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Well, all right. 
Hello and thank you all for 

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tuning into yet another episode 
of the Professional Pricing 

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Society podcast. 
Once again, my name is Terrance,

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and we have a great friend of 
PPS joining us today. 

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His name is Barrett Thompson. 
Barrett actually leads the 

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business Solutions consultant 
team at Zillion and has built 

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and delivered optimization and 
pricing solutions for Fortune 

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500 businesses in diverse 
vertical industries. 

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He also was a speaker and an 
author of a number of books. 

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Barrett, how are we doing today?
Terrance, I'm doing great. 

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Thank you for having me on the 
podcast again. 

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Good, good. 
Absolutely. 

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It's a pleasure to have you as 
as always. 

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Now, your upcoming talk at PPS 
is about a topic that most price

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professionals and BDB companies 
wish they never had to address 

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and that is the topic of price 
decreases. 

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Why did you choose to discuss 
this topic with me today? 

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Well, you're right, Terrance, 
that you know most of the time 

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if the world can be up and to 
the right. 

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Over time that's where we want 
to be and in fact I think for 

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most pricing folks that's been 
the case probably in in a lot of

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their professional career. 
But you know a season of price 

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decreases is a very real 
possibility out there if you 

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listen to some of the economic 
forecasts and and the last thing

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you want is to get caught 
flatfooted if that hits your 

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business. 
So I thought that it might be 

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timely, especially if the people
listening and in the roles today

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have not been through. 
Sustained and broad and 

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industrywide or even planetwide 
economic downturn, they might 

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have no personal experience from
which to draw. 

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I think it was the, you know, 
the last big global recession 

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was around 2008, 2009 sort of 
kicked off then it took a few 

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years, so that's 15 years ago. 
We've got a lot of a lot of 

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great professionals in the 
business that have come in since

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that time. 
And so they've probably been 

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focused on year over year price 
increases keeping up with 

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inflation and that may really be
the thing that they're strong 

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at. 
So you know, I'm a, I'm a Boy 

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Scout and work with the scouts 
still Terrence and you know our 

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motto is, is as be prepared and 
when you say be prepared for 

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what you know for anything 
really for whatever happens in 

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business. 
So that is my motivation to 

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bring this topic around systemic
intelligent price decreases. 

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That's good, that's good. 
It is a very timely matter. 

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Price decreases always can be a 
timely discussion. 

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So I'm glad that you are 
addressing this with us today. 

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Now let's talk about this. 
What's the difference, What's 

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really the difference between 
price decreases and increases? 

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Isn't that kind of the two sides
of the same coin? 

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Yeah. 
It's a great question and at 

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some level. 
Increases and decreases have a 

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lot of similarity. 
I say it in the sense that the 

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core skills that a pricing 
professional uses to manage 

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those increases are going to be 
extremely valuable when they get

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into a season of pervasive 
decrease. 

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An example of this I I see many 
businesses talking about and 

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taking steps toward price 
automation. 

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As one idea using technology for
example or making data-driven 

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approaches, getting out of sort 
of a gut driven instinct level 

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price setting or getting away 
from peanut butter spread price 

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changes and doing segmented and 
smart and and surgical price 

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changes. 
So those same ideas and concepts

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are going to apply in the 
decrease world, the price 

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decrease world, but the details 
how do you apply those can? 

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Very dramatically in some cases 
when prices are dropping. 

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So that's where it gets really 
interesting. 

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That is interesting. 
Okay, that's very interesting. 

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Now, is there any examples that 
you may have of a familiar 

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concept that takes on a 
different form when it is 

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applied to price decreases 
versus price increases? 

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Yes, yeah. 
I'll tell you one that I think, 

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I think most people are familiar
with. 

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And you know every price 
professional that I speak with, 

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they, they have a way to measure
their year on year price change.

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And often they they do that to 
show the improvement if you 

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will, that the pricing team and 
the pricing program is bringing 

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to the business. 
Now the general form of that is 

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to show the change in the key 
metric, like average selling 

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price or gross margins. 
But here's the expectation in a 

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typical inflationary period. 
Probably everybody at the 

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company has some rule of thumb 
that says, well, during 

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inflationary times, you know, if
you took the gross margins up by

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50 basis points, maybe that's 
good. 

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If you took it up by 100, it's 
great. 

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If you did it by 200, you know 
it's outstanding, right? 

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You're a hero and you get the 
you get the parade, the confetti

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parade, but and coupled with 
that. 

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In that same inflationary period
where we expect the number to go

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up, if you had to report that 
your overall number was 

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negative, maybe -40 BPS on that 
gross margin year on year, that 

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would be a shocker. 
It would be clearly a sign of 

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failure, right? 
Positive numbers good, negative 

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numbers bad. 
So if that's how you're thinking

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about measuring your price 
performance, what's going to 

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happen when you flip into that 
recessionary world and the 

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assumption? 
Is already set that prices are 

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going to decrease. 
So right away like you're not 

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going to be reporting a positive
number. 

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So that may be obvious, but it's
sort of very different. 

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So you like when I wait a 
minute, I'm going to be 

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reporting a negative year on 
year change in margin due to 

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pressure. 
And so if you report that same 

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-40 bits, that would have been 
bad under the inflationary 

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world, but now we're in the 
deflationary world, you report 

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-40. 
OK, here's the quiz. 

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Are you a hero or a zero at that
moment? 

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Right. 
And honestly, I think nobody 

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knows or they might not know 
inside that business. 

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They might have no instinct 
about what good looks like in 

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that kind of economic condition 
where prices are going down. 

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So, you know, let me offer how 
I've seen some people address 

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that, for example, if they might
have had an industry report. 

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Showing that in their industry, 
their competitors experienced an

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average margin loss of 100 bips 
in the downturn. 

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So hey, in that case, you've 
done far better than your peers.

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So even though you're negative, 
you're good, right? 

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I would think so. 
I mean, that's perfectly legit. 

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Or it might be the case that 
your financial planning team at 

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the beginning of the year, they 
had a forecast of this margin 

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pressure. 
And they might have for actually

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built in a loss in margin rate 
into the financial plan just 

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being realistic. 
So what if they planned however 

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to take only a 20 basis point 
loss on margin that's what they 

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built into the finance plan and 
you delivered twice that. 

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I mean you you you lost twice as
much as they expected. 

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So they might say, well, hang on
a minute, you missed the plan, 

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right? 
So these ideas and these 

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examples show that you're going 
to need to think carefully about

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how you plan with other 
stakeholders. 

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How will you judge price 
effectiveness of your price 

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program over time in a 
recessionary environment since 

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we cannot just say if the. 
Margin rates or the average 

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selling prices go up. 
I must be good and if they go 

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down, I must be bad. 
That logic isn't going to fly 

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anymore. 
And so you have to think a 

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little differently. 
Plan ahead, decide what your 

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anchor points are going to be so
you can measure yourself against

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it. 
Because in the deflationary 

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world, the assumption is those 
key metrics are going to go 

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down. 
So that's a little that that's a

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different that's one example of 
how you're used to measuring. 

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But the way in which you measure
and define good and bad needs to

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be thought through a little more
carefully. 

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In the recessionary world. 
That's interesting, that 

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actually makes a lot of sense 
and it's especially for 

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Recessionary times. 
That's a very interesting 

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example that you provided. 
Now let me ask you this, how, 

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how does the goal or or the 
tactics of pricing of the 

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pricing team change during 
recessionary times? 

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I'll offer with a what I admit 
is a bit of an 

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oversimplification, but I sort 
of think of it like this. 

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And we'll start with the 
inflationary time and then we'll

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contrast in the inflationary 
time. 

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The general goal is to, you 
know, raise your prices as much 

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as possible without putting your
revenues at risk. 

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I think most pricing teams are. 
Inherently seeking this, they're

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trying to find that glass 
ceiling of prices, right? 

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What's the highest amount I can 
charge? 

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And of course I want to move 
there as quickly as I can, but I

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still want to hit other 
objectives. 

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I have a revenue objective, a 
market share objective, so I 

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don't want to compromise those. 
But you know, we talked about 

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leaving money on the table. 
The pricing team is essentially 

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saying, how can I take that 
money off the table? 

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Where is it? 
Somebody tell me how much it is 

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and let me go grab it and bring 
it back to my own company and 

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the way I increase my prices 
smartly. 

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So all that makes sense. 
But that's during the 

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inflationary time. 
You want to take that money off 

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the table, put it back in your 
pocket. 

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But now let's flip over and look
at the deflationary time. 

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You know, the goal is 
fundamentally different. 

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If you know your prices are 
going down, you are effectively 

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putting money onto that table. 
Right. 

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You're you're putting it on, 
you're you're giving it away in 

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some form. 
You're not taking it back. 

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And so here is how your tactic 
changes. 

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You want to give away the least 
amount possible and you want to 

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give it away at the latest 
possible time. 

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That's the mindset you have to 
have. 

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How can I lower prices just 
enough but no further? 

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And I want to delay that price 
decrease to the latest possible 

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moment in order to hit my other 
goals, revenue and share and so 

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on. 
And you know, your competitors 

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are doing this too. 
And so you can think of this as 

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like a game of mutual 
bloodletting, if I could say it 

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that way, right? 
He who bleeds the least is 

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actually the winner. 
So your job as a pricer in the 

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deflationary environment is. 
Honestly and transparently, 

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you're going to be bleeding off 
price, you're going to be 

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bleeding off margin and you want
to do just enough, but not too 

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much. 
You want to avoid being the 

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first one to race to the bottom.
We've all heard that. 

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It's certainly true here. 
So you have to work hard to be 

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sure that you're not 
overshooting by the amount of 

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those price decreases you give 
or the timing with which you 

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give them. 
And so that really inverts, you 

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know, the tactics that the 
pricing teams are generally 

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using in the normal, if you 
will, normal inflationary 

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period, HM Okay, that's good. 
So to put the least amount on 

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the table at the furthest time 
is what you're saying does. 

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That make sense? 
Yeah. 

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You know you're gonna have to 
give something cuz there are 

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gonna be again, there's an 
assumption around this. 

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Inflation or sorry, deflationary
period is the price pressure 

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means prices are going down 
overall. 

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They're going down more often 
than they're going up. 

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So you have to figure out where 
do I need to take that price 

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decrease, how much is just 
enough? 

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Not too much. 
And then you don't want to lead 

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too early. 
You don't want to give a price 

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move, you know, six months 
before your competitors do it, 

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Not if it's downward, you don't 
want to give it away yet, right.

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So the timing is going to matter
there as well, but at least my 

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00:12:03,330 --> 00:12:06,090
own table, the latest at the 
latest amount of time. 

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Now let me ask you this, What 
happens if I overplay this hand 

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of mine and I hold back on a 
price a little too much, or I 

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hold out on a higher price 
longer than I probably should? 

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Does that? 
Does that hurt me? 

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Yeah, that's that's really the 
risk, right? 

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It is this balancing game and a 
game of judgment because it 

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will, you can get, you can get 
burned on either side so. 

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Let's use this example you gave.
What if I'm hanging on to a high

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price in a market where the 
prices are decreasing? 

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You know, how does that hurt me 
if if I my price is too high or 

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I hang on to it for too and I 
hang on to it for too long, How 

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does that hurt me? 
The way I think about it is you 

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might have to ask like a 
correlated question and that is,

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what is the what is the scope of
that price mistake that I'm 

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making? 
You know an example is if. 

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If I have 10,000 skews in my 
catalog, and it's only a handful

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but doesn't skews, you know 
where I'm kind of got the wrong,

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too high of a price or I'm 
hanging on to it for too long. 

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You know what? 
What might that mean? 

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When somebody comes to my 
website and they're filling out 

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that order, putting things in 
the basket, maybe I lose one 

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item on the order and that has 
some impact, but it's not the 

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end of the world. 
You know what happens if it's a 

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bit more pervasive, and I've got
several. 

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Product categories or hundreds 
of products that are mispriced 

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and maybe some products that are
very visible. 

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I do a high volume on those. 
Well, back to this example, my 

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ecommerce customer, I might lose
several products and in fact if 

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they're filling out the order 
online, they might say, gosh, 

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you don't have much of anything 
I need priced the way I want to 

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buy it. 
So you might lose the order 

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itself. 
Now that could be a one time 

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thing, right? 
They come to you in January for 

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replenishment. 
You didn't have the prices 

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00:14:03,120 --> 00:14:04,200
right. 
You were too high. 

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You were too late with your 
price move. 

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So you lost the January order. 
You know if they've been doing 

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business with you for five 
years, 10 years, they're likely 

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to come back in Feb and just try
again and see if you sort of got

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it right, see if you got synced 
up. 

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But what if you. 
What if you didn't? 

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What if you continue in a 
pervasive way and over time, 

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you're? 
Always lagging the market in 

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terms of taking that price down 
when the others are going down 

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00:14:30,220 --> 00:14:32,660
and you never seem to get in 
line with the market level. 

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Well, after the customer comes a
couple of three times and gives 

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you a chance to get serious and 
get it right. 

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And they see that you're not and
they've given up several orders.

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At some point they're just going
to move on as a customer. 

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They're going to decide that 
you're not the vendor for them. 

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And then if your situation is 
really pervasive, I mean. 

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Major parts of your catalog out 
of whack, You're hanging on to 

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prices many months let longer 
than you should, then you're not

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going to lose just one customer,
right? 

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00:15:02,270 --> 00:15:04,550
You're going to lose many 
customers and that's tantamount 

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to losing a market. 
So the the, the impact that it 

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has, how much it hurts you to be
too high or too late on your 

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price move is largely dependent 
on how often you're making that 

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00:15:17,550 --> 00:15:20,510
mistake on how many products and
how long are you hanging on to 

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that mistake. 
Wow, But that's that makes a lot

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00:15:25,420 --> 00:15:28,460
of sense as well. 
Holding out for too long can 

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come back to bite you in the bud
essentially and not just with 

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00:15:32,380 --> 00:15:37,500
customers or clients starting to
potentially question if your 

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value, if your product is worth 
that value or not. 

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00:15:40,980 --> 00:15:44,060
But it could, it could move them
towards them as a customer 

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00:15:44,060 --> 00:15:46,060
moving on from from your 
product. 

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00:15:46,540 --> 00:15:51,490
And then the worst case scenario
is, as you said, losing many 

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customers, essentially losing a 
market as a whole and so huh. 

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00:15:57,050 --> 00:15:59,530
Yeah, there's some tolerance. 
There's some tolerance for like 

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00:15:59,530 --> 00:16:02,490
occasionally I don't have the 
numbers quite right. 

286
00:16:02,730 --> 00:16:06,050
You could take some bumps and 
rattles here and there and you 

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00:16:06,050 --> 00:16:09,690
can work that out over time. 
The market is likely more 

288
00:16:09,690 --> 00:16:13,210
forgiving of that. 
But if you show in a big way 

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00:16:13,210 --> 00:16:15,000
like. 
Every time they add something to

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00:16:15,000 --> 00:16:17,480
the cart, you're 15% higher than
the other guys. 

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00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:19,960
And you seem to, even though you
might say to yourself, well, I 

292
00:16:19,960 --> 00:16:23,120
have taken my prices down, you 
know, since the beginning of the

293
00:16:23,120 --> 00:16:24,920
year, yes. 
But if you've only taken them 

294
00:16:24,920 --> 00:16:28,280
down half as much as someone 
else, or you've taken it down on

295
00:16:28,280 --> 00:16:30,680
half the products but you've 
missed the other half, you know 

296
00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:32,120
you thought you could hold on to
it. 

297
00:16:32,400 --> 00:16:33,960
These things are always 
asymmetric. 

298
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:37,040
You know you'll be able to, 
you'll need to drop more in some

299
00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:38,720
areas than others. 
That's true. 

300
00:16:39,000 --> 00:16:41,520
Hopefully you can judge each of 
those appropriately, but. 

301
00:16:41,800 --> 00:16:44,080
Let's see if you get it right. 
Half the time, you miss it half 

302
00:16:44,080 --> 00:16:46,480
the time and you stick with 
that. 

303
00:16:46,480 --> 00:16:49,200
That's gonna be more obvious 
than if you occasionally, you 

304
00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:51,920
know, have a blip and then you 
catch it up in the next cycle. 

305
00:16:51,920 --> 00:16:57,840
So it's a balancing act. 
It takes a lot of finesse. 

306
00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:01,760
It takes a way to sense what's 
going on, you know, watching the

307
00:17:01,760 --> 00:17:04,200
order streams, watching win loss
rates. 

308
00:17:05,980 --> 00:17:08,900
Looking at well for using 
ecommerce for example, even 

309
00:17:08,900 --> 00:17:11,579
monitoring you know, card 
abandonment rates would be 

310
00:17:11,780 --> 00:17:15,900
incredibly useful information. 
But even getting feedback from 

311
00:17:16,619 --> 00:17:20,740
customer service reps and field 
sales reps on the kind of thing 

312
00:17:20,740 --> 00:17:23,180
that the market and the 
customers are saying when you 

313
00:17:23,180 --> 00:17:25,579
went in with that line item and 
you went in with that price, you

314
00:17:25,579 --> 00:17:28,260
know, if if you're way out of 
line, you're likely to hear 

315
00:17:28,260 --> 00:17:29,820
that. 
And if you hear that from 

316
00:17:29,820 --> 00:17:32,940
several places, several 
different customers and close 

317
00:17:32,940 --> 00:17:36,400
proximity and time you know. 
You can begin to trust that 

318
00:17:36,400 --> 00:17:39,160
signal, sure, yeah, if the 
patterns there, it's likely 

319
00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,720
true. 
Right now it seems that you're 

320
00:17:41,720 --> 00:17:45,480
fairly deep in your exposure on 
price decreases. 

321
00:17:45,840 --> 00:17:48,440
Let me ask if you don't mind me 
asking where did you get that 

322
00:17:48,440 --> 00:17:52,000
exposure since most of the time 
the pricing function is centered

323
00:17:52,000 --> 00:17:57,160
around around increases. 
Yeah, that's I too have realized

324
00:17:57,600 --> 00:18:02,640
so many B2B businesses and in 
their normal times, right, the. 

325
00:18:03,230 --> 00:18:07,030
It's up and to the right as we 
said at the beginning and that's

326
00:18:07,190 --> 00:18:08,630
that's great in the growth 
market. 

327
00:18:08,630 --> 00:18:12,710
But interestingly, Terrence, 
even in what we would consider 

328
00:18:13,110 --> 00:18:17,150
times of growth when the economy
is not in a recession or not 

329
00:18:17,150 --> 00:18:21,390
under this kind of pressure, 
there are specific industries 

330
00:18:21,950 --> 00:18:27,150
whose natural state is that of 
decreasing prices over time, 

331
00:18:27,750 --> 00:18:29,910
sometimes radically decreasing 
prices. 

332
00:18:30,790 --> 00:18:34,330
And I know that might seem. 
A bit odd to folks here or you 

333
00:18:34,330 --> 00:18:36,770
know maybe if you're in 
industrial manufacturing or you 

334
00:18:36,770 --> 00:18:39,970
are in certain kinds of 
distribution, you know building 

335
00:18:39,970 --> 00:18:43,570
supplies, something like that. 
You you do not see routine price

336
00:18:43,570 --> 00:18:46,970
decreases year on year in a 
stable or normal or growth 

337
00:18:46,970 --> 00:18:48,810
market. 
You see increases right in the 

338
00:18:48,810 --> 00:18:53,210
inflationary world, but in 
semiconductors, particularly the

339
00:18:53,210 --> 00:18:58,490
manufacturers making the CP U's 
and memory chips and so on, LED 

340
00:18:58,490 --> 00:19:01,020
lighting. 
Also went through this and I 

341
00:19:01,020 --> 00:19:03,700
think it's still in it several 
years ago when at when there was

342
00:19:03,700 --> 00:19:08,340
a big conversion out of you know
incandescent and fluorescent to 

343
00:19:08,340 --> 00:19:12,620
LED lighting the because that's 
a high tech thing a lot like 

344
00:19:12,620 --> 00:19:17,420
semiconductors every quarter and
every year prices were dropping 

345
00:19:17,580 --> 00:19:22,060
double digit period on period. 
And so out of those industries 

346
00:19:22,060 --> 00:19:25,940
when I've worked with those kind
of customers and when I've 

347
00:19:25,940 --> 00:19:27,700
talked with them about their 
needs and. 

348
00:19:28,210 --> 00:19:30,730
Kind of gotten In Sync with how 
they think about approaching 

349
00:19:31,210 --> 00:19:33,530
their pricing, since this is 
where they live all the time. 

350
00:19:33,970 --> 00:19:37,210
This is what they live every 
month and every quarter is 

351
00:19:37,210 --> 00:19:41,370
deflationary prices. 
That's where I've been able to 

352
00:19:41,370 --> 00:19:44,330
glean some of my best 
understandings about what are 

353
00:19:44,330 --> 00:19:47,450
the strategies and tactics that 
should be used. 

354
00:19:47,960 --> 00:19:53,000
When any B to B company is in an
A deflationary period, even if 

355
00:19:53,000 --> 00:19:56,160
that might be the exception for 
them, you know it's the norm for

356
00:19:56,160 --> 00:19:58,600
someone else. 
So I've done my best to pick up 

357
00:19:58,600 --> 00:20:02,480
on the practices that work and 
distill those down and you know,

358
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:05,200
compare them to what is usually 
experienced in the price 

359
00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,320
increase world. 
So that informs my perspective, 

360
00:20:08,440 --> 00:20:11,760
and I'm looking forward to 
sharing more of the ideas and 

361
00:20:11,760 --> 00:20:15,000
strategies that I've learned 
from these industries at the 

362
00:20:15,080 --> 00:20:17,600
MIPPPS session coming up in 
October. 

363
00:20:19,170 --> 00:20:22,290
Mr. Barry Thompson everybody. 
You are full of knowledge on 

364
00:20:22,290 --> 00:20:26,330
this topic and you know you 
would be considered an expert in

365
00:20:26,330 --> 00:20:28,010
this realm. 
So I want to thank you so much 

366
00:20:28,010 --> 00:20:29,450
for being on this podcast with 
us. 

367
00:20:29,770 --> 00:20:31,970
Barry Thompson is going to be 
with us at our Atlantic 

368
00:20:32,130 --> 00:20:35,610
Conference coming up in October,
specifically October 10th 

369
00:20:35,610 --> 00:20:38,450
through the 13th. 
Want to make sure you guys take 

370
00:20:38,450 --> 00:20:41,730
the time to visit our website 
priceandsociety.com and visit 

371
00:20:41,730 --> 00:20:45,330
the conferences tab to learn 
more about about the upcoming 

372
00:20:45,330 --> 00:20:48,180
conference, those guest speakers
who are gonna be in attendance, 

373
00:20:48,420 --> 00:20:51,620
and what you can expect. 
Now, Barrett, one more question 

374
00:20:51,620 --> 00:20:54,580
before I let you go. 
Where can people learn more 

375
00:20:54,580 --> 00:20:59,980
about you, or read more about 
what you stand for, who you work

376
00:20:59,980 --> 00:21:02,780
with, and just all things 
Barrett Thompson? 

377
00:21:03,540 --> 00:21:06,260
Well, I encourage them to 
connect with me on LinkedIn. 

378
00:21:06,650 --> 00:21:10,050
You'll see my profile there at 
Barrett Thompson 2 R's and two 

379
00:21:10,050 --> 00:21:13,330
T's in the first name, and I'll 
be happy to make your 

380
00:21:13,330 --> 00:21:15,050
connection. 
And also, I look forward to 

381
00:21:15,050 --> 00:21:18,290
seeing you at the PPS event. 
If come by, see me at the 

382
00:21:18,290 --> 00:21:21,850
session or see me at the zillion
booth on the vendor hall and 

383
00:21:21,850 --> 00:21:23,930
let's be sure we trade contact 
information. 

384
00:21:23,930 --> 00:21:25,210
I look forward to seeing you all
there. 

385
00:21:26,210 --> 00:21:28,130
Sounds good. 
Thank you so much everybody for 

386
00:21:28,130 --> 00:21:30,050
tuning in. 
Until next time, have a good 

387
00:21:30,050 --> 00:21:30,250
one.
