SpaceX says we've recently we've received approval to develop
Space Launch Complex 37 for Starship operations that Cape
Canaveral Space Force Station construction has started with
three launch pads in Florida. Starship will be ready to
support America's national security and Artemis goals as
the world's premier spaceport continues to evolve to enable
airport like operations. We'd like to thank the
Department of the Air Force, 45th Space Force in the US Fish
and Wildlife for their effort on the environmental review.
Now, Elon, I want to show you where this is for let's you know
what, let's read this Elon tweet, then I'll show you where
that is on the map. SpaceX is accelerating rapidly
when Starship is launching several times a day.
In a few years SpaceX will be 99% of all Earth payload mass to
orbit, even if the others triple their current launch rate.
And this is from a tweet from Steve Jurvetson.
The quarter three launch report just came out.
For kilogram launch to orbit. SpaceX has 97% share for the US
and 83% globally. The Chinese launchers add up to
8.6%. Looking into the graphs
magnifying box. IDF just nudged past Rocket Lab
and this is in. That's insane.
Look at this graph. They are so far past everybody
else that it's not even close, not even close for SpaceX.
They are destroying everybody. And when Elon says they're going
to be launching several times a day, I want you to think about
this. They're going to have their two
launchers at the Cape. They're going to have two
launchers at Star Base by that time.
So then they may even have more by that time too.
They may have 6 launchers at any given time in the next few
years. Now Starship were to launch six
times in one day. They would land 12 times that
day if everything returns properly.
Think of that for a second. You see airplanes coming in and
out. You know, you go to an airport,
you can sit under the airport, like the launch area, right?
We have one nearby where you can drive underneath and you can
kind of see it. You can park sober, close and
the launch has happened where the flights happen every X
amount of minutes, right? Like 1520 minutes, thirty
minutes, whatever. Now, if you have 6 rockets going
to space, two of those could be tankers, two of those could be
starships that are getting ready to go someplace.
They got 4 already, and then you've got two more.
We're doing something else. Who knows what they're doing.
Maybe they're a tanker in another Starship and they're
fueling up and they're trying to get to Mars.
Maybe they're trying to get to the moon.
Maybe they're trying to do some other science work.
Maybe they're launching Starlink satellites, some of them.
But you can have 6:00 to 12:00. You can have six launches per
day, which is incredible. You could have a morning launch
and a night launch of the Starship, or you could have two
launches almost simultaneously, like hours apart if the if the
ground crews are fine. Or you could just scatter them
out throughout the day and you could have numerous launches
from across the southern border of the United States, Florida,
Texas. It's just like they just can
launch so many. And it's going to be incredible
that this is what's going to actually happen.
And I believe Elon here in a few years, SpaceX will be 99% of all
Earth payload master orbit several times a day.
When he says several, what does he mean though?
Does he mean two launches per day?
I think what's going to happen, and this is this is what I'm
hoping happens in the next few years.
I hope they nail block 3 pretty soon now with this poll in our
chat. Will Starship launch in January?
I don't think so. I don't think they can.
I think they that set back from the last booster that blew up,
that's going to send them back a few, you know, maybe 3 weeks,
something like that. So by that time this year is
going to be over, they still have to test a booster, 100%
test it. This is a new version of
everything, right? So they have a new booster, new
ship, everything's brand new. They have to do extensive
testing on either one of these things.
As if anything happens to this pad, which isn't even completed
yet by the way, they just ripped down the first pad.
It's pretty much gone. And pad 2 is going to be up
sometime in the near future. We don't know when they could
be, could be months, could be 3 months.
I mean, they're, they're working hard.
But I, you know, I saw them build the first pad.
I was there, I was there on the side of the road when they were
building the first pad. It took a very long time.
Now engineering is very difficult and they learned a lot
from pad 1. Pad 2 is for a different rocket.
Pad 2 is for Block 3. What they learned from Block 1
and 2 they can transfer over to the Block 3 pad, but it's going
to be different. So they need to do different
things. And Zestyzop says Block 3 will
have hiccup hiccups. I agree with you.
There will be times when they scrub a launch.
There will be times when things just don't work out right?
And there will be things like what just happened to that last
booster. It it, it exploded on the on the
test pad. And those kind of things will
happen. It's a new rocket and
understandably, it's going to take a long time to get it ready
and comfortable enough, get the crew comfortable enough to
launch this thing. And I'm not a Starship hater at
all. I just try to think
realistically and logically about things that happen in the
aerospace industry. It's a, it's not done yet.
The the ship. Of course, we have very talented
people, much more, much more talented than me working on
these things. They know more than I do about
this. But also we've seen some things
happen. How many times has Block 1 and
Block 2 failed? And some people would say it's
not a failure. They, they learned, it's true,
that's true. But they also failed a bunch.
And I'm not a hater, but it's what happened.
And you have to realize that you can't just sugarcoat things
because it just makes you feel better because that's not how
life works. That's not how engineering
works. Sure, they learned things, but
did they want it to perfectly execute the plan?
Yes, 100%. Were they planning on that on
maybe not 100%, but they didn't want to be held back by
failures. And I'm sure there are some
people and they're just sugar coating everything.
If you're sugar coating everything because you'd say
it's not a failure, it's it's a learning opportunity.
Yes, I agree with you. But there are winners and losers
and the fact that sometimes things don't work out well.
Oh, it's going to be a bad day for Starship if something
doesn't work out well on the pad for Block 3.
I don't know. It's, it's a, it's a risky bet
to say anywhere before March for the next flight of Starship.
It's going to take a month to get that launchpad ready,
unfortunately. And they're going to be building
the Starship in tandem with that.
And I think it's going to be March at least, but more so
probably late March, early April by the time they get this thing
ready to fly. And Elon said quarter one of
2026. I agree with them quarter one,
but it's going to be like late quarter one.
I think I, you know, I've been covering Starship for since the
inception, basically since it was basically a tent and a dirt
pad. I've been covering this stuff.
And I think the fact that they are building a brand new rocket
with ideas and engineering from another set of that same rocket,
block one and two, and the things that are different are so
different between block 3 and Block 2 upgrades are so
different. It's it's bigger, it's more
powerful, and you can't just get it right the first time.
If you can get it right the first time, that's great.
Maybe you're Blue Origin and you can launch, you know, maybe you
can launch a perfect rocket and land it.
That was cool, right? That was really cool.