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Yeah, this isn't looking good. 
It's because I'm upstairs in the

2
00:00:03,520 --> 00:00:06,320
new house and I haven't sorted 
the Internet up here yet, so me 

3
00:00:06,320 --> 00:00:09,960
hosting maybe not the best idea.
Don't really know what to do 

4
00:00:09,960 --> 00:00:12,680
now. 
Fucking great. 

5
00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:16,200
Feels feels too far gone at this
stage. 

6
00:00:16,200 --> 00:00:17,640
Can you? 
You can at least see me on the 

7
00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:19,520
video, right? 
I can see you on the video. 

8
00:00:19,520 --> 00:00:21,400
Yeah, you were a bit delayed to 
me. 

9
00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:24,200
And if you want to like leave 
the video and come back in, 

10
00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:29,800
maybe. 
Let me see if I can all right, 

11
00:00:29,800 --> 00:00:34,360
let me see if I can just connect
to the see I I've got. 

12
00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:38,320
I know it Portuguese has a lot 
of shit, but it actually does 

13
00:00:38,320 --> 00:00:41,000
have good Internet. 
There's one thing that they 

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spent a lot of money doing 
Altis, as we know, but Altis. 

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00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:48,280
Portugal exactly. 
Altis International. 

16
00:00:48,480 --> 00:00:49,720
Yeah, Altis International, that 
is. 

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00:00:49,720 --> 00:00:56,120
Yeah, I got, I got, I got a 
Wi-Fi extender for upstairs and 

18
00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:00,080
the Wi-Fi extender for the 
upstairs can't deal with fast 

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00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:02,560
Internet, so I had to order 
another one. 

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00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:04,800
I think there's no audio on 
spaces by the way. 

21
00:01:04,800 --> 00:01:08,200
Do you want me to try and do it?
Yeah, why don't you? 

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00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:10,640
Why don't we do that? 
OK, so you mute and I'll unmute.

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00:01:13,920 --> 00:01:16,600
How about now can you guys, can 
you guys hear us on spaces? 

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00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:23,640
I think so. 
I see like the sound bars. 

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00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:24,440
I can. 
Hear you now. 

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00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:27,160
We can hear you now. 
All right, that seems to have 

27
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fixed it. 
Apologies. 

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00:01:29,120 --> 00:01:31,760
Yeah, it's a bit of a shit show 
over here to begin. 

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00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:34,440
Still sorting out the Internet 
problems. 

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00:01:34,720 --> 00:01:36,960
How you doing? 
Market is heading to 0. 

31
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Racing to zero, as they say 
right now. 

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Fucking. 
Can't fucking catch a break can 

33
00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:42,640
it? 
Mainly crypto like. 

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Crypto, yeah. 
It's just crypto just trading 

35
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like shit right now, isn't it? 
Everyone's trying to work out 

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what it is because stocks are 
higher this morning, oil is 

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lower. 
So you're sitting there just 

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going like, well, if it's not 
the Middle Eastern stuff and 

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00:01:59,840 --> 00:02:02,520
stocks are rallying, then 
everyone just hates crypto right

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00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,680
now. 
It seems Bitcoin nearly just 

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00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:07,720
touched 60K again. 
At least it's putting in that 

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was a lower high potential, 
lower, higher low even 

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potentially. 
So maybe that's what we bounce 

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off. 
I don't really see like that 

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00:02:14,560 --> 00:02:16,760
much excessive risk taking. 
So right now, so, but yeah, it's

46
00:02:16,760 --> 00:02:20,360
definitely waking up each day 
for the first time in a while 

47
00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:23,120
and you're like, fuck, this 
could be at any price right now.

48
00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:24,720
You just, it could just fall out
of bed. 

49
00:02:24,720 --> 00:02:27,400
You feel like, I don't know if 
you've you've got that feeling, 

50
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but the first thing I always 
check when I wake up at the 

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moment is crypto prices. 
It's always just like, well, I 

52
00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:33,840
check one crypto price and then 
I check another one. 

53
00:02:33,840 --> 00:02:38,720
But yeah, shit is shit is moving
very, very quickly. 

54
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Yeah, I don't know. 
I don't know what's going on. 

55
00:02:43,680 --> 00:02:47,520
I don't know why it's trading so
poorly because the rest of 

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traditional markets are training
OK. 

57
00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:53,520
Apparently there's still no 
audience spaces. 

58
00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:56,560
Oh, actually your space has just
got rugged completely. 

59
00:02:56,560 --> 00:03:02,840
Do you want me to start a space?
Why don't you start space this 

60
00:03:02,920 --> 00:03:05,760
this can be blamed on the the 
wife extender in the new house. 

61
00:03:05,760 --> 00:03:10,480
I'm, I'm sorry, I'm sorry. 
I'm going to start a new space. 

62
00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:17,920
Got a haircut today? 
Oh, you did. 

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I just felt like too much like a
homeless person walking around 

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so. 
Don't don't want to shave the 

65
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beard? 
You know what, I was wondering 

66
00:03:25,640 --> 00:03:29,960
whether I should or just. 
It's now longer than my hair. 

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00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:33,920
I think the beard. 
Do you know if I enable video on

68
00:03:33,920 --> 00:03:36,000
the spacer thing or not? 
Don't enable. 

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00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:38,040
Don't enable. 
Video OK start. 

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00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:40,800
Let's just do it easier. 
OK, cool. 

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00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:49,920
All right, Space started. 
All right, I'll come join yours.

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You see it if you're on a 
request, I'll hey everyone we 

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had to start a new space because
Mando bought a Wi-Fi extender to

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00:04:00,400 --> 00:04:03,720
increase the boost of his signal
up to his the top floor of his 

75
00:04:03,720 --> 00:04:07,400
penthouse and it doesn't quite 
reach there because his 

76
00:04:07,400 --> 00:04:10,480
penthouse is so high up so I'm 
now hosting the space that's. 

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It makes Portugal sound too 
good, if I'm honest. 

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We're not quite that. 
In Portugal, 100 grand buys you 

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a penthouse man like. 
I tell you not man, Portugal 

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house prices are like randomly 
very expensive, at least around 

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those, right? 
Are we? 

82
00:04:34,280 --> 00:04:35,720
Are we good? 
To go back, we're back. 

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00:04:35,720 --> 00:04:38,160
Yeah, I think so. 
I think space is is now working.

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00:04:39,120 --> 00:04:43,360
I think video is now working. 
So we are we are live. 

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Sorry for I think this is 
episode 100. 

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I'm not 100% sure, but I didn't 
want to put it, but we are we 

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00:04:47,280 --> 00:04:48,600
are live for episode 100 from 
Wow. 

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This is actually episode 
probably 500 of us doing this 

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00:04:51,160 --> 00:04:53,720
Daily Show. 
Probably the worst for technical

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00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:55,960
difficulties so far. 
Obviously the rest of the team 

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is in Dubai right now. 
It's just me and OSF on today. 

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So kind of a more chilled show. 
I'd say the the classic five 

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things that we're looking at 
right now, it does feel like 

94
00:05:06,280 --> 00:05:09,560
crypto is volatile like it did 
just nearly, Bitcoin did just 

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nearly hit 60 K and it's 
rebounded all the way to 62 K, 

96
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So it's volatile around kind of 
the same level it looks like. 

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And people are fo mowing, fo 
mowing in and panicking out. 

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It feels like at each point, I 
think everyone thought that GCR 

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tweet would be the bottom. 
And then we've kind of tested 

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those bottoms two or three Times
Now or twice at least. 

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So I don't really know what to 
make of it here. 

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I think we were just talking 
about maybe before the people on

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on spaces could hear, but there 
isn't really something that I 

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can say that that makes sense on
it today. 

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Like it's not like we can blame 
anything. 

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The the whole Israel, Iran thing
seems to have been slightly de 

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escalated since the weekend. 
You can see that from oil. 

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You can see that from bond 
yields. 

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You can see it from stocks. 
You're seeing even stocks are 

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higher today. 
So they had been on a three day 

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losing streak. 
They're higher on yields. 

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They are slightly higher. 
Oh, like they're kind of where 

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they were the last two days. 
So this feels very crypto 

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specific. 
At the same time, I I'm not 

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sitting here going like there's 
that many warning signals here 

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in the market. 
The fear and greed index is back

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to around 50. 
Leverage is low, it's open. 

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Interest is the lowest it's been
basically all year. 

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Funding is the lowest it's 
basically been all year, but at 

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the same time, it's super 
volatile. 

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Like it just feels as though 
crypto could move 5 to 10% at 

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any at any point right now. 
So it just feels to me like the 

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fear is back and I think the 
fact there is no real 

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explanation for it is a little 
bit scary to me in the market. 

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I still think we could touch 
below 60 K again, as I said on 

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yesterday's show, but it yeah, 
it's it's I also don't think 

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we're just going to like 
randomly roof back to 70 K like 

128
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this feels like a period where 
everyone needs to get their 

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gahonas back. 
This isn't just a buy the dip 

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market. 
What? 

131
00:07:03,800 --> 00:07:06,600
What do you think OSF? 
Yeah, I agree. 

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00:07:06,600 --> 00:07:10,120
Like, you know, you have what 
happened at the weekend and 

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everyone thought that was it and
you expect it to bounce back. 

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00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:15,960
And when it doesn't, that's when
you realize you might be in for 

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00:07:15,960 --> 00:07:19,080
a bit more of like a chop or a 
pain or a consolidation period, 

136
00:07:19,080 --> 00:07:20,360
whatever you want to call it 
really. 

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And if it feels like to me, 
maybe the short term trend is 

138
00:07:25,760 --> 00:07:30,440
that we go a bit lower because 
we've just projected breaking 

139
00:07:30,440 --> 00:07:32,920
out to the upside a couple a 
couple of Times Now. 

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00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:36,120
I don't really know, like I'm 
not going to try and second 

141
00:07:36,120 --> 00:07:38,160
guess like short term price 
action here, but it doesn't 

142
00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:41,000
really feel that great from a 
short term perspective. 

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00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:43,320
I still really bullish for the 
next few months and for the rest

144
00:07:43,320 --> 00:07:45,400
of the year. 
And I think these will be good 

145
00:07:45,400 --> 00:07:48,320
dips to buy, but it's hard to 
really judge what we're in for 

146
00:07:48,320 --> 00:07:49,720
now for the next few weeks and 
months. 

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00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:56,960
I don't know why crypto is 
underperforming equities so 

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00:07:56,960 --> 00:07:58,480
much. 
Like equities are not even 

149
00:07:58,480 --> 00:07:59,960
really that much. 
They're a little bit lower, but 

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00:07:59,960 --> 00:08:01,920
they're not really that much off
the highs. 

151
00:08:02,280 --> 00:08:05,680
I know rates have blown out 
quite a lot, but, you know, 

152
00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:07,560
rates have been going higher the
whole year and crypto hasn't 

153
00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:10,320
really battered an eyelid. 
So I don't know why crypto is 

154
00:08:10,320 --> 00:08:13,480
just trading so poorly. 
It feels like people are short. 

155
00:08:13,480 --> 00:08:16,000
You know, if you look at the, to
me, if you look at the, yeah. 

156
00:08:17,000 --> 00:08:19,360
Yeah. 
Look at the funding numbers and 

157
00:08:19,360 --> 00:08:25,160
stuff and funding is so neutral 
or even or even negative in some

158
00:08:25,160 --> 00:08:27,600
cases. 
It feels like me to me, people 

159
00:08:27,600 --> 00:08:31,240
are short and just pushing it 
lower in what feels like a, a 

160
00:08:31,240 --> 00:08:34,000
scared or a nervous market. 
So that's the one thing I would 

161
00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:38,200
say it has going for that I 
think is bullish that there are 

162
00:08:38,200 --> 00:08:39,840
shorts out there. 
And I think if something you, 

163
00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:41,799
you just see one good headline 
for things to turn. 

164
00:08:41,799 --> 00:08:43,600
But yeah, like I'm looking at 
funding now. 

165
00:08:43,600 --> 00:08:48,400
It's like 1% on Bitcoin, 
negative on ETH funding is -1% 

166
00:08:48,400 --> 00:08:54,800
on ETH, 7% on Solana, like -10% 
on Bitcoin cash. 

167
00:08:55,840 --> 00:08:57,840
It's just, it's the. 
It's negative on ETH. 

168
00:08:58,320 --> 00:09:02,440
It's negative on ETH -1.5% on 
ETH right now like. 

169
00:09:02,960 --> 00:09:05,080
I'm sharing my screen right now.
I don't know, are you able to 

170
00:09:05,320 --> 00:09:07,680
change that? 
I don't think I can even does 

171
00:09:07,720 --> 00:09:12,360
it? 
Does it yeah like you can see 

172
00:09:12,920 --> 00:09:15,920
let's take this let's take this 
back to a one year trajectory. 

173
00:09:15,920 --> 00:09:20,680
Now this is kind of some of the 
lowest funding we've seen we've 

174
00:09:20,680 --> 00:09:23,320
got 1% funding on Bitcoin for a 
year. 

175
00:09:23,360 --> 00:09:27,440
You could find a Bitcoin on 
right now ETH is negative. 

176
00:09:27,920 --> 00:09:32,600
Solana is very small like these 
are very, very low numbers. 

177
00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:39,480
So and I don't know like maybe 
we if we brought up the the 

178
00:09:39,480 --> 00:09:46,480
liquidation map of Bitcoin yeah 
so like it looks like that this 

179
00:09:46,480 --> 00:09:48,280
is all the shorts that would be 
liquidated. 

180
00:09:48,600 --> 00:09:53,360
That's pretty wild actually like
that all the shorts are kind of 

181
00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:54,720
clustered slightly to the 
upside. 

182
00:09:54,720 --> 00:09:57,920
So a huge amount of shorts. 
You can see this from this green

183
00:09:57,920 --> 00:10:01,360
line right it goes much higher 
in terms of the short interest 

184
00:10:01,360 --> 00:10:04,440
than it is from the on the long 
interest close to here. 

185
00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:08,880
So that tells me that we could 
have a short squeeze here, but 

186
00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:14,240
at the same time, it feels as 
though any macro headline crypto

187
00:10:14,240 --> 00:10:15,800
randomly feels like it's about 
to get punished. 

188
00:10:15,800 --> 00:10:17,640
I think part of that is the ETF 
inflows. 

189
00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:21,360
So if we go to if we go to 
Digens at the moment, one thing 

190
00:10:21,360 --> 00:10:23,800
that has been interesting 
actually over the last few days 

191
00:10:23,800 --> 00:10:28,280
is that some of the Bitcoin ETFs
have seen literally no inflows. 

192
00:10:28,440 --> 00:10:31,400
Like the only thing that's 
seeing inflows at the moment 

193
00:10:31,560 --> 00:10:36,080
appears to be the appears to be 
the Black Rock ETF. 

194
00:10:37,160 --> 00:10:43,360
And so for example, on on Monday
and on Friday, every single ETF 

195
00:10:43,440 --> 00:10:47,640
except the BlackRock ETF was was
0. 

196
00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:51,560
And then you just, it's really 
just Grayscale versus BlackRock 

197
00:10:51,560 --> 00:10:54,000
at the moment in terms of in 
terms of inflows. 

198
00:10:54,600 --> 00:10:58,840
And so we've had three very 
small outflow days, but you'd 

199
00:10:58,840 --> 00:11:02,160
have liked to see some dip 
buying you, you would predict. 

200
00:11:02,160 --> 00:11:05,040
And in fact, one thing that has 
really shocked me is that how 

201
00:11:05,040 --> 00:11:07,600
volatile crypto has been since 
the ETF has come in. 

202
00:11:07,600 --> 00:11:11,680
Like instead of dampening that 
volatility, it's actually just 

203
00:11:11,680 --> 00:11:14,280
massively, it feels to me like 
it's increased it. 

204
00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:15,680
I don't know. 
I don't know if you agree with 

205
00:11:15,680 --> 00:11:18,640
that, which I think kind of 
makes sense from the ET, like 

206
00:11:18,640 --> 00:11:21,240
what we saw used to see in like 
traditional markets with ETFs, 

207
00:11:21,240 --> 00:11:24,360
you know, we've spoken about how
they can, they can push things 

208
00:11:26,080 --> 00:11:28,920
much lower in a, in a weak 
market and much higher in a 

209
00:11:28,920 --> 00:11:31,560
strong market. 
I think we're, we're, we're kind

210
00:11:31,560 --> 00:11:32,880
of seeing that, wouldn't you 
agree? 

211
00:11:32,880 --> 00:11:36,080
Like it just feels as on the 
weekdays, Bitcoin can move like 

212
00:11:36,080 --> 00:11:40,560
1015% at the moment. 
Like I haven't seen that for for

213
00:11:40,560 --> 00:11:45,200
like the last 18 months. 
Yeah, it's just Yeah. 

214
00:11:47,000 --> 00:11:50,280
Yeah, it just feels like feels. 
Feels feels like a nervous 

215
00:11:50,280 --> 00:11:53,040
market doesn't it just feels 
like a nervous market. 

216
00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:56,280
And I think people who are who 
are short realize that. 

217
00:11:56,280 --> 00:11:59,240
They realize they can push 
things around and just make the 

218
00:11:59,240 --> 00:12:03,240
most of wobbly hands I think. 
Yeah. 

219
00:12:03,560 --> 00:12:06,560
So the stuff that we can be 
bullish on obviously the the 

220
00:12:06,560 --> 00:12:09,200
main thing is these Hong Kong 
ETFs which I saw today that 

221
00:12:09,200 --> 00:12:12,040
people are saying could be 25 
billion. 

222
00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:17,080
That was actually a decrypt 
piece 25 billion TVLI think that

223
00:12:17,080 --> 00:12:20,640
would be that would be that 
would be a very big benefit to 

224
00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:23,400
the market if that that starts 
happening 25 billion is. 

225
00:12:24,120 --> 00:12:27,360
Is not a big war. 
Yeah, it's not small because 

226
00:12:27,480 --> 00:12:29,280
the. 
ETF guys were saying, Eric was 

227
00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:31,480
saying 500 mil, so that's like a
massive. 

228
00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:35,640
He was saying that. 
He was saying that 25 billion is

229
00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:38,400
not. 
There's no way that it happens. 

230
00:12:39,040 --> 00:12:42,200
Yeah, but he also said there was
no chance that I think he's he's

231
00:12:42,240 --> 00:12:46,120
they generally downplayed ETFs 
in other countries, but they 

232
00:12:46,120 --> 00:12:49,880
don't also appreciate, you know,
the fact you can't buy crypto in

233
00:12:49,880 --> 00:12:50,520
China. 
Really. 

234
00:12:50,520 --> 00:12:54,120
So the idea that they would then
be able to access this above 

235
00:12:54,120 --> 00:12:56,920
board is quite a big deal. 
I think I, I, I would be 

236
00:12:56,920 --> 00:12:59,600
unsurprised if it starts push 
pushing towards those sort of 

237
00:12:59,600 --> 00:13:03,120
numbers. 
Yeah, look, if Chinese investors

238
00:13:03,120 --> 00:13:04,880
could buy, this is how much 
mainland investors could 

239
00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:08,040
allocate as an upper limit. 
So I do think that's, that's 

240
00:13:08,040 --> 00:13:10,400
probably possible. 
That's the main bullishness. 

241
00:13:10,440 --> 00:13:13,080
Obviously we also have the 
halving which is happening in 

242
00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:15,920
just two days, right? 
Like it's, it's really, really 

243
00:13:15,920 --> 00:13:18,640
soon now. 
Obviously people are either 

244
00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:22,000
underplaying or overplaying. 
I think at this stage the 

245
00:13:22,000 --> 00:13:25,240
halving becomes a a bullish 
narrative for me just because 

246
00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:29,440
now in a period where Bitcoin's 
now 20% off, its off its high. 

247
00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:34,040
I don't know about you, but when
we were at 70 + K and we were 

248
00:13:34,040 --> 00:13:36,480
rallying, I was like people are 
going to sell after the halving.

249
00:13:36,480 --> 00:13:40,120
It feels like they've sold 
before the halving here and now 

250
00:13:40,120 --> 00:13:43,960
I feel like the halving could 
again be a a positive momentum 

251
00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:45,160
for the market. 
Burnting. 

252
00:13:45,160 --> 00:13:48,800
They put out a piece, but I'm 
seeing expects bitcoins bullish 

253
00:13:48,800 --> 00:13:52,240
trajectory to resume post 
halving reiterates 150K target. 

254
00:13:52,440 --> 00:13:53,880
So obviously that's a bullish 
piece. 

255
00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:58,040
But I do think that now the the 
halving is not a sell the news 

256
00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:00,480
event like I don't think people 
sell on that halving now. 

257
00:14:00,480 --> 00:14:03,120
If anything, I think it's it's 
going to be it's going to be 

258
00:14:03,240 --> 00:14:07,640
taken positively. 
And then the only other bullish 

259
00:14:07,640 --> 00:14:12,000
thing I saw today was was this 
huge ACC and Z fund that that 

260
00:14:13,840 --> 00:14:16,360
that got announced in the in the
in the crypto sector. 

261
00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:20,640
This is the biggest fund I've 
seen ever. 

262
00:14:21,040 --> 00:14:26,400
I think in crypto right, 7.2 
billion has got to be their 

263
00:14:26,400 --> 00:14:31,120
biggest. 
Yeah, that's massive. 

264
00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:41,960
One of their biggest funds ever 
but a 16's gone so well. 

265
00:14:44,600 --> 00:14:48,800
I think you're obviously you're.
One of the lead? 

266
00:14:51,880 --> 00:14:53,440
Oh no, am I? 
What about now? 

267
00:14:53,880 --> 00:14:54,920
Yeah. 
No, you're good now. 

268
00:14:54,960 --> 00:14:57,000
You're good now, Yeah. 
I'll just shut that down. 

269
00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:04,760
They're leading firms alongside 
paradigms so that yeah, but me 

270
00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:07,040
it's, it's no, it's the 
Internet, man, it's this, it's 

271
00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:09,320
this Wi-Fi extender I need. 
I actually literally it 

272
00:15:09,320 --> 00:15:11,800
literally is coming today. 
So hopefully by tomorrow it 

273
00:15:11,800 --> 00:15:15,360
should be it should be fixed, 
but that was I think that's a 

274
00:15:15,360 --> 00:15:19,280
big sign for VCs that we can 
raise another 7.6 billion and 

275
00:15:19,280 --> 00:15:22,840
they'll probably be investing 
that heavily in in new things in

276
00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:24,280
the space. 
So those are like the three 

277
00:15:24,280 --> 00:15:28,040
really bullish things I saw on a
macro perspective for crypto. 

278
00:15:28,520 --> 00:15:31,760
It still just feels as though 
we're we're we're just going to 

279
00:15:31,760 --> 00:15:34,280
be volatile though, and I can't 
really put a finger on it. 

280
00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:37,640
One thing we have seen is that 
the VIX has gone a lot higher. 

281
00:15:37,640 --> 00:15:42,440
So the VIX, which is generally 
seen as stock volatility index 

282
00:15:42,440 --> 00:15:43,800
essentially has also gone very 
high. 

283
00:15:43,800 --> 00:15:47,000
And there's a lot of correlation
actually just between crypto and

284
00:15:47,000 --> 00:15:49,080
the VIX. 
So maybe this is what it is. 

285
00:15:49,080 --> 00:15:53,040
It's just crypto doesn't like 
macro volatility, which is what 

286
00:15:53,040 --> 00:15:55,560
we're seeing even though crypto,
even though macro seems to be 

287
00:15:55,560 --> 00:15:58,560
doing OK, it's definitely gotten
more volatile over the last 

288
00:15:58,560 --> 00:16:01,640
couple of weeks. 
And then people kind of tend to 

289
00:16:01,800 --> 00:16:04,600
worry a bit more about crypto. 
So that's the only thing I I 

290
00:16:04,600 --> 00:16:07,120
could point to because 
everything else, yeah, drone 

291
00:16:07,120 --> 00:16:10,720
Powell came out yesterday and 
said that like inflation is, is 

292
00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:13,000
stayed a little bit hard for 
longer, but the market been 

293
00:16:13,000 --> 00:16:18,560
pricing that in now for weeks. 
Pricing waiting for weeks. 

294
00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:28,680
Sorry, I think I lost you again.
Yeah, it's going to be a tough 

295
00:16:28,680 --> 00:16:31,920
show, isn't it? 
Maybe I'll stop sharing my Maybe

296
00:16:31,920 --> 00:16:33,240
I'll stop. 
Sharing my screen maybe shot. 

297
00:16:33,240 --> 00:16:35,200
Yeah, that's taking up too, too 
many resources. 

298
00:16:39,240 --> 00:16:42,400
Can you see me or no? 
I can see you. 

299
00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:46,840
Yeah, you're momentary 
momentarily freezing, but I can 

300
00:16:46,840 --> 00:16:49,240
see you. 
But you're frozen again. 

301
00:16:53,160 --> 00:16:54,080
Yep. 
It's going really well. 

302
00:16:54,080 --> 00:16:55,800
It's just just me speaking to 
myself now. 

303
00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:18,319
Well, this is kind of awkward. 
It's just me, no Mando. 

304
00:17:18,960 --> 00:17:20,839
And I wasn't even listening to 
what he was saying, so I can't 

305
00:17:20,839 --> 00:17:27,720
even continue the conversation. 
I think he was talking about 

306
00:17:27,720 --> 00:17:32,360
interest rates in macro, which 
have gone a lot, lot higher in 

307
00:17:32,360 --> 00:17:35,680
the last few days. 
Part of the reason for that is 

308
00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:39,720
the inflation data. 
The other. 

309
00:17:41,320 --> 00:17:45,200
OK, cool. 
The other part of the reason for

310
00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:50,400
that is I think Japan is like 
the one of the largest or if not

311
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:54,200
the largest holder of U.S. 
Treasuries and they're having to

312
00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:57,280
sell that to buy yen in order to
protect their currency for some 

313
00:17:57,280 --> 00:17:59,840
weird reason. 
So that I think caused the 

314
00:17:59,840 --> 00:18:01,920
massive spike in Treasury yields
yesterday. 

315
00:18:03,280 --> 00:18:09,840
And it seems like that's also 
that sell program is ongoing 

316
00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,240
right now and it's been going on
for quite some time this year as

317
00:18:12,240 --> 00:18:13,880
well. 
So that's another thing that I 

318
00:18:13,880 --> 00:18:16,920
think is exacerbating the 
movement in US interest rates, 

319
00:18:17,680 --> 00:18:21,400
which is maybe the reason why 
oil's not really high and is 

320
00:18:21,400 --> 00:18:23,880
maybe the reason why stocks 
aren't really moving because 

321
00:18:23,880 --> 00:18:25,880
it's more of a technical reason 
rather than a fundamental 

322
00:18:25,880 --> 00:18:28,720
reason. 
But obviously, we've had the 

323
00:18:29,520 --> 00:18:32,000
inflation data, etcetera, which 
is coming in higher than 

324
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:35,920
expected on, on multiple pretty 
much every single occasion this 

325
00:18:35,920 --> 00:18:39,480
year as well. 
There were some comments from 

326
00:18:39,480 --> 00:18:43,520
Jerome Powell yesterday as well.
And I think at the beginning of 

327
00:18:43,520 --> 00:18:45,920
this year, I think there was 
some hope for interest rate cuts

328
00:18:45,920 --> 00:18:48,000
and the commentary from the Fed 
was a bit more dovish. 

329
00:18:48,560 --> 00:18:51,680
His comments yesterday were 
definitely I think were a little

330
00:18:51,680 --> 00:18:53,480
bit of AU turn. 
I think it's going back to what 

331
00:18:53,480 --> 00:18:56,640
he said for most of last year, 
which is inflation hasn't moved 

332
00:18:57,440 --> 00:19:01,000
lower as quickly as they had 
hoped and that they would have 

333
00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:04,160
to keep interest rates at these 
or they were able to keep 

334
00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:05,840
interest rates at these levels 
for as long as they needed to 

335
00:19:05,840 --> 00:19:07,960
until interest, until inflation 
comes lower. 

336
00:19:07,960 --> 00:19:11,880
So it's kind of we're kind of 
moving back towards that higher 

337
00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,840
for longer narrative. 
Welcome back. 

338
00:19:16,400 --> 00:19:18,040
Yeah, I was just well done, man.
Well done. 

339
00:19:18,040 --> 00:19:19,480
Thanks. 
Yeah, I'm really, I'm really 

340
00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:20,240
proud of myself. 
A round. 

341
00:19:20,920 --> 00:19:22,200
Of applause for that. 
That was, yeah. 

342
00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:25,720
The Internet should be good down
here. 

343
00:19:26,200 --> 00:19:27,200
Yeah, you're good, You're good 
here. 

344
00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:29,160
You're you're a little bit 
quiet, but. 

345
00:19:29,760 --> 00:19:31,520
Yeah, because I'm having I, I 
have to take off all the 

346
00:19:31,520 --> 00:19:34,080
broadcast and stuff. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's right. 

347
00:19:34,960 --> 00:19:40,840
Just speak loudly I guess. 
Yeah, so, and then what's been 

348
00:19:40,840 --> 00:19:46,280
going on in in like spoiler 
coins, I think I saw the main 

349
00:19:46,280 --> 00:19:48,600
thing I saw yesterday was that 
Coinbase wallet is now going to 

350
00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:50,760
be integrating with Solana, 
right? 

351
00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:56,280
Which I think is going to be 
quite a big deal for if, you 

352
00:19:56,280 --> 00:19:58,200
know, they they're doing this 
smart wallet as well. 

353
00:19:58,400 --> 00:20:00,400
And everyone was debating 
whether they're going to be able

354
00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:05,160
to trade soul meme coins and now
it looks like. 

355
00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:07,880
That's going to be a real 
possibility because Coinbase 

356
00:20:07,880 --> 00:20:10,280
wallet is integrated for on 
chain Solana trading. 

357
00:20:10,280 --> 00:20:13,160
So that I think that could be a 
big deal. 

358
00:20:13,160 --> 00:20:15,400
It does feel like mean coins is 
still where the action is, but 

359
00:20:15,400 --> 00:20:17,640
most things have still been 
hammered right? 

360
00:20:18,120 --> 00:20:21,520
Like most most mean coins right 
now are just like waiting for 

361
00:20:21,520 --> 00:20:29,000
some stability in in Bitcoin or 
in or in or in Solana or in E. 

362
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:35,200
Yeah, they're just, I mean, I'm 
surprised at how well they've 

363
00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,280
held up. 
Like some, for example, at WIF 

364
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:40,680
is to the 2.2, is it 2.52 point 
4? 

365
00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:45,440
So it's that $2.4 billion market
cap, which is still massive. 

366
00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:49,400
Like if I was, if I really was 
bearish on crypto right now, I'd

367
00:20:49,400 --> 00:20:52,280
be shorting the fuck out of like
meme coins and stuff like WIF, 

368
00:20:52,280 --> 00:20:54,200
which is that crazy high market 
caps. 

369
00:20:54,200 --> 00:20:56,640
But I'm not bearish on it. 
And I think that stuff will go 

370
00:20:56,640 --> 00:20:58,680
high. 
But yeah, it's, it's, it's a bit

371
00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:02,080
interesting to see this massive.
I mean, ether's below 3K right 

372
00:21:02,080 --> 00:21:04,160
now, right? 
Like it's interesting to see 

373
00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:07,680
this big pull back and seeing 
meme coins hold up so well. 

374
00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:09,800
And I think it just means one of
two things. 

375
00:21:09,800 --> 00:21:14,600
It means either shit really hits
the fan and meme coins just get 

376
00:21:14,600 --> 00:21:16,720
crushed. 
And I hope that doesn't happen, 

377
00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:20,640
but it's a possibility. 
Or when we bounce back, because 

378
00:21:20,640 --> 00:21:24,680
meme coins have been so strong, 
we will see like some crazy, 

379
00:21:24,680 --> 00:21:27,080
crazy strength and a crazy 
another crazy run of meme coins 

380
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,560
across the board, which I think 
is maybe a scenario that people 

381
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:33,640
are a bit more happy with, 
obviously, But maybe can, you 

382
00:21:33,640 --> 00:21:36,240
know, think it's a bit more of a
realistic possibility, But 

383
00:21:36,600 --> 00:21:38,200
either could happen. 
Like meme coins are just at this

384
00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:42,280
like these levels right now with
like ETH blow 3K and like 

385
00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,040
multiple mean coins and multi 
billion done market caps on 

386
00:21:44,040 --> 00:21:46,360
those kind of stuff like it's at
a point of inflection. 

387
00:21:46,360 --> 00:21:47,440
It's going to go one way or the 
other. 

388
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:48,880
It's not going to stay at these 
levels for a while. 

389
00:21:48,880 --> 00:21:51,720
And so I think if we don't see a
meaningful balance in crypto 

390
00:21:52,480 --> 00:21:57,440
from here, I, I as a big, big 
bag hold of a lot of mean coins,

391
00:21:57,720 --> 00:22:00,200
I would start to get a little 
bit worried about them here, I 

392
00:22:00,200 --> 00:22:03,440
think. 
Some old coins are never coming 

393
00:22:03,440 --> 00:22:05,560
back. 
Like they look like they're 

394
00:22:05,560 --> 00:22:07,320
never coming back. 
And that's the same with some of

395
00:22:07,320 --> 00:22:09,560
these meme coins, right? 
Like I looked at some of the old

396
00:22:09,560 --> 00:22:11,840
coin charts. 
I'm just like, what is it going 

397
00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:14,040
to take for some of these to 
come back? 

398
00:22:14,040 --> 00:22:17,200
Like particularly some of the 
older ones that kind of had a 

399
00:22:17,200 --> 00:22:20,720
little bit of a rally and then 
they just kind of like fade. 

400
00:22:20,720 --> 00:22:23,520
They've just now faded away, 
like all of the gains that we 

401
00:22:23,520 --> 00:22:24,840
had. 
And so for some of them, that 

402
00:22:24,840 --> 00:22:28,360
was a lot, you know, to even get
them up to higher levels. 

403
00:22:29,040 --> 00:22:32,320
And now that it's like it's 
completely gone for so many of 

404
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:40,400
these these like ecosystem coins
or L twos or D5, like I just I 

405
00:22:40,400 --> 00:22:42,040
don't know what the fuck it 
takes right? 

406
00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:46,040
Like it's it really does feel as
though you the comments are 

407
00:22:46,360 --> 00:22:48,320
hilarious on this. 
By the way, I love, I love what 

408
00:22:48,320 --> 00:22:51,160
Chad Myers like a proud parent 
watching his kid talk his 

409
00:22:51,160 --> 00:22:54,680
Christmas show. 
I was like, I don't know what to

410
00:22:54,680 --> 00:22:58,440
do here, so just. 
I think everyone was proud of 

411
00:22:58,440 --> 00:23:00,360
you at that stage. 
You know, you weren't clearly, 

412
00:23:00,360 --> 00:23:02,520
you clearly weren't listening. 
I was going in and out. 

413
00:23:02,600 --> 00:23:07,040
I was not listening at all. 
I was going in and out of of 

414
00:23:07,080 --> 00:23:10,400
signal and we just had to rely 
on you. 

415
00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,400
We felt like you've hosted the 
show once by yourself actually. 

416
00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:15,880
And like everyone said, you 
completely crushed it. 

417
00:23:16,080 --> 00:23:17,280
And then you've never really 
done. 

418
00:23:17,280 --> 00:23:19,560
It that was a long time ago. 
That was like almost two years 

419
00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:21,000
ago when I had to do it by 
myself. 

420
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:27,040
Yeah. 
But I do think that if you're 

421
00:23:27,040 --> 00:23:31,520
sitting there on some old coin 
bag or mean coin bag and you're 

422
00:23:31,520 --> 00:23:35,680
like you're waiting for the like
Solana to save you. 

423
00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:40,640
I'm not sure it will. 
I don't know if I know that's 

424
00:23:40,760 --> 00:23:42,680
tough to hear, right. 
But like, oh, you know, I'll 

425
00:23:42,680 --> 00:23:47,280
sell this thing which is down 
40% because I'll wait for Ethel 

426
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:50,360
Bitcoin or Solana to rally and 
then my thing will go up 10X. 

427
00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:54,920
If your thing has gone up 10X 
and then it's dropped 60% on 

428
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:59,040
this, I don't think it goes back
to that 10X. 

429
00:23:59,920 --> 00:24:04,400
Even if Bitcoin goes back to 72 
K, like I think there'll 

430
00:24:04,400 --> 00:24:07,080
probably be a bounce if Bitcoin 
like rallies again on a lot of 

431
00:24:07,080 --> 00:24:10,640
this stuff, but don't expect it 
to go back to all time high. 

432
00:24:10,640 --> 00:24:13,440
I think a lot of these altcoins,
I think a lot of altcoins and a 

433
00:24:13,440 --> 00:24:17,800
lot of mean coins have put in 
their potentially their yearly 

434
00:24:17,800 --> 00:24:22,360
high in in the in the last 
month. 

435
00:24:22,560 --> 00:24:24,560
I don't know if you would agree 
with that OSF, that's maybe 

436
00:24:24,560 --> 00:24:27,240
quite a bearish take, but I look
at some of these and just go 

437
00:24:27,240 --> 00:24:30,040
like, I don't know who's buying 
that on. 

438
00:24:30,680 --> 00:24:33,920
On this. 
On this bounce, like the things 

439
00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,920
that I'm buying right now is 
Solana like because I feel like 

440
00:24:36,920 --> 00:24:40,560
you can go back, but like a lot 
of alt coins, a lot of mean 

441
00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:42,520
coins. 
I'm just like, Oh yeah, that was

442
00:24:42,520 --> 00:24:44,600
probably it's that was probably 
it's cycle high. 

443
00:24:44,600 --> 00:24:47,400
That was probably at least it's 
yearly high Bitcoin goes to like

444
00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:50,920
3K like maybe all bets are off 
but does feel like that. 

445
00:24:51,760 --> 00:24:54,760
Yeah. 
I think, I mean, there's a 

446
00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:58,920
there's a large chunk of the OT 
coin market, which maybe were 

447
00:24:58,920 --> 00:25:03,400
like things that had pre, not 
pre sales, but like people could

448
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,280
invest in and, and now in their 
vesting periods and stuff that 

449
00:25:06,280 --> 00:25:10,440
just constantly have cell 
pressure like every week or 

450
00:25:10,440 --> 00:25:12,520
month or whatever it is or every
day in some cases. 

451
00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:15,440
And I just think that stuff will
always underperform the market. 

452
00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:18,680
Like, you know, if Bitcoin moves
20%, some random altcoin will 

453
00:25:18,680 --> 00:25:22,480
probably be higher, but that 
altcoin may only be like 10% 

454
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:25,360
higher or 15% higher, which is 
just stupid. 

455
00:25:25,360 --> 00:25:27,840
Like risk adjusted. 
Why would you not want to own 

456
00:25:27,840 --> 00:25:30,200
Bitcoin if it's the thing that's
outperforming or even matching 

457
00:25:30,200 --> 00:25:34,160
the performance of an altcoin? 
And there, yeah, I think that 

458
00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,280
does describe a large part of 
the market and it always will 

459
00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,280
do. 
Yeah, and that's a good point. 

460
00:25:39,280 --> 00:25:41,960
I'm more bullish on meme coins 
than I am on all coins, even on 

461
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,560
this bounce, because the 
tokenomics of all those altcoins

462
00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:46,840
are just horrific, right? 
Like to even get them up to 

463
00:25:46,840 --> 00:25:49,600
those levels was tough. 
And then now they've still got 

464
00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:51,120
to have all the supply all the 
time. 

465
00:25:51,120 --> 00:25:55,760
So yeah, it doesn't. 
It still feels bad for the 

466
00:25:55,760 --> 00:25:58,960
altcoin market. 
I'm way more bullish on on meme 

467
00:25:58,960 --> 00:26:02,000
coins, even even for those 
bounces. 

468
00:26:02,000 --> 00:26:05,760
But at the same time, I think 
you've got to you got to 

469
00:26:05,760 --> 00:26:09,280
appreciate that some of this 
stuff that ran up to like 304 

470
00:26:09,280 --> 00:26:13,280
hundred million as an altcoin. 
I don't know if Bitcoin goes 

471
00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:16,800
back to 72 K, if that goes up to
300 to 400 million again, like 

472
00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:20,800
like it's it's a tough it's 
still tough to imagine. 

473
00:26:20,840 --> 00:26:27,280
Like money runs back like a lot,
a lot of the yeah, it's just 

474
00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:29,080
it's just that's what I was just
thinking this morning. 

475
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:30,240
Like what are we supposed to do 
now? 

476
00:26:30,240 --> 00:26:35,880
Like just sit and pray or just. 
Dude, I, I wake up every day, I 

477
00:26:35,880 --> 00:26:41,760
douche do shit for the duck. 
That's that's where I'm, that's 

478
00:26:41,760 --> 00:26:44,240
where I'm, I'm putting my my 
efforts. 

479
00:26:46,520 --> 00:26:51,360
But I think you got to wait for 
you got to wait for Bitcoin at 

480
00:26:51,360 --> 00:26:54,960
least to go back to like high 
60s and then hopefully then you 

481
00:26:54,960 --> 00:26:58,240
see Solana bounce back. 
The the other thing interesting 

482
00:26:58,240 --> 00:27:00,360
thing about Solana is that some 
of these air drops, I don't 

483
00:27:00,360 --> 00:27:06,240
think you saw, but like parcel 
and forget what the other one 

484
00:27:06,240 --> 00:27:11,200
was Sharkify. 
I think it was they haven't done

485
00:27:11,200 --> 00:27:14,320
that. 
Well, like the parcel FTV was 

486
00:27:14,320 --> 00:27:17,680
like 40 million and Sharkify was
like 500 million. 

487
00:27:17,680 --> 00:27:21,560
So some of that AirDrop story, 
you know, that was like really, 

488
00:27:21,560 --> 00:27:24,320
really strong in January, you 
know, oh, we're going to AirDrop

489
00:27:24,320 --> 00:27:27,160
something for and even even the 
concept around blast we talked 

490
00:27:27,160 --> 00:27:29,800
about yesterday, like because so
many altcoins have been 

491
00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:33,640
destroyed in this move, suddenly
these airdrops don't look as 

492
00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,840
attractive as they did. 
Like if you were going to get D5

493
00:27:36,840 --> 00:27:42,480
AirDrop and or get some L2 
AirDrop or, or some AI AirDrop 

494
00:27:42,480 --> 00:27:47,720
and all those coins are down 
like 60%, then suddenly the the 

495
00:27:47,720 --> 00:27:49,320
concept of that goes down a 
little bit. 

496
00:27:49,320 --> 00:27:53,640
So I'm super, super, super 
bullish on some. 

497
00:27:53,840 --> 00:27:58,320
I couldn't be more bullish on 
it's long term future, but I I 

498
00:27:58,320 --> 00:28:00,720
can imagine this is a period 
where people have to work out 

499
00:28:00,920 --> 00:28:03,160
what the next big driver is. 
I think the next big driver is 

500
00:28:03,160 --> 00:28:05,920
probably fire dancer. 
And I think some of the story 

501
00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:09,160
around the airdrops probably 
subsides across the market here,

502
00:28:09,160 --> 00:28:10,800
right? 
Because just because the 

503
00:28:10,800 --> 00:28:17,000
valuations for other altcoins is
down so much and I think the 

504
00:28:17,000 --> 00:28:18,960
meme coin cycle will come back 
pretty strong. 

505
00:28:20,120 --> 00:28:23,760
But it it it it just needs it 
just needs some stability to 

506
00:28:23,760 --> 00:28:27,200
come back to it. 
But yeah, I think we're all 

507
00:28:27,200 --> 00:28:30,000
sitting on our hands. 
We're hoping that Bitcoin 

508
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:34,320
doesn't completely nuke here, 
which increasingly is looking 

509
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:37,320
like it could. 
It could easily hit 5859 again. 

510
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:44,240
And then on that bounce, on that
bounce, I'm buying Solana, I'm 

511
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:47,760
buying Bitcoin, and I'm probably
buying a few meme coins, 

512
00:28:48,640 --> 00:28:50,760
including the duck. 
Yeah, that's about it. 

513
00:28:50,760 --> 00:28:52,200
What do you, what do you think? 
What are you? 

514
00:28:52,200 --> 00:28:53,600
What are you buying on the 
bounce? 

515
00:28:54,520 --> 00:28:59,360
I definitely want to buy more. 
I don't I'm not, I like to be 

516
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:02,680
concentrated in my positions 
because I think in a bull 

517
00:29:02,680 --> 00:29:04,440
market, just like the whole 
market goes up. 

518
00:29:04,440 --> 00:29:08,400
So I'm not right trying to like 
switch around between different 

519
00:29:08,400 --> 00:29:10,560
coins and stuff to like generate
alpha. 

520
00:29:10,560 --> 00:29:13,000
So like I kind of like pick my 
horses for the cycle and for me 

521
00:29:13,000 --> 00:29:15,800
that's whiff. 
Like I just think it's the mean 

522
00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:18,760
coin that seems to have the best
backing, the one that I think 

523
00:29:19,240 --> 00:29:22,000
has a good chance of like 
getting to ship doge levels. 

524
00:29:22,000 --> 00:29:24,280
So I think that's the thing. 
And it's also like I'm really 

525
00:29:24,280 --> 00:29:26,160
bullish on Solana so this year. 
And I think that's also like 

526
00:29:26,160 --> 00:29:29,000
kind of like a levered, levered 
play on Seoul as well. 

527
00:29:29,000 --> 00:29:32,920
So I would just buy that. 
I think that's the one if that 

528
00:29:32,920 --> 00:29:35,720
goes, I think if that goes below
2 again, which is not far away 

529
00:29:35,720 --> 00:29:38,640
from now, I would start putting 
some money back into that and 

530
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:42,680
just average down. 
But yeah, I don't know. 

531
00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:45,280
I mean, yeah, I don't know what 
to do right now. 

532
00:29:45,280 --> 00:29:49,840
Like it's, yeah, I think just 
watch basically. 

533
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:53,720
And then if if things go low 
bid, I think that's the best 

534
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:55,080
move. 
But it's just frustrating to sit

535
00:29:55,080 --> 00:29:57,280
here and just watch things like 
go low every day, I think. 

536
00:29:57,640 --> 00:30:00,280
With this a good example 
actually, and Pepe as well, like

537
00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:03,360
I actually think those could 
both double on a bounce. 

538
00:30:03,360 --> 00:30:06,040
Like I genuinely think they 
could both hit all time high 

539
00:30:06,040 --> 00:30:09,440
very easily. 
If I own like Lync or if I owned

540
00:30:10,320 --> 00:30:15,800
optimism or, you know, a bunch 
of these like more crowded, but 

541
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:18,760
still strong altcoin plays. 
I just don't think they're going

542
00:30:18,760 --> 00:30:23,000
back to also like to near all 
time high even on a bounce in 

543
00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:29,760
even on a bounce in in in ETH or
Bitcoin or or Sol. 

544
00:30:29,760 --> 00:30:34,480
So that's a good example. 
You you're not bullish on the 

545
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:34,960
duck. 
Is that? 

546
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:38,200
Is that going to be? 
Your I would also buy more duck.

547
00:30:38,200 --> 00:30:41,280
Yeah, I definitely would would 
buy more duck if it dropped, but

548
00:30:41,720 --> 00:30:43,840
the duck hasn't provided me with
a dip to we've. 

549
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:46,520
Got bit chat listing today. 
Bit chat listing. 

550
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:48,360
That's what I was. 
Doing. 

551
00:30:50,160 --> 00:30:51,800
Yeah, well, it just hasn't 
really. 

552
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:53,880
It's been up every single day, 
hasn't really dipped. 

553
00:30:53,880 --> 00:30:56,640
So had. 
A bit of a dip today. 

554
00:30:56,760 --> 00:30:59,240
Yeah, I guess it's it's, yeah, 
it's off the highs of yesterday,

555
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:01,680
I guess. 
But it's pretty incredible. 

556
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:02,760
It's like the only thing that's 
up. 

557
00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:08,360
Yeah, the what, what do you, 
what do you think about Solana 

558
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:10,400
though? 
Now like as I just described, 

559
00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:12,360
we've been super bullish on 
Solana on the show. 

560
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:17,360
And then now the AirDrop thing 
is kind of looking a little bit 

561
00:31:17,360 --> 00:31:20,320
weaker. 
Meme coins as a sector are 

562
00:31:20,320 --> 00:31:23,560
looking a little bit weaker. 
Do do you think that can go back

563
00:31:23,560 --> 00:31:26,880
to 200 soon or do you think it's
going to be, it's going to take 

564
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,360
some time now? 
I think it can. 

565
00:31:29,600 --> 00:31:31,080
I think it can and I think it 
will. 

566
00:31:31,080 --> 00:31:33,520
I don't think that narrative is 
finished or over. 

567
00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:36,360
I don't think the meme coin 
cycle is finished or over. 

568
00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:38,720
I think it's pretty clear that 
that's where the casino is the 

569
00:31:38,720 --> 00:31:42,120
cycle. 
And just like how the NFT market

570
00:31:42,120 --> 00:31:45,320
in 2021 would have its peaks and
troughs, I think the mean coin 

571
00:31:45,320 --> 00:31:48,560
market will have the same thing 
and it will happen predominantly

572
00:31:48,560 --> 00:31:50,560
on Solana. 
You'll have spots of activity in

573
00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:54,560
things like bass and perhaps 
even blast and you know, other 

574
00:31:54,560 --> 00:31:56,720
areas. 
But Solana is still by far the 

575
00:31:56,720 --> 00:32:00,800
cheapest to use and provided the
lock chain is up and running and

576
00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:04,520
not crashing and, and all that 
kind of stuff, it's also 

577
00:32:04,520 --> 00:32:06,080
potentially so the fastest to 
use as well. 

578
00:32:06,080 --> 00:32:09,440
So I just think that we'll have 
another season again, I don't 

579
00:32:09,440 --> 00:32:10,960
think that's going to go away 
and I think it will be more 

580
00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:12,880
sustained. 
And I think that will end up 

581
00:32:12,880 --> 00:32:15,000
being pretty bullish for Seoul. 
Like I just think it's there's 

582
00:32:15,000 --> 00:32:17,800
too much that's happened this 
year where it's shown it's hand 

583
00:32:17,800 --> 00:32:21,120
too much. 
I think where it's going to be 

584
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:24,440
very tough to fade it. 
But you need a bigger, you need 

585
00:32:24,440 --> 00:32:25,600
a, you need a bigger market 
rally. 

586
00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:27,200
I think if a bigger market 
rally, I think Seoul will do 

587
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:30,520
really well. 
But let's Seoul versus Bitcoin, 

588
00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:31,960
Seoul versus E. 
They all look like pretty good 

589
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:35,080
entry points to me now. 
You see that everyone's now 

590
00:32:35,080 --> 00:32:38,560
talking about ruins as well. 
Like I think I've seen every 

591
00:32:38,560 --> 00:32:42,120
single major market commentator 
that that was going from Solana 

592
00:32:42,120 --> 00:32:44,640
to talking about base season is 
now talking about ruins season. 

593
00:32:44,640 --> 00:32:49,560
Ruins is the is the token 
protocol coming out on Bitcoin. 

594
00:32:49,560 --> 00:32:52,840
It's going to be coming out in 
on 4/20, right? 

595
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:56,120
I think in three days everyone's
saying, you know, this is the 

596
00:32:56,120 --> 00:33:01,200
100 X bit of this cycle and 
some, I think Franklin Templeton

597
00:33:01,200 --> 00:33:03,920
came out and said it, pretty 
much everyone is being like this

598
00:33:03,920 --> 00:33:05,560
super bullish. 
We've already seen part of that,

599
00:33:05,560 --> 00:33:07,560
like part of the rally and a lot
of these ordinals has been 

600
00:33:07,560 --> 00:33:11,440
because of all the ruins air 
drops they're going to get. 

601
00:33:12,040 --> 00:33:14,760
Interestingly, I saw Beanie come
out yesterday and said, look, I 

602
00:33:14,760 --> 00:33:16,200
don't think it's going to be 
that big a deal. 

603
00:33:16,360 --> 00:33:18,800
He said, look, I think Bitcoin 
Maxis are Bitcoin Maxis. 

604
00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:20,280
They don't really like shit 
coining. 

605
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:23,480
They don't really like buying 
anything that isn't Bitcoin. 

606
00:33:24,680 --> 00:33:28,200
What do you think about that? 
Yeah, I think that's true for 

607
00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:31,040
Bitcoin Max's, but I think 
there's also a cohort of Bitcoin

608
00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:34,160
holders who understand that 
there needs to be more to 

609
00:33:34,160 --> 00:33:37,560
Bitcoin than just Bitcoin itself
in order to compete with other 

610
00:33:37,560 --> 00:33:39,040
chains. 
And I think that was the lesson 

611
00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:42,760
from ETH in 2021. 
So I think it's something that 

612
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:44,000
we'll have a lot of support 
behind it. 

613
00:33:44,000 --> 00:33:45,680
I think you will see a lot of 
people DJ ING on it. 

614
00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:48,360
It's not just like, oh, hey, 
here's this new thing on an L2, 

615
00:33:48,360 --> 00:33:50,160
random L2 or whatever. 
Like it's Bitcoin. 

616
00:33:50,160 --> 00:33:53,160
It's like the OG thing. 
It's a big thing and you've seen

617
00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:57,760
it's for me, to me that like 
that market will be an extension

618
00:33:57,760 --> 00:34:00,120
of ordinals. 
Like I think there's, there is 

619
00:34:00,120 --> 00:34:01,880
some good art and stuff in 
ordinals, but I think very few 

620
00:34:01,880 --> 00:34:03,920
people are buying and 
speculating on ordinals because 

621
00:34:03,920 --> 00:34:05,800
they're in it for the art or 
they like it. 

622
00:34:06,080 --> 00:34:10,520
They're they're speculating it 
on it as a basic for Bitcoin or 

623
00:34:10,520 --> 00:34:13,199
as a levered play on Bitcoin. 
And so if you have ruined, 

624
00:34:13,199 --> 00:34:16,679
there's another version of that 
that potentially is more liquid 

625
00:34:16,679 --> 00:34:19,040
and easy to trade. 
Just like how we've seen tension

626
00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:21,800
shift from NFTS on ETH to meme 
coins on ETH and now meme coins 

627
00:34:21,800 --> 00:34:25,560
and soul. 
By that logic, I think, you 

628
00:34:25,560 --> 00:34:27,600
know, stuff could be pretty 
pretty pretty interesting there,

629
00:34:27,600 --> 00:34:30,600
I think. 
Yeah, and I think people feel 

630
00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:34,120
like they've already missed a 
lot of this shit already. 

631
00:34:34,120 --> 00:34:36,120
They're like, oh, you know, I've
already missed it. 

632
00:34:36,560 --> 00:34:39,679
I saw a really good table. 
I forget who posted it. 

633
00:34:39,679 --> 00:34:42,560
I think it was maybe even 
Clemente or PL. or something 

634
00:34:42,560 --> 00:34:45,679
like that from the the Nifty 
Show, who put all the 

635
00:34:45,679 --> 00:34:49,400
collections, all the ordinals 
collections in ETH. 

636
00:34:49,840 --> 00:34:51,920
And like the highest ordinals 
collection is actually just like

637
00:34:52,480 --> 00:34:54,679
a ETH. 
It's really not that high. 

638
00:34:54,960 --> 00:35:00,440
Like we're nowhere near the the 
ETH highs for NFTS that we saw 

639
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:04,040
in the last cycle. 
You know, like board apes hit. 

640
00:35:04,040 --> 00:35:08,040
450 grand. 
Like punks hit similar right? 

641
00:35:08,040 --> 00:35:13,280
Like we are the top ordinals 
collection in terms of price is 

642
00:35:13,280 --> 00:35:15,480
like 30 grand. 
Is it roughly? 

643
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:21,400
Yeah, we are like nowhere near 
that. 

644
00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:26,760
Like, no, monkeys are 25 grand 
and how much is a puppet these 

645
00:35:26,760 --> 00:35:33,600
days? 
So like, yeah, 2020 grand. 

646
00:35:33,840 --> 00:35:36,920
So people feel like they've 
missed it because they've missed

647
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:40,160
the first bit of this move. 
But if if this does become a big

648
00:35:40,160 --> 00:35:42,720
thing, you know, if ruins does 
take off and Bitcoin Maxis 

649
00:35:42,720 --> 00:35:45,480
decide they're going to get rid 
of, you know, get part wave some

650
00:35:45,480 --> 00:35:49,200
of their Bitcoin, you know, if 
you get to 450 grand, it's still

651
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:52,240
a 20X still a still a still a 
big move. 

652
00:35:52,240 --> 00:35:56,560
So I don't think it's 100 X 
because I think I agree with 

653
00:35:56,560 --> 00:35:59,480
Beanie to an extent is that like
Bitcoin, there's a huge bit of 

654
00:35:59,480 --> 00:36:03,560
that Bitcoin TBL, which is just 
like we own Bitcoin because it's

655
00:36:03,560 --> 00:36:05,280
gold. 
We don't own Bitcoin for like 

656
00:36:05,640 --> 00:36:08,280
for utility. 
We own it because we don't ever 

657
00:36:08,280 --> 00:36:10,120
want to part ways of Bitcoin. 
It's the hardest asset in the 

658
00:36:10,120 --> 00:36:12,960
world. 
At the same time, I do think 

659
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:17,280
those could, you could easily 
see six figure ordinals, which 

660
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:20,640
is like a A5 to 10X from here. 
So I think and then that'll be 

661
00:36:20,640 --> 00:36:23,320
the same to some of these runes.
I also think that there's a lot 

662
00:36:23,320 --> 00:36:25,800
of grifting going on in that 
market and there's a lot of 

663
00:36:25,800 --> 00:36:28,120
assumptions that suddenly, you 
know, you launch something on 

664
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:31,040
runes and it's going to 
immediately go to hundreds of 

665
00:36:31,040 --> 00:36:34,640
millions. 
The highest I've ever seen for 

666
00:36:34,640 --> 00:36:41,640
like a Bitcoin token was Audi, 
which went to I think over a 

667
00:36:41,640 --> 00:36:46,080
billion, like a 1.5 billion. 
And then it's quickly gone back 

668
00:36:46,080 --> 00:36:48,200
to basically 500 million or 
less. 

669
00:36:49,480 --> 00:36:53,920
So I'd be wary of just like I 
own ruins, I'm going to be a 

670
00:36:53,920 --> 00:37:02,720
millionaire because I think it's
still very, it's very nascent 

671
00:37:02,920 --> 00:37:05,920
and liquidity can flow out of 
these things very, very quickly.

672
00:37:05,920 --> 00:37:08,960
And they can, they can drop like
an absolute stone when it does 

673
00:37:09,080 --> 00:37:11,880
like it's really like we pump 
this bit and then we move on to 

674
00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:15,720
the next bit. 
So I I'd just be wary about it 

675
00:37:15,720 --> 00:37:18,440
like a lot of just like when 
everyone said base season and 

676
00:37:18,440 --> 00:37:20,520
base season did last for like 2 
weeks and then all the mean 

677
00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:24,640
coins basically went to zero. 
Just be aware that like this 

678
00:37:24,640 --> 00:37:28,360
narrative is going to isn't just
like a given. 

679
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:31,080
Like it does require a lot for 
it to keep going. 

680
00:37:31,280 --> 00:37:32,880
And I don't think you're just 
immediately going to be a 

681
00:37:32,880 --> 00:37:34,760
millionaire for your own ruins. 
So like, be careful. 

682
00:37:35,720 --> 00:37:37,280
Yeah, I just don't. 
I just don't know where to 

683
00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:38,520
start. 
Like what would you buy? 

684
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:43,560
Well, the easiest thing to buy 
is things like puppets or or no 

685
00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:48,320
monkeys or like pizza ninjas or 
OMB, because then you get some 

686
00:37:48,320 --> 00:37:53,560
of this stuff for free. 
But getting stuff for free 

687
00:37:53,560 --> 00:37:55,400
doesn't mean you necessarily get
value with it. 

688
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:59,640
So I agree it's just something 
to be aware of that pups token, 

689
00:38:00,040 --> 00:38:05,440
you know, like the the one 
related to the puppets like that

690
00:38:05,920 --> 00:38:08,360
has been one of the more popular
plays. 

691
00:38:08,360 --> 00:38:11,920
There's like a liquid play. 
I don't know where that is 

692
00:38:11,920 --> 00:38:15,120
today. 
I saw, I saw like it rallied a 

693
00:38:15,120 --> 00:38:16,240
little bit. 
Let me have a look. 

694
00:38:16,240 --> 00:38:19,800
Let me see if I can find it. 
I would say that that's probably

695
00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:23,200
the the easiest one. 
But at the same time, like 

696
00:38:23,200 --> 00:38:29,720
that's down 50% in in a week. 
So you've got to be aware, like 

697
00:38:29,720 --> 00:38:34,000
if you're buying into it, like 
an answer narrative, don't 

698
00:38:34,000 --> 00:38:35,640
immediately assume you're going 
to be a millionaire. 

699
00:38:36,440 --> 00:38:38,520
These things are volatile, even 
if it's good. 

700
00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:40,720
And I'm not saying that he gives
bad calls or anything like that.

701
00:38:40,720 --> 00:38:45,520
But like this isn't be prepared 
for like this narrative to rug 

702
00:38:45,520 --> 00:38:50,480
you and you you have to be a, 
you know, a community member 

703
00:38:50,480 --> 00:38:54,560
slash long term believer, 
because ordinals doesn't just 

704
00:38:54,560 --> 00:38:55,920
immediately mean profit, I would
say.

