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What does it take to be a mega 
fund in the world of venture 

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capital? 
Today, we're talking about a 

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mega fund. 
You may never have heard of 

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Lightspeed Venture Partners, who
have done a terrific job of 

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flying under the radar despite 
raising $9 billion alongside 

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some strong exits this year. 
In this episode, we're going to 

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dive into what makes a mega fund
using the example of Lightspeed.

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We'll look at their business 
model, the startups they're 

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invested in, the IPOs that 
they're leading, and how they're

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seeing significant growth while 
seemingly spitting in the face 

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of the AI bubble. 
But first, we're going to 

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discuss the new developments in 
the relationship between Amazon 

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and open AI and the shifting 
allegiances in AI. 

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This is the newcomer podcast. 
There, there, there was a time 

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where you one of the most 
exciting things that could have 

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happened but didn't happen in 
Silicon Valley would be that 

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Amazon would buy Anthropic. 
Amazon, you know, a big cloud 

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service provider invested in 
Anthropic doesn't seem to have 

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figured out foundation models. 
But we've really put a nail in 

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the coffin, I think this week of
that idea. 

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Amazon just turned around and 
struck a huge deal with open AI.

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Tom, you cover these cloud 
companies, the foundation models

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and the deals. 
They're striking, Yeah. 

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What do you what do you make of 
Amazon's decision to strike an 

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enormous deal with Open AI? 
Yeah. 

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Well, we should have some 
caution here that it's just sort

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of in discussions right now. 
So I don't know if it's. 

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In talks, it hasn't closed yet. 
Yeah. 

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But I mean, the origins of this 
basically was a couple of months

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ago, Amazon and Open AI 
announced that they had signed a

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multi billion dollar cloud 
computing deal with AWS where it

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was going to be hosting some of 
Open AI models on AWS. 

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And it was sort of the first big
non Microsoft deal that Open AI 

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struck once it got out of it 
it's exclusivity agreement. 

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And, you know, in case you were 
worried after Amazon and Open AI

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struck a deal that it wasn't 
circular enough, fear not, fear 

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not. 
And, you know, people always 

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wonder with Open AI, how are you
going to pay for it? 

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The answer is more money from 
the cloud computing companies 

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that they work with. 
So it looks like Open AI is in 

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talks to get around $10 billion,
maybe more from AWS. 

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And, you know, just to, like, 
take some pride in the way this 

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is all progressed. 
We did a story, I think it was a

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newsletter item a couple of 
weeks ago, where I talked about 

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how Amazon had really started to
shift away from its anthropic 

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relationship, that for a time 
anthropic models were the Amazon

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bet, and that was the way it was
discussed internally. 

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I was told Jeff Bezos was going 
around talking about anthropic 

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as the Amazon bet, and it's 
clear that they have shifted 

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allegiances a little bit behind 
the scenes. 

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When I wrote that, AWS was very 
upset with me and they said that

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to say that Anthropic is no 
longer, you know, our big bet 

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and one we're committed to was 
absolutely wrong. 

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And they pointed to all these 
press releases that Anthropic 

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would make claiming that, you 
know, you know, Anthropic is 

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still our primary provider. 
Sorry, AWS is still our primary 

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provider and we use their chips.
Yeah, that's clearly changed. 

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That's that's no longer the 
case. 

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There's been a. 
Shift there. 

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Yeah. 
And, and I think as you wrote at

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the time, that newsletter item, 
like I think there's been 

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shifting allegiances across the 
tech world where once Microsoft 

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was the exclusive provider for 
open AI and then they've 

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invested or planned to invest 
billions of dollars into 

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Anthropic. 
Amazon obviously made their big 

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play with Anthropic. 
Now they seem a lot more 

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attached to open AI. 
Google is kind of relatively 

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neutral, but more focused on 
their own models. 

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And I think it just goes to show
that there is just such an 

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insane need for compute right 
now and an overall belief in AI 

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that there's no reason to pick a
horse. 

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You really kind of just need to 
bet on the industry at large and

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just take as much money and give
as much money to keep it going. 

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Amazon's also trying to get Open
AI to use its chips here, right?

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Yeah, that's part of the deal. 
Amazon is building chips that 

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they want open AI to be using to
diversify off of NVIDIA GPUs. 

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Also in Anthropic deals of AI 
world too, they announced a 

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couple months ago a deal with 
Google to use Google's chips. 

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So Google is has a partnership 
with Anthropic as well in this 

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even beyond, you know, focusing 
mostly on and their internal 

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products they do have some ties 
to. 

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Anthropic, maybe Anthropic 
somewhat jilted Amazon first by 

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doing stuff. 
With Google, a Google deal. 

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So then we have to circle back 
around here, yeah. 

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Yeah. 
Well, but also keep in mind that

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Google had already invested 
money in Anthropic before that. 

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They're they're they're a 
significant investor. 

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And I actually, my understanding
is that most Anthropic training 

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and inferencing, at least 
training I know is done on TP us

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on Google's chips. 
So there was already like a deep

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relationship there. 
I mean, the fact with Amazon is 

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that they're kind of like the 
rich kid that has to buy their 

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friends. 
No one likes their chips. 

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They just aren't very good. 
I'm sorry. 

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I'll, I'll, I'll, I'll say this 
strongly on the podcast. 

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I'll have anyone come in here 
and disagree with me, But every 

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conversation that I've had with 
people in the space says that 

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like the Tranium and Inferencia 
chips that that Amazon makes are

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like a huge tier below certainly
Nvidia's chips, but also 

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Google's Tpus. 
And so they got to, they got to 

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get people to use them somehow. 
And $10 billion is not a 

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terrible way to do it. 
And if there's a core financial 

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engineering risk with AI, it's 
that I invest in you and then 

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you use that investment to do me
a partial favor by pretending 

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like there's enthusiasm for my 
product, even though there isn't

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really enthusiasm, right? 
So in the case of chips I Amazon

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invest in, you open AI and then 
you turn around and use my 

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chips, show a little enthusiasm,
and then maybe I get a market 

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premium on my stock. 
My stock goes up. 

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That's great for everybody, you 
know, everybody involved and, 

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and who cares, right? 
And similarly this, you know, 

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this is the cynical case. 
The cloud companies benefit from

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open AI, anthropic, etcetera, 
spending on these enormous 

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training runs, right? 
So they want to keep this 

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foundation model game going and 
so keep the money going there 

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also so it can turn around and 
spend, spend money on on us. 

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So there's definitely, you know,
this cynical argument that 

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foundation models like Open AI 
and Anthropic are so valuable in

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part because the people 
investing them want them to be, 

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you know, because they're, 
they're big, they're big 

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customers and they're validating
a lot of the products they're 

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creating. 
And This is why to me, this is 

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the bull case for Google, 
because Google's on both sides 

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of it. 
If you think foundation models 

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are going to be revolutionary 
and not only revolutionary but 

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capture a lot of the economic 
value of what happens in AI, 

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Google has Gemini. 
If you don't and you think all 

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these models are sort of 
ludicrously spending on training

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runs that are just like lining 
the pockets of cloud providers, 

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well, Google has one of those 
too. 

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So I I think, yeah, good to be 
in both camps. 

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Yeah, they have the chips, they 
have the models, they have the 

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customers and they can force 
these AI models down the throats

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of these customers by putting it
in all the different, you know, 

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crevices of their products. 
Sorry as a gross image but I 

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think like you know, this all 
leads to what I thought was a 

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fucking hilarious video that 
Greg Brockman the Co founder of 

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Open AI just made where he, I 
don't even know what it was for.

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But it's basically this video 
where he talks about the 

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importance of compute and is 
like as time goes on we just 

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need more and more compute. 
The funnier part of this video 

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to me was him saying at first we
tried other ways to build our 

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models. 
Open AI did not set out with a 

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thesis. 
The compute was the path to 

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progress. 
It's that we tried everything 

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else and the thing that worked 
was compute. 

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We really wanted to find another
way to grow our company without 

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just demanding multi $100 
billion of compute deals, but we

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can't. 
This is what it is. 

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So please, it's like a, it's 
like APSA. 

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It was like for only a dollar a 
day he was getting. 

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Quirky with it, you know, he was
doing like a oh, how do we do it

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kind of tone. 
I don't know. 

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Yeah. 
It was for only for only a 

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dollar a day. 
You too can keep Open AI afloat 

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and give us the compute that we 
need. 

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Please reach deep if you have 
GPUs, if you have GB 2 hundreds,

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if you have anything that you or
your friends might have, please 

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donate them to Open AI because 
that's what we need to keep 

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going. 
I don't know what the fuck this 

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video was. 
I don't know who it was for. 

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I honestly, if you start to look
back at this era from 10-15 

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years from now, if it does 
happen to go sideways or doesn't

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turn out the way people 
expected, this video is going to

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be one of them. 
To me, that's just like, what 

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were we thinking? 
How do we not understand that 

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there was like something 
slightly concerning at the core 

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of the way these companies run? 
To be clear, my point of view 

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remains that we are imbuing 
everything with the capacity to 

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be intelligent and there's going
to be a huge market for that. 

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And as they get more and more 
intelligent, they're going to 

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get even more valuable. 
But what that what that means 

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for the near term value of open 
AI, I've no idea, you know, glad

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that's not my job to figure out.
But I do think these things all 

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come back to the actual your 
belief on the value that AI is 

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creating or not, right. 
If it's creating a lot of value,

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then makes sense to build chips 
and spend money on chips. 

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It makes sense to to these huge 
training runs. 

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But yeah, and I'll be fair to 
Brockman in his argument was 

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that like, our products are so 
successful, they're in such 

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demand that we need compute to 
be able to provide power to it, 

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that, you know, we can build 
more of them because people want

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them so much. 
It's not that speculative. 

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It's like we need this now. 
It's for our products to work. 

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My only counter to that would be
like what products outside of 

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Chachi PT, you know, like you? 
Know you do these training runs 

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and then everybody catches up 
with you tomorrow. 

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Right. 
Well, I think that's also 

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that's, that's the that's the 
business question that is 

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completely separate from the 
value that AI, this technology 

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creates and is transformational 
technology. 

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I think we're all in agreement 
here that it is very useful and 

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is very impressive and there is 
a ton of utility for it. 

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But where the business Moat 
lands and how these deals as 

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they are structured financially 
work out, that remains a little 

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bit still murky. 
And and as you'll see in the 

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segment coming up, that's why 
they need all the money. 

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That's what the money is for, is
to make the compute pay for the 

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compute that open AI so 
desperately needs, and so 

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everything has to be mega sized 
from that. 

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Up next, we talked about 
Lightspeeds $9 billion 

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fundraising as a venture capital
firm, so we'll dig into that. 

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Stay tuned. 
Hey folks, I'm Omar, product and

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design lead at Google DeepMind. 
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We're about to talk about the 
biggest, most important venture 

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capital firm that maybe you've 
never heard of. 

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00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:37,360
Depends how much of an insider 
you are. 

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00:11:37,680 --> 00:11:44,880
Lightspeed Venture Partners just
raised $9 billion, which even in

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the world of venture, where we 
get numb to big pools of money, 

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this is a venture firm with a 
lot of money to invest in 

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startups. 
Here at Newcomer, we have 

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00:11:55,760 --> 00:12:00,000
published some of Lightspeed old
performance numbers, so we have 

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a good sense of what companies 
they're investing in. 

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That gives the limited partners 
that back venture capital firms 

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00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:09,360
the confidence to re up with 
Lightspeed. 

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And Madeline has been doing some
reporting on Lightspeed to 

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understand this latest 
fundraising can help breakdown 

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all the numbers. 
And Tom will weigh in with his 

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spicy quips as. 
Tom can weigh in with his 

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hottest takes. 
I can I can really dig in on 

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Lightspeed circa 2016. 
Yeah, exactly. 

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You cared a lot. 
I mean, so if you if you are not

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in the venture business, you 
might have heard of Lightspeed 

232
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because they were a big investor
in Snapchat. 

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Jeremy Liu, who we all know 
invested in Snapchat then I 

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think as Tom helped brake had a 
falling out with lightspeed 

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00:12:46,520 --> 00:12:47,640
right? 
Did you break that story? 

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I. 
Actually didn't break that 

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story. 
It was it was our departed 

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former Co host on Dead Cat, 
Katie Benner, which is a real 

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blast. 
Really. 

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Oh my God, I forgot. 
Yeah, it was a very different 

241
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era where the New York Times 
would have written a story about

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like a fallout between a founder
and the whole. 

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I mean, we can we should get to 
your story, Madeline. 

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But if you really want to a trip
down memory lane, the whole 

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history between Lightspeed and 
Snapchat is a very interesting 

246
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one. 
Not even just the falling out, 

247
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but the, the way that they made 
that investment. 

248
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So we can we can talk about that
then, but it's like a very. 

249
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Different circle back to that. 
Yeah, it's a very different 

250
00:13:18,960 --> 00:13:24,320
light speed was and is mostly a 
firm that invests in 

251
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enterprises, businesses selling 
to other businesses. 

252
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There are exceptions. 
They're a big investor in a 

253
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firm. 
Max Levchin's payment advance 

254
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company, but a lot of the big 
investments are firms like 

255
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Grafana and Navon and fair, you 
know, it's sort of are, are the 

256
00:13:44,360 --> 00:13:48,440
backbone of or not consumer 
facing companies. 

257
00:13:48,440 --> 00:13:50,280
Right. 
Well, Lightspeed, I think you 

258
00:13:50,280 --> 00:13:54,080
know, wants to be known for 
their enterprise deals more 

259
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their their ties to Snapchat, 
cover the press. 

260
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And so people think of them as a
consumer first fund and they're 

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00:13:59,920 --> 00:14:02,240
quick to tell you no, we do 
enterprise deals. 

262
00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:07,240
And to their credit, they had 
significant IPOs in the last two

263
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years. 
They had, they were big backers 

264
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of Rubric, Netscope and Navon, 
which all went public in this 

265
00:14:13,360 --> 00:14:17,040
time of IPO drought recently. 
So they've had big exits in the 

266
00:14:17,040 --> 00:14:19,560
last couple years, which is 
impressive. 

267
00:14:19,560 --> 00:14:22,160
You know, if you say they're the
firm that flies under the radar,

268
00:14:22,160 --> 00:14:24,960
they're returning money back to 
their LP's, which is great when 

269
00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:26,840
you're fundraising. 
Madeline, you want to break down

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00:14:26,840 --> 00:14:30,880
this $9 billion fundraise and 
give us a sense of where all the

271
00:14:30,880 --> 00:14:33,960
money's gonna go? 
So this $9 billion fundraise is 

272
00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:36,680
broken up across six different 
vehicles. 

273
00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:40,080
It's all kind of multiple funds 
under this one umbrella to hit 

274
00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:43,640
the $9 billion total. 
But the two, the early stage 

275
00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:48,440
fund is kind of split into 
Lightspeed 15-A and 15-B. 

276
00:14:48,440 --> 00:14:50,560
And the way you can think about 
that is 15 A. 

277
00:14:50,600 --> 00:14:53,240
What marketing geniuses? 
They've got a number and they've

278
00:14:53,240 --> 00:14:56,040
got a naming scheme like Sony 
headphones here. 

279
00:14:56,040 --> 00:14:59,920
Yeah. 
Well, 15-A is 980 million and 

280
00:15:00,000 --> 00:15:04,160
like the title says, it is for 
seed up to Series A, maybe a 

281
00:15:04,160 --> 00:15:08,680
smaller B deal. 
Lightspeed B is for is $1.2 

282
00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:12,720
billion and that is going to go 
to things that are more entering

283
00:15:12,720 --> 00:15:15,960
product market. 5th growth 
Series B onward side. 

284
00:15:15,960 --> 00:15:17,960
However, it's not the growth 
fund. 

285
00:15:18,160 --> 00:15:22,960
It's just like in the age of AI,
these series BS and Series A's 

286
00:15:22,960 --> 00:15:26,160
and billion dollar seed rounds, 
they wanted a lot of capital to 

287
00:15:26,160 --> 00:15:29,080
be able to properly allocate in 
these rounds and double down on 

288
00:15:29,080 --> 00:15:31,800
concentrated bets. 
And when that moves earlier and 

289
00:15:31,800 --> 00:15:35,240
earlier with these AI rounds 
that everyone wants in, they 

290
00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:38,840
wanted capital for those two, 
wanted capital back those. 

291
00:15:38,840 --> 00:15:42,760
So that's how those are 
structured, the select those. 

292
00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:45,000
Are two earlier stages. 
So those are the 2 early funds. 

293
00:15:45,320 --> 00:15:49,080
There's also Lightspeed Select 
four and Lightspeed Opportunity 

294
00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:54,160
Fund three select four, A $1.8 
billion fund that is for 

295
00:15:54,800 --> 00:15:58,960
doubling down on bets that they 
want to get a higher ownership 

296
00:15:58,960 --> 00:16:02,280
share in that are more growth 
stage. 

297
00:16:02,280 --> 00:16:05,240
So think of it as a kind of 
medium growth fund. 

298
00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:09,240
And then opportunity funds have 
been actually the past 

299
00:16:09,240 --> 00:16:11,920
opportunity funds was where they
first backed Anthropic because 

300
00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:16,280
they did not get into Anthropic 
until the Series D, but then 

301
00:16:16,280 --> 00:16:20,200
they ended up Co leading and 
then leading later Anthropic 

302
00:16:20,200 --> 00:16:23,080
rounds as they kept raising. 
So they did get a larger 

303
00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:26,120
ownership share later on, but 
that's what the opportunity fund

304
00:16:26,120 --> 00:16:28,600
would be for to double. 
Right now seem like great 

305
00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,560
investments. 
I know they've been marked up a 

306
00:16:30,560 --> 00:16:31,920
lot. 
There's been, you know, this 

307
00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:35,240
chatter in the zeitgeist right 
now about like, if you're not in

308
00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:39,400
these key AI deals, you're 
failing behind, but they're 

309
00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,520
mostly mentioning, you know, 
Cursor Mercor, Open AI, 

310
00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:49,080
Lightspeed is not necessarily in
those companies, but they are a 

311
00:16:49,080 --> 00:16:51,720
pretty significant shareholder 
in Anthropic, which for as you 

312
00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,680
can tell by now on this podcast,
we're kind of fans of anthropics

313
00:16:54,680 --> 00:16:58,760
style at this point, you could 
say in how they they do things. 

314
00:16:58,760 --> 00:17:01,440
And it's a it's a strong growing
business with top models. 

315
00:17:01,440 --> 00:17:04,800
So the two new funds they raised
with this fundraise are the 

316
00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:08,760
Lightspeed Co investment fund, 
which is about $600 million and 

317
00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:12,359
a single investor vehicle that 
was $1.25 billion. 

318
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:18,560
Those exist for existing LP's to
tack on more money to double 

319
00:17:18,560 --> 00:17:23,119
down on specific bets so in and 
those basically exist because of

320
00:17:23,119 --> 00:17:26,680
how big AI rounds are getting. 
There are certain LP's who want 

321
00:17:26,680 --> 00:17:31,160
to have even more exposure to 
top AI deals and those funds 

322
00:17:31,160 --> 00:17:35,360
exist so they can opt in to give
Lightspeed even more money on 

323
00:17:35,360 --> 00:17:37,800
ones that they think Lightspeed 
has an advantage of getting into

324
00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:40,480
further rounds on and getting 
additional ownership. 

325
00:17:40,720 --> 00:17:42,960
So those are what those two 
additional structures are, which

326
00:17:42,960 --> 00:17:46,640
total it up to $9 billion, which
is pretty hefty fundraising. 

327
00:17:46,760 --> 00:17:48,920
What was one of them? 
So sorry, One of them is a 

328
00:17:48,920 --> 00:17:52,480
sidecar. 
There are two kind of sidecars. 

329
00:17:52,480 --> 00:17:55,680
Like are these real funds? 
These are real funds, but they 

330
00:17:56,480 --> 00:18:02,040
basically exist because certain 
LP's wanted to double down more 

331
00:18:02,040 --> 00:18:06,280
on later stage deals and it's a 
way of balancing the pro rata 

332
00:18:06,280 --> 00:18:09,160
rights in those deals to where 
the LP's wanted to participate 

333
00:18:09,160 --> 00:18:10,360
more. 
So all the. 

334
00:18:10,360 --> 00:18:13,280
Different terms across some of 
the, you know, some of the more 

335
00:18:13,280 --> 00:18:16,320
favorable. 
To but you have to be an LP in 

336
00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,120
the early and growth funds if 
you want to get into these 

337
00:18:19,120 --> 00:18:22,320
special two additional funds. 
So it's the same LP base. 

338
00:18:22,320 --> 00:18:24,760
What's interesting to me with 
this and like I don't have the 

339
00:18:24,760 --> 00:18:30,040
perspective, but like do other 
funds portion out their funds or

340
00:18:30,040 --> 00:18:32,560
do other firms portion out their
funds in such a regimented 

341
00:18:32,560 --> 00:18:35,000
segmented way? 
Or is this like basically a new 

342
00:18:35,000 --> 00:18:38,440
marketing scheme for LP's where 
you're just like you can have 

343
00:18:38,440 --> 00:18:42,320
access to the select fund, but 
if you want further exposure to 

344
00:18:42,320 --> 00:18:45,360
later stage rounds, you can be 
select plus, you know, the 

345
00:18:45,360 --> 00:18:47,680
sidecar, whatever they call it. 
Like, is this all just kind of a

346
00:18:47,680 --> 00:18:50,560
different way of divvying things
up so you can essentially get 

347
00:18:50,560 --> 00:18:52,800
more from an LP? 
Well, there's a lot going on 

348
00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:55,960
that we don't know, but one 
reason you'd want separate funds

349
00:18:55,960 --> 00:18:57,720
is venture. 
How are venture capitalists 

350
00:18:57,720 --> 00:19:00,480
compensated? 
I think that's that's worth a 

351
00:19:01,040 --> 00:19:04,120
discussion here, right. 
So venture capitalists are 

352
00:19:04,120 --> 00:19:09,200
compensated based on management 
fees and carry management fees. 

353
00:19:09,200 --> 00:19:13,600
That's the two of the famous 
expression 2 and 20 means that 

354
00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:19,280
they get 2% a year of the assets
that they've raised. 

355
00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:22,840
So you have bigger and bigger 
funds, you get larger and larger

356
00:19:22,840 --> 00:19:25,240
management fees. 
And so part of what's appealing 

357
00:19:25,560 --> 00:19:28,480
about mega funds is that you 
have so much money that the 

358
00:19:28,480 --> 00:19:31,720
management fees alone become 
very valuable. 

359
00:19:31,720 --> 00:19:35,000
And who cares how well your 
investments do because you can 

360
00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:38,680
make, you know, if you do the, 
we should do the math off 9 

361
00:19:38,680 --> 00:19:40,160
billion. 
I mean, it depend not all these 

362
00:19:40,160 --> 00:19:43,160
funds are the same fee structure
and we don't they don't like 

363
00:19:43,160 --> 00:19:47,000
announce the fee structure, but 
they're making hundreds of 

364
00:19:47,000 --> 00:19:50,720
millions certainly in management
fees alone. 

365
00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:52,400
Now you have to run a bigger 
firm. 

366
00:19:52,400 --> 00:19:56,040
You pay employees right The. 
Overhead goes up among you know,

367
00:19:56,040 --> 00:19:57,600
the number of partners that sort
of thing. 

368
00:19:57,600 --> 00:20:01,040
So it does get diluted out, but 
it's it's a pretty good market 

369
00:20:01,040 --> 00:20:03,440
if you can make sums like this 
off your management fees. 

370
00:20:03,440 --> 00:20:05,960
So if you're thinking about 
management fees, you want to 

371
00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:08,400
have a big, you just want to 
raise a bunch of money, right, 

372
00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:12,960
That's great for management fees
on the carry side, you like 

373
00:20:12,960 --> 00:20:18,440
having different funds, right. 
So if my venture fund does 

374
00:20:18,440 --> 00:20:23,880
really well and I only get paid 
as a venture capitalist, if I, 

375
00:20:23,920 --> 00:20:27,080
you know, double the value of my
holdings or if there's some 

376
00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:30,640
hurdle that I have to reach, I 
don't want that to be dragged 

377
00:20:30,640 --> 00:20:33,840
down by the fact that then we 
double down later at bad 

378
00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:36,520
valuations. 
And so we're not going to make, 

379
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:39,800
you know, we, we have a bigger 
and bigger pool of money we have

380
00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:42,040
to pay out until we reach our 
hurdle. 

381
00:20:42,040 --> 00:20:49,000
So there to hit carry, it can be
advantageous to split out funds 

382
00:20:50,240 --> 00:20:52,240
so that. 
Meaning like having early, 

383
00:20:52,240 --> 00:20:54,840
having late. 
Having right early could be in 

384
00:20:54,840 --> 00:20:57,400
the money, but opportunity might
not, you know. 

385
00:20:57,400 --> 00:20:59,000
And so then it's like, oh, we 
make money off. 

386
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:02,920
Whereas if early and opportunity
were the same fund, it's 

387
00:21:02,920 --> 00:21:07,520
possible we don't make out and 
LP's know this. 

388
00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:10,680
And this also could be in 
Lightspeed's case, they have, 

389
00:21:10,760 --> 00:21:14,800
you know, 15-A and 15-B, which 
even splits the early. 

390
00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:16,480
Level. 
Farther so there's like seed A 

391
00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:20,080
and BC. 
So before you even get into 

392
00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:21,600
growth, they're tearing it out 
that. 

393
00:21:21,640 --> 00:21:25,880
Way it's possible they have some
overall promise to LP's. 

394
00:21:25,960 --> 00:21:31,160
I don't know like how much these
things are operating stand alone

395
00:21:31,160 --> 00:21:35,560
versus they're saying overall we
will make the money back. 

396
00:21:35,560 --> 00:21:38,040
But but yeah, I don't, I don't 
think it's mostly about 

397
00:21:38,040 --> 00:21:42,240
marketing and they're probably 
let you know some LP's 

398
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:45,640
concentrate in areas they like 
better and you know there 

399
00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:47,560
there's, there's a lot of 
negotiating. 

400
00:21:48,520 --> 00:21:51,320
But you don't think there's a 
way that you can, you know, get 

401
00:21:51,320 --> 00:21:54,960
L like more money from an LP by 
offering them exposure to 

402
00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:58,520
multiple funds within the firm? 
Like it just feels like it's 

403
00:21:58,520 --> 00:21:59,800
like one. 
Yeah. 

404
00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:02,760
It's just like 1 chunk of money 
going to 1 fun versus like, you 

405
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,360
know, it's just like a 
psychological thing of little 

406
00:22:05,360 --> 00:22:08,080
bits will add up to a greater 
number, but it doesn't feel as 

407
00:22:08,080 --> 00:22:11,560
psychologically, you know, like 
a huge chunk that's coming out 

408
00:22:11,560 --> 00:22:14,040
of your fund like you're, you're
I don't know you're. 

409
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:15,600
Doing different strategies, 
yeah. 

410
00:22:15,600 --> 00:22:17,200
Yeah, yeah. 
It just feels like there's an 

411
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:19,120
appeal there. 
It also if you wanted to get a 

412
00:22:19,120 --> 00:22:22,840
larger ownership share of one 
specific winning bet, which 

413
00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:24,680
seems to be what everyone wants 
to do in the. 

414
00:22:24,760 --> 00:22:26,960
AI. 
Race right, like everyone wants 

415
00:22:26,960 --> 00:22:29,160
to be an open AI, everyone wants
to be an anthropic with these 

416
00:22:29,160 --> 00:22:32,560
kind of winner companies, you 
could have exposure as an LP 

417
00:22:32,560 --> 00:22:35,440
from the growth fund, but you 
could also be in the Co 

418
00:22:35,440 --> 00:22:37,360
investment fund and get more 
that way. 

419
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:40,160
So you could say, you know, they
could sell it like, hey, if you 

420
00:22:40,160 --> 00:22:43,800
want to get even more in 
Anthropic, you could opt into 

421
00:22:43,800 --> 00:22:46,400
this additional fund. 
And it's doing so well. 

422
00:22:46,400 --> 00:22:50,000
Why wouldn't you do that? 
You know, I think this new fund 

423
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:55,400
was broken in the New York Times
and the way that the Times frame

424
00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:58,960
the story was like AI investment
is going crazy right now. 

425
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,000
You need to be able to raise 
huge amounts of money in order 

426
00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:04,280
to participate in these mega 
round seeds or you know, 

427
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,880
hundreds of millions of dollars 
and billion dollar valuations 

428
00:23:06,880 --> 00:23:10,560
right off the bat. 
And this is just a response to 

429
00:23:10,800 --> 00:23:13,680
the size of rounds that AI 
companies are are demanding. 

430
00:23:13,920 --> 00:23:16,240
Is that basically what's going 
on here? 

431
00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:19,520
When you see Lightspeed doing 
this, you know, astronomically 

432
00:23:19,520 --> 00:23:22,480
large round comparatively to the
other things just like this is 

433
00:23:22,600 --> 00:23:25,000
AI, this is the bubble. 
This is just like the table 

434
00:23:25,000 --> 00:23:27,480
stakes for participating. 
I I think, you know, there are 

435
00:23:27,480 --> 00:23:31,000
two things going on in terms of 
why Lightspeed is able to raise 

436
00:23:31,000 --> 00:23:35,080
this amount of money. 1 Limited 
partners, the the people and 

437
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,920
firms and institutions that 
invest in venture capital firms 

438
00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:43,440
or sort of fleeing to the the 
best of the best related to the 

439
00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:46,560
second phenomenon, which is 
companies are staying private 

440
00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:50,640
forever and so there are these 
clear winners or apparent 

441
00:23:50,640 --> 00:23:57,920
winners companies like open AI, 
Anthropic cursor clean data 

442
00:23:57,920 --> 00:24:00,000
bricks didn't. 
Data bricks just raise like a 

443
00:24:00,120 --> 00:24:01,720
series L. 
Recently, yeah. 

444
00:24:01,720 --> 00:24:03,960
It's like a. 160. 
Billion or something? 

445
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:06,440
I'd never heard of a series L 
before that. 

446
00:24:06,640 --> 00:24:08,760
Right. 
So they're staying private, 

447
00:24:08,960 --> 00:24:12,600
which means that only sort of 
connected investors can really 

448
00:24:12,600 --> 00:24:15,160
get access. 
And so firms like Lightspeed are

449
00:24:15,160 --> 00:24:17,720
well positioned to do those 
deals. 

450
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:21,040
And so they need way more than 
traditional venture capital 

451
00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:25,800
money to invest. 
But what about AI specifically? 

452
00:24:25,800 --> 00:24:30,680
Like is it just, I mean, is it, 
are we seeing rounds that are 

453
00:24:31,080 --> 00:24:33,880
fewer and larger, like they're 
not really passing the hat 

454
00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:36,880
around that widely? 
And so you just are entirely 

455
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:40,080
reliant on like you're saying 
these big name firms to give you

456
00:24:40,080 --> 00:24:41,520
allocation. 
You just don't have that much 

457
00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:45,960
auction as an LP. 
Yeah, that's basically part of 

458
00:24:45,960 --> 00:24:47,600
this too. 
There. 

459
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:52,120
He's hardly ever been, at least 
in my time reporting VC, just a 

460
00:24:52,120 --> 00:24:55,760
clear kind of consensus view of 
what to invest in from all these

461
00:24:55,760 --> 00:24:58,680
firms, right? 
Like people have collectively 

462
00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:01,800
decided that there are the 
winners in AI not for 

463
00:25:01,800 --> 00:25:04,280
applications, the jury's still 
out there, but on the foundation

464
00:25:04,280 --> 00:25:06,440
model level, a lot of people 
think there's still a ton of 

465
00:25:06,440 --> 00:25:09,200
value in these companies. 
There's not that many of them. 

466
00:25:09,720 --> 00:25:13,200
They're very expensive operating
companies, so the money they 

467
00:25:13,200 --> 00:25:15,800
need to raise and keep growing 
is more. 

468
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:19,720
And so then the big players need
more money to fund them because 

469
00:25:19,720 --> 00:25:22,480
there's a sort of consensus view
that these are the companies 

470
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:23,760
that we need to be backing right
now. 

471
00:25:23,760 --> 00:25:27,440
So it's kind of reinforcing. 
Yeah, I mean, you know, there's 

472
00:25:27,440 --> 00:25:30,240
been some, it's almost like a 
meme at this point, but I've 

473
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,520
just seen it enough on on X to 
decide. 

474
00:25:32,520 --> 00:25:34,880
This is like, I think people are
discussing that. 

475
00:25:34,880 --> 00:25:38,520
They're like only so many firms 
or or sorry, there are only so 

476
00:25:38,520 --> 00:25:40,720
many start-ups that really 
matter right now in AI. 

477
00:25:41,080 --> 00:25:45,400
And the ones that typically get 
names are like Anthropic cursor,

478
00:25:45,800 --> 00:25:49,560
open AI, Mercor for whatever 
reason gets gets Yeah, people. 

479
00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:52,400
Love Mercor? 
Well, OK, I get it. 

480
00:25:52,400 --> 00:25:55,320
I mean, you know, there's value 
in sort of, we basically do like

481
00:25:55,440 --> 00:25:58,720
reinforcement learning in human,
like kind of they're basically 

482
00:25:58,760 --> 00:26:02,480
like replaced scale as like kind
of scale. 

483
00:26:02,920 --> 00:26:04,640
Yeah, that's like the go to 
service. 

484
00:26:04,640 --> 00:26:06,280
So sure, whatever. 
I don't really see those as tech

485
00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:08,440
companies, but they certainly 
have venture backing. 

486
00:26:08,440 --> 00:26:11,920
But you basically if you're an 
LP, you want exposure to those 

487
00:26:11,920 --> 00:26:14,400
companies and you're going to 
get pissed off if you don't get 

488
00:26:14,400 --> 00:26:16,520
it. 
And so like the value that all 

489
00:26:16,520 --> 00:26:19,320
of these firms basically have is
say like, oh, we can get you in 

490
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,200
it, don't worry, don't worry, 
we'll get you in there and we'll

491
00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:23,680
get you in there in a big way. 
And it is incredibly 

492
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:25,720
concentrated. 
I mean, I don't know, Eric, like

493
00:26:25,720 --> 00:26:28,400
you were, you know, covering 
late stage venture in like the 

494
00:26:28,400 --> 00:26:32,240
Uber era when there really 
weren't, you know, it was Uber 

495
00:26:32,240 --> 00:26:35,360
and Lyft. 
I mean, was it the similar sort 

496
00:26:35,360 --> 00:26:38,120
of competitiveness where there 
was just like a small number of 

497
00:26:38,120 --> 00:26:41,360
firms that had access to these 
crazy Uber rounds? 

498
00:26:41,360 --> 00:26:45,880
You know, in in the hedge fund 
world, people, you know, think 

499
00:26:45,880 --> 00:26:48,800
it's sometimes crazy that it's 
like, you can raise this money 

500
00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:52,440
with great fees and then you 
turn around and you invest in 

501
00:26:52,680 --> 00:26:56,560
Meta, in Alphabet, you know, 
it's like anybody could do that.

502
00:26:56,560 --> 00:26:59,520
It's like what you're a genius. 
You like pick which one of the 

503
00:26:59,520 --> 00:27:01,640
seven most important companies 
and go bigot it. 

504
00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:03,240
And then you collect fees off of
that. 

505
00:27:03,600 --> 00:27:07,640
And I think there's a degree to 
which a only marginally more 

506
00:27:07,640 --> 00:27:10,200
sophisticated version of that is
now happening in venture 

507
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:14,280
capital, which is, oh, you're 
going to invest in open AI. 

508
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:18,320
Now VCs have the advantage of 
saying, well, you schlub can't 

509
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:24,320
get in open AI only I can. 
I, I don't totally, even though,

510
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:26,440
you know, I follow this stuff 
very closely. 

511
00:27:27,320 --> 00:27:32,200
I it's hard to come up with a 
non cynical reason why these 

512
00:27:32,200 --> 00:27:35,160
companies, you know, gatekeep 
their investor base and 

513
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:39,400
therefore allow their investors 
to basically collect fees on 

514
00:27:40,200 --> 00:27:43,120
what are, you know, you know, 
opening eyes desperate for any 

515
00:27:43,120 --> 00:27:45,320
money can get right. 
So why does it restrict the 

516
00:27:45,320 --> 00:27:48,360
investor base? 
I think the answer is just you 

517
00:27:48,360 --> 00:27:52,440
create FOMO, you create this 
like sense that I need to get in

518
00:27:52,440 --> 00:27:55,240
by making it a little bit 
difficult by having prestigious 

519
00:27:55,240 --> 00:27:58,560
people invest. 
And the people investing are, 

520
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:02,080
you know, bullish optimists who 
have an incentive to run around 

521
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:05,960
and say this is a great company.
And so instead of just doing a 

522
00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:09,160
fair market price, you sort of 
restrict the investor base and 

523
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:12,400
you create FOMO. 
And, you know, if you wanted to 

524
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:14,800
to to do it the normal way, 
you'd go public. 

525
00:28:14,800 --> 00:28:18,240
So yeah, it's been this weird 
situation where, you know, 

526
00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,920
insiders are getting a pretty 
good deal. 

527
00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:22,560
Now, sometimes they get it 
wrong, right. 

528
00:28:22,720 --> 00:28:25,920
If you dump all the money into 
the wrong one of these winners 

529
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:29,360
like, sometimes it doesn't work 
as well. 

530
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:32,000
There are, there are. 
Certainly concentration risk, 

531
00:28:32,120 --> 00:28:33,480
right? 
And the traditional venture 

532
00:28:33,480 --> 00:28:37,360
model was that you had a bunch 
of different bets that you've 

533
00:28:37,360 --> 00:28:39,320
based on your research that 
could grow. 

534
00:28:39,320 --> 00:28:42,680
But if a bunch of them didn't 
work, you had, you know, 

535
00:28:42,720 --> 00:28:45,880
diversified and likelihood was 
that one or two definitely would

536
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:48,120
go to the moon and become 
unicorns and exit for you and 

537
00:28:48,120 --> 00:28:50,000
return your fund and make you 
rich and then some. 

538
00:28:50,360 --> 00:28:54,120
And what's different now is you 
have really capital intensive 

539
00:28:54,120 --> 00:28:56,960
businesses that also everyone 
wants to get in and it's 

540
00:28:56,960 --> 00:29:00,400
mutually reinforcing to where 
there's this hype cycle and it's

541
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:02,040
really exclusive to get in these
deals. 

542
00:29:02,040 --> 00:29:03,880
So you want to get on the cap 
table because it's going to be 

543
00:29:03,880 --> 00:29:06,360
once in a lifetime company. 
And also if you're true 

544
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,200
believer, it's like, yeah, this 
is going to be maybe 

545
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:11,200
generational company and the 
highest technology and my LP's 

546
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:14,280
want to get it too. 
To bring it back to a earlier 

547
00:29:14,280 --> 00:29:16,920
question of Tom's and to 
Lightspeed, This is why you have

548
00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,120
different funds. 
You know, you have traditional 

549
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:23,360
venture funds with diversified 
strategies, with premium fees 

550
00:29:23,680 --> 00:29:26,920
that, you know, are looking for 
unexpected winners. 

551
00:29:26,920 --> 00:29:30,040
And then you have these 
opportunity funds and sidecar 

552
00:29:30,040 --> 00:29:33,000
funds that are basically like, 
yeah, we're gonna, you know, 

553
00:29:33,000 --> 00:29:36,480
dump a bunch of money into the 
names that you know, and if 

554
00:29:36,480 --> 00:29:39,400
you're a savvy LP, you already 
understand them pretty well. 

555
00:29:39,400 --> 00:29:43,200
And the fees are gonna be lower,
but still like you're, you're 

556
00:29:43,200 --> 00:29:46,080
getting to make money by by 
getting your limited partners 

557
00:29:46,080 --> 00:29:48,160
into pretty well known 
companies. 

558
00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:50,880
It's almost like like a cable 
package or something, right? 

559
00:29:50,880 --> 00:29:53,560
It's like if you're gonna get 
cable these days, it's like, 

560
00:29:54,720 --> 00:29:56,440
yeah, it's like, I know I need 
ESPN. 

561
00:29:56,440 --> 00:29:57,800
So like, that's a base level 
thing. 

562
00:29:57,960 --> 00:30:00,280
If I'm gonna get a cable 
package, you gotta give me ESPN.

563
00:30:00,440 --> 00:30:02,840
Everything else on top of that 
is like, do I want the TBS 

564
00:30:02,840 --> 00:30:05,120
package? 
Do I want like the Food Network 

565
00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:06,520
package? 
All that stuff is just like 

566
00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:09,520
spice on top of it that provides
mild differentiation. 

567
00:30:09,520 --> 00:30:13,000
But it's like you can't sell 
cable right now without ESPN. 

568
00:30:13,000 --> 00:30:15,480
You can't get, you know, a VC 
fund without open AI. 

569
00:30:15,480 --> 00:30:17,280
Anthropic. 
But you you also need to put 

570
00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:20,800
your head more in that in the 
mind of the ultra rich, right? 

571
00:30:21,000 --> 00:30:24,880
Their problem isn't, oh man, I 
just want ESPN and they're 

572
00:30:24,880 --> 00:30:26,440
making me buy all this other 
stuff. 

573
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:29,160
Sometimes it's the opposite. 
It's like, I don't want to think

574
00:30:29,160 --> 00:30:31,160
about all this piddling little 
stuff. 

575
00:30:31,160 --> 00:30:34,800
Like I want to write one huge 
check, you know, I don't know 

576
00:30:34,800 --> 00:30:37,000
who the LP's are, but it's like,
I'm Saudi Arabia. 

577
00:30:37,000 --> 00:30:39,200
I don't want to see her worrying
about like, oh, your venture 

578
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:41,640
strategy or I just want to be 
like, here's a bunch of money, 

579
00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:43,080
like make me some money, you 
know? 

580
00:30:43,120 --> 00:30:46,840
And like, part of the challenge,
sincerely, of having huge pools 

581
00:30:46,840 --> 00:30:49,520
of capital, even for 
professional investors like 

582
00:30:49,520 --> 00:30:52,640
pension funds or sovereign 
wealth funds, is you, you want 

583
00:30:52,640 --> 00:30:55,600
to put all your money in one 
place and get a substantial, 

584
00:30:55,880 --> 00:31:00,520
reliable return. 
And firms like Lightspeed NEA, 

585
00:31:00,560 --> 00:31:03,800
you know, is the sort of 
historical example of this where

586
00:31:03,800 --> 00:31:07,480
it's not necessarily aiming for 
classic venture capital 

587
00:31:07,800 --> 00:31:11,320
performance, but saying we can 
do the market or better. 

588
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:14,720
And it's a huge amount of money,
you know, don't worry, leave it 

589
00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:17,520
with us. 
We'll we'll consistently return 

590
00:31:17,520 --> 00:31:19,480
and. 
That's kind of what the mega 

591
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:22,640
funds are replicating. 
We talked a lot on this show 

592
00:31:22,640 --> 00:31:25,080
before about the kind of 
maturation of venture as an 

593
00:31:25,080 --> 00:31:27,080
asset class. 
And as it becomes more serious, 

594
00:31:27,480 --> 00:31:33,040
these mega funds are functioning
more like this mature asset 

595
00:31:33,040 --> 00:31:37,440
class that these huge LP's, like
you said, want a reliable return

596
00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:40,040
and put their money in. 
And traditional venture was of 

597
00:31:40,040 --> 00:31:42,840
course, you know, moon shot 
ideas that make you really rich 

598
00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:45,280
when they work. 
And when you're dealing with 

599
00:31:45,280 --> 00:31:48,800
sums of money this big with 
institutional LP's with billions

600
00:31:48,800 --> 00:31:52,200
to park, they don't really want 
to risk losing all of it on the 

601
00:31:52,200 --> 00:31:56,000
chance of like a 20X return. 
You know they would like 

602
00:31:56,120 --> 00:32:00,880
reliable 3X4 X 5X which is not 
venture returns that 

603
00:32:01,000 --> 00:32:02,280
historically people would be 
like. 

604
00:32:02,600 --> 00:32:06,080
These are good but not like the 
crazy amazing returns, but it 

605
00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:07,560
would be a great deal for your 
money. 

606
00:32:08,160 --> 00:32:11,440
Well, the other evolution to 
that also seems to be Thrive, 

607
00:32:11,440 --> 00:32:16,040
which, you know, I don't know 
how much they define this era of

608
00:32:16,240 --> 00:32:19,560
mega funds and acting as quasi 
private equity firms, but their 

609
00:32:19,560 --> 00:32:23,280
involvement like fun to 
portfolio company is such a 

610
00:32:23,280 --> 00:32:26,080
weird change from the way things
were in the past. 

611
00:32:26,080 --> 00:32:27,880
I mean, this, we weren't 
planning on talking about this 

612
00:32:27,880 --> 00:32:30,120
in the episode, but just 
interesting to me that like I 

613
00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:32,480
think it was this week or last 
week, you saw Open AI 

614
00:32:32,840 --> 00:32:35,560
effectively taking some sort of 
a stake in Thrive. 

615
00:32:36,040 --> 00:32:38,280
So like, you know, where one 
succeeds, the other one does 

616
00:32:38,280 --> 00:32:39,760
too. 
The whole thing is hand in hand.

617
00:32:39,760 --> 00:32:41,480
I've been reporting on this a 
bit. 

618
00:32:41,840 --> 00:32:44,840
It's through Thrive Holdings, 
their holding company vehicle, 

619
00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:49,040
which Josh Joshua Kushner is 
also the CEO of, but is not the 

620
00:32:49,040 --> 00:32:51,480
main Thrive fund, although it's 
under the Thrive umbrella. 

621
00:32:51,680 --> 00:32:54,960
But it's like in a billion 
dollar holding company to double

622
00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:57,960
down on these AI bets. 
That's separate from the venture

623
00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:00,280
model. 
And this deal is structured to 

624
00:33:00,280 --> 00:33:03,280
where engineers from Thrive 
Holdings and engineers and 

625
00:33:03,280 --> 00:33:06,800
researchers from Open AI can be 
embedded with each other to 

626
00:33:06,800 --> 00:33:11,000
learn how best to use the models
to grow their other startups, 

627
00:33:11,000 --> 00:33:12,880
like in their roll ups business 
for example. 

628
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:14,640
What? 
I'm sorry, engineers that 

629
00:33:14,640 --> 00:33:16,240
thrive? 
What are their engineers that 

630
00:33:16,240 --> 00:33:18,680
thrive? 
They have engineers at Thrive if

631
00:33:18,840 --> 00:33:22,360
that's what they say, and 
they're getting to learn from 

632
00:33:22,360 --> 00:33:25,040
the best and brightest models 
from up in AI. 

633
00:33:25,400 --> 00:33:27,400
And I guess the engineers of the
company, yeah, I don't know. 

634
00:33:27,400 --> 00:33:29,760
And the engineers? 
Go in and then work on these, 

635
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:32,040
you know, roll up companies 
where they're like figuring out 

636
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:36,320
how to use AI services to roll 
up, you know it. 

637
00:33:37,520 --> 00:33:39,000
Makes sense for everybody 
involved. 

638
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:43,400
First of all, self dealing is 
the name of the game these days.

639
00:33:43,440 --> 00:33:48,040
Josh Kushner is running a great 
well respected firm with Thrive.

640
00:33:48,480 --> 00:33:51,760
He stood by Sam Altman when the 
board tried to go after Altman. 

641
00:33:51,760 --> 00:33:54,480
He keeps betting on open AI 
successfully. 

642
00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:56,600
Now. 
What does open AI want? 

643
00:33:56,600 --> 00:34:00,400
They want fucking customers. 
And Thrive is like, oh, we're 

644
00:34:00,400 --> 00:34:03,120
going to invest in a roll up 
vehicle of companies that could 

645
00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:07,600
embrace foundation models and 
use them to revolutionize 

646
00:34:07,600 --> 00:34:10,040
plumbing or whatever vertical it
is. 

647
00:34:10,360 --> 00:34:14,639
And so then Open AI wants those 
customers and wants to reward 

648
00:34:14,639 --> 00:34:17,280
Josh Kushner for being a loyal 
ally. 

649
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:19,600
So they they share brands and 
partner. 

650
00:34:19,960 --> 00:34:22,719
Yeah, I mean, this is this is 
how business gets done. 

651
00:34:22,719 --> 00:34:24,440
Not even, not even necessarily 
cynically. 

652
00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:27,800
I mean, it's just it, it makes 
sense for both parties. 

653
00:34:27,880 --> 00:34:30,840
But yeah. 
All this sort of deliver on that

654
00:34:30,840 --> 00:34:33,280
end is I guess TBD, but it 
sounds. 

655
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:34,760
I know. 
Well, I'm interested to see this

656
00:34:34,760 --> 00:34:37,320
roll up story there. 
I mean, there's so much energy 

657
00:34:37,320 --> 00:34:40,360
around rollups, but it feels 
like everybody's interested in 

658
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:44,120
the strategy. 
You know, we have to see it, you

659
00:34:44,120 --> 00:34:46,199
know, play it out in the the 
companies. 

660
00:34:46,320 --> 00:34:48,880
Yeah, it's too early for a lot 
of these companies that were 

661
00:34:48,880 --> 00:34:52,480
really formed in some cases by 
the venture with the venture 

662
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:55,760
firms as basically the creators 
who then bring in a CEO who are 

663
00:34:55,760 --> 00:34:59,240
workshop this concept and then 
acquire an existing service 

664
00:34:59,240 --> 00:35:04,080
business or ones where the they 
meet a founder that wants to 

665
00:35:04,400 --> 00:35:07,520
expand their services and say 
here's some capital, why not do 

666
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:09,200
a roll up and buy this other 
business. 

667
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:12,160
So they, we will see how these 
do. 

668
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:15,720
It's only been really in the 
last year or two that these 

669
00:35:15,720 --> 00:35:20,440
companies have started. 
So the jury's still out on how 

670
00:35:20,800 --> 00:35:23,880
successful this will be. 
Although of course, investors 

671
00:35:23,880 --> 00:35:26,400
I've talked to, granted ones 
who've made these kind of bets, 

672
00:35:26,400 --> 00:35:28,680
say that they're doing quite 
well, but of course they'd like 

673
00:35:28,680 --> 00:35:29,920
to. 
Say that I want to make three 

674
00:35:29,920 --> 00:35:34,080
quick points on the mega funds 
and Lightspeed before we wrap up

675
00:35:34,920 --> 00:35:41,240
this this portion. 
One, the mega funds, certainly 

676
00:35:41,240 --> 00:35:44,920
Andreessen Horowitz and 
Lightspeed did really well in 

677
00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:47,440
the beginning like we published 
in February Lightspeed's 

678
00:35:47,440 --> 00:35:52,640
performance and you know, their 
first couple funds are first 

679
00:35:52,640 --> 00:35:58,760
quartile venture funds. 
You know, they 3X TVPI, their 

680
00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:03,960
first fund, you know they're 
outperforming other venture 

681
00:36:03,960 --> 00:36:06,440
capital firms. 
And so it is the firm's 

682
00:36:06,440 --> 00:36:09,880
obviously you know what you'd 
expect that did well in the 

683
00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:13,200
beginning that said, oh, give us
a lot of money and we'll do it 

684
00:36:13,200 --> 00:36:15,400
at scale. 
And then you know, they've had 

685
00:36:15,400 --> 00:36:19,120
successful funds, but some of 
them are second quartile. 

686
00:36:20,000 --> 00:36:24,120
But, but what's really important
here is that these venture firms

687
00:36:24,120 --> 00:36:28,680
got really big and it takes a 
while to prove that the really 

688
00:36:28,680 --> 00:36:31,680
big strategy works as well as 
the venture strategy. 

689
00:36:31,680 --> 00:36:34,840
So I think we're still in a 
period we're waiting to see 

690
00:36:35,040 --> 00:36:38,960
whether they can do as well with
a lot of money as they did with 

691
00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:41,120
a little bit of money. 
The one thing that's happened 

692
00:36:41,120 --> 00:36:44,520
since February when it was like,
oh wow, they're, they're raising

693
00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:48,320
on an old strategy, while their 
strategy is much bigger is they,

694
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:50,160
they've dumped a lot of money 
into anthropic. 

695
00:36:50,160 --> 00:36:52,600
Even at the time, I think it was
like their second largest 

696
00:36:52,600 --> 00:36:55,080
holding or sign. 
They're really escalating their 

697
00:36:55,080 --> 00:36:57,280
anthropic position. 
And that's only gotten marked 

698
00:36:57,280 --> 00:37:00,160
up. 
So the AI bubble in some ways 

699
00:37:00,560 --> 00:37:03,480
has only supported he's mega 
fun. 

700
00:37:03,480 --> 00:37:06,840
So that's that's one. 
I think 2:00 we're just going to

701
00:37:06,840 --> 00:37:09,080
be very interested in like, you 
know, general catalysts, like 

702
00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:11,880
will it go public? 
Andreessen, you know, I think 

703
00:37:12,880 --> 00:37:15,960
Ben and Ben and Mark Ben 
Horowitz and Mark Andreessen are

704
00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:19,800
very savvy marketers. 
I think they had an LP meeting 

705
00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:23,160
where they they opened it up. 
We're not thinking about going 

706
00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:26,360
public, which of course, you 
know, raises the like, right. 

707
00:37:26,880 --> 00:37:28,040
Oh, was it you bring? 
Up. 

708
00:37:28,440 --> 00:37:29,720
Right. 
You know, it's like we're not, 

709
00:37:29,720 --> 00:37:32,280
we're not doing it, but oh, was 
it on people's minds, you know? 

710
00:37:32,280 --> 00:37:34,880
Questions about my Not Going 
Public shirt are answered by my 

711
00:37:34,880 --> 00:37:38,040
Yeah, I've answered. 
By not public shirt so so you 

712
00:37:38,040 --> 00:37:39,800
know, they're all 
professionalizing, they're 

713
00:37:39,800 --> 00:37:43,400
hiring, you know, people from, 
you know, Blackstone and big 

714
00:37:43,400 --> 00:37:45,440
private equity. 
They're getting wealth managers,

715
00:37:45,440 --> 00:37:48,240
they're pursuing multiple 
strategies. 

716
00:37:49,160 --> 00:37:52,160
And so it's just going to be 
interesting to watch this asset 

717
00:37:52,160 --> 00:37:54,200
class grow up. 
I do think, you know, small 

718
00:37:54,200 --> 00:37:58,880
venture capital firms are so 
important for the VC ethos that 

719
00:37:59,000 --> 00:38:04,080
that the sort of power struggle 
between mega funds and and small

720
00:38:04,080 --> 00:38:06,000
firms will be interesting to 
watch. 

721
00:38:06,280 --> 00:38:10,280
And then the final point is just
if you're in Silicon Valley, you

722
00:38:10,280 --> 00:38:13,400
got to sort of breathe a sigh of
relief that firms like 

723
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:16,480
Lightspeed have all this money 
because their job is to deploy 

724
00:38:16,480 --> 00:38:17,760
it. 
And so even if we're in a 

725
00:38:17,760 --> 00:38:22,320
bubble, if the public market 
bursts tomorrow, Lightspeed 

726
00:38:22,320 --> 00:38:25,760
still has all this money pretty 
locked up now. 

727
00:38:25,800 --> 00:38:29,600
You know, they can slow down for
six months, but they're probably

728
00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:32,160
going to deploy it at a fairly 
steady pace. 

729
00:38:32,160 --> 00:38:35,440
So the fact that all this money 
has been put into a venture 

730
00:38:35,440 --> 00:38:39,040
capital firm is a sign that as 
much as people yelled out, yell 

731
00:38:39,040 --> 00:38:42,160
about a bubble, at least on the 
private markets, there's plenty 

732
00:38:42,160 --> 00:38:46,560
of money to keep investing in 
startups and keep keep some of 

733
00:38:46,560 --> 00:38:49,680
the activity level. 
If you know Anthropic, Open AI 

734
00:38:49,680 --> 00:38:53,240
or NVIDIA, you know, correct, 
Maybe that means, you know, 

735
00:38:53,240 --> 00:38:56,480
Lightspeed and others shift more
money to new companies or, you 

736
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:59,680
know, the big companies stay 
private and they gobble up a lot

737
00:38:59,680 --> 00:39:02,240
of the money and then not as 
much for startups. 

738
00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:05,360
But it's it's a large pool of 
money available to the startup 

739
00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:08,640
ecosystem, which gives some 
confidence that, you know, 

740
00:39:08,720 --> 00:39:11,040
Silicon Valley's not going away 
anytime soon. 

741
00:39:11,360 --> 00:39:14,080
At the very least, it kind of 
papers over this narrative that 

742
00:39:14,080 --> 00:39:16,480
we keep coming across, which is 
that we're actually in a down 

743
00:39:16,480 --> 00:39:19,440
cycle for startups. 
And you know, a lot of people 

744
00:39:19,440 --> 00:39:21,720
are are like companies are 
struggling to raise funds. 

745
00:39:21,720 --> 00:39:24,760
And we had Kate Clark on here a 
couple of months ago talking 

746
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:28,000
about, you know, the plight of a
lot of these early stage, you 

747
00:39:28,000 --> 00:39:31,480
know, a round funds, which is a 
real thing, but no one really 

748
00:39:31,640 --> 00:39:33,920
pays attention to it. 
When you can see the light 

749
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:36,640
speeds of the world raising 
multi $1,000,000 funds and 

750
00:39:36,640 --> 00:39:39,880
startups reaching these half 
trillion dollar valuations, it's

751
00:39:39,880 --> 00:39:42,240
like that's the recession right 
now. 

752
00:39:42,240 --> 00:39:44,400
It's like companies worth 
hundreds of billions of dollars 

753
00:39:44,400 --> 00:39:46,840
is a recession, which, you know,
there's a very strong case to 

754
00:39:46,840 --> 00:39:50,680
make that it is one, but it just
doesn't compute with, you know, 

755
00:39:50,680 --> 00:39:53,400
money still flooding into a 
small number of megaphones. 

756
00:39:53,440 --> 00:39:56,520
Well, before we wrap up on 
Lightspeed, Tom, what's your 

757
00:39:56,760 --> 00:39:58,680
Snapchat story? 
Sure. 

758
00:39:58,680 --> 00:40:03,360
So famously Snapchat their first
investor was was Lightspeed and 

759
00:40:03,640 --> 00:40:08,080
the story actually goes that. 
It's the Barry Eggers see like 

760
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:10,640
one of the early kind of Cove 
Cove cofounding partners of of 

761
00:40:10,640 --> 00:40:14,320
Lightspeed. 
His daughter was in high school 

762
00:40:14,320 --> 00:40:17,000
and she was using Snapchat and 
she would come home and be like 

763
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:18,560
dad, dad, dad. 
There's this funny app that 

764
00:40:18,560 --> 00:40:20,600
everyone's using where he 
message and it disappears and 

765
00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:21,920
it's like he's like, isn't that 
for sexting? 

766
00:40:21,920 --> 00:40:24,560
She's like, dad, there's this 
really cool app that everyone's 

767
00:40:24,560 --> 00:40:28,480
using. 
And so they were begging Evan, 

768
00:40:28,480 --> 00:40:31,000
who didn't he, he didn't like 
the Evan Spiegel. 

769
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:33,240
He hated VC firms. 
And so he never wanted to 

770
00:40:33,240 --> 00:40:37,000
provide any sort of access to, 
to, to a lot of funds. 

771
00:40:37,000 --> 00:40:38,600
But eventually they broke him 
down. 

772
00:40:38,880 --> 00:40:42,480
And Jeremy Liu, who is now kind 
of somewhat associated with 

773
00:40:42,480 --> 00:40:45,200
Lightspeed, but fairly not. 
He's he's mostly retired. 

774
00:40:45,440 --> 00:40:48,800
Yeah, he was able to convince 
him to invest, but Evan hated 

775
00:40:48,800 --> 00:40:52,640
the terms and he kind of felt 
that they had him like bent over

776
00:40:52,640 --> 00:40:55,680
a barrel and got too much 
control, which, you know, that 

777
00:40:55,680 --> 00:40:59,120
whole mindset from Evan ended up
being like kind of a horrible 

778
00:40:59,120 --> 00:41:01,440
aspect of Snapchat. 
I mean, he maintains. 

779
00:41:01,760 --> 00:41:04,160
The company public performance 
has been terrible, right? 

780
00:41:04,320 --> 00:41:06,040
Because. 
He has total control over it and

781
00:41:06,040 --> 00:41:08,080
so basically. 
No one can do anything. 

782
00:41:08,400 --> 00:41:10,520
Yeah, no. 
Shareholders, you can't fire the

783
00:41:10,520 --> 00:41:12,680
guy and he's running the company
in the way that he's running. 

784
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:15,120
I'm not going to make a 
judgment, but but anyway, it's 

785
00:41:15,120 --> 00:41:17,040
kind of like a seed of 
destruction anyway. 

786
00:41:17,200 --> 00:41:20,360
It's worth it was once like, you
know, one of the sexiest social 

787
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:22,760
media companies in the world. 
He could have sold it. 

788
00:41:22,920 --> 00:41:25,280
It's worth $13 billion. 
He probably could have sold it 

789
00:41:25,280 --> 00:41:29,680
for 13 billion. 
In like 2016 or 2017, yeah. 

790
00:41:29,720 --> 00:41:32,520
I mean, Facebook was going to 
buy it for like a single digit 

791
00:41:32,520 --> 00:41:34,840
billions at one point. 
But at the top, at, you know, at

792
00:41:34,840 --> 00:41:37,800
the top of the market during 
the, the, the pandemic, I think 

793
00:41:37,800 --> 00:41:40,640
it was close to 100 billion. 
So it's it's a disaster. 

794
00:41:40,920 --> 00:41:44,640
But anyway, you know, Lightspeed
ends up having a huge falling 

795
00:41:44,640 --> 00:41:46,440
out with Evan because he hated 
the terms. 

796
00:41:46,440 --> 00:41:49,080
It was kind of like a Motown 
artist who, you know, felt that 

797
00:41:49,080 --> 00:41:51,920
he was being taken advantage of 
by, you know, Berry Gordy. 

798
00:41:53,360 --> 00:41:54,760
Good reference to anyone who 
cares that. 

799
00:41:55,720 --> 00:41:56,880
Was a. 
Great reference. 

800
00:41:56,880 --> 00:42:00,840
All the best references you know
are good only to you, but yeah. 

801
00:42:00,920 --> 00:42:03,240
Sure. 
But anyway, and so, but the 

802
00:42:03,240 --> 00:42:05,880
funniest part of this whole 
story to me is that as a way of 

803
00:42:05,880 --> 00:42:07,880
like saying thank you because 
this is 1 of Lightspeed's 

804
00:42:07,880 --> 00:42:10,840
biggest early successes. 
Like it kind of puts them on the

805
00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:13,840
map and to a point that I think 
they're annoyed because they're 

806
00:42:13,840 --> 00:42:16,960
not really a consumer tech 
company is they end up. 

807
00:42:17,200 --> 00:42:20,360
So this is a high school Barry. 
Barry Edgar's daughter goes to 

808
00:42:20,360 --> 00:42:23,440
this high school in Silicon 
Valley and they happen to have 

809
00:42:23,440 --> 00:42:26,280
like some sort of an endowment 
or or some sort of fun 

810
00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:29,360
associated with the high school.
And so they actually give the 

811
00:42:29,360 --> 00:42:34,400
endowment some equity into 
Snapchat from like an A stage 

812
00:42:34,400 --> 00:42:35,960
round. 
And when the company goes 

813
00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:40,280
public, that stake ends up being
worth like 10s of millions of 

814
00:42:40,280 --> 00:42:42,640
dollars. 
And so there's like random high 

815
00:42:42,640 --> 00:42:46,040
school, relatively random high 
school at the. 

816
00:42:46,080 --> 00:42:48,160
Time Snapchat. 
Yeah, it was 1,000,000 on 

817
00:42:48,160 --> 00:42:50,360
Snapchat. 
Hopefully they sold at the IPO, 

818
00:42:50,360 --> 00:42:52,520
but. 
Yeah, anyway, they made so some 

819
00:42:52,520 --> 00:42:55,000
high school made a a shit ton of
money off of Snapchat because of

820
00:42:55,000 --> 00:42:58,240
Lightspeed, which is a firm that
Evan Spiegel hated. 

821
00:42:59,160 --> 00:43:00,920
And it's, it was one of my 
favorite stories that I wrote 

822
00:43:00,920 --> 00:43:02,640
covering Snapchat back in the 
day. 

823
00:43:02,640 --> 00:43:04,760
So anyway, there's my Lightspeed
Snapchat story. 

824
00:43:05,240 --> 00:43:06,360
Cool. 
Well, that's our episode. 

825
00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:08,960
Thanks so much. 
Thank you for tuning into this 

826
00:43:08,960 --> 00:43:11,520
week's episode of the podcast. 
If you're new here, please like 

827
00:43:11,520 --> 00:43:13,360
and subscribe. 
It really helps out the channel.

828
00:43:13,440 --> 00:43:15,680
Listen in for new episodes every
week, wherever you get your 

829
00:43:15,680 --> 00:43:16,240
podcasts.
