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Welcome back, everyone. 
I am Cass PNC. 

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I'm joined as usual, by my 
partner in crime, Mr. Bennett 

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Tomlin. 
How are you today? 

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I'm doing pretty well. 
How are you, Cass? 

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I'm doing good. 
It's an early morning here, but 

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today we're joined by a really 
special guest, somebody who's 

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going to be chatting us through 
some really fun kind of concepts

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of fraud, individuals involved 
that we, I'm surprised we 

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haven't discussed before. 
Eric Roche, how are you? 

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Today, Sir, I'm all right. 
How are you guys hanging in 

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there? 
As you said when we first jumped

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on, there's a lot of fraud in 
the world and it is hard to have

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the find the time to to 
constantly look into it, which 

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is your job. 
I reached out to you because 

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I've been reading some of your 
Elon Musk work, which has been 

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incredibly informative. 
I'm honestly shocked that 

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Bennett and I have never 
discussed. 

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I guess we've never discussed in
an episode Elon Musk and our 

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issues with him. 
I mean I've made a bunch of 

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videos. 
Yes. 

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Yes, on your personal you and I,
who I think we almost equally 

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don't like this guy have how 
avoided this topic. 

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But Eric your work on SpaceX and
some of the permitting the 

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issues around the chemicals and 
the sheer like I don't give a 

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shit about these regulations. 
Right. 

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Been on the front lines of this.
Can you talk about why you're so

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into this why you're so 
fascinated by it. 

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I. 
Actually want to start with the 

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story from 1959. 
This is actually a piece I'm 

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working on. 
We're going to go to the 

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corporate headquarters of the 
Chiso Corporation in Myan Mata 

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province in in Japan in. 
December of 1959, the CEO of the

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Chiso Corporation, which was a 
chemical company, had a big PR 

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presentation. 
The company had just installed a

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new water purification system 
for their wastewater system, and

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he famously took a glass of 
water. 

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Out of the bottom of this 
purification vessel and he drank

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it as a PR stunt. 
Just that moment in time is 

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really interesting for me 
because it was preceded by 

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multiple decades of the Chisel 
Corporation dumping organic 

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methyl mercury into the Bay of 
Me and Mata. 

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It's an organic liquid. 
It goes to the bottom. 

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It bio accumulates. 
As it kind of goes up through 

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the ecosystems, the bacteria 
will kind of incorporate the 

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methyl mercury. 
It stays in the in the cells and

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it will go up to the muscles and
then the fish. 

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Cats started eating it and they 
started showing weird symptoms 

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children. 
I'm sorry, getting sick. 

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The effects of this disease have
gone on there and it's still 

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actually going on today. 
The reason that in that moment 

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in time is so interesting is 
that is that people knew in 

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advance that there were 
problems. 

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It was very clear this is this 
was the one kind of chemical 

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dirty company in the area. 
And so it was easy for people to

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point at it. 
And what's really interesting 

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about that? 
PR event is that that was forced

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to be installed because finally 
government took action, and this

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is in 1959, but they actually 
didn't stop discharging that 

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chemical for about a decade 
afterwards. 

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And what's fascinating about it 
is that treatment technique that

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was basically to get out 
particulates. 

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Didn't actually treat the the 
methyl mercury. 

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The other reason I bring it up 
is that for the PR stunt and the

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fact it was ineffective and then
also the costs over this huge 

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period of time were were 
something that shareholders in 

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the company would have wanted to
know. 

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That's something that we would 
have wanted to discuss. 

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And so that's why my, my kind of
my my blog is kind of focused on

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these kind of ESG topics which 
has become this really kind of 

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crudely discussed topic. 
But really, it's about. 

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Disclosure and how fraudulent 
things. 

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Fraudulent risks can kind of 
manifest in ways that people 

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don't understand until after the
fact. 

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That's where I want to start off
that discussion. 

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That's an interesting story you 
told because I'm imagining this 

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executive drinking this cup of 
water to prove it's clean. 

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And I'm reminded of a more 
recent political event that kind

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of aped that same imagery. 
And I'm of course thinking of 

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Barack Obama visiting Flint, MI,
after they had completed the 

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first wave of fixing some of the
water issues and they were 

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holding this big press 
conference. 

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And he makes a big deal of 
getting this glass of water he 

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says is straight from the tap, 
and he drinks it up to prove 

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it's safe. 
Do you have any thoughts on that

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imagery, that parallel imagery 
between those two? 

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Well, the reason I brought it up
is but is specifically because 

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of that. 
Well, there's also an example 

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where Halliburton executive and 
I believe Dick Cheney was at 

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this event as well. 
They drank basically a diluted 

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version of the fracking fluid 
out of out of, you know, 

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champagne glasses. 
And I will see it safe. 

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And it's really fascinating 
because it's like, can you not 

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look at, like basically that was
the first example of that. 

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And we keep doing that. 
And Obama, I think he's kind of 

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at the inflection point of why 
we are where we are. 

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And he's a really great segue 
into like Musk and and how he's 

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become kind of untouchable. 
How are you drinking the glass 

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of water still, right. 
Because even if it even if it 

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had a toxic amount right, methyl
mercury is dangerous because it 

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accumulates slowly over time and
then works its way up to the 

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food chain. 
So you could drink glass that 

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has a decent amount of methyl 
mercury in it and like, that 

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water isn't going to do 
anything. 

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You have to drink that same 
glass of water. 

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You have to eat those shellfish 
or those oysters, you know, 

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every day for years. 
And then it builds up kind of 

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manifests in this debilitating 
disease that the Obama example 

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is exactly why I still bring 
that case up, because it's like,

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have we actually learned 
nothing? 

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I actually haven't even more 
recent example of exactly this 

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same thing, which is crazy, but 
I don't know if you guys are 

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familiar. 
There's a YouTuber named Kyle 

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Hill who does science, science, 
YouTube stuff, and he was 

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invited to Fukushima because as 
you guys know, they're going to 

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be releasing this, this 
radioactive water that they've 

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accumulated because they've, if 
anyone is unfamiliar, they've 

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had to kind of take seawater, 
pump it into this completely 

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effed up, clear reactor core, 
and basically make sure that it 

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doesn't explode again. 
And they're storing this water 

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because they don't want to just 
pump it straight out into the 

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ocean. 
Well, now they're going to be 

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pumping it straight out into the
ocean after they've tried to 

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kind of dilute it down and 
ensure that it's not super full 

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of radiation. 
But they're getting pushed back 

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from places like China and South
Korea who were saying, hey, 

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we're not going to eat your fish
anymore, we're not going to eat 

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your food anymore. 
Like this is unacceptable, what 

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you're doing. 
To be fair, I don't think this 

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is on par with any of the things
we've discussed so far. 

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I'm bringing it up because Kyle 
Hill went to a Fukushima tour 

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and they did exactly what you're
talking about. 

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They pulled out bottles of water
and said here everyone, look at 

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this radioactive water. 
It's not even radioactive. 

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You guys are fine. 
Nothing's happening. 

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You're you're not getting hit. 
Your Geiger counters aren't 

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going crazy. 
Well, it turns out that they're 

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using plastic bottles. 
So this is, I think, Theta 

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radiation. 
It doesn't go through thick 

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plastic bottle anyway. 
Like nobody is drinking it. 

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Nobody is doing like any of the 
proof isn't actually proof. 

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This is actually part of what 
we're talking about in that this

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is just PR shit, whether it's 
Obama doing it, the Fukushima 

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plant doing it, or in the 50s. 
Just so. 

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So that's the other thing. 
All right. 

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So the Fukushima water rights, 
you look at the data they've 

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presented, I actually. 
I think it's probably not a 

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problem because it's above 
background that brings with the 

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question, why do we distrust it?
Right. 

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And the Chisel Corporation is a 
perfect example. 

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Like, well, you know, the 
government's lied about this 

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before. 
It's the same thing that leads a

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lot of vaccine skepticism. 
We see about these things don't 

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just come from nowhere, right. 
So you see, you know, these 

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these kinds of paranoias, they 
they exist as kind of this 

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legacy of pastimes. 
People have lied. 

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And so I think in the, in the 
specific example of Fukushima, 

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right, like it's I think it's a 
foolish PR stunt for the 

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reasons. 
That you know I I bring up but 

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but but if you actually look at 
the data like as long as the 

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data is what they're presenting 
like the radiation is below 

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background but that skepticism 
exists because we've been lied 

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to before. 
Good to be skeptical, but also 

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create some of the more 
dangerous conspiracy type 

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thinking that that still kind of
is pervasive today. 

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So kind of speaking more to some
of those political and societal 

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features that have gotten us to 
this point where there's kind of

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this disregard for regulations 
and. 

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This emphasis on appearance of 
compliance over compliance 

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itself, Do you have thoughts and
like what specifically have 

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like, led us to this point? 
I know you guys had Jim Chanos 

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on and I remember listening to 
that episode and it's, I know 

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he's kind of talked about it 
before. 

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I worked for a basically a 
legacy company that had a lot of

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Enron assets, just the physical 
asset and you talk to people 

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that were, you know, X Enron 
employees at the time. 

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And and I think some of this is,
you know, we go back to that, 

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that 2000s era right from 
the.com blow up. 

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I'm kind of through Enron. 
On there was a real a real 

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concerted public push to you 
know finally do something 

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against wrongdoers and you know 
say what you will about the you 

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know George W Bush justice 
administration they they went 

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after, you know the head honchos
of these companies hard. 

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And I for myself, you know, kind
of fast forwarding to you know 

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someone I graduated university 
in 2006. 

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Right. 
So I'm I'm. 

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I was graduated right into the 
teeth when people really 

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starting to get laid off going 
into the, you know, the GFC, you

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know, when I was a big Obama 
supporter at the time, partially

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because of like what we need to,
you know, we need to do 

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something about all of this 
obvious criminality that led to 

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our entire. 
Global economic system blowing 

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up and then nothing happened for
me. 

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That's like the big inflection 
point that one. 

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And then kind of a more specific
example is that no big executive

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right when went to prison for 
their role in blowing up the US 

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economy and all the job losses 
and you know, death that 

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resulted. 
I think a more specific example 

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is like, if you look at like for
example, Solyndra as a perfect 

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example that was a juicy kind 
of, you know, Republican talking

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point against Obama, but really 
wasn't a good thing for to 

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happen is that we gave a 
company. 

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That had a, a technique for 
making solar cells. 

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It wasn't very good, wasn't 
proven, and they were kind of 

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just lighting money on fire. 
And that the US government under

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the Department of Energy just 
handed them $200 million and 

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they blew up kind of like within
a year, right. 

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And there's all sorts of fraud 
there that was not really ever 

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kind of sussed out. 
And so I point to those things 

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because I think that was kind of
the turning point. 

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Where we said, you know, fraud 
will kind of deal with the 

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consequences when it blows up. 
We're not going to prosecute, 

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you know, really the the kind of
the big people in charge. 

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And I think that's been policy 
through the entire Obama 

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administration. 
And then through the Trump 

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administration, I think it's 
been kind of continuous. 

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And I think that's where you see
people like your Sam Bakeman 

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Freeds, you know, your Elon 
Musk, your Elizabeth Holmes. 

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A lot of these things kind of 
stems from that. 

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I don't want to say like 
original sin. 

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I think the inflection point is 
kind of the beginning of Obama 

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administration where we said we 
need to keep. 

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You know, the economy going 
forward and we're not going to, 

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you know, destroy our big 
companies, our special boys 

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because it's too difficult to 
deal with the fallout. 

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And we're just going to kind of 
let things just go along. 

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And I think that's kind of a 
great explanation of why we are 

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where we are. 
Do you think that people like 

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00:10:49,650 --> 00:10:52,850
your Elon Musk's or, you know, 
your Elizabeth Holmes? 

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00:10:52,850 --> 00:10:54,690
Whatever. 
Do you think these these people 

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actually saw that? 
And we're like, oh, this is an 

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opportunity have free reign. 
Like, who cares if I make a 

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completely false statement about
when a product is going to 

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launch or if it's effective, or 
if, if I've gotten all the right

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00:11:07,130 --> 00:11:09,930
permits and stuff, I can just do
whatever I want and nothing is 

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going to happen to me. 
And great. 

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00:11:11,810 --> 00:11:14,330
I mean, obviously something did 
happen with Elizabeth Holmes, 

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but I'm just do you think that 
there was actually like a click 

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in their brains to be like, oh 
fuck, I can commit fraud now. 

239
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I think it was an iteration 
process, if that makes sense, 

240
00:11:23,500 --> 00:11:24,780
right. 
You ratchet up, right. 

241
00:11:24,780 --> 00:11:27,300
If you say why I'm gonna take 
this risk, I'm gonna take this 

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00:11:27,300 --> 00:11:28,500
risk. 
I'm gonna take this risk. 

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And then if you never there are 
any consequences for it. 

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So I think you know people like,
you know, Musk drives me wild. 

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I can't I can't stand kind of a 
lot of the things he does. 

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00:11:37,220 --> 00:11:39,780
But like, he's a creation of of 
that ratcheting. 

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I point to him because I think 
he's kind of like the endpoint 

248
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or almost like, you know, it's 
like, well, how can it get more 

249
00:11:44,100 --> 00:11:45,300
absurd than this? 
But it's not like. 

250
00:11:45,420 --> 00:11:48,820
He's alone out there, right? 
Even among people who have not 

251
00:11:48,820 --> 00:11:51,260
really been punished, like we 
talked about, like Travis 

252
00:11:51,260 --> 00:11:53,540
Kalaknik's great example at 
Uber, right? 

253
00:11:53,540 --> 00:11:56,620
You know, there were all these 
regulations and sometimes they 

254
00:11:56,620 --> 00:11:59,180
were, you know, really just 
protection rackets towards, you 

255
00:11:59,180 --> 00:12:02,500
know, taxis and bigger cities. 
But they said we are, we are 

256
00:12:02,500 --> 00:12:05,180
literally going to come in and 
not comply with the rules. 

257
00:12:05,180 --> 00:12:06,860
And I dare you to stop us. 
And they. 

258
00:12:07,280 --> 00:12:09,480
Kind of didn't stop them. 
I think it's just toddler 

259
00:12:09,480 --> 00:12:11,560
pushing boundaries or whatever 
you want to call it. 

260
00:12:11,560 --> 00:12:14,560
You know, maybe the Velociraptor
and the original Jurassic Park 

261
00:12:14,560 --> 00:12:16,480
testing the fence over and over 
again, right? 

262
00:12:16,480 --> 00:12:17,800
And you look for those 
boundaries. 

263
00:12:18,210 --> 00:12:20,690
If there's no punishment for it,
then you just keep pushing it 

264
00:12:20,690 --> 00:12:23,090
and pushing it and pushing it. 
And I think that's a great 

265
00:12:23,090 --> 00:12:25,570
explanation of why we are where 
we are. 

266
00:12:25,570 --> 00:12:27,770
And that's like a huge part of 
the crypto story. 

267
00:12:27,850 --> 00:12:31,130
You don't have guardrails 
regulatory or otherwise 

268
00:12:31,130 --> 00:12:34,170
institutional and people just 
keep pushing and and we end up 

269
00:12:34,330 --> 00:12:36,890
with Sam Bankman Freed's it's 
something I haven't thought 

270
00:12:36,890 --> 00:12:39,450
about before but I'm actually 
now curious like as you're 

271
00:12:39,450 --> 00:12:42,530
describing this right like we 
have this kind of golden age of 

272
00:12:42,530 --> 00:12:44,410
fraud. 
We see it play out it takes a 

273
00:12:44,410 --> 00:12:48,650
long time as you ratchet, it's 
ratcheting up right weseethe.com

274
00:12:48,650 --> 00:12:51,290
bubble. 
We see the 08 financial crisis 

275
00:12:51,370 --> 00:12:54,930
and I'm wondering if it was 
contained, if the massive frauds

276
00:12:55,050 --> 00:12:59,010
were more or less contained to 
the giant capital capitalistic 

277
00:12:59,010 --> 00:13:03,370
country that has always striven 
for making the most money and 

278
00:13:03,490 --> 00:13:06,700
being the most productive. 
And then crypto kind of has 

279
00:13:06,700 --> 00:13:10,500
globalized this fraud in that 
like it seems like it's 

280
00:13:10,540 --> 00:13:12,140
everywhere now. 
Like this is not. 

281
00:13:12,380 --> 00:13:15,140
We've got one coin. 
We've got like numerous, 

282
00:13:15,140 --> 00:13:18,060
numerous frauds that are 
transpiring in big ways. 

283
00:13:18,300 --> 00:13:21,420
Hindenburg Research does really 
good, really good work on 

284
00:13:21,860 --> 00:13:25,340
international fraud, whether 
it's in India or Europe or 

285
00:13:25,340 --> 00:13:27,540
America, right. 
And and I'm just wondering if 

286
00:13:27,540 --> 00:13:30,610
that was that's the inflection 
point right there is crypto is 

287
00:13:30,610 --> 00:13:34,370
like oh now fraud can be global 
as opposed to or if or if it 

288
00:13:34,570 --> 00:13:38,090
again ratchet up iterations of 
it slowly was going to happen no

289
00:13:38,090 --> 00:13:39,770
matter what? 
Maybe a little bit of both, but 

290
00:13:39,770 --> 00:13:41,250
I mean like let's not forget, 
right? 

291
00:13:41,250 --> 00:13:44,370
I mean if you look at Carson 
Block, he make his bones, you 

292
00:13:44,370 --> 00:13:48,090
know going through like these 
just hilariously obvious frauds 

293
00:13:48,450 --> 00:13:53,130
post GFC in in China because 
they were just making up just 

294
00:13:53,410 --> 00:13:56,730
entire production companies and 
industrial sectors that didn't 

295
00:13:56,730 --> 00:13:58,530
exist, right. 
I don't know if I would blame. 

296
00:13:58,610 --> 00:14:00,210
Name it on crypto. 
I think crypto is kind of 

297
00:14:00,210 --> 00:14:02,570
normalized it. 
I've seen people that I grew up 

298
00:14:02,570 --> 00:14:05,610
with being like, you know, on 
other social media sites aren't 

299
00:14:05,610 --> 00:14:07,810
like on Facebook or Instagram 
like it's almost like it's been 

300
00:14:07,810 --> 00:14:09,930
you've been able to like 
bootstrap your own like mini 

301
00:14:09,930 --> 00:14:11,730
frauds. 
I think that's, if anything, 

302
00:14:11,730 --> 00:14:13,970
that's been probably the 
innovation of crypto in that. 

303
00:14:13,970 --> 00:14:16,650
Sector, One thing that's kind of
interesting to me, and we talked

304
00:14:16,650 --> 00:14:20,210
about this when Chenos was on, 
is that most frauds do kind of 

305
00:14:20,210 --> 00:14:23,090
start with small infractions 
that eventually put you in a 

306
00:14:23,090 --> 00:14:26,810
position where you end up making
bigger and bigger infractions to

307
00:14:27,090 --> 00:14:29,290
deal with the previous things. 
That happened. 

308
00:14:29,730 --> 00:14:33,490
And sometimes when I'm silly 
enough to read the replies to 

309
00:14:33,490 --> 00:14:36,410
some of your articles and 
tweets, there's a tendency among

310
00:14:36,410 --> 00:14:41,730
certain sycophants to describe 
the violations as petty is not 

311
00:14:41,730 --> 00:14:45,890
important as insignificant 
compared to the mission of 

312
00:14:45,890 --> 00:14:49,250
SpaceX or Elon or whatever not 
deserving of consideration. 

313
00:14:49,810 --> 00:14:54,010
And I wonder if you think that 
that kind of cultural belief, 

314
00:14:54,010 --> 00:14:57,130
that idea around that type of 
petty rule breaking. 

315
00:14:57,540 --> 00:15:00,420
Creates the kind of culture that
eventually leads to, like the 

316
00:15:00,420 --> 00:15:03,500
larger macro, really big frauds.
I think it does. 

317
00:15:03,500 --> 00:15:05,740
So we talk about minor 
infractions, right? 

318
00:15:05,740 --> 00:15:08,820
Think in the United States, one 
of the cultural touchstones of, 

319
00:15:08,820 --> 00:15:11,300
you know, why we have, for 
example, environmental rules is 

320
00:15:11,300 --> 00:15:13,820
that the Cuyahoga River, which 
runs through Cleveland, was 

321
00:15:13,820 --> 00:15:16,140
catching on fire on a regular 
basis, right. 

322
00:15:16,140 --> 00:15:20,220
And that wasn't one incident of 
someone or one bad person, 

323
00:15:20,220 --> 00:15:22,260
right? 
That's that's decades of 

324
00:15:22,340 --> 00:15:24,780
probably small on the margin, 
right? 

325
00:15:25,050 --> 00:15:26,730
Discharges. 
And they add up over time, 

326
00:15:26,770 --> 00:15:28,530
right? 
And so we have these rules and 

327
00:15:28,530 --> 00:15:31,210
you fix stuff and you kind of or
you fix stuff or you prove it, 

328
00:15:31,410 --> 00:15:33,170
you know greatly. 
And then it's like, well why 

329
00:15:33,170 --> 00:15:36,250
can't we, why can't we ratchet 
back up and it's like, well the 

330
00:15:36,250 --> 00:15:41,130
rules are say no discharges 
without XYZ and if you say well.

331
00:15:41,540 --> 00:15:43,660
Except for in the case where 
it's like my my favorite 

332
00:15:43,660 --> 00:15:46,580
billionaire wants to do it or 
whatever, then, then, like if 

333
00:15:46,580 --> 00:15:48,740
you're selectively enforcing 
rules, then they don't 

334
00:15:48,940 --> 00:15:51,020
effectively exist. 
I think there's certainly some 

335
00:15:51,020 --> 00:15:52,940
of that. 
But when it comes to like, what?

336
00:15:53,060 --> 00:15:57,340
What Musk is saying, what people
that you know go go out and and 

337
00:15:57,420 --> 00:15:58,900
and advocate for them. 
Social media is like 

338
00:15:58,900 --> 00:16:01,260
democratized it right Where it's
like used to have like people go

339
00:16:01,260 --> 00:16:03,980
on TV and yell it right or 
whatever on behalf of the 

340
00:16:03,980 --> 00:16:06,220
Heartland Institute or ever, 
whoever it is. 

341
00:16:06,560 --> 00:16:08,480
But now it's just kind of been 
like spread around. 

342
00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:11,600
We talk about Musk like I'm like
screaming about like ESG or like

343
00:16:11,600 --> 00:16:14,280
the regulators or whatever. 
It's like it's like literally 

344
00:16:14,280 --> 00:16:17,400
talking points that Koch 
brothers would use in the 1980s.

345
00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:19,600
You know, they're kind of the, 
the stereotypical like liberal 

346
00:16:19,600 --> 00:16:21,240
bogeyman, although I think 
they're a little more 

347
00:16:21,240 --> 00:16:23,400
complicated than people like to 
make him out to be. 

348
00:16:23,400 --> 00:16:26,920
They had a refinery in Minnesota
that basically a big nitrate or 

349
00:16:26,920 --> 00:16:31,680
ammonia ongoing discharge for 
years plumes and the cost to 

350
00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,200
install I think was like a 
distillation unit or some some 

351
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:36,400
sort of separator unit to be 
able to you know. 

352
00:16:36,560 --> 00:16:39,520
Prevent this kind of underground
plume of discharge would would 

353
00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:42,880
cost like say $200 million 
federal fines were like would 

354
00:16:42,880 --> 00:16:45,520
Max out at like $10 million a 
year and they would say, well, 

355
00:16:45,600 --> 00:16:48,880
you know, I could spend this 
money on this equipment or I 

356
00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:50,200
could just pay the fine. 
Right. 

357
00:16:50,240 --> 00:16:52,320
And they made a rational 
argument, well, I'm just going 

358
00:16:52,320 --> 00:16:54,800
to pay the fine because there's 
no other consequence, right. 

359
00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:57,960
There's no like escalation that 
doesn't get into like criminal 

360
00:16:57,960 --> 00:17:01,920
stuff because there's too many 
layers of separation and Co 

361
00:17:01,920 --> 00:17:03,560
companies too. 
I mean, I don't want to say to 

362
00:17:03,560 --> 00:17:05,359
their credit at some point 
they're like, well, this is 

363
00:17:05,359 --> 00:17:07,640
actually there's. 
There's externalities we haven't

364
00:17:07,640 --> 00:17:10,400
thought about. 
You know, reputational risks 

365
00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:12,960
like this can start to create 
other types of fraud. 

366
00:17:13,280 --> 00:17:16,880
Turns out companies that say, 
you know, screw off to the 

367
00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:19,760
rules, they tend to actually 
perform worse economically. 

368
00:17:19,760 --> 00:17:21,880
There's some studies on there, 
that company and even the Koch 

369
00:17:21,920 --> 00:17:24,640
brothers themselves kind of walk
back that aggressive stance, but

370
00:17:24,640 --> 00:17:26,690
it's kind of. 
Coming back and just really 

371
00:17:26,690 --> 00:17:29,690
interesting to see it from like 
kind of the original, like 

372
00:17:29,810 --> 00:17:34,170
greenwashing, yes, soaking up 
ESG dollars type of guy in Musk.

373
00:17:34,170 --> 00:17:36,250
So I I find it really 
fascinating. 

374
00:17:36,250 --> 00:17:38,770
But it's cyclical. 
These types of issues kind of 

375
00:17:38,770 --> 00:17:42,170
express themselves in different 
ways as we go forward in time. 

376
00:17:42,250 --> 00:17:46,890
We had this last launch of the 
Starship or whatever they're 

377
00:17:46,890 --> 00:17:51,130
calling it and it exploded and 
kind of sent debris across a 

378
00:17:51,170 --> 00:17:57,210
widespread area in Texas. 
And as as Bennett was suggesting

379
00:17:57,210 --> 00:18:00,490
here we had sink a fans and and 
and other people who were just 

380
00:18:00,490 --> 00:18:02,010
kind of like what's the big 
deal? 

381
00:18:02,010 --> 00:18:05,450
Like chill out man. 
It's just an explosion just some

382
00:18:05,570 --> 00:18:07,850
normal like plastics in the air 
whatever. 

383
00:18:07,850 --> 00:18:09,810
Like they're just like metal and
like who cares. 

384
00:18:09,810 --> 00:18:12,730
Whereas you were pointing to 
some serious issues that could 

385
00:18:12,730 --> 00:18:15,410
be going on. 
Plus you pointed to serious 

386
00:18:15,410 --> 00:18:19,050
issues with the launch site 
itself that need to be like, 

387
00:18:19,050 --> 00:18:21,930
definitely need to be fixed and 
should have been fixed long 

388
00:18:21,930 --> 00:18:23,610
before this launch took place. 
Right. 

389
00:18:24,050 --> 00:18:26,930
But I don't know if you got to 
see this, but there was a piece 

390
00:18:27,010 --> 00:18:30,370
of footage floating around 
featuring Elon Musk at the All 

391
00:18:30,370 --> 00:18:33,050
In Summit, And one of the things
they were asking about was like,

392
00:18:33,170 --> 00:18:36,770
OK, so you guys have put this 
star, this Starship back up and 

393
00:18:36,770 --> 00:18:39,330
you're ready to launch again. 
Why haven't you launched it yet?

394
00:18:39,330 --> 00:18:40,650
When are you going to launch 
this thing? 

395
00:18:40,810 --> 00:18:43,050
And he's like, well, we're just 
waiting for the FAA to approve 

396
00:18:43,050 --> 00:18:44,610
it. 
There's no pushback after that, 

397
00:18:44,610 --> 00:18:46,090
right? 
The excuses. 

398
00:18:46,370 --> 00:18:48,370
Oh, well, they're, they haven't 
approved it yet. 

399
00:18:48,370 --> 00:18:50,810
Like, this is on the government.
It's not on me. 

400
00:18:51,230 --> 00:18:53,950
But nobody's asking why aren't 
they letting you launch it yet? 

401
00:18:53,990 --> 00:18:56,310
It's just fascinating to me 
that, like, the questioning 

402
00:18:56,310 --> 00:18:59,430
stops with like, I blame the 
government and everyone's like, 

403
00:18:59,430 --> 00:19:00,790
Oh yeah, me too. 
Right, Right. 

404
00:19:00,830 --> 00:19:02,670
Do you want to go into why 
they're not letting him? 

405
00:19:02,670 --> 00:19:03,750
Oh, yeah. 
You want to like? 

406
00:19:04,110 --> 00:19:05,510
Yeah, sure. 
The whole thing was just 

407
00:19:05,510 --> 00:19:08,870
incredible to hear for me. 
Well, first of all, that site 

408
00:19:08,870 --> 00:19:11,590
should have not been approved in
the manner it was in the 1st 

409
00:19:11,590 --> 00:19:13,390
place. 
And there's some real issues 

410
00:19:13,390 --> 00:19:15,790
that the the basics were is that
you know when they're first 

411
00:19:15,790 --> 00:19:18,590
getting approval to kind of 
upgrade the site to be able to 

412
00:19:18,590 --> 00:19:21,510
launch the biggest rocket in 
history, they went through and 

413
00:19:21,510 --> 00:19:24,750
they they did a a process under 
a law called NEPA which. 

414
00:19:25,190 --> 00:19:27,110
Napa has its problems, but it is
what it is. 

415
00:19:27,110 --> 00:19:31,270
Asks you if your if your project
is going to have a significant 

416
00:19:31,270 --> 00:19:33,790
impact to the environment, you 
have to go through this very 

417
00:19:33,790 --> 00:19:35,470
long process. 
If it's going to only have a 

418
00:19:36,070 --> 00:19:39,390
less than significant impact, 
you can do a bridge process. 

419
00:19:39,860 --> 00:19:42,700
And so this rocket, right, which
we've already seen some of the 

420
00:19:42,700 --> 00:19:46,620
fallouts for the law requires 
you just disclose the impacts. 

421
00:19:46,620 --> 00:19:49,980
And So what they did is, is they
effectively greenwashed or kind 

422
00:19:49,980 --> 00:19:52,900
of minimize the actual impact. 
So they could claim that this 

423
00:19:52,900 --> 00:19:55,140
would be an insignificant 
impact, which is. 

424
00:19:55,620 --> 00:19:58,060
Kind of laughable on its face 
when you look at it and the 

425
00:19:58,060 --> 00:20:01,180
reason is their launch site is 
on like it's under 20 acres 

426
00:20:01,180 --> 00:20:05,300
surrounded by land that is, you 
know, protected wildlife 

427
00:20:05,300 --> 00:20:08,260
habitat, it's beaches that is 
used for the public. 

428
00:20:08,260 --> 00:20:10,980
It's owned by the state of Texas
and the federal government, They

429
00:20:10,980 --> 00:20:13,220
don't own the land that they're 
kind of impacting. 

430
00:20:13,220 --> 00:20:15,980
If you if you compare it to like
one of the big rocket launch 

431
00:20:15,980 --> 00:20:19,060
sites at Kennedy Space Center, 
like the actual launch site is 

432
00:20:19,060 --> 00:20:22,900
like something like, you know, 5
to 10 times bigger by area, 

433
00:20:22,900 --> 00:20:24,420
right. 
And that's area that's totally 

434
00:20:24,420 --> 00:20:26,830
controlled. 
And then those externalities on 

435
00:20:26,830 --> 00:20:30,350
top of the rocket spill out over
into more area that's owned by 

436
00:20:30,350 --> 00:20:32,390
NASA. 
And what So what what SpaceX is 

437
00:20:32,390 --> 00:20:34,870
doing is they've got this little
postage stamp kind of that's 

438
00:20:34,870 --> 00:20:37,510
surrounded by land that they 
don't own or control and they're

439
00:20:37,510 --> 00:20:39,270
kind of spilling their 
externalities on it and they're 

440
00:20:39,270 --> 00:20:41,070
not doing a great job of 
disclosing it. 

441
00:20:41,070 --> 00:20:44,390
I knew the reason when they did 
this first launch the the kind 

442
00:20:44,390 --> 00:20:47,520
of one of the big issues was 
that they didn't have kind of 

443
00:20:47,520 --> 00:20:51,200
the flowing water deluge or 
systems to manage and channel 

444
00:20:51,200 --> 00:20:54,000
that the the flames, they were 
just launching off what you call

445
00:20:54,000 --> 00:20:56,840
like a milk stool stool. 
All these people on the Internet

446
00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,280
were like, well, of course they 
don't need this deluge system or

447
00:20:59,280 --> 00:21:02,680
this, you know, flame diverter 
system because, you know, SpaceX

448
00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:04,320
has the smartest engineers in 
the world. 

449
00:21:04,320 --> 00:21:06,800
And so why would they. 
And I looked at, well, they 

450
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:08,480
would have these extra 
permitting requirements. 

451
00:21:08,480 --> 00:21:11,000
Then they said they wouldn't do 
this and and this would take 

452
00:21:11,000 --> 00:21:13,320
them years to get approval. 
And the reason they're doing it 

453
00:21:13,320 --> 00:21:15,480
is for expediency. 
It's not because they've 

454
00:21:15,480 --> 00:21:17,040
actually sat through and modeled
it. 

455
00:21:17,360 --> 00:21:19,760
And I had people screaming at 
me, you know, before the launch.

456
00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:21,160
And then sure enough, the launch
happened. 

457
00:21:21,160 --> 00:21:23,800
And they to be clear, you know, 
you know, Cass, you brought up, 

458
00:21:23,840 --> 00:21:25,560
you know, the the rocket 
exploding. 

459
00:21:25,600 --> 00:21:28,520
The issue was with with the 
rocket exploding was that the 

460
00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:31,440
the system to automatically 
terminate the rocket didn't fire

461
00:21:31,440 --> 00:21:33,440
off. 
But but exploding in the air was

462
00:21:33,440 --> 00:21:35,920
actually kind of a known and 
expected outcome. 

463
00:21:35,920 --> 00:21:38,200
So I'm not actually shocked by 
that part, but the actual 

464
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:41,400
impacts on the ground for them, 
like blasting this launchpad 

465
00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:44,240
right into smithereens. 
They sent just like tons of 

466
00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:47,120
debris out into the wetlands, 
into this protected area, kind 

467
00:21:47,120 --> 00:21:50,720
of a big cloud of dust, made it 
into, you know, a city that's 

468
00:21:50,720 --> 00:21:55,880
like 5 miles away, is that those
impacts were as a result of not 

469
00:21:56,000 --> 00:21:58,400
building the infrastructure they
should have had, which is, you 

470
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:01,200
know, kind of this water deluge 
system and this flame diverter 

471
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:03,240
system. 
And they didn't disclose that as

472
00:22:03,240 --> 00:22:05,520
a possible outcome. 
So in this, in this document, 

473
00:22:05,520 --> 00:22:07,680
when they were getting 
authorization, they didn't ever 

474
00:22:07,680 --> 00:22:11,280
describe, you know, these area 
impacts to this very sensitive 

475
00:22:11,280 --> 00:22:12,120
wetland. 
Right. 

476
00:22:12,120 --> 00:22:14,600
A lot of the area kind of for 
context, people like, oh, it's 

477
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:17,840
just rocks or dirt, is that it's
a, you know, an algal wetland. 

478
00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:20,600
And so you've got this thin 
algae crust that can take 

479
00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:22,760
decades to form. 
So what they did, what is their 

480
00:22:22,760 --> 00:22:25,360
impacts were not properly 
modeled, they weren't properly 

481
00:22:25,360 --> 00:22:27,480
disclosed. 
And then when they, you know, 

482
00:22:27,480 --> 00:22:29,880
kind of mess up, they're like, 
well, we're just going to rush 

483
00:22:29,880 --> 00:22:31,840
back to launch. 
And and part of the problem is 

484
00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:34,680
that one of the solutions that 
they did implement for this 

485
00:22:34,680 --> 00:22:37,320
upcoming launches, you know 
this, this water dilute system 

486
00:22:37,320 --> 00:22:40,240
which they should have had. 
But it turns out that the water 

487
00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,480
that's coming off this, which is
what we would call, you know, 

488
00:22:42,480 --> 00:22:44,800
industrial treatment water, is 
now just being allowed to just 

489
00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:48,830
run directly into a wetland 
that's protected under the Clean

490
00:22:48,830 --> 00:22:50,910
Water Act. 
And they've not gotten a permit 

491
00:22:50,910 --> 00:22:52,430
for it. 
They need to have one, but they 

492
00:22:52,430 --> 00:22:54,190
haven't. 
So it's just this kind of 

493
00:22:54,270 --> 00:22:57,750
ongoing, you know, whack A mole.
If they picked a site that was 

494
00:22:57,750 --> 00:23:01,190
inappropriately sized and set up
for what they wanted to do, and 

495
00:23:01,190 --> 00:23:05,510
instead of addressing it years 
ago, how do we develop this site

496
00:23:05,510 --> 00:23:07,350
in a way that is consistent with
our peers? 

497
00:23:07,350 --> 00:23:08,710
And it's legal. 
They're just like, well, let's 

498
00:23:08,710 --> 00:23:09,910
try this. 
Let's try this, right. 

499
00:23:09,910 --> 00:23:12,350
Let's try this. 
And when someone holds them up 

500
00:23:12,350 --> 00:23:15,390
and says no, the law clearly 
says you must do XYZ. 

501
00:23:15,780 --> 00:23:17,540
And that's when Musk takes a 
Twitter and just starts 

502
00:23:17,540 --> 00:23:20,460
screaming at people. 
And I don't ultimately know if 

503
00:23:20,460 --> 00:23:24,180
there will be a hold up from it.
There should be, but that's, I 

504
00:23:24,180 --> 00:23:26,860
mean, I guess that's kind of the
that's kind of the short and 

505
00:23:26,860 --> 00:23:30,180
dirty explanation of of kind of 
what's going on and why it's a 

506
00:23:30,180 --> 00:23:32,460
problem. 
Much as Bennett and I don't like

507
00:23:32,460 --> 00:23:35,820
Elon Musk, it seems like you're 
even admitting here that, like, 

508
00:23:35,820 --> 00:23:38,660
this isn't a Musk issue. 
This is like a regulatory issue.

509
00:23:38,860 --> 00:23:40,940
This is this has very little to 
do with like. 

510
00:23:41,260 --> 00:23:43,700
While Musk might be the one 
breaking the rules, if they're 

511
00:23:43,700 --> 00:23:46,100
not going to do anything about 
it, it doesn't really matter if 

512
00:23:46,100 --> 00:23:48,740
he's breaking the rules, right? 
That's actually a great way to 

513
00:23:48,740 --> 00:23:50,580
put it. 
He doesn't in such an outrageous

514
00:23:50,580 --> 00:23:53,220
manner that it's almost like I'm
glad that he's there. 

515
00:23:53,220 --> 00:23:56,100
Because you know if and when 
there's a big consequence from 

516
00:23:56,100 --> 00:23:58,220
something that he does, then we 
can point to that. 

517
00:23:58,220 --> 00:24:00,780
There are plenty of executives, 
including at companies that are 

518
00:24:00,780 --> 00:24:02,180
well run, that I would invest 
it. 

519
00:24:02,180 --> 00:24:04,820
They don't have the public's 
best interest at heart, right? 

520
00:24:04,820 --> 00:24:07,740
But they they know well enough. 
But at least pretend to play the

521
00:24:07,740 --> 00:24:11,540
game on the surface and kind of 
Musk is unique because he he's 

522
00:24:11,700 --> 00:24:14,740
he really is like I'm not even 
going to play the game and so 

523
00:24:15,180 --> 00:24:18,060
it's kind of helped him be able 
to like kind of bully people 

524
00:24:18,340 --> 00:24:21,660
into into giving way to him. 
I think when there is blowback, 

525
00:24:21,660 --> 00:24:23,620
I think it'll be bad for him 
because the reason that 

526
00:24:23,620 --> 00:24:26,820
companies right do fraud and 
kind of a grandeur level, like 

527
00:24:26,820 --> 00:24:30,250
the CEO isn't going out and 
saying hey you need to do this 

528
00:24:30,250 --> 00:24:33,050
fraud right. 
The CEO says I need you to make 

529
00:24:33,050 --> 00:24:36,010
numbers this this quarter and I 
don't care how it happens and it

530
00:24:36,010 --> 00:24:39,250
gets down to the you know the 
director level and the VP level 

531
00:24:39,250 --> 00:24:42,370
and then the operating manager 
is like, well I I have to make 

532
00:24:42,370 --> 00:24:43,490
the numbers or I'm going to get 
fired. 

533
00:24:43,490 --> 00:24:45,970
I'm not going to get my bonus 
and they'll do ply chain fraud 

534
00:24:45,970 --> 00:24:47,410
or they'll they'll break the 
law. 

535
00:24:47,450 --> 00:24:49,970
You know they'll they they won't
get a regulatory clearance to do

536
00:24:49,970 --> 00:24:52,850
something. 
The the CEO is kind of buffered 

537
00:24:52,850 --> 00:24:55,770
himself from that and that's 
kind of the way that they're set

538
00:24:55,770 --> 00:24:58,110
up. 
But Musk does not believe in 

539
00:24:58,110 --> 00:25:00,310
doing that. 
I kind of weirdly respect him 

540
00:25:00,310 --> 00:25:02,270
for it, but that's kind of his 
whole thing, right? 

541
00:25:02,310 --> 00:25:05,750
So he's he's short circuited, 
that whole process, which is 

542
00:25:05,990 --> 00:25:08,630
probably good for him in the 
short term, but may not be so 

543
00:25:08,630 --> 00:25:11,030
great when there's kind of 
consequences down the road. 

544
00:25:11,110 --> 00:25:13,790
It was funny listening to you 
talk about that and executives 

545
00:25:13,790 --> 00:25:17,710
insulating themselves because in
coverage of some of the like 

546
00:25:17,710 --> 00:25:21,510
organized crime families in 
America after like Rudy started 

547
00:25:21,510 --> 00:25:24,350
going after them with Rico and 
stuff, you saw many of the 

548
00:25:24,350 --> 00:25:26,950
leaders take more deliberate 
steps to try to distance. 

549
00:25:27,110 --> 00:25:29,550
Themselves from like, the orders
that were being given and stuff 

550
00:25:29,550 --> 00:25:32,830
like that, so that it would be 
harder to pin any particular 

551
00:25:32,830 --> 00:25:35,390
crimes on them. 
And so that was just a funny 

552
00:25:35,390 --> 00:25:37,910
analog that popped into my head 
when you were telling that story

553
00:25:37,910 --> 00:25:41,870
that Musk instead insists on 
getting down there and dirty in 

554
00:25:41,870 --> 00:25:44,550
the trenches. 
Not a direct analog, obviously. 

555
00:25:44,550 --> 00:25:46,910
Musk isn't running an organized 
crime family. 

556
00:25:46,910 --> 00:25:48,710
Presumably juries would be out 
on that. 

557
00:25:48,710 --> 00:25:50,630
No, no that's that. 
That is not a presumption I 

558
00:25:50,630 --> 00:25:53,390
would make, although I have 
described as going on a multi 

559
00:25:53,390 --> 00:25:56,550
decade crime spree which I think
is supported by fact. 

560
00:25:56,550 --> 00:25:58,950
Yeah, I feel. 
Justified One of the things that

561
00:25:58,950 --> 00:26:01,910
we kind of danced around was we 
were talking about kind of 

562
00:26:01,990 --> 00:26:03,790
unequal enforcement of these 
rules. 

563
00:26:04,030 --> 00:26:06,590
And that's often kind of my 
worry here. 

564
00:26:06,590 --> 00:26:09,590
Because when you have certain 
regulations and they end up 

565
00:26:09,590 --> 00:26:14,270
applied so unequally, the 
unequalness is often a like 

566
00:26:14,390 --> 00:26:16,790
point of contention where you 
worry that resulting in 

567
00:26:16,790 --> 00:26:21,110
equalness is due to grift, graft
or other forms of corruption. 

568
00:26:21,430 --> 00:26:23,630
Right. 
And like, I think that that can 

569
00:26:23,630 --> 00:26:25,990
be seen sometimes in Musk's 
actions. 

570
00:26:26,390 --> 00:26:30,830
Where because of his size, his 
wealth, the number of 

571
00:26:30,830 --> 00:26:33,870
corporations he runs in, like 
how connected he is. 

572
00:26:34,510 --> 00:26:39,310
I think that some regulators and
prosecutors are reticent to go 

573
00:26:39,310 --> 00:26:43,030
after him because he represents 
like the case. 

574
00:26:43,150 --> 00:26:46,150
If you go after Musk, there's a 
good chance that's the case that

575
00:26:46,150 --> 00:26:48,710
defines your career. 
And if you lose it, you're 

576
00:26:48,710 --> 00:26:50,990
always going to be the guy who 
lost going after Musk and 

577
00:26:50,990 --> 00:26:54,450
couldn't even prove he did this.
Do you have any thoughts on like

578
00:26:54,450 --> 00:26:57,290
the interaction between like 
these unequal enforcement of 

579
00:26:57,290 --> 00:27:00,170
these laws and regulations and 
how it interacts with like these

580
00:27:00,170 --> 00:27:01,730
different types of companies? 
Yep. 

581
00:27:01,730 --> 00:27:04,650
And so I've worked, I've worked 
in an industry and I've also 

582
00:27:04,650 --> 00:27:08,890
been a regulator myself, a Clean
Air Act regulator. 

583
00:27:09,210 --> 00:27:12,170
And what you see is, is really 
interesting, is this dynamic. 

584
00:27:12,170 --> 00:27:15,610
The government doesn't like to 
be the one that like executes a 

585
00:27:15,610 --> 00:27:17,090
company, puts it out of 
business. 

586
00:27:17,090 --> 00:27:20,050
If it's like, you know, doing 
well, that's kind of true across

587
00:27:20,050 --> 00:27:22,210
the board. 
And so that's why small 

588
00:27:22,210 --> 00:27:25,610
companies, especially very small
companies kind of get special 

589
00:27:25,610 --> 00:27:27,810
protections and a lot of rules 
where they actually get these, 

590
00:27:27,810 --> 00:27:29,610
you know, special assistance 
programs. 

591
00:27:29,650 --> 00:27:31,610
I don't actually entirely 
disagree with it, but there, but

592
00:27:31,610 --> 00:27:35,130
there's, you know, they get kind
of some leeway before they they 

593
00:27:35,130 --> 00:27:37,690
get in trouble. 
And then the large companies 

594
00:27:37,690 --> 00:27:40,170
what happens is that a lot of 
times the regulations kind of 

595
00:27:40,170 --> 00:27:43,170
turn into taxes, right. 
And so we see right, you know 

596
00:27:43,170 --> 00:27:47,210
your Facebook, you know you have
to pay $500 million, you have to

597
00:27:47,210 --> 00:27:49,890
pay you know billions and 
billions of dollars at times. 

598
00:27:50,170 --> 00:27:53,330
And these companies are making 
so much money that it's like 

599
00:27:53,330 --> 00:27:56,610
well this is just the regulatory
tax companies in the middle 

600
00:27:56,610 --> 00:27:58,970
struggle with that a little bit 
more because they can get you 

601
00:27:58,970 --> 00:28:02,210
know they can have big enough 
operations to cause issue where 

602
00:28:02,210 --> 00:28:04,170
where a regulator will feel like
they need to go after them and 

603
00:28:04,170 --> 00:28:05,970
the and the medium sized company
doesn't really have the 

604
00:28:05,970 --> 00:28:08,770
resources or the lobbying power 
to prevent it. 

605
00:28:08,770 --> 00:28:12,010
And so they get themselves into 
trouble where they they can be 

606
00:28:12,010 --> 00:28:13,370
put out of business by the 
government. 

607
00:28:13,370 --> 00:28:16,490
But I think ultimately it's that
this is, and this is kind of 

608
00:28:16,490 --> 00:28:20,850
what I talked about that kind of
like Obama neoliberal framework 

609
00:28:20,970 --> 00:28:24,050
is that we want to do all these 
great things we don't want to be

610
00:28:24,050 --> 00:28:26,290
responsible for like killing our
innovators. 

611
00:28:26,290 --> 00:28:28,770
And I think Musk has really 
weaponized that. 

612
00:28:28,770 --> 00:28:31,290
And he's been like, you know, he
goes into things and he's like 

613
00:28:31,570 --> 00:28:33,290
he's like got it. 
You know, he's got a suicide 

614
00:28:33,290 --> 00:28:35,290
vest on, right. 
It's like if you go after me at 

615
00:28:35,290 --> 00:28:37,930
all, I'm going to just, you 
know, you're going to blow up my

616
00:28:37,930 --> 00:28:39,490
company. 
Like, let's, let's see you do 

617
00:28:39,490 --> 00:28:41,500
it. 
And I think he's kind of had 

618
00:28:41,500 --> 00:28:44,380
that attitude, which is pretty 
unique because he has this 

619
00:28:44,380 --> 00:28:46,700
scale. 
But like, you couldn't levy, 

620
00:28:46,740 --> 00:28:48,620
right? 
For example, if you were to levy

621
00:28:48,980 --> 00:28:53,020
a, I don't know, a 5 or $10 
billion fine against Google, 

622
00:28:53,020 --> 00:28:54,500
like they would be really mad 
about it. 

623
00:28:54,500 --> 00:28:56,620
They'd obviously fight it, but 
they could just pay it, right? 

624
00:28:56,980 --> 00:29:01,430
If you were to levy A5 or $10 
billion penalty against Tesla, 

625
00:29:01,430 --> 00:29:02,870
like, they would have to raise 
more money. 

626
00:29:02,870 --> 00:29:04,910
They would be like, functionally
insolvent, right? 

627
00:29:05,230 --> 00:29:08,070
And so, like, there's like this,
this disconnect between the size

628
00:29:08,070 --> 00:29:10,550
of their market capitalization 
and the impacts they have on 

629
00:29:10,550 --> 00:29:14,310
kind of how investors, you know,
interface with Tesla versus the 

630
00:29:14,310 --> 00:29:17,790
actual economic realities of how
much profit they're generating. 

631
00:29:17,790 --> 00:29:19,350
So there's a lot of interesting 
dynamics. 

632
00:29:19,350 --> 00:29:22,080
But yeah, it's basically that 
the government doesn't want to 

633
00:29:22,080 --> 00:29:24,800
just be responsible for killing 
companies. 

634
00:29:24,800 --> 00:29:27,360
And so they kind of let them 
hopefully just blow up, do their

635
00:29:27,360 --> 00:29:29,720
own fraud and they come in 
afterwards and then, you know, 

636
00:29:29,720 --> 00:29:32,600
slap the cuffs on on on the guy 
in charge, right. 

637
00:29:32,600 --> 00:29:35,360
I mean, like, you know, FTX, you
don't get a better example of 

638
00:29:35,360 --> 00:29:36,960
that, right? 
You let him blow up and that's 

639
00:29:36,960 --> 00:29:40,080
like, well, this, this this bad 
terrible guy, he's he's the one 

640
00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:42,440
we're going to slap the cuffs on
him and now we're all good. 

641
00:29:42,480 --> 00:29:44,200
It's been that way for a long 
time. 

642
00:29:44,200 --> 00:29:48,420
But I would say kind of that 
that 08 to to 2010 era really is

643
00:29:48,420 --> 00:29:52,380
when it just kind of became 
formalized and then Musk is just

644
00:29:52,660 --> 00:29:55,060
kind of a natural progression 
from that. 

645
00:29:55,100 --> 00:29:57,820
As you're explaining this, all I
keep thinking about in my head 

646
00:29:57,820 --> 00:30:02,140
is one of the ways that Elon 
Musk has managed to keep his 

647
00:30:02,140 --> 00:30:07,300
company's solvent and profitable
is by accepting a shit ton of 

648
00:30:07,300 --> 00:30:09,780
government money, right. 
Like whether it's subsidies for 

649
00:30:09,820 --> 00:30:13,140
electric vehicles or we're 
talking about Starlink where 

650
00:30:13,220 --> 00:30:15,780
they are accepting government 
contracts and space. 

651
00:30:15,980 --> 00:30:18,060
Where they're accepting 
government contracts, and I 

652
00:30:18,060 --> 00:30:23,100
think I just checked and SpaceX 
made $55 million profit on $1.5 

653
00:30:23,100 --> 00:30:26,100
billion revenue last quarter. 
He's making money from the 

654
00:30:26,100 --> 00:30:28,700
government. 
So I can only assume, and maybe 

655
00:30:28,700 --> 00:30:31,740
this is presumptuous of me, but 
I can only assume that the 

656
00:30:31,740 --> 00:30:34,180
government really doesn't want 
to be embarrassed by somebody 

657
00:30:34,180 --> 00:30:37,500
that they're constantly 
providing money to to keep his 

658
00:30:37,660 --> 00:30:39,860
his enormous corporations 
propped up. 

659
00:30:40,160 --> 00:30:44,320
And while he attacks them, he 
constantly is attacking Biden or

660
00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:47,920
the Democrats or whoever he 
wants to attack at that moment. 

661
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:50,320
It sure seems like he's more 
than willing to accept money 

662
00:30:50,320 --> 00:30:52,240
from them to keep his companies 
going. 

663
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:54,920
And I I'm just curious if you 
think that plays a role these 

664
00:30:54,920 --> 00:30:57,880
government contracts in oh 
absolutely it does. 

665
00:30:57,880 --> 00:31:01,690
And and to be clear to to to 
characterize from what we've 

666
00:31:01,690 --> 00:31:04,530
seen from Spacex's own 
financials, they are not 

667
00:31:04,530 --> 00:31:06,370
anywhere close to being 
profitable. 

668
00:31:06,410 --> 00:31:10,490
They lump payments in and out to
kind of either show like they'll

669
00:31:10,490 --> 00:31:14,370
selectively say oh we were cash 
flow positive for the year. 

670
00:31:14,370 --> 00:31:16,850
They'll say it in like middle of
quarter one or whatever. 

671
00:31:16,890 --> 00:31:19,850
You're right for some bills have
to go out the door and then 

672
00:31:19,850 --> 00:31:21,210
profits you can do a lot of 
stuff. 

673
00:31:21,210 --> 00:31:23,490
The interesting thing with with 
with Tesla is that they did 

674
00:31:23,490 --> 00:31:26,050
become you know decently 
profitable. 

675
00:31:26,130 --> 00:31:28,850
I think it's at the expense of 
of releasing more models in the 

676
00:31:28,850 --> 00:31:31,090
future and I don't think it's 
going to just be failable going 

677
00:31:31,170 --> 00:31:32,490
for. 
But they were able to generate, 

678
00:31:32,490 --> 00:31:34,650
you know, they generated 
billions of dollars in profits. 

679
00:31:34,930 --> 00:31:38,370
SpaceX has absolutely not. 
They've incinerated I I've 

680
00:31:38,370 --> 00:31:41,250
estimated somewhere around 10 
billion in in invested in 

681
00:31:41,250 --> 00:31:44,290
capital and then you know 
several billion in in contract 

682
00:31:44,730 --> 00:31:46,650
payments upfront. 
So it's actually really 

683
00:31:46,650 --> 00:31:50,890
interesting because because not 
only is Musk relying on them for

684
00:31:50,890 --> 00:31:55,340
their kind of top line, but like
he's also reliant on this, this 

685
00:31:55,620 --> 00:31:59,220
ecosystem that allows that that 
I guess rewards people to 

686
00:31:59,220 --> 00:32:02,700
continue to pump capital into 
companies that don't return that

687
00:32:02,700 --> 00:32:05,020
capital ever. 
It's all connected, right. 

688
00:32:05,020 --> 00:32:09,300
It's like Musk is is paid at 
both ends and it's I I'm amazed 

689
00:32:09,300 --> 00:32:10,340
has been able to get away with 
it. 

690
00:32:10,340 --> 00:32:13,260
But it's kind of as I, as I 
said, I kind of appreciate him 

691
00:32:13,260 --> 00:32:17,860
for it because it kind of shows 
how farcical that whole circular

692
00:32:17,860 --> 00:32:21,180
economy is and then you see it 
from like every type of 

693
00:32:21,180 --> 00:32:23,500
regulator, right. 
So if you look at you know FCC 

694
00:32:23,500 --> 00:32:26,220
guys that are these really up 
and coming attorneys, they go 

695
00:32:26,220 --> 00:32:28,380
around and they turn into 
corporate counsel and then if a 

696
00:32:28,380 --> 00:32:31,060
good enough government gig shows
up and presidential 

697
00:32:31,060 --> 00:32:33,220
administration they'll they'll 
get that job. 

698
00:32:33,220 --> 00:32:36,210
And it's this this door and you 
see it, it's in, it's very true 

699
00:32:36,210 --> 00:32:41,770
in in in the FCC, FAA, FDA. 
And and as long as someone's 

700
00:32:41,770 --> 00:32:45,010
exploiting that you're going to 
have these kind of bureaucratic 

701
00:32:45,050 --> 00:32:47,490
you know enforcement mechanism, 
they're going to grind to a halt

702
00:32:47,490 --> 00:32:50,330
until the public says we have to
actually do something about it. 

703
00:32:50,370 --> 00:32:53,090
I think that's I would like to 
think that that we're at that at

704
00:32:53,290 --> 00:32:55,490
the kind of Nexus or or the peak
of that. 

705
00:32:55,490 --> 00:32:58,810
But I've been surprised before. 
So it could just continue on 

706
00:32:58,810 --> 00:33:01,330
forever or for a lot longer than
I would like. 

707
00:33:02,050 --> 00:33:03,730
And kind of like you mentioned 
we saw. 

708
00:33:04,210 --> 00:33:07,570
Forms of backsliding under Obama
and then again under Trump, 

709
00:33:07,730 --> 00:33:12,010
under both the different parties
and like my entire lifetime, 

710
00:33:12,010 --> 00:33:15,530
basically growing up to this 
point, I've been hearing the 

711
00:33:16,090 --> 00:33:20,250
narrative from at least one 
group that often in our society 

712
00:33:20,370 --> 00:33:24,130
the role of these regulations. 
Is for existing players by 

713
00:33:24,130 --> 00:33:27,490
coopting the regulatory process 
to create barriers for new 

714
00:33:27,490 --> 00:33:30,690
entries and what are basically 
just costs for themselves that 

715
00:33:30,690 --> 00:33:33,690
they can afford to pay to try to
like reduce their competition 

716
00:33:33,930 --> 00:33:37,410
and make it so that they have 
more control over the industry. 

717
00:33:37,490 --> 00:33:40,370
In view of that argument and 
what you know about regulations 

718
00:33:40,370 --> 00:33:43,690
and regulators, what do you view
is the appropriate role of 

719
00:33:43,690 --> 00:33:46,410
regulations and regulators? 
What should they be trying to 

720
00:33:46,410 --> 00:33:47,770
do? 
There's some truth to that? 

721
00:33:47,770 --> 00:33:49,290
Absolutely. 
I kind of struggle with it 

722
00:33:49,290 --> 00:33:51,850
because it has to be kind of 
both ways, right? 

723
00:33:51,890 --> 00:33:55,530
And so one example is there was 
an EPA rule that was being 

724
00:33:55,530 --> 00:33:58,410
updated back in like 2015 or 
something like that that had to 

725
00:33:58,410 --> 00:34:02,250
do with a certain very specific 
type of organic pesticide 

726
00:34:02,250 --> 00:34:05,290
manufacturing process. 
It had to do with the Clean Air 

727
00:34:05,290 --> 00:34:08,969
Act control mechanisms for if 
you had a scrubber behind a 

728
00:34:08,969 --> 00:34:10,850
relief valve or. 
And so it was just kind of 

729
00:34:10,850 --> 00:34:13,409
really esoteric process. 
And there's only like there's 

730
00:34:13,409 --> 00:34:16,610
only like 6 or 7 plants in the 
US produce this stuff. 

731
00:34:16,989 --> 00:34:19,510
And so the EPA started like 
suggesting rules and then 

732
00:34:19,510 --> 00:34:21,710
they're like, oh, actually we 
need to bring the companies that

733
00:34:21,710 --> 00:34:24,230
actually produce this product in
to make sure that we're not 

734
00:34:24,230 --> 00:34:27,550
going to make just like a 
burdensome rule where it says 

735
00:34:27,550 --> 00:34:30,870
you must do, you know, this 
exact thing with your, you know,

736
00:34:30,870 --> 00:34:32,710
pressure relief systems or 
whatever. 

737
00:34:33,030 --> 00:34:36,260
And that's actually not a bad 
thing like that's a good thing 

738
00:34:36,260 --> 00:34:38,780
because then you're you're like 
you're saying well we want to 

739
00:34:38,780 --> 00:34:41,980
make sure that it's not emitting
these hazardous chemicals but 

740
00:34:41,980 --> 00:34:44,420
also we want to make sure that 
you can actually functionally 

741
00:34:44,420 --> 00:34:46,460
run the plant. 
And so there's there's good 

742
00:34:46,460 --> 00:34:49,580
reasons to do that but it's kind
of taken on its head and and and

743
00:34:49,580 --> 00:34:52,409
what that that is exactly what 
happens is that you know 

744
00:34:52,409 --> 00:34:55,530
companies will will lobby for 
more regulations to create 

745
00:34:55,530 --> 00:34:57,330
protectionism. 
That's something that does 

746
00:34:57,330 --> 00:34:59,770
happen. 
And so to find a balance between

747
00:34:59,770 --> 00:35:02,690
that is really hard. 
It's not always perfect, but 

748
00:35:02,690 --> 00:35:05,850
that's why a lot of things need 
to be disclosed better to the to

749
00:35:05,850 --> 00:35:09,490
the public, you know, kind of 
both the rulemaking themselves 

750
00:35:09,930 --> 00:35:13,430
and then kind of required 
disclosures from company through

751
00:35:13,750 --> 00:35:16,190
mechanisms like ESG reporting 
and stuff like that. 

752
00:35:16,270 --> 00:35:19,390
And I think that there needs to 
just be more openness about how 

753
00:35:19,390 --> 00:35:21,950
it happens. 
It works both ways and there is 

754
00:35:21,950 --> 00:35:25,350
a way to kind of over regulate 
and and stifle competition. 

755
00:35:25,630 --> 00:35:28,510
But then also you have to 
realize that when people say 

756
00:35:28,510 --> 00:35:31,310
this that a lot of times they 
are complaining because it is 

757
00:35:31,310 --> 00:35:33,270
going to be a cost to them. 
I guess for like, yeah, 

758
00:35:33,270 --> 00:35:36,410
rulemaking, I would rather that 
you know, kind of on the 

759
00:35:36,410 --> 00:35:39,970
regulatory front, I would rather
regulators and this is how kind 

760
00:35:39,970 --> 00:35:42,650
of regulators operate. 
They do treat it like they're 

761
00:35:42,650 --> 00:35:45,770
like collecting their toll or 
their tax and that's not how it 

762
00:35:45,770 --> 00:35:47,450
should be. 
It should be, you know, there 

763
00:35:47,450 --> 00:35:50,730
should be some flexibility 
within the kind of outlines of 

764
00:35:50,730 --> 00:35:54,410
the rule where you know there's 
there's different ways to to 

765
00:35:54,410 --> 00:35:57,050
comply with like an end emission
standard or whatever. 

766
00:35:57,250 --> 00:36:00,570
I'm fine with that. 
But what what regulators need to

767
00:36:00,570 --> 00:36:03,050
do is that when you really step 
out of bounds and when you 

768
00:36:03,050 --> 00:36:07,000
really mess up that the 
regulator should not be afraid 

769
00:36:07,000 --> 00:36:08,920
to go and just lock the head off
of that company. 

770
00:36:08,920 --> 00:36:11,840
And I think that's something 
that we have not been able to 

771
00:36:11,840 --> 00:36:13,320
do. 
One other thing that that, you 

772
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:14,960
know, before we move on to the 
next thing is that there's been 

773
00:36:14,960 --> 00:36:18,160
this talk that like, you know, 
you know, these regulations are 

774
00:36:18,160 --> 00:36:21,840
just killing progress in the US 
and killing industrial, you 

775
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:24,800
know, progress in the US And 
that's simply not true because 

776
00:36:24,800 --> 00:36:28,600
you can look at USGDP growth. 
But even more telling is if you 

777
00:36:28,600 --> 00:36:32,640
actually look at a graph of 
liquid natural gas LNG exports 

778
00:36:33,020 --> 00:36:36,460
since like 2010, every single 
one of those plants that exports

779
00:36:36,500 --> 00:36:39,860
liquid natural gas has to go 
through this very burdensome 

780
00:36:39,860 --> 00:36:41,900
NEPA approval process through 
FERC. 

781
00:36:41,940 --> 00:36:45,540
The the energy Regulatory 
Commission that actually kind of

782
00:36:45,540 --> 00:36:48,220
got a lot of teeth post Enron 
for a very good reason. 

783
00:36:48,220 --> 00:36:50,220
But they they have to go through
this process. 

784
00:36:50,220 --> 00:36:52,780
And so it's been every single 
year we've been able to increase

785
00:36:52,820 --> 00:36:54,620
and increase and increase 
exports. 

786
00:36:54,900 --> 00:36:57,260
And so people act like it's just
killing progress. 

787
00:36:57,650 --> 00:37:00,690
It's just if you look at any 
sort of metric that would that 

788
00:37:00,690 --> 00:37:03,330
would be like number of widgets 
produced, number of you know 

789
00:37:03,330 --> 00:37:05,770
barrels of oil produced, all 
these other all these other 

790
00:37:05,770 --> 00:37:09,610
metrics that would be an 
indication to prove their point.

791
00:37:09,810 --> 00:37:11,650
It just doesn't. 
It doesn't, it doesn't flesh 

792
00:37:11,650 --> 00:37:13,970
itself out. 
Any explanation for kind of 

793
00:37:14,010 --> 00:37:17,090
shortfalls can almost always be 
explained by labor costs which 

794
00:37:17,090 --> 00:37:20,010
are higher in the US And so that
that's that's kind of where I'm 

795
00:37:20,010 --> 00:37:21,970
at on it. 
One kind of interesting 

796
00:37:21,970 --> 00:37:24,810
regulatory thing that has been 
discussed a lot recently. 

797
00:37:25,430 --> 00:37:27,230
Because of my job, I end up 
having to watch a lot of 

798
00:37:27,230 --> 00:37:29,710
congressional hearings, which I 
don't recommend if you enjoy 

799
00:37:29,710 --> 00:37:31,950
your sanity. 
And one of the things that keeps

800
00:37:31,950 --> 00:37:34,630
coming up in the hearings I have
to listen to is discussion of 

801
00:37:34,630 --> 00:37:38,670
the SEC's new ESG disclosure 
rules and whether or not those 

802
00:37:38,670 --> 00:37:40,870
are going to fundamentally 
bankrupt the entire global 

803
00:37:40,870 --> 00:37:42,990
financial system as soon as they
go into place. 

804
00:37:43,070 --> 00:37:46,110
Do you have thoughts on these 
proposed disclosures? 

805
00:37:46,560 --> 00:37:50,360
And what they mean in terms of 
like ESG and what ESG is 

806
00:37:50,360 --> 00:37:53,280
supposed to be accomplishing. 
Yeah, yes, the ESG question, but

807
00:37:53,280 --> 00:37:56,560
I mean like that's that's the, I
mean that I named my publication

808
00:37:56,560 --> 00:37:58,480
that before it became such a hot
button topic. 

809
00:37:58,520 --> 00:38:03,600
So the first thing that I will 
say is that ESG reporting was 

810
00:38:03,600 --> 00:38:07,440
basically revolutionized by oil 
companies who didn't want to 

811
00:38:07,440 --> 00:38:11,120
lose their investment dollars 
from big state pension funds. 

812
00:38:11,600 --> 00:38:16,790
And so oil companies have been 
doing this for 12 years and they

813
00:38:16,790 --> 00:38:20,590
do, they do a really good job 
for the most part of disclosing 

814
00:38:20,910 --> 00:38:23,190
these risks. 
I'm not saying that the business

815
00:38:23,190 --> 00:38:26,070
is fundamentally right, there's 
not a lot of greenwashing. 

816
00:38:26,070 --> 00:38:30,470
They absolutely do that but it 
but in terms of the expectations

817
00:38:30,470 --> 00:38:34,840
under that rule, they have met 
this requirement for eight years

818
00:38:34,840 --> 00:38:37,280
and medium size oil companies 
have done it. 

819
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:41,080
Small oil companies have done it
and it is not that burdensome. 

820
00:38:41,160 --> 00:38:44,960
It is a Nexus For more 
information to the public. 

821
00:38:44,960 --> 00:38:48,000
So I'm all for it on a 
logistical basis. 

822
00:38:48,000 --> 00:38:50,560
I think any complaints about it 
they don't want to disclose more

823
00:38:50,560 --> 00:38:52,280
risks, more investing risks to 
the public. 

824
00:38:52,280 --> 00:38:56,040
That is what it comes down to. 
And you know I saw for example 

825
00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:59,480
like you know Carson Block who I
really respect kind of went on 

826
00:38:59,480 --> 00:39:03,320
this like anti ESG tirade which 
I agree with in a way because 

827
00:39:03,320 --> 00:39:06,640
it's like when you kind of 
characterize this is like an ESG

828
00:39:06,760 --> 00:39:10,000
stock or whatever or you say 
it's like a green stock that 

829
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:13,480
creates a great opportunity for 
fraud to come in which we've 

830
00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:15,480
seen like I mean like over and 
over and over again. 

831
00:39:15,480 --> 00:39:18,800
I started with Solyndra that's 
it's, it's it's a tale as old as

832
00:39:18,800 --> 00:39:21,080
time. 
Things like ESG scores or ESG 

833
00:39:21,200 --> 00:39:24,520
rankings or ESG funds, those are
ways to collect fees. 

834
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:28,550
But the actual reporting itself,
all we're talking about and this

835
00:39:28,550 --> 00:39:31,950
is what I am super for is we 
need to disclose risks. 

836
00:39:31,950 --> 00:39:35,230
We need to disclose you know, 
risk related to our supply 

837
00:39:35,230 --> 00:39:37,390
chain, right. 
How many are we doing? 

838
00:39:37,390 --> 00:39:40,950
Anything about the, you know, 
the child slave laborers you 

839
00:39:40,950 --> 00:39:43,830
know, Nestle Corporation, are we
like and what are we doing? 

840
00:39:43,830 --> 00:39:46,310
Have we reduced those numbers? 
What are we doing to address it?

841
00:39:46,750 --> 00:39:49,470
Because these those types of 
risks and even things like 

842
00:39:49,470 --> 00:39:52,490
diversity that people like 
really melt down about companies

843
00:39:52,490 --> 00:39:55,250
with high levels of diversity. 
Guess what, you know, especially

844
00:39:55,250 --> 00:39:58,090
across the management, they have
less complaints of sexual 

845
00:39:58,090 --> 00:40:01,170
harassment, they have less 
complaints of of of, of racial 

846
00:40:01,170 --> 00:40:03,770
abuse and those things can cost 
real money. 

847
00:40:04,050 --> 00:40:07,570
And so my whole argument is like
a lot of the ESG stuff, you know

848
00:40:07,570 --> 00:40:09,970
when it comes down to like the 
rankings or the discussion 

849
00:40:09,970 --> 00:40:13,130
points about it, it's very 
there's really good points that 

850
00:40:13,130 --> 00:40:15,650
it's being misused. 
But at the but at a fundamental 

851
00:40:15,650 --> 00:40:19,450
level, all this stuff is is to 
disclose risks. 

852
00:40:19,830 --> 00:40:24,430
That will actually truly impact 
the financial performance of 

853
00:40:24,430 --> 00:40:26,910
these equities going forward. 
And I think there's some, it's 

854
00:40:27,030 --> 00:40:29,590
it's not perfect, it's not 
great, but there's some real 

855
00:40:29,710 --> 00:40:32,230
strengths to it. 
And if you're an investor, I 

856
00:40:32,230 --> 00:40:35,630
don't care if you're, you know, 
as right wing as they come, more

857
00:40:35,630 --> 00:40:39,350
ESG disclosures just mean more 
information for you to make good

858
00:40:39,350 --> 00:40:41,310
investment based on and I'm all 
for that. 

859
00:40:41,750 --> 00:40:43,750
I always will be. 
So that's kind of where I stand 

860
00:40:43,750 --> 00:40:44,870
on. 
It for me, what was most 

861
00:40:44,870 --> 00:40:47,950
interesting about it is like you
said, most of these disclosures,

862
00:40:48,030 --> 00:40:49,710
many of these things that 
they're going to be. 

863
00:40:49,830 --> 00:40:52,030
Has to disclose. 
Many of these corporations have 

864
00:40:52,030 --> 00:40:55,510
already been disclosing, perhaps
not included in their SEC forms 

865
00:40:55,510 --> 00:40:57,830
about risk, but in other 
investor communications or other

866
00:40:57,830 --> 00:41:00,510
things like that. 
And so what's been kind of 

867
00:41:00,510 --> 00:41:03,830
frustrating for me watching it 
has been the political message 

868
00:41:03,830 --> 00:41:06,150
making around it, how the 
rhetoric has developed around it

869
00:41:06,150 --> 00:41:08,690
and how. 
It has become like this divisive

870
00:41:08,690 --> 00:41:12,810
issue, despite just being a 
disclosure requirement, like 

871
00:41:12,810 --> 00:41:16,210
even just being asked to 
disclose certain information, 

872
00:41:16,450 --> 00:41:20,250
has become this kind of huge 
sticking point that blows up for

873
00:41:20,370 --> 00:41:23,130
months, probably going to be 
years, before it finally gets 

874
00:41:23,170 --> 00:41:27,250
implemented officially in that 
kind of political situation 

875
00:41:27,410 --> 00:41:29,850
where we have. 
At least the way I see it, and 

876
00:41:29,850 --> 00:41:32,650
you may disagree with this 
characterization, like the Obama

877
00:41:32,650 --> 00:41:35,610
administration was really weak 
on enforcement against white 

878
00:41:35,610 --> 00:41:37,810
collar criminals. 
Basically across the board you 

879
00:41:37,810 --> 00:41:40,250
see this criminally, I think 
Jesse Eisinger does a good job 

880
00:41:40,250 --> 00:41:42,850
of describing some of this and 
like the chicken shit club and 

881
00:41:42,850 --> 00:41:44,610
stuff like that. 
And you see it regulatorily 

882
00:41:44,610 --> 00:41:47,250
across the financial regulatory 
agencies and stuff like that. 

883
00:41:47,530 --> 00:41:49,650
Well, also as you mentioned like
in the case of Solyndra, 

884
00:41:49,850 --> 00:41:53,810
creating these very capital rich
programs that had a high risk of

885
00:41:53,810 --> 00:41:57,090
corruption or misuse. 
Then I look at like the Trump 

886
00:41:57,090 --> 00:41:59,570
administration and across there 
my impression was it was 

887
00:41:59,570 --> 00:42:03,970
basically all about reducing or 
eliminating as many regulations 

888
00:42:03,970 --> 00:42:07,050
as possible will also not 
enforcing and as many of the 

889
00:42:07,050 --> 00:42:10,610
existing regulations as you can.
So when you have kind of that 

890
00:42:10,610 --> 00:42:13,690
political landscape or even 
disclosure requirements become 

891
00:42:13,690 --> 00:42:16,250
discussed as if they represent a
potential threat to the 

892
00:42:16,250 --> 00:42:18,370
stability of the global 
financial system. 

893
00:42:18,570 --> 00:42:22,770
How do you create meaningful 
useful or good regulations. 

894
00:42:22,770 --> 00:42:24,610
I don't know. 
And that's been that's been 

895
00:42:24,650 --> 00:42:28,730
really the the problem is that 
we've we've relied on right. 

896
00:42:28,730 --> 00:42:30,890
You talk about environmental 
regulations like you're talking 

897
00:42:30,890 --> 00:42:34,890
about the last time there was a 
major amendment to the Clean Air

898
00:42:34,890 --> 00:42:37,970
Act for example was in like 92 
right 1992. 

899
00:42:38,250 --> 00:42:40,770
And so people will complain 
about rules but like the Clean 

900
00:42:40,770 --> 00:42:43,810
Air Act specifies mechanisms 
that the EPA must take every 

901
00:42:43,810 --> 00:42:45,930
single five years. 
They must update these standards

902
00:42:45,930 --> 00:42:47,970
every single year. 
They're not allowed to backtrack

903
00:42:47,970 --> 00:42:49,730
or whatever. 
And so people complain about 

904
00:42:49,730 --> 00:42:52,280
these mechanisms they put in 
place, but there's been 

905
00:42:52,280 --> 00:42:54,440
regulatory inaction for decades.
Right. 

906
00:42:54,440 --> 00:42:57,080
And so you're letting these 
systems that are that truly are 

907
00:42:57,080 --> 00:42:59,760
imperfect and then probably 
sometimes do stifle innovation, 

908
00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:02,400
sometimes probably are overly 
strict and then also don't 

909
00:43:02,400 --> 00:43:04,920
enforce well enough where they 
should in certain cases. 

910
00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:08,800
Like, we don't have an actual 
federal congressional signed 

911
00:43:08,880 --> 00:43:12,160
standard on greenhouse gas, so 
we've had to shoehorn it into 

912
00:43:12,160 --> 00:43:14,080
the Clean Air Act or it doesn't 
really belong. 

913
00:43:14,080 --> 00:43:16,840
Yeah, we need regulatory reform.
Yeah, we need to rewrite all 

914
00:43:16,840 --> 00:43:18,760
this stuff. 
But I don't know because it's 

915
00:43:18,760 --> 00:43:21,000
kind of been politically 
untenable. 

916
00:43:21,000 --> 00:43:24,640
It's like every single 
politician is kind of OK with 

917
00:43:24,640 --> 00:43:27,840
allowing these bureaucratic 
systems to claw along because 

918
00:43:27,840 --> 00:43:31,240
they have worked well enough. 
And so then you scream about 

919
00:43:31,240 --> 00:43:34,960
stuff anytime there's a new rule
or you eliminate a rule and it's

920
00:43:34,960 --> 00:43:37,120
just it turns into just a 
rhetoric that doesn't make any 

921
00:43:37,120 --> 00:43:38,480
sense. 
It's just red meat. 

922
00:43:38,480 --> 00:43:40,720
And that's what a lot of this 
anti ESG stuff is. 

923
00:43:40,720 --> 00:43:43,240
It's just it's red meat. 
I think the ESG rankings are 

924
00:43:43,240 --> 00:43:44,560
bad. 
I think the way it's marketed 

925
00:43:44,560 --> 00:43:47,800
does allow greenwashing frauds 
to suck up capital. 

926
00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:49,560
It shouldn't. 
I agree with that 100%. 

927
00:43:50,090 --> 00:43:51,810
But at the end of the day, if 
you're talking about like 

928
00:43:51,810 --> 00:43:54,570
disclosures like that's that's 
not, I mean like that is not 

929
00:43:54,570 --> 00:43:57,250
going to tank the global 
economy, it just turns into just

930
00:43:57,330 --> 00:44:00,490
shit flinging and that's that's 
what kind of rulemaking has been

931
00:44:00,490 --> 00:44:03,450
in Congress for. 
You know, really probably since 

932
00:44:03,450 --> 00:44:05,490
you could argue since Obamacare 
was passed. 

933
00:44:05,490 --> 00:44:08,970
That's probably a great, great 
time that there is a a huge 

934
00:44:08,970 --> 00:44:12,340
regulation that was passed that 
was really contentious and was 

935
00:44:12,340 --> 00:44:15,340
pushed forward and since then 
it's been plugging holes in the 

936
00:44:15,340 --> 00:44:17,220
dams. 
If we go, if you're yelling 

937
00:44:17,220 --> 00:44:20,300
about ESG disclosures, like 
wrecking the global economy, it 

938
00:44:20,300 --> 00:44:22,500
just like that's not, that's not
an honest argument. 

939
00:44:22,500 --> 00:44:24,260
It just isn't. 
Now, what about the argument 

940
00:44:24,260 --> 00:44:27,020
that it's a secret way to turn 
the United States communist? 

941
00:44:27,020 --> 00:44:29,620
Is that a serious argument? 
No it's not. 

942
00:44:29,860 --> 00:44:32,060
I mean, as you know I mean it 
just it's so funny because I've 

943
00:44:32,100 --> 00:44:33,900
I've. 
I reach out to people that I've,

944
00:44:33,940 --> 00:44:36,700
I've talked to and and pretty 
smart people and they're just 

945
00:44:36,700 --> 00:44:38,260
like, you know what about 
BlackRock? 

946
00:44:38,260 --> 00:44:39,860
What about this? 
What about whatever? 

947
00:44:39,860 --> 00:44:41,500
And I'm like, yeah, I don't like
those guys either. 

948
00:44:41,500 --> 00:44:43,860
So in ESG is a way for people to
collect fees. 

949
00:44:43,860 --> 00:44:46,420
And so like if you look it as a 
way to like collect fees, like, 

950
00:44:46,420 --> 00:44:47,860
yeah, I mean like you're going 
to push for it. 

951
00:44:48,020 --> 00:44:49,580
Yeah. 
The whole, like communist or 

952
00:44:49,580 --> 00:44:51,620
whatever. 
It's like, no, we've had all 

953
00:44:51,620 --> 00:44:54,460
sorts of regulatory controls on 
market disclosures and they've 

954
00:44:54,460 --> 00:44:57,580
been updated with time. 
It's just exhausting to respond 

955
00:44:57,580 --> 00:44:59,620
to there. 
There are great critiques of how

956
00:44:59,740 --> 00:45:02,740
ESG has been kind of marketed 
and implemented. 

957
00:45:02,740 --> 00:45:05,380
I'll scream them from the 
rooftops, but I just the 

958
00:45:05,540 --> 00:45:08,940
rhetoric itself is just doesn't 
match what we actually see, I 

959
00:45:08,940 --> 00:45:11,060
guess. 
On this point, though, what kind

960
00:45:11,060 --> 00:45:14,460
of ended up getting me to reach 
out to you, Eric, was that I was

961
00:45:14,660 --> 00:45:18,500
thinking again about this golden
age of fraud concept that Jim 

962
00:45:18,500 --> 00:45:22,300
Chanos has put forward that we 
are in this time period where 

963
00:45:22,500 --> 00:45:26,380
it's almost like everyone who 
can do fraud and make and make 

964
00:45:26,380 --> 00:45:28,860
money on it is just going for 
it, right? 

965
00:45:28,860 --> 00:45:31,140
There's nothing to impede that 
process. 

966
00:45:31,140 --> 00:45:32,980
There's no obstacles to just 
going out. 

967
00:45:33,350 --> 00:45:36,830
And committing the fraud. 
And I just started thinking to 

968
00:45:36,830 --> 00:45:39,630
myself like it doesn't seem like
it's slowing down. 

969
00:45:39,710 --> 00:45:42,590
It doesn't seem like even we 
have the collapse of FTX, we 

970
00:45:42,590 --> 00:45:46,470
have SBF, we have all the all 
these like very intense large 

971
00:45:46,470 --> 00:45:50,310
criminal enterprises getting 
shut down on their own accord. 

972
00:45:50,310 --> 00:45:52,230
Like nobody did anything to stop
SBF. 

973
00:45:52,230 --> 00:45:54,830
He fucked up. 
And I I think to myself like. 

974
00:45:55,160 --> 00:45:58,000
This isn't going to end now this
is going to end up being like 

975
00:45:58,040 --> 00:46:01,080
it's already been a generation 
that has had to deal with this 

976
00:46:01,080 --> 00:46:03,320
golden age of fraud. 
Is it going to be another 

977
00:46:03,320 --> 00:46:04,960
generation and the generation 
after that? 

978
00:46:04,960 --> 00:46:09,640
Like what is the optimistic and 
the pessimistic view here of how

979
00:46:09,640 --> 00:46:12,960
we're how this plays out and and
I'd like I'd love to hear your 

980
00:46:13,280 --> 00:46:15,520
both, both both sides of this 
argument from you. 

981
00:46:15,600 --> 00:46:18,840
I'll start with the pessimistic 
one and it is that it has gone 

982
00:46:18,840 --> 00:46:22,000
on I think a lot longer than 
people would have expected 

983
00:46:22,160 --> 00:46:25,680
having worked in energy and 
specifically in oil and I moved 

984
00:46:25,680 --> 00:46:28,760
to Houston in in 2015. 
I think that I think the debt 

985
00:46:28,760 --> 00:46:32,880
blow up at the end of 2015 and 
into 2016 should have been a 

986
00:46:32,880 --> 00:46:34,720
wake up call. 
There were these kind of knock 

987
00:46:34,720 --> 00:46:38,280
on impacts from from from credit
blow ups, right. 

988
00:46:38,280 --> 00:46:40,840
You had you had companies that 
were going out and they were 

989
00:46:40,840 --> 00:46:46,200
raising junk debt right to fund 
EMP projects that were like at 

990
00:46:46,200 --> 00:46:50,480
best break even on returning the
money for these junk bonds. 

991
00:46:50,480 --> 00:46:53,960
And that was before you 
considered how far these how 

992
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:58,000
quickly the levels from the 
frack wells would drop off and 

993
00:46:58,000 --> 00:47:01,800
would would the duration did not
match for the for the well life 

994
00:47:01,800 --> 00:47:05,040
versus the bonds you were taking
out but even if even if it did 

995
00:47:05,040 --> 00:47:07,880
like it didn't even like include
like corporate costs right. 

996
00:47:07,880 --> 00:47:11,140
So all your SG and A, you know, 
your MA or your executive 

997
00:47:11,140 --> 00:47:12,740
compensation, all that stuff 
wasn't even. 

998
00:47:12,860 --> 00:47:16,020
So like the the entire scheme 
wasn't your expected value of 

999
00:47:16,020 --> 00:47:18,660
return, but like always be 
negative if you're buying these 

1000
00:47:18,660 --> 00:47:20,460
bonds and yet they still happen,
right. 

1001
00:47:20,460 --> 00:47:23,340
And so a lot of these started to
to roll over and blow up and I 

1002
00:47:23,340 --> 00:47:26,060
was like OK, we need to have 
like a reset and a lot of this 

1003
00:47:26,060 --> 00:47:29,300
stuff and it didn't happen like 
there was like a mild reset and 

1004
00:47:29,300 --> 00:47:31,460
we basically went back to status
quo. 

1005
00:47:31,460 --> 00:47:33,140
You look at the Fed balance 
sheet, you look at the 

1006
00:47:33,140 --> 00:47:36,950
coordination between, you know, 
central bankers and basically 

1007
00:47:36,950 --> 00:47:39,390
that this, this monetary relief 
that'll just like we're not 

1008
00:47:39,390 --> 00:47:42,750
going to allow a huge blow up. 
And I don't think you're going 

1009
00:47:42,750 --> 00:47:45,190
to get regulatory change without
a huge blow up. 

1010
00:47:45,190 --> 00:47:47,630
And so I think I think that it 
should have happened back then, 

1011
00:47:47,630 --> 00:47:50,190
it probably should have happened
a few times and hasn't happened 

1012
00:47:50,470 --> 00:47:54,550
means that we can ratchet up and
we can, we can kind of globalize

1013
00:47:54,550 --> 00:47:59,990
or we can wallpaper over these 
these kind of systemic risks 

1014
00:47:59,990 --> 00:48:03,150
that are tied to fraud. 
I think, I think that can go on 

1015
00:48:03,150 --> 00:48:05,950
a lot longer than anyone would 
like to admit because we've gone

1016
00:48:05,950 --> 00:48:09,470
through a few possible credit 
cycles where they've been 

1017
00:48:09,470 --> 00:48:12,270
wallpapered over. 
So that's that's against the 

1018
00:48:12,270 --> 00:48:15,390
pessimistic view. 
The optimistic view is that 

1019
00:48:16,030 --> 00:48:19,670
they're called Black Swan events
for a reason and I'm not hoping 

1020
00:48:19,670 --> 00:48:21,710
for a Black Swan event, right, 
because you don't. 

1021
00:48:21,830 --> 00:48:25,230
There's always pain that comes 
with kind of economic broiling, 

1022
00:48:25,510 --> 00:48:28,820
but I think that is the 
opportunity for a moment of 

1023
00:48:28,820 --> 00:48:32,780
clarity and to be able to go 
after the types of people that 

1024
00:48:32,900 --> 00:48:36,300
perpetuate these frauds because 
they do cause harm when they 

1025
00:48:36,300 --> 00:48:38,380
unwind. 
They cause, they cause harm the 

1026
00:48:38,380 --> 00:48:41,020
whole way, but that harm isn't 
obvious until it unwinds. 

1027
00:48:41,520 --> 00:48:43,920
So I don't like the positive 
case is that there's like a big 

1028
00:48:43,920 --> 00:48:46,360
blow up, which is maybe not 
positive. 

1029
00:48:46,360 --> 00:48:49,520
But in terms of going forward, 
if we have another, if we have 

1030
00:48:49,520 --> 00:48:52,200
another GFC type thing and you 
see people, you know doing 

1031
00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:56,040
something like on Occupy Wall 
Street or whatever and there 

1032
00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:59,200
isn't major regulatory reform, 
we're hosed. 

1033
00:48:59,200 --> 00:49:03,000
But that's that's both I guess 
the positive and the negative 

1034
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:05,560
prediction. 
They're they're the same thing, 

1035
00:49:05,560 --> 00:49:06,680
I think. 
I appreciate that. 

1036
00:49:06,680 --> 00:49:09,600
I think that's a pretty level 
headed response if still 

1037
00:49:09,960 --> 00:49:11,680
unfortunate. 
Eric, is there anything else you

1038
00:49:11,680 --> 00:49:14,520
want to leave us with before we 
we sign off here in terms of 

1039
00:49:14,520 --> 00:49:17,840
whether it's about Elon or the 
global, the global financial 

1040
00:49:17,840 --> 00:49:20,920
system or fraud or whatever? 
Is there anything you you care 

1041
00:49:20,920 --> 00:49:24,400
to say as we as we sign off 
here, There's so much public 

1042
00:49:24,400 --> 00:49:27,120
record out there that you can 
dig into and learn about stuff 

1043
00:49:27,120 --> 00:49:29,200
that's going on. 
If there's one positive thing, 

1044
00:49:29,200 --> 00:49:32,610
especially in the US, is that we
have really great public 

1045
00:49:32,610 --> 00:49:35,570
disclosure laws and sometimes 
they're a little bit hard to get

1046
00:49:35,570 --> 00:49:38,130
around, but you can find all 
sorts of cool stuff and you can 

1047
00:49:38,130 --> 00:49:40,850
learn things about how the world
works. 

1048
00:49:40,850 --> 00:49:43,770
I always encourage people to do 
that because a lot of times, you

1049
00:49:43,770 --> 00:49:47,530
know, fraud happens because we 
don't understand how, you know, 

1050
00:49:47,530 --> 00:49:50,290
companies operate, how 
governments operate, how 

1051
00:49:50,290 --> 00:49:53,730
individuals operate. 
And we we have so many tools 

1052
00:49:53,730 --> 00:49:57,450
available that are free and 
that's kind of my passion is to 

1053
00:49:57,450 --> 00:50:00,760
teach people about that. 
And so always you can always 

1054
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:04,040
e-mail or whatever because I I I
think I think there are some 

1055
00:50:04,040 --> 00:50:07,960
positives out there and I think 
some of the public disclosure 

1056
00:50:07,960 --> 00:50:10,960
rules and and especially in the 
US you can find all sorts of 

1057
00:50:10,960 --> 00:50:13,280
interesting stuff out. 
I encourage anyone to become 

1058
00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:15,320
their own researcher. 
One thing I really appreciate 

1059
00:50:15,320 --> 00:50:18,560
about the crypto community is 
that they do, they do like, they

1060
00:50:18,680 --> 00:50:21,040
don't necessarily do a good job 
of regulating, but when it comes

1061
00:50:21,040 --> 00:50:23,920
to like doing kind of forensic 
investigations, they do a really

1062
00:50:23,920 --> 00:50:26,240
good job. 
And I really enjoy watching that

1063
00:50:26,240 --> 00:50:28,690
play out. 
So there are other avenues you 

1064
00:50:28,690 --> 00:50:30,530
could do that kind of stuff. 
I think that's a really 

1065
00:50:30,530 --> 00:50:32,090
beautiful note to go out on 
actually. 

1066
00:50:32,090 --> 00:50:34,130
And I think I agree with you 
100%. 

1067
00:50:34,130 --> 00:50:37,770
I think Bennett and I have both 
learned about so much just by 

1068
00:50:37,890 --> 00:50:42,170
having to explore corporate 
filings and history of for 

1069
00:50:42,170 --> 00:50:45,850
executives and all this stuff 
that I I didn't know how to do 

1070
00:50:45,850 --> 00:50:49,130
this five years ago and now I I 
love doing it. 

1071
00:50:49,130 --> 00:50:51,170
So I I agree with you 100% on 
that. 

1072
00:50:51,610 --> 00:50:53,730
If anyone doesn't already follow
Eric. 

1073
00:50:54,050 --> 00:50:58,810
Obviously go follow him on 
Twitter, ESG Hound and if you 

1074
00:50:58,810 --> 00:51:02,690
can also check out his sub stack
which is unbelievably 

1075
00:51:02,690 --> 00:51:05,170
informative and fantastic and I 
think, yeah, I think that's 

1076
00:51:05,170 --> 00:51:06,650
going to do it. 
Thank you for joining us, Eric. 

1077
00:51:06,770 --> 00:51:08,450
Thank you for having me. 
I really appreciate it.

