 61% of the road share, and but he still, he 712 00:46:03,600 --> 00:46:08,300 still scored only six points. I know that's like a one-week 713 00:46:08,300 --> 00:46:14,000 sample and week for, he only had 52 percent and he scored 13 714 00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:20,400 points eyes. I still think that Other than is 715 00:46:20,400 --> 00:46:24,800 Talent, isn't the town of a dead zone that's on back but the 716 00:46:24,800 --> 00:46:29,800 situation is where, like, near term for the, for the first week 717 00:46:29,800 --> 00:46:33,700 of the Resurrection. We project them as a belko, but 718 00:46:33,800 --> 00:46:39,200 it's such a fragile situation that and it could really blow up 719 00:46:39,200 --> 00:46:42,300 in your face is is where I'm more wary. 720 00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:46,500 Yeah. Yeah I think that's fair. 721 00:46:46,500 --> 00:46:49,300 I think. Yeah, maybe where we differ is. 722 00:46:49,300 --> 00:46:52,500 I think that the upside I think we're going to see these next 723 00:46:52,500 --> 00:46:56,100 couple weeks at the upside is really, really massive. 724 00:46:56,100 --> 00:47:00,200 And even if there's like a strong chance, Harris is back in 725 00:47:00,200 --> 00:47:03,900 his full roll. I still want some chance of 726 00:47:03,908 --> 00:47:05,900 that. Just we've seen the running back 727 00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:09,700 position this year, just be so thin that at that picks 60. 728 00:47:09,700 --> 00:47:14,400 I think it's an okay. Upside that. 729 00:47:14,700 --> 00:47:16,500 But, yeah, I see your side of things. 730 00:47:17,900 --> 00:47:20,800 I think it's an interesting player to talk about and we'll 731 00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:22,600 see over the next couple. Yeah, for sure. 732 00:47:22,700 --> 00:47:25,400 I totally agree. They're definitely, he's going 733 00:47:25,400 --> 00:47:32,100 to be somebody dada and probably going to be a huge disagreements 734 00:47:32,100 --> 00:47:37,500 about that is what makes us one? Yeah, it wouldn't be fun. 735 00:47:37,500 --> 00:47:42,700 If everybody agreed on, the same are thing's for sure. 736 00:47:43,400 --> 00:47:48,800 Yeah, so let's move on to the sort of more rotational running 737 00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:52,000 backs. Maybe, we'll do some quick hits 738 00:47:52,000 --> 00:47:57,700 here at a couple things. One, Jalen Warren, I think makes 739 00:47:57,700 --> 00:47:59,700 his first appearance on these charts. 740 00:47:59,800 --> 00:48:04,700 He still has a pretty small role according to this chart, but we 741 00:48:04,700 --> 00:48:07,600 actually saw last week. I believe you out snap. 742 00:48:07,600 --> 00:48:10,900 Nausea Harris, or at least made it very close to 50/50 split. 743 00:48:11,000 --> 00:48:12,800 He was playing a lot of the third down. 744 00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:16,700 Roll some of that people pointed out was late in the game, but 745 00:48:16,700 --> 00:48:18,100 all the starters were still playing. 746 00:48:18,100 --> 00:48:20,900 It wasn't like right now I think with the only starter that they 747 00:48:20,900 --> 00:48:22,300 removed. Exactly. 748 00:48:22,300 --> 00:48:24,100 Yeah. And there were quotes this week 749 00:48:24,100 --> 00:48:26,900 on Tomlin, saying Warren's gonna have a bigger role. 750 00:48:26,900 --> 00:48:30,900 So there's some some momentum there for the sort of the 751 00:48:30,900 --> 00:48:34,100 coaching sentiment. I think that the team has 752 00:48:34,100 --> 00:48:37,300 obviously invested so much in Nagi that it's going to be tough 753 00:48:37,300 --> 00:48:39,600 to like completely relegate him to Warren. 754 00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:44,100 But I think we'll see. Them approach, a 50-50, split, 755 00:48:44,100 --> 00:48:47,100 maybe base cases, option going forward, would be something like 756 00:48:47,400 --> 00:48:51,100 a 60/40 split in favor of Nagi with Warren, getting a little 757 00:48:51,100 --> 00:48:54,400 bit more of the past down work. And I think that's just, like 758 00:48:55,300 --> 00:48:56,800 that's just putting nausea in a coffin. 759 00:48:56,800 --> 00:49:01,400 We know he relied on 100% sort of snap rate essentially last 760 00:49:01,400 --> 00:49:05,200 year, so I think Warren Warren is interesting. 761 00:49:05,900 --> 00:49:08,600 So here's I think this it should be interesting. 762 00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:13,400 Yeah, so Warren had a The percent route share and week. 763 00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:17,100 Five pound. Tell me your best. 764 00:49:17,100 --> 00:49:22,300 Guess as to what his route chair was on average between weeks, 765 00:49:22,300 --> 00:49:31,000 one on the for I'd say like twenty percent twenty three 766 00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:37,500 percent so pretty good guess? Yeah, yeah, but in which to you 767 00:49:37,500 --> 00:49:40,200 had 30% and weeks for you also at 30%. 768 00:49:40,200 --> 00:49:43,500 So it's not like, this is just say, hey, this is just a weird 769 00:49:43,500 --> 00:49:49,800 game, one off out of the blue and he has been pushing for this 770 00:49:50,300 --> 00:49:54,000 at the last couple weeks. And I think you're seeing the 771 00:49:54,000 --> 00:49:56,900 culmination of this. Kind of mounting pressure. 772 00:49:58,600 --> 00:50:03,100 Yep. Like maybe maybe next week it's 773 00:50:03,100 --> 00:50:08,200 not going to be a 50/50 share but there is it's he's kind of 774 00:50:08,200 --> 00:50:11,100 like I think Warren is kind of like the Inconvenient Truth 775 00:50:11,100 --> 00:50:14,000 right now. Looks like probably everybody 776 00:50:14,000 --> 00:50:18,100 knows that he's playing better but it's that's very 777 00:50:18,100 --> 00:50:23,700 inconvenient for them and and and at tournament where like you 778 00:50:23,700 --> 00:50:30,400 said weeks 15 through 17 are the are Fortunately, the payouts and 779 00:50:30,400 --> 00:50:34,600 deciders that at that that's definitely situation. 780 00:50:34,600 --> 00:50:37,900 You want to add that on? Yep. 781 00:50:38,500 --> 00:50:41,000 I agree. I like Warren pick 180 right 782 00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:42,400 now. That's right direction. 783 00:50:42,700 --> 00:50:46,400 That's absolutely insane. Yeah, it's a great combo of. 784 00:50:46,400 --> 00:50:50,500 He should provide some like, if you're really desperate, give 785 00:50:50,500 --> 00:50:54,300 you some points as an rb2, some weeks, and I think he has pretty 786 00:50:54,300 --> 00:50:56,800 strong or very strong contingent upside. 787 00:50:57,200 --> 00:50:59,700 We've they've shown, they really hate the rest of these running 788 00:50:59,700 --> 00:51:04,000 backs behind Nagi Anthony McFarland, any Snell, all these 789 00:51:04,000 --> 00:51:07,700 guys that got zero row last year with Ozzy healthy. 790 00:51:07,700 --> 00:51:10,800 So I think I'm Nagi goes down. Warren is going to get a pretty 791 00:51:10,800 --> 00:51:13,500 huge share. Just given that they don't like 792 00:51:13,500 --> 00:51:18,800 those other backs at all. Yeah I think yeah every and I 793 00:51:18,808 --> 00:51:23,000 think it's all so crazy that a second Steelers running back 794 00:51:23,100 --> 00:51:26,300 would be on this chair. Like we would not have believed 795 00:51:26,300 --> 00:51:31,200 that if I hate now she still going to be playing what it's 796 00:51:31,200 --> 00:51:35,500 going to be an actual committee and we would not have expected 797 00:51:35,500 --> 00:51:38,400 that. So like this is like kind of 798 00:51:38,400 --> 00:51:40,500 like extraordinary that this has happened. 799 00:51:41,300 --> 00:51:45,200 Yeah, yeah I agree. I think the other one too 800 00:51:45,200 --> 00:51:47,900 interesting to hit on here. We see two That's running backs 801 00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:53,900 near around the 40 percent Mark in terms of Russia Temps Plus 802 00:51:53,900 --> 00:51:56,600 routes as a percent of total team plays. 803 00:51:57,400 --> 00:52:02,000 So, I think that is interesting to point out in that Bruce Hall 804 00:52:02,100 --> 00:52:07,700 has 85 expected points in such, you know, relatively small role 805 00:52:07,900 --> 00:52:09,800 compared to what we expect for the rest of the year. 806 00:52:10,700 --> 00:52:13,300 If we did this chart and only looked at the last two weeks 807 00:52:13,300 --> 00:52:18,000 Hall would be, you know, certainly on the other chart and 808 00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:20,700 have a much bigger role as role sort of steadily grown 809 00:52:20,900 --> 00:52:23,600 throughout the year. So that's just a point out that 810 00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:27,500 I think at pick 26. I believe in the best full 811 00:52:27,500 --> 00:52:29,300 Resurrection. Oh, no, he's at pick, 29. 812 00:52:29,300 --> 00:52:35,800 So going a bit later, I'm pretty excited about Bruce Hall at that 813 00:52:35,800 --> 00:52:37,600 price. I think he has a lot of a lot of 814 00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:40,300 upside there. If he earns a bigger share and 815 00:52:40,300 --> 00:52:44,300 the talent, especially the pass catching Talent looks really 816 00:52:44,300 --> 00:52:47,900 strong on his small NFL. Oil so far. 817 00:52:48,100 --> 00:52:50,200 What are you? Thoughts on the Jets? 818 00:52:50,200 --> 00:52:53,000 Guys, and Brie said, yeah, I like that. 819 00:52:53,500 --> 00:52:56,900 Maybe this is a hawk take, but I definitely prefer be talked to 820 00:52:57,000 --> 00:53:02,000 Joe Mixon. And yeah, that cost I do too. 821 00:53:03,300 --> 00:53:06,400 I mean, there's only a five pick difference in cost. 822 00:53:06,900 --> 00:53:09,500 Yeah, that's I think that's close enough. 823 00:53:09,500 --> 00:53:19,000 That it's a choice almost But I prefer like he's not his 824 00:53:19,500 --> 00:53:24,100 expected points workload. Obviously, that is probably a 825 00:53:24,100 --> 00:53:27,100 bit high from the The Joe Flacco s Timmy's. 826 00:53:27,700 --> 00:53:33,300 And yeah, but he can obviously score points. 827 00:53:33,300 --> 00:53:36,500 He's obviously the better back of two studs. 828 00:53:36,500 --> 00:53:43,000 Basically, and the I think that there's Probably strong kind of 829 00:53:43,000 --> 00:53:46,700 demonstration there that playing through him is a good way for 830 00:53:46,700 --> 00:53:49,600 them to be competitive and win games. 831 00:53:50,400 --> 00:53:53,200 And lucky said, the talent is huge too. 832 00:53:53,800 --> 00:53:57,300 So that's something where I'd, if I'm trying to skate to where 833 00:53:57,300 --> 00:54:00,100 the puck is going in week, 15, through 17. 834 00:54:00,300 --> 00:54:03,200 I-i'm, not sure how to go through that Avenue, done it, 835 00:54:03,200 --> 00:54:05,900 then, Joe Mixon for sure. Yeah. 836 00:54:06,300 --> 00:54:07,900 Now that's fair. I think actually in a draft 837 00:54:07,900 --> 00:54:11,500 today where I had that choice and I did go with Hall. 838 00:54:12,100 --> 00:54:17,800 Um, I think that we're on the same page there, in terms of 839 00:54:17,800 --> 00:54:21,000 haul over mix and just so much, a much more exciting bat, and 840 00:54:21,000 --> 00:54:23,400 you can definitely see his workload grow. 841 00:54:23,600 --> 00:54:25,600 I just think it's back to the Joe Flacco point. 842 00:54:25,600 --> 00:54:28,500 I just think it's hilarious. You know, four years ago, if you 843 00:54:28,500 --> 00:54:32,600 were to tell me that would be begging for a team to choose the 844 00:54:32,600 --> 00:54:36,000 pledge. Oh Flacco instead of a rookie or 845 00:54:36,000 --> 00:54:38,600 second year, you know, first round quarterback, I would have 846 00:54:38,700 --> 00:54:40,900 thought you were crazy but here we are probably about the 847 00:54:40,900 --> 00:54:43,900 quarterback. Yeah, we really please Joe 848 00:54:43,900 --> 00:54:47,600 Flacco. It's come play for the Jets and 849 00:54:47,600 --> 00:54:49,900 it's looking bad for a sec Wilson. 850 00:54:50,500 --> 00:54:55,100 Let's move on to the wide receivers, just want before we 851 00:54:55,100 --> 00:54:58,000 move on. Yeah, it is. 852 00:54:58,100 --> 00:55:04,100 Nice to see that after kind of, like, get at the Darryl Williams 853 00:55:04,400 --> 00:55:10,200 at kind of like, forcing Eno into a into kind of like a split 854 00:55:10,200 --> 00:55:14,000 roll, even with John Connor, John James, Conner down, it is 855 00:55:14,000 --> 00:55:20,600 nice to see that, you know, and and a bit more of a snob share. 856 00:55:22,000 --> 00:55:24,500 Well sorry, Daryl Daryl went down that came with the knee 857 00:55:24,500 --> 00:55:26,300 injury to right? Yeah, I do. 858 00:55:26,400 --> 00:55:30,800 Yeah. But yeah, no, I agree with that 859 00:55:30,800 --> 00:55:32,100 one. Yeah. 860 00:55:33,500 --> 00:55:39,000 And that it that that I think that is also I guess I think to 861 00:55:39,000 --> 00:55:41,500 me, that's a little exciting for you know, II. 862 00:55:41,600 --> 00:55:47,400 I don't like sharing for injuries and but I think that's 863 00:55:47,400 --> 00:55:52,500 a, that's something where the this is he, he's definitely 864 00:55:52,500 --> 00:55:58,300 worthwhile dropping there. I picked 160, yeah, for sure. 865 00:55:58,300 --> 00:56:00,900 There's some near-term offside there with the the injuries 866 00:56:01,400 --> 00:56:03,800 again. You know, away every guy. 867 00:56:03,800 --> 00:56:07,000 I know the not in my league, people will hate the, you know, 868 00:56:07,000 --> 00:56:09,500 Benjamin's available and 9y. How is he available? 869 00:56:09,500 --> 00:56:13,800 95% of Yahoo leagues. Yeah. 870 00:56:13,900 --> 00:56:16,600 Then we gotta come up with a better image metrics and these 871 00:56:16,900 --> 00:56:19,400 percent of Yahoo leagues available if I think we can do 872 00:56:19,400 --> 00:56:20,600 better. Yeah. 873 00:56:20,800 --> 00:56:24,200 For the people are listening Advantage but while podcasts we 874 00:56:24,200 --> 00:56:25,800 need we need a better metric there. 875 00:56:26,500 --> 00:56:29,300 Anyways, let's there's tons of other things we could hit on 876 00:56:29,300 --> 00:56:32,400 here. But let's, let's move along to 877 00:56:32,400 --> 00:56:36,900 wide receiver. Again for those following Along 878 00:56:36,900 --> 00:56:42,500 on video here, we're looking at wide receiver opportunity 879 00:56:42,500 --> 00:56:44,900 compared to results fantasy points. 880 00:56:45,100 --> 00:56:48,200 And this first chart for wide receivers are the full-time wide 881 00:56:48,200 --> 00:56:53,000 receivers guys running more than 85% of their team's routes. 882 00:56:53,300 --> 00:56:58,100 So on the y axis here, we have fantasy points per game on the 883 00:56:58,100 --> 00:57:00,500 y-axis. Sort of a measure of results. 884 00:57:00,500 --> 00:57:02,400 How are these guys hitting? We're playing fantasy. 885 00:57:02,400 --> 00:57:04,800 We want to see fantasy points. X axis here, R. 886 00:57:04,800 --> 00:57:06,900 We have waited targets, per route run. 887 00:57:07,100 --> 00:57:10,900 Now this metric if you're familiar with targets per route 888 00:57:10,900 --> 00:57:15,700 run, which is the number of targets you earn per routes, 889 00:57:16,100 --> 00:57:20,500 that is that magic but adjusted for are yards, which means 890 00:57:20,500 --> 00:57:23,900 targets further down the field. You know, 50-yard bombed Justin 891 00:57:23,900 --> 00:57:28,800 Jefferson is worth more than a Jet Sweep to Kenneth Walker in 892 00:57:28,800 --> 00:57:31,200 terms of opportunity. So that's how we're looking at 893 00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:35,400 the wide receiver position. It gives us a view on Potential 894 00:57:35,400 --> 00:57:39,600 by Lowe's and sell highs as well as looking at you know guys that 895 00:57:39,600 --> 00:57:43,000 are performing really strong the top right quadrant and then your 896 00:57:43,000 --> 00:57:46,800 cardio Specialists Allen Robinson in the far left 897 00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:49,100 quadrant. So that's orientation. 898 00:57:49,200 --> 00:57:50,400 Yeah. To the Chart Draco. 899 00:57:50,400 --> 00:57:55,300 Go ahead, when you said somebody lows and saucer section bylaws 900 00:57:55,300 --> 00:57:58,000 and sell highs, it reminded me of that. 901 00:57:58,500 --> 00:58:02,000 Gpp intro thing, that Pete has with the Raptor. 902 00:58:04,700 --> 00:58:08,900 Why are those and sell High? Yeah that's that's the best 903 00:58:08,900 --> 00:58:11,700 Tick-Tock that's that's still out there. 904 00:58:12,400 --> 00:58:17,500 And so my taught on this chart is at because it's receiving, I 905 00:58:17,508 --> 00:58:21,600 think that Aunt, this is probably one of the most stable 906 00:58:21,600 --> 00:58:26,600 charts week the week that we have, and a lot of a lot of the, 907 00:58:26,600 --> 00:58:28,600 the kind of most striking things on this. 908 00:58:29,200 --> 00:58:32,000 I think we have actually discussed quite a lot. 909 00:58:32,500 --> 00:58:37,700 And, but one thing that, That is I think quite noticeable. 910 00:58:38,200 --> 00:58:42,900 Is that Brandon? Are you is in the Heder, owning 911 00:58:42,900 --> 00:58:45,300 strong targets but they're not scoring points. 912 00:58:47,000 --> 00:58:52,700 I am kind of quadrant there and I actually find that really 913 00:58:52,700 --> 00:58:56,000 interesting in that like, oh, hey, he's just talent that we 914 00:58:56,000 --> 00:58:59,600 like, he's running the routes, he's getting the targets, he's 915 00:58:59,600 --> 00:59:03,700 just not scoring the points yet and he's got the type of talent 916 00:59:03,700 --> 00:59:09,200 profile that we do expect the score points and yeah especially 917 00:59:09,200 --> 00:59:12,600 relative to last year where he wasn't on the field because he 918 00:59:12,600 --> 00:59:14,500 was in the doghouse. Where's now he is on the dark 919 00:59:14,500 --> 00:59:15,800 field. Sorry. 920 00:59:16,200 --> 00:59:19,200 He is on the field, the top field so he's on the days in the 921 00:59:19,200 --> 00:59:23,800 dog park, I think my brain was in the dog park when I said that 922 00:59:25,200 --> 00:59:29,800 and going to pick Monkey Tree like that, that does seem like a 923 00:59:29,800 --> 00:59:34,700 really strong and and when we looked at the quarterback chart 924 00:59:34,900 --> 00:59:38,500 and we had pretty strong adjusted area after it just did 925 00:59:38,500 --> 00:59:42,500 yards per attempt for and Jimmy G. 926 00:59:42,500 --> 00:59:46,000 So he's kind of settling back into that terrible. 927 00:59:46,200 --> 00:59:49,700 Trying to see but good for his receivers are actually. 928 00:59:49,700 --> 00:59:52,900 Maybe not even good for his receivers and you're a what 929 00:59:52,900 --> 00:59:54,400 Shanahan wants out of the offense. 930 00:59:54,400 --> 00:59:58,500 I guess, like facilitating receivers on a perp dropped back 931 00:59:58,500 --> 01:00:05,100 basis and yeah and it's out of the point, the 49ers who they've 932 01:00:05,100 --> 01:00:08,600 played to open the season, they played the Bears, one of the 933 01:00:08,600 --> 01:00:11,600 worst offenses in the league. They actually lost that game and 934 01:00:11,600 --> 01:00:14,900 they played the Seahawks the Seahawks headed down week that 935 01:00:14,900 --> 01:00:17,600 week only scored 7 points. It's to put the Broncos really 936 01:00:17,600 --> 01:00:20,200 bad offense, Rams. I've been really struggling 937 01:00:20,200 --> 01:00:23,200 offense with the o-line Panthers, terrible offense. 938 01:00:23,200 --> 01:00:26,900 It's been a bunch of games where the 49ers haven't been pushed at 939 01:00:26,900 --> 01:00:30,700 all and they've been able just to enforce their running game 940 01:00:30,900 --> 01:00:33,400 grind their opponents. Now look, the 49ers defense is 941 01:00:33,400 --> 01:00:37,400 very good and I would expect some of that to continue but I 942 01:00:37,408 --> 01:00:41,200 think coming up they have games against the Chiefs Chargers 943 01:00:41,200 --> 01:00:45,500 Cardinals. Dolphins bucks, Seahawks again, 944 01:00:45,500 --> 01:00:49,700 Raiders These are some teams that I expect to push the 49ers 945 01:00:49,700 --> 01:00:53,600 in certain games, and I do think we'll see more volume out of the 946 01:00:53,600 --> 01:00:55,300 passing game out of necessity there. 947 01:00:55,300 --> 01:00:59,000 So, yeah, I think I use great called because when I look at 948 01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:03,800 his actual fantasy points over expected, it's very neutral and 949 01:01:03,900 --> 01:01:07,600 I would actually expect him to be efficient. 950 01:01:07,700 --> 01:01:12,500 So, I think there is some upside there, but definitely the issue 951 01:01:12,500 --> 01:01:15,000 for him. Financially was is that they 952 01:01:15,000 --> 01:01:17,000 just haven't been pushed, Past enough. 953 01:01:17,500 --> 01:01:24,700 And and I completely agree that that is a kind of volatile 954 01:01:24,700 --> 01:01:29,300 thing. And and yep we can probably 955 01:01:29,300 --> 01:01:34,100 expect it to. So here's that the the San 956 01:01:34,100 --> 01:01:39,300 Francisco true week five have the second highest amount of 957 01:01:39,300 --> 01:01:45,000 snaps and or if offensive snaps up by seven points, or more with 958 01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:49,800 160 tree, That's compared. The first is Philadelphia with 959 01:01:49,800 --> 01:01:55,200 200 so that proud they probably are on the upper end of this 960 01:01:55,200 --> 01:01:58,300 chart and on a full-season basis. 961 01:01:58,300 --> 01:02:04,500 But I don't think there s and I don't think they like I don't 962 01:02:04,500 --> 01:02:07,600 think they're like, really kind of like right now. 963 01:02:07,600 --> 01:02:13,200 They're in a kind of tiered Gap with khaki think cro 135 Buffalo 964 01:02:13,200 --> 01:02:17,600 122nd to Baltimore 122. I don't, I don't think they're 965 01:02:17,600 --> 01:02:26,200 like 30 to 40 plays at maybe 10 plays a game at had better than 966 01:02:26,200 --> 01:02:30,500 the best teams in the NFL. Yeah, I agree with that. 967 01:02:30,500 --> 01:02:33,300 I think again. Yeah, I expect them to run 968 01:02:33,300 --> 01:02:34,600 heavy. I expect them to have a good 969 01:02:34,600 --> 01:02:37,800 defense. I don't expect the extreme that 970 01:02:37,800 --> 01:02:39,600 we've seen thus far this year, right? 971 01:02:39,600 --> 01:02:41,100 Hold over the course of the season. 972 01:02:41,100 --> 01:02:45,300 So I think that that bodes, well for not just, I iook, but but 973 01:02:45,300 --> 01:02:49,300 Debo as well, right? He's he's been solid to start 974 01:02:49,300 --> 01:02:52,700 the year, but I don't think people are, you know, extremely 975 01:02:52,700 --> 01:02:54,000 excited. They have Diva on their teams 976 01:02:54,000 --> 01:02:57,200 are probably a bit neutral. I think we could see him put 977 01:02:57,200 --> 01:03:01,500 together a really Long stretch in games where San Francisco's 978 01:03:01,500 --> 01:03:03,000 forced to throw a little bit more. 979 01:03:03,400 --> 01:03:05,200 So I think. Yeah, I think there's all those 980 01:03:05,200 --> 01:03:07,700 guys killed too. I'm still buying even though the 981 01:03:07,700 --> 01:03:13,600 results have been bad. Yeah, and the spirit of the only 982 01:03:13,600 --> 01:03:16,400 thing. So I'm still buying the boat as 983 01:03:16,400 --> 01:03:20,700 well and what are you picking 90 fingerpick 19. 984 01:03:21,300 --> 01:03:25,400 Yeah this chart at that Gap is too high. 985 01:03:27,300 --> 01:03:30,100 Yeah, I'm with you. What are you going to mention 986 01:03:30,100 --> 01:03:32,900 this chart, right? Is that like rushing and Red 987 01:03:32,900 --> 01:03:35,800 Zone role that Debo right though involved in. 988 01:03:35,900 --> 01:03:40,500 So I there should be a guarantee of their just I was going to 989 01:03:40,500 --> 01:03:43,200 make him this massive part of their offense like no matter 990 01:03:43,200 --> 01:03:45,700 what offense are running a lot of the time. 991 01:03:45,700 --> 01:03:47,800 It's going to be true Diva. I get it. 992 01:03:48,100 --> 01:03:50,400 I just I don't think it's a 70 pick difference. 993 01:03:50,900 --> 01:03:53,200 Yeah that's fair. I you and I would be more on the 994 01:03:53,200 --> 01:03:56,900 side that I you because undervalued than debose, right? 995 01:03:57,000 --> 01:04:02,400 Overvalued 100% agree. Yeah, cool. 996 01:04:02,400 --> 01:04:06,000 Another thing I think a guy that pops here that we maybe haven't 997 01:04:06,000 --> 01:04:08,900 talked about as much is the most disrespected wide receiver in 998 01:04:08,900 --> 01:04:10,900 the league that is Jacoby Meyers. 999 01:04:11,100 --> 01:04:14,000 He has the highest weighted targets per route Ron of any of 1000 01:04:14,000 --> 01:04:18,300 the full-time wide receivers. I don't know if it's like the 1001 01:04:18,300 --> 01:04:22,700 undrafted free agent bias from his Prospect profile. 1002 01:04:22,700 --> 01:04:26,500 I don't know if it's the Patriots being gross sort of 1003 01:04:26,508 --> 01:04:28,800 offense. Don't want to be excited about 1004 01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:32,000 bias but he's not just drawing all these targets. 1005 01:04:32,000 --> 01:04:34,700 He's actually scoring quite a bit of fantasy points. 1006 01:04:34,700 --> 01:04:39,000 Now, over 15 fantasy points per game, he missed a couple weeks 1007 01:04:39,000 --> 01:04:41,500 earlier in the year so maybe that's why people have been sort 1008 01:04:41,500 --> 01:04:44,900 of slow to catch on but I think he is the best wide receiver 1009 01:04:44,900 --> 01:04:47,100 value bar. None in the best. 1010 01:04:47,100 --> 01:04:50,100 All Resurrection right now at pick 120, that's just a 1011 01:04:50,107 --> 01:04:55,700 ridiculous value on a guy who's earning and say enroll you know, 1012 01:04:55,700 --> 01:04:59,200 even not on a great offense. Since I think that is just a 1013 01:04:59,207 --> 01:05:02,500 ridiculous price. What do you think about Jacoby? 1014 01:05:06,500 --> 01:05:14,600 it's hard, not to agree and That he is interesting. 1015 01:05:14,800 --> 01:05:22,800 And so, yeah, hundred, pick 120 scoring at 70 and a half points 1016 01:05:22,800 --> 01:05:26,500 per game. Yeah, sometimes getting me, 1017 01:05:26,500 --> 01:05:30,000 right? Yeah, that's an easy one again. 1018 01:05:30,000 --> 01:05:33,300 Yeah, there's some like anti Patriots, you know, Jacoby Myers 1019 01:05:33,300 --> 01:05:35,900 is boring bias going up on their butt. 1020 01:05:36,200 --> 01:05:41,700 Yeah, last two games, 94 95 then 7 for 11 and a touchdown. 1021 01:05:43,300 --> 01:05:45,600 Yeah, it fast. Football doesn't always have to 1022 01:05:45,600 --> 01:05:47,900 be hard. Just pick Jacoby Myers every 1023 01:05:47,900 --> 01:05:55,000 time at pick. 120, trigger. Any other situations here you 1024 01:05:55,000 --> 01:05:58,200 wanted to talk about? I think Alan Robinson is super 1025 01:05:58,200 --> 01:06:02,300 happy that Marcus Johnson earned a full roll so he is no longer 1026 01:06:02,300 --> 01:06:06,000 the the king cardio Specialists. We have a writing you a new 1027 01:06:06,000 --> 01:06:08,100 entrant into the competition. They're used to carry. 1028 01:06:08,100 --> 01:06:13,400 Do a prince. No yeah so And you had an 1029 01:06:13,400 --> 01:06:17,100 interesting tweet. Do I think was last night or the 1030 01:06:17,107 --> 01:06:21,800 night before that, if anybody's Victory lap and gave David, they 1031 01:06:21,800 --> 01:06:27,600 need to be at what may can die a me Brown as the number one, 1032 01:06:27,600 --> 01:06:33,000 waiver wire pick up ya fantasy and, you know, somewhat 1033 01:06:34,000 --> 01:06:37,000 sarcastic, but I think there is an ounce of Truth to that. 1034 01:06:39,000 --> 01:06:42,200 That gave Davis still didn't earn targets. 1035 01:06:42,600 --> 01:06:47,600 Last week, really, he's running all the routes. 1036 01:06:48,500 --> 01:06:51,900 Look, I think what's interesting about gave Davis is I don't 1037 01:06:51,900 --> 01:06:55,800 think we should penalize him for the fact that he's running all 1038 01:06:55,800 --> 01:06:58,200 the, all the routes and also on that offense. 1039 01:06:58,200 --> 01:07:02,400 It's a lot of deep routes that are going to have a low rate. 1040 01:07:02,700 --> 01:07:05,600 I guess a low Target rate, just inherently there, deep, sort of 1041 01:07:05,600 --> 01:07:08,300 clear out routes and he's on the field all the time. 1042 01:07:08,300 --> 01:07:10,700 They must like his blocking. They want to have them out there 1043 01:07:10,700 --> 01:07:12,500 all the time. So I don't think you Be 1044 01:07:12,500 --> 01:07:15,400 penalized for that. And I think that's a little bit 1045 01:07:15,400 --> 01:07:18,400 of why like we saw. We see him so far left in this 1046 01:07:18,400 --> 01:07:22,600 chart that maybe if he was running Les routes and just out 1047 01:07:22,600 --> 01:07:24,700 there, for more plays that were designed for him verse like, 1048 01:07:24,700 --> 01:07:26,900 clear out routes. He would actually show up a 1049 01:07:26,908 --> 01:07:30,100 little bit better here. But again, I think there is now 1050 01:07:30,100 --> 01:07:34,100 some truth that like, I don't think this give this gave Davis 1051 01:07:34,100 --> 01:07:38,400 roll, like is not really what it was sold. 1052 01:07:38,400 --> 01:07:42,200 As this offseason, I think people are a little bit Barry. 1053 01:07:43,000 --> 01:07:47,600 Their head in the sand on Gabe. Davis and it sounds ridiculous 1054 01:07:47,600 --> 01:07:51,800 to say after a 30-point fantasy game, that I think you should be 1055 01:07:51,800 --> 01:07:55,000 selling game Davis. I'll probably like eat those 1056 01:07:55,000 --> 01:08:00,600 words, but I think at his current price right now, where's 1057 01:08:00,600 --> 01:08:03,300 he going? Pick 38 in the best of all 1058 01:08:03,300 --> 01:08:07,000 Resurrection. Like I'm still just passing on 1059 01:08:07,000 --> 01:08:09,500 in there. Almost every single time when I 1060 01:08:09,508 --> 01:08:12,200 can get DK, Metcalfe, Marquis Brown. 1061 01:08:12,300 --> 01:08:15,900 Chris olave Amari Cooper Courtland Sutton Chris Godwin 1062 01:08:15,900 --> 01:08:21,600 Cristian Kirk you know everybody after him is like in this strong 1063 01:08:21,600 --> 01:08:23,800 it's all these strong performers on the right-hand side of this 1064 01:08:23,800 --> 01:08:27,000 chart, these guys that are earning massive roles and then 1065 01:08:27,000 --> 01:08:31,200 you have Gabe Davis, you know, earning four to five targets a 1066 01:08:31,200 --> 01:08:34,600 game and just like, connecting on deep touchdowns. 1067 01:08:34,600 --> 01:08:37,300 So I don't know. I'm always choosing the guys 1068 01:08:37,300 --> 01:08:42,200 that are earning more Targets in the more sustainable side, but 1069 01:08:42,300 --> 01:08:45,700 We'll see if Gabe. Davis makes me makes me eat my 1070 01:08:45,700 --> 01:08:47,600 words in. What do you think about the 1071 01:08:47,600 --> 01:08:55,000 game, David situation? And so, it's pretty. 1072 01:08:55,200 --> 01:09:00,600 I guess it's pretty tough. When I look at his way to Target 1073 01:09:00,600 --> 01:09:03,300 for, at run lost. Sorry. 1074 01:09:03,600 --> 01:09:11,700 I look at his way to targets per run last year and I see 55% And 1075 01:09:12,399 --> 01:09:17,500 Which is higher than a hot like, almost double what we've got for 1076 01:09:17,500 --> 01:09:20,200 this year. And so that that's using Road of 1077 01:09:20,200 --> 01:09:30,200 is and then last week doesn't have a World of is not updated 1078 01:09:30,200 --> 01:09:33,100 yet. And this year looks to be around 1079 01:09:33,100 --> 01:09:36,700 25% ish. Just for this year. 1080 01:09:36,899 --> 01:09:43,700 I don't know about last week, though, and yeah, I last week 1081 01:09:43,700 --> 01:09:50,300 made me believe the ankle injury taking a little bit more and yes 1082 01:09:50,399 --> 01:09:57,200 that and the turkey if probably not going to score 30 points 1083 01:09:57,200 --> 01:10:03,200 every week and probably is a little bit expensive, probably a 1084 01:10:03,200 --> 01:10:11,400 little bit pricey and but just the I guess major downfield role 1085 01:10:11,400 --> 01:10:14,300 for Josh. Allen means that this kind of 1086 01:10:14,300 --> 01:10:18,000 Turning Point week is going to be so within his range of 1087 01:10:18,000 --> 01:10:22,200 outcomes every game Stop it, it makes it. 1088 01:10:22,200 --> 01:10:26,900 He seems like a very difficult fade and but I definitely 1089 01:10:26,900 --> 01:10:33,000 understand why other players would be prepared and in that 1090 01:10:33,000 --> 01:10:41,100 range just because we even if you ignore the ankle injury 1091 01:10:41,200 --> 01:10:46,100 thing for a minute, he does seem to have put up games where he 1092 01:10:46,100 --> 01:10:51,700 just hasn't scored at all. Yeah, but that's a bit of risk 1093 01:10:51,700 --> 01:10:55,400 that he probably don't usually want to pay at that kind of 1094 01:10:55,400 --> 01:10:59,300 price for her. Yeah, I'm with you. 1095 01:10:59,300 --> 01:11:03,000 It's like if he was 20 pics later, I'd be like totally fine. 1096 01:11:03,000 --> 01:11:04,800 You're getting the bills. Deep threat. 1097 01:11:05,900 --> 01:11:09,800 He's going to have these massive blow-up games, but Yeah. 1098 01:11:09,900 --> 01:11:13,900 You're you're giving up all these sort of elite Target 1099 01:11:13,900 --> 01:11:17,200 earners that are discounted for whatever reason. 1100 01:11:17,200 --> 01:11:20,700 Like I think DK Metcalf is maybe one example, you know he's 1101 01:11:20,700 --> 01:11:23,800 scoring the same amount of fantasy points as Gabe Davis but 1102 01:11:23,800 --> 01:11:26,800 I think is doing it in a much more sustainable way. 1103 01:11:26,900 --> 01:11:30,100 And I think is ceiling is just as high if not higher on a 1104 01:11:30,108 --> 01:11:33,100 weekly basis than Gabe gave us, but we haven't seen it yet, but 1105 01:11:33,100 --> 01:11:37,500 he's also a big massive, dude, that runs a 4-3 attached to a 1106 01:11:37,508 --> 01:11:41,100 good offense on a off. It's highly concentrated like I 1107 01:11:41,100 --> 01:11:43,700 don't see why you would ever pick Gabe, Davis over Decay 1108 01:11:43,700 --> 01:11:45,300 Metcalf. And lastly, I guess maybe. 1109 01:11:45,300 --> 01:11:49,200 You took Josh Allen it. Pick one out for whatever it 1110 01:11:49,200 --> 01:11:49,900 just. Yeah. 1111 01:11:50,000 --> 01:11:51,600 I think I think that's a good point. 1112 01:11:52,000 --> 01:11:55,700 Yeah for sure. Yeah. 1113 01:11:56,200 --> 01:11:58,400 Okay. Maybe let's anybody else want to 1114 01:11:58,400 --> 01:12:01,600 hit on here before we move on to the next set of wide receivers 1115 01:12:02,000 --> 01:12:09,900 and not really know. And I think that That it'll be 1116 01:12:09,900 --> 01:12:13,900 interesting to check in, with run them around Ali at more next 1117 01:12:13,900 --> 01:12:18,000 week and but I think we're still collecting some data there. 1118 01:12:18,400 --> 01:12:19,300 Yep. Yeah. 1119 01:12:19,300 --> 01:12:22,300 Again just I think still just a good signal is running all the 1120 01:12:22,300 --> 01:12:25,500 routes quick, hit again. I still think the Steelers are 1121 01:12:25,500 --> 01:12:27,900 undervalued. We see Pickens deante Johnson, 1122 01:12:28,200 --> 01:12:30,700 both in the bile. Oh, I'm I'm still Believers in 1123 01:12:30,708 --> 01:12:33,500 those guys. Anyways, let's let's move on to 1124 01:12:33,500 --> 01:12:40,300 the more rotational wide receivers in the 65 to 85% of 1125 01:12:40,300 --> 01:12:46,100 routes run. So in this chart here, it's guys 1126 01:12:46,100 --> 01:12:50,900 that have close to full-time roles, like Tyree kill, Jaylen, 1127 01:12:50,900 --> 01:12:55,300 waddle, Etc, two guys that are just turning a little bit over 1128 01:12:55,300 --> 01:12:59,400 50% of their team snap so maybe more slot receivers. 1129 01:12:59,400 --> 01:13:03,400 But again, looking at the same Shart here. 1130 01:13:06,000 --> 01:13:09,700 Draco. I think again we've talked about 1131 01:13:09,700 --> 01:13:14,500 a lot of these guys in the past. So don't want to write guys too 1132 01:13:14,500 --> 01:13:17,600 much. I think one kind of situation 1133 01:13:17,600 --> 01:13:19,300 that will be talked about a ton that is interesting. 1134 01:13:19,300 --> 01:13:25,800 Is the Giants Darius Slayton coming up here in the by low 1135 01:13:25,800 --> 01:13:29,500 category? Now assuming like this this is 1136 01:13:29,500 --> 01:13:33,300 all sort of contingent on one Dale and Tony remaining out and 1137 01:13:33,500 --> 01:13:37,400 who knows with those guys? But you think Slaton maybe in 1138 01:13:37,400 --> 01:13:39,600 your ffp seemed an event football guys. 1139 01:13:39,600 --> 01:13:42,400 Do you think he is an interesting ad this week? 1140 01:13:42,400 --> 01:13:45,800 He's a guy that we sort of like the talent profile in the past 1141 01:13:45,800 --> 01:13:50,100 when he was a rookie and he pops up here with a pretty big role. 1142 01:13:50,600 --> 01:13:53,500 Are you interested at all in Darius Layton? 1143 01:13:53,900 --> 01:13:59,700 And so gonna pick 2004 in the resurrection, huge value there 1144 01:14:00,300 --> 01:14:08,600 and you are the waiver guy and If I was to kind of gut, check 1145 01:14:08,600 --> 01:14:10,400 what I'd pay. Yeah. 1146 01:14:10,400 --> 01:14:14,300 Probably like 50 bucks. But yeah. 1147 01:14:14,300 --> 01:14:16,600 That seems about right on a team where you needed water Seaver. 1148 01:14:16,700 --> 01:14:17,600 Yeah. Right. 1149 01:14:17,700 --> 01:14:21,500 Yeah. Your weight where you need to 1150 01:14:21,508 --> 01:14:25,100 start someone next week? Seems like a good dad. 1151 01:14:26,200 --> 01:14:29,400 Good pic? Yeah, yeah, I think I think is 1152 01:14:29,400 --> 01:14:31,600 interesting in a guy that will go under the radar just because 1153 01:14:31,600 --> 01:14:34,600 yeah, top just talked about it but I think the talent profile 1154 01:14:34,600 --> 01:14:37,700 is interesting. He's just kind of never he's 1155 01:14:37,700 --> 01:14:40,500 been for whatever reason bench the past couple years after a 1156 01:14:40,500 --> 01:14:43,300 promising start to as a career. And now all of a sudden there's 1157 01:14:43,300 --> 01:14:44,700 no other receivers left in the team. 1158 01:14:44,700 --> 01:14:48,800 So I would. Yeah speculative twenty to fifty 1159 01:14:48,800 --> 01:14:52,700 dollar a day, depending on how badly your team needs needs, 1160 01:14:52,700 --> 01:14:56,500 water receiver piece, but I think I think he's somewhat 1161 01:14:56,800 --> 01:15:01,800 somewhat interesting. Other guys here are pretty 1162 01:15:01,800 --> 01:15:04,400 obvious. We see, Stefon Diggs, Tyree 1163 01:15:04,400 --> 01:15:08,900 kill, Jill and waddle Amon-Ra even on a sort of down week. 1164 01:15:08,900 --> 01:15:13,400 Last week, still still showing up as strong performers. 1165 01:15:13,800 --> 01:15:16,100 I think the Chiefs, you know, we've talked about him a bunch, 1166 01:15:16,100 --> 01:15:20,900 but the Chiefs are interesting to talk about. 1167 01:15:20,900 --> 01:15:26,700 What's, what's your sort of pulse check on on Juju, after 1168 01:15:26,700 --> 01:15:29,300 last week's somewhat down. For months. 1169 01:15:29,300 --> 01:15:31,700 I believe he earned eight targets, only converted that 1170 01:15:31,700 --> 01:15:35,100 into three for 30, something in that range. 1171 01:15:36,000 --> 01:15:42,500 And if you are Updating your by Asian art, maybe I'm said that 1172 01:15:42,500 --> 01:15:45,600 wrong priors. I've only ever seen it written 1173 01:15:45,600 --> 01:15:52,300 down and if you're updating your priors and you think about when 1174 01:15:52,300 --> 01:15:57,000 you're coming into summer of like oh hey e, he was eater just 1175 01:15:57,000 --> 01:16:02,500 in a bad situation with the Steelers and he still got it and 1176 01:16:02,800 --> 01:16:06,700 he's going to do really well for kinds of city or what we saw 1177 01:16:06,700 --> 01:16:13,000 with the Steelers is that that's kind of who he is now. and, and 1178 01:16:13,600 --> 01:16:16,400 we need to be careful about overpaying for um, yeah. 1179 01:16:16,700 --> 01:16:19,100 I think that that the evidence has been pretty strongly in 1180 01:16:19,100 --> 01:16:23,400 favor of like, yeah, it looks like that the information that 1181 01:16:23,400 --> 01:16:27,900 we got of him playing pearly for the Steelers was it was solid 1182 01:16:27,900 --> 01:16:33,500 info and am. Yeah, he is. 1183 01:16:33,500 --> 01:16:36,900 He does seem to be just the guy who ran a router and targets for 1184 01:16:37,900 --> 01:16:40,300 our. Maybe not even Aaron and targets 1185 01:16:40,400 --> 01:16:48,300 and get ping targets from a homes and The fact that Kelsey 1186 01:16:48,300 --> 01:16:52,000 is smashing so hard right now that I know you only had the 1187 01:16:52,000 --> 01:16:55,000 small many yards. We had put, he's been following 1188 01:16:55,000 --> 01:16:58,100 this year. I think that's only really 1189 01:16:58,100 --> 01:17:03,700 possible because the there other wide receivers are not playing 1190 01:17:03,700 --> 01:17:08,100 well Yeah, I mean yeah we've seen this especially in the red 1191 01:17:08,100 --> 01:17:11,700 zone and I think you know, sometimes in fantasy we talked 1192 01:17:11,700 --> 01:17:15,200 about touchdowns and sort of noise, but I think there's very 1193 01:17:15,200 --> 01:17:18,800 systemic things touchdowns to we see in the Red Zone, Casey wants 1194 01:17:18,800 --> 01:17:21,100 to get the running backs and their tight ends heavily 1195 01:17:21,100 --> 01:17:22,800 involved. It's not just Kelsey there, you 1196 01:17:22,800 --> 01:17:26,200 know, there's been goal, line Looks to Fordson, gray, Etc, and 1197 01:17:26,200 --> 01:17:29,200 then running backs CH has a big red zone rule, that's sort of 1198 01:17:29,200 --> 01:17:31,900 propped. Up his value, we've seen Pacheco 1199 01:17:31,900 --> 01:17:33,500 and weekend and a little bit in the red zone to you. 1200 01:17:33,500 --> 01:17:36,800 They're just there an offense. That's not involving the wide 1201 01:17:36,800 --> 01:17:41,300 receivers at all in the red zone and for guy like Juju who it 1202 01:17:41,300 --> 01:17:43,800 doesn't seem like it is like profile anymore. 1203 01:17:43,800 --> 01:17:49,000 We have the Breakaway Ron or deep-ass, I'm kind of like 1204 01:17:49,200 --> 01:17:51,800 concern, he's not really going to score touchdowns. 1205 01:17:52,000 --> 01:17:55,900 He maybe has some kind of PPR floor because he is earning, you 1206 01:17:55,900 --> 01:17:58,500 know, he still earning more targets than the other wide 1207 01:17:58,500 --> 01:18:03,000 receivers in the team. But it's It's not very exciting 1208 01:18:03,000 --> 01:18:06,800 and he's probably a guy, I'm fading even a, you know, 1209 01:18:06,800 --> 01:18:11,800 discounted price of pick nine or a TI-83 right now. 1210 01:18:11,800 --> 01:18:13,800 I just I don't really see the upside. 1211 01:18:14,200 --> 01:18:20,300 I think you can, you can make better picks there with Juju and 1212 01:18:20,300 --> 01:18:27,200 yeah, I agree. And so I joke I joke that 1213 01:18:27,200 --> 01:18:30,800 offline a bit about not turning this into a an extension of 1214 01:18:30,800 --> 01:18:34,600 Wagar waiver wire rack argument such discussions. 1215 01:18:35,200 --> 01:18:41,500 Do you think that at the fact that Juju and mvs have been kind 1216 01:18:41,500 --> 01:18:45,200 of just bodies? You think that that makes the 1217 01:18:46,600 --> 01:18:50,100 situation more exciting for a guy like Sky more? 1218 01:18:50,500 --> 01:18:53,800 Or is it kind of like an indictment that he's at? 1219 01:18:53,800 --> 01:18:55,000 He's not earning. Yeah. 1220 01:18:55,400 --> 01:18:57,600 He's not getting in on the field, over these guys. 1221 01:18:58,300 --> 01:19:03,400 Yeah, that's a good question. I'm going to quickly pull up. 1222 01:19:03,400 --> 01:19:09,300 So he again, very small simple. I think just 32 routes on the 1223 01:19:09,300 --> 01:19:14,900 season for Sky more. He has a 57%, waited, targets 1224 01:19:15,000 --> 01:19:17,700 per route run. So, you know, if he was in this 1225 01:19:17,700 --> 01:19:22,000 chart here, he would be like, kind of close to the Burke's, 1226 01:19:22,100 --> 01:19:25,200 you know, the Brooks range in terms of which are it's her out 1227 01:19:25,200 --> 01:19:27,300 on. That's your question. 1228 01:19:28,000 --> 01:19:39,500 I think it's interesting, but I, you know, I think that it makes 1229 01:19:39,500 --> 01:19:43,400 its car more is like on waivers in your league, you should 1230 01:19:43,400 --> 01:19:47,200 definitely pick them up because if he you know, if he does burn 1231 01:19:47,200 --> 01:19:50,500 somewhat of a full-time role, he definitely profiles better than 1232 01:19:50,500 --> 01:19:54,600 mvs in Juju. I think there's like two things 1233 01:19:55,000 --> 01:19:58,000 going on there. I think sometimes when guys have 1234 01:19:58,000 --> 01:20:03,000 a very small route percentage, you can see them being in the 1235 01:20:03,008 --> 01:20:05,300 game specifically for skiing touches. 1236 01:20:05,800 --> 01:20:09,000 I haven't seen that Like to be the case necessarily with Sky, I 1237 01:20:09,008 --> 01:20:11,500 haven't seen like jet sweeps. Those types of things. 1238 01:20:11,500 --> 01:20:13,900 Like I think he is earning some legitimate targets down the 1239 01:20:13,907 --> 01:20:16,900 field. So you know, I think maybe that 1240 01:20:16,900 --> 01:20:21,400 that Target rate is somewhat inflated by that but doesn't 1241 01:20:21,400 --> 01:20:25,900 explain the whole story. And then number two, again just 1242 01:20:25,900 --> 01:20:30,500 back to the, the Kelsey point, I think this is an offense where 1243 01:20:31,100 --> 01:20:33,700 like we look at all these water, severs underperforming and were 1244 01:20:33,700 --> 01:20:36,500 like somebody has turned targets like what are we missing one of 1245 01:20:36,508 --> 01:20:38,100 these Waters? Has to be good. 1246 01:20:38,300 --> 01:20:42,400 And I think sometimes the answer is just it's Travis Kelce is the 1247 01:20:42,400 --> 01:20:45,400 water receiver on the team. So I think I fell into that trap 1248 01:20:45,400 --> 01:20:47,700 a little bit. This offseason when I was like 1249 01:20:47,700 --> 01:20:50,200 one of these guys has to hit. I'm gonna draft some Juju, I'm 1250 01:20:50,200 --> 01:20:52,000 gonna drop some a cold, their drafts in the sky. 1251 01:20:52,000 --> 01:20:55,600 I'm gonna draft Man vs and like there are paths where they all 1252 01:20:55,600 --> 01:21:00,500 fail and that looks like the most likely path right now. 1253 01:21:00,500 --> 01:21:05,200 So that's a lot of words to say that like You know, when skies 1254 01:21:05,200 --> 01:21:08,500 free on waivers, think he's a good pickup but my base case is 1255 01:21:08,500 --> 01:21:10,900 sumption is still that he's not going to be, you know, 1256 01:21:10,900 --> 01:21:14,400 irrelevant guy down down the stretch for Fantasy. 1257 01:21:15,300 --> 01:21:16,800 But the upside, you know the upsides. 1258 01:21:16,800 --> 01:21:18,300 They're like you should Adam. He's available. 1259 01:21:21,400 --> 01:21:26,400 Now Dad? Yeah makes sense and it is nice 1260 01:21:26,400 --> 01:21:30,100 to see that. I guess he's up to 29% Rapture 1261 01:21:30,200 --> 01:21:38,900 now and but Yeah. And he what you would definitely 1262 01:21:38,900 --> 01:21:42,500 want to see at some point, start to beat out some of these 1263 01:21:42,500 --> 01:21:45,000 struggling veterans. Yeah. 1264 01:21:45,500 --> 01:21:48,200 And there's still like, you know, Watson is just an awesome 1265 01:21:48,200 --> 01:21:50,500 still getting some staffs or Coastal getting some snaps. 1266 01:21:50,500 --> 01:21:53,600 Oh, yeah. What we will see, I think he 1267 01:21:53,600 --> 01:21:57,200 will like to learn more snaps throughout the year but like how 1268 01:21:57,200 --> 01:21:59,900 much how big of a role that ends up being? 1269 01:21:59,900 --> 01:22:03,700 I think he might need an injury to McColl or mvs and more of 1270 01:22:03,700 --> 01:22:06,800 these guys to really I heard a big enough share that. 1271 01:22:06,800 --> 01:22:10,100 That means something. Let's finish off the wide 1272 01:22:10,100 --> 01:22:14,400 receivers here. I don't think I only had one 1273 01:22:14,400 --> 01:22:18,400 point on this. This last chart Draco which was 1274 01:22:18,400 --> 01:22:22,100 Alec, Alec Pierce. I think from a waivers 1275 01:22:22,100 --> 01:22:25,000 perspective and also that's all Resurrection perspective. 1276 01:22:25,000 --> 01:22:28,000 I think is interesting second-round draft Capital, we 1277 01:22:28,000 --> 01:22:31,900 see him go 8480. One last week out, Target 1278 01:22:31,900 --> 01:22:34,300 Michael. Pittman he actually has a higher 1279 01:22:34,300 --> 01:22:40,100 waited targets for Trout Run then Pittman I believe yes 1280 01:22:40,100 --> 01:22:42,400 slightly slightly higher than Pittman going back to the last 1281 01:22:42,400 --> 01:22:45,600 chart. So I think there's a 1282 01:22:45,600 --> 01:22:47,800 possibility, it's a small sample but I think there's a 1283 01:22:47,808 --> 01:22:54,100 possibility that he earns a full role and Isis, Paris, Campbell, 1284 01:22:54,400 --> 01:22:58,500 and sort of matches, Pittman and targets and opportunity. 1285 01:22:58,700 --> 01:23:03,300 So, for a guy that's probably on waivers in a lot of leagues and 1286 01:23:03,500 --> 01:23:05,200 free basically in the best world. 1287 01:23:05,400 --> 01:23:10,500 And I think he is an interesting guy to Target trying to find 1288 01:23:10,500 --> 01:23:12,800 this price right now. And that's why Resurrection, I 1289 01:23:12,808 --> 01:23:17,000 think it's quite low. I'll pick 126. 1290 01:23:17,000 --> 01:23:22,400 Okay, actually not not free. Yeah II think that's one of 1291 01:23:22,400 --> 01:23:26,900 those situations where the, the price changes, how you feel 1292 01:23:26,900 --> 01:23:30,600 about the situation and say you're interested in the late 1293 01:23:30,600 --> 01:23:33,100 round, but I don't think you are interested in tenth run, right? 1294 01:23:33,100 --> 01:23:37,100 Or do ya now 126? I Kind of asleep at the wheel. 1295 01:23:37,100 --> 01:23:39,100 There didn't think the market would catch up that quickly, but 1296 01:23:39,100 --> 01:23:41,300 maybe this is, this is more, maybe a point for. 1297 01:23:42,500 --> 01:23:46,500 I think even in some Main Events, you'll see Alec Pierce 1298 01:23:46,500 --> 01:23:48,900 available in the way of waiver wire and certainly in casual 1299 01:23:48,900 --> 01:23:52,300 leagues he's worth a pickup but yeah that's all Resurrection 1300 01:23:52,300 --> 01:23:55,200 actually would not endorse that price of 126. 1301 01:23:55,900 --> 01:24:00,200 I think it's interesting it on an overall point of we see these 1302 01:24:00,200 --> 01:24:05,900 guys with the low row percentages that obviously, you 1303 01:24:05,900 --> 01:24:08,800 want to exclude Chris Godwin because coming back from injury, 1304 01:24:09,700 --> 01:24:13,800 they almost all have this kind of like not playing very well 1305 01:24:14,600 --> 01:24:21,200 and I don't want statistic profile of like, you've got 1306 01:24:21,200 --> 01:24:26,900 David Bell, you've got AJ Green, Chris Murr, just a lot of guys 1307 01:24:26,900 --> 01:24:32,100 that when they do go out there that they're, I guess, running 1308 01:24:32,100 --> 01:24:35,300 wind Sprints, it makes sense, right? 1309 01:24:35,300 --> 01:24:38,200 If they're not stealing seeing the field, they get out there 1310 01:24:38,200 --> 01:24:42,000 and they're they're bad, but yeah, yeah, I agree with that 1311 01:24:42,000 --> 01:24:44,000 point. It's kind of what you'd expect 1312 01:24:44,800 --> 01:24:46,500 final quick. It's on this chart Art 1313 01:24:46,800 --> 01:24:49,900 Mackenzie, I think Isaiah McKenzie, we saw Shakir perform 1314 01:24:49,900 --> 01:24:52,300 well in that slot role in Buffalo. 1315 01:24:52,500 --> 01:24:56,600 I think Mackenzie is sort of a priority at anywhere where he's 1316 01:24:56,600 --> 01:24:59,000 available. I think that role is pretty 1317 01:24:59,000 --> 01:25:03,000 exciting and made this point before but I think Julio is now 1318 01:25:03,000 --> 01:25:07,600 just sort of a contingent bet. I think the team is looking to 1319 01:25:07,600 --> 01:25:13,200 rest him until the playoffs it seems, or maybe when they need 1320 01:25:13,200 --> 01:25:15,100 him, if Evans Our God, when it goes down. 1321 01:25:15,100 --> 01:25:18,800 So He's probably doesn't have Standalone. 1322 01:25:18,800 --> 01:25:21,200 He's a better. I think, actually like managed 1323 01:25:21,200 --> 01:25:25,800 then than best ball pick almost where you probably will know 1324 01:25:26,100 --> 01:25:29,800 when to start him but he's not going to provide much Standalone 1325 01:25:29,800 --> 01:25:33,800 value. Yeah, let's move on to tie 1326 01:25:33,800 --> 01:25:35,500 downs. We don't need to spend time 1327 01:25:35,500 --> 01:25:38,900 discussing Quinta cephas and trencher feel, don't think? 1328 01:25:39,900 --> 01:25:44,400 Let's talk about Kate, Upton and said, yeah, okay, it on a on 1329 01:25:44,400 --> 01:25:47,300 this chart so we're in business there with that. 1330 01:25:48,800 --> 01:25:52,100 Yeah, I could, let's break down this truck quickly before we get 1331 01:25:52,108 --> 01:25:55,500 into the exciting K Dot and discussion for tight ends were 1332 01:25:55,508 --> 01:25:58,900 looking at utilization and efficiency here, starting with 1333 01:25:58,900 --> 01:26:01,500 the tight ends that have more than 60% of routes run. 1334 01:26:02,200 --> 01:26:03,800 So this chart here is pretty simple. 1335 01:26:04,100 --> 01:26:06,500 We're just looking at the percent of Team drawbacks and 1336 01:26:06,500 --> 01:26:11,400 then how many routes It's or what percentage of Team 1337 01:26:11,400 --> 01:26:13,300 drawbacks are these Titans running a route. 1338 01:26:13,300 --> 01:26:14,700 What percentage of the team drawbacks? 1339 01:26:14,700 --> 01:26:16,400 Are? They pass blocking? 1340 01:26:16,600 --> 01:26:19,700 This gives us a view of the tight ends that have the biggest 1341 01:26:19,700 --> 01:26:23,300 past game rolls on their offenses, on the bottom here. 1342 01:26:23,300 --> 01:26:26,900 We also have targets for Route, run, and average depth of 1343 01:26:26,900 --> 01:26:30,100 Target. So you can see which waters 1344 01:26:30,100 --> 01:26:31,700 herbs, right? Which tight ends are being used, 1345 01:26:31,700 --> 01:26:34,400 more like water, severs, earning high amounts of targets, 1346 01:26:34,500 --> 01:26:37,300 learning targets, downfield, verse the guys that are being 1347 01:26:37,300 --> 01:26:42,200 used as sort of more dump off, Off traditional tight ends that, 1348 01:26:42,200 --> 01:26:46,200 You Know, Cee-Lo, a dots and don't see many many targets. 1349 01:26:46,200 --> 01:26:47,600 So that's the idea behind this chart. 1350 01:26:48,800 --> 01:26:52,500 You're going anywhere. You wanted to start here before 1351 01:26:52,500 --> 01:26:55,900 we get to Decay Dalton. Yeah. 1352 01:26:56,800 --> 01:27:00,800 And the thing that struck me straight away is that. 1353 01:27:00,800 --> 01:27:04,300 So George kid'll, Ford and Route share. 1354 01:27:04,300 --> 01:27:09,600 I think probably say this every week and there's almost at the 1355 01:27:09,700 --> 01:27:14,300 grumbling about the pass blocking, but still for it and 1356 01:27:14,300 --> 01:27:17,300 Route. Share as probably would like to 1357 01:27:17,300 --> 01:27:19,100 see. Hi Higher ed targets for 1358 01:27:19,100 --> 01:27:24,700 everyone and 16% and but I would expect to see that and over full 1359 01:27:24,700 --> 01:27:30,100 season and so like you said earlier still buying and George 1360 01:27:30,100 --> 01:27:31,800 kidding. Yeah I'm just Martingale and 1361 01:27:31,800 --> 01:27:34,300 George Kittle until until I go bankrupt. 1362 01:27:34,300 --> 01:27:36,800 That's been my fantasy strategy for the past couple years. 1363 01:27:36,800 --> 01:27:40,100 I don't see any reason why I should stop exactly tree point 1364 01:27:40,100 --> 01:27:42,500 for. I mean EZ game. 1365 01:27:42,800 --> 01:27:46,100 Yeah. Yeah I think another thing to 1366 01:27:46,100 --> 01:27:49,400 jump in here tighten the tie Higbee thing is interesting. 1367 01:27:49,700 --> 01:27:53,500 You see, 25% targets for Route run, so he's running, he's 1368 01:27:53,500 --> 01:27:57,900 learning a ton of targets on his routes, but as a taut is 3.4, I 1369 01:27:57,900 --> 01:28:00,500 kind of see this more than anything that a symptom that 1370 01:28:00,500 --> 01:28:03,900 it's a symptom, that the Rams offense is broken. 1371 01:28:04,100 --> 01:28:08,100 If on, you know, nearly he's running, nearly a full set of 1372 01:28:08,100 --> 01:28:10,400 Route. So kind of close to a quarter, a 1373 01:28:10,400 --> 01:28:13,700 fifth of the Rams pass plays right now. 1374 01:28:13,900 --> 01:28:17,300 Are three are dumped off stew. Tyler higbee. 1375 01:28:18,200 --> 01:28:21,100 That's not gonna work. And you've seen the Rams really 1376 01:28:21,100 --> 01:28:24,900 struggle for the past couple weeks, so I don't know as much 1377 01:28:24,900 --> 01:28:26,700 as this sort of PPR cheat code for Tyler. 1378 01:28:26,700 --> 01:28:30,000 Higbee, like you should be happy where you draft him at, pick 1379 01:28:30,000 --> 01:28:33,200 160. I am not really interested in 1380 01:28:33,200 --> 01:28:37,500 taking him. Where's price has risen up in to 1381 01:28:37,500 --> 01:28:40,900 pick 82 in the best while Resurrection because I think the 1382 01:28:40,900 --> 01:28:43,000 Rams are going to figure something out. 1383 01:28:43,000 --> 01:28:45,800 I don't know if it's fan Jefferson coming back. 1384 01:28:45,900 --> 01:28:48,300 He gets more involved. I don't know if it's Signing 1385 01:28:48,300 --> 01:28:52,200 Odell, or will Fuller or something, but this offense is 1386 01:28:52,200 --> 01:28:55,100 like systemically broken right now and I don't I don't see this 1387 01:28:55,100 --> 01:28:59,200 Tyler higbee, roll, really holding strong because it's it's 1388 01:28:59,200 --> 01:29:02,100 just a, it's a dumb rule. It's a dumb way to run your 1389 01:29:02,100 --> 01:29:06,600 offense. So, yeah, it's interesting 1390 01:29:06,600 --> 01:29:11,700 though, it's one of those things where the people, that, who are 1391 01:29:11,700 --> 01:29:15,700 the analysts who look pretty cheap tight ends, one of the 1392 01:29:15,700 --> 01:29:19,900 major, one of the main kind of routes, It's that they use is to 1393 01:29:19,900 --> 01:29:22,800 find the guy who's gone to just be out there running every 1394 01:29:22,800 --> 01:29:27,600 route. Almost a get participation 1395 01:29:27,600 --> 01:29:34,600 trophy points and I mean, Tyler higbee is that guy and yeah, 1396 01:29:34,600 --> 01:29:36,700 super shot. If you draft him at pick 160 1397 01:29:36,700 --> 01:29:38,900 this offseason or whatever like that, that's a sharp pick. 1398 01:29:38,900 --> 01:29:41,700 But now I'm not I'm not paying up for it anymore. 1399 01:29:41,700 --> 01:29:47,700 Like yeah, right and it's one of its one of those pics. 1400 01:29:47,900 --> 01:29:51,500 Where are you in most scenarios? You're probably fine taking them 1401 01:29:52,200 --> 01:29:54,600 and like it's not going to lose you. 1402 01:29:55,000 --> 01:29:59,600 It's not going to mean your team loses but it's it is very hard 1403 01:29:59,600 --> 01:30:01,700 for me to see these. Like oh, you come into the 1404 01:30:01,700 --> 01:30:07,200 playoffs and tar higbee's catches treat touchdowns, and 1405 01:30:07,200 --> 01:30:10,200 and that wins you that went your league or tournament. 1406 01:30:11,400 --> 01:30:14,200 It's I don't see him being the guy who does that. 1407 01:30:14,400 --> 01:30:20,300 I'm not saying that it's impossible but and I think I 1408 01:30:20,300 --> 01:30:23,400 just give me yours kiddo. If you give me a choice between 1409 01:30:23,400 --> 01:30:27,100 kiddo and higbee, it's very easily kiddo. 1410 01:30:28,900 --> 01:30:31,400 Yeah. Yeah not even not even close for 1411 01:30:31,400 --> 01:30:35,700 me either. Yeah, I think a lot of these 1412 01:30:35,700 --> 01:30:39,700 guys we've already hit on a lot. I think we do like was a bit of 1413 01:30:39,700 --> 01:30:43,600 a joke but the K Dot and thing we should talk about can braid 1414 01:30:43,600 --> 01:30:46,100 was injured. Yeah, we have, we have to do. 1415 01:30:46,100 --> 01:30:48,500 I'm legally obligated to talk about Kate. 1416 01:30:48,500 --> 01:30:51,100 Arden, it was in my statues in contract. 1417 01:30:52,500 --> 01:30:56,700 He, he ran. I think all the routes last 1418 01:30:56,700 --> 01:30:58,400 week. I think. 1419 01:30:58,600 --> 01:31:03,300 Only two games of data for him, which is why he appears here on 1420 01:31:03,300 --> 01:31:04,700 this chart. But anyways you've made all the 1421 01:31:04,700 --> 01:31:07,200 routes with can braid having a concussion. 1422 01:31:07,800 --> 01:31:12,100 I would I get this is a tight end premium managed League take 1423 01:31:12,100 --> 01:31:16,900 but I would look for a cheap. Add on the wire for Kate Austen, 1424 01:31:16,900 --> 01:31:21,700 we saw cambree in that role. Not really do anything and 1425 01:31:21,700 --> 01:31:25,500 Caitlin didn't necessarily Flash in a big way but it could be a 1426 01:31:25,500 --> 01:31:28,400 situation where next week braid is still out. 1427 01:31:28,500 --> 01:31:31,800 Owens running all the routes and he pops up for, you know, five 1428 01:31:31,800 --> 01:31:34,900 catches and a touchdown. And I just want to make that add 1429 01:31:34,900 --> 01:31:37,600 one week or the early, rather than one week, too late if 1430 01:31:37,600 --> 01:31:40,500 you're sort of desperate for tight at any time that's running 1431 01:31:40,500 --> 01:31:43,600 all the routes, should be should be owned and especially if he's 1432 01:31:43,600 --> 01:31:48,200 on, you know, connected to Tom Brady, he's he is worth a cheap, 1433 01:31:48,200 --> 01:31:52,800 add any other tight end takes before we get into the backup, 1434 01:31:53,100 --> 01:32:03,500 the backup tight end, takes and any tight intakes and I mean, 1435 01:32:04,600 --> 01:32:07,900 the most obvious thing to me is that you really got. 1436 01:32:08,000 --> 01:32:10,100 You got your mark on Drew Travis Kelce. 1437 01:32:10,400 --> 01:32:15,300 It's not an original talk. But after you got your top guys, 1438 01:32:15,900 --> 01:32:22,200 it really is a Minefield and Hayden Hirsch been playing well, 1439 01:32:22,700 --> 01:32:28,300 15% targets per outrun not terrible for yard a DOT, not 1440 01:32:28,300 --> 01:32:35,000 great and And this is I guess it's a lot of players. 1441 01:32:35,000 --> 01:32:36,900 Here we go. Yeah that's fine. 1442 01:32:37,700 --> 01:32:42,800 Yeah yeah and I guess it just kind of underlines why you want 1443 01:32:42,800 --> 01:32:46,900 the elite guys. Yeah totally agreed. 1444 01:32:47,100 --> 01:32:50,500 I mean they're separating and such a massive way and that's 1445 01:32:50,500 --> 01:32:54,000 why you take this tabs on the elite tight ends like you know 1446 01:32:54,100 --> 01:32:58,300 we missed at least it looks like so far we missed on kidal pits 1447 01:32:58,300 --> 01:33:02,500 and Waller in sort of the The next range of guys, I have some 1448 01:33:02,500 --> 01:33:06,000 optimism that those guys will bounce back sort of different 1449 01:33:06,000 --> 01:33:09,600 levels often as, and for each. But, yeah, it's really Andrews 1450 01:33:09,600 --> 01:33:13,600 and Kelsey, and then, you know, Cole commit, running all the 1451 01:33:13,600 --> 01:33:18,100 routes and getting 11 percent Target. / route Runner. 1452 01:33:18,300 --> 01:33:24,400 I think that that's how Titan is similar to running back in that, 1453 01:33:24,500 --> 01:33:30,200 are they probably on an aggregate. 1454 01:33:30,400 --> 01:33:33,600 So they might go. Like, it might feel terrible to 1455 01:33:33,600 --> 01:33:37,100 picking one are early because or it might pick feel terrible. 1456 01:33:37,100 --> 01:33:40,200 Even picking down Waller as areas he went. 1457 01:33:40,500 --> 01:33:44,700 But it's really hard to predict who are the tight ends. 1458 01:33:44,700 --> 01:33:47,600 Whoo, who are the Earley tight ends, who are going to really 1459 01:33:47,600 --> 01:33:54,200 separate and and last year and Mark Andrews was going in that 1460 01:33:54,200 --> 01:33:59,500 range and he was the guy who crushed and yeah, but you just I 1461 01:33:59,500 --> 01:34:02,300 think he just To be systematically overweight, the 1462 01:34:02,300 --> 01:34:06,900 guys who could foreseeably have, they kind of Seasons that at 1463 01:34:07,000 --> 01:34:09,300 Andrews and kelsier happen. Yeah. 1464 01:34:10,000 --> 01:34:12,000 And some, yeah, I totally get that point. 1465 01:34:12,000 --> 01:34:15,400 Like, I don't think it was a bad process, pick to go with Waller 1466 01:34:15,400 --> 01:34:18,100 pits or Kettle, you know, specifically, on Waller. 1467 01:34:18,300 --> 01:34:20,300 He had the injury. That's, that's bad luck. 1468 01:34:20,300 --> 01:34:24,100 He also had these, he's had a pretty massive Red Zone role 1469 01:34:24,100 --> 01:34:25,800 this year. That hasn't been converted into 1470 01:34:25,800 --> 01:34:28,000 touchdowns. A lot of touchdowns go through 1471 01:34:28,000 --> 01:34:31,700 his hands or sort of big hits. And then Zone that I've brought 1472 01:34:31,700 --> 01:34:34,200 some balls free. So, you know, there's a world 1473 01:34:34,200 --> 01:34:37,200 where he doesn't get injured last week has a big game and 1474 01:34:37,200 --> 01:34:38,700 convert some of those touchdowns weeks. 1475 01:34:38,700 --> 01:34:42,000 One through four and you're excited about the pic but it 1476 01:34:42,000 --> 01:34:46,200 hasn't worked out that way. For whatever reason, let's 1477 01:34:46,200 --> 01:34:52,400 finish off here with the most exciting chart here the back up 1478 01:34:52,600 --> 01:34:54,800 tight and I'm going to look at my phone. 1479 01:34:54,800 --> 01:35:02,700 I'm Gonna Let You yeah I dropped out of the The stream last week 1480 01:35:02,800 --> 01:35:06,200 unintentionally, of course, to let trick of take us home. 1481 01:35:06,200 --> 01:35:11,100 But yeah, now the only things I wanted to highlight here Jesper 1482 01:35:11,100 --> 01:35:16,400 horse dead looks to be the Waller replacement Moreau was 1483 01:35:16,400 --> 01:35:19,700 also injured last week. So if he's active, I would 1484 01:35:19,700 --> 01:35:25,600 expect row over horse dead but horses ran a lot of the routes 1485 01:35:26,400 --> 01:35:30,200 with Waller out and Yeah again tight end. 1486 01:35:30,400 --> 01:35:32,800 Um take if you're scraping the bottom of the barrel for a 1487 01:35:32,800 --> 01:35:38,000 starter during the by weeks he probably is not a terrible add 1488 01:35:38,000 --> 01:35:43,600 if both Moreau and Waller are out and then the other one I 1489 01:35:43,608 --> 01:35:47,900 want to mention Peyton Hendershot looks like the 1490 01:35:48,300 --> 01:35:51,900 handcuffed to Schultz. I think he was scooped in a 1491 01:35:51,907 --> 01:35:56,600 decent bit of leagues already but Schultz reactivated the 1492 01:35:56,600 --> 01:36:00,200 injury and I think Schulz is kind of a system. 1493 01:36:00,300 --> 01:36:02,400 Died anyways. And if Peyton Henry, sharp 1494 01:36:02,400 --> 01:36:05,800 starts getting all those Schultz routes, I think he is pretty 1495 01:36:05,800 --> 01:36:10,000 interesting, monitor the news on, on Schultz injury there, but 1496 01:36:10,400 --> 01:36:15,300 that's another guy to watch. And yeah, I can't force myself 1497 01:36:15,300 --> 01:36:18,500 to come up with like, a Daniel Ballinger Tommy tremble. 1498 01:36:18,500 --> 01:36:19,900 Take. So might be time to end the 1499 01:36:19,907 --> 01:36:23,200 podcast. Yeah. 1500 01:36:23,300 --> 01:36:26,300 And we brought this right up into the wire. 1501 01:36:26,600 --> 01:36:32,100 Yeah, Pete would be mad if we If we force that clip top shuttle, 1502 01:36:32,100 --> 01:36:35,100 start late. So we are not going to do that, 1503 01:36:35,100 --> 01:36:37,100 we're going to finish out. Yeah. 1504 01:36:38,300 --> 01:36:39,900 So yeah, that'll do it this week. 1505 01:36:40,300 --> 01:36:42,600 Thanks for everyone who tuned in live. 1506 01:36:42,900 --> 01:36:48,200 And yeah, I will be for those of you in the ship chasing Discord, 1507 01:36:48,200 --> 01:36:51,500 I will be posting the charts there this week. 1508 01:36:51,700 --> 01:36:55,900 You can also check out my weekly thread on Twitter where I post 1509 01:36:55,900 --> 01:36:59,600 all these charts and give a breakdown and a little bit more. 1510 01:37:00,100 --> 01:37:03,400 Details for the action will takeaways that I see from the 1511 01:37:03,400 --> 01:37:06,800 last couple weeks of data. Draco. 1512 01:37:06,800 --> 01:37:09,900 Anything to plug before we wrap this up? 1513 01:37:10,400 --> 01:37:13,200 And no, nothing. Nothing that unusual. 1514 01:37:14,400 --> 01:37:23,300 Well, sounds good. All right, everybody. 1515 01:37:23,400 --> 01:37:27,800 We will see you next week. Good luck and week 6.