There has been so far a two week ceasefire between Iran and
United States. The ceasefire is supposed to end
tomorrow and right now the Americans have gone to a
somewhat bad to negotiate a possible peace treaty.
The Iranians may go, they may not go.
We don't know yet. It is entirely possible that the
Iranians will go to somewhere bad, and it's entirely possible
that they will negotiate A ceasefire, a peace treaty that
ends the war. But unfortunately, this war will
not end. So a lot of people believe that
this war it is just because Donald Trump has decided to go
to war with Iran for whatever reason.
But that's not true. This war in Iran is actually
part of a larger strategic vision that the United States
has to maintain its empire. And today I want to explain why
that is the case and how this war will progress.
But first, I want to look at some recent events from these
past two weeks. One of the big news these past
two weeks is that there are a lot of oil refineries that are
that are afire. OK.
They've been a light. So even as the world has been
cut off from 20% of energy from the Middle East, there are lots
of oil refineries that are being destroyed.
OK, so this is from Russia, and this is actually Russia's
largest oil refinery. As you can see, it is pretty
extensive, OK, But this is not Russia.
It is actually a lot of places. So this is Myanmar and these are
10. 10. Oil tankers.
So there are a lot of oil finderies that have that are
being destroyed right now. We don't know why this is
happening, but there's a lot, OK, there's there's all been
like there's already been over 50 orifaneries that have been
that have been on fire these past 45 days.
Another thing that's been happening is that even though
there's a ceasefire in effect, the Americans have imposed a
blockade on Iran, and the Americans have escalated the
situation by boarding and basically taking over an Iranian
ship returning from China. OK, so let's just look at some
of the footage. So what happened was that the
Iranian ship was returning from China and the Americans
suspected that the ship had important fuel and components
for ballistic missiles. The Americans tried to board the
ship. The ship would not stop.
The Americans fired at the engine and then they boarded the
ship with special forces. OK, And this is what would be
considered an act of piracy. And before the Secretary of War,
Peter Hecksef, he before complained that you have to let
ships freely navigate in the seas.
But he's also said that it's probably OK for Americans to
steal ships. To be clear, threatening to
shoot missiles and drones at ships, commercial ships that are
lawfully transiting international waters, that is
not control. That's piracy.
That's terrorism. Certainly, that is.
OK, so you understand. So the fact that Iran has closed
off a certain Hormuz and trained to attack ships with drones and
ballistic missiles, that is wrong.
That is piracy. Unless the Americans do this.
OK, unless the Americans do this.
Well is taking notice of that, and it continues because two oil
tankers, 2 overnight were seized by the United States of America,
stateless or sanctioned, because the oil blockade, the quarantine
of oil out of unsanctioned or stateless, sanctioned or
stateless vessels continues. That leverage will continue, as
Secretary Rubio outlined so. As you've seen today.
OK, so does that make sense? It is wrong for the world to be
pirates and to seize ships, but it's OK for the United States to
do this because the United States is the one that sets the
rules for the world. Duh.
OK, so this war is not going well for the United States.
This is a Rick Scott, and he's a senator from Florida.
He explains that it doesn't really matter if the war is not
going well for the United States because what's happening is that
we're hurting China, and that's what's important.
How do you feel like the war in Iran, which is sort of in a
ceasefire right now? How do you feel like this is
going? Should the US wrap this up, get
out of there now, or do you think there's more to do there?
I think, I think I appreciate that Trump's trying to get rid
of the nuclear weapons. I don't want to die by a nuclear
weapon from Iran. They wanted to kill us.
I mean, I mean, this appeasement of bullies.
I don't know if in your life if that's worked for you guys.
It's never worked for me. And so they wanted to kill us.
So they're very, they're getting close to be in a position to
kill us. And they basically have been
killing Americans. So I think what Trump did is the
right thing. Now, I think this there, he has
to, he has to get the them in a position that they don't have
the ability to do nuclear weapons or blow state missiles.
That's I think that's where we have to go.
I, I don't know what the right approach is going to be.
I think blocking the Strait of Hormuz is, is, is fine from my
standpoint. If no, if no oil ever goes to
China again and their economy is destroyed, that would be a
really wonderful day for me. OK, you guys understand the
Americans may lose this war, but if the end result is that China
no longer gets any oil from the Middle East and the economy is
destroyed, it's worth it all. Right.
OK, even now, even at this late stage, we're about 50 years, 50
days into this war. The Americans have yet to
explain why this war started in the 1st place.
So. So this is currently livid and
she was asked by a reporter again why this war started and
this is her. This is her response I.
Said yesterday for the first time that he had to strike Iran
because he believes that Iran was going to strike US targets
within seven days and then he then bumped that down later to
three days. Where is he getting that?
Well, that's not the first time the president has said that he
chose to launch Operation Epic Fury because he felt as though
Iran was going to strike the United States and our assets in
the region first. Again, I this in the last
briefing, this was a feeling the President had based on facts,
facts provided to him. So it was a feeling based on
facts. OK.
That's why Trump start this war. Trump himself has given
conflicting signals. He said that this war is going
to end soon. He's also said that this war is
going to continue. All right.
So he changed every day. It was 20 minutes ago, but it
seems to be going very well in the Middle East with Iran.
We'll know over a little period of time.
We're negotiating over the weekend.
And as you know, we have the blockade.
The blockade's been very successful and of equal success
has been the five weeks before the blockade, the combination.
It was pretty lethal, I would say.
So we're going to be knowing very shortly.
So he's saying this war is going great, we should have a
ceasefire soon, OK. And then maybe an hour later,
he's like, oh, I think I need to drop bombs on Iran.
So there's a lot of conflicting signals coming from Trump.
And what I want to show you today, what I want to argue to
you today, is that you have to ignore these signals and focus
on the larger American strategy in this war.
And once you once we understand the strategy, then it's very
easy for us to understand how this war will progress over the
next few years, OK, Because this war is not going to end soon.
It won't be a few months, it'll probably a few years.
And quite honestly, it may take 10 or 20 years.
OK, so let's look over some more news.
So as I mentioned previously, oil refineries are getting
sabotage, either by accident or purposefully.
What this tells us is that in the past 45 days there have been
at least 45 recorded incidents around the world of oil fineries
being set on fire. OK, so Iran was bombed by the
Israelis and then the Israelis responded by attacking Qatar.
Russia is being attacked by Ukraine.
And the big one is that in Australia, in Geelong, one of
the refineries was set on fire and they claimed it was an
accident. This is important because
Australia is mad at war, but Australia needs a lot of oil.
OK, So right now, Australia is in a lot of trouble.
Romania, Bucharest has been hit. India has been hit.
Myanmar has been hit. OK, so all around the world
there are these fires going on, destroying the world's oil
supply. So why is this happening?
And who's doing this? We don't know.
And quite honestly, we may never know.
But to feel the answer, you always ask yourself who
benefits, right? And you always look at three
things, means, motive and opportunity.
And so from this, you could figure out that the majority of
these fires are being set, are being deliberately set in order
to reduce the world's oil supply.
And the people who can do this, the people who benefit from from
doing this are the the Russians or the Americans.
OK, one of these two, it's probably both, but we don't know
for sure yet. All right.
This war, as we discussed previously, is having is having
already having a tremendous impact on the world's economy.
So sulfur has risen in price by 57%.
Sulfur is important for the manufacturer of of fertilizers
as well As for microchips. OK, jet fuel has gone up by 52%.
So next time you're flying to the United States, it's going to
be a much more expensive ticket. Urea is more of a fertilizer,
diesel, gasoline fertilizer. So basically food and energy,
their price have gone way up. OK.
Donald Trump makes a statement saying that the Iranian flag
cargo ship Tosca has been boarded by the Americans.
OK And Donald Trump continues to threaten the Iranians and say
that if you continue to close off the street of Hormuz, then
we will negotiate with bombs, basically.
All right, no more Mr. Nice Guy. And quite honestly, what what
what he's also saying is we don't really care because we
don't need that oil from the Middle East.
Also, we can sell our oil to the world.
OK, the United States loses nothing.
In fact, many ships are headed right now to the US, Texas,
Louisiana, Alaska to load up compliments of the IRDC.
We just want to be the tough guy, All right?
So we're we're the ones benefiting from this war.
So we have nothing to worry about.
All right. So another thing that I want you
guys to pay attention to is how America is moving towards a war
economy. All right?
So the Pentagon has been in talks with General Motors and
Ford to make munitions, drones and military equipment, right?
So this is what this this last happened in World War 2 when
America moved to Total War. There are factories that used to
make cars were now making tanks. But knowing that, but Trump also
announced something called the Defense Production Act as of
today. And what this does is it
basically allows the government to subsidize private
corporations in the manufacture of weapons.
OK, So these companies, General Motors, Ford, they can make a
lot of money because of this war.
That's that's something to keep in mind.
Starting December, Americans who are aged 18626 will be
automatically registered for the draft.
OK, so it's very likely that America will soon introduce a
national draft and force young men to go fight in the Middle
East. Currently, the Pentagon budget
is $1 trillion. Next year it'll be $1.5
trillion, increased by of 50%, OK, And we can expect that the
year after it might be $2 trillion.
More veterans are now being asked to serve longer.
OK. So what we're seeing is that the
United States is moving towards a wartime economy, OK?
They're preparing for what we call Total War, when an economy
moves towards the manufacture of weapons and munitions.
All right. Another thing that's that's been
happening that you should pay attention to is the fact that
there's very little opposition. In fact, there's no opposition
to Donald Trump fighting this war in Iran.
You would think that the Democrats, his opponents, would
use this opportunity to promote anti war messages or try to stop
him from plunging America into another further war in the
Middle East. Instead the Democrats are doing
as much as possible not to do anything.
So recently in Congress they had a vote as to whether or not to
restrict Trump's ability to fight this war.
OK, and there were 4 Republicans who did not vote and one
Republican who voted. We should restrict Trump, OK.
And so this vote should have been 214 to 213 in favor.
Yes, we will restrict Trump's war powers.
But then what happened was that one Democrat, just one Democrat,
decides I want to switch my vote to no.
So now now becomes 214 to 213. Did you understand guys, this is
all political theater. You understand it's all theater.
Meaning that it was already pre arranged between the Republicans
and Democrats that this resolution would fail.
In other words, it may be two Republicans voted yes, then two
Democrats would have voted no. If 10 Republicans voted yes,
then 10 Democrats would have voted no.
You understand, the Democrats are not opposing this war.
They're doing as much as possible to support this war.
So the, the, the new question then is why is this happening?
Why is America moving towards a wartime economy?
Why are the Democrats so supportive of this war?
And the answer has to do with empire.
OK. So this is something called the
National Defense Strategy that came out in January 2026.
And this is the blueprint for how the Pentagon will fight wars
for the next 5 to 10 years. This is a strategy behind the
Iran war. All right.
And So what we're going to do is we're going to reach certain
parts together to analyze how the Americans will strategize
about the world moving forward. OK.
So, Ivory, could you help me read, please?
Thank you. For too long the US government
neglected, even rejected, putting Americans in their
concrete interests first. Previous administrations
squandered our military advantages and the lives,
goodwill and resources for people in grandiose nation
building projects and self congratulatory pledges to uphold
cloud castle abstractions like the rule based international
order. These these past leaders
neglected and often actively undermined our war fighters
warrior ethos and our military score irreplaceable role
fighting, winning and thereby deterring the wars that really
matter to our people. Consequently, President Trump
entered office with the nation on the precipice of disastrous
wars for which we were unprepared.
OK. So certain things to keep in
mind, OK, Concrete interests first means that we have to
think about resources, we have to think about concrete
advantages to America. We can we can no longer think
about ideals, OK. Second is the idea of rules
based in national order or the globalist before America was
fighting wars for their nations or for Europe or for Japan.
We have to fight wars for America, OK.
And the last thing is the idea of.
Undermine our warriors ethos? OK Undermine our warrior ethos.
What this means is that before America was founded by too many
rules, OK, what they call rules of engagement, OK, Or basically
avoiding war crimes, you were not allowed to kill civilians.
You needed permission for the United Nations to fight wars.
And what this is saying is like school, that, OK, school, wars
of engagement. We should just fight wars to win
wars. That means we kill as many
people as we need. That means we do whatever is is
necessary in order to win wars. OK.
So this is what the first paragraph is saying here.
It's a new vision of American power.
Before it was about ideals, now it's about interest.
Before it was about globalism. Now it's about America first.
Before it was about rules of engagement.
Now it's about the worry ethos. OK, please continue reading
Ivory. President Trump has decisively
changed that, courageously putting Americans first to truly
make America great once again. Under his leadership, the United
States has the world's strongest, most lethal, and most
capable military, indeed the most powerful military that this
world has ever seen. No longer will the Department be
distracted by interventionism and those wars, regime changes,
and nation building. Instead, we will put our
people's practical, concrete interests first.
We will support a policy of actual peace through strength.
We will be the sword and shield to deter war, with the goal of
peace, but ready to fight and win the nation's necessary wars
if called upon. OK.
Stop. OK, Right.
So important sentence here is we will support a positive actual
peace through strength. What this means is that we will
be so mighty, we will be so invincible, we will be so
fearless that we will instill fear in others.
They'll be so afraid to fight us and therefore we'll have peace.
OK. So it's the idea of hegemony,
peaceful might, peaceful power. We have to demonstrate we are
invincible. When people fear us, that's when
people will obey us. When people obey us, that's when
we have peace, OK? This does not mean isolationism.
To the contrary, it means a focused and genuinely strategic
approach to the threats our nation faces and how to best
manage them. This approach is based on a
flexible, practical realism that looks at the world in clear eyed
way, which is essential for serving Americans interests.
As the National Security Strategy articulates, this is
the common sense approach President Trump has advanced.
OK, All right. So this does not mean
isolationism. It's about how to best manage
them. So the idea here is that America
before was engaging too many wars overseas.
It was too spread out. America will now be focused on
maintaining and protecting its core strategic interests.
That means divide and conquer. OK, Divide and conquer, divide
and rule. OK, I'll explain this as we go
on. All right, So these are the four
strategic interests of the United States.
OK, Can you read that to me? We will defend the homeland and
ensure that our interests in the Western Hemisphere are
protected. We will deter China in the Indo
Pacific through strength, not confrontation.
We will increase word and sharing with allies and partners
around the world. And we will rebuild the US
defence industrial base as part of the President's once in a
century revival of American industry.
Great. So this is it.
OK. This is the plan moving forward.
And already we're seeing the Americans are doing this.
All right, so rebuild the US defense industrial base, OK?
Basically means factories and resources, right?
Making sure that America becomes the arsenal of democracy.
It's factories produce all the weapons America needs in order
to protect its interests as well as protect its allies.
We will increase burden sharing with allies and partners around
the world, OK? This basically means that from
now on, we're not friends. From now on, we're the boss and
you do what we tell you to do, OK?
From now on, we will order Japan, South Korea, Europe, NATO
to do what they must in order to protect our power, and they must
follow us. Basically create a system of
vassalage. That's number two #3 is we would
deter China in the Pacific through strength, not
confrontation. We don't want to destroy China.
We don't want to hurt China. But we need China to obey us.
And the way to do that is by containing China, strangling
China economically, and also promoting Japan.
OK, So in the future, China and Japan will balance each other
out and that allows us to rule over them, right?
In the future, we America will sell resources, weapons and
financing the both China and Japan as they compete against
each other in East Asia. That's how we will we will
contain China and then the idea of we'll defend the homeland and
ensure that our interests in the worst hemisphere are protected.
OK, so basically this means that the worst in the hemisphere
belongs to America. We will do whatever we want in
the Northern hemisphere. If you want to come to the
Western Hemisphere, you need our permission.
If you, China or Russia, you want to come into the Northern
hemisphere, you have to get our permission.
You have to pay a tax to us. OK, this is really important.
Defend the homeland. Defend the homeland just
basically means a police state before America was too free and
therefore America was too weak. The example is the Vietnam War,
when the war was not lost in Vietnam, the war was lost at
home because you had too many people, too many young men
protesting in on the streets, too many rebels.
If we want to win wars, if we want to protect strength, if we
want to create peace in the world, we need to make sure that
our home front is secure, all right?
And that means making sure that Americans follow the law, do
what they're told. OK, so I'll explain this more as
we go along. All right, so now let's move on
to China. OK, so so can you.
Can you read every? Deter China in the Indo Pacific
through strength, non competition.
President Trump seeks a stable peace, fair trade, and
respectable relations with China, and he has shown that
he's willing to engage President Xi Jinping directly to achieve
those goals. But President Trump has also
shown how important it is to negotiate from a position of
strength, and he has tasked Dow accordingly.
Consistent with the President's approach, Dow will therefore
seek and open a wider range of military to military
communications with the People's Liberation Army, with a focus on
supporting strategic stability with Beijing, as well as
deconfliction and de escalation more generally.
But we will also be clear eyed and realistic about the speed,
scale and quality of China's historic military buildup.
Our goal in doing so is not to dominate China, nor is it to
strangle or humiliate them. Rather, our goal is simple, to
prevent anyone, including China, from being able to dominate us
or our allies. In essence, to set the military
conditions required to achieve the NSSS goal of a balance of
power in the Indo Pacific that allows all of us to enjoy a
decent peace. As the NSS directs, we will
erect a strong denial defence along the first island chain.
We will also urge and enable key regional allies and partners to
do more for our collective defence.
In doing so, we will reinforce the deterrence by denial so that
all nations recognized their interests are best served
through peace and and restraint. OK, so again, this is a very
clear. Plan, OK, What this is saying is
this, we're going to negotiate with China, we're going to be
friends. We have to do something from a
position of strength. And So what does that mean?
First of it means that we will embargo China, OK, How can we
embargo China through the 1st island chain, right?
The first island chain is Japan, Taiwan, the Philippines, right?
So if you embargo China, it means China cannot access the
state of Malacca, which provides China with 8% of its energy
needs, right? And so if you embargo China,
China has no choice but to obey you, your negotiating from
position of strength. The other thing is that we're
going to enable Kiwi regional allies.
And this, of course, would be Japan, South Korea, Taiwan,
Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, right?
And this creates the state of Malacca.
We will have these nations challenge Chinese supremacy in
order to create balance, a power balance in East Asia.
And once this power balance is created, they all depend on us,
the United States, because we have energy, we have food, we
have weapons, we have financing, OK.
So again. If you just read this, it's
very, very clear what the United States wants to do, and they're
already doing it. All right, So this is
conclusion. OK, Aubrey, can you read please?
Taking our nation from the. Precipice of a World War just a
year ago, President Trump is now leading our nation into a new
golden age, 1 defined by putting Americans first in the common
sense, pragmatic and concrete way.
No longer will we swander. Americans will resources and
even lives in foolish and grandiose adventures abroad.
But we will not retreat. Rather, we will unabashedly
prioritize Americans concrete interests with an approach of
flexible realism. We will restore the warrior
ethos. We will refocus the American
military on its core, irreplaceable goal of winning
the nation's wars decisively. In doing so, as President Trump
has so memorably emphasized, our purpose will not be aggression
or perpetual war. Rather, our goal is peace.
Peace is the highest good, but not a peace that sacrifices our
people's security, freedoms, and prosperity.
Rather, a peace that Americans deserve, a noble and proud
peace. Fortunately, this piece is
compatible with the interests of our potential opponents.
If they keep their demands reasonable and and cabins, we do
not demand their humiliation or submission.
Rather, we demand only that they respect our reasonably conceived
interests and those of our allies and partners who stand
stoutly with us. If we all can acknowledge this,
we can achieve a flexible and sustainable balance of power
among us and peace. But we at the Department of War
will be ready if our gracious offer is burned.
We know that wishing for a decent peace is not the same
thing as bringing it about. Thus, if our potential opponents
are unwise enough to reject our peaceful overtures and choose
conflict instead, America's armed force will stand ready to
fight and win the nation's wars in ways that make sense for
Americans. To ensure that this is the case,
the strategy will ensure that we see things and the choices we
need to make clearly. We will prioritize addressing
the most consequential and grave threats to Americans interests.
We will revamp our network of allies and partners to meet the
threats we face. And we will be ready, always
carrying the sharpest and most formidable sword, but prepared
to offer the olive branch. OK.
So this is very clear, OK. What he's saying is this obey us
and there will be peace. Defy us and there will be war.
OK? The the key idea is we will
prioritize. Prioritize addressing the most
consequential and great threats to Americans interests.
OK. Sorry, can you give?
Back OK so I want to show. You what this means.
Basically, it means that from now on, America will adopt.
A new. Strategy.
OK, All right. So if this ceasefire does not
work and work continues, then we can expect in Round 2 the
fighting will get much worse. OK.
So the Americans will start to target civilian infrastructure,
including British universities, reservoirs, power plants,
desalina tion plants. Basically, it will destroy
Iran's capacity to be a nation state.
In response, the Iranians can destroy a lot more energy
infrastructure. OK, So what it's done now, it's
basically close off the Strait of Hormuz, but it can also close
off the Red Sea, OK. And they can also target
pipelines of natural gas. Basically, it can take offline
1/3 of the world's energy supply.
And this would of course cause an economic depression.
OK, Unfortunately the national security strategy of of the.
ICH doesn't really care if you just read the.
National security. Strategy.
They already have factored this in and they don't really care.
So the idea is to prioritize strategic interests.
And what this basically means is that America has the world's
greatest Navy. No one else comes close.
And so all that they do is contain the world's choke points
and the world must bend to the will of of America.
It doesn't make sense. You're going to trade, then you
must depend on American generosity.
OK, So already what's happening is that this area, it's being
closed off, but America has made moves to close off other areas
as well. So.
So America is exerting more control over the Panama Canal.
OK, Basically, the Western Hemisphere is under something
called the Don Roll doctrine. The Donald Doctrine basically
states that American do whatever it wants in the Western
Hemisphere. You're going to come here and
trade. You have to go through US.
China depends on a lot of resources from the Western
Hemisphere, especially from South America.
All right, over here, something called the Lithium triangle,
this is Venezuela. Brazil provides China with a lot
of agricultural products, soil, beans.
Basically what Trump is saying is that hey, in the future,
we're not straight over here China, you have to go through
US. OK, so it's basically embargoing
the Western Hemisphere from China over here is something
called the Strait of Malacca. This is the most important troll
point in the world, especially for East Asia because as you can
see, the Middle East, if it is to access South Korea, China and
Japan has to go through the of Malacca.
But guess what guys? Everything goes through the
Strait of Malacca. And this is important because
United States has signed a deal with Indonesia.
So what we can expect is that American Indonesia in Indonesia,
their militaries will start to cooperate more and more.
This is move and that's and the reason why is America is moving
towards creating the first island chain, basically in
militarizing the first island chain in order to deter China to
embargo China. Basically what we're also seeing
is that Japan is now rapidly remilitarizing.
They're signing more agreements with Australia and other
nations, OK, they're building more weapons.
This is all being encouraged by the United States as a deterrent
to China. Again, this is really important.
America does not want to destroy China.
It does not want to to humiliate China.
It wants to control China because the Chinese economy is
still very strong and powerful, and America wants to make sure
that the Chinese are buying more U.S. dollars, OK?
So it is entirely possible. What's going to happen is that
the Chinese will have no choice but to buy from America, OK,
Especially energy. The entire world in hemisphere
belongs to America. And you want to trade with what?
What's in hemisphere, then you need to sign a trade deal with
America, OK. What America is also doing
that's really important is that it's planning to take over
Greenland, OK? I think over Greenland you're
blocking access. China and Russia cannot access
the Western Hemisphere through the Arctic.
You're also taking seizing control over the Arctic, OK.
And there are lots of minerals and oil in the Arctic as well.
OK, The street Gibraltar is also another strategic troke point,
and America has signed a deal with Morocco to enhance more
cooperation. OK, So I can see what America is
doing is when they mean strategic interests,
prioritizing strategic interests, what they mean is
exerting control over the world's choke points so that
they can control global trade. OK, they're not going to control
the entire ocean because it's much too big, but if they
control certain troke points like the Middle East, the Middle
East and the Somalaca, that's probably enough.
OK, the point is to get China to submit.
The point is to control China, not to destroy China.
All right? This is important because if you
want to become a major power in the world, you need to trade
effectively. So Russia has something called
the north-south Corridor. As you can see, it runs through
Iran, OK. Iran is very important for the
Russian north-south Corridor, and that's why the United States
is attacking Iran. And that's why the United States
is not going to ever stop attacking Iran because as long
as Iran is at peace, Russia can trade with the world.
But if if Iran is being destroyed, there's too much war,
this entire region is blocked off from both Russia and China,
OK? Russia has something called the
Belt and Roll Initiative, as you can see, OK, from a map, the
center of the Belt and Roll Initiative is, of course, Iran.
All right, if. China wants to.
Access Africa, Europe, the Middle East, as you go through
Iran or it goes through the sea, the Strait of Malacca.
But as I already said, the next step for America is to close off
the Strait of Malacca as well to Chinese trade.
Then where do you go? Well, then you go over to
Western, the Western Hemisphere, but that's American territory.
OK. Yes, you can trade with Russia.
You can trade with Russia. You can do that, but it's not
enough for your economy, doesn't make sense right now trying to
get about 20% of its oil from Russia.
Maybe Russia can provide 30% or 40% at most.
That's very optimistic what you need.
But where are you going to get the other 50 percent, 60%, OK.
Your options are very limited. If Iran is at war, can't give
you any oil, then you're forced to buy from the United States.
OK, if you're if you're forced to buy from.
The United States, the United States can set the price, you
can set terms, it can dictate terms to you and what the United
States will say, you have to buy U.S. dollars, OK.
And that saves their economy, right?
Does it make sense, guys? This, this is not a hard idea to
understand. This is exactly what it says in
the US National Security Strategy, OK.
So. In many ways you can make.
The argument that what's happening around the world right
now, it's all an American policy of containing China.
Where in the these flags are U.S. military bases?
As you can see, China is completely surrounded by U.S.
military bases in Japan, in South Korea and Taiwan, even in
Indonesia and Malaysia, China, Philippines, China's completely
surrounded. OK, And this is it, the state of
Malacca. This is a major troll point.
And as you can see, it's not that hard for America to cut off
that troll point, right? You see how much trade goes
through the Trade Malacca, You can see how many US bases are
are here. And this.
And you can see a lot of this trade goes to the Middle East.
But hey, guess what? The Middle East is at war right
now. So no more oil, no more energy,
no more LNG from the Middle East.
So you might go to Angola, but this is very important.
The Americans have recently announced a naval blockade in
the Eden Ocean. OK.
So that's kind of your route as well.
So if you're China, yes, you could rely on Russia, but you
see how little this is, OK, there's too little trade between
Russia and China. And you can build it up, but
it's going to take you 1020 years time.
And then and what do you do for the next 10 years, right?
Your people need need food to eat.
You need energy to feel your factories.
And so for the. Next 10 years, you have no
choice but to work with the United States.
And that's what Trump means by negotiating from precision of
strength, because you can set terms, you can force China to
accept whatever terms you want. And quite honestly, if you just
look at this map. There's very little.
That China can do about it, OK. This is war in the Middle East.
There's also this war in Russia, which also absorbs a lot of
Russian energy. So Russia doesn't have that much
resources to spear to China anyway, but America does.
The Western Hemisphere does because the Western Hemisphere
is at peace. So as long as the Western
Hemisphere maintains a fortress OK, Meaning no one can attack
the Western Hemisphere, then West Western Hemisphere can
continue to supply resources to the world at war.
So this is what the war is about.
Guys, OK, it's about. Creating.
Conflict in the world so the United States can maintain its
empire, and the way it maintains its empire is by maintaining its
control over global trade. OK.
And the idea is America in the. Future will provide the world
with energy resources, weapons and financing, meaning we will
actually lend you the money to buy this stuff as well.
And what do we call this stuff? U.S. dollars, OK.
And so. This worked really well in 1950s
under something called the Marshall Plan.
OK the the the Marshall Plan. Same idea where America made
products and it lent money to Europe to buy products from
America. Same concept here where in the
future the world is at war, people are poor, but it's OK
because America will lend you money to buy energy resources
and weapons from America. OK and American factories will
go up. America will be great again.
Make America great again, all. Right, OK, but for this?
Plan To fully work out, America needs three things.
OK, the first thing that it needs to do is create a national
draft. Does that make sense guys?
Because you need soldiers in order to maintain America's core
interests, right? So whichever nation is defying
you, you go attack, right? The goal is for Russia and
Europe to constantly fight each other.
The goal is for China and and Japan are constantly fighting
each other. You and you need Iran to
constantly fight with the GCC and issue.
OK, so you have these three major conflicts around the
world, but if there's any nation that's at peace, well, then you
have to create conflicts. OK, maybe in Africa.
You also want to control the Western Hemisphere.
So you need soldiers to go and conquer nations that defy you.
OK, So the first thing that you need is a national draft.
All right? Second thing that you need is
something called continuity of agenda.
What does this mean? It means like now that you have
this plan in motion, you cannot have a change in government, OK?
So let's just say they're implementing this plan, and
they're doing that right now in 2028.
The Democrats win. Well, that would screw things
up. OK, So Trump needs a third term,
right? A Trump third term because only
he can implement this plan and make America great again.
And the third thing that. You need is an AI surveillance
state. Basically.
AI police state. Why?
Because again. This plan can only.
Work. If the Americans don't rise up
and revolt like they did in the Vietnam War, OK, If you have a
national draft in place, if if your trouble's going for a third
term, there's going, there's going to be a lot of Americans
who are going to protest in the streets who are going to rebel,
right? You can't have that happen to
screw things up. Therefore, you need an AI
surveillance state in order to help them see the light, right?
So ice guys, OK. Ice.
People believe that ice is being.
Sent to the streets of America in order to catch illegal
immigrants. The problem with this is that
you don't need ICE, you just need cooperation from the state
authorities. OK what ICE is really doing is
basically creating conditions for police state.
It's normalizing or making common the idea of armed
soldiers patrolling the streets of America in all the major
cities, all right. And the reason why why?
We think this, or we can suspect this is look at their budget,
man, look at this budget before the budget was kind of stable,
then boom, it goes up to 1990 billion dollars.
That's a lot of money, OK? That's almost like a new
national police force that is only obedient to Donald Trump.
It's basically Donald Trump's private police force in order to
implement his vision. OK.
Also data centers. Guys, data centers now I know
that some of you are big fans of artificial intelligence, but
artificial intelligence doesn't really make any money right
Chachi PT you don't you can't make money off that you can't
make. Money off.
Digital girlfriends or digital pets?
Right. So why is America building all
these data centers around the world?
In fact, the federal government under Trump has a plan called
Operation Stargate where they will build $500 billion, OK,
They will invest $500 billion in building data centers around the
United States. Well, you would want to go state
centers if you want to create AAI Surveillance State, right?
Where everyone has digital ID, digital currency and where
everyone can be monitored to avoid people from rebelling
against Trump. OK.
And that is? The idea, OK, And you listen to
that and you think, oh, my God, America is doomed or Donald
Trump's going to become king for the rest of his life.
There's something we can do. Well, the problem is this.
The problem is that this idea of imperial conquest, it's actually
not a new idea, guys, OK, It really is.
If empires have been doing this for a long, long time, it has
not worked out well. OK.
So the goal again to summarize is to create a situation where
you have greater North America or what they call the Technet.
OK, and this becomes a. Fortress, you have infinite
resources, infinite manpower, and you can sell weapons,
resources and financing to the rest of the world.
You want to create as much conflict in the world as
possible, right? So here it'll be between China
and Japan. Here it'll be between Iran,
Israel and the GCC. OK, Here it'll be between Europe
and Russia. Basically, you want a world for
over at war so that you can control the world.
And all America has to do is control key choke points.
OK, Key strategic choke points like the sort of Malacca,
Hormuz, Gibraltar, Panama. Why?
Because once you control a choke point, you can control which
nations get what resources. If a nation is becoming too
strong, you give them less resources.
If a nation is too weak, you give them more resources.
And as a result, you can always maintain the balance of power in
each region, right? So it sounds like a great plan,
but is that going to work out? Why?
Well, because of something called nationalism.
OK. Because when you do this, when
you are an empire and you impose your will on other nations,
these nations are not happy about it, right?
So imagine Japan, South Korea, Europe, they're people who know
that they're being used, right? So eventually they'll be like,
screw this, we want to be independent, we want peace.
So they will eventually rise up against the empire.
And the way they will do this is they will work together to
destroy America or basically to remove America from the world.
You can't. You can't actually attack
America. Now, what America can do is say
screw you with the entire Western Hemisphere.
We have infinite resources. We can make infinite weapons,
and you can never attack us. So we'll come and attack you.
OK? They could do that.
The problem then is you have division and corruption.
OK. So an empire in decline.
Always suffers from corruption and division.
Corruption just means that yes, you've allocated $1.5 trillion
to making weapons, but guess what?
The mass majority of that will be stolen by people right the
America. Right now.
Is is in a lot of trouble because it's a very cruel place.
Division means that the Democrats and Republicans fight
all the time, what we call political, political
polarization. So it is possible that as
America is being asked to fight more wars overseas, you have
civil war in America. The other thing is when America
takes over the entire North America, including Canada,
Greenland, Mexico, Cuba, Colombia, Venezuela, Nicaragua,
Honduras, they will be happy about it.
OK, so you're going to have insurgencies, all right and this
3 problems nationalism, corruption in the vision means
that when America actually flies to implement this plan, it's
going to backfire it's going to it's going to accelerate the
collapse of the American empire all.
Right. And then you ask yourself, OK.
If historically. We know that.
Empires will collapse. Why do they do this?
And the answer is because it benefits.
Them in a short. Term OK, this is a short term
solution that creates long term problems.
But who cares about the long term?
Let's just enjoy the short term, OK?
All right. Does that make sense?
OK. Any questions?
But for the war between. Iran.
And America, you previously said that America will lose the war,
but according to the analysis that you just did, like America
will try to control nations around China and those nations,
but it will finally backfire. So the result of that
predictions will still be America will lose, right?
Yeah, so. So again, the major prediction
is that America made a short term seem as though it is
winning in the long term. Because of corruption, division
and nationalism, America will be forced to retreat back to the
Western Hemisphere, and it will lose its empire, all right.
And yes, America will lose the war in Iran.
OK, it'll be forced to retreat from Iran, but it doesn't really
have to win the war. It doesn't have to defeat Iran.
It just has to make Iran constantly in a state of of
chaos and war. It doesn't make sense because
the point is to control the choke points.
OK, the key are the choke points.
This is these are these are the keys.
This is what America must protect.
And what happens in Europe, Russia, China, Japan, Iran,
doesn't really matter what. But what America wants to do is
create as much chaos as possible in these places so that they
depend on America for resources, for financing, for weapons.
OK. Does that make sense?
OK. And we don't really care anymore
if it loses its war in Iraq. That's that's not the big,
that's not the point. The point is to maintain control
over these strategic control points.
So the world depends on American resources to survive.
OK. Yeah.
Does China or? Any other countries discerns
that America is trying to control the trade route of
China? Oh, look, OK, What America is
doing, it's obvious, all right? It's it's silly.
It's it's really obvious to people, right?
There's nothing you can do about it.
There's something you can do about it because.
America has a blue water Navy that controls the oceans.
So the question then is what happens?
What happens in the long term? Well, in the long term, what
what's going to happen is that Russia, Russia will challenge.
America. In these truck points, OK.
And that's already happening in Cuba.
OK, Cuba is here and. Right.
And we'll, we'll discuss. This next class, But Cuba is
under embargo right now, and Cuba is trying to become closer
with Russia. OK, So what Russia's going to do
is sell basically its own Navy to challenge the American Navy.
And Russia cannot win against the American Navy.
But what it can do is fight a war of attrition against the
American Navy, raising costs. OK, that's number one.
Number 2 is that if American can go and block energy supplies
around the world to make the world more dependent on America,
well, Russia can also block energy supplies to make the
world dependent on Russia. OK?
So what's going to happen is that Russia and America are
going to compete against each other, all right?
And most of the world is ultimately going to side with
Russia in order to balance the United States, because United
States is too much of A bully. And at this.
Point in the short term, China has no choice but to work with
both Russia and America because China's not strong enough to
challenge either. That doesn't make sense.
OK. Yeah.
Yeah, Alan. So my question is.
About how Trump going to going to like deal with the internal
conflict in American like there's right now he only had
like 37% of supporting rate and and Democrats seems didn't agree
with his plan. So how he gonna do about this?
And what is if Democrat party didn't agree with Trump's plan?
What is the plan of Democrat to American?
OK. Yeah.
So first. Of all the Democrats have no
plan. This, This is why America is in
so much trouble, because the Democrats have actually no plan
of themselves, OK? So even if the Democrats were to
win office in 2028, what they'll probably do is continue Trump's
plan because they themselves don't have any plan.
Trump's plan to stay in power is just basically, he'll cheat, OK?
He'll win the elections. He'll he'll cheat.
That's that's his plan moving forward and he'll probably get
away with it OK. OK.
Any more questions, guys? All right, so we'll continue
this. Next class OK.