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Good afternoon. 
It's Wednesday the 3rd of 

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January 2024, just after 1:00. 
Welcome to UK Column News. 

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I'm your host Michael Robinson 
joining me in the studio today. 

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Charles Mallett, Welcome to the 
programme, Charles. 

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Thank you very much. 
And we've got a happy new year 

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to everyone. 
And Debbie Evans is joining us 

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by video link as usual. 
And Debbie, let's get kicked off

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then because, well, the health 
service continues to collapse. 

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It does indeed. 
Happy New Year everyone. 

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And it's not too happy for 
people waiting for treatment in 

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the NHS. 
Because of course we know the 

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junior doctors have just started
a six day strike. 

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This is the longest in NHS 
history. 

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Started at 7:00 today and it 
finishes at 7:00 on January the 

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9th. 
Now this means all doctors under

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consultant level. 
That doesn't include GPS, and it

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also doesn't include military 
doctors either. 

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So it's possible that you may 
see some military personnel in 

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hospital for the next 6 days. 
But crisis in the NHS and more 

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worry too, as Japanese 
researchers have they've just 

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put out a study saying to expect
or predict a pandemic of heart 

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failure. 
Now this is being blamed on 

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COVID-19 and the study 
apparently shows that people who

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haven't had the vaccine are more
at risk because COVID is the 

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cause. 
Now obviously we know of the 

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huge problems that we've seen 
with serious adverse reactions 

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with regards to the COVID-19 
vaccine. 

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There doesn't seem to be any 
research into that. 

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And I can tell you that most 
people that I speak to that are 

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unvaccinated don't appear to be 
having heart trouble at the 

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moment. 
Well the question is what is the

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reason reason for this? 
Is it to cover up, let's say, 

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any speculation or any 
discussion or any analysis of 

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whether COVID-19 vaccines are 
responsible for the heart issues

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that are clearly happening and 
excess deaths in general? 

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This was tweeted out by Leo 
Varadkar, the Irish tea shock on

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the 2nd of January yesterday. 
No excess deaths here, that's in

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Ireland during COVID pandemic. 
OECD report says as Health 

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Minister hails high vaccine 
uptake and this is linking to an

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independent dot IE article this 
article. 

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The headline is no excess deaths
here during COVID COVID 

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pandemic. 
So the question is what was this

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about? 
Well the OECD published or at 

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least the Irish government 
published this graph based on 

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the OECD statistics. 
And of course the OECD had 

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decided that really the 
statistics over excess mortality

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just didn't seem to be quite 
right and needed the the models 

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were being used, didn't seem to 
be quite right and maybe they 

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needed to be adjusted And so 
they have been adjusted now and 

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you can see there that New 
Zealand had the adjusted figures

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are in the light blue of course 
had apparently the lowest excess

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mortality with looks like about 
-4% excess mortality. 

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Ireland looks like about -3 or 
so that looks like the 4th 

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worth, the 4th best. 
In these new adjusted figures we

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can see the OECD average in the 
middle there with the red bar 

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and to the right of that the UK,
the United Kingdom is has a 

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reasonably significant excess 
mortality even with the adjusted

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figures, the worst countries 
there the likes of Turkey, Costa

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Rica, United States 
significantly worse than the 

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United Kingdom, Bulgaria, 
Colombia and Mexico. 

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Now the reason that they're 
saying that the figures could be

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made negative with respect to 
Ireland is because they say they

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have now adjusted for population
growth and so on compared to 

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population pre COVID-19. 
But of course, for two years 

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nobody was allowed to travel 
terribly much. 

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And so it's a population 
increase has happened certainly 

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in 2023 as a result of 
immigration and so on. 

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But there's some questions to be
asked about this still. 

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But the problem is that if we go
back a year or two, we see 

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headlines like this Ireland's 
excess mortality rate fourth 

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highest in the EU and that's 
from Breakingnews dot IE and 

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from the Irish Examiner here. 
Funerals delayed as increase in 

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number of deaths puts mortuaries
under pressure. 

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These were from, well, that was 
from January 2023. 

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So it's all a bit unclear how 
the OECD has arrived at this 

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particular claim. 
Let's have a look at this 

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because of course the the big 
question that remains in the big

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elephant in the room is whether 
we're seeing the same excess 

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mortality in Africa and we 
certainly didn't with during the

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COVID years themselves. 
So this was the New York Times 

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from 2022 trying to cope with 
this fact, with their headline 

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Trying to solve a COVID mystery 
mystery. 

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Africa's low death rates. 
And here's LSE, the London 

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School of Economics from May 
this year. 

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Africa's COVID-19 statistics 
highlights bias and excess death

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modelling, so they're all 
flailing around trying to find 

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an explanation which for excess 
mortality, which doesn't involve

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vaccinations. 
And I just find that quite an 

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incredible situation. 
In the meantime, the MHRA, 

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because of course they do great 
things, have announced the new 

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well, they announced this 
actually in May last year, the 

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new international recognition 
framework and bringing this back

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on screen because they have now 
stood this up. 

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It is now formal and any 
medicine coming into the UK 

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that's recognised by other 
certain other countries can be 

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applied for and get an automatic
pass by the MHRA because the 

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international recognition 
framework is now live as of the 

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1st of January this year. 
Let's look at the other 

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countries we've got Australia, 
Canada, Switzerland, Singapore, 

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Japan, United States, European 
Union and European Economic 

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Area, including the various 
member states are all involved 

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in this. 
And So what they're said, but we

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don't need to worry because what
they're saying is as a sovereign

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regulator, the MHRA retains 
ultimate authority to accept or 

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reject applications submitted 
under the IRP. 

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But the shared global expertise 
inherent inherent in the IRP 

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process is designed to result in
a more rapid, efficient and cost

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effective process for 
applicants. 

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At launch, the MHRA will partner
with regulators in those 

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countries and we'll just that'll
just be issued in for various 

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various medications. 
So Debbie, that must make you 

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feel particularly positive about
the New year and of course we 

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must recognize the MHRA taking a
leading role to become at least 

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it would like to see itself as 
the global regulator. 

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Well, this was always the 
intention obviously from the the

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get go the global regulator. 
But I I think it's going to be 

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very interesting the next board 
meeting. 

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So perhaps people that are 
watching might like to ask some 

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questions because grab your 
ticket. 

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Now the MHRA board meeting which
is scheduled for Tuesday the 

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16th of January 10:00 to 12:30. 
Now please submit questions 

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prior to I think it's Monday the
8th of January there 2024. 

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They won't accept questions 
afterwards but a lot of 

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questions to be asked. 
Our eyes are completely focused 

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on the MHRA for the for the 
foreseeable future. 

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So please join me for the MHRA 
Board meeting and grab your 

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ticket. 
But staying on health. 

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And I see this week that Sky 
brought out a story about the 

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RSV jab would cut baby hospital 
admissions by more than 80%. 

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Now we've talked about this 
before, this injection that 

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they're giving to babies. 
This is not a vaccine, This is a

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monoclonal antibody. 
The study included 8000 babies 

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up to the age of 12 months. 
And we've had interviews with 

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Doctor Roz Jones on previous 
occasions, consultant 

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paediatrician and we've been 
saying RSV respiratory center 

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seal virus. 
Most children make an 

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unremarkable, which in medical 
speak is a good recovery. 

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They do not need these 
injections. 

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So please parents, grandparents,
please inform everybody, um that

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that may need to know. 
Moving on this year, if we do 

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get our election and the Labour 
win, we can look forward to 

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Labour's new plan to open up the
NHS to private entrepreneurs. 

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So they're basically looking at 
ramping up and accelerating 

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clinical trials at home health 
tests and promoting the NHS app 

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which seems to be being picked 
up by an awful lot of people. 

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Also yesterday I picked up a 
copy of the Times because I was 

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alarmed by the front page which 
says cancer diagnosis. 

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So they're going to be 
diagnosing One Britain a minute 

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by 2040 with cancer. 
Now this is a warning from 

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Cancer Research UK, which of 
course we've done work on before

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and we know that Cancer Research
UK is funded by Big Pharma. 

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But if we look further into this
article you can see that the 

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plans are to wipe out cervical 
cancer by 2040. 

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There'll be a smoking ban, so 
that will reduce lung cancer. 

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AI will be reading scans and 
X-rays. 

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Do you trust AI? 
I don't. 

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There will be cancer vaccines 
And the Holy Grail blood test. 

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Well, you might remember that's 
the early test for cancer. 

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Grail was a company that was 
formed by Jeff Bezos and Bill 

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Gates. 
And of course they're going to 

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be doing lung screening too. 
And then who remembers the good 

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old days where you knew who a 
nurse was when you walked into a

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hospital? 
You knew who they were because 

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the uniform. 
Well, I'm sorry folks, but the 

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uniform is again changing for 
this year into a new national 

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uniform. 
And apparently the chief nursing

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officer says that patients are 
getting too confused with all of

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the uniforms. 
Well, I don't know about you, 

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but if you see the next 
screenshot, the myriad of 

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different uniforms that are set 
to hit our wards, it is 

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absolutely insane. 
And I certainly wouldn't be able

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to remember who was who based on
that chart. 

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So it looks as though it's going
to be doubly confusing. 

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And then my final slide for 
health really on this segment is

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that Somerset Council are saying
that they're heading for 

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bankruptcy because of the 
significant while the rocketing,

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rocketing care costs. 
So there's going to be a 

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national 6.5% rise in council 
funding this year, but they just

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can't keep up with it. 
I think. 

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Look for more council bankruptcy
bankruptcies associated to 

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healthcare. 
Thank you, Debbie. 

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Now, Charles, Speaking of 
finances, and we're not talking 

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council finances but public 
sector finances. 

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We are, and we're going to look 
at how the government's been 

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spending your money since it's 
the start of the year. 

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So we'll go back to data from 
2023 provided by the Office for 

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National Statistics. 
And these are the public sector 

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finances released just before 
Christmas and they describe how 

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the relationship between UK 
public sector monthly income and

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expenditure leads to changes in 
deficit and debt. 

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So the first graph and of course
statistics can be drawn up and 

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interpreted in a number of 
different ways. 

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But this shows the the 
government borrowing and this is

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on the left hand side is goes 
back to 1994 coming up to 2023. 

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So you can see the enormous 
uplift in borrowing in 2020. 

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To set that in context, we will 
go on and have a look at the 

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borrowing expressed as 
percentage of GDP, gross 

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domestic product and of course 
the coronavirus restriction 

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pandemic period is dwarfed by 
those of the 1st and 2nd World 

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Wars. 
But what's interesting to note 

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between the two points is that 
not only have there been periods

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of surplus, but also the 
cyclical nature of the way in 

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which government manages 
finances. 

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Now I'm afraid we are sticking 
with graphs to be able to 

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illustrate these points and the 
next thing we'll go on to is the

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net debt. 
So again, not not talked about, 

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probably enough in mainstream 
media, but net debt is running 

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at more or less 100% of GDP now,
which as the graph says at the 

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top here, hasn't been seen since
the early 1960s. 

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So it does illustrate the 
predicament that we find 

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ourselves in, at least in terms 
of how the government is 

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managing the money that it takes
from the taxpayer via all the 

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various means and mechanisms. 
So that's the the borrowing side

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of it and the debt side of it. 
The next thing to consider is 

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how on earth is the government 
actually spending this money? 

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Where's it going and what are 
they doing with it? 

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So we'll just bring on screen 
something from the Institute for

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Fiscal Studies, their tax lab 
part of their website, which has

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a colourful pie chart here. 
And the reason for wanting to 

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put this up on screen is first 
of all to draw your attention to

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the absolutely enormous segment 
which is labeled other, And in 

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effect that's items of 
expenditure that aren't 

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annotated in enough detail to be
able to provide detailed 

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breakdowns. 
So there's an awful lot of room 

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for manoeuvre, in effect for 
government being able to hide 

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exactly what it is and where 
money's going, something that UK

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column has concentrated on a lot
in the past. 

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But but also what's interesting 
to note is the the quantity of 

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00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:05,800
health spending, and indeed the 
way that the IFS explains it. 

230
00:14:05,800 --> 00:14:09,680
So we'll just read what's gone 
on screen now, which is that the

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00:14:09,680 --> 00:14:12,840
major trend of the past 70 years
has been a steady increase in 

232
00:14:12,840 --> 00:14:15,520
the share of national income 
devoted to government spending 

233
00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:19,000
on health, and a corresponding 
decrease in the share of a 

234
00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:21,240
national income devoted to 
defence. 

235
00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:29,160
So between 1955 and 2023, health
spending increased from 2.8% to 

236
00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:34,120
8.4% of U kg DP. 
Now, what's interesting is how 

237
00:14:34,400 --> 00:14:37,480
the IFS described this. 
They say that the rise was 

238
00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:42,360
offset by a fall in defence 
spending from 7.6% to 2.2% of 

239
00:14:42,360 --> 00:14:45,120
GDP, and they refer to this as a
peace dividend. 

240
00:14:45,120 --> 00:14:49,160
They say this peace dividend 
allowed the government to spend 

241
00:14:49,160 --> 00:14:53,320
more on health without 
increasing the size of the 

242
00:14:53,320 --> 00:14:56,480
state. 
I would say that last clause is 

243
00:14:56,480 --> 00:14:58,880
extremely questionable in many 
respects. 

244
00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:02,600
First of all, has there really 
been a peace dividend? 

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00:15:02,840 --> 00:15:05,680
And if we're to believe that 
there has is it really being 

246
00:15:05,680 --> 00:15:09,000
genuinely offset by anything 
that we can describe as a health

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00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:12,800
dividend, I would put it that 
that again is extremely 

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00:15:12,800 --> 00:15:15,160
questionable. 
So we'll just go on to a couple 

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00:15:15,160 --> 00:15:19,200
more graphs just to again set 
the context. 

250
00:15:19,200 --> 00:15:21,680
But this is this is government 
spending overtime just to get a 

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00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:25,520
sense of of where we are and 
again this is by percentage of 

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00:15:25,800 --> 00:15:27,880
GDP. 
So we're at the right hand side 

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00:15:27,880 --> 00:15:30,880
of the graph now with the 
enormous blip for the for the 

254
00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:35,480
COVID-19 restrictions and when 
the economy was effectively 

255
00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:39,400
damaged, hopefully not beyond 
repair, but but absolutely very 

256
00:15:39,400 --> 00:15:41,880
considerably. 
And then just retrospectively, 

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00:15:41,880 --> 00:15:48,560
we'll just close by looking at 
statistics provided by the DWP 

258
00:15:48,640 --> 00:15:52,840
and these show the the benefit 
claimants, 53% of households in 

259
00:15:52,840 --> 00:15:56,120
the United Kingdom are now 
receiving benefits of one sort 

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00:15:56,120 --> 00:15:58,120
or another and this shows the 
allocation of where they're 

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00:15:58,120 --> 00:15:59,960
going. 
Debbie's spoken at length about 

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00:15:59,960 --> 00:16:03,160
the PIP Personal Independence 
payment and the disability 

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00:16:03,160 --> 00:16:08,120
living allowance which are shown
there and tally up to well over 

264
00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:13,240
4 million recipients. 
But but just to give an idea of 

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00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:18,560
the of the damage that can be 
done and how it's sort of that 

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00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:21,240
there has been an immediate 
sense of some sort of recovery. 

267
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:24,400
We can see that whilst state 
pension recipients have gone up,

268
00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:28,680
employment and support allowance
fell by 6.2%. 

269
00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:32,480
This sorry, this is going back 
to to immediately following the 

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00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:37,200
restrictions back to 2022 job 
seeker allowance fell by 35%, 

271
00:16:37,200 --> 00:16:41,000
housing benefit fell by 7.9%. 
So the the reason for for 

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00:16:41,000 --> 00:16:44,520
showing that sort of historic 
data is just to you have an idea

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00:16:44,520 --> 00:16:46,920
of first of all how the 
government are managing the 

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00:16:46,920 --> 00:16:51,000
money that we give to them, but 
also how the economy if given 

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00:16:51,000 --> 00:16:54,400
the chance can bounce back. 
So obviously much more data to 

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00:16:54,400 --> 00:16:57,760
come out of course this year, 
which will be reported on when 

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00:16:57,760 --> 00:17:00,240
that happens. 
OK, thank you. 

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00:17:00,240 --> 00:17:02,920
If you like what the UK column 
does, you'd like to support us. 

279
00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:06,800
community.ukcolumn.org is the 
place to go and you'd be very 

280
00:17:06,800 --> 00:17:09,680
welcome as a member there. 
Your support very much needed. 

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00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:13,119
You could pick something up at 
the UK column shop Let's not 

282
00:17:13,119 --> 00:17:16,000
forget the MHRA not fit for 
purpose T-shirts. 

283
00:17:16,480 --> 00:17:21,040
We want to keep that campaign 
going and but do share material 

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00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,920
you find on the platforms, 
especially ukcolumn.org UK 

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00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:28,440
Column extracts.co.uk. 
Now, very briefly, tomorrow at 1

286
00:17:28,440 --> 00:17:34,360
PMI had an interview with Ben 
Pyle, climate campaigner that 

287
00:17:34,360 --> 00:17:37,920
will be going out tomorrow if 
you want to understand a little 

288
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:40,760
bit more about what's going on 
with the climate change 

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00:17:40,760 --> 00:17:44,080
narrative and how that fits in 
with many other narratives that 

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00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:45,720
we are hearing about at the 
moment. 

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00:17:46,400 --> 00:17:50,680
And then on Sunday we will be 
hosting another symposium from 

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00:17:50,920 --> 00:17:54,040
the International Centre for 911
Justice, this time entitled 

293
00:17:54,040 --> 00:17:57,240
Genocide and Empire in examining
October the 7th and the 

294
00:17:57,240 --> 00:17:59,200
geopolitics of the war on 
Palestine. 

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00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:04,360
So Professor Richard Faulk, 
Professor Atif Kabarsi, Vanessa 

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00:18:04,360 --> 00:18:07,400
Bailey, Aaron Goode and Kevin 
Ryan will be speaking at that 

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00:18:07,400 --> 00:18:10,440
will be hosted by Pierce 
Robinson, starts at 6:00 PM on 

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00:18:10,440 --> 00:18:12,840
Sunday evening. 
Please join us for that. 

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00:18:14,040 --> 00:18:16,240
Very briefly, Debbie, very 
briefly please. 

300
00:18:16,240 --> 00:18:20,000
Your blog is up. 
It is indeed, yes, and as you 

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00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:22,360
can see, COVID jabs are going to
be sold on the High Street. 

302
00:18:22,360 --> 00:18:24,840
But be ready for that because 
they're 100 lbs each. 

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00:18:25,440 --> 00:18:28,080
Can AI predict, predict your 
death? 

304
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:31,400
Yes it can. 
And plenty more about peace and 

305
00:18:31,400 --> 00:18:33,080
security. 
Cybercrime. 

306
00:18:33,360 --> 00:18:37,120
Sir John Edmonds, who's been 
knighted as the lock up 

307
00:18:37,120 --> 00:18:38,800
professor. 
OK. 

308
00:18:38,880 --> 00:18:43,200
Thank you. 
And finally a reminder then that

309
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:47,080
Andrew Bridging will be hosting 
another debate that's on trends 

310
00:18:47,080 --> 00:18:50,120
and excess deaths on the 16th of
January at 9:30 AM. 

311
00:18:50,160 --> 00:18:54,440
He's asking once again for 
people to write to their MPs and

312
00:18:54,520 --> 00:18:58,040
make sure that they attend. 
OK, let's move on now. 

313
00:18:58,040 --> 00:19:01,160
One of the features, 
particularly since the COVID, 

314
00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:05,120
but actually before that, has 
been the issue of behavioural 

315
00:19:05,120 --> 00:19:09,680
change and behavioural change 
applied psychology being pushed 

316
00:19:09,680 --> 00:19:14,160
on all of us. 
And of course that the Spy B 

317
00:19:14,960 --> 00:19:18,480
document being an exclusive for 
us at the time. 

318
00:19:19,240 --> 00:19:21,640
Public Contracts Scotland. 
I want to thank the viewer that 

319
00:19:21,640 --> 00:19:23,520
sent this to me. 
Public Contracts Scotland has 

320
00:19:23,520 --> 00:19:27,760
put this contract notification 
out because of course probably 

321
00:19:27,760 --> 00:19:32,560
the original policy area where 
behavioural change was viewed as

322
00:19:32,560 --> 00:19:34,880
being important was energy 
efficiency. 

323
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:38,800
So this is a contract for the 
replacement of LED lights, St. 

324
00:19:38,800 --> 00:19:42,320
lighting in Scotland. 
And if we just look at the title

325
00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:45,760
here, it comes under the heading
of energy efficiency and 

326
00:19:45,760 --> 00:19:48,240
behaviour change. 
And actually this is something 

327
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:53,440
that goes right through the Net 
0 documentation from very many 

328
00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:55,840
sources. 
Let's just look at one of the 

329
00:19:55,840 --> 00:19:58,920
sources. 
This is C Sustainable Energy 

330
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:01,320
Advice. 
This is a New Zealand based 

331
00:20:01,360 --> 00:20:06,000
organization and let's just have
a look at what they say about 

332
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:08,480
themselves. 
Since its inception in 2011, C 

333
00:20:08,480 --> 00:20:12,000
has worked with the User 
Centered Energy Systems or Users

334
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:16,760
TCP by the International Energy 
Agency to lead the first global 

335
00:20:16,760 --> 00:20:20,440
behaviour change research 
collaboration called Task 24 

336
00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:23,000
Behaviour Change in DSM for this
research. 

337
00:20:23,360 --> 00:20:26,520
C collaborated with hundreds of 
behaviour change experts around 

338
00:20:26,520 --> 00:20:30,640
the world to figure out how to 
best tackle such a complex and 

339
00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:36,400
messy problem, and in order to 
sort of visualise this Task 24 

340
00:20:36,640 --> 00:20:38,360
they produced this handy 
graphic. 

341
00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:42,760
So let's just have a look at 
this in a little bit more detail

342
00:20:42,760 --> 00:20:44,120
here. 
So they're talking about 

343
00:20:44,200 --> 00:20:47,640
behaviour right in the centre of
there and various rings around 

344
00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:50,000
the technology, social 
infrastructure and environment. 

345
00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:52,800
And then they're looking at and 
the types of change agents that 

346
00:20:52,800 --> 00:20:56,560
they have in place that can help
people change their behaviour. 

347
00:20:57,040 --> 00:21:00,320
Decision makers being government
through the government, 

348
00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:03,640
ministers through policy and 
local government and so on. 

349
00:21:04,560 --> 00:21:06,960
What else we got here? 
We've got experts, of course. 

350
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:11,560
They're used to help us change 
our our behaviour. 

351
00:21:11,560 --> 00:21:14,480
We've got the media up at the 
top there, we've got industry, 

352
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:19,120
we've got investors, so banks 
and so on, because money is a 

353
00:21:19,120 --> 00:21:21,240
good way to encourage people to 
change their behaviour. 

354
00:21:22,040 --> 00:21:25,520
We have other behaviour 
changers, and this might include

355
00:21:25,520 --> 00:21:28,600
social media, influencers for 
example, but also healthcare 

356
00:21:28,600 --> 00:21:32,280
workers, education, our school 
children and so on. 

357
00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:38,840
And then we have of course 
ourselves and the type of NGOs, 

358
00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:42,120
but Community NGOs, but also 
ourselves, our family and 

359
00:21:42,120 --> 00:21:45,200
friends, because we obviously 
influence each other and we help

360
00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:47,800
each other change our behaviour,
hopefully in the way that the 

361
00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:52,320
government wants, don't we? 
So let's bring this on screen, 

362
00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:54,640
just to give you an idea of the 
scale of this. 

363
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:58,880
So this is the Energy Institute 
and they've published this page,

364
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:01,600
Energy Insight, Energy 
Efficiency and Behaviour Change.

365
00:22:02,160 --> 00:22:05,320
And they're looking at 
international behavioural change

366
00:22:06,160 --> 00:22:08,320
mechanisms through the United 
Nations, through the World 

367
00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:11,520
Energy Council. 
We've got Europe listed through 

368
00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:15,880
the European Commission Director
of General General Energy and 

369
00:22:15,880 --> 00:22:18,920
the European Environment Agency.
We've got the UK government 

370
00:22:18,920 --> 00:22:21,240
through its Department of Energy
and Climate Change. 

371
00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:24,880
And that includes of course the 
behavioural insights team that 

372
00:22:24,880 --> 00:22:29,320
we've mentioned so many times. 
We have well smart meters 

373
00:22:30,360 --> 00:22:33,680
derogation guidance, we'll talk 
about smart meters in a second. 

374
00:22:34,520 --> 00:22:37,840
We've got non UK government 
organisations, Carbon Trust, 

375
00:22:37,840 --> 00:22:42,320
Demos, UKERC, we've got academic
institutions including the 

376
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:46,920
British Psychological Society, 
the Energy Institute, we've also

377
00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:50,920
got Stanford University ethos 
that we've got energy company 

378
00:22:50,920 --> 00:22:54,600
initiatives from British Gas and
EON, in particular other 

379
00:22:54,600 --> 00:22:58,840
organisations including RAC and 
then other countries. 

380
00:22:59,200 --> 00:23:03,800
But this was what struck me. 
Over Christmas happened to catch

381
00:23:04,040 --> 00:23:06,920
a couple of advertisements for 
half price electricity. 

382
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,960
We can catch up on our chores. 
If you're a British Gas 

383
00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:14,800
customer, we can cook our Sunday
roast and so on. 

384
00:23:15,480 --> 00:23:18,480
But the question is then who 
takes part? 

385
00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:22,680
And the truth is that the people
take part are people with smart 

386
00:23:22,680 --> 00:23:24,240
meters. 
Of course, a smart meter is 

387
00:23:24,240 --> 00:23:29,000
requirement and a smart meter is
absolutely a key mechanism for 

388
00:23:29,000 --> 00:23:34,240
behavioural change. 
So this advertisement going on 

389
00:23:35,360 --> 00:23:39,840
on televisions across the UK 
over Christmas, because that is 

390
00:23:39,960 --> 00:23:44,160
an absolutely key part of the 
whole climate change net zero 

391
00:23:44,160 --> 00:23:50,360
agenda, is how we actually 
encourage our US to do the right

392
00:23:50,360 --> 00:23:52,240
thing as the government would 
see it. 

393
00:23:52,920 --> 00:23:56,600
And that is something that we 
have been really wanting to 

394
00:23:57,200 --> 00:23:59,880
encourage everybody to think 
about just how much your 

395
00:23:59,880 --> 00:24:02,720
behaviour is being influenced. 
Remember the Mindspace document 

396
00:24:02,720 --> 00:24:04,800
says you won't realise it's 
being done. 

397
00:24:05,600 --> 00:24:07,960
Debbie Let's move on to 
education. 

398
00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:11,880
Yeah, and let's stay on the 
theme of behaviour as well. 

399
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:15,200
And for people that are, you've 
got sharp ears. 

400
00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:18,600
You'll notice that special 
educational needs won't be 

401
00:24:18,600 --> 00:24:21,480
mentioned in this segment. 
And that is very important to 

402
00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:25,920
remember for many reasons. 
So who's heard of the EWF, the 

403
00:24:25,960 --> 00:24:31,160
Education World Forum? 
Gillian Keegan, our Education 

404
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:34,640
Secretary, has been celebrating 
role of international education 

405
00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,400
and promoting the benefits at 
the EWF. 

406
00:24:37,400 --> 00:24:40,360
Well, we're not talking about 
the WEF, it's the EWF. 

407
00:24:40,360 --> 00:24:44,080
So let's go and look at the 
Education World Forum and we can

408
00:24:44,080 --> 00:24:45,400
see. 
But it's the world's large 

409
00:24:45,440 --> 00:24:48,240
largest gathering of education 
and skills ministers. 

410
00:24:48,520 --> 00:24:53,000
They're going to be meeting the 
19th to the 22nd of May and 

411
00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:56,400
there's 120 ministers, over 114 
countries. 

412
00:24:56,400 --> 00:25:00,240
So this is a big a big 
organization and with we see who

413
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:04,000
supports it there's plenty of 
names that you're you're 

414
00:25:04,000 --> 00:25:07,520
recognised just to read out a 
few McKinsey, Microsoft, Lego, 

415
00:25:07,720 --> 00:25:10,280
National Geographic. 
Then you've got the Department 

416
00:25:10,280 --> 00:25:12,560
of Education, Foreign 
Commonwealth and Development 

417
00:25:12,560 --> 00:25:14,800
Office and the department Common
Trade. 

418
00:25:14,800 --> 00:25:19,560
So a big organization. 
So let's look at the WEF because

419
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:24,760
I'm seeing this word reset reset
being used everywhere and 

420
00:25:24,760 --> 00:25:28,080
especially in education. 
So back in 215 they were talking

421
00:25:28,080 --> 00:25:32,000
about how to reset education and
how to help. 

422
00:25:32,360 --> 00:25:37,840
So we decided to look at the UK 
and to see how we were resetting

423
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:40,040
education and resetting 
behaviour. 

424
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:44,760
This article in Schools Week 
says that this is going to be an

425
00:25:44,760 --> 00:25:48,560
alternative provision to support
learners to reintegrate into 

426
00:25:48,560 --> 00:25:51,120
mainstream school. 
So why are they not in 

427
00:25:51,120 --> 00:25:52,840
mainstream school in the 1st 
place? 

428
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,760
Perhaps they could be special 
educational needs and they're 

429
00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:58,680
going to be using this CALM 
programme for mindfulness and 

430
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:04,920
mental health well-being. 
But in 215, also in Schools Week

431
00:26:04,920 --> 00:26:09,360
you'll see that Nicky Morgan 
appointed A behavioural guru. 

432
00:26:09,360 --> 00:26:13,480
If you like, Tom Bennett's, his 
name is he already advised on 

433
00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:18,440
teacher training and he is now 
being appointed to tackle pupil 

434
00:26:18,440 --> 00:26:21,000
misbehaviour. 
So if you go and look on the 

435
00:26:21,000 --> 00:26:26,280
government's thegov.uk page, you
can see that he has created a 

436
00:26:26,280 --> 00:26:31,280
culture of behaviour management 
in school, and indeed he's even 

437
00:26:31,280 --> 00:26:33,520
got his own page on the National
College. 

438
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:37,200
If you see that slide next, you 
can see his face coming up 

439
00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:38,640
there, so you know what he looks
like. 

440
00:26:38,640 --> 00:26:41,080
The National Have you got the 
slide for the National College? 

441
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:45,320
That's it. 
And if you go to his bio on 

442
00:26:45,320 --> 00:26:48,800
there, you'll see that this 
whole thing started really from 

443
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:51,360
a book he wrote called Running 
the Room. 

444
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:55,880
Well, we'll find out what room 
he was running in a minute. 

445
00:26:56,920 --> 00:27:00,400
If we look at the early career 
hub, we can see that he wrote an

446
00:27:00,400 --> 00:27:02,960
article called Resetting and 
Rebooting Behaviour. 

447
00:27:03,840 --> 00:27:07,400
This is a man who doesn't have a
lot of experience, as you'll 

448
00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:11,040
come to find out, but he wants 
to basically outline class 

449
00:27:11,040 --> 00:27:14,680
routines, make children practice
till they get it right, sell the

450
00:27:14,680 --> 00:27:18,560
benefits, which means basically 
making a pact with student and 

451
00:27:18,560 --> 00:27:21,680
teacher and always follow up. 
Well, I can tell you now that 

452
00:27:21,680 --> 00:27:25,080
will not work with special 
educational needs children. 

453
00:27:25,520 --> 00:27:28,080
It's not a one size fit all at 
all. 

454
00:27:28,400 --> 00:27:32,520
So we've now got behavior hubs. 
UH, the DfE have been investing 

455
00:27:32,760 --> 00:27:36,240
10,000,000 lbs into behavior 
hubs. 

456
00:27:36,480 --> 00:27:39,640
So I went to look at the 
behavior hubs that they're 

457
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:43,000
rolling out and you'll be able 
to see them in the next slide 

458
00:27:43,000 --> 00:27:44,760
there. 
Apparently they're 

459
00:27:44,760 --> 00:27:47,840
transformative and these are 
behaviour hubs that are actually

460
00:27:47,840 --> 00:27:52,120
within mainstream schools. 
They're actually there. 

461
00:27:52,360 --> 00:27:56,680
So who is Tom Bennett, I hear 
you ask yourself? 

462
00:27:56,680 --> 00:28:00,280
Well, Tom Bennett started well 
his his dad was a taxi driver, 

463
00:28:00,280 --> 00:28:03,840
his mum was a nurse and he did a
degree in philosophy and then he

464
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:07,560
kind of drifted into nightclubs 
and Soho nightclubs. 

465
00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:12,240
So he modelled his children's 
behavioural plan basically on 

466
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:17,120
what he saw at nightclubs. 
He did a PGCEA teaching and then

467
00:28:17,120 --> 00:28:19,880
said, well there's not a lot of 
behaviour going on here, so I 

468
00:28:19,880 --> 00:28:23,640
need to specialized in it. 
But actually when you deep dive 

469
00:28:23,640 --> 00:28:26,920
further into who Tom Bennett's 
is, you can see that he was an 

470
00:28:26,920 --> 00:28:31,800
ex nightclub bouncer and he has 
used the behaviour that he's 

471
00:28:31,800 --> 00:28:36,800
witnessed in a Soho nightclub to
devise this whole behavioural 

472
00:28:36,800 --> 00:28:39,800
policy. 
Now I don't think he was 

473
00:28:39,800 --> 00:28:43,480
terribly good at it because he 
actually got barred from running

474
00:28:43,480 --> 00:28:47,280
a nightclub because he couldn't 
control rowdy night goers. 

475
00:28:47,280 --> 00:28:49,600
This was a a bar called the O 
Bar. 

476
00:28:50,040 --> 00:28:54,640
So do you trust Tom Bennett's 
with his behavioural techniques 

477
00:28:54,640 --> 00:28:57,800
for your children? 
And where are they in reset? 

478
00:28:57,800 --> 00:29:01,200
Because I heard from a youngster
during the Christmas holidays to

479
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:04,680
say that her whole floor of her 
school had been turned into 

480
00:29:04,680 --> 00:29:08,040
reset, which was separate 
cubicles separated by glass 

481
00:29:08,280 --> 00:29:11,760
sounded like a prison to me. 
And while I was carrying on 

482
00:29:11,760 --> 00:29:15,920
looking at education in 
December, the gender questioning

483
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:19,120
children, non statutory guidance
for schools and colleges in 

484
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:21,280
England, the draft was brought 
out. 

485
00:29:21,280 --> 00:29:25,560
Now this is intended for 
schools, colleges and teachers. 

486
00:29:25,840 --> 00:29:29,520
And you'll see the foreword has 
been written by Gillian Keegan, 

487
00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:32,920
MP, Secretary of State for 
Education and Kenny Badenoch. 

488
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,280
And you can see some of the 
things that are happening in the

489
00:29:35,280 --> 00:29:37,400
consultation. 
I haven't gone into it in depth 

490
00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:40,960
because it's a big document, but
you can see single sex spaces, 

491
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:44,880
toilets, changing rooms, 
showers, all sorts of things are

492
00:29:44,880 --> 00:29:47,640
in this consultation. 
So please go and look at it. 

493
00:29:47,920 --> 00:29:52,240
Although I think there could be 
backlash from this because as 

494
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:55,960
the MailOnline a warning schools
that follow government trans 

495
00:29:55,960 --> 00:30:00,080
guidance are at high risk of 
successfully being sued and 

496
00:30:00,080 --> 00:30:03,200
apparently schools seem to be 
hiding children's gender 

497
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:07,760
switching so that they don't 
want families informed. 

498
00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:12,080
So keep an eye on that story. 
But I think what was most 

499
00:30:12,400 --> 00:30:18,200
terrifying was the the news that
dozens, well, a lot of children 

500
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:23,840
under 5 have been referred to 
the NHS transgender service. 

501
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:27,120
Now, I mean, I I don't even know
where to start on this because 

502
00:30:27,120 --> 00:30:31,040
these are preschoolers. 
There were 382 youngsters aged 6

503
00:30:31,040 --> 00:30:35,760
and under and seventy of those 
were three or four and they were

504
00:30:35,760 --> 00:30:39,320
being referred on for 
transgender counselling. 

505
00:30:39,320 --> 00:30:43,320
They've now actually admitted 
that maybe this should stay to 

506
00:30:43,320 --> 00:30:45,760
under sevens, but even that's 
bad enough. 

507
00:30:46,960 --> 00:30:50,960
And then also I saw this story 
about the Welsh government using

508
00:30:50,960 --> 00:30:53,560
teenage girls to attract migrant
men. 

509
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:57,400
These are schoolgirls, 14 year 
old girls to attract migrants 

510
00:30:57,400 --> 00:31:01,080
into Wales and I think we've got
a short bit video to show you 

511
00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:06,680
now. 
Hello and welcome to Wales. 

512
00:31:07,240 --> 00:31:09,440
We understand being a refugee 
isn't easy. 

513
00:31:09,440 --> 00:31:12,160
They go through so much. 
Fleeing your country is 

514
00:31:12,160 --> 00:31:14,920
difficult, but Wales wants to 
help you feel welcome. 

515
00:31:15,120 --> 00:31:17,360
The Welsh Refugee Council here 
to help you. 

516
00:31:17,600 --> 00:31:22,720
You can contact them here. 
Wales is seen as a nation of 

517
00:31:22,760 --> 00:31:25,320
sanctuary. 
We welcome anyone and everyone. 

518
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:27,360
We recognize your skills. 
And talent. 

519
00:31:27,400 --> 00:31:29,720
The Welsh Refugee Council offers
a lot to support. 

520
00:31:29,720 --> 00:31:31,520
Not only this, but Wales offers 
free. 

521
00:31:31,520 --> 00:31:34,600
Education and health. 
There are many job opportunities

522
00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:37,160
here in Wales. 
IKEA works closely with the 

523
00:31:37,160 --> 00:31:40,640
Welsh Refugee Council, providing
jobs for refugees that come from

524
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:43,600
all over the world. 
We understand that you've been 

525
00:31:43,600 --> 00:31:46,880
through a lot and that is why 
the Refugee Council is here to 

526
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,080
help you. 
Thank you for listening. 

527
00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:55,200
So do you know what's going on 
in your child's school? 

528
00:31:56,800 --> 00:32:01,640
Thank you, Debbie. 
OK, election, Sam, I just want 

529
00:32:01,640 --> 00:32:06,560
to very briefly mention this. 
So the ultimate election year. 

530
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:08,320
Sorry, this is still you Debbie,
is it? 

531
00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:11,400
Yes, I'm quite happy to go into 
this. 

532
00:32:11,400 --> 00:32:13,640
If you want to go into this 
segment now, yeah, I didn't 

533
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:15,520
realise, but it's the ultimate 
election year. 

534
00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:20,120
So apparently 64 countries plus 
the European Union are all 

535
00:32:20,120 --> 00:32:23,920
heading for the polls, which is 
a combined population of 49% of 

536
00:32:24,200 --> 00:32:27,400
of of the population heading for
the polls this year. 

537
00:32:27,960 --> 00:32:28,760
Yeah. 
OK. 

538
00:32:28,880 --> 00:32:31,480
Thank you. 
I think that was that was that 

539
00:32:31,480 --> 00:32:34,680
Then we've got election 
officials see a range of threats

540
00:32:34,680 --> 00:32:39,200
in 2024 from hostile states to 
conspiracy theorists. 

541
00:32:40,040 --> 00:32:43,120
Yeah, indeed. 
And and this, this looks like, 

542
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:46,560
you know, I'm talking really 
about Black Swan events here and

543
00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:50,080
the US elections could be what 
they're saying is could be 

544
00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:54,760
jeopardized because of cyber 
attack or ransomware or anything

545
00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:58,440
else that might happen. 
So the elections are definitely 

546
00:32:59,680 --> 00:33:02,360
we're wondering what's going to 
happen, and plenty of people are

547
00:33:02,360 --> 00:33:04,680
actually quoting Black Swan 
events. 

548
00:33:04,800 --> 00:33:05,320
Right. 
OK. 

549
00:33:05,320 --> 00:33:07,400
Well, we'll have a little bit 
more on that in a minute. 

550
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:12,320
But before we get to that, let's
head over here Charles and 

551
00:33:12,320 --> 00:33:14,560
abortions. 
Thanks Mike. 

552
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:19,320
And in fact, specifically to do 
with legislation surrounding not

553
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:24,080
actually abortions but the zones
or buffer zones as they're being

554
00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:25,920
referred to around abortion 
clinics. 

555
00:33:25,920 --> 00:33:29,160
So I've got a headline here from
the Catholic Herald, Scottish 

556
00:33:29,160 --> 00:33:33,320
Catholic group Lambasts world's 
most extreme abortion buffer 

557
00:33:33,320 --> 00:33:37,040
zone. 
So this is from 2023. 

558
00:33:37,040 --> 00:33:42,520
But a group of Scottish Catholic
Bishops has come out and spoken 

559
00:33:42,720 --> 00:33:47,120
against the proposed 
legislation, which you may find 

560
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:50,400
is ringing a bell in terms of 
legislation that was passed in 

561
00:33:50,400 --> 00:33:54,800
England in 2023. 
But they said as part of their 

562
00:33:54,800 --> 00:33:58,240
statement, to remove freedoms 
from peaceful, law abiding 

563
00:33:58,240 --> 00:34:01,960
citizens sets a chilling legal 
precedent for everyone, 

564
00:34:02,400 --> 00:34:04,400
including those who support 
abortion. 

565
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:07,680
We believe that calls to 
introduce buffer zones around 

566
00:34:07,680 --> 00:34:11,360
abortion facilities where there 
have been no reported incidents 

567
00:34:11,360 --> 00:34:16,679
of harassment or intimidation by
participant, sorry participants 

568
00:34:16,679 --> 00:34:21,639
in peaceful vigils are mistaken.
Such vigils bear tangible 

569
00:34:21,639 --> 00:34:25,520
witness to our common freedoms 
of expression, speech and 

570
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:28,159
assembly. 
So what is it they're actually 

571
00:34:28,159 --> 00:34:30,080
talking about? 
Well, it's the bill in the 

572
00:34:30,080 --> 00:34:33,520
Scottish Parliament at the 
moment, which is put forward by 

573
00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:36,000
Julian McKay. 
It's the proposed Abortion 

574
00:34:36,000 --> 00:34:40,280
Services Safe Access Zones Bill.
And the reason for talking about

575
00:34:40,280 --> 00:34:42,679
it now is the calls for written 
evidence, closed just before 

576
00:34:42,679 --> 00:34:45,639
Christmas. 
But interestingly from the text 

577
00:34:45,639 --> 00:34:48,880
here, or rather alarmingly, this
includes any behaviour that 

578
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,239
might stop a person from getting
an abortion or make them feel 

579
00:34:52,239 --> 00:34:55,760
scared or upset. 
I've underlined that because so 

580
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:57,920
imagine that people might be 
going to have an abortion 

581
00:34:57,920 --> 00:35:03,120
without already feeling scared 
or upset Is a strange stance to 

582
00:35:03,120 --> 00:35:06,520
take on the matter. 
But further down we sit we see 

583
00:35:06,520 --> 00:35:08,920
that it would also be an offence
if a person behaved in these 

584
00:35:08,920 --> 00:35:11,480
ways in other places. 
If their behaviour could be seen

585
00:35:11,480 --> 00:35:14,440
or heard from the safe access 
zone, for example, where 

586
00:35:14,440 --> 00:35:18,120
someone's house is within a safe
access zone boundary, they could

587
00:35:18,120 --> 00:35:21,280
commit an offence if they do 
something which could be seen 

588
00:35:21,280 --> 00:35:25,360
through their window by a person
in the safe access zone. 

589
00:35:25,640 --> 00:35:30,120
So straight away we're we're 
moving into the area of thought 

590
00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:33,640
crime exactly as we were in 
England and Wales with the 

591
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,720
slightly different legislation. 
But in a sense there what was 

592
00:35:36,720 --> 00:35:39,880
happening was that the what has 
happened is that councils, local

593
00:35:39,880 --> 00:35:43,120
authorities, have been given the
power to create public spaces 

594
00:35:43,120 --> 00:35:46,560
Protection Orders within which 
they can either prohibit or they

595
00:35:46,560 --> 00:35:50,920
can mandate certain behaviours. 
And the one that received 

596
00:35:50,920 --> 00:35:56,040
particular attention last year 
was silent prayer and in effect 

597
00:35:56,440 --> 00:35:59,360
the Well, they didn't actually 
undo the legislation. 

598
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:01,240
But of course the ludicrous 
position was that the 

599
00:36:01,760 --> 00:36:06,200
authorities police had to ask 
the would be offender whether or

600
00:36:06,200 --> 00:36:09,400
not they were in fact committing
an offence, IE praying. 

601
00:36:09,400 --> 00:36:12,800
So how anyone was supposed to 
tell was not possible to 

602
00:36:13,000 --> 00:36:14,400
determine. 
We'll just have a quick look at 

603
00:36:14,400 --> 00:36:16,920
the part of the legislation 
itself. 

604
00:36:17,160 --> 00:36:19,120
So we've got the safe access 
zones here. 

605
00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,040
The last bit of this is what I 
want to draw your attention to, 

606
00:36:22,040 --> 00:36:25,880
which is that each safe access 
zone consists of each public 

607
00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:30,760
area of land within 200 metres 
or such other distance as 

608
00:36:30,760 --> 00:36:33,440
extended. 
So it's an enormous area 

609
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,920
potentially that could be 
covered by this. 

610
00:36:36,160 --> 00:36:38,280
We'll then go on and look at the
offences. 

611
00:36:38,280 --> 00:36:40,680
And again, part of the point 
that the Catholic Bishops were 

612
00:36:40,680 --> 00:36:45,360
making is not only the attack on
freedom of speech, but also the 

613
00:36:45,560 --> 00:36:48,880
point that a lot of you know 
this is already captured by 

614
00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:52,040
existing legislation, 
particularly here as we see at 

615
00:36:52,040 --> 00:36:55,600
sea causing harassment, alarm or
distress, which is covered by a 

616
00:36:55,600 --> 00:36:59,360
multitude of other parts of 
existing legislation. 

617
00:36:59,640 --> 00:37:04,120
The other point to make here is 
that the that specific rhetoric 

618
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:07,440
is all to do with disapproval of
abortion. 

619
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:11,040
In England, the Public Spaces 
Protection Orders were put out 

620
00:37:11,360 --> 00:37:14,840
to deal particularly with any 
comment on abortion, whether in 

621
00:37:14,840 --> 00:37:18,880
support or against. 
But this is all anything that's 

622
00:37:18,880 --> 00:37:22,560
negative about abortion. 
So again we'll just go on now 

623
00:37:22,560 --> 00:37:29,040
and have a look at the another 
thing that that is very very 

624
00:37:29,360 --> 00:37:32,640
open to interpretation and it's 
terribly subjective part of the 

625
00:37:32,640 --> 00:37:35,360
bill, which is that where a 
person does an act in a safe 

626
00:37:35,360 --> 00:37:38,240
access zone constituting an 
offence and the ACT has a 

627
00:37:38,240 --> 00:37:41,920
continuing effect. 
It does not matter whether the 

628
00:37:41,920 --> 00:37:45,600
person referred to is in the 
safe access zone at at the time 

629
00:37:45,600 --> 00:37:49,880
the person does the ACT. 
So the the bones that that are 

630
00:37:49,880 --> 00:37:54,120
created by this bill are 
absolutely enormous and I spoke 

631
00:37:54,120 --> 00:37:57,240
last year the close of last year
about the the Super complaint 

632
00:37:57,240 --> 00:38:02,880
about police abusing the powers 
given by section 60 and it's 

633
00:38:02,880 --> 00:38:05,760
hard to see that legislation 
such as this wouldn't be open to

634
00:38:05,760 --> 00:38:08,560
similar sorts of abuse. 
We'll just go on and have a 

635
00:38:08,560 --> 00:38:14,040
quick look at the extension of 
sorry, wrong we've we've anyway,

636
00:38:14,640 --> 00:38:18,040
if we just go back. 
Yeah sorry the the extension of 

637
00:38:18,040 --> 00:38:22,280
the zones which may be approved 
by ministers if the operator of 

638
00:38:22,280 --> 00:38:25,760
the area puts forward a proposal
to extend the area. 

639
00:38:26,040 --> 00:38:28,680
Also it's worth noting that 
ministers themselves may of 

640
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:31,280
their own accord extend the 
zone. 

641
00:38:31,440 --> 00:38:35,160
It's not at all clear why they 
would be intervening without any

642
00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:39,320
previous complaint or comment 
from the abortion centre itself,

643
00:38:39,320 --> 00:38:42,560
but again, extraordinary power 
to grant a minister. 

644
00:38:43,040 --> 00:38:45,400
So and now we'll just set this 
in the context of the overall 

645
00:38:45,400 --> 00:38:48,760
sort of abortion picture. 
Now the next lot of statistics 

646
00:38:48,800 --> 00:38:52,640
are from England and Wales 
really because it's a larger 

647
00:38:52,640 --> 00:38:54,800
sample size. 
But I just thought it was 

648
00:38:54,800 --> 00:38:57,400
interesting to note that 
statistics annual statistics 

649
00:38:57,400 --> 00:39:01,560
from June 23 are delayed till 
April 24. 

650
00:39:02,160 --> 00:39:06,000
These come from the 2021 
statistics, but they do show the

651
00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:10,480
overall trend, which is that 
over 200,000 abortions were 

652
00:39:10,480 --> 00:39:13,600
conducted in England and Wales 
during that period, which is the

653
00:39:13,600 --> 00:39:19,480
highest number since they 
started in 1967 and to age 

654
00:39:19,480 --> 00:39:21,640
standardise that. 
The trend is of course exactly 

655
00:39:21,640 --> 00:39:25,880
the same, 18.6 abortions per 
1000 women. 

656
00:39:26,120 --> 00:39:31,640
So it it is a massive uptick as 
you can see since 2016, which 

657
00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:34,680
comes at a considerable cost. 
So we'll just look at the 

658
00:39:35,120 --> 00:39:39,760
British Pregnancy Advisory 
Service which says that the in a

659
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:44,120
sense the NHS foots the bill for
almost all of the abortions that

660
00:39:44,120 --> 00:39:46,280
are conducted, whether or not 
they take place in a private 

661
00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:49,120
facility or not. 
Private facilities of course can

662
00:39:49,120 --> 00:39:52,680
be paid for by the individual 
but but in almost all cases are 

663
00:39:53,120 --> 00:39:57,440
funded by the NHS at a cost. 
Here there is a a scale so it's 

664
00:39:57,440 --> 00:39:59,560
hard to determine exactly what 
the figure would be. 

665
00:39:59,880 --> 00:40:04,200
But but ranging between 480 lbs 
up to 15110 lbs. 

666
00:40:04,440 --> 00:40:08,440
So it's a very significant part 
of a health budget. 

667
00:40:08,440 --> 00:40:12,040
Because of course this is termed
as being essential healthcare 

668
00:40:12,280 --> 00:40:15,280
and therefore any any sort of 
dissent, as it were. 

669
00:40:15,280 --> 00:40:17,560
At least that's the way it's 
being put is, is not. 

670
00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,800
To be tolerated. 
So I would just leave you now 

671
00:40:20,800 --> 00:40:23,680
with something I talked about 
briefly last year, which is the 

672
00:40:24,240 --> 00:40:27,960
fetal sentience committee bill. 
Now this has been sort of seized

673
00:40:27,960 --> 00:40:33,280
upon by the pro-life lobby as 
being a possible chink in the 

674
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,800
clouds, because this is due to 
set up a committee which will 

675
00:40:36,800 --> 00:40:40,560
determine the very tricky area 
of fetal sentience. 

676
00:40:40,560 --> 00:40:44,160
So we'll we'll keep an eye on 
that and indeed on the abortion 

677
00:40:44,160 --> 00:40:46,320
buffer zone bill itself. 
Yes. 

678
00:40:46,320 --> 00:40:49,800
OK, let's come back on to the 
issue of elections then. 

679
00:40:49,800 --> 00:40:52,040
And well, here is the 
independent this morning. 

680
00:40:52,600 --> 00:40:55,680
Putin to run as independent. 
Sorry, that's not this morning. 

681
00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:58,560
That's the 17th of December 
Putin to run as independent 

682
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:00,600
candidate in Russia's 
presidential election. 

683
00:41:00,600 --> 00:41:03,360
Here's what it means and the sub
headline is Putin will be up 

684
00:41:03,360 --> 00:41:07,000
against a selection of harmless 
candidates in heavily staged 

685
00:41:07,000 --> 00:41:09,480
elections in mid March next 
year. 

686
00:41:09,760 --> 00:41:12,520
And of course that was published
in mid-december so that's mid 

687
00:41:12,520 --> 00:41:14,160
March this year that they're 
talking about. 

688
00:41:14,520 --> 00:41:17,960
And Debbie was mentioning a 
couple of minutes ago major 

689
00:41:17,960 --> 00:41:21,280
elections right around the the 
world it seems at the in this 

690
00:41:21,280 --> 00:41:25,640
coming 12 months or so. 
But I just had to laugh at the 

691
00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:30,840
idea that heavily staged 
elections in Russia when in the 

692
00:41:30,840 --> 00:41:33,480
United States we have Donald 
Trump. 

693
00:41:33,480 --> 00:41:35,160
Now what? 
Whether you like them or loathe 

694
00:41:35,160 --> 00:41:39,400
them, has been blocked from the 
GOP primary ballot in two states

695
00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:41,960
already. 
We'll see how many more follow 

696
00:41:41,960 --> 00:41:43,320
suit. 
And of course, he's still being 

697
00:41:43,320 --> 00:41:46,720
prosecuted as hard as he 
possibly can at the moment. 

698
00:41:47,000 --> 00:41:51,200
And PBS News are there asking 
can he still run for president? 

699
00:41:51,800 --> 00:41:56,240
And then we have this because 
Sam Bankman freed of course in 

700
00:41:56,240 --> 00:42:02,880
prison at the moment for fraud 
because of his cryptocurrency 

701
00:42:02,880 --> 00:42:04,400
business which went out of 
business. 

702
00:42:04,920 --> 00:42:08,000
But of course he was also 
funding the Democratic Party to 

703
00:42:08,000 --> 00:42:11,920
the tune of $100 million or so. 
And so this particular tweet 

704
00:42:11,920 --> 00:42:15,440
saying Sam, Sam Backman free 
donated $100 million in stolen 

705
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:19,240
custom customer funds to U.S. 
politicians, today the 

706
00:42:19,240 --> 00:42:21,840
Department of Justice announced 
that they're dropping 6 charges 

707
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:24,600
against them and will not 
prosecute him for a political 

708
00:42:24,600 --> 00:42:28,280
campaign finance violation. 
Are you surprised? 

709
00:42:28,280 --> 00:42:30,360
The most corrupt Department of 
Justice ever. 

710
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,000
So that was put out on the 30th 
of December. 

711
00:42:33,360 --> 00:42:36,680
So quite an incredible situation
that we're happy to to throw 

712
00:42:36,680 --> 00:42:38,880
these allegations around at 
Putin. 

713
00:42:39,520 --> 00:42:43,400
But the election certainly in 
the United States probably know 

714
00:42:43,400 --> 00:42:46,080
better. 
And I I wonder what's going to 

715
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:49,320
happen at the upcoming British 
general election. 

716
00:42:49,800 --> 00:42:53,520
Certainly lots of heavy 
influence going on there, not 

717
00:42:53,520 --> 00:42:56,680
least from Tony Blair. 
But Debbie, sorry, you mentioned

718
00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:59,840
Black Swan events. 
I did, yes. 

719
00:42:59,840 --> 00:43:03,080
And it's also interesting to 
know that Taiwan elections are 

720
00:43:03,080 --> 00:43:06,160
this month, January, so 
everybody's holding their 

721
00:43:06,160 --> 00:43:08,280
breath. 
But looking at Black Swan 

722
00:43:08,280 --> 00:43:11,600
events, let's remind ourselves 
what the World Economic Forum 

723
00:43:11,840 --> 00:43:13,520
put out just a couple of years 
ago. 

724
00:43:15,560 --> 00:43:18,800
The COVID-19 pandemic has shaken
our economies and societies to 

725
00:43:18,800 --> 00:43:21,080
the core. 
He's shown us how vulnerable we 

726
00:43:21,080 --> 00:43:24,120
are to biological threats in the
digital world. 

727
00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:26,520
Similar risks are being 
overlooked right now. 

728
00:43:27,080 --> 00:43:29,840
The cyber attack with COVID like
characteristics would spread 

729
00:43:29,840 --> 00:43:32,520
faster and further than any 
biological virus. 

730
00:43:33,320 --> 00:43:35,800
It's reproductive rate would be 
around 10 times greater than 

731
00:43:35,800 --> 00:43:37,560
what we've experienced with the 
coronavirus. 

732
00:43:38,040 --> 00:43:41,520
To give you an idea, one of the 
fastest worms in history, the 

733
00:43:41,520 --> 00:43:45,640
2003 Slammer Sapphire One 
doubled in size approximately 

734
00:43:45,640 --> 00:43:50,160
every 8.5 seconds, infecting 
over 75,000 devices in 10 

735
00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:54,240
minutes and almost 11,000,000 
devices in 24 hours. 

736
00:43:54,680 --> 00:43:58,600
Fortunately, at least until now,
cyber attacks have not impacted 

737
00:43:58,600 --> 00:44:01,600
our health the way pandemics 
have, But the economic damages 

738
00:44:01,960 --> 00:44:04,760
and therefore the impact they 
have had on our daily lives have

739
00:44:04,760 --> 00:44:07,200
been equal and sometimes even 
greater. 

740
00:44:07,800 --> 00:44:10,920
You see, the only way to stop 
the exponential propagation of a

741
00:44:10,920 --> 00:44:14,080
COVID like cyber threat is to 
fully disconnect the millions of

742
00:44:14,080 --> 00:44:17,040
vulnerable devices from one 
another and from the Internet. 

743
00:44:17,720 --> 00:44:21,120
All of this in a matter of days.
A single day without the 

744
00:44:21,120 --> 00:44:24,000
Internet would cost our 
economies more than 50 billion 

745
00:44:24,160 --> 00:44:26,320
U.S. dollars. 
And that's before considering 

746
00:44:26,320 --> 00:44:28,400
the economic and societal 
damages. 

747
00:44:28,400 --> 00:44:31,440
Should these devices be linked 
to essential services such as 

748
00:44:31,440 --> 00:44:34,320
transport or healthcare? 
As the digital realm 

749
00:44:34,320 --> 00:44:37,160
increasingly emerges with our 
physical world, the ripple 

750
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:40,400
effects of cyber attacks on our 
safety just keep on expanding at

751
00:44:40,400 --> 00:44:42,360
a faster pace than what we're 
preparing for. 

752
00:44:43,000 --> 00:44:45,800
COVID-19 was known as an 
anticipated risk. 

753
00:44:46,440 --> 00:44:49,480
So is the digital equivalent. 
Let's be better prepared for 

754
00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,080
that one. 
The time is now. 

755
00:44:56,640 --> 00:45:00,640
So is the time 2024? 
Well, it would seem that a few 

756
00:45:00,640 --> 00:45:03,800
people are saying that yes. 
And one of those is Gary 

757
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:08,080
Cardone. 
He's a US entrepreneur, and he's

758
00:45:08,080 --> 00:45:13,560
warned that the a Black Swan 
event in 24 could derail the 

759
00:45:13,720 --> 00:45:17,240
2024 US elections. 
He's convinced that something's 

760
00:45:17,240 --> 00:45:19,520
going to happen between now and 
August. 

761
00:45:19,520 --> 00:45:23,720
And he's not alone because the 
CBS reporter Catherine Herridge 

762
00:45:23,960 --> 00:45:27,560
was also and you can go and this
was on Face the Nation and you 

763
00:45:27,560 --> 00:45:32,320
can go and listen to this. 
She's also warned of a Black 

764
00:45:32,320 --> 00:45:35,200
Swan events and it's 
coincidence. 

765
00:45:35,200 --> 00:45:38,960
Serendipity, I don't know. 
But a film coming out in April 

766
00:45:39,160 --> 00:45:45,080
this year called Civil War, 
which is all about 19 states in 

767
00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:48,840
the USA, seceded from the US 
government, which creates a new 

768
00:45:48,840 --> 00:45:52,560
Civil War and it's basically a 
race to the White House. 

769
00:45:52,640 --> 00:45:58,920
So I think we've got a little 
trailer of Civil War. 19 states 

770
00:45:58,920 --> 00:46:01,120
have seceded. 
The United States Army ramps up 

771
00:46:01,200 --> 00:46:02,960
activity. 
The White House issued warnings 

772
00:46:02,960 --> 00:46:05,880
to the Western forces as well as
the Florida Alliance, the. 

773
00:46:05,880 --> 00:46:08,840
Three term president assures the
uprising will be dealt with 

774
00:46:08,840 --> 00:46:10,880
swiftly. 
Let me know if you want to try 

775
00:46:10,880 --> 00:46:12,440
anything wrong. 
I think that's aware there's 

776
00:46:12,440 --> 00:46:15,960
like a pretty huge civil war 
going on all across America. 

777
00:46:16,240 --> 00:46:19,520
We just try to stay out with 
what we see on the news. 

778
00:46:19,520 --> 00:46:28,520
Seems like it's for the best 
citizens of America. 

779
00:46:28,920 --> 00:46:35,360
The so-called western forces of 
Texas and California have 

780
00:46:35,360 --> 00:46:39,400
suffered a very great defeat at 
the hands of the United States 

781
00:46:39,400 --> 00:46:43,360
military. 
Mr. President, do you regret the

782
00:46:43,360 --> 00:46:45,760
use of air strikes against 
American citizens? 

783
00:46:50,200 --> 00:46:52,960
We're moving to DC today. 
You need to go down there. 

784
00:46:53,440 --> 00:46:55,920
They shoot journalists on the 
side in the Capitol. 

785
00:46:56,160 --> 00:46:58,320
Every instinct in me says this 
is death. 

786
00:46:58,600 --> 00:47:02,400
What? 
Every time I survived the war 

787
00:47:02,400 --> 00:47:05,080
zone, I thought I was sending a 
warning home. 

788
00:47:06,120 --> 00:47:09,960
Don't do that. 
But here we are. 

789
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:12,440
There's some kind of 
misunderstanding here. 

790
00:47:13,120 --> 00:47:14,680
What? 
Oh, you're American. 

791
00:47:14,840 --> 00:47:19,840
OK, OK. 
What kind of American are you? 

792
00:47:23,640 --> 00:47:31,800
You don't know. 
The Western forces will reach 

793
00:47:31,840 --> 00:47:34,720
the White House on July 4th, OH.
My God. 

794
00:47:34,720 --> 00:47:40,480
Get in the car. 
Move, move, move. 

795
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:47,440
You're going to hang back. 
I'm not hanging back. 

796
00:47:48,520 --> 00:47:58,120
One nation under God, 
indivisible, with liberty and 

797
00:47:58,120 --> 00:48:07,840
justice for all. 
God Bless America. 

798
00:48:14,680 --> 00:48:18,000
How likely is a Black Swan event
in 2024? 

799
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:20,880
Bit of predictive programming 
there, perhaps. 

800
00:48:20,880 --> 00:48:24,480
Now I'm going to say thank you 
again to a viewer who sent me 

801
00:48:24,640 --> 00:48:27,000
received an envelope today and 
inside it was, it was a 

802
00:48:27,000 --> 00:48:29,280
newspaper cutting and the 
headline on the newspaper 

803
00:48:29,280 --> 00:48:33,520
cutting was opinion. 
BBC now a threat to all local 

804
00:48:33,520 --> 00:48:35,040
newspapers. 
So I thought, well, I'll go and 

805
00:48:35,040 --> 00:48:39,600
see if I can find that online. 
And I just did a search on this 

806
00:48:39,600 --> 00:48:42,160
particular search engine. 
But other search engines do 

807
00:48:42,160 --> 00:48:44,720
exist and I encourage the use of
alternatives. 

808
00:48:45,080 --> 00:48:47,680
But let's just Scroll down 
through this a little bit and 

809
00:48:47,680 --> 00:48:50,280
see how widely this was 
published. 

810
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:53,360
And you can see these are all 
each, each line of this is 

811
00:48:53,360 --> 00:48:56,880
individual local news, news 
organisations around the 

812
00:48:56,880 --> 00:49:00,440
country, ending there with the 
Shropshire star at the bottom. 

813
00:49:01,240 --> 00:49:05,840
So this is the headline BBC now 
threat all local newspapers, so 

814
00:49:05,840 --> 00:49:08,600
let's just choose one of them. 
This is the Eastern Daily Press.

815
00:49:09,200 --> 00:49:11,440
And let's look at a little bit 
of the text of this, because 

816
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:14,920
what they're basically saying is
that in October 2022 the BBC had

817
00:49:15,320 --> 00:49:19,840
made plans to what they 
described as strengthened local 

818
00:49:19,840 --> 00:49:22,560
online news. 
Now this is local BBC online 

819
00:49:22,560 --> 00:49:27,280
news provision and the the local
newspapers are basically 

820
00:49:27,280 --> 00:49:29,760
complaining because the BBC is 
funded by the taxpayer 

821
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:33,240
effectively. 
And therefore if it encroaches 

822
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:38,120
on the markets of these local 
newspapers, big commercial 

823
00:49:38,120 --> 00:49:40,840
organisations, they have to try 
to compete with the BBC by 

824
00:49:40,840 --> 00:49:43,760
through selling advertising. 
Whereas the BBC just gets this 

825
00:49:43,760 --> 00:49:47,600
massive bun from the UK 
government and they're 

826
00:49:47,600 --> 00:49:51,360
complaining that this is anti 
competitive and so on. 

827
00:49:52,000 --> 00:49:55,840
Well, the problem is I would 
accept this argument from local 

828
00:49:55,840 --> 00:50:01,200
news if they weren't accepting 
money from the BBC for these 

829
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:04,320
which are local democracy 
reporters. 

830
00:50:04,960 --> 00:50:07,760
So the BBC is providing local 
democracy. 

831
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:09,480
We've reported on this many, 
many times. 

832
00:50:09,480 --> 00:50:12,440
But the BBC is reporting, 
providing local and funding 

833
00:50:12,440 --> 00:50:16,600
local democracy reporting 
service to these local news 

834
00:50:16,720 --> 00:50:20,000
outlets for them to benefit. 
So let's just have a look, what 

835
00:50:20,000 --> 00:50:22,920
is the LDRS? 
The Local Democracy Reporting 

836
00:50:22,920 --> 00:50:26,320
Service is a public service news
agency funded by the BBC, 

837
00:50:26,880 --> 00:50:30,280
providing provided by the local 
news sector and used by 

838
00:50:30,280 --> 00:50:32,280
qualifying partners. 
So if you're a local news 

839
00:50:32,360 --> 00:50:35,560
outlet, you're a qualifying 
partner, you can get money from 

840
00:50:35,560 --> 00:50:39,920
the BBC to fund your journalists
and they say it's like a 

841
00:50:39,920 --> 00:50:42,480
franchise. 
Now this this I think is the 

842
00:50:42,480 --> 00:50:45,040
main danger with respect to 
local news, not the fact that 

843
00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:48,240
the BBC is is competing 
commercially. 

844
00:50:48,240 --> 00:50:52,040
So if we just put that back for 
a second, it says it's like a 

845
00:50:52,040 --> 00:50:54,840
franchise, different companies 
with different approaches, but 

846
00:50:54,840 --> 00:50:58,880
using common editorial standards
and all publishing into the same

847
00:50:58,880 --> 00:51:00,720
system. 
And those common editorial 

848
00:51:00,720 --> 00:51:04,200
standards, of course, are the 
BBC's editorial standards and 

849
00:51:04,200 --> 00:51:07,440
the the system that they're 
publishing into is the BBC's 

850
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:12,240
system. 
So that to me is the danger to 

851
00:51:12,240 --> 00:51:18,760
local reporting, not so much the
BBC encroaching into local news 

852
00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:21,720
spaces. 
And if the local newspapers are 

853
00:51:21,720 --> 00:51:24,880
worried about the competition 
from the BBC, maybe they should 

854
00:51:24,880 --> 00:51:26,560
consider just doing a better 
job. 

855
00:51:26,880 --> 00:51:28,920
And frankly, that's not too 
hard. 

856
00:51:29,680 --> 00:51:34,240
But anyway, let's move on. 
Let's have a look at this. 

857
00:51:34,640 --> 00:51:38,560
Charles, I think this is you. 
It is, and we're going to go to 

858
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:41,360
the Horn of Africa, where 
there's been news in the last 

859
00:51:41,360 --> 00:51:43,960
couple of days. 
First of all, we'll hear from 

860
00:51:43,960 --> 00:51:49,840
the Addis Standard reporting. 
A historic memorandum of 

861
00:51:49,880 --> 00:51:53,440
understanding with Somaliland 
sees Ethiopia secure access to 

862
00:51:53,440 --> 00:51:57,880
sea, diversify seaport. 
So this this is a story that in 

863
00:51:57,880 --> 00:52:01,400
fact tells the reader that 
Ethiopia will have access to 

864
00:52:01,400 --> 00:52:06,800
coastline for the first time 
since 1993 when Eritrea split 

865
00:52:06,880 --> 00:52:09,440
and took that particular part of
coastline. 

866
00:52:09,680 --> 00:52:13,440
Almost immediately after this 
headline came out was a counter 

867
00:52:13,440 --> 00:52:18,400
report, which the Guardian has 
written up here, and it says 

868
00:52:18,400 --> 00:52:22,080
that Somalia vows to defend 
sovereignty after Ethiopia. 

869
00:52:22,080 --> 00:52:25,280
Somaliland deal. 
Now why would that be and how is

870
00:52:25,280 --> 00:52:29,240
it relevant to us? 
Basically The Ethiopians have 

871
00:52:29,240 --> 00:52:33,720
been granted port access, but 
specifically if they wish to 

872
00:52:33,720 --> 00:52:37,600
take it up, which presumably 
they do, to have a military base

873
00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:41,240
at this port. 
And in response to that, 

874
00:52:41,240 --> 00:52:44,480
Ethiopia has declared that they 
will recognise Somaliland as 

875
00:52:44,480 --> 00:52:46,880
being a sovereign state, making 
them the first country in the 

876
00:52:46,880 --> 00:52:49,240
world to do so. 
That's caused a lot of 

877
00:52:49,240 --> 00:52:51,760
controversy within Somalia. 
So we'll just go on have a look 

878
00:52:51,760 --> 00:52:53,680
at the next part of the text 
from the Guardian, which is 

879
00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:56,440
taken from the government of 
Somalia. 

880
00:52:56,440 --> 00:53:00,080
They say Somaliland is a part of
Somalia under the Somali 

881
00:53:00,080 --> 00:53:03,120
constitution. 
So Somalia finds this step to be

882
00:53:03,120 --> 00:53:05,880
a clear violation against its 
sovereignty and unity. 

883
00:53:06,120 --> 00:53:07,800
The Somali cabinet said on 
Tuesday. 

884
00:53:08,000 --> 00:53:11,680
The agreement was null and void 
with no legal basis and Somalia 

885
00:53:11,680 --> 00:53:15,320
will not accept it, it added. 
In response to this, the Somali 

886
00:53:15,320 --> 00:53:17,920
government has recalled its 
ambassador in Ethiopia, for. 

887
00:53:19,040 --> 00:53:23,400
So the relevance at the moment 
is significant in in many 

888
00:53:23,400 --> 00:53:26,600
respects, and I'll just put a 
map on screen now to illustrate 

889
00:53:26,600 --> 00:53:29,440
what I'm talking about. 
Vanessa has spoken at length 

890
00:53:29,440 --> 00:53:34,640
about the various effects, both 
economic and military, on the 

891
00:53:34,640 --> 00:53:37,040
Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. 
So the area we're talking about 

892
00:53:37,040 --> 00:53:42,000
is framed by that red rectangle.
And just to point out that 

893
00:53:42,000 --> 00:53:45,440
Israel's Red seaport is of 
course accessed via the Gulf of 

894
00:53:45,440 --> 00:53:48,720
Aden and the Red Sea up there at
the north side of that port of 

895
00:53:48,720 --> 00:53:51,160
Islet. 
So we'll just zoom in a little 

896
00:53:51,160 --> 00:53:53,520
bit on the area. 
And what we're talking about is 

897
00:53:53,520 --> 00:53:57,880
marked by the red area, the port
of Berbera, which will be 

898
00:53:57,880 --> 00:54:02,720
accessible to The Ethiopians 
fire, a corridor which I'll come

899
00:54:02,720 --> 00:54:06,680
onto in just a second. 
So what I want to get a sense of

900
00:54:06,680 --> 00:54:11,520
is the British and other 
international involvement in the

901
00:54:11,600 --> 00:54:13,280
area. 
In fact, sorry, I will just go 

902
00:54:13,280 --> 00:54:16,800
back one, because I've 
underlined Djibouti, the country

903
00:54:16,800 --> 00:54:21,640
to the northwest militarily. 
Djibouti is home to Camp 

904
00:54:21,640 --> 00:54:25,320
Lemenier, the Combined Joint 
Task Force, Horn of Africa, 

905
00:54:25,400 --> 00:54:27,720
which is the American forward 
base. 

906
00:54:27,720 --> 00:54:33,480
From there, Africa Command. 
It also hosts a Chinese military

907
00:54:33,480 --> 00:54:37,120
base and it's therefore very 
significant. 

908
00:54:37,160 --> 00:54:39,720
This looks like Ethiopia are 
also going to be able to operate

909
00:54:39,720 --> 00:54:42,440
militarily within that area, 
particularly when we find out 

910
00:54:42,440 --> 00:54:44,240
what's been going on behind the 
scenes. 

911
00:54:44,240 --> 00:54:50,080
So I will just move on to a 
report about UK investment into 

912
00:54:50,320 --> 00:54:54,160
training Somali troops. 
So we've got from September last

913
00:54:54,160 --> 00:54:57,600
year a further 5 million in 
funding going to their security 

914
00:54:57,600 --> 00:55:03,320
forces and that is on top of 
significant amounts of money 

915
00:55:03,320 --> 00:55:07,920
that have gone in there since 
2020, 247,000,000 to to ATMOS 

916
00:55:07,920 --> 00:55:11,440
and indeed direct training 
operations between the UK 

917
00:55:11,440 --> 00:55:17,440
military and the Somali forces. 
Now what is not credible is that

918
00:55:17,440 --> 00:55:20,720
the UK would have had absolutely
no idea that Ethiopia didn't 

919
00:55:20,720 --> 00:55:24,320
have military designs on this 
coastal region. 

920
00:55:24,880 --> 00:55:28,360
Nevertheless, the next slide 
shows the UK ambassador at the 

921
00:55:28,360 --> 00:55:31,680
time, Kate Foster, launched 
construction of what is called 

922
00:55:31,680 --> 00:55:35,840
the Hargeiser Bypass. 
So we should see a picture here 

923
00:55:35,840 --> 00:55:39,280
from May 2021 showing all the 
various vehicles that were going

924
00:55:39,280 --> 00:55:41,440
to start the construction 
process. 

925
00:55:41,440 --> 00:55:44,440
And I'll just read to you what 
Kate Foster, the then ambassador

926
00:55:44,440 --> 00:55:49,080
to Somalia, said at the time, 
which is we are proud to support

927
00:55:49,080 --> 00:55:52,080
the Hargeiser Bypass, which is a
crucial part of the Berber 

928
00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:55,200
corridor. 
Once this 240 kilometre project,

929
00:55:55,400 --> 00:55:59,200
in coordination with our Abu 
Dhabi and European partners, is 

930
00:55:59,200 --> 00:56:01,440
completed late next year, it 
will improve the lives of 

931
00:56:01,440 --> 00:56:04,600
hundreds of thousands of people 
by creating jobs, unlocking the 

932
00:56:04,600 --> 00:56:07,600
region's economic potential, and
ease the delivery of 

933
00:56:07,600 --> 00:56:10,760
humanitarian supplies. 
Well, she might concentrate on 

934
00:56:10,760 --> 00:56:12,880
humanitarian supplies and 
unlocking the region's 

935
00:56:12,880 --> 00:56:16,000
potential, but exactly what does
she mean by that? 

936
00:56:16,360 --> 00:56:18,760
And indeed, I go back to whether
or not she would have had 

937
00:56:18,760 --> 00:56:21,240
knowledge that Ethiopia had 
military designs. 

938
00:56:21,240 --> 00:56:26,000
The UK is embedded in Addis 
Ababa, where we support the 

939
00:56:26,040 --> 00:56:30,240
African Union Standby brigade, 
and indeed with close relations 

940
00:56:30,240 --> 00:56:34,040
with what's going on in Djibouti
with the Americans, it is 

941
00:56:34,200 --> 00:56:37,280
frankly not plausible that she 
would not have known that this 

942
00:56:37,280 --> 00:56:39,720
would have been controversial. 
So we'll now look at what Chris 

943
00:56:39,720 --> 00:56:44,000
Heaton Harris said again back in
20/21. 

944
00:56:44,200 --> 00:56:49,080
He was then a minister, FCDA 
minister, and he says we have 

945
00:56:49,080 --> 00:56:52,400
also forged A partnership with 
Dubai Ports World to invest in 

946
00:56:52,400 --> 00:56:55,200
logistics facilities along the 
Berber corridor which runs from 

947
00:56:55,200 --> 00:56:57,600
the coast of Ethiopia. 
These investments have the 

948
00:56:57,600 --> 00:57:00,680
potential to drive economic 
growth and boost stability 

949
00:57:00,680 --> 00:57:04,240
across the Horn of Africa. 
And he goes on to say again, 

950
00:57:04,240 --> 00:57:06,480
those are hugely positive 
developments. 

951
00:57:06,480 --> 00:57:09,120
And again, we are proud to play 
our part. 

952
00:57:09,400 --> 00:57:13,000
British International 
Investment, the Uks development 

953
00:57:13,000 --> 00:57:17,160
finance body is investing in the
port with Dubai Ports World as a

954
00:57:17,200 --> 00:57:20,720
part of a 1.72 billion 
investment into free ports in 

955
00:57:20,720 --> 00:57:23,040
Africa. 
Free Ports is in red text there 

956
00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:25,560
and I'll come back to that for a
particular reason. 

957
00:57:25,840 --> 00:57:28,440
But if you haven't heard of 
British International 

958
00:57:28,440 --> 00:57:32,440
Investment, then I will just 
look into that now as we bring 

959
00:57:32,440 --> 00:57:35,960
that on screen and they describe
on their website what it is 

960
00:57:35,960 --> 00:57:38,240
they're set up to do going back 
to 1948. 

961
00:57:38,240 --> 00:57:41,520
So, so fairly shortly after the 
the end of the Second World War,

962
00:57:41,800 --> 00:57:44,600
they were established as the 
Colonial Development Corporation

963
00:57:44,920 --> 00:57:48,680
in order to do good without 
losing money and that's changed 

964
00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:52,560
a bit over time. 
In 2004, they were reconfigured 

965
00:57:52,560 --> 00:57:54,840
to operate mainly as a fund 
investor. 

966
00:57:55,280 --> 00:57:57,960
We had a pioneering role in 
establishing the private equity 

967
00:57:57,960 --> 00:58:01,520
industry in emerging markets. 
By the end of 2007, we were 

968
00:58:01,520 --> 00:58:06,040
working with 42 fund managers 
across 100 funds and lo and 

969
00:58:06,040 --> 00:58:09,320
behold, it's changed again. 
So by 2022, we were renamed as 

970
00:58:09,320 --> 00:58:10,840
British International 
Investment. 

971
00:58:10,840 --> 00:58:13,320
The new name signifies the 
increased breadth of what the 

972
00:58:13,320 --> 00:58:16,880
organization does and highlights
our role as part of the UKS 

973
00:58:16,880 --> 00:58:19,920
offer to help developing and 
emerging countries meet their 

974
00:58:19,920 --> 00:58:23,520
significant financing needs for 
infrastructure and enterprise. 

975
00:58:23,520 --> 00:58:26,400
Well, again we come back to the 
question who actually benefits 

976
00:58:26,400 --> 00:58:28,840
here? 
Is it Somaliland or Somalia or 

977
00:58:28,840 --> 00:58:33,280
Ethiopia or none of them because
the partner that's been referred

978
00:58:33,280 --> 00:58:40,200
to Dubai Ports Worldwide is DP, 
sorry, DP World has a map here 

979
00:58:40,200 --> 00:58:43,480
showing their global reach 
through this, this process 

980
00:58:43,480 --> 00:58:45,960
effectively of developing 
infrastructure in countries. 

981
00:58:45,960 --> 00:58:50,760
And of course the great part of 
this is that it enables them not

982
00:58:50,920 --> 00:58:56,280
to create the conditions for the
host countries to be able to get

983
00:58:56,280 --> 00:58:59,120
product in rather more. 
It's question being able to get 

984
00:58:59,120 --> 00:59:03,000
mineral resources out. 
And the United Arab Emirates 

985
00:59:03,040 --> 00:59:07,680
often not talked about in terms 
of Africa did trade worth $70 

986
00:59:07,680 --> 00:59:12,480
billion in Africa last year, 
which puts it on a par with the 

987
00:59:12,480 --> 00:59:15,680
United States of America. 
It's very significant in the 

988
00:59:15,680 --> 00:59:19,320
region and they say on their 
website that they know that 

989
00:59:19,320 --> 00:59:22,200
creating and enhancing their 
trade partnerships is the key to

990
00:59:22,200 --> 00:59:24,400
unlocking economic growth in 
that region. 

991
00:59:24,800 --> 00:59:27,920
Through a focus on Somaliland, 
landlocked Ethiopia and other 

992
00:59:27,920 --> 00:59:31,640
Horn of Africa countries, DP 
World aims to transform lives, 

993
00:59:31,640 --> 00:59:35,760
find new logistics solutions and
build the region. 

994
00:59:35,920 --> 00:59:38,480
And compete with the Belton Rd. 
Absolutely. 

995
00:59:38,480 --> 00:59:40,120
Yeah. 
So, exactly right. 

996
00:59:40,120 --> 00:59:42,240
So, so there'll be a competition
with China. 

997
00:59:42,240 --> 00:59:44,600
It's also worth pointing out 
that on the military side of it,

998
00:59:44,600 --> 00:59:46,800
Russia has long we've been 
eyeing up the Red Sea coast 

999
00:59:46,800 --> 00:59:48,960
there and there's been in 
negotiations with both South 

1000
00:59:48,960 --> 00:59:52,400
Sudan and Eritrea trying to get 
a port in there. 

1001
00:59:52,400 --> 00:59:54,200
So. 
So we we may end up in a 

1002
00:59:54,200 --> 00:59:57,360
situation where we've got 
Ethiopia, China, America, Russia

1003
00:59:57,680 --> 01:00:01,080
and indeed Somalia all with 
military capabilities along that

1004
01:00:01,160 --> 01:00:04,200
bit of coastline. 
So that that definitely worth is

1005
01:00:04,200 --> 01:00:06,600
worth our attention, 
particularly since we are 

1006
01:00:06,600 --> 01:00:10,280
funding A considerable part of 
it because the investment 

1007
01:00:10,600 --> 01:00:12,600
platform is of course government
sponsored. 

1008
01:00:12,920 --> 01:00:16,360
So I just have to show quickly 
now the government free ports, 

1009
01:00:16,360 --> 01:00:21,240
because this is actually a post 
European Union initiative which 

1010
01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:23,520
you may not have heard of free 
ports in the UK. 

1011
01:00:23,520 --> 01:00:27,080
And they say that they're going 
to be new hubs for global trade,

1012
01:00:27,080 --> 01:00:30,960
investment and innovation within
the UK, create a favourable 

1013
01:00:30,960 --> 01:00:33,840
environment and exciting 
opportunities for businesses. 

1014
01:00:34,160 --> 01:00:37,480
By choosing to invest within Auk
Freeport, you could access a 

1015
01:00:37,480 --> 01:00:41,520
wide range of customs and tax 
benefits as well as support from

1016
01:00:41,520 --> 01:00:43,960
government around planning, 
infrastructure and innovation. 

1017
01:00:44,200 --> 01:00:48,600
So obviously an attempt to 
effectively conflate this idea 

1018
01:00:48,600 --> 01:00:52,400
with developments going on in 
Africa and in order to exert 

1019
01:00:52,400 --> 01:00:55,400
both soft and hard power as they
might describe it at the same 

1020
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:57,600
time. 
So we'll keep an eye on that one

1021
01:00:57,600 --> 01:00:59,600
for sure. 
Well, we will, because Plymouth 

1022
01:00:59,680 --> 01:01:02,960
is a Freeport already. 
I'm sure there are a number of 

1023
01:01:02,960 --> 01:01:05,400
others around the country now 
sticking with international 

1024
01:01:05,400 --> 01:01:08,080
things, but maybe not. 
Let's bring this on screen. 

1025
01:01:08,080 --> 01:01:11,400
This is a letter from the 
Secretary of State, the Right 

1026
01:01:11,400 --> 01:01:14,200
Honourable Mark Harper to Sadiq 
Khan, the Mayor of London. 

1027
01:01:14,640 --> 01:01:18,160
And Mark Harper begins by 
saying, Dear Sadiq, but he's 

1028
01:01:18,160 --> 01:01:22,920
really complaining about Ulas. 
Let's a particular aspect of 

1029
01:01:22,920 --> 01:01:24,520
Ulas. 
Let's try not try to keep a 

1030
01:01:24,520 --> 01:01:27,200
straight face as you watch this.
This is what he had to say. 

1031
01:01:27,200 --> 01:01:29,680
Thank you for your letter. 
Also signed by the Right 

1032
01:01:29,680 --> 01:01:32,560
Honourable Ben Wallace MP 
seeking my departments. 

1033
01:01:32,560 --> 01:01:35,400
That's the Department of 
Transport support in allowing 

1034
01:01:35,400 --> 01:01:38,840
suitable vehicles to be donated,
to be donated to Ukraine through

1035
01:01:38,840 --> 01:01:43,000
the ULEZ scrapbage scheme, he 
goes on to say. 

1036
01:01:43,000 --> 01:01:46,000
As Russia's barbaric invasion of
Ukraine nears second 

1037
01:01:46,480 --> 01:01:49,400
anniversary, it is vital the UK 
stands at the forefront of 

1038
01:01:49,400 --> 01:01:52,240
supporting both Ukraine's 
government and its people in 

1039
01:01:52,240 --> 01:01:56,240
this valiant fight. 
Given your ULES expansion 

1040
01:01:56,240 --> 01:01:59,840
scrappage scheme has been in 
effect since August 2323, I'm 

1041
01:01:59,840 --> 01:02:04,520
surprised that you've not made 
contact until now, given the 

1042
01:02:04,520 --> 01:02:07,560
clear opportunity that your 
scrappage scheme could provide 

1043
01:02:07,560 --> 01:02:10,360
in allowing roadworthy vehicles 
to be sent to Ukraine. 

1044
01:02:10,760 --> 01:02:13,760
So one of the points that we've 
made from the beginning of this 

1045
01:02:13,760 --> 01:02:16,880
conflict is that the West and 
the UK in particular, have been 

1046
01:02:17,080 --> 01:02:21,000
using the Ukraine as effectively
A dumping ground for all the 

1047
01:02:21,000 --> 01:02:22,600
rubbish that we can't get rid 
of. 

1048
01:02:22,920 --> 01:02:27,680
And mainly up to this point it 
has been, you know, useless 

1049
01:02:28,360 --> 01:02:31,120
military equipment and so on. 
Now we need to get rid of our 

1050
01:02:31,120 --> 01:02:34,400
cars as well because of some 
government policy that says you 

1051
01:02:34,400 --> 01:02:35,920
can't drive it in London 
anymore. 

1052
01:02:36,160 --> 01:02:39,160
And we're going to do that by 
dumping it on the Ukrainians. 

1053
01:02:39,640 --> 01:02:42,960
It's just hugely cynical. 
To me, it's just appears to be 

1054
01:02:42,960 --> 01:02:46,880
hugely cynical. 
But anyway, Debbie, let's end 

1055
01:02:46,880 --> 01:02:51,040
off with a video of about the 
British Army. 

1056
01:02:52,160 --> 01:02:59,000
Yes, have a look and see. 
Welcome to your six second 

1057
01:02:59,000 --> 01:03:04,080
update for January 2024 from the
British Army UP. 

1058
01:03:04,080 --> 01:03:05,680
Lionel Typer commences in 
January. 

1059
01:03:05,880 --> 01:03:08,520
Spanning 11 countries, it will 
be the largest coordinated 

1060
01:03:08,520 --> 01:03:11,440
deployment of UK service 
personnel for a generation to 

1061
01:03:11,440 --> 01:03:13,640
multiple multinational exercises
across Europe. 

1062
01:03:14,400 --> 01:03:17,200
It will prove the British Army's
battle readiness and commitment 

1063
01:03:17,200 --> 01:03:21,680
to NATO. 
A modern British Army fit for 

1064
01:03:21,680 --> 01:03:24,560
the challenges of the future 
requires us to adapt the way we 

1065
01:03:24,560 --> 01:03:27,200
train to meet the need of future
soldier. 

1066
01:03:27,360 --> 01:03:29,920
Army Basic training will be 
changing in 2024. 

1067
01:03:30,400 --> 01:03:33,880
The new Soldier Academy has been
created unifying all Army basic 

1068
01:03:33,880 --> 01:03:36,760
training under one new 
organization recognized for its 

1069
01:03:36,760 --> 01:03:39,240
excellence in providing 
spiritual home for the British 

1070
01:03:39,240 --> 01:03:41,000
soldier. 
More details on the Soldier 

1071
01:03:41,000 --> 01:03:43,200
Academy will be made available 
later this month. 

1072
01:03:45,360 --> 01:03:48,080
Finally, are you interested in 
medical career in the Army? 

1073
01:03:48,480 --> 01:03:50,920
And did you know that our medics
developed their career by 

1074
01:03:50,920 --> 01:03:54,160
working alongside the NHS Army 
personnel from various medical 

1075
01:03:54,160 --> 01:03:57,400
disciplines currently treating 
military and civilian patients 

1076
01:03:57,640 --> 01:03:59,640
at the Queen Elizabeth Hospital 
in Birmingham? 

1077
01:04:00,000 --> 01:04:02,480
Search Army Jobs for further 
information on how to. 

1078
01:04:02,480 --> 01:04:07,080
Become an Army Medic. 
And that's the 62nd update for 

1079
01:04:07,080 --> 01:04:12,560
January 2024. 
I'm sure we'll have more to say 

1080
01:04:12,560 --> 01:04:15,720
about that in extra, but the 
fusion between the British Army 

1081
01:04:15,720 --> 01:04:18,240
and the NHS I found particularly
interesting. 

1082
01:04:18,480 --> 01:04:21,080
Yes, indeed. 
And we'll just very briefly 

1083
01:04:21,080 --> 01:04:26,480
Debbie and with this from Bob. 
Bob Moran, Fabulous. 

1084
01:04:26,480 --> 01:04:28,600
We're coming up to Epiphany. 
These are the three kings, the 

1085
01:04:28,600 --> 01:04:30,560
three wise men. 
And how wise are they? 

1086
01:04:30,840 --> 01:04:34,280
One is holding on to his gold. 
There was no pandemic. 

1087
01:04:34,600 --> 01:04:37,160
Another, instead of having 
frankincense, has got common 

1088
01:04:37,160 --> 01:04:39,120
sense. 
Climate change is a hoax. 

1089
01:04:39,480 --> 01:04:43,440
And the other one carrying 
unvaccinated sperm men can't get

1090
01:04:43,440 --> 01:04:45,560
pregnant. 
Thank you so much, Bob Moran. 

1091
01:04:45,880 --> 01:04:47,000
Yes, indeed. 
OK. 

1092
01:04:47,000 --> 01:04:48,000
Well, we've got to leave it 
there. 

1093
01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:52,040
Thank you very much for 
everybody for our first news of 

1094
01:04:52,040 --> 01:04:55,800
2024. 
We'll be back as usual on Friday

1095
01:04:55,800 --> 01:04:58,840
at 1:00 PM. 
Don't forget the interview with 

1096
01:04:58,840 --> 01:05:02,000
Ben Pilot 1:00 PM 
ukcolumn.org/live tomorrow. 

1097
01:05:02,000 --> 01:05:04,920
I'll see you in a few minutes 
for extra review. 

1098
01:05:05,000 --> 01:05:07,640
UK column member. 
Otherwise we'll see you Friday. 

1099
01:05:07,640 --> 01:05:08,840
Bye, bye bye. 
Bye.

