Hey, it's Matt Harrison and this is fantasy football almost
daily. It's our third ever Fantasy
Friday show with me today, my Co host of the DFS podcast and my
buddy who's been on absolute fire with his picks.
It's my friend T-bone Jones. Trevor, how's it going Matt?
Yeah, doing all right. Let's try to turn some of the
daily quality information into a season long quality information
today. I mean, you've been killing it
on the daily side and and really winning a lot of our internal
money. So I feel a little bad that
you're taking too much of my money this year and maybe a
little bit too much of my other Co host.
For the first time on Fantasy Friday, we've got a legendary
fantasy podcaster was host of way, way back in the day, the
Fanball Pants Party podcast, which you don't want to say like
really close to somebody's face 'cause you'd be spitting, and
also the Fantasy Football Party podcast.
That's Anthony Maggio. Hey, Maj.
Hello gentlemen, I'm very excited to be here.
Thank you for having me and my lamp.
I do love Lamp. I do love Lamp.
Maj. you're a resident Bears fan.
And Trevor, you're a resident Packers fan.
And it's it's a great week to have both of you guys on the
show as it's Bears Packers week. And considering they're like
very far apart, you guys are Maz, you're in Colorado, Trevor,
you're in Minnesota. You're not going to come to
blows. But are you going to get a
friendly wager going in this one?
Yeah, I think we decided the, the, the the spread is is too
juicy to not bet on with somehow the Packers being 6 1/2 point
favorites like that. I I had guessed they'd be like
two or three. So I'm definitely taking bears
in the points in that one. Yeah, I don't know if we could
put like a $10 fan ball credit on the line since we're states
apart or what the a little harder to buy lunch for somebody
when they're states away. Send yeah, send some.
Send some. DoorDash or Uber Eats your way
or so. There we go.
I'll let you guys figure that part out today on the show.
We're going to go through all of the Week 14 games that are
taking place on Sunday and Monday.
There's some pretty good ones in there this week too.
Way, way different than last week's Sunday slate.
We'll also introduce you to 9 players on whom you can roll the
dice, and we'll see if our panel of experts will be able to solve
my 2 Tough nuts to crack. And at the very end of the show,
we're going to bring back an old favorite from the salad days at
KFAN. Lightning Round is going to come
back. It's going to make its
triumphant return this week. That's the end of my There's my
Lightning McQueen. Could you chow speed?
I am speed. Yeah, that's what it's about.
It's about speed this week. You got to go fast.
All right. It helps the show immensely if
you show your love and support with a follow and a
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give us a great rating or review on Spotify, Apple Podcast,
iHeartRadio, or even some thumbs up on the YouTube.
And we're going to dive right into the match ups.
And I have the extra match up this week, so I get to go 1st.
And for reasons only foretold by the prophecy, we have to start
today's show with the Monday night match up between the
Eagles and Chargers in LA. And I'll start on the Eagles
side. Jalen Hurts, I'll throw a silver
grade on here. The Chargers have been one of
the best pass defenses all year, only allowing 184 yards per game
through the air, which is second best in the league.
A few running quarterbacks have gotten it done, though.
Mahomes, who's now a running quarterback, Knicks, Dart and
Daniels all posted more than 30 rushing yards, and two of those
four scored as well. So Jalen Hurts still gets the
silver here, A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith.
It's a little bit tougher though.
The Chargers secondary has been great all year.
Dante Jackson and Derwin James each rank in the top 10 by Pro
Football folk Pro Football Focus in their rankings at their
respective positions. The best match up is against
slot corner Tar Hebe Still, who I did not just make up.
Still has allowed 100% of the passes thrown in his coverage to
be caught over the last four weeks and has a one O 4 passer
rating against him. He'll mostly match up with
Smith, who runs out of the slot about 60% of the time.
And so if you're going to catch 100% of the passes 60% of the
time, Devonta Smith is this week's Sex Panther. 60% of the
time it works every time. Nice job, you brought that all
together perfectly. I I couldn't believe it.
I'm going to give both Brown and Smith bronze grades, though
Brown's been getting a lot of targets lately and it's tough to
just completely pass on them in this one.
You know, still still is a terrible last name for a
defensive back, by the way. Like they're the worst.
Dallas Goddard is very touchdown dependent.
He hasn't scored one since Week 8, but the Clippers have allowed
six touchdowns to the tight end possession.
I call him the Clippers sometimes, including two last
week to Brock Bowers. He's a low grade commercial
bronze this week, which is the lowest grade of bronze you can
find on the market. There's probably other options,
but it's not the worst thing. If you have to start, Dallas
Goddard and Saquon Barkley might be the best way to beat the
Chargers. The Chargers have allowed 4.6
yards per carry. That's ninth most in the league.
They're also giving up about a rushing score per game to the
position. And if he continues to get 99%
of the running back touches, which he basically is getting,
he's always going to be at least a volume silver grade in this
one. Then we go to the Chargers side,
and it's tricky on a couple different levels.
We're going to start at the running game where Omarion
Hampton might come back or is it Kamani Vidal again?
So Hampton's practice window was opened last week, and he's been
nothing but limited in practice all week this week.
And he's still technically on IR.
But Jim Harbaugh is saying that he has a chance to play this
week. I don't know if that's
gamesmanship. I don't really buy it.
I think I've got Hampton and Vidal in two different leagues,
both on my roster. I'm starting Vidal in both
places right now because even if he returns, Hampton probably
isn't jumping back into a bell cow role specifically because
Vidal's been quality. 25 carries for 1/26 on the ground last week
plus a touchdown. And if Hampton plays, I think
they both get bronze grades and I'd think I'd prefer Hampton to
just be out this week and then I'll bump Vidal up to a silver.
The Eagles are surprisingly bottom 10 against running backs.
They've allowed 141 combo yards and over a touchdown per game.
And if that's all Kamani Vidal, I'm feeling pretty good.
And the Eagles look like they're going to be missing run
stuffing. D tackle Jalen Carter, who had
procedures on both shoulders this week.
How do you do that? Did did they cut off his arms?
Like what is he doing? I'm.
Trying to think how that would happen.
The double shoulder injury in the same game, yeah, that's.
Yeah, it's very like Monty Python Black Knight going on.
Just a flesh wound. Just a flesh wound, all right,
and then the next tough decision is Justin Herbert or Trey Lance,
and I think it's going to be the air bear in this one.
He had a procedure this week on his non throwing hand, but he
was already in practice this week with a brace on his left
hand and just chucking balls all over the place.
If you've got him starting you probably need to grab Lance as a
break glass in case of emergency option.
That would be a really sucky option on Monday night to have
to switch to, but you might want to grab him just in case.
I'm throwing a bronze grade at Herbert this week, which is like
throwing copper. Like the 1994 masterpiece by the
band live. Yes, Trevor, do you know the
band live? Nope, you just had a bunch of
words that I didn't know what they meant.
Yeah, I have it on cassette tape.
There you go. Herbert's still missing both
starting tackles, and the Eagles have allowed only one
quarterback to hit multiple passing scores since week. 5/3
of the last five quarterbacks they face have gone under 200
passing yards. So it's a tough hill for Herbert
and the Chargers wide receivers. This is tough as well.
The passing path is right at Adori Jackson.
He stays on the outside more often than not.
It's Quentin Johnston's side, but that dude is the fantasy
roller coaster. If he doesn't score a touchdown,
you're sunk. Case in point, he's had 0.0
fantasy points in two games in his last five.
That's gross. And the Eagles have allowed the
second fewest receiving touchdowns to wide receivers
this year with only six. With all those factors involved,
including Herbert's hand, the tackles, the Eagles pass rush is
good. Eagles have two stud corners and
Cooper De Jean and Quinjan Mitchell.
I'm leaving all of the Chargers wide receivers on the bench this
week, including Ladd Mcconkey and Keenan Allen.
By the way, Arande Gadsden is on the bench as well.
The Eagles are basically top five in every category against
the tight end position. So it's a tough passing matchup
for Herbert and whoever he's trying to throw the ball to.
All right, let's go to the next match up.
It's the Steelers and Ravens and Maj.
The Steelers head to Baltimore to take on the Ravens for first
place in the AFC North. Both teams have kind of had some
struggles as of late in the passing game.
On the Steelers side. Can you trust Aaron Rodgers and
company to get anything done through the air?
Boy, anything you're going to have to define that, but it's
it's not. I mean, they're putting the no
in an AFC North for sure right now with that offense.
But the at least, you know, weather wise, there's not a lot
to worry about in this one, which we can't say necessarily
for the next game. I've got to talk about.
But with Aaron Rodgers, I do think that you know, he can be
that that low grade bronze alloy, whatever that's we we
have at our disposal. This is more because the Ravens
defense just hasn't been what you would expect out of a a
classic Harbaugh defense. There they've had back-to-back
home games. They allowed seventeen points to
Tyrod Taylor and then 21.9 to Burrow the last two weeks, and
even one JJ McCarthy managed 21.2 fantasy points against this
defense with Rogers. He's got multiple touchdowns in
only five games this season. 3 of those games have been in his
four Rd. tilts. So you know he's actually done
better on the road than he has at home this year.
And then maybe not getting booed as much when he's on the road.
I don't know. So it, it, it just can't be
higher than a bronze though, 'cause he hasn't thrown multiple
touchdowns in a game since October 26th against Trevor's
Packers. He's got a three to two
touchdown interception ratio in his last four.
He also hasn't topped 161 passing yards in three weeks.
Cause high watermark this season is 249 as crazy.
So it's like, even if it hits, what does that look like?
Right? Nothing great.
So low grade bronze there in the run game.
Jalen Warren is a silver for me. He's got double digit carries
and 12 or more opportunities in every single game this season.
He's only gone over 70 rushing yards once though, and only
twice over 91 combo yards all season.
None of those have been in the last three weeks.
He hasn't scored in six career games against Baltimore.
He does have a touchdown in each of his last two though, four
overall in his last five. So that gets him up to that
silver with the usage that he has there.
The Ravens have held three straight opponents without a
running back score and have allowed only 100 yard rusher all
year. David Montgomery back in Week 3.
So that again, that's that's why you top out of that silver with
Warren. He just doesn't necessarily have
that ceiling. Kenneth Gainwell, you know,
we'll we'll give him that participation bronze there just
because the Ravens have allowed seven most receiving yards to
running backs this season. Gainwell's out targeted Warren
17 to 6 the last three games, though last game it was Warren
4:00 to 3:00 in that tilt against Buffalo.
That 42% snap share last week was his first time under 50% of
the snap since Week 9, and he had 16 or more opportunities in
back-to-back games before that. So I'm sort sort of seeing that
more as a blip than sort of regressing there.
So I do think Gamewell does have a little bit of usage here in
order to get that bronze grade. He does have 5 touchdowns this
season. Speaking of bronze, DK Metcalf,
you know, just because he's DK Metcalf and you have to like if
his name wasn't DK Metcalf, he might get nothing, but at least
the targets have been there. He's he's had an average of
seven in his last four games, hasn't Top 40 yards or scored.
Since that Packer game, I noted Ravens have allowed the 7th most
receptions to wide receivers and 10th most receiving yards and
touchdown. So, you know, he's on the field,
he's getting targeted. But again, because of that low
ceiling provided by Aaron Rodgers, there's just not a lot
there. So as such, you're benching
Kelvin Austin, the third Roman Wilson and there are three cooks
in that tight end kitchen and the they're they're not sharing
much of A pie within that kitchen.
So we'll go ahead and just bench all those guys on the Raven
side. Lamar Jackson might be the the
most sort of like what's going on fantasy player right now out
there. He had his third straight rough
outing last week. Now there was a totally phantom
offensive Pi call on what would have been a touchdown.
Isai Flowers, Isaiah likely fumble at the goal line.
So stats would have looked a whole lot better with two
touchdown passes in the last game.
But he's dealing with these injuries, right?
He's been limited in practice Wednesday, didn't practice
Thursday, limited again here Friday when we're recording
this. So it's, I mean, he's, he's the
freaking kid song head, shoulders, knees and toes,
although it's more lower body, knee, ankle, toe injuries.
You know, he missed three games with a hamstring strain.
Dude got caught behind by AD line from behind by AD lineman
last week. You know, so something's not
right there. And you take away that rushing
floor and he's just not Lamar Jackson.
The good news is Pittsburgh's been among the easier NFL
defenses for quarterbacks about the seven most passing yards, 20
touchdowns this year and even 4 rushing scores.
But again, I don't necessarily think Lamar's going to be taken
off and running here. The one goal grade I've got in
this game is Derrick Henry. Pittsburgh's been above average
against the run, just six combined touchdowns.
But I mean, this is Derrick Henry.
He scored four times in the last three games, at least 88 combo
yards. And it is now officially, I
don't know if you guys knew this December, 22 career touchdowns
in 21 career December games. That's his most overall.
And he's got his highest per game percentage of any month.
And his 96.7 rushing yards per game in December is like 20
yards more than his next best November.
Well, January's kind of out of it.
He's played two career January games as well, regular season
ones where he's also D Hember extends into January.
I don't know if you knew that. It's science.
So against Pittsburgh, he's played them a lot, averages 92
combo yards with three total touchdowns and five for your
game. So we love our our, ourselves
and Derek Henry bench and Keaton Mitchell, Rasheen Ali, they just
don't get enough work here on the receiving side.
Zay Flowers is the one wide receiver with a a a starting
medal. Silver Steelers have been sifts
wide receivers. They give up leave the most
14.08 receptions per game to whiteouts, 171.75 combined yards
per game. That's second most in the
league. The last time a wide receiver
didn't score in a game against Pittsburgh was Week 6, and that
was Cleveland, so that doesn't even really count.
Zay's getting those opportunities 5 or more targets
in all the one game this season. He's topped out at 7 in his last
five games and 78 yards without a touchdown since Week 1.
Which is why it's only a Silver. But he's got pretty good
averages 70.7 yards per game in his three career games against
Pittsburgh with a touchdown. We got Bateman and Hopkins on
the bench. They're just not doing enough,
not enough love to go around in that passing game.
The two, the two tight ends, though, both bronzes.
Mark Andrews. Pittsburgh is one of the
friendlier teams to tight ends. They allow the ninth most
receding yards per game to the position and seven touchdowns
this season. And Andrews is getting
consistent work. 5 or more targets and three of his last
four, but only one touchdown in that stretch.
And the yardage totals just really aren't there. 102 yards
combined in those games. And dudes played Pittsburgh 12
times in his career, including playoffs.
Only one touchdown. So this is really where the
Isaiah Likely story starts because he hasn't scored this
season, but he's had three or more targets in five straight
season high six last week season high 95 yards.
Unfortunately, like I noted, that fumble into the end zone,
it's the lower floor thing, though he's only topped 17 yards
in a game once. He has scored three times in
seven career games against Pittsburgh.
He's getting the consistent snap shares.
So it's one of those things where likely sort of the higher
ceiling, lower floor guy, which is how you end up with a bronze
grade on both him and Mark Andrews.
All right, shoot for the moon with likely there now.
It's the moment we've all been waiting for.
Really. It's time for Bears Packers.
And basically it's the battle for first place in the NFC
North. Might be the battle for the one
seed in the NFC, at least the first of two.
Trevor, you're the Packers fan here.
What part of the? Ben Johnson offense concerns you
the most in Lambeau this weekend.
The run game that's obviously just been excellent for what,
about a month now? So yeah, we'll start there.
I give both Swift and Kyle Munungai bronze medals this
week. Only the Bills have run the ball
more often than Chicago this season.
Bears are averaging 29 running back carries per game over the
last five. So there's plenty of work for
both of these guys. Swift himself has 18 plus
touches and three of his last four.
Well, Mungai's got 12 plus touches, the touchdown at three
straight himself. It is a tough matchup.
Green Bay's got the lowest missed tackle rate in the
league, the best EPA per rush out of light boxes on defense
and our top 10 rushing yards allowed per game at 98 yards per
game for the season. We did just lose Devante Wyatt,
their starting nose tackle for the year.
Like I said, the volume keeps both of these guys in play at
bronze. Caleb Williams, we're going to
put him on the bench. The Packers defense has allowed
more than 236 passing yards just once all season.
Like we talked about, the Bears are really heavy run team.
Green Bay's have given up just one multi touchdown to a multi
touchdown game to a quarterback since week 9.
So there's just there's not a lot there.
Roma Dunze is the only guy in the receiving forum giving a
bronze grade 2. We'll keep the rest of the
receivers on the bench. Rome's led the team at Target
Ski to the past four weeks at nearly 8 per game.
That's about where the good news ends.
Unfortunately. He's got just 8 catches for over
100 yards combined in those past 3.
Green Bay is top half the league defending receivers.
We're leave everyone else on the bench, but I would keep an eye
on Luther Burden going forward. He's got at least three catches
and four straight. Obviously a rookie maybe kind of
turning on at the end of the year here.
So just keep tabs on him. Colston Loveland and Cole
commit, I'm going to bench Loveland.
You could maybe throw the the participation medal at if you
wanted. When they're both healthy,
commit sees a little more playing time, but it's it's
really even they both kind of play about the same.
Loveland's got 3 catches in seven straight games.
Just one touchdown all year against anyone other than the
Bengals and their all time terrible.
Holy cow is this real tight end defense on the Packers side.
There's not a ton more options here.
We got 3 startable grades. Jordan Love's got bronze.
Chicago did get to their top two corners, both Jaylen Johnson and
Kyler Gordon back from injury recently.
Those guys are very good. That certainly gives their
secondary a boost. It is still a really good match
up that there's allowed the third most passing touchdowns in
the league. Jordan Love has multiple
passing, multiple touchdowns in all three of the Bears games
that he's finished in his career.
The Week 18 arm injury that he sat out the second-half, missed
multiple, multiple touchdowns in that one.
Josh Jacobs is a great play this week.
We're giving him a goal. In games that he started and
finished this year, he averages 21 touches.
We know that Lafleur loves riding him in big games, which
this absolutely is, and his first game back from injury
after resting against Minnesota. He immediately dominated.
The running back touches saw 18 of 24 opportunities, and that
was with a little more Chris Brooks mixed in than we're used
to. I think that was partially just
Jacobs being on the real short Thanksgiving week.
Chicago's not a scary match up. Their bottom 10 in both yards
per carry and rushing yards allowed and Josh Jacobs had 10
days to rest. Whatever was kind of ailing him
there. Christian Watson, we're going to
give a bronze Grade 2. He's been solid since he came
back from injury. Six straight games with at least
45 yards and he's got 3 scores in his last three games.
He's also led the Packers and targets for two straight weeks
now. The rest of the receivers going
to keep on the bench. The Packers are expected to get
both Jane Reed and Matthew Golden back.
So it's just tough to pick who's going to be on the field.
My favorite is Dobbs just because he gets the most snaps.
But we're probably going to need to see this shake out a little
bit before we feel confident in anyone other than Watson side
end. We don't need to talk about
that. We're not going to talk about
Luke Musgrave today. So that's.
All it's time for Trevor. That was a very good, you know,
Packers forward match up. Now it's time for Maj. to rebut
your. The green just goes to orange
and blue. Over.
Fade over. I saw Maj's eyes just go, Oh my
God, when? When you put Caleb Williams on
the bench. Man, he's going to be part of
that rushing attack for the Bears this week.
He's been, I mean. Kayla's been inconsistent, you
know, as a as a passer. And I think even Ben Johnson
said that. So yeah, it's it's, you know, no
easy sled in going up to Green Bay.
So he's he's certainly he's not as high as he is most weeks in
the rankings, I'm sure. But but yes, my heart hurt a
little bit when I heard bench bench grade on Caleb.
It's a bummer. The only way you're going to be
able to get over that is to take a little time to hear a little
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twomorerarepackslearnmore@gameblazers.com. Welcome back to fantasy
football. Almost daily you can find me
Matt Harrison on Twitter or Blue Sky at Explosive Output.
Trevor is at T Jones 5 on the Twitter Machine and Anthony
Maggio at Blue Sky at No Comaggio, and it's like Joe
DiMaggio but without the duh. Yeah, there.
We go, we got the duh. I noticed in that ad the lack of
lamp and I didn't like it. I'm gonna have to keep this.
I need to get a second lamp so I can leave this one down here.
I I agree that you need more lamps in your life.
I mean, that could just be your lamp all year round in your
office. Yeah, that you know that is
true. I leave it upstairs.
So it usually lives in the like I live where the the road kind
of tease and so everybody drives like straight in my house.
And then right in that center upstairs window is the the soft
glow of electric sex leaving in the window for everyone.
So it it it needs to be there for the holiday season.
But yeah, the other eleven months it can be right here.
That's true. All right, it's time for a
segment we like to call Roll the Dice.
It's now time to roll the dice. These are 9 players that might
not normally be in your lineup, but you may want to roll the
dice on them this week. Let's start with the quarterback
position and Trevor Jones. Who do you got?
Yeah, I was all teed up for Marcus Mariota here until we got
the news of Gene Daniels. It's going to start about what,
an hour before the pod started? So it's a little weird to be
Jane Daniels as my ticket or my roll the dice quarterback, but
it is a tough. What are you taking a chance on?
You're rolling the. Dice here.
Yeah, we'll roll the dice again on a tough Vikings defense here.
So JD 5 always gives you that rushing ability.
Obviously Minnesota has been strong season long against
rushing quarterbacks. They've only faced 3 who can
kind of actually run. They gave up 36 to Lamar early
off of his injury, 58 and one to Caleb in week 1, and then 26 to
Caleb two weeks ago. So there is a little bit of room
there for JD to have some rushing success.
Also, he'll have his full pass catching Arsenal back as none of
the top skilled position players or even on the injury report,
which you can't say much this year for that Washington team,
especially the receivers. I don't know.
I just wonder if you could see the sort of the sort of team
lifting performance that we got from Joe Burrow in his first
game back against the Revenge on Thursday night.
All right. Jaden Daniels is is Trevor's
Roll the Dice quarterback and Maj. who is your quarterback at
the roll the dice position? I like to get guys that are like
in my age bracket. So I'm going with Tyrod Taylor
versus the Dolphins now. He's actually probably, he's
probably still like 6 years as. A younger, younger thing.
It would have to be Aaron Rodgers.
Plus, at this point, I'm, I'm, I'm at the age now where I leave
my reading glasses within, you know, arm's reach.
And I have a bag and I have a bag of Werther's ready in case.
There we go. Yeah.
You can't use Tom Brady as your roll the dice sported like this
week. So now I'm going to Rod Taylor
going against the Dolphins should be fine weather wise.
They're in in New Jersey. The Dolphins, they've allowed
the third most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season, just
slightly under 25 yards game. They've also allowed multiple
passing scores and three of their last four.
Now the last time these two teams met down in South Beach,
it was Justin Fields still at the helm there.
He had a 226 yard performance, threw a touchdown, also rushed
for 81 yards and a touchdown in that game.
Of course, Tyrod's the old man's version of of Justin Fields, but
he was able to really make some hay with AD Mitchell and John
Mitchie last week. He's scrambling.
He's really, you know, he he keeps it looking like a
professional outfit on that offense.
So he he does have just the one passing score in each game he
started, but he's got 63 rushing yards and a score plus only one
interception. You know, he he should have had
that second touchdown last week. Your buddy John Metchy dropped
one in the third quarter there in the end zone mat.
So but you know, it's, it's not a super high ceiling here, but
he's a guy like, you know, if I were doing like my own weekly
rankings, just despite my disdain for the bench grade on
Caleb, you know, Tyrod Taylor might be ahead of him there in
the rankings. Wow, we got Maj. to admit that
Tyrod Taylor is a better quarterback than Caleb William.
Print it. I got Tyler Shuck at Tampa Bay.
Multiple touchdown passes and two of his last three for Shuck,
239 or more passing yards in each of the last three and
Tampa's on the docket this week. Their past defense has been
dinged badly in the last month. Every quarterback in the last
four weeks against Tampa Bay has hit 270 yards and multiple
touchdown passes. If that's the if that's the low
watermark, Tyler Shuck easy in this one.
All right, we'll move on to the running back position.
Trevor, who you got? Yeah, we'll go Zach Charbonnay
at Atlanta this week. No weather issues, obviously.
Inside the Dome. Charbonnay's averaging 11
touches per game since Seattle's Week 8 by and he's the preferred
red zone goal line option. Charbonnay's out touched Ken
Walker 20 to 11 inside the 10 yard line this year. 7
touchdowns to Walker's three from that range.
Atlanta's a good matchup, bottom half the league and rushed yards
allowed and running back touches allowed.
Specifically the touches is important.
The Seahawks are a good bet to clear 30 plus carries in this
one. Three of their last four games
we've seen 3933 and 32 rushing attempts, and they're more than
a touchdown favorite in Atlanta. I think Sarbani Locka could
build C15 plus touches and a touchdown here.
All right, Maj., who do you got at your Roll the Dice runner?
Sticking with ties, I'm going with Ty Johnson instead of Tyrod
Taylor. He has had a steady 27% or more
snap share now for a month and then six of his last seven
games. The the, the Bills last week ran
the ball 51 times as a team, which is insane.
So Ray Davis actually got 9 carries and that's 62 yards.
But that was really that was his first work in a in a couple of
weeks. You know, it really Ty Johnson's
that passing down back and you know, this is a game where it's
one of the higher than 52 1/2 for an over under in this game.
You know, Cincinnati can put up points.
So I do think that Johnson's going to be on the field
continuing his his streak of that high snap share.
He's got 25 or more combo yards and four straight 52 or more and
two of his last three. And I you know, I think he
catches a couple passes here. So this might be more of like
APPR, you know, if if you're in a standard league and might not
be the shine on that metal might not be quite as bright.
But I think that this is an opportunity to sneak tie Johnson
into some line UPS. All right, Maj. you had a a tie
and a tie for for your quarterback and your running
back. I had Tyler Shuck and now I'm
going to tie J Spears. Here we go, More ties.
I hope it's not a tie in Cleveland against Tennessee.
That would be gross, would be all.
Right for that game. It would be.
It's impossible to run against Cleveland.
It's also impossible to drop back to pass for longer than two
seconds against the Browns or Miles Garrett will kill you.
So that's why in just the last two weeks, running backs have
had 17 receptions against the Browns defense in just two
weeks. Spears caught all six of his
targets last week, by the way. He's only not caught two of his
30 targets this year. He's a nearer lock for five
catches and 30 yards in a normal game in PPR.
That's eight points. Everything else that he does is
gravy in this one. All right, let's go to the
receiver position. A wide receiver or a tight end.
Trevor, you're going first. Yeah, we'll go for the tight end
portion here. We'll go Bretton Strange,
Jacksonville's tight end, home against Indianapolis this week.
So Strange has started and finished six games this year.
In those games, he's gone under 10 PPR points just once,
technically twice there was a 9.9 in there.
He has at least three receptions in all.
Six of those as well. A former second round pick leads
the team, lead the team, excuse me in catches and yards two
weeks ago and then followed it up last week with a three for 45
and one outing were the Jags tied on defense we know is
terrible. Gives up second most catches,
4th most yards. The Colts kind of invert that.
They give the fifth most catches and the second most yards to the
position. Bretton Strange good pick this
week. All right, there we go.
We got a tight end, Maj. What do you got, a wide receiver
or a tight end? This.
Week I got I have a wide receiver and I'll say in the the
spirit of the ties, I did my damnedest to make a Tyler Locket
and I just couldn't couldn't fudge the numbers enough to be.
Fair, I couldn't get to a starting grade on him either so.
There's, you know, Tyrell Shavers was an option where
Buffalo, as you know, I just can't, you know, is is too far
down. So Jayden Higgins, we'll call
his middle things probably tie at Kansas City.
He's had a 56% or more snap rate in seven of his last eight
games, including four straight. So, you know, they've really
gotten him more and more involved here in his rookie
season. And he's a big dude.
Like with him and Nico Collins on the field, that's, you know,
that's quite the task, the literal the literal tall task
for defensive backs. So four more receptions in four
straight in five of his last six games.
His targets the last four weeks, 779 and five touchdowns and two
of those a floor of 38 8 yards. Now, you know, unfortunately,
all four of his touchdowns have come at home this year.
So the home Rd. splits don't look as great from a fantasy
scoring standpoint. But I am confident that even
though that Texans defense is really good, that Mahomes is
going to do enough to keep the scoring happening.
You know, like the Houston can't just completely take the air out
of the ball there. So he'll drop Stroud will drop
back enough in this game to keep Jayden Higgins, Jayden Ty
Higgins relevant. There we go.
I had two ties in my my third, my receiver.
If you drop the R and the O from his name, it would be Ty
Franklin, but it's Troy Franklin.
This week's matchup is just so juicy against Las Vegas.
Franklin scored in the Week 10 meeting versus the Raiders, but
the problem is, is he hasn't scored a touchdown since that
one. And his buddy Bo Nix, he targets
him in the red zone. Franklin's the best red zone
target that they have there. It's been shown over the year
and the Raiders have allowed the fifth most touchdowns to
opposing wide receivers this year, including two more last
week to the Chargers wide receivers.
So I got Troy Franklin in this one.
Time to pop back into the match ups and we're going to go to 1
of mine. It's the Dolphins and The Jets.
And almost laughably, this is a match up between two of the
hottest teams in the AFC. The Dolphins have won four of
their last five and The Jets have won three of their last
five. So what's the big key to their
success? Well, on the Dolphin side, it's
Devon A Chan. He's gold, Jerry.
Oh, I got to hit that button. I love gold.
Oh, I missed that one. How about this one?
That's Gold Jerry, Gold, Jerry Gold A Chan has had at least 16
PPR points in the last five weeks where the Dolphins have
won those four games. Last week was the first week in
a month that he didn't catch 5 passes.
He's had three straight games of 120 or more rushing yards and
the last three top running backs to face The Jets have had 3222
and 30 PPR points. He's in a smash spot this week.
The rest of his team is not though.
Tua Tungevailoa is on the bench, as is Jalen Waddle.
The Jets defense is not bad, at least against the past, even
after losing Sauce Gardner and Quinn and Williams.
They held Lamar Jackson to 153 and no scores 2 weeks ago.
They held Kirk Cousins to 2:34 and 1:00 and Tua hasn't topped
to 100 yards in the last three weeks.
And two of those games were against the Commanders and the
Saints. He's not getting it done against
those guys. Why is he going to get it done
against The Jets, who are actually kind of good at pasty?
Waddle is getting like 3 catches per game now and I think the
upside you can hope for is what Zay Flowers did two weeks ago
and that was 5 catches for 58 scoreless yards.
So that's a bench grade for me for Waddle.
Not in on Darren Waller either, but if he's available in your
league, pick him up and stash him on your bench right now
because he gets Pittsburgh and Cincinnati in the next two weeks
and it's Pittsburgh. Their tight end defense is bad
and Cincinnati's the worst in history in your fantasy
semifinals. So Waller could be very
startable in your fantasy playoffs on the jet side, Breece
Hall, he's still a bell cow. Another 21 touches last week.
By the way, Isaiah Davis had 0 touches and one target last
week. Didn't catch that target.
And the Dolphins are allowing the fifth most combo yards per
game to opposing runners at A at a 145 per game clip.
That's all Breece Hall. He gets a gold grade in this
one. Tyrod Taylor was Maj's roll the
dice quarterback. John Mechi and AD Mitchell could
get it done against Miami because Chris Olave and Devon
Vaile got it done last week. Both scored a touchdown and
cleared 14 PPR points. Mitchell was the focal point
last week, clearing 100 yards, scoring and most importantly not
dropping any balls, especially in near the end zone.
Mechi saw 8 targets as well last week.
Tyrod's throwing the ball. I can find my way to bronze
grades on both, but I bet in many cases you have better
options. But I think I'd like both of
these Jets receivers specifically over the Chargers
receivers who I Pooh poohed in my earlier match up.
So that's kind of where we're at when we get down to it.
Mason Taylor's the last player in this game.
He's got a bronze grade as well. The Dolphins have allowed the
6th most receptions, yards, and scores to the tight end
position. He's probably capped at like 9
PPR points though. Is that's what Juan Johnson,
Zach Ertz, and Isaiah likely scored in the last four games.
So if you need Mason Taylor to score you 9 points and that'll
help you, that's what you're looking at.
So it's a very, very weak bronze grid.
One of the more intriguing games on the Sunday slate is a match
up between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow in what could be snowy
Buffalo. I I gave my Yukon Cornelius game
of the week and I'll play Yukon here.
Gold and silver. Silver and gold and we hope this
is rich with gold and silver, silver and gold.
But I gave it to the Detroit Dallas game in my Thursday night
match up and I think I nailed that because there was a lot of
good game good players in that game.
But I assume even a in a difficult match up Maj. against
a tough Bills past defense, we're still firing up Joe Burrow
and Jamar Chase. Oh yeah, absolutely.
I've got a silver grade on Burrow and a gold on Chase to to
to get our silver and gold out of the way there.
It's like the one Christmas movie I don't have physically
referenced on me right now, but that's right.
Yeah. With with Burrow, you're.
Wearing a stocking cap like Yukon Cornelius.
That's true. And I got Beard going and it's
turning white. So yeah.
Yeah. He this is a Bill's defense
that's only allowed multiple touchdown passes four times all
year and no more than two in any game.
So that's led to 12 for the year, fewest of any team.
And only Mahomes has actually surpassed 175 net passing yards
in their last six games. But I mean, it it like you said
that that's why it's a silver grade on Joe Burrow, not a gold
grade as it typically would be. His toe didn't really seem to
limit him last week. He scrambled a few times, even
had a fourth down QB sneak after not playing at all since Week 2.
So yeah, you're firing up your Joe Burrow.
I'm gonna pivot. I've got the running backs here
next. I wanna talk about them quick
because this is a very bad Bills run defense, but I've actually
only got a silver grade on Chase Brown.
So let's let's get the Bill stuff out of the way As far as
their defense, they have actually improved their last two
games. They played Texans and Steelers,
2 teams who would much rather run the ball than throw the ball
and they combined for just 166 yards and one rushing touchdown.
The the problem here when you're looking at Chase Brown.
So you had Semaj P Ryan return to action last week after a
three-game absence. Now, if all you're doing is
looking at Chase Brown box scores, you're like, so big
freaking deal, right? The Bengals ran 80 plays last
week, which their average is below 61, even including that
80. Like this is a team that does
not get off that amount of plays.
It just it ended up being one of those games.
So, you know, Semaj P Ryan returned and actually got right
back to his 40% snapshare and Chase Brown was down to 60%
after he had a very successful stint as a bell cow when Semaj P
Ryan was out. And not surprisingly, he's shown
he has the talent to do that. And and so even, you know, even
though his box score like, you know, looked the way it did and
he's now got six straight games with 100 plus combo yards.
I, I just can't get them, you know, up to that goal because of
Semaj P Ryan being there and taking enough of that volume
away. And, and with P Ryan, frankly, I
do think you can get that deep league bronze participation
trophy bronze on if you had to. He's actually kind of in that in
the same game. I talked about Ty Johnson
already, and they're sort of like that mirror of each other
based on how these offenses work because of that play volume last
week, Semaj P Ryan got 14 carries and two targets in his
first game back. He ain't getting that.
If I could promise you 16 opportunities for Semaj P Ryan,
you, you'd be more than a bronze against this defense.
But, you know, I do think there's going to be plenty of
passing here, like I said, with Burrow in that silver grade and
then needing to keep up, you know, with the Bills offense.
So again, you could potentially sneak him into your line of if
you needed to. Jamar Chase, he's Jamar Chase.
It's gold. I don't really need to go into
too much detail there. T Higgins is back this week from
that nasty concussion. I've got a bronze grade on him.
You know, he's he's six or more targets in seven of his last
eight overall, 5 touchdowns in his last five.
Yes, those were with Joe Flacco. Joe Flacco was awesome.
And against being a quarterback to my age, big, Big Joe Flacco
fan. But you know, Joe, Joe Burrow, I
think can pick up where where Joe Flacco left off.
You're benching the other guys. There's just not, you know,
there's not going to be enough volume to go around.
And Mitchell Tinsley has eaten into Andre Yoshovash's target
chair. So those, those two guys can can
sit. And yeah, there's there's really
nothing on the the tight end side, you know, of interest in
that on that side either. So I'm going to move on to the
bill side. Josh Allen, gold again, Josh
Allen, you don't need much more than that.
James Cook also a gold in this one.
Now, last week's run heavy attack really worked for the
Bills. They needed to to do that
because they were missing both of their starting tackles.
It sounds like they're going to get Deion Dawkins back for sure.
He cleared concussion protocol today.
They might get Spencer Brownback as well.
So they don't necessarily need to, you know, hide.
You don't hide Josh Allen, right?
But you do limit his pass attempts.
They don't necessarily need to do that.
But because this rushing attack is so good and the Bengals are
the easiest run defense to face in the league, 5.18 yards per
carry, they're allowing second most in the league with the most
combo yards per game and combo TDs allowed in the league.
You're going to get a lot of James Cook here.
He's had 20 or more opportunities in three of his
last five and no fewer than 18 in that stretch or 16 all year.
He is coming off a season high 32 rushing attempts.
Like I said, they had 51 as a team last week.
I don't think they get 51 this week, but they could be 40 plus.
I don't know that they want to be given James Cook 30 plus
carries, excuse me, in multiple games in a row here.
But I think if he got, you know, 1516 and a couple targets, he's
going to make plenty of hay against this defense.
I already talked about Ty Johnson in the in the receiving
part of the game. You know, Khalil Shakur, I can
put a bronze on freaking CD go through his hands last week.
So it's now A5 game touchdown drought for him.
He's really just the closest thing they have to a consistent
threat in the wide receiver room.
But that's not saying a lot because he's pretty
inconsistent. He's had 7 plus targets and four
of his last six, but 4 fewer in two of his last three.
And then he he's getting these crazy swings.
He had a combined 2 yards in those two games where he had the
four fewer targets. But then sandwiched in the
middle, of course, is an 8 catch, 110 yard game, right?
So his slot roll, it's netted less than a 50% snapshare twice
in the Bills last last six games, including last week.
So if you have to start a receiver, it's secure.
Everybody else is on the bench. You know, Josh Palmer, his ankle
kept him out last week. We're we're not sure what's
going to go on there. Tyrell Shavers actually led the
team in snapshare last week, but didn't get a single target for
the second straight week. You've got Gabe Davis, Brandon
Cooks, Keon, like seriously, guys, just pick a couple
receivers and go. So just just ignore those.
What's really interesting, I think, is the Dalton Kincaid
question. I've got him as a Silver.
If he plays tight ends absolutely crush the Bengals.
As you noted, Matt, with their historically bad tight end
defense. No defense allows more tight end
receptions, targets, yards or touchdowns.
With Kincaid, he's been very efficient, but because he's only
had 35% of the snaps this year, you know his high watermark in
three games played since since week 5 is that number he's he's
he can be hard to trust, but you you just sort of have to, you
know, hold your nose a little bit and put them in your lineup.
He does have 6 targets in four games this season with 200 yard
games and four touchdowns. Hamstring actually popped up on
the injury report this week. He had been out with the knee as
well, but getting limited practices in.
So if he goes, if you play him and you hope he stays in the
game enough to take advantage of the matchup, if he doesn't go, I
do think you can put a bronze on Dawson Knox. 72% or more snaps
in three straight weeks with Kincaid hurt, and he's had a
steady 3 or 4 targets in each of his last four.
He just hasn't scored yet or top 37 yards.
He was actually the first read on Keon Coleman's touchdown last
week, but Knox was covered, so Allen moved on.
But but yeah, because of again, that matchup, you can go Dawson
Knox if you need an emergency tight end if Kincaid does not
play. The Bengals are a full 6 PPR
points per game worse than the next worst tight end defense.
A full touchdown. It's insane and and Isaiah
likely if he doesn't just drop the ball on the 1 yard line,
that's the 14th touchdown that came up he.
Felt bad for him. He's like, you know what I don't
need? Yeah, Trevor, let's move on to
the next match up. It's the Seahawks traveling
across the country to Atlanta, and I assume that you feel that
this one could be very one sided in favor of Sam Darnold in
Seattle. That would be a pretty good
estimate. We'll start with Sam Darnold
there. I'm going to put him on the
bench. Since Week 7, Darnold's got just
one game with multiple touchdowns, one game with more
than 26 passing attempts. It's hard to get fantasy points
when you don't throw the ball, Trevor.
Benching quarterbacks left and right this week, yeah.
I just, you know, 12 guys which should get, you know, decent
grades or maybe 14. I just I don't think Arnold's
one of them this week. It's another spot where Seattle
looks like they can just get a lead and run off the clock
against this Falcons team that they they're doing the Madden
SIM to end, right. We're six weeks in my team's two
and four. And I'm just like, screw that.
And I just hit the let's let's run this out button.
Ken Walker will throw a silver grade on him.
Walker's at consistent workload this year.
Three straight games with at least 11 carries and three
catches. However, just one touchdown
since week 3, so hoping for some positive touchdown regression in
a good match up here that Atlanta again, bottom half the
league in rush Arts catches receiving Arts getting up to
opposing R BS Walker fills that role as a pass game back for
Seattle. We already talked about
Charbonnay as the roll the dice guy JSN will throw in Osmium
grade on. Osmium is the densest naturally
occurring element on Earth, so there's that.
But what does that mean? I was the densest on Earth.
I He's just such a dense ball of fantasy production.
I don't know the rest of the receivers.
They're not getting enough work to matter.
Cooper Cup is old. Tori Horton's on IR Rashishi,
he's out there winning win sprints.
AJ Barner, I'm gonna bench. You could kind of throw a dart
at him. He's getting push, push work for
them right now. Although Atlanta's allowed just
one tight and touchdown all year, so it's not a good match
up on the other side. There's not a whole lot going on
here outside of the normal 2 characters.
Kirk, we're going to throw Kirk on the bench.
It's it's just tough for him right now.
Seattle's a top three scoring defense Since Seattle's Week 8
by they've given up just 7 total touchdowns to quarterbacks.
I'm not looking for Kirk to be the first guy to put up multiple
on them in a minute. Dijon Robinson is a gold play.
It's not as great as it normally is.
Seattle's top three in rushing yards and touchdowns allowed, so
dire expectations down a little bit, but he's playing in your
season long lineup. Drake London, I'm gonna throw a
bronze on if he plays. He was DNP on both Wednesday and
Thursday of this week, so checked the report after yields
into the pod here. Last four target totals before
his injury, though, were 10/14, 8:00 and 9:00.
That kind of volume is just rare.
Keeps a guy, if you get that many targets, anybody's in play.
Sam's past, he is very good. Like I mentioned, just one
receiver since Week 9 has crossed 50 yards against them,
and that was Puka Nakua with a scoreless 75.
So it's a really tough matchup, but Ray Clinton's volume keeps
him at play. We're not playing David Sills,
Cabrera Hodge, Darnell Mooney, whoever else.
We're not running guys out there.
And then Kyle Pitts will will give a bronze to tight ends of
wasteland past like the first five guys.
Pitts did put up 7 for 82 last week.
Seattle's one defensive weakness is tight end.
They actually are bottom 3IN catches and yards allowed to the
position. I'd like to play more without
Drake London because Kirk and Kyle Pitts have a little bit of
a connection going on and Kyle Pitts would be the last like
above 70 overall player on the skill position on the pass
catching roster there. So keep an eye on Drake Lemon
status for a lot of. These guys I I was gonna I'll
chime in and just note that I did see come across while you
were talking ruled out for week 14.
I haven't confirmed it on a second source, but according to
Fantasy Footballers anyway, ruled out for week 14 I'm.
Gonna go upgrade it to bench then I'm gonna I'm gonna say
don't play Drake. That's the advice you got here
for. All right, thanks Trevor.
I wanted to remind everyone that today's show is brought to you
by Game Blazers. Try Game Blazers this week to
win your share of $36,000 in prizes and free to play contest.
Sign up with the referral code FFAD for a free starter pack and
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I drew the Titans and Browns match up and let's just say this
here is nasty. The Over Under for this game is
33 1/2. This is tied for the 13th lowest
predicted point total. In the winner. 10 years, which
is 2674 games I'm. Trying to remember like what?
What would the match up have? Bet like?
It's got to be like a Zach Wilson Jets team against
somebody. It it was something like there.
Was. There was a couple of Patriots
teams that were bad in there. I had it pulled up.
I think it, well, maybe I have it here.
I do. It was Patriots versus Jets in
2024. Oh, man.
And I think that that over under was 28 1/2, 28.
That seems impossible. And also, yeah, yeah, that's
crazy. See, Speaking of scores, sorry,
did you? I saw a story in the Atlantic
come across that there has never been an NFL game that's ended 36
to 23. Sorry, I'm here to derail the
podcast. Go on, you've.
Really derailed it by talking Skorogamis now.
All right, well, here we go. I'll start with the Titan side
where Taije Spears was my roll the dice running back.
And that's it for the Titans, because the Browns defense is
really good. Here's why.
The Browns are top five in the following defensive categories.
Passing completions and yards allowed.
Rushing yards and touchdowns allowed to quarterbacks.
Yards per carry and rushing scores to opposing running
backs. Receptions and receiving yards
to wide receivers. They're first in the league.
And both of those, by the way, so Tony Pollard, Cam Ward,
whatever random wide receivers they have, like Van Jefferson,
who led the team with three catches and 20 yards last week,
that was their high watermark for a wide receiver last week.
Gunner Helm has the softest landing spot, but George Kittle
and Brock Bowers, those guys are elite.
And they mustered only 10.7 and 11.5 PPR points, respectively
against this D So I I got to think that Gunner Helm can only
get to like, maybe six. Yeah, they're all on the bench
on the Cleveland side. Quinch on Judkins might have the
backfield to himself as Dylan Sampson hasn't practiced this
week with a calf injury. Judkins carried the rock 23
times last week for 91 yards and added in three catches and 18
yards through the air. He scores touchdowns in
advantageous matchups, and this is one of those.
The Titans have allowed the fifth most touchdowns to running
backs this year with 16. A very solid silver grade for
Judkins and I, I forget the electrum somewhere between a
silver and a gold. I think that's what the what it
was the electrum grade. Shudur Sanders is on the bench.
He's got a good match up this week, but he did in both of the
last two weeks as well and he managed 209 yards and 149 yards
through the air and he doesn't add anything at all on the
ground. If you want to look at the spike
game angle, Sanders was talked about as a possible first
overall pick way back in the day, but the Titans took Ward
and then proceeded to pass on Sanders like 7 times in the
draft, so still no. His favorite target is Harold
Fannon, who caught a touchdown pass last week.
I'm leaving him on the bench though as the Titans have been
top ten in every tight end defense category and as the top
target he might only get 5 targets so that's not enough to
get him going. Jerry Judy was one that I
highlighted as my deep, deep, deep deep sleeper on the DFS
show and I I still hate it. I got a bench crater.
The matchup is just really ripe though.
The Titans are so bad against wide receivers they're allowing
168 yards per game to the position.
That's third most in the league. But if it's a game that means
anything to you in Week 14, I can't see a scenario where
you're starting Jerry Judy and trying to make a playoff spot.
That doesn't make any sense. Maybe over your Chargers guys,
huh? No, no, I don't think I'd even
do that. It's too gross.
All right, last match up of this
segment, Maj. The Commanders and their nearly
league worst defense head to Minnesota to take on a Vikings
team that scored six points in their last eight quarters.
It's like stoppable force meets movable object.
But on the other side, the Vikings have had a super tough
D. So who from the Commanders are
you starting with? Jayden Daniels coming back.
Yeah, that was Jayden Daniels was the roll the dice
quarterback for Trevor there. So we can move on to the
backfield where the three headed monster is now led by 1 Chris
Rodriguez. So we'll give him a bronze grade
Minnesota's a lot of running back rushing score and sixth
straight Rodriguez is the that lead horse right now.
He has Top 40% snapshare in his last two games after not doing
so at all earlier this season. But it's not like you're real
excited about just barely over 40% of snapshare right.
So you can't really do much. You know more with that.
He's he's got double digit carries in three of his last
four overall 3 touchdowns in that stretch too, but only two
targets. So there's like not even, you
know, like a PPR floor here. Jeremy Mcnichols is the one who
actually gets some of the targets, but he's got 15 carries
and five targets in his last three games.
Just one touchdown all year, though that's not enough to get
him off of a bench grade. And you know, Bill Krosky
merits. We hardly knew you.
Sorry. But yeah, he's kind of he.
He's the the least of the factors among those top three in
the receiving game. I've got a silver grade on Terry
Mclaurin. I should have let you say Terry
Mclaurin. Sorry.
There you go. Yeah.
And I should know. It's illegal to have anybody not
you say Terry Mclaurin. I did it again.
Oh, my God. Like.
That you can. You can get get get all Irish or
Scottish or whatever I'm doing there.
Try it out. We'll see.
I'll work on that for next time. You know, the Vikings have been
very stingy against wide receivers. 104 catches by
whiteouts all year is actually the fewest in the league. 8
touchdowns all season. The whiteouts are the 7th
fewest. But you know, with McLaren, he
returned. He actually got a 51% snap share
after a three-week absence last week and I do expect that to
continue to climb. And he scored in his last two
games. He's played season 914 targets
and 96 receiving yards last week against another tough defense in
Denver. You know, and it was like over
the middle stuff too, not just, you know, the long, you know,
deep stuff. So he's very involved in, in
that passing game. So I guess it's over there.
I'll give Debo the bronze as well.
It, it is one of the best individual matchups of the week
going against lock corner Josh Mutellis.
His targets have been consistent, no fewer than five
since Week 315 total the last two games.
He he just, you know, again, the ceiling's not necessarily there,
which is why that the bronze grade hasn't topped 74 yards
since his 95 in Week 5. He's got 5 touchdowns, which is
nice and he's getting regular snaps.
Aside from that though, Trey line burks catch for the year
potentially last week. So Congrats to you, but that was
his only one and Noah Brown bears enemy number one Noah
Brown from last season might be back as well.
So we'll, we'll keep those guys on the bench.
Zach Hertz, though, he will get a silver for me 67% of or more
of snaps each of the last three weeks.
And he had only bested that number once all season
previously. So he has just continued to work
his way more and more into that offense, which is odd.
Like it's not like he's a rookie.
You know, he's been around a little while, but they've
they've figured out that, you know, he's got good hands.
Except for that target in the back of the end zone against the
Broncos last week, four or more targets in seven straight games.
Four more receptions in six of his last 742 plus yards in four
straight. No touchdowns since Week 7 since
he dropped that one last week. But again, when you just factor
in those receptions and yardage floors, that's a silver grade
for for a tight end man, you'll absolutely take that on the
Vikings side. JJ McCarthy.
Hey. Hey.
Max Brosnan had one job last week, and it was to make people
excited for JJ McCarthy to come back.
And he succeeded. He did it, so he did it.
Yeah. I honestly, this was one.
I've still waffled. I have bronze.
I had him benched, but I have bronze on here.
I do think he's probably in like that Tyler Shuck, roll the dice
category, you know, as far as where he might fall on a
rankings list. Washington's allowed 23 passing
scores and 269 passing yards per game, which is the second most
in the league. So it's like there's really not
that many better spots to to bring McCarthy back for yes,
he's been awful. You know, a two to six touchdown
interception ratio in his last three home starts only topped
158 yards and one of his six and topped multiple TD passes twice.
I I think maybe he gets a little more design runs this week.
I think that might be, you know, this is a defense he could
potentially do that against. And so that's where there might
be enough of a floor that if you needed to like in a super Flex
league, you know, he could be a bronze type.
But yeah, I wouldn't be real excited about the prospect as
far as the running game goes. Aaron Jones, I have a silver on.
He did come out of last game, but you know, running backs have
been piling up 148 yards a game against Washington.
That's the third most in the league.
And you know, Jones has clearly, you know, separated himself the
same the same in the one A1B backfield.
You know, he was used five times on the 1st Dr. He was on his way
to a big usage game in that Seattle game before he got hurt
and had to come out double digit opportunities for him in each of
his last five after getting eased back in in Week 8 when he
came back from injury. And despite limited practices
all week with that shoulder injuries, the Vikings they have
not hesitated in the past to. You know, after limited weeks,
just throwing Aaron Jones back out there and let him roll.
So it would, it's like I said, silver because there's a little
bit of that just kind of in re injury risk.
And of course, the existence of 1 Jordan Mason, who would be a
bench if if Jones were to sit, it would be a surprise.
But then you actually have a consolidated backfield with
Jordan Mason potentially. And so then he could become a
silver. You know he's only got 1
touchdown, a high watermark of 47 yards, which was last week
when Jones left early in the last six games here, double
digit opportunities just once in that stretch.
We saw a little bit of Xavier Scott last week, but that was
some garbage time stuff too. CJ Hamm has popped up for 27 or
more percent snaps in three straight after only seeing
action on 31 snaps in the combined 9 games prior.
Not that he takes a lot of carries away, but it is body on
the field, you know, where Jordan Mason could be.
So like I said, silver if silver if there's no Jones, otherwise
he's on the bench in the receiving game.
I mean, Justin Jefferson gets like the name recognition.
Bronze, only 21 combined targets the last three weeks after
averaging more than 9 per game the first nine weeks.
You take out the Brosmer game. He does still have at least 4
receptions in all but one game, but still sitting on just those
two touchdowns. So it's like if his name wasn't
Justin Jefferson, you'd probably have him on your bench, but it
turns out it is. So he's a bronze.
Jordan Addison is gonna be on the bench.
It's just inconsistency with the target numbers.
You like the talent. It's just too scary to trust in
this game right now, even though you know, he's only actually had
three fewer targets than Justin Jefferson the last three weeks.
And then lastly, I'll I'll put a bronze grade on TJ Hawkinson, 16
combined targets the last three weeks, which is nice.
That double S his total from the prior 3 weeks and he's coming
off that season high 59 yards. Washington is allowing the 10th
most receiving yards per game to tight ends and six touchdowns to
the position this season. All right, I, I, I, I have this
weird feeling that they're going to try to make Justin Jefferson
real happy this week and, and try to get him over 100 yards in
a score. It it might be the Randy ratio
for Justin Jefferson, but Justin Jatio, I don't know.
Put him at running back and he'll get all the touches.
There we go. All right, it's.
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Now it's time for a segment that we like to call 2 tough nuts.
It's time for two tough nuts to crack.
Yeah, to crack. Those of you who want to play
along with us at home, make sure that you play 2 tough nuts very
safely. All right, here we go.
Tough nut #1 Almost every year we seemingly have a fantasy
playoff hero that kind of comes out of nowhere.
In 2018, it was CJ Anderson for the Rams.
In 2015, it was Tim Hightower for the Saints.
Ron Dane did it for the Texans back in 2006.
We can go all the way back to 2004 when it was Drew Bennett
for the Titans. So who will be the fantasy
playoff hero out of nowhere this year?
We'll start with Trevor. So I wanted this to be someone
available, pretty available on the wire so that the listeners
could had a real shot at whoever the player was.
So I ended up on Rams backup running back Blake Korum.
He's owned in 22% of ESPN leagues.
Through the first six weeks, Korum had 34 touches.
However, over the last six weeks, that number is nearly
doubled to 62, including three different games with at least 13
touches. Korum's main competition, Kyron
Williams, has seen his three lowest touch counts of the
season. All come in the past three
weeks, ESP NS Dan Graziano on the split.
He asked the OC and the staff there in LA quote, they've been
rotating Williams in Quorum Drive to drive.
We'll continue to do so. The OC told me he thinks they've
been seeing the best version of Williams because he's fresher.
The Rams have their sights set on January and February games.
Want to keep everyone as fresh as possible.
So it sounds like we'll keep seeing plenty of play Corum the
rest of the regular season. The Rams fantasy schedule is
pretty good too. We have Detroit in week 15 and
what could be a shootout is that Detroit defense kind of fades
Week 16 is that Seattle? So that's that's about as tough
as it gets. But then you come back with
Atlanta in Week 17 in a Dome in a fantasy championship week.
Falcons currently have the 7th worst rushing defense in the
league. Give me Blake Colerim to be the
elite season hero on a team that's sixth in offensive
scoring this year. All right, Maj., Who will be the
fantasy playoff hero out of nowhere this year?
First hero is me because I totally lost my screen there and
couldn't find my mute button, but I nailed it right at the
last minute. Second hero, I'm going to go
Devon Singletary. I didn't I didn't check roster
percentages, but I, I would imagine Singletary is probably
in the same ballpark as Blake Corum.
Is there Tyrone Tracy, he really actually did seem like plan A
against New England in week 13. But then Singletary came in to
start that second quarter, got the hot hand.
He really was the Giants offense for back-to-back drives, ended
up with a Wildcat snap and scored and then Tracy got hurt.
It's it seems like it's allegedly, you know, Tyrone
Tracy is going to be fine, but it might have been a situation
where Singletary may have just kind of taken the reins there.
The really the unfortunate part is this these silly week 14 buys
of which New York has one of them, because the the timing of
it staggers in a way that may not make Singletary as useful to
you as you need him to be to be that hero.
Because week 15 is going to be most people's first game in the
fantasy play offs, right? And so you've really got to go
out on a ledge to play to play Devin Singletary, you know, in a
really nice match up. So we'll we'll see.
But you know, New York finishes with home games against the
Commanders and Vikings before traveling to to Vegas.
So it's like you could play him in that commander's game and
actually probably be fine even if it didn't work out because
it's opportunities. These last three games are 1714
and 15 and he does have 3 touchdowns in that stretch.
So even if it doesn't work out as I think it might, he's still
probably going to do OK for you. Then you've got the the Vikings
game, which is, you know, we noted that being a tough match
up. But then Week 15 Vegas for a
fantasy title, you got to love that.
And you know, we'll see. You know, Jackson Dart doesn't
seem to want to stop running as much, even though they would
like him to. But if they can convince him to
stop getting absolutely obliterated on the sidelines,
that might be a few more opportunities for Devin
Singletary. Those are both really great
answers, but they're both completely wrong.
Devin Neal of the New Orleans Saints is the correct answer,
and Devin Neal is owned in 53% of leagues right now.
He got 17 touches last week against Miami and Evan Hall was
the only other back that logged a touch.
He had five carries for 15 yards and that's not very good.
The schedule for the Saints is a primrose path in the playoffs.
The Panthers next week have allowed the 4th most combo yards
to the running back position. The Jets the week after that
have fallen apart in the run game after Quinn and Williams
was moved, and they've allowed seven touchdowns to running
backs in the last three games. Then they get the Titans in week
17, who've allowed 16 total scores to running backs.
That's fifth most in the league. Devin Neal could be your leg
lamp. He could be your Christmas
miracle. Let's go, Devin Neil. 53%
ownership, like that's a guy. She's been everybody's roster
right now. He should be, but he's not.
Athlete. You got a chance though.
There you go, tough nut #2. Which rookie from this 2025
draft class has the best chance to dominate in the last four
weeks of the fantasy season, sending their 2026 draft stock
soaring? Maj., We'll start with you on
this one. I'm going to go with Jaquavius
to Quan marks, otherwise known as woody marks.
Is that from Key and Peele? It's done.
It sounds like it doesn't a a Ron.
Yeah, this is a situation where he, he actually, he hasn't
scored in three weeks. He's has a madding 3 targets in
that stretch because this dude is a great receiver.
But honestly, what that's done is kept him under the radar.
He's had 20, he had 20 opportunities last week for just
the second time all season, 17 or more in four straights.
So this is a dude who's getting the work.
Now, the Chiefs pose a very tough matchup this week, no
doubt, but then you've got Cardinals, Raiders and Chargers
to finish things off. That's one of the better run
outs for running backs the rest of the way he did.
He's dealing with an injury, has been limited in practice this
week, but he should be fine and out there.
So I think what's going to happen here with Woody Marks is
those opportunities are actually going to start netting real
fantasy outputs. You know, he's going to get a
couple of touchdowns, you know, break one or two, and then
that's just going to shoot that that that's going to shoot his
ranking up. Because then all of that sort of
the back story, you know, that I just went through, all of that's
going to show the consistency and usage and put him in the
RB-1 conversation, not overall, but as an RB-1 on a fantasy team
next year. They probably don't have to deal
with Nick Chubb or Joe Mixon mixed into that backfield, too
next year. Trevor, who is your rookie
that's about to see his fantasy stock go soaring?
Who would you guys guess is the leader in Offensive Rookie of
the Year odds right now if you had to guess?
Man Mecca egbuca. Yeah, that's a good answer.
I mean, shoot, Jackson McMillan. Yeah, it can't, can't be
McMillan, can it? It is Ted McMillan it is.
He is currently plus 110 favorite Jackson dart #2 and
then Ibuka 3. So I actually landed on Ted
McMillan. His final four games of this
season are at New Orleans in a Dome.
Great spot home for Tampa's bottom 5 pass defense from
Seattle. That's obviously really hard,
but then you get you go back to Tampa to finish the year out so
you get 2 bottom 5 pass matchups there.
Frankly, I think he's already like a top 15 to 20 NFL receiver
in the league. I think the football collective
would realize this if the quarterback had a pulse in the
question. You said who will.
Who has the best chance to dominate?
I think dominate is the keyword. Ted is a guy who can dominate
people physically, often takes multiple defenders to bring him
down, Moves incredibly well laterally for a guy who's 65215.
He's put up big stats, right? He had the one or eight for 1:20
and two against Atlanta a couple weeks ago.
He could just have a couple highlight plays down the stretch
of Carolina brings them quarterback competition.
I don't think they'd replace Bryce, but I think, you know, a
Gino or a Mac or some sort of veteran edition.
We could be looking at a top three, four round player.
And like I said, he's currently favorite for office Rookie of
the Year. They're both interesting and
great answers, but they're both wrong.
The correct answer was almost Devin Neil again, but it's not
I, I, I did look at Ted McMillan and I was a little bit nervous
that that Seattle game, he might throw up a goose egg in that one
and that might burn him. And I really wanted to go RJ
Harvey so badly, but he faces three top 10 defenses in the
fantasy playoffs and that's probably not going to work out
for him. So I went with Quinchon Judkins.
Chadur isn't going to be asked to pass all that much, and the
touch totals have been legit for Judkins since Chadur took over.
He's just under 20 touches per game, and while the yardage
hasn't been great, I noted his great match up against Tennessee
this week. He gets the Bears next week in
their middle of the pack against the run, and Cleveland's going
to try to pound the football on that one in Chicago.
The Bills are the week after that and they're actually
terrible against the run. So I think that he's going to
have a great game there. The Steelers are in the final
week. But after three straight weeks
of I think really good matchups, I think that's what people are
going to remember. And if you want to add in Week
18, by the way, where people like look back at the stats from
the whole previous year and they'll add in Week 18.
He gets the Bengals in Week 18. So he could put up 150 yards and
three touchdowns in that game and then all of a sudden cement
his legacy. I think that Quinshawn Judkins
has. The prospects of being a top two
round pick in ADP next year, it's a good one.
And he's getting like they're just taking Shadur off the field
in the red zone to put Judkins in to run Wildcat stuff.
So you know, he's just multi multi talented.
Yeah, and, and, and obviously Cleveland might have, it could
have a new coaching staff, it could have a new quarterback, it
could have a lot of new things next year.
But they won't have a new running back.
It'll be Quinch on Judkins. Those were my 2 tough nuts.
I wonder if you cracked them, Trevor.
Let's go over to another battle for a divisional lead.
This time it's the AFC South and the Colts versus Jaguars.
How do we think Danny Dimes is going to fare this week and
maybe the rest of the season on his broken leg that he's playing
for? Not not ideal to have the old
broken fibula. We'll still give the Indiana
Jones the bronze this week. He only has four rushing
attempts since we learned of the broken fibula, which is scary,
and only 380 combined passing yards over the last two weeks.
However, all of his pass, all of his pass catchers are healthy
and I do mean all of them. Jacksonville struggles
defensively against quarterbacks.
In just the last five weeks, Jags have given up to 84 and a
score to Gino, Davis Mills and Jacoby Brissette.
At least 284 and a score, I should say.
So we keep Indiana Jones alive for that.
JT is a goal. Jacksonville does have a top
five run defense. So again, kind of like what I
said, Bijan, adjust your expectations just a little bit.
Receivers, we'll keep Michael Pittman out, Pierce active,
we'll give those bronze and we're keeping Josh Downs on the
bench. Current target totals for the
Colts top 4 pass catchers Pittman 82, Warren 78, down 60,
Pierce 59. So these guys are all really
concentrated, which makes it kind of hard on a week by week
basis to pick them out. Pittman gets the passing grade
based on his volume, while Pierce gets it on big plays.
Alex Pierce's averaged over 78 yards per game over his last
six. Josh Downs is a good player I
think, but he has just five catches over his past three
games combined, so we're leaving him alone.
Tyler Warren. We're going to have a goal to
the tight end here. Continue to pick on the Jags
tight end defense. This is the the weekly spot
where we go through the numbers. Second most catches allowed,
fourth most yards, 6 most touchdowns to the position.
They gave up ten catches to the Titans 10 ends last week and
Tyler Warren's been OK recently. At least 5 catches or a
touchdown in each of his past four games.
He's also getting touch push opportunities with Mr. Jones's
broken leg. On the other side.
We've got the Jags, Trevor Lawrence.
We'll keep it a bronze. One of three games all weekend
with a game total over 44 1/2 is this Colts Jags game, which is a
total of 47 T loss. Boosted his fantasy output via
the ground a lot recently. 5 carries in four of the last five
with three rushing touchdowns. He also has multiple passing
touchdowns with two straight Andy's.
Not a great match or not an opposing match up.
Bottom five in attempts and completions allowed to the
quarterback Travis Etienne will give a bronze to.
We'll keep Tooten on the bench for now.
Colts run defenses top third in the league, but they have given
up an average of 132 yards on the ground over the last three
Etns, getting almost 20 touches per game since the Jags eye in
Week 8. Tooten has gotten more work
recently, but it's come in primarily in huge blowouts over
the charges of Titans. The receivers are a little
interesting. Jacoby Myers, I'll give a
bronze, confident bronze too. Myers and T Law found a nice
connection. Myers led the team in catches
and yards in two of the last three weeks.
If he only joined the team I think 5 weeks ago.
Myers hasn't had an explosion game yet.
I think that's more due to the game script issues we just
talked about. The Jags beat the Charges and
Titans by a combined 60 to 9. Not a lot of passing needed in
those in those matchups. It's a good match up for the
receivers as well. Indy gives up over 13 catches a
game to the position. Just fourth worst in the league.
Brian Thomas, man, I can't believe how far we've fallen
here. I'm putting him on the bench.
He got his first action back from the injury last week.
He saw 75% of the snaps. So we got a, you know, kind of a
full role, but just three targets.
And then as an outside receiver, he's going to see more of the
Colts best corner Trevarius Award.
I do kind of like Ryan Thomas, just DFS tournament dart because
nobody's going to play him and I think he's still got that
talent. But yeah, keep him on the bench
and season long. And then Bretton Strange was the
roll the dice tight end this week.
I think he's the bronze. All right, let's hop over to the
Broncos and Raiders. It's all systems go for the
Broncos. Troy Franklin was my roll the
dice receiver. I like his running mate
Courtland Sutton as well. In the first match up, Sutton
was held quiet though. Only three catches for 24 yards.
But 17 different receivers have hit double digit PPR points
against the Raiders this year in just 12 games.
The Broncos have leaned on the pass a bit more since JK Dobbins
went down. I'll mention that in just a
second. Silver grades for both Franklin
and Sutton in this one, but I'm leaving Evan Ingram on the bench
randomly. The Raiders are crazy tough
against tight ends. Top three in every category.
Don't go there. Bo Knicks gets that silver grade
as well, though. The last game Dobbins played,
Knicks threw 28 passes. In the two games since then?
37 and 45 pass attempts. 295 yards and 321 yards in those two
games, by the way, The Raiders aren't good against the past.
Teams just have run on them so easily that they haven't really
had to pass, as both Chadur and Herbert only threw the ball 20
times apiece in their wins over the Raiders in the last two
weeks. But I think Nix finds his way to
a silver here. He usually does.
RJ Harvey, I'll give a silver or two as well.
The match up is just too good and I believe in the talent.
He just hasn't popped yet. The Raiders are allowing the
third most rushing scorers in the league and four different
running backs have hit double digit PPR points against the
Raiders in the last two weeks. So Jaleel McLaughlin could be in
play here. McLaughlin, No, you're not going
to do that. But oh, my gosh, RJ Harvey's in
a spot here. Ashton Genti on the other side,
his spot is much tougher. It's one of the best run DS in
the league in Denver. Even in losses, though the
Raiders have have lost six straight games, by the way,
they've still committed to Genti in the last four games.
Touch totals of 22, then he had a 12.
But then 25 and 21 in the last two weeks and he's caught 20
passes in the last three weeks alone.
So it's a volume bronze grade for Gente, but it's a really
tough match up. Denver doesn't give up anything
on the ground or through the air to backs.
Brock Bowers had a dud game against the Broncos in Week 10.
Only one catch for 31 yards. But the Broncos defense gave up
20.6 PPR points to Zach Ertz last week and 24.1 PPR points to
Travis Kelsey the week before. And I think in his first week in
the the Greg Olsen offense, it was quite clear they're going to
throw the ball to Brock Bowers. He caught both of the touchdowns
for the Raiders, including a sick 1 hander last week that was
probably right there with Traylon Burks for Catch of the
year. Geno Smith, Trey Tucker, Tyler
Lockett. Let's just be real, they're on
your bench in mid grade matchups and this is not a mid grade
matchup. This is a tough matchup.
You're leaving them on the bench.
We're not even thinking about them.
Let's just move on to the next game.
It's the Rams and the Cardinals, and the Rams are reeling a bit
after a loss in Carolina last week, but Devante Adams
continues to score touchdowns at an alarming rate.
Maj. Do you like Adams or Puka Nakua
better this week? Oh gosh, I mean, in a in APPR
league I'd probably give this light edge to to Puka, but I've
got gold grades on both of those guys because I mean shoot,
Devonte Adams is just insane man 11 touchdowns in his last six
games. Do you want to hear my crazy
stat that I spouted off on our DFS show yesterday?
Sure. He has 0 touchdowns in three
games this season, but he has two or more touchdowns in four
games this season. You have a better chance of
getting two or three touchdowns than you do with zero and he
starts with 0. Yeah, Yeah.
You know his yardage, you know he, he doesn't have the yardage
ceiling, right. So in that sense, like I guess
Devante has the lower floor. But to your point, like getting
in the end zone gets you lots of points.
So let's we we can call both of those guys gold.
The the quarterback Matt Stafford silver, he's thrown
multiple touchdown passes in six straight games, at least 243
yards in four of his last five games.
In Arizona's defense below average against quarterbacks
this season, they've allowed 17 touchdown passes in 12 games.
And they've that includes starts from Spencer Rattler and Cam
Ward, who combined for zero. So the the against more standard
competition, I think that number potentially might be a little
higher. Otherwise in the passing game
you're you're benching everybody else really no third receiver
you know of note there to worry about.
And it's really the same thing on the tight end side that's
very similar to Pittsburgh in that there's just a lot of cooks
in that kitchen. Certainly higher up side in in
the Los Angeles version of that, but no need to chase there.
The running backs is where things get a little interesting.
And and Trevor alluded to this just with the the Kyron Williams
Blake quorum split. I have a gold on Kyron, but
that's it very much could be silver.
I think that's arguable there, whereas I've got a bronze on
Korum. Arizona has allowed the six most
combo scores to running backs this season at 15 with Kyron,
he's got 12 or more carries, 13 or more opportunities in every
game this season, 10 combined touchdowns, 64 more combo yards
in all but one game this year. So even though, you know, to
Trevor's point, those numbers are kind of going down in the
second part of the year, he's still, you know, he's never been
below 58% of Staffs, never more than 70.
But he's just he's the starter and the guy that's going to have
more opportunities to get that hot hand if they ever go away
from kind of that every other split now.
Whereas with Quorum, you know, seven or more opportunities and
six straight and an 8 of 12 games this season only scored a
second touchdown of the season last week.
I what I you know what I struggle with there's there's
not the PPR floor with him that you would like to see if you're
going to go with that second back, right?
He's only had 10 targets all season.
So that is kind of where the risk comes in.
But he's getting enough work and it's against a a defense that's
bad enough against running backs that I think if you had to, you
absolutely could go ahead and and, you know, start him in this
one. On the other side of the ball,
Man, what an injury report. It's like it's a novel that
every day this week. So let let's let's actually
start there. So Marvin Harrison's going to be
out with a heel injury. Greg Dorch is going to be out
with a chest injury. Trey Benson's going to remain
out after having not played since Week 4.
Amari Demarcato, we don't know yet, potentially out again, but
so there are a lot of moving pieces here.
So let's just start by. Just announced that Kyler Murray
is out for the remainder of the. Season too.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, He was part of that.
Today's injury report that Yeah, well, very interesting situation
with the Arizona quarterbacks from a long term standpoint.
We'll see what happens. But with Brissett, I'm going to
give a Silver. 2 touchdowns and all but one start with 300 more
passing yards and four of those seven games.
Rams have only allowed four multi touchdown pass games all
year, but three scores in three of those four and that includes
Tamac Jones and Bryce Young in the last five games.
You're of course giving a gold grade to Trey McBride.
Don't need to fawn over all his stats.
They're very good. I promise with Michael Wilson,
I'm going to give a It would be gold if it was a better matchup.
I'm going to give a silver. He played 93% of snaps last week
and that's despite Marvin Harrison coming back for one
week after that two week absence.
He actually got a red zone start until but it was behind him and
it wound up being picked the the the two games without Marvin
Harris and he had 33 Duncans just just getting fed.
It makes you laugh. It's so bad.
Yeah, 25 catches on 33 targets and with Dorch also out, like,
you know, he and and you know, Trey McBride are just going to
get they're they're going to eat right.
So it's one of those things where if the the defense on the
Rams side is dominant, they're going to get ahead and, you
know, then they fall back and and we've we've seen plenty of
garbage time Arizona passing game points this year.
So I can absolutely see that happening here.
The the one, I guess guy you could, you know, if you needed
to, you know, injury, bye week, whatever.
Xavier Weaver, you could give a bronze grade too.
Now, he had a a limited practice on Thursday with a hamstring,
but it's like they're out of bodies, right?
So when Harrison was out, Greg Dorch had 15 targets in those
two games and scored in both with 119 total yards.
Weaver was actually getting snaps in those games and he even
outsnapped Greg Dorch last week 30 to 20, but he just wasn't
getting targets, only had three targets in the two games without
Harrison. But because of, you know, Dorch
also being out there might be a a a little bit there if you're
absolutely desperate in in that one.
So I think that that's all I got for for those two teams.
Yikes. Pass funnel offense through two
players though, That's kind of fun.
Yeah, both good dart throws on on fan ball this week, I would
say. All right, Trevor, CJ Stroud and
the Texans head to Arrowhead to battle a very desperate Chiefs
team. Both teams have really actually
great defenses. Who do you have starting on the
Texan side in this one? Yeah, we'll start off the Vegas
total on this game is tough. It's 41 1/2 and it's it's a
brutal weekend for high totals. But this one specifically just
I'm a homes game with 40 totals. That's a weird one.
CJ Stroud, we're going to put on the bench.
He was OK in his first start post concussion last week, 276
yards, no touchdowns and he doesn't scramble Kansas City's
12th best passing hours per game allowed and has given up just 13
passing touchdowns all year. It's good for 6th best in the
league. Hard for me to see Stroud with
any more than two passing touchdowns at most here.
Woody marks we get a starting grade on with the bronze.
His workload is kind of the only reason he's viable right now
because it's great. He's got 1917 at 20 touches in
this last three games. That's as good as he can ask
for. However, 0 touchdowns and hasn't
broken 70 combo yards in that stretch.
Kansas City has a tough match up for backs as well, allowing the
fewest touches to enemy runners in the league.
He's getting 18 plus touches. You're starting him, but
expectations should be limited. Nico Collins.
I'll give a silver to Collins and Collins and Stroud showed
better chemistry last week than they did earlier in the season.
Collins saw 10 targets and Stroud's first game back.
Collins does have double digit targets and five of his last six
as well, and it's averaging 91 yards per game over his last
five matchups. Not imposing either.
Kansas City is just 14th against opposing receivers in 2025 and
the Houston passing attack just runs through Nico Collins.
Alagio already gave Jane Higgins as his roll the dice player.
I agree it's a good bronze start.
Dalton Schultz actually rounds off the bronzes.
He's been consistently moderately productive recently
with at least 6 catches and four of his last five games.
The Chiefs have allowed five catches each to the last two
number one tight ends they face. Not a game breaking play, but he
actually has one of the better floors among fantasy tight ends
right now. And then on the Chiefs side,
Mahomes, we'll give a silver. He's been excellent recently and
he needs to be right because if they lose it might just be over
This week. He's in a stretch of six
straight games with at least 34 passing attempts and we've
recently seen the playoff Mahomes who's more willing to
scramble. He's got 7 carries over the past
two weeks and he's turned that into 30 rushing yards in each
game. Houston is the the toughest
matchup for opposing quarterbacks, but like I said,
this is must have territory for Kansas City and they are at
home. Mahomes did put up 290 combo
yards and two touchdowns at Houston in Week 16 last year.
Much of the same personnel, but obviously it's a different year
so can't take a ton of stock from that.
Running backs cream Hunt will give bronze to Pacheco.
We're keeping on the bench. Despite Hunt handling 33 touches
4 days before Thanksgiving, he still out touched Pacheco and
Pacheco's first game back on Thursday there with 15 touches
to Pacheco's five. If Houston's defense has a weak
point quote, UN quote, it's the run game where they're just 9th
best against the position. So you're kind of looking at 15
touches and you know, a coin flips chance at falling at the
end zone. For Cream Hunt here, which he
writes as a goal play despite being suspended and hurt for a
decent chunk of the season, He has seven more red zone targets
than anyone else on the team. He's essentially the goal line
back. He's kind of the Devante Adams
of the Chiefs right now. back-to-back 12 target, 8 catch
games. He's an excellent play.
Rest of the rest of the receivers we're keeping on the
bench. Xavier Worthy is the only guy
kind of consider he's got 1 receiving touchdown all year,
broken 60 yards just twice. I don't really think he's kind
of a good player, and especially when Rice is there, there's just
not enough volume for him. And then Travis Kelce kind of
had a bit of a throwback here. We're giving him a silver grade.
Been pretty consistent this year, just one game under 8 PPR
points all year. Recently, he's gone seven of
eight with at least 50 yards or a touchdown.
It is a tough matchup like everybody facing the Texans is,
but the two best tie downs that Houston saw this year were Tyler
Warren and George Kittle. Kittle went four for 43 and one,
and Warren also got on the board with three catches, 22 and a
touchdown. Oh, there we go.
So a touchdown incoming for Travis Kelsey this week.
I think so. All right, today's final match
up is the Saints and Buccaneers, which is not a battle for the
NFC South as of right now. Tyler Shuck was my roll the dice
quarterback so I must like his receivers a little bit.
Chris Olave and Devon Valet both in play with silver grades this
week. Valet caught all eight of his
targets last week for 93 yards and a score.
Had 7 targets the week before as well.
Olave scored last week, too. He's only missed hitting eleven
PPR points in one game this season.
He's been the model of consistency.
Tampa has allowed some anonymous wide receivers to have big days
recently. Tyrell Shavers had a 19 PPR
point day, Kyle Williams and Mack Hollins each topped 14 for
the Patriots, and Chris Olave and Rashid Shahid each Top 14
PPR points for Check's notes The Saints.
So we got that going for us. I'll throw a bronze grade on
Juan Johnson too. He's hit double digit PPR points
in five of his last six, and last week was the one where he
missed the mark. He was targeted 9 times.
Hit the button, come on, there it is.
He was targeted 9 times in that game and has been targeted 7 or
more times in seven of 12 games this year.
Bucks are middle of the pack tight end defense.
They gave up five for 53 to Johnson in the first meeting.
Devin Neal is known for his pass catching abilities.
He faces off against a Buccaneers team that has allowed
the most receiving yards in the league to opposing backs.
It's a tougher task to run on them if they as they're only
giving up 77 yards per game on the ground.
But on the receiving prowess alone, I'm going to give Neil a
Shibuichi grade, which is somewhere between a silver and a
bronze. Bucky Irving came back to a bell
cow roll last week. 19 touches, 81 combo yards and a score.
The Saints are seeing the third most touches to running backs in
the leagues, as running backs are averaging almost 30 touches
per game against them. 24 of those are easily going to Bucky,
so I'm going to give him a gold grade.
Baker Mayfield is banged up and he's struggled for a bit here.
He's not throwing multiple passing scores in three straight
games. He's been held under 230 passing
yards in five of his last six games and that includes a week
eight meeting with the Saints where he limped to only 152
yards and no scores. I've got a bench grade on Baker
Mayfield in this one. The Saints have allowed the 6th
fewest passing yards at only 202 per game.
That's probably where we're looking for Baker to get here if
he wants to return value. Maybe 202 and a score.
That's kind of bench grade for Baker.
Right now I'm giving only bronze grades to Chris Godwin and a
Mecca Egbuca. Godwin went back to being Godwin
last week. He had three catches for 78
yards. Egbuka led the team in targets,
as he almost always does, but he's done next to nothing with
them recently. He's hit double digit PPR points
only once in his last seven games, and he's kind of closer
to a bench grade than Godwin is, but Egbuka still gets 8 targets
every week. The Saints have allowed the 5th
fewest receptions in the 7th fewest yards to wide receivers,
but they do give up about a touchdown per game to the
position. One of those two guys is going
to get it. I don't know who gets it.
I should note that Mike Evans, his practice window opened this
week, too, but they already ruled him out for Week 14.
And K Dotton doesn't do anything unless two or more wide
receivers are hurt, So he's definitely on your bench.
All right, I gotta hit this button over here.
Let's see. Oh, wait.
The thing's jamming up on me. Come on.
All right, one man would dare give you the Raspberry.
Lone Star. It was Lone Star, wasn't it?
All right, it's time for Lightning Round.
To end the show. We'd like to bring back a little
segment from way back. You know it, it's called
Lightning Round. This is your hardest line up
decision between two players and two players only.
It's one of two. If you include three players, we
will metaphorically hang up on you.
If you'd like to be featured on Lightning Round, find my Twitter
handle at Explosive Output. Each week I'll put up a
Lightning Round thread. We'll pick a few and answer them
rapid fire. If you put it up as a pole, by
the way, then people who are reading the thread could just
answer those questions for you too, and give you another data
point there. So Maj. and Trevor, are you guys
ready for Lightning Round? Yes, Sir.
All right, here we go. We'll start with Trevor, Josh
Laurent, who does the Fantasy Football Almost Daily report
card on Twitter. He asks Devin Neil or DeAndre
Swift in his guillotine league. Yeah, I think we've talked about
Devin Neil a lot. I'm going with Devin Neil better
here. I think he sees a bit more of a
workload and I actually think Saints Bucks has a better
shootout potential than Packers Bears.
All right. Maj.
Anthony Clapp asks Jalen Hertz or Daniel Jones this week.
I'm going to go ahead and go with Jalen Hertz in that one by
probably a decent margin. Honestly, He's Daniel Jones.
Yeah, he stayed steady, but without much in the way of
sealing in the last month. To Trevor's point, playing on
that broken leg just really snuffs out any of the rushing
upside he had. Maybe hers has a lower floor in
this one by a tiny bit. Just a much higher ceiling
despite the more difficult match up.
All right, Trevor, Derek Ruckert wants to know RJ Harvey or
Travis ETN this week. I think Etn's workload's a
little bit safer, so I'm going to lean ETN all right.
Daryl Hancock is asking Michael Wilson or Courtland Sutton.
It's got to be Michael Wilson here with the the news about the
most of Arizona's team not playing because of injury.
Just like I said, 33 targets in two games, man, Sutton just
doesn't have that. He's not getting that workload
and while he's got a great match up, I just think you've got to
go with Wilson and all those opportunities.
Trevor John a Booty? I don't, I don't.
I don't know if that's his real name.
I hope it is he asks Jalen Warren OR a Mecca Egbuka in PPR
Flex. Is this John David Booty's
cousin Dad? Probably Anthony or something.
Yeah. Warren's floor is better, I
think. But especially in PPR, Ibuka's
upside is better. Just he's got the, you know, 30
point outcome in the in there. I I don't know that Warren does.
I would go with Buka. All right, Maj.
Adam asks Joe Burrow in Buffalo, or post surgery Justin Air Bear
on Monday Night Football. I'm going to go Burrow in that
one. He's just going to have to keep
his foot on the gas there. That game's got that 53 1/2 over
under, while the the Philly Chargers game is way down at 41.
So just a lot more upside there. OK Maj.
I got another Burrow 1, so I'll stick with you.
So Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson, And that's from Papa Buck.
Yeah, I, I honestly, I went back and forth on this one, but I'm
going to go with Burrow just because with with the Mars
injuries, I just don't think he has the rushing floor that, you
know, provides the safety you would want to attack the ceiling
that he would have when healthy. And again, just that that
Pittsburgh, Baltimore over under 42 1/2 compared to that 53 1/2.
So more upside for Burrow in this one.
All right, Trevor, Tyler Morgan on Twitter wanted to get real
grimy here. Tyler Shuck or Tyrod Taylor both
roll the dice candidates here. Yes, Tyler.
Well, let me answer Tyler's question about Tyler to Rod by
saying to Rod. I'm going to go to Rod this
week. I think the nearly 30 year
rushing yards per game, that's going to get me the edge all
right. Mage Eric wants a starter
between Drake London and Brian Thomas Junior I think Drake
London was ruled out, right? Yeah, yeah, the, the, the layup
there. I'll say Brian Thomas junior
will absolutely outdo Drake London this week.
Maybe. What if he what?
If he matches one ball for -12 yards.
That would be the cost a listener of the matchup.
Yeah, and Drake London was the better player.
This is the. Playoffs because I said to start
Brian Thomas junior over inactive Drake London.
There we go, Trevor. Zach Dubey wants to know Khalil
Shakur or Adani Mitchell. Yeah, I know we're excited about
Edie Mitchell after last week, but give me Shakur.
That game has got the 54 over under.
I want to get as much exposure to that as I can.
All right, Maj. It's down to two players in a
guillotine league for Ryan Schwartz.
He wants to know Kyron Williams or Ken Walker.
Because I'm glad that he defined the the guillotine aspect of
this because that did actually 'cause my answer to be different
than it would have otherwise. I'm going to go with Walker
because of the floor with the targets, he gets decent number
more targets in the passing game than Kyron does.
So you know, the there's the there's probably a little better
touchdown potential for Kyron just due to the way they use
Chardonnay like Trevor talked about in the matchup with
Seattle. But because it's Guillotine,
you're trying to make sure you're maximizing your floor.
And both of these guys have higher end ceilings because of
their matchups and just their, you know, the way that they're
used. So I'm going to go with the the
safer option Walker, even though Kyron's got the better touchdown
potential. Oh, that's interesting.
I I, I thought the safety would have been in Kyron but but no.
Not in APR guillotine you're you're getting, you're probably
going to get, you know, 3-4 free points just with catches with
with Walker where it might just be one or two with Kyron.
The last one of lightning round, it's for Trevor.
Richard Charles wants to know Woody Marks or Kareem Hunt, and
I believe you just previewed this game.
I did, yeah. It's kind of just two guys who
are getting volume and not doing anything with it.
But Woody Marx is younger and is getting a little more volume, so
I'm going to go with Woody Marx in this spot.
All right, that was like the first lightning round in about
10 years. So you guys did a great job.
We got to got to 12 of them. That's pretty good.
Let's thank thank both Trevor and Mosh for all your hard work
this week. It's not an easy task to get
this show going, so give those guys a follow on their social
platforms. Noko Maggio on Blue Sky and T
Jones 5 on Twitter. Any parting words you guys have
for this week? Go bears.
Can't. Yeah, well that it can't be a
worse late than we had last Sunday.
So much better day at football. Yeah, no doubt.
No. Doubt.
I'm looking forward to this Sunday.
Just a quick reminder before we go on Game Blazers.
Try Game Blazers this week, $36,000 in prizes and free roll
contest. And if you sign up using our
referral code FFAD, you get a free starter pack, a free rare
pack, and they'll give you an offer where you can spend 5
bucks, get two more rare packs. That's a $50 value, so go get
that over at gameblazers.com or or check out the mobile app.
It's a pretty fun game to play. Trevor and Maj. and I all play
it in our internal contest. It's good times.
All right. This was fantasy football almost
daily. Good luck to all of you in your
Final Fantasy week of the regular season.
We'll see you next week. This was fantasy football almost
daily. Please subscribe and give us a
five star rating wherever you listen to podcasts.