1 00:00:01,920 --> 00:00:04,440 Hey everyone, it's Matt. This is Fantasy Football Almost 2 00:00:04,440 --> 00:00:07,880 Daily today, a very special episode where we tackle some NFL 3 00:00:07,880 --> 00:00:11,520 post season fantasy with our friend and the godfather of the 4 00:00:11,520 --> 00:00:14,880 NFFC, Greg Ambrosius. But before we go to that, make 5 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:17,920 sure if we've helped you win a few bucks this season. 6 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:20,640 I mean, tips aren't necessary, but please make sure you've 7 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:23,800 given us a great rating review on Spotify, Apple podcast, 8 00:00:24,080 --> 00:00:26,200 iHeartRadio or some thumbs up on YouTube. 9 00:00:26,200 --> 00:00:29,440 If you're subscribed to Fantasy Football Almost Daily, we thank 10 00:00:29,440 --> 00:00:31,720 you so much. And this weekend on fanball, 11 00:00:32,000 --> 00:00:33,640 it's wild. Literally. 12 00:00:34,040 --> 00:00:37,600 We've got a $20 Wild Peacock contest that runs through all 13 00:00:37,600 --> 00:00:40,240 six wild card games. It starts on Saturday, so you're 14 00:00:40,240 --> 00:00:43,280 going to want to get your spot reserved soon or else you can't 15 00:00:43,280 --> 00:00:46,280 win $1000. There's also a $10 Saturday 16 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:50,200 showdown and a $10 Sunday showdown, both Super Flex games. 17 00:00:50,400 --> 00:00:54,120 Both are, you guessed it, $10 to play, and both narrow down the 18 00:00:54,120 --> 00:00:57,360 player pool to just their respective day of the week. 400 19 00:00:57,360 --> 00:01:01,200 to 1st on Saturday, 500 to 1st on Sunday, and if you use promo 20 00:01:01,200 --> 00:01:04,400 code almost when you make a deposit to Fanball, we'll match 21 00:01:04,400 --> 00:01:07,320 your deposit up to $20 just for being a fan of this show. 22 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:09,680 That's like a free Peacock entry right there. 23 00:01:10,080 --> 00:01:12,280 Let's talk some NFL playoffs with Greg. 24 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:14,840 But first, Tate's sweet, sweet music. 25 00:01:16,320 --> 00:01:24,480 From the Sports Hub Games Network, this is fantasy 26 00:01:24,560 --> 00:01:28,680 football, almost dated with your host Matt Harrison. 27 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:40,280 Goodness gracious, we got a newbie here to fantasy football 28 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:43,680 almost daily with me today. A true fantasy sports legend. 29 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,600 He's the founder and general manager of the National Fantasy 30 00:01:46,600 --> 00:01:50,880 Football Championship. He's an FSGA and FSWA Hall of 31 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:54,440 Famer. He's been on SiriusXM for years. 32 00:01:54,720 --> 00:01:57,680 Unfortunately, he's a Packer fan, but he's Greg Ambrosious. 33 00:01:57,680 --> 00:01:59,640 How you doing, Greg? I'm doing great. 34 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:02,040 Looking forward to this wild, wild weekend. 35 00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:04,520 As I said, I mean the College Football Playoffs on Thursday 36 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:06,760 and Friday. Then you got the NFL Saturday, 37 00:02:06,760 --> 00:02:09,880 Sunday, Monday. This is a man's dream weekend, 38 00:02:09,880 --> 00:02:12,160 right? Yeah, and you might notice I'm 39 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:16,040 wearing a UW River Falls hat right now. 40 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:19,960 Division Three national champions, not too far from your 41 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:22,240 neck of the woods a little, maybe a little closer to me. 42 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:25,960 I'm a Platteville grad, so I was on the western side of the state 43 00:02:25,960 --> 00:02:28,120 for four years. So yeah, River Falls, 44 00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:30,800 Platteville, we had some great matchups when I was back there 45 00:02:31,080 --> 00:02:33,680 way, way long ago. You called me a newbie. 46 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,480 I'm an old, old man, man. I went to College in the 70s. 47 00:02:38,360 --> 00:02:40,760 I wasn't born in the 70s. So there we go. 48 00:02:41,320 --> 00:02:45,600 All right, we're going to talk about some of our favorite plays 49 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:47,560 in the wild card round in a little bit. 50 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,760 But first, Greg, for those of you who don't know you and we 51 00:02:50,760 --> 00:02:53,360 probably have little bit of different audiences between our 52 00:02:53,360 --> 00:02:57,160 two shows, how'd you get into the fantasy sports world and and 53 00:02:57,160 --> 00:02:59,840 kind of what brings you to to fantasy sports? 54 00:03:00,240 --> 00:03:02,520 Yeah, like I said, I've been in the industry a long time. 55 00:03:02,520 --> 00:03:06,360 So I got in in 1989. I was a newspaper sports editor 56 00:03:06,360 --> 00:03:08,920 for seven years. I saw an ad in the Green Bay 57 00:03:08,920 --> 00:03:12,160 Press Gazette, believe it or not, on the day that the Packers 58 00:03:12,160 --> 00:03:15,400 drafted Tony Mandrich second overall instead of Barry 59 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:17,400 Sanders. And I couldn't believe. 60 00:03:17,400 --> 00:03:20,720 I was like, they were looking for a rotisserie magazine 61 00:03:20,720 --> 00:03:22,920 editor. I was like, that's right up my 62 00:03:22,920 --> 00:03:24,240 alley. I've been playing this for three 63 00:03:24,240 --> 00:03:25,720 years. When I came to interview for the 64 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:29,480 job, they were like, you've been playing for three years. 65 00:03:29,640 --> 00:03:32,560 Wow. You know, I was a veteran and so 66 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:36,920 I got hired and we started Fantasy Baseball Magazine in 67 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,800 1989. We wanted to call it Rotisserie 68 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:43,280 Baseball Magazine, but Glenn Wagner is going to sue us if we 69 00:03:43,280 --> 00:03:46,160 use the rotisserie. So I said everybody's playing 70 00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:48,000 fantasy football. Let's just call it Fantasy 71 00:03:48,000 --> 00:03:50,200 Baseball Magazine. And that's what we I did. 72 00:03:50,440 --> 00:03:52,480 So I was the editor of that for 15 years. 73 00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:55,720 I was in the baseball card industry at that time, editor of 74 00:03:55,920 --> 00:03:59,120 baseball cards magazine, Sports Collector's Digest, if you 75 00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:04,440 remember way back then. And so in 2004, the Internet was 76 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,240 killing magazines. And so I thought, why don't I 77 00:04:07,240 --> 00:04:11,360 start a high stakes game? People have to buy my magazine 78 00:04:11,680 --> 00:04:16,440 to play the game. Well, the game took off, became 79 00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:20,040 this monster National Fantasy Baseball championship, National 80 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:22,840 Fantasy Football Championship. The magazines died. 81 00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,600 And so now for the last 20-3 years I've been doing this 82 00:04:25,600 --> 00:04:28,440 instead of editing. I I mean, some of the best 83 00:04:28,440 --> 00:04:31,880 businesses in the world are, are just built on a pivot and you 84 00:04:31,880 --> 00:04:35,440 pivoted perfectly in this case. I pivoted, but I wasn't sure 85 00:04:35,440 --> 00:04:38,640 what I was doing. I had never run any games right. 86 00:04:38,840 --> 00:04:40,640 I was a commissioner of local leagues. 87 00:04:40,640 --> 00:04:42,760 But that's different from guaranteeing. 88 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:46,200 In the first year we guaranteed $100,000 grand prize in 89 00:04:46,200 --> 00:04:47,760 baseball. We lost our ass. 90 00:04:47,760 --> 00:04:49,520 I mean, we lost 10s of thousands of dollars. 91 00:04:49,640 --> 00:04:52,600 So we did it again in football and we lost even more money in 92 00:04:52,600 --> 00:04:55,680 football. And my publisher said you have 93 00:04:55,680 --> 00:04:58,040 one more year to make this right. 94 00:04:58,240 --> 00:05:01,320 They like the idea that we're getting hundreds of thousands of 95 00:05:01,320 --> 00:05:03,400 dollars from scratch from an idea. 96 00:05:03,840 --> 00:05:05,760 And the next year we sold out both contests. 97 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:08,560 And then for baseball, we've sold out the main event 21 98 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:10,480 straight years. Oh my goodness. 99 00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:13,800 So NFFC is National Fantasy Football Championship. 100 00:05:13,800 --> 00:05:18,280 NFBC is really the gold standard of baseball. 101 00:05:18,600 --> 00:05:21,880 Anything in the in the world, if you play fantasy baseball at 102 00:05:21,880 --> 00:05:27,600 all, and I do, everybody just talks about NFBCADP because you 103 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:30,880 guys have the best AD PS in the world and that's how you figure 104 00:05:30,880 --> 00:05:33,560 out who to draft basically this early in the year. 105 00:05:33,560 --> 00:05:35,040 Yeah, absolutely. And you know what? 106 00:05:36,120 --> 00:05:39,360 It's a 15 team league. There was never any 15 team 107 00:05:39,360 --> 00:05:42,040 league in fantasy baseball before I came up with it and I 108 00:05:42,040 --> 00:05:44,680 didn't want to make it too easy by having a mixed league, 12 109 00:05:44,680 --> 00:05:46,680 team. I was in labor from the 110 00:05:46,680 --> 00:05:51,320 beginning in 1994 and those were twelve team AL and 12 team NL 111 00:05:51,320 --> 00:05:53,120 leagues. They were very, very tough, so I 112 00:05:53,120 --> 00:05:55,040 thought. And labor is a league you 113 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:59,160 weren't actually physically. In labor no LABR league of 114 00:05:59,160 --> 00:06:03,120 alternative baseball reality, which is really the best experts 115 00:06:03,120 --> 00:06:06,360 league in the industry. And really I wanted to come up 116 00:06:06,360 --> 00:06:10,120 with a tougher format. So I thought 16 teams, 14 teams, 117 00:06:10,400 --> 00:06:15,160 let's try 15 teams and everybody loves 15 team format and that is 118 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:18,120 just taken off and really we're the only high stakes game in 119 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:21,000 baseball, not the case in football, but in baseball, like 120 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:22,440 you say, we are the gold standard. 121 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:26,760 Yeah, and not everybody really knows what NFFC is, but I mean, 122 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:29,160 it's legitimately the best way to play high stakes fantasy 123 00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,040 football out there. So you kind of told us how it 124 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:37,240 got its start, but just in this last season, give people an idea 125 00:06:37,240 --> 00:06:39,800 of how much in prizes NFFC gave away. 126 00:06:40,440 --> 00:06:41,960 Yeah. So this year for prizes for 127 00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:43,880 football, we gave away $6 million. 128 00:06:43,880 --> 00:06:47,080 We did that $5,000,000. For baseball, we have given away 129 00:06:47,080 --> 00:06:52,840 $115 million since 2004. So in 22 years, we've given away 130 00:06:52,840 --> 00:06:56,360 116 million. You know, CDM Fantasy Sports was 131 00:06:56,360 --> 00:07:00,560 acquired by Sports Hub as well. They've given away about $60 132 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:04,960 million since 1993. So really our division has given 133 00:07:04,960 --> 00:07:08,880 away over $170 million in prizes, and that's why people 134 00:07:08,880 --> 00:07:12,880 keep coming back, because they can trust me and us to pay every 135 00:07:12,880 --> 00:07:15,280 year, right? There have been instances where 136 00:07:15,280 --> 00:07:17,280 games have not paid all their prizes. 137 00:07:17,520 --> 00:07:21,440 That was unfortunate in the 90s and the early 2000s, but now 138 00:07:21,440 --> 00:07:23,440 it's all whittled down. We've got really good game 139 00:07:23,440 --> 00:07:26,800 operators and I think we're as trustworthy as anybody out 140 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:29,040 there. All right, let's talk a little 141 00:07:29,040 --> 00:07:32,240 bit about the NFFC postseason holdem contest. 142 00:07:32,240 --> 00:07:35,520 And there's two entry points. There's a $200 contest, it's got 143 00:07:35,520 --> 00:07:40,560 $125,000 top prize. And then there's a $5050 144 00:07:40,560 --> 00:07:44,840 postseason mini and that's got a $50,000 top prize and that's 145 00:07:44,840 --> 00:07:47,480 some pretty good scratch there. That's life changing money. 146 00:07:47,760 --> 00:07:51,040 Yeah, I think $50.00 for 50 thousands got a good ring to it. 147 00:07:51,560 --> 00:07:53,400 We did not have that contest right away. 148 00:07:53,400 --> 00:07:56,120 We had the $200 one all the time and I thought, you know, maybe 149 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:58,000 we should do a little better price point. 150 00:07:58,240 --> 00:08:01,200 Well, now we're going to get 2000 twenty 800 teams for the 151 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:04,560 $50 one. We're shooting for 15125 teams 152 00:08:04,560 --> 00:08:08,200 for the $200 one. So it's both are really, really 153 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,560 good contest, but people are taking multiple entries in the 154 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,680 50s. This is like I say is going to 155 00:08:12,680 --> 00:08:15,120 be a wild, wild format. I'm going to tell you something, 156 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:17,160 Matt, that nobody knows to be truthful. 157 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:22,760 Rob Fithian came to our offices in Iola, WI in 2000 5 and was 158 00:08:22,760 --> 00:08:27,360 talking about a NASCAR game that he had that had a multiplier 159 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:30,440 scoring format. Each round that the that you had 160 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:33,919 the driver and I looked at it, I was like I could do that for 161 00:08:33,919 --> 00:08:35,760 football. I didn't have a postseason 162 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,039 contest and I thought why don't we do this in football? 163 00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:42,240 That first year was 2005. Ben Roethlisberger was a six 164 00:08:42,240 --> 00:08:44,120 seed and LED the Steelers to the title. 165 00:08:44,320 --> 00:08:47,840 Our guy won a $10,000 prize, Chris Schenker that year. 166 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:51,800 But that multiplier format was put in my head by Rob Fithian. 167 00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:55,440 And and it all comes full circle because Rob of course started 168 00:08:55,440 --> 00:08:57,360 Sports Hub. You're part of Sports Hub. 169 00:08:57,360 --> 00:09:00,560 I'm part of Sports Hub, one big crazy, happy family. 170 00:09:00,560 --> 00:09:04,640 So I don't get to play in these postseason holdem contest 171 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:08,480 besides our internal contest. So I don't know how much you're 172 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:11,800 going to share with me since I'm competing with you on this, but 173 00:09:11,800 --> 00:09:12,680 no. Problem. 174 00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:17,400 You brought up the multiplier points and maybe tell people how 175 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:20,200 the multiplier points works in this specific contest. 176 00:09:20,200 --> 00:09:22,920 Yeah, so this is a contest. There's no draft, there's no 177 00:09:22,920 --> 00:09:25,160 salary cap. We allow you to pick the players 178 00:09:25,160 --> 00:09:27,040 you want. The only thing is, you can only 179 00:09:27,040 --> 00:09:30,960 pick one player from 12 different teams in round one. 180 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:34,040 There's fourteen teams in round one, so you're fading 2 of them, 181 00:09:34,040 --> 00:09:37,000 right? So you just pick one player from 182 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:39,800 those 12 teams. Well, as the players stay on 183 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:43,800 your roster in Round 2, they're two times their scoring points, 184 00:09:44,120 --> 00:09:46,920 You're on your roster again in the third round, they're 3X, and 185 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:49,000 if they get to the Super Bowl, they're 4X. 186 00:09:49,200 --> 00:09:53,080 So this multiplier is a really big factor in our contest. 187 00:09:53,200 --> 00:09:56,480 When you lose players, you're allowed to pick up new players, 188 00:09:56,680 --> 00:09:59,840 but they start out as 1X. So really Round 2 is when it 189 00:09:59,840 --> 00:10:02,720 gets real interesting. And in the second round, the 190 00:10:02,720 --> 00:10:06,360 divisional round, you can have two players from each roster on 191 00:10:06,360 --> 00:10:08,160 your team. So that's when you can start 192 00:10:08,160 --> 00:10:11,880 pulling those stacks out and stuff, figuring out different. 193 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:14,560 And then in the third round, the conference championship, you can 194 00:10:14,560 --> 00:10:17,840 have three from each. And then in the Super Bowl, 4 195 00:10:17,840 --> 00:10:20,720 players from each team, only 8 on your roster at that point, 196 00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:22,880 they whittle the rosters down a little bit, but. 197 00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:24,600 Yeah, we don't want to go 12 at that point. 198 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:27,880 Everybody have the same six guys basically, you know, so so it's 199 00:10:27,880 --> 00:10:31,440 1212 players around 1-2 and three and then eight players in 200 00:10:31,440 --> 00:10:34,200 Round 4. So you definitely do have to 201 00:10:34,200 --> 00:10:37,120 come back and make lineup decisions each week. 202 00:10:37,200 --> 00:10:39,680 It it, it doesn't set it and forget it for you. 203 00:10:39,680 --> 00:10:43,600 Like I run a big fantasy playoff cough league and it's you. 204 00:10:43,640 --> 00:10:45,080 You draft your team and that's it. 205 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:46,280 You're not touching it for the rest of. 206 00:10:46,280 --> 00:10:48,200 The year, plenty of contests out there like that. 207 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:50,000 Without a doubt. This one, it takes a little bit 208 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:53,040 more time, but it doesn't take much to fill in four players, 209 00:10:53,040 --> 00:10:56,000 let's say. So again, in round one, you want 210 00:10:56,000 --> 00:10:58,080 to lose only four players, right? 211 00:10:58,080 --> 00:11:00,720 You're going to pick 12 teams. Six teams are going to lose. 212 00:11:00,800 --> 00:11:03,400 You may have the two by teams as well, so you get those in for 213 00:11:03,400 --> 00:11:05,840 Round 2. So you really want to lose just 214 00:11:05,840 --> 00:11:09,880 four players this first round, so you have as many 2X's next 215 00:11:09,880 --> 00:11:12,800 week as possible. I'm glad you brought up the bye 216 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:16,120 teams because I was, I, I was looking at my roster in our 217 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:20,840 internal contest. And do you always pick those bye 218 00:11:20,840 --> 00:11:26,200 week teams and do you pick like legitimately good players at 219 00:11:26,200 --> 00:11:29,920 Seattle and Denver this year? Are you picking like a Bo Knicks 220 00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:33,560 or a Jackson Smith and Jigba or are you leaving those to like 221 00:11:34,120 --> 00:11:37,240 the lesser positions like the team defense or the kicker or 222 00:11:37,240 --> 00:11:39,160 something like? That So both of those teams, if 223 00:11:39,160 --> 00:11:41,240 you look at the rosters, they don't have great offensive 224 00:11:41,240 --> 00:11:43,080 players, right? Their defenses have really 225 00:11:43,080 --> 00:11:44,600 brought them. So you could certainly take 226 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:47,720 their defenses if you want. I think JSN is a must. 227 00:11:47,720 --> 00:11:50,400 I think you got to have him. But for Denver, it gets a lot 228 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:52,040 tougher. Do you want Sutton? 229 00:11:52,440 --> 00:11:54,760 Do you want Harvey? Do you want the defense? 230 00:11:55,040 --> 00:11:57,200 I want both of those teams because they're going to start 231 00:11:57,200 --> 00:12:00,160 out 2X and listen, they're going to be at home the first round. 232 00:12:00,160 --> 00:12:02,760 They've had a bye. They should win, your player 233 00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:05,200 should go 2X3X. They may not get to the Super 234 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:08,720 Bowl, but don't worry about leading the contest after week 235 00:12:08,720 --> 00:12:10,600 one. That doesn't mean anything. 236 00:12:10,600 --> 00:12:13,600 You wanna lead after the final game of the Super Bowl, so 237 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:17,840 definitely take by players. Yes, you're getting a zero in 238 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:21,520 week 1, but they're starting out 2X and hopefully 3X and maybe 239 00:12:21,520 --> 00:12:24,200 4X. So there's not a lot of people 240 00:12:24,200 --> 00:12:28,040 who believe in specifically like the Chargers or the Steelers or 241 00:12:28,040 --> 00:12:29,920 the Panthers right now to make a long run. 242 00:12:30,280 --> 00:12:33,640 Do you do you completely fade those teams or do you pick out 243 00:12:33,920 --> 00:12:36,960 individual players for the first round that you think might have 244 00:12:36,960 --> 00:12:39,560 a really good shot at at coming up big? 245 00:12:39,560 --> 00:12:42,880 Like, for instance, I'm looking at Omarion Hampton this week 246 00:12:42,880 --> 00:12:45,560 against the Patriots Rundy and the Patriots Rundy, 247 00:12:45,560 --> 00:12:48,080 surprisingly, he's been pretty bad for about a month. 248 00:12:48,400 --> 00:12:50,480 So I'm like Hamptons in a good spot. 249 00:12:50,480 --> 00:12:52,960 But do I think the Chargers are going to beat the Patriots? 250 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,080 I do not. So what do I do in that 251 00:12:55,080 --> 00:12:55,760 situation? So. 252 00:12:55,760 --> 00:12:58,280 The first thing you do with this contest again is pick your two 253 00:12:58,280 --> 00:13:01,200 fade teams, right? And the two obvious ones are 254 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:03,680 Carolina. They're 10 point underdogs at 255 00:13:03,680 --> 00:13:07,000 home against the Rams. And I think Pittsburgh to me is 256 00:13:07,000 --> 00:13:09,040 a fade. I don't like any of the players 257 00:13:09,040 --> 00:13:11,040 on there. Do you want DK Metcalf? 258 00:13:11,040 --> 00:13:15,680 Do you want Jalen Warren? So I'm gonna fade Pittsburgh 259 00:13:15,680 --> 00:13:16,920 myself. I think they're gonna lose the 260 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:19,080 Houston. So those are the two teams I'm 261 00:13:19,080 --> 00:13:22,200 fading and I am taking a Marion Hampton from the Chargers. 262 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:25,240 I don't think they're gonna win as well, but I do think that 263 00:13:25,240 --> 00:13:28,760 Hampton can put up points. So for the other 12 players, not 264 00:13:28,760 --> 00:13:31,360 counting the two by guys, you want the best players to score 265 00:13:31,360 --> 00:13:33,080 as many points as possible, right? 266 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:35,080 That's what you're looking for on these games. 267 00:13:35,960 --> 00:13:38,720 Well, with Hampton like this is this is kind of a good case 268 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:41,280 strategy. Like if we look at Hampton and 269 00:13:41,280 --> 00:13:43,880 you, you like his matchup, but you think he's going to lose. 270 00:13:44,320 --> 00:13:47,720 Do you put him as a running back or do you put him as a flex if 271 00:13:47,720 --> 00:13:50,800 you think he's going to lose to get you the flexibility of 272 00:13:50,880 --> 00:13:52,400 picking different players? Yeah. 273 00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:54,440 So you can move them around in Round 2. 274 00:13:54,440 --> 00:13:56,560 If you had them at flex, you can move or running back, you can 275 00:13:56,560 --> 00:13:58,560 move them to flex. But again, you're going to lose 276 00:13:58,560 --> 00:14:01,160 4. And think of this as well. 277 00:14:02,080 --> 00:14:04,080 You need to pick up guys the next round. 278 00:14:04,080 --> 00:14:07,320 So if I'm going with Stafford, which I like Stafford a lot, I 279 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:09,480 definitely want puka in round two, right? 280 00:14:09,480 --> 00:14:13,640 So I don't want all my wide receivers and the flex to go on 281 00:14:13,640 --> 00:14:16,360 and have all my running backs get eliminated because now I 282 00:14:16,360 --> 00:14:19,000 can't get puka in unless I bench one of my guys who's going to be 283 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:21,320 2X. So think about the next round. 284 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:25,360 I'm making sure that I'm getting puka in there for sure, either 285 00:14:25,360 --> 00:14:27,200 in the flex or the wide receiver spot. 286 00:14:27,200 --> 00:14:28,760 So. But yes, you're going to be able 287 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:31,800 to move a guy from running back to flex in Round 2 if you want 288 00:14:31,800 --> 00:14:36,480 to. Do you try to get like your two 289 00:14:36,480 --> 00:14:40,520 Super Bowl prediction teams in a certain position, for instance, 290 00:14:40,520 --> 00:14:43,960 the quarterback position, do you want to get 4X on two 291 00:14:43,960 --> 00:14:45,680 quarterbacks going into the Super Bowl? 292 00:14:45,680 --> 00:14:48,280 Is that kind of your strategy and how you look at it? 293 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:52,000 That is definitely my strategy. Again, NFFC scoring is 6 points 294 00:14:52,000 --> 00:14:54,600 per passing touchdowns. So I'm looking at the two 295 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:56,800 quarterbacks. I pick my 2 fade teams. 296 00:14:56,840 --> 00:14:59,800 That's the first thing I do, and then I pick my 2 quarterbacks 297 00:14:59,960 --> 00:15:02,040 with me. I may be wrong. 298 00:15:02,040 --> 00:15:05,120 The AFC is wide open, but I like Drake May an awful lot. 299 00:15:05,120 --> 00:15:07,960 I think he's gonna score in round one. 300 00:15:07,960 --> 00:15:10,920 So I'll take those extra points. And I do think they can go to 301 00:15:10,920 --> 00:15:12,840 Denver and win. I think they can win on the 302 00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:14,960 road. I like all three phases of the 303 00:15:14,960 --> 00:15:16,920 game there. So I'm going with Drake May in 304 00:15:16,920 --> 00:15:19,960 the NFC, man. It is wide open. 305 00:15:19,960 --> 00:15:23,440 You can pick anybody hurts, but I'm I'm going to go with 306 00:15:23,440 --> 00:15:26,160 Stafford and again, I know a lot of people are going to put Puka 307 00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:28,760 in because then you can get Stafford at 3X. 308 00:15:28,760 --> 00:15:33,400 But with Devante Adams back, he gets those one yard touchdown 309 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:36,040 receptions, right? He gets a touchdown reception 310 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:38,680 inside the five. So if they're going to score a 311 00:15:38,680 --> 00:15:41,040 lot, I think Stafford outscores Puka. 312 00:15:41,040 --> 00:15:42,320 So I'm putting Stafford in there. 313 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:45,480 So right now I'm going Stafford and Drake, man. 314 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:49,640 Interesting that that's a way to make your line up different. 315 00:15:49,640 --> 00:15:52,600 And I mean, how do you kind of stand out and differentiate your 316 00:15:52,600 --> 00:15:55,320 line up in these kind of things? Because it's probably really 317 00:15:55,320 --> 00:15:58,320 easy for people to fall into the trap and go, well, I'm going to 318 00:15:58,320 --> 00:16:00,200 pick McCaffrey because he's obvious. 319 00:16:00,200 --> 00:16:03,200 I'm going to pick either James Cook or Josh Allen from the 320 00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:05,040 Bills. I'm I'm going to pick the same 321 00:16:05,040 --> 00:16:09,080 guys over and over again. Like do you flip to a Kyron 322 00:16:09,080 --> 00:16:12,920 Williams this week on the Rams over a Puka or a Stafford? 323 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:17,640 Because the match up for against the Panthers is really nice for 324 00:16:17,640 --> 00:16:20,920 on the ground for Kyron. Right, so guys will take 325 00:16:20,920 --> 00:16:25,080 multiple teams and doing that, if I have one team, I'm not 326 00:16:25,080 --> 00:16:27,520 going to be a differentiator in round one, right? 327 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:29,560 I'm taking the best players in round one. 328 00:16:29,720 --> 00:16:31,480 Again, it's in round two and three. 329 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:33,560 Tom talked about this on our podcast. 330 00:16:33,760 --> 00:16:38,400 James White won this contest for people back when they came back 331 00:16:38,400 --> 00:16:43,560 against Atlanta in 2016. I believe it was right Williams, 332 00:16:43,560 --> 00:16:47,360 Damian Williams won it for a lot of people because they were 3X 333 00:16:47,360 --> 00:16:50,160 at that point and people didn't have James White at 3X. 334 00:16:50,160 --> 00:16:54,480 So really the differentiators I think are in round two, don't 335 00:16:54,480 --> 00:16:57,200 get too cute in round one. I think get the guys you think 336 00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:59,640 are going to get 3X and maybe 4X. 337 00:16:59,840 --> 00:17:01,840 Those are the ones you really want to have in your lineup 338 00:17:01,840 --> 00:17:04,480 right away. But round two and round 3 is 339 00:17:04,480 --> 00:17:05,920 when you get the differentiators. 340 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:10,160 And I know you and Tom Kasinich and Jeff Stein dug in deep to 341 00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:14,319 some of the different strategies in your latest podcast, High 342 00:17:14,319 --> 00:17:17,720 Stakes Weekly. You can find that just by 343 00:17:17,720 --> 00:17:20,440 following you on Twitter at Greg Ambrocious, right? 344 00:17:20,599 --> 00:17:21,839 I got that right. There we go. 345 00:17:22,800 --> 00:17:24,280 I'll. Try to spell the last. 346 00:17:24,960 --> 00:17:30,440 Name just at Greg AMB and see if it fills out the rest of it. 347 00:17:32,120 --> 00:17:33,600 All right, let's take a quick break. 348 00:17:34,000 --> 00:17:36,800 We're going to come back and talk a little bit about about 349 00:17:37,200 --> 00:17:40,040 each of the games individually, but first Pat Mayo is going to 350 00:17:40,040 --> 00:17:43,280 tell you about a huge contest coming up in a little over a 351 00:17:43,280 --> 00:17:46,320 week where you can pocket your share of 1.2 million. 352 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,280 All right people, it's that time of year again. 353 00:17:49,280 --> 00:17:52,800 The Mayo Cup is officially open. 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And with your $250 entry, you're 359 00:18:13,160 --> 00:18:17,600 playing for a prize pool of 1.2 million dollars. 360 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:21,520 That seven figures of pure delicious fantasy golf sweat. 361 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:24,800 And this season, the Mayo Cup is fully available in the Fanball 362 00:18:24,800 --> 00:18:27,960 app week to week picks, leaderboard sweats, berating 363 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:29,760 yourself or feeding the guy who wins by 6. 364 00:18:29,840 --> 00:18:32,040 You can do it all right from your phone. 365 00:18:32,280 --> 00:18:35,120 So head to the Fanball app, search for the Mayo Cup and get 366 00:18:35,120 --> 00:18:40,960 yourself entered. 1.2 million in prizes, 110,000 to the winner. 367 00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:44,440 Just $250 to play. This is the year. 368 00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,840 Unless you blow it again. But hey, you might not sign up 369 00:18:47,840 --> 00:18:49,280 now. The contest Tees off. 370 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:55,920 January 15th. All right, welcome back to 371 00:18:55,920 --> 00:18:58,000 fantasy football almost daily. Greg. 372 00:18:58,000 --> 00:19:01,640 Let's talk really quickly a kind of about these six wild card 373 00:19:01,640 --> 00:19:05,160 games, maybe some knee jerk reactions to each of these 374 00:19:05,160 --> 00:19:08,320 matchups. And Rams at Panthers is the one 375 00:19:08,320 --> 00:19:10,320 that kicks us off on Saturday afternoon. 376 00:19:10,320 --> 00:19:13,480 And as you said, the Rams double digit favorites on the road. 377 00:19:14,200 --> 00:19:16,240 We talked a little bit about this already. 378 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:21,320 Stafford, Kyron Puka, if you really wanted to be contrarian, 379 00:19:21,320 --> 00:19:23,800 you could go with that. We year old friend Devante 380 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:26,280 Adams. How do you kind of treat this? 381 00:19:26,840 --> 00:19:29,640 Yeah, absolutely. So Rams -10 I think they're 382 00:19:29,640 --> 00:19:32,640 going to win on the road. Obviously, they lost to Carolina 383 00:19:32,640 --> 00:19:35,200 during the regular season. They got some revenge and stuff. 384 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:37,200 Again, I'm starting with Stafford. 385 00:19:37,480 --> 00:19:41,160 I'm hoping to get Puka in round 3 around 2, Kyron around 3:00, 386 00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:43,960 and then Devante in round four. That's how I'm going to try to 387 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:46,680 build my team. Carolina, I'm fading. 388 00:19:46,680 --> 00:19:49,000 If you're not fading them, it's Ted McMillan, right? 389 00:19:49,320 --> 00:19:52,000 Who else are you going to have? Rico Dowdle? 390 00:19:52,200 --> 00:19:55,760 But I'm fading Carolina. Yeah, I think that that's 391 00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:58,680 probably the proper way, although the Panthers did beat 392 00:19:58,680 --> 00:20:02,200 this Rams team in Carolina just a few weeks ago. 393 00:20:02,200 --> 00:20:05,240 So it's it's a little thornier than it seems. 394 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:08,720 And maybe the Rams not traveling well to that part of the country 395 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:10,880 because they lost to Atlanta a week ago, too. 396 00:20:11,080 --> 00:20:14,320 Yeah, no, they haven't been good on the road this year, certainly 397 00:20:14,320 --> 00:20:18,120 towards the end here, but I think Stafford's going to rally 398 00:20:18,120 --> 00:20:20,600 the troops here. Having Devante Adams back in the 399 00:20:20,600 --> 00:20:22,840 lineup does make a difference here as well. 400 00:20:22,840 --> 00:20:26,640 So he should be healthy from the a hamstring injury had I feel 401 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:29,120 really good about this on Rams are going to cover for sure. 402 00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:32,240 Well, and last I checked, the Rams are the second highest 403 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,840 favorite to win the Super Bowl right now. 404 00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:37,000 So as a five seed that's pretty impressive. 405 00:20:37,400 --> 00:20:41,280 I hope the Rams win. It probably sets up a pretty 406 00:20:41,280 --> 00:20:46,240 interesting game next week, either with the Eagles, Bears or 407 00:20:46,240 --> 00:20:48,080 Seahawks. Any of those games would be 408 00:20:48,080 --> 00:20:51,480 absolutely awesome. But let's talk about the Packers 409 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:52,960 and Bears. And I don't know if you can be 410 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:55,480 objective about this one guys. So I can. 411 00:20:56,160 --> 00:20:58,600 So it's basically a pick em. It's fluctuated. 412 00:20:58,600 --> 00:21:01,080 It started with Packers by 1 1/2. 413 00:21:01,320 --> 00:21:03,800 It's now Bears by 1 1/2 last I looked. 414 00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:08,520 I I'm not trying to blow smoke here. 415 00:21:08,640 --> 00:21:11,360 I think the Packers have a pretty good opportunity to win 416 00:21:11,360 --> 00:21:14,520 this game. Obviously in the last game they 417 00:21:14,760 --> 00:21:18,840 lost that lead in the last 2 minutes of the game, but they 418 00:21:18,840 --> 00:21:20,800 were winning by 10 points. Yes. 419 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:24,840 Basically without Jordan Love. Yes, with. 2 minutes to go and 420 00:21:24,840 --> 00:21:26,640 that would have been their second win against the Bears. 421 00:21:26,640 --> 00:21:28,960 Well, all they had to do was cover the onside, which 422 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:32,200 everybody does, you know, So that was just bizarre, the way 423 00:21:32,200 --> 00:21:33,680 it ended. They played very, very well. 424 00:21:34,040 --> 00:21:36,360 No, I can be objective. I'm, I'm, this is wild. 425 00:21:36,360 --> 00:21:39,160 I was on DraftKings yesterday. Packers are favored by 1 1/2. 426 00:21:39,360 --> 00:21:41,240 Now the Bears are favored by 1 1/2. 427 00:21:41,240 --> 00:21:43,200 On DraftKings, the Bears should be favored. 428 00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:44,800 I'm sorry, the Bears should be favored. 429 00:21:44,960 --> 00:21:46,760 Packers have lost four games in a row. 430 00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:49,920 They're beat up Now here's the one thing they did rest 431 00:21:49,920 --> 00:21:53,680 everybody against Minnesota and they are really pretty healthy. 432 00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:57,040 Jacobs should be as healthy as he's been since the Giants game. 433 00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:00,520 So and Love is definitely past a concussion protocol. 434 00:22:00,520 --> 00:22:02,240 He should be. He hasn't played though, in 435 00:22:02,240 --> 00:22:04,640 three weeks. So will there be rust? 436 00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:06,680 You know, I said this yesterday on our podcast. 437 00:22:06,680 --> 00:22:09,440 I think whoever gets the ball first is going to set the tone 438 00:22:09,440 --> 00:22:12,520 like the Bears were terrible on Sunday. 439 00:22:12,520 --> 00:22:14,800 They were not aggressive. I think that offense comes out 440 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:17,680 and throws the ball around and gets really aggressive, runs the 441 00:22:17,680 --> 00:22:20,440 ball down the Packers throat. But the Packers, if they get the 442 00:22:20,440 --> 00:22:24,400 ball in that last meeting, they had the ball three times in the 443 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,080 first half. Seven minute drive, 7 minute 444 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:30,000 drive, 6 minute drive. So the Packers are going to want 445 00:22:30,000 --> 00:22:31,840 to hold on the ball. I think the early part of the 446 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:33,560 game is going to tell what's going to happen here. 447 00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:38,640 So on the Green Bay side, it it feels like unless you think 448 00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:41,080 they're make going to make a deep run, you don't go Jordan 449 00:22:41,080 --> 00:22:42,800 love here. So that kind of leaves you with 450 00:22:42,800 --> 00:22:45,320 Josh Jacobs or maybe Christian Watson. 451 00:22:45,800 --> 00:22:47,640 Correct. I think Jacobs is the play here. 452 00:22:47,640 --> 00:22:48,960 I'm going to put him in my lineup. 453 00:22:49,280 --> 00:22:51,400 He scores when they get near the goal line, right? 454 00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:53,440 Like this is probably going to be a defensive game. 455 00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:54,840 I think it's going to be in the 20s. 456 00:22:54,840 --> 00:22:56,800 I think they're going to score more than they did the other 457 00:22:56,800 --> 00:22:59,040 night the last time they played together. 458 00:22:59,040 --> 00:23:02,120 But this could be a 2021 game, something like that. 459 00:23:02,120 --> 00:23:03,720 I think Jacobs gets in the end zone. 460 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:06,520 So I'm going with Jacobs. If they would win, I would go 461 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:09,160 with Watson in the second round. I mean you could go with Dobbs 462 00:23:09,160 --> 00:23:12,680 at some point, but really I think Watson and Jacobs are the 463 00:23:12,680 --> 00:23:16,440 top 2 guys you go for. I think my initial lineup that I 464 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,960 made had Watson as as my my first guy in. 465 00:23:20,120 --> 00:23:24,200 I just really like the way that that the matchup lines up for 466 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,640 Watson against the Bear secondary that hasn't looked 467 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:30,760 great in the last few weeks and the bears randomly kind of good 468 00:23:30,800 --> 00:23:35,200 at run defense right now. So Speaking of run defenses, the 469 00:23:35,200 --> 00:23:37,520 Packers randomly not very good at it. 470 00:23:37,520 --> 00:23:40,280 So it feels like DeAndre Swift is kind of the guy that you want 471 00:23:40,280 --> 00:23:42,080 to go with here. That's who I'm going with for 472 00:23:42,080 --> 00:23:43,240 sure. You know, it wasn't just the 473 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,920 Micah Parsons injury. It was a Devonta Wyatt injury 474 00:23:45,920 --> 00:23:49,080 the week before against Detroit. They have nothing in the 475 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,080 frontline. Then they then they got Riley, 476 00:23:51,080 --> 00:23:53,960 who played pretty well and then he tore his Achilles against 477 00:23:53,960 --> 00:23:56,240 Baltimore. So now another practice squad 478 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:59,360 guy from the Bears. So to me it's swift without a 479 00:23:59,360 --> 00:24:01,280 doubt. Round two, maybe you look at a 480 00:24:01,280 --> 00:24:04,920 Doones, a right Loveland and round three, if they were able 481 00:24:04,920 --> 00:24:08,360 to go and I'm not, I'm not going with Caleb at this point for 482 00:24:08,360 --> 00:24:10,040 sure. So but but if you were to think 483 00:24:10,040 --> 00:24:12,400 the Bears could get to the Super Bowl, you put them in as your 484 00:24:12,400 --> 00:24:14,400 quarterback, right? But I think Swift is the play 485 00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:16,160 here. Yeah, I think, I think you 486 00:24:16,160 --> 00:24:18,440 definitely, if you think that the Bears are going to go on an 487 00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,960 unbelievable run here, yeah. Then you go Caleb. 488 00:24:21,960 --> 00:24:23,560 Right you go, Caleb, without a doubt. 489 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:27,480 All right, Bill's at Jaguars is the Sunday kickoff. 490 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:30,200 Bill's favored by 1 1/2 right now. 491 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:34,880 Basically also a pick em. The Bills are easy because it's 492 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:39,400 Josh Allen or it's James Cook and it's do you believe that the 493 00:24:39,400 --> 00:24:40,800 Bills are going to the Super Bowl? 494 00:24:40,800 --> 00:24:43,040 Then it's Josh Allen. Do you not believe that they're 495 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:45,080 going to the Super Bowl? Then it's James Cook, right? 496 00:24:45,360 --> 00:24:47,280 Without a doubt, that's easy to say, right? 497 00:24:47,280 --> 00:24:50,640 And then if you get to round 3 is a Shakira Diggs, they don't 498 00:24:50,640 --> 00:24:52,880 really have a lot of skill position guys, right? 499 00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:55,560 So definitely I'm going with Cook myself. 500 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:59,280 I'm not doing a Josh Allen. Jeff went on our podcast, said 501 00:24:59,280 --> 00:25:01,000 he's going to do it, He's going to listen. 502 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:03,480 This is a slap in the face to Jacksonville. 503 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:05,560 They just won eight games in a row. 504 00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:07,560 They won their division. They've been as impressive as 505 00:25:07,560 --> 00:25:11,440 anybody and their dogs, home dogs, this is ridiculous. 506 00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,360 But this is a 1 1/2 spread on Josh Allen. 507 00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:17,440 Listen, I think Jacksonville can can win this game. 508 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,480 So I'm kind of laying off. I'm taking the James Cook 509 00:25:20,480 --> 00:25:22,360 numbers that they're going to get when it comes to 510 00:25:22,360 --> 00:25:25,240 Jacksonville. ETN, you know, we're using up 511 00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:28,040 all our running backs, but that before if we wanted to use them. 512 00:25:28,040 --> 00:25:31,720 But to me, it's ETN again, if you think they're going all the 513 00:25:31,720 --> 00:25:35,080 way to do Trevor Lawrence. But otherwise, Parker Washington 514 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:37,560 would be my second round one for Jacksonville. 515 00:25:37,560 --> 00:25:41,480 But I'm going ETN here. The the Jaguars are so similar 516 00:25:41,480 --> 00:25:44,240 to the Bills in many ways right now with it's either the 517 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:47,560 quarterback or the running back game and and that's who you have 518 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:49,840 to go with almost. I mean, you'd love to go, Brian 519 00:25:49,840 --> 00:25:52,200 Thomas, but you're not doing that, that's for sure, after 520 00:25:52,200 --> 00:25:55,800 what he did to you this year. Yeah, I I think that that's very 521 00:25:55,800 --> 00:25:58,680 fair. All right, Niners at Eagles. 522 00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:02,680 And man, this is not the this is not the matchup I wanted in the 523 00:26:02,680 --> 00:26:04,840 playoffs. I wanted the 49ers to go against 524 00:26:04,840 --> 00:26:07,560 a weak defense so we could have a points bonanza. 525 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:11,160 Instead, they got to go across the country to the Eagles, who 526 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:12,600 are going to slow down this game. 527 00:26:12,600 --> 00:26:15,320 And there's probably going to be like 25 points scored in this 528 00:26:15,320 --> 00:26:16,520 one. Right now, the Eagles are 529 00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,480 favored by 4 1/2. They are favored by 4 1/2, which 530 00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:22,480 is kind of surprising. I mean, listen, the Eagles 531 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,320 should have played their starters for 1/4 and they would 532 00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:28,120 have beat Washington, right? They could have got the Packers, 533 00:26:28,120 --> 00:26:30,440 which would have been a terrible match up for the Packers. 534 00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:34,200 Instead, they got the Niners. Again, this is an easy one, CMC. 535 00:26:34,200 --> 00:26:36,400 If you got room for them in your line up, you got to put them in 536 00:26:36,400 --> 00:26:37,560 there. Philly. 537 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:40,040 What do you do with Philly? Their offense has been 538 00:26:40,040 --> 00:26:42,720 horrendous. I'm leaning A.J. 539 00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:45,840 Brown, but Devonta Smith has had better numbers than him. 540 00:26:46,400 --> 00:26:47,640 Do you think they go all the way? 541 00:26:47,640 --> 00:26:50,200 Tom says he's putting Hertz in as his quarterback. 542 00:26:50,640 --> 00:26:52,040 I don't trust them to go all the way. 543 00:26:52,400 --> 00:26:54,880 Honestly. Philadelphia, to me, this feels 544 00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:58,840 like the 2023 version where you said, man, their offense has 545 00:26:58,840 --> 00:27:00,960 been bad, but once they get in the playoffs, it's going to pick 546 00:27:00,960 --> 00:27:01,680 up. You know what? 547 00:27:01,680 --> 00:27:03,960 This offense has been bad for a long time. 548 00:27:04,200 --> 00:27:06,520 And I don't think they just turn on the switch like that in the 549 00:27:06,520 --> 00:27:09,240 playoffs. So I'm not in on Philly in the 550 00:27:09,240 --> 00:27:11,400 playoffs here. I could see San Francisco going 551 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,440 here and winning this game. I think that's true. 552 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:18,440 I think the the weird thing about the Eagles are, is they've 553 00:27:18,440 --> 00:27:21,400 just shown you exactly who they are in the last month. 554 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,320 That game against the Bills where they won by one point, I 555 00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:28,000 think it was 1312 or something like that, It's just going to be 556 00:27:28,080 --> 00:27:30,360 a slog. Nobody's going to want to watch 557 00:27:30,360 --> 00:27:32,160 these games. They're going to be ugly. 558 00:27:32,320 --> 00:27:36,320 They're going to be annoying, but man, I think the Eagles 559 00:27:36,320 --> 00:27:39,320 still probably are the class of the NFC right now. 560 00:27:39,360 --> 00:27:42,440 Their defense is unreal. And so you talk about that 561 00:27:42,440 --> 00:27:45,440 Buffalo game, they didn't get a first down in the second-half. 562 00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:48,880 Their defense held on and held on to that lead. 563 00:27:48,880 --> 00:27:51,600 But I mean, give me a break. You got to be able to control 564 00:27:51,600 --> 00:27:55,560 the ball at some point. So I could definitely think 565 00:27:55,560 --> 00:27:59,520 Philadelphia is going to be favored and be the win win this 566 00:27:59,520 --> 00:28:01,240 thing. But I could see San Francisco 567 00:28:01,240 --> 00:28:04,160 going in there and after being embarrassed offensely. 568 00:28:04,320 --> 00:28:07,480 But this Philadelphia defense is a #1. 569 00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,000 It is. Is that the defense you choose 570 00:28:10,000 --> 00:28:13,240 then, if you don't think the Eagles have it for the full 571 00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:16,920 playoffs, is this the team D that you go with and you just 572 00:28:16,920 --> 00:28:20,000 go, hey, Brock Purdy, he's pretty good, but he does make a 573 00:28:20,000 --> 00:28:21,920 few turnovers. He's going to be on the road. 574 00:28:21,920 --> 00:28:24,720 It's going to be cooler conditions maybe than Santa 575 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,320 Clara, but yeah. Yeah, possibly. 576 00:28:27,320 --> 00:28:29,960 And you know, I want to put CMC in my lineup. 577 00:28:29,960 --> 00:28:33,160 I want him to get 2X, so maybe I won't go A.J. 578 00:28:33,160 --> 00:28:35,840 Brown, maybe I will go defense for Philadelphia. 579 00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:38,480 They can get sacks. We know that Brock does turn the 580 00:28:38,480 --> 00:28:42,120 ball over, so there's not a bad play if you pivot to the defense 581 00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:45,200 there. All right, the Sunday nighter is 582 00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:48,960 Chargers at Patriots. Patriots favored only by 3 1/2, 583 00:28:48,960 --> 00:28:50,480 which I think is kind of surprising. 584 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:52,280 I thought that number will be way higher. 585 00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:55,800 We already talked about a little bit about how I like Omarion 586 00:28:55,800 --> 00:28:58,840 Hampton here. The the Patriots defense over 587 00:28:58,840 --> 00:29:02,200 the last month against the run has been really bad. 588 00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:05,320 I think a lot of people are citing, you know, the schedule. 589 00:29:05,320 --> 00:29:08,080 The Patriots only played two teams with a winning record this 590 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:10,000 year. It was the Bills who they split 591 00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:12,920 with and the Steelers who aren't that good. 592 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,640 So I think that people are saying, hey, the Chargers could 593 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:20,400 just come in and steal this one, which is possible. 594 00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:23,760 On the past side, yeah, it's possible. 595 00:29:24,200 --> 00:29:26,800 I'll say one thing. The Patriots have been blowing 596 00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,240 out teams, though, right? Like, they're not just beating 597 00:29:29,240 --> 00:29:30,800 bad teams, they're blowing them out. 598 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,200 You know, obviously The Jets are terrible, but, you know, they 599 00:29:34,200 --> 00:29:36,200 just get on top of them and it's all over with. 600 00:29:36,200 --> 00:29:39,400 So, OK, so again, I'm going Drake May for New England. 601 00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:42,080 I think they're gonna run the day you'd go digs. 602 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:45,120 But Trevian, Henderson, you know, even in the backfield, 603 00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:47,560 though, you got Stephenson and Henderson and they're going to 604 00:29:47,560 --> 00:29:49,520 split touchdowns. They're going to split carries. 605 00:29:49,720 --> 00:29:52,320 Who do you even go there? So I'm going to easy route. 606 00:29:52,320 --> 00:29:54,440 I'm taking Drake May. When it comes to the Chargers, I 607 00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:57,120 agree. Hampton, Ladd, Mccocky hasn't 608 00:29:57,120 --> 00:30:00,800 put up great, great numbers. So I think Hampton or Fayette is 609 00:30:00,800 --> 00:30:02,720 the way you go there. I think they're going to win by 610 00:30:02,720 --> 00:30:03,880 3 1/2. My goodness. 611 00:30:03,880 --> 00:30:05,920 I'm surprised that spread doesn't move up. 612 00:30:06,560 --> 00:30:08,520 Patriots are going to win this by more than 3 1/2. 613 00:30:08,760 --> 00:30:13,000 Yeah, I think so too. Texans at Steelers is the Monday 614 00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:16,920 nighter right now. Texans Rd. favorites 3 1/2. 615 00:30:17,640 --> 00:30:21,640 It seems to me like the Texans D is the best play on the Houston 616 00:30:21,640 --> 00:30:25,240 side, If not, probably Nico Collins, right? 617 00:30:25,240 --> 00:30:27,320 Yeah, I was going to say I'm. I'm probably going to put Nico 618 00:30:27,320 --> 00:30:29,800 Collins in there. I think this defense gets after 619 00:30:29,800 --> 00:30:31,960 Rogers, right? I mean, my goodness, I can't 620 00:30:31,960 --> 00:30:33,760 believe they won that game the other night. 621 00:30:34,120 --> 00:30:37,360 Rogers was just chucking it down behind the line of scrimmage and 622 00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:40,000 having those guys take off, but it was. 623 00:30:40,200 --> 00:30:43,760 Back to Aaron, glory days there for for that last 10 minutes of 624 00:30:43,760 --> 00:30:46,720 that game, he looked like he was a youthful guy again. 625 00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,600 Absolutely, and he can still throw the long ball right? 626 00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,200 It's not like he's just dinking and dunking because he's got 627 00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:55,240 Matt or he's got Phillip Rivers arm strength. 628 00:30:55,240 --> 00:30:58,520 He could throw it, no doubt about it, but without DK Metcalf 629 00:30:58,520 --> 00:31:00,840 in there. So getting him back is obviously 630 00:31:00,840 --> 00:31:02,600 going to help this offense a ton. 631 00:31:02,920 --> 00:31:06,600 But this Houston defense is just like Philly. 632 00:31:06,600 --> 00:31:09,080 They're just dominating. They're going to get after 633 00:31:09,080 --> 00:31:12,360 Rodgers and I think Rodgers is going to show his age this week 634 00:31:12,360 --> 00:31:14,440 myself. So again, I'm fading Pittsburgh. 635 00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:18,040 I like Nico Collins but I am leaning towards Houston defense 636 00:31:18,040 --> 00:31:21,000 as well. If you were going to fade the 637 00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:24,160 Chargers and the Panthers and you picked somebody on the 638 00:31:24,160 --> 00:31:27,760 Steeler side, here's my sneaky play, Pat Friarmouth. 639 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:31,720 The Texans have given up five touchdowns to tight ends in the 640 00:31:31,720 --> 00:31:32,920 last five weeks. Wow. 641 00:31:34,120 --> 00:31:39,320 Yeah, it's a risky 1 for sure because if they do advance then 642 00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:42,440 you got them at 2X. But you know, I mean Gainwell is 643 00:31:42,440 --> 00:31:44,680 the guy I would think. I mean that's a guy who was 644 00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:48,120 getting 8 receptions a game basically and Rodgers loves 645 00:31:48,120 --> 00:31:51,600 them. So I think Gainwell over Jalen 646 00:31:51,600 --> 00:31:53,880 Warren myself would be the play. But. 647 00:31:54,000 --> 00:31:55,840 Rodgers loves all those old guys, though. 648 00:31:55,840 --> 00:31:58,240 The older you are, the better he, the more he loves you. 649 00:31:58,680 --> 00:32:01,520 He does, he does. He relates to the older guys, 650 00:32:01,520 --> 00:32:05,840 but you know, I, I love Rodgers. I always have love Rodgers. 651 00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,520 I got a fathead of them looking at me right here in my office. 652 00:32:08,520 --> 00:32:11,240 But I hope he hangs it up after this year. 653 00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:13,000 I mean, he's he's taking a punishment. 654 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:16,680 He doesn't need it anymore. Yeah, nice to see him in the 655 00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,720 playoffs one more time, but we'll see how it goes. 656 00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:23,520 It'll it'll be cool to see him at home against the the Texans 657 00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:27,440 and see if he can decipher what to do against that crazy Texans 658 00:32:27,440 --> 00:32:29,440 D. Yeah, that that Texans D is 659 00:32:29,440 --> 00:32:32,640 good, and Stroud has been bad on their bat on the games that 660 00:32:32,640 --> 00:32:34,760 they've lost, even when the defense is good. 661 00:32:34,760 --> 00:32:37,720 So it's going to really be up to Stroud to move the ball against 662 00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:41,600 this Pittsburgh defense. All right, that's that's the six 663 00:32:41,600 --> 00:32:45,160 games in the wild card round. And I mean, do you, do you go 664 00:32:45,160 --> 00:32:48,040 through the the wild card round and you bracket it out how you 665 00:32:48,040 --> 00:32:50,640 think that the tournament's going to go to kind of fill out 666 00:32:50,640 --> 00:32:52,240 your post season hold em bracket? 667 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:53,760 Yeah. I mean, I think, yeah, I'm 668 00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:56,200 definitely picking who I think the six teams are going to win 669 00:32:56,200 --> 00:32:58,040 this week with the 2 by teams that I have. 670 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:00,480 And then who's my next picks after that, right? 671 00:33:00,800 --> 00:33:02,920 I don't go beyond round two, to be honest. 672 00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,800 But I do have a depth chart of every team right here where I'm 673 00:33:05,800 --> 00:33:09,600 4 deep on how I would do it. But you know, it's not Rockets 674 00:33:09,680 --> 00:33:12,720 science like we say, you know, you're looking at the bearers. 675 00:33:12,840 --> 00:33:17,440 My goodness, Swift O doing say that's about it, right Loveland? 676 00:33:17,480 --> 00:33:20,920 And so then move on to the next team and find 4 players that you 677 00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,720 would use. So I'm I'm mapping out my first 678 00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:25,160 two rounds and then from there I'll go on. 679 00:33:25,280 --> 00:33:27,240 You know, I want to say one thing about the defenses. 680 00:33:27,240 --> 00:33:30,400 Don't think that the defenses are inconsequential. 681 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:35,680 I lost our internal league in 2020 when I had Mahomes in the 682 00:33:35,680 --> 00:33:40,960 Super Bowl and Trevor had the Bucks defense and the Bucks 683 00:33:40,960 --> 00:33:45,360 defense outscored Mahomes and he passed me on a 4X. 684 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:48,360 So when Trevor put that line up together, he didn't think the 685 00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:50,560 Bucks were going to win. They're a wild card team, right? 686 00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:52,480 They're on the road. He didn't think they were going 687 00:33:52,480 --> 00:33:53,840 to win. That's why he put them at 688 00:33:53,840 --> 00:33:56,880 defense and they ended up winning the internal league from 689 00:33:56,880 --> 00:33:59,960 him and I took second. Fans of this show know that 690 00:33:59,960 --> 00:34:03,200 Trevor's already always Galaxy braining everybody else. 691 00:34:03,200 --> 00:34:05,240 He he knows what he's doing every time. 692 00:34:05,240 --> 00:34:07,240 He does, but that time it was lucky. 693 00:34:07,240 --> 00:34:12,159 I'm telling you right now. All right, a reminder on NFFC, 694 00:34:12,159 --> 00:34:15,960 you can go play the postseason holdem tournament by going to 695 00:34:15,960 --> 00:34:23,360 play nffc.com and it's $125,000 to the winner of the the big 696 00:34:23,360 --> 00:34:28,159 contest, the $200 contest and 50,000 for the post season mini. 697 00:34:28,159 --> 00:34:31,520 That's the $50 contest. And like, like I said, life 698 00:34:31,520 --> 00:34:33,560 changing money in the fantasy playoffs. 699 00:34:34,639 --> 00:34:36,400 Absolutely. I wish I could win it myself, 700 00:34:36,400 --> 00:34:39,120 but I'm happy to give it to anybody listening out there 701 00:34:39,120 --> 00:34:40,760 right now. Hopefully we helped you put your 702 00:34:40,760 --> 00:34:44,080 lineup together, but you know, sign up, secure your teams 703 00:34:44,080 --> 00:34:47,080 because once we get our marks, we're selling out, we're done. 704 00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:49,080 All right, So you can always change your lineup. 705 00:34:49,080 --> 00:34:51,679 In fact, the good thing about this contest, you can change 706 00:34:51,679 --> 00:34:55,960 your lineup before each game on Saturday, Sunday, Monday. 707 00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:58,680 So in other words, the first game you got to set your Ram and 708 00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:02,000 you got to set your Panther. Then after that you can still 709 00:35:02,000 --> 00:35:04,760 change your lineups if you're in not not sure who you're going to 710 00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:06,400 take for the Packers and such like that. 711 00:35:06,400 --> 00:35:09,560 So just secure your teams and then set your lineups this 712 00:35:09,560 --> 00:35:11,240 weekend. Excellent. 713 00:35:11,240 --> 00:35:14,480 All right, Greg, anything else that that you got going on this 714 00:35:14,480 --> 00:35:16,560 this coming week as we head into the playoffs? 715 00:35:16,880 --> 00:35:19,920 No, I mean the baseball, like I said, bat fantasy baseball right 716 00:35:19,920 --> 00:35:24,360 now is through the roof. Our NFBC signups are way ahead 717 00:35:24,360 --> 00:35:27,520 of record pace right now. Our main event is 50% sold out. 718 00:35:27,720 --> 00:35:31,560 So go to playnfbc.com. We have drafts filling every 719 00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:36,720 single day. Find ouradps@playnfbc.com/ADP. 720 00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:38,880 They're the gold standard and they're free. 721 00:35:39,120 --> 00:35:41,280 You can sort them by any day that you want. 722 00:35:41,280 --> 00:35:44,000 It's fantastic. It's hard for me to concentrate 723 00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:47,480 on fantasy baseball as soon as like September hits and the 724 00:35:47,480 --> 00:35:50,280 football season goes. But as soon as the regular 725 00:35:50,280 --> 00:35:52,880 season ends, I start getting that itch a little bit and I 726 00:35:52,880 --> 00:35:57,440 start like start looking at ADP's on on NFBC and start 727 00:35:57,440 --> 00:35:59,240 listening to a few podcasts here and there. 728 00:36:00,080 --> 00:36:02,960 Man, I love fantasy baseball. It's because we live in 729 00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:06,480 Minnesota and Wisconsin and the winter is so freaking long. 730 00:36:06,480 --> 00:36:09,920 We can hardly wait to see Sunshine Baseball and Cracker 731 00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:12,880 Jack, right? We got so much ice here today 732 00:36:12,880 --> 00:36:14,600 that my kids school was canceled. 733 00:36:15,040 --> 00:36:17,400 It was canceled here today too and we didn't get as much ice as 734 00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,360 you, but the roads were ice this morning for sure. 735 00:36:19,720 --> 00:36:22,480 I I went and I have a slight slope on my driveway. 736 00:36:22,480 --> 00:36:25,440 I slid down it just a little bit and then I got about halfway 737 00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:26,880 down the driveway. I turn around and go. 738 00:36:26,880 --> 00:36:28,280 I don't know how I'm going to get back up there. 739 00:36:29,560 --> 00:36:33,000 Well, I got tired of snow blowing my lawn or my my 740 00:36:33,000 --> 00:36:36,160 driveway so my wife bought a four Wheeler, put a plow in 741 00:36:36,160 --> 00:36:38,640 front of it and she does it now. She loves doing it. 742 00:36:38,640 --> 00:36:41,240 So find toys to get through the winter. 743 00:36:41,240 --> 00:36:43,200 You need to buy toys, I can tell you that. 744 00:36:43,960 --> 00:36:46,600 I love it, I love it. Maybe, maybe my wife would like 745 00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:48,120 a four Wheeler. She would love it. 746 00:36:48,200 --> 00:36:49,920 She would love. To get her that for Valentine's 747 00:36:49,920 --> 00:36:52,520 Day for sure. All right, thanks, Greg. 748 00:36:52,720 --> 00:36:54,800 This was fantasy football almost daily. 749 00:36:54,800 --> 00:36:58,680 We'll be back on Thursday with another episode with Trevor and 750 00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:03,800 Maj. as we preview all of the wild card weekend games, Fantasy 751 00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,360 Friday style. Oh, excellent. 752 00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:08,600 We're going to see you then. All right, thanks for listening. 753 00:37:08,600 --> 00:37:13,760 We'll see you next time. This was fantasy football almost 754 00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:15,680 daily. Please subscribe and give us a 755 00:37:15,680 --> 00:37:18,240 five star rating wherever you listen to podcasts.