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From India's largest newsroom, 
I'm Arun George and this is the 

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Times of India podcast. 
The United Nations Climate 

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Change Conference of COP 28 in 
Dubai ended with delegates 

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applauding the deal that they 
had achieved after days of 

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uncertainty. 
Nations participating at the 

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event agreed that global 
greenhouse gas emissions need to

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be cut 43% by 2030 compared to 
2019 levels, and admitted that 

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nations were off track from 
earlier promises that had been 

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made. 
As per the agreement, nations 

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will take actions towards a 
tripling of renewable energy 

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capacity and a doubling of 
energy efficiency improvements 

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by 2030. 
Nations will also increase 

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efforts to phase down the use of
coal power. 

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Nation said they will try 
phasing out inefficient fossil 

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fuel subsidies and other 
measures to move away from using

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fossil fuels. 
That bit about fossil fuels was 

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at the center of controversy 
even before the start of COP 28.

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A BBC report had said Abu Dhabi 
was working to sign oil deals 

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with nations while they attended
COP 28 in Dubai. 

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A leaked letter showed that a 
group of oil producing nations 

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were urged to vote against 
moving away from the use of 

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fossil fuels like oil and 
natural gas. 

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Before the applause at the end 
of the summit, a negotiator for 

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Samoa, one of the worst hit 
nations in the world, pointed 

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out that not enough progress had
been made in Dubai. 

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We have come to the conclusion 
that the cost correction that is

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needed has not been secured. 
We have made an incremental 

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advancement over business as 
usual when what we really needed

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is an exponential step change in
our actions and support. 

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In today's episode, we look at 
what has been achieved in Dubai 

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and whether it's enough given 
the very real threat of climate 

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change in our lifetimes. 
Our guest is Aditya Bahadur, 

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who's been on the show before. 
Aditya is chair of the Research 

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and strategy team and principal 
researcher at the International 

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Institute for Environment and 
Development, or IIED. 

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We started by asking him how he 
viewed the summer and delegate 

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statement that not enough had 
been achieved. 

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Aditya, who's seen plenty of cop
meetings, says despite all the 

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cynicism, there is some reason 
for cheer. 

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People like me who've been at it
for a long time feel like 

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there's some reason to be 
cheerful. 

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Of course we haven't gone the 
entire distance in terms of 

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putting science front and 
center, but we've travelled 

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quite a lot to get here. 
And I say that for a couple of 

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reasons. 
One is the emphasis on the 

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transitioning out of fossil 
fuels. 

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I think acknowledged that 
there's a science base for what 

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we're trying to do. 
So I we can't say that science 

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was being ignored entirely. 
However, what one needs to 

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recognize is that a cop process 
is a political process, not a 

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scientific process. 
So there's always give and take 

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and there's always room to do 
more. 

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So I think science was 
acknowledged. 

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Maybe not to the optimal degree,
but there's reason to be 

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careful. 
But Aditya Bahadur also admits 

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that there was a massive 
shortcoming in the final 

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agreement. 
Where I feel very disappointed, 

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where I feel like scientific 
insights are being ignored, is 

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on adaptation, which is the 
field of work to help the 

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vulnerable people deal with the 
impacts of climate change that 

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we are facing here and now. 
And overall, there is consensus 

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amongst all of us who work on 
climate adaptation. 

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But not enough was done to 
recognize the immense amount of 

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damage that people are suffering
at the moment. 

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And not enough money and 
political will was mobilized to 

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help people adapt to climate 
change. 

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One thing that a lot was made of
with COP 28, and it's it came 

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before COP 28 began. 
It was happening during COP 28. 

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COP 28 was being in a held in a 
state where the chief revenue 

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source is fossil fuels. 
That's the case with COP 29 as 

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well, where people are pointing 
out that Azerbaijan is not 

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exactly going to support tuning 
our fossil fuels. 

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So how do you view then this 
final declaration on fossil 

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fuels? 
I think it's a very substantial 

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game and I feel like we need to 
acknowledge that. 

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And the transitioning away is a 
very positive development. 

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Ideally it should have been 
phasing out, there's no doubt 

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about that. 
But this is a messy political 

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process that's give and take, 
and the fact that we've settled 

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on transitioning away I think is
great. 

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The thing with fossil fuels is, 
especially in the West, you are 

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now seeing more and more intense
protests even in during Corp, 

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that you need to end the use of 
fossil fuel. 

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Why is it so difficult for us to
accept that we need to phase out

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fossil fuels? 
Is there no way it can be 

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accepted quickly enough? 
Foundation of the modern global 

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economy is fossil fuel. 
Even I sometimes when I think 

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about fossil fuel, I think about
fuel that we put in our cars. 

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But it's so much more than that.
It's the plastic that we 

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consume. 
You know, there's every part of 

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our own system is linked very 
closely to fossil fuels. 

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Our modern way of life is 
closely in blind with 

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prostitute. 
All our infrastructure is built 

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around the use of fossil fuels. 
So it is about recalibrating the

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very fiber of how we live our 
daily life moment to moment. 

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And I think that kind of a shift
takes time and takes a lot of 

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political wins. 
The other dimension of it is 

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lots of very strong economic 
interests linked to the use of 

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fossil fuels and linked to those
economic interests of political 

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interests. 
And unless we can figure out how

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to change incentives, we're 
never going to make the progress

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that, you know, this is what 
makes it too hard. 

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And while scientific clarity on 
the fact that we are all driving

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towards literally driving 
towards a Cliff edge where we're

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going to reach environmental 
tipping points is 1 very strong 

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incentive to move away from it. 
I think we need to develop 

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alternative approaches to 
supporting the modern economic 

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way of life that is happening 
slowly and until that gathers 

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momentum, I think this is going 
to continue being a problem so. 

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Why is a consensus on? 
What seems? 

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To be a problem that's here and 
now, so difficult to achieve, 

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there seems to be a huge 
problem. 

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Like, it's almost like the 
pandemic that you sort of hit 

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emergency stations. 
And yet over here we seem to 

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move at a sort of glacial pace. 
Is this how we've always been? 

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And this is perhaps how we'll 
see it go even in the future. 

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Yeah, I wish I had a 
satisfactory answer to that 

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question. 
The only thing that I can say 

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one is that I really think 
progress has been made. 

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If one looks at, you know, where
we are on some of these very 

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critical agendas and basically 
acknowledging that we have to 

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transition away from fossil 
fuels permanently, that was 

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unthinkable earlier. 
The second thing that I can only

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think about is why it's so 
difficult is because there's so 

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many political and economic 
complexities that are tied into 

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what we need to do to deal with 
the impacts of climate change. 

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You know, changing the modern 
way of life that is 

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intrinsically bound to the use 
of fossil fuels includes ships 

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on so many fronts 
simultaneously. 

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That just cannot happen as fast 
as we need it to happen. 

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So I think frustration is 
justified because we have a 

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limited time and a limited 
carbon budget that we are 

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blowing with alacrity at the 
moment. 

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And I certainly don't agree that
we don't have any examples of 

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progress being made on other 
similar fronts with the scale 

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and urgency needed. 
Beginning with the ozone crisis 

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is a positive case study that we
need to learn that was dealt 

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with and has largely been 
solved. 

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And it was, well, nothing is as 
complex as dealing with climate 

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change on a global scale, but it
was comparable in terms of the 

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cooperation needed by the kind 
of economic and political 

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interests that needed to align 
to agree on the monetary 

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protocol that has played a 
massive role in plugging the 

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ozone hole over the last few 
decades. 

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So yeah, I mean, sorry for that 
wishy washy answer, but that's 

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the best that I can give you. 
Another major part of the COP 28

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agreement is the mention of 
energy transition away from 

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coal, as well as introducing 
greater energy efficiency. 

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While there have been criticisms
of these provisions as being too

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vague, we asked Aditya Badur 
what he thought of this part of 

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the agreement. 
I think that clear 

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acknowledgement that we need to 
triple renewable energy capacity

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and double energy efficiency 
improvements over the next seven

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years, I think it's a pretty 
categorical and a pretty 

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important step forward. 
I'm sure others in an ideal 

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world would like much more, but 
we have to acknowledge where we 

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are and where they're going to. 
So I would not concede that it's

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been big in terms of renewable 
energy. 

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Yes, it's an expansion of the 
use of solar, wind, certain 

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kinds of hydroelectric power as 
well. 

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And in terms of energy 
efficiency, it's about 

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increasing it from 2% to 4% 
annually by 20-30 energy 

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efficiency simply, I'm sure 
there's a technical definition 

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out there, but it's simply about
trying to do the same thing by 

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using less energy. 
So light up a room to the tune 

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of 100 Watt bulb and in 
canvassing bulb but do it with 

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whatever 8 watts or something 
that an LED bulb does. 

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The one part of the final 
agreement that Aditya Bhadur is 

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critical about is the funding to
adapt to climate change and to 

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deal with its effects. 
India, like many other nations, 

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is estimated to be losing lives 
and economic growth due to 

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climate linked events like heat 
waves, droughts, floods and 

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cyclones. 
We asked Aditya Bhadur about his

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views on climate change linked 
finance, given that a fund for 

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loss and damage due to climate 
change has been created at COP 

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28. 
So where my it's optimism falls 

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away in on the climate finance 
story where I think the COP has 

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given me no reason to see the 
glass as half full or very 

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little reason, at least less 
than the other things. 

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With all agreed that rich 
countries need to provide $100 

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billion a year, when nowhere 
near that. 

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An extremely dodgy, highly 
spurious calculation puts the 

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2021 figure at 89 billion, but 
which has been by and large 

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criticized by all serious 
players. 

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A more accurate figure I think 
is around the 25 billion mark 

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which is 1/4 or what has been 
agreed. 

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Now, The funny thing is that 
even as this promise has not 

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been met, what we need to deal 
with the kind of climate change 

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that we're facing has massively 
increased. 

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And by some estimates, it stands
with something like $800 billion

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a year. 
And this is for reducing 

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greenhouse gases and helping 
people adapt. 

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For adaptation alone, the figure
is something within the range of

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200 to $400 billion a year. 
And just to put that in 

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perspective, only 200 million 
also have been pledged to the 

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adaptation fund, which is one of
a one very important fund. 

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So we are kind of nowhere near 
the kind of money that's needed.

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And even if you include the $700
million that has been notionally

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pledged for the loss and damage 
fund, that's nowhere near what 

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we need. 
And one must remember that the 

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$700 million isn't fresh and 
additional money. 

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It is redistributed largely from
within the same envelope of 

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money that countries were making
available to deal with climate 

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change. 
Despite science indicating that 

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human activity is contributing 
to global weather changes, 

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there's still no shortage of 
scepticism given the changes 

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needed in our lifestyles to deal
with climate change. 

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Aditya Bhador admits that he's 
encountered the skepticism 

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himself, but says there's now no
escaping the potential impacts 

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of climate change. 
You know, oftentimes people come

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up to me and say the world has 
existed for billions of years 

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when there was much more carbon.
It'll exist, I said. 

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Yes, of course the world will 
continue to exist, but it just 

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won't have human beings in it. 
So what will Aditya Bhadur be 

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watching for in COP 29, which 
will be held in Azerbaijan next 

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year? 
Unsatisfactory progress was made

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on agreeing on a global goal for
climate adaptation, Just as we 

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have the critical thresholds of 
two degree rise and 1.5° rise. 

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On the mitigation part, we don't
really have any comparable 

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target that the global community
is working towards an 

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adaptation. 
Not much progress on this was 

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made at this call, so we'd like 
to see some kind of a 

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substantial agreement happening 
around that. 

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The second thing is we would 
like to see more detail on how 

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this loss and damage fund the 
$700 million that can agree how 

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that's going to operate when 
money is going to be 

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distributed, who is going to be 
eligible for it. 

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I'd like to see that number go 
up overall in the next cup. 

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I think climate finance needs to
be front and center and this not

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only includes enhancing the 
quantity of climate finance, 

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which is ruefully inadequate at 
the moment, but also much more 

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agreement and progress on the 
quality and nature of this 

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finance. 
For instance, at the moment it's

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widely acknowledged that a lot 
of the finance goes to national 

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level, actors, institutions, 
ministries, etcetera, whereas 

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the people who are suffering 
most from climate change are at 

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the local level, at the village 
level for instance. 

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And money really doesn't reach 
these people. 

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So we would like to see progress
on new mechanisms through which 

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local actors and institutions 
can receive the financing and 

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the decision making ability to 
withstand climate change. 

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Like you said, you've seen it 
over 2 decades. 

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How is it to be looking at the 
science of it and be looking at 

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the political progress of it 
when you know it is proceeding 

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this incrementally? 
Given you look at things as 1/2 

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glass full, when you view 20 
years of it, do you still view 

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it as half glass full? 
I still do, of course. 

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I'm not trying to paper over the
fact that we're not taking 

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action as urgently as we need 
to, but it was inconceivable 

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even a few years ago that the 
countries of the world would 

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come together to jointly agree 
on transitioning away from 

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fossil fuels, the kind of 
entrenched positions that 

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existed in these deliberations. 
Only a few years ago, it was 

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inconceivable. 
In this COP we have seen a clear

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commitment to transition away 
from the use of fossil fuels 

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over the next few decades, which
I think is a massive achievement

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anywhere you look at it. 
Of course we can acknowledge 

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that the language around 
transitioning away isn't as hard

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or as scientific as we would 
like, but it is a massive step 

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change. 
So I still maintain my position 

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as a glass half full person and 
want to reinstate my faith in 

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the very complex multilateral 
process and this form of messy 

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cooperation that's needed 
between nations to arrive at the

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path forward. 
Today's episode was produced by 

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Jayaraj Singh and Sahil Gupta. 
For a daily spotlight on people,

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