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Hi Thomas. 
So it's been a situation that's 

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happened a few days ago. 
Hamas out of Gaza has both 

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invaded Israel, taking some 
hostages, shot a bunch of 

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people, retreated back into 
Gaza, and now Israel's 

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responding. 
Some people think this is sort 

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of World War 3. 
Some people believe that this is

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all one big giant conspiracy 
from all the Israeli side to to 

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allow them to annihilate Gaza. 
Other people believe this is a 

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symbol or a symptom of a general
competency crisis. 

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And it's showing that Israel is 
not as strong as we once were 

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led to believe. 
So we brought Thomas on because 

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I couldn't think of anyone else 
better to talk about this in the

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at least in this sort of initial
burst of activities to share his

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thoughts. 
I think we're prerecording this.

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Usually we do these things live.
We don't know what's going on 

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with YouTube and censors and all
the rest of it. 

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I don't want anyone ever to have
to protect their words or say 

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anything that they don't think 
it's true. 

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So we'll just have the 
conversation. 

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And this may pop up on YouTube 
and might pop up on some other 

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places. 
Who knows? 

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Thomas, thanks again for coming 
on thoughts in general on the 

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Israeli Hamas conflict. 
There's there's three layers 

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here that conceptually they need
to be addressed. 

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And within one of those layers, 
there's a couple main subjects 

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that need to be addressed. 
There's a, there's a military 

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and strategic aspect to this. 
There's a political aspect and 

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there's a there's a historical 
aspect that is impacting affairs

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globally today. 
And within that political 

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aspect, it's not a normal war 
and peace paradigm. 

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Israel's a totally abnormal 
state. 

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I don't think that's 
controversial. 

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Even people don't agree with my 
views and values shouldn't find 

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that controversial. 
Ernst Nolte made the point, and 

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Martin Grant. 
Martin van Creveld, the Dutch 

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Israeli historian, stipulated 
this directly, citing Nolte 

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Okay. 
Israel, the Soviet Union and the

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Third Reich were totally 
abnormal States and just value 

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neutral terms. 
They weren't normal countries 

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and they all developed in 
dialogue with each other and out

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of a out of a zeitgeist of 
crisis. 

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Okay, that discreetly impacted 
the. 

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Radicalized populations that 
created those respective 

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political cultures. 
The only one of those states 

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that still exist is Israel. 
That's one of the reasons why. 

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I mean, America's policy 
corridors have totally been Co 

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opted by Zionist interests. 
I mean that goes out of saying, 

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but one of the reasons. 
But that aside, one of the 

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reasons why the way people talk 
about Israel doesn't make any 

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sense is because I don't think 
they truly understand this 

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conceptually. 
I mean, I don't think people 

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really understand politics any 
meaningful way generally. 

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I mean, not because I'm so smart
that I do, but this is pretty 

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much all I do. 
Israel's not a, quote, UN quote 

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democracy. 
That doesn't make any sense. 

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Okay, it's not a democracy in 
kind of the Aristotelian sense. 

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It's not a democracy in kind of 
like the liberal shorthand 

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sense. 
And like nobody, like nobody in 

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the Israeli government or no, 
like hardcore Zionists would 

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like suggest that. 
So that's just bizarre. 

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That doesn't make any sense. 
Like, nor is Israel kind of 

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this, like Rhodesia or South 
Africa kind of like realist, 

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like racial state that's trying 
to manage, you know, kind of the

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reality of an emboldened, like 
colored world or during the cold

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world we call Third World. 
Like, they're not dead either. 

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Like Zionism is a premise done 
that okay. 

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It's premised on this idea that 
the Jews are discreet and 

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insular people, unlike all other
people. 

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They're uniquely threatened in 
existential terms by everybody 

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else. 
Nobody else really has a 

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legitimate right to racial 
posterity or, like, blood 

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posterity, if I'm looking like 
that, except for Jews. 

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It's absolutely imperative that 
this kind of right to that 

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posterity be protected at all 
costs and that that's completely

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at odds with. 
Not just kind of hard, hard and 

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fast like realist logic, but 
it's totally at odds with what 

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kind of the prevailing like 
value system is of globalism. 

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Just in like, just like on its 
own terms. 

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Okay. 
However, it's inextricably bound

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up with that. 
And that's why I'm always making

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the point that, you know, much 
of it seems to be like at odds 

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with kind of like, you know, the
global liberal paradigm, what I 

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think of as the social 
engineering Nuremberg paradigm, 

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it's actually like an 
inextricable like component of 

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it, but it's something that 
people don't like to discuss 

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openly, like the minority that 
does actually understand the 

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nuances of it, because that 
raises some, that raises 

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contradictions that can't really
be mitigated by appeals to. 

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You know, the kind of 
self-contained ethics of the 

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aforementioned system, but 
that's that's the way to 

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understand Israel. 
That's what I can always say to 

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people and I'll bring it back in
a minute. 

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I don't want to proselytize or 
something. 

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People are like, oh, I don't 
care what all those savages do. 

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It's like, well, you better care
man, because you're under, 

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you're being ruled by these 
people, okay. 

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And what you're talking about 
the war in Ukraine, we're 

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talking about the war in Syria. 
And by the way, like the reason 

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why, the reason why, the reason 
why? 

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The reason why American Israel 
went all in against Russia and 

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Ukraine is because of what 
happened in Syria, by the way. 

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OK, so you can pretend like you 
don't care about that. 

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But they if that's if that's 
really the case, like don't 

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don't complain about wokism. 
Don't complain about, you know, 

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like the excess of the Bite 
administration. 

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Like, don't complain about these
crazy people like Lindsey 

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Graham. 
Just like targeting half the 

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countries in the world for 
annihilation, for being 

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insufficiently like woke or 
something. 

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Because it's all like bound 
together within the same kind of

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like conceptual Nexus, Okay. 
But to bring it back, what's 

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different about this conflict 
cycle from previous ones between

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Israel and all of their 
neighbors since 1948? 

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I believe that clearly I think 
Hamas is performing better than 

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they have before and. 
In large parts the the, the 

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sectarian, the kind of terribly 
saying what every sectarian 

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division between XI and Sunni at
least unlimited operational 

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terms, has been overcome Okay, 
because Hezbollah and Hamas and 

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Hezbollah is probably the best 
infantry element in the Middle 

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East. 
Okay. 

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If it's not arguable. 
Like again, being Preveld, he 

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like stipulates that okay. 
They are very, very tough. 

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They're a real fighting force. 
They're not just like ragtags or

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or or like crazy jihadis or 
something. 

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They're not even like really in 
that culture. 

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I mean they're they're they're 
overwhelmingly Shia for, you 

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know, for one. 
But it it's long been the the 

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claim by people who would be in 
a position to know that Hamas 

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has been drilling with Hezbollah
and there's been some 

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operational integration there, 
Okay. 

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And at least at like company 
level, like Hamas scenes, 

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they've like gotten its, its, 
its acts together. 

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OK. 
So that's what's different. 

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At the same time kind of the 
myth of like Israeli like 

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superiority on the battlefield, 
that's kind of an overstated, I 

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mean 1973 kind of like kind of 
like squashed that sensibility, 

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OK. 
And that's one of the reasons 

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why the Camp David, of course, 
became so imperative, because I 

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mean, first of all, like removed
Egypt from the Soviet camp. 

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But it also it like Israel 
basically realized like we've 

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got a kind of negotiating table 
with some of these people, okay,

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because it's not manageable. 
So what's different now, again, 

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is the operational 
sophistication of the OP for 

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that Israel is fighting. 
But also there's a basic 

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irrationality that's 
unprecedented to America and 

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Israel these days. 
You know, like I and you see 

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this in the Ukraine war too, 
like how everyone would feel the

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Ukraine war, this is just being 
allowed to continue in 

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perpetuity. 
Like that's not, that's not how 

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you manage politics. 
So how do you manage war and 

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peace? 
You know, you don't just say 

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like Moscow is evil and we're 
going to drag this war out as 

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long as absolutely as long as 
possible like that. 

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That's irrational. 
That's not what you do. 

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You know you don't saying, you 
know, Netanyahu is saying. 1 

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billion people are all evil and 
they hate us and we will never 

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stop fighting them because 
anti-Semitism, that's not 

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rational and that's not 
sustainable. 

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The only real comparable 
paradigm what Israel's dealing 

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with is what South Africa was 
dealing with from PW BOTA until 

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the end of the existence of the 
Bo Republic. 

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Like, I'm not saying there's 
like moral equivalence between 

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the two countries. 
Obviously, my sympathy is with 

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African honors. 
I mean, they're quite literally 

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like my people. 
I mean, they're reformed and 

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they're, you know, Germanic and,
you know, they're they're 

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they're they're a pioneer 
population like us in America. 

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But aside more of that, like, 
there was always more of an 

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interdependence between white S 
Africans, you know, it's like 

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Clive Ruby Lewis said. 
There's not like white S 

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Africans and black people. 
You know, there's dozens of 

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ethnicities in South Africa 
like, some of which were 

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adjacent to the white minority, 
some of which were neutral to 

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it, some of which were actively,
actively at war with it. 

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But there was never anybody in 
South Africa, except maybe the 

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most unhinged Yahoo. 
There's no advert government who

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said we're going to, like, 
perpetually wage war on every 

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black ethnicity because they 
hate us and we will never 

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surrender or give a single inch.
Like, you can't conduct politics

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that way. 
You just can't. 

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You know you can't. 
You can't declare. 

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You can't declare. 
Everybody but me is evil. 

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I will never negotiate under any
circumstances. 

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But that's a uniquely Zionist 
thing to do. 

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Like nobody else thinks that 
way. 

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Like to think that way. 
You've got to believe in some 

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deep and axiomatic way. 
No one else is really human. 

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Nobody else has a legitimate 
claim to anything. 

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You know, nobody else is is is 
acting in a way I must abide for

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any reason at all, because only 
I matter, You know, only my 

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ambitions are valid, and beyond 
that I simply don't need to 

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abide anybody else's claims, 
even for pragmatic or reasons or

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basic reasons of of physical 
security, because I am always 

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right and everyone else is 
always wrong. 

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Like that's literally the way 
these people think. 

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I'm not just like being funny or
something. 

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So that's. 
That's my basic takedown, kind 

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00:11:49,070 --> 00:11:50,310
of. 
I realize there's a lot there, 

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but, you know, yeah. 
And I don't. 

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00:11:53,790 --> 00:11:55,870
Well, no. 
I think what just to jump in for

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a second, I think what 
underscores it is that is that 

202
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we've seen now over the last 
since 2020. 

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00:12:04,510 --> 00:12:06,830
Really. 
This what I call sort of 

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00:12:06,830 --> 00:12:11,550
Saturday morning cartoon logic 
being applied to health issues, 

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00:12:11,550 --> 00:12:17,650
to the war in Ukraine and now 
the situation with Hamas where 

206
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people are saying truly 
outrageously stupid things as 

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you said, like a war to end, no 
to a never ending war that has 

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no end goal, has no, seemingly 
has no other point other than 

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other than to mass murder 
people. 

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That seems to be the only like 
we can just look at the Ukraine 

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situation like Bachmot still is 
is a I I I strained my brain to 

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to to to conceive of a reason 
for it. 

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You know you have to almost make
up stuff that is also Saturday 

214
00:12:51,610 --> 00:12:54,290
morning cartoon stuff, like 
maybe there's something hidden 

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in the salt mines. 
Maybe there's like there must be

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00:12:56,490 --> 00:12:59,370
something else right because you
strain for rationale. 

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00:12:59,690 --> 00:13:04,530
Why would Why would a country 
send its people into a into a 

218
00:13:04,530 --> 00:13:09,170
meat grinder for nothing, for a 
for a podunk town that that they

219
00:13:09,170 --> 00:13:10,930
used to have a salt line in it 
like it doesn't? 

220
00:13:11,130 --> 00:13:12,810
It doesn't conceivably make any 
sense, but. 

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It's also like in the case for 
Israel, like, I made the point 

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00:13:15,730 --> 00:13:17,410
of view before. 
Look, if you don't like Arabs or

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00:13:17,410 --> 00:13:19,570
Muslims, I do. 
And a lot of them are my 

224
00:13:19,570 --> 00:13:21,090
comrades. 
If you don't like them, that's 

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00:13:21,090 --> 00:13:22,210
fine. 
You don't like anybody, You 

226
00:13:22,210 --> 00:13:24,370
don't want to. 
But if you're going to sit 

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around, it's, you know, Gaza 
literally is an open air prison,

228
00:13:27,410 --> 00:13:30,130
Okay like it is. 
It's a giant concentration camp.

229
00:13:30,170 --> 00:13:31,690
It's high. 
Probably that's what it is, 

230
00:13:32,530 --> 00:13:34,960
Okay. 
These people are basically under

231
00:13:34,960 --> 00:13:37,000
a permanent blockade and an 
opener of prison. 

232
00:13:37,080 --> 00:13:39,160
You know, it doesn't mean to me 
they feel bad about that. 

233
00:13:39,160 --> 00:13:41,240
Doesn't mean you need to 
sympathize for these people. 

234
00:13:41,600 --> 00:13:44,400
But saying like, those people 
are savages and folk, all of 

235
00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,560
them, you know, if you're going 
to be a bigot man, like you have

236
00:13:46,560 --> 00:13:48,920
big and favor your own people, 
don't be some, like, fucking 

237
00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:51,680
dumb Hick and like decide you're
going to be like a bigger Jewish

238
00:13:51,680 --> 00:13:54,480
bigot than Jews themselves. 
I mean like that's that. 

239
00:13:54,480 --> 00:13:58,040
This is like fucking asinine. 
And it's also, again, it's like,

240
00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:02,160
you know, there's something. 
You, you know, you like, like 

241
00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:05,880
these people in Gaza. 
You know, unless, unless people 

242
00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:09,360
are truly talking about, God 
forbid like the political will 

243
00:14:09,360 --> 00:14:12,520
and technology to like kill 
every single one of these people

244
00:14:12,760 --> 00:14:15,840
or beyond that they kill 
literally 1 billion people who 

245
00:14:15,840 --> 00:14:18,320
populate Dar al Islam, you're 
going to have to deal with these

246
00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:20,400
people. 
That's reality, OK? 

247
00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:23,680
Adults within reality understand
that. 

248
00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:27,240
And that's saying fuck everybody
else, I'm going to kill you as 

249
00:14:27,240 --> 00:14:29,920
long as I can. 
That's not that's not policy. 

250
00:14:30,610 --> 00:14:36,810
You know, and also I'll add, you
know, you mentioned before we 

251
00:14:36,810 --> 00:14:40,490
went live about the communcy 
crisis and its relationship to 

252
00:14:42,050 --> 00:14:47,810
to military affairs. 
One of the reasons, I'm sure I 

253
00:14:47,810 --> 00:14:50,250
mean, I that Israel does not 
have meaningful human 

254
00:14:50,250 --> 00:14:53,730
intelligence, which, despite 
what people claim, still 

255
00:14:53,730 --> 00:14:56,250
matters, especially if you're 
talking about a literal like 

256
00:14:56,250 --> 00:15:00,860
racial war. 
You know where where people live

257
00:15:00,940 --> 00:15:02,420
quite literally on top of each 
other. 

258
00:15:02,780 --> 00:15:05,100
You know if you're going to, if 
you're going to, if you're going

259
00:15:05,100 --> 00:15:08,860
to try and like erect like brand
apartheid between populations 

260
00:15:09,060 --> 00:15:13,300
and just absolutely refuse like 
any any kind of meaningful 

261
00:15:14,020 --> 00:15:15,900
negotiation. 
You know, it's just to achieve 

262
00:15:15,900 --> 00:15:18,500
some kind of peace at distance 
like you're not, you're not 

263
00:15:18,500 --> 00:15:22,620
going to be able to understand 
the strategic paradigm as it 

264
00:15:22,620 --> 00:15:24,460
impacts you in very intimate 
terms. 

265
00:15:25,020 --> 00:15:27,100
And since we're a being was 
assassinated, that's like a 

266
00:15:27,100 --> 00:15:30,790
whole other issue. 
But the course Israel produced 

267
00:15:30,790 --> 00:15:33,950
some fairly competent statesman,
like whatever I think about 

268
00:15:33,950 --> 00:15:37,590
Israel, anything else, you know,
before the mid 1990s, like after

269
00:15:37,590 --> 00:15:40,670
Rabin was killed, that really 
was the ascendancy of leekhood 

270
00:15:40,670 --> 00:15:43,510
and permanent capacities. 
And I'm not, I'm not saying 

271
00:15:43,510 --> 00:15:45,630
there's like I don't want to get
into, like whether like why he 

272
00:15:45,630 --> 00:15:47,830
was killed or really loves 
conspiracy people have drunk 

273
00:15:47,830 --> 00:15:49,350
things with that. 
That's not my point. 

274
00:15:49,990 --> 00:15:51,310
Like something went to that 
event. 

275
00:15:51,830 --> 00:15:54,870
Like, like Netanyahu, Is that 
me? 

276
00:15:54,870 --> 00:15:57,550
Like a crook, The guy, just 
there's something wrong with 

277
00:15:57,550 --> 00:15:59,800
him. 
You know, like he's not, he's 

278
00:15:59,800 --> 00:16:02,800
not an intelligent person and 
he's not a reasoned guy and he's

279
00:16:02,800 --> 00:16:04,840
certainly not a man you want as 
warlord. 

280
00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:08,000
You know, like Sharon, Sharon 
might have been a terrible 

281
00:16:08,000 --> 00:16:11,520
person and like, not a good guy.
But before he became elderly and

282
00:16:11,520 --> 00:16:15,840
kind of and and kind of 
compromised by, you know, his 

283
00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:18,920
people doing to get old, you 
know, he was a career military 

284
00:16:18,920 --> 00:16:23,400
man. 
And you know, they did, however 

285
00:16:23,400 --> 00:16:26,420
objectionable. 
And you know in the long term 

286
00:16:26,420 --> 00:16:29,580
like leakage orientation towards
the problem was you know at 

287
00:16:29,580 --> 00:16:32,260
least like one could say that 
like wasn't about a rationality 

288
00:16:32,260 --> 00:16:36,020
of of of of operational military
affairs like Sharon like had his

289
00:16:36,020 --> 00:16:38,300
shit together. 
I mean like net Netanyahu is a 

290
00:16:38,300 --> 00:16:41,700
fucking buffoon. 
You know he's, he really is. 

291
00:16:41,780 --> 00:16:43,860
You know. 
And it's I don't, I don't see 

292
00:16:43,860 --> 00:16:48,260
how a man like that and you know
like a crony cabinet around him 

293
00:16:48,780 --> 00:16:52,460
can see their way out of this. 
But, you know, it's also, I 

294
00:16:52,460 --> 00:16:54,060
mean, the amazing thing about 
Israel is. 

295
00:16:54,940 --> 00:16:58,020
I think Michael Sawyer, I mean, 
sometimes he seems unhinged, but

296
00:16:58,020 --> 00:17:00,820
I think sometimes during the 
Iraq War especially, I think he 

297
00:17:00,820 --> 00:17:03,780
was, I think he was doing God's 
work. 

298
00:17:03,780 --> 00:17:06,540
But he, he made the point years 
back. 

299
00:17:07,060 --> 00:17:09,099
How can you make an enemy of 
everybody? 

300
00:17:09,099 --> 00:17:11,020
You're at war with the Shia, 
You're at war with the Sunni, 

301
00:17:11,020 --> 00:17:12,099
you're at war with the 
Christians. 

302
00:17:12,099 --> 00:17:13,980
You're worth the Arab, you're 
worth the Persian, You're worth 

303
00:17:13,980 --> 00:17:17,180
the like, you're literally not, 
not at war with anybody. 

304
00:17:17,579 --> 00:17:19,420
I mean, like, how is that 
sustainable, man? 

305
00:17:19,460 --> 00:17:21,859
You know, like doesn't make you 
some kind of, like, base badass 

306
00:17:21,859 --> 00:17:24,380
or some kind of? 
You know, or some kind of like a

307
00:17:24,380 --> 00:17:28,500
lone Spartan contingent, You 
know, against all odds. 

308
00:17:28,660 --> 00:17:32,180
It makes you crazy or it makes 
you suicidal or makes you like 

309
00:17:32,180 --> 00:17:35,060
self defeatingly incompetent. 
You know, I mean I think that's 

310
00:17:35,860 --> 00:17:38,700
it wasn't rambling a bit but 
that's yeah, man, I mean these 

311
00:17:38,740 --> 00:17:40,220
things are all very well. 
No, but it's. 

312
00:17:40,460 --> 00:17:43,340
But I think it underscores, it 
underscores this, this sort of 

313
00:17:43,340 --> 00:17:44,620
ideas. 
Like, you know, one of the 

314
00:17:44,620 --> 00:17:49,060
things that I got very good at, 
especially with the Ukraine 

315
00:17:49,060 --> 00:17:52,170
Russia thing, and I think it's 
because when media reports 

316
00:17:52,170 --> 00:17:54,410
started started talking, it was 
something that I have been 

317
00:17:54,410 --> 00:17:57,130
following for 30 odd years. 
Sure. 

318
00:17:57,370 --> 00:17:59,610
And when media reports started 
coming out and talking about 

319
00:18:01,690 --> 00:18:04,610
Putin acting in ways that Putin 
has never acted, I was like, oh,

320
00:18:04,610 --> 00:18:05,850
so you're talking about Bill 
Putin? 

321
00:18:05,890 --> 00:18:08,850
Like, this isn't Vladimir Putin,
This is some other guy. 

322
00:18:08,850 --> 00:18:10,490
This is Rob Putin or whatever, 
who? 

323
00:18:10,490 --> 00:18:12,250
I don't know who. 
You're talking about or like 

324
00:18:12,330 --> 00:18:16,890
Daryl Putin, like my cousin from
the Hood or whatever, right? 

325
00:18:17,210 --> 00:18:20,890
And it's amazing to me how 
propaganda works until it hits 

326
00:18:20,890 --> 00:18:23,810
you and it hits up against your 
actual knowledge about a 

327
00:18:23,810 --> 00:18:26,810
situation. 
You're like, no, no, what are 

328
00:18:26,810 --> 00:18:29,570
you just talking about? 
The same thing with Israel now, 

329
00:18:29,570 --> 00:18:33,190
I feel is that, you know, when I
first saw the reports, you're 

330
00:18:33,190 --> 00:18:35,350
automatically going, well, wait,
where was where's the IDF? 

331
00:18:35,350 --> 00:18:36,270
Where's this? 
Where's that? 

332
00:18:36,270 --> 00:18:38,430
You know, where's the 
intelligence like this? 

333
00:18:38,430 --> 00:18:40,630
We're always told this is world 
class intelligence. 

334
00:18:40,630 --> 00:18:42,470
And then you catch yourself 
saying it, you're like, wait a 

335
00:18:42,470 --> 00:18:46,070
minute, how do I know that? 
And why do I know that? 

336
00:18:46,350 --> 00:18:50,110
And more importantly, why do I 
want this to be true? 

337
00:18:50,390 --> 00:18:53,110
Because almost everything in the
media narrative structure is 

338
00:18:53,110 --> 00:18:55,750
based on that. 
You want something to be true 

339
00:18:55,750 --> 00:18:59,190
for some reason. 
You desire this thing and it's 

340
00:18:59,190 --> 00:19:01,430
going to feed you the 
information that confirms that 

341
00:19:01,430 --> 00:19:04,110
desire. 
That Israel's this badass 

342
00:19:04,110 --> 00:19:08,310
country in the Middle East, that
you know, the IDF and and the 

343
00:19:08,310 --> 00:19:12,430
intelligence services out of 
Mossad is just like, you know, 

344
00:19:12,430 --> 00:19:14,750
all knowing, all seeing can do 
everything. 

345
00:19:14,750 --> 00:19:17,430
And you better not screw with 
these guys cuz they're they're 

346
00:19:17,430 --> 00:19:20,710
they're total badasses. 
In reality it might just be a 

347
00:19:20,710 --> 00:19:24,030
bunch of 19 year old girls who 
don't want to go serve in the 

348
00:19:24,030 --> 00:19:28,150
military who are now you know 
who are who you might be in a 

349
00:19:28,150 --> 00:19:34,430
situation where your operative 
army is has a competency crisis 

350
00:19:34,430 --> 00:19:38,870
you've there's one report out of
that I mentioned before went 

351
00:19:38,870 --> 00:19:42,350
live that it's quite possible 
that that Israel's low on 

352
00:19:42,350 --> 00:19:46,340
artillery so their iron shield 
doesn't have the MIT right 

353
00:19:46,340 --> 00:19:49,660
missiles they don't have enough 
artillery to just to just attack

354
00:19:50,060 --> 00:19:53,380
Gaza from a distance Hamas has 
now taken. 

355
00:19:54,340 --> 00:19:56,740
They've been waging, they've 
been they've been waging a war 

356
00:19:57,060 --> 00:20:00,980
against Syria for no particular 
reason for you know a decade and

357
00:20:00,980 --> 00:20:03,860
a half. 
I mean like it, which, which 

358
00:20:03,860 --> 00:20:06,540
again, like I said, and I mean 
the fact that they the fact that

359
00:20:06,540 --> 00:20:09,140
they got their face broken by 
Russia and Hezbollah. 

360
00:20:11,750 --> 00:20:15,390
In in Syria I mean that that's 
why they went all in against 

361
00:20:15,390 --> 00:20:19,990
Russia and Ukraine when they did
but it But with regards as in 

362
00:20:19,990 --> 00:20:22,110
regards to the Assad and 
intelligence matter. 

363
00:20:22,110 --> 00:20:25,390
I I firmly believe like I said 
I'm not I haven't visited the 

364
00:20:25,390 --> 00:20:32,790
Holy Land but I but I do I I do 
know a fair amount of guys who 

365
00:20:32,790 --> 00:20:37,930
are from there who are there now
not in the battle space but like

366
00:20:37,930 --> 00:20:41,490
guys no live on told me you know
in the past 30 years especially 

367
00:20:41,490 --> 00:20:43,770
like you don't really associate 
like if you're if you're a 

368
00:20:43,770 --> 00:20:47,530
Moslem or if you're a Christian 
you don't really associate with 

369
00:20:47,530 --> 00:20:51,410
Israelis like you used to like 
these people used to whatever 

370
00:20:51,410 --> 00:20:54,490
the bad blood was whatever the 
wider political paradigm. 

371
00:20:54,850 --> 00:20:57,330
You know whatever kind of 
apartheid features kind of drove

372
00:20:57,330 --> 00:21:01,890
a wedge between you know people 
in in kind of common spaces. 

373
00:21:02,350 --> 00:21:06,030
There was a basic you know 
they'd socialize in some basic 

374
00:21:06,030 --> 00:21:09,230
way and of course you know there
there'd be the odd kind of like 

375
00:21:09,230 --> 00:21:13,430
marriage across the ethnic 
racial sectarian line. 

376
00:21:14,150 --> 00:21:17,350
But I mean, the less that 
happens, like, the less you're 

377
00:21:17,350 --> 00:21:20,910
going to be able to insinuate 
yourself into these spaces. 

378
00:21:20,910 --> 00:21:23,710
And you're not really going to 
know what what what you're not 

379
00:21:23,710 --> 00:21:24,590
going to. 
You're not going to have a 

380
00:21:24,590 --> 00:21:27,790
conceptual picture of like what 
what the what what the Gaza 

381
00:21:27,790 --> 00:21:30,470
Street is doing. 
And it's also too literally like

382
00:21:30,470 --> 00:21:34,570
I said, I'm not, I don't resort 
to hyperbole, man, unless I'm 

383
00:21:34,570 --> 00:21:38,530
like making fun of stuff. 
The Gaza Strip is literally an 

384
00:21:38,530 --> 00:21:41,370
opener of prison, Israel's 
disengagement from it. 

385
00:21:42,050 --> 00:21:43,930
There's this kind of, there's 
this, there's this kind of like 

386
00:21:43,930 --> 00:21:47,770
Demilitarized Zone, like Barrier
Strip that's hyper militarized 

387
00:21:48,290 --> 00:21:54,130
that that Palestinians are 
forbidden to transverse. 

388
00:21:55,530 --> 00:21:58,010
There's essentially like a 
permanent embargo on it. 

389
00:21:58,370 --> 00:22:00,770
You know in terms of essential 
goods. 

390
00:22:01,750 --> 00:22:05,270
The only majority of people who 
live there, other people who 

391
00:22:05,270 --> 00:22:08,790
were displaced by the ethnic 
cleansing operation from 1946 to

392
00:22:08,830 --> 00:22:13,750
1949, it's it's it's an it's 
like an iron cage. 

393
00:22:13,750 --> 00:22:15,950
That's the term like Rashi 
Khalidi used for it. 

394
00:22:16,390 --> 00:22:18,350
Okay. 
So if you're basically, if 

395
00:22:18,350 --> 00:22:21,670
you're basically treating these 
people like you're a warden or 

396
00:22:21,670 --> 00:22:25,430
you're a jail cop and there are 
your charges, you don't you 

397
00:22:25,430 --> 00:22:27,230
don't know what they're up to. 
Like, you're not, you're not 

398
00:22:27,230 --> 00:22:32,360
getting good human intelligence.
And if your notion is we don't 

399
00:22:32,360 --> 00:22:35,080
have to deal with these people 
because we're Israel and fuck 

400
00:22:35,080 --> 00:22:37,560
everybody else on the planet, 
you know you're not going to 

401
00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:39,120
have the psychology for that 
either. 

402
00:22:39,120 --> 00:22:41,720
Like, if you want to, if you 
understand people, if you have 

403
00:22:41,720 --> 00:22:44,040
to like, walk among them, OK? 
And like, if you're not in their

404
00:22:44,040 --> 00:22:47,160
race, there's always going to be
like barriers, but they are 

405
00:22:47,160 --> 00:22:49,320
going to like, come to like you 
even like, in spite of 

406
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:51,400
themselves, OK? 
And they are going to like get 

407
00:22:51,400 --> 00:22:54,200
comfortable at least around you 
and you're going to like pick up

408
00:22:54,200 --> 00:22:56,320
like tells. 
You're going to like overhear 

409
00:22:56,320 --> 00:22:58,160
things. 
You know, you're going to like 

410
00:22:58,600 --> 00:23:01,520
observe pattern even among like 
very insular peoples. 

411
00:23:02,080 --> 00:23:04,280
And in the Middle East, I mean, 
they're like the insular of 

412
00:23:04,280 --> 00:23:06,920
insular peoples, frankly, a lot 
of these populations. 

413
00:23:06,920 --> 00:23:09,840
So you're never going to have 
like a complete picture, kind of

414
00:23:09,840 --> 00:23:13,400
like their cultural mind, but 
you are going to discern when at

415
00:23:13,400 --> 00:23:17,800
least when things change or or 
when the kind of like war drums 

416
00:23:17,800 --> 00:23:21,200
are sounding around Gaza in like
subtle ways. 

417
00:23:21,600 --> 00:23:24,520
And I don't believe Israel can 
do that anymore for reasons I 

418
00:23:24,520 --> 00:23:26,920
said. 
But again, I've not been there 

419
00:23:26,920 --> 00:23:29,010
on the ground. 
I mean, people can tell me that 

420
00:23:29,010 --> 00:23:31,730
this is totally off base, but I 
don't think it is, OK. 

421
00:23:31,730 --> 00:23:35,050
There's comparable precedent for
things like that, where the 

422
00:23:35,050 --> 00:23:38,930
capability to devise a picture 
from human intelligence just 

423
00:23:38,930 --> 00:23:42,170
like completely disappears for 
reasons I said, because of total

424
00:23:43,130 --> 00:23:45,170
isolation. 
And you know, kind of like the 

425
00:23:45,250 --> 00:23:49,490
most basic, like human level of 
sociality, but but all for only 

426
00:23:49,490 --> 00:23:50,810
two. 
Like the IDF is like U.S. 

427
00:23:50,810 --> 00:23:53,770
Army and it's like full of like 
fucking fat people and like and 

428
00:23:53,770 --> 00:23:57,930
like idiots and like, you know, 
intersex like women who weigh 

429
00:23:57,930 --> 00:23:59,490
like £400. 
I don't know. 

430
00:23:59,930 --> 00:24:02,290
And if that's the case, yeah, 
I'm sure that's not helping any.

431
00:24:05,690 --> 00:24:06,650
So what do you think? 
Okay? 

432
00:24:08,050 --> 00:24:12,570
One of the main concerns here 
was because they've already 

433
00:24:12,570 --> 00:24:14,690
listed in the media a few 
things. 

434
00:24:14,690 --> 00:24:17,450
This is why I found interesting 
and disturbing at the same time.

435
00:24:17,970 --> 00:24:19,410
They're claiming that these 
that. 

436
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:25,840
When Hamas broke through the 
lines, shot up a a rave or an 

437
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:28,640
outdoor festival and and 
kidnapped a bunch of women 

438
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:32,360
mostly and went back into the 
Gaza, there's now reports that 

439
00:24:32,360 --> 00:24:36,320
they're mass rape, they're gang 
raping these women, which is you

440
00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:38,080
keep seeing this narrative pop 
up. 

441
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,400
I just did a preliminary like 
search on it, like where is this

442
00:24:41,400 --> 00:24:44,160
coming from? 
And it seems to be the only 

443
00:24:44,160 --> 00:24:48,080
confirmation I could get from it
was that the the the report of 

444
00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:50,890
gang rape came from? 
An account on X. 

445
00:24:51,370 --> 00:24:54,850
It was called the Israeli war 
room that are making these 

446
00:24:54,850 --> 00:24:57,690
claims. 
It it what I think is important 

447
00:24:57,690 --> 00:24:58,850
for people to understand is like
it. 

448
00:24:58,930 --> 00:25:01,890
There's some some things that 
you can deal with just small 

449
00:25:01,890 --> 00:25:04,410
little things and then go okay. 
If they're lying about this or 

450
00:25:04,410 --> 00:25:07,730
this is inconclusive, why 
they're repeating it and where 

451
00:25:07,730 --> 00:25:09,570
does this lead us to what I can 
say. 

452
00:25:10,290 --> 00:25:15,810
What I can say to that man is 
you remember in 1990 there was a

453
00:25:15,810 --> 00:25:21,960
testimony before Congress by 
that Kuwaiti nurse who said that

454
00:25:22,320 --> 00:25:24,680
when the Iraqis invaded, I 
wasn't nursed. 

455
00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:27,960
And they took all the babies out
of incubators and threw them on 

456
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:30,160
the floor and they died. 
And then they like raped all the

457
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:32,800
boys and girls like, you know, 
these like teenage boys and 

458
00:25:32,800 --> 00:25:35,360
girls, you know, And then they 
and then they went from bed to 

459
00:25:35,360 --> 00:25:38,400
bed and like mass occurred like 
all the elderly and invalids. 

460
00:25:38,800 --> 00:25:40,880
And then it comes out like five 
years later. 

461
00:25:40,880 --> 00:25:43,280
That Lady was a member of the 
Saudi royal family. 

462
00:25:43,640 --> 00:25:46,320
She worked with this, like big 
international PR firm, like she 

463
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:48,520
wasn't a nurse. 
This story was literally made-up

464
00:25:48,520 --> 00:25:52,000
by like these Madison Ave. like 
Horror Story writers, you know, 

465
00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,800
like this sounds like made-up, 
but it's not like that happened.

466
00:25:55,280 --> 00:25:58,800
I mean it's like, I don't do I 
find it hard to believe that 

467
00:25:58,800 --> 00:26:02,960
like very jumped up angry young 
man would like gang rape women 

468
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:04,480
in a war zone. 
I do not find that hard to 

469
00:26:04,480 --> 00:26:06,880
believe at all. 
But it's like why are there 

470
00:26:06,880 --> 00:26:09,760
these like pictures where it's 
like a found footage of horror 

471
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:13,240
movie of these like pretty girls
being led away and he's like 

472
00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:16,560
grimy looking like kind of 
stereotypical like dirtbag Arab 

473
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:20,240
guys like like, you know like 
acting on like, why what's like,

474
00:26:20,240 --> 00:26:22,680
what is this It's like the Blair
Witch Project like Arab Rape 

475
00:26:22,680 --> 00:26:25,080
Edition. 
Like it doesn't like who's who's

476
00:26:25,080 --> 00:26:28,040
taking this footage guys like, 
oh this is me committing war 

477
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:30,160
crimes. 
I mean, like, I mean I'm sure 

478
00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:33,440
there's some of that like, but 
it's it's it's weird, man. 

479
00:26:33,440 --> 00:26:39,010
And it's like, I going back, 
what was the what was the what 

480
00:26:39,010 --> 00:26:44,770
was the War Department's big 
coup after Wilson's war 

481
00:26:44,770 --> 00:26:47,530
declaration? 
It's like this King Kong gorilla

482
00:26:47,530 --> 00:26:50,450
and the poster with, like, a 
naked girl over his shoulder. 

483
00:26:50,450 --> 00:26:51,450
Stop. 
The yeah. 

484
00:26:51,450 --> 00:26:54,210
The the eternal Huns. 
Yeah, yeah, weeping German 

485
00:26:54,210 --> 00:26:56,490
girls. 
It's always raped. 

486
00:26:56,570 --> 00:26:57,970
You know, like, you gotta save 
them. 

487
00:26:58,010 --> 00:27:00,530
You gotta save these, these 
like, poor girls being raped by 

488
00:27:00,530 --> 00:27:02,410
these like brutes. 
That's always the narrative. 

489
00:27:02,950 --> 00:27:05,510
No, again, I'm not trying to be 
flipping like women get raped 

490
00:27:05,510 --> 00:27:07,110
constantly in war and that's 
fucked up. 

491
00:27:07,110 --> 00:27:09,750
Like, I'm not saying that does 
not happen, but it's like, why 

492
00:27:09,750 --> 00:27:11,670
is that always the narrative, 
you know? 

493
00:27:11,670 --> 00:27:15,630
And it's like, I mean, I know 
why, but it's like, it's also, I

494
00:27:15,630 --> 00:27:17,950
mean, I don't. 
But, you know at some point it's

495
00:27:17,950 --> 00:27:20,590
like, what's the point? 
I can, I can pull up like gross 

496
00:27:20,590 --> 00:27:24,030
pictures all day of like little 
kids, like little Arab kids, 

497
00:27:24,030 --> 00:27:27,070
like soccer who got like fucking
lit up by like 50 calibration 

498
00:27:27,070 --> 00:27:28,710
ammunition. 
Like what does it, what does it 

499
00:27:28,710 --> 00:27:30,750
prove? 
Like bad things happen at war. 

500
00:27:30,750 --> 00:27:33,320
Like I don't. 
It's like, well, that's that's 

501
00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:35,680
wrong. 
If, like Hamas does fucked up 

502
00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:38,160
shit like, I don't, OK. 
I mean, I don't accept it. 

503
00:27:38,680 --> 00:27:40,560
That's the interesting part 
about this whole thing, right. 

504
00:27:40,560 --> 00:27:43,160
Because it's it's bad enough 
that Hamas did invade that that 

505
00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,560
rave that's, I don't think 
there's any contention about 

506
00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,640
that. 
Did shoot people at at that 

507
00:27:47,640 --> 00:27:49,520
festival. 
Did kill people that festival 

508
00:27:49,520 --> 00:27:52,720
and did take prisoners 
absentially for now. 

509
00:27:52,720 --> 00:27:56,720
There's there's speculation 
going going crazy about why they

510
00:27:56,720 --> 00:27:59,440
did that, whether it's being 
using them as human Shields or 

511
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:02,530
is. 
Exchangeable tokens or as a way 

512
00:28:02,530 --> 00:28:06,890
to to draw the Israeli military 
into Gaza and then and then have

513
00:28:06,890 --> 00:28:09,210
urban warfare. 
I'm I'm open to all those 

514
00:28:09,210 --> 00:28:11,250
possibilities. 
The the the thing that I 

515
00:28:11,250 --> 00:28:14,930
rejected off the top of it is 
that it doesn't make, typically 

516
00:28:14,930 --> 00:28:19,090
speaking when people take when 
people kidnap people in a in a 

517
00:28:19,090 --> 00:28:22,370
time of war, they tend not to 
mistreat those people that 

518
00:28:22,370 --> 00:28:22,970
horrible. 
I'm not. 

519
00:28:22,970 --> 00:28:25,650
I'm not saying they're putting 
up at the Ritz, but. 

520
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:29,400
It doesn't make any sense for 
them to to to visit horrors upon

521
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,080
them when they could just shoot 
them in the head, right? 

522
00:28:32,440 --> 00:28:35,000
I mean, there's there's like, 
again, too, there's like a 

523
00:28:35,000 --> 00:28:37,200
horrible sexual violence that 
happens at war. 

524
00:28:37,200 --> 00:28:41,680
But it's like I like so in the 
opening salvos of this these 

525
00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:44,360
guys who presumably if they're 
in the kind of, if they're in 

526
00:28:44,560 --> 00:28:48,080
the kind of first wave 
operationally on the Hamas side.

527
00:28:48,080 --> 00:28:50,600
I mean presumably these guys 
would be kind of like the 

528
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:53,530
hardened cadres. 
You know they'd at least or at 

529
00:28:53,530 --> 00:28:56,010
least led by guys where they're 
equivalent of like pretty 

530
00:28:56,050 --> 00:28:59,210
experienced Ncos like their 
first order of business is like 

531
00:28:59,210 --> 00:29:03,450
kidnap girls to like rape them. 
Like that's I mean so morality 

532
00:29:03,450 --> 00:29:07,170
and fucked up aspects that aside
like that that that represents 

533
00:29:07,170 --> 00:29:10,130
kind of a breakdown in military 
discipline like immediately I 

534
00:29:10,130 --> 00:29:15,290
mean that's not you can't in in 
terms of like military necessity

535
00:29:15,290 --> 00:29:17,090
and pregnancy. 
You can't, like, have men doing 

536
00:29:17,090 --> 00:29:20,130
that kind of thing, you know, 
like, again, not to minimize, 

537
00:29:20,130 --> 00:29:22,850
like a horror of, like sexual 
violence, but you know what I 

538
00:29:22,850 --> 00:29:24,650
mean? 
And, like, it's but the whole 

539
00:29:24,650 --> 00:29:28,850
thing is it's smacked of, you 
know, like what I said, like 

540
00:29:28,850 --> 00:29:34,010
these kinds of this kind of 
entirely predictable, like these

541
00:29:34,010 --> 00:29:36,450
kind of entirely predictable 
propaganda areas always having 

542
00:29:36,450 --> 00:29:40,250
to do with sex, always having to
do with, you know, the the 

543
00:29:40,250 --> 00:29:43,410
destruction of innocent victims.
Like, you know there's like a 

544
00:29:43,410 --> 00:29:47,280
pattern here and obviously like 
that inflames the passions of 

545
00:29:47,280 --> 00:29:49,640
people in a way that and I see 
it too. 

546
00:29:49,640 --> 00:29:52,040
Like people. 
I was like I got like 50 emails 

547
00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:53,720
or like TM. 
Some people think you're a piece

548
00:29:53,720 --> 00:29:55,240
of shit you support rape. 
You folk. 

549
00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:56,720
I'm going to kill you. 
It's like, what are you talking 

550
00:29:56,720 --> 00:29:58,320
about? 
Because it's like, you know, 

551
00:29:58,680 --> 00:30:00,520
it's like in these people's 
minds like they can't. 

552
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:04,080
They're not capable of of 
they're not, they're not capable

553
00:30:04,080 --> 00:30:06,920
of of discerning that like 
things they see on TV or the 

554
00:30:06,920 --> 00:30:09,280
Internet like aren't reality. 
You're like aren't happening to 

555
00:30:09,280 --> 00:30:15,990
them or like or that there's, 
you know, there's facts and a 

556
00:30:15,990 --> 00:30:20,190
paradigm present that 
supersedes, like bad guys raping

557
00:30:20,190 --> 00:30:22,190
women. 
Like, it's really kind of 

558
00:30:22,190 --> 00:30:26,590
fascinating as a study in human 
psychology, albeit it's pretty, 

559
00:30:26,590 --> 00:30:28,510
it's banal and it's kind of 
upsetting. 

560
00:30:28,510 --> 00:30:30,470
But. 
Well, it goes back to what I was

561
00:30:30,470 --> 00:30:33,350
saying about. 
So no, it's okay. 

562
00:30:34,590 --> 00:30:37,350
It's about, I think, going back 
to what people wanting somebody 

563
00:30:37,350 --> 00:30:39,680
to be true. 
If you can attribute the worst 

564
00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:42,480
possible crimes to a group of 
people then you can do whatever 

565
00:30:42,480 --> 00:30:45,920
you want to those people and not
feel bad about it because 

566
00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:49,400
obviously, well, look they're 
they're mother rappers and and 

567
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:52,720
and murderers and and look and 
I'm I've always been very 

568
00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:59,080
neutral on both the Hamas or 
let's say Palestine is Israel in

569
00:30:59,080 --> 00:31:01,680
general. 
I recognize that neither side or

570
00:31:01,680 --> 00:31:06,320
my friends, they're not 
interested in me or and helping 

571
00:31:06,320 --> 00:31:10,270
me at all. 
And you know I I wish them good 

572
00:31:10,270 --> 00:31:12,910
luck and God bless and hope they
they figure these these things 

573
00:31:12,910 --> 00:31:17,070
these things out the but as you 
alluded to the the the issue of 

574
00:31:17,070 --> 00:31:21,230
course is that it does involve 
us because geopolitics whether 

575
00:31:21,230 --> 00:31:25,110
you like it or not is part of 
your life and movements in 

576
00:31:25,110 --> 00:31:28,590
Levant are going to actually 
start affecting you know whether

577
00:31:28,590 --> 00:31:31,190
we send people out to the desert
to die again. 

578
00:31:32,300 --> 00:31:35,260
And you know just general 
policies and if you know, if if 

579
00:31:35,260 --> 00:31:41,260
we have to send that print out 
more money to to to to beef up a

580
00:31:41,260 --> 00:31:46,220
war measures in in in Israel. 
What does that do to our, you 

581
00:31:46,260 --> 00:31:47,780
know to your to your local 
economy? 

582
00:31:47,780 --> 00:31:50,260
Well we're going to find out 
because that seems to be that 

583
00:31:50,260 --> 00:31:52,540
that seems to be the case. 
I want to touch on two other 

584
00:31:52,540 --> 00:31:55,180
things. 
That's why we have you here. 

585
00:31:56,300 --> 00:31:59,340
One is that the absolute 
disappearance of Ukraine from 

586
00:31:59,340 --> 00:32:02,470
the media narrative. 
Which I thought was a little 

587
00:32:02,470 --> 00:32:07,030
bit, you know, beyond 
coincidental. 

588
00:32:07,030 --> 00:32:10,110
Let's, let's put it that way. 
Especially as we're getting 

589
00:32:10,110 --> 00:32:13,070
reports that the entire 
Ukrainian offensive line is now 

590
00:32:13,070 --> 00:32:15,950
completely crumbling in in in in
real time. 

591
00:32:17,510 --> 00:32:19,790
And then of course now 
everyone's freeing World War 

592
00:32:19,790 --> 00:32:23,110
Three. 
So maybe you can just comment on

593
00:32:23,110 --> 00:32:27,710
the first briefly, but but 
especially with the 2nd. 

594
00:32:29,660 --> 00:32:33,100
The I guess the the things we 
should I would guess I'll defer 

595
00:32:33,100 --> 00:32:35,900
to your to your expertise. 
What should we be looking for if

596
00:32:35,900 --> 00:32:40,540
this if If we are worried about 
World War Three, how would that 

597
00:32:40,540 --> 00:32:43,620
actually come come about from 
this conflict? 

598
00:32:48,380 --> 00:32:54,300
I'll address that question. 
First World War Three and the 

599
00:32:54,300 --> 00:32:57,340
way people bandy. 
It isn't possible at present. 

600
00:33:00,330 --> 00:33:04,610
People forget or they don't. 
The 20th century was totally, 

601
00:33:04,730 --> 00:33:06,570
totally, totally totally 
abnormal. 

602
00:33:07,650 --> 00:33:11,850
Okay. 
Things like that happen 

603
00:33:11,850 --> 00:33:14,370
literally once every thousand 
years if that. 

604
00:33:15,210 --> 00:33:16,890
You know, this is like there's 
really nothing you can like 

605
00:33:16,890 --> 00:33:22,290
extrapolate from there like 
generally about about the status

606
00:33:22,290 --> 00:33:27,890
quo on at scale, at temporal 
scale as regards power politics.

607
00:33:28,340 --> 00:33:31,020
Because that basically almost 
never ever ever ever happens, 

608
00:33:31,500 --> 00:33:35,820
OK. 
It was a uniquely dangerous 

609
00:33:35,820 --> 00:33:38,740
strategic landscape. 
Although there was like only a 

610
00:33:38,740 --> 00:33:42,660
handful of conflict dyads, if 
they were tripped they they 

611
00:33:42,660 --> 00:33:45,620
would have almost inevitably led
to like general nuclear war. 

612
00:33:45,980 --> 00:33:50,140
And I never accepted like Carl 
Sagan's kind of piece like view 

613
00:33:50,140 --> 00:33:52,140
that this is the end of life as 
we know it. 

614
00:33:52,530 --> 00:33:55,530
No. 
But if 200 million people dead 

615
00:33:55,650 --> 00:33:58,770
like worldwide like that that 
that that does change life as 

616
00:33:58,770 --> 00:34:02,370
you know it, OK. 
There's there's no chance of 

617
00:34:02,370 --> 00:34:05,170
that kind of escalation 
happening because there's not 

618
00:34:05,970 --> 00:34:08,210
there's not the political will. 
There's not the forces and being

619
00:34:08,210 --> 00:34:10,969
there's not, there's not the 
mobilization, there's not the 

620
00:34:10,969 --> 00:34:13,489
ongoing mobilization of of war 
readiness. 

621
00:34:13,730 --> 00:34:16,530
There's not the mindset. 
There's not the knowledge even 

622
00:34:16,530 --> 00:34:19,969
to like do that anymore. 
But also like it wouldn't like 

623
00:34:19,969 --> 00:34:23,800
the the constellation of 
alliances would not develop 

624
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:27,320
whereby that kind of destruction
at scale is possible. 

625
00:34:27,840 --> 00:34:33,239
What I believe is kind of the 
main conflict theater in the 

626
00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:36,800
21st century is Central Asia. 
I do agree somewhat with a lot 

627
00:34:36,800 --> 00:34:41,440
of what Pepe Escobar says, not 
entirely, but when he describes 

628
00:34:41,440 --> 00:34:43,960
Central Asia as like a continent
unto itself. 

629
00:34:44,480 --> 00:34:48,159
And if you looked at it as like 
a discrete continent, it has 

630
00:34:48,159 --> 00:34:52,040
like the the the majority of the
world's remaining like coveted 

631
00:34:52,040 --> 00:34:57,640
natural energy resources, 
petroleum, natural gas, you 

632
00:34:57,640 --> 00:35:00,360
know, all all these things. 
You know, a huge percentage of 

633
00:35:00,360 --> 00:35:04,720
the global population. 
There's there's basically like a

634
00:35:04,720 --> 00:35:08,800
great game like Ward, like like 
low intensity war development 

635
00:35:08,800 --> 00:35:13,620
between like the United States, 
China, Turkey, the Russian 

636
00:35:13,620 --> 00:35:17,180
Federation, like secondary 
players are Iran and Kazakhstan,

637
00:35:17,180 --> 00:35:23,340
you know and some of these other
countries and it there's there's

638
00:35:23,340 --> 00:35:25,380
potential for that by 
midcentury. 

639
00:35:25,380 --> 00:35:29,380
I think the trip into like a hot
like a hot general war between 

640
00:35:29,380 --> 00:35:31,460
like some consolation of those 
combatants. 

641
00:35:33,580 --> 00:35:37,500
But I think that that's really 
kind of the only like burdening 

642
00:35:37,500 --> 00:35:41,570
conflict dyad that has like 
potential for like general war 

643
00:35:41,570 --> 00:35:44,570
between like nation States and 
the way we think of it like 

644
00:35:44,570 --> 00:35:47,730
combined arms, possibly even 
tactical nuclear weapons if 

645
00:35:47,730 --> 00:35:53,730
things get to that point. 
But I don't like, I mean the 

646
00:35:53,730 --> 00:35:59,130
issue with the mid, the issue 
with the Near East is that if 

647
00:35:59,130 --> 00:36:04,320
America is going to simply say 
no matter what, you know, we're 

648
00:36:04,320 --> 00:36:07,120
going to, we're going to fight 
some like racial, holy war, 

649
00:36:07,120 --> 00:36:10,640
literally the posterity of the 
Zionist state as it exists. 

650
00:36:10,880 --> 00:36:13,560
We will not compromise. 
We will not give an inch. 

651
00:36:13,640 --> 00:36:17,280
We will not allow the state to 
be reconstituted into like this 

652
00:36:17,280 --> 00:36:20,800
kind of like multiethnic like 
you know like kind of like 

653
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:27,160
normal like managerial regime, 
you know, there, there, there. 

654
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:30,920
There's a potential for like a 
real bloodbath there, owing to 

655
00:36:30,920 --> 00:36:37,070
both, you know, an unreasonable 
kind of spirit of of of 

656
00:36:37,070 --> 00:36:43,550
vengeance as well as a basic a 
total like lack of conceptual 

657
00:36:43,550 --> 00:36:46,110
literacy on the reality of these
things. 

658
00:36:48,430 --> 00:36:54,590
At the same time, I believe that
it's quite obvious Russia to a 

659
00:36:54,590 --> 00:36:56,950
lesser degree, China, because 
their interests are different 

660
00:36:56,950 --> 00:36:58,750
and there's less of a military 
aspect to it. 

661
00:36:59,070 --> 00:37:03,970
But also Iran, Saudi Arabia, 
Syria, this, these consolations 

662
00:37:03,970 --> 00:37:10,010
of lesser like Arab and Islamic 
states, you know, who are at at 

663
00:37:10,010 --> 00:37:13,290
permanent a prone enemy footing 
with with with with America, 

664
00:37:13,290 --> 00:37:14,730
Israel, people. 
It's kind of like letting 

665
00:37:14,730 --> 00:37:18,410
America fail and like not 
responding with provocations and

666
00:37:18,410 --> 00:37:20,290
it's like letting it fail over 
and over again. 

667
00:37:20,610 --> 00:37:24,450
And like, you know, and I I I 
don't. 

668
00:37:24,450 --> 00:37:26,890
I think Putin is a poor warlord 
in a lot of ways. 

669
00:37:27,410 --> 00:37:30,410
I I think Putin tolerates 
provocations to the degree that 

670
00:37:30,410 --> 00:37:33,730
now he's fighting NATO, 
literally with the decapitation 

671
00:37:33,730 --> 00:37:35,370
range of Moscow. 
And he never should let things 

672
00:37:35,370 --> 00:37:40,090
get to that point. 
But at the same time, there is 

673
00:37:40,090 --> 00:37:42,850
like an internal logic to that 
basic strategy. 

674
00:37:44,330 --> 00:37:45,210
Why? 
Like why? 

675
00:37:45,210 --> 00:37:47,530
Why? 
You know what? 

676
00:37:47,530 --> 00:37:51,570
Why confront America directly 
when it it's hurting itself? 

677
00:37:51,570 --> 00:37:55,730
Like more than I could. 
It's an oversold vacation, but I

678
00:37:55,730 --> 00:37:59,970
think that's part of it. 
That's my take on that, Why 

679
00:37:59,970 --> 00:38:03,690
Ukraine has left the news cycle.
I don't think. 

680
00:38:05,330 --> 00:38:08,130
I don't think Biden's joking. 
I think Biden really is like a 

681
00:38:08,130 --> 00:38:10,290
fucking moron. 
He's like a doddering idiot. 

682
00:38:10,570 --> 00:38:11,850
Yeah. 
He has no idea what the fuck's 

683
00:38:11,850 --> 00:38:13,690
going on, Even when he's a 
young, even when he's a young 

684
00:38:13,690 --> 00:38:15,690
man. 
There's that footage of, like, 

685
00:38:15,690 --> 00:38:18,170
him talking to Clarence Thomas 
saying like, you and I 

686
00:38:18,170 --> 00:38:20,770
understand each other and Tom 
was like, senator, I literally 

687
00:38:20,770 --> 00:38:22,410
have no idea what you're talking
about. 

688
00:38:22,890 --> 00:38:24,450
You know, like, the guys are 
fucking idiots. 

689
00:38:26,340 --> 00:38:28,260
So, like, when Biden comes out 
and says, like, we're gonna, 

690
00:38:28,300 --> 00:38:30,260
we're gonna, we're gonna stand 
with Ukraine to the end. 

691
00:38:30,260 --> 00:38:31,620
There's no kind of what that 
means. 

692
00:38:31,980 --> 00:38:34,540
Okay. 
The people who do understand 

693
00:38:34,540 --> 00:38:37,460
what that means and the Pentagon
or do have a clear picture. 

694
00:38:37,580 --> 00:38:42,700
I've said from inception, it's 
just about money and clout and 

695
00:38:44,020 --> 00:38:47,300
and and and and and and hurting 
Ivan because they've got, you 

696
00:38:47,300 --> 00:38:50,540
know, these kinds of perverse 
tribal prejudices owing to their

697
00:38:50,540 --> 00:38:53,300
own parentage or they've taken 
them on or something. 

698
00:38:53,300 --> 00:38:55,090
But there's no there there. 
There is. 

699
00:38:55,250 --> 00:38:57,610
There is not now. 
There has never been, there will

700
00:38:57,610 --> 00:39:00,690
never be some military path to 
victory for Ukraine. 

701
00:39:01,210 --> 00:39:04,690
There's absolutely no chance 
Ukraine can defeat the Air 

702
00:39:04,690 --> 00:39:08,050
Force, the Russian Federation, 
chase the remainder of it into 

703
00:39:08,050 --> 00:39:12,490
Russia, annihilate it, go to 
Moscow, occupy it, prevent 

704
00:39:12,490 --> 00:39:15,850
Russia from ever reconcentrating
forces, and then declare 

705
00:39:15,850 --> 00:39:17,890
victory. 
That's there was no chance of 

706
00:39:17,890 --> 00:39:20,290
that happening. 
None like the odds that 

707
00:39:20,290 --> 00:39:23,250
happening or me, like, going to,
like, play professional football

708
00:39:23,250 --> 00:39:26,640
in the NFL tomorrow, OK. 
It's literally a fantasy. 

709
00:39:26,680 --> 00:39:30,520
It can't happen. 
So the purpose of this war has 

710
00:39:30,520 --> 00:39:35,200
always been, you know, 
basically, you know, for I'm not

711
00:39:35,200 --> 00:39:37,280
what these people claim, like, 
oh, war is all about big 

712
00:39:37,280 --> 00:39:39,600
business and bankers. 
But there's an aspect of war 

713
00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:41,720
profiteering, especially now 
because there's like nothing 

714
00:39:41,720 --> 00:39:46,320
else going on in that regard. 
These, like, Zionist types, they

715
00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:47,840
don't give a fuck about 
Ukrainian people. 

716
00:39:47,840 --> 00:39:49,960
If Ukraine turns into like a 
wasteland, turns like a big 

717
00:39:49,960 --> 00:39:52,820
cemetery, they don't care 
because their ideas like, well, 

718
00:39:53,020 --> 00:39:54,660
you know, for a few years we 
hurt Russia. 

719
00:39:54,660 --> 00:39:57,100
So fuck it, who cares? 
And we got rich doing it. 

720
00:39:57,740 --> 00:40:00,860
I think it's like that simple. 
But it's like, you can't at the 

721
00:40:00,860 --> 00:40:03,220
First of all, Zalenski's an 
incredibly grotesque person. 

722
00:40:03,220 --> 00:40:06,100
He's literally like this, like a
little rat man, you know, shows 

723
00:40:06,100 --> 00:40:09,180
up in like dirty clothes. 
Like we need the more money to 

724
00:40:09,180 --> 00:40:11,420
fight. 
I mean, like after a while like 

725
00:40:11,420 --> 00:40:14,620
that greats on everybody. 
And it's like even people who 

726
00:40:14,620 --> 00:40:18,500
are kind of, who are kind of, 
you know, just to be sure that 

727
00:40:18,500 --> 00:40:21,140
we're not really sophisticated 
political affairs. 

728
00:40:21,730 --> 00:40:25,610
You can't just declare for like 
years on end like oh this, the 

729
00:40:25,610 --> 00:40:28,330
Ukrainian offensive is going to 
turn everything around like at 

730
00:40:28,330 --> 00:40:31,650
some point like that loses like 
its percentage, you know, even 

731
00:40:31,650 --> 00:40:34,210
in even in even when we're 
dealing with the kind of like 

732
00:40:34,290 --> 00:40:38,850
goldfish memory of of your 
average kind of like cable news 

733
00:40:38,850 --> 00:40:40,770
watcher. 
So I think that's why. 

734
00:40:41,130 --> 00:40:48,010
But it's also, I do think that I
nobody thought Ukraine could 

735
00:40:48,010 --> 00:40:50,570
someone win this war militarily.
But I think some of these fools 

736
00:40:50,570 --> 00:40:52,810
actually did think that like, 
Russia was going to, like 

737
00:40:52,810 --> 00:40:56,050
internally fall apart and like 
Putin was going to be sidelined 

738
00:40:56,050 --> 00:40:58,650
by some like military Hutu. 
That was like all fucked up. 

739
00:40:58,770 --> 00:41:01,690
And like that didn't happen. 
And like, basically like, OK, 

740
00:41:01,730 --> 00:41:03,890
Russia's like a mess, but 
Russia's always a fucking mess, 

741
00:41:04,290 --> 00:41:06,250
you know? 
And like, it's so you basically 

742
00:41:06,250 --> 00:41:10,050
have like nothing to show for 
this, for this grotesque, you 

743
00:41:10,050 --> 00:41:15,090
know, kind of endless, you know,
like parade of human suffering 

744
00:41:15,090 --> 00:41:21,070
and destruction based on asinine
rhetoric and it kind of 

745
00:41:21,190 --> 00:41:26,270
hysterically bigoted, kind of 
declarations that without any 

746
00:41:26,270 --> 00:41:27,870
substance. 
I mean, I think that's what it 

747
00:41:27,870 --> 00:41:28,830
is. 
I think it's that simple. 

748
00:41:30,510 --> 00:41:34,470
Well, I think that pigeonhole 
that leads us into where we can 

749
00:41:34,470 --> 00:41:38,730
wrap up here is that I think. 
One of the difficulties is 

750
00:41:38,730 --> 00:41:40,370
trying to understand wind 
conditions. 

751
00:41:40,450 --> 00:41:44,050
You know, a lot of people now 
openly speculating about why 

752
00:41:44,050 --> 00:41:45,410
Hamas is doing what they're 
doing. 

753
00:41:45,410 --> 00:41:50,570
Obviously they if if Hamas isn't
going to be able to take over 

754
00:41:50,570 --> 00:41:56,450
Israel from Gaza by itself, it's
the the actions seem to be just 

755
00:41:56,610 --> 00:42:00,290
almost it fits into an evil 
narrative if you're just looking

756
00:42:00,290 --> 00:42:02,610
at it like Hamas just wants to 
kill Jews. 

757
00:42:02,610 --> 00:42:04,730
And that's that's the only 
reason that they're doing any of

758
00:42:04,730 --> 00:42:10,430
this stuff is just to. 
To be evil and kill Jews but 

759
00:42:10,550 --> 00:42:13,830
what if you look at if you try 
to but yet you can't factor that

760
00:42:13,830 --> 00:42:17,230
into a coordinated attack so So 
what So they spent all this time

761
00:42:17,230 --> 00:42:19,350
and effort to be hyper 
coordinated to get all these 

762
00:42:19,350 --> 00:42:24,990
missiles to to paraglide over 
positions to to you know to to 

763
00:42:24,990 --> 00:42:29,830
strike Israel where where their 
weakest and and and and complete

764
00:42:29,830 --> 00:42:33,510
these military goals and yet are
just crazy evil people like that

765
00:42:33,510 --> 00:42:37,490
doesn't that doesn't compute so.
And again, we're into 

766
00:42:37,490 --> 00:42:40,810
speculation zones, but if we're 
going to speculate or if you're 

767
00:42:40,850 --> 00:42:43,810
going to speculate, I should say
what do you think Hamas is 

768
00:42:43,810 --> 00:42:45,570
general wind conditions here 
are. 

769
00:42:46,170 --> 00:42:48,850
And I only really ask this 
because one of the things that 

770
00:42:49,610 --> 00:42:53,810
if I can pull it up here, one of
the interesting reports I think 

771
00:42:53,810 --> 00:42:56,370
was out of Reuters, I don't know
where it is right now. 

772
00:42:57,330 --> 00:43:01,090
They they talked to one of the 
one of the leaders over in Gaza.

773
00:43:01,720 --> 00:43:05,240
And had asked if he would be 
open to ceasefire negotiations 

774
00:43:05,240 --> 00:43:06,840
or any of that already that kind
of thing. 

775
00:43:06,840 --> 00:43:09,320
Initially they had said no 
they're going to fight to the 

776
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:11,480
they're going to fight to the to
the end here. 

777
00:43:12,720 --> 00:43:15,400
But he made a statement which I 
thought was telling which is 

778
00:43:15,400 --> 00:43:18,280
saying yeah we're we we could be
open to the to something like 

779
00:43:18,280 --> 00:43:22,960
that we've we've achieved our 
our our. 

780
00:43:23,280 --> 00:43:25,160
I think I forget what a word he 
used, but he's he's they've 

781
00:43:25,160 --> 00:43:29,520
achieved their objectives, so 
that's interesting to me. 

782
00:43:30,180 --> 00:43:31,940
What are your thoughts on all 
that, Thomas? 

783
00:43:31,980 --> 00:43:34,380
It's a long campaign, okay. 
I mean, it's more there's more 

784
00:43:34,380 --> 00:43:38,140
of a conventional arms aspect to
it than something like the 

785
00:43:38,140 --> 00:43:42,540
provisional IRA's long campaign 
or like probably maybe a more 

786
00:43:43,140 --> 00:43:46,140
apropos analogy to the Popular 
Front for Liberation of 

787
00:43:46,140 --> 00:43:49,100
Palestine General Command. 
But what I said earlier, I made 

788
00:43:49,100 --> 00:43:51,380
the point that I'm not resoling.
I had probably when I say that 

789
00:43:51,380 --> 00:43:56,170
Gaza is literally an iron cage 
God, just literally under siege.

790
00:43:56,170 --> 00:43:58,330
It's under for all part of a 
purposes. 

791
00:43:58,330 --> 00:44:03,250
It's under starvation blockade 
and it's it's it. 

792
00:44:03,250 --> 00:44:06,850
These people are boxed in under 
under Israeli arms. 

793
00:44:06,850 --> 00:44:10,010
Okay. 
They they're they're they're 

794
00:44:10,010 --> 00:44:13,690
they're quite literally trying 
to liberate that space okay. 

795
00:44:13,730 --> 00:44:17,570
They're they're trying to bring 
down the prison walls okay and 

796
00:44:18,250 --> 00:44:22,050
making it make it clear to 
Israel when as we discussed war 

797
00:44:22,050 --> 00:44:26,050
and live Israel may in fact be 
vulnerable and as as regards 

798
00:44:26,050 --> 00:44:30,010
like their their munitions and 
and the forces and being and and

799
00:44:30,010 --> 00:44:33,530
munitions and things. 
This may be an opportune time to

800
00:44:33,530 --> 00:44:37,330
strike or Hamas finally has the 
discipline and the operational 

801
00:44:37,330 --> 00:44:44,210
competence you know, to in fact 
really hurt Israel in Gaza and 

802
00:44:44,210 --> 00:44:51,730
beyond and force them to make 
concessions of of what people 

803
00:44:51,730 --> 00:44:53,610
might characterize as a human 
rights nature. 

804
00:44:53,610 --> 00:44:56,170
I don't, I don't like that term.
But you know what I mean. 

805
00:44:56,410 --> 00:45:01,650
You know, to basically afford, 
afford Gaza like basic access to

806
00:45:01,810 --> 00:45:06,450
the freedom of movement as well 
as access to the commodities and

807
00:45:06,450 --> 00:45:09,450
things that we equate with, with
civilized life in the modern 

808
00:45:09,450 --> 00:45:17,650
world, Okay. 
And finally, Hamas is more 

809
00:45:17,650 --> 00:45:20,170
politically savvy than people 
give it credit for. 

810
00:45:20,170 --> 00:45:22,290
In the West and in the Western 
world, this stuff doesn't 

811
00:45:22,290 --> 00:45:24,610
resonate. 
But among Arab people, even 

812
00:45:24,610 --> 00:45:27,330
those aren't even those who 
aren't particularly radical or 

813
00:45:27,330 --> 00:45:32,210
even particularly religious. 
It's highly resonant and they're

814
00:45:32,210 --> 00:45:35,050
bringing world attention. 
Again, I'm not talking about 

815
00:45:35,050 --> 00:45:37,650
like America and like Western 
Europe or Japan. 

816
00:45:37,770 --> 00:45:41,690
I'm talking about like Darl 
Islam and beyond, you know, the 

817
00:45:41,730 --> 00:45:46,350
the 2 billion other people, you 
know, in the global South or 

818
00:45:46,350 --> 00:45:50,590
whatever, it's bringing 
attention to their plight, as it

819
00:45:50,590 --> 00:45:52,390
were. 
Like whether you or anyone 

820
00:45:52,390 --> 00:45:53,910
sympathize with them, it's not 
important. 

821
00:45:55,190 --> 00:45:58,150
And that is huge, especially 
these days. 

822
00:45:58,350 --> 00:46:00,630
I mean, it was huge 30-40 years 
ago. 

823
00:46:00,790 --> 00:46:05,270
But especially these days, like 
any kid or any any Hamas fighter

824
00:46:05,270 --> 00:46:08,270
can like pull out like it's 
cheapo smartphone and like say 

825
00:46:08,270 --> 00:46:14,990
this is what's happening here. 
That's why and also, you know, 

826
00:46:14,990 --> 00:46:17,030
Israel. 
Israel. 

827
00:46:17,030 --> 00:46:19,630
Like I said, Israel just got 
smacked down in Syria, Israel's 

828
00:46:19,630 --> 00:46:21,950
fighting in Yemen. 
Israel's fighting in the Levant,

829
00:46:22,270 --> 00:46:26,150
Israel's all over Iraq. 
Israel's arming Ukraine. 

830
00:46:26,150 --> 00:46:28,350
And this kind of like endless 
campaign against Russia, like 

831
00:46:28,350 --> 00:46:32,270
Israel can't afford to take on 
like another, another, another 

832
00:46:32,510 --> 00:46:34,230
enemy in like some hot battle 
theater. 

833
00:46:34,550 --> 00:46:38,590
It's all of those things. 
But I'm, you know, I'm not at 

834
00:46:38,670 --> 00:46:42,470
all like a military type, but I 
think I do know something about 

835
00:46:43,390 --> 00:46:47,110
power politics and I think I do 
know something about the process

836
00:46:47,150 --> 00:46:51,030
of political warfare. 
Whatever meets the road, just, 

837
00:46:51,070 --> 00:46:54,670
you know, because I do okay. 
But yeah, that's. 

838
00:46:55,230 --> 00:46:57,670
What do you think of the, what 
do you think of the likelihood 

839
00:46:57,670 --> 00:47:01,950
of of Iran getting dragged in 
through through a Lebanon 

840
00:47:01,950 --> 00:47:05,150
because I know my initial 
thoughts. 

841
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:09,440
About all this is like if if 
this spills over to Lebanon, 

842
00:47:09,440 --> 00:47:11,760
that could pull Iran in because 
of Hezbollah. 

843
00:47:13,040 --> 00:47:15,680
If that was going to happen, 
what happened in Syria and in 

844
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:19,720
2006, that was the last time 
Israel fought, fought Hezbollah 

845
00:47:19,720 --> 00:47:25,240
like an open combat and 
Hezbollah performed exceedingly 

846
00:47:25,240 --> 00:47:29,800
well, Okay, they claimed that Al
Quds and like Iranian elements 

847
00:47:29,800 --> 00:47:31,800
were on the ground and Lebanon. 
I don't doubt that. 

848
00:47:32,080 --> 00:47:35,080
I mean I'm sure that's probably 
true Okay in Syria. 

849
00:47:35,080 --> 00:47:41,920
I'm sure that I'm the reason why
Mr. Trump like had Suleimani 

850
00:47:41,920 --> 00:47:43,880
murdered was. 
I mean that was the allegation 

851
00:47:43,880 --> 00:47:50,360
if I recall correctly. 
I if there was going to be if if

852
00:47:50,360 --> 00:47:57,040
Syria had truly fallen to to to 
these to these to these tech 

853
00:47:57,040 --> 00:47:59,440
theory murderers that are 
supported by like you know these

854
00:47:59,440 --> 00:48:03,050
terrorists and American Israel 
support and like it. 

855
00:48:03,050 --> 00:48:07,210
It was open season on Shia and 
Alawites and and Christians in 

856
00:48:08,170 --> 00:48:10,050
in in in like the constellation 
on Assad. 

857
00:48:10,050 --> 00:48:12,530
Basically I think there would 
have been direct Iranian 

858
00:48:12,530 --> 00:48:15,090
intervention and so we're not 
we're not going to let like 

859
00:48:15,090 --> 00:48:16,890
Syria become. 
We're not we're not going to let

860
00:48:16,890 --> 00:48:19,410
America create some Green Zone 
and what was Damascus. 

861
00:48:19,770 --> 00:48:22,490
I think that was very possible 
and that's another thank God. 

862
00:48:22,490 --> 00:48:23,850
Like Russia didn't let that 
happen. 

863
00:48:26,330 --> 00:48:35,160
But I don't Israel did Israel, 
Iran, Syria, the PLO, Hezbollah.

864
00:48:36,240 --> 00:48:41,080
I mean they they were fighting a
hot war in in the Beirut St. you

865
00:48:41,080 --> 00:48:45,560
know for a decade and a half. 
And the big fear then was like 

866
00:48:45,560 --> 00:48:48,000
oh Iran's going to escalate and 
Iran is more cunning than people

867
00:48:48,000 --> 00:48:50,280
think I think. 
I don't think they have it in 

868
00:48:50,280 --> 00:48:53,280
them to be like a great regional
power in the in in power 

869
00:48:53,280 --> 00:48:56,000
political in like conventional 
power political terms. 

870
00:48:56,520 --> 00:49:02,760
But they're an ancient people 
and they they're they're more 

871
00:49:02,760 --> 00:49:04,880
cunning than people think man. 
I mean so that was Saddam's 

872
00:49:05,200 --> 00:49:11,400
Saddam's claim you know was when
when I, when I ran launched it's

873
00:49:11,440 --> 00:49:15,280
you know crusade against the 
NASA and Islamic Republic was 

874
00:49:15,280 --> 00:49:17,920
that these people can't fight 
like they're they're effeminate 

875
00:49:17,920 --> 00:49:20,160
pacifists. 
They're a bunch of calligraphers

876
00:49:20,160 --> 00:49:25,360
and and and and and and and 
ayatollahs and and and rawafied,

877
00:49:25,360 --> 00:49:28,720
you know, whatever, like I. 
But it proved him wrong. 

878
00:49:30,290 --> 00:49:31,770
I think they're, I think they 
were cutting the net. 

879
00:49:34,450 --> 00:49:35,410
All right. 
Let's wrap this up. 

880
00:49:36,050 --> 00:49:37,930
Thank you, Thomas. 
I appreciate it. 

881
00:49:38,810 --> 00:49:40,930
We will be putting this out as 
soon as we do. 

882
00:49:40,930 --> 00:49:42,930
I'll let you know. 
No, thank you. 

883
00:49:43,850 --> 00:49:47,490
Just on a personal note, you 
know, my cohost, Mark is, is 

884
00:49:47,490 --> 00:49:50,050
married to an Israeli. 
I know emotions are. 

885
00:49:50,050 --> 00:49:51,170
That's not why he's not here, 
right? 

886
00:49:51,610 --> 00:49:52,970
Yeah, he's not. 
That's not why he's not here 

887
00:49:52,970 --> 00:49:54,610
today. 
He had work and stuff, but. 

888
00:49:55,380 --> 00:49:58,860
I know emotions are incredibly 
high about these things. 

889
00:49:58,860 --> 00:50:02,860
I wanted to be clear from this 
channel's perspective that we're

890
00:50:02,860 --> 00:50:05,020
certainly not endorsing either 
side. 

891
00:50:05,020 --> 00:50:09,900
It's not a good guy, bad guy 
situation, you know. 

892
00:50:09,900 --> 00:50:13,660
We have of course detailed our 
objections to Zionist and 

893
00:50:13,660 --> 00:50:19,980
Zionist policies and and the 
Jews in general, but that 

894
00:50:19,980 --> 00:50:22,380
doesn't mean that we wish any 
kind of harm to happen to 

895
00:50:22,380 --> 00:50:25,450
anyone. 
On the streets or or any any 

896
00:50:25,450 --> 00:50:29,610
specific individuals. 
And so we we send our hearts and

897
00:50:29,610 --> 00:50:33,770
prayers out to everyone in that 
region and hope that we can hope

898
00:50:33,770 --> 00:50:37,130
that this doesn't go on for his 
for longer than it has to 

899
00:50:37,730 --> 00:50:40,770
unfortunately but Thomas so I 
don't want to know on a sober 

900
00:50:40,770 --> 00:50:44,210
note but there's nothing there's
no like haha moment I can I can 

901
00:50:44,290 --> 00:50:47,770
figure out here for that one. 
Thomas let the people know where

902
00:50:47,770 --> 00:50:49,690
they can find you where they can
hear you. 

903
00:50:49,730 --> 00:50:51,930
And again, thank you very much 
for coming on. 

904
00:50:53,240 --> 00:50:54,720
No, you're welcome, man. 
I thank you. 

905
00:50:57,320 --> 00:50:59,880
It you can find me on my sub 
stack. 

906
00:50:59,960 --> 00:51:05,360
It's, it's 
realthomas777.subset.com. 

907
00:51:05,360 --> 00:51:07,680
That's what the podcast is. 
That's where we got a chat 

908
00:51:07,680 --> 00:51:12,120
going, you know, about stuff. 
And that's where, like some of 

909
00:51:12,120 --> 00:51:15,440
my longer form writing is. 
Season two of the podcast is 

910
00:51:15,440 --> 00:51:20,270
going to drop like a Halloween 
weekend and then that way, which

911
00:51:20,270 --> 00:51:22,950
point like you're going to be 
able to access all of season one

912
00:51:22,950 --> 00:51:26,510
for 100% free and now it's 
literally only $5 a month. 

913
00:51:27,150 --> 00:51:30,470
That's the lowest I can make it 
without eating a loss. 

914
00:51:30,470 --> 00:51:34,710
I'm hoping I I'm hoping within 
2024 I can I can make like 

915
00:51:34,710 --> 00:51:38,070
everything free. 
But I I'm trying to make things 

916
00:51:38,070 --> 00:51:41,710
like literally, like as cheap as
possible without, you know, but 

917
00:51:42,690 --> 00:51:45,330
I'm on Twitter or like X right 
now. 

918
00:51:45,330 --> 00:51:47,170
I mean whoever. 
I don't know if I'm gonna get 

919
00:51:47,170 --> 00:51:53,050
like nuked off off of these 
social media platforms but I'm 

920
00:51:53,050 --> 00:52:01,050
there at a real capital rel 
under score #7 hmes 777. 

921
00:52:02,410 --> 00:52:05,530
I got I got I got banned from 
Telegram again for like some 

922
00:52:05,770 --> 00:52:07,330
reason. 
I mean there's people in there 

923
00:52:07,330 --> 00:52:10,090
like literally like post, like 
snuff porn and like they 

924
00:52:10,090 --> 00:52:13,920
probably again like saying like 
mean things about Ukraine or 

925
00:52:13,920 --> 00:52:17,160
like Israel or it's crits insane
like the same like 5 *. 

926
00:52:17,560 --> 00:52:21,120
I I do not like Telegram at all.
I only was fucking with it 

927
00:52:21,120 --> 00:52:23,600
because like every time I got 
new people like begged me to 

928
00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:25,160
come back because like that's 
you know, that's like the 

929
00:52:25,160 --> 00:52:29,480
platform a lot of people like, 
but I'm not on there right now. 

930
00:52:29,480 --> 00:52:33,200
I don't really want to return 
and it's just it's just 

931
00:52:33,200 --> 00:52:34,760
something just like grimy about 
it, man. 

932
00:52:34,760 --> 00:52:39,420
But the that's basically and I'm
launching, you know, I spent the

933
00:52:39,420 --> 00:52:43,420
summer like shooting content for
my channel, the channel's Thomas

934
00:52:43,420 --> 00:52:48,500
TV, on YouTube. 
It's not populated by stuff yet 

935
00:52:48,500 --> 00:52:51,140
other than like, you know, some 
like tasks and introductory 

936
00:52:51,140 --> 00:52:54,340
stuff. 
But I mean, I'm based in 2024 in

937
00:52:54,340 --> 00:52:56,460
the seasons with the pod and 
sexing it up a lot. 

938
00:52:57,020 --> 00:53:02,340
And I've been blessed, you know,
with a great editor and and and 

939
00:53:02,340 --> 00:53:06,550
cameraman, but also, you know, I
want to transition more to like,

940
00:53:06,550 --> 00:53:08,830
video content. 
So that's basically like what 

941
00:53:08,830 --> 00:53:11,230
I'm trying to do. 
And as a whole lot of people 

942
00:53:11,230 --> 00:53:15,350
going to test, I'm always 
traveling over the place and 

943
00:53:15,350 --> 00:53:17,150
like meeting people like you 
want to meet me. 

944
00:53:17,150 --> 00:53:18,870
That is like incredibly easy to 
do. 

945
00:53:19,070 --> 00:53:22,990
And I'm all about social capital
and all kinds of people can 

946
00:53:22,990 --> 00:53:25,990
vouch for me, man. 
So don't hesitate to reach out 

947
00:53:26,110 --> 00:53:28,310
if like, you want to do that, 
too. 

948
00:53:28,990 --> 00:53:32,120
That's all I got. 
Thank you again, Thomas. 

949
00:53:32,120 --> 00:53:33,560
Thank you for getting for 
everyone who's watching, 

950
00:53:33,560 --> 00:53:36,760
listening of course subscribe 
and share and like the channels 

951
00:53:36,760 --> 00:53:41,520
and this we are experiencing 
unprecedented growth in the last

952
00:53:41,520 --> 00:53:44,760
year. 
So we always like to see that 

953
00:53:44,760 --> 00:53:46,040
those numbers go up a little 
bit. 

954
00:53:46,840 --> 00:53:49,440
Subscribe to our Patreon or sub 
stack, I'll be putting up more 

955
00:53:49,440 --> 00:53:52,320
and more content there. 
It's that'll be exclusive there 

956
00:53:52,320 --> 00:53:56,600
to give everyone some little 
treats and say thank you for 

957
00:53:56,600 --> 00:53:59,160
giving us your money because I 
got bills, man. 

958
00:54:01,080 --> 00:54:02,480
Again, Thomas, always a 
pleasure, man. 

959
00:54:02,560 --> 00:54:04,640
Well, thank you so much. 
Likewise. 

960
00:54:04,720 --> 00:54:05,320
Thank you, Jason.
