1
00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:02,360
Hey everybody, I'm back. 
We're back. 

2
00:00:02,760 --> 00:00:07,040
Eric, Tom, Madeline, we're all 
back on the Newcomer Podcast. 

3
00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:11,480
I've been here, I've been here. 
Yeah, So the show that you may 

4
00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:13,440
have liked or may not have liked
is now returned. 

5
00:00:13,880 --> 00:00:16,160
Listen, I think we got a lot to 
go through. 

6
00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:19,560
It's been a lot happening in AI.
And I understand this is not the

7
00:00:19,560 --> 00:00:22,640
Cerebral Valley podcast 
specifically, but money is 

8
00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,440
flying. 
Money is flying here in tech. 

9
00:00:25,920 --> 00:00:28,960
If you are an AI researcher, you
should be making at least 8 

10
00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:30,560
figures. 
You should probably start 

11
00:00:30,560 --> 00:00:33,040
claiming that you're an AI 
researcher to just see like what

12
00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:35,400
the offers look like. 
Where do we even start? 

13
00:00:35,520 --> 00:00:37,400
Yeah, Madeline, you want to give
us a rundown? 

14
00:00:37,400 --> 00:00:40,080
I mean, you've been digging 
into, I feel like there are 

15
00:00:40,080 --> 00:00:44,080
tables on tables of different 
Meta employees making a bunch of

16
00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:46,280
money. 
We've tried to make the table to

17
00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,360
end all tables, just pulling 
them all together with What's 

18
00:00:49,360 --> 00:00:53,040
your read right now on Mark 
Zuckerberg's, uh, recruiting 

19
00:00:53,040 --> 00:00:56,080
frenzy spending bonanza here? 
Right. 

20
00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:59,880
Well, 8 figure comp packages 
from Zuckerberg are the entry 

21
00:01:00,040 --> 00:01:02,880
level some people are getting, 
you know, 9 figure comp packages

22
00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:05,880
out of this hiring spree. 
But it really kicked off in 

23
00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:10,800
earnest last month with Meta's 
Aqua hire of Alexander Wang from

24
00:01:10,800 --> 00:01:14,240
Scale AI to lead the new Meta 
Super Intelligence Lab team 

25
00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:17,920
within the company. 
Meta paid over 14 billion for a 

26
00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:22,240
14% stake in Scale just to get 
Alex over on the team. 

27
00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:25,080
But since then, he's also 
poached Nat Friedman and Daniel 

28
00:01:25,080 --> 00:01:28,240
Gross there and is, you know, 
buying out a stake in their 

29
00:01:28,240 --> 00:01:29,960
investment fund to have them 
come work for. 

30
00:01:30,320 --> 00:01:34,320
So really just unprecedented 
amounts of capital wrangling to 

31
00:01:34,320 --> 00:01:37,240
get the biggest names in AI to 
lead the team. 

32
00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,240
And they've got, you know, 
obviously they've been picking 

33
00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:43,200
open a is pocket. 
They've got more than a half 

34
00:01:43,200 --> 00:01:45,720
dozen people from Open AI. 
They've got people from 

35
00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:49,920
DeepMind, Anthropic, Apple. 
As of this week, as of Thursday 

36
00:01:49,920 --> 00:01:52,960
recording, they've poached at 
least 10 people from Open AI to 

37
00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:55,160
join this team, in addition to 
those other big names. 

38
00:01:55,920 --> 00:01:58,880
As a side point to all of this, 
I mean, you know, a lot of the 

39
00:01:58,880 --> 00:02:01,520
narrative really kicked off, you
know, when, like you said, the 

40
00:02:01,520 --> 00:02:04,000
scale deal happened. 
But then Sam, I thought really 

41
00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:08,400
unstrategically goes on I think 
his brothers podcast. 

42
00:02:08,600 --> 00:02:10,440
And he's just like, yeah, 
they're coming at us, but they 

43
00:02:10,440 --> 00:02:13,920
haven't gotten anyone good yet, 
which is a stupid thing to say. 

44
00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:17,680
He's like getting them on. 
On all on all fronts, it's we 

45
00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,200
have one clearly Zach, one of 
the most psychotically 

46
00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,120
competitive people in the 
history of, you know, 

47
00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:25,120
civilization saying like you 
can't get our people is like 

48
00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:28,120
just red meat for him. 
But also like you're basically 

49
00:02:28,120 --> 00:02:31,000
saying everyone that they did 
get was shitty and they did end 

50
00:02:31,000 --> 00:02:34,600
up getting shitty people. 
And like I understand like Sam 

51
00:02:34,600 --> 00:02:36,720
is still figuring out how to 
like measure his. 

52
00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:40,800
Like I'm a deep thinking AI guy 
and I'm very calm with the fact 

53
00:02:40,800 --> 00:02:43,080
that he also is psychotically 
competitive and doesn't like the

54
00:02:43,080 --> 00:02:46,880
fact that Zuck is coming at. 
The the Philosopher king posture

55
00:02:46,920 --> 00:02:50,840
with the cutthroat business 
leader of our AI future. 11 

56
00:02:50,840 --> 00:02:53,960
could also say missionary versus
mercenary in that dichotomy 

57
00:02:53,960 --> 00:02:55,880
there. 
It's not just open AI, to be 

58
00:02:55,880 --> 00:02:59,120
clear, they've poached a lot of 
deep mind researchers. 

59
00:02:59,120 --> 00:03:03,800
And then roaming Peng from Apple
Bloomberg is now reporting that 

60
00:03:03,800 --> 00:03:07,680
they have poached with a 
200,000,000 / 4 years total comp

61
00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:11,200
package. 
So these are serious offers just

62
00:03:11,200 --> 00:03:13,160
from across the table of AI 
research. 

63
00:03:13,520 --> 00:03:14,760
People should be cheering for 
this. 

64
00:03:14,760 --> 00:03:16,600
This is my my first take I 
think. 

65
00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,880
You know gone are the old days 
when Apple and Google had anti 

66
00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:24,760
competitive alliances to 
artificially repress salaries. 

67
00:03:24,760 --> 00:03:28,920
I mean, these, this is the 
working class these these are 

68
00:03:28,920 --> 00:03:33,080
workers getting paid a lot of 
money for producing or Tom, I'm 

69
00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:35,320
curious what you take that like 
it's like. 

70
00:03:35,800 --> 00:03:37,640
Yeah, this is ultimately the 
proletariat winning. 

71
00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:41,200
Yeah, sure. 
The white collar proletariat, 

72
00:03:41,200 --> 00:03:43,400
that they're all basically 
creating technology that will 

73
00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:45,840
one day make white collar jobs 
no longer viable. 

74
00:03:46,160 --> 00:03:47,520
Yeah, you're right. 
There's a certain logic. 

75
00:03:47,520 --> 00:03:50,240
If you're the last man to ever 
work, it's like, yeah, you take 

76
00:03:50,320 --> 00:03:51,160
the money, man. 
A lot. 

77
00:03:51,360 --> 00:03:53,920
Like, right, like this is 
generational wealth because your

78
00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,040
children, if they're also white 
collar workers, will never have 

79
00:03:56,040 --> 00:03:58,240
jobs. 
Yeah, I don't know. 

80
00:03:58,240 --> 00:04:02,360
I, I guess like we've been 
following the kind of turmoil at

81
00:04:02,360 --> 00:04:04,880
meta on their AI team for as 
long as I've been with, with you

82
00:04:04,880 --> 00:04:06,240
guys. 
I think it was like the first 

83
00:04:06,240 --> 00:04:10,400
story I wrote at newcomer was 
like, man, Llama is, is sucking 

84
00:04:10,440 --> 00:04:12,920
right now. 
Like they just have not done a 

85
00:04:12,920 --> 00:04:15,280
good job keeping up and 
DeepSeek, I think really fuck 

86
00:04:15,280 --> 00:04:18,360
things up for them. 
And so at some point, and there 

87
00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:20,320
were some good stories in the, 
you know, New York Times and 

88
00:04:20,320 --> 00:04:22,680
elsewhere about kind of like 
internally at meta what's been 

89
00:04:22,680 --> 00:04:25,080
going on, but suck. 
Just realized, like, either if 

90
00:04:25,080 --> 00:04:27,200
we're going to be playing at 
this, we need to use the only 

91
00:04:27,200 --> 00:04:30,360
asset that we really have here 
right now, which is like, you 

92
00:04:30,360 --> 00:04:32,680
know, endless, deep, deep, deep 
pockets. 

93
00:04:32,960 --> 00:04:34,120
It's just money. 
Yeah. 

94
00:04:34,400 --> 00:04:36,480
And that's always kind of Ben 
Zuck's thing, right? 

95
00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,840
You know, like the ideas side of
him is not always sharp. 

96
00:04:39,840 --> 00:04:42,280
He he has money and he has 
network effects. 

97
00:04:42,920 --> 00:04:45,280
There's a lot of users, yeah. 
Yeah, yeah. 

98
00:04:45,280 --> 00:04:48,320
So like Facebook is, you know, 
not growing at all almost. 

99
00:04:48,320 --> 00:04:50,680
And so you buy Instagram and you
and you get WhatsApp, you 

100
00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:53,560
basically just buy your way into
like continued relevance as a 

101
00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:55,360
company. 
And like there's no specific 

102
00:04:55,360 --> 00:04:59,160
company to buy really an AI, an 
AI that's going to make you, you

103
00:04:59,160 --> 00:05:01,800
know, top, you know, top tier. 
So just get the research because

104
00:05:01,800 --> 00:05:04,320
it's really just talent. 
Well. 

105
00:05:04,440 --> 00:05:07,000
There's some, there's, there's a
very, very limited pool of 

106
00:05:07,000 --> 00:05:09,920
researchers that can be building
these models at this scale. 

107
00:05:09,920 --> 00:05:14,000
So it is really like a small 
pool of people that can be bid 

108
00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:16,120
on at the Super high comp 
packages. 

109
00:05:16,120 --> 00:05:19,240
Like there is just a limited 
pool of worker resources to go 

110
00:05:19,240 --> 00:05:21,120
around. 
You guys are a little deeper in 

111
00:05:21,120 --> 00:05:25,400
it than I am, but I have to 
imagine open AI's weird 

112
00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:28,120
shareholder structure is not 
helping it retain these 

113
00:05:28,120 --> 00:05:30,040
employees. 
Like, first of all, you have 

114
00:05:30,040 --> 00:05:34,160
this question mark around what 
these shares really mean and how

115
00:05:34,160 --> 00:05:36,240
how the company sort of sorts 
out. 

116
00:05:36,520 --> 00:05:38,640
Where is it meta? 
You know, you're getting public,

117
00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:40,680
public shares, you know what 
they're worth. 

118
00:05:41,080 --> 00:05:43,880
And then there have been all 
these secondaries that allowed 

119
00:05:43,880 --> 00:05:48,200
open AI people to get liquidity.
And so it's like, whoa, I've 

120
00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:50,360
already gotten paid out from 
you, I can go on to the next 

121
00:05:50,360 --> 00:05:52,280
thing. 
Or what's your read on how 

122
00:05:52,280 --> 00:05:55,880
opening I set this thing up? 
Yeah, I think well the the this 

123
00:05:55,880 --> 00:06:00,240
was brings back to like Sam's, 
you know like hubristic comment 

124
00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:04,000
like you can't poach from U.S. 
Open AI has been losing people 

125
00:06:04,000 --> 00:06:06,520
constantly over it's life as a 
company. 

126
00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:08,480
This is not like a a company 
full of lifers. 

127
00:06:08,480 --> 00:06:10,680
There are. 
Some, I mean Anthropic exists as

128
00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:14,400
a defection from open AI. 
The story of Open AI is a story 

129
00:06:14,400 --> 00:06:16,480
of people leaving open AI. 
Basically right? 

130
00:06:16,920 --> 00:06:22,360
Like like Elon, Dario, you know,
Mira Ilia, like it's, it's, it's

131
00:06:22,360 --> 00:06:24,560
an endless list of alumni that, 
that come there. 

132
00:06:24,560 --> 00:06:27,080
So this idea that these guys are
like all missionaries who want 

133
00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:28,880
to stay there for life, it's 
just not true. 

134
00:06:29,160 --> 00:06:32,080
And it's a complete, I think 
they're the sympathetic argument

135
00:06:32,080 --> 00:06:35,040
is that they're missionaries in 
that they want to be there when 

136
00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:37,600
AGI is bored. 
I think a lot of them do want to

137
00:06:37,600 --> 00:06:39,640
be be in the place where it's 
born. 

138
00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:43,000
And if you can convince them 
like, hey, you know, our our 

139
00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:46,080
superstar team is moving from 
this place to this place, you'll

140
00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:48,200
have another shot at it. 
Or you think this is about money

141
00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:50,960
and not not about well, it is 
AGI. 

142
00:06:51,280 --> 00:06:52,840
Yeah. 
Well, I also like in reporting 

143
00:06:52,840 --> 00:06:56,120
out that piece that I did a 
couple weeks ago about basically

144
00:06:56,120 --> 00:06:58,600
all of this and and Meta's 
recruitment, I was really struck

145
00:06:58,600 --> 00:07:02,040
by 1 researcher I talked to who 
was like basically creating an 

146
00:07:02,080 --> 00:07:04,680
AI model as a recipe. 
And there are certain people who

147
00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:07,680
have the recipe in their brain 
and the what you're paying for 

148
00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:09,880
when you poach someone from a 
labs to go to the new place so 

149
00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:12,440
they can recreate the recipe. 
And what's going to end up 

150
00:07:12,440 --> 00:07:15,120
happening is that like you have 
all the recipe knowers at the 

151
00:07:15,120 --> 00:07:18,120
different labs around the, the 
industry and they're probably 

152
00:07:18,120 --> 00:07:21,840
all going to reach AGI at the 
same time or very close to each 

153
00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:24,040
other. 
And so I think what my guess is 

154
00:07:24,040 --> 00:07:26,520
like the realization a lot of 
researchers had is like, there 

155
00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,160
isn't the place that it's going 
to happen. 

156
00:07:28,160 --> 00:07:29,880
It's all leafy. 
Now, and everybody's going to 

157
00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:32,160
have it, might as well get paid 
the most along the way, yeah? 

158
00:07:32,480 --> 00:07:34,960
So why not, why not get yours? 
Like, if that money's out there,

159
00:07:34,960 --> 00:07:37,240
what are you going to be like a 
missionary and take less money 

160
00:07:37,240 --> 00:07:40,640
with like weirdly illiquid stock
so that you can like maybe get 

161
00:07:40,640 --> 00:07:42,880
AGI two weeks before the next 
lab does? 

162
00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,680
Like, it doesn't really compute.
And so I think that more than 

163
00:07:46,680 --> 00:07:49,200
anything, which is man. 
We need to build a business just

164
00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:52,440
for these 100 million employee 
like whatever they want to read 

165
00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:54,800
and then just the advertising 
budget on that, like get in 

166
00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:59,520
front of like the ludantic. 
Just like just people pays. 

167
00:07:59,520 --> 00:08:01,800
Like a ten person e-mail, you 
know, they're like hedge fund 

168
00:08:01,800 --> 00:08:04,960
newsletters we'll have just like
the AI researcher, you know, 

169
00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:08,200
like 20 person. 
How much would Zuck pay us so 

170
00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:10,560
that we could have like, you 
know, ads in front of like the 

171
00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,480
10 most important research? 
Exactly. 

172
00:08:12,480 --> 00:08:15,600
Just like on their minds. 
Yeah, so like that, that's, 

173
00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:17,240
that's all been very funny to 
watch. 

174
00:08:17,640 --> 00:08:19,360
Yeah, play out. 
And then you know, like we'll 

175
00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:21,040
see how it all happens with 
meta, right? 

176
00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:24,800
Like they have the teams in 
place and I'm interested to see 

177
00:08:24,800 --> 00:08:28,200
how long it takes for them to 
like redo the llama training to 

178
00:08:28,200 --> 00:08:29,640
get to a point where this was 
all worth. 

179
00:08:30,160 --> 00:08:32,039
At least they'll get a model 
that's competitive because 

180
00:08:32,039 --> 00:08:33,679
that's the problem. 
I mean, making money off of it 

181
00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:36,120
is a whole different story with 
with that company. 

182
00:08:36,120 --> 00:08:38,120
They're open source. 
They've never really made a dime

183
00:08:38,120 --> 00:08:40,799
off of it. 
Like this is going to be a long 

184
00:08:40,799 --> 00:08:43,640
term play for for for meta to 
make it work. 

185
00:08:43,640 --> 00:08:45,600
But in the meantime, all these 
guys get rich. 

186
00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:48,640
So what does this all mean for 
Llama? 

187
00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:50,920
Obviously Llama 4 was sort of a 
disaster. 

188
00:08:50,920 --> 00:08:55,080
Do you think Meta sticks with 
its open source strategy of just

189
00:08:55,480 --> 00:08:58,040
making no money and foiling the 
competition? 

190
00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:00,960
Or you think, now spend all this
money and better come up with a 

191
00:09:01,680 --> 00:09:03,800
a proprietary product for 
itself? 

192
00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:05,920
I hope they do. 
I hope they keep with the open 

193
00:09:05,920 --> 00:09:08,760
source thing because to me if 
Zuck's whole play is about 

194
00:09:08,760 --> 00:09:11,400
fucking over Sam just. 
Burn the forest down. 

195
00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,320
That would be the best way to do
it, right? 

196
00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:15,480
And I always thought that was 
the smartest aspect that he had 

197
00:09:15,480 --> 00:09:17,600
there in the 1st places, like 
looking, because he's very 

198
00:09:17,600 --> 00:09:20,400
jealous, I'm assuming, of Sam. 
And as he was coming up to being

199
00:09:20,400 --> 00:09:23,360
like the voice of Silicon Valley
in this moment that he's like, 

200
00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:25,680
oh, well, what if we just take 
the same technology but release 

201
00:09:25,680 --> 00:09:27,640
it for free? 
That'll destroy these people. 

202
00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:30,200
They'll have no business, which 
I thought was cool. 

203
00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:32,680
I actually thought that was like
an actually badass play. 

204
00:09:32,960 --> 00:09:35,920
And if he decides to get rid of 
it because he just wants to make

205
00:09:35,920 --> 00:09:38,520
money in some consumer product, 
I will be really disappointed. 

206
00:09:38,520 --> 00:09:41,680
There is a very subtle 
monetization mechanic on this, 

207
00:09:41,680 --> 00:09:47,440
which I saw YouTube said that 
people who dump like AI stuff 

208
00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:49,600
onto YouTube will not be allowed
to monetize it. 

209
00:09:49,800 --> 00:09:53,400
And there's certain argument 
that like Google and Facebook, 

210
00:09:53,880 --> 00:09:56,160
they could be the content 
providers. 

211
00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:59,080
You know, it's like if, if 
there's this AI appealing 

212
00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:01,880
content, it's like you block 
everyone else from it and you 

213
00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:04,760
are sort of the exclusive 
content provider. 

214
00:10:04,760 --> 00:10:06,440
I don't, I don't know that's. 
I haven't heard that. 

215
00:10:06,680 --> 00:10:09,240
That's interesting. 
I mean, The funny thing with 

216
00:10:09,240 --> 00:10:13,120
Facebook and AI or Meta and AI 
is that, you know, like when 

217
00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:16,480
stories would come out that like
Llama 4 Behemoth is delayed, 

218
00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:18,720
their stock drops. 
And I didn't ever really 

219
00:10:18,720 --> 00:10:20,680
understood that because they 
don't make any money off of it. 

220
00:10:20,800 --> 00:10:23,640
But there's just this general 
acceptance on the part of 

221
00:10:23,640 --> 00:10:26,200
investors that like, well, AI 
has to matter for everyone. 

222
00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:28,480
So it's important that you like 
have a, you know, a. 

223
00:10:28,760 --> 00:10:31,600
And there is like, you know, 
open source projects if you're, 

224
00:10:31,800 --> 00:10:34,440
you know, if you're around them,
usually you know, people have 

225
00:10:34,440 --> 00:10:37,560
figured out how to make money. 
Sure, it's a distribution play 

226
00:10:37,560 --> 00:10:39,880
like that's what it is with 
Google and Chrome and and and 

227
00:10:39,880 --> 00:10:40,960
Android. 
Did I say Chrome? 

228
00:10:41,040 --> 00:10:44,640
I mean, Android with Google and 
Android, so yeah, sure, I don't 

229
00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:47,680
worry too much about like their 
ability to make money off of it.

230
00:10:47,680 --> 00:10:50,600
But for this in the short term, 
having this, you know, open 

231
00:10:50,600 --> 00:10:54,120
source high level model, like 
like we saw DeepSeek really 

232
00:10:54,440 --> 00:10:56,400
through the industry in a 
turmoil for at least a little 

233
00:10:56,400 --> 00:10:58,000
bit. 
You know, you think Meta could 

234
00:10:58,000 --> 00:11:01,120
do that at a much larger scale. 
So it's kind of exciting. 

235
00:11:01,280 --> 00:11:03,120
I'm betting on closed source to 
be clear. 

236
00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:06,120
I mean, that's the smarter bet, 
but also the two biggest 

237
00:11:06,120 --> 00:11:09,000
companies that are succeeding on
it right now are closed source, 

238
00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:12,160
right, and Tropic and Open AI 
and then I guess Google as well.

239
00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:14,120
So yeah, that's a. 
That's a safe bet. 

240
00:11:14,400 --> 00:11:16,720
Well, moving on, outside of open
source or closed source, you 

241
00:11:16,720 --> 00:11:19,480
probably don't want your model 
of becoming Mecca Hitler. 

242
00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:22,080
So that was the other big story,
political. 

243
00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:23,600
Orientation. 
These days, that's. 

244
00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:27,040
True, I don't know. 
If it happens, it happens, yeah.

245
00:11:28,120 --> 00:11:30,880
Unfortunately, we probably don't
want the API to be Mecca Hitler 

246
00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:33,200
on this podcast. 
But yes, we're talking of course

247
00:11:33,200 --> 00:11:38,000
about Grok 4. 
XA is new model that was debuted

248
00:11:38,040 --> 00:11:41,880
by Elon Musk earlier this week, 
which was overshadowed by its 

249
00:11:41,880 --> 00:11:45,880
Grok chatbot interface on X. 
Just ramping up the racism and 

250
00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:48,440
politically incorrect speech in 
all of its replies to 11. 

251
00:11:48,440 --> 00:11:50,800
So you can't. 
Really be like, oh, we know what

252
00:11:50,800 --> 00:11:55,120
that last name means, you know, 
just like it's it's so. 

253
00:11:55,560 --> 00:11:57,960
Bad. 
I couldn't tell if it was real, 

254
00:11:58,200 --> 00:12:01,040
right? 
Did you see the tweet or it was 

255
00:12:01,040 --> 00:12:04,760
like a screenshot of one that 
was like Grok 4 was getting 

256
00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:06,680
really explicit about Linda Yak 
or Reno. 

257
00:12:07,640 --> 00:12:09,920
Did you see that? 
One I I saw something about Will

258
00:12:09,920 --> 00:12:11,560
Stansel. 
Yeah. 

259
00:12:11,560 --> 00:12:13,080
How did Will Stancil get 
inserted? 

260
00:12:13,080 --> 00:12:14,440
That was true. 
Oh, no. 

261
00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:17,000
Will Stancil is like the lead 
anecdote to the journal story 

262
00:12:17,000 --> 00:12:19,080
about this, which I think is a 
little ridiculous. 

263
00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:20,520
Like, you know, come on, It's 
like I. 

264
00:12:20,520 --> 00:12:22,720
Mean people are like walking. 
They're like convincing the 

265
00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,160
model to do this right. 
It's like they're doing like 

266
00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:26,840
thought experiments sort of 
stuff. 

267
00:12:27,280 --> 00:12:31,280
Yeah, it's like, don't, I don't 
know, I there's clearly an issue

268
00:12:31,280 --> 00:12:35,280
in terms of it's like, you know,
guidelines and and and how it's 

269
00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:38,040
allowed to interact with people.
I don't honestly think Rock was 

270
00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:41,480
giving people specific ideas on 
how to like attack and rape Will

271
00:12:41,480 --> 00:12:43,840
Stancil. 
And this was like a, you know, 

272
00:12:43,840 --> 00:12:46,360
he. 
Was a random Lib Twitter account

273
00:12:46,360 --> 00:12:48,880
that's too deeply ingrained in 
our brains. 

274
00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:51,000
He also ran. 
Thanks to thanks to you and I 

275
00:12:51,000 --> 00:12:53,560
guess. 
Can I speak out in defense of 

276
00:12:53,560 --> 00:12:56,240
Mecca Hitler for one second? 
Sure. 

277
00:12:56,240 --> 00:12:59,000
Not a take I expected. 
I can't believe I'm going to say

278
00:12:59,000 --> 00:13:00,840
this. 
I think X AI deserves a lot of 

279
00:13:00,840 --> 00:13:03,960
credit for what they've built 
within the model game. 

280
00:13:04,240 --> 00:13:07,080
They are a far smaller lab than 
almost all the other companies. 

281
00:13:07,280 --> 00:13:11,280
They basically were made-up by, 
you know, Igor Babushkin, who is

282
00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:14,200
this ex DeepMind guy who came in
there definitely on the, you 

283
00:13:14,200 --> 00:13:17,440
know, premise of wanting to 
build the anti woke open AI, the

284
00:13:17,440 --> 00:13:20,840
anti woke, you know, woke chap 
GBT and they fucking did it. 

285
00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:23,280
Like Grok 3 is a really good 
model. 

286
00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:26,120
It it like it's absolutely 
competitive with all the other 

287
00:13:26,120 --> 00:13:28,200
big models. 
They built this giant database 

288
00:13:28,200 --> 00:13:32,120
in Nashville Colossus. 
I don't know yet how good Grok 4

289
00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:34,440
is, but like according to the 
benchmarks, which are can be 

290
00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:37,440
which can be games, so you don't
want to give too much credit to 

291
00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:40,280
it. 
And as we saw with with Llama 4,

292
00:13:40,280 --> 00:13:41,840
you can do well on the 
benchmarks and actually have a 

293
00:13:41,840 --> 00:13:45,120
completely useless model. 
But like I look at Microsoft and

294
00:13:45,120 --> 00:13:47,840
what they tried to do with 
Mustafa in hiring a top tier 

295
00:13:47,840 --> 00:13:49,640
researcher. 
They had tons of resources. 

296
00:13:49,840 --> 00:13:51,240
They have not put out a large 
model. 

297
00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,640
You look at Meta, they have 
completely fucked up their whole

298
00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:55,360
thing. 
Grok is out there putting out 

299
00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:57,880
models that seem to be fairly 
competitive, if not better than 

300
00:13:57,880 --> 00:14:00,640
the rest that's out there. 
So like, I can't believe I'm 

301
00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:04,520
defending Elon in all of this, 
but like maybe you get a little 

302
00:14:04,520 --> 00:14:06,400
Mecca Hitler on the way to doing
it. 

303
00:14:06,760 --> 00:14:09,640
It's like smart enough, who 
cares what it's? 

304
00:14:10,320 --> 00:14:14,320
I mean, maybe the smart, yeah, 
it's like, you know, we all have

305
00:14:14,320 --> 00:14:16,280
friends like that, that 
sometimes they're really smart, 

306
00:14:16,280 --> 00:14:19,560
but sometimes they, you know, 
advocate Mecca Hitler ideology. 

307
00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:23,280
I just think about. 
Your your tanks are all over the

308
00:14:23,280 --> 00:14:25,880
place, no? 
No, no, I mean, I I'm I'm 

309
00:14:25,880 --> 00:14:29,520
obviously joking about Mecca 
Hitler, but genuinely speaking, 

310
00:14:29,520 --> 00:14:31,520
like I think you know what, like
Maddie, you said like it 

311
00:14:31,520 --> 00:14:34,120
overshadowed like the release of
Grok 4, which is maybe true 

312
00:14:34,120 --> 00:14:36,680
because Mecca Hitler was very 
funny, maybe scary, if you're 

313
00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:39,080
will Stancil. 
And also inadvertently led to 

314
00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:42,320
Linda Yakarino stepping down, I 
think in some big parts. 

315
00:14:42,320 --> 00:14:43,960
So we. 
We don't know. 

316
00:14:44,120 --> 00:14:46,000
We don't know. 
I haven't read a good story 

317
00:14:46,000 --> 00:14:48,280
about it yet. 
Yeah, it could have. 

318
00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:50,640
It could have, I just, I don't 
know. 

319
00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:53,480
I, I, I don't even want to come 
off as contrarian here. 

320
00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:55,800
I just think like what Xai is 
doing is impressive. 

321
00:14:55,920 --> 00:14:59,040
Like in the world where like 
most labs do not put out very 

322
00:14:59,040 --> 00:15:01,640
good models, like they 
consistently or at least twice 

323
00:15:01,640 --> 00:15:03,200
in a row put out something that 
seemed to matter. 

324
00:15:03,200 --> 00:15:06,520
I mean, somebody was commenting 
that, you know, xai like their 

325
00:15:06,800 --> 00:15:09,600
their presentation was like the 
stuff of engineers. 

326
00:15:09,800 --> 00:15:12,840
It just feels like a company 
that's all engineers, no 

327
00:15:12,840 --> 00:15:16,000
philosopher kings, and I would 
prefer one of the philosopher 

328
00:15:16,000 --> 00:15:20,640
king companies win or xai get 
some scruples. 

329
00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:24,040
I mean, what is freedom in the 
context of a model? 

330
00:15:24,040 --> 00:15:25,920
You know, I mean, the model has 
like a point of view, you know 

331
00:15:25,920 --> 00:15:29,080
what I mean? 
What there isn't this sort of no

332
00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:32,160
matter they're going to direct 
it towards one thing or away 

333
00:15:32,160 --> 00:15:34,840
from another. 
I'm interested in seeing how it 

334
00:15:34,880 --> 00:15:38,240
actually is implemented and used
by people because if it's like 

335
00:15:38,240 --> 00:15:42,040
actually impressive, you know, 
people shouldn't just discount 

336
00:15:42,040 --> 00:15:44,200
all of that because, you know, 
it seemed to have some post 

337
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:45,240
training issues. 
Right. 

338
00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:47,320
I mean, I don't think they will.
I mean, first of all, Grok has 

339
00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:50,200
this huge advantage of being in 
front of everybody on X. 

340
00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:54,040
So if they have something good, 
it's it's got the users in a way

341
00:15:54,040 --> 00:15:56,280
that people like Anthropic 
don't. 

342
00:15:56,880 --> 00:16:00,040
Yeah, they also have a great 
base of text based training data

343
00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:03,240
with all of this, you know, real
human text data. 

344
00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:05,360
Well, that's clearly where the 
Nazi shit came from. 

345
00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:08,680
I, I will do the classic 
reporter thing, which is I, I 

346
00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:12,040
wrote in a story. 
I forget if it was my bear case 

347
00:16:12,040 --> 00:16:15,040
in opening an eye or what, but 
I've been pretty bullish on Grok

348
00:16:15,040 --> 00:16:18,200
for a while, despite, you know, 
being somewhat of an Elon. 

349
00:16:18,200 --> 00:16:19,400
Testing. 
I didn't know that. 

350
00:16:19,480 --> 00:16:21,080
What's your? 
What's your argument for that? 

351
00:16:21,600 --> 00:16:22,760
What? 
Was we're just like talking to 

352
00:16:22,760 --> 00:16:25,600
investors that they really 
thought like Grok was going to 

353
00:16:25,600 --> 00:16:27,760
catch up. 
And that like the internal signs

354
00:16:27,760 --> 00:16:30,440
were that they had really good 
people and that just investors 

355
00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:35,320
were taking it very seriously in
a way that, you know, they still

356
00:16:35,320 --> 00:16:37,960
had to prove to the public. 
I mean, it's raised a ton of 

357
00:16:37,960 --> 00:16:40,720
money, you know, and I, I don't 
think the people making those 

358
00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:42,880
investments are idiots. 
You know, I think they thought 

359
00:16:44,240 --> 00:16:46,440
Elon will catch up, and it seems
like he has. 

360
00:16:47,120 --> 00:16:49,200
It's always unclear with the 
Elon investments, right? 

361
00:16:49,280 --> 00:16:51,760
Like to a degree, it always 
feels like it's a little bit of 

362
00:16:51,760 --> 00:16:54,520
like, well, if we give Elon 
money for this maybe idiotic 

363
00:16:54,520 --> 00:16:55,960
project, we'll get access to 
space. 

364
00:16:55,960 --> 00:16:59,160
But Rock was so much the X AI 
stuff and Twitter, there's a lot

365
00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:03,000
of money to do it. 
Also, I think those started to 

366
00:17:03,000 --> 00:17:05,319
need to pay off. 
Those were the ones I think, you

367
00:17:05,319 --> 00:17:07,440
know, like Boring Company. 
Some of those you're like, oh, 

368
00:17:07,440 --> 00:17:09,359
OK, well, I'll throw them a 
bone. 

369
00:17:09,359 --> 00:17:10,640
Hope some of the other ones 
workout. 

370
00:17:10,640 --> 00:17:13,760
But like, I think X AI was one 
of the ones that needed to 

371
00:17:13,760 --> 00:17:15,440
workout. 
You know, it'll be interesting. 

372
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:19,800
What financial machinations he 
pulls between Tesla and XAI? 

373
00:17:19,800 --> 00:17:25,119
Think he already said that Tesla
would soon start having Grok in 

374
00:17:25,119 --> 00:17:28,960
the cars, so I'm sure there's 
going to be all sorts of self 

375
00:17:28,960 --> 00:17:32,040
dealing between these companies.
Well, yeah, that's that's kind 

376
00:17:32,040 --> 00:17:33,920
of his thing. 
Which the investors want. 

377
00:17:34,520 --> 00:17:36,520
It's like, how do we make sure 
they all make money like? 

378
00:17:37,360 --> 00:17:40,880
Basically it's like, it's like, 
yeah, yeah, if you could end up,

379
00:17:40,880 --> 00:17:43,240
if you were an ex, you know, 
Holder and you ended up with 

380
00:17:43,560 --> 00:17:46,640
XAI, that's a little bit better.
But yeah, if you can somehow 

381
00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:49,920
spin this off into Tesla stock 
or or even better, SpaceX stock,

382
00:17:50,280 --> 00:17:52,720
that would be nice. 
Well, that's one of the core 

383
00:17:52,720 --> 00:17:55,440
reporting questions. 
I, I think we didn't really ever

384
00:17:55,440 --> 00:18:00,440
answer was like did X 
shareholders or XAI shareholders

385
00:18:00,440 --> 00:18:02,680
get a better deal in that 
merger. 

386
00:18:02,680 --> 00:18:06,440
And I think the answer was like 
on metrics at the time, you 

387
00:18:06,440 --> 00:18:10,000
would have said obviously X 
shareholders, but based on what 

388
00:18:10,000 --> 00:18:12,840
you just said and what a lot of 
people think, like XAI has this 

389
00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:16,400
unlimited valuation potential. 
So you're getting a good deal 

390
00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:20,200
getting access to XAI. 
That said, they don't really 

391
00:18:20,200 --> 00:18:23,480
make all that much money, right?
Now, right, it's all, I mean, 

392
00:18:23,480 --> 00:18:25,760
it's like, but yeah, with Elon, 
what is making money, you know, 

393
00:18:25,760 --> 00:18:27,840
it's like about it's, it's a 
valuation thing. 

394
00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:32,200
So while we're talking about 
unlimited valuation for for XAI,

395
00:18:32,200 --> 00:18:34,960
guess you guys have been 
spending a lot of time thinking 

396
00:18:34,960 --> 00:18:37,840
about, and I was talking to our 
colleague Jonathan Weber about 

397
00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:40,080
this. 
Are we in a bubble? 

398
00:18:40,280 --> 00:18:42,960
Why now do you think we 
potentially are in a bubble? 

399
00:18:42,960 --> 00:18:45,000
Stocks have been going up for 
for some time. 

400
00:18:45,000 --> 00:18:47,800
Like what's what's particularly 
bubble like about what's 

401
00:18:47,800 --> 00:18:51,200
happening now? 
I think the biggest thing really

402
00:18:51,200 --> 00:18:55,840
was just the RAMP report that 
the RAMPS research data put out,

403
00:18:55,840 --> 00:18:58,360
which is of course based, it's a
smaller sample size of people, 

404
00:18:58,360 --> 00:19:01,680
you know, using RAMP and what 
their customers are spending 

405
00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:03,720
money on. 
But I think there was a 

406
00:19:03,760 --> 00:19:08,480
noticeable kind of peak hit in 
the last month around tool 

407
00:19:08,480 --> 00:19:10,800
adoption. 
And while it's not a bubble, I 

408
00:19:10,800 --> 00:19:14,080
would say on AI, it could be a 
bubble on how much people are 

409
00:19:14,080 --> 00:19:16,800
willing to pay for AI tools, 
especially at the enterprise 

410
00:19:16,800 --> 00:19:19,120
level. 
So while that may not hurt AI 

411
00:19:19,120 --> 00:19:21,720
overall in the long run, all of 
these companies that are 

412
00:19:21,720 --> 00:19:25,480
building the next big tool for 
enterprise AI may have been 

413
00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,680
charging a bit too much. 
And I mean, we saw that, you 

414
00:19:27,680 --> 00:19:30,360
know, with cursor prices going 
way up and people complaining 

415
00:19:30,360 --> 00:19:32,320
and the getting subsequently 
reversed. 

416
00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:36,480
Like it could be just a point 
where not everyone is willing to

417
00:19:36,480 --> 00:19:39,720
pay for infinite AI anymore if 
they think it'll get them ahead.

418
00:19:39,720 --> 00:19:42,000
They may want to focus on cost 
at this point. 

419
00:19:42,680 --> 00:19:45,600
Let me take a stab at this. 
I mean, first of all, newcomer 

420
00:19:45,600 --> 00:19:48,840
is not declaring it's a bubble. 
I think we're pointing out that 

421
00:19:48,840 --> 00:19:51,800
there are a couple, an 
impressionistic take that there 

422
00:19:51,800 --> 00:19:55,760
are some things that might raise
bubble questions. 1, is this 

423
00:19:55,760 --> 00:20:00,520
survey from Ramp showing that 
sort of spending on new AI apps 

424
00:20:00,800 --> 00:20:03,760
is going down, right? 
The number of apps I'm also 

425
00:20:03,760 --> 00:20:07,640
interested in sort of core Weave
and the infrastructure companies

426
00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:11,280
and the heavy valuations. 
That those companies have 

427
00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:14,280
received you know they've seen a
lot of valuation growth and now 

428
00:20:14,280 --> 00:20:18,200
people are starting to ask 
questions about how they account

429
00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:21,160
for things so so yeah I think 
they're they're cut there's the 

430
00:20:21,320 --> 00:20:24,320
sort of highly valued 
infrastructure players racing 

431
00:20:24,320 --> 00:20:28,160
into AI. 
There's this sort of ramp data 

432
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:31,240
turn. 
So the, I think there are 

433
00:20:31,240 --> 00:20:33,520
questions about things. 
I think the, the key, the key 

434
00:20:33,520 --> 00:20:36,760
point here though, is like you 
can have like sort of a 

435
00:20:36,760 --> 00:20:39,920
correction in one sector, but 
not necessarily in AI. 

436
00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:43,280
Like I, I think the mood could 
turn against infrastructure 

437
00:20:43,280 --> 00:20:47,880
plays like.com era what there 
was this huge telecom build out 

438
00:20:48,120 --> 00:20:52,560
that was sort of correct, but 
they, they did it way too fast 

439
00:20:52,560 --> 00:20:55,320
and it wasn't that valuable. 
And so I think they're going to 

440
00:20:55,320 --> 00:20:58,680
be definitely nobody, nobody can
test that there will be bubbles 

441
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:03,840
within AI where some pieces of 
the stack are not that valuable,

442
00:21:03,840 --> 00:21:06,080
but need to exist. 
People spend a lot of money to 

443
00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:09,560
build them and then it turns out
they don't get to retain a lot 

444
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:13,600
of the actual profits from AI. 
So it could be foundation model 

445
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,280
companies, it could be 
infrastructure companies. 

446
00:21:16,560 --> 00:21:19,640
But certainly I think there are 
pieces of this where a lot of 

447
00:21:19,640 --> 00:21:22,440
money will be spent and not a 
lot of money will be sort of 

448
00:21:22,440 --> 00:21:25,040
retained by that category. 
And, and we don't know how 

449
00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:27,720
that's going to play out, but 
it's it's been to the benefit of

450
00:21:27,720 --> 00:21:29,280
everybody who wants to build an 
AI. 

451
00:21:29,440 --> 00:21:31,920
I mean, say, we've also kind of 
seen this with sort of the 

452
00:21:31,920 --> 00:21:34,640
initial chat bot wave, right? 
Like there was a period of time 

453
00:21:34,640 --> 00:21:36,720
where there were all these 
start-ups coming out with chat 

454
00:21:36,720 --> 00:21:39,920
bots, which ultimately kind of 
just absorbed into a few players

455
00:21:39,920 --> 00:21:41,880
and that wasn't actually 
monetizable. 

456
00:21:41,880 --> 00:21:43,520
And that wasn't the end of chat 
bots. 

457
00:21:43,520 --> 00:21:47,080
That just meant that that frame 
of how to make money off of AI 

458
00:21:47,080 --> 00:21:50,240
with chat bots wasn't going to 
be the way that everything 

459
00:21:50,320 --> 00:21:53,320
became as an individual company 
or application and had to be 

460
00:21:53,320 --> 00:21:55,840
blended into something like an 
open AI which could provide all 

461
00:21:55,840 --> 00:21:58,440
these other services. 
So I think there certainly will 

462
00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:00,720
be winners. 
It just may not be so stratified

463
00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:02,000
across all these different 
products. 

464
00:22:02,120 --> 00:22:04,680
It's also, if you buy the 
argument that a lot of the bulls

465
00:22:04,680 --> 00:22:07,760
have on AI that this is like a 
multi year, you know, 

466
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,200
transformational cycle, we're 
gonna have dips in it, right? 

467
00:22:12,000 --> 00:22:13,440
It's just, it's just the nature 
of it. 

468
00:22:13,680 --> 00:22:16,880
Very bullish on AI while saying 
there's seems like maybe a 

469
00:22:16,880 --> 00:22:19,680
bubble right now. 
Yeah, I'm not even sure where I 

470
00:22:19,680 --> 00:22:21,960
fall in it necessarily, but I 
just don't think we're going to 

471
00:22:21,960 --> 00:22:24,800
be see like the peak bubble now.
Like I think there's going to 

472
00:22:24,800 --> 00:22:27,440
be, it could be a couple years 
down the line where we see like,

473
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:30,560
oh, in fact, this did not turn 
out to be as lucrative as a lot 

474
00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:32,240
of the people thought it was 
going to be. 

475
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,080
And the investments were well 
out of their skis. 

476
00:22:34,360 --> 00:22:35,760
I'm just not ready to call it 
now. 

477
00:22:36,200 --> 00:22:37,880
You know, I just haven't seen 
enough indication. 

478
00:22:37,880 --> 00:22:42,320
Catalyst beside we're over 
extrapolating from one ramp 

479
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:45,160
survey otherwise, I mean, yeah. 
Yeah. 

480
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:47,200
Well, there were things that 
were, well, there were things 

481
00:22:47,200 --> 00:22:50,400
that I think caused people to 
take notice, like, you know, 

482
00:22:50,400 --> 00:22:53,360
Microsoft pulling out and kind 
of rejiggering some of its 

483
00:22:53,360 --> 00:22:56,960
leases on data centres, which 
people for a time were deciding 

484
00:22:56,960 --> 00:22:58,920
that meant that they no longer 
wanted to build data centers, 

485
00:22:58,920 --> 00:23:02,040
which just isn't true, May not 
seem very specific to Microsoft 

486
00:23:02,040 --> 00:23:05,320
and its open AI relationship. 
But people look at those sort of

487
00:23:05,320 --> 00:23:08,000
things and private equity 
companies that own a lot of the 

488
00:23:08,000 --> 00:23:10,800
data center companies may be 
changing their their leases. 

489
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:13,680
So this has been going on for 
some time, but I just don't 

490
00:23:13,680 --> 00:23:15,800
think like, like you're saying, 
I just don't think we would have

491
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:17,480
seen it now. 
It felt very out of the blue. 

492
00:23:17,600 --> 00:23:21,080
Here's Here's what's sort of 
confusing about this situation. 

493
00:23:21,280 --> 00:23:26,080
OK. 
If NVIDIA produces high quality 

494
00:23:26,360 --> 00:23:29,680
AI chips at a faster pace like 
they say they're going to, if 

495
00:23:29,680 --> 00:23:35,560
they're going to refresh these 
chips, will that be catalyst to 

496
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:38,120
a bubble bursting or will that 
be good for AI, right. 

497
00:23:38,120 --> 00:23:41,840
In some ways, if they update 
their chips more often, the 

498
00:23:41,840 --> 00:23:44,360
infrastructure companies which 
have spent a lot of money on 

499
00:23:44,360 --> 00:23:49,240
chips may be miscalculating how 
valuable that investment is and 

500
00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,800
may need to spend a lot of money
to move on to the next one. 

501
00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:57,720
So, but obviously improving 
technology will be good for what

502
00:23:57,720 --> 00:24:03,160
consumers experience in terms of
AI, but it could disrupt some of

503
00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,040
the infrastructure providers. 
So these are really sort of 

504
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:09,280
complicated questions in terms 
of which companies get hit and 

505
00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,640
which companies do really well. 
Yeah, totally. 

506
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,960
And I think you could see AI 
being as transformative as a lot

507
00:24:14,960 --> 00:24:18,760
of the bulls expected to be. 
And NVIDIA takes a hit in in a 

508
00:24:18,760 --> 00:24:21,520
different way because there's 
more competition or because 

509
00:24:21,520 --> 00:24:24,040
there doesn't need to be, you 
know, the next generation of 

510
00:24:24,040 --> 00:24:27,320
chips being as expensive as they
are, you have real breakthroughs

511
00:24:27,320 --> 00:24:30,760
in terms of efficiency that 
makes it a better product for 

512
00:24:30,760 --> 00:24:32,400
people, more affordable for 
businesses. 

513
00:24:32,400 --> 00:24:35,280
But someone like it, NVIDIA gets
its valuation just kind of 

514
00:24:35,280 --> 00:24:37,520
decimated. 
Not predicting that, but I'm 

515
00:24:37,520 --> 00:24:39,280
saying like, yeah. 
Both can be true. 

516
00:24:39,280 --> 00:24:42,320
I mean, I'm, I'm very bullish 
still on what's to be built in 

517
00:24:42,360 --> 00:24:45,360
AI in a lot of these start-ups. 
What we're hearing from people 

518
00:24:45,360 --> 00:24:50,240
like to me, I think there's, 
yeah, it remains my point of 

519
00:24:50,280 --> 00:24:55,160
view that there's a lot of 
capability available from the 

520
00:24:55,160 --> 00:24:58,160
existing models that people have
not figured out how to turn into

521
00:24:58,160 --> 00:25:01,240
products and people are going to
turn those into products and 

522
00:25:01,240 --> 00:25:04,800
those products will make money. 
What is not clear to me is if 

523
00:25:04,800 --> 00:25:08,520
the foundation models get to 
keep return all the money they 

524
00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,120
spent to build up that 
capability, and whether the 

525
00:25:11,120 --> 00:25:14,400
infrastructure companies are 
properly valued based on 

526
00:25:14,400 --> 00:25:17,200
everything they've contributed 
to creating all that value. 

527
00:25:17,800 --> 00:25:19,440
Right. 
And then, you know, on the 

528
00:25:19,440 --> 00:25:24,600
enterprise side of things, like 
I still think we're not at a 

529
00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:27,400
point where businesses are 
seeing a great amount of benefit

530
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,200
from this technology. 
They fair indicator they just 

531
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:33,000
haven't figured it out yet. 
Like I did this panel a month or

532
00:25:33,000 --> 00:25:36,760
so ago with like all these chief
data officers at fairly, you 

533
00:25:36,760 --> 00:25:40,520
know, old line companies, you 
know, like a Ford Credit Union 

534
00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:46,440
or Danone, like the yogurt 
company and they have the. 

535
00:25:47,440 --> 00:25:50,680
Earth business guy now. 
Well, I mean, I was invited to 

536
00:25:50,680 --> 00:25:52,840
do it. 
You know, I don't, I don't, I 

537
00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,200
didn't prior to this have a deep
relationship with the yogurt 

538
00:25:55,200 --> 00:25:58,640
industry. 
But but, but like, you know, 

539
00:25:58,640 --> 00:25:59,720
they all have chief data 
officers. 

540
00:25:59,720 --> 00:26:00,840
They all want to figure this 
thing out. 

541
00:26:00,840 --> 00:26:03,160
But none of them, as I could 
tell, had really gotten like, 

542
00:26:03,160 --> 00:26:06,120
oh, we've implemented it in this
way and now we've transformed 

543
00:26:06,120 --> 00:26:08,800
our business across the company 
to use this. 

544
00:26:08,800 --> 00:26:11,320
So they all want to do it. 
They don't really know how to. 

545
00:26:11,320 --> 00:26:16,720
And I think the agent buzzword, 
as exciting of an idea as it is,

546
00:26:17,040 --> 00:26:21,360
I think we are far away from 
regular enterprises really 

547
00:26:21,360 --> 00:26:25,240
implementing agents as sort of 
employee equivalents that are 

548
00:26:25,480 --> 00:26:28,280
running around spending budget 
making decisions. 

549
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:31,880
And so that conversation, to me 
is sort of a signal of hype 

550
00:26:31,880 --> 00:26:33,520
getting out of control. 
Yeah. 

551
00:26:33,560 --> 00:26:36,960
As a daughter of as a daughter 
of a lawyer who works in this 

552
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:39,640
kind of space, I can just report
back that a lot of these 

553
00:26:39,640 --> 00:26:43,680
companies are a little bit risk 
averse in letting agents run 

554
00:26:43,800 --> 00:26:46,760
rampant, even if they are in 
theory very excited about this. 

555
00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:49,840
So I do think it's going to be 
kind of a multi year adoption 

556
00:26:49,840 --> 00:26:52,960
curve on this one, but it could 
mean that the hype right now is 

557
00:26:52,960 --> 00:26:55,320
a little bit too much. 
So far as I can tell, the 

558
00:26:55,320 --> 00:26:57,560
biggest adopters this stuff is 
like the makers of the 

559
00:26:57,560 --> 00:27:00,680
technology themselves who seem 
to be all about laying people 

560
00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:03,960
off in order to like take 
advantage of the efficiency. 

561
00:27:03,960 --> 00:27:07,000
Like Microsoft just laid off 
like another several 1000 people

562
00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:09,920
and it really seems like were. 
They middle managers or which? 

563
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:12,040
Which tier were they? 
Do you know? 

564
00:27:12,040 --> 00:27:14,320
They had they had a middle 
manager layoff a couple months 

565
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:16,320
ago, but this one was mostly in 
the sales org. 

566
00:27:16,320 --> 00:27:18,800
Do you know what percentage? 
Because I, I, one of my, you 

567
00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,440
know, the other version of the 
newcomer podcast is the through 

568
00:27:21,440 --> 00:27:24,320
Bull Valley podcast, which we've
been recording with Max and 

569
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,200
James. 
And in that we have these 

570
00:27:26,200 --> 00:27:30,080
predictions and I think one of 
mine is that people, a Fortune 

571
00:27:30,080 --> 00:27:34,280
500 will attribute layoffs to 
AI. 

572
00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:38,920
So I I'm I'm unfortunately for 
workers rooting I think for a 

573
00:27:38,920 --> 00:27:42,280
mass AI attributed layoff in 
terms of my prediction becoming 

574
00:27:42,280 --> 00:27:44,680
true. 
Just for just for the the Cal C 

575
00:27:44,680 --> 00:27:47,560
bet. 
Just so I could say I was right,

576
00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,360
you know? 
Yeah, Microsoft was not explicit

577
00:27:50,360 --> 00:27:52,400
about it at all, but there were 
some interesting pieces that 

578
00:27:52,400 --> 00:27:55,640
came out afterwards that like in
the meeting after they laid off 

579
00:27:55,640 --> 00:27:59,000
all their, you know, 50% of the 
sales team in certain 

580
00:27:59,000 --> 00:28:02,480
departments, you know, the head 
of the unit, the CVP was like, 

581
00:28:02,480 --> 00:28:04,840
by the way, you guys should 
really start using AI more. 

582
00:28:05,040 --> 00:28:06,320
It can make your life a lot 
better. 

583
00:28:06,320 --> 00:28:09,160
And so there, you know, I don't 
we're not quite like the quiet 

584
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,240
part out loud, but it seems like
we're at least with those 

585
00:28:12,240 --> 00:28:14,240
companies like leaning towards 
that they want to set an 

586
00:28:14,240 --> 00:28:15,880
example. 
Here's how you lay people off 

587
00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:17,880
when you when you use our 
products. 

588
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,960
Just mood check before we move 
on to the next subject. 

589
00:28:21,040 --> 00:28:25,120
Are you bullish or bearish on AI
over the next six months? 

590
00:28:25,640 --> 00:28:27,600
Six months. 
I, I think there's wait. 

591
00:28:28,240 --> 00:28:31,080
Oh, it's, it's, I mean, it's 
gonna continue to grow up to go 

592
00:28:31,080 --> 00:28:32,600
up. 
There's no indication that 

593
00:28:32,640 --> 00:28:35,440
things are going off a Cliff. 
All right, same. 

594
00:28:35,440 --> 00:28:37,640
We're all bullish in six months,
but maybe that means we're all 

595
00:28:37,640 --> 00:28:39,000
blind. 
We're all bought into the hype. 

596
00:28:39,040 --> 00:28:41,680
You know the the air comes out 
at some point. 

597
00:28:42,280 --> 00:28:44,520
You got to do better than the 
ramp data for me to just decide 

598
00:28:44,520 --> 00:28:45,680
to be bearish though. 
I agree. 

599
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:48,840
We're that's why this is an 
impressionistic certain signals 

600
00:28:48,840 --> 00:28:51,120
to pay attention to. 
We're not saying this this thing

601
00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,560
is a bubble. 
All right, the last topic, an 

602
00:28:54,560 --> 00:28:56,160
exciting one. 
Spicy. 

603
00:28:56,560 --> 00:29:00,480
Complaining about tweets, Tom, 
you're all fired up about this. 

604
00:29:00,480 --> 00:29:02,800
Somehow. 
You are OK with Mecca Hitler, 

605
00:29:02,800 --> 00:29:05,960
but you're can't stomach 
Sequoia's Sean McGuire. 

606
00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:08,960
I can't, I can't deal with 
Sequoia, his earnest. 

607
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:14,000
Political has political views. 
Sean McGuire is the guy I don't 

608
00:29:14,000 --> 00:29:16,400
know personally. 
I have, you know, I've met many 

609
00:29:16,400 --> 00:29:19,320
Sequoia partners. 
I've gone to the Sequoia spring 

610
00:29:19,320 --> 00:29:21,560
mixers and fall mixers and 
there's quite a lot of people 

611
00:29:21,560 --> 00:29:26,760
there that I like. 
I don't think Sean McGuire is 

612
00:29:27,560 --> 00:29:29,080
oh, I'm sorry, let me, let me 
before we get into that. 

613
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:33,360
He has been going off on Twitter
for about two years almost, 

614
00:29:33,760 --> 00:29:37,360
mostly with his hardline right 
wing, pro Israel politics. 

615
00:29:37,720 --> 00:29:40,800
He likes to make people mad. 
This is very exciting to him. 

616
00:29:42,360 --> 00:29:46,960
He really got into hot water, so
to speak, over the 4th of July 

617
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:51,680
weekend when he, after the story
in the New York Times about 

618
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:55,520
Zaran Mamdani maybe being 
misleading on his Columbia 

619
00:29:55,520 --> 00:29:59,720
application, Sean goes out there
and says, you know, Mamdani is a

620
00:29:59,720 --> 00:30:02,920
liar because he's an Islamist. 
And this is culturally baked 

621
00:30:02,920 --> 00:30:06,640
into what Islamists do. 
And then people got mad because 

622
00:30:06,640 --> 00:30:09,040
it really sounded like he was 
saying all Muslims are liars, 

623
00:30:09,040 --> 00:30:11,400
culturally speaking. 
And then he goes out and says 

624
00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,000
that's not true. 
I wasn't talking about all 

625
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:14,640
Islamists. 
They're all, all Muslims talking

626
00:30:14,640 --> 00:30:16,720
about Islamists. 
And then that became a whole 

627
00:30:16,720 --> 00:30:19,000
conversation about what it means
to be and whether or not Sean is

628
00:30:19,000 --> 00:30:20,520
a racist. 
And I don't really know. 

629
00:30:20,960 --> 00:30:23,720
And Bill Ackman and people have 
rallied around. 

630
00:30:24,000 --> 00:30:27,600
Sean was offense. 
I saw Josh Wolf also rallying to

631
00:30:27,600 --> 00:30:29,040
his defense. 
Too Josh Wolf. 

632
00:30:30,040 --> 00:30:32,400
There was a petition of people 
condemning Sean. 

633
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:35,920
There was a counter petition of 
people supporting Sean with 

634
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:38,520
signatures from all walks of 
this world. 

635
00:30:38,840 --> 00:30:43,680
We we, we're not cancelling Sean
McGuire that that is that is 

636
00:30:43,680 --> 00:30:46,720
we're being very clear. 
And I think you you do a good 

637
00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:50,600
job of pointing this out, Tom. 
But like, yeah, the one thing 

638
00:30:50,600 --> 00:30:52,840
everybody in Silicon Valley can 
agree on is no more 

639
00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,840
cancellations. 
And we're we're we're sticking 

640
00:30:55,840 --> 00:30:57,720
to that Armistice. 
Like we're not trying. 

641
00:30:57,720 --> 00:31:01,600
Nobody on this podcast is trying
to cancel Sean McGuire. 

642
00:31:02,120 --> 00:31:04,840
Yeah, the idea of someone losing
their job because of their 

643
00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:07,360
opinions in general, I'm, I'm 
generally against it. 

644
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:09,400
I think that's not a great thing
for societies to have happen. 

645
00:31:09,400 --> 00:31:14,240
I wouldn't advocate for it, I 
don't think, Sean. 

646
00:31:14,280 --> 00:31:17,160
So OK, before I get into my 
personal opinion, I listen to a 

647
00:31:17,160 --> 00:31:19,600
podcast interview Sean McGuire 
did with Jack Altman. 

648
00:31:19,600 --> 00:31:21,960
Second time he's come up on this
episode when which he talked 

649
00:31:21,960 --> 00:31:26,520
about his decision to kind of 
come out as an opinion haver and

650
00:31:26,520 --> 00:31:28,320
talk about all of his right wing
politics. 

651
00:31:28,680 --> 00:31:32,200
And he was saying after October 
7th, you know, and he Sean was 

652
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:34,840
pulling from his history. 
I think he worked for the DoD. 

653
00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:37,720
He understands information 
warfare and the way that 

654
00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:39,520
misinformation can be spread 
online. 

655
00:31:39,520 --> 00:31:43,080
It was extremely important for 
him to start talking about his 

656
00:31:43,160 --> 00:31:46,880
politics and he even said on 
this podcast on that, on that 

657
00:31:46,880 --> 00:31:49,800
episode, I'd be willing to die 
for, you know, for the things 

658
00:31:49,800 --> 00:31:52,360
that I believe and I don't 
advocate for that at all. 

659
00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:54,480
That would be awful. 
I don't really think the things 

660
00:31:54,480 --> 00:31:57,880
that Sean is saying are 
necessary to say. 

661
00:31:58,440 --> 00:32:00,440
I don't really think. 
And he has a pretty large 

662
00:32:00,440 --> 00:32:02,800
platform. 
He has 250,000 followers. 

663
00:32:03,280 --> 00:32:05,840
He really thinks that he is 
putting important stuff into the

664
00:32:05,840 --> 00:32:08,880
discourse based on that podcast 
and the fact that he keeps going

665
00:32:08,880 --> 00:32:11,960
on about this stuff. 
And this is very common now 

666
00:32:11,960 --> 00:32:13,640
within Silicon Valley. 
Oh, it's very common. 

667
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:16,160
There are certain VCs that have 
decided that their platform and 

668
00:32:16,160 --> 00:32:18,720
their takes are so important 
that they want to build a whole 

669
00:32:18,840 --> 00:32:21,280
media empire around it. 
And we've got, you know, the 

670
00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:23,720
best version of that is the all 
in guys who have built an 

671
00:32:23,720 --> 00:32:26,880
actually successful show with 
their takes on things. 

672
00:32:26,920 --> 00:32:29,400
Mike Solana, who I also don't 
know, he's not really an 

673
00:32:29,400 --> 00:32:32,080
investor, but he's in, you know,
he's obviously in the VC world. 

674
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:33,640
He's got. 
CMO. 

675
00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:36,360
Yeah, yeah. 
He's not AVC, but but you know, 

676
00:32:36,360 --> 00:32:37,400
whatever he's he's in that 
world. 

677
00:32:37,720 --> 00:32:40,520
He built Pirate wires, which is 
like actually an interesting 

678
00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,840
publication. 
And I and I totally give him 

679
00:32:42,840 --> 00:32:45,960
credit for all of that. 
You're basically saying, Sean, 

680
00:32:45,960 --> 00:32:48,480
if you're gonna make us listen 
to you constantly, these, you 

681
00:32:48,480 --> 00:32:49,600
need to be a little more 
creative. 

682
00:32:49,640 --> 00:32:52,400
It can't just be like have. 
Something interesting to say. 

683
00:32:52,800 --> 00:32:55,400
Like yes, have something. 
More interesting to say than 

684
00:32:55,400 --> 00:32:58,400
just like what I. 
Find racially tinged things that

685
00:32:58,400 --> 00:33:00,760
get everybody into fury. 
It's sort of like the lowest 

686
00:33:00,760 --> 00:33:02,560
common denominator way to get 
people. 

687
00:33:02,560 --> 00:33:05,200
To right, It's a hack. 
It's a hack to get people to to 

688
00:33:05,240 --> 00:33:07,120
to think that you're interesting
because you're saying stuff 

689
00:33:07,120 --> 00:33:10,240
that's kind of pushing the 
envelope in a racial way and, 

690
00:33:10,240 --> 00:33:12,400
or, or whatever way and culture 
of a bigoted way. 

691
00:33:12,720 --> 00:33:15,800
And I just think if it's that 
important to you, Sean, that you

692
00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:19,320
really want to like be flooding 
those of us who want to maybe 

693
00:33:19,320 --> 00:33:22,040
see your takes on other things, 
you know, within the the tech 

694
00:33:22,040 --> 00:33:24,960
world, talk about your politics,
start up a sub stack, like let's

695
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:26,880
just see how interesting your 
views really are. 

696
00:33:27,040 --> 00:33:29,120
Like build up a little media 
empire around you and see if 

697
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,120
people actually care. 
Because he believes in all sorts

698
00:33:31,120 --> 00:33:32,960
of conspiracies too. 
He's like. 

699
00:33:34,320 --> 00:33:36,720
Yeah, he does have his election 
denier stuff. 

700
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:41,000
I mean, I guess I could just be 
furthering your take, Tom, with 

701
00:33:41,000 --> 00:33:43,760
this. 
I first of all, clearly it 

702
00:33:43,760 --> 00:33:47,160
hasn't affected Sequoia's brand 
standing at all. 

703
00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:50,000
So anyone who's concerned about 
cancellation, the attendant, you

704
00:33:50,000 --> 00:33:51,240
don't think so? 
I. 

705
00:33:51,240 --> 00:33:54,280
Think it hurts the brand a 
little bit or like it's looms so

706
00:33:54,280 --> 00:33:56,720
large in terms of what Sequoia's
brand is like. 

707
00:33:56,720 --> 00:34:01,160
I think of Sequoia again, I 
don't wanna go after Sean or 

708
00:34:01,160 --> 00:34:04,520
have them tell him to stop, but 
I do think just from a brand 

709
00:34:04,520 --> 00:34:06,880
perspective, it's one of the 
loudest parts of their brand 

710
00:34:07,280 --> 00:34:09,840
right now. 
But I think they're still really

711
00:34:09,920 --> 00:34:12,920
regarded as, yeah, I think 
they're still, I think the 

712
00:34:12,920 --> 00:34:16,560
results is overwhelmingly 
supersedes this. 

713
00:34:16,600 --> 00:34:18,600
Like I really don't think it's 
hurt at all. 

714
00:34:18,600 --> 00:34:21,760
And I think if you're kind of in
the ecosystem, especially where 

715
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:24,360
maybe you hold some of these 
views too, or you're like a 

716
00:34:24,360 --> 00:34:28,679
little bit enjoying the kind of 
vocal trolley posture, which I 

717
00:34:28,679 --> 00:34:32,560
will say is kind of a case for a
lot of people in certain sectors

718
00:34:32,560 --> 00:34:35,480
and different industries. 
Like it could be a value add for

719
00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:36,800
you. 
You could be like signaling 

720
00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:38,679
like, hey, we don't care. 
People think we just want the 

721
00:34:38,679 --> 00:34:40,719
returns. 
And so I don't think it hurts 

722
00:34:40,719 --> 00:34:43,840
them really at all. 
And so, yeah, let me. 

723
00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:48,040
Make a couple quick points. 
I mean, 1, you know, being close

724
00:34:48,040 --> 00:34:51,199
to Elon and being in having 
somebody in this sort of 

725
00:34:51,199 --> 00:34:54,280
conservative troll world gets 
you a certain contingent of 

726
00:34:54,280 --> 00:34:56,280
people. 
And so if Sequoia can get away 

727
00:34:56,560 --> 00:35:01,480
with, OK, we're the normie guys,
but we also are friendly with 

728
00:35:01,480 --> 00:35:04,960
Elon world, you know, that's, 
that's there's a financial play 

729
00:35:04,960 --> 00:35:06,280
there. 
And I think that's part of 

730
00:35:06,280 --> 00:35:08,400
what's going on. 
The other thing I just want to 

731
00:35:08,400 --> 00:35:11,880
say on this conversation is 
that, like, kudos to Amjad, the 

732
00:35:11,880 --> 00:35:13,640
CEO of Replit, I'll put it that 
way. 

733
00:35:13,680 --> 00:35:20,560
I mean, he's been very bold in, 
you know, voicing unpopular 

734
00:35:20,560 --> 00:35:22,600
opinions. 
And I think Sean represents 

735
00:35:22,600 --> 00:35:25,760
himself as like articulating 
this sort of like, I don't know,

736
00:35:25,760 --> 00:35:30,080
out of consensus point of view. 
Well, but Amjad is an 

737
00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:33,960
interesting case here because, 
you know, he went on Joe Rogan a

738
00:35:33,960 --> 00:35:36,440
couple of weeks ago, talked 
about all, all kinds of things. 

739
00:35:36,440 --> 00:35:38,960
But, you know, within that he 
talked about, you know, his 

740
00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:41,200
being of Palestinian descent and
he's Jordanian. 

741
00:35:42,200 --> 00:35:45,200
And he was like, yeah, it's not 
easy being, you know, one of the

742
00:35:45,200 --> 00:35:47,880
few people in Silicon Valley 
willing to speak up, you know, 

743
00:35:47,880 --> 00:35:50,560
speak out against Israel and and
for the Palestinian. 

744
00:35:51,640 --> 00:35:52,920
Yeah, right. 
Paul Graham is an interesting 

745
00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:56,960
case and all of that, but it 
feels more personal with Amjad. 

746
00:35:57,040 --> 00:36:01,000
And he's gotten into it a little
bit with Sean on X. 

747
00:36:01,000 --> 00:36:04,640
And Sean completely took out of 
context something that Amjad had

748
00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:07,280
said and cut off the date and 
like a Washington Post article 

749
00:36:07,280 --> 00:36:09,720
so that he could claim that what
he had said on Rogan was 

750
00:36:09,720 --> 00:36:11,800
inaccurate. 
And you know, that's standard 

751
00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,640
trollish behavior on on she's 
part like he was trying to get a

752
00:36:14,640 --> 00:36:16,520
rise out of people. 
I don't even think I'm John. 

753
00:36:16,520 --> 00:36:18,920
Is that honestly, like, you 
know, the politics that he was 

754
00:36:18,920 --> 00:36:21,680
describing on Rogan doesn't even
really conform with like the 

755
00:36:21,680 --> 00:36:23,560
most leftist stuff. 
He was talking about two state 

756
00:36:23,560 --> 00:36:27,480
solutions. 
He was, you know, like I I care 

757
00:36:27,480 --> 00:36:29,280
a lot about what happens to the 
Israeli people. 

758
00:36:29,280 --> 00:36:33,440
I mean, that kind of stuff would
not actually, you know, get 

759
00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:35,800
endear you too much to the left.
Sure. 

760
00:36:35,800 --> 00:36:38,760
But the stuff you're hearing on 
tech Twitter right now is like, 

761
00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:42,240
just like, let's send every 
weapon we have over to Israel 

762
00:36:42,240 --> 00:36:44,160
and like, let let the chips 
fall. 

763
00:36:44,200 --> 00:36:46,280
They may. 
Sure, Joe Lonsdale is probably 

764
00:36:46,280 --> 00:36:48,880
the extreme version of that. 
And and like, I don't know, I 

765
00:36:48,880 --> 00:36:51,760
should be interested in your 
take, Eric, but like Sequoia, 

766
00:36:51,760 --> 00:36:54,360
you know, with Doug Leone as the
head of the firm also like 

767
00:36:54,360 --> 00:36:58,560
fairly well known conservative 
like as the firm, they certainly

768
00:36:58,720 --> 00:37:00,200
if you want to look at the 
personality. 

769
00:37:00,200 --> 00:37:03,640
They had Doug Leone and they had
Mike Moritz, both really strong 

770
00:37:03,640 --> 00:37:06,440
investors, opposite sides of the
political spectrum. 

771
00:37:07,080 --> 00:37:10,000
Clearly Doug Leone won. 
I mean, Moritz isn't even part 

772
00:37:10,000 --> 00:37:14,000
of the firm anymore. 
And it seems like that ideology 

773
00:37:14,000 --> 00:37:16,320
is 1. 
I mean, I, I Rudolf doesn't talk

774
00:37:16,320 --> 00:37:19,640
about his politics a ton, but my
sense is he's on the more 

775
00:37:19,640 --> 00:37:23,280
conservative side of things. 
And so yeah, I don't, I don't 

776
00:37:23,280 --> 00:37:28,320
see who the beacon of liberal or
left wing thought of, at least 

777
00:37:28,320 --> 00:37:30,400
publicly as Sequoia is right 
now. 

778
00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:33,640
And does do you think Doug being
there gives Sean a lot more 

779
00:37:33,640 --> 00:37:36,280
cover to be able to to say the 
stuff that he does? 

780
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:39,520
I mean, my first piece for the 
newsletter was about, you know, 

781
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:41,720
him being a Trump watching 
conservative. 

782
00:37:41,720 --> 00:37:46,440
It was about China and about how
this what the circle the center 

783
00:37:46,440 --> 00:37:50,440
could not hold with Sequoia 
having China while having anti 

784
00:37:50,440 --> 00:37:53,760
China sort of anyway, I was I 
was right that China spun out. 

785
00:37:53,760 --> 00:37:57,360
But anyway, that was my first 
piece and it, it talked about 

786
00:37:57,360 --> 00:38:00,120
how Doug Leone was a big 
Trumper. 

787
00:38:00,320 --> 00:38:03,440
And so, yeah, I, I mean, Doug's 
not in charge anymore, but he's 

788
00:38:03,440 --> 00:38:06,160
still around the firm. 
And I think that the fact that 

789
00:38:07,160 --> 00:38:11,040
if if Sean was so out of step 
with the rest of Sequoia, it 

790
00:38:11,040 --> 00:38:14,280
wouldn't last. 
Yeah, but he also kind of wants 

791
00:38:14,280 --> 00:38:18,320
to be maybe fired a little bit, 
a little bit like, I mean, look,

792
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:22,240
he I don't know, I, I, I mean, 
on that podcast he talked about 

793
00:38:22,240 --> 00:38:24,160
the fact that, you know, he's 
independently wealthy now 

794
00:38:24,160 --> 00:38:26,840
because he had sold the company 
earlier. 

795
00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:30,240
So he has a lot of money. 
So he's able to, you know, take 

796
00:38:30,240 --> 00:38:33,040
these risks, these risks with 
his, with his opinions. 

797
00:38:33,400 --> 00:38:36,440
And then, you know, he changed 
his Twitter bio or his ex bio 

798
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:39,200
for a bit to say like Sequoia 
partner in parentheses for now. 

799
00:38:39,960 --> 00:38:43,800
Like he's he's certainly baiting
people to to and, you know, he 

800
00:38:43,800 --> 00:38:47,840
talked about how the the 
petition, you know, was was 

801
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:49,320
another example of cancel 
culture. 

802
00:38:49,320 --> 00:38:53,640
And these people love to be, you
know, victims before the fact. 

803
00:38:54,400 --> 00:38:57,080
So yeah, I don't know if like I 
don't, I don't even talk to 

804
00:38:57,080 --> 00:38:58,360
Sean. 
I don't know. 

805
00:38:58,360 --> 00:39:00,120
Why? 
It would it would play into his 

806
00:39:00,120 --> 00:39:03,200
martyr. 
This Islam is narrative Muslim 

807
00:39:03,240 --> 00:39:08,120
distinction like why? 
Why, why why say something 

808
00:39:08,120 --> 00:39:12,160
that's so easily misinterpreted?
I guess is my my issue here. 

809
00:39:12,360 --> 00:39:15,520
Because he's a troll, right? 
And I hate that kind of 

810
00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:18,680
communication. 
I just like I, at my core, want 

811
00:39:18,680 --> 00:39:23,600
to speak sort of earnestly and 
openly and say be heard as I'm 

812
00:39:24,400 --> 00:39:26,240
what I'm intending to say, you 
know? 

813
00:39:26,280 --> 00:39:29,280
And I feel like he's trying to 
hack engagement. 

814
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:33,520
And that is what I object to. 
Right, right. 

815
00:39:33,520 --> 00:39:34,800
No. 
And that was sort of the point 

816
00:39:34,800 --> 00:39:37,560
of my column is, is I don't even
really deal with the specifics 

817
00:39:37,560 --> 00:39:39,440
of what he's saying and 
interrogating the logic. 

818
00:39:39,440 --> 00:39:40,640
I mean, that's a whole other 
thing. 

819
00:39:40,640 --> 00:39:45,120
But like, he is kind of claiming
that he is on this holy war to 

820
00:39:45,120 --> 00:39:47,160
put his opinions out there 
because it's extremely 

821
00:39:47,160 --> 00:39:49,320
necessary. 
And in fact, I don't think these

822
00:39:49,320 --> 00:39:51,360
opinions are that surprising. 
I don't think they're all that 

823
00:39:51,360 --> 00:39:53,400
necessary. 
And he's hacking the system 

824
00:39:53,400 --> 00:39:56,040
anyway to get them out there. 
Like he's not really saying. 

825
00:39:56,040 --> 00:39:58,320
And he's friends with the guy 
who runs the platform, the guy 

826
00:39:58,360 --> 00:40:02,640
who's shifting his own AI to 
bring this full circle to sound.

827
00:40:02,720 --> 00:40:04,880
More like him, you know? 
It's like, oh, I could be one of

828
00:40:04,880 --> 00:40:08,280
the voices that says the things 
that Elon wants me to say, you 

829
00:40:08,280 --> 00:40:09,840
know? 
Yeah, there, there are certain 

830
00:40:09,840 --> 00:40:12,440
people there, there are certain 
people who I think have been 

831
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:17,240
elevated by the Elon, you know, 
Elon era Twitter and the 4U page

832
00:40:17,240 --> 00:40:20,360
and the algorithm and it's like 
Sean McGuire is one of them. 

833
00:40:20,360 --> 00:40:24,880
So also is the die work wear guy
but but you know different 

834
00:40:24,880 --> 00:40:26,960
different sides of the. 
I mean, one of the most iconic 

835
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:30,280
things that has been said on 
this podcast is Ben Smith saying

836
00:40:30,280 --> 00:40:32,720
we're all in the courts of 
billionaires. 

837
00:40:32,720 --> 00:40:35,800
And I think that theme has 
continued to play out. 

838
00:40:35,800 --> 00:40:38,920
And yeah, Sean Mcguire's in the 
court of Elon Musk. 

839
00:40:39,400 --> 00:40:41,120
Right. 
And, and, and benefited from it 

840
00:40:41,120 --> 00:40:45,000
in lots of ways financially and 
also like in this little mini 

841
00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:47,840
unimpressive media thing that 
he's put together. 

842
00:40:48,120 --> 00:40:50,080
But we are not cancelling you, 
Sean. 

843
00:40:50,240 --> 00:40:51,880
Keep tweeting. 
Godspeed. 

844
00:40:51,880 --> 00:40:55,480
Just make him less hate, more 
more thought. 

845
00:40:55,840 --> 00:40:58,480
Well, he's not hateful only 
towards Islamofascists or 

846
00:40:58,480 --> 00:41:00,960
Islamists those who can hate 
which. 

847
00:41:00,960 --> 00:41:04,320
Which it is offensive. 
It is offensive to say that 

848
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:07,920
Mamdani is an Islamist. 
Like there, there's nothing 

849
00:41:07,920 --> 00:41:10,280
there's. 
It's like he's a normal mayoral 

850
00:41:10,280 --> 00:41:12,080
candidate. 
Like I feel like we can't let 

851
00:41:12,080 --> 00:41:14,080
that part of it slip by. 
Like it's just like. 

852
00:41:14,440 --> 00:41:16,720
That point like it is just 
blatantly false. 

853
00:41:16,840 --> 00:41:20,520
Also, it's very it's, it's just,
I don't want to let that slide. 

854
00:41:20,680 --> 00:41:22,440
Have you done the research 
though, Madeleine? 

855
00:41:22,440 --> 00:41:26,080
Have you done done the research?
I'm familiar with who his father

856
00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:29,760
is, is a professor at Columbia. 
I'm, I will just say I don't 

857
00:41:29,760 --> 00:41:34,320
think that Zoran Mamdani is an 
Islamist and there's no evidence

858
00:41:34,320 --> 00:41:37,400
to that to be supported and to 
say that is inherently 

859
00:41:37,400 --> 00:41:39,280
inflammatory. 
Correct me if I'm wrong, by the 

860
00:41:39,280 --> 00:41:42,280
way. 
As the non New Yorker over as 

861
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:45,080
the as the non New Yorker on 
this pod, as the non New Yorker 

862
00:41:45,080 --> 00:41:48,000
on this podcast, He didn't even 
really run on like he didn't run

863
00:41:48,000 --> 00:41:53,520
like an identitarian campaign. 
Right now that's all the right 

864
00:41:53,520 --> 00:41:56,960
wing effort now is to basically 
say you were misled like this 

865
00:41:56,960 --> 00:41:59,360
happy go lucky campaign that you
saw. 

866
00:41:59,600 --> 00:42:02,560
That's not who he really is. 
It's all bullshit. 

867
00:42:02,560 --> 00:42:04,840
I'm sorry he ran a campaign on 
affordability. 

868
00:42:04,840 --> 00:42:07,160
But anyway. 
I feel like the substance of it 

869
00:42:07,160 --> 00:42:08,920
matters, you know, not just the 
optics. 

870
00:42:08,920 --> 00:42:11,640
Anyway, that's our episode. 
We'll see you next week. 

871
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:13,920
Thanks for listening. 
See you next week with Sean 

872
00:42:13,920 --> 00:42:16,720
McGuire Co hosting and I'm. 
Sure. 

873
00:42:16,720 --> 00:42:18,400
There you put that on to the 
world. 

874
00:42:18,400 --> 00:42:21,840
There's some percentage. 
Is Brock still too woke next 

875
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:24,120
week? 
All right, see ya. 

876
00:42:24,640 --> 00:42:25,000
Bye.
