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Well, GM, everyone is another 
day of the takeover by myself, 

2
00:00:04,720 --> 00:00:07,120
cows and OSF. 
I guess it's just really you 

3
00:00:07,120 --> 00:00:09,400
taking over from farogue now. 
Like it's You're the new 

4
00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:13,440
farogue. 
The new farogue now. 

5
00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:16,400
Growing into the shoes, big 
shoes to fill. 

6
00:00:17,120 --> 00:00:19,160
Yeah, you're getting a lot of. 
I mean your friend tech account 

7
00:00:19,160 --> 00:00:21,560
is just going nuts. 
I think it's like 3X overnight. 

8
00:00:22,280 --> 00:00:24,160
People are people are buying 
into the county pipe. 

9
00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:30,380
Meanwhile, the OSF man is spread
as as actually it looks like 

10
00:00:30,700 --> 00:00:36,980
it's maybe narrowed recently. 
Someone I don't. 

11
00:00:38,540 --> 00:00:47,020
Know if you saw Deez's tweet, 
but someone in my someone in my 

12
00:00:47,020 --> 00:00:51,300
friend tech was like, you should
tweet more about your friend 

13
00:00:51,300 --> 00:00:53,300
tech. 
And I was like, I'm not pumping 

14
00:00:53,300 --> 00:00:55,940
your bags get. 
I'm not pumping your bags. 

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00:00:56,340 --> 00:00:59,550
Get. 
Yeah. 

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00:00:59,550 --> 00:01:01,430
So you have some sort of weird 
repeater on there. 

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Good job. 
But it does. 

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00:01:04,510 --> 00:01:06,190
I did see that. 
I did see that someone dumped 

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your friend. 
Check the moment that you the 

20
00:01:08,910 --> 00:01:11,190
moment that you decided you 
weren't going to pump them. 

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00:01:11,590 --> 00:01:13,430
I'm OK. 
Pumping seems like Cali, I 

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00:01:13,430 --> 00:01:14,350
think. 
I'm pretty sure you're OK 

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00:01:14,350 --> 00:01:16,310
pumping. 
I haven't pumped anything. 

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00:01:16,790 --> 00:01:20,910
No, of course not. 
All organic, baby organic. 

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00:01:21,870 --> 00:01:26,190
Yeah, exactly. 1E1E for Cali. 
I think by the end of this, by 

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end of this anyway, we're going 
to get into the top five, six 

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things again that we've seen 
over the last 24 hours in 

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crypto. 
We are sponsored by Kraken NFT. 

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00:01:38,400 --> 00:01:40,120
We had them on the show last 
week. 

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00:01:40,120 --> 00:01:42,080
Go check it out. 
They are building our 

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marketplace. 
They're doing a bunch of 

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00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,200
different activations alongside 
communities. 

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I know they worked with the guy 
and Leap, they're going to be 

34
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doing some stuff with their F1 
team because they sponsor 

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00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:53,400
Williams is going to be pretty 
cool. 

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They've been doing the point 
system for for D guards, which 

37
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is obviously been going well and
I just expect to see them in and

38
00:02:03,180 --> 00:02:05,700
around the NFT space for the 
foreseeable future. 

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00:02:06,140 --> 00:02:09,180
So yeah, go check it out 
kraken.com/rug radio. 

40
00:02:09,820 --> 00:02:12,820
Anyway, we will get into 
probably the the kind of boring 

41
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macro stuff which was kind of 
looming over us for a little 

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bit, which was what happened in 
inflation today. 

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Inflation came in marginally 
worse than expected. 

44
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By worse that means higher. 
I think it came in like 3.7% 

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versus 3.6% expected or the core
inflation was notably higher and

46
00:02:31,610 --> 00:02:37,490
core inflation is the sorry, 
core inflation came in slightly 

47
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lower and core inflation is the 
bit that is the, I don't know, 

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00:02:42,250 --> 00:02:44,770
it's the bit that people look at
a little bit more because it 

49
00:02:44,770 --> 00:02:46,810
takes away some of the 
variability in the inflation 

50
00:02:46,810 --> 00:02:50,850
figures accounting to food and 
energy. 

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00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:55,480
What did you guys think of that?
The market kind of sold off 

52
00:02:55,480 --> 00:02:58,600
slightly and is now currently 
rallying. 

53
00:02:58,760 --> 00:03:02,480
We are rallying. 
I don't know if there was a 

54
00:03:02,480 --> 00:03:04,640
headline or something just then,
but we've just, we've just taken

55
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a bit of a green candle as the 
show has started. 

56
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I was buying, I was like it just
felt strong to me. 

57
00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:15,440
The market, we had that news 
about finance overnight, which 

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we'll get into and the market 
didn't really care. 

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00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:22,110
And then we had some news about 
this inflation figure. 

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00:03:22,590 --> 00:03:26,710
And I don't know, it just feels 
as though shorts were being 

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added. 
And I don't know, I just thought

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00:03:29,270 --> 00:03:33,230
it's just set up for maybe a bit
of a bounce here, maybe towards 

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27 K on Bitcoin and 1700 on 
each. 

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00:03:36,430 --> 00:03:40,910
But what did you guys think? 
I think the numbers were good, 

65
00:03:41,310 --> 00:03:43,510
but we didn't really, to be 
honest with you, we didn't 

66
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really see a big market move 
either way because they're 

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00:03:45,150 --> 00:03:47,030
pretty much bang in line with 
expectations. 

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00:03:49,000 --> 00:03:52,040
But I think that we've seen, 
we've already seen interest 

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00:03:52,040 --> 00:03:55,080
rates sell off in the past month
when energy prices are rising 

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00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:57,320
that we know that oil has been 
higher and elevated for the last

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00:03:57,320 --> 00:03:59,120
month. 
So a lot of the stuff is already

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baked in I think. 
So for inflation to go higher 

73
00:04:01,480 --> 00:04:03,200
like that was obviously baked 
in, that was the consensus 

74
00:04:03,200 --> 00:04:04,760
number we came in exactly in 
line. 

75
00:04:05,880 --> 00:04:09,560
And then even core inflation 
like it was, it was actually, 

76
00:04:09,560 --> 00:04:12,440
sorry, headline inflation was 
0.1 percentage point above 

77
00:04:12,560 --> 00:04:14,360
consensus and core inflation was
in line. 

78
00:04:15,360 --> 00:04:17,600
If you look at the chart of core
inflation has come down a lot 

79
00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:20,070
like it's still. 
Going down pretty a decent 

80
00:04:20,070 --> 00:04:23,350
amount for the last past year or
so. 

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00:04:23,350 --> 00:04:25,390
So I personally think it's 
encouraging. 

82
00:04:25,390 --> 00:04:28,510
But again like it's nothing 
unexpected, it's nothing that's 

83
00:04:28,510 --> 00:04:34,550
not already priced in. 
And I personally, I think what 

84
00:04:34,550 --> 00:04:38,670
we hear from the FOMC next week 
is maybe more important than 

85
00:04:38,670 --> 00:04:42,270
these numbers, but I don't think
we've seen enough variance in 

86
00:04:42,270 --> 00:04:46,660
the data in the last. 
Two months for the FOMC to 

87
00:04:46,660 --> 00:04:49,460
communicate anything different. 
Like we have had some weaker 

88
00:04:49,460 --> 00:04:52,540
labor market prints. 
We've seen headline inflation 

89
00:04:52,540 --> 00:04:54,260
start to go back higher, but 
we've seen core inflation go 

90
00:04:54,260 --> 00:05:00,380
lower and this is in, in the an 
environment where energy prices 

91
00:05:00,380 --> 00:05:03,020
are rising once again. 
So like you still have like 

92
00:05:03,020 --> 00:05:06,300
rising energy prices versus 
maybe maybe a slightly weaker 

93
00:05:06,340 --> 00:05:09,060
labor market versus inflation 
kind of just coming in line with

94
00:05:09,060 --> 00:05:12,780
expected and bottoming out on? 
Header inflation but still going

95
00:05:12,780 --> 00:05:15,540
low on core. 
So for me there's nothing there 

96
00:05:15,540 --> 00:05:18,060
for the Fed to change their 
tune. 

97
00:05:18,340 --> 00:05:22,180
I think they'll just maintain 
that we'll use all tools 

98
00:05:22,180 --> 00:05:24,460
available to us as a man we need
to. 

99
00:05:25,180 --> 00:05:30,460
I personally don't think they'll
raise next week. 

100
00:05:30,460 --> 00:05:33,060
I think they'll probably hold, 
but I think if you get two more 

101
00:05:33,060 --> 00:05:37,250
months of weak labor market and.
Lower core inflation. 

102
00:05:37,250 --> 00:05:39,530
Then I think you may start to 
see some communication of what 

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00:05:39,530 --> 00:05:42,210
the plan is for next year, which
I think most people are hoping 

104
00:05:42,210 --> 00:05:46,530
for a pivot, but that's that's 
where I stand right now. 

105
00:05:46,530 --> 00:05:48,250
Do you think I raise rates 
again? 

106
00:05:51,010 --> 00:05:55,450
I I think there's a good chance 
they don't, You know, I really 

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00:05:55,450 --> 00:05:56,570
think there's a good chance they
don't. 

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00:05:57,610 --> 00:06:00,010
I don't think they need to. 
They can keep it here for they 

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00:06:00,010 --> 00:06:01,850
can start communicating. 
We think we're going to keep it 

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00:06:01,850 --> 00:06:05,050
here for a while, but I don't 
think there's a need. 

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00:06:05,630 --> 00:06:09,310
To raise rates at the moment, 
because that's not gonna impact 

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00:06:09,310 --> 00:06:13,350
the energy and oil price side of
things, right? 

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00:06:13,430 --> 00:06:17,590
So I don't think there's a need.
What do you think, Alec? 

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00:06:17,670 --> 00:06:19,310
Do you think? 
What do you think of this 

115
00:06:19,310 --> 00:06:21,870
inflation print? 
What do you think of if the 

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00:06:21,870 --> 00:06:24,190
Fed's gonna have to raise from 
here? 

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00:06:25,110 --> 00:06:28,030
I think gasoline. 
Gasoline's basically what caused

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00:06:28,030 --> 00:06:29,830
the spike, right? 
And I think that can go quite a 

119
00:06:29,830 --> 00:06:35,350
bit higher from here, maybe like
another 1020%, maybe more. 

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00:06:35,350 --> 00:06:37,350
I don't know. 
The oil price this year has been

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00:06:37,350 --> 00:06:42,710
relatively stable and if you see
that go past 101, ten, 120, 

122
00:06:42,710 --> 00:06:45,190
whatever, then obviously that 
passes through to US gasoline 

123
00:06:45,190 --> 00:06:49,110
pretty pretty easily. 
I would just worry about the the

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00:06:49,110 --> 00:06:53,110
shelter index and how that 
looks. 

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00:06:53,110 --> 00:06:56,150
I think that's the one part of 
the inflation narrative which. 

126
00:06:56,740 --> 00:07:01,700
Is controlled by rates and maybe
is in a little bit of a tight 

127
00:07:01,700 --> 00:07:04,900
spot, huh? 
Isn't it getting hammered the in

128
00:07:04,900 --> 00:07:07,380
place the shelter in this? 
So far, yeah. 

129
00:07:07,380 --> 00:07:10,500
But I think it can rebound quite
easily if like, there's a 

130
00:07:10,500 --> 00:07:12,300
current. 
Why do you think that? 

131
00:07:14,060 --> 00:07:18,540
A bunch of well, as more 
landlords go bust and supply 

132
00:07:18,540 --> 00:07:23,060
gets taken off the market like 
rental supply and everywhere is 

133
00:07:23,060 --> 00:07:25,750
pretty tight I think. 
So this this sounds like a 

134
00:07:25,750 --> 00:07:29,590
classic classic alley theory. 
Doesn't sound like data has been

135
00:07:29,590 --> 00:07:34,270
showing from like, Zillow from 
and from the like the the Fed 

136
00:07:34,270 --> 00:07:36,510
data on this shows that shelter 
inflation is gonna come down a 

137
00:07:36,510 --> 00:07:38,830
lot over the next 12 months. 
Now maybe it's been baked in. 

138
00:07:40,270 --> 00:07:44,510
So I guess shelter inflation is 
that's true because that's like 

139
00:07:44,950 --> 00:07:48,950
a back end calculation around 
like what mortgage payers, I 

140
00:07:49,110 --> 00:07:51,310
don't want to hit their 
alternative to rent, right? 

141
00:07:51,990 --> 00:07:54,030
Yeah, the. 
Calculation is yeah, the 

142
00:07:54,030 --> 00:07:56,550
calculation is a bit of a dicey 
1 because it's like it's a 

143
00:07:56,550 --> 00:08:01,870
survey of what it's. 
A survey of homeowners, isn't 

144
00:08:01,910 --> 00:08:03,630
it? 
What What would be willing to 

145
00:08:03,630 --> 00:08:05,190
pay for their house or 
something? 

146
00:08:05,190 --> 00:08:06,830
Crazy, Yeah. 
What would they be willing to 

147
00:08:06,830 --> 00:08:10,190
pay to rent their house out 
instead of having a mortgage? 

148
00:08:10,190 --> 00:08:12,310
Right. 
So it's it's like a weird 

149
00:08:12,670 --> 00:08:15,110
calculation. 
And there are other things that 

150
00:08:15,110 --> 00:08:17,590
actually impact that rather than
just like house prices. 

151
00:08:17,990 --> 00:08:24,280
So yeah, so I I I mean this is a
good inflation a year and year 

152
00:08:24,280 --> 00:08:27,560
basis market rents just the CPAP
inflation growth should I think.

153
00:08:27,680 --> 00:08:29,560
I think the reason why it's 
going to go really low is 

154
00:08:29,560 --> 00:08:33,159
because of shelter like you see 
these leading indicator which is

155
00:08:33,159 --> 00:08:35,320
the Zillow and the apartment 
list index. 

156
00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:40,000
I think that I think that's the 
one bright spot in all of this 

157
00:08:40,000 --> 00:08:45,280
that that I think but I think 
oil like you said at the Star is

158
00:08:45,280 --> 00:08:47,440
the is the one risk. 
So I think it's really a case of

159
00:08:47,440 --> 00:08:50,510
shelter versus oil. 
I think that the Fed will not 

160
00:08:50,510 --> 00:08:54,430
raise rates this, this month. 
I think that we'll. 

161
00:08:54,430 --> 00:08:55,270
Just get a nudge. 
Sorry. 

162
00:08:55,950 --> 00:08:56,750
They'll get a nudge. 
Nudge. 

163
00:08:56,790 --> 00:08:58,350
Tapped out from Biden into 
election. 

164
00:08:58,350 --> 00:09:00,110
Yeah, right. 
Like, yeah, just keeping where 

165
00:09:00,110 --> 00:09:02,430
they are for a bit. 
Like this is how this all of 

166
00:09:02,430 --> 00:09:03,430
this stuff. 
Works right? 

167
00:09:03,470 --> 00:09:05,230
Like, yeah. 
So rigged? 

168
00:09:05,910 --> 00:09:08,830
Exactly. 
Ally and OSF Love and love Love 

169
00:09:08,830 --> 00:09:10,190
talking about how everything's 
rigged it. 

170
00:09:10,950 --> 00:09:14,750
Is everything is great, so don't
try to fight the rig, just be 

171
00:09:14,750 --> 00:09:16,930
the rig. 
Look, if you think there's zero,

172
00:09:17,370 --> 00:09:20,690
saying it's 100% rigged is as 
ridiculous as saying there's 

173
00:09:20,690 --> 00:09:23,210
zero political pressure. 
I I completely agree. 

174
00:09:23,610 --> 00:09:25,770
Like, I'm not saying it's not. 
I just love the way that OSF 

175
00:09:25,770 --> 00:09:27,770
smiles whenever you bring up 
some sort of conspiracy 

176
00:09:27,770 --> 00:09:29,610
theories. 
Like, yeah, believe in that. 

177
00:09:29,690 --> 00:09:30,970
I believe in that. 
I believe in that. 

178
00:09:33,290 --> 00:09:38,650
No smoke without fire, 100 
degree that that there's gonna 

179
00:09:38,650 --> 00:09:40,490
be a lot of pressure and I think
finally you made a statement 

180
00:09:40,490 --> 00:09:43,610
today being like you know 
inflation's come down a lot. 

181
00:09:43,610 --> 00:09:47,370
Like it's definitely gonna be 
ratcheting up pressure on on 

182
00:09:47,370 --> 00:09:50,010
them to not raise rates. 
I I don't see a reason why they 

183
00:09:50,010 --> 00:09:52,330
need to raise rates given what I
think is going to happen, 

184
00:09:52,330 --> 00:09:54,330
shelter, shelter inflation in 
the next few months. 

185
00:09:54,770 --> 00:09:56,410
Maybe we should have a bet on 
shelter inflation. 

186
00:09:56,410 --> 00:09:58,530
I think it's going to get 
destroyed, we. 

187
00:09:59,410 --> 00:10:01,330
Can't we can't like the? 
Bet Trees will move. 

188
00:10:04,570 --> 00:10:05,970
We missed you. 
We missed you for that sort of 

189
00:10:05,970 --> 00:10:11,030
insight. 
Alright, we will move on to next

190
00:10:11,030 --> 00:10:15,470
thing which was what happened in
finance which we kind of briefly

191
00:10:15,470 --> 00:10:19,630
touched upon overnight, but 
finance big headline cutting 30%

192
00:10:19,630 --> 00:10:23,150
of their US staff. 
The president of Finance US is 

193
00:10:23,150 --> 00:10:28,750
also leaving thredtles all over 
this calling for the end of 

194
00:10:28,790 --> 00:10:30,590
finance again and again and 
again. 

195
00:10:31,670 --> 00:10:34,670
This headline hit kind of late 
last night my times. 

196
00:10:35,990 --> 00:10:40,480
And then it kind of it developed
from what was just the guy 

197
00:10:40,480 --> 00:10:46,720
leaving this head of the US to 
this thread by by Adam Corcoran.

198
00:10:46,720 --> 00:10:50,360
Which was I've been saying if 
finance blows up, we'll be fine 

199
00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:54,080
in no time. 
Got a tip that I've not yet been

200
00:10:54,080 --> 00:10:56,080
able to fully verify. 
But I would lean towards it 

201
00:10:56,080 --> 00:10:57,880
being true. 
And if it's true, it'll note 

202
00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:00,560
it'll be a longer more painful 
ride than I thought and a life 

203
00:11:00,560 --> 00:11:02,640
behind bars would be a good 
outcome for CZ. 

204
00:11:03,640 --> 00:11:05,560
I've sent that tip to some 
journalists and I think I 

205
00:11:05,560 --> 00:11:09,520
confirm if it's real and we'll 
keep folks updated if I get 

206
00:11:09,520 --> 00:11:12,120
anything back. 
But in good faith, had to redact

207
00:11:12,120 --> 00:11:15,480
my will be fine stance and 
replace it with the we'll be OK.

208
00:11:18,000 --> 00:11:21,200
The memes write themselves at 
this point the the best replies 

209
00:11:21,200 --> 00:11:24,080
that all of his comments is the 
guy with the the it's the meme 

210
00:11:24,080 --> 00:11:27,160
of like, whoa Jack with the 
bigger, it's like her door, like

211
00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:27,720
hearing. 
This. 

212
00:11:28,400 --> 00:11:30,800
Like I heard this. 
Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

213
00:11:31,520 --> 00:11:33,560
You got a lot. 
You got a lot of push back for 

214
00:11:33,560 --> 00:11:37,150
this because this is just like 
this reminds me, I drew a while 

215
00:11:37,150 --> 00:11:41,830
ago the head of why Combinator 
put out that tweet and which is 

216
00:11:41,830 --> 00:11:44,630
like hearing the cryptos go. 
To 0 Paul Graham Paul Graham 

217
00:11:46,110 --> 00:11:49,230
Well, the founder of Like It's. 
It's it's just as bad. 

218
00:11:49,230 --> 00:11:51,950
Saying something like that is 
almost just as bad as saying 

219
00:11:51,950 --> 00:11:54,590
what it was and spreading like 
random rumors, right? 

220
00:11:54,590 --> 00:12:02,470
Like it's just, you know, sorry 
and you know. 

221
00:12:04,080 --> 00:12:06,480
He has a position to push. 
Like you just know that whatever

222
00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:09,760
he's saying is like insincere 
because it's just like inverse, 

223
00:12:09,840 --> 00:12:12,200
like pumping bags. 
So she can't take anything he 

224
00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:14,800
says seriously anymore, can you?
I love the final line, but in 

225
00:12:14,800 --> 00:12:16,640
good faith I had to have my 
redact. 

226
00:12:16,640 --> 00:12:19,560
My will be fine songs. 
When have you been saying we'll 

227
00:12:19,560 --> 00:12:23,240
be fine you? 
Could miss the violence for like

228
00:12:23,240 --> 00:12:25,280
months, months and months and 
months. 

229
00:12:26,200 --> 00:12:30,910
My my view on this is that 
finance US is basically not 

230
00:12:30,910 --> 00:12:33,510
going to exist in the coming 
year and I think quite a lot of 

231
00:12:33,510 --> 00:12:35,510
finance Europe will also shut 
down. 

232
00:12:35,510 --> 00:12:38,310
So that makes sense for a lot of
people leaving. 

233
00:12:38,310 --> 00:12:40,670
I'm not saying that finance is 
whiter than white like what the 

234
00:12:40,670 --> 00:12:42,670
SEC charged them up is is pretty
bad. 

235
00:12:44,030 --> 00:12:48,110
But like in the US right now 
they are only nought .9% of 

236
00:12:48,110 --> 00:12:50,350
volumes. 
Now at the start of this year 

237
00:12:50,630 --> 00:12:53,790
they were much larger slice of 
that they were like 10 to 15% 

238
00:12:54,310 --> 00:12:57,310
but ever since that SEC case 
they basically got shut down 

239
00:12:57,310 --> 00:13:00,060
anyway and it's the same for 
them in the UK, it's the same 

240
00:13:00,060 --> 00:13:02,580
for them in in various different
European jurisdictions. 

241
00:13:02,660 --> 00:13:03,740
They're finding it very 
difficult. 

242
00:13:04,060 --> 00:13:07,020
You can get like a license to 
operate in the EU at the moment 

243
00:13:07,340 --> 00:13:09,900
and every single banking partner
of them is basically being told 

244
00:13:09,900 --> 00:13:13,900
you can't touch them. 
So the idea that they are going 

245
00:13:13,900 --> 00:13:17,540
to be cutting staff in the US 
when they do nought .9% of their

246
00:13:17,540 --> 00:13:20,340
volumes and finance has a lot of
volumes, it's like 40% of all 

247
00:13:20,340 --> 00:13:24,740
the spot volume in the market, 
only nought .9% of the market 

248
00:13:24,740 --> 00:13:27,670
share in the US. 
So I just think this is a very 

249
00:13:27,670 --> 00:13:35,030
weak, a weak, a weak headline to
then go on the rampage that Adam

250
00:13:35,030 --> 00:13:38,110
Cochran then went on saying 
everything's going to zero. 

251
00:13:38,110 --> 00:13:40,070
It's like I think Violence US is
over. 

252
00:13:40,950 --> 00:13:43,390
It's very, very clear. 
It's been clear for a few months

253
00:13:43,390 --> 00:13:47,110
now. 
And I think we even remember 

254
00:13:47,110 --> 00:13:51,310
like back when SBF actually got 
got found out, it's because he 

255
00:13:51,310 --> 00:13:53,750
basically said that CZ couldn't 
even go to the US. 

256
00:13:53,950 --> 00:13:56,070
Like violence has been 
restricted in the US for many 

257
00:13:56,070 --> 00:14:01,200
many many months. 
So I don't know, I don't think 

258
00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:03,520
you can read into this anything 
to do. 

259
00:14:03,560 --> 00:14:05,600
And I think there's a lot of 
recency bias. 

260
00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:07,600
Like everyone just assumes this 
is FDX. 

261
00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:14,240
If FDX did a Merkel tree proof 
two weeks ago before 2 weeks 

262
00:14:14,240 --> 00:14:15,680
before it went on there, it 
would have looked like a shit 

263
00:14:15,680 --> 00:14:19,680
show, an absolute shit show. 
Whereas buying a tip on two 

264
00:14:19,680 --> 00:14:23,960
weeks ago, you can go check it. 
One thing I would say that I've 

265
00:14:23,960 --> 00:14:25,760
mentioned once in the show 
already. 

266
00:14:26,270 --> 00:14:27,870
Is there is no smoke without 
fire. 

267
00:14:28,310 --> 00:14:32,830
And I think the guy stepping 
head of US, whatever stepping 

268
00:14:32,830 --> 00:14:35,990
down yesterday in isolation is 
not a big headline. 

269
00:14:36,150 --> 00:14:39,150
But in the context of multiple 
very senior people stepping 

270
00:14:39,150 --> 00:14:42,150
down, I think it's important and
it might just be that they're 

271
00:14:42,150 --> 00:14:44,070
winding some stuff down. 
It might just be the cost 

272
00:14:44,070 --> 00:14:45,190
cutting. 
Might just be that they're 

273
00:14:45,550 --> 00:14:48,430
optimizing. 
But you know there's no smoke 

274
00:14:48,430 --> 00:14:51,110
without fire and I think I think
there's something there. 

275
00:14:51,110 --> 00:14:53,750
I don't know if it's as bad as 
people like Adam Cochran are 

276
00:14:53,750 --> 00:14:54,950
making. 
I don't know if it's something 

277
00:14:54,950 --> 00:15:00,310
else because I agree there's a 
fire, but the SEC has already 

278
00:15:00,310 --> 00:15:01,910
charged them. 
It's not like we're waiting to 

279
00:15:01,910 --> 00:15:04,070
see what actually happens. 
The SEC literally came out and 

280
00:15:04,070 --> 00:15:06,110
said you did all this really bad
shit. 

281
00:15:06,350 --> 00:15:09,630
I think why the Goj is doing an 
investigation and would you 

282
00:15:09,710 --> 00:15:11,630
really want to be in like an 
executive there? 

283
00:15:12,190 --> 00:15:15,550
In my opinion, I think they're 
bracing themselves to pay a 

284
00:15:15,550 --> 00:15:21,070
large fine and as a result they 
are cutting costs basically and 

285
00:15:21,070 --> 00:15:23,190
trying to find a way to make 
sure they fund that and get 

286
00:15:23,190 --> 00:15:25,380
ahead of that. 
I don't think it's that they're 

287
00:15:25,380 --> 00:15:26,820
insolvent. 
You know what I mean? 

288
00:15:26,820 --> 00:15:28,780
Like, people can cut costs for 
lots of different reasons. 

289
00:15:28,780 --> 00:15:32,100
And to jump to the conclusion 
that they're insolvent. 

290
00:15:32,140 --> 00:15:35,900
I still haven't really seen any 
real proof of insolvency or 

291
00:15:35,900 --> 00:15:37,500
reasons why. 
It's just like, oh, they did 

292
00:15:37,500 --> 00:15:39,060
this and that's battle. 
This guy stepped down. 

293
00:15:39,060 --> 00:15:41,540
That's about, you know, they're 
laying off these people. 

294
00:15:41,540 --> 00:15:44,220
Like, yeah, I get it, they're 
costing cuts, but they're like I

295
00:15:44,220 --> 00:15:45,820
said, there's multiple reasons 
why you would do that. 

296
00:15:45,860 --> 00:15:48,020
And insolvency is just one of 
them. 

297
00:15:48,460 --> 00:15:53,180
So until I see some like real 
numbers or. 

298
00:15:54,000 --> 00:15:57,480
Something that's verified that 
suggests potential insolvency. 

299
00:15:57,640 --> 00:16:00,040
I'm not gonna buy it, but you 
know, these things always come 

300
00:16:00,040 --> 00:16:02,120
from rumors and stuff. 
And it was the same thing with 

301
00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:04,720
FTX, right? 
Just came from rumors and no one

302
00:16:04,720 --> 00:16:06,040
believed it until it was too 
late. 

303
00:16:06,680 --> 00:16:08,720
So you just can't. 
There's always fat cells in 

304
00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:10,520
these things. 
You can't discount things 

305
00:16:10,520 --> 00:16:12,800
entirely. 
But my hunch is it's just to pay

306
00:16:12,800 --> 00:16:13,960
a fine. 
But I don't know. 

307
00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:16,360
I could be wrong. 
I think, I think the things that

308
00:16:16,360 --> 00:16:20,080
we are very clearly seeing 
having at finance is they are 

309
00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:22,910
going to face some sort of 
enforcement action in the US. 

310
00:16:23,190 --> 00:16:25,790
the US is gonna make sure 
violence never operates in the 

311
00:16:25,870 --> 00:16:28,350
US. 
So if you're an executive based 

312
00:16:28,350 --> 00:16:30,590
out there or maybe even even in 
the legal department, like do 

313
00:16:30,590 --> 00:16:32,590
you really wanna be involved? 
There's probably gonna be 

314
00:16:32,590 --> 00:16:35,190
criminal charges which are 
either gonna have to pay a fine 

315
00:16:35,310 --> 00:16:37,650
and then you know they can walk 
away. 

316
00:16:37,850 --> 00:16:39,170
Same with like a lot of banks 
do. 

317
00:16:39,450 --> 00:16:42,010
Banks get charged with criminal 
stuff all the time like money 

318
00:16:42,010 --> 00:16:44,610
laundering and they basically 
pay a huge fine and they walk 

319
00:16:44,610 --> 00:16:46,090
away. 
I don't even know if they have 

320
00:16:46,090 --> 00:16:48,930
to claim liability, like claim 
they did anything wrong in that 

321
00:16:48,970 --> 00:16:50,570
case. 
That's why I think we could be 

322
00:16:50,650 --> 00:16:52,850
hanging for. 
They have a big fine to pay and 

323
00:16:52,850 --> 00:16:56,130
also they clearly had some 
issues with liquidity, like 

324
00:16:56,130 --> 00:16:59,450
they've needed to have liquidity
and a lot of their banking 

325
00:16:59,450 --> 00:17:01,650
partners or their offramps have 
been shut down. 

326
00:17:02,050 --> 00:17:06,310
So they've basically come out 
like I would say slightly dodgy 

327
00:17:06,310 --> 00:17:11,270
ways of off ramping funds which 
is why you've seen like all 

328
00:17:11,270 --> 00:17:15,190
these randomly stable coins come
and like it's very unclear about

329
00:17:15,190 --> 00:17:18,150
whether even like whether even 
coming from or which banking 

330
00:17:18,150 --> 00:17:20,910
partner they've done with. 
They clearly have to go to like 

331
00:17:20,910 --> 00:17:25,190
almost the the the Gray or black
market to try and get money in 

332
00:17:25,190 --> 00:17:28,550
and out for people I think. 
But that's again, this is very 

333
00:17:28,550 --> 00:17:32,350
different than being insolvent. 
Solvent means like there's a big

334
00:17:32,350 --> 00:17:35,280
hole in its balance sheet, 
hundreds of billions, probably, 

335
00:17:35,400 --> 00:17:38,400
sorry, 10s of billions, probably
given half the size of finance. 

336
00:17:39,280 --> 00:17:40,560
And I think that's a very 
different question. 

337
00:17:41,560 --> 00:17:44,040
Do you have a view on this Cali 
or do you want to move on? 

338
00:17:45,880 --> 00:17:47,560
I agree with that stuff. 
No smoke, not fire. 

339
00:17:47,560 --> 00:17:50,200
But I also agree with you that 
that probably just it's not 

340
00:17:50,360 --> 00:17:54,300
gonna be as big as FTX and. 
They're probably the SEC to be 

341
00:17:54,300 --> 00:17:56,100
playing for a fine. 
I also think that there's 

342
00:17:56,100 --> 00:17:59,900
probably a lot of pressure on 
the SEC from people like drug by

343
00:17:59,900 --> 00:18:03,580
guys like BlackRock, etc. 
To get rid of violence in the US

344
00:18:03,580 --> 00:18:06,780
before they get into it. 
That's like my base case is why 

345
00:18:06,820 --> 00:18:08,180
this is whole thing is 
happening. 

346
00:18:09,180 --> 00:18:10,540
Yeah, I completely agree with 
that. 

347
00:18:10,540 --> 00:18:12,940
There's clearly economic 
motivation to get them out of 

348
00:18:12,940 --> 00:18:16,340
Western markets so that these 
big Western money managers can 

349
00:18:16,820 --> 00:18:19,960
can basically take over. 
I think I think that's just like

350
00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:24,000
and interestingly we spoke about
Kenzel yesterday, he did, he 

351
00:18:24,000 --> 00:18:26,360
basically did and this is going 
to be the Third Point. 

352
00:18:26,360 --> 00:18:29,000
We kind of what what's this 
going, we're even going to touch

353
00:18:29,000 --> 00:18:31,720
up on this. 
But he basically went in front 

354
00:18:31,720 --> 00:18:35,480
of the Senate yesterday called 
Crypto most Crypto security. 

355
00:18:35,480 --> 00:18:37,840
He said there's a lot of fraud, 
abuse. 

356
00:18:38,580 --> 00:18:41,860
I think he was basically 
directing it at basically 

357
00:18:41,860 --> 00:18:43,860
directing it at finance. 
If I'm honest, like if you be 

358
00:18:43,860 --> 00:18:48,820
between the lines, I think he's 
basically got them square in his

359
00:18:49,820 --> 00:18:55,620
square in his cross tails. 
So cross tails, sorry, right. 

360
00:18:55,620 --> 00:19:01,660
So moving on to the the third 
thing of the day we are we've 

361
00:19:01,660 --> 00:19:03,860
seen even more growth in friend 
tech. 

362
00:19:03,940 --> 00:19:07,760
We kind of touched on it already
yesterday. 

363
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:10,480
It's been the difficult thing is
that you on a Daily Show you 

364
00:19:10,480 --> 00:19:12,960
have to kind of keeping it up. 
But the growth in friend tech 

365
00:19:12,960 --> 00:19:15,720
has been really pretty 
impressive. 

366
00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:20,720
I think Kyla, who runs Lucky 
Trader, put out a really good 

367
00:19:20,720 --> 00:19:22,840
summary tweets. 
Where was it? 

368
00:19:23,320 --> 00:19:27,520
Yeah, three hours ago. 
It's a GM for friendships, Some 

369
00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:31,920
friend tech stats with day over 
day changes, new users up 64%, 

370
00:19:32,400 --> 00:19:38,400
return use is up 12%, daily buy 
volume up 91%, TVL up 29%. 

371
00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,160
And the highest key which is 
raised if you created the 

372
00:19:41,160 --> 00:19:47,840
platform is up to nearly eight. 
You kind of were away from 

373
00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:50,960
friend tech for a while, OSF and
then you kind of came back. 

374
00:19:51,240 --> 00:19:55,080
What's your view on it now that 
you've come back like and you're

375
00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:56,280
maybe interacting with it a bit 
more? 

376
00:19:58,280 --> 00:20:03,580
I think I'm. 
I think when something just, you

377
00:20:03,580 --> 00:20:07,060
know volumes and everything and 
users just die off and maybe 

378
00:20:07,060 --> 00:20:10,500
something can just die and that 
didn't happen, on friend 

379
00:20:10,500 --> 00:20:14,340
actually came back pretty strong
and I know there's not in the 

380
00:20:14,340 --> 00:20:17,140
tbl is a lot higher. 
The user growth isn't like 

381
00:20:17,140 --> 00:20:21,020
crazy, but you know 4000 users 
isn't anything insane in the 

382
00:20:21,020 --> 00:20:26,340
context of crypto. 
But I think that's something 

383
00:20:26,340 --> 00:20:29,120
that will actually increase 
quite a lot. 

384
00:20:29,120 --> 00:20:31,800
Like right now there's nothing 
going on, there's nothing going 

385
00:20:31,800 --> 00:20:33,840
on in really encrypted, there's 
nothing going on in FTS and 

386
00:20:33,920 --> 00:20:39,160
nothing going on in shit coins. 
So board DJs just need something

387
00:20:39,160 --> 00:20:41,720
to do right now and friend tech 
seems to be it. 

388
00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:46,120
So I personally think the Tvl's 
gonna go a lot higher. 

389
00:20:46,120 --> 00:20:48,080
I think the number of users are 
gonna go a lot higher. 

390
00:20:48,480 --> 00:20:51,040
I think people will make people 
already have made a lot of money

391
00:20:51,040 --> 00:20:52,440
trading stuff and getting 
involved. 

392
00:20:52,440 --> 00:20:56,040
I think people created made a 
lot of money from earning 

393
00:20:56,040 --> 00:20:59,520
trading fees, and I think people
will make a lot more money doing

394
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:03,120
this. 
Just in terms of any random 

395
00:21:03,120 --> 00:21:05,480
thing that comes into the space,
this feels like it has the 

396
00:21:05,480 --> 00:21:08,760
characteristics of something 
that could increase quite 

397
00:21:08,760 --> 00:21:12,920
exponentially, and I think 
that's probably what will happen

398
00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,880
over the next few weeks. 
I think there's gonna be a lot 

399
00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,720
of money to be made here after 
that. 

400
00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:20,280
I'm not sure. 
You know, after that there comes

401
00:21:20,280 --> 00:21:22,560
this idea of like, well, if you 
have loads of users, then the 

402
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:24,920
value of everyone is diluted 
because there's more people to 

403
00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:27,080
trade and bet on. 
We don't really know what 

404
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:29,560
they're doing with the mechanics
of like shares and stuff. 

405
00:21:29,560 --> 00:21:31,960
Like we don't. 
There's no fixed supply and 

406
00:21:32,360 --> 00:21:34,800
right now prices are based on 
like incremental people buying 

407
00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:37,680
or selling. 
So it's not something that I 

408
00:21:37,680 --> 00:21:40,760
would like plow in loads of E 
There's like a long term hold or

409
00:21:40,760 --> 00:21:42,880
anything like that. 
But I do think there's some good

410
00:21:42,880 --> 00:21:45,000
money to be made in the short 
term here, either from just like

411
00:21:45,480 --> 00:21:47,720
being a creator and earning 
trading fees or just buying 

412
00:21:48,160 --> 00:21:50,120
other people. 
And also in terms of like 

413
00:21:50,120 --> 00:21:52,360
actually using the app, they've 
made some fixes. 

414
00:21:52,360 --> 00:21:54,640
I think before when I was using 
it, the chat function didn't 

415
00:21:54,640 --> 00:21:58,400
work, and now it does work. 
It's a really good curative way 

416
00:21:58,400 --> 00:22:01,280
to have conversations, which I 
think are better than Twitter 

417
00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,440
and my personal group. 
It's like I just have short 

418
00:22:04,440 --> 00:22:07,640
conversations with the people 
who are asking real things. 

419
00:22:07,640 --> 00:22:11,250
If I go in someone else's group,
you get to and you know, if you.

420
00:22:11,450 --> 00:22:13,570
The idea I guess is like you buy
shares of someone that you're 

421
00:22:13,570 --> 00:22:15,770
interested in and you don't 
usually have regular access to. 

422
00:22:16,610 --> 00:22:18,810
You get to chat to them and 
there's a lot of good alpha in 

423
00:22:18,810 --> 00:22:20,010
it as well. 
Like a lot of the Alpha's like, 

424
00:22:20,450 --> 00:22:21,730
you know, this guy just joined 
friend tech. 

425
00:22:21,730 --> 00:22:25,770
Like this is a good buy or 
market stuff or that kind of 

426
00:22:25,770 --> 00:22:26,690
stuff. 
So I think it's good. 

427
00:22:26,690 --> 00:22:31,490
Like it's kind of self, it's 
self curated, if that makes 

428
00:22:31,490 --> 00:22:37,260
sense to where rooms will just 
like converge to high quality 

429
00:22:37,260 --> 00:22:39,620
rooms for high quality people 
and low quality for low quality 

430
00:22:39,620 --> 00:22:42,180
people. 
So yeah, I think it's good and I

431
00:22:42,180 --> 00:22:45,900
think, I actually think in the 
next two weeks you're gonna see 

432
00:22:45,900 --> 00:22:48,540
that user growth and TVL grow 
exponentially. 

433
00:22:48,540 --> 00:22:51,860
And I think people who are 
buying the right keys on it will

434
00:22:51,860 --> 00:22:53,060
make a lot of money on it as 
well. 

435
00:22:53,740 --> 00:22:56,500
So can I I just want to touch on
the point that you just said, 

436
00:22:56,500 --> 00:22:59,580
which is I also think the 
quality of the conversation is 

437
00:22:59,620 --> 00:23:02,100
better, but also the tone of the
conversation is better like it's

438
00:23:02,100 --> 00:23:05,890
like less like. 
Aggressive I would say and a bit

439
00:23:05,890 --> 00:23:10,330
more bit more supportive if 
that's the right word. 

440
00:23:10,330 --> 00:23:14,970
It's just it's just less, I 
don't know, sensational I tend 

441
00:23:14,970 --> 00:23:17,330
to find and people are also a 
bit more honest because it's 

442
00:23:17,330 --> 00:23:20,330
smaller smaller group. 
But do you think do you think 

443
00:23:21,010 --> 00:23:24,010
this because people did move 
into smaller Discord groups, 

444
00:23:24,010 --> 00:23:26,890
smaller Telegram chats to have 
like better conversations? 

445
00:23:27,250 --> 00:23:29,770
Do you think the actual nature 
of the platform and that that 

446
00:23:29,970 --> 00:23:34,920
creators are rewarded? 
For basically good content or 

447
00:23:34,920 --> 00:23:37,520
like being involved, Do you 
think that's gonna mean it's 

448
00:23:37,720 --> 00:23:40,040
gonna be a better app over the 
medium term just for like, 

449
00:23:40,080 --> 00:23:42,680
general discourse? 
Yeah, I think so. 

450
00:23:42,840 --> 00:23:45,760
I really think so. 
I think look, for it to have 

451
00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:48,160
good discourse, you need to like
improve the app. 

452
00:23:48,200 --> 00:23:50,480
And I think there are lots of 
improvements that need to occur 

453
00:23:50,480 --> 00:23:52,880
for that to happen. 
But yeah I think it will. 

454
00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:54,160
It just the idea of it makes 
sense. 

455
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:56,440
Like I've I've always we've 
always had this discussion 

456
00:23:56,800 --> 00:23:59,240
between ourselves and and with 
Tally that like there really 

457
00:23:59,240 --> 00:24:01,840
needs to be a curated version of
Twitter like cuts out all the 

458
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,640
box, cuts out the crap and just 
get people who have the same 

459
00:24:04,640 --> 00:24:07,320
interest in a room together to 
be able to like connect some 

460
00:24:07,320 --> 00:24:09,000
things they're actually 
interested in with high quality 

461
00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,200
conversation. 
Like there's such a demand for 

462
00:24:11,200 --> 00:24:16,560
that and it hasn't happened. 
Like, it hasn't happened today 

463
00:24:16,560 --> 00:24:19,980
and now this thing exists. 
And so kind of like, I guess the

464
00:24:19,980 --> 00:24:21,780
other thing to mention is like, 
there's obviously going to be a 

465
00:24:21,780 --> 00:24:24,020
token at some point. 
So how much you're using it 

466
00:24:24,020 --> 00:24:26,820
right now, you're probably 
racking up your points to get 

467
00:24:26,820 --> 00:24:28,100
this AirDrop. 
So you're kind of getting paid 

468
00:24:28,100 --> 00:24:32,300
to use it as well. 
But I think that just may, it 

469
00:24:32,300 --> 00:24:33,580
forces people to interact, 
right? 

470
00:24:33,580 --> 00:24:36,380
Because even if you're a really 
big accountant, I'm in some, I 

471
00:24:36,380 --> 00:24:39,740
don't know, I remember just like
Cribra or like Anonymous and 

472
00:24:40,100 --> 00:24:41,540
other people. 
And these people that maybe 

473
00:24:41,540 --> 00:24:44,710
don't respond much on Twitter, 
but they wanna respond on friend

474
00:24:44,710 --> 00:24:45,750
tech. 
Because the more you respond, 

475
00:24:45,750 --> 00:24:48,510
the more points you might get 
for the AirDrop, right. 

476
00:24:48,510 --> 00:24:51,270
So everyone is incentivized to 
actually engage on it, which I 

477
00:24:51,270 --> 00:24:54,470
think is brilliant for now. 
We'll see what happens up post 

478
00:24:54,470 --> 00:24:56,790
AirDrop. 
But yeah, if you're not on 

479
00:24:56,790 --> 00:24:58,510
friend tech, it's a no brainer 
to be on it. 

480
00:25:00,150 --> 00:25:03,750
I know they get the points 
AirDrop every week, but yeah, 

481
00:25:04,190 --> 00:25:06,310
could be a long time. 
I think there's some time for 

482
00:25:06,310 --> 00:25:09,630
this develop and the more people
use it, the more it'll just 

483
00:25:09,630 --> 00:25:13,280
become part of the day-to-day, I
think, yeah, So yeah, they just 

484
00:25:13,280 --> 00:25:16,280
need, they need a web app 
because most people who do this 

485
00:25:16,280 --> 00:25:19,320
full time on their laptops and 
so it's really annoying to like 

486
00:25:19,640 --> 00:25:21,520
go on your phone and then you 
know. 

487
00:25:21,680 --> 00:25:24,000
Yeah, I think I haven't done it,
but I think there are ways. 

488
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:30,000
Let me just type it in. 
I'm pretty sure I saw that. 

489
00:25:30,000 --> 00:25:32,320
Would be cool if there is. 
How to set up friend tech on 

490
00:25:32,320 --> 00:25:34,600
desktop in 43 seconds? 
I think you have to go in 

491
00:25:35,040 --> 00:25:37,440
inspect and then run some 
commands or something like that.

492
00:25:37,440 --> 00:25:40,320
But there is a way to get it on 
your desktop if you want. 

493
00:25:41,100 --> 00:25:43,180
I'm definitely looking at that. 
But it's great. 

494
00:25:43,180 --> 00:25:44,860
There's always, like, if you get
into the right rooms, there's 

495
00:25:44,860 --> 00:25:47,140
always like, there's always some
alpha and who to buy or 

496
00:25:47,140 --> 00:25:48,980
whatever. 
And like, you know, they're like

497
00:25:48,980 --> 00:25:50,020
this guy just joined friends 
tech. 

498
00:25:50,020 --> 00:25:51,860
Like you get and everyone like 
rushes to like buy them when 

499
00:25:51,860 --> 00:25:54,180
they're like below 0.1 and then 
eventually they go up and then 

500
00:25:54,180 --> 00:25:56,180
you flip them. 
But yeah. 

501
00:25:56,660 --> 00:25:59,140
That stuff, I think the the main
strategies for people seem to do

502
00:25:59,140 --> 00:26:02,260
this 33 strategy, which is just 
like you buy mine, I buy yours. 

503
00:26:02,420 --> 00:26:05,500
There's some sort of bonus 
potentially if you do that and 

504
00:26:05,500 --> 00:26:08,130
then. 
It does feel as like as though 

505
00:26:08,130 --> 00:26:10,930
the people with the highest 
value portfolios are the ones 

506
00:26:10,930 --> 00:26:15,730
who get maybe even more than the
the great so to speak. 

507
00:26:15,730 --> 00:26:19,610
So it values people who are 
doing the TBL. 

508
00:26:20,130 --> 00:26:22,690
Where do you think, how high do 
you think some of these people 

509
00:26:22,690 --> 00:26:23,890
can go? 
Like so if you if you go to the 

510
00:26:23,890 --> 00:26:27,650
top right now Racer is the 
highest and he has a price of 8 

511
00:26:27,650 --> 00:26:30,890
E so it's eight ETH by one key 
of Racer who's the founder? 

512
00:26:31,090 --> 00:26:33,930
Of the tech, how high do you 
think? 

513
00:26:34,450 --> 00:26:39,380
What do you think will be like 
top for one key of racer or one 

514
00:26:39,380 --> 00:26:42,820
key of where the top is? 
It's a strange question to me 

515
00:26:42,820 --> 00:26:46,380
because and I'm not funding race
event in any means, but I don't,

516
00:26:46,660 --> 00:26:51,020
I don't necessarily think he's 
like the most valuable person I 

517
00:26:51,020 --> 00:26:53,260
would want to talk to. 
Like I think there are some 

518
00:26:53,260 --> 00:26:56,340
people there who I think are 
really smart in the space and 

519
00:26:56,340 --> 00:27:01,580
often have, you know, 
information before other people.

520
00:27:01,900 --> 00:27:05,180
Race is like the dead, so I feel
like he's probably a good. 

521
00:27:05,920 --> 00:27:08,120
He's a good bet on, like the 
overall ecosystem, but I do 

522
00:27:08,120 --> 00:27:12,560
think, I do think some people 
like Kobe, like, what do you 

523
00:27:12,560 --> 00:27:14,720
think, how high? 
Lie. 

524
00:27:14,720 --> 00:27:16,240
You know what I mean? 
How high do you think Kobe gets?

525
00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:20,920
Like like top the top of Kobe. 
How high do you think that that 

526
00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:22,520
gets to you? 
38th. 

527
00:27:23,560 --> 00:27:25,240
Wow, Cali coming in hot. 
People are saying. 

528
00:27:25,240 --> 00:27:28,120
People are saying this could 
start to flip a lot of entity 

529
00:27:28,120 --> 00:27:29,240
projects. 
I think. 

530
00:27:29,360 --> 00:27:32,120
I think Kobe could be like 50th 
plus easily. 

531
00:27:32,560 --> 00:27:35,160
Like there, there, there. 
Let me put it this way. 

532
00:27:35,160 --> 00:27:36,720
There are so many. 
There's so much. 

533
00:27:36,720 --> 00:27:39,560
There's still so much crypto 
wealth out there, and there are 

534
00:27:39,560 --> 00:27:42,360
a lot of dumb whales who will 
inevitably come in and buy this.

535
00:27:42,360 --> 00:27:45,880
This is still early. 
There there's yeah, but there 

536
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,480
are still fewer than 4000 users 
on friend sets at 3.8 K users. 

537
00:27:49,480 --> 00:27:51,160
That's tiny in the context of 
crypto. 

538
00:27:51,680 --> 00:27:54,400
So you could start to see like 
someone like Kobe go much higher

539
00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,420
and someone, someone who's like 
worth thousands of Eve must just

540
00:27:57,420 --> 00:27:59,220
be like, oh, I really want to be
in a room with Kobe. 

541
00:27:59,220 --> 00:28:01,420
Like, of course I pay 50 for 
that, 100 Eve for that. 

542
00:28:01,620 --> 00:28:05,060
Because for them that's not a 
big portion of whatever they 

543
00:28:05,060 --> 00:28:07,220
have. 
And it's not like a random a FT 

544
00:28:07,220 --> 00:28:09,660
Like you are getting probably 
getting something for it. 

545
00:28:09,660 --> 00:28:13,980
And it gets to a point where 
once Kobe gets to 58 or 100 Eve,

546
00:28:14,260 --> 00:28:16,940
that kind of becomes the 
terminal number for his number 

547
00:28:16,940 --> 00:28:20,940
of holders, right. 
So fewer people can buy his keys

548
00:28:20,940 --> 00:28:22,900
at 58 or 100 Eve. 
Then you'll then the next thing 

549
00:28:22,900 --> 00:28:26,600
you know like a year down the 
line, you're in this room of 200

550
00:28:26,600 --> 00:28:30,240
people, just you and Kobe. 
Like that's a pretty good room 

551
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:31,120
to be in, right? 
I'm. 

552
00:28:31,680 --> 00:28:34,120
Trying to work out how many, how
many, how many people would need

553
00:28:34,120 --> 00:28:37,800
to be in a room to get it to 50 
more I think. 

554
00:28:37,800 --> 00:28:40,360
But I don't know, like, how much
does the price rise every time 

555
00:28:40,360 --> 00:28:42,120
you buy something? 
Like 10%. 

556
00:28:42,120 --> 00:28:43,280
This is the whole problem with 
it. 

557
00:28:43,280 --> 00:28:46,720
Like the mechanics are not. 
It just feels like it's not a 

558
00:28:46,720 --> 00:28:49,080
trading platform. 
It's just like, you know what I 

559
00:28:49,080 --> 00:28:50,440
mean? 
That you can't bid on keys. 

560
00:28:50,440 --> 00:28:53,590
They're like, that will change. 
All those things will. 

561
00:28:53,670 --> 00:28:56,670
All those things will. 
Be done as the As the chat room 

562
00:28:56,710 --> 00:28:59,350
owner, I should be able to like 
determine how many keys I want 

563
00:28:59,350 --> 00:29:01,110
to issue. 
Then there's everybody knows 

564
00:29:01,110 --> 00:29:04,150
what the free source is. 
And wrap them and then do 

565
00:29:04,150 --> 00:29:06,590
whatever how you want to. 
You could put. 

566
00:29:06,790 --> 00:29:08,790
I guess so, but it should be 
inbuilt the app, like the 

567
00:29:08,790 --> 00:29:12,150
experience of the app and I know
it will be early on, it will be,

568
00:29:12,150 --> 00:29:15,030
yeah, I think all those things, 
it'll be a full functional 

569
00:29:15,030 --> 00:29:18,070
trading suite of things like 
you're used to doing. 

570
00:29:18,070 --> 00:29:19,350
It's just very, very early right
now. 

571
00:29:20,060 --> 00:29:21,940
Maybe I should have made that 
before they launched it, I 

572
00:29:21,940 --> 00:29:23,940
think. 
So I think that's a good way to 

573
00:29:23,940 --> 00:29:25,940
do it, like get the users and 
then. 

574
00:29:27,180 --> 00:29:30,660
Someone said to me the other day
I think I saw something which is

575
00:29:30,660 --> 00:29:35,580
like quite a detailed bug tweet 
on it being like there's no way 

576
00:29:35,580 --> 00:29:42,900
to update the code, that's it, 
it's like so it will be a clumsy

577
00:29:42,900 --> 00:29:47,090
that goes up but. 
It will die because it it like 

578
00:29:47,090 --> 00:29:50,010
it's very very difficult to like
upgrade it in any way. 

579
00:29:50,810 --> 00:29:53,650
That's bonding curve is like for
life now like you can't change 

580
00:29:53,970 --> 00:29:56,570
anything about it. 
I I I mean I'm not a deaf so I 

581
00:29:56,570 --> 00:29:59,490
don't I just didn't really 
understand. 

582
00:29:59,850 --> 00:30:02,570
But it does feel as though maybe
there's less flexibility to 

583
00:30:02,570 --> 00:30:05,810
actually change it now. 
Like it feels like it's maybe 

584
00:30:05,810 --> 00:30:09,290
set in stone, but I don't know, 
maybe there's a B2, maybe we 

585
00:30:09,290 --> 00:30:12,330
will just migrate to something 
different, but. 

586
00:30:12,770 --> 00:30:15,930
Yeah, it does it I I would be. 
I do think it needs improvements

587
00:30:16,290 --> 00:30:19,170
for sure. 
It needs improvements, mainly on

588
00:30:19,170 --> 00:30:21,730
the trading fees I think are 
just way too high. 

589
00:30:22,010 --> 00:30:24,410
They only make Let me let me 
Riddle you this. 

590
00:30:24,610 --> 00:30:26,970
Would you rather buy a mutant 
ape at 5 E? 

591
00:30:26,970 --> 00:30:28,370
That Would you rather but be in 
Kobe's? 

592
00:30:28,370 --> 00:30:29,970
We were 200 people for 5E. 
That's. 

593
00:30:31,290 --> 00:30:33,690
A good question. 
I'm definitely buying Kobe. 

594
00:30:33,690 --> 00:30:37,530
That's just like not even. 
That's like a no brainer. 200 

595
00:30:37,530 --> 00:30:39,490
people is too big for 5E, I 
think. 

596
00:30:40,400 --> 00:30:44,600
So you think 200 people, Cali? 
Buys the mutant. 

597
00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:49,600
I think I'll take the spread on 
that. 

598
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,200
I'll take the spread on that in 
a in a year's time. 

599
00:30:53,560 --> 00:30:55,880
What spread are you going for? 
No. 

600
00:30:55,880 --> 00:30:59,240
Is it not like if you want to 
take the other side of the 

601
00:30:59,240 --> 00:31:03,880
trade, I'll take the other? 
Side of that trade all day. 

602
00:31:03,880 --> 00:31:07,080
What? 
About you in one year's time. 

603
00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:09,440
Are you lifting him as well or 
or not? 

604
00:31:11,030 --> 00:31:13,750
What was the just didn't catch 
the last bit of the year? 

605
00:31:14,190 --> 00:31:15,950
Yeah. 
You think that's the rate of 

606
00:31:15,950 --> 00:31:19,670
Kobe versus mutinates like you 
think what are you buying 

607
00:31:19,670 --> 00:31:22,870
basically in a year? 
Kobe. 

608
00:31:22,870 --> 00:31:23,950
For sure. 
Yeah. 

609
00:31:23,950 --> 00:31:25,190
So you got double lifted there, 
Kali. 

610
00:31:25,190 --> 00:31:29,870
Well done. 
In fact, he said a year's time. 

611
00:31:29,870 --> 00:31:33,240
So we'll find out. 
But Kali said Kobe thing will go

612
00:31:33,240 --> 00:31:34,800
to 30 years. 
So basically Cali is like 

613
00:31:35,280 --> 00:31:38,280
extremely. 
Bullish on these and no, I think

614
00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:41,840
it'll go to 30 years in like in 
like 2 months time and then just

615
00:31:41,840 --> 00:31:44,260
crash. 
I feel Kelly just says these 

616
00:31:44,260 --> 00:31:47,740
things just to like to have an 
argument with me, but I swear to

617
00:31:47,740 --> 00:31:53,260
God he'll contradict himself 
like 2 minutes, no? 

618
00:31:53,940 --> 00:31:58,060
I think it's too much time and 
then there's a really specific 

619
00:31:58,060 --> 00:31:59,500
reason why the two things are 
different. 

620
00:31:59,540 --> 00:32:01,780
Ultra inflation is going lower, 
but Kelly still goes through it 

621
00:32:01,860 --> 00:32:04,620
like Nah, I'll see ultra 
inflation is going and now 

622
00:32:04,620 --> 00:32:05,980
they're. 
Inflation is bottomed. 

623
00:32:06,220 --> 00:32:09,820
I'll take both bets. 
I'll stand behind all of my all 

624
00:32:09,820 --> 00:32:12,290
of my statements. 
OK, I feel like we're just 

625
00:32:12,290 --> 00:32:13,130
gonna. 
We're just trying to get 

626
00:32:13,130 --> 00:32:15,410
themselves into arguments. 
I will. 

627
00:32:16,610 --> 00:32:19,850
I think a year might be enough 
time for you to maybe be run 

628
00:32:19,850 --> 00:32:21,050
that bet. 
But I agree. 

629
00:32:21,050 --> 00:32:24,250
That's why I suggested here. 
Maybe it's a maybe it is a 

630
00:32:24,250 --> 00:32:26,370
roller coaster. 
All right. 

631
00:32:26,370 --> 00:32:29,090
So the other thing is that some 
of the headlines coming out from

632
00:32:29,650 --> 00:32:32,290
Singapore at the moment, there's
a lot of people talking on 

633
00:32:32,290 --> 00:32:35,850
stage. 
It's obviously the the event 

634
00:32:35,850 --> 00:32:38,690
which which brokers that 
alongside a bunch of different 

635
00:32:38,690 --> 00:32:41,180
people. 
It's maybe going to go, it 

636
00:32:41,180 --> 00:32:44,340
didn't happen, but it's run by 
Masari. 

637
00:32:44,860 --> 00:32:50,820
One of the bigger ones is Arthur
Hayes, who is, you know, fairly 

638
00:32:50,820 --> 00:32:54,580
well known in the space, Bitmex 
founder. 

639
00:32:54,660 --> 00:32:59,300
Obviously I ended up being a 
shit show, he he predicted in 

640
00:32:59,300 --> 00:33:00,860
Singapore today. 
The next bull market may start 

641
00:33:00,860 --> 00:33:03,820
in early 2024, not only for 
quicker currencies but also for 

642
00:33:03,820 --> 00:33:06,060
other risk risk assets. 
In addition, he believes that a 

643
00:33:06,060 --> 00:33:08,100
I will create opportunities for 
decentralized storage. 

644
00:33:08,710 --> 00:33:11,750
And that file calling has great 
development space. 

645
00:33:12,590 --> 00:33:15,070
He basically also has been 
saying he thinks the bull runs 

646
00:33:15,070 --> 00:33:16,830
already started. 
He think he thought it started 

647
00:33:16,830 --> 00:33:20,990
with when SVP went down. 
He's been kind of a bull since 

648
00:33:20,990 --> 00:33:23,790
then, although he was very 
bearish up until that point. 

649
00:33:25,870 --> 00:33:29,150
What is your view is are we 
waiting until 2024 for this bull

650
00:33:29,150 --> 00:33:30,990
runs? 
You think 2024 is the bull and I

651
00:33:30,990 --> 00:33:33,470
know over you have a pretty 
strong group, but maybe you can 

652
00:33:34,270 --> 00:33:36,950
maybe you can articulate that a 
little bit about why you're so 

653
00:33:36,950 --> 00:33:43,120
bullet for 2024. 
Just think the reason why 

654
00:33:43,120 --> 00:33:46,840
markets rally and bull runs 
start, there's two different 

655
00:33:46,840 --> 00:33:49,160
things. 
One thing is like the human 

656
00:33:49,160 --> 00:33:53,480
feeling and psychology and like 
oh you know, so it's up only and

657
00:33:53,480 --> 00:33:57,280
let's all get in. 
And the second thing is 

658
00:33:57,280 --> 00:34:00,560
obviously the market 
fundamentals that can create 

659
00:34:00,560 --> 00:34:04,550
that environment and we've been 
in a very obvious and the other 

660
00:34:04,630 --> 00:34:06,830
maybe the third thing for at 
least the start of the ball run 

661
00:34:06,830 --> 00:34:10,310
is like something happening 
that's like unexpected or a 

662
00:34:11,670 --> 00:34:14,429
shift in sentiment that people 
maybe weren't prepared for. 

663
00:34:15,110 --> 00:34:17,350
And I think all of those things 
kind of line up for next year 

664
00:34:17,350 --> 00:34:21,550
that we've been in what's 
basically almost a two year bear

665
00:34:21,550 --> 00:34:23,150
market. 
I think the top was in October 

666
00:34:23,150 --> 00:34:28,469
2021 and people are just so like
used to that now there's so much

667
00:34:28,469 --> 00:34:29,830
recent C bias with regard to 
that. 

668
00:34:29,909 --> 00:34:33,280
It was like, you know, people 
like talking about ETH between 

669
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:36,880
like 1600 and 1700 and 1500. 
It's like, yeah, sure, but like 

670
00:34:36,960 --> 00:34:41,679
ETH was at 5K just two years ago
and Bitcoin was at 69 K So like 

671
00:34:42,159 --> 00:34:44,280
people are just assuming the 
range is this narrow range. 

672
00:34:44,280 --> 00:34:47,080
But it's not like if you have to
think a lot bigger and brighter.

673
00:34:47,080 --> 00:34:48,840
I think most people aren't 
thinking about that right now. 

674
00:34:48,840 --> 00:34:51,440
But as you head into next year, 
you have so many different 

675
00:34:51,440 --> 00:34:54,159
things, so many positive classes
that are going for it. 

676
00:34:54,159 --> 00:34:58,050
You have the you have Bitcoin 
halve. 

677
00:34:58,370 --> 00:35:00,450
First. 
The final deadline for the SEC 

678
00:35:00,450 --> 00:35:05,890
to approve ETFs or decline ETFs 
approval reject is 17th of March

679
00:35:05,890 --> 00:35:08,930
20, 2024, so they can do it any 
day now. 

680
00:35:09,170 --> 00:35:11,530
The next deadline is October, 
but the final deadline they have

681
00:35:11,530 --> 00:35:13,490
to make a decision is is the 
17th of March. 

682
00:35:14,250 --> 00:35:17,090
So by then we will know. 
And right now it looks like 

683
00:35:17,090 --> 00:35:19,970
they're going to have to approve
them in April. 

684
00:35:19,970 --> 00:35:21,490
You have Bitcoin halving. 
What does that mean? 

685
00:35:21,490 --> 00:35:25,450
It just means the reward miners 
get for mining Bitcoin halves. 

686
00:35:26,740 --> 00:35:29,260
And the idea is like, oh, now 
there's less supply of or less 

687
00:35:29,300 --> 00:35:31,980
fewer Bitcoin being mined. 
So I think the reality is the 

688
00:35:31,980 --> 00:35:34,060
mechanics of that doesn't have 
much of an impact, but it's just

689
00:35:34,060 --> 00:35:36,220
this whole narrative thing. 
It's this idea that everyone's 

690
00:35:36,220 --> 00:35:39,020
like, oh, Bitcoin Harding, like 
we're going to have like the 

691
00:35:39,020 --> 00:35:41,260
start, the Super cycle and 
everything and all that kind of 

692
00:35:41,260 --> 00:35:43,180
stuff. 
And if you look at the history 

693
00:35:43,180 --> 00:35:47,940
of crypto since 22,009 or 
whatever, like Bitcoin does tend

694
00:35:47,940 --> 00:35:51,490
to rally for, you know, a good 
year to year and a half after 

695
00:35:51,490 --> 00:35:54,570
each Bitcoin halving. 
Like this idea of four year 

696
00:35:54,570 --> 00:35:59,170
cycles or even just the idea of 
cycles are proven things that 

697
00:35:59,170 --> 00:36:01,050
happen throughout the history of
markets. 

698
00:36:01,530 --> 00:36:03,770
And so like bear cycles don't 
last forever. 

699
00:36:03,770 --> 00:36:06,690
Eventually the tide turns and 
and we've been in a two year, 

700
00:36:06,690 --> 00:36:08,330
but we've been one of the 
longest bear markets ever. 

701
00:36:08,330 --> 00:36:10,610
Actually I think in terms of 
like financial markets, most 

702
00:36:10,610 --> 00:36:12,770
bear markets actually last less 
than a year. 

703
00:36:13,950 --> 00:36:16,590
So you have that going. 
And as we spoke about at the 

704
00:36:16,590 --> 00:36:19,590
beginning of of this show, you 
have the Fed potentially cutting

705
00:36:19,590 --> 00:36:21,950
rates and I think they get into 
the end. 

706
00:36:21,950 --> 00:36:23,350
I think they do. 
I know there's a lot that's 

707
00:36:23,590 --> 00:36:25,270
higher for longer narratives out
there. 

708
00:36:25,270 --> 00:36:29,270
And it's just funny, it's like 
now the interest rates are at 5%

709
00:36:29,270 --> 00:36:31,550
on two year whatever now that 
we've had like all this 

710
00:36:31,550 --> 00:36:33,350
inflation. 
Now suddenly everyone's like, Oh

711
00:36:33,350 --> 00:36:35,270
my God, like interest rates are 
going to keep going higher. 

712
00:36:35,270 --> 00:36:36,910
This is going to be so bad. 
It's like dude, we've literally 

713
00:36:36,910 --> 00:36:40,230
just gone through fucking two 
years of like inflation going a 

714
00:36:40,230 --> 00:36:43,710
lot higher and going a lot lower
and the Fed already having 

715
00:36:43,710 --> 00:36:47,310
conducted the biggest interest 
rate hiking cycle since like 

716
00:36:47,310 --> 00:36:50,030
70s, whatever like that has 
happened, that's not the next 

717
00:36:50,030 --> 00:36:51,830
thing that's going to happen. 
It's literally just happened. 

718
00:36:51,830 --> 00:36:53,910
The next thing that's going to 
happen is when are they going to

719
00:36:54,150 --> 00:36:55,430
pause, when are they going to 
cut. 

720
00:36:55,710 --> 00:36:57,950
And the chances are it's 
probably going to be 2024. 

721
00:36:58,270 --> 00:37:01,790
And so that's not the big 
positive thing for risk assets. 

722
00:37:01,790 --> 00:37:05,470
The risk to that is the economy 
you know getting worse and 

723
00:37:06,680 --> 00:37:08,200
recession etcetera. 
But I think they're in a 

724
00:37:08,200 --> 00:37:11,720
position where they can like 
manage to navigate to us off 

725
00:37:11,720 --> 00:37:13,000
land and give an inflation and 
so low. 

726
00:37:13,000 --> 00:37:14,920
They have things to play with 
right now and and they're doing 

727
00:37:14,920 --> 00:37:16,880
that. 
So it's just really hard for me 

728
00:37:17,040 --> 00:37:24,840
to see us not having you know 
maybe 2024 isn't like the best 

729
00:37:24,840 --> 00:37:27,680
year and 2025 is the best year. 
But I think we're probably in 

730
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:30,000
the start, the very, very 
beginning of this bull run and I

731
00:37:30,000 --> 00:37:32,800
think we will see more of it to 
come in 2024. 

732
00:37:33,620 --> 00:37:36,500
And I just think, you know, the 
law of probability and averages 

733
00:37:36,500 --> 00:37:39,060
says like you know, now it's 
time to go the other way. 

734
00:37:39,060 --> 00:37:43,180
And there are actual, real, 
fundamental reasons that show 

735
00:37:43,180 --> 00:37:45,220
that we shouldn't, shouldn't, 
will go that way. 

736
00:37:46,900 --> 00:37:50,860
Yeah, interestingly, just to and
I'll share my screen, he 

737
00:37:50,860 --> 00:37:53,180
actually says that rising 
interest rates could actually 

738
00:37:53,180 --> 00:37:56,780
pump Bitcoin bitcoins price may 
rise as central banks worldwide 

739
00:37:56,780 --> 00:37:58,140
continue typing monetary 
policies. 

740
00:37:58,180 --> 00:38:01,380
I think he's basically saying 
that central banks are running 

741
00:38:01,380 --> 00:38:05,620
out of. 
Their ability to to deal with 

742
00:38:05,620 --> 00:38:10,020
inflation. 
His view is more that we'll have

743
00:38:10,020 --> 00:38:16,780
some form of like stagflation 
and in that environment, yeah, 

744
00:38:16,780 --> 00:38:19,340
he says hey, since inflation 
will prove sticky going forward 

745
00:38:20,700 --> 00:38:24,660
and basically says that that 
this whole concept of the US 

746
00:38:24,660 --> 00:38:28,220
being so in debt push people 
into crypto, which I. 

747
00:38:29,840 --> 00:38:32,480
It's difficult to say it'll be 
bullish if inflation comes down 

748
00:38:32,480 --> 00:38:34,320
and bullish if inflation says 
high. 

749
00:38:34,320 --> 00:38:39,400
But I think I think what he is 
saying and what you're saying 

750
00:38:39,400 --> 00:38:41,840
can also make sense. 
Like what we're saying is we're 

751
00:38:41,840 --> 00:38:45,080
getting to an environment now 
where debt is so high that, 

752
00:38:45,080 --> 00:38:47,280
yeah, they'll be out to bring 
inflation down to a certain 

753
00:38:47,280 --> 00:38:51,320
level. 
But but it's still going to like

754
00:38:51,320 --> 00:38:54,400
we're not going to have a period
of unbelievable growth I think. 

755
00:38:55,400 --> 00:38:58,640
And maybe I'm I'm not. 
Maybe I'm not. 

756
00:38:59,570 --> 00:39:02,090
What other people agree here, 
but I think we could be in for a

757
00:39:02,090 --> 00:39:04,890
period of like, yeah, we have a 
soft landing. 

758
00:39:04,890 --> 00:39:06,850
We don't then rebound for like 
amazing growth. 

759
00:39:06,930 --> 00:39:09,570
I think we're like stagflation 
sort of environment, very low 

760
00:39:09,570 --> 00:39:12,810
growth probably with sustained 
inflation for a while. 

761
00:39:13,290 --> 00:39:17,370
And in that world, I do agree 
that I think you still have 

762
00:39:17,370 --> 00:39:20,370
pockets of debt which look 
horrific and people will just 

763
00:39:20,370 --> 00:39:24,880
move into grip there, so. 
I think, I think 2024 could be 

764
00:39:24,880 --> 00:39:27,040
the year. 
I also think 2023 we could 

765
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:28,520
bounce back. 
I do think we've probably seen 

766
00:39:28,520 --> 00:39:33,320
the highs of Bitcoin E but I 
wouldn't count it out. 

767
00:39:33,760 --> 00:39:37,040
Like I really wouldn't. 
I wouldn't count it out because 

768
00:39:37,040 --> 00:39:42,560
people tend to position for 2024
for the next year in November, 

769
00:39:42,560 --> 00:39:44,640
December, right. 
Like that's when you if you're 

770
00:39:44,640 --> 00:39:47,440
bullish for next year, you want 
a position for it now, 

771
00:39:48,280 --> 00:39:52,910
especially at these prices. 
So I, you know, I I'm, I'm 

772
00:39:52,910 --> 00:39:55,590
personally thinking we're gonna 
get a a nice Christmas rally 

773
00:39:55,590 --> 00:39:56,870
here. 
I I think we will. 

774
00:39:56,870 --> 00:39:58,230
What? 
Do you think of our stuff? 

775
00:39:58,310 --> 00:40:03,910
What do you think of Kelly? 
2024 is the year of the Dragon, 

776
00:40:04,110 --> 00:40:06,030
which was my favorite tweet of 
this morning. 

777
00:40:06,030 --> 00:40:10,110
And like ultra bullish, it's the
year of the dragon is the animal

778
00:40:10,110 --> 00:40:11,950
of generational wealth or 
something like that. 

779
00:40:12,030 --> 00:40:12,910
I was like. 
There you go. 

780
00:40:13,110 --> 00:40:15,950
Right. 
That's like, more important than

781
00:40:16,030 --> 00:40:18,150
anything you hear. 
What the name of the dragon is? 

782
00:40:20,330 --> 00:40:21,410
You don't see this? 
Of course. 

783
00:40:21,410 --> 00:40:26,770
Share this with you guys. 
The guy's name's Long, says it 

784
00:40:26,770 --> 00:40:28,810
all right. 
The stars are the lines. 

785
00:40:29,690 --> 00:40:34,970
Yeah, let me share this. 2024 is
long. 2024 is the Year of the 

786
00:40:34,970 --> 00:40:38,970
Dragon. 
This is how long the Dragon's 

787
00:40:38,970 --> 00:40:41,210
name is long. 
His fucking name is long. 

788
00:40:41,970 --> 00:40:43,890
Yeah. 
Like, I'm going to buy Maury 

789
00:40:43,890 --> 00:40:46,930
from the back of that. 
Like that's just that's on a 

790
00:40:47,010 --> 00:40:48,850
plate. 
Exactly. 

791
00:40:49,010 --> 00:40:52,320
Kind of if you look out in the 
world the signs are always there

792
00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:57,680
and for me this is this is a 
sign I I think previously in in 

793
00:40:57,680 --> 00:41:02,840
the past bull market of the like
past decade basically it was 

794
00:41:02,840 --> 00:41:05,800
kind of win win for risk assets 
like if the economy was doing 

795
00:41:05,800 --> 00:41:08,880
great risk assets could rally if
the economy was doing shit the 

796
00:41:09,400 --> 00:41:12,480
global central banks would just 
cut rates and markets would go 

797
00:41:12,480 --> 00:41:14,760
up. 
And I think we we're now about 

798
00:41:14,760 --> 00:41:18,000
to with particularly with 
crypto, we're about to reenter a

799
00:41:18,000 --> 00:41:23,030
situation like that where if 
inflation is high everybody will

800
00:41:23,030 --> 00:41:25,430
go to Bitcoin and crypto because
it protects you. 

801
00:41:25,550 --> 00:41:30,030
It's the only off ramp from Fiat
And if inflation comes down and 

802
00:41:30,230 --> 00:41:34,350
you know they can not kind of 
tighten as much or like start to

803
00:41:34,350 --> 00:41:37,590
loosen then crypto rallies. 
So kind of like in this win win 

804
00:41:37,590 --> 00:41:40,390
matrix for me right now. 
It fixes this. 

805
00:41:40,630 --> 00:41:43,390
You know, everything is 
everything is good for Bitcoin 

806
00:41:44,390 --> 00:41:47,550
and his name is long, with two 
O's long, extra long. 

807
00:41:48,270 --> 00:41:51,110
Yeah, it's that's a levered long
that is that's not just a. 

808
00:41:51,350 --> 00:41:53,510
Scott Long I. 
Start. 

809
00:41:54,270 --> 00:41:58,150
Having in there. 
Long if you make, if you make 

810
00:41:58,150 --> 00:42:02,750
300%, you're like you haven't 
done well like because he didn't

811
00:42:02,750 --> 00:42:05,950
have enough leverage on. 
It you'll pray to long. 

812
00:42:08,480 --> 00:42:09,720
Okay, cool. 
We'll leave it at that. 

813
00:42:09,840 --> 00:42:12,360
That was kind of a bullish 
ending for today. 

814
00:42:13,280 --> 00:42:17,640
We will be back again tomorrow. 
This has been another good show,

815
00:42:17,640 --> 00:42:19,120
I think. 
Nice spot. 

816
00:42:19,120 --> 00:42:21,840
Snappy. 
We are sponsored this month by 

817
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:24,200
Kraken NFT. 
Again, go check it out 

818
00:42:24,200 --> 00:42:29,670
kraken.com rugradio. 
Yeah, we will be in our friend 

819
00:42:29,670 --> 00:42:30,910
check rooms. 
If you want to confirm, shout 

820
00:42:30,910 --> 00:42:32,750
out. 
We'll do key holders for Caps or

821
00:42:32,750 --> 00:42:37,630
Steph and Mando as well as 
everyone who's listened today. 

822
00:42:37,950 --> 00:42:39,750
But thank you. 
Thank you so much and we will 

823
00:42:39,750 --> 00:42:40,310
see you tomorrow.
