1 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:23,000 Hey, it's Matt Harrison and this is fantasy football almost 2 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:24,760 daily. It's our third ever Fantasy 3 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:29,760 Friday show with me today, my Co host of the DFS podcast and my 4 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,720 buddy who's been on absolute fire with his picks. 5 00:00:32,720 --> 00:00:36,200 It's my friend T-bone Jones. Trevor, how's it going Matt? 6 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,200 Yeah, doing all right. Let's try to turn some of the 7 00:00:38,560 --> 00:00:42,160 daily quality information into a season long quality information 8 00:00:42,160 --> 00:00:44,120 today. I mean, you've been killing it 9 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,320 on the daily side and and really winning a lot of our internal 10 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,520 money. So I feel a little bad that 11 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,200 you're taking too much of my money this year and maybe a 12 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:54,120 little bit too much of my other Co host. 13 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:57,720 For the first time on Fantasy Friday, we've got a legendary 14 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:02,000 fantasy podcaster was host of way, way back in the day, the 15 00:01:02,000 --> 00:01:06,600 Fanball Pants Party podcast, which you don't want to say like 16 00:01:06,600 --> 00:01:09,800 really close to somebody's face 'cause you'd be spitting, and 17 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:11,960 also the Fantasy Football Party podcast. 18 00:01:11,960 --> 00:01:13,640 That's Anthony Maggio. Hey, Maj. 19 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:16,840 Hello gentlemen, I'm very excited to be here. 20 00:01:16,840 --> 00:01:18,440 Thank you for having me and my lamp. 21 00:01:19,320 --> 00:01:21,600 I do love Lamp. I do love Lamp. 22 00:01:22,280 --> 00:01:24,960 Maj. you're a resident Bears fan. 23 00:01:24,960 --> 00:01:26,960 And Trevor, you're a resident Packers fan. 24 00:01:26,960 --> 00:01:29,640 And it's it's a great week to have both of you guys on the 25 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:33,240 show as it's Bears Packers week. And considering they're like 26 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:37,440 very far apart, you guys are Maz, you're in Colorado, Trevor, 27 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,040 you're in Minnesota. You're not going to come to 28 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:41,280 blows. But are you going to get a 29 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:42,960 friendly wager going in this one? 30 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:47,680 Yeah, I think we decided the, the, the the spread is is too 31 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:51,280 juicy to not bet on with somehow the Packers being 6 1/2 point 32 00:01:51,280 --> 00:01:54,200 favorites like that. I I had guessed they'd be like 33 00:01:54,200 --> 00:01:56,320 two or three. So I'm definitely taking bears 34 00:01:56,320 --> 00:01:59,320 in the points in that one. Yeah, I don't know if we could 35 00:01:59,320 --> 00:02:02,840 put like a $10 fan ball credit on the line since we're states 36 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,560 apart or what the a little harder to buy lunch for somebody 37 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,600 when they're states away. Send yeah, send some. 38 00:02:08,919 --> 00:02:10,639 Send some. DoorDash or Uber Eats your way 39 00:02:10,639 --> 00:02:11,400 or so. There we go. 40 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,760 I'll let you guys figure that part out today on the show. 41 00:02:14,760 --> 00:02:17,760 We're going to go through all of the Week 14 games that are 42 00:02:17,760 --> 00:02:19,320 taking place on Sunday and Monday. 43 00:02:19,560 --> 00:02:21,600 There's some pretty good ones in there this week too. 44 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:24,360 Way, way different than last week's Sunday slate. 45 00:02:25,000 --> 00:02:28,440 We'll also introduce you to 9 players on whom you can roll the 46 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:31,880 dice, and we'll see if our panel of experts will be able to solve 47 00:02:31,880 --> 00:02:36,560 my 2 Tough nuts to crack. And at the very end of the show, 48 00:02:36,560 --> 00:02:40,120 we're going to bring back an old favorite from the salad days at 49 00:02:40,120 --> 00:02:44,520 KFAN. Lightning Round is going to come 50 00:02:44,520 --> 00:02:45,520 back. It's going to make its 51 00:02:45,520 --> 00:02:51,600 triumphant return this week. That's the end of my There's my 52 00:02:51,600 --> 00:02:54,360 Lightning McQueen. Could you chow speed? 53 00:02:54,880 --> 00:02:57,640 I am speed. Yeah, that's what it's about. 54 00:02:57,640 --> 00:03:00,400 It's about speed this week. You got to go fast. 55 00:03:01,120 --> 00:03:04,480 All right. It helps the show immensely if 56 00:03:04,480 --> 00:03:06,840 you show your love and support with a follow and a 57 00:03:06,840 --> 00:03:08,600 subscription. It helps us even more if you 58 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:12,320 give us a great rating or review on Spotify, Apple Podcast, 59 00:03:12,320 --> 00:03:16,120 iHeartRadio, or even some thumbs up on the YouTube. 60 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,640 And we're going to dive right into the match ups. 61 00:03:18,640 --> 00:03:21,280 And I have the extra match up this week, so I get to go 1st. 62 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:25,400 And for reasons only foretold by the prophecy, we have to start 63 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:27,400 today's show with the Monday night match up between the 64 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,560 Eagles and Chargers in LA. And I'll start on the Eagles 65 00:03:30,560 --> 00:03:33,240 side. Jalen Hurts, I'll throw a silver 66 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,320 grade on here. The Chargers have been one of 67 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:39,040 the best pass defenses all year, only allowing 184 yards per game 68 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,600 through the air, which is second best in the league. 69 00:03:41,960 --> 00:03:44,120 A few running quarterbacks have gotten it done, though. 70 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:48,360 Mahomes, who's now a running quarterback, Knicks, Dart and 71 00:03:48,360 --> 00:03:52,120 Daniels all posted more than 30 rushing yards, and two of those 72 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:54,560 four scored as well. So Jalen Hurts still gets the 73 00:03:54,560 --> 00:03:57,560 silver here, A.J. Brown and Devonta Smith. 74 00:03:57,560 --> 00:03:58,680 It's a little bit tougher though. 75 00:03:59,000 --> 00:04:01,320 The Chargers secondary has been great all year. 76 00:04:01,320 --> 00:04:05,480 Dante Jackson and Derwin James each rank in the top 10 by Pro 77 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:08,560 Football folk Pro Football Focus in their rankings at their 78 00:04:08,560 --> 00:04:11,760 respective positions. The best match up is against 79 00:04:11,760 --> 00:04:16,200 slot corner Tar Hebe Still, who I did not just make up. 80 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:20,839 Still has allowed 100% of the passes thrown in his coverage to 81 00:04:20,839 --> 00:04:24,560 be caught over the last four weeks and has a one O 4 passer 82 00:04:24,560 --> 00:04:27,760 rating against him. He'll mostly match up with 83 00:04:27,760 --> 00:04:30,760 Smith, who runs out of the slot about 60% of the time. 84 00:04:31,160 --> 00:04:35,440 And so if you're going to catch 100% of the passes 60% of the 85 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:39,720 time, Devonta Smith is this week's Sex Panther. 60% of the 86 00:04:39,720 --> 00:04:43,800 time it works every time. Nice job, you brought that all 87 00:04:43,800 --> 00:04:46,080 together perfectly. I I couldn't believe it. 88 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:49,360 I'm going to give both Brown and Smith bronze grades, though 89 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:51,840 Brown's been getting a lot of targets lately and it's tough to 90 00:04:51,840 --> 00:04:54,120 just completely pass on them in this one. 91 00:04:55,280 --> 00:04:57,880 You know, still still is a terrible last name for a 92 00:04:57,880 --> 00:05:00,840 defensive back, by the way. Like they're the worst. 93 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,120 Dallas Goddard is very touchdown dependent. 94 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:10,120 He hasn't scored one since Week 8, but the Clippers have allowed 95 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:11,960 six touchdowns to the tight end possession. 96 00:05:11,960 --> 00:05:15,240 I call him the Clippers sometimes, including two last 97 00:05:15,240 --> 00:05:18,800 week to Brock Bowers. He's a low grade commercial 98 00:05:18,800 --> 00:05:22,280 bronze this week, which is the lowest grade of bronze you can 99 00:05:22,280 --> 00:05:25,440 find on the market. There's probably other options, 100 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:27,880 but it's not the worst thing. If you have to start, Dallas 101 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:31,960 Goddard and Saquon Barkley might be the best way to beat the 102 00:05:31,960 --> 00:05:35,360 Chargers. The Chargers have allowed 4.6 103 00:05:35,360 --> 00:05:37,760 yards per carry. That's ninth most in the league. 104 00:05:37,920 --> 00:05:40,600 They're also giving up about a rushing score per game to the 105 00:05:40,600 --> 00:05:43,480 position. And if he continues to get 99% 106 00:05:43,480 --> 00:05:45,920 of the running back touches, which he basically is getting, 107 00:05:46,360 --> 00:05:50,120 he's always going to be at least a volume silver grade in this 108 00:05:50,120 --> 00:05:52,640 one. Then we go to the Chargers side, 109 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:55,040 and it's tricky on a couple different levels. 110 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:57,480 We're going to start at the running game where Omarion 111 00:05:57,480 --> 00:06:02,120 Hampton might come back or is it Kamani Vidal again? 112 00:06:02,200 --> 00:06:05,840 So Hampton's practice window was opened last week, and he's been 113 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:08,720 nothing but limited in practice all week this week. 114 00:06:09,040 --> 00:06:10,600 And he's still technically on IR. 115 00:06:10,600 --> 00:06:13,040 But Jim Harbaugh is saying that he has a chance to play this 116 00:06:13,040 --> 00:06:13,840 week. I don't know if that's 117 00:06:13,840 --> 00:06:16,680 gamesmanship. I don't really buy it. 118 00:06:16,800 --> 00:06:20,280 I think I've got Hampton and Vidal in two different leagues, 119 00:06:20,600 --> 00:06:23,080 both on my roster. I'm starting Vidal in both 120 00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:27,240 places right now because even if he returns, Hampton probably 121 00:06:27,240 --> 00:06:30,520 isn't jumping back into a bell cow role specifically because 122 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:35,840 Vidal's been quality. 25 carries for 1/26 on the ground last week 123 00:06:36,120 --> 00:06:39,840 plus a touchdown. And if Hampton plays, I think 124 00:06:39,840 --> 00:06:43,840 they both get bronze grades and I'd think I'd prefer Hampton to 125 00:06:43,840 --> 00:06:47,360 just be out this week and then I'll bump Vidal up to a silver. 126 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:51,040 The Eagles are surprisingly bottom 10 against running backs. 127 00:06:51,240 --> 00:06:54,920 They've allowed 141 combo yards and over a touchdown per game. 128 00:06:54,920 --> 00:06:57,640 And if that's all Kamani Vidal, I'm feeling pretty good. 129 00:06:58,360 --> 00:07:00,680 And the Eagles look like they're going to be missing run 130 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:03,680 stuffing. D tackle Jalen Carter, who had 131 00:07:03,680 --> 00:07:06,080 procedures on both shoulders this week. 132 00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:10,600 How do you do that? Did did they cut off his arms? 133 00:07:10,640 --> 00:07:11,640 Like what is he doing? I'm. 134 00:07:13,560 --> 00:07:14,640 Trying to think how that would happen. 135 00:07:14,680 --> 00:07:18,080 The double shoulder injury in the same game, yeah, that's. 136 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:21,400 Yeah, it's very like Monty Python Black Knight going on. 137 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:25,920 Just a flesh wound. Just a flesh wound, all right, 138 00:07:25,920 --> 00:07:30,240 and then the next tough decision is Justin Herbert or Trey Lance, 139 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:33,200 and I think it's going to be the air bear in this one. 140 00:07:33,280 --> 00:07:36,880 He had a procedure this week on his non throwing hand, but he 141 00:07:36,880 --> 00:07:39,400 was already in practice this week with a brace on his left 142 00:07:39,400 --> 00:07:41,640 hand and just chucking balls all over the place. 143 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:45,880 If you've got him starting you probably need to grab Lance as a 144 00:07:45,880 --> 00:07:48,640 break glass in case of emergency option. 145 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:51,480 That would be a really sucky option on Monday night to have 146 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,480 to switch to, but you might want to grab him just in case. 147 00:07:55,040 --> 00:07:58,120 I'm throwing a bronze grade at Herbert this week, which is like 148 00:07:58,120 --> 00:08:01,240 throwing copper. Like the 1994 masterpiece by the 149 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:04,600 band live. Yes, Trevor, do you know the 150 00:08:04,600 --> 00:08:07,560 band live? Nope, you just had a bunch of 151 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:08,960 words that I didn't know what they meant. 152 00:08:09,120 --> 00:08:10,360 Yeah, I have it on cassette tape. 153 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:14,640 There you go. Herbert's still missing both 154 00:08:14,640 --> 00:08:17,160 starting tackles, and the Eagles have allowed only one 155 00:08:17,160 --> 00:08:20,800 quarterback to hit multiple passing scores since week. 5/3 156 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:23,840 of the last five quarterbacks they face have gone under 200 157 00:08:23,840 --> 00:08:26,560 passing yards. So it's a tough hill for Herbert 158 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:30,000 and the Chargers wide receivers. This is tough as well. 159 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:33,640 The passing path is right at Adori Jackson. 160 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,320 He stays on the outside more often than not. 161 00:08:36,320 --> 00:08:40,360 It's Quentin Johnston's side, but that dude is the fantasy 162 00:08:40,360 --> 00:08:42,640 roller coaster. If he doesn't score a touchdown, 163 00:08:42,640 --> 00:08:46,640 you're sunk. Case in point, he's had 0.0 164 00:08:46,640 --> 00:08:50,040 fantasy points in two games in his last five. 165 00:08:50,560 --> 00:08:53,160 That's gross. And the Eagles have allowed the 166 00:08:53,160 --> 00:08:55,800 second fewest receiving touchdowns to wide receivers 167 00:08:55,800 --> 00:08:59,240 this year with only six. With all those factors involved, 168 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:03,400 including Herbert's hand, the tackles, the Eagles pass rush is 169 00:09:03,400 --> 00:09:05,560 good. Eagles have two stud corners and 170 00:09:05,560 --> 00:09:07,040 Cooper De Jean and Quinjan Mitchell. 171 00:09:07,280 --> 00:09:10,080 I'm leaving all of the Chargers wide receivers on the bench this 172 00:09:10,080 --> 00:09:13,080 week, including Ladd Mcconkey and Keenan Allen. 173 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:16,040 By the way, Arande Gadsden is on the bench as well. 174 00:09:16,040 --> 00:09:19,040 The Eagles are basically top five in every category against 175 00:09:19,040 --> 00:09:22,400 the tight end position. So it's a tough passing matchup 176 00:09:22,400 --> 00:09:25,520 for Herbert and whoever he's trying to throw the ball to. 177 00:09:27,120 --> 00:09:29,040 All right, let's go to the next match up. 178 00:09:29,040 --> 00:09:31,320 It's the Steelers and Ravens and Maj. 179 00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:34,840 The Steelers head to Baltimore to take on the Ravens for first 180 00:09:34,840 --> 00:09:38,120 place in the AFC North. Both teams have kind of had some 181 00:09:38,120 --> 00:09:40,040 struggles as of late in the passing game. 182 00:09:40,040 --> 00:09:42,840 On the Steelers side. Can you trust Aaron Rodgers and 183 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:44,840 company to get anything done through the air? 184 00:09:46,000 --> 00:09:49,480 Boy, anything you're going to have to define that, but it's 185 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:52,040 it's not. I mean, they're putting the no 186 00:09:52,040 --> 00:09:56,080 in an AFC North for sure right now with that offense. 187 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:59,600 But the at least, you know, weather wise, there's not a lot 188 00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:02,920 to worry about in this one, which we can't say necessarily 189 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:04,600 for the next game. I've got to talk about. 190 00:10:04,600 --> 00:10:07,920 But with Aaron Rodgers, I do think that you know, he can be 191 00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:14,280 that that low grade bronze alloy, whatever that's we we 192 00:10:14,280 --> 00:10:18,480 have at our disposal. This is more because the Ravens 193 00:10:18,480 --> 00:10:21,640 defense just hasn't been what you would expect out of a a 194 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:24,280 classic Harbaugh defense. There they've had back-to-back 195 00:10:24,280 --> 00:10:25,800 home games. They allowed seventeen points to 196 00:10:25,800 --> 00:10:29,720 Tyrod Taylor and then 21.9 to Burrow the last two weeks, and 197 00:10:29,720 --> 00:10:33,440 even one JJ McCarthy managed 21.2 fantasy points against this 198 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:37,240 defense with Rogers. He's got multiple touchdowns in 199 00:10:37,240 --> 00:10:41,120 only five games this season. 3 of those games have been in his 200 00:10:41,120 --> 00:10:44,000 four Rd. tilts. So you know he's actually done 201 00:10:44,000 --> 00:10:46,160 better on the road than he has at home this year. 202 00:10:46,160 --> 00:10:48,280 And then maybe not getting booed as much when he's on the road. 203 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:51,280 I don't know. So it, it, it just can't be 204 00:10:51,280 --> 00:10:53,360 higher than a bronze though, 'cause he hasn't thrown multiple 205 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:56,480 touchdowns in a game since October 26th against Trevor's 206 00:10:56,480 --> 00:10:57,840 Packers. He's got a three to two 207 00:10:57,840 --> 00:11:00,120 touchdown interception ratio in his last four. 208 00:11:00,440 --> 00:11:04,640 He also hasn't topped 161 passing yards in three weeks. 209 00:11:04,880 --> 00:11:08,200 Cause high watermark this season is 249 as crazy. 210 00:11:08,200 --> 00:11:11,440 So it's like, even if it hits, what does that look like? 211 00:11:11,440 --> 00:11:12,600 Right? Nothing great. 212 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:15,920 So low grade bronze there in the run game. 213 00:11:16,240 --> 00:11:19,680 Jalen Warren is a silver for me. He's got double digit carries 214 00:11:19,680 --> 00:11:23,080 and 12 or more opportunities in every single game this season. 215 00:11:23,480 --> 00:11:26,000 He's only gone over 70 rushing yards once though, and only 216 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:28,400 twice over 91 combo yards all season. 217 00:11:28,520 --> 00:11:30,520 None of those have been in the last three weeks. 218 00:11:30,520 --> 00:11:33,520 He hasn't scored in six career games against Baltimore. 219 00:11:33,640 --> 00:11:36,040 He does have a touchdown in each of his last two though, four 220 00:11:36,040 --> 00:11:38,200 overall in his last five. So that gets him up to that 221 00:11:38,200 --> 00:11:40,880 silver with the usage that he has there. 222 00:11:40,880 --> 00:11:43,440 The Ravens have held three straight opponents without a 223 00:11:43,440 --> 00:11:46,320 running back score and have allowed only 100 yard rusher all 224 00:11:46,320 --> 00:11:48,480 year. David Montgomery back in Week 3. 225 00:11:48,480 --> 00:11:51,920 So that again, that's that's why you top out of that silver with 226 00:11:51,920 --> 00:11:53,280 Warren. He just doesn't necessarily have 227 00:11:53,280 --> 00:11:56,400 that ceiling. Kenneth Gainwell, you know, 228 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:59,240 we'll we'll give him that participation bronze there just 229 00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:01,480 because the Ravens have allowed seven most receiving yards to 230 00:12:01,480 --> 00:12:04,080 running backs this season. Gainwell's out targeted Warren 231 00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:07,360 17 to 6 the last three games, though last game it was Warren 232 00:12:07,400 --> 00:12:10,000 4:00 to 3:00 in that tilt against Buffalo. 233 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:14,760 That 42% snap share last week was his first time under 50% of 234 00:12:14,760 --> 00:12:18,480 the snap since Week 9, and he had 16 or more opportunities in 235 00:12:18,480 --> 00:12:21,720 back-to-back games before that. So I'm sort sort of seeing that 236 00:12:21,720 --> 00:12:24,960 more as a blip than sort of regressing there. 237 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:28,320 So I do think Gamewell does have a little bit of usage here in 238 00:12:28,320 --> 00:12:31,720 order to get that bronze grade. He does have 5 touchdowns this 239 00:12:31,720 --> 00:12:34,320 season. Speaking of bronze, DK Metcalf, 240 00:12:34,520 --> 00:12:37,960 you know, just because he's DK Metcalf and you have to like if 241 00:12:37,960 --> 00:12:41,920 his name wasn't DK Metcalf, he might get nothing, but at least 242 00:12:41,920 --> 00:12:43,920 the targets have been there. He's he's had an average of 243 00:12:43,920 --> 00:12:46,960 seven in his last four games, hasn't Top 40 yards or scored. 244 00:12:46,960 --> 00:12:50,240 Since that Packer game, I noted Ravens have allowed the 7th most 245 00:12:50,240 --> 00:12:53,800 receptions to wide receivers and 10th most receiving yards and 246 00:12:53,800 --> 00:12:56,320 touchdown. So, you know, he's on the field, 247 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:58,520 he's getting targeted. But again, because of that low 248 00:12:58,520 --> 00:13:01,480 ceiling provided by Aaron Rodgers, there's just not a lot 249 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:04,040 there. So as such, you're benching 250 00:13:04,040 --> 00:13:07,360 Kelvin Austin, the third Roman Wilson and there are three cooks 251 00:13:07,360 --> 00:13:10,880 in that tight end kitchen and the they're they're not sharing 252 00:13:10,880 --> 00:13:12,680 much of A pie within that kitchen. 253 00:13:12,680 --> 00:13:16,120 So we'll go ahead and just bench all those guys on the Raven 254 00:13:16,120 --> 00:13:19,040 side. Lamar Jackson might be the the 255 00:13:19,280 --> 00:13:23,280 most sort of like what's going on fantasy player right now out 256 00:13:23,280 --> 00:13:25,120 there. He had his third straight rough 257 00:13:25,120 --> 00:13:28,800 outing last week. Now there was a totally phantom 258 00:13:28,800 --> 00:13:31,160 offensive Pi call on what would have been a touchdown. 259 00:13:31,160 --> 00:13:34,160 Isai Flowers, Isaiah likely fumble at the goal line. 260 00:13:34,320 --> 00:13:36,880 So stats would have looked a whole lot better with two 261 00:13:36,880 --> 00:13:38,360 touchdown passes in the last game. 262 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:41,280 But he's dealing with these injuries, right? 263 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:44,520 He's been limited in practice Wednesday, didn't practice 264 00:13:44,520 --> 00:13:48,960 Thursday, limited again here Friday when we're recording 265 00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:52,200 this. So it's, I mean, he's, he's the 266 00:13:52,200 --> 00:13:54,240 freaking kid song head, shoulders, knees and toes, 267 00:13:54,240 --> 00:13:56,560 although it's more lower body, knee, ankle, toe injuries. 268 00:13:56,760 --> 00:13:58,720 You know, he missed three games with a hamstring strain. 269 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,520 Dude got caught behind by AD line from behind by AD lineman 270 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:03,640 last week. You know, so something's not 271 00:14:03,640 --> 00:14:06,480 right there. And you take away that rushing 272 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,680 floor and he's just not Lamar Jackson. 273 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:11,760 The good news is Pittsburgh's been among the easier NFL 274 00:14:11,760 --> 00:14:15,400 defenses for quarterbacks about the seven most passing yards, 20 275 00:14:15,400 --> 00:14:18,560 touchdowns this year and even 4 rushing scores. 276 00:14:18,560 --> 00:14:20,800 But again, I don't necessarily think Lamar's going to be taken 277 00:14:20,800 --> 00:14:26,840 off and running here. The one goal grade I've got in 278 00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:29,840 this game is Derrick Henry. Pittsburgh's been above average 279 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,280 against the run, just six combined touchdowns. 280 00:14:32,640 --> 00:14:34,480 But I mean, this is Derrick Henry. 281 00:14:34,480 --> 00:14:37,760 He scored four times in the last three games, at least 88 combo 282 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,480 yards. And it is now officially, I 283 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:43,920 don't know if you guys knew this December, 22 career touchdowns 284 00:14:44,360 --> 00:14:48,280 in 21 career December games. That's his most overall. 285 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:50,880 And he's got his highest per game percentage of any month. 286 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:55,840 And his 96.7 rushing yards per game in December is like 20 287 00:14:55,840 --> 00:14:58,200 yards more than his next best November. 288 00:14:59,400 --> 00:15:00,920 Well, January's kind of out of it. 289 00:15:00,920 --> 00:15:04,240 He's played two career January games as well, regular season 290 00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:07,120 ones where he's also D Hember extends into January. 291 00:15:07,120 --> 00:15:08,640 I don't know if you knew that. It's science. 292 00:15:10,360 --> 00:15:12,920 So against Pittsburgh, he's played them a lot, averages 92 293 00:15:12,920 --> 00:15:15,320 combo yards with three total touchdowns and five for your 294 00:15:15,320 --> 00:15:17,160 game. So we love our our, ourselves 295 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:20,680 and Derek Henry bench and Keaton Mitchell, Rasheen Ali, they just 296 00:15:20,680 --> 00:15:24,600 don't get enough work here on the receiving side. 297 00:15:24,840 --> 00:15:28,240 Zay Flowers is the one wide receiver with a a a starting 298 00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:31,240 medal. Silver Steelers have been sifts 299 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:32,800 wide receivers. They give up leave the most 300 00:15:32,800 --> 00:15:38,480 14.08 receptions per game to whiteouts, 171.75 combined yards 301 00:15:38,480 --> 00:15:39,800 per game. That's second most in the 302 00:15:39,800 --> 00:15:42,520 league. The last time a wide receiver 303 00:15:42,520 --> 00:15:46,200 didn't score in a game against Pittsburgh was Week 6, and that 304 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:47,800 was Cleveland, so that doesn't even really count. 305 00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:51,240 Zay's getting those opportunities 5 or more targets 306 00:15:51,240 --> 00:15:54,240 in all the one game this season. He's topped out at 7 in his last 307 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:57,080 five games and 78 yards without a touchdown since Week 1. 308 00:15:57,080 --> 00:16:00,760 Which is why it's only a Silver. But he's got pretty good 309 00:16:00,760 --> 00:16:03,600 averages 70.7 yards per game in his three career games against 310 00:16:03,600 --> 00:16:06,520 Pittsburgh with a touchdown. We got Bateman and Hopkins on 311 00:16:06,520 --> 00:16:08,000 the bench. They're just not doing enough, 312 00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:09,960 not enough love to go around in that passing game. 313 00:16:10,400 --> 00:16:13,480 The two, the two tight ends, though, both bronzes. 314 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:15,640 Mark Andrews. Pittsburgh is one of the 315 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:17,880 friendlier teams to tight ends. They allow the ninth most 316 00:16:17,880 --> 00:16:21,600 receding yards per game to the position and seven touchdowns 317 00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:23,040 this season. And Andrews is getting 318 00:16:23,040 --> 00:16:25,680 consistent work. 5 or more targets and three of his last 319 00:16:25,680 --> 00:16:27,640 four, but only one touchdown in that stretch. 320 00:16:27,840 --> 00:16:30,400 And the yardage totals just really aren't there. 102 yards 321 00:16:30,400 --> 00:16:33,520 combined in those games. And dudes played Pittsburgh 12 322 00:16:33,520 --> 00:16:35,240 times in his career, including playoffs. 323 00:16:35,400 --> 00:16:38,960 Only one touchdown. So this is really where the 324 00:16:38,960 --> 00:16:42,000 Isaiah Likely story starts because he hasn't scored this 325 00:16:42,000 --> 00:16:44,560 season, but he's had three or more targets in five straight 326 00:16:44,640 --> 00:16:47,800 season high six last week season high 95 yards. 327 00:16:47,800 --> 00:16:50,560 Unfortunately, like I noted, that fumble into the end zone, 328 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:54,200 it's the lower floor thing, though he's only topped 17 yards 329 00:16:54,200 --> 00:16:56,840 in a game once. He has scored three times in 330 00:16:56,840 --> 00:16:58,680 seven career games against Pittsburgh. 331 00:16:58,920 --> 00:17:00,840 He's getting the consistent snap shares. 332 00:17:00,960 --> 00:17:03,880 So it's one of those things where likely sort of the higher 333 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:07,720 ceiling, lower floor guy, which is how you end up with a bronze 334 00:17:07,720 --> 00:17:10,079 grade on both him and Mark Andrews. 335 00:17:10,960 --> 00:17:14,920 All right, shoot for the moon with likely there now. 336 00:17:14,920 --> 00:17:16,760 It's the moment we've all been waiting for. 337 00:17:16,760 --> 00:17:19,680 Really. It's time for Bears Packers. 338 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:23,440 And basically it's the battle for first place in the NFC 339 00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:25,480 North. Might be the battle for the one 340 00:17:25,480 --> 00:17:28,720 seed in the NFC, at least the first of two. 341 00:17:29,400 --> 00:17:32,040 Trevor, you're the Packers fan here. 342 00:17:32,560 --> 00:17:35,800 What part of the? Ben Johnson offense concerns you 343 00:17:35,800 --> 00:17:37,680 the most in Lambeau this weekend. 344 00:17:38,840 --> 00:17:42,880 The run game that's obviously just been excellent for what, 345 00:17:43,000 --> 00:17:45,360 about a month now? So yeah, we'll start there. 346 00:17:45,360 --> 00:17:48,680 I give both Swift and Kyle Munungai bronze medals this 347 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:50,640 week. Only the Bills have run the ball 348 00:17:50,640 --> 00:17:52,040 more often than Chicago this season. 349 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:54,880 Bears are averaging 29 running back carries per game over the 350 00:17:54,880 --> 00:17:56,640 last five. So there's plenty of work for 351 00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,240 both of these guys. Swift himself has 18 plus 352 00:17:59,240 --> 00:18:00,600 touches and three of his last four. 353 00:18:00,880 --> 00:18:03,360 Well, Mungai's got 12 plus touches, the touchdown at three 354 00:18:03,360 --> 00:18:05,440 straight himself. It is a tough matchup. 355 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:07,320 Green Bay's got the lowest missed tackle rate in the 356 00:18:07,320 --> 00:18:10,400 league, the best EPA per rush out of light boxes on defense 357 00:18:10,720 --> 00:18:13,720 and our top 10 rushing yards allowed per game at 98 yards per 358 00:18:13,720 --> 00:18:16,400 game for the season. We did just lose Devante Wyatt, 359 00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:17,960 their starting nose tackle for the year. 360 00:18:18,800 --> 00:18:21,720 Like I said, the volume keeps both of these guys in play at 361 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:23,360 bronze. Caleb Williams, we're going to 362 00:18:23,360 --> 00:18:25,360 put him on the bench. The Packers defense has allowed 363 00:18:25,360 --> 00:18:28,080 more than 236 passing yards just once all season. 364 00:18:28,720 --> 00:18:30,880 Like we talked about, the Bears are really heavy run team. 365 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:34,240 Green Bay's have given up just one multi touchdown to a multi 366 00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,320 touchdown game to a quarterback since week 9. 367 00:18:36,320 --> 00:18:37,720 So there's just there's not a lot there. 368 00:18:38,840 --> 00:18:41,320 Roma Dunze is the only guy in the receiving forum giving a 369 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:42,840 bronze grade 2. We'll keep the rest of the 370 00:18:42,840 --> 00:18:45,560 receivers on the bench. Rome's led the team at Target 371 00:18:45,560 --> 00:18:48,160 Ski to the past four weeks at nearly 8 per game. 372 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:49,520 That's about where the good news ends. 373 00:18:49,520 --> 00:18:52,040 Unfortunately. He's got just 8 catches for over 374 00:18:52,040 --> 00:18:53,720 100 yards combined in those past 3. 375 00:18:54,040 --> 00:18:56,120 Green Bay is top half the league defending receivers. 376 00:18:56,760 --> 00:18:59,000 We're leave everyone else on the bench, but I would keep an eye 377 00:18:59,000 --> 00:19:01,760 on Luther Burden going forward. He's got at least three catches 378 00:19:01,760 --> 00:19:03,880 and four straight. Obviously a rookie maybe kind of 379 00:19:03,880 --> 00:19:05,080 turning on at the end of the year here. 380 00:19:05,080 --> 00:19:09,440 So just keep tabs on him. Colston Loveland and Cole 381 00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:11,640 commit, I'm going to bench Loveland. 382 00:19:11,640 --> 00:19:14,320 You could maybe throw the the participation medal at if you 383 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:15,760 wanted. When they're both healthy, 384 00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:17,560 commit sees a little more playing time, but it's it's 385 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:19,360 really even they both kind of play about the same. 386 00:19:19,600 --> 00:19:21,840 Loveland's got 3 catches in seven straight games. 387 00:19:22,200 --> 00:19:24,440 Just one touchdown all year against anyone other than the 388 00:19:24,480 --> 00:19:27,320 Bengals and their all time terrible. 389 00:19:27,480 --> 00:19:30,680 Holy cow is this real tight end defense on the Packers side. 390 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:33,200 There's not a ton more options here. 391 00:19:33,200 --> 00:19:36,880 We got 3 startable grades. Jordan Love's got bronze. 392 00:19:37,200 --> 00:19:40,440 Chicago did get to their top two corners, both Jaylen Johnson and 393 00:19:40,440 --> 00:19:42,680 Kyler Gordon back from injury recently. 394 00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:44,400 Those guys are very good. That certainly gives their 395 00:19:44,400 --> 00:19:46,600 secondary a boost. It is still a really good match 396 00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:48,680 up that there's allowed the third most passing touchdowns in 397 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:50,400 the league. Jordan Love has multiple 398 00:19:50,520 --> 00:19:52,920 passing, multiple touchdowns in all three of the Bears games 399 00:19:52,920 --> 00:19:54,120 that he's finished in his career. 400 00:19:54,520 --> 00:20:01,120 The Week 18 arm injury that he sat out the second-half, missed 401 00:20:01,120 --> 00:20:02,720 multiple, multiple touchdowns in that one. 402 00:20:02,920 --> 00:20:04,280 Josh Jacobs is a great play this week. 403 00:20:04,280 --> 00:20:06,800 We're giving him a goal. In games that he started and 404 00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:08,680 finished this year, he averages 21 touches. 405 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,200 We know that Lafleur loves riding him in big games, which 406 00:20:11,200 --> 00:20:14,480 this absolutely is, and his first game back from injury 407 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:16,920 after resting against Minnesota. He immediately dominated. 408 00:20:16,920 --> 00:20:20,120 The running back touches saw 18 of 24 opportunities, and that 409 00:20:20,120 --> 00:20:22,320 was with a little more Chris Brooks mixed in than we're used 410 00:20:22,320 --> 00:20:24,440 to. I think that was partially just 411 00:20:24,440 --> 00:20:26,240 Jacobs being on the real short Thanksgiving week. 412 00:20:26,600 --> 00:20:29,120 Chicago's not a scary match up. Their bottom 10 in both yards 413 00:20:29,120 --> 00:20:31,760 per carry and rushing yards allowed and Josh Jacobs had 10 414 00:20:31,760 --> 00:20:34,120 days to rest. Whatever was kind of ailing him 415 00:20:34,120 --> 00:20:35,760 there. Christian Watson, we're going to 416 00:20:35,760 --> 00:20:38,000 give a bronze Grade 2. He's been solid since he came 417 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:39,600 back from injury. Six straight games with at least 418 00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:42,240 45 yards and he's got 3 scores in his last three games. 419 00:20:42,600 --> 00:20:45,160 He's also led the Packers and targets for two straight weeks 420 00:20:45,160 --> 00:20:47,360 now. The rest of the receivers going 421 00:20:47,360 --> 00:20:50,800 to keep on the bench. The Packers are expected to get 422 00:20:50,800 --> 00:20:52,520 both Jane Reed and Matthew Golden back. 423 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:55,880 So it's just tough to pick who's going to be on the field. 424 00:20:56,200 --> 00:20:58,280 My favorite is Dobbs just because he gets the most snaps. 425 00:20:58,360 --> 00:21:00,960 But we're probably going to need to see this shake out a little 426 00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:05,160 bit before we feel confident in anyone other than Watson side 427 00:21:05,160 --> 00:21:06,440 end. We don't need to talk about 428 00:21:06,440 --> 00:21:07,320 that. We're not going to talk about 429 00:21:07,320 --> 00:21:09,440 Luke Musgrave today. So that's. 430 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:13,680 All it's time for Trevor. That was a very good, you know, 431 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:17,400 Packers forward match up. Now it's time for Maj. to rebut 432 00:21:17,480 --> 00:21:21,240 your. The green just goes to orange 433 00:21:21,240 --> 00:21:22,000 and blue. Over. 434 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:26,000 Fade over. I saw Maj's eyes just go, Oh my 435 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,320 God, when? When you put Caleb Williams on 436 00:21:28,320 --> 00:21:30,440 the bench. Man, he's going to be part of 437 00:21:30,440 --> 00:21:32,400 that rushing attack for the Bears this week. 438 00:21:32,840 --> 00:21:35,600 He's been, I mean. Kayla's been inconsistent, you 439 00:21:35,600 --> 00:21:37,640 know, as a as a passer. And I think even Ben Johnson 440 00:21:37,800 --> 00:21:41,240 said that. So yeah, it's it's, you know, no 441 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,000 easy sled in going up to Green Bay. 442 00:21:43,000 --> 00:21:46,960 So he's he's certainly he's not as high as he is most weeks in 443 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:49,480 the rankings, I'm sure. But but yes, my heart hurt a 444 00:21:49,480 --> 00:21:52,600 little bit when I heard bench bench grade on Caleb. 445 00:21:54,200 --> 00:21:55,840 It's a bummer. The only way you're going to be 446 00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:59,240 able to get over that is to take a little time to hear a little 447 00:21:59,240 --> 00:22:01,880 bit more about one of our sponsors, Game Blazers, and oh, 448 00:22:01,880 --> 00:22:04,240 look who it is. If you missed out on the 40 449 00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:07,560 grand prize pool at Game Blazers during Thanksgiving week, I've 450 00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:10,320 got good news for you. There's another 40K and free 451 00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:14,240 rolls during Christmas week too. 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You use that inventory to set 458 00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,760 lineups and free rolls every week with real cash on the line. 459 00:22:38,200 --> 00:22:41,840 Plus, there are free mini games to earn XP and level up your GB 460 00:22:41,840 --> 00:22:44,520 Pass, which is a rewards pass that gives you boosts and 461 00:22:44,520 --> 00:22:48,600 bonuses just for using the app. Get the premium GB Pass and you 462 00:22:48,600 --> 00:22:50,720 can earn even more and better rewards. 463 00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:53,960 Sign up now to get your free starter pack and use referral 464 00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:58,240 code FFAD for a free rare pack too, valued at 25 bucks. 465 00:22:58,680 --> 00:23:01,320 Plus, once you're done with onboarding, there's a Spend 5 466 00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:03,560 get 50 offer where 5 bucks gets you 467 00:23:03,560 --> 00:23:12,160 twomorerarepackslearnmore@gameblazers.com. Welcome back to fantasy 468 00:23:12,160 --> 00:23:13,880 football. Almost daily you can find me 469 00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:18,000 Matt Harrison on Twitter or Blue Sky at Explosive Output. 470 00:23:18,400 --> 00:23:22,280 Trevor is at T Jones 5 on the Twitter Machine and Anthony 471 00:23:22,280 --> 00:23:28,880 Maggio at Blue Sky at No Comaggio, and it's like Joe 472 00:23:28,880 --> 00:23:30,600 DiMaggio but without the duh. Yeah, there. 473 00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:35,480 We go, we got the duh. I noticed in that ad the lack of 474 00:23:35,480 --> 00:23:38,040 lamp and I didn't like it. I'm gonna have to keep this. 475 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:40,480 I need to get a second lamp so I can leave this one down here. 476 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:44,080 I I agree that you need more lamps in your life. 477 00:23:44,120 --> 00:23:47,520 I mean, that could just be your lamp all year round in your 478 00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:49,120 office. Yeah, that you know that is 479 00:23:49,120 --> 00:23:50,160 true. I leave it upstairs. 480 00:23:50,160 --> 00:23:55,200 So it usually lives in the like I live where the the road kind 481 00:23:55,200 --> 00:23:57,600 of tease and so everybody drives like straight in my house. 482 00:23:57,600 --> 00:24:01,360 And then right in that center upstairs window is the the soft 483 00:24:01,360 --> 00:24:04,200 glow of electric sex leaving in the window for everyone. 484 00:24:04,200 --> 00:24:07,680 So it it it needs to be there for the holiday season. 485 00:24:07,680 --> 00:24:09,800 But yeah, the other eleven months it can be right here. 486 00:24:10,080 --> 00:24:12,600 That's true. All right, it's time for a 487 00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:15,200 segment we like to call Roll the Dice. 488 00:24:16,080 --> 00:24:22,560 It's now time to roll the dice. These are 9 players that might 489 00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:25,680 not normally be in your lineup, but you may want to roll the 490 00:24:25,680 --> 00:24:28,720 dice on them this week. Let's start with the quarterback 491 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:30,800 position and Trevor Jones. Who do you got? 492 00:24:31,640 --> 00:24:35,440 Yeah, I was all teed up for Marcus Mariota here until we got 493 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:37,640 the news of Gene Daniels. It's going to start about what, 494 00:24:37,640 --> 00:24:40,800 an hour before the pod started? So it's a little weird to be 495 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,960 Jane Daniels as my ticket or my roll the dice quarterback, but 496 00:24:43,960 --> 00:24:46,360 it is a tough. What are you taking a chance on? 497 00:24:46,360 --> 00:24:47,360 You're rolling the. Dice here. 498 00:24:48,680 --> 00:24:51,560 Yeah, we'll roll the dice again on a tough Vikings defense here. 499 00:24:52,040 --> 00:24:53,880 So JD 5 always gives you that rushing ability. 500 00:24:53,880 --> 00:24:56,720 Obviously Minnesota has been strong season long against 501 00:24:56,720 --> 00:24:59,040 rushing quarterbacks. They've only faced 3 who can 502 00:24:59,040 --> 00:25:02,720 kind of actually run. They gave up 36 to Lamar early 503 00:25:02,720 --> 00:25:06,200 off of his injury, 58 and one to Caleb in week 1, and then 26 to 504 00:25:06,200 --> 00:25:07,880 Caleb two weeks ago. So there is a little bit of room 505 00:25:07,880 --> 00:25:09,880 there for JD to have some rushing success. 506 00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:13,320 Also, he'll have his full pass catching Arsenal back as none of 507 00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:15,520 the top skilled position players or even on the injury report, 508 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:17,920 which you can't say much this year for that Washington team, 509 00:25:17,920 --> 00:25:19,800 especially the receivers. I don't know. 510 00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,320 I just wonder if you could see the sort of the sort of team 511 00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:24,480 lifting performance that we got from Joe Burrow in his first 512 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:26,320 game back against the Revenge on Thursday night. 513 00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:31,000 All right. Jaden Daniels is is Trevor's 514 00:25:31,240 --> 00:25:35,000 Roll the Dice quarterback and Maj. who is your quarterback at 515 00:25:35,000 --> 00:25:38,360 the roll the dice position? I like to get guys that are like 516 00:25:38,360 --> 00:25:40,800 in my age bracket. So I'm going with Tyrod Taylor 517 00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:43,880 versus the Dolphins now. He's actually probably, he's 518 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:46,240 probably still like 6 years as. A younger, younger thing. 519 00:25:47,320 --> 00:25:49,360 It would have to be Aaron Rodgers. 520 00:25:49,360 --> 00:25:53,440 Plus, at this point, I'm, I'm, I'm at the age now where I leave 521 00:25:53,440 --> 00:25:56,800 my reading glasses within, you know, arm's reach. 522 00:25:57,120 --> 00:26:00,080 And I have a bag and I have a bag of Werther's ready in case. 523 00:26:00,080 --> 00:26:01,840 There we go. Yeah. 524 00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:04,680 You can't use Tom Brady as your roll the dice sported like this 525 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,040 week. So now I'm going to Rod Taylor 526 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:10,560 going against the Dolphins should be fine weather wise. 527 00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:14,080 They're in in New Jersey. The Dolphins, they've allowed 528 00:26:14,080 --> 00:26:16,800 the third most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season, just 529 00:26:16,800 --> 00:26:19,920 slightly under 25 yards game. They've also allowed multiple 530 00:26:19,920 --> 00:26:22,160 passing scores and three of their last four. 531 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,920 Now the last time these two teams met down in South Beach, 532 00:26:25,920 --> 00:26:28,840 it was Justin Fields still at the helm there. 533 00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:32,840 He had a 226 yard performance, threw a touchdown, also rushed 534 00:26:32,840 --> 00:26:35,000 for 81 yards and a touchdown in that game. 535 00:26:35,240 --> 00:26:39,960 Of course, Tyrod's the old man's version of of Justin Fields, but 536 00:26:39,960 --> 00:26:42,440 he was able to really make some hay with AD Mitchell and John 537 00:26:42,440 --> 00:26:44,520 Mitchie last week. He's scrambling. 538 00:26:44,520 --> 00:26:46,560 He's really, you know, he he keeps it looking like a 539 00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:48,280 professional outfit on that offense. 540 00:26:49,120 --> 00:26:52,160 So he he does have just the one passing score in each game he 541 00:26:52,160 --> 00:26:56,720 started, but he's got 63 rushing yards and a score plus only one 542 00:26:56,720 --> 00:26:59,600 interception. You know, he he should have had 543 00:26:59,600 --> 00:27:03,360 that second touchdown last week. Your buddy John Metchy dropped 544 00:27:03,360 --> 00:27:05,760 one in the third quarter there in the end zone mat. 545 00:27:05,800 --> 00:27:09,920 So but you know, it's, it's not a super high ceiling here, but 546 00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:12,600 he's a guy like, you know, if I were doing like my own weekly 547 00:27:12,600 --> 00:27:16,360 rankings, just despite my disdain for the bench grade on 548 00:27:16,360 --> 00:27:20,000 Caleb, you know, Tyrod Taylor might be ahead of him there in 549 00:27:20,000 --> 00:27:24,280 the rankings. Wow, we got Maj. to admit that 550 00:27:24,280 --> 00:27:26,800 Tyrod Taylor is a better quarterback than Caleb William. 551 00:27:27,840 --> 00:27:32,000 Print it. I got Tyler Shuck at Tampa Bay. 552 00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,480 Multiple touchdown passes and two of his last three for Shuck, 553 00:27:36,160 --> 00:27:39,800 239 or more passing yards in each of the last three and 554 00:27:39,800 --> 00:27:42,880 Tampa's on the docket this week. Their past defense has been 555 00:27:42,880 --> 00:27:46,720 dinged badly in the last month. Every quarterback in the last 556 00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:52,640 four weeks against Tampa Bay has hit 270 yards and multiple 557 00:27:52,640 --> 00:27:56,320 touchdown passes. If that's the if that's the low 558 00:27:56,320 --> 00:27:59,440 watermark, Tyler Shuck easy in this one. 559 00:27:59,920 --> 00:28:01,800 All right, we'll move on to the running back position. 560 00:28:01,800 --> 00:28:04,560 Trevor, who you got? Yeah, we'll go Zach Charbonnay 561 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,120 at Atlanta this week. No weather issues, obviously. 562 00:28:07,120 --> 00:28:08,840 Inside the Dome. Charbonnay's averaging 11 563 00:28:08,840 --> 00:28:12,000 touches per game since Seattle's Week 8 by and he's the preferred 564 00:28:12,000 --> 00:28:14,960 red zone goal line option. Charbonnay's out touched Ken 565 00:28:14,960 --> 00:28:17,880 Walker 20 to 11 inside the 10 yard line this year. 7 566 00:28:17,880 --> 00:28:20,080 touchdowns to Walker's three from that range. 567 00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:22,800 Atlanta's a good matchup, bottom half the league and rushed yards 568 00:28:22,800 --> 00:28:24,400 allowed and running back touches allowed. 569 00:28:24,400 --> 00:28:25,880 Specifically the touches is important. 570 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,080 The Seahawks are a good bet to clear 30 plus carries in this 571 00:28:28,080 --> 00:28:29,800 one. Three of their last four games 572 00:28:29,800 --> 00:28:32,840 we've seen 3933 and 32 rushing attempts, and they're more than 573 00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:35,640 a touchdown favorite in Atlanta. I think Sarbani Locka could 574 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:37,480 build C15 plus touches and a touchdown here. 575 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:42,160 All right, Maj., who do you got at your Roll the Dice runner? 576 00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:46,680 Sticking with ties, I'm going with Ty Johnson instead of Tyrod 577 00:28:46,680 --> 00:28:51,120 Taylor. He has had a steady 27% or more 578 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,440 snap share now for a month and then six of his last seven 579 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:58,000 games. The the, the Bills last week ran 580 00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:01,480 the ball 51 times as a team, which is insane. 581 00:29:01,480 --> 00:29:04,360 So Ray Davis actually got 9 carries and that's 62 yards. 582 00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:07,400 But that was really that was his first work in a in a couple of 583 00:29:07,400 --> 00:29:09,560 weeks. You know, it really Ty Johnson's 584 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:14,320 that passing down back and you know, this is a game where it's 585 00:29:14,320 --> 00:29:18,360 one of the higher than 52 1/2 for an over under in this game. 586 00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:20,360 You know, Cincinnati can put up points. 587 00:29:20,360 --> 00:29:22,720 So I do think that Johnson's going to be on the field 588 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:26,520 continuing his his streak of that high snap share. 589 00:29:26,640 --> 00:29:30,520 He's got 25 or more combo yards and four straight 52 or more and 590 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:32,520 two of his last three. And I you know, I think he 591 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:34,720 catches a couple passes here. So this might be more of like 592 00:29:34,720 --> 00:29:38,320 APPR, you know, if if you're in a standard league and might not 593 00:29:38,320 --> 00:29:42,160 be the shine on that metal might not be quite as bright. 594 00:29:43,080 --> 00:29:45,880 But I think that this is an opportunity to sneak tie Johnson 595 00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:50,480 into some line UPS. All right, Maj. you had a a tie 596 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:53,520 and a tie for for your quarterback and your running 597 00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:55,640 back. I had Tyler Shuck and now I'm 598 00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:59,040 going to tie J Spears. Here we go, More ties. 599 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,920 I hope it's not a tie in Cleveland against Tennessee. 600 00:30:01,920 --> 00:30:04,240 That would be gross, would be all. 601 00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:06,200 Right for that game. It would be. 602 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:08,760 It's impossible to run against Cleveland. 603 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:12,240 It's also impossible to drop back to pass for longer than two 604 00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:14,960 seconds against the Browns or Miles Garrett will kill you. 605 00:30:15,840 --> 00:30:20,160 So that's why in just the last two weeks, running backs have 606 00:30:20,160 --> 00:30:24,760 had 17 receptions against the Browns defense in just two 607 00:30:24,760 --> 00:30:27,480 weeks. Spears caught all six of his 608 00:30:27,480 --> 00:30:30,960 targets last week, by the way. He's only not caught two of his 609 00:30:30,960 --> 00:30:34,160 30 targets this year. He's a nearer lock for five 610 00:30:34,160 --> 00:30:37,080 catches and 30 yards in a normal game in PPR. 611 00:30:37,080 --> 00:30:39,200 That's eight points. Everything else that he does is 612 00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:41,800 gravy in this one. All right, let's go to the 613 00:30:41,800 --> 00:30:44,680 receiver position. A wide receiver or a tight end. 614 00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,400 Trevor, you're going first. Yeah, we'll go for the tight end 615 00:30:48,400 --> 00:30:49,760 portion here. We'll go Bretton Strange, 616 00:30:49,760 --> 00:30:52,400 Jacksonville's tight end, home against Indianapolis this week. 617 00:30:52,440 --> 00:30:54,560 So Strange has started and finished six games this year. 618 00:30:54,720 --> 00:30:57,560 In those games, he's gone under 10 PPR points just once, 619 00:30:58,120 --> 00:31:00,280 technically twice there was a 9.9 in there. 620 00:31:00,720 --> 00:31:02,000 He has at least three receptions in all. 621 00:31:02,000 --> 00:31:05,320 Six of those as well. A former second round pick leads 622 00:31:05,320 --> 00:31:08,080 the team, lead the team, excuse me in catches and yards two 623 00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:10,960 weeks ago and then followed it up last week with a three for 45 624 00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:13,840 and one outing were the Jags tied on defense we know is 625 00:31:13,840 --> 00:31:15,360 terrible. Gives up second most catches, 626 00:31:15,360 --> 00:31:17,520 4th most yards. The Colts kind of invert that. 627 00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:20,080 They give the fifth most catches and the second most yards to the 628 00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:22,160 position. Bretton Strange good pick this 629 00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:23,960 week. All right, there we go. 630 00:31:24,440 --> 00:31:27,560 We got a tight end, Maj. What do you got, a wide receiver 631 00:31:27,560 --> 00:31:28,320 or a tight end? This. 632 00:31:28,320 --> 00:31:30,800 Week I got I have a wide receiver and I'll say in the the 633 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:33,760 spirit of the ties, I did my damnedest to make a Tyler Locket 634 00:31:33,760 --> 00:31:38,120 and I just couldn't couldn't fudge the numbers enough to be. 635 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:41,280 Fair, I couldn't get to a starting grade on him either so. 636 00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:44,680 There's, you know, Tyrell Shavers was an option where 637 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:47,520 Buffalo, as you know, I just can't, you know, is is too far 638 00:31:47,520 --> 00:31:49,680 down. So Jayden Higgins, we'll call 639 00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:53,120 his middle things probably tie at Kansas City. 640 00:31:53,120 --> 00:31:57,760 He's had a 56% or more snap rate in seven of his last eight 641 00:31:57,760 --> 00:32:00,440 games, including four straight. So, you know, they've really 642 00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:03,080 gotten him more and more involved here in his rookie 643 00:32:03,080 --> 00:32:04,640 season. And he's a big dude. 644 00:32:04,640 --> 00:32:07,680 Like with him and Nico Collins on the field, that's, you know, 645 00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:11,280 that's quite the task, the literal the literal tall task 646 00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:15,280 for defensive backs. So four more receptions in four 647 00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,440 straight in five of his last six games. 648 00:32:17,600 --> 00:32:21,440 His targets the last four weeks, 779 and five touchdowns and two 649 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:25,560 of those a floor of 38 8 yards. Now, you know, unfortunately, 650 00:32:25,560 --> 00:32:27,920 all four of his touchdowns have come at home this year. 651 00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:30,840 So the home Rd. splits don't look as great from a fantasy 652 00:32:30,840 --> 00:32:34,080 scoring standpoint. But I am confident that even 653 00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:36,760 though that Texans defense is really good, that Mahomes is 654 00:32:36,760 --> 00:32:39,600 going to do enough to keep the scoring happening. 655 00:32:39,640 --> 00:32:42,480 You know, like the Houston can't just completely take the air out 656 00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:44,920 of the ball there. So he'll drop Stroud will drop 657 00:32:44,920 --> 00:32:47,960 back enough in this game to keep Jayden Higgins, Jayden Ty 658 00:32:47,960 --> 00:32:50,640 Higgins relevant. There we go. 659 00:32:51,720 --> 00:32:55,280 I had two ties in my my third, my receiver. 660 00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:59,760 If you drop the R and the O from his name, it would be Ty 661 00:32:59,760 --> 00:33:01,680 Franklin, but it's Troy Franklin. 662 00:33:02,840 --> 00:33:07,000 This week's matchup is just so juicy against Las Vegas. 663 00:33:08,080 --> 00:33:11,080 Franklin scored in the Week 10 meeting versus the Raiders, but 664 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:13,880 the problem is, is he hasn't scored a touchdown since that 665 00:33:13,880 --> 00:33:16,840 one. And his buddy Bo Nix, he targets 666 00:33:16,840 --> 00:33:18,960 him in the red zone. Franklin's the best red zone 667 00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:22,080 target that they have there. It's been shown over the year 668 00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:25,000 and the Raiders have allowed the fifth most touchdowns to 669 00:33:25,000 --> 00:33:28,040 opposing wide receivers this year, including two more last 670 00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:29,720 week to the Chargers wide receivers. 671 00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:32,240 So I got Troy Franklin in this one. 672 00:33:33,920 --> 00:33:37,320 Time to pop back into the match ups and we're going to go to 1 673 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:39,680 of mine. It's the Dolphins and The Jets. 674 00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:43,920 And almost laughably, this is a match up between two of the 675 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:48,200 hottest teams in the AFC. The Dolphins have won four of 676 00:33:48,200 --> 00:33:51,760 their last five and The Jets have won three of their last 677 00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,320 five. So what's the big key to their 678 00:33:54,320 --> 00:33:56,120 success? Well, on the Dolphin side, it's 679 00:33:56,120 --> 00:33:58,360 Devon A Chan. He's gold, Jerry. 680 00:33:58,560 --> 00:34:01,600 Oh, I got to hit that button. I love gold. 681 00:34:01,600 --> 00:34:03,080 Oh, I missed that one. How about this one? 682 00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:10,880 That's Gold Jerry, Gold, Jerry Gold A Chan has had at least 16 683 00:34:10,880 --> 00:34:14,440 PPR points in the last five weeks where the Dolphins have 684 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:18,000 won those four games. Last week was the first week in 685 00:34:18,000 --> 00:34:21,080 a month that he didn't catch 5 passes. 686 00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:25,840 He's had three straight games of 120 or more rushing yards and 687 00:34:25,840 --> 00:34:31,480 the last three top running backs to face The Jets have had 3222 688 00:34:31,600 --> 00:34:35,880 and 30 PPR points. He's in a smash spot this week. 689 00:34:37,400 --> 00:34:39,440 The rest of his team is not though. 690 00:34:39,800 --> 00:34:44,040 Tua Tungevailoa is on the bench, as is Jalen Waddle. 691 00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:48,360 The Jets defense is not bad, at least against the past, even 692 00:34:48,360 --> 00:34:50,800 after losing Sauce Gardner and Quinn and Williams. 693 00:34:51,159 --> 00:34:55,320 They held Lamar Jackson to 153 and no scores 2 weeks ago. 694 00:34:55,679 --> 00:34:59,840 They held Kirk Cousins to 2:34 and 1:00 and Tua hasn't topped 695 00:34:59,840 --> 00:35:02,400 to 100 yards in the last three weeks. 696 00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:06,000 And two of those games were against the Commanders and the 697 00:35:06,000 --> 00:35:08,280 Saints. He's not getting it done against 698 00:35:08,280 --> 00:35:09,800 those guys. Why is he going to get it done 699 00:35:09,800 --> 00:35:12,200 against The Jets, who are actually kind of good at pasty? 700 00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:15,840 Waddle is getting like 3 catches per game now and I think the 701 00:35:16,400 --> 00:35:19,440 upside you can hope for is what Zay Flowers did two weeks ago 702 00:35:20,040 --> 00:35:22,880 and that was 5 catches for 58 scoreless yards. 703 00:35:22,880 --> 00:35:25,080 So that's a bench grade for me for Waddle. 704 00:35:26,200 --> 00:35:30,360 Not in on Darren Waller either, but if he's available in your 705 00:35:30,360 --> 00:35:33,360 league, pick him up and stash him on your bench right now 706 00:35:33,360 --> 00:35:38,080 because he gets Pittsburgh and Cincinnati in the next two weeks 707 00:35:38,080 --> 00:35:40,760 and it's Pittsburgh. Their tight end defense is bad 708 00:35:41,080 --> 00:35:44,480 and Cincinnati's the worst in history in your fantasy 709 00:35:44,480 --> 00:35:46,400 semifinals. So Waller could be very 710 00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:50,800 startable in your fantasy playoffs on the jet side, Breece 711 00:35:50,800 --> 00:35:54,320 Hall, he's still a bell cow. Another 21 touches last week. 712 00:35:54,320 --> 00:35:59,560 By the way, Isaiah Davis had 0 touches and one target last 713 00:35:59,560 --> 00:36:01,240 week. Didn't catch that target. 714 00:36:01,960 --> 00:36:04,760 And the Dolphins are allowing the fifth most combo yards per 715 00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:09,360 game to opposing runners at A at a 145 per game clip. 716 00:36:09,840 --> 00:36:12,640 That's all Breece Hall. He gets a gold grade in this 717 00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:15,720 one. Tyrod Taylor was Maj's roll the 718 00:36:15,720 --> 00:36:19,320 dice quarterback. John Mechi and AD Mitchell could 719 00:36:19,320 --> 00:36:22,600 get it done against Miami because Chris Olave and Devon 720 00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:25,080 Vaile got it done last week. Both scored a touchdown and 721 00:36:25,080 --> 00:36:28,760 cleared 14 PPR points. Mitchell was the focal point 722 00:36:28,760 --> 00:36:32,160 last week, clearing 100 yards, scoring and most importantly not 723 00:36:32,160 --> 00:36:34,520 dropping any balls, especially in near the end zone. 724 00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:37,640 Mechi saw 8 targets as well last week. 725 00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:41,560 Tyrod's throwing the ball. I can find my way to bronze 726 00:36:41,560 --> 00:36:44,920 grades on both, but I bet in many cases you have better 727 00:36:44,920 --> 00:36:46,880 options. But I think I'd like both of 728 00:36:46,880 --> 00:36:50,200 these Jets receivers specifically over the Chargers 729 00:36:50,200 --> 00:36:53,280 receivers who I Pooh poohed in my earlier match up. 730 00:36:53,280 --> 00:36:56,640 So that's kind of where we're at when we get down to it. 731 00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:59,800 Mason Taylor's the last player in this game. 732 00:37:00,080 --> 00:37:02,480 He's got a bronze grade as well. The Dolphins have allowed the 733 00:37:02,480 --> 00:37:05,720 6th most receptions, yards, and scores to the tight end 734 00:37:05,720 --> 00:37:08,400 position. He's probably capped at like 9 735 00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:11,480 PPR points though. Is that's what Juan Johnson, 736 00:37:11,480 --> 00:37:14,720 Zach Ertz, and Isaiah likely scored in the last four games. 737 00:37:14,720 --> 00:37:18,360 So if you need Mason Taylor to score you 9 points and that'll 738 00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:20,360 help you, that's what you're looking at. 739 00:37:20,360 --> 00:37:22,960 So it's a very, very weak bronze grid. 740 00:37:24,080 --> 00:37:27,560 One of the more intriguing games on the Sunday slate is a match 741 00:37:27,560 --> 00:37:31,640 up between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow in what could be snowy 742 00:37:31,640 --> 00:37:35,920 Buffalo. I I gave my Yukon Cornelius game 743 00:37:35,920 --> 00:37:38,800 of the week and I'll play Yukon here. 744 00:37:41,800 --> 00:37:45,680 Gold and silver. Silver and gold and we hope this 745 00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:47,840 is rich with gold and silver, silver and gold. 746 00:37:47,840 --> 00:37:51,120 But I gave it to the Detroit Dallas game in my Thursday night 747 00:37:51,120 --> 00:37:53,480 match up and I think I nailed that because there was a lot of 748 00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:55,080 good game good players in that game. 749 00:37:55,080 --> 00:37:59,360 But I assume even a in a difficult match up Maj. against 750 00:37:59,360 --> 00:38:02,160 a tough Bills past defense, we're still firing up Joe Burrow 751 00:38:02,160 --> 00:38:04,480 and Jamar Chase. Oh yeah, absolutely. 752 00:38:04,480 --> 00:38:08,880 I've got a silver grade on Burrow and a gold on Chase to to 753 00:38:09,040 --> 00:38:10,720 to get our silver and gold out of the way there. 754 00:38:10,720 --> 00:38:13,000 It's like the one Christmas movie I don't have physically 755 00:38:13,000 --> 00:38:15,360 referenced on me right now, but that's right. 756 00:38:16,600 --> 00:38:17,680 Yeah. With with Burrow, you're. 757 00:38:17,720 --> 00:38:19,880 Wearing a stocking cap like Yukon Cornelius. 758 00:38:20,040 --> 00:38:21,840 That's true. And I got Beard going and it's 759 00:38:21,960 --> 00:38:23,040 turning white. So yeah. 760 00:38:24,320 --> 00:38:26,320 Yeah. He this is a Bill's defense 761 00:38:26,320 --> 00:38:28,800 that's only allowed multiple touchdown passes four times all 762 00:38:28,800 --> 00:38:31,560 year and no more than two in any game. 763 00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:35,640 So that's led to 12 for the year, fewest of any team. 764 00:38:35,880 --> 00:38:39,680 And only Mahomes has actually surpassed 175 net passing yards 765 00:38:39,680 --> 00:38:42,880 in their last six games. But I mean, it it like you said 766 00:38:42,880 --> 00:38:45,880 that that's why it's a silver grade on Joe Burrow, not a gold 767 00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:49,320 grade as it typically would be. His toe didn't really seem to 768 00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:51,720 limit him last week. He scrambled a few times, even 769 00:38:51,720 --> 00:38:55,720 had a fourth down QB sneak after not playing at all since Week 2. 770 00:38:55,880 --> 00:38:59,160 So yeah, you're firing up your Joe Burrow. 771 00:38:59,880 --> 00:39:02,360 I'm gonna pivot. I've got the running backs here 772 00:39:02,360 --> 00:39:03,720 next. I wanna talk about them quick 773 00:39:03,720 --> 00:39:07,280 because this is a very bad Bills run defense, but I've actually 774 00:39:07,280 --> 00:39:10,720 only got a silver grade on Chase Brown. 775 00:39:10,800 --> 00:39:13,280 So let's let's get the Bill stuff out of the way As far as 776 00:39:13,280 --> 00:39:15,280 their defense, they have actually improved their last two 777 00:39:15,280 --> 00:39:17,480 games. They played Texans and Steelers, 778 00:39:17,480 --> 00:39:20,160 2 teams who would much rather run the ball than throw the ball 779 00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:24,000 and they combined for just 166 yards and one rushing touchdown. 780 00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:28,560 The the problem here when you're looking at Chase Brown. 781 00:39:28,560 --> 00:39:32,200 So you had Semaj P Ryan return to action last week after a 782 00:39:32,200 --> 00:39:34,320 three-game absence. Now, if all you're doing is 783 00:39:34,320 --> 00:39:36,640 looking at Chase Brown box scores, you're like, so big 784 00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:41,400 freaking deal, right? The Bengals ran 80 plays last 785 00:39:41,520 --> 00:39:45,520 week, which their average is below 61, even including that 786 00:39:45,520 --> 00:39:47,480 80. Like this is a team that does 787 00:39:47,480 --> 00:39:49,840 not get off that amount of plays. 788 00:39:50,320 --> 00:39:52,760 It just it ended up being one of those games. 789 00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:57,040 So, you know, Semaj P Ryan returned and actually got right 790 00:39:57,040 --> 00:40:01,600 back to his 40% snapshare and Chase Brown was down to 60% 791 00:40:01,600 --> 00:40:06,040 after he had a very successful stint as a bell cow when Semaj P 792 00:40:06,040 --> 00:40:08,760 Ryan was out. And not surprisingly, he's shown 793 00:40:08,760 --> 00:40:13,920 he has the talent to do that. And and so even, you know, even 794 00:40:13,920 --> 00:40:16,240 though his box score like, you know, looked the way it did and 795 00:40:16,240 --> 00:40:19,960 he's now got six straight games with 100 plus combo yards. 796 00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:24,480 I, I just can't get them, you know, up to that goal because of 797 00:40:24,480 --> 00:40:27,960 Semaj P Ryan being there and taking enough of that volume 798 00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:30,160 away. And, and with P Ryan, frankly, I 799 00:40:30,160 --> 00:40:33,800 do think you can get that deep league bronze participation 800 00:40:33,800 --> 00:40:37,000 trophy bronze on if you had to. He's actually kind of in that in 801 00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:38,640 the same game. I talked about Ty Johnson 802 00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,240 already, and they're sort of like that mirror of each other 803 00:40:41,240 --> 00:40:45,680 based on how these offenses work because of that play volume last 804 00:40:45,680 --> 00:40:49,360 week, Semaj P Ryan got 14 carries and two targets in his 805 00:40:49,360 --> 00:40:50,920 first game back. He ain't getting that. 806 00:40:50,920 --> 00:40:53,640 If I could promise you 16 opportunities for Semaj P Ryan, 807 00:40:53,800 --> 00:40:55,840 you, you'd be more than a bronze against this defense. 808 00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,160 But, you know, I do think there's going to be plenty of 809 00:40:58,160 --> 00:41:01,440 passing here, like I said, with Burrow in that silver grade and 810 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:04,120 then needing to keep up, you know, with the Bills offense. 811 00:41:04,120 --> 00:41:07,000 So again, you could potentially sneak him into your line of if 812 00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:10,040 you needed to. Jamar Chase, he's Jamar Chase. 813 00:41:10,360 --> 00:41:12,240 It's gold. I don't really need to go into 814 00:41:12,240 --> 00:41:15,080 too much detail there. T Higgins is back this week from 815 00:41:15,080 --> 00:41:18,920 that nasty concussion. I've got a bronze grade on him. 816 00:41:20,200 --> 00:41:23,240 You know, he's he's six or more targets in seven of his last 817 00:41:23,240 --> 00:41:25,480 eight overall, 5 touchdowns in his last five. 818 00:41:25,480 --> 00:41:30,400 Yes, those were with Joe Flacco. Joe Flacco was awesome. 819 00:41:30,400 --> 00:41:33,480 And against being a quarterback to my age, big, Big Joe Flacco 820 00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:35,600 fan. But you know, Joe, Joe Burrow, I 821 00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,280 think can pick up where where Joe Flacco left off. 822 00:41:38,680 --> 00:41:41,000 You're benching the other guys. There's just not, you know, 823 00:41:41,160 --> 00:41:43,200 there's not going to be enough volume to go around. 824 00:41:43,200 --> 00:41:47,240 And Mitchell Tinsley has eaten into Andre Yoshovash's target 825 00:41:47,240 --> 00:41:49,680 chair. So those, those two guys can can 826 00:41:49,680 --> 00:41:51,280 sit. And yeah, there's there's really 827 00:41:51,280 --> 00:41:55,040 nothing on the the tight end side, you know, of interest in 828 00:41:55,040 --> 00:41:58,400 that on that side either. So I'm going to move on to the 829 00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:00,960 bill side. Josh Allen, gold again, Josh 830 00:42:00,960 --> 00:42:03,040 Allen, you don't need much more than that. 831 00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,520 James Cook also a gold in this one. 832 00:42:05,800 --> 00:42:09,760 Now, last week's run heavy attack really worked for the 833 00:42:09,760 --> 00:42:11,840 Bills. They needed to to do that 834 00:42:11,840 --> 00:42:14,560 because they were missing both of their starting tackles. 835 00:42:14,720 --> 00:42:17,200 It sounds like they're going to get Deion Dawkins back for sure. 836 00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:18,960 He cleared concussion protocol today. 837 00:42:19,520 --> 00:42:21,360 They might get Spencer Brownback as well. 838 00:42:21,360 --> 00:42:26,400 So they don't necessarily need to, you know, hide. 839 00:42:26,480 --> 00:42:28,120 You don't hide Josh Allen, right? 840 00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:29,600 But you do limit his pass attempts. 841 00:42:30,120 --> 00:42:31,440 They don't necessarily need to do that. 842 00:42:31,440 --> 00:42:34,760 But because this rushing attack is so good and the Bengals are 843 00:42:34,760 --> 00:42:38,600 the easiest run defense to face in the league, 5.18 yards per 844 00:42:38,600 --> 00:42:41,200 carry, they're allowing second most in the league with the most 845 00:42:41,200 --> 00:42:43,800 combo yards per game and combo TDs allowed in the league. 846 00:42:43,800 --> 00:42:45,840 You're going to get a lot of James Cook here. 847 00:42:46,040 --> 00:42:48,680 He's had 20 or more opportunities in three of his 848 00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:53,040 last five and no fewer than 18 in that stretch or 16 all year. 849 00:42:53,200 --> 00:42:55,960 He is coming off a season high 32 rushing attempts. 850 00:42:55,960 --> 00:42:58,600 Like I said, they had 51 as a team last week. 851 00:42:59,200 --> 00:43:02,680 I don't think they get 51 this week, but they could be 40 plus. 852 00:43:02,680 --> 00:43:05,520 I don't know that they want to be given James Cook 30 plus 853 00:43:06,440 --> 00:43:09,720 carries, excuse me, in multiple games in a row here. 854 00:43:09,720 --> 00:43:13,440 But I think if he got, you know, 1516 and a couple targets, he's 855 00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:15,920 going to make plenty of hay against this defense. 856 00:43:15,920 --> 00:43:19,720 I already talked about Ty Johnson in the in the receiving 857 00:43:19,720 --> 00:43:22,200 part of the game. You know, Khalil Shakur, I can 858 00:43:22,200 --> 00:43:26,080 put a bronze on freaking CD go through his hands last week. 859 00:43:26,080 --> 00:43:28,440 So it's now A5 game touchdown drought for him. 860 00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:31,640 He's really just the closest thing they have to a consistent 861 00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:33,400 threat in the wide receiver room. 862 00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:36,400 But that's not saying a lot because he's pretty 863 00:43:36,400 --> 00:43:39,000 inconsistent. He's had 7 plus targets and four 864 00:43:39,000 --> 00:43:42,280 of his last six, but 4 fewer in two of his last three. 865 00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:45,040 And then he he's getting these crazy swings. 866 00:43:45,040 --> 00:43:50,000 He had a combined 2 yards in those two games where he had the 867 00:43:50,760 --> 00:43:52,640 four fewer targets. But then sandwiched in the 868 00:43:52,640 --> 00:43:55,720 middle, of course, is an 8 catch, 110 yard game, right? 869 00:43:55,720 --> 00:43:59,720 So his slot roll, it's netted less than a 50% snapshare twice 870 00:43:59,720 --> 00:44:02,840 in the Bills last last six games, including last week. 871 00:44:02,840 --> 00:44:05,480 So if you have to start a receiver, it's secure. 872 00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:09,080 Everybody else is on the bench. You know, Josh Palmer, his ankle 873 00:44:09,080 --> 00:44:11,440 kept him out last week. We're we're not sure what's 874 00:44:11,480 --> 00:44:13,400 going to go on there. Tyrell Shavers actually led the 875 00:44:13,400 --> 00:44:16,440 team in snapshare last week, but didn't get a single target for 876 00:44:16,440 --> 00:44:18,880 the second straight week. You've got Gabe Davis, Brandon 877 00:44:18,880 --> 00:44:21,880 Cooks, Keon, like seriously, guys, just pick a couple 878 00:44:21,880 --> 00:44:25,400 receivers and go. So just just ignore those. 879 00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:28,440 What's really interesting, I think, is the Dalton Kincaid 880 00:44:28,440 --> 00:44:30,320 question. I've got him as a Silver. 881 00:44:30,440 --> 00:44:32,680 If he plays tight ends absolutely crush the Bengals. 882 00:44:32,680 --> 00:44:36,040 As you noted, Matt, with their historically bad tight end 883 00:44:36,040 --> 00:44:38,120 defense. No defense allows more tight end 884 00:44:38,120 --> 00:44:41,160 receptions, targets, yards or touchdowns. 885 00:44:41,440 --> 00:44:45,880 With Kincaid, he's been very efficient, but because he's only 886 00:44:45,880 --> 00:44:50,040 had 35% of the snaps this year, you know his high watermark in 887 00:44:50,040 --> 00:44:53,000 three games played since since week 5 is that number he's he's 888 00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:56,360 he can be hard to trust, but you you just sort of have to, you 889 00:44:56,360 --> 00:44:58,720 know, hold your nose a little bit and put them in your lineup. 890 00:44:58,920 --> 00:45:02,160 He does have 6 targets in four games this season with 200 yard 891 00:45:02,160 --> 00:45:06,800 games and four touchdowns. Hamstring actually popped up on 892 00:45:06,800 --> 00:45:08,920 the injury report this week. He had been out with the knee as 893 00:45:08,920 --> 00:45:11,400 well, but getting limited practices in. 894 00:45:11,400 --> 00:45:15,560 So if he goes, if you play him and you hope he stays in the 895 00:45:15,560 --> 00:45:19,360 game enough to take advantage of the matchup, if he doesn't go, I 896 00:45:19,360 --> 00:45:23,760 do think you can put a bronze on Dawson Knox. 72% or more snaps 897 00:45:23,760 --> 00:45:26,440 in three straight weeks with Kincaid hurt, and he's had a 898 00:45:26,440 --> 00:45:28,840 steady 3 or 4 targets in each of his last four. 899 00:45:28,840 --> 00:45:31,520 He just hasn't scored yet or top 37 yards. 900 00:45:31,520 --> 00:45:35,280 He was actually the first read on Keon Coleman's touchdown last 901 00:45:35,280 --> 00:45:38,160 week, but Knox was covered, so Allen moved on. 902 00:45:38,160 --> 00:45:41,680 But but yeah, because of again, that matchup, you can go Dawson 903 00:45:41,680 --> 00:45:44,760 Knox if you need an emergency tight end if Kincaid does not 904 00:45:44,800 --> 00:45:48,960 play. The Bengals are a full 6 PPR 905 00:45:48,960 --> 00:45:53,680 points per game worse than the next worst tight end defense. 906 00:45:54,120 --> 00:45:58,480 A full touchdown. It's insane and and Isaiah 907 00:45:58,480 --> 00:46:01,320 likely if he doesn't just drop the ball on the 1 yard line, 908 00:46:01,320 --> 00:46:04,720 that's the 14th touchdown that came up he. 909 00:46:04,760 --> 00:46:06,440 Felt bad for him. He's like, you know what I don't 910 00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:11,000 need? Yeah, Trevor, let's move on to 911 00:46:11,000 --> 00:46:13,600 the next match up. It's the Seahawks traveling 912 00:46:13,600 --> 00:46:17,520 across the country to Atlanta, and I assume that you feel that 913 00:46:17,520 --> 00:46:20,800 this one could be very one sided in favor of Sam Darnold in 914 00:46:20,800 --> 00:46:23,960 Seattle. That would be a pretty good 915 00:46:24,680 --> 00:46:26,360 estimate. We'll start with Sam Darnold 916 00:46:26,360 --> 00:46:27,240 there. I'm going to put him on the 917 00:46:27,240 --> 00:46:29,480 bench. Since Week 7, Darnold's got just 918 00:46:29,480 --> 00:46:32,080 one game with multiple touchdowns, one game with more 919 00:46:32,080 --> 00:46:35,440 than 26 passing attempts. It's hard to get fantasy points 920 00:46:35,440 --> 00:46:36,760 when you don't throw the ball, Trevor. 921 00:46:37,000 --> 00:46:40,640 Benching quarterbacks left and right this week, yeah. 922 00:46:40,640 --> 00:46:44,600 I just, you know, 12 guys which should get, you know, decent 923 00:46:44,600 --> 00:46:46,480 grades or maybe 14. I just I don't think Arnold's 924 00:46:46,480 --> 00:46:48,760 one of them this week. It's another spot where Seattle 925 00:46:48,880 --> 00:46:50,640 looks like they can just get a lead and run off the clock 926 00:46:50,640 --> 00:46:53,520 against this Falcons team that they they're doing the Madden 927 00:46:53,520 --> 00:46:56,480 SIM to end, right. We're six weeks in my team's two 928 00:46:56,480 --> 00:46:57,800 and four. And I'm just like, screw that. 929 00:46:57,800 --> 00:47:00,640 And I just hit the let's let's run this out button. 930 00:47:01,520 --> 00:47:03,360 Ken Walker will throw a silver grade on him. 931 00:47:04,000 --> 00:47:05,680 Walker's at consistent workload this year. 932 00:47:06,040 --> 00:47:08,160 Three straight games with at least 11 carries and three 933 00:47:08,160 --> 00:47:10,640 catches. However, just one touchdown 934 00:47:10,640 --> 00:47:13,720 since week 3, so hoping for some positive touchdown regression in 935 00:47:13,720 --> 00:47:16,040 a good match up here that Atlanta again, bottom half the 936 00:47:16,040 --> 00:47:18,320 league in rush Arts catches receiving Arts getting up to 937 00:47:18,320 --> 00:47:21,160 opposing R BS Walker fills that role as a pass game back for 938 00:47:21,160 --> 00:47:22,520 Seattle. We already talked about 939 00:47:22,520 --> 00:47:26,600 Charbonnay as the roll the dice guy JSN will throw in Osmium 940 00:47:26,600 --> 00:47:29,640 grade on. Osmium is the densest naturally 941 00:47:29,640 --> 00:47:32,920 occurring element on Earth, so there's that. 942 00:47:34,280 --> 00:47:37,600 But what does that mean? I was the densest on Earth. 943 00:47:38,200 --> 00:47:40,840 I He's just such a dense ball of fantasy production. 944 00:47:40,840 --> 00:47:43,840 I don't know the rest of the receivers. 945 00:47:43,840 --> 00:47:45,160 They're not getting enough work to matter. 946 00:47:45,160 --> 00:47:48,400 Cooper Cup is old. Tori Horton's on IR Rashishi, 947 00:47:48,400 --> 00:47:49,680 he's out there winning win sprints. 948 00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:54,440 AJ Barner, I'm gonna bench. You could kind of throw a dart 949 00:47:54,440 --> 00:47:55,920 at him. He's getting push, push work for 950 00:47:55,920 --> 00:47:58,400 them right now. Although Atlanta's allowed just 951 00:47:58,400 --> 00:48:00,320 one tight and touchdown all year, so it's not a good match 952 00:48:00,320 --> 00:48:03,320 up on the other side. There's not a whole lot going on 953 00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:06,200 here outside of the normal 2 characters. 954 00:48:06,480 --> 00:48:07,840 Kirk, we're going to throw Kirk on the bench. 955 00:48:08,600 --> 00:48:10,200 It's it's just tough for him right now. 956 00:48:10,440 --> 00:48:13,000 Seattle's a top three scoring defense Since Seattle's Week 8 957 00:48:13,000 --> 00:48:15,760 by they've given up just 7 total touchdowns to quarterbacks. 958 00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:19,800 I'm not looking for Kirk to be the first guy to put up multiple 959 00:48:19,800 --> 00:48:22,880 on them in a minute. Dijon Robinson is a gold play. 960 00:48:23,680 --> 00:48:25,080 It's not as great as it normally is. 961 00:48:25,080 --> 00:48:28,000 Seattle's top three in rushing yards and touchdowns allowed, so 962 00:48:28,000 --> 00:48:30,920 dire expectations down a little bit, but he's playing in your 963 00:48:30,920 --> 00:48:33,200 season long lineup. Drake London, I'm gonna throw a 964 00:48:33,200 --> 00:48:37,240 bronze on if he plays. He was DNP on both Wednesday and 965 00:48:37,240 --> 00:48:40,280 Thursday of this week, so checked the report after yields 966 00:48:40,280 --> 00:48:42,720 into the pod here. Last four target totals before 967 00:48:43,280 --> 00:48:45,480 his injury, though, were 10/14, 8:00 and 9:00. 968 00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:46,960 That kind of volume is just rare. 969 00:48:46,960 --> 00:48:50,000 Keeps a guy, if you get that many targets, anybody's in play. 970 00:48:50,720 --> 00:48:53,040 Sam's past, he is very good. Like I mentioned, just one 971 00:48:53,040 --> 00:48:55,280 receiver since Week 9 has crossed 50 yards against them, 972 00:48:55,280 --> 00:48:58,200 and that was Puka Nakua with a scoreless 75. 973 00:48:58,200 --> 00:49:01,000 So it's a really tough matchup, but Ray Clinton's volume keeps 974 00:49:01,000 --> 00:49:03,720 him at play. We're not playing David Sills, 975 00:49:03,720 --> 00:49:06,720 Cabrera Hodge, Darnell Mooney, whoever else. 976 00:49:06,920 --> 00:49:09,160 We're not running guys out there. 977 00:49:09,160 --> 00:49:12,480 And then Kyle Pitts will will give a bronze to tight ends of 978 00:49:12,480 --> 00:49:14,880 wasteland past like the first five guys. 979 00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:17,200 Pitts did put up 7 for 82 last week. 980 00:49:17,720 --> 00:49:20,760 Seattle's one defensive weakness is tight end. 981 00:49:20,760 --> 00:49:22,720 They actually are bottom 3IN catches and yards allowed to the 982 00:49:22,720 --> 00:49:24,720 position. I'd like to play more without 983 00:49:24,720 --> 00:49:27,160 Drake London because Kirk and Kyle Pitts have a little bit of 984 00:49:27,160 --> 00:49:29,920 a connection going on and Kyle Pitts would be the last like 985 00:49:30,320 --> 00:49:34,160 above 70 overall player on the skill position on the pass 986 00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:37,040 catching roster there. So keep an eye on Drake Lemon 987 00:49:37,040 --> 00:49:39,240 status for a lot of. These guys I I was gonna I'll 988 00:49:39,240 --> 00:49:42,120 chime in and just note that I did see come across while you 989 00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,400 were talking ruled out for week 14. 990 00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:47,560 I haven't confirmed it on a second source, but according to 991 00:49:47,560 --> 00:49:50,720 Fantasy Footballers anyway, ruled out for week 14 I'm. 992 00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,320 Gonna go upgrade it to bench then I'm gonna I'm gonna say 993 00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:56,040 don't play Drake. That's the advice you got here 994 00:49:56,040 --> 00:50:00,720 for. All right, thanks Trevor. 995 00:50:00,720 --> 00:50:03,600 I wanted to remind everyone that today's show is brought to you 996 00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:06,560 by Game Blazers. Try Game Blazers this week to 997 00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:11,040 win your share of $36,000 in prizes and free to play contest. 998 00:50:11,400 --> 00:50:15,600 Sign up with the referral code FFAD for a free starter pack and 999 00:50:15,600 --> 00:50:19,360 a free rare pack. Learn more at gameblazers.com. 1000 00:50:20,040 --> 00:50:23,720 I drew the Titans and Browns match up and let's just say this 1001 00:50:23,720 --> 00:50:27,600 here is nasty. The Over Under for this game is 1002 00:50:27,600 --> 00:50:32,400 33 1/2. This is tied for the 13th lowest 1003 00:50:32,400 --> 00:50:36,680 predicted point total. In the winner. 10 years, which 1004 00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:43,360 is 2674 games I'm. Trying to remember like what? 1005 00:50:43,360 --> 00:50:45,080 What would the match up have? Bet like? 1006 00:50:45,120 --> 00:50:48,120 It's got to be like a Zach Wilson Jets team against 1007 00:50:48,120 --> 00:50:51,360 somebody. It it was something like there. 1008 00:50:51,640 --> 00:50:53,600 Was. There was a couple of Patriots 1009 00:50:53,600 --> 00:50:55,920 teams that were bad in there. I had it pulled up. 1010 00:50:55,920 --> 00:50:57,400 I think it, well, maybe I have it here. 1011 00:50:57,400 --> 00:51:01,520 I do. It was Patriots versus Jets in 1012 00:51:01,520 --> 00:51:04,520 2024. Oh, man. 1013 00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:10,160 And I think that that over under was 28 1/2, 28. 1014 00:51:10,160 --> 00:51:13,360 That seems impossible. And also, yeah, yeah, that's 1015 00:51:13,360 --> 00:51:15,360 crazy. See, Speaking of scores, sorry, 1016 00:51:15,360 --> 00:51:17,480 did you? I saw a story in the Atlantic 1017 00:51:17,480 --> 00:51:20,840 come across that there has never been an NFL game that's ended 36 1018 00:51:20,840 --> 00:51:26,840 to 23. Sorry, I'm here to derail the 1019 00:51:26,840 --> 00:51:28,240 podcast. Go on, you've. 1020 00:51:28,520 --> 00:51:31,320 Really derailed it by talking Skorogamis now. 1021 00:51:31,320 --> 00:51:36,840 All right, well, here we go. I'll start with the Titan side 1022 00:51:36,840 --> 00:51:39,520 where Taije Spears was my roll the dice running back. 1023 00:51:39,520 --> 00:51:43,800 And that's it for the Titans, because the Browns defense is 1024 00:51:43,800 --> 00:51:45,520 really good. Here's why. 1025 00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:49,440 The Browns are top five in the following defensive categories. 1026 00:51:49,800 --> 00:51:52,320 Passing completions and yards allowed. 1027 00:51:53,000 --> 00:51:56,200 Rushing yards and touchdowns allowed to quarterbacks. 1028 00:51:56,560 --> 00:51:59,560 Yards per carry and rushing scores to opposing running 1029 00:51:59,560 --> 00:52:02,560 backs. Receptions and receiving yards 1030 00:52:02,560 --> 00:52:04,560 to wide receivers. They're first in the league. 1031 00:52:04,560 --> 00:52:08,480 And both of those, by the way, so Tony Pollard, Cam Ward, 1032 00:52:08,680 --> 00:52:12,960 whatever random wide receivers they have, like Van Jefferson, 1033 00:52:12,960 --> 00:52:15,960 who led the team with three catches and 20 yards last week, 1034 00:52:16,160 --> 00:52:19,040 that was their high watermark for a wide receiver last week. 1035 00:52:19,760 --> 00:52:23,240 Gunner Helm has the softest landing spot, but George Kittle 1036 00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:26,040 and Brock Bowers, those guys are elite. 1037 00:52:26,280 --> 00:52:32,200 And they mustered only 10.7 and 11.5 PPR points, respectively 1038 00:52:32,200 --> 00:52:36,400 against this D So I I got to think that Gunner Helm can only 1039 00:52:36,400 --> 00:52:39,720 get to like, maybe six. Yeah, they're all on the bench 1040 00:52:40,600 --> 00:52:43,920 on the Cleveland side. Quinch on Judkins might have the 1041 00:52:43,920 --> 00:52:47,120 backfield to himself as Dylan Sampson hasn't practiced this 1042 00:52:47,120 --> 00:52:51,000 week with a calf injury. Judkins carried the rock 23 1043 00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:56,040 times last week for 91 yards and added in three catches and 18 1044 00:52:56,040 --> 00:52:59,440 yards through the air. He scores touchdowns in 1045 00:52:59,440 --> 00:53:01,760 advantageous matchups, and this is one of those. 1046 00:53:01,760 --> 00:53:04,560 The Titans have allowed the fifth most touchdowns to running 1047 00:53:04,560 --> 00:53:09,120 backs this year with 16. A very solid silver grade for 1048 00:53:09,120 --> 00:53:13,040 Judkins and I, I forget the electrum somewhere between a 1049 00:53:13,040 --> 00:53:15,320 silver and a gold. I think that's what the what it 1050 00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:19,280 was the electrum grade. Shudur Sanders is on the bench. 1051 00:53:19,280 --> 00:53:22,200 He's got a good match up this week, but he did in both of the 1052 00:53:22,200 --> 00:53:26,920 last two weeks as well and he managed 209 yards and 149 yards 1053 00:53:26,920 --> 00:53:29,720 through the air and he doesn't add anything at all on the 1054 00:53:29,720 --> 00:53:32,480 ground. If you want to look at the spike 1055 00:53:32,480 --> 00:53:36,320 game angle, Sanders was talked about as a possible first 1056 00:53:36,320 --> 00:53:39,760 overall pick way back in the day, but the Titans took Ward 1057 00:53:39,920 --> 00:53:42,800 and then proceeded to pass on Sanders like 7 times in the 1058 00:53:42,800 --> 00:53:46,760 draft, so still no. His favorite target is Harold 1059 00:53:46,760 --> 00:53:48,840 Fannon, who caught a touchdown pass last week. 1060 00:53:48,840 --> 00:53:51,400 I'm leaving him on the bench though as the Titans have been 1061 00:53:51,400 --> 00:53:54,720 top ten in every tight end defense category and as the top 1062 00:53:54,720 --> 00:53:58,720 target he might only get 5 targets so that's not enough to 1063 00:53:58,720 --> 00:54:02,760 get him going. Jerry Judy was one that I 1064 00:54:02,760 --> 00:54:05,960 highlighted as my deep, deep, deep deep sleeper on the DFS 1065 00:54:05,960 --> 00:54:08,320 show and I I still hate it. I got a bench crater. 1066 00:54:09,880 --> 00:54:12,000 The matchup is just really ripe though. 1067 00:54:12,800 --> 00:54:16,560 The Titans are so bad against wide receivers they're allowing 1068 00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:18,960 168 yards per game to the position. 1069 00:54:18,960 --> 00:54:22,800 That's third most in the league. But if it's a game that means 1070 00:54:22,800 --> 00:54:26,160 anything to you in Week 14, I can't see a scenario where 1071 00:54:26,160 --> 00:54:29,880 you're starting Jerry Judy and trying to make a playoff spot. 1072 00:54:29,880 --> 00:54:32,280 That doesn't make any sense. Maybe over your Chargers guys, 1073 00:54:32,280 --> 00:54:35,160 huh? No, no, I don't think I'd even 1074 00:54:35,800 --> 00:54:38,400 do that. It's too gross. 1075 00:54:38,400 --> 00:54:42,440 It's too gross. All right, last match up of this 1076 00:54:42,440 --> 00:54:45,680 segment, Maj. The Commanders and their nearly 1077 00:54:45,680 --> 00:54:49,360 league worst defense head to Minnesota to take on a Vikings 1078 00:54:49,360 --> 00:54:52,000 team that scored six points in their last eight quarters. 1079 00:54:52,280 --> 00:54:55,040 It's like stoppable force meets movable object. 1080 00:54:55,640 --> 00:54:58,680 But on the other side, the Vikings have had a super tough 1081 00:54:58,680 --> 00:55:01,320 D. So who from the Commanders are 1082 00:55:01,320 --> 00:55:03,280 you starting with? Jayden Daniels coming back. 1083 00:55:03,840 --> 00:55:06,760 Yeah, that was Jayden Daniels was the roll the dice 1084 00:55:06,760 --> 00:55:09,760 quarterback for Trevor there. So we can move on to the 1085 00:55:10,720 --> 00:55:14,480 backfield where the three headed monster is now led by 1 Chris 1086 00:55:14,480 --> 00:55:16,880 Rodriguez. So we'll give him a bronze grade 1087 00:55:16,880 --> 00:55:19,200 Minnesota's a lot of running back rushing score and sixth 1088 00:55:19,200 --> 00:55:22,280 straight Rodriguez is the that lead horse right now. 1089 00:55:22,520 --> 00:55:25,480 He has Top 40% snapshare in his last two games after not doing 1090 00:55:25,480 --> 00:55:28,560 so at all earlier this season. But it's not like you're real 1091 00:55:28,560 --> 00:55:31,760 excited about just barely over 40% of snapshare right. 1092 00:55:31,760 --> 00:55:35,480 So you can't really do much. You know more with that. 1093 00:55:35,480 --> 00:55:38,240 He's he's got double digit carries in three of his last 1094 00:55:38,240 --> 00:55:40,680 four overall 3 touchdowns in that stretch too, but only two 1095 00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:42,240 targets. So there's like not even, you 1096 00:55:42,240 --> 00:55:45,480 know, like a PPR floor here. Jeremy Mcnichols is the one who 1097 00:55:45,480 --> 00:55:48,200 actually gets some of the targets, but he's got 15 carries 1098 00:55:48,200 --> 00:55:49,920 and five targets in his last three games. 1099 00:55:50,120 --> 00:55:53,160 Just one touchdown all year, though that's not enough to get 1100 00:55:53,160 --> 00:55:57,360 him off of a bench grade. And you know, Bill Krosky 1101 00:55:57,360 --> 00:55:59,000 merits. We hardly knew you. 1102 00:55:59,000 --> 00:56:00,920 Sorry. But yeah, he's kind of he. 1103 00:56:00,920 --> 00:56:05,640 He's the the least of the factors among those top three in 1104 00:56:05,640 --> 00:56:08,440 the receiving game. I've got a silver grade on Terry 1105 00:56:08,440 --> 00:56:10,040 Mclaurin. I should have let you say Terry 1106 00:56:10,040 --> 00:56:10,760 Mclaurin. Sorry. 1107 00:56:10,840 --> 00:56:11,560 There you go. Yeah. 1108 00:56:13,240 --> 00:56:15,560 And I should know. It's illegal to have anybody not 1109 00:56:15,560 --> 00:56:18,240 you say Terry Mclaurin. I did it again. 1110 00:56:18,240 --> 00:56:18,640 Oh, my God. Like. 1111 00:56:18,880 --> 00:56:22,360 That you can. You can get get get all Irish or 1112 00:56:22,360 --> 00:56:24,080 Scottish or whatever I'm doing there. 1113 00:56:24,520 --> 00:56:26,080 Try it out. We'll see. 1114 00:56:26,080 --> 00:56:28,880 I'll work on that for next time. You know, the Vikings have been 1115 00:56:28,880 --> 00:56:33,040 very stingy against wide receivers. 104 catches by 1116 00:56:33,040 --> 00:56:36,720 whiteouts all year is actually the fewest in the league. 8 1117 00:56:36,720 --> 00:56:38,480 touchdowns all season. The whiteouts are the 7th 1118 00:56:38,480 --> 00:56:40,600 fewest. But you know, with McLaren, he 1119 00:56:40,600 --> 00:56:43,320 returned. He actually got a 51% snap share 1120 00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:45,840 after a three-week absence last week and I do expect that to 1121 00:56:45,840 --> 00:56:48,360 continue to climb. And he scored in his last two 1122 00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:50,600 games. He's played season 914 targets 1123 00:56:50,600 --> 00:56:54,320 and 96 receiving yards last week against another tough defense in 1124 00:56:54,400 --> 00:56:57,160 Denver. You know, and it was like over 1125 00:56:57,160 --> 00:56:59,320 the middle stuff too, not just, you know, the long, you know, 1126 00:56:59,360 --> 00:57:01,520 deep stuff. So he's very involved in, in 1127 00:57:01,520 --> 00:57:03,600 that passing game. So I guess it's over there. 1128 00:57:03,760 --> 00:57:05,160 I'll give Debo the bronze as well. 1129 00:57:05,160 --> 00:57:08,560 It, it is one of the best individual matchups of the week 1130 00:57:08,560 --> 00:57:10,400 going against lock corner Josh Mutellis. 1131 00:57:11,280 --> 00:57:13,720 His targets have been consistent, no fewer than five 1132 00:57:13,720 --> 00:57:16,640 since Week 315 total the last two games. 1133 00:57:16,680 --> 00:57:19,320 He he just, you know, again, the ceiling's not necessarily there, 1134 00:57:19,320 --> 00:57:22,440 which is why that the bronze grade hasn't topped 74 yards 1135 00:57:22,440 --> 00:57:25,480 since his 95 in Week 5. He's got 5 touchdowns, which is 1136 00:57:25,480 --> 00:57:28,040 nice and he's getting regular snaps. 1137 00:57:28,040 --> 00:57:30,840 Aside from that though, Trey line burks catch for the year 1138 00:57:30,840 --> 00:57:33,520 potentially last week. So Congrats to you, but that was 1139 00:57:33,520 --> 00:57:37,240 his only one and Noah Brown bears enemy number one Noah 1140 00:57:37,240 --> 00:57:39,120 Brown from last season might be back as well. 1141 00:57:39,120 --> 00:57:41,480 So we'll, we'll keep those guys on the bench. 1142 00:57:42,360 --> 00:57:46,000 Zach Hertz, though, he will get a silver for me 67% of or more 1143 00:57:46,000 --> 00:57:47,560 of snaps each of the last three weeks. 1144 00:57:47,800 --> 00:57:49,800 And he had only bested that number once all season 1145 00:57:49,800 --> 00:57:52,800 previously. So he has just continued to work 1146 00:57:52,800 --> 00:57:55,760 his way more and more into that offense, which is odd. 1147 00:57:55,760 --> 00:57:57,040 Like it's not like he's a rookie. 1148 00:57:57,440 --> 00:57:59,400 You know, he's been around a little while, but they've 1149 00:57:59,480 --> 00:58:02,000 they've figured out that, you know, he's got good hands. 1150 00:58:02,000 --> 00:58:03,920 Except for that target in the back of the end zone against the 1151 00:58:03,920 --> 00:58:08,080 Broncos last week, four or more targets in seven straight games. 1152 00:58:08,320 --> 00:58:12,120 Four more receptions in six of his last 742 plus yards in four 1153 00:58:12,120 --> 00:58:15,040 straight. No touchdowns since Week 7 since 1154 00:58:15,040 --> 00:58:17,760 he dropped that one last week. But again, when you just factor 1155 00:58:17,760 --> 00:58:21,200 in those receptions and yardage floors, that's a silver grade 1156 00:58:21,200 --> 00:58:25,280 for for a tight end man, you'll absolutely take that on the 1157 00:58:25,280 --> 00:58:28,640 Vikings side. JJ McCarthy. 1158 00:58:28,640 --> 00:58:29,160 Hey. Hey. 1159 00:58:30,520 --> 00:58:33,480 Max Brosnan had one job last week, and it was to make people 1160 00:58:33,480 --> 00:58:35,400 excited for JJ McCarthy to come back. 1161 00:58:35,400 --> 00:58:38,200 And he succeeded. He did it, so he did it. 1162 00:58:38,600 --> 00:58:41,400 Yeah. I honestly, this was one. 1163 00:58:41,400 --> 00:58:43,840 I've still waffled. I have bronze. 1164 00:58:43,840 --> 00:58:45,960 I had him benched, but I have bronze on here. 1165 00:58:46,160 --> 00:58:48,960 I do think he's probably in like that Tyler Shuck, roll the dice 1166 00:58:48,960 --> 00:58:52,120 category, you know, as far as where he might fall on a 1167 00:58:52,120 --> 00:58:54,960 rankings list. Washington's allowed 23 passing 1168 00:58:54,960 --> 00:58:59,680 scores and 269 passing yards per game, which is the second most 1169 00:58:59,680 --> 00:59:02,160 in the league. So it's like there's really not 1170 00:59:02,160 --> 00:59:07,000 that many better spots to to bring McCarthy back for yes, 1171 00:59:07,000 --> 00:59:09,960 he's been awful. You know, a two to six touchdown 1172 00:59:09,960 --> 00:59:13,480 interception ratio in his last three home starts only topped 1173 00:59:13,480 --> 00:59:18,680 158 yards and one of his six and topped multiple TD passes twice. 1174 00:59:19,240 --> 00:59:23,160 I I think maybe he gets a little more design runs this week. 1175 00:59:23,160 --> 00:59:25,080 I think that might be, you know, this is a defense he could 1176 00:59:25,080 --> 00:59:27,960 potentially do that against. And so that's where there might 1177 00:59:27,960 --> 00:59:31,200 be enough of a floor that if you needed to like in a super Flex 1178 00:59:31,200 --> 00:59:32,720 league, you know, he could be a bronze type. 1179 00:59:32,800 --> 00:59:36,960 But yeah, I wouldn't be real excited about the prospect as 1180 00:59:36,960 --> 00:59:39,840 far as the running game goes. Aaron Jones, I have a silver on. 1181 00:59:39,840 --> 00:59:44,360 He did come out of last game, but you know, running backs have 1182 00:59:44,360 --> 00:59:47,120 been piling up 148 yards a game against Washington. 1183 00:59:47,120 --> 00:59:48,440 That's the third most in the league. 1184 00:59:48,440 --> 00:59:52,000 And you know, Jones has clearly, you know, separated himself the 1185 00:59:52,000 --> 00:59:53,920 same the same in the one A1B backfield. 1186 00:59:53,920 --> 00:59:56,600 You know, he was used five times on the 1st Dr. He was on his way 1187 00:59:56,600 --> 00:59:59,120 to a big usage game in that Seattle game before he got hurt 1188 00:59:59,120 --> 01:00:02,080 and had to come out double digit opportunities for him in each of 1189 01:00:02,080 --> 01:00:05,520 his last five after getting eased back in in Week 8 when he 1190 01:00:05,520 --> 01:00:08,680 came back from injury. And despite limited practices 1191 01:00:08,680 --> 01:00:11,000 all week with that shoulder injuries, the Vikings they have 1192 01:00:11,000 --> 01:00:15,040 not hesitated in the past to. You know, after limited weeks, 1193 01:00:15,040 --> 01:00:17,360 just throwing Aaron Jones back out there and let him roll. 1194 01:00:17,680 --> 01:00:21,680 So it would, it's like I said, silver because there's a little 1195 01:00:21,680 --> 01:00:24,000 bit of that just kind of in re injury risk. 1196 01:00:24,000 --> 01:00:27,240 And of course, the existence of 1 Jordan Mason, who would be a 1197 01:00:27,240 --> 01:00:30,400 bench if if Jones were to sit, it would be a surprise. 1198 01:00:30,720 --> 01:00:34,120 But then you actually have a consolidated backfield with 1199 01:00:34,120 --> 01:00:36,840 Jordan Mason potentially. And so then he could become a 1200 01:00:36,840 --> 01:00:38,840 silver. You know he's only got 1 1201 01:00:38,840 --> 01:00:41,960 touchdown, a high watermark of 47 yards, which was last week 1202 01:00:42,080 --> 01:00:45,440 when Jones left early in the last six games here, double 1203 01:00:45,440 --> 01:00:47,640 digit opportunities just once in that stretch. 1204 01:00:48,640 --> 01:00:50,640 We saw a little bit of Xavier Scott last week, but that was 1205 01:00:50,640 --> 01:00:54,600 some garbage time stuff too. CJ Hamm has popped up for 27 or 1206 01:00:54,600 --> 01:00:56,760 more percent snaps in three straight after only seeing 1207 01:00:56,760 --> 01:01:00,160 action on 31 snaps in the combined 9 games prior. 1208 01:01:00,160 --> 01:01:02,840 Not that he takes a lot of carries away, but it is body on 1209 01:01:02,840 --> 01:01:05,320 the field, you know, where Jordan Mason could be. 1210 01:01:05,320 --> 01:01:08,880 So like I said, silver if silver if there's no Jones, otherwise 1211 01:01:08,880 --> 01:01:10,840 he's on the bench in the receiving game. 1212 01:01:10,840 --> 01:01:13,960 I mean, Justin Jefferson gets like the name recognition. 1213 01:01:13,960 --> 01:01:17,520 Bronze, only 21 combined targets the last three weeks after 1214 01:01:17,520 --> 01:01:19,640 averaging more than 9 per game the first nine weeks. 1215 01:01:20,600 --> 01:01:23,000 You take out the Brosmer game. He does still have at least 4 1216 01:01:23,000 --> 01:01:25,520 receptions in all but one game, but still sitting on just those 1217 01:01:25,520 --> 01:01:29,640 two touchdowns. So it's like if his name wasn't 1218 01:01:29,640 --> 01:01:32,200 Justin Jefferson, you'd probably have him on your bench, but it 1219 01:01:32,200 --> 01:01:33,880 turns out it is. So he's a bronze. 1220 01:01:34,400 --> 01:01:35,840 Jordan Addison is gonna be on the bench. 1221 01:01:35,840 --> 01:01:38,120 It's just inconsistency with the target numbers. 1222 01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,600 You like the talent. It's just too scary to trust in 1223 01:01:40,600 --> 01:01:44,360 this game right now, even though you know, he's only actually had 1224 01:01:44,360 --> 01:01:47,200 three fewer targets than Justin Jefferson the last three weeks. 1225 01:01:48,040 --> 01:01:53,040 And then lastly, I'll I'll put a bronze grade on TJ Hawkinson, 16 1226 01:01:53,040 --> 01:01:55,040 combined targets the last three weeks, which is nice. 1227 01:01:55,040 --> 01:01:57,640 That double S his total from the prior 3 weeks and he's coming 1228 01:01:57,640 --> 01:02:01,040 off that season high 59 yards. Washington is allowing the 10th 1229 01:02:01,040 --> 01:02:04,520 most receiving yards per game to tight ends and six touchdowns to 1230 01:02:04,520 --> 01:02:10,400 the position this season. All right, I, I, I, I have this 1231 01:02:10,400 --> 01:02:13,800 weird feeling that they're going to try to make Justin Jefferson 1232 01:02:13,960 --> 01:02:18,240 real happy this week and, and try to get him over 100 yards in 1233 01:02:18,240 --> 01:02:20,840 a score. It it might be the Randy ratio 1234 01:02:20,840 --> 01:02:25,160 for Justin Jefferson, but Justin Jatio, I don't know. 1235 01:02:25,200 --> 01:02:27,120 Put him at running back and he'll get all the touches. 1236 01:02:27,400 --> 01:02:29,920 There we go. All right, it's. 1237 01:02:30,400 --> 01:02:33,520 Let's take a quick break and see what our friends at Fanball have 1238 01:02:33,520 --> 01:02:37,720 cooked up for us this week. Fanball is DFS for those of us 1239 01:02:37,720 --> 01:02:41,720 who can't devote full time job hours to scouring news feeds, 1240 01:02:41,880 --> 01:02:45,200 memorizing depth charts, or tracking our status on the Roto 1241 01:02:45,200 --> 01:02:48,280 Grinders Top 50. We get it, you've got a life. 1242 01:02:48,600 --> 01:02:51,480 But also enjoy a good sweat when you're not coaching Little 1243 01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:54,200 League or taking in your 5th soccer game over the weekend. 1244 01:02:54,680 --> 01:02:58,400 And at Fanball, you can still 2050 or even 100. 1245 01:02:58,400 --> 01:03:01,840 That's your entry fee. Every week of the NFL season has 1246 01:03:01,840 --> 01:03:05,320 three feature tournaments. You can take down the $1000 top 1247 01:03:05,320 --> 01:03:09,320 prize in the Peacock with just a $20 entry. 5 bucks gets you in 1248 01:03:09,320 --> 01:03:12,160 the high 5 where first place wins $400.00. 1249 01:03:12,400 --> 01:03:15,080 Or throw a buck in the Buck Hunter for a shot at the $100 1250 01:03:15,080 --> 01:03:17,200 top prize. And if you decide you want a 1251 01:03:17,200 --> 01:03:20,640 little more skin in the game, you can find up to $100 NFL 1252 01:03:20,640 --> 01:03:22,880 double ups and $50 winner take alls. 1253 01:03:23,440 --> 01:03:27,080 So register today at Fanball to scratch that DFS hitch without 1254 01:03:27,080 --> 01:03:30,920 worrying about whales and use promo code ALMOST for an up to 1255 01:03:30,920 --> 01:03:38,720 $20.00 deposit match. I liked in that commercial that 1256 01:03:39,240 --> 01:03:42,240 there is a there's a little video of some Little League 1257 01:03:42,240 --> 01:03:47,040 players and one of the kids names was Mad Max Scares. 1258 01:03:47,040 --> 01:03:50,040 There there was a couple good ones on those jerseys that that 1259 01:03:50,040 --> 01:03:52,200 was nice. All right. 1260 01:03:52,480 --> 01:03:57,520 Now it's time for a segment that we like to call 2 tough nuts. 1261 01:03:57,560 --> 01:04:03,200 It's time for two tough nuts to crack. 1262 01:04:05,280 --> 01:04:09,040 Yeah, to crack. Those of you who want to play 1263 01:04:09,040 --> 01:04:14,440 along with us at home, make sure that you play 2 tough nuts very 1264 01:04:14,440 --> 01:04:16,640 safely. All right, here we go. 1265 01:04:17,160 --> 01:04:22,880 Tough nut #1 Almost every year we seemingly have a fantasy 1266 01:04:22,880 --> 01:04:25,320 playoff hero that kind of comes out of nowhere. 1267 01:04:25,440 --> 01:04:28,600 In 2018, it was CJ Anderson for the Rams. 1268 01:04:29,160 --> 01:04:32,200 In 2015, it was Tim Hightower for the Saints. 1269 01:04:32,480 --> 01:04:35,920 Ron Dane did it for the Texans back in 2006. 1270 01:04:36,280 --> 01:04:39,440 We can go all the way back to 2004 when it was Drew Bennett 1271 01:04:39,440 --> 01:04:43,320 for the Titans. So who will be the fantasy 1272 01:04:43,320 --> 01:04:46,120 playoff hero out of nowhere this year? 1273 01:04:46,760 --> 01:04:52,000 We'll start with Trevor. So I wanted this to be someone 1274 01:04:52,000 --> 01:04:54,480 available, pretty available on the wire so that the listeners 1275 01:04:54,480 --> 01:04:56,680 could had a real shot at whoever the player was. 1276 01:04:56,680 --> 01:04:59,000 So I ended up on Rams backup running back Blake Korum. 1277 01:04:59,200 --> 01:05:01,160 He's owned in 22% of ESPN leagues. 1278 01:05:01,680 --> 01:05:03,680 Through the first six weeks, Korum had 34 touches. 1279 01:05:03,800 --> 01:05:05,960 However, over the last six weeks, that number is nearly 1280 01:05:05,960 --> 01:05:08,760 doubled to 62, including three different games with at least 13 1281 01:05:08,760 --> 01:05:10,840 touches. Korum's main competition, Kyron 1282 01:05:10,840 --> 01:05:13,080 Williams, has seen his three lowest touch counts of the 1283 01:05:13,080 --> 01:05:14,440 season. All come in the past three 1284 01:05:14,440 --> 01:05:17,560 weeks, ESP NS Dan Graziano on the split. 1285 01:05:17,560 --> 01:05:21,520 He asked the OC and the staff there in LA quote, they've been 1286 01:05:21,520 --> 01:05:22,960 rotating Williams in Quorum Drive to drive. 1287 01:05:22,960 --> 01:05:25,480 We'll continue to do so. The OC told me he thinks they've 1288 01:05:25,480 --> 01:05:27,640 been seeing the best version of Williams because he's fresher. 1289 01:05:28,280 --> 01:05:30,320 The Rams have their sights set on January and February games. 1290 01:05:30,320 --> 01:05:31,920 Want to keep everyone as fresh as possible. 1291 01:05:32,120 --> 01:05:33,840 So it sounds like we'll keep seeing plenty of play Corum the 1292 01:05:33,840 --> 01:05:36,400 rest of the regular season. The Rams fantasy schedule is 1293 01:05:36,400 --> 01:05:38,880 pretty good too. We have Detroit in week 15 and 1294 01:05:38,880 --> 01:05:41,520 what could be a shootout is that Detroit defense kind of fades 1295 01:05:41,680 --> 01:05:44,000 Week 16 is that Seattle? So that's that's about as tough 1296 01:05:44,000 --> 01:05:45,560 as it gets. But then you come back with 1297 01:05:45,560 --> 01:05:48,520 Atlanta in Week 17 in a Dome in a fantasy championship week. 1298 01:05:48,760 --> 01:05:51,080 Falcons currently have the 7th worst rushing defense in the 1299 01:05:51,080 --> 01:05:52,640 league. Give me Blake Colerim to be the 1300 01:05:52,640 --> 01:05:55,120 elite season hero on a team that's sixth in offensive 1301 01:05:55,120 --> 01:06:00,680 scoring this year. All right, Maj., Who will be the 1302 01:06:00,680 --> 01:06:03,680 fantasy playoff hero out of nowhere this year? 1303 01:06:05,360 --> 01:06:07,760 First hero is me because I totally lost my screen there and 1304 01:06:07,760 --> 01:06:10,000 couldn't find my mute button, but I nailed it right at the 1305 01:06:10,000 --> 01:06:13,720 last minute. Second hero, I'm going to go 1306 01:06:13,720 --> 01:06:15,920 Devon Singletary. I didn't I didn't check roster 1307 01:06:15,920 --> 01:06:18,720 percentages, but I, I would imagine Singletary is probably 1308 01:06:18,720 --> 01:06:20,840 in the same ballpark as Blake Corum. 1309 01:06:20,840 --> 01:06:25,400 Is there Tyrone Tracy, he really actually did seem like plan A 1310 01:06:25,480 --> 01:06:29,360 against New England in week 13. But then Singletary came in to 1311 01:06:29,360 --> 01:06:31,240 start that second quarter, got the hot hand. 1312 01:06:31,240 --> 01:06:34,440 He really was the Giants offense for back-to-back drives, ended 1313 01:06:34,440 --> 01:06:37,320 up with a Wildcat snap and scored and then Tracy got hurt. 1314 01:06:37,640 --> 01:06:40,880 It's it seems like it's allegedly, you know, Tyrone 1315 01:06:40,880 --> 01:06:43,480 Tracy is going to be fine, but it might have been a situation 1316 01:06:43,480 --> 01:06:46,040 where Singletary may have just kind of taken the reins there. 1317 01:06:46,240 --> 01:06:50,880 The really the unfortunate part is this these silly week 14 buys 1318 01:06:50,880 --> 01:06:54,360 of which New York has one of them, because the the timing of 1319 01:06:54,360 --> 01:06:58,960 it staggers in a way that may not make Singletary as useful to 1320 01:06:58,960 --> 01:07:01,320 you as you need him to be to be that hero. 1321 01:07:01,320 --> 01:07:05,600 Because week 15 is going to be most people's first game in the 1322 01:07:05,600 --> 01:07:08,400 fantasy play offs, right? And so you've really got to go 1323 01:07:08,400 --> 01:07:13,080 out on a ledge to play to play Devin Singletary, you know, in a 1324 01:07:13,080 --> 01:07:17,520 really nice match up. So we'll we'll see. 1325 01:07:17,520 --> 01:07:19,720 But you know, New York finishes with home games against the 1326 01:07:19,720 --> 01:07:22,600 Commanders and Vikings before traveling to to Vegas. 1327 01:07:22,600 --> 01:07:25,440 So it's like you could play him in that commander's game and 1328 01:07:25,440 --> 01:07:28,520 actually probably be fine even if it didn't work out because 1329 01:07:28,520 --> 01:07:31,760 it's opportunities. These last three games are 1714 1330 01:07:31,760 --> 01:07:35,040 and 15 and he does have 3 touchdowns in that stretch. 1331 01:07:35,200 --> 01:07:38,920 So even if it doesn't work out as I think it might, he's still 1332 01:07:38,920 --> 01:07:43,000 probably going to do OK for you. Then you've got the the Vikings 1333 01:07:43,000 --> 01:07:45,520 game, which is, you know, we noted that being a tough match 1334 01:07:45,520 --> 01:07:47,800 up. But then Week 15 Vegas for a 1335 01:07:47,800 --> 01:07:50,200 fantasy title, you got to love that. 1336 01:07:50,200 --> 01:07:53,160 And you know, we'll see. You know, Jackson Dart doesn't 1337 01:07:53,160 --> 01:07:55,400 seem to want to stop running as much, even though they would 1338 01:07:55,400 --> 01:07:58,040 like him to. But if they can convince him to 1339 01:07:58,080 --> 01:08:00,960 stop getting absolutely obliterated on the sidelines, 1340 01:08:01,160 --> 01:08:03,600 that might be a few more opportunities for Devin 1341 01:08:03,600 --> 01:08:06,920 Singletary. Those are both really great 1342 01:08:06,920 --> 01:08:09,080 answers, but they're both completely wrong. 1343 01:08:10,320 --> 01:08:14,240 Devin Neal of the New Orleans Saints is the correct answer, 1344 01:08:14,240 --> 01:08:17,680 and Devin Neal is owned in 53% of leagues right now. 1345 01:08:17,680 --> 01:08:22,680 He got 17 touches last week against Miami and Evan Hall was 1346 01:08:22,680 --> 01:08:25,040 the only other back that logged a touch. 1347 01:08:25,359 --> 01:08:28,359 He had five carries for 15 yards and that's not very good. 1348 01:08:29,399 --> 01:08:34,680 The schedule for the Saints is a primrose path in the playoffs. 1349 01:08:35,399 --> 01:08:39,200 The Panthers next week have allowed the 4th most combo yards 1350 01:08:39,200 --> 01:08:42,720 to the running back position. The Jets the week after that 1351 01:08:42,720 --> 01:08:46,120 have fallen apart in the run game after Quinn and Williams 1352 01:08:46,120 --> 01:08:49,240 was moved, and they've allowed seven touchdowns to running 1353 01:08:49,240 --> 01:08:53,439 backs in the last three games. Then they get the Titans in week 1354 01:08:53,439 --> 01:08:57,600 17, who've allowed 16 total scores to running backs. 1355 01:08:57,600 --> 01:09:01,520 That's fifth most in the league. Devin Neal could be your leg 1356 01:09:01,520 --> 01:09:03,040 lamp. He could be your Christmas 1357 01:09:03,040 --> 01:09:06,960 miracle. Let's go, Devin Neil. 53% 1358 01:09:07,359 --> 01:09:10,520 ownership, like that's a guy. She's been everybody's roster 1359 01:09:10,520 --> 01:09:13,399 right now. He should be, but he's not. 1360 01:09:13,720 --> 01:09:14,640 Athlete. You got a chance though. 1361 01:09:15,319 --> 01:09:22,600 There you go, tough nut #2. Which rookie from this 2025 1362 01:09:22,600 --> 01:09:26,840 draft class has the best chance to dominate in the last four 1363 01:09:26,840 --> 01:09:31,680 weeks of the fantasy season, sending their 2026 draft stock 1364 01:09:31,880 --> 01:09:34,760 soaring? Maj., We'll start with you on 1365 01:09:34,760 --> 01:09:37,439 this one. I'm going to go with Jaquavius 1366 01:09:37,439 --> 01:09:40,439 to Quan marks, otherwise known as woody marks. 1367 01:09:41,800 --> 01:09:44,439 Is that from Key and Peele? It's done. 1368 01:09:44,439 --> 01:09:48,200 It sounds like it doesn't a a Ron. 1369 01:09:49,600 --> 01:09:55,520 Yeah, this is a situation where he, he actually, he hasn't 1370 01:09:55,520 --> 01:09:58,640 scored in three weeks. He's has a madding 3 targets in 1371 01:09:58,640 --> 01:10:00,960 that stretch because this dude is a great receiver. 1372 01:10:01,200 --> 01:10:04,240 But honestly, what that's done is kept him under the radar. 1373 01:10:04,920 --> 01:10:07,360 He's had 20, he had 20 opportunities last week for just 1374 01:10:07,360 --> 01:10:10,600 the second time all season, 17 or more in four straights. 1375 01:10:10,600 --> 01:10:12,480 So this is a dude who's getting the work. 1376 01:10:12,480 --> 01:10:15,400 Now, the Chiefs pose a very tough matchup this week, no 1377 01:10:15,400 --> 01:10:18,160 doubt, but then you've got Cardinals, Raiders and Chargers 1378 01:10:18,400 --> 01:10:20,280 to finish things off. That's one of the better run 1379 01:10:20,280 --> 01:10:23,360 outs for running backs the rest of the way he did. 1380 01:10:23,640 --> 01:10:25,680 He's dealing with an injury, has been limited in practice this 1381 01:10:25,680 --> 01:10:28,000 week, but he should be fine and out there. 1382 01:10:28,000 --> 01:10:30,960 So I think what's going to happen here with Woody Marks is 1383 01:10:31,240 --> 01:10:34,680 those opportunities are actually going to start netting real 1384 01:10:34,920 --> 01:10:37,480 fantasy outputs. You know, he's going to get a 1385 01:10:37,480 --> 01:10:41,040 couple of touchdowns, you know, break one or two, and then 1386 01:10:41,040 --> 01:10:44,520 that's just going to shoot that that that's going to shoot his 1387 01:10:44,520 --> 01:10:47,200 ranking up. Because then all of that sort of 1388 01:10:47,320 --> 01:10:50,480 the back story, you know, that I just went through, all of that's 1389 01:10:50,480 --> 01:10:54,400 going to show the consistency and usage and put him in the 1390 01:10:54,960 --> 01:10:59,120 RB-1 conversation, not overall, but as an RB-1 on a fantasy team 1391 01:10:59,120 --> 01:11:02,120 next year. They probably don't have to deal 1392 01:11:02,120 --> 01:11:05,880 with Nick Chubb or Joe Mixon mixed into that backfield, too 1393 01:11:05,880 --> 01:11:11,760 next year. Trevor, who is your rookie 1394 01:11:12,320 --> 01:11:15,200 that's about to see his fantasy stock go soaring? 1395 01:11:16,040 --> 01:11:19,240 Who would you guys guess is the leader in Offensive Rookie of 1396 01:11:19,240 --> 01:11:22,840 the Year odds right now if you had to guess? 1397 01:11:24,280 --> 01:11:28,640 Man Mecca egbuca. Yeah, that's a good answer. 1398 01:11:28,640 --> 01:11:32,960 I mean, shoot, Jackson McMillan. Yeah, it can't, can't be 1399 01:11:32,960 --> 01:11:35,840 McMillan, can it? It is Ted McMillan it is. 1400 01:11:36,000 --> 01:11:39,720 He is currently plus 110 favorite Jackson dart #2 and 1401 01:11:39,720 --> 01:11:42,080 then Ibuka 3. So I actually landed on Ted 1402 01:11:42,080 --> 01:11:44,040 McMillan. His final four games of this 1403 01:11:44,040 --> 01:11:45,440 season are at New Orleans in a Dome. 1404 01:11:45,440 --> 01:11:49,040 Great spot home for Tampa's bottom 5 pass defense from 1405 01:11:49,040 --> 01:11:50,760 Seattle. That's obviously really hard, 1406 01:11:50,760 --> 01:11:53,600 but then you get you go back to Tampa to finish the year out so 1407 01:11:53,600 --> 01:11:55,720 you get 2 bottom 5 pass matchups there. 1408 01:11:56,200 --> 01:11:59,280 Frankly, I think he's already like a top 15 to 20 NFL receiver 1409 01:11:59,280 --> 01:12:00,960 in the league. I think the football collective 1410 01:12:00,960 --> 01:12:04,880 would realize this if the quarterback had a pulse in the 1411 01:12:04,880 --> 01:12:06,840 question. You said who will. 1412 01:12:06,840 --> 01:12:08,080 Who has the best chance to dominate? 1413 01:12:08,080 --> 01:12:11,800 I think dominate is the keyword. Ted is a guy who can dominate 1414 01:12:11,840 --> 01:12:14,440 people physically, often takes multiple defenders to bring him 1415 01:12:14,440 --> 01:12:17,800 down, Moves incredibly well laterally for a guy who's 65215. 1416 01:12:18,840 --> 01:12:21,360 He's put up big stats, right? He had the one or eight for 1:20 1417 01:12:21,360 --> 01:12:23,600 and two against Atlanta a couple weeks ago. 1418 01:12:23,600 --> 01:12:25,520 He could just have a couple highlight plays down the stretch 1419 01:12:25,520 --> 01:12:28,040 of Carolina brings them quarterback competition. 1420 01:12:28,040 --> 01:12:30,920 I don't think they'd replace Bryce, but I think, you know, a 1421 01:12:30,920 --> 01:12:33,360 Gino or a Mac or some sort of veteran edition. 1422 01:12:33,760 --> 01:12:35,520 We could be looking at a top three, four round player. 1423 01:12:35,520 --> 01:12:37,880 And like I said, he's currently favorite for office Rookie of 1424 01:12:37,880 --> 01:12:41,560 the Year. They're both interesting and 1425 01:12:41,560 --> 01:12:43,360 great answers, but they're both wrong. 1426 01:12:46,400 --> 01:12:49,680 The correct answer was almost Devin Neil again, but it's not 1427 01:12:50,680 --> 01:12:53,960 I, I, I did look at Ted McMillan and I was a little bit nervous 1428 01:12:53,960 --> 01:12:57,360 that that Seattle game, he might throw up a goose egg in that one 1429 01:12:57,360 --> 01:13:00,960 and that might burn him. And I really wanted to go RJ 1430 01:13:00,960 --> 01:13:05,320 Harvey so badly, but he faces three top 10 defenses in the 1431 01:13:05,320 --> 01:13:07,560 fantasy playoffs and that's probably not going to work out 1432 01:13:07,560 --> 01:13:10,840 for him. So I went with Quinchon Judkins. 1433 01:13:11,640 --> 01:13:15,200 Chadur isn't going to be asked to pass all that much, and the 1434 01:13:15,200 --> 01:13:18,760 touch totals have been legit for Judkins since Chadur took over. 1435 01:13:19,720 --> 01:13:22,600 He's just under 20 touches per game, and while the yardage 1436 01:13:22,600 --> 01:13:26,360 hasn't been great, I noted his great match up against Tennessee 1437 01:13:26,360 --> 01:13:28,840 this week. He gets the Bears next week in 1438 01:13:28,840 --> 01:13:31,680 their middle of the pack against the run, and Cleveland's going 1439 01:13:31,680 --> 01:13:34,520 to try to pound the football on that one in Chicago. 1440 01:13:35,120 --> 01:13:37,720 The Bills are the week after that and they're actually 1441 01:13:37,720 --> 01:13:40,560 terrible against the run. So I think that he's going to 1442 01:13:40,560 --> 01:13:43,400 have a great game there. The Steelers are in the final 1443 01:13:43,400 --> 01:13:44,960 week. But after three straight weeks 1444 01:13:44,960 --> 01:13:47,960 of I think really good matchups, I think that's what people are 1445 01:13:47,960 --> 01:13:50,560 going to remember. And if you want to add in Week 1446 01:13:50,560 --> 01:13:54,680 18, by the way, where people like look back at the stats from 1447 01:13:54,680 --> 01:13:57,160 the whole previous year and they'll add in Week 18. 1448 01:13:57,320 --> 01:14:01,960 He gets the Bengals in Week 18. So he could put up 150 yards and 1449 01:14:01,960 --> 01:14:05,040 three touchdowns in that game and then all of a sudden cement 1450 01:14:05,040 --> 01:14:08,000 his legacy. I think that Quinshawn Judkins 1451 01:14:08,440 --> 01:14:11,880 has. The prospects of being a top two 1452 01:14:11,880 --> 01:14:16,440 round pick in ADP next year, it's a good one. 1453 01:14:16,440 --> 01:14:19,280 And he's getting like they're just taking Shadur off the field 1454 01:14:19,280 --> 01:14:21,720 in the red zone to put Judkins in to run Wildcat stuff. 1455 01:14:21,920 --> 01:14:25,600 So you know, he's just multi multi talented. 1456 01:14:26,040 --> 01:14:28,760 Yeah, and, and, and obviously Cleveland might have, it could 1457 01:14:28,760 --> 01:14:31,480 have a new coaching staff, it could have a new quarterback, it 1458 01:14:31,480 --> 01:14:33,040 could have a lot of new things next year. 1459 01:14:33,040 --> 01:14:34,440 But they won't have a new running back. 1460 01:14:34,800 --> 01:14:38,600 It'll be Quinch on Judkins. Those were my 2 tough nuts. 1461 01:14:38,640 --> 01:14:42,200 I wonder if you cracked them, Trevor. 1462 01:14:42,280 --> 01:14:46,400 Let's go over to another battle for a divisional lead. 1463 01:14:46,400 --> 01:14:49,240 This time it's the AFC South and the Colts versus Jaguars. 1464 01:14:49,560 --> 01:14:52,920 How do we think Danny Dimes is going to fare this week and 1465 01:14:52,920 --> 01:14:56,280 maybe the rest of the season on his broken leg that he's playing 1466 01:14:56,360 --> 01:14:58,600 for? Not not ideal to have the old 1467 01:14:58,600 --> 01:15:01,040 broken fibula. We'll still give the Indiana 1468 01:15:01,040 --> 01:15:04,000 Jones the bronze this week. He only has four rushing 1469 01:15:04,000 --> 01:15:07,040 attempts since we learned of the broken fibula, which is scary, 1470 01:15:07,040 --> 01:15:10,160 and only 380 combined passing yards over the last two weeks. 1471 01:15:10,160 --> 01:15:12,680 However, all of his pass, all of his pass catchers are healthy 1472 01:15:12,680 --> 01:15:15,600 and I do mean all of them. Jacksonville struggles 1473 01:15:15,600 --> 01:15:16,720 defensively against quarterbacks. 1474 01:15:16,720 --> 01:15:19,720 In just the last five weeks, Jags have given up to 84 and a 1475 01:15:19,720 --> 01:15:22,360 score to Gino, Davis Mills and Jacoby Brissette. 1476 01:15:22,840 --> 01:15:24,400 At least 284 and a score, I should say. 1477 01:15:24,400 --> 01:15:26,400 So we keep Indiana Jones alive for that. 1478 01:15:26,920 --> 01:15:29,440 JT is a goal. Jacksonville does have a top 1479 01:15:29,440 --> 01:15:31,440 five run defense. So again, kind of like what I 1480 01:15:31,440 --> 01:15:34,440 said, Bijan, adjust your expectations just a little bit. 1481 01:15:35,080 --> 01:15:37,840 Receivers, we'll keep Michael Pittman out, Pierce active, 1482 01:15:37,840 --> 01:15:40,000 we'll give those bronze and we're keeping Josh Downs on the 1483 01:15:40,000 --> 01:15:42,040 bench. Current target totals for the 1484 01:15:42,040 --> 01:15:45,960 Colts top 4 pass catchers Pittman 82, Warren 78, down 60, 1485 01:15:45,960 --> 01:15:48,000 Pierce 59. So these guys are all really 1486 01:15:48,000 --> 01:15:50,000 concentrated, which makes it kind of hard on a week by week 1487 01:15:50,040 --> 01:15:52,200 basis to pick them out. Pittman gets the passing grade 1488 01:15:52,200 --> 01:15:54,680 based on his volume, while Pierce gets it on big plays. 1489 01:15:55,360 --> 01:15:57,880 Alex Pierce's averaged over 78 yards per game over his last 1490 01:15:57,880 --> 01:15:59,760 six. Josh Downs is a good player I 1491 01:15:59,760 --> 01:16:01,760 think, but he has just five catches over his past three 1492 01:16:01,760 --> 01:16:03,160 games combined, so we're leaving him alone. 1493 01:16:03,640 --> 01:16:06,080 Tyler Warren. We're going to have a goal to 1494 01:16:06,080 --> 01:16:08,280 the tight end here. Continue to pick on the Jags 1495 01:16:08,280 --> 01:16:10,800 tight end defense. This is the the weekly spot 1496 01:16:10,800 --> 01:16:12,920 where we go through the numbers. Second most catches allowed, 1497 01:16:12,920 --> 01:16:16,320 fourth most yards, 6 most touchdowns to the position. 1498 01:16:16,840 --> 01:16:20,040 They gave up ten catches to the Titans 10 ends last week and 1499 01:16:20,120 --> 01:16:22,520 Tyler Warren's been OK recently. At least 5 catches or a 1500 01:16:22,520 --> 01:16:24,160 touchdown in each of his past four games. 1501 01:16:24,680 --> 01:16:27,360 He's also getting touch push opportunities with Mr. Jones's 1502 01:16:27,440 --> 01:16:29,880 broken leg. On the other side. 1503 01:16:29,880 --> 01:16:31,800 We've got the Jags, Trevor Lawrence. 1504 01:16:32,120 --> 01:16:34,920 We'll keep it a bronze. One of three games all weekend 1505 01:16:35,360 --> 01:16:38,680 with a game total over 44 1/2 is this Colts Jags game, which is a 1506 01:16:38,680 --> 01:16:41,680 total of 47 T loss. Boosted his fantasy output via 1507 01:16:41,680 --> 01:16:45,240 the ground a lot recently. 5 carries in four of the last five 1508 01:16:45,640 --> 01:16:48,600 with three rushing touchdowns. He also has multiple passing 1509 01:16:48,600 --> 01:16:50,920 touchdowns with two straight Andy's. 1510 01:16:51,160 --> 01:16:52,880 Not a great match or not an opposing match up. 1511 01:16:52,960 --> 01:16:54,960 Bottom five in attempts and completions allowed to the 1512 01:16:54,960 --> 01:16:58,000 quarterback Travis Etienne will give a bronze to. 1513 01:16:58,160 --> 01:16:59,640 We'll keep Tooten on the bench for now. 1514 01:16:59,920 --> 01:17:02,240 Colts run defenses top third in the league, but they have given 1515 01:17:02,240 --> 01:17:05,200 up an average of 132 yards on the ground over the last three 1516 01:17:05,760 --> 01:17:08,400 Etns, getting almost 20 touches per game since the Jags eye in 1517 01:17:08,400 --> 01:17:10,480 Week 8. Tooten has gotten more work 1518 01:17:10,480 --> 01:17:13,760 recently, but it's come in primarily in huge blowouts over 1519 01:17:13,760 --> 01:17:17,360 the charges of Titans. The receivers are a little 1520 01:17:17,360 --> 01:17:20,680 interesting. Jacoby Myers, I'll give a 1521 01:17:20,680 --> 01:17:24,280 bronze, confident bronze too. Myers and T Law found a nice 1522 01:17:24,280 --> 01:17:25,960 connection. Myers led the team in catches 1523 01:17:26,240 --> 01:17:28,080 and yards in two of the last three weeks. 1524 01:17:28,080 --> 01:17:30,120 If he only joined the team I think 5 weeks ago. 1525 01:17:30,360 --> 01:17:32,040 Myers hasn't had an explosion game yet. 1526 01:17:32,400 --> 01:17:34,320 I think that's more due to the game script issues we just 1527 01:17:34,320 --> 01:17:36,000 talked about. The Jags beat the Charges and 1528 01:17:36,000 --> 01:17:39,480 Titans by a combined 60 to 9. Not a lot of passing needed in 1529 01:17:39,480 --> 01:17:42,880 those in those matchups. It's a good match up for the 1530 01:17:42,880 --> 01:17:45,160 receivers as well. Indy gives up over 13 catches a 1531 01:17:45,160 --> 01:17:47,000 game to the position. Just fourth worst in the league. 1532 01:17:47,760 --> 01:17:50,560 Brian Thomas, man, I can't believe how far we've fallen 1533 01:17:50,560 --> 01:17:51,800 here. I'm putting him on the bench. 1534 01:17:51,800 --> 01:17:54,320 He got his first action back from the injury last week. 1535 01:17:54,320 --> 01:17:57,200 He saw 75% of the snaps. So we got a, you know, kind of a 1536 01:17:57,200 --> 01:17:58,920 full role, but just three targets. 1537 01:17:59,360 --> 01:18:01,560 And then as an outside receiver, he's going to see more of the 1538 01:18:01,560 --> 01:18:03,040 Colts best corner Trevarius Award. 1539 01:18:03,440 --> 01:18:06,560 I do kind of like Ryan Thomas, just DFS tournament dart because 1540 01:18:06,560 --> 01:18:08,920 nobody's going to play him and I think he's still got that 1541 01:18:08,920 --> 01:18:11,120 talent. But yeah, keep him on the bench 1542 01:18:11,120 --> 01:18:13,320 and season long. And then Bretton Strange was the 1543 01:18:13,320 --> 01:18:14,440 roll the dice tight end this week. 1544 01:18:14,440 --> 01:18:20,040 I think he's the bronze. All right, let's hop over to the 1545 01:18:20,040 --> 01:18:24,920 Broncos and Raiders. It's all systems go for the 1546 01:18:24,920 --> 01:18:26,800 Broncos. Troy Franklin was my roll the 1547 01:18:26,800 --> 01:18:28,640 dice receiver. I like his running mate 1548 01:18:28,640 --> 01:18:31,040 Courtland Sutton as well. In the first match up, Sutton 1549 01:18:31,040 --> 01:18:34,320 was held quiet though. Only three catches for 24 yards. 1550 01:18:34,760 --> 01:18:38,280 But 17 different receivers have hit double digit PPR points 1551 01:18:38,280 --> 01:18:40,480 against the Raiders this year in just 12 games. 1552 01:18:40,480 --> 01:18:44,520 The Broncos have leaned on the pass a bit more since JK Dobbins 1553 01:18:44,520 --> 01:18:46,720 went down. I'll mention that in just a 1554 01:18:46,720 --> 01:18:48,760 second. Silver grades for both Franklin 1555 01:18:48,760 --> 01:18:51,600 and Sutton in this one, but I'm leaving Evan Ingram on the bench 1556 01:18:51,880 --> 01:18:53,760 randomly. The Raiders are crazy tough 1557 01:18:53,760 --> 01:18:56,720 against tight ends. Top three in every category. 1558 01:18:56,760 --> 01:18:59,960 Don't go there. Bo Knicks gets that silver grade 1559 01:18:59,960 --> 01:19:02,640 as well, though. The last game Dobbins played, 1560 01:19:03,120 --> 01:19:06,680 Knicks threw 28 passes. In the two games since then? 1561 01:19:07,040 --> 01:19:13,760 37 and 45 pass attempts. 295 yards and 321 yards in those two 1562 01:19:13,760 --> 01:19:17,120 games, by the way, The Raiders aren't good against the past. 1563 01:19:17,120 --> 01:19:20,960 Teams just have run on them so easily that they haven't really 1564 01:19:20,960 --> 01:19:24,720 had to pass, as both Chadur and Herbert only threw the ball 20 1565 01:19:24,720 --> 01:19:27,640 times apiece in their wins over the Raiders in the last two 1566 01:19:27,640 --> 01:19:29,720 weeks. But I think Nix finds his way to 1567 01:19:29,720 --> 01:19:31,240 a silver here. He usually does. 1568 01:19:32,080 --> 01:19:34,640 RJ Harvey, I'll give a silver or two as well. 1569 01:19:34,640 --> 01:19:37,080 The match up is just too good and I believe in the talent. 1570 01:19:37,080 --> 01:19:39,960 He just hasn't popped yet. The Raiders are allowing the 1571 01:19:39,960 --> 01:19:42,960 third most rushing scorers in the league and four different 1572 01:19:42,960 --> 01:19:45,880 running backs have hit double digit PPR points against the 1573 01:19:45,880 --> 01:19:51,640 Raiders in the last two weeks. So Jaleel McLaughlin could be in 1574 01:19:51,640 --> 01:19:54,240 play here. McLaughlin, No, you're not going 1575 01:19:54,240 --> 01:19:57,440 to do that. But oh, my gosh, RJ Harvey's in 1576 01:19:57,440 --> 01:20:00,400 a spot here. Ashton Genti on the other side, 1577 01:20:00,520 --> 01:20:04,080 his spot is much tougher. It's one of the best run DS in 1578 01:20:04,080 --> 01:20:07,120 the league in Denver. Even in losses, though the 1579 01:20:07,120 --> 01:20:10,400 Raiders have have lost six straight games, by the way, 1580 01:20:10,800 --> 01:20:14,440 they've still committed to Genti in the last four games. 1581 01:20:14,640 --> 01:20:17,760 Touch totals of 22, then he had a 12. 1582 01:20:18,400 --> 01:20:22,720 But then 25 and 21 in the last two weeks and he's caught 20 1583 01:20:22,720 --> 01:20:24,960 passes in the last three weeks alone. 1584 01:20:25,360 --> 01:20:29,040 So it's a volume bronze grade for Gente, but it's a really 1585 01:20:29,040 --> 01:20:31,440 tough match up. Denver doesn't give up anything 1586 01:20:31,560 --> 01:20:33,640 on the ground or through the air to backs. 1587 01:20:34,440 --> 01:20:37,840 Brock Bowers had a dud game against the Broncos in Week 10. 1588 01:20:37,840 --> 01:20:41,800 Only one catch for 31 yards. But the Broncos defense gave up 1589 01:20:42,560 --> 01:20:49,520 20.6 PPR points to Zach Ertz last week and 24.1 PPR points to 1590 01:20:49,520 --> 01:20:53,960 Travis Kelsey the week before. And I think in his first week in 1591 01:20:53,960 --> 01:20:57,120 the the Greg Olsen offense, it was quite clear they're going to 1592 01:20:57,120 --> 01:20:59,920 throw the ball to Brock Bowers. He caught both of the touchdowns 1593 01:20:59,920 --> 01:21:04,360 for the Raiders, including a sick 1 hander last week that was 1594 01:21:04,360 --> 01:21:07,280 probably right there with Traylon Burks for Catch of the 1595 01:21:07,280 --> 01:21:11,360 year. Geno Smith, Trey Tucker, Tyler 1596 01:21:11,360 --> 01:21:14,920 Lockett. Let's just be real, they're on 1597 01:21:14,920 --> 01:21:18,440 your bench in mid grade matchups and this is not a mid grade 1598 01:21:18,440 --> 01:21:20,160 matchup. This is a tough matchup. 1599 01:21:20,400 --> 01:21:21,600 You're leaving them on the bench. 1600 01:21:21,600 --> 01:21:22,880 We're not even thinking about them. 1601 01:21:23,520 --> 01:21:25,000 Let's just move on to the next game. 1602 01:21:25,000 --> 01:21:27,640 It's the Rams and the Cardinals, and the Rams are reeling a bit 1603 01:21:27,640 --> 01:21:32,640 after a loss in Carolina last week, but Devante Adams 1604 01:21:32,640 --> 01:21:35,200 continues to score touchdowns at an alarming rate. 1605 01:21:35,200 --> 01:21:37,360 Maj. Do you like Adams or Puka Nakua 1606 01:21:37,360 --> 01:21:42,880 better this week? Oh gosh, I mean, in a in APPR 1607 01:21:42,880 --> 01:21:46,920 league I'd probably give this light edge to to Puka, but I've 1608 01:21:46,920 --> 01:21:50,600 got gold grades on both of those guys because I mean shoot, 1609 01:21:51,120 --> 01:21:54,680 Devonte Adams is just insane man 11 touchdowns in his last six 1610 01:21:54,680 --> 01:21:57,400 games. Do you want to hear my crazy 1611 01:21:57,400 --> 01:22:00,920 stat that I spouted off on our DFS show yesterday? 1612 01:22:01,080 --> 01:22:05,320 Sure. He has 0 touchdowns in three 1613 01:22:05,320 --> 01:22:09,440 games this season, but he has two or more touchdowns in four 1614 01:22:09,440 --> 01:22:11,600 games this season. You have a better chance of 1615 01:22:11,600 --> 01:22:16,680 getting two or three touchdowns than you do with zero and he 1616 01:22:16,680 --> 01:22:19,440 starts with 0. Yeah, Yeah. 1617 01:22:19,800 --> 01:22:22,800 You know his yardage, you know he, he doesn't have the yardage 1618 01:22:22,800 --> 01:22:26,320 ceiling, right. So in that sense, like I guess 1619 01:22:26,320 --> 01:22:29,640 Devante has the lower floor. But to your point, like getting 1620 01:22:29,640 --> 01:22:31,120 in the end zone gets you lots of points. 1621 01:22:31,120 --> 01:22:34,360 So let's we we can call both of those guys gold. 1622 01:22:35,520 --> 01:22:39,080 The the quarterback Matt Stafford silver, he's thrown 1623 01:22:39,280 --> 01:22:43,960 multiple touchdown passes in six straight games, at least 243 1624 01:22:43,960 --> 01:22:45,720 yards in four of his last five games. 1625 01:22:45,720 --> 01:22:48,120 In Arizona's defense below average against quarterbacks 1626 01:22:48,120 --> 01:22:51,080 this season, they've allowed 17 touchdown passes in 12 games. 1627 01:22:51,440 --> 01:22:54,040 And they've that includes starts from Spencer Rattler and Cam 1628 01:22:54,040 --> 01:23:00,360 Ward, who combined for zero. So the the against more standard 1629 01:23:00,360 --> 01:23:03,080 competition, I think that number potentially might be a little 1630 01:23:03,080 --> 01:23:05,560 higher. Otherwise in the passing game 1631 01:23:05,560 --> 01:23:08,360 you're you're benching everybody else really no third receiver 1632 01:23:08,800 --> 01:23:11,000 you know of note there to worry about. 1633 01:23:11,000 --> 01:23:14,040 And it's really the same thing on the tight end side that's 1634 01:23:14,040 --> 01:23:16,520 very similar to Pittsburgh in that there's just a lot of cooks 1635 01:23:16,520 --> 01:23:20,480 in that kitchen. Certainly higher up side in in 1636 01:23:20,760 --> 01:23:25,080 the Los Angeles version of that, but no need to chase there. 1637 01:23:25,320 --> 01:23:27,600 The running backs is where things get a little interesting. 1638 01:23:27,600 --> 01:23:31,000 And and Trevor alluded to this just with the the Kyron Williams 1639 01:23:31,000 --> 01:23:35,320 Blake quorum split. I have a gold on Kyron, but 1640 01:23:35,320 --> 01:23:37,440 that's it very much could be silver. 1641 01:23:37,440 --> 01:23:40,440 I think that's arguable there, whereas I've got a bronze on 1642 01:23:40,440 --> 01:23:43,120 Korum. Arizona has allowed the six most 1643 01:23:43,120 --> 01:23:48,080 combo scores to running backs this season at 15 with Kyron, 1644 01:23:48,080 --> 01:23:51,320 he's got 12 or more carries, 13 or more opportunities in every 1645 01:23:51,320 --> 01:23:55,880 game this season, 10 combined touchdowns, 64 more combo yards 1646 01:23:55,880 --> 01:23:59,760 in all but one game this year. So even though, you know, to 1647 01:23:59,840 --> 01:24:03,160 Trevor's point, those numbers are kind of going down in the 1648 01:24:03,160 --> 01:24:07,440 second part of the year, he's still, you know, he's never been 1649 01:24:07,440 --> 01:24:10,240 below 58% of Staffs, never more than 70. 1650 01:24:10,240 --> 01:24:14,120 But he's just he's the starter and the guy that's going to have 1651 01:24:14,360 --> 01:24:17,680 more opportunities to get that hot hand if they ever go away 1652 01:24:17,680 --> 01:24:20,560 from kind of that every other split now. 1653 01:24:20,560 --> 01:24:22,960 Whereas with Quorum, you know, seven or more opportunities and 1654 01:24:22,960 --> 01:24:26,960 six straight and an 8 of 12 games this season only scored a 1655 01:24:26,960 --> 01:24:29,600 second touchdown of the season last week. 1656 01:24:30,800 --> 01:24:33,120 I what I you know what I struggle with there's there's 1657 01:24:33,120 --> 01:24:36,760 not the PPR floor with him that you would like to see if you're 1658 01:24:36,760 --> 01:24:38,160 going to go with that second back, right? 1659 01:24:38,160 --> 01:24:39,920 He's only had 10 targets all season. 1660 01:24:40,120 --> 01:24:42,280 So that is kind of where the risk comes in. 1661 01:24:42,280 --> 01:24:46,120 But he's getting enough work and it's against a a defense that's 1662 01:24:46,600 --> 01:24:49,320 bad enough against running backs that I think if you had to, you 1663 01:24:49,320 --> 01:24:51,920 absolutely could go ahead and and, you know, start him in this 1664 01:24:51,920 --> 01:24:53,800 one. On the other side of the ball, 1665 01:24:54,000 --> 01:24:57,280 Man, what an injury report. It's like it's a novel that 1666 01:24:57,280 --> 01:25:01,400 every day this week. So let let's let's actually 1667 01:25:01,400 --> 01:25:04,200 start there. So Marvin Harrison's going to be 1668 01:25:04,200 --> 01:25:08,240 out with a heel injury. Greg Dorch is going to be out 1669 01:25:08,240 --> 01:25:11,600 with a chest injury. Trey Benson's going to remain 1670 01:25:11,600 --> 01:25:13,600 out after having not played since Week 4. 1671 01:25:14,080 --> 01:25:18,920 Amari Demarcato, we don't know yet, potentially out again, but 1672 01:25:18,920 --> 01:25:21,720 so there are a lot of moving pieces here. 1673 01:25:21,720 --> 01:25:25,360 So let's just start by. Just announced that Kyler Murray 1674 01:25:25,360 --> 01:25:27,080 is out for the remainder of the. Season too. 1675 01:25:27,200 --> 01:25:29,080 Yeah, yeah, yeah, He was part of that. 1676 01:25:29,080 --> 01:25:33,440 Today's injury report that Yeah, well, very interesting situation 1677 01:25:33,640 --> 01:25:36,440 with the Arizona quarterbacks from a long term standpoint. 1678 01:25:36,560 --> 01:25:38,640 We'll see what happens. But with Brissett, I'm going to 1679 01:25:38,640 --> 01:25:41,560 give a Silver. 2 touchdowns and all but one start with 300 more 1680 01:25:41,560 --> 01:25:44,000 passing yards and four of those seven games. 1681 01:25:44,400 --> 01:25:47,040 Rams have only allowed four multi touchdown pass games all 1682 01:25:47,040 --> 01:25:51,400 year, but three scores in three of those four and that includes 1683 01:25:51,400 --> 01:25:54,120 Tamac Jones and Bryce Young in the last five games. 1684 01:25:54,960 --> 01:25:58,120 You're of course giving a gold grade to Trey McBride. 1685 01:25:58,120 --> 01:26:00,800 Don't need to fawn over all his stats. 1686 01:26:00,800 --> 01:26:03,800 They're very good. I promise with Michael Wilson, 1687 01:26:03,800 --> 01:26:08,440 I'm going to give a It would be gold if it was a better matchup. 1688 01:26:08,440 --> 01:26:12,040 I'm going to give a silver. He played 93% of snaps last week 1689 01:26:12,040 --> 01:26:14,680 and that's despite Marvin Harrison coming back for one 1690 01:26:14,680 --> 01:26:16,200 week after that two week absence. 1691 01:26:16,360 --> 01:26:18,720 He actually got a red zone start until but it was behind him and 1692 01:26:18,720 --> 01:26:23,440 it wound up being picked the the the two games without Marvin 1693 01:26:23,440 --> 01:26:27,680 Harris and he had 33 Duncans just just getting fed. 1694 01:26:27,800 --> 01:26:29,440 It makes you laugh. It's so bad. 1695 01:26:29,520 --> 01:26:33,800 Yeah, 25 catches on 33 targets and with Dorch also out, like, 1696 01:26:34,240 --> 01:26:37,080 you know, he and and you know, Trey McBride are just going to 1697 01:26:37,080 --> 01:26:38,640 get they're they're going to eat right. 1698 01:26:38,640 --> 01:26:41,520 So it's one of those things where if the the defense on the 1699 01:26:41,520 --> 01:26:43,680 Rams side is dominant, they're going to get ahead and, you 1700 01:26:43,680 --> 01:26:46,520 know, then they fall back and and we've we've seen plenty of 1701 01:26:46,520 --> 01:26:49,760 garbage time Arizona passing game points this year. 1702 01:26:49,760 --> 01:26:51,720 So I can absolutely see that happening here. 1703 01:26:51,960 --> 01:26:54,600 The the one, I guess guy you could, you know, if you needed 1704 01:26:54,600 --> 01:26:57,080 to, you know, injury, bye week, whatever. 1705 01:26:57,080 --> 01:26:59,920 Xavier Weaver, you could give a bronze grade too. 1706 01:26:59,920 --> 01:27:03,040 Now, he had a a limited practice on Thursday with a hamstring, 1707 01:27:03,040 --> 01:27:04,760 but it's like they're out of bodies, right? 1708 01:27:04,760 --> 01:27:08,720 So when Harrison was out, Greg Dorch had 15 targets in those 1709 01:27:08,720 --> 01:27:11,720 two games and scored in both with 119 total yards. 1710 01:27:11,920 --> 01:27:16,280 Weaver was actually getting snaps in those games and he even 1711 01:27:16,280 --> 01:27:20,080 outsnapped Greg Dorch last week 30 to 20, but he just wasn't 1712 01:27:20,080 --> 01:27:22,200 getting targets, only had three targets in the two games without 1713 01:27:22,200 --> 01:27:24,360 Harrison. But because of, you know, Dorch 1714 01:27:24,360 --> 01:27:27,880 also being out there might be a a a little bit there if you're 1715 01:27:27,880 --> 01:27:30,920 absolutely desperate in in that one. 1716 01:27:30,920 --> 01:27:34,120 So I think that that's all I got for for those two teams. 1717 01:27:34,640 --> 01:27:39,240 Yikes. Pass funnel offense through two 1718 01:27:39,240 --> 01:27:40,720 players though, That's kind of fun. 1719 01:27:40,920 --> 01:27:44,480 Yeah, both good dart throws on on fan ball this week, I would 1720 01:27:44,480 --> 01:27:48,840 say. All right, Trevor, CJ Stroud and 1721 01:27:48,840 --> 01:27:52,280 the Texans head to Arrowhead to battle a very desperate Chiefs 1722 01:27:52,280 --> 01:27:55,480 team. Both teams have really actually 1723 01:27:55,480 --> 01:27:58,320 great defenses. Who do you have starting on the 1724 01:27:58,320 --> 01:28:02,800 Texan side in this one? Yeah, we'll start off the Vegas 1725 01:28:02,800 --> 01:28:05,640 total on this game is tough. It's 41 1/2 and it's it's a 1726 01:28:05,640 --> 01:28:09,360 brutal weekend for high totals. But this one specifically just 1727 01:28:09,360 --> 01:28:11,800 I'm a homes game with 40 totals. That's a weird one. 1728 01:28:12,160 --> 01:28:13,560 CJ Stroud, we're going to put on the bench. 1729 01:28:13,680 --> 01:28:17,200 He was OK in his first start post concussion last week, 276 1730 01:28:17,200 --> 01:28:19,840 yards, no touchdowns and he doesn't scramble Kansas City's 1731 01:28:19,840 --> 01:28:22,720 12th best passing hours per game allowed and has given up just 13 1732 01:28:22,720 --> 01:28:24,880 passing touchdowns all year. It's good for 6th best in the 1733 01:28:24,880 --> 01:28:26,840 league. Hard for me to see Stroud with 1734 01:28:26,840 --> 01:28:28,880 any more than two passing touchdowns at most here. 1735 01:28:29,000 --> 01:28:32,280 Woody marks we get a starting grade on with the bronze. 1736 01:28:32,640 --> 01:28:35,600 His workload is kind of the only reason he's viable right now 1737 01:28:35,600 --> 01:28:38,200 because it's great. He's got 1917 at 20 touches in 1738 01:28:38,200 --> 01:28:40,480 this last three games. That's as good as he can ask 1739 01:28:40,480 --> 01:28:42,080 for. However, 0 touchdowns and hasn't 1740 01:28:42,080 --> 01:28:43,960 broken 70 combo yards in that stretch. 1741 01:28:44,640 --> 01:28:46,840 Kansas City has a tough match up for backs as well, allowing the 1742 01:28:46,840 --> 01:28:48,480 fewest touches to enemy runners in the league. 1743 01:28:50,000 --> 01:28:51,880 He's getting 18 plus touches. You're starting him, but 1744 01:28:52,440 --> 01:28:54,480 expectations should be limited. Nico Collins. 1745 01:28:54,480 --> 01:28:57,200 I'll give a silver to Collins and Collins and Stroud showed 1746 01:28:57,200 --> 01:28:59,480 better chemistry last week than they did earlier in the season. 1747 01:28:59,760 --> 01:29:01,840 Collins saw 10 targets and Stroud's first game back. 1748 01:29:02,280 --> 01:29:04,680 Collins does have double digit targets and five of his last six 1749 01:29:04,680 --> 01:29:07,600 as well, and it's averaging 91 yards per game over his last 1750 01:29:07,600 --> 01:29:09,520 five matchups. Not imposing either. 1751 01:29:09,520 --> 01:29:12,920 Kansas City is just 14th against opposing receivers in 2025 and 1752 01:29:12,920 --> 01:29:15,320 the Houston passing attack just runs through Nico Collins. 1753 01:29:16,440 --> 01:29:19,760 Alagio already gave Jane Higgins as his roll the dice player. 1754 01:29:19,760 --> 01:29:20,960 I agree it's a good bronze start. 1755 01:29:21,560 --> 01:29:24,320 Dalton Schultz actually rounds off the bronzes. 1756 01:29:25,040 --> 01:29:27,720 He's been consistently moderately productive recently 1757 01:29:27,960 --> 01:29:30,160 with at least 6 catches and four of his last five games. 1758 01:29:30,840 --> 01:29:32,560 The Chiefs have allowed five catches each to the last two 1759 01:29:32,560 --> 01:29:34,960 number one tight ends they face. Not a game breaking play, but he 1760 01:29:34,960 --> 01:29:37,000 actually has one of the better floors among fantasy tight ends 1761 01:29:37,000 --> 01:29:39,040 right now. And then on the Chiefs side, 1762 01:29:39,440 --> 01:29:43,480 Mahomes, we'll give a silver. He's been excellent recently and 1763 01:29:43,480 --> 01:29:45,960 he needs to be right because if they lose it might just be over 1764 01:29:45,960 --> 01:29:47,560 This week. He's in a stretch of six 1765 01:29:47,560 --> 01:29:50,280 straight games with at least 34 passing attempts and we've 1766 01:29:50,280 --> 01:29:52,240 recently seen the playoff Mahomes who's more willing to 1767 01:29:52,240 --> 01:29:54,160 scramble. He's got 7 carries over the past 1768 01:29:54,160 --> 01:29:56,240 two weeks and he's turned that into 30 rushing yards in each 1769 01:29:56,240 --> 01:29:58,640 game. Houston is the the toughest 1770 01:29:58,640 --> 01:30:00,640 matchup for opposing quarterbacks, but like I said, 1771 01:30:00,640 --> 01:30:02,560 this is must have territory for Kansas City and they are at 1772 01:30:02,560 --> 01:30:05,040 home. Mahomes did put up 290 combo 1773 01:30:05,040 --> 01:30:07,760 yards and two touchdowns at Houston in Week 16 last year. 1774 01:30:08,440 --> 01:30:10,520 Much of the same personnel, but obviously it's a different year 1775 01:30:10,560 --> 01:30:12,360 so can't take a ton of stock from that. 1776 01:30:13,040 --> 01:30:15,320 Running backs cream Hunt will give bronze to Pacheco. 1777 01:30:15,320 --> 01:30:18,840 We're keeping on the bench. Despite Hunt handling 33 touches 1778 01:30:18,880 --> 01:30:21,920 4 days before Thanksgiving, he still out touched Pacheco and 1779 01:30:22,040 --> 01:30:25,720 Pacheco's first game back on Thursday there with 15 touches 1780 01:30:25,720 --> 01:30:29,120 to Pacheco's five. If Houston's defense has a weak 1781 01:30:29,120 --> 01:30:32,160 point quote, UN quote, it's the run game where they're just 9th 1782 01:30:32,160 --> 01:30:34,840 best against the position. So you're kind of looking at 15 1783 01:30:34,840 --> 01:30:36,800 touches and you know, a coin flips chance at falling at the 1784 01:30:36,800 --> 01:30:38,720 end zone. For Cream Hunt here, which he 1785 01:30:38,720 --> 01:30:41,720 writes as a goal play despite being suspended and hurt for a 1786 01:30:41,720 --> 01:30:44,360 decent chunk of the season, He has seven more red zone targets 1787 01:30:44,360 --> 01:30:46,600 than anyone else on the team. He's essentially the goal line 1788 01:30:46,600 --> 01:30:48,520 back. He's kind of the Devante Adams 1789 01:30:48,520 --> 01:30:51,640 of the Chiefs right now. back-to-back 12 target, 8 catch 1790 01:30:51,640 --> 01:30:53,080 games. He's an excellent play. 1791 01:30:53,680 --> 01:30:55,480 Rest of the rest of the receivers we're keeping on the 1792 01:30:55,480 --> 01:30:57,480 bench. Xavier Worthy is the only guy 1793 01:30:57,720 --> 01:31:00,000 kind of consider he's got 1 receiving touchdown all year, 1794 01:31:00,160 --> 01:31:03,280 broken 60 yards just twice. I don't really think he's kind 1795 01:31:03,280 --> 01:31:05,080 of a good player, and especially when Rice is there, there's just 1796 01:31:05,080 --> 01:31:09,000 not enough volume for him. And then Travis Kelce kind of 1797 01:31:09,000 --> 01:31:11,240 had a bit of a throwback here. We're giving him a silver grade. 1798 01:31:11,720 --> 01:31:14,280 Been pretty consistent this year, just one game under 8 PPR 1799 01:31:14,280 --> 01:31:17,160 points all year. Recently, he's gone seven of 1800 01:31:17,160 --> 01:31:19,200 eight with at least 50 yards or a touchdown. 1801 01:31:19,960 --> 01:31:22,960 It is a tough matchup like everybody facing the Texans is, 1802 01:31:23,200 --> 01:31:26,040 but the two best tie downs that Houston saw this year were Tyler 1803 01:31:26,040 --> 01:31:29,800 Warren and George Kittle. Kittle went four for 43 and one, 1804 01:31:29,800 --> 01:31:32,320 and Warren also got on the board with three catches, 22 and a 1805 01:31:32,320 --> 01:31:34,640 touchdown. Oh, there we go. 1806 01:31:34,680 --> 01:31:37,400 So a touchdown incoming for Travis Kelsey this week. 1807 01:31:38,040 --> 01:31:41,440 I think so. All right, today's final match 1808 01:31:41,440 --> 01:31:45,440 up is the Saints and Buccaneers, which is not a battle for the 1809 01:31:45,440 --> 01:31:49,120 NFC South as of right now. Tyler Shuck was my roll the dice 1810 01:31:49,120 --> 01:31:52,320 quarterback so I must like his receivers a little bit. 1811 01:31:52,320 --> 01:31:57,120 Chris Olave and Devon Valet both in play with silver grades this 1812 01:31:57,120 --> 01:31:59,360 week. Valet caught all eight of his 1813 01:31:59,360 --> 01:32:02,240 targets last week for 93 yards and a score. 1814 01:32:02,400 --> 01:32:04,960 Had 7 targets the week before as well. 1815 01:32:05,400 --> 01:32:09,840 Olave scored last week, too. He's only missed hitting eleven 1816 01:32:09,840 --> 01:32:12,640 PPR points in one game this season. 1817 01:32:12,880 --> 01:32:14,840 He's been the model of consistency. 1818 01:32:15,440 --> 01:32:19,480 Tampa has allowed some anonymous wide receivers to have big days 1819 01:32:19,480 --> 01:32:22,800 recently. Tyrell Shavers had a 19 PPR 1820 01:32:22,800 --> 01:32:27,000 point day, Kyle Williams and Mack Hollins each topped 14 for 1821 01:32:27,000 --> 01:32:31,200 the Patriots, and Chris Olave and Rashid Shahid each Top 14 1822 01:32:31,200 --> 01:32:35,040 PPR points for Check's notes The Saints. 1823 01:32:35,800 --> 01:32:38,720 So we got that going for us. I'll throw a bronze grade on 1824 01:32:38,760 --> 01:32:41,920 Juan Johnson too. He's hit double digit PPR points 1825 01:32:41,920 --> 01:32:45,360 in five of his last six, and last week was the one where he 1826 01:32:45,360 --> 01:32:48,360 missed the mark. He was targeted 9 times. 1827 01:32:49,040 --> 01:32:51,680 Hit the button, come on, there it is. 1828 01:32:54,080 --> 01:32:58,040 He was targeted 9 times in that game and has been targeted 7 or 1829 01:32:58,040 --> 01:33:00,320 more times in seven of 12 games this year. 1830 01:33:00,640 --> 01:33:02,800 Bucks are middle of the pack tight end defense. 1831 01:33:02,800 --> 01:33:06,520 They gave up five for 53 to Johnson in the first meeting. 1832 01:33:07,600 --> 01:33:10,640 Devin Neal is known for his pass catching abilities. 1833 01:33:11,200 --> 01:33:14,360 He faces off against a Buccaneers team that has allowed 1834 01:33:14,360 --> 01:33:18,040 the most receiving yards in the league to opposing backs. 1835 01:33:18,480 --> 01:33:21,000 It's a tougher task to run on them if they as they're only 1836 01:33:21,000 --> 01:33:23,720 giving up 77 yards per game on the ground. 1837 01:33:24,240 --> 01:33:27,880 But on the receiving prowess alone, I'm going to give Neil a 1838 01:33:27,880 --> 01:33:31,280 Shibuichi grade, which is somewhere between a silver and a 1839 01:33:31,280 --> 01:33:34,760 bronze. Bucky Irving came back to a bell 1840 01:33:34,760 --> 01:33:38,720 cow roll last week. 19 touches, 81 combo yards and a score. 1841 01:33:38,760 --> 01:33:42,840 The Saints are seeing the third most touches to running backs in 1842 01:33:42,840 --> 01:33:46,120 the leagues, as running backs are averaging almost 30 touches 1843 01:33:46,120 --> 01:33:50,360 per game against them. 24 of those are easily going to Bucky, 1844 01:33:50,360 --> 01:33:51,800 so I'm going to give him a gold grade. 1845 01:33:52,600 --> 01:33:56,920 Baker Mayfield is banged up and he's struggled for a bit here. 1846 01:33:57,280 --> 01:34:00,080 He's not throwing multiple passing scores in three straight 1847 01:34:00,080 --> 01:34:04,000 games. He's been held under 230 passing 1848 01:34:04,000 --> 01:34:08,040 yards in five of his last six games and that includes a week 1849 01:34:08,040 --> 01:34:12,280 eight meeting with the Saints where he limped to only 152 1850 01:34:12,280 --> 01:34:16,840 yards and no scores. I've got a bench grade on Baker 1851 01:34:16,840 --> 01:34:19,560 Mayfield in this one. The Saints have allowed the 6th 1852 01:34:19,560 --> 01:34:22,680 fewest passing yards at only 202 per game. 1853 01:34:23,080 --> 01:34:27,280 That's probably where we're looking for Baker to get here if 1854 01:34:27,280 --> 01:34:30,120 he wants to return value. Maybe 202 and a score. 1855 01:34:30,440 --> 01:34:32,240 That's kind of bench grade for Baker. 1856 01:34:32,240 --> 01:34:35,920 Right now I'm giving only bronze grades to Chris Godwin and a 1857 01:34:35,920 --> 01:34:39,680 Mecca Egbuca. Godwin went back to being Godwin 1858 01:34:39,680 --> 01:34:41,520 last week. He had three catches for 78 1859 01:34:41,520 --> 01:34:44,000 yards. Egbuka led the team in targets, 1860 01:34:44,000 --> 01:34:46,960 as he almost always does, but he's done next to nothing with 1861 01:34:46,960 --> 01:34:50,120 them recently. He's hit double digit PPR points 1862 01:34:50,120 --> 01:34:54,360 only once in his last seven games, and he's kind of closer 1863 01:34:54,360 --> 01:34:59,000 to a bench grade than Godwin is, but Egbuka still gets 8 targets 1864 01:34:59,000 --> 01:35:01,640 every week. The Saints have allowed the 5th 1865 01:35:01,640 --> 01:35:05,000 fewest receptions in the 7th fewest yards to wide receivers, 1866 01:35:05,360 --> 01:35:07,960 but they do give up about a touchdown per game to the 1867 01:35:07,960 --> 01:35:10,360 position. One of those two guys is going 1868 01:35:10,360 --> 01:35:11,720 to get it. I don't know who gets it. 1869 01:35:12,640 --> 01:35:15,680 I should note that Mike Evans, his practice window opened this 1870 01:35:15,680 --> 01:35:18,800 week, too, but they already ruled him out for Week 14. 1871 01:35:19,280 --> 01:35:23,120 And K Dotton doesn't do anything unless two or more wide 1872 01:35:23,120 --> 01:35:27,280 receivers are hurt, So he's definitely on your bench. 1873 01:35:28,280 --> 01:35:30,840 All right, I gotta hit this button over here. 1874 01:35:30,880 --> 01:35:32,840 Let's see. Oh, wait. 1875 01:35:32,840 --> 01:35:36,960 The thing's jamming up on me. Come on. 1876 01:35:37,320 --> 01:35:39,920 All right, one man would dare give you the Raspberry. 1877 01:35:41,400 --> 01:35:43,960 Lone Star. It was Lone Star, wasn't it? 1878 01:35:45,000 --> 01:35:47,120 All right, it's time for Lightning Round. 1879 01:35:47,120 --> 01:35:48,960 To end the show. We'd like to bring back a little 1880 01:35:48,960 --> 01:35:51,120 segment from way back. You know it, it's called 1881 01:35:51,120 --> 01:35:53,040 Lightning Round. This is your hardest line up 1882 01:35:53,040 --> 01:35:56,120 decision between two players and two players only. 1883 01:35:56,120 --> 01:35:58,880 It's one of two. If you include three players, we 1884 01:35:58,880 --> 01:36:00,360 will metaphorically hang up on you. 1885 01:36:01,360 --> 01:36:04,040 If you'd like to be featured on Lightning Round, find my Twitter 1886 01:36:04,040 --> 01:36:06,760 handle at Explosive Output. Each week I'll put up a 1887 01:36:06,760 --> 01:36:09,920 Lightning Round thread. We'll pick a few and answer them 1888 01:36:09,920 --> 01:36:12,160 rapid fire. If you put it up as a pole, by 1889 01:36:12,160 --> 01:36:14,680 the way, then people who are reading the thread could just 1890 01:36:14,800 --> 01:36:18,120 answer those questions for you too, and give you another data 1891 01:36:18,120 --> 01:36:20,600 point there. So Maj. and Trevor, are you guys 1892 01:36:20,600 --> 01:36:23,400 ready for Lightning Round? Yes, Sir. 1893 01:36:23,800 --> 01:36:27,280 All right, here we go. We'll start with Trevor, Josh 1894 01:36:27,320 --> 01:36:30,880 Laurent, who does the Fantasy Football Almost Daily report 1895 01:36:30,880 --> 01:36:35,400 card on Twitter. He asks Devin Neil or DeAndre 1896 01:36:35,400 --> 01:36:39,280 Swift in his guillotine league. Yeah, I think we've talked about 1897 01:36:39,280 --> 01:36:41,000 Devin Neil a lot. I'm going with Devin Neil better 1898 01:36:41,000 --> 01:36:42,600 here. I think he sees a bit more of a 1899 01:36:42,600 --> 01:36:44,400 workload and I actually think Saints Bucks has a better 1900 01:36:44,400 --> 01:36:46,920 shootout potential than Packers Bears. 1901 01:36:47,440 --> 01:36:49,320 All right. Maj. 1902 01:36:49,360 --> 01:36:54,160 Anthony Clapp asks Jalen Hertz or Daniel Jones this week. 1903 01:36:55,040 --> 01:36:57,920 I'm going to go ahead and go with Jalen Hertz in that one by 1904 01:36:58,040 --> 01:37:01,000 probably a decent margin. Honestly, He's Daniel Jones. 1905 01:37:01,000 --> 01:37:03,080 Yeah, he stayed steady, but without much in the way of 1906 01:37:03,080 --> 01:37:06,120 sealing in the last month. To Trevor's point, playing on 1907 01:37:06,120 --> 01:37:08,560 that broken leg just really snuffs out any of the rushing 1908 01:37:08,560 --> 01:37:12,240 upside he had. Maybe hers has a lower floor in 1909 01:37:12,240 --> 01:37:15,120 this one by a tiny bit. Just a much higher ceiling 1910 01:37:15,360 --> 01:37:16,720 despite the more difficult match up. 1911 01:37:17,640 --> 01:37:22,080 All right, Trevor, Derek Ruckert wants to know RJ Harvey or 1912 01:37:22,080 --> 01:37:26,160 Travis ETN this week. I think Etn's workload's a 1913 01:37:26,160 --> 01:37:29,720 little bit safer, so I'm going to lean ETN all right. 1914 01:37:30,920 --> 01:37:35,280 Daryl Hancock is asking Michael Wilson or Courtland Sutton. 1915 01:37:36,040 --> 01:37:39,960 It's got to be Michael Wilson here with the the news about the 1916 01:37:40,600 --> 01:37:43,320 most of Arizona's team not playing because of injury. 1917 01:37:43,960 --> 01:37:47,560 Just like I said, 33 targets in two games, man, Sutton just 1918 01:37:47,560 --> 01:37:49,960 doesn't have that. He's not getting that workload 1919 01:37:50,160 --> 01:37:52,640 and while he's got a great match up, I just think you've got to 1920 01:37:52,640 --> 01:37:54,880 go with Wilson and all those opportunities. 1921 01:37:56,120 --> 01:37:59,600 Trevor John a Booty? I don't, I don't. 1922 01:37:59,760 --> 01:38:01,120 I don't know if that's his real name. 1923 01:38:01,120 --> 01:38:06,280 I hope it is he asks Jalen Warren OR a Mecca Egbuka in PPR 1924 01:38:06,280 --> 01:38:08,720 Flex. Is this John David Booty's 1925 01:38:09,920 --> 01:38:12,480 cousin Dad? Probably Anthony or something. 1926 01:38:13,840 --> 01:38:15,280 Yeah. Warren's floor is better, I 1927 01:38:15,280 --> 01:38:17,080 think. But especially in PPR, Ibuka's 1928 01:38:17,080 --> 01:38:19,840 upside is better. Just he's got the, you know, 30 1929 01:38:19,840 --> 01:38:22,840 point outcome in the in there. I I don't know that Warren does. 1930 01:38:22,840 --> 01:38:26,040 I would go with Buka. All right, Maj. 1931 01:38:26,040 --> 01:38:31,560 Adam asks Joe Burrow in Buffalo, or post surgery Justin Air Bear 1932 01:38:31,560 --> 01:38:35,360 on Monday Night Football. I'm going to go Burrow in that 1933 01:38:35,360 --> 01:38:36,560 one. He's just going to have to keep 1934 01:38:36,560 --> 01:38:39,760 his foot on the gas there. That game's got that 53 1/2 over 1935 01:38:39,760 --> 01:38:43,480 under, while the the Philly Chargers game is way down at 41. 1936 01:38:43,480 --> 01:38:46,400 So just a lot more upside there. OK Maj. 1937 01:38:46,400 --> 01:38:48,520 I got another Burrow 1, so I'll stick with you. 1938 01:38:48,520 --> 01:38:52,600 So Joe Burrow or Lamar Jackson, And that's from Papa Buck. 1939 01:38:52,840 --> 01:38:55,880 Yeah, I, I honestly, I went back and forth on this one, but I'm 1940 01:38:55,880 --> 01:38:59,200 going to go with Burrow just because with with the Mars 1941 01:38:59,200 --> 01:39:02,000 injuries, I just don't think he has the rushing floor that, you 1942 01:39:02,000 --> 01:39:05,120 know, provides the safety you would want to attack the ceiling 1943 01:39:05,120 --> 01:39:09,440 that he would have when healthy. And again, just that that 1944 01:39:09,440 --> 01:39:12,960 Pittsburgh, Baltimore over under 42 1/2 compared to that 53 1/2. 1945 01:39:12,960 --> 01:39:14,800 So more upside for Burrow in this one. 1946 01:39:15,720 --> 01:39:19,960 All right, Trevor, Tyler Morgan on Twitter wanted to get real 1947 01:39:19,960 --> 01:39:23,880 grimy here. Tyler Shuck or Tyrod Taylor both 1948 01:39:23,880 --> 01:39:26,880 roll the dice candidates here. Yes, Tyler. 1949 01:39:26,880 --> 01:39:29,760 Well, let me answer Tyler's question about Tyler to Rod by 1950 01:39:29,760 --> 01:39:31,960 saying to Rod. I'm going to go to Rod this 1951 01:39:31,960 --> 01:39:33,560 week. I think the nearly 30 year 1952 01:39:33,560 --> 01:39:36,800 rushing yards per game, that's going to get me the edge all 1953 01:39:36,840 --> 01:39:39,720 right. Mage Eric wants a starter 1954 01:39:39,720 --> 01:39:43,600 between Drake London and Brian Thomas Junior I think Drake 1955 01:39:43,600 --> 01:39:46,320 London was ruled out, right? Yeah, yeah, the, the, the layup 1956 01:39:46,320 --> 01:39:48,280 there. I'll say Brian Thomas junior 1957 01:39:48,520 --> 01:39:51,080 will absolutely outdo Drake London this week. 1958 01:39:51,800 --> 01:39:53,200 Maybe. What if he what? 1959 01:39:53,520 --> 01:39:56,720 If he matches one ball for -12 yards. 1960 01:39:58,840 --> 01:40:00,520 That would be the cost a listener of the matchup. 1961 01:40:00,960 --> 01:40:02,680 Yeah, and Drake London was the better player. 1962 01:40:02,680 --> 01:40:04,520 This is the. Playoffs because I said to start 1963 01:40:04,520 --> 01:40:07,400 Brian Thomas junior over inactive Drake London. 1964 01:40:07,680 --> 01:40:11,400 There we go, Trevor. Zach Dubey wants to know Khalil 1965 01:40:11,400 --> 01:40:15,880 Shakur or Adani Mitchell. Yeah, I know we're excited about 1966 01:40:16,400 --> 01:40:18,200 Edie Mitchell after last week, but give me Shakur. 1967 01:40:18,240 --> 01:40:20,880 That game has got the 54 over under. 1968 01:40:21,000 --> 01:40:23,120 I want to get as much exposure to that as I can. 1969 01:40:24,280 --> 01:40:26,600 All right, Maj. It's down to two players in a 1970 01:40:26,600 --> 01:40:28,720 guillotine league for Ryan Schwartz. 1971 01:40:29,160 --> 01:40:32,080 He wants to know Kyron Williams or Ken Walker. 1972 01:40:33,760 --> 01:40:37,400 Because I'm glad that he defined the the guillotine aspect of 1973 01:40:37,400 --> 01:40:40,400 this because that did actually 'cause my answer to be different 1974 01:40:40,400 --> 01:40:42,960 than it would have otherwise. I'm going to go with Walker 1975 01:40:43,760 --> 01:40:48,880 because of the floor with the targets, he gets decent number 1976 01:40:48,880 --> 01:40:51,360 more targets in the passing game than Kyron does. 1977 01:40:51,600 --> 01:40:54,920 So you know, the there's the there's probably a little better 1978 01:40:54,920 --> 01:40:57,520 touchdown potential for Kyron just due to the way they use 1979 01:40:57,520 --> 01:40:59,560 Chardonnay like Trevor talked about in the matchup with 1980 01:40:59,560 --> 01:41:02,080 Seattle. But because it's Guillotine, 1981 01:41:02,080 --> 01:41:05,320 you're trying to make sure you're maximizing your floor. 1982 01:41:05,760 --> 01:41:10,160 And both of these guys have higher end ceilings because of 1983 01:41:10,160 --> 01:41:12,280 their matchups and just their, you know, the way that they're 1984 01:41:12,280 --> 01:41:14,040 used. So I'm going to go with the the 1985 01:41:14,040 --> 01:41:17,360 safer option Walker, even though Kyron's got the better touchdown 1986 01:41:17,360 --> 01:41:19,680 potential. Oh, that's interesting. 1987 01:41:19,840 --> 01:41:23,920 I I, I thought the safety would have been in Kyron but but no. 1988 01:41:24,840 --> 01:41:28,440 Not in APR guillotine you're you're getting, you're probably 1989 01:41:28,440 --> 01:41:31,840 going to get, you know, 3-4 free points just with catches with 1990 01:41:31,840 --> 01:41:34,160 with Walker where it might just be one or two with Kyron. 1991 01:41:34,760 --> 01:41:37,920 The last one of lightning round, it's for Trevor. 1992 01:41:37,960 --> 01:41:42,080 Richard Charles wants to know Woody Marks or Kareem Hunt, and 1993 01:41:42,080 --> 01:41:43,960 I believe you just previewed this game. 1994 01:41:44,640 --> 01:41:47,400 I did, yeah. It's kind of just two guys who 1995 01:41:47,400 --> 01:41:49,080 are getting volume and not doing anything with it. 1996 01:41:49,160 --> 01:41:51,880 But Woody Marx is younger and is getting a little more volume, so 1997 01:41:51,880 --> 01:41:53,320 I'm going to go with Woody Marx in this spot. 1998 01:41:54,360 --> 01:41:56,880 All right, that was like the first lightning round in about 1999 01:41:56,880 --> 01:42:00,800 10 years. So you guys did a great job. 2000 01:42:01,080 --> 01:42:03,720 We got to got to 12 of them. That's pretty good. 2001 01:42:05,000 --> 01:42:09,680 Let's thank thank both Trevor and Mosh for all your hard work 2002 01:42:09,680 --> 01:42:11,440 this week. It's not an easy task to get 2003 01:42:11,440 --> 01:42:14,760 this show going, so give those guys a follow on their social 2004 01:42:14,760 --> 01:42:18,520 platforms. Noko Maggio on Blue Sky and T 2005 01:42:18,520 --> 01:42:22,160 Jones 5 on Twitter. Any parting words you guys have 2006 01:42:22,160 --> 01:42:24,640 for this week? Go bears. 2007 01:42:25,160 --> 01:42:27,760 Can't. Yeah, well that it can't be a 2008 01:42:27,760 --> 01:42:29,040 worse late than we had last Sunday. 2009 01:42:30,080 --> 01:42:31,840 So much better day at football. Yeah, no doubt. 2010 01:42:31,840 --> 01:42:32,200 No. Doubt. 2011 01:42:32,200 --> 01:42:33,600 I'm looking forward to this Sunday. 2012 01:42:34,160 --> 01:42:36,840 Just a quick reminder before we go on Game Blazers. 2013 01:42:37,640 --> 01:42:41,880 Try Game Blazers this week, $36,000 in prizes and free roll 2014 01:42:41,880 --> 01:42:44,240 contest. And if you sign up using our 2015 01:42:44,240 --> 01:42:48,320 referral code FFAD, you get a free starter pack, a free rare 2016 01:42:48,320 --> 01:42:51,560 pack, and they'll give you an offer where you can spend 5 2017 01:42:51,560 --> 01:42:56,920 bucks, get two more rare packs. That's a $50 value, so go get 2018 01:42:56,920 --> 01:43:01,240 that over at gameblazers.com or or check out the mobile app. 2019 01:43:01,240 --> 01:43:04,400 It's a pretty fun game to play. Trevor and Maj. and I all play 2020 01:43:04,400 --> 01:43:06,560 it in our internal contest. It's good times. 2021 01:43:07,360 --> 01:43:09,640 All right. This was fantasy football almost 2022 01:43:09,640 --> 01:43:11,680 daily. Good luck to all of you in your 2023 01:43:11,680 --> 01:43:14,240 Final Fantasy week of the regular season. 2024 01:43:14,440 --> 01:43:19,600 We'll see you next week. This was fantasy football almost 2025 01:43:19,600 --> 01:43:21,520 daily. Please subscribe and give us a 2026 01:43:21,520 --> 01:43:24,080 five star rating wherever you listen to podcasts.