1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:03,720 Hey everyone, it's Matt. This is fantasy football almost 2 00:00:03,720 --> 00:00:06,360 daily. Today, Trevor and I are about to 3 00:00:06,360 --> 00:00:09,720 preview just about every angle of the Super Bowl. 4 00:00:10,080 --> 00:00:12,200 Before we get to that, let me tell you about fan balls. 5 00:00:12,200 --> 00:00:14,480 Three big contests for the big game. 6 00:00:14,760 --> 00:00:17,880 All of them are 5 by 5 contests. Same player pool across the 7 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:20,840 board. They're called the Superb Owl. 8 00:00:21,520 --> 00:00:26,040 We've got a $20 Superb Owl with a $1000 top prize. 9 00:00:26,040 --> 00:00:30,040 It's about 25% full right now. A $5 version of that game with a 10 00:00:30,040 --> 00:00:33,720 $400.00 first prize. That ones at about 1/3 full. 11 00:00:34,200 --> 00:00:39,040 And finally, there's the $1.00 Superb Owl 100 to 1st. 12 00:00:39,160 --> 00:00:41,720 That one's already close to half full. 13 00:00:42,280 --> 00:00:45,800 You can enter any of them multiple times, but it's time to 14 00:00:45,800 --> 00:00:49,520 reserve your spots right now. And also a personal plug here, I 15 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,280 sell the world's greatest Prop bet game for the big Sunday 16 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:54,960 football game, and this thing has everything that you would 17 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:58,200 want in a prop bet game. 33 multiple choice questions from 18 00:00:58,200 --> 00:01:01,400 the anthem to Gatorade, football props, commercial props, 19 00:01:01,400 --> 00:01:04,040 halftime props. There's tons of imitators out 20 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:07,160 there, but a bunch of them don't use actual odds and they have no 21 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:09,800 vibe them. This one is fun for everyone out 22 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,280 there, whether you're a football snob or just there for the food 23 00:01:12,280 --> 00:01:14,840 and commercials. Link to order the game is in the 24 00:01:14,840 --> 00:01:17,680 show notes, but you can also go to Explosive Output on Twitter 25 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:20,960 and you'll find it as my pin to post and just for my podcast 26 00:01:20,960 --> 00:01:25,480 listeners here. 20% discount if you use the promo code almost at 27 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:28,240 checkout will knock it down to 12 bucks. 28 00:01:28,560 --> 00:01:31,080 Hurry, you're going to want to order and print off all your 29 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:34,320 copies before the Super big game on Sunday. 30 00:01:34,600 --> 00:01:41,000 Now it's time for Tate's sweet intro music from the Sports Hub 31 00:01:41,320 --> 00:01:49,480 Games Network. This is fantasy football, almost 32 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:52,480 dated with your host Matt Harrison. 33 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:04,000 What's up Trevor Jones, how you doing today? 34 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:07,280 Matt, it's I'm good. We made it to Super Bowl week. 35 00:02:07,520 --> 00:02:10,039 It's been what, 20-1 weeks of football season and we're 36 00:02:10,039 --> 00:02:11,840 finally at the the fairy tale end. 37 00:02:12,120 --> 00:02:15,760 Yeah, it it, it, it's everything that we all thought it was going 38 00:02:15,760 --> 00:02:17,080 to be at the beginning of the season. 39 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:21,520 The Patriots and the Seahawks. I believe the Patriots were 80 40 00:02:21,520 --> 00:02:24,600 to 1 to win the Super Bowl and the Seahawks were 60 to 1. 41 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:29,200 So whoever wins this one is the second lowest favorite to ever 42 00:02:29,200 --> 00:02:33,920 win the big game. Who's number one the I believe 43 00:02:33,920 --> 00:02:38,680 the Los Angeles, not the Saint Louis Rams back in the day. 44 00:02:38,880 --> 00:02:41,000 Oh, sure. Greatest show on turf. 45 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:45,640 I believe they were 1:50 to 1:00 to win the big game back in the 46 00:02:45,640 --> 00:02:48,160 day. So that's my finger in the wind 47 00:02:48,240 --> 00:02:53,680 from stuff that I have heard over all of the media that I've 48 00:02:53,680 --> 00:02:55,560 been absorbing during Super Bowl week. 49 00:02:55,560 --> 00:02:59,920 But today we're going to get to everything in the Super Bowl. 50 00:02:59,920 --> 00:03:02,400 We're going to dive into some of our favorite player props. 51 00:03:02,800 --> 00:03:05,560 We'll talk a little bit about my prop bet game that I talked 52 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,840 about, talked about at the beginning of the show and some 53 00:03:08,840 --> 00:03:13,760 of our favorite fan ball 5 by 5 plays of the week. 54 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:15,760 And it's kind of an interesting slate. 55 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:19,040 I know that I've built a few internal line UPS in the fan 56 00:03:19,040 --> 00:03:21,400 ball 5 by 5. I bet you have too. 57 00:03:21,400 --> 00:03:25,120 I'm, I'm interested to see where you're going to go, but first 58 00:03:25,120 --> 00:03:28,320 let's preview this game for reals and we'll do it fantasy 59 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:32,720 football almost daily style. Trevor, we've split this up. 60 00:03:32,720 --> 00:03:34,680 I have the Pats, you have the Seahawks. 61 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:38,640 Let's start on your side where Seattle is still sitting as 4 62 00:03:38,640 --> 00:03:43,120 1/2 point favorites last I saw. How do you want to start your 63 00:03:43,120 --> 00:03:45,560 Seattle side here? Yeah, we'll kind of, we'll just 64 00:03:45,560 --> 00:03:48,760 start with the pass game and and get on to Ken Walker eventually. 65 00:03:49,160 --> 00:03:50,920 So Sam Darrow, we'll start with the bronze. 66 00:03:51,520 --> 00:03:53,720 New England's defense has been excellent in the post season. 67 00:03:54,200 --> 00:03:56,360 They limited Herbert Stroud and Jared Siddam to just two 68 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:58,080 touchdowns to go with five picks. 69 00:03:58,280 --> 00:04:00,840 Can't believe they limited Stiddy in a snowstorm. 70 00:04:01,520 --> 00:04:03,000 That's true. That was what an effort. 71 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,800 Certainly Darnold is playing much better than honestly any of 72 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:07,360 those quarterbacks. Including Herbert. 73 00:04:07,720 --> 00:04:09,080 I will know. Yeah, those 3 quarterbacks all 74 00:04:09,080 --> 00:04:10,800 scored 11 or fewer fantasy points. 75 00:04:11,480 --> 00:04:13,800 Pats were a top five toughest matcher for posing quarterbacks 76 00:04:13,800 --> 00:04:15,080 this year. Fantasy points? 77 00:04:15,080 --> 00:04:17,440 They haven't given up 200 passing yards in a game since 78 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:20,279 Week 10. However, Darnell, JSN, Walker 79 00:04:20,279 --> 00:04:23,080 and Seattle actually has a excellent field position a lot 80 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:24,920 this year. So I think that's kind of enough 81 00:04:24,920 --> 00:04:26,840 to keep to keep Sam Darwin in play. 82 00:04:26,840 --> 00:04:29,080 Obviously everyone's in play on a single game slate. 83 00:04:29,080 --> 00:04:32,200 Certainly JSN, he gets an easy goal. 84 00:04:32,280 --> 00:04:34,640 He's 1A or 1B with Kuka. Best wideout in the game. 85 00:04:34,960 --> 00:04:37,760 Highest target share in the league right now, 2 at over 36%. 86 00:04:38,480 --> 00:04:40,560 We know actually the past top two corners are very good 87 00:04:40,560 --> 00:04:44,080 specifically Christian Gonzalez. I kind of think JSS match up 88 00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:46,520 proof at this point and he also moves all across the formation 89 00:04:46,520 --> 00:04:48,080 slot. He gets backfield work 90 00:04:48,080 --> 00:04:50,640 occasionally so it's not like he'll be shadowed by in a league 91 00:04:50,640 --> 00:04:54,200 corner at a single play. Cooper cup I'll give him a 92 00:04:54,200 --> 00:04:55,920 bronze. Obviously we've got the Super 93 00:04:55,920 --> 00:05:01,280 Bowl 56 MVP narrative he at 8 for 92 and 2:00, but that was a 94 00:05:01,360 --> 00:05:04,360 lifetime ago for Mr. cup. If you think he can repeat you 95 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,320 can get him for 66 to 1 to win Super Bowl MVP. 96 00:05:07,320 --> 00:05:09,760 So just in case you're. I don't think we're going to get 97 00:05:09,760 --> 00:05:12,760 him to repeat that. I don't think so, but it's 98 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:14,920 available. So cup's useful, but he's not 99 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:17,400 really explosive anymore. He had just three touchdowns all 100 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:19,760 year, just two games over 12 PPR points all season. 101 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:21,960 It's really tough to see a sealing case. 102 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:24,320 And like I said, New England's been kind of dominating opposing 103 00:05:24,320 --> 00:05:27,560 passing attacks. Rashid Shahid, I'll keep him 104 00:05:27,560 --> 00:05:28,960 alive with the commercial bronze. 105 00:05:29,080 --> 00:05:32,240 In his 11 Seattle games, he's posted zero or one catch 8 106 00:05:32,320 --> 00:05:34,680 times. The angle here is that the long 107 00:05:34,680 --> 00:05:36,520 play, right? It's it's the long catch, it's 108 00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:38,560 the one for 51. Or it's he'll get a couple 109 00:05:38,560 --> 00:05:40,760 carries probably. So maybe he busts a long carry. 110 00:05:41,000 --> 00:05:43,560 Or, obviously, the return touchdown he had against San 111 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:45,320 Francisco in the divisional round. 112 00:05:45,800 --> 00:05:48,240 More on Rashid Shaheed later in the show. 113 00:05:48,280 --> 00:05:52,320 OK, yeah, I like it and I especially the 5 by 5 Shaheed 114 00:05:52,320 --> 00:05:54,960 and Seahawks D is an interesting little double dip. 115 00:05:55,960 --> 00:05:57,560 That's kind of the only spot I'd play though. 116 00:05:57,600 --> 00:05:59,760 I think it's she needs more just kind of a low owned contrarian 117 00:05:59,760 --> 00:06:02,040 bet like a more of a GPP style kind of play. 118 00:06:02,840 --> 00:06:05,600 AJ Barner, he gets a bronze. The former Michigan Wolverine 119 00:06:05,600 --> 00:06:08,440 has just 4 catches on 6 targets in his last three. 120 00:06:08,880 --> 00:06:11,280 He still gets the tush push opportunities and he played a 121 00:06:11,280 --> 00:06:13,640 ton of snaps last week, all but three snaps in the NFC title 122 00:06:13,640 --> 00:06:14,600 game. So clearly, you know, they're 123 00:06:14,600 --> 00:06:16,680 going to lean on him a little harder than usual. 124 00:06:16,960 --> 00:06:19,880 The match up is fine it he's touched on our bust, right? 125 00:06:19,880 --> 00:06:22,920 That's that's kind of AJ Barner's his whole deal on the 126 00:06:22,920 --> 00:06:24,960 ground here. Ken Walker gets a goal. 127 00:06:24,960 --> 00:06:26,480 You could throw him a platinum if you want. 128 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:29,120 He's been excellent since Zach Charbonnay got hurt in the first 129 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:32,560 half against San Fran in the divisional round. 22 and 23 130 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:34,880 touches in the last two playoff games, he's caught all seven of 131 00:06:34,880 --> 00:06:36,480 his targets, scored four different times. 132 00:06:36,920 --> 00:06:39,040 Patriots do have a top third of the league run defense. 133 00:06:39,160 --> 00:06:41,160 But the workload is so good for Ken Walker right now. 134 00:06:41,160 --> 00:06:42,600 I'm just, I'm not really worried. 135 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:46,200 And then George Lani, the backup running back, he's the clear 136 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:47,800 backup to Ken Walker at this point. 137 00:06:48,240 --> 00:06:49,920 So decent pass catcher. He's caught three of us, 4 138 00:06:49,920 --> 00:06:51,880 targets in the NEC title game last week. 139 00:06:52,640 --> 00:06:54,160 I think he's kind of an interesting long shot play or 140 00:06:54,160 --> 00:06:56,240 like a prop bet option. You know, if you want to take 141 00:06:56,240 --> 00:06:59,080 Kehlani like over 20 yards or something, you know, at least 142 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:02,000 Ken Walker gets hurt or maybe, you know, the Seahawks are off a 143 00:07:02,000 --> 00:07:02,640 ton. They don't. 144 00:07:02,880 --> 00:07:04,520 They don't need to put Ken Walker on the field. 145 00:07:05,360 --> 00:07:07,120 So I think that's kind of an interesting spot for George 146 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,560 Kehlani there. I'm pretty bullish. 147 00:07:09,560 --> 00:07:11,600 On these Seahawks here. Yeah. 148 00:07:11,600 --> 00:07:13,880 And I'd say to that new one was bottom 10 in running back 149 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:15,640 receptions. So a little bit, a little bit of 150 00:07:15,640 --> 00:07:19,720 juice for the running backs. OK, well, on the Patriots side, 151 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:21,080 I'm going to start with the running game. 152 00:07:21,320 --> 00:07:25,200 Ramandre Stevenson ran for the most yards in conference 153 00:07:25,200 --> 00:07:28,160 championship week. Did so rather quietly, though. 154 00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:32,360 He had 71 rushing yards on 25 attempts, and it's worth noting 155 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:36,200 that Trayvion Henderson only had three carries for five yards in 156 00:07:36,200 --> 00:07:40,040 a game where the Pats could basically do nothing but run 157 00:07:40,320 --> 00:07:42,240 after midway through the third quarter. 158 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:47,000 It was too snowy to pass. It was 25 to 3 in rushing 159 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:48,880 attempts. That's notable. 160 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:52,040 So I think it's completely Stevenson's backfield. 161 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:56,440 Seattle's run defense has been good all year, but last game the 162 00:07:56,440 --> 00:08:00,400 Rams backs combined for 19 carries and 94 yards. 163 00:08:00,400 --> 00:08:02,120 That's almost 5 yards per attempt. 164 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,720 And we know that Seattle has had issues with defending running 165 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:07,520 backs in the passing game all year. 166 00:08:07,920 --> 00:08:10,960 In the regular season, the Hawks allowed the most receptions to 167 00:08:10,960 --> 00:08:14,040 opposing runners and the sixth most receiving yards. 168 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:18,280 Now, Romandre averaged a little over 3 receptions per game in 169 00:08:18,280 --> 00:08:21,120 the final month and change of the season, and Henderson was 170 00:08:21,120 --> 00:08:24,160 kind of phased out of the passing attack when Romandre 171 00:08:24,160 --> 00:08:26,640 came back from injury. So I'm going to give a gold 172 00:08:26,640 --> 00:08:30,640 grade to Romandre here. I think if the Patriots are 173 00:08:30,640 --> 00:08:35,799 going to get there, they have to establish the run, they have to 174 00:08:35,799 --> 00:08:38,840 get Romandre going in the past game as well and attack 175 00:08:38,840 --> 00:08:42,120 Seattle's few weak spots. And I think that Stevenson is 176 00:08:42,120 --> 00:08:44,800 the best way to attack Seattle in this game. 177 00:08:44,800 --> 00:08:49,280 On the New England side, Drake May I'm much more nervous about. 178 00:08:49,280 --> 00:08:52,040 He's been dealing with both an illness and a shoulder injury 179 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:55,120 that has him limited basically the last week and change now. 180 00:08:55,400 --> 00:08:58,120 I'm not nervous about him like actually suiting up and playing. 181 00:08:58,120 --> 00:09:01,400 He's going to do that, but I don't know if I like a second 182 00:09:01,400 --> 00:09:04,840 year quarterback playing in obviously the biggest game of 183 00:09:04,840 --> 00:09:08,360 his career without being fully healthy, getting full reps in 184 00:09:08,360 --> 00:09:12,120 practice, and he's going against maybe the best defense in the 185 00:09:12,120 --> 00:09:12,760 league. Now. 186 00:09:13,120 --> 00:09:16,120 Mays played in bad weather basically the whole play offs 187 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:17,600 and he's played against good defenses too. 188 00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:19,680 And he's beat both Houston and Denver. 189 00:09:19,680 --> 00:09:23,000 So his numbers were definitely down because of weather and 190 00:09:23,000 --> 00:09:26,600 because of really good defenses. Stafford did figure out a way to 191 00:09:26,600 --> 00:09:31,040 throw for 374 and three last a game against Seattle, but he and 192 00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:34,880 Baker Mayfield were the only ones the top 260 yards against 193 00:09:34,880 --> 00:09:38,200 them this year. Brightside, I guess. 194 00:09:38,200 --> 00:09:42,320 Safety Nick Iman Wari came up with an ankle injury on 195 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:45,320 Wednesday and practice, and he's a big part of that secondary. 196 00:09:45,320 --> 00:09:49,760 He'll probably go, but that's a slight positive for Drake May. 197 00:09:50,280 --> 00:09:53,920 Still, Seattle only allowed 20 passing scores during the 198 00:09:53,920 --> 00:09:58,760 regular season and had 18 picks. So I've just got a bronze on 199 00:09:58,760 --> 00:10:02,440 Drake May especially since it feels like the Pats might trail 200 00:10:02,440 --> 00:10:05,640 in the second-half and May just might be forced into throwing a 201 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:08,520 lot. I mean, I can get to a bronze, 202 00:10:08,520 --> 00:10:10,840 but it's not a feel good bronze right there. 203 00:10:11,960 --> 00:10:13,760 The wide receivers are very tricky. 204 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:17,720 Stefan Diggs will run most of his routes out of the slot and 205 00:10:18,160 --> 00:10:21,120 even worry plays there about half the time. 206 00:10:21,160 --> 00:10:24,440 Enrique Woolen gets the other half of the slot duties for the 207 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:28,040 Seahawks, and I believe they'll have Kayshawn Booty on the 208 00:10:28,040 --> 00:10:30,160 outside. I think they're going to try to 209 00:10:30,160 --> 00:10:33,720 scheme him to Josh Job's side if they can, but Seattle will 210 00:10:33,720 --> 00:10:38,080 ultimately decide whether Josh Job or Devin Witherspoon are on 211 00:10:38,080 --> 00:10:41,320 him. Job was the most targeted 212 00:10:41,320 --> 00:10:44,920 Seattle corner on the year. He was the lowest rated 213 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:47,760 according to Pro Football Focus. He was something like 96th or 214 00:10:47,760 --> 00:10:52,320 97th rated, which is terrible, but he had the lowest passer 215 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:54,800 rating among Seattle corners in coverage. 216 00:10:55,240 --> 00:10:58,760 So I don't really know how the Pro Football Focus ranking 217 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:05,040 worked there because Job like actually got it done by the 218 00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:08,040 numbers where it mattered. Mack Hollins probably gets 219 00:11:08,040 --> 00:11:10,640 thrown to the Devon Witherspoon Wolves as much as he can. 220 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,440 He was the second best cover corner in the league according 221 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:16,520 to Pro Football Focus. That being said, Booty and Diggs 222 00:11:16,520 --> 00:11:19,280 are the only guys you can really target to play as they both get 223 00:11:19,280 --> 00:11:20,920 around 5:00 to 6:00 targets per game. 224 00:11:21,480 --> 00:11:24,520 Hollins, Demario Douglas, Kyle Williams, F and Chisholm. 225 00:11:24,520 --> 00:11:28,520 They're like 0 to 1, maybe 2 targets per game kind of guys 226 00:11:29,240 --> 00:11:32,480 digs gets a bronze because he sticks to the slot and I think 227 00:11:32,480 --> 00:11:34,520 that he'll avoid Witherspoon altogether. 228 00:11:35,080 --> 00:11:36,720 Booty. I think I'm leaving on the 229 00:11:36,720 --> 00:11:39,280 bench. I think Seattle probably schemes 230 00:11:39,280 --> 00:11:41,320 to take him out of the game with Witherspoon. 231 00:11:43,200 --> 00:11:46,480 I mean that kind of leaves Hollins is like a really, really 232 00:11:46,480 --> 00:11:49,960 deep dart throw kind of a thing. I know Drake may really likes 233 00:11:49,960 --> 00:11:54,160 him and and and their boys, but man, I I don't know if I could 234 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:57,120 feel comfortable starting Mack Hollins in a game right now. 235 00:11:57,680 --> 00:12:00,000 And then Hunter Henry's the last guy to mention here. 236 00:12:00,000 --> 00:12:03,400 If he scores a touchdown, you'll get to double digit PPR points. 237 00:12:03,760 --> 00:12:06,440 If he does not score a touchdown, you probably won't. 238 00:12:06,440 --> 00:12:09,560 So if you're planning on playing him in any line up, this is 239 00:12:09,560 --> 00:12:14,280 solely a Hunter Henry anytime touchdown bet and I looked at D 240 00:12:14,280 --> 00:12:17,520 KS sports book. He's plus 2:35 to do that, which 241 00:12:17,520 --> 00:12:19,800 means if they played this game three times, he's going to score 242 00:12:19,800 --> 00:12:23,240 once. So that's not good enough for 243 00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:24,400 me. I think I'd leave him on the 244 00:12:24,400 --> 00:12:26,720 bench. If you really are feeling 245 00:12:26,720 --> 00:12:28,680 confident in Hunter Henry and you're going to look to start 246 00:12:28,680 --> 00:12:32,040 him in some fan ball line UPS, go make a wager on an anytime 247 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:35,320 Hunter Henry touchdown too and and maybe double up on it. 248 00:12:35,320 --> 00:12:39,640 So that's where we sit. I've kind of wavered back and 249 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:45,200 forth on where I was this week. I think Seahawks win, but I 250 00:12:45,200 --> 00:12:47,960 think the Patriots will cover. I think it'll be a three-point 251 00:12:47,960 --> 00:12:49,800 game. Yeah, so it's interesting. 252 00:12:49,800 --> 00:12:55,400 I put a large bet on Seattle -4 1/2 last Monday thinking I bet 253 00:12:55,400 --> 00:12:57,320 that gets higher before game time. 254 00:12:57,920 --> 00:13:00,720 The line is not moved. And like, I think like 70% of 255 00:13:00,720 --> 00:13:02,160 public money or something is on the Seahawks. 256 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:06,600 So I'm getting a little nervous. But I do think I think the only 257 00:13:06,600 --> 00:13:08,440 spots that the Patriots have an advantage, like a clear 258 00:13:08,440 --> 00:13:11,000 advantage are mate, the quarterback and maybe their 259 00:13:11,000 --> 00:13:14,120 interior of the defensive line and their special team is really 260 00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:15,120 good. But so is Seattle's. 261 00:13:15,960 --> 00:13:17,560 Seattle's just so good everywhere else. 262 00:13:17,560 --> 00:13:20,680 It's like Garrett Bradbury starting, like Will Campbell is 263 00:13:20,680 --> 00:13:23,240 getting like pushed off the ball in every playoff game. 264 00:13:23,240 --> 00:13:26,720 It's just it's tough for me to see the Patriots coming through 265 00:13:26,720 --> 00:13:29,280 here. Yeah, It it, it might just be 266 00:13:29,280 --> 00:13:31,200 kind of like one of those backdoor covers. 267 00:13:31,200 --> 00:13:33,280 I think it's going to be a pretty low scoring game. 268 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:35,920 Yes. The the the over under came down 269 00:13:35,920 --> 00:13:37,400 a point and 1/2. So yeah, we are moving that 270 00:13:37,400 --> 00:13:39,360 direction. Where's the over under at right 271 00:13:39,360 --> 00:13:40,680 now? It was 46 1/2. 272 00:13:40,680 --> 00:13:42,800 I believe it's 45 live. OK. 273 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:46,360 Yeah, I, I, I think I'd stick with the under on that one. 274 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:48,360 I I think so too. I don't think both teams get out 275 00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:52,000 of the 20s. Yeah, probably not. 276 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:56,920 Feels like a 20 to 17 game or a 2120 game or something like. 277 00:13:56,920 --> 00:13:59,360 That yeah, I. Agree. 278 00:13:59,360 --> 00:14:03,560 All right, let's talk about how we're going to do this in the 5 279 00:14:03,560 --> 00:14:08,520 by 5 on fan ball. There's basically 35 dollar guys 280 00:14:08,520 --> 00:14:11,120 and then there's two backup quarterbacks in there. 281 00:14:11,120 --> 00:14:14,240 It's JSN, Darnold and May. Let's just talk about them in 282 00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:17,960 the tears here. Trevor, how would you play these 283 00:14:17,960 --> 00:14:18,520 guys? Is it? 284 00:14:18,560 --> 00:14:20,440 Would you really just kind of go JSN? 285 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,840 Do you have a Darnold lineup, a May lineup or you're going to 286 00:14:22,840 --> 00:14:24,440 kind of sprinkle in a little bit of each? 287 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:29,280 Yeah, I I found myself not being able to get off of JSN and Ken 288 00:14:29,280 --> 00:14:31,680 Walker. But obviously you just, you're 289 00:14:31,680 --> 00:14:35,120 end up hating Romandre and Diggs and all the other good players. 290 00:14:35,640 --> 00:14:37,560 It's funny actually, my lineup is just all of the guys on the 291 00:14:37,760 --> 00:14:40,880 far left column. It's just JSN Walker, Trayvon 292 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:43,800 Hunter, Henry, Pop, Douglas. Just right down, right down the 293 00:14:43,800 --> 00:14:46,360 row. And Henderson, I know 3 is like, 294 00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:48,880 it's tough because like you said, he might play like 5 295 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:51,840 snaps, yeah, but there's also like, I bet no one else is going 296 00:14:51,840 --> 00:14:53,840 to play him and if he's got the explosive ability to break, you 297 00:14:53,840 --> 00:14:57,520 know, a 50 yard touchdown, so. So if you're ranking, if you're 298 00:14:57,520 --> 00:15:03,000 ranking the $5 guys, you got JSN first and then Darnold and May, 299 00:15:03,000 --> 00:15:07,000 I'd probably put. JSN May Darnold OK May's rushing 300 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:09,840 up side I think. All right, the four dollar guys 301 00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:14,080 are Stefan Diggs, Ramandre Stevenson, Ken Walker, Jason 302 00:15:14,080 --> 00:15:19,360 Myers, who's the Seattle kicker and the Seahawks D and I, I 303 00:15:19,360 --> 00:15:26,080 found myself kind of gravitating to trying to start two guys in 304 00:15:26,080 --> 00:15:30,280 the $5 and four dollar, sorry, three guys in the $5 and $4.00 305 00:15:30,280 --> 00:15:33,680 tier and then getting dirty with some $1.00 dart throws. 306 00:15:34,600 --> 00:15:36,640 Yeah, it's. Interesting. 307 00:15:36,640 --> 00:15:39,320 At $4.00, I think Romandre and Ken Walker are like easily the 308 00:15:39,320 --> 00:15:41,200 best plays. Seahawks D is really 309 00:15:41,200 --> 00:15:44,000 interesting, I think, though. Yeah, I think there's a chance 310 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,480 that the Seattle defense kind of like destroys the Patriots a 311 00:15:46,480 --> 00:15:49,080 little bit. So you compare that with Shahid 312 00:15:49,120 --> 00:15:51,720 at $2.00? I think that's definitely in 313 00:15:51,720 --> 00:15:54,880 play, $3 guys I didn't like very much. 314 00:15:54,880 --> 00:16:00,240 It's Trayvion, Cooper, Cup, Pat's kicker Andy Borogalis, 315 00:16:00,640 --> 00:16:08,400 Keyshawn Booty and the Pats D Out of those, I think Cup and 316 00:16:08,400 --> 00:16:14,280 maybe the Pats D are probably the ones I'd go for, but I can't 317 00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:16,920 find myself taking. Like I haven't taken a three 318 00:16:16,920 --> 00:16:18,800 dollar guy in any of the line UPS I've tried to build. 319 00:16:19,920 --> 00:16:21,960 Yeah, that's, that's true. I I would say it mostly might 320 00:16:21,960 --> 00:16:24,200 have been like fives and fours and then I'll punt it off with a 321 00:16:24,200 --> 00:16:27,520 couple ones. Yeah. $2.00 guys, both of the 322 00:16:27,520 --> 00:16:30,720 starting tight ends, Hunter Henry and AJ Barner, Rasheed 323 00:16:30,720 --> 00:16:33,040 Shaheed, who you mentioned that you like to pair with the 324 00:16:33,040 --> 00:16:36,480 Seahawks D because you could get both the return touchdown for 325 00:16:36,480 --> 00:16:39,320 Shaheed and the Seahawks D getting the return touchdown as 326 00:16:39,320 --> 00:16:41,640 well. And there's George Helani and 327 00:16:41,640 --> 00:16:44,680 Mack Hollins. Hollins is like the guy I would 328 00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:48,480 go for if he was a $1.00 player, but at $2.00 I think it's I'm 329 00:16:48,520 --> 00:16:51,480 I'm not finding him in line UPS. Like you said, it seems like 330 00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:53,200 he's going to see a ton of Devin Witherspoon. 331 00:16:53,200 --> 00:16:54,840 It's like, well, we have one of the best corners in the league 332 00:16:54,840 --> 00:16:57,720 against, you know, no offense to Mack Hollins, but kind of a more 333 00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:01,960 regular type player. I think a regular player is kind 334 00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:02,600 of nice. Yeah. 335 00:17:03,720 --> 00:17:05,160 He's he's, he's. He's been in the league for a 336 00:17:05,160 --> 00:17:08,680 long time, man. And then finally the dollar dart 337 00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,160 throws. These are where it gets kind of 338 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:13,960 interesting. Demario Douglas, Eric Saubert, 339 00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:18,960 Effden Chisholm, Jake Bobo and Austin Hooper. 340 00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:22,800 And I keep finding myself when I have to put in two of these guys 341 00:17:23,000 --> 00:17:25,280 with Demario Douglas and Jake Bobo. 342 00:17:26,560 --> 00:17:29,480 Yeah, I think Chisholm and Salberto probably don't bother 343 00:17:29,480 --> 00:17:31,800 playing those guys. And then yeah, I've got Douglas 344 00:17:31,800 --> 00:17:35,120 as my $1.00 player, but I think Cooper or Bobo are more than 345 00:17:35,120 --> 00:17:38,160 fine options too. Yeah, I, I mean, Bobo caught a 346 00:17:38,160 --> 00:17:42,320 touchdown pass in the last game and maybe they just kind of use 347 00:17:42,320 --> 00:17:46,560 him down toward the stripe. And if you cash in with one 348 00:17:46,560 --> 00:17:49,360 catch for a touchdown, that's all the seven points you need 349 00:17:49,360 --> 00:17:50,400 you. Probably just plunge your 350 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:52,520 contest. Yeah, absolutely. 351 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:57,720 All right, let's talk a little bit about what you would do 352 00:17:57,720 --> 00:18:01,160 during the Super Bowl game at your Super Bowl party. 353 00:18:01,160 --> 00:18:02,800 I mean, some people play squares. 354 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:08,760 I hate squares personally, because it's just luck. 355 00:18:10,480 --> 00:18:13,560 And you need 100 people to fill out the thing. 356 00:18:13,560 --> 00:18:16,200 Not necessarily 100 people, but 100 squares. 357 00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:19,680 Yeah. And if you have a Super Bowl 358 00:18:19,680 --> 00:18:22,720 party and you got 12 people there, you're asking people to 359 00:18:22,720 --> 00:18:25,080 basically take like 8 to 10 squares. 360 00:18:25,080 --> 00:18:27,480 And that's not that cool. That's not fun. 361 00:18:29,120 --> 00:18:33,320 So I'm I'm out on squares. Some people like to play like 362 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:36,200 Pass the Hat, and there's some other games that are a little 363 00:18:36,480 --> 00:18:38,400 more interactive and that kind of thing. 364 00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:43,400 I believe that I developed the best of the Super Bowl day 365 00:18:43,400 --> 00:18:45,920 games. My prop bet games been going for 366 00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:49,040 16 years. Last year the NFL made me not 367 00:18:49,160 --> 00:18:52,640 put the name of the game in the title anymore, so I must be 368 00:18:52,640 --> 00:18:54,240 doing something right. I was going to say they're 369 00:18:54,320 --> 00:18:54,960 scared. Clearly. 370 00:18:54,960 --> 00:18:56,000 Yeah. So now it's. 371 00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:58,440 The big Sunday football prop bet game. 372 00:19:00,280 --> 00:19:03,160 We had over 1000 people playing it last year. 373 00:19:03,640 --> 00:19:05,760 I know that there's there's a lot of people who are going to 374 00:19:05,760 --> 00:19:08,920 play it again this year. If you follow me on Twitter at 375 00:19:08,920 --> 00:19:12,520 Explosive Output, I live tweet all of my group's answers. 376 00:19:12,800 --> 00:19:15,920 So if you're worried about like, oh, who's who's going to pay 377 00:19:15,920 --> 00:19:18,880 attention to get the answers, I got your back on that one. 378 00:19:18,880 --> 00:19:20,680 So don't worry about that. Trevor. 379 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:22,320 You had to do it for me one year too. 380 00:19:22,320 --> 00:19:23,800 I did. I picked up a handful of Twitter 381 00:19:23,800 --> 00:19:25,640 followers for scoring the game live. 382 00:19:26,760 --> 00:19:29,840 It was. That was pretty big so and I 383 00:19:29,840 --> 00:19:32,360 told you about most of it at the beginning of the show. 384 00:19:32,360 --> 00:19:35,360 You can find the link in the show notes promo code almost. 385 00:19:35,360 --> 00:19:38,840 I'll give you 20% off. But Trevor, let's go through 386 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:42,440 some of the questions and what were the questions that you kind 387 00:19:42,440 --> 00:19:44,800 of gravitated towards and liked the most? 388 00:19:45,520 --> 00:19:48,960 Yeah, from the first section we have what will be the result of 389 00:19:48,960 --> 00:19:50,400 the first offensive play of the game. 390 00:19:51,920 --> 00:19:54,840 Question 5 here. So I went offensive team gets a 391 00:19:54,840 --> 00:19:57,000 first down, which gives you 35 points. 392 00:19:57,120 --> 00:20:00,600 I think that's a combination of value and probability of hitting 393 00:20:00,600 --> 00:20:04,880 it, in my opinion. I also like turnover at 100 394 00:20:04,880 --> 00:20:08,160 points and it like you said, it also depends on how many people 395 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:10,000 you're playing the game with. If there's like 50 people at 396 00:20:10,000 --> 00:20:14,640 your Super Bowl party that are playing the game, I'm more apt 397 00:20:14,640 --> 00:20:17,600 to go for a big swing like the turnover at 100 points. 398 00:20:17,800 --> 00:20:20,000 But if you have like 10 to 15 people, I think I'd probably 399 00:20:20,000 --> 00:20:22,440 played a little safer with the. Offensive team gets a first 400 00:20:22,440 --> 00:20:23,600 down. Yeah. 401 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:26,520 And well, I think that that's that's important. 402 00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:30,880 But I I do have like a list of the first play of every Super 403 00:20:30,880 --> 00:20:35,920 Bowl game. Six out of the last seven have 404 00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:38,960 been run plays for no first down. 405 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:44,560 So it's there's a reason you're getting 35 points, because it's 406 00:20:44,560 --> 00:20:46,320 not. Gonna happen it it's almost a 407 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:51,360 lock to get it we we had that one weird one where the first 408 00:20:51,360 --> 00:20:58,240 play in the Denver Peyton Manning ended up getting covered 409 00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:03,240 for a safety that was that was amazing that was Super Bowl. 410 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,400 I think that was Super Bowl 50. I believe so. 411 00:21:07,760 --> 00:21:09,880 But yeah, that one was pretty wild. 412 00:21:09,880 --> 00:21:15,360 And I mean, an awesome, awesome win to get on on that kind of 413 00:21:15,360 --> 00:21:17,640 thing. But I I think that that one's 414 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:20,800 almost automatic. Teams like to settle down as 415 00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:23,840 soon as the Super Bowl start. It seems like run play is just 416 00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:28,720 probably the way to go. Yeah, let's see here, next one. 417 00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:31,840 I got question 16 from the next section. 418 00:21:31,840 --> 00:21:34,360 Will any of these people appear on stage and sing with Bad Bunny 419 00:21:34,360 --> 00:21:37,120 during the halftime show? Maybe multiple correct answers, 420 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:40,160 which is good to know as well. It it Yeah, you you could have 421 00:21:40,320 --> 00:21:44,440 three of them. So I chose Shakira at 35 points. 422 00:21:44,520 --> 00:21:47,600 There we go. In 2020, the 2020 Super Bowl 423 00:21:47,600 --> 00:21:50,640 Shakira. Were were Jennifer Lopez, Ricky 424 00:21:50,640 --> 00:21:53,480 Martin and Shakira. Or none of the above maybe? 425 00:21:53,640 --> 00:21:55,120 Or none of the above, Yeah. So yeah. 426 00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:58,480 What Shakira and Jlo did, the 2020 Super Bowl halftime show, 427 00:21:58,480 --> 00:22:00,080 they brought out Bad Bunny as a guest. 428 00:22:00,760 --> 00:22:03,320 So we kind of with all the, you know, rhetoric in our country, I 429 00:22:03,320 --> 00:22:06,000 assume Bad Bunny could have a Latin surprise guest or two to 430 00:22:06,000 --> 00:22:08,240 join them on the stage. Shakira gets the most points and 431 00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:10,760 I also think is the most likely. I think Shakira is like kind of 432 00:22:10,760 --> 00:22:13,560 the number one Latin pop star maybe ever. 433 00:22:14,360 --> 00:22:16,240 So yeah, I I actually feel pretty good about this one, 434 00:22:16,240 --> 00:22:20,920 which maybe I shouldn't. So these these odds were based 435 00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:25,600 on like real life sports book props that I did find. 436 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:30,240 So Jennifer Lopez and Ricky Martin were were actually like 437 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:36,040 minus money to appear on stage. So I don't know if people know 438 00:22:36,040 --> 00:22:40,400 something that might happen. Shakira was plus money, but I 439 00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:44,840 thought it was, I thought as you do that she might be there. 440 00:22:45,440 --> 00:22:48,320 It might be worth it just to get the extra points because Jlo and 441 00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:50,760 Ricky Martin are 15 points for the answers. 442 00:22:50,880 --> 00:22:53,920 Shakira's 35. So you're more than double so 443 00:22:54,120 --> 00:22:57,120 if. But if all three show up, you're 444 00:22:57,120 --> 00:22:59,800 still winning in that scenario by 20 points. 445 00:22:59,800 --> 00:23:01,320 That's a good point. That's a really good point. 446 00:23:02,000 --> 00:23:04,560 Yeah. What's your next one? 447 00:23:05,120 --> 00:23:08,400 Yeah, I got question 21. Here, I'll read it for you. 448 00:23:08,440 --> 00:23:11,280 I'll read it for you. After the first turnover of the 449 00:23:11,280 --> 00:23:15,240 game, which of the following service commercials will be seen 450 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:17,760 first? TurboTax or State Farm is 15 451 00:23:17,760 --> 00:23:20,560 points. Ramp or Rippling is 20 points. 452 00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,880 Squarespace or Spectrum 25 points. 453 00:23:24,440 --> 00:23:29,480 No turnovers the entire game or the game ends 25 points. 454 00:23:29,640 --> 00:23:32,720 Where'd you go? So I'll just, I'll start this 455 00:23:32,720 --> 00:23:35,960 off by saying I, I play that game usually every year and I 456 00:23:35,960 --> 00:23:38,320 get the commercials wrong every single time. 457 00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:40,760 So I'll say what I got to say and then just pick a different 458 00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,840 1. So I went with Squarespace or 459 00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,120 Spectrum for 25 points. Again, it's the highest point 460 00:23:45,120 --> 00:23:47,120 total available. And I know Squarespace loves the 461 00:23:47,120 --> 00:23:48,560 Super Bowl ad. I feel like I can picture, I 462 00:23:48,560 --> 00:23:51,440 don't know, Jeff Goldblum or somebody reading their ad stuff. 463 00:23:51,440 --> 00:23:54,440 So yeah, I have no idea. That's just random pick. 464 00:23:55,440 --> 00:23:57,960 I do research on all the commercials before this. 465 00:23:58,120 --> 00:24:02,080 All of these commercials are confirmed so they all will be a 466 00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:06,840 part of the Super Bowl. I, I think my favorite of the, 467 00:24:06,840 --> 00:24:10,040 of the questions on the commercials was after the second 468 00:24:10,120 --> 00:24:12,560 score of the game, which of these random commercials will be 469 00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:14,920 seen first? My favorite answer that made me 470 00:24:14,920 --> 00:24:19,720 laugh out loud when I typed it was Jesus or liquid death at 20 471 00:24:19,720 --> 00:24:22,360 points. I, I, I like the combination of 472 00:24:22,960 --> 00:24:26,200 Jesus and liquid death together. Yeah. 473 00:24:26,640 --> 00:24:29,000 Yeah. You know, Hyundai or GMC 15 474 00:24:29,000 --> 00:24:34,000 points, Raisin Bran or Kinder Bueno at 25 and Starbucks or 475 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:37,280 Taco Bell at 25. Jesus or liquid death. 476 00:24:37,280 --> 00:24:39,640 I'm going for Jesus and liquid death for sure. 477 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:41,640 I mean, it's the funniest. Even if you don't get it, it's 478 00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:43,160 still the funniest answer. Yeah. 479 00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,240 All right. You got anything from the the 480 00:24:48,240 --> 00:24:50,320 late section? Because there's 4 sections in 481 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,760 this. There's a section on anthem, 482 00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:55,320 coin toss, early game stuff. We got the national anthem. 483 00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,880 By the way, I've seen a couple of these other sports prop bet 484 00:24:58,880 --> 00:25:02,400 sheets out there and they're like over under 90 seconds. 485 00:25:02,600 --> 00:25:07,320 Nobody has this anthem at anything but like 119 or 120. 486 00:25:07,800 --> 00:25:12,120 So 90 seconds is a fool's bet right there. 487 00:25:12,120 --> 00:25:15,960 It's over on that. But under hits more often than 488 00:25:15,960 --> 00:25:19,440 not on the anthem. I I like the under 120 seconds 489 00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:21,920 or Charlie Puth goes instrumental with it. 490 00:25:21,960 --> 00:25:25,760 But so we got anthem, we got halftime show stuff. 491 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:28,800 There's six questions on the halftime show, There's six 492 00:25:28,800 --> 00:25:31,360 questions on commercials. And then there's full game and 493 00:25:31,360 --> 00:25:35,520 end game items which I gave names to, like Malcolm Butler's 494 00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:38,800 ghost. Will Seattle attempt a pass on 495 00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:41,120 any place snapped from the New England 1 yard line? 496 00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:45,000 Yes or no? 45 for the S10 For the no. 497 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:48,360 I had that originally as my last question and then I started 498 00:25:48,360 --> 00:25:51,080 looking at what Seattle's done on the 1 yard line this year and 499 00:25:51,080 --> 00:25:52,280 it is like a never throw the ball. 500 00:25:52,320 --> 00:25:54,920 So all right, I'm done on that one. 501 00:25:55,000 --> 00:25:57,240 Yeah, OK. The one I did actually end up 502 00:25:57,240 --> 00:25:59,440 with was question 32. If you want to. 503 00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:02,320 Oh sure. What's the margin of victory for 504 00:26:02,320 --> 00:26:06,800 the winning team? One to six points is 15, 7 to 12 505 00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:12,640 is 2013 to 18 is 40, and 19 or more is 60. 506 00:26:13,560 --> 00:26:16,640 So I did go 13 and 13 to 18 for 40 points. 507 00:26:16,640 --> 00:26:19,440 Like I said, I do kind of like Seattle, at least a cover. 508 00:26:19,440 --> 00:26:22,280 So in a blowout, yeah, a little bit. 509 00:26:22,280 --> 00:26:25,000 And like I said, I just, I think Seattle's a much better team. 510 00:26:25,640 --> 00:26:28,800 I I wonder if Seattle just gets rolling like that. 511 00:26:28,800 --> 00:26:30,960 Nineteen or more points at 60 points. 512 00:26:30,960 --> 00:26:32,480 It's staring me right in the face. 513 00:26:32,480 --> 00:26:35,840 And the final question is Who Will Win the game? 514 00:26:36,200 --> 00:26:39,040 And you get 58 points if you select New England and they win 515 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:43,160 the game, or 29 points for Seattle If if you're going to be 516 00:26:43,160 --> 00:26:46,680 on Seattle, which I think a lot of people will be. 517 00:26:46,680 --> 00:26:49,720 I tried to entice the other end by putting a lot of points on 518 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:49,960 you. You. 519 00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:51,600 Did you enticed me? I was like. 520 00:26:52,920 --> 00:26:55,120 I thought about taking the pass, but if you're going to take 521 00:26:55,120 --> 00:26:57,880 Seattle, I think how you differentiate in this game is 522 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:02,720 you take either 13 to 18 points or 19 or more points to to make 523 00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,320 yourself the differentiator. If you just go with chalk and 524 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:10,480 you say Seattle one to six points, I mean, you might get it 525 00:27:10,480 --> 00:27:15,120 right, but what's the fun and just yeah, there might be upside 526 00:27:15,120 --> 00:27:17,520 in getting something else here. It's stacking right. 527 00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:20,120 Well, if I Arnold throws to JSN, they both score. 528 00:27:21,040 --> 00:27:22,600 So it's right wins and then they win by a lot. 529 00:27:22,600 --> 00:27:25,240 Yeah, double dip. Yeah. 530 00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:29,280 So the the mats prop bet game available for purchase. 531 00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:32,240 It's on Etsy actually is where I'm selling at. 532 00:27:32,240 --> 00:27:35,040 And you can you can go ahead. You can find it in the show 533 00:27:35,040 --> 00:27:38,360 notes or if go find me at explosive output on Twitter and 534 00:27:38,360 --> 00:27:42,760 it'll be pinned in my profile. And finally, before we go 535 00:27:43,240 --> 00:27:49,760 Trevor, we decided to we don't normally do player props, but I 536 00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:52,120 like to do a few player props here and there. 537 00:27:52,120 --> 00:27:54,600 It's it's a fun thing to do, especially in the playoffs where 538 00:27:54,880 --> 00:27:57,760 every everything's so magnified on these players. 539 00:27:57,760 --> 00:28:01,520 And we each picked three of our favorite player props that we 540 00:28:01,520 --> 00:28:04,040 found online. Why don't you start with one of 541 00:28:04,040 --> 00:28:06,800 yours? Yeah, we didn't talk about this, 542 00:28:06,800 --> 00:28:09,240 but the jersey are over your left shoulder there. 543 00:28:09,720 --> 00:28:15,000 Jerry Rice 25 to one that someone breaks Jerry Rice's 215 544 00:28:15,000 --> 00:28:18,320 yard Super Bowl record. This is a JSN bet, obviously. 545 00:28:19,280 --> 00:28:20,720 Highest target share percentage in the league. 546 00:28:20,840 --> 00:28:23,040 Seattle has a very narrow passing tree right now. 547 00:28:23,360 --> 00:28:25,920 Shaheed gets literally like one to two target per game cup 548 00:28:26,000 --> 00:28:30,040 underneath AJ Barner, Ken Walker, Helani aren't voluminous 549 00:28:30,040 --> 00:28:32,040 in the passing game. You definitely need the path to 550 00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:36,800 probably put up like 24 to 27 points for this to be live, but 551 00:28:37,040 --> 00:28:39,000 I don't think it's insane. Like this is a guy that can 552 00:28:39,000 --> 00:28:42,320 absolutely get 15 to 16 targets and he's got explosive ability. 553 00:28:42,320 --> 00:28:43,840 Like what were the? Odds on that? 554 00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:49,160 25 to one 215 yards. So I think JS, NS highest yards 555 00:28:49,160 --> 00:28:52,120 this year was like 160. So, but the other thing is 556 00:28:52,120 --> 00:28:54,440 Seattle's never pushed. So in case New England can push 557 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,640 Seattle a little bit, I think there's like an actual chance he 558 00:28:56,640 --> 00:29:01,320 could he could get there. So if you were, could you parlay 559 00:29:01,720 --> 00:29:06,280 the breaking Jerry Rice's record with JSNMVP? 560 00:29:08,040 --> 00:29:11,680 Because if one's happening, the other's probably happening and 561 00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,440 you're probably getting like 50 or 60 to one at that point. 562 00:29:16,160 --> 00:29:18,800 Yeah, 'cause I think JS NS plus 475 Super Bowl MVP. 563 00:29:18,800 --> 00:29:21,280 So yeah, yeah, that would be a, that would be a big one. 564 00:29:21,480 --> 00:29:22,880 What's your what's your first one, Matt? 565 00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:28,120 I have Romandre Stevenson over 14 1/2 rushing attempts and I 566 00:29:28,120 --> 00:29:30,080 also kind of liked the Stevenson. 567 00:29:30,520 --> 00:29:36,280 I saw 50 1/2 rushing yards and over 20 1/2 rush attempts plus 568 00:29:36,280 --> 00:29:38,720 targets. Although if you bet them 569 00:29:38,720 --> 00:29:42,600 individually, it was 14 rushing attempts and 3 1/2 targets. 570 00:29:42,600 --> 00:29:45,480 So that gets to 18. So you're if you bet them 571 00:29:45,480 --> 00:29:47,720 individually, you're kind of better off than going with the 572 00:29:47,720 --> 00:29:49,800 20 1/2 rush attempts plus targets. 573 00:29:50,120 --> 00:29:52,080 So stick to the 14 1/2 rushing attempts. 574 00:29:52,640 --> 00:29:57,800 The Rams ran 19 times against Seattle and they kept it pretty 575 00:29:57,800 --> 00:30:00,720 close. Stevenson's workload has been 576 00:30:00,760 --> 00:30:03,760 through the roof, as we kind of mentioned in the in the 577 00:30:03,760 --> 00:30:06,440 playoffs, as the playoffs have worn on. 578 00:30:07,160 --> 00:30:09,000 He had 13 touches against the Chargers. 579 00:30:09,320 --> 00:30:11,800 That one was kind of a blowout, and they almost didn't really 580 00:30:11,800 --> 00:30:15,480 need Stevenson all that much in the second-half of that game. 20 581 00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:19,360 touches against a really, really tough Houston Texans defense. 582 00:30:19,920 --> 00:30:22,440 That's one that it's impossible to run against. 583 00:30:22,440 --> 00:30:26,280 They gave him 20 touches. Then he plays Denver's defense, 584 00:30:26,360 --> 00:30:27,960 also really tough to run against. 585 00:30:27,960 --> 00:30:31,920 He gets 25 carries against Denver's run defense. 586 00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:37,960 They saved him down the stretch to play these games against 587 00:30:37,960 --> 00:30:41,200 these kind of teams, and they believe in Ramandre Stevenson. 588 00:30:41,200 --> 00:30:45,040 Right now, it feels like 14 1/2 rushing attempts is a good 589 00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:47,520 number. I'm a little scared betting it, 590 00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:51,680 but I think that if the Patriots want any chance of staying in 591 00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:55,640 this game, they got to get him close to like 18 to 20 rushing 592 00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:58,080 attempts or they're not even going to be in it anymore. 593 00:30:58,680 --> 00:31:00,680 I agree. And I think the general public 594 00:31:00,680 --> 00:31:02,960 might not be as aware of how little Trayvon Henderson 595 00:31:02,960 --> 00:31:04,880 actually plays. They just see like borderline 596 00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,000 first round pick and think, hey, that guy's, you know, a star. 597 00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:10,520 So I think that's kind of driving a little bit of the that 598 00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:11,840 narrative as well. Yeah. 599 00:31:12,400 --> 00:31:14,720 What's your second one? Second one? 600 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:17,200 This one's not super fun. How many players will attempt a 601 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:21,200 pass over under 2 1/2? I'm taking the under at -200 I 602 00:31:21,200 --> 00:31:24,600 know that's not a fun bet to lay, but it's a good bet. 603 00:31:24,920 --> 00:31:27,880 So Cooper Cup has one pass attempt all year. 604 00:31:27,920 --> 00:31:31,080 That's the only non Seattle quarterback to throw a pass. 605 00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:33,440 No non quarterback attempt to pass for the Patriots this 606 00:31:33,440 --> 00:31:35,480 season. People do think of the Patriots 607 00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,440 as a team that's done this before, right? 608 00:31:37,440 --> 00:31:40,280 Julian Edelman has an attempt in both the 2014 and 2016 Super 609 00:31:40,280 --> 00:31:42,280 Bowls. However, Edelman was a college 610 00:31:42,280 --> 00:31:43,840 quarterback. The Pats don't currently have 611 00:31:43,840 --> 00:31:46,280 anyone on the roster like that. Like I said, I know it's not fun 612 00:31:46,280 --> 00:31:49,640 to like -200 but if you want to like a little bit of a free bet, 613 00:31:49,720 --> 00:31:51,440 I think that's a. Good one. 614 00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:54,480 Both of these quarterbacks have a little bit of an injury thing 615 00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:55,920 and it's I. I. 616 00:31:56,400 --> 00:31:58,840 Quarterback. Thing No, I just wonder if it's 617 00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:00,720 going to be like, oh, Josh Drake's out for a play. 618 00:32:00,760 --> 00:32:02,440 All right, Josh Dobbs get in here, hand the ball off. 619 00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:05,080 All right, Drake, get back out here. 620 00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:07,720 The past or not is going to take you down. 621 00:32:07,720 --> 00:32:13,360 Watch it my my second one's also a quarterback related one and 622 00:32:13,360 --> 00:32:16,600 maybe it's not that fun either. Drake May anytime. 623 00:32:16,720 --> 00:32:22,200 Interception in the game, shoulder injury, best secondary 624 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:24,280 in the league. If they're behind, they're going 625 00:32:24,280 --> 00:32:26,560 to ask him to throw a lot. He threw a pick against the 626 00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:29,080 Chargers and the Texans in the playoff run. 627 00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:32,280 Didn't throw very much against Denver at all 'cause it was so 628 00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:36,360 crappy in the second-half. Do I think that Drake May has a 629 00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:38,560 shot of winning the Super Bowl? Yes, I do. 630 00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:41,080 Do I think he's going to be perfect in this game? 631 00:32:41,240 --> 00:32:44,280 I definitely do not. And Seattle had the fifth most 632 00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:45,680 interceptions in the league this year. 633 00:32:45,680 --> 00:32:48,280 They have 19, including playoff games. 634 00:32:48,280 --> 00:32:53,080 So I I just think 19 interceptions in 19 games. 635 00:32:53,400 --> 00:32:57,840 That's an average of 1. So I think that I think that 636 00:32:57,840 --> 00:33:00,520 Drake may probably throws at least one pick in this game. 637 00:33:00,960 --> 00:33:03,000 I do like that one. I also like Darnold anytime 638 00:33:03,000 --> 00:33:06,120 interception, which means like a -, 110 or something. 639 00:33:06,520 --> 00:33:09,560 One of my favorite things on the parlays is putting any time 640 00:33:09,560 --> 00:33:12,120 interception in for a quarterback and just rooting for 641 00:33:12,120 --> 00:33:13,640 him to throw a pick the entire time. 642 00:33:13,640 --> 00:33:15,280 It's always like one of my favorite. 643 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:17,480 I don't know why you only need one. 644 00:33:17,800 --> 00:33:19,200 You're not like, you know, rooting for. 645 00:33:19,200 --> 00:33:21,400 You're rooting for just one pick, one time. 646 00:33:21,920 --> 00:33:23,840 Yeah. Could come at the end of the 647 00:33:23,840 --> 00:33:26,560 game when they're desperate, all all sorts of stuff like that. 648 00:33:26,560 --> 00:33:28,760 A. 100% I like that one. Final. 649 00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:31,520 Prop. Bet yeah my next one I got two 650 00:33:31,520 --> 00:33:35,160 more if people want to. My favorite is which will be 651 00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:38,240 higher, longest made field goal or longest play from scrimmage? 652 00:33:38,960 --> 00:33:41,120 I took longest play from scrimmage at plus 150. 653 00:33:41,640 --> 00:33:42,680 Where did? You find that? 654 00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:45,760 Oh, these are all in bed online, by the way, which is a pretty 655 00:33:45,840 --> 00:33:48,800 ridiculous Their lines are pretty readily available in most 656 00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:51,160 places. So let's assume 53 yards for the 657 00:33:51,160 --> 00:33:52,880 longest field goal, right? That's that's a pretty long 658 00:33:52,880 --> 00:33:56,640 field goal for a Super Bowl. Longest all the time was 57, the 659 00:33:56,680 --> 00:33:58,840 number of players who could top 53 yards on one play in this 660 00:33:58,840 --> 00:34:00,600 game. JSN, Rashid, Shahid Romandre, 661 00:34:00,600 --> 00:34:03,160 Steph Diggs, Trayvon, maybe even Mack Hollins. 662 00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:06,600 Just be like Drake throws it 50 yards and go jump up for it, 663 00:34:07,320 --> 00:34:08,159 those guys. In there. 664 00:34:08,159 --> 00:34:09,080 Too. Yeah, yeah. 665 00:34:09,159 --> 00:34:11,679 Yep. Even Pop Douglas occasionally 666 00:34:11,679 --> 00:34:14,400 can get explosive. So anyways, those guys, 667 00:34:15,199 --> 00:34:18,199 specifically JSN Shahid digs, Romandre Trayvon of Hollins 668 00:34:18,199 --> 00:34:20,400 combined for 11 plays over 53 yards this year. 669 00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:22,760 Now where it gets interesting is that the longest field goal is 670 00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:25,679 only 40 to 45. Then you're really live because 671 00:34:25,679 --> 00:34:29,600 JSN has like 8 more of those, like between 40 and, you know, 672 00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:33,520 52 or whatever kind of plays. So it's a weird one, but yeah, 673 00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:34,719 plus money. And I think it's a pretty 674 00:34:35,120 --> 00:34:37,280 interesting. I I like that one. 675 00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:45,159 My final one is Rashid Shahid, over 4 1/2 rushing yards in this 676 00:34:45,159 --> 00:34:48,440 one. He's had a rushing attempt in 677 00:34:48,440 --> 00:34:51,679 eight of his eleven games as a member of the Seahawks. 678 00:34:52,280 --> 00:34:55,120 In five of those games, he's had at least 5 rushing yards. 679 00:34:55,120 --> 00:34:56,320 Then that's, that's all you need. 680 00:34:56,639 --> 00:35:00,920 So five out of eight times that he's had a carry, he's he's hit 681 00:35:00,920 --> 00:35:03,840 that number. In three of those games he had 682 00:35:03,840 --> 00:35:09,040 over 20 rushing yards because he's broken a big one since 683 00:35:09,040 --> 00:35:12,520 Charbonnet went down. Shaheed has had three rushing 684 00:35:12,520 --> 00:35:17,400 attempts in those 1 1/2 games. So he's he's averaging basically 685 00:35:17,400 --> 00:35:20,520 a rushing attempt per half right now. 686 00:35:21,360 --> 00:35:23,880 They have to have a few reverses in the playbook for him. 687 00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,600 They're going to hand him the ball at least once in this game. 688 00:35:27,040 --> 00:35:28,440 All he needs to do is get 5 yards. 689 00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:30,920 He's like a locked in for a carry. 690 00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:33,760 Like he he gets carries. Like all the time or in most 691 00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:36,960 games? I don't think George Helani is 692 00:35:37,640 --> 00:35:40,720 somebody that anybody's nervous about taking a lot of rushing 693 00:35:40,720 --> 00:35:42,760 attempts. So when he's on the field, it's 694 00:35:42,760 --> 00:35:45,680 normally a pass blocking situation and that means 695 00:35:45,680 --> 00:35:48,880 Shaheed's probably out there as well on A3 wide receiver set. 696 00:35:48,880 --> 00:35:52,400 And I think that it's a pass or a Shaheed sweep on one of those 697 00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:56,040 ones where they're spelling Ken Walker Holani's on the field, 698 00:35:56,600 --> 00:35:58,080 they're going to give Shaheed one of them. 699 00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:00,200 I agree. I think if like, Charbonnay was 700 00:36:00,200 --> 00:36:01,800 still healthy, I wouldn't be as excited. 701 00:36:01,800 --> 00:36:04,880 But because Shahid is just a more talented player than anyone 702 00:36:04,880 --> 00:36:06,600 else, they have behind Ken Walker to run the ball. 703 00:36:06,720 --> 00:36:09,680 So I, I like that one. Yeah, I got two more here that 704 00:36:09,680 --> 00:36:14,000 are super quick. Will Patriots left tackle? 705 00:36:14,000 --> 00:36:18,600 Will Campbell allow a sack? Yes -140 so yeah, I took yes 706 00:36:18,600 --> 00:36:22,080 -140 Past quarterbacks took 48 sacks this year, a bottom 10 707 00:36:22,080 --> 00:36:24,360 mark. Seattle had 47 sacks on defense, 708 00:36:24,360 --> 00:36:27,320 good for 7th in the league. Mike McDonald with two weeks and 709 00:36:27,320 --> 00:36:30,240 like 6 above average pass rushers against Will Campbell 710 00:36:30,240 --> 00:36:32,120 and Garrett Bradberry and some of these guys. 711 00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:33,640 Plus Drake wants to hold the ball right. 712 00:36:33,640 --> 00:36:35,960 He's fumbling all the time, so I kind of like that one. 713 00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:39,400 And then Ken Walker, over 33 1/2 rushing yards in the first half 714 00:36:40,040 --> 00:36:43,800 at -125 he had fifty in the first half in Week 18 against 715 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:46,600 the Niners, 34 in the first half in the divisional round against 716 00:36:46,600 --> 00:36:48,480 San Fran. And that includes Zach Shaven, a 717 00:36:48,480 --> 00:36:51,480 stealing 20 in the first half before his injury and then 37 718 00:36:51,480 --> 00:36:54,480 last week in the NFC title game. A little bit of juice at -125 719 00:36:54,480 --> 00:36:56,400 but he's hitting it pretty consistently. 720 00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:58,800 And it's going to be the kind of Walker show like, what did they 721 00:36:58,800 --> 00:37:00,720 win or lose? He's getting 20 touches. 722 00:37:01,160 --> 00:37:04,600 Yeah, I mean, I I'm a little nervous that since some of the 723 00:37:04,600 --> 00:37:08,440 Patriots interior lineman have kind of returned, that they've 724 00:37:08,440 --> 00:37:11,560 been a lot better against the run and that that might stop 725 00:37:11,560 --> 00:37:15,320 Walker a little bit. It's a it's a more it's a more 726 00:37:15,320 --> 00:37:19,720 difficult front than he's faced in the in the two playoff games 727 00:37:19,720 --> 00:37:22,360 so far, Yes. And I I don't know if you know 728 00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:24,920 the Seahawks right guard Anthony Bradford. 729 00:37:25,720 --> 00:37:28,600 No, for anyone listening personally, no, Yeah, yeah, no. 730 00:37:29,120 --> 00:37:30,960 So if you've never heard of him, he's starting right guard for 731 00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:32,600 the Seahawks. Do yourself a favor, go to 732 00:37:32,600 --> 00:37:35,160 YouTube or Twitter, whatever your favorite social media app 733 00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:36,960 is. Search his highlights from this 734 00:37:36,960 --> 00:37:40,040 year. And just pop some popcorn in it 735 00:37:40,040 --> 00:37:42,520 at 10 minutes of just shenanigans, just tripping, 736 00:37:42,520 --> 00:37:44,680 people falling over themselves, fake blocks. 737 00:37:44,680 --> 00:37:47,880 It's it's wild that like somebody like this is on a Super 738 00:37:47,880 --> 00:37:49,480 Bowl team, but. You'll have to, you'll have to 739 00:37:49,480 --> 00:37:51,360 send me a link to that for sure. It's great. 740 00:37:51,440 --> 00:37:55,720 Yeah. I I think that we've covered 741 00:37:55,720 --> 00:38:00,480 everything Super Bowl here. A reminder that there's still 742 00:38:00,480 --> 00:38:03,840 time left to grab a spot in any of the fanball contest this 743 00:38:03,840 --> 00:38:09,000 weekend. 20 dollars, $5 and $1.00 superb Owls. 744 00:38:09,240 --> 00:38:11,440 They're still taking reservations, but spots are 745 00:38:11,440 --> 00:38:14,480 going quickly. By the way, if you don't have 746 00:38:14,480 --> 00:38:18,240 the Fanball mobile app, the newer Fanball mobile app which 747 00:38:18,240 --> 00:38:22,440 houses Fanball winners and it houses our one and done golf 748 00:38:22,520 --> 00:38:28,320 game, you might want to download it because I believe that the 749 00:38:28,320 --> 00:38:34,440 Super Bowl Superb Owl 5 by Fives will be up in the Fanball app 750 00:38:34,880 --> 00:38:40,080 very, very shortly. Like maybe within hours but I 751 00:38:40,080 --> 00:38:42,040 saw the new update. It's very, it's very slick. 752 00:38:42,400 --> 00:38:45,080 Very pretty, very pretty. So you could track it on your 753 00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:50,480 phone with an actual good app. We built a bad app before. 754 00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:53,560 I'm sorry, it's. Been up for last time. 755 00:38:55,960 --> 00:38:59,800 All right, thanks to Trevor at T Jones 5 on Twitter. 756 00:38:59,960 --> 00:39:02,800 I'm at Explosive output and if you want to come get my prop bet 757 00:39:02,800 --> 00:39:06,000 game, come visit me over there on the Twitter machine or at 758 00:39:06,000 --> 00:39:09,760 Explosive Output on Blue Sky. I've got it linked there as 759 00:39:09,760 --> 00:39:12,040 well. Trevor, thanks a lot. 760 00:39:12,320 --> 00:39:15,640 Good luck with all of your Super Bowl wagers this week and. 761 00:39:15,640 --> 00:39:17,160 As well, Hopefully the game goes off great. 762 00:39:17,720 --> 00:39:21,320 Yeah, and we're, we're probably going to come back with we're, 763 00:39:21,360 --> 00:39:23,800 we're probably going to take a little bit of a break on fantasy 764 00:39:23,800 --> 00:39:26,880 football almost daily. I know Scott Fish and I have 765 00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:29,840 been talking about doing a couple of future shows on the 766 00:39:29,840 --> 00:39:34,520 dynasty side, focusing on some dynasty aspects and safe 767 00:39:34,520 --> 00:39:37,120 leagues. So if you're interested in that, 768 00:39:37,240 --> 00:39:40,960 you know, keep subscribe to the the the program here and we'll 769 00:39:40,960 --> 00:39:45,080 make sure to give you a few a few Nuggets during the NFL 770 00:39:45,080 --> 00:39:47,160 offseason. I know I got a few friends in 771 00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:50,720 the NFL draft business that I'm hoping to get on the show with 772 00:39:50,720 --> 00:39:54,120 me. So excited to preview a few of 773 00:39:54,120 --> 00:39:57,360 those things on FFAD. So stick around. 774 00:39:57,480 --> 00:40:01,880 But thanks for watching today and good luck at your superb owl 775 00:40:01,880 --> 00:40:03,120 party. We'll see you then. 776 00:40:06,400 --> 00:40:08,240 This was fantasy football almost daily. 777 00:40:08,640 --> 00:40:11,360 Please subscribe and give us a five star rating wherever you 778 00:40:11,360 --> 00:40:12,440 listen to podcasts.