Hey, everybody. Welcome back to the Elon Musk
Podcast. This is a show where we discuss
the critical crossroads that shape SpaceX, Tesla X, The
Boring Company and Neurolink. I'm your host, Will Walden.
SpaceX plans to launch the next Starship test flight on Monday
morning from Starbase in Texas, setting up a moment that could
lock in real momentum for the world's most powerful rocket.
The company set a 100 minute window that opens at 8:00 AM
Eastern and expects a familiar flight profile with stage
separation, long coast operations, and dual
splashdowns. The mission carries a simple
measure of progress that carries heavyweight across the program.
And can SpaceX prove that the last full mission success was
repeatable under similar conditions?
Now this flight, known as Starship Flight 11, follows a
profile that prioritizes data over recovery.
Super Heavy will lift Starship separate at high altitude and
target a controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico.
The upper stage will perform a deorbit burn, endure hypersonic
re entry, and aim for a splashdown in the Indian Ocean.
SpaceX will collect high rate telemetry throughout ascent,
descent and entry heating to validate guidance, thermal
protection and engine control under flight loads.
The vehicle includes a round of refinements that respond to the
previous missions, hotspots and stress points.
Engineers tightened heat shield tile fin, added insulation
around key joints and flaps, and adjusted venting that affects
boundary layer stability. Teams also tweak descent
software to manage angle of attack, role authority, and G
loading with finer control. These details matter because
small changes to heating or attitude can decide whether a
ship survives peak heating intact.
The booster carries its own set of goals that Dr. reusability
forward Super Heavy must deliver a clean separation, complete
engine relights, and hold the steady attitude on descent.
Plan calls for a soft splashdown that proves thoughtful control,
grid fin authority, and ignition timing.
Success here moves SpaceX closer to controlled returns that
preserve hardware for inspection and future recovery attempts.
Now the upper stage. Let's talk about this.
It must perform a precise deorbit burn and then hold the
reentry corridor with very tight margins.
The ship will face temperatures about 2600°F and dynamic
pressure that can expose weak links in tiles and seams.
Now we're going to be watching this for flap articulation,
health, actuator temperatures, and sensor performance as the
plasma sheath builds, and the goal as a stable splashdown with
intact structures and clean data from start to finish.
The FAA license covers this flight profile and defines the
safety guard rails for both splash down zones.
The authorization confirms that SpaceX met environmental and
range safety requirements after earlier rounds of review, and
regulators approved hazard corridors and flight termination
criteria that protect coastal areas and shipping lands.
It's up to the FAA to determine when SpaceX can launch now.
NASA needs Starship to mature into a dependable system because
Artemis relies on it for human landings.
The HLS of the Human Landing System variant must prove long
duration on orbit operations, cryogenic propellant transfer,
and precision landing before any people get on board.
Each Starship test that completes its plans lowers
mission risk and tightens program schedules.
A failure on any of these core objectives wood forest new
mitigations and also stretch timelines further.
Now SpaceX ties Starship's progress to its commercial road
map for Starlink and Heavy payloads.
The company wants to launch larger Starlink batches, enable
bigger satellites, and cut per kilogram costs.
And a stable Starship flight cadence will let SpaceX offload
missions from Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy and reduce pressure
on those fleets. Customers benefit when mass to
orbit rises and lead times fall and prices get lower.
Now the national security community tracks Starship as a
potential heavy lift option with unique mission profiles, and
this test is important for them. The payload base size and thrust
margin opened room for larger spacecraft, multi manifest
deployments and rapid schedule recovery after delays.
Now the system also supports point to point cargo experiments
on Earth that need a high thrust trajectories and fast turn
around like this. Upcoming flight and reliable
splashdowns and clean telemetry will inform how those concepts
move from paper to actual planning of flights.
Starbase operations have set the stage for this launch.
Through steady ground upgrades, crews expanded the water deluge
system, reinforce the orbital launch mount, and refined
propellant plumbing to stabilize tanking.
The team validated the flight termination system and completed
preflight checks that included static fire and wet dress data.
These steps reduce pad risk and shorten the path between
flights. So after this flight we go on to
flight 12 and 1314 and 15 much faster than before.
The team will evaluate the winds, the upper level shear and
sea states at the splashdown zones before committing to
tanking of the ship, and the booster controllers will enforce
strict rules for engine performance, valve behavior, and
avionics health with clear cut offs and parameters drift.
A scrub still delivers value because it refines ground
procedures and spotlights issues before engines light.
And they could possibly have a scrub.
SpaceX plans to stream the launch with odd vehicle Camrys
and live telemetry overlays like normal.
Stay tuned here because we will have more information as the
flight time happens. Now I want to know your ideas
about Starship. Do you think it's a good idea to
continue testing this variant of Starship, considering that it's
not the same variant that will be going to the moon?
What do you think SpaceX should start focusing on the HLS human
landing system version of Starship that doesn't have a
heat shield. It doesn't come back in the
atmosphere. It launches to the moon and it
stays there. It takes people from moon orbit
to the surface of the moon back to moon orbit.
It's kind of like a bus at that point or a taxi or something
going back and forth from the moon surface to orbit.
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