Hey everybody, welcome back to the Elon Musk Podcast.
This is a show where we discuss the critical Crossroads, The
Shape, SpaceX, Tesla X, The Boring Company, and Neuralink,
and I'm your host, Will Walden. If you want uninterrupted
episodes of the Elon Musk podcast, please go to
clubelon.supercast.com to find out how there's a link in the
show notes. So Tesla is intensifying its
efforts in artificial intelligence by planning a new
$500 million Dojo supercomputer at his Gigafactory in Buffalo,
NY. Now, Tesla's broader ambitions
here in the AI space show that is moving beyond its core
electric vehicle business, and the Dojo supercomputer is key
for AI model training, showcasing the crucial role of
computing power in AI advancements.
Now the project to build a second Dojo computer is not only
a significant step for Tesla, but also benefits its suppliers,
notably NVIDIA and Taiwan Superconductor Manufacturing
Company, or TSMC, now VIDIA, which provided the GP us for
Tesla's. Initial.
Dojo Computer is poised to benefit from the sales of
thousands more GP US for the new installation, representing A
considerable portion of the project's total cost.
And Invidia's involvement in the Dojo project is expected to have
a notable impact on its financials.
If the $500 million investment in GPUs were to occur in a
single quarter, would constitute about 3% of Invidia's revenue
based on their third quarter fiscal 2024 earnings.
Now this relationship underscores the symbiotic
dynamic between Tesla's AI initiatives and Invidia's growth
in the GPU market. Let's move on to TSMC, which the
world's foremost computer chip manufacturer also stands to gain
from Tesla's expansion into AI computing.
TSMC provides chips for both Nvidia's GPUs and also Tesla's
vehicles. Benefiting from the heightened
demand for AI capabilities, the company anticipates its AI chip
revenue to surge with projections of a 50% compound
annual growth rate. Tesla's plans for further Dojiko
supercomputers, including Dojo 1.5, Dojo 2 and possibly Dojo 3
Year Dojo 4, show that they're continuously working for high
performance computing in AI. Ongoing demand is crucial for
both NVIDIA and TSMC, ensuring a steady flow of business from
Tesla and potentially other tech firms investing in AI.
Now, the importance of suppliers like NVIDIA and TSMC in the AI
and computing ecosystem is increasingly evident.
Their contributions to building critical components for
supercomputers like Tesla's Dojo, show that there's an
interconnected nature of the tech industry and the importance
of strong supply networks for technological progress.
Now, recent comments from Elon Musk, Tesla CEO, regarding the
Dojo supercomputer have led to speculation about the project's
progress and Musk's confidence in its success.
And despite previously high expectations, Musk's current
statement suggests possible challenges or even reassessments
within the project itself. You know, Musk's somewhat
confusing remarks on the Dojo project during an investor
meeting have raised questions about Tesla's achievements in
developing this supercomputer. These comments contrast with
Musk's early enthusiastic narratives, hinting at potential
obstacles or shifts in the project's trajectory.
Now, Musk's approach to discussing Tesla's projects,
including Dojo, show that he has a history of bold visions,
excitement, sometimes in advance of concrete results.
This strategy has kept Tesla in the spotlight, of course, even
as some initiatives face prolonged development and also
unforeseen challenges like the $25,000 low budget Tesla
vehicle. Now, the discussion around
Tesla's Dojo and Musk's recent statements show that there's
been past instances where Musk used hype to garner interest
even when projects were in very early stages, like Pre, Pre,
Pre, Alpha. And this tactic has been
effective in maintaining interest in Tesla's innovations
and blowing up the stock, despite the complexities of
bringing ambitious projects to fruition.
Also, Tesla's stock performance has been influenced by various
factors, including Musk's public actions and ambitious projects
like Dojo. And despite these setbacks,
there's still investor optimism about Tesla's potential impact
on AI and autonomous driving has seen in market reactions to Dojo
related news. Now, the evolving nature around
Tesla's Dojo project, from groundbreaking supercomputer to
current uncertainties, exemplifies the challenges and
complexities of technological innovation and also building an
AI model with thousands of GPUs. Now, Tesla invests millions of
dollars in AI and supercomputing, and it not only
impacts its business, but also shows that there's going to be a
relevant AI increase across all industries.
High performance computing is essential for advanced AI
applications, and it shows that technology is shifting towards
artificial intelligence for everything.
For NVIDIA and TSMC, Tesla's Dojo project is indicative of
larger industry trends where demand for AI and machine
learning drives the need for specialized hardware and chip
manufacturing capabilities. As Tesla pushes forward with its
AI and supercomputing efforts, the collaboration with key
partners like NVIDIA and TSMC will be critical.
Now, their expertise in GPUs and chip manufacturing,
respectively, plays a vital role in realizing complex projects
like the Dojo supercomputer in Buffalo, NY and Tesla's
expansion into AI. More so than what they've
already done with their vehicles in the development of Dojo
supercomputers show that Tesla and Elon can work well with
other companies, other suppliers to get the job done, and it's an
unpredictable nature of cutting edge technology that keeps Dojo
in check. There is complexities and
uncertainties that accompany the forefront of the tech innovation
and the tech industry. SpaceX is advancing towards the
third flight readiness of its Starship, having positioned both
the Booster 10 and Ship 28 at the launchpad, signaling
preparations for an upcoming wet dress rehearsal, or AWDR.
This step is crucial for the company as it aims for Starship
to reach orbital capabilities. Now the process began with
Booster 10 being transported to the launch site of February 8th
and mounted later that evening. Subsequently, Ship 28 was moved
toward the launchpad during the night of February 10th and
placed atop Booster 10 in the early hours of February 11th.
Now, despite the delay, SpaceX succeeded in assembling the full
stack within a time frame of less than 56 hours,
demonstrating that they're very efficient and it's required for
the planned increase in Starship launches in the future.
Now, modifications were noted on Booster 10 while it was housed
in the megabay, particularly at the base of the liquid oxygen
tank of the locks tank where new Weld lines were observed, likely
for the addition of slosh baffles designed to stabilize
the liquid propellant. Now these changes might be in
response to the issues encountered with Booster 9,
although SpaceX has not officially commented on the
cause of that incident. Now the upcoming schedule
includes 3 Rd. closures from February 12th to February 14th,
each from 8:00 AM to 8:00 PM CST, during which SpaceX plans
to conduct both a partial and a full wet dress rehearsal with
Booster 10 and also ship 28. Now the WDR, a standard
procedure in spaceflight involves loading the rocket with
propellants and executing a complete launch countdown
without actually igniting the engines, followed by a complete
DE tanking of the full vehicle. Now for previous flights, SpaceX
has successfully completed wet dress rehearsals, incorporating
various upgrades to the tank farm that could potentially
reduce propellant loading time significantly, and post wet
dress rehearsal. The feature actions for this
particular stack remaining uncertain, with some necessary
installations and adjustments pending, including the possible
reinstallation of stiffener rings for static fire tests of
the Raptor vacuum engines. An unexpected destacking of Ship
28 occurred on February 12th, though due to concerns with the
ship clamps necessitating repairs before restacking the
ship for the wet dress rehearsal.
Tests and enhancements have been made to the orbital launchpad or
the OLP in anticipation for Flight 3, including the removal
of scaffolding and alignment rigs and the addition of
protective shielding to prevent concrete erosion.
Now the FAA. The Federal Aviation
Administration has yet to close the MISHAP investigation from
OFT to the last flight of Starship, which is a
prerequisite for the license modification for Starship's next
flight. And looking forward to Flight 3,
though, SpaceX is preparing the next booster, Booster 11 and
Ship 29 for Flight 4, with indications that Booster 11 May
already have its engines installed, poised for a static
fire test, hopefully soon. Now Ship 28 is also in the
process of receiving good engines, with recent activities
observed at Megaby 2 suggesting that the vehicle is nearing
readiness for flight. Now for Flight 5, preparations
are under way with Booster 12 and Ship 30, with the former
being equipped with engines and the latter being prepped for
eventual assembly and testing. Now, Flight 6 updates include
the completion of Booster 13 stacking and the ongoing heat
shield work on Ship 31, highlighting the continuous
progress in Spacex's Starship program.
The progress towards Flight 3's launch readiness, marked by the
full stack at the pad, and the planned wet dress rehearsal,
show that SpaceX is ready for flight soon, hopefully within
three weeks. As Elon Musk has just said, and
with the FA as pending approval and the completion of necessary
testing and modifications, SpaceX is steadily progressing
towards the imminent launch of flight.
Three, SpaceX is poised for a March launch of its Starship
rocket, as revealed by company CEO Elon Musk.
And this development comes after a period of intense preparation
at Spacex's Texas facility, where the latest rocket booster
and ship was recently transported to the launchpad,
marking a significant milestone for the upcoming third test
flight known as Starship Integrated Test Flight, or IFT
3. Now, recent footage from local
media and Spacex's social media channels showcase the Starship
Super Heavy rocket booster and its second stage position on the
launchpad undergoing preliminary launch procedures.
Following the assembly of the second stage atop the booster,
the booster and the rocket were subsequently dismantled to
facilitate work on the booster's upper segment near the stage
separation ring, which is that innovative feature introduced
following a prior launch mishap. Now the stage separation ring, a
novel addition to the Starship design was implemented after the
inaugural test flight encountered a critical failure
during a separation of the 1st and 2nd stages, culminating in
an in flight explosion. Now this incident under score
the importance of continuous enhancements in the Raucous
design to ensure the success of future missions.
Now, despite the anticipation that followed the 2nd Starship
test, flight updates on testing activities at Boca Chica
Starbase have been sparse in 2024.
However, it is now confirmed the SpaceX plan to conduct in space
propellant transfer test later this year in addition to 1/3 and
subsequent test flight. Now the succession of the test
flight forms the core strategy of Starships program, allowing
SpaceX to gather valuable data to refine and improve its
rockets for forthcoming missions.
This iterative testing process is crucial for the advancement
of the program. Now a resurgent of activity
around a resurgence of activity around the Starship project has
been noted. Elon Musk providing a new
timeline for the third test flight.
Initially stated for February, the flight was postponed due to
the FA AS disclosure. The SpaceX had yet to submit
certain documents from the 2nd test flight indicating a
potential delay. Now, Musk responded to an
inquiry from rapper Easy indicated that the next test
flight is scheduled to occur in about 3 weeks, confirming that
February will not see the starship's third flight attempt.
This time might suggest a launch in March, nearly a year after
the program's first Test flight. Now the installation of a new
water diet system on the launchpad.
Of course, following the initial test flight significantly
impacted the testing schedule, resulting in only two flights in
2023. And despite this, Spacex's
commitment to a hardware rich program remains unwavering.
Speculation about the construction of an additional
launch site at Spacex's Texas facilities suggests that future
Starship launches could occur more frequently, contingent upon
FAA approval. Now the current regulatory
framework allows only one test per authorization, underscoring
the FAA's cautious approach to certifying the world's largest
rocket flight. Now Elon Musk's recent statement
on social media platform X, where he advised waiting for
additional tests before boarding, highlights the
imminent nature of the third test flight.
This interaction with EZ reflects the long standing
rapport between the two public figures and underscores the
broader interest in Spacex's endeavors.
Now Starship, which is designed to transport humans and cargo to
the Moon, Mars and beyond, comprises a super heavy first
stage and a 165 foot tall upper stage spacecraft, both powered
by Spacex's Raptor engines. The vehicle's design emphasizes
full and rapid reusability, which is a cornerstone of
Spacex's vision for the future of space exploration.
Now to date, Starship has completed two test flights with
the first ending and a controlled detonation due to
multiple issues including the failure of stage separation, and
the second flight demonstrated improved performance, though it
ultimately resulted in the destruction of both stages.
Now, preparation for the Third flight has been ongoing, with
recent activities including the rollout and assembly of both
Starship stages at the orbital launch mount.
However, the FAA's ongoing investigation into the previous
launches events leaves the timing the next license
uncertain. Musk has hinted at future
iterations of Starship, suggesting that the rocket will
grow in size by 10 to 15 meters in its third version.
This evolution reflects Spacex's ambition to continually enhance
the rocket's capabilities. Recent progress on the third
Flight's readiness includes the Full assembly booster. 10.
And Ship 28 on a launchpad with upcoming Rd. closures indicating
a potential wet dress rehearsal for these components in the
coming days. Now this step is crucial for
validating the Rockets readiness for flight and the assembly
process for Booster 10 in Ship 28 was completed within 56 hours
and that shows that SpaceX has inability to maintain a rapid
pace in operations. There's a critical.
Factor for increasing the flight cadence of Starship for future
launches. To the moon and to Mars.
Now modification to the liquid oxygen, the Locks Tank and
Booster 10, including the addition of slosh baffles,
demonstrates Spacex's responsive approach to addressing issues
encountered in previous flights, such as the Booster 9 failure.
And these wet dress rehearsals, both partial and full, will test
the rocket and its support systems, including significant
changes to the tank farm. These rehearsals are essential
for ensuring the rocket systems function as intended for
streamlining the loaded process. Now, despite a temporary
destacking of Ship 28 from Booster 10 to address potential
clamp issues, the rapid restacking indicates Spacex's
efficiency in resolving technical challenges, and this
readiness sets the stage for the WDR test campaign and moves the
Starship program closer to its next major milestone, IFT 3. the
United States has acquired new intelligence concerning Russia's
development. Of a nuclear anti satellite
system intended for deployment in outer space.
Now this information has been shared with Congress and key
international allies, sparking discussions about its political
public discourse due to the gravity of these findings.
Now, despite the serious nature of this intelligence, it's
reported that the system does not currently pose a direct
threat to US interests, as remains in the developmental
phase and has not been deployed in orbit.
Our detailed briefings were provided to senior members of
Congress who, despite acknowledging the seriousness of
the intelligence, emphasize that there is no immediate danger to
the United States. This sentiment was echoed by
three U.S. officials who are Privy to the intelligence,
noting that the system's development is ongoing and its
operational status has yet to be achieved.
Now the exact process of the technology remains uncertain,
with one official highlighting that the threat does not
encompass a weapon intended for human targets and the nature of
the system, Whether it's a powered by nuclear energy or
armed with nuclear capabilities, remains unspecified.
Within the intelligence, this ambiguity adds a layer of
complexity to the situation, with implications for both
International Security and also space policy.
Now the potential for a nuclear anti satellite capability
introduces significant concerns regarding the militarization of
space and the risks associated with such developments.
Now the possibility of Russia deploying an anti satellite
weapon in orbit raises significant concerns for US
National Security, particularly for the integrity of nuclear
command and control satellites. Hans Christensen, a leading
expert in nuclear information, stressed the critical role these
satellites play in maintaining seamless oversight of the US
nuclear arsenal. The introduction of an anti
satellite system in orbit, he argues it would represent a
substantial escalation in the threat landscape, potentially
undermining the stability of nuclear deterrence mechanisms.
Advancement of space based nuclear capabilities was first
brought to public attention by ABC News.
This revelation came amid broader discussions on national
security and also the militarization of space,
highlighting the ongoing concerns regarding the
weaponization of the final frontier and its implications
for global security dynamics. Now, the disclosure of this
intelligence initiated a flurry of activity in Washington, with
Representative Mike Turner, chairman of the House
Intelligence Committee, announcing the existence of a
serious national security threat.
This announcement prominent immediate and widespread
attention, leading numerous lawmakers to seek detailed
briefings on the matter, reflecting the gravity of the
situation and its implications for US and allied security
interests. Now, despite the urgency signal
by Turner's announcement, some lawmakers expressed skepticism
about the immediate necessity of such an alert.
A Democratic member with extensive national security
experience questioned the precedent of such a rabid
mobilization of congressional attention, suggesting that the
intelligence, while significant, may not have warned it's such an
immediate and public response now.
Efforts to mitigate the ensuing concern were evident, with House
Speaker Representative Mike Johnson assuring the public and
lawmakers that the situation was under control.
It did not necessitate alarm. This response aimed to temper
the initial reaction and emphasize the ongoing efforts to
address the intelligence findings within the appropriate
governmental and military channels.
Now the intelligence briefing significance was affirmed by
Representative Jim Himes, the top Democrat on the Intelligence
Committee, who described the information as important but not
a cause for panic. The statement sought to balance
the acknowledgement of the intelligence's seriousness with
a call for measured and informed response, avoiding unnecessary
escalation or alarm. Now National Security Advisor
Jake Sullivan expressed surprise at the public disclosure of the
intelligence, noting that a briefing for key congressional
leaders had already been scheduled.
And Sullivan's remarks underscored the delicate balance
between transparency and operational security, especially
concerning sensitive intelligence that could have
broad strategic implications. And in response to the unfolding
situation, Representative Turner called for the declassification
of the intelligence to facilitate a broader discussion
on the appropriate countermeasures and responses.
This call for transparency reflects the tension between the
need for public accountability and the imperative to protect
sensitive sources and methods integral to national security.
The Senate Intelligence Committees leadership
acknowledged the intelligence's significance while highlighting
the challenges associated with declassifying such information.
This statement reflects the ongoing debate over transparency
and also security, and it shows that there's complexities of
handling intelligence that pertains to emerging military
capabilities and also threats In the context of the intelligence,
disclosure is further complicated by the political
dynamic surrounding US support for Ukraine amidst its conflict
with Russia. The debate over a substantial
aid package for Ukraine intersects with broader
geopolitical tensions, influencing the discourse on
national security and the strategic calculus of US foreign
policy. Representative Turner's advocacy
for continued support for Ukraine contrasts with a broader
partisan debate over foreign aid and military assistance,
illustrating the intricate connections between domestic
politics, international relations, and national security
considerations. The pursuit of anti satellite
capabilities by Russia is documented in various defense
analysis represents A continued effort to challenge US and
allied space assets. Strategy encompasses a range of
potential tactics from electronic jamming to kinetic
destruction, and it shows that this is a multifaceted nature of
modern military competition in outer space.
The development of a nuclear armed or nuclear powered anti
satellite system by Russia would contravene international
agreements such as the Outer Space Treaty of 1967, which
prohibits the deployment of weapons of mass destruction and
space. Such a move would have profound
implications for international law, space governance and global
security, underscoring the importance of adherence to
establish norms and also treaties.
Now the USS response to this intelligence as articulated by
the National Security Council Spokesman John Kirby shows that
the non operational status of the Russian capability and seeks
to reassure both domestic and international audience of the
absence of an immediate threat. Now, Kirby statements also
address the broader implications of Russia's actions for space
security. And the necessity?
Of diplomatic engagement. To address the challenges posed
by the militarization of space, SpaceX is expanding its reach
down at Starbase Texas. And I'm not talking about
rockets. I'm talking about something
completely different. Talking about a shopping complex
and a restaurant near Starbase. It's named Rio West, and the
project entails a $15 million investment, according to the
Texas Department of Licensing and Regulation filing.
It's a significant shift for Starbase and for SpaceX, as
they're getting it to retail, commercial infrastructure, and
developments that are adjacent to Starbase.
Now. These figures are from the TDLR,
the Texas Department of Licensing and Regulation, and
they're shifting away from rockets a little bit and getting
into infrastructure of commercial developments that are
adjacent to the spaceport. Now, the breakdown of cost for
the new development reveals that the restaurant is projected to
cost approximately $6.14 million, while the shopping
center is estimated at 8.96 million.
Now the restaurant which is going to be amazing, it boasts a
scenic view of the Rio Grande. It's planned to cover 7680
square feet. The design includes a 3500
square foot area for indoor dining, a substantial 2500
square foot space for kitchen and back of house operations,
and a 930 square foot outdoor deck for guests to enjoy the
panoramic views of Texas. Now, according to the filing,
the purpose of the Rio West is to cater to the local community
and stimulate neighborhood development.
This aligns with Spacex's broader vision of creating a
whole ecosystem around Starbase that benefits the surrounding
community and the area. Now, the accompanying shopping
center is set to feature a diverse mix of retail outlets,
including a grocery store and a cafe across an 11,200 square
foot space. Now the plans also highlight
additional enhancements such as landscaped areas and a parking
lot designated for staff equipped with 7 parking stalls.
The construction timelines for these projects are quite
specific with an expected commencement date of March 15th
and a completion target by the end of December.
Now this ambitious schedule indicates that SpaceX is
committed to rapidly developing the Rio West complex for future
space flights from Starbase. Now WRNS Studio, which is a
california-based design firm has been selected to lead the
architectural efforts for both the restaurant and the shopping
center. The firm is distinguished by its
headquarters location and it's recognition by the International
Living Futures Institute, having been awarded a huge award.
It's called the Just Label for its commitment to various equity
indicators. The development of Rio West
comes at a time when Spacex's activities at Starbase are
already having a notable impact on local businesses in the Rio
Grande Valley. Establishments in South Padre
Island, Port Isabel and also Brownsville have experienced
increased patronage due to space tourism, despite its inherent
unpredictability. Basically, if a launch is
scheduled for, let's say a Monday, you may be there until
Friday because the launch might slip a little bit or you might
be there a couple weeks depending on what happens with
the hardware. Now one, for instance is the
Grapevine Cafe in South Padre Island, and they see unusual
surges in customers during Space XS Starship launch events.
Now the cafe typically quieter during the fall and winter
months. I've been there and it is very
quiet. There's a few people in there,
but now during these launches, it's filled to capacity, which
illustrates the draw of Starbase and also the space launches.
Thousands of people will flood the area to see this gigantic
rocket fly. Now the influx of space
enthusiasts to the area, drawn by the spectacle of SpaceX
launches, has also provided a welcome economic boost.
Local businesses report a significant uptick in revenue
attributed directly to the events at Starbase, which has
become a key attraction to the area.
It's a tourism area now, and beyond the immediate economic
benefits, the presence of SpaceX in the region is fostering a
greater interest in space and technology among the local
population. Educational and professional
aspirations in fields related to aerospace are becoming more
prevalent, suggesting a long term positive effect on the
community's development. Now, despite these advancements,
though, Cameron County, where Starbase is located, still faces
challenges. With a significant portion of
its population living below the poverty line, Spacex's
contributions to the local economy are sustainable, but
have yet to fully address the broader socio and economic
issues. The economic impact of SpaceX
extends beyond direct employment and local spending, though the
company's investment in the area, particularly the Starbase
area, amounts to billions of dollars, underscoring its role
as a major economic driver for the region.
The influence of SpaceX and its activities is also evident in
traditional sectors such as fishing, nearby Port Isabel,
local businesses including bait and tackle shops.
You've seen changes in customer demographics and sales patterns
due to Starbase Now the integration of Spacex's launch
activities, however, with the local environment and
traditional industries has raised concerns.
The environmental and ecological impacts of frequent launches are
still being assessed, with potential implications for the
area's wildlife and fisheries now also something interesting.
The anticipation and aftermath of SpaceX launches have become
community events in themselves, affecting not just businesses
but also local culture and daily life.
In Brownsville and the Rio Grande Valley, residents and
visitors alike are drawn to the spectacle, blending traditional
pastimes like fishing with the excitement of space exploration.
And also, a lot of people go to gather the remnants of a launch,
the things that fell off a Starship or things that were
blown up during the launch, such as during the IFT One launch,
there were concrete scraps. You could find them on eBay.
People were selling them for absurd amounts of money.
Now in Brownsville though, the influence of SpaceX has even
permeated the local craft brewing scene, with
establishments like Pluton Brewing Company experiencing
increased patronage during launch events.
The brewery's name and theme, while not directly related to
SpaceX, resonates with the space fueled enthusiasm pervading the
community of Space Flight enjoyers.
Now SpaceX is 4/8 into commercial development with the
Rio West project is part of a broader trend for the company's
deepening impact on the Rio Grande Valley.
Through initiatives like Rio West and its ongoing spaceport
operations, SpaceX is not only advancing Space Flight
ambitions, but also contributing to the economic and the cultural
fabric of Brownsville and S proudly Island and also near
Starbase. Hey, thank you so much for
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Open AI recently unveiled a new AI technology named Sora,
designed to create text to photorealistic videos, marking a
significant advancement in generative AI capabilities.
Now this technology can simulate various scenarios, from serene
landscapes to dynamic urban scenes, demonstrating A
sophisticated understanding of three-dimensional environments.
Now Sora operates as a world simulator, indicating its
ability to not only generate visually compelling scenes, but
also to understand and replicate the complexities of the physical
world. This development suggests
potential applications far beyond simple video generation,
including simulations for education, design, and
entertainment purposes. Now, the foundation of Sora lies
in the diffusion transformer model, a type of AI previously
used for generating high resolution images, and this
model learns by introducing and then removing noise from images,
a process that has been adapted to work with video content in
Sora's development. Now, to enhance Sora's
capabilities, Open AI trained the model using a vast array of
captioned videos. This training approach has
enabled Sora to establish connections between textual
inputs and corresponding video outputs, allowing it to generate
new video content or modify existing footage based on
textual prompts. Now, among Sora's notable
features is its ability to produce footage with dynamic
camera movements, including panning, tracking, and zooming.
And these movements demonstrate the model's intricate
understanding of three-dimensional space in its
ability to simulate realistic camera operations.
And despite its impressive capabilities, Sora is not
without limitations. Though.
One significant challenge is the models incomplete grasp of cause
and effect, evident in scenarios where actions do not result in
expected physical changes, such as a cookie not showing a bite
mark after being eaten and open. AI has acknowledged these
limitations and is proceeding cautiously with the development
of Sora. Now the company is engaging with
the Red Teamers to identify and mitigate potential risks and the
harms associated with the technology's misuse.
And the potential for Sora to be used in creating disinformation
is a huge concern that Open AI and experts in the field are
actively addressing. The technology's ability to
generate convincing video content could make it
challenging to discern real from AI generated media, raising
ethical and societal questions. Open AI's approach to managing
Sora's rollout shows that it's cautious and there's a
responsible stance towards the development and application of
advanced AI technologies. Now, by collaborating with
external researchers and academics, Open AI aims to
explore the technology's potential while safeguarding
against misuse. The development of Sora is part
of a broader trend in AI research focused on generative
models capable of creating realistic text, images, sounds,
and now videos. And these models learn from vast
data sets, analyzing patterns and structures to produce new
content that mimics the real world.
Now, Open AI's decision to watermark videos generated by
Sora is an attempt to ensure transparency and mitigate the
risks of misinformation. However, the effectiveness of
such measures is contingent upon the ability to detect and
prevent the removal of these watermarks.
The technology's reliance on extensive video data sets for
training raises questions about copyright and data usage.
Open AI has been reticent about the specifics of its data
sources, likely due to competitive concerns and legal
challenges related to copyright infringement.
And the name Sora, inspired by the Japanese word for Sky,
symbolizes the vast creative potential that Open AI envisions
for this tech. The choice reflects the
company's aspirations for Sora to serve as a limitless platform
for innovation and creativity. Now, Sora's emergence of a
sophisticated video generation tool exemplifies the rapid
progress in AI capabilities. This advancement has
implications for various industries, including
entertainment, education, and content creation, potentially
transforming traditional practices and workflows.
Now, the interest in Sora and similar technologies among tech
giants and startups shows the competitive landscape of AI
research and development. Right now, companies are in a
race to refine and commercialize these technologies, with
potential impacts on multiple sectors of the economy.
The ethical and societal implications of AI technology,
like Sora, is the subject of ongoing debate among
researchers, policy makers, and also industry leaders in the
balance between harnessing the benefits of AI and safeguarding
against its risks is a central challenge in the field.
Now, as AEI technologies continue to evolve, the need for
robust regulatory frameworks and ethical guidelines becomes
increasingly apparent. These measures are essential to
ensure the advancements like Sora contribute positively to
society while minimizing potential harms.
Now, Sora represents a huge leap forward in AI driven video
generation, offering just a little glimpse into future
possibilities for digital media creation.
And while its capabilities are quite impressive right now, the
careful management of its deployment and the consideration
of ethical implications are crucial to harnessing its
potential responsibility. So RED has entered into an
agreement with an undisclosed artificial intelligence firm to
utilize its vast repository of user generated content for AI
model training, coinciding with its preparation for an imminent
initial public offering or an IPO.
This strategic move, valued at approximately $60 million
annually, is poised to augment the social media giant's revenue
streams and potentially enhance its market valuation as it
approaches the public market. Now.
The transaction disclosed to potential investors in
anticipation of Reddit's IPO, might establish A precedent for
future collaborations between Reddit and other AI enterprises.
Such partnerships are increasingly becoming vital as
tech companies seek legitimate avenues for acquiring data to
train sophisticated AI models, marking a shift from previous
practices where data was often used without formal agreements.
Now, Reddit's decision to monetize its content through
licensing agreements with AI companies shows a broader trend
in the tech industry, though. Notably, Open AI has entered
into similar arrangements, securing assessment to content
from major publishers like Axel, Springer, and The Associated
Press to improve the accuracy and relevance of its AI outputs.
Now, Steve Huffman, Reddit CEO, has previously articulated plans
to capitalize on the platform's extensive content archives
dating back nearly two decades. And by offering access to AI
firms now, this strategy not only opens new revenue channels,
but also leverages Reddit's unique position as a repository
of diverse human generated content.
The significance of such deals extends beyond immediate
financial gains. They represent a critical pivot
in how AI models are trained, ensuring that the data used is
sourced responsibly and with proper authorization.
This approach mitigates legal risks and sets a new standard
for the ethical development of AI technologies.
Now financially, Reddit has demonstrated robust growth, with
revenues surpassing $800 million in the preceding year, marking a
20% increase from 2022. This upward trajectory
underscores the platform's strong business fundamentals and
is appeal to potential investors.
The AI licensing deal could be a key factor in enhancing Reddit's
attractiveness to investors, especially those keen on the
burgeoning AI sector. And with the AI potentially
valuing the company at $5 billion, the agreement could
play a pivotal role in achieving a successful market debut.
The evolving landscape of AI training necessitates vast
amounts of data, though, prompting companies to forge
partnerships with content providers.
These alliances not only provide AI firms with the necessary data
to refine their models, but also offer content creators new
monetization opportunities. Reddit's willingness to engage
in such deals highlights its proactive stance in navigating
the complex interplay between content ownership and AI
development. And by setting terms that
respect copyright data usage, Reddit positions itself as a
forward thinking player in the dynamic field now.
The negotiations and eventual ceiling of this deal signal a
maturing understanding within the tech industry of the value
inherent in user generated content.
And as AI technologies continue to advance, the demand for
diverse and authentic data sets is expected to rise further,
emphasizing the importance of such agreements Now the
anonymity and the anonymity of the AI company involved in the
deal with Reddit as an element of speculation about potential
collaborations and their implications for the AI and
social media sectors. It also reflects the competitive
and other times confidential nature of business dealings in
the tech industry. Now, Reddit's history of
leveraging its platform for AI research and development, even
prior to formal licensing agreements, highlights the
intrinsic value of its content for training sophisticated AI
models. They have billions of lines of
data to sort through, and this background sets the stage for
the current deal in future partnerships.
Now, The strategic timing of this licensing agreement ahead
of Reddit's anticipated IPO illustrates the company's
multifaceted approach to growth. And by aligning its interest
with the AI industry, Reddit not only diversifies its revenue
streams, but also enhances its proposition to investors.
The involvement of leading financial institutions and
preparing for Redis IPO such as Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs
indicates the high stakes and significant interest in the
company's market entry. These partnerships under score
the critical role of strategic financial planning and expert
guidance in navigating the complexities of going public.
Now, Redis journey towards monetization of its platform
through AI licensing reflects A broader shift in the digital
economy towards recognizing and compensating the value of
content. As the digital and AI landscapes
continue to intersect, such collaborations will likely
become more commonplace, reshaping the economics of
content creation and distribution.
The potential impact of Reddit's AI licensing agreement on its
upcoming IPO cannot be overstated though.
By tapping into the growth demand for AI ready data, Reddit
not only stands to enhance its financial performance, but also
positions itself as a key player in social media and AI.
Now with the a ideal still subject to finalization and the
IPO details, evolving the coming months will be critical for
Reddit. The outcomes of these
initiatives will not only influence Reddit's market, but
also offer insights into the evolving dynamics of the tech
industry, particularly in relation to AI and data
licensing. Starship testing is advancing at
Starbase and now SpaceX is eyeing a possible third test
flight in March pending successful pre flight tests and
also engineer approvals. Now recent activities including
the delivery of crucial components for the Rockets
flight Termination system or the FTS signal this process.
Now the FTS is essential for safely aborting the flight if
anomalies occur. Now the installation of the FTS,
which is a standard safety feature for large rockets,
involves placing explosives on the rocket to enable its
destruction mid air if necessary.
Now these systems are installed closer to the launch date due to
their limited lifespan. Now the movement of the second
stage Starship to the test pad in Boca Chica hints at the
preparation for this upcoming test flight.
Now the test pad known for conducting static fire tests
might soon witness such a test of the starship's second stage.
Now there might be another static fire and static fire
tests are critical for assessing the Rockets readiness for
launch. Now the Super heavy booster,
which is the bottom part of the Starship has been moved back
into the High Bay. It utilizes 33 Raptor engines
which are designed for atmosphere conditions.
The second stage, the Starship is equipped with engines
optimized for the vacuum of space.
Now a new launch site for Starship is being considered to
support Elon Musk's ambition to increase the launch frequency of
the Mars bound rocket. The proposed site at Cape
Canaveral, FL is part of Spacex's plans to establish a
global network of launchpads for interplanetary travel and
eventually, people living on Mars.
Now, Starship, which is about 120 meters tall when fully
assembled, is the largest rocket ever built, capable of
delivering about 100,000 kilograms to low Earth orbit.
Its development and launches are currently based at Starbase
Facility in Boca Chica, Texas, but the proposal for the new
launch site at Cape Canaveral involves taking over SLC 37
launchpad, which is a site with historic significance from the
1960s used for the Saturn One and 1B rockets.
X plans to adapt this site for Starship super heavy launching
and landing operation. Now.
Additionally, plans are underway for another Starship launchpad
at the Starbase facility, and Elon Musk confirmed the
development of a new launch tower equipped with robot
chopsticks aimed at catching the booster rocket post launch,
highlighting the importance of having multiple launch towers
for continuous operations in Texas and in Florida now 2021.
Now all the way back in 2021, Elon Musk announced plans to
repurpose diffused oil rigs into Starship launch platforms,
naming them after Mars Moons, Damos, and Phobos.
They've since decommissioned these platforms and now they're
focusing on land based launches. Now the upcoming third major
Starship launch is planned to be an uncrewed flight from Texas to
Hawaii, completing a 90 minute journey around the Earth.
This follows two previous attempts that ended
unsuccessfully shortly after takeoff, with no confirmation
date yet for the third attempt. Now also let's step back a
little bit to the FTS, it's a critical component installed on
both the booster and the spacecraft.
Now during IFT One they use the FTS, the flight Termination
System to blow up the booster and also the ship and this is
due to the stages not separating and power loss on the engine and
then it led to the destruction of the rocket.
Now the second test flight saw improvements though was
successful. Detonation of the first stages
FTS after separation it was during the kickback burn at the
2nd stages. FTS also function as intended
during its coast phase, although SpaceX has been reserved about
the details of that part of the test.
Just recently, Heavy duty explosives or for the FTS have
been sent to Starbase. These deliveries indicate the
ongoing operations for the next test flight and it shows that
they will be launching somewhat soon The ongoing preparations
for the starship's third test flight, including the
installation of the FTS, static fire tests, stacking,
unstacking, moving the booster back to the Bay, and also moving
the ship off to the pad. It's a critical step.
All these are critical steps towards the next launch I FT3 of
Starship. It's part of Spacex's broader
efforts to advance human civilization to become a multi
planet species. SpaceX is setting its sights on
a robust launch schedule for the Starship rocket in 2024.
Aiming for at least nine missions is stated by a Federal
Aviation Administration FEA official in the Starship, which
is immense, has power and size, which we haven't seen before in
a rocket, and it's central for Spacex's aspirations of taking
people to Mars. Now, despite the goals, SpaceX
acknowledges the challenges ahead and making the Starship
Mars Ready Company is under significant pressure to advance
its test flight program to meet its targets for the year.
And Kevin Coleman, the FAA Commercial Space Transportation
Administrator, highlighted Spacex's intentional launch
agenda for 24. He said that the workload
involved preparing in these numerous launches said that
there's continuous dialogue between SpaceX and the FAA to
facilitate this brand new and aggressive schedule for this
monstrous rocket. Now, the FAA previously mandated
a cap of Starship launches about 5 attempts annually following an
in depth environmental assessment.
This restriction is something SpaceX is keen to modify to
accommodate its expanding launch itinerary.
And if they need to go to the moon, they need to launch
hundreds of these rockets to make sure that everything works
perfectly now. Spacex's inaugural integrated
flight test for the Starship occurred in April of 2023,
marking a moment in history that the Rockets eventual failure
happened during the first stage separation.
Now the event underscored the risks and the complexities of
the Starship program and then they did a follow up test IFT 2
conducted in November. So they only did two tests that
year. But this laid the groundwork for
future launches. SpaceX is now gearing up for the
third test flight anticipated around mid March ish, which
could set the pace for monthly launches until the year's end.
The Department of Defense is exploring a potential new launch
site for Starship in Florida too, and this would be of
strategic importance for the rocket and also for the DoD.
This moves involves an extensive environmental impact study to
assess the feasibility of such launches for the Space Coast of
Florida. And as SpaceX prepares for its
first Starship launch of 2024 from the Starbase facility in
South Texas, regulatory hurdles remain a significant focus.
The FAA is actively working with SpaceX to streamline the
licensing process for new Starship launches going forward.
Now the environmental ramifications of Starship
launches have come under scrutiny, and especially after
the first launch in April 2023, which caused considerable damage
to the launch site and caught a few things on fire and raised
environmental concerns. And these incidents highlight
the challenges of balancing Spacex's Starship program, but
also their own environmental stewardship.
Now the second Starship launch proved more successful, though
with a super heavy first stage booster performing very well.
However, the upper stage encountered issues leading to
its loss, though without ground damage, reflecting iterative
improvements in Spacex's launch protocol.
Now mind you, the first stage did blow up as well, so it was
better than the first trip, but the second one was better.
Now Spacex's founder Elon Musk has indicated a target window
and early to mid March for the third Starship launch attempt,
and this launch is viewed as having a reasonable chance of
reaching orbit. The FA as commercial Space
Transportation division has grown significantly in response
to the increasing number of US launches and the emergence of
new Space Flight companies. This expansion is part of a
broader effort to enhance the FA as regulatory capacity in the
rapidly growing space industry and the private space industry.
Now the Space Force and the Air Force alongside other federal
agencies is conducting an environmental impact statement
EIS for potential Starship launches from Florida.
Like we discussed before now, this is a very stringent level
environmental review. There's high stakes here, and we
know that if SpaceX passes the environmental review, we're
going to see a few launch towers happen as soon as possible from
this launch site because the Department of Defense is
involved. A SpaceX has conducted 2 notable
launches from Starship facility in 2023 at Starbase, with both
missions ending in explosions shortly after take off.
The potential for Starship to support NASA's missions and the
Department of Defense's interest in its capabilities shows that
Starship is very important. It's a strategic rocket.
It's not just a rocket that will get people to the moon and Mars.
It'll be a rocket that sends cargo to orbit for the
Department of Defense, numerous armed forces as well, and the
ongoing EIS process is exploring various options for
accommodating Starship launches from Florida going forward.
Hopefully that can be done within the next six months, but
we're expecting it to be 8 months to 12 months before this
all happens. And the EIS is just another set
of red tape that SpaceX has to go through in order to launch
from the Space Coast. It's not the primary mission, so
this is a secondary mission that SpaceX would do.
Now, public meetings are scheduled to discuss the
environmental impact of potential new Starship launch
sites, and this is great for community engagement and
transparency for Starship, SpaceX and the Department of
Defense and the state of Florida.
Now Starship, with its giant capabilities, is poised to
revolutionize space travel, with plans to replace the Falcon
rocket family eventually and support missions like Mars
colonization for Starlink and more satellite operations.
Its payload capacity makes it a key asset for both commercial
space activities and defense applications and the drive to
overcome regulatory and environmental hurdles.
It's a huge challenge for SpaceX.
They've had to do it at Starbase a few Times Now, and they've
always come up the winner. Stakeholders, including military
officials, emphasize the need for national support and
investment to realize the potential of transformative
space technologies Like Starship On the Space Coast of Florida,
the Moon has welcomed a new visitor from the United States,
marking the country's first lunar landing in over 50 years.
The Lander named Odysseus was confirmed to be operational and
communicating with Earth, though it's precise location and
condition were still under assessment.
Now Houston based Intuitive Machines, the creator of
Odysseus has been actively exchanging commands with the
spacecraft to gather scientific data and the company
acknowledged ongoing efforts to ascertain the Landers exact
whereabouts, health and orientation on the lunar
surface. Intuitive machines aim for a
landing near the lunar South Pole, specifically close to the
Mellapert, a crater, to aid NASA in exploring the region in
preparation for future astronaut missions.
This strategic location is of great interest due to its
proximity to potential resources, and this achievement
not only marks Intuitive Machines as the first private
entity to successfully land on the Moon, but also adds them to
the exclusive list of entities, including only five countries,
that have accomplished its feat. The mission is primarily
supported by NASA, with a space agency having invested $118
million in the project. Now.
A notable aspect of the mission was the use of a NASA experiment
to guide the Lander during its final approach due to a failure
in its navigation system. This adjustment allowed Odysseus
to safely complete his journey to the moon's surface.
Now the mission faced challenges though, such as the inability to
deploy a camera system intended to capture the landing due to
the navigational adjustments. However, efforts are underway to
release this camera in the hopes of obtaining images of Odysseus
on the Moon now. The uncertainty surrounding the
lander's precise landing spot adds a layer of complexity to
the mission, emphasizing the importance of securing the
images to verify its location and condition.
And the operational lifespan of the Odysseus Lander is expected
to be brief limit to about a week due to the impending lunar
night, which poses significant challenges for solar powered
missions. Now this mission follows a
failed attempt by another company, Astrobotic
Technologies, which highlights the apparent risks and the
difficulties of lunar exploration.
The landing by intuitive machines though represents a
significant achievement in commercial space exploration.
Now this is a historically significant mission as it
reestablishes the United States presence on the lunar surface
after the last human Apollo mission in 1972, setting the
stage for NASA's plant Artemis missions coming up Artemis 2
where they will circle around the Moon and come back to the
Earth, and Artemis 3 when they will land on the lunar surface.
Now, the choice of naming the Lander Odysseus.
It was a parallel with the epic journeys and challenges faced by
the mythological figure symbolizing the ambitious
natures of this lunar mission. Now, the reliance on NASA's
Navigation Doppler Lidar instrument, not originally
intended as a primary navigation tool, shows the adaptability and
resourcefulness required in space mission.
Sometimes they have to go off script and do wild things in
order to make the mission successful, and the confirmation
of a successful landing and the subsequent transmission of data
from Odysseus to Earth marked a pivotal moment for Intuitive
machines showcasing the capabilities of commercial space
ventures. And despite initial
communication challenges, the team remains focused on
downloading scientific data and images from the Lander, with
further updates anticipated in the next few days.
Now this is a huge milestone for both Intuitive machines, NASA
and the United States as it demonstrates the viability of
commercial partnerships in advancing lunar exploration and
prepares the groundwork for future human rated Landers on
the lunar surface of the term dynamic situation aptly
describes the last minute adjustments and challenges faced
during the landing. This is an unpredictable way to
land a lunar Lander, but this is also unpredictable nature of
space exploration. The context of this mission
includes the ongoing international interest in the
Moon, several companies having conducted lunar missions in the
recent years. This renewed focus shows that
the Moon is more strategic and important than ever.
Tex plans to have two orbital towers down at Starbase in Texas
for the launches of their Starship vehicle.
Super heavy vehicle, about 400 feet tall.
The most powerful rocket in existence right now, now.
Right now, SpaceX can launch starships about five times per
year, but they don't really want to do that.
They want to have a lot more launches than five per year
because they need to test the rocket for the upcoming Artemis
missions and also for Starling missions in the future, and also
some other cargo missions to the Moon and beyond.
So what do they do? Let's take a look real quick at
this. This is for Mars Technica.
This is Eric Berger. Eric is awesome.
SpaceX seeks A waiver to launch Starship at least nine times
this year. Last year they did.
We're at 2 right now, two Starship launches all together.
So if they could squeak out nine launches, it's been it's months
between every single launch. Between IFT 1, IFT 2, and now
IFT 3. It's been a few months.
But if they could do three, you know, three within this time
frame, like right now, IFT 1, IFT 2 and if IFT 3 could be in
March of this year, they'd have April, May, June, July, August,
September, October, November, December.
So they'd have that many months. Could they get that many
launches in that many months? One launch per month?
About, I don't know. That's a that's a pretty risky
bet to take 9 launches in about as many months.
Could they do a turn around of one launch per month?
Could they build enough boosters fast enough?
Could they have enough Raptor engines for one launch per
month? Do they have enough ships for
one launch per month? At this point they don't have as
many built as there are months left in the year, so there's a
possibility that they can get this done.
They're gonna have to ramp up production, ramp up launches,
but I believe they could do this.
So let's get in a little bit of the minutiae here.
SpaceX nears its first Starship launch, 2024, possibly as soon
as within three weeks. So sometime in March, they know
that they're going to be doing this launch from Starbase.
During a press availability this week, the administration of
commercial space transportation at the FAA, Kevin Coleman said
the agency is working with the company to try to facilitate the
Starship launch licensing process.
This is huge, if this actually happens, so looking at a pretty
aggressive launch schedule this year, he said.
They're looking at, I believe, at least nine launches this
year. That's a lot of launches.
If you're doing modifications and doing them one by one,
that's a lot of work. Could SpaceX be hiring a bunch
more people too? We're going to see in the near
future if they're going to be hiring more people.
We know there's going to be another orbital pad there too.
So they're going to be launching these things and also building a
pad, possibly. Let's take a look at that in a
little bit too. We've been talking to SpaceX
constantly around the clock coming together and trying to
figure out how we do this. We're invested with the company,
so we'll work with them to get them back going as soon as
possible. So basically saying we're going
to get them flying again so they can continue building and fly
more rockets in the future. SpaceX decided to launch and
attempt to land a Starship vehicle in Texas about five
years ago. The company had to undergo an
environmental review of the site.
So I want to ask you this question too, and I want to know
what you think down in the comments.
So SpaceX is going to launch IFT 3 soon, and it's going to be
sometime in March probably, according to Elon Musk.
And if the FAA is working with them, and it seems like they
are, could they possibly launch a rocket in March and then
another one in April? Are they really, Are they that
close? I don't think they're going to
be able to do a turn around that quick.
So in my opinion, it's going to be late April, more than likely
May that they get another rocket off if this one goes as perfect
as it should go, IFT 2 or IFT 3. If it goes better than IFT 2,
then it seems like they'll have all the systems in place to get
an IFT 4, IFT 5, etcetera. Faster than what they've done
before. So all the regulatory hurdles
that are in place right now could kind of be relaxed a
little bit. And then the FAA would work with
SpaceX to get 9 launches for this year, which would be
incredible. So that's my question.
Do you think they could pull it off nine months with 9 launches?
They have about nine months left to get 9 launches in.
So we'll see. We'll see.
But I don't think they're going to be able to do 9 launches.
I think that's a very optimistic goal for SpaceX.
And I'm not trying to be pessimistic here.
I'm just saying these things are gigantic.
They're hard. Things happen all the time.
Like the booster right now was moved back to the high Bay so it
could get some work done on it before the IFT 3 launch.
And the the ship is on the suborbital pad right now, just
hanging out. So maybe there's going to be
some work done on the on the booster and on the ship in the
near future. So if that needs to happen, the
timelines can slip pretty quickly.
Now that being said, Suborbital pad B could be becoming Orbital
pad B SpaceX has always wanted 2, count them, 2222 launch
towers at Starbase, Texas. That was their vision from the
beginning. Two launch towers so they could
do everything and they need to do from Starbase.
Don't have to worry about Kennedy Space Center for a
while. They can do everything from
Starbase until they start launching humans on these
things, or start launching these things from NASA property at
Kennedy Space Center, possibly for the first Artemis mission.
It seems like a good PR stunt to get them launched from NASA, but
if they need to, they can do these launches from Texas
because it's already built out. No reason to go to Kennedy Space
Center and waste resources there before the launches.
Just keep building up Texas and keep getting it to a better
place. So this is suborbital Pad B is
now going to be orbital pad B, and that's according to vixy
Vicky Cox, 15 on Twitter or X if you will.
And SpaceX reiterated the permit application on 12 February 2024
with modified project plans requesting to fill a .16 acre
wetland to construct a second orbital launchpad which will
replace the current suborbital launchpad and test stand.
So currently it's just a test stand, right?
It's just it's just right here. That's it.
There's really not much there. But it could be a orbital
launchpad, which would be fantastic, because if they're
going to refuel Starship, they have to send up possibly
anywhere between 10 and 20 tankers for Starship to refuel
before it gets to the moon. And Easterners feel that it's a
complex thing. It's a very complex thing.
Could SpaceX do it with two pads better than one pad?
2 pads are better than one. So this is the other question
that I want to ask you. Orbital pad A, orbital pad B at
Starbase, do you think they're going to catch the booster, or
do you think they're going to be expendable for the NASA
missions? Do you think they're going to
have boosters ready to go? They're going to have 10 to 20
boosters ready to go and expend them in the Gulf of Mexico?
Or do you think they're going to get the landings nailed before
the Artemis program? Because if they don't get the
landings nailed, you know, what are they going to do?
Will they have 15 boosters just ready to go?
I don't think that's the case. I think what's going to happen
is they're going to be able to catch these things before the
Artemis program, Artemis 3. So which pad?
This is the question. Which orbital pad do you think
they're going to catch on 1st? I'm going Orbital Pad B because
there will be modifications, upgrades to it.
They need to catch it. So if if they need to catch in
A1 tower, I think it's going to be Orbital Pad B, because
orbital pad A, it's going to be the workhorse.
I think they're going to launch from there.
That's perfectly fine. They launch from there right
now. They're going to also launch
from orbital Pad B, but if they can launch from orbital pad B,
they can land it Orbital pad B, orbital pad A also they can land
it orbital pad B. Maybe they can catch them at
both. I want to know your opinion down
in the comments below. Let me know what you think where
they're going to catch the first booster orbital pad A or orbital
pad B. So we got a couple questions
here today, but that's that's pretty much it.
I want to show you the the, the plan here.
Space Exploration Technologies published February 22nd.
Project plans you know go into deeper here, go a little bit
deeper and you can zoom in if we need to 150% wetland's subject
to this request. So we have tank farm, orbital
pad, etcetera here and then we have down here, we have a little
zoomed in request additional wetland impact .16 acres, this
little red, this little red one right here, proposed wetland
impact. It's not much, it's really not
much, but will they be able to do this And there's a a ground
shot of a wetland impact update summary.
So there's the pad, you can see it there.
It's right right next to it. It's literally like you can take
a couple steps across this, take five or six steps and you're
across this whole thing. The Army Corps of Engineers,
will they allow this? There might be a little impact,
an environmental impact study here, but I think they're going
to be OK with it. It's an industrial zone right
now. Basically, if you look at it,
it's an industrial zone in the middle of all sorts of things
going on. You know, there's a parking lot,
there's there's a bunch of concrete, there's pipes, there's
tubes, all sorts of stuff going on here.
It's wetlands. Of course we have to protect the
wetlands, but also we have to go forward with progress.
So what do you think? What do you think about this
too? I I think Orbital Pad B will be
the catch tower to begin with. Then they're going to take them
off Orbital Pad B, refurbish it, take it back to the high Bay.
And while that's happening, other rockets are going to come
out and then they're going to launch more over and over and
over. So that's where we're at right
now. It's got to be a wild 2024.
If they get this proposal, if they want it, if they get this
Orbital Pad B proposal accepted, we might see orbital PED B
become a thing, start becoming a thing in the next few months
after IFT three. I think we're going to start
moving in hardware if this gets approved really quick.
So we're going to see, but see the other thing is I want to
show you this public state expiration date, January, March
2020 or 25 of 2024, tenth February, March.
So next month, about a month actually from today, we're going
to see the expiration date of this.
So we'll see. We'll see what happens.
Hey, thank you so much for listening today.
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