Hi everybody. It's Matt.
This is fantasy football almost daily.
It's our DFS show. Today, Trevor and I are about to
give you our favorite DFS plays of the week.
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Trevor, Anthony Maggio and I will be going over the Sunday
and Monday games, giving you the right players to play in your
fantasy championship. We definitely saved the best
advice for last. And if you need help with the
Thursday or Saturday matchups, Kent Wyrock and I just did that
podcast episode right before this one.
So make sure that you go listen to that if you need help on your
Thursday or Saturday lineup decisions.
If you're listening to this pod before the games kick off on
Christmas Day, we urge you to go play the Lord's a Leapin and the
Christmas Day 5 by 5 on fanball. Both include the Christmas Day
only slate, and there's also a Saturday 5 by 5 and our normal
slate of Sunday games. All fanball games are super flex
too, which means you can double stack those quarterbacks and
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deposit will match your entry up to $20.00 for being a fan of
this show. That's like a free Peacock entry
right there. Today we dive deep into the
Sunday slate for Week 17. We're here already.
Trevor. Hit me with some Jingle Bells
from the God, stop the Jingle Bells.
My goodness, that was that's too many Jingle Bells in in
succession right there without like, music or something going
behind it. Trevor, how you doing today?
Yeah. We're not 100%, but no excuses.
It's championship week, so let's give the people what they want.
All right. We're going to preview Week 17
from ADFS perspective today on the show.
And while we generally use those fanball figures, most of the
information can be used on any of the other salary cap sites.
We're not going to go through the news today.
We're going to dive right into the favorite DFS plays of the
week after Majd brings you this little clip about game Blazers.
It's Christmas week, which at Game Blazers needs a special NFL
slate with $40,000 in cash prizes up for grabs.
Every week has thousands on the line and free roll contests at
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for two more rare packs. Learnmore@gameblazers.com Happy
holidays. I'm not sure I can handle Maj.
and the Santa hat. That's too much the.
Santa hat plus the lamp. Yeah, yeah.
I I do love Lamp though. All right, time to dig into week
17. Super weird slate on Sunday from
ADFS perspective because there's the three Christmas Day Thursday
games. There's two Saturday games, by
the way, there's only two Sunday afternoon games at all.
So you're not going to be playing red zone on your TV on
Sunday afternoon. Arizona and Cincinnati looks
like the biggest over under of the Sunday slate at 53 1/2.
Last I checked. The only other one in the 50s is
the nightcap, the Bears and Niners at 50 1/2.
There's a few games that are kind of like Buzz's girlfriend.
Woof. The Saints and Titans are just
under 40, and the Steelers and Browns 34 1/2.
That's super low. Yeah.
It's also very important to consider which teams have
something to play for at this time of year.
We're, we're getting down to, you know, just the end of the
season and some teams have nothing to play for.
I was looking at the Chiefs on Christmas Day.
Right now the Chiefs have absolutely nothing to play for
and are on backups to backups. It's so sad.
You can basically play no Chiefs on Christmas Day, but Oh well,
let's start with some players you can play on Sunday.
Trevor, who's going to be in close to half of all your line
UPS you make this week, or just all of them?
Because this is the most obvious play of all time.
Yep, Yep. I was going to say we can't
start anywhere else but with Trey McBride 7800 at Cincinnati.
This is no joke, literally the best tight end spot in fantasy
football history. McBride outbases all of their
NFL tight ends this season by 29 catches, 244 yards.
He also leads that position in touchdowns.
Now he gets the worst tight end defense of all time.
I don't really know what else to say.
Matt, you've done the if we combined all the tight ends face
in Cincinnati into one person, they would be, you know, a Space
Jam character when the can you play Dawson Knox as a backup
tight end or the Steelers third string?
So just play frame McBride. Some might be scared off from
the four for 27 mark last week, last week, but not us.
If anything, we might be able to get a little bit lower ownership
than we normally would. The only tight end better than
Trey McBride is the tight end playing the Bengals in any given
week. Exactly.
So when the same person, it's just.
Yeah, when the Venn diagram overlaps, we're in good shape.
By the way, I will note that game is in Cincinnati, supposed
to be a balmy 56° for a December day in Cincinnati.
So no weather, no issues there. It should be just fine for the
Cardinals coming in from the desert and and and the the
indoor stadium. I think it is going to be a high
scoring affair. I'm going to be stacking a lot
of the Cincy, Arizona game on my line UPS.
My guy that I have is also Trey McBride.
No, I I considered Saquon here. The Eagles don't have anything
to play for. So let's go with the runner on
the other side of that game, It's James Cook.
And it's worth noting I never get James Cook right.
Ever. And Buffalo is still trying to
keep pace with New England and win the East.
They have an outside chance at the number one seed too.
But Phillies struggled with running backs for over a month
now. Jacory Krosky, Merritt and Chris
Rodriguez combined for 94 combo yards and two scores last week.
Both Chargers backs hit double digit PPR points recently.
Swift and Monongi went crazy. They ran for 255 yards and two
scores against the Eagles. The Eagles have also given up
two different 100 yard receiving games to opposing backs this
year and that's a feat right there.
So I, I kind of like James Cook in this one.
He I think he'll be a little a little overlooked in this one.
So I'd roll with James Cook here.
How about a guy that you would not put in any of your line UPS
this week about a higher priced guy, Trevor.
Yeah, I think he's been the most popular pick for me in this
spot. And that's JT again, 7900 home
against Jacksonville. He saw this exact match up just
two weeks ago. It kind of floundered.
Only 21 carries for 74 yards and just the one touchdown.
Also 0 passing game work. Jacksonville is also maybe the
toughest running back match up in the league right now.
They've permitted an average of just 68 rushing yards per game
to enemy backs, which is second second best in the league.
Even with Philip Rivers wanting to check the ball down a ton, JT
had less targets and catches than Amir Abdullah did in
River's first game. And then last night, obviously,
I think we saw 68 points total and JT had just three targets in
that game. He also hasn't cracked 17 PPR
points since Week 10. I just I'm spending up elsewhere
this week. All right, I've got the running
back on the other side of that game right here.
I got Travis Etienne, who I used last week.
He did OK. He scored once, but he didn't
return the 3X value. And I'm going back to the well
this week faces the Colts. Colts have only allowed one
running back to top 80 rushing yards this year.
In Week 14, these two teams played.
Etienne did score twice and that helped him, but it took him 20
carries to hit only 74 yards and that's just not enough
production right there. Over his four games, he's been
held under 4.0 yards per carry in every one of them.
So he's not running at a high level right now.
He's getting all the work, but it's not not super successful.
All right. Favorite quarterback play of the
week, Trevor, who you got? Yeah, well actually he flipped
to the passing game for the Jags and I'm going to go with Trevor
Lawrence, 6400 against Indy. He's playing the best ball of
his career right now. He's got 18 touchdowns in his
last five games and at least 5 rushing attempts and six of his
last 8. So he's giving us higher floor
and he's giving us a ceiling that I didn't really know he had
until maybe the last two weeks. The rushing for him could be a
little bit limited. Indy is the best in the league
against the quarterback run game, but the Colts do show
cracks through the air, ranking bottom 3IN completions and
passing yards allowed to enemy offenses.
India also allows the most catches in the league to the
wide receiver position, and they just got hit for five passing
touchdowns by Brock Purdy on Monday Night Football.
Lawrence is honestly probably the hottest quarterback in the
league right now. I'm going to keep rolling with
him in Week 17 here. Trevor Jones.
This would have been the Trevor versus Jones match up for
quarterback if we had Daniel Jones stayed healthy.
He got that going for you. Yeah, Trevor Rivers isn't.
As good? No, it doesn't roll off the
tongue as well, unless you like to roll your Rs.
Trevor River. My expensive pick is Drake May.
He's 6900 at The Jets. He's topped 270 yards five times
in his last six games, and when you combine rushing and passing
scores, he's responsible for at least two touchdowns in every
game but three this season. In Week 11 against The Jets, he
hit 281 passing yards, only one touchdown pass.
I guess that's the risk is that the Pats get up too big and they
just stop passing. But they got to get up big
first, and The Jets are not good at anything.
They've allowed the ninth most passing touchdowns 15 games in.
They still haven't intercepted a ball.
Has a team ever got a full season?
Do we know without a pick like in the Super Bowl era?
I I don't know, but they got two more games to go and I don't
know if they're gonna do it. Good luck.
All right, Who's your budget pick, Trevor?
Yeah, not too much cheaper here. Caleb Williams, 5900 at San
Francisco. Yeah, Speaking of guys playing
their best ever ball, Caleb's got multiple touchdown passes in
three straight with 0 picks, and that's coming against quality
defense. He's seen Green Bay twice and
Cleveland wants in those three games.
This game, like you said, has the second highest total on the
slate. It's just one of two games over
50 points projection since they're by San Fran has allowed
KM Moore and Phil Rivers to combine for a 64% completion
percentage, nearly 225 passing yards and two passing touchdowns
per game. You could argue those are two of
the worst fantasy quarterbacks in the league.
Hopefully, the Bears do get one of Rome or Luther Burden back
for Sunday Night Football. Burden looks the more likely,
but yeah, keep an eye on that as we get closer to Sunday night.
All right, I'm, I'm mirroring you in a lot of ways today.
I'm finding out because I've got the quarterback on the other
side of that match up and that's Brock Purdy 6300 against
Chicago. Great game on Monday night. 5
touchdown passes. The first 49ers quarterback to
thrill for five touchdown passes since Joe Montana.
Yes, I used to play Joe Montana Sports Talk football on Sega
Genesis back in the day. It bodes well that a large
quantity of touchdown passes impresses you, Trevor, because
the Bears have allowed the fifth most touchdown passes in the
league this year. The quarterbacks that have not
had multiple touchdown passes against the Bears are as
follows. Malik Willis, Chadur Sanders.
Mason Rudolph. JJ McCarthy in one of the
meetings. Jackson Dart, Tyler Huntley and
then randomly Dak Prescott. Everybody else has had multiple
touchdown passes. That's not a who's who of the
great quarterbacks in the league right there outside of DAC on
that list. So basically, if Purdy has a
pulse, he's throwing for multiple scorers in this game.
The Niners still have a shot at the number one seed, by the way,
if they win the their final two games, which are both home
games. They have home field advantage
in the NFC and the Super Bowls being played in their home
stadium. So they got that going for them,
notably the Niners. This is this is just a fun stat.
They've made the NFC championship game or missed the
playoffs in 22 straight seasons. I love that stat so much.
I was going to say it's got. To see if it may be like every
other, you know, missed playoff, but yeah, 22 straight they're.
They're either in the final four or they're out.
Because before Kyle Shanahan, they had, I suppose, like one or
two conference championships with Harbaugh, and then they
were also just bad for a while before that.
So yeah, that's what a that's a crazy stat.
Well done, pretty. Wild, huh?
Yeah. All right, Trevor, let's go to
the running back position. Who do you got?
Yeah, we'll stay in that game. If you notice, we target like
two or three of the games because it's a nasty slate.
So just targeting the highest scoring games is, I don't know
that's a, that's a good strap. I'm thinking.
So we'll go CMC here. 8400 home against Chicago.
He's averaged 26 touches per game over his last four.
He's got 5 touchdowns in those games.
On Monday night, he saw 8 red zone touches on the year.
He has 59% of the Niners red zone touches.
He has 89 total this year. Only two players have even
crossed 60. It's easier to beat the Bears
through the air than on the ground, but they do still give
up nearly 4.8 yards per carry on the ground, which is fifth worst
in the league. Chicago was just hit by Packers
backs last week to the tune of 27 carries for 142 yards, mostly
done by their backup runner. Like you said, San Fran still
kind of got everything to play for, and Sunday night hammer
CMC. That's about as fun as it gets
in DFS. Yeah, that's pretty sweet.
Like you said, we're hammering those games that we really like
this week, and that's since the Arizona game staring me right in
the face. Chase Brown is 6900 at home
against the Cardinals. 3 touchdowns last week in Miami.
21 catches in his last four games.
Has had at least 16 fan ball points in eight straight games.
So it's a pretty safe floor here.
And the upside of playing the Cardinals is awesome.
They're allowing 4.8 yards per carry, fourth worst in the NFL.
Their bottom five in rushing yards and scores, receiving
touchdowns to backs, touches per game, combo yards and total
touches to running backs or total touchdowns to running
backs. They bad at football by the way.
The weather in Cincy. Like I said, mid 50s.
I'm stacking the heck out of this game.
I'm with you, cheap. Runner.
Yeah, it's not a great week for cheap runners.
I go in with Tony Pollard, 5600 home against the Saints.
The Titans have committed heavily to Tony Pollard over the
last three games. He's averaging over 20 touches
per game. The deficiency's been there as
well for him. He's cleared 100 rushing yards
in three straight. New Orleans is not an imposing
match up for running backs. Their weak points are that
they've allowed the 7th most rushing yards and third most
touches to the position. Tennessee obviously not a good
team, but they're only a 2 1/2 point home underdog, which
should keep the game strip tilted more in favor of Pollard
over passing game back Taija Spears.
All right, I like that one. Taija Spears had a nice week
last week, too. We did.
Yeah, I got Romandre Stevenson 5700 at The Jets.
Trayvon Henderson is in the concussion protocol.
It would seem insane to me, even if they could figure out a way
to rush Henderson back, that the Pats would need him to beat The
Jets here. So it's probably Stevenson in
the lead back role. And he's been pretty good in
relief in the last two weeks, last two weeks with under 50% of
the carries, 14 carries, 101 yards in a score, plus 5 catches
and 54 yards through the air. So that's like one game's worth
of touches, too. This is The Jets.
They've allowed the most touchdowns to running backs in
the league this year, 23 so far. I think Stevenson's in a pretty
nice spot here. And I think Terrell Jennings is
like the only other back that even like, gets touches on the
roster. And he's like a grinder.
So yeah, actually I think I like from Andre better than my
Pollard call there. All right.
Wide receiver position. Who's your expensive guy?
T-bone. Yeah.
What with? The Chris Olave 7K at Tennessee
Tennessee is a good match up for Olave.
The Titans have allowed nearly 160 receiving yard wide receiver
yards per game, seventh most in the league.
Prior to shutting down Gardner Minshew with something called
Chris Oladekun maybe last week, the Titans have given up at
least 75 receiving arts, the last five receiver ones they
faced, including five touchdowns to those players next to Chris
Alave, Devon Vele was leading these Saints received a corner
snaps and since he was injured against Carolina two weeks ago,
Chris Alave has a massive 31% target share in that span and.
Vele is on IR now, so his season's over.
My expensive pick JSN at 8400. The most expensive player on the
board for wide receivers. He pitched a 23 point game last
week in the second-half. He was shut out halftime. 20 or
more fan ball points in 13 of 15 games this season.
Super consistent. The match up is very interesting
against Carolina. JSN runs most of his routes from
the slot so he gets Chow Smith Wade.
He's the easiest match up of the Carolina corners, but even if he
flexes out wide and gets Jaycee Horn, he's allowed five
touchdowns in his coverage this season.
So JS NS talent is way better than whatever the Panthers throw
at him. And remember the Seahawks they
need to win too if they want to keep home field advantage in
this 1. So it's a super important game.
I think they feed JSN copiously. And Carolina absolutely has to
win to keep the playoff hopes alive.
So hopefully it's a little bit of a shootout there They.
Carolina, I believe they can lose this one and just beat
Tampa next week and they win the division.
So this one, not as important for the Panthers, but definitely
important for the Seahawks. All right, who's your budget?
Wide receiver? Yeah, we're actually going to
stick. On the same team here, Jawan
Johnson 4200 at Tennessee. I'm aware that Jawan Johnson
doesn't play receiver on fan ball.
He does so. With Devon Bailey out.
Johnson is the de facto #2 pass game target after Chris Allave.
Johnson took advantage of the opportunity last week.
He had 9 targets and he cashed him in for eight for 89.
He's got 4 catches in six straight games.
So he's actually done a decent 4 play.
Titans are just a middling match up against the position.
And like you said, it's important that the teams are
still playing hard. The Saints.
Saints and Titans are two teams absolutely still playing hard
despite, you know, their playoff hopes were done in Week 6 or
whatever. So yeah, the Saints.
Definitely want to finish the season strong.
They feel like they've got things to build on and they they
might be in the mix for the playoffs next year.
So I think that they want to finish super strong.
Kind of weird that the Titans want to since they were in in
line for a number one overall pick maybe, but Oh well.
My budget receiver is Mack Hollins 3600 at The Jets.
He's he's a member of the Patriots.
If you lost track, far and away, at very minimum the number 2
wide receiver in Drake May's offense.
And you could argue on some days he's the number 19 targets last
week. Oh wait, here we go 9 * 9.
There we go. 9 targets last week, 7 catches, 69 yards.
He was only one target behind Stefan Digs. 8 targets the week
before that was four more than Digs.
So he's led the wide receiver room in snapshare basically all
year long. I I didn't know this.
He has 130 more snaps than Stephon Diggs this year.
Wow. He's on the.
Field all the time and he's dirt cheap and he's playing The Jets.
I already told you I like Drake May.
This is a super inexpensive way to get a duo against the team
that just gave up ten catches, 148 yards and two scores last
week to your guy Chris Olave. I like it.
All right. Tight end plays, and it it's
tight end plays with a little caveat on it that your tight end
play is Trey McBride. But who else could you play?
Correct. So actually the expense of tight
end here, I think you can play. I got Harold Fannin for the
Browns 5100 at home against Pittsburgh, and Joe Kuzan
remained out. At this point, he might just be
ruled out for the season with just a couple games to go.
Fannin's been excellent recently.
At least 12 PPR points, four straight games and a touchdown
in three of those 4. We've talked about steel.
'S Defense Tight end defense is horrific. 4th most yards,
catches and touchdowns to the position.
Pittsburgh's so bad that they gave up seven for 60 to a pair
of Detroit tight ends last week who had previously combined for
one catch since 2023. So.
Literal like it just, you know, plumbers and firemen are coming
off the street here to catch tight ends Tenon catches against
Pittsburgh. So I'm going to fan in it
expensive tight end. What is?
Wrong with the AFC North in their tight end defense.
I don't get it. That's horrific this year.
All right, my expensive pick. I think you can roll with George
Kittle 5900 against Chicago. There's two games where I want
as many pieces as possible. This is one of them.
Kittle coming off another gym, 7 catches, 115 yards and a score
against the Colts. He's one of those few tight ends
who can give you that huge upside.
The Bears are fine against the tight end, but just fine if the
Niners. You know, need.
To win out. And they do.
Kittle's going to be fed in this game.
Rock Purdy hits Kittle, Rock Purdy hits Jennings.
Rock Purdy hits McCaffrey over and over again.
All right, You got a budget tight end?
Yeah. It's nasty again with all the
Thursday, Saturday games. It's just that's tough.
I got AJ Barner for Seattle 3500 at Carolina.
He has 3 or 4 catches and four straight games.
He did find his way into the end zone last week through the air.
Keep in mind, he is still tasked with being the twish push option
for the Seattle. So he's always live for a, you
know, potential one yard score there.
Carolina's bottom third in the league, permitting nearly 60
yards per game to the position. So Barner's a decent punt tight
end, but you could just play Trey McBride and not have to do
this. Yeah.
My budget tight end I mean, you used a tight end at wide
receiver I'm using a tight end who's listed as a wide receiver
on fan ball 2 Elijah Higgins, Trey McBride's teammate and
because it's. The Bengals we're.
Going, we're going against them. We're going hard somewhat
randomly. He had eight targets, 7 catches
and 91 yards against Atlanta last week.
He's not a complete zero either. He's had two or three targets in
nine other games this season. That's in an offense where he
has to share with Trey McBride. So he's he's there the middle of
the field, consistently open against tight ends for the
Bengals. If if he gets you 7 points,
which is like nothing, it's like 3 catches for 40 yards.
That would allow you to build some crazy line UPS because he's
at minimum price. He's the $3000 guy that you, I
think you could actually play. By the way, 22 tight ends have
scored seven points against the Bengals this year.
That's insane. So he's got like a.
Again, even with their backups, so you got like 1/2 chance to
like have a usable fantasy day. It's just, yeah.
That's nuts. The bar is low.
You just need something all right, Deep, deep sleeper.
And I don't know if we can get much deeper than Elijah Higgins
there. Yeah.
I went to Smaja P Ryan, the backup running back for the
Bengals 4300 against the Cardinals.
Again, it's sort of a let's let's bet on this game script or
this game environment. In the four games since his
return from injury, P Ryan's seen 47 touches, including two
different games with at least 15 touches.
He found the end zone last week and now he gets a prime match up
with the Cardinals, who are bottom five in touches, yards
and touchdowns allowed to the position.
Like we said, it's the highest over under on the slate since
you can get to 30 points. As they have in three of their
last four games. P Ryan could be in for a useful
day at, you know, 4K price tag at runner back.
How many? Points.
Did they score in that other game?
Zero. That was 0.
We don't. We don't.
Talk about that one, no? We don't talk about Bruno, my
deep sleeper. I whiffed last week on Jaden
Higgins. I had a couple good weeks in a
row, but evidently CJ Stroud doesn't like Jaden Higgins.
Davis Mills does, but Stroud doesn't.
But this week we're vibing with the Amari Demarcato Comeback
tour. He's 3900 at Cincy.
And I mean, we're we're just picking on this game here.
Our deep sleepers are the backup running backs in this game.
Michael Carter did fine last week and I think that he's
definitely in play too. In line UPS.
He's 4900 this week. Carter only had 11 touches.
Demarcado was mixed in for five rushing attempts, had a target
too. The Bengals are allowing 29
touches per game to opposing backs and a league high 173
combo yards per game. So let's say that Demarcado gets
a third of that, that's 65 yards that's usable.
The Bengals have allowed the 4th most touchdowns in the leagues
to backs as well. So that's definitely in play
too, as long as he doesn't drop it on the goal line.
But you still need to be pretty good to get so wide open that
you're all alone on the goal line to drop the ball.
So let's see if Amari Demarcato can can do it this week.
I think you can find the end zone I think.
So too, and they they cut Carter snaps a little bit last week as
well. So he certainly.
Did all right Trevor let's let's talk about what what your line
up might be on fan ball this week yeah I've got a line up
I'd. Also mentioned it is obviously
fantasy championship week and I know some people will like to do
the throw your opponents. Your fantasy.
Championship opponents line up into ADFS contest so if he gets
destroyed or he goes nuts I was playing.
Christian Peterson last night in a in a in ADFS game.
I had three players going. I had Purdy, Kittle and Pittman
going and he made AI think a prize picks line up or something
like that with those guys as the hedge.
Yeah, yeah. I was going to say so, you know,
just in case you get crossed, you can pick up a little bit of
fan ball bucks. But yeah, my line up here at
quarterback, I've got Jacoby Brissett and Caleb Williams,
running back, CMC Romandre and Chase Brown, receiver Elijah
Higgins, Chris Olave, Juwan Johnson and then the free space
of all free spaces, Trey McBride.
All right, sounds pretty good. This is the time of the show
where if you're watching on video, we pop up the old Sunday
5 by 5 options for this week. And normally, Trevor, we start
the Sunday 5 by 5 with the late afternoon games.
But since there's just only two afternoon games and one Sunday
night game, we extended it to the whole player pool this week.
So a little bit larger player pool, but who stuck out to you?
And for me, I think it's that Cardinals, Bengals game.
There's a lot of guys lower on that list that I think I just
want to get involved with. I agree, yeah, Trey McBride not
being $5 stands out to me. That feels like a lock.
And then I I agree, I think shooting at the Bengals,
Cardinals and 49ers Bears games are the way I would attack it.
So yeah, CMC is also, you get a dollar off of him when he should
usually be $5. Yeah, Chase Brown at 2 is a
great value. So that's probably where I'd
head. You can go Trey McBride, CMC,
Joe Burrow and Jamar Chase and you've spent $14.00.
So then you can throw a $1.00 guy in there like a George
Kittle or a DJ Moore. I kind of like that.
It's going to be a high scoring. Week, I think for at least for
this contest. Yeah, all.
Right, that's it for the DFS pod this week, and I should note
that Game Blazers has a big Christmas week. 40,000 in prizes
on the line in free Roll contest.
Sign up with the referral code FFAD for a free starter pack and
a free rare pack. You can learn more at
gameblazers.com. Trevor, I will see you for the
Fantasy Friday show and we'll get all of the match ups ready
for everybody the rest of the way.
And then you got no happy. Holidays, everybody, and good
luck in the DFS streets. All right, we'll.
See you then. That's this was fantasy football
almost daily. And we'll see you tomorrow.
Maybe this was fantasy football almost daily.
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