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All right, we are back for an 
annual series that we do here on

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the channel and the podcast 
feed. 

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It is of course the FFPC mini. 
So this is how we kick off high 

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stakes manage season. 
We always hop in an FFPC slow 

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draft and get on the horn here 
and talk through all of our 

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decisions in real time. 
So you can kind of get a peek 

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behind the curtain of how we 
kind of hash these things out. 

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I will admit all of us have have
been firmly in the best ball 

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streets up until this point, so 
this is going to be a really fun

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deduction to the high stakes ADP
landscape. 

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These videos are made available 
early for our YouTube members, 

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then the audio will end up on 
the podcast feed on delays. 

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But if you want to see the 
videos become a YouTube member 

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you can hop in the discord as 
well. 

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But I think that covers all the 
housekeeping. 

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Then Gretch Pat Crane, How we 
feeling about getting the main 

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event draft underway here? 
I'm feeling good. 

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Like it is funny, you know. 
We're doing this a little later 

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than usual, I think. 
And not crazy later, but I think

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normally we try to hop in the 
very first main, which didn't 

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end up working out with 
logistical stuff this year, but 

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you know, a little later. 
And I've done more drafts in my 

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entire this year than I've ever 
had my entire life probably put 

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together. 
And yet I feel like. 

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A. 
Little bit more behind like I 

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feel like I'm you know we we 
kind of had I had a better sense

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of the FFPC landscape last you 
know mid-july than I do. 

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Here in late July, Yeah. 
How are you feeling about it, 

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Gretch? 
Kind of. 

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Because I know this has been 
your first time getting to do a 

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bunch of early best ball stuff, 
too. 

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Are you ready to do the hard 
pivot to manage strategy? 

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I am. 
And that's like a big thing that

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I don't know, that I kind of 
wanna chat with you guys about 

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as we get going is that pivot 
and what it entails and what our

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goals are. 
It's I mean it's a lot different

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and I think I've come around big
time and best ball and learned a

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lot from you guys about not 
taking too hard of player 

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stances and the ways that that 
can play out in best ball and 

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especially over a massive 
portfolio that you want to get 

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some exposures to players even 
if like you're not you don't 

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like them. 
You know, you want to, you want 

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to be balanced. 
You want to, especially with the

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ways that we correlate in week 
17 and and and the stacks and 

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we, you know stack players on. 
That's been a harder thing for 

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me to come through, come around 
to in best ball, but in managed,

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I do feel like it's something 
that especially when you don't 

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have a ton of managed teams, I 
like to take my stances, I like 

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to, you know, I like to make my 
my plays on guys and so that's 

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something that I don't know, I'm
kind of curious you guys 

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thoughts on as well. 
I felt like it was something 

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that last year we maybe didn't 
do. 

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Like if if if we can be self 
critical that we didn't do a 

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great job on necessarily where 
we were more willing to let the 

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room give us stuff. 
And this is something I'm going 

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to write something about this 
this offseason. 

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But I feel like like I have this
this piece I'm going to write 

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that I'm going to title 
something like we're all sort of

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slaves to whatever worked for us
in the past or something like 

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that like. 
And so I had a team that 

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finished top 20 in FFPC main a 
few years back and it was very 

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much a team where I went out and
got guys that I wanted. 

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And so I have like a lot of 
success with that. 

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And I think that's part of why 
I'm biased that direction. 

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I'm not sure that it's the right
way, but it's sort of like what 

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I want. 
You know what I mean? 

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Yeah. 
And I agree with you. 

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I think the thing that I like, 
the idea being because we are 

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going to do a bunch of high 
stakes drafts this year, is like

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being flexible with the 
structures we use, but being 

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very intentional about like the 
players were selecting with 

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those structures. 
You know, like if we have an 

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early slot in FFPC in this 
draft, we're about to pull up, 

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we have the 1:11, so we're not 
going to have access to Travis 

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Kelsey. 
Travis Kelsey's off the board. 

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Then you can start to have some 
interesting conversations. 

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Do you want to prioritize an 
elite tight end in these first 

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few rounds or do we want to take
advantage of a cranking purple 

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strategy, you know, this year 
because there's so much. 

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But obviously if we have an 
early draft slot, like, I'm 

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completely open to a Travis 
Kelsey anchor elite tight end 

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build. 
So that's the thing too. 

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I'm kind of excited to let some 
of our draft slots, you know, 

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push us into different textures 
and styles of drafts, but still 

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be very dialed in on the type of
players we want to be heavy on 

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this year. 
Yeah, I would. 

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The one thing I'd say about 
getting our guys, I definitely 

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feel like in this first draft, 
one of the things that I've kind

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of fallen into as a trap is like
feeling like it's my only draft 

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of the entire highstakes season 
and being like, I got to get 

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this guy, I got to get this guy 
like 80 PB damned. 

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But we'll have chances to get 
some of our targets in other 

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drafts. 
At the same time. 

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I do agree with you Ben, that 
like I want to be building teams

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with players that. 
I feel like have the right 

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upside profiles for this, this 
format and this tournament. 

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You are trying to finish first 
out of a ton of people you know.

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It is a top heavy kind of payout
structure. 

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Advancing out of your league is 
important, but ultimately you 

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want to win the whole thing here
and I don't want to let the room

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just boxes into whatever kind of
middling architect of dude that 

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we don't really feel very good 
about, so. 

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Yeah, I kind of want a little 
bit of both where like as we sit

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here in the 11, I don't love 
this spot, but there's a couple 

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guys that I think, you know, I'm
going to be willing to like 

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reach on in this spot. 
Yeah. 

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So it kind of prioritizes those 
things. 

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We're obviously pretty aligned 
in a lot of what we think about.

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So we're we're definitely kind 
of picking nits and it's it's a 

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very limited like the 
application of this discussion 

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is very limited in terms of. 
Whether we might lean one way or

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another, but we're gonna be very
close, is what I'm getting at. 

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Yeah, I don't know. 
I want well, this is a 

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conversation more for the 3-4, 
the five, six turns, but I think

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and maybe in the six, seven 
turns, but I think we might have

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some disagreements on kind of 
who fits what architectures. 

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We have a lot of good 
discussions on those wide 

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receiver profiles I think as the
draft moves on. 

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But but I think we're aligned in
sort of what we're trying to do 

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and then to kind of swing back 
the other to Pat's point too is 

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one thing I've noticed and this 
goes back to even me saying I 

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like different structures is I I
want to say the couple years and

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maybe it was last year in the 
year before too. 

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Like we really like the idea of 
an anchor running back in an 

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elite tight end in rounds one 
and two and then like scoop up 

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all that wide receiver value 
like hammer it after that. 

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And then I always remember those
were when we got like you know 

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we're reaching to get that first
tight end because we had a lot 

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of late draft slots or we were 
reaching to take a guy like 

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Antonio Gibson. 
You know, because we're like, 

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yeah, he's our favorite of the 
remaining like bell cow and it 

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that fit that ideal structure 
that we wanted to do. 

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And that's where I want to kind 
of it's like let's utilize the 

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structure that makes most sense 
for our draft slot, but then 

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still be very, very picky with 
the players we're selecting. 

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I love that point too, because I
think you can still do an anchor

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running back or an anchor tight 
end this year in particular. 

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Yeah, in the 3rd and 4th and the
5th, like we can actually hit 

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dead zone running backs as an 
anchor or we can hit a tight end

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in those ranges as an anchor 
tight end. 

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So. 
It is a great year for that 

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exact point. 
Well, if you still want to be 

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anchored on those, So not really
a tight end from this half of 

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the board, This half of the 
board you kind of get one crack 

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at an elite tight end. 
Cuz look, basically if the ADP, 

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I'm looking at fancy Mojos ADP 
the last three days from the 

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Fantasy Pros Championship, which
I figured would have kind of 

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more drafts in the main event 
right now. 

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And it looks like you get 
Andrews kind of at the 1-2 turn.

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It's a little bit of a reach. 
He's got an ADP. 

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He's in the middle of the second
hold up here on screen to the 

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Roto based draft Draft grid 
here. 

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ADP grid. 
And then your odds of getting a 

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tight end, Yeah, cuz Hawkinson's
got an ADP of 304 kittles. 

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Kittle, Pitts and Waller are all
in the late 4th to mid 5th. 

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Got her as well in at the 5:06 
so like. 

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And I think there's a pretty big
tier break there. 

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Yeah, before Evan Ingram in the 
in the market reflects that. 

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So I I think it's kind of like 
Andrews or nothing as far as 

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elite tight ends go from the 
back half of the board in this 

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CDP environment. 
Well, I mean, you still get an 

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option at the 3-4 turn. 
I was gonna say like early 

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Waller and this kind of goes 
back to that thing, like how 

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much of A reach in this format 
is Kittler Pitts at 402 or 4/3? 

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I'd rather reach 3 picks for. 
Handers, then take a guy that's 

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401. 
Yeah, so it's like a half a 

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round for. 
It's like a full round for Pitt.

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Like, I think we'll probably get
pits in other drafts if he's 

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gonna stick at the end of the 
fourth round. 

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Yeah, the other potential answer
is to not take. 

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In a leak type when we're 
drafting in the 11th slot, I 

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think a guy like Pat Friarmuth 
is still pretty undervalued. 

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I'm looking at the 7-8 turn and 
saying wow, I mean if we had a 

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shot at him at 7:11, I would be 
very in on that pic. 

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JSN listed right next to him 
there. 

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So I'm sure the receivers there 
are still very interesting as 

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well. 
But yeah, it would change the 

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way we would approach that and 
it might be 1 where we crank it 

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purple later for sure. 
But the circle I I wanted to 

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circle all the way back a little
bit to the. 

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Player like targets versus like 
a DP discussion. 

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One of the things this is a 
really large tournament, right? 

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But one of the things I do want 
to shift our mind a little bit 

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and I don't know if I'm talking 
to you guys or talking to the 

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listeners more, but the best 
ball discussions that we have 

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and all the research that's done
in the big best ball tournament 

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formats, we have to keep in mind
that are hundreds of thousands 

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of entrants, right. 
And that's like a really extreme

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contest size, this contest still
very large. 

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I don't know the exact number of
entrants, but it's like sub 

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10,000, right? 
They're right around 10,000 

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maybe. 
I believe it's four. 

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Let me, let me go check here. 
I thought it was like 4200. 

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Yeah. 
I think it's sub 10,000, so a 

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lot smaller 10,000, yeah. 
Yeah, a lot, lot smaller. 

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I think a lot more flexibility 
in terms of like the lessons 

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that we've learned in Best Ball 
about being conscious about ADP,

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about getting good prices on 
stuff. 

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That's still very important. 
But this is a type of contest 

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where I so I go back to that. 
I mentioned that team that I did

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well in 2019, that happened to 
be a team that was drafted after

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the Thursday night game. 
Will Fuller played on the 

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Thursday night game. 
He was like a seventh round pick

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that year. 
We took him 4-10. 

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We had the 3rd pick, took him on
the fourth round to make sure we

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got his because he had a really 
good Thursday night game. 

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Took him really, really high, 
way higher than in context of 

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like basketball. 
We talked about a lot of people 

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got him in the seventh round way
higher than where everyone else 

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got him. 
He ended up getting suspended 

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late that year, but he was a 
really key piece throughout the 

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1st, 10 or 11 weeks to us like 
advancing. 

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Obviously he didn't end up being
a huge part of the the puzzle at

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the end, but it was interesting.
Like towards the end we didn't. 

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First of all we didn't even 
really need him as our fourth 

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round pick. 
We were still like live to win 

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going into the final week, but 
also that that price difference 

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compared to every other willful 
or drafter of like 3 rounds. 

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It it didn't really come into 
play big time for us again him 

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being suspended kind of makes 
this a tougher A tougher example

221
00:11:43,670 --> 00:11:46,910
but there are other players that
we we went and like reached for.

222
00:11:47,230 --> 00:11:50,950
It's just that like when you get
to the final round in the main 

223
00:11:50,950 --> 00:11:56,830
with sub 10,000 people, it is a 
more limited number of player of

224
00:11:56,830 --> 00:11:59,830
drafters and the and like. 
Especially with Manage, where 

225
00:11:59,830 --> 00:12:01,910
you can win on the waiver wire 
as well, right? 

226
00:12:02,030 --> 00:12:04,070
You can change up your roster on
the waiver wire. 

227
00:12:04,110 --> 00:12:06,310
There's a lot of you. 
Have to set your starting lineup

228
00:12:06,310 --> 00:12:11,950
as well so you know it can be 
like you might have the league 

229
00:12:11,950 --> 00:12:15,070
winner and not play them. 
And I will say too like one 

230
00:12:15,150 --> 00:12:17,790
shit, you know, Obviously we're 
all in the weeds on the week 17 

231
00:12:17,790 --> 00:12:19,430
correlations and stuff like 
that. 

232
00:12:19,430 --> 00:12:23,470
There is obviously a shift here.
Week 17 is not as important, but

233
00:12:23,470 --> 00:12:27,640
weeks 15 through 17 in the hole 
are very important, that Sprint.

234
00:12:27,640 --> 00:12:30,720
And you know, I've looked a lot 
too at like the best playoff 

235
00:12:30,720 --> 00:12:34,600
schedules, you know for for just
those weeks as well, looking at 

236
00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:36,800
who has the most Dome games. 
Part of why I was a little 

237
00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:39,160
spooked about like even the 
Patriot stuff is because they 

238
00:12:39,160 --> 00:12:41,920
play all these tough outdoor 
weather games, Weeks 15 through 

239
00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:43,280
17. 
So that's something I want to 

240
00:12:43,280 --> 00:12:44,960
make sure we have in the back of
our head too. 

241
00:12:45,120 --> 00:12:47,840
And the way I and I was talking 
about this with Pat on a best 

242
00:12:47,840 --> 00:12:50,600
ball breakfast of just like in 
an individual draft, you still 

243
00:12:50,600 --> 00:12:53,080
want to make the best possible 
pick if like Mac Jones for 

244
00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:55,120
whatever reason, I doubt it. 
But if for some reason he's the 

245
00:12:55,120 --> 00:12:57,640
best possible pick, But then 
thinking about it from a 

246
00:12:57,640 --> 00:13:01,400
portfolio perspective of like 
tilting your overall exposures 

247
00:13:01,640 --> 00:13:05,320
toward the teams that have the 
the better Sprint. 

248
00:13:05,320 --> 00:13:08,840
Because this is still incredibly
top heavy and you need to be 

249
00:13:08,840 --> 00:13:11,920
optimizing to have the best team
15 through 17. 

250
00:13:11,920 --> 00:13:13,480
So I do want to make sure we're 
thinking through those. 

251
00:13:13,560 --> 00:13:16,840
And I would say the bar is 
higher for how good your team 

252
00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:19,840
needs to be to take down a 
three-week Sprint. 

253
00:13:20,320 --> 00:13:23,040
Then to advance, advance and 
then win in the the final week, 

254
00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:24,440
right? 
Like you can squeak through, 

255
00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:27,640
squeak through, and then you're 
as live as anybody. 

256
00:13:27,880 --> 00:13:31,520
But if you kind of squeak 
through in weeks 15 and 16, 

257
00:13:31,960 --> 00:13:34,000
you're not very live. 
You might be blocked, you might 

258
00:13:34,000 --> 00:13:36,640
be dead to win the tournament at
that point. 

259
00:13:36,640 --> 00:13:40,360
So you need to put up a ton of 
points all three weeks to have a

260
00:13:40,360 --> 00:13:42,080
chance of finishing first in 
this tournament. 

261
00:13:42,080 --> 00:13:45,760
So it but at the same time 
advancing is more important in 

262
00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:48,420
the main event. 
Than in like best ball media, 

263
00:13:48,420 --> 00:13:49,780
you don't really win much if you
advance. 

264
00:13:49,780 --> 00:13:52,500
The best ball media you win. 
You win some prizes if you 

265
00:13:52,500 --> 00:13:55,180
advance in these leagues. 
So it's kind of this weird thing

266
00:13:55,180 --> 00:13:58,020
where it's almost like more 
important to be a super team 

267
00:13:58,660 --> 00:14:02,580
when you advance, but also you 
want to focus more on getting 

268
00:14:02,580 --> 00:14:04,300
there. 
And we'll see that like we 

269
00:14:04,300 --> 00:14:06,900
always see that that dynamic you
talked about with Fuller. 

270
00:14:06,900 --> 00:14:10,500
Like some running back will 
have, you know, a couple 

271
00:14:10,500 --> 00:14:14,780
touchdowns or whatever, Like if 
Pacheco has a big game. 

272
00:14:15,460 --> 00:14:19,620
Thursday night he will be like a
second round pick in the Friday 

273
00:14:19,620 --> 00:14:21,540
drafts, or maybe even a first 
right? 

274
00:14:21,740 --> 00:14:24,500
That's just the way it always 
goes cuz people do focus on 

275
00:14:24,500 --> 00:14:28,740
advancing these teams. 
So should we talk? 

276
00:14:28,740 --> 00:14:31,140
Let's dive in here. 
If you guys have been watching 

277
00:14:31,140 --> 00:14:33,540
the video of this, we do have 
the draft board pulled up. 

278
00:14:33,540 --> 00:14:38,380
Like I said, we're drafting from
the 111 right now, 7 picks are 

279
00:14:38,380 --> 00:14:40,540
off the board. 
Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase, 

280
00:14:40,540 --> 00:14:43,060
Christian McCaffrey, Travis 
Kelsey, Tyree Kill, Cooper Cup, 

281
00:14:43,340 --> 00:14:46,500
Bijon Robinson, someone on the 
clock right now at 18. 

282
00:14:46,500 --> 00:14:49,420
So we have three more picks 
before our next pick. 

283
00:14:49,780 --> 00:14:53,180
Let's let's kind of just get 
into it here of kind of who you 

284
00:14:53,180 --> 00:14:57,950
guys think would be some of the 
ideal targets for us at 1:11 and

285
00:14:57,950 --> 00:15:00,430
why you guys are discussing it. 
I'll pull up that ADP stuff 

286
00:15:00,430 --> 00:15:01,750
again here too for the main 
event. 

287
00:15:03,910 --> 00:15:06,630
Yeah, I mean I think probably 
we're going to see Austin Eckler

288
00:15:06,630 --> 00:15:10,910
go before we get we are on the 
clock of as one of these next 

289
00:15:10,910 --> 00:15:14,590
three picks. 
I would assume Stefan Diggs as 

290
00:15:14,590 --> 00:15:16,870
well, but he might still be 
there. 

291
00:15:17,390 --> 00:15:20,190
I think we're going to be in the
CD Lam or A.J. 

292
00:15:20,190 --> 00:15:24,630
Brown range as we look at the, 
you know the current ADP Almond 

293
00:15:24,630 --> 00:15:26,070
Rossi, let's. 
Talk through. 

294
00:15:26,710 --> 00:15:28,830
If Eckler was there, though, 
would he be the pick for you? 

295
00:15:29,790 --> 00:15:32,150
He would for me, yeah. 
Yeah, I think for me he would be

296
00:15:32,150 --> 00:15:37,590
for me and I, I would just guess
it's probably what, sub 10%. 

297
00:15:37,670 --> 00:15:39,270
He's probably there on 111, 
yeah. 

298
00:15:39,950 --> 00:15:43,510
Since we don't normally take 
running backs, yeah, we should. 

299
00:15:43,670 --> 00:15:44,990
We should mention that just in 
case. 

300
00:15:45,070 --> 00:15:46,790
Well. 
Bijon's the other one where I 

301
00:15:46,790 --> 00:15:48,310
would have. 
I would have been psyched. 

302
00:15:48,510 --> 00:15:50,350
Through it, but he's already off
the board, so we don't really 

303
00:15:50,350 --> 00:15:53,310
need to spend a ton of time on 
that, but I think we're we are. 

304
00:15:54,600 --> 00:15:57,880
To your question about Eckler, 
we are angling pretty quickly 

305
00:15:57,880 --> 00:16:00,240
toward a potential receiver, 
receiver start. 

306
00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:03,240
I think that Mark Andrews in 
round two thing is an 

307
00:16:03,240 --> 00:16:05,920
interesting conversation. 
Maybe you can get into like a 

308
00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:09,080
Jonathan Taylor in round two 
conversation, although I mean 

309
00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:13,880
I'm, I'll just say for me 
targets, the targets would be 

310
00:16:13,880 --> 00:16:16,840
Lamb if he gets there over A J. 
Brown. 

311
00:16:17,720 --> 00:16:19,680
As much oh, I like a J. 
Brown a lot more than lamb. 

312
00:16:20,640 --> 00:16:24,600
OK, that's a good discussion. 
And then actually like even even

313
00:16:24,600 --> 00:16:26,160
bigger targets for me, Alman 
Ross St. 

314
00:16:26,160 --> 00:16:29,680
Brown, I mean Lamb. 
I think from a cost and like 

315
00:16:29,680 --> 00:16:32,200
portfolio perspective, I 
definitely want some Alman Ross 

316
00:16:32,200 --> 00:16:34,960
a guy I want like as much as I 
can get my hands on this year. 

317
00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:37,480
And then Garrett Wilson is 
similar to Alman Roth. 

318
00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:39,400
Those are two guys that I'm 
really excited about. 

319
00:16:40,600 --> 00:16:43,400
I'm curious how you guys fit 
with like that group of guys. 

320
00:16:44,270 --> 00:16:47,230
Well one one thing I would just 
mention and again because I'm 

321
00:16:47,230 --> 00:16:50,470
I'm legitimately trying to 
reorient my brain from underdog 

322
00:16:50,470 --> 00:16:53,870
stuff, half point PPR. 
It is interesting that Aman Ra's

323
00:16:53,950 --> 00:16:55,670
ADP, I guess he is going ahead 
of A.J. 

324
00:16:55,670 --> 00:16:57,350
Brown here. 
So maybe that reflects like the 

325
00:16:57,350 --> 00:17:00,870
half point versus full point, 
but Aman RA in full point I 

326
00:17:00,870 --> 00:17:05,230
think I like him over digs even.
Yeah, in in this format. 

327
00:17:05,230 --> 00:17:07,750
I think Amanra versus CD's an 
interesting one, but I just 

328
00:17:07,750 --> 00:17:10,670
wanted to make the point that 
Aman RA is very interesting to 

329
00:17:10,670 --> 00:17:15,069
me and also another team Detroit
schedule is playoff schedule is 

330
00:17:15,109 --> 00:17:20,030
awesome. 
Pat, what's your case for A.J. 

331
00:17:20,030 --> 00:17:25,910
Brown over? 
Lamb he's, I think a much better

332
00:17:25,910 --> 00:17:28,390
receiver. 
I don't think we quite got the 

333
00:17:28,390 --> 00:17:31,990
full CD Lamb breakout. 
CD Lamb is good, but he's not 

334
00:17:31,990 --> 00:17:36,550
like A.J. 
Brown is incredibly good and CD 

335
00:17:36,550 --> 00:17:38,430
Lamb is. 
I don't think he's a superstar. 

336
00:17:38,430 --> 00:17:43,770
I think he's very good player. 
A J Brown's on a better offense,

337
00:17:44,130 --> 00:17:49,090
I think pretty clearly. 
He finished third in open score 

338
00:17:49,090 --> 00:17:51,250
last year behind Deonte Johnson 
and Tyler Lockett. 

339
00:17:51,890 --> 00:17:56,370
He's, you know, his stats were a
little bit underwhelming in 

340
00:17:56,370 --> 00:17:59,770
certain games, but they pulled 
their starters in several games 

341
00:17:59,770 --> 00:18:02,090
last year. 
Is about as high as a weekly 

342
00:18:02,090 --> 00:18:04,730
ceiling of any wide receiver on 
the board. 

343
00:18:04,850 --> 00:18:07,570
I think he's up there with 
Jefferson and Chase and and Cup 

344
00:18:07,570 --> 00:18:10,250
in terms of like his weekly 
potential. 

345
00:18:12,230 --> 00:18:14,830
You know, yeah, he's got to deal
with Demonte Smith and Dallas 

346
00:18:14,830 --> 00:18:16,150
Goddard. 
Some target competition. 

347
00:18:16,150 --> 00:18:18,710
They're not going to throw as 
many times as some other 

348
00:18:18,710 --> 00:18:21,350
offenses. 
But I I think the Cowboys are 

349
00:18:22,190 --> 00:18:26,390
kind of a sneaky, like, really 
disappointing offense candidate.

350
00:18:26,390 --> 00:18:28,510
Maybe not even sneaky. 
I mean we all, we've all, but 

351
00:18:28,510 --> 00:18:31,630
it's a McCarthy offense. 
Like there's some real downside 

352
00:18:31,630 --> 00:18:35,190
risk there. 
And I'm taking the player who I 

353
00:18:35,190 --> 00:18:37,990
think is less talented. 
In fairness to Lamb, he finished

354
00:18:37,990 --> 00:18:40,110
fifth and open score. 
He's good but. 

355
00:18:40,600 --> 00:18:42,200
Like when you just look at some 
of the advanced stats. 

356
00:18:42,200 --> 00:18:45,240
I mean, Agent Brown's off the 
charts again. 

357
00:18:45,480 --> 00:18:48,320
He's off the charts every single
year he's in his prime. 

358
00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,560
He's better than Devonte Smith, 
like by decent amounts, even 

359
00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,160
though, you know, Devonte Smith 
got a lot of targets last year, 

360
00:18:55,160 --> 00:18:56,240
too. 
Devon Smith's very good. 

361
00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:59,040
But I'm just like, I'm getting 
an elite player on an elite 

362
00:18:59,040 --> 00:19:01,880
offense. 
I don't really want to overthink

363
00:19:01,880 --> 00:19:05,000
it. 
So I I mean, obviously all this 

364
00:19:05,000 --> 00:19:06,960
stuff about Agent Brown being 
great, I agree with four 

365
00:19:06,960 --> 00:19:10,640
straight years of a 2.5 plus. 
Yards per out run, which is an 

366
00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:14,520
incredibly good number. 
You're the one who referenced, I

367
00:19:14,520 --> 00:19:17,120
think with Debo a couple years 
ago, I can't remember who, but 

368
00:19:17,360 --> 00:19:20,320
starting your career with 
multiple years of 2.5 yards per 

369
00:19:20,320 --> 00:19:22,040
out run in a row is really 
strong. 

370
00:19:22,040 --> 00:19:24,920
And he's done it four years in a
row, now 2. 3 yards per out run 

371
00:19:24,920 --> 00:19:28,720
in a row was the static EBO. 
And yeah, so I mean, what he's 

372
00:19:29,000 --> 00:19:32,250
done, it's two, yeah. 
What he's done is. 2.5 

373
00:19:32,250 --> 00:19:36,330
Believable Lamb's breakout last 
year 2.38 Still an incredibly 

374
00:19:36,330 --> 00:19:38,090
strong number. 
Lamb has started his career at 

375
00:19:38,090 --> 00:19:42,050
1.812062.38. 
Is back-to-back year emerged as 

376
00:19:42,050 --> 00:19:43,650
a class wide receiver one for 
sure. 

377
00:19:43,770 --> 00:19:45,410
I just don't. 
But no, no. 

378
00:19:45,410 --> 00:19:47,410
But. 
But to your point, even in his 

379
00:19:47,410 --> 00:19:50,050
breakout of 2.38, he's not 
better than any year of AJ 

380
00:19:50,050 --> 00:19:52,210
Brown's 4 year career. 
He's not even particularly close

381
00:19:52,370 --> 00:19:53,970
to your point. 
That's very valid. 

382
00:19:54,330 --> 00:19:58,450
My issue with Brown, as much as 
I've obviously loved him, you 

383
00:19:58,450 --> 00:20:02,430
know, every year of his career. 
Is that I do feel like last year

384
00:20:02,630 --> 00:20:06,950
somewhat from a statistical 
standpoint, he like that wasn't 

385
00:20:06,950 --> 00:20:09,910
like the best case scenario and 
he didn't hit a real ceiling. 

386
00:20:10,110 --> 00:20:12,710
So this price at late first 
round. 

387
00:20:12,950 --> 00:20:16,350
I really disagree with that that
it was a best case scenario like

388
00:20:16,350 --> 00:20:19,910
they the case OK. 
I mean, they pulled their 

389
00:20:19,910 --> 00:20:24,070
starters in a bunch of games. 
Like he didn't get like purely 

390
00:20:24,070 --> 00:20:26,230
from a, you know, accumulation 
standpoint. 

391
00:20:26,230 --> 00:20:28,030
He was. 
He was neutered in some games. 

392
00:20:30,020 --> 00:20:31,100
Well, I guess. 
What games? 

393
00:20:31,900 --> 00:20:32,620
How many? 
The Steelers? 

394
00:20:32,620 --> 00:20:37,220
Game they pulled their starters.
There's a couple others. 

395
00:20:37,460 --> 00:20:39,300
Plus they also had the games 
where they would just like wipe 

396
00:20:39,300 --> 00:20:41,100
the floor with guys and then run
all over them for the 

397
00:20:41,100 --> 00:20:44,380
second-half, like if they're 
more competitive this year. 

398
00:20:44,660 --> 00:20:46,100
The other thing about the Eagles
is they are. 

399
00:20:46,300 --> 00:20:47,940
They showed a willingness to go 
toe to toe. 

400
00:20:47,940 --> 00:20:50,340
They showed a willingness to 
attack like that Bears game. 

401
00:20:50,340 --> 00:20:51,980
Everyone thought they would just
run the entire game. 

402
00:20:51,980 --> 00:20:56,180
They were aggressive in the 
beginning and then they did run 

403
00:20:56,180 --> 00:21:00,070
the ball a decent amount but. 
They attacked a very, very poor 

404
00:21:00,070 --> 00:21:04,310
Bears secondary before they ran 
all over a very Bad Bears run 

405
00:21:04,310 --> 00:21:07,030
defense. 
And so I think, like his best 

406
00:21:07,030 --> 00:21:11,590
case scenario is some teams push
back on them, but there's still 

407
00:21:11,750 --> 00:21:14,430
a percentage of their dropbacks 
that are going to be Jalen Hurt 

408
00:21:14,430 --> 00:21:16,270
scrambles. 
A percentage of their play con. 

409
00:21:16,270 --> 00:21:17,590
That's going to be Jalen Hurts. 
Rush's. 

410
00:21:17,590 --> 00:21:20,830
Jalen Hurts himself had more 
carries inside the 10 yard line 

411
00:21:20,830 --> 00:21:23,190
than pass attempts. 
That's not just team rush 

412
00:21:23,190 --> 00:21:25,430
attempts, It's quarterback rush 
attempts. 

413
00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:28,160
Right. 
Like as far as the touchdown 

414
00:21:28,160 --> 00:21:32,880
rate being so heavily leaning 
towards their running Td's, I do

415
00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,640
think that has to regress some. 
They had a massive rushing TD 

416
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:38,240
rate, 32 rushing Td's. 
I don't think Hertz is gonna run

417
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:40,920
13 Td's again. 
But there is like a systemic 

418
00:21:41,160 --> 00:21:43,040
this is the way we attack in 
close. 

419
00:21:43,040 --> 00:21:46,320
This is our red zone plan. 
And then in terms of like 

420
00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,040
overall pass volume, I hear you 
that they they pull their 

421
00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:53,490
starters on their their pass 
rate maybe can tick up a little.

422
00:21:53,490 --> 00:21:55,570
I actually you know you're 
you're selling me on that a 

423
00:21:55,570 --> 00:21:59,290
little bit but how much more can
their pass rate go up And when 

424
00:21:59,290 --> 00:22:02,210
you look at their target volume 
last year they stayed so healthy

425
00:22:03,050 --> 00:22:05,210
only four wide receivers got a 
target all year. 

426
00:22:05,610 --> 00:22:07,730
They were able to do a lot of 
that RPO stuff that I wrote 

427
00:22:07,730 --> 00:22:10,330
about where they were like you 
just look at their targets A J. 

428
00:22:10,330 --> 00:22:14,690
Brown 145, Duan dismiss 136. 
Dallas guard 69, misses five 

429
00:22:14,690 --> 00:22:18,250
games. 
Quez is at 51 as their fourth 

430
00:22:18,250 --> 00:22:20,180
highest targeted player. 
Gain. 

431
00:22:20,180 --> 00:22:22,260
Wells at 29. 
After that, Sanders. 

432
00:22:22,260 --> 00:22:24,220
Miles Sanders 26. 
And they don't have another guy 

433
00:22:24,220 --> 00:22:27,740
over 20 targets. 
It's like the hundred 45136. 

434
00:22:27,740 --> 00:22:30,100
And then it's just like a steep 
drop to their third, fourth, 

435
00:22:30,100 --> 00:22:32,380
fifth Guys. 
It could be that concentrated 

436
00:22:32,380 --> 00:22:34,460
again, I actually think. 
How would it not do things? 

437
00:22:34,620 --> 00:22:36,380
It won't be the media's the 
keyest guy. 

438
00:22:36,820 --> 00:22:39,940
No, it will be. 
But my point is that's why I'm 

439
00:22:39,940 --> 00:22:42,860
saying it's maxed out. 
Yeah, I think you actually are 

440
00:22:42,860 --> 00:22:44,860
selling me a little bit that 
they could throw more and they 

441
00:22:44,860 --> 00:22:46,620
could be pushed more and all 
those things. 

442
00:22:46,980 --> 00:22:50,840
But basically, Brown can't 
consolidate what volume there is

443
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:52,120
more. 
So you need Jalen Hertz to 

444
00:22:52,120 --> 00:22:54,760
suddenly not be running. 
You need design runs to come way

445
00:22:54,760 --> 00:22:57,560
down, quarterback design runs, 
and I do think they're still 

446
00:22:57,560 --> 00:23:00,720
gonna call those things as well.
So I agree with you, it's still 

447
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,480
gonna be as concentrated and 
maybe there is still some meat 

448
00:23:03,480 --> 00:23:06,680
on the bone here, but how much 
more meat is there for the 

449
00:23:06,720 --> 00:23:09,720
overall team pass volume? 
I think it's a really fair 

450
00:23:09,720 --> 00:23:13,720
question. 
So just to bring us down to 

451
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:17,170
earth just a little bit. 
My guess there, there certainly 

452
00:23:17,170 --> 00:23:19,650
is a scenario where we have a CD
Lamb versus a J. 

453
00:23:19,650 --> 00:23:22,490
Brown decision. 
I think the most likely thing is

454
00:23:22,490 --> 00:23:29,170
that Eckler, Lamb and Diggs are 
the three next picks and the one

455
00:23:29,170 --> 00:23:31,170
thing that I would maybe push 
to. 

456
00:23:31,550 --> 00:23:34,430
Lamb over A.J. 
Brown is simply the fact that 

457
00:23:34,430 --> 00:23:37,230
the of the ATP game and that 
there's a much better chance 

458
00:23:37,230 --> 00:23:39,270
that A.J. 
Brown comes back around and you 

459
00:23:39,270 --> 00:23:42,430
could maybe get both of them. 
Because with the 12 drafter, 

460
00:23:42,630 --> 00:23:44,430
it's kind of like a choose your 
own adventure there. 

461
00:23:44,430 --> 00:23:46,630
Like if they want a running 
back, they could take Berkeley 

462
00:23:46,710 --> 00:23:48,590
or Jonathan Taylor. 
If they want the elite tight 

463
00:23:48,590 --> 00:23:50,350
end, they're going to reach for 
Mark Andrews. 

464
00:23:50,350 --> 00:23:52,990
They're like there's combos they
could do that don't involve wide

465
00:23:52,990 --> 00:23:55,950
receiver, wide receiver. 
So that's just one other thing 

466
00:23:56,190 --> 00:23:57,950
to consider Also in that 
scenario. 

467
00:23:57,950 --> 00:24:00,420
There's a chance that. 
Amanra St. 

468
00:24:00,420 --> 00:24:02,060
Brown is also pushing another 
guy down. 

469
00:24:02,060 --> 00:24:06,220
So just like the in this in this
format, does Hertz make it to 

470
00:24:06,220 --> 00:24:09,900
3/4 at all? 
He it looks like his ADP is 3/2 

471
00:24:09,900 --> 00:24:13,060
right now, which is interesting 
cuz that's correlated ADP wise 

472
00:24:13,060 --> 00:24:17,460
with the Devonta Smith who goes 
at 2:10 and then or 211 and then

473
00:24:17,540 --> 00:24:19,660
hers goes at 3:00 two. 
I would also be more compelled 

474
00:24:19,660 --> 00:24:21,740
if we had a shot to get Hertz at
3-4. 

475
00:24:22,180 --> 00:24:24,380
I think if we want to set up a 
premium stack like that, the 

476
00:24:24,380 --> 00:24:27,020
only real opportunity we have is
an Andrews Lamar. 

477
00:24:27,430 --> 00:24:32,270
Cuz Lamar does go at the 3-4 
turn, but just to kind of just 

478
00:24:32,270 --> 00:24:35,710
to finish up this wide receiver 
conversation, I said we might be

479
00:24:35,710 --> 00:24:38,710
on different pages later. 
I think we're on different pages

480
00:24:38,710 --> 00:24:41,350
now. 
I don't really like CD Lam as 

481
00:24:41,350 --> 00:24:45,350
the pick like at all. 
Like I would rather take atoms 

482
00:24:45,350 --> 00:24:49,270
over CD Lam at the end. 
What I would say about the ADP 

483
00:24:49,270 --> 00:24:52,030
game, I mean this whole Jimmy 
Garoppolo. 

484
00:24:52,810 --> 00:24:55,090
You know, everyone, like, so 
afraid that he was not going to 

485
00:24:55,090 --> 00:24:56,810
be their quarterback and what 
was going to happen to Adams, 

486
00:24:56,810 --> 00:25:00,330
Like, that stuff is over now. 
We all, you know, probably 

487
00:25:00,330 --> 00:25:02,130
overreacted. 
I thought I was actually real 

488
00:25:02,130 --> 00:25:05,290
heavy on Adams, came to find 
out, checking today that I was 

489
00:25:05,290 --> 00:25:07,530
just like slightly overweight. 
So I'm, I'm a little annoyed 

490
00:25:07,530 --> 00:25:09,610
with myself for not being more 
aggressive with him. 

491
00:25:09,610 --> 00:25:14,650
But I mean, he's someone that I 
think like, why aren't we taking

492
00:25:14,650 --> 00:25:15,410
him over? 
CD land? 

493
00:25:16,530 --> 00:25:19,570
He's awesome and he's, he's got 
a quarterback in place. 

494
00:25:19,570 --> 00:25:20,850
They're going to have to throw a
bunch. 

495
00:25:21,250 --> 00:25:22,410
They're running backs holding 
out. 

496
00:25:23,170 --> 00:25:27,890
Jacoby Myers is like, fine, but 
he's not going to like Impinge 

497
00:25:27,890 --> 00:25:29,530
on Devonte Adams ability to earn
targets. 

498
00:25:29,530 --> 00:25:32,170
The guy's an incredible RAL 
runner and has been for years. 

499
00:25:32,810 --> 00:25:37,570
So, like, I I guess what my 
thing with Lamb is like if I 

500
00:25:37,570 --> 00:25:40,890
don't think he's more talented 
than Brown or Adams, why don't 

501
00:25:40,890 --> 00:25:44,090
you think Lamb is talented? 
I do think he's talented. 

502
00:25:44,090 --> 00:25:46,290
I don't think he's more talented
than A J. 

503
00:25:46,290 --> 00:25:50,210
Brown or Devonte Adams. 
Yeah, then. 

504
00:25:50,210 --> 00:25:53,290
And if that's the case, am I 
excited about his offense? 

505
00:25:53,690 --> 00:25:55,690
And for me the the answer is 
like, no. 

506
00:25:55,810 --> 00:25:58,090
I I'm, I'm nervous about his 
offense. 

507
00:25:58,810 --> 00:26:00,890
So then what? 
So then OK, let me think. 

508
00:26:01,290 --> 00:26:03,410
If I'm going to a guy who I 
don't think is as talented as 

509
00:26:03,410 --> 00:26:07,970
those two guys, I think I I'd 
almost rather take Aminara or 

510
00:26:07,970 --> 00:26:11,530
something where, you know, I 
know I'm the wack of our stuff 

511
00:26:11,570 --> 00:26:12,930
are. 
We all are you guys. 

512
00:26:12,930 --> 00:26:15,330
All because I think I'm I'm a 
monrah. 

513
00:26:15,370 --> 00:26:17,770
Even over lamb. 
Like, are you guys a monrah over

514
00:26:17,770 --> 00:26:20,830
lamb? 
It's close to me. 

515
00:26:20,830 --> 00:26:26,350
Honestly, I'd probably be Lamb 
just, but that's like a real 

516
00:26:26,350 --> 00:26:29,270
coin flip for me. 
Cuz if that's a coin flip, what 

517
00:26:29,270 --> 00:26:32,110
we could do if we're in the 
spot, assuming it goes Eckler, 

518
00:26:33,750 --> 00:26:38,230
Diggs and well, if Lamb goes 
off, we're gonna have A.J. 

519
00:26:38,230 --> 00:26:42,560
Brown, Amanra. 
And so Pat, you're saying you're

520
00:26:42,560 --> 00:26:46,680
basically A.J. 
Brown, Devonta Lamb and Ammanra 

521
00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,040
as a coin flip. 
After those two, I would have 

522
00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:50,960
both of Lamb and Ammanra ahead 
of A.J. 

523
00:26:50,960 --> 00:26:53,560
Brown and Adams, probably in a 
vacuum. 

524
00:26:55,400 --> 00:26:57,240
So that's that's tricky. 
Where do you fall in those? 

525
00:26:57,640 --> 00:27:04,160
But. 
If Adams ADP was 9.9 or 9.81 

526
00:27:04,160 --> 00:27:06,000
spot ahead of Lamb, would that 
change things for you? 

527
00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:07,480
Because I think that's where 
we're headed. 

528
00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:10,920
I think Adams is gonna come back
up and pass him again. 

529
00:27:11,690 --> 00:27:13,570
I'm pretty concerned about the 
Raiders and the ways that you're

530
00:27:13,570 --> 00:27:15,810
concerned about the Cowboys. 
I'm way more concerned about the

531
00:27:15,810 --> 00:27:19,490
Raiders than the Cowboys. 
Josh McDaniels I don't think is 

532
00:27:19,490 --> 00:27:22,290
a good coach and I think there's
like there's I think there's 

533
00:27:22,290 --> 00:27:27,170
like legit we have a meltdown in
in tear down kind of situation. 

534
00:27:27,210 --> 00:27:30,930
Yeah like just and Adams maybe 
even like traded mid season and 

535
00:27:30,930 --> 00:27:33,850
then he's trying to like catch 
on in a new offense mid season. 

536
00:27:33,890 --> 00:27:36,090
There was some talk about them 
potentially moving him this off 

537
00:27:36,090 --> 00:27:37,880
season. 
Yeah, I just feel like we're 

538
00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:41,040
looking at some weird outcomes 
with for the Raiders personally.

539
00:27:41,080 --> 00:27:43,640
That feels fair. 
The other thing let's to kind of

540
00:27:43,640 --> 00:27:46,640
reframe it and then we can maybe
circle back is the other big 

541
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:50,400
decision point is because we 
certainly will line up to go 

542
00:27:50,400 --> 00:27:52,160
wide receiver, wide receiver. 
I think we're going to like a 

543
00:27:52,160 --> 00:27:54,120
guy like Devonte Adams or 
Garrett Wilson there. 

544
00:27:54,120 --> 00:27:56,840
The other thing is, do we 
entertain a Mark Andrews reach 

545
00:27:56,880 --> 00:28:00,200
or do we entertain a guy I think
all of us like as well, and 

546
00:28:00,200 --> 00:28:04,480
Jonathan Taylor, who I expect. 
To also be there in the early 

547
00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:06,160
2nd, so to me that's kind of the
decision. 

548
00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,840
Is it wide receiver, wide 
receiver or wide receiver? 

549
00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:12,840
Jonathan Taylor, How where you 
going? 

550
00:28:13,000 --> 00:28:15,000
I'm pretty high on Taylor. 
Where are you out on Taylor, 

551
00:28:15,120 --> 00:28:17,120
Pat? 
I like Taylor. 

552
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:21,080
I mean, me too. 
It's tough because I'm like used

553
00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:24,640
to getting Taylor in the late 
2nd now with best ball drafts or

554
00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:27,200
the mid to late 2nd and so I I'm
passing on. 

555
00:28:27,240 --> 00:28:32,120
I've gotten used to passing on 
Taylor from the 11 hole, but. 

556
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:37,080
I mean it's Jonathan Taylor. 
Like he could be the the running

557
00:28:37,080 --> 00:28:40,600
back one pretty easily, I guess.
He definitely takes a bit more 

558
00:28:40,600 --> 00:28:47,480
of a hit in this PPR format. 
You know, if Minshew plays this 

559
00:28:47,480 --> 00:28:50,040
year, he's really not. 
I think he could have Minshew 

560
00:28:50,080 --> 00:28:52,760
played. 
Minshew, yeah, But I I'm very 

561
00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:55,880
skeptical that Minshew plays. 
I mean, maybe a game or two, but

562
00:28:55,880 --> 00:28:58,000
I I don't think Minshew's 
getting any real run. 

563
00:28:58,080 --> 00:28:59,840
Like they they know what this 
year is. 

564
00:28:59,840 --> 00:29:01,280
It's first year for the head 
coach. 

565
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:03,880
They just spent the third 
overall pick on this guy. 

566
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:05,840
They're fully committed. 
They've never even really hinted

567
00:29:05,840 --> 00:29:07,920
that they want to play Minshew 
for for anything. 

568
00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:11,160
Like, I think if Richardson's 
bad enough, Minshew comes over 

569
00:29:11,160 --> 00:29:14,640
from Philly with Stikin and 
knows the offense that it's a 

570
00:29:14,640 --> 00:29:17,960
pretty easy Hey, we need to sit 
him down this the backup knows 

571
00:29:17,960 --> 00:29:19,440
the. 
He's playing, yeah, but 

572
00:29:19,440 --> 00:29:23,120
Richardson has to be really bad 
and and probably in a way that's

573
00:29:23,120 --> 00:29:25,560
hurting Taylor's early season. 
Run out. 

574
00:29:25,600 --> 00:29:27,880
Like he's, you know, like we're 
kind of like, all right, 

575
00:29:27,880 --> 00:29:29,000
Minshew's in. 
It's week six. 

576
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:31,770
Maybe this wasn't a bust. 
So it makes me nervous. 

577
00:29:32,330 --> 00:29:33,690
I just don't. 
I don't really think there's a 

578
00:29:33,690 --> 00:29:36,490
Minshew starts the first six 
games and and it's productive 

579
00:29:36,490 --> 00:29:40,090
and Taylor Taylor's doing great 
because of that type of outcome.

580
00:29:40,090 --> 00:29:41,170
I don't. 
I don't think that's the plan, 

581
00:29:41,170 --> 00:29:42,490
No. 
I think Richardson starts week 

582
00:29:42,490 --> 00:29:43,650
one. 
I think there's some chance that

583
00:29:43,650 --> 00:29:45,970
he gets sat down for a bit and 
then comes back. 

584
00:29:45,970 --> 00:29:49,450
Basically, but that's that's not
good for Taylor. 

585
00:29:49,690 --> 00:29:53,250
Maybe it's good in a sense. 
It's gonna be a rough ride for 

586
00:29:53,250 --> 00:29:55,810
signing up for a rough ride in 
managed if that happens. 

587
00:29:56,490 --> 00:29:59,690
So one thing just to just to 
then because I know you we did 

588
00:29:59,690 --> 00:30:02,690
mention Andrews. 
Like I think my lien would be 

589
00:30:02,690 --> 00:30:05,770
like looking at the draft grid 
like the current ADP draft grid 

590
00:30:05,770 --> 00:30:09,930
would be to almost like play our
late slots as more punt tight 

591
00:30:09,930 --> 00:30:13,090
end builds unless there's a 
super interesting faller. 

592
00:30:13,090 --> 00:30:16,650
And then be like let's play in 
Andrews or Hawkinson or Kittle 

593
00:30:16,650 --> 00:30:19,650
through our middle tight end 
slots and then let's play Kelsey

594
00:30:19,650 --> 00:30:22,250
and pits from our early draft 
slots. 

595
00:30:22,600 --> 00:30:25,440
Just based on currently how 
Adp's lining up and I guess the 

596
00:30:25,440 --> 00:30:27,760
argument would be how solidified
is this, We're going to see a 

597
00:30:27,760 --> 00:30:31,240
lot of movement, but just if we 
are getting pretty good volume 

598
00:30:31,240 --> 00:30:34,880
down that would be my only 
thought there on on the Andrews 

599
00:30:34,880 --> 00:30:38,680
point, I think that's a, I think
it's a fair one and kind of 

600
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:41,760
where I fall too. 
And then similarly with Taylor 

601
00:30:41,760 --> 00:30:47,720
having an ADP right now it's 
very, very early, but it's 17.3.

602
00:30:48,280 --> 00:30:51,640
I'm hesitant to pull the trigger
on him and the 1-2 turn in part 

603
00:30:51,640 --> 00:30:55,960
because anybody that can get 
back to a Cooper Copper at Tyree

604
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,520
Hill or even like a Jamar Chase 
team and you get Taylor and we 

605
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:02,440
have, you know, whoever we 
settle on as our first time 

606
00:31:02,440 --> 00:31:04,080
receiver. 
And Taylor like, I feel like 

607
00:31:04,080 --> 00:31:05,440
we're pretty big dogs in that 
spot. 

608
00:31:05,440 --> 00:31:09,520
Like I think yeah, I wanna, I 
wanna be taking guys at the 11, 

609
00:31:09,720 --> 00:31:13,840
the 1-2 turn at the 11 spot here
that I don't think the Cup or 

610
00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:18,190
Tyree Drafter or Travis Kelsey 
drafter is going to get really 

611
00:31:18,190 --> 00:31:20,190
ever. 
And so in that regard, like I 

612
00:31:20,190 --> 00:31:21,430
think I would lean even towards 
A.J. 

613
00:31:21,430 --> 00:31:24,110
Brown over over Taylor, even 
though I think I might prefer 

614
00:31:24,110 --> 00:31:27,390
Taylor in a vacuum. 
Yeah, that's fair too. 

615
00:31:27,390 --> 00:31:31,470
And also depending on like how 
close we have guys like Pollard 

616
00:31:31,590 --> 00:31:35,030
and Ramondre in Breese, I think 
we all like Taylor Smidge ahead.

617
00:31:35,030 --> 00:31:39,830
But maybe how much to justify 
not letting the kind of the room

618
00:31:39,830 --> 00:31:42,110
dictate where you're taking 
those early running backs? 

619
00:31:43,070 --> 00:31:46,940
Yeah, although if we wanna. 
If we want a hero's RV, start 

620
00:31:47,620 --> 00:31:49,540
like a true hero. 
I mean, we can get a we can get 

621
00:31:49,540 --> 00:31:51,860
an ETN in the fourth or 
something. 

622
00:31:51,860 --> 00:31:55,460
But if we want that true hero 
running back start, it's Taylor 

623
00:31:55,460 --> 00:31:58,300
or Chubb based on this ADP Cuz 
we're not. 

624
00:31:58,420 --> 00:31:59,860
From this part of the board 
from. 

625
00:31:59,940 --> 00:32:02,060
This part of the board, Yeah, 
so. 

626
00:32:02,100 --> 00:32:05,420
Cuz that's a good point too to 
bring up, because maybe like we 

627
00:32:05,420 --> 00:32:10,100
wouldn't like if Gibbs fell to 
the Lady Gibbs 311 three. 11 I 

628
00:32:10,100 --> 00:32:12,100
would be pretty into I'd be 
yeah. 

629
00:32:12,810 --> 00:32:14,890
It's not a true hero RB to your 
point Pat. 

630
00:32:14,890 --> 00:32:17,930
It's not like it's not, I mean. 
I play him like I just drafted. 

631
00:32:18,010 --> 00:32:20,010
You've said that. 
I was just gonna bring that up. 

632
00:32:20,050 --> 00:32:22,210
Yeah, I think of it too. 
Now when I take him, I'm like, 

633
00:32:22,210 --> 00:32:24,730
it's a really smart way of 
thinking about drafting him, I 

634
00:32:24,730 --> 00:32:26,330
think. 
Yeah, yeah, cuz he fits that 

635
00:32:26,330 --> 00:32:28,490
archetype. 
Yeah, I just took a six running 

636
00:32:28,490 --> 00:32:31,850
back build in best Bowl Mania 
with Gibbs in the third round. 

637
00:32:31,850 --> 00:32:33,290
Like that's how I build with him
usually. 

638
00:32:33,950 --> 00:32:37,990
Not to reopen the can of worms, 
the one case for Andrews Reach 

639
00:32:37,990 --> 00:32:40,390
is what Pat was saying about 
Lamar's ADP. 

640
00:32:40,390 --> 00:32:41,150
Well, don't. 
Right. 

641
00:32:41,150 --> 00:32:44,470
Yeah I I want this can of worms 
open like I I like Andrews on 

642
00:32:44,470 --> 00:32:49,310
the 2nd is a like OK Andrews was
what like a late first round 

643
00:32:49,310 --> 00:32:52,910
pick last year. 
He's like they they're talking 

644
00:32:52,910 --> 00:32:58,350
about taking Lamar Jackson back 
to the Louisville offense having

645
00:32:58,350 --> 00:33:01,510
him having spread out the 
defense like throwing way more. 

646
00:33:02,030 --> 00:33:05,510
We've for years were like. 
Man, if Lamar just like had 

647
00:33:05,510 --> 00:33:08,390
enough pass attempts, he'd be 
at, he'd be at such a smash, 

648
00:33:08,470 --> 00:33:13,150
it's like he might he might get 
them this year like and I and 

649
00:33:13,150 --> 00:33:16,070
that also feels like a drum beat
situation. 

650
00:33:16,630 --> 00:33:20,590
You know, maybe maybe Andrews 
right now could be available to 

651
00:33:20,590 --> 00:33:25,150
some Cup drafters, but he could 
easily become the one O 9. 

652
00:33:26,150 --> 00:33:28,590
Yeah, easily. 
I'm just, I'm just saying based 

653
00:33:28,590 --> 00:33:31,470
on ADP, there's a lot of teams 
probably who are able to get 

654
00:33:31,470 --> 00:33:33,670
Mark Andrews from the middle of 
the board and then have Lamar 

655
00:33:33,670 --> 00:33:36,790
now and slip a couple spots and 
get him in the middle of the. 

656
00:33:36,790 --> 00:33:40,030
Board now, but I'm saying like 
there's, I don't know that this 

657
00:33:40,030 --> 00:33:42,670
has been internalized by the 
market that especially in a 

658
00:33:42,670 --> 00:33:46,190
tight end premium format that 
like the Ravens, all indications

659
00:33:46,190 --> 00:33:48,790
are that they are planning to 
throw a lot more this year and 

660
00:33:48,790 --> 00:33:52,150
be more aggressive and like 
literally moving from a guy 

661
00:33:52,150 --> 00:33:54,820
who's like describing his. 
Offense is like a Stone Age 

662
00:33:54,820 --> 00:33:57,500
offense to a guy who's like we 
want to spread out defenses and 

663
00:33:57,500 --> 00:34:00,660
attack them, but you still have 
an issue of how many of those 

664
00:34:00,660 --> 00:34:03,740
dropbacks turn into scrambles 
and turn to non pass attempts. 

665
00:34:03,780 --> 00:34:05,660
Sure, but you I do. 
Tight end. 

666
00:34:06,340 --> 00:34:08,060
He's the number one receiver on 
his team. 

667
00:34:08,260 --> 00:34:10,420
Yeah, he led. 
He led the NFL. 

668
00:34:10,420 --> 00:34:12,500
He led all tight ends in open 
score last year. 

669
00:34:12,500 --> 00:34:15,860
Head of Kelsey. 
The dude is even in tight end 

670
00:34:15,860 --> 00:34:19,260
premium, though my point is even
in tight end premium, I wouldn't

671
00:34:19,260 --> 00:34:22,020
get there to take him over the 
receivers we've talked about. 

672
00:34:23,050 --> 00:34:25,010
I don't think it's a drum. 
I I think I disagree with you. 

673
00:34:25,010 --> 00:34:26,810
I don't think he can easily be 
the 109. 

674
00:34:26,810 --> 00:34:28,690
I don't think he can easily go 
ahead of Diggs and. 

675
00:34:28,730 --> 00:34:31,969
He was last year, wasn't he? 
Wasn't he in that 110 range last

676
00:34:31,969 --> 00:34:35,969
year? 
I don't see why he couldn't get 

677
00:34:35,969 --> 00:34:39,489
back there given that we'll 
we'll ultimately be more excited

678
00:34:39,489 --> 00:34:40,929
about the Ravens this year than 
we were last year. 

679
00:34:40,929 --> 00:34:44,730
I think it's a different board 
is what I would argue it's a 

680
00:34:44,730 --> 00:34:47,370
different board at the 1-2 turn,
yeah. 

681
00:34:47,810 --> 00:34:51,330
To me Pat like the the the and 
again I know we're just talking 

682
00:34:51,330 --> 00:34:55,530
about a few pics of ADP but the 
classic like reaching in our 

683
00:34:55,530 --> 00:34:58,530
first draft for the yeah to get 
the elite that feels like our 

684
00:34:58,530 --> 00:35:02,210
old bullshit to be where it's 
like I I don't know I because I 

685
00:35:02,210 --> 00:35:05,250
do think I do think there are 
gonna be some drafters and I 

686
00:35:05,250 --> 00:35:07,450
don't have a good I I'll admit I
don't have a finger on the pulse

687
00:35:07,450 --> 00:35:10,490
of how FFPC draft rooms are 
shaking out right now but we did

688
00:35:10,490 --> 00:35:13,450
see like in main events like the
room does determine does someone

689
00:35:13,450 --> 00:35:16,010
want the non. 
Travis Kelsey tied in early and 

690
00:35:16,010 --> 00:35:18,250
you probably will see a decent 
band on Mark Andrews. 

691
00:35:18,250 --> 00:35:20,890
You'll see him sometimes go at 
the 1-2 turn and you'll probably

692
00:35:20,890 --> 00:35:25,250
also see him slide to, you know,
team three, you know, in some 

693
00:35:25,250 --> 00:35:26,530
drafts. 
So that's the only thing of like

694
00:35:26,530 --> 00:35:30,450
do we give ourselves a chance to
get him at a really insane price

695
00:35:30,690 --> 00:35:33,370
versus this is what we did on 
pits last year if we took him at

696
00:35:33,370 --> 00:35:36,530
the 1-2 turn or. 
Yeah, but we're not playing for 

697
00:35:36,530 --> 00:35:39,170
a breakout here. 
We're playing for Mark Andrews. 

698
00:35:39,850 --> 00:35:43,040
Like IF Kelsey. 
It doesn't repeat, you know, at 

699
00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:47,160
an old age this year it could be
easily, it could be Mark Andrews

700
00:35:47,160 --> 00:35:49,240
and no one else is worth 
drafting in tight end premium 

701
00:35:49,240 --> 00:35:52,520
until later like that. 
You know that could easily 

702
00:35:52,520 --> 00:35:54,640
happen. 
Andrews is a huge target for me 

703
00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:58,920
this year as well. 
I would like at 16% on my best 

704
00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:02,960
ball stuff on underdog like I'm 
drafting a lot of them in tight 

705
00:36:02,960 --> 00:36:05,360
end premium. 
I think he's pretty clear target

706
00:36:06,400 --> 00:36:09,160
I've been scooping him too and I
I I mean I think you make a a 

707
00:36:09,160 --> 00:36:12,920
strong case I'm just I land more
with Pete where I think we'll 

708
00:36:12,920 --> 00:36:18,920
get opportunities from the 
105106107 draft slots from the 

709
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:23,440
1:11 to take him at 202 does 
feel especially in our first 

710
00:36:23,440 --> 00:36:24,920
draft it feels a little 
aggressive to me. 

711
00:36:26,120 --> 00:36:27,280
I I don't even think it's a bad 
choice. 

712
00:36:27,280 --> 00:36:30,520
I just think from a portfolio. 
Yeah, I just think this is where

713
00:36:30,520 --> 00:36:32,760
he's gonna settle and it's not 
gonna be. 

714
00:36:33,280 --> 00:36:35,620
To me it's not. 
Pitch thing I think we did this 

715
00:36:35,620 --> 00:36:38,180
two years ago too and and reach 
for a tight end and that didn't 

716
00:36:38,180 --> 00:36:41,500
work either might have been even
Andrews so so maybe you know it 

717
00:36:41,500 --> 00:36:44,100
might be our old bullshit but 
but I think it's a little 

718
00:36:44,100 --> 00:36:47,660
difference than you know paying 
up to get that breakout guy. 

719
00:36:47,980 --> 00:36:49,980
I think you're paying up to get 
a guy who's gonna go around this

720
00:36:49,980 --> 00:36:52,620
range. 
Yeah, so then are there. 

721
00:36:52,940 --> 00:36:55,660
It seems like we're all in 
agreement that this first pick 

722
00:36:55,660 --> 00:36:58,820
is gonna be a wide receiver. 
And then it seems like the one 

723
00:36:58,820 --> 00:37:02,220
thing, the one issue we would 
have is if it goes. 

724
00:37:02,600 --> 00:37:07,160
Deckler digs a Mon raw and then 
we have to do a Lamb versus A.J.

725
00:37:07,160 --> 00:37:11,480
Brown debate. 
And then in the second round, 

726
00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:13,920
it's kind of, it sounds like 
debating best available wide 

727
00:37:13,920 --> 00:37:17,080
receiver versus JT versus 
Andrews is probably those those 

728
00:37:17,080 --> 00:37:24,280
are the most likely decisions. 
Yeah, just, I mean another thing

729
00:37:24,280 --> 00:37:29,320
on the Lamb thing is that they 
did just also add Brandon Cooks,

730
00:37:29,800 --> 00:37:34,040
which I mean Grant Cooks isn't. 
Like a massive threat to Lamb or

731
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:35,960
anything. 
But like and I they'll also lost

732
00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:38,800
Dalton Schalz so that maybe, you
know it's not a huge difference 

733
00:37:38,800 --> 00:37:42,720
but it's like it's like when we 
look at like Lamb situation. 

734
00:37:42,720 --> 00:37:45,560
I'm like he has probably more 
target competition than last 

735
00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:47,000
year. 
Michael Gallops been getting 

736
00:37:47,000 --> 00:37:49,240
some good buzz two years off the
ACL. 

737
00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:52,040
He also might be done so he 
might not matter at all. 

738
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:57,560
But there's just like they lost 
Kellan Moore for scoring too 

739
00:37:57,560 --> 00:38:00,840
many points. 
Like, I'm just like, man this. 

740
00:38:01,650 --> 00:38:05,010
This is just not a situation. 
I'm it's kind of the best ball 

741
00:38:05,010 --> 00:38:06,290
thing you were talking about 
before, Ben. 

742
00:38:06,290 --> 00:38:09,690
Like in best ball I'm often just
being like, well, fuck it, I'll 

743
00:38:09,690 --> 00:38:11,450
take Lamb here. 
I don't want to be completely 

744
00:38:11,450 --> 00:38:12,490
out on City. 
Lamb is very good. 

745
00:38:13,090 --> 00:38:16,770
But in like our first main 
event, I'm just like, yeah, like

746
00:38:17,130 --> 00:38:19,570
this just gives me like a pit in
my stomach when I think about, 

747
00:38:21,050 --> 00:38:22,570
yeah, that's how I am with the 
wrong Adams. 

748
00:38:22,570 --> 00:38:24,810
I get it. 
I I, I, I have counters to all 

749
00:38:24,810 --> 00:38:26,450
those things you just said. 
But I get it. 

750
00:38:26,490 --> 00:38:29,740
I mean, it's like, it's a tough 
one, but this is like cooks. 

751
00:38:30,060 --> 00:38:32,780
Cooks turns 30 in September. 
Like, I actually think his 

752
00:38:32,780 --> 00:38:37,340
target competition is like, it 
can't be called worse than last 

753
00:38:37,340 --> 00:38:38,500
year. 
I don't see how you I. 

754
00:38:38,580 --> 00:38:40,300
Think it's I think it's more 
talented than last year. 

755
00:38:40,300 --> 00:38:42,500
I mean, Dalton, Schultz is a 
tight end and I mean very 

756
00:38:42,500 --> 00:38:44,260
marginally if you're going to 
make that claim, very. 

757
00:38:44,340 --> 00:38:46,940
Marginal wide receiver? 
Yeah, no. 

758
00:38:46,940 --> 00:38:49,860
Cooks is good. 
But like, there's one other How?

759
00:38:51,100 --> 00:38:53,220
What's that? 
He's an upgrade on Noah Brown. 

760
00:38:54,450 --> 00:38:57,050
Yeah, no, no, I know. 
But like I'm saying, it's still 

761
00:38:57,050 --> 00:39:00,130
not enough to stop Lamb. 
If Lamb is good enough to be a 

762
00:39:00,130 --> 00:39:03,010
111 type player, it's still not 
good enough for him to 

763
00:39:03,010 --> 00:39:04,490
consolidate. 
Cooks can solve a good year as a

764
00:39:04,490 --> 00:39:06,290
#2. 
You need like multiple other 

765
00:39:06,290 --> 00:39:08,970
players to really start talking 
about target competition from a 

766
00:39:09,050 --> 00:39:11,810
true alpha, is what I'm saying. 
It's not any worse this year 

767
00:39:11,810 --> 00:39:14,130
than it was last year. 
There's not enough like Cooks. 

768
00:39:14,250 --> 00:39:16,130
Yeah, it's good. 
I'm not saying Cooks is bad. 

769
00:39:17,330 --> 00:39:20,370
It seems like with it, we will 
like what we can probably meet 

770
00:39:20,370 --> 00:39:22,490
in the middle on it. 
I think we all like Amman, Ross 

771
00:39:22,490 --> 00:39:24,690
and Brown, and we all like 
Garrett Wilson a lot, right? 

772
00:39:26,410 --> 00:39:28,570
Yeah, we're doing Garrett, Pat. 
This is interesting. 

773
00:39:28,570 --> 00:39:29,970
I didn't realize we were. 
This I like Garrett. 

774
00:39:30,170 --> 00:39:31,930
I like Garrett. 
OK Yeah. 

775
00:39:33,490 --> 00:39:38,130
Garrett and Amman Rah both feel 
like they're probably sort of 

776
00:39:38,130 --> 00:39:42,010
mid second round values to me 
like and PPR. 

777
00:39:42,010 --> 00:39:45,530
I would say Amman Rah feels 
pretty nice as like a. 

778
00:39:46,020 --> 00:39:48,580
More like an early 2nd. 
You're like locked and loaded 

779
00:39:48,580 --> 00:39:53,420
PPR weapon. 
But it's like, I'm not. 

780
00:39:53,420 --> 00:39:56,700
I'm not sure like who else jumps
out is like, oh, I have to take 

781
00:39:56,700 --> 00:40:00,460
these guys instead. 
So I'm kind of more comfortable 

782
00:40:00,460 --> 00:40:02,540
with them. 
But like to me, to me, like 

783
00:40:02,540 --> 00:40:06,660
taking Garrett Wilson over a J 
Brown doesn't make a ton of 

784
00:40:06,660 --> 00:40:09,500
sense. 
Like a J Brown is kind of like 

785
00:40:09,500 --> 00:40:11,820
what we're hoping that they're 
different types of players. 

786
00:40:11,820 --> 00:40:14,340
But it's like you're hoping 
Garrett Wilson can emerge is 

787
00:40:14,340 --> 00:40:15,420
like a true alpha. 
It's like. 

788
00:40:15,980 --> 00:40:19,140
Well, you already have a true 
alpha and a J Brown who's on an 

789
00:40:19,140 --> 00:40:21,220
elite off. 
But Garrett Wilson can 

790
00:40:21,220 --> 00:40:24,100
consolidate the target share in 
a way that a J Brown's not going

791
00:40:24,100 --> 00:40:25,940
to be able to. 
With Devonta Smith and Goddard 

792
00:40:26,020 --> 00:40:29,340
Garrett, Wilson has far less 
target competition and I think a

793
00:40:29,340 --> 00:40:31,580
J Brown also is a downfield 
weapon. 

794
00:40:31,580 --> 00:40:35,060
Like when you look at what he's 
going to be able to do with his 

795
00:40:35,060 --> 00:40:37,860
targets. 
Also he's an after the catch 

796
00:40:37,860 --> 00:40:40,340
superstar. 
So yeah, his target share is 

797
00:40:40,340 --> 00:40:43,780
probably in ceiling outcomes is 
not as high as Garrett Wilson's,

798
00:40:43,780 --> 00:40:44,540
I'll give you that. 
But. 

799
00:40:45,660 --> 00:40:48,100
I'm not gonna argue against 
Brown, but my case for Wilson 

800
00:40:48,100 --> 00:40:50,140
would be if you're thinking 
about storylines that define the

801
00:40:50,140 --> 00:40:55,260
season, Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady
to the box type Fu season with 

802
00:40:55,260 --> 00:40:58,460
The Jets and Garrett Wilson 
coming along as the number one 

803
00:40:58,780 --> 00:41:01,340
is a storyline that I can go 
into December and look back and 

804
00:41:01,340 --> 00:41:05,740
be like Garrett Wilson had the 
like the Devonte Adams breakout 

805
00:41:05,740 --> 00:41:08,880
year or the. 
Jordy Nelson, breakout year or 

806
00:41:08,880 --> 00:41:11,600
all, you know these. 
Maybe Rogers is completely dust.

807
00:41:11,600 --> 00:41:14,760
But like part of it for me is 
like, we know that the NFL is 

808
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:16,240
chaotic. 
We know that there's storylines 

809
00:41:16,240 --> 00:41:18,760
in 2023 that are going to define
the season, that we're going to 

810
00:41:18,760 --> 00:41:21,680
be tough to predict. 
That's one for me. 

811
00:41:21,680 --> 00:41:26,760
That's like I can see a ceiling 
path that is like unprojectable 

812
00:41:26,840 --> 00:41:29,760
by what we've already seen in 
the in the past data for Garrett

813
00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:32,600
Wilson. 
Sometimes we're wrong on those. 

814
00:41:32,600 --> 00:41:35,160
Absolutely. 
But I'm not like I I like to 

815
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:37,190
take those swings. 
Yeah. 

816
00:41:38,030 --> 00:41:40,630
I think the only other last 
thing to kind of put a bow on it

817
00:41:40,630 --> 00:41:43,670
of thinking through our 
structures and again maybe a 

818
00:41:43,670 --> 00:41:47,830
feather in the Andrews cap is 
there is a chance based on like 

819
00:41:47,830 --> 00:41:50,430
where the ADP is from the back 
here that you get funneled to 

820
00:41:50,430 --> 00:41:54,110
both A0RB and a punt tight end 
build. 

821
00:41:54,830 --> 00:41:57,510
And so that's something to kind 
of think through. 

822
00:41:58,230 --> 00:42:01,670
If we're okay with that, because
my guess is, if we review the 

823
00:42:01,670 --> 00:42:05,430
board, that a lot of the sweet 
0RB targets are also going to be

824
00:42:05,510 --> 00:42:08,190
where you're wanting to load up 
on all those cranking purple 

825
00:42:08,670 --> 00:42:14,990
tight end targets as well. 
Yeah, I would. 

826
00:42:15,030 --> 00:42:20,590
I would note that Lamar Jackson 
is on the 3/4 turn and I think 

827
00:42:20,590 --> 00:42:24,150
it's a pretty interesting pick. 
Even if we don't go Andrews and 

828
00:42:24,150 --> 00:42:27,980
we're kind of in a situation 
elite quarterback wise like we 

829
00:42:27,980 --> 00:42:32,340
are at tight end where we're not
going to get one of the top 

830
00:42:32,340 --> 00:42:36,180
three at quarterback. 
If we don't take in Lamar 

831
00:42:36,180 --> 00:42:40,740
Jackson then then Burrow goes at
the end of the fourth fields and

832
00:42:40,740 --> 00:42:43,260
Herbert go kind of mid to late 
5th. 

833
00:42:43,260 --> 00:42:45,180
So maybe we could get a falling 
fields. 

834
00:42:47,420 --> 00:42:50,980
I also like Herbert, but I think
he sort of a he's not Lamar in 

835
00:42:50,980 --> 00:42:53,500
terms of what up the upside he 
provides and then at that point 

836
00:42:53,500 --> 00:42:56,780
you're down to like Beshawn 
Watson goes mid 8th. 

837
00:42:56,780 --> 00:42:59,140
So we could pretty easily get 
him in the early 8th if we 

838
00:42:59,140 --> 00:43:02,580
wanted to go that route, but 
you're kind of all ready to. 

839
00:43:03,180 --> 00:43:06,700
What, what other as I think 
through like reverse engineering

840
00:43:06,700 --> 00:43:09,260
the draft and the structure to 
it to your guys point of being 

841
00:43:09,260 --> 00:43:11,980
like OK, maybe guys like Garrett
Wilson and stuff are slightly 

842
00:43:12,020 --> 00:43:14,180
overvalued. 
I mean, if we truly are still 

843
00:43:14,180 --> 00:43:17,860
getting these prices on guys 
like JSN and Addison, yeah. 

844
00:43:18,300 --> 00:43:20,500
Might not exist later in draft 
season. 

845
00:43:20,900 --> 00:43:24,580
I do wonder if that pushes us 
toward a non wide receiver pick.

846
00:43:24,900 --> 00:43:28,580
Around to being like we do have 
legitimate it's an 8-9 that we 

847
00:43:28,580 --> 00:43:34,220
like. 7-8 and I and I think 7-8 
looks really appealing. 910 less

848
00:43:34,220 --> 00:43:35,980
so. 
What I was just gonna say, and I

849
00:43:35,980 --> 00:43:37,940
think Pat was sort of doing it 
by going through the different 

850
00:43:37,940 --> 00:43:40,820
plays is the the drafting 
landscape we're in. 

851
00:43:40,820 --> 00:43:46,300
I would argue makes it possible 
to hit to pivot to an anchor. 

852
00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:49,880
We just talked through the tight
end thing where like I would be 

853
00:43:49,880 --> 00:43:52,560
comfortable reaching at the 3-4 
turn on our favorite tight end. 

854
00:43:52,560 --> 00:43:55,120
That's going a little bit later 
in the 4th and 5th like it pits.

855
00:43:55,120 --> 00:43:59,440
It might be way too high for you
guys, but more so at running 

856
00:43:59,480 --> 00:44:01,640
back for you, OK? 
You guys are talking through 

857
00:44:01,640 --> 00:44:03,440
QBs, but more so at running 
back. 

858
00:44:03,440 --> 00:44:06,000
I think there are options 
through the entire dead zone. 

859
00:44:06,000 --> 00:44:08,480
With the way it lays out this 
year, you have like. 

860
00:44:09,000 --> 00:44:11,960
I'm really comfortable. 
We talked about Gibbs or ETN as 

861
00:44:11,960 --> 00:44:14,880
potential options at 3-4. 
I'm really comfortable with JK 

862
00:44:14,880 --> 00:44:16,200
Dobbins. 
If somehow he were to fall to 

863
00:44:16,200 --> 00:44:18,160
5-6, he's going like in the 
earlier 5th. 

864
00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:21,160
DeAndre Swift is a six round 
pick right now that I'm really 

865
00:44:21,160 --> 00:44:23,040
willing to take some exposure 
to. 

866
00:44:23,440 --> 00:44:25,240
So that I think there are. 
And then you were Pat was 

867
00:44:25,240 --> 00:44:26,440
talking through some quarterback
plays. 

868
00:44:26,440 --> 00:44:28,320
I think there are ways you can 
play tight end as well. 

869
00:44:28,640 --> 00:44:31,960
So I think there are. 
I agree with you, Pete. 

870
00:44:31,960 --> 00:44:33,960
Where you're looking back at 
that 7-8 range, you're going to 

871
00:44:33,960 --> 00:44:35,800
man, if we're really going to 
want to take receivers there, we

872
00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:37,880
might wind up taking eight 
straight receivers to start. 

873
00:44:38,330 --> 00:44:41,490
But I do think there are ways to
play the dead zone this year 

874
00:44:41,490 --> 00:44:44,370
that in the past we we we 
basically wanted to be receiver 

875
00:44:44,370 --> 00:44:47,290
only in four or five, six. 
But this year, I think there's 

876
00:44:47,290 --> 00:44:49,490
ways to play every other 
position, four or five, six and 

877
00:44:49,490 --> 00:44:53,690
throughout those rounds that I 
guess I don't want it to 

878
00:44:53,730 --> 00:44:57,330
necessarily be the deciding 
factor in our round 1-2 picks 

879
00:44:57,490 --> 00:44:59,850
because we don't know what we're
going to like at 3-4 and five. 

880
00:44:59,850 --> 00:45:03,890
Six is sort of the counter to 
that though is like what if I 

881
00:45:03,890 --> 00:45:07,260
told you from the three, you 
know from the 11:00 we went 

882
00:45:07,340 --> 00:45:17,020
Keenan third, Debo 4th, we went 
Deontay 5th, Mike Williams 6th 

883
00:45:17,020 --> 00:45:22,540
or Brandon IU 6th, Jackson Smith
and Jigba and Jordan Addison or 

884
00:45:22,540 --> 00:45:25,100
something like that like or 
Quinton Johnston, right. 

885
00:45:25,100 --> 00:45:30,300
Like that would be that's I'm 
very comfortable going wide 

886
00:45:30,300 --> 00:45:35,540
receiver from round three 
through round eight like those, 

887
00:45:36,020 --> 00:45:37,340
yeah. 
While there are potential 

888
00:45:37,340 --> 00:45:40,420
detours throughout like the wide
receivers that we're potentially

889
00:45:40,420 --> 00:45:43,140
looking at is 7/8. 
I think it's in particular that 

890
00:45:43,140 --> 00:45:49,020
7-8 term that you're looking at.
Dotson, JSN Jordan, Addison, 

891
00:45:49,340 --> 00:45:50,580
yeah. 
Quinton Johnson. 

892
00:45:50,580 --> 00:45:53,020
Like, holy shit. 
Like that's. 

893
00:45:53,020 --> 00:45:56,200
Not to mention. 
There there's a more of a dead 

894
00:45:56,200 --> 00:46:00,480
zone in a DP on FFPC then there 
is on Underdog because if you 

895
00:46:00,480 --> 00:46:03,360
look at these names, Montgomery 
Cook, James Connor Swift, Piers 

896
00:46:03,360 --> 00:46:06,760
Rashad White, they go so much 
closer to the Charbonne P Ryan A

897
00:46:06,760 --> 00:46:09,480
J Dillon range on Underdog than 
they do here. 

898
00:46:09,480 --> 00:46:13,320
Like this is a meaningful 3 
round gap between them where I 

899
00:46:13,320 --> 00:46:16,280
don't see a huge difference 
between some of these backs and 

900
00:46:16,280 --> 00:46:17,680
the backs going in the ninth 
round. 

901
00:46:18,000 --> 00:46:20,920
So like this is like the kind of
the running back area I think I 

902
00:46:20,920 --> 00:46:23,200
would mostly want to be avoiding
this round 6. 

903
00:46:25,580 --> 00:46:30,060
Early six, Yeah, that's fair. 
I mean, other than like DeAndre 

904
00:46:30,060 --> 00:46:32,940
Swift, I can make pretty good 
cases against. 

905
00:46:33,060 --> 00:46:35,180
Everyone for all the names, Pat 
said. 

906
00:46:35,420 --> 00:46:38,140
And looking at this board, the 
one name like Mike Williams at 

907
00:46:38,180 --> 00:46:39,780
602 wasn't very compelling to 
me. 

908
00:46:39,780 --> 00:46:41,740
Most of the six round I you 
maybe. 

909
00:46:41,740 --> 00:46:44,340
That's pretty compelling to me. 
I tell you I'll take him in mid 

910
00:46:44,380 --> 00:46:45,900
4th, I don't mind. 
That the other thing is this 

911
00:46:45,900 --> 00:46:48,460
tier of wide receivers is so 
flat that if you take two guys 

912
00:46:48,460 --> 00:46:51,180
from round seven and round six, 
you know what I mean? 

913
00:46:51,220 --> 00:46:53,260
Like if you bump up around seven
guy to. 

914
00:46:53,500 --> 00:46:56,500
Six, so you can get both Jahan 
Dodson and Trailing Burks or 

915
00:46:56,500 --> 00:46:57,380
whatever. 
Like I don't. 

916
00:46:57,380 --> 00:47:00,300
That's not bad. 
Yeah. 

917
00:47:00,300 --> 00:47:02,100
Also, I mean, I don't know. 
We could be looking at. 

918
00:47:02,180 --> 00:47:04,260
I know you guys like God when we
could look at like God when 

919
00:47:04,260 --> 00:47:06,340
Deonta Terry Mclaurin could 
fall. 

920
00:47:06,740 --> 00:47:09,300
Like I don't like that's pretty.
I think we're gonna like our 

921
00:47:09,300 --> 00:47:14,420
wide receivers 5678. 
Unless this is a weird room. 

922
00:47:14,740 --> 00:47:17,500
I agree. 
So there's there's four wide 

923
00:47:17,500 --> 00:47:18,820
receivers pretty easily right 
there. 

924
00:47:19,300 --> 00:47:21,990
There are still some guys. 
Again like the DeAndre Swift 

925
00:47:21,990 --> 00:47:25,430
where I think you can make some 
2V twos and you wouldn't mind 

926
00:47:25,430 --> 00:47:27,990
not picking one of those 
receivers the the the list of 

927
00:47:27,990 --> 00:47:32,390
receivers you named was good. 
But like unless Keenan or Debo 

928
00:47:32,390 --> 00:47:36,750
has a true elite ceiling, I 
don't think they were you know 

929
00:47:36,750 --> 00:47:39,510
as comparable to the one, two 
turn guys as we like like to get

930
00:47:39,510 --> 00:47:43,310
that elite wide receiver. 
And I'm not saying we go, we go 

931
00:47:43,310 --> 00:47:44,950
non wide receiver, non wide 
receiver. 

932
00:47:45,070 --> 00:47:48,950
I'm saying we go 1 detour in 
these first two rounds because 

933
00:47:49,710 --> 00:47:53,150
you know, we could easily rip 
off 7 wide receivers after that.

934
00:47:53,230 --> 00:47:56,110
Because if we were looking, if 
we like the wide receivers in 

935
00:47:56,110 --> 00:47:59,110
the eighth round, I mean getting
to the eighth round was 6 wide 

936
00:47:59,110 --> 00:48:04,510
receivers we like and then two 
detours for either an anchor 

937
00:48:04,510 --> 00:48:07,470
running back, a tight elite 
tight end or an elite 

938
00:48:07,470 --> 00:48:09,990
quarterback like that, that sets
up pretty well. 

939
00:48:10,830 --> 00:48:12,670
But do we have a detour that 
makes? 

940
00:48:14,720 --> 00:48:16,600
And that's a lot of reverse 
engineering to be. 

941
00:48:16,600 --> 00:48:18,360
We have to be pretty certain in 
our detour. 

942
00:48:18,360 --> 00:48:20,880
We talked through the entries 
and JT stuff and they're going a

943
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:22,720
lot later. 
You can pair them with like cup 

944
00:48:23,400 --> 00:48:25,640
and and tight reek in some draft
slots. 

945
00:48:26,320 --> 00:48:28,880
Unless we want to go there with 
those guys, what detour are we 

946
00:48:28,880 --> 00:48:30,040
even making? 
I mean, I think. 

947
00:48:30,080 --> 00:48:34,320
I think what I see happening is 
like say you do the JT versus 

948
00:48:34,320 --> 00:48:37,320
Mark Andrews decision point. 
Like I do think if you go Mark 

949
00:48:37,320 --> 00:48:39,200
Andrews you're looking at a 0 RB
build. 

950
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:42,320
If you go JT, you're looking at 
a punt Tied in build most 

951
00:48:42,320 --> 00:48:46,350
likely. 
See, I I think there's a lot of 

952
00:48:46,350 --> 00:48:49,270
options at running back and 
tight end. 3 rounds 3 through 6 

953
00:48:49,270 --> 00:48:52,910
I actually I don't want to reach
for those guys. 

954
00:48:52,910 --> 00:48:55,710
If we have a chance to reach 
like 3 picks on Andrews, who I 

955
00:48:55,710 --> 00:49:01,190
think is going to move up, then 
why would like we're That to me 

956
00:49:01,190 --> 00:49:03,510
feels like the thing where we're
like making a team out of 

957
00:49:03,510 --> 00:49:05,750
players that will get a better 
prices later. 

958
00:49:05,990 --> 00:49:09,070
Like I don't think that Pitts, 
Kitts. 

959
00:49:09,350 --> 00:49:11,430
Is going to move up pits. 
Is going to move pitch. 

960
00:49:11,430 --> 00:49:15,330
Will move up some, but he's but 
he's not in the. 

961
00:49:15,610 --> 00:49:18,250
Where is he? 
We don't need to take, we don't 

962
00:49:18,250 --> 00:49:19,770
need to take pits. 
That wasn't like sort of the 

963
00:49:19,770 --> 00:49:22,570
this is going at the 4:12, so I 
liked the. 

964
00:49:22,770 --> 00:49:25,010
The track we were on where this 
would be more of a punt, tight 

965
00:49:25,010 --> 00:49:28,330
end Pete Pete mentioned earlier,
I liked that idea. 

966
00:49:28,330 --> 00:49:30,770
I think we could still get a 
running back like a Gibbs at the

967
00:49:30,770 --> 00:49:35,170
3-4 if that happens or a couple 
other options that we were 

968
00:49:35,170 --> 00:49:38,210
looking at there. 
But I'm thinking like we could 

969
00:49:38,210 --> 00:49:41,250
get, let's say we went in or 
let's say we sorry, let's say we

970
00:49:41,250 --> 00:49:45,000
went Taylor. 
We could be looking at like I 

971
00:49:45,640 --> 00:49:47,800
don't know, let's say digs falls
just to us just to make things 

972
00:49:47,800 --> 00:49:50,720
simple, right, Digs and then 
Taylor. 

973
00:49:51,240 --> 00:49:54,800
And then we could go wide 
receiver, wide receiver and then

974
00:49:54,800 --> 00:49:57,920
we could get like a Herbert 
paired with Keenan or Fields if 

975
00:49:57,920 --> 00:50:00,720
he falls and there's our two 
detours. 

976
00:50:00,720 --> 00:50:04,480
And then we go wide receiver 
through eight and then we come 

977
00:50:04,480 --> 00:50:07,600
back and circle and you know 
crank it purple through some of 

978
00:50:07,600 --> 00:50:11,440
the double digit rounds in 
addition to going running back. 

979
00:50:12,400 --> 00:50:13,920
The other thing that is 
different this year and we've 

980
00:50:13,920 --> 00:50:16,400
been talking about it on 
underdog too like looking at the

981
00:50:16,400 --> 00:50:18,600
tight end options throughout the
draft board. 

982
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:20,960
Like I remember in previous 
years like I mean we were taking

983
00:50:20,960 --> 00:50:24,120
some like true true like Jordan 
Aiken's level dust balls that 

984
00:50:24,120 --> 00:50:27,920
tight end like when you get 
squeezed I'd have a be like MM 

985
00:50:28,080 --> 00:50:29,920
get sick. 
He's going in 13. 

986
00:50:30,360 --> 00:50:32,680
Jelani Woods and Ferguson are 
going in 16. 

987
00:50:32,680 --> 00:50:36,080
Michael Mayer is going in 17. 
Dawson Knox and 18. 

988
00:50:36,320 --> 00:50:38,440
Taysom Hill and 32. 
I know that's the best ball 

989
00:50:38,440 --> 00:50:40,320
thing. 
Hunter Henry we all like is is 

990
00:50:40,320 --> 00:50:42,320
in the last round, going in the 
20th. 

991
00:50:42,400 --> 00:50:46,280
Round so undrafted sometimes too
like it is nice. 

992
00:50:46,280 --> 00:50:48,520
I think the the tight end 
options, there's going to be 

993
00:50:48,520 --> 00:50:50,600
tight end options throughout the
whole draft. 

994
00:50:51,800 --> 00:50:55,240
I think that's true of like 
every position where things are 

995
00:50:55,240 --> 00:50:59,360
a little bit more balanced. 
I think the Like Adp's got more 

996
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:01,800
efficient. 
CEH goes off the board in the 

997
00:51:01,800 --> 00:51:03,800
15th round. 
I mean, the running back stuff 

998
00:51:03,800 --> 00:51:08,000
dries up really like the last 
five rounds are not pretty for 

999
00:51:08,000 --> 00:51:10,720
running backs. 
Whereas I can make cases for 

1000
00:51:10,720 --> 00:51:13,240
tight ends in the last five. 
Rounds I I meant, yeah, that 

1001
00:51:13,240 --> 00:51:14,600
that's fair. 
That's different than underdog. 

1002
00:51:14,600 --> 00:51:17,000
I just meant in the 2023 
drafting environment that we're 

1003
00:51:17,000 --> 00:51:19,280
moving towards more efficient. 
And I do think it means that you

1004
00:51:19,280 --> 00:51:22,200
can throw structure out the 
window a little bit more for 

1005
00:51:22,200 --> 00:51:24,360
player selections. 
I mean, I I I know that sounds 

1006
00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:26,720
kind of odd, but that that's 
like a broad take that I'm 

1007
00:51:28,120 --> 00:51:32,440
considering this, this ADP 
doesn't feel that different to 

1008
00:51:32,440 --> 00:51:35,520
me than older ADP. 
This isn't, this isn't underdog.

1009
00:51:36,680 --> 00:51:39,160
Like if you're getting Jackson 
Smith and Jacob the seven eighth

1010
00:51:39,160 --> 00:51:43,240
turn, like this is not, this is 
exploitable. 

1011
00:51:44,680 --> 00:51:46,880
Yeah, that's, Yeah. 
That's I agree with that. 

1012
00:51:46,920 --> 00:51:50,080
I I do have to to get going. 
We did why we were talking. 

1013
00:51:50,080 --> 00:51:55,480
The Austin Eckler pick did come 
in, so that was expected and now

1014
00:51:55,480 --> 00:51:57,520
we'll see here. 
And I should also mention this 

1015
00:51:57,520 --> 00:52:00,360
is you know, a dynamic here. 
I recognize a few names in here,

1016
00:52:00,360 --> 00:52:02,880
but we do have one of our ship 
chasers out of the 10 slot. 

1017
00:52:03,870 --> 00:52:06,390
Slime Season is Ryan from the 
Discord. 

1018
00:52:06,390 --> 00:52:10,030
So, you know, we might be able 
to to profile him a little bit 

1019
00:52:10,030 --> 00:52:12,070
and he's gonna be able to 
profile us a little bit, so. 

1020
00:52:12,310 --> 00:52:15,670
The one thing I'm sorry to cut 
you off cuz I made closing is 

1021
00:52:15,670 --> 00:52:18,470
that it really it's Qb's Going 
higher path than my argument 

1022
00:52:18,470 --> 00:52:20,710
would be is yes, I agree with 
you, the wide receivers are 

1023
00:52:20,710 --> 00:52:23,710
still, but there's like better 
tight end profiles later. 

1024
00:52:23,710 --> 00:52:25,990
There's better running back 
profiles later as well and it's 

1025
00:52:26,070 --> 00:52:28,670
all because the Qb's are there's
seven Qb's going the 1st 5 

1026
00:52:28,670 --> 00:52:30,690
rounds. 
I don't like the late running 

1027
00:52:30,690 --> 00:52:33,050
back profiles that much. 
I mean there's certainly targets

1028
00:52:33,050 --> 00:52:37,210
but I guess I would I think a 
hero running back start was 

1029
00:52:37,210 --> 00:52:40,690
probably going to work better 
for us in this ADP environment 

1030
00:52:40,690 --> 00:52:45,610
then sure then not right if 
we're if we're only if we're 

1031
00:52:45,610 --> 00:52:48,170
punting one of tight end or 
running back. 

1032
00:52:48,170 --> 00:52:51,210
I think the full punt of tight 
end probably works better, even 

1033
00:52:51,210 --> 00:52:55,770
though I like Andrews more than 
I like Taylor in tight end. 

1034
00:52:55,770 --> 00:52:58,790
Premium I think, but I but I 
still think Taylor might help us

1035
00:52:58,790 --> 00:53:00,990
more. 
I I think cranking Purple might 

1036
00:53:01,110 --> 00:53:03,550
not. 
This might be the most viable 

1037
00:53:03,550 --> 00:53:07,630
it's ever been in the years we 
played on FFPC. 

1038
00:53:07,950 --> 00:53:10,750
Like full stop. 
Like the fact that you could 

1039
00:53:10,750 --> 00:53:14,110
literally go around 15 through 
20 and take five tight ends that

1040
00:53:14,150 --> 00:53:17,630
all have like a glimmer of hope,
either projectable role and 

1041
00:53:17,630 --> 00:53:19,830
upside profile correlation with 
your quarterback. 

1042
00:53:20,110 --> 00:53:23,950
Like I I do think we're we're 
going to have some really nice 

1043
00:53:23,950 --> 00:53:27,520
punt tied in builds we like. 
Yeah. 

1044
00:53:27,520 --> 00:53:31,640
And also I think maybe those 
tight ends might as a group move

1045
00:53:31,640 --> 00:53:36,760
up and it might become more 
difficult to crank purple you 

1046
00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:38,200
know like Dawson Knox for 
example. 

1047
00:53:38,200 --> 00:53:40,200
Like what if we do reports that 
like no Dawson Knox is still 

1048
00:53:40,200 --> 00:53:42,920
like playing like like he did 
last year basically. 

1049
00:53:43,200 --> 00:53:45,520
It's just that they're also 
sometimes mixing in this rookie 

1050
00:53:46,080 --> 00:53:49,240
I feel like we're you should be 
making round penny premium. 

1051
00:53:49,240 --> 00:53:52,280
Every, every, like exploitable 
opportunity you think is out 

1052
00:53:52,280 --> 00:53:54,240
there you think is gonna 
disappear immediately. 

1053
00:53:54,850 --> 00:53:56,770
Like broadly you're like, oh, 
this is going away, this is 

1054
00:53:56,770 --> 00:53:58,690
going away. 
Well, it's. 

1055
00:53:59,810 --> 00:54:03,570
I mean, shouldn't you shouldn't 
you assume that that that a big 

1056
00:54:03,570 --> 00:54:06,090
edge isn't gonna just sit there 
for you forever and you should 

1057
00:54:06,090 --> 00:54:06,970
take advantage of them now? 
Maybe. 

1058
00:54:08,490 --> 00:54:10,850
Yeah, but like, I don't know, 
hasn't, haven't you guys all 

1059
00:54:10,850 --> 00:54:14,210
been talking about like oh JSN 
is so cheap on DraftKings and 

1060
00:54:14,210 --> 00:54:18,250
like that hasn't changed, right?
Like the the I never said JSN 

1061
00:54:18,250 --> 00:54:19,530
will get more expensive on 
DraftKings. 

1062
00:54:19,650 --> 00:54:22,370
I don't don't forward. 
No, I'm just saying it is. 

1063
00:54:22,370 --> 00:54:25,870
It is hard to know. 
And all we can do is really use 

1064
00:54:25,870 --> 00:54:28,590
like the information that we 
have now and there's so few main

1065
00:54:28,590 --> 00:54:30,870
events that have even been 
completed that it is kind of 

1066
00:54:30,870 --> 00:54:33,230
hard to know. 
But let's let's power this down.

1067
00:54:33,230 --> 00:54:36,070
We will, we will next time we 
touch base, we'll probably be 

1068
00:54:36,070 --> 00:54:39,870
when we're on the 3/4 turn and 
we will kind of then recap these

1069
00:54:39,910 --> 00:54:44,230
decisions we did end up making 
here at the 1-2 turn. 

1070
00:54:44,630 --> 00:54:46,510
If you guys are listening to the
audio version, you want to see 

1071
00:54:46,510 --> 00:54:48,950
the video of this with the 
screen share and get earlier 

1072
00:54:48,950 --> 00:54:51,790
access to these. 
You become a YouTube member and 

1073
00:54:51,790 --> 00:54:55,550
also hop in the Discord. 
But yeah, this is the mini Sold 

1074
00:54:55,550 --> 00:54:56,870
series. 
We're off to the race as we call

1075
00:54:56,870 --> 00:54:59,590
the mini sold series of. 
This one's clocking it at almost

1076
00:54:59,590 --> 00:55:03,510
55 minutes, which is a little 
bit of a DP chasing rubbing off 

1077
00:55:03,510 --> 00:55:08,430
on us I guess. 
But it feels great to be back 

1078
00:55:08,430 --> 00:55:09,670
guys. 
We will let you know how this 

1079
00:55:09,950 --> 00:55:11,470
this team materializes here 
soon. 

1080
00:55:11,470 --> 00:55:13,110
We'll catch you at the next bit.
