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All right guys, It's a Wonderful
Time of the Year, playoff 

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basketball season, playoff 
contests are among us. 

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And, you know, not all of us 
were fortunate enough to win two

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million dollars. 
Some of us still have to grind 

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our cocks off to win five 
hundred thousand dollars, it 

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just so happens that one of 
those People grind their cocks 

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off to it. 500,000 is also the 
guy who won two billion dollars,

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but I digress tonight. 
We reveal the Boomer off, 

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though. 
What are the Boomers rolling out

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on FF PC? 
We will lay the groundwork for 

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the contest. 
Get you guys ready to win that 

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500k. 
Let's do it. 

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Pat fryer homos. 
Anita hand job. 

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All right, bring it out. 
All the big guns tonight. 

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We got Ben, Gretch, patka rain, 
we got the statue, acing, guys, 

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Draco and Sam. 
And we have the Boomer opto 

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revealer himself. 
Hassan, how are you guys doing? 

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Do you want to hear about 
laughing behind the cold? 

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Open? 
What was, I still don't? 

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Why wasn't I muted? 
I don't know. 

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But it was great. 
It was perhaps actually been a 

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stream, yard shift in the past, 
like, six months that your guys 

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is noise has bled through. 
To my cold open. 

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So, thank you for not saying 
anything ridiculous. 

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During, well, you tell us very 
typical but real quick. 

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Hassan how, how long have you 
been in the lab? 

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We will, in a little bit reveal?
The Boomer opto. 

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I just want to know kind of like
your process. 

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Your preparation. 
Have you been slaving over this?

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Yeah, we've been in the lab for 
about a month, right? 

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So the process is pretty, it's 
pretty arduous. 

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So you have to you have to 
understand boomers are old. 

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They just sort of not all there 
mentally, right? 

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Is a lot of cognitive decline 
that you need to inhibit on 

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yourself if you force it on 
yourself. 

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So you're looking mighty. 
Yeah. 

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First training camp. 
Like, you're trying to get in 

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worse shape? 
Yeah. 

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You you have to be like bounding
beers. 

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You just if you're not waking up
every day, just hungover. 

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You just, not gonna get there, 
man. 

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You're not getting any animals 
no fruit. 

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Like, yeah, it's just an obscure
be impossible. 

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You got to have Like a steady 
diet of chicken chicken fried 

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steak and like, 80 Miller High 
Life. 

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All right, I think are on the 
menu. 

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It says ler. 
So so for hard. 

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Yeah, Draco Sam. 
How are you guys doing? 

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Of course, for those of you 
don't know, our stat chasing 

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Brethren doing, great work on 
the Channel, all season long 

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Sam. 
You know, we were all pulling 

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for you to win, best Ball Mania 
three socks that someone else 

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want it. 
You had two bullets and your 

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Advanced rates to the semis and 
the This was some of the most 

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batshit crazy stuff I've ever 
seen. 

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Yeah, I really ran hot there for
a second. 

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I had nine teams in the Siamese 
and then and then, two in the 

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finals. 
But the amount of 

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congratulations I've gotten over
the last week for coming 176. 

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Then 239th place and BBM for is 
and be Beyond three has really 

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been amazing. 
So I want to thank the community

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for really recognizing that 
counts lab would get the support

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of community right now. 
It's a pretty flat plant palette

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strike that's very it's very 
That I can't quite crunch the 

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numbers on it, but I got close 
to the two million that patent 

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editors. 
Yeah. 

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Very very close to that Draco. 
You had a couple sweats in the 

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ffp. 
See you were going to defend 

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your crown in the the best ball 
tournament correct. 

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Yeah so I got two teams to final
really happy to do that. 

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So I'm going to have they were 
carrying some injuries for sure 

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but still did it the opening 
rounds for both of them. 

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Our sake for opening round for 
about it on went really well. 

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So, I was hot, what? 
I guess was hoping and one of 

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those teams did have their 
calories that what that 

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immediately and happy to. 
I guess, happy to finish 20 in 

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Total Defense. 
It's like, literally a safe set 

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a set of steak knives, put 20, 
that a nice set of steak knives.

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Yeah. 
That's true. 

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It's very, very nice set of 
statements. 

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But yeah, well, I I was 
dreaming. 

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It's and it's one of those 
things where because that 

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everything worked out so 
perfectly last year. 

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Like I was almost primed. 
Okay, it's going to happen again

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when like I have to like I don't
talk myself down, know you got 

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very lucky last year. 
Like that's not well that's like

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only only go bills get to win 
back to back you know that's on 

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the that's all right. 
But yeah that's John. 

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Comparing things and stuff like 
that. 

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So I was fun. 
Yeah. 

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And again, like just to reframe 
it. 

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I mean both of you guys to have 
two bullets in those main 

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contest finals is is absurd 
speaks to how well you guys 

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drafted your fantasy teams and 
how sharp you guys are so 

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congratulations to both of you. 
Ben Gretch. 

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It's a beautiful time of the 
year. 

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Are you in the lab? 
Are you, are you ready for 

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Playoff Challenge week? 
I wouldn't say I'm totally in 

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the lab. 
I'm ready? 

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We didn't do the first. 
Look, what? 

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Davis, haven't looked through 
Pat's ownership projections yet.

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I think this episode is where 
I'm going to get, right? 

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This is the moment, you know, I 
want to, I want to see this on 

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the ship. 
This is the lab. 

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You might want to think through 
it. 

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This is the lap I want to, in 
real time digest, some of these 

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team breakdowns, positional 
breakdowns. 

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There's obviously so many ways 
to think about this contest. 

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It's so much freaking fun. 
It's a very unique contest and 

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we love it around here. 
Pat can you? 

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You give for people who maybe 
aren't initiated, I'm going to 

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see him. 
A lot of our audience has played

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this contest over the years, we 
generally do multiple shows 

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every year, we've been playing 
it for. 

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I don't know, five, six, seven 
plus years. 

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But can you give a tldr kind of 
overview on what this contest 

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is? 
Because it's both on the 

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purpose, very simple. 
And yet, you can go down the 

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rabbit hole and spend hours and 
hours on it. 

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Yeah. 
This I think is a very fun 

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contest because the rules are 
super simple. 

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Which means, Kind of the 
strategy elements are really 

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about the game theory. 
Not understand understand the 

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concept itself, which is very 
simple, but understanding how 

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everyone else is going to play 
the contest. 

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And that's where you can go down
the rabbit hole but the rules of

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the contest are that you're 
filling out an expanded ffp, see

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lineup. 
So you've got quarterback to 

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running back to wide receiver 
tight end, kicker defense for 

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flexes not to with the normal 
format because we have we have 

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to cover all these playoff teams
that still leaves. 

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Two teams that you are not 
selecting in the playoffs. 

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What the way we talk about these
is that you essentially are 

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selecting, those teams, you're 
selecting them, as your fate, 

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your first fade and your second 
fade. 

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I think it's important to think 
through which teams you're 

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leaving off because the field 
often, really really condenses 

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on those teams. 
The teams that they just aren't 

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selecting anywhere from we also 
talked about the kicker and the 

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defense is being a soft fade as 
opposed to the hard fate of just

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leaving the team's off because 
if you have a kicker and a 

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defense as As a team. 
Then you know you don't want 

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that team to advance. 
And then the key role here that 

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I should have already said, is 
that you only select one player 

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from each team? 
You can only when you're filling

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out the sign up you can only 
pick one player from any 

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individual team and Super Bowl 
is worth double points. 

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And that I think there is, you 
know, the meme the like Galaxy 

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brain meme with this contest. 
I think there's like the levels 

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to it, right? 
Where it's like, just play the 

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best place. 
Oh, then start to look at 

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projected points and then like, 
the third level is start to 

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layer on various Super Bowl 
scenarios in playoff bracket 

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scenarios on top of those other 
elements. 

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And then there's also an 
ownership angle and yada yada. 

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So, depending on how deep you 
want to go down the rabbit hole,

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which we are going to go very 
deep down at this. 

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Each week, you will have a good 
time. 

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But I feel like the Bedrock for 
attacking this contest is 

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knowing what is the most likely 
lineup for the field. 

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The hand Builders the Boomers at
the Sizzler, pulling up their 

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tablet because Lord knows the 
van isn't big enough on their 

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phone to view this team and 
building a lineup. 

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And that's where we really tap 
into Hassan. 

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And I think I saw something 
revealed before the show because

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Pat, of course, crunches, his 
ownership numbers for this. 

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But you and Hassan On arrived on
the same Boomer opto 

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independently we did. 
And I right before the show, I 

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thought I'm wrong. 
The I have theirs. 

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I have the wrong quarterback. 
I need to switch this. 

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So I went switch the quarterback
and look down, scroll down to 

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see what he saw was doing 
because I was, I have in the 

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same sheet. 
I was building one at sounds 

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below. 
I scroll down and it's the exact

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same one up. 
So Hassan set set the table for 

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us here before we start to do, 
you know, we hand the envelope 

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over you to do. 
The reveal, you mentioned a 

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little bit of your process 
hanging out at the Sizzler. 

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What else are you trying to do 
to get in the mind of an FF PC 

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grinder for this contest? 
So so the easiest way to really 

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is to look at like recent 
performance and the average 

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points per game, right? 
It should just give you an idea 

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of like yes, yes, yes, no, yes, 
right? 

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And and that's and that really 
is Is I mean, when we, when we, 

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when we unveiled, this concept A
few years ago, it was, it was 

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like dead on the money, right? 
They got a like if you guys 

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remember that, there were a lot 
of people in the chat saying, 

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that's my line up or I believe. 
So we've come, we've come so far

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just from just from the concept 
of pivots but there's going to 

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be people who just really 
believe in playing the best 

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players, right? 
Like how can you go wrong with 

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this discomfort? 
Edible feeling. 

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I just want to shove in a bunch 
of teams that look like this and

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just sweat them. 
Asan, explaining the Boomer opto

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while his video legs lag Boomer 
is. 

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Yeah, it's you can't tell me 
this isn't part of the bit. 

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I mean, the only the other one, 
the only other framing I want to

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do before we get into this is 
acknowledging that the Boomer 

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opto. 
These days might just be closer 

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to the opto might just be the 
opto. 

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It might just be the optimal 
because over the years we've 

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seen in our drafts the the piss 
boys are more prevalent. 

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People are more willing to jam. 
These wide receivers we don't 

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have Derrick Henry in these 
playoffs. 

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There's a lot of things to 
sound. 

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Would you say you felt a little 
bit of a I don't know, a wind 

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shift here of how the boomers 
are approaching these contests. 

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Yeah 100% I mean there's like a 
handful of running backs who we 

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all know and love that we wish 
the Boomers would be picking and

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I just couldn't find a way to 
put them into the lineup. 

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Like I just I just couldn't like
like I in my initial run. 

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I was like maybe maybe Mix and 
make sense and that's just not 

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going to happen. 
Right. 

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Like it's just like even even 
when you say it out loud, it's 

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just one of those. 
Okay. 

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This is, it feels wrong to put 
it out there because I don't 

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think that that's the route that
people are going to go anymore. 

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00:11:45,600 --> 00:11:47,700
Yeah. 
And you know, that's a, that's a

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dynamic to and I've listened to 
a few podcasts are ready to and 

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like the Galaxy brainers are 
almost more of a dominant cohort

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than the Boomers at this point. 
It's so I will say Pat, I think 

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last year your ownership 
projections were so dialed in. 

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00:12:02,800 --> 00:12:05,500
I almost feel like this year is 
going to be trickier because I 

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think this year for the first 
time, you're going to experience

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00:12:08,700 --> 00:12:11,200
a little bit of what we 
experienced in the DFS streets, 

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00:12:11,400 --> 00:12:14,400
with the game of leveling and 
like, I've already heard 

227
00:12:14,400 --> 00:12:15,900
everything. 
One talk about t Higgins. 

228
00:12:15,900 --> 00:12:19,600
Being a pivot on Jamar Chase and
like to the point where I'm 

229
00:12:19,600 --> 00:12:22,300
like, holy shit, are we going to
flip over the cards? 

230
00:12:22,700 --> 00:12:24,800
Ta gets the, I don't think 
that's actually gonna happen in 

231
00:12:24,800 --> 00:12:26,900
FF PC. 
But I'm just saying that Dynamic

232
00:12:26,900 --> 00:12:29,400
is there more than it's ever 
been any other year. 

233
00:12:30,000 --> 00:12:33,000
That is interesting because the 
chalk is historically, really, 

234
00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:35,900
really condensed in this 
tournament which is one of the 

235
00:12:35,900 --> 00:12:38,700
reasons that I like it so much 
because I like it like an old 

236
00:12:38,700 --> 00:12:43,500
gpp like it's the last gpp that 
hasn't, you know, been destroyed

237
00:12:43,500 --> 00:12:46,800
by all the leveling it. 
Like everyone kind of plays like

238
00:12:46,800 --> 00:12:51,100
a cache line up in this top, 
heavy tournament, you know, this

239
00:12:51,100 --> 00:12:54,300
is, this is a tournament, you're
trying to finish very first and 

240
00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:58,200
the, the payoff, the payouts 
fall off, pretty considerably 

241
00:12:58,200 --> 00:13:00,600
pretty quickly. 
I will marry, you know, about 

242
00:13:00,600 --> 00:13:02,200
finishing first in tournaments. 
Yeah. 

243
00:13:02,200 --> 00:13:04,800
And here, am I? 
Jesus Christ. 

244
00:13:06,700 --> 00:13:09,000
It is FPC. 
So it is tight and premium 

245
00:13:09,000 --> 00:13:10,900
someone in the chat. 
Now, for the payouts, nice up 

246
00:13:10,900 --> 00:13:13,100
there. 
When you get up there I would 

247
00:13:13,100 --> 00:13:18,700
recommend finishing first. 
That is the Draco and Sam any 

248
00:13:18,700 --> 00:13:20,800
other final thoughts here before
Hassan. 

249
00:13:20,800 --> 00:13:24,100
And we start to go position by 
position through the Boomer 

250
00:13:24,100 --> 00:13:27,100
opto, just kind of other macro 
takeaways for this contest. 

251
00:13:28,300 --> 00:13:31,400
One thing I was and this is more
of a question than a take I 

252
00:13:31,408 --> 00:13:35,300
have. 
But so the contest size is for 

253
00:13:35,300 --> 00:13:40,200
the 200 dollar entries like 7800
entrance and you're picking like

254
00:13:40,200 --> 00:13:43,600
12 positions, right? 
So I'm curious like how much are

255
00:13:43,600 --> 00:13:47,400
you guys in terms of ownership? 
Are you worried more about like 

256
00:13:47,500 --> 00:13:52,100
duplicates or do you just want 
to have like more unique plays 

257
00:13:52,100 --> 00:13:53,500
in general? 
Because I guess I was just 

258
00:13:53,500 --> 00:13:56,900
trying to Crunch the math. 
Like How likely are duplicates 

259
00:13:56,900 --> 00:14:00,900
to be a In this tournament, this
like this lineup will be 

260
00:14:00,900 --> 00:14:02,700
duplicated. 
I feel pretty strong that when 

261
00:14:02,700 --> 00:14:04,900
we reveal the Boomer up though. 
It's not going. 

262
00:14:04,900 --> 00:14:07,100
There are lineups that are 
duplicated pretty heavily 

263
00:14:07,100 --> 00:14:08,000
actually. 
Yeah. 

264
00:14:08,700 --> 00:14:11,100
I mean, because of the way that 
ownership condenses and less 

265
00:14:11,100 --> 00:14:13,000
Pete's right in this year, 
there's a lot of leveling and 

266
00:14:13,000 --> 00:14:15,500
all that, but in the past 
ownership is condensed enough. 

267
00:14:15,500 --> 00:14:17,900
That there have been certain 
lineups that have duplicated 

268
00:14:17,900 --> 00:14:21,000
quite a bit and then the ones 
that are one or two pivot like, 

269
00:14:21,800 --> 00:14:24,100
you know, like the old way of 
playing a gpp. 

270
00:14:24,100 --> 00:14:28,400
The way that I like to play in 
2015 was like, I'm gonna get 

271
00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,900
that 12 percent player and I'm 
going to stick them in there and

272
00:14:30,900 --> 00:14:33,200
then play all the Chuck this 
weekend, it's gonna win like 

273
00:14:33,200 --> 00:14:35,500
that. 
A lot of people are still doing 

274
00:14:35,500 --> 00:14:38,000
that here. 
Let me let's back up and talk 

275
00:14:38,000 --> 00:14:41,900
about last year for a second and
talk about their there was a 

276
00:14:41,908 --> 00:14:46,400
number of players that were at 
least 40 percent owns. 

277
00:14:47,500 --> 00:14:51,300
It looks like seven eight nine 
sounds like 11 players that were

278
00:14:51,300 --> 00:14:54,500
40 percent plus ohms. 
That's a lot of like very chalky

279
00:14:54,500 --> 00:14:59,000
pieces think about like a DFS 
lineup like any Any player 40% 

280
00:14:59,000 --> 00:15:02,200
on a DFS contest to be mass of 
Joc Stefon. 

281
00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:05,600
Diggs, the New England defense, 
Rob Gronkowski Joe Mixon. 

282
00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:09,800
We're all between 40 and 50. 
Derrick Henry, Travis Kelce, not

283
00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:13,300
picking Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 
full fade, we're all between 50 

284
00:15:13,300 --> 00:15:15,900
and 60 Debo Samuel, was 64 
percent. 

285
00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:19,900
The Filly Fade with 74% Davante 
Adams, 77%. 

286
00:15:19,900 --> 00:15:23,800
And Cooper cup was on 91% of 
rosters. 

287
00:15:24,300 --> 00:15:32,300
That was to look too low and 
just want to play I projected 

288
00:15:32,300 --> 00:15:36,200
88% and I understand it. 
So yeah, I mean that I think 

289
00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:39,100
when you have that level of 
chalk with that many different 

290
00:15:39,100 --> 00:15:42,900
pieces you do run into Dukes. 
All right got it. 

291
00:15:42,900 --> 00:15:46,800
Hassan our sorry Draco. 
Did you have any other macro 

292
00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:50,600
thoughts on the contest? 
And my I had one didn't have one

293
00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:53,500
top. 
That I do think a lot of the the

294
00:15:53,500 --> 00:15:57,800
top quarterbacks this year also 
have teammates that could as so.

295
00:15:57,800 --> 00:16:00,400
Obviously with the idea with the
quarterbacks is that you want 

296
00:16:00,400 --> 00:16:04,200
the one that goes to the Super 
Bowl and a lot of them have 

297
00:16:04,200 --> 00:16:09,600
teammates that could reasonably 
outscored them in a one-game 

298
00:16:09,600 --> 00:16:12,200
sample, like Stefan. 
Eggs. 

299
00:16:12,200 --> 00:16:17,600
You've got Travis Kelce and AJ 
Brown, like all players Doc in a

300
00:16:17,600 --> 00:16:22,800
one-game, they could be such a 
high percentage of their of 

301
00:16:22,800 --> 00:16:27,300
their production that and I do 
think that's like I'm not sure 

302
00:16:27,300 --> 00:16:31,900
how a typical that is, but I do 
think that is an interesting. 

303
00:16:31,900 --> 00:16:34,300
No that's really interesting. 
I remember last year there was a

304
00:16:34,308 --> 00:16:38,500
pretty strong possibility, Josh 
Allen could wind up being the QB

305
00:16:38,500 --> 00:16:40,500
in the. 
Did he end up being the QB in 

306
00:16:40,508 --> 00:16:42,200
the winning line up? 
We have the winning one if I 

307
00:16:42,208 --> 00:16:44,800
haven't seen it yet. 
I don't last year but they lost 

308
00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:47,500
in the second round and he was 
good enough in his two games 

309
00:16:48,000 --> 00:16:52,700
that even like like Borough V 
ceviches had the potential for 

310
00:16:52,700 --> 00:16:56,400
Chase to be the play for the 
Bangles and cup for to be the 

311
00:16:56,400 --> 00:16:59,500
play for the Rams and Alan to be
the quarterback. 

312
00:16:59,900 --> 00:17:01,400
I see what you're saying. 
I mean there's there's 

313
00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:03,600
interesting ways to think 
through this as a result of the 

314
00:17:03,600 --> 00:17:05,300
way that every years a little 
bit different. 

315
00:17:05,300 --> 00:17:09,099
But it's a good point that this 
year at QB, has that tie in with

316
00:17:09,099 --> 00:17:14,000
some calling for no man, Sean 
and Sean's article today. 

317
00:17:14,099 --> 00:17:19,000
He said, he could do like a Josh
Allen Travis Kelce which I think

318
00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:22,200
that's the most like easily 
Envision kind of like combo. 

319
00:17:22,700 --> 00:17:27,099
But the other guys I mentioned, 
I can still see that as well. 

320
00:17:28,300 --> 00:17:31,000
Yeah, and they're there. 
You can go down the line, you 

321
00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:34,000
can come up with six or seven 
and if you do think of it, just 

322
00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:38,600
through the lens of best play 
relative to ownership. 

323
00:17:38,600 --> 00:17:41,700
And then how many projected 
points, like assuming you're 

324
00:17:41,700 --> 00:17:44,000
using, just an expected Games 
model? 

325
00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:47,800
Like, if you do that calculation
for the thing. 

326
00:17:47,800 --> 00:17:49,300
That's so interesting about this
contest, right? 

327
00:17:49,300 --> 00:17:52,100
Is if you project someone to 
play four games, right? 

328
00:17:52,100 --> 00:17:55,900
Like the best player on that 
team is most likely to score the

329
00:17:55,900 --> 00:17:57,500
most points over a four-game 
sample. 

330
00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:00,600
But the The smaller you shrink 
shrink that sample, three games 

331
00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:04,300
to games one game, the more 
likely it is that an ancillary 

332
00:18:04,300 --> 00:18:08,600
piece or a random one-off piece 
is to outscore the other guy and

333
00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:10,600
so that's where it gets really 
fun to start to look at the 

334
00:18:10,600 --> 00:18:13,600
ownership of some of these guys 
who might only play one game, 

335
00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:17,900
two games knowing variants can 
kick in and submarine, a massive

336
00:18:17,900 --> 00:18:20,400
ownership number. 
That would be my big macro 

337
00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:23,100
thought on. 
This is a lot of times in any of

338
00:18:23,100 --> 00:18:27,800
these types of contests, we say,
they're like a gpp in DFS. 

339
00:18:28,300 --> 00:18:34,600
One of the biggest parts of DFS 
GPS is how you can try to limit 

340
00:18:34,600 --> 00:18:35,900
the things you have to get, 
right? 

341
00:18:35,900 --> 00:18:38,500
And you can correlate with 
stacks and bring back soon. 

342
00:18:38,500 --> 00:18:42,000
The way many correlations you 
can maybe just have like three 

343
00:18:42,000 --> 00:18:45,300
games be what you're really 
playing in your hole lined up. 

344
00:18:45,400 --> 00:18:47,700
You can't do that here. 
It feels a little bit like a 

345
00:18:47,708 --> 00:18:52,400
12-sided parlay, right? 
Like they're all independent 

346
00:18:52,400 --> 00:18:55,100
things but when you really 
script it out and you do what? 

347
00:18:55,100 --> 00:18:58,500
Pete's, just described. 
And you try to play out a Racket

348
00:18:58,500 --> 00:19:00,100
and think about where you're 
concerned pieces. 

349
00:19:00,100 --> 00:19:02,800
Are going, you're really playing
those teams to lose one lose 

350
00:19:02,800 --> 00:19:05,100
early because then it's more 
likely to be high variance for 

351
00:19:05,100 --> 00:19:08,100
that teams production, they lose
early than their opponent is 

352
00:19:08,100 --> 00:19:10,000
winning. 
So how does that impact your 

353
00:19:10,000 --> 00:19:11,500
opponent? 
And what you're playing for 

354
00:19:11,500 --> 00:19:12,900
them? 
One of the really good early 

355
00:19:12,900 --> 00:19:16,700
teams we had in this. 
Pat was when you explain a path 

356
00:19:16,700 --> 00:19:19,900
in the NFC and cam Akers. 
Rookie season, I want to say it 

357
00:19:19,900 --> 00:19:25,000
was to wasn't one and it was if 
the Rams one and a different 

358
00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,800
result in the other NFC Wild 
Card Game happened, the ram. 

359
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,000
Would have not only a good 
running back matchup. 

360
00:19:30,000 --> 00:19:31,900
In the first round, they would 
go to Green Bay which was a 

361
00:19:31,908 --> 00:19:34,800
really good second round running
back matchup so we played some 

362
00:19:34,800 --> 00:19:39,000
teams where we played Acres, who
was loaned in that and 

363
00:19:39,000 --> 00:19:41,900
specifically paired that with a 
different matchup in the other 

364
00:19:41,900 --> 00:19:44,600
NFC, wild-card game because it 
created a better matchup for 

365
00:19:44,600 --> 00:19:47,300
acres in the second round. 
And so we're trying to correlate

366
00:19:47,300 --> 00:19:51,600
with in this lineup That 
ostensibly isn't correlated but 

367
00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:54,000
you can you can do that a little
bit when. 

368
00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:56,400
Yeah, it's like how does Acres 
smash you known Acres. 

369
00:19:56,400 --> 00:19:58,900
Probably smash because they We 
beat the Seahawks he gets a 

370
00:19:58,908 --> 00:20:01,600
second game, he gets against let
you know a run funnel, bad, run 

371
00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:03,700
defense. 
And then you know it's like man 

372
00:20:03,700 --> 00:20:06,400
you had to have Acres. 
So we basically envisioned the 

373
00:20:06,400 --> 00:20:08,800
scenario and what you had to 
have acres and built a lineup 

374
00:20:09,000 --> 00:20:12,000
That reflected that in that same
vein. 

375
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:15,100
I would also say like think 
about like if you're making you 

376
00:20:15,100 --> 00:20:17,400
know, like Derrick Henry the 
year before that. 

377
00:20:17,400 --> 00:20:19,900
Like if you were betting on the 
Titans to make a run, it's like 

378
00:20:19,900 --> 00:20:22,000
the only possible way that it 
seemed like the Titans was going

379
00:20:22,000 --> 00:20:24,000
to make it run as if their 
country is going off. 

380
00:20:24,300 --> 00:20:26,600
So if you're kind of you 
probably you might want to fade,

381
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:29,800
you know, I forget Like I think 
it beat Baltimore in the second 

382
00:20:29,800 --> 00:20:30,800
round. 
Forget that may think they 

383
00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:32,600
played a Patriots in the first 
round, so like you probably 

384
00:20:32,600 --> 00:20:35,200
wanna fade the Patriots because 
like you want to go play it as a

385
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:38,600
shootout, Derrick Henry and a 
patriot because their cameras 

386
00:20:38,600 --> 00:20:40,000
rolling, he's steamrolling, 
right? 

387
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:42,900
So you gotta think through, I 
think those outcomes I do have 

388
00:20:42,900 --> 00:20:45,400
product coining, try to 
correlate. 

389
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:47,400
Yeah. 
I have the winning roster from 

390
00:20:47,400 --> 00:20:50,100
last year, be a fantasy. 
Here we go. 

391
00:20:50,200 --> 00:20:54,300
Yeah, so this is a fantasy Mojo.
Shout-out to his site, which is 

392
00:20:54,300 --> 00:20:58,600
always invaluable. 
So it was Josh Josh down. 

393
00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:01,500
Yeah, Aaron Jones, Jamaica games
three, tight end. 

394
00:21:01,500 --> 00:21:05,400
Build got hurt Schultz. 
Kelsey people do forget that it 

395
00:21:05,400 --> 00:21:08,400
is tied in premium. 
People forget, I mean, I forgot 

396
00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:12,400
to mention, you can never forget
our big leverage point last year

397
00:21:12,500 --> 00:21:15,500
was to flex tie Nets. 
We did that in a lot of our 

398
00:21:15,500 --> 00:21:17,800
lives, but she's have our liner 
from last year. 

399
00:21:18,200 --> 00:21:20,400
I think we had a weird, a strong
finish is a Fanta. 

400
00:21:21,400 --> 00:21:23,900
Okay, we are going to build one 
live at the end of this stream. 

401
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:27,400
All right. 
Hassan. 

402
00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:30,200
I just found ours The Lost 
Generation opto. 

403
00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:34,700
Oh yeah so this one, this 
finished 18th, Josh Jones 

404
00:21:35,700 --> 00:21:48,400
generation, I can't wait, AJ 
Brown steal a cup Debo Jamar 

405
00:21:48,400 --> 00:21:49,800
Mike Evans. 
This is kind of fun. 

406
00:21:50,300 --> 00:21:53,200
That would be curbed data Beaker
actually if you scroll up he 

407
00:21:53,200 --> 00:21:56,700
actually overtook us briefly he 
was very briefly coming in first

408
00:21:56,700 --> 00:21:59,400
I remember last year. 
Various can I eat boys? 

409
00:21:59,400 --> 00:22:02,900
I do. 
I have enough distance from this

410
00:22:02,900 --> 00:22:08,300
event but I do just want to say 
Tyler Auto, drafted and Main 

411
00:22:08,300 --> 00:22:15,500
Event team and be this with and 
because I have you robust are 

412
00:22:15,500 --> 00:22:20,700
beating to write finish, we add,
you just want I I'm I know I'm 

413
00:22:20,700 --> 00:22:22,500
stumbling through this but I 
just want to say we were the 

414
00:22:22,500 --> 00:22:24,900
only team in the main event that
had a Derrick Henry and Justin 

415
00:22:24,900 --> 00:22:31,500
Jefferson but Tyler's on. 
Drafted team did, do better than

416
00:22:31,500 --> 00:22:32,400
that. 
Haha. 

417
00:22:34,900 --> 00:22:37,500
Alright. 
Alright, Hassan, do you want to 

418
00:22:37,508 --> 00:22:39,600
go, you want to go position by 
position? 

419
00:22:39,600 --> 00:22:44,600
Or do you want to go in, like 
descending order from highest 

420
00:22:44,600 --> 00:22:45,600
owned? 
Like, how do you want to go 

421
00:22:45,608 --> 00:22:47,700
about this? 
Let's just go position by 

422
00:22:47,700 --> 00:22:50,600
position because I think I think
it's easier to just sort of talk

423
00:22:50,600 --> 00:22:53,200
through. 
Why it makes sense, right? 

424
00:22:53,800 --> 00:22:56,300
Mmm. 
And and this is the guy who 

425
00:22:56,300 --> 00:22:59,800
baton I came like. 
In the end our him and I both 

426
00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:02,000
got on. 
Him is Buffalo Bills. 

427
00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:03,700
Quarterback. 
Josh Alan. 

428
00:23:04,400 --> 00:23:07,900
Okay. 
All right, this is like the 

429
00:23:07,900 --> 00:23:15,100
easiest bath. 24 games played 
rushing upside, Konami Code 

430
00:23:15,700 --> 00:23:18,700
quarterback, who's gonna push 
project and, and bat mention the

431
00:23:18,708 --> 00:23:21,000
neutral site game. 
It's going to be in a lot of 

432
00:23:21,000 --> 00:23:24,400
high-powered shootouts if they 
make, if they make it past the 

433
00:23:24,400 --> 00:23:28,300
fins this weekend, right? 
And so which I mean, Frank. 

434
00:23:28,300 --> 00:23:30,900
Frankly, they probably will be 
nine and a half Point faves and 

435
00:23:30,900 --> 00:23:33,400
a home. 
So you know, you get all of that

436
00:23:33,400 --> 00:23:36,400
together and it's just 
fireworks. 

437
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:41,500
Like it's it's really hard to 
not see a four-point, like a 

438
00:23:41,500 --> 00:23:45,000
four game streak here for for 
for Joshua Allen. 

439
00:23:45,900 --> 00:23:48,600
Currently, I was looking at 
Vegas Futures, before we got on 

440
00:23:48,600 --> 00:23:51,500
and the Buffalo Bills have the 
second shortest odds. 

441
00:23:51,500 --> 00:23:55,400
After the chief says as Super 
Bowl champs, and I think people 

442
00:23:55,400 --> 00:24:00,400
will just sort of Login set, and
forget everything because when 

443
00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:03,300
their fourth game is really 
sweet, you know, you obviously 

444
00:24:03,300 --> 00:24:04,600
want those double points in the 
Super Bowl. 

445
00:24:04,600 --> 00:24:08,000
But Alan is the only quarterback
who you feel great about who 

446
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:09,900
gives you a fourth game. 
Yeah. 

447
00:24:09,900 --> 00:24:12,600
My hand hurts both getting buys.
Yeah. 

448
00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:15,600
The homes in hertz buys. 
And when you think about the 

449
00:24:15,600 --> 00:24:18,700
different positional stuff like 
you think about Kelsey pulling 

450
00:24:18,700 --> 00:24:21,200
from a home. 
Think about AJ Brown pulling 

451
00:24:21,200 --> 00:24:24,600
from hurts? 
I mean, Diggs is obviously a 

452
00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,400
great player but people just 
have in their head that The 

453
00:24:27,408 --> 00:24:30,600
bills spread the ball around. 
In the comfiest, click on the 

454
00:24:30,600 --> 00:24:35,100
bills is by far Josh Allen. 
So very much agree with that. 

455
00:24:35,100 --> 00:24:38,000
Hisagi doctors coversations. 
I'm ready to go to the sizzle. 

456
00:24:38,600 --> 00:24:40,300
Josh. 
Yeah. 

457
00:24:41,700 --> 00:24:43,000
Hassan what's our next pick 
here? 

458
00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:46,500
This is this is bats boy, Austin
Eckler. 

459
00:24:47,900 --> 00:24:51,300
That's right, that's that's a 
bad guy. 

460
00:24:51,600 --> 00:24:53,400
I mean, this is this is really 
easy. 

461
00:24:53,600 --> 00:25:01,700
I would like if you really need 
it like more reasons for why 

462
00:25:01,700 --> 00:25:04,500
Eckler makes sense, like the 
fact that Mike the Mike Williams

463
00:25:04,500 --> 00:25:08,800
was carted off to YouTube. 
The Chargers just playing all 

464
00:25:08,800 --> 00:25:10,900
their starters in a meaningless 
game. 

465
00:25:13,300 --> 00:25:21,100
I mean, I mean look like that. 
You can see Greek one, well not 

466
00:25:21,100 --> 00:25:24,100
weak one but you know Wildcard 
Weekend especially against the 

467
00:25:24,100 --> 00:25:28,300
Jags is just got off a run 
defense like a quick and get 15 

468
00:25:28,300 --> 00:25:31,600
targets and put up, you know, 
basically like 200 yards from 

469
00:25:31,600 --> 00:25:33,300
scrimmage with two scores, 
right? 

470
00:25:33,300 --> 00:25:39,000
So this is an easy one, I think,
I think he's the only like non 

471
00:25:39,000 --> 00:25:41,400
quarterback. 
That's leading his team in PPR 

472
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:43,000
scoring to. 
So, what's your point? 

473
00:25:43,000 --> 00:25:44,900
I saw two people just looking at
scoring. 

474
00:25:44,900 --> 00:25:47,700
Like the fact that hecklers 
outscoring Herbert and know No 

475
00:25:47,708 --> 00:25:50,200
other running backs are doing 
that to their quarterback. 

476
00:25:51,500 --> 00:25:54,200
I think just makes him an 
obvious obviously. 

477
00:25:54,200 --> 00:25:56,300
So that's on. 
I'll play a little devil's 

478
00:25:56,300 --> 00:26:01,600
advocate here, just to sharpen 
your Boomer opto knives that 

479
00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:07,300
Draco one in the FPC contest. 
I think there's a ton of steam 

480
00:26:07,300 --> 00:26:10,200
right now on the Jags. 
The line move from plus two and 

481
00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:13,300
a half two Jacks plus 1. 
They I wouldn't be surprised to 

482
00:26:13,300 --> 00:26:17,600
see it as a Pick'em by kickoff. 
Do you think any of this Jags? 

483
00:26:17,700 --> 00:26:21,800
Steam pushes people off of 
Eckler, or do you think people 

484
00:26:21,800 --> 00:26:25,500
will be content to play this 
both ways because it has the 

485
00:26:25,500 --> 00:26:29,200
second-highest projected, total 
on the wildcards late. 

486
00:26:29,900 --> 00:26:32,100
There's actually some reverse 
line movement before we hopped 

487
00:26:32,100 --> 00:26:33,500
on his back. 
The plus 2 right now. 

488
00:26:33,900 --> 00:26:36,300
Oh my goodness has signed my 
goodness lines. 

489
00:26:36,300 --> 00:26:39,000
More than me. 
We're out here. 

490
00:26:39,000 --> 00:26:39,800
Looking at that. 
No. 

491
00:26:40,000 --> 00:26:46,800
I mean both of these teams have 
Incredibly forgiving run defense

492
00:26:46,800 --> 00:26:49,700
has right? 
So I think that because because 

493
00:26:49,700 --> 00:26:54,000
Eckler again has just such a 
high Target floor and the fact 

494
00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:57,600
that he is just a force to be 
reckoned with in the open field,

495
00:26:57,600 --> 00:27:01,500
like I really can't see, people 
not wanting to have a clear in 

496
00:27:01,500 --> 00:27:04,700
their lineup, like like like 
like people will talk themselves

497
00:27:04,700 --> 00:27:06,800
into he's going to give me 
thirty five point game and go 

498
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,200
out or I'm gonna get 95 points 
from him. 

499
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:12,400
The man some of that extent, 
right? 

500
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:13,900
Like if it right, if the 
Chargers, make a run. 

501
00:27:13,900 --> 00:27:18,500
So they're going to like create 
this massive like range where 

502
00:27:18,500 --> 00:27:21,000
they but they're basically or 
like their base case. 

503
00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:27,800
That I go very high art book. 
Um, yeah, does anyone have any 

504
00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:30,900
other thoughts on the Eckler 
pedicure? 

505
00:27:32,500 --> 00:27:38,100
You know. 
I think it was fine. 

506
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:40,700
I wasn't that impressed by 
Austin Heckler. 

507
00:27:40,700 --> 00:27:42,600
This year. 
I mean, he did he clear the 

508
00:27:42,608 --> 00:27:53,100
threshold? 
I was on but he did have a case 

509
00:27:53,100 --> 00:27:55,500
to feed him more so than like a 
case against him being the 

510
00:27:55,500 --> 00:27:58,500
Boomer all do. 
But if you look at Weeks 14 to 

511
00:27:58,500 --> 00:28:02,400
17, which I think are the only 
games that both Mike Williams, 

512
00:28:02,400 --> 00:28:06,400
and Keenan, Allen were healthy 
this year Eckler We had a 13 

513
00:28:06,400 --> 00:28:09,500
percent Target share, which is 
obviously still very good for 

514
00:28:09,500 --> 00:28:13,300
running back, but it's certainly
lower than his season total. 

515
00:28:13,300 --> 00:28:17,100
Very fortunate to have a mat 
when those two players were 

516
00:28:17,100 --> 00:28:19,500
injured so up and then write 
well. 

517
00:28:19,500 --> 00:28:22,900
And also, I think that Evans 
backs or the Mike Williams back 

518
00:28:22,900 --> 00:28:25,900
stuff is is Meaningful. 
It's like so much harder to 

519
00:28:25,900 --> 00:28:27,800
stomach. 
Fading, Austin. 

520
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:30,400
Aguilera if you're worried about
him, not being fully healthy. 

521
00:28:30,400 --> 00:28:32,800
Yeah, that's very real because 
he was carted off. 

522
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:35,100
Like, I don't know. 
It was I don't know if you 

523
00:28:35,300 --> 00:28:37,800
Sighs, nobody's known, planets 
back spasms. 

524
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:39,700
One week ago, help. 
All right. 

525
00:28:39,700 --> 00:28:43,600
I'll save it for later in the 
week to convince Pat on are to 

526
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:45,400
say that. 
Austin declar is a fade in this 

527
00:28:45,400 --> 00:28:49,600
contest is on. 
Let's keep going. 

528
00:28:50,500 --> 00:28:54,100
This is this is everybody's 
favorite favorite injured 

529
00:28:54,100 --> 00:28:59,300
running back. 
Christian McCaffrey like this 

530
00:28:59,300 --> 00:29:00,800
one. 
Just I mean this is like the 

531
00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:04,900
easiest like he like, I know I 
know you guys over at stealing 

532
00:29:04,900 --> 00:29:07,600
lying. 
Ines putout, putout at CMC to 

533
00:29:07,600 --> 00:29:11,600
lead the entire playoffs in 
rushing yards and you at plus 

534
00:29:12,800 --> 00:29:16,700
181. 
Where am I at 80 to 110? 

535
00:29:16,700 --> 00:29:18,000
That sounds that sounds too 
high. 

536
00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:21,500
That's so he was aggressive. 
That's Peppa. 

537
00:29:23,700 --> 00:29:26,300
Yeah, I feel like they added a 
zero added. 

538
00:29:26,300 --> 00:29:40,000
There 
really is the only guy that I 

539
00:29:40,000 --> 00:29:44,100
think can really pull some 
ownership from CMC is kid'll. 

540
00:29:44,400 --> 00:29:46,400
Be Because of the tight end 
premium scoring. 

541
00:29:46,400 --> 00:29:49,900
Kittles played extremely well 
down the stretch. 

542
00:29:49,900 --> 00:29:52,200
Although, I think you could 
argue some of that as correlated

543
00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:54,800
with Debo Samuel being out. 
Now, we have Debo Samuel fully 

544
00:29:54,800 --> 00:29:57,100
healthy, he was fully healthy 
per week 18. 

545
00:29:58,100 --> 00:30:01,800
I am curious where the CMC verse
kittel, ownership Falls, and 

546
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:05,800
we'll get to that later in the 
week, but CMC clearly going to 

547
00:30:05,800 --> 00:30:08,600
be the jam of all jams and 
Hassan. 

548
00:30:08,600 --> 00:30:12,400
I would say if we're harkening 
back to Boomers jamming, the 

549
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:15,200
highest ceiling running backs. 
I mean They're going to love 

550
00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:19,700
Eckler and see MC in tandem. 
Yeah, this is like this is like 

551
00:30:19,700 --> 00:30:22,300
pretty much like the way I think
a lot of boomers are going to be

552
00:30:22,300 --> 00:30:26,300
feeling comfortable. 
But but they're not done yet. 

553
00:30:26,300 --> 00:30:28,700
You know what I mean? 
Like, everybody, like from a 

554
00:30:28,708 --> 00:30:30,800
wide receiver position and this 
is this is great. 

555
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:34,600
Just seeing because like the 
easiest, the easiest one here is

556
00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:39,000
the inclusion of the easiest is 
just Justin Jefferson, right? 

557
00:30:39,800 --> 00:30:44,600
Justin Jefferson like, I mean, 
there was a there was a not too 

558
00:30:44,608 --> 00:30:48,100
long ago where we thought he was
going to be the 101. 

559
00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:53,500
And I don't think that has 
really changed. 

560
00:30:53,500 --> 00:30:55,900
And I think, I think that people
are just going to be very much 

561
00:30:55,900 --> 00:31:06,700
on him. 
Please, the one thing I will say

562
00:31:06,700 --> 00:31:11,500
to people saying, I don't know 
if CMC is the easiest, like, if 

563
00:31:11,500 --> 00:31:14,800
you look at other sentiment 
indicators, you look at where 

564
00:31:14,800 --> 00:31:16,700
CMC is going and Gauntlet 
drafts. 

565
00:31:16,700 --> 00:31:20,300
He will routinely go 101, even 
over some of Quarterbacks, he's 

566
00:31:20,300 --> 00:31:22,900
the third his ATP right now is 
103. 

567
00:31:23,100 --> 00:31:26,000
People fucking love CMC. 
They are bought into the 

568
00:31:26,000 --> 00:31:28,100
ceiling. 
They are bought in to the 49ers.

569
00:31:28,500 --> 00:31:31,500
People are even acknowledging. 
That Eli Mitchell will get some 

570
00:31:31,500 --> 00:31:36,200
work, but the market has zero 
concerns about CMC in this 49ers

571
00:31:36,200 --> 00:31:38,100
team right now. 
Yeah, what Dalton's actually 

572
00:31:38,100 --> 00:31:41,700
took with CMC to win Super Bowl,
MVP at 12:42 with, that's the 

573
00:31:41,700 --> 00:31:42,500
one. 
All right? 

574
00:31:42,700 --> 00:31:46,200
And then he also took I'm giving
away place here but also took 

575
00:31:46,200 --> 00:31:47,700
Elijah Mitchell. 
Most rushing yards in the 

576
00:31:47,700 --> 00:31:50,600
playoffs which could happen. 
MC still, probably outscores 

577
00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:51,100
them. 
Right? 

578
00:31:51,100 --> 00:31:53,000
Like that. 
But the idea is, there's a lot 

579
00:31:53,000 --> 00:31:56,600
of rushing from San Francisco on
a nice, a Francisco playoff run,

580
00:31:56,700 --> 00:32:01,000
and they have a potentially very
favorable path, people, anyone 

581
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:05,000
looking anywhere into this, 
looking into the bracket are 

582
00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,300
going to say, you know, I like 
San Francisco to make a little 

583
00:32:07,300 --> 00:32:09,500
bit of a run here and how are 
they going to do it? 

584
00:32:09,500 --> 00:32:10,900
They're going to do to their 
running backs. 

585
00:32:12,100 --> 00:32:15,500
Hassan, did you get, did you 
have any other thoughts on 

586
00:32:15,500 --> 00:32:18,800
Justin Jefferson? 
Because this one, this feels 

587
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:23,100
like near Cooper couple levels 
last year be where people are 

588
00:32:23,100 --> 00:32:26,200
going to feel fine about him. 
And Viking Super Bowl runs, 

589
00:32:26,200 --> 00:32:29,700
they're going to feel fine about
him in, you know, losing even to

590
00:32:29,700 --> 00:32:31,200
the Giants. 
They'll be willing to play that 

591
00:32:31,200 --> 00:32:34,900
as kind of a shootout. 
I mean, there's no holes to poke

592
00:32:34,900 --> 00:32:40,000
in his sky-high ownership and I 
think really what like what has 

593
00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:45,500
failed to Any ownership away 
from Jefferson has been David 

594
00:32:45,500 --> 00:32:52,700
Cooks, absolute faceplant of a 
season, like he has had a fairly

595
00:32:52,700 --> 00:32:59,000
rough go of it of it. 
Just I mean if that one could 

596
00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:02,300
anywhere closer to it to a 
bigger season than he did have 

597
00:33:02,300 --> 00:33:05,000
maybe they, you know, you could 
have still seen as 75%. 

598
00:33:05,000 --> 00:33:07,500
Josh and Jefferson but there's 
nothing stopping. 

599
00:33:07,500 --> 00:33:12,300
The Cooper cup friend. 
Well, TJ Hawkinson. 

600
00:33:12,900 --> 00:33:16,500
Yeah I mean I mean but like will
even when you try to like shove 

601
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:20,000
I mean the only thing that you 
can really get into your Hawkins

602
00:33:20,000 --> 00:33:23,100
and is if you're saying that the
Vikings are going to win and 

603
00:33:23,100 --> 00:33:26,100
then Hawkinson is going to 
reprise his ridiculous 

604
00:33:26,100 --> 00:33:30,600
performance from the last time. 
These two teams played Yeah, 

605
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:33,600
that's the only way you can 
actually really draw macro 

606
00:33:33,600 --> 00:33:35,300
ownership away from Justin 
Jefferson. 

607
00:33:35,400 --> 00:33:38,800
The one thing No One's Gonna Do,
it's kind of interesting because

608
00:33:39,800 --> 00:33:41,900
Jefferson's can be really high 
on, but no one's actually going 

609
00:33:41,900 --> 00:33:44,900
to want to play the Vikings to 
win, but if they do win, like 

610
00:33:45,000 --> 00:33:47,100
like and go on a run with the 
Vikings at the Super Bowl, 

611
00:33:47,100 --> 00:33:48,500
right? 
Like, nobody thinks that's 

612
00:33:48,500 --> 00:33:51,400
possible but it's actually 
probably more possible if people

613
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:53,900
are actually going to think and 
yet Jefferson is going to be 

614
00:33:53,908 --> 00:33:55,600
really highly played. 
And if they go to the Super 

615
00:33:55,600 --> 00:33:57,500
Bowl, you're probably. 
You're probably playing 

616
00:33:57,500 --> 00:33:59,000
Jeffersonville. 
You probably want Jefferson. 

617
00:33:59,000 --> 00:34:01,400
Yeah, I think we'll get to some 
of this stuff but there's 

618
00:34:01,400 --> 00:34:03,900
certain teams were there's 
really no. 

619
00:34:03,900 --> 00:34:05,800
You don't even have to put that 
much thought into it. 

620
00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:08,500
I didn't have I actually just 
raised Jefferson up after Pete 

621
00:34:08,500 --> 00:34:11,199
made that Stan. 
Because I had like, you know, 

622
00:34:11,199 --> 00:34:13,800
like a little dabble with Alvin 
and I'm like, I think you're 

623
00:34:13,800 --> 00:34:14,900
right. 
I don't think anyone's plan 

624
00:34:14,900 --> 00:34:18,000
anything well, but maybe it's in
Hawkinson. 

625
00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:20,100
Might get a little just for the 
tight end. 

626
00:34:20,199 --> 00:34:23,500
Flexibility the tight end point 
is a good point, but just give 

627
00:34:23,500 --> 00:34:25,500
you another data point. 
Like, in these Gauntlet drafts, 

628
00:34:25,500 --> 00:34:28,699
like in the initial Gauntlet 
draft, I mean, Dalvin cook was 

629
00:34:28,699 --> 00:34:32,699
going more at like the two three
turn to a lot of Jefferson 

630
00:34:32,699 --> 00:34:34,100
teams. 
Kirk Cousins was going. 

631
00:34:34,100 --> 00:34:37,100
Hi Justin. 
Jefferson's ATP has not budged 

632
00:34:37,100 --> 00:34:40,500
in these latest Gauntlet drafts 
but Dalvin cook and Kirk 

633
00:34:40,500 --> 00:34:45,199
Cousins, our major fallers right
now and the market is down on 

634
00:34:45,199 --> 00:34:47,400
this team, but they're not down 
on Justin Jefferson. 

635
00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:50,800
And I think the cop for me this 
year, for Justin Jefferson, I 

636
00:34:50,800 --> 00:34:52,900
thought I saw someone in the 
chat, say, CMC, is this year's 

637
00:34:52,900 --> 00:34:55,000
Cooper cup? 
I would say Justin Jefferson. 

638
00:34:55,000 --> 00:34:59,500
Is this year's Debo Samuel and 
that he feels comfy in either 

639
00:34:59,500 --> 00:35:01,700
scenario. 
Either way you play it as a loss

640
00:35:01,700 --> 00:35:04,600
or a win. 
Just in Jefferson is that click 

641
00:35:04,600 --> 00:35:07,000
feels good and I'm the tight end
point as well. 

642
00:35:07,000 --> 00:35:09,200
Just looking at Pat's Saint 
Pat's ownership. 

643
00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:10,800
No sir. 
Get to, and just looking at the 

644
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:12,300
tight ends that are available. 
We have Kelsey with the 

645
00:35:12,300 --> 00:35:13,100
interest. 
We've got it. 

646
00:35:13,100 --> 00:35:14,500
We have Evan engram. 
Who loves you? 

647
00:35:14,500 --> 00:35:16,600
Have the great close to the 
season, George Kettle. 

648
00:35:16,600 --> 00:35:19,700
Same thing. 
Schultz Hawkinson Dawson knocks.

649
00:35:19,700 --> 00:35:21,700
I mean, there's a lot of really 
good Titans Quest. 

650
00:35:22,000 --> 00:35:23,100
This is the same thing as last 
year. 

651
00:35:23,100 --> 00:35:24,500
We said there's a lot of really 
good Titans. 

652
00:35:24,700 --> 00:35:27,400
Somebody tell Arthur Smith that 
the teams that user Titans, go 

653
00:35:27,400 --> 00:35:29,400
to the playoffs because all the 
best tight ends are in the 

654
00:35:29,400 --> 00:35:32,600
playoffs, every freaking year. 
Why can't the Falcons use their 

655
00:35:32,600 --> 00:35:33,900
China? 
Sorry. 

656
00:35:35,100 --> 00:35:36,800
All right. 
Hassan take us to the next wide,

657
00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:39,100
receiver. 
Yeah, you guys mentioned him 

658
00:35:39,100 --> 00:35:41,100
earlier. 
Das like this is what happens 

659
00:35:41,100 --> 00:35:42,200
when you don't pick you up and 
hers. 

660
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:47,300
I mean it's a bomb. 
Speak on that. 

661
00:35:47,800 --> 00:35:52,400
I mean, just the coolest 
motherfucker on the, in the NFL,

662
00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:54,200
man. 
He's just so cool. 

663
00:35:57,900 --> 00:36:02,100
Here's a question for you, too. 
Jalen Hurd, Stefon. 

664
00:36:02,100 --> 00:36:05,200
Diggs, Josh Allen AJ. 
Brown like, how close actually 

665
00:36:05,200 --> 00:36:07,700
is that? 
Or is it a runaway, Josh Allen 

666
00:36:07,700 --> 00:36:09,500
AJ Brown? 
No, that's a flip. 

667
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:12,100
I think his Bat and I both and I
original Boomer. 

668
00:36:12,100 --> 00:36:16,400
Opterons had Jalen Hurd, Stefon,
Diggs Okay. 

669
00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:18,800
And this is one that we came up 
vote independent of each other 

670
00:36:18,800 --> 00:36:21,500
again, because we're like on the
same Google sheet, but we're 

671
00:36:21,500 --> 00:36:24,200
putting these lineups completely
independently of each other at 

672
00:36:24,200 --> 00:36:27,600
different times. 
Yeah, well this was the thing 

673
00:36:27,800 --> 00:36:32,600
just hit me like it's not going 
to be hurts because you last 

674
00:36:32,600 --> 00:36:34,800
year we saw the winning lineups,
get there with Alan without 

675
00:36:34,800 --> 00:36:39,200
going to the Super Bowl and you 
know, the with the shootouts and

676
00:36:39,200 --> 00:36:41,300
everything that people can be so
excited to play Alan and then 

677
00:36:41,300 --> 00:36:44,000
there's a chance he gets to the 
Super Bowl with the neutral site

678
00:36:44,000 --> 00:36:46,900
game, the double points. 
It's, it's so appealing and 

679
00:36:46,900 --> 00:36:50,400
while I think digs will probably
be more owned than brown. 

680
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:55,000
I don't know that, that, like, 
that the most dupe lineup, I 

681
00:36:55,008 --> 00:36:57,700
think we'll have Alan. 
I think Alan will ultimately 

682
00:36:57,700 --> 00:37:01,700
have more ownership than hurts. 
I think it it, it it is the 

683
00:37:01,700 --> 00:37:04,100
simplest Point here, I'll let 
you guys just Nate saying 

684
00:37:04,100 --> 00:37:05,900
Boomers will want the qv4 for 
games. 

685
00:37:05,900 --> 00:37:08,600
Like that will be will tie 
breaker to push people to Alan 

686
00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:11,000
over AJ Brown. 
Yeah, I think that's a good 

687
00:37:11,000 --> 00:37:12,500
point. 
I think it's close like maybe my

688
00:37:12,500 --> 00:37:15,300
push back here. 
Would be if you go Josh, 

689
00:37:15,300 --> 00:37:18,900
Alexander And I think like the 
drop down from AJ Brown to 

690
00:37:18,900 --> 00:37:21,600
devote to Smith is like pretty 
close and a lot of people will 

691
00:37:21,600 --> 00:37:23,500
do that. 
Whereas, if you go with gaalan 

692
00:37:23,500 --> 00:37:27,700
hurts, like, nobody's picking 
Gabe Davis or Singletary over, 

693
00:37:27,900 --> 00:37:30,600
you know what I mean? 
Like, the eagles will be a 

694
00:37:30,600 --> 00:37:34,800
relatively more my bread, 
whereas the bills if you don't 

695
00:37:34,800 --> 00:37:37,200
pick Alan, it's going to be so 
much digs. 

696
00:37:37,200 --> 00:37:39,800
So that's like the only case 
where I can see this going the 

697
00:37:39,808 --> 00:37:41,500
other way. 
And the hurts version of this 

698
00:37:41,500 --> 00:37:45,100
will be tubes as well. 
I think yeah, it'd be the it's 

699
00:37:45,100 --> 00:37:48,500
pretty much Much the second most
common line up in my opinion as 

700
00:37:48,500 --> 00:37:50,300
well. 
Like I think bad and I came up 

701
00:37:50,300 --> 00:37:53,600
with an almost identical second 
pivot off of they are initial 

702
00:37:53,600 --> 00:37:59,200
run was with hurts and digs and 
like it was not until you like 

703
00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:00,900
you factor in that four-game 
bomb. 

704
00:38:00,900 --> 00:38:03,400
Yeah, I think that's that's, 
whoops, Alan. 

705
00:38:04,900 --> 00:38:07,000
Yeah. 
Do you guys think that the other

706
00:38:07,000 --> 00:38:11,300
Eagles players will keep AJ 
Brown and check relative to 

707
00:38:11,300 --> 00:38:15,400
these other players as they make
a run in my opinion? 

708
00:38:15,800 --> 00:38:18,900
but yeah, certainly could if 
they're one and done or even to 

709
00:38:19,300 --> 00:38:46,500
well I mean like 
and then we'll be We'll lose 

710
00:38:46,500 --> 00:38:50,400
ownership to other other eagles,
I think Hawkins, I don't know, I

711
00:38:50,400 --> 00:38:52,900
think he's very playable. 
Yeah it's a way to bet on the 

712
00:38:52,900 --> 00:38:54,500
Vikings to lose. 
Right? 

713
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:59,000
Yeah compare Devon this myth. 
Oh yeah yeah I'll also say like 

714
00:38:59,000 --> 00:39:03,400
again, using the underdog 
playoff ATP is kind of like a 

715
00:39:03,408 --> 00:39:08,600
sentiment indicator because of 
Mi Sanders, basically having to 

716
00:39:08,600 --> 00:39:11,000
Dead games. 
These past weeks are actually 

717
00:39:11,000 --> 00:39:14,000
three if you go all the way to 
extend to the Dallas game. 

718
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:20,400
He has been dropping in drafts 
and Devon to Smith has like 

719
00:39:20,600 --> 00:39:24,700
slipped a little bit, but I 
don't think Mi Sanders is going 

720
00:39:24,700 --> 00:39:27,400
to carry much ownership at all. 
I think people are completely 

721
00:39:27,400 --> 00:39:29,300
out on it. 
I think the Galaxy brainers will

722
00:39:29,300 --> 00:39:33,200
be on Devon to Smith but I still
think AJ Brown will be a 

723
00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:35,900
dominant. 
Click for most people hands. 

724
00:39:35,900 --> 00:39:37,300
That's a good. 
That's a good right there. 

725
00:39:37,900 --> 00:39:41,400
It was like there was like a one
week period where like I think 

726
00:39:41,400 --> 00:39:43,900
the worst manager accounts on 
Twitter were all like well why 

727
00:39:43,900 --> 00:39:46,600
aren't you on Miles Sanders? 
And the It's ever since then. 

728
00:39:46,600 --> 00:39:50,100
It's been like running back 3 
plus at best. 

729
00:39:50,100 --> 00:39:52,200
Right. 
Alright, Hassan. 

730
00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:56,000
Do the do the free Square here 
at at tight end? 

731
00:39:57,400 --> 00:40:01,500
Yeah, I mean it's actually the 
Boomer himself. 

732
00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:05,500
Travis Kelce. 
It's beyond that. 

733
00:40:09,100 --> 00:40:14,500
I think I think he genuinely was
such a bad, it was such a bad 

734
00:40:14,500 --> 00:40:17,300
year for tight ends that like 
even though because he didn't 

735
00:40:17,300 --> 00:40:22,700
exactly come close to his own 
career highs, he just laughed. 

736
00:40:22,700 --> 00:40:26,700
The feel to such a degree that 
that it's just impossible to 

737
00:40:26,700 --> 00:40:29,400
Fathom him not being there. 
I mean, I think about when 

738
00:40:29,400 --> 00:40:34,200
you're making making DFS lineups
and like you see how hi Kelsey. 

739
00:40:34,300 --> 00:40:38,600
Yuri is relative to everybody is
like Chelsea, $1700. 

740
00:40:38,900 --> 00:40:44,000
Did you Hawkinson 4900? 
Oh my God, like it's just, it's 

741
00:40:44,000 --> 00:40:49,200
just that you know, it really 
the only I guess what Patrick 

742
00:40:49,200 --> 00:40:52,500
Mahomes could pull a little bit 
Jerick McKinnon. 

743
00:40:52,700 --> 00:40:55,600
I mean he is not going to feel 
like a good click. 

744
00:40:55,600 --> 00:40:59,700
I mean who can pull from Travis 
Kelce right now Mahone of the 

745
00:40:59,700 --> 00:41:02,500
wide receivers you're not. 
I mean, you're not is where you 

746
00:41:02,500 --> 00:41:06,200
can click on, Juju Orchid, area 
stuff, like Darius, Tony or any 

747
00:41:06,200 --> 00:41:09,000
of the other like auxiliary 
guys, no way Gary McKinnon. 

748
00:41:09,000 --> 00:41:12,900
No way Pacheco. 
It's got more, I have to check I

749
00:41:12,900 --> 00:41:15,400
think at 1%. 
Yeah Prosecco one right? 

750
00:41:15,400 --> 00:41:21,000
Yeah, yeah I mean I don't think 
anybody it's like what's I have?

751
00:41:21,000 --> 00:41:23,500
Juju it too. 
But yeah. 

752
00:41:23,500 --> 00:41:27,200
Eight Kelsey used to be Kelsey 
used to be massive in this 

753
00:41:27,200 --> 00:41:29,200
contest when he had Tyrant kill 
on his team and tired. 

754
00:41:29,200 --> 00:41:31,800
Kill was like, yeah, I was like 
the library. 

755
00:41:31,800 --> 00:41:34,600
Kill was a gal, brain pivot. 
Right? 

756
00:41:34,600 --> 00:41:37,100
A couple years. 
Yeah, yeah. 

757
00:41:37,500 --> 00:41:39,400
And CH was a better running back
plan. 

758
00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:41,600
People were like, yeah, we can 
play him a Ittle bit but Kelsey 

759
00:41:41,600 --> 00:41:43,800
would still be massively own. 
We're in a situation now with 

760
00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:47,100
the Chiefs for Kelsey's 
ownership, like it's Mahomes is 

761
00:41:47,100 --> 00:41:49,400
the only thing that can stop at 
the home is not a thing. 

762
00:41:49,900 --> 00:41:52,200
It's the only thing. 
And I mean, you can, you can 

763
00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:55,200
listen to shows. 
I've heard it multiple times 

764
00:41:55,200 --> 00:41:57,500
like people already talking 
about their redraft strategy 

765
00:41:57,500 --> 00:42:01,100
next year, Travis Kelce or pun 
Travis Kelce, your pain like 

766
00:42:01,200 --> 00:42:03,000
this sentiment is so strong 
here. 

767
00:42:03,000 --> 00:42:05,300
I had a thought earlier today 
and I was going to ask you guys 

768
00:42:05,300 --> 00:42:08,000
and maybe this is a conversation
for a later show this week. 

769
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:13,400
But like if you're playing a 
tidy Tend to do more than go one

770
00:42:13,400 --> 00:42:15,200
and done, you know, I think 
there's tight ends. 

771
00:42:15,200 --> 00:42:16,700
You can play in one and done 
scenarios. 

772
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:20,900
What other tight end do you even
play in a Super Bowl run? 

773
00:42:20,900 --> 00:42:24,200
Other than Travis Kelce, like is
anyone even in the conversation?

774
00:42:25,200 --> 00:42:27,700
Thank God, his daughters. 
The only one I was saying 

775
00:42:27,700 --> 00:42:29,600
Goddard overhaul, this in a 
little bit as I think. 

776
00:42:29,600 --> 00:42:32,000
God can actually beat a guy over
multiple games for them. 

777
00:42:32,600 --> 00:42:34,800
I think it was kind of a little,
he can't. 

778
00:42:35,200 --> 00:42:37,500
Yeah, I don't know if you can 
score CMC though, in a Super 

779
00:42:37,500 --> 00:42:38,900
Bowl run. 
Yeah. 

780
00:42:40,200 --> 00:42:43,400
Especially people back. 
This is this is the thing. 

781
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:46,300
I think people like, I like 
kettle, but everything we've 

782
00:42:46,300 --> 00:42:49,100
seen from kid'll is Spike weeks 
in random things. 

783
00:42:49,100 --> 00:42:53,400
The more games you tack on to 
the Niners, the more likely it 

784
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:56,600
is a CMC or Debo out scores of 
the same with ghadir in the 

785
00:42:56,600 --> 00:42:59,400
Eagles. 
I think this is the only one I 

786
00:42:59,400 --> 00:43:01,400
would entertain. 
If the Jags go to the Super 

787
00:43:01,400 --> 00:43:05,000
Bowl, I could drink rum being 
the optimal me, too. 

788
00:43:05,300 --> 00:43:08,100
And also like, you don't need 
your tight end to go to the 

789
00:43:08,100 --> 00:43:11,800
Super Bowl and a run for The 
Jags might mean two games. 

790
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:14,800
So I would disagree with this 
slightly in the sense that you'd

791
00:43:14,800 --> 00:43:17,000
be the tight ends in these 
cases, like, kittel. 

792
00:43:17,000 --> 00:43:19,700
Don't have to be the highest 
score on their team. 

793
00:43:19,900 --> 00:43:22,200
They have to separate from tight
end more than the other. 

794
00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:23,600
So like the old, those are going
down. 

795
00:43:23,600 --> 00:43:25,200
Yeah, or CM see if there's 
other. 

796
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:28,100
Good running backs that score. 
If they're the only team with a 

797
00:43:28,100 --> 00:43:29,800
good running back, who makes a 
run and obviously there's only a

798
00:43:29,800 --> 00:43:31,100
couple teams that make a run in 
the place'll. 

799
00:43:31,100 --> 00:43:34,100
Most teams are one and done. 
Frankly for half the team's 

800
00:43:35,600 --> 00:43:37,900
kid'll Kettle can be, you know 
with one Spike. 

801
00:43:37,900 --> 00:43:40,700
We can be the clear tight end if
there's No other good time then 

802
00:43:40,700 --> 00:43:41,900
you know. 
Yeah. 

803
00:43:41,900 --> 00:43:45,900
But if you're giving up a CMC 
then in and there's another 

804
00:43:45,900 --> 00:43:48,400
tight end that does like 
decently well enough, you're 

805
00:43:48,400 --> 00:43:51,400
going to be competing as CCP 
say, the same seats and by 10 

806
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:54,000
and the tight end. 
Yes, you could be totally fine. 

807
00:43:54,000 --> 00:43:57,100
Yeah, yeah, yeah, I do. 
Yeah. 

808
00:43:57,100 --> 00:44:00,700
It just, I think just knowing 
how people are coming out of 

809
00:44:00,707 --> 00:44:02,600
this season, how they think 
about the tight end? 

810
00:44:02,600 --> 00:44:04,400
The only thing that is helping 
offset. 

811
00:44:04,400 --> 00:44:06,900
It is the Titan surge to in the 
season. 

812
00:44:06,900 --> 00:44:10,600
Having Evan engram, TJ Hawkinson
You know, put up these big 

813
00:44:10,600 --> 00:44:12,700
games. 
Kittle like, it is a put at 

814
00:44:12,700 --> 00:44:15,200
least the seed in people's head 
like, hey, they could screen 

815
00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:17,600
string this together or is it 
that didn't happen? 

816
00:44:17,600 --> 00:44:21,500
Like if weeks 13 372 David IV, 
Kelsey would be at 100% 

817
00:44:21,500 --> 00:44:24,000
ownership. 
Might be. 

818
00:44:25,200 --> 00:44:27,700
All right, Hassan take us to 
flex territory here. 

819
00:44:28,700 --> 00:44:31,300
Yes, we're going to probably you
were talking about this with 

820
00:44:31,300 --> 00:44:32,800
Austin a clip. 
We're going to run this back 

821
00:44:32,800 --> 00:44:34,700
here with the other running back
on the other side which is 

822
00:44:34,700 --> 00:44:39,700
Travis etm. 
I wanted to get your guys 

823
00:44:39,700 --> 00:44:44,200
thoughts because etn has given 
up some rushing production and 

824
00:44:44,200 --> 00:44:48,200
some like T, rushing work due to
Michael Hasty in recent weeks. 

825
00:44:50,300 --> 00:44:53,800
But I still think that people 
have in their heads. 

826
00:44:53,800 --> 00:44:56,600
I mean, he Tian is a fantastic 
rusher, fantastic actually. 

827
00:44:56,600 --> 00:45:01,100
The ball is you know, he really 
thing against another bad Rush 

828
00:45:01,100 --> 00:45:04,100
defense in the Chargers. 
So I really don't see. 

829
00:45:04,700 --> 00:45:08,200
I see him catching the most 
ownership on the Jags relative. 

830
00:45:08,400 --> 00:45:13,500
The to, you know, the the pivots
they want, they crushing power, 

831
00:45:13,500 --> 00:45:16,200
grab and Ingram. 
I think this is where like, I 

832
00:45:16,200 --> 00:45:21,300
think etn catches the most 
ownership You put City Jones on 

833
00:45:21,300 --> 00:45:24,000
there as a joke but isn't he on 
ionically like a really nice way

834
00:45:24,000 --> 00:45:27,200
to play them as a one and done 
like hire a doctor? 

835
00:45:27,200 --> 00:45:29,400
I think I think anger might be 
the best way because it. 

836
00:45:29,400 --> 00:45:32,400
Yeah, I think anger my pent-up 
anger at the home homes. 

837
00:45:32,400 --> 00:45:36,100
To Ingram is fun. 
It that's why I like for the way

838
00:45:36,100 --> 00:45:39,600
I'm thinking about the Jags just
as of this moment is that Kirk 

839
00:45:39,600 --> 00:45:42,200
and Ingram are sick place that's
just kind of what. 

840
00:45:42,200 --> 00:45:45,000
Yeah, I think Kirk is a really 
sick play. 

841
00:45:46,000 --> 00:45:54,100
The braids up Jones. 
Yeah, I guess go ahead Sam. 

842
00:45:55,600 --> 00:45:57,800
I'm curious. 
I think like if you're comparing

843
00:45:57,800 --> 00:46:00,400
etn to other guys on his team, 
he certainly could be the most 

844
00:46:00,400 --> 00:46:05,000
own, but I'm curious to compare 
him to, I guess like the soft 

845
00:46:05,000 --> 00:46:07,500
fade teams. 
I do get the sense that 

846
00:46:07,500 --> 00:46:10,100
Jacksonville will be pretty 
spread out. 

847
00:46:10,100 --> 00:46:12,300
So you see what I'm saying? 
Like, I don't think the question

848
00:46:12,300 --> 00:46:15,100
is, is he take want to be a lot 
higher, for example. 

849
00:46:15,200 --> 00:46:16,000
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

850
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:19,600
Not like I think my have them 
very even and I'll tell you, I 

851
00:46:19,600 --> 00:46:23,800
think the my thinking on that 
and I could be I could be off on

852
00:46:23,800 --> 00:46:27,100
that, but I thinking is you're 
getting them going against the 

853
00:46:27,100 --> 00:46:29,000
Chargers run defense? 
Yeah. 

854
00:46:29,100 --> 00:46:32,500
People are going to feel comfy 
like, well, went like, if they 

855
00:46:32,500 --> 00:46:34,300
win, I get two games out of the 
running back. 

856
00:46:34,300 --> 00:46:36,600
That's nice. 
But even in a loss, he Tian 

857
00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:38,300
should be able to get there 
against this defense and just 

858
00:46:38,300 --> 00:46:40,500
play the match up. 
And then even who they can they 

859
00:46:40,500 --> 00:46:42,500
get and they're going to end up 
playing the Chiefs next to also 

860
00:46:42,500 --> 00:46:43,900
don't have a particularly great 
run. 

861
00:46:43,900 --> 00:46:47,200
Defense is Isn't this 
interesting know to think of the

862
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:50,300
dynamic. 
So the two highest projected 

863
00:46:50,300 --> 00:46:53,700
totals on The Wire. 
Wildcards late is Jags Chargers 

864
00:46:53,800 --> 00:46:59,500
and the Giants of Vikings in the
to comfiest clicks on the soft. 

865
00:46:59,500 --> 00:47:03,200
Fades would be the running backs
Berkeley in etn and yet you can 

866
00:47:03,200 --> 00:47:10,200
poke holes in those guys being 
an optimal - game script play if

867
00:47:10,200 --> 00:47:12,000
they're losing. 
I think Berkeley holds up a 

868
00:47:12,008 --> 00:47:13,700
little bit more. 
I saw Jack Miller at a tweet 

869
00:47:13,700 --> 00:47:15,400
today about Travis ctn's Target 
share. 

870
00:47:15,400 --> 00:47:19,800
I mean it's been poor and so 
that's why I like etn. 

871
00:47:19,800 --> 00:47:21,100
Feels like a little bit of a 
trap. 

872
00:47:21,200 --> 00:47:23,900
If you are projecting the Jags 
to lose like if you're playing 

873
00:47:23,900 --> 00:47:29,200
this as the Eckler etn, I mean, 
I don't know that some of the 

874
00:47:29,200 --> 00:47:31,200
logic doesn't track for me 
there. 

875
00:47:32,900 --> 00:47:37,200
I think, I think just from a, 
from a pure public perspective 

876
00:47:37,300 --> 00:47:40,800
eat like etn, may not feel like 
bad chocolate when you started 

877
00:47:40,800 --> 00:47:43,000
really digging into making a 
case against it. 

878
00:47:43,300 --> 00:47:46,700
It's like the sheen wears off 
really quick, right? 

879
00:47:47,900 --> 00:47:51,200
I do feel fairly confident that 
he will be chalky because when 

880
00:47:51,200 --> 00:47:54,400
you look at the teams that 
people are going to fade it 

881
00:47:54,400 --> 00:47:58,600
generally lines up really you 
know not completely neatly with 

882
00:47:58,600 --> 00:48:02,000
their odds of advancing in, you 
know round one and to the 

883
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:06,300
Superbowl eventually but there's
a strong correlation and the 

884
00:48:06,300 --> 00:48:09,200
Giants. 
Looking at 5:38 have a 33% 

885
00:48:09,200 --> 00:48:13,300
chance to advance around to 
Jacksonville 59 percent chance. 

886
00:48:13,300 --> 00:48:16,600
So, you know, I think in you're 
talking to Pete about how 

887
00:48:16,600 --> 00:48:20,800
there's some Um, hype around the
Jags, you have to fade to of 

888
00:48:20,808 --> 00:48:23,200
these teams. 
And the Giants are a team that I

889
00:48:23,200 --> 00:48:25,800
think will be somewhat popular. 
Yeah. 

890
00:48:25,800 --> 00:48:28,800
As a fade and that's going to 
make it harder to get to 

891
00:48:28,800 --> 00:48:30,700
Berkeley. 
Whereas, you know, you have a 

892
00:48:30,707 --> 00:48:33,500
bigger pie with the Jaguars 
because less people are fading 

893
00:48:33,500 --> 00:48:35,800
the team. 
This is the dynamic, that's 

894
00:48:35,800 --> 00:48:37,800
really interesting to me. 
Ned says, I bet more people go 

895
00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:41,000
to Ingram people, famously 
forget, FPC is tied in premium, 

896
00:48:41,000 --> 00:48:45,500
Evan engram, set the league on 
fire, you know, weeks 14 through

897
00:48:45,500 --> 00:48:51,000
16 but he had Reception 42 yards
against the Texans in week 17. 

898
00:48:51,100 --> 00:48:54,700
He had four receptions for 27 
yards, and week 18. 

899
00:48:54,700 --> 00:48:58,700
And I do think that recency bias
element is going to bleed into 

900
00:48:58,700 --> 00:49:04,100
ownership in a way he is going 
to be spread out across Kirk, 

901
00:49:04,400 --> 00:49:07,100
Zay in etn. 
Like I do really feel like this 

902
00:49:07,100 --> 00:49:09,400
is going to be spread out with, 
of course, Travis etn. 

903
00:49:09,400 --> 00:49:11,600
Leading the way. 
Yeah. 

904
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:14,800
Like I feel like Kirk might 
actually be the Louis owned of 

905
00:49:14,800 --> 00:49:19,400
the, of the Jags. 
Relative three of the three. 

906
00:49:19,400 --> 00:49:22,800
Yeah, that's the exact obviously
is like the fourth, right? 

907
00:49:24,200 --> 00:49:26,400
Yeah. 
I have a donorship projections, 

908
00:49:26,400 --> 00:49:32,700
but I'm just going by Vibes 
right now, the Jags as a soft 

909
00:49:32,700 --> 00:49:33,900
fate. 
They are somebody. 

910
00:49:33,900 --> 00:49:36,500
You should be getting tricky 
with right because like if 

911
00:49:36,500 --> 00:49:39,200
you're saying there any gonna 
play one game that's when? 

912
00:49:39,200 --> 00:49:43,800
Yeah, anybody can do it. 
Riley, Patterson chipsy. 

913
00:49:43,900 --> 00:49:48,500
Um, alright, Hassan, it is time 
for our next Has Flex pick. 

914
00:49:48,800 --> 00:49:51,300
You guys were already discussing
about my little, make it 

915
00:49:51,300 --> 00:49:54,100
official sake 1. 
This is a guy who I DM bad about

916
00:49:54,100 --> 00:50:00,400
a little bit just because 
Actually, initially I had I had 

917
00:50:00,400 --> 00:50:05,400
the Giants defense initially it.
Initially I had the Giants his 

918
00:50:05,400 --> 00:50:08,500
defense as in play with with the
hurts lineup. 

919
00:50:08,500 --> 00:50:13,300
But the more I thought about it,
I agree in that the advanced 

920
00:50:13,300 --> 00:50:15,500
analytics have, this is a fork, 
when flipped like I think the 

921
00:50:15,500 --> 00:50:18,600
Vikings are only three point, 
favorite home sake, One Berkeley

922
00:50:18,600 --> 00:50:22,400
is the most comfortable way to 
play through this offense and 

923
00:50:22,400 --> 00:50:24,500
especially the highest total 
game at whole. 

924
00:50:24,500 --> 00:50:27,100
I mean, highest total game, and 
it's in it. 

925
00:50:27,300 --> 00:50:29,300
Dome. 
As I can see, people wanted to 

926
00:50:29,308 --> 00:50:32,600
try to bank it a shower or two 
along with whatever you had last

927
00:50:32,600 --> 00:50:34,900
time at 88 Gadget or something. 
Ridiculous. 

928
00:50:35,100 --> 00:50:36,700
Will you dming him about his 
quads? 

929
00:50:40,700 --> 00:50:42,500
What was the contents of this 
d'ya? 

930
00:50:43,100 --> 00:50:45,600
Know how people are going to 
play this game. 

931
00:50:45,600 --> 00:50:47,600
If they were going to ya later 
shootout? 

932
00:50:48,100 --> 00:50:51,700
Because yeah I'm telling you 
right now I'm going to be in 

933
00:50:51,700 --> 00:50:55,100
your ear about upping, Barclays 
ownership because when you 

934
00:50:55,100 --> 00:50:58,700
couple it with no one's playing.
Daniel Jones, right? 

935
00:50:58,700 --> 00:51:02,200
And no one is going to feel good
about clicking Isaiah Hodgins, 

936
00:51:02,200 --> 00:51:05,300
Darius Layton, Richie, James. 
And people, there's a 

937
00:51:05,308 --> 00:51:09,600
Groundswell of sentiment about a
giant subset here. 

938
00:51:09,600 --> 00:51:11,900
A lot of people think that 
that's a thing. 

939
00:51:12,100 --> 00:51:14,900
That's how you get it up it 
because I have one percent on 

940
00:51:14,900 --> 00:51:16,100
Slaton. 
Yes. 

941
00:51:16,100 --> 00:51:18,500
Essentially, a placeholder for 
the entire rest of the offense. 

942
00:51:18,500 --> 00:51:20,900
I have zero on Jones, Hodgins 
James. 

943
00:51:21,300 --> 00:51:24,600
So there's a one percent in this
entire offense currently 

944
00:51:24,600 --> 00:51:28,800
allocated to not Sake One 
Berkeley, but I have a quite I 

945
00:51:28,800 --> 00:51:32,700
have a total fade on this team 
of 51 percent, including the 

946
00:51:32,700 --> 00:51:35,800
kicker defense in the fade and 
it's maybe that's where I'm 

947
00:51:35,800 --> 00:51:36,500
wrong. 
But you got it. 

948
00:51:36,500 --> 00:51:40,700
I think it's gonna come down, I 
think are clear, it seems you do

949
00:51:40,700 --> 00:51:44,300
but so when people look, Des has
the highest projected total on 

950
00:51:44,300 --> 00:51:46,200
the Slate. 
Yeah, people are going to want 

951
00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:48,900
to play this. 
Both ways people are going to 

952
00:51:48,900 --> 00:51:51,000
fucking Jam Jefferson and 
Berkeley. 

953
00:51:51,000 --> 00:51:54,300
I'm telling ya, he's definitely 
Jami Jefferson in part because 

954
00:51:54,300 --> 00:51:56,900
this is where, like, but 
everybody I saw bad put her 

955
00:51:56,900 --> 00:51:59,000
down. 
In his and I had the Giants 

956
00:51:59,000 --> 00:52:02,200
defense because I wanted to be a
little unique. 

957
00:52:02,200 --> 00:52:04,700
I was like, nah, I just think 
Sake One make sense here. 

958
00:52:04,700 --> 00:52:07,200
Like I just can't see how people
don't do this. 

959
00:52:09,500 --> 00:52:11,100
A probably right now that 
Giants. 

960
00:52:14,700 --> 00:52:16,900
The question what the Pat and 
Pete? 

961
00:52:16,900 --> 00:52:21,000
What do you think that what you 
call it sake one should because 

962
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:25,600
I'm just Looking at looks like 
he has 40. 

963
00:52:25,900 --> 00:52:31,900
What is a 48%? 
Forsake one might not would be 

964
00:52:31,900 --> 00:52:35,900
this. 
I think I think sake one is fine

965
00:52:36,100 --> 00:52:40,900
but I would much prefer say Kwan
in soft Vikings Fades or 

966
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:44,200
Berkeley with Hawkinson. 
I just think I kind of want to 

967
00:52:44,200 --> 00:52:47,300
avoid the Berkeley the same 
program. 

968
00:52:47,700 --> 00:52:50,000
What? 
Yeah, the ownership do you 

969
00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:58,900
think? 
That that sounds about right to 

970
00:52:58,900 --> 00:53:01,600
me. 
I think the Jags Chargers game 

971
00:53:01,700 --> 00:53:04,300
in the Vikings Giants game are 
going to be the two games. 

972
00:53:04,300 --> 00:53:06,700
People are going to be willing 
to say, I don't know who's going

973
00:53:06,700 --> 00:53:09,500
to win. 
I'm going to play a stud on each

974
00:53:09,500 --> 00:53:11,900
side and be happy with the 
outcome regardless. 

975
00:53:12,600 --> 00:53:15,900
Yep. 
And it's easy to talk yourself 

976
00:53:15,900 --> 00:53:20,000
into that into this being some 
kind of shoot out because 

977
00:53:20,300 --> 00:53:25,900
because this game could dad like
pretty frankly this game Done 

978
00:53:26,400 --> 00:53:30,700
right? 
They click I initially had the 

979
00:53:30,700 --> 00:53:34,100
Giants defense, just because if 
you're playing, is this game was

980
00:53:34,100 --> 00:53:35,800
a dud like how did this game 
died? 

981
00:53:35,800 --> 00:53:40,900
Well, You know, Captain Kirk 
just turns and turns into the 

982
00:53:40,900 --> 00:53:43,700
guy who we've seen the last few 
weeks where he Turtles, and 

983
00:53:44,800 --> 00:53:46,200
through the bunch of books, 
right? 

984
00:53:46,800 --> 00:53:50,400
But I do think say Quan deserves
to be the highest like pie storm

985
00:53:50,400 --> 00:53:54,200
Giant. 
I see lots of good like Galaxy 

986
00:53:54,200 --> 00:53:58,200
brain thoughts in the chat 
Hodgins is G Cano, playing 

987
00:53:58,200 --> 00:54:00,800
through the wide receivers. 
I don't think any of you guys 

988
00:54:00,800 --> 00:54:03,100
are wrong. 
I'm just telling you this when 

989
00:54:03,100 --> 00:54:05,700
you like and you can look again,
I know I keep referencing this 

990
00:54:05,700 --> 00:54:07,800
but I think it's a good 
indicator when you look at 

991
00:54:08,200 --> 00:54:10,600
Gauntlet ATP. 
I mean Barclays. 

992
00:54:10,600 --> 00:54:12,300
Going in the fifth or sixth 
round. 

993
00:54:12,700 --> 00:54:15,800
Daniel Jones will get drafted in
the final round in the rest of 

994
00:54:15,800 --> 00:54:17,400
these Giants are going 
undrafted. 

995
00:54:17,400 --> 00:54:20,100
I mean, no one feels confident 
about anything else on the 

996
00:54:20,100 --> 00:54:23,400
Giants other than Berkeley. 
I think it's worth noting too 

997
00:54:23,400 --> 00:54:26,300
that we're talking through. 
This is going to be our pick for

998
00:54:26,300 --> 00:54:31,100
the most duplicated lineup for 
the 200 dollar contest, and 

999
00:54:31,100 --> 00:54:33,400
we're kind of talking through 
ownership and stuff for the 200 

1000
00:54:33,400 --> 00:54:36,000
dollar contest. 
I don't think people are going 

1001
00:54:36,000 --> 00:54:39,300
to feel, okay, putting $200 down
on Isaiah Hodgins. 

1002
00:54:39,800 --> 00:54:42,400
You'll see some of that in the, 
in the 35 dollar cons. 

1003
00:54:42,400 --> 00:54:45,100
There's a thirty five dollar 
version of this and it makes 

1004
00:54:45,100 --> 00:54:47,300
more sense to get a little more,
gal brain there. 

1005
00:54:47,800 --> 00:54:50,400
But I just, I just don't see 
people doing that here. 

1006
00:54:52,900 --> 00:55:00,700
So week 17, I had I'd say Conan 
one of my FPC teams and I think 

1007
00:55:00,700 --> 00:55:05,000
the Giants got to go line like 
three times and someone other 

1008
00:55:05,000 --> 00:55:11,700
than a than say, Quan got 
touchdowns. if I'm not, I'm not 

1009
00:55:11,700 --> 00:55:16,700
saying that this is why he 
should be lower and but and if 

1010
00:55:16,700 --> 00:55:19,000
something like that happened 
again, it could easily see 

1011
00:55:19,000 --> 00:55:24,400
another another giant be the, 
yeah, I mean it's the same, it's

1012
00:55:24,408 --> 00:55:27,900
the same case for Josh Allen, 
right like Konami Code, Gold 

1013
00:55:27,900 --> 00:55:32,500
Line, running bad guy, Yeah. 
All right. 

1014
00:55:32,500 --> 00:55:36,100
Let's move on from Berkeley. 
Let's head to the next Flex here

1015
00:55:36,100 --> 00:55:37,200
at Saint. 
Who do you got? 

1016
00:55:37,400 --> 00:55:39,700
This is how, you know, the the 
winds are shifting. 

1017
00:55:40,500 --> 00:55:46,400
This is Jamar Chase. 
Yeah, I initially had like, 

1018
00:55:46,400 --> 00:55:48,400
mixing there. 
And I was like, I can't even do 

1019
00:55:48,400 --> 00:55:51,500
it, man. 
I even like the even mix-ins. 

1020
00:55:51,500 --> 00:55:55,800
Like, biggest backers are like, 
he ain't that good? 

1021
00:55:56,000 --> 00:55:57,400
I don't know, man. 
They're still looking as 

1022
00:55:57,400 --> 00:56:00,800
expected points and they are 
Excited about you. 

1023
00:56:00,808 --> 00:56:03,600
Think, you think a boomer knows 
what unexpected point is. 

1024
00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:08,700
Exactly, that's our current 
Boomer and the 2023 landscape 

1025
00:56:08,900 --> 00:56:12,200
geriatric, Millennials Jerry. 
Yeah, that sucks. 

1026
00:56:13,700 --> 00:56:17,700
But no, I just, I just don't see
how you go away from Jamar Chase

1027
00:56:17,700 --> 00:56:22,500
here, unfortunately, right? 
Like he just I mean he was he 

1028
00:56:22,500 --> 00:56:25,400
was like going earlier than 
everybody else in ffp. 

1029
00:56:25,400 --> 00:56:27,800
See, Main Event wraps like I 
just don't see how people are 

1030
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:31,600
going to be away from him 
because I mean Jamar Chase just 

1031
00:56:31,600 --> 00:56:33,900
is that? 
Do you know if AJ Brown didn't 

1032
00:56:33,900 --> 00:56:35,600
exist here? 
Just like in coolest guy in the 

1033
00:56:35,600 --> 00:56:38,600
NFL, well, it Major Brown Justin
Jefferson didn't existed there, 

1034
00:56:39,100 --> 00:56:40,500
you know, the coolest guy in the
NFL. 

1035
00:56:42,300 --> 00:56:48,900
Yeah, I I think, you know, the 
way that things have played out 

1036
00:56:48,900 --> 00:56:52,200
with Joe Mixon in Teja. 
Egan's like people know that 

1037
00:56:52,200 --> 00:56:54,200
they have the ceiling in the 
back of their head, we've seen 

1038
00:56:54,200 --> 00:56:58,400
both those guys have monster 
games but none of those guys 

1039
00:56:58,400 --> 00:57:01,500
feel comfy relative to Jamar 
Chase. 

1040
00:57:01,500 --> 00:57:05,200
I mean Jamar Chase has such a 
comfy click and they Jim 

1041
00:57:05,200 --> 00:57:09,300
Marchese really needs and it 
sounds really cliche but one 

1042
00:57:09,300 --> 00:57:12,100
target man, one target. 
He's breaking a 97 yard 

1043
00:57:12,100 --> 00:57:15,000
touchdown to the house and 
that's all you need, right? 

1044
00:57:15,000 --> 00:57:17,800
And like that's the he's the guy
who can make it happen on one 

1045
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:20,600
play. 
Have you seen that? 

1046
00:57:22,100 --> 00:57:25,200
Can you guys poke any holes on 
Jamar, Chase being shocked? 

1047
00:57:25,200 --> 00:57:28,300
I honestly can't I can't. 
No I was making a joke about the

1048
00:57:28,300 --> 00:57:31,200
mixing thing but especially with
how past having the Bengals win 

1049
00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:34,100
down the stretch and makes it 
actually like stopped getting as

1050
00:57:34,100 --> 00:57:35,300
much work. 
Inside the tent. 

1051
00:57:35,300 --> 00:57:37,700
Like, the last I'm looking at 
now the last five weeks, he only

1052
00:57:37,700 --> 00:57:40,700
got four carries inside the 10. 
It was part of the right average

1053
00:57:40,700 --> 00:57:43,700
in like three game, he was 
leading the league by a lot by. 

1054
00:57:43,800 --> 00:57:46,500
I mean, there's like Jamal 
Williams is close to him, but 

1055
00:57:46,800 --> 00:57:48,600
there's maybe only one of the 
running back with them. 

1056
00:57:48,800 --> 00:57:50,800
An attempt per game of him. 
He was at like three in 

1057
00:57:50,800 --> 00:57:53,700
overdoses at like to heal. 
And for down the stretch in the 

1058
00:57:53,700 --> 00:57:56,600
last five games that he played, 
because they went past heavy. 

1059
00:57:56,600 --> 00:57:59,100
Like the we talk about the 
recency bias, people are going 

1060
00:57:59,100 --> 00:58:02,400
to be focused on how they've 
played recently and they've 

1061
00:58:02,400 --> 00:58:05,000
thrown a lot like chases. 
She's getting shot for sure. 

1062
00:58:05,100 --> 00:58:07,900
Yeah. 
Nixon snaps of also like before 

1063
00:58:07,900 --> 00:58:12,500
he got injured they were 
consistently like 70% plus snaps

1064
00:58:12,500 --> 00:58:15,400
since he's come back, it's been 
more on like the 50 to 60 range 

1065
00:58:15,400 --> 00:58:19,200
with with piron's roll growing. 
So again like Reason, I don't 

1066
00:58:19,200 --> 00:58:20,900
know if that's because they've 
been passed happy and like 

1067
00:58:20,900 --> 00:58:23,400
there's still a chance they'll 
use mix and really heavy in the 

1068
00:58:23,400 --> 00:58:26,200
playoffs or whatever. 
But the recency bias thing on 

1069
00:58:26,200 --> 00:58:29,800
mix in just. 
The usage is not been greatly so

1070
00:58:29,900 --> 00:58:31,900
I don't see people going to him 
over Chase. 

1071
00:58:31,900 --> 00:58:36,500
I'll try to play a little bit 
Devil's Advocate in that unlike 

1072
00:58:36,500 --> 00:58:39,100
say Justin Jefferson where 
people are going to feel really 

1073
00:58:39,100 --> 00:58:41,300
comfy playing it in either 
scenario. 

1074
00:58:41,800 --> 00:58:45,300
If Lamar for some reason doesn't
play or people want to play this

1075
00:58:45,300 --> 00:58:49,000
as a Bangles route. 
Is there anything where they're 

1076
00:58:49,000 --> 00:58:53,600
like, hey mixing could just 
Smash in this game against a 

1077
00:58:53,600 --> 00:58:58,000
depleted Baltimore team? 
I guess then you're taking mix 

1078
00:58:58,000 --> 00:59:00,300
in on the road to Buffalo. 
Yeah, real good. 

1079
00:59:00,400 --> 00:59:01,600
Yeah. 
But I still think I think you're

1080
00:59:01,600 --> 00:59:03,000
right there. 
I think mix-ins gonna get played

1081
00:59:03,000 --> 00:59:07,200
more than Alpha cook because 
like for the yes he's a large he

1082
00:59:07,200 --> 00:59:10,400
was, you know, I don't even know
that he was that much better. 

1083
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:12,900
I haven't looked at their 
scoring lately, but obviously 

1084
00:59:12,900 --> 00:59:15,200
got a ton of work in the end and
the usage. 

1085
00:59:15,200 --> 00:59:17,200
And people saw 5, TD game out of
him. 

1086
00:59:17,300 --> 00:59:21,400
This year, I mean it's certainly
possible that he could have a 

1087
00:59:21,408 --> 00:59:24,200
monster game. 
I can see that like I think he's

1088
00:59:24,200 --> 00:59:27,800
more of a threat to chase than 
cook his to Jefferson for sure, 

1089
00:59:28,600 --> 00:59:33,300
and if you had to order going 
after Chase, who do you think 

1090
00:59:33,300 --> 00:59:37,700
catches more Higgins or mix in? 
That's interesting to me. 

1091
00:59:37,700 --> 00:59:39,900
I thought you were gonna go 
Higgins when you said to make a 

1092
00:59:39,900 --> 00:59:41,300
counter case. 
I think that's it. 

1093
00:59:42,100 --> 00:59:43,800
I had mixed in, but I think it's
Higgins. 

1094
00:59:43,800 --> 00:59:45,600
I'm yeah, I just I just flip 
them. 

1095
00:59:45,800 --> 00:59:47,200
I think it s too. 
Yeah. 

1096
00:59:47,500 --> 00:59:49,600
It's going to be close. 
I think it's really close. 

1097
00:59:50,400 --> 00:59:53,500
It's relevant. 
Well, whether go for like, how 

1098
00:59:53,500 --> 00:59:57,500
Gallagher in this contest is now
it's like how close windows guys

1099
00:59:57,500 --> 01:00:00,700
relative to the chase. 
I thought Pete, you were going 

1100
01:00:00,700 --> 01:00:03,600
to make a case that Higgins is 
so much more of a threat than, 

1101
01:00:03,600 --> 01:00:05,400
like, Adam thielen or even 
Hawkinson. 

1102
01:00:05,400 --> 01:00:08,000
Right? 
And he is and he had a monster 

1103
01:00:08,000 --> 01:00:09,700
Super Bowl. 
You also, like, last year you 

1104
01:00:09,700 --> 01:00:12,600
had that element were Chase, had
the better run but then Higgins.

1105
01:00:12,600 --> 01:00:15,500
Got the 2x Super Bowl points in 
God close. 

1106
01:00:15,500 --> 01:00:17,800
I think, right? 
He was close to being Being the 

1107
01:00:17,900 --> 01:00:20,700
option for them. 
It could be Higgin. 

1108
01:00:20,700 --> 01:00:22,700
I mean I think again is going to
be played a decent amount. 

1109
01:00:23,500 --> 01:00:29,400
Yeah I think Megan's is 
analogous to Devon to Smith and 

1110
01:00:29,500 --> 01:00:32,900
the only difference in the comp 
of Eagles versus Philly is that 

1111
01:00:32,900 --> 01:00:36,600
people feel a little bit better 
about Joe Mixon than they do Mi 

1112
01:00:36,600 --> 01:00:39,200
Sanders. 
But I do think if you rank 

1113
01:00:39,200 --> 01:00:42,100
sentiment for eagles in 
Cincinnati is similar. 

1114
01:00:42,100 --> 01:00:46,500
AJ Brown Jamar, Chase Tegan, 
jovanka, Smith Joe Mixon Mi 

1115
01:00:46,500 --> 01:00:50,800
Sanders. 
I think I think you'll see more 

1116
01:00:50,800 --> 01:00:54,700
Higgins and Smith because God 
our might draw some. 

1117
01:00:55,000 --> 01:00:57,300
Yeah that's true. 
God hurts more of a pole than 

1118
01:00:57,300 --> 01:01:03,700
Hearst definitely But is hearse 
or Jalen Hurd, it's more of a 

1119
01:01:03,700 --> 01:01:07,100
pull than burrow. 
Yes for, yes. 

1120
01:01:07,100 --> 01:01:11,300
Yeah, for sure, for sure. 
Yeah, but I mean I think Chase 

1121
01:01:11,300 --> 01:01:13,600
is chunkier than brown. 
I think chases. 

1122
01:01:13,700 --> 01:01:15,700
I think Jason definitely 
chocolate and brought great. 

1123
01:01:15,700 --> 01:01:19,800
Yeah a great I do think there is
Mauro a donkey play. 

1124
01:01:20,600 --> 01:01:32,400
No I think I don't think he's 
got a bunch of guys all climb 

1125
01:01:32,400 --> 01:01:35,300
into the crown car. 
Yeah II the private chat ban I 

1126
01:01:35,300 --> 01:01:40,600
put Borrow might be the goat. 
Everyone's gonna come to that by

1127
01:01:40,600 --> 01:01:43,800
Friday, that's good. 
Yeah, yeah. 

1128
01:01:43,900 --> 01:01:48,900
And then the move is Justin 
Herbert like, just just break. 

1129
01:01:49,300 --> 01:01:51,500
I feel a lot better about 
Borough than Herbert Herbert 

1130
01:01:53,400 --> 01:02:00,800
Herbert. 
Let's move this along here. 

1131
01:02:00,800 --> 01:02:04,500
I think it's pretty clear is 
going to be the most popular 

1132
01:02:04,500 --> 01:02:05,700
Bangles play. 
What do we got next? 

1133
01:02:06,200 --> 01:02:09,200
Yeah, chats been chats already 
been calling for this and then 

1134
01:02:09,200 --> 01:02:10,400
you know, it's going to be CD 
lamb. 

1135
01:02:10,400 --> 01:02:15,900
I mean this is from from from a 
macro perspective, all of a 

1136
01:02:15,908 --> 01:02:21,300
sudden you're able to cram for 
of the like the best wide 

1137
01:02:21,300 --> 01:02:23,100
receivers in the NFL in the same
line. 

1138
01:02:23,100 --> 01:02:25,900
Right? 
Like all of a sudden you've got 

1139
01:02:25,900 --> 01:02:29,400
like the Like, pretty much 
anyone. 

1140
01:02:29,400 --> 01:02:31,500
Anyone who's been picked in the 
first and early second round 

1141
01:02:31,500 --> 01:02:34,000
next year or even this year, 
right? 

1142
01:02:34,000 --> 01:02:36,200
So all of a sudden, you can 
combine these guys, and there's 

1143
01:02:36,200 --> 01:02:38,900
no, there's no constraint ER, 
for you. 

1144
01:02:39,500 --> 01:02:42,200
Yeah, why wouldn't you re so, 
from a macro perspective, this 

1145
01:02:42,200 --> 01:02:45,700
is what really makes the most 
sense because because you're 

1146
01:02:45,700 --> 01:02:47,900
able to cramp this much, like, 
receiving down. 

1147
01:02:47,900 --> 01:02:54,300
It mean that said lamb has been 
like the only one true constant 

1148
01:02:54,300 --> 01:02:56,100
there. 
I mean, like Gallup has come up 

1149
01:02:56,100 --> 01:02:57,000
with. 
No Brown is day. 

1150
01:02:57,200 --> 01:02:58,900
Going away targets. 
You're not gonna play no Brown. 

1151
01:02:58,900 --> 01:03:02,100
And this Zeke is, you know, 
essentially spending time with 

1152
01:03:02,100 --> 01:03:04,800
bothered I think that ball is 
going to both bossy. 

1153
01:03:04,800 --> 01:03:07,600
Could going to get out of 
ownership but if you're playing 

1154
01:03:07,600 --> 01:03:12,200
this game as a shootout which it
could be, then you want to go 

1155
01:03:12,200 --> 01:03:16,900
the lamb route, Yeah. 
In the only guy, I think who 

1156
01:03:16,900 --> 01:03:20,200
could have competed with him 
would have been Tony Pollard, 

1157
01:03:20,200 --> 01:03:22,700
who was kind of setting the 
league on fire there for a 

1158
01:03:22,700 --> 01:03:24,400
spell. 
But you look at his last two 

1159
01:03:24,400 --> 01:03:28,300
games, seven attempts 19, 
rushing yards, nine attempts 19,

1160
01:03:28,300 --> 01:03:31,300
rushing yards, he did in week 17
against the Eagles, have six 

1161
01:03:31,300 --> 01:03:34,700
receptions, but I've noticed 
Tony Pollard slipping and 

1162
01:03:34,700 --> 01:03:36,300
drafts. 
He's another one that's been a 

1163
01:03:36,300 --> 01:03:39,900
massive slider relative to early
Gauntlet ATP. 

1164
01:03:39,900 --> 01:03:43,200
Were he was like a 2 3 turn pick
with a lot of lamb Stacks. 

1165
01:03:43,200 --> 01:03:45,700
Everyone was Is doubling them up
and now you can get them in the 

1166
01:03:45,700 --> 01:03:49,200
fourth fifth round at times. 
So sentiment has shifted on 

1167
01:03:49,200 --> 01:03:52,100
Pollard whereas lamb has stayed 
right up there. 

1168
01:03:52,100 --> 01:03:55,900
So I do I can't make any case 
for anyone other than CD up 

1169
01:03:55,900 --> 01:03:58,700
here. 
But it is an interesting point 

1170
01:03:58,700 --> 01:04:02,800
that it brings us to with the 
for Fades that you guys both 

1171
01:04:02,800 --> 01:04:06,200
came to this consensus that in 
particular, both the Box 

1172
01:04:06,200 --> 01:04:10,000
Seahawks and dolphins, I think 
the Ravens wouldn't really shock

1173
01:04:10,000 --> 01:04:13,000
anyone Dolphins Seahawks Bucks 
have a lot of good players on 

1174
01:04:13,000 --> 01:04:15,300
them. 
You guys have them Has faded one

1175
01:04:15,300 --> 01:04:16,500
way or another. 
Yeah. 

1176
01:04:17,500 --> 01:04:20,100
So, in the initial in the 
initial Ryan, if you give you 

1177
01:04:20,100 --> 01:04:24,600
see, I had Josh and Docker 
initially there and I am getting

1178
01:04:24,600 --> 01:04:27,200
this growing feeling that. 
I just don't think Lamar Jackson

1179
01:04:27,200 --> 01:04:30,700
plays. 
Like, I just have this, like 

1180
01:04:30,900 --> 01:04:33,400
it's still early. 
So early tomorrow. 

1181
01:04:33,400 --> 01:04:35,200
Know if he doesn't practice 
tomorrow. 

1182
01:04:35,200 --> 01:04:36,800
Yeah. 
Elle's need to start fucking 

1183
01:04:36,800 --> 01:04:38,200
ring. 
Yeah. 

1184
01:04:38,200 --> 01:04:40,600
Like I just had this like, 
initially when I made my first 

1185
01:04:40,600 --> 01:04:45,200
bass, I was like, maybe he was 
just maybe they would like 

1186
01:04:45,400 --> 01:04:49,100
making a business decision, 
sitting him out, but even then 

1187
01:04:49,100 --> 01:04:52,500
if even if Lamar plays at bash 
again, Tucker here in the K 

1188
01:04:53,300 --> 01:04:55,000
because that team is kind of 
depleted. 

1189
01:04:55,000 --> 01:04:56,800
Realistically, I really think 
that they make. 

1190
01:04:56,800 --> 01:04:59,300
They make a lot more sense of 
the fade here even They're 

1191
01:04:59,300 --> 01:05:01,100
Vegas. 
Odds are making the Super Bowl 

1192
01:05:01,500 --> 01:05:06,800
are more than the Jags or even 
the Giants but you mean, you 

1193
01:05:06,800 --> 01:05:08,600
don't feel comfortable, clicking
Mark Andrews, right? 

1194
01:05:08,600 --> 01:05:12,200
So I think, you know, just to go
back to the K. 

1195
01:05:12,300 --> 01:05:13,800
You guys see the Lamb on the one
side? 

1196
01:05:13,800 --> 01:05:15,500
We said we were going to if 
you're playing, this is a 

1197
01:05:15,500 --> 01:05:19,200
shootout which is projected to 
be, then your K bring back is 

1198
01:05:19,200 --> 01:05:22,400
suck up, right? 
Yeah and this is this is kind of

1199
01:05:22,400 --> 01:05:26,500
like a dumb point but just the 
fact that it's Justin Tucker, 

1200
01:05:26,500 --> 01:05:28,700
people are just gonna love 
putting him in the kicker spot 

1201
01:05:28,700 --> 01:05:32,000
like Ignore all the other stuff 
like Ryan suck up, like some of 

1202
01:05:32,008 --> 01:05:34,000
these other kickers, Riley 
Patterson, the Boomers have 

1203
01:05:34,000 --> 01:05:36,800
never heard of Riley, Patterson.
They've heard of Justin Tucker. 

1204
01:05:37,000 --> 01:05:38,200
Okay? 
Yeah. 

1205
01:05:38,300 --> 01:05:40,400
Are we getting are we getting 
us? 

1206
01:05:40,500 --> 01:05:48,700
Ahead of ourselves kid chasing. 
It's the show where we chased 

1207
01:05:48,700 --> 01:05:51,700
the best kickers. 
The kicker's that helped you win

1208
01:05:51,700 --> 01:05:55,200
championships. 
The biggest legs the breaking 

1209
01:05:55,200 --> 01:05:58,700
news. 
It's everything you've come to 

1210
01:05:58,700 --> 01:06:01,200
love. 
Love and know the time is now 

1211
01:06:01,400 --> 01:06:09,100
for kicker King. 
Let's get some fucking kickers 

1212
01:06:13,300 --> 01:06:15,200
was thinking that might be our 
other kicker clip. 

1213
01:06:17,800 --> 01:06:20,900
And clip told us he finally 
arrives by get a double kicker 

1214
01:06:20,900 --> 01:06:24,200
Cliff here. 
Facade is who's the kicker? 

1215
01:06:25,500 --> 01:06:29,700
I mean so it is suck up, right, 
Mama. 

1216
01:06:33,300 --> 01:06:36,700
Yeah, no no. 
My original my Original run had 

1217
01:06:36,700 --> 01:06:39,300
Tucker. 
So my actual original run didn't

1218
01:06:39,300 --> 01:06:41,900
have Berkeley. 
It had Godwin instead right? 

1219
01:06:41,900 --> 01:06:45,700
Because people would not be 
comfortable playing either one 

1220
01:06:45,700 --> 01:06:50,100
of CD lamb or the box to lose, 
right. 

1221
01:06:50,100 --> 01:06:52,300
You Dallas or bucks to lose. 
So I had to choose God went in 

1222
01:06:52,300 --> 01:06:55,600
there but but the more I thought
about it and like the more I'm 

1223
01:06:55,600 --> 01:06:58,100
looking over it, like I think 
the box like a lot of people are

1224
01:06:58,100 --> 01:07:01,600
picking the box of the trendy 
upset and that will be the one 

1225
01:07:01,600 --> 01:07:04,300
where I feel like you're just 
going to find people going. 

1226
01:07:04,300 --> 01:07:06,000
All right? 
If I want to, if I want Like 

1227
01:07:06,000 --> 01:07:10,200
some points from a from an easy,
you know, matchup where he's 

1228
01:07:10,200 --> 01:07:12,100
going to shoot out gonna guess 
you're going to go to suck up 

1229
01:07:12,100 --> 01:07:15,000
route, but I would have law 
because like my original, my 

1230
01:07:15,000 --> 01:07:16,800
original run, didn't have C'est 
quand. 

1231
01:07:16,800 --> 01:07:21,300
It had the Giants DSD and Justin
Tucker and the dolphin in 

1232
01:07:21,300 --> 01:07:24,000
Seattle with the Fades. 
So Nate saying that Boomer 

1233
01:07:24,000 --> 01:07:25,700
softening Tom. 
Brady feels wrong. 

1234
01:07:25,700 --> 01:07:31,500
I do think that the Godwin 
Dallas D version of this will 

1235
01:07:31,500 --> 01:07:35,300
also be very popular. 
I gotta use the other side of 

1236
01:07:35,300 --> 01:07:37,300
this game. 
Yes, I was going to say that 

1237
01:07:37,300 --> 01:07:40,400
exact same thing. 
It's similar to the Josh Allen 

1238
01:07:40,500 --> 01:07:42,300
AJ Brown hurts. 
Yeah. 

1239
01:07:42,300 --> 01:07:45,300
Eggs 2, V 2. 
I can see people splitting how 

1240
01:07:45,300 --> 01:07:49,200
they approach this. 
I think I would argue its onset 

1241
01:07:49,200 --> 01:07:53,500
though that having both a Dallas
and Bucks player in because it's

1242
01:07:53,500 --> 01:07:56,500
a, you know, it's a spread 
inside a three-point, it's a 45 

1243
01:07:56,500 --> 01:07:58,900
game. 
I think it's easy to play both 

1244
01:07:58,900 --> 01:08:02,900
sides of it right even more so 
than the Vikings Giants which 

1245
01:08:02,900 --> 01:08:05,600
has a close spread as well. 
And people don't get the whole 

1246
01:08:05,800 --> 01:08:07,700
Offense. 
When you pick sake one, right? 

1247
01:08:07,700 --> 01:08:10,300
That's how it is, you get the 
whole offense, you don't you 

1248
01:08:10,300 --> 01:08:13,400
have to pick God when you have 
to pick Evans and that where I 

1249
01:08:13,400 --> 01:08:15,400
landed with this, is that I 
think ultimately people are 

1250
01:08:15,400 --> 01:08:18,700
going to go give me CD. 
I know I have the Dallas side, 

1251
01:08:19,399 --> 01:08:22,300
you know, is basically toss-up 
but I'll pick Dallas and then I 

1252
01:08:22,308 --> 01:08:24,000
don't have to deal with the 
headache of picking the right 

1253
01:08:24,000 --> 01:08:30,300
book The and I do I see a lot of
chat and I do think I have seen,

1254
01:08:30,300 --> 01:08:31,800
you know the line hasn't moved, 
right? 

1255
01:08:31,800 --> 01:08:33,800
The line has stayed at Tampa 
Bay. 

1256
01:08:33,800 --> 01:08:38,200
Plus 3, I know there's A lot of 
people who are like, hey, Tampa 

1257
01:08:38,200 --> 01:08:42,100
Bay has come on strong Dallas 
just flopped against the 

1258
01:08:42,100 --> 01:08:45,600
Commander's. 
I wouldn't be surprised to see 

1259
01:08:45,600 --> 01:08:50,500
etn flipped for a Godwin or 
Evans. 

1260
01:08:50,800 --> 01:08:55,000
Yeah, Uber opto yeah, man, go 
down to like a Riley Patterson 

1261
01:08:55,700 --> 01:08:59,300
or a defense Jags defense as the
Jag soft fade. 

1262
01:08:59,300 --> 01:09:03,100
I think it's may be closed 
between those because people are

1263
01:09:03,100 --> 01:09:05,600
ready to bet against the Cowboys
after that flop. 

1264
01:09:05,700 --> 01:09:08,300
Week. 
Yeah, and I just think I just 

1265
01:09:08,300 --> 01:09:12,700
think that like right now the 
Jags eye-catching so much media 

1266
01:09:12,700 --> 01:09:16,600
attention that is really hard to
not have etn in there, right? 

1267
01:09:16,600 --> 01:09:20,000
Like it's really hard to have 
him in there right now even 

1268
01:09:20,000 --> 01:09:23,800
though Vegas doesn't give the 
Jags, the Giants Miami or the 

1269
01:09:23,800 --> 01:09:29,100
Seahawks much of a shot. 
Yeah, I do think that one's 

1270
01:09:29,100 --> 01:09:31,800
going to be close because 
there's really yeah three games 

1271
01:09:31,800 --> 01:09:36,399
that you play both ways, right? 
It's of course Jags Chargers. 

1272
01:09:36,399 --> 01:09:41,399
It's Giants Vikings and then 
it's Cowboys and bucks and I 

1273
01:09:41,399 --> 01:09:45,800
think to your point p with the 
J. 

1274
01:09:45,800 --> 01:09:47,899
I mean we're talking about it 
from the Vegas perspective. 

1275
01:09:47,899 --> 01:09:50,000
I think some some Boomers going 
to look at from the Vegas 

1276
01:09:50,000 --> 01:09:51,399
perspective. 
I think some were going to look 

1277
01:09:51,399 --> 01:09:52,600
at it. 
I guess it's sort of the way 

1278
01:09:52,600 --> 01:09:54,900
that I'm looking at it from the 
Boomer mentality. 

1279
01:09:55,000 --> 01:09:56,200
When I want to mention the 
Giant. 

1280
01:09:56,300 --> 01:09:59,500
I insist potentially a fade is 
like, which of these teams were 

1281
01:09:59,500 --> 01:10:02,200
good fantasy offenses, right? 
Like the Bucks through more 

1282
01:10:02,200 --> 01:10:04,000
passes this year. 
I think that any team in NFL 

1283
01:10:04,000 --> 01:10:06,100
history, right? 
Or second, most of any, of the 

1284
01:10:06,100 --> 01:10:08,200
extra game, but they led the 
league in pass attempts. 

1285
01:10:08,500 --> 01:10:11,900
There was a lot of volume to go 
around in that offense, they're 

1286
01:10:11,900 --> 01:10:14,800
in a potential could go either 
way game and they were like a 

1287
01:10:14,808 --> 01:10:18,900
fun fantasy offense. 
Wears a Giants weren't right? 

1288
01:10:18,900 --> 01:10:21,200
And with the punishment of fun 
fantasy offense, I mean they had

1289
01:10:21,200 --> 01:10:23,700
a good week against the Panthers
but they were pretty good. 

1290
01:10:23,700 --> 01:10:25,000
Yeah. 
Oh would you say it was a good 

1291
01:10:25,000 --> 01:10:28,800
week against the Panthers? 
Some some some are saying it's 

1292
01:10:30,000 --> 01:10:32,500
fun from a perspective of the 
through passes, whereas the 

1293
01:10:32,500 --> 01:10:35,600
Giants were very run-heavy team,
I feel like the Bucks coming on 

1294
01:10:35,600 --> 01:10:38,500
strong narrative. 
There's a very low bar, they 

1295
01:10:38,500 --> 01:10:41,200
were like losing to the Falcons 
when they had all their starters

1296
01:10:41,200 --> 01:10:44,700
in this week, but yeah, they're 
coming on real strong for the 

1297
01:10:44,700 --> 01:10:46,400
playoffs. 
That's how I feel Sam. 

1298
01:10:46,400 --> 01:10:49,600
I'm like, I don't know why. 
This, it's like a fraudulent 

1299
01:10:50,100 --> 01:10:52,800
coming on strong. 
I'm like, what is this momentum?

1300
01:10:52,800 --> 01:10:55,100
I don't even see it but they 
have two people are gonna want 

1301
01:10:55,100 --> 01:10:56,100
to play Tom? 
No, yeah. 

1302
01:10:56,100 --> 01:10:57,600
The Boomer months. 
That is they're coming on 

1303
01:10:57,600 --> 01:10:58,800
strong. 
That's yeah. 

1304
01:10:58,800 --> 01:10:59,700
For sure. 
It's true. 

1305
01:10:59,800 --> 01:11:03,600
That is true. 
And the biggest issue that I 

1306
01:11:03,608 --> 01:11:09,300
have with like, but like but 
like the box is man. 

1307
01:11:09,300 --> 01:11:12,600
They, they really not a fun team
to watch. 

1308
01:11:12,600 --> 01:11:16,000
If you have to hit its you sit 
and watch their games. 

1309
01:11:16,300 --> 01:11:22,500
They like the most you lose. 
Like I think you lose like a 

1310
01:11:22,508 --> 01:11:27,700
next, the Boomer death. 
He submits this to hundred 

1311
01:11:27,700 --> 01:11:30,600
dollar lineup and then he puts a
thirty five dollar line up with 

1312
01:11:30,600 --> 01:11:31,900
Tom. 
Brady at quarterback. 

1313
01:11:31,900 --> 01:11:37,900
Oh, 100% 100%. 
Well, again, I do think recency 

1314
01:11:37,900 --> 01:11:40,700
bias with this stuff is like, 
really big. 

1315
01:11:40,800 --> 01:11:45,600
And if you think about how 
people thought, maybe the Jags 

1316
01:11:45,600 --> 01:11:49,700
would handle, the Titans, more 
in etn, went 7-4 17, and they 

1317
01:11:49,700 --> 01:11:55,300
gave me only had two receptions,
whereas, we're coming with the 

1318
01:11:55,300 --> 01:11:58,300
Box, who just Had a massive 
game, two weeks ago. 

1319
01:11:58,300 --> 01:12:00,700
I know they kind of folded 
against the Falcons but they 

1320
01:12:00,700 --> 01:12:05,300
weren't playing for anything. 
I just I do, I think my Boomer 

1321
01:12:05,300 --> 01:12:10,300
opto would flip etn off there 
when you think about the Bevy of

1322
01:12:10,300 --> 01:12:14,100
options for the Jags. 
I just wonder if people are 

1323
01:12:14,100 --> 01:12:16,600
spooked on etn right now. 
Interesting. 

1324
01:12:16,700 --> 01:12:19,900
All right. 
That's just my Liam I think 

1325
01:12:19,900 --> 01:12:22,600
traditionally like if you would 
have done this Boomer opto two 

1326
01:12:22,600 --> 01:12:26,100
weeks ago, a fucking course like
etn. 

1327
01:12:26,300 --> 01:12:29,300
For this. 
But I'm kind of thinking that 

1328
01:12:29,400 --> 01:12:31,600
people are not going to feel 
confident with ET. 

1329
01:12:31,600 --> 01:12:33,900
And the more I kind of talked 
this through and think about the

1330
01:12:33,900 --> 01:12:35,600
game, they want to play both 
ways. 

1331
01:12:35,800 --> 01:12:38,200
Yeah, you tell just doesn't seem
healthy and I don't know how 

1332
01:12:38,300 --> 01:12:40,800
much people are paying attention
to that, but the last two weeks,

1333
01:12:40,800 --> 01:12:45,300
he's really, is snaps in the 
role of been pretty down so I 

1334
01:12:45,308 --> 01:12:49,300
don't know. 
Yeah, but that but yeah, I think

1335
01:12:49,300 --> 01:12:52,900
I agree with you Pete on the 
Godwin etn switch. 

1336
01:12:53,500 --> 01:12:55,900
Yeah, I think I think there 
might be right there. 

1337
01:12:56,300 --> 01:13:00,800
The because because because I 
initially did have mean I'm in 

1338
01:13:00,800 --> 01:13:05,500
there with Docker and I had who 
to have a device, a giant City. 

1339
01:13:05,900 --> 01:13:09,200
But like, I think, I think I'm 
fat and I agree like, Seattle 

1340
01:13:09,200 --> 01:13:12,800
sprawling, a events. 
No, it's probably gonna be. 

1341
01:13:12,800 --> 01:13:15,800
It's a very helpful or oh, I 
seem to do it. 

1342
01:13:15,800 --> 01:13:23,100
Yeah, the pushback I would have 
on This is the Boomer opto is 

1343
01:13:23,100 --> 01:13:25,700
that there's going to be some 
Evans, right? 

1344
01:13:25,700 --> 01:13:29,000
So like if you think about the 
most Duke lineup, maybe 

1345
01:13:29,100 --> 01:13:31,900
Buccaneers wide receiver. 
You're right. 

1346
01:13:31,900 --> 01:13:36,100
But I don't know about people, I
do think they'll go to Godwin 

1347
01:13:36,100 --> 01:13:38,600
over Evans. 
You get the narrative with the 

1348
01:13:38,900 --> 01:13:43,000
pass rush and everything, but 
Evans is gotta catch some right 

1349
01:13:43,100 --> 01:13:44,600
here. 
Here's the thing, though about 

1350
01:13:44,600 --> 01:13:50,100
Evans, right? 
He Was I know he missed last 

1351
01:13:50,100 --> 01:13:52,300
week, right? 
So maybe throw that out, but 

1352
01:13:52,300 --> 01:13:55,300
people have this thought on 
Evans is being extremely 

1353
01:13:55,300 --> 01:13:57,600
boom-bust, right? 
Like had a string of like six 

1354
01:13:57,600 --> 01:14:00,800
games, none of the are yards, 
hitting Godwin is the comfy. 

1355
01:14:00,800 --> 01:14:04,800
Boomer click, he's consistently 
been a Target earner, he's had 

1356
01:14:04,800 --> 01:14:07,900
solid games back to back. 
PPR scoring people aren't 

1357
01:14:07,900 --> 01:14:10,600
chasing the spike week is much 
in Godwin. 

1358
01:14:10,600 --> 01:14:12,400
Feels good. 
This goes back to the depot, the

1359
01:14:12,400 --> 01:14:16,300
Jefferson thing - game script 
positive game, script Godwin can

1360
01:14:16,300 --> 01:14:19,300
get there and either one That's 
a good point. 

1361
01:14:19,300 --> 01:14:23,400
And again, if you want to talk 
about a name-brand, kicker that 

1362
01:14:23,400 --> 01:14:25,300
the Boomers feel comfortable, 
clicking 

1363
01:15:22,100 --> 01:15:25,400
So people have been stealing 
that clip and passing it off as 

1364
01:15:25,400 --> 01:15:28,600
your own work on Twitter. 
I have that really did someone 

1365
01:15:28,600 --> 01:15:29,300
legit. 
Yeah. 

1366
01:15:29,300 --> 01:15:32,000
That clip. 
Oh yeah, yeah. 

1367
01:15:32,300 --> 01:15:35,400
Oh that's I reported them. 
I reported them for like 

1368
01:15:36,200 --> 01:15:42,300
offensive material or something.
Twitter police get this man. 

1369
01:15:44,100 --> 01:15:47,100
You know what? 
Zack all do this exact says, can

1370
01:15:47,100 --> 01:15:49,800
someone please explain this 
Boomer? 

1371
01:15:49,800 --> 01:15:54,600
Meaning like you said to the 
Frog Play, here's the thing. 

1372
01:15:54,600 --> 01:15:55,700
There's good people on both 
sides. 

1373
01:15:55,700 --> 01:16:00,600
That this is the lineup that we 
think is most likely to be 

1374
01:16:00,600 --> 01:16:03,400
replicated by the field. 
We think these are the comfiest 

1375
01:16:03,400 --> 01:16:05,200
clicks. 
If you play DFS, this is the 

1376
01:16:05,200 --> 01:16:07,900
chalk line up. 
These are the best place, they 

1377
01:16:07,900 --> 01:16:10,800
are the best place but in 
conjunction it is probably not 

1378
01:16:10,800 --> 01:16:14,000
your path to winning five 
hundred thousand dollars but 

1379
01:16:14,000 --> 01:16:17,000
definitely that your path to 
500,000 it might be your path to

1380
01:16:17,000 --> 01:16:20,000
women like, you know, 50,000 
with a hundred of your His 

1381
01:16:20,000 --> 01:16:21,600
friends. 
If you're if you're, if you're a

1382
01:16:21,608 --> 01:16:23,400
cash game King, this is what 
you're putting in. 

1383
01:16:23,500 --> 01:16:25,400
Yeah. 
It might be your path to 

1384
01:16:25,400 --> 01:16:27,300
winning. 
A free subscription to football 

1385
01:16:27,300 --> 01:16:28,100
guys. 
Next year? 

1386
01:16:40,200 --> 01:16:47,200
Yeah, like all the I guess with 
more content saying oh no you 

1387
01:16:47,200 --> 01:16:51,500
should be contrarian he can. 
He can feel like someone like 

1388
01:16:51,500 --> 01:16:53,100
where you're going against the 
grain of it. 

1389
01:16:54,100 --> 01:16:56,700
I actually don't think it'll be 
Tucker. 

1390
01:16:56,700 --> 01:17:00,500
I think I think the more do 
version of this will be Jags 

1391
01:17:00,500 --> 01:17:03,800
kicker. 
Yeah because Tucker hasn't 

1392
01:17:03,800 --> 01:17:06,800
actually been all that high 
owned in past years. 

1393
01:17:06,800 --> 01:17:09,500
I know he's got the name brand 
and that's, you know what? 

1394
01:17:09,500 --> 01:17:12,900
I, but in part because Andrews 
was more of a play and Lamar was

1395
01:17:12,900 --> 01:17:16,800
more of a play, the Ravens have 
had more faith on what they can 

1396
01:17:16,800 --> 01:17:19,100
do. 
It's really opened up for Justin

1397
01:17:19,100 --> 01:17:24,100
Tucker this year but people want
to play that as a I think you 

1398
01:17:24,100 --> 01:17:27,900
Jenna, what you generally see is
that people will play the kicker

1399
01:17:27,900 --> 01:17:33,900
as a shootout and so, two years 
ago, Tucker came in at 9%. 

1400
01:17:35,800 --> 01:17:38,200
I actually don't think the name 
brand will be that much of a 

1401
01:17:38,200 --> 01:17:42,200
boost he was at. 
And I had a projected 73 years. 

1402
01:17:42,200 --> 01:17:50,200
I think I lived through. 
The uprights are goes. 

1403
01:17:50,200 --> 01:17:52,400
I think maybe you guys are 
right, but I think if not, it'll

1404
01:17:52,400 --> 01:17:53,100
be that. 
Yeah. 

1405
01:17:53,700 --> 01:17:56,000
Yeah, I think I think both bad 
and I approached it from the 

1406
01:17:56,000 --> 01:18:01,900
perspective of the Martin being 
out because he's in the reason I

1407
01:18:01,900 --> 01:18:04,100
think Pat you can eat. 
You can correct me if I'm wrong.

1408
01:18:04,100 --> 01:18:08,600
But the reason I had Seattle 
defense and there is of all the 

1409
01:18:08,600 --> 01:18:13,000
remaining teams than most like 
some kind of traction in terms 

1410
01:18:13,000 --> 01:18:16,600
of turnovers because that game 
in San Francisco's projected to 

1411
01:18:16,600 --> 01:18:20,400
be kind of Muddy. 
Potentially not that great of a 

1412
01:18:20,600 --> 01:18:22,900
like not great feeling condition
so they could look into some 

1413
01:18:22,900 --> 01:18:24,200
kind of turn. 
A overlock. 

1414
01:18:24,500 --> 01:18:26,900
I think that that's, that was my
reasoning behind. 

1415
01:18:26,900 --> 01:18:29,700
Why I wanted Seattle DST as a 
jockey fence. 

1416
01:18:30,900 --> 01:18:33,300
That's how I felt too. 
I just felt like, you know, 

1417
01:18:33,300 --> 01:18:35,200
maybe they get a brock pretty 
pic or something. 

1418
01:18:36,200 --> 01:18:41,300
I think this is, I said, Yeah. 
Oh yes, I see you guys. 

1419
01:18:41,300 --> 01:18:46,500
You would have had Seattle D and
then hard fate of Miami and 

1420
01:18:46,800 --> 01:18:50,200
Tampa is what know, I know. 
And Baltimore and as well. 

1421
01:18:50,200 --> 01:18:53,800
Yeah, because because, because 
we're both assuming Lamar's not 

1422
01:18:53,800 --> 01:18:58,000
going to play and Miami's like 
Dent Point dogs. 

1423
01:18:58,400 --> 01:19:02,500
Yeah. 
Yeah, I don't see a hard fade on

1424
01:19:02,500 --> 01:19:05,400
the box. 
Yeah, that's that's the one that

1425
01:19:05,400 --> 01:19:06,800
we didn't get. 
There was said that we had to 

1426
01:19:06,800 --> 01:19:10,600
suck up but soccer. 
Yeah, the pigeon house clear 

1427
01:19:10,600 --> 01:19:12,200
this year we got a little bit of
a better field. 

1428
01:19:12,200 --> 01:19:16,400
The like the seven seeds getting
an even like the Dolphins can be

1429
01:19:16,400 --> 01:19:18,300
played. 
Obviously Tyreke was fantastic. 

1430
01:19:18,300 --> 01:19:20,800
This year in past years we've 
had like the Bears sneak in 

1431
01:19:20,800 --> 01:19:23,700
instant Washington sneak in a 
couple of years ago and it's 

1432
01:19:23,700 --> 01:19:25,900
like everyone's going to fade. 
That can imagine if like the 

1433
01:19:25,907 --> 01:19:29,900
Steelers snuck in, they would be
like 100% hard fade right onto 

1434
01:19:30,000 --> 01:19:34,400
To that point, I think that 
Tyree kill might be a crazy good

1435
01:19:34,400 --> 01:19:35,700
play. 
Yeah. 

1436
01:19:35,700 --> 01:19:38,000
Because people are going to want
to fade him. 

1437
01:19:38,300 --> 01:19:40,100
You know, they're gonna want to 
feed the Dolphins and just be 

1438
01:19:40,100 --> 01:19:43,800
like, I know they're losing, but
if you get a shoot out from that

1439
01:19:43,800 --> 01:19:46,800
game that not in the shootout 
but just like the Bills score 

1440
01:19:46,800 --> 01:19:49,900
the Dolphins throw and, you 
know, Tyrese getting his Target 

1441
01:19:49,900 --> 01:19:52,400
share. 
So, you know, he gets there in a

1442
01:19:52,407 --> 01:19:55,900
one and done he beats say Quan 
they lose, you know, he beats 

1443
01:19:55,900 --> 01:19:59,900
God when they lose you're 
sitting pretty though. 

1444
01:20:00,100 --> 01:20:03,800
One thing I would say and I can 
tell Zach this is his, he says 

1445
01:20:03,800 --> 01:20:07,700
it's his first year playing like
the Temptation is to just put in

1446
01:20:07,700 --> 01:20:09,900
the best players. 
I would say the best exercise 

1447
01:20:09,900 --> 01:20:12,800
you can do is build out your 
Super Bowl bracket. 

1448
01:20:12,800 --> 01:20:15,700
How do you think the Super Bowl 
is going to go just fill out 

1449
01:20:15,700 --> 01:20:19,000
your bracket? 
And then pick the players from 

1450
01:20:19,000 --> 01:20:21,500
those teams in reverse order, 
start with your Super Bowl 

1451
01:20:21,500 --> 01:20:24,100
players, and start with your 
conference Championship, guys, 

1452
01:20:24,100 --> 01:20:27,300
and reverse engineer it all the 
way down to the guys, you are 

1453
01:20:27,300 --> 01:20:29,800
fading. 
I think that's the best way. 

1454
01:20:30,000 --> 01:20:34,500
You can hand build teams and if 
you just rip teams in based on 

1455
01:20:34,500 --> 01:20:36,900
name value or whatever, you're 
going to end up close to the 

1456
01:20:36,900 --> 01:20:39,100
Boomer opto and you're going to 
be duped in, you're not going to

1457
01:20:39,100 --> 01:20:42,200
have a story in a path that can 
help you with. 

1458
01:20:42,200 --> 01:20:46,200
And the biggest mistake you have
to avoid is you can't fade two 

1459
01:20:46,200 --> 01:20:47,800
teams playing each other in the 
first round. 

1460
01:20:47,800 --> 01:20:51,200
There's yeah, this is the most 
fundamental, there's two team. 

1461
01:20:51,200 --> 01:20:53,200
There's teams every year that 
like will take. 

1462
01:20:53,700 --> 01:20:56,400
I don't know the there's not 
really a great game this year 

1463
01:20:56,400 --> 01:20:58,500
where this might how go but 
they'll go suck up. 

1464
01:20:58,500 --> 01:21:01,300
Dallas, T suck up. 
I was the, you can't saw fade 

1465
01:21:01,300 --> 01:21:03,900
both sides of because one, 
there's too many teams are going

1466
01:21:03,900 --> 01:21:06,300
to play one game. 
One of those teams is going to 

1467
01:21:06,300 --> 01:21:08,600
play two games and whenever 
teams play, two games is 

1468
01:21:08,600 --> 01:21:12,000
typically not the kicker, the D.
It's very unlikely to do the 

1469
01:21:12,000 --> 01:21:15,900
kick or of the TV or you're 
really it's time one hand behind

1470
01:21:15,900 --> 01:21:18,200
your back because you're 
getting, you're guaranteeing two

1471
01:21:18,200 --> 01:21:21,500
games out of your kicker or D 
and and whatever the teams 

1472
01:21:21,500 --> 01:21:22,900
playing, two games. 
That also means they won the 

1473
01:21:22,900 --> 01:21:24,700
first game. 
We had a unique spot last year 

1474
01:21:24,700 --> 01:21:29,000
where San Fran, one of the first
game we played Dallas kind of 

1475
01:21:29,000 --> 01:21:31,500
heavy on the other side. 
Of that game because everyone 

1476
01:21:31,500 --> 01:21:34,900
was picking San Fran table said 
it was like being over played 

1477
01:21:35,200 --> 01:21:38,400
San Fran wins. 
We had a lot of Robbie Gould but

1478
01:21:38,400 --> 01:21:41,100
we were like, they won in a way 
that we were actually like super

1479
01:21:41,100 --> 01:21:42,600
excited. 
There's a possibility, Robbie 

1480
01:21:42,600 --> 01:21:45,400
Gould could actually be the 
right kicker into games. 

1481
01:21:45,400 --> 01:21:49,000
Like it was like a crazy thing 
but in most cases that team 

1482
01:21:49,000 --> 01:21:51,400
winning that first game is 
scoring enough points, that some

1483
01:21:51,400 --> 01:21:54,400
skill guys is outscoring the 
kicker by enough and then going 

1484
01:21:54,400 --> 01:21:57,400
on in scoring some more points 
in the second game you just you 

1485
01:21:57,400 --> 01:22:00,500
have to make sure you're getting
a skill guy or Quarterback, 

1486
01:22:00,500 --> 01:22:03,400
whatever a player from each of 
the games. 

1487
01:22:04,700 --> 01:22:09,600
Yes. 
All right, let's transition to a

1488
01:22:09,600 --> 01:22:12,500
little bit more in the weed 
strategy. 

1489
01:22:12,500 --> 01:22:15,400
Now that we kind of know the 
table Stakes here, what the 

1490
01:22:15,400 --> 01:22:18,700
field is going to be gravitating
to Sam. 

1491
01:22:18,700 --> 01:22:21,000
I know you've put together some 
charts. 

1492
01:22:21,400 --> 01:22:23,400
What angle. 
Are we looking at here? 

1493
01:22:24,000 --> 01:22:27,000
Yeah. 
So what I want to look at here. 

1494
01:22:28,400 --> 01:22:32,500
I so what this chart is showing 
Ying is projected ownership from

1495
01:22:32,500 --> 01:22:35,800
Pat's data and I think Pat maybe
you updated these percentages 

1496
01:22:35,800 --> 01:22:37,600
slightly but this, well, I've 
updated them as we've been doing

1497
01:22:37,600 --> 01:22:39,000
the show. 
So yeah, they're not. 

1498
01:22:39,000 --> 01:22:41,700
Yeah, there are no more of this.
Yeah. 

1499
01:22:41,800 --> 01:22:42,800
Yeah. 
They're less this. 

1500
01:22:42,800 --> 01:22:44,500
Yeah. 
And and so that's what those 

1501
01:22:44,500 --> 01:22:47,700
gray bars are. 
What the green like lines are. 

1502
01:22:47,700 --> 01:22:51,300
There are the team odds to win 
the Super Bowl, just from 5:30 

1503
01:22:51,300 --> 01:22:55,700
and average 538, and DraftKings,
odds to get to the team. 

1504
01:22:55,700 --> 01:22:57,700
Odds of winning. 
The Super Bowl and the basic 

1505
01:22:57,700 --> 01:23:00,900
assumption I was making here, 
like I think that these things 

1506
01:23:00,900 --> 01:23:05,600
should be fairly equal because 
in general, you want to pick the

1507
01:23:05,600 --> 01:23:09,500
quarterback on your team that 
wins the Super Bowl. 

1508
01:23:09,500 --> 01:23:12,200
Obviously not always like you 
can pick a quarterback that 

1509
01:23:12,200 --> 01:23:14,700
makes it to the Super Bowl or 
you can have some like and 

1510
01:23:14,700 --> 01:23:17,600
losses or you can have scenarios
like last year where you know, 

1511
01:23:17,600 --> 01:23:20,200
Josh Allen is an optimal even 
though I only played two games. 

1512
01:23:20,400 --> 01:23:23,500
It's not like a cotton fast, 
like hard and fast rule, but in 

1513
01:23:23,500 --> 01:23:27,500
general, like, these things 
should be pretty close to equal,

1514
01:23:28,400 --> 01:23:32,400
which leads me to I think. 
Like the strongest take I have 

1515
01:23:32,400 --> 01:23:37,700
on this tournament right now is 
that I think Brock / D is maybe 

1516
01:23:37,700 --> 01:23:40,800
the best leverage play. 
If it's ownership is really zero

1517
01:23:40,800 --> 01:23:43,200
percent. 
The gal this is this is really a

1518
01:23:43,208 --> 01:23:44,300
okay. 
Yeah, I know. 

1519
01:23:44,300 --> 01:23:47,000
I'll get some push back here. 
I thought we were starting slow.

1520
01:23:47,200 --> 01:23:51,700
Maybe terrible, take dirty but 
okay, listen, listen to me here 

1521
01:23:51,700 --> 01:23:55,600
before you freak out. 
We need to get our brain clip. 

1522
01:23:57,000 --> 01:24:02,000
I need a rocket ships right now.
So I looked into this a little 

1523
01:24:02,000 --> 01:24:04,500
bit. 
I yeah, I'll just backing up 

1524
01:24:04,500 --> 01:24:07,200
with these numbers in Brock 
Curtis starts. 

1525
01:24:07,900 --> 01:24:12,000
He's averaged over 20 fantasy 
points per game, McCaffrey for 

1526
01:24:12,000 --> 01:24:17,300
the season is just under 20. 
So like I think the biggest push

1527
01:24:17,300 --> 01:24:19,600
back is like, okay, pretty 
should be really low on because 

1528
01:24:19,600 --> 01:24:23,300
if C SF makes a Super Bowl, you 
should place the MC. 

1529
01:24:23,300 --> 01:24:26,500
He's going to ask or Purdy, 
we've seen that, it's possible 

1530
01:24:26,500 --> 01:24:32,600
that / you can outscore CMC. 
The 49ers like their big spike 

1531
01:24:32,600 --> 01:24:36,000
games among the skill position 
players could just ping pong 

1532
01:24:36,000 --> 01:24:37,000
throughout the playoffs, they 
have. 

1533
01:24:37,000 --> 01:24:39,700
I you they have kid'll. 
They have Debo a lodging 

1534
01:24:39,700 --> 01:24:43,200
Mitchell's back now, obviously 
cmc's they're like, I could see 

1535
01:24:43,200 --> 01:24:47,700
a scenario where SF just rolls 
like they have really high odds 

1536
01:24:47,700 --> 01:24:51,100
of winning, the Superbowl from 
Sports books and everything SF 

1537
01:24:51,100 --> 01:24:54,200
could just roll and pretty good.
Spread the ball out, ping pong 

1538
01:24:54,200 --> 01:24:58,500
different spike weeks, different
players and he's the quarterback

1539
01:24:58,500 --> 01:25:01,200
that you need obviously. 
Like, I don't think he should be

1540
01:25:01,300 --> 01:25:04,100
15 percent owned or whatever, 
but I think the fact that he's 

1541
01:25:04,100 --> 01:25:09,100
zero percent owned, makes him a 
visit, it's a pretty good case. 

1542
01:25:09,100 --> 01:25:13,600
Obviously, the question that 
will be so hard for people to 

1543
01:25:13,600 --> 01:25:17,200
figure out, is, how do you get 
away from playing the QB, on the

1544
01:25:17,200 --> 01:25:19,700
AFC team you're picking him to 
play in the Super? 

1545
01:25:19,700 --> 01:25:22,300
Yeah my food. 
That is my home. 

1546
01:25:22,500 --> 01:25:27,000
Alan bro. 
Herbert I think the way yeah 

1547
01:25:27,700 --> 01:25:30,900
yeah I think the way you play it
right is With the Chiefs only 

1548
01:25:30,900 --> 01:25:33,400
playing three games, and then 
you put Kelsey in there. 

1549
01:25:33,500 --> 01:25:36,100
And Kelsey just smashes so much 
for the Chiefs that you need 

1550
01:25:36,100 --> 01:25:37,800
him. 
Instead of Mahomes, I think you 

1551
01:25:37,800 --> 01:25:40,000
play an SF Casey Super Bowl and 
play it that way. 

1552
01:25:40,500 --> 01:25:43,700
But yeah, I know I did a version
of your calculation. 

1553
01:25:43,700 --> 01:25:49,300
Some, I just plug in 20 points 
per game for Brock / V and and 

1554
01:25:49,500 --> 01:25:52,400
I've got a fish in ownership, 
which is a slightly different 

1555
01:25:52,400 --> 01:25:54,700
calculation at about eight and a
half percent. 

1556
01:25:55,500 --> 01:25:59,100
So not zero. 
Like meaningly. 

1557
01:25:59,200 --> 01:26:01,300
I think it'll be pretty. 
Close is different from 0. 

1558
01:26:01,800 --> 01:26:03,700
What's that? 
You think we're pretty close to 

1559
01:26:03,700 --> 01:26:05,000
zero? 
I just think it's crazy. 

1560
01:26:05,000 --> 01:26:08,300
That, you know, the second 
favorite team in the NFC like, 

1561
01:26:08,300 --> 01:26:10,200
just nobody's gonna play their 
quarterback even though he's 

1562
01:26:10,200 --> 01:26:12,800
played, he's played well, he's 
played really well, I don't know

1563
01:26:12,800 --> 01:26:16,600
it and I will say it's a 
completely different Dynamic on 

1564
01:26:16,600 --> 01:26:20,400
the underdog contest. 
But as chip see my guy here 

1565
01:26:20,400 --> 01:26:24,700
points out, I mean, Brock / D, 
like this guy is getting steamed

1566
01:26:24,700 --> 01:26:27,600
up. 
So so much in you know, a A lot 

1567
01:26:27,608 --> 01:26:29,700
of people take him as their 
second quarterback, if they take

1568
01:26:29,700 --> 01:26:32,700
a bye week quarterback, but it 
just, again, as a sentiment 

1569
01:26:32,700 --> 01:26:36,900
indicator, the market is on 
board with Brock /, T in a San 

1570
01:26:36,900 --> 01:26:41,400
Francisco run, and if that is 
not carrying over to any ffp 

1571
01:26:41,400 --> 01:26:43,400
co-ownership, it's vaguely 
interesting. 

1572
01:26:44,300 --> 01:26:48,900
And I'll quickly show made these
charts at the team level. 

1573
01:26:48,900 --> 01:26:51,100
So if you look at will same, how
many of these are you doing? 

1574
01:26:51,100 --> 01:26:55,500
Because I mean, to up it to 
whatever you're putting in oh 

1575
01:26:55,500 --> 01:26:57,000
God. 
Yeah, 150 bucks. 

1576
01:27:00,800 --> 01:27:03,500
Let's see, let me try to take 
our faces away so you can see 

1577
01:27:03,500 --> 01:27:07,700
this little better. 
So this this is the San 

1578
01:27:07,700 --> 01:27:10,800
Francisco opportunity. 
Share in the only games where 

1579
01:27:10,800 --> 01:27:17,600
Debo CM C IU kid'll, have all 
played together like no, these 

1580
01:27:17,600 --> 01:27:20,100
are Jimmy G starts Mitchell, 
only played three of these 

1581
01:27:20,100 --> 01:27:21,600
games. 
But this is again just to 

1582
01:27:21,600 --> 01:27:25,200
illustrate that like, when 
everyone's there, it's really 

1583
01:27:25,200 --> 01:27:27,300
spread out obviously like CMC 
22. 

1584
01:27:27,500 --> 01:27:30,700
Sent Target share 48%. 
Rush are like that's gonna get 

1585
01:27:30,700 --> 01:27:32,100
you a shit ton of points if they
roll. 

1586
01:27:32,100 --> 01:27:36,300
But like there's a lot of guys 
could go to even Juwan Jennings 

1587
01:27:36,300 --> 01:27:38,700
popping out. 
There is like 13 percent Target 

1588
01:27:38,700 --> 01:27:41,600
share like, this could be really
spread out in a way that could 

1589
01:27:41,600 --> 01:27:45,900
you get for pretty eye? 
The thing I struggle with is 

1590
01:27:45,900 --> 01:27:50,100
that you probably are going 
against Josh, Allen Patra homes 

1591
01:27:50,600 --> 01:27:56,400
in the Super Bowl, maybe even 
Joe burrow and to get the parley

1592
01:27:56,400 --> 01:28:00,400
of him out scoring MC. 
And then who's going to be 

1593
01:28:00,400 --> 01:28:02,500
massive chalk as well. 
So there's a ton of teams you're

1594
01:28:02,500 --> 01:28:06,400
fading, that might have gotten a
couple points on you in other 

1595
01:28:06,400 --> 01:28:09,100
ways. 
And then you also are fading. 

1596
01:28:09,500 --> 01:28:11,100
You know a lot of those teams 
are going to have that other 

1597
01:28:11,100 --> 01:28:15,300
quarterback. 
He's got a he's a problem dog 

1598
01:28:15,300 --> 01:28:18,100
down score. 
You need to see him, see injury 

1599
01:28:18,100 --> 01:28:20,400
and him to spread it three games
in a row. 

1600
01:28:20,900 --> 01:28:23,000
But you're also a real dog to 
outscore. 

1601
01:28:23,400 --> 01:28:27,400
The AFC quarterback who also is 
making a superb. 

1602
01:28:27,500 --> 01:28:29,200
I'll run like I think you almost
need. 

1603
01:28:29,200 --> 01:28:32,700
I wonder if you almost need it 
to be like the Jags or the 

1604
01:28:32,700 --> 01:28:36,200
Chargers or something. 
I agree that Kelsey Kelsey could

1605
01:28:36,200 --> 01:28:40,100
be the route but like I don't 
know even Diggs is sort of tough

1606
01:28:40,100 --> 01:28:42,800
to see. 
Yeah I think you have to play in

1607
01:28:42,800 --> 01:28:46,600
a specific way like with Kelsey 
or maybe if you really gal 

1608
01:28:46,600 --> 01:28:50,000
braining like on the Jags making
a run like with Ingram or 

1609
01:28:50,000 --> 01:28:54,300
something but yeah I think it's 
like a specific scenario like 

1610
01:28:54,300 --> 01:28:56,600
you have to think very carefully
about how you play purdy-like 

1611
01:28:56,600 --> 01:28:59,900
you probably want to Like feed 
the bills. 

1612
01:28:59,900 --> 01:29:04,100
Somehow, you know you want 
Kelsey to just Ashland Smashley,

1613
01:29:04,100 --> 01:29:07,800
you need a nice high-end like 
yeah, you got to, you got to be 

1614
01:29:07,800 --> 01:29:10,900
careful about it but just the 
fact that you had zero percent 

1615
01:29:10,900 --> 01:29:12,900
projected ownership for him, and
it sounds like you guys all 

1616
01:29:12,900 --> 01:29:14,800
think he's going to be very, 
very low. 

1617
01:29:15,100 --> 01:29:18,800
It's like, I don't think he 
should be 0 by any means. 

1618
01:29:18,900 --> 01:29:20,700
Yeah. 
Well, I'd say in what I say 

1619
01:29:20,700 --> 01:29:24,400
fade, the bills, maybe that just
means a team where you have 

1620
01:29:24,400 --> 01:29:27,600
Tyreke, so you're not 
necessarily like not picking A 

1621
01:29:27,608 --> 01:29:30,900
bill but you're you're making 
sure you have a live dolphin 

1622
01:29:31,800 --> 01:29:33,200
with with that something like 
that. 

1623
01:29:33,200 --> 01:29:34,800
Sam. 
A lot of people in the chat are 

1624
01:29:34,800 --> 01:29:37,700
talking about make to the 
Superbowl odds verse win the 

1625
01:29:37,708 --> 01:29:40,300
Superbowl outside out that 
meaningfully changes things, 

1626
01:29:40,300 --> 01:29:42,700
right? 
No like I yeah you could show it

1627
01:29:42,700 --> 01:29:44,800
like that. 
This way it's just kind of fun 

1628
01:29:44,800 --> 01:29:48,900
because like both of the 
percentages should sum to 1 if 

1629
01:29:48,900 --> 01:29:51,000
that makes sense. 
If you show it the other way, it

1630
01:29:51,000 --> 01:29:55,600
just like Doesn't like this way.
Projected ownership pass out up.

1631
01:29:55,600 --> 01:29:58,000
200%, odds of winning. 
A Super Bowl has set up to 100 

1632
01:29:58,000 --> 01:29:59,900
resent that just kind of look. 
Yeah, on a graph. 

1633
01:30:00,200 --> 01:30:02,500
Yeah, we're trying to make the 
traps around here folks. 

1634
01:30:03,400 --> 01:30:05,600
Yeah. 
All right. 

1635
01:30:05,600 --> 01:30:09,000
Any other takeaways from this 
chart or anything else here, 

1636
01:30:09,000 --> 01:30:14,400
Sam? 
I think the only other takeaways

1637
01:30:14,400 --> 01:30:20,200
is like, my home's versus Allen 
and hurts just like, if you're 

1638
01:30:20,200 --> 01:30:22,900
picking between the, you have 
one line up, you want to go with

1639
01:30:22,900 --> 01:30:26,000
one of the chalky bees. 
Like, I would just go with my 

1640
01:30:26,000 --> 01:30:28,300
homes especially like Mahomes 
first hurts. 

1641
01:30:28,700 --> 01:30:32,700
If there's that discrepancy in 
ownership, you know, Mahomes is,

1642
01:30:32,700 --> 01:30:36,800
I think average, in terms of 
points per game, more than both 

1643
01:30:36,800 --> 01:30:38,900
of those guys are actually 
slightly behind hurts. 

1644
01:30:38,900 --> 01:30:42,100
But ahead of Allen by a little 
bit, so I don't know, he's right

1645
01:30:42,100 --> 01:30:47,900
there in terms of ceiling. 
So, if If, you know, I just 

1646
01:30:47,900 --> 01:31:01,600
won't know what happened last 
year with them being projected 

1647
01:31:01,600 --> 01:31:04,200
for more ownership than their 
odds to win the Superbowl might 

1648
01:31:04,200 --> 01:31:07,700
actually capture some of that 
like three game or two game 

1649
01:31:08,400 --> 01:31:11,500
outcome. 
Magic, you know what I mean? 

1650
01:31:12,400 --> 01:31:14,800
It might, it might seem to me to
my eye. 

1651
01:31:15,000 --> 01:31:17,200
It actually looks like almost 
reasonable. 

1652
01:31:17,200 --> 01:31:19,200
Although I do think you're right
them at home is maybe a little 

1653
01:31:19,200 --> 01:31:20,800
white. 
Well, yeah, I think that's fair 

1654
01:31:20,800 --> 01:31:24,100
if you compare him to Alan but 
hurts also has the same by week 

1655
01:31:24,100 --> 01:31:26,700
in July issue as the chief. 
So I'm just like, I don't really

1656
01:31:26,700 --> 01:31:29,100
get why hurt should be that much
more of that. 

1657
01:31:29,200 --> 01:31:30,500
I think that's a good plan my 
home. 

1658
01:31:30,500 --> 01:31:31,700
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

1659
01:31:31,700 --> 01:31:34,300
But Holmes does. 
And I think Mahomes will come in

1660
01:31:34,300 --> 01:31:38,300
like to light because Kelsey 
such an easy click, but we've 

1661
01:31:38,300 --> 01:31:41,900
seen Kelsey cool off like me. 
Holmes could easily be the guy 

1662
01:31:41,900 --> 01:31:44,100
you need on the Chiefs easily. 
Yeah. 

1663
01:31:45,100 --> 01:31:46,900
Yeah. 
It pat. 

1664
01:31:46,900 --> 01:31:49,300
Give me one. 
Just thought because I saw this 

1665
01:31:49,300 --> 01:31:51,800
comment from Dan about Dax 
ownership being high. 

1666
01:31:52,700 --> 01:31:57,100
The thought I have and this is 
just anecdotal, is that I want 

1667
01:31:57,100 --> 01:32:00,300
to say that when I see galaxies 
burning in the FPC contest, a 

1668
01:32:00,300 --> 01:32:04,600
lot of times, it will happen at 
quarterback more than any other 

1669
01:32:04,600 --> 01:32:05,800
position. 
Well, someone will tell 

1670
01:32:05,800 --> 01:32:07,600
themselves a story. 
What if the Cowboys make the 

1671
01:32:07,600 --> 01:32:10,400
Super Bowl is that that 
far-fetched know, like Neither 

1672
01:32:10,400 --> 01:32:12,700
Galaxy bringing happens there 
and that's why I don't think the

1673
01:32:12,700 --> 01:32:15,800
DAC ownership is that crazy? 
Yeah, that's what that is. 

1674
01:32:15,800 --> 01:32:19,600
It's four games, right? 
We talked about why Josh Alan's 

1675
01:32:19,600 --> 01:32:21,100
going to be the Boomer a 
quarterback. 

1676
01:32:21,100 --> 01:32:24,900
It's because he gets that fourth
game and I think and look I mean

1677
01:32:24,900 --> 01:32:28,200
it's not a crazy thing. 
Tom Brady a couple years ago was

1678
01:32:28,200 --> 01:32:31,100
the right play because you got 
the fourth game, you got the 

1679
01:32:31,108 --> 01:32:34,500
Super Bowl run out of the box. 
So, you know, I think it's a 

1680
01:32:34,508 --> 01:32:38,000
reasonable play to go. 
You know, if Dallas is going to 

1681
01:32:38,000 --> 01:32:41,100
make a Super Bowl running, 
actually want Dak, not CD, and I

1682
01:32:41,108 --> 01:32:43,000
get the leverage. 
And so, you talked yourself into

1683
01:32:43,000 --> 01:32:45,700
it, I think people do that a 
little bit with burrow and Dak. 

1684
01:32:47,000 --> 01:32:49,700
I struggle to see people really 
go in there to, with Herbert so 

1685
01:32:49,700 --> 01:32:52,100
much, but that's why he has a 
little bit as well. 

1686
01:32:55,500 --> 01:33:04,800
All right, what do we got next? 
I got, I'm happy to switch to 

1687
01:33:04,800 --> 01:33:06,500
Connors, trust me. 
He's got some trick. 

1688
01:33:06,500 --> 01:33:08,100
Oh, yeah. 
What do you got for us? 

1689
01:33:09,900 --> 01:33:14,800
That was a fun graph. 
How did we both cook it at the 

1690
01:33:14,808 --> 01:33:16,400
same time? 
I think. 

1691
01:33:16,400 --> 01:33:20,300
So, this is why happens when I 
let you Mom log into my stream 

1692
01:33:20,300 --> 01:33:22,100
yard account. 
All right? 

1693
01:33:22,100 --> 01:33:25,500
I don't, I'm not as fancy as 
sound without moving the thank 

1694
01:33:25,500 --> 01:33:31,000
you. 
And so for those of you familiar

1695
01:33:31,000 --> 01:33:34,700
with a, so I've been doing these
at libraries charts in the the 

1696
01:33:34,700 --> 01:33:38,600
gpp this court for a while and 
I've used a lot of the same 

1697
01:33:38,600 --> 01:33:43,200
concepts for this chart and it's
the idea of Of. 

1698
01:33:43,200 --> 01:33:47,500
Hey, so we got a patent 
ownership, pretty intuitive. 

1699
01:33:47,800 --> 01:33:51,400
And then, what I try to do is I 
try to calculate what should a 

1700
01:33:51,400 --> 01:33:54,800
fission ownership be. 
And this is that this is for the

1701
01:33:54,800 --> 01:33:57,200
Fades. 
And essentially, what I've use 

1702
01:33:57,200 --> 01:34:02,000
is, I've used the 538 and 
probably odds and probabilities 

1703
01:34:02,200 --> 01:34:07,100
and I calculated the odds of one
and dones for teams. 

1704
01:34:07,500 --> 01:34:14,500
And I've essentially calculated 
what the, what the Efficient 

1705
01:34:14,500 --> 01:34:20,300
fade, ownership should be at 
from those odds and I guess as 

1706
01:34:20,300 --> 01:34:24,000
expected, Miami, Seattle 
Baltimore, New York, Giants all 

1707
01:34:24,000 --> 01:34:29,700
super high. 
And put you can see that these 

1708
01:34:29,700 --> 01:34:33,000
things record zoom in on it, for
the people, we can't see this Q,

1709
01:34:33,000 --> 01:34:35,500
have some have suffered a lot of
cognitive decline lately. 

1710
01:34:35,500 --> 01:34:42,500
Anyway, I mean There we go. 
Now, we're taking font size. 24,

1711
01:34:42,500 --> 01:34:44,800
baby. 
Yeah, Comic. 

1712
01:34:44,800 --> 01:34:52,700
Sans would be a bonus but 
continue Oh sorry, didn't mean 

1713
01:34:52,700 --> 01:34:54,200
to derail you, but continue 
hair. 

1714
01:34:57,100 --> 01:35:02,600
And yeah, this is also Boomer 
the fonts, getting bigger. 

1715
01:35:02,800 --> 01:35:05,000
Can't can't can't maintain two 
thoughts. 

1716
01:35:05,000 --> 01:35:06,500
It was at this time every single
time. 

1717
01:35:07,400 --> 01:35:10,000
Increase the font on this 
computer Comic Sans is 

1718
01:35:10,000 --> 01:35:13,800
happening. 20:23 is a year, 
right? 

1719
01:35:27,900 --> 01:35:29,300
Draco's. 
Sun's gonna come in here and 

1720
01:35:29,300 --> 01:35:36,400
help him Draco. 
Put it back on the rails. 

1721
01:35:36,700 --> 01:35:40,300
Yeah, so obviously Miami, 
Seattle Baltimore, New York, 

1722
01:35:40,300 --> 01:35:44,900
Giants Super High. 
They are the highest teams of 

1723
01:35:44,900 --> 01:35:50,900
probability that at one and 
done, but the lesson from this 

1724
01:35:50,900 --> 01:35:55,700
chart is that their probability 
is not so meaning meaningfully 

1725
01:35:55,700 --> 01:36:02,300
different. from Tampa Bay, the 
Chargers even Jacksonville that 

1726
01:36:02,400 --> 01:36:07,900
for example, Baltimore sixty 
percent ownership, Miami 50% and

1727
01:36:08,700 --> 01:36:11,100
there's like, there's a 
discrepancy there and I think 

1728
01:36:11,100 --> 01:36:16,700
especially if this is the year 
of the the GAO brain, the the 

1729
01:36:16,700 --> 01:36:22,100
fade ownership may not be as 
taught out as the kind of like 

1730
01:36:22,100 --> 01:36:27,000
sexy skill position players and 
so even that the Ages, for 

1731
01:36:27,000 --> 01:36:33,200
example, and if Eckler if he's 
the the Boomer out though and 

1732
01:36:33,200 --> 01:36:36,500
it's honestly not that difficult
to Envision a scenario where 

1733
01:36:36,500 --> 01:36:40,200
accurate doesn't play that. 
Well, the, the Chargers lose, 

1734
01:36:41,100 --> 01:36:46,900
they are the optimal fate and 
optimal fade, and similar ideas 

1735
01:36:47,200 --> 01:36:50,400
for a lot of these teams. 
So you have yellow is the sum of

1736
01:36:50,407 --> 01:36:53,600
the fade leverage, all the teams
after the first four, have 

1737
01:36:53,600 --> 01:36:56,500
positive fade leverage, where 
the ownership, the the 

1738
01:36:56,700 --> 01:36:59,600
Littlefield is going to fade 
them less than they should. 

1739
01:36:59,600 --> 01:37:02,000
The first four teams are all 
going to be faded more than the 

1740
01:37:02,008 --> 01:37:03,500
issue. 
Correct. 

1741
01:37:05,000 --> 01:37:10,800
And let me just say that when I 
looked at last year's ownership 

1742
01:37:10,800 --> 01:37:17,500
in my projections, I thought 
that Pittsburgh who is playing 

1743
01:37:18,200 --> 01:37:20,700
Kansas City would be faded 54 
percent total. 

1744
01:37:20,700 --> 01:37:23,700
So this is this includes the 
hard phase, we don't select them

1745
01:37:23,700 --> 01:37:27,400
all plus kicker plus d so I said
54 Percent total paid. 

1746
01:37:27,400 --> 01:37:32,700
They came in at 66%, I thought 
that New England would be faded.

1747
01:37:32,700 --> 01:37:35,500
69 percent of the time. 
They came in at 79%, I thought 

1748
01:37:35,500 --> 01:37:38,200
that the Eagles would be faded 
79% of the time. 

1749
01:37:38,200 --> 01:37:41,700
They came at 88%. 
Those were the three highest 

1750
01:37:42,000 --> 01:37:44,400
faded teams and I missed low on 
all of them. 

1751
01:37:45,700 --> 01:37:48,700
I I think maybe the field is a 
little bit more Galbraith in 

1752
01:37:48,700 --> 01:37:51,300
this year, but this is, if 
anything seems to be the spot 

1753
01:37:51,300 --> 01:37:56,500
that the chalk is like 
condensing the most and in a way

1754
01:37:56,700 --> 01:37:58,200
That I think is like a little 
sneaky. 

1755
01:37:58,200 --> 01:38:00,600
Like, when you're selecting the 
team, you're not necessarily 

1756
01:38:00,600 --> 01:38:03,400
putting in, I'm fading this, 
like, you don't, you literally 

1757
01:38:03,400 --> 01:38:06,600
don't you don't, when you build 
a lineup, you don't click a 

1758
01:38:06,600 --> 01:38:08,100
fade. 
You just don't click anyone and 

1759
01:38:08,108 --> 01:38:12,100
so it's less like top of mind. 
But you are essentially filling 

1760
01:38:12,100 --> 01:38:14,700
out to additional line up spots,
which are which are your face. 

1761
01:38:15,400 --> 01:38:17,800
This is one of the most 
important parts of this whole 

1762
01:38:17,800 --> 01:38:21,100
contest in my mind, which is 
people when they make the 

1763
01:38:21,100 --> 01:38:24,300
lineup, want to give themselves 
multiple out so that when 

1764
01:38:24,300 --> 01:38:29,400
there's teams that are going, 
That have a shot to win or they 

1765
01:38:29,400 --> 01:38:31,900
feel more likely to have a shot 
to win at the Chargers or the 

1766
01:38:31,900 --> 01:38:35,800
Vikings or what have you. 
They want to play one of the 

1767
01:38:35,800 --> 01:38:38,700
players in case they win so they
kind of want to plant both ways,

1768
01:38:38,700 --> 01:38:39,700
right? 
We talked about this with some 

1769
01:38:39,700 --> 01:38:42,300
of the 45 games people want to 
play it both ways. 

1770
01:38:42,700 --> 01:38:46,000
The reality of the contest is 
the thing that we know the 

1771
01:38:46,000 --> 01:38:49,500
constraint is that 16s are going
to lose in the first round. 

1772
01:38:50,500 --> 01:38:54,400
And of those 16 s, we want our 
Fates to company on to be four 

1773
01:38:54,400 --> 01:38:58,700
of those teams. 
It it's ultimately just going to

1774
01:38:58,700 --> 01:39:00,900
be of those six teens who were 
the highest-scoring skill 

1775
01:39:00,900 --> 01:39:02,600
players, right? 
It can come from the really bad 

1776
01:39:02,600 --> 01:39:04,900
teams pal, you're talking about 
Pittsburgh like Juju had a 

1777
01:39:04,900 --> 01:39:08,100
monster game and the Pittsburgh 
one and done that Year, everyone

1778
01:39:08,100 --> 01:39:10,300
wanted to fade them because it 
looks like likely to win. 

1779
01:39:10,500 --> 01:39:13,800
But ultimately, it's just a 
question of well even if we know

1780
01:39:13,800 --> 01:39:16,600
they're going to lose, can they 
outscore what other teams? 

1781
01:39:16,600 --> 01:39:18,500
We don't know. 
We're going to lose but might 

1782
01:39:18,500 --> 01:39:20,600
lose, we do know. 
Someone's going to Because we 

1783
01:39:20,600 --> 01:39:23,200
don't know who it was going to 
lose in those other games and so

1784
01:39:23,200 --> 01:39:26,900
ultimately, it's becomes a one 
game versus one game scenario 

1785
01:39:27,000 --> 01:39:30,600
but people play it through. 
They want to play it through 

1786
01:39:30,600 --> 01:39:33,500
both sides of the games that are
closer and not really recognized

1787
01:39:33,500 --> 01:39:36,200
that the constraint will be that
16s are going to lose. 

1788
01:39:36,500 --> 01:39:40,200
And so and that's why I really 
point you should pick your 

1789
01:39:40,200 --> 01:39:42,500
bracket. 
You need that you need to be. 

1790
01:39:42,500 --> 01:39:44,400
You need to know who your pig 
because otherwise you'll go. 

1791
01:39:44,800 --> 01:39:47,000
I'm not sure is gonna win. 
Are I'll go, I'll go say quanta 

1792
01:39:47,000 --> 01:39:51,500
Jefferson and I'll have some of 
the best The Simplicity of the 

1793
01:39:51,500 --> 01:39:56,500
contest is a trap into getting 
you to just be like, oh, this is

1794
01:39:56,500 --> 01:40:00,000
so easy, I can just pick the 
best place, but it, you have to 

1795
01:40:00,000 --> 01:40:03,600
go down the rabbit hole and make
that bracket and then make a 

1796
01:40:03,600 --> 01:40:07,500
logical team that fits that 
bracket and that helps. 

1797
01:40:07,500 --> 01:40:11,200
I think maybe with the other 
Temptation on this is to go to 

1798
01:40:11,200 --> 01:40:14,100
off the board. 
You don't actually have to go 

1799
01:40:14,100 --> 01:40:16,600
way off the board. 
What you have to do is there's 

1800
01:40:16,600 --> 01:40:18,800
no cool. 
Khalil Shakur is not needed. 

1801
01:40:23,100 --> 01:40:24,800
Pivots on what teams you're 
fading. 

1802
01:40:24,800 --> 01:40:26,900
And you can still play the Good 
plays on the other teams. 

1803
01:40:26,900 --> 01:40:30,000
But like, I can't remember who 
just said, I think Draco was 

1804
01:40:30,000 --> 01:40:32,800
saying if you wanted to fade the
Chargers. 

1805
01:40:32,900 --> 01:40:34,800
For example, not a lot of people
are going to feed them and if 

1806
01:40:34,800 --> 01:40:38,400
they actually become the PHA 
team in a loss which is very 

1807
01:40:38,400 --> 01:40:41,700
possible, you're going to be 
gaining on the field of time. 

1808
01:40:41,700 --> 01:40:44,200
You can be playing Sake. 
One Berkeley or the stars from 

1809
01:40:44,200 --> 01:40:46,600
Mark Andrews or what I've been 
working just as a monster game. 

1810
01:40:46,600 --> 01:40:49,400
He's a great Flex for the Ravens
but they're getting faded. 

1811
01:40:49,400 --> 01:40:52,400
So Really because no one's 
picking them to win without 

1812
01:40:52,400 --> 01:40:55,900
Lamar, maybe they do lose, but 
he catches 10 passes in a loss 

1813
01:40:55,900 --> 01:40:58,400
from Tyler Huntley. 
But that's, that's great. 

1814
01:40:58,400 --> 01:41:00,500
And now from now you have a 
flexibility of tight end, which 

1815
01:41:00,500 --> 01:41:01,800
is the hardest position to fill 
this year. 

1816
01:41:01,800 --> 01:41:05,400
Yeah, yeah, I mean, the other 
thing is, as well as whatever 

1817
01:41:05,400 --> 01:41:10,700
canes lose their only going to 
play one game and so when it's 

1818
01:41:10,700 --> 01:41:13,800
only one game the variance 
creeps up super high, right? 

1819
01:41:14,000 --> 01:41:16,500
Yes exactly. 
Great point that Bones on makes 

1820
01:41:16,500 --> 01:41:18,700
a great point, just play tyriq. 
I mean that's that's where I 

1821
01:41:18,700 --> 01:41:20,600
said, Mark Andrews butt. 
Like people are going to fade 

1822
01:41:20,600 --> 01:41:23,400
the Dolphins a ton. 
They have players that can score

1823
01:41:23,400 --> 01:41:26,500
in one game knowing even if 
you're playing them to lose in 

1824
01:41:26,500 --> 01:41:28,900
one game, they can score enough 
points that you're fine, right? 

1825
01:41:28,900 --> 01:41:31,000
Yeah, here's a. 
Here's a total gal. 

1826
01:41:31,000 --> 01:41:35,400
Brain play in this tournament. 
Jill and waddle that's Cal 

1827
01:41:35,400 --> 01:41:38,000
bring. 
So like if you're thinking like,

1828
01:41:38,000 --> 01:41:40,900
oh, I need to play this, I'm 
just truth this time. 

1829
01:41:41,200 --> 01:41:43,800
No, he's could be right? 
This is from the man that 12 

1830
01:41:43,800 --> 01:41:46,100
million dollars a year. 
Right, I'm sure five hundred 

1831
01:41:46,100 --> 01:41:58,500
thousand dollar, fine. 
But here's you've gone. 

1832
01:41:58,500 --> 01:42:01,900
You've gone to the far edges of 
the universe when you're playing

1833
01:42:01,900 --> 01:42:07,000
Jalen waddle and so like, don't 
don't talk yourself into Quest 

1834
01:42:07,000 --> 01:42:08,700
Watkins or whatever, you know 
what I mean? 

1835
01:42:08,700 --> 01:42:11,200
Like you don't talk yourself 
into Brock birdie or something 

1836
01:42:11,200 --> 01:42:14,700
like that. 
Just like that one. 

1837
01:42:16,100 --> 01:42:20,000
Yeah and it it goes to show. 
To like when you think through 

1838
01:42:20,000 --> 01:42:22,900
like, we go through this in DFS,
right where you're making, 

1839
01:42:23,000 --> 01:42:26,300
you're looking at an optimal 
lineup in, you're sacrificing 

1840
01:42:26,300 --> 01:42:29,700
projected points because you're 
getting a massive, massive 

1841
01:42:29,700 --> 01:42:33,000
ownership discount and that 
you're normally in DFS, having 

1842
01:42:33,000 --> 01:42:35,500
to give up way more projected 
points when your gal, bring in 

1843
01:42:35,500 --> 01:42:39,200
this contest, you are not having
to give up that much like, you 

1844
01:42:39,200 --> 01:42:41,900
look at those one be receivers 
that we just mentioned waddle 

1845
01:42:42,100 --> 01:42:46,100
Devon to Smith T Higgins. 
Like these guys are right there.

1846
01:42:46,100 --> 01:42:49,500
As far as one game ceiling, even
over a Two game sample size. 

1847
01:42:49,500 --> 01:42:52,500
It's when you start saying, hey,
Bangles, go three games for 

1848
01:42:52,500 --> 01:42:54,100
games. 
Yes, it's more likely that chase

1849
01:42:54,100 --> 01:42:56,100
out scores over a bigger sample 
size. 

1850
01:42:56,100 --> 01:42:59,100
But if you're playing these guys
at these guys, as one and done, 

1851
01:42:59,100 --> 01:43:03,400
or just two games, these plays 
become incredibly attractive. 

1852
01:43:03,400 --> 01:43:06,600
And then you start to think 
about the comfy one-and-done 

1853
01:43:06,600 --> 01:43:09,800
clicks, the Barclays, right? 
The Chris Godwin's. 

1854
01:43:10,000 --> 01:43:12,900
And to pass point, you look at 
waddle or even Tyree kill. 

1855
01:43:13,000 --> 01:43:16,600
You might not even have to go to
Waddle because Tyree kill is 

1856
01:43:16,600 --> 01:43:19,900
going to be so Runner utilize. 
As a one-and-done play. 

1857
01:43:20,100 --> 01:43:22,900
Yes, he's already a contrarian 
leverage play. 

1858
01:43:22,900 --> 01:43:25,300
That's what models Gilbert and 
it's because you you're pivoting

1859
01:43:25,300 --> 01:43:27,000
off an already. 
Great leverage play. 

1860
01:43:27,100 --> 01:43:29,300
Yeah. 
When you guys are doing this, 

1861
01:43:29,300 --> 01:43:31,400
are you like calculating? 
I don't do you fast. 

1862
01:43:31,400 --> 01:43:34,500
Like a common concept is 
cumulative ownership or sorry 

1863
01:43:34,500 --> 01:43:37,100
product is product ownership, 
sprawling more relevant, are you

1864
01:43:37,100 --> 01:43:40,100
calculating product ownership 
and then comparing that to the 

1865
01:43:40,100 --> 01:43:43,600
entries and saying, hey, if I 
have this product ownership, I 

1866
01:43:43,600 --> 01:43:46,900
only expect like one of these 
lineups in the tournament. 

1867
01:43:47,300 --> 01:43:48,500
You know what I mean? 
You can kind of do the math. 

1868
01:43:48,500 --> 01:43:53,900
Map to we do cumulative and 
products last year, that's how 

1869
01:43:53,900 --> 01:43:55,700
we're set up to do it. 
Okay. 

1870
01:43:56,700 --> 01:43:58,500
Um, let's let's go ahead and do 
that. 

1871
01:43:58,500 --> 01:44:01,200
I think we did this last year. 
Let's let's build a team here on

1872
01:44:01,200 --> 01:44:06,400
the Fly that we can lock in 
trying to put some of these 

1873
01:44:06,400 --> 01:44:12,700
ideas on their feet here. 
Hassan you are, you know, one of

1874
01:44:12,700 --> 01:44:15,900
our guests of honor tonight. 
You know, you can pick someone 

1875
01:44:15,900 --> 01:44:17,900
from the Boomer opto you can 
pick a leveraged way. 

1876
01:44:17,900 --> 01:44:23,700
How do you want to Sod you muted
to to remove this. 

1877
01:44:26,400 --> 01:44:28,500
So I'm gonna get using a mad at 
me. 

1878
01:44:28,500 --> 01:44:31,300
If I said Joe, I was hoping 
you'd say Joe Farrell. 

1879
01:44:31,800 --> 01:44:32,700
You guys love me. 
Do it. 

1880
01:44:32,700 --> 01:44:37,200
I was gonna say Brock pretty 
goddamn good. 

1881
01:44:37,200 --> 01:44:39,300
Have to do that the quiet of 
your out, hope, Sam. 

1882
01:44:44,200 --> 01:44:46,100
All right. 
Hassan gets bro. 

1883
01:44:46,100 --> 01:44:48,300
Let's go to. 
Let's go to Jericho now. 

1884
01:44:48,500 --> 01:44:52,600
X. 
Let me see. 

1885
01:44:52,700 --> 01:44:55,800
So that's it influence you jerk.
Oh why you think for a second? 

1886
01:44:55,800 --> 01:44:58,100
I just want to say for the 
audience like the way that I 

1887
01:44:58,108 --> 01:45:01,200
think about this immediately is 
like I don't want this to be now

1888
01:45:01,500 --> 01:45:06,000
like in Eagles team for example 
or a Bangles Eagles championship

1889
01:45:06,000 --> 01:45:08,500
because part of me thinks that, 
that would be more likely to be 

1890
01:45:08,500 --> 01:45:09,800
hurt. 
Because you can rush for so many

1891
01:45:09,800 --> 01:45:12,200
touchdowns, maybe that's not 
right because he's not playing 

1892
01:45:12,200 --> 01:45:15,300
for games. 
But so then if if that is right,

1893
01:45:15,300 --> 01:45:17,700
it pushes me towards like, okay,
for playing, bro, then I kinda 

1894
01:45:17,700 --> 01:45:19,500
want to play AJ Brown. 
He's not even on the same side 

1895
01:45:19,500 --> 01:45:22,900
of the Racket. 
But it's, you're not to not to 

1896
01:45:22,900 --> 01:45:26,100
influence you, but Ben's 
thinking about AJ Brown, I'm 

1897
01:45:26,100 --> 01:45:27,200
trying to tell people but let's 
go. 

1898
01:45:50,000 --> 01:45:53,800
Okay, speak on that. 
Well, it's like I said that 

1899
01:45:53,800 --> 01:45:55,300
they. 
Yeah, they're going to be a 

1900
01:45:55,300 --> 01:45:59,100
really common fade and kind of 
Walkers. 

1901
01:45:59,100 --> 01:46:00,800
Obviously very talented running 
back. 

1902
01:46:00,800 --> 01:46:05,800
They quote, they could lose and 
he still has like a really good 

1903
01:46:05,800 --> 01:46:11,000
game that especially among other
running backs is high enough, 

1904
01:46:11,300 --> 01:46:17,000
relative to other running backs 
and the the other one and don't 

1905
01:46:17,000 --> 01:46:18,800
teams. 
Is that it's in the optimal. 

1906
01:46:21,000 --> 01:46:25,700
I'll back up Draco here to that,
with everything on the line last

1907
01:46:25,700 --> 01:46:28,600
week, kind of Walker played, 90 
percent of the stops for 

1908
01:46:28,600 --> 01:46:32,200
Seattle, after playing like 50, 
60 % the couple weeks before. 

1909
01:46:32,200 --> 01:46:37,200
So, he's gonna be like the full 
time work horse, in this game. 

1910
01:46:37,600 --> 01:46:40,000
So, I definitely see scenarios 
even where they lose it. 

1911
01:46:40,000 --> 01:46:43,500
He just puts up a ton of points,
maybe even catches for five 

1912
01:46:43,500 --> 01:46:45,000
passes. 
I think it's possible. 

1913
01:46:45,100 --> 01:46:46,300
It feels like a fun. 
Leverage boy. 

1914
01:46:46,300 --> 01:46:47,300
I mean, it's a really tough to 
you. 

1915
01:46:47,308 --> 01:46:48,800
People are not going to play 
that. 

1916
01:46:50,000 --> 01:46:54,800
I will say I yeah I definitely 
have moments where I go to 

1917
01:46:54,800 --> 01:46:58,500
contrarian and I think I think 
it's mine weird. 

1918
01:46:59,200 --> 01:47:02,500
I think to your point about it 
being again I'm not trying to 

1919
01:47:02,500 --> 01:47:04,500
influence people. 
My thought on this your point 

1920
01:47:04,500 --> 01:47:07,800
about it being the running back 
points, mattering enough at that

1921
01:47:07,800 --> 01:47:10,700
position from a one and done it 
makes me want to not Flex a 

1922
01:47:10,708 --> 01:47:14,100
running back, it makes me want 
to project a playoff where it's 

1923
01:47:14,100 --> 01:47:16,800
a lot of receiver points through
to the Super Bowl in the later 

1924
01:47:16,800 --> 01:47:18,700
rounds. 
And you do want to running back 

1925
01:47:18,700 --> 01:47:22,000
for one Of your two spots from a
one and done. 

1926
01:47:22,800 --> 01:47:24,500
Right? 
Like just mathematically. 

1927
01:47:27,700 --> 01:47:30,100
Yeah. 
All right Sam it's been an 

1928
01:47:30,100 --> 01:47:33,500
insane amount of steam coming in
on the Kenneth Walker under 

1929
01:47:33,600 --> 01:47:37,100
which by the way. 
So like this is going to be less

1930
01:47:37,100 --> 01:47:43,700
than 0.1% easy. 
Sam. 

1931
01:47:44,200 --> 01:47:47,100
Oh sorry. 
Let's go. 

1932
01:47:47,100 --> 01:47:48,100
Let's go. 
Tyree kill. 

1933
01:47:49,100 --> 01:47:52,800
Victim icon. 
You're just making the three of 

1934
01:47:52,800 --> 01:47:53,400
us. 
Just eat. 

1935
01:47:53,400 --> 01:47:55,600
Fucking. 
Could you guys got it all over 

1936
01:47:55,600 --> 01:47:56,400
this? 
It's time. 

1937
01:48:08,800 --> 01:48:12,000
Anyways, I think like Nala's 
gal, brain is kind of Walker but

1938
01:48:12,000 --> 01:48:16,400
I think like, you know, going 
with Miami and Seattle guys, and

1939
01:48:16,407 --> 01:48:20,300
then maybe hard fading, like a 
team like Dallas or the Chargers

1940
01:48:20,300 --> 01:48:23,800
like we talked about earlier, I 
think, is like, kind of a easy 

1941
01:48:23,800 --> 01:48:26,000
way to get contrarian without 
actually sacrificing many 

1942
01:48:26,000 --> 01:48:29,000
points. 
All right, I'll get us back on 

1943
01:48:29,000 --> 01:48:31,900
track. 
I'll put Travis Kelce and grach.

1944
01:48:31,900 --> 01:48:33,600
You are. 
You're up next? 

1945
01:48:35,600 --> 01:48:41,300
Who. 
Consiglieri. 

1946
01:48:41,300 --> 01:48:46,600
I he is not chock, not even 
close, buddy, not even close. 

1947
01:48:46,600 --> 01:48:49,500
Even if to a plays Tyree kill is
not chock. 

1948
01:48:50,700 --> 01:48:52,700
The chalk is not picking a 
dolphin. 

1949
01:48:53,500 --> 01:48:56,900
There is, there is no Dolphins, 
anywhere near the chalk. 

1950
01:48:58,600 --> 01:49:01,700
I'm gonna I'm gonna get us back 
on track as well. 

1951
01:49:01,800 --> 01:49:04,500
Type concept and take digs. 
If we're playing Pearl, we're 

1952
01:49:04,500 --> 01:49:11,000
playing Buffalo for two games. 
Probably digs digs Tyreke can go

1953
01:49:11,000 --> 01:49:14,500
either way frankly and still be 
digs stick. 

1954
01:49:16,000 --> 01:49:19,600
Yeah. 
I think in a lineup like this 

1955
01:49:19,600 --> 01:49:23,500
digs make sense. 
Yeah, I mean we're off the board

1956
01:49:23,500 --> 01:49:29,500
enough to take that Yen. 
Josh Allen is going to be pretty

1957
01:49:29,500 --> 01:49:31,200
it's not like dicks is gonna be 
massively chocolate. 

1958
01:49:31,200 --> 01:49:41,800
Josh Almaty, alright. 
Got Pat's pick in back to do. 

1959
01:49:41,800 --> 01:49:44,100
You want Pat? 
I'll go Eckler. 

1960
01:49:44,100 --> 01:49:53,200
I actually Super Bowl run. 
It's kind of nice. 

1961
01:49:53,200 --> 01:49:58,300
If somehow the Chargers can 
upset the Chiefs, And then maybe

1962
01:49:58,300 --> 01:50:00,900
we get Borough Eckler as our 
conference Championship would be

1963
01:50:00,907 --> 01:50:02,000
fun. 
Do you know what you're being 

1964
01:50:02,000 --> 01:50:05,600
right now? 
Pat Where is he? 

1965
01:50:05,900 --> 01:50:10,000
You're being a you're being a 
suck-up right now is like, oh 

1966
01:50:10,000 --> 01:50:12,300
yeah, I'm gonna suck up by 
sticking the running back. 

1967
01:50:12,300 --> 01:50:14,200
Who scored the most running 
backwards this year. 

1968
01:50:14,200 --> 01:50:20,200
Yes. 
Alright, Hassan back to you. um,

1969
01:50:22,100 --> 01:50:23,200
There you go. 
My sorry. 

1970
01:50:23,200 --> 01:50:25,600
My internet slugging. 
I was just curious. 

1971
01:50:25,600 --> 01:50:26,900
I wanted to get your guys 
estate. 

1972
01:50:30,600 --> 01:50:33,100
Christian car. 
Okay, we wait. 

1973
01:50:33,300 --> 01:50:37,800
Just a just a bag of we do need 
to pick some Fades and we have 

1974
01:50:37,800 --> 01:50:41,400
Eckler. 
So the Jags would be a team high

1975
01:50:41,400 --> 01:50:44,300
on the list of just, let's not. 
There's other teams we can do 

1976
01:50:44,300 --> 01:51:37,500
not. 
Well, not necessarily your is 

1977
01:51:37,500 --> 01:51:38,900
possible. 
It's possible. 

1978
01:51:38,900 --> 01:51:42,600
You need to ask or say quandary,
we could feed the Chargers 

1979
01:51:42,600 --> 01:51:44,300
full-on. 
Well, I don't know what? 

1980
01:51:44,400 --> 01:51:45,900
Yeah. 
Why don't we leave it for now 

1981
01:51:45,900 --> 01:51:49,700
and see what happens in the end.
We need to pick someone from the

1982
01:51:49,700 --> 01:51:53,400
Chargers in the Jags. 
We do have a Jag. 

1983
01:51:53,600 --> 01:51:54,400
That's true. 
Yeah. 

1984
01:51:56,700 --> 01:51:58,500
All right. 
We also don't have a viking 

1985
01:51:58,500 --> 01:52:00,600
Giant yet. 
We need a viking a giant and we 

1986
01:52:00,600 --> 01:52:03,400
need a cowboy. 
We don't have either. 

1987
01:52:03,400 --> 01:52:05,700
We need to pick one, because 
we're fading the other. 

1988
01:52:05,700 --> 01:52:08,200
So that's I think we should go. 
I think we should continue 

1989
01:52:08,200 --> 01:52:09,500
eating shocking. 
Good Jefferson. 

1990
01:52:09,700 --> 01:52:11,100
Yeah. 
I was just gonna suggest 

1991
01:52:11,100 --> 01:52:13,500
Jefferson. 
We can definitely do him in this

1992
01:52:13,500 --> 01:52:16,800
lineup. 
Where is he? 

1993
01:52:17,100 --> 01:52:20,000
He's all the way at the top 
there. 

1994
01:52:20,000 --> 01:52:22,300
Yes. 
All right, so, for the audio 

1995
01:52:22,300 --> 01:52:25,300
listener so far, we have jobber,
oh, Kenneth Walker, Austin 

1996
01:52:25,300 --> 01:52:29,700
Eckler CMC at running back wide 
receiver, digs Hill, AJ Brown, 

1997
01:52:29,700 --> 01:52:32,100
Jefferson and Travis Kelce at 
tight end. 

1998
01:52:32,800 --> 01:52:36,200
Honestly, again, this I think 
this is a good illustration of. 

1999
01:52:36,200 --> 01:52:40,200
This is a fucking Galaxy brain 
lineup for this contest, and I 

2000
01:52:40,200 --> 01:52:44,700
just listed off, like, what? 
Seven top 20 players in the NFL?

2001
01:52:44,700 --> 01:52:45,400
Yeah. 
Like that. 

2002
01:52:45,500 --> 01:52:48,300
We just went to like the ESPN 
website and filtered for most 

2003
01:52:48,300 --> 01:52:53,600
fantasy points and that yeah 
well because it yeah seriously 

2004
01:52:53,600 --> 01:52:55,600
you go, Kenneth walk Kenneth 
Walker, you crazy. 

2005
01:52:59,500 --> 01:53:01,400
All right. 
What do we want to do with this 

2006
01:53:01,700 --> 01:53:07,000
cowboys Bucks game? 
Here we gotta pick one of them 

2007
01:53:07,000 --> 01:53:09,700
and the flex and somehow for 
yeah, right. 

2008
01:53:10,400 --> 01:53:13,500
I think I think we can go see I 
think we can eat CD on this land

2009
01:53:13,500 --> 01:53:24,300
line up, I'm fine with the back 
to Gretsch for kicker Defector 

2010
01:53:24,900 --> 01:53:29,900
yeah. 
Let's make this a full fade well

2011
01:53:29,900 --> 01:53:31,600
now I can't make that decision 
on my own. 

2012
01:53:33,600 --> 01:53:36,000
You could pick I guess the hard 
fade is your pick. 

2013
01:53:36,000 --> 01:53:39,500
I don't see why you couldn't. 
You can pick the hard fate as 

2014
01:53:39,500 --> 01:53:43,200
your help. 
The hard faithbox, the bar chart

2015
01:53:44,100 --> 01:53:46,900
suck up and Bucks deer off the 
table, Pat's up. 

2016
01:53:48,000 --> 01:53:50,200
So what do we have? 
We need a Jaguar, we need a 

2017
01:53:50,800 --> 01:53:55,400
giant giant, the giant or, or 
you make the real, are you going

2018
01:53:55,400 --> 01:53:57,700
to lock in the Ravens as your 
pick the hard fade? 

2019
01:54:00,500 --> 01:54:06,900
Roll the clip, I kind of want to
go Giants. 

2020
01:54:06,900 --> 01:54:09,000
Kicker. 
All right, his name. 

2021
01:54:09,500 --> 01:54:11,900
That's a good as a good play G 
batshit. 

2022
01:54:12,300 --> 01:54:17,400
Yeah. 
Okay, so then that leaves us, 

2023
01:54:17,400 --> 01:54:21,600
Hassan back to you to put a 
cherry on top, we can hard fade,

2024
01:54:21,600 --> 01:54:23,000
the ribbons. 
I think that they're not going 

2025
01:54:23,000 --> 01:54:24,900
to have them are. 
Well, we go. 

2026
01:54:25,400 --> 01:54:27,200
You don't want to play Ravens D 
against Borough. 

2027
01:54:27,500 --> 01:54:29,300
No, no, no hard. 
Fate hard fate. 

2028
01:54:29,600 --> 01:54:30,600
Yeah. 
Okay. 

2029
01:54:30,600 --> 01:54:33,100
So you're using the hard fade. 
You were passing the buck to 

2030
01:54:33,100 --> 01:54:36,100
Draco to choose between the Jags
and the Tampa Bay. 

2031
01:54:36,300 --> 01:54:53,800
Dear. 
Jefferson Kelsey Grammer. 

2032
01:54:54,000 --> 01:54:59,000
Know, Jags defense is a sweet 
line up my my only two senses. 

2033
01:54:59,000 --> 01:55:02,500
I think it's even better with 
Debo instead of CMC because I 

2034
01:55:02,500 --> 01:55:05,200
think of the Walker to running 
back thing, fits pretty well. 

2035
01:55:05,200 --> 01:55:11,100
But that's that's really I think
I'd like it better with the MC 

2036
01:55:11,100 --> 01:55:15,900
because we're already to burrow 
and we Like we just need Walker 

2037
01:55:15,900 --> 01:55:20,800
to outscore. 
All of the other receivers Now, 

2038
01:55:20,800 --> 01:55:25,000
too, because he's a flex. 
All in that you had overseen. 

2039
01:55:25,000 --> 01:55:27,600
You're also playing. 
This aren't even out all the 

2040
01:55:27,600 --> 01:55:29,300
Bucks. 
Receivers you need him down 

2041
01:55:29,300 --> 01:55:30,500
score, right? 
Right. 

2042
01:55:30,500 --> 01:55:32,400
Mark Andrews, you need him to 
outscore. 

2043
01:55:32,400 --> 01:55:34,200
You know, everyone that we face 
right here. 

2044
01:55:34,300 --> 01:55:37,400
I think I like CM C to D because
you almost want to play this as 

2045
01:55:37,400 --> 01:55:39,900
a Seattle upset with Walker, 
right? 

2046
01:55:40,600 --> 01:55:43,200
You do. 
But I just feel like that's so 

2047
01:55:43,200 --> 01:55:47,100
unlikely that I rather is going 
to be extremely top-heavy. 

2048
01:55:47,100 --> 01:55:50,200
Comment about switching Eckler 
to Keenan Allen. 

2049
01:55:50,700 --> 01:55:56,800
Is that a compromise or Well 
there you see here Keeta dalla 

2050
01:55:56,800 --> 01:55:58,700
did help me with two billion 
dollars. 

2051
01:55:58,700 --> 01:56:10,200
Yes although we are playing The 
jig's Faded. 

2052
01:56:10,200 --> 01:56:12,900
So yeah I like the Eckler part 
of that. 

2053
01:56:13,000 --> 01:56:15,000
Yeah kind of playing the running
back in the wind. 

2054
01:56:15,700 --> 01:56:18,100
Yeah I get what you're saying 
with DeBell. 

2055
01:56:18,100 --> 01:56:21,900
I guess what? 
Like is the chances that the Did

2056
01:56:21,900 --> 01:56:24,500
the Seattle actually wins? 
Like, do you want to play it 

2057
01:56:24,500 --> 01:56:25,700
that way? 
Or do you want to play the 

2058
01:56:25,700 --> 01:56:29,500
chances that Kenneth Walker? 
Happens to outscore, Mike Evans,

2059
01:56:29,500 --> 01:56:34,300
Chris God, when it shakes, if 
you don't, if you don't have a 

2060
01:56:34,308 --> 01:56:37,600
third running back, you can play
it as if the running backs are 

2061
01:56:37,600 --> 01:56:42,100
all all score really poorly for 
the whole contest, which doesn't

2062
01:56:42,500 --> 01:56:44,200
seem like, which is tough. 
Yeah. 

2063
01:56:44,200 --> 01:56:45,800
It's tough. 
Especially, if you don't have 

2064
01:56:45,800 --> 01:56:48,700
CMC and you're making that bet. 
I don't know, I guess I'm saying

2065
01:56:48,700 --> 01:56:50,200
about the CMC. 
Choctaw Kiba. 

2066
01:56:50,600 --> 01:56:53,000
Yeah. 
I think I do think in my 

2067
01:56:53,000 --> 01:56:58,100
preferred World you'd pivot 
ocular ocular and clerk to Kenan

2068
01:56:58,200 --> 01:57:02,300
or as the Aaron suggest here 
Walker to. 

2069
01:57:02,300 --> 01:57:06,700
Yeah, see I think CM C DK is 
sort of where Connor. 

2070
01:57:06,700 --> 01:57:08,900
Do you have any thoughts? 
You were the one who selected 

2071
01:57:08,900 --> 01:57:11,300
Walker here. 
I don't wanna leave if we're 

2072
01:57:11,300 --> 01:57:14,300
gonna do that because lock it's 
going to go really low and as 

2073
01:57:14,300 --> 01:57:15,800
well. 
I like that. 

2074
01:57:16,500 --> 01:57:20,800
I like I like it quite a bit do.
Connor lock is five. 

2075
01:57:20,800 --> 01:57:26,700
Yeah I personally think the 
Walker DK Metcalf like 

2076
01:57:26,700 --> 01:57:35,600
projection is probably super 
close and so I mean I honestly 

2077
01:57:35,600 --> 01:57:40,300
don't mind it and if kind of 
feels like a similar play in 

2078
01:57:40,300 --> 01:57:43,800
that like you're picking you're 
saying that a Seahawk is going 

2079
01:57:43,800 --> 01:57:49,000
to score good points and and I 
guess if you're feeling more 

2080
01:57:49,000 --> 01:57:53,500
comfortable, And it kind of game
trip that Seattle get blown out 

2081
01:57:53,500 --> 01:57:57,000
or early lose comfortably DK, 
DK. 

2082
01:57:57,000 --> 01:58:00,700
Obviously, feels more 
comfortable in that and I do 

2083
01:58:00,700 --> 01:58:03,900
think though, that one thing 
with the game script is that 

2084
01:58:03,900 --> 01:58:08,200
it's not one for one like you, 
you get, we're running back to. 

2085
01:58:08,200 --> 01:58:09,400
Yeah. 
That's true. 

2086
01:58:09,800 --> 01:58:10,700
He's course. 
It's true. 

2087
01:58:11,300 --> 01:58:16,200
I do think though may be the 
tiebreaker is that people are 

2088
01:58:16,200 --> 01:58:18,400
not going to use Seattle, like, 
people are going to be hard, 

2089
01:58:18,400 --> 01:58:20,400
fading, Seattle. 
So, You can pretty much pick 

2090
01:58:20,400 --> 01:58:23,300
whoever you want and get the 
same leverage and you can 

2091
01:58:23,300 --> 01:58:26,500
basically pick your preferred 
games correctly. 

2092
01:58:26,900 --> 01:58:29,700
I think lock, it'll be someone 
that I'm arguing for pretty 

2093
01:58:29,700 --> 01:58:34,400
heavily this week in our stuff 
just as like a Arbitrage version

2094
01:58:34,400 --> 01:58:40,500
of Devante Smith and T Higgins. 
And unlike those guys there's a 

2095
01:58:40,500 --> 01:58:42,700
really good chance. 
They only play one game. 

2096
01:58:43,000 --> 01:58:46,300
So you just need locket who 
scores long touchdowns to score 

2097
01:58:46,300 --> 01:58:48,800
a long touchdown. 
Yeah. 

2098
01:58:50,800 --> 01:58:56,300
I do think reeks ownership will 
be dependent on to a status if 

2099
01:58:56,300 --> 01:59:01,100
to a doesn't play, he will be 
much, much lower than 30%. 

2100
01:59:01,100 --> 01:59:02,600
What do you have? 
What do you every cat right now?

2101
01:59:02,700 --> 01:59:05,300
We did get a little chalky just 
because of the early Walker 

2102
01:59:05,300 --> 01:59:08,900
pick, I'd like yeah. 
Girl in Brentwood what do we 

2103
01:59:08,900 --> 01:59:14,100
have Borough at Pat 1313? 
But I should also mention so pat

2104
01:59:14,500 --> 01:59:15,400
pat. 
When are you going to post? 

2105
01:59:15,400 --> 01:59:19,400
Because you are for any Discord.
Pat will show. 

2106
01:59:19,500 --> 01:59:22,800
Share a spreadsheet with his 
ownership projections and I will

2107
01:59:22,800 --> 01:59:26,500
say, cuz, you know, Pat won't 
brag for himself because he has 

2108
01:59:26,500 --> 01:59:27,900
enough bragging to do these 
days. 

2109
01:59:28,100 --> 01:59:31,100
But his ownership projections 
last year were just absolutely 

2110
01:59:31,100 --> 01:59:33,200
dialed in plastic. 
Yeah. 

2111
01:59:33,200 --> 01:59:35,800
There was a buffalo and Debo 
that was the big one, but you 

2112
01:59:35,800 --> 01:59:37,400
are a little low on Depot and 
fournette. 

2113
01:59:37,400 --> 01:59:40,000
Got ruled out, very surprisingly
for basically, everyone in the 

2114
01:59:40,000 --> 01:59:42,600
contest and everyone scrambled 
to get for a night out of their 

2115
01:59:42,600 --> 01:59:44,400
line of sight, very last minute,
right? 

2116
01:59:44,400 --> 01:59:47,200
And so your number was high on 
him in the end and it changed 

2117
01:59:47,200 --> 01:59:48,600
some of the Bucks stuff and some
of the math. 

2118
01:59:48,600 --> 01:59:50,900
Yeah, running backs. 
There was some Fallout from the 

2119
01:59:50,907 --> 01:59:54,400
fournette, be a novel high, but 
your numbers were awesome and 

2120
01:59:54,400 --> 01:59:56,700
you tweak them throughout the 
week as we can draw cord. 

2121
01:59:56,700 --> 02:00:00,200
You think through it more. 
So if anyone like pulls them or 

2122
02:00:00,200 --> 02:00:01,900
copies them, make sure to check 
back in. 

2123
02:00:02,400 --> 02:00:05,300
Yeah, so I'll make if you only 
but just make a copy of the 

2124
02:00:05,300 --> 02:00:09,900
sheet and you know, you'll have 
them and then I just copy and 

2125
02:00:09,900 --> 02:00:11,000
paste. 
Every time I make an update, 

2126
02:00:11,000 --> 02:00:13,300
I'll just paste it in here. 
So it'll just stay updated. 

2127
02:00:13,400 --> 02:00:17,800
I will I just want to know. 
Gypsy, large comment isn't 

2128
02:00:17,800 --> 02:00:19,400
pivoting from DK to lock it. 
Like pivoting. 

2129
02:00:19,500 --> 02:00:22,400
Um, Tyreke to water, which he 
said, was too much, gout to be 

2130
02:00:22,400 --> 02:00:24,100
clear. 
I do not think Waddles too much.

2131
02:00:24,100 --> 02:00:26,300
Gal. 
I just think that that's sort of

2132
02:00:26,300 --> 02:00:29,700
the edge of the universe. 
And if you're beyond that edge, 

2133
02:00:29,700 --> 02:00:32,800
you probably have gone too much.
Gal, yeah, yeah. 

2134
02:00:32,800 --> 02:00:38,500
If you're playing River craft or
whatever the fuck, his name is, 

2135
02:00:38,500 --> 02:00:43,300
you probably have taken too much
Ayahuasca while building these 

2136
02:00:43,300 --> 02:00:48,200
lineups here. 
So we will be back tomorrow 

2137
02:00:48,200 --> 02:00:50,100
night. 
I don't know if Figured out 

2138
02:00:50,100 --> 02:00:52,600
exactly what we're going to do. 
But we are going to continue to 

2139
02:00:52,600 --> 02:00:55,200
dive into this contest. 
We will be back then on Friday 

2140
02:00:55,200 --> 02:00:58,700
night for our annual drunken 
shit. 

2141
02:00:58,700 --> 02:01:03,200
Show with Dink and Leone to 
finalize our lineups. 

2142
02:01:03,200 --> 02:01:05,900
And like Pat said, if you guys 
are YouTube members, you get 

2143
02:01:05,900 --> 02:01:09,700
access to the private Discord, 
will Pat will share those 

2144
02:01:09,700 --> 02:01:12,800
ownership projections. 
Highly recommend hopping in that

2145
02:01:12,800 --> 02:01:16,500
Discord. 
Everyone on this show has access

2146
02:01:16,500 --> 02:01:18,000
in there. 
It's very fun time. 

2147
02:01:18,000 --> 02:01:22,300
Steamed hams mr. 
Hassan always in there, mixing 

2148
02:01:22,400 --> 02:01:26,700
it up and yeah, any other final 
words from you guys here before 

2149
02:01:26,700 --> 02:01:30,100
we sign off, What a great 
contest. 

2150
02:01:30,100 --> 02:01:34,300
This is great Kanye, we play, 
truly God's game. 

2151
02:01:34,300 --> 02:01:37,200
We try to make, will try to make
one line up in every pick. 

2152
02:01:37,200 --> 02:01:40,600
We have legs eight ways, we can 
go, it's so fun. 

2153
02:01:40,600 --> 02:01:42,800
Yeah. 
Did the Simplicity is the, the 

2154
02:01:42,800 --> 02:01:44,300
best part? 
It's a puzzle. 

2155
02:01:44,300 --> 02:01:47,300
And it's fun. 
Yeah:. 

2156
02:01:47,300 --> 02:01:50,900
So you become a YouTube member, 
and then you join the deposit 

2157
02:01:50,900 --> 02:01:54,200
Kingdom Discord, which I have 
the link down below and then 

2158
02:01:54,200 --> 02:01:57,300
there's instructions in an FAQ, 
you sync your YouTube account 

2159
02:01:57,300 --> 02:01:59,800
with the Discord. 
And then unlocks the channel. 

2160
02:01:59,800 --> 02:02:03,900
If you have issues, you can tag 
me in there, CB is already in 

2161
02:02:03,900 --> 02:02:05,600
the mix. 
Feel free to just tag me in the 

2162
02:02:05,600 --> 02:02:07,100
Discord. 
I'll make sure you guys get 

2163
02:02:07,100 --> 02:02:10,600
squared away, but all the 
instructions are there. 

2164
02:02:11,400 --> 02:02:15,500
We will be back tomorrow night 
at our usual time, 9:15 p.m. 

2165
02:02:15,500 --> 02:02:18,500
Eastern. 
Thank you to Draco and Sam. 

2166
02:02:18,500 --> 02:02:21,900
Who did great work for us all 
year on stat chasing. 

2167
02:02:21,900 --> 02:02:26,300
Thank you for Hassan who heads 
to the Sizzler buffet for 

2168
02:02:26,300 --> 02:02:31,400
multiple meals to do. 
Research on the Boomer opto and 

2169
02:02:32,000 --> 02:02:35,500
we appreciate you guys will see.
You guys are show me the open a 

2170
02:02:35,500 --> 02:02:31,400
PDF. 
Research on the Boomer opto and 

2171
02:02:32,000 --> 02:02:35,500
we appreciate you guys will see.
You guys are show me the open a 

2172
02:02:35,500 --> 02:02:36,100
PDF.