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Hi, I'm Eric Newcomer. 
And I am Madeline Rinbarger. 

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And this is the newcomer 
podcast. 

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Each week, Eric and I discuss 
the VC deals and the drama that 

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went down. 
Let's do it. 

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Here we go. 
Oh, a loyal supporter. 

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Of the newcomer podcast, I, I 
think our first advertiser and 

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Christina the CEO has been on 
the show. 

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Anyway, without further ado, 
you're a start up founder 

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Microsoft scared the shit out of
everybody in AI world when some 

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analysts said, oh, they're 
abandoning their data center 

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efforts. 
Madeline, I, I sent you on a 

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wild goose chase tracking that 
down. 

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What, what happened? 
Like are we? 

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Is the sky falling? 
We both kind of jumped on that 

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in the editorial meeting early 
this week. 

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I know. 
So yeah, I dug into that over 

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the last couple days and the sky
is not falling. 

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Now is not the time to call the 
market peak. 

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Microsoft basically reiterated 
in a follow up story to CNBC 

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that they're still planning on 
spending $80 billion investing 

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in AI infrastructure. 
So I. 

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Know there was that iconic Satya
clip where there is scrutiny 

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around how much people are going
to spend and Sacha is like, 

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we're good for our 80 billion. 
You know, it's like, it would 

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have been sad if he's like, 
cool, like we're doing it. 

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Yeah, his gangster move. 
Yeah, exactly. 

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No, So that is still their line.
And the analyst note mentioned 

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just a couple data centers that 
are not fulfilling all leases. 

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Part of it is also, you know, 
they're really pivoting more 

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into the US investment in AI 
infrastructure here rather than 

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abroad. 
So it seems to be more of just a

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shuffling of resources. 
But the AI skeptics kind of had 

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a field day with this. 
So I was kind of patrolling 

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around talking to VCs and tech 
people like, this isn't a 

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signal, is it? 
And basically everyone says. 

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And we we had the big fortune 
story being like, you know, open

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AI can't deliver. 
You know, there there was some 

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FUD, fear, uncertainty and doubt
this week. 

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I think in AI world, honestly, I
think it has to do with the 

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overall macro situation. 
It is like if if the economy 

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comes off the rails, then the 
thing everybody's most bullish 

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about could be be in trouble. 
You know, it's like growth, 

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growth doesn't do well and 
panic. 

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So I'm definitely getting more 
scared about the economy. 

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A semaphore had a piece that the
business world is already 

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souring on Trump. 
The schizophrenia around tariffs

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is not good for business. 
Kind of proves your your 

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argument you've had for a while 
now, Eric. 

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Stability is good. 
Yeah, I don't know I'm not going

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to take too much credit on that.
I didn't not the only one to say

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that, but anyway, back to AII 
mean. 

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The funny thing is like we don't
quite know is Microsoft sort of 

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saying we were early so we 
already made the bet. 

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Now we can sort of chill out 
while everybody over hypes it is

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the situation that open AI is 
sort of like ah, we don't love 

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Microsoft as much we're gonna 
spend some time with Oracle. 

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I don't know yeah right. 
It's. 

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A follow up analyst note from 
the same group, TD Cowan said 

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that a big part of this, you 
know, could be related to 

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Oracle's new partnership with 
Open AI around Stargate. 

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Of course, SoftBank is backing 
these data center investments in

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the US. 
So it's really just seems like 

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there's more competition now, 
like Microsoft's, you know, lock

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on Open AI is no longer, you 
know, just one to one. 

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I wouldn't panic. 
It seems much more tied to 

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Microsoft's individual situation
than it does to a overall call 

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on AI investment. 
Everyone's ramping up. 

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Medic is committing billions 
more in their latest, you know, 

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announcements. 
So data center investment is on 

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the rise overall. 
NVIDIA had its earnings. 

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I don't know. 
We don't go crazy over public 

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earnings here, but the market, I
mean, NVIDIA seemed to deliver, 

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right? 
Yeah, they beat. 

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Net income increased 78 percent,
80%, but the the market sort of 

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shrugged. 
Right. 

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It's, it's kind of, I think to 
your point, it's another point 

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to add to the argument that 
overall sentiment around the 

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economy is what's driving this 
rather than actually anything 

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coming from the performance 
because they beat projected 

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earnings. 
But there's all this fear on 

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tariffs in China and like 
they're chip business in China. 

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So it again comes down to sort 
of the macro environment, fears 

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around tariffs and the Trump 
administration's policy being 

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not good for business. 
NVIDIA has been driving the 

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whole market, so sort of does 
make sense. 

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If any stock is subject to macro
concerns, the ultimate market 

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carrying stock would be we. 
What? 

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Oh my God, in the worrying signs
of the times perplexity raising 

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a $50 million venture fund? 
Not not necessarily. 

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The most optimistic fact is 
this. 

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Are we bearish? 
Are we calling bear on 

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perplexity? 
I mean, they've raised so much 

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capital that they're now 
throwing it into a venture fund.

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Are they not building right now?
They certainly are. 

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I'm, I'm being a little harsh, 
but it seems like it's a 

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partnership with some F7 
ventures GPS and who will kind 

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of plan and allocate the capital
and lead deals. 

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So it's not like they're, you 
know, fully pivoting to just 

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becoming AVC fund. 
Fully. 

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They're not pivoting, but it is 
when, you know, it's the 

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classic, you seem distracted 
sort of sign. 

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Tyler Cowen had an interesting 
piece just sort of rounding up 

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sort of the AI news this week, 
basically explaining why he 

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thought AI wasn't going to have 
as huge of an impact near term 

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on GDP growth as some might 
hope. 

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With I think his core point 
being that human beings, we we 

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remain the problem and that the 
sectors that need the most 

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improvement like healthcare and 
education are the ones that are 

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often most resistant to AI. 
Yeah. 

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And beyond that, you know, 
construction and services, a lot

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of industries where it's clear 
that there are AI tools getting 

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built that can really benefit 
these industries, but they're 

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heavily regulated and getting 
that tech integrated into the 

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workflows. 
It just takes a lot of time. 

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And business leaders in the 
sectors are just really slow to 

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adopt new technology, almost 
famously. 

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So a bunch of the government 
being another key player here, 

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you know, like government 
adoption is huge part of our 

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economy, but it's going to take 
a while for AI to get there. 

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I think it was honestly a fair 
take. 

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It's definitely not a bearish 
take. 

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He's still very bullish on the 
technology. 

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Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. 
I mean, I think it sort of 

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describes where we sit. 
I mean, it's like, yeah, 

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important technology, but it's 
not at the moment the stuff of 

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sci-fi. 
Speaking of, as we're recording 

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this, I think there is a live 
stream right now that Open AI, 

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it's Thursday at like 3:30 
Eastern. 

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And I think Open AI is sharing 
GPT 4.5 which is I guess notably

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not 5. 
It is still their largest and 

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most knowledgeable model yet. 
They, they've said, you know, 

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but it's not a frontier model 
and they've kind of, they've 

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kind of hedged it. 
It is its largest LLM and it's 

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improving on GPT 4's 
computational efficiency by more

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than 10X. 
The company sent a statement. 

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So it certainly is a step up. 
It's just not quite at what 

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maybe we were predicting GPT 5 
to be in this. 

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Where's my PhD? 
I need you. 

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Know you need your PhD. 
Assistant PhD at my fingertips 

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and I will accept nothing less. 
That's our roundup of all of the

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AI news of the week. 
Seems like there were just gobs 

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of it. 
But moving on, there's also 

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media news of the week that Eric
you got involved in, as per 

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usual. 
What's the point of having a 

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podcast where you can talk about
whatever you want then to talk 

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endlessly about media, self 
referentialist industries. 

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Two big things happened that I 
was opining about on Twitter and

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I will talk about here. 1 Jeff 
Bezos said that the Washington 

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Post opinion page would now be 
oriented around free markets and

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personal liberty, which. 
It sounded very like we're 

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trying to copy the Wall Street 
Journal. 

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Exactly. 
There already is a paper that 

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does this. 
I also joked, you know, I, I 

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wrote honestly before Trump was 
elected, I was tweeting the 

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newcomer is pro capitalist blah 
blah blah. 

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Yeah, we've been on this before.
It was cool. 

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Yeah, exactly. 
Which whenever the other people 

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join you to the party, then I'm 
naturally by disposition, like 

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not a party I want to be in 
anymore. 

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Like overcrowded. 
I'm like, so I guess markets are

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getting overhyped. 
I don't know. 

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What did you What was your 
reaction to the Washington Post 

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news? 
I found it frankly just 

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pandering to the presidential 
administration. 

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I I took it as just like, oh, 
we're not going to hit you too 

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hard on this. 
We're going to focus on markets 

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and stay out of politics and 
have kind of this free market 

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idea. 
But also it just felt so like it

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just, it felt like a statement 
that came from the same place 

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that his non endorsement in the 
presidential race came from. 

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And the more worrying thing to 
me over any of this, it's like, 

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obviously this is the editorial 
board. 

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It's not like taking control of 
The Newsroom and what they're 

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publishing in straight news. 
But it did just feel more like, 

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oh, well, of course if you're a 
billionaire and you buy a 

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newspaper, you're gonna 
influence what's in the paper. 

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That's what this is a beautiful 
part. 

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Well, I I sort of you know, I'm 
we're very small publication, 

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but you know, owner, publisher, 
author and it's like I 

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certainly, you know, no matter 
how big newcomer gets, you know,

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it's my name. 
I wouldn't want to really having

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opinions that were so far from 
my own. 

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So I'm sympathetic. 
Like, why buy a media 

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organization if you can't shape 
the perspective? 

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But I mean, it's a half half 
joking sort of take. 

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I mean, I do think, you know, 
you're ACEO, you hire people to 

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do things better than you. 
And I think you know, David 

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Shipley, who's running the 
opinion section and a lot of 

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people over there, they're 
paying more attention to like 

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the great debates. 
They're thinking about these 

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things more. 
Jeff Bezos is, you know, 

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chairing Amazon, thinking about 
Blue Origin and spending a lot 

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of time seemingly partying in 
Miami. 

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So like, is he, is he dialed 
into the debates of our time? 

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I don't know. 
Should he be micromanaging them?

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You know, I, I, I think, you 
know, there, there are lots of 

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conflicting impulses on the Jeff
Bezos Washington Post situation.

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But I do agree with you that 
the, the conflicts are really 

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unappealing. 
I mean, hence Smith said on this

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00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:31,520
podcast a year plus ago, like, 
we're all in sort of the courts 

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of billionaires. 
And like, you can really feel it

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with this, where it's just like 
Jeff Bezos's personal, you know,

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interactions with Trump matter a
lot. 

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And we don't really get a lot of
visibility into it. 

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And that's impacting what was 
once, you know, the second most 

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important newspaper in the 
country. 

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And that that's just like, it's 
it's a sad statement for 

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journalism, obviously. 
And that that's really sad. 

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And I do think like, not to talk
my own book, but like Newcomer, 

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when we put stuff out, it's 
like, yes, it reflects my 

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sensibility, but then you can 
interrogate all of me and I 

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respond and I engage with Jeff 
Bezos. 

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It's still like he's not going 
to take culpability for every 

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opinion piece in the Washington 
Post and he's not going to be 

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answerable to them. 
So it's sort of like, I'm going 

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to put my thumb on the scale in 
a somewhat hard to assess way, 

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in a way that you could never 
really fully hold me accountable

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for what's published. 
And so then it's sort of, it's 

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tainted. 
It's not a publication that's 

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like, we're trying to represent 
the legitimate debate in the 

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United States right now. 
It's like, oh, it's sort of 

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relevant to what Bezos thinks, 
but not enough that he'll 

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actually take ownership, answer 
questions and like, do the hard 

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work of having a coherent 
ideology represented in the 

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pages. 
So I just think it's a solution 

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that's not going to leave 
anybody happy. 

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Another piece this week too, 
that you got involved in, Eric. 

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You know Brian Johnson of 
Longevity fame was front running

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when he claimed to be a New York
Times hit piece coming out about

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him. 
Everything has become tactical. 

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I was most upset that like 
journalists get tagged with 

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like, oh, they have they're he's
like, they have an obligation to

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be like fair and accurate and 
objective objective. 

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I don't I don't agree, but but 
it's like the journalists get 

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like this sort of, oh, you've 
taken on moral obligations, 

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whereas I'm just like a wild 
person who just flings shit at 

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the wall and like nobody cares, 
you know. 

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So I hate that sort of idea that
because journalists have taken 

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on certain ethical expectations 
that somehow they should be 

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viewed more harshly then sort of
the influencer class who just 

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like says whatever they want and
acts with pure sort of self 

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interested strategic 
opportunism. 

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And so, you know, I keep 
hammering this point that I'd 

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rather be an influencer slash 
creator that exceeds 

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expectations than a journalist 
who disappoints them. 

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You know, we live in this world 
where if winning means winning 

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the battle on social media, like
better to just like have better 

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results than the person you're 
arguing with, then have the 

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person you're arguing with be 
saying, well, you hold yourself 

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out to be some beacon of 
morality and I'm just a mere 

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billionaire in some cases. 
You know, it's like the media, 

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they know they I'm a billionaire
on Twitter. 

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Just Elon literally is saying, 
you know, next to the president,

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like, oh, yeah, we're going to 
get some stuff wrong, you know, 

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but it's like if there are a 
reporter ever gets something 

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wrong. 
And so, you know, in the very 

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minutiae of journalism, I think 
the idea that it Brian Johnson's

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taking advantage of a Fact Check
to wield it against the 

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reporter, it just sort of 
disincentivizes good fact 

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checking with highly hostile 
sources, you know? 

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And now moving on to our deal of
the week, UK based Lovable, a 

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developer tools company raised 
an additional 15,000,000 in 

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fresh BC funding led by Creandem
and angels including Lenny 

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Richitsky. 
They had raised a 7.5 million 

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precede back in October. 
But the biggest most impressive 

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part of this raise, which is why
we're talking about it here is 

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they did zero to 17,000,000 AR 
in three months and they're 

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still growing exponentially. 
That is of course, per their 

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disclosure, but that's. 
Lovable is a idea to app in 

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seconds according to the 
website. 

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Looks like use chat build build 
an app. 

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Yeah, the coding and app 
building, clearly one of the 

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hottest use cases out there. 
And it's gaining huge traction. 

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I mean, that's just a incredible
run rate just with such a small 

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team. 
I feel like it's also notable 

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that it's, you know, coming out 
of London, which, you know, a 

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lot of people have not pegged 
London as the hub of this AI 

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revolution. 
The UK is in the game still. 

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I don't know. 
There's there's promising 

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developers there. 
We're bullish off this lovable 

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deal. 
You know, Stripe did their, 

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they, they really promote their 
investor letter, but it is 

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interesting and they, they chart
sort of the growth rate of 

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companies on Stripe break broken
down by AI versus SAS. 

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And it shows that the AI 
companies took 24 months to get 

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to 5 million in annualized 
revenue, whereas SAS companies 

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took 37 months. 
So well, you know, there are 

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lots of questions, you know, 
what are the modes, blah, blah, 

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blah. 
The, the reality is many of 

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these AI companies are growing 
much faster than we saw with 

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SAS. 
And so that's got investors 

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really excited. 
Before we go, we have an 

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00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:37,280
important announcement here on 
Team Newcomer. 

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We're doing another reader 
mailbag next week. 

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Important. 
What a big announcement we have.

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We are doing huge. 
Yeah. 

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Just send us your questions. 
You can, you can comment, you 

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00:16:50,520 --> 00:16:52,680
can e-mail us. 
We're both first name at 

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00:16:52,680 --> 00:16:56,480
newcomer.co. 
We have a Google form on the 

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00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:58,640
newsletter. 
If you look at the mailbag post,

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it's if you want to be 
anonymous, just say so. 

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00:17:03,200 --> 00:17:06,880
We'll honor it. 
We're also inviting screeds. 

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You're welcome to opine I I 
won't. 

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00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:10,079
Necessarily, this is. 
One of those. 

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00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:14,160
Rare times where a comment as a 
question is actually very 

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00:17:14,160 --> 00:17:17,440
welcome, so. 
Also, while we have the format, 

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00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,960
just like send us your scoop 
ideas or give us tips, you know,

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00:17:21,440 --> 00:17:25,040
but but yeah, we'll answer your 
questions next week, so send 

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00:17:25,040 --> 00:17:26,599
them along. 
That's our show. 

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Thanks for listening.
