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We've got another week of 
preseason data to discuss, and 

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we're joined by Etr's chief 
spreadsheet, Socialist Michael 

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Leone. 
Break it all down, this is best.

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Ball brunch, I mean. 
Let's go. 

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Pat Fryer Helmo. 
This is why. 

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This is why I'm hot. 
Anita, hint a hand. 

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Job fix your side, Jamar, and 
also play chase. 

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You can't handle the heat. 
It looks like we're finally 

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welcome everybody. 
Leonie, welcome to the show I 

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saw you were drafting with Silva
last night at 555. 

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Have you mentally recovered from
that yet? 

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No, there is no mental recover. 
We'll never get back to 100%. 

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Guys, take Dalvin Cook in the 
sixth round. 

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We did not, but we'll we'll just
do the best we can to get to 

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99%, but there's no return to my
previous form. 

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Where where is Dalvin Cook and 
Evan Silva's top 150? 

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Is he like, is he like running 
back 19? 

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We need that. 
I need that, I need that 

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information. 
Cuz his immediate reaction was 

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like, so bullish. 
Like, I couldn't believe how 

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bullish it was, why I was 
having, yeah. 

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He's got him around 70th 
overall. 

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I love that. 
Just he's the best. 

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Yeah. 
We were talking about before we 

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went live here, how we're 
feeling a little bit burnt out 

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of drafting. 
It's kind of the final stretch. 

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We're also had a debate on multi
tabling, drafting what Davis 

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Davis was pro multi tabling. 
You know, I'm definitely burnt 

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out on multi tabling. 
My multi tabling days are behind

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me I think. 
Here's the thing though. 

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Here's the thing. 
If you're gonna dedicate the 

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time to drafting and not reading
or or whatever, whatever your 

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thing is. 
Really, dedicate that time to 

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drafting. 
Don't be, don't be. 

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Look, don't be doing one draft 
and and on Discord and on 

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Twitter or whatever, just sit 
down and knock the drafts out 

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that that is my thesis on it 
because I still want to be a 

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human being. 
Just said sit down there. 

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You said you take your dog for a
walk and do 5 drafts at once, so

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there's no sitting there. 
How do you do two things that is

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that isn't? 
Really difficult. 

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I want to be rich. 
You're multi tabling it while 

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like doing something active at 
the same time. 

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Yes, I'm I'm enriching my dog's 
life. 

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I'm getting my steps in and I'm 
hammering. 

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I'm hammering. 
Hammering drafts. 

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Yeah. 
See, my thing is like when I 

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wanna do a draft, I feel like if
I'm multi table, I just do a 

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worse version of all those 
drafts than I would have done if

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I just did one draft. 
So then. 

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Yeah, but multiply. 
Those drafts and I'm exhausted. 

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So you're not wrong, but you 
have to multiply. 

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So let's say you're EV in 
basketball mania, let's say. 

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Get your expected value in each 
draft. 

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Napkin math. 
Let's make it $50.00 and then 

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let's say you're 20% or so worse
on every draft. 

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Well, would you rather have a 
bunch of $50 EV drafts stacked 

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on top of each other, or would 
you rather have exponentially 

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three times more drafts of $38 
of expected value? 

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I would rather have like. 
I would rather have like 700 

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teams drafted by week one of the
season to to. 

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Get as much I have 7. 100 teams 
drafted though, It's just that I

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just didn't pull the table them 
very much. 

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He's just, he's just cut into my
life more often. 

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Yeah, that's that, says. 
I'd rather have like a horrible 

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hour of drafting and have it be 
miserable, but like, yeah, knock

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out three or four then. 
Yes, Leone, Leone and I agree. 

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Because I still wanna do other 
stuff. 

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I still wanna, I still wanna go 
golf. 

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I still wanna skateboard. 
Like I I I don't wanna just be 

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drafting 14 hours a day. 
I'm like 95% slow drafts though 

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is how I get around. 
That's even worse for me. 

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I I can't do the the mental. 
I mean, it depends how many just

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a minute at a time, but. 
Davis Davis just did the You 

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gotta turn off the underdog 
notifications. 

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You just no no, I I see. 
I did. 

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I did. 
No, I did. 

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The other thing. 
I have every notification on my 

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phone except for text messages. 
Underdog, DraftKings and 

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drafters just turned off on my 
phone. 

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So the only notifications I get 
right now are. 

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When I'm on the clock or if 
someone texted me. 

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No, the move. 
The move is you You burn through

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all the. 
Because I've I've been in slow 

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draft hell. 
OK, I've. 

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I've gone. 
I've gone there. 

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The move is you get all the 
drafts done or you get as many 

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as you can and then you set a 
timer for like 10 minutes before

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the next time you'll time out 
and then you turn off the 

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notifications on underdog. 
So you're not gonna get, you're 

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not gonna get bugged. 
You just have the timer going. 

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When the timer goes off, it's 
time to go check your app again.

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No, no. 
If anything, if anything I would

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turn my phone on do not disturb,
but I just made three picks. 

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I just made three picks while 
you were talking like that. 

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That's that's that's. 
This is like the opposite of 

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your multi tabling point though 
the point like it cuts into your

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life more if you're doing it 
that way, correct? 

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I'm I'm just on a I'm on a 
fantasy football podcast right 

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now it would be it would be sure
more it would be less efficient.

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Be focused and be present with 
us, please. 

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I'm gonna do. 
I'm gonna do my I'm not fast 

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drafting. 
During the show up I was. 

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Doing your best. 
While I was talking, you were 

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drafting. 
But I got the gist. 

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I got the gist. 
You understood the third of the 

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words you said. 
That's fine. 

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Let's move on here to the risers
and fallers. 

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There's a lot to chat through 
this week. 

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Here's the 10 largest risers 
from this past week, a bunch of 

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big movement. 
I think the past. 

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Before P season hit, we weren't 
seeing 10% increases in ADP from

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many players. 
This week we have 10 of them at 

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least that increase in ADP by at
least 10%. 

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So a lot of movement here. 
I wanted to start with talking 

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through Zeke, and I think also 
Ramondre fits in this discussion

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as well. 
He's on the list of the fallers.

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Zeke for me, is someone who I 
was drafting the free agent 

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running backs. 
I was not drafting Zeke for 

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whatever reason. 
Maybe that's a leak and I've had

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a hard time stomaching this new 
price. 

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So start with you Leone. 
What do you think about Zeke 

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ranked now at sort of the 150 
range for a DP? 

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It hasn't felt like a good Click
to me, but curious what your 

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thoughts are. 
I mean, it seems outrageous I 

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was drafting some Zeke. 
Passed his original ad like his 

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original ADP was probably 
correct. 

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Like like nothing really changed
except we know he's on a team 

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now. 
But like that was. 

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I mean what were the likelihood 
he wasn't gonna sign with 

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someone? 
Like he was probably pretty low 

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that he wasn't gonna sign at 
all. 

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So I I don't really think that 
much has changed for for Zeke. 

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Yeah. 
Anybody want to make the pro? 

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Zeke Case, I'll make a slight 
pro. 

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Case it's very it's very easy. 
He gets, he gets the goal line 

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work and Pierre Strong and Kevin
Harris don't play at all. 

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And he he he fat guys his way to
550 combo yards but eight 

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touchdowns. 
Yep. 

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Yeah. 
And that's, that's it. 

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Like I think you know if you 
need some early season running 

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back help in particular where 
like I mean he's not going to be

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super productive in the early 
season, but. 

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So it's like he'll be the least 
dusty in the early part of the 

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year and you just hope any falls
in the end zone a couple times. 

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I think around pick like 150 is 
is okay. 

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I mean, I'm certainly not going 
to be excited to take him, but 

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it's when you're building out 
these running back rooms, you 

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know you get to that range and 
you're like, do I want to reach 

150
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a bit for Taji Spears? 
Cuz I want the upside or 

151
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whatever or. 
So I have upside. 

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I have a Javante, right? 
I've got maybe a briefs hall or 

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someone like that. 
And what I'm really looking for 

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is somebody just helped me get 
along in the early part of the 

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year or just a guy that I know 
will have some kind of role for 

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most of the year. 
So this is part of a larger 

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discussion and maybe we can get 
into it a little bit later, but 

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I've really noticed, starting 
right about after the Qb's go 

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Dak, Kirk, Gino and Daniel 
Jones. 

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There's basically no one I want 
to pick. 

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You know, it's like horrible. 
So honestly, I can't believe and

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no one lets Soccer Dave know 
that I'm saying this. 

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I'm just taking guys I like. 
I'll take Jalen Warren 10 spots 

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ahead. 
I will take Rashi Rice 15 spots 

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ahead. 
I will take, and especially once

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you get to the van Jefferson, KJ
Osbourne, Rondell Moore, 

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Jonathan Mingo, like literally, 
those guys are just not 

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clickable for me. 
I'm never clicking Adam. 

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I will just take. 
I will just take Jalen Wyatt or 

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Jalen Hyatt. 20 spots ahead of 
ADP. 

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I don't care because I'm not 
clicking these total dust balls.

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I I I know Leone is cringing 
right now, but like DJ Shark, 

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what does DJ Shark do for this 
team? 

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Nothing. 
Nothing. 

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I. 
Here's here's what I did. 

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So I was in a Pitbull right 
before. 

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It's the Pitbull slow and I am 
sitting there and I only have 

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four wide receivers and I had 
Stefan Diggs and Gabe Davis. 

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I didn't. 
I don't have Josh Allen on this 

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team. 
I forget. 

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00:09:25,720 --> 00:09:29,280
I think I have Deshaun Watson or
Dak or someone like that. 

182
00:09:30,400 --> 00:09:33,720
So I'm going to need maybe maybe
two more quarterbacks, right? 

183
00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:36,880
At least one more. 
And I've got this Bills thing 

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built out. 
So what's the what's the smart 

185
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thing to do when I need that 
fifth wide receiver? 

186
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I ended up taking Juju. 
I I did it. 

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I took Juju's misuse there and 
it was the grossest thing ever. 

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00:09:47,080 --> 00:09:49,240
But to your point, there was so 
there's no one in. 

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00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:51,840
I was like literally like 20 
pics of you're. 

190
00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:54,320
You're just scrolling, you're 
scrolling and you're like, 

191
00:09:54,400 --> 00:09:57,890
you're like. 
Like so, like Donovan Peoples 

192
00:09:57,890 --> 00:09:59,490
Jones. 
What does Donovan Peoples Jones 

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00:09:59,490 --> 00:10:00,650
do for this team? 
Like, not. 

194
00:10:00,730 --> 00:10:01,850
Like, I just. 
I don't know. 

195
00:10:02,090 --> 00:10:04,410
I kind of. 
Like TVJ too. 

196
00:10:04,930 --> 00:10:09,010
I like a few of these guys. 
You guys are talking about you 

197
00:10:09,010 --> 00:10:11,570
guys. 
Like, I'm just taking Luke 

198
00:10:11,570 --> 00:10:14,570
Musgrave 20 spots ahead. 
I'm taking Michael Wilson in the

199
00:10:14,570 --> 00:10:17,250
16th round. 
Like, I just, I'm not. 

200
00:10:17,290 --> 00:10:21,530
I'm not taking these dust balls.
Wow, this is like full on live. 

201
00:10:21,530 --> 00:10:24,010
A little capitulation from from 
Davis right here. 

202
00:10:24,170 --> 00:10:24,810
It is. 
It is. 

203
00:10:24,810 --> 00:10:28,410
Wild How bad Round 10 is? 
Round 10 is like the worst 

204
00:10:28,410 --> 00:10:30,610
round. 
In the juju as wide receiver 5 

205
00:10:30,610 --> 00:10:33,530
is like completely fine you guys
are. 

206
00:10:33,730 --> 00:10:36,730
So. 
Just jump the shark on juju like

207
00:10:36,930 --> 00:10:39,530
you guys are acting like you're 
being poisoned. 

208
00:10:39,530 --> 00:10:42,690
To take Juju as I am, I'm that's
like how you should be building 

209
00:10:42,690 --> 00:10:43,810
is like. 
Not overdoing. 

210
00:10:43,970 --> 00:10:45,690
I know, Leone, but I fucking 
hate it. 

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00:10:45,690 --> 00:10:47,050
I did it, OK? 
Jesus. 

212
00:10:48,620 --> 00:10:51,820
That's why honestly, like 
structurally, that's why I have 

213
00:10:51,820 --> 00:10:56,060
so much Gino Smith and Anthony 
Richardson, because they're, 

214
00:10:56,060 --> 00:10:58,980
they're going in a range where I
do not like the skill position 

215
00:10:58,980 --> 00:11:01,460
players. 
So it's just so and it's so easy

216
00:11:01,500 --> 00:11:05,020
to take Anthony Richardson round
10 and then you're like, all 

217
00:11:05,020 --> 00:11:07,660
right, I can take Alec Pierce or
I can take Josh Downs and it's 

218
00:11:07,660 --> 00:11:11,250
completely fine. 
Yeah, I I kind of agree with 

219
00:11:11,250 --> 00:11:13,090
that. 
I think some of these guys like 

220
00:11:13,170 --> 00:11:17,490
Myers, Juju, I like Myers. 
I like Myers is good. 

221
00:11:17,530 --> 00:11:19,250
Yeah. 
Some of these guys I like, but I

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00:11:19,250 --> 00:11:22,170
I kind of agree with you. 
Like, I don't know, I've been 

223
00:11:22,250 --> 00:11:24,890
when I get to the running backs 
and it's like P Ryan and a 

224
00:11:24,890 --> 00:11:27,130
chain. 
I've been like saying I just 

225
00:11:27,130 --> 00:11:29,890
kind of want Warren over those 
guys and reaching like 10 spots 

226
00:11:29,890 --> 00:11:31,850
of ADP. 
Maybe maybe that's dumb, but 

227
00:11:32,010 --> 00:11:33,370
I've been doing some things like
that. 

228
00:11:33,850 --> 00:11:36,100
No, I think it's fine. 
I just learned my. 

229
00:11:36,300 --> 00:11:37,900
Most warrants ahead of those 
guys. 

230
00:11:37,900 --> 00:11:40,140
I think that's fine. 
I mean, you still want to mesh 

231
00:11:40,140 --> 00:11:43,300
your rankings with the ADP. 
So I don't think it's like 

232
00:11:43,540 --> 00:11:45,260
you're not like. 
I don't think anyone's 

233
00:11:45,260 --> 00:11:47,180
suggesting to blindly draft off 
ADP. 

234
00:11:47,180 --> 00:11:50,100
It's like there's a balance 
between the two, right? 

235
00:11:50,100 --> 00:11:53,140
Like you don't want to. 
You don't want to like double 

236
00:11:53,260 --> 00:11:55,740
count and be like. 
More, More So what I'm saying 

237
00:11:55,740 --> 00:12:01,540
Michael is like round 14. 
Do I need to take Adam Phelan 

238
00:12:01,540 --> 00:12:05,460
because Adam Phelan is is the 
ADP guy there or do I take a guy

239
00:12:05,500 --> 00:12:07,700
who I like really like his range
of outcomes better? 

240
00:12:07,700 --> 00:12:12,340
Like is is reaching in round 14 
structurally really like, I 

241
00:12:12,340 --> 00:12:14,260
agree. 
I'm not reaching in round seven.

242
00:12:14,300 --> 00:12:17,860
I'm not taking I'm not taking 
Guys in the top 100 picks, you 

243
00:12:17,860 --> 00:12:21,180
know, 10 spots ahead of ADP. 
Honestly, probably hardly ever. 

244
00:12:21,540 --> 00:12:24,260
But round 14, like I just do 
not. 

245
00:12:24,260 --> 00:12:25,500
I do not care. 
I do. 

246
00:12:25,540 --> 00:12:27,900
I I'm taking. 
The draft capital doesn't, 

247
00:12:27,900 --> 00:12:30,450
really. 
Matter as much at that. 

248
00:12:30,450 --> 00:12:33,050
Point and we're getting new 
information right now, so being.

249
00:12:33,250 --> 00:12:35,170
$3 on a $1.00 guy like, I don't 
know. 

250
00:12:35,770 --> 00:12:38,650
Yeah, I think it's fine. 
I I mean, some of it depends on 

251
00:12:38,650 --> 00:12:41,970
like how you're structured like 
dealing might just add nothing 

252
00:12:41,970 --> 00:12:46,170
to your team, right? 
Like, but I do think acting like

253
00:12:46,730 --> 00:12:49,370
a guy like him is completely 
unusable and best ball is like 

254
00:12:49,370 --> 00:12:51,130
in manage. 
Sure, like you're just crossing 

255
00:12:51,130 --> 00:12:54,570
Adam Feeling off Like there's no
situation on the planet where 

256
00:12:54,570 --> 00:12:56,690
you're drafting Adam Feeling in 
a managed leak, right? 

257
00:12:56,690 --> 00:12:58,970
Like. 
Yeah, this was just all this was

258
00:12:58,970 --> 00:13:01,650
all This was all a long con to 
get you on the show and explain 

259
00:13:01,650 --> 00:13:03,810
to everyone why you need to be 
drafting Adam Feeling. 

260
00:13:04,130 --> 00:13:06,930
Well, I I barely have any. 
But like, you're acting like a 

261
00:13:06,930 --> 00:13:08,650
start. 
I mean, a starting wide receiver

262
00:13:08,650 --> 00:13:11,210
in best ball is is worth being 
picked at something, yeah. 

263
00:13:11,770 --> 00:13:13,930
No, I I agree. 
I just think feeling's been 

264
00:13:13,930 --> 00:13:17,890
egregiously priced all year and 
I it's very difficult for me to 

265
00:13:17,890 --> 00:13:19,490
select him. 
But I did take him over the 

266
00:13:19,490 --> 00:13:22,250
weekend once because he felt so 
like a lot. 

267
00:13:22,410 --> 00:13:24,480
I I barely, Yeah. 
I'm. 

268
00:13:24,640 --> 00:13:25,720
Yeah, I'm. 
I mean, I'm. 

269
00:13:25,720 --> 00:13:28,040
He fell to me in a like a Davis 
gave. 

270
00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:31,840
But yeah, he fell to me in a 
bulldog like I think 30 picks 

271
00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:33,560
past ADP. 
And at that point when it's like

272
00:13:33,560 --> 00:13:37,280
him versus like, I don't know, 
Khalil Shakir, like those were 

273
00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:38,480
some of the odd receivers 
available. 

274
00:13:38,480 --> 00:13:40,880
I'm like, I'm just taking like, 
this is fine for this is where 

275
00:13:40,880 --> 00:13:43,080
feeling should go here, right? 
Like, that's totally. 

276
00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:45,960
It's one of the things you were 
like 2. 22 Atwell versus Adam 

277
00:13:45,960 --> 00:13:48,680
Thielan I know, I know where my 
chips are placed on that one. 

278
00:13:49,640 --> 00:13:51,240
Well, fair enough, but I mean, 
I. 

279
00:13:52,490 --> 00:13:55,250
Actual ceiling on 2/2 Atwell 
like I mean you guys talk about,

280
00:13:55,250 --> 00:13:58,610
I mean David you talk about 
ceiling a lot, but like what is 

281
00:13:58,610 --> 00:14:01,090
the? 
Scores he scores 270 yard 

282
00:14:01,090 --> 00:14:03,170
touchdowns in the three-week 
Sprint and. 

283
00:14:03,170 --> 00:14:05,210
What if he's the guy you need, 
Leon, think about that. 

284
00:14:06,330 --> 00:14:08,050
All right, let's keep this. 
Let's keep this thing on track. 

285
00:14:08,410 --> 00:14:10,930
We're already talking about two,
two Atwell and and then at 13. 

286
00:14:10,930 --> 00:14:14,130
Let's I do want to say with the 
with like there is something to 

287
00:14:14,330 --> 00:14:18,290
to Leon's point on dealing like 
because Theon's been expensive 

288
00:14:18,290 --> 00:14:21,170
enough that that we have to like
think about the talent. 

289
00:14:21,400 --> 00:14:25,280
Case we like I've I've often 
made the case that he's watched,

290
00:14:25,280 --> 00:14:28,520
but like I have a ton of Devonte
Parker and like Devonte Parker 

291
00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:31,720
rates terribly and a lot of the 
other things that I that I like.

292
00:14:31,720 --> 00:14:34,320
It's just that he's priced at a 
level where you're like he's 

293
00:14:34,320 --> 00:14:37,520
just starting my receiver. 
So as soon as dealing does get 

294
00:14:37,520 --> 00:14:41,120
to the point where all you need 
to make the case for him is that

295
00:14:41,280 --> 00:14:43,640
he's just starting my receiver, 
then I do think we should be 

296
00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:44,880
open to taking him. 
It's just that. 

297
00:14:45,730 --> 00:14:47,450
I just think he hasn't been 
priced like that for most of the

298
00:14:47,650 --> 00:14:50,050
Yeah, he's been priced above 
Mingo, which to me has made 

299
00:14:50,050 --> 00:14:53,490
absolutely zero sense. 
That's why I've had none of him,

300
00:14:53,490 --> 00:14:55,930
cuz it's like, why would I ever 
click dealing over Mingo? 

301
00:14:55,930 --> 00:14:58,690
But now that he slides, Sure. 
Anyway, So what? 

302
00:14:58,930 --> 00:15:03,050
Was with the chart slander. 
I mean, I think Chart's fine. 

303
00:15:03,050 --> 00:15:05,810
Well, so Chart, I think he's 
okay too. 

304
00:15:05,810 --> 00:15:08,810
But man, I'm a little worried 
about Chart with the injury 

305
00:15:08,810 --> 00:15:11,300
stuff. 
And again, this is just one data

306
00:15:11,300 --> 00:15:13,700
point. 
But if you look at Harmon's like

307
00:15:13,700 --> 00:15:16,900
reception perception stuff, he 
was literally like the worst 

308
00:15:16,900 --> 00:15:19,220
wide receiver that Harmon 
charted like last year. 

309
00:15:19,220 --> 00:15:22,140
And it wasn't even close. 
Like his, I think he's kind of 

310
00:15:22,140 --> 00:15:25,020
known as this like athletic guy 
that can win deep. 

311
00:15:25,020 --> 00:15:26,700
And he did do that a little bit 
last year. 

312
00:15:26,700 --> 00:15:29,660
Like, his yard for route run 
aren't terrible, but his yard 

313
00:15:29,660 --> 00:15:31,780
for route run is like worse than
Devante Parker's. 

314
00:15:31,780 --> 00:15:34,700
But he goes like 40 picks 
earlier and he's paid less than 

315
00:15:34,700 --> 00:15:36,180
Devante Parker. 
And then you don't have to 

316
00:15:36,180 --> 00:15:38,300
compare every pick to like 
somebody goes late. 

317
00:15:38,300 --> 00:15:42,530
But it's just like if I can get 
the routes like deep threat guy 

318
00:15:42,970 --> 00:15:46,330
that like maybe doesn't have 
anything left in the tank, I can

319
00:15:46,330 --> 00:15:48,130
just wait a while and get them 
onto. 

320
00:15:48,170 --> 00:15:51,970
Yeah, I also think. 
Take Michael Wilson Than him if 

321
00:15:51,970 --> 00:15:54,570
I'm betting on a guy running 9 
routes on a crappy team. 

322
00:15:54,890 --> 00:15:57,170
I'll I'll bet. 
Did you charge against Michael 

323
00:15:57,170 --> 00:15:58,930
Wilson? 
I'll bet you will. 

324
00:15:59,610 --> 00:16:04,770
I'll sure 5050 bucks. 50 bucks. 
Michael Wilson. 

325
00:16:04,890 --> 00:16:08,570
More Fantasy Points Week 
15/16/17. 

326
00:16:08,870 --> 00:16:15,950
Half point PPR. 
I mean, you've changed the bet, 

327
00:16:16,190 --> 00:16:17,510
but yeah. 
Sure, that's the bet. 

328
00:16:17,510 --> 00:16:19,190
That's the bet. 
That's the bet we're making. 

329
00:16:19,950 --> 00:16:22,750
That's. 
Not the only consideration, but 

330
00:16:22,750 --> 00:16:25,030
make it make it second-half of 
the season or something like 

331
00:16:25,030 --> 00:16:26,390
last last 16. 
Sure. 

332
00:16:26,390 --> 00:16:28,670
Week 8 to 17? 
Sure, Sure. 

333
00:16:29,390 --> 00:16:31,310
OK. 
OK, Let's keep this on track 

334
00:16:31,310 --> 00:16:33,070
here. 
DJ Moore, I want to talk. 

335
00:16:33,070 --> 00:16:35,230
About It's not on track, Sam. 
It's long enough. 

336
00:16:38,370 --> 00:16:40,890
DJ Moore is up 6 picks. 
Why? 

337
00:16:40,890 --> 00:16:42,290
I don't really. 
I don't really know. 

338
00:16:42,290 --> 00:16:44,050
What Congrats. 
Congrats to him on catching a 

339
00:16:44,050 --> 00:16:45,090
screen pass can. 
You get. 

340
00:16:45,090 --> 00:16:48,010
So yeah, it's it's purely off 
that camp highlight. 

341
00:16:48,370 --> 00:16:52,970
Yeah, like this one. 
OK, I will have like so close to

342
00:16:52,970 --> 00:16:55,770
zero of any pick in the first 
five rounds. 

343
00:16:56,530 --> 00:16:59,050
I think I will have the heaviest
fade on. 

344
00:16:59,050 --> 00:17:01,410
DJ Moore. 
I I wouldn't necessarily have if

345
00:17:01,410 --> 00:17:04,890
he was at like pick 50, but now 
that he's rising like, man, I'm 

346
00:17:04,890 --> 00:17:09,839
gonna have like 00. 
I've got more. 2% on 285 

347
00:17:09,839 --> 00:17:14,680
underdog teams, yeah. 
Let me like a really high stakes

348
00:17:14,680 --> 00:17:17,319
team randomly, because those are
the drafts where he he falls. 

349
00:17:17,319 --> 00:17:20,200
Before he falls. 
Let me make the bear case, 

350
00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:21,760
because I'm, I think I'm the 
more bold. 

351
00:17:22,160 --> 00:17:26,280
So I have 11 1/2 percent DJ 
Moore, and I thought he was a 

352
00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:31,520
pretty strong pick at the 4-5 
turn where you could pair his 

353
00:17:31,520 --> 00:17:34,320
potential breakout with Fields. 
Yeah, and I have some there. 

354
00:17:35,020 --> 00:17:37,700
I I that's the. 
Reason was reasonable. 

355
00:17:38,020 --> 00:17:40,420
I mean that's. 
Yeah and and you know you could.

356
00:17:40,700 --> 00:17:43,260
I wrote an article about like, 
how it was pretty easy actually 

357
00:17:43,260 --> 00:17:46,580
because borough the dynamics of 
the draft for really until 

358
00:17:46,900 --> 00:17:51,860
Borough's calf strain meant that
often because of the late second

359
00:17:51,860 --> 00:17:53,780
round Adp's. 
Someone has my home. 

360
00:17:53,780 --> 00:17:55,900
Someone might have Alan, some 
might have Hertz on the front 

361
00:17:55,980 --> 00:17:59,060
half of the board so you could 
push fields around and you had 

362
00:17:59,060 --> 00:18:00,940
borough was covered. 
The chaser Higgins drafters 

363
00:18:00,940 --> 00:18:02,180
usually there without a 
quarterback. 

364
00:18:02,180 --> 00:18:05,010
They'll take borough. 
Fields will come back to the mid

365
00:18:05,010 --> 00:18:08,010
5th if you just go ahead and 
reach for DJ Moore in the late 

366
00:18:08,010 --> 00:18:10,290
4th. 
And I have a bunch of teams 

367
00:18:10,290 --> 00:18:13,490
constructed like that. 
If you're taking more in the 

368
00:18:13,490 --> 00:18:16,170
early 4th, there's no chance 
you're getting in with Fields 

369
00:18:16,450 --> 00:18:19,690
and I do really. 
It's like not. 

370
00:18:19,810 --> 00:18:24,330
And here's the other thing, I do
have some more teams with Drake 

371
00:18:24,330 --> 00:18:27,130
London, where I took Drake 
London in the 4th and then Moore

372
00:18:27,130 --> 00:18:29,890
came around to the early 5th and
now I've got that little mini 

373
00:18:29,890 --> 00:18:31,970
going. 
But there's no correlation. 

374
00:18:31,970 --> 00:18:34,240
That's really. 
I mean I guess you could get 

375
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:37,800
pits at the end of the OR the 
beginning of the OR the end of 

376
00:18:37,800 --> 00:18:40,000
the seventh, sorry. 
Pits pits has been falling. 

377
00:18:40,000 --> 00:18:44,000
I've I've got some yeah I did. 
I did a a basketball mania this 

378
00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:46,400
morning on a Kelsey team but I 
took Kyle pits in the eighth 

379
00:18:46,400 --> 00:18:49,600
round cuz I was like, yeah, I'm 
just gonna so. 

380
00:18:49,720 --> 00:18:54,360
You could do a more eighth, more
4th pits, eighth thing, but I 

381
00:18:54,360 --> 00:18:55,880
don't know. 
I mean, I just think he's so 

382
00:18:55,880 --> 00:18:58,840
much less appealing if I know 
I'm locked out of fields and I 

383
00:18:58,840 --> 00:19:00,360
don't understand why he's risen 
up. 

384
00:19:00,360 --> 00:19:02,480
I thought he was like an early 
fifth round value. 

385
00:19:03,260 --> 00:19:08,300
That I was OK reaching on in the
late 4th to get that stack, but 

386
00:19:08,300 --> 00:19:10,580
now in the early 4th he just 
feels it coming recently. 

387
00:19:11,340 --> 00:19:14,620
I think it's worth keeping in 
mind that he started where he's 

388
00:19:14,620 --> 00:19:17,500
going now, right? 
Like, he started there, yeah, 

389
00:19:17,540 --> 00:19:20,820
And he dropped. 
Like when when when it was only 

390
00:19:20,820 --> 00:19:24,380
nerds, when it was only nerds 
drafting off of the the 

391
00:19:24,380 --> 00:19:27,340
spreadsheets, he went down. 
And now that now that people are

392
00:19:27,340 --> 00:19:30,580
seeing real football and we have
more like bachelors drafters, 

393
00:19:30,580 --> 00:19:32,560
he's going back up. 
Yeah. 

394
00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:35,080
And I mean you've just got the 
highlight and I I think it 

395
00:19:35,080 --> 00:19:38,760
didn't take people much to move 
them back up because the market 

396
00:19:38,760 --> 00:19:41,400
kind of initially wanted him 
here anyway. 

397
00:19:41,680 --> 00:19:45,520
Like for a while there like you 
had to, it was like 3-4, you had

398
00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,400
to stack fields and more like 
early, like very early. 

399
00:19:48,920 --> 00:19:51,800
And then it got to four or five,
which was like as you said, Pat,

400
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:54,080
like that's totally fine. 
Like that makes a lot of sense. 

401
00:19:54,120 --> 00:19:58,840
And then, I don't know, I don't 
want to like it doesn't take. 

402
00:19:59,370 --> 00:20:01,730
Anyone who does very much 
projections work to just be like

403
00:20:02,250 --> 00:20:05,050
the past attempts just aren't 
there unless he earns a 30% 

404
00:20:05,050 --> 00:20:07,250
target share. 
And he's never been a 30% target

405
00:20:07,250 --> 00:20:08,330
share guy. 
So it's just. 

406
00:20:08,330 --> 00:20:11,650
I mean he he could be there 
multiple ways that the that the 

407
00:20:11,690 --> 00:20:14,570
fade loses, yeah. 
He could be loses. 

408
00:20:14,570 --> 00:20:18,370
It's just I'm fine making that. 
I I wouldn't say I'm not scared 

409
00:20:18,370 --> 00:20:20,890
by it because I love DJ more 
like I think he's awesome but 

410
00:20:20,890 --> 00:20:26,370
like the it's just kind of like 
you you need some outliers 

411
00:20:26,370 --> 00:20:27,730
things to happen. 
Yeah, for sure. 

412
00:20:28,370 --> 00:20:31,370
I think what people the Bulls 
will point to is that Justin 

413
00:20:31,370 --> 00:20:34,970
Fields was a very good passing 
prospect in college when he, you

414
00:20:34,970 --> 00:20:36,770
know, was surrounded by stud 
wide receivers. 

415
00:20:36,770 --> 00:20:41,650
So you know, I can squint and 
excuse some of Fields stuff from

416
00:20:41,650 --> 00:20:44,010
early in his career cuz he was 
dealing with, you know, Darnell 

417
00:20:44,010 --> 00:20:48,250
Mooney as his wide receiver. 
One like, I kind of get it but 

418
00:20:48,250 --> 00:20:51,530
it still feels like way too 
priced up. 

419
00:20:51,770 --> 00:20:54,690
Like I I don't know. 
And also like DJ Moore, he's 

420
00:20:55,170 --> 00:20:58,950
he's what like? 
The 20th best receiver in the 

421
00:20:58,950 --> 00:21:00,430
NFL. 
Like, I don't think he's like a 

422
00:21:00,430 --> 00:21:02,910
top ten, even top 15 wide 
receiver. 

423
00:21:02,910 --> 00:21:05,670
If I was to go through him and 
rank him like he's good. 

424
00:21:05,670 --> 00:21:08,830
But is he really that? 
Is he really that good? 

425
00:21:08,950 --> 00:21:12,230
That's a good point. 
I'd probably say he's top 10 to 

426
00:21:12,230 --> 00:21:14,910
15. 
But even still, like, you've got

427
00:21:14,910 --> 00:21:18,510
to, I mean, make a big leap on 
his it's not. 

428
00:21:19,110 --> 00:21:23,750
To draft him where it is really 
not a criticism of DJ Moore, who

429
00:21:23,750 --> 00:21:25,390
all of us have loved for a long 
time. 

430
00:21:25,390 --> 00:21:29,150
It's just the reality of the 
situation that he's in and the 

431
00:21:29,150 --> 00:21:32,230
fact that they added other 
talented guys to theoretically 

432
00:21:32,230 --> 00:21:36,830
catch passes at the same time. 
Like you, you may be in a way. 

433
00:21:36,830 --> 00:21:37,990
I don't know if this is true or 
not. 

434
00:21:37,990 --> 00:21:40,950
You'd maybe be more bullish if 
it was like DJ Moore on an 

435
00:21:40,950 --> 00:21:44,440
island with Justin Fields. 
But like the fact that like, oh,

436
00:21:44,440 --> 00:21:47,320
Mooney is like this guy who's 
earned targets and Chase 

437
00:21:47,320 --> 00:21:51,280
Claypool is this total unknown 
and they have Cole Command who 

438
00:21:51,280 --> 00:21:53,240
they're gonna run up there for 
90% of the snaps. 

439
00:21:53,240 --> 00:21:56,520
Like I Sam, I do agree, like it 
definitely has been forgotten 

440
00:21:56,520 --> 00:22:00,320
that Fields was this like Uber 
talented he he was not drafted 

441
00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:02,240
to run for 1000 yards as a 
quarterback. 

442
00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,320
This is not like an Anthony 
Richardson situation. 

443
00:22:04,850 --> 00:22:07,490
I guess with Fields too, though,
it's not so much an indictment 

444
00:22:07,490 --> 00:22:11,130
that like, like, I'm not saying 
Fields sucks and can't pass, but

445
00:22:11,130 --> 00:22:14,170
I'm saying they're not going to 
call a lot of past plays, right?

446
00:22:14,210 --> 00:22:17,290
And he takes a lot of sacks and 
he scrambles a lot. 

447
00:22:17,450 --> 00:22:21,210
Like those things are who he is.
Like, not even necessarily like 

448
00:22:21,210 --> 00:22:25,090
those the it's just hard to get 
to the past attempts even if he 

449
00:22:25,090 --> 00:22:27,650
is good. 
Yes, yeah. 

450
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:30,480
Yeah. 
And I just think you know not 

451
00:22:30,480 --> 00:22:32,160
not to pick on this comment in 
the chat. 

452
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,800
You know he's making the 
comparison to to Diggs and 

453
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:36,080
people are making the comparison
to A.J. 

454
00:22:36,080 --> 00:22:37,640
Brown. 
Like I think that's the problem.

455
00:22:37,640 --> 00:22:41,200
Guys like DJ Moore is not in the
same tier of wide receive. 

456
00:22:41,320 --> 00:22:45,320
Even Diggs in Minnesota like 
looked way better by Harmon's 

457
00:22:45,320 --> 00:22:48,040
like chartings like Harmon, you 
know likes more and you know the

458
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:52,320
advanced metrics like more but 
it's not the same tier as Digg. 

459
00:22:52,320 --> 00:22:53,680
Yeah, it's like it's it's a 
stretch. 

460
00:22:53,720 --> 00:22:56,870
It's like. 
Like we we were on Diggs. 

461
00:22:56,910 --> 00:22:58,990
So like it's not like we're not 
aware of this stuff. 

462
00:22:58,990 --> 00:23:02,070
Can't like, like, I think like 
Davis, we had a silver bullet 

463
00:23:02,070 --> 00:23:04,150
team that almost won that year 
with Josh Allen and David. 

464
00:23:04,190 --> 00:23:06,550
Diggs was also a like a sixth 
round pick that year. 

465
00:23:06,550 --> 00:23:08,550
He he switched teams, right? 
Like, wasn't he like? 

466
00:23:08,630 --> 00:23:10,030
Yeah, yeah. 
But that was a I had. 

467
00:23:10,070 --> 00:23:12,590
I had Josh Allen. 
I had Josh Allen and Diggs. 

468
00:23:12,670 --> 00:23:13,830
That was a different time. 
Yeah. 

469
00:23:13,870 --> 00:23:14,350
That's true. 
Yeah. 

470
00:23:14,350 --> 00:23:16,430
Yeah. 
It's probably similar wide 

471
00:23:16,430 --> 00:23:19,070
receiver range that DJ Moore is 
going out and like. 

472
00:23:19,070 --> 00:23:21,910
The comparison to the Hurt stuff
too, to me is like Wild too. 

473
00:23:21,910 --> 00:23:23,510
Like it's just it's not to say 
like. 

474
00:23:24,690 --> 00:23:26,530
It's not the same. 
All right, let's. 

475
00:23:26,610 --> 00:23:29,330
Move on. 
I think I don't know if I if I 

476
00:23:29,330 --> 00:23:35,410
was I'm happy now to basically 
take none but I have 11% so I'm 

477
00:23:35,410 --> 00:23:38,810
gonna maybe I'll float down to 
7% or something by the end of 

478
00:23:38,810 --> 00:23:42,050
the summer and I think I I'm 
perfectly happy. 

479
00:23:42,050 --> 00:23:44,010
Like I'll be very pleased with 
the way I played it. 

480
00:23:44,450 --> 00:23:48,810
If I was in your guys shoes like
and I saw DJ Moore in the middle

481
00:23:48,810 --> 00:23:52,770
of the 4th, I probably take some
because I do think he's got the 

482
00:23:52,770 --> 00:23:56,550
potential to. 
Combine the best, you know, the 

483
00:23:56,550 --> 00:23:59,590
best quarterback play that he's 
ever had, a clear number one in 

484
00:23:59,590 --> 00:24:03,910
an offense and Justin feels 
takes a step forward and like 

485
00:24:04,550 --> 00:24:08,270
you really couldn't take him 
over Christian Watson, you just,

486
00:24:08,270 --> 00:24:09,510
you couldn't do that, you know, 
Right? 

487
00:24:09,910 --> 00:24:12,350
Like, yeah, I mean, based on 
that, I guess in big Packers 

488
00:24:12,630 --> 00:24:14,710
they play. 
Prerequisites, you know. 

489
00:24:15,750 --> 00:24:18,390
Yeah, but I think he pays off 
pretty nicely. 

490
00:24:19,120 --> 00:24:21,840
At the middle of the 4th if he. 
Like all three of those things 

491
00:24:21,840 --> 00:24:24,440
could happen and he'll just be 
like, OK, that that's why. 

492
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:26,480
That's the part I don't, I don't
agree. 

493
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,840
I think you're going to be very 
happy with a fourth round 

494
00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:32,840
receiver who is a clear number 
one and his quarterbacks to step

495
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:34,760
forward cuz they're going to 
throw more if that happens. 

496
00:24:35,480 --> 00:24:36,920
I'm projecting. 
They better. 

497
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:41,120
I mean they better. 
I'm protecting to throw like way

498
00:24:41,120 --> 00:24:44,760
more already. 
So yeah, but what do you have 

499
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:46,280
his target chair? 
Probably something reasonable, 

500
00:24:46,280 --> 00:24:49,920
right? 
25%, probably like 25% with like

501
00:24:49,960 --> 00:24:54,480
a ceiling of like 30%. 
Well, in that ceiling outcome, 

502
00:24:54,480 --> 00:24:57,480
you see he's not, he's not 
paying off pretty easily 30%. 

503
00:24:57,640 --> 00:24:59,920
Oh, I'm sure he is. 
But like when you mix like the 

504
00:24:59,920 --> 00:25:06,160
bats on, like, yeah, yeah, but 
like just the mouth is so 

505
00:25:06,160 --> 00:25:09,560
against him in targets like it's
hard to even like, I mean for 

506
00:25:09,560 --> 00:25:15,200
him to like he might have like 
100 targets like, oh God. 

507
00:25:17,540 --> 00:25:20,820
I mean look, I mean that is that
is so, that is so dire. 

508
00:25:21,500 --> 00:25:24,860
Yeah, it's not good. 
Yeah, maybe. 

509
00:25:24,980 --> 00:25:25,860
Maybe. 
I'm off on that. 

510
00:25:25,860 --> 00:25:31,820
But I mean, no, no 100 target 
season for him could be a 30% 

511
00:25:31,820 --> 00:25:34,340
target. 
I mean that's point that's 25% 

512
00:25:34,500 --> 00:25:37,460
of 400. 
So, like, it's it's not really 

513
00:25:37,460 --> 00:25:40,220
that far off, yeah. 
Justin Fields's passing line 

514
00:25:40,220 --> 00:25:42,780
last year was not that much 
better than Cooper Cups 

515
00:25:42,780 --> 00:25:52,650
receiving line in 2021. 
I'm that serious, Leone, That is

516
00:25:53,050 --> 00:25:56,330
people, people say, we people 
say, people say Leone has his 

517
00:25:56,330 --> 00:25:57,850
nose buried too far in the 
spreadsheets. 

518
00:25:57,850 --> 00:26:02,050
But that is, that is evidence of
just a sharp analytical mind, 

519
00:26:02,050 --> 00:26:03,690
right? 
It is about once in a while. 

520
00:26:05,290 --> 00:26:06,810
Let's move on to Darren Waller 
here. 

521
00:26:07,490 --> 00:26:12,570
He's also kind of a just 
preseason hype highlights. 

522
00:26:12,950 --> 00:26:15,310
Riser to some extent. 
It's not like we learned new 

523
00:26:15,310 --> 00:26:20,430
information about his role. 
I am kind of out on him at this 

524
00:26:20,430 --> 00:26:24,950
rising ADP just to age concerns 
like I am chasing, I'm chasing. 

525
00:26:24,950 --> 00:26:25,830
You're chasing. 
Yeah. 

526
00:26:25,870 --> 00:26:28,910
I mean, I see the ceiling. 
I see the ceiling on the target 

527
00:26:28,910 --> 00:26:32,390
share. 
I can see how he is just the 

528
00:26:32,390 --> 00:26:34,350
Giants clear number one wide 
receiver. 

529
00:26:34,350 --> 00:26:36,470
I think he'll play in the slot. 
I think he'll play on the 

530
00:26:36,470 --> 00:26:37,910
outside. 
They'll kind of move him around 

531
00:26:37,910 --> 00:26:41,730
and ski stuff for him, but. 
For months we've known this, but

532
00:26:41,730 --> 00:26:46,290
this is so the the the ADP 
change is just, you know, I mean

533
00:26:46,290 --> 00:26:49,010
it's it's that old fantasy adage
like, oh, I gotta see it, you 

534
00:26:49,010 --> 00:26:50,290
know. 
And now people have seen it. 

535
00:26:50,290 --> 00:26:53,130
They've seen that all this stuff
that the guys at training camp, 

536
00:26:53,130 --> 00:26:56,450
you know, there was that there 
was that story that the the 

537
00:26:56,450 --> 00:26:59,050
giant sent him home from 
practice one day because Daniel 

538
00:26:59,050 --> 00:27:01,460
Jones wouldn't throw to anyone 
else in practice. 

539
00:27:01,460 --> 00:27:03,580
And then we saw it in the game 
and everyone's like, oh shit, 

540
00:27:03,580 --> 00:27:06,140
it's, it's real. 
And then the other thing with 

541
00:27:06,140 --> 00:27:08,780
Waller is that people have been 
so snake bitten with him. 

542
00:27:08,780 --> 00:27:11,580
I think that was a huge part of 
why he was so cheap to begin 

543
00:27:11,580 --> 00:27:13,980
with. 
Is that every, like everyone's 

544
00:27:13,980 --> 00:27:17,380
got a Darren Waller story, like 
oh, I drafted this great team, I

545
00:27:17,380 --> 00:27:19,700
got a sick value on Darren 
Waller and then I just held him 

546
00:27:19,700 --> 00:27:22,340
on the bench forever and he did 
nothing, you know, or whatever. 

547
00:27:22,580 --> 00:27:25,180
He still. 
Kyle Pitts last year, Davis, 

548
00:27:26,660 --> 00:27:29,100
just say just say no because I 
think we had a bet on that one. 

549
00:27:31,540 --> 00:27:33,580
No, I think you and I had a bet 
on that one lately. 

550
00:27:35,540 --> 00:27:37,580
I'm pretty indifferent on Waller
right now. 

551
00:27:37,580 --> 00:27:39,260
I don't know. 
It seems fine, like Pat was 

552
00:27:39,260 --> 00:27:41,300
making a good point about like 
the correlation stuff. 

553
00:27:41,300 --> 00:27:43,620
Like, I really do like Daniel 
Jones at Bell. 

554
00:27:43,700 --> 00:27:46,740
Used to like, yeah. 
To just structurally take like 

555
00:27:46,740 --> 00:27:49,900
elite tight end and know you can
get Daniel Jones at good. 

556
00:27:49,900 --> 00:27:51,700
Stack seems like I was doing 
that a lot. 

557
00:27:52,250 --> 00:27:54,810
When he was in the 7th, I would 
do that a lot like I'd be like, 

558
00:27:54,850 --> 00:27:57,810
oh sweet, I'll just take and you
have Cooper Cup and then you'd 

559
00:27:57,810 --> 00:28:00,690
reach for Dan for at the time, 
reach for Darren Waller a little

560
00:28:00,690 --> 00:28:03,410
bit in the you know, like the 
704 or whatever. 

561
00:28:03,890 --> 00:28:05,690
Then you go back and get Jones. 
It was a lot of fun. 

562
00:28:06,050 --> 00:28:07,810
But this new price is nuts to 
me. 

563
00:28:09,490 --> 00:28:11,010
Yeah, you do. 
You do have to take him here. 

564
00:28:11,010 --> 00:28:15,410
I don't know over some nuts but.
It's definitely he went in FFPC 

565
00:28:15,410 --> 00:28:18,330
main slow that I'm in right now.
He went in the third round, like

566
00:28:18,330 --> 00:28:19,490
middle of the third, so he's 
definitely. 

567
00:28:19,490 --> 00:28:21,250
I haven't seen him not go in the
third round. 

568
00:28:22,380 --> 00:28:28,020
Yeah, if you was, it's. 
Been two years of kind of poor 

569
00:28:28,020 --> 00:28:30,460
performance from, I mean, mostly
due to injury, like you can 

570
00:28:30,460 --> 00:28:34,380
chalk it up to injury, but it 
has been since 2020 that he's 

571
00:28:34,380 --> 00:28:36,820
really been good. 
So yeah. 

572
00:28:38,060 --> 00:28:40,740
Like, like as a market, like 
you're weighing the risk reward.

573
00:28:40,780 --> 00:28:44,380
And like, early on it was like, 
oh, people don't realize that 

574
00:28:44,380 --> 00:28:47,230
like Waller. 
Can get down the field and it's 

575
00:28:47,230 --> 00:28:48,630
gonna be like the wide receiver 
one. 

576
00:28:48,630 --> 00:28:51,070
And now it's like people have 
totally forgotten what you said,

577
00:28:51,070 --> 00:28:53,390
Sam, That like, yes, I've been 
good for a couple years and he's

578
00:28:53,390 --> 00:28:58,670
kind of older, like. 
Yeah, the thing with him too, my

579
00:28:58,670 --> 00:29:02,550
last point on on Waller is just 
if the Giants wide, like I do 

580
00:29:02,550 --> 00:29:05,670
want exposure to Daniel Jones. 
So if the market was forcing me 

581
00:29:05,670 --> 00:29:09,470
to pay a premium for Jalen 
Hyatt, Darius Layton, Isaiah 

582
00:29:09,470 --> 00:29:12,310
Hodgins, then I think I would 
capitulate and take some Waller 

583
00:29:12,310 --> 00:29:15,190
cuz I want some Jones stacks. 
But man, those wide receivers 

584
00:29:15,190 --> 00:29:16,940
are just. 
Completely free. 

585
00:29:16,940 --> 00:29:20,180
So I do understand like it can 
be Week 17 and and Waller is the

586
00:29:20,180 --> 00:29:21,900
guy and not those wide 
receivers. 

587
00:29:21,900 --> 00:29:25,180
But just like cost adjusted, I'm
just like, man, let me let me 

588
00:29:25,180 --> 00:29:29,100
stack up two of those wide 
receivers for nothing and pass 

589
00:29:29,100 --> 00:29:33,260
on Waller. 
Look, I will eventually have 

590
00:29:33,260 --> 00:29:38,620
probably like 25% Darren Waller 
because in two years everyone's 

591
00:29:38,620 --> 00:29:41,830
going to be like he's dust. 
And he's going to be an 18 

592
00:29:41,910 --> 00:29:44,430
round. 
And yeah, and it's like, yeah, 

593
00:29:44,430 --> 00:29:46,550
but he's a big wide receiver, 
place tight ends. 

594
00:29:46,590 --> 00:29:49,030
And he still can do that even 
though he's going to, you know, 

595
00:29:49,030 --> 00:29:51,670
get a rotational usage now 
because he's because he's old. 

596
00:29:52,070 --> 00:29:56,030
But at this, I don't want to be 
in on the guy who's got a rising

597
00:29:56,030 --> 00:30:01,630
price, who wasn't good in 2021, 
like leaving aside 2022. 

598
00:30:01,630 --> 00:30:04,110
And he had this really deep a 
dot and was kind of used to like

599
00:30:04,110 --> 00:30:07,270
clear space for Devonte Adams. 
And I mean that's that's a big 

600
00:30:07,270 --> 00:30:11,450
red flag in its own right, but. 
20/21 was also a down year and 

601
00:30:11,450 --> 00:30:14,450
he turns 31 in September and 
he's dealt with the number of 

602
00:30:14,810 --> 00:30:16,610
soft tissue injuries over the 
course of his career. 

603
00:30:16,610 --> 00:30:19,970
Like this just strikes me as a 
very fragile, like elite tight 

604
00:30:19,970 --> 00:30:23,210
end is already kind of a lower 
advance rate, more of a playoff 

605
00:30:23,210 --> 00:30:25,450
bet. 
But if it's a playoff bet and 

606
00:30:25,450 --> 00:30:27,530
I'm taking an older player, that
also worries me. 

607
00:30:28,130 --> 00:30:31,770
So brutal for my pro I I was 
just checking stuff this morning

608
00:30:31,770 --> 00:30:34,930
and I I did get a little bit of 
cold sweats seeing. 

609
00:30:34,930 --> 00:30:37,570
I had just didn't realize how 
much Kyle Pitts I had. 

610
00:30:37,770 --> 00:30:43,730
Seeing $997.00 of entry fees 
associated with Kyle Pitts just 

611
00:30:43,730 --> 00:30:46,970
to this point, with a lot more 
drafts left to go, is like kind 

612
00:30:46,970 --> 00:30:50,850
of making me feel feverish that 
that's a lot of it's a lot of 

613
00:30:50,850 --> 00:30:53,410
Kyle Pitts. 
I have stopped taking Rashad 

614
00:30:53,410 --> 00:30:57,890
Penny but every time I I refresh
my my exposures to he goes out. 

615
00:30:57,930 --> 00:31:03,890
He's still at the top. 
It's the slow drafts where you 

616
00:31:03,890 --> 00:31:05,330
took him a month. 
It's the slow draft. 

617
00:31:06,090 --> 00:31:09,920
That's finishing up. 
I actually didn't realize what 

618
00:31:09,920 --> 00:31:11,600
it was until now. 
You're right, it's all my. 

619
00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:13,760
I have Pat. 
I have that same problem. 

620
00:31:13,760 --> 00:31:18,040
I keep trying to get Penny off 
the top of my exposure list, but

621
00:31:18,120 --> 00:31:20,640
he just keeps. 
You can't get him off there. 

622
00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:22,720
It's brutal. 
I got a little bit of, I got a 

623
00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:26,600
little bit of alpha here before 
we move on to to do spawn on 

624
00:31:26,600 --> 00:31:30,640
draftking slow drafts. 
So when you enter them, that's 

625
00:31:30,640 --> 00:31:34,200
the ADP and the ranks that stays
in that individual draft. 

626
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:37,080
So I just entered like, let's 
say you entered 10 slow drafts 

627
00:31:37,080 --> 00:31:39,360
on Monday. 
It is Monday. 

628
00:31:39,440 --> 00:31:42,840
You enter tensile drafts today. 
Whatever ADP changes happen over

629
00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:45,520
the next 10 days will not be 
reflected inside of that. 

630
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:48,400
So you're drafting off of stale 
ADP. 

631
00:31:48,400 --> 00:31:50,680
So that's just something to keep
in mind as you're doing the 

632
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:54,400
DraftKings drafts. 
Draftking slows are a nightmare 

633
00:31:54,400 --> 00:31:57,360
and I won't do them. 
I'm in 31 right now. 

634
00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:04,640
Been 26. 
I feel like the $10 ones like 

635
00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:09,200
it's so plus EV that like if I 
auto's got half the rounds I. 

636
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:13,280
Have That's the only way I have 
a chance of finishing the $10 to

637
00:32:13,280 --> 00:32:16,680
do the slows, so I might do it. 
Could you just put in like ETR 

638
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:21,210
ranks and auto draft? 
You gotta I still don't know 

639
00:32:21,210 --> 00:32:23,850
where to adjust my positional 
settings on DraftKings. 

640
00:32:23,850 --> 00:32:25,770
You gotta adjust something there
cuz I ended up like 4 

641
00:32:25,770 --> 00:32:27,850
quarterbacks on a team or 
something like I ought to draft 

642
00:32:27,850 --> 00:32:31,130
when I was in Italy. 
I I'm gonna do that on drafters.

643
00:32:31,130 --> 00:32:35,330
I'm gonna I'm gonna upload ranks
and just and set click enable 

644
00:32:35,330 --> 00:32:37,810
auto pick to fire cuz I won't be
able to finish. 

645
00:32:37,890 --> 00:32:41,010
I did the star trick on and 
sometimes like, you don't know 

646
00:32:41,010 --> 00:32:43,450
how far, how far down to go on 
the stars. 

647
00:32:43,450 --> 00:32:46,250
So I did like a Bears Falcons 
thing and I went all the way 

648
00:32:46,250 --> 00:32:47,530
down. 
I starred Matt Collins. 

649
00:32:48,090 --> 00:32:50,290
So I got to the level Round 8. 
Matt Collins. 

650
00:32:50,570 --> 00:32:53,530
Yeah well I got no, so I'm in 
round 20 and I had Anthony 

651
00:32:53,530 --> 00:32:56,490
Richardson and I was like oh, I 
actually could use another tight

652
00:32:56,490 --> 00:32:58,290
end. 
So I'm gonna get Jelani Woods. 

653
00:32:58,290 --> 00:33:00,770
But Matt Collins was higher in 
the queue so I was like going to

654
00:33:00,770 --> 00:33:03,770
change the queue and I didn't 
succeed. 

655
00:33:04,250 --> 00:33:06,810
So now I'm just like stuck with 
Matt Collins in my 20 drop pick.

656
00:33:07,250 --> 00:33:10,050
But the DraftKings positional 
limits, I don't know how they 

657
00:33:10,050 --> 00:33:12,250
work but they gave me Jelani 
Woods. 

658
00:33:12,250 --> 00:33:13,730
They wouldn't let me auto Matt 
Collins. 

659
00:33:13,730 --> 00:33:15,570
So. 
Thank you for DraftKings, the 

660
00:33:15,570 --> 00:33:18,750
positional limits are. 
I don't even know where to 

661
00:33:18,750 --> 00:33:20,390
change them. 
I don't know. 

662
00:33:20,390 --> 00:33:23,390
I only have like 7 receivers and
they were like that's enough. 

663
00:33:23,750 --> 00:33:25,590
That's enough. 
Yeah, they're way too low on 

664
00:33:25,590 --> 00:33:27,710
like running back, wide 
receiver, The positions you want

665
00:33:27,710 --> 00:33:30,230
to draft the most, that's. 
So brutal bunch. 

666
00:33:30,590 --> 00:33:33,310
They're a bunch of like, you 
know, you draft like Will Levis 

667
00:33:33,310 --> 00:33:36,070
and Trey Lance in the 20th. 
Round, yeah. 

668
00:33:38,350 --> 00:33:40,790
Well, anyways, let's let's move 
on here. 

669
00:33:40,790 --> 00:33:42,470
James Cook. 
Leoni. 

670
00:33:42,470 --> 00:33:46,030
The Bills Homer in the house. 
Are you chasing up this, this 

671
00:33:46,030 --> 00:33:48,450
James Cook's team? 
I don't know. 

672
00:33:48,450 --> 00:33:52,650
Initially I was not. 
I I'm a little worried that, 

673
00:33:52,650 --> 00:33:57,130
like, I just don't know what the
workload, you know, potential 

674
00:33:57,130 --> 00:34:00,090
for him really truly is. 
I was drafting a ton of him 

675
00:34:00,090 --> 00:34:04,090
early in the offseason, but I 
know Levitan likes him a lot. 

676
00:34:04,090 --> 00:34:07,210
I know Gretsch called him a 
target, even with his ADP 

677
00:34:07,210 --> 00:34:09,730
rising. 
So maybe there's more there than

678
00:34:09,730 --> 00:34:12,489
I'm seeing. 
I'm just a little concerned that

679
00:34:13,170 --> 00:34:15,969
where he's going, he just can't 
see the. 

680
00:34:16,590 --> 00:34:18,909
I guess the opportunity cost 
isn't huge at running back 

681
00:34:18,909 --> 00:34:21,070
there. 
So this is my question and I'm 

682
00:34:21,070 --> 00:34:24,110
pretty like indifferent. 
This is my question to you. 

683
00:34:24,909 --> 00:34:28,030
Let's say this role that he's 
had in the preseason, which is 

684
00:34:28,030 --> 00:34:31,110
like super bullish, remains in 
the regular season. 

685
00:34:31,389 --> 00:34:35,630
Like theoretically James Cook 
with 70% of the touches, both 

686
00:34:35,630 --> 00:34:38,550
carries and targets out of this 
backfield for the Bills. 

687
00:34:39,110 --> 00:34:42,630
How valuable is that, right? 
Is it like I? 

688
00:34:42,710 --> 00:34:46,250
Mean You're taking him? 
Earlier than where he's going 

689
00:34:46,250 --> 00:34:50,370
now, if that's for sure. 
But the thing, so the thing 

690
00:34:50,370 --> 00:34:53,330
that's a little bit weird 
though, and I remember this from

691
00:34:53,330 --> 00:34:56,850
doing stat chasing last year, is
that you would see these weeks 

692
00:34:56,850 --> 00:35:01,250
where Devin Singletary would get
70% snap rate, like run a bunch 

693
00:35:01,250 --> 00:35:05,170
of routes and it was still worth
like no fantasy point like the 

694
00:35:05,170 --> 00:35:07,770
Bills, just structurally just 
like don't. 

695
00:35:08,220 --> 00:35:10,820
Really do much with their 
running backs, even if they're 

696
00:35:10,820 --> 00:35:12,820
out there running routes, you 
know, maybe James Cook, I think 

697
00:35:12,820 --> 00:35:15,180
is a better pass catcher, you 
know, route runner than Devon 

698
00:35:15,180 --> 00:35:16,580
Singletary. 
So maybe things can change. 

699
00:35:16,580 --> 00:35:19,460
But you know, with the addition 
of Dalton Kincaid, with the 

700
00:35:19,460 --> 00:35:21,900
addition of Deontay Hardy, I 
think actually like the tight 

701
00:35:21,900 --> 00:35:24,260
ends and wide receivers are 
better now. 

702
00:35:24,260 --> 00:35:26,260
So like, are they really, is 
this the year they're gonna use 

703
00:35:26,260 --> 00:35:27,540
the running backs in the passing
game? 

704
00:35:27,540 --> 00:35:29,580
Like we haven't seen it for two 
years. 

705
00:35:29,580 --> 00:35:32,580
So that's where I'm like, if 
James Cook, even if he's out 

706
00:35:32,580 --> 00:35:36,060
there a bunch, like I think 
we're overrating it slightly. 

707
00:35:36,060 --> 00:35:39,340
And I do think. 
Either Damian Harris or Latavius

708
00:35:39,340 --> 00:35:41,580
Murray is going to be the goal 
line back. 

709
00:35:52,100 --> 00:35:55,580
When, to your point too, about 
Singletary, when he did finally 

710
00:35:55,580 --> 00:35:58,340
hit that ceiling for a stretch, 
they were just running the ball 

711
00:35:58,340 --> 00:36:01,380
super efficiently and like kind 
of grinding and like, I don't 

712
00:36:01,380 --> 00:36:03,940
know if he would get the carries
that Singletary got in that 

713
00:36:03,940 --> 00:35:43,540
stretch. 
Like I don't think Cook is going

714
00:35:43,540 --> 00:35:45,380
to win that over one of those 
two guys. 

715
00:35:45,380 --> 00:35:48,660
So to me it's like I I just 
think it could be a lot of empty

716
00:35:48,660 --> 00:35:49,660
snaps. 
Like we've seen that with the 

717
00:35:49,660 --> 00:35:51,940
Bills running backs for two 
years in a row, so. 

718
00:36:04,420 --> 00:36:06,260
Like, I'm pretty skeptical he 
would. 

719
00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:08,280
No. 
It's a bit of a leap of faith 

720
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:11,440
that they're gonna use the 
running back more in the passing

721
00:36:11,440 --> 00:36:13,560
game. 
And I think it's not that far of

722
00:36:13,560 --> 00:36:17,520
a leap because yeah, Singletary 
sucks as a receiver like he is 

723
00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:20,440
not even he's not even gonna be 
the Texans third down back it's 

724
00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:23,920
it's hilarious like they they're
gonna have he was like a passing

725
00:36:23,920 --> 00:36:26,920
down back for the Bills and 
they're gonna have like Dari, 

726
00:36:26,920 --> 00:36:29,400
Gumba, Wally or something play 
third down steps and Singletary 

727
00:36:29,400 --> 00:36:30,800
just like an early down back up 
there. 

728
00:36:31,960 --> 00:36:34,040
So the fact they didn't use him 
in the passing game just like 

729
00:36:34,040 --> 00:36:35,280
indicates they know what they're
doing. 

730
00:36:35,890 --> 00:36:38,450
And they they tried to get Janie
Mckissick right. 

731
00:36:38,610 --> 00:36:40,810
Remember, they tried to sign him
and Washington signs him back. 

732
00:36:41,010 --> 00:36:43,810
They traded for Nihem Hines. 
They drafted James Cook in the 

733
00:36:43,810 --> 00:36:46,130
second round. 
They've signaled in a number of 

734
00:36:46,130 --> 00:36:50,130
different ways that they would 
like to have a back who can do 

735
00:36:50,130 --> 00:36:51,570
something for them in the 
receiving game. 

736
00:36:51,970 --> 00:36:54,810
And that could be part of, like 
them trying to punish these 

737
00:36:54,810 --> 00:36:57,770
defenses for, you know, sitting 
back and and playing too high on

738
00:36:57,770 --> 00:36:59,890
them like they they are 
definitely one of those teams 

739
00:36:59,890 --> 00:37:01,770
that needs to come up with with 
solutions for that. 

740
00:37:01,770 --> 00:37:03,410
So I think Kincaid goes to that 
too. 

741
00:37:03,410 --> 00:37:04,650
So they get more power 
personnel. 

742
00:37:05,200 --> 00:37:09,280
So the the receiving side of it 
is easier for me to like, Yes, I

743
00:37:09,280 --> 00:37:12,280
don't, I haven't seen it before,
but like we have lots of 

744
00:37:12,280 --> 00:37:14,960
evidence. 
In addition, you know when you 

745
00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:17,320
look at James Cook and what his 
skill set is like, he looks like

746
00:37:17,320 --> 00:37:20,400
an exciting receiver. 
So you know that part of it I 

747
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:23,120
get, I do worry about how many 
touchdowns he could 

748
00:37:23,120 --> 00:37:25,640
realistically score. 
You know that's that's for 

749
00:37:25,640 --> 00:37:27,880
specifically for under ugh. 
That is what I'm worried about. 

750
00:37:27,880 --> 00:37:31,320
I think DraftKings full PPR, 
like you could tell me he has a 

751
00:37:31,320 --> 00:37:34,280
50 catch season or whatever or a
60 catch season. 

752
00:37:34,740 --> 00:37:37,780
Especially if the cover high the
the the two high safeties 

753
00:37:37,780 --> 00:37:41,700
continues to be a problem. 
But like projecting A12 

754
00:37:41,700 --> 00:37:44,940
touchdown season for a Bills 
running back, I mean they would 

755
00:37:44,940 --> 00:37:48,660
really have to commit to this 
you know Josh doesn't get to run

756
00:37:48,940 --> 00:37:51,020
around the goal line type stuff,
which he might. 

757
00:37:51,020 --> 00:37:54,460
He might just be like, sorry 
dude, I'm calling my own number.

758
00:37:55,140 --> 00:37:56,540
The other thing that concerns 
me? 

759
00:37:57,660 --> 00:37:59,460
Like, if you look at them 
historically with backs, they 

760
00:37:59,460 --> 00:38:01,820
haven't really been great and 
what they've done in terms of 

761
00:38:01,820 --> 00:38:04,460
drafting them and utilizing 
them, like they've spent a lot 

762
00:38:04,460 --> 00:38:07,220
of draft capital on running 
backs over the years and they 

763
00:38:07,220 --> 00:38:08,980
did want to bring him the 
Kissick and Heinz. 

764
00:38:08,980 --> 00:38:11,740
But the Bills are a team that 
will bring players in for like 

765
00:38:11,740 --> 00:38:15,260
really specific things like. 
So I don't know if that signals 

766
00:38:15,260 --> 00:38:17,620
that they want to throw to the 
running back a lot or they just 

767
00:38:17,620 --> 00:38:20,340
want to have that type of 
running back for like specific 

768
00:38:20,340 --> 00:38:22,380
situations, if that makes sense.
I don't know if I'm like, 

769
00:38:22,380 --> 00:38:23,780
articulating that right, but 
like. 

770
00:38:24,400 --> 00:38:26,920
So like, like Heinz, they barely
played after they traded for, 

771
00:38:26,920 --> 00:38:30,120
right. 
Like, and I could see a 

772
00:38:30,120 --> 00:38:34,080
situation where the base game 
plan is not to throw a ball to 

773
00:38:34,080 --> 00:38:35,800
James Cook. 
They just want to have that 

774
00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:38,560
option for like a few plays a 
game here and there. 

775
00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:41,760
Yeah, But I I mean, I I mean, 
it's it's ultimately like an 

776
00:38:41,760 --> 00:38:43,680
explosive player on a really 
good offense. 

777
00:38:43,680 --> 00:38:47,040
So, like, I get it, but I'm a 
little bit worried, yeah. 

778
00:38:47,920 --> 00:38:50,000
Yeah, I forget who made this 
call, but I think it was maybe 

779
00:38:50,360 --> 00:38:52,920
the Ringer Fantasy Football Show
that I was listening to and. 

780
00:38:53,570 --> 00:38:57,010
They they compared like trying 
to get Josh Allen to use a pass 

781
00:38:57,010 --> 00:38:59,650
catching running back is like 
trying to get your dad to like 

782
00:38:59,650 --> 00:39:01,810
wear the shirt that you bought 
him And he just doesn't like 

783
00:39:01,810 --> 00:39:05,530
like you give your dad some gift
and he's just like keeps wearing

784
00:39:05,530 --> 00:39:07,490
like the same shitty, like you 
know polo. 

785
00:39:07,490 --> 00:39:09,010
He'll do it once many years. 
Yeah. 

786
00:39:11,850 --> 00:39:15,210
Yeah, as a very apt comp. 
Yeah, it's just. 

787
00:39:15,210 --> 00:39:17,450
I'm just skeptical. 
Yeah, I agree with Leonie. 

788
00:39:17,450 --> 00:39:18,890
Put it well. 
Like, good. 

789
00:39:18,970 --> 00:39:20,890
I think A talented player and a 
good offense. 

790
00:39:20,890 --> 00:39:23,610
I'm just like. 
Skeptical of how all the pieces 

791
00:39:23,610 --> 00:39:26,330
come together and Josh Allen 
like all of a sudden starts 

792
00:39:26,330 --> 00:39:27,970
using this pass catching running
back. 

793
00:39:28,450 --> 00:39:31,490
But I I think it's OK. 
It's not completely unreasonable

794
00:39:31,490 --> 00:39:34,250
Steam, I don't think. 
Well, do you think it continues?

795
00:39:34,290 --> 00:39:36,810
Like, do you think he goes? 
Yeah, I think he used to. 

796
00:39:36,810 --> 00:39:40,330
Rise because you. 
Yeah, I do too. 

797
00:39:40,330 --> 00:39:44,490
Because when you look at the 
high stakes ADP, he's quite a 

798
00:39:44,490 --> 00:39:45,890
bit higher than this. 
Yeah. 

799
00:39:45,890 --> 00:39:49,050
And I I think that's an 
indication like of who I took 

800
00:39:49,050 --> 00:39:50,730
him. 
I took him in the sixth round of

801
00:39:50,730 --> 00:39:54,690
a main event. 
I I don't think I can do that. 

802
00:39:54,730 --> 00:39:57,250
I don't think I'm there I. 
Don't think I'm there either. 

803
00:39:58,850 --> 00:40:02,050
And I was like 7. 
Turn, I mean, I was drafting, I 

804
00:40:02,050 --> 00:40:04,490
was drafting with some guys who 
get very nervous about our 

805
00:40:04,490 --> 00:40:07,010
running back to every year we're
like starting like Phillip 

806
00:40:07,010 --> 00:40:09,170
Lindsay at running back to and 
these guys just get really 

807
00:40:09,170 --> 00:40:10,810
nervous. 
So they were like, let's just do

808
00:40:10,810 --> 00:40:12,930
James Cook. 
Yeah, whatever. 

809
00:40:13,490 --> 00:40:16,290
I mean we have them I think in 
the eighth round of a main 

810
00:40:16,290 --> 00:40:19,810
event, which I'm obviously like 
very pleased with, but so I sure

811
00:40:20,330 --> 00:40:22,870
I like. 
I liked him before. 

812
00:40:23,030 --> 00:40:25,110
I'm overweight, I have like 12% 
cook. 

813
00:40:25,110 --> 00:40:28,270
But he's like one of those 
players where like some some of 

814
00:40:28,270 --> 00:40:30,550
these guys we're gonna just 
like, have to say goodbye to, 

815
00:40:30,550 --> 00:40:32,350
right? 
We had a nice July together, but

816
00:40:32,350 --> 00:40:34,910
like we're it's time to move on.
It's a summer. 

817
00:40:34,910 --> 00:40:37,350
It was a summer fling. 
It was a summer fling. 

818
00:40:37,350 --> 00:40:41,950
I mean, I'm probably personally,
I'm swinging on Javante Williams

819
00:40:41,950 --> 00:40:43,070
before. 
Yeah, James. 

820
00:40:43,350 --> 00:40:45,850
Yeah. 
Yeah, and then I mean, I could, 

821
00:40:45,930 --> 00:40:48,010
I'm almost afraid to say, the 
other person I'd rather take 

822
00:40:48,010 --> 00:40:49,210
because you guys will just make 
fun of me. 

823
00:40:49,210 --> 00:40:51,210
But like, I'd rather take David 
Montgomery. 

824
00:40:51,330 --> 00:40:52,690
I knew James. 
I knew no. 

825
00:40:52,690 --> 00:40:55,130
David Montgomery is a good pick.
Don't, don't let these. 

826
00:40:55,130 --> 00:40:56,650
Don't Michael. 
Do not let these guys. 

827
00:40:56,650 --> 00:40:57,930
I'm a little. 
Nervous. 

828
00:40:58,330 --> 00:41:00,530
I'm Montgomery. 
Just like, even Gretch likes him

829
00:41:00,530 --> 00:41:01,850
this year. 
And I'm like, something's up. 

830
00:41:02,930 --> 00:41:06,690
It's because it's because it 
gives us a we are all at our 

831
00:41:06,690 --> 00:41:10,290
core, the people who were doing,
you know, spreadsheets like by 

832
00:41:10,290 --> 00:41:13,810
hand and excel on all this work 
at Rotovis in 2014. 

833
00:41:14,210 --> 00:41:17,010
And one thing we know is that 
running backs who weigh 220 

834
00:41:17,010 --> 00:41:20,090
pounds get more work than 
running backs to weigh 195 

835
00:41:20,090 --> 00:41:22,770
pounds. 
And Jamir Gibbs weighs 195 

836
00:41:22,770 --> 00:41:24,810
pounds. 
David Montgomery weighs 225. 

837
00:41:24,850 --> 00:41:26,210
It's it's really that simple. 
Let. 

838
00:41:26,890 --> 00:41:28,010
Me. 
Take it much, Montgomery. 

839
00:41:28,010 --> 00:41:32,290
But he's he's not that gross 
like he he's he's not priced 

840
00:41:32,530 --> 00:41:33,930
high enough to where I can 
really be. 

841
00:41:33,930 --> 00:41:35,770
Like it's disgusting. 
Yeah, I feel like. 

842
00:41:35,890 --> 00:41:38,410
James Luck should be in between 
like that tier and then when you

843
00:41:38,410 --> 00:41:40,680
get into like. 
I don't know, like Dalvin, 

844
00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:43,600
Rashad White, DeAndre Swift. 
Like I take cook ahead of those 

845
00:41:43,600 --> 00:41:45,280
things. 
Do not put Dalvin in this tier. 

846
00:41:45,280 --> 00:41:46,960
Do not capitulate. 
That's not in that tier. 

847
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,240
Get out of here. 
He's not even in that tier by 

848
00:41:49,240 --> 00:41:51,920
ADP. 
He's in the 90s. 

849
00:41:52,440 --> 00:41:55,720
Yeah, Okay. 
Well, I mean, that's not far. 

850
00:41:55,720 --> 00:41:58,480
I mean, those guys are. 
We'll get to Dalvin. 

851
00:41:58,520 --> 00:41:59,840
We'll talk about Brees and the 
flowers. 

852
00:41:59,840 --> 00:42:01,200
We'll get to the Dalvin 
discussion. 

853
00:42:01,240 --> 00:42:05,590
Let's quickly talk Musgrave. 
This is Steam I'm buying. 

854
00:42:06,230 --> 00:42:08,310
Yeah, you can't get high. 
You can't get him high enough 

855
00:42:08,310 --> 00:42:10,150
for me. 
Yeah I tweeted this out. 

856
00:42:10,150 --> 00:42:13,870
So the route, sorry the the role
looks really good from us Grave,

857
00:42:13,870 --> 00:42:16,990
which I think you can kind of 
think of as the floor for a tie 

858
00:42:16,990 --> 00:42:18,870
down. 
He's run nearly all the routes, 

859
00:42:18,870 --> 00:42:21,390
played nearly all the snaps with
Green Bay starters. 

860
00:42:21,590 --> 00:42:23,750
Even if you think that regresses
a little bit once we get like 

861
00:42:23,750 --> 00:42:26,470
full games, like it still looks 
like a very good role. 

862
00:42:26,910 --> 00:42:30,910
And then he's earned 5 targets 
on 17 preseason routes. 

863
00:42:30,910 --> 00:42:33,350
Again, very small sample but 
like. 

864
00:42:33,850 --> 00:42:36,170
Like, I think we're seeing 
everything we want to see from 

865
00:42:36,170 --> 00:42:38,690
an exciting late round rookie 
tight down. 

866
00:42:38,690 --> 00:42:41,610
He's a freak athlete. 
Obviously his prospect profiles 

867
00:42:41,610 --> 00:42:42,970
like a Little Mix. 
He was injured. 

868
00:42:42,970 --> 00:42:47,810
But man, like, I I don't see why
he goes like 30 picks after La 

869
00:42:47,810 --> 00:42:49,450
Porta. 
Like I would take La Porta over 

870
00:42:49,450 --> 00:42:52,290
him straight up, but I think 
that should be like a very close

871
00:42:53,370 --> 00:42:55,770
grouping there. 
So I'm still buying Musgrave. 

872
00:42:56,090 --> 00:42:58,090
We only curious what you think 
on on Musgrave. 

873
00:42:58,690 --> 00:43:01,050
Yeah, I I'm still buying, but I 
think it's. 

874
00:43:02,300 --> 00:43:04,420
Like James Kirk is just gonna 
keep going up. 

875
00:43:04,660 --> 00:43:06,980
I don't know how it is. 
How long the opportunity is 

876
00:43:06,980 --> 00:43:09,220
gonna last? 
I mean, LaPorte is up to tight 

877
00:43:09,220 --> 00:43:12,260
end 14, I bet. 
I bet Musgrave can get to tight 

878
00:43:12,260 --> 00:43:15,580
end 15, but in like a week. 
Yes. 

879
00:43:15,580 --> 00:43:17,300
OK. 
Couple questions then for for 

880
00:43:17,300 --> 00:43:21,980
people Luke Musgrave or Gerald 
Everett Musgrave? 

881
00:43:22,500 --> 00:43:24,100
Pretend ADP doesn't exist. 
Just. 

882
00:43:24,340 --> 00:43:25,820
I don't know. 
I think I'd probably see Gerald 

883
00:43:25,820 --> 00:43:30,340
that right, but. 
I mean offense. 

884
00:43:30,580 --> 00:43:33,460
I mean the offense. 
The discrepancy in offenses is 

885
00:43:33,460 --> 00:43:36,380
enough for me at A at a the 
tight end position, Everett will

886
00:43:36,380 --> 00:43:37,820
be. 
Everett will be way more 

887
00:43:37,820 --> 00:43:42,780
efficient, but Musgrave has like
he's #5 in the pecking order in 

888
00:43:42,780 --> 00:43:45,500
Chargers targets. 
Probably Musgrave might be #2 in

889
00:43:45,500 --> 00:43:46,940
in. 
Yeah, I guess I just like, I 

890
00:43:46,940 --> 00:43:48,220
don't. 
I don't know, maybe. 

891
00:43:48,220 --> 00:43:52,620
Maybe I'm too bearish on. 
Just like still, like, how many 

892
00:43:52,940 --> 00:43:55,180
targets are rookie tight ends 
going to get? 

893
00:43:55,740 --> 00:43:56,940
Even though like it looks really
good. 

894
00:43:56,940 --> 00:43:58,420
Looks like he has a job. 
I just don't know if that 

895
00:43:58,420 --> 00:44:02,620
translates to just because 
there's if you got if if you got

896
00:44:02,620 --> 00:44:05,980
Kyle Pitts's rookie season, 
which obviously I know is like 

897
00:44:05,980 --> 00:44:07,700
an insane wish casting. 
This is kind. 

898
00:44:07,780 --> 00:44:09,820
Of Season of a Titan ever? 
Yeah, that'd be correct, right? 

899
00:44:09,820 --> 00:44:11,460
So this is like this is like 
90th. 

900
00:44:11,460 --> 00:44:15,380
This is like 90th percentile. 
90th, 90th. 

901
00:44:16,060 --> 00:44:17,700
It wasn't the best. 90th 
percentile. 

902
00:44:17,700 --> 00:44:21,980
They usually keep drafting 
Muskrat, Bronx scored, Bronx 

903
00:44:21,980 --> 00:44:25,230
scored like 11 touchdowns. 
Yeah, Pitts could have one 

904
00:44:25,230 --> 00:44:26,550
touchdown this rookie year. 
It wasn't. 

905
00:44:26,550 --> 00:44:27,950
From a fantasy perspective, it 
wasn't. 

906
00:44:28,190 --> 00:44:31,030
I guess I was just thinking like
the volume of the yards. 1000 

907
00:44:31,030 --> 00:44:33,110
Yards is a rookie. 
The yards, Yeah, yeah. 

908
00:44:33,110 --> 00:44:35,430
But not total points. 
I think it's not alright with 

909
00:44:35,430 --> 00:44:37,110
tight ends. 
It's always gonna be more about 

910
00:44:37,110 --> 00:44:40,830
the touchdowns anyways. 
I don't know. 

911
00:44:40,830 --> 00:44:43,270
So I like. 
Gerald Evers gonna score more 

912
00:44:43,270 --> 00:44:45,630
touchdowns. 
Here's here's my rookie tight 

913
00:44:45,630 --> 00:44:47,070
end rant. 
Like, quickly. 

914
00:44:47,110 --> 00:44:50,150
I I do think, like you talk 
about Muscave's target earning 

915
00:44:50,150 --> 00:44:51,470
Leoni. 
I agree with that. 

916
00:44:51,470 --> 00:44:53,050
Like. 
I'm a little bit skeptical of 

917
00:44:53,050 --> 00:44:55,850
rookie tight ends, but I think 
historically the problem with 

918
00:44:55,850 --> 00:44:59,450
rookie tight ends has not been 
like per route efficiency in 

919
00:44:59,450 --> 00:45:01,330
terms of earning targets. 
It's been that they're always 

920
00:45:01,410 --> 00:45:03,250
blocked. 
They're always blocked by like 

921
00:45:03,250 --> 00:45:06,770
an Austin Hooper type, like 
Chickakoko was last year at Greg

922
00:45:06,770 --> 00:45:09,330
Dulcich was last year. 
Like those guys earned targets 

923
00:45:09,330 --> 00:45:12,050
at a really high rate last year.
They're just barely on the field

924
00:45:12,050 --> 00:45:13,890
because some veteran is blocking
them. 

925
00:45:13,890 --> 00:45:18,570
So I'm actually like, I think I,
you know, I'm a little bit 

926
00:45:18,570 --> 00:45:20,810
fading this narrative that 
rookie tight ends can't. 

927
00:45:21,160 --> 00:45:23,000
Do it. 
I really think it's that has to 

928
00:45:23,000 --> 00:45:26,240
do with some competent blocking 
veteran like blocking them from 

929
00:45:26,240 --> 00:45:29,160
seeing the field more than them 
not being able to catch some 

930
00:45:29,160 --> 00:45:31,240
passes. 
So that's my thought and why I'm

931
00:45:31,240 --> 00:45:32,760
sort of more bullish. 
I also think. 

932
00:45:33,040 --> 00:45:37,160
We also take the. 
If you're gonna make this bet on

933
00:45:37,160 --> 00:45:39,680
a guy and you're like, how many 
targets can really have, are 

934
00:45:39,680 --> 00:45:41,560
they gonna really even pass that
much and all that? 

935
00:45:41,960 --> 00:45:43,680
It is nice that he's a downfield
threat. 

936
00:45:44,120 --> 00:45:46,920
Like that's the role they're 
gonna have him in as a seam 

937
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:47,800
stretcher. 
So it is. 

938
00:45:48,450 --> 00:45:50,810
He's not, I don't think gonna do
what Kyle Pitts did but it's 

939
00:45:51,010 --> 00:45:53,610
somewhat similar. 
We're like they'll probably 

940
00:45:53,610 --> 00:45:58,570
split him out wide like they'll 
they'll like use him downfield a

941
00:45:58,570 --> 00:46:01,650
fair amount. 
Got someone was telling me they 

942
00:46:01,970 --> 00:46:03,490
they were using him on an end 
around. 

943
00:46:04,610 --> 00:46:05,410
Yeah, he's gone. 
This is. 

944
00:46:07,050 --> 00:46:10,330
This is this is Liam because 
Liam Kyle. 

945
00:46:10,330 --> 00:46:13,330
And I wanted to take, we wanted 
to take Hunter Henry instead of 

946
00:46:13,330 --> 00:46:14,770
Luke Musgrave and our main 
event. 

947
00:46:14,810 --> 00:46:16,850
And Liam has like, not let us 
live it down. 

948
00:46:17,830 --> 00:46:19,150
That that is what it was. 
He was. 

949
00:46:19,230 --> 00:46:21,830
I was talking to Liam and he was
like Hunter Henry's never run an

950
00:46:21,830 --> 00:46:26,750
end around his goddamn life. 
Yeah, so yes, Luke Musgrave. 

951
00:46:27,150 --> 00:46:29,870
But the other thing I like about
him, you know, if I didn't have 

952
00:46:30,190 --> 00:46:32,550
any correlation tiebreakers, I'd
probably go Musgrave over 

953
00:46:32,550 --> 00:46:34,910
Everett. 
Just cuz like, I don't think 

954
00:46:34,910 --> 00:46:37,950
Romeo Dobbs is that good. 
Jaden Reed's kind of a whatever 

955
00:46:37,950 --> 00:46:42,070
prospect this is, the total bull
case is that he could see 109 

956
00:46:42,070 --> 00:46:44,950
targets as the second pass 
catcher on the Packers. 

957
00:46:45,390 --> 00:46:48,030
Yeah, it's not just the tight 
end competition, which is broken

958
00:46:48,030 --> 00:46:50,430
heavily in his favor. 
Like Tucker Craft now looks like

959
00:46:50,430 --> 00:46:53,390
the tight end three behind the 
guara, right? 

960
00:46:53,510 --> 00:46:55,470
So. 
To guara Tyler Davis who played 

961
00:46:55,550 --> 00:46:57,990
Tyler Davis who played snaps 
from last year, tours ACL. 

962
00:46:57,990 --> 00:46:59,310
So that was actually sneaky, I 
think. 

963
00:46:59,310 --> 00:47:04,510
Kind of big for for Musgrave. 
I feel like a lot of times I got

964
00:47:04,510 --> 00:47:06,310
heat. 
I get heat with projections of 

965
00:47:06,310 --> 00:47:08,270
like just giving guys volume, 
cuz it's there. 

966
00:47:08,270 --> 00:47:10,150
And I kind of feel like I'm on 
the opposite end of this 

967
00:47:10,150 --> 00:47:12,930
argument, where like. 
I have no dispute that like the 

968
00:47:12,930 --> 00:47:15,610
target opportunities there in 
Green Bay, but like I think 

969
00:47:15,610 --> 00:47:19,090
we're getting a little 
optimistic and well we're we're 

970
00:47:19,090 --> 00:47:21,850
up, we are absolutely getting 
optimistic because he has the 

971
00:47:21,850 --> 00:47:23,410
buzz. 
So that's what your brain wants 

972
00:47:23,410 --> 00:47:25,850
to project is like. 
Sure, if everything goes his 

973
00:47:25,850 --> 00:47:28,930
way, he could see 110 targets. 
He could also see he could play 

974
00:47:28,930 --> 00:47:31,930
all these snaps and see 60. 
In which case all of our 

975
00:47:31,930 --> 00:47:35,370
excitement was worth nothing. 
All right, Leon. 

976
00:47:35,370 --> 00:47:36,650
A couple. 
I'm trying to get see where 

977
00:47:36,650 --> 00:47:38,290
Leonie's out on this. 
Would you take him over? 

978
00:47:38,290 --> 00:47:40,290
Arab Smith? 
Yes. 

979
00:47:41,120 --> 00:47:47,720
That guy Dulcitch. 
I don't know that feels about. 

980
00:47:58,400 --> 00:47:51,040
Fair enough. 
I mean I think he'll get to that

981
00:47:52,200 --> 00:47:53,680
range. 
I don't think he, I don't think 

982
00:47:53,680 --> 00:47:56,080
like he's, I would take ever 
over him, but I don't think it's

983
00:47:56,080 --> 00:48:00,840
like absolutely. 
Yeah I do like I'm not trying to

984
00:48:00,840 --> 00:48:03,160
be anti jailed effort. 
I think he's he's a pretty good 

985
00:48:03,440 --> 00:48:05,280
bet where he goes to last thing 
on Musgrave. 

986
00:48:05,520 --> 00:48:09,560
I was reading about Dan 
Brugler's prospect. 

987
00:48:10,010 --> 00:48:14,090
Profile on the Beast and 
Musgrave's background prior to 

988
00:48:14,090 --> 00:48:19,570
football was in ski racing and 
he talked about how some of his 

989
00:48:19,810 --> 00:48:23,090
moves kind of look like doing 
slalom on the ski course. 

990
00:48:23,090 --> 00:48:25,330
And when I read that I was all 
the way in after that. 

991
00:48:25,330 --> 00:48:30,730
So pretty insane background. 
How have we not gotten that 

992
00:48:30,730 --> 00:48:32,370
nugget till now? 
That's amazing. 

993
00:48:32,890 --> 00:48:36,290
Yeah, he was like really good. 
A total civic Northwest bro. 

994
00:48:36,290 --> 00:48:38,650
He was like a lacrosse player, a
skier. 

995
00:48:38,650 --> 00:48:40,850
Like I'm I'm all in on this much
great thing. 

996
00:48:42,010 --> 00:48:44,050
Let's let's do the briefs Dalvin
thing. 

997
00:48:44,050 --> 00:48:45,690
I think everyone wants to hear 
about that. 

998
00:48:46,290 --> 00:48:50,370
Briefs is down 10 spots. 
Pretty big drop. 

999
00:48:51,450 --> 00:48:52,490
Just yeah. 
Curious. 

1000
00:48:52,770 --> 00:48:55,330
Starting with you Leonie. 
Let's start on the briefs side 

1001
00:48:55,330 --> 00:48:56,890
of this discussion. 
Then maybe we can get to delve 

1002
00:48:56,890 --> 00:48:58,780
in. 
Pick 44. 

1003
00:48:58,780 --> 00:49:02,700
That means Breece is kind of in 
the same range as running backs 

1004
00:49:02,700 --> 00:49:05,460
like Joe Mixon, Naji Harris 
actually slightly after those 

1005
00:49:05,460 --> 00:49:07,900
guys. 
And then with wide receivers 

1006
00:49:07,900 --> 00:49:12,580
like Terry Mclaurin, Mike 
Williams, DeAndre Hopkins, Drake

1007
00:49:12,580 --> 00:49:16,700
London, what is your stance on 
Breece in that range? 

1008
00:49:19,910 --> 00:49:23,630
I think that's about fairly 
valued in that range but anytime

1009
00:49:23,630 --> 00:49:25,990
he slips further than that I'm 
pretty excited to get him and 

1010
00:49:25,990 --> 00:49:28,590
the variants on him's been 
pretty high like on DraftKings 

1011
00:49:28,590 --> 00:49:30,950
you can get him in around 5 a 
lot, which to me is just like 

1012
00:49:31,910 --> 00:49:34,350
absolute auto pick. 
I think in general these running

1013
00:49:34,350 --> 00:49:38,870
backs that fall, I'm not as much
on Ram Andre, but like Jacobs 

1014
00:49:38,910 --> 00:49:41,950
when he was falling like just if
you're drafting these basketball

1015
00:49:41,950 --> 00:49:44,470
tournaments, you can build these
insane teams if you take these 

1016
00:49:44,470 --> 00:49:47,150
running back risks and it's not 
like super high stakes that 

1017
00:49:47,150 --> 00:49:50,050
like. 
I've just been trying to the 

1018
00:49:50,050 --> 00:49:52,530
last week or two like build 
around guys like Breece and 

1019
00:49:52,530 --> 00:49:54,570
those other running backs that 
are falling cuz people are 

1020
00:49:54,570 --> 00:49:59,850
scared. 
Yep, Davis, we only knows the 

1021
00:49:59,850 --> 00:50:02,850
secret, which is that our 
entries are gonna lose anyway. 

1022
00:50:02,850 --> 00:50:05,250
So you might as well try and 
build things that can really 

1023
00:50:05,690 --> 00:50:07,050
think for you when it goes 
right. 

1024
00:50:07,050 --> 00:50:11,520
Like I mean I feel like this is 
a little bit under discussed in 

1025
00:50:11,520 --> 00:50:14,800
in fantasy Twitter Breese 
literally at practice before 

1026
00:50:14,800 --> 00:50:17,360
Dalvin Cook. 
Dalvin Cook has a shoulder 

1027
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:24,560
injury and is having his child 
was born and he has a legit 

1028
00:50:24,560 --> 00:50:26,240
potential domestic violence 
suspension. 

1029
00:50:26,240 --> 00:50:28,800
Now it's probably not going to 
convey based on what I've read 

1030
00:50:31,120 --> 00:50:33,320
and had his worst, had his worst
advance match. 

1031
00:50:33,320 --> 00:50:38,450
So like, really, what it comes 
down to taking Alvin and and 

1032
00:50:38,450 --> 00:50:41,410
letting Breese fall 10 spots in 
a DP right now it's literally 

1033
00:50:41,410 --> 00:50:44,210
just we're getting Aaron Rodgers
the power. 

1034
00:50:44,210 --> 00:50:46,810
We're saying we're saying Aaron 
Rodgers just commands it to be 

1035
00:50:46,810 --> 00:50:49,730
so and therefore it will be so. 
But I mean, I don't know, like 

1036
00:50:50,490 --> 00:50:52,770
Rodgers is not dumb. 
He's going to see these guys in.

1037
00:50:54,290 --> 00:50:57,090
OK, well yeah, he is. 
I mean, this is the same guy who

1038
00:50:57,530 --> 00:51:01,010
completed a, this is the same 
guy who completed 101 yards to 

1039
00:51:01,010 --> 00:51:03,570
Jeff Janis on one drive and then
ran him out because he, like, 

1040
00:51:03,570 --> 00:51:05,730
brought him the wrong type of 
coffee one day or something. 

1041
00:51:05,730 --> 00:51:07,870
So maybe he is. 
Maybe he is. 

1042
00:51:08,310 --> 00:51:11,190
Yeah, but Rogers is also like 40
years old and he's trying to win

1043
00:51:11,190 --> 00:51:14,630
a Super Bowl. 
And you know, maybe he's dumb, 

1044
00:51:14,630 --> 00:51:18,190
but I don't think he's like 
stone cold moron like where he 

1045
00:51:18,190 --> 00:51:23,510
can't see what's in front of him
like for 8-9 weeks at a time. 

1046
00:51:23,510 --> 00:51:27,270
Like eventually if Breese is 
back to 100%, he's going to run 

1047
00:51:27,270 --> 00:51:31,670
circles around Dalvin. 
I will say like I have been 

1048
00:51:31,670 --> 00:51:35,460
surprised. 
That ETN is still so cheap. 

1049
00:51:35,460 --> 00:51:39,780
Like I so hard agree. 
I I've been you know, as I've 

1050
00:51:39,780 --> 00:51:43,300
been looking at what how I play 
this as someone who is very high

1051
00:51:43,300 --> 00:51:45,780
on briefs before the Dalvin Cook
signing and I have a ton of 

1052
00:51:45,780 --> 00:51:48,300
them. 
I would love to be taking briefs

1053
00:51:48,300 --> 00:51:51,340
still cuz now I get this 
discount and I don't mind having

1054
00:51:51,340 --> 00:51:54,620
a really big position on this 
Uber talented young running back

1055
00:51:55,100 --> 00:51:56,820
in the middle rounds. 
But. 

1056
00:51:58,040 --> 00:52:00,240
I'm like, you know, it's kind of
nice that I can actually sit 

1057
00:52:00,240 --> 00:52:02,920
here in the middle of the 4th 
and take ETN and if I'm going to

1058
00:52:02,920 --> 00:52:05,880
try to play for for fifth round 
breeze ever, like that's the way

1059
00:52:05,880 --> 00:52:07,920
I can do it. 
I've been like legitimately 

1060
00:52:07,920 --> 00:52:13,480
shocked that ETN, who has no 
issues with injury, is going to 

1061
00:52:13,480 --> 00:52:15,160
be healthy for the very 
beginning of the season. 

1062
00:52:15,160 --> 00:52:17,000
You don't have to worry about, 
oh, is he going to be a low 

1063
00:52:17,000 --> 00:52:18,880
advance rate player? 
Like if he hits he's he's going 

1064
00:52:18,880 --> 00:52:20,080
to be a high advance rate 
player. 

1065
00:52:20,640 --> 00:52:22,280
I don't really understand why 
he's available. 

1066
00:52:22,280 --> 00:52:24,640
Is it just the is it just the 
Bigsby stuff? 

1067
00:52:24,680 --> 00:52:25,640
I mean, is that? 
Is it really? 

1068
00:52:25,760 --> 00:52:29,680
So yeah, is it just that? 
Yeah, but like to me like mixing

1069
00:52:30,240 --> 00:52:36,000
you know Harris, those guys over
briefs like to me it's get out 

1070
00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:37,160
of here. 
I have no interest in that. 

1071
00:52:37,480 --> 00:52:42,080
But ETN, I think as much as I 
like briefs, I mean it's hard at

1072
00:52:42,080 --> 00:52:45,120
this point to say ETN should go 
behind briefs all. 

1073
00:52:45,720 --> 00:52:47,400
I've had that same thought with.
I really get that. 

1074
00:52:47,720 --> 00:52:49,040
Yeah. 
I've had the same thought with 

1075
00:52:49,080 --> 00:52:51,320
ETN and RAM. 
Andre, I'm like. 

1076
00:52:51,930 --> 00:52:54,730
I guess like from Andre, the 
pass catching up side, you can 

1077
00:52:54,730 --> 00:52:56,570
sell me on that being a lot 
higher. 

1078
00:52:56,570 --> 00:52:58,850
I guess same with Breese, right?
Like those guys have higher pass

1079
00:52:58,850 --> 00:53:02,770
catching ceilings in ETN. 
But man, I'm just kind of like 

1080
00:53:02,890 --> 00:53:06,530
leaning into the safety a little
bit and I'm etn over both those 

1081
00:53:06,530 --> 00:53:08,930
guys right now. 
Heavy ETN over both those guys 

1082
00:53:08,930 --> 00:53:10,610
too. 
Yeah, like, I just think the 

1083
00:53:10,610 --> 00:53:13,250
upside with ETN is hot. 
Like, I don't know the Tank 

1084
00:53:13,250 --> 00:53:15,450
Bigsby stuff. 
I'm like sure he's gonna play a 

1085
00:53:15,450 --> 00:53:17,820
little bit, but. 
Again, I did this rant last week

1086
00:53:17,820 --> 00:53:20,540
so I don't wanna do it again but
every running back has a backup 

1087
00:53:20,540 --> 00:53:23,020
that's gonna play a little bit 
like we don't need to freak out 

1088
00:53:23,020 --> 00:53:26,180
about Tank Bixby. 
Also that that one goal, that 

1089
00:53:26,180 --> 00:53:29,100
one short yardage carry. 
People forget in that game that 

1090
00:53:29,340 --> 00:53:32,660
they had like a first and goal 
from the three and ETM was on 

1091
00:53:32,660 --> 00:53:35,140
the field, he didn't get the 
carry but he was on the field in

1092
00:53:35,140 --> 00:53:37,660
that situation. 
Bixby got like a third and one 

1093
00:53:37,900 --> 00:53:40,220
like on the 40 yard line or 
something and people are saying 

1094
00:53:40,220 --> 00:53:42,420
oh short yardage roll, it's 
Bixby's, it's over. 

1095
00:53:42,740 --> 00:53:44,660
It's like, I don't know about 
that so. 

1096
00:53:45,840 --> 00:53:46,760
Yeah. 
Leone what what are your 

1097
00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:49,200
thoughts in that debate of those
those 3 backs like Ramondre? 

1098
00:53:49,280 --> 00:53:52,080
No, I I'd have ETN first 
probably. 

1099
00:53:53,680 --> 00:53:56,040
I mean I think the pass catching
is a little bit of a concern 

1100
00:53:56,160 --> 00:53:59,600
that they just might not throw 
to running backs and they also 

1101
00:53:59,600 --> 00:54:04,320
want to use Hasty a little bit. 
But ultimately, you know, it's 

1102
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:08,440
just a really explosive player 
that I think sometimes when guys

1103
00:54:08,440 --> 00:54:11,280
don't hit their ceilings in a 
year, we get like more 

1104
00:54:11,280 --> 00:54:14,000
disappointed than we should. 
Like I don't think our. 

1105
00:54:14,900 --> 00:54:17,140
You know like the main take away
from a lot of people from his 

1106
00:54:17,140 --> 00:54:19,060
first years. 
Oh he didn't catch catch passes 

1107
00:54:19,060 --> 00:54:21,740
and we thought it would but like
the offense is gonna be really 

1108
00:54:21,740 --> 00:54:22,980
good. 
He's an explosive player. 

1109
00:54:22,980 --> 00:54:26,060
He's a young player. 
I I don't think you really have 

1110
00:54:26,060 --> 00:54:28,300
to overthink it too much. 
Like guys are gonna miss. 

1111
00:54:28,300 --> 00:54:29,740
So like is there some risk? 
Yeah. 

1112
00:54:29,740 --> 00:54:34,980
But I I probably take him ahead 
of breeze and I'm I'm kind of 

1113
00:54:34,980 --> 00:54:38,020
bearish on Ramondre. 
So definitely over reminded. 

1114
00:54:38,020 --> 00:54:41,940
We talked about that because 
I've been weirdly bearish on 

1115
00:54:41,940 --> 00:54:44,620
Ramondre, but in a way where I'm
mad at everyone about it. 

1116
00:54:45,040 --> 00:54:48,400
Because I don't want to be 
bearish on Andre and I thought I

1117
00:54:48,400 --> 00:54:54,360
wouldn't be like, I have them at
the I'm at 37 in my ranks, but 

1118
00:54:54,360 --> 00:54:56,320
that's below ADP and it's like, 
what? 

1119
00:54:56,520 --> 00:54:58,600
What are we doing? 
They did sign someone who's 

1120
00:54:58,600 --> 00:55:00,680
going to potentially take goal 
line work like that has to 

1121
00:55:00,680 --> 00:55:02,680
factor in some, right? 
Yeah. 

1122
00:55:02,680 --> 00:55:05,360
I mean the new prices like 
decent like we were just kind of

1123
00:55:05,360 --> 00:55:07,200
factoring from the beginning 
that they were going to sign 

1124
00:55:07,200 --> 00:55:09,380
someone. 
Shout out Pat Thorman. 

1125
00:55:09,380 --> 00:55:10,660
He was like really on top of 
that. 

1126
00:55:10,660 --> 00:55:13,060
So we had we've had Ramadre 
basically where he's been 

1127
00:55:13,060 --> 00:55:16,300
drafted now all offseason except
for very early. 

1128
00:55:16,740 --> 00:55:19,900
But I'm concerned with a couple 
of things. 

1129
00:55:19,900 --> 00:55:23,260
One, I think he has some dead 
zone characteristics. 

1130
00:55:23,340 --> 00:55:25,780
Like people don't want to say 
that because he's a young back 

1131
00:55:25,780 --> 00:55:28,220
that they like. 
But the team that has a tough 

1132
00:55:28,220 --> 00:55:31,260
schedule, that could be a really
shitty offense like, which is 

1133
00:55:31,260 --> 00:55:33,700
bad. 
And it's a player that, even 

1134
00:55:33,700 --> 00:55:37,100
though he should pass, caught a 
ton last year. 

1135
00:55:37,580 --> 00:55:40,260
Wasn't super efficient. 
I saw the the Jacob tweet and 

1136
00:55:40,260 --> 00:55:42,260
like I'm not trying to hold it 
against him because it's good 

1137
00:55:42,260 --> 00:55:45,300
that he got those targets. 
But yeah, then you bring in Zeke

1138
00:55:45,460 --> 00:55:49,780
who like he can take goal line 
touches and pass block. 

1139
00:55:49,780 --> 00:55:52,180
Those are high value touches. 
So not not if you're going to 

1140
00:55:52,180 --> 00:55:54,940
lose some high value touches and
you're going to play on an 

1141
00:55:54,940 --> 00:55:58,780
offense that's not good. 
It could go bad. 

1142
00:55:59,060 --> 00:56:02,740
It could that like I don't know.
I just I I have much stronger 

1143
00:56:02,740 --> 00:56:05,390
preferences for. 
Other player like I'd rather 

1144
00:56:05,390 --> 00:56:07,270
take Jamir Gibbs for sure, I 
think. 

1145
00:56:08,830 --> 00:56:11,350
Yeah, Stevenson has also never 
been hyper efficient. 

1146
00:56:11,390 --> 00:56:13,630
Like he's been good. 
I like Stevenson. 

1147
00:56:13,710 --> 00:56:17,630
He's a good player. 
It's not what he's volume 

1148
00:56:17,630 --> 00:56:19,270
dependent. 
I mean he's volume dependent. 

1149
00:56:19,270 --> 00:56:21,710
Yeah, like most running backs, 
most running backs are volume 

1150
00:56:21,710 --> 00:56:24,230
dependent. 
But he's, I don't think he like 

1151
00:56:24,630 --> 00:56:27,070
there's certain guys who I think
kind of rise above that where 

1152
00:56:27,070 --> 00:56:29,070
I'm like like Jonathan Taylor, 
right. 

1153
00:56:29,070 --> 00:56:32,190
Like, yeah, obviously you have 
issues there with with a high 

1154
00:56:32,190 --> 00:56:35,940
place, but like. 
I'm willing to like overlook 

1155
00:56:35,940 --> 00:56:37,980
some of the volume red flags 
with Jonathan Taylor, cuz it's 

1156
00:56:37,980 --> 00:56:40,860
like it's Jonathan Taylor. 
I don't feel that way about 

1157
00:56:40,860 --> 00:56:44,380
Ramondre Stevenson. 
I think that's very fair, yeah. 

1158
00:56:45,340 --> 00:56:48,300
I'm with Pat and like Breece and
Etienne, you do feel a. 

1159
00:56:48,300 --> 00:56:50,140
Little bit that way, right? 
Yeah. 

1160
00:56:50,180 --> 00:56:51,980
Yeah. 
Those guys are crazy explosive. 

1161
00:56:52,100 --> 00:56:52,940
I feel that way. 
Yeah. 

1162
00:56:53,980 --> 00:56:56,620
Yeah, I probably, yeah, I 
definitely have ETN over 

1163
00:56:56,620 --> 00:57:01,040
Ramondre, I think with Breece. 
It would be close. 

1164
00:57:01,040 --> 00:57:04,440
And just the fact that Breese is
like falling in some drafts, I'd

1165
00:57:04,440 --> 00:57:09,480
probably still go from Andre. 
I don't know, Again, like I have

1166
00:57:09,480 --> 00:57:12,440
plenty of Breese. 
I think like Dalvin signing was 

1167
00:57:12,440 --> 00:57:14,680
the worst case scenario. 
I know people are saying, oh, it

1168
00:57:14,680 --> 00:57:17,800
doesn't impact Breese's ceiling 
that Dalvin signed there. 

1169
00:57:17,800 --> 00:57:20,480
I sort of see where people are 
going with that argument. 

1170
00:57:20,480 --> 00:57:23,920
But like I think it inherently 
impacts the ceiling that Dalvin 

1171
00:57:23,920 --> 00:57:26,570
signed there just because. 
There's plenty of times in NFL 

1172
00:57:26,570 --> 00:57:30,370
history where the worst backup 
running back just sees the field

1173
00:57:30,370 --> 00:57:33,010
a lot because the coaches want 
them to, the quarterback wants 

1174
00:57:33,010 --> 00:57:36,690
them to like Thomas Jones for 
Jamal Charles in Kansas City. 

1175
00:57:36,970 --> 00:57:39,250
Yeah, you know, Zeke first, 
Pollard last year. 

1176
00:57:39,250 --> 00:57:43,090
Like, I don't think we can say 
Breese doesn't impact like Cook 

1177
00:57:43,090 --> 00:57:45,330
sealing. 
Even if Cook like is not good 

1178
00:57:45,330 --> 00:57:47,930
and Breese is way better, he 
could be on the field a bunch 

1179
00:57:47,930 --> 00:57:49,490
and that impacts Breese's 
ceiling. 

1180
00:57:49,490 --> 00:57:51,850
Yeah, it's like one of these 
things where I don't like. 

1181
00:57:52,610 --> 00:57:53,810
There's two things. 
It's. 

1182
00:57:54,880 --> 00:57:59,480
What is his ceiling outcome and 
is that now fundamentally 

1183
00:57:59,480 --> 00:58:03,560
changed by the signing Devin 
Cook To that I say no, I don't 

1184
00:58:03,560 --> 00:58:04,680
think it's fundamentally 
changed. 

1185
00:58:04,680 --> 00:58:07,320
I think he can still get to a 
similar ceiling outcome. 

1186
00:58:07,560 --> 00:58:09,280
How likely is that outcome to 
occur? 

1187
00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:11,200
Yes, yes. 
I think he's now lower. 

1188
00:58:12,150 --> 00:58:13,590
Yeah, that's that's what I'm 
saying. 

1189
00:58:13,590 --> 00:58:17,350
That's what I'm saying, yeah. 
That's yeah, I I I think we all 

1190
00:58:17,350 --> 00:58:20,190
fully agree. 
And I mean, I don't think 

1191
00:58:20,190 --> 00:58:22,390
Dalvin's the worst pick at its 
current ADP right now. 

1192
00:58:22,390 --> 00:58:23,990
Like, I think he's OK right 
there. 

1193
00:58:24,070 --> 00:58:26,350
Yeah. 
I'm definitely not taking Dalvin

1194
00:58:26,510 --> 00:58:28,030
now. 
No interest. 

1195
00:58:28,070 --> 00:58:30,910
He did still have some pretty 
explosive runs last year. 

1196
00:58:31,150 --> 00:58:34,350
I mean, I guess I'm most 
concerned that they shoulder 

1197
00:58:34,350 --> 00:58:39,270
still an issue because and I I 
saw some research and stuff on 

1198
00:58:39,270 --> 00:58:41,370
him that like. 
One of his biggest issues last 

1199
00:58:41,370 --> 00:58:43,970
year was like with contact 
because the shoulder injury, 

1200
00:58:44,090 --> 00:58:46,330
like the explosive speed was 
still there so. 

1201
00:58:46,330 --> 00:58:50,050
His success rate was horrendous 
and in a couple of True Media 

1202
00:58:50,050 --> 00:58:54,090
and NFL Next Gen. both had him. 
All the Twitter doctors when he 

1203
00:58:54,090 --> 00:58:56,450
had the surgery the first time 
said this is going to be an 

1204
00:58:56,450 --> 00:58:57,690
issue for the rest of his 
career. 

1205
00:58:57,690 --> 00:59:00,330
This isn't really something that
ever goes away for a dude who 

1206
00:59:00,330 --> 00:59:03,090
gets tackled for a living. 
So that's fair. 

1207
00:59:03,090 --> 00:59:05,650
I think if you think that and 
and I think it's a reasonable 

1208
00:59:05,650 --> 00:59:08,330
take then. 
You don't want him, but I think 

1209
00:59:08,330 --> 00:59:10,690
if you're just like, oh, he's 
dust, like I'm not drafting him 

1210
00:59:10,690 --> 00:59:12,850
that that that's kind of the 
wrong opinion. 

1211
00:59:13,530 --> 00:59:16,210
Yeah, I he's a he's a little 
mispriced for me. 

1212
00:59:16,210 --> 00:59:19,410
If I if I knew he had this role 
and he would have retained like 

1213
00:59:19,410 --> 00:59:21,810
if it was like Hammer Khalil 
Herbert, I don't know maybe I 

1214
00:59:21,810 --> 00:59:22,650
would have take. 
I don't. 

1215
00:59:22,650 --> 00:59:24,450
I probably still wouldn't have. 
Just because I'm stubborn, 

1216
00:59:24,530 --> 00:59:25,890
honestly. 
I still want Herbert, man. 

1217
00:59:26,130 --> 00:59:28,850
I want Herbert over Dalvin Cook.
Herbert could be good like he's 

1218
00:59:28,850 --> 00:59:31,370
the he could just. 
If Herbert is good he could be 

1219
00:59:31,370 --> 00:59:33,250
the Bear. 
Starting running back all year 

1220
00:59:33,970 --> 00:59:36,160
like it's, that's pretty simple.
He's good. 

1221
00:59:36,280 --> 00:59:39,880
He's a starting run. 
If Dalvin's good, then first of 

1222
00:59:39,880 --> 00:59:41,840
all, I think it's a higher 
chance that Herbert's good than 

1223
00:59:41,840 --> 00:59:44,520
Dalvin. 
But even if Cook is good, he's 

1224
00:59:44,520 --> 00:59:46,760
still going to have to deal with
Breese Hall, who's going to be 

1225
00:59:46,760 --> 00:59:50,320
100% by roughly Week 5, and by 
the end of the year he will be 

1226
00:59:50,320 --> 00:59:52,240
100%. 
Coming back from the clean ACL 

1227
00:59:52,240 --> 00:59:53,480
tier like that, he's been on 
track. 

1228
00:59:53,480 --> 00:59:55,480
He's practicing now like he's on
track for that. 

1229
00:59:57,200 --> 00:59:59,520
That's a problem. 
That's a problem for Dalvin 

1230
00:59:59,520 --> 01:00:02,480
Cook's late season upside so. 
I don't know. 

1231
01:00:03,120 --> 01:00:04,640
He can. 
He serves a purpose like he 

1232
01:00:04,640 --> 01:00:06,240
definitely. 
He's kind of like an expensive 

1233
01:00:06,240 --> 01:00:11,600
version of Jamal Williams. 
Samaji P Ryan, I think he, you 

1234
01:00:11,600 --> 01:00:13,360
know, and you could say he's 
better picked than those guys, 

1235
01:00:13,360 --> 01:00:15,560
cuz he'll probably have a longer
stretch of usefulness. 

1236
01:00:15,560 --> 01:00:18,880
But to me he's like in that 
archetype where if I really need

1237
01:00:18,880 --> 01:00:20,920
the running back help early, 
he's like a worse version to 

1238
01:00:20,920 --> 01:00:23,280
Dave Montgomery kind of thing. 
I'm like, all right, yeah, I'm 

1239
01:00:23,280 --> 01:00:26,490
gonna, I think that's fair. 
But I think, like the high value

1240
01:00:26,490 --> 01:00:28,930
touches for The Jets are going 
to be better than for the Bears 

1241
01:00:28,970 --> 01:00:30,490
at the running back position 
overall. 

1242
01:00:30,530 --> 01:00:32,530
So it's not like a one to one. 
That's we have to worry about 

1243
01:00:32,530 --> 01:00:35,810
that contact stuff, right? 
Like if he's if he sucks at 

1244
01:00:35,810 --> 01:00:38,370
contact. 
Yeah, if you think the shoulder 

1245
01:00:38,370 --> 01:00:41,090
injury like that's it, you're 
out. 

1246
01:00:41,170 --> 01:00:43,010
You know what I mean. 
But I'm just saying like if if 

1247
01:00:43,010 --> 01:00:48,290
you're like more unsure on that 
and think it's possible, if 

1248
01:00:48,290 --> 01:00:51,010
shoulder's not an injury, the 
high value touches for The Jets 

1249
01:00:51,010 --> 01:00:53,010
are going to be better, both 
receptions and. 

1250
01:00:53,720 --> 01:00:56,800
Yeah, I mean, Rogers has made. 
How many dudes has Rogers made? 

1251
01:00:56,800 --> 01:00:58,800
Like Total Fantasy Football 
studs. 

1252
01:00:58,960 --> 01:01:03,160
He's so good at that. 
The other thing too is, I mean, 

1253
01:01:03,160 --> 01:01:05,200
contingent value does work both 
ways. 

1254
01:01:05,200 --> 01:01:07,480
Like, we always look at it from 
the lens of the player we like 

1255
01:01:07,480 --> 01:01:09,560
more. 
But like Breece is coming back 

1256
01:01:09,560 --> 01:01:12,920
from an ACL injury or he could 
just randomly get hurt having 

1257
01:01:12,920 --> 01:01:16,800
nothing to do with that. 
And Dalvin Cook is like like 

1258
01:01:16,800 --> 01:01:18,840
that. 
He could suck and be amazing in 

1259
01:01:18,840 --> 01:01:20,560
in that. 
Case yeah, yeah, yeah. 

1260
01:01:20,560 --> 01:01:22,320
And I think we can feel really 
good that. 

1261
01:01:23,130 --> 01:01:26,370
Dalvin completely ices the likes
of Carter and Son of the Night. 

1262
01:01:26,370 --> 01:01:29,330
Like The Jets are not high on 
these guys at all Like and yeah 

1263
01:01:29,410 --> 01:01:31,890
and yeah, the the last thing 
we'll say on Dalvin and then we 

1264
01:01:31,890 --> 01:01:35,370
can move on like we were 
drafting AJ Dillon in like the 

1265
01:01:35,370 --> 01:01:38,690
6th last year on basically the 
same thesis. 

1266
01:01:38,690 --> 01:01:41,650
Like he had a way more talented 
running back ahead of him in 

1267
01:01:41,850 --> 01:01:45,050
Aaron Jones. 
That wasn't really the thesis. 

1268
01:01:45,130 --> 01:01:47,130
OK is. 
Dylan's talent. 

1269
01:01:47,450 --> 01:01:52,130
Yeah, but is AJ Dillon good? 
Yes. 

1270
01:01:52,640 --> 01:01:55,160
If you asked someone drafting 
him in 2022, they would have 

1271
01:01:55,160 --> 01:01:57,640
been like, yeah, dude. 
Yeah, they would be like, you 

1272
01:01:57,640 --> 01:02:02,760
see those quads, brother. 
I'm on Team Dalvin Cook is 

1273
01:02:02,760 --> 01:02:05,680
better than AJ Dillon, but 
whatever, Even if I'm not, even 

1274
01:02:05,680 --> 01:02:10,080
if you completely disagree with 
that, it's like kind of the AJ 

1275
01:02:10,080 --> 01:02:12,440
Dillon bet, but three rounds 
later, right? 

1276
01:02:12,680 --> 01:02:15,980
Like, that seems fine. 
I think it's fine. 

1277
01:02:15,980 --> 01:02:20,340
Where, again, if you think this 
shoulder is a permanent problem,

1278
01:02:20,340 --> 01:02:21,700
you're out. 
But if you don't think the 

1279
01:02:21,700 --> 01:02:24,300
shoulder is a permanent problem,
like, it's hard for me to see 

1280
01:02:24,300 --> 01:02:26,260
where he's not, like, a pretty 
reasonable pick. 

1281
01:02:26,740 --> 01:02:28,900
Yeah. 
You know, he was still like, you

1282
01:02:28,900 --> 01:02:31,380
know, just outside the top 10 
fantasy points for game last 

1283
01:02:31,380 --> 01:02:35,580
year. 
Like, he's not dead, you know? 

1284
01:02:35,580 --> 01:02:38,540
I mean, he's not terrible. 
He's not. 

1285
01:02:38,900 --> 01:02:41,180
I still probably won't take him 
because I'm stubborn, but like 

1286
01:02:41,180 --> 01:02:43,940
you have outlined, a very 
reasonable and rational argument

1287
01:02:43,940 --> 01:02:46,900
for why he still can be a good 
pick where he's going. 

1288
01:02:46,980 --> 01:02:48,820
Yeah. 
Yeah, and I think he can serve a

1289
01:02:48,820 --> 01:02:51,220
purpose for your team. 
Like if you were like thinking 

1290
01:02:51,220 --> 01:02:53,860
about drafting James Conner 
because you need early running 

1291
01:02:53,860 --> 01:02:57,860
back points, like maybe take 
someone else and go get Cook in 

1292
01:02:57,860 --> 01:03:00,300
the next round or whatever. 
Like, I think you know, he can, 

1293
01:03:00,420 --> 01:03:03,220
he can serve a purpose. 
I have him on one mastiff and I 

1294
01:03:03,220 --> 01:03:06,060
think I'm good, but you know. 
I got, yeah. 

1295
01:03:06,060 --> 01:03:07,380
I've got him in some high stakes
like. 

1296
01:03:07,750 --> 01:03:10,350
Crazy to low, like one 20s, One 
10s. 

1297
01:03:10,350 --> 01:03:13,430
Yes, I got him and I'm just 
like, yeah, that seems great. 

1298
01:03:14,630 --> 01:03:18,030
Let's go to Miles Sanders. 
Here he is falling off the 

1299
01:03:18,030 --> 01:03:21,390
growing issue, even this new 
ADP71. 

1300
01:03:21,590 --> 01:03:24,590
I think that understates where 
he's like, actually going in 

1301
01:03:24,590 --> 01:03:26,070
drafts now. 
Maybe it's a small sample from 

1302
01:03:26,070 --> 01:03:27,430
what I'm doing, but I'm seeing 
him. 

1303
01:03:27,710 --> 01:03:31,430
In the late. 80s, like late 70s,
Like every draft I'm in now. 

1304
01:03:32,480 --> 01:03:35,200
Man I was not. 
And Pat we had this argument in 

1305
01:03:35,200 --> 01:03:38,760
our in our chat yesterday. 
I was I think both of us were 

1306
01:03:38,760 --> 01:03:41,000
out on Sanders. 
You were even more out on him 

1307
01:03:41,000 --> 01:03:44,360
than I was. 
But man like pick eighty. 

1308
01:03:45,120 --> 01:03:48,520
I think the math starts to look 
pretty like irrefutable on 

1309
01:03:48,520 --> 01:03:50,520
Sanders being a good pick there.
I guess we'll start with you 

1310
01:03:50,520 --> 01:03:52,120
Leone. 
I know you guys like just 

1311
01:03:52,120 --> 01:03:54,840
projections wise and your 
rankings would be quite high on 

1312
01:03:54,840 --> 01:03:58,240
Sanders at pick 71. 
Are you actually drafting him or

1313
01:03:58,240 --> 01:04:00,600
you are you following the ETR 
ranks there or how you how you 

1314
01:04:00,600 --> 01:04:04,950
dealing with this? 
I'm probably drafting him a 

1315
01:04:04,950 --> 01:04:07,350
little bit later, but I'm 
definitely not out on him. 

1316
01:04:07,550 --> 01:04:11,870
Like you guys know me, I'm a I'm
a value drafter in general, and 

1317
01:04:12,750 --> 01:04:15,750
I think he's not like that. 
You know, I think he's in that 

1318
01:04:15,750 --> 01:04:17,830
David Montgomery range right 
now. 

1319
01:04:19,390 --> 01:04:23,150
He just got a low key. 
He just got a low key boost too,

1320
01:04:23,350 --> 01:04:26,270
because Shuba Hubbard has played
every running back snap with 

1321
01:04:26,270 --> 01:04:29,870
Bryce Young in the preseason 
and. 

1322
01:04:30,730 --> 01:04:33,970
Shuva Hubbard's ankle got rolled
over on and I was doing a little

1323
01:04:33,970 --> 01:04:36,450
bit of digging because Hubbard 
is one of my biggest positions. 

1324
01:04:36,450 --> 01:04:39,930
I've just been hoovering him up.
So he had an ankle injury in 

1325
01:04:39,930 --> 01:04:44,130
2020 that caused him to miss a 
bunch of time and he also 

1326
01:04:44,130 --> 01:04:47,810
suffered an ankle injury to the 
same ankle last year. 

1327
01:04:48,170 --> 01:04:50,770
There hasn't been an update yet.
I'm going to guess we'll get one

1328
01:04:50,930 --> 01:04:54,690
probably this afternoon from 
Panthers training camp, but. 

1329
01:04:55,480 --> 01:04:58,160
If it would like I thought it 
was projecting like Sanders was 

1330
01:04:58,160 --> 01:05:00,480
going to be in a split with 
Hubbard based on the stuff that 

1331
01:05:00,480 --> 01:05:02,360
I was reading from Panthers 
training camp. 

1332
01:05:02,360 --> 01:05:06,800
And if Hubbard is going to be 
dinged up, not ready for Week 1 

1333
01:05:07,320 --> 01:05:10,560
or or you know comes back too 
early and he's just suffering 

1334
01:05:10,560 --> 01:05:12,320
from this ankle thing. 
Like it's. 

1335
01:05:12,360 --> 01:05:16,320
I think they've really 
broadcasted Blackshear Sanders 

1336
01:05:16,360 --> 01:05:19,320
or a Blackshear Spencer Brown. 
None of these guys are not a 

1337
01:05:19,320 --> 01:05:23,720
part of their plans at all. 
So if Hubbard's ankle is a 

1338
01:05:23,720 --> 01:05:25,920
problem? 
What would have maybe been a 

1339
01:05:25,920 --> 01:05:28,800
6040 with Hubbard and losing a 
lot of the long down and 

1340
01:05:28,800 --> 01:05:32,000
distance stuff is actually going
to go Sanders his way. 

1341
01:05:32,000 --> 01:05:34,720
Now you can tell I've really 
been thinking about this a lot, 

1342
01:05:34,720 --> 01:05:37,040
because I went back and looked 
more at Miles Sanders stuff as a

1343
01:05:37,040 --> 01:05:39,580
result. 
Such an interesting profile. 

1344
01:05:39,580 --> 01:05:42,340
The Eagles clearly drafted him 
with the idea that he was going 

1345
01:05:42,340 --> 01:05:44,380
to be a good, long downed 
distance guy. 

1346
01:05:44,500 --> 01:05:47,700
Saw 65 targets as a rookie. 
He was so bad. 

1347
01:05:47,700 --> 01:05:50,380
He was so inefficient and got 
more inefficient. 

1348
01:05:50,620 --> 01:05:52,100
He was inefficient. 
You're one. 

1349
01:05:52,100 --> 01:05:53,460
He was not. 
You're one. 

1350
01:05:53,460 --> 01:05:54,100
He was good. 
You're. 

1351
01:05:54,180 --> 01:05:56,900
One, he was good as a receiver. 
Actually, if you guys go to 

1352
01:05:56,900 --> 01:05:59,460
Chris Towers his profile, he 
tweets about this like once a 

1353
01:05:59,460 --> 01:06:03,260
year because it's so startling. 
There's this play where Sanders 

1354
01:06:03,460 --> 01:06:06,580
messes up his route. 
Gets the target anyways and 

1355
01:06:06,580 --> 01:06:08,500
drops it. 
And then basically ever since 

1356
01:06:08,500 --> 01:06:10,940
this play the Eagles stopped 
throwing in the ball to the 

1357
01:06:10,940 --> 01:06:14,820
point that I think, I think it 
was 25 targets for 78 yards was 

1358
01:06:14,820 --> 01:06:16,580
his line as a receiver last 
year. 

1359
01:06:16,860 --> 01:06:20,620
So I don't think the Panthers 
signed him to be this long down 

1360
01:06:20,620 --> 01:06:21,780
a distance guy. 
I. 

1361
01:06:22,660 --> 01:06:25,500
I still like playing it the 
Hubbard route, especially 

1362
01:06:25,500 --> 01:06:28,300
because normally when you see 
the starting running back fall, 

1363
01:06:28,300 --> 01:06:31,780
you'll see a corresponding jump 
in the handcuffs ADP, but there 

1364
01:06:31,780 --> 01:06:33,540
is not been a corresponding jump
for Hubbard. 

1365
01:06:33,580 --> 01:06:37,300
I I don't really know why that 
is, but I still prefer to play. 

1366
01:06:37,620 --> 01:06:39,540
It. 
That way, Yeah. 

1367
01:06:39,740 --> 01:06:42,460
I I yeah, I just mentioned that 
he's got this ankle injury now. 

1368
01:06:42,980 --> 01:06:44,380
We'll see what happens with this
ankle. 

1369
01:06:44,380 --> 01:06:47,140
If it ends up being nothing. 
I still like it playing that 

1370
01:06:47,140 --> 01:06:48,620
way. 
If not, I will be. 

1371
01:06:50,010 --> 01:06:53,450
Bag defending. 
So I saw, I saw Frank Reich give

1372
01:06:53,450 --> 01:06:55,970
a press conference little quote 
on this thing and he was like, 

1373
01:06:56,490 --> 01:06:57,930
they were like, what's the deal 
basically? 

1374
01:06:57,930 --> 01:07:00,770
And he was like, listen, like 
these guys are going to be fine.

1375
01:07:00,930 --> 01:07:04,970
And like we talked to the talk 
to the medical staff about their

1376
01:07:04,970 --> 01:07:07,210
path to being able to play week 
one. 

1377
01:07:07,530 --> 01:07:10,210
And you know, even if they're 
not fine, we'll be fine. 

1378
01:07:11,010 --> 01:07:12,410
What the fuck does that mean, 
man? 

1379
01:07:13,100 --> 01:07:16,060
That is the literal fucking king
of press conferences. 

1380
01:07:16,060 --> 01:07:19,300
I mean, every week this guy has 
something from the he's so good 

1381
01:07:19,300 --> 01:07:21,900
at it, yeah. 
Well, you know what it makes me 

1382
01:07:21,900 --> 01:07:25,780
worry about is could they be a 
team that signs Cream Hunt, 

1383
01:07:26,380 --> 01:07:28,460
right? 
Or or something like. 

1384
01:07:28,460 --> 01:07:30,140
That because they. 
Literally might not have a 

1385
01:07:30,140 --> 01:07:33,620
starting running back. 
They don't like Spencer Brown or

1386
01:07:33,620 --> 01:07:36,020
Blackshear at all. 
These guys have been like total 

1387
01:07:36,020 --> 01:07:38,540
mop up duty second-half of the 
second preseason game. 

1388
01:07:38,540 --> 01:07:40,580
Like they do not care about 
these two guys at all. 

1389
01:07:41,530 --> 01:07:44,050
Yeah. 
So I would have a hovered ankle 

1390
01:07:44,330 --> 01:07:47,490
update that would make me feel a
lot better. 

1391
01:07:47,490 --> 01:07:50,730
The Sanders thing for me, like 
where he's slipping now, like we

1392
01:07:50,730 --> 01:07:54,050
haven't projected I think for 
like 37 targets on the year, but

1393
01:07:54,050 --> 01:07:57,330
like, I think he could catch 50 
balls, you know? 

1394
01:07:57,730 --> 01:07:59,530
He could. 
And that's like we're not 

1395
01:07:59,530 --> 01:08:02,090
projecting anywhere near that. 
And we still kind of have them 

1396
01:08:02,090 --> 01:08:05,530
as OK and like we've cratered 
his ceiling odds we've cratered 

1397
01:08:05,530 --> 01:08:08,880
his ceiling efficiently like 
we've done all these things And 

1398
01:08:08,920 --> 01:08:11,480
I guess it just comes back to a 
base assumption as if you think 

1399
01:08:11,480 --> 01:08:13,360
he's the starting running back 
when healthy or not. 

1400
01:08:13,360 --> 01:08:16,720
Like if you think he's kind of 
the the started you think if 

1401
01:08:16,720 --> 01:08:20,920
it's like a 2 to one ratio with 
him versus Hubbard then like 

1402
01:08:20,920 --> 01:08:23,240
he's a pretty good pick at where
he's falling now especially when

1403
01:08:23,240 --> 01:08:27,279
he falls after the new ADP. 
I think there's a little bit 

1404
01:08:27,279 --> 01:08:31,880
more upside than people think 
where it just you know he it's 

1405
01:08:31,880 --> 01:08:33,720
it's hard to parse like you said
Davis. 

1406
01:08:33,720 --> 01:08:36,479
The Philly stuff, like they did 
not throw running backs much and

1407
01:08:37,160 --> 01:08:39,359
in base last year, right? 
But. 

1408
01:08:39,359 --> 01:08:42,160
Like, but they were, the more is
probably gonna throw to running 

1409
01:08:42,160 --> 01:08:44,640
back in. 
The more damning thing was that 

1410
01:08:44,640 --> 01:08:48,840
they specifically just drafted 
Kenneth Gainwell to like remove 

1411
01:08:48,840 --> 01:08:53,359
that work and entirely I guess, 
but the, as we saw with Ramondra

1412
01:08:53,359 --> 01:08:56,439
last year, just getting a bunch 
of bullshit and base. 

1413
01:08:56,760 --> 01:08:58,840
Yeah, totally. 
Yes, it does. 

1414
01:08:58,880 --> 01:09:00,760
It does. 
We we saw, you know, with Joe 

1415
01:09:00,760 --> 01:09:04,240
Mixon to an extent last year 
too, you know, obviously much 

1416
01:09:04,240 --> 01:09:06,439
better offense. 
So it's like not a one to one, 

1417
01:09:06,439 --> 01:09:11,560
but like he was able to get a 
10% target share just in base, 

1418
01:09:11,640 --> 01:09:13,319
you know, because of checkdowns 
and stuff. 

1419
01:09:13,319 --> 01:09:17,880
And I think that outcome for 
Sanders has been a little bit 

1420
01:09:18,560 --> 01:09:22,640
under appreciated. 
The issue for me with Sanders as

1421
01:09:22,640 --> 01:09:24,960
he goes down into this range is 
that like. 

1422
01:09:26,390 --> 01:09:29,630
OK you're you're making kind of 
a status quo bet with Sanders. 

1423
01:09:29,630 --> 01:09:31,270
Like this is the guy they 
brought in. 

1424
01:09:31,270 --> 01:09:34,189
This is the guy that kind of 
dubbed the starter and you're 

1425
01:09:34,470 --> 01:09:37,069
you're sort of being like you 
know he's he's going to get the 

1426
01:09:37,069 --> 01:09:41,390
first crack for as long as he's 
you know not terrible but he 

1427
01:09:41,390 --> 01:09:45,830
enters the season injured. 
We don't have like a ton of 

1428
01:09:45,830 --> 01:09:48,870
confidence that he's playing 
week one which that alone. 

1429
01:09:48,870 --> 01:09:51,149
I mean, if he's missing time 
early in the season, potentially

1430
01:09:51,189 --> 01:09:54,229
that needs to be factored into 
the ADP, but then like. 

1431
01:09:55,150 --> 01:09:57,630
I don't really feel confident 
that he is better than Hubbard. 

1432
01:09:57,990 --> 01:10:00,830
Like I think they're pretty 
similar as far as their talent 

1433
01:10:00,830 --> 01:10:03,350
goes based on what Hubbard did. 
Hubbard was very efficient last 

1434
01:10:03,350 --> 01:10:05,150
year like he was he, he. 
Runs. 

1435
01:10:05,390 --> 01:10:09,110
The format was very similar. 
Amazing college player Hubbard 

1436
01:10:09,110 --> 01:10:10,910
was. 
Yeah, like we're counting that. 

1437
01:10:10,910 --> 01:10:12,630
Yeah, and Sanders was a backup 
in college, Yeah. 

1438
01:10:13,230 --> 01:10:15,310
I got some got some breaking, 
breaking news. 

1439
01:10:15,750 --> 01:10:17,310
Sanders is in practicing pads 
today. 

1440
01:10:17,310 --> 01:10:21,610
Wow. 
Breaking news, All right, was 

1441
01:10:21,610 --> 01:10:23,890
it? 
Hubbard had twice the amount of 

1442
01:10:23,890 --> 01:10:26,770
carries his rookie year as he 
did last year and was at 3.6 

1443
01:10:26,770 --> 01:10:28,010
yards per carry. 
So like. 

1444
01:10:28,130 --> 01:10:32,090
I don't think Hubbard is too 
recency biased on like oh, he's 

1445
01:10:32,090 --> 01:10:34,370
a. 
I do not think Hubbard is like, 

1446
01:10:34,370 --> 01:10:38,050
a really good NFL player either.
Like he was getting Alex Sanders

1447
01:10:38,050 --> 01:10:39,370
very. 
I mean, yeah. 

1448
01:10:39,970 --> 01:10:42,010
I I would say like, I think. 
I'm just gonna get one of the 

1449
01:10:42,010 --> 01:10:44,820
league out there. 
Like, I mean, I don't know who 

1450
01:10:44,820 --> 01:10:46,500
the fuck's battered between the 
two of them. 

1451
01:10:46,500 --> 01:10:48,940
I don't really care. 
I don't know that if I had. 

1452
01:10:49,380 --> 01:10:52,980
I care if Sanders isn't. 
I mean, the the practicing in 

1453
01:10:52,980 --> 01:10:54,380
pads thing kind of blows up my 
argument. 

1454
01:10:54,380 --> 01:10:56,620
But if Sanders doesn't get the 
first crack of the job, then it 

1455
01:10:56,620 --> 01:10:59,500
definitely matters who's better.
Yeah, sure he is. 

1456
01:10:59,660 --> 01:11:01,660
He is going to get the first 
crack on the gym where like 

1457
01:11:02,700 --> 01:11:05,500
basically what I'm saying is 
like if the base assumption is 

1458
01:11:05,500 --> 01:11:07,420
he's the starter, it's hard for 
him to be a bad pick. 

1459
01:11:07,420 --> 01:11:10,540
If you think that assumption's 
wrong, we're on a different 

1460
01:11:10,540 --> 01:11:12,500
plane, and like, I can see where
you would like him. 

1461
01:11:12,500 --> 01:11:14,340
But like, if you're under that 
base assumption, there's not 

1462
01:11:14,340 --> 01:11:16,580
really much evidence to support 
that, like. 

1463
01:11:17,300 --> 01:11:19,420
I am once again under that base 
assumption now that he's 

1464
01:11:19,420 --> 01:11:22,460
practicing, but like if he was 
potentially missing week one, 

1465
01:11:22,460 --> 01:11:25,100
then like he by definition would
not get the first crack at the 

1466
01:11:25,100 --> 01:11:27,340
jump. 
So yeah, that, that, that's 

1467
01:11:27,340 --> 01:11:30,220
fair. 
I think with him practicing now 

1468
01:11:30,220 --> 01:11:32,820
is actually like pretty huge, 
Huge. 

1469
01:11:32,860 --> 01:11:35,860
I do this like I think this is 
your buying window like him. 

1470
01:11:35,980 --> 01:11:39,060
Him practicing with Hubbard 
banged up is a nice. 

1471
01:11:39,490 --> 01:11:40,370
Window for sure. 
Yeah. 

1472
01:11:40,610 --> 01:11:41,730
I was just saying that's the 
other things. 

1473
01:11:41,730 --> 01:11:44,090
Like Hubbard's hurt too. 
It's not like just Sanders 

1474
01:11:44,170 --> 01:11:45,930
that's banged up. 
Yeah, yeah. 

1475
01:11:46,170 --> 01:11:48,170
And we haven't said it. 
We haven't said his name yet, 

1476
01:11:48,170 --> 01:11:50,970
but Levis Kushnal, running back,
one season. 

1477
01:11:52,130 --> 01:11:55,290
Let's move on. 
Let's move on. 

1478
01:11:55,370 --> 01:11:57,970
I wanted to call it a couple 
players that aren't on risers or

1479
01:11:57,970 --> 01:12:00,450
fallers, but I think had some 
pretty interesting preseason 

1480
01:12:00,450 --> 01:12:03,680
usage stuff to discuss. 
The first one is Giovante 

1481
01:12:03,680 --> 01:12:04,960
Williams. 
We've mentioned him a couple of 

1482
01:12:04,960 --> 01:12:06,720
times, I think just awesome 
news. 

1483
01:12:06,720 --> 01:12:09,120
Like I know he was in a 
timeshare with P Ryan, I don't 

1484
01:12:09,280 --> 01:12:11,720
care about that right now. 
Just awesome news that he could 

1485
01:12:11,840 --> 01:12:15,200
play in a preseason game off 
this multi ligament ACL tear. 

1486
01:12:15,200 --> 01:12:19,920
Like that's awesome to me. 
I think this price is pretty 

1487
01:12:19,920 --> 01:12:22,000
fair now. 
I know he's risen quite a bit 

1488
01:12:22,000 --> 01:12:25,120
from he was going in the 
hundreds in May, maybe 110 ish. 

1489
01:12:26,120 --> 01:12:28,200
I'm fine with this pic. 
I don't think it's like a smash.

1490
01:12:28,360 --> 01:12:31,000
I still somewhat concerned about
the injury, but it seems about 

1491
01:12:31,000 --> 01:12:32,560
right to me. 
Yeah. 

1492
01:12:33,120 --> 01:12:35,880
And anybody have thoughts on 
Jamalte's ADP at? 

1493
01:12:35,880 --> 01:12:39,400
75 I kind of think he's a guy 
you buy almost all the way up 

1494
01:12:39,400 --> 01:12:43,040
because a lot of these things 
like one. 

1495
01:12:43,120 --> 01:12:45,800
I think the cool thing about 
Chavante is that he's kind of 

1496
01:12:45,800 --> 01:12:49,600
always earned early down target.
So even if he is in this sort of

1497
01:12:49,600 --> 01:12:52,920
timeshare with. 
P Ryan where P Ryan's handling 

1498
01:12:52,920 --> 01:12:55,400
the long down and distance, I 
still think Javonte will earn a 

1499
01:12:55,400 --> 01:12:58,520
good bit of actually, weirdly 
enough, in a very similar way to

1500
01:12:58,560 --> 01:13:02,960
Alvin Kamara with the Saints and
Drew Brees and Sean Payton where

1501
01:13:03,160 --> 01:13:05,200
Kamara would actually get 
replaced on long down and 

1502
01:13:05,200 --> 01:13:10,200
distance by like just a panoply 
of of dusty running backs 

1503
01:13:10,280 --> 01:13:12,320
through New Orleans Saints. 
I mean he was losing third downs

1504
01:13:12,320 --> 01:13:15,360
to Mark Ingram, all these 
different guys, and it never 

1505
01:13:15,360 --> 01:13:17,400
really mattered because he 
earned targets on early downs. 

1506
01:13:17,600 --> 01:13:21,060
But also if we're just looking. 
In the pocket of drafts where 

1507
01:13:21,060 --> 01:13:24,700
he's going, I think there are so
few guys you can tell yourself a

1508
01:13:24,700 --> 01:13:28,060
story about like, oh, this is 
the guy you need, right? 

1509
01:13:28,340 --> 01:13:31,420
Like, so we're looking at. 
I like these guys. 

1510
01:13:31,420 --> 01:13:33,820
I like James Cook and I like 
David Montgomery. 

1511
01:13:33,820 --> 01:13:37,540
But I think Javante's odds, and 
especially compared to Miles 

1512
01:13:37,540 --> 01:13:40,900
Sanders and Cam Acres, I think 
his upside is way better. 

1513
01:13:40,940 --> 01:13:42,500
Like way, way. 
I mean, he could. 

1514
01:13:43,220 --> 01:13:46,500
I think there are seasons where 
javante catches like 70 passes. 

1515
01:13:46,980 --> 01:13:49,580
And I don't think that about 
really anyone else who goes 

1516
01:13:49,580 --> 01:13:53,220
around him. 
Yeah, I like Ciovante a good 

1517
01:13:53,220 --> 01:13:55,620
bit. 
We were way behind on him early.

1518
01:13:55,660 --> 01:13:59,260
We thought the injury risk was 
understated and it's gone the 

1519
01:13:59,260 --> 01:14:02,860
exact opposite way where he's 
come back even earlier than 

1520
01:14:02,860 --> 01:14:04,780
expected, which I'm surprised 
by. 

1521
01:14:04,780 --> 01:14:08,080
But given that information, 
yeah, I think he's a pretty 

1522
01:14:08,080 --> 01:14:10,480
strong pick at where he is. 
I'm probably not quite as 

1523
01:14:10,480 --> 01:14:12,800
bullish as Davis because I still
think like you've got a coaching

1524
01:14:12,800 --> 01:14:15,600
staff change, you've got an 
offense that we're still a 

1525
01:14:15,600 --> 01:14:20,760
little bit unsure about and and 
the injury risk, I want to say 

1526
01:14:20,760 --> 01:14:22,800
is gone. 
It's like really positive news. 

1527
01:14:22,800 --> 01:14:25,240
But like we had positive news on
guys last year and then they 

1528
01:14:25,920 --> 01:14:28,480
just couldn't quite do it and 
they had setbacks and stuff. 

1529
01:14:29,000 --> 01:14:29,920
But yeah. 
Godwin. 

1530
01:14:29,960 --> 01:14:32,920
Godwin is the guy I'm thinking 
of who came back from the ACL 

1531
01:14:32,920 --> 01:14:34,480
and immediately injured his 
hamstring. 

1532
01:14:34,930 --> 01:14:36,970
I mean, Dobbins too have. 
Dobbins too. 

1533
01:14:36,970 --> 01:14:39,410
Yeah, that's, you know, which 
was his injury was most 

1534
01:14:39,410 --> 01:14:41,930
compared. 
To Jovantes and I think that's 

1535
01:14:41,930 --> 01:14:45,490
the because it is still that 
multi ligament tear that more 

1536
01:14:45,490 --> 01:14:49,370
serious knee injury that the the
interview that Levitan did was 

1537
01:14:49,370 --> 01:14:52,490
Stefania Bell I thought was 
really interesting or like there

1538
01:14:52,490 --> 01:14:56,370
is just like a it's your knee 
like it's not like you can just 

1539
01:14:57,730 --> 01:15:00,850
be awesome and like power 
through like your knee recovery 

1540
01:15:00,850 --> 01:15:04,050
like you at some point are going
to. 

1541
01:15:04,570 --> 01:15:07,730
Brought up against like just the
structural issues with with the 

1542
01:15:07,730 --> 01:15:10,130
knee itself if you're putting 
too much on it. 

1543
01:15:10,130 --> 01:15:13,770
So like I kind of hope that they
do use P Rhino but I'm actually 

1544
01:15:13,770 --> 01:15:18,450
still drafting P Rhine because 
my hope is that they bring back 

1545
01:15:18,690 --> 01:15:22,530
Javante somewhat slowly and then
he crushes down the stretch. 

1546
01:15:22,570 --> 01:15:25,250
But I still get I can use P run 
early in the season. 

1547
01:15:25,250 --> 01:15:28,290
So I'm drafting P Ryan but also 
to the your down the cook point 

1548
01:15:28,290 --> 01:15:30,530
I mean I think P Ryan still has 
contingent value in that way. 

1549
01:15:31,570 --> 01:15:33,570
So I I'm going to be a little 
bit more. 

1550
01:15:34,240 --> 01:15:37,960
I'll probably be like at ADP or 
a little bit behind on Jovante 

1551
01:15:37,960 --> 01:15:41,720
the rest of the way. 
He's not someone I wanna be like

1552
01:15:42,400 --> 01:15:46,480
leading the charge on. 
Yeah and the this one like 

1553
01:15:46,480 --> 01:15:50,240
strategy tip on Jovante. 
And I know it always isn't this 

1554
01:15:50,240 --> 01:15:53,080
clean in your drafts, but I 
would recommend trying to get 

1555
01:15:53,080 --> 01:15:57,120
exposure in the snapshot 
tournaments rather than BBM 

1556
01:15:57,120 --> 01:15:58,820
because. 
Again, I don't think it's like 

1557
01:15:58,820 --> 01:16:01,900
egregious to take him in BBM. 
He's only risen like 3 rounds, 

1558
01:16:01,900 --> 01:16:04,740
but you are competing with a ton
of teams that have gotten him at

1559
01:16:04,740 --> 01:16:07,420
pick 100. 
So if you can make that 

1560
01:16:07,420 --> 01:16:10,780
distinction in your drafts, I 
would recommend being a little 

1561
01:16:10,780 --> 01:16:13,980
bit selective in in where you're
taking Jimantu Williams. 

1562
01:16:16,740 --> 01:16:18,700
Let's talk to your Chig econ 
quo. 

1563
01:16:18,980 --> 01:16:21,620
This one I think is like going a
little bit under the radar cuz 

1564
01:16:21,620 --> 01:16:25,340
he's actually fallen in ADP, 
which is wild to me. 

1565
01:16:26,500 --> 01:16:28,420
He has a little background like 
CHIGGS ADP. 

1566
01:16:28,580 --> 01:16:32,260
He was kind of in the 121 
thirtyish range for a lot of the

1567
01:16:32,260 --> 01:16:33,900
off season. 
He's just kind of like slowly 

1568
01:16:33,900 --> 01:16:36,780
drifted down. 
I think you know obviously the 

1569
01:16:36,780 --> 01:16:40,140
the DeAndre Hopkins signing had 
something to do with that. 

1570
01:16:40,340 --> 01:16:43,460
I think people pointing out that
he played sort of a limited bit 

1571
01:16:43,460 --> 01:16:45,300
role last year has something to 
do with that. 

1572
01:16:45,620 --> 01:16:50,320
But man his his usage in. 
The preseason so far has been 

1573
01:16:50,320 --> 01:16:52,280
really good. 
He's playing at 11 personnel 

1574
01:16:52,320 --> 01:16:55,200
that's like absolutely critical 
for for tight ends and both in 

1575
01:16:55,200 --> 01:16:58,120
terms of floor and ceiling to 
play in 11 personnel. 

1576
01:16:58,600 --> 01:17:04,120
He's out there doing that. 
So I I I guess like you can say 

1577
01:17:04,240 --> 01:17:08,080
he was maybe overpriced before 
we knew that and like I don't 

1578
01:17:08,080 --> 01:17:09,800
know you can make the argument 
multiple ways. 

1579
01:17:09,840 --> 01:17:13,760
I'd really like jig at at 153 I 
I would be chasing him up a 

1580
01:17:13,760 --> 01:17:17,200
couple rounds just based off 
what he did last year. 

1581
01:17:17,200 --> 01:17:20,290
Curious Leone. 
How how does the math shake out 

1582
01:17:20,290 --> 01:17:22,210
here with with the Titans tight 
end? 

1583
01:17:22,290 --> 01:17:24,530
Even if you sort of bump out his
role, do you think he has enough

1584
01:17:24,530 --> 01:17:27,650
upside at this cost? 
Yeah, I feel like you described 

1585
01:17:27,650 --> 01:17:29,930
it well, like we were maybe a 
little too aggressive before we 

1586
01:17:29,930 --> 01:17:32,690
knew he'd be playing more. 
But now that we've seen at least

1587
01:17:32,690 --> 01:17:35,770
the potential that he's playing 
in 11 personnel, that's really 

1588
01:17:35,770 --> 01:17:38,610
strong sign. 
And I mean you guys talked about

1589
01:17:38,610 --> 01:17:40,650
with Musgrave like available 
targets. 

1590
01:17:40,970 --> 01:17:46,220
You know with Oconque we have 
more I guess proof that he's 

1591
01:17:46,220 --> 01:17:49,860
good at the NFL level and we 
have all the available targets 

1592
01:17:49,860 --> 01:17:52,980
too like even if they have 
Hopkins and a healthy trail in 

1593
01:17:52,980 --> 01:17:54,940
bergs, like there's just nothing
else. 

1594
01:17:54,940 --> 01:17:59,140
So I like a conquer quite a bit 
And I'd also like at the new the

1595
01:17:59,140 --> 01:18:03,140
tag he's at right now too is 
like it doesn't preclude like a 

1596
01:18:03,380 --> 01:18:06,340
late round tight end strategy. 
Like, it's not like he's going 

1597
01:18:06,340 --> 01:18:08,620
where you have to take two tight
ends, like you can take three 

1598
01:18:08,620 --> 01:18:10,660
tight ends with. 
Yeah, you can take really 

1599
01:18:10,700 --> 01:18:13,980
easily. 
You can take Jake Musgrave and 

1600
01:18:13,980 --> 01:18:16,580
then Jake Ferguson and you're. 
Like, yeah, you're feeling. 

1601
01:18:16,580 --> 01:18:19,180
So that's that's beautiful. 
Pat, you're on. 

1602
01:18:19,180 --> 01:18:20,940
I'm. 
I can take three tight ends and 

1603
01:18:20,940 --> 01:18:23,180
he doesn't even have to be the 
the first one. 

1604
01:18:23,500 --> 01:18:24,980
He could be. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

1605
01:18:25,420 --> 01:18:29,620
Yeah, yeah, I've come around and
Chig pretty significantly. 

1606
01:18:29,620 --> 01:18:32,900
I'm I'm pretty high ahead of ADP
now on him. 

1607
01:18:34,180 --> 01:18:37,140
I was just shocked when I did my
write up on the tight ends that 

1608
01:18:37,740 --> 01:18:39,940
how much he had played on play 
action. 

1609
01:18:40,590 --> 01:18:43,350
Which I I kind of thought he was
going to be this like rotational

1610
01:18:43,350 --> 01:18:47,510
receiver type but cuz he's he's 
like short right He's he's like 

1611
01:18:47,510 --> 01:18:50,190
kind of more of like the move 
tight ends in my mind. 

1612
01:18:50,190 --> 01:18:53,110
But he's like, I think he can 
play the traditional tight end 

1613
01:18:53,110 --> 01:18:55,990
in 11 and stuff. 
And to your point about them not

1614
01:18:55,990 --> 01:18:58,790
having anyone, Leoni, like, I 
think they know that, like I 

1615
01:18:58,790 --> 01:19:00,950
think they're well aware they 
don't have anyone else. 

1616
01:19:01,310 --> 01:19:03,750
Kyle Phillips got hurt in their 
preseason game, too. 

1617
01:19:04,110 --> 01:19:05,030
Yeah. 
Yeah. 

1618
01:19:05,030 --> 01:19:08,030
So I mean that that kind of 
directly impacts Jake, cuz they 

1619
01:19:08,030 --> 01:19:10,480
probably be. 
Earning targets in the same part

1620
01:19:10,480 --> 01:19:14,560
of the field, but they're gonna 
run plays for him too, like they

1621
01:19:14,560 --> 01:19:16,880
did at the end of last year. 
Like even if he does, like they 

1622
01:19:17,000 --> 01:19:19,800
manufacture stuff for him. 
Yeah, 100%, yeah. 

1623
01:19:20,280 --> 01:19:22,400
Yeah, and they don't throw to 
the running back that much. 

1624
01:19:22,400 --> 01:19:24,600
Like when they Derek Henry got 
what? 

1625
01:19:24,600 --> 01:19:27,090
Like. 35 catches last year or 
something. 

1626
01:19:27,090 --> 01:19:29,490
We were like, hell yeah, it's 
like. 

1627
01:19:29,570 --> 01:19:33,810
Hey, we don't need, we don't 
need to slander Derek Henry on 

1628
01:19:33,810 --> 01:19:35,050
this program. 
No, I'm just saying like. 

1629
01:19:35,050 --> 01:19:36,570
Do you know? 
Do you know who he plays in week

1630
01:19:36,570 --> 01:19:38,690
17? 
Brother Dude, that was not 

1631
01:19:38,810 --> 01:19:40,850
slander. 
That was like an objective 

1632
01:19:40,850 --> 01:19:42,050
truth. 
We were at pumped. 

1633
01:19:42,050 --> 01:19:46,770
He got 35 catches. 
Yeah, there's there's there's 

1634
01:19:46,770 --> 01:19:49,370
not competition. 
It's not like Mccaffrey's here 

1635
01:19:49,370 --> 01:19:51,090
soaking up targets out of the 
backfield or something. 

1636
01:19:51,090 --> 01:19:51,810
So. 
Yeah. 

1637
01:19:52,570 --> 01:19:54,810
Last thing I'll say, I'm Chig 
and I think I kind of want to be

1638
01:19:54,810 --> 01:19:57,450
more on this. 
Last year is like tracking where

1639
01:19:57,450 --> 01:20:00,130
like the gross blocking tight 
ends are moving around the 

1640
01:20:00,130 --> 01:20:02,330
league. 
Jeff Swain, like no one wants to

1641
01:20:02,330 --> 01:20:04,850
talk about Jeff Swain on a 
fantasy show or Austin Hooper. 

1642
01:20:05,050 --> 01:20:08,410
But both those guys leading is 
like absolutely massive for. 

1643
01:20:08,410 --> 01:20:10,650
Chig So Bullish? 
Because they were replaced with 

1644
01:20:10,650 --> 01:20:13,930
like absolute nobodies, like 
Josh Weil was like a fifth round

1645
01:20:13,930 --> 01:20:16,730
pick, the Titans took Trayvon. 
Wesco is basically like a 

1646
01:20:16,730 --> 01:20:18,490
fullback. 
I think he played on the Bears 

1647
01:20:18,490 --> 01:20:20,970
last year. 
He's he's in there, Jet. 

1648
01:20:21,430 --> 01:20:25,310
Yeah, like these guys, even 
though like Swain and Hooper are

1649
01:20:25,310 --> 01:20:27,390
bad and no one wants to talk 
about them, they're so much 

1650
01:20:27,390 --> 01:20:29,790
better than these other guys 
that are placing them with that.

1651
01:20:29,790 --> 01:20:32,910
It's just huge for Chig's role 
to have those backup tight ends 

1652
01:20:32,910 --> 01:20:35,790
like switching out. 
So I was kind of late on like 

1653
01:20:35,790 --> 01:20:37,310
paying attention to this, but I 
think the. 

1654
01:20:37,820 --> 01:20:40,860
The bear case for Chig wasn't 
thinking about, like, who the 

1655
01:20:40,860 --> 01:20:43,020
hell are they gonna play over 
him if he's not playing 11 

1656
01:20:43,020 --> 01:20:45,100
personnel? 
Like there's nobody who's like a

1657
01:20:45,100 --> 01:20:48,220
proven NFL blocker. 
Well, you know I would, I would 

1658
01:20:48,220 --> 01:20:53,380
give you 1 cautionary tale on 
that because Andrew Beck was 

1659
01:20:53,380 --> 01:20:58,420
playing over Albert O last year.
Eric, Eric. 

1660
01:20:58,660 --> 01:21:00,460
Eric, Robert. 
Eric Tomlinson. 

1661
01:21:00,540 --> 01:21:05,290
Like I I would Albert. 
O They were making up Eric's I 

1662
01:21:05,330 --> 01:21:06,770
would be making. 
Up They're making up guys who 

1663
01:21:06,810 --> 01:21:07,850
wanted hair. 
Dulcitch. 

1664
01:21:08,050 --> 01:21:10,050
There was like a bunch of dudes 
with long hair that weren't 

1665
01:21:10,130 --> 01:21:13,690
dulcitch around there. 
I live with this, yes, and Beck,

1666
01:21:13,930 --> 01:21:16,010
Beck and Saubert had long hair, 
I think. 

1667
01:21:16,010 --> 01:21:18,810
But I just, I've lived the 
wanting to make the young tight 

1668
01:21:18,810 --> 01:21:21,410
end happen thing and then being 
like look at all these jabronis 

1669
01:21:21,410 --> 01:21:24,970
on the depth chart and then cut 
to week one and the jabronis are

1670
01:21:24,970 --> 01:21:29,160
are playing 50% of the snaps. 
The the irony is after week one,

1671
01:21:29,160 --> 01:21:30,680
it was like wheels up for 
Albert. 

1672
01:21:30,680 --> 01:21:34,160
Oh, he had, he had five targets 
and we were like, oh, it's, it's

1673
01:21:34,200 --> 01:21:36,480
over. 
Like Alberto, Albert Osison is 

1674
01:21:36,480 --> 01:21:39,240
here, yeah? 
Yeah, all right. 

1675
01:21:39,600 --> 01:21:42,880
Anyways, I still think I'm in on
Jake at Jason up a couple 

1676
01:21:42,880 --> 01:21:44,640
rounds. 
Let's move on to Michael Wilson.

1677
01:21:45,680 --> 01:21:49,680
He is up justifiably. 
I think he's just kind of a 

1678
01:21:49,680 --> 01:21:52,560
clear starter. 
And usually when rookies are 

1679
01:21:52,560 --> 01:21:55,560
clear starters in the beginning 
of the year, they don't. 

1680
01:21:55,940 --> 01:21:57,900
Lose that role. 
Maybe we can think of some 

1681
01:21:57,900 --> 01:22:00,340
examples of guys that were bad 
enough that they lost the role, 

1682
01:22:00,340 --> 01:22:02,780
but it's kind of hard for a 
rebuilding team. 

1683
01:22:02,780 --> 01:22:05,780
It's kind of hard to imagine 
them going away from Michael 

1684
01:22:05,780 --> 01:22:10,220
Wilson once he has that role. 
Anyways, I would take, I think, 

1685
01:22:10,220 --> 01:22:12,260
Michael Wilson. 
I don't love his talent, don't 

1686
01:22:12,260 --> 01:22:15,540
love his prospect profile, but. 
He's running routes, he's in the

1687
01:22:15,540 --> 01:22:17,740
18th round. 
Is there anything else to say on

1688
01:22:17,740 --> 01:22:19,980
my I've had to. 
I've had to consciously. 

1689
01:22:20,420 --> 01:22:22,900
I've tried to. 
People have tried to tell me 

1690
01:22:22,900 --> 01:22:25,460
things about Michael Wilson's 
college career and like his 

1691
01:22:25,460 --> 01:22:26,980
production. 
And I've had to just be like, I 

1692
01:22:26,980 --> 01:22:31,700
don't wanna know, do not tell me
because the situation that he's 

1693
01:22:31,700 --> 01:22:36,990
in right now is like I think one
it's bullish because he is just 

1694
01:22:36,990 --> 01:22:40,950
clearly ahead of of Ron Daley 
and and Greg Dortch. 

1695
01:22:40,950 --> 01:22:43,710
Like he just clearly is a 
starting he's played every snap 

1696
01:22:43,710 --> 01:22:48,110
with the starting offense in in 
their two preseason games and 

1697
01:22:48,550 --> 01:22:50,950
he's got that. 
And you can tell yourself this 

1698
01:22:50,950 --> 01:22:53,870
with every Cardinals player, but
he's got the upside that Kyler 

1699
01:22:53,870 --> 01:22:57,790
comes back and Week 8 and their 
offense like resembles something

1700
01:22:57,790 --> 01:23:01,470
like You might just have gotten 
a massive discount on a guy who 

1701
01:23:01,470 --> 01:23:05,300
could see 50 targets from Kyler,
Murray or something in the back 

1702
01:23:05,300 --> 01:23:10,020
half of of the season. 
Yeah, I don't think about. 

1703
01:23:11,820 --> 01:23:14,380
I don't know much about Wilson's
profile or anything, but I kind 

1704
01:23:14,380 --> 01:23:17,500
of just blindly think that any 
rookie wide receiver who's 

1705
01:23:17,500 --> 01:23:20,700
earned his way into starting you
should be taking in Route 18. 

1706
01:23:22,220 --> 01:23:27,540
And he was. 16 maybe? 
Like, yeah, I take him in around

1707
01:23:27,540 --> 01:23:29,850
16. 
I don't have nearly enough. 

1708
01:23:29,890 --> 01:23:32,010
I should have more. 
I think like a lot of the ETR 

1709
01:23:32,010 --> 01:23:35,730
guys aren't on them, but I think
just maybe that's like 2 micro 

1710
01:23:35,730 --> 01:23:37,730
thinking and it's just like a 
macro like. 

1711
01:23:38,250 --> 01:23:41,370
You gotta remove your prospect 
biases when like literally like 

1712
01:23:41,410 --> 01:23:45,090
look at pick 200 like how many 
guys project for more routes and

1713
01:23:45,090 --> 01:23:47,890
Michael Wilson it's like maybe 
Mac Hollins you could tell me 

1714
01:23:47,890 --> 01:23:51,130
projects more routes like maybe 
Robert Woods projects more 

1715
01:23:51,130 --> 01:23:54,530
routes but besides that like I 
don't care. 

1716
01:23:54,570 --> 01:23:56,380
He could suck and. 
Whatever. 

1717
01:23:56,380 --> 01:23:58,100
Pick two. 
Like I I just all right. 

1718
01:23:58,540 --> 01:24:00,540
I don't get the micro analysis 
of his profile. 

1719
01:24:00,540 --> 01:24:02,980
Pick two. 
Well, we also don't the micro 

1720
01:24:02,980 --> 01:24:07,300
analysis of his profile I think 
is like it's not it's not that 

1721
01:24:07,300 --> 01:24:09,460
bad of a profile. 
Like it's not like there's no 

1722
01:24:09,460 --> 01:24:11,700
reasons to think. 
It reminds me of weirdly almost 

1723
01:24:11,700 --> 01:24:15,820
of like, Demian Pierce. 
Like Demian Pierce was he He 

1724
01:24:15,820 --> 01:24:17,900
flashed a little bit. 
That's such a good point, 

1725
01:24:17,900 --> 01:24:19,260
actually, yeah. 
Right. 

1726
01:24:19,260 --> 01:24:21,900
He didn't get used a ton. 
He didn't do enough to where we 

1727
01:24:21,900 --> 01:24:25,180
were, like, you know. 
We should be really excited 

1728
01:24:25,180 --> 01:24:27,460
about this guy, but the team 
spends a little bit of draft 

1729
01:24:27,460 --> 01:24:31,020
capital on him and signals the 
entire offseason that they're 

1730
01:24:31,020 --> 01:24:33,420
going to be utilizing him right 
away. 

1731
01:24:33,660 --> 01:24:36,060
And also the team's terrible and
should be utilizing their 

1732
01:24:36,060 --> 01:24:37,300
rookies right away to see what 
they have. 

1733
01:24:37,740 --> 01:24:41,860
So as he moves up, I don't think
we should be like shouting like 

1734
01:24:42,260 --> 01:24:44,700
he never broke out. 
He's a fifth year player like 

1735
01:24:44,780 --> 01:24:48,420
they're planning on playing him 
and he's athletic and he's going

1736
01:24:48,420 --> 01:24:50,620
to run a ton of routes, so I 
don't know. 

1737
01:24:50,620 --> 01:24:52,260
The other thing is I would note 
that. 

1738
01:24:52,860 --> 01:24:54,380
You know he only played six 
games. 

1739
01:24:55,060 --> 01:24:58,900
In 20/22 he had 30% dominated 
rating, though he had a 26% 

1740
01:24:58,900 --> 01:25:02,660
dominated rating is a is a 
sophomore, 29% only. 

1741
01:25:02,660 --> 01:25:05,260
In four games as a junior he was
a fifth year player. 

1742
01:25:06,220 --> 01:25:10,260
He's definitely like not a good 
prospect, but he's a third round

1743
01:25:10,260 --> 01:25:13,580
pick who flashed a little bit. 
He's athletic and is now a 

1744
01:25:13,580 --> 01:25:17,220
starting wide receiver and has 
dominated the summer as far as 

1745
01:25:17,220 --> 01:25:19,860
like team reports go. 
Why would you not? 

1746
01:25:19,860 --> 01:25:22,860
Take a chance on that. 
He was like, actually very 

1747
01:25:22,860 --> 01:25:25,060
similar to Rashi Rice. 
He was like one of these guys 

1748
01:25:25,060 --> 01:25:28,500
who got drafted because he fit. 
Mingo actually is like a good 

1749
01:25:28,500 --> 01:25:31,340
comp of like, not that good of a
prospect, but got overdrafted 

1750
01:25:31,580 --> 01:25:34,580
because every wide receiver in 
this class weighed 170 pounds. 

1751
01:25:34,820 --> 01:25:37,180
Like it was a situation where 
like the Cardinals are like we 

1752
01:25:37,180 --> 01:25:41,260
very specifically want a guy who
can do this one thing and they 

1753
01:25:41,260 --> 01:25:43,460
got this guy in the building who
can do the one thing. 

1754
01:25:43,660 --> 01:25:46,900
He shows up the training camp, 
the thing they think he can do, 

1755
01:25:46,900 --> 01:25:50,980
he can do starting job. 
I mean this is it's really as 

1756
01:25:50,980 --> 01:25:56,460
simple. 
And now I like I was so very 

1757
01:25:56,460 --> 01:25:59,540
famously. 
I was a Doors pro and I had very

1758
01:25:59,540 --> 01:26:04,980
little and I am up to 15% 
Michael Wilson, like I just am 

1759
01:26:04,980 --> 01:26:07,620
hammering him. 
I'm at 10 1/2 percent on 

1760
01:26:07,620 --> 01:26:10,660
Underdog and I feel, I feel like
I'm missed the boat. 

1761
01:26:10,660 --> 01:26:13,460
If anything, I'm at 16% on 
DraftKings, which is nice. 

1762
01:26:13,780 --> 01:26:16,900
So this is Sam. 
You actually pointed this out on

1763
01:26:16,900 --> 01:26:19,260
Twitter a couple weeks ago. 
The DraftKings algorithm is like

1764
01:26:19,260 --> 01:26:21,500
pretty clearly broken when it 
gets to the later round. 

1765
01:26:21,500 --> 01:26:26,000
Stuff like it doesn't filter it.
So round 20, you can take 

1766
01:26:26,000 --> 01:26:29,080
Michael Wilson, you can take 
Josh Downs, you can take two to 

1767
01:26:29,080 --> 01:26:31,760
Atwell because these got, for 
whatever reason, maybe they're 

1768
01:26:31,760 --> 01:26:33,080
not picked in every draft. 
I don't. 

1769
01:26:33,120 --> 01:26:33,800
Know what? 
No ADP. 

1770
01:26:34,080 --> 01:26:37,000
Kyron Kyron has no ADP. 
Rico Dowell, who we're about to 

1771
01:26:37,000 --> 01:26:42,320
talk to talk about has no ADP 
like there are there Deontay 

1772
01:26:42,320 --> 01:26:44,840
Hardy has no ADP like there are,
you know. 

1773
01:26:44,840 --> 01:26:49,000
What I think it is, I bet in the
$10 drafts no one is bothering 

1774
01:26:49,000 --> 01:26:50,240
to They don't go. 
They don't. 

1775
01:26:50,240 --> 01:26:53,410
Go so, so the. 
It's like the volume of drafts 

1776
01:26:53,450 --> 01:26:56,010
is most of the $10.00, so it 
keeps those Adp's super low. 

1777
01:26:56,930 --> 01:26:58,850
It could be. 
To me, it honestly looks like 

1778
01:26:58,850 --> 01:27:01,090
something's broken, cuz 
sometimes like and it changes 

1779
01:27:01,090 --> 01:27:03,130
each week. 
But sometimes, like this guy, I 

1780
01:27:03,250 --> 01:27:05,050
forget his name. 
He was some guy who's literally 

1781
01:27:05,170 --> 01:27:08,370
Charleston Rambo. 
Charleston Rambo had an ADP like

1782
01:27:08,370 --> 01:27:12,250
quite high in in the rankings 
above like tons of guys who were

1783
01:27:12,250 --> 01:27:14,570
like legit player. 
He's a guy from the USFL that 

1784
01:27:14,570 --> 01:27:16,370
was on IR and he had like an 
ADP. 

1785
01:27:16,610 --> 01:27:19,170
Like, I honestly think there's 
there's something wrong with 

1786
01:27:19,170 --> 01:27:20,850
algo, but anyways, we don't need
to go with that. 

1787
01:27:22,180 --> 01:27:24,780
I do think we're gonna stay and 
talk through some of these dusty

1788
01:27:24,780 --> 01:27:27,380
RB 2 situations. 
Leoni does have to run out 

1789
01:27:27,380 --> 01:27:30,740
before we do that, so we'll say 
bye to Leoni. 

1790
01:27:30,860 --> 01:27:37,020
Before you go, give us your 
favorite closing line value pick

1791
01:27:37,180 --> 01:27:40,580
that's on the board right now. 
Right now we. 

1792
01:27:41,660 --> 01:27:43,340
Can give you a second to think 
about it. 

1793
01:27:43,420 --> 01:27:43,860
Hey, yeah. 
Yeah. 

1794
01:27:44,500 --> 01:27:45,420
Give me a second here. 
OK. 

1795
01:27:45,900 --> 01:27:49,620
Yeah, that's a good question. 
I can give mine. 

1796
01:27:51,940 --> 01:27:56,060
So I am going to say that it's 
going to be Jeff Wilson with 

1797
01:27:56,060 --> 01:28:00,620
this Devon a chain shoulder 
injury and Gaskin and Achmed 

1798
01:28:00,620 --> 01:28:02,260
playing with the first team 
offense. 

1799
01:28:02,260 --> 01:28:06,140
I think that's so clear to me. 
The way I read that Gaskin and 

1800
01:28:06,140 --> 01:28:09,140
Achmed playing is not that the 
coaching staff likes them, it's 

1801
01:28:09,140 --> 01:28:13,100
that they know exactly what they
have in Jeff Wilson Junior and 

1802
01:28:13,100 --> 01:28:15,500
most has just stayed in the role
that he's going to play. 

1803
01:28:15,660 --> 01:28:18,760
But Jeff Wilson, junior is going
to be, it's going to be a week 

1804
01:28:18,760 --> 01:28:20,960
from now and he's going to be, 
he's going to be a 12 round 

1805
01:28:20,960 --> 01:28:22,520
pick, right? 
I mean, that's just the way this

1806
01:28:22,520 --> 01:28:25,840
goes with the chain because 
McDaniel said a chain is week to

1807
01:28:25,840 --> 01:28:28,520
week with the shoulder injury, 
which for a guy who was playing 

1808
01:28:28,520 --> 01:28:32,640
special teams in the second 
quarter of his second preseason 

1809
01:28:32,640 --> 01:28:35,200
game like it, it seems that 
their plans were not to use a 

1810
01:28:35,200 --> 01:28:36,200
chain immediately. 
Yeah. 

1811
01:28:37,240 --> 01:28:39,720
That's a good pick. 
That is a good pick. 

1812
01:28:39,720 --> 01:28:40,760
I'm. 
That's really good pick. 

1813
01:28:41,320 --> 01:28:43,080
I don't know. 
I'm struggling here to find like

1814
01:28:43,080 --> 01:28:46,040
one guy. 
I think it's like classical moni

1815
01:28:46,040 --> 01:28:48,260
can't make his hands. 
Feel free to. 

1816
01:28:48,300 --> 01:28:52,380
Give I mean, Johnston has got 
has a chance to like rise up a 

1817
01:28:52,380 --> 01:28:54,380
decent bit. 
I like that. 

1818
01:28:54,380 --> 01:28:56,460
I just don't know. 
I think it's kind of capped, so 

1819
01:28:56,460 --> 01:28:58,340
it's not really the best pick 
for this exercise. 

1820
01:28:58,340 --> 01:29:00,620
But I think the close line value
on him could be pretty solid, 

1821
01:29:01,820 --> 01:29:03,420
especially in these managed 
leagues. 

1822
01:29:03,620 --> 01:29:07,620
Maybe not as much underdog. 
Yeah, I could see that. 

1823
01:29:07,620 --> 01:29:10,340
If he if he's like clearly had a
Palmer in some preseason game, 

1824
01:29:11,220 --> 01:29:14,020
I'd definitely see him rock like
he's, I think he's slate sliding

1825
01:29:14,020 --> 01:29:16,460
a little bit recently, but I 
like that one. 

1826
01:29:16,820 --> 01:29:18,140
Knew it was the only thanks for 
joining us. 

1827
01:29:19,460 --> 01:29:21,340
Kincaid's gonna keep Verizon 
too. 

1828
01:29:22,100 --> 01:29:23,980
Yeah, you're right. 
Liam's gonna make you guys. 

1829
01:29:23,980 --> 01:29:26,260
William's gonna get there. 
I know, I know, I think. 

1830
01:29:26,380 --> 01:29:29,740
Liam's gonna get there, I think.
I capitulated, I capitulated. 

1831
01:29:29,740 --> 01:29:32,870
And I take that in Kincaid. 
This all I just want for the 

1832
01:29:32,870 --> 01:29:35,830
record, I yelled at Liam because
he took Kincaid and Knox on the 

1833
01:29:35,830 --> 01:29:38,230
same team. 
OK my my point all along is 

1834
01:29:38,230 --> 01:29:39,470
they're not gonna pay all 
together. 

1835
01:29:39,670 --> 01:29:40,230
I've. 
I've I've. 

1836
01:29:40,470 --> 01:29:41,670
I. 
Actually think that's fine 

1837
01:29:41,670 --> 01:29:43,110
because I think they're both can
be on the field. 

1838
01:29:43,270 --> 01:29:45,510
I don't think that a time. 
That's the part I don't really 

1839
01:29:45,510 --> 01:29:46,310
buy. 
I think. 

1840
01:29:46,310 --> 01:29:48,870
I think Kincaid's got to eat 
Knox and then he can pay off in 

1841
01:29:48,870 --> 01:29:50,110
a big way, but I don't think 
that. 

1842
01:29:50,270 --> 01:29:54,310
That's like 3. 
It wasn't. 

1843
01:29:54,510 --> 01:29:55,630
All right, fine. 
Got you. 

1844
01:29:56,630 --> 01:29:58,870
Time to pick. 
The lawyer Time to pick a pitch.

1845
01:30:01,020 --> 01:30:02,420
All right, we did wanna talk 
through. 

1846
01:30:02,500 --> 01:30:04,020
I know we're running a little 
bit late here. 

1847
01:30:04,380 --> 01:30:06,460
I do wanna talk through these 
Rbts. 

1848
01:30:06,460 --> 01:30:08,580
I talked about early in the off 
season keeping track. 

1849
01:30:08,580 --> 01:30:10,340
Should we? 
Just give our rising picks now 

1850
01:30:11,300 --> 01:30:12,380
so we don't forget. 
Yeah. 

1851
01:30:12,380 --> 01:30:14,180
Let's do that and then we'll 
talk to RBTS. 

1852
01:30:14,180 --> 01:30:16,900
Pat, you have one. 
I'm gonna say Rashad Bateman, 

1853
01:30:17,740 --> 01:30:21,060
who's back on the field 
practicing now and everyone's. 

1854
01:30:21,460 --> 01:30:24,140
Everyone's written his obituary.
It's Odo Beckham, guys. 

1855
01:30:24,140 --> 01:30:26,860
Odo Beckham's the starter. 
Zay Flowers is the best rookie 

1856
01:30:26,860 --> 01:30:28,100
pick. 
You know you gotta take him in 

1857
01:30:28,100 --> 01:30:30,180
the third round. 
Didn't you hear Jack Settleman 

1858
01:30:30,180 --> 01:30:33,220
on on the Soul cast last week 
saying that Odell is the guy you

1859
01:30:33,220 --> 01:30:34,780
need? 
That's what I'm saying. 

1860
01:30:34,940 --> 01:30:36,940
All the slappies are out there 
talking to Odell. 

1861
01:30:37,420 --> 01:30:40,060
That's exactly my point. 
Thank you for for reinforcing my

1862
01:30:40,060 --> 01:30:42,220
point. 
All the slappies are Odell. 

1863
01:30:42,220 --> 01:30:46,620
You gotta take Odell. 
But you know Bateman's now back 

1864
01:30:46,620 --> 01:30:48,620
out there. 
He had the cortisone shot that 

1865
01:30:48,620 --> 01:30:51,020
everyone freaked out about, but 
doesn't seem like that's gonna. 

1866
01:30:51,390 --> 01:30:55,430
Cost him any plank time in the 
season and not even completely 

1867
01:30:55,430 --> 01:30:57,870
remove his practice reps in the 
offseason. 

1868
01:30:57,870 --> 01:31:01,150
So I think we're going to start 
to get, Oh yeah, Bateman's good 

1869
01:31:01,150 --> 01:31:04,990
stuff coming out here before 
week one and people are going to

1870
01:31:04,990 --> 01:31:07,870
stop being so nervous about it. 
So give me a shot, Bateman at 

1871
01:31:07,870 --> 01:31:10,470
the pick near 100 now I think 
I'm getting. 

1872
01:31:10,780 --> 01:31:12,700
I think I'm scooping the bottom 
here or close to the bottom 

1873
01:31:12,740 --> 01:31:17,100
where I when I have a Lamar team
now, I I push him to the 9th. 

1874
01:31:17,140 --> 01:31:19,980
So if I'm sitting there like 
pick 84, whatever, I push it. 

1875
01:31:19,980 --> 01:31:21,540
I wait. 
I wait to see if I get him. 

1876
01:31:21,540 --> 01:31:24,260
We're on the next pick. 
I think that's fine, but I think

1877
01:31:24,260 --> 01:31:26,620
that's you're gonna start 
getting sniped on that, you're 

1878
01:31:26,620 --> 01:31:28,780
gonna get annoyed and you're 
gonna start prioritizing in the 

1879
01:31:28,780 --> 01:31:30,380
8th and everyone else is gonna 
start doing that. 

1880
01:31:30,380 --> 01:31:31,740
And that's how we get that ADP 
rise. 

1881
01:31:32,220 --> 01:31:33,580
I think yeah I think that's 
smart. 

1882
01:31:33,620 --> 01:31:36,660
I I've I've been just reaching 
on him in Lamar stacks because I

1883
01:31:36,700 --> 01:31:38,980
did get sniped once trying to do
that strategy. 

1884
01:31:38,980 --> 01:31:40,600
I'm like, literally it makes. 
You. 

1885
01:31:40,600 --> 01:31:43,600
I'm not taking it. 
It makes you insane because then

1886
01:31:43,600 --> 01:31:45,000
because then you're. 
Like and you have to say go 

1887
01:31:45,000 --> 01:31:46,560
dude, then you gotta do you 
don't. 

1888
01:31:46,600 --> 01:31:48,880
You actually don't. 
No, you gotta do it. 

1889
01:31:49,000 --> 01:31:51,040
You gotta do it. 
I am on track. 

1890
01:31:51,160 --> 01:31:53,160
Kings where he go, where he what
goes. 

1891
01:31:53,160 --> 01:31:56,720
Even later I took Odell, I went 
took Flowers, Odell to try to 

1892
01:31:56,720 --> 01:31:58,160
get the triple because we want 
the triple. 

1893
01:31:58,160 --> 01:31:59,120
That's the only way you can do 
it. 

1894
01:31:59,240 --> 01:32:02,720
And I didn't get Bateman and I I
mean, I've already mentioned 

1895
01:32:02,720 --> 01:32:04,760
this on the show like 3 weeks 
ago, but I think about that team

1896
01:32:04,760 --> 01:32:06,230
all the time. 
I could. 

1897
01:32:06,230 --> 01:32:08,110
It's a 555. 
It could have, could have 

1898
01:32:08,110 --> 01:32:10,910
Bateman. 
So annoying, yeah. 

1899
01:32:11,390 --> 01:32:13,990
I I don't like being this 
argument cuz I think it's like 

1900
01:32:14,390 --> 01:32:17,270
it's so hard to predict. 
But like if I was gonna say like

1901
01:32:17,270 --> 01:32:20,990
one group of players are the low
advance rate, high ceiling 

1902
01:32:20,990 --> 01:32:22,670
players, I think it's Ravens 
wide receivers. 

1903
01:32:22,670 --> 01:32:25,670
Like I think it's gonna be 
really frustrating and like 

1904
01:32:25,670 --> 01:32:27,910
maybe none of them are really 
gonna separate during the 

1905
01:32:27,910 --> 01:32:31,070
regular season. 
But man, just sneaking a Lamar 

1906
01:32:31,070 --> 01:32:34,190
Bateman stack into the playoffs 
just seems so, so funny. 

1907
01:32:34,190 --> 01:32:35,310
What if they're? 
What if they're? 

1908
01:32:35,350 --> 01:32:37,630
What if they're high advance 
rate, high win rate player? 

1909
01:32:37,630 --> 01:32:39,790
I think that's what they are. 
Lamar, they could be both. 

1910
01:32:39,830 --> 01:32:41,190
I'm taking a I'm taking a bunch 
of them. 

1911
01:32:41,190 --> 01:32:45,150
So I hope that yeah, but. 
Yeah, Lamar seems like he could 

1912
01:32:45,310 --> 01:32:47,470
pretty clearly be one of the 
answers to the test this year. 

1913
01:32:48,790 --> 01:32:51,070
Dude, I'm reaching on Lamar so 
much in the third. 

1914
01:32:51,270 --> 01:32:55,670
Not reaching a ton, but like 
once, like the couple players 

1915
01:32:55,670 --> 01:32:59,870
are gone, like, I'm just, I'm 
just taking Lamar over like 

1916
01:33:00,070 --> 01:33:02,910
Ramadra and taking over. 
Yeah, all those guys. 

1917
01:33:03,070 --> 01:33:06,520
I am too, and by the way. 
Comment on why are we so out on 

1918
01:33:06,520 --> 01:33:08,480
Adele? 
I am actually on Sam's side of 

1919
01:33:08,480 --> 01:33:11,040
this work. 
I'm so in on Lamar that I will 

1920
01:33:11,040 --> 01:33:14,200
take my I'll eat my Odell 
vegetables at times. 

1921
01:33:14,240 --> 01:33:16,560
I'm definitely gonna be 
underweight, but I'm not out. 

1922
01:33:17,360 --> 01:33:22,040
I have a I've got some some slow
draft wisdom for my fellow 

1923
01:33:22,040 --> 01:33:24,680
Slappy's out there, which is 
that actually people are so 

1924
01:33:24,680 --> 01:33:27,960
hyper fixated on their stacks. 
You were actually much more 

1925
01:33:27,960 --> 01:33:32,760
likely to get the 3-4 Lamar 
Andrews in slow drafts, 

1926
01:33:32,920 --> 01:33:36,720
especially in the Puppy. 
So like I'm in a bunch of these 

1927
01:33:36,720 --> 01:33:40,400
right now and I I I think I have
3 Andrews Lamar teams going 

1928
01:33:40,400 --> 01:33:42,480
right now. 
Like you know, obviously not all

1929
01:33:42,480 --> 01:33:45,160
of them are to the third round 
yet, but people are just so 

1930
01:33:45,160 --> 01:33:48,720
hyper fixated on there that they
don't catch the followers. 

1931
01:33:48,720 --> 01:33:51,920
As like obviously if it's 
egregious of guys 10 spots past 

1932
01:33:51,920 --> 01:33:55,240
or whatever, but people are so 
hyper fixated on their stacks 

1933
01:33:55,520 --> 01:33:59,480
that you're you're more likely 
to get it in these slow drafts. 

1934
01:34:01,400 --> 01:34:02,840
I wish I had some more, some 
more of those. 

1935
01:34:02,840 --> 01:34:04,360
Lamar Andrews It's It's tough to
do. 

1936
01:34:04,910 --> 01:34:09,030
Anyways, let's wrap here. 
Did I? 

1937
01:34:09,110 --> 01:34:11,550
Oh, in my head I thought I did. 
Did I not say one out loud yet? 

1938
01:34:11,910 --> 01:34:14,390
I don't think you did, unless we
really weren't paying attention.

1939
01:34:14,590 --> 01:34:15,750
Whoa, yeah. 
No, I didn't. 

1940
01:34:16,230 --> 01:34:19,150
I'm gonna go with wow, I 
already, I already have, like, 

1941
01:34:19,150 --> 01:34:21,550
outlined the the argument in my 
head that I forgot. 

1942
01:34:21,550 --> 01:34:25,110
I didn't actually say it. 
I'm gonna go with Josh Jacobs 

1943
01:34:25,110 --> 01:34:28,390
here. 
We got kind of the news today 

1944
01:34:28,430 --> 01:34:31,630
that he's back. 
It's kind of sketchy reporting, 

1945
01:34:31,630 --> 01:34:35,720
but I trust it. 
Here's the weird thing on 

1946
01:34:35,720 --> 01:34:37,760
Jacobs. 
I I see it going two ways. 

1947
01:34:38,720 --> 01:34:41,120
I think there's this perception 
that we're getting this huge 

1948
01:34:41,120 --> 01:34:43,360
Jacobs discount now since he's 
been holding up. 

1949
01:34:43,680 --> 01:34:46,760
That's actually not true. 
His ADP was like stubbornly like

1950
01:34:46,760 --> 01:34:49,600
28 through all of like May and 
June. 

1951
01:34:49,600 --> 01:34:52,400
Because I think like all the 
wide receivers, sickos were 

1952
01:34:52,400 --> 01:34:55,960
drafting then maybe the market 
was like sharply baking an 80 

1953
01:34:56,400 --> 01:34:58,120
holdout risk then. 
I don't actually think it was. 

1954
01:34:58,120 --> 01:35:01,560
I think it was just like sickos.
You don't like Josh Jacobs. 

1955
01:35:01,560 --> 01:35:03,320
We're just not clicking him 
well, so. 

1956
01:35:03,930 --> 01:35:06,770
They've done OK so far. 
Sure, they've done OK so far. 

1957
01:35:07,010 --> 01:35:09,650
So that's the weird thing though
is that with his holdout, he's 

1958
01:35:09,650 --> 01:35:13,770
only fallen like 2-2 picks. 
Yeah, so I was actually making 

1959
01:35:13,770 --> 01:35:16,570
the argument to some people 
other day that like if he 

1960
01:35:16,570 --> 01:35:19,250
reports is the market even that 
excited about Josh Jacobs like 

1961
01:35:19,250 --> 01:35:21,650
they weren't before. 
But I think the market always 

1962
01:35:21,650 --> 01:35:23,250
double counts and reacts to 
news. 

1963
01:35:23,250 --> 01:35:25,730
So like ultimately when he 
reports, I think people are 

1964
01:35:25,730 --> 01:35:28,210
gonna be like, you know, 
reminding you of Josh Jacobs 

1965
01:35:28,210 --> 01:35:30,850
stats last year. 
Whatever he's gonna shoot up to 

1966
01:35:30,850 --> 01:35:33,330
the end of the second round, 
he'll pass Jonathan Taylor. 

1967
01:35:33,620 --> 01:35:36,740
I think especially if Taylor's 
like injury stuff is still like 

1968
01:35:37,780 --> 01:35:41,380
knocking him down, so. 
That's that's holdout ends. 

1969
01:35:41,380 --> 01:35:42,660
You think he goes ahead of 
Taylor or not? 

1970
01:35:43,780 --> 01:35:46,180
No, no, probably. 
Probably not. 

1971
01:35:47,100 --> 01:35:51,420
Yeah, I think that's right. 
Yeah, to me, like, and I don't 

1972
01:35:51,420 --> 01:35:54,460
know, I'm speculating here, like
the Taylor like holdout stuff 

1973
01:35:54,460 --> 01:35:57,180
feels like worse than the Jacobs
Holdout stuff. 

1974
01:35:57,180 --> 01:35:59,260
But people have made arguments 
both ways. 

1975
01:35:59,910 --> 01:36:02,230
To me, the Taylor thing just 
feels like more personal. 

1976
01:36:02,230 --> 01:36:05,110
Plus you also have this like 
legitimate injury thing that's 

1977
01:36:05,110 --> 01:36:07,430
like, I don't think we can 
completely ignore the injury 

1978
01:36:07,430 --> 01:36:12,190
thing with with Taylor. 
So anyways, that's my stance on 

1979
01:36:12,190 --> 01:36:13,710
Jacobs. 
Let's talk through these running

1980
01:36:13,710 --> 01:36:17,910
back situations. 
There's there's a couple things 

1981
01:36:17,910 --> 01:36:21,830
that we learned here in the 
preseason on these running 

1982
01:36:21,830 --> 01:36:23,270
backs. 
We don't need to spend a ton of 

1983
01:36:23,270 --> 01:36:27,510
time on each one individually. 
I think how I'd summarize it. 

1984
01:36:28,080 --> 01:36:33,640
Is that like Kyron Williams and 
Kiante Ingram are like very 

1985
01:36:33,640 --> 01:36:38,160
clearly the running back twos on
their team, but they're on 

1986
01:36:38,160 --> 01:36:41,360
really like gross teams or just 
like talents we're not sure 

1987
01:36:41,360 --> 01:36:44,120
about. 
Whereas Rico Dowdle and Chris 

1988
01:36:44,120 --> 01:36:47,120
Evans are in much more exciting 
situations. 

1989
01:36:47,120 --> 01:36:49,600
But I think there's still like 
uncertainty as to whether 

1990
01:36:49,600 --> 01:36:51,880
they're actually the running 
back twos on their teams. 

1991
01:36:52,240 --> 01:36:55,160
And then Josh Kelly is like in 
the middle where like we don't. 

1992
01:36:55,320 --> 01:36:57,750
He's like his. 
I think Josh Kelly is pretty 

1993
01:36:57,750 --> 01:37:00,030
clearly the running back to. 
I just think it does. 

1994
01:37:00,150 --> 01:37:01,950
He might be the clear running 
back to you right now. 

1995
01:37:01,950 --> 01:37:04,870
But I think the chances of him 
holding that for 17 weeks are so

1996
01:37:04,870 --> 01:37:07,350
low because he's not very good. 
And this is what the Chargers 

1997
01:37:07,350 --> 01:37:10,030
always do or they have done the 
last three years. 

1998
01:37:10,030 --> 01:37:11,990
They've had one guy they thought
was going to be the running back

1999
01:37:11,990 --> 01:37:15,430
to and then it ended up being 
Caitlin Bellage or Sony Michelle

2000
01:37:15,430 --> 01:37:17,990
or whoever, just because these 
guys are, are no good. 

2001
01:37:19,550 --> 01:37:23,270
Dowdle, it is interesting. 
So he didn't start in the 

2002
01:37:23,270 --> 01:37:25,470
preseason last week. 
Malik Davis did. 

2003
01:37:25,470 --> 01:37:29,630
Then Dowdle started this week. 
I would be surprised if Dowdle 

2004
01:37:29,630 --> 01:37:33,830
holds the running back to job 
over Malik Davis, but I think 

2005
01:37:33,830 --> 01:37:36,230
the the weird flying the 
ointment here is that Deuce 

2006
01:37:36,230 --> 01:37:38,870
Vaughn seems like a lock for the
53. 

2007
01:37:38,950 --> 01:37:41,230
So there's really only and and 
deuce. 

2008
01:37:41,230 --> 01:37:43,550
Vaughn's role is sort of 
separate from Pollard and 

2009
01:37:43,550 --> 01:37:47,160
separate from the handcuff so 
there's only one of Dowdle or 

2010
01:37:47,160 --> 01:37:49,600
Davis can make the roster. 
I really thought it was going to

2011
01:37:49,600 --> 01:37:51,840
be Malik Davis. 
I feel less confident in that 

2012
01:37:51,840 --> 01:37:54,800
now especially because the 
athletics Cowboys writers 

2013
01:37:55,000 --> 01:37:57,680
project Dowdle to make the 53 
ahead. 

2014
01:37:58,080 --> 01:38:02,680
Kyron is like such a I have a 0 
running back team and I just 

2015
01:38:02,680 --> 01:38:03,960
need someone. 
I think he's going to be on the 

2016
01:38:03,960 --> 01:38:06,040
field in week one. 
Like you took a 0 running back 

2017
01:38:06,040 --> 01:38:09,720
team with with Brees Hall and 
Alvin Kamara and you're like I 

2018
01:38:09,720 --> 01:38:12,680
just might not have to I might 
not have a running back to who's

2019
01:38:12,680 --> 01:38:15,440
active. 
So I got to take Kyron Ingram. 

2020
01:38:15,440 --> 01:38:18,600
I actually think is kind of 
exciting because the Cardinals 

2021
01:38:18,600 --> 01:38:22,520
are gonna run a ton and you 
really are a James Connor ankle 

2022
01:38:22,520 --> 01:38:25,400
turn away from like an 80% snap 
share guy. 

2023
01:38:25,440 --> 01:38:28,800
Like, like truly, like, they 
they they're running back, dude.

2024
01:38:28,840 --> 01:38:31,760
They signed and then they 
immediately hurt Marlon Mack. 

2025
01:38:31,760 --> 01:38:34,800
So Corey Clement is the running 
back three, and he was just 

2026
01:38:34,800 --> 01:38:37,080
playing in the fourth quarter of
the second preseason. 

2027
01:38:37,080 --> 01:38:39,880
Yeah, it looks like he's behind 
like Amari de Marcado now. 

2028
01:38:39,880 --> 01:38:43,240
He like, got fully, Yeah. 
He's done, yeah. 

2029
01:38:43,930 --> 01:38:45,770
So that's my take. 
And then Chris Evans is a good 

2030
01:38:45,770 --> 01:38:46,890
pick. 
Those are my take. 

2031
01:38:46,890 --> 01:38:50,290
I think Chris, yeah, Pat, what, 
what, like, who are you taking 

2032
01:38:50,290 --> 01:38:52,810
out of this group, if anybody? 
I think you do. 

2033
01:38:52,850 --> 01:38:55,730
You want, listen, you want to 
take a guy who actually has the 

2034
01:38:55,730 --> 01:38:57,290
role. 
If you're diving into, it's like

2035
01:38:57,290 --> 01:39:00,490
otherwise just like go take Jeff
Wilson or Kenneth Gain. 

2036
01:39:00,490 --> 01:39:03,930
Well, you know, or like reach a 
little bit for Jalen Warren or 

2037
01:39:03,930 --> 01:39:07,170
you know, like all these dudes. 
I mean Jill Warren's like if 

2038
01:39:07,170 --> 01:39:08,370
you're reaching, you're not 
taking the 10th. 

2039
01:39:08,370 --> 01:39:09,450
So maybe that's not a good 
sample. 

2040
01:39:09,450 --> 01:39:11,730
But there's there's other guys 
where I'm. 

2041
01:39:12,880 --> 01:39:15,880
Pretty confident that I have 
something and I don't have to 

2042
01:39:15,880 --> 01:39:18,760
spend like that much more and 
then I can spend my last round 

2043
01:39:18,760 --> 01:39:20,840
pick on two to Atwell or that 
Michael Wilson. 

2044
01:39:20,840 --> 01:39:23,920
That's the other thing I wanted 
to say is my favorite 18th round

2045
01:39:23,920 --> 01:39:26,400
picks now are all wide 
receivers, which was not true 

2046
01:39:26,400 --> 01:39:28,240
among the tightest. 
So it's totally different. 

2047
01:39:28,280 --> 01:39:31,920
Yeah, the two V twos at tight. 
Like if you take the 13th round 

2048
01:39:31,920 --> 01:39:34,680
tight end and the 18th round 
running back. 

2049
01:39:34,680 --> 01:39:37,000
I'm almost always prefer the 
reverse of that where I've got 

2050
01:39:37,000 --> 01:39:39,360
the 13th round running back and 
the 18th round tight end. 

2051
01:39:39,360 --> 01:39:41,480
Or maybe it's 12th and 18th 
instead. 

2052
01:39:41,480 --> 01:39:42,120
Or whatever. 
But. 

2053
01:39:42,640 --> 01:39:46,600
Like if I'm going to dive into 
these very late round running 

2054
01:39:46,600 --> 01:39:48,800
backs, I would really prefer 
that they have a role because I 

2055
01:39:48,800 --> 01:39:50,160
don't think any of them are 
particularly good. 

2056
01:39:50,160 --> 01:39:51,480
Like I don't think Chris Evans 
is good. 

2057
01:39:51,480 --> 01:39:55,200
I don't think any of these guys 
have ever shown me anything to 

2058
01:39:55,200 --> 01:39:58,160
make me think they're good. 
I mean even Ingram who was like 

2059
01:39:58,320 --> 01:40:01,400
mildly interesting, was the 7th 
round pick they signed Marlon 

2060
01:40:01,400 --> 01:40:03,840
Mack to be the backup. 
Like when Marlon Mack came in, 

2061
01:40:03,840 --> 01:40:06,080
it was like, yeah, he'll be the 
number two now and they got 

2062
01:40:06,080 --> 01:40:08,720
hurt. 
So I don't mean, I don't know. 

2063
01:40:08,720 --> 01:40:11,750
I just like. 
If I don't have a like a 

2064
01:40:11,750 --> 01:40:13,990
definite role with these guys, 
what is the point? 

2065
01:40:14,030 --> 01:40:17,830
And that makes me actually the 
most interested in Josh Kelly 

2066
01:40:18,310 --> 01:40:21,710
and Kyron Williams. 
So it's the grossest of the two,

2067
01:40:21,710 --> 01:40:24,710
I think in terms of the talent. 
But like, I don't know like 

2068
01:40:24,710 --> 01:40:27,670
they're the guys, like they're 
clearly the number twos there 

2069
01:40:27,830 --> 01:40:32,070
that's, that might change. 
But right now I think I have by 

2070
01:40:32,070 --> 01:40:34,470
far the most confidence that 
Kyron Williams and Josh Kelly 

2071
01:40:34,470 --> 01:40:37,630
are actually the number twos. 
After that would probably be 

2072
01:40:37,870 --> 01:40:42,710
Ingram and Dowdle. 
But I don't know I I don't know 

2073
01:40:43,150 --> 01:40:45,150
how much confidence to have in 
doubt all I guess you guys could

2074
01:40:45,150 --> 01:40:47,470
like talk me into doubt all I 
don't even know that much about.

2075
01:40:47,470 --> 01:40:48,390
Him I see. 
I like. 

2076
01:40:48,390 --> 01:40:51,750
I like Malik Davis better. 
Yeah, I thought Malik Davis kind

2077
01:40:51,750 --> 01:40:54,830
of flashed so. 
Yeah but he's been he's he was 

2078
01:40:54,830 --> 01:40:57,510
clearly behind him in last 
week's pieces in game. 

2079
01:40:57,510 --> 01:41:00,590
Again he I think he played ahead
of him in the first pieces in 

2080
01:41:00,590 --> 01:41:03,310
the game. 
So it's a little weird, but man,

2081
01:41:03,310 --> 01:41:06,590
I don't know and maybe 
ultimately like these, I think 

2082
01:41:06,590 --> 01:41:09,030
these are now awesome guys on 
your managed. 

2083
01:41:09,470 --> 01:41:13,070
League radar, especially like 
Chris Evans, like on my manage 

2084
01:41:13,070 --> 01:41:17,150
league radar, I would be pretty 
pumped about taking Chris Evans 

2085
01:41:17,150 --> 01:41:19,230
and just seeing if he has the 
running back two role in 

2086
01:41:19,230 --> 01:41:22,510
Cincinnati Treyvion. 
Yeah, you can take Treyvion too.

2087
01:41:22,510 --> 01:41:27,190
Like, man, I don't know. 
I guess one last question like 

2088
01:41:27,470 --> 01:41:28,910
that. 
That is why I agree with that 

2089
01:41:28,910 --> 01:41:31,910
like take the bigger swings and 
manage like don't don't. 

2090
01:41:31,910 --> 01:41:34,390
Ohh I think it's Josh Kelly so 
I'll take Josh Kelly like that's

2091
01:41:34,390 --> 01:41:37,270
a best ball take. 
Yeah, to be clear, like bet on 

2092
01:41:37,270 --> 01:41:38,950
talent and manage because you 
can cut the guys. 

2093
01:41:39,510 --> 01:41:42,510
Yeah. 
The thing is though, like in 

2094
01:41:42,510 --> 01:41:46,550
basketball mania and maybe the 
best thing to say is like maybe 

2095
01:41:46,670 --> 01:41:49,670
maybe wait another week, another
10 days on these guys. 

2096
01:41:49,670 --> 01:41:52,630
And I think the situations will 
become a little bit clearer with

2097
01:41:52,630 --> 01:41:55,110
some of them. 
So not take like, I'm not saying

2098
01:41:55,110 --> 01:41:59,990
you have to take them now. 
I do think like in 10 days I do 

2099
01:41:59,990 --> 01:42:02,550
want to be taking some Dallas 
RV2. 

2100
01:42:02,550 --> 01:42:05,190
I do want to be taking some 
Cincinnati RV2. 

2101
01:42:06,120 --> 01:42:09,880
Just because man like they these
guys have not been drafted all 

2102
01:42:09,880 --> 01:42:13,640
of best fall mania and imagine 
like Joe Mixon tears his ACL. 

2103
01:42:13,640 --> 01:42:18,120
Like aren't you so pumped to 
have like the 50% snap share guy

2104
01:42:18,120 --> 01:42:19,520
instance? 
Even if it's like a full blown 

2105
01:42:19,520 --> 01:42:21,600
committee? 
Like, isn't that such an awesome

2106
01:42:21,600 --> 01:42:23,480
role to have shares or your 
team? 

2107
01:42:23,600 --> 01:42:25,960
Like like, let's just say for 
example, Joe Mixon. 

2108
01:42:25,960 --> 01:42:29,480
Like, let's let's say he gets 
arrested for whatever for this 

2109
01:42:29,480 --> 01:42:31,520
incident where he was 
brandishing a gun before a 

2110
01:42:31,520 --> 01:42:34,400
playoff game. 
Like where does where does Chris

2111
01:42:34,400 --> 01:42:38,240
Evans and Trevion Williams? 
And Chase Brown go like they all

2112
01:42:38,240 --> 01:42:41,680
get spiked up. 
Yeah, but like you only make a 

2113
01:42:41,680 --> 01:42:44,960
bet on one of those guys in Best
Ball and you don't get to change

2114
01:42:45,000 --> 01:42:47,800
the bet later. 
So like there is there's what 

2115
01:42:47,800 --> 01:42:49,960
are the chances that happens 
multiplied by what are the 

2116
01:42:49,960 --> 01:42:51,760
chances you actually drafted the
right guy. 

2117
01:42:52,360 --> 01:42:59,040
And that's to me, like in the 
comment here, Sueann said that 

2118
01:42:59,040 --> 01:43:02,280
he's not played that common 
women's hasn't played a 

2119
01:43:02,720 --> 01:43:05,920
preseason game, which is one of 
the reasons maybe his ADP hasn't

2120
01:43:05,920 --> 01:43:07,760
changed. 
I think that's pretty bullet. 

2121
01:43:07,920 --> 01:43:11,400
Not that's it. 
That's funny that, like for a 

2122
01:43:11,400 --> 01:43:14,080
Ram, not playing in a preseason 
game means you're playing in the

2123
01:43:14,080 --> 01:43:15,920
regular season. 
Means you're like a starter. 

2124
01:43:15,920 --> 01:43:18,800
Means you're like, obviously 
he's not a starter and Cam Inch 

2125
01:43:18,800 --> 01:43:20,760
is a starter, but he hasn't did.
You guys catch? 

2126
01:43:21,280 --> 01:43:23,600
Did you guys catch that 22 
rested Week 1? 

2127
01:43:24,000 --> 01:43:28,120
But Puka Nakua also rested in 
Week 2 with with that well. 

2128
01:43:28,160 --> 01:43:31,720
So Nakua is like won the 4th 
wide receiver job probably. 

2129
01:43:31,720 --> 01:43:33,800
Yeah, the Rams have pretty 
clearly signaled who their top 

2130
01:43:33,800 --> 01:43:35,560
four wide receivers and top 2 
running backs are. 

2131
01:43:35,560 --> 01:43:37,400
Like, I don't even think it's a 
question that Kyron's like, 

2132
01:43:37,400 --> 01:43:40,000
clearly the running back to you.
It's just like, man, it's you 

2133
01:43:40,000 --> 01:43:42,920
have to be pretty confident. 
He sucks and he's a pass 

2134
01:43:42,920 --> 01:43:44,440
catcher. 
I know he's not athletic, but he

2135
01:43:44,440 --> 01:43:47,510
was productive. 
And that's The thing is he's not

2136
01:43:47,510 --> 01:43:49,270
athletic. 
But he was good at Notre Dame 

2137
01:43:49,350 --> 01:43:51,350
like he was good. 
Yeah. 

2138
01:43:51,510 --> 01:43:54,350
And look, if I'm betting on a 
guy who's not athletic, I would 

2139
01:43:54,350 --> 01:43:56,830
really strongly prefer that he 
catches passes because that's a 

2140
01:43:56,830 --> 01:43:59,990
more skill based activity where 
you can actually, right. 

2141
01:44:00,510 --> 01:44:03,390
If you're overcoming athleticism
you want to do or lack of 

2142
01:44:03,390 --> 01:44:06,110
athleticism, you would like to 
be doing it with highly skilled 

2143
01:44:06,110 --> 01:44:08,430
stuff. 
And he's got that, like, I think

2144
01:44:09,520 --> 01:44:11,720
I'm, I'm gonna get more. 
I don't have a ton of Kyron on 

2145
01:44:11,720 --> 01:44:13,840
an underdog. 
I've got 5% of them on 

2146
01:44:13,840 --> 01:44:15,280
DraftKings. 
I've got a bunch of them on 

2147
01:44:15,280 --> 01:44:18,560
DraftKings, yeah, but I'm. 
I'm gonna start drafting him. 

2148
01:44:19,360 --> 01:44:21,040
We've gotten the information we 
need on Kyron. 

2149
01:44:21,040 --> 01:44:22,680
I think he's clearly the number 
two. 

2150
01:44:22,680 --> 01:44:26,400
I only have 2% on Underdog, and 
I think not that that's a leak 

2151
01:44:26,400 --> 01:44:28,080
because we didn't have this 
information. 

2152
01:44:28,240 --> 01:44:30,280
We've had it for maybe about a 
week and I sort of slept on it. 

2153
01:44:30,320 --> 01:44:32,680
But I think it's time. 
I think it's time to take Kyron.

2154
01:44:33,320 --> 01:44:36,200
These are sort of the microedges
that can be gained though, by 

2155
01:44:36,200 --> 01:44:39,200
the way, is stuff like taking 
Kyron Williams and Round 18 

2156
01:44:39,200 --> 01:44:41,560
right now. 
Because also from like a roster 

2157
01:44:41,560 --> 01:44:44,280
construction perspective, having
that in your back pocket is 

2158
01:44:44,280 --> 01:44:45,680
nice. 
And it does. 

2159
01:44:45,680 --> 01:44:49,720
Like for example, you'd be kind 
of locked out of Michael of 

2160
01:44:49,920 --> 01:44:52,560
Michael Wilson right now if you 
didn't really know what you were

2161
01:44:52,560 --> 01:44:54,000
doing with those eighteenth 
round picks. 

2162
01:44:54,000 --> 01:44:57,920
Now like you'd have to be like, 
well, I got to do XY&Z, but now 

2163
01:44:57,920 --> 01:45:00,920
you can if you can take Kyron or
you can take. 

2164
01:45:01,350 --> 01:45:04,670
Jake Ferguson, who's weirdly 
still available in round 18 

2165
01:45:04,670 --> 01:45:05,870
sometimes. 
Or two, two out. 

2166
01:45:05,870 --> 01:45:08,990
Well, or whoever it actually 
gives you buys you a little bit 

2167
01:45:08,990 --> 01:45:11,510
of flexibility back to take some
of these risers. 

2168
01:45:12,030 --> 01:45:14,670
Yeah, it is tough. 
And Pat made this point because 

2169
01:45:14,870 --> 01:45:17,990
structurally I'm like so rarely 
looking for running back in 

2170
01:45:17,990 --> 01:45:21,930
Round 18 because, yeah. 
Jalen Warren's available as my 

2171
01:45:22,050 --> 01:45:25,770
running back five in round 11 or
whatever and I'm just like let's

2172
01:45:25,770 --> 01:45:28,290
be done at running back and get 
a guy with the role like and 

2173
01:45:28,290 --> 01:45:30,370
then I can get, you know, 
whatever tight end. 

2174
01:45:30,530 --> 01:45:33,650
I can find tight ends and wide 
receivers so easily in around 18

2175
01:45:33,650 --> 01:45:37,850
that I know have roles. 
But it's like I think some 

2176
01:45:37,850 --> 01:45:41,930
percent of the time like I do 
want to embrace the uncertainty 

2177
01:45:41,930 --> 01:45:44,050
with these late round running 
backs who aren't being drafted 

2178
01:45:44,130 --> 01:45:46,050
at all. 
Like Chris Evans. 

2179
01:45:46,050 --> 01:45:48,770
I don't know how many PBM teams 
he's been drafted on, but like. 

2180
01:45:49,360 --> 01:45:52,680
1% of teams like again. 
That's that's a really good 

2181
01:45:52,680 --> 01:45:55,440
point. 
It's like, yeah, the leverage 

2182
01:45:55,840 --> 01:45:58,480
piece there is interesting. 
Can I ask you guys some because 

2183
01:45:58,600 --> 01:46:01,400
this is like almost a new topic.
It is a new topic, but I just, 

2184
01:46:01,440 --> 01:46:06,640
I'm so intrigued by what's 
happening with the 5-6 turn 

2185
01:46:07,080 --> 01:46:11,840
where all these wide receivers 
who are like features of the 

2186
01:46:11,840 --> 01:46:17,270
six, seven turn are coming up. 
Pickens, Evans, like all those 

2187
01:46:17,270 --> 01:46:20,830
guys, Waller not a wide receiver
but you know non running back 

2188
01:46:21,270 --> 01:46:25,150
kind of moving up to the 5-6 
turn and it's actually like 

2189
01:46:25,230 --> 01:46:29,750
still creating this. 
It's like even more running back

2190
01:46:29,750 --> 01:46:33,430
value maybe than we had 
previously where I thought we 

2191
01:46:33,430 --> 01:46:36,190
were going to get this these 
like running back values this 

2192
01:46:36,190 --> 01:46:39,270
time of year. 
But it's kind of the opposite. 

2193
01:46:39,270 --> 01:46:43,450
It's gotten even more wide 
receiver heavy to my mind. 

2194
01:46:44,090 --> 01:46:45,890
It has, yeah. 
It's just it's actually, it's 

2195
01:46:45,890 --> 01:46:48,970
very surprising to me and I 
don't quite know what to make of

2196
01:46:48,970 --> 01:46:51,890
it. 
Yeah, it's it's led me to like 

2197
01:46:52,570 --> 01:46:55,930
it's weird. 
It's led me to more like true 

2198
01:46:55,930 --> 01:46:58,530
hyper fragile builds than I was 
doing before. 

2199
01:46:58,530 --> 01:47:01,210
I was doing a lot of like 
running back early but then 

2200
01:47:01,210 --> 01:47:03,970
still ending up with five cuz 
I'd take a couple early, wait a 

2201
01:47:03,970 --> 01:47:06,450
bunch, take some of the Jalen 
Warren range and up with five. 

2202
01:47:07,190 --> 01:47:10,590
This ADP shift has like made me 
look at like the Sanders, the 

2203
01:47:10,630 --> 01:47:13,150
Acres guys like a little bit 
more and then so I'm just 

2204
01:47:13,150 --> 01:47:16,390
stopping at 4:00 which like I 
don't. 

2205
01:47:16,390 --> 01:47:18,670
You can argue if that's good or 
bad, but yeah, I agree with you 

2206
01:47:18,670 --> 01:47:19,070
Pat. 
I don't. 

2207
01:47:20,070 --> 01:47:22,830
I gotta think more about it cuz 
I honestly don't have a good 

2208
01:47:22,830 --> 01:47:27,230
answer whether that adjustment 
I'm making is is sharp or or or 

2209
01:47:27,230 --> 01:47:30,350
stupid. 
It's just like it feels like it 

2210
01:47:30,350 --> 01:47:33,790
feels like to me. 
I can the the quantity over 

2211
01:47:33,790 --> 01:47:37,020
quality at wide receiver thing. 
I think I have enough answers 

2212
01:47:37,020 --> 01:47:40,180
about why receivers late that I 
feel like I'm OK with doing with

2213
01:47:40,180 --> 01:47:45,860
the 24102 or 2493 thing and like
being OK, but certainly feels 

2214
01:47:45,900 --> 01:47:47,940
gross. 
So I don't know, it's it's 

2215
01:47:47,940 --> 01:47:49,180
weird. 
I'm surprised that that's 

2216
01:47:49,180 --> 01:47:52,260
happening because like Pickens, 
you know, I think Pickens is a 

2217
01:47:52,380 --> 01:47:55,300
OK breakout bet. 
But it was one I was kind of, 

2218
01:47:57,140 --> 01:48:00,180
you know, mostly in on in the 
early 7th round, but wasn't 

2219
01:48:00,180 --> 01:48:02,020
super excited. 
Now he's like in the early 6th 

2220
01:48:02,060 --> 01:48:06,150
and it's like, yeah, what is the
difference between him and 

2221
01:48:06,990 --> 01:48:09,790
Bateman? 
You know, like I I think I'd 

2222
01:48:09,790 --> 01:48:12,750
prefer Bateman. 
Well, Sean put Sean put Pickens 

2223
01:48:12,750 --> 01:48:14,830
in his 2024 second round 
preview. 

2224
01:48:14,990 --> 01:48:16,790
That's the difference. 
Well, that that is the 

2225
01:48:16,790 --> 01:48:19,510
difference. 
But, but I guess I'm like, I'm 

2226
01:48:19,510 --> 01:48:21,710
kind of leaning more towards 
what you're saying Sam. 

2227
01:48:21,710 --> 01:48:25,110
We're like, shit, I I'll take 
Damien Pierce or JK Dobbins. 

2228
01:48:25,150 --> 01:48:28,550
Yeah, in the early 6th instead. 
And that's my RB 3. 

2229
01:48:28,550 --> 01:48:30,750
And then maybe I grab one more 
and I'm done. 

2230
01:48:31,660 --> 01:48:34,060
So yeah, I kind of I've, I've 
been swimming against that 

2231
01:48:34,060 --> 01:48:37,340
current because I just, I mean, 
but I what I'm wondering is, am 

2232
01:48:37,340 --> 01:48:40,860
I just anchored to those 
previous Adp's that Jordan 

2233
01:48:40,860 --> 01:48:44,780
Addison should be a early 7th 
round pick and not a mid 6th and

2234
01:48:44,780 --> 01:48:49,540
Mike Evans should be in the 7th?
That's actually a pretty that. 

2235
01:48:49,660 --> 01:48:52,700
It's very good to be cognizant 
of that and not anchor yourself,

2236
01:48:52,700 --> 01:48:55,460
because then you're just gonna 
end up drafting a bunch of teams

2237
01:48:55,460 --> 01:48:58,700
with of followers, which I we 
don't really want actually, you 

2238
01:48:58,700 --> 01:49:01,110
know? 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

2239
01:49:01,270 --> 01:49:04,950
You gotta know when you're 
taking ADP value, you gotta know

2240
01:49:04,950 --> 01:49:08,270
if it's like real ADP value or 
if that guy is a syncing. 

2241
01:49:08,310 --> 01:49:10,630
Or if that's the direction the 
guy is going. 

2242
01:49:10,710 --> 01:49:14,790
Yeah, which I think I've had 
mixed success with that this 

2243
01:49:14,790 --> 01:49:18,650
year trying to scoop ADP value. 
I think usually I do it right, 

2244
01:49:18,650 --> 01:49:20,370
but like Michael Pittman is an 
example. 

2245
01:49:20,610 --> 01:49:23,130
I have a ton of Pittman, just 
cuz I was scooping Pittman 

2246
01:49:23,130 --> 01:49:25,850
earlier I was scooping value and
then it turned out. 

2247
01:49:25,970 --> 01:49:29,530
I don't think it was, really. 
Bad I I so I'm in this spot. 

2248
01:49:29,530 --> 01:49:32,050
I'm in this spot with Pittman 
where I don't even actually like

2249
01:49:32,050 --> 01:49:36,730
Michael Pittman, but just 
structurally pretty sure I fit 

2250
01:49:36,730 --> 01:49:38,050
around Pittman and I was 
getting. 

2251
01:49:38,450 --> 01:49:39,770
Those for. 
Sure I do. 

2252
01:49:39,890 --> 01:49:41,250
Yeah, it was good value couple 
of. 

2253
01:49:43,090 --> 01:49:47,630
I've got. 
I've got 12% Michael Pittman 

2254
01:49:47,630 --> 01:49:50,990
because I get in a spot in a 
draft where I'm like my 

2255
01:49:50,990 --> 01:49:52,670
quarterback isn't figured out 
yet. 

2256
01:49:52,870 --> 01:49:55,950
So I'll just take Pittman and 
then take Richardson and that'll

2257
01:49:55,950 --> 01:49:58,790
figure out quarterback for me. 
Like, I actually, I actually 

2258
01:49:58,790 --> 01:50:00,990
think Pittman's probably a 
pretty shitty bet, honestly, 

2259
01:50:01,190 --> 01:50:04,070
where he where he goes. 
But it's like structurally I 

2260
01:50:04,070 --> 01:50:06,830
need to give myself a high 
upside quarterback, wide 

2261
01:50:06,830 --> 01:50:09,350
receiver pairing. 
Well, here's the other issue for

2262
01:50:09,350 --> 01:50:12,830
me with that cuz I I caught 
myself doing that on a pick 

2263
01:50:12,830 --> 01:50:15,950
where I was like, you don't even
remotely like Pittman better 

2264
01:50:15,950 --> 01:50:17,390
than this guy. 
You're about to take him over. 

2265
01:50:17,390 --> 01:50:20,150
Like, wait, for me, it's Dotson 
and Pittman. 

2266
01:50:20,150 --> 01:50:24,030
I'm like, I like Dotson way 
better, but I don't like taking 

2267
01:50:24,030 --> 01:50:26,390
how nearly as much as I like 
taking Richardson. 

2268
01:50:26,750 --> 01:50:30,030
Yeah, so I have. 
I'm at 13, 1/2% Pittman. 

2269
01:50:30,270 --> 01:50:33,670
Yeah, on underdog. 
But the the alternate structure 

2270
01:50:33,670 --> 01:50:35,710
there is if you still need that 
quarterback and then you just 

2271
01:50:35,710 --> 01:50:37,790
take Richardson anyway and you 
go get Alec Pierce. 

2272
01:50:38,110 --> 01:50:42,150
But I have 19% Pierce. 
So I'm exhausted, that strategy 

2273
01:50:42,150 --> 01:50:43,940
as well. 
Maybe I'm just taking too much. 

2274
01:50:43,940 --> 01:50:47,220
Richardson is my fourth most 
drafted player, but he's he's 

2275
01:50:47,220 --> 01:50:50,900
someone I thought about doing 
for the riser because I think it

2276
01:50:50,980 --> 01:50:53,180
will occur to people he's the 
weak one starter eventually, 

2277
01:50:53,260 --> 01:50:56,780
right? 
Yeah, it should, yeah. 

2278
01:50:56,940 --> 01:50:59,780
I don't know. 
Pittman, like, I think where he 

2279
01:50:59,780 --> 01:51:04,660
goes now is totally fine. 
But yeah, it was a mistake for 

2280
01:51:04,660 --> 01:51:07,900
me to, like, not think about. 
He's a guy who's going to fall 

2281
01:51:07,900 --> 01:51:11,140
once people do projections, blah
blah blah. 

2282
01:51:11,960 --> 01:51:14,360
Man pick 75. 
The way I've been coping with my

2283
01:51:14,360 --> 01:51:19,000
Pittman exposure is he's DJ 
Moore about 45 picks later. 

2284
01:51:19,280 --> 01:51:22,120
The way you cope with it is you 
just tell yourself there's no 

2285
01:51:22,120 --> 01:51:24,680
way I have it real cope. 
No your hope. 

2286
01:51:24,680 --> 01:51:27,520
Your hope is you tell yourself 
there's no way I have him 

2287
01:51:27,760 --> 01:51:30,280
without Anthony Richardson. 
Even if it's not true. 

2288
01:51:30,320 --> 01:51:34,070
Even if it's not true. 
You definitely do, but just tell

2289
01:51:34,070 --> 01:51:35,790
you can't. 
You can't look at those teams. 

2290
01:51:35,870 --> 01:51:36,550
Don't go. 
Back can't. 

2291
01:51:36,630 --> 01:51:39,510
Look, you gotta just tell 
yourself, I only have him with 

2292
01:51:39,510 --> 01:51:41,390
Anthony Richardson. 
Anthony Richardson's gonna start

2293
01:51:41,390 --> 01:51:43,710
from week one. 
He's gonna grow into the job. 

2294
01:51:43,790 --> 01:51:47,950
And by Week 17 in that Dome game
against the shitty Raiders, it's

2295
01:51:47,950 --> 01:51:50,590
gonna be all ironed out. 
And it's gonna be beautiful. 

2296
01:51:51,110 --> 01:51:53,790
Yeah, I mean, load man's right. 
High win rate. 

2297
01:51:54,230 --> 01:51:57,310
Pittman's got Michael. 
UN ironically, that actually 

2298
01:51:57,310 --> 01:51:59,430
might be Michael Pittman. 
That's that's good. 

2299
01:51:59,670 --> 01:52:01,670
That's yeah, that's a good way, 
good way on the show. 

2300
01:52:03,460 --> 01:52:05,540
Good stuff guys. 
I think we'll be back next week 

2301
01:52:05,940 --> 01:52:08,900
doing whatever the high stakes 
tournament is. 

2302
01:52:08,900 --> 01:52:12,060
An underdog that is out at that 
point might be a bulldog, might 

2303
01:52:12,060 --> 01:52:13,900
be whatever they move on to 
next. 

2304
01:52:13,900 --> 01:52:17,780
But we'll be doing that draft 
live here, so we'll send more 

2305
01:52:17,780 --> 01:52:20,780
details out about that. 
But if you want to draft against

2306
01:52:20,780 --> 01:52:22,780
us, if you want to, you know, 
draft against the losers that 

2307
01:52:22,780 --> 01:52:26,100
just scoop ADP value and end up 
with 15% Michael Pittman, you'll

2308
01:52:26,100 --> 01:52:30,460
have a chance to do that. 
But yeah, this was a good show. 

2309
01:52:30,460 --> 01:52:32,420
Davis, Pat. 
Anything you guys have? 

2310
01:52:32,720 --> 01:52:36,400
Coming up their respective 
sites. 

2311
01:52:37,320 --> 01:52:40,240
JJ is going to be on the Take 
Cast and the Sports Grid Fans 

2312
01:52:40,240 --> 01:52:43,480
Football Podcast this week. 
We're going to do the last two 

2313
01:52:43,480 --> 01:52:48,200
years we've done just like if 
you're not a super virgin and 

2314
01:52:48,200 --> 01:52:51,200
you're just starting to do your 
fantasy football drafts now, 

2315
01:52:51,200 --> 01:52:55,600
like kind of like a draft guide.
So that I got that coming up and

2316
01:52:55,600 --> 01:52:57,000
then Crane and I are about to 
have. 

2317
01:52:57,570 --> 01:53:01,730
Maybe the most virginal, 
virginal discussion in the 

2318
01:53:01,730 --> 01:53:03,970
history of best ball. 
We're gonna talk about how 

2319
01:53:04,450 --> 01:53:07,730
dynasty drafting and dynasty 
rankings can help you draft best

2320
01:53:07,730 --> 01:53:12,250
ball teams, which is, I mean, 
that is down the fucking that is

2321
01:53:12,250 --> 01:53:15,450
down the rabbit hole. 
It was Eric's idea. 

2322
01:53:15,450 --> 01:53:18,810
So, maybe surprisingly, I don't 
know that he would have been the

2323
01:53:18,810 --> 01:53:20,530
favorite to be the most. 
Virginal, but it's not. 

2324
01:53:20,530 --> 01:53:21,730
I don't even understand. 
I don't. 

2325
01:53:21,890 --> 01:53:23,610
I'm not even a virgin enough to 
understand with it. 

2326
01:53:23,610 --> 01:53:24,330
What is it? 
Wow. 

2327
01:53:24,410 --> 01:53:30,400
Look at Sam's big. 
It's the idea of, I don't know, 

2328
01:53:30,400 --> 01:53:31,360
we're gonna, we'll figure it 
out. 

2329
01:53:31,360 --> 01:53:33,680
We'll discuss what the topic 
even means once we get on there.

2330
01:53:34,040 --> 01:53:35,000
Check it out. 
Cool. 

2331
01:53:35,000 --> 01:53:35,880
Legendary. 
Anything else? 

2332
01:53:36,240 --> 01:53:39,800
Anything else for you? 
Yeah, my legendary running back 

2333
01:53:39,800 --> 01:53:41,440
article. 
I'm going to have out later this

2334
01:53:41,440 --> 01:53:43,520
week. 
And it's free. 

2335
01:53:43,520 --> 01:53:46,960
Guys, It's completely free. 
So sign up for 

2336
01:53:46,960 --> 01:53:50,040
legendaryupside.com, Get on the 
newsletter. 

2337
01:53:50,320 --> 01:53:51,760
Get that delivered right to your
inbox. 

2338
01:53:52,600 --> 01:53:55,100
If you do want to sign up for 
the paid version, you can hear 

2339
01:53:55,100 --> 01:53:59,100
me narrate this thing and 
that'll cost you 99 bucks for 

2340
01:53:59,100 --> 01:54:00,860
the year. 
But you can get a $50 underdog 

2341
01:54:00,860 --> 01:54:05,140
credit on the on the main site 
there, there's a form you got to

2342
01:54:05,140 --> 01:54:07,220
fill out to give me your 
username and then you get that 

2343
01:54:07,220 --> 01:54:09,060
$50 underdog credit. 
So pretty sweet deal. 

2344
01:54:09,900 --> 01:54:12,980
And I think because of the way 
running back ADP is gone, I 

2345
01:54:12,980 --> 01:54:14,740
think I'm actually going to do a
followup article. 

2346
01:54:14,740 --> 01:54:17,580
Traditionally I've only done 
like the legendary running back 

2347
01:54:17,580 --> 01:54:20,740
article through the first you 
know, two rounds or so. 

2348
01:54:22,250 --> 01:54:25,410
But there's so many high upside 
guys going in like round four 

2349
01:54:25,410 --> 01:54:28,810
now that I think I'm going to do
a follow up article exploring 

2350
01:54:28,810 --> 01:54:30,250
the upside of the dead zone this
year. 

2351
01:54:30,250 --> 01:54:34,170
So lots of good running back 
analysis on the site in the next

2352
01:54:34,250 --> 01:54:36,930
week or so. 
Sounds awesome. 

2353
01:54:37,810 --> 01:54:41,010
We'll be back next week doing 
high stakes. 

2354
01:54:41,290 --> 01:54:43,930
Until then, good luck in your 
drafts.

