1 00:00:19,690 --> 00:00:21,730 Hey there. It's Matt Harrison, and it's the 2 00:00:21,730 --> 00:00:24,290 first fantasy Friday of your fantasy playoffs. 3 00:00:24,290 --> 00:00:27,090 This is fantasy football almost daily and I just said fantasy 4 00:00:27,090 --> 00:00:30,880 about four times. We did so well last week. 5 00:00:30,880 --> 00:00:33,320 We just ran it back with the same Co host this week. 6 00:00:33,480 --> 00:00:36,480 With me today, the Co host of the DFS Podcast. 7 00:00:36,480 --> 00:00:39,480 It's my friend and yours, Trevor T-bone Jones. 8 00:00:39,480 --> 00:00:42,480 How are you doing, Trevor? Yeah, doing all right. 9 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:44,280 First week at the playoffs for a lot of people. 10 00:00:44,280 --> 00:00:46,360 Hopefully we give out some winners this week. 11 00:00:46,880 --> 00:00:50,440 Yeah, that's that's the hope. And since his Bears lost to the 12 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:53,400 Packers last week, a man who has now signed the deed of his 13 00:00:53,400 --> 00:00:56,120 Colorado home over to Trevor. It's our good friend Anthony 14 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:59,240 Maggio. Yes, I good thing I have 15 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:02,920 multiple homes. I just passed one over to 16 00:01:02,920 --> 00:01:04,440 Trevor. Makes things easier. 17 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:07,480 They're they're. Very small homes, they're like 18 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:09,720 sheds and stuff like that up in the mountains. 19 00:01:09,760 --> 00:01:15,520 But there's 15 more games to get to this week, so let's not delay 20 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:17,760 too much. But I will remind you that we've 21 00:01:17,760 --> 00:01:20,200 got nine players on whom you can roll the dice. 22 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:23,440 And we'll see if our panel of experts will be able to solve my 23 00:01:23,440 --> 00:01:27,600 2 tough nuts to crack. And at the very end of the show. 24 00:01:27,600 --> 00:01:30,400 It worked out last week, so it has to work out again this week. 25 00:01:30,400 --> 00:01:33,680 It's lightning round. Speed, speed. 26 00:01:34,040 --> 00:01:38,800 I am speed. Catch a chow guys. 27 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:41,280 They really need your best effort on lightning round this 28 00:01:41,280 --> 00:01:45,280 week so you better bring it. Have we helped you out at all 29 00:01:45,280 --> 00:01:48,600 this year? Help me help you by showing your 30 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:50,360 support with a follow in a subscription. 31 00:01:50,680 --> 00:01:53,880 It helps us even more if you give us a great rating or review 32 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:58,040 on Spotify, Apple Podcast, iHeartRadio or on YouTube. 33 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:02,280 So I said fantasy 4 times to start there and then like help 34 00:02:02,280 --> 00:02:06,880 like 4 times in that sentence. Really mixing it up here. 35 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:09,440 All right, let's get to the match ups and we're going to 36 00:02:09,440 --> 00:02:12,200 start with Trevor today. The Browns head to Chicago to 37 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:15,760 take on the Bears. Can Chadur Sanders build off his 38 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:19,320 career day last week and get the Browns offense going? 39 00:02:20,040 --> 00:02:22,280 He cannot. Let's get up a little context 40 00:02:22,280 --> 00:02:23,760 here. The Browns are projected for 41 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:27,240 less than 16 points from Vegas. The game in Chicago will be no 42 00:02:27,240 --> 00:02:30,040 warmer than 10° at game time. Possible 25 mile an hour gusts 43 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:32,320 in Chicago. So be aware Chidor's on the 44 00:02:32,320 --> 00:02:34,080 bench. 3/5 of his starting off to fly. 45 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:35,600 Didn't practice Wednesday or Thursday. 46 00:02:35,960 --> 00:02:37,800 Second lowest game total. Keep him on the bench. 47 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:39,120 Quinn. Shawn Judkins, we're going to 48 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:41,600 give a bronze to drone. Drone Forward is now out for the 49 00:02:41,600 --> 00:02:44,360 year, which helps consolidate the run game around Judkins and 50 00:02:44,360 --> 00:02:46,760 Dylan Sampson. Judkins has at least 15 touches 51 00:02:46,760 --> 00:02:49,280 and five straight and the Bears gave up 160 and one to the 52 00:02:49,280 --> 00:02:52,000 Steelers backfield duo a few weeks ago and then 96 and one to 53 00:02:52,000 --> 00:02:53,360 Packers backs in the last three weeks. 54 00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:56,240 Samson actually didn't practice Wednesday or Thursday, so that 55 00:02:56,240 --> 00:02:58,400 could be a little more work for Judkins. 56 00:02:58,720 --> 00:03:00,600 Jerry Judy and the receivers were putting on the bench. 57 00:03:00,720 --> 00:03:03,640 Matt was right last week with Judy paid off 16 PPR points. 58 00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:06,200 However, he hasn't posted back-to-back double digit PPR 59 00:03:06,200 --> 00:03:08,160 games since week 17 and 18 of last year. 60 00:03:09,600 --> 00:03:11,200 Harold Phanton actually a good grade. 61 00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:14,000 This week we got a silver. Fannin took advantage of and Jo 62 00:03:14,000 --> 00:03:16,200 Ku's injury last week with career highs and catches and 63 00:03:16,200 --> 00:03:19,160 yards over the Bears. Last three games they've given 64 00:03:19,160 --> 00:03:22,560 up 8 for 62 and one to those Steelers tight ends, 5 for 57 to 65 00:03:22,560 --> 00:03:24,760 the Packers tight ends, which not Tucker Craft. 66 00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:27,640 That's all the other guys fans got solid chemistry with 67 00:03:27,640 --> 00:03:29,760 Shudoor. Three straight contest with four 68 00:03:29,760 --> 00:03:32,760 catches or a touchdown and Jo Ku was training towards being out, 69 00:03:32,760 --> 00:03:36,160 which would be good for him. We'll flip over to Chicago, put 70 00:03:36,160 --> 00:03:37,880 Caleb on the bench. It's a really bad match up 71 00:03:37,880 --> 00:03:40,480 against the Cleveland defense. It's allowed the fewest passing 72 00:03:40,480 --> 00:03:42,920 yards in the league this year. Top five in rushing yards and 73 00:03:42,920 --> 00:03:44,800 rushing touchdowns given up to quarterbacks. 74 00:03:44,800 --> 00:03:46,680 That which negates some of Caleb's scrambling ability. 75 00:03:47,040 --> 00:03:48,320 Both teams really want to run the ball. 76 00:03:48,320 --> 00:03:51,560 Should be a low scoring affair, putting both running backs for 77 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:53,600 Chicago with a bronze. Swift and Monungi. 78 00:03:53,960 --> 00:03:55,760 Chicago's been backslit running the ball recently. 79 00:03:56,240 --> 00:04:00,040 Only two sub 135 yard rushing efforts since Week 5. 80 00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:02,320 The two backs have split evenly over the past four weeks. 81 00:04:02,320 --> 00:04:04,560 Swift's got 65 touches. Monungi 62. 82 00:04:04,560 --> 00:04:06,440 Will give Swift a slight edge for the pass game work 83 00:04:07,280 --> 00:04:10,200 Cleveland's quality run defense, but they just got whooped for 84 00:04:10,200 --> 00:04:12,920 Titans by Titans backs for 180 and two last week. 85 00:04:13,680 --> 00:04:15,160 Receivers were putting them all on the bench. 86 00:04:15,160 --> 00:04:17,920 The Browns are first and 2nd and catches and yards allowed to the 87 00:04:17,920 --> 00:04:19,640 position. Rome got a couple limited 88 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:21,760 practices in which kind of muddies things. 89 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:24,160 I'd throw a bronze on Luther Burden if a Doomsay missed. 90 00:04:24,240 --> 00:04:26,840 He had four for 67 against Green Bay with a Doomsay out last 91 00:04:26,840 --> 00:04:28,760 week. In the last month, only three 92 00:04:28,760 --> 00:04:30,240 Bears pass Skechers with 50 yards. 93 00:04:30,440 --> 00:04:33,120 Yeah, Loveland and Kinet putting on the bench, too. 94 00:04:33,120 --> 00:04:36,040 Loveland's kind of the low end tight end, 15 targets. 95 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:37,320 You hope he falls into the end zone. 96 00:04:37,600 --> 00:04:39,640 He does have at least three catches at nine straight, so 97 00:04:39,640 --> 00:04:41,880 there's a little bit of a floor. Although Cleveland's faced 98 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,160 Bowers and Kittle in the past three weeks, and they combined 99 00:04:44,160 --> 00:04:47,560 for just 10 catches, 120. Twenty, 122 yards and no 100 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:49,480 touchdowns. Kinet and Colston Loveland are 101 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:52,840 not those guys. That is true. 102 00:04:52,840 --> 00:04:56,560 It sounds like a bench festival on on the Cleveland Chicago 103 00:04:56,560 --> 00:04:59,360 game. Probably good to note for the 104 00:04:59,360 --> 00:05:03,520 first game out of the way Maj. It's a huge reality game in New 105 00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:05,840 England this weekend when the Bills come to town. 106 00:05:05,840 --> 00:05:10,080 But from a fantasy standpoint, is this a breeding ground for 107 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:13,520 success or is it kind of similar to that Bears and Browns game? 108 00:05:14,720 --> 00:05:16,880 If you like bronze medals, you're going to love the 109 00:05:16,880 --> 00:05:20,200 Patriots part of this match up here. 110 00:05:20,200 --> 00:05:23,680 It's going to be another weather game in New England high of 30. 111 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:25,200 It's not going to be I don't think they're going to have the 112 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,640 wind gusts like they're going to have in Chicago, but 70% chance 113 00:05:27,640 --> 00:05:32,320 of some rain snow up in Foxboro. So we'll keep an eye on that. 114 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:35,200 As long as it's not super windy though, you typically you're not 115 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:37,240 going to, you know, knock these guys too much. 116 00:05:37,760 --> 00:05:40,240 We'll start with the bill side. Josh Allen's gold because he's 117 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:43,600 Josh Allen moving on James Cook, he's actually going to be down 118 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:45,600 to a silver this week. He's only got 2 touchdowns his 119 00:05:45,600 --> 00:05:49,160 last six games, 4, so 4 scoreless games in that stretch. 120 00:05:49,160 --> 00:05:51,320 He's fumbled 4 times in his last two games. 121 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,120 Not great. And New England's one of the 122 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:56,360 league's best against the run, second overall in rushing yards 123 00:05:56,360 --> 00:05:59,560 and rushing touchdowns allowed. Their 4 running back combo 124 00:05:59,560 --> 00:06:03,120 scores allowed this season is the lowest in the NFL, so you're 125 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:05,760 benching Ty Johnson as well. And of course, Ray David. 126 00:06:05,760 --> 00:06:09,200 Per usual on the wide receiver side, Josh Palmer may come back 127 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:11,280 this week. Just more reason to bench 128 00:06:11,280 --> 00:06:14,120 everybody, basically because there's too many cooks in that 129 00:06:14,120 --> 00:06:16,440 kitchen. Maybe with the exception of 130 00:06:16,440 --> 00:06:19,280 Khalil Shakur, you can give a participatory bronze. 131 00:06:19,920 --> 00:06:23,000 He only has seven targets in 21 yards combined the last two 132 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:25,240 weeks. He did break that five game 133 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:28,640 scoreless streak in last weeks contest though, and he does have 134 00:06:28,880 --> 00:06:31,320 one of the better matchups with Marcus Jones on him this week. 135 00:06:31,320 --> 00:06:33,440 So if you're desperate so you can throw Shakir in there. 136 00:06:34,280 --> 00:06:36,600 Tight ends Dalton Kincaid came back last week. 137 00:06:36,600 --> 00:06:39,160 We'll give him a silver. He got 34% of the snaps after 138 00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:42,320 that three-game absence. But he continues to see fewer 139 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:45,400 snaps than both Dawson Knox and Jackson Hawes and the last four 140 00:06:45,400 --> 00:06:47,960 he's played. These two teams met in Week 5. 141 00:06:48,160 --> 00:06:51,200 Kincaid had a nice Game 6 for one O 8 and that was actually 142 00:06:51,200 --> 00:06:54,320 the last time he saw more snaps than Jackson Hawes in the game. 143 00:06:54,320 --> 00:06:57,800 Crazy enough, and that's actually the best yardage total 144 00:06:57,800 --> 00:06:59,960 of any tight end against the Patriots this season. 145 00:06:59,960 --> 00:07:03,400 The Pets have not allowed a tight end touchdown since both 146 00:07:03,400 --> 00:07:05,760 Harold Fannon and David and Joe who both scored Week 8. 147 00:07:06,280 --> 00:07:08,560 Thus, you are also keeping Dawson Knocks on the bench. 148 00:07:08,560 --> 00:07:10,520 I know we popped last week, but that was because of that 149 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:14,400 terrible Cincinnati defense. So 6 for 93 is not likely to 150 00:07:14,400 --> 00:07:17,120 happen again there Patriots side. 151 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:18,760 Like I said, this is a bronze fest. 152 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:21,760 We'll start with Drake. In fact, everyone that's not a 153 00:07:21,760 --> 00:07:24,800 bench grade is a bronze. So I'll just that. 154 00:07:24,800 --> 00:07:26,640 Now, don't have to say that again. 155 00:07:27,200 --> 00:07:29,920 Bills have allowed the fewest completions in passing yards in 156 00:07:29,920 --> 00:07:32,600 the league all season. That's in part because of their 157 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:35,040 bad but improving run defense. Now, May. 158 00:07:35,040 --> 00:07:40,520 He's been very consistent, 259 to 294 passing yards per game in 159 00:07:40,520 --> 00:07:42,200 his last six he's been in that range. 160 00:07:42,360 --> 00:07:45,200 He hasn't topped 2 passing scores since Week 8, though, and 161 00:07:45,200 --> 00:07:48,400 he has toned things down with his legs recently, rushing for 162 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:52,320 no more than 22 yards in any of his last five after hitting 28 163 00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:55,600 or more in five of his first 8. So you're not getting quite as 164 00:07:55,600 --> 00:07:57,840 much of that floor. Bill's defense could get Joey 165 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:01,200 Bosa and captain and linebacker Terrell Bernard back this week 166 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:03,720 as well, which just makes which makes things even more dicey. 167 00:08:04,000 --> 00:08:06,440 Speaking of Dicey, that backfield, they're back to split 168 00:08:06,440 --> 00:08:08,720 in time. Dan Henderson and Ramondes, 169 00:08:08,840 --> 00:08:13,320 Ramondre Stevenson. You know, I could go through all 170 00:08:13,320 --> 00:08:16,880 kinds of stats here, but just it the Bills horrible run defense 171 00:08:16,880 --> 00:08:20,120 has improved in their last three games and that's against Texas, 172 00:08:21,000 --> 00:08:24,720 Texans and Steelers and Bill's running backs combining for just 173 00:08:24,720 --> 00:08:27,120 200 and not Bill's running backs, excuse me, Bengals 174 00:08:27,120 --> 00:08:30,560 running backs combining for just 202 rushing yards, 47 receiving 175 00:08:30,560 --> 00:08:32,720 yards and three total touchdowns. 176 00:08:33,840 --> 00:08:36,400 So, you know, like I said, they're getting a little better. 177 00:08:36,480 --> 00:08:39,080 They're splitting work. You can start either one of them 178 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:43,520 not feel great about it. On the receiving side, Stephane 179 00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:46,520 Diggs is probably the one with sort of the biggest range of 180 00:08:46,520 --> 00:08:51,080 outcomes here because if he's probably not going to see 181 00:08:51,120 --> 00:08:54,880 Christian Benford, but Benford has shadowed slot receivers 182 00:08:54,880 --> 00:08:57,840 before Crystalabi being one of them. 183 00:08:57,840 --> 00:09:01,200 Only two receivers have scored among those of victims that he's 184 00:09:01,200 --> 00:09:04,360 had none of top 43 yards but digs. 185 00:09:04,360 --> 00:09:07,680 He's getting his revenge game again for the second time this 186 00:09:07,680 --> 00:09:09,360 season. Back in week five against his 187 00:09:09,360 --> 00:09:13,160 former team, he popped off for 10 catches, 146 yards on a 188 00:09:13,160 --> 00:09:16,480 season high 12 targets. But since getting 11 targets 189 00:09:16,480 --> 00:09:18,960 against The Jets back in Week 11, he has just seven in his 190 00:09:18,960 --> 00:09:21,800 last two games and only 46 combined yards. 191 00:09:22,000 --> 00:09:24,640 So Keisha Booty, You know he's still getting the snap share. 192 00:09:25,480 --> 00:09:29,720 He went for 343 against Buffalo in Week 5, but only has 50 193 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:31,880 combined receiving yards his last two games. 194 00:09:32,120 --> 00:09:35,120 And if he's the one who ends up seeing Benford, of course, that 195 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:38,160 causes him problems. Matt Collins continues to lead 196 00:09:38,160 --> 00:09:41,640 that room in snapshare. Five straight games now, but 197 00:09:42,160 --> 00:09:44,720 might get Trudavius White a lot in this one. 198 00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,320 He's getting consistent targets, four more in five straight, but 199 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:50,320 he hasn't scored since Week 4 or top 64 yard. 200 00:09:50,400 --> 00:09:53,480 He's only top 64 yards once, excuse me, in his last five 201 00:09:53,480 --> 00:09:56,160 games in twice all season. And finally, probably the 202 00:09:56,160 --> 00:09:58,720 highest graded, highest grade bronze. 203 00:09:58,720 --> 00:10:02,680 What is that? OK, yeah. 204 00:10:02,920 --> 00:10:04,520 So that's going to be Hunter Henry. 205 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:07,160 Bills have allowed the fewest tight end receptions and 2nd 206 00:10:07,160 --> 00:10:10,000 fewest receiving yards and touchdowns to the position this 207 00:10:10,000 --> 00:10:12,080 season. They did just get touched up 208 00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:15,920 last week by Mike Aseki though, for 686 and one before that. 209 00:10:15,920 --> 00:10:19,080 No tight end had top 46 yards against the Bills all season, 210 00:10:19,320 --> 00:10:22,080 and those 46 yards happened to come from Hunter Henry back in 211 00:10:22,080 --> 00:10:24,160 Week 5. He's got six or more targets in 212 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,400 three straight and then four of his last five and five 213 00:10:26,400 --> 00:10:29,280 touchdowns this season. 4 of those five are coming home. 214 00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:32,880 And of course, like I said, this game's in Foxborough, so you can 215 00:10:32,880 --> 00:10:34,640 roll out Hunter Henry. He's probably not going to be 216 00:10:34,640 --> 00:10:37,480 quite the Kyle Pitts game for you, but you might get a little 217 00:10:37,480 --> 00:10:40,880 something from. Him all right, sounds like our 218 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:45,000 first segment of matchups is just a clomp fest of guys that 219 00:10:45,000 --> 00:10:48,040 you probably don't really want in your lineups and we'll 220 00:10:48,160 --> 00:10:50,520 continue that with The Jets and Jaguars. 221 00:10:51,520 --> 00:10:54,520 Bruce Hall barely limps in with a bronze grade and I was pretty 222 00:10:54,520 --> 00:10:56,960 close to benching him here, but he's still seeing the volume. 223 00:10:57,360 --> 00:11:00,480 Even in a blowout loss last week, he still led The Jets 224 00:11:00,480 --> 00:11:03,320 backfield with 14 touches. The other two guys had a 225 00:11:03,320 --> 00:11:06,400 combined 3. Jags are great against runners, 226 00:11:06,400 --> 00:11:07,560 though. They're allowing the fewest 227 00:11:07,560 --> 00:11:11,320 touches per game at just under 22 and the second fewest combo 228 00:11:11,320 --> 00:11:14,480 yards at 99. But that's almost all haul if 229 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:16,280 they can get there. So it's still bronze. 230 00:11:17,120 --> 00:11:20,440 Tyrod Taylor is out this week with a graun injury. 231 00:11:20,680 --> 00:11:24,120 Justin Fields is also hurt. So it's Brady Cook this week for 232 00:11:24,120 --> 00:11:27,640 The Jets and unfortunately that brings the entire Jets passing 233 00:11:27,640 --> 00:11:29,920 game to the bench in what would be a great match up. 234 00:11:30,440 --> 00:11:33,000 The Jags are seeing the most pass attempts per game against 235 00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:36,840 them, but Cook couldn't even complete half of his passes last 236 00:11:36,840 --> 00:11:38,440 week and he threw 2 to the wrong team. 237 00:11:38,720 --> 00:11:42,000 So I'm leaving AD Mitchell, John Metchi, and Mason Taylor all on 238 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,840 the bench as well. If you have to go with one, the 239 00:11:44,840 --> 00:11:48,000 best option would be Taylor, who led The Jets and targets last 240 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:50,320 week with eight. And it's usually dump off City 241 00:11:50,320 --> 00:11:52,560 for a backup quarterback. And The Jets are actually 242 00:11:52,800 --> 00:11:55,400 terrible against the tight end. They're lying the third most 243 00:11:55,400 --> 00:11:59,480 receptions and 5th most yards. And actually, I'll upgrade Mason 244 00:11:59,480 --> 00:12:01,360 Taylor to a commercial bronze grade. 245 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:04,880 Kind of a dart throw there. But you probably have better 246 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:07,480 options at tight end if you've made the fantasy playoffs. 247 00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:11,280 Like maybe you're going to start Brenton Strange on the other 248 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:14,760 side, who was second on the team and targets last week with six, 249 00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:18,400 just actually tied with Brian Thomas and Tim Patrick. 250 00:12:19,040 --> 00:12:21,800 The Jets have been strangely solid against the tight end 251 00:12:21,800 --> 00:12:24,560 lately though, only allowing 1 touchdown in the last five 252 00:12:24,560 --> 00:12:26,600 weeks. But they've still allowed the 253 00:12:26,600 --> 00:12:28,880 7th most tight end touchdowns on the season. 254 00:12:28,880 --> 00:12:31,160 So I've just got a bronze grade on Strange here. 255 00:12:32,280 --> 00:12:35,760 Jacoby Myers and Brian Thomas Junior both get bronze grades as 256 00:12:35,760 --> 00:12:37,840 well. It's been, and this is really 257 00:12:37,840 --> 00:12:40,360 because it's been way too easy to run the ball on The Jets 258 00:12:40,360 --> 00:12:43,640 since Quinn and Williams left. Wide receivers just aren't 259 00:12:43,640 --> 00:12:45,960 getting the ball anymore. Only one wide receiver has 260 00:12:45,960 --> 00:12:49,360 topped 5 catches against The Jets in the last four weeks. 261 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,680 Only two wide receivers have scored a touchdown in that span, 262 00:12:53,080 --> 00:12:56,360 and only one wide receiver has topped 100 yards on them in the 263 00:12:56,360 --> 00:12:59,000 last eight games. So it's tough sledding for the 264 00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:01,720 wide receiver position. I'd probably rather leave both 265 00:13:01,720 --> 00:13:03,240 on the bench if you have better options. 266 00:13:03,840 --> 00:13:06,480 Trevor Lawrence. We're 13 games into the season 267 00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:10,720 and The Jets have still not had one interception yet. 268 00:13:11,200 --> 00:13:14,760 Not one. And Trevor Lawrence is tied for 269 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:17,960 third in picks thrown. Something's got to give. 270 00:13:19,720 --> 00:13:22,320 It's mostly because no one throws on The Jets. 271 00:13:22,520 --> 00:13:26,840 Quarterbacks are only averaging 18 completions for 202 yards per 272 00:13:26,840 --> 00:13:29,240 game against The Jets. That's nothing. 273 00:13:29,240 --> 00:13:36,520 So Lawrence's bench Lawrence. Just bench him, you're going to 274 00:13:36,520 --> 00:13:41,040 be better off benching him. Travis Etn is solid gold though. 275 00:13:42,440 --> 00:13:49,160 Yeah I love gold too. Last week against The Jets Devon 276 00:13:49,280 --> 00:13:53,400 A Chan had 105 combo yards and a score on only 8 touches before 277 00:13:53,400 --> 00:13:57,320 he got hurt and then Jalen Wright took over and had 24 for 278 00:13:57,320 --> 00:14:00,480 one O 7 and a score and then Ollie Gordon scored too. 279 00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:04,480 So if you combine those 3 backs together, it was 41.9 PPR 280 00:14:04,480 --> 00:14:07,320 points. The prior three top running 281 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:11,360 backs to face The Jets had 3222 and 30 PPR points. 282 00:14:11,800 --> 00:14:16,080 ETN carried the ball 20 times last week, had 74 ground yards 283 00:14:16,080 --> 00:14:19,280 and two rushing scores. ETN will get it done. 284 00:14:19,600 --> 00:14:22,840 There may even be some Bashel Tooten garbage time in the 285 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:25,320 fourth quarter. But you're absolutely nuts if 286 00:14:25,320 --> 00:14:28,760 you start Bashel Tooten in a fantasy playoff week. 287 00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:34,520 That would be crazy. All right, we're going to go to 288 00:14:35,680 --> 00:14:38,400 a wow. My computer monitor froze here, 289 00:14:38,400 --> 00:14:39,880 so that's good times. So. 290 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:41,920 We're going nowhere. We're we're not. 291 00:14:43,720 --> 00:14:45,560 You know what we're going to do? We're on the dock. 292 00:14:47,000 --> 00:14:51,920 We're going to roll the dice without the fancy video intro to 293 00:14:51,920 --> 00:14:58,520 it because it's stuck. Hopefully you're on podcast this 294 00:14:58,520 --> 00:15:00,960 week instead of yeah, you know, well, but on the live stream you 295 00:15:00,960 --> 00:15:02,000 still get the lamps. So it's. 296 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:05,760 Cool. I mean, yeah, so these are 9 297 00:15:05,760 --> 00:15:08,680 players that might not normally be in your line up, but you may 298 00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:10,560 want to roll the dice on them this week. 299 00:15:11,200 --> 00:15:13,880 Trevor, let's start with you in the quarterback possession. 300 00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:16,320 Who do you got? Yeah, I'm going to CJ Stroud 301 00:15:16,320 --> 00:15:18,400 against the Cardinals this week. Stroud hasn't really had a 302 00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:20,920 ceiling yet since returning from injury a few weeks ago, but this 303 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:23,600 could be the spot on the season. Arizona's middling matchup for 304 00:15:23,600 --> 00:15:25,400 quarterbacks. However, three of their last 305 00:15:25,400 --> 00:15:27,920 four opposing quarterbacks have thrown for exactly 3 touchdowns. 306 00:15:28,320 --> 00:15:30,800 Stroud's also working with his most talented pass catcher this 307 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:33,040 year, with Jayden Higgins the rookie starting to play well and 308 00:15:33,040 --> 00:15:34,640 all the other pass catching options healthy. 309 00:15:35,120 --> 00:15:37,480 The only concern is that we do need Jacoby Brissette to keep 310 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:40,120 his forty attempt streak alive so that we can kind of push 311 00:15:40,120 --> 00:15:41,240 Stroud to throw it a little more. 312 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:43,560 But I think he's, I think it's got a good floor in and a decent 313 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:46,000 ceiling if the Cardinals can get that 40 pass attempt that they 314 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:49,600 want to. All right, hey, I found it. 315 00:15:49,600 --> 00:15:52,800 Watch this. It's now time to roll the dice. 316 00:15:57,000 --> 00:16:02,640 Better light than ever on the. I got an add to get to too, but 317 00:16:02,640 --> 00:16:03,920 we'll do that after. Roll the dice. 318 00:16:03,920 --> 00:16:05,840 Mashudi you got to roll the dice on. 319 00:16:06,760 --> 00:16:10,480 Roll the dice on Marcus Mariota at the Giants this week. 320 00:16:10,480 --> 00:16:13,080 Giants have allowed multiple touchdown passes in six of their 321 00:16:13,080 --> 00:16:15,960 last seven games, and that's after doing so just once in 322 00:16:15,960 --> 00:16:18,400 their first six games. One of those games was against 323 00:16:18,400 --> 00:16:20,920 Washington to open the season, but Jayden Daniels was under 324 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:23,400 center in that one. So this will be Mario, which has 325 00:16:23,400 --> 00:16:27,360 first crack at the Giants. Mariotti's taken a majority of 326 00:16:27,360 --> 00:16:30,600 the snaps in seven games this season and has 2 scores, 2 327 00:16:30,600 --> 00:16:33,440 passing scores and five of them. So he's kind of a low end QB one 328 00:16:33,440 --> 00:16:36,920 this week. All right, for my roll the dice 329 00:16:36,920 --> 00:16:40,200 quarterback, I've got a a Ron Rogers against the Miami 330 00:16:40,200 --> 00:16:41,760 Dolphins. Is he getting a little bit of 331 00:16:41,760 --> 00:16:44,440 his swagger back? It was his best fantasy finish 332 00:16:44,440 --> 00:16:47,720 in two months. Last week in Baltimore, 284 and 333 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:50,800 one through the air. Added a 1 yard touchdown run and 334 00:16:50,800 --> 00:16:53,400 a discount. Double check his first touchdown 335 00:16:53,400 --> 00:16:55,560 run in three years And the Dolphins defense. 336 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:58,720 Not very scary. That is if you're a starting 337 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,640 quarterback. Through 13 games of the season, 338 00:17:01,800 --> 00:17:04,200 they've only faced 8 quarterbacks who were the 339 00:17:04,200 --> 00:17:06,119 starters at the beginning of the season. 340 00:17:06,440 --> 00:17:08,839 The average line for those quarterbacks? 341 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:12,760 240 yards and two touchdowns. So that seems like a startable 342 00:17:12,760 --> 00:17:15,440 spot for Aaron Rodgers in the Monday night Hammer. 343 00:17:15,760 --> 00:17:17,599 Yeah, that's right. They've faced 5 backup 344 00:17:17,599 --> 00:17:19,920 quarterbacks, almost all in the last couple of months. 345 00:17:21,839 --> 00:17:24,480 All right, the running back position, Trevor, who you got? 346 00:17:25,319 --> 00:17:26,920 Yeah, we're going to dig kind of deep here. 347 00:17:26,960 --> 00:17:29,360 Taipei Spears, Titans running back against San Fran. 348 00:17:29,880 --> 00:17:32,320 Spears of the Titans pass catching back all year. 349 00:17:32,520 --> 00:17:34,960 San Fran is allowing the most receptions to enemy backs in the 350 00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:36,840 league, so hopefully a good set up there. 351 00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:39,280 The Titans are A2 touchdown underdog, so the game script 352 00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:43,040 should set up pretty favorably for a whole lot of low volume 353 00:17:43,040 --> 00:17:46,560 PPR points or yard PPR points I should say. 354 00:17:46,960 --> 00:17:49,320 Spears is averaging more than 4 catches per game over his last 355 00:17:49,320 --> 00:17:51,400 four, so there is a little bit of a floor there for just a guy 356 00:17:51,400 --> 00:17:53,920 who's a pass catching back. And he also saw 8 carries last 357 00:17:53,920 --> 00:17:55,280 week, which was his most in six weeks. 358 00:17:55,280 --> 00:17:58,160 So it's pretty gross, but this guy could get to like 15 on just 359 00:17:58,160 --> 00:18:03,440 nasty volume. I used Ty J Spears last week and 360 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:06,480 it was gross. Yep, it's always It's a little 361 00:18:06,480 --> 00:18:10,000 less gross this week. All right, Maj., who do you got 362 00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:13,440 it running back? Well, folks who listened to this 363 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:17,560 show last week will notice that this is echoing a lot of what 364 00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:20,520 what I said a week ago. But Devon Singletary in that 365 00:18:20,520 --> 00:18:24,560 same Washington, New York game. Singletary before the bye. 366 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:26,880 As I noted, he kind of got that hot hand. 367 00:18:27,120 --> 00:18:29,600 It seemed like he may be a Wally Pip timer on Tracy there. 368 00:18:29,600 --> 00:18:31,360 Tracy then got hurt with that hip Stinger. 369 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,400 Tracy, I will note, is back healthy and should be good. 370 00:18:35,400 --> 00:18:37,320 Good to go back in the line up this week. 371 00:18:37,560 --> 00:18:39,880 That does cap Singletary's upside. 372 00:18:39,880 --> 00:18:41,840 But if you if you're looking at rankings, it's kind of around 373 00:18:41,840 --> 00:18:44,680 the industry. Tracy is generally ranked ahead 374 00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:47,120 of Singletary. And I'm not necessarily sure 375 00:18:47,120 --> 00:18:50,200 that that is right. Singletary is the goal line 376 00:18:50,200 --> 00:18:52,000 back. And even with those guys 377 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:54,800 splitting snaps, you got Singletary with opportunities in 378 00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:57,320 their last three games, 1714 and 15. 379 00:18:57,560 --> 00:18:59,680 And Washington's allowed the third most combo yards to 380 00:18:59,680 --> 00:19:02,200 running backs this season. So frankly, both of those guys 381 00:19:02,200 --> 00:19:05,480 are startable, but for the sake of rolling the dice, it's Devin 382 00:19:05,480 --> 00:19:11,840 Singletary time. All right, my running back at 383 00:19:11,840 --> 00:19:15,360 the roll the dice position is Devin Neil against Carolina, and 384 00:19:15,360 --> 00:19:18,360 this one only works if Alvin Kamara is indeed inactive and I 385 00:19:18,360 --> 00:19:19,840 don't think he's going to be active. 386 00:19:19,840 --> 00:19:21,640 He didn't practice on Wednesday or Thursday. 387 00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:26,040 Still coming back from that MCL sprain, Neil had 20 touches last 388 00:19:26,040 --> 00:19:28,080 week, 84 combo yards and a score. 389 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:31,080 Evan Hull and Audric estimate they're the other two backs. 390 00:19:31,080 --> 00:19:32,680 They only combined for five touches. 391 00:19:33,120 --> 00:19:36,000 So if Neil gets another full workload against Carolina, 392 00:19:36,000 --> 00:19:39,600 things could turn out well. And since Week 8, here's how the 393 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,280 running backs have fared against the Panthers. 394 00:19:42,760 --> 00:19:45,880 James Cook, who's a bell cow, had 33 PPR points. 395 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,360 Josh Jacobs, who's a bell cow, had 20. 396 00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:53,880 Camara and Neil combined for 20. Bijon, who's a bell cow, had 30. 397 00:19:54,080 --> 00:19:56,520 McCaffrey, who's a bell cow, had 27. 398 00:19:56,840 --> 00:19:59,720 Corum and Chiron combined for 27 points. 399 00:20:00,040 --> 00:20:03,680 So it feels like there's 20 points here for a running back, 400 00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:06,200 and it's probably Devin Neil since he's getting most of the 401 00:20:06,200 --> 00:20:08,560 work. All right, let's go to the 402 00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:10,960 receiver position. Wide receiver or tight end. 403 00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:12,680 Trevor, who you got? Yeah. 404 00:20:12,680 --> 00:20:15,040 We're gonna flex it out to tight end with the Rams. 405 00:20:15,040 --> 00:20:17,640 Colby Parkinson. Parkinson's kind of been on fire 406 00:20:17,640 --> 00:20:18,920 recently. He's got 4 catches or a 407 00:20:18,920 --> 00:20:21,920 touchdown in five straight games, including four touchdowns 408 00:20:21,920 --> 00:20:24,120 over those five. Detroit is top third in the 409 00:20:24,120 --> 00:20:26,520 league against the tight end, although in the last three weeks 410 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:28,600 they've allowed both Theo Johnson and Jake Ferguson to 411 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:30,960 clear 10 PPR points. It's also the highest total 412 00:20:30,960 --> 00:20:34,200 game, I think, of the season at 55 points last I checked. 413 00:20:34,200 --> 00:20:36,920 So if there's a guy you want to throw a dart on, it's going to 414 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:39,520 be the maybe 8 or 9 touchdown scored in this game. 415 00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:40,920 I'm going to take a shot with Colby Parkinson. 416 00:20:42,080 --> 00:20:45,240 All right, sounds good, Maj. Who do you got at wide receiver 417 00:20:45,240 --> 00:20:46,080 or tight end? I'm. 418 00:20:46,760 --> 00:20:49,800 Going to go with Jordan Addison at Dallas this week. 419 00:20:49,800 --> 00:20:52,920 The Cowboys have allowed the most yards and touchdowns to 420 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:56,440 wide receivers this season. Addison's now got 7 or more 421 00:20:56,440 --> 00:20:59,040 targets in four of his last five games, with four or more 422 00:20:59,040 --> 00:21:00,800 receptions in back-to-back games. 423 00:21:01,840 --> 00:21:04,840 You know, certainly we've seen the good, the bad and the ugly 424 00:21:04,840 --> 00:21:08,640 with JJ McCarthy, but it was more of the good last week. 425 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:11,360 And given this match up, I think you can roll the dice on 426 00:21:11,360 --> 00:21:14,560 Addison. All right, my guy is Isaiah 427 00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:18,760 Likely at Cincinnati. He did score last week and then 428 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:21,480 he scored again, ran about 3 steps and had it stripped out of 429 00:21:21,480 --> 00:21:23,880 his hands in the end zone and they called it no touchdown. 430 00:21:24,880 --> 00:21:31,440 He would have had 19 or 20 PPR points if he held onto that ball 431 00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:34,160 and they ruled it a touchdown. And the week before against the 432 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:37,160 Bengals he dropped it on his own at the goal line. 433 00:21:37,640 --> 00:21:41,880 He had five for 95 in that game, but it would have been 20 points 434 00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:45,200 as well had he held onto the ball for one second longer. 435 00:21:45,520 --> 00:21:49,280 We're like 2 seconds away from Isaiah Likely having 436 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:53,560 back-to-back 20 point games and he's going up against the 437 00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:55,600 Bengals. Last week on the show, I 438 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:59,800 mentioned the Bengals were six PPR points worse than the next 439 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:04,080 worst tight end defense. They gave up 137 yards and two 440 00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:07,000 touchdowns to the tight end last week, so they're now eight 441 00:22:07,000 --> 00:22:10,160 points worse than the next closest tight end defense. 442 00:22:10,960 --> 00:22:14,800 Tight ends are averaging 24.1 points per game against 443 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:18,400 Cincinnati and the best tight end group in the league 444 00:22:18,520 --> 00:22:22,760 offensively is the Cardinals. They averaged 12 1/2 points per 445 00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,280 game. It you get a double game of the 446 00:22:25,280 --> 00:22:29,280 best tight end group in the league when you play against the 447 00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:33,760 Bengals, you got to you got to fire up likely in pretty much 448 00:22:33,760 --> 00:22:38,680 any situation. All right now I can go to our 449 00:22:38,960 --> 00:22:41,920 quick ad from Game Blazers. 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I should mention that you can 472 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:57,920 find me Matt Harrison on Twitter or Blue Sky at explosive output. 473 00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:00,800 Explosive output, not explosive output. 474 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:07,760 That would be way worse. Trevor is at T Jones 5 on 475 00:24:07,760 --> 00:24:11,360 Twitter and Anthony Maggio is at Blue Sky at Noco. 476 00:24:11,360 --> 00:24:17,080 Maggio as in Northern Colorado? I'm guessing Maggio. 477 00:24:17,360 --> 00:24:18,840 You guessed right. There we go. 478 00:24:18,840 --> 00:24:22,040 Hold on. All right, here we go. 479 00:24:22,400 --> 00:24:26,040 Let's go back to the match ups here and we got Arizona against 480 00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,920 the Texans and Trevor, Jacoby Brissett and the Cardinals face 481 00:24:29,920 --> 00:24:33,040 their toughest test yet, the crazy good Texans defense. 482 00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:36,280 It's got to be tough to like a lot of players on the Arizona 483 00:24:36,280 --> 00:24:38,680 side this week. I think this is mostly where the 484 00:24:38,680 --> 00:24:42,280 magic ends for this Cardinals kind of dream offensive run. 485 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:45,080 Put Jacoby percent on the bench. It is the most difficult match 486 00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:46,720 up in the league for opposing QB's. 487 00:24:46,920 --> 00:24:49,120 Houston just held Mahomes to his lowest output of the year. 488 00:24:49,120 --> 00:24:51,200 Josh Allen to a second lowest output of the year in the last 489 00:24:51,200 --> 00:24:53,960 three weeks. I'm not messing around with 35 490 00:24:53,960 --> 00:24:55,360 year old percent here running back. 491 00:24:55,360 --> 00:24:57,040 I'm putting all of those guys on the bench as well. 492 00:24:57,080 --> 00:25:00,040 They're just not productive or voluminous enough right now. 493 00:25:00,360 --> 00:25:02,480 If you absolutely need one, it's Bam Knight, who is the 494 00:25:02,480 --> 00:25:04,840 healthiest guy and has 14 catches over the past four 495 00:25:04,840 --> 00:25:07,000 games. So if you need someone Houston's 496 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:09,040 top five and brush yards allowed, it's just not a good 497 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:10,720 match up. Michael Wilson will give a 498 00:25:10,720 --> 00:25:12,560 silver. I've seen on the Internet some 499 00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:15,600 people refer to Michael Wilson as Marvin Harrison Senior, which 500 00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:20,320 I think is pretty good. He's been incredible without 501 00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:22,800 Marv, although only three teams have allowed less receiver 502 00:25:22,800 --> 00:25:24,400 touchdowns and yards than the Texans. 503 00:25:24,440 --> 00:25:27,240 Again, we're hoping Brissett gets to that 3540 pass attempt 504 00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,760 mark, so we'll get there on volume, if not efficiency. 505 00:25:29,760 --> 00:25:31,640 And maybe Michael Wilson's just really good. 506 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:34,240 I don't know. Marv didn't practice Wednesday 507 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,360 or Thursday. He's on the bench. 508 00:25:36,360 --> 00:25:38,520 I don't trust him to finish the game with that heel injury that 509 00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:40,400 I think knocked him out of the last game as well. 510 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:45,040 And Trey McBride gets a silver. It's he gets a silver despite 511 00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,400 Houston being top five and fewest catches and yards allowed 512 00:25:47,400 --> 00:25:49,440 to the position. But McBride is still fantasies. 513 00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:52,040 Tight end, one on the tight end, one on the year, double digit 514 00:25:52,040 --> 00:25:54,280 PPR points. All but one game boasts the 515 00:25:54,280 --> 00:25:57,200 team's highest team targets here for a tight end at 26%. 516 00:25:57,440 --> 00:25:59,560 It's not the best match up, but you're playing McBride of 517 00:25:59,560 --> 00:26:02,600 course. On the Texan side, CJ Stroud is 518 00:26:02,600 --> 00:26:04,680 my roll the dice quarterback at running back. 519 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:06,840 What do you marks? We'll get a bronze grade 2. 520 00:26:07,280 --> 00:26:09,800 The workload was excellent. At least 16 touches and five 521 00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:11,640 straight matchup is also very good. 522 00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,200 Cardinals are getting destroyed by enemy backs since their week 523 00:26:14,200 --> 00:26:17,720 8 by having given up at least 70 combo yards to every single #1 524 00:26:17,720 --> 00:26:19,960 back they faced. And then last week the wheels 525 00:26:19,960 --> 00:26:22,960 completely fell off of Arizona's red defense, giving up 250 and 526 00:26:22,960 --> 00:26:26,000 three to the Rams on the ground. And Nick Chubb looks like he'll 527 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:27,840 miss this game, leading just to Dari Agumba. 528 00:26:27,840 --> 00:26:30,120 Wale is the other back. That's a 31 year old pass 529 00:26:30,120 --> 00:26:32,080 catcher. Shouldn't infringe on the 530 00:26:32,120 --> 00:26:34,320 workload too much. Nico Collins has a goal. 531 00:26:34,560 --> 00:26:36,480 Cleared 18 PPR points in four O 5. 532 00:26:36,880 --> 00:26:38,800 Only concern is Cardinals don't score enough. 533 00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:41,280 Jayden Higgins is on the bench five straight games with three 534 00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:44,280 catches, but he's only cleared 55 yards once all season. 535 00:26:44,840 --> 00:26:46,480 And then Dalton Schultz, what is it? 536 00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,640 The commercial bronze? Is that the poor man's bronze? 537 00:26:49,640 --> 00:26:52,760 The diet he's got? Schultz has at least 6 catches 538 00:26:52,760 --> 00:26:55,320 in four of his last six games and faces a Cardinals defense 539 00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:57,000 that is bottom half the league defending the tight end. 540 00:26:57,720 --> 00:27:01,440 He's kind of the, you know, not exciting. 5 catches, maybe falls 541 00:27:01,440 --> 00:27:06,800 into the end zone type. All right Maj., it looks like we 542 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,280 get a Kenny Pickett start this week for the Raiders in Philly 543 00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:13,520 and but many people may not realize that this is a Kenny 544 00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,720 Pickett revenge game. And stealing my Thunder there 545 00:27:16,720 --> 00:27:18,320 with the Kenny Pickett revenge game. 546 00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,440 Yeah, this this is a tough one for the Raiders, man. 547 00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,440 I mean, they've been obviously bad all year. 548 00:27:24,840 --> 00:27:27,680 This is a weather another weather game 85% chance of snow. 549 00:27:27,680 --> 00:27:29,040 I didn't actually double check that today. 550 00:27:29,040 --> 00:27:32,200 That was yesterday's forecast for Sunday, so it could have 551 00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:35,160 gone up or down since then. But Raiders are 11 1/2 point 552 00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:37,720 dogs in this one. So their implied team total is 553 00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,960 the lowest of any team this week at just 13 and a quarter. 554 00:27:41,240 --> 00:27:44,440 So not not expecting a whole lot of scoring from this team. 555 00:27:44,440 --> 00:27:48,120 Thus, not a lot of fantasy options with thicket You're 556 00:27:48,120 --> 00:27:52,040 you're leaving them on the bench despite the revenge game angle 557 00:27:52,040 --> 00:27:53,960 here. So Gino has been taking a 558 00:27:53,960 --> 00:27:57,040 beating behind that offensive line and now it's Kenny's turn. 559 00:27:57,040 --> 00:28:00,600 Unfortunately for him, he didn't look bad last week and place a 560 00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,600 Gino, you know, against a tough Denver defense. 561 00:28:03,600 --> 00:28:06,160 But I mean, Denver had taken their foot off the gas really by 562 00:28:06,160 --> 00:28:08,440 then. So the eight for 11 with 90 for 563 00:28:08,440 --> 00:28:10,920 97 yards and a touchdown in garbage time is not enough to 564 00:28:11,280 --> 00:28:15,520 put him in your lineup. Genti is a silver grade in a 565 00:28:15,520 --> 00:28:17,760 volume play here. Even with the volume, though, 566 00:28:17,760 --> 00:28:20,800 he's only managed 99 combo yards in his last two games combined 567 00:28:20,800 --> 00:28:23,080 without a score. He's also been limited to just 568 00:28:23,080 --> 00:28:26,160 14 opportunities in two of his last four games, which is not 569 00:28:26,160 --> 00:28:28,400 quite the volume you want from a volume play. 570 00:28:28,400 --> 00:28:31,480 But the target share has gone up, so that's brought the floor 571 00:28:31,480 --> 00:28:36,280 up since Week 917.4% target share and 28.8 receiving yards 572 00:28:36,280 --> 00:28:38,440 per game in Philly's. Just not anything special 573 00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:40,240 against the run. At least one running back 574 00:28:40,240 --> 00:28:42,400 touchdown allowed in all but three games this season. 575 00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:47,280 Chargers put up 171 combo yards last week Bears 268 the week 576 00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:51,360 before and since Week 10 Philly these run defenses, he has 577 00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:53,520 allowed the fifth most rushing yards per game. 578 00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:56,560 Brock Bowers. I mean, he's getting the the 579 00:28:56,560 --> 00:28:59,960 name, the the the gold name plate because his name is Brock 580 00:28:59,960 --> 00:29:02,080 Bowers. But Phillies only is is very 581 00:29:02,080 --> 00:29:04,480 similar to Trey McBride this week and you've got your high 582 00:29:04,480 --> 00:29:06,800 end tight ends with these tough matchups. 583 00:29:06,800 --> 00:29:09,520 Phillies only allowed three tight end scores all season and 584 00:29:09,520 --> 00:29:12,360 the fewest receiving yards just 428. 585 00:29:12,560 --> 00:29:14,920 If you are looking for that silver lining on your gold 586 00:29:14,920 --> 00:29:18,120 rating for your Brock Bowers. Two of those scores have come in 587 00:29:18,120 --> 00:29:21,200 the last three weeks. But aside from Kelsey, 61 yards 588 00:29:21,200 --> 00:29:25,080 in Week 2 and Ferguson 60 in Week 12, no tight in his top 43 589 00:29:25,280 --> 00:29:30,000 against the Eagles and Trey Tucker, Jack Vetch on the on the 590 00:29:30,000 --> 00:29:31,880 bench. I I think with the ladder there, 591 00:29:31,880 --> 00:29:34,320 he caught all six targets for 50 yards last week. 592 00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:36,600 And it that was his first time running as a full time player 593 00:29:36,600 --> 00:29:38,600 this season. So he's one of those guys maybe 594 00:29:38,600 --> 00:29:41,600 you can stash and see how things go down the stretch here. 595 00:29:41,600 --> 00:29:45,440 But yeah, not not messing with those guys in your line up on 596 00:29:45,440 --> 00:29:48,680 the Eagles side. Boy, oh boy, this Eagles team 597 00:29:49,360 --> 00:29:52,000 we're going to, we're going to step over Jalen Hurts here. 598 00:29:53,760 --> 00:29:56,560 Under normal circumstances against this Raiders team, I 599 00:29:56,560 --> 00:29:59,240 would really expect the Eagles to take the air out of the ball, 600 00:29:59,960 --> 00:30:02,200 which would cap Jalen Hurts upside. 601 00:30:02,200 --> 00:30:05,560 But with three straight loss, Hurts coming off A5 turnover 602 00:30:05,560 --> 00:30:09,920 game that included A2 turnover play, he now has, you know, 603 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:11,920 they, they need to get them right. 604 00:30:12,000 --> 00:30:15,400 You know, he's gotten 5 picks and two lost fumbles in his last 605 00:30:15,400 --> 00:30:19,160 two contests, multiple touchdowns just once in his last 606 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,280 five games, hasn't topped 33 rushing yards since Week 4. 607 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:25,760 The the list of bad kind of goes on and on for Hertz here. 608 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:30,280 You just again, you hope that they really hit the gas in this 609 00:30:30,280 --> 00:30:32,520 one and try to get this offense back on track. 610 00:30:32,720 --> 00:30:35,200 Vegas has allowed the third most rushing touchdowns to 611 00:30:35,200 --> 00:30:38,280 quarterbacks since Week 9. So maybe this is a spot where he 612 00:30:38,640 --> 00:30:41,920 uses the legs a little bit more and gets in the end zone. 613 00:30:41,960 --> 00:30:44,720 We'll see. Saquon Barkley is the one gold. 614 00:30:44,840 --> 00:30:46,480 Excuse me, not the one. I have two goals. 615 00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:48,840 This team the the one of two goals. 616 00:30:49,000 --> 00:30:51,720 At least one running back touchdown in three straight 617 00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:55,120 games against the Raiders. Saquon broke A4 game touchdown 618 00:30:55,120 --> 00:30:58,320 drought last week and in his first 100 yard game he had since 619 00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:00,960 week 8. And those opportunities keep 620 00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:03,160 coming. 15 or more in all but one game this season. 621 00:31:04,320 --> 00:31:07,880 As much as you'd like to try to sneak Tank Bigsby or Will 622 00:31:07,880 --> 00:31:10,800 Shipley in against the Raiders because you hope for some 623 00:31:10,800 --> 00:31:12,800 garbage time, those guys are split in snaps. 624 00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:16,080 So so really just can't mess around there. 625 00:31:16,400 --> 00:31:18,840 A.J. Brown is the other goal he's 626 00:31:18,840 --> 00:31:22,160 likely to see a lot of Darien Porter with Caillou Blue Kelly 627 00:31:22,160 --> 00:31:24,320 done for the year with a knee injury suffered against Denver 628 00:31:24,320 --> 00:31:26,240 last week. Porter's made 6 starts this 629 00:31:26,240 --> 00:31:28,200 season. It's only topped 50% of snaps in 630 00:31:28,200 --> 00:31:30,680 the game three times. Did actually do a nice job 631 00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,920 against Court and Sutton last week all things considered. 632 00:31:32,920 --> 00:31:36,080 He knocked away 2 passes, but Brown's been featured the last 633 00:31:36,080 --> 00:31:39,880 month 46 combined targets in his last four games, which almost 634 00:31:39,880 --> 00:31:42,440 double S what he had going into those 4. 635 00:31:43,000 --> 00:31:45,360 Three triple digit yardage days in that stretch as well with 636 00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:47,680 three touchdowns. So probably see that continue. 637 00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:49,800 I've got a bronze on Devonta Smith. 638 00:31:49,960 --> 00:31:52,480 You know he's managed 8 plus targets per game the last three 639 00:31:52,480 --> 00:31:55,640 during that resurgence from A.J. Brown, but he's only topped 48 640 00:31:55,640 --> 00:31:58,440 yards once and hasn't scored at all in his last four games. 641 00:31:58,760 --> 00:32:01,080 And lastly, I'll give Dallas Goddard a bronze as well. 642 00:32:01,080 --> 00:32:04,240 He had a fantastic game against the Chargers 8 for 78, but it 643 00:32:04,240 --> 00:32:07,120 was his first time over 6 targets in a game since week 6 644 00:32:07,360 --> 00:32:09,320 and now he's gone five straight without a touchdown. 645 00:32:09,400 --> 00:32:11,880 Vegas has only allowed three tight end scores all year, just 646 00:32:11,880 --> 00:32:15,360 one since Week 6. Hunter Henry, He had 66 yards in 647 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:18,560 week one, way back in week one. That's the only time all season 648 00:32:18,560 --> 00:32:20,760 a tight ends top 54 yards against the Raiders. 649 00:32:22,720 --> 00:32:26,080 All right, let's move on to the Ravens and Bengals, who square 650 00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:28,400 off for the second time in three weeks. 651 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,440 And since he kind of embarrassed Baltimore on their home turf on 652 00:32:32,440 --> 00:32:34,640 Thanksgiving. So I feel like it's a get right 653 00:32:34,640 --> 00:32:37,320 game for Derrick Henry, who I'm given a gold grade to. 654 00:32:38,120 --> 00:32:40,280 He faces the worst run defense in the league. 655 00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:43,920 Henry only had 11 touches against the Bengals 2 weeks ago. 656 00:32:44,000 --> 00:32:47,760 He still had 104 combo yards in a score, but they did not feed 657 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,480 him enough. In the last three years, every 658 00:32:50,480 --> 00:32:54,960 game that Henry has had 11 or fewer touches, his team has lost 659 00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:58,480 the game. So feed Henry, win games. 660 00:32:59,080 --> 00:33:01,160 Lamar Jackson gets a gold grade as well. 661 00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:04,440 Showed signs of life last week. Ran for 43 yards in a score. 662 00:33:04,760 --> 00:33:07,280 It was his first rushing score since Week 1 and the most 663 00:33:07,280 --> 00:33:09,440 rushing yards he's had since he came back from injury. 664 00:33:10,200 --> 00:33:13,120 He would have had two more passing touch touchdowns in the 665 00:33:13,120 --> 00:33:16,000 last two weeks had Isaiah likely not buttered his hands before 666 00:33:16,000 --> 00:33:18,960 every play. And the Bengals are just a great 667 00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:20,920 match up. Second most passing yards 668 00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,840 allowed. The 4th most passing scores, the 669 00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,320 ninth most rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks. 670 00:33:26,320 --> 00:33:28,360 This all sets up really nicely for Lamar. 671 00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:32,480 I think people will remember the bad month and fade him, but I 672 00:33:32,480 --> 00:33:34,200 don't think you should. I think you start him in this 673 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:37,320 game. Zay Flower saw 11 targets last 674 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:40,720 week. 8 catches for 1:24. But he's just a bronze grade 675 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,040 here. I'm not sure if since he is good 676 00:33:43,040 --> 00:33:46,600 against wide receivers or just so bad against running backs and 677 00:33:46,600 --> 00:33:48,960 tight ends that no one even tries the wide receiver 678 00:33:48,960 --> 00:33:51,360 position. They've wide receivers have seen 679 00:33:51,360 --> 00:33:54,720 the third fewest receptions and the 6th fewest yards in the 680 00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:57,080 league. They held Zay Flowers to two 681 00:33:57,080 --> 00:34:01,280 catches for six yards on 7 targets 2 weeks ago. 682 00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:04,640 That scares me quite a bit. So he's just a bronze. 683 00:34:05,600 --> 00:34:09,120 I mentioned Isaiah Likely as my Roll the Dice player and Mark 684 00:34:09,120 --> 00:34:11,239 Andrews. He also gets a silver grade in 685 00:34:11,239 --> 00:34:13,159 this one. And if you didn't hear those 686 00:34:13,159 --> 00:34:15,760 stats I said about Likely during Roll the Dice. 687 00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:18,800 The Bengals are the worst tight end defense of all time. 688 00:34:19,000 --> 00:34:22,719 There's four games to go. They've allowed 15 touchdowns to 689 00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:27,360 the tight end. The 2019 Cardinals gave up 17 690 00:34:27,360 --> 00:34:30,639 touchdowns. Their stranglehold on the worst 691 00:34:30,639 --> 00:34:33,199 tight end defense in history is in peril. 692 00:34:33,440 --> 00:34:36,600 The Bengals have already allowed more yards to tight ends than 693 00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:40,520 the 2019 Cardinals. I think that they're going to 694 00:34:40,520 --> 00:34:42,719 break the record here for the worst one ever. 695 00:34:42,920 --> 00:34:46,480 By the way, Darren Waller next week goes up against the 696 00:34:46,480 --> 00:34:50,280 Bengals, so plan ahead. And Trey McBride in your fantasy 697 00:34:50,280 --> 00:34:54,040 championship, Oh my God, he might score 50 points in that 698 00:34:54,040 --> 00:34:55,239 game. Well, I got mad. 699 00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:59,240 I got I got to ask with a little T like a warm up for lightning 700 00:34:59,240 --> 00:35:01,720 round here. Andrews are likely at this 701 00:35:01,720 --> 00:35:03,960 point. I mean, maybe you, maybe you 702 00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:06,520 flex one of them, but if you had to think, you seen those you 703 00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:09,480 like. I think I like likely more right 704 00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,600 now just because he's kind of seen a little bit of the hockey 705 00:35:12,600 --> 00:35:16,280 stick game going up and I think that he has the explosive upside 706 00:35:16,280 --> 00:35:19,080 there. All right, let's switch over to 707 00:35:19,080 --> 00:35:23,440 the Bengals side where Joe Burrow gets a gold grade in this 708 00:35:23,440 --> 00:35:26,440 one. Since coming back 261 and two 709 00:35:26,440 --> 00:35:31,800 against the Ravens 284 and four against a much better Bills pass 710 00:35:31,800 --> 00:35:35,560 defense last week, the Ravens are bottom 10 in completions and 711 00:35:35,560 --> 00:35:37,960 yards allowed. This one has shootout potential 712 00:35:37,960 --> 00:35:41,000 written all over it. So like Joe Burrow and Jamar 713 00:35:41,000 --> 00:35:45,840 Chase, he gets a gold grade too. T Higgins is the guy that we 714 00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:49,080 have questions on and he had an outstanding week last week, but 715 00:35:49,080 --> 00:35:51,000 he went back into the concussion protocol. 716 00:35:51,080 --> 00:35:52,960 He was seen practicing on Thursday. 717 00:35:52,960 --> 00:35:55,640 That's good. If he's active, I think he's a 718 00:35:55,640 --> 00:35:59,120 silver grade at minimum, probably like an electrum grade. 719 00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:02,240 I think that's what CP said was between gold and silver. 720 00:36:04,000 --> 00:36:07,440 He scored a touchdown in five of his last six games and in that 721 00:36:07,440 --> 00:36:09,760 span he had two two touchdown games. 722 00:36:10,240 --> 00:36:12,960 The Ravens are allowing the eighth most receiving yards, the 723 00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:15,200 7th most receptions to wide receivers. 724 00:36:15,960 --> 00:36:18,720 This sets up really nicely for both Chase and Higgins to eat. 725 00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,560 Chase Brown is the only other Bengal you'd consider playing. 726 00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:26,880 He had 18 PPR points in back-to-back weeks, which 727 00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:28,400 includes a game against these Ravens. 728 00:36:28,400 --> 00:36:30,120 But he did it in really different ways. 729 00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:34,000 And where I get nervous is touch totals have dipped in games 730 00:36:34,000 --> 00:36:36,880 where Semaj P Ryan has been active, which does include the 731 00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:39,920 last two weeks. And it was a really nice match 732 00:36:39,920 --> 00:36:43,200 up against a bad Buffalo run defense last week. 733 00:36:43,200 --> 00:36:46,400 He only managed 23 yards on 12 carries. 734 00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,680 Now, he did score one on the ground and one through the air 735 00:36:49,680 --> 00:36:53,480 last week and that buoyed him, but I'm a little scared that the 736 00:36:53,480 --> 00:36:56,040 running production just might not be there. 737 00:36:56,800 --> 00:36:59,920 I'll give him a silver. It's closer to a Shibuichi 738 00:36:59,920 --> 00:37:03,760 between silver and bronze for Chase Brown, but I think you can 739 00:37:03,760 --> 00:37:07,080 still start him here. I wanted to remind everybody 740 00:37:07,080 --> 00:37:09,720 that today's show is brought to you by Game Blazers. 741 00:37:09,720 --> 00:37:15,040 Try Game Blazers this week to win your share of $36,000 and 742 00:37:15,040 --> 00:37:18,360 prizes in free to play contests. Sign up with the referral code 743 00:37:18,360 --> 00:37:21,480 FFAD. You get a free starter pack and 744 00:37:21,480 --> 00:37:24,800 a free rare pack and it doesn't cost you anything to get started 745 00:37:24,800 --> 00:37:27,040 on Game Blazers. You can play for free right now. 746 00:37:27,240 --> 00:37:29,160 There's money up there. Go play, go win. 747 00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:34,080 All right, Trevor, Chargers head to Kansas City and it's kind of 748 00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:37,120 a playoff atmosphere there. The Chiefs need a win to stay 749 00:37:37,120 --> 00:37:39,000 alive. The Chargers are kind of 750 00:37:39,000 --> 00:37:40,600 clinging to that number seven seed. 751 00:37:40,880 --> 00:37:44,080 Can the one armed bandit, Justin Herbert, get it done again? 752 00:37:45,640 --> 00:37:47,960 I don't know, but I don't think it's going to be. 753 00:37:48,400 --> 00:37:50,160 If they do get the win, it won't be because of Herbert. 754 00:37:50,320 --> 00:37:52,800 I've got him on the bench. He hasn't thrown for 200 yards 755 00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:54,400 in a month. His offensive line is down to 756 00:37:54,440 --> 00:37:56,240 left tackle 2 and right tackle 3. 757 00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:59,200 He still has a broken left hand. He's taken 2 sacks in the last 758 00:37:59,200 --> 00:38:01,200 two games. I just we're not interested 759 00:38:01,200 --> 00:38:02,760 here. The running backs, we do have 760 00:38:02,760 --> 00:38:04,760 some interest in Commodity Vidal. 761 00:38:05,000 --> 00:38:06,600 I know Marion Hampton, both get bronzes. 762 00:38:07,400 --> 00:38:09,120 Hampton returned from injury last week. 763 00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:11,640 Both backs saw 15 touches, though. 764 00:38:11,640 --> 00:38:14,880 Vidal saw 69% of the snaps while Hampton was at just 31. 765 00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:18,080 I assume that's kind of just the Chargers easing Hampton in to 766 00:38:18,080 --> 00:38:20,160 the role a little bit. So I think the snapshare gets 767 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:23,520 much closer to 5050 this week. Kansas City does allow just 76 768 00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:26,520 yards per game on the ground to enemy backs, but the Chargers 769 00:38:26,520 --> 00:38:28,280 don't really have a choice. They need to attack with either 770 00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:31,000 runs, short passes, screens. I don't know if you guys watched 771 00:38:31,000 --> 00:38:33,800 that Eagles Chargers game, but like I've I I was hurting for 772 00:38:33,800 --> 00:38:37,000 Justin Herbert just seeing him on the TV like scraping his body 773 00:38:37,000 --> 00:38:39,600 off the turf every play. So. 774 00:38:40,040 --> 00:38:43,080 Oscar Zinc version on ESPN 2 and it didn't look as bad. 775 00:38:43,760 --> 00:38:46,240 I see, I, I saw Sully had four interceptions or something. 776 00:38:46,240 --> 00:38:49,480 So that was shout out Sully. Maybe, maybe he'll be a roll the 777 00:38:49,480 --> 00:38:52,400 dice guy next week. I don't like the I didn't like 778 00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:53,640 Herbert's. I don't like his receiving 779 00:38:53,640 --> 00:38:55,760 options. Quinton Johnson has just five 780 00:38:55,760 --> 00:38:58,720 catches in his last three games. Keenan Allen has a crack 10 PPR 781 00:38:58,720 --> 00:39:00,680 points since week 7. Put both of those guys on the 782 00:39:00,680 --> 00:39:04,720 bench this week. I will give a kind of AI guess 783 00:39:04,720 --> 00:39:08,160 Bronze to Lad Mcconkey. 2 career games against Kansas City. 784 00:39:08,160 --> 00:39:10,600 He's got 567 and one and six for 74. 785 00:39:10,600 --> 00:39:12,760 So a couple decent outings. If there is any receiving 786 00:39:12,760 --> 00:39:15,040 production to be had, it'll probably be through Lad. 787 00:39:15,560 --> 00:39:18,280 Ronda Gadson are putting on the bench as well, just not enough 788 00:39:18,280 --> 00:39:21,920 volume. 7 catches in his last four games going on the chief 789 00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:23,600 side. Like you said, Matt, they have 790 00:39:23,600 --> 00:39:25,080 to have it. I think they're basically out of 791 00:39:25,080 --> 00:39:27,880 the playoffs if they lose. So it is a challenging match up 792 00:39:27,880 --> 00:39:29,360 from a Holmes when I'm throwing a bronze at him. 793 00:39:29,960 --> 00:39:31,920 LA has given up the fewest passing touchdowns, the third 794 00:39:31,920 --> 00:39:34,960 fewest passing yards, only giving up over 200 passing yards 795 00:39:34,960 --> 00:39:38,600 once in the past six weeks. Although we got Wentz War, Geno 796 00:39:38,640 --> 00:39:40,880 Rogers, not exactly the who's who there. 797 00:39:41,480 --> 00:39:44,720 Holmes did put a hurt on this Chargers team in week 12581 798 00:39:44,720 --> 00:39:46,880 through the air and then 57 and one on the ground. 799 00:39:47,560 --> 00:39:50,120 LA is not great against quarterback rushing, so that 800 00:39:50,120 --> 00:39:52,160 could be kind of a little edge for Mahomes there. 801 00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:55,520 The running backs will get cream, hunt up Bronze Pacheco's 802 00:39:55,520 --> 00:39:58,040 off the bench. Hans Lebron's almost purely on 803 00:39:58,040 --> 00:40:00,480 touchdown consistency. He's got 6 touchdowns in his 804 00:40:00,480 --> 00:40:03,120 last six games. However, just 64 total yards in 805 00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:06,040 each of those games on average. Not exciting, but passable. 806 00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:07,840 Pacheco has seen 5 and 9 touches. 807 00:40:07,840 --> 00:40:09,880 It's coming back from injury. Doesn't have the goal line roll. 808 00:40:10,200 --> 00:40:12,880 We're not interested there. Rashe Rice will put a silver on. 809 00:40:13,160 --> 00:40:15,880 He's averaged 9 targets per game since returning from suspension. 810 00:40:16,120 --> 00:40:17,720 Dominates the Chiefs red zone offense. 811 00:40:17,720 --> 00:40:20,520 He has 46% of the Chiefs red zone targets. 812 00:40:21,160 --> 00:40:23,120 That's nuts. The next closest player is Drake 813 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,960 London at 40%. Chargers again are an excellent 814 00:40:25,960 --> 00:40:29,000 pass D, but Rashe Rice is sort of the goal line back for this 815 00:40:29,000 --> 00:40:31,080 team right now. Rest of the receivers on the 816 00:40:31,080 --> 00:40:32,920 bench. Hollywood's got 4 catches over 817 00:40:32,920 --> 00:40:34,760 three weeks. Xavier Worthy hasn't scored a 818 00:40:34,760 --> 00:40:36,800 touchdown or surpassed 65 yards since Week 6. 819 00:40:37,200 --> 00:40:42,040 Top five passing defense Kelsey throw a bronze at last week. 820 00:40:42,040 --> 00:40:44,520 He had a dud one for eight against Houston, but a lot of 821 00:40:44,680 --> 00:40:46,440 Houston does that to a lot of opponents. 822 00:40:46,520 --> 00:40:48,920 Before that though, Kelsey had four plus catches at five 823 00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:51,480 straight games with three touchdowns during that five game 824 00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:53,560 stretch. On the season, the Chargers are 825 00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:56,480 a top 10 toughest tight end matchup, although the past two 826 00:40:56,480 --> 00:40:59,600 weeks they did get cooked by Brock Bowers for 63 and two. 827 00:40:59,600 --> 00:41:02,440 And yeah, Dallas Goddard, as Maggio said for 878. 828 00:41:05,080 --> 00:41:08,160 All right, Commanders and Giants Maj. 829 00:41:08,160 --> 00:41:12,000 Things did not go well for the Commander's offense last week in 830 00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:15,160 Minnesota. They were shut out in that game. 831 00:41:15,160 --> 00:41:18,320 Jaden Daniels is back to the sidelines, though, and he nurses 832 00:41:18,320 --> 00:41:21,600 that elbow back to health. I know you said you liked Marcus 833 00:41:21,600 --> 00:41:25,320 Mariota. Mariota, can you get it? 834 00:41:25,360 --> 00:41:27,240 Mariota. Leviosa. 835 00:41:28,040 --> 00:41:31,480 Yeah, it's not Leviosa. Yeah, I do. 836 00:41:32,000 --> 00:41:34,160 I I do. Get it done against the Giants, 837 00:41:34,160 --> 00:41:36,880 Maj. Yeah, I, I think more than 0 is 838 00:41:36,880 --> 00:41:39,480 likely in this one for that offense this week. 839 00:41:40,600 --> 00:41:44,960 One note just on the Mariota, the IT was a bronze grade I had 840 00:41:44,960 --> 00:41:45,960 on him. I don't know that I mentioned 841 00:41:45,960 --> 00:41:47,760 that in Roll the Dice, wanted to know. 842 00:41:47,760 --> 00:41:50,360 He has in six starts this season, he's actually averaged 843 00:41:50,360 --> 00:41:54,720 more than 35 rushing yards per game and has 3QB1 finishes. 844 00:41:54,760 --> 00:41:57,240 So three, you know, top 12 finishes at the position. 845 00:41:57,240 --> 00:42:00,400 So very viable there. Also a bronze for Chris 846 00:42:00,400 --> 00:42:02,480 Rodriguez. I haven't seen practice reports 847 00:42:02,480 --> 00:42:04,560 today. He was DMP on Wednesday, limited 848 00:42:04,560 --> 00:42:06,680 with shoulder injury on Thursday, but he's been playing 849 00:42:06,680 --> 00:42:08,400 through it. I expect he'll be the starter. 850 00:42:08,400 --> 00:42:11,440 Still held on to that lead role for the third straight game now 851 00:42:11,440 --> 00:42:14,760 against Minnesota. Minnesota and managed 52 yards, 852 00:42:15,160 --> 00:42:18,880 10 carries, which is not awful considering the final score of 853 00:42:18,880 --> 00:42:21,120 that game. New York's defense is far more 854 00:42:21,120 --> 00:42:23,000 generous against running backs than the Vikings. 855 00:42:23,400 --> 00:42:26,760 Second most rushing and combo yards allowed to the position in 856 00:42:26,760 --> 00:42:30,160 the NFL this season, and 16 combo scores since Week 10. 857 00:42:30,160 --> 00:42:32,400 They've actually allowed the most rushing yards per game in 858 00:42:32,400 --> 00:42:35,040 the league. That said, I'm still benching 859 00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:37,640 Bill Merritt. Krasky Merritt and Jeremy 860 00:42:37,640 --> 00:42:42,160 Mcnichols Plan enough to eat into the the grade of Chris 861 00:42:42,160 --> 00:42:44,880 Rodriguez, but not enough to get a a medal of their own. 862 00:42:44,920 --> 00:42:47,080 Participation trophies for that nice shot, fellas. 863 00:42:47,440 --> 00:42:50,560 Terry Mclaurin gets a silver. You know he's got a nice 864 00:42:50,560 --> 00:42:52,560 individual match up this week going against Paulson. 865 00:42:52,560 --> 00:42:56,840 Edebo here, you know, and the the giants overall, they've 866 00:42:56,840 --> 00:42:59,600 allowed the 4th most wide receiver yards in the league 867 00:42:59,680 --> 00:43:02,880 this season with the seventh highest deep ball completion 868 00:43:02,880 --> 00:43:05,520 rate, excuse me, and the third most deep passing yards per 869 00:43:05,520 --> 00:43:06,720 game. So it's a really good bounce 870 00:43:06,720 --> 00:43:09,880 back spot after Debo really dominated the targets in last 871 00:43:09,880 --> 00:43:12,240 week's blowout loss. I'll give LeBron to Debo as 872 00:43:12,240 --> 00:43:13,440 well. He's going to see Andrew 873 00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:17,280 Phillips in the slot where he racked up 7 for 77 and it 874 00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:20,360 actually got a touchdown carry back in week 1 when these teams 875 00:43:20,360 --> 00:43:23,080 met. That was AJ Daniels game, not a 876 00:43:23,120 --> 00:43:25,440 Mariota game just for so it's there. 877 00:43:26,920 --> 00:43:28,800 The let's see, the Giants since week 10, they've actually 878 00:43:28,800 --> 00:43:32,240 allowed the most PPR points per target and 9th most receiving 879 00:43:32,240 --> 00:43:33,680 yards per game to slot receivers. 880 00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:38,040 Everybody else on the bench, Zach Ertz maybe career ending 881 00:43:38,160 --> 00:43:40,680 ACL tear. Unfortunate way to go out for 882 00:43:40,680 --> 00:43:44,400 dude who's done a very nice job for many years. 883 00:43:44,600 --> 00:43:47,480 So tip of the cats is Zach. Zach, tip of the cap. 884 00:43:47,480 --> 00:43:51,520 There we go to Zach Ertz yeah. So here's here's free cats for 885 00:43:51,520 --> 00:43:55,520 Zach. But yeah, you're you're benching 886 00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:58,640 Benson and John Bates there on the Giants side. 887 00:43:58,640 --> 00:44:01,680 I've actually got a gold grade on Jackson Dart in this one. 888 00:44:01,680 --> 00:44:03,640 Washington's allowed the 4th most passing press. 889 00:44:04,520 --> 00:44:07,960 Yeah, I've been pretty stingy with those goals, but the 890 00:44:07,960 --> 00:44:10,560 Commanders, they've allowed the 4th most passing touchdowns in 891 00:44:10,560 --> 00:44:15,200 the league. And you know, JJ McCarthy got 892 00:44:15,200 --> 00:44:17,360 three last week. That's the sixth time this year 893 00:44:17,360 --> 00:44:20,560 they've given up three or more. Dart's actually the QB 4IN 894 00:44:20,560 --> 00:44:23,240 fantasy points per game since Week 4 when he took over as 895 00:44:23,240 --> 00:44:25,920 starter. Dart was not the starter when 896 00:44:25,920 --> 00:44:31,240 these teams met back in Week 1. You know he he hasn't done as 897 00:44:31,240 --> 00:44:33,840 much on the ground, but he's still in in these last few 898 00:44:33,840 --> 00:44:35,800 weeks. They're trying to rein him in a 899 00:44:35,800 --> 00:44:38,040 little bit. He only rushed 4 times last 900 00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:39,600 week, which is his fewest as a starter. 901 00:44:39,600 --> 00:44:42,080 But you know when is there by the end zone. 902 00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:45,520 If he's scrambling around the the the seven rushing T DS he 903 00:44:45,520 --> 00:44:49,040 has now could very easily turn to 8 against this Washington 904 00:44:49,040 --> 00:44:51,120 team. I mentioned Devin Singletary, 905 00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:56,320 I've got a silver on him and I've also got a silver on Tyrone 906 00:44:56,320 --> 00:44:58,560 Tracy. Now back in that week one game, 907 00:44:58,560 --> 00:45:00,480 it was actually Tracy with 50 snaps. 908 00:45:00,480 --> 00:45:04,760 Singletary, which is 10, didn't really do much actually 35 combo 909 00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:09,880 yards and 15 opportunities in that one with Tracy before the 910 00:45:09,880 --> 00:45:11,320 buy. So he played in Week 13. 911 00:45:11,560 --> 00:45:14,400 His 11 opportunities that week was the fewest since Week 9. 912 00:45:14,640 --> 00:45:16,840 He's only found the end zone once all season though, so he's 913 00:45:16,840 --> 00:45:20,160 gotten a lot of work, just hasn't been scoring touchdowns. 914 00:45:20,160 --> 00:45:22,400 Like I said, singletary's the goal line guy, which is why I 915 00:45:22,400 --> 00:45:25,880 kind of have him maybe slightly ahead, but still his last four 916 00:45:25,880 --> 00:45:30,080 games, 162324 and 11 opportunities with more than 100 917 00:45:30,080 --> 00:45:33,880 combo yards in Week 11 and 12, so very much usable there. 918 00:45:33,880 --> 00:45:36,440 I've also got a silver on Wan. Dale Robinson. 919 00:45:36,480 --> 00:45:39,160 He had 6 for 55 against the Commanders in Week 1, and that 920 00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:41,720 was with Malik. Neighbors remember him getting 921 00:45:41,720 --> 00:45:45,320 12 targets in that game. Fantasy Pros notes that since 922 00:45:45,320 --> 00:45:48,440 Week 11, Washington has led the league playing two set 2 high 923 00:45:48,440 --> 00:45:52,200 safety rate of 70%. And against that look, Robinson 924 00:45:52,200 --> 00:45:56,600 has a 25.6 target share this season, so the PPR goodness 925 00:45:56,640 --> 00:45:58,840 should continue there. Commanders have allowed the 6th 926 00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:02,880 most PPR points per target and 12th most receiving yards per 927 00:46:02,880 --> 00:46:06,440 game to slot receivers. I'm going to give a bronze to 928 00:46:06,440 --> 00:46:10,360 Darius Slayton as well. Last week was actually the first 929 00:46:10,360 --> 00:46:12,680 time Slayton found the end zone this season. 930 00:46:13,040 --> 00:46:15,320 Only has nine combined targets the last three weeks. 931 00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:19,360 Only one game over 62 yards all season, but has a decent 932 00:46:19,360 --> 00:46:22,680 advantage over corner Mike Sanderson though in this week 933 00:46:22,680 --> 00:46:25,360 who's allowed the second most receptions among corners this 934 00:46:25,360 --> 00:46:28,240 season at 51 total. And Washington defense has 935 00:46:28,240 --> 00:46:30,800 allowed the third highest deep ball completion rate this season 936 00:46:30,920 --> 00:46:33,520 since week 10, allowing the seventh highest yards per pass 937 00:46:33,520 --> 00:46:35,720 attempt. And finally, I'm going to give a 938 00:46:35,720 --> 00:46:39,040 bronze to Theo Johnson. Season high 8 targets last week. 939 00:46:39,080 --> 00:46:42,000 Unfortunately, only 29 yards to show for it, which was his worst 940 00:46:42,400 --> 00:46:45,280 fantasy outing since Week 8. So has five touchdowns this 941 00:46:45,280 --> 00:46:47,440 year, 75 plus and two of his last four. 942 00:46:47,720 --> 00:46:50,440 And Washington's allowed nine touchdowns to tight ends this 943 00:46:50,440 --> 00:46:51,880 season. That's the second most in the 944 00:46:51,880 --> 00:46:53,040 league. They can't quite compete with 945 00:46:53,040 --> 00:46:56,800 Cincinnati. But yeah, 9 times commanders 946 00:46:56,800 --> 00:46:59,000 have allowed the second highest yards for target, the fifth 947 00:46:59,000 --> 00:47:00,880 most. And I mean, when we say when I 948 00:47:00,880 --> 00:47:03,960 say second highest anything in tight end defense, I mean it's 949 00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:06,200 first for most. Like, you know in the non 950 00:47:06,200 --> 00:47:09,680 Cincinnati division right? Fifth most fantasy points per 951 00:47:09,680 --> 00:47:12,320 game and 9th most receiving yards to tight ends. 952 00:47:14,560 --> 00:47:18,920 All right, last match up of this segment is the Carolina Panthers 953 00:47:18,920 --> 00:47:21,720 and the New Orleans Saints and there's not a ton of blue chip 954 00:47:21,720 --> 00:47:23,640 talent in the Panthers Saints match up. 955 00:47:23,640 --> 00:47:25,960 There's a few guys that you can start in your fantasy play offs. 956 00:47:26,680 --> 00:47:30,000 We'll start with Rico Dowdell, who are I'll throw a bronze 957 00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:32,600 grade on. He hasn't topped 60 rushing 958 00:47:32,600 --> 00:47:35,720 yards in over a month and hasn't scored in three straight weeks. 959 00:47:36,160 --> 00:47:38,680 He's been staying alive in fantasy leagues by catching a 960 00:47:38,680 --> 00:47:42,120 lot of passes, and the Saints run defense is very strange. 961 00:47:42,640 --> 00:47:45,920 They've allowed the third most rushing yards to running backs, 962 00:47:46,360 --> 00:47:50,280 but the second fewest receptions and 3rd fewest receiving yards. 963 00:47:50,760 --> 00:47:54,480 So don't count on Dowdell helping you out that much in the 964 00:47:54,480 --> 00:47:56,320 passing game. And he's not rushing all that 965 00:47:56,320 --> 00:47:58,440 well. He played the Saints team in 966 00:47:58,440 --> 00:48:00,160 Week 10. I'm going to reference that 967 00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:03,320 several times in this matchup. He turned 21 touches in that 968 00:48:03,320 --> 00:48:07,080 game into only 63 combo yards. But he did score. 969 00:48:07,600 --> 00:48:11,720 So just a bronze grade for Dowdell Bryce Young. 970 00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:17,160 His last five games have included a 448 yard, 3 touchdown 971 00:48:17,160 --> 00:48:21,440 game against Atlanta, a 206 yard, 3 touchdown game against 972 00:48:21,440 --> 00:48:24,520 the Rams that was before their bye week last week, and then 973 00:48:24,520 --> 00:48:32,720 three absolute stinkers. 102 and 0 against Green Bay, 169 and one 974 00:48:32,720 --> 00:48:37,720 against San Francisco, and 124 and 0 against these Saints. 975 00:48:38,120 --> 00:48:41,840 The Saints are allowing the 6th fewest pass yards at only 196 976 00:48:41,840 --> 00:48:44,360 per game. It is a bench grade for Bryce 977 00:48:44,360 --> 00:48:47,000 Young. Can Ted McMillan get it done 978 00:48:47,000 --> 00:48:49,960 though? I will throw a bronze grade on 979 00:48:49,960 --> 00:48:53,360 him. 5 catches for 60 yards in the first match up with the 980 00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:55,440 Saints. That was enough to get to 11 PPR 981 00:48:55,440 --> 00:48:58,720 points, but he scored four times in his last three. 982 00:48:59,280 --> 00:49:02,000 And if the Panthers have a passing score in this game, it's 983 00:49:02,040 --> 00:49:05,240 probably going to be McMillan. The Saints are top ten in 984 00:49:05,240 --> 00:49:08,760 receptions and yards allowed, but they've allowed the 12th 985 00:49:08,760 --> 00:49:10,880 most touchdowns to wide receiver. 986 00:49:10,880 --> 00:49:12,800 So you're saying there's a chance? 987 00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:18,560 Devin Neal was my roll the dice runner and I'd like to feel 988 00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:22,720 super confident about either Chris Olave or Devon Valet, but 989 00:49:23,360 --> 00:49:26,400 in a cake match up last week, neither really delivered in that 990 00:49:26,520 --> 00:49:29,200 in that game. Olave gets the bronze grade here 991 00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:31,000 though, and I'll leave Valey on the bench. 992 00:49:31,000 --> 00:49:34,600 In the earlier match up it was Olave going for five catches, 993 00:49:34,600 --> 00:49:38,440 104 yards in a score. He's managed double digit PPR 994 00:49:38,440 --> 00:49:42,960 points in 11 of 13 games this season and Vele is definitely 995 00:49:42,960 --> 00:49:45,760 seeing a bigger workload, but the results are just a roller 996 00:49:45,760 --> 00:49:49,600 coaster and the Panthers only give up 9 receptions. 997 00:49:50,760 --> 00:49:52,120 Yeah. Nine times. 998 00:49:52,560 --> 00:49:56,240 To the wide receiver position as a group, 9 receptions per game. 999 00:49:56,840 --> 00:50:02,080 So that's 5 for Olave and three for Vele and one for some other 1000 00:50:02,080 --> 00:50:03,760 random dude who I don't know the name of. 1001 00:50:03,760 --> 00:50:06,720 Yeah, that's probably it, but sure. 1002 00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:14,480 Mason Lipton, yeah, makes good T Juan Johnson, he's a bronze 1003 00:50:14,480 --> 00:50:16,440 grade as well. When they throw it to him, he 1004 00:50:16,440 --> 00:50:18,920 catches it all. Caught all four of his targets 1005 00:50:18,920 --> 00:50:22,120 last week, caught all four of his targets in the Week 10 1006 00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:24,680 meeting. And he had 92 yards in a score 1007 00:50:25,080 --> 00:50:28,160 against the Panthers last time. The Panthers allowed the 6th 1008 00:50:28,160 --> 00:50:30,280 most receiving yards in the league to the tight end 1009 00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:32,760 position. So you can fire up Juan with a 1010 00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:34,720 bronze grade. He's he's better than some of 1011 00:50:34,720 --> 00:50:37,200 the other bronze tight ends that I've mentioned earlier in the 1012 00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:40,240 show. Tyler Shuck has to get a bronze 1013 00:50:40,240 --> 00:50:41,920 too, because that's what his receivers got. 1014 00:50:42,240 --> 00:50:45,680 He got it done on the ground last week with 55 rushing yards 1015 00:50:45,680 --> 00:50:48,880 and two rushing scores. Passing game didn't go crazy 1016 00:50:48,880 --> 00:50:51,840 well in Tampa though, only 144 yards and a pick. 1017 00:50:52,640 --> 00:50:55,760 He did go for 282 and two in the Week 10 game though. 1018 00:50:56,040 --> 00:51:00,600 But notably, that was the most yards the Panthers have given up 1019 00:51:00,600 --> 00:51:04,840 through the air all year. 282 yards is the high watermark, and 1020 00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:08,280 it was Tyler Shuck. So just a bronze grade here. 1021 00:51:08,520 --> 00:51:13,440 Or Shuck. All right, we're going to go and 1022 00:51:13,440 --> 00:51:15,920 hear a word from our friends at Fanball. 1023 00:51:16,360 --> 00:51:20,360 Fanball is DFS for those of us who can't devote full time job 1024 00:51:20,360 --> 00:51:24,360 hours to scouring news feeds, memorizing depth charts, or 1025 00:51:24,360 --> 00:51:27,040 tracking our status on the Roto Grinders Top 50. 1026 00:51:27,760 --> 00:51:31,160 You get it, you've got a life. But also enjoy a good sweat when 1027 00:51:31,160 --> 00:51:33,680 you're not coaching Little League or taking in your 5th 1028 00:51:33,680 --> 00:51:36,800 soccer game over the weekend. And at Fan Ball, you can still 1029 00:51:36,800 --> 00:51:40,120 2050 or even 100 X your entry fee. 1030 00:51:40,760 --> 00:51:43,920 Every week of the NFL season has three feature tournaments. 1031 00:51:44,280 --> 00:51:47,560 You can take down the $1000 top prize in the Peacock with just a 1032 00:51:47,560 --> 00:51:51,640 $20 entry. 5 bucks gets you in the high 5 where first place 1033 00:51:51,640 --> 00:51:54,360 wins $400.00. Or throw a buck in the Buck 1034 00:51:54,360 --> 00:51:56,520 Hunter for a shot at the $100 top prize. 1035 00:51:57,120 --> 00:51:59,160 And if you decide you want a little more skin in the game, 1036 00:51:59,400 --> 00:52:03,360 you can find up to $100 NFL double ups and $50 winner take 1037 00:52:03,360 --> 00:52:06,080 alls. So register today at Fan Ball to 1038 00:52:06,080 --> 00:52:09,680 scratch that DFS itch without worrying about whales and use 1039 00:52:09,680 --> 00:52:13,160 promo code ALMOST for an up to $20.00 deposit match. 1040 00:52:18,560 --> 00:52:20,240 All right. Welcome back to the show. 1041 00:52:21,160 --> 00:52:26,160 Now it's time for a segment that we like to call 2 Tough Nuts. 1042 00:52:26,920 --> 00:52:36,240 It's time for two tough nuts to crack. 1043 00:52:38,560 --> 00:52:40,800 Yeah. So those of you at home who want 1044 00:52:40,800 --> 00:52:43,560 to play along with two tough nuts, remember, make sure you do 1045 00:52:43,560 --> 00:52:45,800 it safely. All right, These are two 1046 00:52:45,800 --> 00:52:50,000 questions that I think my panel of experts here will have 1047 00:52:50,000 --> 00:52:53,360 trouble figuring out. We'll start with tough nut 1048 00:52:53,360 --> 00:52:57,400 number one Josh Allen, Leeds quarterbacks and rushing yards. 1049 00:52:57,400 --> 00:53:01,160 This year he's on pace for 636 yards. 1050 00:53:01,560 --> 00:53:05,800 That will be the first time since 2018 that a quarterback 1051 00:53:05,800 --> 00:53:08,760 didn't rush for at least 700 yards in a season. 1052 00:53:09,320 --> 00:53:12,800 In the last six years, in fact, there have been 15 quarterback 1053 00:53:12,800 --> 00:53:15,280 seasons of over 700 rushing yards. 1054 00:53:15,840 --> 00:53:19,440 So I guess the question is, is the day of the true rushing 1055 00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:20,920 quarterback? Over. 1056 00:53:21,360 --> 00:53:25,360 We'll start with Maj. I'm First off disconcerted by 1057 00:53:25,400 --> 00:53:27,360 you moving from left of screen to center of screen. 1058 00:53:27,520 --> 00:53:28,920 I got that too. It's the commercial. 1059 00:53:29,240 --> 00:53:33,480 Here's what I did. I I, I did some fancy stuff, you 1060 00:53:33,480 --> 00:53:39,160 know, when my screen was frozen? Yeah, I exited and rebooted at 1061 00:53:39,160 --> 00:53:41,560 the same time during the commercial, so now I'm in the 1062 00:53:41,560 --> 00:53:43,440 middle. I don't, I yeah, man, I don't 1063 00:53:43,480 --> 00:53:46,080 think people appreciate how technically savvy you are, Matt. 1064 00:53:46,120 --> 00:53:48,560 So for the cap, for getting that done anyway. 1065 00:53:49,720 --> 00:53:52,880 Gosh, I, I dove into quite the rabbit hole with this question 1066 00:53:52,880 --> 00:53:54,560 yesterday. I did way too much work on this 1067 00:53:54,560 --> 00:53:56,520 one, but so hopefully I get it right. 1068 00:53:56,520 --> 00:53:58,760 We'll see. If you're defining the day of 1069 00:53:58,760 --> 00:54:02,840 the true rushing quarterback as 700 plus rushing yards, then I 1070 00:54:02,840 --> 00:54:05,840 would say the answer to your question is yes. 1071 00:54:06,120 --> 00:54:10,160 But that day really wasn't very long considering from that 1072 00:54:10,160 --> 00:54:14,120 stretch you mentioned right before that from 2011 to 2018, 1073 00:54:14,240 --> 00:54:17,480 there were only five of those 700 plus rushing seasons from 1074 00:54:17,480 --> 00:54:20,920 quarterbacks combined. So what we have been seeing 1075 00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:24,640 though is just more and more athletic quarterbacks entering 1076 00:54:24,640 --> 00:54:27,840 the league where rushing is a part of, but not all of their 1077 00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:30,320 game. We're on pace right now for 13 1078 00:54:30,320 --> 00:54:33,720 quarterbacks to top 300 rushing yards this season, which would 1079 00:54:33,720 --> 00:54:37,200 match last year's number. From 2020 to 2023 that number 1080 00:54:37,200 --> 00:54:40,360 was between 9:00 and 10:00 each season. 2011 to 2019 that 1081 00:54:40,360 --> 00:54:42,880 average is under 6.5. And that pattern holds. 1082 00:54:43,120 --> 00:54:46,040 If you look at 400 plus yard seasons as well, we're on pace 1083 00:54:46,040 --> 00:54:49,000 for eight of those this season. We've averaged 7 per year the 1084 00:54:49,000 --> 00:54:52,560 last five years and only averaged 4 of the nine years 1085 00:54:52,560 --> 00:54:54,800 prior. So what's happening is I think 1086 00:54:54,800 --> 00:54:57,280 teams are becoming more and more wary of their high-priced 1087 00:54:57,280 --> 00:54:59,520 quarterbacks getting hurt as a result of rushing. 1088 00:54:59,760 --> 00:55:02,520 See Jackson Dart and Jane Daniels for instance this 1089 00:55:02,520 --> 00:55:04,400 season. So they're just gonna be more 1090 00:55:04,400 --> 00:55:08,320 hesitant to call as many design runs for them, but they're able 1091 00:55:08,320 --> 00:55:11,240 to get away with not calling as many because these athletic 1092 00:55:11,240 --> 00:55:14,600 quarterbacks are still pass first guys. 1093 00:55:14,960 --> 00:55:19,120 So the TLDR version of the answer to your question I 1094 00:55:19,120 --> 00:55:25,600 believe is yes, but. A yes, but answer. 1095 00:55:25,600 --> 00:55:28,120 All right, Trevor, tell me about your butt. 1096 00:55:28,800 --> 00:55:31,480 Yeah, I have a similar answer. That's not the first time you've 1097 00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:34,920 asked me that, of course, but I had a similar answer as Maggio 1098 00:55:34,920 --> 00:55:36,680 did. 2010 quarterback rushing numbers. 1099 00:55:36,680 --> 00:55:38,840 We had three guys clear 360 yards rushing. 1100 00:55:39,200 --> 00:55:41,560 The names are funny by the way, it's Eagles, Victoria Rogers and 1101 00:55:41,560 --> 00:55:45,400 then Josh Freeman. 2018 we get 8 quarterbacks to clear that 350 1102 00:55:45,400 --> 00:55:49,000 mark. 20/24/10 guys pass the 350 mark. 1103 00:55:49,360 --> 00:55:51,880 I'd also add the slowest 40 time for a first round quarterback 1104 00:55:51,880 --> 00:55:54,680 since 20/19 was Mac Jones at 488. 1105 00:55:54,720 --> 00:55:57,720 The next highest was 481. We aren't getting Jared Goff or 1106 00:55:57,720 --> 00:55:59,520 Sam Bradford style #1 picks anymore. 1107 00:55:59,920 --> 00:56:01,880 Cam Moore, obviously the most recent number one pick, He's 1108 00:56:01,880 --> 00:56:05,800 kind of a pocket passer by design, but he's A47240 guy. 1109 00:56:06,320 --> 00:56:09,760 When Rogers ran A471 in 2005, it was like this superhuman no one 1110 00:56:09,760 --> 00:56:11,560 had ever seen before when he took the field. 1111 00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:13,720 Now that's kind of the baseline for modern quarterbacks. 1112 00:56:13,720 --> 00:56:16,000 If you can't move, you're not going in the first round, IE 1113 00:56:16,000 --> 00:56:17,400 where the league finds its best quarterbacks. 1114 00:56:17,400 --> 00:56:19,880 So no, I think we're going to just kind of keep seeing the the 1115 00:56:19,880 --> 00:56:21,720 Russian quarterback trend continue. 1116 00:56:24,080 --> 00:56:28,960 All right, the answer is the day of the true Russian quarterback 1117 00:56:28,960 --> 00:56:31,640 over. For this generation of players, 1118 00:56:31,640 --> 00:56:36,240 the answer is yes. Josh Allen turns 30 in May Lamar 1119 00:56:36,240 --> 00:56:40,360 Jackson turns 29 next month. Justin Fields will never hold a 1120 00:56:40,360 --> 00:56:43,320 job again. Jalen Hurts is more tush push 1121 00:56:43,320 --> 00:56:46,040 than anything. Kyler Murray and Daniel Jones 1122 00:56:46,040 --> 00:56:49,240 both unlikely to start the 2026 season as starters. 1123 00:56:50,240 --> 00:56:53,200 Justin Herbert is second in the league in rushing yards right 1124 00:56:53,200 --> 00:56:55,720 now. I don't think that he's a 1125 00:56:55,720 --> 00:56:57,920 running quarterback. The new batch of quarterbacks, 1126 00:56:57,920 --> 00:57:00,880 it seems kind of like what Mosh said, they want to keep a little 1127 00:57:00,880 --> 00:57:03,680 bit more bubble wrap on them. Caleb Williams and Drake May, 1128 00:57:03,680 --> 00:57:07,720 they're both elusive, but they don't really run. 1129 00:57:07,720 --> 00:57:10,000 They extend pass plays for the most part. 1130 00:57:10,360 --> 00:57:13,600 Jaden Daniels and Jackson Dart, they're both runners, but 1131 00:57:13,600 --> 00:57:16,400 they've also both been injured this year because of it. 1132 00:57:16,760 --> 00:57:20,040 And they're getting some big hits and some bad hits in many 1133 00:57:20,040 --> 00:57:22,480 cases. So I think, yes, the day of the 1134 00:57:22,480 --> 00:57:24,280 true Russian quarterback is over. 1135 00:57:25,720 --> 00:57:29,360 Tough nut #2. Who will be the number one 1136 00:57:29,360 --> 00:57:31,840 overall pick in fantasy drafts next summer? 1137 00:57:31,840 --> 00:57:33,280 Trevor, you get to start this one. 1138 00:57:33,680 --> 00:57:36,040 I think I'm over 5 on tough nuts, so let's yeah. 1139 00:57:36,040 --> 00:57:38,000 That's right. Try to get up the snide here. 1140 00:57:38,880 --> 00:57:41,840 I won Premier Gibbs. David Montgomery will be 29 1141 00:57:41,840 --> 00:57:45,520 before the 2026 season starts. It's got an $8.4 million cap hit 1142 00:57:45,520 --> 00:57:47,560 in 2026. The Lions can save up to 1143 00:57:47,560 --> 00:57:50,240 6,000,000 if they cut him and they are currently just 1144 00:57:50,240 --> 00:57:53,880 14,000,000 under the cap, which is very little, so they will 1145 00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:55,760 need to make some moves to become cap compliant. 1146 00:57:56,480 --> 00:57:58,440 I'm sure the lines would add someone if Money was cut, but 1147 00:57:58,440 --> 00:58:01,320 it's unlikely he'd be as much of A threat to Gibbs playing time 1148 00:58:01,320 --> 00:58:03,640 as Montgomery is. Detroit's been widening the 1149 00:58:03,640 --> 00:58:06,840 workload gap this year, recently between Gibbs and Montgomery the 1150 00:58:06,840 --> 00:58:09,560 past four weeks. Money has seven, 810 and seven 1151 00:58:09,560 --> 00:58:13,160 touches, while Gibbs had 172623 and 19. 1152 00:58:14,000 --> 00:58:15,960 Detroit's also on track to finish behind the Bears and the 1153 00:58:15,960 --> 00:58:17,840 Packers, which would give them the third place schedule. 1154 00:58:18,080 --> 00:58:20,600 So hopefully one extra easier game next year. 1155 00:58:21,360 --> 00:58:22,600 It's kind of a process of elimination. 1156 00:58:22,600 --> 00:58:24,560 CM CS too old. He's going to be coming off a 1157 00:58:24,560 --> 00:58:26,680 bunch of touches. Bijan and J TS quarterback 1158 00:58:26,680 --> 00:58:30,120 situations aren't good. Yeah, Jamir Gibbs was kind of 1159 00:58:30,120 --> 00:58:34,160 the last man standing for me. All right, Maj., who's going to 1160 00:58:34,160 --> 00:58:37,160 be the number one overall pick in fantasy drafts next summer? 1161 00:58:38,160 --> 00:58:40,760 And pretty much Ditto everything that was just said there. 1162 00:58:40,760 --> 00:58:43,960 So if you're wrong again, Tyler, we're we're going to be wrong 1163 00:58:43,960 --> 00:58:46,640 together with with Gibbs. The only thing that I'll add are 1164 00:58:46,640 --> 00:58:50,600 he's 4th in PPR, the scoring third in in half PPR the guys 1165 00:58:50,600 --> 00:58:52,800 ahead of him, Christian McCaffrey, Jonathan Taylor. 1166 00:58:52,800 --> 00:58:55,040 And then in the half PPR you got Josh Allen as well. 1167 00:58:55,240 --> 00:58:57,720 Unless you're in the Super flex League, Josh Allen's not going 1168 00:58:57,720 --> 00:59:01,800 one overall CM CS age and injury history is enough to let you 1169 00:59:01,800 --> 00:59:04,200 know, like you noted. And then with with JT, yeah, we 1170 00:59:04,200 --> 00:59:06,400 just don't know on the quarterback situation. 1171 00:59:06,400 --> 00:59:10,320 So I think we saw like with the question marks this year, you 1172 00:59:10,320 --> 00:59:13,200 know, what was going to happen if Ben with Ben Johnson leaving, 1173 00:59:13,200 --> 00:59:14,280 right? How is that going to change the 1174 00:59:14,280 --> 00:59:16,320 offense? Well, if that offense has stayed 1175 00:59:16,320 --> 00:59:18,200 consistent just Despite that. So. 1176 00:59:18,360 --> 00:59:20,960 And he's just such an explosive player, you know, on his own. 1177 00:59:20,960 --> 00:59:24,040 So yeah, I'm right there with you, Jameer Gibbs #1 next year. 1178 00:59:25,120 --> 00:59:27,600 All right, those are both good answers. 1179 00:59:27,600 --> 00:59:31,320 Let's see if you got it right. The candidates I had, Jonathan 1180 00:59:31,320 --> 00:59:35,600 Taylor, Jameer Gibbs, Jackson Smith and Jigba Puka Nakua and 1181 00:59:35,600 --> 00:59:39,120 Jamar Chase, I think those are the top five candidates. 1182 00:59:39,680 --> 00:59:42,280 Taylor, he's averaging the most fantasy points per game. 1183 00:59:42,320 --> 00:59:45,080 It's going to be him, right? No, because his workload is 1184 00:59:45,080 --> 00:59:47,680 crazy. He's already at 282 touches with 1185 00:59:47,680 --> 00:59:50,240 four games to go. His quarterback situation 1186 00:59:50,240 --> 00:59:52,520 certainly influxed and he's already burned people in the 1187 00:59:52,520 --> 00:59:56,040 past as the top number one overall pick, so I don't think 1188 00:59:56,040 --> 00:59:59,240 he has a chance at it. Jamar Chase was last year's 1189 00:59:59,240 --> 01:00:01,960 number one overall pick, but he's only scored five touchdowns 1190 01:00:01,960 --> 01:00:05,200 this year and despite leading wide receivers and targets on 1191 01:00:05,200 --> 01:00:07,680 the season. Even without Joe Burrow, I 1192 01:00:07,680 --> 01:00:12,640 should add, people are going to throw him as the top player, as 1193 01:00:12,640 --> 01:00:14,480 current wide receiver number six. 1194 01:00:14,560 --> 01:00:17,640 I don't think so. It's not Chase Pukanakua has 1195 01:00:17,640 --> 01:00:20,240 caught the most passes, but his quarterback could retire at any 1196 01:00:20,240 --> 01:00:23,600 minute and he's only scored six times, so he's out. 1197 01:00:23,760 --> 01:00:26,880 That leaves us with two options, JSN and Jameer Gibbs. 1198 01:00:27,960 --> 01:00:30,240 I landed on JSN as the correct answer. 1199 01:00:31,280 --> 01:00:34,800 Fantasy players for better or worse, replay last season when 1200 01:00:34,800 --> 01:00:38,760 making their selections and so many people run do the opposite 1201 01:00:38,760 --> 01:00:43,240 or 00 running back drafts that it's just too common to pick a 1202 01:00:43,240 --> 01:00:46,200 wide receiver with the top pick and feel safe about it. 1203 01:00:46,760 --> 01:00:49,800 JSN is only four off the most receptions in the league. 1204 01:00:50,200 --> 01:00:52,520 He leads wide receivers in yards by a lot. 1205 01:00:52,840 --> 01:00:55,920 He scored the second most touchdowns of all wide receivers 1206 01:00:55,920 --> 01:00:58,280 this season, only behind Devante Adams. 1207 01:00:58,800 --> 01:01:02,240 His quarterback situation is stable, the running backroom 1208 01:01:02,240 --> 01:01:04,400 isn't going to steal his Thunder, and there's enough 1209 01:01:04,400 --> 01:01:07,240 respectable talent in the wide receiver room to keep teams 1210 01:01:07,240 --> 01:01:09,960 honest. I think Gibbs is going to score 1211 01:01:09,960 --> 01:01:13,480 more points next year, but I think JSN is going to be the top 1212 01:01:13,480 --> 01:01:17,000 overall pick. Great, great way to thread the 1213 01:01:17,000 --> 01:01:18,400 needle there. We were right, but we were 1214 01:01:18,400 --> 01:01:19,120 wrong. You were. 1215 01:01:19,320 --> 01:01:23,520 You were completely wrong. We're we're of course going to 1216 01:01:23,520 --> 01:01:27,400 check AD PS next year in September and rewind the tape 1217 01:01:27,400 --> 01:01:30,520 and see see what happens. I'm, I'm sure I'll put this clip 1218 01:01:30,520 --> 01:01:33,960 up on the on the Internet and we'll, we'll see where we're at. 1219 01:01:34,600 --> 01:01:38,320 Those were my 2 tough nuts. I hope you cracked them, Trevor. 1220 01:01:38,320 --> 01:01:40,080 Sure it hasn't. He hasn't yet. 1221 01:01:41,480 --> 01:01:44,760 Well, you got a chance to totally redeem yourself with 1222 01:01:44,760 --> 01:01:49,560 this week's Yukon Cornelius Game of the Week Rich with gold. 1223 01:01:52,240 --> 01:01:55,040 Gold, gold and. Silver, silver and gold. 1224 01:01:55,600 --> 01:01:58,920 There's a couple of really good teams playing in Los Angeles 1225 01:01:58,920 --> 01:02:01,880 this weekend. It's the Lions and the Rams. 1/3 1226 01:02:01,880 --> 01:02:05,200 revenge game for both starting quarterbacks, the highest over 1227 01:02:05,200 --> 01:02:07,840 under of the week. Trevor, are we just blindly 1228 01:02:07,840 --> 01:02:09,880 starting everyone with gold and silver grades? 1229 01:02:09,880 --> 01:02:12,640 Pretty much Yukon Cornelius. I don't he pretty much nailed 1230 01:02:12,640 --> 01:02:14,360 it. It's just silvers and golds and 1231 01:02:14,720 --> 01:02:17,040 have fun. We'll start on Detroit's side. 1232 01:02:17,360 --> 01:02:19,800 I'll give Jared Goff a silver. Rams are a quality passing 1233 01:02:19,800 --> 01:02:22,200 defense, though recently they allowed Brissett Arnold and Mac 1234 01:02:22,200 --> 01:02:24,720 Jones to clear 260 passing yards in their past five. 1235 01:02:25,160 --> 01:02:27,480 Goss traditionally known as a much better in the Dome. 1236 01:02:27,480 --> 01:02:29,560 Obviously this is Rd. game, but he's actually thrown for 1237 01:02:29,560 --> 01:02:32,480 multiple passing touchdowns in half of his 2025 Rd. games. 1238 01:02:32,960 --> 01:02:35,840 Jamir Gibbs, Platinum, No brainer. 1239 01:02:35,840 --> 01:02:38,360 We don't need to talk about it. David Montgomery, I am putting 1240 01:02:38,360 --> 01:02:40,200 on the bench. Despite Gibbs being a gold play, 1241 01:02:40,200 --> 01:02:42,360 the Rams have only allowed two rushing touchdowns to backs this 1242 01:02:42,360 --> 01:02:44,080 year. And that's kind of what Matti's 1243 01:02:44,080 --> 01:02:46,600 fantasy value is right now is falling into the end zone. 1244 01:02:46,720 --> 01:02:48,920 He's only received more than 8 touches once in the past four 1245 01:02:48,920 --> 01:02:51,640 weeks. Jamo and Ammonra. 1246 01:02:51,800 --> 01:02:54,120 I'm gonna give Ammonra a gold and Jamo a silver. 1247 01:02:54,840 --> 01:02:56,640 You know, Monroe's returned from injury last week. 1248 01:02:56,960 --> 01:02:59,720 The two of them both saw 9 targets each since Dan Campbell 1249 01:02:59,720 --> 01:03:02,400 took overplay calling in week 10 and he kind of made it a point 1250 01:03:02,400 --> 01:03:04,800 to get Jamo the ball. Jamo has three touchdowns in 1251 01:03:04,800 --> 01:03:07,160 five games and then cleared 88 yards and four of those. 1252 01:03:07,160 --> 01:03:08,520 So he's kind of been on fire recently. 1253 01:03:09,080 --> 01:03:11,320 It's an OK match up. The Rams have given the 10th 1254 01:03:11,320 --> 01:03:14,800 most catches to enemy wide outs. Amonra has seen 12/13 and 9 1255 01:03:14,800 --> 01:03:16,240 targets in his last three full games. 1256 01:03:16,240 --> 01:03:17,800 Chance to go nuke here in this environment. 1257 01:03:18,040 --> 01:03:21,080 I will say eyes like Tesla has a touchdown in back-to-back games. 1258 01:03:21,080 --> 01:03:23,440 If you're like crazy, crazy desperate for some reason and 1259 01:03:23,440 --> 01:03:26,080 it's, it could be a shootout. So maybe he gets, you know, 5 1260 01:03:26,080 --> 01:03:28,680 catches in the touchdown on the LA side. 1261 01:03:28,760 --> 01:03:30,000 The whole passing game gets a goal. 1262 01:03:31,000 --> 01:03:33,520 Stafford's goal. Detroit's giving up 25 passing 1263 01:03:33,520 --> 01:03:35,320 touchdowns already, which is bottom five in the league, 1264 01:03:35,600 --> 01:03:37,600 bottom third in the league of past yards allowed. 1265 01:03:37,720 --> 01:03:40,400 It's a revenge game, like you said, Stafford's two career 1266 01:03:40,400 --> 01:03:43,280 starts. He's got 317 and 1 and 367 and 1267 01:03:43,280 --> 01:03:46,200 two against Detroit. And Stafford actually has more 1268 01:03:46,200 --> 01:03:49,080 games with 3-4 or five touchdowns than he does with one 1269 01:03:49,080 --> 01:03:50,800 or two passing touchdowns this year. 1270 01:03:50,840 --> 01:03:54,480 It's got 7 games of three. Plus Puka's a platinum. 1271 01:03:54,760 --> 01:03:55,880 He's a beast. We don't need to really go 1272 01:03:55,880 --> 01:03:57,960 through it too much. Detroit's a dream match up. 1273 01:03:57,960 --> 01:04:00,600 Second most receiving touchdowns, fifth most wide 1274 01:04:00,600 --> 01:04:03,400 receiving yards. Devante's a gold as well. 1275 01:04:03,720 --> 01:04:06,920 Just in the last three weeks, 9156 and 1 to Wandale was 1276 01:04:06,920 --> 01:04:10,120 allowed by this Lions team 194 and four of the Packers 1277 01:04:10,120 --> 01:04:13,760 receivers and then CD Lamb and Ryan Fornoy each cleared 115. 1278 01:04:14,240 --> 01:04:15,920 This might be Puka's best all time spot. 1279 01:04:16,600 --> 01:04:20,520 Colby Parkinson was my roll the dice player and Kyron and Korum, 1280 01:04:20,520 --> 01:04:22,000 I'm going to give bronzes to both of them. 1281 01:04:22,000 --> 01:04:23,840 It's getting kind of murky right now. 1282 01:04:24,760 --> 01:04:27,760 Blake Gorham's gotten more work. He popped off last week with 128 1283 01:04:27,760 --> 01:04:29,240 and two on the ground with 12 carries. 1284 01:04:29,720 --> 01:04:32,360 Kyron had 15 touches himself for nearly 100 combo yards with a 1285 01:04:32,360 --> 01:04:34,800 touchdown as well. Detroit is the toughest match 1286 01:04:34,800 --> 01:04:37,520 up, one of the toughest match ups for opposing R BS this year. 1287 01:04:37,520 --> 01:04:39,280 Just six touchdowns allowed to the position. 1288 01:04:39,720 --> 01:04:41,800 However, I think you're getting 10 plus touches from both of 1289 01:04:41,800 --> 01:04:44,040 these guys in the game that the Rams were projected to score 30 1290 01:04:44,040 --> 01:04:46,000 points, so I don't think you could keep them under bench. 1291 01:04:48,240 --> 01:04:52,120 All right, that one was fun. I I, I want more Lions and Rams 1292 01:04:52,120 --> 01:04:53,880 in my line UPS this weekend. So do I, yeah. 1293 01:04:55,920 --> 01:04:59,160 All right, let's move on to a different game that probably is 1294 01:04:59,160 --> 01:05:01,920 going to be a little bit more defensive, and that's a battle 1295 01:05:01,920 --> 01:05:04,080 between two teams who have designs on the number one 1296 01:05:04,080 --> 01:05:06,680 overall seed in their respective conferences. 1297 01:05:07,360 --> 01:05:10,680 Can Jordan Love and the Packers get anything done against this 1298 01:05:10,680 --> 01:05:14,800 awesome Broncos defense Maj. Yeah, Packers coming to town 1299 01:05:14,800 --> 01:05:17,240 here. This is I think my first non 1300 01:05:17,240 --> 01:05:19,560 weather game that I've had in today's show. 1301 01:05:19,560 --> 01:05:23,120 It's supposed to be 58 and sunny here in Denver, so you don't 1302 01:05:23,120 --> 01:05:26,520 have to worry about that at all. But it the over under just 42 1303 01:05:26,520 --> 01:05:28,800 1/2 in this one. Packers are 2 1/2 point 1304 01:05:28,800 --> 01:05:32,880 favorites right now. So implied team total 22 1/2 1305 01:05:32,880 --> 01:05:33,880 there. It's not terrible. 1306 01:05:34,760 --> 01:05:37,960 I I only have a bronze on Jordan Love despite, you know, the 1307 01:05:38,120 --> 01:05:41,080 seven touchdown passes he has the last two weeks. 1308 01:05:41,360 --> 01:05:43,440 You know, he's hitting the deep ball obviously really well 1309 01:05:43,440 --> 01:05:47,440 clicking with Christian Watson as receiving core has gotten 1310 01:05:47,440 --> 01:05:51,520 healthy the last couple weeks. But he's only thrown for 234 1311 01:05:51,520 --> 01:05:54,680 yards, actually exactly 234 yards in each of his last two. 1312 01:05:54,960 --> 01:05:58,920 And those are the only two games that he has over 176 yards the 1313 01:05:58,920 --> 01:06:02,280 last five weeks. So you know, it's sort of been 1314 01:06:02,320 --> 01:06:05,000 boom or bust there. You know, he's hitting those 1315 01:06:05,000 --> 01:06:06,880 deep balls and it's it's kept him alive. 1316 01:06:06,880 --> 01:06:10,280 Now, only two teams have allowed fewer than the 13 touchdown 1317 01:06:10,280 --> 01:06:12,240 passes given up by Denver this season. 1318 01:06:12,600 --> 01:06:15,600 They've only seeded 3 multi touchdown games all year and 1319 01:06:15,600 --> 01:06:17,400 just one of them here in power field. 1320 01:06:17,400 --> 01:06:20,200 The the silver lining for love and you know why he's got a 1321 01:06:20,200 --> 01:06:23,080 bronze grid here is that since week 10, the Broncos haven't 1322 01:06:23,080 --> 01:06:26,520 been quite as sharp. They ranked just 15 in passing 1323 01:06:26,520 --> 01:06:30,880 yards per game and pressure rate the run game. 1324 01:06:31,480 --> 01:06:34,080 This one, you know, you're going to have to keep an eye on this 1325 01:06:34,080 --> 01:06:37,760 if you're if you've got Packers because right now DNP on 1326 01:06:37,760 --> 01:06:41,280 Wednesday and Thursday for Josh Jacobs with that knee injury, 1327 01:06:42,640 --> 01:06:45,560 you know, Broncos have made life difficult for running backs. 1328 01:06:45,600 --> 01:06:49,440 I have a bronze for Jacobs if he plays because of the couple 1329 01:06:49,440 --> 01:06:51,000 things. One, the risk that the knee 1330 01:06:51,000 --> 01:06:54,080 injury causes and problems in game and he has to come out. 1331 01:06:54,280 --> 01:06:58,160 And two, just this rush defense. The Broncos have lot of the 1332 01:06:58,160 --> 01:07:00,680 fewest combo yards, second fewest receptions in the league 1333 01:07:00,680 --> 01:07:03,280 to the position, just 10 combined touchdowns. 1334 01:07:03,280 --> 01:07:05,880 They've been even better the last five weeks, allowing the 1335 01:07:05,880 --> 01:07:08,920 fewest fantasy points to backs in that stretch. 1336 01:07:09,960 --> 01:07:11,400 You know Jacobs gets to work, right? 1337 01:07:11,400 --> 01:07:14,240 18 or more opportunities and four of his last five games. 1338 01:07:14,240 --> 01:07:17,960 But he scored just once the last three weeks and topped out at 92 1339 01:07:17,960 --> 01:07:21,280 combo yards in those last week against Chicago. 1340 01:07:21,280 --> 01:07:24,120 So if he doesn't go, you've got Emmanuel Wilson, his next guy 1341 01:07:24,120 --> 01:07:26,200 up. I would give him a bronze as 1342 01:07:26,200 --> 01:07:28,440 well if Jacobs doesn't go. So you just want to make sure 1343 01:07:28,440 --> 01:07:31,280 you've got that handcuffed situation worked out ahead of 1344 01:07:31,280 --> 01:07:33,720 time. He was the workhorse in Week 12 1345 01:07:33,720 --> 01:07:36,760 when Jacobs missed that Vikings game, hit 28 carries and two 1346 01:07:36,760 --> 01:07:39,480 targets in that game with two touchdowns The previous week, 1347 01:07:39,480 --> 01:07:41,560 Jacobs left early in that one. I think that was against New 1348 01:07:41,560 --> 01:07:43,960 York Giants. Wilson got 11 carries and a 1349 01:07:43,960 --> 01:07:48,440 target as a clear backup in that game and also scored back to 1350 01:07:48,440 --> 01:07:51,280 those receivers. Now I've got a bronze on 1351 01:07:51,320 --> 01:07:55,520 Christian Watson and Jaden Reed and a bench on everybody else. 1352 01:07:56,440 --> 01:07:58,760 Denver's five wide receiver scores allowed are the fewest 1353 01:07:58,760 --> 01:08:01,920 given up in the league. So as dominant as Watson's been 1354 01:08:01,920 --> 01:08:04,600 since he returned in Week 8, and make no mistake, he has been 1355 01:08:04,600 --> 01:08:07,400 dominant 3 games with 80 plus yards and five touchdowns. 1356 01:08:07,680 --> 01:08:10,000 He's about to face his biggest test going against Patrick 1357 01:08:10,000 --> 01:08:13,040 Surtain, who has shadowed five times so far this season, and 1358 01:08:13,040 --> 01:08:16,080 Watson could be the guy that makes it number six here. 1359 01:08:16,640 --> 01:08:19,840 Among those previous 5 shadow victims, only Terry Mclaurin has 1360 01:08:19,840 --> 01:08:24,520 scored and none in top 61 yards. Like I said, Daz is on the bench 1361 01:08:24,520 --> 01:08:26,279 with it. With this room being healthy now 1362 01:08:26,279 --> 01:08:28,840 there's just, it's, it's too murky everywhere else. 1363 01:08:29,000 --> 01:08:31,399 With Jayden Reid, he came back last week for the first time 1364 01:08:31,399 --> 01:08:35,880 since exiting very early in Week 2, ran 47% of routes right away. 1365 01:08:35,880 --> 01:08:38,399 And, and you know, we kind of know the story with Jayden Reid. 1366 01:08:38,399 --> 01:08:40,840 He's not going to make it in the line up in those two wide 1367 01:08:40,840 --> 01:08:43,880 receiver sets, but they are going to pepper him in those 1368 01:08:43,880 --> 01:08:45,840 three wide receiver sets. He caught all four of his 1369 01:08:45,840 --> 01:08:48,640 targets last week. So I do think that there's a 1370 01:08:48,640 --> 01:08:52,200 little bit of potential there. Broncos decent against tight 1371 01:08:52,200 --> 01:08:53,800 ends. Musgrave hasn't done much all 1372 01:08:53,800 --> 01:08:57,399 year, so said bench him. Let's go to the Broncos side. 1373 01:08:58,200 --> 01:09:00,040 Implied team total of 20 for them. 1374 01:09:00,040 --> 01:09:03,439 So I've got just the bronze on Bo Nicks since week 10. 1375 01:09:03,479 --> 01:09:06,279 Packers allowing the 7th fewest passing yards per game. 1376 01:09:06,560 --> 01:09:09,240 They actually went on a stretch allowing just one total 1377 01:09:09,240 --> 01:09:11,960 touchdown pass in four games before they allowed two to bolt 1378 01:09:11,960 --> 01:09:14,359 off and Caleb respectively. In back-to-back weeks. 1379 01:09:14,800 --> 01:09:18,120 Yardages stayed low though. Only one game over 279 yards 1380 01:09:18,120 --> 01:09:22,040 allowed and four of them below 200 passing yards the last six 1381 01:09:22,040 --> 01:09:24,720 weeks. And with Nix no multi score game 1382 01:09:24,720 --> 01:09:27,840 since week 9, he's got a two to three touchdown interception 1383 01:09:27,840 --> 01:09:31,520 ratio in the four weeks since. Also hasn't topped 16 rushing 1384 01:09:31,520 --> 01:09:35,080 yards in those games. Have a rush and touchdown his 1385 01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:38,840 last QB 1, so top 12 performance Week 8. 1386 01:09:39,200 --> 01:09:43,399 It's been a minute for Bonex running back real quick. 1387 01:09:43,399 --> 01:09:47,920 I've got a silver on RJ Harvey, so a season high in Rush's 17 1388 01:09:47,920 --> 01:09:51,840 and targets with six last week. He's got 3 scores his last two 1389 01:09:51,840 --> 01:09:53,640 games. Since taking the starting job, 1390 01:09:53,640 --> 01:09:57,000 he's averaging nearly 18 touches a game and over 70 combo yards. 1391 01:09:58,120 --> 01:09:59,840 Tough test though. Packers D hasn't allowed a 1392 01:09:59,840 --> 01:10:02,200 running back to catch a touchdown pass all year, and 1393 01:10:02,200 --> 01:10:05,840 only 7 total rushing scores and four of Harvey's 9 touchdowns 1394 01:10:05,840 --> 01:10:07,520 this year have been through the air. 1395 01:10:07,960 --> 01:10:10,640 I will note though, all three of the last two weeks have been 1396 01:10:10,640 --> 01:10:13,040 rushing scores. You're still getting snaps from 1397 01:10:13,040 --> 01:10:15,520 Tyler Bede and Julio McLaughlin here. 1398 01:10:16,000 --> 01:10:18,840 Enough to take the edge off of Harvey's upside, but not enough 1399 01:10:19,400 --> 01:10:22,040 to get anything more than those participation. 1400 01:10:22,040 --> 01:10:23,760 We'll give them ribbons, not even trophies. 1401 01:10:25,080 --> 01:10:27,160 Receiving game. I've got a bronze on Cortland 1402 01:10:27,160 --> 01:10:29,320 Sutton. He had a tightest season high 1403 01:10:29,320 --> 01:10:30,760 actually, with 10 targets last week. 1404 01:10:31,280 --> 01:10:35,760 Been incredibly consistent, 596262 yards the last three 1405 01:10:35,760 --> 01:10:37,480 weeks. Four more catches in all three 1406 01:10:37,480 --> 01:10:40,200 of those, including a score at Washington. 1407 01:10:41,120 --> 01:10:43,280 Really. He's only had one fantasy dud 1408 01:10:43,360 --> 01:10:46,720 the last seven weeks, but probably going to see a lot of 1409 01:10:46,840 --> 01:10:49,480 Carrington Valentine this this weekend. 1410 01:10:49,520 --> 01:10:53,520 Only allowed 21 receptions all season, so again, real tough 1411 01:10:53,520 --> 01:10:55,320 test here. So only a bronze grade. 1412 01:10:55,760 --> 01:10:58,720 I've got a bench on Pat Bryant. He hasn't practiced this week 1413 01:10:58,720 --> 01:11:00,840 due to his hamstring injury, so he's likely out this week 1414 01:11:00,920 --> 01:11:04,240 against the bench grade. That means that Troy Franklin 1415 01:11:04,240 --> 01:11:07,480 maybe comes back a little bit and can earn that low end 1416 01:11:07,480 --> 01:11:10,000 bronze. He's he had lost snapshare in 1417 01:11:10,000 --> 01:11:13,880 four straight games, 26% last week was a season low because of 1418 01:11:13,880 --> 01:11:16,040 Bryant's emergence. Marvin Mims and Lil Jordan 1419 01:11:16,040 --> 01:11:17,760 Humphreys still getting work as well. 1420 01:11:18,800 --> 01:11:22,280 So with Franklin only 7 combined targets and 32 combined yards 1421 01:11:22,280 --> 01:11:25,080 the last two weeks, but he had eight or more targets and five 1422 01:11:25,080 --> 01:11:27,640 straights with Bryant out. You hope that he get kind of 1423 01:11:27,640 --> 01:11:31,000 bounces back to that hence and then gets that bronze grade and 1424 01:11:31,000 --> 01:11:33,160 I've got a bench grade on Evan Ingram in this one. 1425 01:11:34,760 --> 01:11:37,280 I mean that makes sense. Nobody likes to play Evan Ingram 1426 01:11:37,280 --> 01:11:39,360 in their line UPS. He's a nice guy, I'm sure. 1427 01:11:39,720 --> 01:11:43,960 By the way, Carrington Valentine, a cornerback or a guy 1428 01:11:43,960 --> 01:11:49,120 you met at the Yacht Club? That reminds me of the Winthorpe 1429 01:11:49,120 --> 01:11:52,640 Valentine shirt I just ordered for to add to my Christmas shirt 1430 01:11:52,640 --> 01:11:54,280 collection. I don't know if you've you've 1431 01:11:54,280 --> 01:11:56,560 managed to watch Trading Places. I hear this. 1432 01:11:56,560 --> 01:11:58,760 That's one of the it's always in the holiday rotation. 1433 01:11:58,760 --> 01:12:00,120 It's one of my favorite Christmas movies. 1434 01:12:00,440 --> 01:12:02,920 I have not seen that movie. Are you kidding? 1435 01:12:04,280 --> 01:12:05,960 You've never seen it, like ever in your life. 1436 01:12:06,400 --> 01:12:10,200 No, Oh my God. Trevor Trevor's. 1437 01:12:10,400 --> 01:12:11,960 Trevor's being real quiet over there. 1438 01:12:12,080 --> 01:12:16,440 I hadn't heard of it until. Oh my God, you guys do. 1439 01:12:16,720 --> 01:12:19,880 We do we need to do a fantasy football almost daily offseason 1440 01:12:19,880 --> 01:12:22,680 movie podcast. We're next week. 1441 01:12:22,720 --> 01:12:26,400 I'm not Co hosting next week. Bring me on for tough nuts. 1442 01:12:26,400 --> 01:12:29,480 We're going to talk Christmas movies, all right. 1443 01:12:30,680 --> 01:12:34,040 All right, Indy travels to Seattle to take on the Seahawks 1444 01:12:34,040 --> 01:12:37,000 and things have obviously been very quiet around the Colts 1445 01:12:37,200 --> 01:12:41,440 organization this week. Or not the Colts quarterback 1446 01:12:41,440 --> 01:12:43,560 situation. Daniel Jones, he's out. 1447 01:12:44,320 --> 01:12:47,360 Anthony Richardson, he's out. Riley Leonard, their third 1448 01:12:47,360 --> 01:12:49,640 string quarterback, suffered APCL sprain. 1449 01:12:49,960 --> 01:12:53,520 He has practiced in full this week, which is kind of wild. 1450 01:12:53,840 --> 01:12:55,320 And then they signed Phillip Rivers. 1451 01:12:55,320 --> 01:12:58,480 He's their other option. Ian Rappaport said that Rivers 1452 01:12:58,480 --> 01:13:02,600 is taking first team reps and ESP NS Stephen Holder says the 1453 01:13:02,600 --> 01:13:04,720 Colts are prepping for Rivers to start. 1454 01:13:05,880 --> 01:13:09,160 The good news? He knows the Colts playbook 1455 01:13:09,240 --> 01:13:12,520 because he runs the same offense as head coach of a high school 1456 01:13:12,520 --> 01:13:16,520 in Alabama. That's where the good news ends, 1457 01:13:19,240 --> 01:13:21,280 right tackle Braden Smith for the Colts. 1458 01:13:21,280 --> 01:13:23,680 He's been ruled out with a concussion and they're facing a 1459 01:13:23,680 --> 01:13:28,200 Seahawks defense that's seen the 4th most passing attempts this 1460 01:13:28,200 --> 01:13:29,880 year. So people are trying to pass a 1461 01:13:29,880 --> 01:13:33,760 lot, but they've allowed the 13th fewest yards and the 7th 1462 01:13:33,760 --> 01:13:35,840 fewest touchdowns. People aren't getting it done 1463 01:13:35,840 --> 01:13:38,880 against the Seahawks. This could be a bloodbath. 1464 01:13:39,640 --> 01:13:42,960 I'm benching the whole Colts passing game except for Tyler 1465 01:13:42,960 --> 01:13:48,560 Warren who I will give a bronze grade to because Philip Rivers 1466 01:13:48,560 --> 01:13:52,400 loved Antonio Gates right way back in the day. 1467 01:13:53,320 --> 01:13:57,080 Whoever is in at quarterback, they're going to have to dump it 1468 01:13:57,080 --> 01:14:01,480 off short and a third Stringer or a 44 year old probably is not 1469 01:14:01,480 --> 01:14:02,880 going to have the best deep ball. 1470 01:14:03,280 --> 01:14:06,160 And the Seahawks provide a soft landing spot for tight ends. 1471 01:14:06,160 --> 01:14:09,440 They've allowed the second most yards and receptions to opposing 1472 01:14:09,440 --> 01:14:11,960 tight ends. And as Maj. mentioned, that's 1473 01:14:11,960 --> 01:14:16,040 like being the first most yards and first most receptions when 1474 01:14:16,040 --> 01:14:21,000 you factor out the Bengals. Plus, they've designed runs in 1475 01:14:21,000 --> 01:14:24,240 the playbook for Tyler Warren. He's run it 6 times this season. 1476 01:14:24,240 --> 01:14:25,760 He scored a touchdown on the ground. 1477 01:14:26,440 --> 01:14:29,680 They might have to pull out some trick plays to stay alive in 1478 01:14:29,680 --> 01:14:31,760 this one just to kind of stay somewhat relevant. 1479 01:14:32,080 --> 01:14:36,560 So I think Tyler Warren is the guy who in the passing game has 1480 01:14:36,560 --> 01:14:39,160 a starting grade. Michael Pittman, Alec Pierce, 1481 01:14:39,160 --> 01:14:40,680 Josh Downs, they're all on the bench. 1482 01:14:41,440 --> 01:14:43,760 It wouldn't have been a good match up if Daniel Jones was 1483 01:14:43,760 --> 01:14:45,960 playing. The Seahawks allowed the fewest 1484 01:14:45,960 --> 01:14:49,240 yards to wide receivers in the league, only 108 per game. 1485 01:14:49,440 --> 01:14:54,120 Now split that three ways, and since Week 9, only one wide 1486 01:14:54,120 --> 01:14:57,560 receiver has topped 44 yards against Seattle. 1487 01:14:57,960 --> 01:15:00,200 That was Puka. He got to 75. 1488 01:15:01,280 --> 01:15:04,280 We're probably not seeing one of these guys hit 50 yards. 1489 01:15:04,280 --> 01:15:08,760 So they're all on the bench now. Jonathan Taylor might catch 10 1490 01:15:08,760 --> 01:15:11,720 balls in this game, which is why I'm going to leave him as a 1491 01:15:11,720 --> 01:15:14,200 silver grade. You have to figure that it's got 1492 01:15:14,200 --> 01:15:18,280 to be a heroic JT game to keep the Colts somewhat alive. 1493 01:15:18,800 --> 01:15:21,000 Seattle's going to be expecting that they're going to stack the 1494 01:15:21,000 --> 01:15:24,120 box on him. They have the lowest allowed 1495 01:15:24,120 --> 01:15:26,840 yards per carry in the league at 3.5. 1496 01:15:27,360 --> 01:15:30,160 They're allowing the third fewest rushing yards and rushing 1497 01:15:30,160 --> 01:15:33,040 scores. But they've allowed the second 1498 01:15:33,080 --> 01:15:37,240 most receptions to opposing backs and the 6th most receiving 1499 01:15:37,240 --> 01:15:39,360 yards. So especially in PPRI, think 1500 01:15:39,360 --> 01:15:40,880 Jonathan Taylor is going to get it done? 1501 01:15:41,760 --> 01:15:44,480 Go back to a guy who needed to get it done for a team. 1502 01:15:44,600 --> 01:15:49,040 Christian McCaffrey caught 9 passes against Seattle in week 1 1503 01:15:49,040 --> 01:15:51,880 of this season. That's what it might have to be 1504 01:15:52,000 --> 01:15:53,960 for Indy to do anything this week. 1505 01:15:54,360 --> 01:15:58,320 I dump offs to Taylor, dump offs to Warren over and over again 1506 01:15:58,560 --> 01:16:03,760 for whoever the quarterback is. Jackson Smith in Jigba is 24 1507 01:16:03,760 --> 01:16:09,200 karat gold, Rasheed Shaheed is a silver and Cooper Cup is on the 1508 01:16:09,200 --> 01:16:11,200 bench. Sauce Gardner still out. 1509 01:16:11,600 --> 01:16:14,000 Charvarius Ward is in the concussion protocol. 1510 01:16:14,000 --> 01:16:15,680 He's probably going to miss this game too. 1511 01:16:16,240 --> 01:16:21,480 So in the slot against JSN, it's Makai Blackman, PFFS 104th 1512 01:16:21,480 --> 01:16:24,840 ranked corner. Kenny Moore and Jaylen Jones are 1513 01:16:24,840 --> 01:16:27,600 the other two corners. Moore is 74th ranked. 1514 01:16:28,120 --> 01:16:31,800 Jones didn't have enough snaps to qualify with a ranking, but 1515 01:16:31,800 --> 01:16:35,120 he has 122 passer rating in his coverage this season. 1516 01:16:35,720 --> 01:16:38,240 So Shaheed was targeted five times last week. 1517 01:16:38,240 --> 01:16:40,360 He caught four of them for 67 yards. 1518 01:16:40,800 --> 01:16:43,760 He's obviously much more of a deep threat right now than 1519 01:16:43,760 --> 01:16:46,800 Cooper Cup. Plus, he scored a touchdown last 1520 01:16:46,800 --> 01:16:48,600 week on a kick return. That's good. 1521 01:16:49,240 --> 01:16:52,720 Scottie Fish told me earlier in the week on our first podcast of 1522 01:16:52,720 --> 01:16:56,200 the week that Sam Darnold leads the league in completions over 1523 01:16:56,200 --> 01:17:01,560 10 yards this season. So I I like Shaheed here and cup 1524 01:17:01,560 --> 01:17:06,200 hasn't cleared 35 yards in a month, 35 in a month. 1525 01:17:06,640 --> 01:17:09,320 He's way too touchdown dependent to rely on at this point. 1526 01:17:09,320 --> 01:17:12,600 He scored one last week, but it's been like a another month 1527 01:17:12,600 --> 01:17:16,200 before he scored his last one. So Sam Darnell, he'll get a gold 1528 01:17:16,200 --> 01:17:18,080 grade too. The Colts are allowing the third 1529 01:17:18,080 --> 01:17:19,640 most passing yards in the league. 1530 01:17:19,960 --> 01:17:22,920 And remember that part where all their corners are either hurt or 1531 01:17:22,920 --> 01:17:25,040 bad? Or that one that retired earlier 1532 01:17:25,040 --> 01:17:27,360 in the year? Yeah, like mid game. 1533 01:17:27,640 --> 01:17:30,320 That was great. Six of the last 10 quarterbacks 1534 01:17:30,320 --> 01:17:33,720 the Colts have faced have had at least 275 passing yards. 1535 01:17:34,520 --> 01:17:37,440 That leaves us with Ken Walker and Zach Charbonnet. 1536 01:17:38,560 --> 01:17:40,840 They're both kind of eating each other's lunch here. 1537 01:17:40,920 --> 01:17:44,640 I'd prefer to keep both of them on the bench, although I'm 1538 01:17:44,640 --> 01:17:46,600 pausing just for a couple of things. 1539 01:17:46,600 --> 01:17:50,560 One, I think this is a blow out and Seattle may not have to pass 1540 01:17:50,560 --> 01:17:52,080 the ball in the fourth quarter at all. 1541 01:17:52,480 --> 01:17:57,800 The Seahawks are 13 1/2 point favorites in this one #2 Indy's 1542 01:17:57,800 --> 01:18:00,240 allowed the ninth most rushing touchdowns this year. 1543 01:18:00,240 --> 01:18:03,440 They hardly give up any yards to runners, but they give up a lot 1544 01:18:03,440 --> 01:18:06,120 of scores. So I think that brings Zach 1545 01:18:06,200 --> 01:18:08,160 Charbonnay in with a bronze grade. 1546 01:18:08,160 --> 01:18:11,560 He's the preferred red zone guy. He's kind of just running the 1547 01:18:11,560 --> 01:18:13,240 ball better than Walker right now. 1548 01:18:13,800 --> 01:18:16,320 And by the way, Walker is a terrible name for a running 1549 01:18:16,320 --> 01:18:20,720 back. Either he's got Walker or he's 1550 01:18:20,720 --> 01:18:23,560 walking. So Walker's on the bench, but 1551 01:18:23,560 --> 01:18:29,080 Charbonnay gets a bronze grade. All right, Trevor, the Titans 1552 01:18:29,080 --> 01:18:30,880 and Niners square off on the West Coast. 1553 01:18:30,880 --> 01:18:33,520 You mentioned that you like Taije Spears as your roll the 1554 01:18:33,520 --> 01:18:35,720 dice runner. Are there any other Titans you'd 1555 01:18:35,720 --> 01:18:40,720 start in this one? Nope, I'll run through it quick. 1556 01:18:40,840 --> 01:18:44,640 I'm not the Niners. So yeah, the Titans averaged 15 1557 01:18:44,640 --> 01:18:47,640 1/2 points per game this season. That's second worst in the 1558 01:18:47,640 --> 01:18:48,920 league. They're projected for 16 on 1559 01:18:48,920 --> 01:18:50,000 Sunday. That's gross. 1560 01:18:50,440 --> 01:18:53,560 Cam Ward Bench cleared 195 passing yards just once in his 1561 01:18:53,560 --> 01:18:55,600 past five games. 20 Pollards on the bench. 1562 01:18:55,720 --> 01:18:58,440 He had 160 and two last week. Prior to that, he had seven 1563 01:18:58,440 --> 01:19:01,040 straight games with 15 or less touches and 0 touchdowns. 1564 01:19:01,600 --> 01:19:03,640 I'm worried game script is kind of going to write him out of it 1565 01:19:03,640 --> 01:19:05,680 a little bit. San Francisco has given up less 1566 01:19:05,680 --> 01:19:07,680 than 70 yards rushing at two of their last three. 1567 01:19:08,200 --> 01:19:09,760 Like I mentioned, Taiji Spears, roll the dice. 1568 01:19:09,960 --> 01:19:11,080 Maybe a little pass catching work. 1569 01:19:11,840 --> 01:19:14,200 And if Cam Ward is not throwing for 200 yards, we're not putting 1570 01:19:14,200 --> 01:19:16,320 any of his wide receiver tight ends. 1571 01:19:17,080 --> 01:19:20,160 Gunnar Helm, if you have to play a Titans pass catcher for some 1572 01:19:20,160 --> 01:19:22,200 reason, 6 catches and two of his last three. 1573 01:19:22,360 --> 01:19:25,040 So that's that's all you got for the Titans receivers. 1574 01:19:25,240 --> 01:19:28,720 It's that weird EFC. South only league that we're 1575 01:19:28,720 --> 01:19:31,920 yeah, Yep, my favorite league type. 1576 01:19:31,960 --> 01:19:34,240 Yeah. So on San Francisco's side, we 1577 01:19:34,240 --> 01:19:35,920 got Brock Purdy. We'll give him a bronze. 1578 01:19:36,600 --> 01:19:38,720 The good news is the Titans are bottom 10 and passing yards and 1579 01:19:38,720 --> 01:19:40,920 touchdowns allowed, and the Niners have the second highest 1580 01:19:40,920 --> 01:19:43,800 team total on the slate over 28 or at 28 1/2. 1581 01:19:44,280 --> 01:19:46,400 However, in the three games since he returned from injury, 1582 01:19:46,560 --> 01:19:49,520 Purdy's averaging just 187 passing yards per, and that was 1583 01:19:49,520 --> 01:19:52,280 against Arizona, Carolina and Cleveland, teams with below 1584 01:19:52,280 --> 01:19:53,840 average offenses much like Tennessee. 1585 01:19:53,840 --> 01:19:56,200 So I kind of think Purdy's a lower end QB one this week. 1586 01:19:56,680 --> 01:19:59,000 CMC is a platinum, Biggest workload in the league. 1587 01:19:59,000 --> 01:20:02,520 You start at CMC, Joan Jennings, give him a bronze. 1588 01:20:02,520 --> 01:20:05,880 He hasn't cleared 71 yards in the game since Week 2, although 1589 01:20:05,880 --> 01:20:08,280 he does have seven straight games with four catches, at 1590 01:20:08,280 --> 01:20:10,360 least 4 catches and he scored four touchdowns during that 1591 01:20:10,360 --> 01:20:11,640 stretch, so the floor's been pretty good. 1592 01:20:12,440 --> 01:20:14,720 And the Titan set permitted the 6th most receiving yards to 1593 01:20:14,720 --> 01:20:16,840 enemy wideouts, so there's a little bit of room for Jawan 1594 01:20:16,840 --> 01:20:18,680 Jennings there. Pierce Hall's on the bench. 1595 01:20:18,800 --> 01:20:20,560 He has five catches in the past three games. 1596 01:20:20,640 --> 01:20:22,280 Not really sure what's going on with him. 1597 01:20:23,240 --> 01:20:26,160 We'll give Kittle a goal, too. Faces the middling Tennessee 1598 01:20:26,160 --> 01:20:30,440 tight end defense since the Week 10 by Tennessee's given up 651 1599 01:20:30,440 --> 01:20:33,560 to Dalton Schultz, 3 for 45 and a score of Brett Strange. 1600 01:20:33,560 --> 01:20:35,560 And then Harold Fannon went nuts last week. 1601 01:20:35,560 --> 01:20:38,440 Career day 8114 and one over his past four. 1602 01:20:38,440 --> 01:20:41,760 Kittle's averaging 6 for 74 and more than 1/2 touchdown a game. 1603 01:20:42,520 --> 01:20:45,720 With Bowers and McBride facing hellacious tight end defenses, 1604 01:20:45,720 --> 01:20:47,720 Kill might be the best tight end play on the slate. 1605 01:20:50,000 --> 01:20:54,800 All right, Maj. the Vikings and Cowboys square off on Monday 1606 01:20:54,800 --> 01:20:57,400 night. And for JJ McCarthy, he didn't 1607 01:20:57,400 --> 01:21:00,400 look half bad last week. Can he keep the momentum going 1608 01:21:00,400 --> 01:21:03,400 up against this Dallas defense? That's horribly. 1609 01:21:05,240 --> 01:21:08,560 You know, it's funny, you know, with McCarthy and how bad he's 1610 01:21:08,560 --> 01:21:13,360 been and just sort of the the thoughts of this, this, you 1611 01:21:13,360 --> 01:21:16,840 know, how is this guy even a quarterback in the league? 1612 01:21:16,840 --> 01:21:20,320 He started seven games this year and he has 2QB1 performances in 1613 01:21:20,320 --> 01:21:23,040 those seven games like one was last week. 1614 01:21:23,080 --> 01:21:25,800 Of course the season high 3 touchdowns last week against 1615 01:21:25,800 --> 01:21:30,240 Washington and he now faces an even worse, in fact the worst 1616 01:21:30,240 --> 01:21:34,280 pass defense Cowboys have allowed the most passing yards 1617 01:21:34,280 --> 01:21:37,280 and touchdowns. Now they they had the mid season 1618 01:21:37,280 --> 01:21:39,280 editions that have helped shore things up. 1619 01:21:40,280 --> 01:21:42,960 So only Mahomes has thrown for multiple touchdowns against them 1620 01:21:43,000 --> 01:21:46,120 in their last four games and only Jared Goff as he clips 300 1621 01:21:46,120 --> 01:21:50,800 yards with last game. You know McCarthy threw those 3 1622 01:21:50,800 --> 01:21:52,560 touchdowns but only 23 pass attempts. 1623 01:21:52,560 --> 01:21:55,480 He's only topped 25 pass attempts twice in his seven 1624 01:21:55,480 --> 01:21:58,040 starts. So clearly the Vikings are going 1625 01:21:58,040 --> 01:21:59,840 to do whatever they can to hide him. 1626 01:22:00,120 --> 01:22:03,840 Their hope is the defense keeps this a lower scoring game that 1627 01:22:04,080 --> 01:22:07,200 then that 47 1/2 over under might imply. 1628 01:22:08,320 --> 01:22:10,360 So that way McCarthy doesn't have to throw. 1629 01:22:11,240 --> 01:22:13,200 But this is a good Cowboys offense. 1630 01:22:13,200 --> 01:22:15,080 So you know, we'll see. This is actually going to be a 1631 01:22:15,080 --> 01:22:17,560 pretty fun game to watch. So I don't know if I said I put 1632 01:22:17,560 --> 01:22:22,040 a bronze grade on JJ McCarthy. I've also got a bronze for Aaron 1633 01:22:22,040 --> 01:22:25,240 Jones. He shook off the shoulder injury 1634 01:22:25,240 --> 01:22:28,040 from Seattle to get 14 carries and a target in that blowout of 1635 01:22:28,040 --> 01:22:30,880 Washington last week. Still only has 2 total 1636 01:22:30,880 --> 01:22:32,640 touchdowns in nine games this season. 1637 01:22:32,640 --> 01:22:35,360 He's yet to hit the century mark in combo yards. 1638 01:22:35,360 --> 01:22:38,400 And the Cowboys had been a stout run defense lately before they 1639 01:22:38,400 --> 01:22:41,480 allowed Sonic and Knuckles to go nuts for four touchdowns last 1640 01:22:41,480 --> 01:22:43,160 Thursday. They've gone four straight 1641 01:22:43,320 --> 01:22:44,920 without seeing a running back score. 1642 01:22:44,920 --> 01:22:47,280 And in fact, since Quinn and Williams arrived in Dallas, 1643 01:22:47,520 --> 01:22:49,880 they've allowed the second fewest rushing yards per game. 1644 01:22:50,120 --> 01:22:52,800 So like I said, just a bronze there and a bronze on Jordan 1645 01:22:52,800 --> 01:22:55,160 Mason as well. Well, had those 11 carries in 1646 01:22:55,160 --> 01:22:59,320 last week's blowout, had 70, excuse me, 52 yards in a score 1647 01:22:59,640 --> 01:23:01,680 in that game. His most rushing work since Week 1648 01:23:01,680 --> 01:23:04,000 7. Two rushing scores in his last 1649 01:23:04,000 --> 01:23:06,280 four games. And those have all been with 1650 01:23:06,280 --> 01:23:08,640 Jones in the lineup. The problem is the floor is 1651 01:23:08,640 --> 01:23:10,680 lower here. He's only got 15 targets all 1652 01:23:10,680 --> 01:23:14,560 year, you know, so his bronze isn't quite as shiny as Aaron 1653 01:23:14,560 --> 01:23:18,960 Jones's bronze. Speaking of bronze, Justin 1654 01:23:18,960 --> 01:23:21,440 Jefferson is going to be a bronze grade for me. 1655 01:23:22,000 --> 01:23:25,040 Season low, 4 targets last week. Vikings of course didn't need to 1656 01:23:25,040 --> 01:23:26,840 throw much. That's now five straight weeks 1657 01:23:26,840 --> 01:23:29,400 without a score for Jefferson. Back-to-back games, which was 2 1658 01:23:29,400 --> 01:23:32,640 receptions. In McCarthy's seven starts. 1659 01:23:32,640 --> 01:23:37,360 Jefferson has zero wide receiver one weeks and just two wide 1660 01:23:37,360 --> 01:23:42,520 receiver two weeks, so has been top 24 just twice in those seven 1661 01:23:42,520 --> 01:23:44,760 starts. Since Week 10, Dallas has 1662 01:23:44,760 --> 01:23:48,040 allowed the 11th most PPR points per target though, and 5th most 1663 01:23:48,040 --> 01:23:51,320 receiving yards per game. 2 perimeter receivers per Fantasy 1664 01:23:51,320 --> 01:23:53,480 Pros. SO basically what you have here 1665 01:23:53,480 --> 01:23:56,680 is another situation with a super low floor if Minnesota's 1666 01:23:56,680 --> 01:23:59,400 defense can keep Dallas from lighting up the scoreboard. 1667 01:23:59,680 --> 01:24:02,120 But the Cowboys have allowed the most yards and touchdowns to 1668 01:24:02,120 --> 01:24:05,200 wide receivers this season. So you kind of have to keep 1669 01:24:05,200 --> 01:24:08,640 Jefferson in most lineups and and hope this is the week it 1670 01:24:08,640 --> 01:24:12,480 happens. I mentioned Jordan Addison in my 1671 01:24:12,480 --> 01:24:16,480 roll the dice, so he's a bronze. He does have a 17.7% target 1672 01:24:16,480 --> 01:24:20,360 share with two red zone targets in games with McCarthy this 1673 01:24:20,360 --> 01:24:23,320 season. So I like I said, I think 1674 01:24:23,320 --> 01:24:25,520 there's an opportunity there. He's actually been played in 1675 01:24:25,520 --> 01:24:27,960 five games with McCarthy. He had that two game suspension 1676 01:24:28,000 --> 01:24:31,680 to start the year. I'll give Hawkinson A bronze 1677 01:24:31,680 --> 01:24:33,320 just because it's the tight end position. 1678 01:24:33,320 --> 01:24:36,520 Dallas isn't anything special. Hawks getting over 4 1/2 targets 1679 01:24:36,520 --> 01:24:38,600 a game. But I mean, he only has four 1680 01:24:38,600 --> 01:24:41,640 fantasy viable games all season, so you can likely do better. 1681 01:24:41,880 --> 01:24:43,880 And don't go chasing that box score of last week. 1682 01:24:43,880 --> 01:24:46,280 Josh Oliver pops for his score every now and then, including 1683 01:24:46,280 --> 01:24:49,960 the two last week, but only 11 targets all season. 1684 01:24:50,960 --> 01:24:53,520 Cowboys. This one was a tough one for me 1685 01:24:53,520 --> 01:24:55,240 because of that Minnesota defense. 1686 01:24:55,240 --> 01:24:57,440 Once again, I've got Dak Prescott. 1687 01:24:57,440 --> 01:24:59,120 I was kind of wavering. Bronze, Silver. 1688 01:24:59,120 --> 01:25:02,480 I ended up going with bronze. The Vikings have not allowed a 1689 01:25:02,480 --> 01:25:06,320 single touchdown pass or more than 193 passing yards in their 1690 01:25:06,320 --> 01:25:10,200 last four games, which is nuts. Minnesota's allowed the second 1691 01:25:10,200 --> 01:25:13,760 fewest completions, 4th fewest passing yards, 5th fewest 1692 01:25:13,760 --> 01:25:18,560 passing touchdowns all season. You know, Dax really fallen off 1693 01:25:18,560 --> 01:25:21,000 as well since this. He had that really strong first 1694 01:25:21,000 --> 01:25:23,800 half from weeks one to seven. He had a 16 to 3 touchdown 1695 01:25:23,800 --> 01:25:26,480 interception ratio from weeks 8 to 14. 1696 01:25:26,680 --> 01:25:31,080 That's just 10 to 7, three of his last six games with one or 1697 01:25:31,080 --> 01:25:33,800 fewer touchdowns. His only game over 2 in that 1698 01:25:33,800 --> 01:25:37,400 stretch was against the very stout Las Vegas Raiders. 1699 01:25:37,720 --> 01:25:40,520 So things haven't been going as good for DAC lately and this is 1700 01:25:40,520 --> 01:25:43,480 a pretty tough test. I do have a goal on Javonte 1701 01:25:43,520 --> 01:25:46,640 Williams Vikings defense allowed the fewest receiving yards and 0 1702 01:25:46,640 --> 01:25:49,520 receiving scores to running backs, but has seen a triple 1703 01:25:49,520 --> 01:25:52,000 digit rushing yardage in four of its last five games. 1704 01:25:52,000 --> 01:25:54,720 And Javonte's got one of the most consistent workloads in 1705 01:25:54,720 --> 01:25:57,480 football, 20 or more opportunities in four straight. 1706 01:25:57,480 --> 01:26:00,600 He's also scored in two in a row and has 11 touchdowns on the 1707 01:26:00,600 --> 01:26:03,440 year. So I do think that Dallas really 1708 01:26:03,440 --> 01:26:08,000 leans on Javonte in this game. I've got a silver on Lamb and 1709 01:26:08,000 --> 01:26:10,600 Pickens. Lamb cleared concussion protocol 1710 01:26:10,600 --> 01:26:13,360 Friday, so that puts Ryan Flournoy on the bench. 1711 01:26:14,400 --> 01:26:16,520 Lamb will be good to go. Vikings. 1712 01:26:16,520 --> 01:26:19,320 They've allowed the fewest wide receiver receptions, 4th fewest 1713 01:26:19,320 --> 01:26:22,720 yards, 6th fewest touchdowns in the league, with the last five 1714 01:26:22,720 --> 01:26:25,160 weeks actually being even better than that with the third fewest 1715 01:26:25,160 --> 01:26:28,440 fantasy points and fewest touchdowns allowed to receivers. 1716 01:26:29,360 --> 01:26:32,360 Lamb, even with that early exit with the concussion last week, 1717 01:26:32,360 --> 01:26:35,040 still topped 100 yards for the fifth time and 10 games played 1718 01:26:35,040 --> 01:26:37,280 this season. Aside from the Bears game when 1719 01:26:37,280 --> 01:26:39,680 he only played seven snaps in Week 3, he has at least 4 1720 01:26:39,680 --> 01:26:41,880 catches or 66 yards in every game. 1721 01:26:42,120 --> 01:26:45,400 Hence still that silver grade. Got to give a silver to Pickens 1722 01:26:45,400 --> 01:26:48,240 too. You know, he had his first dud 1723 01:26:48,240 --> 01:26:51,960 really since week one last week at Detroit, but he still saw 9 1724 01:26:51,960 --> 01:26:53,520 targets for the sixth straight game. 1725 01:26:54,680 --> 01:26:58,040 You know, at or above that mark. He's been too good to bench. 1726 01:26:58,280 --> 01:27:01,720 But his effort last week along with the tough match up, that 1727 01:27:01,720 --> 01:27:03,800 certainly tempers expectations for me. 1728 01:27:04,040 --> 01:27:07,000 So it's not as shiny of a silver as you might want it to be. 1729 01:27:07,920 --> 01:27:11,040 And then finally, Jake Ferguson, I've got a silver on him as 1730 01:27:11,040 --> 01:27:13,560 well, but that's if he plays calf injury limited in 1731 01:27:13,560 --> 01:27:15,520 Wednesday. He missed practice entirely 1732 01:27:15,520 --> 01:27:17,720 Thursday. I've not seen reports yet for 1733 01:27:17,720 --> 01:27:21,280 Friday. So Luke Schoonmaker and a 1734 01:27:21,280 --> 01:27:23,280 brevens band. Ford with split snaps. 1735 01:27:23,280 --> 01:27:25,640 If Ferguson misses, I wouldn't start either of those guys. 1736 01:27:26,120 --> 01:27:28,080 Vikings decent, not great against tight ends. 1737 01:27:28,080 --> 01:27:31,240 Fergie's got 5 or more targets and five straight and six of his 1738 01:27:31,240 --> 01:27:34,720 last seven and seven touchdowns this season, so if he does go 1739 01:27:34,960 --> 01:27:41,000 he's got to be in most line UPS. All righty final match up of the 1740 01:27:41,000 --> 01:27:45,120 week 15 Fantasy Friday is a classic Monday night match up 1741 01:27:45,120 --> 01:27:47,680 between two teams that were good in the 1970s. 1742 01:27:48,680 --> 01:27:50,200 That's the Dolphins and the Steelers. 1743 01:27:51,080 --> 01:27:53,320 I'm going to give Tua a bench grade here. 1744 01:27:53,320 --> 01:27:57,480 Even in an easy matchup, the Steelers are allowing 261 1745 01:27:57,480 --> 01:27:59,640 passing yards per game. That's the fourth worst in the 1746 01:27:59,640 --> 01:28:02,800 league. But Tua at this point basically 1747 01:28:02,800 --> 01:28:06,960 needs 2 full games to get to 261 passing yards. 1748 01:28:07,360 --> 01:28:11,240 He's been held under 175 passing yards in four straight games. 1749 01:28:11,640 --> 01:28:15,240 He's only had three touchdown passes in his last five, and 1750 01:28:15,240 --> 01:28:19,280 despite him winning his first cold weather game ever against 1751 01:28:19,280 --> 01:28:23,160 The Jets last week, he barely did anything in that game. 1752 01:28:23,880 --> 01:28:25,720 This is also a cold weather game too. 1753 01:28:25,720 --> 01:28:29,600 It's going to be 20° game time temp with a wind chill down to 1754 01:28:29,600 --> 01:28:32,040 10. I don't think Tua's going to do 1755 01:28:32,040 --> 01:28:35,240 all that well in this one. I'll give Jalen Waddle a bronze 1756 01:28:35,240 --> 01:28:37,720 grade though. He's had at least 7 targets and 1757 01:28:37,720 --> 01:28:40,560 four of his last five, The one he failed to hit that mark, he 1758 01:28:40,560 --> 01:28:43,960 had six targets, which basically helps him get to double digit 1759 01:28:43,960 --> 01:28:46,760 PPR points, something he's done in four of his last 6. 1760 01:28:47,320 --> 01:28:50,160 The Steelers allow the most receptions and second most yards 1761 01:28:50,160 --> 01:28:53,520 to wide receivers, so volume shouldn't be an issue for 1762 01:28:53,520 --> 01:28:55,480 Waddle. It's just whatever he can do 1763 01:28:55,480 --> 01:28:58,160 after the catch. I think that's in doubt here. 1764 01:28:58,840 --> 01:29:01,240 Darren Waller. I wanted to go there, but I'm 1765 01:29:01,240 --> 01:29:03,560 going to leave him on the bench this week but hold him for next 1766 01:29:03,560 --> 01:29:06,240 week against Cincinnati. The match up is good, but not 1767 01:29:06,240 --> 01:29:09,320 since he good and he's only had three targets in each of the 1768 01:29:09,320 --> 01:29:14,000 last two weeks. Devon A Chan is the only Dolphin 1769 01:29:14,000 --> 01:29:17,480 you can start with some confidence he's going to play on 1770 01:29:17,480 --> 01:29:19,080 Monday. I'm going to start him with a 1771 01:29:19,080 --> 01:29:22,720 silver grade. He's had 16 or more PPR points 1772 01:29:23,040 --> 01:29:27,240 in every game but one this season, and he scored four times 1773 01:29:27,240 --> 01:29:30,400 in the last four weeks. He's 4th in the league in 1774 01:29:30,400 --> 01:29:35,000 running back receptions behind only CMC, Bijan and Gibbs. 1775 01:29:35,680 --> 01:29:38,800 Jalen Wright filled in nicely after A Chan went down. 1776 01:29:39,240 --> 01:29:41,720 A Chan said he could have came back in last week though, but 1777 01:29:41,720 --> 01:29:45,080 they were up 3 touchdowns already and Jalen writes only in 1778 01:29:45,080 --> 01:29:47,640 line UPS if A Chan is out. I know a lot of people blew a 1779 01:29:47,640 --> 01:29:52,520 lot of fab on right this week, but it might be all for Naughty. 1780 01:29:53,040 --> 01:29:57,440 The Steelers are allowing about 134 combo yards per game to 1781 01:29:57,440 --> 01:30:00,400 opposing backs. 90% of that is A Chan. 1782 01:30:01,760 --> 01:30:03,920 Aaron Rodgers was by Roll the dice quarterback. 1783 01:30:04,480 --> 01:30:06,920 DK Metcalf's going to play on Monday night as well. 1784 01:30:06,920 --> 01:30:09,960 He missed the flight home with severe abdominal pain, which he 1785 01:30:09,960 --> 01:30:12,840 was hospitalized for. Nobody got checked out. 1786 01:30:12,960 --> 01:30:15,680 He's back in Baltimore or sorry, Pittsburgh. 1787 01:30:15,960 --> 01:30:20,040 He's practicing in full coming off his biggest week since Week 1788 01:30:20,040 --> 01:30:23,960 4. Had 7 catches for 148 yards last 1789 01:30:23,960 --> 01:30:26,280 week. And it feels like something 1790 01:30:26,280 --> 01:30:29,120 changed a little bit in the Steelers offense last week. 1791 01:30:29,120 --> 01:30:31,280 Like there was just like a little bit of a turning of the 1792 01:30:31,280 --> 01:30:34,600 page. Miami looks tougher on paper, 1793 01:30:35,120 --> 01:30:39,160 but Miami really hasn't played any tough wide receivers this 1794 01:30:39,160 --> 01:30:42,200 year at all. The best wide receivers they 1795 01:30:42,200 --> 01:30:46,080 faced, Michael Pittman, lad Mcconkey and Garrett Wilson. 1796 01:30:46,480 --> 01:30:51,080 That's like literally the best guys they faced they all top 20 1797 01:30:51,080 --> 01:30:56,040 PPR points. So this is fictitious good 1798 01:30:56,040 --> 01:30:59,360 rankings for Miami here. So silver great on Metcalf. 1799 01:31:00,040 --> 01:31:02,520 It's a good match up for the tight ends, but don't play the 1800 01:31:02,520 --> 01:31:05,880 game of Steelers tight end roulette because there's like 8 1801 01:31:05,880 --> 01:31:08,640 zeros on that roulette wheel and you're going to hit them. 1802 01:31:08,640 --> 01:31:12,000 Even if you that red or black, that's not going to be good. 1803 01:31:13,160 --> 01:31:16,680 Jalen Warren and Kenny Gainwell are the last guys to talk about 1804 01:31:17,480 --> 01:31:20,560 right now. It's about a 5545 split in this 1805 01:31:20,560 --> 01:31:24,800 backfield, with Warren having the slight edge in touches every 1806 01:31:24,800 --> 01:31:28,720 week, but Gainwell having more receptions and receiving yards. 1807 01:31:29,320 --> 01:31:32,720 Gainwell's actually LED in PPR points in three of the last four 1808 01:31:32,720 --> 01:31:37,200 games for Pittsburgh. Miami's allowing 4.7 yards per 1809 01:31:37,200 --> 01:31:38,800 carry. That's bottom 10 in the league. 1810 01:31:38,800 --> 01:31:40,200 That works for both of these guys. 1811 01:31:40,600 --> 01:31:42,760 They're allowing the ninth most receiving yards. 1812 01:31:42,760 --> 01:31:45,000 That helps gain, well, a little bit more than Warren. 1813 01:31:45,640 --> 01:31:48,160 They're allowing the 6th most combo yards to backs. 1814 01:31:48,160 --> 01:31:51,320 That helps both of them. But they've only given up 7 1815 01:31:51,320 --> 01:31:55,480 total touchdowns to running backs all season, which is why I 1816 01:31:55,480 --> 01:31:58,400 can only get to a bronze grade on both of them. 1817 01:31:58,800 --> 01:32:00,840 I really don't like 1 better than the other. 1818 01:32:00,840 --> 01:32:04,880 It's pretty much a tie, so I hope Gainwell versus Warren is 1819 01:32:04,880 --> 01:32:07,160 not a question in Lightning Round. 1820 01:32:11,560 --> 01:32:14,320 It's time for Lightning Round. That's what that sound means. 1821 01:32:14,960 --> 01:32:16,800 To end the show, we do the Lightning Round. 1822 01:32:16,800 --> 01:32:19,760 It's your hardest decision between two players and two 1823 01:32:19,760 --> 01:32:22,360 players only. If you include three players, we 1824 01:32:22,360 --> 01:32:25,280 metaphorically hang up on you. And if you'd like to be featured 1825 01:32:25,280 --> 01:32:27,800 on Lightning Round, find my Twitter handle at Explosive 1826 01:32:27,800 --> 01:32:29,560 Output. Each week I'll put up a 1827 01:32:29,560 --> 01:32:31,600 Lightning Round thread. We'll pick a few and answer 1828 01:32:31,600 --> 01:32:32,600 them. Rapid fire. 1829 01:32:33,480 --> 01:32:34,760 We're going to go through a lot this week. 1830 01:32:34,960 --> 01:32:38,840 Maj. and Trevor, you ready? Doesn't matter, let's go. 1831 01:32:41,840 --> 01:32:43,640 Doesn't matter at all, all right? 1832 01:32:43,640 --> 01:32:46,800 Trevor Brew, daddy asks Trevion Henderson or Quin? 1833 01:32:46,800 --> 01:32:48,840 Sean Judkins in a guillotine league. 1834 01:32:49,440 --> 01:32:51,080 Yeah, give me Henderson in a great matchup. 1835 01:32:51,160 --> 01:32:52,920 Bills have allowed the most rushing touchdowns on the year. 1836 01:32:54,360 --> 01:32:56,320 All right, Maj. Daryl Hancock wants to know 1837 01:32:56,320 --> 01:32:59,520 Woody Marks or Devin Neil. I would go with Marks. 1838 01:32:59,520 --> 01:33:02,960 He's got the easy your matchup, shoves out injured so no touch 1839 01:33:02,960 --> 01:33:05,960 competition there. I like both guys, but Marks gets 1840 01:33:05,960 --> 01:33:09,520 the nod. All right, Trevor, Rico Dowdell 1841 01:33:09,520 --> 01:33:11,880 or Ken Walker, This is for Anthony Clap. 1842 01:33:12,640 --> 01:33:14,120 Yeah, Anthony, I'm gonna go with Ken Walker. 1843 01:33:14,400 --> 01:33:17,600 Seattle should get like 35 to 40 carries off in this game, and 1844 01:33:17,600 --> 01:33:19,160 Ken Walker should see 18 to 20 of those. 1845 01:33:21,200 --> 01:33:24,120 Man, I gave Rico Dowdell a starting grade and I gave Ken 1846 01:33:24,120 --> 01:33:27,000 Walker a bench grade. I understand that. 1847 01:33:27,080 --> 01:33:27,960 I wow all. Right. 1848 01:33:27,960 --> 01:33:31,160 Listen to the fantasy veteran or the guy who's third. 1849 01:33:31,880 --> 01:33:34,000 Show All right, Maj. Tim Whitley. 1850 01:33:34,280 --> 01:33:37,360 Not to be confused with Tim Watley, who converted to Judaism 1851 01:33:37,360 --> 01:33:40,640 just for the jokes. He wants to know Justin 1852 01:33:40,640 --> 01:33:46,760 Jefferson or Michael Wilson. This one's incredibly close for 1853 01:33:46,760 --> 01:33:48,280 me. I'm not going to actually fault 1854 01:33:48,280 --> 01:33:50,840 anybody for choosing either direction. 1855 01:33:50,840 --> 01:33:53,520 I'm going to go with the guy that has 49 targets in the last 1856 01:33:53,520 --> 01:33:55,280 three games as his team's number one. 1857 01:33:55,480 --> 01:33:59,160 Despite the tough match up, I fully admit this is the 1858 01:33:59,160 --> 01:34:01,240 conservative play. If you're chasing ceiling, you 1859 01:34:01,240 --> 01:34:04,400 go with Jefferson, but otherwise I think you got to stick with 1860 01:34:04,400 --> 01:34:08,200 Mike Wilson. It's come to this man. 1861 01:34:08,280 --> 01:34:11,720 If only people would have listened to my Justin Jefferson 1862 01:34:11,720 --> 01:34:15,080 is sabotage dropable take back in the day. 1863 01:34:16,120 --> 01:34:18,360 All right, Maj., I'm going to stay with you because Clayton 1864 01:34:18,360 --> 01:34:22,520 Cobb wants to know Michael Wilson what his other option is 1865 01:34:22,520 --> 01:34:25,360 Jayden Waddle or? Jayden Waddle, even. 1866 01:34:25,800 --> 01:34:29,040 Yeah, it would be even better, but I'm going to go with Wilson 1867 01:34:29,040 --> 01:34:31,960 again in this one. You know, Waddle has the great 1868 01:34:31,960 --> 01:34:33,920 match up and actually comes with the floor. 1869 01:34:33,920 --> 01:34:36,320 I think that's the problem with Justin Jefferson in that last 1870 01:34:36,320 --> 01:34:38,360 question, right? There's no safe floor. 1871 01:34:38,520 --> 01:34:41,960 Waddle has the safe floor, but he doesn't, he doesn't have 1872 01:34:41,960 --> 01:34:45,120 anywhere near the ceiling of Justin Jefferson because of what 1873 01:34:45,120 --> 01:34:48,200 you noted in your match up with the the way Tua's kind of had 1874 01:34:48,200 --> 01:34:51,840 the car keys taken away from him here in the last, you know, half 1875 01:34:51,840 --> 01:34:55,160 dozen weeks or so. So it's I'm I'm Wilson over 1876 01:34:55,160 --> 01:34:58,400 Jefferson for floor, but I'm Wilson over Waddle for ceiling, 1877 01:34:58,400 --> 01:35:01,160 if that makes sense. We've done it. 1878 01:35:01,160 --> 01:35:02,960 Wow. Threaded that needle. 1879 01:35:02,960 --> 01:35:05,560 They're probably ranked like, you know, right next to each 1880 01:35:05,560 --> 01:35:09,720 other in my fictitious rankings. All right, back to Trevor, Dak 1881 01:35:09,720 --> 01:35:13,000 Prescott or Jalen Hurts, and that's for Mark Giannini. 1882 01:35:13,920 --> 01:35:16,400 Yeah, I like Dak. He's got 320 plus yards in three 1883 01:35:16,400 --> 01:35:19,120 straight games and I don't. I hate everything about what the 1884 01:35:19,160 --> 01:35:20,680 Philadelphia offense looks like right now. 1885 01:35:20,840 --> 01:35:23,240 So let's go back. So all. 1886 01:35:23,240 --> 01:35:27,800 Right in Philadelphia. Tyler Morgan has a flex 1887 01:35:27,800 --> 01:35:30,240 question. It's either Juan Jennings or 1888 01:35:30,240 --> 01:35:32,640 Omarion Hampton. This one is PPR. 1889 01:35:33,400 --> 01:35:35,080 Yeah, I'm going to go with Jennings in this one. 1890 01:35:35,080 --> 01:35:37,000 He's got the better overall match up here. 1891 01:35:37,000 --> 01:35:40,760 Hampton's still sharing that backfield with it all and going 1892 01:35:40,760 --> 01:35:43,920 against easily a top ten run defense at Arrowhead. 1893 01:35:43,920 --> 01:35:47,080 So even though I think his The Arrow's pointing up on Hampton 1894 01:35:47,080 --> 01:35:50,920 here, I still go Jennings. All right, Trevor, here's a fun 1895 01:35:50,920 --> 01:35:55,000 one. Touchdown only league for 1896 01:35:55,000 --> 01:35:58,960 Minnesota sports fan on Twitter, either DK Metcalf or Ted 1897 01:35:58,960 --> 01:36:03,720 McMillan. Which 65200 and 30 lbs don't 1898 01:36:03,720 --> 01:36:05,280 like a God would you like to go with? 1899 01:36:05,280 --> 01:36:07,600 I'm going to go with T Mac. He's got 4 touchdowns in the 1900 01:36:07,600 --> 01:36:10,000 past three, so I'm going to give Ted McMillan the edge there. 1901 01:36:10,320 --> 01:36:15,200 He's an Adonis. Twin adonises. 1902 01:36:15,720 --> 01:36:19,240 All right Maj., we got this exact question for two different 1903 01:36:19,240 --> 01:36:25,520 users, EJB and David Glenn. David Glenn said his is 6 point 1904 01:36:25,520 --> 01:36:28,280 passing touchdowns and -4 for interceptions though. 1905 01:36:28,640 --> 01:36:31,040 But they both want to know Trevor Lawrence or Marcus 1906 01:36:31,040 --> 01:36:35,200 Mariota. And I I believe you can count 1907 01:36:35,200 --> 01:36:37,640 the number of interceptions The Jets have this season on no 1908 01:36:37,640 --> 01:36:38,400 hands. Correct. 1909 01:36:38,400 --> 01:36:40,320 That's what you had said. Zero. 1910 01:36:41,400 --> 01:36:43,960 Yeah. So, you know, this one's close. 1911 01:36:44,360 --> 01:36:47,160 You know, Mariota. Mariota was my about roll the 1912 01:36:47,160 --> 01:36:50,240 dice, but Lawrence has been fantasy's QB nine since Week 9. 1913 01:36:50,520 --> 01:36:53,200 He's had a QB one performance in four of his last six. 1914 01:36:53,200 --> 01:36:55,320 And since Week 10, The Jets are allowing the ninth highest 1915 01:36:55,320 --> 01:36:59,120 success rate per drop back. So I do give Lawrence the slight 1916 01:36:59,120 --> 01:37:03,440 nod in this one, but I think you're probably in decent shape 1917 01:37:03,440 --> 01:37:06,360 with with either of those guys. Lawrence Higher ceiling, maybe 1918 01:37:06,360 --> 01:37:10,880 slightly lower floor. I mean, you got the no negative 1919 01:37:10,880 --> 01:37:13,080 fours for Trevor Lawrence for sure. 1920 01:37:13,280 --> 01:37:15,240 That helps. It's a, it's a, you know, and 1921 01:37:15,240 --> 01:37:17,960 he's got no picks in his last two games, Lawrence, whereas 1922 01:37:17,960 --> 01:37:20,760 Mariota's got a three to three touchdown interception ratio in 1923 01:37:20,880 --> 01:37:23,840 his last three. All right, Trevor, in 1924 01:37:23,840 --> 01:37:26,440 Guillotine, this is what it comes down to. 1925 01:37:26,440 --> 01:37:30,200 It's Jonathan Taylor for Travis Etienne, and that's for Adam. 1926 01:37:31,360 --> 01:37:34,240 Yeah. So I think Maj., you ought to 1927 01:37:35,160 --> 01:37:36,640 hold on. Travis, ETN. 1928 01:37:37,240 --> 01:37:38,960 I don't even know because I didn't do that match up. 1929 01:37:39,120 --> 01:37:42,880 Hold on, ETN and. A silver on I agree, I think 1930 01:37:42,880 --> 01:37:44,280 it's insane. It sounds insane, but I'm going 1931 01:37:44,280 --> 01:37:46,680 with ETN. Indy's team totals a pathetic 14 1932 01:37:46,680 --> 01:37:50,120 points like we just saw. I'm just worried we're going to 1933 01:37:50,120 --> 01:37:52,400 see the Max Bros were two point O kind of thing going on where 1934 01:37:52,400 --> 01:37:54,680 it's just dead on arrival. This offense can't do anything. 1935 01:37:54,680 --> 01:37:57,240 So, Travis ETN over Jonathan Taylor. 1936 01:37:57,240 --> 01:38:00,520 What a world. I mean, that's guillotine, 1937 01:38:00,520 --> 01:38:02,160 though. You're down to like the last 1938 01:38:02,440 --> 01:38:04,840 four or five teams. They're all superstar rosters at 1939 01:38:04,840 --> 01:38:07,120 this point. Maj. 1940 01:38:07,120 --> 01:38:10,760 Michael Pittman or Devonta Smith in a non PPR league. 1941 01:38:10,760 --> 01:38:14,120 And this is for Jason Hansen, who I'm guessing is the former 1942 01:38:14,120 --> 01:38:16,200 Lions kicker. Definitely is. 1943 01:38:17,160 --> 01:38:19,440 And Trevor and I, we were so on the same wavelength today. 1944 01:38:19,440 --> 01:38:20,920 We had, we both had the Gibbs pick. 1945 01:38:21,160 --> 01:38:23,920 I've got a Max Brosmer joke in my answer to this question. 1946 01:38:23,920 --> 01:38:27,280 Like we're it's nuts. I've got I've got Devonta here 1947 01:38:27,280 --> 01:38:30,520 by a pretty healthy margin. You know, if Rivers is, is the 1948 01:38:30,520 --> 01:38:33,320 quarterback, Look, I'm, I'm a huge Phil Rivers guy. 1949 01:38:33,560 --> 01:38:37,200 I would love for 17 to come in and light it up at Seattle. 1950 01:38:37,920 --> 01:38:40,800 But yeah, we're we're far more likely to see Brosnar 2 point O 1951 01:38:40,800 --> 01:38:44,000 here. All right, Trevor, Steve 1952 01:38:44,000 --> 01:38:48,560 Bartman, 2 point O has to choose between Stefan Diggs and 1953 01:38:48,560 --> 01:38:50,520 Christian Watson. PPI. 1954 01:38:50,520 --> 01:38:53,160 Broke in the matrix today. Yeah, Steve, I want to change 1955 01:38:53,160 --> 01:38:55,480 his bad luck moniker before the fantasy playoffs here. 1956 01:38:56,720 --> 01:38:59,800 I'm going to go with Steph Diggs in the revenge game, which we'll 1957 01:38:59,800 --> 01:39:03,320 remember he went nuclear in the first Bills Patriots matchup of 1958 01:39:03,320 --> 01:39:05,040 the year. And Christian Watson just being 1959 01:39:05,320 --> 01:39:08,160 maybe get the PS2 treatment I think sends me towards Diggs. 1960 01:39:09,160 --> 01:39:12,760 All right, Maj. last one for you, PPR League, Darren Waller 1961 01:39:12,760 --> 01:39:15,440 or Theo Johnson. That's for Aaron Gage. 1962 01:39:16,040 --> 01:39:18,920 Yeah, I think you go, Theo, in this one by a decent bit. 1963 01:39:19,440 --> 01:39:22,120 There's that lack of upside you noted Matt in the Miami passing 1964 01:39:22,120 --> 01:39:24,720 attack right now. But that doesn't mean get rid of 1965 01:39:24,720 --> 01:39:26,640 Darren Waller. Like you said, he's got that 1966 01:39:27,040 --> 01:39:30,520 nice Cincy match up next week. So don't go far, Darren Waller. 1967 01:39:31,720 --> 01:39:33,680 All right. Final choice in Lightning round 1968 01:39:33,680 --> 01:39:37,920 is for Trevor, Trey McBride or Harold Fannin. 1969 01:39:39,320 --> 01:39:42,760 You're playing Trey McBride, but how, how smart would you feel if 1970 01:39:42,760 --> 01:39:45,760 you benched the best tight end for like the backup, you know, 1971 01:39:45,800 --> 01:39:49,480 rookie Brown's guy and and it paid off like what a in the 1972 01:39:49,480 --> 01:39:51,600 fantasy playoffs, that would be the like the ballsiest thing you 1973 01:39:51,600 --> 01:39:53,000 could do. But I'm going to play Trey 1974 01:39:53,000 --> 01:39:58,000 McBride, Kuchao. Speed. 1975 01:39:58,720 --> 01:40:01,480 I am speed doesn't want to play my Kuchao button. 1976 01:40:01,480 --> 01:40:02,880 I don't know why. There we go. 1977 01:40:02,880 --> 01:40:05,000 We got it now. Kuchao, that was lightning 1978 01:40:05,000 --> 01:40:06,480 round. All right. 1979 01:40:06,480 --> 01:40:11,160 Thanks guys. Trevor Maj. you guys did a ton 1980 01:40:11,160 --> 01:40:13,680 of hard work this week. We all had five matchups. 1981 01:40:13,960 --> 01:40:17,640 That's a beast to go through. Not an easy task to get this 1982 01:40:17,640 --> 01:40:20,960 show going for sure. So give those guys a follow on 1983 01:40:20,960 --> 01:40:24,520 their social platforms. Noko Maggio on Blue Sky T Jones 1984 01:40:24,520 --> 01:40:28,240 5 on Twitter and make sure that you're rating and reviewing 1985 01:40:28,280 --> 01:40:32,080 fantasy football almost daily to help others find our show. 1986 01:40:32,880 --> 01:40:36,200 Reminder on Game Blazers real quick, try Game Blazers this 1987 01:40:36,200 --> 01:40:39,720 week to win your share of 36,000 and free roll games. 1988 01:40:39,720 --> 01:40:43,680 Sign up with promo code FFAD, get a free starter pack, a free 1989 01:40:43,680 --> 01:40:46,400 rare pack, and then A5 for 50 offer there. 1990 01:40:46,840 --> 01:40:50,040 Learn more at gameblazers.com Mosh Trevor. 1991 01:40:50,040 --> 01:40:51,840 Anything exciting happening this weekend? 1992 01:40:53,040 --> 01:40:56,400 Staying warm, watching football, that's about it. 1993 01:40:56,920 --> 01:40:59,760 The the the former will be more difficult than the latter, I 1994 01:40:59,760 --> 01:41:02,200 think, for you. Got a little Christmas party at 1995 01:41:02,200 --> 01:41:04,800 my house this weekend. Otherwise, yeah, watching some 1996 01:41:04,800 --> 01:41:06,840 football. So thank you, Matt, for putting 1997 01:41:06,840 --> 01:41:08,360 this together. As always, thanks, everybody, 1998 01:41:08,360 --> 01:41:09,960 for listening. Hit us up with questions on 1999 01:41:09,960 --> 01:41:12,120 those socials if you have any. Good luck in your fantasy 2000 01:41:12,120 --> 01:41:14,520 playoffs, everybody. Couldn't have said it better 2001 01:41:14,520 --> 01:41:16,520 myself. Thank you guys all for watching 2002 01:41:16,520 --> 01:41:19,200 and listening and we'll see you next week on more fantasy 2003 01:41:19,200 --> 01:41:24,000 football almost daily. This was fantasy football almost 2004 01:41:24,000 --> 01:41:25,920 daily. Please subscribe and give us a 2005 01:41:25,920 --> 01:41:28,480 five star rating wherever you listen to podcasts.